TBPN Live - OpenAI's New CEO of Applications Shares Optimistic Memo, Stargate Hits Early Struggles, P&G Pays Unilever $10M in Spying Case | Anatoly Yakovenko, Aaron Levie, Neil Parikh & Daniel Cahn, Jan Sramek, Nathaniel Manning, Chris Andrew

Episode Date: July 22, 2025

(00:26) - OpenAI Product Roadmap (35:47) - OpenAI to Pay Oracle $30B Per Year (39:41) - Stargate Hits Early Struggles (46:53) - Musk Allies to Raise $12B for xAI (56:23) - Intern Cam Liv...e from Tesla Diner (01:05:50) - Anatoly Yakovenko, co-founder and CEO of Solana Labs, discusses the inception and evolution of Solana, emphasizing its design for high-performance and scalability to support global financial systems. He highlights the network's ability to process more transactions than all major blockchains combined, attributing this to its unique architecture and focus on speed. Yakovenko also addresses the challenges of decentralization, the importance of real-world asset tokenization, and the role of AI in enhancing blockchain development. (01:35:28) - Aaron Levie, co-founder and CEO of Box, discusses how AI agents are revolutionizing enterprise software by automating tasks and enhancing productivity. He emphasizes that AI adoption in enterprises is accelerating rapidly, with organizations integrating AI to transform workflows and unlock new opportunities. Levie also highlights the importance of leveraging proprietary data assets, as AI agents can extract unique insights, providing companies with a competitive edge. (02:06:13) - Neil Parikh & Daniel Cahn discuss the launch of Ash, an AI-powered therapy platform designed to address the global mental health crisis by providing scalable, accessible support. They highlight the platform's development process, including training on clinical data and reinforcement learning, to ensure safety and efficacy. Parikh emphasizes that Ash is not intended to replace human therapists but to augment mental health services, offering continuous support and helping users build stronger real-world connections. (02:16:25) - Jan Sramek, founder and CEO of California Forever, discusses the Solano Foundry, a 2,100-acre advanced manufacturing park planned as part of a new city in Solano County, California. He emphasizes the importance of co-locating research and development with manufacturing to accelerate innovation and compete globally, drawing lessons from historical U.S. manufacturing hubs and China's integrated hardware ecosystems. Sramek highlights the project's potential to create a vibrant, walkable community offering quality of life improvements, such as short commutes and accessible amenities, to attract and retain a skilled workforce. (02:28:12) - Nathaniel Manning, CEO of Legend AI, discusses the company's mission to make Earth searchable by training large models on satellite and drone imagery, enabling users to query geospatial data over space and time. He explains that while much of this imagery is freely available from sources like the European Space Agency's Sentinel program and NASA, higher-resolution or more recent data can be purchased as needed. Manning also outlines Legend AI's three-tiered product stack: an API level for developers, an enterprise product, and a consumer application, all designed to harness the vast potential of geospatial data. (02:43:49) - Chris Andrew, co-founder and CEO of Scrunch AI, discusses the company's recent $15 million Series A funding led by Decibel and their development of a customer experience platform tailored for the AI buyer journey. He highlights the shift from traditional browsing to AI-driven search, emphasizing the need for businesses to optimize their online presence for AI agents. Andrew also introduces Scrunch AI's agent experience platform, designed to enhance website compatibility with AI models by simplifying content and improving accessibility. (02:50:32) - Timeline TBPN.com is made possible by: Ramp - https://ramp.comFigma - https://figma.comVanta - https://vanta.comLinear - https://linear.appEight Sleep - https://eightsleep.com/tbpnWander - https://wander.com/tbpnPublic - https://public.comAdQuick - https://adquick.comBezel - https://getbezel.com Numeral - https://www.numeralhq.comPolymarket - https://polymarket.comAttio - https://attio.com/tbpnFin - https://fin.ai/tbpnGraphite - https://graphite.devRestream - https://restream.ioFollow TBPN: https://TBPN.comhttps://x.com/tbpnhttps://open.spotify.com/show/2L6WMqY3GUPCGBD0dX6p00?si=674252d53acf4231https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/technology-brothers/id1772360235https://www.youtube.com/@TBPNLive

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Starting point is 00:00:00 You're watching TVPN. Today is Tuesday, July 22nd, 2025. We are live from the TVPN, Ultra Dome, the Temple of Technology, the Fortress of Finance, El Capital de Capital. El Capital de Capital. Massive post from Fiji Simo, the CEO of Applications at OpenAI.
Starting point is 00:00:20 She is outlining what her plan is basically, and it's a very, very interesting post. So, Fiji CMO is an absolute boardroom general. Give me the Ashton Hall. When Fiji CMO. Yes, Fiji CMO. Open AI and Spotify Board of Directors positions. Huge runs at eBay, Facebook and Instacart. Now she's the CEO of applications at Open AI and Spotify Board of Directors positions, huge runs at eBay, Facebook, and Instacart.
Starting point is 00:00:45 Now she's the CEO of applications at Open AI. Today she outlined how she sees Open AI's products having the biggest impacts. High level, six things. Knowledge retrieval, health, creative expression, economic freedom, time, and support, and those are kind of getting, I think, more abstract, more vague as they go along,
Starting point is 00:01:05 but it's interesting, they map pretty closely to my experience, knowledge retrieval, I use it as a Google replacement for a lot of things. I use Deep Research as a knowledge retrieval product. I also use it a little bit as WebMD replacement, not a ton, but I've seen a lot of people use that, but I do ask it for advice around health, fitness, recommendations for supplements,
Starting point is 00:01:29 all sorts of different stuff. Often I'll just go there and say, what type of creatine does Andrew Huberman recommend and it'll just one shot it? Or complex medical. Fortunately I haven't been in one of those situations recently, but if I did run into one of those situations is I would definitely go to it it is it is interesting because previously when people were trying to understand maybe a small health issue
Starting point is 00:01:53 you're having they would go do a Google search add Reddit to it and then they would look through the comments and the comments would provide kind of like context on the symptoms or whatever they were dealing with. And you could technically leave a comment. But I think the majority of people wouldn't want to post about that. So the fact that OpenAI has all that Reddit data, you can get that same type of data.
Starting point is 00:02:16 But then you can kind of ask a number of follow-up questions, which is very cool, very powerful. I'm certain that people are probably misusing it, maybe reading too much into the results. But again, the idea, I think for a long time, doctors that would say, don't look on Google, you're just gonna stress yourself out, and then you go into the appointment room
Starting point is 00:02:39 and they're over there on the equivalent of Dr. Google. You're doing the same thing. Totally, it's nothing new. People used to go to WebMD, and the meme was like, you go to WebMD, and no matter what you type in, it says, could be cancer. Could be the worst possible thing. But it might just be a cold, and maybe you
Starting point is 00:02:56 should just take some Advil. But for whatever reason, WebMD felt the need to give you the full picture and all the possibilities. And then they'd of course say like go Consult an expert or talk to your doctor. So but yes, I definitely see it Replacing that type of health experience also I'm using as a Photoshop of replacement a fair amount of time if I need to just quickly generate an image
Starting point is 00:03:20 Quickly generate something that I would have normally gone to a 3D rendering program or Photoshop and kind of created a collage to kind of illustrate my idea. Huge tailwind for the meme industrial complex. Huge tailwind. Still a lot to work out there. I do find that sometimes when I go to images and chat GPT, I'm going back and forth on the prompt for 10 minutes
Starting point is 00:03:41 and I'm like, I could have just done this with traditional tools. So it's not perfect, but when it gets it, it's so amazing. And the final product often looks a lot more cohesive than what I would get if I was like collaging and like the shadows didn't match and there were like rough edges and stuff. So certainly great there.
Starting point is 00:03:57 The last three are a bit more vague. We'll have to read into those, but OpenAI is set up to win pretty big in all of these categories. So semi-analysis, clocks, chat, GPTs, share of queries, it's 71%. Meta is in second at 12%. And that's with billions of users on Meta products. And so OpenAI is certainly running away with consumer.
Starting point is 00:04:21 So there's this question of like, it feels like the rest of consumer AI plays will be, I would say like horizontal in the sense that it won't be a new app on your home screen. Meta won't have Meta AI as a home screen app. Loses their lead and becomes the Yahoo of AI, but that doesn't feel likely. Yeah, it feels tough. Why did Yahoo lose to Google?
Starting point is 00:04:48 It's because there was an entirely new paradigm in PageRank, a new algorithm emerged. Sure, if that happens from SSI or super intelligence, meta super intelligence, there could be a leapfrog moment. But so far, they've been pretty good at staying near the frontier, to the point where it's like, okay, Google got them on this one,
Starting point is 00:05:08 or GROK got them on this one today, but there hasn't been a time when I've been like, okay, there is a dramatic difference in the results such that it's worth it for me to go over. There was that moment for Claude for a little bit, everyone was like Claude's way better, I went over and used Claude for a bit, and then I went back to OpenAI
Starting point is 00:05:25 just because the product was better and had more of an ecosystem. Product lead is very real. Yeah, I was thinking about this, if you played out a hypothetical scenario and you went and you had the keys to OpenAI HQ, you went and you exfiltrated all the code, everything, got an app into the app store, Geordie GPT, you have the exact same model, the exact same inference, the exact same UI, everything.
Starting point is 00:05:57 Could you win? Because people would say, well, it's not better better There's we we live on a part of the internet where people are constantly debating the merits and of the leadership teams and the approaches And the philosophies but then downstream you have approaching a billion users that Are just like yeah, I like I like the product. I use it a lot Yeah And so even if you ran a Super Bowl ad saying like, we have a product that's exactly as good as ChatGPT, it is feature for feature. Feature parity. People would be like, but I already have it installed.
Starting point is 00:06:32 You're asking me for two minutes to uninstall this and reinstall the new one, and then I don't get any benefit. I wouldn't do it. Even if you match my capabilities, you got a leapfrog. It's funny, so Jason Fried had a great post, relevant yesterday, he said, feature parity is just another way to say,
Starting point is 00:06:48 we don't need to exist. So if you come out and you're so good at what you do that you can create as good of a product as open AI, models that are as good, you still don't need to exist. And so that is the challenge for anyone competing. If you, let me tell you about ramp.com. Time is money, safe, both, easy to use corporate cards, bill payments, accounting, and a whole lot more,
Starting point is 00:07:11 all in one place, go to ramp.com. Really quickly, so it feels like the rest of consumer AI plays will be horizontal. There won't be a new AI app for Meta that really takes off. Instead, AI will improve everything Meta does across Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, Quest, et cetera. AI app for Meta that really takes off. Instead, AI will improve everything Meta does across Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, Quest, et cetera. And I was thinking about the initial take off of Facebook. The other tech companies, they didn't really seriously get to compete
Starting point is 00:07:36 in social networking. Google Plus never really took off. I guess Microsoft bought LinkedIn and that's kind of a niche social network, very profitable business, great business, but it is like its own thing, it doesn't directly compete. But graph databases and the idea of storing efficiently connections in graph networks like Facebook kind of pioneered, that became really widespread and was used all over the place.
Starting point is 00:08:04 And the same thing with Google search, like this page rank, just better search algorithms, those wound up manifesting in better search in all sorts of products. And so when a new company comes out and builds a whole paradigm, or they break through in terms of front end development or database development or some sort of structure like it winds up,
Starting point is 00:08:26 it winds up improving everyone. And so I think, I think AI will have these like horizontal benefits all over the ecosystem. I think it makes a ton of sense that that met is investing so much in super intelligence, but it's not, I don't really think the narrative should be like they need to play catch up to chat GPT. I think it's more like they just need to implement LLMs in every single crack in all of their different systems like they do with great databases, great infrastructure.
Starting point is 00:08:55 I'm not sure. We'll see how things are. I still think there's, I mean, remember Meta made some early experiments of making digital clones of big celebrities on Instagram. I still think they'll take more shots on goal around companionship. Will they go grok waifu mode? No, I don't think they want that revenue line. But there's a bunch of other ways in which they could kind of go after that market.
Starting point is 00:09:21 That I don't even think, I mean, chat GPT is such an interesting product because it's designed to be a functional tool around knowledge retrieval creative expression just unlocking consumer surplus giving people access to expertise etc and the the way in which people are using it as a companion is sort of not the sort of default. It's not like you name your chat GPT, right? People will give it a name. Yeah. But it doesn't really stack.
Starting point is 00:09:51 It's certainly not baked into the UI in the way that it could be. Yeah. I know people do talk to you. So I, again, I've said it before, but as chat GPT user hours are just user minutes still, but as they're ticking up, I do think Zuck will look at that and say, I want some of that action.
Starting point is 00:10:11 Yeah, yeah, and maybe some of that, but I still think some of that happens inside of the platforms. I don't know that they're building a new app. Yeah, not necessarily in that new app. It would be very difficult. And Meta has yet to really do it, WhatsApp and acquisition, Instagram and acquisition,
Starting point is 00:10:28 but Stories, massively successful, within Instagram. And so I would expect, I agree with your take, that I think there's an opportunity for a lot of AI stuff to live within those apps. And then also just on the monetization side, they're in a very unique space where they can give great products away for free, but they can't be charged an inference cost
Starting point is 00:10:49 to another company. And so if they have their own open source model that they can inference very cheaply, they can give it away for free and then they leverage their massive ad network. So let's go through what Fiji CIMO over at OpenAI is building. So in a few weeks I'll be joining OpenAI
Starting point is 00:11:04 as CEO of applications. We've all been waiting for this moment. Helping to get OpenAI's technology into the hands of more people around the world. I've always considered myself a pragmatic technologist, someone who loves technology, not just for its own sake, but for the direct impact it can have on people's lives. That's what makes this job exciting,
Starting point is 00:11:22 since I believe AI will unlock more opportunities for more people than any other technology in history. If we get this right, AI can give everyone more power. And so she has a fantastic career, eBay, Facebook, then Instacart, and is now at OpenAI. And she was heavily involved in building the ads engine at Instacart, correct? Yeah. Yeah, and obviously Facebook as well So in on knowledge she says empowerment starts with understanding the world around us and our place in it When we have the right knowledge at the right time
Starting point is 00:11:55 We can make better decisions advocate for ourselves and change our path But for most of history access to expert level knowledge has been limited to those with more resources I mean even even after the invention of the printing press like you still had to be in a big city that had a library to go check out a book for free still had to have the time to do it and And certainly buying every book and being able to index it was very expensive and difficult now. It's even easier It's already working people who use AI tutors learn twice as much as they do from human ones and the gains are even bigger compared to learning in a traditional classroom. In a 2024 OpenAI study, 90% of users said ChatGPT helped them understand complex ideas more easily.
Starting point is 00:12:34 I agree with that. On health, she says, personally, I'm most excited about the breakthroughs that AI will generate in healthcare. A few years ago, I faced a complex and poorly understood chronic illness on its end and it became painfully clear just how fragmented and inaccessible the healthcare system can be even with access from some of the best doctors in the world.
Starting point is 00:12:52 I found myself acting as a connector piecing together insights from multiple specialists who weren't speaking to each other. I actually had a friend who got a very, very rare form of cancer and did all of the research, pre-Chatchie PT, actually downloaded all the frontier science and all the different papers, figured out that it was this one very rare condition, found the expert, went to that expert, he was like, yep, you have this thing,
Starting point is 00:13:17 I'm the only one that studies this thing, I'm gonna help you, did the surgery, saved your life. Crazy. I had an issue, I was 18 traveling. I was surfing in South America. There was flash flooding. I was in this tiny town. I got a antibiotic resistant staph infection from that.
Starting point is 00:13:36 And then was getting repeated infections over the next year. And the doctor kept prescribing antibiotics that were so, I mean, such an intense antibiotic that doctors won't, it's like a soap, they won't touch it without gloves on. And they use it before surgeries. And they just said use this twice a day over your entire body.
Starting point is 00:13:59 And I kept having issues and eventually found in a Reddit community that was just obsessed over this issue and the thing that fixed it was avoiding gluten. It actually just fixed everything. That's so crazy. And I just imagine if I was like, even now if I was dealing with that issue, I would have been able to,
Starting point is 00:14:20 I would have just been able to talk with ChatGPT about it. They would be able to surface all that kind of thing build it build a picture of it. So Very interesting. Well Let me tell you about restream one live stream 30 plus destinations multi-stream and reach your audience wherever they are We use the backbone of this show So she closes out health saying AI can explain lab results decode medical jargon offer second opinions and help patients health saying AI can explain lab results, decode medical jargon, offer second opinions, and help patients understand their options
Starting point is 00:14:46 in plain language. It won't replace doctors, but it can finally level the playing field for patients, putting them in the driver's seat of their own care. Very excited for that. And also, that feels like something, I don't know, yeah, just like, I don't know. It'll be interesting to see if that manifests itself in,
Starting point is 00:15:04 like, all of this is like, will there be any fracturing in the actual product? Because right now, all the fracturing that's happening in the ChatGPT product is in what model you're using, you're using agent or deep research, but so far, all the different products. They're all chats. Yeah, they're all chats, and none of them say,
Starting point is 00:15:23 this one's for health, this one, and I'm in like a safe health territory. It's like, that's all driven by the prompt. I would imagine that over the long term, everything's driven by the prompt. I would love to be able to go to ChatGPT and just say, hey, quickly, what's the population of Canada? And it knows to use 4.0 for that.
Starting point is 00:15:40 And then if I say, hey, I want you to give me a full report on the history of Canada, give me a deep research report, I wouldn't need to select it. It would just know from the prompt. And you can go to chat.gptagent, help me annex Canada. And then it just goes in states. Yeah, don't mistake. And then it just keeps working.
Starting point is 00:15:58 So the third one, she says, creative expression. I believe we're all born creators and that the ability to imagine something and make it real is a big part of what makes us human. The problem and that the ability to imagine something and make it real is a big part of what makes Us human the problem is that our ability to express that creativity is often limited by our skill sets completely agree I can't draw at all Not everyone has the resources time or training to paint write compose or build when I imagine the future it often comes to me in Images I paint in my spare time, but the we kind of find some Fiji Seymour originals
Starting point is 00:16:23 But I'll hang them on the wall. This is interesting. It's a lore. But the images in my head are much more realistic and complex than what I am able to paint today. Now AI is collapsing the distance between imagination and execution. With AI and image generation, I can prompt and iterate
Starting point is 00:16:37 until the output matches the complexity and realism of the vision in my head, unless it's a Where's Waldo. We gotta solve the Where's Waldo challenge. We do. It's coming for sure. The Where's Waldo eval for image generation. Today nearly one in three Gen Z users say AI tools have helped them express themselves
Starting point is 00:16:55 in ways they never could. So this is another fun, viral, obvious, valuable, like we know it, we love it, everyone's using ChatGPT for creative expression. Well yeah, and this presents a massive challenge if you are a a GPT rapper that's trying to go compete in the creative expression space
Starting point is 00:17:17 because you have to, it's not enough to generate a cool image or generate a meme. It used to be that if you could do text well, that would maybe be an advantage that people would use your product. But ChatGPT image generation has just gotten better and better and better. It's fantastic.
Starting point is 00:17:36 If you haven't played around with it much, drop your group chat, the profile pictures of your most popular group chat, put them in there and say make them all gigachats and then you can share that back. Yeah, for sure. Well, you start with generating an image in ChatGPT, then when you're ready to go pro, you move over to Figma.
Starting point is 00:17:56 Figma.com, think bigger, build faster. Figma helps design and development teams build great products together. You can get started for free at Figma.com. Fourth, she says, economic freedom. When people can independently create and capture value, they gain power over their own economic destiny. But starting a company isn't easy.
