TBPN Live - OpenAI's New CEO of Applications Shares Optimistic Memo, Stargate Hits Early Struggles, P&G Pays Unilever $10M in Spying Case | Anatoly Yakovenko, Aaron Levie, Neil Parikh & Daniel Cahn, Jan Sramek, Nathaniel Manning, Chris Andrew
Episode Date: July 22, 2025(00:26) - OpenAI Product Roadmap (35:47) - OpenAI to Pay Oracle $30B Per Year (39:41) - Stargate Hits Early Struggles (46:53) - Musk Allies to Raise $12B for xAI (56:23) - Intern Cam Liv...e from Tesla Diner (01:05:50) - Anatoly Yakovenko, co-founder and CEO of Solana Labs, discusses the inception and evolution of Solana, emphasizing its design for high-performance and scalability to support global financial systems. He highlights the network's ability to process more transactions than all major blockchains combined, attributing this to its unique architecture and focus on speed. Yakovenko also addresses the challenges of decentralization, the importance of real-world asset tokenization, and the role of AI in enhancing blockchain development. (01:35:28) - Aaron Levie, co-founder and CEO of Box, discusses how AI agents are revolutionizing enterprise software by automating tasks and enhancing productivity. He emphasizes that AI adoption in enterprises is accelerating rapidly, with organizations integrating AI to transform workflows and unlock new opportunities. Levie also highlights the importance of leveraging proprietary data assets, as AI agents can extract unique insights, providing companies with a competitive edge. (02:06:13) - Neil Parikh & Daniel Cahn discuss the launch of Ash, an AI-powered therapy platform designed to address the global mental health crisis by providing scalable, accessible support. They highlight the platform's development process, including training on clinical data and reinforcement learning, to ensure safety and efficacy. Parikh emphasizes that Ash is not intended to replace human therapists but to augment mental health services, offering continuous support and helping users build stronger real-world connections. (02:16:25) - Jan Sramek, founder and CEO of California Forever, discusses the Solano Foundry, a 2,100-acre advanced manufacturing park planned as part of a new city in Solano County, California. He emphasizes the importance of co-locating research and development with manufacturing to accelerate innovation and compete globally, drawing lessons from historical U.S. manufacturing hubs and China's integrated hardware ecosystems. Sramek highlights the project's potential to create a vibrant, walkable community offering quality of life improvements, such as short commutes and accessible amenities, to attract and retain a skilled workforce. (02:28:12) - Nathaniel Manning, CEO of Legend AI, discusses the company's mission to make Earth searchable by training large models on satellite and drone imagery, enabling users to query geospatial data over space and time. He explains that while much of this imagery is freely available from sources like the European Space Agency's Sentinel program and NASA, higher-resolution or more recent data can be purchased as needed. Manning also outlines Legend AI's three-tiered product stack: an API level for developers, an enterprise product, and a consumer application, all designed to harness the vast potential of geospatial data. (02:43:49) - Chris Andrew, co-founder and CEO of Scrunch AI, discusses the company's recent $15 million Series A funding led by Decibel and their development of a customer experience platform tailored for the AI buyer journey. He highlights the shift from traditional browsing to AI-driven search, emphasizing the need for businesses to optimize their online presence for AI agents. Andrew also introduces Scrunch AI's agent experience platform, designed to enhance website compatibility with AI models by simplifying content and improving accessibility. (02:50:32) - Timeline TBPN.com is made possible by: Ramp - https://ramp.comFigma - https://figma.comVanta - https://vanta.comLinear - https://linear.appEight Sleep - https://eightsleep.com/tbpnWander - https://wander.com/tbpnPublic - https://public.comAdQuick - https://adquick.comBezel - https://getbezel.com Numeral - https://www.numeralhq.comPolymarket - https://polymarket.comAttio - https://attio.com/tbpnFin - https://fin.ai/tbpnGraphite - https://graphite.devRestream - https://restream.ioFollow TBPN: https://TBPN.comhttps://x.com/tbpnhttps://open.spotify.com/show/2L6WMqY3GUPCGBD0dX6p00?si=674252d53acf4231https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/technology-brothers/id1772360235https://www.youtube.com/@TBPNLive
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You're watching TVPN.
Today is Tuesday, July 22nd, 2025.
We are live from the TVPN, Ultra Dome,
the Temple of Technology, the Fortress of Finance,
El Capital de Capital.
El Capital de Capital.
Massive post from Fiji Simo,
the CEO of Applications at OpenAI.
She is outlining what her plan is basically,
and it's a very, very interesting post.
So, Fiji CMO is an absolute boardroom general.
Give me the Ashton Hall.
When Fiji CMO.
Yes, Fiji CMO.
Open AI and Spotify Board of Directors positions.
Huge runs at eBay, Facebook and Instacart. Now she's the CEO of applications at Open AI and Spotify Board of Directors positions, huge runs at eBay, Facebook, and Instacart.
Now she's the CEO of applications at Open AI.
Today she outlined how she sees Open AI's products
having the biggest impacts.
High level, six things.
Knowledge retrieval, health, creative expression,
economic freedom, time, and support,
and those are kind of getting, I think, more abstract,
more vague as they go along,
but it's interesting, they map pretty closely
to my experience, knowledge retrieval,
I use it as a Google replacement for a lot of things.
I use Deep Research as a knowledge retrieval product.
I also use it a little bit as WebMD replacement,
not a ton, but I've seen a lot of people use that,
but I do ask it for advice around health, fitness,
recommendations for supplements,
all sorts of different stuff.
Often I'll just go there and say,
what type of creatine does Andrew Huberman recommend
and it'll just one shot it?
Or complex medical.
Fortunately I haven't been in one of those situations
recently, but if I did run into one of those situations is I would definitely go to it it is it is interesting because
previously when people were trying to understand maybe a small health issue
you're having they would go do a Google search add Reddit to it and then they
would look through the comments and the comments would provide kind of like
context on the symptoms or whatever they were dealing with.
And you could technically leave a comment.
But I think the majority of people
wouldn't want to post about that.
So the fact that OpenAI has all that Reddit data,
you can get that same type of data.
But then you can kind of ask a number of follow-up questions,
which is very cool, very powerful.
I'm certain that people are probably misusing it,
maybe reading too much into the results.
But again, the idea, I think for a long time,
doctors that would say, don't look on Google,
you're just gonna stress yourself out,
and then you go into the appointment room
and they're over there on the equivalent of Dr. Google.
You're doing the same thing.
Totally, it's nothing new.
People used to go to WebMD, and the meme was like,
you go to WebMD, and no matter what you type in,
it says, could be cancer.
Could be the worst possible thing.
But it might just be a cold, and maybe you
should just take some Advil.
But for whatever reason, WebMD felt the need
to give you the full picture and all the possibilities.
And then they'd of course say like go
Consult an expert or talk to your doctor. So but yes, I definitely see it
Replacing that type of health experience
also
I'm using as a Photoshop of replacement a fair amount of time if I need to just quickly generate an image
Quickly generate something that I would have normally gone to a 3D rendering program or Photoshop
and kind of created a collage to kind of
illustrate my idea.
Huge tailwind for the meme industrial complex.
Huge tailwind.
Still a lot to work out there.
I do find that sometimes when I go to images and chat GPT,
I'm going back and forth on the prompt for 10 minutes
and I'm like, I could have just done this
with traditional tools.
So it's not perfect, but when it gets it, it's so amazing.
And the final product often looks a lot more cohesive
than what I would get if I was like collaging
and like the shadows didn't match
and there were like rough edges and stuff.
So certainly great there.
The last three are a bit more vague.
We'll have to read into those,
but OpenAI is set up to win pretty big
in all of these categories.
So semi-analysis, clocks, chat, GPTs, share of queries, it's 71%.
Meta is in second at 12%.
And that's with billions of users on Meta products.
And so OpenAI is certainly running away with consumer.
So there's this question of like, it feels like the rest of consumer AI plays will be,
I would say like horizontal in the sense that
it won't be a new app on your home screen.
Meta won't have Meta AI as a home screen app.
Loses their lead and becomes the Yahoo of AI,
but that doesn't feel likely.
Yeah, it feels tough.
Why did Yahoo lose to Google?
It's because there was an entirely new paradigm
in PageRank, a new algorithm emerged.
Sure, if that happens from SSI or super intelligence,
meta super intelligence, there could be a leapfrog moment.
But so far, they've been pretty good
at staying near the frontier,
to the point where it's like,
okay, Google got them on this one,
or GROK got them on this one today,
but there hasn't been a time when I've been like,
okay, there is a dramatic difference in the results
such that it's worth it for me to go over.
There was that moment for Claude for a little bit,
everyone was like Claude's way better,
I went over and used Claude for a bit,
and then I went back to OpenAI
just because the product was better
and had more of an ecosystem.
Product lead is very real.
Yeah, I was thinking about this,
if you played out a hypothetical scenario
and you went and you had the keys to OpenAI HQ,
you went and you exfiltrated all the code, everything, got an app into the app store,
Geordie GPT, you have the exact same model, the exact same inference, the exact same UI, everything.
Could you win? Because people would say, well, it's not better better There's we we live on a part of the internet where people are constantly debating the merits and of the leadership teams and the approaches
And the philosophies but then downstream you have approaching a billion users that
Are just like yeah, I like I like the product. I use it a lot
Yeah
And so even if you ran a Super Bowl ad saying like, we have a product that's exactly as good
as ChatGPT, it is feature for feature.
Feature parity.
People would be like, but I already have it installed.
You're asking me for two minutes to uninstall this
and reinstall the new one, and then I don't get any benefit.
I wouldn't do it.
Even if you match my capabilities,
you got a leapfrog.
It's funny, so Jason Fried had a great post,
relevant yesterday, he said,
feature parity is just another way to say,
we don't need to exist.
So if you come out and you're so good at what you do
that you can create as good of a product as open AI,
models that are as good, you still don't need to exist.
And so that is the challenge for anyone competing.
If you, let me tell you about ramp.com.
Time is money, safe, both, easy to use corporate cards,
bill payments, accounting, and a whole lot more,
all in one place, go to ramp.com.
Really quickly, so it feels like the rest of
consumer AI plays will be horizontal.
There won't be a new AI app for Meta that really takes off.
Instead, AI will improve everything Meta does
across Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, Quest, et cetera. AI app for Meta that really takes off. Instead, AI will improve everything Meta does across
Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, Quest, et cetera. And I was thinking about the initial take
off of Facebook. The other tech companies, they didn't really seriously get to compete
in social networking. Google Plus never really took off. I guess Microsoft bought LinkedIn
and that's kind of a niche social network,
very profitable business, great business,
but it is like its own thing, it doesn't directly compete.
But graph databases and the idea of storing efficiently
connections in graph networks like Facebook kind of pioneered,
that became really widespread
and was used all over the place.
And the same thing with Google search,
like this page rank, just better search algorithms,
those wound up manifesting in better search
in all sorts of products.
And so when a new company comes out
and builds a whole paradigm,
or they break through in terms of front end development
or database development or some sort of structure like it winds up,
it winds up improving everyone. And so I think,
I think AI will have these like horizontal benefits all over the ecosystem.
I think it makes a ton of sense that that met is investing so much in super
intelligence, but it's not,
I don't really think the narrative should be like they need to play catch up to
chat GPT. I think it's more like they just need to implement LLMs
in every single crack in all of their different systems
like they do with great databases, great infrastructure.
I'm not sure.
We'll see how things are.
I still think there's, I mean, remember Meta made
some early experiments of making digital clones
of big celebrities on Instagram.
I still think they'll take more shots on goal around companionship.
Will they go grok waifu mode? No, I don't think they want that revenue line.
But there's a bunch of other ways in which they could kind of go after that market.
That I don't even think, I mean, chat GPT is such an interesting product because it's designed to be a functional tool
around knowledge retrieval creative expression just unlocking consumer
surplus giving people access to expertise etc and the the way in which
people are using it as a companion is sort of not the sort of default.
It's not like you name your chat GPT, right?
People will give it a name.
Yeah.
But it doesn't really stack.
It's certainly not baked into the UI in the way
that it could be.
Yeah.
I know people do talk to you.
So I, again, I've said it before,
but as chat GPT user hours are just user minutes still,
but as they're ticking up, I do think Zuck will look at that
and say, I want some of that action.
Yeah, yeah, and maybe some of that,
but I still think some of that happens
inside of the platforms.
I don't know that they're building a new app.
Yeah, not necessarily in that new app.
It would be very difficult.
And Meta has yet to really do it,
WhatsApp and acquisition, Instagram and acquisition,
but Stories, massively successful, within Instagram.
And so I would expect, I agree with your take,
that I think there's an opportunity
for a lot of AI stuff to live within those apps.
And then also just on the monetization side,
they're in a very unique space
where they can give great products away for free,
but they can't be charged an inference cost
to another company.
And so if they have their own open source model
that they can inference very cheaply,
they can give it away for free
and then they leverage their massive ad network.
So let's go through what Fiji CIMO over at OpenAI
is building.
So in a few weeks I'll be joining OpenAI
as CEO of applications.
We've all been waiting for this moment.
Helping to get OpenAI's technology
into the hands of more people around the world.
I've always considered myself a pragmatic technologist,
someone who loves technology, not just for its own sake,
but for the direct impact it can have on people's lives.
That's what makes this job exciting,
since I believe AI will unlock more opportunities for more people than any other technology in history.
If we get this right, AI can give everyone more power.
And so she has a fantastic career, eBay, Facebook,
then Instacart, and is now at OpenAI.
And she was heavily involved in building the ads engine
at Instacart, correct? Yeah. Yeah, and obviously Facebook as well
So in on knowledge she says empowerment starts with understanding the world around us and our place in it
When we have the right knowledge at the right time
We can make better decisions advocate for ourselves and change our path
But for most of history access to expert level knowledge has been limited to those with more resources
I mean even even after the invention of the printing press like you still had to be in a big city that had a library
to go check out a book for free still had to have the time to do it and
And certainly buying every book and being able to index it was very expensive and difficult now. It's even easier
It's already working people who use AI tutors learn twice as much as they do from human ones and the gains are even bigger compared to learning in a traditional classroom.
In a 2024 OpenAI study, 90% of users said ChatGPT
helped them understand complex ideas more easily.
I agree with that.
On health, she says, personally,
I'm most excited about the breakthroughs
that AI will generate in healthcare.
A few years ago, I faced a complex
and poorly understood chronic
illness on its end and it became painfully clear just how fragmented and inaccessible
the healthcare system can be even with access from some of the best doctors in the world.
I found myself acting as a connector piecing together insights from multiple specialists
who weren't speaking to each other. I actually had a friend who got a very, very rare form
of cancer and did all of the research, pre-Chatchie PT,
actually downloaded all the frontier science
and all the different papers,
figured out that it was this one very rare condition,
found the expert, went to that expert,
he was like, yep, you have this thing,
I'm the only one that studies this thing,
I'm gonna help you, did the surgery, saved your life.
Crazy.
I had an issue, I was 18 traveling.
I was surfing in South America.
There was flash flooding.
I was in this tiny town.
I got a antibiotic resistant staph infection from that.
And then was getting repeated infections over the next year.
And the doctor kept prescribing antibiotics
that were so, I mean, such an intense antibiotic
that doctors won't, it's like a soap,
they won't touch it without gloves on.
And they use it before surgeries.
And they just said use this twice a day
over your entire body.
And I kept having issues and eventually found
in a Reddit community that was just obsessed over this issue
and the thing that fixed it was avoiding gluten.
It actually just fixed everything.
That's so crazy.
And I just imagine if I was like,
even now if I was dealing with that issue,
I would have been able to,
I would have just been able to talk with ChatGPT about it.
They would be able to surface all that kind of thing build it build a picture of it. So
Very interesting. Well
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We use the backbone of this show
So she closes out health saying AI can explain lab results decode medical jargon offer second opinions and help patients
health saying AI can explain lab results, decode medical jargon, offer second opinions,
and help patients understand their options
in plain language.
It won't replace doctors, but it can finally level
the playing field for patients,
putting them in the driver's seat of their own care.
Very excited for that.
And also, that feels like something, I don't know,
yeah, just like, I don't know.
It'll be interesting to see if that manifests itself in,
like, all of this is like,
will there be any fracturing in the actual product?
Because right now, all the fracturing that's happening
in the ChatGPT product is in what model you're using,
you're using agent or deep research,
but so far, all the different products.
They're all chats.
Yeah, they're all chats, and none of them say,
this one's for health, this one,
and I'm in like a safe health territory.
It's like, that's all driven by the prompt.
I would imagine that over the long term,
everything's driven by the prompt.
I would love to be able to go to ChatGPT and just say,
hey, quickly, what's the population of Canada?
And it knows to use 4.0 for that.
And then if I say, hey, I want you to give me a full report
on the history of Canada, give me a deep research report,
I wouldn't need to select it.
It would just know from the prompt.
And you can go to chat.gptagent, help me annex Canada.
And then it just goes in states.
Yeah, don't mistake.
And then it just keeps working.
So the third one, she says, creative expression.
I believe we're all born creators
and that the ability to imagine something and make it real
is a big part of what makes us human. The problem and that the ability to imagine something and make it real is a big part of what makes
Us human the problem is that our ability to express that creativity is often limited by our skill sets completely agree
I can't draw at all
Not everyone has the resources time or training to paint write compose or build when I imagine the future it often comes to me in
Images I paint in my spare time, but the we kind of find some Fiji Seymour originals
But I'll hang them on the wall.
This is interesting.
It's a lore.
But the images in my head are much more realistic
and complex than what I am able to paint today.
Now AI is collapsing the distance
between imagination and execution.
With AI and image generation, I can prompt and iterate
until the output matches the complexity and realism
of the vision in my head, unless it's a Where's Waldo.
We gotta solve the Where's Waldo challenge.
We do.
It's coming for sure.
The Where's Waldo eval for image generation.
Today nearly one in three Gen Z users say AI tools
have helped them express themselves
in ways they never could.
So this is another fun, viral, obvious, valuable,
like we know it, we love it,
everyone's using ChatGPT for creative expression.
Well yeah, and this presents a massive challenge
if you are a
a GPT rapper that's trying to go compete
in the creative expression space
because you have to, it's not enough to generate
a cool image or generate a meme.
It used to be that if you could do text well,
that would maybe be an advantage
that people would use your product.
But ChatGPT image generation has just gotten
better and better and better.
It's fantastic.
If you haven't played around with it much,
drop your group chat, the profile pictures
of your most popular group chat,
put them in there and say make them all gigachats
and then you can share that back.
Yeah, for sure.
Well, you start with generating an image in ChatGPT,
then when you're ready to go pro, you move over to Figma.
Figma.com, think bigger, build faster.
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Fourth, she says, economic freedom.
When people can independently create and capture value,
they gain power over their own economic destiny.
But starting a company isn't easy.
The average cost to start a small business in the US
is around $30,000, an impossible threshold
for most aspiring entrepreneurs.
And until recently, building a product or launching
a service required technical knowledge, especially coding.
That was a problem for hundreds of millions of people
who had ideas for tools, apps, platforms, et cetera,
that could have made an impact,
but they didn't have the technical skills
to bring them to life.
