TFTC: A Bitcoin Podcast - #406: Debt-Based Colonialism and Structural Adjustment with Alex Gladstein
Episode Date: March 20, 2023Join Marty as he sits down with Alex Gladstein to discuss how the IMF and World Bank harness debt to funnel resources from poor nations to rich ones. Alex's article on Bitcoin Magazine: https://bitcoi...nmagazine.com/culture/imf-world-bank-repress-poor-countries Alex's Essays: https://alexgladstein.com/ Alex Gladstein at HRF: https://hrf.org/team/alex-gladstein/ 5:26 - In town for SXSW talking about CFA franc 10:06 - Colonial exploitation 17:21 - Transfer of control of energy 19:51 - Outsourcing the cost 28:24 - The unrecorded losses 36:38 - Structural Adjustment 42:36 - What it could look like without the current system 49:32 - Double standard 52:51 - Bitcoin fixes this 1:01:13 - No political solution 1:04:16 - Odious debt 1:10:10 - Biological effect of wage deflation 1:12:30 - Bitcoin fixes this - again 1:20:00 - Wrapping up Shoutout to our sponsors: Unchained Capital River CrowdHealth Bitcoin Talent Co TFTC Merch is Available: Shop Now Join the TFTC Movement: Main YT Channel Clips YT Channel Website Twitter Instagram Follow Marty Bent: Twitter Newsletter Podcast
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enjoy this red freaks
you've had a dynamic where money's become freer than free
If you talk about a Fed just gone nuts, all the central banks going nuts.
So it's all acting like safe haven.
I believe that in a world where central bankers are tripping over themselves to devalue their currency, Bitcoin wins.
In the world of fiat currencies, Bitcoin is the victor.
I mean, that's part of the bull case for Bitcoin.
If you're not paying attention, you probably should be.
Alex, it's been a while.
Happy to be here.
I'm happy you're here.
There's a lot going on in the world right now.
Yeah, right now my mind is focused on how comfy your chairs are.
Thank you.
These are pre-Nixon ripping us off the gold standard chairs.
This is beautiful.
This is the quality we can have if we bring back a sound money stand.
These are not fiat chairs.
These are not fiat chairs.
It's okay to buy non-fiat chairs with your Bitcoin.
You should sell your chairs for Bitcoin, actually.
It's the other way around.
Okay.
These ones are worth it, I would say.
How's it feel to be back in Austin?
it's been great it was surprisingly cold yeah i i've been coming to south by every year for
seven or eight years and uh it's always hot here like uncomfortably hot and this is the first year
it's been like temperate and mild which is probably nice for you guys right yeah i'm liking it i got
to wear a sweatshirt at the beefsteak last night yep i wish i had brought a sweatshirt to the
beefsteak last night i was cold you should have let me know it would have brought you one i know
well it it was soon not a concern after the waves of delicious food and and uh and beverage hit me
so we were fine well the beefsteak was incredible we also had an incredible pre-game to the beefsteak
which was the hrf event right outside this wall here yeah we've been doing events with bitcoin
commons for the last few years now um typically what happens is the south by organizers even the
the largest creative festival you know on the planet arguably or at least one of the bigger
ones they totally ignore bitcoin usually they have like a slew of altcoin programming pay for play
you know last year they had like the chain link guy give a keynote and stuff like that good time
but usually it's like bitcoin's not on the radar which i find it unfortunate because you know most
of these people are pre-coiners you know they'd be they'd be interested a lot of them not all
them are no coiners so i was happy to submit a a proposal this year and they accepted it which
was cool and it was about fighting back against monetary colonialism so we had frida naburema and
maget wade here uh at south by we had a huge line of people waiting to get in uh it was very full
we probably had a couple hundred people there it was great we talked a lot about bitcoin and
empowerment and on ending colonialism and exploitation and then we came over here for a
little little party after yeah and the uh are we allowed to talk about what was previewed here yeah
yeah so we have the uh nine minute video diving deep into uh the cfa the the way the french have
sort of financially colonized parts of africa totally with their currency that they control
in paris and are able to debase people in senegal and other countries yeah there's an animation team
that i've been working with over the last year and a half and three months ago we started work on a
video to explain the sifa system sifa is the way people on the street call the the cfa the colonial
french franc currency that's used in 15 african countries today ever since world war ii 180
million people still use this thing they call it the sifa and we wanted to do an animated video um
Because you can do a lot of kind of like historical explanation
through animation that I find it's a little tougher to do
in sort of a doc, a live doc.
Yeah, you don't want to do a dramatization.
It's so cheesy.
We used my initial essay from two years ago
as kind of one of the grounding plot lines.
And then we added a bunch of other stuff
and parts of my Check Your Financial Privilege book as well.
And then also just extensive interviews with Farida,
who's kind of the main character of that story.
And we ended up, they storyboarded it, they put it together,
and we went through a bunch of edits and got a 10-minute video done
and released on Twitter and social media, YouTube, yesterday.
And I'm very proud of it.
I think it hits hard.
We're going to be playing it tomorrow at the Takeover
when I interview Farida about this topic.
And if you want to check it out, it's pinned to the top of my Twitter,
profile at gladstein right now um but every detail was carefully considered we'll put it that way
it's it's hard to explain something like the sifa because it's it's that's dynamics are so hidden
and there's so much there there's so much going on that we want to like shed light on all of it
it's hard to do in two minutes or three minutes so we really wanted that full 10 minutes you know
but um now we can we can go deeper and deeper into those dynamics uh in a longer format here
for sure yeah i mean sifa is just one example of this financial colonization that exists and
this is an example of one country doing it but if like we have the article you wrote for bitcoin
magazine that dives into other entities out there that aren't just one country but represent
a coalition of countries like the imf and the world bank yeah i mean look i i think that
bitcoiners know that the imf and world bank are up to no good i think that most people know the imfs
up to no good like most people especially people in the global south they're like screw this they
protest against the mf all the time i think that a lot of people in the west think neutrally about
the world bank or you know maybe it's this thing that has downsides but we really need it you know
who else is going to fund these projects so there's just so much misinformation about these
institutions out there and you know to be honest with you I didn't I didn't have a like a detailed
understanding of why they exist or why they work beyond kind of just like a surface level
understanding of it before last summer I was really intrigued when I learned about how the
system worked and how the IMF was so integral in maintaining it like when for example in 1994
Before, the SIFA was devalued by 50%, wiping out half the savings of all the people who used the thing, making everything way more expensive for them.
That was something the IMF was involved in.
So that was like the SIFA dictators.
Basically, the 15 countries that use the SIFA, almost all of them are dictators.
And they'll basically negotiate with the French and they'll enact policy that's good for them but terrible for everybody else, essentially, living under them.
And the IMF was was issuing this like dictat essentially that that we recommend you devalue by half so that your exports become more competitive.
Right. And I was like, hmm, there's probably more to that.
And what you would what you would I think I want to I'm trying to paint through my essay called Structural Adjustment, which is coming out as a book in May before the Bitcoin conference.
