TBPN Live - YouTubers Win the Box Office, Salesforce on a Tear, Bernie Sanders: A.I. is a Public Resource | Adam Iscoe, Danial Jameel, Mike Schroepfer, Nico Ferreyra, Sue Khim, Bernie Su
Episode Date: June 1, 2026(01:05) - YouTubers Win the Box Office (32:48) - 𝕏 Timeline Reactions (35:40) - Bernie Wants Public Stake in AI (49:03) - Anthropic IPO (50:04) - Salesforce Invests $2B in France (51:...03) - Salesforce on a Tear (55:37) - 𝕏 Timeline Reactions (59:39) - Adam Iscoe, a journalist formerly with The New Yorker, has covered diverse topics including mental illness, contemporary art, and cryptocurrency. In the conversation, he discusses his journey to The New York Times, his writing process, and his experiences covering various subjects. (01:23:52) - 𝕏 Timeline Reactions (01:36:33) - Danial Jameel, Founder and CEO of Saris AI, discusses how his company develops AI workflow agents to automate complex back-office tasks in banks and credit unions, enhancing efficiency and allowing staff to focus on more meaningful work. He highlights the significant impact on employees' work-life balance, sharing examples where staff previously working late hours due to backlogs can now leave earlier, improving their quality of life. Additionally, he mentions that increased productivity has led some institutions to forgo hiring additional staff, instead opting to reward existing employees with raises, thereby boosting overall morale. (01:41:43) - Mike Schroepfer, former CTO of Meta Platforms, is the founder of Gigascale Capital, a venture capital firm focused on climate tech investments. In the conversation, he discusses his transition from Meta to venture capital, emphasizing the shift from digital to physical innovations in addressing climate change. He highlights investments in companies like Heron Power and Radiant Nuclear, which are developing advanced energy solutions, and underscores the importance of rethinking traditional manufacturing and energy systems to achieve significant environmental impact. (01:55:36) - Nico Ferreyra, co-founder and CEO of Default, discusses the company's evolution from building top-of-funnel orchestration tools to launching a new product that integrates a real-time data layer with AI agents to enhance go-to-market execution. He highlights the challenges companies face with disconnected systems and how Default's platform unifies data to streamline growth processes. Ferreyra also touches on the company's intense work culture and recent $10 million funding round, emphasizing their commitment to solving complex problems in revenue operations. (02:06:55) - Sue Khim, co-founder and CEO of Brilliant, discusses the launch of their new AI tutor, Koji, designed to help users learn math and coding through interactive, graphical assistance. She emphasizes the importance of reducing embarrassment in learning, allowing students to ask questions freely, and highlights the tutor's goal of becoming unnecessary as learners gain confidence and independence. Khim also addresses the significance of multimodal learning experiences and the need for purpose-built educational tools that provide real-time feedback and personalized learning paths. (02:16:18) - Bernie Su is an American web series creator, writer, director, and producer, renowned for his Emmy Award-winning adaptations of Jane Austen's novels, including "The Lizzie Bennet Diaries" and "Emma Approved." In the conversation, Su discusses the evolving relationship between Hollywood and YouTube creators, noting that the integration has been progressing for years, with recent successes like "Obsession," "Backrooms," and "Iron Lung" highlighting this trend. He emphasizes that these achievements stem from creators producing content authentic to their brand, rather than merely leveraging their follower count, and observes that YouTubers are increasingly adept at franchising their content across various media platforms. (02:37:14) - 𝕏 Timeline Reactions TBPN is made possible by:Ramp - https://ramp.comPublic - https://public.comCisco - https://www.cisco.comConsole - https://www.console.comCrowdStrike - https://www.crowdstrike.comFigma - https://www.figma.comMongoDB - https://www.mongodb.comNYSE - https://www.nyse.comRailway - https://railway.comShopify - https://www.shopify.com/Follow TBPN: https://TBPN.comhttps://x.com/tbpnhttps://open.spotify.com/show/2L6WMqY3GUPCGBD0dX6p00?si=674252d53acf4231https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/technology-brothers/id1772360235https://www.youtube.com/@TBPNLive
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YouTubers winning at the box office, YouTubers finally breaking through to Hollywood.
Feels super long overdue. Ben Thompson had a good victory lap post because he predicted this all the way
back in 2017. It took a decade to get here, but YouTubers are fully in control of Hollywood,
and there's a bunch of crazy statistics.
But 2026 really is the year that Hollywood and YouTube finally,
it feels like they found a way to work together in perfect harmony.
It honestly seems win-win here.
Yeah, not total disruption.
Yeah.
Right?
No, no, not that.
Actual collaboration.
And so, I mean, we all know Hollywood's been faced with a ton of challenges.
I was just listing them off off the top of my head.
What's this?
Trey says a TBPN without ads is like a human without a heart.
Couldn't say it better myself.
Ryan says calling in to the waiting room and not the re-stream waiting room was a crime.
Yes, that's true.
So I was just listing off all of the challenges that Hollywood has faced over the past
couple decades.
And it's so bad.
It's piracy.
Like you used to just be able for all through like the mid-2000s people would just download
movies.
Then better TV shows.
Like TV just got so much better that that really took.
a lot of gas out of Hollywood,
because it used to be, if you wanted something cinematic,
you had to go to the theater.
And then Game of Thrones came out,
and all of a sudden TV, we went through like the era
of great TV.
Streaming, obviously, that moved a lot of people out of theaters.
COVID, that shut down the movie industry entirely.
There were strikes, the double strike,
writers and directors strike and a whole bunch of other strikes
that went on.
There was competition from other production markets,
lower cost, and that, you know,
that can sometimes help,
certain elements of Hollywood, but it also hurts Hollywood the physical place.
Yeah, meanwhile, streaming just created such a massive boom in spending on like a bunch of
random projects, not necessarily like, you know, block, like blockbusters, but just like every
platform needed more content. Yeah. And there was a lot of competition. Yeah. And so throughout all
of that, there was sort of a silver lining. I mean, the streaming thing is a big one of that, that
there were jobs and projects that were getting greenlit on streaming platforms, but also just the creator economy.
Like, even though the number, I was looking at the number of like shoot traditional Hollywood shoot days in Hollywood,
it's fallen off a cliff post-COVID, never fully recovered.
But the number of people working in front of the camera, behind the camera, around the camera,
in broadly has obviously gone up throughout the creator economy, boom.
And so this was always unsatisfying to Cine.
files though because no matter how viral a TikTok goes or no matter how much money Mr. Beast or some
other creator like makes it never feels as as culturally important as the godfather or some other
or the Titanic or some movie that everyone comes together everyone has the shared cultural experience
around we were all in these like a little bit of these like isolated niches and oh yeah I'm really
into this creator but anytime I try and bring it up to anyone they don't know what I'm talking about
about.
Yeah.
Our, our, our moment is I see a meme starting to grow.
Yeah.
And I tell you, I make the call to you.
Yeah, yeah.
And then we just kind of bet on it, basically.
But even those, it's very hard for them to break out to such a degree that you can bring
it up to anyone, your little nephew or your, you know, uncle.
And they both have an understanding like they did during the Titanic era, like they did
during the Godfather era, like they did during Star Wars, which is at the, at the
center of this story because the Mandalorian and Grogu is the latest Star Wars project,
and it's actually been declining in the box office. It's been eclipsed, and there's been three
movies that have been really, really breakout performances. So also, the Oscars are going to be
streamed on YouTube in 2029. It feels like by 2029, this whole trend is going to be in full
force. So look at the stats. So Kane Parsons backrooms opened to roughly 81.5 million
in North America and 115 million worldwide on a $10 million budget reportedly.
Curry Barker's obsession climbed, is climbing in his third weekend and hit $104.7 million domestic,
becoming focused features, highest grossing domestic release from a movie widely reported
to have cost around $1 million.
That seems really really now.
Right now on X every single day, there's a post that goes viral about obsessions return on
their budget. They're like this million dollar film. Yeah. You know, it's just happening over and over
and over. Yeah. And then, and so like the business story, to me, is like way more, I mean, is everything.
Definitely, definitely. And then we also talked about this earlier, and it's sort of looped in with this,
but Markiplier, another YouTuber, released Iron Lung, which he financed himself $3 million production
budget reportedly, and opened to $18.2 million domestically before grossing 41.1 million domestic
like 51.2 million worldwide, huge return on investment.
And so it's easy to point to these as sort of the story is a YouTuber with a big audience
just converts that audience into ticket sales.
But that's not exactly, it's not really that clean.
And there's a bunch of counter examples.
So are you familiar with Ryan's World?
Ryan's World is this massive kids YouTube channel.
Oh, is that like a toy boxing?
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Ryan would unbox toys.
and it became a huge, huge channel.
And they actually made Ryan's World, the movie, Titan Universe Adventure,
but it grossed only $624,000 on something like a $10 million budget.
And so he wasn't able to convert that audience directly over.
And I think with someone like Ryan Young...
Was he encouraging children to take their parents' keys and wallet
and just go down to the movie theater?
Because that's part of the issue with these channels and monetizing them is there's somewhat of a,
there's a disconnect between the audience and who the actual buyer is, the person that controls purchasing power in the household.
So you might have like an eight-year-old kid who loves these videos, but anytime they actually want to act on the content, they have to.
There's a translation step.
Sometimes that can work, though.
You know, you see the advertisements of the toy on the cereal box and the kids do.
man, the toy. Daniel says ads back. The world is healing. Let's hear an ad. Okay, Shopify. Shopify is the
commerce platform that grows of your business and lets you sell in seconds online, in store, on mobile,
on social, on marketplaces, and now with AI agents. Thank you everybody. Okay, so, uh, what is
different about backrooms, obsession and iron lung is that the filmmakers had, they'd shown,
they didn't just have huge audiences. Like some of these, marketiplier is a truly large creator,
but the folks behind backrooms and obsession are in like the single digit millions.
Alone, if they didn't have the creativity, if they didn't have the risk-taking abilities
to actually produce something that could sort of, you know, draw attention in theaters,
I don't think they could have just converted their subscribers over, like the conversion rates just
don't match up because if you're on one million subscribers and you did 100 million in box office,
the math just doesn't match up.
Did all of your subscribers go see it five times
and pay $20 each time? No way.
Like that's not what happened.
Yeah.
So this, like the idea of like this creativity,
risk-taking new IP, this is like at the core
of Hollywood successes.
I was reading the Hollywood reporter.
They were saying like this harkens back to like the 1970s,
George Lucas's first film.
Ben Thompson has a great analysis that we can read through.
But these creators aren't just big influencers
with millions of fans.
They do have big audiences,
but they also stand above their peers
in terms of artistic vision.
So Curry Barker had a YouTube sketch channel
called That's a bad idea where he learned
how to quickly and effectively write,
act, and edit for a tight audience feedback loop.
Backrooms has a similar story.
Kane Parsons, who goes by Kane Pixels,
produced his original series,
The Backrooms, in Blender and After Effects.
And the internet myth had laid a bit of the ground work,
and we can go into some of the lore of backrooms.
It's a very fascinating story.
It all started with like a single image of a furniture store that was being renovated at the time.
And that picture just went viral and went and just like kept building lore and became one of these like creepy pastas.
And then eventually, you know, turned into his YouTube series, which turned into this film.
And it's one of these like very interesting like origin story behind a piece of intellectual property.
Typically, you don't see just a random image go viral and become a movie,
let alone a successful movie.
But here we are.
And so Markiplier, he did have an objectively huge audience, as I said,
but he still went full stack when he was producing Iron Lung.
He even talked about building a server rack in his bathroom
so that he could render VFX shots on a faster turnaround.
He had a VFX studio, but he was taking too long to go back and forth.
And so he bracked a whole bunch of servers and had a big electricity bill and put 220 volt outlets like it's an electric car charger in his bathroom, all so that he could render like the blood splashing in his film on a faster turnaround.
And so this is sort of like this, like the YouTube feels like creating on YouTube feels like a way to attract an audience, but it also feels like a way to demonstrate your, do sort of like a talent audition as like a full stack creator.
Like I understand the color grade, the vibe, the sound design, and I can have opinions on all of that when I go into production.
So it's an easier project to underwrite if you need that.
Markiplier was able to fund it himself, but the other folks did have partners on their projects.
Being able to create something engaging for social media virality is probably somewhat important to creating a film that works in theaters.
I think there is some stuff that translates.
We're seeing this with the sort of like YouTubeification or retention editing on Netflix.
but I think the bigger value is being like a full stack filmmaker.
So gone are the days of showing up to Hollywood with a manuscript and just expecting the studio to do the rest for you.
I think that the traditionally segmented teams on productions are simply too expensive to be deployed on anything but existing IP.
So the dedicated writer, the dedicated cinematographer, the dedicated sound designer, that'll show up for the Mandalorian and Grogu because they know that there's a certain amount of people that will just see every single single.
Star Wars movie, but to take a risk on new IP from a new creator, you have to understand
that that creator is going to be able to leave their fingerprints and actually drive every piece
of the production. Yeah, how do you think the big studio execs are processing, you know,
these two films? Because you would think, okay, movies are a hits-driven business. If you have
$100 million budget, like thinking about it, like if you're an early-stage investor, like super
early stage seed series A, and you have $100 million to invest.
Like, sometimes the best move would be putting $100 million into one team.
But there's a reason that people say, like, hey, we're going to make 20 to 30 investments across this fund, maybe more, depending on the strategy.
They're doing a lot more $10 million films.
Yeah.
And so it feels like it makes so much sense because one film can generate the entire fund returner.
It can be a fund returner.
But at the same time, is it studio exactly?
that just love the rush of just like doing a big deal, right?
Oh.
Is there some not like not basically like direct financial incentive where like there's just something like the status associated with putting together like a blockbuster?
I don't know.
I think, I do think we will see more $10 million films, more lower budget films.
But I don't know.
It feels like there's definitely a certain breed of Hollywood.
executive that their their whole skill set is aligned to how can we put a hundred million,
200 million to work and actually guarantee a return on that. So they're going to be working on
the avatars and the Marvel movies and the DC movies and the Harry Potter movies. But for the
next generation, that track feels like very much bought in. So there are already more of these
sort of like YouTube adaptations in the works. One is from Wesley.
Wang, who went viral for interestingly obsession in backrooms are both horror films, which are
notorious for being cheap to produce and potentially very high return. He went viral for a non-horror
YouTube short called Nothing Except Everything. TriStar picked it up with Darren Aravnovsky's
protozoa producing, and Wang set to adapt it as writer-director. And then there's also the much
sillier but extremely viral Skibbitty Toilet, which was created by Alexei Gerasimov in 20,
23 and that project has been going back and forth, but reportedly Michael Bay was attached at one point.
They were thinking maybe TV show, maybe movie, but as silly as that sounds and as ridiculous as
that series is, it did build like a little bit of a lower world. It captured a lot of people's
fascinations and the numbers are really staggering. There is a little bit more nuance there because
on the IP side, because it was created in source filmmaker, which is basically a
like Half-Life or Counter-Strike.
So you design the level, and then you can move the camera around through that.
He didn't use Blender, and he didn't shoot it with a camera.
He actually made the whole series in a video game.
And a lot of the assets pull from Half-Life 2 or Counter-Strike Source.
And so if you want to maintain that, you have to go do a deal with Valve,
which, you know, is a private company owned by Gabe Newell.
It doesn't necessarily need to just allow someone to do this,
and there's already been back-and-forth on, like, take-down notices.
So that's a whole different negotiation if that winds up making it to the silver screen.
But I do think there will be more unpredictable breakouts in the coming years.
And I wouldn't be surprised if we see Hollywood executives combing through obscure YouTube
playlist for new gems.
Let me tell you about CrowdStrike.
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And some members of our production team saw both backgrounds and obsession.
And I want to get some reviews.
What do you guys think?
Which one was better?
Take us through it.
My vote's obsession.
Obsession.
Scott, what did you think?
Obsession.
Okay.
And what did you like about each one?
What did you dislike about each one?
So, obsession was great.
It felt like, I feel like the,
filmmakers had gotten too good at making horror movies sometimes recently.
Like this, like, Ari Aster type wave.
I remember leaving midsummer and just feeling like, like, gross for, like, days.
And I felt like obsession, like walked it back a little bit, and it was a bit of a comedy, too.
So it was fun.
Okay. That's good.
I felt like the memes are all over it, which is great.
Yeah. Backrooms. We all kind of walked out. I love backrooms. Production design should win an award,
but something was missing from the movie, I think. Apparently they built 30,000 square feet of
actual set for backrooms. They really designed it. As you said, the production design was
fantastic. And that feels like, I mean, the source material is literally in Blender. It would be so
tempting just to be like, yeah, just send us the blender files. Like, we'll just continue using,
like, you're already working in CGI. Like, it's not like, oh, this isn't,
true to the source material. Like, it's actually less true to go build the set. But they did. And
clearly, uh, you enjoyed that look and feel and sort of worked out. Yeah, I thought it was really fun.
