TFTC: A Bitcoin Podcast - #377: Is Bitcoin Violence? with Jason Lowery
Episode Date: November 29, 2022Join Marty as he sits down with Jason Lowery to discuss whether or not bitcoin is violence. Follow Jason on Twitter Shoutout to our sponsors: Unchained Capital Braiins HodlHodl Upstream Data CrowdHeal...th TFTC Merch is Available: Shop Now Join the TFTC Movement: Main YT Channel Clips YT Channel Website Twitter Instagram Follow Marty Bent: Twitter Newsletter Podcast
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what's up freaks it's your boy marty here to introduce this rip of tftc
i sat down with jason lowry to talk about is bitcoin violence is it a weapon
what is bitcoin is it money will it be used for other things how should we frame it to
the government what amendments are applicable to it what does it do to the government
covered it all long conversation three and a half hours if you're listening via podcasting 2.0
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OK. You've had a dynamic where money's become freer than free.
When you talk about a Fed just gone nuts, all the central banks going nuts.
So it's all acting like safe haven.
I believe that in a world where central bankers are tripping over themselves to devalue their currency, Bitcoin wins.
In the world of fiat currencies, Bitcoin is the victor.
I mean, that's part of the bull case for Bitcoin.
If you're not paying attention, you probably should be.
And we're live. Jason Lowery, welcome to the show.
Thank you, Marty. Glad to be here.
Long time coming.
a lot of uh yes there's a lot of i wanted to apologize that it's taken so long but i'm glad
that we're here it's all good better late than never a lot of chatter on twitter about this
discussion i've been trying to think of how to frame it i think the easiest way is just
to begin with the simple question is bitcoin violence so i stopped using that word over a
year ago because I don't think it's a productive word and I actually changed how I talked about it
so anytime someone brings that up they're they're talking about something I haven't said for over a
year but I'm happy to talk about why I said that yeah what I guess why did you say why is it not
violence or why is violence not a productive word yeah so so i'm the military dude and the way that
the military especially the u.s military uses that word is more so associated with
how the french used that word back during the early days of the united states so when the
when the French military was kind of the dominant global military.
And back in those days, violence was essentially a word that meant to bring force at something.
So it's a combination of wies from Latin and pharaoh.
So you combine those together, it's to bring force at something.
And so really, when it comes to the military usage of that term,
What it essentially means is to bring force at something for the sake of imposing a physical cost.
So the whole thing with national security or any type of military campaign is that the way that you achieve security is by imposing physical constraints or an easy way to think about it is every single animal or person or nation or group of people or whatever you want to try to defend has a benefit to cost ratio of attack where they have some benefit to attacking and some cost of attacking.
And so the purpose of violence in this theology is to increase that denominator.
You want to increase the physical cost of attacking you so that you can drop your benefit to cost ratio.
And so that's kind of how the U.S. uses the term and how we think about it.
it's it's not really uh it's not how the public thinks about it and especially how the
english uses it because in the english terms of violence it means basically to cause harm
so like it's like a catch-all word for like all things bad is violence like every bad thing you
can think of is bad whereas in the military term it's to project power to impose a physical cost
in order to lower your benefit to cost ratio of attack it's not explicitly to cause harm or to
cause injury that is the side effect of imposing physical costs does that make sense yep yeah
so so so being the military guy who has almost no experience talking to the public
i made the genius uh assertion on my first day on twitter
that thinking, okay, well, the whole point of Bitcoin is to impose a physical cost to secure
your access to a piece of property by lowering the benefit to cost ratio attacking you, right?
You can't achieve centralized control authority over the ledger because it is too physically
costly to do so. So all these miners are imposing a real world physical cost measurable in watts
to make it impossible to justify the physical cost of attacking you.
And so to me, in my limited, smooth-brained military mind,
that to me looks like a digital form of violence.
So I said Bitcoin is digital violence.
It's taking the same physical power projection game
of imposing physical costs on people for the sake of defending yourself
by lowering your benefit-to-cost ratio of attack physically,
but it's doing that in a digitized form so i said digital violence and that was a trigger word and
that took off and i still have yet to actually match the number of impressions that tweet has
made so most people only think about me for that tweet and how
so you got past uh you brought your military perspective to bitcoin
saw hash rate and the cost that an immense amount of hash rate
could potentially be thrust on a potential attacker
at the mining layer as violence.
The side of that word wasn't apt for this particular asset.
So what is your, I think a lot of what people are worried about with the particular framing that you've been putting forth recently is trying to pigeonhole Bitcoin into a weapons grade cybersecurity tool that should be thrust into the second amendment.
or their production should be thrust on the network
via the Second Amendment wiseness.
Yeah, that's the idea.
And I know that gets a lot of flack,
but I think it's a logical approach.
And I don't think it's as radical as it sounds.
I also think it's a technically accurate approach.
And I'm happy to talk through that too, if you'd like.
Yeah, let's talk through it.
Okay, so I guess I think a useful starting point here is to think about the history of, actually, we could go back.
I was going to start in cryptography, but let's go back further.
Let's go back before anyone had discovered electricity.
so actually let's go back 10 000 years to the emergence of physical power projection and power
dynamics in agrarian society so generally speaking if you want to just give like a
general description of warfare what kind of seems to happen is that people don't want to use
physical power as the basis through which they settle disputes or determine control authority
over resources or establish consensus or achieve consensus on the quote-unquote legitimate state
of ownership and chain of custody of property. People do not want to use physical power as the
basis for doing that for obvious reasons. It costs a lot of energy, but it also harms people. It causes
injury directly. So agrarian society in their capacity and people's capacities for abstract
thinking try to come up with alternatives to using physical power as the basis for settling
disputes. And that's what gives rise to abstract power hierarchies or governments or any form of
like adjudication mechanism where some guy with imaginary power gets to decide who how the dispute
goes and so that's kind of the basis for most most governments is just this idea that we can
figure out a way to do all these things to manage our resources to establish a pecking order to
solve disputes in some quote-unquote non i won't say violent anymore but non-physical power projection
way okay so there's merit to that if you have a trustworthy government especially
then that can work the problem is governments are demonstrably untrustworthy anytime an abstract
power hierarchy is formed it becomes systemically vulnerable to exploitation and abuse people abuse
their abstract power. Abstract power has a lot of just general disadvantages compared to
using physical power. The big ones being it's trust-based, so you have to trust the person
with abstract power not to abuse it against you. It's rank-based, so it's inegalitarian,
not everyone has access to it. It's permission-based. It has a bunch of flaws that
make it systemically exploitable and at the end of the day it's fundamentally a belief system there
is really no such thing at least in physical reality as the government you can't touch the
government it's a belief system people are just agreeing in this higher power and going along with
it okay so if agrarian societies start to do that then that's cool that if the government's
trustworthy, that's cool, but they break down. So you have to get back to the benefit to cost
ratio of attack problem. The more successful an abstract power hierarchy is, the more
resources that those people with abstract power can control, there's a more benefit to gaining
that control or exploiting that control. So there's a benefit to attack. And the less a
population is willing to resist against that, the cost of attacking them is dropping. And so now
the benefit to cost ratio of attacking or systemically exploiting a population at a large
scale through their belief system is actually increased. The benefit to cost ratio of attacking
them increases as they adopt these abstract power harkies, if they do nothing to keep their
government accountable and so that's bad because you're inviting systemic exploitation alternatively
another thing that could happen is people become essentially um pacifist they they they get so
comfortable in their well-functioning government that they forget that there's a lot of governments
that there's genghis khan and hannibal and napoleon outside you know neighboring them
And if they do nothing to physically defend their abstract power hierarchy or whatever resources they control, they make themselves vulnerable to invasion.
So either way, if you forfeit your capacity and inclination to project physical power, you're going to either be systemically exploited at a massive scale through your belief systems, or you're going to be invaded.
And so we have 10,000 years of empirical records to show that, and then 5,000 years of written testimony to say that.
That's just kind of how it works.
And then this is a recurring problem.
People adopt these abstract power hierarchies.
They eventually get their benefit to cost ratio eventually climbs.
They start to get exploited.
They have a revolution or a civil war, or they get invaded.
War breaks out.
People become inclined to project physical power. They're inclined to accept the downsides of the energy required or the injury risks that you do. And then that cycle just repeats itself over and over and over again.
So there's this like unfortunate complex emergent property where ironically in agrarian societies attempt to adopt systems that don't use physical power as the basis to settle disputes and establish resource control authority and achieve consensus on the legitimate state of ownership and chain of custody of property.
in their efforts to not use physical power as the basis for doing that.
They adopt imaginary power hierarchies.
They adopt belief systems which are systemically exploitable.
And then that breaks out eventually in yet another war.
And that just keeps on compounding and compounding over time
until we get to where we are today.
Well, as that process has been going on for thousands of years,
humans have been doing their thing that they do best.
and making increasingly clever and efficient ways to project physical power.
So if you look at all the weapons of war over the past 10,000 years,
you can see that what a trend and what humans are effectively doing
is getting more and more efficient at projecting physical power.
Large quantities of physical power and watts can be projected on people.
In this case, it's kinetic power, so it's force against mass.
and they can do it for less size, weight, and energy requirements
and money requirements.
So they're getting more efficient at projecting power.
So ironically, agrarian society has become so efficient
at playing the kinetic power projection game
that they got to the point where they have nuclear weapons
and they risk mutual annihilation.
So like we're now at an existential threat
where it's like we can't actually use our most efficient power projection technologies
because iconoclastically, it's inefficient.
It's too efficient to be useful because if we went on a peer-to-peer strategic level
warfare with nuclear weapons, that would not be winnable.
It would be too costly in terms of lives lost.
So it may be efficient in terms of how many watts you can project for how cheap, but it's
actually inefficient and how many lives lost. Okay. So that's a problem because if agrarian
society must continue to effectively revert back to these physical power projection games to kind
of resettle their disputes and reestablish consensus on the legitimate state of ownership
and chain of custody of the resources, then that could be a problem. And one thing I wanted to note
about that is if you zoom out and you look at humans from like an alien point of view and you
look down at all the resources what you'll notice is that it is precisely because of this global
scale physical power projection competition that has been waged for the last 10 000 years
that control authority over earth's resources is decentralized so the the complex emergent
social benefit of warfare is the decentralization of control authority over resources.
We have 195 different countries with 195 neatly defined and well defended borders.
And so the abstract power, the imaginary power of these people that are in charge of these
governments cannot expand precisely because they're physically constrained from expanding.
anytime someone tries to effectively 51% attack the Earth's global resources, if they want to
pull a Genghis Khan or pull a Hitler and try to project a whole bunch of physical power to try to
physically capture resources, they get constrained. It's really hard to sustain that. Everyone kind
of unites against them and make sure they can't 51% attack the resources. And so that's noteworthy
Because what we're showing here is there are implications of warfare as effectively a proof-of-war protocol.
It is a way for people to engage in a global-scale physical power competition to achieve decentralized control authority over our physical resources.
And up until the invention of computers and electricity and stuff, that was purely kinetic.
So it was purely forces against masses.
but it was still a power projection game and i think so that's just worth noting now
what i'm describing is what tesla described in in 1900 he you know had that essay the problem
with increasing human energy or something like to that effect and he and he basically said we're
getting too efficient at um at doing this power projection game that the end state of this is
people are going to have to basically take humans out of the loop and let machines engage in energy
competitions with each other because if you go if you continue to go down the kinetic route
he says that's just going to be too destructive so he was a since he was kind it sounds like he
was predicting mutually assured destruction 40 years before the invention of of nuclear weapons
and he was actually inventing this before both world wars before airplanes before aerial
bombardment and a lot of the a lot of the nastiness that played out right after he made
those predictions but the bottom line is he predicted that eventually humans would become
so destructive with their physical power projection technologies that they would have to
turn to this like machine-like apparatus where these machines compete against each other
using some energy competition and like the way the wind the energy competition is
one way to do it is to become more efficient. So I say all that because that makes sense
from kind of just a big picture head in the cloud level. And we see it play out at the
nuclear strategic level. Now, some will say, well, we're not actually strategically stalemated
at a global level because there's other ways that you can project physical power and you see
it all over the news, right? You still see people using kinetic power and engaging in
competitions with each other. The issue with that is we actually don't know if that can solve a
strategic level policy dispute because it's only been asymmetric. There's never been two nuclear
powers to go up, go head to head with each other. So we don't actually know if we could use these
deliberately inefficient ways of projecting kinetic power to solve a dispute. And it's worth
noting that. Governments are deliberately choosing an inefficient way to project kinetic power to
engage in this competition because they know the nuclear one, the most efficient one, is ironically
too expensive to use. And so, okay, but if you pull that thread, let's say two nuclear powers
go to war against each other they choose inefficient power projection technology so
non-nuclear warfare as the mechanism and they use just traditional munitions
if you assume that they could actually solve that dispute without escalation to the nuclear level
which i personally don't think but who knows then the problem with that approach is what you're
going to do is agrarian society is going to continue coming up with increasingly clever
ways to project kinetic power efficiently at each other. So what that means is they're just
going to discover another way to mutually assure destruction. So right now, the only way that we
can mutually assure destruction is through nuclear weapons. But if we continue this non-nuclear
kinetic power projection game, we're already seeing that trend. It's becoming humans out of
loop it's becoming drones fighting drones it's becoming swarms of drones fighting drones and
maybe in the future it could be something like ai powered drone swarms just like terminite
terminator style skynet style mass drone warfare and so so the point is just because we
have temporarily found a way to engage in physical power competitions to attempt to
settle disputes doesn't mean that that mechanism can't also meet the same end that nuclear warfare
has which is effectively a stalemate we it's we've we just like we would will probably go extinct if
we tried to do a full-scale strategic nuclear war okay so why do i say that well because um
And fortunately, if you go back to Einstein, he says, well, matter is swappable with energy.
Okay, so instead of projecting power by displacing a piece of matter across a distance, you can project power by passing a charge across a resistor.
So you can produce watts electronically and it's physical power.
So you can do this in a permissionless way. You can do this in an egalitarian way. People can access their watts all across the world. And so then the idea is, well, what if agrarian society learned how to engage in a global physical power competition electronically rather than kinetically?
so you would still get the benefits of using physical power as the basis to settle disputes and
achieve consensus on the legitimate state of ownership and chain of custody of property and
determine control authority over resources but you would do it in a way that could actually be won
so you could actually win a physical power competition instead of just stalemating it
there would be a clear winner there would be clear losers and and so for that reason it's actually
useful um and so that's interesting okay so then we then you have to start thinking right
in the future if we ever did need to get into some massive level strategic war fight
um is it reasonable to expect it to be a kinetic fight if we know that's already stalemated
or is it reasonable to expect it to be a non-kinetic power projection competition,
global scale war? And then back to my earliest point, if nuclear superpowers are stalemated
against each other, then that doubles as a stalemate between the ruling class of those
superpowers and the ruled class. So you've created a massive asymmetry between the nuclear
the nuclear-powered ruling class and the non-nuclear-powered ruled class.