The book will be called Hidden Repression, How the IMF and World Bank Sell Exploitation as Development.
and i'll be giving a keynote at the bitcoin conference in miami about it um but basically
what i've what i'm trying to argue in the book is that you had this process of of timeless process
of stronger countries taking advantage of weaker countries or nations or empires or what have you
and and a lot of this was monetary going way way back and something you notice is that to sustain
our way of life in what we would call whether you want to call us the core countries the economic
powers whatever you want to describe them as but in modern times we're talking about the u.s
germany japan you want to go back we're talking about the british empire whoever was like the
most dominant economic power or collection of dominant economic powers they constitute what
we call the core and then there's the periphery right so what you what you realize and observe
is that the core wants to reduce inflation at home
and subsidize the way of life of people there.
And that's pretty hard to do.
So one thing that they do to overcome that
is they get cheap inputs of labor and goods
from what's called the periphery.
Or you could say global north and global south,
or developed world and developing world.
You know, there's all kinds of different language
we've used over the years.
First world and third world.
The audience kind of gets what I mean.
But the point is that our way of life is inextricably linked, not just to the values that our country and our countries have been built on.
Like, trust me, I'm a huge supporter of individual freedom and, you know, constitutions, liberal democracies, checks and balances, property rights, free speech.
Like, I really love America for these things.
And I love Western civilization for these things.
Like, I don't want to come off as some sort of communist or something.
like that's what i believe in most fundamentally the thing is we have to understand that we are
successful not just because of these things not just because we have free speech not just because
we have property rights not just because we have open capital markets not just because
we allow commerce to flower a lot more than than in a closed society not just because we have
dissent and civil society and the ability to have things like bitcoin commons that is a massive part
of why we're successful but another really large factor in why we're successful is that we steal
things from poor countries we steal time and we steal resources from poor countries or we exploit
it at a you know at a big big big discount and i think we should just be humble about that and
then we can try and think about how to make a better world and um we don't have a counterfactual
like we don't have a world where that didn't happen unfortunately you talk about again germany
france britain united states japan we got to where we are today in no in no you know small way
because of colonialism and resource colonialism it's just part of the story is that does that
resonate with you at all yeah it totally doesn't particularly because i know we were talking about
this last night um the exploitation of the congolese for their coal um and rare earth
minerals and it's one thing that frustrates me because i completely agree there's a lot of
exploitation going around and being an american citizen and watching the trend of people
pontificating about the green energy revolution and the need to stop climate change
and what we've really done i think that's a bunch of larping and virtue signaling because people
want to feel good about believing that they're helping the world but all of that progress that's
been made on those green energy fronts and the cell phone revolution the smartphone revolution
has been made on the backs of congolese slaves we don't look at the human cost to our policies and
you know what like putting aside the climate change stuff for the moment like well because
it's it's completely hidden in another country most people probably don't even recognize what's
going on like it's they do not see the consequences of that cost anywhere in their life well i have a
chapter on this in my book but like uh like the west stole enormous amounts of fossil fuels from
the developing world to help it develop and in fact what's really interesting is when we lost
control of the major sources of of oil and petroleum this was in the late 60s 70s so this
is when colonialism proper ended and opec became a thing like the countries that sat on top of the
majority of the world's fossil fuels became independent now i'm not endorsing their governments
most of them are terrible dictatorships but the geopolitics politics of it was that the west no
longer controlled the production of of oil in that sense anymore like we no longer had swing
production okay saudi arabia did as head of opec and guess what when we lost that ability to have
control over like cheaper than otherwise would be energy for our societies guess what we had in the
70s massive inflation so not many people look closely at the link between colonialism and then
decolonization and inflation and i think this is really important um one reason we had the great
depression is linked to this as well and this is something i've uncovered in some some really
interesting um history books that that are not in the mainstream but i think most of their theses
are pretty strong there's a book called capital and imperialism that does a good job of arguing
this even though i like i don't agree with the authors on a lot of their conclusions i think this
this observation is true we often talk about the debate of why did we have the great depression
um at the end of the 1920s early 1930s you know a lot of people think it's because we left the
gold standard a lot of people think that it's because we didn't leave it soon enough whatever
There's a whole debate among Keynesians and Austrians about this, right?
And other people argue all different things.
What's super clear to me, after thinking more deeply about, you know, the world as a global system, is that decolonization, like, made it so that the West, like our societies, we were getting cheap, like, less and less and less cheap labor and goods.
Because colonialism was, like, in decline, let's say.
so between the 1920s and 1960s like it it it went extinct essentially more or less there's a couple
exceptions like like zimbabwe was you know rhodesia or whatever until 1980 but in general what was
happening is like our control over the resources of the world remember like the the the global south
or whatever you want to call it the third world has the majority of the world's people and the
majority of the world's resources raw materials we in the whatever you want to call it the core
the global north we don't we have a minority of the world's people and a minority of the world's
resources so when control over that was taken from us quote unquote what i really mean is like
united states europe japan whatever guess what our economy went down the drain and and i think
that's a big part of it that we overlook it's not just that there were issues in the monetary system
in the technology the monetary system it's also that this like conveyor belt of cheap labor and
resources like started to grind to a halt and this is at the heart of the thesis of my my upcoming
book is that what i've noticed and what i'm trying to argue is that the imf and world bank took the
role of what traditional imperialism used to do like traditional like old school british imperialism
was like going around the world yeah with an army with boats with guns with slaves and just like
taking resources and cheap labor enslaving taking using violence and and getting cheap resources and
goods to subsidize the way of life back home that was like old school imperialism you want to go
back to the spanish and silver in bolivia all of it like the whole thing was just like going
somewhere else and taking that became like politically untenable and like basically unacceptable
in the early to mid part of the of the of last century and as that slowed down we saw enormous
economic disturbances so um that in my opinion has to be taken into account we talk about the
great depression and then the next big economic crisis came in the 70s and that to me is really
obviously linked to the fact that we no longer controlled energy like somebody else did and that
meant we had massive inflation now every time this happens we choose to enact policies that
benefit us and sacrifice the rest if you want to look at the dollar world today and again for all
its benefits just you know we want to be even-handed here and humble but what we often don't think
about is that the dollar world today is sustained by and at the expense of other people and other
other parts of the world so like let's just look at volcker so volcker comes in to save us from
inflation in the 70s by raising interest rates to whatever close to 20 you know that wasn't
particularly uh pleasant for lower middle class americans in the 80s we had a huge recession right
but like you know it wasn't a total disaster but what most americans didn't realize is that that
caused what was what's known as the third world debt crisis which was enormous amounts of starvation
and death across the whole global south in the 80s um these countries had been fattened up with
all this debt that we loaned them and that was all dollar denominated and then all of a sudden
the dollar the price the cost of capital went way up and they all basically starved and they could
only be rescued quote unquote by more and more debt so this is partly what explains why debt
has gone exponential in the third world since since 71 since since the beginning of the fiat
system but we we are seeing this repeat history rhymes right so now we had this long era of zerp
right and coming out of it powell is going to do his volcker thing and we got rates going from
0.3 percent fed funds to what is probably going to be five percent like there's probably going
to be another 25 point basis point hike on the table here probably so we're going we're going
from 0.3 to 5 which which is breaking stuff like very short amount of time yeah yeah and like
americans are correct to be upset about that breaking things like breaking svb breaking all
these breaking banks like people having a hard time um what we are not seeing is the devastation
it's had on the rest of the world i mean in the last 18 months we've seen all kinds of regimes
get toppled revolutions hyperinflations mass starvations i mean like and it goes back to this
timeless thing unfortunately which relates to the money system we protect our economy by
sacrificing others it's a very simple but brutal concept so we want to fight inflation at home we
don't like price inflation it's annoying it's problematic in a democracy the voters don't like
