TBPN Live - Saratoga Water, Amjad Masad, Guillermo Rauch, Lulu Cheng Meservey, Kian Sadeghi, Vercel and Replit
Episode Date: March 24, 2025TBPN.com is made possible by:Ramp - https://ramp.comEight Sleep - https://eightsleep.com/tbpnWander - https://wander.com/tbpnPublic - https://public.comAdQuick - https://adquick.comBezel - ht...tps://getbezel.comFollow TBPN:Â https://TBPN.comhttps://x.com/tbpnhttps://open.spotify.com/show/2L6WMqY3GUPCGBD0dX6p00?si=674252d53acf4231https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/technology-brothers/id1772360235https://youtube.com/@technologybrotherspod?si=lpk53xTE9WBEcIjV(00:17) - Ashton Hall and Saratoga Water (09:40) - DOW jumps 500 pts (21:21) - Vercel Deep Dive (37:13) - Replit Deep Dive (44:20) - Guillermo Rauch (01:20:50) - Lulu Cheng Meservey (01:51:40) - Cloudflare Deep Dive (02:24:40) - Amjad Masad (02:54:37) - Kian Sadeghi
Transcript
Discussion (0)
You're watching TVPN live it is Monday March 24th 2024. We are live from the Temple of Technology
The fortress of finance the capital of capital this show starts now. We got a great show for you today folks
Thanks for saving me there John. How's your money? I wasn't quite sure
I was too focused on my routine this morning. I forgot to focus on the job at hand. Yep, which is to do the show
But I woke up in the.50, you woke up at 4.50.
That's right.
There's a guy online who woke up at 3.40.
He's doing 3.40.
I mean, there's real alpha if you're a morning routine guy
and you're just getting up.
If that's your identity, just be the boss.
Also, if you're gonna film it,
you gotta get up even earlier
to talk to your cinematographer. Hey, can you get gonna film it, you gotta get up even earlier to talk to your cinematographer,
hey, can you get into the building,
set up the cameras for every single shot.
But a fantastically viral video.
It's actually very strategic to start your day at midnight
when the clock strikes 12,01, just get into it.
I've been saying that.
I've been waking up earlier and earlier
to the point where some days I'll wake up at noon
the day before, just to be super ready for the next day.
But we are of course talking about Ashton Hall,
the viral influencer, fitness influencer
who has a bizarre morning routine
where he dunks his face in ice water
and rubs banana on his face.
But respect for the hustle.
But-
What we really care about is that he's moving markets.
He's moving markets and he's also moving views.
He has pulled basically a billion views,
become a celebrity overnight.
He already had millions of followers on Instagram.
It's now at 8.8.
I'm sure if I open it up now, it's even higher.
He posted, what's interesting is that
this broke containment. So this video, he's posted. What's interesting is that this broke containment.
So this video, he's been posting on Instagram for years.
This broke containment.
It has like a million links on it.
And you've probably seen some of his other videos
where he's running with the G-Wagon.
And it's-
Always great, but this video was art,
and so it broke out in a completely different way.
It was actually not even posted by him on X.
It was posted by tips for men fashion essentials luxury
And it has almost a billion views
100,000 quote tweets something like that and it's fascinating the way it's structured just to be the most viral thing possible
I mean, yeah, he's obviously very muscular and jacked and then you have this weird
repeating very muscular and jacked, and then you have this weird,
repeating like imagery of the Saratoga blue bottle of water that he loves, he dunks his face in ice.
Which we figured this out, it wasn't sponsored by Saratoga.
It was not.
So he was just appreciating.
He's just a fan of it.
Just appreciating business.
Just wanted to put them on.
Yeah, there's a bunch of other funny things where, as you dig into the video, there's just a fan of it. Just appreciating business. Just wanted to put them on. Yeah. I guess you do the same thing here.
There's a bunch of other funny things
where as you dig into the video,
there's just more and more Easter eggs.
Like at 6 a.m. or something, he dives into the pool.
But as he's walking up to the pool,
you can see that there's a no diving sign.
Did you see that one?
I didn't see that.
I saw that he was in the air for four minutes.
Oh yeah, that one's really funny too.
So like the editing is genius.
And clearly it's crazy
because like the cinematographer and the editor on this
is genuinely a generational talent in terms of social media.
You don't think it's him?
No, it's not him.
He has a team.
Really?
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Oh, okay.
Yeah, he has a team of like three people.
I figured he was just setting up the camera.
No, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no.
You can actually see the other videographer in there
because he has a team of like three people and in one of his
Instagrams I went on different than a chef
Yes
I went on a little deep dive and he and he said like if you want to be a successful online coach
He referenced Alex Hermos II and he said you need to you need to build a team
And of course his his the product that he sells is help you build that team to become the fitness coach or the online influencer, right?
This is kind of like a meta level of like,
he's the boss's boss.
He's the coach's coach.
Yeah, he's a course seller
who helps you sell courses effectively.
But he talks about you need to start
by getting a social media team around you,
a great person that can film you constantly
so that you're posting every single day.
Then you need a appointment booker
who just schedules appointments with clients,
like your leads.
Then you need the closer who gets on with super high energy
and is like, yes, this is gonna transform you.
Get ready to put your credit card down.
But that's not you, the closer's not you.
That's not you, no, he's not involved.
And then they get them to download an app,
and then the app says, here's where your workout routines are, here's where your diet is, and then they get them to download an app and the app says, here's where your workout routines are.
Here's where your diets diet is. And then yes, Ashton will get
on the zoom call with you like once, but like he's scaling his
business out. And so he can't possibly be on zoom with, you
know, 50,000 fitness clients, but they can watch his content
and they can be in his program that he's overseeing as
essentially the CEO of this training corporation, which is probably doing fantastically well. He says he hasn't made 10
million dollars yet but he is well into the seven figures. So he's not building in public, he's sort
of like partially talking about it. I mean you never really know what these guys if they're lying
but I totally believe that he's making millions of dollars. I think it would be impressive if he
wasn't making millions with that much attention. He has deals, he has brand deals of dollars. I think there's no question. It would be impressive if he wasn't making millions
with that much attention.
And he has deals.
He has brand deals as well.
I think he has a shoe deal already.
And I wouldn't be surprised if Saratoga Water partners up
with him as well, because he's done fantastically
for that brand.
The face of Saratoga.
The news today is that the morning,
LMAO, the morning routine guy, really
added $1 billion to the stock of the water he drinks.
It's up 10% before hours.
Saratoga's actually privately owned by another company,
but people are still buying it.
We bought some of it.
I'm just looking now.
It's actually basically flat.
I guess it popped out of the gates.
The short sellers think that it's not gonna be Lindy.
Yeah.
So they're gonna stick around.
It is a very interesting question of
how do you seize the moment on mega virality?
He is not like the Hawk To A Girl
where he was unknown and then he went mega viral.
He already has a machine to convert all this.
So I wouldn't be surprised if we see him do
a whole host of interviews and podcast tour off of this.
He already has millions of followers
and a complete funnel with a team
where he can capture and monetize. I think that was part of the problem with Hayley
Welch, the Hawk to a girl was that she became famous and then had to go do podcasts and
then go and set up a podcast on her own and then set up a business around it and start
making money from it. She wasn't equipped to capture all that attention and all that
value immediately. And so that's why probably when she heard
Hey, this crypto thing is interesting. She launched the coin and then that went very poorly. So
Lulu who will be on the show later today says she's sad to see the Saratoga X account sleep through this most posts most recent
Posts are from 2022 in their hashtag soup. You're missing the moment get back in the game
you have three more hours before this vanishes vanishes into the sands of internet history.
And yeah, they don't even have their most recent
bottle design on there, it's rough.
Pretty amazing you can get almost a billion views
at this point for free for your product.
Yep, so my question for Lulu, which we'll get into
with her is, does Saratoga actually need to do anything
in this case?
Like if, case in point, like the viral video of Ashton,
the one that kicked all of this off,
wasn't even posted by him.
It wasn't even an example of him going direct.
He posted on Instagram, tips for men posted it on X,
and that's the one that went viral.
Doesn't matter, the value still accrues to him.
Does Saratoga need to hard post from that?
We need to go study the tips for men account
because I don't know what the-
Because they posted other stuff
and they get like 10 likes.
And then this one was like this game thing.
Yeah, it's one of those accounts.
Yeah, it's just like, it's kind of just like
slop cool images sometimes, some interesting stuff,
but you know, it's very high volatility
because it's just an anonymous,
like feed the algorithm account.
So my question for Lulu is like,
what do we wanna see exactly?
Let's try and concretize that more
because if Saratoga just came out and we're like,
oh yeah, like this is cool, like, you know,
maybe that gets some virality,
but it's not gonna be a billion views.
They've already got the billion views in their product.
They've probably captured most of the value.
Like, what do we really wanna see from them?
This is a company that's been in business since 1872,
let's remember.
It's not like the founder's gonna come on and be like,
oh yeah, let me tell you my whole story.
This is a whole other story, but at one point,
one of my favorite bottle water brands is
Mountain Valley.
Popular, it's the green bottle.
I looked, they like at one point like filed for an IPO
or something like that, then they didn't go public.
So I looked at some of their numbers
and however bad you thought the business
of selling bottled water is, it's worse.
They at one point with one of their skews
did 10 million of revenue, 10 million, and they had $100,000 in margin on it.
Oh, that's rough.
I was like, just don't do it.
1% margin, yes, rough.
Just stop yourself, just stop that business activity.
There's gotta be better ways to make 100K, but anyway.
Speaking of tips for men, I got a tip for men.
We have eight sleep.
Nice to feel your best day is turn any bed
into the ultimate sleeping experience.
If you're trying to wake up at 4 a.m., 3 a.m., 2 a.m.,
1 a.m., you're gonna need an eight sleep.
It'll help you wake up earlier and get on your grind.
I actually did wake up on my eight sleep
at 3 a.m. this morning. I assumed it was time to wake up. I checked the clock. I'm did wake up on my eighth sleep at 3 AM this morning.
I assumed it was time to wake up.
I checked the clock.
I'm like, I've got to go back to bed at least
for an hour and a half.
I'm glad you were up early because you
got to experience the stock market open,
which was fantastic.
Let's hear it for the stock market, folks.
Let's hear it.
It's fantastic.
A massive rally.
Stocks are up the Dow gains around 500 points on tariff
optimism. This is from the Wall Street Journal. Import
investors are welcoming the latest pivot on tariffs with the
US set to limit the range of import levies it introduces next
week. US stock benchmarks started the weeks solidly higher
the S&P inched up last week, snapping a four week losing
streak partly driven by uncertainty caused by President Trump's
trade policy.
Yeah, and many people are saying that this is related
to tariffs, but on the other side of this,
it is very possible that the market is reacting
to Ashton's routine going viral.
That's true.
And if you can imagine if everybody just started
consuming products at 3.45 a.m. versus waiting until 9 a.m.
It would be a big boost to consumer adoption. Yeah, just a.m. versus waiting until 9 a.m.
It would be a big boost to consumer adoption.
Yeah, just a big boost.
And consumer confidence, for sure.
Consumer confidence overall spending.
It is hilarious watching his routine and being like,
this guy has been up for five hours
and he still hasn't started work.
It's like so much time before doing anything.
I got very Tim Ferriss-coded in college,
and I would do the whole wake up, meditate,
breath work, journal, and then I was like,
what actually makes me feel better about my life
is to just get the things that are important done
and be productive, and yes, be active,
but the whole hour and a half morning routine
just to start your day, I'm much more of the mindset now.
I just like to get up and start.
Yeah, he's probably taking it a little bit too far,
but I do think there is some truth in there.
He actually laid out his reasoning for waking up so early
and he said, you should be up from four to eight.
You will be unbothered.
There'll be no one else bothering you.
So you can really get deep work done,
which is probably true,
whether or not it's just this crazy morning routine.
But even if you're just answering emails,
it's probably productive.
And he was saying that you will be self-selecting,
you'll be selecting yourself out of the 10 p.m.
to 2 a.m. crowd,
which is usually filled with drinking and partying and all these things that kind of just set you back, both p.m. to 2 a.m. crowd, which is usually filled with drinking and partying
and all these things that kind of just set you back,
both physically and mentally.
So I think there's some truth in what he's saying,
and if you follow his protocol,
I mean, yeah, it's gonna be a little silly
rubbing banana all over your face,
but you'll probably be, you know,
closer to higher performance
than doing the opposite of what he's doing, right?
I think my point of view on it is that,
it seems like willpower is one of those things
that the more willpower you use, the more that you get.
But it's almost, it's maybe not a perfect rule
because if you spent all your willpower in the morning,
hammering through this multi-step routine,
and then you get to the email and you're like,
actually doing my email is a lot less fun
than like jumping in the cold pool.
So maybe you should just start and do the stuff
that takes a lot of willpower
and then do the jump in the pool in the afternoon.
Right?
Yeah. I mean, he probably could get 90% of his workout done
in like an hour instead of five.
But I mean, he's a fitness guy.
Like he needs to be doing fitness.
Yeah, and I also respect his game of what is the most viral
thing that I could do from 345 to then.
It's fantastic.
It really is art.
And I think it just shows you how extreme the power law
can be on social media.
I think that we should spend this week
and make the TB version of it. I like that we should spend this week and make the TB version
of it and roll it out by Friday. Well back to tariffs, the important thing. Trump said
he would impose tariffs to match those aimed at the US by trading partners. The
planned reciprocal action looks set to be more targeted than originally thought,
the Wall Street Journal reported. The administration has narrowed its focus
to about 15% of nations currently running
persistent trade imbalances with the US.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bassant calls this the Dirty 15.
The sectoral tariffs are now unlikely
to be announced on April 2nd.
Though the measures under consideration
still amount to a shock to world trade,
they fall short of the worst case economic scenarios
investors have been girding for.
And so another classic economic story
where the initial headline news is very bad
and then pull back and then you get to something
that's a little bit more reasonable.
So hopefully it shakes out,
hopefully all of the companies that we're rooting for
get through it and are able to make their products in safe
places and deliver them to consumers affordably. That's
right. Well, if you're looking to trade the tariff news or get
in on the action head over to or hedge.com can do it all
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Do it.
Anyway, 23andMe filed for bankruptcy.
We got some news from Deleon, a friend of the show.
He says, out with the old, in with the new.
Keon over at Nucleus is building the new 23andMe,
and the old 23andMe has filed for bankruptcy.
Keon says, Blockbusterbuster has collapsed it's time for
Netflix to rise the number one greatest detail that is currently being missed
from the story is the chart below. When 23andMe launched in 2006 it cost about
ten million dollars to read all of someone's DNA a whole genome test so 23
and me and the technology 23 used missed millions of genetic markers that could dramatically shape someone's health and future family. 23andMe and the technology 23 used, missed millions of genetic markers
that could dramatically shape someone's health
and future family.
23andMe used something called shotgun sequencing.
They basically blast all the DNA away
and use a bunch of averages to guess what your genome's like.
They don't actually read out a single strand of DNA.
And so now-
Which, taking the shotgun approach to your health
sounds a little bit bad when you say it out loud, John.
Yep.
So we're glad to take the sniper approach.
Yes, yes.
And so now this whole genome test cost a few hundred dollars.
We can now finally bring to everyone a true DNA health
test, family planning, disease risk,
and he starts showing for his company, which we love.
So good luck to you, Kian.
Let's read from the co-founder, Anne
Wojcicki. She says, the 23andMe special committee released news today indicating their plan
to take the company through chapter 11. Well, I'm disappointed that we have come to this
conclusion and my bid was rejected. I am supportive of the company and intend to be a bidder.
I have resigned as the CEO of the company so I can be in the best position to pursue
the company as an independent bidder. She wants it back. I love
it. Nineteen years ago when I co-founded 23andMe, the direct to consumer industry did not exist
and most people had no idea they would ever want to see their genome. So much has changed.
There's now a thriving direct to consumer industry. Over 15 million people have been
23andMe customers. These customers are continuing to learn about their family relationships
and how to optimize their health
thanks to the incredible team of individuals at 23andMe.
And this is a pretty interesting bidding process.
So lots of people came out in support of Wojcicki.
And didn't Kion submit an unsolicited sort of bid?
He was talking about bidding months ago.
We'll see what actually happens.
I don't think he's quite at the scale
where he could just buy this off of his own balance sheet,
but he is a growing company,
and there's always the chance of a bigger round.
Got a bunch of big investors behind him.
It's possible.
Bology came out in support,
Celine from Loyal came out in support,
talking about how inspiring the leadership at 23andMe has been,
and it really was a formative company in the 2010s, basically.
What's interesting is that Wilmanitis has been beating this drum for a long time
about, hey, 23andMe has a lot of genetic data.
Let's not let this fall into the hands of an adversary country.
So I'm sure there will be a lot of questions about who buys this and where the data goes.
And if you did 23andMe maybe like 15 years ago as like a Christmas present, you might
want to export that data and then delete your account and make sure that they remove it
from their servers just so that your data is not up for sale at some point.
I don't know.
It's not health advice, but it seems like a reasonable thing to do.
And I do believe that if you ask them to
Delete your genome and really that is the I would imagine that the
Core asset value of the business is the genetic data of the 15 million people that have used it or even
No, I don't think so. I
Mean, I think your asset is really just like getting people to come and think a hundred bucks for something He fund is saying, you know, look we can buy this. No, I don't think PE funds are thinking, I think the core asset is really just like getting people to come and pay a hundred bucks for something.
PE fund is saying, you know, look, we can buy this.
No, I don't think PE funds are thinking that.
I think maybe some venture investors might be thinking that
in terms of let's train a custom,
I think Keyon is thinking that,
but I don't think private equity is thinking that.
I think private equity is thinking,
okay, it has this much revenue,
people kind of, like there's a thousand customers
that come in every week and buy this thing
that's a hundred bucks and here's the profit margins, can we strip
out any of the costs, can we actually make this work?
I don't think people are thinking about this trove of
genetic data because it's very hard to monetize at this
point, it's not like, okay, Reddit is for sale and you can
just take the Reddit data and immediately train an LLM
and boom, you're good.
There's gonna be so much scrutiny on this acquisition
and who buys it, what they intend to do with it.
There's millions of Americans and I guess people globally
that are going to be, want to have a say
in what kind of happens.
And so the Wall Street Journal reports that
23andMe said that there will be no changes
to how it stores, manages, and protects customer data.
Any buyer of 23andMe will be required to comply
with applicable law with respect to the treatment
of customer data, and then they immediately move on
to the next segment in this Wall Street Journal article.
How do I delete my 23andMe account data?
But saying.
And then it's very clear, it's like,
log into your account, go to the settings section,
click delete data, permanently delete data.
So you can go do that if you want.
Anyway, what will happen to the genetic data
in a bankruptcy sale?
In certain bankruptcy cases,
a judge can appoint a consumer privacy ombudsman,
ombudsman, who makes a recommendation
on whether a bankrupt company should be allowed
to sell consumers' private information.
This happened when lab testing startup UBiome
filed for bankruptcy in 2019.
The court appointed one who ultimately recommended approval
of the sale of personal data.
So watch out, you might get your data sold.
Anyway, did you have something else to say?
Yeah, I was just gonna highlight that.
It seems like a very real possibility.
I think that Anne would have come out and said,
there is no scenario in which a company buys 23andMe
to then sell your data to other companies.
She would have been very explicit about that.
So the fact that she's not being explicit about that
and then they're highlighting this you buy them
Case where they did sell the data. Yeah, I would I would just I think the safe thing to do is assume
Your genetic data will be sold to the highest bidder
Yeah
And so if you're if you're particularly jacked and have great genetics and great muscle insertions
You should go and put your data on 23andMe so it leaks out and then we can create
more super soldiers.
That's right.
That's my recommendation.
Huge alpha there.
It's kind of like training an LLM.
You want to put a lot of content online.
Exactly.
Put your genetic data in 23andMe.
Yep.
Do whatever.
You want to influence the next.
Go to net if you have to.
Exactly.
Well, if you don't want to go bankrupt,
what should you do, Geordie?
Run on ramp.
Ramp.com, time is money, save both,
easy to use corporate cards, bill payments,
accounting and a whole lot more all in one place.
Don't go bankrupt, people.
Manage your expenses, manage your finances,
get on ramp, it's that easy.
Anyway.
Time is money.
Should we move on to the drama
that's tearing up the timeline?
Tearing up the timeline.
The timeline was really in turmoil this weekend.
We got a post from Nico over at Default.
He says, this is like Kendrick versus Drake for people
who know React.
And it's because Amjad, who's coming on the show,
is beefing with Guillermo from Versel, who's
also coming on the show.
And we will try and take you through a little bit of this
back and forth.
And I just lost power to my...
John needs a new battery.
Yeah, so this, you've got new batteries here, right?
You're good?
Yeah, so this was tearing up the timeline over the weekend.
We also tried to get the third party show.
We did.
