TBPN - Alphabet Breaks $100B Barrier, OpenAI's Rumored $1T IPO | Grant LaFontaine, Chris McGuire, Max Junestrand, Christina Cacioppo, Lin Qiao, Ilan Twig, Taranjeet Singh
Episode Date: October 30, 2025(00:12) - Meta Misses Earnings (06:13) - Alphabet Posts First $100B Quarter (23:58) - OpenAI's Rumored $1T IPO (26:42) - 𝕏 Timeline Reactions (01:17:47) - Grant LaFontaine, co-founder ...and CEO of Whatnot, a live-stream shopping platform, discusses the company's evolution from a niche marketplace for collectibles like Funko Pops to a diverse platform encompassing categories such as fashion and electronics. He emphasizes the importance of starting with a focused niche to build community and liquidity, highlighting that their initial concentration on collectibles allowed them to provide exceptional value to a specific group before expanding. LaFontaine also underscores the significance of listening to users, moving quickly, and taking bold actions, noting that their pivot to live-stream shopping was driven by observing user behavior and resulted in substantial growth. (01:50:48) - 𝕏 Timeline Reactions (01:55:10) - Chris McGuire, a seasoned civil servant, has held pivotal roles in U.S. national security and technology policy, including Senior Advisor to the State Department's Office of the Special Envoy for Critical and Emerging Technology (2023-2025) and Deputy Senior Director for Technology and National Security at the National Security Council (2024). He discusses the evolution of U.S.-China relations, highlighting shifts from integration to competition, particularly in semiconductors and AI, and notes China's assertive responses to U.S. policies, such as leveraging rare earth exports. McGuire emphasizes the importance of proactive measures to secure critical supply chains and suggests class-based regulations to mitigate risks from foreign technologies, like Chinese humanoid robots, to prevent potential national security threats. (02:29:55) - Max Junestrand, CEO and co-founder of Legora, an AI-powered workspace for lawyers, discusses the company's rapid growth since its 2023 inception, including closing a $150 million Series C funding round and expanding into the U.S. market. He highlights the evolution of AI in legal processes, emphasizing the shift from simple conversational AI to sophisticated tools capable of handling complex tasks like due diligence. Junestrand also addresses the potential for law firm consolidation due to technological advancements and the move towards value-based pricing models in the industry. (02:40:11) - Christina Cacioppo, CEO of Vanta, discusses the integration of AI in security and compliance, highlighting that 80% of security leaders are adopting AI agents to counteract AI-driven attacks. She emphasizes the importance of human-AI collaboration, referencing the "Centaur" model where AI and humans work together, and notes that future security breaches may stem from basic oversights rather than complex AI-generated threats. (02:49:05) - Lin Qiao, co-founder and CEO of Fireworks AI, discusses the company's AI inference platform that enables application-specific models to continuously learn and adapt, emphasizing that each developer should have their own specialized model integrated into their product design. She highlights Fireworks AI's significant processing capabilities, handling over 180 requests per second and more than 10 trillion tokens daily, comparable to Google's Gemini. Additionally, Qiao announces a $250 million Series C funding round co-led by Lightspeed and Index Ventures, bringing the company's valuation to $4 billion. (02:54:34) - Ilan Twig, co-founder and CTO of Navan, a travel and expense management company, discusses the company's journey from facing near-zero revenue during the COVID-19 pandemic to a successful IPO, highlighting the resilience and adaptability of their business model. He emphasizes the importance of leveraging technology to enhance travel experiences, introducing 'Ava,' an AI-powered virtual travel agent developed through Navan Cognition, a proprietary framework designed to ensure reliability and minimize AI hallucinations. Twig also shares a personal anecdote about his 90-year-old father attending the IPO ceremony, underscoring the personal significance of the milestone. (03:03:46) - Taranjeet Singh, co-founder and CEO of MEM0, discusses the company's mission to provide memory solutions for AI agents, addressing the current limitations of stateless AI applications that fail to evolve with user interactions. He highlights MEM0's market leadership, citing 41,000 GitHub stars, 14 million downloads, and a recent $24 million funding round led by Basic Ventures. Singh envisions a future where users own and carry their AI memories across various applications, enhancing personalization and user experience. TBPN.com is made possible by: Ramp - https://ramp.comFigma - https://figma.comVanta - https://vanta.comLinear - https://linear.appEight Sleep - https://eightsleep.com/tbpnWander - https://wander.com/tbpnPublic - https://public.comAdQuick - https://adquick.comBezel - https://getbezel.com Numeral - https://www.numeralhq.comPolymarket - https://polymarket.comAttio - https://attio.com/tbpnFin - https://fin.ai/tbpnGraphite - https://graphite.devRestream - https://restream.ioProfound - https://tryprofound.comJulius AI - https://julius.aiturbopuffer - https://turbopuffer.comfal - https://fal.aiPrivy - https://www.privy.ioCognition - https://cognition.aiGemini - https://gemini.google.comFollow TBPN: https://TBPN.comhttps://x.com/tbpnhttps://open.spotify.com/show/2L6WMqY3GUPCGBD0dX6p00?si=674252d53acf4231https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/technology-brothers/id1772360235https://www.youtube.com/@TBPNLive
Transcript
Discussion (0)
You're watching TVPN. Today is Thursday, October 30th, 2025. We are alive from the TVVN Ultronome.
The Temple of Technology, the Fortress of Finance, the capital of capital. Meta missed earnings yesterday.
Due to a one-time tax hit? Yes. Not a, not that big of a deal, honestly. Meta posts record revenue, but warns of expenses. This is from the Wall Street Journal.
Meta reported record revenue in the third quarter, but the technology company warned of accelerating capital expenditures around artificial intelligence, sending its stock down 7% after hours trading.
If you're worried about expenses, you've got to go to ramp.com. Time is money saved both.
These are used corporate cards, bill payments, accounting, and a whole lot more all in one place, baby.
It's now a $1.7 trillion company.
not bad but we are in the age of three four five trillion dollar companies now it's crazy times
there's a club above uh stand out for me reels at north of a 50 billion dollar run rate crazy
which is more than all of tv combined right something like that it's close no i think uh
i think television advertising like linear tv advertising is is in that range or it's like creeping up
on it. In 2024, television advertising spending in the U.S. was expected to amount to approximately
$60 billion. I mean, they're within striking distance. Let's hear it for the meta team.
Remarkable. So there was this one-time tax charge of $15.9 billion that crushed net income.
Spending on AI researchers has also been crazy recently. And KAPX is growing a ton.
They're going to hit $72 billion this year. I'm going to go.
for my 72 billion over at Meta.
Not bad.
The ad load, just anecdotally, is up tremendously.
They're now doing four ads where they used to do one.
Yeah.
I think they were almost five.
Like you can go in between stories and get five in a row or something.
Yeah.
So in between two stories, you can get up to five individual ads.
So got to pay for all that CAPEX somehow.
Yeah, the core business rocks.
We know this.
51.2 billion in revenue this quarter.
They were up 26% year over year.
And there's just so many dials that the meta team can get slightly more dialed every quarter.
You can get more users, more time on the platform from those users, more ads, more targeted ads.
There's all these small tweaks that add up and wind up compounding.
So my bigger question today is what happens to the advertising cash machine once you're two decades in?
So Google went through this transition on October 2nd of 2015.
And at the time, I feel like most people thought it was crazy.
They rebranded.
They went from Google to being called Alphabet.
And the idea was that they were going to have other business lines.
Yeah.
Yeah.
We're going to have other things.
And focus is usually pretty valuable.
And at the time, people were like, well, you can't even keep Google Reader online.
You can't even get a chat app.
up to date. You can't win in social networking. You had to shut down Google Plus. So what are you
thinking you're going to go build a self-driving car, an AI team, or a new cloud platform? Like,
this is crazy? Just put the 10 blue links in the back. But looking back on it now, it feels like
Alphabet totally deserves the broader name. The company is more than just Google search box,
certainly more than 10 blue links. Google Cloud is material, DeepMind is material, Waymo is material.
There's the business side, Google Apps for Business.
All of these are both key to the future value of Alphabet, but also key to just running the business today.
The interplay between these divisions creates a ton of value, but more importantly, I don't think these businesses, at least most of them, would exist if they hadn't grown up in a cash-rich environment.
It's just so hard to predict in 2009, how much capital is it going to take us to build a self-driving car network that we'll be able to launch in San Francisco and barely be profitable and then we'll probably need another decade?
You know, a strange comp here is YC, I don't know, some years ago at this point was trying to understand what the factors that contributed to the breakout successes.
and one factor was founders having wealthy parents.
So the founders felt like they could just take these really massive high-risk swings
because they weren't going for a base hit.
The founders, like, if I make like a few million dollars,
if I make a few million dollars, it doesn't change my life, right?
Trust is well beyond that.
I got to go big.
And so I got to go big, willing to look silly for a long period of time,
willing to just stumble around as long as it takes to hit it really big.
and certainly, you know, a number of the things you just outlined, like, wouldn't have been able to be,
maybe would have died as traditional venture businesses.
Yeah.
I mean, this was what I was writing about with OneX, the robotics company, extremely difficult to understand,
are we three years away from that business really working financially?
Are we 10 years away from the business, really working financially?
There's a lot going on, but Google was able to just hold on to Waymo from 2000.
to today, 16 years, and they're probably still losing money on it. I mean, they're like
unit economics are decent in one specific market. It's going to be a long time.
I would say definitely losing money. But they can actually do stuff. But every time they
announce something, you know they stream it. They got to get on re-stream one live stream,
30 plus destinations, multi-stream, and reach your audience wherever they are. You can sign in with
Google since we're talking about Google.
I wanted to look at some parallels between what's going on with Google, who's been on a tear and now has this like all of a sudden pretty diversified business.
There's this meme here of the Ninja Turtles where the account alphabating.
Yes. So the search giant, the search, the cash machine of the of the ads business is taking the other bets as their children.
And now as search becomes less relevant potentially in the age of AI, well, what does Alphabet have?
They have Google Cloud.
They have Waymo.
They have Maps, Gmail, Chrome, DeepMind, Google AI.
Like, it's a stack lineup.
And so, yes, even if search does get older.
I love how YouTube isn't even deserving of its own Ninja Turtle.
No.
And you'd think YouTube would be a huge one here.
And that one seems, YouTube seems extremely resilient in the age of AI.
It seems like the place, it's a social network.
It's going to stick around.
And we really haven't seen any.
I mean, we've seen the Sora stuff.
but no one's everyone uses chat chb-tie and says oh wow yeah this is definitely going to replace
some of my Google searching for me for me and then just giving me the results uh no one's saying
that about Sora no one's saying like oh i don't need to watch doug demuro anymore or whatever
yeah and i mean i i think one of the you know right now you're seeing more AI content on
youtube but it's still created by independent channels yep there's a world and you know youtube
pays out a huge amount of its revenues today to the creators on the platform there's
a world in the future where YouTube just generates the video, the content itself through, you know,
its various AI products. It never actually has to pay out a creator. Yeah. And that's actually
better for YouTube in many ways. So, so content creators today are worried about being disrupted
by other people using AI to make content. They're not thinking about the platforms themselves that
know exactly what the kind of content that people like and would be able to over time produce it
themselves. Yeah, but aggregating that demand.
Aggregating attention.
Yeah, yeah, the value is aggregating this is the, is not aggregating the supply side.
It's the demand side. This is the aggregation theory. And so if you want to aggregate,
if you can aggregate a bunch of people that open apps and are in the market for video,
you can serve them up a Mr. Beast video or a Doug DiMiro video or you can serve them up.
Yeah, I could generate content and you still make money because you have aggregated that,
that demand, not supply.
Doug DeBiro would be a good guest.
We are working on it.
Great point.
Okay.
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So the Google story is very interesting.
Because really, for the last decade since 2015,
when they rebranded his alphabet,
I feel like they were not getting a lot of credit.
People were like, oh, yeah, like Google,
It's like the kind of the place where you sit on the, you rest and vest, you sit on the rooftop,
you're not really doing anything.
And then now everyone's waking up to this idea that it's like, whoa, they have like four
monster businesses.
And yeah, there's a ton of gravestones in the graveyard from various note taking apps and chat
apps and Google readers over there.
But overall, they wound up building a very diverse, very valuable business where even if Waymo's
not cash flowing a ton, is it worth $100 billion?
Does that add to their $3 trillion market cap materially?
Probably, right?
Waymo also raised like a venture round not too long ago?
Yeah, I think it actually has like a public mark now, which is interesting.
But my question is, how do we take this and we bridge it to what's going on at Meta, formerly Facebook, in October.
I guess October is the month where you rebrand your company.
Facebook did it.
Google rebranded to Alphabet in October of 2015.
Facebook rebranded to meta in October of 2021.
And people, I think, were overly narrow about framing that transition about, specifically
VR, specifically virtual reality, the metaverse, everything that Mark Zuckerberg was
investing in after the Oculus acquisition and the Meta Horizon worlds and VR.
Obviously, that was a piece.
It's interesting that I feel like the name Meta has aged pretty well.
I agree.
Even though it was ultimately somewhat like embarrassing overinvestment at the time.
Totally.
So the name aged well, even though the activities that were driving the name change did not.
Yes.
And I think it was just, it was just important for Mark Zuckerberg to send the message that
we're not any single app.
We're not Facebook.
Yeah.
Yeah.
And we're not even just social networking.
Like we could wind up with a hyperscaler cloud platform.
If there was like, you know, yes, you have.
AWS, GCP, Azure, and then you also have like meta-cloud platform, people would be like,
yeah, that makes sense. And that's a couple hundred billion dollar business. And they figured it
right. And so that rebranding, it did definitely set them up for a new era, but also just the
ability to place other bets like what Google did once they became alphabet. But so it's interesting
to see like how will, you know, like what would those bets look like? Because AI is obviously just
a sustaining innovation for meta. It's a similar thing to YouTube, right? And machine learning's
been generating value in ad targeting for over a decade. Sustaining in many ways, but the
potentially disruptive component is that people are using LLMs in social ways. And so as people
spend more and more time talking to LLMs, that is time that they are not in meta platforms products.
Yeah, maybe, maybe on the like the personal interaction side, like the really parosocial stuff.
That's what I'm saying.
That's what I'm saying.
But for the users, like, like, you know, there are users out there that used to spend
five hours a day using meta products and now are spending.
I don't understand any of those, though.
I mean, you look at the overall usage numbers.
Yes, you're getting 30 minutes of chat.
but you're not seeing a blink on it's people are like there's their doom scroll in
instagram and then they're also chatting with four oh right they're doing about yeah maybe
but at the end of the day i mean i i agree like it could potentially be a headwind long term
uh and that's and that's obviously why i'm just saying like mark certainly like sees ramping
attention and use user minutes on total open a i products totally and it's a concern it's a risk
not quite as material as for Google.
And so, yeah, the question is like, can meta, MSL, TBD Labs generate some sort of chatbot
that's at 4-0 level, frontier level, doesn't need to be superintelligence necessarily immediately,
but just something to sort of stem that bleeding in the way that Gemini and AI search mode,
AI mode in Google search and the AI search overviews
sort of stemmed of the bleeding from, okay, well,
do I need to just stop using Google search
for knowledge retrieval?
If you're like, am I, do I need to stop?
Maybe you can pull some people there.
But, I mean, Meta does,
even though there's like all this chaos around who they're hiring
and they're laying off their old team
and they're building this new team,
they're spending so much money,
it's not like they're new to this.
Like Meta started using machine learning
for ad targeting all the way back in 2013,
two years before Open AI was founded,
four years before the transformer paper.
This is not a new technology for Facebook.
They've been using this in their core infrastructure
for over a decade.
But there's this question of
what is Mark Zuckerberg's track record
when building or buying successfully
in new markets?
That's where it gets really hard.
Obviously, Instagram, WhatsApp, great results.
but certainly much harder in VR and also, you know, whatever the next, next thing is, it's much less clear.
He has a track record of being amazing at cloning incredible features and products and buying incredible features and products.
There's no obvious track record of zero to one innovation.
And some of this stuff has just been blocked.
Like, I believe he wanted to buy Unity, game engine, and effectively, like, get into the gaming world in one way or another.
And, of course, some of those games would be instantiated in VR or instantiated in meta properties.
But I believe that was blocked or that didn't get through FTC.
Yeah, you know, an environment that doesn't allow him to buy great companies is not a great.
It's his kryptonite.
He's nerfed.
He's definitely nerd.
He's nerfed.
He's one of the M&A goats.
He is one of the M&A goats.
His power level stays too high.
And it's way different than Google.
And it's interesting because on the face of it, Google and Facebook have similar backstories, similar cultures, you know, young founders who built up these tech companies.
Only seven years, eight years apart from each other when they started.
But Google had a very different culture.
You know, it's a PhD research project, sort of an academic campus when you're walking around.
the mission is organizing the world's information.
It's like very nerdy.
And that obviously translates to,
hey, how do we organize the world's information?
Let's create a mapping product, Google Maps.
Okay, what do we do when we have all the maps?
Let's try and drive around a car on it.
And then they get self-driving cars, right?
And it's like, it's a little bit harder to jump from like,
our mission is to bring people together.
So we're generating AI or VR,
which feels like the opposite direction.
And so I don't know.
No, it feels like there's always been a little bit more tension on the mission related to where the other bets go.
Whereas you organize all the information, the organizing the world's information.
Like you might say, how does a self-driving car fit into that?
But I can totally say, here's exactly how it fits into it.
I can't say that.
It's much harder.
What's meta's mission monetize the world's attention?
No.
Bringing people together.
And the thing is bringing people together.
To build the future of human connection and the technology that makes it possible.
Yeah.
And so there's a lot of, there's a lot of products that feel like they might be successful.
I would love, I would love for Mark to just go super villain mode again.
You know, he, he's, like at some point, it could make sense from a calm standpoint to lean, you know, in the opposite direction.
Of course.
Yep, yep, yep.
Right now, that's not the strategy.
but if you just said, our mission is to monetize the world's attention.
That would go pretty hard.
I think the stock pops 20% that day.
I think so, too.
You want to build it back up.
Monetize the world's attention.
Stock's down 10% today, but if we came out with that,
updating on Halloween.
Ooh, spooky.
Spooky.
I like that.
Spooky update.
I like that we're going into spooky earning season.
Before we move on, let me tell you about cognition, the makers of Devon.
the AI software engineer, crush your backlog with your personal AI engineering team.
Yeah.
And so overall, you know, it's easy to look back with 2020 hindsight on Google and be like,
wow, it all made sense.
They were these academics.
They wanted to organize the world's information.
They wound up building AI.
They wound up building Waymo.
They've been very successful there.
Who knows what's going to happen with meta.
I do think that there is an open question about how does Meta square the ground
of the mission into whatever comes next.
Because if you're, if, if there is a big business to be built in anti-personal,
in truly like anti-social networking, you kind of got to square that with the mission, right?
And so maybe you do need to, maybe you need to shift away to some sort of newer missions,
something different.
Or maybe you need to.
Apple, Apple should probably update their mission to making phones that are performant,
but break easier.
Have you, have you actually read out?
Apple's mission ever?
The Apple mission...
We got to do a segment called Ranking Big Tech's mission statements.
We definitely do.
Apple's mission is to bring the best user experience to its customers
through innovative hardware, software, and services.
Is that actually...
That's like the least inspiring mission statement.
They've gone...
So Apple strives to bring the best personal computing experience
to student, educators, creative professionals,
and consumers around the world.
There was an older mission statement.
At some point,
like, post jobs era,
there was one that, like, literally had, like,
TM for, like, we make the iPad,
which is the best, like, tablet computer.
And it was just, like, a list of products that they had.
It was, like, deeply...
Apple's mission is to create technology
that empowers people and enriches their lives.
That's pretty good.
That's better than the AI overview of a...
Anyways, yeah, I think the mission statement's probably underutilized as a mechanism to increase your stock price.
Because authenticity, authenticity is like a powerful thing.
Yeah, I mean, overall, I think, you know, there's a lot of questions about like what is MSL building, what is TBD Labs, what is superintelligence, how does this all fit together?
