TFTC: A Bitcoin Podcast - #493: Fixing Big Ag with Jeff Smith
Episode Date: March 26, 2024Marty sits down with Jeff Smith to discuss the state of ranching and the agriculture industry. Colorado Craft Beef: https://coloradocraftbeef.com/ 0:00 - Intro 5:05 - Bitcoin and ranching 13:37 - Star...ting Colorado Craft Beef 23:41 - Regulatory risk 29:04 - Taking care of the land 33:23 - Gradually, Then Suddenly 34:02 - Scaling in competition with large corps 39:00 - Orange pilling 55:34 - Weaponized fiat and food 1:00:34 - Competency crisis 1:12:32 - Yummy steaks 1:18:30 - Back to scaling 1:27:43 - Perspective and hope 1:32:59 - Wrapping up Shoutout to our sponsors: River Unchained Zaprite Bitcoin Talent Co Gradually, Then Suddenly TFTC Merch is Available: Shop Now Join the TFTC Movement: Main YT Channel Clips YT Channel Website Twitter Instagram Follow Marty Bent: Twitter Newsletter Podcast
Transcript
Discussion (0)
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them to tftc send you and enjoy this rip okay you've had a dynamic where money's become freer
than free. If you talk about a Fed just gone nuts, all the central banks going nuts. So it's
all acting like safe haven. I believe that in a world where central bankers are tripping over
themselves to devalue their currency, Bitcoin wins. In the world of fiat currencies, Bitcoin
is the victor. I mean, that's part of the bull case for Bitcoin. If you're not paying attention,
you probably should be. Did you guys have a good time last night? Yeah, dude, we didn't get
out of there till like 10 o'clock really and started at four uh yeah we got then started
before oh yeah we got there at 1 30 and started prepping food uh cooked all day just served you
know meatballs with like 30 pounds of picanha we did a bunch of top sirloin and bottom sirloin and
by the time it was all over then we did you know we had dinner for the boys so you know
jocko leaf and all those guys were there so then it was like i don't know another 30 pounds of
high-end steaks just to feed those guys because they did like a three and a half hour meet and
greet with a line around the building so you know got everybody fed and then they had to bail and we
got you know most of the mess cleaned up and back to the hotel about 10 30 it's a long day and then
here within 10 hours how so let's give uh the freaks who are listening a some context what
what was this event and how'd you end up serving beef at this event uh well you know i i one of
these days i'm gonna write a book and it's going to be called beef as a currency because much to
you know you and the freaks it's like we need some intangible assets that we can move things
around with and you know steak is a really good leverage tool for that and uh lave babin uh who
co-wrote uh dichotomy of leadership and extreme ownership with jaco uh they just did a grand
opening of a new jujitsu school in dripping springs and we saw that they were going to be
doing that and they were flying jocko into doing meet and greet i said well man if you guys are
all doing that and you guys are all investors in our company why don't we come cook steak and just
hang out uh so it was really awesome i mean they they had grills ready for us like we basically
had to start fire and make a mess and feed some people and it's uh a return to what to what life
should be yeah working out and eating beef yeah well it's it's the community mindset right whether
it's the bitcoin community the ranching community um you know over the last number of decades people
are so disconnected from agriculture they think food comes from the grocery store and they don't
realize what it takes to get there uh so even at the event yesterday we had people who are like
oh like oh so you're a you're the steak guy i'm like well actually we're cattle ranchers and
we just take it all the way to steak and then share the message of that in a community type way
and you know when you're hanging out in a community with the jocos of the world it
certainly doesn't hurt so yeah i mean that's the journey we've been on in this show the last
three years particularly since i moved to austin it's really there's been a an aggressive
intersection of the cattle rancher community and the bickling community i've had many ranchers on
the show over the last three years and it's something that i was telling you on the phone
on friday really honed in on is that there's these tracks of communities running in parallel
whether it's the bitcoin community the rancher community but they have this innate understanding
that something's wrong in the world bitcoin with the money ranchers like you that there's something
wrong with the food and how it's um being produced and distributed to the end consumer yeah if you
look at the state of america we're not very healthy right now yeah i mean what i would say is uh you
know, Colorado craft beef is our company and we can do things a little differently than the
traditional producer or consumer would see from a steak standpoint. But man, even if you're going
to the grocery store and buying beef, that beef is still healthy. I mean, if you go to a grocery
store and you shop the outside of the grocery store, you're going to do pretty good. It's when
you go down those center aisles with a bunch of boxed bullshit, you're going to have a little
different health respect. Um, and on the beef side, you know, as much as I want to have
decentralized food, that is a bandaid we should not rip off out of spite. We need to be careful
with how we do that because the big four, uh, that run 85% of the food industry in this country,
in the meat space, if we turn them off tomorrow, we'll have big problems. Um, and that's one of
the things we want to do is engage with the consumers and let them see you know to your
point you know all these different streams run in parallel but they overlap a lot and we're trying
to get people to understand where it all comes from so that we can make those meaningful changes
without causing harm in the process now yeah it's very similar in bitcoin like if the banks were to
fail tomorrow and everybody's like all right we're at a bitcoin center now probably would be chaotic
and yeah insane and probably not end well at all but on the beef side completely agree as well you
can't just change everything every night it's going to be organic grassroots yeah well i mean
the interesting math because uh you know my background i think the easy way to describe me
is i'm an agriculture nerd i have i've worked on three different continents in ag across a lot of
different verticals in the seed and grain space down to, I mean, the beer industry and the grain
industry and the meat industry and seeing how all of it interacts and intersects is something that a
lot of people haven't seen. And when I go through and I talk about this kind of stuff, what I'm
trying to get people to see is the intricacies and the microeconomics that exist within ag and
our local food supply. And there's not a one size fits all answer for everybody because a hundred
miles from here you get different rain you get different weather a thousand miles from here
might as well be on a different planet and then if you start to intersect that with where feed
for cattle comes from and everything else that's all dependent on what other systems operate in
that area that aren't part of the cattle industry but they support the cattle industry and unpeeling
that onion you know to use a private equity term that a buddy of mine taught me a long time ago
he's like every onion's got layers you know and you've you've got to understand how they all work
together you don't have anything yeah no it reminds me i worked at a fund out of college
and we indexed commodity trading advisors and so i was an analyst and got i was baptized baptism
by fire like really coming to understand this from a macro point of view like we were trading
wheat cattle oil coffee cocoa beans and learning at the young age of 21 like oh i have to be
on top of whether or not there's a coffee fungus happening in Brazil
that would affect coffee prices.
Is it raining in Kansas?
Is the red wheat going to grow this year?
And if not, and then moved down to Texas, we had a big drought.
And that was a conversation with the local cattle ranchers here
when we first started doing shows with ranchers.
It was like it wasn't raining, and they were worried
whether or not they were going to be able to feed their cattle off the land
or if they were going to have to buy hay.
yeah it was during covid so the supply chains were all fucked up there's it's crazy how little
events whether it's weather or supply chain disruptions can really affect
supply and then prices of of these markets oh for sure like three or four years ago uh you know we
ranch in eastern colorado which sounds really far from texas there's only about five hours from the
texas panhandle and the texas panhandle had a drought their hay crop was was way down we didn't
know it we weren't paying attention well the problem is with the way that the seasons work
those guys know that they're going to be short of hay a month before anybody starts harvesting
hay where we live so they drove up started buying up hay because they knew they needed to move it
south and since they were ahead of the curve just based on timing we ended up having to buy hay from
like north dakota because it just chased it all the way north and it's little things like that
that now your hay prices go from 150 a ton to 270. it's just this little small incremental you know
doubling of your costs and that happens ad nauseum across whatever it may be like during covid you
couldn't get steel fence posts because the foundries were shut down and somebody's like
what do you do about that well it's not ideal but at least it's fence post you can get along without
that you can't get along without feed for cattle um and just keeping on all of that is very
interesting and that's where i think a lot of the the myopic view of the general public on oh steak
comes from here i'm like well kind of but 27 other business verticals have to function so that state
can make it to that point so what what led you to dry to start colorado craft beef so my wife
is actually a fifth generation rancher um and if you're gonna marry as a man it's uh you know marry
up and be the ugly one. So I took care of that. And, uh, in 2015, we moved back to the family
ranch in Colorado. And in that move, we were talking to Kara's dad who still runs the commercial
ranch, uh, actually Colorado craft beef, uh, Kara and I bootstrapped, um, no family money behind it,
no family assets behind it. Uh, we just put it together and just kept growing. And we were
talking to Dave, my father-in-law, and the conversation was about succession planning
and where the ranch was going to be in, you know, 30 years.
