TFTC: A Bitcoin Podcast - #544: Dissecting The Chaos Leading Up To The Election With Ed Dowd
Episode Date: October 9, 2024Marty sits down with Ed Dowd to discuss FEMA looting the treasury, predictions for the election, and the forth turning. Ed on Twitter: https://x.com/DowdEdward 0:00 - Intro 1:17 - Approaching an infle...ction point 7:08 - Exploiting climate disasters 15:40 - Unchained 16:31 - Election probabilities & Trump victory scenario 27:21 - CBDCs and Fed printing 32:10 - Zaprite 33:10 - Real estate and VCs 39:13 - Elite Theory & Trump’s capabilities upon victory 43:06 - Covid jab impact 50:55 - Fourth turning 1:01:00 - Solutions and hope 1:05:42 - Economic illiteracy in policy 1:08:47 - Truth to power 1:11:34 - Deflation prediction Shoutout to our sponsors: Unchained https://unchained.com/concierge/ Zaprite https://zaprite.com/tftc Join the TFTC Movement: Main YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/c/TFTC21/videos Clips YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUQcW3jxfQfEUS8kqR5pJtQ Website https://tftc.io/ Twitter https://twitter.com/tftc21 Instagram https://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/ Nostr https://primal.net/tftc Follow Marty Bent: Twitter https://twitter.com/martybent Nostr https://primal.net/martybent Newsletter https://tftc.io/martys-bent/ Podcast https://www.tftc.io/tag/podcasts/
Transcript
Discussion (0)
What are the chances of a Category 5 hurricane forming in the Gulf of Mexico, moving east to Tampa?
And because of where hurricanes usually form, it was a 0.1% chance per year.
You have to say to yourself, well, the odds, I don't know for sure, but the odds suggest that weather manipulation may have been employed.
You've just got to be a critical thinker and say, I don't know for sure, but this is just weird.
These two things would happen 30 days out from one of the most important elections of our lifetime.
Wouldn't it be interesting if, like, three weeks out from the election, they decide to
declare a national climate emergency because of these two current events that we're seeing
with these hurricanes?
They already floated the issue.
It's already been talked about.
So this is a conspiracy theory.
And if they do...
You've had a dynamic where money has become freer than free.
When you talk about a Fed just gone nuts.
the central bank's going nuts so it's all acting like safe haven i believe that in a world where
central bankers are tripping over themselves to devalue their currency bitcoin wins in the world
of fiat currencies bitcoin is the victor i mean that's part of the bull case for bitcoin if you're
not paying attention you probably should be probably should be yeah ed it's been over a year
since we caught up like i was saying before we hit record i'm very happy that we're catching up now
uh where we 30 days out until election less than 30 days and and that seems like we have
parallel things running in track almost like the great awakening is happening at the same time
that the incumbent dystopian power structure structure is trying to hold on to that power
again it seems like a lot is being revealed uh revealed or admitted in fluoride in the water
the government coming out and overtly admitting that it's dumbing down the population and lowering
children's iqs um emissions about covid and all the insanity it seems like the democratic party
is also having some internal turmoil and you have biden pitted against kamala it's insane right now
what are your thoughts as all this is going down well it's good to be here and it's gotten crazier
as time's gone on um we still live in this like you said we live in two parallel realities those
those who are awakening to truths,
and those who are still asleep in a normalcy bias
that is just, at this point,
I don't even know how you can't see what's going on,
especially with your own health.
Some of these people keep getting sick.
Their loved ones around them are getting turbo cancers,
heart attacks, musculoskeletal issues, neurological issues,
and they just think it's all normal.
It's insane.
it really is but on the same on the other side of the token it does seem like there's this
awakening i mean like maha i mean last time we spoke um rfk was still in the running a lot of
things have happened obviously since last july one of which being that rfk has come out and
joined the trump ticket and support throwing his support behind trump he got tulsi gabbard
throwing her support as well and i mean obviously with maha one of the big things is like make
america healthy again it's like this conversation that has been forced to the background for for
many years which is the fact that our food system and medical pharmaceutical systems are making us
uh woefully sick seems to be like a popular thing of cali means and others going on joe rogan you
have hearings on capitol hill of individuals holding up cereal saying this is poisoning our
children um so that and all this is to say it feels like this election is a crazy inflection
point where we can go one way or the other triple quadruple down on incompetence or maybe
see the light at the end of the tunnel and start sprinting towards the light
no i i agree look it's good news what's going on there's a lot of people are waking up faster than
we've ever seen however if you look at the regime it wants to stay in power and they literally came
out this week and have said, we must shut down free speech to save democracy. So we're at a
critical inflection point where all the tricks are going to be pulled out of the bag to, you know,
try to steal the election, stop the election, whatever it is. And I expect, you know, we got
hurricanes hitting, we got Israel bombing cities, that's kind of gone under the radar, you know,
Syria just today, Lebanon.
They're talking about going and blowing up nuclear sites in Iran.
That's all under the radar.
We got the Federal Reserve and Janet Yellen trying to hold up the stock market into the election.
The manipulation and fraud is blatant.
The last payroll numbers that came out on Friday were a joke.
785,000 government jobs, the highest on record.