I don't think anyone doubts that meta can benefit from just improve machine learning systems,
improved AI features all over the ecosystem, all over the family of apps, all over the core apps.
The question is like, are any of the side projects going to become monsters because you're kind
of in the side project era now that you're 20 years old?
Yeah, that's a good point.
But yeah, you know, another shout out in the second quarter of 2022, Reels was at a one-billion.
million dollar run rate. And by the third quarter of 2022, a three billion dollar run rate, second
quarter of 23, 10 billion, and the third quarter of 2025, 50 billion. So the growth is absolutely
incredible. And yeah, credit, credit to Meta's, you know, entire team for just ridiculous execution.
Yeah. Google really crushed it. Google's parents says spending on AI development may reach 90
billion. They're higher than
Meta's 72.
Google parent companies,
Google's parent company reported a 16%
surge in third quarter revenue
with growth in its digital advertising
and cloud computing units helping to
finance robust artificial intelligence spending
sales reached a record
102.2.3 billion.
Sundara was just like
Is that good?
I mean, he almost
posted like that. Like the post is like, hey, we did our first $100 billion quarter.
Not, and it's completely down place how insane that is. That's so, so massive. Shares rose 5%
in after hours trading. I think it's up a little bit more now. Net income was $35 billion, a 33%
increase from the same period a year ago. Like other large tech companies, Google is pouring tens of
billions of dollars in the AI development. I mean, what a remarkable result. You know, there was so
much, so much fun. Our friend Logan Kilpatrick, of course, works at Google, replies to Sundar and says,
Google is the most incredible business in the world. He just said that. He's replied to Sundar and said
that. I have to, I have to agree. I have to agree with Lewis. We are very proud to be sponsored with
them by, I partnered with them, by the way.
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Talk about a domain name.
And this is, I didn't ask Logan if this is cool, but if you run into any issues with Gemini,
you can just DM Logan.
It will be your personal tech support.
And if he doesn't respond quickly,
DM me, then I'll DM him and say, hey.
You're famously a, you're famously a dot com respecter
and a good domain respecter.
Google has gotten to the level where they're buying whole TLDs.
Are you familiar with this?
Like, dots, dot new.
Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah.
I believe they own dot Google.
And so if you go to, I think if you go to com.
dot Google, it resolves or something like that.
I think they bought dot Google.
Maybe I don't get that right.
WWW.
I got to look this up.
But they've been on a tear.
If you go to docks.
dot new, you just get a new Google doc,
which is cool.
Anyway, let's move on to some timeline.
Let's move on to some news.
Tyler, what's new in your world?
I mean, most of the big news, I guess,
was the Open AI.
IPO. Yeah, $1 trillion. And that's from Reuters, correct? Uh, yes. Do we know, like,
was that just leaked to them or does that, can you just call them? Should we call Reuters? Hey,
TPPN, we think it might be worth a trillion. Uh, R-E-U-T. Yeah, I don't know where this was
originally reported, but. Open AI lays the groundwork for juggernaut IPO at up to a one trillion dollar
valuation. Three people.
familiar with the matter said. So they got some reporting. They got a scoop. The company has looked
at raising 60 billion at the low end and likely more. They cautioned that talks are early in plans,
including figures and timing could change depending on business growth and market conditions.
CFO Sarah Fryer, who's been on the show, has told some associates the company is aiming
for a 2027 listing. Boo! Play the wantwale. Let's get it. How?
happened in earlier. Some advisors predicted could come even sooner around late 2026. I want this IPO to
happen tomorrow. I think it'll be the most entertaining news item ever to actually get to dig into
an S-1, to actually look at the financials. Like there's been so many leaks, so many, so much
speculation to actually get- We can do our first 24-hour show. We should. We should. I mean,
realistically, we should be there in New York City, the day of.
talking to all these people, everyone involved, as they go out.
Yeah, so it says they're planning to file on the back half of 2026.
Yeah, so it'll be a while.
There's still a lot to do, a lot to build.
I'm sure that they want visibility into what's the impact of SORA on the business.
What's the impact?
I saw another post that was, I don't think it's in our stack,
but it was something of the effect of like, you know, how,
depending on where meta's market comes,
cap is at the time of the Open AI IPO will be like potentially like like it will be an
interesting comp because you're going to be able to look at a business that's like very you know
at scale like profitable still growing very quickly versus open AI which we know will be losing
you know tens of billions of dollars at the time of the IPO yep and of course we'll have an
amazing growth story and a bunch of narrative and things like that but um
will still be, the comps are going to be absolutely wild if it's landing in that one to,
you know, one plus trillion dollar range. Yeah. Let's go to some timeline. Suspended cap says
makes no sense what the F meta is spending all this money on. You've spent 70 billion on reality
labs to make the Rayban vision. Are you serious? And people are critical of Apple and their hardware
efforts. Give me a break. And investor Nick says, investors need to punish Zuck like they did in
2022. And suspended cap says, he won't blink this time. This is too big. He's effed. I don't know.
He does have one of the biggest cash machines in the entire world, in the entire history of
business. There's a lot of cash. And there's, it's worth remembering the debate between Eric Schmidt and
Peter Thiel, where Peter Thiel sat down with Eric Schmidt, I believe, at a wired conference,
maybe it was Forbes, and they debated what big tech companies should do with all the cash they're
generating before we continue. Before I finish this thought, let me tell you about figma.com.
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I can't believe you interrupted your own thought.
And so I was listening to Sharp China with Bill Bishop last night, and he,
And he, his dog came in and he mentioned the farmer's dog, which is like the brand of dog food that he feeds the dog.
And he was like, this isn't like TVPN.
We are doing 25 ads in the middle of the show.
And I was like, you are doing ads.
Anyway, yeah, the question was like Google has all this money.
Why do they have this growing cash pile?
Why can't they find something to do with it?
And it's interesting looking back on it now because Google did wind up giving a lot of cash back.
they weren't able to find a place to,
they truly had too much cash to do.
They invested so much in Waymo and so much in DeepMind
and so much in Google Cloud and,
and a ton of other projects.
And at the same time,
they still had money left over.
And so they were still doing, I think,
stock buybacks and dividends throughout that whole process.
And so it was, like,
Teal was kind of proven right that Google was sort of out of ideas
or the big tech companies or the technology industry broadly
was really out of ideas.
Then, of course, AI comes.
Now we're sort of vindicated,
hey, there is this new thing.
We can invest.
Let's draw down on the cash flow.
People are skeptical about it,
but at least it's happening.
But the question is,
is what is Zuck thinking?
Because he's definitely in the mode of like,
I got this cash machine.
Let me invest my cash flow
in new data centers,
in new AI training routes,
in VR.
I think investors are right to look at this
and say, like,
meta platforms,
is one of the greatest businesses
of all time.
And the CEO is a little crazy.
Like, he's a bit of a wild card.
Like, he has, like, obviously has an incredible...
That's true for all of the big tech companies.
No, I disagree.
I think if you look at Sundar, I think if you look at Satya, I think if you look at the guys
that are running...
What about Bezos?
I'm thinking Bezos, because they had a cash machine with Amazon.
What did you do?
He didn't return a dime of capital and had gross net profits of like zero for a decade.
Yeah, but he was building a...
AWS. And the last time that Mark invested this heavily in something, it did not deliver R-A-Y.
Sure. And so I think people are just a little bit scared. That's why the stock's more volatile.
That's why it traded down 10%. This is fair. Google is up. Google's up 10%.
Microsoft traded down briefly after earnings. But ultimately, I think you have to, if you're investing in this company,
You have to be okay.
You have the, the, the, the, the, the, the sort of protection knowing that this is fundamentally
just a fantastic business.
And you can, you can, you can pause, you know, they can sort of pause this, like,
crazy spending at any point.
But, again, they, MediCAN.
Yeah.
But Meta hit the, hit, uh, they're doing a bond offering that got announced this morning
for $25 billion.
And that's after they did another, um, they did another deal with Blue Al for like something like
$30 billion a couple weeks ago.
And so Zuck is levering up.
He's going all in.
And investors need to be tolerant of that risk.
And there's plenty of people that are going to say, well, it's fine.
I'd rather own, you know, alphabet.
I'd rather own Microsoft, et cetera.
Bucco Capital Bloch is also, seems like he's on your side here.
He says, excited to buy meta in the 500s.
The stock, of course, is trading in the 600s.
So he's joking that it will.
It's $666.66 a share.
Is that a good thing?
Is that a good omen?
Is that a good symbolism?
It's a devilish omen.
It's rough.
And Bucco Capital says,
the only challenge will be having the courage to do it when it gets there.
And he shares a pretty good visualization from Gemini of what's happening right now.
Mark Zuckerberg is in some sort of convertible,
driving off a cliff,
wearing a VR headset with piles of cash.
Wall Street in the back.
Flying out the back of the car.
I mean, to be honest, I think this makes him look really sick.
It does.
And this is exactly what I want out of a big tech CEO.
I want risk.
I want risk.
And I don't know.
I feel like you're making a ton of good points that I agree with this year.
I'm not saying, to be clear, that I'm not riding with Zuck.
I will always ride with Zuck.
I'm just saying I understand why people are like, you know what?
I'm going to, I'm not, I can't really stomach.
you know, a drawdown, some people are going to just rotate into the other hyperscaler.
I'm just trying, yeah, Tyler, what do you think?
I mean, people were calling for Sundar to be basically fired for like a long time.
I know.
Until like basically this year.
Yeah.
So I feel like you're exaggerating how much like Google has been like this like winner the whole
time.
No, no.
No, no.
I completely agree.
This was my point about when they rebranded to Alphabet.
Like everyone was like, you're not going to cure cancer and create self-driving cars and also
build AGI and build a cloud platform.
And people were still saying Sundar
should not be CEO recently. For 10 years. For 10 years. Yeah, people were saying it's not really
working. And now finally people are like, okay, it actually worked. You have a diversified
business. Congratulations. Okay. Breaking news. Yes. This is going to rock
your world. No way. Taylor Sheridan and Peterberg,
team on Paramount and Activision's Call of Duty movie.
Let's go. Let's go. Hit the gone for that.
The creators that made Yellowstone, Heller High Water, and Lone Survivor and Sicario.
I'm so excited for the Call of Duty movie.
You know, they should also make a Vanta movie.
Automate compliance, manage risk, prove trust continuously.
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and replaces it with continuous automation.
That's incredible.
Wait, so what we need to get someone on the show who understands,
media because I like this all seems like it's happening very very quickly we understand
neo factual media yeah media corporate media legacy new legacy media no I don't
understand neotrad media the neo conglomerate is entirely new to me I don't understand
what Ellison's doing I don't understand what Taylor Sheridan is doing in reaction to it it
it seems like this is a reaction basically Taylor Sheridan left Ellison's new empire left
Paramount and said, hey, I'm out and I'm going over to NBC Universal.
I'm riding with the Comcasters.
And now he's saying, I'm making Call of Duty movie.
Is this, is this all tied to his, him leaving, um, him leaving Ellison?
Or is it something else?
I don't know.
I'm sure this was in the works for a while, for a while.
Potentially.
Was it?
I don't know.
There have been like a flurry of Taylor Shepard.
shared in like little leaks and news items because it seems like he's in a negotiation with
David Ellison over, I mean, he was until he laughed, but he's still with, he's still with
Paramount at least for, you know, a couple more months, maybe a couple more years. He still has
projects in flight. You can't just like, you know, completely dip on your, on your production
company. But we really should get someone on the show to figure that out. Let's go to more
haters, more, you know, posters on the timeline from Jebultard. This AI stuff is so dumb.
Zuck is repeating the 2022 sinking of a great money machine in meta with wasteful spend.
The metaverse sucked and AI is nearly as dumb with all this CAPEX as investors tell him they're sick of it.
Yeah, and part of part of the, I think part of the, I think part of,
of the blowback here is that the first AI product that Meta announced from their new team was Meta vibes.
Incredible.
And I know you're, I know you've been putting an hours and hours a day on the Meta vibes app, but that didn't send a strong, that does not inspire confidence.
Yeah.
Right?
Because it was, they, if they had launched SORA, people would have been saying like, wow, they're absolutely cooking.
And I think there's two audiences.
that the Met of Vibes app didn't hit with.
One was, okay, the extremely online technical teapot,
whatever you want to call them,
those folks are like,
well, this looks like white-labeled mid-jurney
because it kind of is,
and the app just doesn't feel like super polished
or like crazy, oh wow,
I've never seen these like UI paradigms.
So there's that.
And then there's the, you know,
the teapot critique of like infinite jest and slop and all this stuff.
So like they weren't hitting with like the insiders.
But then simultaneously,
it's not like you walk down the street and you were like, oh, wow, like this is actually breaking
through with just like everyday random people in the way that threads has. And so, I don't know,
maybe in a year we'll be like, oh, wow, they actually figured it out. They funneled a ton of people
to meta vibes and it's as successful as threads. That would be impressive. It seems like a tall order.
Yeah, it won't be. It won't be. But the thing about SORA that stood out, and even though I'm not
bullish on SORA as a media consumption platform.
It had this innovative,
super viral feature that was fresh and new.
And so I think if Meta had launched that,
everyone had been like,
yeah, you spend the money.
Yeah.
But when they launched lives.
Because at least you're on the frontier of the slop.
Like you have the purest slop.
Yeah.
And it, you know,
SORA benefits Instagram weirdly because people are creating more
content over there and it's driving engagement.
And also just,
but it did not inspire.
actual app, the idea of cameos and putting those things together.
Yeah.
And the way it was like all the little details.
Yeah, it was like, okay, this is unique.
And like there's clearly a ton.
Like, it doesn't feel.
Did you see cameos suing Open AI?
Like cameo that the celebrity video by a celebrity video platform suing open AI over the feature,
which I don't know.
Do we the feature or just the name?
The naming, the naming of the feature, which feels like a stretch to me.
Yeah, I don't know.
The other thing.
The problem with brand names is if you create a name that is too descriptive of what you do, you can't trademark it.
So if we were to call this like the news show, we couldn't have any intellectual property around that.
Did you see this engineer said a couple days ago, just submitted my resignation from META?
Some might say that one year at the company is not that long, but I survived like.
three rounds of layoff, so I think it's fair play.
For what it's worth, my team is great, and it was an overall positive experience,
but there are other better places to build AGI, which hopefully won't be used for
stepmom chatbots and infinite slop machines.
Wow.
Skating.
I wonder what the play is.
Do you think that's like grow your account so you can be a founder, launch something?
The whole, I don't know, the slop, it doesn't seem, I don't know, it's tricky.
Yeah.
So, Zuck is certainly, I don't think, going to take his foot off the gas yet.
No, no way.
The vibes will have to get about 10 times worth.
There's new reality labs hardware shipping every year.
Like, there was massive pushback, and the stock, like, sold off by, like, 50%.
It was, like, really, really rough for a while.
Wasn't it, didn't it trade down to something like?
Yeah, like $300 a share or something.
No, I think it was, I mean, so.
Yeah, look at the five-year chart.
At the bottom of 2022, it was $90 a share.
That's what I'm saying.
Rough.
And it was up at 300.
So it traded from almost 400 to 90, which is down 70%.
Like, that is an insane drawdown.
And then it just built right back up and it was bigger than ever.
And so, I don't know.
I feel like people might be filling out apology forms for him at some point, even though it looks rough right now.
Just something's going to wind up clicking.
And also, the core business is just going to keep ripping.
So you just get so many more shots on goal.
It's just an endless, an endless, you know, stream of shots on goal when you have a cash machine like the family of apps.
Yeah.
Also, the stock's up 20% in the last six months, even, even, you know, factoring in this 10% drawdown.
I don't know. I think investing in AI is not the craziest thing you can do in 2025 as a hyperscalor CEO.
Anyway, Polymarket has some OpenAI IPO market up already.
So no IPO by December 31st, 2026 is already at 55%.
We will certainly be tracking this.
But if they do get out, the market is pricing.
right now between 1 and 1.25 trillion in market cap, but 6% chance that it's up at 1.5 trillion,
which would be crazy to go out. Not technically the biggest IPO of all time. I believe that
belongs to Saudi Aramco. So oil is still dominant relative to AI, but still would be one of the
most insane tech IPOs in history, obviously. Quickly, before we move on, graphite.dev.
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Did you want to watch this video?
Toby yesterday responded...
Wait, Luke Key?
Yeah, Toby, we covered his post where he said,
having some AI follow you into your Zoom meetings
or Google Meet for taking notes is the digital equivalent
of showing up to a meeting with your flydown.
I said, I never let them in.
I just let them sit there in the waiting room.
Oh, I forgot. Sorry.
He responded and said,
I'm actually very pro-meeting recording and AI summarization,
but I'm not okay with bots joining as far.
fake humans to accomplish this.
It's a meeting between you and me, not you and me and some startup's viral growth strategy.
Granola is great.
Gemini does this well in Google Meet.
Hypernote is great and fully local, but use them with consent.
My tweet is about how ridiculous and self-important it looks when you show up to a meeting
with random bots as entourage.
Yeah, I think...
I do remember seeing there's a viral screenshot of somebody who showed up.
Is this the screenshot where somebody brought like five bots?
It's just hilarious.
Entourage is actually kind of sick.
Yeah.
Wait, Tyler, this would be a good hack project.
Like, viral entourage on your calendar that when you join a meeting, it just joins
with like 25 other people.
And it's just like, it just takes your name and just automatically does like, you're chief
of staff, your head of security, your PR person, your secretary, your driver, your diet
your, and it just joins every meeting with 20 different bots and just makes you look super
important online. Maybe that'll happen. We should move on to this video of Jensen Wong,
CEO of Indysohn. I was going to go for that, the guy from Snowflake. Oh, okay, yeah, yeah.
I mean, let's watch. The Jensen video is only seven seconds. So look at this. He's having beers
with some absolute dogs. He's hanging out with the CEO of Samsung.
the CEO of Hyundai hanging out in South Korea,
just having some beers, crushing some beers of the boys.
This is how you do it.
People will call it a top signal.
I mean, this is going to go so hard in a top signal vibreel
that we will definitely create when the time is right.
But, I mean, there have been crazier top signals.
And when in video was it like half the market cap is at now,
Jensen was signing autographs.
And people were like, that's-
signing a woman's shirt right here?
I'd have done that too.
I don't know.
But it was a crazy moment.
And everyone was like,
this has got to be it.
So I think Jensen is just consistently putting out crazy clips that read as top signals
to confuse the market.
Keep you guessing.
That's right.
That's right.
He said, doubt me again.
He also says that Korea has the best fried chicken in the world,
taking shots of Colonel Sanders.
The rough out here for America.
I don't know why Korea has the world's best fried chicken, but Korea has the world's best fried chicken.
Let's go.
What best fried chicken in America is Korean.
Oh.
Whoa.
I have had Korean fried chicken.
It is delicious.
Something about the sauce is really, really good.
Also, Jensen Wong in South Korea says, are there any Nvidia investors here?
The audience cheers.
He says, that's why Korea is rich.
Maybe. Let's play this one. Play it loud. Do we get it?
He else Nvidia investors. That's why Korea's so rich.
He's got bits.
He's feeling good right now. I mean, on your $5 trillion day, I mean, let him have a little
fun. Have some fun. Let him have a little fun straight after GTC.
It's so wild that they hit $5 trillion yesterday, particularly because they don't report earnings for another like two weeks.
So like basically every other big tech company is on like the October 28th, October 29th cycle.
So as of tonight after Amazon and Apple report earnings, we should, we have like the book closed mostly on all the mag seven, except for Nvidia.
But Nvidia is still in the news.
And so Alphabet got crammed to the business section.
Microsoft got crammed down to the business section.
Meta made it to the front page of the journal because they sold off.
But Nvidia got the full chart of their progress.
They got the Glazinator 3,000, the A1 from the Wall Street Journal because they just hit $5 trillion.
And they have this interesting chart of how many days it took Nvidia to create a
trillion dollars in market cap. The first trillion took him 6,138 days. The second trillion,
they did it in 180 days. The third trillion in 66 days. Then the fourth trillion was in 273 days.
And then the fifth trillion in 78 days. So from 6,000 days, took them 20 years to make that first trillion.
