Ten Percent Happier with Dan Harris - How To Stop Overthinking And Make Better Decisions Bidhan Bobby Parmar
Episode Date: January 11, 2026A Darden School of Business professor explains how to use doubt to your advantage. Bidhan (Bobby) Parmar, PhD, MBA, is the Shannon G. Smith Bicentennial Professor of Business Administration and Ass...ociate Dean for Faculty Development at the Darden School of Business at the University of Virginia. He teaches courses on business ethics, collaboration, and creative and critical thinking. In this episode we talk about: The common human allergy to discomfort and uncertainty The benefits of doubt The difference between choice fatigue and 'analysis paralysis' The nine subtle signs of analysis paralysis Why we need to be paying more attention to process vs. outcome How to have confidence in the face of doubt The role of rupture and repair in relationships The crucial final steps in the decision-making process – specifically one Bobby calls "After Action Reviews" And much more Join Dan's online community here Follow Dan on social: Instagram, TikTok Subscribe to our YouTube Channel Additional Resources: 9 Subtle Signs of 'Analysis Paralysis' radicaldoubt.com To advertise on the show, contact sales@advertisecast.com or visit https://advertising.libsyn.com/10HappierwithDanHarris Thanks to our sponsors: AT&T: Happy Holidays from AT&T. Connecting changes everything. Airbnb: Your home might be worth more than you think. Find out how much at airbnb.com/host.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
This is the 10% Happier Podcast. I'm Dan Harris.
Hey, hey, how we doing, everybody?
For so many of us, when we're in a moment of doubt, our system glitches and shuts down.
We do not like it. We don't like not knowing what to do.
It raises all sorts of questions about our competence and confidence.
We want a simple answer.
As I have said many times before on this show, it is one of the design flaws in the human operating system.
We live in a complex, fluxing universe, and yet we hate uncertainty.
But my guest today argues that those moments of doubt handled correctly are actually massive opportunities.
Of course, the trick is handling them correctly, and that's what my guest is going to teach us how to do.
Bobby Parmar teaches at the prestigious Darden School of Business at the University of Virginia.
He's got a new book.
It's called Radical Doubt, Turning Uncertainty into Surefire Success.
We talk about the common human allergy to discomfort and uncertainty, the benefits of doubt,
the difference between choice fatigue and analysis paralysis, the nine subtle signs that you're in a state of analysis paralysis,
why we need to be paying more attention to process instead of outcome, how to have confidence in the face of doubt,
the role of rupture and repair in relationships, the crucial final steps in any decision-making process,
specifically something Bobby calls after-action reviews, and much more.
As you may know, the Buddha had a lot to say about the benefits of maintaining an open mind, of not clinging to your views, even if it's uncomfortable, especially if it's uncomfortable.
So if you want to learn more about how to train that skill, today's episode comes with a custom guided meditation from our teacher of the month, Jeff Warren.
It's called How to Let Thoughts Go.
I should say these custom guided meditations are only for subscribers over on Dan Harris.com.
If you sign up, you get all of the meditations that come with our podcast episodes, and you get to come to our weekly live meditations.
and Q&A sessions. We do these every Tuesday at four. The next one is coming up tomorrow,
Tuesday, December 16th. I'm going to host an unusual and a very fun session where I will be
joined by some special guests. It will be unveiling details of an exciting new project
in 10% happier world. More to come on that. We'll get started with Dr. Bobby Parmar right
after this. Dr. Bobby Parmar, welcome to the show. Thanks so much for having me on. Pleasure. Okay.
Let me just get a little background on you.
How did you get so interested in this subject of doubt?
Yeah, great question.
So, you know, growing up as a first generation American Indian,
I felt like I was always sitting at the intersection of different cultures,
different practices, and a lot of my life growing up was filled with doubt.
Is this how I'm supposed to act at school?
Is this how I'm supposed to act at home?
How am I supposed to ask someone out when that's not something that happens in my culture?
And so, you know, we say that all research is really me search.
And so ultimately, I wanted to understand my own experience of dealing with multiple conflicting interpretations.
And then when I got my PhD and started to teach in a business school, I noticed that many of my students were dealing with very similar themes, maybe not in the exact same way that I was, but they experienced doubt.
They didn't know how to handle it in the context of their decisions.
And I felt like this was a great way of really making a contribution and understanding something deeply human.
Yeah, I see it.
I see how it resonates so deeply with you.
and I can see how it's a huge problem in the culture.
Before we go deeper into what to do about it,
I wonder if we could define some terms.
One of the terms you use is choice fatigue.
Another is analysis paralysis.
Can you define those and maybe distinguish between them?
Yeah, for sure.
So choice fatigue is something that happens to all of us
when we face multiple choices
and we're not quite sure which one to pick.
So the best example of this is something that happens to me all the time
when I go to the grocery store, and I'm trying to pick a bottle of ketchup, and there are like
45 options of ketchup, and I'm not quite sure which one to pick and why I would pick a certain
one, and just having so many options leads to something that we call choice fatigue.
Analysis paralysis is related, but distinct in the sense that analysis paralysis can happen
only when you have two options, and you're not sure which one to pick.
But it's the rumination, it's rethinking and thinking over and over again about which
option to choose and why you might choose one versus another and collecting data and asking more
and more folks, but delaying making a decision. And so sometimes when we think that there's a right
answer out there, the best way to get to that right answer is by analyzing the hell out of a problem.
And we can get stuck doing that and not actually testing and learning and finding smart ways
of making that decision. I have a million questions on that score, but just staying lexical for a second.
And if I understand it correctly, choice fatigue is a kind of a symptom of the societal situation in which we find ourselves right now.
We're overwhelmed with information and choices, et cetera, et cetera.
Analysis paralysis can happen as a result, but it sounds like a particular pitfall in the current environment.
Absolutely.
You know, another example is when you're choosing what to watch on Netflix.
There's just so many different options.
It's very hard to pick which one should I invest time in this new series or this, you know, new show.
But analysis paralysis can happen even when you're choosing like, hey, should I keep my kid in this school or should I pull them out and go to another school?
Because the stakes are so high and we really want to make the right decision.
And so we're just constantly going back and forth and not actually acting.
Just picking up on the stakes are so high and we really want to make the right decision.
Do you think perfectionism, which previous guests on this show,
show have argued is on the rise in our culture. Do you think perfectionism is a major contributing
factor to analysis paralysis? Yeah, I absolutely think that. All throughout our education,
we learn that being smart means getting the right answer. And then we hit a point in our lives
where there isn't a single right answer to get. And we apply those old models to our new
problems. And so I talk about helping people make the transition from being right answer getters
to becoming better answer makers.
And becoming a better answer maker
means dealing with doubt effectively,
means running small experiments,
testing hypotheses,
not getting caught up on getting the right answer,
but learning to get to something
that is workable, usable, good enough.
So in order to make that transition
from right answer getter
to better answer maker,
in order to make that transition,
you really do have to wrestle
with your perfectionism.
That's right. Absolutely. If you're trying to get the perfect answer, well, most of us are trained to get the perfect answer by more analysis.
Yes. Right? Like you double check your numbers. You ask four different people, but you're not doing it by experimentation. Because experimentation means you're saying, I don't know, but I'm going to find out by running an experiment or trying something small. And that's a very different toolkit than the toolkit that is about getting the perfect right answer.
You touch on another thing there obliquely that I think to me seems like another major contributing factor to analysis paralysis, which is, I don't know. And our dislike of I don't know, this is not an original insight on my part, but I've spent a lot of time talking about how one of the major design flaws in the human operating system is that we are living in a world of constant flux and yet we hate uncertainty. And so this allergy,
to the discomfort of uncertainty seems like another major contributing factor to analysis paralysis.