And so just like it has been for the last 10,000 years,
it is very possible that it's very logical to believe that a stalemate at this level
represents a major systemic security hazard of oppression,
Not nations fighting against each other, but nations oppressing their own classes because their own classes, their own populace has no real realistic way to stand up to a nuclear powered state.
and so add all these things together maybe the future war wouldn't be maybe it's not reasonable
to believe that the future war would be a kinetic war because that's a war that
is increasingly less likely to be winnable maybe it's not likely that the future global war would
be a war between states maybe it would be a war between the ruled class and the ruling class
and it's very plausible to believe that it would be an electronic war or something using
a non-kinetic form of power and so you add those together and it's like okay well what would that
look like if how would that work what would it look like and so that's kind of where you start
getting towards bitcoin but i'll stop there if you have any questions thanks for letting me talk so
long no um yeah i guess the big question is in terms of like the history of warfare and these
hierarchies that have been erected that's that's why i've been drawn to bitcoin and why i like
bitcoin it allows us to get away from these uh these hierarchical structures that are thrust on
to people throughout the world and just allows us to opt out and use this peer-to-peer digital
cash system to cooperate maybe yes compete on the open market to provide goods and services but
having a a global sound monetary standard which will allow us to coordinate and settle
that competition via the free market?
Yeah, so let's say we're 20 or 30 years
after the invention of nuclear weapons,
so the invention of kinetic power projection technology
that's effectively too efficient to use.
And we have created, if we just assume for the sake of argument,
that we have created a hazardous situation
where governments are asymmetrically powerful
against their own people, then situations like, or technologies like cryptography
represent a way for people to secure themselves against systemic exploitation
and abuse from their own governments. And I think that was the original argument with
all the crypto wars and the drama with uh zimmerman and and and pgp and all that stuff
is if you look back and just kind of read about that stuff the core argument the kind of overarching
like ethos of that of that time period was this is a type of technology that we can use to secure
ourselves against systemic exploitation so in this case specifically mass surveillance
against our own asymmetrically overpowered government and zimmerman it seemed like people
like him and the and the cypherpunks were really trying to empower the public to have this access
to this technology and so it it it has very second amendment like undertones to it right it's not the
first one right yes well yes so my argument it's both but my main argument is first amendment's
weak second amendment's strong so but if we go back to that before the whole first amendment
thing popped up, really, it's like, okay, people, here is a, what the government defines as military
grade munitions that people can have access to, that people want to have access to, so they can
secure themselves against systemic exploitation and abuse from their own government. And the
problem was the government was trying to prohibit them from doing that. That's what made people so
angry. It's, hey, if there is some non-lethal way that I can secure myself against the asymmetric
power of you, then I deserve to have access to that. Why should I not have access to that? And
why would you stop me? And that was one of the main big undertones of that movement. And I know
that the angle that Zimmerman took, and especially the public took to support him, was to make the
argument that hey rsa encryption is is is code code is speech people have the right to free speech
this is unconstitutional and i know that like mit press printed out rsa code on like there and then
like exported it just to like out of solidarity and the people would wear their shirts too
but while the although the public was really pushing the first amendment argument i think
that the Second Amendment argument was also a strong argument that could have been taken.
And as that case was going forward, and as the Zimmerman's legal defense was kind of starting
to pressure the government on that, they backed off real fast. So it's important to point out
that it was, although they tried to play the, hey, you're violating the Export Control Act by
exporting this, what we define as munitions, as soon as the public started pushing back on them,
they backed off real fast. That case was never settled. And then follow-on cases, because of
the popularity of the First Amendment argument, follow-on cases were pretty able to set the
formal precedent that speech represents code people have a right to free speech etc etc but then
but you know for sure we know for sure that it wasn't just a first amendment argument because
of the clipper chip debacle so when after the zimmerman case nsa was like okay fine
you can have your encryption you can have your free speech use our clipper chip but that was
encryption technology that had a backdoor to it. It allowed the NSA to bypass the keys and
look at everyone's messages, encrypted messages. And so policymakers tried to argue, it's like,
hey, you can have your free speech and you can have your encryption, just use this encryption.
And the public raised hell, gave them a big middle finger. Why? Because the point
is not just free speech, it is the right to be secure against exploitation of my own government.
So clipper chip still gives the government the means to mass surveil me or to exploit me another way. So it's like clearly not just a First Amendment like angle, because if it were, then people wouldn't have been so upset about the clipper chip.
And then fast forward three years, finally, we get to Executive Order 13046 or whatever it was, 1996, when Bill Clinton essentially changed the rules.
And how the rules work is not necessarily that cryptography is no longer considered munitions.
How it works is the secret squirrels do the, they develop the encryption technology and then essentially the president decides which of that technology to release to the public.
So it's like when military-grade encryption starts, when that baby is born, it begins as a munition, and then by some internal legal process, it's popped over to the Department of Commerce or something, and then it's published.
And it is precisely because of that victory, because we were able to convince the government to allow the public to have this security technology, which they define as weapon-grade munition, to allow the public to have access to this security technology explicitly for the case of defending the public against systemic exploitation and abuse from their own government, that we have SHA-256, that SHA-2 was published by the NSA in 2001.
So this battle that was fought is the precursor to the core enabling technology of Bitcoin.
And Bitcoin relies exclusively on SHA-2, 56 right now, which was by the own government's admission, munitions that the public ought to have.
Okay, I'll stop there. Any questions so far?
no question it's a couple comments going back to second amendment stronger than the first
amendment i would disagree with that and then on you know sort of building on what you just said
uh i think this proves it like the like yes we can we can agree that encryption was defined as
weapons-grade munitions by the government, but I think why they had to allow Zimmerman and company
succeed in getting PGP into the hands of the public is because at the end of the day, code
is free speech. It is simply text. And there's a more recent precedent that doesn't involve
cryptography at all that really drives this point home, and that's defense distributed,
it which won a massive case uh and basically got their files that allow people to print
to 3d print actual physical munitions that can harm people in the real world they got that
defined as speech and so that's the first amendment is the base layer they have to
allow these technologies because at the end of the day they are software they are code they are text
their speech yeah so we have to so my argument is not that the first amendment is we that we
should continue that we should not continue to use the first amendment i think that's still a good
angle, I don't, I think there are a lot of ways that the government could and has used like public
health emergencies or some, you know, it's important for the public safety measures to
prohibit this type of free speech. And so my concern is that if you look at like the ESG
movement that is greasing the skids to make it politically feasible to say bitcoin is bad for
the environment and therefore it's basically greasing the skids to do another clipper chip
where you can try to convince the public all right you can have your cryptocurrency
but just not bitcoin because bitcoin's bad for the environment there's a public safety concern
there that's usually the public safety angle is usually the justification for why speech is
prohibited like what constraints can be applied to free speech and so that's concerning because
you can see them clearly starting to try to grease those skids there's clearly like this
campaign to market bitcoin as quote-unquote a public health hazard because it's causing you
it's boiling the oceans or whatever and and so that's just worth considering now another i would
argue there esgs we're going to destroy esg esg is killing itself we actually don't even need to
destroy it we're finding out in real time that the policies that have been enacted due to esg or
like-minded ideas seeping into the public policy sphere have made life materially worse off for the
people who have been subjected to those policies obviously what's going on in europe with their
energy crisis here in the united states and california with their energy crisis with the e
it's becoming very obvious that these policies do not work and do not benefit humans and humanity
overall and then you get to the s and the g and sam bankman freed had a higher s score in the esg
than than exxon ceo ceo and it's proving that it's all larp and then you get into like the woke
boardrooms and stuff like that and and people yes they can grease these wheels they can try but
economic reality and social reality is beginning to really rear its head and prove that this stuff
does not benefit humans at the end of the day yeah so um and especially like in texas
i think there's a herculean effort that's working on helping people see the clear
benefits to the grid and the optimization of of bitcoin and i've um i think i've been able to
help uh policy makers see that in a different way too um that's definitely
that's definitely a good angle okay um there's
there's another issue too which is the crypto attack so
So I think that with the CBDCs and with like proof-of-stake systems and all this other crap, that that attack vector is effectively a reemergence of the Clipper chip idea where it's like, okay, convince the public that they can have this cryptographic technology so long as it's the one that we have the backdoor access to.
So that's really what CBDCs and proof of stake represent is here's a, you know, decentralized and here's a dino system that we really do have unimpeachable control authority over, despite how much we put people to, yeah, to LARP about it, right?
Like POS is a POS, but people don't see that.
And the long con is to say, well, it's got crypto in it, so it's got the same security as crypto, as like Bitcoin, so you should value that.
But what they're missing is the importance of not just cryptography, but the importance of digital power, of giving people the means to impose large sums of physical power against each other in, from, through cyberspace for the sake of making it too physically prohibitive to systemically exploit the protocol.
so so like proof of so for example bitcoin um i my new favorite saying now is to say that bitcoin
is proof of proof of work working and so if you want to make people understand like the value of
bitcoin as a security technology they have to understand the value of proof of work which means
They have to understand power dynamics and the benefit to cost ratio of attack situations and how enabling a global society to engage in a global scale physical power competition creates the complex emergent benefit of decentralizing control authority over the underlying resource.
So when you explain warfare, you're explaining proof of work.
and when um but just in a and traditionally it's kinetic but now it could be it might be becoming
electric okay so let's say for the sake of argument like i understand that the concern
is this could give um politicians an attack vector on bitcoin to say and to reattempt the
same attack right say this is munitions and try to ban people from it is do i have that right is
that the main concern that you have yeah i mean certainly if the government especially considering
again going back to like i don't believe the second amendment is as strong as the first
amendment particularly right now in 2022 america uh if you somehow get bitcoin deemed as military
grade munitions it seems that the administration that's in place and many that have come before it
are hell-bent on taking away guns particular types of guns right now and if that erosion
around the security of the second amendment continues moving forward it's easy to see
first they take your ar-15s and then they take away your ability to to hold bitcoin to mine
Bitcoin to run a full node to validate Bitcoin, which gets back to another topic that we really
have to touch on is what provides security to the Bitcoin network. Because I think that's one of the
assumptions that you've been running with that I would disagree with is that hash power creates
security for the network when it's really the individuals running the consensus rules on their
own full nodes to have the power at the end of the day yeah i know there's the ongoing um
there's the block size wars and that debate
i don't think we can i don't think we can know yet for sure um i i think it's probably like a
checks and balance thing i think it's probably a combination of both um the the only way we
really gonna we would really know is if if bitcoin got 51 attacked would the nodes be able to
invalidate block out of it i mean the nuclear option is to to fork and change the
consensus algorithm move away from shaw yeah so like adopt a different like uh yeah adopt
the different cryptographic so that's true but that wouldn't necessarily stop the the vulnerability
you would just have a new chain with the same vulnerability like you could the the same type
of attack could repeat itself if you fork yeah and then does that make sense it does um certainly
and that's why it's a nuclear option you don't want to do it obviously this topic came up
a lot in the summer 2017 leading up to the failure of segwit 2x which had 90 of hash rate signaling
for it um but then you get into like the whole what is mine again mining is a business right
like individuals take capital risk to i need money to get these assets to and then find cheap
energy to plug them in and hopefully make a profit margin not only is it a business it's
an extremely ruthless one and i do think we have analogs from history that prove that
it's probably not wise for governments to embark on these types of endeavors because it's it's
very well suited for the uh the private sector and entrepreneurs as opposed to a monolithic
government and then i want to talk about that too but let's wait because this because that's a
separate train of thought yes but we have analogs in terms of a nation or a group of people having
control of the production of a commodity similar to bitcoin gold uh that really don't have any
control over the gold markets or don't have a lot of gold at all so like in the ninth or
20th century switzerland amassed a a large trove of gold they have a ton of gold they've never
produced gold in their life whereas uganda has produced and throughout the 20th century produced
immense amounts of gold but doesn't hold any so they they had the power of the production but
they were no better off uh at the end of the day because they didn't actually hold the asset
smarter countries like switzerland just realized that gold at the time was the
best monetary asset that existed on the planet and accumulated it and they didn't need to do
gold mining to to accumulate that type of wealth or that type of power that that wealth
eventually gave them and the ability for them to become one of the wealthiest nations on the planet
yeah and i think um i think the way that i differ a lot from so i i tell people on twitter that i'm
not i don't consider myself a bitcoin maxi i consider myself a proof of work maxi because i
try to to stay true to the idea of bitcoin being a reusable proof of work system and that there
could be other use cases for reusable proofs of work beyond specifically serving as a fantastically
secure base layer monetary system that would be very secure against systemic exploitation and
abuse of people who control computers. And so that kind of is like, I take a different approach
to thinking about that kind of stuff
than I think a lot of people do.
Yeah, I mean, I wouldn't argue
that there aren't other use cases for proof.
I mean, the original use case of proof of work
was email spam protection.
Adam Beck did not have a difficulty adjustment,
so it turned out not to be as useful
as it was when it originally launched.
But again, I think that that's tangential to Bitcoin.
I think Bitcoin leverages proof of work, certainly.
But again, it brings back to the real value of Bitcoin
and why I'm a quote-unquote Bitcoin maxi
is because I am a monetary maxi as well.
I believe that humans, once they come into contact
with a really good money,
are going to choose to use that money
over others. And that's basically the ball that Satoshi started rolling in January of 2009.
And I see that free market money as being a way to opt out of the bloated federal government
system that exists all throughout the world and will allow individuals like you and me
to coordinate, to accumulate wealth,
to coordinate economic activity
and reinvest in the economy.
I don't see the need for nation states
to spin up hash forces and do all this.
The free market economy has already done
an incredible job of building out
the infrastructure of the Bitcoin network,
whether it be full nodes, full node software,
full node devices, whether it be mining ASICs,
energy contracts, energy infrastructure.
The free market has taken care of that pretty miraculously
and pretty incredibly in the first 14 years that the network has existed.
So I can give you an alternative perspective if you're interested.
Let's do it.
As nuclear weapons were being designed,
so too were the first operationally proven general purpose state machines aka modern day computers
in fact the first operational general purpose state machine the first programs that it was
running when it was uh it was at harvard it's the harvard mach one mark one among the first
programs that it was running was the design for the detonation device for the for the manhattan
project so von neumann was coming here in into cambridge to replug the the transistors or the
the plug boards of this computer in order to have it run the program to design the bombs or to see
what's the best like implosion mechanism anyways the point is um as humans were kind of starting to
get to the point where they're projecting kinetic power to the point where it's too
devastating. They're also starting to create the very beginnings of what would become the
now virtual reality we know as cyberspace. And really what computers represent is a belief
system. We choose to assign symbolic meanings to state changes in a state machine. And we choose
to abstract that at higher and higher levels. We started with machine code where we're just
using Boolean logic to convert state changes to information, ones and zeros. And then that
scaled up to assembly language and that scaled up to general purpose language. And now we don't
even talk about software as if it's a general purpose language anymore. We talk about software
at such an abstract level that we call it things like coins or thumbnails or clouds is it a belief
system or is it i mean it's object like you put in inputs and you get objective outputs
is that belief or is that isn't yeah isn't it weird so so this gets to like the core
mind-blowing pieces of like computer science which is the machines are obviously real the machines in
front of us and the state changes that that we can see in front of us in this in this array of
light emitting diets that we're using to talk to each other and the like that's obviously something
real and shared objective physical reality but the way that is being presented to you
is that humans effectively invented a symbolic language a syntactically and symbolically
complex language called machine code and learn to apply that symbolic meaning to...
I wish I had a... I usually have like a prop for this. Oh, here we go. So, here's a...
You see this? Yep.