And I'm a bit of a business dork.
I understand his model just enough to be dangerous.
And at the time I said, Hannah, do you think what you do is sustainable in the next generations?
And he's very much in the commodity side.
He runs a lot of numbers.
He does a heck of a job.
He's forgot more about the cattle industry than most everybody knows.
And he sees the writing on the wall and he told us, he's like, you have to find a different way.
it's not for mismanagement or anything. It's just, the market is changing. This commodity
driven model is rough. And then if you correlate that back to the banking industry, you know,
the regulations are tighter. Capital is much tighter. Collateralization is much tighter.
So if you make an error, you may not come back from it. And then you get all the banks on the
side, they cross collateralize everything. Oh, you have a cow loan. Perfect. Well, your house
in it and your vehicles and everything. From our business standpoint, we've siloed everything off
with LLCs and even the banks don't like that because now they don't have you by the short
hairs. And we started looking at like the return on capital investment with the commodity side of
cattle. And when you're looking at sub 5% on the Roki, that's horrible. My wife and I both came
from corporate sales. I had a stint in private equity and we said, man, where can we utilize
our skillset in a way that pays homage to the four generations before my wife, but also secures
the opportunity for further generations to choose to be a part of the ranch because it will be a
viable business. And that's where craft beef came from. So we, we launched the company in 2017.
uh we started shipping beef nationally early 2018 uh triple d year covid that was wild uh and we've
been growing like crazy uh in the summer of 2022 uh we incorporated our own feed yard we found we
found a feed yard and then put it under our umbrella uh so we are grain finished i mean
we do a lot of different things that are a little different than the commercial market
uh and then last summer uh in august we finalized a partnership deal with jaco
uh the other co-founders of jaco fuel so brian and pete and then we brought in a bunch of people
from their network so leif babin dave burke travis mills uh dr sean baker the carnivore guy
he's about pal of ours and we went and we bought the harvest facility that we'd been using for the
last four years, five years. And the guy that owned the harvest facility was a classmate of
mine from Colorado state university. And I'm happy to say that he reinvested and stayed on to run the
plant. So we, we formed partnerships and we built this vertically integrated system that we own and
operate and, uh, it's going gangbusters. It's been a wild ride. And so honing in on the business
model that your father-in-law seems convinced is going to be rough to continue moving forward
what does that look like and how are you and cara bringing a new model to try to make sure that this
is economically sustainable into the future yeah so dave operates in the commercial market so he
buys calves weans them turns them out on grass to get them into a different market different time
year means different seasonality which means different price points for you know christmas
demand or things like that uh but in that model you're a price taker you can hedge you can you
can put put down on the market and manage your risk to a degree but i don't know if you remember
2021 uh that uh cattle harvest facility in kansas burned down detonated the market i mean prices
went through the roof or prices actually went way down because now demand was slowed because
this massive facility is offline and overnight you know what was worth 150 bucks 100 is now worth
94 cents it's like how do you incorporate those kind of swings in a business model
especially when you're in a position of decreased leverage as a commodity producer because now you
you have a hundred of your neighbors that are all vying for the same slots. So with Colorado
Kraft Beef, what we did is we switched the model from a price taking model to a price making model.
So we get to determine our price. There's challenges with that, of course, because now you
have extra burger or other business opportunities that are more work, but you can increase your
capital returns. It's just a matter of putting in the work and optimizing the system without
out becoming you know the system we're trying to fight against probably similar to the bitcoin
community hey we want to push against central banking but they did it the way they did it for
a reason and we want to make that model better but it still has to function and that's as we're
building things out you know we're vertically integrated so we're able to control our costs
and now we have other value-add options like the beef sticks we talked about
we actually launched beef bacon on the website last friday so we're doing cured short ribs cut
into bacon for like breakfast bacon oh yeah um so you're a little more nimble you're a little
more flexible but it's also a time time investment to make sure you can get those returns and then
you have to be at scale so you can afford to pay people and you know just business 101 on repeat
every day it reminds me of the bitcoin mining industry particularly the the push towards
vertical integration because that's what we've seen in the mining world as it's become hyper
competitive as the the mad dash for bitcoin increases as the price goes up and that's
the big trend in mining right now there's a lot of m&a going on and it's driving towards this
fully vertically integrated model where as a miner your biggest input cost is your electricity
and then the computers themselves.
But everybody's really focused on getting the lowest electricity cost possible.
What you're seeing is miners actually buying energy generation companies,
substations, whatever it may be,
doing JV deals with power generators to put their operations behind the meter
and then vertically integrating from there, building their data centers,
but building the infrastructure of the transmission lines
and the transformers and all of that.
right it's just what necessitates survival in in that market particularly it's all scale right
you know what's your what's your lowest production cost how do you get there and
it sounds very sterile to say it like that but that's every business ever yeah um you know i've
told people in my consulting roles before i'm like there's two ways to make more money in business
and they're like oh there's multiple i said no there's not you need to decrease costs or increase
your price however you do that is up to you but there's no other way to do it no and they were
like it's not that simple i'm like it's actually exactly that simple the problem is people try to
over complicate it and get lost in the weeds yeah yeah simple concept but how do you get there it's
like yeah you got to figure out how to run as lean and as efficient as possible yeah yeah it's a nasty
venn diagram when you start really zooming out for sure and then throw in you know all the things we
have within agriculture to deal with, you know, everything is a plus or minus 20 or 30% yield on
weight or efficiency or cost. Well, now throw 20 variables in there and you get a real financial
analyst. I have a gentleman that does some work for me and he's a wizard, but he, he and I were
talking one day and we're working on this big financial model for a winery in Oregon. And he
goes, dude, it would not take much for this whole thing to be upside down. I said, that's agriculture
dude every day it doesn't matter what part of ag you're in it doesn't take much for you to be
totally upside down and the hard part within ag especially is from the 70s to you know the mid
2010s uh the profitability has just been detonated because in the mid 70s for every dollar you put
into agriculture you could get about a dollar 35 back is the standard math today it's dollar 14
so then people are like oh the older generations aren't optimistic they're upset they're very
negative yeah they've watched the erosion of their entire profit model for the last 40 years
it's probably pretty tough to be positive about that yeah it's been cut by more than half yeah
yeah it's it's pretty rough and so you get the old way of thinking and you get you know the
traditional ag mindset and you see this decrease in profitability over the decades so you know
I've talked about this on other shows if my wife and I had not started craft beef and come from
corporate America with a little bit of a war chest and bootstrap this whole thing with family money
I don't think it would have worked because how many times could I have gone back to the family
and been like hey okay another couple hundred grand no big deal we only need to do this like
three more times and then maybe we'll get a deal done it just doesn't work last raise ever yeah
big uh big last race ever never have more untrue words been spoken and how much how much of this
uphill battle in terms of just reaching profitability in the cattle ranching sector
is driven by like overbearing regulations and just the construction of the regulatory environment
and the centralization of of the big packers the the regulatory risk in ag in general is rough
um especially when a lot of that regulatory management is done by people that don't know
what's really happening you know you have a talking point and you're like well that's
about 40 accurate but if we you know drill out the nuances there's really no silver bullet to
any one problem you know whether you want to talk pesticides or implants in cattle or whatever
there's really no carte blanche solution but the regulation side the biggest risk of that is it's
being driven by propaganda and it's being driven by people with an agenda and that becomes the
hardest part um coupled with the fact that a lot of people in agriculture don't want to go have
that fight they they're like man i want to i want to be in the mountains of colorado i want to raise
cattle the way i do or where i'm from in eastern oregon like i'm going to grow wheat and i'm going
to ship it off and if you couple that with the decreased economic viability of agriculture you
know, from 35% to 14, you don't have time now because you have less money for employees. You
need to do more of the work yourself, yourself performing a lot of that work. So even if you
want to have the fight, you may not be able to go do it. That's the real hard part. Within the cattle
space from a regulatory environment, we haven't seen a lot because the cattle industry is so
disintegrated compared to, you know, the poultry or the pork industry. Those are all vertically