Starting point is 00:18:13 The average cost to start a small business in the US is around $30,000, an impossible threshold for most aspiring entrepreneurs. And until recently, building a product or launching a service required technical knowledge, especially coding. That was a problem for hundreds of millions of people who had ideas for tools, apps, platforms, et cetera, that could have made an impact,
Starting point is 00:18:31 but they didn't have the technical skills to bring them to life. The classic ideas guy, I just need a programmer to build it for me. Well, now you can vibe code it. AI now gives the people the power to turn ideas into income no matter their age, credentials, or zip code. A single person can now brainstorm, prototype, market,
Starting point is 00:18:47 and launch a product with tools they control themselves. A 2024 Shopify report showed AI-enabled solopreneurs launched businesses 70% faster than peers without AI tools. I've seen it with my nine-year-old daughter, who decided one day she wanted to be a party planner for kids birthdays Let's give it up for it's amazing
Starting point is 00:19:08 What a great story In one weekend using AI tools She created a fully functional websites showcasing her party ideas shared it with her peers and started taking on clients Amazingly my husband and I didn't have to help her But we didn't have to intervene before the confetti cannons were ordered. That's a great story. Ben, good reminder, we should get some confetti cannons. We do need confetti cannons.
Starting point is 00:19:29 Except last time when we had confetti cannons at YC Demo Day, my eyes were in pain for days and days. We need goggles next time. Days? Yeah, there was so much dust in the confetti cannon. We left it all in the field. We did, we did. In the future, people will be able to build new things
Starting point is 00:19:47 without waiting for permission, capital or credentials. This will of course will mean a meaningful shift in the workforce, companies will hire fewer people. So you get more smaller companies, that seems pretty cool. Yeah, my first real company, skateboard company, J-Man Designs. Probably, I don't know if I would have done it
Starting point is 00:20:05 if my lovely mother wasn't a graphic designer and I needed a logo to print on the decks that I was getting made. And I just would sit with her and tell her, you know, do this, do that, do this, do that. And yeah, it's pretty cool that you can now just talk through that process in natural language and have any more people.
Starting point is 00:20:26 It was pretty crazy you ran a skateboard company without doing proper SOC 2 compliance. I know. You should have gone on Vanta. Automate compliance, manage risk, prove trust continuously. Vanta's trust management platform takes the manual work out of your security and compliance process.
Starting point is 00:20:38 Huge alpha just starting an extreme sports company and saying, look, none of our competitors are serious enough about this to get to really take compliance and security as seriously as you should? Yeah, I mean, I do think for kids especially, I mean, the ability to just use AI tools fully to go and solve problems. And it's almost like your your towns
Starting point is 00:21:05 McKinsey consultant I remember I had an early job of just like scanning photos for someone they needed a whole bunch of photo scanners like pretty manual labor but like I actually wasn't that good I kind of messed it up it was like too much like the the scanner wasn't configured properly so a lot of the side to redo a lot of them it It was a learning process, but it's probably the first one of the first small jobs I had. The only thing that's maybe boring and repetitive that I can imagine you doing is the bench press.
Starting point is 00:21:36 Oh yeah. It should basically be the same every time. Yes. But yeah, those type of tasks I've always struggled with. But I don't know that we're at a point, I still think if you were using, I don't think that, I think that job still exists. I think it does.
Starting point is 00:21:52 I think there are bigger companies where you can just like send in a ton of stuff and they'll just professionally scan it for you. But they're pretty expensive, I think. So I think the kids still have some alpha if your opportunity cost is low enough. As many kids are fifth, she says time regaining control over your time is one of the most liberating empowering ships a person can experience.
Starting point is 00:22:16 The ability to control how you spend your time is often what separates people who feel in charge of their lives from people who feel overwhelmed by them. Wealthy people who have always bought back their time by hiring personal assistants, household staff, private tutors, chefs, and more building full infrastructures to reduce friction in their lives. Meanwhile the average household spends nearly 20 hours a week on domestic work, logistics, and errands. While leading Instacart I saw firsthand how technology can shift perceptions and behaviors around time. In 2012 the idea of paying someone to shop
Starting point is 00:22:45 for your groceries felt like a luxury, something reserved for the ultra wealthy. But with the right product design, logistics, and pricing, we made it accessible and indispensable for everyday families. Today, the Instacart user base mirrors the US population with millions of families getting hours back each week to spend on higher value activities.
Starting point is 00:23:02 The question is, will OpenAI build a gig worker network where when your agent runs into a wall and needs somebody in the real world to accomplish a task, will you be able to delegate tasks like that? Feels like a stretch, but I don't know. They could plug into the Uber network or any of these other networks. Yeah, maybe they'll, I mean,
Starting point is 00:23:23 they already have like an Instacart integration. So maybe they will rely on other gig work platforms to solve those problems and actually handle that side. And they will stay in the full software. Like the package delivery where you can get an Uber to just pick something up and take it across town. You could imagine that being integrated. Yeah, I mean, there's a host of services and companies
Starting point is 00:23:48 and APIs for shipping, mailing, moving things around, hiring someone. I mean, in theory, you could hire a personal chef and be communicating. Your agent could be emailing with them and say, hey, be here at this time. There's this party here. And it's kind of, it doesn't need to be,
Starting point is 00:24:05 it doesn't even, you don't even maybe need a gig work platform because the agent can go out and scroll Instagram in theory and find someone who's advertising that service or Google it and find a listing of local people providing that job and go and retain their services directly. Interesting, I believe AI will allow for a similar shift in many areas of lifetime consuming activities
Starting point is 00:24:30 like researching decisions, planning vacations, scheduling a tutor, and more can be done by an AI agent that anyone can access as we build new products. We have a chance to make these time-saving capabilities feel not only useful but routine. In doing so, we can empower people to regain control of their time and attention. And I certainly feel that,
Starting point is 00:24:47 something that I would need to sit down 15 minutes looking for a new studio space or something, fire off agent and come back with some interesting results. Anyway, let me tell you about graphite.dev, code review for the age of AI. Graphite helps teams on GitHub ship higher quality software faster, get started for free, graphite.dev. Last one, support.
Starting point is 00:25:09 For many people, the biggest barriers to progress aren't lack of access or opportunity, but self-doubt, isolation, and burnout. Sometimes what's most empowering is support, someone or something that can help us reflect, feel seen, or simply move forward with clarity and confidence. My business coach, Katya, has been transformative
Starting point is 00:25:26 in my career, I've joked with her over the years that everyone needs a Katya in their pocket. Personalized coaching has obviously been a privilege reserved for a few, but now with Chai GPT, it can be available to many. This is something I have not used. This feels like we're getting further out on the curve of like, you know, defining what the product is.
Starting point is 00:25:43 Like knowledge retrievalval is so concrete, generating an image, very concrete. Now support is much more of an amorphous product and there's some companies out there that are doing it right now. It's not a drop-in replacement and there's much more to define about what this product looks like
Starting point is 00:25:59 or how people actually use this. Yeah, it's very general. There's gonna be vertical specific companionship products. Right, we've seen this. What's the founder that we had on? The Replica was one of the original ones started like a decade ago. Grok, Grok Heavy 4 has their own specific iteration.
Starting point is 00:26:19 But then this is also to be clear, the area of greatest concern, where it's very clear, if you have a business coach telling you, John, you got this, you're incredible, you're built different, that's great. But then when you tell them that you've discovered how to break the space time continuum, and they go, yeah, you're actually right.
Starting point is 00:26:44 You're right, John. Hit Sand Hill Road right now.'re actually right. You're right, John. You're right. You're absolutely right. You did figure this out. And so I think they need to figure out the guard rails for this category and I'm sure that's top of mind for everybody at the company right now. Yeah, for sure. AI coaches on the other hand can be available
Starting point is 00:27:00 throughout every day. She says, this isn't about replacing human connection but filling a gap that often goes unfilled. Many people don't feel comfortable opening up to family or friends and most people don't have access to a therapist or coach they can call regularly. Even people who do have access often spend an hour a week or less with these professionals. At the core of philosophy and religion is the idea of self-knowledge to become who we want to be. We have to understand who we are.
Starting point is 00:27:25 So very interesting. Anyway, let me tell you about Linear, linear.app. Linear is a purpose-built tool for planning and building products, meet the system for modern software development, streamline issues, projects, and product roadmaps. It is what OpenAI uses to build their products. That's true.
Starting point is 00:27:41 So yeah, I think it's interesting to see, how useful is it to have these six ideas in mind, because in many ways, like, chat GPT, the magic of it is that it's just a blank text box, and you can do anything with it, and then these properties emerge. Like, the, yeah, I mean, like, Google, over time, had to figure out, okay, there are people that are searching for products,
Starting point is 00:28:09 let's surface them the Google shopping experience. And that is a specific UI that is triggered when you search for a certain product. If you ask for, you know, like best headphones over the ear under $200, like it will just put you in a different product more or less, instead of just the 10 blue links. Same thing for, if you're asking for a movie, it will pull up the pictures of this cast and the year and show you the
Starting point is 00:28:37 Wikipedia page and like, or news, it'll take you to the news portal. And I'm wondering like how much of this will actually bifurcate into different trees with different rules and different features, because for something like support, I don't know that if I'm having a conversation with a coach about a strategy that I want it to wait 15 minutes to get back to me. That might be something I wanted to do separately,
Starting point is 00:29:04 but then if it's health and I'm uploading my health records or some documents, I'm like, really, really, really don't hallucinate. So like take as much time as possible. Again, that's something that right now I would decide as the user, but I'm wondering if this by-for-case-well. Well, yeah, obviously, OpenAI, Chatchabuti, as a business,
Starting point is 00:29:21 when anybody wants to do anything, they want people to go there. When you want companionship, you wanna talk with somebody about something, you go there. When you want to, they do the book of flight demo that's overplayed, but they wanna own that. When somebody's shopping, they wanna own that. When somebody's trying to diagnose a medical issue,
Starting point is 00:29:39 they're trying to own that. So I just look at this article, this essay, whatever you wanna call it, as a way for people internally at OpenAI to sort themselves into what area, these are all different verticals that I can imagine people working on. Like I want to go to Chachi BT and work on health, right? Or give people their time back.
Starting point is 00:29:59 I was listening to Ben Thompson talk about the flight booking agent demo, and he was like, I have a personal assistant, I book my own flights. And I think that's very, very common where it's like, he's so specific about what he wants that he's fine to just do it and it doesn't take that much time. And so I do wonder how- I have a flight booking AGI.
Starting point is 00:30:20 Yeah, in your brain? First name ramp, last name travel. That's true, yeah, I mean still it's When I use that it's like I'm in control. It just does all it harnesses everything to bring all the data together Yeah, the interesting thing I've had Eas over the years. I've had remote EAs. I've had EAs that are embodied real people that are absolute killers. And I find that the internet already makes it so easy
Starting point is 00:30:50 to do so many things that some of the greatest value that you can get from an EA is just having somebody in your city that can help you with a variety of different things. And so I think no matter how good Chat GPT agent gets, there's still, I mean there's just still so much that I think people expect out of an EA. Yeah, yeah, it's very particular.
Starting point is 00:31:16 Like people have all sorts of preferences and I don't know, it might be more sticky, who knows, we'll see. It'll certainly continue to be a good eval. Well, I wanted to look at what is, you know, it feels like OpenAI has a really strong lead in consumer, the product, they're thinking about the applications and actually like the manifestation of like these six different categories.
Starting point is 00:31:45 Polymarket has OpenAI climbing now in which company has the best AI model at the end of 2025, the December 31st rankings. OpenAI is up to 29%. Just a week ago or so, July 12th, XAI was crossing, about to beat them. But Google's still in the lead, 48% chance that Google winds up with the best model.
Starting point is 00:32:12 But that doesn't necessarily mean that- I mean this is based on LM arenas. Exactly. It's not necessarily the most valuable model to users. It's who's dominating benchmarks. Yeah, I actually pulled up some interesting, dominating benchmarks. Yeah I actually pulled up some interesting like the movie so do you know how there are movies that are loved by critics but disliked by audiences so the classic example is Star Wars the last Jedi 91%
Starting point is 00:32:38 on the tomato meter but audiences gave it a 41% score. And then Dave Chappelle's comedy special had the opposite where the critics hated it, but the fans loved it. And so these things are like controversial. And I was wondering if the same thing exists in foundation models and it does. So Gemini 2.5 Pro has, which one is this? Gemini 2.5 Pro has, which one is this? Gemini 2.5 Pro has an MML use-goer of 86%
Starting point is 00:33:11 and it's the top-rank model on LM Chatbot Arena 03, so if you summarize these, let's see. Kimi K2 illustrates how a model can excel on benchmarks and still be less preferred by users. Possible reasons include limited availability. Similarly, Claude Opus 4 and GPT 4.5 have high MMLU scores, yet rank lower in human preference because they may focus on careful reasoning
Starting point is 00:33:38 rather than conversational ease. So you can think about it like, you don't necessarily always wanna be talking to someone who's like the most rigorous or like It's almost like they're too smart. Maybe And then Gemini 2.4 2.5 pro 03 and Gemini 2.5 flash show the opposite pattern Users love them despite modest MML use scores. So these models have long We need to get Tyler we need to get Tyler to go to a random place in America and do a man on the
Starting point is 00:34:06 street interviews and just ask people about different models. I bet you 99% of respondents, probably, probably, probably like 990 out of a thousand are going to tell you, I just go to chat.com and I just, I just open a new chat. What, what is there's multiple models? Yeah But but it's interesting that like if you want to win with people Gemini 2.5 pro 03 these models have long context windows So they're staying focused a little bit longer if you're having a conversation Multimodal features the images and, kind of just a better user experience,
Starting point is 00:34:46 you can talk to it in different ways, faster latency, more personable style, makes them more enjoyable. Even if they don't top academic tests, your people are happy with it. So I thought that was an interesting little anecdote. So anyway, let me tell you about numeralhq.com, sales tax on autopilot, spend less than five minutes per month on sales tax AGI
Starting point is 00:35:09 You know the news got had a post today from the Wall Street Journal. This was wild. This stood out to me we were commuting in to the studio this morning and This stood out. So open AI has committed the journal has committed the journal reported that open AI is committed to paying Oracle 30 billion dollars per year within three years for four and a half gigawatts of data center capacity which will be the equivalent of two Hoover dams worth of energy so good time to be if you happen to build a Hoover Dam mega project you know years and years ago, this would be a good time. If you're squatting on a Hoover Dam,
Starting point is 00:35:50 you could get 15 million a year from that potentially. Well that's obviously not the entirety of the cost. But yeah, it's wild to think, opening eyes latest like run rate, right? They're reporting somewhere around $10 billion run rate or they want to end there by the end of the year. And so they're expecting to be able to have $30 billion worth of, and that's just with this partnership with Oracle.
Starting point is 00:36:18 So. Yeah, there was a, so Tane, who's been on the show, says, Chet, GPT is a truly iconic product. Consumer engagement at scale, over 500 million weekly active users, an estimated seven billion ARR, and it looks like an annual chart, and it's a monthly chart.
Starting point is 00:36:34 So August 2024, there are 2.6 billion estimated consumer ARR. Then in September, there are 3.3. December, there are four billion ARR. Then September there are the 3.3 December there at a four billion ARR Then they're accelerating February there are five point six billion March there at seven point two billion and Of course, we're all the way in July now So they could potentially already be a ten billion ARR and so if you just chart this out it
Starting point is 00:37:03 Thirty billion in a few years doesn't seem that crazy. And we were talking about how bad is that? How painful is that to pay a $30 billion bill? But it is kind of the only cost is to serve the models. And so I don't know. It feels like it could work out. I don't know. I mean, it's certainly not the only cost they I mean especially if you look at stock
Starting point is 00:37:29 based comp yeah you're spending more than and that won't and that won't stop hundred nineteen percent of revenue on stock based comp over the last year so very very significant but um this is what betting on yourself looks like commit you know if you want to level up in life commit to you know 30 very very significant but this is what betting on yourself looks like commit you know if you want to level up in life commit to you know 30 billion dollars of fixed costs three years from now you got to make it work so for sure so this this all comes from a Wall Street Journal report saying that open AI is project Stargate is struggling which is an interesting term. We can kind of debate what constitutes a struggle.
Starting point is 00:38:08 So for some context here, all the hyperscalers are generally in the high tens of billions in terms of CapEx. So Google, Microsoft, Amazon, AWS, they're all in like the 60, 70, $80 dollar range. But the majority of that is on core AI or core data center build out. So traditional data center build out because they still need to serve just, you know, relational databases. Not everything is cutting edge, Nvidia chips
Starting point is 00:38:40 serving transformer based language models. Gibbly's. Gibbly's. Not all of its gibbies, yeah, not all of it's gibblies. But a lot of it is. And Mark Zuckerberg recently said that about half of the spend maybe going forward, something like that, is going towards gen AI versus core AI. So he builds out a big AI data center.
Starting point is 00:39:00 A lot of that's going to just serving reels, picking what ads to show you. All of that as AI as well But it's not in this general of AI not training these large models So the majority of that spend is not on generative AI focus data centers So but there's still big big numbers you can think about all the doctors own Manhattan project. Yes, that's basically what what? Yes, what if you if you show that your new data center is gonna be the size of Manhattan, that's one way of saying,
Starting point is 00:39:27 I am doing a Manhattan project for AI. And that, you know, the size of Manhattan, that particular data center, he's targeting five gigawatts, which is right here at four and a half gigawatts in three years. And when Mark Zuckerberg was talking about that five gigawatt data center, he was saying,
Starting point is 00:39:47 this will be in a couple years. Right now they're focused on the one gigawatt data center. And when we talked to the co-founder of CoreWeave, he was saying, you don't understand how big five gigawatts is, that's insane, it's such a big data center. This is a huge project, these are mega projects. And so when I hear something like, oh it's struggling a big data center, like this is a huge project, these are mega projects. And so when I hear something like,
Starting point is 00:40:05 oh, it's struggling like a couple months in, I'm kind of like, you know, we're building something so big. Like, did we ever expect there not to be a hiccup? I'm not ready to say like, oh, this is all doom and gloom. It seems like, you know, they shot so big with 500 billion. So, yeah, so one, gotta give, regardless of what someone thinks about Sam, right? He's got plenty of critics, but the fact that he was able
Starting point is 00:40:33 to finesse his way to getting the president to announce this project with MASA, with a number so large that people immediately just started looking at SoftBank's balance sheet and saying, okay, cool, how is this happening? Elon quickly fired in the comments saying, they don't have the money. I do, it was always unclear where the money
Starting point is 00:40:58 was gonna come from, but one of those things, you shoot for 500 billion, you land at 100 billion, you're still doing pretty well. Yeah, and it's more, it feels like it's more about like the corporate structure and the timing, because if you go to Google, Microsoft, or Amazon, and you say, we're so in on AI, we're going to invest $500 billion over the next 10 years.
Starting point is 00:41:24 Like all of a sudden it's like, okay, yeah, well, we're going to invest $500 billion over the next 10 years. Like all of a sudden it's like, okay, yeah, well you're on track to do that. That totally maths out. So the question was always in my mind, okay, $500 billion is the goal, but what is the timeframe? And that's the one that people are pulling on right now
Starting point is 00:41:40 because the immediate number was 100 billion. They said, we're gonna do 100 billion right now. That was in January. When Trump, Mosa, Sam Altman, and Larry Ellison were at the white house, they announced Stargate. They say, we're targeting 500 billion, but we're doing a hundred billion immediately. Now, uh, that's maybe been scaled back, but it's still so huge. Like soft banks putting 30 billion in open AI and then OpenAI is paying Oracle 30 billion per year, starting within three years.
Starting point is 00:42:08 So struggles is a little odd of a characterization. So Oracle's projecting over 25 billion in 2026 capex. Everybody's just throwing money in the pot. Yeah, and I mean it makes sense, because all the reporting is that the inference is limited. And what's happening right now is the definition of Stargate is just being expanded. Sure. Sure. So they're counting the Oracle, um, the, the sort of commitment, uh, that they're making Oracle as part of it. Yep. So, and so I think the, there, there are two questions.