it etc etc great so we're going to raise interest rates we don't think about that externality
it's like a tragedy of commons type thing like it's it's a global system so we raise the cost
of capital here everybody else goes down and this is how it's always worked in order to save us
we've always had to sacrifice them and there's you know a a a specific tactic here and that's
essentially to prevent inflation here we need wage deflation over there like it's again it's
a global system so wage deflation was was actually one of the main goals of imperialism
it was one of the main goals of colonialism and is one of the main goals of the imf world bank
like neoliberal model of the world today like what we need for our societies for all the things that
we love to do we need cheap shit and we need cheap labor and you have to think about where
does that cheap labor come from and that cheap labor comes often from a deflation of wages and
in massive human rights violations in fact at south by we had a booth here the human rights
foundation it's pretty awesome i'll show you some photos of it later but it was like a clean white
booth with two racks of t-shirts one was on sale for 45.99 one was on sale for 4.99 45.99 one was
made in california the 4.99 one was made in china and basically what what you saw was in the middle
of the exhibit a machine spitting out receipts and the receipts on the receipt was printed the
true cost who was paying and it was all these like political prisoners from xinjiang and and all of
the forced labor in china so like when you're paying 4.99 yeah you're only paying 4.99 they're
paying the other 40 with their life you know with their blood sweat tears whatever so someone's
paying the true cost you just don't see it and and that's something we need to think about like
of course things get cheaper over time because of technological innovation but when you see really
big price disparities like that you know that there's some sort of some sort of oppression
happening and our entire system is based on this our entire system is based on policies that protect
us over here while screwing them over over there and we'll get into it here but like a lot of this
has to do with agricultural policy a lot of this has to do with tariffs and subsidies on agricultural
goods a lot of this has to do with the u.s foreign policy objective which which from a realist
perspective makes total sense that we wanted to be energy and food sovereign and we wanted
everybody else to be dependent on us for that so this is totally baked into the petrodollar system
you want oil you got to buy it in dollars you want fertilizer you got to buy it in dollars
and you got to get your food from us so africa which is just for example incredibly fertile
continent in an adam smith style comparative advantage free market utopia should probably
be feeding the world africa imports 85 of its food which is a giant scandal you're telling me
this and um that's because of west of world bank imf type policies that like coax leaders of these
countries always usually undemocratic leaders typically coaxes them to follow certain policies
and incentivize certain industries that move the energy of that nation
away from feeding itself and developing itself to making shit for us.
So what you saw under the World Bank and IMF policies
in a generalized way over the last 50, 60 years
was a moving away from industry and consumption agriculture,
cattle, rice, things actually people eat that they need,
and a move towards exports for international markets.
So the global south has been engineered to make stuff like coffee, cocoa, cotton, rubber, palm oil,
and then, of course, any sort of extractive mineral that can be taken out of the ground
and moved out without benefiting the locals.
So these economies have been specialized to be focused on digging stuff out of their ground
and growing stuff, shrimp farming, and aquaculture.
and then and then and then giving it to somebody else and the government takes a small part but
the international markets take most of it like gold mining in ghana i was shocked to learn
when i was there with miles and and and um mike brock and jack and a few other people earlier
a few months ago in ghana we learned about this like the gold trade there like recently not not
like in history like over the last 20 30 years something like 95 98 of the profits of the gold
that's dug out of the ground in ghana goes to someone else not in ghana it's like it's insane
so so these countries have all been like directed or engineered or shaped to produce stuff for us
and then that way they need to be dependent on us for food and and energy but mainly food so it's
it's just this really unfortunate tragic uh outcome of of the realist policy we have to be
to be the world power and um i think that we just don't think about these things enough i certainly
didn't you know you you go out in a beautiful large city in america or europe japan one of
these imperial powers and you look around and again like yes our values are so much of what
makes us prosperous but a lot of it is also the fact that we've just exploited and i think the
more humble and open we can be towards that i think the better we're going to be positioned
to make a better world where we can actually co-create and cooperate um forced cooperation
instead of exploitation and i think that the bitcoin standard is going to be a big big factor
in this yeah once you have a monetary system that doesn't have different classes things are going to
be very different um a lot of this nonsense is like not going to be quite possible like if you
think about the subsidies that american farmers get which make it uncompetitive for africans to
make food for for for export and for them to eat um a lot of this has to do with money printing
and and you know that sort of thing yeah which is only possible because it's offset by deflation
elsewhere like like the subsidies we we create and the money we print for things like foreign
wars foreign resource wars our own social safety nets here in america and europe and and subsidies
for agriculture that's that would normally bankrupt us and throw us into like a crazy
inflationary spiral with with the caveat that we get this like flow of cheap labor and resources
from abroad i mean as listeners will understand like i'm basically talking about globalization
here um and globalization in a textbook sounds like a great idea let's all be free markets let's
trade with each other but because trade is not free market it's it's all centrally planned um
that's not how it's worked out for people so i know we have this like idea in in a lot of the
bitcoin communities of like localism and local communities and things like that i think that's
going to be a good thing i think i think globalization unfortunately it just has been
negative for so many of the world's people and and we don't see that here we're like oh it's great
like chinese people make this and people in africa do this and and we don't we don't kind of see the
cost but on the other side of that it's been it's been a really really difficult 50 years it's been
pretty terrible yeah and and it's it's getting we're going back to like the peak of how bad it
was in the 80s for some of these folks and the the true cost is is never discussed but
and no one's ever counted it and you know we count we count victims of dictators and communism and
that's why communism is bad is because it kills a lot of people but guess what
resource resource colonialism is also pretty bad so for example mexico there's a study in mexico
that for every two percent decline in gdp the mortality rate goes up one percent this is a
typical country that um had a long experience with the imf etc like sort of a proxy for the
global south we'll say i mean and it's a richer global south country so you could imagine for
poor countries it's even worse but these are countries that um in the 70s 80s 90s i mean they
lost 10 20 30 percent of their gdp at times over like long stretches so we're talking tens of
millions of people dying you know mexico let's say there was 100 million people there there's more
in that now but um you know for every two percent decline in gdp you're talking a million people
dying prematurely right so if you start to zoom out and start to grasp this you start to realize
that like these structural adjustment policies which which we can detail a little bit uh that
the imf and world bank have deployed um have probably led to tens of millions of deaths and
we just don't ever see that that's invisible no one will ever go to jail for that and that's a
pretty depressing thing to think about and there's not a whole lot we can do retrospectively
like one of the things that i try to say in my book and i actually have i dedicate my book to
the victims of development and i say they may never get the justice they deserve but they may
get a way out that's like the dedication page on my book of course i'm referring to bitcoin but like
the i don't know if they get any justice i don't think they get any justice it's terrible but it's
something that i again we should be humble about i'm not trying to attack the american way of life
here or to be anti-american i think people get too hung up on that and they end up supporting
dictators like a lot of people even in the bitcoin community are so anti-american that they end up
supporting putin and other dictators this is very important to be morally clear about this the enemy
is tyranny the way we advance is to improve america not to like overthrow our system of
government and bring in a king i think the better way would be to continue to decentralize and
improve and continue to underline individual rights and to continue to improve in that area
and to end the exploitation piece that's how i think we get better so i i don't want to um
make it sound like i'm gonna you know go off and and and and support all these kind of like you
know anti-american socialist leaders you know over the decades who were like screw the imf like we
want to be they're full of it too like that was never the answer like before bitcoin there wasn't
really what was there wasn't a great answer to be honest like like they got together all these
conferences over the decades global south leaders and they would say you know down with the imf like
but at the end of the day they were most of them were all dictators yeah and and it was um
hypocritical because most of them ended up taking the imf money to be honest
anyway i wanted to preface the conversation with that because i just feel like
it's important for us to just ponder that here a little bit completely agree and i've had
a few conversations over the years that really tie into this and again it's really under the
context of the virtue signaling around environmentalism that leads to
exploitation elsewhere.