integrated you know purdue or smithfield or seaboard pork you know they own their entire
chain so they're able to vertically integrate and get really creative the cattle industry
one of the things that drives me crazy is people to use the term factory farming and
then refer to cattle i'm like guys that doesn't exist like most cow calf operators don't carry
their cattle past weaning they sell the calves because you have to because it still takes you
know 15 months whereas and then then those cattle you know need to live another year to get to
finish there's a long turn time on that whereas if you have a chicken born today eight weeks from
now it's in a box much more math turn faster turn on capital you can you're producing a lot faster
where you see most of the regulations in ag is you get something like the egg issue that happened
last year i don't know if you saw that egg prices like shot through the roof in california that's
because back in 2019 i think it was 2019 if i'm misspeaking on that my apologies california said
okay two years from now three years from now this is the new egg regulations but california is such
a huge market that causes a ripple effect through the whole industry so the entire egg industry has
to change over a couple of years to meet these new regs or they can no longer ship to california
that's usually is what's driving these huge issues in the cattle industry it's not quite
as prevalent because there's so many different things happening if you want to buy xyz label
you can do that and the market will pay you to do it the hardest part in the cattle industry
is there's so much so many big players that if you're at a smaller scale your ability to do
competitive marketing is pretty tough yeah the uh i was actually on the way in here i saw a tweet
from rep massey about the electronic tagging of cattle that they're trying to push on the industry
to are they trying to do the to track carbon emissions or something like that yeah it's
another propaganda thing yeah i mean you know that it's really interesting this just came to
my attention about six months ago because they talk the general math is and this is reported by
the meat export federation not me is that grain finished beef has a 67 percent lower carbon
footprint than grass finished again it's not my data it's the u.s meat export federation so
please leave the pitchforks at home but the other interesting data that i don't think was calculated
in that math is uh somebody just released a white paper not too long ago that says well you know
you're worried about methane emissions from cattle which by the way is cow burps not cow farts nobody
a lot of people miss that they said that well if you're feeding these cattle grass and they're
emitting methane sure but if you didn't feed those cattle that same grass and we had a winter come
through and it lays the grass down and that grass is going to decompose naturally on the top of the
soil it's going to emit the same methane yeah i'm like man that is a great way to think about that
like there is no change in the methane emission we're just upcycling product that you and i can't
consume and making it into steak which is arguably the best protein for us so it's it's a very
interesting space we're in right now with people trying to regulate stuff they don't understand
and it's insane i mean that's another big topic we've been fighting back against for years which
is esg it's completely insane yeah i don't think these people care about the environment social
justice or corporate governance at all i think they just want control to think that i mean you
just go to a ranch and you look at what the cows are doing grazing plots of grass and moving along
grazing and you can actually see like the environment becomes greener and more lush over
time and yes they may be burping methane into the environment but the the cultivation and the
sort of looking for the stewarding of the land to make sure that it's actually
it traps carbon as well these emissions as well by producing things that suck in carbon produce
oxygen it's completely insane yeah because i mean if you look at pictures of our ranch in the summer
it's going to look the same as it did a thousand years ago with buffalo i mean we're in the plains
of eastern colorado so you know rogan spends quite a bit of time talking about the book empire of the
summer moon the comanche book beautiful book they talk about basically where we live and how the
buffalo were all there nothing's changed like we're on sand hills we're on grassland the only
thing that's changed is there's fences now yeah and that's what's interesting to me because there's
this big push on regenerative agriculture and i agree with the concept for sure like you look at
will harris and what he's done and you look at that video i don't know how many times rogan has
put up that video of the water i'm sure you've seen it yep hundreds of times probably that is
undeniable what he has done in his place and totally agree with that and i've emailed with
will and you know thanked him for being a steward for agriculture i think he's a great guy
we don't have that same opportunity in colorado because we're in sandhills we seasonally graze
from april to when the rain turns off and we get 11 inches of rain a year we've been doing it the
same forever the ranch has been there since 1913 and so when people like are you regenerative i'm
like i really don't know how to answer that because our our place has not changed in 100 years
I would say we don't need to be regenerative right now
because we didn't degenerate anything.
And that's the hard part is if you say, are you regenerative,
you're insinuating that you degenerated at first.
Well, sometimes that's the case, sometimes it's not.
But it's very interesting to kind of see where the industry drives it
or the labels or the regulation.
All of it is driven by people that, frankly, are well-fed,
properly nourished enough that they can fight against the people that are doing it and it's
so frustrating no i mean it goes back to like the overarching regulation too it's like that's a
perfect example of information is local and you can't have broad brush regulation on a whole
industry when somebody um who's ranching in georgia has a completely different environment
different variable inputs and then somebody ranching in colorado is completely different
inputs in the sink that you're going to be able to say hey you guys are the exact same we're going
to regulate the regulate you the exact same it's just asinine sure well and you know i will uh you
know rewind myself briefly i also think as agriculturalists there's a lot of people that
just don't want to change um and i've made that regenerative statement about our pasture and
things like that. And, uh, buddy of mine, uh, AJ Richards, uh, just put together a direct to
consumer shipping platform for cat or for protein around the country. Uh, just launched it last
week. And he's like, Hey man, I know your stance on this. Cause I was on his podcast. And he's
like, I'd love to introduce you to this gentleman out of Mexico. He ranches in the Sandhills. He's
seen major changes with some different stuff. And he gets like six inches of rain a year.
would you be interested in talking to him? I'm like, absolutely. I mean, not to say there's
not new data out there and we can go find it. But, you know, to our earlier conversation,
I don't want to just rip a bandaid off. Like, let's be a little more tactical in how we're
going to do this stuff. Quick break here, freaks. This rip is brought to you by Gradually Then
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and when you talk about being tactical and how we're going to do this stuff like what is the
end goal in your mind for what i mean for colorado craft beef specifically but then more broadly like
what are your thoughts on like the food trends in the u.s and the trends of cat like heads of
cattle i mean latest numbers saying it's the lowest uh cattle head count since 1970 for sure
uh so the plan for colorado craft beef is our main mission is to engage with the consumer not
educate i think a lot of the ag people so we're going to go educate people i'm like that's a tough
stick to show up with people might not take that as well so we're just trying to engage people with
what's going on um but at the end of the day with colorado craft beef what we're trying to do is
secure a profitable legacy for the family ranch for for generations to come that's the mission
uh you know from an ag standpoint i think what's really interesting you know because that
the cattle count is way down but there's other back end pieces of that math that a lot of people
don't talk about so from the since the 70s on average for every steer that's harvested
and i don't know how many bitcoiners know what a steer is but it's a castrated male cow that's
finished out the carcass size for the last 40 years has gone up about five pounds a year
so while cattle numbers are down cattle are the biggest they've ever been so really the math you
have to look at is the beef cutout numbers and i haven't looked at them that's i was actually i
talked to dr miller on friday hey you did yeah well i listened to your to your podcast with him
and then sent him a message on ig and we talked for like 40 minutes on friday evening great guy
had a great time talking to him uh invited him to the ranch and then talked about some of the
stuff we're doing from a production standpoint with like dna and genetic testing etc and as we
talked through a lot of that different stuff it's just very apparent that
it's hard to get a full conversation about the intricacy of a market like the cattle space
in a soundbite because in that you know steers have gone up five pounds a year on carcass weight
heifers have gone up six so yes cattle numbers are lower but our cutouts on an animal basis
it's higher than it's been ever 200 pounds more than it was yeah which is going to yield you
around 110 pounds of finished meat on every animal and i mean fun fact marty how many cattle do we
harvest on average per week in the united states i have no idea 600 000 a week it's a little crazy
that's when everybody's like oh we need more more people at colorado craft beef i totally agree
we won't we won't be to five figures probably ever where does the rest of that come from
That's tough. That's hard math. And then if you compare our cost of production with our harvest facility to a Cargill or a JBS cost of production, for them to break the same animal into boxes, we're about 2x, 2.5x because we're smaller, we're slower. It's just a scale issue.