A hundred percent. You know, most of us associate this feeling of not knowing something or being
caught between multiple conflicting interpretations as a sign that there's something wrong with us,
that we're not smart enough, that we don't have the right experience, that somehow we're an imposter.
But one of the things I try to help people see is that that experience of doubt can also be a positive.
It's a signal that we don't know.
That means it's an opportunity to learn.
And if we were to apply that kind of thinking in other domains of life,
let's say you're at the gym and you're doing bicep curls.
The first couple of bicep curls, you're just warming up.
By the time you get to the eighth rep or the ninth rep,
you're actually starting to feel the burn.
And if we were to drop the exercise at that point and say,
you know what, I'm not good at this.
The burn is a sign that I'm not strong enough and I'll never be strong.
Then we'd be giving up on improving ourselves and getting stronger.
And in the same way, if we think about doubt as the moment where, wait a second, it's a sign that I'm about to learn something new.
It's a sign that I'm about to get smarter or more capable.
We wouldn't give up and flee situations where we experienced doubt.
We'd see it as an investment in our future capabilities.
This reminds me of a major teaching emphasis of my meditation teacher, Joseph Goldstein, who is a great friend and just a brilliant guy,
although I hope he doesn't hear me say that because then I like to make fun of him.
he talks about, I'm not sure if he uses doubt in the way you are, but he talks about using rushing or certainty as mindfulness bells, as alarm bells to wake you up.
If you're rushing, use that as a feedback. Oh, okay, let me take a breath. Let me wake up a little bit and see what's going on. Similarly with certainty, which is a major design flaw in the human animal, I think related to our dislike of the unknown of an uncertainty.
Yeah.
But I think what you're adding here is, oh,
when you're in a moment of doubt, that doesn't mean, fuck it, I can't figure this out.
I don't know.
I'm an imposter.
You know, this is hopeless.
It's like, oh, no, no, no.
This is a time to wake up and get curious.
Yeah, absolutely right.
Those are great signals and signposts to help us have a different orientation to the situation
that we're facing.
When we feel very certain or when we're rushing, why do we rush in part?
Because we think that there's a right answer that we're not getting.
Other people are getting it.
We're not getting it.
Well, we better work fast.
to get there. And so those are moments where particularly in novel circumstances where we're not
practiced or we're seeing something for the first time, it's a great mechanism to step back and
say, what else do I need to learn here? How else can I get curious about what's happening?
So I don't rush into something that is a bigger danger than where I am now.
Yes. The listener will have heard many times will have heard you try to make this conversation
constructive and proactive and give us things we can do about the doubt.
And I'm going to get there eventually, but I want to marinate in the problem a little bit longer
because there's a list that I read in an article about you called nine subtle signs of analysis paralysis.
And I like this list.
And I'm going to read it out loud and then you can just pick up on whatever you think is most interesting.
So here are the nine subtle signs.
You're doing endless research.
One.
Two, you're constantly seeking advice.
Three, you have this overwhelming fear of making the wrong choice.
Four, you're obsessing over worst case scenarios.
Five, you're dressing up avoidance and disguising it as productivity.
Number six, you're missing or stretching your deadlines.
Number seven, your problem focused, not solution focused, which by the way is what I'm doing in this interview at this point.
Number eight, you're overthinking every detail.
Number nine, you're experiencing emotional exhaustion and anxiety.
Okay, so I just read that list.
anything or any things in there that you want to pick up on and expand upon?
Those are all symptoms of trying to find the right answer in a moment where we can't find a right
answer. We have to make a right answer. And so these things can be really useful, asking people
for help, trying to gain more information. Those are all valuable strategies. But when we take them
to an extreme and avoid acting, it can prolong our analysis paralysis and prolong some of these negative
emotions that we feel in stewing in the problem. And so when we encounter something novel,
something we haven't seen before, it's helpful to try to shrink the doubt and to name it and say,
here's what I don't know. I'm really unsure about what's going to happen with this regulation
or how my mom is going to react to X, Y, and Z. And by shrinking it, you can get much more
specific about how can I learn that thing that is going to help me make a decision, or how can I
move forward in a small, tangible way. When we try to get the right answer, we make the doubt so big
because we have to get the perfect answer, no matter what the circumstance is, and those problems
become intractable because the world changes, something else happens, and we're constantly
analyzing and reanalyzing the problem, rather than saying, what's a small way I can move forward
so I can learn what to do next. Okay. Now finally, I'm going to exceed to your unspoken demand to talk
about what we can actually do about this.
In that same article I read about you, which I'll put a link to in the show notes because
it's a really good article, there are six strategies for overcoming analysis paralysis.
So instead of reading you the whole list, I'm actually, I'm going to walk through this list
one by one.
The first is, and you kind of hinted at this in your last answer, make the uncertainty bite-sized.
Can you say more about that?
So sometimes we have these big questions and it's so hard to know where to start.
should I move to a new city and take a job?
I don't know.
How happy will I be in that city?
Will there be congestion and traffic?
And because there's so many questions,
it becomes really difficult to move forward.
And so by making a bite size,
we pick off one of those questions and say,
wait a second,
instead of making this big decision
and having everything sorted out,
why don't I go spend a weekend in that city
and get a sense of what it's like to live there?
Let me see if there are people that I know in that city
who can give me some more information
about what the congestion is like
or good places to live.
By making things bite-size, you can move forward with confidence,
but if it's something that's large and amorphous,
the problem is always going to morph to keep us in that frozen state.
I'll bring it back to Buddhism for a second.
In Viphasana meditation or insight meditation,
there's this notion of seeing by dividing.
If you're mindful of your anger and breaking it up into its component parts,
you see that it's not an anger monolith.
It's a shifting process that's moving through.
And once you break it up into its component parts, it's much easier to deal with.
I think that's a rough analog to what you're describing here.
That's a great analog.
I'm always looking for gold stars.
Thank you, Professor.
The second on your list here is to run small experiments.
You've made allusions to this in the last 15 minutes or so.
But can you expand upon it now?
Absolutely.
When we don't know something, the best way to figure out what we need to learn in order
to make a difficult decision is to try to test things out.
You know, whether that's, I have to break this really difficult news to my parents and I'm
not quite sure how to do it.
And I'm really worried about their reaction.
You might start by finding a trustee advisor, a sibling and saying, how do you think
mom is going to react to this?
How do you think dad is going to react to this?
And by getting that additional data, you can hone your strategy and your tactics to put
yourself in a better position when you're actually making the difficult decision or
having that difficult conversation.
And so little experiments, one, are bite size, but they also teach us valuable things about our approach so that when we're in that moment where we have to choose or do the hard thing, we're much more capable.
So it really does feel like curiosity, a willingness to learn and openness is central.
100%. And those are really easy things to say, but very, very hard things to do in the moment when you're being flooded by negative emotions, you're stressed.
And so a lot of these things are what might seem like common sense when we're in a cool,
collected state talking to each other.
But in a moment where you're feeling really nervous or anxious or worried about how your
colleagues will see you, curiosity feels like the last thing that you should be exercising.
Yes.
I like to say that, you know, like doubt plus fear equals some kind of paralysis, some kind of
avoidance.
Yes.
But doubt plus motivation is curiosity.
And so in those moments, we have to try to find ways of connecting with our
motivation. Why is solving this problem going to benefit me, those that I care about, how is it going
to make the world a better place? What am I going to learn? How may I become more capable by addressing
this problem? If we can connect to that motivation in those hard moments, we can unleash the potential
for curiosity. These are skills. They're easy to say, but incredibly hard to do. Okay, so I'm going to do a
digression just to reset for the listener and for you. We're working our way through these six strategies for
overcoming analysis paralysis. But you've just made a nod to something really important, which is
these strategies sound good in a vacuum, but if you're freaking out, it's really hard to operationalize
them. So you actually have some strategies in your book for emotion regulation or emotional
regulation in moments like this. So I actually want to leave this list and go to that other list.