CloudFlare CEO, Matthew Prince, you're invited on the show. Please come on. If not today, maybe later this week. But Omjod took some shots at Versel. So basically, we should start by setting the table with exactly what's happening here. We all started because there was a vulnerability found in Versel. And so Versel is a web hosting service for Next.js apps,
which is a open source React framework that they maintain.
And so research suggests that Versel faced criticism
for unclear communications about the vulnerability.
The drama centers around a critical vulnerability,
CVE-2025-29927, in Next.js, disclosed around March 22nd. That's two days ago, came out on a Saturday.
And this allowed attackers to bypass middleware authorization checks. This affected versions of
Next.js using middleware with Next Start and output standalone. But applications hosted on Vercell, Netlify,
and CloudFlare were stated as not affected.
And so Vercell's CEO, Guillermo Rowe,
acknowledged communication missteps,
especially with key industry partners,
and committed to improving processes.
CloudFlare, led by Matthew Prince,
released a tool to migrate projects
from Vercell to Cloudflare.
Savage.
Possibly to capitalize on the incident.
So he's saying-
I think a little bit more than possible.
Beaten them when they're down, saying,
hey, there's a vulnerability, get out while you can.
Replit, under Amjad Massad,
highlighted their proactive scanning and patching
of affected applications while expressing a preference
for more open frameworks over Next.js. And then of course applications while expressing a preference for more open frameworks
over Next.js, and then of course there was a back and forth
there because Replit uses Next.js for their website,
and so it's like how could you possibly come for us
when you're using our open source framework?
And so public exchanges on X saw Guillermo accusing Matthew
at CloudFlare of using quote, childlike tactics and memes,
suggesting competitive tension.
The CEO of CloudFlare often refers to Guillermo
as the triangle boy or something like that,
because I guess the logo for Versel is a triangle.
It's actually, the aesthetics of Versel are fantastic.
I think we were talking about this earlier,
the design's fantastic.
An ex post by Ancelam IO noted attacks from CloudFlare
and Replit on Vercell as being in bad taste,
indicating a broader controversy.
Additionally, there was a mention of a significant customer
switching from another company to Vercell,
potentially heightening the rivalry.
And so we can go into a little bit about the history here,
and I thought it might be good to give a little bit
of an overview of Vercell
and then Replet and then Cloudflare.
Let's do it.
All to tee up our guest,
which we'll be joining in 20 minutes.
So let's kick it off with Vercell, founded in 2015.
Yeah, one other thing to highlight,
there was a post that you had flagged here
from this guy, how do you know how to say this guy's name?
Jurgely Oroz.
Gurgely Orozars? I'm sorry, man. I tried to say this guy's name? Jurgely Oroz. Gurgley Orozars?
I'm sorry, man.
I tried to say it right.
John made no effort.
It looks like Gurgley.
But, uh.
Is that Gurgley?
Gurgley Oroz.
Up to recently, if a vendor had an outage or a security
issue, their competitors would purposely not take advantage
of this, would not bad mouth the vendor,
or tell customers to switch, at least publicly.
Feels like this is changing.
Riplet and Cloudfair are both doing this
following the next JS CVE.
Yeah, so anyways.
I was talking to a friend and he said,
open source and security fights always seem to lead
to no winners and everyone looking worse.
Yeah, one thing that I feel like
is potentially broadly happening in tech is
when there was so much internet to build
and there was so many sort of like green field opportunities,
it was very easy to have this sort of positive sum mindset
of there's plenty of market,
we're just going after these sort of legacy incumbents,
we're creating new markets. And then when you get into this sort of hyper competitive dynamic,
where there's a bunch of different substitutes, yeah, then you get like rippling deal, totally
issues, right? Where it's like, yeah, we are going to spy and like, try to steal customers,
you know, that that our competitors getting so I feel like this is just the evolution
of software broadly, where in other industries, if a competitor has an issue,
their competitors will try to highlight it
and use it to their advantage.
That's just business, right?
Yep, and it is a little bit,
it's not necessarily winner take all,
but it is kind of zero sum in the sense that like,
you're either on Cloudflare or Versel,
and in many ways there's been this kind of upgrading process
where maybe, I mean, the story I think we'll get into is
you prototype and build like kind of almost like a vibe code
and app on Replet.
Then you might take it a little bit more seriously
and deploy something on Versel,
which is gonna be very fast.
And we'll talk about some of the clients,
but MrBeast famously did a,
a merge drop on Vercell drove hundreds of millions of, of hits very quickly.
Vercell was able to manage it,
but Vercell is on top of AWS and can be very expensive at scale.
And so CloudFlare might be the cheaper option when you go a little bit more
professional. And so they, they play in similar markets,
but they're all at different tiers. And, and, and so they like to chirp at each other,
especially with the coming wave of AI and vibe coding
and even less infrastructure, more abstraction.
It's, they clearly are all coming for each other's markets.
And so over at WAP, Sharkey says,
the Versel team has been a great partner
to WAP engineering.
They are always available to debug
and solve our complex critical issues. Recently we've hopped on several
calls with their lead engineers. They all care deeply about what they're building,
excited for the future of NEXT. And Paul Graham came out in support of Versel.
Guillermo said one of our main values at Versel, iterate to greatness. We're
constantly learning, adapting, and improving. We have an insatiable appetite
for feedback. The job is never finished. Keep your asks and complaints coming. We're listening.
And PG says a sign of a sign of a company still run by the founder.
What hired CEO would solicit complaints? And so I think,
I think we're still doing a pretty good job of managing this, but, uh, it's getting,
it's getting a little nasty on the timeline, uh,
because people are going back and forth. Anyway,
let's give a little background on Versel.
Founded in 2015, Guillermo Rao,
oh, he created Socket.io, I remember this.
Socket.io was a, what was it,
WebSockets framework for doing communication
in the browser in real time.
So you open a socket for my computer directly to yours.
So instead of going through a server
and kind of round tripping,
I can communicate with you directly.
Great for chat apps, great for video
and anything where two people are communicating directly.
Lots of cool web apps came out of that around this time,
2012, 2015 era.
He founds ZEIT, which was the precursor to Vercell,
with co-founders.
The mission was to simplify global cloud deployments
and streamline developer workflows.
So at the time, you go to AWS and you have your application,
when you open up AWS, you see a slate of like
75 different products that AWS has.
They have databases, servers, cloud storage, S3,
like long-term storage, cold storage, hot storage,
like all these different things,
and you have to decide what you need to build your app.
And so it's an infrastructure as a service,
infrastructure first product.
Now they do have Vercell competitors.
They have Heroku, which is kind of a Vercell competitor
in the sense that you can deploy.
Yeah, and to be clear, it feels like, I mean, Vercell ate Heroku, which is kind of a Vercell competitor in the sense that you can deploy. Yeah, and to be clear, it feels like,
I mean, Vercell ate Heroku's lunch.
Yes, it definitely became a new Heroku.
There was an era where you feel like
every Y Combinator company was on Heroku.
I built on Heroku, it was great.
And then it was, okay, everybody's building on Vercell now.
And basically, it's a more expensive option,
but it allows you to come product first.
I just wrote the code, and I want you to to handle the scaling and I'm willing to pay hand over
fist for it.
It'd probably be a lot cheaper to go direct and it's even cheaper to go below AWS at a
certain point.
You wind up like, you know, these big LLM foundation model companies are building their
own data centers right now.
They're out renting those from AWS because you save money as you go down the abstraction
layer, but you lose flexibility.
And so early product launches in 2016,
they launched now a one-command development service
for static sites and Node.js apps.
In 2016 October, they released Next.js 1.0,
which was an open-source React framework
for server-side rendering and static sites.
Now, React, there was a whole battle
in JavaScript frameworks
around this time.
I don't know if you remember this,
but like jQuery was like the popular JavaScript framework.
People were debating, should we use jQuery or vanilla.js?
And then the JS frameworks got like more and more bloated.
Google came out with this great one called Angular,
which was basically the model view controller.
Like you could basically say, on my front end,
I have an idea of data.
Like I have, on our website,
you have all of our sponsors listed there,
and there's like a row for ramp and a row for bezel,
and you pull those in, and then,
as you're dynamically changing them,
the front end's updating.
Angular was really cool, it allowed you to,
you had to learn it, but it was pretty
performant. And then Facebook came out with React and just like ate their lunch. And Angular
went through the second version. They came out with a new version and it was much more
complicated to use in my opinion. And so React really took off. Next.js is a framework for
React. So they're layering on top here. And they wound up building an ecosystem around
immutable deployments, preview environments,
and serverless architecture.
So the idea that you don't need to think about
what's happening on the backend,
and if a million people show up or a thousand people show up,
Vercell will just send you a bill that scales,
but you don't actually have to go in and say,
okay, I need 100 servers today instead of one.
That's the whole pitch.
And so in 2020, they rebrand to Vercell
and they wanted to reflect a broader focus
on developing, preview and shipping.
They retain the triangular logo while adopting a name
that suggests versatility, acceleration, excellence.
I gotta say, Vercell's website
is the fastest site in the West.
It is hilariously quick.
It puts every other site to shame. It's really great
They're obviously just like flexing the power of their product
But go go to versell.com and just click around
Yeah
almost addicting when I when I figured out that everything is like
CDNs and you can basically build the entire app and then deploy it onto a CDN so that when someone hits your hits your website for
The first time they're not pulling it
from your server on AWS in Virginia.
They're pulling it from the local server
that's just like a couple blocks away from them
and it's much faster.
I was really hooked on it.
But at the time, if you wanted to deploy your whole site
to CloudFront, which is AWS's product,
or CloudFlare, which we'll talk about later,
it was a lot of work.
Like you had to bake everything down into HTML
and make sure it was served just like a single file.
And there were no server calls.
And it was very difficult, but it was a magical experience
when you click on the link, and it just loads immediately.
It's amazing.
Let's go through some funding milestones.
Versel does a series A. So they were kind of grinding
for like five years doing this open source stuff.
This is a 10-year-old company.
10-year year old company.
But in 2020 things start working.
They rebrand.
There is $21 million from Excel and Nat Friedman.
What do you know?
He's in there early, of course, get a classic goat.
Series B, they get 40 million from Google ventures.
Series C that was that.
A was a COVID round too.
Yeah.
Oh yeah.
Yeah. I yeah, yeah.
I mean, maybe announced.
Maybe, maybe.
No, I'm saying if it was announced in April,
it was getting done.
March, maybe?
Yeah.
Well, in Series C, June, 2021,
a hundred million dollars at $1.1 billion valuation.
Series D, just six months later,
they get 150 million from GGV Capital.
The valuation goes up to 2.5 billion and then a series e
Just last May 250 million from Excel from Excel
Company valued at 3.25 billion and they hit over a hundred million dollars in ARR and they have over a million monthly
Next.js users and so we can go through some of their technology
They've you know, they've built their whole their whole game plan is build next JS into the best
React front-end framework that everyone kind of needs to use now. This is a cut down that that is a controversial statement
There's a lot of next JS haters out there that say hey, you should just be writing react
Why are you what? Why are you messing around with next JS? It's gonna lock you in a box
And then there's a lot of people that might say hey
You could use Next.js,
but why don't you just host it on AWS?
Just figure it out,
figure out the actual implementation.
And so they also launched the vZero tool
for generating UI components.
They wound up partnering with AWS
to bring in some AI features,
which we'll need to talk to Guillermo about.
And in January, 2025, they acquired Tremor,
a React component library for data dashboards.
And so they've built their team,
they've made some acquisitions,
they've done some partnerships,
and now they have a pretty diverse list of customers,
Airbnb, GitHub, Uber, Nike, Washington Post,
Under Armour, Fanatics, HashiCorp, Century Auto, Open AI, Perplexity, Chick-fil-A, Uber Nike Washington Post Underarmor fanatics hashy Corp century although
open AI perplexity
Chick-fil-a reduced build there we go from 25 minutes to 5 seconds. Wow. Love it. You love to see it Wow and
and
Stripe developed a viral Black Friday promotional site in just 19 days
You'll love to see it and mr. Beast Beast, as we mentioned, also. Absolutely, Doug.
Yeah, I think most of the sites
that I've been involved with building
over the last few years were Versel-based.
No, of course, because you want to just
get your product out quickly,
worry about the scaling later,
and at the low end,
optimizing your infrastructure is just not a key cost.
Like the server bill is gonna be so much lower
than what you spend on designers or implementation.
So you should just be able to not really worry
about optimizing your infrastructure or your servers.
And so that's kind of where Vercell is.
I'm very interested to hear where Guillermo
is planning to take the company,
because now they're talking about, well, we're going to host anthropic APIs.
We're going to host LLMs at the edge and deploy and scale those for you.
So you should, in theory, be able to have a front-end website that has an interaction
with an LLM and it's not needing to go call back to some anthropic server
because one of the most time consuming things
if you're wrapping one of these APIs,
if you're an API, if you're a wrapper is,
okay, I take the user's request, the user said,
write me a funny joke, I take it to my server
and then I take from my server over to OpenAI server
and then I get a response from OpenAI back to my server,
back to the client and that's that's just extra round trips and
Vercell is all about speed and you can't have that it's unacceptable that's right
well it should we move on to a company that's been going even longer I guess or
I mean I guess the story has been going on for longer this is replet they were
officially founded in 2016 basically the same year as Versal. Very different product approach, but Amjad Masad has been in the development
technology world for years. In 2019, he wanted to build a browser-based coding
environment, a Google Docs for coding. He envisions a REPL, which is a read
evaluate print loop running entirely in the browser.
Normally you have to open up the terminal,
get install Python, but what if you just do all this
in the web, it would enable you to share these
and then obviously like add a bunch of features over time.
So he released an open source version in 2011
called JS REPL to allow interactive coding
in multiple languages.
Brought some people on the team,
brought some design stuff, and then he worked
for companies like Code Academy and Facebook,
he built development tools there.
Then JS REPL used to power in browser tutorials
at Udacity and Code Academy, proving the concept's value.
So if you go to Code Academy and you were learning Python
or learning JavaScript, you would be able
to write the JavaScript
and then also evaluate it and run it in the browser,
which was very fun.
And it definitely helped people learn this stuff.
And so the platform grew to over a hundred thousand users,
primarily students and self-taught coders.
He founds Replit in 2016 with some co-founders,
initially Bootstrap with personal savings
and early community
traction.
They received seed investment from Bloomberg Beta and initially targets both the education
market coding classes and hobbyist developers.
And so Replit has always been about democratizing programming, much less about, hey, let's abstract
away the complexities
of AWS infrastructure.
It is abstracting away complexities,
but it's taking a much more product focused approach.
And that's led to a lot of fans, basically.
A lot of solo developers, indie developers
have really come out in support of Replit
throughout the years.
PG's been a big supporter.
And so in 2017-
Yeah, and it's interesting,
both these companies felt like they exploded
onto the scene in that 2020 era.
Totally.
They actually had been toiling away
for almost more than a decade before that.
So it was like these sort of like 10 year overnight successes.
I mean, he didn't get into YC until winter 2018.
But then once he was in YC,
he quickly closed a four and a half million dollar seed
round from Andreessen.
They surpassed a million registered users
and developers started launching hundreds of thousands
of projects.
And so the focus is really on these interactive multiplayer coding, kind of like Figma for
software development, writing even backend code, any scripting, multiplayer functionality
was really new.
There's GitHub integration and support for many programming languages.
They raised $20 million.
The big moment really came in 2021 when they got the.com.
Absolutely.
That just really put it.
That's the turning point.
March 2021.
Pounding the table saying,
we're here for Replet.com.
Moving away from the.it.
Go to snag.com and reach out to our friend Rob
if you want a great domain.
I love it.
So they upgrade from the ace editor to Monaco in 2017,
later transitions to CodeMir.
The move to CodeMir sparks community backlash,
which is later resolved with rapid bug fixes.
There's series B funding in 2021, another COVID round.
I remember when these were happening,
he raised 80 million at 800 million valuation.
The user base exceeds 10 million.
Infrastructure is scaled to handle massive growth.
And there was always this question of like,
is Replet for learning and testing,
or will someone actually build a real business
on top of a Replet app,
or something that they develop in Replet?
Is it more for practicing and prototyping?
Is it a tool or is it an infrastructure?
And I think as we talk to them,
I'm glad later today.
What is the long-term customer base going to look like?
Is it the indie hacker who wants to create
their first one to 10 apps,
or is it somebody who's, if you look at their website now,
it's really oriented around this similar thesis
to like lovable, which we talked about with Harry last week,
turning your ideas into apps,
so they are, what do you want to create a website
for your dream business, a habit tracker,
an education app for your kids, et cetera.
So kind of long-term, this feels like the user base could,
and he might not like me describing it like this,
but it could look like something like
what Squarespace did for websites. Hey, anybody can make a website and other platforms like this, but it could look like something like what Squarespace did for websites.
Hey, anybody can make a website
and other platforms like that, but more so with anybody
can make a website that actually has like crud app
sort of functionality.
Totally full functionality, yeah.
No, I mean, I think that's what all these companies
are fighting over is that everyone recognizes
that that's a huge opportunity and whoever gets to it first
and becomes the portal
for making new websites is gonna be extremely valuable.
But at the same time,
Vercell is very much also competing with Cloudflare
and competing over the enterprise and moving up market
and moving into these other use cases.
Yeah, and so Omjod and Replit have launched a few things
over the past few years.
They had a bounties marketplace for freelance coding tasks.
You could just put up a bounty and say,
hey, I need this built.
And they had this massive community
of like kind of indie hackers, kids who are learning.
It was like, hey, let's give people
their first time making money with, you know,
by writing code.
Yeah, I thought it was a really cool thing.
In September of 2022, they debuted Ghostwriter,
which was a competitor to GitHub
Co-Pilot, something to help you, AI-powered coding assistant, essentially, fancy autocomplete,
but extremely valuable in the context of Replet. And then they partnered with Google Cloud
in March of 2023 and quickly secured a 97.4 Series B extension, reaching a $1.16 billion valuation.
So up there with Versel in the unicorn club,
they continued rapid growth to over 20 to 30 million users.
And then they fully removed the education product,
the free starter plan limits new users
to three public projects,
and they're kind of going up market,
trying to be more serious in the business world.
They relocated their headquarters
from San Francisco's Soma to Foster City,
and now they are over 150 employees
with a sharper focus on professional
and enterprise development.
It says they remain committed to innovating in cloud IDEs
and AI-powered coding tools
guided by the founders original
vision. And so that's the story of a replet. We have four minutes. So we try and do some
cloud flare. We got the biggest one yet, but we can kind of rip through this cloud flare
down in 2009. Oh wait, we got Guillermo on. Okay. Let's just bring him in right now. Let's
do it after. Welcome to the show. How you doing? My man. Great. Thanks for having me.
I've been looking forward to this.
Me too. I think everyone's looking forward to this.
There's drama on the timeline. We need to have a TVPN segment.
We really appreciate you coming on.
Can you just give us like a breakdown of what's happening in the world of Versel right now?
Well, yeah. Maybe to introduce Versel too for those that are new to our company.
Vercell creates frameworks and infrastructure to deploy great web applications.
We're super invested in open source. We created a framework called Next.js
that empowers a lot of the internet and we're very proud about it.
But we also have investments in a bunch of other open source projects.
I have a long history of being involved in the JavaScript ecosystem, TypeScript ecosystem.
So if you're building a new application,
Vercell and Next.js are a pretty good choice for people.
Fantastic.
And what's going on most recently?
Yeah, I mean, if you go in X, there's a lot going on.
Maybe the thing that started a lot of this was
we got a ping from a security researcher about a
potential security vulnerability on Next.js. We get lots of this operating at the scale
that we're in. We have millions of monthly active developers on Next.js, tens of millions
of applications deployed at the Vercel platform. And so we get a lot of pings, but this one
in particular was interesting because it was a potential off
bypass, which, you know, in the security industry, it's as bad
of a bug as you could imagine, like bypassing, login, sign up
things like that. We took a look at it, we, we process it through
the queue, we remediated it. And then when we disclose it to the
world, you know, we, we, we could have done a lot better in how we disclosed it.
So we filed a CVE in partnership with GitHub,
which is the standard mechanism for how you notify
every Next.js user on the planet,
whether they use Versel or not about this vulnerability.
But the awesome thing about Next.js is that
once you use Next.js,
you're actually not just getting
the open source project Next.js,
you're getting a huge getting the open source project Next.js,
you're getting a huge ecosystem of products with it that you can use
that integrate really nicely into Next.js.
There are a lot of auth partners,
a company like Clerc, StackAuth, BetterAuth,
Lucia in the open source ecosystem.
This is awesome products.
I think we should have notified those people before that CVE went out so that they could have had the opportunity to look at what the impact would have been to their projects and things like that.
On the other hand, we did test internally, like, okay, Netlify, which is another deployment option for Next.js affected.
And again, we could have done a much better job at partnering with companies like Netlify and Cloudflare
for most next-gen as well.
But it kind of became like a Twitter thing, you know,
that like, it got big and then Cloudflare got involved.