Scott Scott something. I want to shout out Haley Johnson who produced obsession to. She went
to her film school. Uh, fantastic. Um, let's go over to Ben Thompson. Your guys is,
your guys is class at your film school, which I think no longer exists. Truly, truly,
truly insane caliber of talent to come out of that school. So well done. So, well done. So,
Ben Thompson reflected on this as well. He was taking this victory lap on calling this in 2017. He said in 2017, when the first public allegations were made against Hollywood producer Harvey Weinstein, I wrote goodbye gatekeepers about how the traditional structure of Hollywood, where the supply of people who wanted to make and be in movies far exceeded the demand for movies to be made by Hollywood, created the conditions for his predation. So he had a lot of power. As he noted in the
the article, similar structure, used to be the case in newspapers, which not only gated what news
was reported, but also leveraged that gate to monetize via advertising. However, the internet had long
since broken down the gate in both regards. Meanwhile, I raised the specter of something similar
happening to movies. Don't forget YouTube. Video is a zero-sum activity. Time spent watching one
source of video is time spent not watching another. And YouTube showed over a billion hours
of video every day in 2016. With two phones. Watching two things?
wheels on both phones.
Yeah.
Subway surfers.
Yeah.
Just going like this.
Well, if you have VR, you can have way more screens open.
You can.
Because you can just.
You can't.
When is Subway Surfer is getting an adaptation?
That feels like that's due for a trilogy.
Subway servers, the movie?
I think we got something.
Are they,
we cannot be the first people to think of Subway Servers.
Angry Birds is like a, you know.
Oh, yeah.
They're making a third one or four.
No, but I want it to be a movie where you're just like,
you know, on.
You're basically just going one direction.
No, it has to be a gritty horror film that takes place in the subway server's universe.
So Ben Thompson continues.
He says,
it's not a surprise that the breakthrough moment for YouTube stars in film took nearly a decade to materialize after that article.
I've long noted the sequence through which the internet and digital media has affected media.
Text first, then music, then short form video, etc.
Movies, the pinnacle of traditional media are the hardest to both make and distribute,
particularly if the goal is to make it into theaters.
And of course, movies ask the most of customers in return.
They actually have to leave the house.
It's also notable I've been seeing more creators basically produce movies.
Like Johnny Harris, a video essayist, talks about geopolitics
and breaks down history of the Middle East, history of Europe,
and history of China, Taiwan.
And his last few videos have been two hours long,
which is just a movie.
He's just making an actual documentary.
It used to be there was a 20-minute,
cut off. Well, it used to be like eight, 10 minutes because of the ad breaks. You'd want two ads in
there. Then people sort of went to 20, 30 minutes because of watch time. But...
Yeah, and the only other difference is I feel like if somebody's making a documentary or
film, they'll do more, maybe walk and talks, things like that. Whereas I feel like the classic
like YouTube video is just like thinking about your YouTube videos, right? You're just set up like
in an office, like talking to the camera. But just that slight difference makes what makes it
like way more like a film. Yeah, totally. There is an interesting way where you can you can
pretty easily rotate from video essay scripted long form, get just write the script longer and longer.
I put out video essays that have been over an hour to go do a bunch of interviews, get them to say
some things, weave those in and then do some sort of like walk and talk at the beginning.
And you can have like a low budget documentary very, very easily with just a few shoot days.
And I think a lot of people are moving towards this, but it's just been interesting that YouTube has sort of found its footing in delivering a two-hour video.
And I think a lot of that has to do with how the algorithm surfaces content at certain moments in time and then also resurfaces moments.
So for a two-hour video, they know that they're going to need to give you like a couple shots on goal to show it as a thumbnail.
And then also if you click on it and you watch 10 minutes and then you close your phone and you go do something else, they know that that's not necessarily means that it doesn't necessarily.
mean that you were unsatisfied with the video and they will say, hey, do you want to keep
watching that? And so all of that has been algorithmic changes that make a two-hour video
work a little bit better on YouTube, which is more of a casual world. So Ben Thompson continues,
he says that leads to two true but ultimately unsatisfying answers as to why YouTube stars might
succeed in movies. First is that they is that this is simply a new place to discover talent.
and that's certainly true.
The analogy I would draw is to the impact of AWS head on venture capital.
Cloud computing reduced the cost of starting a company to nothing more than the opportunity cost for the founder's time
and perhaps a bit of seed funding for a few engineers,
and that created an entirely new asset class of angel investors.
Venture firms, meanwhile, didn't evaluate companies based on a power point to fund Sun servers,
but rather on actual products and market signals.
So it is with this new wave of talent, the cost of production has plummeted,
such that a creator can be evaluated on their creations,
not just their ideas.
That's what I was talking about,
the audition,
the YouTube growth
and the YouTube product
and the YouTube series
that gets 82 million views
in the example of backrooms.
Like that is the audition tape
that gets you the production workforce
behind Hollywood
to actually marshal behind you.
And that's the same thing with,
you know, the startup that shows up
on Sand Hill Road,
raising a series A
that already has a product
and some distribution
and some customers and ARR.
And all of that
as possible because you don't need $10 million to do a single prototype.
You can just build it.
More true than ever in the age of AI.
The second true but unsatisfying answer is that YouTube creators can bring their own audience.
That's almost certainly true.
Kane Parsons, who made backrooms, has 3.2 million subscribers, which feels low based on how
big backrooms is.
But that's the nature of these videos that go viral.
They don't always all convert to actual subscribers.
Curry Barker who made obsession has 1.2 million subscribers again on that comedy channel and then
Mark Fishback who made Iron Lung, Mark Plyer has 38.7 million subscribers, huge account from years of
streaming and he purposely leveraged that to get distribution. Bloomberg sort of broke it down.
He was set to release his $3 million film Iron Lung in 60 independent cinemas.
Fishback led a grassroots campaign encouraging his followers to phone up local theaters and request
iron lung screenings. This is something that a lot of people say in like CPG, like, oh,
fill out this form, request me in heroin or whole foods, but it's usually really,
really hard to get someone to actually do that because the conversion rate might be like
0.001%. But if you have 40 million people that are, you know, loosely entertained by you,
and you get, you know, a fraction of a percent to them to actually do it.
10,000 people who really, really, really care. Yeah, yeah, yeah. I mean, you talk about a thousand true
fans. He probably has a million true fans out of that 40 million that are subscribing. Yeah, but then
you have one percent of those actually are. That's still 10,000 phone calls. It's a lot. And so the
film was ultimately picked up by major chains, including AMC, which has been on a tear. Amc said that
this weekend was the highest ticket sales that they've had in years. And I think the stock is up.
20 percent today. The stock is up 20 percent. Yeah, 100 billion dollar company.
100, what? What? No, no, no, no. It's a one billion dollar company.
Yeah, they put some data centers in the theaters, I guess.
Regal Entertainment Group and Cinema Holdings also.
They set it up.
So if you rock, if you rock in your chair, you get a free film, you get a free film.
They capture the energy.
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So the unsatisfying aspect that Ben Thompson's referring.
to is best understood through the lens of the movie backrooms and obsession finished ahead of
from variety so they talk he talks about the mandolorean and grogou which we mentioned and he calls back
to george lucas his original film uh so his initial claim to fame was american graffiti which made
over two hundred million dollars on a seven hundred and seventy seven thousand dollar budget that's a
crazy r oi over two hundred x return on investment for american graffiti the success gave
him the support to make Star Wars.
How do,
Ben, Scott,
how do films actually get funded?
I've been, I've been pitched,
like invest in my movie before,
but given that I don't watch movies,
I didn't feel like it was really my strike zone,
but how does it typically get structured?
Like if a film needs a million dollar budget,
like are the investors getting,
like an independent film needs a million dollar budget?
Yeah.
How does equity work?
Any rough ideas?
Typically, there's a series of buyers and investors.
Sorry, I'm distracting you guys from running the show.
Very similar to...
We'll do it live.
Scott's job is a change.
Oftentimes, a screenwriter will sell an option to make a movie to a producer.
Some sort of production team.
They are, the production company is oftentimes the investor.
They buy it.
And then they might invest more money to bring on
revisions, other script writers.
They might attach a,
they might go pitch a,
do the deal to bring on a star,
and then from there they go to another producer.
And then the last time,
the last moment is the actual like marketing phase.
And so those dollars are the biggest.
So when you go and you get Universal or Disney
to be the distributor,
they're putting in a ton of money
because they're going to buy the billboards
and like the Super Bowl ads.
And that's really expensive.
The movie has to be made at that point.
But there's a series of,
of sort of gates in the typical Hollywood fashion.
And so when Markiplier says he spent $3 million,
that means he spent $3 million paying the actors.
Yeah, because even with obsession,
I was seeing Obsession billboards everywhere around LA.
Yeah.
Like at least a million dollar campaign,
right when the videos were coming out saying,
like, obsession just turned 750K and $100 million.
And so I was like, well, just doesn't make sense.
So a lot of times that might happen after the fact.
Yeah, that's an after there's more money being spent to like, you know, it's like, hey, we have a hit now.
Let's like.
And then basically at every phase, there can be sort of an in-kind investment where you, they call it like points on the back end, basically.
But it's basically like the most famous example of this is probably Robert Downey Jr. in Ironman.
He took a very low salary up front, cash up front, but he got a huge stake in the downstream cash was from that series.
You're saying he's goaded?
He's goaded. He's actually goaded. I think he made hundreds of millions of dollars off of the Marvel franchise that came from that. And there is a world where he would have said, no, I want only cash up front. You're going to have to pay me a ton. And then a production team has to come in. They put the money in. They get the equity. And then they get that on the back.
So now that Curry has this insane hit. Yep. He can make a Star Wars. Are people going to come to him and say, like, I want to basically buy your next five film?
kind of thing.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Multi-film deal
or it depends on what he's pitching.
Like he could,
like somebody could just come to come to him
with something very open-ended.
They could come with him to something narrow.
Maybe he's already working on something.
Has a script,
has an idea and then wants to get that,
you know,
made or locked up or maybe he wants to be,
it's also possible he gets brought on
as someone to adapt something else.
So they say, hey,
we already have this IP.
Maybe we want to bring back scream
and we would want for you to do it.
it. He's actually, he actually is doing the next Texas chainsaw. There you go. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah,
with A24. Wait, Curry is? Yeah. Yeah, so he, generational run. There you got a
of obsession. He got his next feature, which is called anything but ghosts. Okay. And then from that,
he hopped on with A24 to do the next Texas chainsaw. So he's already got stuff. Which has already been
remade a few times, but it's, but, but, but it's established intellectual property and bringing him
on sort of, you know, de-risks in some ways, but it also just brings some fresh energy to that
that IP where whoever did the first Texas chainsaw or the reboot, maybe they're doing something
else or maybe the studio wants to take a different direction.
And so they license that IP because Texas Chainsaw Massacre is not like a, it's not an A24
property from day one, but at this point they went and got the rights and then they got the
director and then they put them together.
And so it's all a package deal.
Anyway, Ben Thompson's blackpilling on Star Wars.
He says, it turns out, however, that actually making good movies still matters.
A late Gen Xer like me who saw, who as a teenager saw the Phantom Menace twice in its opening weekend.
So excited was I by the return of Star Wars and did not, and did the same for the Force Awakens,
has basically no interest in the Mandalorian and Grogu?
Has anyone in the studio seen the Mandalorian and Grogu?
No one?
No one's into it.
It's not what I'm looking for.
I'm looking for Andor.
That was more my speed.
And he agrees.
He says, I'm clearly not alone.
It's been clear for a while now that all the things that Disney worries about when making a Star Wars film or TV series actually making a good has not been one of them brutal
The thing that's the thing with the IP-based business model however Disney seems to have assumed that because they control distribution
Thanks to the massive consolidation of movie studios over the past years that they could shove whatever supply they wanted through the tubes and audiences would slurp it up because they had no other choice
This is the exact opposite of YouTube specifically and
And the internet generally.
On the internet, distribution is free.
Anyone can set up a website or start a YouTube account, and they can post whatever they want.
The content that breaks through has to do so on its own merits.
It is good and is it good and compelling, or is it not?
If it is, it gets more and more views.
That's what the algorithm does.
It is respond to an amplify interest.
And if it's not, like, 99.99% of YouTube content, it's barely seen by anyone.
In short, the reason these movies are successful is not just because their makers were spotted by powerful,
producers or because they brought their own fans. I agree with this. It's not enough just to bring
their own fans. It's because the necessary precondition for those two things happening is actually
becoming popular on pure merit. It's a more merit-based system. These movies are successful
because their makers are good, and we know they're good because they're successful on YouTube.
No, that doesn't mean everyone on YouTube is good. Indeed, that's the entire point. There's no
quality bar to get onto YouTube, which means the quality bar to get noticed on YouTube is much higher
than any gate. Indeed, as much as Hollywood types might look down on YouTubers, it's the latter
who are far more impressive, at least if the goal is actually trying to make something that resonates.
Very good. Very, very, very fun. Anyway, let me tell you about Figma. Agents, meet the canvas. Your
AI agents can now create, modify your Figma files with design system, context. Go check it out at
figma.com. Famously not dead. Still cooking. Sasspocalypse is over. We'll get to that.
later in the show. Not a car, either. Not a car. No one's a car. Did you see the new George Lucas
Museum cinema? I thought this was interesting that this was going viral at the same time or it
launched at the same time. It's sort of a turning over. Makes me want to throw on a tux. Yes,
it looks very cool. Apparently a billion dollars to make this, a billion dollar investment in
this whole facility, the George Lucas Museum cinema opening in September. This looks absolutely
amazing. All through the course of a normal day, one will screen documentaries about artists and
filmmakers while the other one shows short films, some only a few minutes long. It's in Los Angeles.
If you're coming by the TBPN Ultradome, make a stop at the George Lucas Museum cinema.
Very, very cool. There's also a cool video here of the history of liminal spaces. We should pull up
because backrooms, of course, is pulling from a lot of interesting videos. Let's play this. Can we zoom in?
this at all? There we go. Truman Show? Haven't seen it? I've seen it. It's great. I can't believe
if you've ever seen Truman Show. It's so good. Should we get some liminal spaces here in the Ultradome?
The Ultramome is a little bit of a liminal space. We should make it more of a liminal space.
There are some podcasters that have liminal space type setups. Unbox therapy is a famous one.
You guys haven't seen it, but do you know like the tape on the wall? Do you know what that is?
No. What's that? Okay. I mean, I guess no spoilers, but.
Oh, okay.
Yeah.
We can put tape on the wall.
People have seen it.
We'll know what that means.
That's a very cool shot.
The shining.
The shining, I never put the shining in the same bucket as this.
It follows.
That's a good horror film.
That's a great one.
Very cool.
Anyway, we can just vibe out to limit all spaces for the rest of the show.
Let's see what Dan Shipper has to say.
This will happen to...
A shippinator?
With AI in about a decade.
Studio executives and producers are racing to find movie material and corners of the internet they once dismissed as some of the greatest threats to their business from YouTube to anime to video games
We talked about subway servers
We're seeing the tide shift from these more conventional Hollywood narratives to something that feels more organic
Ooh all the simulators maybe there will be data center simulator the movie
Can you imagine? We got data center simulator
Or what was the other one coconut simulator? We got to get coconut simulator? You got to get coconut simulator? We got to get coconut simulator
in the movie.
Realistic mode.
Capy Barra Simulator, the movie.
That's just a nature documentary.
Get David Attenborough in there.
You're done.
You're good.
Very interesting.
Well, Cherney and Entertainment to finance this.
David Attenborough narrating
gameplay from
Capy Barra simulator.
Ooh. I think that, I think we got a hit on our hands.
Call A24.
They're ready.
Well, Bernie Sanders is
talking about taking a stake
in the AI labs. He says AI is built on humanity's collective knowledge. The wealth, it
generates, must benefit humanity, not just Elon Ma, Sam Altman, or other AI oligarchs.
That's why I'll be introducing the American AI sovereign wealth fund act to give the public
a direct ownership stake. And he penned a full op-ed in the New York Times, a guest essay.
I need to confirm my account if I want to log into this. But we can see the
I think I subscribe to my phone, and so it doesn't sync with my Chrome installation.
I don't know.
Let's see.
Andrew Curran is highlighting it.
This is rough.
Senator Bernie Sanders is proposing a one-time 50% tax directly in stock from the AI labs,
which will be used to fund the American AI sovereign wealth fund.
This would give the government voting rights and board seats and then directly pay a dividend to the American citizens.
That's interesting because...
So you take it 50% and like when would these companies actually produce a dividend?
I mean, it takes many tech companies, like decades, to actually return cash to shareholders.
They're known for stock buybacks or...
Maybe he wants to just be fire selling.
Yeah.
After the IPOs.
He's just like, this is the top.
I didn't tell you how there was going to be a dividend.
Dividend in sales.
No, it's, I mean, the positioning, I'm trying to get into the New York.
to my New York Times account too, but the positioning,
blank is built on humanity's collective knowledge.
What is not built on humanity's collective knowledge?
Yeah, I was looking at a lot of the bio.
TBPN is built on humanity's collective knowledge.
True, it's true.
If humanity hadn't figured out wheels and roads and combustion engines.
Hey, be careful what you say.
The United States American citizens might own 50% of TBPN soon.
You never know with this.
never know. You just never know. You're trying to pay here. But, uh, bad example. But yeah,
the, the other thing is, um, you know, we, we have. Yeah, AI 2027 talks about this. I think that's a,
it is, it is, it is right in line. He's clearly in the milieu of that crew. And, uh, we'll see,
we'll see, we'll see. Um, it's, uh, a lot of people are sort of framing it as
rather have universal basic tokens. Hmm. Maybe that would be the dividend.