Two main examples are Kern County,
California,
where California has the potential and the ability to produce all the oil,
most of the oil that it needs to run its economy.
They drove out oil production within the state,
yet the demand per barrel of oil per year remains the same if not continues to rise and so what
happens they don't provide oil for themselves they export that to ecuador where they're cutting down
the amazon rainforest and then putting it on diesel ships and riding it up the coast to the
harbor of california where the increased potential for oil spills in the ocean exists and then
another example going back to congo and the cobalt it's been discovered in the last decade that up
in maine we actually have large i believe it's cobalt and lithium and in quebec yeah yeah and
in quebec that we could tap into yet we don't want zoning laws or something yeah we don't want to
destroy the environment up there we're gonna we're gonna continue doing in the congo so we're not
gonna i think the same overreaction is gonna happen well obviously we saw with nuclear obviously
massive step back to human progress was this whole anti-nuclear stuff over the last 40 years
but also i think we're going to get this with the ocean mining stuff now again i want to like see
the data i also don't want to destroy the oceans but generally speaking given that there's all
these precious metals sitting on the ocean floor and these are like biological deserts down there
i'd like to explore mining that instead of instead of like having people be enslaved in the congo
like you know it is important to think about the human cost of our actions so that's that's kind
of what what we're getting at um but anyway so the the dynamic uh that i'm diving into in the
in the essay and in the book is something called structural adjustment and the the tldr is that
basically the way the world has worked since since really the end of the 60s i mean in in in in when
we call when we talk about development has been at the beginning when the bretton woods institutions
were created they really were created to fix europe and japan like that's why the world bank
was created was to fund infrastructure projects in like war-torn europe and japan and the imf was
created just in case one of these economies that were important to the core nations like failed
like it would get a bailout basically but once those nations like got up on their feet and they
started to recover late 50s 60s then that coincided with that with again the end of colonialism like
1960s known as the end of colonialism it's not it's not perfect but generally speaking that's
kind of when it ended and that's when you see the behavior of of these institutions change and they
start to become neo-colonial and the way that works is they've replaced the weapon of the sword
with the weapon of debt so um instead of going in and just like taking and stealing and thieving
which is what they used to do in imperialism um you know again the spanish conquest of the americas
etc um that's been replaced with debt so what happens is i'll give you an example um
So France or Britain or U.S. as a creditor of the World Bank, France, the U.K., the U.S., Germany, Japan are the five major creditors historically of the IMF, the World Bank.
They'll either alone or together make a loan to a global south country.
So let's say Britain and Ghana.
So let's say Britain gives $10 million to Ghana.
What happens when you look at it from a balance sheet point of view is that the $10 million exits Britain, goes to Ghana, and then Ghana spends it immediately on British companies to do all the work.
So the $10 million flows right back to Britain.
So Britain's been paid back.
The British system has been paid back.
The capital went back to Britain.
And now the Ghanaian taxpayers are still on the hook for P&I on the loan.
And these loans, historically, were very high interest, by the way.
I mean, some of them back in, I mean, you were talking 3%, 4%, 5%, 6%, 7%, 8%, 9% higher.
It depended on the time.
Of course, there's been different interest rate regimes.
But generally speaking, you've got to remember these aren't gifts.
Like, this is not a philanthropic charitable thing.
Like, these are corporations that earn income, that make money.
The IMF comes and says, hey, we're going to help you, but this is a risky endeavor for us,
so we have to raise the cost of capital.
Sure. Well, they use the Cantillon effect.
They get access to cheap dollars at lower interest rates at the core,
and they sell it to poor countries at higher rates.
That's like one of the ways they do business.
But in the end, what ends up happening is you've got a country like Ghana.
It's already paid, so it's like paid back, like Britain's been paid back, okay?
So Ghana's given $10 million, okay?
Now it gives another $15 million over the course of the loan for P&I.
so in this relationship the west on the balance sheet has has is now 15 million dollars richer
so this is what we call drain so the colonial drain which again used to be enforced by swords
guns whatever has been replaced by this like debt machine so over time what happened was uh again
like at the beginning the world bank and imf you know basically did what they set out to do which
was the international lender last resort and a development bank that's going to pay for projects
the private capital didn't have the appetite for.
They did that.
But what ends up happening in the 60s and 70s
is that the drain starts to shift the other way.
At first, you have all this resources
going from the global north to the south.
And then because of what happened in the 70s,
in many ways, because of the increase in debt
to the global south due to the petrodollar system
and many other things,
and then due to the interest rates rising,
in 1982, the flow of funds shifts permanently.
so ever since 1982 the total flow of funds has been from the global south to the global north
so since 1982 the people in the global south have been subsidizing our way of life and this is this
is this was the magic of the neo-colonial trick that was played this is this is exploitation
sold to us as development so ever since 82 this flow which started as a trickle it was in the
hundreds of millions and then a billion two billion it was it started in the low billions
today this flow is a torrent it's in the trillions of dollars per year so every year if you look at
the total flow of funds going into the global south we'll say remittances investment uh gifts
development support um illegal legal all of it like the whole flow for an average year in the
last decade was something like a trillion dollars goes in from the north coming back two to three
trillion okay so and again you know that's a mark that might be marginal for the global like the u.s
has like a gdp of what like north of 20 trillion or something like that so maybe you want to say
that's marginal but it's very significant like material for those yeah like if you don't have
that marginal flow our society deteriorates quite a bit now there's one number i wanted to show you
would you mind just uh hitting this for a second this is uh the details of perfect
we're doing control F
looking for a particular word now
yeah so
there have been many studies that look at this flow
and they try to break it down in different ways
it's of course very hard to
come to an agreement on all the definitions but there was one study done in 2015
where it said that um the flow coming from the south to the north was 10.1 billion tons of raw
materials and 182 million person years of labor so that's 50 of all the goods and 28 of all the
labor used by high-income countries so that's the the drain right so think about what our societies
would be like with 50 less goods and 28 labor just start to start to think about that in your mind
we would be way less prosperous we'd have way less stuff okay and we would also have uh like a much
more difficult labor market you know we wouldn't have all this cheap labor to to save us you know
it would not work out like that we'd have crazy inflation just start to think about all the
implications of this so that's globalization and it's very very hidden and the problem and and
safety has mentioned this many times is that usually the critics of this system who have good
criticisms tend to be on the far left or even marxist actually i mean marx himself was an astute
critic of this actually like and and it was a it was a reasonable criticism very much so and all
of his students ever since have been have noticed this they've really noticed this the problem is
their answer is is not helpful like you know what what what they were saying in the 70s and 80s 90s
was we should um end the imf and all this stuff great uh give power to local leaders they were
all corrupt dictators like that was never going to work either so um there was never really like
a coherent like way to move forward here um you have a lot of folks saying let me fix it you know
uh you know like we need more government intervention here or there or whatever
there was never like a coherent plan to fix this um i think what happens with bitcoin is it's not
it's a gradual process but i think what ends up happening is the following
there's an incentive mechanism inside this dynamic where what's really happening is like western
banks and are are making these loans through the through the bank and the fund and often just by
themselves in the private market and i understand that over the last few decades bond issuance
from these governments has has accounted for a larger and larger percentage of global south debt
That's true. But borrowing from the from from the north has has remained like a very, very significant part of their debt.