It just gave people jobs so they could paint a number.
we're at the end game
and it's good news and bad news
the good news is more people are waking up
so there's a lot of hope, the bad news is
the dying regime will pull out
all the stops in my humble opinion
Digging into
the financial side of things, what's interesting
too is the yield curve re-inverted
yesterday
what is this, a couple weeks after
or the Fed, a few weeks
after the Fed officially lowered rates
and it seemed like that was a move to
sort of quell the markets prop up equity markets but the bond market's really telling a different
story which is we're not buying your we think inflation is going to continue to go
and the economy is not as well as you're portraying it to be and yeah all you need to know
is this we got volatility in foreign exchange rates that we haven't seen in decades you know
it started off this august with the bank of japan uh blowing up by raising interest rates 25 basis
points so they have a choice they save their currency from oblivion or help the global
financial markets and it's getting harder and harder for them to do that we're seeing asian
uh indexes like the chinese the chinese a50 and the hang sang move you know seven eight percent
in a day down because i guess the stimulus wasn't what people wanted so we're seeing volatility now
we have volatility in the bond markets the yield curve re-inverted uh i suspect there's just going
to be a lot of volatility no one really knows what's going on and and volatility eventually
eventually feeds into the equity stock markets and that'll cause a deleveraging effect at some
point again that it's a national security issue the stock market and when i say that it's because
you need tax returns are correlated to stock uh returns so much the government takes in so
now that we're running you know eight to ten percent deficits uh you need to have 20 annualized
equity returns or you can't you can't fund it so the stock market is literally a national security
risk for for for the regime well that like the deficit spending and it's two sides of the same
coin right like the the stock market is national security and it's a prop up this insanely bloated
federal government that's the other thing that's been astonishing particularly the last two weeks
with the uh basically unveiling of what fema has been directing funds to towards for the last year
and i think fema dhs specifically
makes it obvious that we're in the looting the treasury stage like you have one week we're giving
billions of dollars to lebanon uh israel uh ukraine and the people of north carolina tennessee
georgia and florida are asking for a pittance of that and i'm sorry we can't do that fema's
out of money and then you dig into what fema's been giving money to and it's like literally to
import illegal immigrants and place them in cities throughout the country it's it feels like i mean i
feel comfortable saying it feels like we're under attack as american people like the people
in charge are literally attacking the sanctity of the ideals and the structure that this country
was built on yeah you know i i have experience with fema from the maui fires last year uh they
came to the island and they wanted to take control of everything so when we uh tried to get supplies
early days to uh the people in need uh there was a lot of uh there were roadblocks on the poly
highway but we figured out a way to get through you know we knew people who knew people and and
the local cops finally relented because they knew this was nonsense fema wasn't on the ground yet
but they directed you know the local authorities to you know block the roads so that they could
I guess what their scam is, is they need to control everything so that they can then charge people for the government, invoice it, maybe take their own, you know, invoice it, but never really give the money and then take it for themselves.
Because my friend, you know, we got supplies to Lahaina and my friend's moving truck. He owns a moving company. We did that ourselves before FEMA showed up.
Then FEMA shows up, and about a month and a half, two months later, they contact him and say, hey, would you volunteer two or three trucks and some laborers for us?
And he called me and he said, Ed, FEMA wants me to volunteer trucks for free.
I said, no, no, no, no.
They have a $30 billion budget.
They should pay you money for that.
and then you know we suspected what they do is they get free voluntary uh resources and then
they charge the government and who knows what happens to that money they invoice it it's a joke
yeah i mean whether it's fema or the money going off to these countries for these wars it's it's
again it seems like we are squarely in the looting the treasury phase of empire decline
and where where's all this money going i mean you had pictures of ukrainian officials laying on
beds with millions of dollars in usd well look uh elon said something about uh there was a tweet
somebody said hey how come we're sending all this money overseas and not directing it internally
and and and elon said good point and then i uh underneath that tweet he said i said it's easy
it's easier for kickbacks it's easier to money launder and get paid through corrupt government
you give money to a corrupt government with a wink wink and then they wander it to you
so it's it's a lot easier to send money overseas to get your cut of the pie that's that's why so
much money goes overseas it's it's a grift it's been a grip for decades yeah it flows back in
via these ngos or whatever yeah it may be well going with lahaina what what is the aftermath
there i mean obviously it was a big headline in the news for a few weeks last year massive fires
and not much has been said what's what's going on in that area the reports of rich people coming
in just picking off the land true or is the community building back up after after the town
fell to the ground last year they're trying to they're trying to hold on to their properties
it's difficult there are some people getting picked off because they can't take it anymore
A lot of people moved off the island, and it's the slow roll of disaster capitalism,
just kind of sweat people out until they relent and sell their properties.
But so far, it seems like people are holding the line, as far as I can tell.
It's going to come out that it was abject local government failure.
There was a hurricane 500 miles off the coast of Maui,
but that didn't cause the winds that day the winds were a quote-unquote freak weather event
uh that were 70 80 mile an hour winds that took down power lines uh but it just there were so
many things that happened that are very suspicious the fire hydrants didn't work
uh there were water rights issues being discussed uh the cops blocked roads they shouldn't have i
don't blame the local cops they were just taking orders and it just seemed like everything that
could go wrong went wrong and they didn't sound the uh the um tsunami alert system which is also
if you read in the in the literature of that alert system it's used for fires and all sorts
of other things they've made the determination not to sound the alarm the official in charge of
that resigned due to quote-unquote health reasons so there's a lot of suspicious weird things that
went on that can't be explained i i chalk it up right now to mostly government incompetence
you know i couldn't find any serious evidence of weather manipulation although i know that exists
but you know maybe i'm wrong yeah it's either weather manipulation or space lasers that's
what people were going with uh with is there any validity to the blovers um holding up well i will
i will say this i don't know but uh my partner uh of finance technologies carlos alegria is a phd
physicists and 2030 i think 25 years ago right out of his phd program he worked for darpa and
uh was working on directed energy weapons so the technology is real so you know whether it
was employed i don't know but it exists and it's not conspiracy theory yeah yeah a lot of that
right now i mean there's i mean the the the hurricanes and what happened with lean
not saying yeah let's talk about the hurricane for a second like i don't know if it's weather
manipulation but let's let's i'm just a math guy i asked rock some questions what are the chances of
a category 5 hurricane forming in the gulf of mexico moving east to tampa and because of where
hurricanes usually form and because of the uh the nature of of of the meteorology it was a 0.1
chance per year i said on any given year what's the chance it's lower than 0.1 so if it ends up
being a category five hurricane hopefully it gets downgraded to category three but let's say it's a
five and uh and we just had a strange hurricane that seemed to intensify over land in in north
carolina devastating that area you have to say to yourself well the odds i don't know for sure
but the odds suggest that weather manipulation may have been employed you just got to be a critical
thinker and say i don't know for sure but this is just weird these two things would happen 30
days out from one of the most important elections of our lifetime the other thing i i put out a
tweet yesterday uh in april the bind administration floated the idea of declaring a national nationwide
climate emergency that would then give them extreme powers. They floated the idea. And it
wouldn't be interesting if like three weeks out from the election, they decided to declare a
national climate emergency because of these two current events that we're seeing with these
hurricanes. That would be a little too suspicious for me. And I said that. I said it wouldn't
surprise me if we declare a national climate emergency. They already floated the issue. It's
already been talked about. So this is a conspiracy theory. And if they do, that'll be another
prediction I got right, just because I know how these people think.