So, this is a state mechanism, right? It's got two states,
on and off okay this is a state mechanism the state space is two states so what humans decided
to do is they decided to call that state one and that state zero so they digitized a state change
in a state mechanism so the the state thing that this is real right this is clearly a state and
this is clearly not a state. But this is not one, this is not zero, we are applying that meaning
to the state change. If that makes sense, it's a symbolic, we're using our prefrontal cortexes to
imply symbolic meaning to a state change. And we're choosing to decide, but we're volunteering
to decide to call that one and call that zero. And that's machine code in a nutshell. It's just
mind-bendingly miraculous thing where we can assign symbolic meaning to state changes in a
state machine. And then with general purpose stored program computers that von Neumann and
the people invented in the 40s, what they figured out how to do was store information. So store
state changes as information within machines and then have those machines recursively run
operations on their own instructions so when a computer programmer is like programming a computer
they're essentially just converting state changes into information and having the computer
they're basically created a way for humans to speak to machines and then for machines
to then take that information and then speak back to humans and so you're having a computer speak
uh, their machine code, but then translate it back to the symbolic language that you can
understand or in some way that you can understand. So what you see in front of you is what has been
programmed to look like what you normally see in front of you. But really all you're doing is just
looking at a light emitting, uh, an array of light emitting diodes. It's like, you don't know for
sure that i'm real if that makes sense you just know based off of where we are in technology and
and how how kind of like your own kind of experiential knowledge that even though
all you are doing is looking at a computer screen right now i'm probably real
i know it's trippy it's computer science is pretty miraculous are you an ai
hologram just to be determined i know and so you haven't seen me around right
like not we have not met in person yeah so i could be and even if we had how could i know
this isn't a deep fake that's true but how does this pertain to bitcoin and its nature yeah so
so um
we have two parallel paths that are developing people can no longer
um use kinetic power but at the same time people are learning ways to apply symbolic
meaning to state changes and they're becoming increasingly more important or better faster
cheaper computers and better you know lower size weight power requirements more efficient computing
requirements um people have figured out how to apply symbolic meaning to all sorts of physical
state changes in in the world around us anything that can change its physical state can be a
computer or can send digital information that's why we have things like wireless internet because
what the computer does is they change state changes in electromagnetic waves they apply
symbolic meaning to those to this phase and frequency and amplitude and stuff like that
and so you can digitize state changes in the environment to send information wirelessly from
one computer to the other. So the point is you can change any physical phenomenon into information.
Okay. Well, we, at this point, we're getting so good with that. Like we have photonic computers
now where we're sending laser, like we're transmitting information through laser light.
So you can change all the same stuff with normally with electromagnetic radiation.
And it's becoming super efficient. You can send a lot of data, like the fastest computer chip right
now can send the entire internet's worth of data within like three seconds okay what has been
unspoken this unspoken engineering assumption that people have been tacitly making that people
have not been admitting to is that they are believing that more efficient computing is better
they believe that it is virtuous to build state changing mechanisms where the the transistor
states are cheaper and cheaper and cheaper to change require less and less energy are smaller
and smaller and smaller and that's what's driving like the performance of ai and stuff it's just so
cheap so small that you can have your nvidia 380 3080 and run like ray tracing on call of duty and
stuff like that okay well what people aren't asking is what if you did the opposite what if
you tried to create a computer that has very difficult to change states like it takes a lot
of power to change state um what would be the advantages of that and so this is where it comes
back down to bitcoin because i think a lot of the reason why people i think a lot of the reason why
i have a very different perspective of bitcoin than most people is because i do not look at
Bitcoin as an innovation in software. I look at Bitcoin as an innovation in the base layer of the
tech stack. It is a fundamentally different base layer state changing mechanism to where today
we're not just using what we know as our regular computers. We're not just using floating gate
transistors as the state changing mechanism through which we use our software, our program
stuff. I think what proof of work does at the fundamental level is change quantities of
electric power and use quantities of electric power as the state changing mechanism of the
computer. So that's just a complicated computer science engineer nerd way of saying that we're
effectively turning the global scale electric power grid into the base layer computer. We're
turning the world the entire global scale electric power grid into a base layer state mechanism and
then plugging it into the internet and then the question that's like the mind-blowing that's like
kind of like the big thing about my thesis is if that's true then it's like holy crap that's pretty
mind-blowing what would the benefits of that be and the benefits of that would be is you have a
computer that is globally decentralized, like the computer, the global electronic grid is the
motherboard. That is the thing that's storing the information. And the physical change, the state
changing mechanism is quantities of physical power, not transistor state changes like on our
computer chips and here, but quantities of physical power and electric grid is what we're
applying boolean logic to so we're converting quantities of physical power into bits and then
we're sending those bits back into cyberspace so to me i see bitcoin as bit power we're converting
power itself quantities of physical power drawn from the globally decentralized electric power
grid into bits into information that can then be transferred through the through cyberspace i'll
up there yeah again i would push back again i think the misconception is that like the mining
controls the network where it's the full nodes where in that scenario just laid out like if you
think of like a world computer and you're pulling hash rate off so you're using less electricity one
would think if it is the mining industry is the the motherboard the base load that it's being
deprecate it but that's why the difficulty adjust and really the motherboard the base
layer of the global computer if we're going to use that analogy
is the distributed ledger and its history as secured by full nodes yeah so um
maybe we should go back so it's a data file it's not really the electricity or the grid
So let's go back to Finney. Finney makes reusable proofs of work converting, if we just assume I'm right for a second, just for the sake of argument, converting quantities of electric power into information that you can choose to call these bits of information.
you can choose to abstract them as coins, or in his case, reusable proofs.
A challenge with Finney's efforts was that it still essentially relied on
pretty much a trusted server, like a centralized server.
And so one of the big changes between Finney's approach and Satoshi's approach was, okay,
take reusable proofs of work this whole idea but you don't want to have to rely on a centralized
server to manage that because then you have to trust in that server and that's not a very
trust is not a very good security protocol right you could easily be exploited by that
um and so he he his approach of course obviously was to use a distributed network but of course
and so there's your notes the problem of course with using distributed networks is you run into
the byzantine generals problem right where how do you get all these globally distributed nodes to
achieve consensus on the legitimate state of ownership and chain of custody of the reusable
proofs of work so like yeah you can have um i think you're right that distributed nodes are
a linchpin and a core part of the technology and definitely a core part of decentralization
But it's also true that it's not just the decentralization of nodes. It's decentralization of control authority over the ledger, i.e. the quote-unquote legitimate state of ownership and chain of custody of the reusable proofs of work.
so that's just a long way of saying is to solve the byzantine general's problem
it looks to me my argument is it looks to me that satoshi effectively invented
soft war a soft form of global scale physical power projection where people can compete for
control authority over the ledger the right to add transactions to the block right
um but because that's a it doesn't give them control over the ledger though
so if you have the ability to add transactions to the ledger then you have the ability to withhold
transactions from the ledger so that's a tacit denial service vulnerability right like that's
the problem with proof of stake one of the main problems with proof of stake is these validators
can and are censoring the blockchain by withholding non-compliant transactions, right?
Yeah, and this is where mining, the mining industry specifically,
mining as a mechanism being a ruthlessly competitive business comes in
because miners can only enforce—enforce isn't the right word—
they can only try to subject that type of control over the ledger
until it's economically unviable.
The miners are slaves to the full node consensus.
They are economically incentivized to play within the consensus rules
set forth by the full nodes and then if you do have one miner in one part of the world who is
withholding transactions or a number of miners working in a cabal to withhold transactions the
beauty of the economic system that satoshi designed and launched is that users have the
ability to attach transaction fees and at some points the fee will be high enough where
a miner who is running a good business and is profit driven will will include that transaction
or many censored transactions in a block so they're sort of beholden to the will of of the
full node operators and individuals sending transactions they are slaves to these actors
in the economic system with multiple stakeholders.
So consider what would happen if,
well, before we go there,
I agree that there's obviously that dynamic.
That dynamic's obviously true
because we saw it with the block size wars.
What we haven't seen,
like what we didn't see during that is,
I guess there's a lot of different ways
that could have gone down.
So let's say, yes, totally, the nodes could invalidate blocks
or refuse to pay their defenders, right?
Refuse to pay their miners.
Like, we haven't, they weren't,
that theoretically could have made them super vulnerable
to a 51% attack as they were doing that.
And it might have just been the case
that that didn't happen if that makes sense yeah you can't prove a negative but yeah so yeah so
like i guess there's i'm saying there's a whole lot of ways that you can compromise the security
of bitcoin and i'll give you another we've only we haven't tested them all i mean we've talked
about the fork wars we have had one other test um in 2015 i believe 2014 or 2015 where i mean this
is a testament to the individual actors particularly in the mining industry being
economically driven where you had one mining pool ghash.io accumulate 55 percent of the network
hash rate. He had Peter Todd, who's an infamous, was an infamous core developer. I'm not sure he's
working on core anymore, but he sold half his stash because GHash acquired 55% of the network
hash and had the ability to 51% attack the network. What you saw there is economically
rational actors being the individual miners who were pointing their hash at GHash at the time
immediately leave ghash and flood to other pools because um they didn't want to be contributing to
a potential 51 attack yep yeah so but the whole idea of a 51 attack proves that miners do have
some form of control authority over the ledger like you wouldn't be afraid of a 51 attack if
miners couldn't withhold transactions or couldn't abuse that control authority over the ledger the
the fact that they can do that is the reason why the the 51 attack vulnerability exists
and and so that's just i guess just it just kind of proves the point that there is
um there is an attack vector there and there is but there's good defenses to that attack vector
as well economically yes driven individuals and then the nuclear option of doing something
at the consensus layer to stop the attack yeah so if you take my kind of radical theory
and you look at it as a soft war type of dynamic power is the ultimate free market whether it
exists in kinetic form or or electric form like your ability to find sources of power to wield
sources of power to come up with increasingly clever tactics techniques and technologies to
project power more efficiently that's the in my opinion the the real free market and um and so
in when you couple this ability to add transactions to the block
to the projection of power what you do is you create all you recreate all the complex emergent
benefits of power projection that we already see in kinetic warfare but you effectively replace it
now in in the cyber cyber domain um and so that's just a long way of saying like
you know how the whole point of proof of work is to impose a physical cost to you know to prohibit
a denial of service attack that was like the original point you can't send an email unless
you solve it but you go through the burden of spending the electricity of solving the hash
function house cost function what satoshi did was um he coupled the ability to add transactions to
the block he basically used proof of work to defend that control action so you cannot add
transactions to the block unless you solve the hash cost function so he's using proof of work
to secure the ledger against systemic exploitation in that in that way does that make sense
is he securing the ledger or is he just create leveraging proof of work particularly with a
difficulty adjustment to create a fair way to add transactions a fair way on a globally distributed
network? I think it's both. I think it's definitely fair. I think it's zero trust.
I think it's permissionless. I think it's egalitarian because I think all power projection
is that way. And, but you know, you have to go back to the whole point of proof of work in the
beginning, which was proof of work is a denial of service countermeasure and a 51% attack is a form
of denial of service. So it just makes sense to use proof of work to prevent a 51% attack by not
allowing people to add transactions to the ledger unless they solve the hash cost function. So you
effectively park the ledger behind the proof of work protocol. It's confusing because it's
recursive. Bitcoin is effectively proof of the merit of proof of work or proof of proof of work
working the fact that it can't be that it hasn't been 51 attack the fact that all these dynamics
that you're saying which i also agree with are play out and the and the game theory plays out
is proof of this proof of work idea working
and and so so what that means is bitcoin proves its own merit that if you enable people the
opportunity to use power itself watts to impose physical costs to make it impossible to justify
the physical cost of performing these types of systemic exploits then you can achieve a level
of cyber security that no other type of software has ever been able to achieve before because
predating this type of proof of work system the only way to attempt to secure software is using
logical constraints, not physical constraints. So really what Bitcoin, or I guess really what
proof of work represents is the first viable way to physically constrain software to achieve
software security using physical constraints. And it's not the only way. And so there's definitely
more ways you can exploit Bitcoin. And I'm not trying to argue against like the stuff that you
said, but it's just worth considering the potential computer science precedent that
what specifically Adam Back may have unlocked here
is a total transformation of the game of cybersecurity
that we just weren't able to achieve yet.
And he did it by tapping into the power grid
as the base layer computer.
So if you need to send a transaction,
like if you send a transaction across the Bitcoin ledger,
normally so like if you go to proof of work and you send a transact
eth transaction what's happening at the base layer
is transistors floating gate transistors in my computer
change state it's like essentially nothing happens it's like basically no
power is moved in order to send a bitcoin across the
ledger in order to send information across this thing
very large material sums of physical power has has changed so there is a very real
and shared objective reality very expensive quantity of physical power has changed its state
and so that's that gets pretty cool because now you can prevent unsafe control actions or you can
secure unsafe control actions like the ability to add transactions to the ledger
by physically constraining it so it's not that like people don't know what the exploitation to
bitcoin is and it's not like it's logically constrained everybody knows that if you can
have majority hash rate you can systemically exploit your control authority your tacit control
authority over this over this ledger it's not that they don't know it and it's not that they
can't exploit that logic. It's that it's too physically expensive. It's impossible to justify
the physical cost of doing that in watts, and also money, but really in watts.
That's game changing, I think, in terms of cybersecurity.
I agree. I mean, that the immense amount of energy needed to add a block of transactions to the network does set Bitcoin aside as something that's incredibly unique and innovative and revolutionary to a degree.
And then I guess this just dovetails into the whole question, why do we have to equate it with war? Why can't it just simply be free market actions by profit-driven individuals and actors who want the ability to profit from adding transactions to the ledger?
and then those individuals whose transactions these miners are adding to the ledger
simply want to be able to cooperate amongst each other outside of the state's purview.
Yeah.
So I guess just from first, like just a very first principles approach,
if we say, okay, from a cybersecurity perspective, this is revolutionary.
We have figured out a way for people and programs to impose physical costs on each other
in from through cyberspace to empower, literally empower people to decrease the benefit to cost
ratio of attacking them or exploiting them through their software. And there's definitely
something happening at the base layer that's different. Like there's a physical, meaningful
physical difference between the way that the Bitcoin protocol tech stack works in the way that
like some other poser uh cryptocurrency tech sec works like there's a whole lot of big ass machines
projecting a lot of power so there is a materially physically different phenomenon happening that's
happening at the base layer what that means is what is really what could be really happening
is that we're like i said we're learning how to use the globally decentralized electric power grid
as a base layer computer and then we're plugging that into the internet and then why would you want
to do that it's because the state space so what is the state space remember this thing has a state
space of two on and off but if you sum all the all the potential state changes you create a state
space the state space of this global computer is physically constrained and physically decentralized
in ways that no other computer that's plugged into the internet has ever been and may ever will be
that means you've created a part of cyberspace that is physically constrained and that allows
you to impose physical constraints or secure your own software with physical constraints in ways
that no other piece of cyberspace has ever existed not to mention the fact that it also gives you
other use cases like giving you a way to settle disputes in a zero trust and egalitarian fashion
or giving you a mechanism through which you can achieve consensus globally distributed
distributed consensus on the legitimate state of chain and legitimate state of ownership and chain
of custody of underlying stuff that is basically just a long way of saying this is so much bigger
than just money money just happens to be the first obvious use case of making a a the most secure
place the most physically constrained place and what could be the potential foundational base
layer of the internet money is just an obvious first use case for it because of course you want
your thing to be you want your money to be secure like if bitcoin is proof of proof of work working
then that means bitcoin is proof of the the cyber security merit of this technology which means if
you use bitcoin as your money you have the most secure thing that's ever existed because we
created it uh it's just been created and it's uh essentially impervious to nuclear scale warfare
like you would have to like the internet will survive
humans if we get into a nuclear war like humans would go extinct faster than the global uh you'd
have to destroy the global internet and the global electric power grid in order to stop bitcoin if
if this theory is true um and so you know it's back to your question why frame it as war because
i think that well that goes back to what we were talking about earlier tesla predicted
that in order for agrarian society to prosper long term they would have to find some other
means through which they engage in their power competitions and it probably can't be kinetic
power competitions because they're uh they're too lethal we're getting too good at killing each
other. Uh, they're too destructive. He predicted that we would go towards, um, some form of
electric, you know, machines competing against other machines. He did this before he knew about
software, before he knew about computers, general purpose computers hadn't been invented
yet. At the same time, you've got the people like Fords and standing next to Ford, you've got people
like Edison saying, if you want to solve wars, turn power, electric power itself into money.