And again, their debt has gone exponential since 71. If you look at a chart of this thing, it's insane.
A country like Bangladesh had about 100 million dollars in external debt in the early 70s.
Today, it has 100 billion dollars. I mean, these are impossible to pay back.
That will never be paid back. It's the largest bubble in the world.
Sovereign debt bubble. It's bigger than any of these other bubbles we've ever talked about.
And it will have to unwind eventually.
So what ends up happening, though, is that the dynamic is such that these banks are making these loans.
And remember, that loan is an asset on their balance sheet, right?
So when the dictator comes around and says, I can't pay back the loan, the answer is not, okay, and, like, write it off.
No, no, no, the answer is, fine, we'll give you more money so that we can create more assets over here on the side of the balance sheet.
They've never had, like, an economic incentive to write things down and let countries go bankrupt.
And I know that sounds awful, and it's true.
There's no, like, good choices here.
But it's almost like a drug addict.
It's necessary.
Yeah, like the drug addict wants more drugs.
The drug dealer's happy to sell it.
There's no one here saying go to therapy or whatever, try something else.
And in this case, obviously, debt is the drug.
And, you know, short term, in the immediate term, it feels good to take the drug.
It feels really good to take the opioid or whatever.
But eventually it's going to kill you, right?
So what ended up happening is it did kill you,
meaning there was massive death and destruction in the global south, right?
So this system has no incentive to stop.
That's why it's going exponential.
All the people making the loans out, they don't want to see less loans.
They just want to see more.
Robert McNamara, who was probably the most important person at the bank or the fund ever,
he was head of the bank for all the 1970s into the 80s.
And by the way, before then, he was Secretary of Defense.
He sent hundreds of thousands of Americans out to Vietnam.
And then afterwards, he joined the Board of World Dutch Shell.
So the guy's like totally in the military industrial corporate complex.
You see a lot of this.
Paul Wolfowitz was also head of the World Bank, one of the architects of the Iraq War.
So there's a lot of weird stuff going on in that area.
But the point being that there is no incentive to stop the loans.
They're going to keep coming unless the monetary system changes.
so you know right now if a country wants to borrow and the u.s government european government like
we're we're like friendly with that government we will we will issue that less paperwork we'll
just issue that fiat paperwork loan 30 billion dollars whatever done if we're on a bitcoin
standard though it'd be a lot more prudent about this we can't just like print the reserve currency
like we can't today like it's going to be like there's it's limited so i think that it's possible
we would have um in a bitcoin standard i think it's quite possible we would have like collectively
nations would agree to create potentially uh like a supranational like development bank to help poor
countries that's possible i also think it's possible that there's like a lender of last
resort type institution created where people throw in like like kind of like private banks
do today with insurance like it may make market sense from a global perspective for all the
nations to throw in a little bit every year just in case some terrible happens to somebody drought
famine whatever totally reasonable but i think what will happen is it's going to be much more
like um conservative prudent like the instead of the world bank like literally just like trying to
spend as much as it can in these poor countries to get them to borrow as much as they can
i think like there's going to be a lot more like is this actually going to be working is this
sustainable like is it a worthy investment of our capital like like the imf will do the same thing
Like Mobutu in Zaire in the 70s and 80s, I mean, he borrowed billions and billions, and he was never interested in paying it back, and he was a horrible dictator.
And we were able to, due to the currency structure of the time, we continued to bail him out.
But in a post-fiat world, like, I think that those bailouts become much, much harder to do.
And we might end up just saying, no, Mobutu, like, we're not going to give you another bailout.
um another side of this too which is so so to conclude that part of it is which is again one
of the reasons i'm so interested is many many of these dictators over the decades were sustained
by new credit flow from from the west right and and the credit flow that never cared about human
rights violations um this credit was often dependent on local governments reducing expenditures
in healthcare, education, subsidies on food and energy.
That's what was cut.
They never asked, we never asked them to cut police,
weapons, guns.
That was never asked to cut.
Corruption, none of those things were ever asked to be cut.
That's never been a stipulation of the World Bank or IMF.
That would be intruding in local politics.
But we always force them, force them to get rid
of any subsidy, again, on like basics, foods, energy.
uh we raise tax we force them to raise taxes to value their currency look some of these things
may make sense in in theory like like in theory like food shouldn't be subsidized but because
we have the double standard like our food and energy is totally subsidized like the uk currently
has a price cap on energy like like we have socialized medicine in france and whatever
but because like so we we're allowed to do that over here but you're not over there so you have
things like the british empire brit the british which give all kinds of free stuff to their
citizens they go tell little sri lanka way back then many decades ago you can no longer give free
rights to your people which again in theory out of a textbook may make sense but because of the
double standard and because of the brutality in which it was done and millions there's just all
these people starve and the same thing with like medicine and and all this other stuff so it's
it's difficult because this is repeating itself with sri lanka totally specifically in the last
few years the um they really got psyoped into going along with the esg and say hey don't use
fertilizers like you got to be for you got to increase your your carbon credit score so you
can't use these for i mean and then boom crops i mean a lot of yield anything a lot of it's just
so frustrating because like we did x y and z and we're not permitting them to do x y and z yeah
and they should be the master of their own destiny like they should tell us what to do
um they really should they should be able to do that especially given that um again they hold
most of the resources like look some of us have some of us meaning large countries that are
advanced like are plenty fine like the united states is going to be rock solid for the next
for the foreseeable future we are very food and energy sovereign i see no reason that we need to
like bully up on africa makes no sense in fact this was a crazy stat i uncovered in in writing
this um if we just dropped our subsidies and tariffs on agriculture we wouldn't have to do
well we wouldn't have to do there'd be no reason for us to do any foreign aid to africa full stop
africa would just be able to feed itself if we if we just ended our tariffs and subsidies because
they'd be able to sell their product make a profit exactly exactly it would make sense for them but
because we like juice our peanut farmers with tons of fucking subsidies they can't compete so it's
the artificial nature of fiat currency manipulating the markets that that's really i think at the root
of a lot of this so that's why i think this eventual shift that's going to happen in the
next few decades of away from this like fiat dominated world to a world that's hopefully
bitcoin at its core dominated like you know again fiat instruments are still going to exist like
no one nothing's stopping me from lending you a tenth of a bitcoin in 30 years and you promising
to pay me back and that becomes a financial instrument and then maybe you sell it to him
like that that's going to happen like we're still going to have fiat credit that will still be there
but i think that if the bedrock of the world is is a bitcoin standard so many of these shenanigans
become difficult there's no balance and and the really inspiring idea that that came from jeff
booth is that it's almost like what he calls forced cooperation like because there's no real
way to like um prevent like like the like wages are way lower elsewhere but because of all these
like controls in the monetary system those countries can't really take full advantage of
that and they can't like there's no arb like they don't come back up to to meet our wage you know
there's there's no sort of natural balancing effect but if you like get rid of this carcass
of this exploitative rent seeking fiat like payments and banking infrastructure move that
aside and we have like bitcoin rails um all of a sudden like it makes a lot more sense for
americans to work with nigerians to work with argentines like to actually hire them work with
them be more global like this this is what's called forced cooperation and it comes from
like having open censorship resistant payment networks that that have no borders
So I think that that's a really compelling idea.