I don't know.
He says...
But it's interesting.
So he's trying to ban data centers with the data center moratorium.
Yes.
Act.
Yes.
But then he also wants half.
Yeah.
Those two things feel like, like it feels like he's just kind of throwing stuff at the wall.
Yeah.
So Dean Ball pointed out this sort of like, you know, misalignment here.
He says, I am so confused by the Bernie Sanders stance on AI.
Is AI an existential risk that needs to be bad?
band or a public good that should be redistributed. He wants to have it both ways, which is the tell
that his flirtation with AI safety is mostly for show. This is about capital. Interesting.
At the same time, I think that there is a world where if you do think AI is an existential risk,
having a board seat, having control, having votes over that does enable, especially if you have
a board seat over every AI lab, you could actually do.
the thing where you say we're all going to slow down simultaneously. That's a lot easier to
implement if you have 50% control over everything. Tyler, what do you do? Yeah, but you can just
do like the AI FDA. Yeah, yeah. You don't need like actual equity. Yeah. Okay, this is my kind
of contrarian take. Okay. But this seems like extremely bullish, right? Because Bernie, you don't
think of him as being this kind of classically capitalist person. Yeah. But implicitly say maybe
classically communist. He's saying that the stock's underrated. Yeah. He's saying that these are
going to be the biggest. Yeah. Because of all the stocks were going to zero.
So beg that this is going to be like disruptive to the economy.
Sure.
Like this seems like he's extremely AGI-I-pilled.
It seems like it.
Yeah.
It's like this seems like he's basically saying,
wait, so, yeah.
The data center stuff is like probably not going to work out.
I'm not going to be able to ban these things.
Yeah.
Mark in the chat says, Mr. Sanders is your crazy uncle that your mom and dad
uses a babysitter when there are no other options.
Interesting.
Let me tell you about Railway.
Railway is the all-in-one intelligent cloud provider.
Use your favorite agent to deploy web apps, servers, databases, and more,
while Railway automatically takes care of scaling, monitoring, and security.
Another Mark in the chat says my wife wants me to tell you guys that I'm so loyal
that even laying on the beach with her, I can't leave the boys.
Mark is on vacation tuning into TV again.
Say hello to everyone for us.
We hope you're enjoying the sun.
Mark, and thanks for being with it.
Thanks for tuning in.
So my question is, I mean, obviously this is a New York Times.
I know what you're going to say. You think that Bernie has been getting his AI takes from Jason Oppen.
I'm not going there yet. We'll get there. But first off, I mean, the big news today, Anthropic is confidentially filed for IPO. They should be out. SpaceX is going public. Google's public.
Open AI. There's rumors of an IPO file. Yeah. And that's what that's what gets really crazy here, right? Because is Google, Google is a leading lab?
For sure. Does Bernie?
Bernie want.
But then, yeah, but then is, is Salesforce an AI company?
Is meta?
Is meta?
I mean, Mark, Mark would be, we were talking about this earlier.
Mark would quickly be like, me?
Try to build personal super?
I'm not an AI company.
I'm not an AI lab.
I'm not an AI lab.
I'm just doing some experiments.
I got these GPUs to recommend better videos to you.
It's just recommendations.
He's going to take half of all birds.
Oh, no.
He's going to take half of all birds.
But seriously.
how deep does he go down the stack? I mean, Intel, like, Trump already took a 10%
Zeta. Invita. Invita? Invita makes a lot of sense. Vida is the American open source hero.
But what about Microsoft? Like, Microsoft doesn't have, like, they have a huge partnership
with Open AI. They don't have a frontier foundation model, but they're definitely like a front
door to a lot of AI services with co-pilot, and they're vending these tools in everywhere.
And so there's just a whole, like Amazon, I heard Amazon Rufus for AI shopping.
The Rufiner.
surprisingly effective. It's working very well. Like this is an AI assistant that's powered by other models under the hoods.
It doesn't need to be the most aggressive myth, those 5.5 pro.
Like, you know, it doesn't need to be the frontier, but it's actually working and customers are using it.
Same thing with Sparky at Walmart.
And so is Walmart an AI company now?
Like, the definition around this will be hotly debated.
But of course, you don't want to get too over your skis here because this is just an op-ed.
It's not in legislation.
It's to provoke thoughts.
Well, if the argument is that basically if something is built on humanity's collective knowledge,
the government should get half.
Yeah.
You can go pretty far here.
Pretty much everything in our modern world
is built on humanity's collective knowledge.
Yeah.
And so, yeah, I think everybody should get ready to...
I mean, even your own home, right?
Your own home is built on...
Who invented the nail?
Somebody invented the two by four.
Exactly.
Yeah.
No, you can go all over the place of it.
Cutting down trees.
Yes.
So maybe it ends with some sort of tax
on corporate profits for every company that makes.
Yeah, tax on corporate profits would be.
If a company makes money, they have to send some of it to the government.
That would be.
Why is no one thought of this, John?
I don't know.
I don't know.
Take this to D.C. right now.
Okay.
Let me tell you about console.
Console builds AI agents that automate 70% of ITHR and finance support,
giving employees instant resolution for access requests and password resets.
So there's a hot debate.
Apollo's chief economist says there's zero evidence of
AI-related job losses. And this went viral. Torsten, Sloc, the partner and chief economist,
has zero evidence of AI-related job losses. He says, weekly ADP employment data, there's zero
evidence of job loss. Instead, many firms are hiring AI implementation experts, and the data
center billed out is putting upward pressure on salaries for AI experts. And on prices of
semiconductors' equipment and energy, the bottom line is that AI spending boom. The AI spending boom is
stoking both employment and inflation. As a result, non-farm payrolls for May could come in,
significantly higher than the 95,000 expected by consensus. This is Jevin's paradox playing out in real time.
Cheaper technology is creating more demand for more jobs. And he has a chart there. And you can see
ADP is in a really strong position. It looks great. It's really good. There is more nuance here because
if you dig into this, what's actually driving the hiring boom is healthcare. And the AI affected
areas, there's not a massive wave of layoffs that's happening broadly. We're seeing layoffs at
different tech companies, but broadly, like white-collar work is not going through a massive
unemployment spike, but the employment spike that we're seeing, the upward trend in ADP
weekly employment, is still driven mostly by health care jobs. And so I don't know how much
you can actually say Jevin's paradox in real time. Maybe you can in the sense that
You know, asset prices are going up.
There isn't wide, broad unemployment, so there's more justification in hiring more in the
healthcare sector.
But this felt like maybe a little bit too soon to take a victory lap on this.
I'm not exactly sure.
It's certainly a better place to be than seeing unemployment go up.
We want to see lots of hiring.
We want to see a low unemployment rate.
And that's what we're seeing, which is great.
But it is soon.
It is early, and we're just getting to start to implement these tools, and there's still risk all over the place.
Maybe not as much risk as what Jason Oppenheim thinks, though, because he went on the ice coffee hour and made an audacious claim about job displacement, pinning it at 80% of people out of the workforce, 80% unemployment.
We can play this clip from the ice coffee hour.
There won't be any work.
I disagree with Kevin.
There won't be any work.
I think we'll have 80% of people out of the workforce that we know of today
and into the things that I talked about.
So I think what we have to do is start creating showing
and creating value for those things,
start ascribing value to family and to hobbies
and to sport and to relationships more,
and it has to be less about work.
So I hear a lot of my things,
and you guys are real estate people in the eyes of the viewer,
what gives you guys credibility to talk about AI?
Fair question. I would say that I've spent probably 500 hours listening and reading a lot of podcasts.
Did the homework.
I think it's the quintessential intellectual pursuit of the last two years of my life.
Called David's Sotomay. Listening to podcasts is the quintessential intellectual pursuit.
Jeremy could have fought on suicide watch. Tyler, you had something?
Yeah, just for some context. So in the peak of the Great Depression, unemployment was 24.9.
And he's saying 80%.
Okay, so three times, four times the Great Depression is what we're looking at with AI.
Yeah, it's just, it's so, it's so funny to listen to, to go and just like listen to a bunch of podcasts and come back with, with the 80% number.
It's wild.
Because you also have to, you would have to qualify that.
Like, what, what set of technologies actually enable that?
Because you certainly would need, like, you know, highly effective, efficient humanoid robots, you know, fully deployed.
throughout society.
But yeah, I don't,
the strongest take we've seen yet.
Yeah.
So very concerning.
But this is a stronger take potentially.
Yeah, but this is the other side of it.
Sam Seleck revealed that 95% of jobs are safe from AI.
He said AI is a tool.
It won't replace discipline,
grit, or hard work.
How did this?
I made this.
I made this.
a fake quote. I sent this to John over the weekend. It looks very like the fact that it added the
little Instagram buttons makes it look way more legit to me. I know you made this but I still did
a double take. It's absolutely wild. Uh, so funny. Anyway, let me tell you about the New York Stock
Exchange. Want to change the world. Raise capital at the New York Stock Exchange. We're very happy
to be partners with the New York Stock Exchange. It's really going. Really going today. Man, thank you
to area area dot tech they produced all of our show graphics the kairon legends the intro they've
worked with us for a long time and they also activated my AI Siri for some reason I don't know why
that happened on my phone and my MacBook wow what a day sales force is on an absolute tear
we talked about the dueling narrative so entropic is IPOing or or they have they have
confidentially submitted a draft S1 registration state
to the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Pending completion of SEC review,
this gives us the option to pursue
an initial public offering.
There's a race between SpaceX,
Open AI, Anthropic, to get out,
hoover up those public market dollars.
Meanwhile, it was so over for all the SaaS companies,
but the SaaSpocalypse might be canceled.
That's what we're seeing.
A lot of companies are up.
Some of them are up on anthropic holdings,
but others are just up on continued traction
in their traditional business.
good. He invested 50 million into Anthropic, I think, in 2023 or 2024. Cheeky 100X?
Very cheeky, very cheeky. I think he's feeling good. He's now going to deploy two billion euros
into France. Love it. He has 1,800 employees in France. Wow. More committed than ever to
driving an event, innovation and agentic growth across the country. And I love this new meta.
I think this picture is this is the new, this is the new, this is the new,
vibreel meta.
Okay.
So anytime you do a business transaction,
snap a selfie with your business partner, post it.
You don't need to make a video with a bunch of, you know,
sort of videos throughout history of, you know,
hypersonic jets and rockets and things like that.
Just take a selfie, post it.
You're good to go.
Much more efficient.
Okay.
So.
And I'm dropping after this partnership, I just got to say,
we're canceling my personal beef with France.
Oh, that's great.
This is a fantastic progress.
Benioff won you over.
And, yeah, if they have Benioff's full faith, they have my full faith.
And already this $2 billion, I think, is significantly more than their previous investment
that they announced that created the original beef.
Yeah, yeah.
Beef squash.
It's good to see.
Good to see.
Well, Beniof gave some more context on Salesforce's progress, the fiscal year 27.
Q1 results. Record revenue, 11.13 billion, up 13% year over year. This is a very mature company, still growing very quickly. Very good news.
Operating cash flow of 6.7 billion. Agent force crossed 1 billion ARR.
Combined with Data 360 and Informatica, now at 3.4 billion in AI Data, ARR.
We're not just talking about the... Here.
We're not just talking about the agenetic future.
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34% non-dap operative version.
What is a sasperilla?
What's a sassparilla?
Sassparilla is a beverage.
It's like a Coca-Cola.
It's a drink that you get at a soda bar.
Sarsaparilla.
What?
Sasparilla.
Sasparela.
Sars.
I'm seeing...
Nostalgac soft drink.
You just call it Sasparilla.
I know it says Sarsperilla, but everyone pronounces it Sasparela, I think.
Anyway, nostalgic soft drink, herbal plant, native to the Americans, sweet, earthy flavor.
This is due for a comeback.
This feels like this would sell for $20 a bottle at Arawan, don't you think?
Absolutely.
I bet bringing back Sasporella?
Good business.
Somebody do the call area, call day job right now.
your branding packages and I think you got a winner if you bring back Sasparilla successfully.
Well, Mark Meneoff teased a little bit of the progress on our show, and we can play this
clip from him on TBPN, giving us a little bit of a view into the demand that Salesforce was
seeing, the growth that they were seeing in their business.
I wasn't really on the show at the beginning of the year, a year ago with you guys, but if I was,
what I would have said was, I'm not hiring more engineers in fiscal year, you know, 26, the year
it just passed. Because I was using coding agents and I was allowing the productivity from the
coding agent to give me the extra capacity that I needed for the year. And I didn't hire
more service agents in the year. I held it flat and then reduced it slightly because I'm using
service agents. But I did hire like almost 20 percent more salespeople.
Salespeople.
I think we talked about that because I need more capacity because we have more demand than ever.
Through every market from small, medium, large customers, you know, guys, I'm not.
like yourself who are like these great entrepreneurs, building a great business like TBPN,
really going all the way through it, you need a technical infrastructure around you to grow your
business. I know you use Slack, I know you use other products. And that's our job is to make you
successful. And to really bring in the apps and the agents. You can't do it just with an adage. Sales guy,
final boss. He's so good. Final boss. It is, it is, I think the pushback there would be,
well, you do sell customer service agents. Yeah. Don't sell coding agents.
But you are selling sales focused agents.
So basically you're getting so much efficiency in these other places that you don't need to hire more people.
But in the kind of category in which your primary products operate, he's not making the efficiency argument.
He's making the demand argument.
He's saying we have so much demand, we need more reps.
Yeah.
But he's selling a product that should be able to sort of meet that demand.
right?
Yes and no.
I mean, he's selling,
he's selling like a tool
that sits alongside a sales wrap.
If there's a booming economy,
more sales,
you would think that there's more people
that go into sales,
more people that need a Shopify,
or, sorry,
Salesforce like installation alongside them.
There's still a bull case there.
I mean, all the labs have Salesforce
admins and stuff.
We've seen this reported.
And there's certainly,
like so much of the diffusion
discussion is around actually meeting someone, having a human in the loop, having someone
alongside you as you implement these tools.
So you don't go over your token budget, token maxing.
Token maxing seems like a hairbrain scheme cooked up by an SDR.
Okay, go into Salesforce.
Agent Force.
What should I do?
Tell them to token max.
Tell them to create a leaderboard where they produce as many tokens as possible.
Like, okay.
Okay, Agent Force. Got it, buddy.
Did you know that Jensen was such a good dancer?
I had no idea. Do we have a video of this?
We do.
Okay, let's play this, and then we'll read Brandon Gerell's Deep Dive on Jensen's Compute Text 2026 keynote, which is being hotly debated.
Okay.
Look at this.
It's pretty good.
Look at this.
He's got it.
He's flowing.
Ooh, I like the swimming.
He's having fun.
He's got to be feeling pretty good this quarter.
Yeah.
You got to read into these, right?
Yeah.
I mean, we read into him doing the arm-linked, you know, chucking beers in Korea.
5.4 trillion up 6% today.
Wow.
Absolutely wild.
Where's he sitting on multiple?
Pop quiz.
What movie features a dance to this song?
Is it Polk?
It literally says it in the caption.
I don't know.
Sometimes you're so, you'd be like,
I don't know what those words mean.
That couldn't possibly be the answer to John question.
Hey, Jody, have you seen Pulp Fiction?
I have.
Oh, okay.
I have.
That's one of the five.
That's one of the five movies.
We're slowly discovering that there's more than five movies.
There's like 20.
It's a good time.
Anyway, let's go through what Brandon Grell summarized from Jensen Wong's Compute Text 2026,
keynote.
But, NVIDIA CEO made several announcements during his keynote speech at Computex, Taiwan's annual
Technology Expo.
I guess it's their CES, but more enterprise-focused even.
He introduced the RtX, the NVIDIA-R-TX spark super chip, an armed-based chip for PCs designed
to process AI workloads locally.
He announced that the Enterprise Vera Rubin CPU is now in full production, and he announced
several foundation models, a world model at Openweight flagship AI.
model, do we have a model card for that yet?
That seems like big news,
open weight flagship AI model.
We heard that he was investing billions of dollars in that,
but I think everyone's very interested to see where it benchmarks against the
5-5s, the, what is Anthropon 4-8 now,
and the 3-5s from Google.
Like the closed-source models have been on the frontier,
and there's been the chart showing that the open-source models from China
have been sort of decelerating, or they're just,
They're growing more linearly than the American closed source model.
So is there a gap there?
Where does NVIDIA fit in with their open weight model?
That's an interesting question.
And he also released a model specifically designed for humanoid robots.
A lot of the attention from the keynote came, is going to the RTX Spark,
which is being viewed as Microsoft's attempt to create its own Apple Silicon Moment,
and Microsoft coordinated its announcements of its new Surface laptop Ultra,
which will be optimized for RTX Spark and will be released
this fall. Can you play
crisis on it? Can you game on this thing?
Is that cool? Or is it
all about running agents locally? I wonder
what the demand for these local
agents on the desktop will be because
so many workloads
you just hand it off and you wait 20 minutes
and you come back. But there is
some value to being able to do at least like the
voice transcription locally, just all sorts of things.
Yeah, if you can do like tool calling, then
that basically gets you like most of the way there because then
all the hard things you can outsource well.
