TBPN - Jassy's Shareholder Letter, The Next AI Capability, 𝕏 Timeline Reactions | Saagar Enjeti, Joe Weisenthal, Kesava Kirupa Dinakaran, Brian Manning, Cobi Blumenfeld-Gantz, Changpeng Zhao, Tal Hoffman
Episode Date: April 9, 2026(01:25) - Jassy's Shareholder Letter (23:24) - AI in CyberSecurity (27:56) - 𝕏 Timeline Reactions (40:41) - Saagar Enjeti, an American journalist and political commentator, co-hosts the... independent news program "Breaking Points" alongside Krystal Ball. In the conversation, he discusses the significant capital expenditures by companies like Amazon on data centers, highlighting the resulting community pushback due to concerns over energy consumption, environmental impact, and displacement of residents. Enjeti emphasizes the need for a democratic process in approving such projects, advocating for transparency and local input to address the growing animosity toward data center developments. (01:01:09) - Joe Weisenthal, born September 2, 1980, in Detroit, Michigan, is an American journalist and television presenter, currently serving as the executive editor of news for Bloomberg's digital brands and co-host of the "Odd Lots" podcast. In the conversation, he discusses the New York Times' investigation into the identity of Bitcoin's creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, focusing on the claim that Adam Back is Nakamoto. Weisenthal expresses skepticism about the evidence presented, noting that many early cypherpunks shared similar ideas on privacy and internet architecture, which could explain the overlap in writing and ideology. (01:24:06) - Andrew Dai is the co-founder of Elorian, an AI company building multimodal reasoning models that can understand and interpret the physical world across text, images, and video. He focuses on advancing visual reasoning as a step toward more general intelligence. (01:31:56) - Kesava Kirupa Dinakaran, co-founder and CEO of Luminai, discusses how his company helps large health systems automate operations and back-office tasks, such as processing patient referrals, by leveraging advanced AI models to handle traditionally manual processes like faxed documents. He highlights the importance of a deep, forward-deployed approach to understand the nuanced workflows of healthcare institutions, noting that while on-premises solutions are offered for data security, most clients prefer cloud-based deployments. Kesava also mentions the significant growth of unstructured data in healthcare and announces Luminai's recent $38 million Series B funding led by Sequoia India, General Catalyst, and Y Combinator. (01:40:58) - Brian Manning, CEO and co-founder of Xona Space Systems, discusses the launch of their new satellite factory in San Francisco, following a recent $170 million Series C funding round. Xona is developing a network of small satellites positioned 20 times closer to Earth than existing GPS systems, aiming to provide highly accurate and reliable navigation services. Originally focused on supporting autonomous vehicles, the company has expanded its mission to enhance performance for the over 7 billion GPS devices worldwide. (01:53:14) - Cobi Blumenfeld-Gantz is the CEO and co-founder of Chapter, an AI-powered Medicare navigation platform that assists seniors in selecting appropriate health coverage. In the conversation, he discusses the challenges seniors face with Medicare enrollment, including the complexity of choosing from over 24,000 plans and the prevalence of deceptive marketing practices. He emphasizes the need for better data transparency and the role of technology in simplifying the Medicare selection process. (01:59:25) - Changpeng Zhao, known as CZ, is the founder and former CEO of Binance, the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange. In the conversation, he discusses his motivations for writing a book to share his personal story and correct misconceptions about himself, Binance, and the crypto industry. He also addresses the evolving regulatory landscape in the U.S., emphasizing the need for clarity and balance between oversight and privacy in the crypto space. (02:21:15) - Tal Hoffman, co-founder and CEO of Enclave, an AI code security platform, discusses the company's use of large language models to identify critical vulnerabilities in codebases that traditional scanners often miss. He highlights the significance of recent advancements in AI and cybersecurity, emphasizing the importance of exploitability in assessing vulnerabilities. Hoffman also shares that Enclave has raised $6 million in seed funding led by 8VC, with participation from notable investors like Aaron Levie and Marc Benioff. Follow TBPN: https://TBPN.comhttps://x.com/tbpnhttps://open.spotify.com/show/2L6WMqY3GUPCGBD0dX6p00?si=674252d53acf4231https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/technology-brothers/id1772360235https://www.youtube.com/@TBPNLive
Transcript
Discussion (0)
We're watching TVPN.
Today is Thursday, April 9th, 2026.
We are live from the TBPN Ultradome, the Temple of Technology,
the Fortress of Finance, the Capital of Capital.
We have a great show for you.
I was getting a little worried Monday.
There was not a lot of fundraisers going on.
I was looking at the schedule, and I was thinking, is it over?
And today I'm happy to report that we're back.
Andrew Dye is coming on from Ellorian,
raised a $55 million seed round.
We got Kaseva coming on with a $38 million series B.
We got $170 million series C later, and then $100 million series E.
And then a nice little mango seed from the enclave team to cab it off.
But really fun show today.
We got Sager and Jetty from Breaking Points, our friend over there coming on.
We got Joe Wisenthal, wise and tall.
And then CZ from Bynet.
who is releasing freedom of money, detailing finances rise to crypto evolution, and of course,
his U.S. legal battle.
Memoir.
And I'm excited to talk to Joe about who is Satoshi Nakamoto.
And I'm also excited to talk to CZ about who he thinks Satoshi Nakamoto is.
You would imagine that he's in a position to potentially have a good take on that.
Anyway, there is a ton of AI news.
Andy Jassy released the 2025 shareholders' letter.
Amazon is known for fantastic shareholders' letters dating back to 1997.
I thought he did a good job of sort of resetting the AI narrative.
There's this AI lab horse race going on.
Of course, we've been covering it all week.
Anthropics Mythos preview and Project Glasswing launched on Tuesday,
quickly followed by news today that OpenAI also plans to deliver a model with advanced
cybersecurity capabilities to key internet infrastructure providers.
and there's this debate going on over how and when these models will roll out.
I think this is going to be an ongoing trend.
I don't think cybersecurity is the last model capability that will be slowly delivered to key companies first.
Cybersecurity is a perfect fit for powerful coding agents,
and people have been digging into exactly how some of these zero-day exploits,
some of these bugs and vulnerabilities were discovered,
and it makes a ton of sense that if you have,
have a model that's fantastic of coding. It can basically try every single coding exploit,
try new coding exploits across a huge number of open source packages, submit poll requests,
and generally harden the internet infrastructure that we all rely on. So in general, it seems
like the rollout of Mythos, although people are disappointed because they want to play with
the latest and greatest model, even if it's very expensive. It seems like it's having a positive
effect and should be a bit of a white pill for containing powerful models, having them have proper
impacts, having them have a positive impact on the American economy, on our security, on all these
different things.
I do think, I wouldn't be surprised if we see something similar happen in biosafety.
Now, the biosafety AI research loop is a little bit longer because you might have to go to
the lab.
It's not entirely existing in a computer.
in a virtual machine that you can spin up and just brute force,
reinforcement learning against.
But you could imagine if a model develops capabilities,
maybe in the next run, maybe in middle of this year,
if a model becomes powerful enough to design a harmful virus
or something like that, you would want the lab
that creates that model to deliver that
to the scientific community and companies that
can protect the population against the development
of new harmful biological viruses,
just like we're protecting the internet
against cybersecurity viruses.
And so I'm not exactly sure where this all goes,
what the other 10 steps are,
but in general it seems like there's going to be a pattern
of a powerful model becomes capable of doing something.
That it makes sense to share with the particular community
that can defend against that new capability
and then make sure,
and then the entire community needs to make sure
that that capability is carefully under control
before releasing a version of that model
that can still, you know, in the biosafety example,
like you still want a model that can help you learn
about biology, learn about how viruses are made,
how they mutate.
This is important for education and augmentation
of the scientists from, you know, high schoolers
all the way to professionals,
but the most advanced technology,
it makes sense to put it in the hands of people
that can actually take a real,
have a real impact on that immediately before rolling it out broadly.
But Andy Jassy sort of zoomed out and was stepping back from the horse race because Amazon's
a partner with basically everyone in the ecosystem and has their own models.
And so he shared this shareholder letter zooming out on the state of AI, the state of Amazon's
plans.
And he shares a bunch of very interesting anecdotes about his personal life.
So we should read through some of this.
He says, when I graduated from college, I wanted to be a sportscaster.
After sending my resume reel to many small markets around the United States and only getting two nibbles, I settled on doing sports production at a major network.
To make extra money, I coached my former high school soccer team and worked at a retail golf store.
Six months later, a college classmate convinced me to interview at the Consumer Products Company where he worked and I spent three years as a product manager there.
I left that job to try some of my own businesses.
After deciding these businesses weren't my calling, I tried short stints at sales and investment banking before going back to grad school and ending up at Amazon three days after my last final exam in May 1997.
Not exactly a straight line.
He says AWS followed lots of squiggly lines too.
And of course, Andy Jesse is the by and large the creator of AWS.
That was his major project during his tenure.
Founding.
Yeah, it deserves so much credit in building that business.
The original vision included storage, compute payments, and human intelligence.
They had a product called Mechanical Turk, where you could go and dispatch a specific task.
You would have to build sort of a web UI, but it was the original sort of data capture tool.
But it could also be used for little things like manual translation tasks.
People weren't really using it for customer support tickets, but.
Data labeling.
Data labeling before you really needed mass data labeling.
But it was that type of business.
And there was always a question when Scalii started, like, is this just mechanical Turk?
Is this business process outsourcing?
Obviously, that went on to a fantastic outcome with meta.
But it became a different thing and quickly moved towards what we see in the expert networks
and data collection that's much more nuanced than a single task on demand.
AWS, this was in the vision. And they wound up pulling away from that and sort of refocusing.
So Andy Jesse says, some of those, e.g. storage and compute became linchpins in AWS. Others didn't.
Others didn't succeed. We initially plan a database service. And when we built one, our first
attempt failed to get traction, we went back to the drawing board and built new relational and
non-relational databases, which have resonated well and become core to millions of AWS applications.
When we launched EC2 or compute service, it was a single instance in one availability zone, Linux only, with no auto-scaling, load balancing, block storage, or private networking.
Over the time, we added those capabilities in hundreds more services, and you see that when you go into the AWS dashboard.
It is chock full of different products.
AWS was initially attractive to startups, companies like DoorDash, Dropbox, Pinterest, Slack, and Stripe were among many that built their businesses on AWS.
pundits said that enterprises and governments would never use AWS.
Wait, what is it going on here?
I'm out of order.
I'm out of order here.
Let me find the actual link on here,
and I'll stop reading from the paper because I printed the right here.
Give me a second.
Right here.
So he says,
pundits said enterprises and governments would never use AWS for anything substantive,
but in 2008, Netflix,
which was delivering DVDs,
the mail for almost a decade at that point,
decided to move all of their applications to AWS.
Then came big commitments from GE, Intuit, and others.
And eventually the CIA chose AWS as their partner
to build their classified cloud.
Growth came fast and furious, and as it accelerated,
so too did our capital expenditures, CAPEX,
with a dilutive impact on free cash flow.
And so he's starting to make the case
that there's this trade-off between free cash flow and CAPEX.
And this will come back when he talks about his plans for taking advantage of the AI.
Boom.
So he says at our first at at our 2014 more than 12 years ago, AWS operating plan review.
The discussion started with a senior leader at the company musing.
Tell me why we're doing this business.
Like, why are we doing this?
It was confusing and it was very different from being an online bookstore and then eventually
the everything store.
But it felt it felt different, but then eventually it started working.
So he says AWS has worked well.
for Amazon, but a straight line, not really.
There's a bit, there's a band I like from New Zealand called the Beths.
Have you ever heard of the Beths?
No.
We've got to listen to The Beths.
They've written several excellent records with thought-provoking lyrics.
I eagerly await new releases.
And when their latest album dropped last summer, titled Straight Line Was a Lie,
it made me think how prescient that expression is.
Most long-term endeavors do not follow a linear straight-
The best songs are generally considered to be future me, hate me.
and expert in a dying field.
Interesting.
And little death.
Yeah, I'm going to listen to the Beths on the drive home today.
Any Beth's heads in the chat?
So he's reflecting on his career and the twists and turns in building AWS.
He says, most long-term endeavors do not follow a linear straight line up into the
right, progress jumps around. It'll zig up, then sometimes stall or zag down or force you back
to the starting line. Sometimes it feels like you're running in circles, but the path is rarely
straight. That's because the world is complex and new technology, business model invention,
competitors, global issues, or people and cultural shifts can come into play. When we're in the
middle of some of the biggest inflections of our lifetime, e.g. AI, robotics, space, industrialization,
geopolitical and military conflict, and just as proficient golfers need to be skilled across driving,
approach shots, chipping and putting, durable companies must be adept at managing different
elements of inflections. I'll share some of our lessons below and why we're bullish on what's ahead
for Amazon. So he talks about how broad Amazon is these days. Retail logistics, AWS, ads,
Kindle, Alexa, pharmacy. There are too many new efforts to inflight to mention them all. He talks about
the long push to bring robotic automation acquiring Kiva in 2012.
He also talks about all of the benefits that Amazon has brought to rural customers,
who are often deprioritized by logistics.
This is a classic thing when you launch an e-commerce site.
Do you apply your flat rate shipping to Alaska?
Because every time someone ships something to Alaska,
it's going to charge you an arm and a leg,
Amazon's been able to solve it through a network that delivers over a billion packages each year.
Customers living in over 13,000 zip codes spanning 1,200,000 square miles.
And he's also focusing on closing the digital divide in rural communities.
So things like high-speed internet access, internet, Leo.
He's been talking about Amazon Leo, the low-earth orbit satellite network.
But he makes this point that Amazon must be willing to pursue parallel paths when it's unclear
what'll best drive the desired trajectory.
He says two is greater than zero.
When I was a kid, I used to go to New York Ranger games, New York Rangers games with my dad.
I loved hockey, and it was a high-quality time together.
I looked up to my dad, still do, and hung on his every word.
One game, my dad noticed that one of the Rangers defensemen, Dallas Smith, had gone missing
from the bench and stood up and exclaimed, where's Dallas? To which a nearby fan said,
in Texas, moron. So yes, it's very weird that his name is Dallas, I guess. Is that the,
that's the confusing. So yes, it's fairly obvious that two is greater than zero, but too often
companies focus on what looks most tidy instead of ensuring they have enough efforts in play
to achieve an important outcome. Let's go back to fast delivery in our retail business. We know how
much customers crave it and we see higher order completion rates when delivery promises are faster.
So he talks about, you know, all the things that we know about Whole Foods and rolling out more
stores, rolling out more, more just investments in the core Amazon business. But then he goes on to talk
about artificial intelligence. And he says, if there's an obvious path to changing your trajectory,
take it and run. But most new jumps aren't forward like that. There's invention and experimentation.
requirementation required and pursuing multiple paths gives you the best chance to find it.
When you identify disproportionate inflections, bet big.
Choosing which inflections are truly seminal versus just interesting requires judgment.
Reasonable people can disagree, but if you believe you found one of these disproportionate shifts,
you want to invest as aggressively as you possibly can.
This will create investment spikes that will invite scrutiny, but the game changers don't
typically accommodate smoother investment horizons.
One of these seminal shifts, of course, he says is AI.