And what both of those titans of American industry were missing was software.
They didn't have a way, like if you create a global scale physical power competition, energy competitions with machines competing each other, how do you manage it?
You need some form of software.
And if you created energy money, how would you manage it?
You need some form of software.
I think what Bitcoin might represent is the marriage of both of those two ideas into a single system where just as valid as it would be to say that Bitcoin is a form of electronic money, as was the Edison argument,
I think it would be equally as technically valid to describe Bitcoin as Tesla's vision of the end state of agrarian warfare, where people are competing against each other in a zero trust and egalitarian way using an electric form of global scale physical power competition.
I think they both saw the same end state, and I think Satoshi created it.
yeah so it brings about peace it's not war it's uh and so that's one thing that just to be
completely upfront like i've had i mean i've said publicly i've tweeted out let the hash wars
commence and i've thought of it that way as well as like this global war for hash rate but as i've
gotten more into mining as an industry specifically as somebody who um runs my own personal mining
operations i'm uh connected i'm professionally involved with a couple um mining companies as
well like it's becoming glaringly obvious to me it's not really a war at all it's it's ruthless
capitalism driven by profit motives that and so that again going back to the whole framing of
your thesis and trying to get bitcoin defined as munitions grade cryptography or cryptography
grade munitions or whatever the word is yeah the phrase uh that scares me personally i won't speak
for anybody else because if it does get defined as that and the narrative of the world is in a
off war to control the Bitcoin network or have their stake in the Bitcoin network, and
not the world, but governments of the world, which are extremely corrupt, arguably the
most dangerous entities that exist on this planet, and really have proven, particularly
in the last three or four years, that they don't really care about civil liberties or
freedom in the digital age.
pigeonholing Bitcoin as munitions,
warfare-grade munitions,
creates a crack in the door for the state to say,
oh, this is warfare-grade munitions,
only we have the right to declare war
and control those types of munitions,
so we're going to take over the hash rate industry.
So, there's a couple points to unpack there. So, you say, okay, clearly Bitcoin is peace,
not war. So, this is the, bear in mind, I'm the military dude.
So, I'll give you just my perspective on this idea of peace. There has never been
um a meaningful duration of time in the last like 12 000 years where like humans haven't been
engaging in power projection competitions against each other to capture resources or to capture
control authority over resources this like idea of peace is not in my opinion a replacement to
war like you can't replace war with peace peace is a reprieve from war it's that temporary state
of high trust between wars when people and governments can be trustworthy with alternatives
to physical power as the basis to settling their disputes but to your point it gets corrupted
governments get corrupted people get drunk off their imaginary power and start abusing people
through their belief systems and exploiting them or they just flat out get invaded they
just they're just weak and they get captured so like this idea of peace to me is just the thing
is an imaginary thing that has never existed it's just a reprieve a temporary reprieve between
physical power competitions where our demonstrably dysfunctional
abstract power hierarchies um are somewhat functional if that makes sense
yeah i can i mean yeah that does make sense and again that's the whole point of bitcoin it's like
anti-state separate money from state because we don't want these corrupt hierarchies getting us
into wars uh we don't want to fund them or allow them to fund themselves via the fiat monetary
system to perturb the ability of peacetime to take hold yeah i mean that's definitely one
so when i look at when i try to look at technology i try to be as like uh what's the word
like it sounds bad but i try to be as like sociopathic as possible i try to not apply
any type of um ideology to the technology despite what its inventor might have called it there's
there's a lot of examples in history where like you know the person invented a thing intending it
for to be for one reason where it it ended up not being for that reason so if you just look
explicitly at the technology here's the technology that allows people to digitize convert power into
bits and then pass it across the internet and by doing so you can um essentially send packets of
power you can convert real world quantities of power into packets of information and pass it
back to each other and by virtue of doing that impose physical costs on each other but that
again now we're getting to like semantics of how bitcoin works going back to like full nodes like
Like when I send a transaction from my node to somebody else's on the network
in a peer-to-peer fashion, it is getting confirmed in a block.
And that process to get confirmed takes a lot of energy,
but actually me sending that transaction is the same amount of energy
as sending a tweet.
So actually sending these messages doesn't really –
and this is like something that's gotten Bitcoin
and talk about like the ESG slant.
And this is what that dude from Digiconomist
has really leaned into,
the energy per transaction metric
that he made out of thin air
that is objectively just not how this works at all.
When you send a transaction,
you're essentially sending a tweet
and it takes the same amount.
What takes a lot of energy is confirming that
and confirming that transaction in a block
is on the front end of that is a lot of capital risk uh by an entrepreneur who wants to make a
profit for providing the service to the bitcoin network of getting these transactions confirmed
so when we talk about bitcoin security uh i do think when you talk about we need to separate
two things the security of a transaction in a block so how confident can you be that your
transaction isn't going to be overwritten by somebody who reworks the chain and then security
of the consensus rules and what people are allowed to do within the bitcoin network which is
determined by full nodes so maybe the more the better way of saying it is confirmed information
Like once some type, once it has been confirmed enough to have successfully achieved consensus across the nodes, that confirmed state of information required a substantial amount of physical power to achieve that.
Yes.
Yeah, so to pass confirmed information, right, to pass this bit of this packet from one node to another and to get those nodes to all agree and achieve consensus on that passage of information across cyberspace, a non-trivial, materially relevant amount of physical power had to be expended.
so if that's true then when you observe a bitcoin a bitcoin passing across this ledger
that technically represents symbolic meaning that you have applied to a materially large
quantity of physical power that has changed its state so you are so like if i'm like
what i'm looking at you like when i'm looking at you right now or like anything on my screens here
um that is symbolic meaning i have applied to transistor state changes but if i were to see
a bitcoin transaction and like be able to validate it through a node that this is like a valid
bitcoin transaction that's completely different than anything else in cyberspace that represents
not a not just so to your point yes it does still include transistor state changes because
what nodes do that's what they're made out of but it also does include materially large quantities
of physical power that's changed state so it's not only just transistor state changes it's large
quantities of physical power state changes that means a bitcoin transaction or any information
that's passed through the bitcoin ledger is fundamentally different in a computer science
perspective at the base layer at the state mechanism layer it is a totally it is a totally
different type of computer that's never existed before that's now plugged into the internet that
are people are using through the internet i think i don't know these are just theories
no just talk about the internet too like that takes an insane amount of energy i mean this is
just humans harnessing energy in different ways well the i think one of the core problems is
people for whatever reason they think that um inefficient or power intensive um you know
requiring a lot of power to send information across cyberspace is is only bad for whatever
reason they think that and for whatever reason people just tacitly assume that the cheapest
way to send information across the internet is good but what bitcoin proves is that actually
there are major important use cases for making it physically expensive in watts to send information
across cyberspace. And the obvious one is security, because that is the mechanism through
which the reusable proof of work ledger itself is secured against systemic exploitation, at least in
the form of 51% attacks. So it gets back to the same thing I keep harping on where Bitcoin is
proof of proof of work working. It's proof that the ability to impose physical costs, it's proof
that a computer that is physically hard to change states is actually useful as a security protocol,
because look at it, it's brilliant. So that was the first point. There was another point.
Crap, I forgot where we were. Why war?
War. Okay. Peace doesn't exist. It's a reprieve.
Oh, yeah. So peace is a repeat from war. It's the thing that happens. Consider this thought experiment. If war didn't cause injury, if there was a way, just hypothetically speaking, that we could fight wars without physically causing people, would people think it's bad? Would people even want abstract power hierarchies?
I think we need to take a step back first, like why are wars fought?
We can talk today to focus on today's day and age, like why are wars fought?
A lot of individuals would argue the U.S. military-industrial complex exists to protect the petrodollar system at the end of the day.
So Bitcoin's created this peaceful alternative where you don't need that kinetic warfare to go into far off lands and occupy them and use force to intimidate other countries to convert their local currency to dollars to buy oil on a global scale.
You can just nix that and participate in this peaceful monetary system that does not need that level of force.
So the cost of attacking Bitcoin is so high that it's not even worth going through the kinetic process of attacking individual actors globally distributed.
um like so that like why humans fought wars historically most importantly today um
to for the u.s perspective to protect the petrodollar system and
one could argue that the u.s is the biggest warmonger on the face of the earth right now um
and then two if bitcoin provides us the ability to peacefully protect a monetary network without
having to go to go flex around the world why why would it be crazy to think that that could bring
about uh an extended reprieve of peace yeah no i i think that's a very logical argument so when
I think about what is uh what is war why is it caused I go first principles in everything I do
so when I think about war I think about why do animals prey on each other um just generally
speaking beginning like before before human beings existed um why do pack animals constantly
fight with each other to establish a pecking order i think at the end of the day there's just
there's no replacement for physical power as the basis for settling disputes in a zero trust
and egalitarian way i think power projection is the only free market so i think war is the only
free market and i'm not i'm not saying that as like a like a for humans i'm saying if you look
at just you go outside or if you you know take a spoonful of of seawater and look at it under a
microscope what you see is a whole bunch of animals killing each other over resources
and so i don't understand why why is that because they weren't
imbued with logic to figure out a way to cooperate too
yes yes so so yeah so that's what humans did is humans were like okay you know we we uh we got our
fire we started cooking food we started growing having a lot extra power all that power went into
thinking power so we grew these prefrontal cortexes and then we started thinking abstractly
And we started developing ideologies and we started coming up with all sorts of interesting new concepts like ethics and morals and theologies and all this stuff, especially once we got to agrarian modern society and behaviorally modern human beings or sapiens.
And so I think you're right. I think what makes sapiens completely different from all these other wild animals is that they have the means to actually think of alternatives to killing each other to settle disputes and determine resource control authority and all the stuff I keep saying, achieve consensus on the quote unquote legitimate state of ownership and chain of custody of property.
humans can think of alternatives to physical power as the basis for doing that to killing
each other as the basis for doing that the problem is they're just they're demonstrably
dysfunctional they do not work they keep on breaking down they lead uh it's obviously true
that humans still use physical power as the basis to settle their disputes they still kill each
other to settle their disputes and they do it at a larger scale and use far more energy and
cause far more injury than they because of their desperate attempts to to try to find a replacement
it ended up it ends up being a battle over ideology yeah well then again we have to get back
to the core of these disputes which many would argue myself included that the core of these
disputes revolves around some perversion of the free market particularly the free market for
monetary goods where you have these corrupt governments gain control of the money printer
and that gives them control over these other aspects of the economy of society which creates
restrictions for individuals to access goods or services or do and say what they want which
leads to the boiling point which creates the the war the dispute the physical confrontation
and going back to
I definitely agree
and so
it hasn't been until
and this is why
I think we need to be very
particular
very specific with how
Bitcoin
is framed for
society
as we move forward it is this
revolutionary technology that allows us to get
away from that
morass created by the perversion of monetary systems by bloated governments that allow them
to control the purse and then control everything else from there we finally think it is we were
born at this weird inflection point in human history where we've been given this tool that
allows us to get away from that. And my perspective, probably someone who considers
himself an anarcho-capitalist would say, hey, we should not be trying to convince the governments
that Bitcoin is a weapon of war. We should simply say, hey, Bitcoin is text, it's speech,
it's software. If you do believe in free speech, it should be protected that way. I should be able
to send a transaction, send a message to peers on the network without fear of retribution from
my government. Thank you for attempting to provide me goods and services, but doing a terrible job
over the course of my life, at least. I opt out and am deciding to operate within the consensus
rules as set forth by the Bitcoin network when it comes to interacting with others throughout
throughout the economy when i exchange money for goods and services
yeah so um before we go into the i know we're that's the meat of the convo is why i call
bitcoin war but before we go there since we since we can follow up at that point it's like why wars
are started or why they happen um it's important to note that like it's kind of unclear to
where the boundary between humans just fighting with each other over stuff to like war like
actual being qualified as war large enough to be qualified as war started but what's what's very
clear is that like paleolithic sapiens started um they stopped at early in the like you know
maybe 30 000 years ago they didn't really have property they just carried around like what they
could walk with and they were just constantly hunting and gathering and it wasn't until they
figured out irrigation and and agriculture where they started parking themselves in the same place
so they started becoming um just like they just started not moving and and then that's when like
that correlates to when this thing that you could call warfare started when people started like
actually taking over people's agriculture their land and and or trying to capture control authority
over that land so this phenomenon that we could call war started after agrarian society was
invented after people started using agriculture and started coming up with these abstract ideas
about quote-unquote like governments or at least some form of what would resemble a government back
in the day and all that happened and all those wars were fought thousands of years before what
we now know as money or control over money emerged before even gold was used and adopted as as money
so it can't be true that the only um driver of warfare is is like a fight over money but i
definitely would agree that's one of the main ones now and yeah that's why i wanted to focus on
war in today's day and age because obviously there's been a progression a evolution of society
so if you think about it uh money is a belief system you're applying symbolic meaning to
uh something right you're saying this has value is it not some it's a belief system
you're choosing to say this piece of whatever shell or gold is of some certain value
this gets into like the whole uval nurari or harari money is a shared illusion which i don't
think it is money the market has shown slowly but surely over time and arguably will happen
more quickly as we move forward into the digital age that yes at the end of the day you have to
agree with somebody i believe that's money and you should give it to me but uh and i will give
you these goods but um money does have certain properties monies do have certain properties that
make some better than others portability scalability scarcity divisibility verifiability
all that stuff yeah interesting thought experiment going back to the uval thing is
do do you think that animals that aren't capable of abstract thinking that don't have the prefrontal
cortexes or whatever uh do you think that they can conceive of money or is that a uniquely human
thing because if it's a uniquely human thing and no one else can recognize it then that could be a
leading indicator that it is in fact a it is symbolic meaning applied to certain things and
And to your point, some things are better to apply symbolic meaning to than others,
gold being an obvious one, because if you imply the symbolic meaning of value to gold
and gold is physically constrained or physically scarce, then you actually create a defensive
mechanism where you physically constrain people from exploiting that belief system by trying
to increase the supply of gold.