They say that. The first trillion is the hardest.
They do say that. But then the next one comes in just 66 days or 78 days.
which is remarkable. So he is on a tear and congratulations to Jensen Wong and all the folks over at
NVIDIA for powering this AI revolution.
Let's pull up this video of the Snowflake CRO doing a little street interview.
Excuse me, sir. How old were you when you became a millionaire?
This guy. Yes, sir. I've just been getting your Instagram feed. How old were you when you became
a millionaire? Oh boy. Four years ago? Okay, pause. Pause. Yeah, wait.
So who is this guy again?
He's the, he's the, the CRO of Snowflake, which like,
Snowflake's been like a hundred billion dollar company for a while, right?
Snowflake market cap.
I thought it went out like years ago.
I mean, maybe he wasn't liquid.
It's $91 billion market cap company.
And it's down too.
Like, like it was trading higher.
So there's, this was the line that people were most confused about.
because I don't want to try to guess this guy's age too, you know, I won't pretend to know exactly,
but I assume he's in his 40s, maybe his 50s.
Yeah.
He was at VMware for 10 years as the vice president of U.S. enterprise sales and then the senior
vice president general manager of Americas.
Yeah.
And so, and he was also the president of Broadcom for, from November of 2023 till now.
Yeah, it seems like an absolute dog.
And became the CRO at Snowflake this year, but still, everyone I think is shocked of like how he didn't, you know, possibly pull together a million dollars.
A million dollars by somewhere.
25 years in enterprise technology.
That's what it says.
25 years.
Like, what is he spending his money on?
He must be just, like, obsessed with buying depreciating cars.
That could be it.
Maybe he gets a new Bentley Continental GT every year, like, clockwork.
Maybe he's the one that's buying all the Lamborghini erosys.
Maybe he's buying multiple.
Maybe he doesn't like to drive the same car twice.
Yeah, that must be it.
Maybe he gets a fresh car.
It must be it.
I don't like to drive cars with more than 20 miles on the odometer.
So I'm just going to cycle it out.
I'll take the lot.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Every 20 miles.
Yeah, they say once you drive it off the lot, you lose half the value.
well, it's the price I'm willing to pay.
Yeah.
Because I got to keep my net worth under, I got to keep it in six figs.
To inspire, it's got to be six figs.
It clearly inspired him to grind harder.
He's a CRO at Snowflake.
It's incredible.
No, this must be, this must be some sort of he misspoke because that.
Okay, let's play the rest of it.
This does not make sense.
What are you doing tech?
CRO for Snowflake.
Did you guys just go public?
We went public five years ago.
Congratulations.
COVID couldn't ring the bell. So this is our home.
Do you recommend entrepreneurs take their company public?
Because there's a risk there as well when you bring in all that capital.
You bring in voting shares.
What do you think about going public as it was a pretty funny question?
I have to snag him.
I'm sorry.
I promise.
We got 17 million followers.
This is the best marketing he can do.
All right.
Just keep it rolling.
Hey, we're keeping this shit rolling, man.
Sir, real quick.
Could I finish with you real quick for one minute?
We'll do 30 seconds.
All right.
What do you think?
He does not do 30 seconds.
He definitely does another like five minutes based on the edit.
Cash flow is everything until profitability comes.
Then you get S&P 500 and you get a whole
different kind of return. What does that mean too?
I felt a whole different kind of.
Do I not understand that?
What did you guys do in revenue this last year?
So we're gonna exit this year,
probably just over about four and a half billion dollars.
Let's go, disclosure.
That's disclosure that he's not supposed to make.
Keep track of us.
It's amazing.
You have some good equity in the company?
We're doing okay.
We're doing okay.
As somebody who's an executive
at a billion dollar company,
don't watch you all the time.
Congratulations on all your success.
This is amazing.
The best financial advice you can give
to the younger generation,
best money advice you can give us.
This guy, this guy.
I should be giving back.
He's like, step one.
You can save your way to being financially secure in the future.
You've got to build up wealth.
Don't worry about W2s.
W2 is not necessary.
It took me 30 years to build up.
This is crazy.
This is tough to predict my friend.
In this world, this is actually hilarious.
12 to 18 months, that's all you got.
Yeah, okay, can you give me the next 12 months?
What's the number one thing people need to be adopting in their business right now?
They're going to be using an actual.
He's still going to 30 seconds, 30 seconds.
accelerate revenue. It's all about moving fast.
Do you think if business owners aren't leveraging AI, they're going to be left behind?
Absolutely. Why? It's like the internet. If you're not on the internet, wave you're dead.
It's going to replace Uber drivers. It potentially could self-driving. It's going to change the world.
It's so funny.
Wild, wild interview.
Yeah, so they had to file an emergency 8K disavowing unauthorized statements.
The projection exceeded the official guidance by $100 million. So they said that they said that
They were projecting $4.4 billion.
He rounded up to $4.5.
And that's a no-no.
So he got himself in trouble.
Stay safe out there.
I just don't understand how he has on his LinkedIn.
He has president at Broadcom full-time since November of 2023.
He's not listed on the Broadcom website.
I don't know.
But it is one of the funniest.
Maybe he's kind of like so-humpurik-style moonlighting over there.
Yeah. Who knows? We have the founder of, founder, CEO of Whatnot coming in the studio today. Is that correct?
In about 20 minutes. About 20 minutes. We have Grant. We're very excited. People have been debating whatnot because it sort of came out of nowhere is this DACA corn e-commerce company. Chris Pike, former friend, former guest on the show, is, is taking shots on the timeline, putting the timeline in turmoil, calling it unregulated gambling. Well, we're going to get to the bottom of it.
Is it gambling?
Is it not?
He says he feels like someone needs to write a deep dive on this, but we will dig in.
I'm not exactly sure, but we'll try and understand the business how they make money, how it all works.
Is buying groceries gambling?
Sometimes you go buy a watermelon, you're like, I don't know.
That's actually true.
It looks pretty good.
You can't crack it open.
But if I, once I cut it open, once I get home and cut it open, it might not be the best watermelon.
But it look good.
You're trying to knock on it, you know, you're kind of feel out the kind of the vibes
You do that with pumpkins right now around Halloween.
That's right.
Halloween's coming out.
People are gambling on pumpkins.
It's going to be rotten inside.
You got to play the game.
Yeah.
Play the game on the field.
We, uh,
Drew over on X,
uh,
released a video.
I guess he says Amazon will sue me for leaking this.
He says,
worth it.
Uh,
new,
new,
this is so funny.
Putting the tiny Amazon package in the missile launcher.
That just flustered.
And I love it just demolishes the door.
It just completely destroys the door.
Like, the door just gets, like, broken into a million pieces.
And this is innovative because everyone's experiences, right?
Even though Amazon gets it right to your front door,
it can still be kind of mildly annoying to have to go out and carry boxes in
first world problem.
Yeah.
But this solves that.
Totally.
Yes, you need to replace the door once a day.
So people are taking shots at DoorDash with a new DoorDash robot.
Will it get into your door?
well, here's your answer.
Maybe it needs a missile launcher on it.
I also love that this video, it looks like it's, it's in part a real video.
Like those first frames with the human hand, that looks like they actually built the missile.
And then they switch over to just a 3D render.
And so there's like maybe no AI here, but still some CGI.
It's very, very hilarious.
Oh, so funny.
Should we move into some of the more neo-reaction?
Of course, yeah.
But first, let me tell you about Julius.
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The Julius.AI.
Yes, me after loading the dishwasher,
instead of paying a robot $20,000 to do it for me,
and it's Trump holding a ton of cash.
Very, very funny.
Also, people are planning to drip them out
with gold chains or silver chains,
and I think a fade on here, too.
This is very funny.
Rob.
I mean, underrated.
the idea that if you get the 1X robot,
I wonder how much you'll actually be able to dress it.
Because at a certain point, you can't put a body kit,
a crazy body kit on a Tesla because you'll just block the cameras
and eventually you won't have self-driving.
And I wonder.
Chrome hearts all over my knee.
Yeah, you're going to.
I think that, but I think it's going to trip and it's going to shatter.
No, no, no, one T-shirt?
One T-shirt?
I don't know.
You get a baggy T-shirt there.
If it can't handle one.
one baggy tea.
Yeah.
It can't handle.
It's just,
you're going to have to pay
for two Chrome Hearts T-shirts.
Because you have to,
you have to send one to the teleoperator.
Because the teleoperator doesn't feel the exact weight of the Chrome Hearts T-shirt.
They need to make,
immediately make an account dripped out Nios,
and it's just a daily feed of...
The vibes around this company are just great.
It's such a moonshot,
and it's so capital-intensive.
It's so difficult,
but I think everyone's having fun with it.
I'm going to actually dropped a whole video.
Rob, we've got to pull up this video.
Rob,
Rob, uh,
he says 20K to simulate the experience of a roommate with a ketamine problem.
It's ridiculous.
No, this is what we were saying that the, the, uh, the, uh, we were saying on the show yesterday.
It's like, hey, uh, Neo, uh, you know, clean up all those wine glasses.
And it's just like, yeah, just smashing everything.
I mean, it's going to be crazy.
Neo, get ready to be good at cleaning up glass.
For sure.
That is, that's really the final challenge for humanoids.
Yeah.
Cleaning up glass.
One of the greatest challenges for humans.
Yeah.
cleaning up glass.
Oh yeah.
It's a mess.
It's an adventure every time.
It's a high stakes game.
I mean, the, like some of the anecdotes from this robot are going to be hilarious.
There's going to be wild stuff.
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another post here with Neo
got the Glock out
now tell me where the seed phrase is
got to make sure that
just another reason why
they put the experts locally
you definitely have to arm them
this is important
yeah should humanids be able to open carry
there's old corridor crew video about this
that went super viral boss town dynamics
they made a whole series out of it all CGI
but they took
renders of real boss
and dynamics robots and put them in like shooting ranges and this whole environment.
They tell this whole story and it just goes viral constantly and people think it's real even
that's CGI. What were you saying about MKBH?
Oh, MKBHD put out a video about Neo 1X and he's beating the drum of like this is teleoperation
it doesn't count and he's like he's going pretty hard on them. He gives us some caveats and he says
you know hey I wish I hope this does work out but some other people were kind of
levying the critique on him that he's not in the arena,
not trying to build things.
But, I mean, at the same time,
we talked about this yesterday.
I think MQBHD really has seen a number of these consumers.
Yeah, and he's been burned on,
he's been burned on a couple things.
You know,
multi-hundred dollar devices that should be a lot easier
to deliver a great customer experience.
Totally.
And so I think it's fair for him to be concerned
about a $20,000 product that would probably,
like,
Like, every day I'm more bullish on 1X.
Yeah.
I think, I think they have a great understanding of the internet.
Yeah.
They've been focused on like a specific use case at home for a while.
Yeah.
They're focused on teleoperation, which is the right thing to be focused on.
Yeah.
Because even if it only is good at teleoperation forever, that still could be valuable.
I'm bullish as a futurist.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Not as a consumer advocate.
Consumer reports, Scott.
And I think that everybody should be going into this with the understanding that you are going to be participating in trying to pull the future forward.
I agree.
Yeah, yeah.
It seems like I don't know if they're calling it a beta, but it feels like you should go into it assuming it's a beta.
What are you laughing at?
Didn't you have a joke?
Did you ever post your joke?
At least tell your joke on the stream if you didn't post it.
I'll tell my joke.
Tell your joke.
A woman shoots her one X Neo, then holds him underwater.
for five minutes. Next, she hangs him right after they enjoy a lovely dinner. How can this be?
What was John posting about that before? The woman, John, John Palmer, this was inspired by
John, John Palmer's post last week of like the AI agent being like, this is not my son.
Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah. A father and son create an AI agent company that gets to $20 million.
They go to San Francisco. Yeah, a father and a son, the father and son build an AI agent. The father
tweets that they have 10 million ARR and the sun is rushed to San Francisco to pitch the
seed round. At the pitch, the VC looks at the boy and says, I can't fund this boy. He is my son.
And so the answer, of course, to my riddle, a woman shoots her 1X Neo, then holds him
underwater for five minutes. Next, she hangs him right after they enjoy a lovely dinner. The answer
to the riddle is, of course, turbo puffer, search every bite. No.
Serverless vector in full text. Search bill from first principles on object storage, fast, 10x cheaper,
extremely scalable.
Major cliffhanger.
No, she killed the robot, but is
hanging out with the operator.
Oh, okay, okay.
At first, my read on it,
I mean, my read on it was just like, it's ridiculous
and it's a play on that whole, like,
riddle that confuses LLMs, generally.
I mean, there's some very funny examples of those.
It's the strawberry thing all over again.
It's just very easy to confuse these things.
P.E. P.E. Cooper over on X
went incredibly viral,
25,000-like.
on half a million views saying,
my Neo-Robot, after I learned
the third-worlder piloting them is Mad Schill.
It's not going to be a third-worlder, remember.
It's going to be an American tele-operated robot.
What is this Wilmonitis post?
He posted this Neo-Robot in this image,
and I understand it's photoshopped in there,
but I don't understand why it went so viral.
People really like it.
What is this a reference to?
It's some, I mean, if you scroll down brand of Jacoby's,
you think it's this?
You think it's the, they don't know?
But it's such a real image.
Have you seen the original image?
Yeah, is it like a frat guy?
No, it's like a guy who's staying there and he like,
I don't know how to describe it.
He's like, looks all run down and everyone's like looking at him funny.
Okay.
I think the, it's kind of just like the Ghibli thing where it's like,
oh, that's an image I recognize.
Okay.
Yeah, for some reason I don't, I don't understand.
understand this image. I just don't look at that many photos of people drinking on porches, I suppose,
but, you know, to use their own. I guess he's in to that. Dev had an absolute banger.
Wait till you find that MF 20K clanker in your kitchen acting too friendly.
It's ridiculous.
And I guess you followed him after this post and he says, damn, after so long.
Oh, that's funny. I got caught following him. But I did.
like this post and I was like I got to follow this
Ders and Dev
I don't know, wait, after so long
you're not that big of an account
I feel like I'm not that behind
I don't know, I'm glad I found your account
though, Dev, you're very entertaining
You guys found each other, it's very sweet. Oh,
Jordy already following, okay, it's me,
you, David Holtz
for the followers I know
and Jaya Seed, very funny
and I like the dev
replied to the post, banger
just giving yourself a
pat on the back is fantastic.
Okay. Eric Katana has a less,
less, not so PC post in here.
Is it gay to have sex with a female robot,
teleoperated by a man?
Elon Musk comes in with a crying emoji.
I don't know, we'll leave that to the philosophers, I suppose.
We'll need a whole new branch of philosophy.
Eric Katana,
Ericana replied and said, Elon, what did you mean by this?
Which is Optimus's new hand upgrade includes
22 degrees of freedom. What does it mean?
Did this Tane post get deleted?
I don't know where this one went.
I don't know.
Let's move over to some Bub Talk.
We have a post here from USV with a clip from The Legend, Fred Wilson.
Well, we pulled that up.
Let me tell you about profound.
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to discover new products and brands.
Let's play the clip from Fred Wilson.
So the thing about bubbles is that there's just two things I think that people need to remember about bubbles.
First of all, bubbles provide the financing for new revolutions.
Like that book you described.
I love revolutions.
And they provide it at inflated valuations so people can, look at what OpenA.I.
And others are doing.
They're raising money at astronomical valuations and then throwing all of that.
money building. We got to get Fred Wilson on the show. What a legend. We can say they're overdoing it.
You know, this reminds us of the telecom overbilled of the late 90s, whatever. But the net result
of it will be, there will be advances that would not have been possible without that investment
mania. So that's one thing to remember about bubbles. The second thing to remember about
bubbles is after the crash, there's a renewal. And so if you can just ride out the crash and then
stick with it, things will be even better afterwards. So, well, so the thing about bubbles
is that there's just two things, I think.
Basically just survive.
Survive.
Get in the winners.
Riding the winners.
Invest in the companies that are durable,
and multi-generational.
Skip the others.
Skill issue.
At all.
Just don't make mistakes.
Don't make mistakes.
Use Google AI Studio,
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That's the second time I did that I read, but sometimes we skip around.
Dean Ball says my sense is that selling Blackwell chips to China would quite possibly be the most unpopular tech policy move of the Trump admin, especially on Capitol Hill.
It's plausible that the long term, really even near-term result will be much more compute regulation.
I like this guy, Dean Ball.
Tyler, do you know Ball?
I think you've already made this joke.
Yeah.
But have you gone down the ball?
the ball rabbit hole?
I've read some of his longer post.
He's coming on the show tomorrow.
Pretty spooky day to come on the show.
Yeah, it is.
That'll be an interesting interview.
Yeah, I feel like the,
didn't Trump went to China just yesterday, right?
Or where did he actually meet Sizhen Ping?
I don't remember.
He's not going to China.
No, no, no.
But he met with Sizhen Ping and immediately led up.
South Korea.
Oh, South Korea?
Okay. Oh, Jensen's there too. That's fun.
I have no idea anymore. I feel like if you were, if you were, if you were anti-selling
GPUs to China on the basis of AI Doom, you have to update towards it's actually kind of
chill to sell them to China, right? Like, debate this with me.
Wait, okay. So the reason, one of the reasons people said, let's not sell.
GPUs to China was if they get GPUs, they will get superintelligence. They will steamroll us.
They will be all powerful. And superintelligence will be communist. It will be state capitalist.
It will be not love and free speech. It'll be all the things that are un-American and we don't like.
Then the last couple of years have happened and played out and it feels like the fast takeoff scenario feels less likely.
And so that should update you to be like a little bit less worried about it.
No?
Less worried about selling to China because it's not nuclear weapons.
It's not the Manhattan Project.
It's nuclear slop.
It's slop.
It's erotica.
But it's also great knowledge retrieval, really cool image generation,
really cool audio generation.
Summaries.
It is definitely a great productivity tool,
but it's not going to be,
okay, they have it,
they got the GPUs,
they got a GPT5 level model,
and now America just loses,
and China is just dominant, right?
Yeah, I mean, I think,
you know, the leap will take
is that it's still, like,
I don't think in his scenario,
like the labs have even been nationalized yet
and use, like, I don't think the capabilities right now merit the nationalization.
Yeah.
But I think a lot of people still think that, like, it's like, you know, two more years
then we'll be at a point where, like, it would make sense for there to be, like,
major geopolitical conflict just over the AI question.
So I don't think it's like, the people who were super, like, bullish on that idea, I think,
are still, I don't think they've been fully, like, disproven yet.
Yeah.
I don't know.
It seems like, what, I mean,
We'll have to talk to more people about how that's shaping up because there's also the weird dynamic of like, even if we wanted to sell Blackwell to China, would they even buy it because they seem very interested in their own supply chain?
I think they can do both.
You know, they can buy Blackwells today and they can still.
I don't know.
I mean, the more you buy, the less incentive you have to build locally.
Like, that's just true.
Like, we buy solar panels here.
There are no good solar panel companies.
I don't know.
There aren't.
They're probably something.
Like America has been like, yeah, we're buying them so cheaply.
Like, how do you get a company off the ground in a market that's just getting destroyed?
We ran this example with GoPro.
Like, America had a company there and got steamrolled.
And so it's like you need to be over investing like crazy.
And America just doesn't have the appetite for that.
Yeah.
And I'm just saying China has the appetite to have a, you know, entire industry.
Yeah.
You know, backstopped and, you know, money losing for a sustained period of time.
Yeah.
Couple more posts before we bring in Grant.
Zero hash.
We talked about this briefly yesterday.
MasterCard is set to acquire crypto startup zero hash for nearly $2 billion.
Imran Khan over at Alliance says zero hash powers most crypto-difiat on-off ramps holding money transmitter licenses and MSB licenses across the U.S.
Most on ramps you use today likely run through zero hash.
This is a pretty big deal.
So MasterCard getting into the game.
In other news, Kimball Musk says, please vote your Tesla stock.
There is no one remotely close to my brother and no CEO on Earth that would accept this package.
It is a massive win for you as a shareholder every way you look at it.
Elon says, thanks, bro.