I think you guys were just talking about it before I joined.
And yeah, there's some banger tweets
being exchanged here and there.
Yeah, you're-
It's so entertaining.
I'm curious to get your read on it.
You've been in the game for,
you founded Socket back in the day.
Do you feel like the environment now,
there's still a lot of internet to build,
and there's still a lot of opportunity,
but at the same time we have these sort of scaled businesses
like CloudFlare and Versel and things like that.
Do you feel like the environment today is like more hostile
or emotionally charged than ever before?
Cause there's, you know, people are,
there's now like sort of like the market's established
in many ways.
It's not maybe quite as quickly as it used to.
There's new opportunities, but it's like, it's started,
you know, is this sort of more zero sum environment
making things a little bit more charged today?
I think not.
I do think that on X people get really spicy.
I was very shocked that the CEO of Cloudflare came.
I mean, he's the CEO of a public company and he came guns blazing, even putting out like
some like cringe-worthy memes against Purcell, which is a company that is very developer-loved.
We invest not just in Next.js,
but we power, for example, the AISDK,
which is the most popular way today in
the JavaScript ecosystem to add AI to your product.
It has a million downloads a week.
It's provider agnostic,
it's deployment platform agnostic.
To come after in such an aggressive way, I was a little taken aback.
Our style has always been, if you look at my ex feed, the thing that I love to do is highlight
great products. If you create anything great, especially if you use NextGaze, I just love to
say like, look at this really cool thing. I never talk about competitors, I never,
especially in a diminishing way.
But in this case, I had to reply.
Because he's saying,
oh, if you want security, come to Cloudflare.
And the record shows that if you want security protection
come to Cloudflare, there's a very mixed bag there. There's a
mixed bag and I had to recover from the adels of Cloudflare. I did bring up Cloudbleed,
which legitimately was one of the worst things that has happened to the internet. I don't
know if the audience knows, but you could Google and literally find off tokens of different companies like Uber indexed by Google.
So that was an order.
And by the way, our bug was bad.
I'm not here to say like, oh, like whatever, make excuses for middleware and whatever.
Our bug was really bad, but theirs was catastrophic.
And you could end the attack.
The impact of the bug was Googling is like accessible to everyone.
The impact of our bug is actually very
nuanced and I'm super thankful to the researcher because it takes a lot of thinking and reverse engineering to arrive to these conclusions. But yeah, to your point, I think that it was uncalled
for. We've tried to, I think, and we could get into the speculation of why he would do such a
thing. We tried really hard to use Cloudflare.
We were a customer.
We tried it out for a new compute product,
which coincidentally it was Edge middleware,
and it didn't work out for a number of reasons.
So maybe there was some soured relationships there
as well that we had a piece out of the,
as a customer we had to build our own,
but I can only speculate.
Let's get into more of the positive and talk about kind of the, as a customer, we had to build our own. But I can only speculate. Let's get into more of the positive
and talk about kind of the future
and what the biggest opportunities
that you feel like Vercell has in this sort of new,
probably the most exciting time of my life.
John's a few decades older than me, so I don't know.
It's good business to be in the internet and AI.
It really is.
I imagine things are going pretty well.
Yeah, let's kind of ignore the drama for a second
and I'd love to talk about the future.
Everyone loves drama,
but my message to all of the vendors and partners
and people in the ecosystem would be,
the pie is about to get as large
as we've ever seen in the history of technology.
Vercell doubled the number of signups year over year,
mostly due to the introduction of vZero,
which is our coding agent.
I don't think we've ever seen a technological platform
shift of this dimension,
where every piece of software will be rebuilt
and re-imagined with AI.
And the pie is about to get so big that being paranoid about
the size of your slice and taking cheap shots of your security competitor, to me, does signal
short-sightedness on this AI opportunity. In fact, the AI SDK is powering competitors to vZero.
is powering competitors to vZero. So today, one of our partners announced,
knew that email is like the vZero
for crafting email campaigns,
all built on open source technology
that we've sort of taken from vZero
and given back to the world.
And so, and I also had a, you should check it out,
I had a banger ideas thread on X the other day.
Every single day I'm thinking,
here's a bunch of ideas of amazing products that you could create with AI that customers
are so willing to buy. I just actually interviewed, we're at a company offsite slash orgbo and
I interviewed one of the greatest public company CEOs of our times. I can't disclose who and
I asked him, what are your priorities for AI? He's like, oh,
we're completely reimagining the company across these three dimensions with AI. I want to buy AI
for this, AI for this, AI for this. So to your point about the positivity is there is room for
everybody. There's all this amazing open source technology that you can use to create new products
and new ideas. I also believe part of my optimism is that in the beginning,
two years ago, there was maybe a belief that there was going to be one gigantic chat bot to rule them
all. Like a sci-fi movie, you go to one computer or you talk to the room, hey computer, everything is
computer. Or what I believed at the time, and we actually, this is why we started creating a lot of open source technology, there's going to be expert AIs, focused products that cater to specific
requirements.
And that's actually what's ended up happening, right?
So on Vercell, we host companies like OpenEvidence, which is a chat GPT for medicine, getgc.ai,
which is like the chat GPT for lawyers. Amazing products for finance like Hebbia.
And so what's actually ended up happening is that
there is a redistribution of wealth, so to speak,
that's happening with AI.
There is also, I call it sometimes the unbundling of Google.
It's no mystery that a lot of companies
or a lot of consumers, sorry,
are not going to Google for certain queries
and they're going to specialist products to answer.
Like when I think knowledge, I might go to perplexity or I might go to grok and do a deep search.
Right. So that unbundling of the one of the largest companies and information technology
services in the world will create massive opportunities for startups and companies of
all sizes. So I really do think I share your optimism and positivity beyond the drama that that happened.
One thing I always think about with Vercell is just like the
focus on speed. I feel like that's almost like the core
brand tenant is just like, I mean, Jordy pulled up Vercell.
Yeah, is there a brand and I want to know what's the
importance of like speed in AI deployments.
Oh, it's dramatic.
I know you're hosting AI, but are you hosting AI at the edge or kind of delivering it in like a, like a CDN?
Like how, how does that work?
And how does that, what impact does faster AI usage happen in like the consumer experience?
There's a couple of things.
If you're running a business that you should know right off the bat.
Number one, a lot of traffic will shift towards answer engines.
I reported recently that we see 5% of our Vercell signups that also happen to be some
of the highest intent signups coming from Chad GPT, which is up from being like 1% or
less than 1% six months ago.
And it's growing.
I didn't share the growth metric, but I'll share it now for you guys. I said like you
30%
Month over month Wow
So walk me through that it's people going to chat GPT asking how should I deploy this what should I build it's recommended
recommending
Vercel
Sama had a really good take and also if you want to see a fast website,
I am very proud that we host openai.com.
Sam recently shared, you might not want to learn
so much coding or only coding.
You might just want to learn how to use AI,
which one of the artifacts of that,
and I love the Claude artifact name,
I think was one of the most important inventions
has happened in AI in recent years,
is that coding and writing code
is an output of what you ask the AI.
So what's happening is people are asking,
what is the best way to build a website?
What is the best way to deploy?
I actually posted, so we have a little tool,
a little playground, you can check it out,
it's sdk.priscilla.ai and you click playground.
You can ask a bunch of models what they think about you.
And that'll give you a glimpse
into how the AIs are thinking.
But not only how they're thinking,
how they're directing the world's behavior and choices.
I was very proud to share a screenshot that I asked
like four frontier models in parallel,
what's the best way to deploy?
And they all said, Vercell.
And I actually constrained it to like,
you can only, you know, the classic thing,
you can only do one thing or,
I've hurt myself, like, okay, Vercell, Vercell,
Vercell, Vercell.
And so to me, that was,
I actually didn't know at the time,
I was just like, like messing around in the weekend
with the tool.
I think that's the canary in the coal mine
of how you should be thinking about AI sending traffic to different places. The consequence to our business is,
number one, SEO still matters. So one of our customers, for example, sponsors this fantastic
show, Ramp, they're in the business of being found. And so it's going to be through Google searches,
during the business of being found. And so it's gonna be through Google searches
or it's gonna be through these agents.
And so the agents are super forming a web search.
So you still wanna be in good terms, so to speak,
with the people that are like retrieving
and crawling the internet, right?
So that's one thing
and Vercell really helps companies with SEO.
The other one-
That's an interesting thing to think about.
Yes, sir. Like it's interesting to think about. Yeah, sorry.
Like it's interesting to think about Google over time.
If nobody's searching on Google,
they just, every link is paid for.
Yeah.
They sort of still have this sort of like,
you know, pay to play model.
Has the train left the station on SEO
or is there still an opportunity for new companies
to kind of bootstrap their way into AI recommendations?
And I also want to hear your second point. Sorry for shutting you off.
No, no, it's totally fair.
So I think what's so relevant is that quality content,
facts, proof, this agents will be actually like also Elon's truth seeking AI goal
because it really matters that you train a model that is subjective and is post-trained on truth
seeking, right? During pre-training, you throw a bunch of data at it. During post-training,
you sort of like orient its behavior. And this model, this is why I'm a big fan of open AI,
in the sense of open source, and also in giving developers choice. The AI SDK lets you very
quickly swap models.
I think it's going to be very important as a community as I'm not talking about entrepreneurs or business people. I'm talking about as citizens of the
internet, we have to be very vigilant of the behavior of models, the
decentralization of AI, something that we're so deeply believes in is, and we
have a template you can clone.
You can basically roll your own chat GPT within two clicks. And we recently partnered with XAI
to power the default model. So you can go to chat.vercell.ai and you can basically clone and deploy
your own chat GPT in your own domain name. And so what would be great for society is if we all
invest in massively decentralizing intelligence so that we're not at the behest of like the one truth center
or truth company of the world.
Sure, sure.
Yeah, I mean, it's one kind of question that comes to mind.
So you guys are powering openai.com
and openai.com somewhat recently is like very much
reoriented around being a sort of like, you know,
search bar answer engine.
And OpenAI right now is being priced like it's
the next Google, right?
At $300 billion plus, like that is the next Google.
You talked about sort of the-
Yeah, by the way, one comment on that
has been super top of mind.
I actually think that's a brilliant design.
So I talked about how every piece of software
will be rethought and rebuilt as an AI product.
What people will expect is that when they go to your product, there is an interface
like that.
And I should think that's really good design because they blended marketing content, which
is what typically we think of as a website.
I sometimes dismissively call them e-brochures to remind the team that we're not in this
world to take a
magazine and plaster it on the internet. The whole point of Next.js and Vercell that we bet on 10
years ago was a more dynamic web, a web that powered products. And so what's brilliant about
that design is that you're immersed immediately into the product experience and it's AI native.
And I think that's just a sign of things to come. You're going to go to so many other products. I mentioned the email one, but there's an open evidence of so many of
those where the interface will be, okay, what do you need? What do you want? When you go to v0.dev,
the question that we ask is, what do you want to ship? Because we want you to convert an idea into
an application. Talk about the line between developers
and non-developers, right?
It seems like it's sort of blurring today.
Vercelles' entire brand has been around building,
building products for developers
that is the core of the mission.
But is there a point in the future where,
and you have your coding agent now, right?
There's this full sort of like stack. Is there a world in the future where, and you have your coding agent now, right? There's this full sort of like stack.
Is there a world in the future where, you know,
you land on versell.com and somebody that's not a developer
can just type in a prompt, right?
Because it seems like, you know, part of the drama,
if you extrapolate it out, it's like, there's, you know, real.
Whoever becomes the aggregator for building new websites
and apps will be
incredibly valuable.
Yeah, that was going to be my third point actually.
So the other huge opportunity for us is what we call agentic deployment infrastructure.
So there's going to be all of these agents that create for every user on the planet.
And also to your question, I think that the tam of what a developer is, is going to so
much. I mean, we're
already seeing it in the numbers. I'm already seeing it in the customer interviews. I was chatting
with a lady yesterday on the X platform, the everything app. She was reporting feedback about
the zero. And at one point in the conversation, it was like, by the way, I just want to be very
clear. I have no idea how to code. I use B zero and I get stuck and I need some other like another
expert's opinion. Like go to another doctor.
I asked Rock and she brings it back and forth between the two products and she's creating,
the reason she was giving me feedback is what she was saying, like the app has gotten so big,
what do you recommend? And so people are like just having the best time of their lives,
being able to create when they couldn't code before. But going back to the agentic infrastructure, think of it this way,
V0 is automatically calling out to Vercell
to create deployments, to assign domain names,
in the future to even buy domains.
V0 might even just say,
hey, I thought of a better domain name for your product.
What do you think?
And so we're very excited to see the growth of this infra.
And by the way, there's a defensibility to it
that's really interesting, especially for people
that are working in infra that are listening to this call.
I'm very convinced that Vibe coding will eat a lot
of the world of creating front end applications.
Meaning this AIs are so good at writing React and Tailwind and Next.js.
It's actually shocking to me. And I've been a front-end engineer. I started front-end
engineering when I was 11 years old in Argentina. And so I had my ego tied up to this thing
of writing front-end code. I contributed to a library called mood tools when I was 15 years old, six, I was like, like, the kid that could
do frontends. And now I'm ready to like, give up on part of my
identity of like, hey, v zero is creating an opportunity for a
lot more people to be like me and experience that joy of
creating frontends. Now what I'm not so sure about, and you've
seen all this conversations on X about security and
vibe, you can vibe code, but it's hard to vibe debug. Yeah, I don't, I believe that you don't
want AI in your infrastructure just yet. We operate in 20 regions worldwide. We reach
dozens of cities through our pops in our CDN network. We have to maintain uptime for the world's most valuable properties from, you know,
AI companies to cryptocurrency companies, some presidential meme coins,
whatever you think of, so much is going on on Vercell.
Every second of uptime, everything that can happen to this platform is absolutely
mission critical, it's life critical. So many healthcare companies banking on Vercell.
And so I don't want AI to necessarily be messing with the foundational sort of infrared and software
that needs to ensure that these things run perfectly, that the train runs on time.
On the other hand, and this is why Carpathia
think point divide coding, when you're exploring,
when you're creating, when you're designing,
when you're crafting the interface,
that's where AI is completely dominating.
And now it's gaining full stack powers
where you can integrate with that infrastructure.
So we recently partnered with companies like SuperBase
and Neon and UpStash that they also hired
those crack team for engineers that, you know,
they might be using some AI, but you know,
hopefully for our partnership, they're very careful.
And, but in, in that creator,
that new creator is getting the best of both worlds
that you, you vibe code and you're working
on rock solid foundations.
Yeah, that makes sense.
Can you talk a little bit about value accrual in AI?
I know that there's been this debate
over the model layer or the application layer.
You could even abstract that.
And now people are just saying,
I either wanna be the aggregator,
the chat GPT app that's installed on 100 million phones,
or I wanna be in energy and get me shares in a nuclear company because I think everything else in the middle is going to
be commoditized. You don't have hardware yet or your own infrastructure. Does what you're
seeing in AI change any of those decisions over time? How are you thinking about just
the different opportunities? It seems like you're obviously going up market to be more of an aggregator where you could
come to develop apps.
But are you thinking about going down the stack further, training your own models, developing
your own chips?
What does the far future look like for Versel?
I really believe that the best metaphor for AI is what happened with the cloud and mobile, but it's going to be much bigger.
And so if you look back at the cloud and we in this room have all studied it,
there wasn't a particular player category that had a lot of upside.
It was all over. It was the foundational infrastructure and hardware, obviously.
And we're very proud to partner with AWS to provide sort of that quote unquote
hardware layer to Vercell as a global network.
There was a lot of upside for developers that quickly changed their behavior.
So this is very important, by the way.
When I noticed AWS, I was very quick to this.
Luckily for me, I was very quick to dismiss the other DIY options that were available to me,
because I got so excited by the automation potential. And
there's merits to all solutions. But being an early adopter in
riding the right wave, it can be transformational to your
career. Later on, it happened with React. React was open
source by Meta. I believe that's one of their greatest
inventions. And I was also quick to adopt and I noticed its potential
as the engine for what later became Next.js.
And so I think my advice to people would be,
just adopt AI and see where you can add value.
I think the application layer is extremely exciting
because the interfaces to AI, as I mentioned,
will decentralize and unbundle.
There's gonna be a lot of upset for agentic infrastructure
So companies that know how to work well with not just humans but agents and that's a very that's a remarkable
Shift right a lot of products have been so far created for
Developers not for the agent you think of it as a representative of the developer
You have to create products that are good for a representative of the developer. You have to create products that are good
for the representative of the developer.
How do you...
Yeah, I was gonna say, as a leader,
how do you work with your team?
A lot of people, the sort of like high level leadership
advice is like the CEO helps the team focus.
But then in the case of Versel,
there's so many different areas of the business now,
and it seems like you're very focused
on serving your customers, the developers,
and the sort of companies building on Versel,
but at the same time, you have all these different bets.
How do you kind of prioritize internally?
And it seems like you're okay with just doing things
in the way that Facebook releases react releases react you know they've benefited from it but they
haven't nearly captured all the value from it and so it seems like of course
hey with sort of you're very open to sort of releasing things and not it's
less oriented around we need to you know capture a hundred percent of the value
that we create or yeah I think short-term obsession over value capture
is that it's not the right recipe to
build a generational company and I'm obsessed with growing the size of the pie. My number one
allegiance is the web. So when I was in Argentina I was able to and this I you know when you're a
kid and you try out lots of different programming languages, the thing that blew my mind is the URL.
In fact, if you look at the success of Versel so far, it really is about the success of a URL.
I thought, holy crap, Kubernetes is so hard. CDNs are so hard. What if people could just deploy
with one click or one press of a button and get back a URL of what they're working on that they
can share with the world. Look at other companies that have been massively successful like, or
products like Google Docs or Figma. They've essentially done that. Like a thing that didn't
have a URL before now has a URL. We're doing that for every application on the planet. So
it's primarily an infrastructure business. And then on the other hand, we know that in order to cast the
widest possible net and attract the widest, the biggest number of people,
open source is the only way.
It's non-negotiable.
And in addition to Next.js, I can mention we created Next.js,
sorry, Next.js and AISDK and Turbo.
And we acquired a bunch of companies like ShadZien.
And so the more we can, you know, cast this message out of the world of the web needs to win,
and also needs to win because we have the best products.
I, you know, you can think of our competition as all these other products in the developer ecosystem.
Another reframing that is perhaps more interesting is think about Apple.
Apple is holding an entire world hostage to a lot of arbitrary rules. They make all the calls.
You know, the web that I experienced when I was a kid was a web that is completely permissionless,
which is also why I'm crypto-pilled and we could get into that and whatever. But permissionless is actually the most important.
It's like freedom of speech is up here.
And then right up there is also permissionless, which is also increasingly a form of speech is that you can get something into a URL
without asking Tim Apple for permission.
And so that is the true enemy, so to speak.
And I think my message to all Desiree Commons would be like, let's band
together and make sure that you can publish without going through an app store review process.
You can launch crypto companies without asking Apple what they think about crypto, whatever you
want, you should be able to, and in AI, right? Like AI models need to decentralize and get into
the hands of developers as quickly as possible so that we build defensibility against the sort of like monolithic AI systems.
I think I'm trying to think about like how 9,000
or whatever that is like, or sky that I just,
I don't wanna go to one interface.
Vercell needs to be decentralized and democratized URLs
and interfaces to the world.
And by the way, my other point was gonna be,
I'll give credit to Apple.
They have a culture of quality, and they've managed to
permeate that culture of quality to that to their ecosystem. And I want that for the web
as well. I want to make sure I actually don't even have a particular force in the race.
We don't we not only support Next.js, we support another 35 frameworks. Whatever framework
allows me to go to a website like a blind tasting, it'd be like, Oh, this one says
freaking great. You should be able to work backwards to Oh,
they use some technology supported by herself. That's my
that's my fitness function.
Curious Did anybody ever come to your office with $5 billion in
cash and tell you to ask you to train a foundation model? And
how did that conversation go? Because I'm sure like, you know, in all the craze in the last couple
of years, there could have been an opportunity to just like, you know, I'm sure there's a
bunch of people that would have been happy to say, Hey, you're really well positioned
to build.
Yeah. When's the humanoid robot coming?
Yeah, not that people seem to be very obsessed with the V zero data. So I'll tell you, I
also haven't shared this before, but so many companies have come and asked for... Because by the way, the interesting thing about vZero is, and going back
to the design mindset and quality mindset, is we're trying to produce things we're proud of.
And nested. We're proud of, our customers are proud of, end users of the internet say,
okay, now there's a better web. I think we should also band against AI slop. Like we shouldn't
create a web that has this overly brushed texture images coming out of like, like low
quality models and whatever. And so a huge inspiration for me was actually mid journey.