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unchained.com use the code tftc i have a bet with the co-host of the other podcast that i host that
the election will not happen i think there's like a 20 chance right now that the election doesn't
actually happen and whether it's climate emergency you mentioned the wars that are popping off
in the middle east obviously escalation between russia and ukraine if nato starts bombing russia
um things could escalate rather quickly and that's what it seems like like that has to be
the last straw that they have you have a couple assassination attempts on trump uh and then it
seems like the kamala harris campaign is completely unraveling in front of the public that 60 minutes
interview was pretty piss poor and she was on the view this morning i saw you tweeting about it if
you say that you watch the view you just stop there but it seems like they can't hold her
back from the public anymore and the more she's subjected to public scrutiny the more it's becoming
glaringly obvious that she is not competent um to be president um yeah i wouldn't even feel
competent with her like as an aj it was astonishing that she she reached the attorney general of
california at some point in her life too well you know she's utterly incompetent to anybody with
eyes to see it's you know if you don't have tds trumped range syndrome how you can vote for this
woman i'll never understand and you are correct they have to trot her out because the internal
numbers that we don't see in the swim states are really bad so they have to put her out there in
the hopes that she might turn the tide they couldn't hide her any longer and it's an abject
disaster i mean the views 60 minutes i mean on the view someone asked her hey would you change
anything that you've done over the last four years and she said she wouldn't well that you know there
you go i have to ask any voter how you've been doing the last four years not good well kamala
just said she wouldn't change anything okay that's interesting let me pull the lever for the
orange-haired man that i don't like i mean that's the only rational decision anybody can make yeah
as a numbers guy what what is your what are the probabilities you're putting on both pass and go
down trump wins somewhat of a seamless transition uh do we begin to recover i guess scenario two
would be trump wins unseamless transition things get a little crazy and then kamala wins
not a seamless transition or kamala wins seamless transition like what are the probabilities of
those four well i think trump is gonna win the real the real numbers so he's gonna win
the question is whether they steal it and can they sell the steel and if it's and if it's
overwhelmingly large where they can't steal it then the next plan is you know uh chin up uh
all sorts of civil war hatred issues and try to get people into the streets for violence so no
matter what happens there's going to be nothing seamless about anything in my humble opinion i
mean it's just there's just no way too much pent up emotional spirits on both sides a lot of a lot
of anger and and fear and on both sides there's a lot of righteous anger on on uh you know the uh
the right well i call it the right but let's just call it common sense and there's some people on
the right that are idiots and obviously the left which is you know devoid of common sense at this
point and there are a lot of people on the left who are getting it getting the joke and coming
over to our side so the left right paradigm is even breaking guys i call it common sense
yeah
I don't know maybe it's
just the bubble that I'm in on Twitter and
the groups I hang out with in Austin
but even my extended family which is in
the Northeast I think people are waking up
saying this is utterly
insane there's no way
that we can continue and then
it's that's why like the
hurricane particularly Helene I think
has opened up a lot of eyes
last week you have Asheville
which is one of the liberal outposts of North Carolina
just being completely left to the wayside.
You have to imagine there's a number of people in that situation
who believed that the government would come and save me
if something happened that are sitting there two weeks in
and watching the utter incompetence and the lack of resources
and money to flow in and actual help outside of good Samaritans that are,
that have rushed in and they're saying, like, what the hell?
Like, is the government actually here to save me?
Right. You have people trying to help being prevented by the government from
helping. That's, that, that, that's, that's, that says it all.