Sure. Let's do it. All right. Am I being too confusing? No. Okay. I'm
I have the list in front of me.
Just for anybody who's listening isn't watching this on YouTube,
the professor just reached for his book to look at his list,
but I have it in front of me,
because my producer, Eleanor, is such a good prepper for me
that I have the list in front of me.
So we're going to come back to the strategies for overcoming analysis paralysis.
We're taking a digression after step number two,
which is run small experiments,
to talk about emotional regulation.
Before we get into this list that's in your book,
you just said something there that's not on the list,
which is coming back to your core motivation as a strategy for calming your nervous system.
I feel like maybe dwelling on that makes sense.
I'll just say, and I apologize for hijacking the conversation in this way.
But for me, you know, I have a little tattoo that I've talked about many times on this show,
so I'll make this quick, that just is a reminder that for me, my life is for the benefit of all beings,
which is off brand and it's earnestness, but really true.
And so when I look at this little tattoo that's next to my watch, it recenters me.
It pulls me out of the toilet vortex of anxiety.
And I think that's what you're pointing at.
Yeah.
And we all have our version of the tattoo.
The goal is to find what that reset button is for us.
Just a little bit of context here in terms of how the brain works to create these experiences that we can find so difficult to deal with.
there are kind of three interconnected circuits in the brain.
The first, the technical term here is our mesolimbic pathway.
It's our reward system.
I like to call it our pursue system because it lets us go after those things
that we find valuable and rewarding somewhere out there and in the future.
We're going to work extra hard to get that promotion.
We're going to walk down the hall to have a conversation with that colleague who makes us laugh.
We're going to go walk down the street and get that donut because it's going to taste so good.
That's awesome.
When there are clear signals that something is valuable in the future and out there,
our body gears itself to go after that thing.
The opposite is also true.
They're also very clear signals
that something is threatening or dangerous
and it could be physically threatening,
but it could also be socially threatening.
This is a situation where I might look stupid.
People might respect me less.
Someone might reduce my status.
I might put myself in a position
where I respect myself less.
Those are also very threatening.
And so the part of the brain that gets activated there
is our protect system.
And that's typically what we would call
our fight, flight, freeze,
mode. Something is overwhelming us and we need to get the hell out of wherever we are because
we're in danger. And when the world is composed of clear signals of reward or threat, these two
systems work beautifully. They keep us safe. They keep us focused after prizes and perils. But often
the world doesn't give us very clear signals. Sometimes there are signals where we want to approach
and avoid the exact same stimulus. Or there are two things that we want to approach at the same time.
Should I have vacation in Hawaii or the Bahamas? I don't know. They're
both great. Or two things we want to avoid. I don't want to get stuck between a rock in a hard place.
And so when there are these conflicting signals and we don't know how to move forward, the third
part of our brain becomes active. And that's what I call our pause and peace together system.
It's what recognizes that there are multiple conflicting interpretations of the present moment
and we don't know what to do. And most of us have come to associate that feeling with feeling
inferior or stupid or not good enough rather than saying, wait a second, this is a moment where
I'm about to get more capable and strong.
And that's what really the book is about is the shortcuts we take in our decision making
when we become overwhelmed by moments of doubt and the things that we can do in those
moments to try to move forward with confidence.
Okay, so one of those things is, as stated by you, coming back to what am I all about?
Yes.
And if I could just close the loop there, sorry, I lost my drain of thought.
Please.
The example you gave about that tattoo is really powerful because in those moments when
our protect system is active, when we're feeling like this is a situation I need to get the hell out of,
or I'm at risk, my reputation is at risk, by connecting to your purpose, your motivation,
connecting to who you help, connecting to maybe people that have helped you,
those are reminders to activate our pursue system, that there is something valuable and positive
in what might feel like challenging, difficult, and frustrating. And so those are really powerful
strategies that when we're feeling flooded by negative emotions or anxiety or the negative side of doubt,
that there's some good here. And if we can identify that, focus our attention on that,
we can start to move forward and not flee or freeze in that situation. I love it. So some of the
other strategies you reference in the book, actually, I'll take these one by one. One of them is to
switch up your circumstances. What does that mean? Oftentimes, particularly when we feel a strong
emotion like anger or frustration, they tend to happen in very predictable circumstances, whether
that's scrolling on social media or dealing with a difficult family member or someone difficult
at work. And there's this feedback loop that happens that creates this habit of someone
says something frustrating, I get angry and upset. By switching up the circumstance, you're actually
changing the context so that the normal habit is disrupted. So if I'm on social media and
something happens that makes me angry, I might put the phone down and go for a walk.
that makes it a lot harder for me to sustain that anger.
I'm paying attention to different things.
I'm using my body in a very different way
that allows me to channel that energy in other places.
And so by switching up the circumstance,
you're disrupting that habit circuit
that leads to a particular, in this case,
not very helpful emotional response.
That makes a lot of sense.
Another strategy is distraction,
which you call, look, over there.
Yeah.
So true, right? Because when I talked about these three systems, particularly our protect system and our pursue system, they work by creating certainty. So they actually narrows our field of vision on the things that will maintain that emotion. So if we're feeling angry at a colleague, all of a sudden what happens is all the things that we're paying attention to where the five times that you did me wrong in the workplace or that time you lied to me or that time you took credit for that thing that I did. And by looking elsewhere and distracting ourselves, we
actively look for what others have called disconfirming data or data that makes us say,
actually, you know what, maybe this person isn't all bad, or maybe there was some other reason
why they're acting this way. And so you're being very careful about how you deploy your attention
so that you're not getting in this reinforcing loop that makes you angrier and angrier or more
frustrated and more frustrated, and you can't get out of that cycle. So you've got to break that cycle
by distracting yourself and looking for things that are different than that pattern that's
leading to that intentional motion.
So it seems like we've moved from moments of individual paralytic doubt and how to get out of
them to moments of group doubt or group frustration where there's somebody else implicated
in the situation?
Yeah, I think a source of frustration and doubt in daily life is other people and the fact that
they don't behave in the way that we want them to behave or react in the way that we want
them to react. And so particularly in the context of thinking about regulating emotions and particularly
strong emotions, other people and groups of people that we might have difference of opinion with
are a source of that frustration and doubt. Yes. Okay. Another strategy in your book is reframing. What do you
mean by that? When we experience a strong emotion, we are so sure that we are right. Man,
that waiter has been ignoring me for the past 45 minutes.
Clearly, they have it in for me.
And by reframing, we're changing that story that leads to that strong emotion, right?
If that waiter is actively ignoring me, of course, I have every right to be justified in being angry and frustrated.
But if I were to look out and say, wait a second, this waiter is dealing with 20 tables and their short staff, maybe they're not ignoring me on purpose.
Maybe they haven't seen me.
that reframing, again, allows us to add just enough of a pause to that building cycle of kind of thinking and emotion for us to regulate ourselves and say, actually, let me stave off this building frustration and anger.
And let me look around for other ways of explaining this thing that is causing me to feel frustrated or angry.
You're describing this as an emotional regulation tool, which I agree with.
but when the mind and body are dysregulated,
it can be hard to remember to even do what you're asking for with the reframing.
That's exactly right.
These are skills that take a lot of time and practice.
And so if you're working with a very skilled therapist or a meditation coach,
even in my lab here at the business school,
I put my students through frustrating situations with actors
and I record everything for them to watch.