These are the original technology brothers.
What is, oh, you're true.
What does he mean by no CEO on Earth that would accept this package?
I can give some more context.
So Gavin Baker says my firm, Atradis Management, will be voting in favor of Elon's performance-based compensation package.
I would prefer that every company I invest in have a comparable plan.
Sure.
I believe shareholders should generally support thoughtfully structured performance-based CEO compensation packages
because they incentivize CEOs to create transformational growth and value.
The basic logic of these plans is the CEO gets 10% of the incremental value creation
if they 10x the stock with a 2x hurdle.
So shareholders get a 900% stock increase,
and the CEO gets an incremental 10%.
The first Tesla plan incented Elon to 10x the value of Tesla.
He achieved all the milestones and may never be paid for this.
The Axon plan incented Rick Smith to greater than 5x,
the value of Axon, and he did.
And when milestones aren't met, such as far-fetched,
then the CEOs don't receive the payouts.
The new Tesla plan is arguably better than the first,
as it also includes financial and technological milestones,
in addition to market cap-based incentives.
And again, so Atrates is riding with the brothers.
Yes, but what do you think Kimball means by saying no CEO on Earth would accept this package?
Like, I understand that I completely agree with the first part.
There is no one remotely close to Elon for Tesla.
Like, I'm totally in on that.
I'm in on the idea of incentive packages.
I like that as a structure.
so aggressive that most CEOs don't think they would achieve them,
hence they would accept them.
Yeah, they'd be like, no, pay me for 20% gain.
Yeah, how about I get, how about I just compounded 10% a year?
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Yeah, yeah.
Like if I go to the CEO of Target or something and say like, okay, you won't make a dime
unless you 10x the stock, they're going to be like, what are you talking about?
No way.
Yeah, that makes sense.
Thank you.
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Let's go to Chenglu.
Have you heard this Scott Forstall stands?
There's a lot of Scott Forstall stands out there.
He was the senior vice president, iPhone software.
13 years ago, he was apparently fired from Apple.
After the disastrous launch of Apple Maps, what?
mapping app do you use on your phone? I am an Apple Maps guy. Me too. I pretty much always have been
because I used to be, I switched to Apple Maps, but only like a year ago. Yeah. Then I was on Google
I was on Ways and Ways was incredible because you'd find all these like secret behind the scenes
ways. And then I think a lot of local neighborhoods basically said like, hey, we actually live on a
nice quiet street. We don't want Ways funneling a thousand
cars through our neighborhood during rush hour. So can you route around us? And it kind of put
everyone back on the normal routes. I just always like that you could see the maps on your home
screen without unlocking your phone. And that was enough for me. I agree. I agree. I stuck with it.
Even though sometimes it would take you on a little bit of a goose chase. Yeah. Well, Ways is,
I was never a fan of the goose chase. I'm like, I don't, I don't want to, I don't, you're anti-goose chase?
Like in the Ways context. Oh, I love a Waze goose chase. I,
I don't want to go on a street race through a bunch of 25 mile an hour.
No, the best is when you're on ways.
I agree with you.
But the best is when you're using Ways.
And it's like, hey, you're on the freeway.
But why don't you get off and get back on the freeway seven times over the next six miles so you can save 45 seconds?
It's like, Ways.
I don't want to do that.
At one point, Ways.
They really should have a slide like an aggression slider.
They basically do.
So if you go into the Ways settings, there's one where it's like, okay,
avoid toll roads.
It's like, I understand that.
It's like, I'm driving across the town
and I don't want to pay five bucks.
Like, I want to save money.
Yeah, avoid toll roads.
Then one was like, avoid freeways.
And I don't know, I guess it's like maybe
if you get motion sick or something,
you don't want to be on freeways, whatever.
I met someone recently that doesn't drive,
they didn't grow up in L.A.
They moved here and they just avoid all freeways.
So they only take street laws.
I mean, the self-driving cars often avoid,
avoid freeways because higher speed accidents are more risky.
But so for a while, I don't know if this was actually in ways, but there was a moment where you could go in and check, I want to avoid toll roads.
Two was I want to avoid freeways.
And three was I want to avoid dirt roads, which was hilarious because I can just imagine driving through Los Angeles.
And all of a sudden it's like, yeah, if you cut across this person's front law and you can save 30 seconds.
And so, I don't know.
Hot take is that Scott Forstall, like Apple Maps was this kind of disastrous launch, which,
it really didn't work anywhere near Google Maps,
but eventually they turned it around,
and Apple Maps became a really great product for the iPhone.
And Cheng Lu says,
as someone with a bit of insider info, sorry for baiting,
I can tell you that the current trajectory for Apple
would likely have been better off if he ended up CEO,
look up his background and interests,
I'll forever be a four-stall-simp,
the guy can code and coded the right things.
And so it's very, very interesting that...
I wonder what he thinks about iOS 17.
Yeah, I mean, it...
Like, you can run this counterfactual and say,
okay, if you put the software guy in charge,
maybe the software is better.
But what does that mean for the hardware,
the supply chain, the trade war?
Like, would Scott Forstall have been able to get through
the crazy trade war?
I mean, Tim Cook could have been a goaded C.O.
right hand to Scott. That's true. That's true. Maybe you wouldn't have, maybe iOS 17 wouldn't be such a
dumpster fire. I don't think it's that bad actually. I, I get multiple times a day a reminder of how,
how bad. I think it will, I think you'll get used to it over the next like six months. I've gotten
used to it, but I still can appreciate how bad it is. But we have Mark, Mark German's coming on
the show next week. Yes. And I'm excited to talk with him about it.
we have our first in-person guest of the day while he hops on the show.
Let me tell you about numeralh.cue.com.
Sales tax on autopilot.
Spend less than five minutes per month on sales tax compliance.
Thank you so much for hopping on the show.
Great to meet you.
Likewise.
Good meet.
Thank you.
Fellow L.A.
Technology brother.
Yeah, not many of us.
Not many.
Here.
I'm going to have.
That's good.
Why don't you introduce yourself and kind of just,
describe the shape of the business today, and then I'd love to go back and kind of hear the whole
entrepreneurial journey. Sure. So I'm Grant LaFontaine, co-founder, CEO of a platform called What Not.
What Not's a live stream shopping platform and online marketplace. The best way to think about it
is we sort of enable anyone to create like a digital brick and mortar store. So as opposed to,
you know, any seller can come on. They can then sell through live video, which means you
sort of like this. You can stand up. You can be in your store. You can walk around your store.
Sell goods. Sell anything. And so we have people on the platform selling comics to paintings,
to plants, to women's fashion, everything in between. And it just ends up being, you know,
incredibly good way to build a business very similar to like a brick and mortar retail shop.
It's so interesting that digital commerce has just, and doesn't look like, yes, there's items on the
storefront that you can buy, but imagine if stores had no employees in them. And you couldn't
like in real time quickly ask, ask a human like, hey, like, you know, what size do you recommend
here? Or do you have this? Do you have this in another, you know, all these different things that
ultimately drive like higher purchase volume in a retail setting that we just generally don't have
online, but do exist on whatnot? What was the, take me back to the start of the company. What were the,
What was a competitive landscape like at the time?
What was the,
was this something that was like working internationally?
And you were like,
of course.
Of course.
That was the whole thing.
It was like everyone was like looking at China and you look at how some of China's retail
giants got started.
It was like selling fruit and vegetables.
Yeah.
Like in live and it's something that Americans just don't understand at all,
you know,
buying like bananas through like basically a farmer who's just like, yeah,
check out these bananas.
I actually imagine you buying bananas through.
I would do that.
In Malibu.
But anyways, but yeah, walk us through kind of like the early days of discovering kind of the opportunity.
Yes.
So one of the funny things with us is so the live shopping market in Asia is like monstrous.
You know, like nearly a trillion dollars in sale.
And it's been big for a long time?
So I think it took off in like a little after 2015 or so and it was just like ramped to a crazy extent.
And when did you get started?
What year?
So we started whatnot in 2020.
Okay.
Okay.
So there was like some, there were examples out there.
Yeah.
This can work.
Although we had no idea.
Yeah.
We literally had no idea.
So when we started whatnot, it was me and my co-founder, Logan,
and we were working at some bigger tech companies.
We'd both started businesses before.
We were like, we like to build.
Yeah.
Like, that's sort of the thing we enjoy to do.
Yeah.
And we're like, we don't like what we're doing now.
Let's go build something new.
Yeah.
And we were both really into buying and reselling things online, collectibles.
So, you know, at one point, we were selling sneakers and, you know, in that whole world.
And my first business was when I was seven,
and I start saying Pokemon cards online.
There we go.
There we go.
I love it.
I was selling DJ equipment.
He was selling skateboard.
At the last YC batch,
we were asking every founder that we interviewed,
like how they started their first,
what their first business was.
And a lot was like somewhat collectibles.
He was like running Fortnite servers, collectibles.
Like there's just something about, I don't know.
I have kids.
I don't know if you have kids.
I want to get my kids to like do business online ASAP.
Well, yeah.
And people that don't, people that are like,
I want to start a business,
but I don't have an idea.
Yeah.
business is just making something for one price or buying something for one price and selling it for a higher price.
That is just business.
So just sneakers or collectibles, Pokemon cards, whatever.
It's just very simple.
So I feel like a lot of the media platforms, they'll start with just like the idea of like, I want to share photos online, Instagram,
or I want to have a place to host video online YouTube.
And then over time the commerce aspect comes in and becomes more feature rich, whether it's,
you know, tagged products with affiliate codes or sponsored content or an ad network.
Like, how mature was your thinking when you went to write like the first pitch deck or the first,
did you go through YC?
We went through YC.
Yeah, so the YC application.
Did you apply with this idea or did you guys like take a little bit of a?
So I'd say we had like a quasi pivot.
Sure.
Which was so early on the thesis was there's something around collectibles in social commerce
because a lot of why you collect is not necessarily for the object,
but to sort of hang out and talk to people about your interests.
And so our initial pitch was basically a social commerce-like marketplace for Funko Pops,
which are like little final dolls.
And that was it.
That's what's in the YC application.
And we didn't have any idea we were going to do video.
It sort of looked like a standard marketplace with a follow button
and a cool handful of features.
So was it creator-led in the sense that?
I as the collector come and share pictures and inventory and details about particular products that I have in stock.
Yeah, it would basically be that.
So you'd have a profile.
You could follow it.
You could post your stuff.
There's DM.
Got it.
You could chat with people.
And how many investors, obviously you managed to pull around together, but how many investors
passed because they were like, sorry, I'm not backing your niche toy marketplace.
Yeah, I mean, it's funny now because the amount of money we've raised is, like,
ungodly large.
But not even,
not even
not even relative to the valuation.
I mean,
you've raised like just under a billion dollars.
You're sitting at 11 billion.
It seems like,
also the stakes right now for
raising an ungodly amount of money
are like,
if you,
if your business doesn't work,
does everyone in the whole world lose their job?
And as long as you're not there,
like have fun.
Or people are like,
I have two get hard stars on my projects.
I'll take two billion.
Yeah.
But yeah, so when did this, when did the video aspect come in?
What were the thinking?
And like, how did you, how did you think about the first design and then start iterating?
Yeah.
So I'd say like I'm a purist when it comes to a building product, which is like you, you know, stay close to your customers.
You talk to your customers and you figure out the problems they have.
And so as we were building our Funkopopopop marketplace, we just knew everyone on the platform.
Yeah, yeah.
Like we knew all the sellers.
We were friends with them.
Sure.
And we could see them hacking sort of social media video in interesting ways, in particular trying to run like auctions in live video.
Oh.
So they'd be going live on Twitch or other platforms and then selling on whatnot.
Yeah.
So the actual real initial example is we were following, I was following a seller on Instagram, and I tapped into their Instagram live and they were trying to hold auctions in the comments.
And the latency on Instagram live video, at least at that time,
was like 30 plus seconds.
So they basically have like put up the item, run a clock.
And then once the clock stopped, they'd start taking the bids in the comments.
And I invited my co-founder in and we got into a bidding war.
And it was just like really fun.
And we're like, huh, why has no one built?
What's sort of broken.
Yeah.
Like what, why has no one built mobile video auctions?
Just sort of felt obvious.
Yeah.
And then people don't realize, unless you've bid on an online auction, you have no idea how
thrilling.
thrilling it is. So I've bought cars on Bring a Trailer. And once you start bidding, it is just, there's nothing more entertaining on the entire planet.
The more I get to know you, the more you're like, actually, gamification really works on me.
It does work on me. No, it's just, it's, it's incredibly, it's incredibly fun. And that's even in the context of Bring a Trailer, which anybody that's used Bring a Trailer, like, maybe it uses, goes on the site all the time, but they're like, this is so,
underdeveloped in comparison to every other application that I use. And so even just the dynamic of like
bidding against someone else and looking at their bidding history and saying, okay, like this guy just
bids a lot. He doesn't actually buy cars. Okay, this guy's bought like six cars in the last six months.
Like I've got a real, real competition here. So. But I still, yeah, it's still the percentage of people
that have actually like done, like bought things online via auction, I think is relatively, it must be
relatively low still. Yeah. And so, so we, yeah, we basically... How quickly did you ship the,
the, your version of the live auction product after that? Four weeks. Okay. Yeah. Correct.
They were good APIs around that time, because I remember, uh, it wasn't Clubhouse doing
live audio and they were partnered with some new company that was able to kind of do it like
turnkey. Yeah, it was, uh, this company of Gore, I think that's it. That's it. We actually didn't,
again, we made a bunch of mistakes. We didn't know anything.
about China. We didn't know anything about the low latency live video APIs. So actually stood up
our own, like, low latency live video surfing infrastructure. If we hadn't, we probably would
have built it in a week. And it was not very good. But like good enough to get it. Good enough.
And the product was so clearly had product market fit. Yeah. I'm not entertaining, as you guys can tell.
And I did the first live stream because we, you know, we got to like make sure it works. And I sold $5,000
with a Funko pops in two hours.
And so you're like, unentertaining human being,
selling sells that much.
We basically dropped everything the next day
and we're like, we don't know what this is,
but this is really fun.
This is it. Drop everything we're all in.
Yeah. Okay.
Yeah, and $5,000 doesn't sound like a huge amount of money,
but when you look at that in the context of an individual seller
that probably has decent margins on that $5,000,
and then they start realizing,
I can do this every single day,
and this quickly just becomes like a real business
out of like, could be out of nothing.
So from there, help me understand the growth mechanism.
Is it people screenshoting and sharing to other platforms?
Are you running ads?
Is there a referral program?
Is there SEO?
Like, what's the flywheel?
Because it's, well, and part of it, because I imagine, like, the people that are obsessively
buying, like, Funko Pops are, like, pretty, like, they know where they're being sold, right?
Like, these are people, like, it's not like, I imagine.
three RSSs. Like people know I'm going to go find that on bring a trailer.
Yeah, or their handful of other platforms. Yeah, it's like people that are obsessive
about a category are going to know all the surface area where selling is happening and just
go to where the inventory is. Yeah, is that roughly? Yeah, that's roughly correct.
For, you know, for almost the first three or four years of the business, we basically just
focused on collectibles and enthusiast categories, which we sort of broadened out.
Maybe like if you're into cars and things like that.
And it was fundamentally because these categories people like to talk about what they're buying, where they're buying it.
And so we lean for the first four years, we basically just grew through referrals and word of mouth.
And what was it like with the investors once the product was clearly working?
Because I remember there were so many VC think pieces on live shopping and how it had broken out in China.
And I imagine when they met you, they were like Lisan Al-Gai.
I finally
I finally
But there was also
There was also like
In the early days
Like I remember there
I won't
There was like
There was like pop shop
Was also very hot
I think they raised around
From like benchmark
Around the same time as you guys
So it seemed like very competitive at the time
Also Amazon owns Twitch
They have selling infrastructure
Like there were lots of reasons
Why someone else might do this
The classic like what if Google builds it
What if Twitch does it?
What if someone else does it?
Yeah I'd say
probably at least for even the first couple of years after we did live we weren't like
particularly hot yeah a lot of people like looked at the side that we started in which was
you know all collectibles and then sort of compared it to Asia and they're like is that really the
same so like sure you know a lot of it was people holding you know doing auctions and they're not
showing their face on camera they're just show like the funco pop okay and so and a lot of the other
and that's like they'll put the product out and wait until it sells and then put
a new one up there? Yeah, they'll talk to you and you'll just like look at the product and you can
chat. Meanwhile in China, if people haven't seen these videos, it'll be like, they'll show like,
they'll just take a product, hold it up, move on. Take a product, hold up, move on, right?
Yeah, we have those. We have those people now. It's crazy that that works at all. Like,
that feels like such a worse experience than just an e-commerce app with like a bunch of
drop downs and filters. I don't know. Something, something about seeing a product in real life.
Like it makes it, I think it inspires like some element of like trust even than just seeing
like a digital, you know, photo or render.
Yeah, I think what we see is that people start to build relationships and trust the seller.
So as opposed to like in the previous e-commerce world, where is it coming from who you don't know?
Yeah.
People come to whatnot because they build a relationship with a seller.
It's sort of like, I don't know, a local shop where you go and meet someone, talk to them.
And so it just builds a lot more trust in the system.
So in that sort of like, it seems like there were a few years where like you weren't as hot as like maybe you
should have been. Was that driven by just not fully monetizing as well as you wanted or like
choppy growth? Were you cyclical at all? Was it like the interest rate like crisis and
SUV collapsing that like put a damper on the hype or was it all pretty smooth? Yeah because I because
my my memory of the whatnot hype cycle was like okay wow this company has like a mass evaluation
but I've never used it.
And I think that's what a lot of people like recognize.
Like people are like,
something can't possibly be real unless I'm using it every day.
It's a zero unless I use it.
But you guys have this insane valuation.
And then every once in a while,
you're not,
you don't go on a lot of podcasts.
At least I haven't heard you on one before.
But like you just pop up with like a massive upround.
And then just pop up with another massive upround.
And so I guess like what we're trying to get out,
I think is like has the growth been like relatively like
consistent and smooth, or has it been like unlocking new categories, unlocking new use cases that
have just really continued to drive the business? In general, it's been pretty smooth. We had one
slow patch probably coming out of COVID where growth during COVID, if you were like a consumer
entertainment company, it was just, no one had anything to do. And so I think we were sort of lazy
in our growth motion because it just basically we didn't have to worry about growth. They just sort of
like, boom. It was happening to you. And then we had to get to. And then we had to get.
a little bit more deliberate, but I don't think we've ever grown under, like, you know,
top line sales.
I mean, revenue is probably never grown under 90% a year in the entire history of the business.
That's amazing.
And so it's been pretty good.
And there's moments and times where people get excited.
So for a long time, we're like, oh, this is niche, it's collectibles.
And then we got fashion going and working.
And I'd be like, oh, that's exciting.
That's a big category.
And is fashion driven mostly by reselling, existing inventory?
or are you partnered with specific brands or fast fashion companies?
So, it's the shape of the market.
Yeah, I mean, it's pretty diverse.
So there's some brands selling now.
There's brick and mortar jewelry shops selling.
I would say the dominant sort of theme in fashion is probably like old season inventory or overstock.
So people, and the reason it's really great is it's great for whoever owns that inventory
because they can collect higher margin by selling it on whatnot.
And that's the individual brand.
A lot of times it's, it's,
somebody's goes to the brand.
Yeah, yeah.
Things like TJ Max style stuff.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
So people getting access to TJ Mac style inventory and it's multi-brand,
it'll be like Lulu Lemon, but from last year and so you're going to buy it.
It's like 60% less or something.
Yeah, 60% less and the deals are incredibly good.
Yeah.
Yeah.
So people are kind of building their own business on whatnot from, from scratch,
but then scaling to a point where they kind of have an operation,
relationship with different brands and they have a whole kind of strategy and probably pretty
stable earnings as a creator. What's the competitive landscape been like over the last couple years?
Because I know it's been widely reported that TikTok's been willing to just burn billions of
dollars trying to get shopping working on their platform. You have, there was another one. I can't
even remember the name that popped up with crazy incentives that was like, I don't think it was
live, but what's the one that? Flip? Flip. Flip.