And so he says, we've never seen a technology.
more quickly adopted than AI. When ChatGPT launched in November of 2022, it reached 100 million
users in two months, four times faster than TikTok and 15 times faster than Instagram. ChatGPT
already has over 900 million weekly active users. Both OpenAI and Anthropic have revenue run
rates reportedly approaching $30 billion. These are breathtaking numbers for companies this soon
after their commercial launches. And he has this great throwback to Thomas Edison and the dawn of
electricity, a lot of people are looking for comparisons for what AI pattern matches to. And he goes back to the first
commercial power station, which launched in 1882. So at the time, most people understood the first commercial
power station as a way, a better way to light a room. That was going to be the main benefit of
electricity. It was going to replace lamps and you were going to have electric lights. But what they
couldn't see was that electricity would eventually reorganize every factory, home, and industry on
earth. And he says that AI may have a comparable impact. The difference is that electricity took 40
years to get where it was going, and AI appears to be moving 10 times faster. And he says that Amazon's
smack dab in the middle of this land rush, and companies are choosing AWS for AI. Three years after
AWS launched commercially, it had a $58 million run rate three years in. And Amazon was already
a big business at that time. So, you know, he's talking about the twists and turns of launching
AWS. It's a, you know, a lot of products that worked. It's very quaint to be three years in,
have the backing of, you know, a massive company. And still three years in only hit 58 million
in rent rate. He compares it to three years into the AI wave, which of course started in
2023, basically, and now we're in 2026. AWS's AI revenue run rate is over $15 billion in Q1 of
26, which is nearly 260 times bigger than AWS was at the same point, and it's ascending rapidly.
And so he highlights a bunch of reasons why customers are choosing AWS for AI. Obviously,
they have a product in sort of every single category now, model building, high performance
inference, lower cost inference that runs on Traneum, their custom silicon, agent building, secure
environments, et cetera. But he says that AWS could actually be growing faster, and they are, in fact,
limited on capacity. So AWS added 3.9 gigawatts of new power capacity in 2025 and expects to
double total power capacity by the end of 2027. And AWS is monetizing that capacity as fast as
it's installed. In Q4 2025, AWS reported 24% year-over-year growth and a $142 billion revenue run rate.
that's a lot of absolute growth, and yet we still have capacity strains that yield unserved demand.
As an aside, two large AWS customers have already asked if they could buy all of the Graviton
instance capacity in 2026, which is their widely adopted custom CPU chip.
And he says, we can't agree to these requests given other customers' needs.
You can't just say, okay, we're giving everything to one company.
But it gives you an idea of the demand.
And so he goes on to talk about the other projects, the chips,
businesses on fire. They're talking, he talks about in the CPU space, virtually all of the workloads
ran on Intel chips until they invented Graviton in 2028, has a 40% better price performance,
and then, of course, they're working on tranium and nitro as well. And so he goes on to
explore a little bit of how the AWS cash cycle works in a way that's, that's faster than
AWS and it requires more short-term cap-ex. So,
AWS has to lay out the cash for land, power, buildings, chips, servers, and
networking gear in advance of when we can monetize. And so there's been a lot of
reporting about our data centers delayed. We're going to talk to Sagar and Jetti about
some of the news and whether and the political pushback to the data center buildout.
But he says that it typically takes between six and 24 months before we can start
billing customers depending on the component. However, these CAPEX investments fund assets with
many year useful lives, 30 plus years for data centers, five to six years for chips, servers and
networking gear. And the free cash flow and return on investment invested capital for these
investments are cumulatively quite attractive a couple years after being in service. However,
in terms in times of very high growth, like now, where the CAPEX growth meaningfully outpaces
the revenue growth, the early years free cash flow is challenged until these initial
tranches of capacity are being monetized and revenue growth outpaces CAPEX growth. We've been through
this cycle with the first big AWS wave where they invested a ton of money in CAPEX building the servers
before they were able to ramp revenue. And he says, we like the results, even though we've been
through that cycle of high CAPEX drawing down on free cash flow. And he says, we expect to feel similarly
about this next wave with a much larger potential downstream revenue and free cash flow. And so he goes
on to talk about the customer's
strong, but I thought it was a very good letter.
Yes.
Touches on a bunch of different stuff.
I think this is what people wanted out of
Jesse like about a year ago, right?
Yeah.
He was getting, you know,
people were constantly kind of chirping
at Amazon leadership
and wanting some kind of like basically
lay of the land like this to show that Amazon
had a broad understanding
and actually had,
you know,
real leadership and was committed, committed to, you know, being a real player.
Yeah.
Well, in other Amazon news, Amazon Pharmacy to offer Eli Lilly and companies new GLP1 pill
Foundaio via same-day delivery, Shil Moanaut says this thing is going to fly.
Amazon is up 3%.
I don't know if it's on this new product.
Yeah, it's hard to say.
Amazon's actually almost up 5% today.
Yeah.
And I would expect that to be because of the letter, but people tend to buy a lot of GLP1 drugs too.
But it does seem like a good, I mean, we were talking about this with some of the fast ramp of that one company in direct-to-consumer, GLP-1 and peptides.
And there's so much skepticism about fly-by-night peptide operations, where.
are they being compounded? Are they safe? Do they contain even what you think they contain? And
giving consumers an option that's something as established as Amazon with all of the guardrails
that they have in place feels like a very positive move for consumers. Before we jump into the
next story, Jassy did share a letter to shareholders from 1997. And I'll read the first two paragraphs.
To our shareholders, Amazon.com passed many milestones in 1997.
By year end, we have served more than 1.5 million customers,
yielding 838% revenue growth to 147.8 million
and extended our market leadership despite aggressive, competitive entry.
But this is day one for the internet,
and if we execute well for Amazon.com.
Today, online commerce saves customers money and time.
Time and money.
Save both.
Tomorrow through personalization, online commerce will accelerate the very process of discovery.
Amazon uses the internet to create real value for its customers, and by doing so, hopes to
create an enduring franchise, even in established in large markets.
Well, they certainly did that.
And the letter goes on to talk about how it's all about the long term.
So even back then, growing like absolute crazy, still wanting people to think about
think in decades. And so Jassy doing that now. And they have a good track record. Yeah. I mean,
Amazon's had decades of drawing down on free cash flow to invest in the future. And they've had long
history of communicating that effectively to the community and to the shareholders.
I mean, level to which people miss the ads. This is never, I don't think this has ever happened
before. Yeah. In the history of content of, of podcasting. Yeah.
We miss the ads too.
Yeah, all we have now is...
Well, we need some alerts because there's a debate on the timeline about opening eyes new cybersecurity product.
There was a post that was deleted and then Axios issued an update.
Basically, the question was opening eyes launching a new model, rumored to be called Spud, trained on Blackwell, sort of
similar, you know, big model, lots of capabilities, and Open AI has been working on cybersecurity
products.
Will they gate the rollout similarly?
Are they running the same playbook?
Will they take a different path?
At what point will they make their models available?
And people are going back and forth.
And Andrew Curran is sort of clarifying here that the new model and the cybersecurity
product are separate.
And only the cybersecurity specialized model will have a limited release.
not the new model itself.
So it looks like a general public release for SPUD.
Dan Shipper shared some extra commentary around this.
The Axios story floating around about Open AI limiting the release of their newest model
Spud isn't true.
He just spoke to Open AI and it appears the story conflated two things.
They do have a cyber product.
They are testing with a trusted tester group.
But this is not the same thing as SPUD.
The Axio story has now been updated.
Yeah, there's a very strong argument to never release a model publicly.
that is specifically optimized for cyber.
Because you're just inviting a bunch.
Think about the teenagers out there.
I now get to be a super powerful hacker,
even though you're just kind of like probably should just be vibe coding
like a fun little app or something like that, right?
Yeah.
And so.
You would think having some cybersecurity capabilities in the model
would just be better if you're vibe coding a product.
It becomes secure out of the box.
I'm just saying like,
having this super powerful, like, cyber-focused product
shouldn't be the kind of thing that anyone,
like, you should probably have to KYC to say.
Yeah, sure, sure.
Well, yeah, what do you think about that?
Yeah, I mean, also, I think, you know,
when you zoom at on AI progress, it is like,
it is like very smooth.
Yeah.
Where, like, you know, people were talking about this
with Mythos yesterday where like, well, actually,
if you run even like an open source model
and you actually run enough times,
you actually can find similar, you know,
exploits.
And it's just like kind of the efficiency of the new model.
versus the smaller open source ones.
So like, I'm pretty sure right now
I could take 5.4
and I could just run it a bunch of times
and I could find a lot of exploits.
Like, people have the capabilities right now.
Maybe it's like a little bit...
You might get flagged.
Sure, yeah.
But also like, yeah, I think...
I mean, at some point, like, a lot of the coding agents,
I think you'll just see like in the, you know,
in the system prompt or whatever of the coding agents,
it'll be like, yeah, make sure you're checking
to see if any...
If there's, like, big security vulnerabilities.
Even right now, you can just ask,
you know, codex, whatever, you're building something, like, are there errors, are there, you know, security problems and it will solve them?
And this is the nature of every, every advanced model is that in order to understand how to fight something, you'd have to know how to build it.
And this is true. I mean, I'm sure that the folks at Crowdstrike or Palo Alto networks, like, could definitely, if they went black hat, it would be bad for everyone, even in the pre-AI era. And that remains true.
And so having at least as much economic incentive as possible to put the resources and the tokens and the inference budgets towards like white hat hacking is good.
There's also somebody in the chat is making the comment that there's a there's a there's a there's a there's a there's a there's a lot of precedent for this with with bug bounties and like time disclosures.
So oftentimes white hat hackers will go to companies and say that we found a really bad violence.
vulnerability, we're giving you 90 days until we publish it, but it is in the public interest to know that this vulnerability exists broadly. So we have to release it, but also we want to give you the time to react to this. And so it feels like you're sort of holding that company hostage a little bit. It can be a little bit tense. But I think if it's done, if it's done carefully, it can be sort of a win-win.
But I think regardless, like, I think more KYC is probably the future, right?
Even if you're just talking about, like, risk of distillation and stuff like this,
like I think I've talked about this before where like, yeah, at some point you need,
you need more KYC to ensure like people aren't just like, you know,
training off the model or doing like nefarious things.
Yeah, yeah.
Meek Mill pulled out a slide from Bill Ackman.
The slide says a small percentage of songs are listened to the overwhelming majority.
of music tracks receive zero or minimal engagement.
AI is poised to exacerbate this reality.
And so it shows that 0.2% of songs are culturally and commercially relevant.
Commercially, relevant is 10% of songs streamed 1,000 to 100,000 times.
And then Meek is dropping that into what looks like Claude saying.
You're not in that 88%.
You already skipped the whole bottom of the pyramid.
You're already in that top 0.2%.
People know your name.
they search for you specifically.
They stream on purpose.
That changes everything.
You already have the hardest thing attention.
You don't need the algorithm to find you.
Your fans already look for you.
So while AI is flooding the market with millions of trash songs.
Oh my gosh.
This is AI throwing AI on the past.
This is crazy.
Your catalog just sits there collecting streams because people want meek,
not just a rap song.
And Dimes Square Holding says,
first in my bloodline to see.
a rapper with AI psychosis commenting on a deck from general.
I think it's a reasonable.
It's a reasonable analysis.
It's a reasonable analysis.
I just think it's a little bit unfair for the AI to be dunking on the other AI.
It's kind of like a crab's, craps.
There's a whole story about this in the journal the other day about a local group that's
lobbying against data center development using AI tools.
chat GPT, like very heavily to understand the legal code, how they can organize who they should
be calling.
It sort of feels like a good use of AI in the sense that they're exercising their democratic
rights properly through the correct channels.
Like, it could be so much worse.
I don't know.
What do you think?
Yeah.
Well, hopefully by using the models enough, they'll be like, oh, wait, this is actually good.
Yeah.
Or like there are some parts that I like narrowly.
But do we need this data center in my neighborhood?
Maybe not.
And they can-
Also specifically on this, I think it's interesting,
among celebrities, it seems like rappers specifically
are like really leaning in a lot more than other,
like, types of celebrities, right?
You see like, little baby, little baby, not little baby.
Okay.
There was a post yesterday about someone who got paid
to set up OpenClaw forum.
Yeah.
You've seen this a bunch, yeah.
It's just funny, like you don't see actors talking about there.
Little Baby Kee.
Little baby was second after Baby Keeam.
Yeah, that's right.
That's right. I mean, Matthew O'Connor had some words about AI saying,
Oh yeah, when he was going to log in, he needs to log in.
Well, no, that was separate.
Like, wasn't it like months, it was like months, months and months later, he was like,
this is coming, like you need to be prepared for this.
You need to work alongside of it.
Yeah, but he's not talking about his specifically.
Yeah, exactly, exactly.
Yeah, I guess Ben Affleck had that company.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
But, yeah, Ben Affleck already got the nine figure exit.
He's good.
Yeah, but you would.
You would imagine that AI actually might be a useful tool for understanding the impact of building a data center in particular community because everyone is debating the economic impact, how many jobs will be created, what's the environmental impact, and being able to crunch through all those tradeoffs so that the community gets to a net positive impact that the population can basically vote on and be happy about and say, yeah, like we made this trade off properly.
and we feel like we're getting the benefit
because maybe it's generating a lot of tax revenue.
Maybe the tax revenue is very durable.
Maybe the tax revenue is going to the right place.
Is it going to a tax refund?
Or is it going towards a project
that people don't actually support?
And so there's a whole other question of,
for the local community,
is that tax revenue meaningful?
Like what dollar value do they put on new tax revenues for the city?
Depends on what the city's building or doing
with that revenue.
Anyway, what is this?
post by eigengender.
Actually, that's not impressive.
The concept of a Dyson sphere was already in the training data.
This is like, you know, we build the Dyson sphere and then someone's, someone's coping and
just saying like, yeah, I mean, it's not that impressive.
You're just watching the Dyson sphere be built around the sun thinking like, I'm not that
important.
Here's another like self-referential thing.
Like, you know, AI, should AI be used to fight data center construction today,
meta began removing ads from attorneys who are seeking clients that claim to be harmed by social
media while under the age of 18.
And so there's been, these class action lawsuits have been a big, a big, you see them on social
media all the time.
Usually it's some sort of data breach or some sort of, you know, random product that
they're targeting you for.
And I feel like many people just sort of scroll past them because the, the, the, you know,
The default class action is like you wait a long time and then maybe you get a check for $5 in the mail
But Meta has begun removing advertisements from attorneys
What is their justification for this? Lawyers across the country are now seeking new plaintiffs in the hopes of bringing a class action lawsuit that could result in lucrative verdicts
It's unclear if any of them have been backed by private equity as the California lawsuit appears to have been
Axios has identified more than a dozen such ads that were deactivated today some of which came from large national firms like Morgan and Moore and
Morgan and Morgan. Almost all of them ran on Facebook and Instagram. Some appeared on threads and
Messenger plus Meta's audience network. One such ad read anxiety, depression, withdrawal,
self-harm. These aren't just teenage phases. Their symptoms linked to social media addiction and
children platforms knew this and kept targeting kids anyway. Yeah, so Meta has something in their
terms of service that says we also can remove a restrict access to content feature services or
information if we determine that doing so is reasonably necessary to avoid or mitigate
misuse of our services or adverse legal or regulatory impacts to meta.
Huh.
It's basically like we're not going to let you use our product to take legal action against us.
Yeah.
I wonder where the class action recruiting will go next.
You know, they'll go everywhere else.
Out of home.
Out of home.
Yeah.