Mid journey, speaking of which is that Next.js user that self hosts Next.js extremely proud
of that. And there's something about like the taste that gets embedded
into these models. So it's not just the data that you want. It's also infusing your preferences and
taste. And it's almost like casting an opinion into the world. Like this is what I believe
products should look like. And by the way, you also want, and this is why the conversational
interface is so fantastic. You can still leave the customer to their own
creativity. So you can say you go to VZero and you say, build
me a product for travel, like wonder actually also over sell
customer. And then you're like, Well, I don't like it. Make it
more yellow. You know, and like the model will follow. Yeah. So
it's striking that balance between creativity and best practices for a better
web.
I have a question.
So I'm like completely convinced on the strategy of bringing in new
developers, allowing even non non-technical folks to build and deploy websites.
But some of your companies, some of your clients are absolutely massive.
And one of the critiques is like, well, you're abstracting this AWS
infrastructure. It can get kind of expensive. What,
what are the conversations like on your side to keep a Nike or an Uber
on Vercell long-term and what,
how do you see those relationships going and how important is it to not only
enable someone to show up non-technical prompt,
build an app, but then scale it into that one person, one billion dollar company.
And they're saying, yeah, you know what? I'm sticking with Vercell forever.
Yeah. Yeah. Your question also contains the answer because you said, you know,
Vercellus has been getting a lot bigger. Yeah. And because we've been getting bigger,
which, you know, comes with these challenges like extra and whatever,
but the ultimate privilege is the amount of incredible
infrastructure optimization that we can do. When you're starting a company, a
little company, like you're not thinking about optimizing. If you're thinking
about optimizing, you're probably not doing that. You know, we have this motto
that we introduced at Next.JS Conf that is a famous, there's a famous essay in
the software engineering industry of like,
you first make it work, you then make it right, and then you make it fast, and I would add a fourth,
and then you make it cost efficient. And actually from a computer science point of view, fast and
cost efficient actually almost come together. We've done so many optimizations of the infrastructure.
I think this year we've already announced eight price decreases or like last quarter
and this year.
And we continue to announce price decreases because we're passing on the cost savings
that we realize in our infrastructure.
On all sides, the CDN is getting more efficient.
The compute, we just announced fluid compute. It's a staggering what we've done
in terms of compute efficiency.
Some customers saw an improvement in efficiency of 85%.
Wow.
So what I would say to the 90s of the world,
the previous story of Versel,
which is still fundamentally awesome,
is you won't have to worry so much about DevOps
and platform engineering and on-call
and those human costs,
which are ginormous. And now you'll be fighting for like infrastructure, high quality infrastructure
engineers with all of the AI companies as well. So like the human cost is very real
of doing something like Bercel. But then the scale costs of like Bercel actually gets more
efficient the more I use it is awesome. And we're committed to continuing to sort of share
those infrastructure savings with our customers.
And by the way, the inspiration here is AWS.
I think when I started using AWS, it was quite expensive.
And then they just announced so many price decreases
because, and by the way, that's kind of the dance.
We manage Next.js for people.
You can also self-host and manage it yourself.
And we're actually also partnering with companies
that are even competitors of ourself
to help them manage Next.js better
when they wanna create an offering like that.
And we know that there's work to do there.
But the nice dance is that if you let up
and let us manage your workload,
we will be able to optimize it to a level
that is sort of unbelievable.
Well, it's noon, we'll let you go.
I'm sure you have a bunch more to do today.
Great having you on.
Please call back in when you have more news.
I love it. It's a really fun conversation.
I love your show.
Thank you so much for having me.
Yeah, thanks for coming. I'll see you next.
This is fantastic.
See you on X.
See you on X.
Yeah, that was fun.
Always a good excuse to use drama to get the real story.
I feel like we struck the balance.
It's great when somebody is able to speak
with more than 144 characters.
Yeah, all of a sudden the nuance just comes in.
It's amazing.
Emerges.
Yeah, fantastic.
But very, very cool.
Very cool company.
And it's a crazy position to be in
where you're hosting
potentially the next Google, right?
It's crazy.
If you go to OpenAI right now, this is relatively recent.
I don't know exactly when they searched it.
It just says, what can I help you with?
Yeah, yeah.
And then.
Yeah, there's no landing page anymore
for learn about OpenAI jobs.
It's like you're here to do.
Yeah, they still have a little bit on the side but you know they're very very oriented around anyway we got Lulu coming on to
break down the the drama and the comms we're gonna talk to her about a bunch of
stuff but we got to ping her because she's not in the waiting room yet. So let's ask. Let's see. Okay. Good.
We do have her on. Okay. Maybe I should send. She's extremely busy. She jumped on, she only had 30 seconds,
we weren't ready, she bailed.
No, I'm kidding.
No.
I believe it.
Yeah.
Anyway, let me try and send her this thing.
And in the meantime, we should do some posts.
And she is back.
Is she back?
Let's see.
Well, I mean, in the meantime, maybe she was getting some bananas. We can tell you. Uh well, I mean, maybe she was
getting tell you about Bezel. That's a great time. I got a
I got a beautiful Vacheron Constantin on purchased from
Bezel. Highly recommend you go pick something up over there.
They have over 23,500 luxury watches, folks. Uh fully
authenticated in house by Bezel's team of experts. This
watch right here, it's shipped from the seller to Bezel. And any time I see drama on the timeline,
I can't help but think if the two people arguing
just went watch shopping together.
I was thinking about that watch to watch.
If they went, or no, if they just went
and they browsed around Bezel together for an hour
talking about what they like and what they don't like,
they would find common ground.
Exactly.
And then they would squash the beef.
This is, Bezel is a technology that will bring harmony to the timeline, I
believe.
Now a lot of people said, Oh, we got Lulu in the chat. Let's do
it. Hey, how you doing? Good to see you. Welcome to the temple
of technology. We're live. You're live. The fortress of
finance, the fortress of finance, the capital of capital.
Great to see you. I'm so much to talk about. I'm kind of surprised it took this long
to get you on the show.
Former brother of the year, 2024.
And for some reason we had to do 75 guests
before we could get you to sit down.
What happened?
I had to make sure the show was good.
Oh yeah, okay.
Big dog in us.
She big dogged us.
His reasons.
Fair.
But we're glad you could take time out of your
incredibly busy day to sit down with us, chat.
There's so much to talk about. I wanna talk about the comms around Saratoga water. I want to talk about
Morning routines. Did you wake up at 340 this this morning and dive directly into a pool?
Or are you taking a little bit slower today? No every morning. I dive for five minutes. Yep
Every morning I dive for five minutes. Yep.
In the air.
Medium, mid-air suspension is four.
I like to go for five, sometimes seven.
Fantastic.
Average five for me.
Great.
I take my face every once every 10 minutes, I think.
Just gotta go a little bit above and beyond,
stay ahead of the pack, rub the banana peel.
I don't just do the face, I do the neck and behind the ears.
So fully ready for the show.
Always taking it to the next level.
What do you, you had critiqued that Saratoga Water,
that their last post was a bunch of,
it was hashtag soup, you described it.
Yep.
How, if you were, if they were a client,
do you have anything particularly
that you would have advised them on
of what they could have done better?
Yeah, I don't have any fancy water companies
in my portfolio.
So I don't think I'd want that.
You might get a call later today.
Yeah.
Yeah, no, I'm not fully diversified yet.
I thought I was.
OK, I think they just have to wake up here.
There's somebody whose job is to run social for them.
I'm sure there's a person whose area of responsibility is this.
And they were just completely out of the game.
Like some people said they were on Instagram,
but on is pretty generous there.
Like they were present on Instagram with a check mark.
The posts weren't actually that good.
I think there are some brands that are like,
boycotting X because of Elon, whatever,
but you're just kind of hurting yourself.
Like it's like you're owning your own balance sheet
to try to own Elon.
You're owning your own cashflow because you're mad at Elon. Just like go on X,
make money, do what you need to do. Forget about your personal feelings.
I don't know if that's actually the reason, but if it is, it's bad reason.
It does feel like it's a bit of a 15 minutes of fame moment for them.
And so I wonder like, what is the good ending here?
Like they quote tweet the video, they lean in, they're making jokes, they capture a bunch of attention.
Maybe they grow their account from a thousand followers
to even like a hundred K because it's such a viral moment
and a billion people saw the morning routine.
But then what do they do with that after that?
I think they have to, okay, I think the gold standard
for this before the famous rug was the hoctua girl.
Like she took the 15 minutes and just extended it
beyond what the laws of physics
seem to suggest was possible.
And I think what the water company could have done here
to extend would be like lean into the routine,
like partner on some routines, lean into the unhinged.
Like I know that they're this sophisticated,
fancy type of person,
but still sometimes you just gotta roll with it.
Strike up some partnerships, have like follow on content,
like lean into the funny, just do.
The bar is like literally anything.
And then it's like getting creative
and then it's like something really enduring.
If they wanna do something really enduring,
maybe it's like a program,
maybe it's like some pop-up stuff to just stay top of mind. But the actual bar of just like
showing a pulse was not that hard to hit. Yeah, I feel like the challenge is, I have no idea what
Saratoga's brand stands for, but now in my mind, it stands for getting up at 345, putting the
banana on your face, having four minutes of air time.
And so it's almost like they,
I'm the most water obsessed person that I know
by a long shot and I didn't know what they stood for before.
It's almost like the right thing to do is,
the right deal to do is you hire, you just say,
hey, we're gonna kind of scrap our brand
from the last 200 years.
I think they're a very old company.
We're now the Ashen brand.
We're signing him to a maxed out. It's just 150.
It's just 150 years.
Yeah, it's 150 year old brand.
1872.
Well, listen, it's time for a refurbishment.
Do a brand partnership with Chiquita Banana.
That'd be great.
There we go.
Do the Banana collab.
You could be doing, like, some people commented
when he opens up the journal, he's on page one of his journal
Oh, yeah
Notion partnership
There's a lot you could do yeah
Let let's talk about
You created a meme going going direct. I feel like it's one of the the most powerful
Yeah I feel like it's one of the most powerful,
like basically memes.
Was it our trend of the year?
Potentially trend of the year.
I mean that and founder mode are the two.
When you think about things that have sort of
influenced founder thought in the last five years,
it happens to be in my view going direct and founder mode.
And they go hand in hand.
I'm sure you're already thinking about
sort of what the next play is.
Is the next play going indirect?
Going indirect.
And sort of like it going-
Getting puff pieces and fire.
You know, getting puff pieces and stuff like that.
No, but what do you think is,
now that this sort of way of comms has become the standard,
is this just the enduring approach for the next
however many years until we get better institutions?
Or?
You gotta always outrun yourselves.
I'm really glad you brought this up.
We did not coordinate by this, by the way,
you guys gave me virtually nothing to prepare with
and no talk points.
I kept being fully unprepared, thank you.
So we didn't coordinate,
but I actually had been thinking about this
because Rostra launched around a year ago,
almost exactly a year ago.
And in that intervening year,
founder mode has kind of become part of the canon.
Like it's here, it's not evenly distributed.
Maybe Deloitte is not going direct,
but like founders going direct
is now part of the default playbook for comms like any
YC company that's coming out into the world today they're thinking the founder is going to go direct
but the thing is you have to outrun yourself like once something becomes the thing that everybody
does that becomes the new norm and you always want to be standing up above the norm like I
remember for a while last year I was doing manifestos I having all of like, my founders and my companies do manifestos
and then for a three month span,
it was just like every other week of manifesto.
It actually began, I kind of got like,
manifestoed out and same with like the secret plans.
So you gotta keep-
Same with the five reels, same thing.
Kind of burned through them.
That one happened really fast.
Yeah. Yeah.
Sorry everyone.
Yeah, well, so how do you think so?
One more montage reels guys. Yeah, so we everyone. Yeah. Well, so how do you think so? One more montage wheels, guys.
Yeah, so we just had Guillermo on.
Vercell creates Next.js.
They release it to the world.
And then they say, yeah, we'll manage it for you if you want.
Or you can just use it by yourself.
You basically open source the concept of going direct.
But then you have sort of playbooks
that you run with your founders.
Is there anything else that the thing about something like going direct
is you can tell somebody exactly,
any sort of like highly specialized skillset.
Double-fisting Celsius?
What is that in front of your hands?
I go Yoruba Mate.
John goes Celsius.
That's pretty reflective of our brands.
Sorry.
It triggered me because the week before last,
I had two, I didn't know how caffeinated.
Oh, they have a lot of caffeinated in there.
I needed like a defibrillator.
Oh yeah.
Well, Red Bulls.
400, yeah, it is six Red Bulls, I think, technically.
Who's counting though?
Yeah, gotta be careful.
All right, Jordan, where do you get it?
No, but the idea is like, is there other things
that maybe fall outside of that,
that you feel like you can sort of open source,
things that you can just tell the world,
they're very hard to execute,
so they should still go to your firm
to actually pull them off.
But what else are you thinking about,
kind of like open sourcing?
Yeah, or they can just do it.
I like the concept of open sourcing.
In fact, you should be able to do it by yourself,
whether I get hit by a bus,
or your team gets hit by a bus,
it should never just like rest on any one person.
I think the next era,
so going direct was probably the big thing
for the last year.
I think the next era is in shorthand,
attention is all you need.
Like in a world where AI can just do anything all the time,
you can see people like shipping and launching stuff.
It used to be monthly, then weekly, and now daily, there's just like huge drops all the time. You can see people like shipping and launching stuff. It used to be monthly, then weekly, and now daily.
There's just like huge drops all the time.
And it's a tree falling quietly in the forest
unless you can get people to actually care about it.
So the two things are number one, how to get the attention
and just like focus it for a small period of time.
And then number two, how to harvest it
and turn it into something.
Like the big mistake that founders make
is they'll do something to catch a little bit of attention
and then it goes away,
like we're talking about Saratoga water,
it goes away and you didn't do anything with it.
So you're doing like attention catch and release
like California with illegal migrants or like sports fishing.
Like don't do the catch and release,
hold on to the attention and turn it into money.
Like your job is turning attention into money.
I mean, that's the beauty of the Ashton Hall thing.
He went super viral,
but he already had been on Instagram for five years,
had millions of followers over there.
He goes super viral.
He already has a whole business set up
on coaching and fitness stuff.
Like there is a funnel.
And if you found him from this X-post,
you're gonna be paying him if you like him very quickly.
Whereas with Hawk2aGirl, we were talking about this, she had to spin up a podcast and then
I'm sure at a certain point she was like, well, this crypto thing seems like a good
way to make money.
Whereas Ashton already has a business and can just go capitalize on it.
We got a delivery here.
Oh, thank you, brother.
Here we go.
We got the Saratoga.
You guys should do the Dunk Lives, the new Ice Bucket channel.
Yeah, we also need holes to dunk our face in.
Yeah, we definitely do.
So here's a question for you
that I think is actually an interesting one.
So the three of us are dear friends with David Senra.
And David has sort of studied all these entrepreneurs
that were able to build these massive careers
or massive sort of family empires completely in silence, right? He made a post, he made a post two weeks ago that was somebody to the effect
of like, I talked to this family, they had written biographies about the family and he
asked if he could do a, an episode on them. And they were like, absolutely not. We're
not giving away our sort of secrets is, do you think that, you know, do you think that
that the playbook of just building in silence
and you're sort of in the shadows and nobody,
and not really sharing what you're working on,
do you think businesses like that will,
there seems like there's tons of examples
throughout history, but that was pre-internet, right?
If you take the strategy of we're gonna build in silence,
be very secretive, does that playbook work when you have 10 competitors
that are gonna be extremely loud,
constantly sort of like accumulating attention?
And I just wonder if that's sort of a pre-internet strategy.
So the thing here is, one day soon,
maybe you'll have the one person billion dollar company,
but for now, the company that wins is the company that can recruit and attract the best talent. And the pool of super elite differentiated
talent is pretty concentrated and they're all being head hunted by like the same firms. And
so the way to get ahead is to get that talent before your competitors can and they'll join you
if they know you and trust you and believe in you. And so if you're someone who's already a
household name,
like if Palmer Lucky went silent for a while,
it'd be fine because people know what he's about.
Ilya Setskova has been silent for quite a while
and people know, you don't have to try to figure out
like what am I gonna get if I try to go work for them?
And they have like demand knocking down on their doors.
But if you don't have that, then you do need to build it.
And I think where your question is coming from too,
is like we see a lot of founders get dunked on
for like yapping too much and posting too much.
And it's like, when are you building your company?
You're tweeting like every hour.
And I think the one thing to know
is it's not about how much you yap,
it's about the ship yap ratio.
You have to respect the ship yap ratio.
And if the ratio is right, you can get away with anything.
That's great.
Elon's a perfect example of this.
Nobody's like, hey, bro, you're posting 20 times an hour.
Relax.
The rockets are going up.
OK, the rockets are being caught.
The rockets are being caught.
It's sitting in the chopsticks.
He can post what he wants.
On ongoing direct, I've always thought
that there's a little bit more nuance there.
Obviously, it's really key to tell someone that, hey, it's
OK to start posting and going direct and doing
founder-led communications.
But that doesn't mean that you should close off
the indirect channels.
And I see it almost as like, uh, like tiers or levels.
So level one is like, you start telling the world what you're building, build some credibility.
Maybe there's some posts on X from the founder's account.
Then you start doing new media like podcasts like this calling in telling, you know, you're
using other people's platforms, but you're accelerating.
And then eventually the traditional media comes in and writes like the big profile.
And that still has a lot of benefit.
Can you talk to us about how founders should think about writing up that curve and
where the value is across all three of those?
Yeah.
So roughly you want to think of it as, uh, as like concentric circles going
outwards and you cannot mess up the order.
So the innermost circle is your co-founders and executives
and the people who work for you.
And they have to believe and you have to fully saturate them
with the propaganda and the sense of mission
before you go out to the next circle.
Next circle maybe is investors board,
and then you get to customers,
and then you get to maybe regulators, maybe other people.
But the problem with trying to skip one of these
in the sequence is, let's say that you didn't brief,
let's say that you're launching like a new mission
and you didn't brief your employees
on this refreshed mission, but you go to the press
and now your employees are reading it in the press
and there's a disconnect, two things can happen.
One, they're like, WTF, this isn't what I signed up for.
Now you have a world of pain because any pain coming from
inside the house is like a thousand times worse than
external. And two, your employees have freedom of
speech and they have Twitter accounts and they can go on X
and post like, well, wait a second, I'm not, are you sure
this isn't this doesn't seem right. And then all of a
sudden, everything, everything downstream of employees has
lost credibility because people figure if it's true,
employees would know about it.
And so, sequencing it correctly
and not getting too greedy too fast is really important.
Like always go from the smaller circles
to the outer circles.
Where we're-
That makes sense.
In terms of getting,
every company wants to get attention.
The challenge is that there are some sort of cheap things
that you can do that get massive amount of attention
that are sort of like, you know, basically like slop.
Like I won't name it, but there was a launch video
in the last 30 days that was just in my group chats
was like super cringe, but then it got like millions of views
and I was looking at it and I'm like, all right,
like this seems like cheap attention, but then maybe it just like millions of views and I was looking at it and I'm like, all right, like this seems like cheap attention,
but then maybe it just got so many views that it works.
Talk about, maybe talk about like taste
when it comes to getting attention
and is there more longevity if you're sort of building
that sort of slower base of sort of like tasteful releases
and messaging and comms versus like the cheap,
high attention moments.
Yeah, tasteful, tasteful vids.
So there's two things.
One is, you know, the crazy hot chart?
Yeah.
The crazy hot chart.
Of course.
Yeah, who doesn't?
There's like a company crazy hot chart where if you're really hot as a company
There's a lot that you can get away with
But if you're new and people don't know a lot about you then every single thing you do is say is like
Disproportionately affecting how they think of you
And so if you have a 10-year history of just like wins and bangers and you have one thing that is kind of weird or
Flop or a little bit cringy,
you can kind of get away with it,
it gets absorbed a little bit better.
But if your company is launching for the first time,
and the one thing people see is 100% of the data points
that they have about you, you can't really afford that.
So I'm not saying don't take risks,
I'm saying that the importance of taste goes up
like even, even more when you're new
and there's not a lot of data points
about you and then the second thing about just taste versus quantity is a
lot of things that get a ton of likes and engagement are just total garbage
and their responses are all like bots like if you go to a tech crunch X post
and look at the replies it's just straight up bot Like if you go to a TechCrunch X post and look at the replies, it's just straight
up bot replies. If you go to these like framework bros or I don't know, the like mental model bros,
here's what happened this week, thread bros. You had a lot of engagement, but I would not trade
that for the world. And so the thing to look for is like, who is in the replies and who is not in the replies.
Cause replies are usually really positive too,
but it's positive from people that like,
it's a counter signal if they like.
Yeah, exactly.
It's all about signal, right?
Signal.
Yeah.
Do you think the best sort of like,
going direct founder mode to put it in one bucket,
CEOs are sort of like born that way
and maybe you need to help uncover that ability of like sort of communicating their story to the
world or is it something that anybody can figure out with sort of proper training and understanding
sort of social mechanics and the platforms that we distribute content on and all that kind of thing.