And only by getting that third person perspective,
on yourself, by seeing like, ah, when that actor said that really frustrating thing, I just took
the bait and I rose to, you know, and I got upset and I lost my cool. By seeing that and seeing
it actually had a negative impact on our relationship or on the conversation, it opens a space
for that person to say, okay, let me try it differently. And then just like workouts at the gym,
you got to get reps in to get better and better at that skill of reframing or distracting yourself
or switching up the circumstance. The starting place is to know that there are strategies. But just like
me watching a video on how to do pull-ups, that's great. I now know cognitively how to do
better pull-ups. It doesn't mean anything until I get my butt in the gym and start actually
practicing. Yes, I suck at pull-ups. Me too. Coming up, Dr. Parmar talks about some more
practical tools for dealing with difficult emotions and analysis paralysis, why we need to pay more
attention to process instead of outcome, and how to have actual confidence, even when you're in a state
of doubt. Okay, so there's another strategy in the book that we haven't touched on yet,
which is what? I call it trying something new. And what that means is actually changing the
behavior that results because of an emotion. In a simple example, we might say, I feel angry,
and because I feel angry, I have to yell. But the yelling part of that equation is optional.
There are lots of ways of showing and demonstrating anger. There's probably some cultural
similar ways. They might vary from culture to culture. But people who have tried to find universal
ways of displaying anger or frustration or sadness have not been able to find them. What that means
is that we have choice on the behavior that results because of a particular emotion. Just because
something makes you angry doesn't mean you have to yell. It means that there might be a behavioral
response, but you get to choose it. You might choose to laugh. You might choose to whisper. You might
choose to get really introspective or get really friendly, you have a choice on how to channel
the energy that comes out of that emotion. And trying something new means disrupting, again,
that habit or that circuit that says, I'm angry, therefore I should yell and say, I'm angry,
therefore I'm going to go for a walk. Or I'm angry, therefore I'm going to write down all the
things that make me angry until I feel better. And so changing that behavior is critical to
demonstrating that emotion in a productive, healthy way?
I think this sometimes described in psychology circles as opposite action.
Yeah, that's a great way of operationalizing this, is saying, okay, my normal response is to
get upset.
What could I do?
That's the exact opposite of that.
How could I get really friendly or curious or empathetic when I'm feeling this emotion?
And that's a good skill to practice, is not just to have this tape that plays as, oh,
Bobby's anger button was pushed, therefore he's going to act this way.
Well, Bobby gets a choice in how he shows up when he's feeling angry.
Well, Bobby's been very patient with me jumping all over the place during this interview.
So let me just reset for you and for the audience.
We started by talking about six strategies for overcoming analysis paralysis.
But then in the middle of that excellent list, you started talking about emotional regulation,
and we jumped to another list, which we have now completed.
And so I'm going to go back to your strategies for overcoming analysis paralysis.
There may be some redundancies ahead.
just as a warning, but that's fine.
I need to hear things a million times before they actually penetrate.
So number three, on your list of ways to overcome analysis paralysis, is avoid alternatives
that lock you in.
What do you mean by that?
Yeah.
This is another version of making the doubt smaller, shrinking it.
So there are times where when we make decisions, it's really hard to undo it.
We might quit our job because we're so upset at our boss or our colleagues.
And that's a really hard decision to walk back.
And so when we're experiencing analysis paralysis, we want to keep our options open and we want to avoid decisions that lock us into, oh, I've definitely left this job and I can never go back. We might decide instead to say, can I get a transfer to another team or can I work from home for a few days? These are options that allow us to come back in some way. They don't close the door on a particular set of actions or strategies. But as we just talked about, when we have really strong emotions, because they
force our hand to do something and to do something big, the likelihood of making those irreversible
decisions is a lot higher when we're feeling emotionally excited or aroused.
Yes, it can lead to a kind of impetuosity, which can lead to irreversible damage,
if not tended carefully. Okay, so number four is a bit of a repeat, but in moments of analysis,
paralysis, number four is to remind yourself of your big picture goals.
That's right. So by zooming out and saying, why am I trying to solve?
this problem. What benefit might I gain or might others gain? What skills might I develop? Who's
helped by this? It can help you say, like, wait a second, I don't have to get this completely right.
I don't have to be perfect in this. Let me move forward in ways that are good, but maybe not perfect.
Number five is be open to positive surprises. It's one of the hardest things, particularly when we're
ruminating on negative things. So typically when we're experiencing analysis paralysis,
it's a negative thing, right? We're feeling like we're stuck in this decision. We don't know how
to move forward, and we're paying attention to all the negatives on all the options that we're
considering. But being open to positive surprises means that there are times where we're not
able to imagine something great around the corner. If, for example, I do decide to move to this city,
maybe I'll make a new group of friends. Maybe I'll get a new job that I didn't imagine. So many
of the best decisions in our lives, when we look back, weren't decisions that we planned or
knew, we just kind of fell into them. And when we get stuck in analysis paralysis, it's
important to remember that we don't know what's going to happen. That means we don't know what
negative things are going to happen, but equally, we don't know what positive things might
happen. And just opening ourselves to the fact that there might be positives can make that
analysis paralysis feel less negative. Number six is consider what you can afford to lose.
This is a really important strategy for individuals and organizations. In the process of learning,
there are obviously lots of things that we don't know
in order to make a decision.
And sometimes we feel like before we do anything,
we have to have the perfect answer.
But thinking about this principle
that others have called the principle of affordable loss
says, you know what, I can spend a weekend
and it's okay if I come out of that weekend
and realize I don't want to move to this city.
Or I can have a call with someone
and get a sense of like that 30-minute call,
it taught me that I don't want that job
or I don't want to work at that company.
And that is something I can afford to lose.
And so identifying, like, look, I can spend up to X amount of dollars or X amount of time learning about this decision.
And I can afford that.
That's a good investment for me to make, even if I don't end up choosing option A over option B is critical.
But when we're trying to get the perfect answer, we throw all kinds of resources at that question, regardless of whether we can afford them or not.
Sounds familiar if I think back through my own life.
This is coming to mind as I'm listening to you talk.
Have you heard Ellen Langer's thing?
Ellen Langer, as you know, the legendary psychologist from Harvard?
She has this thing where she says, instead of worrying about making the right decision, make whatever decision you make right.
Do you agree with that?
Yeah, it's such a great line.
And I think that there's a lot of wisdom in that.
Part of what I take from that powerful quote is this distinction between process and outcomes.
right? So we get so focused on the outcome of I have to get the right answer that we forget about the process of learning, experimentation. And so I think it's a really useful and powerful quote. Where I might disagree slightly is that the reason we care about a good process is because it's supposed to get us to better outcomes. And I don't think it's as easy to divorce ourselves from that positive outcome. And so we want to think about both a good process and keep our eyes on what we think might be a good outcome. And
understand when that process might be taking us away from that or when it might be getting us
closer to that.
So let me just make sure I've got this.
Where you might slightly diverge from her is that we shouldn't just make decisions willy-nilly
and then make them right afterwards.
We should actually run a good process to get as close to a solid answer as possible and
then be nimble in the aftermath.
Yeah, I think that's right.
A lot of times decision scholars will say things like, look, we can't predict the outcome.
All we can do is run a good process.
And that is important.
we should be running a good process.
But how do we define a good process?
Why do we know that, for example, framing problems effectively, generating multiple options,
why are those good practices?
Why are those a part of a good process?
Because we know that they're more likely to lead to good outcomes.
So I don't think it's as simple as saying, don't think about outcomes, focus on process.
You've got to think about both of those things.
Got it.