And then for like gaming, I'm still very excited
to see any of these like real-time video models used in gaming.
This seems like it'll be a thing you do with these like super nice.
We've got to get David Zuzuki back on the show to talk about Roblox and the real-time
upraising of Roblox games because I think that that's such an incredible technology.
I think it's going to be really popular, but it's going to take time for it to actually
roll out.
Anyway, there is a cutdown of Jensen's keynote that you can watch.
We linked it in the newsletter and we will go into that more later.
But we have our first guest from the New York Times.
He's a journalist Adam Isko just wrote a fantastic piece about prediction markets.
And he's here with us in the TVVN Ultram.
Adam, how you doing it?
With a slap wall.
Slat wall.
Ready to podcast.
Wait, is that a slat wall?
Or is that a virtual background?
What we got?
What we got?
It's real.
You think I'd do a virtual background on the young?
Thank you.
With the suit.
You look fantastic.
Bringing a slap wall and a suit.
You are ready to podcast.
Okay.
Are you in New York City?
I'm in New York City, long time listener, first time caller.
Thank you so much for the show.
Fantastic to have you.
Since this is the first time, and we do have some time to kind of unpack this,
I wanted to hear a little bit about your journey, your history, how you wound up at the New York Times,
where else you've written, the type of topics, how you describe your beat, your process,
just sort of give me the 101 on you, and then we can dive into a prediction market specifically.
Yeah, you know, at a party, if someone asks me, what the hell do you write about?
Are we allowed to curse on the show?
We don't.
We don't.
We don't.
We don't.
We don't.
We don't.
But you're welcome to you.
I'm surprised that New York Times would let you.
Are you allowed to drop profanity and the great lady?
I can tell he's a bit of a bad.
In the gray lady, bad boy.
It's been the great controversy with me working at the Times is that I spent the last
five years at the New Yorker.
Okay.
It's a magazine that it encourages profanity in the pageants.
But the times, you know.
A little more bites up.
Things are a little different there.
I've spent the last five years at the New Yorker writing about all kinds of things,
whether it's mental illness.
and homeless looks in New York City or it's like, you know, every year I read a story about a cool boat on the New York Harbor.
Cool.
You know, I'm just trying to like go interesting places and see interesting things.
What drew to the boat?
I got to know about the boat.
Yeah.
Because you brought it up?
Oh, well, I mean, you all ever see a shipping container ship?
Yeah.
Like, you ever want to get on one?
You ever been on one?
I don't think I've ever been on a shipping container ship.
But I have wanted to be on one.
I've been on an aircraft carrier.
That was very cool.
You've been on an aircraft carrier?
I've been on an aircraft carrier.
I went on the USS Carl Vincent as part of the Distinguished Visitor Program.
There's a program that you can sign up for.
You have to wait years and years and years unless you're actually famous.
And I had a friend who waited years and years and they slotted me in at the last second.
So I got to go with a lot of big Hollywood producers and stuff.
And they sort of give you the dog and pony show, let you sleep on the boat for two days, meet everyone.
Yeah, two days.
You're like at sea with them.
And you have no cell service.
They don't tell you where you are.
And you can kind of speculate, okay, well, we left from San Diego.
We're probably around Mexico.
But yeah, you get to watch the planes take off and land and they take you,
and they fly you off and stuff.
It's a wild experience.
We definitely knew where we were.
We were in the New York Harbor.
Okay.
We came under the Arizona Bridge.
Yeah.
It was great that the cargo was a miniature of the Statue of Liberty.
Oh, interesting.
It was a gift from the French government to us.
They gave us another one?
They gave us another one.
Wow.
They're just running it back.
Yeah, yeah.
And I wanted to get on the ship.
So I just sort of made some calls and I asked around and they were super psyched to have me on board.
That's awesome.
Yeah.
How do you think about sizing stories in that context?
Like when you're at the New Yorker over a couple of years, I imagine that there's shorter pieces, there's longer pieces.
Like how much is it just a conversation with your editors and the team on, okay, I actually have something here.
I need to go heads down on this for months and pull on this thread.
And there's a 70% chance.
It's great.
30% chance it goes nowhere.
Like, what is the process?
Because we have, like, the same show every day.
It's always, like, the same length.
We don't really ever get in the world where we're like,
we're going to do an eight-hour show, you know, next week,
but we're going to take a couple shows off.
Like, how do you think about sizing projects?
It's such a great question.
You know, it's like, if you're going to write about a used car auction in Brooklyn,
you know, that that piece is going to be 850 words.
You know, it's going to be a little, just like a little tasty morsel
for the reader to enjoy.
But if you want to do something where you're really,
trying to attribute to, you know, to society, to our culture, to, you know, then you need more
words to tell a deeper story, you know, and so, yeah, if I want to write about mental illness
and homelessness in New York City and have New York City be a sort of proxy for the nation,
then it's, yeah, we need 6,000 words, we need 10,000 words, which means I need six months
or a year to work on that project. Yeah. And then, of course, you know, because the New Yorker
the business, you know, you also need to be writing shorter stories a lot in the way while you're
spending here investigating something that's really sort of top-bable and important.
How did you first come into contact with prediction markets?
Oh, my gosh.
I mean, I don't know about y'all, but isn't, I don't know your friends, just like, you know,
degenerate gambling on sports or on all of these things?
For some reason, I actually don't know that many people that gamble on sports.
They are most active group chat.
No one has ever talked about a sports bet.
But they were very viral during the presidential election.
I remember maybe, what was it, three cycles ago, 2008, the Nate Silver, before the Silver Bulletin, the 538 dashboard.
Everyone was refreshing that constantly.
He famously called all 50 states correctly.
It was a bit of luck.
But those dashboards, the needles, all of that stuff sort of captures everyone's attention.
And during the last presidential election cycle, it felt like the prediction markets were really having a moment.
But I didn't actually know that many people that were actively betting on them one way or another.
It was more just a curiosity to say, oh, well, you know, that source might be biased or that source might be biased.
But, you know, at least if there's just money on both sides, maybe it's more neutral.
Maybe it will give me a stronger vision of the future.
And I think that's where a lot of people, a lot of the goodwill around prediction markets came from because it sort of told the story of,
the election somewhat more independently or more accurately.
And so I think they carried a lot of that goodwill into the sports betting that you're talking
about.
Yeah, I've always been, personally, I've been interested in the tension between if you're
just using prediction markets as a data source and like you're just logging onto a website
not even logged in, you kind of want people to be insider trading because that's going
to make all the data more accurate.
But the platforms, I'm not saying, like, generally that's good for society, but I'm just saying, like, if you just want to get an idea of what's going to happen in the future, if there's no insider trading happening, it just means that people are just purely just better. That's not true. That's not true. Because in the election, they could be doing like sophisticated research, things like that. But on some of these markets, like, for example, like the war markets around Venezuela, you were seeing like spikes in activity. And then, okay, it turns out.
Somebody that did have inside knowledge on the operation was putting a whole operation.
Yeah, it's going to be better.
Because they wanted to make, you know, underground or whatever.
Yeah.
But when you look at the election or you look at, you know, you look at financial, anything, you know, sort of unemployment or the Fed rate or what, what have you, you don't need insiders to have sort of non-public information.
You can just, you can sort of do what Wall Street has always done, which is go out and find an edge.
go out and find the best information possible.
Go and talk to a bunch of people.
Go and look at really complicated weather data to predict oil prices.
I mean, you can do sort of really intense research as just like an individual or a group of individuals working together.
And so you don't need to be that guy that like, you know, compromised national security by illegally trading on Venezuela.
You can be someone who just knows a lot more than the average sort of.
user or vetter and kind of create tremendous informational advantage for people. I mean,
the death that I came across sort of crazy is that a third of adult voters in America
have been sold to the prediction market, right? That's like a lot of, that's like a lot of people.
They're basically at the ballot box being like, hmm, who should I vote for? And I mean,
in low liquidity. I only vote for winners. Who should I vote for? Yeah, no, no. I think people do.
I think people do actually see, okay, there's momentum. It's worth me donate.
to this candidate. And then you get this weird flywheel where potentially you could have someone
who wants a particular candidate to win, then they artificially shift the odds of that candidate.
They spike and then that candidate runs a whole bunch of talking points or ads saying,
I'm at 60% on the prediction markets. You should definitely donate because I'm going to run away
with it. And then they, and then it becomes like a self-fulfilling prophecy. There's like a weird cycle there
that could be bad. I don't know.
I think six months ago, maybe, eight months ago, that may have been, at least pre-20204 election, this may have been possible.
But the way the markets are sort of becoming more efficient, just like in the market on Wall Street.
Yeah.
I think now if you went in and you were kind of sort of artificially hype up a candidate that didn't have genuine support, smarter money than you would just buy your money.
Okay.
And just correct you.
Interesting.
Interesting.
Okay.
So tell me about like what smarter money looks like in this context, because we've heard about,
you know, big hedge fund Citadel is doing clearing and there's, I think Steve Cohen's fund has a
desk for this type of stuff. There's like traditional Wall Street. Then there are sharps and then there
are the average traders. Like how do you segment the market? How would you characterize the different
market participants? Yeah. So I would say that the average trader and like that's me,
to be clear, we're just getting crushed. Absolutely. Yes, I mean, I actually want to, I want to
I want to read you all something that one of my sources told me.
Yeah, this is someone turned 200 bucks.
They're quite sharp.
They turned 200 bucks into half a million bucks just last year.
Wow.
And so, and, you know, it's a grad student.
I'm going to keep them sort of protect their intimacy.
They're quite worried about being crypto kidnapped.
Sure.
They go by this screen name Frozen.
And they said, I really am just taking money from people.
Every dollar I gain is someone else losing.
And there's a lot of people joining.
and betting and losing and leaving.
And then there's a group of a couple hundred guys
winning and that's the whole story.
And that's not the whole story, but that's a lot of it
is that you have really smart people
just crushing the average trader.
Okay, so what I find weird about this
is that I don't have that many friends
who fall into the...
Wait, but did the people that get crushed quit
right before they're about to hit it big?
Yes, clearly.
I wonder.
So I have been, I've had friends who have been in that camp of like smart grad student,
tech person, able to build a real model.
And I always go to them and say, you shouldn't be trading because there's a much more
sophisticated market participant sitting at a hedge fund with, you know, a data center worth
of compute behind their models, and they're going to crush you.
And so I'm surprised that an individual of any sort can have an edge in this market.
Like, is it just that, like, did you try and talk to any of the Wall Street funds that would more professionalize that, like, this activity?
Because it feels like even the, even like the smart, clever, individual, disciplined individual who's maybe feeding off of, like, the casuals that are just coming in and out would eventually get crushed by something that's even more robust.
and professionalized.
Yeah, you know, I was so delighted.
I had a wonderful conversation with Gepheas, who co-paccah.
You know, one of the sort of most respected trading training firms in the country, if not the world.
And I asked him this question, and he said, we are just getting taken for a ride.
We're just getting crushed by these sharps.
And I was sort of trying to figure out why.
And I talked to someone who actually, you know, SIG is trying to go out just like a number of
other places and they're trying to hire these sharps, right?
I talked to someone who had an offer from SIG and I said, you know, why didn't you take it?
Well, you know, wouldn't you get, you know, better health insurance, you know, and he said,
not only am I just making a killing, but I can do things that a big institutional fund can't do.
For instance, I can, you know, he's a rotten tomatoes trader.
He trades, how is a film going to do on rotten tomatoes?
And he's turned, you know, I don't.
have the numbers in front of me, but he's made quite a bit of money.
You know, seven figures easily.
And so, you know, he's guessing, not guessing, he's predicting.
He's building models to figure out how is a Rotten Tomatoes film going to perform and such.
And he's doing things.
He's scraping websites and he's doing things that maybe Sig, through their corporate policies,
wouldn't allow.
And he asked the interview, like, could I do this technique?
And they said, yeah, probably not.
And so in these markets, you know, and there's just so many,
market. Well, is that because it's illegal?
No, it's not against
terms of service. Yeah, not like a law, but like a terms of
use. Just as well. Yeah, yeah, exactly.
Interesting. And this guy,
you know, it's really interesting, right? Because he's someone
who, you know, he
you know, pardon me, I'm going to swear, but he
self-described as sort of like a dipshit from the
Midwest. The first talk was like, you know, hey, I'm this
guy. I didn't go to an Ivy League school. Yeah. And I'm able to outcompete Wall Street with a
$600 a Lenovo laptop. That's crazy. I didn't go to a fancy school. I could never have
gotten a job on Wall Street. This is not my world. But I'm able to do this because I'm quite
sharp on prediction markets. The American dream. Call Sager and Jetty. He's going to be so happy
to hear that. I know. I mean, there has been a ton of pushback. But it feels like the greatest
gift to the prediction market industry has been AI being more controversial. And I, I mean, I
I'm wondering if you are tracking any of the potential political moves that might change the regulatory landscape for prediction markets.
They've grown so fast.
Feels like there's federal preemption.
They're going to be legal everywhere.
But has anyone popped out as a voice of what regulation might look like in this market, whether there's just, hey, no insider trading or, you know, make it more of a level playing field, more disclosures?
Even something as simple as with a lot of the Vegas casinos, you can self-exclude.
I don't know how that applies in a modern prediction market world, but that's something that the anti-gambling lobbies would certainly like to see, I imagine.
Yeah, I mean, I think the regulatory landscape is incredibly important with all of this stuff.
The Trump administration has been incredibly favorable to Kalshi, to Polymarket, to the CFTC, which,
regulates these things. They also regulate, you know, like the derivatives that you might trade
lean hog or or weed or corn on. So, you know, the Trump administration, CFTC has been much,
much more sort of willing to play ball with, with prediction markets. And so, you know, you talk
to folks and they say, there may be, you know, come 2028, come 2029, if there's sort of a change
of power in Washington, things may shift, things may change. And in the meantime, I think, you know,
who knows, it's really hard to think beyond three months from now. So it's really hard to think
that far out. But in the meantime, there's a lot of people doing really, really good work.
You know, Council on Foreign Relations, for instance, is doing really, really good work.
I'm thinking through, how do we just kind of come up with sort of sensible solutions on how to
better regulate things? You know, how can we make sure that, you know, our national security is not
imperiled by, you know, a lone wolf kind of going out and trading on, there's going to be a
strike in Venezuela. Yeah, exactly. It seems like there's a bit of a game of whackamol where there's
some really, really, really, really problematic markets that have negative externalities like the
Venezuela one you mentioned. And then I still don't really have a first principles problem with
a broad presidential election market. That seems totally reasonable, totally useful, very valuable.
I've found prediction markets useful all the time.
We were checking Kalshi constantly throughout the Open AI Elon lawsuit
because we're trying to cover it independently
and it's a good source of, okay, what does the market think?
And it was accurate throughout the whole affair.
But, yeah, I mean, certainly people can get sucked into all sorts of different markets
and there are going to be hotly debated issues for many years,
but it does feel like this is like the key focus at the federal level
will be AI, at least for the next.
What do you think sensible regulation looks like?
Because in the case of there had to have been some guidelines that would, you know, have somebody
in the special forces, you know, if they check the rulebook, say like, hmm, should not send
a signal to the internet that we are, you know, going to attack a foreign country, which is
effectively what this individual was doing when they were betting on strike on Venezuela.
Absolutely. It's terrible.
But that doesn't feel like that just feels like it's not even necessarily like that must have been violating like a number of policies, I would imagine.
And federal law and, you know, the Justice Department and the CFTC are prosecuting the case.
You know, you also want to see better enforcement, right?
You want to see, you want to sort of flag these things before they even start, you know, I talk to Kalshi about this.
I talked to Polly Market about this.
And they say, you know, they say, hey, we're really working quite hard to stop this kind of, you know, this kind of insider trading.
We're kind of, we're working quite hard on, we're building AI systems to do it.
We have, you know, teams of people working and working and working on this.
We need to sort of make sure that they're actually doing that.
And, you know, this is where, you know, there's lots of, lots of other great reporters at the journal at the Times, at NPR.
There was a good story in the journal about an independent watchdog that discovered a polymarket
trader who was betting on Google search results and he wound up working for Google. So he just
had the exact, uh, the exact data available, which obviously is a violation of the terms of
service. Yeah. What percentage of the sharps do you think just have inside info and are
kind of taking you on a, you know, basically telling, telling you a little story about, I built a
cool web scrape for, I, I think, you know, I talk to, to dozens and dozens and doesn't sort of really
top traders. And you know, I asked for receipts, you know, I wanted to look at their models,
you know, I went down to Texas and, you know, knocked on doors. I went, I went in, there was a
group I went down to Texas with to sort of check out their approach to modeling Texas Democratic
primary. And they called themselves MAGA Kiwi Club. It's, you know, 12 or so guys. And, and,
and they went and knocked on, you know, more than a thousand doors, nearly a thousand doors,
to try to get a leg up in this election.
And they were right.
You know, they were right.
I think there are some, there are some sort of really bad wolves out there that are
taking advantage of the system.
But the sharps, the sharps that we're talking about, people who are using information
to make the markets more efficient, are in a totally different category.
And that's sort of, that's the vast majority of the activity, that in Wall Street, you know,
making my platforms.
We have a question from Emily Sundberg.