And again, like we're still going to need to make emergency loans and there's still going to be charity and philanthropy and all these things.
But I think the exploitative nature of what we've been able to do with debt as a weapon, it's a devastating weapon.
I think it gets significantly reduced to the point where it's just sort of impractical.
yeah um and you know it's not going to fix everything but i do think it really like
and especially in a world that's so marginal where like small things make such a big difference
i really think it ends this just like impossibility of these countries ever paying
their debt back and then basically forced servitude into whatever we we want them to do
yeah and it's not only the nature of re-architecting debt on a global scale and how
these loans are given and the due diligence that goes into them like bring it back to like the
smallest micro level like empowering the individual like people living in countries
with despotic dictators or terrible regimes that mismanage their currencies like since bitcoin's
open permissionless and accessible to anybody like you don't even have to wait for like a change
at that level you can just start working in the digital economy or maybe even the local physical
economy and accumulating bitcoin opting out of that yeah and i think that um
you know a lot of people may ask well why are you so focused on this like aren't isn't your
day job supposed to be like helping people under dictatorship and the sad reality is that the imf
and world bank prefer to work with dictators like they are one of the reasons why these dictators
have been so so and they're they're vaunted as these pristine and we're not just talking we're
We're talking about the most comically brutal dictators, like Mingistu in Ethiopia, Mobutu, the frickin' CCP after Tiananmen.
Like, you name it.
Like, they will go after the most comically corrupt, brutal, murderous dictators and give them tons of credit.
And there's a sad rationale to this, and that is that it is easier to work with undemocratic clients.
Marcos in the Philippines is a great example.
he started off like getting elected and there was like somewhat of a democracy there over time he
eliminated that ended up becoming this like horrible dictator for the world banker imf
especially the imf it's way easier to work with a dictator client because you don't have to worry
about street protests and independent judiciary all that stuff the dictator will handle that for
you you're just going to be able to go in and do what you need to do so that they vastly prefer
working with undemocratic clients is what their track record shows um which is just insane it
allows them to go in and engineer these societies to grow or export what we need yeah and there's
there's no more perfect kind of metaphor for what they do than a hydroelectric dam in the mountains
in the global south somewhere the world bank makes a loan to build it it powers a resource
extraction operation bauxite coming out they also make a loan for a train track that connects the
the mining operation to a port.
They make a loan for the port.
All of it gets built with Western companies.
A lot of the loan that was originally made flows right back to the West.
The loan itself still gets paid back P&I by the local taxpayers.
And then all of the crap that gets dug out of the ground,
nearly 100% of those profits go to outside international markets.
This is colonialism, but dressed up as development.
and that's that's what i'm really seeking to uncover here and it's not because i'm anti-american
it's because i'm pro-american it's because i want us to be better agreed and if you're paying
attention to what's going on particularly g fans gfa nz forget what the acronym stands for but it's
like the next iteration and a new tentacle in this imf world bank like structure this amorphous
structure they want to go do like underwriting for like land resources and have like particular
like land bonds that they go into these countries and say hey we're going to underwrite this
particular national park or this particular portion of the ocean yeah with that and if you
can't pay it back we take ownership oh yeah i mean again there's like it's it's um
I mean the the extent of what happened was just so devastating I mean they would do
it's not just that they would come in and devalue the currency raise tax this is what you're seeing
now in Egypt and Ghana and all these countries we're seeing this right now the currency devalues
this hurts the average person like the price of bread in Egypt has skyrocketed because Egypt is
trying to like change its economy to meet the IMF demands the the banking account gets restricted I
mean it's called austerity for a reason i mean it's like basically shrinking the economy they
look it's like a private equity firm that's trying to take over a company they want to maximize
profits and reduce expenditures that's what the imf does it looks like when it looks at a country
that wants to borrow from it how can we maximize profits and reduce expenditures and it's a brutal
way of thinking about it because this is a body politic full of people it's not just some amorphous
like thing no this is like a group of human beings and they're like reducing expenditures
you know means like shrinking the state but they don't shrink the like security apparatus they
don't shrink the corruption they only shrink whatever's actually helping people even if it
be inefficient so i'm not necessarily saying that that there should be subsidies for basic food and
energy but when you when you when you have decades of just cutting that stuff and not cutting the
security apparatus or the corruption this just makes life so miserable for people i mean you
had entire countries in africa where there was there was there was universal health care or
whatever in the 70s it wasn't great certainly but like you'd go like overnight due to the
structural adjustment to like medicine just being like too expensive for the average person to to
have and that's one of the factors in why you had like shrinking of the economy like uh like a
reduction in gdp like all these people dying prematurely like the crazy amounts of child
mortality like the stuff in the 80s is is just so unspeakable and and it really hasn't seen the
light of day and we're about i think we're about sadly i think we're about to sort of enter that
decade again like that's happening again right now we're watching this right now yeah i mean
you come rattle
sri lanka lebanon turkey egypt argentina all these countries are having hyperinflationary
and you know like war isn't you know war is inflationary yeah and we're gonna have wars
they pop up and that doesn't help either so it exacerbates what's happening but the more we get
inflation again going back to the beginning the more we're gonna fight it by trying to sacrifice
others yeah this is just the way the system works in the dollar system so we're again we're watching
people like jaw dropped watching powell even after this you know this banking crisis i mean
two of the three largest bank failures modern era just happened and powell's gonna keep hiking
because he just want his main goal is to reduce inflation and that activity again folks is not
just gonna break stuff here it will break stuff here and that's gonna suck but it sucks way more
for people who don't live in the dollar system and he's just gonna break and break and break and
break because there's no kind of democratic accountability when you look at how these
global structures work we get a veto the united states has a veto now what's really interesting
is that the vote share the imf and world bank are not based on population they're based on
world war ii kind of power dynamics so even though the u.s has i mean it's insane like
and i detail this in in the book i mean there are like countries like china or india
that have less votes than countries like britain and italy and i know that it's supposed to be
tied roughly to their size of the economy and not to the size of the population but even still it
makes no sense i mean china's economy is much larger than the uk now i mean you have little
tiny countries like uh relatively speaking like like like belgium or whatever that have more
voting share than like indonesia and a whole bunch of other countries combined ethiopia like
it is so so so the global south will never have the voice that they need to implement
change at that level so i'm very jaded about a political solution i think it has to be a
grassroots bottom-up thing agreed and like i think one thing we haven't even mentioned yet
is because it made me think about as matt and i were discussing the bailout of the banks here in
the united states this week where the fed said all right we'll take your bonds at par and lend
you back the cash and we'll settle up later yeah but and what he said is like and then they're like
oh we're only gonna do it for one year but it's like no there's no such thing as a temporary