Yeah. I mean, there's plenty of examples out there of scarecrows and monkeys,
scarecrows putting twigs into a vending machine to get goods, and monkeys exchanging something
for grapes in return. So I think they have the ability to recognize a value exchange,
at least say I put the stick in this vending machine.
Yeah. Or a cause and effect. Yeah. But okay, let's fast forward a bit. 1971,
gold's no longer the basis of of uh the monetary system um it's that means there's no physical
basis of the united states dollar right would you agree on that like it's just
purely an abstract idea it's backed by nothing at all that's that's
i mean technically it's not backed by nothing it's backed by treasuries with different durations that
essentially say hey we're going to give you these treasuries and we'll promise to
grow our economy at x percent in the future and that is going to be the value the future
production of of our our country's uh economy yeah and future anything is an abstract idea like the
future doesn't exist right like i don't know for sure that i'm going to exist in the future so
but yeah so like fiat in general like i think one of the problems with fiat in general is it's
too much of a belief system it doesn't have enough physically backing it and i think another argument
that could be made is that the united states dollar system specifically is essentially just a
piece of software the the the issue is somebody has control over that ledger and with a keystroke
can change it right so if money is a if you can if you can say well the modern state of
the united states dollar or the fiat system is effectively just a global
uh software piece of software people are just looking at their ledger and and that's controlled
by someone who can change that ledger then that would mean that what bitcoin represents is
is is a way to physically constrain that system like is a is a piece of software that cannot be
controlled in that way it's a it's a physically decentralized physically constrained piece of
software that no one person can achieve full-scale control authority which is precisely the problem
of the usd fiat system is it does that make sense yep yeah and so that gets back to the war thing
Okay, so war thing, why it starts.
I think a lot of it has to do with belief systems.
I think people have ideologies.
I think they want to believe in some greater good
or some right way of settling disputes
and some right way of managing resources
and establishing a pecking order intraspecialy between sapiens.
I think we all want that, and we want a way to do it without having to cause injury.
But the problem is when you use abstractions, when you use abstract beliefs or ideologies to do that, you implicitly give someone control.
So like if you use a judge to adjudicate disputes, that judge has abstract power, that judge has imaginary power.
by virtue of our morals by virtue of our ethics and theologies and ideologies
we create belief systems which can be exploited we make ourselves
systemically vulnerable or we give an attack vector to ourselves through our belief systems
that we would not have if we continue to use physical power as the basis to settle disputes and
establish control authority because using physical power as the basis to do it is effectively just
choosing the heuristic might is right. The most physically powerful and most intelligent person
capable of projecting power in the best way gets the pecking order. And yeah, it's a bloody fight,
but at least it can't be systemically exploited. There's no changing goalposts about what
constitutes right. There's no body trying to fight or say what the correct ideology is.
And I think a lot of what you see in agrarian warfare is people competing. They're essentially fighting for the right to define right. They're like fighting for the right to define what the morally or ethically or theologically or ideologically correct way of settling disputes without physical power is.
and if that's true then the problem of war is just that it's kinetic that it causes injury and that
you can solve all this by just converting it into an electric form and then everyone just choose
they pick the might is right heuristic again and they just let let your belief system be founded
on something that's zero trust and egalitarian and permissionless and i i think these are all
kind of these dynamics are all happening in play right now i think i think that people can believe
in bitcoin and use that as their foundational thing to believe in like we can stop believing in
usd because we finally have an alternative things to believe in and it's secured and it's it's uh
it uses the exact same global scale power dynamics as warfare but it just does it in a non-lethal way
and that's that's not just disruptive to money that's disruptive to all beliefs to include
government so it's like if we can use a zero trust egalitarian permissionless system to
settle our disputes what is the point of government why do we have um uh why do we
need somebody with imaginary power to determine what the the legitimate state of ownership and
chain of custody of property is when i can do that in a zero trust and egalitarian way that
can't be systemically exploited by my government that doesn't have that security vulnerability
and so again again it gets to this like thing where it's like i think this is more important
than just money i think this is i think this is such a big deal that it is disruptive to
the entire concept of agrarian society in the first place it's not just disruptive to money
it's disruptive to the idea of government itself and the idea that we even need an alternative to
physical power to settle our disputes anymore because if it's not causing or hurting anyone
then why why is it bad it can't be bad like how can you morally justify that's bad unless you try
to use the attack vector of esg and try to quantify its power usage as quote-unquote unethically bad
that's why we have fix the money fix the world and neon lights right over here i do believe i mean
yeah that's why it's fix the money fix the world i think it's much bigger than money yes because
the sound distributed peer-to-peer cash system uh will allow us to coordinate
in a free market fashion to fix the world that these governments have fucked up pretty massively
as it stands in 2022 and i guess i i think this gets back to the whole what i you know just talk
from my perspective is like what i worry about by like lobbying the government and trying to
convince them that this is a weapon of war particularly in the u.s again gives them an
open door to say all right we need to control this weapon of war which would defeat the purpose of
bitcoin in the first place and and that's why i'm very steadfast and ardent about really leaning
into bitcoin as a first amendment free speech right um and i i think you could apply bitcoin to
many amendments many of the first 10 potentially all um third amendment prevents the irs from
from uh courting your bank account or quartering in your bank account i think michael goldstein
has said that before fourth amendment unreasonable search and seizure um they cannot um they cannot
seize your private keys uh if you if you have them protected in the right way um they would
to go prove that in the court of law and have you hand them over um again yeah i think that's
the the big uh issue i have with the framing of bitcoin is first and foremost the second
amendment issue when i think it's a free speech issue and it could potentially um i will concede
it could certainly um apply to or fall under the second amendment in some context but i think the
first amendment strongest and then at the end of the date is money um as well um money is speech
in a certain way you're basically articulating um that you're willing to exchange a defined
unit of value for a good and service um yeah not to sound too nerdy but speech itself represents
syntactic and symbolic meaning that you apply to state changes in audible wave patterns right like
it is a belief system uh speech itself this manner through which we communicate with each other is
semantically and syntactically complex meaning and that's precisely what we're also doing while
we establish symbolic meaning to things that we choose to call us our like you know money
so yeah i think they're literally the same like um from the foundational level um okay real quick
you said bitcoin is money or like that's what its purpose is i want to make the point that um
um when i don't remember how many years ago like 900 years ago or something
when the chinese folks were when a bunch of doctors were trying to develop new concoctions
for medicinal purposes they came up with black powder and to them black powder was a form of
medicine because they were doctors intending to build medicine and they thought it could have
medicinal purposes like cauterizing wounds or other stuff like that because they did notice
that it was quick to hold a flame. And for hundreds of years, the doctors perceived black
powder as a medicine. It was to them, the purpose of this thing was medicine. And they even, it had
monetary value. They traded this thing. It wasn't used, I don't think explicitly as money, but it
had monetary value. But the point is people created a new type of power projection technology
and they thought it was medicine and then in the future it started ended up using as something more
than medicine it didn't it changed the perception of it changed to gunpowder once guns were invented
or once the mechanisms through which people can project this power at each other to impose
physical costs at each other changed and so now we look at gunpowder today and we think
just take it for granted, like, of course, this is a weapon. But for hundreds of years,
people didn't think it was. The point is, physical power projection, the mechanisms,
the technologies, tactics, techniques that we use to impose physical costs as measured in watts on
each other changes over time. And so one of the big assumptions that we cannot make is that the
future of warfare will look the same as the past. We can't expect the next war to look like the last
war. Anytime that's ever happened, it's not turned out well. For example, when Orban the engineer
showed Constantinople that you can use gunpowder to build a cannon, and Constantinople turned them
down, and a year later, the walls of Constantinople are being shot down. There's a lot
of lessons and precedents in history where it's really important to keep an eye out on the basics,
which is people are going to come up with different technologies to impose physical
costs on each other to lower the benefit to cost ratio of attacking. And it's not necessarily
kinetic. And it's not smart to assume that the future of warfare will look anything like the
past. Your job is to understand what the future of power projection will look like, and then to
posture your whatever you're trying to secure to win that i say all this because one of the
main reasons why i keep like saying that bitcoin could represent not just a monetary system but
also could be used as like some type of soft or non-kinetic form of war fighting
is is because i it could be accurate that could very well like i know that it's like it sucks to
admit it and i know that could be an attack vector but it also could be true like it just could be
right um we have to consider that possibility at least my job is to at least consider that
possibility because i'm not here to win last wars i'm when here to win the next wars
yeah let's play it through though like if that soft war scenario plays out nation states
get control of material amount of hash rate and then engage in hash wars with each other
either physically bombing mining centers
or censoring each other's transactions
or one gets 51%, a cabal gets more than 51%
and begins censoring transactions
just completely defeats the whole purpose of Bitcoin
in the first place.
It becomes an unreliable system of value transfer.
So, yeah, that's an interesting train of thought.
um so here we can bring up the whole hash force thing so i do not believe it is logical let's
assume it is software just for um this strictly for the sake of argument and we'll address why
that sucks and why it could be an attack vector later but just for the sake of argument now
assume it could be a software protocol i don't think it would be smart for the government to try
to run the hashing um i don't see like why do something that you can get for free is effectively
like my point of view on that it's like if the commercial industry is willing to
to run it just you know to have a commercially decentralized hash force
without us having to pay for it then why the hell would would the government want to pay for that or
or or try try to um if if you know it's like it seems like better to just buy bitcoin
um unless there was a threat of like a nation state level 51 attack so to your point in these
hash wars like if russia and china had like these hash pools and they started to attack
the united states maybe it might be necessary for the united states to seed
the operation the opex or the capex of um a commercially decentralized hash force but like
it's already true today with the military industrial complex that we don't like the
space force doesn't build its own rockets we let commercial build the rockets we don't build our
own satellites we let commercial build the owns the satellites we just cede money to them to do
that and yeah it's not a it's not a very good free market um so it would it seems like it would
be better to just let the free market do that because i think to your point it would be a far
more effective way to guarantee that we have uh if this were the case that we have the most robust
hashing infrastructure yeah but again like i definitely think war will change and i'm not
naive to think that war won't exist in the future but going back to the point you just made war
in the future becomes significantly more expensive because like you said the government
doesn't build its own rockets,
it doesn't build its own weapons,
it prints money and pays Raytheon to do it or SpaceX.
And this is inherent in the problem
that Bitcoin is trying to solve.
That ability to print money ex nihilo
and then allocate it towards these warmongering endeavors,
number one, isn't fair.
Number two, isn't good for human progress
or overall quality of life on this planet and so yeah i i agree that the printing of money to fund
the war machine as it had started 100 years ago uh seems to have backfired significantly on
the public because of that exact reason i think that a large part of why well the world wars were
such a big deal is because we effectively set that precedent and um and and we we kind of but
but the the problem with that is it becomes the shelling point so like if it's an existential
imperative to win the war or else you're going to get invaded and your adversary is using a belief
system a corrupted belief system where they could print money ad nihilo or ad infinitum and
uh you know like just basically debase everyone's savings to fight for the war campaign
that is a material advantage in war fighting that now becomes yet another power projection tactic
technique or um or shelling point and so like you know an interesting thought experiment is
could the allied forces have won the war if they weren't printing or can a country that doesn't
print compete against the country that does? And how would that change if that mechanism
is changed? I agree with you. I think that it would improve substantially if people just adopted
a different belief system and a different type of money. I think that could substantially improve.
And I think that if warfare is indeed a measure through which we essentially compete over belief
systems to include like the united states dollar like what value that is then then yeah if you
convert if you simply just choose to assign value to something different then you could totally
end the military industrial complex if you can get enough people to believe in it
and that's something that i do want to encourage people to consider i think that if you simply
like i have personally decided to no longer believe in the value of the united states dollar
and i only use it for just because other people believe in it and i you know they have they you
know when in those cases where they're not going to accept what i believe has value i still need
the use of the dollar and i obviously have to still be paid in the dollar but i'd still convert
it i have simply chosen not to believe in that and by virtue of doing that i have effectively
completely undermined both the physical power of government, but also the abstract power of
government. Their ability to gain access to resources or secure access to resources or
randomly change the, you know, press a keystroke and randomly change that. I'm no longer affected
by that, by just simply changing my belief system. I think that we can get more people to do that.
They have to see why that would be useful. And I think a core reason is because we have fundamentally changed the mechanism through which we project power, through which we secure the stuff that we, the property that we value and the policy that we value using a physical power projection competition.
Like we fundamentally change by fundamentally changing the mechanism of war. Then you fundamentally change the government, the money, everything like you can create an entire new form of organization that has never been seen before that transcends even this concept of a nation state, which is not even like a like the nation states have only existed for like 200 years.
the scale of what we consider nation states today. I agree to your point. They're a failure. They're
not working. They're broken. People are getting exploited at extraordinary scale. I think what
we've been missing is just an alternative. And I think that Bitcoin gives us the alternative
because it provides all the alternatives. It's not just the money, but it's also
the mechanism through which we secure zero trust and egalitarian access and decentralized control.
So it's not just the new form of money. It's the new form of governance. It's the new form of warfare. And all people have to do is just believe in it and start to kind of align to that.
Okay, so moving forward, let's get to the real convo.
I think that the message that agrarian society has invented a soft form of warfare is fundamentally a positive message, so long as people take the time to understand really what it means.
If it's true that we've created a digital, digital, electric or electro digital form of global scale physical power competition, then we've all we've obviously created a nonlethal form of warfare.