Why is a New Yorker writer taking a job at an AI,
that company. It's a great question. That's a question from Emily or for me or you? It's from
Emily for you, clearly. From Emily for me. You know, I, I, I love my job and, you know, I've been,
I've been so lucky to have gotten to talk to all kinds of just wonderful people over the last
five years. I have a sense that things are changing and I really, rather than,
than sort of be on the outside as a reporter and watch as things sort of change and be become a
tech reporter. I think this would be the thing that I would go do is I'd go be a tech reporter. I'd write
wonderful stories about, you know, what's happening. And I got the sense that I couldn't do it
from the outside. Like I've become increasingly convinced that sort of like AI is like the thing that I need
to think about over the next end number of years. And I didn't have a sense that I could do this as a sort of a
reporter from the outside without sort of having, you know, the street credit at some level of
being in the AI world. And then I went around and I had to sort of find a place that shared
my values. And I was lucky enough to sort of, by happenstance, meet, you know, this guy Ivan who
runs this company notion. And I really loved his vision of the world and I love this company's
vision of the world. And I thought, okay, you know, I'll give it a shot. We'll see. And it seems
like it's the kind of place here that you can tell wonderful stories about what's actually
happening in the world. And it sort of has a, has a sort of, you know, a genuine curiosity and
sort of a genuine ambition to tell true stories, to tell real stories about what's happening
in the world. And I'm, yeah, I'm quite excited to do it. How do you think about the opportunity
at Notion to tell stories about the technology that, you know, ultimately drive traffic into
the notion ecosystem versus, like, actually give insight into what would make Notion, like,
a dominant product for the next generation of writers. Like, those two opportunities seem
both interesting, but is there one that's sticking out to you? Well, maybe you could ask a
different question or ask, ask it slightly differently. I don't quite understand the
So, Notion is a product that, that writers use to actually research all kinds of people.
But people also use it for organizing information of all sorts.
But there is a world where you, as a member of non-technical staff, help advance the product.
And then there's another side where you tell stories and do more written output to attract customers to Notion.
So it's more like product versus marketing if we went back in time.
Yeah, I mean, I don't think product or marketing really resonates with the thing that I really do here.
Yeah. I think I'd be a terrible marketer. I don't think I know how to sell notion as a product.
But what I think I can do is come into this place, ask a ton of questions about what's happening here, go elsewhere, ask a ton of questions about what's happening elsewhere.
And then, yeah, maybe tell interesting stories or maybe the first thing I can do here is sort of ask.
questions and start to tell interesting stories about what does AI look like in the economy?
What is and maybe there maybe there is a an economic benefit for the business.
Sure.
I hope so.
But I think there's also just sort of a deeply felt duty here to do good work at all kinds
of different ways.
And so I think, you know, part of that is this.
Very cool.
Is there to anything else?
No, it's great to meet you.
Great to meet you. Thank you so much for coming on.
Breaking it down and congrats on the new role.
A cargo ship, you know, just call me up.
Let me know. Let's run it.
Next one. I'll talk to you soon.
Great to hang out of.
Have a good one.
Cheers.
Goodbye.
Let me tell you about public, investing for those to take it seriously,
stocks, options, bonds, crypto, treasuries, and more with great customer service.
There's a whole bunch of IPs going out.
SpaceX and Propic, OpenAI.
If you're on public, you want to make sure that,
you don't go and buy the wrong ticker.
Because apparently people are
doing this on Wall Street bets.
Somebody claimed to put $129,000
to work in SpaceX IPO.
They wound up buying Virgin Galactic by mistake.
That's a different company.
But the Virgin Galactic stock is mooning
on the rumors of SpaceX's IPO or imminent reporting.
Virgin Galactic has the ticker, SPCE.
Sounds a lot like SpaceX to me.
And, yeah, fortunately,
This guy, I mean, hopefully he held after the comments came in because he'd be up 126%
for last five days.
Wait, it's still up?
Yeah.
Who knows?
Maybe there's a comeback for Virgin Galactic.
That would be very cool.
I mean, I think a lot of, you know, I don't know what will happen to the rest of the space
economy.
Potentially, there's more capital for SpaceX, more competition, more, more demand for a duopoly.
If you're a wireless carrier and you don't want to be locked into Starlink exclusively.
And so you want to get to get.
an ASTS working for you and you continue to back that or if you are a company that needs to
launch satellites into space you you know you are helping Blue Origin and Rocket Lab continue to
chop down the wood that they need to do to get to space regularly and so that's actually
bullish or you know maybe they just eat it all up who knows Tyler says yo we just got an ad read
just made my day just made me we love you guys Kyle Kuzma friend of the show guest as of
last Friday said, look at IBM, hashtag quantum.
He's having a lot of fun following the market.
He was a very, he was a great interview.
We had a lot of fun talking to him.
Micron is also way, way up.
They extended gains to rise above $1,000 a share
for the first time in history.
Look at that candle, of course,
is very zoomed out.
This goes all the way back to 2000.
One person on the team is clapping especially hard over there.
A micron.
A bear holder, I believe.
It was so funny because I was seeing this right as I was getting notification that the ceasefire or whatever, the negotiation had blown up.
And of course, Micron overpowering geopolitics.
Two different things, not dependent on the straight of removes, apparently.
Well, the stock is now, the company is now worth over $1.2 trillion.
The stock was worth just $60 billion 13 months ago.
Absolutely.
remarkable. There are some rule changes from the SpaceX IPO. Micron is a Lambo candle.
Lambo candle. That's a Lambo candle. Up 22% today. Absolutely insane. Rule changes for the SpaceX IPO
index providers waived the profitability requirement and cut the seasoning window from 90 days to just five.
This forces over 30 trillion in passive 401k and retirement money to buy SpaceX at IPO valuations.
Bloomberg Intelligence estimates S&P 500 funds must absorb 19% of SpaceX's float within six months.
The Russell 1,000 and NASDAQ 100 funds will absorb 24%.
The rules built to protect passive investors.
One S&P 500 required 12 months of trading and four quarters of gap profitability since 2002.
Both are waived now.
NASDAQ cut its inclusion window from 90 days to 15 and the FTSSE.
Russell cut its to five.
all three benchmarks are now structured to buy SpaceX at IPO pricing before the lockup ends.
So lots of buying activity for SpaceX.
Nick Carter says, so this is what kills index funds, cult of passive finally coming to an end.
And yeah, there's a bunch of different ways to deal with this.
If you, for some reason, don't want SpaceX in your S&P 500, I'm sure you can go and develop a synthetic
S&P 499.
Yeah, probably do it on public.
Yeah, you can probably build something that is neutral to this move.
Of course, if you're bullish on SpaceX, you'll be happy that it is in your retirement account.
And if the progress continues and SpaceX delivers on everything that they have planned and are optimistic about, should work out for everyone.
But there is a lot of risk in the system.
So we will continue to monitor it.
Well, there has been a lot of back and forth about how much you should work, how much you should work, how much
you should work. Corgi is going back with Carrey at Linear. We can go through this big debate.
It's a lot of long post. People are going back and forth. I think this all started with.
Harry Stebbings had the Corgi Insurance founder on the show. And he said, if you're not
working seven days per week, you're going to lose. Carrey takes the other side. Nico goes back
and forth with him. Interesting timing with the Wilmanitis. Grind slop. Grind slop. I think that
the Corgi Insurance, I was
unsure if it was just random
timing or if the
was the Corgi Insurance interview
trying to bait a response from
the Wilmanitis post or was it
recorded before post went out?
I think that
I think that
Nico, this is just part
of their culture as a company.
It's working for him. And it's working for him. It's clearly
working for him. Yeah. There's a lot
of reasons not to
have a culture that sort of expects
people to work seven days a week, but there's a lot
reasons to have one. And in Nico's defense, he's built, I think, a $2.4 billion company in a very
short period of time. Remarkable. And it's a remarkable feat. Kari on the other side has also
built a very big business and done it in maybe a more calm way. This is personal. I felt like
over the last 18 months, we've worked harder than ever.
in our careers.
But weekends are very much time off.
And part of that is, I mean,
we're still talking like multiple times a day
and making, you know, decisions around the business.
But I actually felt that was especially necessary
because five days a week we're coming here
and hanging out, trying to put on a show three hours.
And so the weekends are good time
to be able to actually, it feels like unwinding
is particularly helpful for that.
I mean, overall, Wilman,
as he makes a bunch of good points
in the grindslop essay, but I'm different and they don't apply to me.
That was basically my takeaway.
Anyway, we have the founder.
Apparently two thirds of Corgi's employees have the company tattoo.
Oh, okay, so Wilma Nias was referencing that specifically because he mentioned that in the
essay, which we should read at some point.
It's a great essay if you haven't read it already.
Wilmanitis grindslop.
We could read it and put ads in it.
We can.
Finally, the final form of the content oral boros.
because it was after all an essay about a podcast.
Well, we have our next guest from Saras here in the TPPN Ultram with us.
Do you believe in working eight days a week?
Yeah, where do you stand on this?
Where do you stand?
Five days a week, seven days a week.
Where do you stand on relentless work above all else?
Can you?
Are you guys able to hear me?
No, we can hear you?
No, I'm not able to hear.
You can hear us?
No, no.
Oh, no.
Why don't you, why don't you jump out?
and we will bring you back in just a second.
Okay.
Well, he was about to say every person on my team has a tattoo.
Somebody should make headphones that work seven days a week.
That would be an innovation.
That would benefit us.
Anyway, what did Carrie say?
He said, I get that business insurance a similar Nobel level type pursuit of groundbreaking physics
and the Manhattan Project.
Hopefully the blast radius will be contained.
they are burning back and forth fighting back and forth on the timeline the timelines in turmoil
well uh we do have a challenge that i want your take on because i actually saw this post
and i did a whole deep dive and i have a very informed opinion i want your take so
alex tabarrock friend of the show former guest as of last week says this one is generally
difficult and sella in safsala underscore says you have a one-way flight do you have this pulled up
i want you to see these images and tyler you too wait are you here are you
Are you laughing at this or something else?
Okay.
But I'm looking at this.
Okay, okay.
I want everyone to weigh in on this.
You have a one-way flight somewhere unknown within the red-boxed region.
You drop in via parachute at midnight.
You're given $2,000 in cash or precious metal equivalent, an uncharged phone, three days
of food, two changes of clothes, and an Israeli passport you're not allowed to get rid of.
Your mission is to get to New York City.
You get $10 million if you arrive within one day, $5 million if you arrive within one day,
5 million if you arrive within a week, 1 million if you arrive within a month.
Which region do you choose?
And the first option is right between Panama and Columbia in the Daryon Gap.
The Daryon Gap, which is uninhabited.
There's no roads that go through it.
Do we lose the Chiron too?
What happened?
Or Chiron, of course, is created by area.com.
I did have a crazy, pretty wild travel story generally in that region.
I was in Panama.
You crossed the Darien Gap?
I didn't cross the Darian Gap, but I was dropped into Panama,
and I was going to a place called Bocas del Toro,
which was a small chain of islands in the Caribbean.
And I took an all-day bus,
and I arrived in this port, this Caribbean port, like at around midnight,
and there were no more boats going to the chain of islands
that I was trying to get to.
You're stuck.
Legally, I guess they're not allowed to make, like, you know, boat runs.
And we ended up having to make a find a guy that was willing to
willing to make the charge that we made the trip lights out,
which was very sketchy.
You're not supposed to be going, you know, traveling by boat at night in harbors without lights.
But this one captain was was on board.
And if we, and there was no hosp, like there was no lodging in that little like port town.
It was like either sleep basically at a bus stop in a Caribbean port town or make the trip by boat with no light.
We took the boat.
We were surfing that next morning.
Okay.
So the options are North Korea, remote Russia, the Iran-Pakistan border, Gulf of Oman box, or the Darien Gap.
Which one would you go with and why?
Tyler, do you have a pick?
I'm going Darien Gap.
Yeah.
Why?
So you can get a ferry around, right?
Because you hear about these sorts, people motorcycling,
like, you know, South America to Alaska or something.
Yep.
And I think the passport is less of an issue.
So you just get to the border.
Yeah.
I think if you land in Iran, you're screwed.
If you land in North Korea, you're immediately a political prisoner.
And Russia, probably the same thing.
Also extremely cold, very, very harsh conditions.
Would you go dairy and gap as well?
Yeah, the 2,000 bucks, I mean,
is the big constraint, right?
Because it's not really enough for a significant incentive for someone.
Yeah, and you only fly business class.
So, like, you would be stuck.
Because you'd get there and you'd be like, well, sir, a one-way flight from Pyongyang
to New York City business class is going to be $2,500.
No idea.
I mean, I just think if you're trying to get to the, if you're trying to get to New York
from these places with $2,000 and you don't have.
No, daring gap for sure, because you can get to Panama.
you can get to Medellin. Either one is going to let you with that passport get to New York City.
Oh, right. For sure. But, but this implied, but I'm an American. Yeah, but you have this Israeli
passport. So that's the one that you, they will see this. But it's a valid passport. It's a valid
passport. And so they will see it and they will say, okay, well, if you're in Iran or North Korea,
they will say absolutely not. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Regardless of your actual passport. Whereas in
Columbia or Panama, I think they will say, right this way, sir, like you can go to New York.
city, it's much easier.
Anyway.
Gabe says, if I'm in Iran with an Israeli passport, the situation strongly suggests I'm a
Mossad super agent on an undercover mission, which sounds awesome.
Didn't really read the rest of the post and not sure what happens next, but I picked that one.
And Sean Frank agrees with us, Darren Gap first.
Anyway, I believe we have our next guest here with audio.
Let's bring in Dinal.
Are we back?
How are you doing?
Yeah.
Oh, we're back.
I'm well.
Fantastic.
Let's be quick.
Introduce yourself.
Give us the news. What happened?
Sure. I'm Daniel. I'm a founder, CEO of SIRCI.
We build AI workflow agents for bands and credit unions, focused on the back office.
It's sort of the unsung heroes of any company in the back office.
So we're helping automate a lot of their tedious complex stats that, you know,
the humans don't enjoy. So yeah.
So how diffuses your customer base? Because credit unions, I mean, I feel like there's, I don't know,
thousands of credit unions in the United States? It's like the backbone of American banking.
Is that your goal to be, I guess, like, more like mid-market versus like, we're going
straight to JPMorgan and we're going to be at that level on day one? Yeah, that's a great question.
We are working with one of the larger G-SIP banks, but to be honest, it's sort of like sometimes
founders just fall in love with this particular story or a segment of the market.
Sure. And as you put it, right, banks and credit unions, it's about 8,000 of them all across the U.S.
And they're serving, you know, the heart and soul of the economy.
You know, our customers are the folks who are helping a lumber mill in Mississippi, you know, get their first loan.
It's the young family in Arkansas get their first mortgage.
Or we have another customer in Illinois helping farmers, you know, get agriculture loans.
So, you know, these folks often don't get the headlines, but they're really serving, you know, they're the heart of the economy.
So it's just kind of cool.
And how much of the business is like, I mean, we're already in unsexy territory.
let's get unsexy or how much of the business is like not even like AI doing the full workflow and more
like AI enabling digitization AI enabling ETL AI enabling ETL AI enabling better organized digital systems
because I mean I go to banks all the time and there's still paperwork and you're signing
things and just scanning that getting that into something that's, you know, interpretable from
any computer system. It seems like it's still a challenge. Yeah, absolutely. So I think there's
two parts of this story.
The first one is the technical part.
I think creating point solutions is easy.
You know, especially with
foundational models and how quickly they're growing.
The challenge really is that how do you
connect humans,
you know, the work that humans do
with the regulatory
environment, with the infrastructure,
with integrations, with systems,
not everything is AP accessible, with
semi-structured, unstructured data. Like you said,
in papers and so on.
That orchestration, that's where
the magic is. And I think that's where the vote is for a lot of startups to come in. Because
if it's a point solution and it's more or less clear, foundation models will probably
figure that out. So I think that's the first part. The second part of the story is more human
again. And it's what we call, what I call the dignity of work. So I'll share a story with you.
Like, we often talk about AI versus humans and they're replacing jobs and so on. But let me share
some stories on the ground. So we have one of our customers, their team had a backflug of
300 sort of loan documents.
And they are literally spending the time from 5 p.m.
till 9.30 p.m.
5 days a week.
Completing that backlog because 9 in the morning,
they have to get to another backlog.
We launched ours about like three weeks ago.
Now they're going home at 620.
They can be with their families.
That's dignity of work.
That's amazing.
We have another case where, you know,
it's, it's,
that's what happened.
That's what happened with other major technology cycles
where the work week effectively just shrank.
shrank.
Yeah, which is great.
Just more efficiency,
higher productivity,
which is the good news.
Exactly.
And I think it's also like the feedback loops we're seeing.
So we're not seeing so much that people are being let go.
It's more that they're not hiring additional staff members.
So one other example quickly I'll share with you is,
you know,
we've had a case where the president of a credit shooting
and send me a text that,
hey, we were planning hiring five people this quarter.
Yeah.
But because the output of with Tvers is so much higher,
they didn't hire those five people.
However, they gave a raise to the existing team.
Everyone's happier about that.
Right?
So those are kind of like interesting things we're seeing.
Give us the fundraising news because we're running late.