Starting point is 00:42:41 One is like the super intelligence AGI pill. Like we got to build the next greatest thing and whoever builds that at 10x the scale whoever gets to the fifty 50 billion dollar 500 billion dollar data center They just train and then they win because they'll have a product that's so much better than everything else that Everyone will shift over and chat GPT will be obsolete The the flip side is that if we're in a little bit of an S curve, if we're in a little bit of a plateau, well then in order to hold on to that 71% market share, chat GPT just needs to keep delivering inference tokens reliably
Starting point is 00:43:18 at a level that doesn't cause churn. And so if I go toachipiti and I'm getting a ton of errors and I just cannot get my prompts done and my gibblies aren't working, I'm gonna open up the Gemini app and I'm gonna go over there and see if they have any inference tokens. And we're seeing this from the model routing companies that a lot of businesses that rely on LLMs and AI inference are seeing brownouts, intelligent brownouts in different models
Starting point is 00:43:43 at different times. And so they need to be able to reroute from. Yeah, somebody was looking at Anthropix uptime and it's just constantly down. Like there's so much demand and they're obviously doing everything in their power to deliver against it. But they don't have enough GPUs yet. And so that feels like everyone's got to build
Starting point is 00:44:03 bigger data centers. Maybe there is a point where we build too big, but everything looks like, okay, it's at least worth building the one gigawatt data centers, probably worth building the five gigawatt data centers. We might need some more research breakthroughs to justify the bigger data centers, the 10 gigawatt, the, I don't know, 20, 50 gigawatts, something crazy.
Starting point is 00:44:23 But in general, I think the main goal for OpenAI right now is just to continue serving inference at a level that avoids churn. So when someone shows up, get them the answer. I think new products like Agent are cool, but it takes months for people to really adopt these new tools en masse and seriously change inference demand.
Starting point is 00:44:42 We saw this, like agent went out Thursday, we talked to the team, and then over the weekend I was talking to people, and smart people in tech were not using it yet. And I kind of had to like step up and be like, it's my job to test this thing, and now I'm using it, and now I would say I'm probably a weekly active user of agent, I'm definitely a DAU of 4.0,
Starting point is 00:45:04 I'm a DAU of 0.3 pro, I I'm definitely a DAU of 4.0. I'm a DAU of 03 Pro. I'm probably even a DAU of deep research, but I'm not a DAU of agent yet, but that will come. But I'm clearly on the early adopter side. It will be a while until they're doing so much agent, so many agent workloads that they're really- And right now it just default takes 15 minutes? So deep research takes 15 minutes almost every single time.
Starting point is 00:45:25 I thought ChatGPT agent always, oh it's- It can be shorter, it can be longer. That's part of the beauty of it is that it sizes the inference relative to the task. And so it can spend a really long time, it can come back to you, it can interact with you. Although I haven't actually gotten a push notification. Maybe that's just because of the nature of my prompts,
Starting point is 00:45:44 but I haven't had to step in, which has been surprising because when we talked to Dan Schipper from Every, he said that he did have to interact, but I think what he was prompting was a little bit more robust than what I was asking for. Anyway. Yeah, what he's doing that I think will get a lot of adoption but a bit slower is he sort of like
Starting point is 00:46:04 batched tasks that I think are really interesting, but that is expert mode for now. So that's the story in the Wall Street Journal. Should we flip over, maybe cover this XAI? The number one AI agent for customer service, number one in performance benchmarks, number one in competitive bake-offs,
Starting point is 00:46:22 number one in ranking on G2. Bake- off champion. What did you want to flip over to? I was going to say maybe we cover this XAI story quickly. Yeah, yeah, totally. And then we have actually Tyler, our very own Tyler over and Michael are at the Tesla diners. Oh, cool.
Starting point is 00:46:40 We'll flip over to them and get a review. So Sam Altman, Larry Ellison, Trump in some ways, Massa are all working to build Stargate simultaneously. Elon Musk is trying to ramp up things at XAI. He's aiming to raise up to $12 billion for XAI chips as the startup burns through cash. And so just weeks after Musk's XAI raised 10 billion through sales of stock and debt,
Starting point is 00:47:06 the startup is working with a trusted financier to secure up to 12 billion more for its ambitious expansion plans. Valor Equity Partners, Antonio Gracias, is in talks with lenders to raise the capital. The money would be used to buy a massive supply of advanced Nvidia chips. And so the number was kind of all over the place.
Starting point is 00:47:26 I saw a million chips floated. That would be much bigger. So Elon, Elon shared this morning, 230,000 GPUs, including 30,000 GB 200s are operational for training Grok XAI in a single super cluster called Colossus 1. And at Colossus 2, the first batch of 550,000 GB 200s and GB 300s also for training start going online
Starting point is 00:47:51 in a few weeks. Yeah, so if you compare that to what the other clusters are, Prometheus from Meta is around 500,000 chips, Stargate's supposed to be around 400,000, and I believe Anthroppex in that range too And so it's a knockout drag out fight Everyone's trying to build a massive cluster do the next big training run and X AI has been moving extremely quickly 122 days for X AI to build its first giant data center in Memphis, Tennessee Colossossus. It originally housed 100,000 Nvidia GPUs.
Starting point is 00:48:27 It was among the world's largest clusters. Just 92 days later, XAI doubled Colossus' size to 200,000 GPUs, and now he's going even bigger. So good luck to everyone. Pulling in capital from everywhere. SpaceX had to get into the round. It's quite the party round. Yep. It's all over the place Five billion in corporate debt included bonds look in loans secured by data centers
Starting point is 00:48:52 Which makes sense if you're building something capex intensive you would you would use debt for that anyway in other news I wanted to talk about Adio customer relationship magic Adio is the AI native CRM that builds scales and grows your company the next level get started for free no I wanted to talk about procter and gamble and the and the idea of this Michelin tires question yeah that we have been toying with been toying with to be clear since the original deal and rippling debacle yes since
Starting point is 00:49:26 the time timeline was in turmoil yes our reaction was that on a long enough time horizon people will not care yeah that uh you know a payroll provider uh may have uh gotten a little too competitive in the past. And the comp that we discussed was if you went to your mother or a family member and said, hey, I saw you're driving using Bridgestone tires. Did you know that the CEO of Bridgestone was actually spying on Michelin? She would say, that's very sweet honey. I'll keep that in mind when I replace my tires
Starting point is 00:50:09 in two years and then probably forget about it immediately. And it also relates to the astronomer story where the CEO was caught having an affair at a Coldplay concert. That is something that people were saying he has to go. It reflects poorly on the company, but if you look at Apache Airflow management, are you going to rip out astronomer over this,
Starting point is 00:50:33 especially when they replace the CEO so quickly? And so this question of what is existential, what puts you in the FTX category or the Theranos category versus a company that can come back and rebuild from what is controversial. So there's this old story from 2001, this was in the New York Times and I think fortune broke the story. So I'll kind of give you the high level.
Starting point is 00:50:57 So late on a spring afternoon in April of 2001, a red flag memo landed on the desk of procter and gamble chairman john pepper in Cincinnati. Internal security investigators had discovered that a handful of employees working with an outside outfit of exit us intelligence officers, I guess like CIA guys had been rifling through rubbish bins outside Unilever's offices and posing as market analysts to extract secrets about forthcoming forthcoming shampoo launches. The covert snooping management learned had been going on for months under the radar of PNG is famously buttoned down compliance system. The operation code named the ranch by the company's
Starting point is 00:51:43 competitive intelligence unit first took shape in late 2000 when P&G hired Alabama-based Phoenix Consulting Group, a firm led by Vietnam-era clandestined veterans. So like CIA guys in Vietnam come back from the war, they're probably like 50 at this point, and they're like, yeah, let's do some corporate espionage as a service. So by the time the plot was exposed,
Starting point is 00:52:08 the operatives had spirited away roughly 80 internal Unilever documents, so the rival consumer package goods company, marketing calendars, packaging mockups, even margin analyses, along with samples lifted straight from the trash dock. So they're literally digging through the trash. And if you think about it. It's so funny to think why this was necessary.
Starting point is 00:52:28 Oh, it's incredibly valuable. So if you know someone's marketing calendar, you know that they're gonna launch this product on Tuesday. You can launch a competitive product on Monday, steal all the wind from that. You can launch a counter position product. There's so much that you can do. Yeah, I know, but.
Starting point is 00:52:47 And margin analysis is really key because if I know that you're selling a product at low margin and I can undercut you, then you're backed into a corner. You can't lower your margin without losing money on that, as opposed to if you have a high margin product, I might not want to attack that. There's a whole bunch of different things that you can do if you have good competitive intelligence.
Starting point is 00:53:03 And even packaging mockups, like understanding that, okay, they're going with a bigger size they're going to be on this shelf in Walmart we should go and try and lock up Walmart overpay to block them out of that slot like there's a lot that you can do with this stuff so peppers pepper who is the chairman of Procter and Gamble at the time his immediate instinct was containment by candor he dismissed three staffers seized the files and teleble at the time. His immediate instinct was containment by candor. He dismissed three staffers, seized the files, and telephoned the Unilever co-chairman, Neil Fitzgerald, to confess. Within days, P&G couriers arrived at Unilever Chicago headquarters with bankers' boxes of paperwork and a pledge that no one who had seen the material would touch hair
Starting point is 00:53:40 care strategy again. This was an unfortunate incident, Pepper would later say, and we are ensuring the information has not been and will never be used. That might have been the end of it until Fortune Magazine landed the scoop on August 30th, 2001, under the headline, P&G's Dirty Little Secret, the story which read like a corporate John Le Carre novel,
Starting point is 00:54:02 who of course does Tinker, Taylor, Soldier, Spy, and a bunch of other great spy novels you should definitely read. Detailed dumpster dives, safe houses, and fake business cards, and triggered a global media pile-on. Within a week, the Los Angeles Times, The Guardian, and newspapers from Dublin to Delhi
Starting point is 00:54:17 were splashing shampoo spy puns across their business pages, facing a reputational firestorm on the eve of the crucial back to school selling season. I didn't know that that was that big for P&G, but I guess it is, you buy a new shampoo. Going back to school, you need some soap. I guess you need new soap.
Starting point is 00:54:33 The two consumer goods giants struck a confidential settlement, announced September 7th, 2001, published reports put the payment at about $10 million. More painful for P&G Unilever secured an independent monitor Empowered to audit new product timetables and and the reassignment of any P&G employee tainted by the files this agreement Ensures our confidential information is protected. You know levers US chief Charles Strauss told reporters pointedly
Starting point is 00:55:06 information is protected, Unilever's US Chief Charles Strauss told reporters pointedly. Regulators never filed criminal charges. Dumpster diving on public property skirts US theft statutes, but the incident singed P&G's carefully cultivated Midwestern morals brand. The company rolled out mandatory ethics and competitive intelligence training worldwide, while industry groups tightened codes now that flat out ban clandestine trash raids and pretext phone calls. Competitive intelligence textbooks and MBA ethics courses still open their corporate espionage chapters
Starting point is 00:55:38 with the PNG Unilever saga as the moment when lawful information gathering fell head first into the dumpster of public opinion. I mean, this probably created a bull market in paper shredding. For sure. Right. Yeah, you don't want people diving into your dumpster.
Starting point is 00:55:52 We gotta shred all of our materials when we're done. All of our bankers. All of our printed posts. Can't find these anywhere on the internet. More than two decades later, both Pantene and Suave remain grocery aisle staples, proof that the scandal left no lasting dent in shampoo sales.
Starting point is 00:56:06 What endured is the cautionary tale. The world's dullest products can tempt even the bluest chip companies into spy novel theatrics. And that in the age-old war for market share, the most corrosive thing you can pour over a brand is an arrival's conditioner, but the acid of public embarrassment." Very fun. Wild story.
Starting point is 00:56:25 Well, we should jump over to Tyler, who is at the Tesla diner. Here he is looking sharp on the ground. How you doing? Yeah, we can hear you. OK, sweet. Yeah, I'm here at the Tesla diner. I'm on the roof. We couldn't get food. The line was was like extremely long. But up here on the roof, you can see, it's kind of like a retro futurist, like very Americana style diner,
Starting point is 00:56:49 you know, they have burgers, fries, I think there's apple pie. But here I can walk around. Yeah, yeah, sure. We heard it's farm to table too. Is that true? They're partnering with local farms? It's unclear.
Starting point is 00:57:03 I would have to ask some of the cooks here, but you can see there's these two massive screens they have. Let's see if you guys see this. And they're playing what looks like, I don't know, a reality show or something. There's like these massive, I think there's 80 super chargers. Can you guys see this?
Starting point is 00:57:21 Okay, yeah. Are they full? People are charging their cars? I think they're almost awful Yeah, okay, so I think the way it works is You can order from your car if you have a Tesla if you don't have Tesla then you gotta wait in the line It's like five minutes long probably okay You can see let's see if I can find a box the burger chum in these little
Starting point is 00:57:41 Saber truck boxes, let's see if I can pick it up. Oh Wow in these little um cyber truck boxes let's see if i can pick it up oh wow very cute guys yeah and then um if i walk over here did you just pick up a random stranger's box by the way do you know that person julia oh that's julia hey julia how you doing i walk over here there's actually a an optimus robot uh serving popcorn okay let's. Let's see here if I can walk over Any oh wow yeah, there you go any indication, and if this is tele operated or and end It's unclear, but there is someone standing right next to it. Okay. I think Yeah But yeah overall it's very cool with right on Sunset Boulevard. Yeah
Starting point is 00:58:24 Okay, Tyler. We're going to give you a ramp bump on your card. We're going to make it so that you guys can start going offering 10X the retail price of the burger. We got to get, you guys have to try a burger. You can't leave without a burger. So go around and just offer, start offering people, start bidding on people burger. Burger at the church. You can't leave without a burger. So go around and just offer. Start offering people. Start bidding on people's burgers right at their table.
Starting point is 00:58:49 Just say, you got that for $10. I'll give you $100 right now. And figure out a way to get a burger. You can't leave without a taste test. No, you should. Yeah, you should wait in line and talk to people and actually try the food. Give us your review at the end of the show.
Starting point is 00:59:08 Okay, yeah. That'd be great. I'll try to find someone. Awesome. Thanks for checking in. Very cool. Do you think this is a, like a meaningful business line or a marketing stunt?
Starting point is 00:59:21 Great marketing activation. I think that I can see them putting these in tier one cities. I do, I mean, the charging stations are interesting, right? Gas station convenience stores are great businesses because you have this captive audience and people that are charging their cars typically have to hang out for quite a bit longer than somebody that's filling up gas for a few minutes yeah so I can I can see them having a handful of these or even developing
Starting point is 00:59:52 their own kind of convenience store concept over time yeah it kind of harkens back to like when the soap companies the Unilever P&G going back started like the soap operas to like promote soap. And it's kind of like this adjacent business that actually could grow into something. But there's a big question about like, should this also be on the Tesla team's plate
Starting point is 01:00:15 to manage and grow a chain of restaurants? It's like a lot of stuff to do. But it is a very, very cool like view into the future. It's a showcase. It feels like the World's Fair That's what it feels like. Yeah, it feels like going to a World's Fair Very cool. Well, well, we have totally in the restream waiting room. Let's bring him in very excited for this conversation There he is. How you doing? Welcome Good to meet you. You're live. How you doing?
Starting point is 01:00:45 Can you hear us? No sound yet. Let's ping him, hopefully bring him in from the Roofstream waiting room. In the meantime, let me tell you about adquick.com. Out of home advertising made easy and measurable. Say goodbye to the headaches of out of home advertising. Only AdQuick combines technology,
Starting point is 01:01:02 out of home expertise, and data to enable efficient seamless ad buying across the globe. And if we are ready, we will go back to Anatoly from Solana. Get the full story. I'm obsessed with the story of Solana. I made a whole YouTube video about it. Fantastic founder story, really deeply technical. I don't know.
Starting point is 01:01:24 It's just a fascinating story. And he's been at it for a very long time, so very excited to talk to him about it. And he made the careers of a lot of different venture investors. For sure, for sure. Angel investors. Yeah, and just fascinating trade-offs
Starting point is 01:01:37 and how you design, I mean, pretty, I don't know, it just feels like such a massive challenge to start in L1 after Bitcoin, Ethereum are out there, and you're like, I'm gonna do the hardest thing in the world probably, and then I'm gonna make it through some of the most tumultuous markets ever, and kind of be at peak awareness right during the interest rate rise
Starting point is 01:02:03 and massive sell-off in crypto, stuck with it, kept building, and is here today to tell us more about the story of Solana. So hopefully we can bring him in, we'll see. Okay, in the meantime, we should talk to you about MKBHD. Did you hear this story? MKBHD, in 2020, he had a video that he put on YouTube exposing this fake phone, Escobar Fold, you saw this?
Starting point is 01:02:30 I saw this video when it went out. So it turned out some guy was scamming people by sending phones to influencers but not to buyers. So basically what he would do is he would buy a Samsung phone, give it a wrap basically, rebrand it, and then he would sell it and send it to To influencers. So if you bought on the website, he would look you up and say, okay, you're an influencer You're gonna review I'm gonna send you the actual product, but then anyone else he would just be like, oh you're on the backlog
Starting point is 01:02:56 You're delayed So in February or in June of 2020 just three months after Marquez Brownlee launched that video the FBI came to his studio and collected his phone as evidence. So MKBHD keeps all the phones that he reviews and they say, hey, we'll give it back to you. And then five years later, that guy who was scamming people pleaded guilty to fraud.
Starting point is 01:03:21 He faces millions of dollars in fines and 20 years in federal prison. So what a crazy story. Citizen journalism. I wonder how many of these, did they figure out how many of these fake phones he actually sold? I don't know.
Starting point is 01:03:33 I mean, I imagine if it's millions in fines, he probably sold millions of dollars worth of phones. It was a very expensive phone because it was wrapped in gold foil and so it was marked up, I believe, pretty heavily, or maybe the strategy was to underprice it or something. The CEO said they sold over 50,000 telephones. Anyway, let me tell you about public.com,
Starting point is 01:03:56 investing for those who take it seriously. They got multi-asset investing, industry-leading yields, and they're trusted by millions. Go to public.com to get started. So, just to put this into context, that means they did potentially over 17 million in sales of a phone that was never delivered. Yes, yeah, pretty crazy.
Starting point is 01:04:15 And this was Pablo Escobar's brother? I believe he was like riding on the Escobar name and kind of a distant relative, which is a funny brand to align with, because it's like, trust me, I'm related to a criminal. And he wound up being a criminal as well. Pablo Escobar objectively is one of the greatest CPG entrepreneurs of all time, right?
Starting point is 01:04:36 Bootstrapped to tens of billions of revenue. Global empire just chose a product that happened to not be very legal. Yeah, very rough. Mert from Helios, friend of the show, says in eight hours Solana blocks will become 20% bigger. Put differently, you can now do more transactions per second on the Solana blockchain. Very exciting news and hopefully we'll be talking to Anatoly in just a few minutes. He is waiting to come into the show. We are sorting out some audio stuff.
Starting point is 01:05:09 In other news, Buko Capital Bloke says, the people who create HR slash security slash compliance training videos and platforms without an option to 2X video speed should be sent to Bukele's Dungeons in El Salvador. I think that's a legal thing, right? Like you can't, you can't. You should be able to do 2X speed though.
Starting point is 01:05:31 Yeah, what's funny is Aaron Echerson, Echerson, Erickson here says, a startup idea, AI agent that watches this stuff for you. Controversial post because people have done that and gotten a lot of trouble. If you have to legally watch a security compliance video and you don't watch it and you have a computer do that for you, you can get a lot of trouble.
Starting point is 01:05:51 We got him ready. Oh, we got Antoli. Welcome to the stream. Sorry for the technical difficulties. Great to have you here. Thank you so much for joining. How are you? Great, thanks for having me.