It's, and you know, I'm not,
the people on the ground doing the FEMA stuff,
they're just taking orders and they're minions, but they're, they're,
their orders whatever they are end up hurting people they're not helping and that like you said
has opened the eyes of many across the nation that one of the basic functions of government
is situations like this is you know disaster recovery and rescue if a government can't do this
what in the hell do we have a government for this is a basic operation and they can't seem to get
get it done right and it seems to be not only not done right there seems to be malice involved
whether it's intentional or just stupid policies don't know don't care at this point it ends up
looking like malice yeah then you have disgusting individuals like david axelrod saying that this is
uh probably good for the the democrats because that part of western north carolina was was
leaning heavily towards trump and they they won't be able to vote anymore um or likely won't make it
to the polls due to the destruction which is um says something about where his priorities are and
i think a lot of people not me yeah a lot of people not everybody certainly but a lot of people
are thinking that way that's that you know look the the lack of empathy and humanity and so many
of our leaders has been apparent for decades and now they're just the masks are off and you know
we had we had john kerry and hillary clinton come out and say we're going to get rid of the first
amendment because you know we're losing control i mean it's all it's all narcissistic self-serving
nonsense axelrod comes out so this is good for our team while people and bodies pile up all over the
place and people are starving to death i mean that's all you need to know about these people
they're they care only about themselves and their power they've lost their way they're not with us
in in any kind of spiritual sense they don't believe in god they believe they're they are the
gods they do and let's uh white pill run down the scenario where trump wins whether it's seamless or
we get out the other end and we have a new coalition in power again rfk tulsi it seems
like this time around trump is posturing like he's uh going to be wiser in terms of putting
certain individuals in his administration who he staffs around him um and he's got bold
ambitions particularly from a tax perspective with high tariffs low income tax like what
do you think will happen if a transition happens and the dust settles and we're moving forward with
a second trump presidency well unfortunately he's going to inherit a recession whoever wins
going to get a recession because right now they're trying to paper it over but eventually nature will
take its course so whether that recession turns into a big one or a systemic financial failure
we don't know yet we'll see what happens what i do know is that the longer you manipulate markets
the worse the hangover is and that's what we got you know we have three indicators uh that we're
monitoring that are private that are have to do with the financial markets and they're all pinned
at the statistical extremes to the point where when they mean revert uh it's pretty scary we're
at extremes we haven't seen in decades so that so whatever's coming he's going to inherit okay
let's put that aside for a second he gets an office he has makes better decisions about personnel
and he's got he's got rfk he's got other people telsey maybe elon musk the problem is this the the
the the bureaucratic state the administrative state has for decades operated on the premise
that politicians are the summer help and that their agendas run through different administrations
which is kind of true so there's going to be this big battle between the administrative state
and trump the administrative state owns the intelligence agencies so there'll be all sorts
of scandals ginned up and investigations and just nonsense so it'll be kind of a repeat of
what happened to Trump after he won.
The good news is he's more aware this time,
and if he has the key people in the right positions
and trusts the right people,
he should do better than he did last time,
but it's still going to be a battle.
It's not going to be a panacea.
Yeah.
I mean, because especially with that tax policy,
if he's going to hire tariffs and lower the income tax,
that necessitates a gutting of the administrative state
if you want to avoid a highly inflationary scenario.
That's what I wonder.
Does he get what the Chinese would refer to as a mandate from heaven
if he wins by a landslide?
It's essentially like a prop vote for a gutting of this administrative state,
a landslide win by Trump.
Because I think, again, the Department of Homeland Security and FEMA alone,
just put the microscope on that one section of the administrative state,
and it's obvious they're completely just wasting taxpayer money and this is at a time when inflation
yes the inflation rate is lower but it's still building on a higher base people are hurting more
than ever and everywhere american citizens turn it's just overt wasting of taxpayer dollars whether
that's flying immigrants and creating a special app that allows you to illegally cross the border
get access to money housing opportunities for jobs uh that's what i hope at least is that a
landslide victory is received as somewhat of a mandate to go do all this because it's going to
be completely necessary with that tax policy if he goes and implements it i agree and you know
look whatever happens um i think we're going to see a deflationary period which honestly would
be a good thing we have millennials and people in their 20s 30s and 40s who are priced out of the
housing market they're priced out of the stock market you know asset inflation has really helped
the boomers and and the very rich and you know a deflation in asset prices while painful and may
cause some bank failures and so you know some very rich rich people go bust long term it's a
a boon for the middle class so you know a correction while jobs would be lost long term
would be fantastic and you know that's that's the kind of reset we need the problem is they're
going to try to usher in a reset with global central bank digital currency ubi and scare the
hell out of everyone do you think they'll be able to successfully do that i don't think because when
it comes to cbdc i don't think they're smart enough to implement it i think it's too much
I don't think it's going to fly. I think, you know, one thing I have a friend who's involved in the gold business right now, and they did an experiment. They went through Latin America traveling with dollars, local currencies, Bitcoin, gold, silver.
And interestingly enough, cash is still king when you want to buy things.
So if they try to take away cash, I think there'll be an outcry.
Yeah, we've already seen it in the last, what is it, six, seven years?
I think seven years going back to probably less than that.
India, Lebanon, Nigeria, Israel came out and said they're going to remove
a 200 uh 200 shekel note from their their economy but every time this tries to be implemented where
it's india lebanon nigeria to date we'll see whether or not israel does it's complete chaos
and i think nigeria is the first country to try to implement a cbdc and it's just completely
fallen flat on its face i think i think thailand tried one uh linked to a ubi it was a cbdc link
to a ubi and i don't think that went well either apparently yeah which is uh obviously we're team
bitcoin over here i will acknowledge that cash is king though wherever you go particularly in
the emerging world um yeah that's what i was talking about in latin america cash is still
king especially the us dollar you can do anything with the us dollar down south yeah and even in the
world of cryptocurrencies uh they prefer stable coins down there to bitcoin because they can't
stomach the price volatility makes sense if you don't have money to save and you need to spend
your money as quick as you get it you probably want it in a stable coin um but yeah that gets
it'll get interesting like what do you think the fed needs to do like what do you what do
you think this economic recession this economic instability that seems to be on horizon uh forces
the fed and the treasury to do like how how big do you think the balance sheet gets well that's
what we don't know so they just cut 50 basis points um and now the yield curve re-inverted
so again you know people think inflation's uh coming hard and fast i actually think inflation
is slowing it's still like you said up a ton the rate of growth is slowing i think the yield curve
will you know re-invert again in a month or two or whenever but the fed is probably likely going
to continue rate cuts maybe they pause because of what the purchase did but and the and the
manufactured employment number but uh the real economy is flowing you see it everywhere i mean
here on maui just look again real estate's local but um uh pending pending sales are the lowest
they've ever been uh and i'm hearing about things going on in florida and condo markets so
you can feel you can feel the real economy is continuing to restrict especially right before
the election no one is green lighting any big projects until you know who the president is so
we're going to have a hangover from this lack of investment and uh so i think the fed will end up
probably cutting they might be obviously have to do qe again they might do yield curve controls it
depends on how bad it gets and again and there's two ways this can go you know a la a 2000 top
where the market stock market went down 50 percent over two years into 2002 or a great financial
crisis with speed speed is what kills so if i'm the powers that be i want to manage this deflation
but when you manipulate as much as you have you can't control uh price on the way down if you
punt it up too high which is what they've done this rip was also brought to you by good friends
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anecdotally here in austin we were one of the cities that benefited most from the covid boom
people escaping california new york other parts of the country to come here they've got i think
nine cranes building high rises in the city i'm in the south part of the city and a bunch of
construction that is ground to a halt they literally have the main road um up down where
i'm at into the city they have like construction they've had construction um basically set up for
two months and they haven't done there has been one construction worker they've cut it down to
one lane uh which is very frustrating because it's like a major artery into the the city and
traffic has been horrendous but they literally have not had one construction worker doing
anything but they've had this lane shut off for two months now and yeah we we track building
permits and they've been uh going south since uh beginning of the year and that's usually a
leading indicator that's that's a great leading indicator building permits yeah as a young
millennial hasn't bought a house yet i'd actually welcome this i that that is some i was on uh
one of your uh maybe you know our competitor friend natalie brunel when i said that i said look
a crash is nothing to be scared of if you if you have money in a bank and you don't own anything
it's great i mean it's or bitcoin or whatever wherever your assets reside if prices come down
20 30 in homes and you haven't bought yet you know one person's pain is another person's game
and millennials are not uh by and large earn hope uh as big of the homeowner community as the boomers
So, you know, I think net-net, it's a good thing.