What did you raise?
Who funded you?
Yeah.
So it was, I guess, love at first sight with the partner.
We raised $28.8 million in the same day.
Nice.
Congratulations.
It was M.C.
What partner led the deal?
it was Alex, man.
It was on first sight.
And then we got to meet with Joe as well, who's just an awesome guy too.
So it was great.
That's great news.
Well, sorry for cutting this short, a little bit of technical difficulty, but thank you so much.
I'm sure you'll be back soon.
And good luck with the journey.
We'll talk to you soon.
Cool.
Awesome.
Cheers, guys.
Great to meet you.
Let me tell you about MongoDB.
What's the only thing faster than the AI market?
Your business on MongoDB.
Don't just build AI.
the data platform that powers it.
And our next guest is already in the waiting room.
We'll bring in Mike from Gigascale Capital.
Mike, how you doing?
Doing awesome.
How you guys doing?
Former CTO of Meta, by the way.
Thank you so much for taking the time to join us.
Tell us a little bit about yourself and the fun, the strategy.
I have so many questions.
Yeah.
So I've been in Silicon Valley 25 years, been an operator, joined Facebook Meta 2008, scaled everything
from data centers to Oculus to Instagram to building the Facebook Air Research.
lab, I stepped away from that job.
Just everything, just every important project there.
A lot of stuff.
Yeah.
A lot of stuff.
I mean, with a lot of great people.
Yeah.
I don't want to really take credit.
But I saw this change happening in the world a couple years ago, which was I thought we were
moving from atoms or bits to atoms.
It was just like the physical world mattered again.
Yeah.
That is the marginal cost of software went to zero.
The thing that really mattered is how much stuff can we build and how are we going to build it?
And so I started a venture capital firm to sort of prove out this.
I want to improve it first by investing my own money to make sure sort of I knew it was working.
And then, you know, our company started working.
The question isn't, do they want to buy it?
It's how fast can they make everything?
Because they're making it sort of better, faster, cheaper than the way we did it for the last, I don't know, 150 years in a lot of cases.
And so we've brought on a set of institutional investors and raised more money and are just getting going on this journey.
How much did you raise?
250.
250.
Quarter bill.
What were some of the standout?
companies in that first kind of like angel fund that you mentioned that that made you
think you were on to something well there's a there's a bunch of them so
panthalasa is building ocean data centers for inference I think you had Garth on
here a little while ago and is one example heron power which is a more recent
investment but it's just on a tear they're they're saying like hey the way we
brought energy to data centers is using 100 year old technology literally
We've got a new idea.
We're taking the power electronics that are in your Model 3, Model Y,
and we're putting them on the grid.
And we can deliver you power faster, better, cheaper than anyone else out there.
They're shipping products next year.
You know, we've got Radiant Nuclear who's building a container-sized microreactor.
It gives you a megawatt half of power for five years with no refueling.
And they've got form energy that said, hey, you know, these data centers,
you've got power swings, you might have renewables, which are on and off.
we're going to build a new kind of battery that lasts 100 days.
So if you're dependent on solar and it's cloudy for three days, no problem.
I got four-day battery.
And that battery is super cheap because it's made out of it.
It literally like russ and unrusts iron.
It's like the basic chemistry of it.
It's the cheapest possible material you could use to build a battery.
It's big and it's heavy, but who cares because it's on the grid?
So again, you're just like rethinking problems in a different way and using modern technology
and you come up with a solution that works for everyone.
How are you thinking about publics versus privates?
Because there's this massive boom, and I'm so excited about Doug and Radiant and nuclear
and bringing new solar on the grid.
And there's so many different key technologies that it feels like we're in this crazy
moment where like it's just hard to pull forward these foundational technology efforts in
the private markets and startup world where, yeah, you're doing something completely.
It might take five years and so in the meantime it's just call up G Vranova and 10x the amount of
you know natural gas and that that is like a technical debt that I think we're going to have to pay at some point
And I'm wondering about like is there a crowding out effect how do you stay sane if you're a startup founder
Who's doing something really cool, but you're watching some public company go 50x in the public markets and
And I'm just wondering about like where like the
Is the time compression, is the time scale a factor one way or another?
Is it a benefit or curse or both double-edged sword?
How are you thinking about that?
Yeah, I mean, I fundamentally left a big platform to bet on startups.
Yeah.
So I think you're going to get my belief that it has never been a better time to start startups.
And I'm seeing this firsthand.
I mean, you think about the speed at which I can build tools, you know, using AI,
using robotics in the physical world, you know, even just using platforms like Stripe and ramp and like all of these.
It's just like the amount of time you had said monkey with things before is just like free.
You can have these tiny six, 10, 12 person teams have incredible, unbelievable impact.
And you throw off all the, all the, you know, dead weight of doing it the way, you know, you've done it even for the last 10 years.
You started a company six months ago.
You would, you would form it differently than if you started it 12 months ago.
Because like that's prior to, you know, Opus 4-7.
And it's just an incredible time.
And we haven't talked about this just like an immense well of talent coming out of.
of SpaceX and Tesla, who were just like showing up to these old problems and saying, like,
oh, we know how to do this like 10x better, faster, cheaper, starting with new technology.
So, you know, there's this analogy recently about when electricity first came to factories.
You know, we used to build factories with like a central, like, steam thing that would spin all
these like shafts.
And you built your entire factory around the structure.
When they first electrified, they just rip out the steam thing and put electric motor,
but everything else was the same.
And productivity gains didn't really happen until you just rebuilt the factory.
factory saying, actually, I can put an electric motor at every workstation. I can completely reorient
the way the factory works. This is how I think it's happening in robotics now. We're dropping in a
robot where a human used to be. And you're like, wait a second. If I just took a building and said,
actually my goal is to feed the robots and keep them 80% utilized, how would I build this factory?
And that's a very different structure than replacing a person with a robot in terms of it.
And that's where I think you get 5x, 10x.
are you worried we're going to run out of problems in the real world
to start-ups to solve
no I'm kidding
I do I do
no one
no I mean it is it is fun
return the funds there's no more ideas
yeah yeah just return capital
we're done return capital no but any
intuition around like the
you know the next big big category
and sort of atoms like is it is it just
robotics generally like how did you have a do you have a any ideas around like
the timeline of robotics and the application of them across different industries because
this is one of those you know categories that I think it's been it has been happening it's
real in certain industries but it's been promised for so long this time around does
feel a little bit different but I'm wondering I'm wondering how you view it just because
if you get the, obviously, if you get the timeline wrong, you can get the bet wrong entirely.
Yeah, predicting these things is, you know, we have two bets in fusion, and the joke, fusion has been the, you know, the joke, it's 10 years away every 10 years for a long time, but this time, it's different.
But, so robotics, I think, is quickly going into that zone.
I'm really bullish on industrial robotics, and we already use robots, in fact, and car factors all the time.
And so the question is, can you move into, like, slightly less well-structured things?
Like, taking a box.
If you look at a lot of, like, factories and warehouses, like, there's a surprising amount
of, like, unboxing and boxing that happens.
I get a box, I get a box cutter, cut it open, I pour all the stuff out, I get rid of the plastic
bags.
It's all done my humans now.
That's a really hard thing to automate with, like, a Kuka robot.
Like, because it's just every box is a little different, and, like, the bag gets stuck and all the
rest of it.
And so, like, those are the sorts of, like,
things that I think are going to be really good because they're still in a controlled environment.
I'm not in my house.
I don't have a dog running by.
You don't have to worry about the robot tripping over my pet.
So I think the home is like, and like I'm excited about it.
I want a robot to fold my laundry and empty the diff thrush or can't wait.
But like, man, you're playing on a hard mode to like start in the home.
I've shipped home electronics.
Like people drop stuff.
They spill wine on it.
Like there's all sorts of things that happen in the home that I just don't have to worry about in a factory.
So I think you're going to see it in factories and warehouses first.
And then you're going to sort of see it go out from there.
Spilling wine on your Oculus or your quest, that's a wild time.
That's something you would do.
I'm sure it's happened.
You ship millions of them.
Oh, yeah, no, no, no.
This is the thing that created all the gray hairs is like you do all this work making
this awesome product.
And then you're like, oh, we have this thing called a drop test.
Oh, yeah.
The consumer takes it out of the box and it's supposed to go my face.
Instead of putting my face, I drop it on the floor.
And like, does it break or not?
Yeah, yeah.
And so we spend all this time, like, dropping them and putting these high-speed cameras to
watch, like, which part breaks and then go reinforce it.
Yeah.
It's just like, it's brutal.
And that creates a lot of weight and that hurts the product.
Yeah.
And the bigger issue with robotics is like, then you have, like, you know, there's not a
huge risk of like if I drop the Oculus does, uh, maybe it does some minor damage to
the floor and the device itself, but you add these like big humanoid form factors and
suddenly it's like the dog died because like the robot, you know, just fell on it, you know,
this is, uh, or it does like really material damage to an appliance or something like that.
Yeah, I mean, besides laundry and emptying my dishwasher, I wanted to like make me breakfast, right?
But like now we got a robot like operating with hot oil, you know, on a stove with a flame.
Like, what could go wrong?
That's going to be wild.
Solar.
I feel like there's, you know, the Elon Musk of space is Elon.
He did electric cars.
He's working on robotics.
He's been a little shy about solar.
I mean, he's optimistic about solar, but he hasn't actually scaled up American manual.
manufacturing capacity of solar. We have a number of founders, you know, if you have Palmer-Luckian
defense, and there's a number of nuclear founders who have sort of taken up the mantle to go on
the press tour that's necessary to get folks excited about nuclear. I haven't seen that in solar
as much. Am I just not paying attention? Is there some sort of fundamental constraint why solar
is not going through as much of a fast takeoff? We've talked to the CEO of T1 Energy. That's sort of this,
acquisition, changing the management. It's very exciting, but it's not the same, you know,
startup, seed round, visionary founder all the way through this really broad vision. And I'm
wondering if that's going to happen, if we're early, if it's already happening, and I'm just not
aware. What are you thinking about solar generally? Yeah. It's such an interesting thing because
solar has gone through the biggest cost decline of anything I've ever seen. And, you know, it's 99%
cheaper than it used to be.
It's mostly manufactured in China.
It's a scaled manufacturing problem.
That's not a great problem to go after as a startup.
Where it's like manufacturing scales what determines...
How compete China.
Against China.
Like, good luck.
So I think that that explains a lot of it.
What I do think is going to happen is if I'm just trying to make a, you know,
400 millimeter by 300 millimeter solar panel cheaper than China, good luck.
But like, for a long time, we treated these things like they were like precious
minerals. And so if you look at a solar farm, you lay down all this steel and you put up all this
framing and all the rest of it to like put this panel on. Well, when that panel was the most
expensive thing on the field, then like, yeah, that makes sense. That thing is now the cheapest
thing in the field. All the rest of the stuff, the like steel frame costs more than the panel.
And so I think what we're going to see, and I'm excited about a couple of startups in this,
we're saying, like, let's rethink how we actually deploy solar from a form factor from an
automation perspective and like just go after installation cost. And assuming the cells of cells are
basically free. It's basically glass.
What would you do differently?
And that, again, I think this notion of like, constraints have changed is what creates a new
opportunity. So that's, to me, what I'm most excited about in the next way of solar.
Yeah. And even from, obviously, there's a lot of geopolitical considerations with the U.S.
and China. But at the end of the day, like, a solar cell is not the same as buying, like,
a full computer or something like that have spyware on it.
It is just a chip there that it's, you know, we're with this spyware.
exactly. And so I think I think you'll see more like hybrid approaches like this, like what Waymo's
doing where they're buying Chinese batteries and Chinese steel frames, but then they're putting
all the software and hardware on board. So it's a little bit more, you know, less politically
dicey, I think. Yes. Anyway, last question on fun size, fun structuring. I feel like a lot of
these projects are capital intensive for the best possible reasons. How are you thinking about actually
participating over time. Do you think you'll be doing SPVs to maintain ownership? Because some of
these projects are probably going to be pretty capital intensive. That usually means dilution.
Have you thought about that? And do you have a strategy in place?
Yeah. I mean, so the first thing we have been doing is just going to work to get these companies
fundraise. We have a giant network of other. So Panthalasa is a great example. Just raised a huge
round from Peter Thiel. We were very early investors in that. So the first thing is get these
companies successful. Then you have the options. In terms of how we take a
advantage of that access and option is something we're going to figure out over time.
You know, I think this is the beginning, not the end.
We are oversubscribed in this fund, so there's lots of opportunities for us to
sort of raise other other vehicles.
Yeah, that makes a lot of sense.
And I get going, but I wanted to keep it, you know, I give all our entrepreneurs advice, stay focused.
So let's get out the gate, stay focused, prove that there's a bunch of early stage.
To your first question, are there opportunities for early stage companies in the space?
I think so. I think you're going to see a lot of interesting progress in the next year.
And then we'll have lots of different ways to structure how to participate as these companies grow.
Fantastic. Well, thank you so much for coming on.
Yeah, excited to meet more of your companies.
Yeah, good luck out there.
We'll talk to you soon.
Nice to see, Bull.
Goodbye.
Okay.
Up next, we have Nico from default with an amazing series A.
I've known Nico for a long time, but it's his first time on the show.
So we'll bring him in to the TV being helpful.
How you doing, Nico?
Good to see you.
Benominable.
Long time to see.
Get that overnight success button ready.
overnight success.
Yeah.
Another one.
Yeah.
Introduce yourself.
Introduce the company.
Give us the news.
Tell us what happened.
Hello, gentlemen.
Hello listeners.
Good news.
I'm Nico.
One of the co-founders here at default.com.
Most recently, default.
I've got a nice URL redirect you on.
Here we go.
Wait, you were at default.com.
Wait, you're going from dot com to dot AI domain?
We kept the dot com still main domain, had to pick up default.
com.
I had to redirect.
Just to protect.
Protect the break.
Of course.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
I am.
How dare you just.
The dot com.
No, very good.
Tell us about the product.
Yeah.
So we spent the last few years building out a bunch of top of funnel orchestration tools,
primarily for inbound scheduling, inbound routing, enrichment for very fast-growing
B2B companies. And over the last like 12, 18 months, we just kept hearing from everyone that
everyone was trying to deploy agents, was running, still running into the same issues people
have been running into for the last decade. And we took a really big bet and basically built a new
product over a good chunk of last year. And last Wednesday, about five days ago, we lost it to
the world. And it's been, it's been great so far. I've, this is my 12th.
well with the meeting of the day. So I'm glad to be, glad to jump off the demo, demo router.
Explain the flow. When does the agent come into the, into the process? I imagine,
inbound lead, B2B SaaS company. They have a landing page. There's at some point they collect a form
or email and then the magic happens. Like, what is the magic? What is happening?
Yeah, John. So we, you know, the way we used to work before, you know, before we launched a new product.
So we'd basically come in, we'd hook into the forms of your website,
we'd add a little piece of code that told us how many visitors were coming to your site,
who was showing up, et cetera.
And then we'd kind of build out all this middleware and plumbing between your forms,
your website, all these top phone signals and your CRM and your sales team.
Now what we do is we give you an out-of-the-box data layer.
And what's a real-time data warehouse, you plug into your CRM
that be Salesforce, HubSpot, or similar.
We pipe in all of all that really rich context that agents can use to really answer these
tough to, usually really tough to answer questions about your business.
And, you know, everyone says that, you know, all growth problems or data problems.
And, you know, at least in go to market.
And effectively, what we do out of the box now is give you this data layer that plugs into
your tools and this kind of semantic modeling.
layer that translates all this context from your systems, as well as different activity like
meetings and form submissions and website visitors into a language that agents can actually
understand it and use to answer these really tough questions.
Isn't this going to grow into a CRM at some point?
It feels like the opportunity to do a compound startup, do many more features.
Like you have not only is your company AI enabled on the product side, but your,
your engineering team's enabled on the products on the AI side.
So I would imagine you'd be able to ship more features.
Like, why have you stayed where you are?
Do you think that will remain the case?
Or do you have ambitions to build out something that looks like a legacy workflow?
Is there demand for that?
Or do you see the whole process just sort of evolving in a way that you'll never need to build
what traditionally looks like a CRM?
I think a lot of the same fundamental problems our customers are running into today, even as they're navigating this really challenging, really challenging kind of transition, even at really large scale.
These are the same problems that they're running into 10 years ago.
So there's no shortage of surface area to solve for today for us.
That being said, we're already seeing a ton of our customers.
really, really built some really cool stuff internally and completely flipped the way,
you know, things have been done for the last couple decades. So that being said, you know,
every, every road in this category and, and, you know, more broadly leads to an incumbent like
a Salesforce or similar. So, yeah, we've built with, with that mantra since day one.
How have you thought about segmenting the market, finding niches, finding little veins?
Like, if you find that you're doing really well with startups or doing really well with real estate agents
or like anything that takes inbound and has a go-to-market motion or in B2B software, there are other niches within B2B software, right?
More dev tool focused, more finance-focused B2B software.
do you find that there are sort of mini network effects in these niches?
Have you been successful finding a few?
Or do you want to deliberately cast a wide net so you can sort of cross-pollinate all the
the learnings from one category to the others, like immediately?