Starting point is 01:06:00 Fantastic. It's great to have you. I would love to kick off with just a little bit of the State of the Union. I know a little bit of the history, but what is, what is, how do you tell the story of Solana and what you built? And then I want to go into the State of the Union of all the different projects and all the different applications. And then we can kind of weave through some of those, but could you kick us off with just a little bit of an introduction? So I'm Anatoly. I'm a co-founder of Solana Labs,
Starting point is 01:06:27 and I'm the brain child of the Solana protocol. It's my baby. I started around 2017, 2018 with the dream of building a high performance blockchain network. So it took us about two years to launch it. I don't know if folks remember 2020, but we launched right after the double black swan. COVID was just effectively became a thing. S&P dropped 70%, Bitcoin dropped 70% and our launch date was announced to be three days later. We launched into the abyss, but, uh, I think it was like a lucky timing, I would say, because we were the only next generation network out and, um, we're still, I think, processing more transactions and every other major
Starting point is 01:07:20 blockchain combined. So not just more than every other one, but more than all of them combined, which is a pretty fun step to have. Yeah, what gave you confidence that you needed to build a new L1? There was a narrative at the time of just like, Hey, we have existing networks, Bitcoin and Ethereum, let's just speed up those. And that feels like, I mean, you can even abstract that all the way to, um, Hey, like the, the, the, the Fiat transfer rails, the, the swift system is slow. Let's just speed it up. We don't need an entirely new network. Like what gave you confidence that you would have like an enduring advantage in speed and the other platforms, whether in Fiat or crypto, wouldn't just catch up.
Starting point is 01:07:59 Um, why do founders do things? That's the question I'm asking. Sorry. The real reason is because I could spend most of my career doing high performance, like optimizations at Qualcomm. So I kind of knew how silicon moves data. That's my expertise. And I knew the five to 10 people that I needed to hire, most of them came out of Qualcomm and we were just laser focused on building
Starting point is 01:08:28 something that is optimized to like its full potential. I don't know if it's gonna like how it's gonna revolutionize finance or anything like that. We did have the idea that these systems are useful for trading because if you kind of take a step back and try to look at what does it mean to synchronize the state and agree and allege globally, it's a similar problem to how NASDAQ or Nasdaq do price discovery. They're trying to figure out what's the price of an asset given all of this crazy information that's happening around the world that all the market makers and traders are trying to send to their machines or through their trades to this exchange that's running in New York or whatever.
Starting point is 01:09:14 But with a blockchain and this kind of unique technology that was developed, you know, really like over the last two decades on the city of Byzantine fault tolerance and agreeing on a piece of state Globally without a trusted third party you can do the same thing But you don't need to trust Nizier Nasdaq to do it So I kind of had the sense that the purpose of these systems is to do price discovery I'm not an exchange person. I've never built a financial product, but I knew how to move data through these systems, how to synchronize them. So we looked at it as a physics problem and this is how we tackled it. And, you know, we thought the things that are going to take advantage
Starting point is 01:09:54 of this would be like real financial applications, stocks, all these things. But what happened was NFTs and meme coins were like the first big booms, but it's the same technology and the same infrastructure is used for those that you can now leverage for real equities and, and a real global price discovery without a third party in the middle. Yeah. Do you think that the, um, that like the, I see like this tech tree developing with all these different applications and every few years it check in with crypto and there's different narratives, whether it's NFTs and
Starting point is 01:10:29 meme coins. Now it's prediction markets and stable coins and for a while there was gaming and metaverse. And it feels like the detractors of crypto point to that as like a failure, but I'm not sure that it's any different than what's happening in enterprise SaaS with ideas that get tried and fail or space exploration with ideas that get tried and failed. Do you think there's something fundamentally different about the way the crypto community explores the possibilities
Starting point is 01:10:58 and the applications in the tech tree? Or do you think it's just done more transparently because everyone can see it or there's more tension on it because of the financial element? Like what do you think is going on? I think, you know, I grew up in the 90s, so I was there like in AOL chat rooms and RC chat rooms and the same kind of like almost religious ideas about what the internet can accomplish for around then. You know, people were arguing about what file system they'd pick in their Linux kernel configuration. What religious zeal on forums like to do that.
Starting point is 01:11:32 So I think when you have a technology that has this unforeseen stages that people can imagine could be unlocked by this, you can almost have this like faith based argument to it. The difference now I think from the 90s is that we have the internet, everything is global. So we're seeing the iteration cycles just to be insanely fast. And while you know a bunch of people tried a bunch ideas two cycles ago, that was 2020. And now we're starting to see those ideas get traction. I think the fact that there's 250 billion in stable coins that have been issued before Congress took up legislation is insane. Like there's no way I would have predicted this in 2020. Like it's just incomprehensible to me. And it seems like very realistic that we're going to see
Starting point is 01:12:23 over a trillion dollars in stable coins by the end of, you know, like in the next four years and people telling me that I'm bearish when they say only one trillion. Is that, is that stable coin rollout? Um, I, I feel like for a long time, the whole idea of like Bitcoin was actually in some ways a threat to the U S dollar. And now it feels like with the latest White House announcement, like it's crypto is actually strengthening the dollar and America.
Starting point is 01:12:50 It's like what's actually going on. They it's like saying gold is a threat to US dollar. I actually think that's kind of the wrong way to think about it. I'm not a finance person, but I learned through osmosis. So Bitcoin can't function as a US dollar because for you to use something for trades like trading oil or whatever you futures and you need a stable denominator to price those futures and and if you're using Bitcoin You have to pay for shorting Bitcoin for the duration of that contract
Starting point is 01:13:20 Imagine taking out a mortgage in Bitcoin and having to pay for 30 years short position on that Bitcoin. This just doesn't work. And two, banks can, when I have an oil field and I want to buy whatever a farm with it, I can use the oil field as collateral. The bank will create dollars up to the value of my collateral to facilitate that transaction. You can't do that with Bitcoin. You can't do that with gold, which is why these things don't function as like real-world
Starting point is 01:13:53 trading currencies. But they were great as a store of value, as a hedge against sovereign events, a whole bunch of other stuff. BED is managed by people, which is the great part and also the scary part. And gold was not managed by people, it's managed by physics. Bitcoin is managed by the rules that create, you know, enshrined in this protocol, which are bounded by physics, which is what gives it these really nice properties. But I don't see a world where Bitcoin weakens the US dollar. If anything, the growth in stablecoins has been as a spot,
Starting point is 01:14:28 vast majority of the growth in stablecoins has been used to support spot markets for Bitcoin. So when those grow, you have more stablecoins in there, more treasuries are bought. It's actually, anything has been working to benefit the US dollar. Do you think there's, do you see any potential needs for new stable coins?
Starting point is 01:14:49 Obviously with the new legislation, a lot of people, big institutions, seeing dollar signs thinking, well, look how much tethers printing, look how much circles making, we should get in the game. Like, but- They should. Competition is the best way to grow products
Starting point is 01:15:07 to iterate quickly. They a hundred percent should, right? Like why wouldn't you? This is, I think, you know, a lot of the US finance was built after World War II, but when you look at India and China that has been built after the internet, their financial infrastructure and rails
Starting point is 01:15:25 are just much, much faster and more robust. Which is crazy to say that what we consider to be the West, the advanced economies are actually sitting on rails that were built before the internet. So I think- So on that note, what about, the other side of this is institutions saying, we want to, let's say somebody wants to tokenize security What about the other side of this is institutions saying,
Starting point is 01:15:45 we want to, let's say somebody wants to tokenize securities, and they think, okay, well, if we wanna do this, we should make our own L2 or we should make our own chain. That feels like potentially a distraction from delivering the end value, which is trustless, fast transactions globally. So I have my own horse that I picked, obviously, so the goal is to not be.
Starting point is 01:16:12 I guess what I'm pushing on is, what I'm pushing on a little bit is like, competition for you, or competition. But not for me. For me, but not for you. Competition for Bill. You guys have faced so many competitors over the years, you launched into a competitive market, so you're not necessarily afraid of it.
Starting point is 01:16:28 The worst thing would be for the government to stop innovation. So if those folks think that they can outcompete us by launching an L2, let them try. My goal is for them to show that, hey, everything that you want to express in those smart contracts running in your L2, you can do it much cheaper and faster on Solana and you'll actually grow revenues faster without needing all this info. This is what my pitch to those companies, but let them innovate and try, like happy to help.
Starting point is 01:16:57 Yeah, it's also, if you choose to build on Solana, you just don't have to worry about onboarding developers, you don't have to worry about onboarding developers, you don't have to worry about liquidity, all these things that you would have to really be, would have to be top of mind if you want to go compete. And potentially that's just a huge distraction from delivering the end product experience that you want. That's the dream. We want to convince people there's no point to build their own private instruments.
Starting point is 01:17:25 Just use the one public giant internet that can host everything. What about developer activity? There was, I remember during 2021 and 2022, there was billions of value creation, billions of, at least in USD terms on chain and there were still at some point I remember there was like single digit thousands like true blockchain engineers how are you sort of tracking developer growth internally I
Starting point is 01:17:59 think if you look at the reports that have been published online of developer growth, Solana is the second largest at this point and the fastest growing network. Ethereum is the largest, but I think we've been outpacing in terms of growth the number of developers onboarded. So like everything else, we saw in the early days there was a lot of demand for smart contract developers, because there was a lot of innovation to be had in the smart contract land. But I think even more as drivers, like Windows has excellent drivers, but you don't see innovation or that being a differentiator anymore, because there's only so many smart contracts that actually get built. A stable coin is a token. So all the
Starting point is 01:18:45 innovation to launch a stable coin is happening, not in the smart contract space, but the integration with the bank, with how you handle the mint and the draws and that stuff. So a lot of the work has shifted away from L1 smart contract development to the higher levels. And this is where I think Solana has really excell excel because a lot of the our focus has been on building reusable contracts that actually get deployed once and we used everywhere there's really only two token standards on Solana it's not an interface there's one implementation called SPL token one implementation called token 22 and everyone uses them so they've
Starting point is 01:19:23 been effectively through Lindy, verified to be correct and bug free. And you as a organization don't have to take smart contract risks when you deploy this. What is there any hope that I don't know if there'll be a new bull market and new smart contract development, but it felt like developing a secure smart contract with super high stakes,
Starting point is 01:19:46 you needed an insanely good engineering team, insanely good engineers hold all this crazy context in their head to understand all the different risk vectors. You needed to reject 50 North Korean engineers. Yeah, it was not something that you just wanted to like, you know, like hack together a weekend. Yeah. But I was wondering if like the AI code tools would be an accelerant there,
Starting point is 01:20:07 but at the same time I've heard a lot of stuff about AI code gen tools being like kind of falling short when you need a huge context window, you need to hold a bunch of things. So like, is it, it's smart contract development, like the last thing that AI will be able to do in terms of code gen or is it actually an accelerant, but we don't really need it because we have all the smart contracts we need.
Starting point is 01:20:28 Um, I think the way that I've seen AI used effectively is augmenting an expert to have somebody that has deep expertise, they can just do more work. And where smart contracts could Excel is like you write, uh, where AI can accelerate smart contract development is you built a complicated smart contract you need to formally verify it. Sure. The formal verification step is a huge pain for and you need a lot of expertise but you can automate a lot of the boilerplate and generation. You have an expert guiding it AI to go do that work but you still need I think your core five or six super really
Starting point is 01:21:07 great smart contracts engineers, they can just accomplish more with that small team using AI tools. Did you read anything into the open AI and Google news about the IMO gold medal and the use of lean to do complex math that feels somewhat adjacent? Yeah, this has been like, you know, I like, you know, I've had 15 plus years of experience as an engineer. You know, I love being in IC, I love turning up code, but now my workflow is using Claude and O3
Starting point is 01:21:40 and Superhubby to go validate each other, come up with like a robust plan, robust testing plan. And the jump and reasoning abilities just year over year, just from last year has been astronomical. Like it went from being kind of a, I'm gonna try this as a gimmick to now it's really an embedded part of my workflow. I can't imagine myself building software
Starting point is 01:22:03 without having these tools now. Do you think those tools are... I still don't trust the code that it generates. I think this is where an expert that can have this big context in the area of expertise can quickly scan stuff over and guide the tools to go do more testing and target more things. We still need those people. But the reasoning capabilities are getting stronger. It's scary. I don't know what happens in five years. Yeah, it feels like there's kind of two failure modes in crypto projects. One is technical. There's a bug and someone just drains the wallet or whatever and hacks it. And then there's another,
Starting point is 01:22:43 which is like economics and people didn't realize that there was no real solid foundation, they kind of wound up with like a Ponzi and it just kind of fails that way. And I'm wondering- Well then there's the other, I mean social engineering is the other big one. Sure, sure.
Starting point is 01:22:55 And I'm wondering, do you think that these reasoning models are getting close to superhuman, close to amazing at economic reasoning. Yeah, you're right to point at that as being a really hard problem because this is where, you really need to have that expert that can understand the economic attacks to guide these tools to go build a simulation
Starting point is 01:23:21 and actually test it. And I wouldn't trust myself to be able to go find those given all these tools, even if I'm aware of the problems. Me just asking, oh, three, give me all the top 10 economic attacks and then simulate them. That's the best I can do. And it's going to suck. Like I can already tell you, it's going to, it's going to do maybe as good of a job as like a new grad, right? But like, I think you really need to have an economic expert guide those tools. Similarly, like that economic expert, if they asked O3 to go generate a bunch of bugs, we could, I'm going to go look at it and find a bunch of bugs. So I think you still need people in
Starting point is 01:24:03 the loop there. I don't know what happens in five years given the pace of progress of AI. But it's remarkable of how good it is. But you still need people. Yeah, for now. You guys have been really good at kind of building brand through short strings of words. So internet capital markets, the team has really rallied around that. You hear it, it makes sense, and you can think about all the ways that that evolves.
Starting point is 01:24:34 With that phrase, internet capital markets, what are you excited about on a one-year timeline, and maybe what are you excited about on like a five-year timeline? I think getting fully approved, regulated, boring, trade-fi stuff on chain that has plans on future cash flows, like all that stuff that you read in the Intelligent Investor.
Starting point is 01:24:57 Having those things be tokens, I think, is really, really important. And this is kind of my dream for internet capital markets. Getting all the, you know, jumping through all the regulatory hoops, crossing out all the T's and dotting the I's, making sure that this is as compliant as the government wants it to be and like minimize this fraud.
Starting point is 01:25:17 Because I think once you have those assets on chain, you can then use the best of DeFi, which is the purpose of it is to create transparency, right, and to run the risk engine every 400 milliseconds instead of once a week or whatever happens in a day. Always know exactly what are the positions at risk, what collateral that particular contract is managing so everyone can see the actual risks involved. And you don't end up with the kind of, you know,
Starting point is 01:25:46 tail end failures that you see in traditional finance. That's the beauty of it, but we need real assets to do that because if you do that with just meme coins, they don't have any value because they have price and eventually that just doesn't work. All the risks are correlated and you end up with the tail end. That's to me the short term. The five-year dream for me is I would want a startup founder that wants to do this on
Starting point is 01:26:14 their own to be able to take all this open source software and to run their own IPO, which means do all the disclosures, do the price discovery on chain, do you use everything in an immutable open source smart contract and kind of do the Linux from scratch idea and have the SEC approve it. And that doesn't mean that every founder is going to do that. You're going to have a bunch of services spring up on top of it that can take advantage of all this technology. But you should see the fees of doing that basically compressed down to the actual value that they provide and no longer kind of be
Starting point is 01:26:50 Based on their ability to control the markets or the regulatory capture and stuff like that Last question from my side how how did you were you? conscious of Trying to make Solana Lindy in the early days? Because I know it was like any crypto project, it was the price, a massive amount of volatility, and then you'd go through these periods of insane activity.
Starting point is 01:27:16 And I think we've seen this with various companies at the product level, OpenAI, PumpFun, Axiom is the other one that's done what, 170 million of revenue in six months or something crazy like that. And anytime you see these massive spikes in activity or revenue, the question is how sustainable is it? And you guys were able to navigate through the volatility
Starting point is 01:27:42 and get to a point where I think everybody would have real Conviction that Solana will have more activity a year from today Five five years ten years, etc. But I feel like that's the number for crypto founders out there It's like how do you go from you know massive activity to being? durable and sort of Lindy to being durable and sort of Lindy. I don't know. I'm not sure. I'm not sure.
Starting point is 01:28:07 I'm not sure. It's a great secret. Well, it's somewhat like fundamental to the technology that when you reduce friction, when you make finance frictionless, that reduces moats, right? It makes it so that things can leave as fast as they come. I can rationally give you all those arguments,
Starting point is 01:28:26 but the reality is that you're just worried about surviving the next eight weeks. This is how we operated from that launch, because we simply didn't have any other option. We had limited runway up until for the first three, four years. And trying to get as many developers on board it, trying to increase the bandwidth of the network, reliability, all this stuff. You're just thinking in eight week terms.
Starting point is 01:28:52 And you know, like you read every book on startups and stuff, that's actually what you're supposed to do. You're incrementally fighting for life. And hopefully all those sprints, all those efforts, all those impulses accumulate into something sustainable. And I think we're starting to see that sustainability actually play out through the last cycle. But it's really hard to predict. Like if I knew what was going to be really important 12 months,
Starting point is 01:29:19 I don't think I'd need to work. That's right. Can you give me the update on the was going to be really important 12 months, you know, I, I don't think I'd need to work. Can you update on, uh, just the, the progress of decentralization, what's important to decentralize, how you increase decentralization. I remember when in maybe 2022, there was this critique, salon is not as decentralized as the other platforms. Just judging by the performance of the company, feels like that was not a bear case that stuck around.
Starting point is 01:29:53 But what's actually happened with the company? What plans did you put in place? And what do you feel like you've executed on properly to kind of satisfy the level of market demand for decentralization, because I know that there's trade-offs here. I mean, I look at it as a kind of key product like feature of the network. I'm a, I grew up in the nineties. I loved Linux. This is how I learned how to code is hacking through Linux code.
Starting point is 01:30:22 Huge believer of open source. Every part of the network you can participate permissionlessly. This is kind of the key part and to me that's really important because when you think about disrupting finance, if you disrupt settlement, you've disrupted DTCC. The number of people that can even know what that company does, you can fit them all in one elevator. But everyone can name the exchanges, the brokerages that they use, and this is where all the money is made in finance.
Starting point is 01:30:52 So if you cannot permissionally participate in the formation of order and price discovery, I think you haven't really just decentralized the important part of finance. So Solana has always been about decentralizing how blocks are made, how transactions are ordered, the sequencer, which is in contrast to, I think, a lot of the direction that Ethereum runs, where they have done an amazing job decentralizing settlement, but they've offloaded all the work of actually running the financial applications to layer twos, where you now have like a single sequencer that runs the vast majority of layer twos.
Starting point is 01:31:31 And that sequencer has the same functionality that Robinhood does. Or right, so to me, you haven't really decentralized the important interesting part where money is made or revenues are made. So from my perspective, Solana has been more decentralized than a lot of the networks where it counts over the last three years. Where we have taken a trade-off is that the cost to run Solana validator is higher because we are focusing on increasing throughput, making sure that anyone can participate in being a block producer and ordering transactions
Starting point is 01:32:08 and all this stuff, the cost of those validators is higher. But over the last four years, we haven't had to increase the costs around the boxes because of the software performance improvements. So if you actually look at the network, how it's run, how it's operated, I can't fire anyone that actually works on it. Like labs doesn't actually employ anyone that builds a protocol anymore.
Starting point is 01:32:32 We're primarily focused on building a phone. Yeah. Yeah, that makes sense. I wish we had time to talk about the phone, but we'll have to have you back on again very soon. This is great. Thank you so much for joining. Really enjoyed this. Yeah. Appreciate it. Thank you so much for joining. Really enjoyed this. Yeah, appreciate it. We'll talk to you soon. Thank you guys. Cheers. Have a good one. Bye. And let me tell you about 8sleep.com. Five-year warranty, 30-night
Starting point is 01:32:52 risk-free trial, free returns, free shipping. Get a pod five over at 8sleep.com. Well, we have Tyler and Michael have secured burgers. Oh, let's go back to Tyler. So let's go back to them. How are we doing? How's it going guys? How you doing? Yeah.