You've got a chapter in the book called How is, and you use a mathematical
symbol. How is greater than, if not equal to what? One of the symptoms of being focused on getting the
right answer is we think we are done demonstrating our expertise, making a good decision when we have
defined what we're going to do. I am going to move to this new city. I am going to break up with this
person. I'm going to take this new job. But it turns out that so much of what we consider to be a good
decision comes from actually how we do it. The way that we show care.
in that process, the connections that we maintain. And so many decision makers and decision-making
scholars have focused on getting people to pick what. Am I going to invest in stock A or stock B?
Am I going to launch product A or product B? But it turns out that equally important to that
is how we do it. Is it how are we engaging with our customers in launching this product? How are we
advertising that product? Are we being true to our values in that process? Because all of those things
create their own set of outcomes
that then shape whether we're satisfied
with that decision or not.
An example I like to give is
a bucket of activities that we might call
getting fired.
On the face of it,
getting fired sounds terrible.
Getting fired is terrible if your boss
doesn't give you any notice.
They come into your office and say,
I know you were going to get promoted,
but actually you were letting you go.
It feels terrible.
Well, we can also imagine a world
where getting fired
doesn't feel so bad
because our boss is looking out for us
or helping us get another job.
They're explaining to us exactly why
they can't keep our current role
in its current form in the organization.
They're reaching out to colleagues
to help get us training
and skills for the next job
in another organization.
And that very same set of what,
getting fired,
can be radically different
depending on how it's done.
And one of the things
that we notice about really good decision makers
is they're paying just as much attention
to the how as they are the what.
Are they paying attention to the how, both in the process of getting to the what and in the how they're executing on the what?
Correct.
Yes.
The chapter is more focused on the latter, is on the execution of what.
But you're right.
It's both of those things.
We're thinking about the process that we've used to make the decision.
And then when we get to the decision, it's not just what we've decided.
Shut down the factory.
Don't shut down the factory.
But how do we do that?
How do we implement the shutdown or the lack thereof?
are we being honest and candid with people? Are we giving people warning? What are we doing in terms of
severance pay? What other options are there for people? How we decide to shut down the factory
in terms of the decision process and once we've made that decision, how we actually shut down the
process are incredibly important. I think maybe your core point here, and you'll correct me if I'm wrong,
is that we need to be paying attention to process more than outcome or if not more than at least equal to.
Yeah, that's right.
How do we effectuate that kind of cognitive shift, given how outcome-oriented, let's check the box and move on, we are in our culture?
Both at a personal level and at an organizational level, there's such an emphasis on being a right answer getter that we want to very quickly make the right decision, focus on the what, and move forward.
Part of the reason why learning and experimentation is important is because it teaches us how to do something.
It teaches us that by trial and error, we can engage with our employees in this way, or we can
deliver a message with a certain tone of voice.
We can demonstrate our caring in a particular way.
And so that focus on how do I do this effectively has to be just as important as what do I do.
Lots of times when I work with organizational leaders, they'll tell me things like, look,
I've got to make a fast decision, and it's hard for me to do all this process stuff and think about
how I'm going to do it.
And then they make fast decisions, but those decisions end up backfiring.
And we've really got to reconcile, do I want to get to the wrong destination fast,
or would I be willing to endure a little bit more time and effort to get to a better destination?
Right. Maybe at least one effective learning mechanism here is just thinking about all the bad decisions we've made
and learning from putting our hand on the stove.
Trying to avoid that regret is a big motivator for many individuals.
And I think another piece that can help shift that mindset is thinking about and making sure
people understand that there are different types of decisions.
In my opinion, too much of the decision-making literature has assumed that there is a single
process that works for all decisions.
And what we've done is we've taken processes that work for simple decisions where people
have a lot of experience and expertise and try to use those processes for more complex
decisions where there's multiple conflicting interpretations where we're not sure how to move
forward. In this book, I'm trying to elucidate a different process for those kinds of difficult
problems. There are times we can rely on our intuition. There are times where we can be more safe
by flying by the seat of our pants because we have some experience. And there are times where we
want to be a little bit more thoughtful and careful. And distinguishing those two doesn't mean that we're
giving up a skill set that has gotten us some success. It just means that we're adding tools to the toolkit.
How do we distinguish between those two? So it's very critical to try to distinguish between decisions
that we've made a hundred times and decisions that are novel. And sometimes it's very tempting
to convince ourselves that something new and novel is something that we're going to be really good at.
But one of the things we would really want to ask ourselves is, is this a decision where I feel
comfortable? What do I know? What's my level of confidence? And if I have a high degree of confidence,
perhaps it's a sign that I have done this several times. And if I have a low degree of confidence,
it might be a sign that maybe I need to step back and learn.
Yeah, but for me, many of my dumbest decisions have been at moments of peak confidence, pride goeth and all that.
Yeah, it's a good point, right? So oftentimes we overestimate our ability to make novel decisions.
But going back and saying, how similar is this choice to choices that I've made in the past?
What could be different about this?
So I think it's a useful skill here is to say, how is this choice similar to things I've done?
in the past. But to also ask yourself, how is this different than things I've done in the past?
Because often it's really easy to focus on the similarities, and that's exactly where the
overconfidence comes from. This is just like what I've done 20 times before. But if we don't step back and
say, well, how is this different? Well, this is a new context, or this is a new employee, or this is a new
set of skills that I haven't mastered, then we can become overconfident and not appreciate that
this might be distinct from what we're used to. So there's a whole,
section in the book about confidence and how to achieve some level of confidence in the face of
doubt. I have a bunch of questions I want to ask about this, but anything to say off the bat.
Yeah, I think the core part of this is that doubt is not something that should erode our confidence,
that we can maintain our confidence to learn and grow, even when we don't know what to do.
So in this section on confidence, you've got anticipation tactics and resilience tactics. Do I have
that right?
Yep.
Okay. So what do you mean by anticipation tactics as a source of confidence?
So oftentimes when we don't know what to do or how to move forward, we can step back and say,
what could go wrong? And how can I anticipate things that might happen and be prepared for that
world if it were to occur in that way? And so oftentimes in organizations, we call this a premortem.
So one of the tactics here is to say, okay, if I made this decision and I regretted it in four weeks,
why might I regret it? Well, maybe because I rushed through it or maybe I didn't quite take this into account. And so you think about those things that might cause you regret or cause the decision to fail ahead of time and say, what can I do now to make it less likely that I will regret this choice or less likely that I will feel bad about this decision? And we're doing that by anticipating what might go wrong. Okay, so some of the anticipation tactics you list here, the first is anomalous.
What does that mean?
So when we anomalize, we're looking for subtle signals that something is different than what we expect.
We're looking for, hey, you know what, the way that so-and-so raised their eyebrow at me, maybe they're not tracking with everything that I'm saying.
And by paying attention to those subtle signals, we can find places where things are going off of our expectations or deviating from what we thought would happen faster.
and by anticipating them quicker, we can do something about it faster.
Got it.
Okay.
We're in another list here.
The second is waiting, which it seems so obvious, but we forget to do it because, again, we're rushing.
Yeah, that's right.
We're rushing.
Oh, I'm a good decision maker.
I need to make fast decisions.
But stepping back and saying, wait, if I come back to this in a week, we'll have more
information or this other thing will have happened that will make it easier for me to make
this decision. If you're building a house and you're like, I don't know what color to paint my house.
Well, in two weeks, they're going to put the floor in. And once they put the floor in, I'll have a
better sense of how to make this decision. And so sometimes being strategic about waiting is really
helpful. Where this can get counterproductive is people just keep waiting and keep waiting and keep
kicking the can down the road versus being very clear about I'm waiting to know what color the
floor is going to be so I can match the wall to that. You have to get really specific about what it is you're
going to learn in that time that you're waiting.