So Flip popped up and they were like, free money as a service.
We're just going to get.
And that was like, I remember people were like, people would send me a text and it's like,
I just sent you $200 on Flip.
And so I'm like, this can't.
God, that's not going to last that long.
And so you've had a number of people kind of like, you know, trying to at least like enter
this like overall kind of like entertainment meets commerce market.
But how have you got?
It sounds like it's just been continuing to.
execute against your roadmap? Yeah, we're pretty, like, as you said, I sort of don't go on much
podcasts and, you know, maybe we'll pop up every once in a while with a fundraise. We just try and
stay really heads down and just deliver. Our thesis has always been it's going to be a competitive
market. And so how you're going to distinguish yourself as consistent delivery and then, you know,
continue to add value to customers every day. And, you know, our belief's always been, there's
room for a purpose-built platform here. Like, say, TikTok, amazing product, but people are going
there to like watch video is not necessarily shop and I think that pattern is really hard.
So we've always believed there's opportunity for a player who's purpose built to be world class at
shopping and sort of, you know, shopping meets entertainment. And I think over the past six years,
we've sort of largely proven that out. Is there a Mr. Beast of whatnot?
A true power law creator that's just a whole order of magnitude above everyone else in terms of
seriousness and operational excellence, size of team, like that type of thing.
There are a few people who are, like, I think What Notts very similar to other
entertainment platforms.
So I spent like six years at YouTube.
Yep.
You know, it is power law oriented.
And so the handful of people who are in the Tippity top tier, you know, you're looking
at operations with like 100 plus employees at this point.
So pretty big.
That's pretty remarkable.
Yeah.
Why do people say whatnot is gambling?
It feels like collecting things that just like, I mean, obviously there's a little bit of
rescue by GTTRS and you find out that it is a broken, you know.
Yeah, and I think to be more specific, people are saying, like, certain sellers on whatnot
are focused on.
Mystery boxes?
You know, mystery boxes, right?
Like the power packs from GameStop and, I've seen a lot of them.
So you would have to like also say that, yeah, power packs.
Do you have like policies around it?
Do you have a personal stance?
Like how does that?
Yeah, because gamification too is like that is something that sellers want.
They're like make it easier for me to provide an entertaining shopping experience.
Yeah, yeah.
So first off, there's no gambling allowed or whatnot, right?
Like, flat out, like it's illegal and whatnot.
Okay.
You know, our trust and safety and customer experience team is probably our biggest team at the whole company.
So we do take this stuff like very seriously.
Let's hear for no gambling.
We love that.
Let's hear for trust and safety.
Let's hear for trust and safety team.
They work really hard.
We know it's a serious expense.
Very good.
But yeah, so none of that's loud, I think.
You know, people open packs of cards.
It's fun.
I opened packs of cards and I was a kid.
I sold Pokemon cars and I was a kid.
And so we try and give sellers the flexibility
to run their business in the right way.
Sure.
Well, making sure it's safe for customers,
and nothing illegal is allowed.
Yeah.
And so there is an element of randomness
if you're selling just, like,
I used to buy the booster packs of Magic the Gathering cards as a kid.
And like, sometimes you get something that's a foil or something.
that's very different than putting money into the whatnot platform,
participating in some sort of ecosystem,
then pulling out dollars directly.
That's what gambling would be, right?
Yeah, that's what categories are you guys working towards
that you're kind of most excited about?
You said you unlock fashion.
So the future category I'm most excited about,
it's still early innings, this food and drink.
Okay.
That feels like really hard to sell online.
Well, so it would be in a static world, but in a video-based world where you can like,
you know, so like the, we have a, there's a farm outside of San Diego who sells organic citrus.
The bananas.
Yeah.
Back to the bananas.
Back to the bananas.
Um, and so, like, I'll order from them.
And like the next day at my doorstep will be like organic tangerines and things like that.
And so I'm like, I'm really into, I'm a foodie.
And I think everyone increasingly is more conscious around what they eat, where they get their stuff from.
And so I think being able to eventually, you know, get fresh meat from a farmer, get fresh fish from a lobsterman from Maine.
There's a bunch of stuff we're going to have to figure out logistics-wise and all sorts.
Seafood is crazy.
But wouldn't you rather like see it get caught and then at your doorstep the next day?
Yeah, with Starlink, the fisherman's going to be out there and be like, all right, I'm just pulling up a crate of crab.
Who wants it?
Who wants it?
That's wild.
And then he pulls it up and there you go.
Yeah, I can see that.
There's so many other categories of collecting.
I don't know if these are popular yet,
but eventually I could imagine like a wine collector is going on there.
And wine is something that you want if you're buying it.
Unless you're like just an insane expert,
you probably want somebody like part of going to a wine shop
is being able to talk to the associate there
and they can talk through like the origins and the winery
and what made a certain case of wine special, things like that.
So wine makes sense.
I think other categories of like collectible alcohol, like, you know,
whiskeys and things like that.
What about cars?
Cars.
Dreaming of the day to do cars.
I've wanted to do cars for a long time.
We'll eventually get to it.
The truth is we're growing so fast.
And so we're having to, like, make sure the core user experience is really good
before we can get outside of our cities.
How rigid are you? Because Twitch just has, you know, like just chatting or like IRL for like, it's a catchall.
If you're not playing Fortnite or Minecraft, they have a catchall. And then people kind of go and innovate in that category.
Is it just like I will get deplatformed if I try and sell my car and whatnot?
Or is it just like you're not ready to say like it's actually a good experience, but it is possible to do.
Cars are tough too because, I mean, I think of, you know, you can buy a new car.
It could be a lemon.
You can buy, you know, an existing, you know, it's a used car.
And, you know, even after, you know, on bring a trailer, there's like, you buy it and then you can get...
PPI.
You win the auction.
Then you're getting the PPI done.
And then at that point, you can back out.
You don't get your, like, I guess, like, fee back, but at least there's, like, some protections there.
So when you up the price, like, you know, 1,000 X, it just gets...
So theoretically today, if you adhere to our platform policies, you, you know, you
you'd be able to do it.
You could.
Theoretically, it would be almost impossible.
Sure.
Because you'd have to be able to pay for it with your credit card.
You'd have to be able to, you know, like, ship it in two days.
It's like, I will be driving this across the country.
Cannonball across the country.
We have sold some cars on whatnot.
Sure.
There's been more for, like, collectible cars for specific events.
So, like, the creator of Spawn sold, like, the Spawn mobile.
And so we just did some custom stuff there.
But in practice, if we saw people starting to sell cars, they'd likely butt up against some of the just general policies we have today.
And so we'd have to go and make the platform suitable for it.
How is it like, is the majority of the team in L.A.?
So we're all over the place now.
Are you true COVID company?
Yeah, we're a true.
Even before, like we started a handful of months before COVID.
And our initial team, our designer was in Italy, two engineers in Brazil and me and Logan in L.A.
And so we've always sort of been distributed on the introvert.
Did you go to YC up in the bay?
We did go to YC up in the bay.
And then we couldn't raise money.
And so we moved to Phoenix.
No way.
Yeah.
Because we had like no money and we just ran it, ran the company from our garage in Phoenix.
That's a good place to do it.
That's pretty affordable.
Off air, I would love to see who passed.
I mean, to a lot of people's credit, I mean, I saw Sheel from BTV posted yesterday.
like if I got pitched, uh, whatnot and they were selling like dolls, I would have like almost
certainly passed. Yeah, look, you would have, the only way you would have ever invested in whatnot
in the early days was if you knew me or Logan deeply and had worked with us.
Because that's the only thing that would have given you confidence. We always had the confidence
because we, you know, we thought we were capable of doing a lot per period of time, but we're not,
I didn't know that many people. I hate networking.
and you're coming here with like a funco pop thing.
So I totally, do I harbor like a little bit of like, you know.
You're getting the last laugh.
But, you know, like I still think it's early, so I don't even worry about it.
I just sort of like blinders on, we got to deliver.
But yeah, unless you knew us, you would have sort of been a fool to invest.
How did the Logan Paul investment come around then?
I think we got introduced to him through Andreessen.
So Indreason did our Series A and then helped, you know, get us connected.
and he was really into Pokemon cards at that point in time.
And so it was sort of like a natural fit.
He's been on the platform a handful of times.
And so it was a good add-on investor.
Yeah, I was reviewing his post talking about the investment.
And I was like, that makes so much sense
because he's been so immersed with even early stage.
Like Vine was so primordial in terms of like what TikTok became.
He's been so early to all these platforms.
It makes sense that he could see the vision better than a lot of other people.
How international is the business today?
I think we're in nine countries now.
So I think we got into international, maybe about two and a half years ago.
It's a really big focus for us.
The international business is doing very well.
And I think you'll see us to continue to expand.
We're going on the offensive.
Are we going to China?
We're taking the fight with them.
We're going to TikTok's front door.
Bank dance you're on notice.
We'll go anywhere where we think we can add customer value.
Yeah, that makes sense.
How crazy has the Lubbubu,
side of the business bin.
We covered it.
So we, I think we literally, by the time we did a deep dive on it,
I think we like may have like top ticked that,
that trend.
Maybe they're still growing as fast as they were, but.
I mean, it was pretty much came out of nowhere and then was doing hundreds of millions
of dollars in sales on whatnot.
It still is, I think.
Annually?
Yeah, annual, annual, like if you were to annual sales.
You're like now daily.
No, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's,
It's pretty big.
You know, I think it just like fun.
You know, you sort of get a box and you see which one you get.
And it's kind of quirky and weird.
So it like lends itself to making content.
And so it sort of takes off.
What's the relationship like with the company behind Laboubu in that case?
Because I can imagine that they want to capture some of the value created by the gamification.
And they have the ability to sell directly.
And they might even have the ability to auction things off.
They want efficient pricing.
And so how does the relationship work between you and like the originator of the collectible?
I think it just depends.
You know, there are some collectibles companies we work with directly.
Like I think we're working with Marvel and we've done a bunch of stuff in the toys and comic space.
We haven't specifically worked with Lubu on it.
I think the Lubu stuff took off to such large degree.
Even they're like, again, I don't know.
But I imagine like, holy.
So no matter what, they were going to sell a gazillion looboos.
And so I think they were just trying to make sure manufacturing hits and the product is still doing.
Totally.
That makes sense.
Before you jump off, what does the next couple years look like?
I think it's a lot of the same stuff.
One, just continue to make the buyer experience better, the seller experience better.
You're going to see us get into more categories, more countries,
and then make sure we build the products for more and more types of sellers.
So more investments in brands is definitely in the cards very specifically.
Yeah.
Where does AI play a role?
Do you need like a traditional machine learning system for recommendation algorithms?
Or is there a role for generative AI in this business?
Or is it more just like you're using, you know, tab completion models to right,
speed up the developer productivity of the company?
I think everyone's like there's the obvious spots where like, yes,
everyone uses cursor and whether you're an engineer or not you can prototype and build stuff faster.
I think we're seeing obvious applications in CX and trust and safety.
It's really good at like detecting context.
In core ranking systems, I haven't seen anything yet that's like much better than the state of
the art machine learning models.
So I'd say we're at least in core ranking systems, probably not a lot of LLMs.
We're starting to use it more for like content understanding.
This is very good.
You can take a live stream and like tell me everything about this live stream to then feed into the ML models.
So I think for us we're just trying to be world class at using LLMs to solve our customer problems.
So we're making deep investments, but it's, you know, wherever we can solve a problem.
Where does the community stand on AI generally?
Are they like anti-AI because it needs to be like an old-fashioned collectible or do they see it as an opportunity?
There will be new IP that comes from some kid
prompting a model and then creates a collectible phenomenon.
Yeah, I mean, I think people still want to interact with people at the core.
So in some ways, whatnot, sort of anti-AI
and that it's like about the human experience.
So I think anything that undermines the human experience
will always have a little bit of a knee-jerk negative reaction.
And so for us, again, I think customers don't care if you're in tech.
They care if you're using AI.
But everyday customer uses whatnot doesn't care.
So it's more behind the scenes stuff
where we can make their lives easier.
So you're a seller.
Can we tell you what are the five major things happening
with your business or generate tips for you
or make it so you can list products really fast?
We get all the context from them.
I think that's sort of where for applying it.
Is there a cohort of folks that just,
I mean, there are obviously tons of people
that just watch Doug DeMiro videos
because they're interested in cars
and they never buy a car on cars and bids.
or they never even buy a new car
because they're just happy with their car
but they like him and they like him talking about cars
and are there users on whatnot
who don't really buy stuff
but watch a lot and just see it as like
some sort of meditative, you know, content?
Parassocial.
Maybe parisocial, but also maybe just like
it's kind of like background TV
and they're just like enjoying learning
about different products and understanding the market.
Yeah, absolutely.
So unlike any given day,
the vast majority of people who are watching
do not purchase anything.
And the average person watches 80 minutes.
80 minutes a day.
80 minutes a day.
That's so much.
Hit the gong.
Well, thank you so much for coming on.
Thanks for having me.
Really good to meet.
Always welcome when you have news.
Anytime you want to pop your head up and announce on you.
Yeah.
All right.
Thank you.
Yeah, I'm glad that we're here.
Stay hanging.
80 minutes a day.
Wow, that is a lot of minutes.
I need more minutes in the day,
sorry, Sam Altman.
Good luck with your 30 minutes a day of chat GPT usage.
What Not's got 80.
Get those numbers up.
Time to get those numbers up if you're building anything except Whatnot, apparently.
Tyler, can you find out the day that we did our Pop Mart deep dive?
Yes, I need to know that.
I also need to tell you about Finn.AI, the number one AI agent for
customer service, number one in performance benchmarks, number one in competitive bakeoffs,
number one ranking on G2.
Oh, there's this funny, funny thing.
So there's profound and like GEO is actually in the timeline.
And of course, we are partnered with profound.
And so, you know, there's the conflict of interest here.
You know, you got to get through it with a kid gloves.
but the founder of Amplitude, YC company, Spencer Skates,
he posted too many VCs or funding AI companies that should be features.
12 plus startups have raised 72.8 million in the last few months for AI visibility,
basically SEO for LLMs, what profound does.
We built it in three weeks with three people and shipped it for free.
And he's going back and forth with David Burton, who says,
I personally demoed 12 SEO for LLM product and 11 out of 12 sucked. Do you see this?
First, don't we have to talk about James's reply? Oh, yes. That was almost. Almost
ratioed Spencer. James replied lack of focus kills and he just shared amplitudes.
I'm not a fan of that. I think it's not gold retriever coded. It's not it was pretty hardcore.
It's a little it's a little too hardcore for me. I think
You got to put on the kid clubs when you're dealing with somebody who stocks down.
To me, one thing that stood out about Spencer's original post.
Spencer's wife, by the way, did the Series A of whatnot.
No way.
Yeah.
Wow.
Who's that?
And skates.
Oh, cool.
Friend.
Very cool.
But they said 12 startups have raised 72 million in the last.
That just doesn't feel like that much for a category that could be drive like billions
and built, like.
Yeah.
Like,
yeah,
we've talked to
a bunch of
these different companies.
Uh,
it feels like,
it feels like a lot for one sort of like thing all at once.
It is interesting because,
uh,
I mean,
it feels like a ton compared to like how many weapons companies were being funded when
Andrew started.
Two thirds of that is profound.
Two thirds of the dollars.
Yeah,
but not of the number of startups.
Sure.
Uh,
and so it is,
it is just,
uh,
interesting that it feels like,
it feels like a niche.
Yeah,
but,
but,
If something's a good opportunity, expect like at least 10 funded companies.
I mean, I would expect that there are at least 12 new like CRM companies out there.
Of course, we are partnered with Adio, customer relationship magic, the AI Native CRM that builds scales and grows your company to the next level.
And so, but it was just funny because David Burton is like putting all of these AEO companies in the truth zone.
But Ahmed Omar says, which one works?
and he said, profound, but I didn't buy because pricey and still too black box for me.
But he was, you know, very interested that he responded possibly.
This is why I were one of the reasons I invested in profound myself was Karim over at Ram.
It was just like, this is what works for us.
That was enough of a cosign for me.
Tyler, did you find out when we covered Pop Mart?
Yes, it was August 29th.
Oh my gosh.
Did we perfectly top ticket?
August 29th?
Really?
Not perfectly, but August, it actually peaked on August 26.
And so this is a good learning.
If we ever start talking about...
Something cool.
Toys.
It's not cool anymore.
Collectible toys.
Just know that we are probably top ticking it.
If we're talking about some trend in technology,
or probably like 12 months, at least before the top.
for sure.
We have our next guest in the Restream waiting room.
First, how'd you sleep last night, Jority?
I mean, my handicapped is just killing me.
Head over to 8Sleep.com.
I think I got a decent.
Get a pod five.
I did not do too well.
I got six hours of sleep.
I got a 79.
I think you might have beat me today.
See, the fact that you can get six hours and put up a 79 when I got seven hours
in 10 minutes and put up an 81, it's like, I'm going to have Mattio reset this.
I think you, I think it's a skill issue.
You're just not focusing on.
sleep. So you're like waking up in the middle of night and stuff. It's not good.
Um, should we bring in our next guest? Let's do it. I'm excited to talk to Chris. I'm going to
you take the intro. Chris, welcome to the show. Hey guys. Thanks for having me. It's great to have you.
I will give some quick background. Chris, you were the senior advisor to the U.S. Department of State
Office of the Special Envoy for Critical and Emerging Technology from 2023 to 2025. You're a foreign
Affairs officer for the U.S. Department of State, the Bureau of Arms Control Verification and
Compliance from 2015 to 2023. And in 2024, you were the Deputy Senior Director for Technology
and National Security on the National Security Council at the White House. And there's a bunch of other
stuff that seems equally significant and important, but we can get into it. It's great,
great to have you on the show. I'm sure it's been a busy year for you. But why don't you give a quick
introduction on your background and anything I may have missed. Thanks a lot, guys, and really appreciate
you having me. Yeah, so I was a longtime civil servant in the government and the State Department.
I was detailed the Biden White House from 2021 to 24, from 22 to 24. I was on the National
Security Council and I broadly had the China Technology portfolio the whole time and oversaw that they
had to kind of all the Biden administration's critical and emerging technology-related work from
the White House that I went back, served.
the Trump administration for a good chunk of time this year and recently left government.
So really appreciate you guys having me, especially on today where obviously we had a big,
a bunch of big developments kind of overnight with the president meeting with she and the kind of
trade deal of which technology is obviously a very major portion.
Okay, so before we get into what's happened in the last 24 hours in the last week,
like can you give kind of your view on this year and how a lot of these different,
how the trade war has been kind of evolving in your view.
Yeah, absolutely.
So, I mean, I think the administration has very much kind of gone back and forth on where they
are in China policy.
I think that you obviously have had enormous threats of tariffs and moves to kind of really
separate the U.S. and Chinese economies on pretty fundamental levels.
On the other hand, I think you haven't actually seen a lot of implementation there.
There's a continued desire to talk with the Chinese.
And when it comes to some of the technology protection measures where I think the Biden administration was more focused,
it's been a little bit more stop and go.
I think that generally since the first Trump administration,
there has been a big pivot in Washington to move towards away from the policies of China
of let's like deep in integration in order to kind of get them to change and towards a more
competitive stance. I think first Trump administration really kind of initiated that. It was very
much built on by the Biden administration, particularly in the semiconductors in AI spaces, where I think
there was a pretty very conscious decision. I know there's a very conscious decision to really
separate those supply chains and saying in those areas, we have to maintain as large of elite as
possible. It doesn't mean in every single one, but in the especially critical ones like advanced
chips and AI. And then the Trump administration then I think took this and initially escalated with
enormous tariff threats on China across the entire economy. The Chinese, I think, have very much
taken to heart the lessons from the first Trump administration that what you have to do is punch back
and punch back hard. And that has resulted, I think, in a little bit more of a detente,
actually than we've seen over the previous few years where I think the United States has been able
to kind of slowly ratchet things up. The Trump administration has ratcheted things up a lot.
So did the Chinese. And I think both sides have now kind of pulled it down a little bit.