The classic ideas guy,
I just need a programmer to build it for me.
Well, now you can vibe code it.
AI now gives the people the power to turn ideas into income
no matter their age, credentials, or zip code.
A single person can now brainstorm, prototype, market,
and launch a product with tools they control themselves.
A 2024 Shopify report showed AI-enabled solopreneurs
launched businesses 70% faster than peers
without AI tools.
I've seen it with my nine-year-old daughter,
who decided one day she wanted to be a party planner
for kids birthdays
Let's give it up for it's amazing
What a great story
In one weekend using AI tools
She created a fully functional websites showcasing her party ideas shared it with her peers and started taking on clients
Amazingly my husband and I didn't have to help her
But we didn't have to intervene before the confetti cannons were ordered.
That's a great story.
Ben, good reminder, we should get some confetti cannons.
We do need confetti cannons.
Except last time when we had confetti cannons
at YC Demo Day, my eyes were in pain for days and days.
We need goggles next time.
Days?
Yeah, there was so much dust in the confetti cannon.
We left it all in the field.
We did, we did.
In the future, people will be able to build new things
without waiting for permission, capital or credentials.
This will of course will mean a meaningful shift
in the workforce, companies will hire fewer people.
So you get more smaller companies,
that seems pretty cool.
Yeah, my first real company,
skateboard company, J-Man Designs.
Probably, I don't know if I would have done it
if my lovely mother wasn't a graphic designer
and I needed a logo to print on the decks
that I was getting made.
And I just would sit with her and tell her,
you know, do this, do that, do this, do that.
And yeah, it's pretty cool that you can now just
talk through that process in natural language
and have any more people.
It was pretty crazy you ran a skateboard company
without doing proper SOC 2 compliance.
I know.
You should have gone on Vanta.
Automate compliance, manage risk, prove trust continuously.
Vanta's trust management platform
takes the manual work out of your security
and compliance process.
Huge alpha just starting an extreme sports company
and saying, look, none of our competitors
are serious enough about this to get to really take compliance and security
as seriously as you should?
Yeah, I mean, I do think for kids especially,
I mean, the ability to just use AI tools fully to go and solve
problems.
And it's almost like your your towns
McKinsey consultant I remember I had an early job of just like scanning photos
for someone they needed a whole bunch of photo scanners like pretty manual labor
but like I actually wasn't that good I kind of messed it up it was like too
much like the the scanner wasn't configured properly so a lot of the
side to redo a lot of them it It was a learning process, but it's probably
the first one of the first small jobs I had.
The only thing that's maybe boring and repetitive
that I can imagine you doing is the bench press.
Oh yeah.
It should basically be the same every time.
Yes.
But yeah, those type of tasks I've always struggled with.
But I don't know that we're at a point,
I still think if you were using,
I don't think that, I think that job still exists.
I think it does.
I think there are bigger companies
where you can just like send in a ton of stuff
and they'll just professionally scan it for you.
But they're pretty expensive, I think.
So I think the kids still have some alpha
if your opportunity cost is low enough.
As many kids are fifth,
she says time regaining control over your time is one of the most liberating empowering ships a person can experience.
The ability to control how you spend your time is often what separates people
who feel in charge of their lives from people who feel overwhelmed by them.
Wealthy people who have always bought back their time by hiring personal assistants, household
staff, private tutors, chefs, and more building full infrastructures to reduce
friction in their lives. Meanwhile the average household spends nearly 20 hours
a week on domestic work, logistics, and errands. While leading Instacart I saw
firsthand how technology can shift perceptions and behaviors around time. In
2012 the idea of paying someone to shop
for your groceries felt like a luxury,
something reserved for the ultra wealthy.
But with the right product design, logistics, and pricing,
we made it accessible and indispensable
for everyday families.
Today, the Instacart user base mirrors the US population
with millions of families getting hours back each week
to spend on higher value activities.
The question is, will OpenAI build a gig worker network
where when your agent runs into a wall
and needs somebody in the real world to accomplish a task,
will you be able to delegate tasks like that?
Feels like a stretch, but I don't know.
They could plug into the Uber network
or any of these other networks.
Yeah, maybe they'll, I mean,
they already have like an Instacart integration.
So maybe they will rely on other gig work platforms
to solve those problems and actually handle that side.
And they will stay in the full software.
Like the package delivery where you can get an Uber
to just pick something up and take it across town.
You could imagine that being integrated.
Yeah, I mean, there's a host of services and companies
and APIs for shipping, mailing, moving things around,
hiring someone.
I mean, in theory, you could hire a personal chef
and be communicating.
Your agent could be emailing with them and say,
hey, be here at this time.
There's this party here.
And it's kind of, it doesn't need to be,
it doesn't even, you don't even maybe need
a gig work platform because the agent can go out
and scroll Instagram in theory and find someone
who's advertising that service or Google it
and find a listing of local people providing that job
and go and retain their services directly.
Interesting, I believe AI will allow for a similar shift
in many areas of lifetime consuming activities
like researching decisions, planning vacations,
scheduling a tutor, and more can be done by an AI agent
that anyone can access as we build new products.
We have a chance to make these time-saving capabilities
feel not only useful but routine.
In doing so, we can empower people to regain control
of their time and attention.
And I certainly feel that,
something that I would need to sit down 15 minutes
looking for a new studio space or something,
fire off agent and come back with some interesting results.
Anyway, let me tell you about graphite.dev,
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Last one, support.
For many people, the biggest barriers to progress
aren't lack of access or opportunity,
but self-doubt, isolation, and burnout.
Sometimes what's most empowering is support,
someone or something that can help us reflect,
feel seen, or simply move forward
with clarity and confidence.
My business coach, Katya, has been transformative
in my career, I've joked with her over the years
that everyone needs a Katya in their pocket.
Personalized coaching has obviously been a privilege
reserved for a few, but now with Chai GPT,
it can be available to many.
This is something I have not used.
This feels like we're getting further out on the curve
of like, you know, defining what the product is.
Like knowledge retrievalval is so concrete,
generating an image, very concrete.
Now support is much more of an amorphous product
and there's some companies out there
that are doing it right now.
It's not a drop-in replacement
and there's much more to define
about what this product looks like
or how people actually use this.
Yeah, it's very general.
There's gonna be vertical specific companionship products.
Right, we've seen this.
What's the founder that we had on?
The Replica was one of the original ones
started like a decade ago.
Grok, Grok Heavy 4 has their own specific iteration.
But then this is also to be clear,
the area of greatest concern,
where it's very clear, if you have a business coach telling
you, John, you got this, you're incredible,
you're built different, that's great.
But then when you tell them that you've discovered
how to break the space time continuum,
and they go, yeah, you're actually right.
You're right, John. Hit Sand Hill Road right now.'re actually right. You're right, John. You're right.
You're absolutely right.
You did figure this out.
And so I think they need to figure out the guard rails
for this category and I'm sure that's top of mind
for everybody at the company right now.
Yeah, for sure.
AI coaches on the other hand can be available
throughout every day.
She says, this isn't about replacing human connection
but filling a gap that often goes unfilled. Many people don't feel comfortable
opening up to family or friends and most people don't have access to a therapist
or coach they can call regularly. Even people who do have access often spend an
hour a week or less with these professionals. At the core of
philosophy and religion is the idea of self-knowledge to become who we want to
be. We have to understand who we are.
So very interesting.
Anyway, let me tell you about Linear, linear.app.
Linear is a purpose-built tool for planning
and building products, meet the system
for modern software development,
streamline issues, projects, and product roadmaps.
It is what OpenAI uses to build their products.
That's true.
So yeah, I think it's interesting to see,
how useful is it to have these six ideas in mind,
because in many ways, like, chat GPT, the magic of it is that it's just a blank
text box, and you can do anything with it,
and then these properties emerge.
Like, the, yeah, I mean, like, Google, over time,
had to figure out,
okay, there are people that are searching for products,
let's surface them the Google shopping experience.
And that is a specific UI that is triggered
when you search for a certain product.
If you ask for, you know, like best headphones over the ear
under $200, like it will just put you in a different product more or less,
instead of just the 10 blue links. Same thing for,
if you're asking for a movie,
it will pull up the pictures of this cast and the year and show you the
Wikipedia page and like, or news, it'll take you to the news portal.
And I'm wondering like how much of this will actually
bifurcate into different trees with different rules
and different features, because for something like support,
I don't know that if I'm having a conversation
with a coach about a strategy that I want it
to wait 15 minutes to get back to me.
That might be something I wanted to do separately,
but then if it's health and I'm uploading my health records
or some documents, I'm like,
really, really, really don't hallucinate.
So like take as much time as possible.
Again, that's something that right now
I would decide as the user,
but I'm wondering if this by-for-case-well.
Well, yeah, obviously, OpenAI, Chatchabuti, as a business,
when anybody wants to do anything,
they want people to go there.
When you want companionship, you wanna talk with somebody
about something, you go there.
When you want to, they do the book of flight demo
that's overplayed, but they wanna own that.
When somebody's shopping, they wanna own that.
When somebody's trying to diagnose a medical issue,
they're trying to own that.
So I just look at this article, this essay,
whatever you wanna call it, as a way for people
internally at OpenAI to sort themselves into what area,
these are all different verticals
that I can imagine people working on.
Like I want to go to Chachi BT and work on health, right?
Or give people their time back.
I was listening to Ben Thompson talk about
the flight booking agent demo, and he was like, I have a personal assistant,
I book my own flights.
And I think that's very, very common where it's like,
he's so specific about what he wants that he's fine
to just do it and it doesn't take that much time.
And so I do wonder how-
I have a flight booking AGI.
Yeah, in your brain?
First name ramp, last name travel.
That's true, yeah, I mean still it's
When I use that it's like I'm in control. It just does all it harnesses everything to bring all the data together
Yeah, the interesting thing I've had
Eas over the years. I've had remote EAs. I've had EAs that are embodied
real people that are absolute killers.
And I find that the internet already makes it so easy
to do so many things that some of the greatest value
that you can get from an EA is just having somebody
in your city that can help you with a variety
of different things.
And so I think no matter how good Chat GPT agent gets, there's still,
I mean there's just still so much that I think people
expect out of an EA.
Yeah, yeah, it's very particular.
Like people have all sorts of preferences and I don't know,
it might be more sticky, who knows, we'll see.
It'll certainly continue to be a good eval.
Well, I wanted to look at what is, you know,
it feels like OpenAI has a really strong lead in consumer,
the product, they're thinking about the applications
and actually like the manifestation of like these
six different categories.
Polymarket has OpenAI climbing now
in which company has the best AI model at the end of 2025,
the December 31st rankings.
OpenAI is up to 29%.
Just a week ago or so, July 12th,
XAI was crossing, about to beat them.
But Google's still in the lead, 48% chance that Google
winds up with the best model.
But that doesn't necessarily mean that-
I mean this is based on LM arenas.
Exactly.
It's not necessarily the most valuable model to users.
It's who's dominating benchmarks.
Yeah, I actually pulled up some interesting,
dominating benchmarks. Yeah I actually pulled up some interesting like the movie so do you know how there are movies that are loved by critics but
disliked by audiences so the classic example is Star Wars the last Jedi 91%
on the tomato meter but audiences gave it a 41% score. And then Dave Chappelle's comedy special
had the opposite where the critics hated it,
but the fans loved it.
And so these things are like controversial.
And I was wondering if the same thing exists
in foundation models and it does.
So Gemini 2.5 Pro has, which one is this?
Gemini 2.5 Pro has, which one is this? Gemini 2.5 Pro has an MML use-goer of 86%
and it's the top-rank model on LM Chatbot Arena 03,
so if you summarize these, let's see.
Kimi K2 illustrates how a model can excel on benchmarks
and still be less preferred by users.
Possible reasons include limited availability.
Similarly, Claude Opus 4 and GPT 4.5
have high MMLU scores, yet rank lower in human preference
because they may focus on careful reasoning
rather than conversational ease.
So you can think about it like,
you don't necessarily always wanna be talking to someone
who's like the most rigorous or like
It's almost like they're too smart. Maybe
And then Gemini 2.4 2.5 pro 03 and Gemini 2.5 flash show the opposite pattern
Users love them despite modest MML use scores. So these models have long
We need to get Tyler we need to get Tyler to go to a random place in America and do a man on the
street interviews and just ask people about different models. I bet you 99% of
respondents, probably, probably,
probably like 990 out of a thousand are going to tell you,
I just go to chat.com and I just,
I just open a new chat. What, what is there's multiple models? Yeah
But but it's interesting that like if you want to win with people Gemini 2.5 pro 03 these models have long context windows
So they're staying focused a little bit longer if you're having a conversation
Multimodal features the images and, kind of just a better user experience,
you can talk to it in different ways, faster latency,
more personable style, makes them more enjoyable.
Even if they don't top academic tests,
your people are happy with it.
So I thought that was an interesting little anecdote.
So anyway, let me tell you about numeralhq.com,
sales tax on autopilot, spend less than five minutes per month on sales tax
AGI
You know the news got had a post today from the Wall Street Journal. This was wild. This stood out to me
we were commuting in to the studio this morning and
This stood out. So open AI has committed the journal
has committed the journal reported that open AI is committed to paying Oracle 30 billion dollars per year within three years for four and a half gigawatts of
data center capacity which will be the equivalent of two Hoover dams worth of
energy so good time to be if you happen to build a Hoover Dam mega project
you know years and years ago, this would be a good time.
If you're squatting on a Hoover Dam,
you could get 15 million a year from that potentially.
Well that's obviously not the entirety of the cost.
But yeah, it's wild to think,
opening eyes latest like run rate, right?
They're reporting somewhere around $10 billion run rate
or they want to end there by the end of the year.
And so they're expecting to be able to have $30 billion
worth of, and that's just with this partnership with Oracle.
So.
Yeah, there was a, so Tane, who's been on the show,
says, Chet, GPT is a truly iconic product.
Consumer engagement at scale,
over 500 million weekly active users,
an estimated seven billion ARR,
and it looks like an annual chart,
and it's a monthly chart.
So August 2024, there are 2.6 billion
estimated consumer ARR.
Then in September, there are 3.3.
December, there are four billion ARR. Then September there are the 3.3 December there at a four billion ARR
Then they're accelerating
February there are five point six billion March there at seven point two billion and
Of course, we're all the way in July now
So they could potentially already be a ten billion ARR and so if you just chart this out it
Thirty billion in a few years doesn't seem that crazy.
And we were talking about how bad is that?
How painful is that to pay a $30 billion bill?
But it is kind of the only cost is to serve the models.
And so I don't know.
It feels like it could work out.
I don't know.
I mean, it's certainly not the only cost they I mean especially if you look at stock
based comp yeah you're spending more than and that won't and that won't stop
hundred nineteen percent of revenue on stock based comp over the last year so
very very significant but um this is what betting on yourself looks like
commit you know if you want to level up in life commit to you know 30 very very significant but this is what betting on yourself looks like commit
you know if you want to level up in life commit to you know 30 billion dollars of
fixed costs three years from now you got to make it work so for sure so this this
all comes from a Wall Street Journal report saying that open AI is project
Stargate is struggling which is an interesting term. We can kind of debate what constitutes a struggle.
So for some context here,
all the hyperscalers are generally in the high tens of billions in terms of
CapEx. So Google, Microsoft,
Amazon, AWS, they're all in like the 60, 70,
$80 dollar range. But the majority of that is on core AI or core
data center build out. So traditional data center build
out because they still need to serve just, you know, relational
databases. Not everything is cutting edge, Nvidia chips
serving transformer based language models.
Gibbly's.
Gibbly's. Not all of its gibbies, yeah, not all of it's gibblies.
But a lot of it is.
And Mark Zuckerberg recently said that about half
of the spend maybe going forward, something like that,
is going towards gen AI versus core AI.
So he builds out a big AI data center.
A lot of that's going to just serving reels,
picking what ads to show you.
All of that as AI as well
But it's not in this general of AI not training these large models
So the majority of that spend is not on generative AI focus data centers
So but there's still big big numbers you can think about all the doctors own Manhattan project. Yes, that's basically what what?
Yes, what if you if you show that your new data center is gonna be the size of Manhattan,
that's one way of saying,
I am doing a Manhattan project for AI.
And that, you know, the size of Manhattan,
that particular data center,
he's targeting five gigawatts,
which is right here at four and a half gigawatts
in three years.
And when Mark Zuckerberg was talking
about that five gigawatt data center, he was saying,
this will be in a couple years.
Right now they're focused on the one gigawatt data center.
And when we talked to the co-founder of CoreWeave,
he was saying, you don't understand how big
five gigawatts is, that's insane,
it's such a big data center.
This is a huge project, these are mega projects.
And so when I hear something like, oh it's struggling a big data center, like this is a huge project, these are mega projects. And so when I hear something like,
oh, it's struggling like a couple months in,
I'm kind of like, you know, we're building something so big.
Like, did we ever expect there not to be a hiccup?
I'm not ready to say like, oh, this is all doom and gloom.
It seems like, you know, they shot so big with 500 billion.
So, yeah, so one, gotta give,
regardless of what someone thinks about Sam, right?
He's got plenty of critics, but the fact that he was able
to finesse his way to getting the president
to announce this project with MASA,
with a number so large that people immediately
just started looking at SoftBank's balance sheet
and saying, okay, cool, how is this happening?
Elon quickly fired in the comments saying,
they don't have the money.
I do, it was always unclear where the money
was gonna come from, but one of those things,
you shoot for 500 billion,
you land at 100 billion, you're still doing pretty well.
Yeah, and it's more, it feels like it's more about
like the corporate structure and the timing,
because if you go to Google, Microsoft, or Amazon,
and you say, we're so in on AI,
we're going to invest $500 billion over the next 10 years.
Like all of a sudden it's like, okay, yeah, well, we're going to invest $500 billion over the next 10 years.
Like all of a sudden it's like, okay, yeah,
well you're on track to do that.
That totally maths out.
So the question was always in my mind,
okay, $500 billion is the goal,
but what is the timeframe?
And that's the one that people are pulling on right now
because the immediate number was 100 billion.
They said, we're gonna do 100 billion right now. That was in January.
When Trump, Mosa, Sam Altman, and Larry Ellison were at the white house,
they announced Stargate. They say, we're targeting 500 billion,
but we're doing a hundred billion immediately. Now, uh,
that's maybe been scaled back, but it's still so huge.
Like soft banks putting 30 billion in open AI and then OpenAI is paying Oracle 30 billion per year,
starting within three years.
So struggles is a little odd of a characterization.
So Oracle's projecting over 25 billion in 2026 capex.
Everybody's just throwing money in the pot.
Yeah, and I mean it makes sense,
because all the reporting is that the inference is limited. And what's happening right now is the definition of Stargate is just being expanded. Sure.
Sure. So they're counting the Oracle, um, the,
the sort of commitment, uh, that they're making Oracle as part of it. Yep. So,
and so I think the, there, there are two questions.
One is like the super intelligence AGI pill.