TV.
I mean, it's such a broad case that, yeah.
Well, YouTube is a.
It's easy to, it's relatively easy to.
reach like Facebook and Instagram users.
Yeah, especially young people.
It's everyone, yeah.
So they just need to cast a wide net.
But it'll be interesting to see how that develops.
Has anyone built an out-of-home advertising network for classrooms?
Classrooms?
What do you mean?
Like teachers?
I don't think people want to advertise to people.
Kidding, kidding, kidding.
Anyway, the spreadsheet will become irrelevant, says Bucco Capital Bloch.
No, the spreadsheet is eternal.
The spreadsheet paradigm is capitalism.
The two are irrevocably intertwined.
We were using spreadsheets 3,000 years ago to trade oxen.
We will still be using them in 3,000 years.
Long live the spreadsheet.
And he shares a stone tablet that appears to be a spreadsheet.
This is in reaction to signals post
that Microsoft 365 and Google Workspace
have maybe four to five years of relevance left
simply because the document spreadsheet paradigm
itself will become mostly irrelevant.
It already makes zero sense to draft
review or analyze anything without a native AI environment around it. That gap only widens over time.
Most communication, including email, chat, status updates, is heading towards agent-mediated flows
where humans set intent and AI handles execution. I don't know. I mean, it is, like, both can be
true here because you could be in a world where if you need a spreadsheet, like the code is written
on the fly and instantiated. We saw ramp launch ramp sheets very, very quickly. And it was a very
full featured product that was clearly only possible to build that so fast.
Like cloning Google Sheets used to be insane.
We had some lot cloning Slack recently.
Yeah, our intern built like a very, very convincing clone.
It's so crazy.
In about like an hour.
Yeah.
I think it was on the, was it on the $200 plan?
Oh, wow.
Like, that's incredible.
So, yeah, like, I think there's still the question of, like, you know, actually getting that to feature complete, maintaining it, really, you know, serving it, hosting it, all of that seems like a hassle compared to just signing up on a consumption basis or a seat-based basis for a lot of SaaS.
I'm still sort of, you know, not a firm believer in, like, the near-term SaaSpocalypse broadly, but it does.
I think the more likely scenarios that you will see software instantiated on it like in real time.
So if you're building something and it requires a spreadsheet to visualize,
and you're already seeing that with a lot of the chat apps.
If you ask for a deep research report or something that requires sort of building a timeline or a chart,
it can write Python, it can write HTML that will generate.
Yeah, the other thing is just giving customers a lot more.
flexibility around the product and thinking that like, okay, if you're buying a piece of software,
it'd be like buying like a home. You get the home and then you can make changes to it
to fit your own needs over time. And so we'll see what ultimately changes, but you can imagine
a world where, you know, it stops being, I forget who was on the show, but they were talking about
how, oh, it was console, console.com, talking about how, instead of having like a
request a feature button. You just let people build it themselves. Yes. Well, there's been some back and
forth on the timeline between Nate Silver and Nikita Beer over whether or not links are truly
de-boasted on X. Filippe Lemoine said after the exchange between Nate Silver and Nikita Beer,
I did a little test to check whether that was true. And to my surprise, what I found suggests
that link de-boasting was indeed reversed. What I did was rank.
randomly sample 15 tweets by the New York Times between 2019 and today.
That feels like a small sample.
It feels like you should look at maybe a larger swath there.
But he computed the weekly average number of likes and retweets they got and plotted the results along with a trend line.
The idea is that likes and retweets are probably a decent proxy for reach and the New York Times only posts tweets with external links.
So by looking at this, we should be able to see how many changes in the algorithm with respect to how links are tweets.
treated. As you can see, it's pretty clear that starting around the spring summer of
2003 posts with links started to be penalized and eventually they were completely
nuked until the spring summer of 2025 when a reversal to that policy seems to have started.
To be honest, this isn't what I was expecting to find. So even if it's just a quick and dirty
test, it's hardly definitive proof. It's good news and I thought I'd share the results.
There is a question of like even, so links, links, yeah, there was clearly
like a deboasting moment, although some really good stuff could break through. Like,
there were a few examples of people just posting links to, links to the, like, Google Docs,
basically, and those would still rip somehow. And I don't know if that was like a specific link,
but I think one thing is remain true the entire time, which is that if you are linking to content
that is genuinely very interesting, it can still do numbers.
Yeah, and there is a little bit of maybe some feature of the New York Times where if you spent a year or two on X knowing that, okay, like, there's sort of this adversary relationship with links, you're going to open it in the browser, you might actually just develop a different habit of, okay, I go and read the apps.
Like, I definitely developed the muscle memory to open the Wall Street Journal app regularly and scroll that newsfe.
separately and I don't really look for as much cross-pollination as I thought.
Anyway, we have Sagar and Jenny from breaking points in the waiting room so we'll bring
him to the TVPNLG jump.
Sagar, how are you doing?
I'm great guys. Thanks for having me.
Thanks for coming on.
Yeah.
Where should, let's start with the data center thing.
I didn't get the tie Matt, though.
Yeah, yeah. The tie is.
I'm getting brutally tie mom.
Yeah.
Dude, Jordi gets an exit and immediately starts dressing like a tech.
asshole. What's going on here, man?
To be clear, I've been, I've been having, I have the limited edition.
Technology in motion. Okay, well, why has nobody sent me one? How come I?
Oh, yeah. These are dropping. They're in the works. We'll send you one.
You're going to be, you're going to get to wear TBPN all day long. Yeah.
That's great. So we were talking about Andy Jossi's 20, 25, a 2026 shareholder letter,
$200 billion of CAPEX, tons of new data centers coming online. This applies to every company.
You were hoping for a bigger number. Yeah. Oh, yeah. I mean, of course, as an American, I just want all of my farmland. I want all the trailer parks pushed out. And I just want to make sure that there's beautiful data centers that are just sitting on previously, like, taking care of and people with generations just get kicked out. So I wanted $400 billion, $600 billion, something like that.
Yeah, I mean, maybe we can start with the shape of the pushback against data centers because it's fallen in a few buckets.
But let's just start with like the big one, which is energy.
What are the headline numbers and fears that people are pointing to, the case studies, that people are nervous about the energy impact specifically?
Well, I think especially guys, you know, there's a pre-Iran war conversation.
There's a post-Iran war conversation.
I think that's really important to say because, you know, who knows where the price of oil will eventually stabilize,
but when you have high inflation at the gas pump and likely at least some moderate increase in electricity bills,
we don't know exactly where things are going to stabilize.
You're going to have a lot more cost consciousness whenever it comes to energy.
Now, especially in the midst of a data center conversation, I know that the data center, pro-datacenter people are always telling us,
don't worry, it doesn't actually impact your electricity bill all that much.
nonetheless, there is a feeling there.
And John, I just sent you that study or that story this morning, which is very interesting.
My colleague, Emily Jachinsky, actually talked to me about this, but a Wisconsin city
has now been the first in the nation to actually pass an anti-data center referendum.
And so the ballot measure is basically the last thing that the voters in that town felt
that they had at their disposal to effectively ban the entire city from approving any of these new
projects.
You guys remember the guy who went viral in New Jersey.
Jersey who blocked the data center. I interviewed him on my show. He was a long-time viewer
actually of the program. He was just like a normal activist type, but hadn't really engaged
with it. And he went through the zoning. And he was like, look, these developers are making
all kinds of promises. And he was concerned about water. And I know, you know, again, the pro
people are always telling me that that's not the case. Maybe. You know, I got to see a little bit
more evidence for myself. Real quick. Is your mic, I don't know that you're on the
correct Mike we might be on the game might be a little high I will I will give everyone
some news about this Wisconsin City passes nation's first anti-data center
referendum the vote suggests ballot measures could become a powerful new tool for
grassroots activists the chat thinks it's a foreign adversary doesn't
data center projects on the mic right now let let's hear if it sounds any better
now is it a little better oh yeah I think that's great we go thank you there we
It's amazing.
Okay.
So is, so is this, is this local Wisconsin City referendum, like the new playbook that will
spread all over America?
Are there other jurisdictions that are already looking to copy and paste this?
How do you think this, where do you think this goes from now?
I definitely do think it will serve as a model, especially as other, remember, this is really
a bottom up phenomenon.
So it's really at the community level.
Here in the state of Virginia, where I live 40.
percent of our power is actually consumed by data centers. And so you've seen organic pushback.
It became a major issue in the gubernatorial campaign. Both the Republican and the Democratic
candidates were against data centers. And a lot of the candidates are seeing all of the energy.
I'm sure around this, I'm saying at the community level, I'm sure you guys also have seen all
of these viral videos. I referenced the one more recently of this trailer park, which is being
basically told they have to go out because they're going to build a new one.
There's the famous one recently.
I think it was in Kentucky of a woman being,
I think she was offered like $20 million for her land.
She's like, I'm born on this land.
I'm going to die on this land.
So I really think that this is one of those bubbling political issues,
which no major politician,
maybe Bernie Sanders, the only one that I've seen,
which has been willing to, like, jump on top of it.
But I think it's going to be a major issue in 28.
I think in 28, both candidates are going to have a data center
a platform, maybe the Republican one, depending on who it is, is going to try and square the
circle around GDP, but I don't think that voters want to hear anything about it. That's just my personal
opinion. Do is the sense in Virginia that Virginia would be better off if the state had never had a
data center? Well, it's complicated. Remember, you know, we're full of a military and industrial
complex, but don't forget this. We had Amazon. Remember when they were going to leave New York,
and they were going to come here.
They're actually going to come near where I live.
It really didn't work.
And there's a lot of local op-eds.
They're like, hey, we didn't get all the jobs
that we were promised.
Virginia threw all of these tax credits.
And so people do feel really taken advantage of,
I think especially by Amazon here in northern Virginia.
But look, the backbone of our economy
is always going to be the military industrial complex
and all of these, like, ridiculous server farms
that serve the CIA and the Pentagon.
But, I mean, in Oregon, I think it was 30% of power
in the state of Oregon is being used by data centers.
It's like 20% in a few different states.
Virginia is definitely we were the highest in the nation.
But I can tell you at the organic level, Fredericksburg, more of the rural communities where
there are the new projects that were being looked at.
All of those city councils, people were lining up for hours to campaign against this.
Same thing in New Jersey.
People lined up in the middle of the night.
And I've talked about this before.
Guys, do you know what it takes for a voter to actually care?
You can barely get people to come out for election day for the president.
Now, to come up for a local meeting against zoning, usually that's just really old people this time.
People are bringing their children. They're sleeping in the room. They're waiting all night just to be able to.
What is your advice for the data center developers out there?
Because certainly, I, like, you feel, you feel, you don't think that we should just not build any data centers.
It depends. You know, I don't know. I mean, I've becoming more radical as, as times go on.
So maybe we do just need a butlerian jihad.
I'm testing the limits of your editorial independence, by the way.
Shout out to you, Sam.
But, I mean, look, I'm not giving any advice to the enemy.
I think really what I would say to the tech community more generally.
And John, you and I have talked about this is just proof to me that this is going to make my life better.
And stop talking about all these scary things because I'm starting to believe you.
In fact, I do believe you.
What is this new Claude news that their new model is so scary?
They have to pre-release it to the cybersecurity companies so that they can develop.
So no, no.
So that the new model can develop defenses against itself.
Every day I read the new stuff about spam.
The fear-based marketing like needs to stop because it's not, it's not helping anyone.
Like part of the whole backlash is like.
I don't know, guys. I mean, Jordy, you have always made the case.
And maybe you're right is that that's a great way to fundraise.
Every time the company that bought you wants more money, they have to go and be like, look, we're changing the world.
we're going to destroy all these jobs.
We're like, I don't know.
I mean, let's say like with Anthropic, I feel like he believes in.
So my point was that it was very effective when there was no revenue in the industry, right?
Yeah.
And it was kind of this kind of far-out idea.
Nobody had had like a magical experience with AI.
They hadn't had like a question, didn't have anyone to ask it to and then asked AI the question.
They got a good answer.
Like when the average American had not had a very cool experience with AI, they hadn't generated an image.
that was photo real or gotten help with their homework or help with writing.
Any of these things that now everybody has had the experience of,
it clearly was necessary to kind of marshal enough capital for a bunch of upstarts
to be able to compete with the biggest companies in the world on this,
like the Googles of the world.
And I just think at this point I made the case like at the end of last year
where it was like, we need to stop.
I think we need to stop this as an industry because why would average Americans,
be excited about this if you're just trying to give them, you know, Terminator nightmares.
But clearly the entire, you know, some people in the industry still feel like they need to.
Because I think they really believe it.
Yeah.
Yeah.
No, I think they believe it.
That's, yeah.
I'm with John.
Like, I feel like Dario believes it.
And he just goes on every podcast in the world and says it like over and over again.
And at a certain point, especially like with the new Claude news, I'm like, dude,
maybe I should just believe you.
And, you know, people, what is it?
People are taking leaves of absences because they're afraid.
And, I mean, you know, you can only call yourself.
the new digital god so many times before.
Look, again, I'm a Luddite.
I don't know a ton about the technology.
I listen to smart people like you guys
and many others to try and figure out what's going on.
But if anything, I just want to be able to convey
to the people who watch this show.
You're not very popular right now,
and especially in the midst of a global energy crunch.
I would just be real careful about strolling around town
and talking about how it's going to bring jobs in
because, A, nobody believes you.
They all think that there are bills
are going to go higher. There needs to be, I think what this really needs, guys, is I don't think
it can be solved at the federal level, or sorry, at the company level. I think the government
is going to have to step in and genuinely like codify, let's say the executive order that Trump
wanted to put in place where every data center project is going to have to supply the
initial amount of energy that it's going to use, it have to prove it, to the local city council,
to the state, to the feds. Like, there needs to be genuine democratic buy-in if we're all going
to decide like this is cool for us. And I'm not sure that, I'm not sure really that the tech companies
are ready for that. Although maybe Sam is, you guys saw his new social contract. I was,
I was going to do a segment about it on my show, but I didn't have, I didn't have a chance because
of this entire Iran war thing. But I mean, look, I mean, clearly he's, he can foresee what the
problem is. I don't really agree with some of the stuff he laid out. But yeah, anyways. Yeah, it was
notable. So, Demas had an interview with, with Harry Stebbing.
this week. It's just 30 minutes. You would probably appreciate it because Demis is, you know,
one of the godfathers. And he even was kind of talking about potentially, you know, one solution to this
is like sovereign wealth funds, like investing in the labs, getting a piece of it so that every
sort of citizen benefits. I thought that was notable because it was, you know, Google and, you know,
the Gemini team is the most heavily funded lab in the entire world.
And so we'll see how this stuff works out.
In Virginia, Tyler on our team just dropped a truth nuke.
He said in some localities in Virginia, 31% of total local tax revenue is from data centers.
Is there, like, do you think that, like, I guess part of what I'm trying to wrap my head around is like,
it seems like there are plenty of places in the United States where that putting a data center
somewhere that would generate a huge amount of local tax revenue would be a net positive,
right?
Maybe.
And I believe that you're right that individual areas should be able to decide, is this an industry
that we want to support?
Is this an industry that we want as a part of, like, personally, do I want, you know, people,
drilling oil like, you know, 10 feet from my property line? Like probably not, right? But there are places
in the United States where people have decided we're going to drill for oil here and, and we're going to,
you know, be okay with those tradeoffs. And so I think I generally, you know, I've said this before,
I think there's a lot of reasons for somebody to, like, citizens need to understand, okay,
what is the benefit of putting this data center in our county, in our town? And
And it needs to be, it needs to be, there needs to be some positive benefit other, for,
for the local community.