i'm not saying that their model is awesome i'm not saying we have to support them
but i am saying we've got to be careful how we start to move the needle so that people don't
go hungry yeah so that's the uh jbs cargo they've been a big topic of discussion with the ranchers
and the big four slaughterhouses and how do you distribute that yeah and i think
what representative massey is trying to do to make it so that you can you can spin up um
packing distributors and i think independent slaughterhouses like within each state
yeah is a good move forward it's going to be expensive yeah and you know my my typical stance
on all of this is to consumers vote with your dollar spend your dollar on the process you want
of support because if will harris at white oak pastures is selling more beef he's going to scale
up if i'm selling more beef i'm going to scale up if you need to feed your family grocery store
ground beef because that's what you can afford by all means do that um but we have to be intentional
with how we deploy our resources and when i say resources it's not just money it's your time
where are you trying to learn things how are you what are you investing in how are you bettering
yourself and and being very intentional with how we as a society start to move the needle because
i will freely admit one of our investors uh keegan he's out of oregon a good friend of mine
he's the one that told me you were going to orange pill me on the show
he has been hammering me on bitcoin since like 2019 and i'm like man i'm kind of singularly
focused on the beef company right now and i told you that on friday and you were like yep you got
to put bitcoin in the stack though and i'm sure keegan's gonna hear this and be like dude i've
been telling you like um but there's just only so much time right and so where do you invest that
are you investing it in your team and continuing ed for yourself or family time you know hanging
out with the kids making sure they're good humans that's probably a good investment
yeah um but there's a finite amount of all of those things now that's uh i was actually
had a good friend of mine parker who works out of here in the commons he might be here when we
walk out of the studio he came over saturday and we were talking about the discussion we had on
friday and um that's something we're trying to figure out too is because like when we have that
discussion you're like i'm invested in cattle i'm going to think about like this is the investment
i'm putting in i got a lot of time to think about bitcoin as another investment on top of this and
that's what we have to figure out as bitcoiners is a way to again pitch it's like it's shouldn't
be viewed as like another investment should be viewed as like an accelerant to your capital
stack within your company and you were telling me you got uh bombarded by a bitcoiner uh yesterday
you really didn't understand the uh the nuances of running a business and the fact that you have
costs that you have to bear every month and if you're not insanely profitable you may not have
the luxury to just buy and hold bitcoin into perpetuity um but that's i mean and i was telling
you on friday i think we run uh this company on a bitcoin standard we send invoices we accept
bitcoin for advertisements um but we also have usd expenses and so that's the way i apply it to
this business is i'll accept bitcoin as payment i'll look at my books every month in cash flow
and profits and be like all right this month i'm going to put x amount into bitcoin and hold it and
right it has the argument for holding bitcoin on your balance sheet if you can do it over a four
year period it is a no-brainer um and that's the question every business owner has to answer is
like all right how much bitcoin can i buy and hold for a four-year period um because historically
the price of bitcoin has gone up significantly over a four-year period nobody's lost money
holding bitcoin for four years and so thinking of like a long-term treasury asset that's how
bitcoins you don't view it as something that you're going to make money on this year next year
you got to buy hold it on your treasury for four years what i've just seen at this company is by
doing that i was telling you on friday like it has enabled me to reinvest the particular points
in time to really accelerate what we're trying to do here yeah the weirdest thing that i just
knowing so i do all the financial work for our company that's oddly enough my wife is the cattle
manager she has a master's degree in cow nutrition grew up as a fifth generation rancher i don't need
to play in that particular pool um but the interesting thing within ag especially production
agriculture is the banking is so tight. Like you have XYZ asset. If you can get 70% loan to value
on a collateral basis, you're doing pretty good. And the number of banks that will lend to
agriculture, very strict agriculture is relatively small. Then you get into a specialty market like
what we do, which is pretty hard to collateralize. Like live cattle have a known value. Well, now
we're going to harvest those cattle. They're going to be in a box. Now they have a different
cost of inputs, but it's no longer a known value for the bank. So they have to collateralize back
against that. That's been one of the biggest challenges we've had as a company as we scale
is because now we're getting out of like traditional banking agriculture and we're
big enough that the capital is kind of scary to them with an unknown market. And it's based on
projections i would be really curious to see what my bank said if i said okay now bitcoin's in this
same collateral stack uh i don't know that that would go my way no not right now no but i think
there's a ton of value don't get me wrong um but the the banks especially in the ag sector
are so risk averse especially right now with interest rates being insane and
a lot of ag is just generally unprofitable i would be shocked if there wasn't a massive
amount of pushback no i would be too yeah but it's insane because the market's still
basically coming to understand bitcoin i think in the future who knows at what point but i do
think at some point in the next decade bitcoin as collateral will be preferred to something like a
tractor or even land if you will just because of the fact of how liquid it is and it trades 24 7
365 and you can prove yeah the market the market discovery is active all the time right yeah and
so the company down the hall unchained um they're really they're probably the leader in terms like
bitcoin collateralized lending and the way they've constructed their escrow for the the lending
product is beautiful because it's in bitcoin you can have what's called a multi-sig wallet
where you put bitcoin in this wallet and to move it you need two or three signatures from two
different key agents in the quorum and so you can imagine a scenario where you're going to take a
loan out as a rancher and you put bitcoin in this wallet you hold a key the bank holds a key and
And then a agnostic third party holds a key.
And the Bitcoin sits in that wallet.
The bank can see it.
You can see it.
That third party can see it.
And you know it's there.
The collateral's there.
And then, God forbid, anything happens to your business
and they need to liquidate the collateral,
they can sign the transaction.
The third party can sign the transaction,
move the Bitcoin, you liquidate it.
It's much, when you think about liquidating collateral
in a lending structure if you were to collateralize
farming tractors or land or whatever it be,
and you think about the liquidity profile of those assets,
in the future it will be very obvious that Bitcoin is preferable
in that collateral stack for these operators.
Are you familiar with borrowing-based structure?
Yeah, that's very common in the ag space.
So, oh, I have a hay pile, 400 tons of hay,
it's worth call it 80 grand every month you're re-upping those inventory numbers because your
inventory is constantly moving right we're feeding cattle but now the cattle are worth more and this
has moved down and it's that constant rebalancing every month it's kind of the traditional ag
lending side especially on the production side it's not long term it's month to month yeah and
i would be curious um without knowing much about bitcoin is the volatility of that market and if
that might invert and you have a real problem because that's that monthly oh where do we stand
yeah and that's where so that's we're in the nation stages of this collateral market for
bitcoin specifically so like unchains ltv is 40 because of the the volatility of the
that's rough yeah 40 percent's hard yeah yeah so i don't think this problem's solved yet but i do
think over time it will be solved as bitcoin market cap increases and becomes more stable
the price volatility decreases what's the regulatory side of bitcoin going to be though
because i'm sure the central banks and most governments are kind of against not being part
of the global commerce system so what's the risk on your guys's side with the bitcoin stuff you
with a 40 collateral today how do we grow that to 70 or 80 that's more of a bankable business model
i think it comes down to the um the capital providers on the lending side so that's like
just because bitcoin's history up to this point 15 years and it's been hyper volatile you've seen
exchanges go down the ftx's the block fives the celsius the mount gox's of the world really scared
traditional capital from coming in and being comfortable backing a lending desk um and it
took a lot of trial and error to realize that there's ways to do it like the way unchained
does it where it's essentially it's nothing's risk-free but it's as close to risk-free as you
can get with this collateral setup the escrow setup um a bunch of companies in the past were
taking people's bitcoin lending them dollars and then they were taking that bitcoin and lending it
out to degenerate traders who were losing the Bitcoin.