Okay, there are different archetypes
of super cracked impressive founder
that you wanna just throw your life to the side
and go follow them and do whatever it takes
to get on that rocket ship kind of feeling.
There's different archetypes of founders
who can inspire that feeling.
But the key is you can be in an archetype but you can't be different archetypes of founders who can inspire that feeling. But the key is,
you can be in an archetype, but you can't be between archetypes. You can't be in the cringy,
uncanny valley of here's the real you and here's the online you and you're sort of like make it
halfway there. You can be the like super brash, controversial, loud type.
You can be the me-me funny type.
You can be the strong silent type of founders and just like one thing once a year.
But if you're type 3 and you're trying to force yourself into type 1,
it's going to be painful for everybody like most of all you.
People can tell.
I think it's less about there's one type and you have to be it,
and can you learn it or do you have to be born it? It's less about there's one type and you have to be it and can you learn it
or do you have to be born it?
It's more like there's different types
and you can fit into one of those types,
but you can't try to jump from one type to another
and kind of like fall into the abyss halfway in between.
Yeah, I think about the difference between like
a David Holes and a Justin Mares.
Like Justin is doing threads,
but they're very detailed on health
and breaking stuff down.
David Holes just shows up once a week
and tweets something like about the future
and how AI will change everyone's world.
Yeah, like alien civilizations.
Yeah, alien civilizations, but they're both great posters,
but if they tried to swap, it would be really, really weird.
Yeah.
You sometimes see people online larping as plumber.
Totally.
Yeah, they're trying to be someone else.
Yep, exactly.
I have a chip on my shoulder.
And I always say this for the going direct thing is like, how do you communicate?
Because there are some people who their authentic communication is best in a blog post or a
long post.
Other people can be really pithy and just post bangers.
Other people are really great on video and should just do a podcast circuit.
Other people are great on national TV. And so figuring out
where the founder sits and then accelerating that instead of being like, well, X is the
popular one. So I got to figure that out. It can be very hard.
This is what we were talking about. And you were saying I should describe it as default
out. Remember?
Oh, default out. I don't remember that. Explain that. You and I were talking. Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. Standard out. Standard out. Remember? Oh, default out. I don't remember that. Explain that. Were we, you and I were talking. Oh yeah, yeah,
yeah, yeah, yeah. Standard out, standard out. You were talking.
Oh yeah. So in programming, in programming, you have standard out.
As like a, as like a, um, a metaphor for the, the default, uh,
the default type of medium that somebody should use. Yep.
And if they need to go outside of that, they can,
but everybody has like a strongest, like a default medium.
And you can, you don't have to like only stick to that.
Like you can go outside of it.
Some of these like Andre Karpathy posts are actually a blog post and just dumps it into
the Xbox and hits post and it's fine.
Yeah.
I mean, a lot of that's about the flexibility to X platform, but there are definitely great
CEOs out there who's like their default out should just actually being going and sitting down with, you know, Andrew Ross Sorkin and
doing an interview and they will they will crush that and if they and then and then that
clip should live on X and someone else should, but they should not try and turn it into a
banger hilarious post because like that's just not authentic to who they are.
I have a I have a prompt for you.
One of our one of our 2025 goals is to get a
glowing puff piece in a mainstream journalism outfit. What's the strategy for getting TBPN
on the cover of the New York Times or the New Yorker? What should we do?
The journal would be the ideal.
The journal would be fitting.
So how can we reverse engineer this? Take us through the steps.
I think Financial Times could be good for you guys.
I see you looking really nice with that salmon pink backdrop.
Oh, yeah, that'd be fantastic.
OK, yeah, financial times.
How do we get the profile done?
OK, so the first question is, what is the business goal here?
Like, how do you convert attention to money, right?
And you guys converted, OK, let's just work through it live.
You guys convert attention to money by getting a lot you guys converted, okay, let's just work through it live. You guys convert attention to money
by getting a lot of listeners
so that you have leverage with advertisers
and then the advertisers pay you
and then it grows and continues being
the most profitable podcast in the world.
That's the business, baby.
Number one question is who are those marginal listeners?
Are they people in tech that you haven't reached yet
and you're gonna get more bang for buck
by converting
like people in tech who've been living in a cave and don't listen or are you
gonna go out and reach a new community that you haven't gotten into yet or
you're gonna go to some like in between like adjacent community where it's people
who in let's say it's people in DC who now understand that half of Silicon
Valley is in Washington DC and they need to understand tech better.
So it's like policy people who would want to understand tech.
So here's my first question to you is like,
who is that next group of listeners that you're going after?
Probably slightly older public markets investors.
We were pretty big in the private markets for tech,
but moving our, we like to think of it as like
YC Demo Day was our NFL combine. Earning season
is our Super Bowl. And so we want to deliver on a Super Bowl level event for TBPN covering
public company earnings, MAG7.
So you want to go to sell side analysts. You want to go to the big banks. You want to go
to probably the exchanges have some events, like
New York Stock Exchange has events. You probably want things that are Citadel adjacent, like
Deshawe adjacent to get into that community. And also there's a lot of overlap between
young tech people and young hedge fund and quant trader people. Obviously like the young
Jane Street people just go back and forth. And so if that's the audience, then I would work backwards, like reverse engineer this
whole thing and think, okay, where are they getting their information?
And what do they already care about that we can tap into?
Like it's hellishly difficult to make people care about some new thing that they've just
never heard of.
Yeah.
Whereas, and Derek Thompson had this insight too, the best viral thing is something that's
a little bit new, but a little bit familiar.
Okay, let's say that we're talking to those people.
You're probably going to aim for, I mean, they'll read Wall Street Journal, they'll
read Financial Times.
Let's just say journal because the paywall is less strict.
Now you want to think about how do you fall into one of the coverage areas?
Like are you in tech?
Are you in culture? Are you in culture?
Are you in finance or something?
So there, for example, New York Times has a guy
who is like between tech and culture.
And so maybe someone like that,
or let's say it's the journal and their tech,
honestly, their tech desk,
their tech team is in in shambles right now because they had
this super bizarre layoff a few weeks ago.
There's just a crazy management decision to lay off a bunch of AI and tech people at the
cusp of ATI.
It was crazy.
Really odd.
Yeah.
Maybe you want to aim for culture, finance, and then now you're putting together two pieces. One piece is like, what do those young hedge fund analysts or whatever care about
and what are they thinking about?
They're probably trying to understand what's coming out of the tech world
and which companies are worth watching versus which are not.
And they can see publicly available information, which is very scant,
but they're trying to read behind the scenes of like which founders are respected
and how good are they really and can they recruit that kind of thing.
And then what does the paper cover?
And the paper probably covers big trends
and what's happening in the world of AI.
Like as we approach AGI,
what are changes happening in the world?
So, and then the third circle is like the unique
perspective that you guys bring.
So I would start by not doing a pitch at all,
just vibing, networking, going out for drinks, chilling,
and starting to talk about what's in the middle
of that Venn diagram, which is like,
you have the unique experience,
it's interesting to the people you're trying to reach,
and it's interesting to what the journal has been covering.
Do that like for three months or so,
and then figure out one hook that's in the news,
and then offer to do a deep dive into the hook, and then have somebody who's not you, like have somebody
else that they respect who's in your network and their network, tell them, or like a me,
or like a founder, or like an Eric Lyman, you know, go to them and just tell them like,
this is the thing blowing up in tech and they should really take a deeper look. And at that
point, you're familiar to them. Familiarity breeds affection, positive feelings,
but it also breeds credibility.
So people who are told a fact 10 times
tend to believe that the fact is true
just because they've heard a lot.
So at this point, you're familiar,
you have the story dialed in,
you have your unique area of expertise,
and then you have some third party validator
telling them to look deeper into it,
and that's how it begins.
Well, thanks for coming on the most profitable podcast
in the world.
Last one, I know you've got a minute left.
We try not to swear on this show because swearing is vulgar.
And we're very short, bearish, using cuss words online right
now.
How are you advising your clients
in a world where big names are thrown around mean words?
I think it's the same thing as before,
which is like whichever bucket you're in,
stay in the bucket.
And if there's a founder who just talks like a sailor
and that's how they are,
you can try to ask them
to clean it up. I've never seen that work. I've just never had an experience where someone tells
the founder, like, clean up the potty mouth and talk different and they actually do. And so it's
just, that's your archetype. You stay there. But I will say the big takeaway, if people are trying
to figure out like, what is the next era of comms? and just if there's one thing I as a founder need to know about about building a cult and movement around my company it's we're we're entering the
era of personality hires with respect and affection you guys ultimate personality hires I'm one too
safe space it's okay cheers but in a world where AI is better than us
at pretty much everything,
every human is gonna be a personality hire.
So just figure out what your lane is
and lean into that.
And if you have that fire in you
and you get into fights once in a while,
it's not the worst thing.
And if you don't, don't try to LARP as Palmer Lucky
and find the fights just so that you can have something
to beef over. Just find your lane, be in the lane.
Don't try to jump into a lane that is disingenuous
and unnatural for you because people sniff it out.
Yeah, that's really good advice.
I like that a lot.
Authenticity, as silly as it sounds.
Great, well, I have to say thank you for coming on.
When your clients have historically that I'm aware of
have come on the show, I'm sure there's been some that I'm not aware of that have
come on the show I always come away and just tell John he was too too he was too
media trained too good so you're doing great work and thank you for for for
being a the former brother of the year and a friend of the show see what
happens this year yeah the good work just be year and a friend of the show. We'll see what happens this year. Keep up the good work.
You might be two times.
Just to be clear, it could be two times.
You need to do the ceremony.
You need to do the ceremony where I go and put the crown
and then we all cry.
Yes.
Well, I mean, we're gonna have a black tie event this year
for the award show and I'm sure you'll be invited.
That's it, perfect.
All right, thanks guys.
Amazing.
Thanks for stopping by.
Take care.
Bye.
That was great.
Lots of great insights from Lulu as always
What's your review of the Saratoga water?
Is this gonna is this gonna put Rora out of business is this gonna put every water company out of business?
They're getting so much. Let's do a taste test
Tastes good. I mean it tastes fine. It's okay
This just screams to be the restaurant
that a mid restaurant,
or the water that a mid restaurant would stock.
Okay.
Trying to be like, oh yeah, we have bottled still.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Oh, we have Saratoga.
Okay. Saratoga.
Yeah.
I think it's fun that it's going viral.
Good luck to the team.
No, I'm happy for them because I enjoy
and appreciate value creations.
I'm glad they're doing. Totally.
Glad they're? I'm sure their numbers today. value creation. So I'm glad they're doing, I'm sure they're numbers today.
Fantastic, they must be so happy.
Yeah, every single.
Well, you know what they should do
if they wanna keep up the sales
coming out of this viral sensation.
They should buy some ads on.
Buy every billboard in the United States.
They really should.
Just take advantage of this moment.
Spend your next 10 years. They should go on adquick.com.
They have out of home advertising made easy and measurable.
Say goodbye to the headaches of out of home advertising.
Only AdQuick combines technology, out of home expertise,
and data to enable efficient, seamless ad buying
across the globe.
It's great.
Do you want to dive into CloudFlare?
Should we just move on to some timeline?
What are you feeling right now?
How much did we actually get into of Cloudflare?
I feel like it's worth.
We didn't start Cloudflare,
but they are the third player in this debate.
We're gonna have Amjad Massad from Replet on in 30 minutes.
And I thought it'd be good to kind of show
the three companies that have been
duking it out on the timeline.
Yeah.
We broke down for sale.
Let's briefly cover it
and then we'll go into the timeline.
Fantastic.
So it's an older company,
it's a public company founded in 2009 by Matthew Prince.
That's the CEO who has been chirping at Guillermo on X.
The goal was to build a globally distributed network
to improve website security and performance.
And so when you run into CloudFlare, it is a CDN.
And so when you're scaling, you're getting a ton of traffic.
The idea is instead of those hits,
triggering database queries and all the stuff
that's going on wherever your server is on AWS,
they hit CloudFlare first.
It can mitigate DDoS attempts because it's just delivering
the front end webpage first.
And CloudFlare is a product that helps your website similarly
to Bercel be very quick and fast.
And they started with a $2.1 million Series A round in 2009 to develop a prototype and
kickstart operations.
They launched a TechCrunch Disrupt.
What a throwback, 2010.
They had core services, CDN, DDoS protection, which I mentioned, performance operation,
and it was all a freemium model.
So you get onto cloud flare free for a little bit.
And then quickly, as you start scaling,
they start charging you more.
But as the, the tenor on X has been cloud flare is still
pretty affordable. Even when you scale up,
Amazon AWS has a lot of cloud flare, competitive products,
cloud front, I think is literally a direct competitor to their CDN product,
but CloudFlare's been price competitive, roughly,
and so you get a lot of stuff,
and then we'll go into kind of what they're doing
to add features and functionalities
to their product catalog.
So in 2011, there is a Series B by NEA.
They wound up hitting billions of page views,
millions of domains served.
They're scaling pretty quickly after only two years.
They get to that $20 million Series B.
Then the next year, $50 million Series C.
I mean, they were basically five years-ish ahead of Versel.
But it's interesting how Versel's Series A was 20.
So it's like everything just kind of like.
Yeah, everything got pulled forward.
Yeah, pulled forward. Around, that's a standard And now, a $50 million series A is common.
A $20 million series B, if a company does that and doesn't say, hey, we intentionally
raised less money than we could have, you're like, okay, they're probably struggling.
And so Fred Wilson, Union Square Ventures comes in for the series C that's $50 million in 2012 and they added more points of presence
Which means more local servers that can deliver
Content even faster because the whole name of the game is if you're in Chicago you want a server in Chicago
That's delivering that website
So it's extra fast because the speed of light and physics come into the equation when you're going
Even just going across the US and back is you know at light speed is several milliseconds and that matters
I think it's almost like 30 milliseconds
I don't know for sure but it's it's it's significant enough that a content delivery network makes a lot of sense roughly
Is that roughly how fast I was running this morning? Oh, yeah. Yeah, yeah, I smoked the whole team
Yeah, we had a little ray a little foot race this morning with the
team and Jordy came out on top he's fast fast brother. In 2012 they reached a
one billion dollar valuation or close to it based on rapid growth and network
expansion. In 2013 they added DDoS mitigation and they successfully defended
against high profile attacks.
The spam house incident, that's going to be a good start when you dig into spam house.
But I'm sure there were a lot of DDoSing going on.
I mean, basically anytime someone was obsessed, I mean, DDoSing was so crazy at the time.
The backstory here is hilarious.
So in March 2013, Spam House, which is a nonprofit organization that maintains block lists of
malicious IP addresses experienced a massive DDoS attack, which experts called the largest
in history that knocked their website offline and broadly disrupted the internet. So, hey,
you know the guy that's trying to stop us from doing what we do? Let's stop him.
Oh yeah. I mean, DDoS stuff is serious.
I mean a lot of nation states use it to knock off
different services that they think are not aligned.
Axe has been the subject of DDoS attacks.
Elon's talked about that.
Somebody thought it was a nation state potentially.
But it's happened all the time.
And it can happen on a very small scale too
if you're just running a small company
and there's some kid who's a script kiddie and gets upset happen on a very small scale too if you're just running a small company and there's
Some kid who's a script kitty and gets upset with you or just want to troll you. Oh, yeah, that's right
Yeah, and it's basically
I'd mess with him and I'd go like dad
Why is your website down and then you'd go spend like yeah ten minutes being like, yeah
I don't know, but it's really as easy as just going like,
in the Python code, while one, like infinite loop,
request this website.
And it just requests it millions of times
and it can just be done so quickly
that if you don't have something set up,
you can be in a lot of trouble.
And so they doubled their domains to 1.5 million,
servicing roughly 5% of global web traffic,
getting really, really big.
Then they go on acquisition.
They did the meme.
The best thing is when companies do the meme.
It turns out these generational companies,
they do the meme.
They do the meme.
And that's the lesson, always do the meme.
Whatever percentage of your TAM
that you put in your pre-seed deck
that you want to achieve, just do it.
Just do it, yeah.
You'll be a big company.
It'll actually work.
They face and resolve scaling challenges.
Then in 2014, they go on this acquisition spree.
They acquired Stop the Hacker, what a great name,
in February of 2014 to boost threat detection.
They acquired CryptoSeal in June of 2014
to enhance encryption and certificate management.
CryptoSeal, I believe founded by Ryan Lackey,
good friend of mine, great,
just kind of genius programmer, honestly. major initiatives, they launched Project Galileo
to protect vulnerable public interest websites,
introduced universal SSL free HTTPS for all customers
and keyless SSL for high security clients,
and then they expanded their global network
to over 30 data centers.
That set them up for their series D,
$110 million from Capital G, that's Google,
Microsoft, and Baidu.
They got three of the hyperscalers,
essentially, in the company.
They expanded to China, and then they adopted
a bunch of other technologies, web application firewall,
introduced the I'm under attack mode
to counter layer seven DDoS attacks,
and at this point in 2015 they
hit 62 points of presence worldwide so they're continuing to grow and whenever
you're deploying fast applications on the edge we saw this with the Vercel
Vercel going to something like 30 points of presence cloud flares up at 60 in
2015 and that's the name of the that's the name of the game when you're trying
to deliver the internet very quickly. In 2016, they acquired Eager Platform Company to build out CloudFlare apps platform and
we'll talk about that because that's kind of the product that will compete with the
replet and Vercell stuff is actually being able to run your entire app on CloudFlare
instead of just deliver content.
So the traditional CDN is images take a long time to load.
Let's put those on servers that are close to the people requesting them.
Netflix is a great example.
You want to put, you know, squid game, the video for squid game.
You want that to not come from far away.
You want that to be up close unless you're cashing it.
But in general, you want it to be close so that when someone clicks that explored high,
you know, people talk about high frequency trading.
We'd explore this big for us.
Podcast. Yeah.
Trying to get. I mean, with the rate we're growing, we'll probably have to build our own cloud flare,
honestly, and just buy our own hardware.
We'll probably have to set up our own nuclear plants to run the facilities, create our own
chip fabs, and ultimately design our own chips.
Yeah, exactly.
Just completely vertically integrated down to the mining and extraction of nuclear fissile
material. That's right
But that's the that's the modern media game you play. Yeah, 75 person company now
I'm sure we'll be at thousands in a couple years. That's right
Cloud Flare in 2016 they hit a hundred global cities. They had some outages and operational errors
It's it's a it's a rough-and-tumble game that they're in 2016
They expand this is what Guillermo was mentioning,
the Cloudbleed incident, a security bug led to data leaks,
quickly identified, patched and mitigated.
I don't think there was a huge impact on the business.
I don't think information,
and we didn't get a chance to talk to Guillermo about this,
but I think both with the Versel security issue
and with Cloudbleed, I'm not sure that there was a lot of customer credit card
data that was stolen, but the potential for harm
was really significant and that obviously hurts
reputations and needs to be addressed with open
communication, which is what all these CEOs are trying
to do now.
There was also a little bit of a political content debate
because the Daily Stormer, which is a very controversial right-wing website,
was using CloudFlare
and obviously was the subject of intense DDoSing constantly.
CloudFlare had taken a stance of,
hey, we're just an infrastructure provider.
We abide by the First Amendment, free speech.
If the government wants to shut you down, they can do that.
But we are not the arbiter of what should
and should not be on the internet.
We're just an infrastructure provider.
But in 2017, they did drop the Daily Stormer
after public pressure and internal reviews.
And they had to kind of rewrite and figure out
where is their content policy, what's acceptable,
and what's not.
Of course, their private company,
they can decide what is appropriate
to use their server for,
and they have the right to refuse service,
but it was controversial.
And they had this happen later,
they had 8chan with a customer.
That was the same thing, yep.
So they dropped them at some point.
And so that's always been kind of a hot button
for all these infrastructure platforms.
When Alex Jones got deplatformed,
it was all the way down to like,
the Shopify plugin that he uses for reviews
wants to not let him use that review widget anymore.
And it's all a nested bottle,
like bag of worms basically, it's very frustrating.
And I mean, we saw this with Trump
where he got to platform from like Pinterest and stuff.
So sometimes these things can become
like big hot button issues.
But back to the interesting tech stuff, they launched Cloudflare Workers enabling
serverless code execution at the network edge. So what that means is that if you
do have something that needs to be computed on the server side, you're not
just delivering your content on the CDN anymore, your HTML and your images,
you're also allowing the user to interact with your
app and create actual server-side functionality through these Cloudflare workers, part of
the whole serverless trend.
They acquired New Mob to optimize mobile performance, implemented creative entropy generation, lava
lamps, pendulums, Geiger counters to enhance security.
That's crazy.
Have you seen the lava lamps thing?
You've heard of this?
I haven't.
So basically, there's this big question on it
when you're working in security. Big piece of that is how do you
generate random numbers? And so one of the ways they do it is
they create a wall of lava lamps that all move in a completely
random and not predictable way. And so they take a video of
that and then they compress that image
and that generates a random number that can't be predicted.