And so I think we agree there.
It's not going to be using the models.
Totally.
Because the data center could be halfway around the world or in space.
And you still get, you still get access to all the AI tools that you want.
It doesn't need to be in your backyard.
And so, and I believe that.
Yeah.
To, who's in the chat.
But I mean, I do think, though, that that tax argument, the problem is that largely, again,
And I'm speaking from a voter level is they do not feel either that impact or that they often, like with the Amazon, you know, example that I gave you, is that we give these tax credits away.
And then the promises a lot of these things don't end up happening. Come on, guys, this is a tale as old as time. Every state in the country, remember when Amazon did that ridiculous pony show for every state to throw whatever it could to them? And then they ended up, yeah, for HQ2. That's the project I'm talking about is that Virginia, where I live also did that.
And then, of course, you know, local politicians feel very burned and a lot of the voters do as well.
But ultimately, Jordi, I don't think we're disagreeing, man.
Like, local control is really what it's all about.
That's what I'm saying.
And I also think the feds, though, I do think that, you know, considering the way that Trump and the AI industry are so, like, they really do need each other just because of the way, especially now after Iran, my God.
Can you imagine, you know, like, look at how much he's reacted to market swings.
One of the fears that I had, really, was that a lot of this, you know, you're talking about some.
sovereign wealth funds. John, you and I know, the amount of Gulf money sloshing around Silicon Valley,
I'm like, guys, like, we're about to see force majeure just get declared. I mean, if you see even
10% go down from QIA, SIA, or any of these other investment funds, you're like, that's like
an extinction level event for a lot of these scull. Or they might reallocate. They might start
funding all these defense tech companies and not investing in data centers. And don't forget that
an Amazon data center was struck by Iran in the UAE.
I believe, a couple of different tech infrastructure places
were explicitly declared war on by the Iranians.
So I do think that there's an element here
where what we are watching play out, I think, politically,
and even geopolitically,
is that foreign adversaries can see clearly
that this is a potential pain spot for the U.S. economy.
Here in the U.S.,
the administration is really aware of this.
But there's also just this rising,
kind of populist tide against the data center movement
and against, I think, really like abundance style assurances from politicians and from companies that
after 40 years now, I mean, before data centers, it was Walmart.
And before that, it was something else.
There's always going to be like a small guy versus a big guy feeling, especially in rural parts
of the country.
And, you know, I'm from Texas, Jordy, with the oil industry.
So I get exactly what you're talking about, right?
Like, there's a symbiosis of we actually get rich off this stuff, so we're okay with drilling
for oil.
but, you know, there has been enough stories also, even there, where people go bust as a result,
and there's a lot of animosity towards the oil industry, especially pre-Shale revolution after things petered out.
And, you know, I don't know.
I've just seen this go politically in a lot of interesting directions enough to see that, A, something is happening.
B, is that the tide is not only just turned, but I think coming very explicitly.
And what I would really advocate for is a genuine,
democratic process because that's what it's all about.
Like people just feel like this is out of their control.
About AI, especially.
They're like, I want impact.
I want a say.
And I don't think they're wrong to say.
Yeah, what's the flow for getting some sort of resolution on the federal level?
Is that like a new bill or something?
Or like, obviously it's going to happen after the midterms.
But then, yeah, and it's going to try and tie a bunch of these different questions in a bow around safety
and cybersecurity and data center buildouts.
Like, is there a world where.
the like a good data center exists in the sense that it supplies its own power with clean energy.
It's not an eyesore.
It's either buried or covered in trees or beautifully designed and it doesn't have any environmental impacts.
Like is there is there a world where someone could get behind a data center at that level?
Yeah.
You know, and that's kind of the thing.
Why are we just talking about data centers?
I've talked about this before.
I read it once a report of a guy who just came from China and he said nobody in China cares about power with data centers.
because they have a ton of power.
He's like, we have energy, dude.
He's like, bro, we don't care.
He's like, yeah, you can build a data center.
We're good.
Like, we have cheap and abundant power.
So if we have cheap abundant power all over the nation,
no one will care either just about data centers,
especially if we have, you know, cheap electricity,
if there's just, if there's no concern on the power generation level,
and this is why, you know, I'm a huge advocate of nuclear power plants or whatever,
renewables, I don't even care at this point.
Shell gas has put it all in together.
But I actually think our.
grid and the delay of our grid and really just the knowledge right now we're not investing a lot
more into it. It doesn't seem like things are propelling. That's what makes it a zero-sum game. It doesn't
need to be this way. Like really what we need is just a ton of power. If we have a ton of power,
then we don't care about anything being built. Yeah. So is codifying the rate payer protection
pledge into law, good move? It would be a good move, but I don't think it's enough at this point.
There's so much distrust, guys, like at the local level and on the political level.
I recommend you follow Ryan Gurdowski.
He's done some more recent work on the data center question.
He's been talking about this.
He's like, guys, this is just laying out there for any politician to pick up.
And I'm talking about it from an anti-Data Center position.
He's much more of an expert on polling than I am.
Go and check out his feed and some of the work that he's done, especially not just
on feelings against AI, but data centers.
Because I think he crunched the numbers.
I know it was within the last couple of weeks that he looked at the question.
And he just said there's an overwhelming.
animus and that people are angry. So it's not just, again, let's be very clear. It's about a feeling
of lack of control over, you know, you're coming to take my job, you're increasing my electricity,
you're changing my nation, and I have to have a say as a citizen. So that's not just no longer
about electricity. That's about the whole picture of like technology and oligarchy and the economy.
So you're fighting against a very, very big force right now in the country. Yeah, no, it makes a ton of
sense. Thank you for coming on and breaking it down. I'm sure we will be talking about this.
Have you tried, have you tried just out of curiosity to just not use any AI? I mean, it's
impossible to not use AI now because every company for the most part is using it. But have you
tried to do your own personal like pause just for like a few weeks? I should try. That's a good idea.
I want the, you should, let's get you back on the schedule for a few weeks from now.
And in the meantime, just promise us you will not use any. All right, I can try.
any AI at all until you're next up here. Guys, it'd be so hard because even the chess board behind me
has built an AI. What? It's everywhere. Yeah. It's got the built in a chess engine. No, it's fine.
You can't. No, just don't play chess, bro. It's fun. Just get a, just get an old school board.
I've been one-shotted by the game. This is, I've been completely one-shoted by the game.
Anyway, yeah, thank you so much for coming on. We'll talk to you soon. Great to see you.
Thanks guys. Appreciate it. You're always helpful. We'll talk to you soon.
Up next, we have Joe Wisenthall.
from Bloomberg and Odd Lots
here to
break down the New York Times
analysis of the strongest
Satoshi Nakamoto candidate.
Joe, how are you doing?
I'm good.
Look at that sweater.
Yeah, what do you think?
You look fantastic.
I love the green.
Incredible.
You think the green works.
Green is great.
And the collar coming out at the top.
That's actually what I meant.
When I said, what do you think?
I was like, oh, actually, I'm wearing
TBPN green for you guys.
So, yeah, exactly.
That's perfect.
Glad you guys know.
notice the gesture.
Well, welcome back.
Nice to see you guys.
Is the New York Times the most underrated company in the world?
Yeah, of course.
It's the most, it's the most underrated tech company and the most underrated news companies.
Gaming.
Gaming.
The number of haters.
Yeah.
And the under aterated, the thing, though, is to be fair, that's the hater comment.
It's just a gaming company.
But look, like, it's extraordinary juggernaut of both tech and news.
And so many people have some sort of criticism.
of it or whatever and find a reason to hate it.
And everyone can find good reasons to complain about the media.
But it keeps on winning in ways that I've certainly been very surprised about.
I was really excited.
I know a topic at hand.
This is one of my favorite, Satoshiology is like one of my favorite topics.
I was super excited to see that they took a stab at finding out who it is.
Did you have a candidate in mind before this piece dropped?
Had you watched the HBO documentary that actually pointed to a different suspect?
Yeah, I've read a lot.
I actually didn't watch the HBO documentary,
in part, I guess, because it was just so heavily criticized, et cetera.
They're like, maybe I don't need to watch it.
I had often found the Nick Zabo.
He was one of the candidates.
I had always found that one to be fairly compelling.
Yeah, me too.
And, you know, in my first read of the New York Times piece yesterday,
I thought about Adam back, like I knew he had been in the mix.
It struck me that most of the most of the,
you know, the piece didn't have a smoking gun, right?
And that's sort of what we're all waiting for.
We want that smoking gun, whether it's some sort of digital signature or an email.
It didn't have that.
It was sort of linguistics.
Like, oh, he makes it's and it's wrong or hyphen's wrong.
I make those same mistakes too.
I don't know.
Everyone makes those mistakes.
So I wasn't totally convinced.
But then I read it a couple of more times over the last, you know, 24 hours.
I read it again right before I came on this because I wanted to be.
be prepared to chat with you guys.
And I'm like, I've been like upgrading my odds that, um, that is at a back.
John Carey has correctly, has correctly identified him.
Yeah.
What, what, have you worked with any journalists like, uh, John Carrey Roo before?
It feels like such a lost art and it's so delightful when someone has a chance to,
it seems like this was reported for a year or more.
Like, really he had the space in the breathing room.
No, I, I love it.
And I, like I said, whether this was right or wrong, I just want to be.
my favorite topics. And it is one of these things where like over the years, you know,
a handful of journalists have like, I can be the one to crack this, which actually like brings
to my mind one of the more fascinating aspects of Bitcoin period. Yeah. Which is, it's amazing to think
that like, okay, here is this thing. It's kind of like a digital gold and so forth. It's a new kind of
money. And whoever Satoshi is, he or her, group of people, whatever, maybe it is at him back,
maybe it's not. But the OPSEC, I mean, can you even fathom being online for several years in a way
that could not be traced back to you definitively? I wouldn't even know where to begin.
Yeah. I wouldn't even know where to begin how to like interact online in a way that like I could
ensure my anonymity. And I think one of the fascinating things about Bitcoin is that it does have
like this founder, creator, myth, this sort of, this sort of the divine, the divine birth by this
entity that left no earth, almost no earthly trace is as much as a fascinating part of the
story, almost as Bitcoin itself as a technical accomplishment. Yeah, and also just the fact that
then Satoshi even, like, it wasn't an effort to remain anonymous in perpetuity. It was like,
then Satoshi went dark and nothing's moved on the wall.
and it's just been this like, you know,
that's obviously fueled the theory that potentially Satoshi passed away or something.
Yeah.
So the question, so here's a question that I have.
So one of the stronger arguments or one of the piece of evidence that the article in the New York Times points out is that Adam back, it's well known,
he has a long history with the cypherpunks.
He'd been interested in privacy and digital money for a long time going back to at least like the mid-90s, etc.
He had invented hash cache, which was basically laid the foundation for proof of work, which of course is elemental to mining.
So he was like right there.
Now, one of the arguments that the piece makes is Adam back, like disappeared, didn't have much of a digital trace of those first couple of years when Bitcoin was taking off.
So maybe that was when he had slipped into Satoshi mode.
On the other hand, there was no way that anyone in 2008 or 2009 or 2007 could have been.
known really what a gigantic phenomenon Bitcoin was going to be.
Why, you know, like Adam Beck clearly was very comfortable talking about many of his projects
under his own name.
He talked about hash cash cash.
All of these people had been talking about their work and applied cryptography for years
under their own name.
So not having been able to know how big of a deal Bitcoin was going to be, why would
this particular project?
suddenly, he would like have the foresight to like, oh, I have to be pseudonymous for this particular
project. I don't totally understand why someone who had like talked about digital money,
digital money for years under his real name would have had reason to think, okay, with this project,
I'm going to have to talk pseudonymously or anonymously. That is not entirely obvious to me.
Yeah, yeah. Like, again, in retrospect, like, sure, like in 2026, we can look back. Yes, it makes a lot of
this person would have like the pseudonym aspect.
But when it's just a bunch of people,
part of the community,
trying to solve the problem of P to P payments
who have been using their names,
why suddenly like when these pieces come together
this way, would the creator feel impelled to be private
in a way that they didn't feel impelled to be private
with all the other B-cash, hash-cash, digital gold, etc.
That's not totally obvious to me.
Well, the way that, I mean, honestly,
the way you're talking about it,
I'm becoming more suspect that it was in fact you.
No.
So this is a, yeah, wait, John, it sounds like you don't find this component.
No, yeah, I just, I feel like after watching a number of projects sort of sputter
where they did have a specific founder that could be just, not even attacked,
but just like the motivations of that individual could be questioned.
and there's so much, like, risk tied to, like, a single person.
It doesn't strike me as that crazy.
I mean, clearly someone went anonymous, right?
Yeah, one exercise is, like, is there a person that if it came out and we could
determine that it was entirely factual that this one person, who is the kind of person
that would make the Bitcoin sort of trade up in value, right?
Because there's, like, I can't really think of anyone.
I can think a lot of different groups that it would trade down.
dramatically.
It comes out, oh, it's some government entity, you know, that, that goes down
dramatically.
Yeah.
And so there's not a, there's not a lot of like ROI for anyone on a personal level.
Yeah.
If they're a holder.
So one of the funny things about Adams specifically, for you go to like his Twitter profile,
it says, you know, lists his accomplishments and it says he is the inventor of hash cash cash,
in parentheses, Bitcoin mining.
And what's funny is many people over the years have actually accused Adam of overstating
what his claim there.
It's like, yes, there's clearly a lot of overlap between hash cash and the notion of proof
of work that was elemental to how Bitcoin mining worked.
But hash cash cash itself is not Bitcoin mining.
It is a sort of a thing that precede, it was one of the antecedents or the proceed, whatever,
to Bitcoin mining, a similar.
technique, the whole proof of work concept.
So there's been this claim that actually one of his issues is that he overstated his invention
of the creation of Bitcoin, which is very funny.
Like if it turns out it's him that for a long time, the accusation was that he overplayed
his role.
And then the other thing that's strange is that like since, you know, he's had like so, and
this is mentioned in the New York Times piece, he was one of the guys who last year or whatever
launched one of these Bitcoin treasury companies, right?
Like a micro-strategy-like entity
that was just going to hold a lot of Bitcoin.
And does that sound like something Satoshi and Akamoto would do?
In my opinion, not really.
But then the flip side is, well, that's like the best obsequent of the world.
Do a bunch of stuff that feels a little bit scamy,
feels a little bit cheesy, feels a little bit like opportunistic.
This guy is definitely broke.
There's no way.
There's no way he's got, you know, the tens of billions of money.
dollars.
Yeah.
That's what I'm saying.
So it's like on the first pass, I was like, no, like,
Satoshi is not going to, like, launch a little, like, mini-mean micro strategy company.
Yeah.
This does not seem very likely.
But then the flip side is, man, if you were someone who, like, maybe some suspect of being
Satoshi, what would be the thing that would be the least Satoshi-like thing to do?
Yeah.
And throw people like, oh, maybe it would be, like, create a Bitcoin Treasury company.
Or if you were Satoshi, but you lost the keys in some sort of silly mishap, then
you would want to get back in the game because you're still a believer, but you don't have access.
Yeah.
Anyway, last question.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Last question on the Bitcoin thing.