So all those lending desks went under
because they weren't really respecting
the nature of Bitcoin as this hard asset
and the fact that there's no lender of last resort.
Like if you're gonna do these lending models,
it has to sit in a multi-sig wallet and don't move.
You can't re-hypothecate it to people.
And the market has learned that lesson.
And I think we're finally at a point where it's obvious,
like, all right, if you're gonna lend Bitcoin out,
it's gotta be done in this way.
So I think just from an education and maturation process, we're at that point.
And it'll get better where capital providers will get more comfortable putting their dollars up to lend against Bitcoin collateralized loans.
And I think the timing is actually really ripe for that because if you look at like private credit markets, they're all looking for yield.
And it's the treasury markets are fucked.
The corporate bond markets are fucked.
and right when it comes to like a credit product like where you're going to get yield as the
bitcoin price goes up bitcoiners don't want to sell their bitcoin they'd rather lend against it
there's going to be a lot of a lot of capital that that can be made from these these credit
funds putting dollars in these products that's only one aspect of bitcoin's value in this
particular or and from your perspective is yes it can be good collateral it's still maturing uh
through that process that bitcoin is collateral but then again like just from trusted third
parties like banks like the banking system is very woefully systemically fragile right now
if you look i just saw i retweeted a tweet right before i hopped out of my uber to come to this
interview the treasury issuance uh is back at covid levels like april 2020 levels wow in terms
of like debt expansion so there's definitely a liquidity problem well a lot of the bigger
financial institutions have closed their ag divisions a lot of the big banks won't play
in agriculture because it's too volatile it's very interesting and that's been happening for
the last couple of decades where you know big financial institutions are offloading their
entire ag portfolio and it's like oh so we have fewer lenders it's rough yeah no i mean it's it's
this it's the fiat system like you've printed all this money and you've created these perverse
incentives to like seek yield which means you got to go take more insane risk and allocate capital
in a way that arguably would not be um allocated uh in the same way if we had a sound money
standard it's just literally you have to keep up with the pace of debt issuance and monetary base
expansion to try to create a yield on top of that just to um just to beat inflation year in and
year out and so just capital spread way thin in areas it arguably should not be in and you create
this systemically weak and fragile system and that's hopefully what bitcoin's gonna gonna fix
where under a sound money standard with Bitcoin,
you bring opportunity costs back to the market.
And as a capital allocator, you have to think really hard.
Like, all right, if I put this Bitcoin here,
am I going to get it back?
And you get more sound capital allocation strategies.
And then on top of that, that's just the one aspect,
the sound money aspect.
There's only 21 million Bitcoin.
You have the scarce asset that's going to appreciate over time
and increase the purchasing power of your balance sheet.
over the long run but then you have this redundancy um track as well the fact that
it runs in this distributed peer-to-peer ledger that allows you to um allows you to actually
custody your money and hold it and so like when you think of like a potential banking crisis we
saw this this time last year with silicon valley bank and first republic and signature bank with
the fragile state of the banking system like i make a very strong argument that it makes sense
to hold bitcoin just in case the banks go down because there was if the fed didn't step in
and the fdic didn't step in um for silicon valley bank specifically last year like
the whole startup space in silicon valley was not going to be able to make payroll
and so that's like another argument for holding bitcoin in the balance sheet is god forbid
you have a systemic banking crisis again and the banks don't allow you to get access to your money
or you get bailed in they take a portion of your your deposits and bail out the bank yeah because
there's a lot of people that are talking about just don't have cash cash is a horrible idea
because what is cash you know cash is a number in a bank that may crash tomorrow and that's what
the ag space i really love what we've done because not just our company but ag in general
most of it's in assets it's in hard assets you know i have cows if the entire banking system
falls apart tomorrow people still need to eat yep or i had a buddy that was in the oil field and he
goes i almost never have cash i was like really he goes yeah i have extra pipe he'd just buy it
like if he had extra cash on the balance sheet he just bought another load of steel and he goes
because those are real assets he goes the banking system is garbage yeah it's like i want real
assets and so if bitcoin you know could be that other potential real asset that can move and
become a currency that's you know air quotes a harder asset than numbers in a app that may or
may not exist tomorrow i think that'd be a great idea yeah yeah using that example like your buddy
buying steel that's where like bitcoin fits in again solving the double coincidence of one's
problem it's money and so yeah he's putting it in the steel but maybe he doesn't need that steel
and he's just using it as a store of value instead of cash that's where bitcoin comes in so like
instead of buying that steel that you may not need just buy bitcoin again it's extremely liquid
trades 24 7 365 instead of putting in steel put it in bitcoin and then at some point in the future
when you actually need to buy something maybe you don't need to buy steel maybe you need to buy
maybe you're drilling a well
and you need a drill team to frack
and so you need to pay for that team
instead of selling the steel
and then using the cash to pay for that team
just either use the Bitcoin or sell the Bitcoin
just a different form of savings
yeah
and that's why we have
fix the money fix the world out here
because I think
like what you just described is
whether individuals realize it intuitively or not
they're forced to make these
take these actions which really don't make sense at the end like you should be able to just save
money you should be able to like in the same world in the same economy you should be able to save
cash and build up a cash treasury to um to basically allocate at some point in the future
to invest in your company with the particular needs that exist at that time but yeah are you
saying it's not equitable that my bank pays 0.4 percent on on savings but charges nine and a
quarter right now yeah no it's not i've always had a problem with that particular discrepancy
i'm like i know you're relending our capital and charging nine percent like who's screwing who in
this particular environment and they're creating money out of thin air in that process that's
actually how money is created in the commercial banking system when they issue yeah the money
the money multiplier is i remember seeing that so my degree is actually an ag business with
minors in accounting and finance and i remember the first time i was in a college finance class
and they showed the money multiplier and i was like well this is how it works i'm like
that looks like smoking mirrors and a balance sheet shouldn't hold up to that math
and well it's all fugazi and the really unnerving part right now is the western governments have
weaponize this monetary system internationally like with the
external to what you think of what's going on in russia ukraine just honing in on the fact that
the western government froze and are now liquidating russia's treasury assets
is an insane move on their part because they've essentially proven like oh as a sovereign nation
you actually don't control your wealth yeah it runs on the rails that we control and so we control
at the end of the day there's countries in the middle east all over the world who saw what the
west has done to russia's treasury assets are like holy shit we cannot hold our assets and
treasuries and like i don't think there's been many public um statements about a move away from
this outside of like the bricks country saying like yeah we need to band up and um get away from
swift and in the dollar system but you have to imagine that all these countries are thinking we
need an alternative to the treasury market and the dollar system because they can freeze our assets
yeah if we say something wrong so there was a there's a book i would recommend
uh to all the freaks out there it's called the coming jobs war i don't know if you've read it
i have not it is a terrifying read but it was written by the gentleman whose dad founded the
gallup polls and he talks about the five boat anchors on the economy of the u.s and how the
u.s was a suit was almost not a superpower in the 70s and then we invented the internet
and it comes since it's from the gallup polls it comes with a ton of data so it's very data driven
um great read and then you know the the caveat to that is i was at a con or my wife excuse me
me. It was at a conference. It would have been like 2018, 2017. And I've made this statement
and I've gotten a lot of hate because of it, but it's not my statement, but it's an interesting
concept when we discuss food. There was a gentleman that was a global economist and he's
talking about population growth, ability for countries to feed themselves. And there's only
three countries in the world at the time that he said 50 years from now would be able to self
sustain their population with food is the u.s argentina new zealand um and and the other caveat
was still be able to export because that's what matters right you grow all the food you want but
if your infrastructure to export that food to other countries is poor it doesn't matter yeah
like brazil grows a ton of food but they have like two ports now granted in 50 years you can
build a lot of infrastructure. But the concept was 50 years from now, 2050 or so, based on current
population growth and food production, especially with regulatory changes, et cetera, that at some
point we were going to start to hit a tipping point where food was going to be weaponized
because of countries growing and not being able to support their own population.