You get people in the homes that are starting young families,
and that's always good for the economy,
all the spending and investment that comes out of owning a home.
You know, it's better than BlackRock and Blackstone buying all these homes privately
and then renting them out.
I mean, turning people into renters is no way to really jumpstart the economy.
No. And do you think they can get caught off sides on this trade, on that massive trade
they've been building up for the last, I guess, better part of a decade now?
Oh, I think they will. Look, they're always too optimistic. Only really smart people get out at
the top and they're still in it. They're still doing it. And, you know, they'll lose their
shirts. But again, they've made so much money personally, you know, it doesn't matter. Their
investor you're gonna remember private equity uh you got the partners that take uh it's it's
basically two and twenty two percent fees twenty percent um carry on on the returns annually so
they've amassed for themselves personally millions of dollars and then when this goes south uh they're
uh they'll lose some money but uh it's their investors who will lose all the pension funds
that are in these private private equity firms will lose their shirts but these people will
still have billions that they're sitting on top of it's one of the greatest business models ever
you get a two percent fee which is huge i mean huge just to just to have the money sit there
in your investments and then you get 20 of any profits you make and if you and it's been a bull
market for private equity for 20 years since the great financial crisis so we've created these
billionaires who really just you know by by the nature of their seat have created massive
dynastic wealth for themselves not because they've done anything particularly wonderful for
the world other than uh financial wizardry yeah it's it's important to note too it's like two
percent per year so if you raise like a hundred million dollar fund and it's a 10-year fund
lifestyle i think you're gonna get 20 million dollars out of that as a manager that's that's
the same thing in the venture capital community after uh after the 2000 but right before the 2000
bubble. VCs were killing it because of all the .com public offerings. That's when they
monetize when they do a public offering. And so then there was a flood. Like always, after
the great returns in the VC community, the VC community asset size exploded after the
good returns. And so what ended up happening is after the .com crash, these VCs, you raise
billion dollar fund you got three guys three or four guys and you clip two percent a year
and then you invest in it even if you don't have a home run off a billion dollars you begin two
percent a year with three or four guys it's it's not a bad business even if you don't even make
any money for your investors because you know you lock these people in for 10 years yeah to be clear
i'm a vc myself but we're dedicated to actually making money for our investors our funds are
are performing well right now and we like to think uh the area that we're focused on in bitcoin
is um is very underappreciated right now and uh it is fun we we don't like to refer to ourselves
as vcs because of that connotation that we've just described there but it is there there has
been a complete lack of fiduciary responsibility that has existed in like silicon valley vc world
for a better part of the deck.
I mean, if you look at vintages from 2021, 2022,
they raise obscene amounts of money
and they're just throwing it at these SaaS companies
that probably aren't going to make too much money
at the end of the day,
especially if the narrative behind AI plays out
and people are able to replace these SaaS products internally.
Well, there's two types of VCs.
There's VCs that are real, but there's also,
and I met these types when I lived in Boston,
they're Harvard Business School graduates
who are great salespeople and talk a good game
wouldn't know how to pick a good investment if they hit a major.
But they raise money, and they're clipping big, fat coupons,
and there's a lot of those funds lying around.
There are. There are.
Speaking of which, though, it's actually a good segue into
interested to get your thoughts, and I'm not sure if you've heard
the conversations around elite theory leading up to this election.
um it seems like trump with vance on his ticket particularly elon behind him
and many others in silicon valley consider themselves little tech are seeing this election
and the trump ticket particularly as a way to basically take over power and sort of push the
uniparty military industrial pharma industrial complex to the wayside and have this new elite
come in that that are more efficient and and positioning themselves as builders can actually
get done are you buying into this at all or do you think it's meet the new boss same as the old boss
well you know i put out a tweet uh right after i i think uh a while ago uh i think after the first
assassination attempt right before where i said look um we have someone has to say it so i'll say
it you know trump is being infiltrated by i think you know the other side because i think it was
after biden stepped down i i said you know they they're worried about uh the populism and the
maga movement and to really implement your policies you have to co-opt the maga movement
what better way to do it than through trump so i said i said i'm not saying it's happening i say
you have to watch for it so if this is a new elite you know rah-rah team comes in we have to watch
what they do know what they say judge people by their fruit so like right now i think their
intentions are good but you know i'm not going to sit there and become team trump elon vance just
for the heck of it if they start going sideways i'm going to call them out right away yeah
yeah that's what i worry about is everybody's getting there i'm cautiously optimistic
um particularly i mean for our if if we get if kamala uh was earnest this morning on the view
when she said, no, I want to change anything.