Starting point is 01:33:09 So they're playing Star Trek behind me. It's really loud. Okay. But yeah, we got the burgers here. Okay. Overall, it's pretty good. So I think there's a couple ways you can rate burgers, right? So there's price point.
Starting point is 01:33:21 Yes. So it's sitting at, I think it was like 1450 around. Okay, it's pretty high It's a little pricey. So that means like you got to rate it against five guys Shake Shack, right? Sure, it's kind of in that tier. Yeah, so I think it's solid. It's very similar to Shake Shack. I would say okay Am I gonna be going here? Is this my go-to burger? Probably not. Okay, you know, I'm more of an in-art kind of guy I'm not very, you know wealthy so I gotta go cheaper sometimes You know, there's some cool stuff so apparently the fries and the hash browns are beef tallow, okay Let's give it up for tallow
Starting point is 01:33:55 Generational run Feel there apparently they're really good. I think I showed you guys this earlier, but there's like the little boxes, right? Yeah Are there any protests going on is this a controversial space? I have people surprisingly Seems like any any rock integrations. Oh, yeah any rock integration? I only have seen here is the optimist talk to me about the actual ordering experience. Did you order from a tablet? Did you order from a tablet? Did you order from a human? So yeah, I think we ordered from a human. It was like totally normal.
Starting point is 01:34:30 There was no yes or anything, but you can order from your Tesla. We didn't try that because I think we, you know, we had to kind of expedite the process, but apparently you can do that. Um, but yeah, honestly, I would like to see the more, the more optimist this year, just doing the popcorn, you know, it's not super hard to do, but I mean there's like a nice bar over here. Hey, gotta start somewhere. Yeah. Popcorn's waiting.
Starting point is 01:34:54 Yeah, overall pretty good though. I'm not sure I would come back. Okay. Like specifically for the burger. For the burger. But it's definitely a cool place. For a charge? For a charge though? If you need a charge, I wonder if the charging's free if you get the burger. I a charge though charge I wonder if the
Starting point is 01:35:05 charging is free if you get the if you get the burger I think the charging is free okay that makes sense there we go big drop yeah that's very exciting yeah there's like 80 cars here but yeah overall solid experience very cool very cool all right well enjoy your burgers and we'll see you back in the studio see you back in the studio Tyler thanks for doing on the ground reporting awesome Well next up. I believe we have Aaron from box in the restream waiting room so we can bring him in He's ready And in the meantime I'll tell you about
Starting point is 01:35:37 Aaron leave it from box welcome to the stream. I was gonna do a hydrate, but you are here live Thanks for hopping on. How are you doing? Hey, good. How you guys doing? It's good. It's been too long. It's been what? A month or something. You were one of our first guests couple months. Wow. I mean, I'll take all the credit for your guys success. There you go. Take it. I want to talk about, I want to talk about AI. Obviously I want to talk about, quickly, I mean, let's start with the consumer side, and then I want to go into enterprise. Did you have a chance to read Fiji Simo's outline of where open AI is going in consumer
Starting point is 01:36:18 kind of six categories, health, knowledge retrieval, creativity? What are you using personally? What's your daily driver? Are you using it with your family? Have you used it for health? What's just been your general experience with consumer AI? I think I've hit every one of those use cases. It's, I mean, it's yeah, therapist, doctor, branding assistant. What about executive coach? I thought that was an interesting one. She says that she has a coach. Obviously you're at a level where you can afford a full-time
Starting point is 01:36:48 human coach. But what goes into a good coaching experience at the executive level? Yeah, I mean, that's a fantastic use case. Probably actually I should be using it for that. I'm sure anybody that works with me wishes I did. But often know often you're bringing a coach a set of problems that you're running into. I've got this org design issue. I've got these people that aren't collaborating well and oftentimes it's most actually just helpful just the purpose of talking about the issue and then laying it out that gets you thinking about it. And then seeing a set of options. So I think Chatchmutee would obviously make a fantastic coach
Starting point is 01:37:28 for that because just the very active of just getting you to be able to describe the issue and then seeing a set of options would be helpful in like 90% of situations. So I think those use cases are great. I mean, the healthcare stuff alone has been extremely powerful. I seem to run into one new ailment per week.
Starting point is 01:37:48 And so I used to just, I used to go into urgent care way too frequently. Like, oh, I have some sensitivity in my finger and then I'd go to urgent care. And so now just Chatchabuti just solves all those uses. You are a hypochondriac. and I'd go to urgent care. And so now just Chatchabuti just solves all those issues. You are a hypochondriac.
Starting point is 01:38:06 Anyway, on the org structure issue, what you would go to an executive coach about, do you feel like AI should be more of like a product team or more of like a service team? Do you see it like it's my infrastructure organization or it's my front end engineering packages versus it is a new product that will sit alongside other products
Starting point is 01:38:33 and maybe be sold as a different skew by the sales team? Because I've been going back and forth on this, but I'd love your take before I kind of wrestle with it. And is this in a B2B context? Yeah, yeah, in your business. I imagine that you're thinking right now, there are LLMs, there are tools, there are APIs, there's a whole bunch of stuff,
Starting point is 01:38:53 there's coding agents and IDE's and stuff, and you want to get this stuff into the hands of everyone in your organization. The question is, I bet a lot of companies, I imagine, are thinking about, do we need an AI organization? Do we need an AI product? And you can think about, Salesforce is launching, and Copilot is like a separate SKU almost,
Starting point is 01:39:19 that sits alongside Gemini, is a separate subscription, it's a separate product, separate app, versus just hey We do X Y & Z and all of that is made better by AI in the same way that you know Memory caching like Redis the database made things better across everything, but it was not its own product Yeah, I think in our case And I think it so much depends on the type of product that you were in before AI happened. Yeah, totally.
Starting point is 01:39:47 In our case, what we did was our chat to BT moment was, you know, same time as everybody else but we did, you know, fortunately step back and we said, okay, if we were to found our company in a post AI world, how would we treat the very kind of business model, the product experience, the actual value proposition? And we started kind of laying that foundation. Now it took at least a year and a half to like execute in the way that even looked like what you could do from a blank sheet of paper. But the idea was if we were to start Box in 2025, let's say we ran this exercise now, you know, we wouldn't think about the AI version and the not AI version.
Starting point is 01:40:27 We wouldn't be like, you go over here to do AI and everything else is sort of like dumb. And so we decided to bake AI into the core value proposition of the product. And that shows up in the kind of obvious ways you'd expect. So let you talk to your data, ask questions of documents, take a collection of content and be able to query it and ask questions of it. And then now in a questions of documents, take a collection of content and be able to query it and ask questions of it.
Starting point is 01:40:46 And then now in a world of agents, that's also showing up as agents being able to kind of run around and execute automated tasks for you. So a very natural one for us is a lot of customers have all of this unstructured data. It could be contracts or invoices or marketing assets. And they want to be able to read what's in that data and then basically apply structured to unstructured content. So take all of the variables from a contract or from an invoice or from a digital asset and then let me have effectively intelligence around that. I can ask any question of that data now.
Starting point is 01:41:17 I can automate any workflow around it. I could have a dashboard that shows me exactly when the different contracts are up for renewal or which ones have risky clauses in them. And so this is fundamentally changing the entire value proposition of our product. It gets us more in line with what our holy grail was to begin with, which is like let you tap into all of this information that you have in the enterprise. But yeah, so this is built directly into the core fabric of the platform. And most product managers at Box at this point are working on something AI related. There's sort of nobody that is unaffected
Starting point is 01:41:50 by AI at this point. How do you think about AI surfacing itself in the product in a, I don't know, like above the UI or below the UI? I don't know, front end or back end. Basically, I feel like I love when a company I use is saying, hey, we're going all in on AI, but I don't necessarily want a chat box with every product.
Starting point is 01:42:15 What I want is, hey, you guys did the hard work. You guys did the prompting. And all of a sudden, search just got better. Or if I wanna just click a button and see it as a CSV, boom, it's there. Or it's already been transformed, it's already in a database, it's already built for me,
Starting point is 01:42:34 instead of me having to actually say that. But it's really hard to define those things. So how do you think about, like is this going to be the prompt is in the hands of the user or the prompt lives within the Box engineering team? Yep You know, it's entirely case by case probably across all of software even in our product We have variants of both of those so we have a product or experience where you can chat with your documents
Starting point is 01:42:58 Which is means it's another you know chat box. Yep. We have a product that is For all intents and purposes you never have to even think about it as AI. It's data extraction from a document. You press, you know, extract data. You don't chat with it. And then the agent is, you know, a set of contexts, a set of tools that we've effectively tuned to that workflow. But you don't have to think about it as being AI or not. And it's not obvious which one wins out. I think there's a variety of ways that people will expect to use these use cases. The thing I'm probably most fascinated with and the thing that will have the most GDP impact is effectively these background agent use cases.
Starting point is 01:43:39 When AI first started emerging, really just due to Chatchabee-T, we thought about AI as, okay, I go into a prompt window and I ask a question, I get an answer back. Or maybe a year prior to that, you had GitHub Copilot, which was really kind of type ahead prediction functionality. In both of those cases, the AI can only work as fast as you can. And so that means our productivity gain was still capped by how fast we could work. With background agents, you're untethered in terms of the ultimate upside of the amount of productivity gain, because if you have a well-described prompt that
Starting point is 01:44:16 could basically translate days or weeks' worth of work into a couple minutes for the agent, then that's obviously like that could be 100x productivity gain. And so we have a number of features we're working on that more relate to background agent type type use cases. And that's, that's, I think, where what's most exciting. So when you think about cursors, background agent, or you think about codecs, or what replica does with its agent, that's, that's way more of the future. And, and that's,
Starting point is 01:44:41 you know, probably more of what we're putting our efforts into. Yeah, I feel like it's like,'s less flashy and it doesn't get as much attention for some reason. But and it's harder. It's harder to make AI just a button and it works. But when it when it when somebody can boil that down to click button, get result like it's just that's the original magic of software. And I think I well, but I think it's it's still probably click button but give some instructions to get what you want. But it's not as open ended as it was
Starting point is 01:45:10 before which is just here's an empty chat box do anything in the world. Yeah this will be an interesting tension between the let's say the most horizontal frontier players versus the applied more vertical specific use cases the vertical players and it could be industry
Starting point is 01:45:24 vertical or some other kind of vertically integrated product, the vertical or domain specific players will be able to pre-pack in the use case. And that will actually be, for many enterprises, the easier to adopt capability. Instead of like the super horizontal, we can do everything, super intelligence, understanding the use case in the domain
Starting point is 01:45:46 will likely improve the efficacy and ability to drive the rollout within the enterprise. How are you thinking about Box as a, is it a garden that you welcome people to? Is it a walled garden? You guys are building- Is it my data? Would you be okay with me taking my data and sharing it?
Starting point is 01:46:04 Well, yeah, it's just like you guys are building a bunch of workflows on top of your data. But then I imagine you're happy to, in some cases, let other companies come and make the data more valuable. What's your stance on letting the fox in the hen house? We've been going back and forth on that. Sometimes people say, it's a friendly fox. Let it in the hen house. Let it in the hen's house, let it in the hen house.
Starting point is 01:46:27 Yeah, we're a public park. Anybody can build their garden here. That's great. No, I mean, I don't want to read between the lines too much, but I assume this is about some of the closed off data access pipe. Data walls. Yeah. Tr, yeah.
Starting point is 01:46:45 Tricky topic. So for us, I'll just say our general biases, well, so first of all, to be unbelievably clear, any data within Boxes are customer's data. So just get that out of the way early. And in general, we bias toward a very heavy degree of API access into that data. There's a couple kind of complicated issues that are the emerging topics in the agent
Starting point is 01:47:07 world and this is obviously probably germane to the origin of the question. There are some systems that do these kind of heavy indexing of data tasks and in those areas you have a couple issues. One you just have a cost that the kind of originating vendor then incurs based on that indexing. But then also you have these open questions around security and permissions and data governance, because you're trying to keep permission models in sync between multiple systems.
Starting point is 01:47:35 And so all of a sudden, the brand promise of one platform can possibly be sort of mutated by another platform if there's a data leak event or whatnot, because your data was indexed by that other system. So these are gonna be more, I'd consider them more open questions that need to be figured out by the industry. I'm more a fan of this idea that you'll have,
Starting point is 01:47:57 any system that today sort of wants to index all of the information from another platform, sort of more ideal architecture would be that that system just talks to the system with all the data and says, hey, I'm looking for this particular piece of information. Can your agent go run off and find that for me and then pull that into that other agent? So the problem is that everybody's agents today operate differently. We all rank the information differently.
Starting point is 01:48:24 There's different latency. So that's why you kind of need indexing right now. But I think in five years from now, I would be, I think it would be a little bit of a architectural anomaly if you had to index all information like 20 times across the internet. That seems like that would be very inefficient.
Starting point is 01:48:42 And then it would lead to lots of security vulnerabilities. Because let's say I share a set of documents or a communication channel with you, and then that gets indexed by some AI agent system, but then I unshare that with you, how quickly does that propagate to the agent system that was indexing that data? And now we have a security risk
Starting point is 01:49:00 that that first system has no control over. So these are the very real kind of issues that you run into in enterprise software, which is why I also think that you're going to continue to see so much power in the systems of record, even in a world of AI agents. I have two questions. When you speak speaking of AI agents, specifically, there's billions of dollars being poured into roll ups to acquire maybe more kind of Main Street style businesses, let's billions of dollars being poured into roll-ups to acquire maybe more kind of main street style businesses, let's say an accounting firm. And the promise there is
Starting point is 01:49:31 basically that we're going to that the investor group is going to be able to and an operator is going to be able to dramatically reduce headcount and increase the earnings potential of the business. Do you think that there's enough excitement around agents and agentic workflows that these companies have been able to raise billions of dollars? Do you think that agents are already at a point where they are gonna be able to kind of deliver on that thesis or will companies,
Starting point is 01:50:03 there's two paths, like companies can leverage off the shelf agents, maybe coding agents for example, or they can build their own agents or workflows, but how ready are these businesses to be able to strip out, let's say like 50% of headcount? I think that depends on, do you want to grow revenue, or are you fine with the existing install
Starting point is 01:50:28 base of that company, and then likely some kind of terminal value that you can extract out of that? There's no question you could cut costs with AI agents in a number of spaces. But if you had a very competitive industry where the product roadmap really mattered, I think you'd probably be more in the camp of using AI agents to accelerate the work that you're doing as opposed to cutting headcount. So I think all depends on the space.
Starting point is 01:50:56 I haven't picked up on which industry people are most attracted to. Is it like healthcare, office, back office firms? Is it law firms, is it accounting firms? I think it'd be hard, you'd have to be really running a business very inefficiently if you could cut 50% of the cost with AI and then keep the business sort of maintaining its customer base. But private equity has found those opportunities in the past, so I think it's just a more,
Starting point is 01:51:21 it's the evolutionary kind of update to probably how private equity will think about some of these Efficiency gains, but but it and it has a place in the economy It's not something that is sort of to me the most exciting part of AI But but it could work and it could produce, you know some degree of profit. Yeah, thanks I We have a friend who is running a startup and recently a hyperscaler launched a competitor What advice would you give him for?
Starting point is 01:51:55 Competing with someone that basically has unlimited resources and How do you think about? Getting through that as an entrepreneur. It must be an emotional rollercoaster. We've talked to him a little bit. And I've been thinking about different case studies and mental models and companies that have made it through. And it's fascinating. But what would you say to a founder in that space? Well-capitalized, products loved,
Starting point is 01:52:19 but now facing fierce competition from a hyperscaler. I think there's a therapist mode in Chatchabee Tea that you can apparently that you can trigger. So sorry, is this like a known company? Can you say the company or not? Yeah, Browserbase. We've been talking about it on the show for a while. It's a computer use agent.
Starting point is 01:52:38 Or it helps you if you have an agent that needs to go browse the web. It's an API that lets you harness the computer and actually go click on things, and AWS launched something, and obviously that's competitive, and it's something that, we had them on the show a couple times,
Starting point is 01:52:54 we asked, hey, this feels like something that AWS might launch, they wound up doing it. What would your advice be to him, I guess? Yeah, so I think actually the, first of all, if you, somebody, maybe you guys could, do you have like an analyst team yet? Does that exist? It's coming, it's coming together.
Starting point is 01:53:12 We have some interns. I think you should- Deep research. Yeah, if you could run some analysis, I bet you in the history of hyperscalers launching a competing capability and then you look at that market, I bet in all cases, sorry, not in all cases, but on average, the market size kind of grows
Starting point is 01:53:31 for even the independent players. I mean, think about how many times Snowflake or Databricks probably shouldn't exist based on some of the data services of the hyperscalers, or Cloudflare for, Matthew, 10 years running would show the market share graph of CloudFlare versus all of the other CDNs. And you know, you would have been like, why would Amazon or Google not wipe out CloudFlare? It's like they already have the network.
Starting point is 01:53:56 It's not that hard. In fact, in many cases, CloudFlare probably runs on their networks. And yet it turns out that like hyper focused teams and platforms in big markets are usually able to carve out enough of the space because you're just going to be more wired into the customer base, the use cases, the better APIs. You're going to jump on the next trend more quickly. In the case of Amazon, I'm guessing that Amazon won't work as well with OpenAI where browser base can work with all of the model providers.
Starting point is 01:54:26 So there tends to be, with very few exceptions, plenty of sort of moves that you can make in these kinds of competitive situations. And in a lot of cases, it just actually, again, lifts up the awareness of the market, makes it more exciting. You tend to not want to be in a market by yourself unless you're like Nvidia or something. Like for the most part, having, you know, being in a dynamic market where people are comparing options and looking at SDKs and choosing things and talking about stuff that usually actually grows the market as opposed to makes it makes it more zero sum. So so I would I would be I would be bullish in that in that scenario more than anything. Do you think like 10, 15 years ago,
Starting point is 01:55:06 you or the chattering class was saying that about cloud storage broadly? Oh, saying that we would be crushed? Yeah, saying that you would be crushed or did anyone clock it correctly? Because what actually happened was not, oh, one oh, so one wins one doesn't one in like, there's multiple independent companies that are doing well. There's also hyperscalers that have grown
Starting point is 01:55:31 that like it's been this weird, like oligopolistic positive some market. It's been fantastic for all parties involved, basically. Yeah, no, no, nobody. Nobody got it right. I mean our first our First funding round was I think our valuation was $240,000 So, I mean basically the idea was like storage was a commodity but people't realize was no, it's the software above the storage that matters. And so, assuming that you're in a market that is going to grow again, zero sum markets are very different, but it's hard to find zero sum markets in software right now. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:56:16 It's your like deeply legacy. Yeah. If you're in a fast growing market, there's usually a move. There's usually some range of motion you have to differentiate, to specialize, to go into a vertical, to build more software on top of the commodity infrastructure. So I think we're in a period right now where you can kind of be generically bullish on just like categories broadly. Now, maybe we don't need the 20th kind of language model. There's some asterisks to this. But if you're one or two in a category right now and a big player enters, I think you'd just ride it out because,
Starting point is 01:56:50 because it's just too early at the moment on what's what's happening. Yeah. Yeah. It seems like a wildly different market dynamic in, uh, in the enterprise in B2B than in B2C where it's very much winner take all. And if you gave me a100 million to start a competitor, direct competitor to chat GPT, no, yeah. It just doesn't matter at this point, because there's so much energy and aggregation
Starting point is 01:57:14 and network effects and all sorts of different things. Anyway, sorry. And yet at the same time, I'd say every vertical in the enterprise is up for grabs. I think there's no vertical where you can just completely call a winner. I think there's I think there's no vertical where you can just completely call a winner. I think there's some cases maybe these like healthcare providers that do transcription and like maybe you can call a winner in
Starting point is 01:57:31 that space. Yeah. But for the most part, you know, when I talked to CIOs, they are they're in the very earliest phases of picking their first set of platforms for these major use cases. And so we have a window right now where you'll have many, many names that emerge that will be a hundred times bigger in five years from now. Totally. Yeah. And to the earlier point, we were talking about where like AI can be not just a new product for a company that's existing, but just little improvements to everything
Starting point is 01:57:57 that exists. And that winds up being a bunch of different vendors, a bunch of different internal projects, a bunch of different APIs, a bunch of different code revisions. There's so many different areas to just squeeze out percentages of improvements, so exciting stuff. Last question I have, you've seen a number of different cycles. You started the company in 2005, so you've... I do look that tired, yes. That's where he's going with.