Like we got to build the next greatest thing and whoever builds that at 10x the scale whoever gets to the fifty
50 billion dollar 500 billion dollar data center
They just train and then they win because they'll have a product that's so much better than everything else that
Everyone will shift over and chat GPT will be obsolete
The the flip side is that if we're in a little
bit of an S curve, if we're in a little bit of a plateau, well then in order to hold on
to that 71% market share, chat GPT just needs to keep delivering inference tokens reliably
at a level that doesn't cause churn. And so if I go toachipiti and I'm getting a ton of errors and I just cannot get my prompts done
and my gibblies aren't working, I'm gonna open up
the Gemini app and I'm gonna go over there
and see if they have any inference tokens.
And we're seeing this from the model routing companies
that a lot of businesses that rely on LLMs
and AI inference are seeing brownouts,
intelligent brownouts in different models
at different times.
And so they need to be able to reroute from.
Yeah, somebody was looking at Anthropix uptime
and it's just constantly down.
Like there's so much demand and they're obviously
doing everything in their power to deliver against it.
But they don't have enough GPUs yet.
And so that feels like everyone's got to build
bigger data centers.
Maybe there is a point where we build too big,
but everything looks like, okay, it's at least worth
building the one gigawatt data centers,
probably worth building the five gigawatt data centers.
We might need some more research breakthroughs
to justify the bigger data centers, the 10 gigawatt,
the, I don't know, 20, 50 gigawatts, something crazy.
But in general, I think the main goal for OpenAI right now
is just to continue serving inference
at a level that avoids churn.
So when someone shows up, get them the answer.
I think new products like Agent are cool,
but it takes months for people to really adopt
these new tools en masse
and seriously change inference demand.
We saw this, like agent went out Thursday,
we talked to the team, and then over the weekend
I was talking to people, and smart people in tech
were not using it yet.
And I kind of had to like step up and be like,
it's my job to test this thing, and now I'm using it,
and now I would say I'm probably a weekly active user
of agent, I'm definitely a DAU of 4.0,
I'm a DAU of 0.3 pro, I I'm definitely a DAU of 4.0. I'm a DAU of 03 Pro.
I'm probably even a DAU of deep research,
but I'm not a DAU of agent yet, but that will come.
But I'm clearly on the early adopter side.
It will be a while until they're doing so much agent,
so many agent workloads that they're really-
And right now it just default takes 15 minutes?
So deep research takes 15 minutes almost every single time.
I thought ChatGPT agent always, oh it's-
It can be shorter, it can be longer.
That's part of the beauty of it is that
it sizes the inference relative to the task.
And so it can spend a really long time,
it can come back to you, it can interact with you.
Although I haven't actually gotten a push notification.
Maybe that's just because of the nature of my prompts,
but I haven't had to step in, which has been surprising
because when we talked to Dan Schipper from Every,
he said that he did have to interact,
but I think what he was prompting was a little bit
more robust than what I was asking for.
Anyway.
Yeah, what he's doing that I think will get a lot
of adoption but a bit slower is he sort of like
batched tasks
that I think are really interesting,
but that is expert mode for now.
So that's the story in the Wall Street Journal.
Should we flip over, maybe cover this XAI?
The number one AI agent for customer service,
number one in performance benchmarks,
number one in competitive bake-offs,
number one in ranking on G2.
Bake- off champion.
What did you want to flip over to?
I was going to say maybe we cover this XAI story quickly.
Yeah, yeah, totally.
And then we have actually Tyler, our very own Tyler over and Michael are at the Tesla
diners.
Oh, cool.
We'll flip over to them and get a review.
So Sam Altman, Larry Ellison, Trump in some ways,
Massa are all working to build Stargate simultaneously.
Elon Musk is trying to ramp up things at XAI.
He's aiming to raise up to $12 billion for XAI chips
as the startup burns through cash.
And so just weeks after Musk's XAI raised 10 billion
through sales of stock and debt,
the startup is working with a trusted financier
to secure up to 12 billion more
for its ambitious expansion plans.
Valor Equity Partners, Antonio Gracias,
is in talks with lenders to raise the capital.
The money would be used to buy a massive supply
of advanced Nvidia chips.
And so the number was kind of all over the place.
I saw a million chips floated.
That would be much bigger.
So Elon, Elon shared this morning,
230,000 GPUs, including 30,000 GB 200s
are operational for training Grok XAI
in a single super cluster called Colossus 1.
And at Colossus 2, the first batch of 550,000 GB 200s
and GB 300s also for training start going online
in a few weeks.
Yeah, so if you compare that to what the other clusters are,
Prometheus from Meta is around 500,000 chips,
Stargate's supposed to be around 400,000,
and I believe Anthroppex in that range too
And so it's a knockout drag out fight
Everyone's trying to build a massive cluster do the next big training run and X AI has been moving extremely quickly
122 days for X AI to build its first giant data center in Memphis, Tennessee Colossossus. It originally housed 100,000 Nvidia GPUs.
It was among the world's largest clusters.
Just 92 days later, XAI doubled Colossus' size
to 200,000 GPUs, and now he's going even bigger.
So good luck to everyone.
Pulling in capital from everywhere.
SpaceX had to get into the round.
It's quite the party round. Yep. It's all over the place
Five billion in corporate debt included bonds look in loans secured by data centers
Which makes sense if you're building something capex intensive you would you would use debt for that
anyway in other news
I wanted to talk about
Adio customer relationship magic Adio is the
AI native CRM that builds scales and grows your company the next level get
started for free no I wanted to talk about procter and gamble and the and the
idea of this Michelin tires question yeah that we have been toying with been
toying with to be clear since the original deal and rippling debacle yes since
the time timeline was in turmoil yes our reaction was that on a long enough time horizon people
will not care yeah that uh you know a payroll provider uh may have uh gotten a little too competitive in the past. And the comp that we discussed was
if you went to your mother or a family member and said,
hey, I saw you're driving using Bridgestone tires.
Did you know that the CEO of Bridgestone
was actually spying on Michelin?
She would say, that's very sweet honey.
I'll keep that in mind when I replace my tires
in two years and then probably forget about it immediately.
And it also relates to the astronomer story
where the CEO was caught having an affair
at a Coldplay concert.
That is something that people were saying he has to go.
It reflects poorly on the company,
but if you look at Apache Airflow management,
are you going to rip out astronomer over this,
especially when they replace the CEO so quickly?
And so this question of what is existential,
what puts you in the FTX category or the Theranos category
versus a company that can come back and rebuild
from what is controversial.
So there's this old story from 2001, this was in the New York Times and I think fortune
broke the story.
So I'll kind of give you the high level.
So late on a spring afternoon in April of 2001, a red flag memo landed on the desk of procter and gamble chairman
john pepper in Cincinnati. Internal security investigators had discovered that a handful
of employees working with an outside outfit of exit us intelligence officers, I guess
like CIA guys had been rifling through rubbish bins outside Unilever's offices and posing as market analysts to extract secrets about
forthcoming forthcoming shampoo launches. The covert snooping
management learned had been going on for months under the
radar of PNG is famously buttoned down compliance system.
The operation code named the ranch by the company's
competitive intelligence unit first took shape in late 2000
when P&G hired Alabama-based Phoenix Consulting Group,
a firm led by Vietnam-era clandestined veterans.
So like CIA guys in Vietnam come back from the war,
they're probably like 50 at this point,
and they're like, yeah, let's do some
corporate espionage as a service.
So by the time the plot was exposed,
the operatives had spirited away roughly 80 internal
Unilever documents, so the rival consumer package goods
company, marketing calendars, packaging mockups,
even margin analyses, along with samples lifted straight
from the trash dock.
So they're literally digging through the trash.
And if you think about it.
It's so funny to think why this was necessary.
Oh, it's incredibly valuable.
So if you know someone's marketing calendar,
you know that they're gonna launch this product on Tuesday.
You can launch a competitive product on Monday,
steal all the wind from that.
You can launch a counter position product.
There's so much that you can do.
Yeah, I know, but.
And margin analysis is really key because if I know that you're selling a product
at low margin and I can undercut you,
then you're backed into a corner.
You can't lower your margin without losing money on that,
as opposed to if you have a high margin product,
I might not want to attack that.
There's a whole bunch of different things that you can do
if you have good competitive intelligence.
And even packaging mockups,
like understanding that, okay, they're going with a bigger size
they're going to be on this shelf in Walmart we should go and try and lock up Walmart overpay
to block them out of that slot like there's a lot that you can do with this stuff so peppers
pepper who is the chairman of Procter and Gamble at the time his immediate instinct
was containment by candor he dismissed three staffers seized the files and teleble at the time. His immediate instinct was containment by candor. He dismissed three staffers, seized the files, and telephoned the Unilever co-chairman, Neil Fitzgerald,
to confess. Within days, P&G couriers arrived at Unilever Chicago headquarters with bankers'
boxes of paperwork and a pledge that no one who had seen the material would touch hair
care strategy again. This was an unfortunate incident, Pepper would later say,
and we are ensuring the information has not been
and will never be used.
That might have been the end of it
until Fortune Magazine landed the scoop
on August 30th, 2001, under the headline,
P&G's Dirty Little Secret, the story which read
like a corporate John Le Carre novel,
who of course does Tinker, Taylor, Soldier, Spy,
and a bunch of other great spy novels
you should definitely read.
Detailed dumpster dives, safe houses,
and fake business cards,
and triggered a global media pile-on.
Within a week, the Los Angeles Times,
The Guardian, and newspapers from Dublin to Delhi
were splashing shampoo spy puns
across their business pages,
facing a reputational firestorm on the eve
of the crucial back to school selling season.
I didn't know that that was that big for P&G,
but I guess it is, you buy a new shampoo.
Going back to school, you need some soap.
I guess you need new soap.
The two consumer goods giants
struck a confidential settlement,
announced September 7th, 2001,
published reports put the payment at about $10 million.
More painful for P&G
Unilever secured an independent monitor
Empowered to audit new product timetables and and the reassignment of any P&G employee tainted by the files this agreement
Ensures our confidential information is protected. You know levers US chief Charles Strauss told reporters pointedly
information is protected, Unilever's US Chief Charles Strauss told reporters pointedly. Regulators never filed criminal charges.
Dumpster diving on public property skirts US theft statutes, but the incident singed
P&G's carefully cultivated Midwestern morals brand.
The company rolled out mandatory ethics and competitive intelligence training worldwide,
while industry groups tightened codes now that flat out ban clandestine trash raids
and pretext phone calls.
Competitive intelligence textbooks and MBA ethics courses
still open their corporate espionage chapters
with the PNG Unilever saga as the moment
when lawful information gathering fell head first
into the dumpster of public opinion.
I mean, this probably created a bull market
in paper shredding.
For sure.
Right.
Yeah, you don't want people diving into your dumpster.
We gotta shred all of our materials when we're done.
All of our bankers.
All of our printed posts.
Can't find these anywhere on the internet.
More than two decades later, both Pantene and Suave
remain grocery aisle staples,
proof that the scandal left no lasting dent
in shampoo sales.
What endured is the cautionary tale.
The world's dullest products can tempt even
the bluest chip companies into spy novel theatrics.
And that in the age-old war for market share,
the most corrosive thing you can pour over a brand
is an arrival's conditioner,
but the acid of public embarrassment."
Very fun. Wild story.
Well, we should jump over to Tyler, who is at the Tesla diner.
Here he is looking sharp on the ground.
How you doing? Yeah, we can hear you.
OK, sweet. Yeah, I'm here at the Tesla diner.
I'm on the roof.
We couldn't get food. The line was was like extremely long.
But up here on the roof, you can see, it's kind of like a retro futurist,
like very Americana style diner,
you know, they have burgers, fries,
I think there's apple pie.
But here I can walk around.
Yeah, yeah, sure.
We heard it's farm to table too.
Is that true?
They're partnering with local farms?
It's unclear.
I would have to ask some of the cooks here,
but you can see there's these two massive screens they have.
Let's see if you guys see this.
And they're playing what looks like,
I don't know, a reality show or something.
There's like these massive,
I think there's 80 super chargers.
Can you guys see this?
Okay, yeah.
Are they full?
People are charging their cars?
I think they're almost awful
Yeah, okay, so I think the way it works is
You can order from your car if you have a Tesla if you don't have Tesla then you gotta wait in the line
It's like five minutes long probably okay
You can see let's see if I can find a box the burger chum in these little
Saber truck boxes, let's see if I can pick it up. Oh
Wow in these little um cyber truck boxes let's see if i can pick it up oh wow very cute guys yeah and then um if i walk over here did you just pick up a random stranger's box by the way do you know
that person julia oh that's julia hey julia how you doing i walk over here there's actually a
an optimus robot uh serving popcorn okay let's. Let's see here if I can walk over
Any oh wow yeah, there you go any indication, and if this is tele operated or and end
It's unclear, but there is someone standing right next to it. Okay. I think
Yeah
But yeah overall it's very cool with right on Sunset Boulevard. Yeah
Okay, Tyler. We're going to give you a ramp bump on your card.
We're going to make it so that you guys can start going offering 10X the retail price
of the burger.
We got to get, you guys have to try a burger.
You can't leave without a burger.
So go around and just offer, start offering people, start bidding on people burger. Burger at the church. You can't leave without a burger. So go around and just offer.
Start offering people.
Start bidding on people's burgers right at their table.
Just say, you got that for $10.
I'll give you $100 right now.
And figure out a way to get a burger.
You can't leave without a taste test.
No, you should.
Yeah, you should wait in line and talk to people
and actually try the food.
Give us your review at the end of the show.
Okay, yeah.
That'd be great.
I'll try to find someone.
Awesome.
Thanks for checking in.
Very cool.
Do you think this is a, like a meaningful business line
or a marketing stunt?
Great marketing activation.
I think that I can see them putting these in tier one cities.
I do, I mean, the charging stations are interesting, right?
Gas station convenience stores are great businesses
because you have this captive audience
and people that are charging their cars
typically have to hang out for quite a bit longer than somebody that's filling up gas for a few minutes
yeah so I can I can see them having a handful of these or even developing
their own kind of convenience store concept over time yeah it kind of
harkens back to like when the soap companies the Unilever P&G going back
started like the soap operas
to like promote soap.
And it's kind of like this adjacent business
that actually could grow into something.
But there's a big question about like,
should this also be on the Tesla team's plate
to manage and grow a chain of restaurants?
It's like a lot of stuff to do.
But it is a very, very cool like view into the future.
It's a showcase. It feels like the World's Fair
That's what it feels like. Yeah, it feels like going to a World's Fair
Very cool. Well, well, we have totally in the restream waiting room. Let's bring him in very excited for this conversation
There he is. How you doing? Welcome
Good to meet you. You're live. How you doing?
Can you hear us?
No sound yet.
Let's ping him, hopefully bring him in
from the Roofstream waiting room.
In the meantime, let me tell you about adquick.com.
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And if we are ready, we will go back to Anatoly from Solana.
Get the full story.
I'm obsessed with the story of Solana.
I made a whole YouTube video about it.
Fantastic founder story, really deeply technical.
I don't know.
It's just a fascinating story.
And he's been at it for a very long time,
so very excited to talk to him about it.
And he made the careers of a lot
of different venture investors.
For sure, for sure.
Angel investors.
Yeah, and just fascinating trade-offs
and how you design, I mean, pretty,
I don't know, it just feels like
such a massive challenge to start in L1 after Bitcoin, Ethereum are out there,
and you're like, I'm gonna do the hardest thing
in the world probably, and then I'm gonna make it through
some of the most tumultuous markets ever,
and kind of be at peak awareness
right during the interest rate rise
and massive sell-off in crypto,
stuck with it, kept building,
and is here today to tell us more about the story of Solana.
So hopefully we can bring him in, we'll see.
Okay, in the meantime, we should talk to you about MKBHD.
Did you hear this story?
MKBHD, in 2020, he had a video that he put on YouTube
exposing this fake phone, Escobar Fold, you saw this?
I saw this video when it went out.
So it turned out some guy was scamming people
by sending phones to influencers but not to buyers.
So basically what he would do is he would buy a Samsung phone,
give it a wrap basically, rebrand it,
and then he would sell it and send it to
To influencers. So if you bought on the website, he would look you up and say, okay, you're an influencer
You're gonna review I'm gonna send you the actual product, but then anyone else he would just be like, oh you're on the backlog
You're delayed
So in February or in June of 2020 just three months after Marquez Brownlee
launched that video the FBI came to his studio
and collected his phone as evidence.
So MKBHD keeps all the phones that he reviews
and they say, hey, we'll give it back to you.
And then five years later, that guy who was scamming people
pleaded guilty to fraud.
He faces millions of dollars in fines
and 20 years in federal prison.
So what a crazy story.
Citizen journalism.
I wonder how many of these,
did they figure out how many of these
fake phones he actually sold?
I don't know.
I mean, I imagine if it's millions in fines,
he probably sold millions of dollars worth of phones.
It was a very expensive phone
because it was wrapped in gold foil
and so it was marked up, I believe, pretty heavily,
or maybe the strategy was to underprice it or something.
The CEO said they sold over 50,000 telephones.
Anyway, let me tell you about public.com,
investing for those who take it seriously.
They got multi-asset investing, industry-leading yields,
and they're trusted by millions.
Go to public.com to get started.
So, just to put this into context,
that means they did potentially over 17 million in sales
of a phone that was never delivered.
Yes, yeah, pretty crazy.
And this was Pablo Escobar's brother?
I believe he was like riding on the Escobar name
and kind of a distant relative,
which is a funny brand to align with,
because it's like, trust me, I'm related to a criminal.
And he wound up being a criminal as well.
Pablo Escobar objectively is one of the greatest
CPG entrepreneurs of all time, right?
Bootstrapped to tens of billions of revenue.
Global empire just chose a product
that happened to not be very legal.
Yeah, very rough. Mert from Helios, friend of the show, says in eight hours Solana
blocks will become 20% bigger. Put differently, you can now do more
transactions per second on the Solana blockchain. Very exciting news and
hopefully we'll be talking to Anatoly in just a few minutes. He is waiting to come into the show.
We are sorting out some audio stuff.
In other news, Buko Capital Bloke says,
the people who create HR slash security
slash compliance training videos and platforms
without an option to 2X video speed
should be sent to Bukele's Dungeons in El Salvador.
I think that's a legal thing, right?
Like you can't, you can't.
You should be able to do 2X speed though.
Yeah, what's funny is Aaron Echerson,
Echerson, Erickson here says,
a startup idea, AI agent that watches this stuff for you.
Controversial post because people have done that
and gotten a lot of trouble.
If you have to legally watch a security compliance video
and you don't watch it and you have a computer
do that for you, you can get a lot of trouble.
We got him ready.
Oh, we got Antoli.
Welcome to the stream.
Sorry for the technical difficulties.
Great to have you here.
Thank you so much for joining.
How are you?
Great, thanks for having me.
Fantastic. It's great to have you.
I would love to kick off with just a little bit of the State of the Union.
I know a little bit of the history, but what is, what is, how do you tell the story of
Solana and what you built?
And then I want to go into the State of the Union of all the different projects and all
the different applications.
And then we can kind of weave through some of those, but could you kick us off with just
a little bit of an introduction? So I'm Anatoly. I'm a co-founder of Solana Labs,
and I'm the brain child of the Solana protocol. It's my baby.
I started around 2017, 2018 with the dream of building a high performance
blockchain network. So it took us about two years to launch it.