So I would say, you know, really early on, we were focused on working with the fastest growing,
you know, really the fastest growing startups.
and there was a bit of a,
I don't know if network effects is how to put it,
but a lot of our pipeline
came from referrals really early on.
People would go and they'd sign up
and book a demo for their favorite new
recently launched and fresh off the assembly line
product, and they'd see the little powered by default
logo down at the bottom.
And that drove a ton of traffic for us
and got us to where we are today.
But, you know, it's really interesting.
I think a lot of our customers,
customers, you know, we serve a lot of customers in software, a few in like medical devices,
some services, services businesses, fintech as well. And more or less, everyone, you know,
everyone runs into some version of the same problem, which is they've got all these different
systems that don't really talk to one another and really kind of create this sort of like
data soup or this like frankestack is what we call it, that just makes it really, really hard to
grow. It creates this like growth task. You know, every,
incremental dollar of revenue
past a certain
you know
past a certain threshold
depending on the vertical
market you know
requires a sort of army
of operations people
to sort of maintain
the frankestack
and keep it a base.
So yeah.
So how prevalent is the franken stack?
Because I feel like
there's a view of the world
that's like data bricks exist
snowflakes exists like
everyone has this beautiful data lake
and of course and not only that
Zapier exists and there's vibe coding and you can clearly create these ETL pipelines between
everything. Certainly every company has done that. Sounds like they haven't. Is there, is there like a
revenue scale or an employee scale where that does become unblocked and does become best practice?
And then is that is that moving down into smaller and smaller organizations?
Yes. I'll give two answers here. First and foremost, I've never met someone who didn't hate their CRM.
Okay. I'll say that first and foremost.
Second, I think it's very rare that we run into a scaling revenue org that has very deep technical proficiency and is spending a lot of their time in a data warehouse or writing SQL.
Typically they're pulling reports and trying to answer a lot of these, it's normally tough to answer questions.
That being said, one of the things that I've been, you know, the team and I have been really excited about here of the course last year is seeing.
so many really, really faster in companies like owner.com is a perfect example.
Kyle Norton, the Sierra there, has built just an absolutely incredible go-to-market operations
team.
They built so much internal, you know, basically just building their own distribution product,
their own foundation they can use to scale.
And as a result, they're able to gain a massive competitive advantage.
And they started doing that very, very early on.
You see the same thing with other hyper-roof companies like Ramp and Rippling and many others.
but, you know, the best companies should be distributed as a product and, you know, is an extension of a product.
And, you know, I think that is getting earlier and earlier in terms of when companies start prioritizing that.
Tell us about the round.
Well, before that, please.
Seven-day work week.
Five-day work week.
Logo, tattoos.
Two-day work-day work week.
Do you have the default as like kind of a back piece?
Yeah, I've got a nice.
down here.
Nice, nice.
Hold back.
Yeah, I mean, you got a lot of space back.
I mean, jokes aside, what is the work culture like at default these days?
Yeah, it's intense.
You know, we've been doing a really hard thing for a good chunk of the last year.
It's basically a Manhattan project for GTM.
For BBS.
Yeah.
Yeah, absolutely.
No, but it is a competition.
You want to win and there's other players.
And, like, you know, if you're on the beach, five days.
a week? Like, you're just going to get smoked. This is real. Yep. We're definitely out on the beach five
days a week. Yeah, I'm too pale, too pale for that. But, yeah, we get, you know, we're solving a lot of,
a lot of really hard problems. I think we have a lot of really smart people who are really, really
excited at, you know, kind of solving, solving the growth rate of problem and trying to help our customers
grow better and faster. A lot of that stuff, you know, a lot of the problems that we run into are a lot of the
same kind of boring things that our customers run into on a day basis. We have the benefit of
having really good resources and a lot of great minds, you know, thinking about how to solve these
problems day in and day out. And, you know, we're very excited about the future.
Amazing. Tell us about the round. How much are you ready? So, we did a $10 million a last year.
Yeah. There we go. There's another one. A couple rounds.
There we go. That's hard. That's a hard one. That's a hard one. Anyway, expert mode. Great to catch up, Dico.
Awesome progress. Thanks for coming on the show. Catch you soon. We'll talk to you soon. Goodbye.
Cheers.
Very fun. That is the hardest one to hit.
Good.
Anyway, we have our next guest, Sue Kim, from Brilliant. She's the co-founder and CEO and she's here with us in the TD Penult.
What's going on? Sue, how are you doing?
Hey, thanks for having me. I'm doing great.
Thanks for hopping on the show. Since it's the first time on the show, I'd love an introduction on yourself and the company and the launch and for you to just take us through it.
Yeah. So I'm Sue. I'm the co-founder and CEO of Brilliant. We just launched Brilliant's new AI tutor. His name is Koji. He's a little green guy. He helps you learn how to think and problem solve in math and coding. If you come check out the product, everything starts out. Very visual and interactive.
This tutor can see how you're interacting with all the concepts and the problems you're solving
and point and sketch and annotate on the screen with you.
So we call it a graphical tutor because it's designed to feel like someone sitting next to you,
looking over your shoulder and ready to help.
Talk about how people have processed the intersection of AI and education to date.
It's been such a big selling point overall.
and personally, I think it's most powerful as a way to ask like the dumb question that you might be embarrassed to ask, you know, a friend or an actual teacher or even a tutor.
But how have you kind of processed it?
Obviously, you can use the base models themselves to learn, but there's a lot of missing functionality and opportunity for you to kind of, you know, extend out that kind of rock.
capability. Yeah, totally. You know, I think that lowering that barrier of embarrassment is huge. That's
something that we hear a lot that, you know, the student who would never, ever raise their hand in class
and ask a question or, you know, even with a tutor, it's just kind of like, oh, I still don't get it.
Like, you know, it's just hard to do. And, you know, I think that these models have helped a lot
with that, like lowering that embarrassment. And one of the things that we haven't yet seen them do
is designed for something other than the moment of explanation. You know, when we designed this tutor,
we designed it for that moment of understanding, not for the moment of explanation. And there's actually
a lot of research on tutoring that shows that when human tutors don't just sit there and explain stuff to
you, the tutoring conversations become a lot more interactive. And then students just do a lot more
of the work. And, you know, these, like, magical outcomes of why tutoring is so broadly effective,
you know, ultimately a lot of that just comes down to the learner spending more time on the
material. And, you know, if the tutor talks too much and just, like, spits out tons of stuff
for you to read, that is worse than the student doing stuff and just sitting in the confusions.
I think it's a combination of how much can you engage the student to actually do the work
and then, you know, lowering the embarrassment,
improving their motivation and engagement,
and just getting to the point where they feel sort of confident
at tackling these things on their own.
Do you feel like you have a duty to make learning addictive?
I would say that something similar.
Because every, you know,
there's a lot of big companies out there.
I won't name them.
They certainly want people to spend as much time
in their applications as possible.
It's like every company, but yes.
Yeah.
Not every company.
But let's say like the algorithmic video feeds, right?
They want as much of our time as possible.
I feel like you have a duty to try to make learning as addictive as possible.
Because it's a positive addiction, right?
I want people to be obsessed with understanding the world, furthering their skills, et cetera.
Yeah, you know, we talk about this a lot.
Like a big marker of success of the tutor is whether or
not, he can make himself unnecessary.
And the goal is that you scaffold the learner and allow them to ask questions until
that you get to a point where they can do it for themselves.
And then you want to get out of the way.
So, you know, one of our goals is that if we are doing a good job over the course of learning
a concept, Cote should become totally unnecessary.
Like you should be asking the questions that he used to ask you.
And, you know, one of the things that, like, I find that I find that I find that you should be asking you,
I find a funny parallel is that on our board is someone who started the dating company,
OKCupid, and then he went on and became the CEO of Match, was on the board of Tinder.
And he's like, you know, the funny thing about consumer dating apps is that if you're successful,
turn is built into the product.
Like, you want people to turn because, like, you don't want people just in the app just
going on dates all the time and not, you know, meeting that long-term partner.
And so, you know, we do measure whether or not people turn.
but we measure it very differently from how most other consumer products would think about it.
But I feel like learning is much more, learning is way more continuous.
Like everyone should aspire to be a lifelong learner, whereas like maybe it's not so healthy to aspire to be a lifelong dater.
You know, somebody that's just, I never want to, you know, I don't feel like there's never been a subject that I've like learned about where I've just.
run out of things to learn.
That's interesting.
That happens to me all the time.
I feel like I'm like, yeah.
But I'm talking about more.
I know everything about that.
I know everything.
I know everything.
I'm kidding.
No, but I mean, you're joking, but there is specific things where you're like, okay, I've
learned enough about nutrition.
Totally.
Totally.
And I don't really care about it too much, you know, let's say, but like I've learned
the basic.
I can move on to the next topic.
But there's so many topics.
For me, that's nutrition.
Yeah.
Every single point.
Yeah.
Every single place that I've gotten to in terms of an overall understanding.
I'm like, wow, this goes deeper than I thought.
Yeah.
How are you thinking about multi-modality?
I feel like the big labs all have different ways to turn out a result that's not just a big block of text.
There's an image, an infographic.
We saw Google I.O., there's the Omni model that can show a 10-second video diagram or an explanation, a whiteboard lecture.
And it feels like there's maybe a gap right now in that you have to come to the model or
chat app and ask for what you want. You have to say, I want this as an infographic, or I want
this as a video, or you might even have to go to a specific model or a specific company. Like,
if you want video, you go to Google. If you want an image, you go to chat. GBT. And I'm wondering
if you're thinking about how that fits into your process of actually picking the right tool for
the job. Yeah. It's very, you know, working with a chatbot to learn is a very proactive
process. And it's one of those things where when you use a chatbot, the chatbot gets very little
data on whether or not you've actually learned the thing. Like typically the interaction with the chat
bot is you ask your question, you get your answer, and the exchange is over. And so for a lot of
these like homework help type learning queries, people answer, people get their question answered and
then they leave. And so the model gets back no data on did the learner actually learn this thing.
And, you know, going back to the point about, you know, addiction, the thing, the thing, the thing
that we try to get people really immersed in is like tons and tons of like dense real-time reps
in learning a topic so that we can self-improve and hyper-personalize in real-time. And to do that,
you have to have a dense user model. You have to have a learning graph. You know, that's not going to
come out of a model company anytime soon. The UI-UX matters a lot too. It has to be a purpose built
or teaching with all the features that come along with that. And also, you know, to some of the
stuff also has to be purely deterministic.
You have to be correct and you have to guarantee that correctness.
And so I think there's a lot of things that ultimately just add up to a lot of friction
when you are asking the user to pull and sort of scaffold and structure their own learning.
Whereas, you know, our philosophy is we're going to pull you in and give you things to do
that are the right next thing for you to do.
Amazing.
Where can people get started?
Go to brilliant.org.
And we have apps as well.
in the App Store and Play Store.
Great.
Well, thank you so much for coming on the show.
Great to finally meet you.
And congrats.
Have a great rest of your day.
We'll talk to you soon.
Thanks.
Goodbye.
Bye.
Before our next guest joins, we have a new release, new information from Sam Sulek.
He has chimed in on the debate over should you work five days a week or seven days a week.
He says you only need to work five days a week.
Don't overdo it.
You do not need to work 24-7.
And overtraining reduces performance.
Most of the time you're not working on the Manhattan Project.
Work hard recovery.
Keep some balance.
So wise words from Sam Sulek.
No, I just took your image and put in Chad GPD.
But it actually makes a lot of sense in the bodybuilding.
You do need to take rest days and bodybuilding.
So it's totally reasonable that that would be something that he would say.
But that, of course, is fake news.
That's our fake news segment for the day.
Fortunately, we have someone with some very real news.
Joining us, we have Bernie Sue, the Emmy-winning series creator,
to talk about movies.
Go back to the YouTubeification of Hollywood.
We'll get his takes on my takes, my very novice takes.
But why don't we start with an introduction on you and yourself?
Can you tell us a little bit about you?
Yeah, sure.
Hi, my name is Bernie.
I have been working in the entertainment industry
and tech-adjacent industries for over a decade.
I've created many shows.
Thanks.
We create many shows.
Across YouTube, Twitch, and other new media platforms, including some shows that were in traditional Hollywood,
but I'm most known for my three Emmy winning shows, Emma approved Lizzie Bennett Diaries,
which were the first and second primetime Emmy wins ever for a YouTube show,
and the show Artificial, which was the first Emmy win for a Twitch show, which also won a Peabody.
And it's an honor to be here, guys.
Yeah, thanks for coming on the show.
Yeah, thanks for popping on.
So, I mean, I...
Rattle off your takes.
Okay.
So I don't know if my take was that contrarian or anything, but it does feel like we're at an, we're an interesting moment where potentially Hollywood is finding a stronger way to work with new media or YouTube than ever before. The Oscars are going to be streamed on YouTube in 2029. And we have back to back to back YouTube massive successes at the box office, something that has been tried loosely before. Can you just get an audience of 10 million?
YouTube subscribers to show up in theaters.
Hasn't always worked out, but this summer, it feels like we're seeing positive success
stories with obsession, backrooms, and iron lung.
And I'm wondering how you're interpreting those three movies.
Is this an actual turning point?
Has this been a slow, gradual grind for years?
And maybe this is less of a important moment than maybe this is something only outsiders
are noticing, and it's been a trend that's been going on for a long time.
But how have you processed the recent viral news around back?
rooms, obsession, iron lung, et cetera.
I mean, you kind of said it there.
I think it's a trend that's been going on for many years.
So if you, I speak at VidCon every year, for example, and I've asked every year in this
kind of the same panel, like, when are the creators of YouTube going to take over Hollywood
and all that stuff?
And I'm like, they are already going and getting there.
They're just not seeing it.
And like, you're seeing the ramp up.
And of course, it's just getting bigger and getting bigger and getting bigger.
It's like, like, I think, you know, regarding say like the Emmys, like Mr. Beast is not
a YouTuber. He's a prime creator
because he has a show on Prime.
That's what he's going for.
So, so these, this is, we're now
seeing in movies, as you said, like, now we're seeing
it in the last, you know, like you said,
the back to back to back run of this year.
But this is something that at least I've
been seeing for, you know, five
years or so as this ramp up. And you're kind of
where you, the
earlier genesis of this was, is that
you had this era where there was these
YouTuber kind of led movies,
influencer led movies,
influencer-led movies,
the movies probably weren't regarded
as great movies,
but I think what missed the mark there
was that they just kind of plugged in play
a dude in there.
It's like, oh, you've got 10 million followers,
let's just put you in here.
And the problem with that is that
that doesn't work because it's not on brand
with the audience that it's coming from, right?
So now with like Iron Lung
and Markiplier and all that stuff,
like it's his, right?
It's his.
So it's very much him being him,
beast games is him being him
just amplified. And you're seeing that tech and social media play coming in all at the same time.
Yeah, I've heard a lot about this in casting calls these days where actors and actresses will just
get asked like, oh, well, do you have 10,000 on Instagram or 100,000 Instagram? And it feels like that
is, it may be it's some sort of signal, but it's not really going to move the needle on,
is this going to be a success at the box office if a few thousand people buy tickets,
it's from your audience of tens of thousands of people.
It's more just like, are you serious?
And have you figured out the Instagram algorithm
to like get a bunch of views?
What do you think?
Living in L.A. for most of my adult life,
I've been surprised.
I've met a bunch of people who are like work in the,
in the movie business, directors, producers.
Sure.
And you'll ask them like, oh, do you have like a YouTube channel?
And they'll be like, no, no, I don't, I don't do that.
And it's always like surprising to me.
because it's basically saying, like, I'm going to let other people and, like, gatekeepers sort of, like, dictate my creative out.
Well, if you already have the key to the gate, why do you need to, it's no problem for you? Because you're going right in.
No, I know. But no, some people, like, that are trying to break in. Sure, sure, sure. Personally, if I was trying to break into the movie business, I'd be making movies. Start digging on.
Like, as much as possible, even if they were, you know, 10 minutes, 20 minutes, you know, or just figuring out some of these other formats.
Yeah.
Like, I think that's, like, when you look at obsession,
yeah.
That's an example of somebody who, like, really, really, really, really got their reps in.
Yep.
Even if it wasn't, like, the format that led to the breakout, you know, like proper, like,
like, box office hit.
Yeah.
I mean, I'll add to that, that, like, right now, all these young creators, like,
you said, breaking in, you are more armed today with just tools, like, like, not just audience,
but audience and tools with, like, the, whether you're on the,
side or not with the creative and the gen.
AI, you have all this automation and all these like efficiency points that you can
activate.
I mean, backrooms was Blender.
Blender.
It's a free open source CGI-I package.
Exactly.
And you go to Skibody Toilet and it's like made in Valve filmmaker and people are making
movies in Fortnite and a halo from a long time ago, if you remember Red versus Blue.
Of course.
Another burning.
Yeah.
And so I guess my big question is, Hollywood.
still has an immense amount of prestige, and it's still seen as the Mount Everest of being a
creator. If you can have a film on the silver screen and have a box office smash, that's great.
But in terms of economics, the YouTube revenues have to be bigger than Hollywood right now.
And I'm not anticipating like a flippening where Hollywood comes back in the traditional sense,
But I'm excited by the idea of YouTubers being able to graduate in the more prestigious, you know, Hollywood filmmaking scene.