Starting point is 01:58:27 But I'm curious, we were joking about a week ago that there's a lot, I mean, there's so many different like signals blaring that obviously there's a lot of excitement, a lot of new capability coming online, new intelligence being birthed. At the same time, we have Ethereum treasuries and SPACs for companies that maybe shouldn't be SPACed. NFT profile pictures coming back.
Starting point is 01:58:51 How do you, I'm not asking you to like call the top or call the bottom or anything, but do you have any type of outlook? Do you have any kind of concerns about how overheated things could be right now? Weirdly, I'm pretty, I tend to be pretty much on the conservative side in general and it's lost me lots of money
Starting point is 01:59:19 by just not believing in like 80% of things that have worked out. But for AI, and then maybe this is a counter signal, actually. So maybe this is like the Jim Cramer effect. But but in AI, I don't think we have reached anything close to close to any any peak of anything. Now, sure, you might be able to point to specific categories that are that are a little inflated.
Starting point is 01:59:41 But when you look at I mean,, this is an economy-altering technology. And if you just look at it as any percentage of labor as one way to model the potential size of these markets, we're in still the very earliest phase of what this looks like. Yeah, in 1999, if you were like, these internet companies are really potentially overvalued. You maybe looked smart for a little bit, but over a decade, you looked pretty dumb. But if you even took 99 business,
Starting point is 02:00:18 if you did a 99 kind of extrapolation from any of these valuations, OpenAI would probably be worth five trillion. Like these are not, I mean, if you look at like those companies were valued on, you know, 100, 200, 300X revenue for the mature companies. So like we are not even in 99 territory on the amount of kind of, you know, hype and excitement that there is. So I'm pretty bullish on where things go from here. If you look at something like the enterprise software
Starting point is 02:00:49 market, it's a few hundred billion dollar market in just like, let's say, the US and total spend on enterprise software. There's no reason why this isn't a doubling or a tripling, even in the conservative scenarios, when you can have AI agents go and do real work that is tied to the software because you just have so many more categories that the enterprise software can sell into.
Starting point is 02:01:12 And there's just examples everywhere. Like the enterprise software size, the category size of enterprise software for the legal industry like five years ago was about a couple billion dollars max. Like that is all that the legal industry spent on enterprise software. And in a world of AI agents, I think you could easily underwrite 10, 20, $30 billion being spent on just AI agent automated work
Starting point is 02:01:35 in the legal space. So you could have a lot of these spaces that become five or 10 times larger than they were in the pre-AI era. And I think you could do that across every category of knowledge work for the most part. Makes total sense. Last question I have is,
Starting point is 02:01:53 how tolerant do you think CIOs and executives broadly are going to be of the, if you're thinking about, you know, Apple, for example, thinking about implementing an LLM, it's not in Apple's nature to have imperfection, right? Like they're not looking for something that even one out of a thousand times
Starting point is 02:02:17 is gonna say something that's offensive or anything like that. And we were thinking, you know, we were talking about Grok. Grok obviously is on a wild trajectory. They're closing, they closed a massive partnership with the DoD last week. And that's partly, I imagine, like the Elon effect.
Starting point is 02:02:36 But how tolerant do you think CIOs will be of just the kind of inconsistent nature of AI agents, you know, saying, we're gonna make a big bet on a lab, of just the kind of inconsistent nature of AI agents, saying, we're gonna make a big bet on a lab, even though one out of 10,000 times it's gonna say something. Stochastic versus deterministic. Yeah, one out of.
Starting point is 02:02:54 Probabilistic computing is here. And one out of every 10,000 times you use the product, it might say something that 10 years ago you would have been fired for if you had implemented that software. Yeah, you can't make Hitler jokes in a company setting. So I would say increasingly the tolerance is going up because the understanding and the shared understanding of what these models are doing is going up. And so what's happening is companies are putting in sort of kind of informal or formal guardrails
Starting point is 02:03:29 on the fact that these models are probabilistic. And that will sometimes take the form of just an internal policy that says, okay, the AI agent is gonna give you your first draft, but your job and your responsibility and your liability is to ensure that what you're putting into production or the legal brief that you're writing or the marketing asset that you're creating is fully reviewed by a human. And that is the switch from, you know, maybe two years ago, we would have looked at a model's
Starting point is 02:03:56 kind of inaccuracy as a flaw in the AI. And now we have sort of accepted that it's just a part of the workflow. I walked by an engineer's desk a couple weeks ago and I've just said, what's your now new common practice of doing work? And he kicks off an agent to go write a bunch of code. And then his job is to go review the code and fix its errors and clean up syntax and whatnot that might be different. And that's just an accepted reality.
Starting point is 02:04:22 Whereas maybe two years ago you would say, hey, this model is producing a bunch of You know kind of garbage code It probably was garbage because it's just where the models were at but but you would have seen that as a flaw as opposed to That is just an acceptance that's an accepted reality of how these systems work now Yeah, so with with that I think evolution of the understanding, then you start to flip the mindset, which is, okay, I can now use AI to give me the first draft of the thing that I'm doing.
Starting point is 02:04:50 It can make the first draft of the blog post. It can auto transcribe the doctor note. It can generate the first... First draft of your board deck. Yes, and then we can go through it and review it and clean it up. And that still saves you 10 hours. And so that recognition is now kind of rippling through most organizations. This is why this idea of going AI first is kind of picking up steam. I talked to a lot
Starting point is 02:05:18 of CEOs and CIOs in the Fortune 500 kind of universe. And this is the most easily the most exciting and animated kind of topic that has existed in 20 years in technology. Yeah, they know they're much more likely to be fired for not being at the forefront of this wave than having a model that goes off the rails and offends a user one out of every 100,000 times. There is absolutely more room for ask for permission
Starting point is 02:05:44 in this phase of the the kind of excitement You know kind of adoption curve that we're seeing totally totally well, we've kept you too long Thank you so much for joining great hanging As for forgiveness not yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah for forgiveness I mean and thank you for catalyzing our early success And thank you for catalyzing our early success Bye Really quickly let me tell you about bezels get bezel comm your bezel concierge is available now to source you any watch on the planet
Starting point is 02:06:15 Seriously any watch and we will bring in Neil Perique from slingshot AI announcing ash Let's bring him into the studio from the Restream waiting room. How you guys doing? What's going on guys? Good to meet you both. Kick us off with an introduction. Hey, I'm Neil, one of the co-founders of Slingshot.
Starting point is 02:06:33 And I'm Daniel. Good to meet you guys. Introduce the company, introduce the product. Absolutely, yeah. So Neil and I met about 18 months ago. We were both chasing the same vision AI for mental health We're finally coming out of stealth. We've built the first AI Designed for therapy. You probably know this mental health crisis. You might product launch. I gotta do it also
Starting point is 02:06:57 Did you raise some money? We're announcing our fundraise. We've raised 93 million today. Let's go. Congratulations. Congratulations. There we go. Almost jumped the gun there. That's a big number. Fantastic. Was just gonna share.
Starting point is 02:07:16 I mean, you probably know this mental health crisis. You might not know that for every 10,000 people out there who need help, there's one person to offer it. Wow. There's kind of no way that we can get past that except for AI. So, uh, that's why we've worked quietly, carefully with clinicians in the loop to build the first foundation model for psychology and to actually help people with their mental health. Yeah. What does that mean? First foundation model, fine tuning, uh, pre-training.
Starting point is 02:07:42 What, what, what's the actual tech stack that you're building? Yeah, we train in three steps. So we do continued pre-training, what's the actual tech stack that you're building? Yeah, we train in three steps. So we do continued pre-training, not from scratch, but from a checkpoint. Order of magnitude is about 1% the size of a data set that a foundation model lab would use. So not going to cost us $10 billion, but enough to substantially change the behavior of the model and introduce completely new knowledge. Interesting. We then do alignment, which is where our clinical team adapts from the modality of human therapy to AI therapy
Starting point is 02:08:09 and learns how this completely new kind of app works. And then finally, we do reinforcement learning from what works at scale. That makes sense. What concerns you about people using traditional LLMs models for therapy today, just basically going into their favorite app. And you effectively can't stop somebody
Starting point is 02:08:32 from starting to use an LLM for therapy, but we've seen over the last two weeks, specifically, it seems to be some very real concerns around some of the behaviors of different models. It feels like they're almost accidentally jailbreaking the model, winding up in sci-fi territory, role-playing. What are the best case scenarios?
Starting point is 02:08:49 It sounds like those three strategies that you outlined are part of it, but what else is going on that can make sure that there's always a good outcome? I think the first thing with your knowledge is track CPT and clot are not made for therapy. They're not trained on clinical data. People can end up down these very weird rabbit holes like
Starting point is 02:09:07 we've seen, right? Where people end up in essentially a mode collapse or somewhere that's in a very weird part of the distribution, where, you know, it's bringing out psychosis and other issues and stuff. You know, they'll say that it's, it's useful for support, but at the end of the day, what we're building is something that's very different, right? The first thing to think about is we're not trying to build an instruction following model. Like if you go to chat,PT, it's an assistant. So if you ask it like, hey, give me a recipe for a piece of cake and ChatGPT were to ask you like,
Starting point is 02:09:31 so why are you hungry? You'd be like, what the, that's so annoying. Yeah, it's the alignment by default question, right? Sorry. Yeah, alignment by default. Like the model is supposed to always help you answer the question. So if you ask it, you know, how, like prove that I'm a genius, it'll just say, Oh, of
Starting point is 02:09:48 course, let's let's let's do that. No problem. And that's not what a therapist does. Exactly. If you go to a therapist and you're like, Hey, I feel angry. Help me. You know, they're going to say, so why is anger a bad thing? You know, and you're like, why is anger a bad thing?
Starting point is 02:10:03 Like, I don't know. And then you get into some interesting deep territory and that's where change happens. But yeah, chat UBT is not therapy. I actually just saw that Sam Altman posted about this and had said, yeah, chat UBT, a lot of people are using it for therapy, but it's not what it's built for.
Starting point is 02:10:20 And we're looking forward to seeing a startup emerge in this space. So. Interesting. How excited are you guys to just like, I mean, effectively you're going to be running, just by getting this out to more people, you're going to be running a massive trial. I think the debate, the debate among, you know, high functioning people, a lot of people that listen to the show, people in Silicon Valley in general,
Starting point is 02:10:47 is that like, there's almost like this question of like, does therapy even work? Is it good? Does it put you in these kind of doom loops? How are you guys like looking to measure results, right? You're actually wanting to change lives, but what does that look like? Yeah, super true.
Starting point is 02:11:07 By the way, on the controversy, it's funny on X. If you, Neil posted today for our launch and like if you read through it, it's fascinating how much people find this controversial. And it's interesting to see what's going on there, what people are really feeling when they're thinking about this. Yeah, and I feel like it's super common where
Starting point is 02:11:29 my parents, when I was an angry teenager in high school, they were like, you should see a therapist. And they would ask me, how was the therapist? And I would say, well, I don't know how the therapist was, but it was helpful to kind of just talk through the things that were top of mind for me. So I feel like there's this question of like, can you make something that's valuable
Starting point is 02:11:46 and helps people better understand themselves and the decisions they're making. But then there's all like, how do you actually be more beneficial than just having them sort of talk through a problem and actually implement change? 100%. So we built with a beta group of 50,000 people to make sure that
Starting point is 02:12:08 we're building this right that we were able to show efficacy safety. We are we've not yet published our results. It hasn't gone through peer review, but very exciting results so far. We've been able to show clinically effective results for symptoms of anxiety, depression, loneliness, increasing a sense of hope, achieving your goals. And I think the one that was coolest for us was actually increasing the number of people that you have in your support system in the real world. Are all those metrics like self-reported, like I fill out a survey and say, I'm feeling anxious. And then at the end of my therapy session, I say, okay, I'm feeling less anxious on like a scale of
Starting point is 02:12:44 one to 10. Is that basically the benchmark? Yeah, we use the official metrics. So, PHQ-9 and GAD-7 are the main ones. Those are the official ones for depression and anxiety, but we use a number of others. There's like the UCLA metric, but essentially we track people over time from before they start using the app through using the app and we measure how these symptoms change over time and to see whether or not it sustains. The interesting thing is, I mean, these are used widely across every area of psychology. They're also, it has been shown, I think, interestingly, that with normal chat bots, on average, after using it for a while, you actually reduce your connection to people in
Starting point is 02:13:18 the real world. Not too surprising. It was amazing for us to see that with Ash, people actually did build stronger connections in the real world And that just has to do with building something that's purpose-built to help people with their mental health Yeah, how excited are you guys around? frequency, I think one of the challenges with Therapy and actually driving change is if somebody's seeing a therapist once a week or every couple weeks It's like very easy to kind of Revert back into old patterns
Starting point is 02:13:46 or forget what you had just talked about and we're trying to change. Is part of the potential here is like somebody can effectively have this like constant contact with a therapist or do you think or the equivalent of a therapist? Yeah, so one thing that's important to know is that I think we're inventing a whole new
Starting point is 02:14:05 modality of therapy, right? There's something like this hasn't really existed before, which means that with that comes, you know, we can basically throw out, you know, the whole nature of like, we have to have a 45 minute session and happens once a week, right? Prices or, or like getting into a tough situation might happen at two o'clock in the morning, right? Your therapist is going to answer the phone at that time. Now that said, we also don't want people talking
Starting point is 02:14:28 for six hours on one day. Like we feel about you, and it's like important for you to like work on something, probably sleep it out, right? Think about it, process it, continue to work on it over some amount of time, because like growth takes some amount of time. Like very few people just snap and then overnight,
Starting point is 02:14:42 you know, are completely different. Though I would say this has been like a design evolution for us as we've been building. Like early on we noticed people wanted to use it, you know, until they solved their problem, even if that takes 10 hours. And that really doesn't work. You need to at minimum like sleep.
Starting point is 02:14:56 Like most change happens when you sleep, when you engage in the world. So like one thing that our AI does that's unique compared to others, is at some point it does gently push you out. It will say things like, you know, okay, you know, let me just ask you one more question and then maybe this would be a good time to end for today.
Starting point is 02:15:11 And what that does is it builds a more healthy habit where you're able to use this as something that you turn to and people do usually engage a lot more frequently than they would with therapy, but they'll engage so that they can actually get through their problem and not create some sense of dependency. Instead, it's something that you come back to, something that you're working on in a style that makes sense and a frequency that makes sense for you and not just for your insurance company.
Starting point is 02:15:35 Very cool. I have a bunch more questions about business model and stuff, but we are out of time. Thank you so much for hopping on. Congratulations on the launch. Last question. Why Slingshot? Ah, it's a great question. What we're, um, our product is called Ash, Ash AI therapy. Highly recommend, uh, checking it out. Slingshot, I think makes sense. Great as a, like a tech company communicate the, the idea of like the massive change that you go through. Um, Ash was a much more, uh, gentle, you know, not too human sounding, not, not human sounding. Um, and,. And so it's if you're still depressed tomorrow, I will take a slingshot and hit you in the head hit me in the head.
Starting point is 02:16:11 But all right. Well, I love your feedback. Thanks so much for hopping on. So we'll talk to you soon. Have a good time. Up next, we have Jan Sremmack from California forever. He has some exciting news. He shared it re industrialized last week. We were slammed. We got him on the show today to break it down for us. Sorry for keeping you waiting. Jan, good to see you. How are you beautiful backdrop? Is that a real photo or are we looking at a virtual background? He's on a hot air balloon right now. No, that's a virtual background. It will good. Hopefully it will be a real photo.
Starting point is 02:16:46 What is it describing or what is it showing? It's showing the Solano Foundry. It's showing this advanced manufacturing park that we announced last week, which is at the edge of the new city. Very cool. Yeah, announced it reindustrialized. We were confused because we were like, wait, California forever is building in Detroit, but you're building in California, we're Californians. We love to see
Starting point is 02:17:09 this. Take us through a little bit more of the announcement. What exactly is coming together? I imagine there's a piece of public support, some government stuff, some financial capital, there's a lot of different moving pieces to this. What is in the announcement specifically? Yeah, a few different components. So the Solano Foundry is in the new city and it has been in the plan. We've had a big area for basically industry
Starting point is 02:17:35 and technology in the plan since the beginning. That hasn't changed. What's changed with the announcement is we've put a lot more a lot more details behind it. And so we've put we've we've put forward specific master plans, the industries we would focus on. We've worked with JLL, which is probably the leader in this domain.
Starting point is 02:17:54 I mean, JLL works for majority of the companies in the Valley when they decide that they need to go from 50 employees to 500. They call JLL and they say, hey, where we should go. And JLL has spent, as they've told us, they've spent the last 10 years moving companies out of California and they're kind of sick of doing that. And you're going to give them another option to do it closer to home. So we're parting up JLL.
Starting point is 02:18:19 They wrote a whole 40 page white paper about why they felt that actually you could do manufacturing in California if you had a scale that we have and if you were an hour outside of Silicon Valley. And so we've they published the white paper they've joined us as the exclusive leasing agent for the 2100 acres. It's about 40 million square feet of space so it'll be the biggest advanced manufacturing park in California and then it would work as a integrated ecosystem with both the new city that we building and with the salon shipyard, which is about seven miles south of there.
Starting point is 02:18:55 Okay, tell me some historical examples that you're learning from. I want to hear about Apple's Fremont factory. That was an example of California manufacturing in advanced computing. Didn't go so well. Then we're seeing a bunch of promising stuff happen in Arizona with TSMC. What are the various lessons that you're pulling from? What are the anecdotes that you're sharing?
Starting point is 02:19:15 Yeah, real quick, I just wanted to get, so the foundry and the shipyard, I imagine will share, like be heavily connected in terms of a company that's at the ship Shipyard might also have a facility at the foundry and they would obviously have Talent living in the city. Like how do the how did the three kind of core? Yeah, it's a great question So city provides a place for all of these people to live, whether they work at the shipyard or whether they work at the foundry.