government program like it's going to keep going the imf same thing like imf why does it exist
it exists again post-world war ii needed to rebuild europe bail out bail out you know allies
that failed along the way yes and but then it's it's rationale it it shifted and i don't think
there was like one meeting where they sat around a table and said oh we're gonna like loot from the
global south yeah that did not happen but it's like i don't know whether it's path dependent
or whatever but it happened and and and by the 70s and 80s the decision makers at these at these
institutions knew that the only way they could sustain this was with more debt yeah and it's like
because it was long with a particular mandate and like once you like succeed in reaching that
mandate you're like oh we should keep doing this keep going keep going like ideally the imf
spun up existed for a decade helped rebuild europe and then shut down well here's here's
something you know we talk about the bubble unwinding eventually um and and and the credit
being credit being destroyed is what me what i mean by a bubble unwinding so there's this concept
of odious debt which is um an american concept actually it was created by american justices and
law and and policymakers uh about a hundred some odd years ago when um the uh spanish were defeated
in cuba by by america and we said to the cuban people you don't have to pay the debt that the
spanish borrowed on your behalf because they were subjugating you this was called odious debt so
there's an american legal precedent for this and there's imf papers written by imf staff talking
about this concept but it's never been a precedent that they've acted on so even though mobutu had
no like in zaire for example had no democratic credibility whatsoever uh the the people of that
country were forced to pay back what he borrowed this is the case for argentina for all of these
countries there's never been like a oh like you were ruled by a brutal dicta philippines like
after the people of the philippines protested enough and they used people power to oust marcos
40 of their gdp the next year was to pay back debt that he had borrowed
okay so it's taking again it's taking the the energy and resources from the population to pay
back debt that somebody else borrowed this is the case in nigeria right now as we speak some
absurd percentage of of of nigerian you know the revenue as a country is going to pay back debt
so it's it's taking away from the potential of the country and the people didn't agree to borrow
these loans is the point so maybe we you know like in an ideal world what would happen is that
and ironically there was one exception i think america allowed the once we invaded iraq and
got rid of saddam we allowed the new government to like wipe out some debt you know because it
because it advantaged us or whatever hey sorry for blowing up your country we'll um yeah but i
mean it's like you know if you if you if odious debt became a thing i mean such a massive amount
of global credit would disappear now of course that would mean an enormous financial crisis but
like that would be just odious that shouldn't have to be paid back i don't know whether you
want to call me socialist for that or whatever but like that's just something i believe in i
don't believe that credit borrowed by dictators should have to be paid back by the people who
didn't vote the dictator into office and what's the worst case scenario the imf and the world
bank go under it's like well the western banks have a crisis in fact you know you want to be
really clear about what happened in in the 80s um when the when when volcker was raising rates
and these countries in latin america were like collapsing uh the the the western banks in new
York and elsewhere, London, had such an enormous amount of those assets on their balance sheet
that they were going to fail.
It was going to be a 1930s-style financial crisis.
So that's why the IMF intervened.
It was not to help people in Latin America.
It was to help the banks in America and in Europe.
That's why we bailed them out.
So whenever a bailout happens, it's not to help the local people.
No.
They're just going to get hurt.
And it's not necessarily to help the dictator either.
Sometimes it is.
Sometimes it's a national security thing.
But no, it's usually to benefit the creditors,
the people who had extended the pre-existing loans.
So for example, when Argentina took out,
they are the record holders.
So Argentina, and if you notice,
the countries that take out the most debt
are the larger, more productive,
more competitive global South countries
that have been screwed over the worst.
Argentina, Brazil, Indonesia, Egypt, Pakistan,
like the bigger, meatier countries
are the ones that have suffered the most in this.
But like Argentina takes out $57 billion from the IMF in 2018.
So it's like this is the world record holder at the moment.
And what did that do?
It wiped out all previous debt,
which of course some of that was racked up
by military dictators in the 70s and 80s
and just kept being rolled over.
But now they owe 30 billion plus in new debt.
So they got this enormous bailout
only to land themselves in an even deeper debt hole.
And that's, again, what's happened.
Like, if you look at this chart of global south or developing country debt, it is unbelievable how it just looks like a parabola.
It just looks like an exponential curve.
And that's an outcome of the post-71 political economy.
One outcome is that the periphery gets deeper and deeper into debt.
and the other outcome is that whenever we need to protect ourselves from inflation at home
we impose deflation abroad i mean those are the two mechanics that people should remember
yeah i have to look up the stat about argentina particularly because it is they've gone to the
trough of the imf or been forced to go i think more than 20 times i think 21 times yes it's
and that's and each time they have to agree to structural adjustment they have to agree to
wage deflation essentially which is accomplished by currency devaluation raising taxes raising
interest rates etc yeah so this is as of may of last year argentina has an average annual
inflation rate of 192 percent since 1944 they joined the imf in 1956 and have participated in
21 standby agreements since 1958 yeah the standby agreement is just when the imf makes a decision
to loan a country money uh it's like a line of credit and they release the funds as you like
complete these milestones and and the biological impact of this is is really something interesting
so if you move currency to one side what ends up happening in these countries over time is that the
amount of hours you need to work to earn a thousand grams of rice or chicken or whatever
increases so from like the early 70s to the late 80s in places like sub-saharan africa and latin
america certain parts of southeast asia south asia central asia the number of hours someone had to
work to get a thousand grams of rice or chicken or beef or whatever would sometimes double i mean
we're talking about decades of quote-unquote chronological progress and people were getting
poorer and poorer and poorer that's what i mean by wage deflation like your time and energy gets
you less yes and that is a part of the system and that is a part of the system that needs to end
yeah and like going back to the argentina like going to the trough 21 times an annual inflation
rate of 192 percent obviously going to the trough is not helping the problem like but it's like it's
like a it's like a an addict i mean what are they gonna i mean the thing is again there's no
incentive here for anybody to stop the debt party the dictators and corrupt regimes are more than
happy to borrow because they're not personally going to have to pay back anything the people
don't have a voice they're usually undemocratic countries the um or they're like disenfranchised
in some way and the creditors at these banks are making a killing again these are like usually
pretty high interest rate loans and get good fees on originating oh every there's a fee along every
step of the way yeah so by like opting out of this nightmare of a system into some into like
bitcoin systems i think that's kind of where the change begins like you know looking what's
happening in africa so looking at what's happening with remittances cross-border payments like
you're starting to see this new system being built and it's super early but the foundation's
being laid for global commerce and interactions to be in a in a non-fiat system in a system that's
like not about rent seeking like in fact competition in a bitcoin system brings it's
almost like deflationary like it it brings fees and costs down over time uh for users when you
see innovation in the bitcoin system so totally different than than the fiat system yeah we got
do it i think it's our duty as humans right now is to make sure that bitcoin succeeds yeah well