I don't know if folks remember 2020, but we launched right after the double black swan.
COVID was just effectively became a thing.
S&P dropped 70%, Bitcoin dropped 70% and our launch date was announced to be three days later. We launched into the abyss, but, uh,
I think it was like a lucky timing, I would say, because we were the only next generation
network out and, um, we're still, I think, processing more transactions and every other major
blockchain combined. So not just more than every other one, but more than all of them combined, which is a pretty fun step to have. Yeah, what gave you confidence that you needed to build a new L1?
There was a narrative at the time of just like, Hey, we have existing networks, Bitcoin and
Ethereum, let's just speed up those. And that feels like, I mean, you can even abstract that
all the way to, um, Hey, like the, the, the, the Fiat transfer rails, the, the swift system is slow. Let's just speed it up.
We don't need an entirely new network.
Like what gave you confidence that you would have like an enduring advantage in
speed and the other platforms, whether in Fiat or crypto,
wouldn't just catch up.
Um, why do founders do things?
That's the question I'm asking.
Sorry.
The real reason is because I could spend most of my career doing high performance, like
optimizations at Qualcomm.
So I kind of knew how silicon moves data.
That's my expertise.
And I knew the five to 10 people that I needed to hire, most of them came out of Qualcomm and we were just laser focused on building
something that is optimized to like its full potential.
I don't know if it's gonna like how it's gonna revolutionize finance or anything
like that. We did have the idea that these systems are useful for trading
because if you kind of take a step back and try to look at what does it mean to synchronize the state and agree
and allege globally, it's a similar problem to how NASDAQ or Nasdaq do price discovery.
They're trying to figure out what's the price of an asset given all of this crazy information
that's happening around the world that all the market makers and traders are trying to send to their machines or through
their trades to this exchange that's running in New York or whatever.
But with a blockchain and this kind of unique technology that was developed, you know, really
like over the last two decades on the city of Byzantine fault tolerance and agreeing on a piece of state
Globally without a trusted third party you can do the same thing
But you don't need to trust Nizier Nasdaq to do it
So I kind of had the sense that the purpose of these systems is to do price discovery
I'm not an exchange person. I've never built a financial product, but I knew how to move data through
these systems, how to synchronize them. So we looked at it as a physics problem and this
is how we tackled it. And, you know, we thought the things that are going to take advantage
of this would be like real financial applications, stocks, all these things. But what happened
was NFTs and meme coins were like the first big booms,
but it's the same technology and the same infrastructure is used for those
that you can now leverage for real equities and,
and a real global price discovery without a third party in the middle.
Yeah. Do you think that the, um, that like the,
I see like this tech tree developing with all these different applications and
every few years it check in with crypto and there's different narratives, whether it's NFTs and
meme coins.
Now it's prediction markets and stable coins and for a while there was gaming and metaverse.
And it feels like the detractors of crypto point to that as like a failure, but I'm not
sure that it's any different than what's happening in enterprise SaaS
with ideas that get tried and fail
or space exploration with ideas that get tried and failed.
Do you think there's something fundamentally different
about the way the crypto community explores the possibilities
and the applications in the tech tree?
Or do you think it's just done more transparently
because everyone can see it or there's more tension on it because of the financial element?
Like what do you think is going on?
I think, you know, I grew up in the 90s, so I was there like in AOL chat rooms and RC chat rooms
and the same kind of like almost religious ideas about what the internet can accomplish for around then.
You know, people were arguing about what file system they'd pick in their Linux kernel configuration.
What religious zeal on forums like to do that.
So I think when you have a technology that has this unforeseen stages that people can
imagine could be unlocked by this, you can almost have this like faith based argument to it. The difference
now I think from the 90s is that we have the internet, everything is global. So we're seeing
the iteration cycles just to be insanely fast. And while you know a bunch of people tried a bunch
ideas two cycles ago, that was 2020. And now we're starting to see those ideas get traction. I think the
fact that there's 250 billion in stable coins that have been issued before Congress took
up legislation is insane. Like there's no way I would have predicted this in 2020. Like
it's just incomprehensible to me. And it seems like very realistic that we're going to see
over a trillion dollars in stable coins by the end of, you know,
like in the next four years and people telling me that I'm bearish when they say
only one trillion.
Is that, is that stable coin rollout? Um, I,
I feel like for a long time,
the whole idea of like Bitcoin was actually in some ways a threat to the U S
dollar. And now it feels like with the latest White House announcement,
like it's crypto is actually strengthening the dollar and America.
It's like what's actually going on.
They it's like saying gold is a threat to US dollar.
I actually think that's kind of the wrong way to think about it.
I'm not a finance person, but I learned through osmosis.
So Bitcoin can't function as a US dollar because
for you to use something for trades like trading oil or whatever you futures and you need a stable
denominator to price those futures and and if you're using Bitcoin
You have to pay for shorting Bitcoin for the duration of that contract
Imagine taking out a mortgage in Bitcoin and having to pay for 30 years short position
on that Bitcoin.
This just doesn't work.
And two, banks can, when I have an oil field and I want to buy whatever a farm with it,
I can use the oil field as collateral.
The bank will create dollars up to the value of my collateral to facilitate that transaction.
You can't do that with Bitcoin.
You can't do that with gold, which is why these things don't function as like real-world
trading currencies.
But they were great as a store of value, as a hedge against sovereign events, a whole
bunch of other stuff.
BED is managed by people, which is the great part and also the scary
part. And gold was not managed by people, it's managed by physics. Bitcoin is managed
by the rules that create, you know, enshrined in this protocol, which are bounded by physics,
which is what gives it these really nice properties. But I don't see a world where Bitcoin weakens
the US dollar. If anything, the growth in stablecoins has been as a spot,
vast majority of the growth in stablecoins has been used
to support spot markets for Bitcoin.
So when those grow, you have more stablecoins in there,
more treasuries are bought.
It's actually, anything has been working
to benefit the US dollar.
Do you think there's,
do you see any potential needs for new stable coins?
Obviously with the new legislation,
a lot of people, big institutions,
seeing dollar signs thinking,
well, look how much tethers printing,
look how much circles making, we should get in the game.
Like, but-
They should.
Competition is the best way to grow products
to iterate quickly.
They a hundred percent should, right?
Like why wouldn't you?
This is, I think, you know,
a lot of the US finance was built after World War II,
but when you look at India and China
that has been built after the internet,
their financial infrastructure and rails
are just much, much faster and more robust.
Which is crazy to say that what we consider to be the West,
the advanced economies are actually sitting on rails
that were built before the internet.
So I think-
So on that note, what about,
the other side of this is institutions saying,
we want to, let's say somebody wants to tokenize security What about the other side of this is institutions saying,
we want to, let's say somebody wants to tokenize securities,
and they think, okay, well, if we wanna do this,
we should make our own L2 or we should make our own chain.
That feels like potentially a distraction
from delivering the end value,
which is trustless, fast transactions globally.
So I have my own horse that I picked, obviously,
so the goal is to not be.
I guess what I'm pushing on is,
what I'm pushing on a little bit is like,
competition for you, or competition.
But not for me.
For me, but not for you.
Competition for Bill.
You guys have faced so many competitors over the years, you launched
into a competitive market, so you're not necessarily afraid of it.
The worst thing would be for the government to stop innovation.
So if those folks think that they can outcompete us by launching an L2, let them try.
My goal is for them to show that, hey, everything that you want to express in those smart contracts running in your L2,
you can do it much cheaper and faster on Solana
and you'll actually grow revenues faster
without needing all this info.
This is what my pitch to those companies,
but let them innovate and try, like happy to help.
Yeah, it's also, if you choose to build on Solana,
you just don't have to worry about onboarding developers, you don't have to worry about onboarding developers, you
don't have to worry about liquidity, all these things that you would have to really be, would
have to be top of mind if you want to go compete.
And potentially that's just a huge distraction from delivering the end product experience
that you want.
That's the dream.
We want to convince people there's no point to build their own private instruments.
Just use the one public giant internet
that can host everything.
What about developer activity?
There was, I remember during 2021 and 2022,
there was billions of value creation,
billions of, at least in USD terms on chain and there were
still at some point I remember there was like single digit thousands like true
blockchain engineers how are you sort of tracking developer growth internally I
think if you look at the reports that have been published online of developer growth,
Solana is the second largest at this point and the fastest growing network.
Ethereum is the largest, but I think we've been outpacing in terms of growth the number of developers onboarded.
So like everything else, we saw in the early days there was a lot of demand for smart contract developers,
because there was a lot of innovation to be had in the smart contract land. But I think even more
as drivers, like Windows has excellent drivers, but you don't see innovation or that being a
differentiator anymore, because there's only so many smart contracts that actually get built.
A stable coin is a token. So all the
innovation to launch a stable coin is happening, not in the smart contract space, but the integration
with the bank, with how you handle the mint and the draws and that stuff. So a lot of the work has
shifted away from L1 smart contract development to the higher levels. And this is where I think
Solana has really excell excel because a lot of
the our focus has been on building reusable contracts that actually get
deployed once and we used everywhere there's really only two token standards
on Solana it's not an interface there's one implementation called
SPL token one implementation called token 22 and everyone uses them so they've
been effectively through Lindy,
verified to be correct and bug free.
And you as a organization don't have to take
smart contract risks when you deploy this.
What is there any hope that I don't know if there'll be
a new bull market and new smart contract development,
but it felt like developing a secure smart contract
with super high stakes,
you needed an insanely good engineering team,
insanely good engineers hold all this crazy context
in their head to understand all the different risk vectors.
You needed to reject 50 North Korean engineers.
Yeah, it was not something that you just wanted to like,
you know, like hack together a weekend.
Yeah.
But I was wondering if like the AI code tools would be an accelerant there,
but at the same time I've heard a lot of stuff about AI code gen tools being
like kind of falling short when you need a huge context window,
you need to hold a bunch of things. So like, is it,
it's smart contract development,
like the last thing that AI will be able to do in terms of code gen or is it
actually an accelerant,
but we don't really need it because we have all the smart
contracts we need.
Um, I think the way that I've seen AI used effectively is augmenting an
expert to have somebody that has deep expertise, they can just do more work.
And where smart contracts could Excel is like you write, uh, where AI can
accelerate smart contract
development is you built a complicated smart contract you need to formally verify it.
Sure. The formal verification step is a huge pain for and you need a lot of expertise but you can
automate a lot of the boilerplate and generation. You have an expert guiding it AI to go do that
work but you still need I think your core five or six super really
great smart contracts engineers, they can just accomplish more with that small team
using AI tools.
Did you read anything into the open AI and Google news about the IMO gold medal and the
use of lean to do complex math that feels somewhat adjacent?
Yeah, this has been like, you know, I like, you know, I've had 15 plus years
of experience as an engineer.
You know, I love being in IC, I love turning up code,
but now my workflow is using Claude and O3
and Superhubby to go validate each other,
come up with like a robust plan, robust testing plan.
And the jump and reasoning abilities just year over year,
just from last year has been astronomical.
Like it went from being kind of a,
I'm gonna try this as a gimmick to now
it's really an embedded part of my workflow.
I can't imagine myself building software
without having these tools now.
Do you think those tools are...
I still don't trust the code that it generates. I think this is where an expert that can have this
big context in the area of expertise can quickly scan stuff over and guide the tools to go do more
testing and target more things. We still need those people. But
the reasoning capabilities are getting stronger. It's scary. I don't know what happens in five years.
Yeah, it feels like there's kind of two failure modes in crypto projects. One is technical.
There's a bug and someone just drains the wallet or whatever and hacks it. And then there's another,
which is like economics
and people didn't realize that there was no real solid
foundation, they kind of wound up with like a Ponzi
and it just kind of fails that way.
And I'm wondering-
Well then there's the other, I mean social engineering
is the other big one.
Sure, sure.
And I'm wondering, do you think that these reasoning models
are getting close to superhuman, close to amazing
at economic reasoning.
Yeah, you're right to point at that
as being a really hard problem because this is where,
you really need to have that expert
that can understand the economic attacks
to guide these tools to go build a simulation
and actually test it.
And I wouldn't trust myself to be able to go find those
given all these tools, even if I'm aware of the problems. Me just asking, oh, three, give me all
the top 10 economic attacks and then simulate them. That's the best I can do. And it's going to suck.
Like I can already tell you, it's going to, it's going to do maybe as good of a job as like a new grad, right? But like,
I think you really need to have an economic expert guide those tools. Similarly, like
that economic expert, if they asked O3 to go generate a bunch of bugs, we could, I'm
going to go look at it and find a bunch of bugs. So I think you still need people in
the loop there. I don't know what happens in five years given the pace of progress
of AI. But it's remarkable of how good it is. But you still
need people. Yeah, for now.
You guys have been really good at kind of building brand
through short strings of words. So internet capital markets,
the team has really rallied around that.
You hear it, it makes sense,
and you can think about all the ways that that evolves.
With that phrase, internet capital markets,
what are you excited about on a one-year timeline,
and maybe what are you excited about
on like a five-year timeline?
I think getting fully approved, regulated, boring, trade-fi stuff on chain
that has plans on future cash flows,
like all that stuff that you read
in the Intelligent Investor.
Having those things be tokens, I think,
is really, really important.
And this is kind of my dream for internet capital markets.
Getting all the, you know,
jumping through all the regulatory hoops,
crossing out all the T's and dotting the I's,
making sure that this is as compliant
as the government wants it to be and like minimize this fraud.
Because I think once you have those assets on chain,
you can then use the best of DeFi,
which is the purpose of it is to create transparency, right, and to run
the risk engine every 400 milliseconds instead of once a
week or whatever happens in a day. Always know exactly what are
the positions at risk, what collateral that particular
contract is managing so everyone can see the actual risks involved.
And you don't end up with the kind of, you know,
tail end failures that you see in traditional finance.
That's the beauty of it, but we need real assets to do that
because if you do that with just meme coins,
they don't have any value because they have price
and eventually that just doesn't work.
All the risks are correlated and you end up with the tail end.
That's to me the short term.
The five-year dream for me is I would want a startup founder that wants to do this on
their own to be able to take all this open source software and to run their own IPO,
which means do all the disclosures, do the price discovery on chain, do you use everything
in an immutable open source smart contract and kind of do the Linux from scratch idea
and have the SEC approve it.
And that doesn't mean that every founder is going to do that.
You're going to have a bunch of services spring up on top of it that can take advantage of
all this technology.
But you should see the fees of doing that basically compressed down to the actual value that they provide and no longer kind of be
Based on their ability to control the markets or the regulatory capture and stuff like that
Last question from my side how how did you were you?
conscious of
Trying to make Solana Lindy
in the early days?
Because I know it was like any crypto project,
it was the price, a massive amount of volatility,
and then you'd go through these periods of insane activity.
And I think we've seen this with various companies
at the product level, OpenAI, PumpFun,
Axiom is the other one
that's done what, 170 million of revenue
in six months or something crazy like that.
And anytime you see these massive spikes in activity
or revenue, the question is how sustainable is it?
And you guys were able to navigate through the volatility
and get to a point where I think everybody would have real
Conviction that Solana will have more activity a year from today
Five five years ten years, etc. But I feel like that's the number for crypto founders out there
It's like how do you go from you know massive activity to being?
durable and sort of Lindy
to being durable and sort of Lindy.
I don't know. I'm not sure.
I'm not sure.
I'm not sure.
It's a great secret.
Well, it's somewhat like fundamental to the technology
that when you reduce friction,
when you make finance frictionless,
that reduces moats, right?
It makes it so that things can leave as fast as they come.
I can rationally give you all those arguments,
but the reality is that you're just
worried about surviving the next eight weeks.
This is how we operated from that launch,
because we simply didn't have any other option.
We had limited runway up until for the first three, four years.
And trying to get as many developers on board it, trying
to increase the bandwidth of the network, reliability, all this stuff.
You're just thinking in eight week terms.
And you know, like you read every book on startups and stuff, that's actually what you're
supposed to do.
You're incrementally fighting for life.
And hopefully all those sprints, all those efforts, all those impulses accumulate into something sustainable.
And I think we're starting to see that sustainability
actually play out through the last cycle.
But it's really hard to predict.
Like if I knew what was going to be really important 12 months,
I don't think I'd need to work.
That's right.
Can you give me the update on the was going to be really important 12 months, you know, I, I don't think I'd need to work.
Can you update on, uh, just the, the progress of decentralization, what's important to decentralize, how you increase decentralization.
I remember when in maybe 2022, there was this critique,
salon is not as decentralized as the other platforms.
Just judging by the performance of the company,
feels like that was not a bear case that stuck around.
But what's actually happened with the company?
What plans did you put in place?
And what do you feel like you've executed on properly
to kind of satisfy the level of market demand for
decentralization, because I know that there's trade-offs here.
I mean, I look at it as a kind of key product like feature of the network.
I'm a, I grew up in the nineties. I loved Linux.
This is how I learned how to code is hacking through Linux code.
Huge believer of open source. Every part of the
network you can participate permissionlessly. This is kind of the key
part and to me that's really important because when you think about
disrupting finance, if you disrupt settlement, you've disrupted DTCC.
The number of people that can even know what that company does,
you can fit them all in one elevator.
But everyone can name the exchanges, the brokerages that they use,
and this is where all the money is made in finance.
So if you cannot permissionally participate in the formation of order and price discovery,
I think you haven't really just decentralized the important part of finance.
So Solana has always been about decentralizing how blocks are made,
how transactions are ordered, the sequencer, which is in contrast to,
I think, a lot of the direction that Ethereum runs, where they have done an
amazing job decentralizing settlement, but they've offloaded all the work
of actually running the financial applications to layer
twos, where you now have like a single sequencer that runs the vast majority of layer twos.
And that sequencer has the same functionality that Robinhood does.
Or right, so to me, you haven't really decentralized the important interesting part where money
is made or revenues are made.
So from my perspective,
Solana has been more decentralized than a lot of the networks where it counts over the
last three years. Where we have taken a trade-off is that the cost to run Solana validator is
higher because we are focusing on increasing throughput, making sure that anyone can participate
in being a block producer and ordering transactions
and all this stuff, the cost of those validators is higher.
But over the last four years,
we haven't had to increase the costs around the boxes
because of the software performance improvements.
So if you actually look at the network,
how it's run, how it's operated,
I can't fire anyone that actually works on it.
Like labs doesn't actually employ anyone that builds a protocol anymore.
We're primarily focused on building a phone.
Yeah. Yeah, that makes sense.
I wish we had time to talk about the phone,
but we'll have to have you back on again very soon.
This is great. Thank you so much for joining. Really enjoyed this.
Yeah. Appreciate it. Thank you so much for joining. Really enjoyed this. Yeah, appreciate it. We'll talk to you soon.
Thank you guys. Cheers.
Have a good one. Bye. And let me tell you about 8sleep.com. Five-year warranty, 30-night
risk-free trial, free returns, free shipping. Get a pod five over at 8sleep.com.
Well, we have Tyler and Michael have secured burgers.
Oh, let's go back to Tyler.
So let's go back to them.
How are we doing?
How's it going guys?
How you doing?
Yeah.
So they're playing Star Trek behind me.