And so the thought process is, well, holy crap, if we created a nonlethal form of warfare, that's remarkable.
that could dramatically improve the our ability to secure ourselves and um and prevent destruction
and all the horrors that we've seen throughout the last 100 years and so i i think that's
fundamentally like a a good um a good thing but also it just make it another reason why it's kind
of a cool idea to think about is if you think about um what we talked about earlier with tesla
and the problem with kinetic warfare is it becomes too efficient like the more efficient you come at
projecting kinetic power you get to nukes and then you strategically stalemate yourself and then you
get into a systemically exploitable hazard where people are like basically really vulnerable to
being oppressed by their ruling class because the the asymmetry an electric form of warfare
would would could get increasingly efficient ad infinitum they're like there's no limit to
how theoretically no limit to how much power that honest people can project to defend their
access to the stuff they value not just against their own governments but against there's other
things when it comes to hashing so so in terms of power like how much watts that people can sum
together in order to impose a physical cost in watts of in this case 51 in attacking them
theoretically it's hard to think of like like a limit to there might be some practical ones
obviously right now there's practical ones but like the profitability limit once it's
non-profitable like why would you run it at a loss so people routinely go into non-profit
it um so like well i guess you could argue it's still profitable so like for example you know
one of the arguments for why people get taxed is because it's not exactly a profitable endeavor
always uh not strictly speaking about the united states military but other militaries
standing militaries are just by themselves super inefficient like you have to feed all these armies
let's just go back not nation states but let's go back 500 years like if they're not going around
capturing anything they're not profitable right it's like a a standing army sitting around doing
anything it's just opex um and so there i guess there might be times where maybe probably only
temporarily there would be a motive if especially if there are nation states and especially if it
was like a national scale hash war where nation states would be willing to dip into the red
in order to do their attack but i think to your point long term that's not really viable yeah
because they can't print money though because we'll be on a bitcoin standard and they're not
the way they are yeah but they can get more efficient though they can get more efficient
so like they can make the watts per dollar watts per bitcoin basis more and more efficient
and i i guess just that's just something to think about um that's an interesting kind of thought
experiment whereas whereas there are hard limits to how efficient you can make kinetic power
projection there might not be a strict of a limit to how far you can make electric power projection
efficient okay so putting that aside war um would it be bad if we framed
let's just assume that maybe even if it is accurate to call it a potential war fighting
technology should we because would that introduce a an attack vector where the government could try
to use it against us. I thought about that a lot, and this is kind of the way I think about it. So
I can demonstrate it. Let's do a thought exercise. Let's say you're like a flight
squadron commander you're in command of a squadron of um like uh a-10 fighter jets or something
the a-10 fighter jets take off they're going to do some campaign some power projection campaign
and they get pretty wrecked like five of them get shot down only five make it back
out of the tent and you notice a pattern for every single one of these a-10s that are landing
they barely make it home because their wing tips have been shredded off and like their tail fins
have been shredded off and they just like finally make it home and land so you're a squadron
commander you've got some engineers it's like okay well you need to do a new sortie and you
need these like fighter jets to you know like be a little bit more resilient like they need to be
able to survive the fights that they're they're taking and you have the opportunity to like add
some reinforcements to these jets where would you choose to place the reinforcements on these jets
that are coming back crippled with their wingtips blown off and their and their like tail fins blown
off have you had to make that call if you had to replace parts of the plane or like if let's say
you fix the plane up but you you keep on you notice this pattern where their wing tips are
being blown off and their tail fins are blowing off and it's like barely giving them the opportunity
to like land and half of the other ones are are never making it home if you have the opportunity
to like add reinforcements or like add like lightweight armor to make them like more able to
like withstand blows where would you put it if their wing tips and their tails are being blown
I'm not well versed on the physics of airplanes, so I'm trying to decide what's
more important for the functioning of an airplane, the tail or the wings. I would assume the
wings, but- This was actually a problem I worked
on as a blast and ballistics engineer. It wasn't specifically this. We had lightweight
armor and we had to figure out where to put it okay so um yeah it's totally rational to think
all right you should reinforce the wingtips or the tail whatever one's more important to flight
and like controls right it makes sense that's what your gut tells you the the problem with that is
it's technically totally irrational and there's a logical flaw that's happening it's called the
survivorship bias this is a problem anytime anything has to survive some type of like uh
natural selection process not maybe not natural selection but like a rigorous selection process
it's called survivorship bias and the bias that happened is you're only paying attention to the
planes that made it back so you're ignoring the planes that never made it home and you're only
paying attention to the planes that made it home and you're noticing the pattern in the planes that
made it home is that their wingtips were blown off and that their tail fins are blown off but
you're ignoring the fact that what made it home went through a rigorous selection process in other
words what you see is what survives you are looking at where the plane can actually handle
the hits where it can actually take the hits and if you need in in all the places that isn't being
shot that's where actually you should be starting to consider reinforcing or placing armor because
that's the places of the planes that didn't make it home like you're only looking at the thing
that survived the natural selection okay so that's a demonstration an easy demonstration
of survivorship bias you can wikipedia and they use pretty much the same example
by the way the way we would do it is we would give um the pjs uh these armor plates as seats
and so they would sit on the seats so they could take shots and it wouldn't like shoot them
uh the rest of the airplane could get shot but the people inside the planes would wear the armor
okay i say all that because let's get back to the whole big shebang this whole big argument about
like we don't want to give the government ammunition against us because they might
try to repeat what they did where they call it ammunition and then try to prohibit the public
from having access to it in my opinion the the logical flaw there is the survivorship bias flaw
you are looking at the thing that actually survived like the last time the government
actually tried that form of attack was a demonstrable failure so you you know based off of
the fact that it's already happened that if the government tried to withhold munitions grade or
military grade security technology from the public that it would it would have a difficult time doing
that because that's what already happened you know exactly that's like you know we like there's this
tendency for people on twitter to be like this is what the government tried to do and i look at that
and i'm like yeah that's what the government failed to do so you're that's the demonstrably
failing strategy of the government that's why they pulled their punch you're seeing where you can
take the hit you clearly can't take that hit because you've taken that hit before and we
we survived it and so and then also to go back to the point that we made earlier
it's like because of surviving that hit and because of getting to the point where like
we're finally able to get some of this encryption technology this what this military grade
munitions technology taken off of the munitions list or at least giving to the public like in a
the government already decided to do that. They already made the conscious choice to export this,
let's call it a munitions or an arms worldwide. So if a government wanted to try to attack this
narrative that Bitcoin is a munitions or try to take advantage of that narrative,
they would have to do two things. First of all, they would have to try to explain how it's logical
that something that they've already chosen to export publicly globally
should suddenly be restrained, but not for everyone,
only for the United States.
So we've already decided to give this technology out to everyone,
but at this point, only Americans can't have it.
Everyone else can have it, but only Americans can't.
And then because that doesn't actually protect them from the threat
of like it being used against them that just only protects them the threat of it being used against
them by their own people like other countries could still do it so it's just kind of like a
an irrational like hard to justify argument but then it's also the proven failure strategy like
they already tried to do this and it already failed you already know that you can take those
hits and so in my opinion it's like you can gain the benefit of the first amendment and the second
amendment and maybe like maybe the first amendment is stronger than the second but like the first
amendment and the second amendment could be stronger than just the first amendment argument
but but also like you want to take the fights you can you know you can win and i i think this is a
fight that we know we can win because we already won it it would just be round two and then i think
would be highly politically unfeasible or at least at least um less feasible than strictly
only attacking the first amendment way i don't know about that though because like especially
when you're posturing this argument in the eyes of the public that still is a bit ignorant to
bitcoin what it is and is a bit fearful and sees what's going on in ftx and mount gox and all this
stuff and has a natural aversion reaction to bitcoin that for i think we could probably see
most people is somewhat negative again thrusting it we need to protect this as as a weapon narrative
could have them double down on on that negative connotation like wait a second the bitcoiners are
are holding weapons with their private keys that's one yeah it's one rebut i would have to that
line of thinking then too survivorship bias yeah i mean um i think bitcoiners specifically
have proven to have extremely adversarial mindsets where again like i think that's
where i come from it's like why even give this narrative legs to run on um when we have bigger
things to worry about like social attacks ftx potential social attack we don't know
what's going on there like dude because that could be the attack vector the attack vector could be
to not let the public to essentially take advantage to take advantage of the public's
misperception as bitcoin being strictly money and not a military-grade security system for
themselves that they could use to defend themselves against their own government like
it could be the case that the government is deliberately trying to not bring that up because
they don't want to take that fight because they know they couldn't win it last time yeah but then
you have to get back to why bitcoin is a good money in the first place and why people can have
confidence that it's a good money because it is distributed it is verifiable it is scarce
like it has it is a good money because it has value because it has value because it provides
fundamental utility that does not exist elsewhere yeah but one of those major utilities of bitcoin is
weapons great security or military-grade security like the the the narrative that bitcoin is money
but also the most secure money so secure that not even the united states can exploit it in my
experience explaining this to people that that resonates with people it they like they people
just understand the value of security and more so than like money it's like harder to explain
money i found but that's might just be because i hang out with military dudes but like for whatever
reason the idea in my experience and i've just been testing this publicly is that for whatever
reason it's resonating like i can cut through so much bs by just cutting straight to we've created
a new form for people to secure themselves by projecting power in from through cyberspace this
is a revolution not just in money but in computer science and and cyber security and that's just
like for whatever reason that connects i've seen and i think that there is something to gain by
combining all these narratives together and i think that this the fear that the government
would use it against you is ignoring that the government could just as equally use the fact
that you're not thinking this way against you. Like they could be benefiting from the fact that
you are not considering it from a securities perspective, that you're only considering it
from a monetary perspective and the fact that people just don't understand money. And I think
that's why you see like the government arbitrarily deciding to bin and categorize Bitcoin as just a
crypto i think they're deliberately trying to confuse people and then steer them off the path
right there and i think this like last cycle has just been is proven how effective that strategy
is is to get people into the shit coin path instead of the the path that they ought to be on
yeah shit coins are i know it's incredible attack vector i just like for the sake of adversarial
thinking we just can't rule out the fact that like for me when i'm talking to people especially at
the opotis or osec def level it is i feel like i'm taking crazy pills that no one is recognizing the
elephant in the room that this is nsa technology that they made publicly available to the to to
everyone there no one's recognizing the use cases of this as anything but a monetary system and so
So in my military-trained brain, I've been trained to know or recognize that if you want to understand the strategy of your adversary, look at the thing they're not doing.
And to me, it's a red flag that no one is willing to acknowledge Bitcoin as anything except a monetary system or that they're only acknowledging that as its only use case.
It's like, why aren't they? What are they?
like that that to me is an attack vector and we could be complicit into that form of attack by
refusing to acknowledge it as anything but just a monetary system that's just something we had
to consider and i don't think these i think these two ideas are like bitcoin is first and foremost
money right like and it just so happens to leverage shot 256 distributed proof of work
with a difficulty adjustment like that is how you get the money that is what provides a value like
yes it uses cryptography that was created by the nsa but that that is a piece of the puzzle that
makes bitcoin work and gives the the monetary asset value at the end of the day like the
the use case is money like peer-to-peer value transfer so this gets back to a more annoying
computer science like Technobabble, but anytime any computer programmer decides to use whatever
abstract or semantic or syntactic language to describe the intended behavior of anything they
write, any form of computer program, that software engineer is making an arbitrary decision based off
what he thinks what information he thinks is important so if like i'm a if i'm a coder and
i write a computer program and i want to explain to someone how this computer program works
i choose arbitrarily based off what i think is the most effective way to explain this i choose
what to call it so i can call it a cloud or a thumbnail or a string or a coin that that is
technically an arbitrary decision and it's guided of course by the intent of the program but just
because I intend for this program to work this way doesn't mean that's the only way that program
or that's the only use case that program can be used for. And I demonstrated this in
the Space Force because when I was a director of operations for the second space launch squadron,
we would use a special piece of software to monitor all the alarms that are going off on
the rockets before they launch. And so we would just keep track of the alarms and it just made
it easier to like bin them and close them out we took when covid hit we took that at literally the
exact same program that's exact same software no changes and it's source code at all and instead
of using it to monitor alarms in a rocket we just changed the name we just changed some of the words
in it and we used it to do contact tracing for closely tight-knit combat crews that we needed
for like our satellite operations so just to make sure that we're keeping track of
it's just an easier way to make sure of keeping track of who's got covid and how to structure our
our staffing because we have like really tight-knit operations groups the point is i took
the same software with the exact same source code that was on in one room a launch monitoring
software and i used it as a contact tracing software and that became like it became more
of a big deal as the as the contact chasing software than it did as lots so like the same
source code can be used for multiple different use cases it doesn't matter what the who wrote
it and what they think but applied it doesn't change applied to bitcoin you just forked the
code and created a whole new consensus network that would not have the net and the distributed
system example will not have the network effect and value of bitcoin yes i mean many people have
forked bitcoin and created other cryptocurrency systems that do different things like coin
forex to supply a quarter of the block speed different hashing algorithm yes you can do
that and that's the beauty of bitcoin and why it is purpose fit for money is because
even if you do fork off and do that stuff it is has the best network effect has the best
properties has the best distribution and therefore it's the best money and that's why let's consider
this let's consider this when proof of work was first created by let's say um adam's back adam
back's version of it that proof of work token which he called the stamp but later cash that
was not intended to be used as a money that was intended to be used as a denial service counter
measure in his specific case as you mentioned earlier to um improve email spam yeah i get
what you're saying and satoshi proof of work began as not a money and then it's use case
and satoshi took that so it like the precedent was this is not money and then satoshi was like
oh this could also be used as money in a specific application known as bitcoin so like that specific
application the bitcoin network has siloed value purpose utility and network effects
like you can somebody will use somebody other people have used proof of work with the difficulty
adjustment which was satoshi's innovation and other cryptocurrencies but none have attained
the value of bitcoin um and so like thinking like like thinking like bitcoin will be something
different in the future yes maybe the source code will be forked and somebody will create something
else but that won't like give actual bitcoin utx's different use cases that will exist on that other
chain that other code base so i tried to demonstrate with my mass blocking campaign
a potential use case of bitcoin as something else beyond money
and so i know like we've had you know you've got the uh michael sailors out there that
that implies stuff like uh that have like bounced around ideas like um
orange check right isn't that what he called it the orange check idea
okay so if we just consider that for a second if it requires if you have to like
post bitcoin as collateral or something in order to have the ability to tweet or something i think
that was kind of like the idea behind the orange check yeah this is sphinx chat has done this
there's some lightning network enabled apps yep yeah so you've seen a couple like that yeah you
can't send me an email you can't send me a message unless you collateralize it with bitcoin
so you're choosing to see that as a paywall or you're choosing to see that protocol as a
payment system because Satoshi Nakamoto described this protocol as a coin or a peer-to-peer payment
system. But if it's also true that from a fundamental computer science perspective,
that Bitcoin represents bit power or digitized power, symbolic meaning Boolean logic applied to
quantities of physical power from the globally decentralized electric power grid,
then what you're doing when you say you can't send me a message unless you collateralize it
with bitcoin what you perceive as a paywall could equally as could equally be perceived as an energy
wall i am creating a power wall like you can't send me a message unless you have the power to
execute that transaction or at least hold that bit quote-unquote coin so yeah you can't so can
you can't access this unless you send me value as denominated in satoshis
yeah okay so that is a security protocol like i'm i'm degrading that is a denial of service
countermeasure like you can't send me and spam me with a bunch of emails unless you
you collateralize it you're choosing to call that a paywall or or a payment transaction based off of
nothing other than the fact that some anonymous guy arbitrarily decided to call this thing a coin
if that makes sense it's it's like it's a value transfer though like they if they view
the content or the message behind the paywall or the energy wall whatever you want to call it like
you give up some satoshis for what you perceive to be valuable on the other
side.
So you can use semantics of like energy wall or whatever,
but at the end of the day,
it is a transfer of money for a good,
the content.
So you're applying value to power.
So you're effectively choosing to monetize power.