It does feel like the renegotiation of U.S.-China relationship starts in 2016 with the new Trump
administration, 100-year marathon by Michael Pillsbury's an important point. That book, it seemed like it sort of went viral on Capital.
Hill. There's also the rejection of American tech companies. But what else do you think kind of led
us? What was like the inciting event if there was one in this beginning to discuss a renegotiation
in U.S. China policy? Is it Siegian Ping becoming effectively a dictator for life? That kind
of changing the perception of like, okay, well, they're not even going, they're not even trying to go
for democracy. What other kind of like moments in history? What other kind of like moments in history?
do you think of as the defining moments in the renegotiation of U.S.-China relations?
Yeah, I think that's right.
I think that China has kind of fundamental, well, China has fundamentally changed under Xi.
I think there's some realization here that some of the promises of China of China political change in China
and market-based change are not going to happen.
There have been very much market-based changes in some senses, right?
They actually are much more deeply integrated into the economy,
me, but it hasn't changed the fundamental integration with the Chinese state and their companies.
And from that flows kind of national security considerations. And I think, you know, she has
obviously taken this in a, in a much more authoritarian direction. And one can argue whether
or not that was there all along. And actually, you know, maybe it was something that people
missed in the 2000s. But I think very much in the mid-2015, like you said, around 2015, 2016,
people were starting to realize that we have to change course.
And particularly, I think, in 2017, 2018, and look, the initial Trump campaign, I think,
really did change the narrative on China.
I think that's, that's, you know, pretty indisputable.
On certain things, I think we were starting to see a little bit of a changing narrative
towards the end of the Obama administration.
Like the last week of the Obama administration, they put out a big report, the president's
council on, on a PCAS, president's counsel on science technology, put out a big report.
on the importance of maintaining a domestic semiconductor industry, which was the first time they'd
really talked about that. And then obviously, you know, with the Chips Act in the coming years,
that became the major focus. But I think you have to give the first Trump administration
credit for really changing the policy. And the Biden administration very much continued that.
I think the approach was, you know, maybe not to have a massive confrontational policy across
the economy, but to say in the areas that we care the most about,
we are going to take pretty, you know, actions that, you know, four or six years ago would have been
unprecedented to separate ourselves. And that's, that was, we are in a very different place because
of that. I think we'll see kind of where we go going forward. It's a little bit of a,
the last, like, a couple weeks have introduced some, some more complicating dynamics, I think.
Yeah, one of those was the rare earth elements, debate. Has America been blindsided by
the importance there, where we miscalibrated on exactly how much leverage they had,
like how much that poker chip is worth on the poker table of this trade deal?
Yeah, because there was a point where people are like, wow, they're already using that play,
right?
Yeah, taking away the passports of the researchers and then also just banning exports,
really crippling our ability to build with those rare earth elements.
but is that something that we've known about for the last 10 years?
Or has this been a surprise?
Or is this like, or is that just like one of the many chips that we expected to be played
the whole time?
Yeah, I mean, people in Washington clearly knew that the Chinese had dominance of errors.
You'd have to kind of be under a rock to not know it.
But I think you're totally right that no one really did anything about it.
And part of that is that, look, it's hard.
It's so hard to get things done in Washington.
Yeah, that's about right.
It's hard to get things done, and it's hard to get things done that are like, you know,
you need a lot of investment and a lot of coordination and, like, you know,
massive resourcing and coordination is exactly the thing that's really difficult to get things done in Washington.
It took a Chmoth's spack to really make a move, right?
M.P. Materials.
Oh, he did.
Yeah, he did do that spec.
That's crazy.
Yeah, I mean, that's like, I think that's the biggest success out of all of them.
Totally.
Yeah.
And I think, look, Washington is actually can be good at responding very quickly in a crisis, right?
Like Operation Warp Speed was very effective, for instance.
But obviously it took until there was a pandemic for us to do something like that.
So I'm hopeful that now people will take this very seriously.
I wouldn't be surprised if we start to see legislation on Capitol Hill that actually resource this.
Because even though the administration, I think the administration is focused on it now and,
and takes it very seriously, they're also, you know, we really need to get money, right?
And exactly how where that, you know, how that money manifests, whether it's, you know, equity
investments or loans or some kind of, you know, other, you know, Defense Production Act authorities
or something else.
Like, there's going to have to be some government dollars here, which certainly can be stretched
a long way.
But we're going to have to do that.
I think just to your original question, though, the thing that's surprising, I think people
were very surprised that they played this card as expansibly as they played.
it right now.
Yeah.
Right.
And got it.
Yeah, no, continue.
And then I want to get into kind of the last 24 hours.
Yeah, the surprise on playing the card early.
Yeah.
Look, the fact is this move was way disproportionate to anything that we had done.
Effectively, it was saying, you know, there was this affiliates ruled the United States
put in place, which basically fixes a big loophole and export controls.
Like, the way that export controls work is every single company.
has to actually be listed on the control list to be to be controlled and if the subsidiary isn't
listed then you can export to them that's not the way that sanctions work the way that sanctions work is
if the company is listed then every company they own is sanctioned and you better not work with
sanctioned companies because otherwise you're violating sanctions for various arcane you know
reasons that have to do with nothing simple own goal there exactly exactly so we basically put in
place there was a regulation that said hey we're going to fix this really obvious loophole
that is being blatantly exploited, that also is just very logical.
And the Chinese response to that was to go way over the top
and say, we're going to cut you off from all the rarers
and threaten your entire economy.
They didn't think that was proportionate.
I think what they were trying to do was send a signal
that we won't tolerate any additional export controls
on any entities in China.
And we want any additional restrictions on our access to technology,
we're going to go over the top.
It was really risky for the Chinese
because the U.S. does have big leverage over the Chinese too, right?
There's two things that they're extremely dependent on us for us
that we could cut them off from.
The first is the U.S. dollar, right?
Their financial system is still very reliant on the dollar.
Obviously, they're trying to extricate that.
That would have enormous implications,
but they're reliant.
What would that look like?
Sanctions on banks or something like that.
I think it's something that Chinese fear quite a bit.
Now, to be clear, I'm not advocating for that, and that would be a really significant move,
but just it's something that would be a, it's a lever that we have.
The second is semiconductors, right?
They're not good at, you know, they have limited 7 nanometer, can't do anything beyond that,
and they're very, all their whole industry, very relying on chips made with U.S. tooling and so on.
Okay, so I want to get way more into chips, but to kind of ground the next part of the conversation,
like catch us up to speed on the, on what, what you kind of, what your takeaways were and what we know
out of the meeting in South Korea.
Yeah, so I think basically the deal was sort of a freeze for freeze.
They agreed to freeze implementation of their massive escalation.
Our Earth's rule, we agreed to freeze our affiliates rule.
So I think you think of it as largely it locks in the status quo for the duration of the deal.
There was various other things that it resolves that are recently created issues.
the Chinese agreed to buy soybeans.
We resolved rare earth access, et cetera.
It did not, you know, we avoided some of the worst case outcomes.
There was no agreement to send, you know, our votes to dance chips to China.
There was no, we didn't accept like a Trojan horse package to like, hey, we're going to build a bunch of, you know, Cato and B.D factories in the United States, which would have been very bad for U.S. battery and, you know, auto industry in the longer term.
But I think China really does feel emboldened right now because they kind of punched us in the face.
the rarest rule and our, you know, what happened was we both de-escalated a little bit.
We'll see what happens going forward, but the status quo to a degree benefits China.
They're trying to buy time. They're trying to circumvent our controls.
And if we're not willing to kind of continue to engage in this kind of technology protection effort,
then every day the Chinese get a little better at working around our controls.
So what can you say about, or what are you, what's your read on the actual,
dynamic between Xi and Trump.
Like, I feel like these two guys have been in the game for a long time.
I have to imagine my, part of me wants to believe that they enjoy the, this like, you know,
deadly dance that they play with each other.
But maybe they're just like deeply frustrated.
Putin and Xi Jinping kind of being like, yeah, we might live forever.
Yeah, you think you're going to make it to 160, bro?
He's like, yeah, totally.
I got some scientists that are cooking up crazy stuff.
I love that.
This is like hot mic.
Who knows if it's real?
It might be a sci-op, but I like to imagine that they're just, you know, broying down.
Who knows?
Yeah, what do you think?
I will say that was not the first time I've heard when I've heard, you know,
leaders of countries speak to the desire to live to 150.
Here's some interesting things.
You work at the White House and I had heard that before.
Not from them, but.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
I'm thinking of what you're putting down.
That's great.
Yeah, but, no, I mean, look, I think that that Trump's obviously,
coming at this from, you know, this deal-making perspective. That's not surprising. And obviously
there's, you know, political dynamics here on top, both because I think there's threats to, you know,
the Chinese kind of both pose threats to hollowing out industry, but also are kind of doing
acute things to cause pain to some of Trump's political base. Like I think that the soybean
purchases and things like that are doing that. Yeah, exactly. On the other side, I think that,
you know, she is very much seeing himself as managing the relationship for the long term. I mean,
what hovers obviously over all of this is Taiwan as well. And the desire to kind of slowly move
the United States away from Taiwan, which is ultimately his like long term historical perspective
and goal. So in some ways, they're coming at this from a little bit opposite. I think she is from the
much, much longer term angle and Trump from a shorter term angle. But I don't think that's
think they necessarily have hugely different perceptions of the, you know, broader dynamics at play
here. Okay, so on the, on the chip front, we would, uh, okay, yes, so we got the roll back. Yeah,
let's move on to chips. So I don't even know, maybe it was two, three, four weeks ago at this
point, but somewhere in the last like month or so, they were basically like, we don't want any of
your chips at all. And, and I didn't really know how much to read into that at the time.
people.
It seemed like the D-C team wants NVIDIA chips, but the CCP said,
you've got to justify why you'd want NVIDIA chips over Huawei chips.
We're working hard.
Let's support America.
Yeah, so G wants to build up, you know, real national champions that can get to the
cutting edge, or leading edge.
And at the same time, the AI industry wants to be able to make as much progress as they
possibly can.
And, you know, what was your read when that news broke?
and then how much do you think they're still kind of gunning for Blackwell-grade chips?
Yeah, so number one, I think they are, you know, the Chinese will take all of the U.S. chips that they can get in a vacuum.
Like, I think that there's some negotiating ploys here, and I think they were holding the H-20s kind of hostage because they wanted to turn the,
tables on us and get us to give them Blackwells, which obviously didn't happen. There is a possibility
that there's the information filtering up to She is saying, actually, we can do this ourselves,
you shouldn't take these. And that would be like Huawei being like, no, give us, just keep the money,
you know, coming back to us so that, you know, we're close and we'll be a lot closer in a few years
if we can, you know, take those dollars, reinvest them, et cetera. That's right. But the problem
is like there's just no way
that China can meet their domestic demand
with Chinese ships alone. I mean, if
we can have all sorts of debates about Chinese
production numbers, and I'm happy to engage in those, but
fundamentally, the United States cannot
meet demand for our own
AI ecosystem with
all the semiconductor
production in the world and all the best companies.
So it's obviously impossible that China
who has a much more nascent
ecosystem is heavily restricted
on tooling and I think all the estimates
of their 7 nanometer production capacity
not to mention, obviously, they don't have any 5, 4, 4, 3, 2 production capacity is, you know, somewhere in the realm of 1 25th to 1,100th of the United States.
Like, there's just no way that they can fill their domestic demand with Chinese chips.
So any effort to say we're going to not take any U.S. chips is going to inherently hobble their AI industry.
I mean, I guess at some point, if you're very close, the marginal value of that would be such that you're willing to take it.
but I think, you know, just given the dynamics we're broadly seeing with U.S. AI companies,
I'd be very surprised if they were actually, when the cards were down, we're going to retract Nvidia chips.
Is Jensen being in South Korea at the same time just a coincidence?
Or did he, do you think you, you know, he sort of planned around that?
Do you think anything with Jensen's a coincidence these days?
No, I don't think so.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
No, it makes it makes sense.
I mean, he's basically...
He's the CEO is the biggest company in the world.
Like, he should be there regardless.
Yeah, yeah.
He's running, he's basically, NVIDIA is basically a country.
I mean, they're...
Both are true.
Market cap is like, you know, bigger than...
Their market cap is equivalent to twice Canada's GDP, something like that.
It's greater than Germany's GDP.
Remarkable.
Not that you can really compare those.
It's kind of Apple stores.
You wrote a piece that you published last night around
why Chinese car investments are national security risk would love for you to kind of like
give us a preview on that front.
Yeah, I mean, the point we were making, there was a lot of rumors in advance of the summit that
another thing that the Chinese were dangling, which did not come to fruition, was saying,
hey, appealing to the dealmaker element of Trump and saying, hey, we'll give you a bunch of
investment in the U.S. in exchange for, you know, whatever, I mean, as part of the deal.
But that kind of very obviously is a Trojan horse.
We very much restrict Chinese investment in critical industries in the U.S.
via the Scipius process right now.
And obviously, particularly given the rare earth controls,
you would think that that would, I think it has shown that we really can't be dependent
on China for critical supply chain.
So if we were to have, you know, BYD factories, like I was saying before,
like BYD factories or Cato factories in the U.S., that's not,
that's just as bad as relying on Chinese graphite for batteries.
So when you say Chinese investment in the U.S., you mean them setting up local factories,
which is different from making equity.
Yeah, yeah, because China wants us to make as many equity investments in their companies as possible
because that gives, I mean, think about DJI is a good example.
There was American venture capitalists that were in DJI.
They have huge returns just like sitting there.
they now have an incentive to say, hey, we shouldn't ban DJI.
Like, it's not a problem that China can fly, you know, millions of drones over all of our cities.
Just worry about something else.
We saw this with, I mean, we saw this with bite dance, too.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Yeah, no, that's right.
And there's a whole separate conversation on kind of outbound investment and what we should think about with, with U.S. investors investing in China.
And then with inbound investment, the question is, what are the risks,
that Chinese, and not passive investment, that's very different, but active investments and
particularly setting up, you know, large facilities in key supply chains, what are the risk here?
And the trend we've seen over the course of multiple administrations has been to take those
threats much more seriously. So it's, you know, I think that's a positive thing. I think that
the other thing the administration is going to have to really think about is, you know, first of all,
what are the investments we need to make in those supply chains if we're not going to accept that?
and we're going to diversify not just from like Chinese batteries,
but also like all the way down the Chinese battery supply chain.
What does that mean?
But also we have to think about kind of what are the sectors where,
and this is where we got to the car,
was what happened with cars and we talked about in the piece,
what are the sectors where just having large-scale deployment
of kind of connected Chinese products in that area poses a risk?
And I think there was a recognition in the Biden administration
that actually, you know, electric vehicles in general,
having, you know, if 20%, 30% of the cars on the road were Chinese and could theoretically
be, like, switched off by Beijing.
Yeah, I mean, they could cripple our transportation infrastructure overnight, right?
That is something that wasn't a, that was unacceptable.
So we've effectively banned Chinese cars, but did it before there was big market penetration.
So I think we have to kind of think about what are the other, like, I think there needs to be
some pretty hard conversations on robotics, right?
Yeah, so what do you think about Unitri just selling humanoid?
on Walmart.com.
We were thinking about buying one here.
Because I've been very vocal
over the last year as long as we've been doing the show
that I think it's super disappointing
that we let, you know, like GoPro should have been
the dominant American drone company
and there's a longer list of companies
that could have made great products in that space.
Maybe people would have to pay slightly more,
but we just let DJI flood.
And from what we know, DJI was just willing
to lose money for a very, very, very, very long period of time in order to just take market share.
And so when I think about humanoids, and, you know, I don't, I'm not going to put a Unitree robot
in my home. But if they're the cheapest and, you know, if they're at kind of the leading
edge right now, there's a scenario where we just let them flood the United States with humanoid robots
and maybe they're adding value in home or in factories in different settings. But then it's just
just obviously like you just watch any sci-fi movie and you can understand like the potential like national security risk of allowing robots that can be teleoperated to, you know, just proliferate all over the country.
And so it just feels like hopefully that comes up at some point in some of these discussions of just, hey, maybe we make the call to not allow this to happen like it did with drones.
Yeah, I think we just have to have kind of class-based regulations on these things that says anything.
that fits these parameters, you know, a robot in your home that's capable, that has,
you know, recording equipment and audio, yeah, and kind of, like, has mapping technology and maybe
has, yeah, it has some kind of appendage. I don't know, you could, you could figure out a way to do it.
Like, just cannot be sold in the United States if it involved, if it's from a Chinese company,
or Chinese, Russian, North Korean, right, like, the broader set of actors.
The only category of items that we've done that for as a class is vehicles.
But I think that needs to be, you know, we need to think about it.
We have the tools to do it, and we need to think about what are the areas where that pose
kind of similar risks.
And you're worried that we'll wait until there's a robot uprising to do something like this.
I mean, you said earlier, like, the U.S. is really good at reacting in a crisis.
And I just hope, like, at some point, like, if I'm not.
I'm China, and you're letting me sell humanoid robots into your country at scale, and you're a political adversary.
Like, I'm laughing.
I'm laughing at you.
Like, it just seems like totally unsurious.
Yeah, I think it is easier to do these types of things before there are huge market impacts.
So part of the reason that the car's move was doable was because, first of all, like, industry was very supportive, right?
We had Detroit banging down the door being like,
we're going to get killed by the Chinese.
But in the same way they are with tariffs.
But second of all, the market penetration of all the Chinese car companies
was very close to zero still,
partly because we had such significant tariffs,
although those were going to become muted in effect.
So if you have an area where it's still pretty nascent, it's doable.
Humanoids are perfect.
Like the second, once you have a million Americans
that have spent 20 grand,
on a humanoid and they're like, I'm not, like, I want to buy the next version.
I like this one.
You know, it's not like we've now seen the Chinese can build, hit consumer products.
There was a long time where people didn't believe that was true, but clearly with TikTok
and DJI, like, it's no longer a debate.
And DJI is a great example because, you know, DJI, it's a much more complicated to do
this for UAVs right now because DJI is everywhere, also all sorts of like state and local
and municipal governments, even the federal government still uses DJI drones.
they have such dominance that even if we did do it, we would have to do some kind of mitigation steps
even to implement it if we did it today, which maybe we should. But it's just massively complicated,
whereas if you do it nascently, it's just, you could just kind of cut off the appendage.
Yeah, anybody that disagrees about the national security risk here and the potential downsides,
like you can't believe that, like, if you believe that Israel was able to run like a decade-long operation
to get pagers, like, sold into the right group of people
that they could then carry out this, you know,
coordinated action,
and then you think it's safe to just let robots
from an adversarial nation flood our country.
Like, I don't know what to do.
I think you're just, you know, blissfully.
And they won't let us develop the domestic robot industry
unless we do something like that, too, right?
Like, they will consistently undercut us
and will never, our companies will never get mature enough
will they'll be able to benefit from the economies of scale
where they can even remotely compete with the Chinese
instead they're going to be 100% off?
We were having this debate before you're not debate really,
but before you got on,
it's like I believe that China can simultaneously
buy as many leading edge chips,
blackwells, whatever, whatever we'll give them
and simultaneously provide the long-term capital
to allow their own industry
to catch up on whatever time scale
it needs to catch up on,
What is the tolerance level for?
Basically, is it possible for us to run the Chinese playbook against them?
We subsidize Blackwells, flood their markets with Black Wells,
and then they can't go down the learning curve with Smick and Smee and Huawei,
and then at the last second when they're super dependent,
we pull it back when we need to right before, I guess, ASI hits or something like that.
That's the basic thesis, debate.
I mean, I think two things with that.
One is that history would show that's never something that the Chinese are going to accept, right?
They've never been okay being reliant on any Western technology of any significance.
They also, we've been very clear about our intention to keep this dominant now.
I think you can't put that toothpaste back in the tube.
Like they're going to go, we saw they were going all out in indigenousization back in 2020.
It's even more of the case now.
Their constraints are not desire or cash.
they are actual access to equipment and tools.
And we're lucky that the SME and not just lithography machines,
but also etching deposition machines like anything,
all the kind of really advanced equipment is among the most complicated technology in the world.