It's really loud.
Okay.
But yeah, we got the burgers here.
Okay.
Overall, it's pretty good.
So I think there's a couple ways you can rate burgers, right?
So there's price point.
Yes.
So it's sitting at, I think it was like 1450 around. Okay, it's pretty high
It's a little pricey. So that means like you got to rate it against five guys Shake Shack, right?
Sure, it's kind of in that tier. Yeah, so I think it's solid. It's very similar to Shake Shack. I would say okay
Am I gonna be going here? Is this my go-to burger? Probably not. Okay, you know, I'm more of an in-art kind of guy
I'm not very, you know wealthy so I gotta go cheaper sometimes
You know, there's some cool stuff so apparently the fries and the hash browns are beef tallow, okay
Let's give it up for tallow
Generational run
Feel there apparently they're really good. I think I showed you guys this earlier, but there's like the little boxes, right? Yeah
Are there any protests going on is this a controversial space? I have people
surprisingly
Seems like any any rock integrations. Oh, yeah any rock integration?
I only have seen here is the optimist talk to me about the actual ordering experience. Did you order from a tablet?
Did you order from a tablet? Did you order from a human?
So yeah, I think we ordered from a human. It was like totally normal.
There was no yes or anything, but you can order from your Tesla.
We didn't try that because I think we, you know,
we had to kind of expedite the process, but apparently you can do that. Um,
but yeah, honestly, I would like to see the more, the more optimist this year,
just doing the popcorn, you know, it's not super hard to do, but I mean there's like a nice bar over here.
Hey, gotta start somewhere.
Yeah.
Popcorn's waiting.
Yeah, overall pretty good though.
I'm not sure I would come back.
Okay.
Like specifically for the burger.
For the burger.
But it's definitely a cool place.
For a charge? For a charge though?
If you need a charge, I wonder if the charging's free if you get the burger. I a charge though charge I wonder if the
charging is free if you get the if you get the burger I think the charging is
free okay that makes sense there we go big drop yeah that's very exciting yeah
there's like 80 cars here but yeah overall solid experience very cool very
cool all right well enjoy your burgers and we'll see you back in the studio see
you back in the studio Tyler thanks for doing on the ground reporting awesome
Well next up. I believe we have Aaron from box in the restream waiting room so we can bring him in
He's ready
And in the meantime I'll tell you about
Aaron leave it from box welcome to the stream. I was gonna do a hydrate, but you are here live
Thanks for hopping on. How are you doing? Hey, good. How you guys doing?
It's good. It's been too long. It's been what? A month or something.
You were one of our first guests couple months. Wow. I mean,
I'll take all the credit for your guys success. There you go. Take it.
I want to talk about, I want to talk about AI. Obviously I want to talk about, quickly, I mean, let's start with the consumer side, and then I want
to go into enterprise.
Did you have a chance to read Fiji Simo's outline of where open AI is going in consumer
kind of six categories, health, knowledge retrieval, creativity?
What are you using personally?
What's your daily driver? Are you using it with your family? Have you used it for health?
What's just been your general experience with consumer AI?
I think I've hit every one of those use cases. It's, I mean, it's yeah, therapist, doctor,
branding assistant.
What about executive coach? I thought that was an interesting one. She says that she
has a coach. Obviously you're at a level where you can afford a full-time
human coach. But what goes into a good coaching experience at the executive level?
Yeah, I mean, that's a fantastic use case. Probably actually I should be using it for
that. I'm sure anybody that works with me wishes I did. But often know often you're bringing a coach a set of problems
that you're running into. I've got this org design issue. I've got these people that aren't
collaborating well and oftentimes it's most actually just helpful just the purpose of
talking about the issue and then laying it out that gets you thinking about it.
And then seeing a set of options.
So I think Chatchmutee would obviously make a fantastic coach
for that because just the very active
of just getting you to be able to describe the issue
and then seeing a set of options would be helpful
in like 90% of situations.
So I think those use cases are great.
I mean, the healthcare stuff alone
has been extremely powerful.
I seem to run into one new ailment per week.
And so I used to just,
I used to go into urgent care way too frequently.
Like, oh, I have some sensitivity in my finger
and then I'd go to urgent care.
And so now just Chatchabuti just solves all those uses.
You are a hypochondriac.
and I'd go to urgent care. And so now just Chatchabuti just solves all those issues.
You are a hypochondriac.
Anyway, on the org structure issue,
what you would go to an executive coach about,
do you feel like AI should be more of like a product team
or more of like a service team?
Do you see it like it's my infrastructure organization
or it's my front end engineering packages
versus it is a new product
that will sit alongside other products
and maybe be sold as a different skew by the sales team?
Because I've been going back and forth on this,
but I'd love your take before I kind of wrestle with it.
And is this in a B2B context?
Yeah, yeah, in your business.
I imagine that you're thinking right now,
there are LLMs, there are tools, there are APIs,
there's a whole bunch of stuff,
there's coding agents and IDE's and stuff,
and you want to get this stuff into the hands
of everyone in your organization.
The question is, I bet a lot of companies, I imagine,
are thinking about, do we need an AI organization?
Do we need an AI product?
And you can think about, Salesforce is launching,
and Copilot is like a separate SKU almost,
that sits alongside Gemini, is a separate subscription,
it's a separate product, separate app,
versus just hey
We do X Y & Z and all of that is made better by AI in the same way that you know
Memory caching like Redis the database made things better across everything, but it was not its own product
Yeah, I think in our case
And I think it so much depends on the type of product that you were in before AI happened.
Yeah, totally.
In our case, what we did was our chat to BT moment was, you know, same time as everybody
else but we did, you know, fortunately step back and we said, okay, if we were to found
our company in a post AI world, how would we treat the very kind of business model, the product experience, the
actual value proposition? And we started kind of laying that foundation. Now it took at
least a year and a half to like execute in the way that even looked like what you could
do from a blank sheet of paper. But the idea was if we were to start Box in 2025, let's
say we ran this exercise now, you know, we wouldn't think about the AI version
and the not AI version.
We wouldn't be like, you go over here to do AI
and everything else is sort of like dumb.
And so we decided to bake AI
into the core value proposition of the product.
And that shows up in the kind of obvious ways you'd expect.
So let you talk to your data, ask questions of documents,
take a collection of content and be able to query it
and ask questions of it. And then now in a questions of documents, take a collection of content and be able to query it and ask questions of it.
And then now in a world of agents, that's also showing up as agents being able to kind
of run around and execute automated tasks for you.
So a very natural one for us is a lot of customers have all of this unstructured data.
It could be contracts or invoices or marketing assets.
And they want to be able to read what's in that data and then basically apply structured to unstructured content.
So take all of the variables from a contract or from an invoice or from a digital asset
and then let me have effectively intelligence around that.
I can ask any question of that data now.
I can automate any workflow around it.
I could have a dashboard that shows me exactly when the different contracts are up for renewal
or which ones have risky clauses in them.
And so this is fundamentally changing the entire value proposition of our product. It gets us more
in line with what our holy grail was to begin with, which is like let you tap into all of
this information that you have in the enterprise. But yeah, so this is built directly into the core
fabric of the platform. And most product managers at Box at this point are working on something AI related.
There's sort of nobody that is unaffected
by AI at this point.
How do you think about AI surfacing itself
in the product in a, I don't know,
like above the UI or below the UI?
I don't know, front end or back end.
Basically, I feel like I love when a company I use
is saying, hey, we're going all in on AI,
but I don't necessarily want a chat box with every product.
What I want is, hey, you guys did the hard work.
You guys did the prompting.
And all of a sudden, search just got better.
Or if I wanna just click a button and see it as a CSV,
boom, it's there.
Or it's already been transformed,
it's already in a database,
it's already built for me,
instead of me having to actually say that.
But it's really hard to define those things.
So how do you think about,
like is this going to be the prompt is in the hands
of the user or the prompt lives
within the Box engineering team? Yep
You know, it's entirely case by case probably across all of software even in our product
We have variants of both of those so we have a product or experience where you can chat with your documents
Which is means it's another you know chat box. Yep. We have a product that is
For all intents and purposes you never have to even think
about it as AI. It's data extraction from a document. You press, you know, extract data.
You don't chat with it. And then the agent is, you know, a set of contexts, a set of
tools that we've effectively tuned to that workflow. But you don't have to think about
it as being AI or not. And it's not obvious which one wins out. I think there's a variety of ways that people will expect to use these use cases.
The thing I'm probably most fascinated with and the thing that will have the most GDP impact
is effectively these background agent use cases.
When AI first started emerging, really just due to Chatchabee-T, we thought about AI as,
okay, I go into a prompt
window and I ask a question, I get an answer back. Or maybe a year prior to that, you had
GitHub Copilot, which was really kind of type ahead prediction functionality. In both of
those cases, the AI can only work as fast as you can. And so that means our productivity
gain was still capped by how fast we could work. With background agents, you're untethered
in terms of the ultimate upside of the amount of productivity
gain, because if you have a well-described prompt that
could basically translate days or weeks' worth of work
into a couple minutes for the agent,
then that's obviously like that could be 100x productivity gain. And so we have a number of features we're
working on that more relate to background agent type type use
cases. And that's, that's, I think, where what's most
exciting. So when you think about cursors, background agent,
or you think about codecs, or what replica does with its
agent, that's, that's way more of the future. And, and that's,
you know, probably more of what we're putting our efforts into.
Yeah, I feel like it's like,'s less flashy and it doesn't get as much attention for some reason.
But and it's harder. It's harder to make AI just a button and it works.
But when it when it when somebody can boil that down to click button, get result like it's just that's the original magic of software.
And I think I well, but I think it's it's still
probably click button but give some
instructions to get what you want.
But it's not as open ended as it was
before which is just here's an empty
chat box do anything in the world.
Yeah this will be an interesting
tension between the let's say the
most horizontal frontier players
versus the applied more vertical
specific use cases the vertical
players and it could be industry
vertical or some other kind of vertically integrated product,
the vertical or domain specific players
will be able to pre-pack in the use case.
And that will actually be, for many enterprises,
the easier to adopt capability.
Instead of like the super horizontal,
we can do everything, super intelligence,
understanding the use case in the domain
will likely improve the efficacy and ability
to drive the rollout within the enterprise.
How are you thinking about Box as a,
is it a garden that you welcome people to?
Is it a walled garden?
You guys are building-
Is it my data?
Would you be okay with me taking my data and sharing it?
Well, yeah, it's just like you guys
are building a bunch of workflows on top of your data.
But then I imagine you're happy to, in some cases,
let other companies come and make the data more valuable.
What's your stance on letting the fox in the hen house?
We've been going back and forth on that.
Sometimes people say, it's a friendly fox.
Let it in the hen house. Let it in the hen's house, let it in the hen house.
Yeah, we're a public park.
Anybody can build their garden here.
That's great.
No, I mean, I don't want to read between the lines too much,
but I assume this is about some of the closed off data access
pipe.
Data walls.
Yeah. Tr, yeah.
Tricky topic. So for us, I'll just say our general biases,
well, so first of all, to be unbelievably clear,
any data within Boxes are customer's data.
So just get that out of the way early.
And in general, we bias toward a very heavy degree
of API access into that data.
There's a couple kind of complicated issues
that are the emerging topics in the agent
world and this is obviously probably germane to the origin of the question.
There are some systems that do these kind of heavy indexing of data tasks and in those
areas you have a couple issues.
One you just have a cost that the kind of originating vendor then incurs based on that indexing.
But then also you have these open questions
around security and permissions and data governance,
because you're trying to keep permission models in sync
between multiple systems.
And so all of a sudden, the brand promise of one platform
can possibly be sort of mutated by another platform
if there's a data leak event or whatnot,
because your data was indexed by that other system.
So these are gonna be more,
I'd consider them more open questions
that need to be figured out by the industry.
I'm more a fan of this idea that you'll have,
any system that today sort of wants to index
all of the information from another platform,
sort of more ideal architecture would be
that that system just talks to the system with all the data and says, hey, I'm looking
for this particular piece of information.
Can your agent go run off and find that for me and then pull that into that other agent?
So the problem is that everybody's agents today operate differently.
We all rank the information differently.
There's different latency.
So that's why you kind of need indexing right now.
But I think in five years from now,
I would be, I think it would be a little bit
of a architectural anomaly if you
had to index all information like 20 times
across the internet.
That seems like that would be very inefficient.
And then it would lead to lots of security vulnerabilities.
Because let's say I share a set of documents
or a communication channel with you,
and then that gets indexed by some AI agent system,
but then I unshare that with you,
how quickly does that propagate to the agent system
that was indexing that data?
And now we have a security risk
that that first system has no control over.
So these are the very real kind of issues that you run into in enterprise software,
which is why I also think that you're going to continue to see so much power in the systems
of record, even in a world of AI agents.
I have two questions.
When you speak speaking of AI agents, specifically, there's billions of dollars being poured into
roll ups to acquire maybe more kind of Main Street style businesses, let's billions of dollars being poured into roll-ups to acquire maybe more
kind of main street style businesses, let's say an accounting firm. And the promise there is
basically that we're going to that the investor group is going to be able to and an operator is
going to be able to dramatically reduce headcount and increase the earnings potential of the business. Do you think that there's enough excitement
around agents and agentic workflows
that these companies have been able
to raise billions of dollars?
Do you think that agents are already at a point
where they are gonna be able to kind of deliver
on that thesis or will companies,
there's two paths,
like companies can leverage off the shelf agents,
maybe coding agents for example,
or they can build their own agents or workflows,
but how ready are these businesses
to be able to strip out, let's say like 50% of headcount?
I think that depends on, do you want to grow revenue,
or are you fine with the existing install
base of that company, and then likely some kind
of terminal value that you can extract out of that?
There's no question you could cut costs with AI agents
in a number of spaces.
But if you had a very competitive industry
where the product roadmap really
mattered, I think you'd probably be more in the camp of using AI agents to accelerate
the work that you're doing as opposed to cutting headcount. So I think all depends on the space.
I haven't picked up on which industry people are most attracted to. Is it like healthcare,
office, back office firms? Is it law firms, is it accounting firms?
I think it'd be hard, you'd have to be really running
a business very inefficiently if you could cut 50%
of the cost with AI and then keep the business
sort of maintaining its customer base.
But private equity has found those opportunities
in the past, so I think it's just a more,
it's the evolutionary kind of update to probably
how private equity will think about some of these
Efficiency gains, but but it and it has a place in the economy
It's not something that is sort of to me the most exciting part of AI
But but it could work and it could produce, you know some degree of profit. Yeah, thanks
I
We have a friend who is running a startup and recently a hyperscaler launched a competitor
What advice would you give him for?
Competing with someone that basically has unlimited resources and
How do you think about?
Getting through that as an entrepreneur. It must be an emotional rollercoaster. We've talked to him a little bit.
And I've been thinking about different case studies
and mental models and companies that have made it through.
And it's fascinating.
But what would you say to a founder in that space?
Well-capitalized, products loved,
but now facing fierce competition from a hyperscaler.
I think there's a therapist mode in Chatchabee Tea
that you can apparently that you can trigger.
So sorry, is this like a known company?
Can you say the company or not?
Yeah, Browserbase.
We've been talking about it on the show for a while.
It's a computer use agent.
Or it helps you if you have an agent that
needs to go browse the web.
It's an API that lets you harness the computer
and actually go click on things,
and AWS launched something,
and obviously that's competitive,
and it's something that,
we had them on the show a couple times,
we asked, hey, this feels like something
that AWS might launch, they wound up doing it.
What would your advice be to him, I guess?
Yeah, so I think actually the, first of all,
if you, somebody, maybe you guys could,
do you have like an analyst team yet?
Does that exist?
It's coming, it's coming together.
We have some interns.
I think you should-
Deep research.
Yeah, if you could run some analysis,
I bet you in the history of hyperscalers launching
a competing capability and then you look at that market,
I bet in all cases, sorry, not in all cases,
but on average, the market size kind of grows
for even the independent players.
I mean, think about how many times Snowflake
or Databricks probably shouldn't exist
based on some of the data services of the hyperscalers,
or Cloudflare for, Matthew,
10 years running would show the market share graph of CloudFlare versus all of the other CDNs.
And you know, you would have been like, why would Amazon or Google not wipe out CloudFlare?
It's like they already have the network.
It's not that hard.
In fact, in many cases, CloudFlare probably runs on their networks.
And yet it turns out that like hyper focused teams and platforms in big markets are usually able
to carve out enough of the space because you're just going to be more wired into the customer
base, the use cases, the better APIs.
You're going to jump on the next trend more quickly.
In the case of Amazon, I'm guessing that Amazon won't work as well with OpenAI where browser
base can work with all of the model providers.
So there tends to be, with very few exceptions, plenty of sort of moves that you can make
in these kinds of competitive situations.
And in a lot of cases, it just actually, again, lifts up the awareness of the market, makes
it more exciting.
You tend to not want to be in a market by yourself unless you're like Nvidia or something. Like for the most part, having, you know, being in a dynamic market
where people are comparing options and looking at SDKs and choosing things and talking about
stuff that usually actually grows the market as opposed to makes it makes it more zero
sum. So so I would I would be I would be bullish in that in that scenario more than anything. Do you think like 10, 15 years ago,
you or the chattering class
was saying that about cloud storage broadly?
Oh, saying that we would be crushed?
Yeah, saying that you would be crushed
or did anyone clock it correctly?
Because what actually happened was not, oh, one oh, so one wins one doesn't one in
like, there's multiple independent companies that are
doing well. There's also hyperscalers that have grown
that like it's been this weird, like oligopolistic positive some
market. It's been fantastic for all parties involved, basically.
Yeah, no, no, nobody. Nobody got it right. I mean our first our
First funding round was I think our valuation was
$240,000
So, I mean basically the idea was like storage was a commodity but people't realize was no, it's the software above the storage that matters.
And so, assuming that you're in a market that is going to grow again, zero sum markets are very different, but it's hard to find zero sum markets in software right now.
Yeah.
It's your like deeply legacy.
Yeah.
If you're in a fast growing market, there's usually a move.
There's usually some range of motion you have to differentiate, to specialize, to go into a vertical, to build more software on top of the commodity infrastructure.
So I think we're in a period right now where you can kind of be generically bullish on just
like categories broadly. Now, maybe we don't need the 20th kind of language model. There's some
asterisks to this. But if you're one or two in a category right now and a big player enters,
I think you'd just ride it out because,
because it's just too early at the moment on what's what's happening.
Yeah. Yeah.
It seems like a wildly different market dynamic in, uh,
in the enterprise in B2B than in B2C where it's very much winner take all.
And if you gave me a100 million to start a competitor,
direct competitor to chat GPT, no, yeah.
It just doesn't matter at this point,
because there's so much energy and aggregation
and network effects and all sorts of different things.
Anyway, sorry.
And yet at the same time, I'd say every vertical
in the enterprise is up for grabs.
I think there's no vertical where you can just
completely call a winner. I think there's I think there's no vertical where you can just completely call a winner. I
think there's some cases maybe these like healthcare providers
that do transcription and like maybe you can call a winner in
that space. Yeah. But for the most part, you know, when I
talked to CIOs, they are they're in the very earliest phases of
picking their first set of platforms for these major use
cases. And so we have a window right now where you'll have
many, many names that emerge that
will be a hundred times bigger in five years from now.