No,
this,
no,
this goes back,
especially if it's over the lightning network,
this goes back to what I said earlier,
like me sending a lightning transaction over my phone to unlock one of the
newsletters i've written doesn't take a lot of energy i'm i try to think only on base layer so
yeah i totally agree on lightning net on lightning layer that's true but then he's just thinking
even on the base layer like i'm not expending energy i'm just sending bitcoin the miners are
expending the energy yeah you've deferred that energy expenditure to okay so i think another
way to think about it is this i think this is where we're getting confused because i think this
is a this is another computer science thing and like people this might be explainable by virtue
of like understanding how literally at like the base layer state mechanism layer like level at
the bottom of the tech stack it's a physically different phenomenon that's happening when i
when i choose to call call a piece of software like a normal piece of software operating on a
normal computer a coin that is semantic that is semantically as a semantic thing right
i am abstracting the complex emergent behavior of this computer as a what i will arbitrarily
choose to call a coin or a cloud or a thumbnail or whatever okay when you choose to call bitcoin
bit power, you are not technically only abstracting, because actual power is the
state-changing mechanism. In other words, in computer science, people hypostatize. They treat
abstract things as real things. That's how object-oriented design works, and that's how we
talk about software as objects but if if the state changing mechanism itself is power and
you're assigning boolean logic or machine code to quantities of physical power and then you choose
to describe that as bit power that is not hypotetization hypostatization that is not
abstract thinking it is literally power like you are literally like literally quantities of physical
power are transferring when you call it i'm transferring bit power to you or i have a bit
power wall like there's actual literal power that is preventing that transaction or or applying that
physical constraint that's why it's like that's the whole reason why bitcoin is just like mind
blowing is because it's the only thing that is like that in the whole whole internet everything
else is an abstraction and so so you can choose to call bit power a coin but once you've called
bit power a coin then you've abstracted on something that is otherwise actually power
like actually bits of power like actual digitized power actual power that has been converted into
ones and zeros just like any any state changing mechanism can be converted to ones and zeros
and so they like in my opinion the more technically accurate way to describe a bitcoin
transaction is actually a bit power transaction you are collateralizing you can't send me a
message unless you send some some bit power with it and by virtue of doing that i have technically
imposed a physical cost and power on you so i'm like making it harder to justify the physical
cost of sending me messages which is deterring you it's a it's a classic deterrence strategy
and that has a lot of applications and still money you're still money you're just changing
the name to bit power instead of bitcoin it's yeah but but you could also equally argue that
it's bit power that you're choosing to call bitcoin because you're choosing that this stuff
has monetary value like gold it was by itself it was launched with the express intent of having
monetary value as a peer-to-peer digital cash system i mean if you want to get really technical
what you're actually transferring is not bitcoin you're transferring unspent transaction outputs and
as denominated in satoshi's
yeah so like let's consider this is gold money or is gold gold that we choose to
assign value to as money? Is a shell money or is a shell a shell? And we decide to
use our abstract thoughts and belief systems to call that valuable.
Like physical quantities of things, physical objective reality
is ontologically like different than these abstract things or this abstract meaning that
we assign to it. A shell is a shell, regardless of whether we call it a money, gold is a gold,
regardless of whether or not we call it money bit power is bit power regardless of whether or not we
choose to call it money and whether or not even the inventor what the intent of the inventor was
yeah but yeah there's still there's still money you're just calling it something that
your value is being trans energy is being expended right yeah being converted but to
electricity hashes are being produced blocks are being added and utxos are being spent
as inputs and new UTXOs are being created
on the backend value is being transferred.
Like now we're just getting to like
a very deep semantics argument,
which I mean, I love getting metaphysical,
but it's how productive is it at the end of the day?
Well, it's important because
if you're trying to pigeonhole this thing into money,
then we could be missing
very different use cases for it.
and you're just you just have this huge blind spot it's just value transfer at the end i'm
trying to think of like different like you can't you can send messages bitcoin is a message you can
send an op return with a message attract attach your transaction um maybe that's another use
case of like a actual uh a graffiti wall where you can put your messages um you can do things
with UTXOs, locked them up in multisigs that have conditional spends. But again, at the end of the
day, it's all value transfer as denominated in Satoshis, which is a form of money.
So thinking about how software works, how software gets hacked, anytime software gets hacked,
it's not breaking. It's just a systemic exploitation. Somebody figured out how to
exploit the logic of that software. So the way that you can secure software pre-Bitcoin is you
can only try to find a way to make enough complicated logic so that people can't figure
out how to exploit that logic. But the problem is no matter what type of logic you use, you can't
actually stop someone from exploiting that logic. Logic doesn't stop the exploitation of logic. And
And that's why cybersecurity is so difficult, is because there isn't a way to physically
constrain the execution of certain control actions or control signals, except there is
now.
And so in terms of like, well, what other purpose could this have besides just money?
The purpose is we've created a way to impose physical costs on each other in from through
cyberspace.
people can impose real costs and physical objective reality as measured in watts on
other people in from through cyberspace and so can programs too why why do they do it
because doing so facilitates the movement of this money this money has value all this
cost that is being expended at the end of the day is because the utxos the tokens have value
as monetary goods it doesn't make sense if it's not money because there's no reason to buy the
asics to line up the energy contracts to buy the transformers plug that in and it's done
because people want to produce a profit for facilitating the transfer of this monetary good
yeah i do agree that this system wouldn't work if people didn't monetize it
if if that's what you're saying like like it needs people to value bit power as money in order to
to function and to have as much of a robust ecosystem as it has now like this this whole
globally decentralized hashing industry wouldn't exist if people weren't monetizing yeah this is
as money and this is where like austrian theory comes into play again with monetary goods like
the opportunity cost of using bitcoin as something that is not money is too high like it is extremely
valuable as money so once you begin to waste it on other use cases again i don't so other
than like sending messages like i'm finding hard to like think of other use cases um
At the end of the day, every software problem, like almost every software problem,
hack or systemic exploitation is because some control signal was sent that shouldn't have been sent.
Like somebody sent a control signal that placed this system into a hazardous state
and there weren't enough logical constraints to prevent that from happening.
Yeah, it's happened to Bitcoin.
But if you happen to use, instead of logical constraints, you just say, well, okay, if we know this is an unsafe control action that could send the software into a hazardous state, and we don't want to try to logically constrain someone from sending that signal, let's just not allow that signal to be sent unless it's collateralized by 10 Bitcoin.
then you have create you have secured the system the same way physical systems are secured like i
secure my system because my my money's safe in my safe because it's cost too many watts to get
through it yeah but the systems that you're using the bit power wall the paywall whatever you want
to call it are external to bitcoin like it's being like it's secure because people don't
lose their bitcoin because it's valuable money and their stake they're if they're staking it
they're saying all right i'm trusting that i'll get good value back and won't get taken from me
um again those things are external to bitcoin bitcoin can be used i mean i use it on my website
as a paywall um hey if you want this content you got to pay me 25 cents worth of sets
Um, but yeah, everything, everything is completely external to Bitcoin.
But imagine if you had APIs that says you can't access, or you can't send certain control signals
across these APIs, unless you collateralize them with Bitcoin. So let's just go ahead and say,
it's still only a monetary system. Now you've created a way for people to secure themselves
with what we'll call paywalls but are actually physical constraints because there is a material
real physical presence required to send these things you need to put up value to get value
you need to pay money and then yeah yeah and then you do it in a zero trust and egalitarian
way that no country or any group of people has ever been able to have can have control
of authority over so you have a zero trust and egalitarian system through which now you can
secure software not to access content but to prevent unsafe control actions to physically
to to constrain um to basically make your software more secure we know this works because
like i keep saying proof of bitcoin is proof of proof of work working so you can use this
exact same protocol and you can now use it to secure all kinds of things through all kinds of
of APIs that use Bitcoin, just collateralized control actions, just like a firewall, but
with Bitcoin.
I don't know.
It doesn't really secure the software at the end of the day.
Somebody could have somebody pay me and say, that's the paywall, my website, and then my
back-end, front-end development team could be shit coders and still have an insecure
system on the back of that.
Yeah.
I mean, it still requires good design, but it's impossible to say that it wouldn't work
as a security protocol because it's working as a security protocol like the fact that proof that
bitcoin hasn't been hacked is proof of its merit as a security protocol because it uses proof of
work to secure its own ledger bitcoin has an isolated system yes when you i agree i think
i think api calls are going to be your i give you packet of data you give me three sets like i think
that's the future of data transfer or value transfer via data and api calls in the future
I think that's it. But again, I think the security of the software that you're getting
in return is external to the Bitcoin network. Yeah, I guess so. One way to think about it is
if you have a global computer, like let's just assume that's right. We've created a globally
decentralized computer with a globally decentralized state space made out of all the
the power grids um if you are not allowing software or information and software or state
changes in your software to change unless it's collateralized by bitcoin then what you're doing
is you're constraining the execution of your software to the base layer state mechanism that
is the global computer so like your software cannot move or stay to state change states or
send new control signals unless it's collateralized by bitcoin and so what you've done is you've made
your software slave to the to bitcoin to the transfer of information off the off the ledger
and so you can actually use like single sats as not just money but as as physically constrained
pieces of of bits of data and i think it's a probably a more complicated way of what you
just described but the point is that's huge that's actually that is totally game changing in the
entire like 80 years of computer science and because we are already in a situation where the
where where um you know we're already fighting there's like already cybercom there's already a
u.s cyber command there's already cyber warfare is already thing um electronic warfare is already
thing and now if you've created this new way to physically constrain or secure things through
bitcoin then it's not a big leap to think okay well crap we this could become game changing for
the entire industrialized mechanism of cyber war fighting that we've already created
yeah i mean it's happening people are going to listen to this podcast they're going to be
streaming sats to my lightning node that's not on chain but yeah i do want to take the again and
i think i agree i do think it will increase the security of software and the integrity of services
and the quality of services but it's not it is because if people are going to give up their sats
they want something of extreme value in return so that will just make it so the people developing
these software projects and these services will ensure that they are providing the best code
that the market has to offer and but again like the paywall it's like bitcoin's not inherently
securing that software it is creating the incentive to provide extremely secure software
because people are only going to part with their sets if they're receiving what they
believe to be commensurate amount of value in return
yeah i mean it's like the social incentive of it the pure free market economic incentive like hey
if i'm giving you a bitcoin i go back to like human action austrian theory like fix the money
fix the world the world gets fixed because we fix the money and the money because it's such
a good money uh increases the opportunity cost of of providing a shitty service because your
recurring revenue will will dwindle pretty quickly
once you swindle somebody out of their sets and provide them a service we're good
yeah i mean i i guess it's just two ways of looking at the same thing and if if you want
to choose to look at it strictly as a monetary thing and it only is working because of its value
as a as a monetary system that's that's fair but i think it's underselling it i think if you look
at what's physically happening in shared objective reality where bits aren't moving or at least not
having consensus of having moved until large quantities of physical power have transferred,
then what you are doing by restricting a piece of software from sending a control across an API or
changing its state is actually applying a physical cost in watts to doing that. And so in that sense,
you are physically constraining the execution of an unsafe control action, just like a safety switch
physically constrains the pulling of a trigger yeah so again yeah i think i think we disagree
here where all that is external to the bitcoin network yes a lot of energy is expended um but
again it's internal to the bitcoin utx's or produced coinbase transactions are released
to miners it's all external to the system and then that closed loop network of bitcoin allows
you to go create these efficiencies and quality improvements and everything bitcoin touches
i do i think bitcoin will touch everything we have a company in ohio cenoto i believe that's
how you pronounce it but they're doing immediate value transfer uh you send me a lot of energy
i'll send you sats back uh you're gonna price your watts and sats as soon as you send it to me i'll
send you sats over the lightning network like i think yeah that's certainly how the economy
is going to work in the future already is working that way um podcasting 2.0 um it's just at what
point the the tentacles of bitcoin extend throughout the whole economy it's going to take
time yeah and so yeah i definitely agree that on its own it's its own independent system and that
other people who use Bitcoin for other different reasons are it's other systems, right? They're
their own independent systems and there is some boundary where they're connected, but that doesn't
mean that Bitcoin wouldn't necessarily be that they're the same. It's just, here's the core
thing and other people are using parts of it as its own independent system. And there's maybe like
a different boundary or, you know, you could, when it comes to systems, you can put the context or
boundary anywhere you want it but yeah by itself bitcoin is is its own entity as this thing that
transfers bits of um we can call them coins utxs yeah okay so you can but we have established that
there are security there are ways to use that for security purposes like it's undeniable that this
could change how people choose to secure their software it might not be inherent exclusively to
the bitcoin network itself it might be like an independent thing but it would still be attached
because it's still requiring the transfer where the security comes in like the paywall pay
hey, get something in return.
Yep.
It could be shit.
It could have bad, like your website could have bad security.
You could still have some shitty database code written
that allows somebody to inspect Element,
or I don't know how it happens,
but get access to user information, emails, whatever.
like that's not you can't just put a paywall and all that security magically manifest
yeah um it like we can get into software system security but like kind of what i said already
is software system security is fundamentally someone sent a control action which put the
system in a hazardous state. So how do you prevent someone from executing an unsafe control action?
Maybe they should have sent it, but they didn't, or they shouldn't have sent it, but they did,
or they sent it for too long, or they sent that control action for too short. Either case,
if you collateralize, or if you prevent that control signal from being submitted, unless
it's accompanied by Bitcoin, then technically what you have done is not apply a logical
constraint which is how software is normally secured you've applied a physical constraint
that's a logical constraint it's a logical constraint like you don't get this unless you
give me five sets yeah it's both yeah so the logic is you don't get it unless you
collateralize with bitcoin but bitcoin itself is machine code applied to quantities of power so
like bitcoin cannot be transmitted unless materially large quantities of physical power are
changed they change their state and this physical constraint
agreed but again so like again difficulty adjustment hash rate fluctuates so let's just
zoom out hash rate can fluctuate it has been fluctuating it's been going down the price of
bitcoin's been stable last week so technically we're going off this example like compared to
last week the price of bitcoin is about the same but you need uh we had an upward difficulty
adjustment last week so you need a little bit more power to get this transaction confirmed but
you know like monetary value that transaction is the same and so this this this reminds me a lot
of the big meme that went around years ago that bitcoin mining is a battery which is just not true
you expend the energy create the hash create trillions of hashes one of one of which allows
you to add a block of um transactions to the ledger but there's you're not like again when
you're unlocking that paywall as a user yes the bitcoin network is expending energy to
order transactions and propagate blocks,
but this connection of power being expended.
Doesn't it make sense, or isn't it accurate to say
that people literally don't have the watts to 51% attack?
The reason why it's secure against a 51% attack
is because not just the hash,
but you also literally need the watts.
You just need the power to do it.
You just don't have it.
so that right there is a physical constraint it's not constrained logically because you know
exactly how to exploit the logic you just literally can't do it because you don't have
the watts to do it even if you had all the hat like if you didn't have a bunch of s19s
do you actually have the power to do it if you don't then that's a physical constraint that's
completely different than how most software is secure yeah and again that's specific the bitcoin
not the other softwares that are implementing it
as a payments gateway.