Because even if you're just like,
we're gonna use some random number generator
from the computer,
there's sometimes vulnerabilities in there
where you can actually truly predict.
They're all pseudo random number generators.
So there's this race to create the craziest random number.
Yeah, look up Cloudflare lava lamps.
They have a picture of the actual wall.
It's so cool.
It also just like a great vibe.
So I love that.
2018, they launched the 1.1.1.1 DNS service.
This is a free privacy-first DNS resolver.
They expanded to domain registration, wholesale cost
domain registration with no markups,
formed an alliance
with major cloud providers to reduce data transfer fees,
which can actually get really crazy expensive.
Zero trust enhancements, cloudflare access,
and Argo Tunnel setting the stage
for comprehensive security suite.
So they're taking security seriously.
Oh yeah.
Putting the screws to Google,
and they set themselves up for an IPO.
So in 2019, they go public.
Right before, they did pre-IPO funding.
Series E, it's $150 million at around $3.2 to $3.5 billion.
They dropped more controversial clients, as you mentioned, 8chan.
And they had a few operational hiccups around this time, some outages, some software deployment
issues, but nothing that stopped them from going public.
Yeah, this is what Guillermo was talking about.
The number one thing is mitigating outages.
Yep.
And so they filed their S1 in August, went public on September 13th, 2019 at $15 a share.
They raised over $525 million.
Let's go.
Historical size gone for them.
There we go.
They launched Cloudflare Warp, a VPN VPN mobility service and then they went on another acquisitions
Spree they acquired s2 systems for browser isolation technology and link to bolster developer tools leading to cloud flare
Pages getting more into the application layer
And then they appointed the co-founder
And then they appointed the co-founder, Michelle Zatlin as president,
marking a milestone in tech leadership.
Revenue reached $431 million in 2020,
with significant growth in enterprise customers,
because again, even though they are competing with AWS,
they famously have built their own servers,
own their own hardware,
and can be much more competitive on pricing.
So they enhanced workers with support for new languages,
launch cloud flare pages and R2 storage, which is S3 compatible object storage,
but it doesn't have egress fees.
So if you're storing a bunch of images or texts or Jason files on S3,
you can just move right over to R2, which is, I think,
isn't that the one letter, one letter more
and one number less?
It's a very funny name.
And so they're all about, you know, getting people
to migrate more and more stuff off of AWS onto Cloudflare.
And then they acquired Zaraa's
to improve third-party integrations.
Revenue grew to 656 million in 2021. they surpassed one billion in annual revenue in 2022
Introduced D1 a serverless SQL database and a quiet went on some more acquisition sprees
Navigated complex issues during the during the yet Russia Ukraine conflict balancing service continuity with policy adjustments
They blocked kiwims, which is another
Controversial website there were harassment issues there
And so they're they're constantly scaling and then dealing with the fallout of you know
Having a whole bunch of companies on their on their platform
launched workers AI in
2023 partner with NVD NVIDIA to deploy GPUs at the edge. So if you want to do AI workloads in an actual city,
very low latency, Cloudflare now offers that.
More acquisitions, Zero Trust Networking Company,
Secure Infrastructure Access Company,
Cloud Native Security Company,
just tons and tons of acquisitions as they go.
And now they are aiming for net profitability
and targeting $5 billion in annual revenue
in the coming years.
They're expanding enterprise sales
and enhancing zero trust and edge computing offerings.
And they're deepening their AI integration,
broadening the developer platform.
Yeah, and one thing I love about CloudFlare
is they sponsor the US Ski Team.
Oh, that's great.
So if you like skiing,
you might also like their set of products.
And this is a CloudFlare at the moment,
it's a $42 billion public company.
And they've actually, they've suffered, you know,
much of the same sell-off that other firms have, but it's just wild to think about
whatever that pre-IPO round was,
the Series E, they did a 3.2 billion.
So they're up 10x, those IPO buyers,
something like that, that's great.
And certainly a good outcome for Union Square
and all the early investors that got in
at those $10 million, $20 million rounds,
but it took a while to get here.
15 years in the making.
Yeah, it's interesting.
One thing that's fascinating,
so Cloudflare is a sort of scaled platform,
has plenty of pages comparing itself to other providers.
And you would think if Matthew Prince,
the CEO, is coming after Gear Mode, that they would have be positioning. I would expect a cloud flare versus versell landing page
There's no mention of there's nothing on the cloud flares. Who are they copying themselves to?
Versal does mention cloud flare
But but but I'm sure it's not interesting. Well, maybe that changes after today's spicy episode.
Yeah, I mean, I just think like, you know, who knows what's going on behind the scenes,
right?
Guillermo didn't mince words when he said, like, we tried to use Cloudflare for a pretty
important project internally.
It didn't work.
And so now I can imagine there very well could be some ego involved.
But anyways.
Yeah, it does feel like a little bit of like
big dogging going on, just like, hey little bro,
like you don't even have servers, you know,
Vercell, like, you know, we have our own infrastructure,
we compete with AWS, you're not even in the conversation.
Like that's kind of the energy Matthew Prince brings,
but you know, hopefully everyone can benefit
from a rising tide and a growing pizza pie.
And the pie slices will get bigger for everyone
because that's what we wanna see.
We wanna see bull markets everywhere.
Where you can enjoy a nice piece of pizza pie.
At a wander?
That's right, John.
Find your happy place.
Find your happy place.
Book a Wander.
Go to Wander.com.
Use our code.
Yeah, use our code.
Enter, they're giving away a trip to TBPN audience.
Yeah, go check it out.
So go check it out.
Wander.com slash TBPN.
Inspiring views, hotel-grade amenities,
dreamy beds, top-tier cleaning,
and 24-7 concierge service.
It's a vacation home, but better folks. That's right. Anyway,
we got eight minutes. Should we hit the timeline? Let's hit the
timeline. Let's go to shield. Yeah, great post from shield
here. He's following up. He says venture capital in the 90s was
wild. Good funds had triple digit IRRs and he's pulling up.
So KP here, here vintage their first vintage
this is why they're in the whole tree yeah this is why they're in the whole
thing so their first fund it's eight million dollar fund they only got a 31
X multiple only a 51% yeah why is the IRR so low given the multiple is that just
because it was such a long fund it took them a long time to get liquidity on those like because they had a 32 X fund
fund seven but it's a hundred and twenty two percent IRR for yeah for Kleiner
Perkins fund seven I wonder what's going on there's no other there's no in in
sight we'll have to get ever at Randall from Kleiner Perkins on the show but
anyways their best performing fund was in 1996, unsurprisingly.
Right before the dot com boom.
The right time.
They IPO'd everything in that portfolio, probably.
Yeah, so they have a 17x multiple,
but their IRR was 286%.
That's crazy.
I mean, they turned 300 million.
300 million, so.
It was a much bigger fund.
Yeah, so they turned it into almost $6 billion.
Yeah. Wow.
And then there's a bunch of other funds here.
We got Mayfield, which I feel bad. I should know better. My venture is legit. Very old school though. I mean, you can see in the 80s already on fun for you.
Imagine KP comes out their little $8 million venture fund 31 exit. Like, oh, I think we might be onto something here. What's also interesting is all through the 80s, they just were like, we do $150 million funds.
Like that's what we do.
They were very disciplined.
Yeah, but the fascinating thing is they have their first fund
in 1972, $8 million.
They don't raise their second fund until eight years later.
Oh yeah.
The $55 million fund.
Probably just so slow and took so long
for those companies to get to liquidity.
And it's funny, the learning is like,
they do this huge, we don't have any data
past their 96 fund because I think it just switched
to being KP at a certain point.
But it's funny that like they didn't learn their lesson
on like upsizing the fund because they just put up
this ridiculous performance on the biggest fund
that they have outlined here.
Yeah, I mean, I wonder what's in that 72 vintage.
It might've been like Intel maybe.
I don't even know.
Apple, something like that.
Get a couple of those.
A lot of bangers in there.
Sequoia also doing quite well, putting up big numbers.
It'd be fun to do.
I have a feeling that this summer,
the news cycle will slow down a little bit.
And it would be fun to do deep dives
on the top 20
individual funds ever.
And the individual partners.
I want to talk, I mean, if they're still in the game
or they're still just maybe probably retired,
probably skiing where they don't have chair lifts,
that's very honest.
But we'll get them on the show.
We'll have them break it down.
We'll have them toast to the good old days
where you could put up a 31x multiple
In a couple I want to I want to find somebody that was doing venture capital in the 70s send them a bottle of Dom
And a bottle of Saratoga. Yep, say hang out with us for three hours straight. Yep, and let's just let's do it
Talk about the good old days
Anyway, should we go to some nominative determinism? Yep. I love this one
It's Andre Carpathi.
And if you break down his last name, it's Carpath.
And of course, this is the man who
worked at Tesla on self-driving cars, an AI pioneer,
and DJ Cows says, I think about this every day.
And I think about it too, a lot.
Not every day.
We do think about this a lot.
But I love this.
Yeah.
Bill Ackman is really into nominative determinism. That's why he's Ackman, activist I love this. Yeah. The Bill Ackman is really a denominator determinism.
That's why he's Ackman, activist man.
Sure.
Yep.
Makes sense.
Yeah, it's a great one.
It's a good one.
Should we go over to Super Dario talking to Arvind Srinivasis?
Yeah, I just thought this was funny,
because it's been this ongoing sort of thing
that we talk about on the show.
So Arvind Srinivas from Perplexity says, we're building, explaining why they're building a browser. He
says, it's the only way to create AI agents with enough
control over multiple apps, especially on iOS. The goal,
agents that can book travel, buy things and act as a
personalized assistant. So we're just waiting some for one
person to build an agent to book a private jet.
You know, this is a very silly bridge
to what's basically an ad read,
but ramp travel is fantastic.
I like, it is a magical product.
And I'm not, I know I'm saying that I'm super conflicted,
but honestly, like you go there,
it aggregates all the flights,
it saves all your information perfectly.
You click it and it's just automatically expensed,
automatically put into, you just show up to the airport
and oh wow, my TSA pre-check is in there.
Cheapest rate too.
Yeah, it's a flawless product.
And then you can also book the hotel right there.
It is such a good product.
And of course, as a manager of a company you can decide
What's in policy? What's out of policy? How much you want to spend and stuff?
But you know for us. It's a more of like you put a minimum on how much you spend on the hotel
So that yeah, we're not staying anywhere staying on brand
But for some companies that want to save cost same time and money they could put the cap on that as well
But it really is it really is a magical product and I and I wouldn't be surprised if the first time I have an agent
Book for me. It's in yes
Because they've built all of the like the harnessing to actually plug in in a really really seamless way
I mean like ads or upsells. It's it's so much than booking. No ads in there, so we'll put one in here.
We got a post from Austin, a friend of the show
has been giving me a bunch of just, you know,
he built the morning brew into a monster
has been very helpful on TBPN.
He's retired for a minute.
I put this in here cause I wanna call him out.
Stop it.
This is like one of the worst things I've ever seen.
I really, really hate the idea of someone with as much talent as Austin retiring.
It's like get back in the game, create some shareholder value, build a massive business.
You should be working 100 hours a week.
American needs you.
And I saw this and I was just disgusted.
Okay. But it was revolting, honestly. But it's, it's really, really depressing. week American Needs You and I saw this and I was just disgusted. It was
revolting honestly but it's it's really really depressing. But okay but clearly
he's a marketer he's a media man and he's retiring so that he can unretire
come out of the gates. I still I just have a lot of sensitivity around our word
specifically. Yeah. I don't think we should be talking about retirements.
I think we should be working to the bone forever.
Well, he's staying busy.
He is.
He's staying busy.
I love it.
He's got a bunch of things that he's doing.
And we're going to have him on the show soon.
I love it.
I'm trying to pull him out of retirement.
We're going to pull him out of retirement.
We'll convince him.
We'll give him a talk.
We'll give him a talk.
Come get on the show.
Yeah.
We'll give you a dedicated spot.
Yeah.
Yeah, I mean, it is funny, because he. Yeah, I mean it is funny because he's like
I'm in I'm in retirement. Here's my focus. I'm training for a half Ironman. I'm investing. I've written five a note angel checks
I'm tinkering. I'm playing with dozens of AI tools. I'm growing I helped
3x oceans talent monthly growth rate to 2 in 2.5 months
Obviously, he's still in the game. He's merely in his Michael Jordan playing baseball era, I believe. That's right.
He's getting back.
I was looking for the right sports analogy. I was like, I just don't know. I don't know
these things, but did Brady retired at one point briefly? Did he?
I don't know.
Is that not even correct?
It's more like, doesn't Bo Nicol retire in between every UFC fight, right? And then he
comes back. Is that how that works? It's technically a retirement.
Amazing. You always find something new to not understand.
Well, come out of retirement, come on the show and announce your life's work and get to work, Austin.
You're on notice. Let's skip the humanoids thing because that's a bigger deep dive.
Let's do just a funny, funny post because we only got a couple minutes. Actually, how are we doing on Omjod?
Is he in?
No?
Okay, we will do this Ashley Vance post.
Dan Primack shares,
remember when Elon and Zuck said
they were gonna fight in a cage
and lots of people believed them?
I believed them.
And Ashley says,
I heard somewhere that Italy wanted to charge them
$300 million to use the Colosseum.
Not sure if it's true, but I think it is,
and I think it killed the brawl.
What a miss.
It would've been so good.
In general.
It would've been amazing.
Cash grab, not usually a good idea,
and missed opportunity to make Italy
the center of celebrity grudge matches, pay-per-views, things like that.
Huge miss. Also, they had a rough weekend. Who do you think would have won?
Because there was always the thing about like Elon is just much physically, is physically bigger,
but Zuck had been training more, and so it felt like if the fight had happened like that week that
they were beefing, Zuck would have won.
But if you gave Elon a year to train,
Elon could learn enough of the basics to put his size to work and win.
What do you think?
I think in a pure play boxing rule set.
It was going to be Mixed Martial Arts.
Oh, it was.
Yeah.
This is something I know about.
The only thing I know about UFC is from the Zuck.
It's actually so funny because I do
think that Zuck could nerd out enough on technique
and get the right.
And Elon would go into it being like,
yeah, I'm just going to rely on my size advantage
and just try to not work out at all.
Yeah.
Sure.
And then Zuck would just be nerding out.
He'd get some super technical submission.
I mean, the weight alone, I mean,
there has to be a 40 pound gap or something.
It's pretty significant, right?
Yeah.
Well, speaking of the Italians, they had a rough go
in F1 this weekend coming in at...
What happened?
Was Ferrari?
Both didn't finish.
Oh no.
LeClaire and Hamilton, they've had a rough start to the year people are saying is a mechanical issues
Is the car always something with for always I don't for our people people are saying like
Lewis has gotten like a full season of like the typical Ferrari stuff just in in you know, barely started here two races
It's unfortunate. It's rough, but
Predictable. Well, should we go to Zach? Two races. It's unfortunate. It's rough. But predictable.
Well, should we go to Zach Glabman?
I don't know how to pronounce that.
Might be Zach G. Labman.
Says crazy ad placement, TriRamp.
And it's a United worker at an airport.
And in the middle of his,
in the middle of his bright yellow vest, it just says Ramp.
And this just makes a lot of sense because you have
business, CFOs are flying.
Business people traveling, ramp has travel products.
I actually saw this and I was like, wait, is this actually?
Did they actually do this?
No, no, of course not.
It's a joke, but the guy works on a ramp, I guess.
We got a chart here from Orin Hoffman.
He says, insane growth, what an amazing company.
And he's showing the
flock safety ARR chart from Sakura we got to have the soccer guys on some time
oh yeah because they have some of the best insight we got a fact check ad
cock came out and said that figure is the number one most in-demand stock in
the private markets which I think is categorically incorrect based
on my insight into the market. But I would like to have Sakhar on to talk about what are these sort
of, they do this research, heavy research on private companies, kind of pulling out random
different data sources and putting it together nicely. And yeah, I would imagine they would have something
to say about that, but.
Yeah, I mean, YC Company, Flock Safety,
we've talked about them before, 200K in revenue
in ARR in 2017, growing to 285 million in 2024.
Wow, that is a lot.
And I wonder what they do next.
I can talk briefly about, uh, persona,
who's the founder of rippling.
Sounds like he had a was really in a pickle over the weekend. Uh,
this was yesterday at 6 AM. A lot of people sent this to us.
Uh, like when there's just something extremely dramatic, people send it to us. I like when there's just something extremely dramatic,
people send it to us.
I'm like, you like that.
Yeah, I get some of these texts and I'm like,
is this a tech story?
Yeah, we'll cover it,
but it's not necessarily top of our list.
But it sounds like he had some very-
But you gotta pay attention
when there's a billionaire on the run.
That's always an interesting story.
Billionaire on the run, yeah.
Something like that.
I don't know if he's a billionaire,
but he's close to it.
Close to it.
We just spend
like 10 minutes analyzing like dilution. Dilution. Well,
well, Greenoaks came in at this valuation. They wanted 10%
dilution. But then they have the SVB thing and they had to
take, you know, kind of an emergency round of shorts. Um
and were they 50-50 when they started the company? We don't
know. We don't. We don't really know. But anyways, he's going
through divorce had a bunch of issues over the weekend, but
they've been resolved, I think. So I was happy to cover that.
Now he sent an update post. Yeah. So I mean, the high level
here is that persona posted a massively viral thread, 17 million views, 68k likes.
He said that he's going through a divorce and he's on the run from the Chine police hiding outside of Tamil Nadu.
He had a rough go with his wife who he was married to for 10 years.
They have a nine-year-old son, marriage broke down and his wife was having an affair
He was accused of a bunch of crimes the police came for him
But it sounds like he's been more or less exonerated from all the accusations and is now
And is now safe and sound and fortunately the kid is unharmed and I think that's the silver lining of what really matters here. Yeah. We got a post from Will Brown. He says, bro.
This is why we do the show.
Last night was a deep seek moment.
It's funny because like that makes sense and the whole deep seek thing, the whole reason that
that phrase makes sense because people were saying deep seek is a Sputnik moment.
Yeah.
It's like now last night was Sputnik moment yeah I love it
the internet utterly and we snapped if we kind of miss coverage a little bit on
deep deep see there is a new version of deep seek out but I don't think it was
as revolutionary it was much more incremental and it didn't have the
narrative of oh it was built for ten dollars in a shed with you know screws
and it doesn't
hit the same doesn't hit the same news around it yeah they there are there's
also the new Baidu model that they're they're training right or no it's Jack
it's Jack Ma with with an well speaking of someone as handsome as Jack Ma we got I'm John Masad in the building welcome to the show
What's going on, how are you good? I just dunked my head in a ball of ice
I hope you got your banana on there, too
The bananas key I hope you use Saratoga, man. I hope you got your banana on there, too. Yeah, my banana is the key. The banana's key.
You can't start your morning without a banana on your face.
Just some banana all over.
And you still lifted like crazy.
Last time I saw you, you were dead lifting, like 500 pounds
or something like that.
I lost a lot of weight.
It's just like you get to a point where it's unhealthy. It's, it's not exercise. It's, it's,
it's fucking killing you. It gets, it gets a little risky.
The risk of injury gets up there, but you gotta be able to, you know,
break a sweat every once in a while.
I, you see, uh, Daniel growing Daniel's tweet is like,
if you want to look like shit and feel like shit, start powerlifting.
Yeah. Cause you just, oh, well, if I want to get the number to go up,
I better bulk more.
And then I'm just eating so much.
Yeah, exactly.
I still maintain some of the muscle.
But just trying to work out for longevity and health.
Yeah.
Anyway, thanks for joining.
Can you give us just a brief overview of where Replet is,
what you're working on, how's it going?
Yeah, so Replet, kind of like the genesis of it
has always been how do you make it so that, you know,
programming is more accessible to more people.
It's had a profound effect on my life,
like, you know, coming from Jordan, growing up there, you know, lower middle
class family, being able to come to the US, come to New York, initially, and then move to the Bay
Area and be able to build a billion dollar company. That's outrageous. And it shouldn't be possible.
But the reality is that, you know, we have this massive this massive wealth engine machine that's called the internet.
And for a long time, it hasn't really been possible for a lot of people to take part
in that.
There's the, I think Peter Thiel said, the paradox of the internet.
It was supposed to decentralize wealth, yet somehow concentrated into Silicon Valley.
But I think what we're seeing now is finally the tools of creation are becoming more accessible.
And that's really been my mission.
And so initially, RepLog was about, let's get people learning how to code.
And I think that was a good pursuit.
But people don't want to code.
The reality is, I spent the last,
whatever working at Code Academy and Replet.
I mean, it's good.
I think we taught a lot of people how to code
and at Replet, we built a ton of infrastructure
around how do you set up a virtual machine,
the runtime, install packages,
automating all of that and all the way to deployment.