Like for our industry, that would be terrible.
If she gets in a continue operation choke point 2.0
and this is like singling out of the Bitcoin
and broader digital asset industry,
it's not great for us.
I mean, we'll survive,
but it has been an uphill battle
fighting incompetent regulators.
And I would actually say malicious regulators
and malicious administration, particularly targeting us.
And that's why I'm cautiously optimistic Trump
and others within his campaign have been posturing
like they would like to embrace Bitcoin
and make sure that America leads moving forward.
But I've been tricked again.
It feels like I was always one of those,
I'll just vote harder,
like making fun of people who voted harder.
But it's funny how this happens.
Like you get lead up to the election,
it does feel like systemically important
to back one side over the other
and cautiously optimistic,
but also preparing for a letdown if it materializes.
What you have to watch is when change comes,
there's lots of details and there's a tremendous amount of work
that goes into writing any legislation.
And this is where the uniparty can insert their influence,
putting in clauses that no one understands, that no one reads.
So unfortunately, we're going to have to watch everything that Trump,
if he wins, what he does like a hawk,
just to make sure there's no hidden back doors.
Yeah.
I mean, that's what happened the first administration.
He didn't realize he was putting bad people in that were just,
whether it was Bolton or whoever, Mnuchin at the Treasury Secretary.
Mnuchin, skull and bones.
Yeah.
I mean, you just can't make this up.
No.
That's why I would love to see RFK take over the FDA.
So what do you think, if Trump wins, what do you think RFK's position will be?
And do you think we will get justice or retribution for the con that was the COVID lockdowns and the vaccination rollouts?
You know, I think he's going to be on the transition team, which is good.
So he's going to help with vet personnel.
Now, whether it becomes the head of one of the agencies, I believe there's a congressional approval process.
And so that might be difficult unless Trump can, you know, you know, carry other states and elections to get to give the GOP a majority.
But the congressional approval process might be a problem, but it shouldn't be.
i mean i'd love to see the head of the fda or nih or dhs or not dhs but some something meaningful
to help part of the uh you know cdc whatever and do you think that will lead to justice or
you think that's gonna have to come from the private side we need the doj on board for that
we need to open up investigations there's a lot there's a lot of there there i mean this is
The problem has been that I've always said this is a metafraud. It was so big. It involved the government, the pharmaceutical industry, large tech, and the media companies. They all profited from this big COVID debacle and the pushing of the vaccines.
so there's so many vested interests and that don't want to see any justice because there's
too many people implicated whether they whether you're a useful idiot or you're in on it i don't
know but there's so many things that were done illegally that when it's almost like no one wants
to walk what do you what should they be looking at though specifically because it's been what
Last July, I looked it up, was the last time we talked, so it's 14 months.
Fauci's come out and somewhat admitted that the shots could lead to myocarditis in people.
He had the FOIA request that showed that they were openly telling people to take communication outside their official government email addresses and coordinating, particularly during the early days.
uh ethical skeptic has been excuse me continuing to post his data on excess mortality like it's
becoming more obvious and is it as bad as it was the trends particularly of excess mortality
uh last year when we last spoke uh the trends have come down because booster uptake is way
down so the immediate deaths that you can link directly to the vaccine have have come down and
We're running around 5% to 10% excess mortality on a run rate, which is still, remember, 10% excess mortality in working-age people is a once-in-200-year flood.
So it's still going on.
It peaked at 40% in 2021 in working-age people.
So the good news has come down.
The bad news is, you know, the medium to long-term effects are just coming to light, and we've been tracking some of them.
We showed excess cancers in the U.K. and the U.S., obviously cardiovascular issues, but now there's neurological issues, musculoskeletal issues, skin issues, liver issues, blood issues.
There's all sorts of problems.
So we kind of think that we're going to be running at a 5% to 10% for a while.
And by the way, Swiss Re, one of the Swiss Re insurance companies, said the same thing.
But, of course, they said it's due to COVID and you need to take your vaccines.
So, so their numbers and our numbers match.
And it's, it's not even,
they're not even talking about like an uptake COVID season anymore or people
even, I don't even think people are,
they're not even pretending to be worried about it anymore, which is.
I think people aren't even testing for it. I mean, my,
I had dinner with my high school age daughter on Sunday and she was recovering
from sickness. I said, did you have COVID? She's like, I don't know.
She just, you know, didn't care.
I think that's kind of the attitude.
People are so over it.
But what we do know is we came up with three categories.
Obviously, the dead, the disabled, and the injured.
And the injured are comprised of individuals with a compromised immune system.
The science has come kind of – we proved that there was something going on with the workforce.