Totally. Yeah. And to the earlier point, we were talking about where like AI can be not
just a new product for a company that's existing, but just little improvements to everything
that exists. And that winds up being a bunch of different vendors, a bunch of different
internal projects, a bunch of different APIs, a bunch of different code revisions. There's so many different areas to just squeeze out
percentages of improvements, so exciting stuff.
Last question I have,
you've seen a number of different cycles.
You started the company in 2005, so you've...
I do look that tired, yes.
That's where he's going with.
But I'm curious, we were joking about a week ago
that there's a lot, I mean, there's so many different
like signals blaring that obviously there's a lot
of excitement, a lot of new capability coming online,
new intelligence being birthed.
At the same time, we have Ethereum treasuries
and SPACs for companies that maybe shouldn't be SPACed.
NFT profile pictures coming back.
How do you, I'm not asking you to like call the top
or call the bottom or anything,
but do you have any type of outlook?
Do you have any kind of concerns
about how overheated things could be right now?
Weirdly, I'm pretty, I tend to be pretty much
on the conservative side in general
and it's lost me lots of money
by just not believing in like 80% of things
that have worked out.
But for AI, and then maybe this is a counter signal, actually.
So maybe this is like the Jim Cramer effect.
But but in AI, I don't think we have reached anything close to
close to any any peak of anything.
Now, sure, you might be able to point to specific categories
that are that are a little inflated.
But when you look at I mean,, this is an economy-altering technology.
And if you just look at it as any percentage of labor
as one way to model the potential size of these markets,
we're in still the very earliest phase of what this looks like.
Yeah, in 1999, if you were like, these internet companies are really potentially overvalued.
You maybe looked smart for a little bit,
but over a decade, you looked pretty dumb.
But if you even took 99 business,
if you did a 99 kind of extrapolation
from any of these valuations,
OpenAI would probably be worth five trillion.
Like these are not, I mean, if you look at like those companies were valued on, you know,
100, 200, 300X revenue for the mature companies.
So like we are not even in 99 territory on the amount of kind of, you know, hype and excitement that there is.
So I'm pretty bullish on where things go from here.
If you look at something like the enterprise software
market, it's a few hundred billion dollar market in just
like, let's say, the US and total spend on enterprise
software.
There's no reason why this isn't a doubling or a tripling,
even in the conservative scenarios,
when you can have AI agents go and do real work that is tied
to the software because you just have so many more categories that the enterprise software
can sell into.
And there's just examples everywhere.
Like the enterprise software size, the category size of enterprise software for the legal
industry like five years ago was about a couple billion dollars max.
Like that is all that the legal industry spent
on enterprise software.
And in a world of AI agents,
I think you could easily underwrite 10, 20, $30 billion
being spent on just AI agent automated work
in the legal space.
So you could have a lot of these spaces
that become five or 10 times larger
than they were in the pre-AI era.
And I think you could do that across every category
of knowledge work for the most part.
Makes total sense.
Last question I have is,
how tolerant do you think CIOs and executives broadly
are going to be of the,
if you're thinking about,
you know, Apple, for example,
thinking about implementing an LLM,
it's not in Apple's nature to have imperfection, right?
Like they're not looking for something
that even one out of a thousand times
is gonna say something that's offensive
or anything like that.
And we were thinking, you know,
we were talking about Grok.
Grok obviously is on a wild trajectory.
They're closing, they closed a massive partnership
with the DoD last week.
And that's partly, I imagine, like the Elon effect.
But how tolerant do you think CIOs will be
of just the kind of inconsistent nature of AI agents,
you know, saying, we're gonna make a big bet on a lab, of just the kind of inconsistent nature of AI agents,
saying, we're gonna make a big bet on a lab,
even though one out of 10,000 times
it's gonna say something.
Stochastic versus deterministic.
Yeah, one out of.
Probabilistic computing is here.
And one out of every 10,000 times you use the product,
it might say something that 10 years ago
you would have been fired for
if you had implemented that software.
Yeah, you can't make Hitler jokes in a company setting. So I would say increasingly the tolerance is going up because the understanding and the shared understanding of what these
models are doing is going up. And so what's happening is companies are putting in
sort of kind of informal or formal guardrails
on the fact that these models are probabilistic.
And that will sometimes take the form
of just an internal policy that says,
okay, the AI agent is gonna give you your first draft,
but your job and your responsibility and your liability
is to ensure that what you're putting into production or the legal brief that you're writing or the marketing asset that you're
creating is fully reviewed by a human.
And that is the switch from, you know, maybe two years ago, we would have looked at a model's
kind of inaccuracy as a flaw in the AI.
And now we have sort of accepted that it's just a part of the workflow.
I walked by an engineer's desk a couple weeks ago and I've just said,
what's your now new common practice of doing work?
And he kicks off an agent to go write a bunch of code.
And then his job is to go review the code and fix its errors and
clean up syntax and whatnot that might be different.
And that's just an accepted reality.
Whereas maybe two years ago you would say, hey,
this model is producing a bunch of
You know kind of garbage code
It probably was garbage because it's just where the models were at but but you would have seen that as a flaw as opposed to
That is just an acceptance that's an accepted reality of how these systems work now
Yeah, so with with that I think evolution of the understanding, then you start to flip the mindset,
which is, okay, I can now use AI
to give me the first draft of the thing that I'm doing.
It can make the first draft of the blog post.
It can auto transcribe the doctor note.
It can generate the first...
First draft of your board deck.
Yes, and then we can go through it
and review it and clean it up. And that
still saves you 10 hours. And so that recognition is now kind of rippling through most organizations.
This is why this idea of going AI first is kind of picking up steam. I talked to a lot
of CEOs and CIOs in the Fortune 500 kind of universe. And this is the most easily the
most exciting and animated kind of topic that has existed
in 20 years in technology.
Yeah, they know they're much more likely to be fired
for not being at the forefront of this wave
than having a model that goes off the rails
and offends a user one out of every 100,000 times.
There is absolutely more room for ask for permission
in this phase of the
the kind of excitement
You know kind of adoption curve that we're seeing totally totally well, we've kept you too long
Thank you so much for joining great hanging
As for forgiveness not yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah for forgiveness
I mean and thank you for catalyzing our early success
And thank you for catalyzing our early success
Bye Really quickly let me tell you about bezels get bezel comm your bezel concierge is available now to source you any watch on the planet
Seriously any watch and we will bring in Neil Perique from slingshot AI
announcing ash
Let's bring him into the studio from the Restream waiting room.
How you guys doing?
What's going on guys?
Good to meet you both.
Kick us off with an introduction.
Hey, I'm Neil, one of the co-founders of Slingshot.
And I'm Daniel.
Good to meet you guys.
Introduce the company, introduce the product.
Absolutely, yeah.
So Neil and I met about 18 months ago.
We were both chasing the same vision AI for mental health
We're finally coming out of stealth. We've built the first AI
Designed for therapy. You probably know this mental health crisis. You might product launch. I gotta do it also
Did you raise some money?
We're announcing our fundraise. We've raised 93 million today. Let's go. Congratulations.
Congratulations.
There we go.
Almost jumped the gun there.
That's a big number.
Fantastic.
Was just gonna share.
I mean, you probably know this mental health crisis.
You might not know that for every 10,000 people out there
who need help, there's one person to offer it.
Wow. There's kind of no way that we can get past that except for AI. So, uh,
that's why we've worked quietly,
carefully with clinicians in the loop to build the first foundation model for
psychology and to actually help people with their mental health.
Yeah. What does that mean? First foundation model, fine tuning, uh, pre-training.
What, what, what's the actual tech stack that you're building?
Yeah, we train in three steps. So we do continued pre-training, what's the actual tech stack that you're building? Yeah, we train in three steps. So we do continued pre-training, not from scratch, but from a
checkpoint. Order of magnitude is about 1% the size of a data set that a foundation
model lab would use. So not going to cost us $10 billion, but enough to substantially
change the behavior of the model and introduce completely new knowledge.
Interesting.
We then do alignment, which is where our clinical team
adapts from the modality of human therapy to AI therapy
and learns how this completely new kind of app works.
And then finally, we do reinforcement learning
from what works at scale.
That makes sense.
What concerns you about people using traditional LLMs models
for therapy today,
just basically going into their favorite app.
And you effectively can't stop somebody
from starting to use an LLM for therapy,
but we've seen over the last two weeks,
specifically, it seems to be some very real concerns
around some of the behaviors of different models.
It feels like they're almost accidentally
jailbreaking the model,
winding up in sci-fi territory, role-playing.
What are the best case scenarios?
It sounds like those three strategies
that you outlined are part of it,
but what else is going on that can make sure
that there's always a good outcome?
I think the first thing with your knowledge is
track CPT and clot are not made for therapy.
They're not trained on clinical data.
People can end up down these very weird rabbit holes like
we've seen, right? Where people end up in essentially a mode collapse or somewhere that's
in a very weird part of the distribution, where, you know, it's bringing out psychosis
and other issues and stuff. You know, they'll say that it's, it's useful for support, but
at the end of the day, what we're building is something that's very different, right?
The first thing to think about is we're not trying to build an instruction following model.
Like if you go to chat,PT, it's an assistant.
So if you ask it like, hey, give me a recipe
for a piece of cake and ChatGPT were to ask you like,
so why are you hungry?
You'd be like, what the, that's so annoying.
Yeah, it's the alignment by default question, right?
Sorry.
Yeah, alignment by default.
Like the model is supposed to always help you
answer the question.
So if you ask it, you know, how, like prove that I'm a genius, it'll just say, Oh, of
course, let's let's let's do that.
No problem.
And that's not what a therapist does.
Exactly.
If you go to a therapist and you're like, Hey, I feel angry.
Help me.
You know, they're going to say, so why is anger a bad thing?
You know, and you're like, why is anger a bad thing?
Like, I don't know.
And then you get into some interesting deep territory
and that's where change happens.
But yeah, chat UBT is not therapy.
I actually just saw that Sam Altman posted about this
and had said, yeah, chat UBT,
a lot of people are using it for therapy,
but it's not what it's built for.
And we're looking forward to seeing a startup
emerge in this space.
So.
Interesting. How excited are you guys to just like, I mean, effectively you're going to
be running, just by getting this out to more people, you're going to be running a massive
trial. I think the debate, the debate among, you know, high functioning people, a lot of
people that listen to the show,
people in Silicon Valley in general,
is that like, there's almost like this question of like,
does therapy even work?
Is it good?
Does it put you in these kind of doom loops?
How are you guys like looking to measure results, right?
You're actually wanting to change lives,
but what does that look like?
Yeah, super true.
By the way, on the controversy, it's funny on X.
If you, Neil posted today for our launch
and like if you read through it, it's fascinating
how much people find this controversial.
And it's interesting to see what's going on there,
what people are really feeling
when they're thinking about this.
Yeah, and I feel like it's super common where
my parents, when I was an angry teenager in high school,
they were like, you should see a therapist.
And they would ask me, how was the therapist?
And I would say, well, I don't know how the therapist was,
but it was helpful to kind of just talk through the things
that were top of mind for me.
So I feel like there's this question of like,
can you make something that's valuable
and helps people better understand themselves
and the decisions they're making.
But then there's all like,
how do you actually be more beneficial
than just having them sort of talk through a problem
and actually implement change?
100%.
So we built with a beta group of 50,000 people to make sure that
we're building this right that we were able to show efficacy safety. We are we've not yet published
our results. It hasn't gone through peer review, but very exciting results so far. We've been able
to show clinically effective results for symptoms of anxiety, depression, loneliness, increasing a
sense of hope,
achieving your goals. And I think the one that was coolest for us was actually increasing the
number of people that you have in your support system in the real world.
Are all those metrics like self-reported, like I fill out a survey and say, I'm feeling anxious.
And then at the end of my therapy session, I say, okay, I'm feeling less anxious on like a scale of
one to 10. Is that basically the benchmark?
Yeah, we use the official metrics. So, PHQ-9 and GAD-7 are the main ones. Those are the
official ones for depression and anxiety, but we use a number of others. There's like
the UCLA metric, but essentially we track people over time from before they start using
the app through using the app and we measure how these symptoms change over time and to
see whether or not it sustains. The interesting thing is, I mean, these are used widely across every area of
psychology. They're also, it has been shown, I think, interestingly, that with normal chat bots,
on average, after using it for a while, you actually reduce your connection to people in
the real world. Not too surprising. It was amazing for us to see that with Ash, people actually did
build stronger connections in the real world
And that just has to do with building something that's purpose-built to help people with their mental health
Yeah, how excited are you guys around?
frequency, I think one of the challenges with
Therapy and actually driving change is if somebody's seeing a therapist once a week or every couple weeks
It's like very easy to kind of
Revert back into old patterns
or forget what you had just talked about
and we're trying to change.
Is part of the potential here is like somebody
can effectively have this like constant contact
with a therapist or do you think
or the equivalent of a therapist?
Yeah, so one thing that's important to know
is that I think we're inventing a whole new
modality of therapy, right?
There's something like this hasn't really existed before, which means that with that
comes, you know, we can basically throw out, you know, the whole nature of like, we have
to have a 45 minute session and happens once a week, right?
Prices or, or like getting into a tough situation might happen at two o'clock in the morning,
right?
Your therapist is going to answer the phone at that time.
Now that said, we also don't want people talking
for six hours on one day.
Like we feel about you,
and it's like important for you to like work on something,
probably sleep it out, right?
Think about it, process it,
continue to work on it over some amount of time,
because like growth takes some amount of time.
Like very few people just snap and then overnight,
you know, are completely different.
Though I would say this has been like a design evolution
for us as we've been building.
Like early on we noticed people wanted to use it,
you know, until they solved their problem,
even if that takes 10 hours.
And that really doesn't work.
You need to at minimum like sleep.
Like most change happens when you sleep,
when you engage in the world.
So like one thing that our AI does
that's unique compared to others,
is at some point it does gently push you out.
It will say things like, you know,
okay, you know, let me just ask you one more question
and then maybe this would be a good time to end for today.
And what that does is it builds a more healthy habit
where you're able to use this as something that you turn to
and people do usually engage a lot more frequently
than they would with therapy,
but they'll engage so that they can actually get
through their problem
and not create some sense of dependency.
Instead, it's something that you come back to, something that you're working on in a style that makes sense and a frequency that makes sense for you and not just for your insurance company.
Very cool. I have a bunch more questions about business model and stuff, but we are out of time. Thank you so much for hopping on. Congratulations on the launch.
Last question. Why Slingshot? Ah, it's a great question. What we're, um, our product is called Ash,
Ash AI therapy. Highly recommend, uh, checking it out. Slingshot,
I think makes sense. Great as a, like a tech company communicate the,
the idea of like the massive change that you go through. Um,
Ash was a much more, uh, gentle, you know, not too human sounding,
not, not human sounding. Um, and,. And so it's if you're still depressed tomorrow, I will
take a slingshot and hit you in the head hit me in the head.
But all right. Well, I love your feedback. Thanks so much for
hopping on. So we'll talk to you soon. Have a good time. Up next,
we have Jan Sremmack from California forever. He has some
exciting news. He shared it re industrialized last week. We were slammed. We got him on the show today to
break it down for us. Sorry for keeping you waiting. Jan, good to see you. How are
you beautiful backdrop? Is that a real photo or are we looking at a virtual
background? He's on a hot air balloon right now.
No, that's a virtual background. It will good. Hopefully it will be a real photo.
What is it describing or what is it showing?
It's showing the Solano Foundry.
It's showing this advanced manufacturing park that we announced last week, which is at the
edge of the new city.
Very cool.
Yeah, announced it reindustrialized.
We were confused because we were like, wait, California forever is building in Detroit, but you're
building in California, we're Californians. We love to see
this. Take us through a little bit more of the announcement.
What exactly is coming together? I imagine there's a piece of
public support, some government stuff, some financial capital,
there's a lot of different moving pieces to this. What is
in the announcement specifically?
Yeah, a few different components. So the Solano
Foundry is in the new city and it has been in the
plan. We've had a big area for basically industry
and technology in the plan since the beginning.
That hasn't changed. What's changed with the
announcement is we've put a lot more a lot more
details behind it. And so we've put we've we've
put forward specific master plans,
the industries we would focus on.
We've worked with JLL,
which is probably the leader in this domain.
I mean, JLL works for majority of the companies
in the Valley when they decide
that they need to go from 50 employees to 500.
They call JLL and they say, hey, where we should go.
And JLL has spent, as they've told us, they've spent the last
10 years moving companies out of California and they're kind of sick of doing that.
And you're going to give them another option to do it closer to home.
So we're parting up JLL.
They wrote a whole 40 page white paper
about why they felt that actually you could do manufacturing in California if you had a scale that we have and if you were an
hour outside of Silicon Valley. And so we've they published the white paper
they've joined us as the exclusive leasing agent for the 2100 acres. It's
about 40 million square feet of space so it'll be the biggest advanced
manufacturing park in California and then it would work as a integrated ecosystem
with both the new city that we building and with the salon shipyard,
which is about seven miles south of there.
Okay, tell me some historical examples that you're learning from. I want to
hear about Apple's Fremont factory. That was an example of California
manufacturing in advanced computing.
Didn't go so well.
Then we're seeing a bunch of promising stuff happen
in Arizona with TSMC.
What are the various lessons that you're pulling from?
What are the anecdotes that you're sharing?
Yeah, real quick, I just wanted to get,
so the foundry and the shipyard, I imagine will share,
like be heavily connected in terms of a company that's at the ship
Shipyard might also have a facility at the foundry and they would obviously have
Talent living in the city. Like how do the how did the three kind of core?
Yeah, it's a great question
So city provides a place for all of these people to live, whether they work at the shipyard
or whether they work at the foundry.
Obviously, employee housing, huge issue in California, particularly if your people have
to commute from far away, right?
That's one of the biggest drivers that makes people quit their job is they just get fed
up with doing a two-hour commute.
And so, we can basically provide a 10-minute commute next to the foundry, 15 minutes from
the shipyard. People can walk to work. minute commute next to the foundry 15 minutes from the shipyard people can walk to work people could bike to work I mean
there's very few places very few places in America where you could work in a
factory and bike to work everyone keeps talking about we're gonna re
industrialize the country but nobody's talking about the reality that nobody
wants to work of some random freeway exit in the middle of in the middle of
two hours in the desert.
Exactly, you drive to the factory an hour and a half
from your house, and then you work off a freeway exit
next to a Burger King and a McDonald's, right?
Like who wants to work there?
And somehow there's still traffic,
even though these places are in the middle of nowhere.
Yeah, exactly, exactly, exactly right.
And so I think if we're gonna actually try to get people
to work in manufacturing again,
you have to provide a quality of life that I think our generation has come to expect right?