Okay, again, we're working through a list of what you call anticipation tactics, you know,
if you've got a problem, what kind of helpful thinking can you do in advance, what kind of
forecasting can you do in advance?
None of these fall in the category of analysis paralysis unless you take it too far.
So number three on your list is flexible plans.
So we imagine a future and there's only one thing that we can do, then it's very hard to pivot
if things change. But if we set out and say, okay, wait, actually, I have three options. Or if I see
this happen in the world, I'll pivot in this particular way. Those flexible options allow you to learn
and adapt. When we only have one option, we are tempted in twisting the world to make that one
option the right answer. Versus if we have multiple options or we have some flexibility in how we
implement, we can adapt a little bit more flexibly. One of my favorite examples of this is
FedEx. FedEx can't always predict exactly where different weather events or thunderstorms are going to hit.
So they fly a certain capacity of their planes half full. And what they do with that half full capacity is it allows them to reroute those planes to different cities where there might be weather patterns so they can pick up those packages and get them to their destination.
They don't know exactly where those weather patterns are going to hit. But by allowing themselves that flexibility, they can still deliver those packages on time no matter where they're a severe risk.
weather events. So right before I sat down to do this interview, I was having lunch in, I'm
recording this for my home studio and I was having lunch in my living room with two of the people
on my team who happened to be working out of my house today. Tony is our CEO and Taylor,
who's our head of operations. And they were working on the budget for next year. And I was
watching them do this. I was listening to this as I was eating a salad. And they're deliberately
pessimistic, you know, is it kind of like, well, let's estimate the speaking fees that Dan will generate next year at 10% less than this year.
So we can have some upside surprise.
But, you know, if it's higher, well, then we can do X or Y thing with the budget.
It seems like they're doing a form of what you're describing.
Exactly.
So thinking through multiple scenarios saying what will happen at these three different levels of speaking fees, it'll allow us to open up this particular initiative or do this really cool thing.
Yes.
That allows you to pivot when those cool things happen.
And most importantly, it allows you to pivot in ways that are consistent with your values
because you've thought about it ahead of time rather than in the moment you find yourself
flush with cash and then you're like, oh, this is the first opportunity that came to me.
Let's go after that.
Yes.
And no, they're not stuck in analysis paralysis.
They're making decisions.
They're doing this kind of anticipatory forecasting wise strategy or as George W. Bush would say,
strategyery without having
read your book, although I guess maybe they have read
your book, I should check.
Another anticipation tactic
that you list here, and again, this is all
under the rubric of, you know, how can we
be confident in the face of doubt?
One of your anticipation tactics
is reducing and refining
uncertainty by acting.
That's right.
This goes back to the idea that many times
we think before we do anything,
we should have the right answer, we should have
everything planned out to a T, we should know
exactly what the financial models are going to do and say, and that just perpetually kicks
the can down the road for doing anything. Whereas if we were to say, we can learn something really
critical by acting in this particular way. Let's go interview this person. And if we interview them,
we'll learn something about whether it makes sense to pivot our podcast in that particular
direction and generate that revenue. Now, we're not just worried about that uncertainty.
We now have done something that reduces that uncertainty and makes us feel like, okay, actually,
we learned some really cool things.
This is exactly where we should be going.
Or maybe let's try one more.
And so oftentimes we have this separation
between thinking and doing,
between learning and acting.
And one of the best ways of dealing with doubt
is to shrink those cycles
and to try something out and learn from it
and try something else out and learn.
So having shorter and shorter cycles
of trying something and learning
rather than one big cycle of,
let me get the perfect answer
and then go implement this thing.
Yes. Tony, our CEO, talks a lot about crawl, walk, run. Learning by doing, but doing in small increments,
aka the experiments that you referred to earlier. Absolutely, right? Because you're so much more
confident walking once you've crawled and you're so much more confident running once you've
walked and crawled because you've learned about the environment and the people that you're working.
Coming up, Bobby talks about some resilience tactics when you're in a state of doubt, tools for building
psychological safety, which is incredibly important if you want to have healthy and highly
functioning teams, the crucial role of rupture and repair in your relationships, and the crucial
final steps in any decision-making process, specifically one Bobby calls the after-action
review.
In this section of our conversation, we're talking about how to generate some degree of
confidence in the face of doubt, and you just listed four anticipation tactics.
There are also, in your book, two, what you call resilience tactics.
What is a resilience tactic and how can it help you be confident in the face of doubt?
So our tactics for anticipation allow us to step back and say, what could happen and how could I be ready for all of those possible eventualities?
Resilience takes very seriously the idea that you can't anticipate everything, that there will always be something that you are blind to or that you can't expect what others have called unknown unknowns.
And so instead of trying to plan for everything and figure out the right way to adapt,
we can build systems for resilience that allow us to bounce back
when we inevitably find that bump in the road that we're all going to hit.
Okay, so one of the resilience tactics is building psychological safety.
That's a term that comes up a lot in episodes.
Can you explain what you mean by building psychological safety?
So when your team or the folks that you're working with have psychological safety,
psychological safety, they believe that you or the rest of the team is a safe place to take
interpersonal risks. And so they can try things out. They can say, you know what, I'm really
worried about the budget for next year or next quarter. And no one's going to say, well,
Bobby, that's your fault. You should be handling that. Psychological safety allows people to be
resilient because it's a safe place to fail and then bounce back from saying, actually, I'm
concerned about this budget. Well, let's all work together and figure out what we can do to alleviate these
concerns or create a strategy that's going to help us move forward, even if they're unknowns.
So psychological safety is critical to resilience because even when we stumble, we can pick
ourselves back up and we're not afraid that people are going to think less of us for having
stumbled.
I mean, I think a lot about how to create psychological safety on my team, and I'm not sure
I've aced it.
It's a beautiful concept and it makes a ton of sense.
And it is, there's data to show that it's like a huge contributing factor to,
to the success of any organization or team.
And yet, it's easier said than done.
So what are your thoughts about how to actually do it?
One of the tactics that I really like
is more of a structural part of the conversation.
Obviously, there are things that you can do as a leader
to share your own vulnerabilities,
to praise people for taking efforts,
even if they haven't quite achieve
what they wanted to achieve.
But when I mean structural,
I mean actually having a part of the conversation
designated to, let's think about the weaknesses in this plan.
And we're all going to do that.
Not just Dan, but all of us are going to poke holes in this.
Let's all think about what are the strengths of this plan.
And when you have defined someone to play the role of devil's advocate or someone to poke holes,
they're playing a role that's beneficial for the team rather than just being an ass.
Right.
And so by creating space for those conversations, you can make it much easier for people to say,
I have these concerns, I'm worried about this.
I'm also really excited about this other thing.
And so thinking about how we spend our time in a meeting,
a discussion. Let's focus on what are the strengths of this idea. Now, what are all the
weaknesses that we see? And we're not pointing out those weaknesses because we want to be mean,
but because we want to figure out how to make that idea better. So, for example, tomorrow we have a
big team meeting about a new app we're launching. And I, as the founder of the company, as the
face of the company, I could say, after Tony and her team have made their presentation, I could say,
hey, look, you know, I think of one really healthy thing to do for those of you who are coming to this with fresh eyes is what have we not thought about?
Like, where could this go wrong?
What should we have our eyes on that maybe we're missing?
Yes.
Yeah, I think that's a great tactic.
Okay.
Another resilience tactic that you list in your book is called building buffers.
What's that all about?
So particularly when we're doing novel things that we haven't done before, we're going to stumble.
And building buffers is about making sure that when we stumble, we stumble in ways that are afforded.
that are small, that we can kind of pick ourselves back up.
And so when we're investing in a new app, we might invest in an app that has kind of a
smaller user base at first that we can grow out.