And then certain countries were going to raise quite a lot in the rankings of global power
because of their ability to control food supply and i watched uh my or my wife got the presentation
and showed it to me and i was like you know i've had people from argentina they're like there's no
way and i'm like i'm not saying that's what's going to happen but it was an interesting thought
exercise you know when we talk about the food system and what are we weaponizing and what are
governments doing that is not that far of a reach no it's just right there i mean if you look hard
enough you squint you look it seems like they're preparing for this this uh food crisis with the
the push to eat the bugs and the lab-grown meat it seems like those are uh sort of moves
foreseeing a food crisis at some point in the future it's like hey they say it's like oh no
this is healthier it's better for the environment but i see that i'm like ah they see something on
on the horizon they're trying to make it look like eating bugs is actually a good decision
sort of trick people into doing it so they can i'll stick with steak yeah i will as well
no you get back like the another big thing is like the competency crisis so like taking a step back
and thinking of bitcoin and money from a macro level like that's a big problem in our world
today with inflation where it's at with taxes where they're at particularly here in the u.s
like you just have people who are working millennials specifically who were told like
you go to college you get a degree you go get a good job you'll be able to have the life that i
had you'll be able to buy a house raise a family do everything you want that's just not materializing
it's really demoralizing oh man 30 years ago a good corporate job was the meal ticket you were
solid you were gonna have a 401k you were gonna have a house and two cars and your wife and two
kids and it was very traditional you know 80s 90s and now it almost seems like the only surefire way
to have a job forever is to work for the government yeah because i mean i've seen corporations i know
of one that so pre-covered they had around 200 sales employees nationwide they go into covid
cut a third of them they cut around 50 uh positions dropped the sales team down to 150.
give a very generous severance but overnight you know 50 of these people that were in very
high level sales positions are gone that's you know early 2020 october of 2022 a all hands
meeting tomorrow morning and they cut the sales force from 150 to 50. holy so in a matter of two
two and a half years, they took this 200 person sales team down to 50 people, massive swing.
Here's the crazy part. I know this move very, very well. I know a lot of the inner workings
of what happened. They were still exceeding sales budgets. They were crushing the numbers.
All these people were performing. They were doing what was asked of them transactionally,
you know, in this employment arrangement. It still didn't matter because somebody looking
in a spreadsheet somewhere determine that this is the business move and you know those hundred
people be damned and that's the sad part because everybody thinks oh corporate will be safe it'll
be this i'm like it's never been more volatile and and i could be a little more supportive of
that company making that move it's like hey we have to make a pivot something's not right
but when you're selling 15 above the budget that was set for you and they still
acts two-thirds of the group it's bananas i just and i don't know how to reconcile some of that
which is you know entrepreneurship and decentralized employment and you know the human
side of society is being lost in a lot of ways oh it is and it's really beginning to weigh on people
which is the scary part why i feel compelled to work on bitcoin and like push it in into existence
and make it not only prevalent to people
but pervasive throughout our economies
because, again, it all comes back to
as people are making those decisions
because they're looking at spreadsheets
they're not looking at
because they know that in the future
the government's going to print a bunch of money.
We have to keep our cost as low as possible
just to beat inflation.
And, again, it's this perverse incentive
that has been injected into our economy
with easy money.
And that's the concept of Bitcoin mining is like proof of work and why I think it becomes intuitive to a lot of people that we've talked to in the cattle ranching industry is because your whole business is proof of work, like literally toiling on the land to produce food that people eat, that energizes them as individuals and then go forth and energize the economy.
and when you get to that concept of like proof of work like you do a lot of work you work hard
you do your job you expect to get paid in a wage that respects that and that you can then sustain
a life that is respectable and the money just doesn't do that like you you do your work and
you get paid and something that's literally evaporating in front of you you're like forced
to go speculate in the stock market become an expert stock picker just to save your money and
save your wealth oh the hard part is especially in ag with that decrease in profitability that
we've seen over the last few decades nobody wants to come back so while there's a ton of people that
are railing against operations getting bigger and these huge family operations those guys are the
ones that have done the business work to make it profitable and to continue to thrive in this weird
system we're in and the problem is to be at scale enough to be profitable requires a lot of input
and a lot of people don't have that so these small ranches and small farms are getting gobbled up by
other bigger family operations and it's just math yeah because you know the the guys that used to be
able to farm on six or eight hundred acres and make a family living of it in the 70s can't do
that anymore and the problem is by the time they got to the 90s and their kids were grown and went
to college and they saw that after the banking crisis in the eighties and interest rates and
commodity prices are low, who wants to come back to that? Because the big argument in agriculture
is the way of life and our lifestyle. And this is important. Yeah. And I love that stuff. Don't
get me wrong, but I also love feeding my kids and there has to be an incentive and you have to
be able to do it in a way that has good mental health you know there's a big suicide issue in
the ag and farming community um the actually with all that hemp stuff that went down during covid
there's hundreds of farmers that committed suicide over hemp really oh yeah because they went they
went all in and the market detonated and they didn't have a choice they were done and they
chose that route which i don't support but also was the neck guy's boots yeah i mean i knew of
and i think the last i heard there was like 11 farmers in the willamette valley of oregon
uh that were just done yeah and that happens ad nauseum around the country because i mean
to get back in like the ag banking side you own you know your your family gives you the
generational farm and you own you have a million dollars in equity well if you're not profitable
the bank will continue to loan you money they'll just take more equity until you're done yeah and
that's the hard part that's where it's getting really sideways because the bank doesn't demand
profitability because you're sitting on a mountain of equity and they'll just let you work
until it's gone and that's the system i don't agree with it i think we should have an ability
to look at somebody and say hey what are you doing but they love the way of life or whatever
it may be and it's it's hard to watch yeah when the bank takes the land flips the bill gates and
yeah um yeah it's really fucked up and then you compound it again with the competency crisis like
the incentives of the system like you think are such where like you have a family farm you want
to pass it down to your kids but your kids today they're looking at the economy they're like i'm
not going to make much money doing this like all the money's on wall street or big tech which are
being flooded with easy money and so you get all the talent that would sustain a family ranch or
a family small business and they say i'm not going to make money here so i'm going to go to wall
street and then perpetuate the problem like and then you wake up two generations from now whether
it's farming oil and gas nuclear energy which is prevented by regulations predominantly but
we have a situation here where we're only a couple generations away from literally a competency
crisis driven by the fact that nobody knows how to do any of this anymore because they weren't
incentivized economically to sustain these practices whether it's agriculture energy
production, steel production, manufacturing, whatever it may be. We're all incentivized to
go in the hyper-financialized and hyper-growth sectors of finance and tech. Yeah. When I was
in private equity, it was for a small ag fund and they brought me in strictly because of my boots
on the ground knowledge of how the system had to work. We had great analysts, we had great
leadership, but those spreadsheets and financial models have to literally apply to boots on the
ground and that was where i came and that was my background was okay if we're going to operationalize
this this is how we build it this is how it works this is how it has to function um down to even you
know knowing basic equipment and what you can do you know as a i was a construction manager for
quite some time and those are weird skills that the general public usually doesn't have
you know so the well's upside down something's wrong how do you fix it i'm like oh well there's
a lot of different ways you can do that um it's all a lot of it is a lost art because you're not
incentivized to do it and probably the weirdest thing within agriculture is ag kids are known for
their work ethic the construction industry the hospitality industry love ag kids and they'll
pay them a lot of money to not go back which is good for them but it's not great for society on
of long-term curve yeah that's what my uh my hope falls back to just like free market first