Did you ever go down the Paul Leroux route?
And did you ever, were you ever a Paul Leroux believer?
No, I was ever a Paul Roo guy.
Which one was that?
So he, he was a former criminal cartel boss, informant to the U.S. drug enforcement agency.
He created TrueCrip and was really early in.
basically spamming, like the classic email spam of like, you know, mail enhancement,
he would spam that out, scam everyone.
He became so deeply entrenched that at one point he didn't just own a, like, domain name,
and he would switch the URL.
He owned a TLD or like a registrar so that no one could kick him off and he could create
unlimited new websites.
That's pretty funny.
So we would just create a new website every day.
And so the Gmail filters would get confused because of all, we've never seen this one before.
I love that.
You know, the thing is, I've always thought, like, that, I don't know if any of you ever read it,
but there's an amazing book by an NYU professor, Finn Brunton, called, I think it's called Digital Money.
Okay.
And it's about the prehistory of Bitcoin.
So it's about this community of the cypherpunks in the 90s and 80s.
And actually, even going back to the 1970s, where people were talking about this fact that as the world was going to go online,
it would be very difficult for me to send you a payment
without the need for like a third party database.
The idea of like we need something that's cash like
a bearer instrument on the internet.
And I think this is like a really important thing to know
is that there was a small group of people
that basically for three decades or more before Bitcoin
had been trying to solve this problem.
And so like in the New York Times piece,
it points out that back had been talking about all of these things
that Satoshi had been talking about.
And my first response is, yes, there were a lot of people.
Of course they did, because this was this core group of people who for years understood
that in the online context, if payments were ever going to be a thing, we would need a third party.
And if there was a third party, they can block a transaction, they can reverse a transaction,
they can penalize you for making a bad transaction, et cetera.
And so this was understood by some people from day one of pre-internet that this would become an issue.
And so I'm not surprised that they were all using roughly the same analogies and so forth.
Yeah.
The book is Digital Cash, the unknown history of anarchists, utopians, and technologists who created
cryptocurrency.
And I will recommend a book to you about Paul Leroux.
About Paul Leroux.
I think it's called The Mastermind.
And I'll check it on.
I believe it was optioned into a movie.
I'm not sure.
I think Michael Mann was going to do it.
And that sounded really good.
But the book is fantastic.
Anyway.
Anyway, is, it's really fun.
Has this been like a nice reprieve for you from covering the war?
How have you been processing the constant gyrations in the oil market and the broader financial market?
It feels like such a hard thing to cover, but obviously you've been doing a great job with Oddlots and Beyond.
Thank you.
The stakes are, I mean, it is a hard thing to cover.
It's an awful thing to cover, right?
It's a war and wars are awful.
And the stakes are so, you know, there are so many ways that wars can.
and get more, as catastrophic as they are,
get even more and more catastrophic.
So it's like, you know, it's a, but it's also,
like, an extraordinary story for the things
that we like to cover, which is like understanding
the real flows of the economy.
And, you know, prior to this war, I had not fully appreciated,
essentially just like how, I mean, I knew about, for oil,
I was aware that the Strait of Hormuz was a very big deal.
Yeah.
But like the degree to the fallout, whether we're talking about,
like, fertilizer, whether we're talking about, like,
Whether we're talking about...
Real estate in Dubai.
You guys had a great episode of that.
Of course.
Real estate in Dubai, which, you know, we probably...
You guys probably know more people than myself.
Camping out to Dubai for the low taxes and stability.
And then suddenly, you know, you're like, oh, this could be...
Honestly, credit to Americans, like Dubai has just not been that popular.
I think it's different.
I think it's more effective of your...
It's very much, yeah, European thing.
When I was out there, I mean, it very much is like a melting pot.
I've been there a couple times.
And very limited number of Americans and the Americans that are there for the most part,
aside from on like, you know, scheduled, you know, fundraising trips are not really in the same type of like business community that you and I are in.
Yeah, it does seem like more of like a British thing specifically in terms like,
going there for the low taxes or the stability, et cetera.
But, yeah, like all of these things getting upended or the specific, not just oil and gas,
that, yes, that goes out of the straight of Hormuz, obviously,
but then, like, this specific acuity than pain points that are being felt in Asia specifically
and how they're already having to go into sort of like a 1970s rationing mode,
where you see these headlines about if you have, you know,
if your license plate ends with an odd number, then you can drive on this day.
I mean, the economic reverberation, it was clearly the biggest sort of global econ story since COVID.
Yeah, I was reading this article in the economist this weekend in Buttonwood about how it feels like the market is not actually able to process what a 20% decrease in oil rates is.
And it feels like, I don't know if that's just like hope that there will be a taco, that there will be a quick resolution.
but the key stat that they were latching on to was that even if everything was world peace tomorrow,
just bringing resources and infrastructure back online,
just starting the flow and moving the ships again,
takes, you know, three months, six months.
And so you will see reverberations through the economy for months, if not years,
even if, you know, we get a good outcome immediately, which is what we're all hoping for.
Yeah, some sort of benign outcome.
But like, this is the way.
thing, and you're spot on, and this is the weird thing, which is that if you talk to the
commodity guys, they're like, this is unbelievable, this is like a scenario that we couldn't
even really have contemplated. And then you look at the stock market. And, you know, oil is up a lot.
It's not like oil markets are not registering. It's up a lot. But then you look at the stock
market and it's flat on the year. Like, as of the time I want, or it's like down 0.3%.
Yeah. I mean, it's stunning because you have to remember that the last thing we were all
talking about prior to the war was like, oh, every legacy business model in the world is going to zero because AI is getting so good.
So that was the first two months of the year.
And then the third month of the year is this war that massively shoots up the price of oil, kind of like takes the prospect of rate cuts off the table.
And we're looking at a market that's flat on the year.
Like it's really, like, you know, I try to, I'm sort of an EMH guy.
So I always think if I'm missing something, I just trust the market.
It's very strange.
It is very strange.
It is very strange.
Have you found any particular corners of the economy that are serving as white pills these days?
Because it feels like a year ago things were sort of, there was political chaos.
We were talking about the tariffs and whatnot.
But it felt like broadly most industries were sort of seeing reasonable advances.
Things were much less controversial.
And we're in a much more tumultuous time.
I mean, it's hard to disagree with that. I mean, I think that there's basically, I think most people say there's basically two parts of the economy that are growing, and one is anything related to AI and data centers, et cetera, obviously. And the other is like home health care jobs. And I don't think much has like changed on that front. And unfortunately, like, okay, like, again, let's just go back to the world of February 26th before the strikes had begun. You know, the issue was we were already
at that point well above target for the Fed's inflation.
Now, there's a reason to think maybe it was trending down,
maybe there's some softening, et cetera.
But even with just essentially two cylinders out of,
I don't know if the cylinders analogy is great,
because I don't know how many cylinders,
but two cylinders really firing, like, okay,
an ongoing need to provide people healthcare
and then AI.
Even with that, the economy was like under a certain level
of like strain with price, stress, yeah.
And so then you add in,
okay, now like all forms of commodities are going to be more expensive.
They're spending, of course.
Wars are very costly from an expenditure perspective.
And so where does that leave the rest of the economy that's not AI or healthcare?
I have yet to see, I don't know, I'm certainly not feeling white-pilled.
To the extent maybe the closest is like, look, I would say,
there's still evidence a little bit out there that, for example, that we're not seeing the evisceration
of tech and software jobs
the way some people might have anticipated
and it continues to be like evidence like
oh actually like that's sort of like
the economist optimism
that maybe AI will create demand for software
engineers because there are more things that can be
softwareized. I actually think maybe
that's looking okay that thesis
and so it's white pilling in the sense
maybe we don't have like the totally
evisceration of the
sort of the labor market. Yeah.
Like that part. We actually got a good jobs
report last week on the
Good Fryer report. So like, I suppose there are things that are not. And we trust all the jobs reports now.
We could definitely lean on. The revisions have been a little tumultuous for me.
There have been a lot of revisions. It's very tough to measure the economy, but I, I salute our brave
statisticians at the Bureau of Labor Services. And we did, and we did talk to some other folks
who were looking at like private market data, payroll data. And, and there were green shoots there
as well. So I'm optimistic that that holds. Yeah, I've heard the most optimistic take about
just more companies building more new things. We've built a bunch of internal tools here.
The actual like NPS score for most AI apps is actually very high, even though AI as a concept
pulls very poorly. So there's this difference there. Wait, what does it NPS stand for?
Net promoter score or like approvals, approval rating. So like people may give chat GPT direct. So like people may
give chat GPT directly like an 80% approval rating and it has like a lot of it has a lot of good
reviews in the app store for example and if you just ask them about that or or what they're building
with Claude code they'll say oh I'll tell you an amazing story of some custom software that they
built for their business that they would have had to spend a million dollars on a consulting group to
do it and it maybe would have been really tricky to get it to math out but then they'll just tell
you like oh yeah we needed this dashboard and we just made it in a day or a couple weeks
So people love their specific things they built, but then it's like, but also air is terrible.
Yeah, they hate the abstract.
Yeah.
No, I mean, look, I mean, this is actually seems to be a recurring phenomenon.
People have even, over the last several years, to some extent, said this about the economy generally.
Oh, yeah.
I'm doing okay.
Yeah.
My financial situation is actually fine.
Yeah.
But the economy is like really terrible.
Yeah.
So it would be kind of interesting, like, if maybe there was a pattern that we're seeing across domains where, you know, everything else I was.
I like AI.
I like how it's doing.
I like this thing I built,
et cetera.
It's all terrible.
Maybe this is sort of like a general disposition
that people have towards a lot of things.
Yeah, it's the Kyla Scanlan vibe session concept.
And maybe it's paused by media.
Maybe they're happy or they're happy in their relationships,
but they're like,
oh,
but dating for everyone else is a total wasteland and everyone.
Totally.
Totally.
Maybe that's actually kind of a thing.
Last question.
Any prediction market predictions from your side.
What do you think so?
We had an episode out today with Tomas Pederfi, the founder of IBKR, which is also one of the most impressive trading entrepreneur.
They're getting prediction markets. They're really getting into prediction markets.
So I think my prediction is that it's not just going to be like a two-entity race for that much longer.
I think as it gets bigger, there's probably too much money to be left on the table for it to just be these two companies.
is that most people have never heard of up until like a year ago.
Yeah.
No, makes a ton of sense.
Well, thank you so much for taking the time to come to chat with us.
Great to see you.
See you, Jeff.
Thank you.
We'll talk to you soon.
Cheers.
Our next guest is Andrew Dye from Elorian.
He's the co-founder and CEO with Big Race.
Coming in to the TBP and Ultradale, let's bring in Andrew from the waiting room.
Andrew, how are you doing?
Hi, good thanks.
Thanks so much for taking the time.
Great to have you on.
I would love to hear a little bit about.
your background. Maybe we should start even before Google Brain, Deep Mind. What was your academic
track like going into tech? Yeah, so I grew up in the UK. I lived in Manchester and
Sunderland and London all across following my dad's work. And ended up in London,
in my high school that I went to the University of Cambridge for computer science,
and then I went to the University of Edinburgh for my PhD in AI.
And what did you work on when you were at Google?
At Google, I worked on a whole bunch of things.
I worked on Google now.
I worked on Smart Reply and Smart Compose.
But really, I had a paper about 12 years ago, where we proposed language model
pre-training and supervised fine-tuning.
And that's the paper that all the GPT paper cite.
turned out to be a big deal.
Yeah.
Did the...
Wait.
Yeah.
I don't know if you're going to dig in deeper there, but at the time when you were writing that,
how much conviction did you have around the paradigm?
Did you expect?
And scaling laws in particular.
Yeah, I knew it was going to be something big.
And I could tell because when I was giving my poster at Neurips that year,
one of the inventors of LSTMs, which was the biggest model at that time,
they said it just works, like the method just works.
And then I could tell, oh, yeah, there's something happening here.
But I never imagined it would get to this scale.
And I never imagined I'd be doing it for more than a decade.
Yeah.
Did you go to NURUPS this last year?
Yeah, yeah, I did.
How has it changed?
It's all LROMS now.
A lot of language.
And VCs? A lot of VCs sneaking around too?
A lot of VCs. That's right.
Well, then, yeah, take us through this company to launch, the decision to launch this company.
What you're thinking needs to be different about the current strategies employed by AI labs.
Yeah, so our company is built around visual reasoning as a first-class citizen, multimodal reasoning.
So looking at all the labs, you see there's a lot of focus on.
on text, on language.
That's been very effective, right?
We have new paradigms in cybersecurity right now.
But the visual capabilities are kind of getting left behind.
And there you have problems where the models are on visual problems at the level of like
a preschooler, of like a three-year-old.
Can you give me an example of that?
Yeah.
What does that look like in practice?
Yeah.
So in practice, you can tell these models to generate a pool table and they will make a perfectly good-looking pool table
right, but if you ask them to count the number of balls on the table or count the number of bottles in the bar, then they will just hallucinate.
They'll be off sometimes by a large amount.
Yeah, so I've seen sometimes the reasoning models will ingest an image and then wind up writing a bunch of like Python code to basically like count pixels and do things like very much not the way I would imagine the way a normal human would process counting something.
At one point I was asking to estimate the height of a desk and it was writing all this math to
to sort of manually, you know, try and understand the size of things, which we meant it was a reasonable
approach.
It wound up just being a normal size table, which was sort of underwhelming.
But how are you thinking about the actual development, what you want to do differently?
Are you focused more on a new architecture, new design?
data sources, more scale.
What's the shape of your strategy here?
Yeah, so we are basically a full-stack team.
We have experience with pre-training data, multimodality.
So we are essentially building specialized models that includes new architectures for visual reasoning,
a very specialized sets of data with specialized data processing and new algorithms.
So we expect to be running the full gamut of data.
changes and this is really needed to really make a breakthrough in visual reasoning.
What does good training data look like today? Is it synthetic? Is it images, videos,
3D, virtual worlds? Like, what's the shape of what's valuable?
As you can expect, it's a bit of everything.
All of that things. But yeah, definitely natural data. So data that's not generated from a model
is more valuable and more useful. Data from a model that's synthetic.
data has the risk of putting the model into like a weird place where it just outputs like m dashers or just like tries to repeat the same thing all the time
Yeah, but yeah data around the natural world around the three-year world that's invaluable
What do you think the cybersecurity?
Analogy is for visual reasoning like cybersecurity is so equipped for text-based models
coding agents the entire cybersecurity threat can sort of be understood as a big strength
of text more or less.
Where do you think visual reasoning
goes in terms of applications?
Yeah, so for applications,
one of the most promising ones that we're
seeing is engineering.
So right now, all these
engineers, mechanical engineers, hardware engineers,
and also architects, they're drawing
all these diagrams
in CAD software,
which has been developed around, you know, the last
few decades, but there hasn't really been
AI breakthroughs there. People are still
doing basically the same thing they've been doing for the past few decades.
And so what we will do is we will produce models that really understand these drawings.
Like say you have a real estate floor plan and you want to say make this bedroom bigger or add an extension to my house.
Right now, that would take weeks and lots of manual time.
And then you have to follow building codes.
Make sure like everything is correct.
And that's because there's not really any reasoning in our visual reasons.
our current models.
And so with this,
there's a huge potential.
One of the hardest,
one of the hardest times
we've ever laughed on the show
was reacting to a floor plan
that was generated by AI.