We might say we're going to invest only this amount of money in this app so that if it
doesn't work, we've got other resources to do other things.
And so if you're in a factory setting or working in a chemical plant, those buffers allow you
to say, well, actually, there was a very small chemical spill, but we caught it early,
we cleaned it up, and we were able to patch that tank right away.
because even though we made an error,
we were able to pick ourselves back up quickly.
And so buffers just allow us a little bit of wiggle room
to say things can get slightly out of hand,
but not so out of hand that we can't rain it in.
Another sort of crawl, walk, run situation.
There's a lot in your book about,
and we've touched on it in this conversation,
but I think I want to go a little bit deeper.
There's a lot in your book about,
and I was trying to articulate this,
earlier hem-fistedly, I think, like, there's not only the doubt that I may face as an individual
when I'm solo confronting a decision, but there's also kind of group doubt or doubt in
interpersonal doubt as you're trying to tackle a decision together. You talk about that a lot
in book and have thus far in this conversation, although you have a chapter in the book where you
talk about the limits of cooperation. So what do you mean by that? One of the biggest sources of doubt
that we face in our day-to-day life and our day-to-day decision-making is about the motives of others,
other human beings, and how we might work together, or we might cooperate together, how we might
compete against each other, or war with each other. And so often we're unsure about whether
we should take a risk to help someone, whether we should work together with someone we don't know.
And when we think about the limits of cooperation, cooperation is an incredible tool that human
beings have invented that has allowed us to basically take over the planet. And there are these competing
views. People at the bottom will say that ultimately human beings are selfish and they're only after
their own interests. On the other hand, we might think about human interests fitting together or folks
having positive emotions towards others. And when we think about the limits of cooperation, it's about
trying to understand how we can make sense of the motives of others and the conditions under which we can
cooperate wisely rather than just say, well, everyone's got my best interest at heart. I should
work with everyone or I should help everyone. That feels like a very blunt strategy. And so does the
opposite strategy, which is everyone is out to get me. I should just focus on my own work. And so being
able to distinguish when someone is trustworthy and when it's worth our time and effort to be vulnerable
to that person and when it's not is critical. And so an important source of doubt in our day-to-day
lives is can I trust this person over there?
How do you know? I've fucked that up many times. Like, how do you know?
This is one where we want to collect evidence. We want to talk to folks that that person has worked
with. We want to get a sense of their motivations. When are they willing to sacrifice to
help others or help us in particular? And we're kind of going back and forth between what we know
about that person from other interactions, from the past. And again, in those moments, because it's a
source of doubt, we don't just go all in and say, well, now I'm going to hand over the keys to
my company to you. We create small experiments that allow that person to continue to earn our
trust and allow us to continue to be vulnerable to that person so that we have a positive,
cooperative working relationship that we both can believe in. Yes. Okay, another aspect of
working with other people. Side note, I often joke that the human curse is that we need other
people to thrive and other people are a Titanic assache. So it is a tricky. But one of the aspects of
working with other people in situations of doubt and uncertainty is that when things go pear-shaped,
we can get into a blame game. And you dedicate a decent amount of ink to blame and our temptation to
blame. What's your TLDR take on that? So when we make decisions, there are all kinds of
outcomes of that decision that might affect people differently. Even when we're making decisions as an
individual, we belong to a community. We're a part of a social context. And we might put blinders on and say,
look, this is none of your business. This is my decision. But we still have to justify our choices to
others. And when, in particular, things surprise people in a negative way, I can't believe I was
fired for that. Their intuition is trying to blame us. And so in those moments, there can be many
times where we're unsure, am I blameworthy? Did I really have responsibility for this? A key source of
doubt, particularly in the organizational space, is what am I responsible for and who am I responsible to?
And there's lots of ways of thinking about responsibility. One way to think about responsibility
is that I intended for this to happen. Another way to think about responsibility is that I was a part of
the causal chain events that led to this thing happening. So, for example, typically in the legal space,
we might talk about, if we have a suspect for murder,
we might talk about motive and means.
And when motive and means go together,
we know, hey, Bobby was the killer, hey, arrest this guy.
But oftentimes in organizations,
there's a separation between motives and means.
Senior executives might do a lot of the strategizing and intending.
People lower in the organization might be doing a lot of the acting.
Like, hey, I signed this form, or I, you know,
asked this customer to do this thing,
or I put the number on the test that said, you know,
XYZ for emissions.
And that becomes really tricky because then we can start to doubt whether we're responsible.
Well, I didn't actually put the number in that file.
I'm not responsible.
Well, but you created the strategy that put a lot of pressure on people to do that.
So many times we can have a hard time figuring out the conditions under which we're responsible to others.
And so what this chapter does is say, here's how we can attribute responsibility.
We think about, I just talked about intentionality.
Did I want for this to happen?
causality? Was I part of the chain of events that led this to happen? But also things like capacity.
Did I have the resources, the skills to stop it or to actually do it? And then the obligation.
Was I obligated to do something about this? I might have the resources, but there are lots of times where I don't have the obligation.
And so when we face moments of doubt about whether I'm responsible for this harm that happened to someone,
we can think more deeply about intentionality, causality, capability, and obligation to help
sort out some of that confusion.
There seems to be a difference between what I'm hearing you or I think I'm hearing you describe,
which is Bobby as an individual thinking about how much responsibility he bears for an outcome
that was suboptimal.
There seems to be a difference between that, what I think is quite a healthy exercise
and how to apportion blame for other people.
Yes.
Which I think you'll also have to do, but it can get nasty pretty quickly.
That's right.
And blame here is a strong word because we can think about blame in lots of different ways, right?
There's very severe blame, which is like, Bobby, you should go to jail for this.
But there's also holding people accountable, which is a softer version of blame.
And even when we're holding people accountable, we're paying attention to things like intention,
causality, obligation, and capacity.
So that model of how we think about responsibility is useful even when we're reflecting on ourselves
and when we're reflecting on others.
So this I think does, correct me if I'm wrong, but this does bring us to your section in the book on rupture and repair.
Can you say a little bit more of what you mean by that?
Because this strikes me as really important in human affairs.
When we're focused on getting the right answer, once we get the right answer, the world is going to be a perfect place.
Once I choose that I'm going to marry the right person or I'm going to raise my kid in this particular way, nothing could possibly.
go wrong after that, right? Except wrong. Anyone who's been in another relationship with a human
being knows that relationships have this pattern, this ebb and flow of rupture and repair. We
disagree about things. I talk a lot about how I would, without question, lay down my life to protect
my family, undeniably. And sometimes they annoy the crap out of me. And I annoy the crap out of them.
That's a human thing. If we think about relationships as having this rupture and repair
ebb and flow, then it helps us say like, wait a second, I did this thing that was annoying,
that happens, how do we focus on repair? Rather than saying, wait a second, you're the wrong person
for me because you did this thing that I didn't like, or I should go find another relationship or
work at another company because this thing happened that I didn't like. It helps level set these
expectations for how we interact with each other. We're not going to like things that everyone says
or does. How do we build the skills to repair even when there's been that rupture?
Yes. It's a key. I think I'm using this word correctly, but it feels like a key heuristic, like a, it's a goggles through which to view your relationships with other people.
Absolutely. There's also, as we enter our final moments here, there's also a section in the book about what you call after action reviews. You've made the decision. And then what? Can you talk a little bit about that?
Yeah. This goes back to what we were talking about earlier, about shortening the cycle between learning and action.
And often when we think like, okay, we're done, we've implemented this new app, we've launched this new product, we've decided to date so-and-so, we're done.
There's no more learning that can happen.
After action reviews, close that loop and say, we just did a thing.
What do we learn from doing that thing that might change how we approach similar decisions in the future?