Which means you need to be able to go work in a factory and then you want to have lunch
So you meet up your friends and you sit in an outdoor plaza and you hang out and you can do the same thing after work
And there's basically nowhere in America where you can get that other than this place
and so that's a component of it and then yes the
other than this place. And so that's a component of it. And then yes, the shipyard and the foundry are very similar. The shipyard is basically the
foundry on the water. I mean the foundry is an advanced manufacturing park and
shipyard, if you really think about what that is, that's a manufacturing park on
the water that just happens to have really large parcels. And so you would
have companies that build ships in the shipyard and then
their suppliers are in the foundry. And then we actually have a rail connection between
the two. And so you can ship the components from the foundry to the shipyard. And so the
whole thing is basically this integrated advanced manufacturing ecosystem where in particular,
we've learned a ton from how China does it.
You look at the evolution of this whole thing and we started it.
We perfected it in America during the Second World War.
We built the global manufacturing industrial superpower.
We discovered that it made a lot of sense to create these ecosystems.
Detroit was powerful not because we made cars in Detroit, but because we made mufflers and brakes and tires
and all of the components that go in the car, right? It's the
whole supply chain. And then we did the same thing in Silicon
Valley. One of the things that I learned in the course of working
on this in 1965, Lockheed Martin employed 28,000 people in
Sunnyvale. In Sunnyvale, 28,000 people, can you imagine?
And so you have to have the whole ecosystem. And then what happened in the 90s is China
and the lesson. They basically took all of the best lessons from America and they perfected
them and they built these tightly integrated hardware ecosystems in China where you have
whole cities that focus on drones
or robotics or shipbuilding or whatever it is.
And that's how they've been able to outcompete us to the point where, what is it, China built
10 million drones a year and we built about 100,000 in the US.
China built more ships in one shipyard last year than we have in the entire country since
the end of the second world war.
You have these entire cities that specialize in production. Uh,
and our view is that if we are going to compete,
particularly in the high tech areas, we gonna have to replicate it.
What was the, what was the number of Lockheed employees in Sunnyvale?
Today it's at, uh, 3,500. Wow. Huge fall off.
Incredible.
Should we do a little bit of the history question I had?
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Thank you for stepping in.
He covered a little bit.
Yeah, I'm just interested to hear your take on what
SpaceX is doing in Texas, what TSMC is doing in Arizona.
There's a bunch of interesting projects
that you're probably pulling lessons from.
What does it take to get this right?
Yeah, I mean, I think we are so far behind that it's going to require kind of an all of the above
approach. It's not here or Arizona or Texas. It's all of the above. I think there's an interesting
question about specialization. And one of the other things that I noticed is if you look at all
of the breakthrough products that we've built if you look at all of the breakthrough products
that we've built in America, you can go look at Boeing 747 in the 60s, you can look at
Tesla Model 3 10 years ago, or you could even look at some of the stuff that Anduriel is
doing in Southern California.
Basically all of the breakthrough products that we've built, they scaled between
10 and 20 miles away from where they were invented, right? The Boeing factory at Everett
Field was about 20 miles from R&D. Tesla Fremont was what, 25 miles from the HQ in Palo Alto
where they designed it. I think you could make a, I mean, imagine Tesla ramping up Model 3 production
if the factory was in Texas.
You could argue that it would have gone very differently,
right?
They would never have been able to figure it out
if you didn't have the tight integration
between the engineers and the production line.
And you can actually drive there and be there in an hour.
And so the way that we think about the foundry is,
it's probably not the place where you put
your factory that has 10,000 employees.
It's probably not the place where you put your Gigafactory, but it is the place where
you go from having 50 people in Menlo Park to having 200 people in your factory number
one to having a thousand people in your factory number two, maybe 4,000 people in your factory
number three.
And then if you really, really hit it big
and you're operating a Tesla scale
and you're the factory that employs 10,000 people,
then yeah, go put it in Texas or Reno or somewhere else.
But it's basically a place for all of these companies
to scale from prototype to a multi-billion dollar company.
And then also keep some of the cutting edge development close to
the R&D talent. I mean, even if you look at a lot of what Tesla and SpaceX are doing,
a lot of the stuff remained in California. I mean, the engines that go on Starship are still made in
California. Yeah. What's the timeline for the foundry? Are you guys already working on,
What's it? What's the timeline for the foundry? Are you guys already working on?
You know, I'm imagining you're talking with a bunch of tenants already about potential leases
How quickly do you want to see?
people with Actual their employees boots on the ground standing up these factories facilities, etc
Yeah, I mean the current timeline is to break ground in 28 and that's basically on track.
So there's a local city called Tsusun that basically came forward and said, hey, we want
to look at approving the entirety of the new city by annexing it into our city.
That happened a few months ago and so we are now going through the environmental work.
I think they're expecting to publish the draft environmental report in Q1 of 26. But since we've announced the
foundry and actually same for the shipyard, we've had a bunch of companies come to us and say,
hey, we would love to build here, but we really would like to break ground in 26 or 27. We have
lots of orders, we need to make a decision. And so we're going to look at, can we work with the
stakeholders around the table to accelerate it because it would be a shame
to send another 20,000 jobs to Texas.
By the way, very topical here,
California just put out the numbers
for unemployment last month.
We just lost another 7,000 jobs in the Bay Area.
California now has the highest unemployment rate
in the whole country.
So you have this crazy juxtaposition of all of the-
The greatest economy, one of the greatest economies
in world history, period.
World, yeah, it's bigger than most countries.
And still this unemployment crisis.
Wild, wild.
Well, thank you for everything you do.
Good luck.
It is, it's a huge challenge,
but it's been fun following along
and exciting to see the latest development.
We're gonna have to set up our own studio.
I was looking at, I was looking in the background.
I'm seeing, I'm 2PM Studios North right there.
Right behind me.
Right there, right in the center.
Exactly, good luck in you guys.
Congratulations on all the progress.
We'll talk to you soon.
And if you're looking to visit California,
find your happy place at wander.com.
Find your happy place. Find your happy place at Wander.com Find your happy place find your happy place
Look Wander with inspiring bags hotel great amenities dreamy beds top tier cleaning in 24-7 concierge service
It's a vacation home, but better folks and we are ready to bring in our next guest
Nate Nathaniel Manning. Let's bring him in to the studio from the restream waiting room if we can do that Nathaniel
How are you doing?
I'm doing well, can you hear me?
Yeah, yeah, can hear you fine, good to meet you.
Why don't you kick us off with the introduction
on yourself and the company?
Yeah, hey, I'm Nat Manning, everyone calls me Nat.
And the CEO of Legend, Legend AI,
what we do is essentially make Earth searchable.
We want to be able to query Earth over space and time.
So how do you do that?
You have all these large language models out there.
They're trained on language.
So if you were to want to find all the fire breaks in the Pacific Palisades, for instance,
you can't really ask CHAT GPT that because it's not in language today.
It's not been marked, right?
But the answer is that does exist exists in pixels that have been collected over the last
20 years in satellite imagery or drone imagery or
low earth flying air
and you can train a model a large earth observation model on that data set and be able to
can train a model, a large earth observation model, on that data set and be able to begin to query
the pixels themselves.
So that's what we do.
Yeah, what are the data sources?
I imagine Planet Labs and some other stuff.
Are you buying data?
Are you just using stuff that's out there on the open web
and fine tuning or kind of putting it all in a database?
What does the market for satellite imagery
look like these
days?
The special part about this industry is a lot of it's made free and available.
It depends on how recent you want it or how high resolution.
Then you have to go private.
But you can train it.
We train on Sentinel, which is from the European space and then there's a
bunch of NASA out there as well and we can train on all that so we get to train
on open data and then when someone wants something that's either more high
resolution or more recent we can we can run our models and easily on top of
those that purchase date as well.
Who's the ideal customer for this?
I mean, I can imagine it being something I'm using personally
like every once in a while,
but I imagine like it's more of a B2B use case.
So walk me through the customer workflow.
Yeah, there's really three products
in a stack that we're building.
So the first is at the API level.
And I would imagine the kind of similarity there is like LiveKit.
If you want to put audio into your work today, and you're building an AI product, you can
work with a LiveKit or another one like that.
It's similar that way.
If you want to be able to bring the intelligence that's in this data, which is arguably also
one of the largest datasets ever collected.
So language is under one petabyte of data.
All these models are trained on.
There's almost 200 petabytes now of Earth imagery.
Now, the amount of imagery doesn't necessarily
equal value, but it does kind of create complexity
and possibility, I think.
And so typical Earth observation market
has been mostly government and defense and intelligence
with agriculture and all sorts of kind
of environmental climate, supply chain, logistics,
finance and insurance.
Insurance is a world I come from.
So those are some of the key ones.
And then as I said on the stack,
it's kind of API level, which would be thinking like Google Maps, Mapbox kind of tools.
What is Google's strategy here? It feels like they have a lot of data in Google Earth and
Google Maps and there's a search box there, but it's certainly not powered by Gemini yet.
But do you think it's on the roadmap for them or do you think that they they're just focused more on like the consumer use
case here
Yeah, I mean Google's the big
Eight hundred big bear in the room. Yeah
Yeah, look they they have they have
You know, they have all the ingredients to make this stew. They also have like a lot of competition a lot of focus
It's one of the reasons some
of the investors we took on or where the founding team a keyhole which became Google Earth and
Google Maps and people who really arguably have made more from this in this space than
like anybody else. One of my favorite stats actually was that and talking to them learning
that of the 200 billion in search revenue that Google makes,
one third of it triages their location geospatial database.
So that's arguably the most successful tool in this space.
Now that's location as well,
and not just what's called geospatial,
but yeah, so API level,
and then we're building an enterprise product as well,
and then we'll put out kind of a fun consumer application as well, kind of draw people's
attention to what is now really possible that everyone's kind of dreamed about for years,
this idea of being able to kind of query the earth over space and time, but the technology
wasn't there until a few years ago.
Jordy, you have anything?
I got another question.
Yeah, no, I was curious, like where you expect the most pull from on the enterprise side?
Is this like, on the site, you have
a bunch of different use cases that feel really
tied to insurance underwriting?
Is that an area that you're excited about?
Yeah, that's where I came from.
I started a company called Kettle that focused on, this is kind of how I came about to this,
which was building, we train CNNs on all sorts of imagery and weather data and build our
own risk models and ended up going fully verticalized and sold insurance in California.
We built kind of our own models around wildfire risk and arguably I think built some of the
best prediction models for wildfire and then wrote insurance.
But the hard part with insurance, you need a giant balance sheet to be able to write
it.
And so it was hard to be in a position where you have product market fit so clearly, like
so clearly saw that like there was going to be a breakage in the California market that
you could do a better job using AI to predict this risk and then just be kind of hampered by conservative mindsets.
And so we seem to-
Well, wasn't there also, what wasn't,
John and I live in two areas
that were impacted by the LA fire.
Fortunately, our homes were okay.
But I had read that California had effectively
had price controls by not allowing you to
price based on risk, but only price based on historical loss rate.
And then that changed in December.
I don't want to go on a tangent, but I'm-
No, no.
I can talk about insurance all day long.
And yes, it's definitely one of the main verticals we're focused on because
It's it's one of the most kind of important data sets for underwriting property underwriting
But in short, yes the admitted market in California using prop 103 because of prop 103 basically says you cannot
Yeah, yeah
You have to kind of use historical risk which in the world of climate change or any other kind of the how fast everything's moving
right now
The last you know hundred years does not predict the next five years nearly as well as it used to and so
But there is this thing called the excess and surplus market
So once you're have three denials from the admitted market you can go to the excess and surplus market and
Those rules don't apply and so that market has grown at a, I think a 17% CAGR year over year for
the last eight years in California. Wow. Because essentially admitted markets on strike, saying
like, Hey, and I'm fairly so they're like, I need to be able to raise my rates. I need
to be able to use models that actually work. And, and they they struggled to do so. So
I got a lot of sympathy for them.
It's hard to be in that business.
How much demand are you seeing from people
that just want to use AI tools to get cleaner
and more data into a traditional geospatial database
versus more of like an end-to-end AI solution
where you're training on like the raw satellite images
and then trying to kind of
query that directly
Yeah a fair number. I mean what what were
The the first customers the people kind of doing this today what you're essentially offering what we offer is the ability to create
Aaron actually is kind of talking about this earlier on your show the ability to create, Aaron actually was kind of talking about this earlier on your show, the ability
to create information out of, or structured data out of unstructured data.
So imagery is unstructured data.
And kind of historically you'd have a, you know, stage one is you have an analyst look
at it and you know, looking human eyes are pretty good at looking at this picture and
saying, ah, that's a fire break and this is a neighborhood and that's a fire on the other
side of et cetera, or a fire on the other side of et cetera,
or a forest on the other side.
And then you would train a, kind of stage two
is you'd train a specific model, a convolutional neural net.
Detect all the trees, detect all the roads,
and then that's how Google maps.
And you give it hundreds and thousands of images
and teach it how to do that specific thing.
And we spent millions of dollars a kettle doing that.
And that's kind of the norm today.
There are tons of teams and it takes
multiple data scientists and an ML ops person
and a quarter or two to do one of these.
So you're spending like half a million bucks
kind of per query.
And because again, it's just like convoluted data
and it's across all those kind of industries
we talked about.
But what happened when you have the attention is all you need, you know, a paper that came
out the transformer model, when you apply transformer model architecture to data, the
output is embeddings, right?
So you have these vector embeddings for language.
And what happened over the last 25 years, for 25 years, keywords were the first order
data object for making sense of language.
And in the last two and a half years, we've seen the process of it changing from that
to language embeddings.
And it's one of the biggest stories sort of in the world.
And our take is the same thing is going to happen in geospatial data.
For 25 years, it was map tiles or the pure raster data, the pixels themselves, and that we're in the process of that changing
to geo-embeddings. And so our whole thesis, what Legend really is, is the stack for managing
embeddings, creating, tuning, and storing them, which is the output of these models
on the raw data itself. And just that's the wave we think
is going to happen for the same reason that because it's
happening in language.
Very exciting.
Thank you so much for stopping by.
Quick hit.
Happy to be here.
Do you have any news for us?
You raised money on that?
Yeah, we raised a $9 million round.
Oh, there we go.
Thank you.
Very exciting.
We have some great guys on it.
Kareem, your buddy, Ryan Delk was kind of our first check-in.
Fantastic.
No way.
So a lot of friends.
Yeah.
I've known Ryan for years.
Amazing.
He's the best.
That's great.
Thanks, guys.
Congratulations.
Well, congratulations to you and the team.
Appreciate it.
Thanks for having me.
Sure, we'll have you back on soon.
And we'll see you soon.
Have a good one.
Cheers.
We have to pull a video up and react to it.
Apparently, some guys were pull a video up and react to it apparently some guys
Were this?
Made a video this morning that I will drop into
For the production team to pull up
Here we go
They made a launch video. I think they're a company called Composio. Okay
And apparently we were
featured in it well well they violated the derivative works clause anyway so
let's watch it first time seeing this we're reacting oh there we go
hello my name is Jonathan Lou
today I'm launching Cupidly, the cursor for dating.
Let me show you how it works.
So when you visit the site, you first enter your type.
So let's enter my type.
Oh, this is Hingebench.
We've been talking about this.
This is not the video that I pulled up.
Then you go ahead and connect your Hinge profile.
This is AI agent for Hinge dates.
Okay. It scrapes your hinge
profile and it tries to do not the video not the video that I was referencing so
can you guys look in the in the tab getting some audio not this one not this
one this one second the first one there there's two videos okay so first they
violate the derivative clause and then I guess they drink tap out okay okay pull up the first one I just we're
gonna have to find out what that other video was oh yeah but that's a big viral
launch so someone launched agents yes we're not getting video guys I mean how
could it go wrong we got into fucking YC.
Yeah, that was useful. But eventually becoming nothing.
Just like the agents we built.
Fuck, Luli.
I wish our agents just worked.
Beautiful cinematography.
I sometimes wonder what it'd be like
if we had agents that actually were useful.
You are watching TBPS.
There we go.
We have some crazy founders on our show.
They literally went from almost going homeless to an AI agent unicorn.
Over the past few months our customers have turned old.
No fucking way! Our agents keep breaking. How did you fix that?
We started using this new tool.
I saw this agent AI thing on Facebook, but it made no sense to me.
Your new agents are amazing. They just work.
So how did you grow so fast?
Honestly, our agents sort of sucked before.
We tried to build everything ourselves.
Then we started using the friend of the show, Composio.
They're fucking great.
They allowed us to build these incredible agents.
Last year we got reliable agents.
Ones you could trust to code, test, and ship.
This year the shift is bigger.
Agents! Agents! Agents!
Teams aren't just working with agents, they're managing swarms.
Yes.
Dozens of agents.
Loading work.
Handing off contacts.
Self-correcting.
Agents! Agents! Agents!
Tough work.
Here we go.
This is amazing. Very drawn out.
OK.
Fix your agents before it's too late.
So Composio.
Very cool.
I'm pulling it up the skill layer of AI.
There was so much in that video.
Yeah, there was a lot going on in there,
but we'll pull up the second video now
because it sounds like they've respected our terms of use.
They respected it in the video.
I saw tap water in the video.
They don't even need to do a second video, but they did.
So thank you to them for respecting
the derivative of the works clause
and paying homage, homage.
I love how the team is able to deliver
20 hours of cinematic content a week,
but if you get them, try to get them to pull up a video.
Here we go.
Let's see this.
Look at this cinematography, so many cuts, wow.
This is fantastic editing.
Congratulations.
I can't fucking believe it.
You already tapped out.
There we go.
You love it.
Good job, guys.
Fantastic.
That's a fantastic match.
Full golden retriever mode.
Congratulations to them.
Love it.
So, we got to have them on.
They raised 29 million to build skills
that evolve with your agents. Okay, tomorrow we're having them on. They raised 29 million to build skills that evolve with your
agent. Okay, tomorrow we're having them on. We have slots, we will reach out. We'll make it happen.
We have one more guest. I think Chris is still in the restream waiting room. Is that correct?
Is that right? Chris, sorry to keep you waiting. There was a viral video. We had to react to it.
No worries. Thanks so much for hopping on. Thanks so much for the patience.
Kick us off with the introduction. How do you know TJ Parker?
Yeah, TJ Parker.
Man, we went to Sunday school together.
I think so.
25, 30 years ago.
That's a good start.
That's great.
But no, TJ's a dear friend.
We're both based out in Park City, Utah.
Oh, amazing, amazing.
And yeah, give us the introduction on the company,
the news, what else is going on in your world?
Yeah, so I'm Chris Andrew, co-founder and CEO for Scrunge AI.
We've built a customer experience platform
for the AI buyer journey.
Today we're announcing a $15 million Series A.
Congratulations.
But by decibel, you've been gone.
Thanks so much.
I did hit the gun.
And I mean, very simply our belief 18 months ago was that all of search was moving to be
AI search.
Yeah, really like we outsourced browsing without talking about the fact that we never wanted
to browse the internet.
It was inefficient.
We outsourced it.
AI does it for us.
And it means that AI visits websites instead of humans.
And so we're building a company around that shift.
Okay. Talk to me about the about the AI shopping journey recently.
We're looking for gear for our studio, basically always.
I wanted to build a mobile camera rig.
I needed certain features.
There's HDMI ports, this much battery life,
this much, all the camera.
Kind of describe what I want.
It puts together a little shopping list.
I send it to the production team.
We kind of go back and forth.