And it looked so high fidelity.
Every line was perfect.
It didn't have any of the fuzziness
that you've expected from earlier models.
But when you dug in,
it made no sense.
There were like 12 toilets and two baths
and it had one big,
it didn't really understand the problem.
So very exciting.
Well, you raise some money.
Tell us about it.
How much did you raise?
We want to hit the gong for you.
Yes, we raised $55 million.
From who?
And that's from Stryker, Ventures, Melon Adventures, Automata, and NVIDIA and 49 pounds participating.
And we have some great angels there, including Jeff Dean.
Jeff Dean.
He's been on Angel Investing Terror.
It's really exciting to see.
I mean, obviously he's a legend, but he's clearly very optimistic about all these different approaches going forward.
So very excited.
Well, thank you so much for taking the time to come chat with us.
Great to meet you, Andrew.
We'll talk to you soon.
We'll talk to you soon.
Have a good rest of your day.
Cheers.
Up next, we have Lumini and Casava Dina Karan in the waiting room.
We'll bring him in to the TBPN Ultrigome.
They have raised a $38 million series being to scale AI automation for health systems.
How are you doing?
Good to see you.
What's going on?
Doing great.
Great to see you.
Great to see you.
I believe it's your first time in the show, even though we've met in the past.
Please introduce yourself in the company.
Yeah.
I'm Keshav, one of the co-founders and the CEO of Illumina.
Help large health systems drive automation in their operations in back office.
What is, so is this a diffusion story or is this like a foundational AI research problem?
Like what, what is the secret to actually driving improved healthcare outcomes in large, in these larger organizations?
Yeah, I think, you know, the models have kind of got to a place probably in the last,
maybe six to 12 months where some of the opportunities to actually drive automation
end to end to end in a very reliable manner is very possible.
So it's 100% a diffusion story at the moment because the reality is like,
you know, American healthcare still runs on faxes in many ways.
And so you're kind of at this opportunity now to dramatically change how it's done in the first place.
So I would love an example of like a specific back office task.
Is this like passing information to insurance providers, processing claims?
Like what are some specifics?
Yeah, I'll give you a very concrete example.
So imagine like, you know, one of the customers we work with is the Cleveland Clinic.
And they're obviously one of the most advanced sort of academic research organizations
as well as hospitals in the world.
And so there are patients who come from all over the world to Cleveland Clinic.
And the way they actually get care is initially through something called a referral, right?
And that referral basically gets sent from, you know, small clinician practices to massive hospitals that are based in, you know,
even all the way from the Middle East.
And they're all, unfortunately, or at least, Antillumina, are sent by a fax machine.
And these are sort of documents with handwritten notes where people are sent.
saying, hey, this is Keshav.
He has some unique sort of left knee pain that requires, you know,
a specialized attention.
Here are the details.
And there's a huge sort of operations team on the clinic side where their job,
basically, is to look at every single document, read every single sort of handwritten note.
And by the way, these facts are.
So sorry to interrupt, but you guys, so just so I have it correct,
you guys are making humanoid robots that can write handwritten notes to fax back through a physical fax machine to the original sender.
You know, I think five years ago that would an easier solution to solve in healthcare than try to get it implemented.
But it's all NFI software.
So it's just literally a virtual inbox agent that, you know, triages each referral that comes in,
puts in the high-risk patients first and then processes the referral in an automated way.
That's sort of an example of many other problems that obviously exists within the operations of a health system.
That makes sense. And so are you guys doing the kind of forward deployed model where you basically say,
hey, we have a good understanding of current AI capabilities. If you let our team into your space,
we'll figure out individual workflows to automate or what's been the approach so far.
Yeah, I mean, healthcare is extremely nuanced. You have to understand the specifics pretty deeply.
And so without actually being on the ground, living in the offices of your customers, it's difficult to sort of scale solutions.
And so, you know, about 20% of our team comes from Palantir.
And so we've taken a very deep forward-deployed approach to every customer we work with.
And, you know, we work with some of the largest institutions in the country.
And so sort of it lets us afford to actually be able to do that.
How much about deployment and diffusion is gated by regulatory or approvals versus it's a lot?
less maybe, you know, obviously there's a lot of tech native people in these healthcare systems,
but they might be a little bit less online, a little bit less aware of the progress.
And so there's just an education element versus, you know, understanding the cost tradeoffs
and actually implementing the processes.
I mean, definitely a massive amount of like barriers to entry and being able to actually
drive or actually implement.
AI systems in these places.
And for good reason, right?
Like, this is like extremely, extremely sort of sensitive healthcare data that's,
that's flowing through these systems.
And so there's the right amount of sort of guardrails put in place.
But once you're in, there's a dramatic amount of work that's, that can be done by software
and that can be done by, you know, AI in the first place.
And it's sort of, you know, there's definitely areas we shouldn't touch, like deep, deep clinical
decision making.
and threads around that, that, you know, this is why we have doctors.
But there's a huge amount.
Over a trillion dollars is just, like, wasted administrative operations work that, yeah, today can be done by software systems.
How are you thinking about on-prem these days?
With the AI context, I mean, these models are so big.
The latest ones seem to run on NVL-72s.
That feels like a big lift in CAP-X, if you're going to stuff that in a closet somewhere or in the local.
IT cabinet, where do you see, are we going to be seeing local inference happening for, for regulatory
reasons, or is it more about just interfacing with on-prem systems because they exist?
And then this will be actually an accelerant to cloud adoption.
You know, we've offered on-prem to every single health system we work with.
Really?
But only, only, you know, 10 to 15% of them have actually taken us up on it.
And so that's an interesting sort of one data point.
But the primary reason to offer on-prem in the first place is because because of the amount
of data that you're sort of handling and you don't want that data to basically leave your
premises in the first place.
And so we've chosen to go on-prem with, you know, even certain workflows with large health
systems, but funnily enough, we thought it was going to be a massive need when in reality,
it's definitely a checkbox that they do to make sure that you can actually do it,
versus actually deploy some of this in full production.
Interesting.
Last question for me.
How dramatically is the quantity of data produced in healthcare environments growing right now?
We looked at this one company that was just an audio recorder that would transcribe everything that someone would say.
We've seen a bunch of these targeted in tech audiences, but this one was specifically for doctors to take notes and then have a running transcript of everything that they said, as opposed to needing to scribble a bunch of notes.
It feels like we could be at some sort of like data production inflection point, but what are you actually seeing in terms of the quantity of data.
that's being produced in the healthcare system.
Yeah, I mean, there are sort of, obviously, a variety of folks who've done research on this,
but I think the healthcare has like eight times more data than the next largest enterprise industry
in the country.
And over 90% of that data is unstructured.
So these are all, like, sort of, you know, contracts and PDFs and handwritten notes and text
that's, like, floating around the IT systems that exist.
So it's obviously a massive.
opportunity and problem
at hand. Yeah, well, congratulations
on the progress. Give us the details
about the round. Yeah, we
raised a $38 million
series.
Fantastic.
Led by the
P15 team, which is the Sequoiania
group, along with
General Catalyst, as well as
YC and a bunch of others.
So,
yeah, grateful for all the support and
interested in continuing to
deployed pretty deeply. When did you go through YC? We actually started in summer 20. So yeah, so
yeah, I've been, I've been sort of in the game grinding for the last five and a half plus years.
Yeah, but I mean, what you, you caught the perfect inflection point. I'm sure you've done a ton of
work to set up for the success and take advantage of the progress in AI broadly. So congratulations.
What a fantastic story. Thank you so much. Great to meet you. Have a great rest of your day. We'll talk
You see. Goodbye.
All right.
Up next, we have Brian Manning from Zona Space coming in with a new Series C announcement,
building a GPS alternative network.
Oh, Brian.
What a setup.
Beautiful setup.
I assume you're in your factory.
Take us through an introduction on yourself, the company, and where you are.
Thanks, guys.
Yeah, I'm super excited to be here.
It's been an exciting day.
We're fresh off this morning, the announcements, and launch of our new satellite factory.
here in San Francisco, which coming on the heels of our $170 million series C rays that we announced
a couple of weeks ago.
I've been a lot of exciting things happening.
So what we're doing, what we're building here is we're basically building a new GPS.
And so we're building a network of these small satellites that are 20 times closer to Earth than existing GPS
to provide extremely high accuracy, extremely high reliability navigation capabilities.
You know, I came from SpaceX, our CTO came from Ford.
Originally, the company was designed around providing autonomous vehicles, the level of certainty and accuracy they really need to scale.
But we started finding pretty quickly after that that there are 7 billion plus GPS devices around the world.
Every single one of them is looking for better performance, and that's exactly what we're building a network here to provide.
Okay, so 258 satellites going into low Earth orbit.
You're building them in that factory, I assume, but you're probably have a deep supply.
chain and partnership, I imagine that they launch on other rockets. What is key about what
you're building? Where are you partnering? Where are you doing R&D before the actual satellites
get built and sent to space? Yeah, for sure. It's a good question. So with satellite navigation,
most people, I always focus on the satellites because satellites are cool and that's always the
fun thing to focus on. But a sat-nav system is really three pieces that you have the ground site,
which is the mission operations kind of control segment.
You've got the satellites and then you've got the user equipment.
And then the user equipment is arguably the most important,
but it's also the most overlooked.
So we are building the satellites, we're building the ground segment,
and then we've partnered to integrate our capabilities
into all the different user equipment that's out there.
And so that's the chips that would go into, you know,
everything from a dog caller to a phone, to a tractor, to a car,
to military devices and everything in between.
Yeah.
We've designed our capability to be just a software update so that, you know, we can integrate
in with these, you know, billions of devices that are going out there.
And we've been able to demonstrate that on over a dozen different receivers with the satellite
that we launched last year that's up in the air now.
Got it.
So, yeah, can you give me an example of a...
So a dog collar has a GPS chip in it.
It's currently interfacing with satellites that are higher in orbit.
And with a software update, you won't actually need to swap out the chip.
You'll be able to get more accurate GPS data.
What is the benefit of this particular new constellation?
For sure.
So there's three big areas that we've seen customers really need better capability.
And as we try and make it simple to remember by precision, power and protection.
So there are some customers that are, you know, GPS in the automotive world, for example, can tell you a human driver kind of reliably what road they're on.
where our system is designed to extremely reliably tell them not only what lane they're in,
but if they're in the center of that lane or not.
But we deliver that through a signal that's 100 times stronger than GPS,
which means it's strong enough to punch through jamming.
It's punched through trees, even punched through a couple walls.
So back to the dog caller, right now everybody just accepts that like when you walk inside
or when you go indoors or if you go into your house, GPS just kind of disappears
and location doesn't really show up anymore.
With ours, our signal is strong enough so that you can see if Fido's in the kitchen or in the backyard,
or at least knowing where they are at all where you just can't do today with an existing GPS.
I heard this story years ago that I have no idea if it's true that the current GPS constellation
is higher resolution for military applications than for civilian applications,
and the technology is not actually the problem.
It's more that there are specific rules about the level of resolution that GPS data is
is like turned over to private companies.
Is that true at all?
Sort of.
So there's bits of that that are true.
And some I think there are just some misunderstandings that are pretty common in the world.
So the military does have a different GPS service than civilians do.
The big difference between the civilian GPS and the military GPS, though, isn't the accuracy.
it's actually more on the security aspects.
And so there's more protections that exist on the military service
to prevent bad actors from being able to fake the signal
or being able to use the signal.
And that's one of the big gaps in the civilian market today
is that they don't have access to a service
that gives the level of protection that's needed.
And so you can kind of think of it, a GPS signal.
Imagine taking your social security number
and your date of birth and your mother's maiden name and everything
and putting it on a postcard and mailing it through the mail.
That's kind of what GPS is today,
that everything is just wide open.
What we're providing is a capability
that's more similar to the military one,
where everything is secure, encrypted, protected,
but making that available to civilians
so that you can trust taking your hands off the wheel
in the autonomous car
and know that that signal is coming from us,
that it has the protection.
It's not coming from a bad actor.
Okay, so the software update handles,
like it sort of enables the,
encryption as well, I assume?
Yeah, so effectively, you can almost think of our service in a similar way to, you know,
if GPS is like FM radio, it's the free service, we're more similar to like XM radio or satellite
radio where we broadcast down and everyone can listen to it, but until you type in the subscription
key, the data doesn't work.
Yeah, that makes sense.
That's what I was going to ask.
Okay, business model, but yeah.
How big or small are current?
GPS devices if you want to basically have an air tag that you can throw in your
shoe so you can be so you can know where you are or the dog collar this feels like
there's a we've been on a miniaturization path for a long time where are we now
where are we going yeah so the size of the device I mean we've got chipsets that
we're working with that are I think like three millimeters by three millimeters so
it's something that's you know you probably put a 10 of them on the end of your hand
Yeah.
It's
GPS is really
one of the superpowers of GPS
and what we're building also is that it is
a one-directional broadcast.
So it's a receive only signal that it doesn't
do it. Your GPS device
like GPS
doesn't know where you are. It only can tell
you where you are. So there's no personal privacy
concerns or anything like that. It just
gives you the data to figure out where you are.
And that enables it to also be used in
these ultra-low power devices because they just
have to listen. They don't have to actually talk
back. Yeah. So it enables you to provide this into, you know, as you pointed out, things like the
dog caller or the cow tracker, you know, we've even seen people with like, feel and stick
packaging labels that we're starting to work with that you can put on the side of FedEx package
to track it. Wow. So it is getting into smaller, smaller devices and in the world of AI, everything
wants to know where it's at. Yeah. And the more accuracy you can provide with more availability and
just enabling these things to know where they're at more of the time unlocks so many new
insights and logistics, visibility, and whatnot that really just doesn't exist today when
GPS can't get into the place where the thing is at.
Tell us more about the factory.
Yeah, and, you know, a hard, a lot of the sort of space companies that come on the show are
based down in Southern California.
It would have been the pros and cons of building in the Bay Area.
For sure.
That's a very good question.
That's something we've had people ask before.
If you open up our satellite and look inside of it, and we laid it out on a table,
most people look at it and say, this looks like the guts of a desktop computer.
There's a bunch of circuit boards.
I mean, there's certainly solar panels and propulsion systems and other things around it,
but the core, like the heart of it and a lot of pieces that we've designed and built internally here
have a lot more in common with a desktop computer than they do with 747.
And LA has a lot of great talents, a lot of big aerospace talent.
Silicon Valley is in many ways, you know, the heart of compute, all these, you know, the chipsets, and a lot of the talent, the people that we're looking for, you know, it's a lot of electrical engineering, a lot of software engineering, a lot of mechanical engineering to put the pieces together, which is, you know, and the whole founding team came from Stanford.
So we all kind of naturally landed here, which had the right resources around us.
The factory that we're stood up here is modeled more after a supercar assembly line than it is after a typical satellite assembly line.
And so it's something that this satellite factory is built to start providing multiple satellites per week.
Where to put that in context, the US currently produces maybe two navigation satellites in a year.
Where with what we're building here, we can produce that many satellites in a week, which really just brings an entirely new capability to the world at a pace that's never been done.
possible before. What's the regulatory side of the the picture? Do you have to get
FCC clearance for your designs? Is there a wait-and-see period? Is that being
accelerated at all by new tools and the ability to proof-free documents of AI,
anything like that? It's yeah, so you very astute question from the space world that
anything spectrum related. We started working the spectrum engineering years before
we started working any of the satellite engineering. Sure. As well, we started working any of the
satellite engineering. Sure.
we knew that that would be the biggest challenge.