their absence rates and work time loss were way up so we assumed that they were getting sicker
and they were and it's come out the science has come out that igg4 is actually turned off by the
spike protein which kind of turns off your immune system so people are immunocompromised and that
leads to just kind of chronic sickness maybe not life-threatening but kind of you kind of work in
it at 70 of speed most of the year are you what what's the latest on the fertility of the effects
excess has on fertility well so we we that's an area that we have as a pending project
we're waiting for time to go by because primary the problem with fertility i'm like
excess mortality death rates are pretty steady and constant and it could be measured birth rates do
fluctuate uh and so uh we need you know we couldn't get a signal but the fertility and birth
rates have come down we need more time if they stay down that's called persistence and then we
can say that there's a new trend so statistically we we need a little more time but you know using
common sense we're hearing about it all over the place yeah that's another worry this is just birth
rates whether or not it's affected by this directly and there's probably it's multifaceted
it's affected by that um so multifactorial multifactorial for sure yeah yeah that's what
i worry about is um particularly for millennials gen z is having kids and starting a family a lot
of people that i know are delaying it i'm probably there's probably like 15 to 20 percent of my
college friends have children and probably the same rate across high school friends as well um
it's not good out there no and you know another trend anecdotal only um i'm a gen xer and i
hang out with a lot of millennials. And I noticed a lot of them well before COVID have gotten on
TRT and they have low testosterone. In my generation, I didn't really encounter anybody
that was on TRT. So there seems to be a testosterone problem that's probably caused by
vaccine schedule increasing. I didn't take that many. I was born in 67. But if you're born after
uh 86 87 uh and even later you've got more and more vaccines and probably also food issues
environmental issues but low testosterone seems to be a problem in the younger younger age group
that i've anecdotally just seen because again i know three people that are on trt personally
and not for bodybuilding not for bodybuilding just to get their t up
they were running at such low energy and had slight depression literally
when they got their t-check it was low low twos it's insane that's why you got to get your son
in your steel freaks get out there lift some weights get some sun eat well it's uh
it's a big problem if you like i mean we've talked about this off air but um
i feel comfortable bringing up it it's like almost biblical in terms of it feels like
again whether you want to call it empire decline but it's more of a spiritual battle as well it
feels like hopefully who knows things could get worse maybe they do get worse but it doesn't feel
like it can get much lower than it is right now if you just look at socioeconomic situation of
many people out there um the culture of speed not even speed dating app dating only fans
degenerate gambling like it feels like uh people look back in retrospect 100 years from now and
be like it's very similar to what weimar the weimar republic was going through um it feels
like we're definitely in this good versus evil spiritual battle yeah there seems to be a at the
root of it and you know this dei and the woke uh culture it's all about victimhood and not taking
responsibility for yourself and blaming others which is a spiritual sickness in and of itself
and you know it manifests like you said into narcissism uh only fans uh lots of overweight
people you know wondering why uh no one wants to date them it's just there's just this this
phenomenon of entitlement and victimhood that i've never seen before in my life
how do you think we turn the tide on that you think we just need to bring toxic masculinity
back and start making fun of people do we need to bring bullying back to a certain degree
well you know i think it's just cycles right so the saying uh hard times create uh uh good men
are strong men uh good times create weak men weak men create bad times i think i think this whole
woke nonsense and this victimhood if things get you know really bad where we're you know um in an
economic depression and and and wars and uh food scarcity your pronouns won't matter and that just
kind of corrects itself yeah do you think food scarcity is on the table well you know look at
look at what's going on uh we got inflation uh we got uh weather issues all of a sudden uh we got
um if we start having wars then we won't have trade and uh it it just seems to me that food
is going to become a problem are you worried about the grid at all oh absolutely the i used
to be electric utility analyst at donaldson lufkin and genrec the grid the grid is a disaster we've
experienced decades and decades of underinvestment in in the grid um that's one issue then you know
we saw uh uh you know we talked about what could derail the election one of the things we didn't
mention was a cyber attack quote-unquote cyber attack from iran i mean we already uh
what what is that that's your imac settings if you go like oh it won't work for me but if you
put your thumbs up you get a thumbs up too oh wow that's pretty wild um if if we get a uh
we saw crowdstrike take down the internet that you know some people said that was a beta test
who knows but what I do know is the intelligence agencies have floated the idea of a cyber attack
AP and Reuters came out earlier a lot at the end of last year that you know global financial crisis
could be affected by a ghost in the machine so there's already floating of and you know the WEF
called Schwab famously said three years ago a cyber pandemic so expect it I don't think it would
be iran or a bunch of hackers in russia i think it would be uh our own deep state uh using it for
their own purposes yeah it's funny the uh one of the headlines i caught earlier this week or last
week the uh it became apparent to the fbi that uh chinese quote chinese hackers have been sitting
within uh telecom industry companies for four years just gathering data and it wasn't because
they actually hacked the system it's because they just used the back doors that the fbi forced the
telecom companies to to put in place in the first place and that's whether it's utilities companies
telecom whatever it may be like these systems are all systemically fragile and vulnerable um so it
doesn't have to be a china or iran like everybody not everybody but people in power particularly in
the intelligence agencies know where these vulnerabilities exist because they force the
companies to put them there in the first place and so easy scapegoat if they wanted to go that route
Well, I think we also have a national internet kill switch that can be – the president can, I think, do that.
I believe there's such capability.
They never used it, but there is a kill switch, I think.
Look, when I was growing up, movies in Hollywood would depict the government as this super sophisticated, always knowing what's going on, come to the rescue.
all these movies these patriotic movies the reality is the government is incompetent and
has been for a long time and it's just there's because of the information flow and the whistle
blowers that are coming to light we're now getting a bird's eye view into how bad it's been forever
and it's a good thing and that's what i mean keep hillary away from that kill switch because
she would hit it in a second given the opportunity but that's in that's the again double-edged sword
things in parallel it's hilarious too to watch their incompetence get laid bare on social media
and it's somewhat cathartic because that is one of the only ways we're going to turn the page and
get away from these kleptocratic insane people is to literally make fun of them they are incompetent
they are stupid they do not care about you and you have this perception of them being
the saviors that they were in the movies of the 80s but reality is is much different they're
They're way out of their depth, and it's time for them to hopefully gracefully walk off exit stage left and just let us solve the problems by ourselves.
And that's like the last two weeks in North Carolina, Georgia, Florida.
I think that's another white pill out of all this.