There are some links there.
I don't think those are affiliate links yet.
I feel like in the future there will be ads.
But but what else is important in terms of actually
positioning if you're selling a particular camera?
How do you make sure that you show up and you beat it out?
Because I kind of knew I wanted a Sony camera,
but they could have sold me on black magic there.
Black magic should have been hand wearing me.
They should have been paying open AI to be like, Hey,
have you considered this black magic one? And you know, the team likes black magic too.
So talk to me about all the different nuances that go into AI shopping.
Yeah, I think really ultimately all that top of funnel discovery,
kind of the 90% of the buyer journey,
which used to be you curating research from Reddit,
reviews, sites based on pricing, we've trusted open AI and
perplexity to do that for us. So you know, they're basically
running a search over a search index, which is increasingly
GPT's own search index. Prior, that was based on Bing or
Google or Brave, but they're looking at a list of websites, identifying title, description, snippet,
visiting the website, deciding if it's relevant based on the prompt that you
asked. So it's basically trying to match the intent of a human prompt to content
on websites to cite the sources that it deems relevant. So what we're seeing in
the end is buyer journeys that are massively reduced. People are arriving on a website and buying the first time they're there.
A lot of our customers are seeing 2 to 4X conversion from AI search visitors compared to organic search visitors.
And I think search and shopping will keep changing.
I just heard that GPT is embedding Shopify checkout in their feed.
They're taking a cut of that checkout.
I think it's 4% or something in terms of another cut
off the top.
But today what's happening is AI is doing the research,
citing sources, and we as humans are clicking out
to purchase and engage.
So how important is it if you run an e-commerce website
to go into Cloudflare and turn off that AI default?
Because that seemed like Matthew Prince came on the show,
a great entrepreneur, he's certainly working in favor
of content producers who might not want to be scraped
and have their, you know, the harder worked blogs
that they've developed automatically generated
in AI search results, but if I'm just selling a product,
I definitely want to be in search.
So how is that landscape shaping up these days?
Yeah, Matthew Prince, another great Park City local,
we've all got our fingers crossed he can buy the mountain.
We're pulling for him.
And also pulling for him that content creators
can get paid in AI crawling.
I think that model makes a lot of sense for Cloudflare.
Our customers on the other hand,
I think the 50 to 60% of the internet
that has a product or service to sell
is desperate to bring content online
to help AI understand their products and services.
So we still come across Fortune 500 brands
who have their site blocked.
And so when I ask a question about that brand,
what's the price, what's the product description,
compare it to XYZ, It's going out to the
open web to represent your product. So our customers are
like, my product and service is no longer what I say it is. It's
what chat GPT says it is. And if GPT can't access or can't
effectively utilize your content on your website, it's going to
pull from every other source that it can find on the
internet. So that's part of why we've launched what we call our agent experience platform
today, which is essentially an optimized version of your website.
So we take your website, we scrunch it called our brand scrunch,
because we literally want to strip away everything on a site that is confusing
the AI. These models don't read JavaScript. They struggle with carousels.
They're not converting your multimedia into texts.
Large language models want language
so it's critical for businesses to be enabling the crawling on their site and making that content rich and
Accurate for the crawlers to access and pull through. How is that actually different from just generic SEO?
I feel like if I had a video I'd want subtitles and text and like an HTML tag or something that
That just Google search could pull up anyway
There was kind of like that keyword stuffing era
Dump a bunch of words and white text on a white background at the bottom. Yeah one point font or whatever like yeah
It is that are we going back to that?
No, I mean, I think we're actually moving more towards human language and intent
I mean the keyword stuffing is a great example
If you if you pull up a recipe site, go Google chicken noodle soup,
you're gonna find the word chicken 60 times on that page.
It's absolutely manic.
AI wants the intent of the query.
So like if you ask GPT for a recipe,
it gives you the answer, right?
It kind of strips everything away
and reduces it to what you want.
So I do think we're actually returning
to a lot of core SEO principles.
You need language, large language models want language.
They're struggling with carousels and multimedia.
They need that text.
And so I think best practices in SEO,
ultimately my hope is we just call this search.
We get rid of GEO, AEO, AIO.
I ultimately think all of search is gonna be AI search
and it's agents retrieving content for us.
Anything else, Jordy?
No, this is great.
Thank you for joining.
Congratulations on the raise.
We will talk to you soon.
Thank you very much.
Thanks guys, appreciate it.
Have fun out there in Park City.
Give our best to TJ.
Yeah, we'll talk to you soon.
Have a good one, bye.
Let's rip through some timeline.
Did you see the Medieval Knight raising a seed round
of 500 gold ducats
at 3,000 ducats post, and they already have
their first LOI signed with the Holy Roman Empire.
Hard not to be bullish.
We must beat the Ming dynasty in the gunpowder race.
What is this video, by the way?
We gotta pull up this video.
Pull up the video.
I don't know if we can.
This is gonna be hard.
This is gonna be a big challenge.
It's an image right now, but it is in the tabs.
You might have to scroll way back.
Loosely modified after the Tannenberg Castle Gun,
mine is loaded with around 50 to 60 grains
of 2F black powder and fires a.75 caliber lead ball.
Heavy.
Do we have the video?
Can we pull it up?
One second.
This is an OG 2A enthusiasts right here in yeah indeed
I love that some founders alt Edward is just like completely transposing this to the defense tech meme
I was like we must beat the Ming dynasty in the gunpowder race like, you know, I've invented defense tech and
This guy is firing some sort of a castle gun. I've never heard of this before
apparently from
1400 so we should get one. They had guns 600 years ago. Wow. I thought that was more modern I thought that was like maybe 300 years ago, but when was the first gun created? Let's figure it out
Appeared in China the earliest firearms known as fire lances
appeared in China around the 10th century. They were essentially tubes, often
bamboo, filled with gunpowder and shrapnel mounted on spears. So they were
just made a lot of sense. You got a spear, you want to point it, you want some range,
throw on some gunpowder. More news, Nudge raised a hundred million dollar. We got the video
What are these guys doing by the way, this is like what is this? What is this operation? Where these guys legends?
That is so crazy
It is bamboo. It looks like it's bamboo. I don't know if it is but insane
Insane Ben get one of these for the studio. I need one. Yeah. Yeah for our next confetti cannon
We'll load up. Yeah with real as a confetti cannon, we'll load up that gunpowder.
Yeah, with real, as a confetti cannon
with real gunpowder. Just in YCDEM,
we'll be like, boom!
We're like shaking the whole building
every time someone announces a closed seed round.
Yes, Nudge, the brain computer interface company
co-founded by Fred Ersam, the co-founder of Coinbase,
says half the world will experience a brain disorder
in their lifetime.
At Nudge, we're building brain interfaces
that are safe, precise, and non-invasive
to solve that problem.
They raised $100 million in Series A,
led by Thrive Capital and Green Oaks to go faster.
We're hiring Join Us, very exciting.
Nudge, kind of the non-invasive Neuralink.
There's other news in here in the deck.
Neuralink just did two implantations in the same day.
So they're scaling the actual implantation
of the Neuralink device.
That of course requires invasive surgery.
Nudge does not.
It's a kind of a helmet that you put on,
but then can stimulate the brain in different ways
and solve a whole bunch of different brain disorders.
Very exciting stuff.
This very likely could be the key to scaling
from three to six hours a day.
I think so.
I put one of these on.
I mean, you can actually turn off sleepiness basically.
I mean, once you get the different,
it's literally like a tinfoil hat.
Put it on and it can just be like,
turn off fear, up-recul up regulate risk-taking go turbo long
Yeah mitigate you want you want capital alligators to?
Be super risk on but still get the weight loss benefits of yes. Yes. Yes. Yes exactly
This is a wild leak memo from and yes
Dario Dario is
So there's a leaked memo. Yeah, Anthropics CEO Dario.
Dario is basically justifying to the team
why they're gonna go directly to the Gulf to raise capital.
And this is not something that probably
should have ever been in a memo.
He says, unfortunately, I think no bad person
should ever benefit from our success,
is a pretty difficult principle to run a business on.
Just blanket putting the Gulf states in the
bad. So it's such a weird thing because you'd think you'd just be like I met
them, I dug in, I don't think they're bad people and so I'm doing business with
them and let's debate that and I think it's a Pareto improvement. Everyone has
made it better off by Anthropic working with the Gulf. That's the argument he
should be making but he's not I guess And so Dylan Patel says, entropic has been a series of ideological decisions later defeated
by business realities. We've talked about this before where, you know, it was like all
the, all the idealistic AI scientists were like, let's try doing this without capitalism.
And then, and then the AI God was just like, I actually enjoy capitalism. I enjoy it. It's thrilling to me.
Thrilling and I'd like 500 billion dollars.
You're exactly right, the right way to do something
like this is say, I went, we visited,
we spent a few days together.
We have a shared vision for how AI
can increase human prosperity.
Totally.
And with that, no.
Whatever the critiques are,
I don't even know what the critiques are of the UAE.
I'm sure there's a bunch of both the UAE and Qatar,
like there are all governments and every company
and every person ever.
But you dig in, you figure out,
oh yeah, how can we work together
to resolve any lingering problems?
Should we have a different perception?
Just be like, I'm going into business with someone
I think is bad.
Wild, wild choice.
Anyway.
In better news, Blake Scholl says,
at Mach 1.7, overture out flies Earth's rotation.
That's cool.
So you can have breakfast in London,
flight in New York for breakfast.
And then to San Francisco, just in time for breakfast.
This is gonna be huge for the breakfast dinner folks.
You ever been a breakfast for dinner guy?
Pancake dinner.
Yeah.
Pancake dinners, let's do it.
Kind of insane. As a kid, that was mind blowing. Yeah Kind of insane as a kid that was mind-blowing
For breakfast
Laughing at the concept of eating cereal for breakfast
Breakfast is so good
And when it's not my favorite really yeah, I'm not really okay I think I think it's my even even my default breakfast is like a breakfast burrito
Which is really like lunch or dinner masquerading as breakfast. You know yeah, it's kind of like sure
They've just kind of like swapped out. I just remember as a kid my dad making waffles. Yeah, dinner was so awesome
Yeah, yeah, oh it's amazing. Do we have the Tyler cam working? Can we can we check in with the final review of the Tesla?
Cafe, how was the experience? How far how far away? How long did it take you to get there from here?
It's like five minutes away. Oh, it's really close. Oh, wow. Okay, we could probably walk. Okay
Yeah, did they I wonder if they did that on purpose
We didn't get the invites
There yesterday we were behind the ball you had had to go do gumshoe reporting.
They know we're always live.
Yeah.
It's definitely cool.
The building is super cool.
There's a ton of stuff on the menu.
It's just like a diner.
Yeah, that's cool.
I mean, there was like, I don't know,
there's like hundreds of, not hundreds,
there's a lot of things on the menu
with every kind of meal.
Yeah, so like a thousand different things.
And I think it's open 24 hours.
24 hours, that's cool.
So maybe we go back later
Yeah, they have steak try something else. They have steak. They've dinner. I don't know if they have steak I guess you just get a burger when I look yeah, but
So we took a Tesla like to get there and then so when we parked you could see on the menu
Wait, how did you take a Tesla to get there Adam Adam as a Tesla? Oh, okay
He just owns one. Yeah, okay
It wasn't a it wasn't like a robot taxixy because the Robotexy is rolling out really aggressively
but it's not in LA yet but this feels like kind of tied, they're teasing, they're testing
the waters.
Anyway.
Yeah, I think the burger was solid.
How's the food sitting?
Are you feeling still good or any upset tummy?
I feel pretty good right now.
Feel pretty good.
We'll see.
Okay.
Yeah, it was cool.
I wouldn't go back just for the burger. Okay, maybe I would go back Would you would you go back and do a mukbang and eat every item on the menu?
You would eat every item you would try and eat every item on the menu during probably three hours every every item you have to
Eat them all. Yeah
Like is it a burger and a burger with bacon
What I saw I saw a graphic that had like 12 different items on it and so it'd be it'd be 12 different meals
Basically, I yeah
He's a growing boy. He's a growing boy
I think we'll come up with a better better challenge for you
You will win the iPhone within the next few weeks, but we got to come up with it's a little vulgar. I think we'll come up with a better challenge for you. You will win the iPhone within the next few weeks,
but we gotta come up with something good.
I wouldn't wanna put you through the mukbang.
I think it's probably a little bit too aggressive,
too hardcore on your body to try and eat all that food.
But one more.
Three hours though, three hours, three hour show.
Maybe you can do it.
You do the mukbang.
I gotta be here.
Yeah, exactly.
Anyways, we have a post here from Jira Tickets.
He's been an absolute regular recently.
Feels like he's on every other day.
Love Jira Tickets.
Says, ah yes, good morning.
Let's open up the infinite information river
for a nice 20 minutes before getting out of bed
or thinking any original thoughts at all.
I love it.
So real.
Because I wake up so early and I race over to your place
and then get in the car,
I haven't been opening the infinite information river
first thing in the morning.
I haven't been doing anything other than just,
actually I go outside.
I go outside and I get sun.
Who are we talking about that with?
Maybe Huberman or something?
Rob.
But Rob.
So I've been doing that and I don't know
if it's really been that much better.
But it's- been that much better
Sometimes the the light that blasts your eyes from your phone
Is the best alarm clock best and and when you open up your phone and you're greeted with a post like this
Just kicks you off to like a great start of the day. Yeah, just laughing
If you're enjoying can pin this to the top of the feed that you're having a great time. You're having a great time
Um, what else is in here? Oh, yeah, I mean we do have the post about
somebody built cursive or dating.
We gotta talk to this fellow.
Spent his life's.
Can we pull up the video now?
I was super confused earlier, but we may as well.
Spent my life savings on this cinematic video
because I have no VC money to burn.
Did one shot, very funny,
and then digs into AI agents for Hinge. the AI agent goes and scrolls your Hinge profile,
does all the swiping, all the talking,
and then surfaces matches that it thinks
you're actually interested in matching with.
So kind of like a layer on top of Hinge, I suppose.
Yeah, let's pull it up.
Let's see it.
I mean, the cinematography, fantastic,
for the first couple seconds,
and then it gets a little silly.
Hello, my name is Jonathan Liu.
It's cool shot, cool shot.
It says he ran out of money.
Today I'm watching cupidly the cursor for dating.
Let me show you how it works.
So when you visit the site, you first enter your type.
So let's enter my type.
What does he say?
I can't read that.
Then you would go ahead and connect your profile.
It's funny that he's censoring hinge
because it's obvious that hinge is in.
This big black button that starts searching
for people your type.
And this launches an AI agent that swipes for you
on hinge, filtering for people who feed.
Why is he censoring it?
Everyone knows.
And then also it seems like he's harnessing hinge
in some weird way because I don't think Hinge has an API.
Tyler, do you know if Hinge has an API?
Not that I've looked, but I don't think there is.
Okay, because I imagine that they would not want this to happen.
They don't want bots on their network whatsoever.
...and oh, this picture's pretty cute.
Let's go ahead and send some messages.
The LY is really coming back.
You can either send a message using AI or send a message.
Yeah, it was a real throwback.
Yeah, and then you send a message using AI.
That's wild. I don't know what this is a stunt for. I don't know how serious he is
about this but I mean AI dating clearly gonna be something there. This is an
interesting go-to-market. Maybe it's controversial. I mean you got ten thousand
likes, a million views. Yeah I think it's very clear the dating apps don't want
people building experiences on top of them. Yeah. And they will try to own this type of experience.
But we're talking about it.
So it sounds like a successful launch.
Well, we got to jump.
We got to film an ad.
I'll close it out with Mike Krieger,
co-founder of Instagram at Anthropic.
He says, today I'm excited to share
that I'm joining Figma's board of directors,
having known Dylan for years and watched him build
The platform that's become essential for design teams. I'm looking forward to partnering with him and the figma team on what's next fantastic
Heading in the IPO
So congratulations to everyone involved in that last one please close close so
everyone involved in that. Last one, close so investments.
It says, not calling a top here because of AI, yada, yada, yada.
But White House eliminates day trading regulation.
Polymarket returns to the US.
Robinhood enables 24-7 EU gambling.
The architects of the 2022 SPAC bubble are posting.
CNBC guys have a crypto treasury play.
Wall Street bets.
Meme crashes 40%
and almost closes negative.
I don't understand that one.
If we blow up later this summer,
can't say there weren't signs.
I mean, the benefit of like,
you know, he's saying this stuff.
And what he says is all I'm saying
is what is going on is pretty crazy.
Yes, I mean, the benefit is that
if no one's saying this,
then you need to be really worried.
Cause at least people are saying this
and then they're thinking it.
And then hopefully people are pulling back
before you get to a true precipice.
I feel like in 2021, 2020, people
were saying this is crazy.
Yeah.
Unless he's saying all insane is what's going on.
Pretty crazy.
Pretty crazy.
Pretty crazy.
Hypercapitalism.
We'll see.
We'll see.
Gotta love it.
Anyway.
Thank you so much for watching.
Last but not least.
Last one.
What you got?
Hope. Hope. Oh, yeah. Hope's Revenge. One of the top Last but not least, Hope's Open,
one of the top posters in the world,
topping the power ranking.
Originally said, my GF is upset
because her favorite albino alligator
was bought by Anthropic and ruined.
And then he actually has a picture here
and it says, the care of Claude the alligator
is generously supported by Anthropic. I think this is great
I don't see why it's ruined. I love to see big AI
Supporting alligators. Yes, and I actually want to get I'm really excited for
BCI's brain computer interfaces to get into the alligator category
They're pretty wild you ever I mean just pull up a picture of an alligator. These things are insane. Yeah fact that they're pretty wild. You ever, I mean, just pull up a picture of an alligator. These things are insane.
The fact that they're just cruising around is wild.
No one's working on humanoid alligators,
like robotic alligators.
We've seen, maybe that's the killer form factor.
Everybody's saying, oh, you guys could do incubations.
I feel like a robotic alligator
would be a good defense tech play too.
Yeah, I mean, there's a lot of investment in bears.
Robotic bears. Yeah, you let the robotic alligator can sneak under stuff swim jump up run attack the terrorists
Yeah, attack the enemy seems like an alligator a robotic alligator with drone based wings
So it could actually fly while snapping could reshape the modern battlefield
Could be looking at billion dollars in market debt.
Home defense play too.
If you had some robo-alligators on the roof,
and you had somebody breaking in.
I'm big into motes.
I'm big into motes.
What am I going to put in the motes?
That's right.
Alligators.
Yeah, and there's going to be some upkeep costs
with maintaining a fleet of robotic alligators,
but probably less than how many chickens or cows
you've got to throw in the moat. Exactly. If they're real alligators. So yeah less than how many chickens or cows you gotta throw in the moat. Exactly, exactly.
If they're real alligators.
So yeah, I think more single family homes
should have moats.
Yep.
Right, we're always talking about businesses,
talking to founders.
What's your moat, what's your moat?
Meanwhile, we're sitting in houses that don't have moats.
And I think that should change.
So lots of opportunity in Alpha here
at the end of the show.
Fantastic.
Have a great day.
We will see you tomorrow.
Cannot wait.
Have a great evening.
Bye.