principles that it can get very bad it is getting very bad but at some point the incentive to like
go back the need for quality food and quality energy infrastructure will get to such a point
that the price of actually working those jobs will go up and people will go back but sure well
did you see in the most recent south park episode where the handymen are all billionaires because
it's like for 400 you can't fix a toilet so they just start charging out out the nose and it's a
laugh at the market economy of basically people that can't subsist for themselves and like at one
point you know one of the dads is like kids i'm going to show you how to fix this thing and they
pick up the phone and call the handyman that's their version of fixing it uh or to those that
maybe you're not a south park fan uh you know mike rowe yeah a guy from dirty jobs anybody that
wants to get on youtube look up mike rose address to congress he went into congress it's a seven
minute video it's incredible and he talks about this very thing like you're gonna we're gonna
miss out on some of this stuff um i don't want to give it away but it's a great listen yeah
now you think like energy ag civil engineering like you think of all the urban sprawl that we've
built over the last five decades and all the uh infrastructure maintenance that's needed
on all the plumbing and electrical infrastructure that's been built out oh go look at like some of
the every now and then you'll find pictures when they've like dug up a new york city street
to do a project and just look at the amount of infrastructure that's under the pavement
it is nuts and people have no idea yeah like i flushed the toilet and it's gone i'm like it's
not magic no it's not and some of it's been there for a long time and one of these days it may not
work anymore yeah especially uh it'd be part of the reason i got out of new york looking around
saying the city's falling apart around me it's uh i don't want to be here when the when the
toilets don't flush and the shit starts yeah eking up on the streets well what'd you think
of the stakes man sent you down some stakes we had a couple of the new york strips last night
they were incredible we did uh we did a reverse sear in the cast iron we had some twice baked
potatoes and spinach with them they were delicious there you go yeah cool did a butter garlic thyme
and rosemary very classic yeah appreciate that i have a nice uh the the strips have nice fat
caps on them too i love the fat um very good fat yeah one of the things that we're able to do
within the company you know to the quality side is we age everything for 21 days there's a whole
carcass they hang for 21 days and that's where a lot of that flavor comes from is that ability to
age them as a whole carcass get that enzymatic breakdown that adds the flavor
and well i think we had some of the steak yesterday at the event with jocko and the guys
like there's people cutting it with a fork yeah i'm like that's uh that's the hope the uh 21 days
why 21 so up to about you can age up to about 45 days but it's a decreasing curve so once you get
after after about 35 days you're not going to get a lot of impact but if you like if you have
commercial steak it's harvested and most of the plant managers and those big commercial plants
will tell you that if that animal is still here in any form or factor in four days it's an
operational failure and some of these facilities like uh there's there's two massive harvest
plants in in colorado they're harvesting 6 000 head a day in two shifts you know 16 hours they're
doing 6 000 animals it's insane it's i did the math one time and like they're unloading a semi
load of cattle every three and a half minutes holy crap which i've done that and you can't
unload a truck in three and a half minutes so it's like seven or eight receiving areas it's
it's crazy but uh as you start to age what you get is you'll have a water shrink in that first
like seven days you have a really good flavor profile change from 7 to 14 and 14 to 21 is just
icing on the cake so if you have any sort of maybe a biological issue like because they're all
different right none of these cattle are cookie cutters you know you might have one that has a
little more connective tissue or wasn't as finished or something. But that 14 to 21 days
is an insurance policy to guarantee the same quality in every box. And it's moderately
unimpactful from a cost standpoint. We actually did some research from 14 to 21 days to see how
much more water you're losing. And that's one of the things that if you start, if you buy a one
pound steak at the grocery store that wasn't really aged and you cook it down or you buy a
pound steak from us and you cook it down we're going to have a lot higher yield on a percentage
basis because most of the water in ours is gone which is where you get that concentration of
flavor that you probably noticed yesterday yeah and they're big steaks too which was great to
see and the other thing like defrosting them the color of post defrost was you couldn't tell that
it was frozen it looked like it was supposed to yeah which is not i i've bought steaks from uh
from other ranchers frozen vacuum packed and defrosted and i was like should i cook this
not always but sometimes this i was like oh no this looks good to go yeah we're uh we're very
very particular on the quality control uh so mike the gentleman we bought the harvest facility from
that stayed on to run it uh when we were in college he ran the meat lab at colorado state
university so you know we jokingly everybody in the in our company right now is the nerd of some
sort like Darren over here behind the spotlight he's the camera nerd I don't know that we've
told him that yet but I'm the money nerd my wife is the cow nerd Mike is the meat nerd
and you know when we when we started down the path of getting the deal done Mike was like well
man what am I supposed to do I was like exactly what you're doing now I don't want to learn that
I don't have time to learn that you know let's let's join forces and make a bigger impact as a
group. And he's like, Oh, cool. Um, what's really interesting on the cattle fabrication side,
you know, you take carcasses and you break them down into steaks. Everybody will look around
and man, how do you do this? How do you do that? How do you change this? And a lot of people in
the cattle industry, myself included, my wife and I, when we first started the company,
we said, man, I bet it's like 50% cattle quality, like 50% the guy with the knife
when it's in a package i think it's about 90 10 really it's 90 a guy with a knife really i mean
good cattle will remain good cattle but with proper cooler settings proper proper cattle
handling proper carcass handling proper packaging and an ability to kind of operationalize the
quality aspect of it you can take subpar cattle and make them very good that is not what we do
but in just watching that um there's a operator near us uh they do direct to consumer they sell
only halves they've done it for decades they have a waiting list like to get on their list
and these guys know cattle they know how to feed cattle they're very very sharp
i've had their cat their meat out of three separate facilities all three of his different
flavor profile interesting strictly based on carcass set or cooler settings how the carcasses
are handled it's very surprising to me because i was never the meat nerd like mike is but yeah
that's one of the things we really push on is that consistent quality every time you open a box it's
going to be the same thing and then amy who's our head of fulfillment at the ranch i mean it's okay
if this package doesn't look right if the steak doesn't present right in the package we don't send
it yeah so do you think you're producing a model that can be replicated is that the hopes is that
through yeah there's other people that replicate it already i mean you know will at white oak
pastures they have their own harvest facility on site um and then like joel salatin at polyface up
in virginia um there's people doing this the thing i am hesitant about is just the scale you're
asking for uh so i did bradley's podcast last fall uh the gentleman out of vegas and before i went
in this podcast i did the math and i was like oh man so you know another question for you
how many cattle a day are consumed in new york proper new york city proper not the boroughs
just central town in manhattan yeah so earlier it was 600 000 a week a week of slaughters that's
about give or take 90 000 a day how much is new york consuming per day ten thousand six thousand
six thousand yeah okay and you know joel salatin is in virginia not too far from new york but
subsequently not too far from baltimore not too far from dc not too far from philly
you know obviously that end of the world is so concentrated with humans
i worry that people like ourselves or will or joel or any of those guys i don't know that it's
scalable at the city level especially when like if you get to the northeast because there's just
not room right like where i'm from in eastern oregon you know it's three hours to portland
and you're like oh i'm going to the next major city say you go north it's seattle it's still
two and a half hours away and there's nothing between it there's small towns but it's very
spread out. Once you get east of the Mississippi, between towns and big cities, there's not a lot
of space. It's very dense. Absolutely. So if we look at that from a real estate requirement,
from transportation, all the other infrastructure that literally lives in Colorado, Utah, Iowa,
Kansas, that produces all this protein and then trucks it into all these population centers,
I worry about the scalability on regional levels, especially when you now throw in climate, you throw in cattle production, and then feed especially.
So if you look at the cattle market, like Florida is one of the biggest cow-calf states.
They have mother cows because it's beautiful weather.
They can do all these things.
They don't finish a lot of cattle down there.
They move up.
They move up towards feed.
So if you look at like the cattle market on the commercial side, it's something like 85 or 90% of all finished beef comes out of the cattle feeding triangle, which is Omaha to Denver to Amarillo.