But we can assume that they're actively,
that they have thousands or tens of thousands of people
that are tasked globally with just collecting as much information as they possibly can
to reproduce it locally.
Yeah.
The only reason this works with chips is,
because this is the most complicated equipment
with the most complicated supply chains on Earth, right?
Like, an UV lithography machine
is literally the most complicated machine
ever made by man.
So therefore it's possible the Chinese
can actually indigenize every single thing on Earth
except this.
Like, that is a logically consistent outcome.
The other thing I would just say with respect
to your thesis is if that was the play,
the more effective way to do that
would be to cut them off from everything completely,
but then tell them you can have it via U.S. cloud,
because then you can cut it off at any moment's notice.
You could debate if that's a good idea or not,
but chips are going to be a lagging effect, right?
It's going to be two to three years
until all the GPUs kind of go bust or get depreciated
or you need to move on in your architecture.
It's interesting.
What is the most current debate on the ground in Washington
around like Blackwells specifically?
So there is the question.
of whether or not we should ship them, but actually the more pertinent question is, is,
there's a piece of legislation called the Gain AI Act that's moving on the hill that actually
the Senate passed as part of the NDAA, the must pass annual defense bill, and is being debated
with the House right now. And it's a sponsor by Senator Banks. And basically it says,
he's a Republican from Indiana. And basically it says, look, we're not going to weigh in on the
question of whether or not we should ship chips to China. That's a separate question. But
regardless of where you are on that, American companies should get priority access before Chinese
companies. And it basically requires before shipping any chips to China that are controlled and
authorized, it requires American buyers to get right of first refusal, which I think is a,
from my perspective, is a pretty logical approach, whether or not you support or oppose AI chip
exports to China, you know, saying that America should
should have them first is logical. It also does one other thing, the most recent text,
which exempts trusted U.S. exports to trust, to trusted U.S. persons to anywhere other than China
from license requirements. The reason this is important is actually there's a lot of pending
deals in the Middle East right now from U.S. data centers that are trying to make billions of
dollars of deals in the Middle East. Those are subject to license requirements. There's a lot of
negotiations on whether or not those can go, and they've been held up for a long time. But this
would say as long as the government certifies them as a trusted U.S. person and they're subject
to a couple, you know, standard restrictions like, you know, they keep 50% of their computing power
in the U.S., then they can go without U.S. government approval. So really basically trying to
prioritize U.S. customers in any decisions vis-a-vis Chinese companies and also U.S. companies
vis-a-vis any decisions on the international AI build-out.
Do you think Jensen will be happy with that?
the Nvidia has been pretty public of their their opposition to the bill but look my response is that is that just they want they don't they just want the flexibility to do deals effectively like because it's it's not exactly a secret that Nvidia of like they have a Shanghai office and R&D center like they're trying to uh I I've joke that Jensen is you know the juggler just sort of like juggling a bunch of different.
you know, national interests always. And I guess that's his duty to, to the shareholders. But
what is their specific, do you know what their specific opposition is? I think, I mean, any regulation
is generally opposed. And I think they're concerned it would kind of hamstring their operations
or result in kind of bureaucratic complexities that actually would prohibit them from selling
anything to China, even if it kind of was prohibited. I, I guess I, I, I, I, I guess I, I, I,
think that there is this is a good faith effort to to work to develop a system that would that would
allow that if that's the administration's policy position to do so um i think my response generally be like
if the question is really is there a supply shortage of GPUs or not right because if there is
i i think it's pretty clear with blackwell that there's more demand than there is supply then i i i think
that u.s companies probably it is not surprising to say that the u.s government to say that us companies should
get priority over these over foreign companies for these chips. If there's not, then the bill in theory
would have no impact on their on their ability to sell them to others. Now certainly I think
there's there's tweaks to the language and things that people would be, you know, I know that
Senator Banks and his staff are, you know, happy to work with industry on, but that's the intent
here. Yeah. I'd hope that we could come to a resolution there. Makes sense. Really enjoyed this conversation.
Come on again soon.
We'll reach out.
I'm sure there'll be much more to talk about in the near future.
This is fantastic.
Thank you so much, Chris.
Thanks, guys.
Appreciate you having me.
Look forward to talk more in the future.
Cheers.
See you later.
Bye.
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Let's bring in Max June Strand from Lagora into the TB at Ultramm.
Boom.
Max, how are you?
you doing. Welcome. Welcome to the show. I'm great. Good to see you. How are you? Congratulations on all
the progress. Introduce yourself, the company, and then give us the news. Of course. I'm Axe,
Devinistrand, CEO, co-founder of Ligora. We're an AI-powered workspace for lawyers. We just closed our
series C. Founder the business back in... How much? How much? How much did you raise? John's ready.
John's ready. 150 million.
I got all of these pictures back from the gym this morning from Stockholm.
They had bought a huge inflatable unicorn.
Maybe we can send you some pictures.
There we go.
It literally takes up half the office.
Amazing.
We added it to the 18th calendars.
You can book it.
Are you a YC company?
Yeah, we were in YC, winter 2024.
Winter 2024?
Wow.
Yeah, winter 24.
That's insane.
18 months.
This must be one of the fastest.
is growing in YC companies of all time.
I think so.
Actually crazy.
Wow.
That's impressive.
So the VCs, they'd said, we need 10% max.
And you're like, best I can do is 8.3.
Yeah.
This round.
This one was easier to negotiate than the first one I did with benchmark.
When I did the one with benchmark, we sat down.
We took an Excel.
Chase them put in some numbers
and I went, there's no way, dude.
And he goes, I've never done a deal where I didn't get 20%.
And then we started going down on the like point decimals.
And I think we landed on something like 18.51%.
It was extremely.
You got it to back off just a little tiny bit.
It was good.
He broke his rule for you.
So.
Okay.
So how are you, we've talked to a bunch of.
Yeah, let me give some context here because,
a good friend of mine as a lawyer
and the firm he's at,
he's on their like tech kind of advisory,
I don't know, whatever,
you know, big law.
And he's been evaluating products.
And about a year ago, he, like, was not impressed at all.
And when I saw him, I saw him last week,
and he was telling me that he now is seeing AI tools do,
he called it like a hundred thousand dollars worth of like diligence in like 10 minutes and he was like
huge wake up call he was like thinking about um like he didn't he didn't even think his firm
would be able to evolve to that even though he even though even though and this is a big you know
big firm but he uh he was like clients are going to realize like what's the game has changed like very
quickly and not every law firm is going to react quickly enough. And so, yeah, kind of want to get,
yeah, wanted to get the update on like just how much has changed kind of over the last year because
there's product innovation that's happening. And then there's just like the models are getting
better and they're both feeding into each other. Well, I kind of view it like this. Here's the model
capabilities. Here's the product capabilities and here's the people capabilities in terms of
using those products and getting the most out of it.
So there's a huge sort of gap still to be filled in terms of what people are using the products
for.
I mean, back in 2024 when we were part of YC, I mean, Ligua was a glorified GPT rapper with sort
of good rag, good citations, you know, solved compliance and data issues.
But now I think your friend is right.
The products have moved from being a conversational, simple AI into something that solves
much more sophisticated tasks.
And it looks very differently across transactional work or in litigation or in-house work.
If you take due diligence as an example, I mean, it's effectively the exercise of looking
through a large number of documents and understanding what is within those documents.
And I think LLMs were better at reading than writing initially, which is quite an important
distinction.
So we came at this whole problem very much from the review angle.
I think some companies, I mean, look, we were not the only ones who realized that legal and LLM was going to be a nice marriage.
They came at it from the research angle or drafting angle, which was much, much harder to build a good company on in the early days.
And I think now what's happening is, I mean, I don't know how many apps you use on your phone.
I use maybe five.
And what's happening is the lawyers don't want to learn 20 different point solutions.
We're bringing everything into one suite.
And then with things like MCP, we can actually also allow the really sophisticated law firms to bring in corpus of their own bespoke tools and capabilities, which I think is a much richer environment.
I have a very painful lesson around diligence, which is why I care. I'm very excited about this technology. I worked on a deal last year before we started the show. And we were in diligence on this company. And there was a single,
document that killed the deal and the lawyers had already racked up like like a hundred like a hundred
thousand dollar bill before we before we before we found it um and it ultimately meant that all you know
all the all the parties uh walked away but we were still sitting there with like this massive bill
and it was just like unbelievably painful because it wasn't even complicated it was just the business was
incredibly old and there was just this one deal that they had done like a decade ago that meant that
that it was just like kind of dead in the water.
Yeah, I mean, I mean, what the tech allows is that you can also do a DED on the cell side
before you even put the documents into the data room and you say, hey, let's go open it up to
the other side, right?
Like, it's, it's funny that it's called a data room, right?
Because it used to be a physical data room with a bunch of boxes.
You would go into that room.
You would open it up.
You would start reading all the documents.
Then we got control F and you could start control Fing for different change of control
classes.
And then came the early versions of the sort of AI systems where actually the seed for what became Ligua was founded.
Back with the early birth models, if you remember those.
And you had to fine tune the system to find specific provisions.
And now what's cool is you basically just ask the query in natural language and the system understands it.
So you can even go in there and say on a scale of 1 to 10, how much of a smoking gun is this document?
And the AI will just respond and provide its reasoning.
So I think in the comment that you made, will some law firms disappear? Absolutely. I think law firms will go through a huge wave of consolidation, frankly, because they've never had tech and sort of real scalability as a weapon. And I mean, you have the big four in auditing, and tech has been very good for auditing. It's very good with numbers. It's very good in finance. Tech has never been good at language until large language models. And so now I think you'll see increasingly firms leverage these things.
to not only sort of out-deliver their competitors,
but also to out-priced them.
Yeah, so...
So is the solution for law firms,
you think, transitioning to kind of value-based pricing,
flat, you know, more like project fees?
Because, you know, if you compare this to, like,
the creative world, like the best logo designer in the world
is not going to charge an hourly rate
because they might be able to make that logo in like 30 minutes, right?
And so if they charge, like,
charge like a $100,000 hourly rate, but companies will pay $100,000 for a great logo.
So is that...
Which is correct.
I think that's correct for a lot of work.
I don't think it's correct for all the work.
So I'll give you an example.
When we negotiated this term sheets, we were working with Goodwin and our partner, Craig, there.
And when I need his expertise to help me negotiate the term sheet, he's worth a lot more than his hourly rate, which is, I mean, arguably, all right.
high, but it's worth a lot more than that in that specific case. But when his team is reviewing
simple documents, maybe that's not worth as much if AI can do that. So I almost view it as,
if AI can do a specific piece of task, it will do it. The only question is like, where does that
get transacted? And I think you'll see value-based pricing in taking a portion of the deals.
Like, the best law firm in the world, arguably, is Wachtell. And they don't do hourly rates at all.
They just say, this is the price to win and you pay them.
And they get a portion of that.
But I'm also actually seeing another way where really big companies, like the big tech companies, are going to law firms and saying, hey, we're going to pay you $200 million over the next two years.
And we want you to do all of this work.
Can you do it?
And the law firm is then forced to say, are we going to turn down $200 million or are we going to figure out a way to do that?
And of course, then,
tech will be part of that answer.
So I actually...
Yeah, it's about creating the right incentive
to adopt the tech versus, like,
currently some firms are going to resist it
and being like,
I actually like doing diligence the old-fashioned way
where we could get three people to spend, you know,
all these hours.
This was super fun.
I'm super excited for you guys.
I have a feeling we'll have you on a lot more in the future.
Just remarkable progress.
Which we had more time.
I love to see YC company winning.
And I,
rarely see one winning this hard. This is incredible. This hard. I mean, especially, I gotta give a
shout out. Like we, since we started in Europe, we just launched in the U.S. back in Mark.
So since then, we've killed the team, almost 50 people. And it's like the growth that's coming in
the U.S. is frankly what we're doing around. Congratulations. Thank you so much, guys.
Thank you so much. We'll talk to you soon. Have everyone. Cheers. Bye.
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Our next guest is Christina from Vanta.
She's been on the show multiple times.
She's back.
We're getting an update.
How are you, Christina?
Great to see you.
Thank you for supporting us for this entire year.
It's been fantastic.
You've been on a tear.
What's new in your world?
Well, I got a hat in the mail from you all, and it's great.
Thank you.
Well, you should have gotten a jacket too, but the team may have sniped it.
Oh, no.
Oh, the jacket never, the jacket never showed up.
Jacket never showed up, but really into the hat.
So thanks for that.
I'm glad.
I'm glad.
Things are going well.
So a little bit, a lot of AI going on with everybody as you're probably talking about.
Getting excited for Vantacom, the security and compliance event of the season.
Let's go.
And just did some surveying of security folks about how they're feeling about AI.
Yeah, we were talking to the CEO of Crowdstrike yesterday.
Very interesting nuance.
There's basically like AI generated viruses now where the actual code that hacks the system is generated on the fly by a generative AI model.
And can do reasoning.
Yeah.
So your malware.
It's going to be great.
I'm sure.
Can think like a human now.
I'm in danger.
I'm in danger is what I feel like.
But how are people feeling what are you learning from the customer base, from the folks that you're talking to on the ground?
Yeah.
So we talking folks on the ground.
And then we also surveyed thousands of security leaders around the world.
Sure.
And the result's actually super, super encouraging on the AI front.
And then I actually even guessed.
So we found like four and five security leaders are using or plan to use AI agents to prevent against those sort of attacks.
Sure.
So the solution to the attack to the AI agent attacks is good guy agents.
Yeah, of course.
Yeah.
Long tokens.
Yeah.
So there's that piece.
And then we found like kind of a similar percentage, but Seventh.
percent of folks are letting those agents give input on security strategy.
Yeah.
And it's like giving it to a person who's considering it.
Sure, sure, sure.
We're in like default, let the agent talk to your folks and influence them versus like
default skepticism.
And again, this is among security folks.
So I was like pretty impressed with this.
How, how, do you have a sense of like how token intensive some of these processes are?
Because I imagine that like one of the things you could do is just the benefit of AI is that it
doesn't mind working 24-7 for months on end.
So you could just say, actually go through every single line of my code base one by one
and then just, you know, see, does this same like there could be a vulnerability here
and just generate tons and tons of, you know, ideas.
And then we'll have a human filter through what it thinks could be vulnerabilities.
Yeah.
So, okay, I saw your interview with Alex.
And Barakos opened out yesterday.
And I think we're like seeing something similar where it's just like paralyzing.
Sure.
And we're like, oh, okay, go off, run, take all the tokens.
like see what you come back with.
And maybe it's something and then I just did two things at once.
And maybe it's nothing.
And then I'm like, I kind of just did the one thing and I have to move to the next task.
But like I'm in the spot I am.
And so we are seeing like a ton of paralyzational work here.
Yes.
Yeah.
What, yeah, what else is empowering people on the AI side in security compliance?
I can imagine that like, you know, when we're talking about the technology,
We talk about, oh, the future of the agents, we'll just be able to do it.
But then when we talk to people on the ground, they're like, I'm just using ChachapD to do my homework or I'm using it to get educated.
And I feel like there's a whole world where we go and we rebuild the compliance training processes in an AI native way.
In a not awful way.
Yeah, a lot of times it's pretty awful.
I've been through a few of those where you're clicking a button and watching a video and you need to move the mouse.
Is there progress there?
How fast is that rolling out?
What does the future of compliance training look like, you think?
Yeah, okay, well, compliance training in particular, I think a ton.
And to your point, like, adaptive and compelling and not the, like, watch a video that feels, you know, at best stuck in the 90s or probably worse things you could say about it, right?
Yeah.
Yeah.
Yeah, we see folks doing, like, the fishing email was, like, always the classic thing.
but now it is just, they're really good because it's also like, oh, let me scan your email inbox and be like, what do you actually reply to?
Oh.
Not just like, I'll send you the, I don't know, TVPN newsletter and like try to, or fake that and try to get you to click on it.
Like it's super personalized.
So there's some cool stuff there.
To your other question, my model of this kind of an overall, but I definitely see it in security and compliance to steal from Tyler Cowan is like Centars.
And so it's like AI plus person and we're at that stage.
Yeah.
Right? And maybe, you know, AI will take it all the way, like the way it did with chess.
But even with chess, there was like a multi-decade, you know, AI plus person stage.
And we're seeing a lot of that with our customers.
Yeah, that's fantastic.
What we were asking the Crowdstrike founder about like, like, basically was he surprised that we haven't seen like a Gen AI induced, like high profile security incident yet?
I don't know.
Like a solar wind.
I'm sure, yeah, when you, like, yeah, what's your, you know, how concerned are you
about, about that sort of like, you know, even the AWS outage, that was not a generative
AI driven problem.
It was just DNS configuration on a database.
Okay.
So, actually, like, building off of that, I think, I don't know, probably pretty soon,
but I don't think it'll be some, like, crazy complicated attack, like a kind of, you know,
it'll be like, oh, you left your database that's unlocked.
It's like the classic Equifax thing, you know, and it's like, maybe AI spotted that.
Sure.
But like you kind of did the equivalent of like, well, you left your front door unlocked.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Yeah.
So just another lesson.
Just like go back to the basics, drill the basics, human in the loop.
There's definitely the centaur error is going to be here for a long time, I believe.
I completely agree with you.
Last question, which we had more time today.
Like, how are you in your team?
thinking about headcount planning over the next two years.
Oh, yeah, that's a great question.
It's like all I'm doing right now.
In like an AI sense, in a business.
Yeah, well, just not even in an AI sense, but just like it's a new world.
It's a new world.
We see public company CEOs doing layoffs and saying, we're doing these layoffs because
of AI and maybe some of it's because of AI, but, you know, others is just it's a really good.
Alex Carp told us he's not going to really grow headcount.
and he thinks he can massively grow revenue
without actually scaling up the
the talent pool that much.
Government contracts are amazing.
The way we were thinking about it
is like
someone or like AI won't take your job
but someone using AI might
like back to the SEPAR thing.
And so have a bunch of stuff.
And that's like our framing inside
to Vantans, folks work of Fanta, whatever.
And we have a bunch of stuff both to like encourage
and teach and be like this
and then this will be a core expectation of your job.
And so like that kind of model going forward and filtering on it and hiring and, you know.
So you're telling the team, like, you should have three, at least three bots join every hangout that you do that are all summarizing the meeting notes and competing to summarize the meeting notes the best.
I saw this too.
I, yeah, I'm a note taker and like notes make me pay attention so I like can't use those meeting recorders because then I stop paying attention.
And I'm just like, I know this.
Not everybody is like this, but yeah.
Yeah.
Yeah, a lot of it depends on like the actual use case.
If you're in some sort of meeting where you need a full transcript, that's probably different.
But, you know, certain types of meetings, it's going to make more sense.
Vanta should make like a really menacing agent that joins and is like watching out.
Make sure there's no funny business going on.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
See some words.
It'll like pop up at you.
Yeah.
Well, thank you so much for taking the time to join the show today.
We will talk to you soon.
Great to catch up.
Have a great rest of your day.
Bye.
Talk soon.
See it.
Before our next guest,
hop's on,
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Okay, quick fire drill for the team.
Is Alon from Navon in the waiting room yet, then?
We have...
Because I know we have a couple more,
but...
I know the Restream waiting room right now.
Okay, but team, think about ordering here
because Elon...
We have a special situation
because Navon is going public.
Today.
And the IPO timing might be...
Yeah, I just want to be cognizant of his timing.
Okay.
So we will have the production team working on that.
But let's bring in Lynn.
Let's bring in Lynn from Fireworks AI
into the TVP and Ultram.
Welcome to the show, Lynn.
How are you doing?
Hi.
Thanks having me.
Thank you much for taking the time.
Big day.
Would love to get your introduction to the company.
how you're framing your business relative to everything else that's going on in an AI at such an
exciting time. And then we'd love to go into the news. Yeah, definitely. So fireworks, we are
an AI inference platform with application-specific inference. So here's how we think about
inference differently. That we do not think about inference as we buy in compliances at home. For example,
We buy a refrigerator, use that for 10 years, and they upgrade to the next one.
We believe model should be continuously becoming smarter and smarter
and learning and adapt into the application.