Starting point is 02:19:47 Obviously, employee housing, huge issue in California, particularly if your people have to commute from far away, right? That's one of the biggest drivers that makes people quit their job is they just get fed up with doing a two-hour commute. And so, we can basically provide a 10-minute commute next to the foundry, 15 minutes from the shipyard. People can walk to work. minute commute next to the foundry 15 minutes from the shipyard people can walk to work people could bike to work I mean there's very few places very few places in America where you could work in a factory and bike to work everyone keeps talking about we're gonna re
Starting point is 02:20:16 industrialize the country but nobody's talking about the reality that nobody wants to work of some random freeway exit in the middle of in the middle of two hours in the desert. Exactly, you drive to the factory an hour and a half from your house, and then you work off a freeway exit next to a Burger King and a McDonald's, right? Like who wants to work there? And somehow there's still traffic,
Starting point is 02:20:36 even though these places are in the middle of nowhere. Yeah, exactly, exactly, exactly right. And so I think if we're gonna actually try to get people to work in manufacturing again, you have to provide a quality of life that I think our generation has come to expect right? Which means you need to be able to go work in a factory and then you want to have lunch So you meet up your friends and you sit in an outdoor plaza and you hang out and you can do the same thing after work And there's basically nowhere in America where you can get that other than this place
Starting point is 02:21:02 and so that's a component of it and then yes the other than this place. And so that's a component of it. And then yes, the shipyard and the foundry are very similar. The shipyard is basically the foundry on the water. I mean the foundry is an advanced manufacturing park and shipyard, if you really think about what that is, that's a manufacturing park on the water that just happens to have really large parcels. And so you would have companies that build ships in the shipyard and then their suppliers are in the foundry. And then we actually have a rail connection between the two. And so you can ship the components from the foundry to the shipyard. And so the
Starting point is 02:21:34 whole thing is basically this integrated advanced manufacturing ecosystem where in particular, we've learned a ton from how China does it. You look at the evolution of this whole thing and we started it. We perfected it in America during the Second World War. We built the global manufacturing industrial superpower. We discovered that it made a lot of sense to create these ecosystems. Detroit was powerful not because we made cars in Detroit, but because we made mufflers and brakes and tires and all of the components that go in the car, right? It's the
Starting point is 02:22:10 whole supply chain. And then we did the same thing in Silicon Valley. One of the things that I learned in the course of working on this in 1965, Lockheed Martin employed 28,000 people in Sunnyvale. In Sunnyvale, 28,000 people, can you imagine? And so you have to have the whole ecosystem. And then what happened in the 90s is China and the lesson. They basically took all of the best lessons from America and they perfected them and they built these tightly integrated hardware ecosystems in China where you have whole cities that focus on drones
Starting point is 02:22:46 or robotics or shipbuilding or whatever it is. And that's how they've been able to outcompete us to the point where, what is it, China built 10 million drones a year and we built about 100,000 in the US. China built more ships in one shipyard last year than we have in the entire country since the end of the second world war. You have these entire cities that specialize in production. Uh, and our view is that if we are going to compete, particularly in the high tech areas, we gonna have to replicate it.
Starting point is 02:23:15 What was the, what was the number of Lockheed employees in Sunnyvale? Today it's at, uh, 3,500. Wow. Huge fall off. Incredible. Should we do a little bit of the history question I had? Yeah, yeah, yeah. Thank you for stepping in. He covered a little bit. Yeah, I'm just interested to hear your take on what
Starting point is 02:23:34 SpaceX is doing in Texas, what TSMC is doing in Arizona. There's a bunch of interesting projects that you're probably pulling lessons from. What does it take to get this right? Yeah, I mean, I think we are so far behind that it's going to require kind of an all of the above approach. It's not here or Arizona or Texas. It's all of the above. I think there's an interesting question about specialization. And one of the other things that I noticed is if you look at all of the breakthrough products that we've built if you look at all of the breakthrough products
Starting point is 02:24:05 that we've built in America, you can go look at Boeing 747 in the 60s, you can look at Tesla Model 3 10 years ago, or you could even look at some of the stuff that Anduriel is doing in Southern California. Basically all of the breakthrough products that we've built, they scaled between 10 and 20 miles away from where they were invented, right? The Boeing factory at Everett Field was about 20 miles from R&D. Tesla Fremont was what, 25 miles from the HQ in Palo Alto where they designed it. I think you could make a, I mean, imagine Tesla ramping up Model 3 production if the factory was in Texas.
Starting point is 02:24:49 You could argue that it would have gone very differently, right? They would never have been able to figure it out if you didn't have the tight integration between the engineers and the production line. And you can actually drive there and be there in an hour. And so the way that we think about the foundry is, it's probably not the place where you put
Starting point is 02:25:05 your factory that has 10,000 employees. It's probably not the place where you put your Gigafactory, but it is the place where you go from having 50 people in Menlo Park to having 200 people in your factory number one to having a thousand people in your factory number two, maybe 4,000 people in your factory number three. And then if you really, really hit it big and you're operating a Tesla scale and you're the factory that employs 10,000 people,
Starting point is 02:25:31 then yeah, go put it in Texas or Reno or somewhere else. But it's basically a place for all of these companies to scale from prototype to a multi-billion dollar company. And then also keep some of the cutting edge development close to the R&D talent. I mean, even if you look at a lot of what Tesla and SpaceX are doing, a lot of the stuff remained in California. I mean, the engines that go on Starship are still made in California. Yeah. What's the timeline for the foundry? Are you guys already working on, What's it? What's the timeline for the foundry? Are you guys already working on?
Starting point is 02:26:10 You know, I'm imagining you're talking with a bunch of tenants already about potential leases How quickly do you want to see? people with Actual their employees boots on the ground standing up these factories facilities, etc Yeah, I mean the current timeline is to break ground in 28 and that's basically on track. So there's a local city called Tsusun that basically came forward and said, hey, we want to look at approving the entirety of the new city by annexing it into our city. That happened a few months ago and so we are now going through the environmental work. I think they're expecting to publish the draft environmental report in Q1 of 26. But since we've announced the
Starting point is 02:26:47 foundry and actually same for the shipyard, we've had a bunch of companies come to us and say, hey, we would love to build here, but we really would like to break ground in 26 or 27. We have lots of orders, we need to make a decision. And so we're going to look at, can we work with the stakeholders around the table to accelerate it because it would be a shame to send another 20,000 jobs to Texas. By the way, very topical here, California just put out the numbers for unemployment last month.
Starting point is 02:27:17 We just lost another 7,000 jobs in the Bay Area. California now has the highest unemployment rate in the whole country. So you have this crazy juxtaposition of all of the- The greatest economy, one of the greatest economies in world history, period. World, yeah, it's bigger than most countries. And still this unemployment crisis.
Starting point is 02:27:38 Wild, wild. Well, thank you for everything you do. Good luck. It is, it's a huge challenge, but it's been fun following along and exciting to see the latest development. We're gonna have to set up our own studio. I was looking at, I was looking in the background.
Starting point is 02:27:50 I'm seeing, I'm 2PM Studios North right there. Right behind me. Right there, right in the center. Exactly, good luck in you guys. Congratulations on all the progress. We'll talk to you soon. And if you're looking to visit California, find your happy place at wander.com.
Starting point is 02:28:04 Find your happy place. Find your happy place at Wander.com Find your happy place find your happy place Look Wander with inspiring bags hotel great amenities dreamy beds top tier cleaning in 24-7 concierge service It's a vacation home, but better folks and we are ready to bring in our next guest Nate Nathaniel Manning. Let's bring him in to the studio from the restream waiting room if we can do that Nathaniel How are you doing? I'm doing well, can you hear me? Yeah, yeah, can hear you fine, good to meet you. Why don't you kick us off with the introduction
Starting point is 02:28:30 on yourself and the company? Yeah, hey, I'm Nat Manning, everyone calls me Nat. And the CEO of Legend, Legend AI, what we do is essentially make Earth searchable. We want to be able to query Earth over space and time. So how do you do that? You have all these large language models out there. They're trained on language.
Starting point is 02:28:55 So if you were to want to find all the fire breaks in the Pacific Palisades, for instance, you can't really ask CHAT GPT that because it's not in language today. It's not been marked, right? But the answer is that does exist exists in pixels that have been collected over the last 20 years in satellite imagery or drone imagery or low earth flying air and you can train a model a large earth observation model on that data set and be able to can train a model, a large earth observation model, on that data set and be able to begin to query
Starting point is 02:29:27 the pixels themselves. So that's what we do. Yeah, what are the data sources? I imagine Planet Labs and some other stuff. Are you buying data? Are you just using stuff that's out there on the open web and fine tuning or kind of putting it all in a database? What does the market for satellite imagery
Starting point is 02:29:44 look like these days? The special part about this industry is a lot of it's made free and available. It depends on how recent you want it or how high resolution. Then you have to go private. But you can train it. We train on Sentinel, which is from the European space and then there's a bunch of NASA out there as well and we can train on all that so we get to train
Starting point is 02:30:10 on open data and then when someone wants something that's either more high resolution or more recent we can we can run our models and easily on top of those that purchase date as well. Who's the ideal customer for this? I mean, I can imagine it being something I'm using personally like every once in a while, but I imagine like it's more of a B2B use case. So walk me through the customer workflow.
Starting point is 02:30:37 Yeah, there's really three products in a stack that we're building. So the first is at the API level. And I would imagine the kind of similarity there is like LiveKit. If you want to put audio into your work today, and you're building an AI product, you can work with a LiveKit or another one like that. It's similar that way. If you want to be able to bring the intelligence that's in this data, which is arguably also
Starting point is 02:31:00 one of the largest datasets ever collected. So language is under one petabyte of data. All these models are trained on. There's almost 200 petabytes now of Earth imagery. Now, the amount of imagery doesn't necessarily equal value, but it does kind of create complexity and possibility, I think. And so typical Earth observation market
Starting point is 02:31:24 has been mostly government and defense and intelligence with agriculture and all sorts of kind of environmental climate, supply chain, logistics, finance and insurance. Insurance is a world I come from. So those are some of the key ones. And then as I said on the stack, it's kind of API level, which would be thinking like Google Maps, Mapbox kind of tools.
Starting point is 02:31:50 What is Google's strategy here? It feels like they have a lot of data in Google Earth and Google Maps and there's a search box there, but it's certainly not powered by Gemini yet. But do you think it's on the roadmap for them or do you think that they they're just focused more on like the consumer use case here Yeah, I mean Google's the big Eight hundred big bear in the room. Yeah Yeah, look they they have they have You know, they have all the ingredients to make this stew. They also have like a lot of competition a lot of focus
Starting point is 02:32:24 It's one of the reasons some of the investors we took on or where the founding team a keyhole which became Google Earth and Google Maps and people who really arguably have made more from this in this space than like anybody else. One of my favorite stats actually was that and talking to them learning that of the 200 billion in search revenue that Google makes, one third of it triages their location geospatial database. So that's arguably the most successful tool in this space. Now that's location as well,
Starting point is 02:32:54 and not just what's called geospatial, but yeah, so API level, and then we're building an enterprise product as well, and then we'll put out kind of a fun consumer application as well, kind of draw people's attention to what is now really possible that everyone's kind of dreamed about for years, this idea of being able to kind of query the earth over space and time, but the technology wasn't there until a few years ago. Jordy, you have anything?
Starting point is 02:33:21 I got another question. Yeah, no, I was curious, like where you expect the most pull from on the enterprise side? Is this like, on the site, you have a bunch of different use cases that feel really tied to insurance underwriting? Is that an area that you're excited about? Yeah, that's where I came from. I started a company called Kettle that focused on, this is kind of how I came about to this,
Starting point is 02:33:47 which was building, we train CNNs on all sorts of imagery and weather data and build our own risk models and ended up going fully verticalized and sold insurance in California. We built kind of our own models around wildfire risk and arguably I think built some of the best prediction models for wildfire and then wrote insurance. But the hard part with insurance, you need a giant balance sheet to be able to write it. And so it was hard to be in a position where you have product market fit so clearly, like so clearly saw that like there was going to be a breakage in the California market that
Starting point is 02:34:19 you could do a better job using AI to predict this risk and then just be kind of hampered by conservative mindsets. And so we seem to- Well, wasn't there also, what wasn't, John and I live in two areas that were impacted by the LA fire. Fortunately, our homes were okay. But I had read that California had effectively had price controls by not allowing you to
Starting point is 02:34:46 price based on risk, but only price based on historical loss rate. And then that changed in December. I don't want to go on a tangent, but I'm- No, no. I can talk about insurance all day long. And yes, it's definitely one of the main verticals we're focused on because It's it's one of the most kind of important data sets for underwriting property underwriting But in short, yes the admitted market in California using prop 103 because of prop 103 basically says you cannot
Starting point is 02:35:17 Yeah, yeah You have to kind of use historical risk which in the world of climate change or any other kind of the how fast everything's moving right now The last you know hundred years does not predict the next five years nearly as well as it used to and so But there is this thing called the excess and surplus market So once you're have three denials from the admitted market you can go to the excess and surplus market and Those rules don't apply and so that market has grown at a, I think a 17% CAGR year over year for the last eight years in California. Wow. Because essentially admitted markets on strike, saying
Starting point is 02:35:54 like, Hey, and I'm fairly so they're like, I need to be able to raise my rates. I need to be able to use models that actually work. And, and they they struggled to do so. So I got a lot of sympathy for them. It's hard to be in that business. How much demand are you seeing from people that just want to use AI tools to get cleaner and more data into a traditional geospatial database versus more of like an end-to-end AI solution
Starting point is 02:36:21 where you're training on like the raw satellite images and then trying to kind of query that directly Yeah a fair number. I mean what what were The the first customers the people kind of doing this today what you're essentially offering what we offer is the ability to create Aaron actually is kind of talking about this earlier on your show the ability to create, Aaron actually was kind of talking about this earlier on your show, the ability to create information out of, or structured data out of unstructured data. So imagery is unstructured data.
Starting point is 02:36:53 And kind of historically you'd have a, you know, stage one is you have an analyst look at it and you know, looking human eyes are pretty good at looking at this picture and saying, ah, that's a fire break and this is a neighborhood and that's a fire on the other side of et cetera, or a fire on the other side of et cetera, or a forest on the other side. And then you would train a, kind of stage two is you'd train a specific model, a convolutional neural net. Detect all the trees, detect all the roads,
Starting point is 02:37:17 and then that's how Google maps. And you give it hundreds and thousands of images and teach it how to do that specific thing. And we spent millions of dollars a kettle doing that. And that's kind of the norm today. There are tons of teams and it takes multiple data scientists and an ML ops person and a quarter or two to do one of these.
Starting point is 02:37:37 So you're spending like half a million bucks kind of per query. And because again, it's just like convoluted data and it's across all those kind of industries we talked about. But what happened when you have the attention is all you need, you know, a paper that came out the transformer model, when you apply transformer model architecture to data, the output is embeddings, right?
Starting point is 02:38:00 So you have these vector embeddings for language. And what happened over the last 25 years, for 25 years, keywords were the first order data object for making sense of language. And in the last two and a half years, we've seen the process of it changing from that to language embeddings. And it's one of the biggest stories sort of in the world. And our take is the same thing is going to happen in geospatial data. For 25 years, it was map tiles or the pure raster data, the pixels themselves, and that we're in the process of that changing
Starting point is 02:38:29 to geo-embeddings. And so our whole thesis, what Legend really is, is the stack for managing embeddings, creating, tuning, and storing them, which is the output of these models on the raw data itself. And just that's the wave we think is going to happen for the same reason that because it's happening in language. Very exciting. Thank you so much for stopping by. Quick hit.
Starting point is 02:38:54 Happy to be here. Do you have any news for us? You raised money on that? Yeah, we raised a $9 million round. Oh, there we go. Thank you. Very exciting. We have some great guys on it.
Starting point is 02:39:05 Kareem, your buddy, Ryan Delk was kind of our first check-in. Fantastic. No way. So a lot of friends. Yeah. I've known Ryan for years. Amazing. He's the best.
Starting point is 02:39:13 That's great. Thanks, guys. Congratulations. Well, congratulations to you and the team. Appreciate it. Thanks for having me. Sure, we'll have you back on soon. And we'll see you soon.
Starting point is 02:39:18 Have a good one. Cheers. We have to pull a video up and react to it. Apparently, some guys were pull a video up and react to it apparently some guys Were this? Made a video this morning that I will drop into For the production team to pull up Here we go
Starting point is 02:39:38 They made a launch video. I think they're a company called Composio. Okay And apparently we were featured in it well well they violated the derivative works clause anyway so let's watch it first time seeing this we're reacting oh there we go hello my name is Jonathan Lou today I'm launching Cupidly, the cursor for dating. Let me show you how it works. So when you visit the site, you first enter your type.
Starting point is 02:40:11 So let's enter my type. Oh, this is Hingebench. We've been talking about this. This is not the video that I pulled up. Then you go ahead and connect your Hinge profile. This is AI agent for Hinge dates. Okay. It scrapes your hinge profile and it tries to do not the video not the video that I was referencing so
Starting point is 02:40:30 can you guys look in the in the tab getting some audio not this one not this one this one second the first one there there's two videos okay so first they violate the derivative clause and then I guess they drink tap out okay okay pull up the first one I just we're gonna have to find out what that other video was oh yeah but that's a big viral launch so someone launched agents yes we're not getting video guys I mean how could it go wrong we got into fucking YC. Yeah, that was useful. But eventually becoming nothing. Just like the agents we built.
Starting point is 02:41:09 Fuck, Luli. I wish our agents just worked. Beautiful cinematography. I sometimes wonder what it'd be like if we had agents that actually were useful. You are watching TBPS. There we go. We have some crazy founders on our show.
Starting point is 02:41:26 They literally went from almost going homeless to an AI agent unicorn. Over the past few months our customers have turned old. No fucking way! Our agents keep breaking. How did you fix that? We started using this new tool. I saw this agent AI thing on Facebook, but it made no sense to me. Your new agents are amazing. They just work. So how did you grow so fast? Honestly, our agents sort of sucked before.
Starting point is 02:41:48 We tried to build everything ourselves. Then we started using the friend of the show, Composio. They're fucking great. They allowed us to build these incredible agents. Last year we got reliable agents. Ones you could trust to code, test, and ship. This year the shift is bigger. Agents! Agents! Agents!
Starting point is 02:42:04 Teams aren't just working with agents, they're managing swarms. Yes. Dozens of agents. Loading work. Handing off contacts. Self-correcting. Agents! Agents! Agents! Tough work.
Starting point is 02:42:20 Here we go. This is amazing. Very drawn out. OK. Fix your agents before it's too late. So Composio. Very cool. I'm pulling it up the skill layer of AI. There was so much in that video.
Starting point is 02:42:44 Yeah, there was a lot going on in there, but we'll pull up the second video now because it sounds like they've respected our terms of use. They respected it in the video. I saw tap water in the video. They don't even need to do a second video, but they did. So thank you to them for respecting the derivative of the works clause
Starting point is 02:43:00 and paying homage, homage. I love how the team is able to deliver 20 hours of cinematic content a week, but if you get them, try to get them to pull up a video. Here we go. Let's see this. Look at this cinematography, so many cuts, wow. This is fantastic editing.
Starting point is 02:43:23 Congratulations. I can't fucking believe it. You already tapped out. There we go. You love it. Good job, guys. Fantastic. That's a fantastic match.
Starting point is 02:43:37 Full golden retriever mode. Congratulations to them. Love it. So, we got to have them on. They raised 29 million to build skills that evolve with your agents. Okay, tomorrow we're having them on. They raised 29 million to build skills that evolve with your agent. Okay, tomorrow we're having them on. We have slots, we will reach out. We'll make it happen. We have one more guest. I think Chris is still in the restream waiting room. Is that correct?
Starting point is 02:43:53 Is that right? Chris, sorry to keep you waiting. There was a viral video. We had to react to it. No worries. Thanks so much for hopping on. Thanks so much for the patience. Kick us off with the introduction. How do you know TJ Parker? Yeah, TJ Parker. Man, we went to Sunday school together. I think so. 25, 30 years ago. That's a good start.
Starting point is 02:44:13 That's great. But no, TJ's a dear friend. We're both based out in Park City, Utah. Oh, amazing, amazing. And yeah, give us the introduction on the company, the news, what else is going on in your world? Yeah, so I'm Chris Andrew, co-founder and CEO for Scrunge AI. We've built a customer experience platform
Starting point is 02:44:31 for the AI buyer journey. Today we're announcing a $15 million Series A. Congratulations. But by decibel, you've been gone. Thanks so much. I did hit the gun. And I mean, very simply our belief 18 months ago was that all of search was moving to be AI search.
Starting point is 02:44:50 Yeah, really like we outsourced browsing without talking about the fact that we never wanted to browse the internet. It was inefficient. We outsourced it. AI does it for us. And it means that AI visits websites instead of humans. And so we're building a company around that shift. Okay. Talk to me about the about the AI shopping journey recently.
Starting point is 02:45:09 We're looking for gear for our studio, basically always. I wanted to build a mobile camera rig. I needed certain features. There's HDMI ports, this much battery life, this much, all the camera. Kind of describe what I want. It puts together a little shopping list. I send it to the production team.