i mean i i'm curious to see how this unfolds look we we know that bitcoin helps individuals and that
it's a way for them to opt out like if you're stuck in structural adjustment peru in the 1980s
you had no way out as a lower class person i mean you couldn't get anything but the local currency
which was which was plummeting and not and less and less available um i think people have this
really interesting like misconception in the West that like interest rates and inflation have this
sort of relationship where if you, you know, raise interest rates, um, you can like have inflation
go down or whatever, but in the, in the global South, like the, the, the normal, the norm is
very high interest rates and very high inflation. Like there comes a point where like, uh, you know,
the, the, the interest rates fail to help you bring down the inflation. Yeah. I talked about
this with lynn last week or like if you raise the cost of capital to a certain point it becomes
uneconomical to build up the necessary infrastructure to drive prices down yeah but it's like it's not
clear that like raising interest rates will bring down inflation no like that that's not that's
actually just like proven false by like tons of facts from around the world but anyway like in
the 80s like people had no escape from this today they do you know you just need a phone with
internet i mean even a feature phone with some of this new stuff coming out and you can get access
to something that that can't be debased or confiscated and is part of this parallel system
so we know that like bitcoin can help individuals we don't know what we're projecting what we're
discussing what's the subject of conjecture is is what does it do to the nation-state system
and that's that's interesting i mean we don't know but but it's hard to imagine the world bank imf
model lasting very much longer as we start to start to really transition towards the bitcoin
world like it just seems like it'll be an artifact of the fiat system like so many things are going
to be artifacts of the fiat system mercifully agreed we're going to bring back these high
quality chairs all these all this plastic craft will be a relic of the fiat system and then
yeah with bitcoin when i think about it from the american context particularly around energy
we're importing a lot of energy when we don't need to and people want to extract the energy
here as cleanly as possible and bitcoin mining helps you do that you can be as efficient as
possible with the extraction and then as efficient as possible with each uh joule of electricity
that's produced well that's wasteful i mean i was in in ghana talking with nigerians who are
bitcoin miners they learned how to mine on youtube it's like totally amazing these young kids
and they're talking about going down to the delta and apparently that's like the place that has the
most vented uh you know emissions anywhere in the world yep um it's just you look out at night
everything's on fire like it's just i think you introduced me um to one of these gentlemen last
year in miami very potentially but the point is that like there's so much waste that could be
captured by bitcoin mining there so it's you know part of part of the equation is certainly the
mining piece of it like you know part of the equation is certainly that um you'll live in a
world where our whether it's our kids grandkids whatever they'll live in a world where every
nation has the ability to to mint the global reserve currency through uh energy now it doesn't
mean they have the equal ability you know russia if it still exists will have a much higher ability
to mint the reserve currency than belarus for example or whatever but but the fact that it's
That like every country will be able to take advantage of its energy resources and turn that into the reserve currency is very different from a world where like only one country can mint the reserve currency and they don't have to do any work to do it.
They just can conjure it.
It's paperwork.
And that's one of the biggest problems of our country is that we have this like, yeah, we have this system where we can just print money for energy.
And then this culture where we just refuse to acknowledge the trade-offs that exist with the decisions we're making from a monetary perspective, energy perspective, food perspective.
Well, there's no apparatus where we'd face any accountability.
So Powell, again, he doesn't have to answer to the people of Ghana.
He doesn't have to go to a tribunal.
Like in a fair world, he'd have to go answer to them or go speak to them.
Are we bringing tribunals back?
Well, not a tribunal, but how about this?
Powell has
every time he raises rates
he's got to go
and at least talk to
like some people
who live in Ghana
and Argentina
and Lebanon
that's not going to happen
but you know
that would be more fair
he'd at least have to
listen to them
and he'd have to weigh that
you know
there'd be like
it would be weighed
right now
the vast majority of people
and resources in the world
are not weighed
in the minds
of the people
who make up
the monetary decisions
which is why the system
needs to end
we need to have a system
that's equal for everybody
It's tremendously empowering.
That's why we have it right out here, fix the money, fix the world.
Yeah, and it's not just the SIFA.
I mean, the SIFA is something that's worth focusing on because it's so outrageous
and people get so frustrated by it.
And maybe we can create enough dialogue and debate around that that it can end.
But that's just like kind of a tip of the iceberg in terms of the way the whole world works.
And I don't want to let China off the hook either.
I mean, China's trying to copy the World Bank IMF system.
And if China becomes the power, it will do even worse.
it'll be much more much more exploitative than we are same thing with france same thing with
britain like or whatever any any rising power is going to do this to its geopolitical rivals
there's always going to be resource wars right you know i was opposed to the illegal invasion
of iraq because that was a resource war i'm opposed to putin's invasion of ukraine i think
it's a resource war i would be opposed to i mean i think the chinese occupation of tibet and
xinjiang is quite obviously a resource colonialist these are these are ethnic minorities that are
not han you know so every every power has a resource war going on and um i just think we
need to be consistent and just say no like don't do that like that's that's that's that's that's
that's not nice let's not do that i think as you mentioned bitcoin will be somewhat of a forcing
function it's not going to be a panacea for the uh corruption that exists yeah and like without
something like bitcoin we can't stop it but there's something that gg said that i love and he
says i don't know whether he wrote this somewhere or whether he just said it in my presence recently
but um he said uh every 10 minutes the bitcoin network says thou shall not steal thou shall not
steal thou shall not steal and it just says it every 10 minutes and that's such a powerful idea
on like many levels and and that's what we're getting at here like it will tell you thou shall
not steal and it will make it harder for you to steal over time and i think it's not just
it makes it harder for like the individual to steal from you or the
government to steal from its citizens.
I think it might make it harder for like powerful countries to steal from
weaker countries.
So that's maybe something we end on.
But I thought that that was like really,
really,
really deep.
It gets back to when you were mentioning earlier when Jeff Booth's express
is just like a massive realignment of incentives.
Forced cooperation.
Yeah.
When people are forced to co-opt,
not even forced,
It's just economically incentivized to cooperate because both sides are going to benefit.
Totally.
Well, it's always a pleasure, sir.
Yeah, this was great, man.
Love coming down here.
Hope to spend more time in Austin in the future.
Can we preorder the book yet?
It's not quite out yet, but I will be sharing it with you.
I think it'll be out for preorder in the next few weeks, and it should be on sale early May.
And again, if you're in Miami, come say hi.
Ahrefs will have a booth in the expo down at Bitcoin Miami,
and I'll be giving a keynote.
It's called Bitcoin versus the IMF.
So that'll be a lot of fun.
Well, keep crushing it, sir.
We're going to win.
We're going to destroy the IMF, the World Bank.
We're going to create this.
Belt and road, all of it.
Oh, God, the Belt and Road.
We didn't even touch on that.
Exactly.
But I don't want to let them off the hook is what I was saying.
It's just that this was dedicated to the IMF and World Bank.
yes it does what i'm trying to say is that we're opposed to any large power dominating weaker
weaker powers yeah this is the whole point we're against tyranny just we're for freedom freedom
do some hard work be productive don't steal from people it's pretty simple
hell yeah peace a lot freaks