So every single application developer, they should have their own model.
They shouldn't use off the shelf, you know, any model other people use
and become a model API rubber.
Instead, the model should be part of their product design.
And the model is like we raise child, it will continue to learn and be smarter and be more specialized in solving particular problem really, really well.
So that's kind of inference platform we provide with smarter model, faster model, and a much more cost-efficient model for every single application.
So, I mean, you're competing with, am I crazy?
Are you competing with AWS, Azure?
Like, these are the biggest hyperscalers.
They are somewhat model agnostic, but serve up inference as APIs.
I'm competing with everyone.
Is this the craziest?
He's coming for everybody.
But I mean, take me a click deeper on the actual strategy.
Is it just that there's so much demand that you can go in, go and satisfy the extra demand?
Or do you think you're building something that will just be completely differentiated from the hyperscalers forever?
Right.
So we currently, we are running very high traffic.
We are processing more than 180 requests per second.
that is an order magnitude of, it's same in the ballpark of Google's search traffic volume.
We process more than 10 trillion tokens per day.
Okay.
Based on Google's earning call, that's similar to their, that is actually the same as their token processed from Gemini.
So we process a large volume of data.
And that just means open model has the future.
And there are so many startups and enterprise,
they are reinvent the new use experience.
And they want to have full control of the model as their IP
and have the model co-developed, co-involved,
co-adapt into their product.
And we see that as a future.
And that's how we differentiate from product-focused point of view.
And we do not provide this inference once it's fitzall.
we provide one size of face one specific tailor towards application.
Are you GPU rich? Are you GPU poor? Is this part of the part of your strategy to
have GPUs available when your companies need them? Is that a differentiator?
Yeah, I would like to say we design our product for GPU poor because interestingly,
we are at the beginning of S-curve of huge AI-Native product.
explosion. But product market fit today doesn't mean a viable business in the sense that many of
the, we work with so many companies, they just couldn't scale to millions of developers or billions
of consumers. They're going to scale into bankruptcy. Fundamental infrastructure is so expensive.
Even if they build the best product has so much value, they just couldn't make a viable business.
Scaling into bankruptcy is an iconic line.
That's a great line.
I'm not going to name.
There's one company that really comes to mind.
I won't name them.
Give us the news.
Give us the news from today.
On the fundraising side.
And get that gong ready again.
Yes.
What happened?
We, congratulations.
We raised our CSC.
Yes, give us some more details.
Who came in?
How much?
What is the valuation?
What else are you sharing about the round?
Yeah, we raised $250 million.
Co-led by Life Speed and Index.
Boom.
Love it.
with participation fund Eventik in Sequoia.
Fantastic.
You can just call it a quarter billion now.
You're getting into the really big number range.
It brought us about our valuation to $4 billion.
Four billion.
So really excited for all the customers, partners, and investors.
And quickly, how old is the company?
We're three years old.
Wow.
That is impressive.
Congratulations.
Well, thank you for everything you're doing to power the AI revolution.
helping people avoid scaling into bankruptcy.
That is the company motto.
It's honestly one of the greatest lines.
We're going to be using that line quite a lot.
So thank you for that.
And it's great to meet you.
Congrats to the whole team.
Congratulations.
Thank you so much.
Have a good day.
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Our next guest is from Navan.
We have Alon Twig, the CTO and cofactor abroad.
Welcome to the show.
Get that gong ready.
Congratulations.
Let's ring the gong preemptively.
Preemptive hit.
Now we can have a conversation.
Champagne.
Cheers, cheers.
We have happy dad.
Nobody's joined, nobody's joined drinking champagne ever on the show.
If you're joining drinking champagne, I'm going to have a happy dad from the Nelk boys.
From a friend John.
long a really long day so that's my last thing before the big party starts so well well well
congratulations amazing and you're live live uh live from the naszac has has the day has the day been
and yeah maybe kind of back up a little bit and actually introduce yourself i think people can
probably tell what what you're up to but yeah sure and so my name is ilan twig i clearly like
champains i'm the ctio and co-founder of navan navan is uh traveling
expense management company. We started more than a decade ago. Today we IPOed, super pumped.
Congratulations. It was a beautiful day. Yes, exactly. My entire family, by the way, I think I broke
the record of the number of family members that joined me to the ceremony. No way. That's amazing.
It's so funny because the last time we were at NIPO, yeah, the last time we were at an IPO,
it was for Klarna, Sebastian, who's a friend of the show. And for him, it was, for him, it was,
It was just like another day.
He was like, oh, yeah, I didn't even bring my family.
I just kind of stopped by, IPO of the company come back.
But so every founder, every executive, like processes these things differently.
It's always interesting to hear how people treat it.
How many, roughly?
Like 30, 30?
No, it was just for my family, it was 17.
17, 17.
17 family members at the IPO.
Yeah, congratulations.
Really amazing milestone.
And by the way, if I may say, one last thing about the guest,
So my parents were here, both of them.
Sure.
My dad turns 90 in two weeks.
Wow.
And he was here with me on the stage.
He was like happy.
That's amazing.
I think most of my excitement was watching them.
Totally.
Being so excited.
Yeah.
Not understanding anything because they don't really speak English,
but they kind of got the gist of what's happening, and it was super exciting.
Yeah.
That's incredible.
Take us back through, I mean, I'm sure when you, when you're looking back into like the
of COVID, which probably, it feels a long time ago, but you were in a business that was,
I mean, I just imagine you aged more rapidly than maybe Brian Johnson would like during that period.
Walk us through kind of some of the key moments getting to this point.
Maybe I should first tell you that before COVID, I had black hair.
It was all black.
Oh, wow.
It looks good on you.
It looks good on you.
You look more like a serious, you know, executive now.
Yeah, yeah.
I can fool people around you that I'm serious.
Yes.
You know, you run a company that the business model is we make money when people use the platform.
There was no monthly fees.
There was no way you don't pay.
No long lock-in.
No enterprise contract.
No enterprise contract.
So, and why?
Because both my co-founder, Ariel Cohen and I, we had this philosophy that if the company generates money on usage,
then the company will always be focused on making sure that people would want to use the product
because it's a great experience.
And it worked well for us for the first five years.
And then when COVID hit, no one was traveling and no one was using our platform,
not because it was an inferior product.
It was because there was a virus and no one could travel.
And so we found ourselves with the best product out there with zero usage and zero revenue.
and it took six weeks from like I don't remember the number maybe a hundred
million to zero six weeks so then what yeah it was it was a very interesting
point in time but I can tell you that you know five years later here I am with a
glass of champagne my parents were here we were celebrating the IPO with a company
that has way more products a much more resilient business model and trust me this
time it's a pandemic proof so we're not gonna go to zero we go down but not
to zero if it happens again so
We learn, you know, that's why we have gray hair.
Battle scars.
And yeah, it was definitely a challenging time, but I think that, you know, judging by results,
I think that it was managed well.
Obviously, the entire company, the entire management team, the board, we were all united
around the decisions and here we are.
How are you, we were talking to Brian Chesky at Airbnb last week, and he was sort of mapping
out his vision for the future of travel, this idea that as we become more online, we also
maybe want to become more offline as well. And maybe we're traveling more as well as spending
more time just online. How do you and how do you internally in the company think about the future
of just business travel, pleasure travel, just like the overall travel market?
Right. So first I should tell you, you know, I'm the CTO and I love the technology.
I mean, this is my thing.
I really, really love technology.
When ChachyPT came out, the first thing that I did,
I bought like a $30,000 worth of a GPU.
That's what I did.
And I built a PC.
My co-founder thought that you should fire me.
It's like, you have a PC under your desk?
Yeah.
I said, yeah.
And I paid for it.
You don't worry about it.
I paid for it.
And then I started deploying LLMs on top of it,
uncensored LLMs.
I dove deep into that.
And I really wanted to know the name
of these creatures, how they behave.
Because if I were to deploy anything to production,
based on these creatures, I call them,
I need to know who they are, how they behave.
Will they lie, for example?
Do they know what a lie is?
Will they use it?
No, they lie, yeah.
Forget all definitions.
They will also lie for other reasons,
intentionally, like they would not want to lose,
for example, and they would lie in order not to lose.
A lot of discoveries.
But ultimately it led us to, once we really understand the technology,
really understand the technology, how to deploy this thing to production and let it run completely
unsupervised and do stuff for us. And I think the important thing is completely unsupervised.
The first thing that we've done is we deployed the Ava. Ava is our virtual travel agent.
And she communicates with travelers as things happen when they need to book something
or when there's disruptions and they need to push their travel by one day, cancel this leg,
argue about the refund, et cetera, et cetera, and she would do all of these things for them.
And it is all based on an internal framework that we built.
We call it Navan cognition.
I really like the name cognition.
I didn't invent it.
It was a professor from Columbia that we worked with.
And why cognition?
Because it turns LLMs into a highly functioning cognitive system.
So Eva today is completely unsupervised.
She manages thousands of chats every day with a very, very high customer.
satisfaction that matches the humans level and she offsets more than 50% of the incoming chats.
She does not deflect. She solves. So I think our approach to travel is we look for ways to leverage
technology to make travel easier so that people can focus on being there rather than getting there.
Getting there is just a noise that you have to, it's a penalty that you have to pay. But the focus
for corporate travel is to be there and to be fully there. And there's people outside trying
to make me laugh from outside. And I'm a little bit...
Well, I'll try. I just have one suggestion. I think if you make an agent, one of your,
you know, your baby creature and call it Twiggy, please. Oh, that's a good nickname. Microsoft has
Clippy. Yeah. Navon needs Twiggy. You already went through one. You went through a rebrand.
You were trip actions. Now you're Navon. I want you to. I want you to.
to rename Ava to Twiggy.
I love it.
I'll do my best.
I'm going to dream for that.
Cheers.
Cheers.
Thank you so much for coming on the show
on such a big day.
Congratulations.
Such a monumental moment.
And please extend our
congratulations to the entire family,
all 17.
All 17 and the whole team.
It's a beautiful moment.
America loves an IPO.
I hope you have a great rest of the day.
Great rest of you.
Thank you so much.
We'll talk to us soon.
I'm going to party tonight.
Thank you so much.
Amazing.
Let's go.
Love your podcast.
Love you.
What a legend.
What a legend.
That was one of the most legendary.
It was tough to follow.
Yeah.
We have Taryngeet coming in next.
From Memo.
I think that's how I pronounce it.
Mem Zero.
He's in the re-stream waiting room.
How are you doing?
Great to see you.
Thank you so much for hopping on the show.
Really tough one to follow.
Yeah.
The last guest came in.
He said, champagne.
He's drinking.
Praise to Billy.
It's a crazy moment.
But I'm excited for this.
But thank you so much for hopping on the show.
We're very excited to talk to you.
Yeah, like, thank you for having me great to be here.
Of course.
Talk to me about the business.
Introduce yourself in the business.
And then I want to go really deep into how memory will actually transfer and what the
equilibrium of the market will be.
But we can go into all the technical or like market structure stuff after we kind of get
the general news, where the business.
business is, the shape of what you're building.
Thank you. So I'm Taranjit. I'm the co-founder and CEO of Mem0. Mem0 is building memory for
AI agents. Right now, everybody is trying to create an AI app, an AI agent, but there is a fundamental
issue. All the apps are done because they are stateless. They don't evolve with you as humans evolve.
We are trying to fix that. We are the, so far, we are the most dominant player in the market
with like 41,000 GitHub stars, 14 million downloads. And we'll use.
recently announced our 24 million funding, led by BASISC, Ventures with Kindred, PX, and GITR.
Total agent domination.
So, I mean, I got to just jump straight into the actual market dynamic because I have to imagine that right now Open AI is saying,
where you're going to log in with Open AI and we're going to store the memory because we want you lock to us as much.
much as possible. And for everything else, if we, we want to build it within the app, we want to,
you know, do, we want one-click checkout in the app. And if, and if we're going to send you out,
you're going to owe off with ChatGBT. GBT.T. And so are you the Android to ChatGPT's iPhone,
or is there a way that you can play together? Is there a data privacy thing where I can go
to Sam Altman and say, hey, look, I know I'm daily driving the ChatGPT app, but you got to let me take
my data with me, my personalization data with me, because I want to go out into the open
open LLM ecosystem and interact with things all over the place.
Yeah, I think that's a very good question.
And there are two ways to look at it.
First, it's good that big labs are adding memory in their consumer offering.
They're actually educating the market that memory is needed.
And they also realize that as models commoditized, memory is the next mode.
And it's a matter of time that memory becomes available as an API.
But you know, developers were building all sorts of full air.
apps are using multiple LLMs.
So in that scenario, because memory is not just read only, it's also right.
You would want to decouple it from LLM's out there.
So that's like take one.
Now the fundamental thing for why this is happening is, you know, we are going through a technological
shift.
So far we have been interacting with click, swipe and scroll.
But for the first time, we and everyone on this planet is getting the ability to talk to
software.
You can chat with it.
You can say a few words.
it will save back to you.
So you as human, I as human,
we are accumulating rich personal context.
Now, right now, it's a handful of AI agents
that we use on a day-to-day basis.
And we use like chat, GPT, Claude and, you know,
other apps out there.
But five years down the line,
it's going to be a lot of apps in our life.
And imagine if I as a user or you as a user
have to explain every app who you are,
that's going to be frustrating for you.
So in that scenario, we strongly envision
and which strongly will make this plaid for AI kind of, you know,
functionality out there within you as a user are empowered to carry,
to own and carry your AI memories across any app or device that you interact with.
Okay, so if you're the plaid for memory and in the future, I am using, I mean, this is a real story.
I use Gemini all the time for V-O-3.
I also, if I'm interacting with a YouTube video, I'll always,
go to Gemini for that. Gemini's faster
in a bunch of different places, but
I use the voice mode
on Chatchibati. I also use
Claude every once in a while.
I have little memories all over the place.
And if I'm in the Plata
analogy, that's similar to having a
Chase account over here, Morgan Stanley account over here,
E-Trade account over there, a B of A
account, a credit card, all these things.
And I want to bring those together.
Is that something that you imagine
I'll be able to do when someone
comes out with a completely new
product that they want to customize.
I could go over, we were talking to Adobe or something.
And then I could say, yeah, I'm going to off with memo.
And then I'm going to allow you to access my memories or my, yeah, my memory in all of
the other apps and port all of that in.
Is that something that they would let you do?
See, that's the future that we feel is highly possible.
They won't, I mean, like big labs won't let you do because for them, memory is one of
the modes, right?
Yeah.
But if you consider from other side of users,
you know,
the world is not going to be just one app.
The world is going to be multiple apps.
It's like open eye will be there,
generalize,
there, Claude, is it right?
In that scenario,
once, so right now it's like a technological shift.
So you and I can relate,
but not everyone on the planet, right?
But soon they will relate.
And because of this new interface of voice,
like I will feel like,
why do I have to tell this software again and again?
Why is this software so dumb?
In that scenario,
I think, like,
user should be empowered to own and carry their memories.
So far, it has not been the case because it's just been like clicks, data, you know, your session history.
But now you're sharing a lot of personal rich context.
You should own it.
You should be saying that, okay, I give my healthcare memories to this app.
I give my financial memory to this app.
And they are in sync.
I think that's a future that benefits everyone, at least everyone on the planet.
Yeah.
Is cold email underrated?
I actually changed my life because of cold emails.
I wrote like 200 cold emails to almost everyone in Silicon Valley back in 2003.
I still write like a lot.
In this round also, I still wrote like cold emails to angel investors.
I think it's the most valuable asset for everyone out there.
You should be writing more cold emails.
Everyone should be writing more cold emails.
I love it.
Handwritten or AI generated?
What's it take?
No, I still write like everything personally.
I just take AI help to fix, you know, some grammar or some structural issues, but should be personally written.
Yeah, the AI cold email.
Hey, Saw you're in New York.
I bet you like Central Park.
Yeah.
Do you like Starbucks?
Anyways, congratulations on the fundraise.
It's great, great to meet you.
And hopefully I get to use Mem Zero out there in the wild very soon.
yeah thank you for having me
fantastic we'll talk to you soon have a good one um i have uh the perfect post to end
please hit us hit that is that um
tyler's tyler's app is broken oh
oh whoa whoa whoa whoa he's doing his best
did you want to do the virality equals taste one no i wanted to do uh may tab says
i keep getting ads for cocaine on facebook oh yes just
using Linktree as a cloaking page, kind of surprise this works.
And to that, I would say, how do you think who's going to pay for the CAPEX, right?
Oh, okay.
You're bringing it back to where we started the show with meta earnings.
If you see this, you got to assume, you know, the, you know, whoever's running that ad,
advertising cocaine, they got to pay a pretty penny.
They got to pay in their Facebook ads manager.
This is so funny. There's a, there's a reply here from this guy, Zach. What data does Meta have on you? And Metab says, I was in L.A. for a day, I guess.
This was a thing. This was a thing on Facebook of people advertising drugs. And it is a game of whackable back and forth trying to catch people because the lingo will change. And the way people are kind of dog whistling to each other that they have something illegal, that they're saying.
selling. It's a, it's a huge game of cat and mouse that the meta team is kind of constantly
working on. And you see those same kind of like breathless panicked news articles about like
is Facebook like a hotbed for, I guess, cocaine in this case or or, you know, something else
and a variety of different adult content or whatever. And it's always this like dance of like
how much do they, how much are they going to invest in trust and safety? How much? How much are they going to invest in
trust and safety. How many people are going to be in the loop? How much AI are they going to throw at it?
How are they going to have false positives? Because what if you're just posting a meme about Tony's,
not Tony Soprano? Tony Montana. Yeah, our favorite song that we used in our, in our launch video.
If we post that, there's obviously a reference to elicit substances in there. Do you want that to be
flagged? No, obviously not. And so it's a constant dance. But very funny that someone actually
slipped this through the Facebook's ad ad review team.
I have a funny story about the Facebook ad review team.
There was a time when you could straight up like there were companies that were
companies that would basically go and find the individual ad manager who would approve,
who would have admin access to the Facebook side of the ad manager.
and the company would go and put up an ad and try and get it approved and he would get shut down.
And the ad would be like,
Harvard scientists created this limitless pill that's used by Johnny Depp.
It was always Johnny Depp, but it was always Harvard scientists.
And it would be a picture of Johnny Depp looking great and then Harvard scientists.
And it would link you to some scammy website that would sell you basically some fake neotropic or fake supplement.
And these ads were against terms of service.
Like it's straight up snake oil.
It's not even like, there's no thesis of like, oh, it's actually good for you, which is completely
fake.
But they realized that it would convert and it would be very high margin.
And so what they would do is they would go to the Facebook ad manager people and they would
try and bribe them and say, hey, if you go in and you approve my ad, I'll put $100 million
of ad spend behind it and generate $200 million in revenue.
And if I can get that ad approved, if you as just the individual ad manager can go and tweak
to the back end.
And so there's like a constant war,
even inside the organization,
to make sure that nothing illicit us out.
I heard something interesting recently
that there's a health influencer
and people make AI videos of them
just promoting random supplements on YouTube.
So they make an AI video.
They'll post a video.
And in the description,
they'll put links out to products.
Okay.
And YouTube does not, it will not systematically identify the content themselves.
It's just they say they, we support AI video.
Sure.
And so this influencer is paying another AI service to consistently monitor for these videos and then report them automatically.
Yep.
But they have to spend $10,000 a month.
It's 10 grand a month.
On this service because it's super, it's super intensive from a, and this influencer,
like needs to.
So you can imagine somebody's,
you know,
I know exactly what we were talking about.
Yeah,
there's,
yeah,
it's a constant war.
It's a constant war.
The solution to bad AI is good,
good AI agents with guns,
I guess.
Give your Neo-Robot a Glock.
It needs to happen.
Anyway,
thank you so much for tuning in today.
Thank you for listening to the show.
We will see you tomorrow.
It's Halloween.
We have a special show for you.
Please tune in.
Leave us five stars on Spotify
and Apple Podcasts.
Tomorrow is going to be
spooky.
It could be silly.
Have a good one.
And I can't wait.
Goodbye.
Have a great evening.
Goodbye.