And one of the things that we've done that's very unique
is with all the spectrum engineering we've done,
we basically figured out how to provide a service
that is in the GPS bands right next to the GPS signals
without actually causing any sort of interference
to those signals, which is incredibly difficult to do
because in GPS broadcasts at about the power of a light bulb
from an earth and a half away from Earth in distance.
And so it was just such an incredibly weak signal
that there's a lot of people that told us
we started the company like there's no way you'll ever figure out how to put a high power signal
next to these GPS signals without causing interference and a lot of people still didn't want to
believe it until we launched the satellite last year and we're able to show look there's our signal
there's GPS it's 100% fine and it's not only it was say fine it's it's really necessary in the
world today with so much electronic warfare and jamming and other things you really need these high
power signals to be able to fend off interference whether that
to interference from, you know, a wall or a roof or interference from somebody trying to jam the signal and prevents the capability from getting through.
Yeah.
Yeah, that makes a lot of sense.
Well, congratulations on the new factory.
Thank you so much for coming on and breaking it down for us.
Thank you, so much for having us.
Yeah, I'm sure.
We'll be back on.
Yeah.
Great to meet you, Brian.
We'll talk to you soon.
Thanks all.
Up next, we have Cody Blumenfeld Gantz from Chapter.
Raising a Series E to expand Medicare, navigation, and launch financial products.
Not with us just yet.
Casey, nice that got his M-64.
And he showed the packaging.
It says, brought to you by the crack team at Mod Retro.
At Mod Retro.
Crack Team.
It's not a crack team.
We haven't one over there.
I saw some people playing cruising USA, Cruising World maybe.
Something like that.
This is going to be fun.
What do you think they mean by Crack Team, though?
Crack Team?
If you look at this, if you look at the packaging, it doesn't say brought to you
by the cracked team at Mod Retro,
it just says crack team.
I don't know.
Maybe this is some new slang.
We cracked it open.
Well, we have our next guest in the waiting room.
Let's bring in Cody Blumenfield Gantz from Chapter in to the TVPN Ultradown.
Cody, how are you doing?
Doing well.
Thanks for having me.
Thanks for hopping on.
Please introduce yourself in the company.
My name's Kobe.
I run a company called Chapter.
We are a Medicare navigation and retirement platform.
I started the company a few years ago after seeing my parents.
and struggle with the Medicare process.
Pretty much every person in this country
who's over 65 or retiring
has to deal with Medicare.
And I was just really appalled
at how bad their experience was
and wanted to make it much better.
So we went up to.
Yeah, early on, when you kind of discovered the problem,
did you assume that there was companies
already solving it well?
And when you talk about the scale of the market,
it's like everyone over, we're an aging country
and everyone in retirement.
for the most part is dealing with this. What did you find and then what gave you the confidence to
start the company? I found really poor experiences all around. Most Medicare brokerages in this country
are heavily incentivized to push plans that pay people, that pay brokers more rather than
focusing on what's best for the consumer. And there's really no good technology in the space
at all. So you really have
a combination of sort of mom and pop brokers.
You can think of these as local real estate agents
and then you have these legacy call centers that are
basically just like marketing orgs
that are very bad at what they do.
And really nothing in between that
really prioritizes the consumer's interest.
So when my parents
were going through it, they had to deal with faxes and phone
calls and they got really bad guidance. My mom
actually now has lifetime late
enrollment penalties because she was told
to sign up too late. Yes, the government
imposes lifetime penalties on people.
if they sign of plate for Medicare.
Good.
Yeah.
Talk to me about then how it seems like reaching the potential customer or user as early as possible as critical.
What's the customer journey to actually get on chapter or work with an advisor?
How do the users actually find the product?
We take a really heavy AI-driven approach, but we augment humans with the AI.
Yeah.
So we have one of the smallest teams,
probably of any tech company
and especially any Medicare company
for our scale.
We're really proud of that
because we're pretty sophisticated users of AI.
And so a consumer will find us
through one of our partners.
We do almost know direct-to-consumer work.
It's all through enterprise partners.
They'll find out about us
through their financial advisor
or their health system or hospital.
They will give us a call,
fill out some information,
and they'll be connected
to one of our full-time employees
who's a licensed Medicare advisor.
That Medicare advisor
has a lot of tooling
at their fingertips
that we've built
to make sure they can deliver
a really high quality guidance all the time for every single person.
And what does that tooling look like?
Is it visualizing and analyzing numbers and sort of instantiating spreadsheets and dashboards
and charts?
Or is it actually going and filling out forms and dealing with like legacy government systems
that can be abstracted into something that's just more usable?
All of the above and a lot more.
So I'll give you a couple of examples.
One is every single insurance carrier has a different portal that one has to use to look up
information and fill out forms. So we have to automate all of that. And most of them don't have
APIs, as you can imagine. So that's kind of the automation of filling out forms and paperwork.
For any given Medicare plan recommendation, we have to know every doctor that that person is in
network with. We have to know every prescription that that person takes. In order to answer what sounds
like a very simple question of what will a prescription cost on a given Medicare plan at a given
pharmacy, that requires tens of billions of records to know, just that one question.
And that's one of many elements. So we do a lot of work to, obviously, our Medicare advisors
are not crunching those numbers every time they talk to someone. So a lot of that to surface
the right answer to the Medicare advisor. Yeah. You guys just surpassed 100 million run rate.
what seems pretty fast for for company in in healthcare which typically you know this isn't
like selling like some some image gen model or something like that what is what is best in class
who are you guys going up against from a kind of zero to a hundred million dollar run rate
I'm assuming you guys are one of the the faster in history but I'm curious I don't think of
ourselves as a healthcare company, really. I think of ourselves as a really good tech company. So
we compare ourselves to the fastest growing companies where we grow as fast or faster than
companies like ramp, companies like clean. We went one to 100 mil in run rate revenue and I think
about two and a half years. So I really think about us as just like what do great tech companies do
and we try to orient the team around that because the bar is just too low in health care. So then what is
the, what is the funnel to actually grow the business? What is the, what is the flow? You said you don't
do consumer marketing.
Is this, like you said enterprises, are you, do you have SDRs?
Are you going outbound to companies and financial advisory groups?
What does that go-to-market motion actually look like?
We do have an enterprise partnership, enterprise growth team.
The team, the whole team is about six or seven people.
So, as I said, we're very small and we take a lot of pride in having a really high bar for talent.
The whole, the entire companies.
No, no, no.
No, the growth team.
The enterprise growth team is.
But all of our sort of corporate headcount product, engineering, growth, legal, et cetera,
were about 30 people.
Wow.
That's still.
That's remarkable.
Well, congratulations.
You just raised around.
Tell us about it.
Yeah.
We raised about $100 million, led by Al Gore's Generation Fund.
Massive.
Absolutely massive.
Thank you so much for taking the time to come chat with us.
Congratulations, all the progress.
And thank you for everything that you do.
I'm sure you'll be back.
on probably multiple times this year at this rate.
Have a good one.
Good morning.
Cheers.
Bye.
Up next, we have CZ from Binance.
He is the founder and former CEO.
He released his book, Freedom of Money, detailing Binance's rise, Crypto's evolution and
his legal battle with U.S. regulators.
CZ, how are you?
I'm good.
Thank you.
Thank you for having me.
Thank you so much for hopping on.
Tell us about the book.
What was the goal?
Is this an attempt to set the record straight or just tell your story?
or just tell your story?
What motivated you to write a book at this moment in time?
I think it's really just to tell my story.
And then I was bored for,
I had nothing to do for a couple years.
So I started writing a book when I was in prison.
Okay.
And then I just finished when I got out.
So I thought, you know,
it might be an interesting story to share
and let people know what my view is.
Yeah.
What do you think people get wrong about your story?
Well, I think a lot of traditional media have many misconceptions about crypto, Binance, myself, etc.
So I think there's a lot of media that's not accurate about crypto.
So I think this is a very good chance for me to share my perspective and have people understand crypto better.
What specifically do people get wrong about crypto or you or finance?
Sure.
I mean, like from 2013, right, people think that Bitcoin's only used by drug lords or for illicit activities.
The truth is actually, if you look at percentage-wise, illicit activities in crypto is actually much, much less than your traditional finance.
And then by extension, a lot of the crypto players, a lot of crypto platforms get hit.
And recently, you know, there's more attacks about, you know, just random attacks on me about how I do business, who I have connections with.
So I'm a simple tech guy, so I just wrote the book, you know, the way I wanted to tell it.
It's a pretty simple language, pretty straightforward books.
Just a simple guy.
This is a simple guy.
What, uh, I think I'm a relatively simple guy.
Yeah.
How have you been processing the, the new regulation that's been proposed in the, in the United States?
What do you think needs to change in the crypto industry?
Because I take your point about, you know, the amount of illicit activity might be lower than
in cash or the traditional financial system.
But the goal, I think for everyone that would agree,
is to get that to zero.
And so what do you like about the new regulation?
What do you think is reasonable to ask for?
Well, I think right now, US is making really good progress
on crypto regulation.
The Genius Act was passing last July.
But I think right now there's still quite a lot of debate
based on my layman understanding.
I'm not an expert.
I'm not a lawyer and not a regulatory guy.
But seems like, no, there's a lot
of debates about stable coin interest rates.
So I think it's a big important issue, but from my perspective, any clarity is better
than none.
So I think the current iteration of regulations will not get everything right on the first
try, right?
So there's always some collaboration over time.
So I think it's more important to make progress and move forward.
How are you thinking about the broad trade-off between decentralization and anonymity
and then oversight and regulation.
Like, it feels like we've been moving towards more oversight,
more regulation, more KYC.
We've heard from some crypto leaders
that that can lead to data breaches and other problems.
But where do you sit on the level of regulation
in the crypto industry broadly?
So I think right now, the crypto industry,
to be honest, is too transparent.
It's actually extremely easy to track crypto funds.
Like, the blockchain is a public ledger,
and then if you couple that with a few,
trade exchanges, K-YC information.
You can track most of the transactions
pretty accurately. So
I think right now there's a lack
of preserving of privacy.
But right now, the problem is many of the
regulators and law enforcement people don't know
how to use it yet. Some people
do. I think some of the U.S. law enforcement
actually knows it quite well. In other
countries, they know much less.
So hopefully we'll get to a balance
where, I don't know where the optimum
balance is, but there should be
an optimal balance where we set
all the regulatory requirements,
but we also need to protect individual privacy.
Right, for example, I'll give you a couple examples.
Please.
For example, like, if your company pays everybody in crypto,
and if you get one payment, today on the blockchain,
you can just trace to the address that you paid to you
and see how many addresses that address paid in the last week.
You can figure out everybody's salary.
Yeah.
So that's a privacy issue.
Yeah.
And if you stay at a hotel, you pay for the hospital,
pay for the hotel, then people know where you,
know, if people know your address and the hotel
address, people will know that you're going to stay at that hotel.
Which, for some people, may create
security issues. Right? So there's
little problems like those
that are not solved yet.
So we need to strike a balance.
It's hard to say exactly where the balance
is, but I think over time, we'll get there.
How are you thinking about the interaction between
AI and
crypto generally? There's been
a lot of excitement, even
from people in AI about crypto and the intersection.
But I'm curious what your overall view is
and then if it's positive,
some maybe specific examples of where you expect
to see it manifest first.
Sure, absolutely.
I think both AI and blockchain
are big, recent new, big industries.
I think that's really three big technologies
in my adult lifetime, right?
There's AI, there's blockchain, there's internet.
It's on those levels.
I think AI is going to use crypto for payments for transactions.
They're not going to use, no, they cannot KIC through a bank.
They cannot do a selfie.
They don't have a passport, et cetera.
And also payments in every country is a little bit different.
Whereas crypto, blockchain is the same across different countries.
So you integrate with a blockchain once, it works globally.
And it also handles micro-transactions, large transactions, etc.
And also, crypto is going to increase the amount of transactions significantly.
So the traditional payment rails may not be able to handle that.
I think blockchain also have a lot of benefit from AI.
I think right now a lot of the applications are in blockchain quite difficult to build.
I think with AI, we can probably build, like, you know, safer tools for people to do self-custody
and safer tools for people to transact.
So I think so today, the two industries, to be honest, have not.
really leverage each other that significantly,
but I think in the future they will.
How are you thinking about the risk of quantum computing
to the cryptocurrency ecosystem broadly?
I think there's some risk, but I think overall though,
any technology improvement is always going to be good.
More computing power is good for crypto.
So quantum may break the existing encryption mechanisms,
but with quantum computing, there's probably new,
well, there will be new encryption algorithms,
of them, they're already quantum-proof encryption algorithms
that quantum computers do not have an advantage to crack.
So we just need to upgrade the protocol to use those encryption mechanisms.
Also, more competing power with quantum,
there's probably newer encryption mechanisms we have not even thought about,
that we can use quantum to encrypt,
and decryption is always going to be much harder.
Sure.
What about non-quantum hacking?
Throughout the crypto boom,
There's been so many upstart projects.
Many of them have been able to get to escape velocity and they're still around today.
A lot of them have had to go through hacks and adapt.
And it feels like with the moment that we're in in terms of AI's effect on cybersecurity,
we could potentially be looking at maybe a bifurcation between the projects that have the resources
to actually harden themselves against new cybersecurity threats and those who are maybe
smaller upstarts and don't.
How do you think that effect plays out?
I actually think AI is going to improve security
for most projects.
Like Anthropical Cloud, right?
So now they're...
I think if you play like that,
you could potentially discover many flaws,
at least they claim, in many projects.
But I think projects can also use their tool
to fix their security problems.
I think a big company like that,
they'll already make a lot of money.
They don't need to exploit smaller projects.
to hack and to do illegal stuff.
So I think right now with
AI tools that's available, the developers
can use those tools to find their own problems.
But of course,
if you don't do that, then the hackers may do
that for you, which is a typical
problem we have today anyway.
So I think with AI,
security is actually going to become better.
I don't think it's going to become worse.
So I'm pretty confident
about that. Do you know
who Satoshi Nakamoto is?
No, unfortunately, I don't.
Even if I did, I would have said no, but I honestly don't.
Okay.
Do you have, how have you processed that question of who is Satoshi?
Have you wrestled with it?
Have you done a bunch of research to try and figure it out?
Have you had various suspects at various points in time, favorite pet theories, wildcard
theories, or has it sort of been a quick ride to sort of process that and then let go of that
desire because it's the unsolved mystery?
This is an interesting point.
I should have put this in my book.
Maybe the next edition.
But I've come to peace with it.
I think, I'm curious, obviously.
And if there was one person I really wanted to meet in the world, that would probably be him.
But I think there are negative consequences if we find out who he is.
For example, if I couldn't lie on the oath, if people say, look, have you met Tatochi?
If I say yes, then, you know, that's going to, all hell's going to break loose.
Sure.
I think it's better if we don't know who he is.
Yeah.
without knowing him that we don't have a founder centralization.
For example, if you look at Ethereum, Metallics there,
so there's a fund decentralization.
What makes Bitcoin unique is we don't know,
while the funders no longer participating,
he may not be around, he may not be participating.
So that makes it more decentralized.
I think that's a good thing.
I came to terms, I came to terms with quite a while ago.
So even though I'm curious, I'm not actively looking.
Yeah.