But if you use, but because it requires so much power
to change the state of the ledger to add another block
with the ETXOs, because it requires so much power,
if you logically constrain the execution
of a software control action to Bitcoin,
it says this cannot take place unless this transaction hits the base layer
then what like unless i see this payment on the blockchain this command action cannot take place
then because it takes a materially large quantity of physical power to change the state of the
ledger and because that's coupled to the control action required to change the state of the
software then what you've technically done is you've not only logically constrained it but
you've applied a physical cost because that state cannot change unless the materially large
quantity of Watts is expended to solve the, to find the knots or do whatever else is required
to get consensus. Again, I think they're distinct and separate because again, that's
like trying to like think through this logically. I guess some transactions take longer to confirm
than others may you mempool may be full you may be waiting 100 blocks instead of two um yeah and
then on top of that those blocks are confirming thousands potentially tens of thousands of
transactions or um hundreds of thousands of payments represented by one similar transaction
so to try to equate the all the energy consumption or all the energy conversion that goes into
finding the hash that adds a block that your transaction is confirmed into this one gateway
it just it does not compute for me um yeah i mean that's just one use case i could think of
there's there's other ones there as of course the orange check idea again if you choose
use to strictly only look at bitcoin as only a coin these look at paywall these look like paywalls
or these look at like ways to make it too expensive in in monetary value to uh for example
like run a bot farm and spam a bunch of bots i think that was like the yeah it's all the monitor
but that's just but like you can measure the value of of bitcoin in watts because it is digitized
watts so like that's just some i i think you can i these are all theories that could be i mean
but we have hash value um so you have hash value as a metric uh sets per terahash per day
right now it's three hundred look at how many watts per terahash yeah agreed you can do that
but again it's it's money at the end that you're just changing the account from watts to dollars
i think that's eventually what will happen um yeah but again it's still money the sats are
money measured in watts um when we get to that point yeah agreed um but like the watts are
unlike like a like a machine so like unlike steak or unlike an eth sets are like you said
our watts are convertible to watts eth is an imaginary bs thing it doesn't physically exist
in any material real form it's just totally an abstraction applied to state changes in a computer
and so that's the difference is it's actually hugely remarkable that you can't even make that
conversion between sats to terahash or terahats to watts that's like i can't emphasize enough
that's a big deal going back to nikola tesla henry ford yeah i agree um yeah but again but
It goes back to, I think this is where we disagree, is what drives the value? Is it the energy or is it the token that the energy gets you at the end of the day as a miner?
so like that's what drives the value is bitcoin is money it's perfect money it's the best money
we've ever seen and that's why all this electricity is being expended to facilitate the
continuation of blocks being produced yeah so and i think that's where my point of view is so
unique is i see bitcoin as power that the bitcoin is is valuable for the same reason strength is
valuable is is the same reason why military power is valuable is because the more power you have
the more ability you have to keep something secure the more ability you have to decrease the benefit
to cost ratio of attacking a certain thing and people like security and so bitcoin is proof of
its own merit as a security protocol and if you have something super secure that can't be
systemically exploited by anybody then obviously that quantity of bits would double as a fantastic
thing to monetize because it would create the most secure system and then the most secure money that
you've ever seen again until we got all that wattage all that security because the token has
value because it's good money like i know it's like a we got this loop right well no i mean this
is no it's not a live this has been a very ongoing debate in the history of bitcoin what what leads
what hash rate or price um price leads hash rate it's undeniable um we're seeing it right now price
is going down hash rate is falling because it's unprofitable to my bitcoin so people have to turn
off because they're running businesses that yeah they cannot run unprofitably um bitcoin price goes
up that token price goes up people start plugging miners back in because that token has more value
and it makes economic sense to to plug your asics back in here's an interesting thought because
because i understand the maybe the relationship between hash rate and and price has anyone done
the relationship between total watts and price like how many total watts are spent over the
network and then what the total value of the network is because that i think that would be
interesting would be but how could you calculate it right because it's the fact that it's permission
yeah um yeah you don't know you don't know so but the point is a theory could be that
maybe it's um maybe there's a direct correlation there there could be could be um it seems like
It's using more power than it did before, and it's also more valuable.
So maybe we've uncovered some weird complex relationship that has been at play for thousands of years,
but it's never been more explicit than now that we have Bitcoin.
Yeah.
And by the way, this wouldn't be unprecedented because it's no secret that usually the most powerful nations have the world reserve currency.
Maybe there really is like a no kidding relationship between power and value that, that we just are discovering as like a, as like a general humanity.
Yeah.
Because you're starting to get some, into some deep combo here.
I know.
Well, that, if that were the case, Venezuela would be a world superpower.
So I think, I think that was a brilliant play.
i think um max kaiser is gonna is a napoleonic level genius um i think that they are going to
show the world that el salvador nation also i said venezuela because venezuela's got what
like the third largest oh sorry oh sorry yeah but el salvador yeah i think they made a great
move as well el salvador not only do i think they're making a great move for money i think
they're they're gonna prove to the world that they can stand up to a superpower a nuclear superpower
multiple nuclear superpowers yeah the imf represents all of them yes exactly and so
they are proving the point that like this is a military grade security technology because
the world's combined greatest militaries can't can't stop me from my bitcoin like it's
um i think that has a lot that will showcase a lot of value and maybe there is some relationship
between power and value and who knows if one leads the other or if they're completely separate but
like the point is holy crap that's huge and holy crap you now have an example of a nation state
standing up to global superpowers on something that used to be like a fundamental thing that
people fought over kinetically and it's just going to totally change the game agreed there
yeah it's
again they're
forced
like the
incumbent system
that they're
walking away
from the
dollar reserve
system
petrodollar
system
like you're
forced to
act within
the rules set
forth by that
military industrial
complex with
bitcoin you opt
out
yep
and you're
forced to
operate within
the rules of
that distributed
consensus
that
but before
bitcoin
you like if
you had opted
out of the usd and tried to go you would still have to be like you would just adopt the chinese
superpower version or the russian super like the point is people didn't have an option to not
choose a or you could be except for they kind of did with gold but then that got captured so
you know i'm working down if you try to get back to gold he got a knife stuck up his ass
rather quickly um that's yeah
yeah it's been a fascinating conversation it's just something to think about yeah um i know that
i i i know that um i understand every single argument i i read the stuff i coded i go through
these comments and um and if anything just can maybe just try to consider it as an alternative
point of view. And I'm not necessarily even trying to convince anyone that this is the way they
should think of it. I'm just trying to convince the people that it's like, hey, you've got to
understand that this has major implications beyond money. This is going to change the way that
humans organize. It's going to change the role of government. It's going to change
the necessity of our traditional military uh industrial complex i i could totally agree with
all that stuff i think and i'm i'm testing out these ideas in public and they're they are
resonating they are helping some people get orange pills sooner
um that and i know that it's like scary to think about it but maybe just consider the
the arguments that I made
on why
it's totally
legit to be
concerned, but
just think that through
because
there could also be
benefits to it that are worth considering.
Yeah.
I agree. I think Bitcoin
already has
changed energy. It's changing
payments. It's changing
podcasting. It's going to change
change many other things um but again that's why they fix the money fix the world it fixes these
things because it's better and it forces people to act differently they cannot then the opportunity
cost of misallocating capital is going to increase so high that people are forced to actually produce
good shit and provide value to the world they can't just um sit there and ride the gravy train
that is the money printer anymore.
They're actually going to have to sit down.
And that's how Bitcoin impacts the world
in many different facets beyond money.
Because we have a good money,
all these other facets of our life improve
because people are forced to produce a better good and service.
If we do choose...
So one other benefit that I didn't mention is
By framing it, when I frame it as a cybersecurity technology, then I immediately undermine the authority of the Treasury Department and the Federal Reserve because they're not qualified to be talking about the merit of cybersecurity technology.
um they should not be in charge of the national especially a conversation about the national
strategic implications of of this cyber security technology i would argue they're not qualified to
talk about money either yeah that's a fair manage those systems as well i don't think i don't i
don't think i hate the federal government i don't i do not like them um i don't think they provide
value and that's what again so i guess we can wrap this up with me um just explaining my point
of view which is i don't think we should particularly with the weapons grade munitions
status of bitcoin i think that provides the federal government who is set to lose out massively in a
in which bitcoin succeeds with an arrow in the quiver of an attack vector with oh you plebs are
using weapons-grade munitions uh we actually have to step in executive order uh we can't allow this
it is a national security threat but that would be true for foreigners too it would be true for
all people so you could just as easily say holy crap everyone's you figured out how to use this
we must we must stockpile it we must be good at this because this is if we want to continue to be
and so i think we just don't want to get pigeonholed into the idea of only the united
states against only its own government because this is a global thing so if we make that argument
it would say hey we can't afford to let china and russia have more of this than we do or like that
would be a primary concern agreed but i also think our government is hell-bent on repeating the
chinese social credit scoring system exporting that here to united states i don't think the
sociopaths in charge of our government really care about that they see china's control over
their populace and get envious they've come out and said it it's not the exact terms but
this has been articulated by people in the defense department
the if bitcoin is what i think it is it doesn't matter it doesn't agreed it's not a
this is not a negotiation it like they're gonna yeah so come to the private sector
stop trying to help them out just come come work on the energy sector in bitcoin and uh
uh it's tempting it's true hey um before i go i owe the um i want to i owe the people all the
people i blocked an explanation because i promised i would give it to them
so i thought you were going to um be like how is it possible that you're not a spook on this like
government sanctioned psychological operation i'm surprised you didn't ask me that i mean or like
why is and i know that's like an understood like assumption that you're making but and you know
why even bother to get me to try to explain why i'm not because why would you should be not trust
not trusting me but one explanation for anyone who's listening that just can't come up with a
a viable explanation for why i became suddenly so discussed so quickly is because i think there
is like a symbolic relationship happening where people's like like hatred against the state or at
least you know like they're discontent with certain words i think that is like actually
causing me to become more discussed or like bring more attention to me you're leaning in creating
yeah like well so yeah so essentially what i wanted to prove was like
i can show you that like i i like if this hypothesis is true then all i have to do is
what i did was anyone who said by the way no one's blocked i unblocked everybody um
So, all you have to do to kind of like showcase how this phenomenon works is by using well-known
network targeting or marketing effects, using the systemic exploitable features of Twitter.
And so, all I did was anytime anyone said an ad hominem argument, so just like just
not really being rational, just like talking crap or had like a preachy posts of like some,
like, like virtue signaling thing about like how war's bad or if they used any of the top three
common arguments that I usually get. So the argument that it's defense only the argument
that it's software can't be used as a weapon or an argument that it was first amendment
should be enough. I didn't block the people who made those assertions or made those memes.
I blocked only the people who echoed those so I only blocked the likers and the retweeters
and then I liked the people who made the you know the insults so that I could get the feed of
all the people who are making the ex uh the the insults and then I only liked the echoey people
and so what I was doing was I was essentially blocking the people most likely to disagree with
me or most likely to dislike me and the most likely to like and retweet it and and it started
this like like dynamo vicious cycle yeah but but i know it's a vicious cycle you destroyed my
notifications this weekend that's that's what happened to me i said people like you blocked
me i was like i don't know so the the point is i i don't that's unintentional i'm like not
trying to well in this case it literally was because i was actually trying to experiment but
like i can't help it if people are like talking about me all the time and bringing all this
attention i think that's why if you're trying to come up with a viable explanation for why i keep
on the streisand effect of the bitcoiners yeah it's kind of like that yeah and then in the process
what i was hoping to do is show that like you can use defensive only tools as an offensive tactic
because i was targeting you i was targeting your network and just trying to like force you to you
know not be able to see me and kind of just constraining you and so this is a network
targeting strategy and then also um um i'm just kind of trying to show you that these are the
types of systemic exploitations that are happening right now all the time twitter has way more data
than i can like all i can see is likes and retweets towards tracking everything every
website you go to is tracking this you are being surveilled at massive scale and you are being
exploited at massive scale i just use a basic exploit that i that i know of but like what
twitter and facebook and all these social media people can do is extraordinary and and they're
constantly doing these social experiments on you without your note you're noticing they're
constantly running these a b tests on you without your noticing they're figuring out what's causally
inferable so they're actually now able to prove that they can create a response not just a
correlation between behaviors but they're actually exploiting you like forcing fit they can cause
actual behavior changes and like so we're already in this state of software being used not just
governed by governments but also just by commercial industry to systemically exploit people
at extraordinary scale and like this is the type of thing that bitcoin could help out with we could
like maybe these types of paywalls could help out with this and so that's just like what i'm trying
to to show but but we just have to start thinking about this in um in a different way and the last
thing I'll say is the two reasons why this worked was because people think alike. So homophily is
a thing. Birds of a feather flock together. So if you are inclined to dislike me, then you have a
high probability of being a friend of someone who's inclined to dislike me. And so that's why
I can produce this like kind of Streisand effect or at least fan that flame. And then also when we
talk in like, if you go to like a, like a public forum and talk and say something radical, soft
war, what you'll see in a normal situation is a normal distribution of responses. So on the extreme
right of the distribution, there'll be people that are angry at you. And on the extreme left
of the distribution, the people who are in support of you, but most people will be totally indifferent.
They'll just not care. So it's a normal distribution. So the top 10% are okay. And so if
you're like in a public forum, that's what you'll see. People will give you that feedback. But with
these social algorithms, especially when we start using social media algorithms that rewards likes
and retweets and AIs that are controlling what we see on our feed, it's been proven, it's very
showcase there's actually a whole book about this if you want to go and read it called the
hype machine there is a what you see online is nothing like what you experience in person it is
a j curve especially on twitter meaning a j curve meaning on the side where there's like a lot of
people or on the side where people agree with you there's like a uptick then it dips so if you're
looking at the actions of people on Twitter, there's people who are in the middle of you,
there are dips, people who are just indifferent are doing nothing. So people who like you are
kind of, you know, liking and retweeting people who don't care are doing nothing. But then the
people who hate you or are angry or, you know, upset for some reason, that's the other, the tall
side of the J. So what that means is anytime you're on social media, like you've ever wondered
why you just feel angry on twitter all the time is because the way the algorithm works and what you
see is the the angry people self-identify they're the ones most likely to like they're the most
ones most likely to retweet and that is distorting our perception of of reality in ways that we at
least need to understand and ways that we could maybe one day fix if we can find cooler ways of
using things like bitcoin to to to kind of quell that stuff and and in this case i exploited that
feature and i basically figured out okay the people most likely to write and retweet are the
ones that are most angry so what can i do to anger them will i block the ones that like retweet and
so you can start that cycle but it is creepy how well that worked marty i know that is again you
You destroyed, you destroyed my mentions.
And so please just be aware that these risks are real.
These, the systemic exploitation is happening now.
And like, these are the conversations I think are productive about why, how can we use mechanisms
to fix that?
Because Elon Musk isn't going to fix that.
You can't fix that with a God King who has full control over the software.
You would have, you just have to trust him not to exploit you with it.
but, and you can't fix it with a blue check mark because of United States dollar, because that
gives control authority to the people who control the United States dollar. We have to find some
decentralized way of doing this, which I, I know is like what the, like what Jack is after, you
know, finally, like maybe some, but like, these are the things that Bitcoin can solve. These are
the things that we should be thinking about. And just, you know, if I am a spook, I have worked
the intelligence community i don't deny it that's what that's why i call you because you're literally
a spook and then yeah i'm literally a spook and i'm and i'm um and yeah but i don't understand
why people don't think that's like a transparent thing i do but just be aware like you might be
you there might be other explanations for why i get so much attention that
Stray set in effect.
Yeah, I think that's the most logical explanation and I tried to kind of showcase that and I'm
very concerned about how effectively it worked.
No.
No, I think everybody-
Okay, thank you for letting me do that.
To get everybody back on your side, you just have to convince Bitcoin Twitter that you're
fifth pillar, fifth column.
You're going to come to the private sector.
Jason.
I would, how ironic would it be if you converted me?
It's going to happen.
That would be like the ultimate success story for you.
We're three and a half hours in here. It's been a pleasure.
We talked a lot.
Yeah. Thanks for coming on. I mean, I know you've been getting a lot of shit.
Some of it coming from me.
Self-incurred. Yeah. But also some of it, cause I bring it on, you know,
it's my fault.
That's why I like, I like these long,
long form conversations can hash it out, pun intended.
it's a pleasure man I'm looking forward to our next
talk I am as well I hope you
enjoy the rest of your Monday night
freaks I hope you enjoyed the conversation
follow Jason
at Jason P Lowry
correct
yep that's it
anywhere else
no not yet no just that
alright go follow Jason
everybody enjoy the
rest of your day stop screaming at people
on Twitter go read a book
Peace and love, freaks.