But I'm just wondering, like, how much of this is about cultural shelling points, these moments that bring us all together versus something that's more abstract, prestige?
Like, what is the long-term relationship here?
Because it doesn't feel like you're going to see, oh, YouTubers aren't making any money anymore.
And everyone went back to making money in Hollywood.
it feels more like Hollywood's just getting some juice back
and restructuring a little bit to bring some young talent up,
but YouTube will still continue to be a behemoth
in terms of monetization on ads and brand partnerships and whatnot.
Yeah, all of that is accurate.
I would just add clarification on YouTube is, yes, it is bigger,
but it's also more diversified.
Totally.
Because it's just so many channels.
Yeah.
It's like Hollywood puts out whatever 50 movies a year at most.
And, you know, YouTubers are doing that.
One YouTube is doing that a month.
Yeah, yeah.
Like, or not movies, but videos.
You get one.
Yeah, yeah.
And so what we're kind of where you're pointing.
We're putting out one of Hollywood's worth of content.
Like every one, basically.
For minute, right?
For second, whatever.
But like, so what you're going toward there as far as the business side of things is
the kind of what I call the franchising.
Yeah.
Right.
So Hollywood is still the best place to like amplify your franchise.
Like take something and like send it to a bunch of other places.
Okay.
So obviously this is little cherry picking, but like K-pop demon hunters is masterful in the sense of that.
It became a franchise overnight.
And now the irony and fun of it is that Hollywood was trying to catch up to it.
It's like, oh my God, we need more everything.
We're behind on the toys or behind on the merch, behind on the videos.
We need another series right now, all that stuff.
So it kind of comes hand in hand and you finally seeing it as you kind of mentioned at the top of this thing, which was that the YouTubers are now, okay, you know what?
I'm really good here on this platform.
Let's go up.
Let's give it a shot.
Let's see if we make it work.
And we're seeing successes, as we're talking about.
I'm sure there's many failures, okay?
But we're seeing those successes now,
and now, like, the market pliers and these guys,
like they have basically a burgeoning franchise.
Now, whether it continues over years and sequels and everything,
doesn't mean it has to be a sequel, by the way.
Like, if it becomes a video game and that's successful,
that counts.
Probably more.
Totally.
Like, maybe even more, right?
So, like, going kind of what they call transmedia,
it's a weird term, but, like,
if they can jump to different formats and different avenues,
that's where the, if you're coming with the money,
like, that's where the real franchiseability of this thing,
comes from. And YouTubers, if
anything, are actually way more
nimble. I'm not saying they're better. I'm saying they're more
nimble at this than Hollywood, just because
the
the definition
of how small their teams are
and how fast they can move
versus these giant corporate behemas
which have tons of resources
but have a little as bureaucracy that could
slow the system down.
So that's where we're seeing this kind of
not a clash, but it's like
an evolution as this goes forward
where I would imagine
that if you're trying to franchise out one of these guys, these movies, it's like,
all right, right, let's show you how we do it, but let's also kind of get out of your way.
Yeah.
Right?
Let's let you guys do what you do, too.
Yeah.
And see where we land.
What do you think, what do you think obsession will do for low budget film funding?
Like the potential return here is so extreme.
I imagine a lot of people would see this and go try to fund other projects like.
this or is it so so out there and so rare that people won't try to replicate it?
I mean, Hollywood loves trying to replicate.
So we've actually seen this kind of cycle before.
We've seen it with Blair Witch Project over 20 years ago.
We've seen kind of these versions of these like virally kind of things, paranormal
activity, right?
Oh, yeah.
These started as very, very low budget movies that were just very, very cleverly done,
became sensations in their own
way and became franchises.
And you also saw this kind of wave
of found footage movies
after paranormal activity.
What is it about horror movies
that like is a category
that seems to do well with a low budget?
I think it's because it's very just,
it's very understandable.
Like universe and it's not a,
there's no language barrier,
there's no like cultural jokes you have to hit.
It's universally understandable.
And so it's one of those things where, like, you know, as much as we love comedies and we're like, why aren't these comedies the hit?
Like, it's still our cultural tastes are like, like, what's funny to us in America?
So like fear, fear is like more universal than comedy.
And you can create like an extremely scary situation with just a house in the woods, right?
Yeah, exactly.
Or you don't need to be.
And on the production side, yeah, just a house in the woods works.
Whereas even if you're doing a romantic comedy, you might want to shut down a street in Manhattan for a scene that.
outdoors or go to some physical place and like travel around or let alone sci-fi where you have to do
a whole bunch of CGI and be on the, be on the spaceship or something building complex sets,
whereas, you know, you can go and film something in a space.
Team is also saying no A-list actors.
Usually it's weird to see a Marvel star and a horror movie.
Why don't A-list actors?
Because it's more relatable.
Because if I see Tom Cruise there, I'm like, he's not going to die.
But if I see some no-name actor, I'm like, oh, that person could go next.
I don't know who's going to be the last one standing.
So it's kind of a way for like new talent, like in front of the camera and behind the camera to try to basically break in.
So you're saying, well, we're going to see one million obsession knockoffs in the next 12 months.
I mean, I'm about one million, but we're going to definitely see some.
That's for sure.
Okay.
The question is whether they're good or not and all that.
But it's like going back to your, with horror, you can bring the budgets down.
Like you have to pay Tom Cruise, right?
if you're going to bring Tom Cruise in.
You're going to pay everybody is a cost there.
And if horror can just kind of generate its own audience, like, well, why are we paying
for it?
Like, why do we need to, you know, shell out all this money to bring in a star, a named star
or someone with a big following to do this?
So it's like, it's a business plan.
I'm not saying it's right or wrong.
But it's historically the case.
Like, look at any horror franchise.
It's rare to even see any type of A list, B-list, whatever, recognizable star, you know,
headlining it.
Like, look at, you know, the latest.
final destination, right?
That's a seven-movie franchise, I think.
And it's like even the seventh movie didn't have
really anybody, any household names.
Sure. Okay. That were in there.
Scream is a little bit of an exception. I'll give that.
But like, Scream is kind of built its own.
Sure, sure, sure.
When, how long until you,
until you think we see a hit in theaters
that had, where 90% of the budget was
AI compute?
Whoa.
A hit. Can you define a hit?
A hit is like over 30 million, over 30,
over 30 million of box office and over 3x return on budget or something like that.
Oh, that's a good question.
I mean, I think we're going to see in the next.
If they put 10 in, they get 30 out.
Somebody has to be working on it.
The question is, like, do they have the talent?
Are the models actually good enough?
Yeah, yeah.
And so we would, AI in the lot was literally last week.
There was a lot of stuff that came out of it, right?
The Amazon announcements and like the Higgsfield movie.
Sure.
Heat check, I think.
I'm sorry if I misnamed it.
Like, that's a hundred percent, I think, or 90.
It qualifies as far as your compute power situation.
Could it do 30 million at the box office?
Based on what people, I've not seen it, but based on what I'm hearing about it, I'm going to guess no, but move me wrong, please.
Sure.
Like, if you're going to go for it.
But yeah, I do think it will come.
I think there's two factors here, right?
So one is the, does it matter that's AI?
Like most of the public worldwide audience just wants to be entertained.
Sure.
It just want me entertained.
Like, if it's real or not, like, if it's real or not, like,
Like, we've been watching CG movies for generations.
It's like, we still am entertained.
Good movie or bad movie, okay?
So there's that.
But right now you still have this kind of public ritual shaming of like, oh, it's AI, ban, ban, ban.
And we're still seeing a bit of that coming out of AI and a lot even.
So when we think of like experiences that, like, we're building, we're just like, okay, we use a lot of AI right now.
Okay.
And like, we're just trying to build entertaining experiences.
So to me, like, it's, I would say it's soon and later, except for just that, that X factor of the vitriol.
Like, I just don't know how to predict that one of when it will be okay.
But, but it does feel like there's someone out there who hasn't broken in yet, who has nothing to lose, who's just going to be sitting at home just prompting.
And it could, that's why I think, I think it potentially comes from somebody that nobody has heard of.
before. There's also, there also, there might be, so, it might be like an AI movie that could
break through because it's either like self-referential or making fun of AI or doing something
in a different way. Like, like, Toy Story was about toys. It wasn't replacing actors with,
with, with, with, CGI. And so there's, like, less of a conflict there. So if you're doing some
sort of story that could not be told without AI and it's handled the right way, like, you could maybe
massage it a little bit more to get there.
And maybe you don't jump straight to like,
you were expecting Tom Cruise,
but it's just an AI version of Tom Cruise.
Like that's probably gonna be pretty poorly received.
I mean, you're speaking my language.
So like, I'm gonna just slightly explain
what I'm working on, so it kind of relates to this.
So we're at Pickford, we're building,
we showed experience last week over at Sony,
which was basically a detective series
where the audience could interact with it in real time,
because the AI was writing the show as it goes.
Okay, so literally,
impossible without the technology.
So this is one where my colleagues in the filmmaking in AI spaces, we talk about, well, what's more exciting is not just, hey, let's make an AI movie.
What can AI do to juice up the form of art and narrative that we couldn't have done before?
Not a cost thing, like a possibility thing.
And so when you have a series like what we're trying to build, which is interactive, which can only be done because of live prompting audiences in theaters on phones,
now you've driven the experience to the theater,
which we're going to, self-plug,
do at Alamo draft houses around the country this year.
Now, we're not going to,
I doubt we're going to generate $30 million, like you said,
to be a big hit.
But, you know, we have proven, at least in our small sample sizes,
that we can provide an in-theater communal,
entertaining experience, be interactive, be consequential,
as a paid ticket, even.
And we're using AIR,
tech and it's just like it's entertaining yeah animation may be kind of a little wonky at times
the tech is very very like it's calling all this complicated data and all in real time yeah yeah sure
but at the end of the day we are entertaining and that's what we are in the industry first and
foremost all the tech aside and all the business side we that's what we're here to do right
if we're not entertaining classic you know russell crow are you not entertained what are we even
doing here so that's that's where i look at it yeah the personalization stuff
is super interesting. I had a funny experience maybe 20 years ago or so. I was, I grew up in
Pasadena and I was watching this movie in Pasadena. It was Kill Bill Tarantino. Nice. Love it.
And, uh, and, and, and I'm watching and, uh, the bride pulls up in this yellow truck and across the
bottom white text pops up and it says, this scene takes place in Pasadena, California. And I was like,
this is so weird. Like, did I buy the, the localized version of this movie? It just happens to take place in
Pasadena, but you could imagine a horror film that takes place in like any town USA that like uses
your, you know, geolocation to make it more customized to you. It feels more scary because you're
like, oh, this could be happening right outside my window. There's a whole bunch of different ways
that you could instantiate like little personalizations that would be putting in a job.
You know, if you needed a scene of a car like driving past like welcome to downtown USA, generate it
with the Google map. Yeah, like on the fly potentially, not for every place. But, but yeah,
But there will be, I imagine that, like, whatever breaks through will be newer and weirder and break boundaries and won't be a clone of the things that we love, like Star Wars, because we have Star Wars.
We don't need AI version of Star Wars.
We need something entirely new and creative.
Yeah, I completely agree.
So it's like, I have this thing where I say, like, AI is not going to get out Game of Thrones, Game of Thrones.
Like, we're not going to do that.
Like, AI can do things really fast and can fill buckets really quick, like you're trying to fill content on your feed.
It's really great at that.
So it's not going to do that.
So on the high-end art side, the great artist will probably incorporate some little bit AI,
but it's not going to end-to-end that thing.
And then on your side with customization, I really do think that's, I'm selfishly,
I do think that's the play because AI is really good at speed and optimization.
And it's really hard to do customization without speed and optimization.
So now you're playing to the advantage of the technology versus the disadvantage,
which is the sloppiness that we're getting to.
okay.
So not only on your side with the Pasadena example,
which I think is an amazing,
amazing example of customization for possibilities
got me thinking about it actually.
I also think it's about consequentiality,
which means that did you feel like you impacted it, right?
Like, did you feel like while you're watching the movie,
did you do something?
Maybe it's an I thing, maybe it's the same thing.
Can you feel like you're part of it?
And I do think that the young generations,
the Gen Ziers, the Airs and everything,
they're already growing up with like a paris social relationship
to their content.
Sure.
Okay. End to end, right?
And that may be also why these movies are getting successful because they're like,
they feel like they have a relationship to the creator and they feel like, you know, we're going to go.
But to feel like they have an impact in their content, I think that's where the blue sky is.
That's where I feel it's coming from.
And that's where I'm trying to get to myself in my work.
Yeah.
Make a horror movie that I can pause if it gets too scary.
I think you can't pause.
No, no, pause.
And if I pause, you sense it and you just tone it down a notch.
Oh, okay.
Tone it down.
It just gets less scary.
And if you let it play,
just like a separate volume
button,
it's just like a nature document.
I mean,
I mean,
you could have a movie
that you have a separate volume
button for like I want
G-rated.
Because I don't want to get,
I don't want to get too spooked.
I don't want to get too spooked.
I don't think that would break the experience.
Anyway,
lots of fun,
lots of new projects coming.
Well,
thank you so much.
Great to me,
Bernie.
I'm excited to see your new project.
Yeah.
Come back on the show
when we'd love to talk more.
Happy to you.
Looking forward to guys.
Fantastic.
We'll talk to you soon.
Have a good one.
We have some more updates from Sam Sulek.
He says, Hollywood isn't losing.
It's teaming up.
YouTube creators are no longer outsiders.
They're the next franchise.
Gaykeepers are gone.
Discovery happens on YouTube.
Now the best stories and the biggest audiences are moving into theaters.
Wise words.
Wise words.
He also waited on startup tattoos.
We have another one here.
Sam Sulek Hot Take.
This is a whole format now.
The Sam Sulek Hot Take is.
is going viral in his young L.A.
Tank top here.
You don't need to get your startup logo tattooed
even if you were an early employee.
You do not need to work 24-7.
Overtraining reduces performance.
Most of the time,
you're not working on the Manhattan Project.
He continues.
Fun times.
Also, Sam Sulex's very first post on X,
5,000 likes, 260,000 views.
It's just him with a fish.
Check this thing out.
It's beautiful.
Catfish, too.
Check this thing out.
Looking good.
Dream guest.
People ask us.
Yes, this would be a good one.
What's your dream guest?
Hands down.
Sam Sulek.
Sam Sulek.
Yeah.
On AI.
I really enjoyed it on modern wisdom.
The buildout capability over hand.
He's been working on a buildout for years.
He's going fantastic.
Some of these AI CEOs could learn a little thing or two from him.
That's true.
That's true.
Build out yourself before you build out that data center,
approval rating will be a lot higher.
You're worried about the wrong buildout.
You're worried about the wrong buildout.
You're worried about the energy bottleneck?
You should be worried about a protein bottleneck.
Exactly.
Protein shortages.
Protein is the energy of your muscles.
Well, we can close with Wilhelminaitis.
He says, I don't think any of you understand what is about to happen in the market.
We are about to live through the craziest five-year run in techno capital history.
God help us all.
I pray that when the judgment comes, he can see all that we did to ensure efficient price discovery.
Well, he's bullish.
He's.
And that's enough for me.
He's,
I don't know if that's bullish or...
Him being bullish, bearish.
If he's bearish, he should be bullish.
Be bullish when other people are bearish.
Be fearful when other people are greedy.
Who knows?
Do your own research, make your own decisions.
Just do it on public.
Adam Fayes also hired a sketch artist for a party.
He said, I'm so tired of how many experiences of my life have been now been taken over by phones
and content.
For my birthday party this year, I told my friends to leave their phones at home and had a sketch artist capture the night instead.
I thought this is very, very cool, wildly different.
And like, all of these can be printed or framed.
I mean, I guess they're physical pieces of art, but they could also be replicated for the partygoers.
Very, very cool.
Analog.
This is why vinyl records are at an all-time high.
There is demand for both the content barbells.
This is very cool.
the slop and the artisanal handcrafted sketch artist from Adam Fais. Very, very cool.
I had the pleasure of running into Adam on the street. Oh yeah, you did. New York last week
when I was getting coffee. I ran up to him with my camera and I said, hey, sir, what do you do for a living?
What do you do for a living? Was he amused? Mildly. That's what you aim for. I was more amused by my own bit.
Anyway, oh, last thing, Arena Magazine.
Arena Magazine is dropping issue number 008 at sea.
They're covering deep sea mining, shipbuilding, undersea cables, maritime autonomy,
autonomy, island building, American Sea Power, and so much more.
Best enjoyed near a body of water with a cold drink in hand, shipping to subscribers now.
Go check it out, ArenaMag.
One of our favorites, you can subscribe to get the issue at arenamag.com.
We love the folks over there.
So much more to talk about.
But we will see you tomorrow at 11 a.m. Pacific.
Have a great rest of your day.
Have a great week.
It's June.
Leave us five stars.
It's June.
You see that, John? It's June first.
What was surprising about that?
We said that on the intro.
I know.
I mean, it's just crazy to see it.
It's June.
It's June.
Another month.
Time flies.
Another month.
Well,
Leave us five stars on Apple Podcast and Spotify.
Sign up for their newsletter at TBPN.com.
And we will see you.
It's been an honor.
Tomorrow.
Come on.
Flashbang.