But really the big unlock was the agent, putting an agent on topating all of that and all the way to deployment. But really the big unlock was the agent, you know,
putting an agent on top of all of that.
We were the first agent in the market to be able to configure services,
databases, deployment, and go all the way to, uh,
to deploying, uh, deploying an app.
And it kind of transformed our business just in the past seven months.
Can you talk a little bit about the benefit of knowing
how to code and how that collides with Vibe coding?
I see a lot of people that are like,
oh, I Vibe coded and it didn't really work.
And then Andre Carpathi is like,
I Vibe coded it and it worked great.
And I'm like, there's probably a little bit of a difference
between when Andre Carpathi is Vibe coding
and when someone who's completely non-technical is Vibe? Like is there still value to learning to code in 2025?
I think there is, but I mean it depends John about what is your prediction about where AI is headed,
right? Like if you know in the up case like you know what Dario just said recently, all code will be AI generated.
I assume this optimization path we're on,
where agents are gonna get better and better and better,
the answer would be different.
The answer would be no, it would be a waste of time
to learn how to code.
But you could have different predictions,
and I think different people
will make different assumptions
I I'm at this point like sort of
Agents built, you know, I the the progress we're seeing with agent. We just we just are rolling out V2
Agent I've never seen a sort of like an a b-test as we're rolling out. I've never seen metrics my entire life
I worked at Facebook other places
We're moving metrics like crazy just by improving the agent, like 100%, 500% in certain metrics on success that users are having. And so I think where vibe coding goes
wrong is when a beginner is using cursor, some other platform, great product, but they don't give them guardrails.
Like, you know, there's the guy that lost six months
of work on Reddit, there's the guy on Twitter
that leaked his API keys.
Like, on Replet, we do get commit for you.
You don't have to worry about that.
We hide the API keys in like a secure vault.
And so I think a lot of it goes to like, hey, these beginners
should not be using a lot of these tools and instead they should come to places like Replit.
That being said, I'm very bullish. I sort of changed my answer. Even like a year ago,
I would say kind of learn a bit of coding. I would say learn how to think, learn how to break down problems, right? Learn how to communicate clearly, you know, with, you know, as you would with humans, but also
with machines.
Can you tell me some stories about like success stories from replet maybe like the S the what's
possible as a solo dev today? I mean, we're seeing Peter levels IO do crazy stuff,
but what are you seeing from the, from the most, uh,
successful replet users?
Let me start with that with the business cases,
cause I think those are, are kind of really profound cause we've always had like
micro entrepreneurs like make money and you know,
it's certainly accelerated massively, but a hundred plus year old,
your old company, uh, Sears Sears, I don't know about
you, I didn't know they continued to exist, but they have this spin off called Sears Home Services.
About a year ago, they hired a team to like a more trendy sort of tech team to get them off of Cobalt which is whatever
hundred year old program language and they were able to do it very quickly and
then after they done that you know basically most most companies as they're
modernizing they go adopt a bunch of SAS tools and no code tools and local tools
and to become like a modern company they actually skipped all of that and went to
went to AI. And their
operations team, which manages the kind of field workers that go out and every day kind of do
house repairs and all of that, they started building AI tools. So one AI tool that they have
is like the worker would go and talk to the AI and it would optimize their route.
And that made it so that they're making a lot more money.
And now that team, everyone in that team started building AI tools.
And so you have this ops theme that's highly levered, that are able to move business metrics.
And they leapfrogged an entire era of computing and landed on AI agents.
And now these are the generalists that are building the business.
And I think this is a view into the future where firms would not be made of like,
you know, SDR and like, can't EAE, whatever.
It's going to be like, I'm a sales generalist, right?
I can do all that stuff because I can spin up AI agents that can do all these things. like can't EAE, whatever, it's gonna be like, I'm a sales generalist, right?
I can do all that stuff because I can spin up AI agents
that can do all these things.
That makes sense.
How do you think about balancing the sort of needs
and demands of the different types of people
and customers of your platform, right?
You have somebody that comes on,
they're sort of early in their sort of like
entrepreneurial journey, they build something,
but then suddenly there's this moment
where they become a business,
and once you become a business,
and you're sort of like servicing,
so like you have the challenge of having so many people
on your platform, and some of them can end up
wanting different things.
What does it look like in terms of you want to be able to continue to service these users over time while still making sure that Replit is the best place for somebody to start their
journey?
We've taken a difficult approach and perhaps not the smartest.
The reason I've been working on it for my entire life is because
what I try to do is
build an end to end experience where we
infuse a lot of taste and decisions and choices on behalf of customers.
Actually, you had that in the past where like the Apple ecosystem kind of makes a lot of
decisions for developers and even Windows as much as we look down on it, but Vigil Basic
was a great product.
It made a ton of decisions for you and like a lot more people were making things at the time. And so then you had the open source movement and the open
source with was this radical disruptive, you know, bottoms up thing where there's a hundred
competing libraries and a hundred computing ways of doing things. And that created a lot
of mess and create a lot of power. But now getting started and doing things and that created a lot of mess and create a lot of power.
But now getting started and doing things programming became a lot more difficult.
Like imagine setting up a modern web, you know, app, let alone trying to set up like
a Python environment.
Like if you mess up your Python environment, the best thing you could do is throw your
laptop in the garbage and get a new one.
I've been there.
It's miserable.
It's terrible.
So, you know, so you had this, you know, bottom Zoppo innovation and kind of like the early
hacker lingo, you had the cathedral versus the bazaar.
So the Windows ecosystem is the cathedral, the open source ecosystem is the bazaar.
And so in my mind, well, build, let's build
cathedrals made of bazaars. Like I think open source is awesome, but let's actually build tasteful
experiences on top of that. So my work at Facebook, I was part of the early React team. You know,
I was working on the tooling there and especially, especially like React Native, we made it so that in five minutes,
you can spin up a Hello World app
as if you're trying to do it using Apple and iOS.
That would take you hours, perhaps.
So now fast forward to Replet.
And we built basically all the way from nuts and bolts
to the UX of what it means to make software.
And so that's been a lot harder.
But I think you end up with this general purpose horizontal tool that can satisfy a lot of
needs.
The challenge, of course, is like positioning and marketing this thing.
You guys know as entrepreneurs,
like people like to do to pick one product on the market,
but look back on the history of computing. Typically the, the,
the best products that end up being a core part of our lives are the general
purpose horizontal product.
Uh,
there's kind of a narrative that's floating out right out there right now that
companies that are aligned with the AI growth trend are seeing
extremely fast rates of adoption.
You're seeing companies get to a hundred million ARR faster than ever before.
The risk that people are kind of worried about
is that maybe churn rates are going up
as customers test a new AI tool
and then kind of bounce around.
They're using cursor one week
and then Claude code the next week
and then they're bouncing to this one.
What are you seeing and what do you think's happening
and do you think there's any merit to that fear
in the market or on X right now that
maybe the AI revenues that we're seeing are not as sticky as previous SaaS installation
cycles?
It is certainly suspicious.
I mean, anyone who tells you differently is sort of, and I was a little worried about
our growth, like, is it, is
it going to go away? What's going on? Like, this is like a little too fast. And I think,
you know, we really started focusing on the other metrics that really matter, which is
the revenue quality retention, things that more advanced companies are thinking about,
like net dollar retention, we actually have above 100% net dollar retention, even for our consumer plan,
which is probably unheard of. But I think maybe ARR is becoming a bit of a vanity metric,
like how fast you can grow the ARR. I think you want to make sure you're biding
an awesome service and also make sure
that people just want to stay on your platform.
I think especially on the VS code wars,
the switching costs being so low
is gonna be a challenge for them.
You can go from copilot to windsurf to cursor
in like five minutes, same project. Quite like it's one click, you can open from copilot to windsurf to cursor in like five minutes, same project.
Quite like it's one click, you can open the project.
And so they're gonna have to find a way to differentiate
the great thing about Replet,
we provide this really great convenience.
And so if ain't broke, don't fix it,
you deploy something on Replet
and people really tend to stay.
fix it, you deploy something on Replet and people really tend to stay. That makes sense. Internally, I'm sure the entire team is using Replet all day long.
Is there still a place for traditional prototypes or is everyone across the team sort of like doing
rapid prototyping of features, which is obviously something that your end
customers use? Or is there still like, hey, let's just, you know,
make this in Figma and kind of align around it first?
There's certainly a place for for Figma. I think there are,
first of all, there are things that are tough to prototype and there are things that you
want to do very, very quickly, even faster than sort of any kind of software prototype.
And it depends on how people think.
I think designers still would want a canvas to think.
I think these products might end up growing in that direction where maybe you
go to Replet and you initially have some kind of canvas and that kind of results in a piece
of an application. But right now I still think there's a place for Figma. But the way I think
about what Replet is doing to our organization, I hope more and more companies, is like everyone is
highly levered. Like we just built, you know, agents are new and part of the exciting things
is that no one knows how to build agents. There's no tracing tool, you know, like an APM, like a
Neuralic or DataDog for agents. So we built our own internally and a couple people on our team
spent like a week using Replit and byte coding. This really great infrastructure tool that has
saved many, many hours of engineering. We have even more exciting story. We have someone in HR
we have even more exciting story. We have someone in HR that couldn't
find an org chart tool that really
fit what she wanted to do or was too expensive.
She spent three days.
She spun up this org chart tool with connection to ADP
and versioning history.
And it's amazing.
She never coded, right?
So I think the way to think about it
is how to increase the productivity in your company amazing. She never quoted, right? So I think the way to think about it as like, um,
how to increase the productivity in your company and less about like, Oh,
what should we displace? You know, I think, I think these,
these tools will have their place.
Yeah. How do you, um,
how do you think about sort of buying software as someone that enables the
creation of software when, you know,
you've obviously been building Replet for a very long time.
Ten years from now, you guys are in market for a new CRM.
You're talking to the big players.
Is building it yourself just become a part of that sort of like RFP process where the
team is like, okay, well, we can build this.
Like this is, you know, what we think it's to, it's going to cost to, you know,
basically build it, maintain it.
It used to be the biggest bear signal.
If a startup was building their own CRM, it was like, oh no, you're way over your skis.
This is going to get terribly wrong.
And you're going to be maintaining this thing for years.
And you actually don't have a special, you're not a special snowflake in this case.
Just use Salesforce or something.
But yeah, doesn't that change?
It has a name for it, like NIH,
not invented here syndrome.
Yep, totally.
So yeah, I agree.
So I think I thought quite a bit of this,
like future of SaaS.
I think that the question is like,
if you can conjure up a SaaS product,
can you like, is there even a future there? And we do see this
every time I wake up on Twitter, I see someone using Replet and replacing a piece of software
that costs them 15,000, 100,000. I just retweeted one this morning. And so there's a lot of, I think, vertical niche specific SaaS tools that are
generateable very easily, even with today's technology, let alone like a
year from now, I think you'll be able to kind of generate them, especially on
a platform like Replen, which gives you all the cloud services involved.
I think there are ecosystem SaaS products that are fairly hard.
I think there are ecosystem SaaS products that are fairly hard. So I think think about Rippling, how embedded into your company as like the, what do they
call the system of record.
In Salesforce, think about the ecosystem and the developers that they have.
I think if you're starting a SaaS business today, you want to go against the Silicon
Valley dogma of focus.
You want to build a Chinese style company.
I think what Rippling is doing and I think this idea of like being generative and having
larger pieces of software, I think it's going to become more important in the future.
So I think I'd be really worried about vertical specific SAS
But I think I would bet on those horizontal SAS companies. Yeah, we got to ask about the Vercel drama
We talked to Guillermo earlier this show
What's going on there? What's your take? Can you break it down for us?
well, you know I Someone asked me
Do you do you plan on supporting next.js and Replit Agents?
I said no, because we want to bet on something like VEAT that is open, like community built,
and the way Next.js has been trending is that it's optimized for Vercel.
They disagree, but it is actually not a controversial statement
in the larger community.
There's a project called OpenNext
that makes it so that Next.js is deployable
on more platform.
Matt, the CEO of Netlify commented agreeing with me.
The larger community feels like Next.js
is perhaps more tied to Vercell than they
would like to admit. And I think they overreacted to my comments and they strisend my comments. I
think it would have been less of a story if they didn't overreact to it. And look, Vercell is an
amazing product, an amazing brand.
They've done a great job managing a lot of open source projects,
not just next. Yes. And for me, water on their bridge. Like, you know, I, uh,
you know, I think, you know, emotions get, get high on Twitter and you start calling
and, you know, I wish them really the best.
Yeah. How is, how is next different than the React relationship with Facebook?
I mean, with all these big main core frameworks, you're kind of, if you're in Angular, you're
aligned with Google.
If you're with React, you're aligned with Facebook.
But has Facebook or Meta done a better job of kind of releasing that into the community?
They're not trying to monetize it as aggressively.
Well, not at all trying to monetize it as aggressively. Well, not at all. Not, not monetize. Look, I worked,
I exclusively worked on open source at Meta and the,
the advantage and disadvantage of working in open source at Meta is that there's
no direct tie into, to, to the bottom line. Right. So,
we were not trying to monetize react.
to the bottom line, right? So we were not trying to monetize React. So far, they haven't monetized Llama in terms of selling an API. And so generally, as long as they are
their user internally, they're going to maintain it and support it and get some value out of the
community and mindshare support. Now, the disadvantage of that, we actually weren't ever able to like make a complete
product because like if you go to Google and you know use Flutter, I think that thing is
actually much more polished of an experience because they have a direct incentive to advance
the Android ecosystem, for example.
And so Facebook, we built really cool pieces of infrastructure, but the UX around them are bad.
So you have companies like Expo building on React Native to make it a better experience,
companies like Versal building on React to make it a better experience.
And these are amazing companies. And I think that's how it should be.
I think where it gets tricky is when you end up also maintaining the core core
software and really tying them together.
What do you think about kind of the Ben Thompson aggregation theory around
there might be a new company to emerge from the AI boom that is the hub
for these vibe coded
apps and websites and games.
Obviously it for a long time, it's felt like web development
services, if you could call it that were very much, it was
bifurcated, like there was Shopify, which is a power law
winner, but then there was also Squarespace and Weebly and like
dozens of other companies that did quite well.
But if there's a new aggregator emerging and Nikita Beer's written about this, like maybe
there will be one company to really break out and be the hub for vibe coded N64 level
games, that would be very valuable.
It would also be more of a winner take all environment.
How do you think that that plays out in your category?
Look, I don't really, that's not the model for, for, for our business.
Like the way I think about it in the early computing era,
you had the mainframe, it was the domain of the expert.
And then you had the PC and it became possible for anyone to use computers.
And that ended up eating our economy essentially,
because that's how
disruptive technology work.
And so in the modern era, the modern software engineering is also the domain of the expert
and now it's become so that anyone can make software.
Initially it looks like a toy, by coding games and things like that. But I think it will fundamentally change and transform the economy.
And my model for what we're building, it's let's build an Excel.
It should be fun.
We do a lot of things that make it fun.
We actually build a 3D gaming stack. But the model is like, can a billion people use it to,
it's part of their everyday work, to build businesses,
to really be a core piece of the infrastructure
in the economy and the idea that,
it's gonna be a Roblox.
I don't see that as interesting.
I mean, Roblox is a great company.
You know, maybe Roblox is the aggregator for VibeCode at games.
But I think it's really not the big prize.
It's like, you want to build a trillion dollar company,
you got to think a little bigger than that.
I love it.
Yeah, do you have any words for your doubters?
Something you said is like, the next big thing looks like a toy. It's been this idea within Silicon Valley Yeah, do you have any words for your doubters?
Something you said is like the next big thing looks like a toy.
It's been this idea within Silicon Valley that you could have applied it to crypto.
This was Chris Dixon's, I think, original thesis.
It still feels like Riplett is this billion dollar company now, but I still think your
doubters and your haters would say, oh, it's just a toy, like it's kids making apps or whatever.
But do you like that people still kind of underestimate
this potential?
Is that part of what creates the opportunity
for the next 10 years, is people not
realizing the tsunami that's kind of about to hit
the industry?
Yeah, it used to bother me,
but now I think it's actually an advantage.
And I think, you know, when we're at the height
of like AI trendiness and it obviously was early,
you know, we're the first outside of co-pilot
to train a code model.
We're like this company in the city
and we're growing fast and hired a bunch of executives
that I think are part of the sort of the hype
kind of Silicon Valley, they jumped from one company
to another and last year, I did the founder mode,
I cut the team in half, now like 65 people.
I moved us out of the city.
We're now in Foster City.
Literally there's no other sort of,
there's actually nothing out there.
It's sort of a desert.
And so we have this nice sort of kind of office
that we're turning into a campus.
We have food, we have all that.
And the team here is sort of a tight knit team.
There's a selection effect on who joins Replet. and the team here is sort of a tight knit team.
There's a selection effect on who joins Replet. If you are smart enough to figure out
that Replet has this amazing potential in the future,
then we would want you on the team.
If you really think it's a toy,
it's not worth your time, then great.
And so I think these things that just sort themselves out.
Awesome. Well, thanks for joining. I love having you.
We'll have to have you back soon.
Yeah, it's I'm incredibly excited to watch what you guys do for,
for the next year, the next two, the next five, the next 10. Uh, and uh, yeah,
I would love to have you on again in the future sometime soon.
Thank you for doing the show. It's, it's been, it's been really cool.
Thanks so much for joining.
Cheers. Awesome. Do we, uh, for doing the show. It's been really cool. Thanks so much for joining. Cheers.
Awesome.
Do we have another guest?
We have a surprise guest for you all, folks.
Is he ready?
I just sent him the link.
He's jumping in in just a minute.
And he should be all queued up.
We'll go through some more posts while we wait.
Oh, Bryce Roberts bought two cars.
We gotta talk to him.
We gotta have him on the show, figure out what he bought.
Bryce Roberts over at NDVC says, bought two cars today.
One dealership wanted me to come down to the lot,
get on a bunch of calls,
and refuse to send me basic info over text.
The other was willing to send me anything I needed
and requested over text and email other was willing to send to the car, but we'll have to talk to him about what car he chose. I'm hoping it's a Dodge Demon and a Lamborghini LM002.
I think that would be a perfect fit two-car garage for Bryce, but we'll have to talk to
him about it.
But it really is an interesting take.
We talked to the car dealership guy, and I've wanted a car dealership that, I mean, sometimes
I just want to buy a car.
I just want to click a button and I don't really care.
Jordy likes to go to the dealership
and take a look at everything.
I completely disagree.
I wanna just push a button and have it arrive,
which is maybe stupid, but I don't know.
I certainly enjoy it.
And let's see if I'm ready when you are.
So we are going back into the 23andMe news
and we'll give some more context on this,
but I like that we're able to be responsive.
It's actually crazy that Keon single-handedly bankrupted
the 23andMe.
Yeah.
He was barely in market for...
Well, I mean, it's not a surprise
because he did the TBPN interview.
And I'm sure the market saw it and said,
hey, if he's gonna be in the temple of technology
every week, let's just get out of the stock.
Let's just call it.
So let's bring him on down.
Kian, how you doing?
There he is.
What is up?
Welcome to the show.
Are you guys celebrating?
I mean, it's kind of depressing.
It's kind of macabre to celebrate on when your rivals go bankrupt.
But what happened?
Listen, let's put this tweet up, John.
We got a tweet up here.
I put up late last night.
I think it was around 2 AM Eastern or so, maybe 1, 2 AM Eastern.
I saw the announcement.
The first thing I have to say to 23andMe is thank you.
Because the reality is, you're on the shoulders of giants here, right? We're on the shoulders
of giants. Old companies do. You go from Blockbuster to Netflix. You go from Blackberry to the
iPhone. You go from MySpace to Facebook. And now you're going from 23andMe to nuclear genomics,
right? The industry is wide open. The nucleus is years ahead, and we're going to seize the
moment. But before I talk about that, thank you to 23andMe. You did a great job building
the foundation. And now it's time for something new. That's reality. So yeah, talk me
through the key. It seemed like your post was really focused on the technology and the price
to sequence and the difference between shotgun sequencing and full sequencing. Talk to me about
that. How different is the technology? And also, why can't 23andMe just use the same
tech as you?
Yeah, great question. So pull up another tweet here, John, that actually I just put another
tweet right out here that I should pull up on the screen, give some further context on
what's going on and what 23andMe users should actually do. It's currently riding high on
Twitter. But no, the difference between micro-reins and whole genome sequencing is massive. It's
like a horse versus a car, right? You're talking about 23andMe's technology missing millions
and millions of genetic markers.
Effectively, it's not actually useful for any really disease risk assessment.
So it's fundamentally different here.
And the same question is the class innovator's dilemma's problem, right?
Why can't this be coming to this thing?
Well because imagine 23Me is a castle.
They have to pull out the foundation of their castle.
Everything has to change.
Technology, product, regulatory infrastructure, every single part of 23Me has to change to actually foundation of their castle. Everything has to change. Technology, products, regulatory infrastructure.