Have you ever thought about doing a anonymous project or do you have a reflection on why we haven't seen more projects effectively run, at least to my knowledge, the Satoshi playbook of maybe it requires some crazy opsec to go anonymous for a couple of years.
But if it worked for Bitcoin, I would imagine that somebody would have thought, I'm going to do the same thing for this new project with slightly different opinions about how the, the, the,
the technology is built.
I haven't seen it happen, but what's your take on the idea
of a new attempt at a Satoshi-like founder
in the crypto industry?
I actually really want to see that too.
I think that's really, really cool idea, to be honest.
But I think it's also very hard to do.
Most projects fail, even with the founders heavily promoting,
we know who they are, et cetera.
For a new project, without knowing the founder,
there's less trust in the community.
Bitcoin was the first one.
somehow it started very slowly.
It took many, many years
for you to get to where it is today.
And for a new project to do that,
it's very, very difficult.
And there have been anonymous projects
that are basically rock pools.
So there are also the other side of it.
People lose trust with an anonymous project.
So to do what Bitcoin did
is very, very difficult.
I would actually love to see more anonymous,
fully decentralized projects.
But what you are,
you mentioned is the obsec is also extremely hard. It's so hard today to not leave any trace,
both digitally and physically, right? So the fact that nobody has really announced who
Tatoshi is means that his offset is crazy. I think 99.99, well, nobody else can do it really
at this point. Yeah. What do Americans miss about crypto adoption globally?
It's here, I mean, as so many, at least younger generations, almost everyone has some exposure to digital assets or some experience buying, selling, maybe not using it functionally for payments.
But obviously it's very different in other parts of the world with, you know, less centralized financial institutions.
Yeah. I think America, for the last few years, before the Trump administration,
was fairly anti-crypto.
So many of the founders left, many of the projects left,
and many of the liquidity left, right?
The biggest crypto exchanges are not in America today.
The biggest blockchain is the biggest stable coin.
They're not America-based.
So I think America misses that liquidity quite a bit.
America right now has very forward-looking regulations,
and now people are flocking back.
I think the talent is coming back,
but some of the larger players are not backing America yet.
So we'd love to see that changing.
I think right now, if you buy crypto,
Americans are probably paying the highest fees in the world,
whereas if you buy anything else,
America is usually paying the lowest price.
So the cost to American consumers today
for accessing crypto is quite high.
So that's a disadvantage that America has today.
But America has a large economy,
a lot of entrepreneurs, a lot of leases,
and good liquidity in traditional markets.
I think America definitely has the ability to catch up very quickly.
You were born in China.
How are you thinking about geopolitical relations between the U.S. and China?
Tensions seem to have been rising for years.
There's trade tensions.
There's all sorts of geopolitical tensions.
Is there any hope for de-escalation between the two countries?
I'm not an expert on the geopolitics between different countries.
Also, my layman understanding is both countries have leaders with pretty big personalities.
So they're very hard to predict.
I think the President Xi in China is easier to predict than President Trump.
President Trump is like a wild card, right?
Which is in his advantage.
You can't predict what he's going to do.
But I do think both countries are large countries now with leaders who are smart and who are business-driven.
They want the economy to grow.
if that's the goal, then there are certain,
then I'm optimistic that, you know,
there's certain outcome to be reached.
Between two countries, there's usually a fairly large
zone of overlap that you can reach deals.
Right now it's just the personalities
and also both countries are quite proud,
so they're all hard negotiators.
The negotiations at that level takes time.
So, but I am, I'm fairly optimistic
that, you know, both the two countries
will work have something that's beneficial for both.
You've written the book,
what's next for you?
What do you think the next decade looks like?
I'm actually not too sure, exactly.
So I'm doing a few different things right now.
I'm running investment fund.
I'm not really running it, but I support it.
I do some mentoring in the space for new entrepreneurs.
I run a free education platform, a Google Academy,
that provides free education to 240,000 kids now.
And we've only been edited for like a year and a half.
and then I also
yeah so and then I also
advise different governments on crypto policies
so between those four things that keep me
pretty busy the book was actually
a huge distraction for me
it took a lot of time it takes a lot
of time to write a book
but I'm glad to know it's out there
and there's an audio version coming out soon
and then after that I'll put that
on pause just let it be for a while
and then figure out what to do
yeah what was the strategy for the
audio book version did you
narrate it yourself, hire a human narrator, use AI.
So one of my friends, Michael Santos, is going to narrate it.
Okay.
So we had this sort of agreement verbally from a long time ago.
And also, Amazon doesn't allow AI generated voices yet.
Interesting.
I didn't know that.
So we're a human read audio role.
And then I've been playing with AI quite a bit myself.
The AI cloning of voice is, I can't.
tell the difference for my own voice.
Yeah.
And it's just better.
It reads more smoothly.
It's better than my own reading.
So in certain other platforms, in certain other countries, we may use an AI-generated
voice that clones my voice to try to read it.
I haven't finished that yet.
There's still little quirks here and there.
Sometimes AI make very obvious mistakes.
You know, it pronounces Chinese names wrong, which I would not make that mistake.
you pronounce this. Sometimes you will say, like, when I write $400, you say $400,000,
so I would not make that mistake. But 99% of the time you actually reach better than me.
So we'll see. So I might do two different audio versions. We're still playing along with it.
Yeah. I wonder after Jassy's letter today, if he's still going to be anti-AI voices.
Yeah. Yeah. I did have one last question. I'm curious. How did you process the prediction market boom
over the last two years,
there had been, you know, long,
people had long had predictions
that prediction markets
would intersect with crypto
and be really big,
and yet there was attempts in the 2010s
that didn't really reach critical mass.
So I'm curious, you know,
how you process that entire period.
Yeah.
So I think today,
I do think prediction markets
has a huge potential,
and it's already pretty big.
Like the top players are pretty big already,
and there's like hundreds of thousands of upcoming platforms as well.
And also if you look at the regulatory landscape, the CFTC chairman, Michael Selig,
he talks about prediction markets multiple times.
Every time I watch him talk, he seems to mention prediction markets.
So it seems like the regulators and the traditional markets are also moving in.
So as you said, there have been many attempts previously, but then timing is important.
Some ideas, you know, even though the ideas,
very obvious. If you implement them too early,
they don't get traction.
You have to implement the idea at the right
time. I don't know what all the ingredients
are for prediction markets, but
somehow now seems to be the right time.
The previous attempts have struggled,
and now it seems to be taking off.
So I'm a big proponent for
anything that's new and interesting,
and I think prediction markets are very
interesting. They're price discovery
and truth discovery. They're kind of
using price to discovery truth, right?
So, which is actually a very, which is not usually the reverse for what we do.
We, like, information drives training volumes.
So that's a very interesting dynamic.
I think, and also the Easy Labs, the fund I'm involved with,
we invest in multiple production markets.
So we'll see which ones work.
But I do think that it's a huge potential and it's hot.
Yeah.
And it works.
How are you thinking about any of the previous crypto booms or narratives or themes?
coming back, things like NFTs or crypto gaming.
Are you optimistic on any projects, the Dow's that had their moment in the sun and didn't
quite reach escape velocity?
Do you think anything will have a second wind in the near future?
I do think so.
I think many things will have a second win, but the second win will most likely be a little
bit different.
There will be something that's, you know, like even prediction markets today, they're different
from the sort of prediction markets four or five years ago.
So every iteration, there will be some tweak.
And it's usually that little tweak that makes it a little bit different.
And maybe the micro-environment.
So I do think that some of the things that were there,
I think that would not disappear.
I think that hasn't really took off, to be honest.
The concept being there for years.
It's like, you know, even in the 2010s, video streaming doesn't really work, right?
Like, even today, this type of call, sometimes the Internet doesn't work.
Sometimes the microphone doesn't work.
Right?
So, you know, we get into those situations a lot.
So a lot of things take a lot of time to mature.
So I think that the DAO, the NFTs, again, the next iteration may be slightly different,
but you may still be called NFTs or NFT2.
You may be a different name.
But I think tokenizing art is probably going to come back at some point multiple times.
I don't know when you would really hit big and stay.
NFTs, I think, honestly, we saw a rise and then.
and then a downward trend.
Yeah.
So it's hard to say,
but I think all of those things eventually
will, should be much bigger
than they were today.
Yeah.
Well, thank you so much
for taking the time to come chat with us.
Congratulations.
Yeah, congrats on the lunch.
I recommend everyone go check it out
and hear CZ's side of the story.
Thank you so much.
Have a great day.
Thank you so much for having me.
Thank you.
We'll talk to you soon.
Goodbye.
There's some more on the timeline.
Bluetooth is such a strange name for technology.
Apparently it's named after a Scandinavian king
who united Norway and Denmark,
and the logo is a combination of two Norse rooms.
I like Bluetooth.
Anyway, let's bring in our next guest,
Tal Hoffman from Enclave.
He's the founder and CEO.
Here to tell us by CGRAM.
How are you doing?
What's going on?
Hey, thanks for having me.
How are you?
We're good.
Please introduce yourself in the company.
Yes, please.
So I'm Dal.
I'm the co-founder and CEO of Enclave.
Essentially, we're an AI code security platform.
using LLMs to find critical vulnerabilities in quad-bases the way traditional scanners want.
Yeah.
Yeah.
So huge week.
Take us through how you've been processing it.
From your perspective, what is AI actually capable of doing?
What is not there yet?
How have you been processing all the news around AI and cybersecurity this week?
Yeah.
I think what Atropik has done is like tremendous for the industry.
I think it's a tremendous leap forward for.
security. I think the real novel thing that they did, they did besides finding the
unknown unknowns, the vulnerabilities that have been there for decades, were able to exploit
autonomously vulnerabilities. Essentially, exploitability is the name of the game, as I see it,
right? Because the vulnerability that's not exploitable is not worth as much until
right now, unless something changes. So I think it's a huge leap forward.
And I think they have done very correct moving, deploying it safely.
Yeah, I think it's very exciting for anyone that's in code security, including ourselves.
And yeah, how do you see yourself fitting in?
Tell me about the shape of the business, the strategy, how you want to roll out your products.
Yes.
So I think, especially with Milos and the recent changes, I think that it's going to be asymmetrically deployed.
and so I think that this creates an opportunity
for other organizations that do not have access to their technology
to be proactive about it and procure,
whether it's for us or competitors.
I think it's net positive for the industry,
especially with new attack surfaces being exposed and created
and with new teams from regular developers
to go to the market and everything in between,
deploying more code.
So I think it's a tremendous opportunity.
Yeah.
How are you thinking about interfacing with Project Glass Wing?
Do you want to fold into that and then be able to do things on top of the private models
that are maybe deployed in this asymmetric way?
Or do you want to use other models and sort of figure out a different way to differentiate
and add value?
Yeah.
No, I think we want to go and partner with Anthropics.
that has done great work and Open AI and all those big lab.
I think the Alpha is currently in using them.
So definitely want to partner with them.
We are talking with them.
Again, I think they are doing a tremendous job,
but I think ultimately most organizations
do not currently have access to this technology
and they need an independent system level reviewer
that's able to constantly deploy the state-of-the-old.
Tell us about the round.
You raise some money.
Yes.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
So we have raised $6 million led by 850.
I have another bunch of exciting investors on board like Aaron Levy.
There we go.
Brother Aaron.
Brother Aaron, Mark Benioff.
Whoa.
Yeah.
You got the dolphin in.
The dolphin.
The dolphin.
You don't see him ripping personal check.
Last question.
from my side. What have conversations been with customers like, who do you need to get to?
Who are the key stakeholders? How diffuse is the understanding of cybersecurity threats these days?
And what are you educating customers about most frequently?
Yes, I think so we are just out of better just release the product. I think for us, we're trying
to cater to both the security practitioners at the end of the chain. Like we have, we are seeing very,
we're seeing a lot of anger from them.
We have their own cloth code,
the wrong cursor, right, the own shiny object.
So we want to empower them.
But I think most importantly,
we want to empower developers
to be able to deploy safely and quickly
because it's becoming very concerning.
We can see,
we have some new zero days
that we'll be publishing soon
following the sensible disclosure.
And I think that
security is going to be
very big,
as a role, the new job.
You see how sexy security has become
the last couple of weeks.
So I would say like agios security personnel,
but ultimately
this whole thing is very good for them.
You can assume that
bad state actors already utilize
those zero days.
So eventually
as more organizations
get exposed to this powerful tech
that is LLM-powered security
research, the safer it becomes.
And I think it's become very
obvious. We don't have to do much education. It's like the opportunity is very obvious.
The problem is very obvious.
How are you thinking about the business model? Do you want to sit between the code that's
written and the poll request and the code review phase? Do you want to be actively monitoring
systems in production, both?
Yeah, definitely both. But we are trying to be like to prevent those issues to begin
with, whether it's through GitHub to the PIR request, through CloudCode MCP through Cursar.
But also, yeah, definitely also prevent production.
And I mentioned exploitability.
So context is most important here and looking at your, and I think this is something
that Wiz has done great job with.
Sure.
He's looking at the cloud environment at the runtime, see what's exploitable, what's not,
because you can have a 10.0 CVSS vulnerability that's completely relevant because it's
exposed to the internet.
So yeah, we want to be both preventing but also finding live.
But right now we are focused on code.
Yeah, makes it a lot of sense.
Well, congratulations on the round.
Thank you so much for coming on and breaking it down for us and have a great rest of your day.
We'll talk to you soon.
See you soon.
Goodbye.
Cheers.
What else is in the timeline before we wrap up the show?
Yahoo's G800 is at Augusta.
If you got really good SEO between 1994 and 1999,
then messed everything up after that.
Your executive team in 2026 will still have a G800 money.
Says Chris Bakke.
That is very funny.
Preston Holland is chiming in with some crying emojis.
Secretary Kennedy.
New podcast.
The Secretary Kennedy podcast.
Coming soon.
Derek Thompson says the urge to pod cannot be denied.
Tech VCs and David Ruben Siener, richer than God.
What do they want to do in their enormously valuable spare time?
Fire up a mic and pod.
Yeah.
What does Jamie Diamond want to do after JPM?
Start a media company, i.e. Pod again.
RFK Jr. is in charge of all government health policy. What does he want to do with that power?
Pod about it. And this will highlighted Jeremy's post. Posting is the end state. It's the
treasure that awaited Alexander at the end of his conquest. It's all that's left for man after
gaining the world. It's all there is at the very end of it all. Celebrities, billionaires,
industrialists, scholars all wind up as the humble post.
David Rubinstein's podcast is deeply underrated. If you're
not already listening to it, the David Rubenstein show, peer-to-peer conversations, airs on
Bloomberg Television. He's also done history with David Rubenstein on PBS. He is the chairman of
Carlisle Group. And yes, it truly very successful, but still enjoys a recorded conversation.
In other news, the Acquired Podcast just released a new website, Acquired.fm.
It is stunning. Many people are calling it the most beautiful podcast website and history.
It's incredible. Really, really well done.
time you mouse over something, you get a vinyl record that pops out. I'm very excited to see
the physical instantiation of this. And it fits the brand perfectly. It's a great, so many
iconic episodes, so many iconic interviews. So congratulations to the folks that acquired. Every
company has a story. Really, really well designed. We've got to have them back on.
It'd be great. Very soon. Yeah. But thank you for being with us today. We'll see you tomorrow.
It's been an honor and a privilege to podcast with you today.
We'll see you tomorrow.
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