Starting point is 02:45:25 We kind of go back and forth. There are some links there. I don't think those are affiliate links yet. I feel like in the future there will be ads. But but what else is important in terms of actually positioning if you're selling a particular camera? How do you make sure that you show up and you beat it out? Because I kind of knew I wanted a Sony camera,
Starting point is 02:45:43 but they could have sold me on black magic there. Black magic should have been hand wearing me. They should have been paying open AI to be like, Hey, have you considered this black magic one? And you know, the team likes black magic too. So talk to me about all the different nuances that go into AI shopping. Yeah, I think really ultimately all that top of funnel discovery, kind of the 90% of the buyer journey, which used to be you curating research from Reddit,
Starting point is 02:46:07 reviews, sites based on pricing, we've trusted open AI and perplexity to do that for us. So you know, they're basically running a search over a search index, which is increasingly GPT's own search index. Prior, that was based on Bing or Google or Brave, but they're looking at a list of websites, identifying title, description, snippet, visiting the website, deciding if it's relevant based on the prompt that you asked. So it's basically trying to match the intent of a human prompt to content on websites to cite the sources that it deems relevant. So what we're seeing in
Starting point is 02:46:41 the end is buyer journeys that are massively reduced. People are arriving on a website and buying the first time they're there. A lot of our customers are seeing 2 to 4X conversion from AI search visitors compared to organic search visitors. And I think search and shopping will keep changing. I just heard that GPT is embedding Shopify checkout in their feed. They're taking a cut of that checkout. I think it's 4% or something in terms of another cut off the top. But today what's happening is AI is doing the research,
Starting point is 02:47:12 citing sources, and we as humans are clicking out to purchase and engage. So how important is it if you run an e-commerce website to go into Cloudflare and turn off that AI default? Because that seemed like Matthew Prince came on the show, a great entrepreneur, he's certainly working in favor of content producers who might not want to be scraped and have their, you know, the harder worked blogs
Starting point is 02:47:37 that they've developed automatically generated in AI search results, but if I'm just selling a product, I definitely want to be in search. So how is that landscape shaping up these days? Yeah, Matthew Prince, another great Park City local, we've all got our fingers crossed he can buy the mountain. We're pulling for him. And also pulling for him that content creators
Starting point is 02:47:58 can get paid in AI crawling. I think that model makes a lot of sense for Cloudflare. Our customers on the other hand, I think the 50 to 60% of the internet that has a product or service to sell is desperate to bring content online to help AI understand their products and services. So we still come across Fortune 500 brands
Starting point is 02:48:16 who have their site blocked. And so when I ask a question about that brand, what's the price, what's the product description, compare it to XYZ, It's going out to the open web to represent your product. So our customers are like, my product and service is no longer what I say it is. It's what chat GPT says it is. And if GPT can't access or can't effectively utilize your content on your website, it's going to
Starting point is 02:48:40 pull from every other source that it can find on the internet. So that's part of why we've launched what we call our agent experience platform today, which is essentially an optimized version of your website. So we take your website, we scrunch it called our brand scrunch, because we literally want to strip away everything on a site that is confusing the AI. These models don't read JavaScript. They struggle with carousels. They're not converting your multimedia into texts. Large language models want language
Starting point is 02:49:06 so it's critical for businesses to be enabling the crawling on their site and making that content rich and Accurate for the crawlers to access and pull through. How is that actually different from just generic SEO? I feel like if I had a video I'd want subtitles and text and like an HTML tag or something that That just Google search could pull up anyway There was kind of like that keyword stuffing era Dump a bunch of words and white text on a white background at the bottom. Yeah one point font or whatever like yeah It is that are we going back to that? No, I mean, I think we're actually moving more towards human language and intent
Starting point is 02:49:41 I mean the keyword stuffing is a great example If you if you pull up a recipe site, go Google chicken noodle soup, you're gonna find the word chicken 60 times on that page. It's absolutely manic. AI wants the intent of the query. So like if you ask GPT for a recipe, it gives you the answer, right? It kind of strips everything away
Starting point is 02:49:59 and reduces it to what you want. So I do think we're actually returning to a lot of core SEO principles. You need language, large language models want language. They're struggling with carousels and multimedia. They need that text. And so I think best practices in SEO, ultimately my hope is we just call this search.
Starting point is 02:50:16 We get rid of GEO, AEO, AIO. I ultimately think all of search is gonna be AI search and it's agents retrieving content for us. Anything else, Jordy? No, this is great. Thank you for joining. Congratulations on the raise. We will talk to you soon.
Starting point is 02:50:30 Thank you very much. Thanks guys, appreciate it. Have fun out there in Park City. Give our best to TJ. Yeah, we'll talk to you soon. Have a good one, bye. Let's rip through some timeline. Did you see the Medieval Knight raising a seed round
Starting point is 02:50:43 of 500 gold ducats at 3,000 ducats post, and they already have their first LOI signed with the Holy Roman Empire. Hard not to be bullish. We must beat the Ming dynasty in the gunpowder race. What is this video, by the way? We gotta pull up this video. Pull up the video.
Starting point is 02:51:00 I don't know if we can. This is gonna be hard. This is gonna be a big challenge. It's an image right now, but it is in the tabs. You might have to scroll way back. Loosely modified after the Tannenberg Castle Gun, mine is loaded with around 50 to 60 grains of 2F black powder and fires a.75 caliber lead ball.
Starting point is 02:51:18 Heavy. Do we have the video? Can we pull it up? One second. This is an OG 2A enthusiasts right here in yeah indeed I love that some founders alt Edward is just like completely transposing this to the defense tech meme I was like we must beat the Ming dynasty in the gunpowder race like, you know, I've invented defense tech and This guy is firing some sort of a castle gun. I've never heard of this before
Starting point is 02:51:46 apparently from 1400 so we should get one. They had guns 600 years ago. Wow. I thought that was more modern I thought that was like maybe 300 years ago, but when was the first gun created? Let's figure it out Appeared in China the earliest firearms known as fire lances appeared in China around the 10th century. They were essentially tubes, often bamboo, filled with gunpowder and shrapnel mounted on spears. So they were just made a lot of sense. You got a spear, you want to point it, you want some range, throw on some gunpowder. More news, Nudge raised a hundred million dollar. We got the video What are these guys doing by the way, this is like what is this? What is this operation? Where these guys legends?
Starting point is 02:52:33 That is so crazy It is bamboo. It looks like it's bamboo. I don't know if it is but insane Insane Ben get one of these for the studio. I need one. Yeah. Yeah for our next confetti cannon We'll load up. Yeah with real as a confetti cannon, we'll load up that gunpowder. Yeah, with real, as a confetti cannon with real gunpowder. Just in YCDEM, we'll be like, boom! We're like shaking the whole building
Starting point is 02:52:52 every time someone announces a closed seed round. Yes, Nudge, the brain computer interface company co-founded by Fred Ersam, the co-founder of Coinbase, says half the world will experience a brain disorder in their lifetime. At Nudge, we're building brain interfaces that are safe, precise, and non-invasive to solve that problem.
Starting point is 02:53:13 They raised $100 million in Series A, led by Thrive Capital and Green Oaks to go faster. We're hiring Join Us, very exciting. Nudge, kind of the non-invasive Neuralink. There's other news in here in the deck. Neuralink just did two implantations in the same day. So they're scaling the actual implantation of the Neuralink device.
Starting point is 02:53:31 That of course requires invasive surgery. Nudge does not. It's a kind of a helmet that you put on, but then can stimulate the brain in different ways and solve a whole bunch of different brain disorders. Very exciting stuff. This very likely could be the key to scaling from three to six hours a day.
Starting point is 02:53:48 I think so. I put one of these on. I mean, you can actually turn off sleepiness basically. I mean, once you get the different, it's literally like a tinfoil hat. Put it on and it can just be like, turn off fear, up-recul up regulate risk-taking go turbo long Yeah mitigate you want you want capital alligators to?
Starting point is 02:54:10 Be super risk on but still get the weight loss benefits of yes. Yes. Yes. Yes exactly This is a wild leak memo from and yes Dario Dario is So there's a leaked memo. Yeah, Anthropics CEO Dario. Dario is basically justifying to the team why they're gonna go directly to the Gulf to raise capital. And this is not something that probably should have ever been in a memo.
Starting point is 02:54:35 He says, unfortunately, I think no bad person should ever benefit from our success, is a pretty difficult principle to run a business on. Just blanket putting the Gulf states in the bad. So it's such a weird thing because you'd think you'd just be like I met them, I dug in, I don't think they're bad people and so I'm doing business with them and let's debate that and I think it's a Pareto improvement. Everyone has made it better off by Anthropic working with the Gulf. That's the argument he
Starting point is 02:55:01 should be making but he's not I guess And so Dylan Patel says, entropic has been a series of ideological decisions later defeated by business realities. We've talked about this before where, you know, it was like all the, all the idealistic AI scientists were like, let's try doing this without capitalism. And then, and then the AI God was just like, I actually enjoy capitalism. I enjoy it. It's thrilling to me. Thrilling and I'd like 500 billion dollars. You're exactly right, the right way to do something like this is say, I went, we visited, we spent a few days together.
Starting point is 02:55:33 We have a shared vision for how AI can increase human prosperity. Totally. And with that, no. Whatever the critiques are, I don't even know what the critiques are of the UAE. I'm sure there's a bunch of both the UAE and Qatar, like there are all governments and every company
Starting point is 02:55:47 and every person ever. But you dig in, you figure out, oh yeah, how can we work together to resolve any lingering problems? Should we have a different perception? Just be like, I'm going into business with someone I think is bad. Wild, wild choice.
Starting point is 02:56:01 Anyway. In better news, Blake Scholl says, at Mach 1.7, overture out flies Earth's rotation. That's cool. So you can have breakfast in London, flight in New York for breakfast. And then to San Francisco, just in time for breakfast. This is gonna be huge for the breakfast dinner folks.
Starting point is 02:56:19 You ever been a breakfast for dinner guy? Pancake dinner. Yeah. Pancake dinners, let's do it. Kind of insane. As a kid, that was mind blowing. Yeah Kind of insane as a kid that was mind-blowing For breakfast Laughing at the concept of eating cereal for breakfast Breakfast is so good
Starting point is 02:56:40 And when it's not my favorite really yeah, I'm not really okay I think I think it's my even even my default breakfast is like a breakfast burrito Which is really like lunch or dinner masquerading as breakfast. You know yeah, it's kind of like sure They've just kind of like swapped out. I just remember as a kid my dad making waffles. Yeah, dinner was so awesome Yeah, yeah, oh it's amazing. Do we have the Tyler cam working? Can we can we check in with the final review of the Tesla? Cafe, how was the experience? How far how far away? How long did it take you to get there from here? It's like five minutes away. Oh, it's really close. Oh, wow. Okay, we could probably walk. Okay Yeah, did they I wonder if they did that on purpose We didn't get the invites
Starting point is 02:57:22 There yesterday we were behind the ball you had had to go do gumshoe reporting. They know we're always live. Yeah. It's definitely cool. The building is super cool. There's a ton of stuff on the menu. It's just like a diner. Yeah, that's cool.
Starting point is 02:57:34 I mean, there was like, I don't know, there's like hundreds of, not hundreds, there's a lot of things on the menu with every kind of meal. Yeah, so like a thousand different things. And I think it's open 24 hours. 24 hours, that's cool. So maybe we go back later
Starting point is 02:57:49 Yeah, they have steak try something else. They have steak. They've dinner. I don't know if they have steak I guess you just get a burger when I look yeah, but So we took a Tesla like to get there and then so when we parked you could see on the menu Wait, how did you take a Tesla to get there Adam Adam as a Tesla? Oh, okay He just owns one. Yeah, okay It wasn't a it wasn't like a robot taxixy because the Robotexy is rolling out really aggressively but it's not in LA yet but this feels like kind of tied, they're teasing, they're testing the waters. Anyway.
Starting point is 02:58:13 Yeah, I think the burger was solid. How's the food sitting? Are you feeling still good or any upset tummy? I feel pretty good right now. Feel pretty good. We'll see. Okay. Yeah, it was cool.
Starting point is 02:58:22 I wouldn't go back just for the burger. Okay, maybe I would go back Would you would you go back and do a mukbang and eat every item on the menu? You would eat every item you would try and eat every item on the menu during probably three hours every every item you have to Eat them all. Yeah Like is it a burger and a burger with bacon What I saw I saw a graphic that had like 12 different items on it and so it'd be it'd be 12 different meals Basically, I yeah He's a growing boy. He's a growing boy I think we'll come up with a better better challenge for you
Starting point is 02:59:04 You will win the iPhone within the next few weeks, but we got to come up with it's a little vulgar. I think we'll come up with a better challenge for you. You will win the iPhone within the next few weeks, but we gotta come up with something good. I wouldn't wanna put you through the mukbang. I think it's probably a little bit too aggressive, too hardcore on your body to try and eat all that food. But one more. Three hours though, three hours, three hour show. Maybe you can do it.
Starting point is 02:59:19 You do the mukbang. I gotta be here. Yeah, exactly. Anyways, we have a post here from Jira Tickets. He's been an absolute regular recently. Feels like he's on every other day. Love Jira Tickets. Says, ah yes, good morning.
Starting point is 02:59:31 Let's open up the infinite information river for a nice 20 minutes before getting out of bed or thinking any original thoughts at all. I love it. So real. Because I wake up so early and I race over to your place and then get in the car, I haven't been opening the infinite information river
Starting point is 02:59:49 first thing in the morning. I haven't been doing anything other than just, actually I go outside. I go outside and I get sun. Who are we talking about that with? Maybe Huberman or something? Rob. But Rob.
Starting point is 03:00:00 So I've been doing that and I don't know if it's really been that much better. But it's- been that much better Sometimes the the light that blasts your eyes from your phone Is the best alarm clock best and and when you open up your phone and you're greeted with a post like this Just kicks you off to like a great start of the day. Yeah, just laughing If you're enjoying can pin this to the top of the feed that you're having a great time. You're having a great time Um, what else is in here? Oh, yeah, I mean we do have the post about
Starting point is 03:00:27 somebody built cursive or dating. We gotta talk to this fellow. Spent his life's. Can we pull up the video now? I was super confused earlier, but we may as well. Spent my life savings on this cinematic video because I have no VC money to burn. Did one shot, very funny,
Starting point is 03:00:41 and then digs into AI agents for Hinge. the AI agent goes and scrolls your Hinge profile, does all the swiping, all the talking, and then surfaces matches that it thinks you're actually interested in matching with. So kind of like a layer on top of Hinge, I suppose. Yeah, let's pull it up. Let's see it. I mean, the cinematography, fantastic,
Starting point is 03:01:03 for the first couple seconds, and then it gets a little silly. Hello, my name is Jonathan Liu. It's cool shot, cool shot. It says he ran out of money. Today I'm watching cupidly the cursor for dating. Let me show you how it works. So when you visit the site, you first enter your type.
Starting point is 03:01:17 So let's enter my type. What does he say? I can't read that. Then you would go ahead and connect your profile. It's funny that he's censoring hinge because it's obvious that hinge is in. This big black button that starts searching for people your type.
Starting point is 03:01:33 And this launches an AI agent that swipes for you on hinge, filtering for people who feed. Why is he censoring it? Everyone knows. And then also it seems like he's harnessing hinge in some weird way because I don't think Hinge has an API. Tyler, do you know if Hinge has an API? Not that I've looked, but I don't think there is.
Starting point is 03:01:48 Okay, because I imagine that they would not want this to happen. They don't want bots on their network whatsoever. ...and oh, this picture's pretty cute. Let's go ahead and send some messages. The LY is really coming back. You can either send a message using AI or send a message. Yeah, it was a real throwback. Yeah, and then you send a message using AI.
Starting point is 03:02:04 That's wild. I don't know what this is a stunt for. I don't know how serious he is about this but I mean AI dating clearly gonna be something there. This is an interesting go-to-market. Maybe it's controversial. I mean you got ten thousand likes, a million views. Yeah I think it's very clear the dating apps don't want people building experiences on top of them. Yeah. And they will try to own this type of experience. But we're talking about it. So it sounds like a successful launch. Well, we got to jump.
Starting point is 03:02:34 We got to film an ad. I'll close it out with Mike Krieger, co-founder of Instagram at Anthropic. He says, today I'm excited to share that I'm joining Figma's board of directors, having known Dylan for years and watched him build The platform that's become essential for design teams. I'm looking forward to partnering with him and the figma team on what's next fantastic Heading in the IPO
Starting point is 03:02:58 So congratulations to everyone involved in that last one please close close so everyone involved in that. Last one, close so investments. It says, not calling a top here because of AI, yada, yada, yada. But White House eliminates day trading regulation. Polymarket returns to the US. Robinhood enables 24-7 EU gambling. The architects of the 2022 SPAC bubble are posting. CNBC guys have a crypto treasury play.
Starting point is 03:03:23 Wall Street bets. Meme crashes 40% and almost closes negative. I don't understand that one. If we blow up later this summer, can't say there weren't signs. I mean, the benefit of like, you know, he's saying this stuff.
Starting point is 03:03:34 And what he says is all I'm saying is what is going on is pretty crazy. Yes, I mean, the benefit is that if no one's saying this, then you need to be really worried. Cause at least people are saying this and then they're thinking it. And then hopefully people are pulling back
Starting point is 03:03:46 before you get to a true precipice. I feel like in 2021, 2020, people were saying this is crazy. Yeah. Unless he's saying all insane is what's going on. Pretty crazy. Pretty crazy. Pretty crazy.
Starting point is 03:03:57 Hypercapitalism. We'll see. We'll see. Gotta love it. Anyway. Thank you so much for watching. Last but not least. Last one.
Starting point is 03:04:03 What you got? Hope. Hope. Oh, yeah. Hope's Revenge. One of the top Last but not least, Hope's Open, one of the top posters in the world, topping the power ranking. Originally said, my GF is upset because her favorite albino alligator was bought by Anthropic and ruined. And then he actually has a picture here
Starting point is 03:04:21 and it says, the care of Claude the alligator is generously supported by Anthropic. I think this is great I don't see why it's ruined. I love to see big AI Supporting alligators. Yes, and I actually want to get I'm really excited for BCI's brain computer interfaces to get into the alligator category They're pretty wild you ever I mean just pull up a picture of an alligator. These things are insane. Yeah fact that they're pretty wild. You ever, I mean, just pull up a picture of an alligator. These things are insane. The fact that they're just cruising around is wild. No one's working on humanoid alligators,
Starting point is 03:04:50 like robotic alligators. We've seen, maybe that's the killer form factor. Everybody's saying, oh, you guys could do incubations. I feel like a robotic alligator would be a good defense tech play too. Yeah, I mean, there's a lot of investment in bears. Robotic bears. Yeah, you let the robotic alligator can sneak under stuff swim jump up run attack the terrorists Yeah, attack the enemy seems like an alligator a robotic alligator with drone based wings
Starting point is 03:05:17 So it could actually fly while snapping could reshape the modern battlefield Could be looking at billion dollars in market debt. Home defense play too. If you had some robo-alligators on the roof, and you had somebody breaking in. I'm big into motes. I'm big into motes. What am I going to put in the motes?
Starting point is 03:05:34 That's right. Alligators. Yeah, and there's going to be some upkeep costs with maintaining a fleet of robotic alligators, but probably less than how many chickens or cows you've got to throw in the moat. Exactly. If they're real alligators. So yeah less than how many chickens or cows you gotta throw in the moat. Exactly, exactly. If they're real alligators. So yeah, I think more single family homes
Starting point is 03:05:49 should have moats. Yep. Right, we're always talking about businesses, talking to founders. What's your moat, what's your moat? Meanwhile, we're sitting in houses that don't have moats. And I think that should change. So lots of opportunity in Alpha here
Starting point is 03:06:04 at the end of the show. Fantastic. Have a great day. We will see you tomorrow. Cannot wait. Have a great evening. Bye.

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