Every single part of 20th Me had to change
to actually embrace full genome sequencing.
This is capitalism at work.
We love capitalism out here.
20th Me is dying because they couldn't adapt.
Nucleus is sending because we are embracing
the newest genetic technology.
But actually, I think it even goes beyond technology.
Yeah, go ahead, Johnny, you have something to say?
No, I just want to push on that more
because if I'm, I like you if I'm, like, I like, you know, I'm
not going to compete with you, but if I was a potential buyer, I would buy 23andMe, rip
out shotgun sequencing, drop in, you know, call up, I don't know, Illumina or something
and figure out how to do whole genome and-
You would independently derive nucleus.
That's the beauty.
Yeah, exactly.
You have to resequence everyone.
You have to change all the models.
Yeah.
Yeah. Maybe the de novo approach is correct. And I mean, that's why I'm
bullish on you. But you know, at the same time, it just, I'm still not
really understanding like, why is it such rocket science for them to just
offer, Oh, hey, we're on V two. Now we were like, you still spit in the
tube, you still pay 100 bucks, you mail it to us. We just put it in a
different machine. It doesn't seem that complicated to me, no offense.
Well, it's a massive informatics change.
It's a massive regulatory change.
It's extremely non-trivial.
It's kind of like being like,
horses both get out of places,
why can't they just make an engine?
It's fundamentally different, you know?
But really the thing that Twentynny got wrong,
it wasn't just technology,
it was also actually the philosophy of the business.
They really viewed data gathering as a means to make drugs, but because it's such a small
sliver of your DNA, you actually can't really make drugs off of it, which ended up making
that such that the customer wasn't the customer, the customer is the farmer company.
And I want to say here's something really important, which is a lot of people ask me
right now, what should I do with my 23andMe data?
What should I do with my 23andMe data?
Well, first and foremost, you should move do with my 23andMe data? What should I do with my 23andMe data?
Well, first and foremost, you should move it to a HIPAA-compliant environment.
One of the most shocking things about 23andMe is it's actually not HIPAA-compliant.
It doesn't follow the gold standard clinical regulations that ensure your data is safeguarded.
So, Nucleus, for example, we are HIPAA-compliant.
We are a physician-ordered clinical-grade test.
We make sure no genetic or protective health information is shared with any third party.
It's very similar to going to your doctor's office.
Another thing to know, and I hope you have the thread up here, which is we outline some
of these things, is 23andMe, the reality is that it's actually been illegal since 2008
for any insurance company, any health insurance company, as well as any employer to use your
genetic information.
That's been illegal for two decades.
It's very, very important to say that.
So there are some safeguards in place, even though
not 23 is not HIPAA compliant. But if you're a 23andMe user and you're listening to this,
you need to do two things. One is to download your genetic data, secure your genetic data,
and then two, which is micro-ray data, small snapshot of your DNA. But two, you should
probably put that in a HIPAA compliant environment. You can actually DM me. I can help you doing
that. Some customers are currently uploading their DNA. Two, nucleus currently, because
they know that we're going to take very good care of their DNA, because it is, I mean, I can help you doing that. Some customers are currently uploading their DNA to Nucleus currently because they know
that we're gonna take very good care of their DNA
because it is of course,
ultimately all about the patient.
Talk about,
there's not total clarity right now.
23andMe is not HIPAA compliant.
I'm trying to understand in, you know,
23andMe in a bankruptcy environment
is the value of them as an asset.
It's pretty damaged.
It's pretty damaged brand.
There's not a lot of brand value necessarily.
What are some of the risks of the types of buyers
for that business?
And it seems very possible from our initial research
that somebody could buy it, and with the explicit intent
of not even rebooting the business,
but just monetizing the underlying user data.
Is the value the data or just the revenue stream?
Because I'm sure that they have marketing campaigns running.
I'm sure they're bringing in customers
and charging them $100 a test or something.
There's some normal business going on there.
It might not be profitable, but
maybe you could cut costs and get to profitability. Or is this nightmare scenario of someone buys
it just for the data? Is that at all credible? Yeah, so it's a good question. I think one
thing is Nucleus actively is looking into right now, considering whether it makes sense
to earlier, I'm sure you remember, we know We explore the possibility of acquiring 23 me and we're looking into right now whether that would make sense to go and see what we
Can do how we can help in this situation. I think the thing to remember is that again, this is microarray data
It's a small sliver of someone's DNA a lot of the most critical genetic markers that you wouldn't want someone to know about
Simply do not exist in the data and that cannot be overstated because it is microarray data. It is a small slip of your DNA. It misses the most fundamental
health list that someone could have. So in some respects, it's a little bit overblown
when people are worried by sometimes this is funny narrative. People are like, I did
20 to me. I learned that my pee smells like asparagus. If that gets out, I mean, that's
bad. It should never go out. But like, you know.
Not that big of a deal. Yeah. Yeah.
You wonder.
Like, you know.
Yeah.
Yeah.
It can't be both doomsday, they're getting my DNA,
and also the product isn't that good,
and it's not that reliable.
It can't be both.
Exactly.
Yeah.
Exactly.
I would encourage you to think about this.
Your ops found out your smell.
There's two really extreme narratives about 23 minutes.
Totally.
Totally.
So look at it.
It's like, oh, I learned nothing.
It's like, why do you think you learned nothing?
Because it's the smallest of your DNA.
That's like one narrative. Then it's like, oh, it's the end of the world. My data is shared. It's like, well, I learned nothing. It's like, why do you think you learned nothing? Because it's the smallest of your DNA. That's like one narrative.
Then it's like, oh, it's the end of the world.
My data is shared.
It's like, well, actually, the reality is that it's the smallest of your DNA.
Obviously, no data should ever get breached.
No one's saying that.
Of course not.
But of course, it's micro data.
And so what I recommend is download the data knowing that one, there's better regulations
that protect you and protect old people who do genetic testing, and that there are actual
regulations that exist in clinical geneticist companies like Nucleus that can safeguard your data, right?
It's like on your doctor's office.
So that's the thing I think that should be top of mind for consumers right now.
You mentioned that they were potentially selling data to pharmaceutical companies.
Again, that's kind of this weird narrative where if the data is not that valuable, then
who are they selling it to?
Is that true?
But this is also, this is, again, this is a great point. This is one of the reasons why 20th Me failed
because originally the founder, Anne, she said, okay, listen, we're going to use this data.
People are actually, she has a quote on the record, people are going to donate data to 20th Me. In other words,
one of the reasons why 20th Me failed is they never wanted to build a true consumer health application.
It was never actually about, hey, can we provide you with life-saving
or medical insight? It was about, hey, because it provide you with life-saving or medical insight?
It was about, hey, because it was really a genealogy business for a long time, hey, we're
going to get ancestry on, we're going to get as many people as possible, we're going to
take this data and then go to GSK.
They worked with GSK, for example.
The problem with that is, this is the thing they underestimate, is because it is a small
slip of your DNA, it's fundamentally not useful for drug discovery, which cut off with them.
Because then if your business models based off collecting a lot of data to then make
drugs, but it's microarray data, it doesn't work.
The customer doesn't want what you're buying, which is why eventually they collapse.
So in some sense, it's a technological problem, which is again, it's the smallest of your
DNA, but also I think it's a philosophical problem.
The customer wasn't the customer.
The former company was the customer.
And so that's why people say, I didn't learn anything about it from 23Me. 23 didn't really, their goal was not actually to really
help you in your health. And that's another big shift from 23Me to Nucleus, right? We're
HIPAA compliant, our technology is far more advanced, we actually want to give you medical
grade insight that helps you live longer, helps you have healthy family as well. And
then also we want to continue to build out that platform beyond just genetics, blood, wearables, urinalysis, full body MRIs and beyond into a true consumer health application.
Imagine 23 weeks shift, right?
How far ahead that would be?
That'd be 20 years ahead of everyone, right?
Consumer health has just recently hit the zeitgeist, right?
Twenty would have had a head start, but that wasn't the customer.
And so it's just not just technological difference, it's actually a very strong philosophical
difference as well.
How, how are they such a, you know, they have this sort of one time purchase problem that that could contribute to
challenges from a business standpoint becomes much harder if you're sort of get
this upfront payment. And then, you know,
I'm assuming the average 23andMe customer just gets the testing
done, maybe references back at some point.
But why don't you think they were able to avoid bankruptcy given the scale that they
were at?
This is a company that does hundreds of millions of top line revenue.
You would think they would be able to figure out
some economic, like they've been in trouble
for a long time, you would have thought
that they would have gone founder, you know,
and would have gone founder mode and like,
figured out a way to-
Well, it sounds like she tried and is now bidding
on the business to go founder mode maybe.
I always say that there's no such thing
as a genetics company.
There's only such thing as a healthcare company.
And the reason why people always say, 20 days one time, 23Me is one time, right?
There was actually no difficulty for 23Me to add in other diagnostic tests and build
a more consumer health application that was vertically integrated.
But again, their customer was the pharma company.
They actually, they didn't care that it was one time.
They got your DNA.
And that is the fundamental difference.
23Me could have solved that problem. I mean, you look at some companies today, some blood testing
companies are building on top of Quest Diagnostics, we could have snapped their fingers and launched
that product in one minute.
Of course, that wasn't the cost, that wasn't the business model, that wasn't the strategy.
This is a good example where strategy means technology, which eventually results in failure.
You have the innovation lemmas problem, the genetics has really changed.
The 20th and mediums has been around since 2006, 2006,
the cost of being a genome was 10 million a sample today.
Nuclear sets are a couple hundred dollars.
It's one of the greatest technological shifts ever. Right?
And so all these pieces together you have, you know, 23 collapse, which is sad,
but I also think it's the sign it's time for something new.
It's time for a true health consumer health application.
Can you talk a little bit about ancestry.com they required for by Blackstone
for 4.7 billion. It seems like that business is doing pretty well. Again,
not a genetics company, particularly they have their little niche in ancestry.
People really love that. They become experts there,
but how does that business play with you and 23 me?
You know, it's interesting because one time a very, very wise investor of ours said, he
said retention isn't about the product, it's about the use case.
Okay?
It's a very sharp comment.
And I think Ancestry is a great example of that because genealogy is a very super high
touch point of business.
People love genealogy.
They love looking at who their ancestors are.
People like literally spend their entire hobby actually around this, right?
And answers to capitalize on that.
They realized that genetics was a mean to do better genealogy.
Twenty-three and me never realized are they a genealogy business, are they a health business,
are they a drug discovery business?
They never got that right.
For nucleus, we use genetics to help people live longer and have healthy families.
The value prop is very clear.
It's not about DNA.
DNA is a means to accomplish some end goal for the user, which is namely better health
and having a healthier family, right?
That is a fundamental difference.
And to your point, answers to this multi-billion dollar business.
Natara, people say genetics business don't work.
Natara is a clinical genetic business.
It's about a $20 billion.
So genetics is in its absolute infancy stage here and I really do think
in the next decade you're going to see the rise of a consumer health behemoth
and that consumer health behemoth is gonna have a whole genome entirely
someone's DNA at its foundation and it's gonna impact not just someone's health
but again also their family and nucleus is building that future. So is it is it possible then that 23andMe had become this
sort of toxic brand and even the pharmaceutical companies said,
you know, we like the data they have, but we don't want to kind
of like even mess around here because there's huge potential
for blowback, right? I imagine, you know, there's there's some
risks there. Is that part of why they potentially come up?
Well, the pharma companies worked at 23andMe,
but because the data is such a small sliver,
they realized that there was something to be found.
The most important thing for drug discovery
in a genetic context is finding rare genetic markers,
because those are actually elucidate mechanisms.
To identify novel, rare genetic markers,
you need a whole genome file, right?
Because a microarray, again,
is such a small bit of your DNA.
If your DNA is a thousand page book, it's funny that you said one page.
One page, you can't actually get anything out of that.
So it didn't work from a drug perspective business.
It didn't work from a consumer health business, hence its collapse.
There's a great actually chart here.
I don't know if you guys, it's old tweet, Peter, maybe you guys pull it up later.
It's on Bedrock.
Does screen sharing work?
Can I share my screen?
I think you can actually. Oh, here we go. We're going to try. Yes.
This is a technology first year. Whatever you screen share is live. So it's live.
Ignore the tabs. There's a lot of tabs up there. It's actually, it's actually perfectly. Yeah.
So here we have a, you know, this great thing. I shout out to bedrock,
right? They have this narrative violations, right? Clean tech is dead. You have Tesla,
day and night, so he's fast. You have Tinder consumers, dead. You have Canva. And then of
course the most recent artificial intelligence has been overhyped under the, for 10 years,
you have open AI. I will tell you what is next in 2024 popular narrative right now is consumer
genetics is dead. And then right now, nucleus is open AI.
That is what's going on.
Let's go.
Pump the bags.
Let's ring the size gong for Keon on nucleus.
Do you have any idea how quickly you
have any sort of read on how quickly this
is going to get resolved?
Well, you know, nucleus might be the one resolving it,
if you know what I'm saying.
Listen, I'm quite sure.
So am I.
Rubbing his hands. So, I'm calling out some of our big boy investors.
They currently text me saying,
Keon, what can we do here?
And you know, we tried for a quarter of a billion dollars.
You know, what's $50 million?
You have to ask us.
Getting cheaper every day.
Getting cheaper every day.
There you go.
All right.
That's great.
Well, good luck to you, Keon.
I hope you can pull it off.
I know you'll be successful regardless of what happens.
Thanks for jumping on.
You're doing me.
Love it.
Great to be back.
I hope this gong is going to get hit for very specific reasons
soon.
Absolutely.
Good luck to you.
Thanks, guys.
Take care.
Thanks for coming on.
Bye.
Breaking news.
I love some breaking news, and I love having founders hop on
to help us break it down. Because we are going full golden retriever mode I don't
understand anything about that but that's why we get the experts on that's
the way the show works. Trust the experts folks, trust the seed stage founder
pumping his bags. Don't even trust yourself. Just trust the experts. Exactly. Do you want to
finish out the timeline right now?
What do you think's interesting in here?
Yeah, we can do a little bit.
I thought this one from Liz Wessel.
This has to be the frothiest VC market for seed and pre-seed
I've seen in my tech lifetime, 2012 to present.
It's becoming truly absurd.
Ramp investor.
Seed stage.
Wow.
She did the seed round.
Crazy.
Yep.
Goat it.
I haven't seen anything crazier personally
than 2022. I was gonna say crypto stuff was really crazy.
Like the last company that I committed to
was like a $60 million post seed round,
but the founder had sold his last company
for hundreds of millions, and I don't care.
But again, I'm not an institutional fund
that's trying to, you know, cares about ownership targets
or anything like that.
This is a good context from Jason Lemkin.
He says, I would be fine with it
if public multiples were higher.
And so, yeah, I mean, this is why, you know,
we had Logan Bartlett on the show to kind of break down what's happening in the public
markets because there should be some sort of tracking between these two and
and it's when there's a really crazy disconnect that you think hey maybe the
public markets are a leading indicator on what will happen to venture
valuations but at the same time there's a lot of companies that are getting to
hire ARRs faster than
ever and it'll be interesting.
The weirdest outcome I think would be that, you know, seed and pre-seed deals, they get
overpaid for and they don't produce the same number of power law outcomes.
Like maybe there's not a single trillion dollar company that comes out of this vintage, but
all of those companies wind up producing like
a hundred million of EBITDA and they're like good businesses and then like the funds kind
of perform anyway. That would be a very strange outcome. It would look nothing like venture has
ever, but to see a, it would be very interesting to see a venture fund vintage 2025 produce a reasonable IRR
without a power law winner in the portfolio.
I have no idea if it's possible, but it'd be interesting.
To steel man that, there's potentially,
we've accumulated in the last 25ish years,
the know-how to repeatedly build
valuable
software
tech just technology businesses one really and
In that scenario paying these expensive prices because you have this incredible team
Yep, and maybe you only get a 3x on that one investment, but you get a bunch of other 3x's and collectively
You get a 2x fund that X's and collectively you get a two X fund
and that becomes venture.
That'd be very interesting.
There's nothing, if that happens,
and I can argue against it easily as well,
but if that happens, it's not necessarily bad
because ask any dude in private equity
that has just been doing these 2x funds
for however many decades.
They've done very well.
So we want higher success rates for founders and teams, too,
even if it's lower terminal exit values.
It's also interesting that OpenAI is maybe positioned
itself as potentially the power law winner of AI.
People are clearly underwriting that deal at a future valuation of a trillion dollars.
They think it's going to be a big consumer tech company.
No one's really concretized what the source of monopoly power will be in that company.
There's not really a network effect yet, at least.
The scale, it's just an aggregation theory thing.
It becomes a verb.
Yeah, it's like Google.
Competition is always a click away,
but you accumulate so much customer support that you just.
Data, and by nature of the usage,
the product gets so much better.
I would think so too.
And then.
So maybe we're bullish, who knows.
But I mean, it's certainly not cornered resource
because the LLMs are commoditized now.
It's not really scale because everyone can serve these.
All the hyperscalers can serve these.
It's really just that attention.
Anyway, we should have Augustus on
to talk about this next one soon.
Yeah.
From Li's Jin. I actually wanna have him on to talk about his. Oh yeah. Yeah. From Lee's Jin.
I actually want to have him on to talk about his.
Oh yeah, the debate with Ron DeSantis.
Or yeah, his.
He was debating Ron.
Well, Ron DeSantis.
Has been trying to ban cloud seating.
Has been trying to ban cloud seating
and RFK recently came out saying,
I support what Ron DeSantis is doing.
Like part of the Maha movement is anti-cloud seating
and Augustus came out very strongly saying like no RFK like don't do that like like
this there's more nuance to this argument and so we should unpack that
we should unpack his testimony which was very interesting and we should also have
him talk about this which is that China is erasing deserts from its map the
first time I ever met Augustus at Josh Steinman's house having some cigars was
he could just comes up to me and he's like, Oh yeah, did you know that like the Gobi desert
is going away? And I was like, what are you talking about, dude? It's the Gobi. And he's
like, yeah, China's erasing their deserts. And I was like, how? He was like, yeah, they're
basically just planting tons and tons of trees. And that's exactly what this video shows. He says, by far 65 million MU of desert has been greened.
That's around the same area of Denmark.
And you can watch this video and it's crazy
because it's just like literally just sand dunes
and then the most verdant lush greenery you've ever seen.
And it just looks like, wow,
like I would never wanna live in the desert,
but I would absolutely live on this
beautiful lush farmland, like imagine plopping like a nice
farmhouse on that, and that's just like the American dream.
And we could do that with our deserts in America.
And so we should, yeah.
And so we talked to Agastus about this earlier saying,
you know, after you do cloud seeding, like is there
a tree planting startup that needs to be built,
or will that be your company?
And he was kind of saying, maybe it'll be a different company.
But I want this to happen.
And I want to figure out what the economics of this business
are.
Is it just a handout from the Chinese government?
If so, do we need to do that in America?
Is there a way that you can do this just with the free market?
That would be amazing.
Yeah, and this ties into the terraforming stuff with the, what's the, the Salton Sea.
Yep.
If we can get water back into that bad boy, then everything around it.
But we have some breaking news.
I wanted to pull it up.
It's not actually breaking, but oh, it is breaking.
It's the nucleus genomics team.
Oh yeah.
They were all posted up watching Kian come on the show.
So Ben, Ben pull it up if you can.
Look at the team here.
Locked in.
That's amazing.
All meetings were canceled, but shout out to the team.
Thank you for keeping our genetic data safe.
That's great.
It's great having Kian on the show.
He's definitely built for television.
We talked about this earlier with Lulu.
Like what is his format? What's the format? He's a good poster, but he's great in an interview. And talked about this earlier with Lulu. What is his format?
What's the format?
He's a good poster, but he's great in an interview.
And just come on and rock and roll.
And rub the hands as he thinks about acquiring
a former multibillion dollar company.
Yeah.
It's great.
Absolutely fantastic.
Well, that's a great place to end the show.
Yeah, thank you for watching.
Go leave us a five-star review.
Put an ad for your business or your fund into the review.
And if you're breaking news, if you're raising the big money,
if you think we should ring the size gong for you,
give us a call.
We'll have you on the show.
And we have a number of founders this week coming on
to break their fundraisers.
Yeah, we can't wait.
I can't wait.
It is a beautiful day.
We're going to have to set the minimum threshold
and then just raise it.
It's like, oh, $50 million, that's a Tuesday for us.
Call us when you raise an 80.
Exactly.
But right now, it's a golden opportunity for anyone who's
It is.
Making waves and venture.
It's a beautiful week to get to work in and around technology.
For sure.
So many interesting stories.
And if we keep up this pace,
we will be doing a Dom episode probably next week I can't wait we're at 26k I
can't wait 6k out let's go thank you for everyone who's been supporting thank you
everyone really appreciate it have a great rest your Monday have a great day
bye