And so after action reviews popularized by our military, but similar things happen in companies, in hospitals, where we step back and we ask ourselves,
four questions. The first question is, what did I think would happen? What was my expectation
about what would happen? Well, I thought we would launch the app and it would be a raging success.
The second question is, what actually happened? Well, what actually happened was we launched the
app and it was quiet for a couple of weeks and then in week seven, all of a sudden there was like
this giant uptick. That's interesting. The third question is why? Well, maybe we weren't quite
reaching our audience in those first couple of weeks. You start to hypothesis about why
there was this gap between the world you expected and the world you actually encountered.
And then the fourth and final question is, what does this mean for what we do differently next time?
Well, given the fact that there was this lag between what we expected, maybe we need to engage in marketing sooner.
And so at the end of any decision, whether it's a small decision like, oh, okay, we ran this small conference or it's a big decision.
We decided to move into this new product portfolio.
We can step back and ask ourselves these four questions.
What did I expect what happened?
what actually happened, why, and what will we do differently next time, in order to close the
loop between learning and action.
Crucial step in one that I frankly often skip.
So this is a good reminder.
So your core thesis, as I understand it, is many of us react to doubt in suboptimal ways,
but actually it's a rich field of exploration and opportunity if we can get our minds right.
And then once you've got the right attitude about doubt, then there are a bunch of
of other skills to be applied, like how are you working with other people? How are you thinking about
taking responsibility and holding other people accountable and surfing the inevitable ups and downs
of relationships, et cetera, et cetera? Would you say, and none of us knows, like, how AI is going to play
out, but would you say that in an era of an increased artificial intelligence, that this
kind of deeply human intelligence, intrapersonal and interpersonal, is going to become more and more
important?
I certainly hope so. From what I know about AI today, it feels like this is a distinctive
human advantage, this ability to interpret data in multiple, flexible ways, obviously the
communication and connection with human beings in order to bring groups forward in the face of
out, a lot of AI is programmed around a specific way of thinking about data. And if that way
doesn't bear out, you've got to use another AI model, right? And they're not quite good at switching
interpretations. And that's why I think this is so critical. When I work with organizational leaders,
there are lots of decisions. They feel perfectly comfortable using AI to solve. And then there are a
bunch of decisions that are like, I'm not sure. And in those moments, they just kind of ignore whatever
artificial intelligence they're using and then they fall back on these tools and techniques. And so
I'm trying to kind of really highlight and elucidate these uniquely human capacities for interpreting
flexibly, for testing, for iteration in ways that don't get us to the right answer fast,
but get us to a better answer that we're happier with in the long term.
At the end of the interview, I always ask two questions. One is, is there something you were hoping
that we would get to that we haven't? First thing I'd like to highlight is dealing with these moments
of doubt, this is how we build a good life. All of us have had difficult decisions, and in those
moments, sometimes we've shown up exactly how we want to show up and we're proud of those decisions.
And at other times, we've shown up in ways that maybe we're less proud of. But those difficult
moments of doubt, those defining moments are critical to building a good life. And I think the pendulum
also swings in the opposite way, that if we want to be good at making difficult decisions,
we've also got to think about the kind of life that we lead.
And an exercise that I do with lots of my students and executives
is what I call a good life audit.
And what this exercise asks people to do
is to go through these important domains in their life,
their nutrition, their sleep, their relationships,
their exercise, their work,
their meaning and purpose.
And to say, how is this showing up for me day in and day out?
And is this eroding my capacity to make,
make difficult decisions, or is it helping me to do that? Let's say I go through this audit and,
man, I'm just not sleeping well. And it makes it really hard because in the moment, I'm really cranky,
and I'm tired, and I just don't have the bandwidth to sit with all of these different options.
Well, then what can we do about our sleep? What are some things that we can try to help shore up
that foundation so that we have the resources we need in order to make these difficult decisions?
This isn't something that's optional. It's only a question of when.
we're going to face these difficult moments in our life.
And so to build that capacity, it means trying to understand these different facets
and how they set us up for success rather than drain us.
Anything else you were hoping to get to?
I'll just talk about one final study that is really counterintuitive.
I talk to my students about this, and they're pretty surprised.
This study takes place in the context of entrepreneurial incubators and accelerators.
And so these are organizations that have popped up where entrepreneurs get a lot of mentoring,
advice, sometimes they get financial support.
And their goal is to grow these small businesses into something larger.
And there's two models of how these incubators work.
One model is each set of entrepreneurs, each business gets a single mentor.
And they work with that mentor for a couple of weeks and they get a new mentor.
So you might have a mentor that's a genius at marketing or someone who's really good at like supply chains or programming, whatever that might be, depending on your business.
another model is a model where you get like 30 mentors at the same time.
In the space of a very short period of time,
you're talking to 30 people who are telling you radically different things about your business.
This app isn't going to work.
This app is going to be great.
And here's why.
Here's what you should worry about in terms of your logistics or your supply.
And when I ask my students which model they'd like to belong to,
most of them say model one.
Like it's going to feel so great to have a single mentor.
And they're going to tell me what to do.
and it's going to feel awesome.
And then I ask them which model is more successful,
and they're not quite sure.
But what the research shows is that entrepreneurs
who belong to the second model,
where they're getting multiple conflicting perspectives
early in the business,
their businesses last longer
and they raise more money
because they're able to notice patterns quicker.
They're able to say, wait a second,
these two different experts on marketing
are telling me radically different things
about how I should market my product.
Let me go figure that out before I do anything.
And to me,
this study really shows the benefits of doubt that we underestimate. Most of us think it'll be much
better to work under Model 1, where we're getting an expert to guide us and tell us exactly what to do
when it turns out that actually our business is much more likely to be successful and thriving
if we learn how to deal with doubt. Yeah, we want the warm blanket of certainty. We want somebody
to take care of us, but actually we do better when we do the uncomfortable thing of opening our
mind to lots of potential outcomes and roots. Bobby, this has been a pleasure. The final question
that I always ask people is, can you just remind us of the name of your book and anything else
you've put out into the world that we should know about? Absolutely. The book is called Radical
Doubt. It's available in bookstores everywhere. I also produced a documentary film about the purpose
of business called Fishing with Dynamite. Check it out wherever documentaries are available.
And do you have a website? Yes, absolutely. Radicaldoubt.com.
All right. Great job with this, Bobby. Great to meet you. Likewise. Thank you so much. You're so fun to work with. I love, you know, the candor and, you know, just the care. It's very rare to find someone who could do both of those things simultaneously and do them well.
Well, thank you. I appreciate that. I'll take the compliment.
Thanks again to Dr. Bobby Parmar. Go check out his book. Go check out Dan Harris.com. If you want a guided meditation that will help you take everything you just learned and pound it into your neurons. We don't like to be in a state of uncertainty. But this,
meditation for my old friend, Jeff Warren, will help you be okay with uncertainty and let go of
your thoughts. If you want to hear that meditation, it's available for subscribers over on Dan Harris.com.
If you sign up, you get all of the meditations that come with our podcast episodes,
and you get to come to our weekly live meditation and Q&A sessions. We do these every Tuesday at
four. The next one is coming up tomorrow, Tuesday, December 16th. I'm going to host the live
meditation and Q&A session, and I'm going to have some special guests to talk about a very
cool new project we're launching.
Finally, thank you so much to everybody who works so hard on this show.
Our producers are Tara Anderson and Eleanor Vasili.
Our recording and engineering is handled by the great folks over at Pod People.
Lauren Smith is our managing producer.
Marissa Schneiderman is our senior producer.
DJ Kashmir is our executive producer.
And Nick Thorburn of the band Islands wrote our theme.