It's all right there.
so how you move that model or or drive commodities a different direction to now have infrastructure
to feed those cattle you know where are you going to harvest 40 000 head a week
just to feed new york in that region and i'll copy paste that to every other major metro on
the east coast that becomes a big math problem is it when more slaughterhouses and packing
facilities saw this like more distributed maybe but shipping fat cattle is expensive because you
only put about 30 fats on a truck so if you need to haul i mean so it's the the general resource
allocation it's cheaper to move feed which doesn't move that often right because for anybody out
there that's not up on ag transportation it's about six dollars a loaded mile so when everybody's
like well do you feed local i'm like as local as you can because it's expensive to move stuff
um same deal with calves if you're moving four or five hundred pound calves you can put about
a hundred of them on a truck if you're moving fat cattle that are ready to go to slaughter
you're putting 30 on a truck so your per head cost is way higher so all of it you know when
you start doing this at scale doing unitized math you know just multiply that across all the
different sectors that has to happen and then if you take a 1300 pound steer and you harvest that
steer and you break them into finished product it's about 450 pounds of meat that's only like
eight cases like half the size of that table that's way easier to transport now yeah so when
you start busting out the logistics of where the cattle have to be where you're going to move
product how you're going to move product and then can you feed them it's a it's a very regional
discussion because once you get east of like central nebraska you go further east and you
get in that humidity cattle don't feed as good now like if you look at some of the feed yards
in iowa i mean they've got misters and fans and sunshades that's a whole nother infrastructure
cost or you go further east into kentucky or you know virginia where you might get snow or
i mean it's every one of these things just gets so convoluted and then if you're in this very
concentrated area over on the east coast and you have a feed yard nearby somebody's going to be
upset because they don't smell great no i used to uh we used to go to marquette to play uh play
them again in lacrosse when i was in college and their field was literally right across street from
one of the big four slaughterhouses and it was the worst place to play a lacrosse game it reeked
yeah it's and i'm not supporting them and saying well that's how it has to be but man people got to
eat yeah so i would i think there's a massive groundswell in the change of the system
i hope that it continues and we're going to do everything we can to to help other people like
we we probably consult with three or four other producers a month just telling them this is how
we do it this is who we use for insulators this is how we buy boxes i mean we had one of our major
competitors in colorado email us last week and they're like hey i know we were at that event
and you mentioned you should you switch to ups do you have a contact no problem send it over and
i do think we're going to get to a point that it's less centralized
uh but it's going to take a lot of work yeah and it's going to take a lot of capital
i am curious what's going to happen as we continue on in the in the cycle of business
because a lot of the facilities that cargill and jbs own are not new they're going to start
aging out at some point and you know just thinking about one of the plants in colorado
colorado is not exactly friendly to agriculture the regulatory risk in colorado is very high
i would be shocked if one of those plants was finally defunct if they would rebuild in colorado
that's going to change the whole market if they move 200 miles east that changes trucking
requirements it changes off-fall movement every one of these things has this ripple effect
that frankly most of the population is not aware of it's like oh well there's just now stake comes
from over there it's like no man that changes everything yeah well going back to like the
capital question that's what i wonder do you think there's a case to be made for patient capital in
the long run like this model proves out it can be replicable replicable like would it make sense
for somebody with a 20 30 year time horizon from a capital allocation perspective like maybe yeah
If you could do it in a region, yeah.
My big concern 15 years from now is FedEx and UPS are already overloaded.
We ship nationally every Monday, and we're growing like crazy,
and we're not the only one doing that.
I don't know how that system's going to hold up.
And like I said, it's the ripple effect.
Yeah, dependencies that are external to what you're doing.
Yeah. Well, that's why we purchased a harvest facility is because we were speaking for harvest dates two years out. Well, how do you forecast growth like we've had two years out and even be moderately accurate? It's almost impossible. So, okay, we need to control that piece of it. Well, that was a lift. So the more you want to control and be able to actually grow your business, the more systemic you become.
and if we look at FedEx and UPS it's like oh my goodness so okay now do you try to just be
hyper local do we just focus on Denver that would be ideal I would love to not have to
ship product anywhere but that's up to the market and the market is I mean we had some
orders from Texas yesterday because of the event we were at it's no factor we can do that but as
if we look at that and say okay how do we feed these people with the existing infrastructure
it it's a challenge we got a lot of problems to solve i i do think though i'm very hopeful
there was a gentleman uh i can't remember his name is a logging advocate out of libby montana
has a civil engineering degree he spoke at an event i was at last year and his message was
awesome really loved listening to the to the guy but in general he said hey guys it looks like we
have problems and we do but let's rewind a little bit revolutionary war war of 1812 american civil
war spanish-american war spanish flu world war one world war two great depression civil rights
movement korea vietnam he goes it's actually a lot better than you think right now he goes i'm
not saying there's not things to look at but you know there's there's times it's been worse
and he said and i think the way he described it and if i'm butchering it uh my apologies
his comment was he goes the reason it feels so bad is nobody wants to hold on to hope
and he's like it's not to say there's not work to do but it looks bad when you're sitting in a spot
and you're looking up the mountain but if you turn 180 degrees and look how far you've come
it gives a different level of perspective that's i just really loved that message yeah you gotta
have hope read uh read from shawshank redemption there you go hope is uh is a good thing maybe it's
the best thing um you gotta have hope and that's uh again we have come so far and again i'm gonna
hammer it home buy bitcoin right buy bitcoin okay but i think the more importantly like why buy
bitcoins because the money's broken and it's created all this hopelessness out there again
going back to like people are working they're like what the fuck like i can't even afford
right to buy a steak i can't afford my rent my rent my electricity bill my grocery bill
and at least for millennials like i know a lot of people are like why the fuck am i even working
and then um then you see what the government's doing printing all this
debt and issuing all this debt to the central bank's printing money and then
they're taking all this debt and putting it uh in places where it probably shouldn't be
and it's not producing return for your average american you understand why people are extremely
pissed off but i agree like you should have hope but you're proving it there are models to get away
from this like bitcoin gives you agency from a monetary perspective to say hey i'm removing
myself from the system and operating in this monetary system detached from the government
in the central banks that they cannot perturb or centrally control and i completely agree we've
never lived during a time when you have more opportunity to actually build your way out of
this that's the hope with this show and um the conversations that we have and what we do with
our website and the newsletters like to prove to people like hey like you're not going to vote your
way out of this problem and getting your way out of this problem is not going to be easy but you
do have the agency and the ability to build your way out of this problem with new business models
with new monetary systems whatever it may be the access to open source software to
unique capital structures has never never been what it is today and if you have the agency and
the drive to actually build your way out of this it's easier than ever to do that yeah there's
There's never been a more opportunity-ridden time in society, in my opinion.
But the guardrails are more than they've ever been.
So you just got to get on your running shoes and maybe climb a little bit.
Yeah.
And tell the government to leave us alone.
Just live where I do, man.
It's great.
Everybody, not to make light of COVID, but I had some people like,
man, how's social distancing going?
I'm like, we were doing that before.
we don't have anybody that's not family within like three miles it's not so bad so no that's
that's actually one of my um another silver lining of the day and age we live in it seems like states
are beginning to assert their autonomy from the federal government in a big way post-covid which
is good keeping the federal government in check um to stop it from overreaching and making things
too burdensome it's very important states are beginning to be like hey you guys are fucking
things up too much dude if i had a magic wand the term limits would be 10 days ago like that's that
that grossness that is lifelong politicians just that that's out of any of it the thing that i'm
like does not resonate with me like we're supposed to have citizen legislators not
legislator politicians for a career yeah like i saw a meme on twitter yesterday chuck schumer
graduated law school in 1975 and became a senator in 1976 has been so what have you done yeah yeah
you've just been part of the machine yeah it's been 50 years and it's yeah it's i'm hopeful
we'll get away from it absolutely well hey man i appreciate it thank you very much for having me
i appreciate you jeff thank you for coming i'm pumped shout out to harry and brett from the
meat mafia podcast for for linking us up last week those guys are awesome yeah they're solid
dude. Yeah. Really cool things going on here in Austin, whether it's, um, the health scene,
the Bitcoin scene, the tech scene, it's, uh, it's cool. I'm happy that you were able to get down
here and check it out. Well, appreciate it, man. And, uh, sure. We'll have some links in the show
notes, right? Definitely. We'll link to everything in the show. I'll have Darren send you all the
particular stuff. They don't, they don't let me communicate on the marketing side.
Well, safe travels back to Colorado. Um, it was a pleasure to meet you and keep crushing it,
it thanks man appreciate it peace love freaks