It's like that may be their biggest fear is the individual citizens proving that they could save themselves and actually don't need the government to do it.
yeah and you know it's interesting the people running a lot of these departments don't even
know what's going on uh i remember a couple months ago or yeah in august when we had the
downward downward revision and payroll report of like 890 000 jobs uh each i think the chamber
the second the secretary uh commerce yeah was was being was being interviewed and she called
she said trump's lying and she said the woman said these are your own numbers and she didn't
know what the bureau of labor statistics is that was the funniest thing i ever saw in my life he's
not familiar with the bls you know but you know the department of commerce can't make this up
and then there was another guy i forgot i think a chamber of commerce guy
in in the u.s government somebody couldn't even describe how money is made and printed and how
i didn't understand how treasuries you didn't understand how treasuries were issued
yeah you didn't know so these are the people we got running the show they're in confidence
yeah hopefully we can uh hopefully we can get them out of our lives so they do want to hold
on to power which is what i worry about um i mean the good the good news is when hillary clinton
john kerry and a host of others come out and say we need to get rid of the first amendment we've
pretty much won it's just a question of what their reactions it's an admission that we've won
i mean that's the good news like they can't they can't keep control anymore and that's an admission
yeah yeah we just got to keep keep having these conversations keep getting the message out there
because i do think people are are waking up to and there's no better shock to the system for
the individual than economic strife um and for millennials and gen z it's it's very strong
it's not only economic it's social there's a lot of men and women out there who can't find a
partner can't start a family and i'm saying particularly millennials my age that haven't
made that transition to family formation they're beginning to get very stressed out very angry and
frantic almost well unfortunately it's better for men uh because we don't have the clock that
women do so we can we can start family formation later in life i feel for the women that you know
find themselves in their 40s and 50s who never married yeah yeah you can you can
feel some of the uh the millennial girls hearing that clock tick louder and louder it's like uh
the movie hook and uh it's uh it's sad it's really sad to watch and it goes back to
the incentives of the system where we i think millennials particularly gen z to a certain
extent we're just sold this complete lie go to college get a degree go into debt get a job
if your girl be a girl boss if you're a boy work your way up the the corporate ladder and that's
just led to a ton of misery and um bad financial outcomes for for a lot of people it was not
bad financial outcomes it's bad social outcomes yeah you know if you look at the fourth turning
literature the millennial generation was supposed to be the hero generation uh as we go into the
fourth turning uh you know i don't know that this is speculation on my part but given what
what happened to millennials i feel like it was the powers of being new that they would be the
hero generation and purposely corrupted that generation yeah i feel like yeah yeah i mean
pure speculation but uh you know and there's a lot of great millennials i hang out with mostly
millennials and they're great people with the same values that i have so it's not like everybody's
all the same and i don't like to disparage a whole group but uh it's certainly uh it's been
it's been a generation that was characterized i think unjustly but there is some there's some
some truth to it yeah i think i guess i was born i was born in early 90s so i think i'm smack dab
in the middle of the millennial generation and i think what i'm at least noticing is that
at least in my cohort early 90s millennials getting to the point of like holy shit we were
fucking lied to and people are getting very pissed off and on top of that there's never been
an easier time to basically exit the system whether that's via bitcoin or creating a business
the the software tools that you have and the ability to bootstrap has never been cheaper
and easier and i think people are beginning to wake up and be like all right let's go build our
way out of this and we've reached the point particularly post-covid where people are many
people not all some are still stuck in the matrix and consumed by mass media and the political
system but many people are saying all right it's it's time for something new and that's
what i love about the bitcoin industry it's a bunch of people who are taking agency and saying
let's not fight this this tide let's go build build something outside of uh outside of the
system and and work towards solutions that's the other thing it's complete culture of victimhood
like you mentioned earlier where it's like problem problem problem doom scroll doom scroll
and very few people um at least for a while we're focused on solutions which is why i like talking
to you is you do a great job of highlighting the problem and providing potential solutions and we
just need more of that today's day and age more than ever is stop complaining yeah i have a way
of this like focus on solutions yeah there's a lot of hope i mean you know like like i said
if stocks go down 50 60 and home prices go down 30 you know that's great for some people bad for
others but that's the generation below which are not asset owners who can become asset owners and
they shouldn't become asset owners because then that would reinvigorate the economy it really
what i would love nothing more than for interest rates to drop the housing market to crash despite
that and to lock in a house at a 40 discount at low interest rates for 30 years i'm looking for
a forever home ed and uh the opportunity to be on the horizon yeah and you know the other thing is
there needs to be a new mindset uh when i was uh a young a young wee kid you know my grandparents
living in the same house and it was just a you know a 1500 square foot house and it was it raised
up family of three um home sizes need to come down you don't need you don't you know unless
unless you're uber wealthy but if you're like on a salary you don't need a 2500 square foot house
it's it's like what do you need to be happy and that's we need to build a ton of 1500 square foot
homes we need more supply that's another problem we don't have enough incentives to build new homes
there's 30 red tape that eats into the cost of the home so every home has got 30 of red
tape built into it if we get rid of the red tape home prices drop 30 and we need to build
millions and millions of you know world war ii style you know three bedroom uh homes uh
maybe with maybe with a you know a bedroom down in the basement you know just this is what we
we need to do like like you're back to basics i shared a room with my brother for 18 years it's
not a bad uh not a bad way to grow up it's a little awkward in your teenage years when you're
going through puberty but you get through it you know it's uh and that's the other i wonder
chevron deference will actually have a an effect on that red tape because a lot of you have to be
lead certified what's that come from epa regulation like yeah i think that will but trump is trump has
actually highlighted the red tape and i think he would want to get rid of that so i i we did a rfk
had a plan for uh simulating uh homes for for young folks we we agreed with the sentiment but
we disagreed with how he wanted to do it because he wanted to the home the home prices right now
are like seven times income the average income we need to get them down to at least five
uh maybe even lower but so the only way to do that is to build more homes
just simple and cut regulation cut regulation build more
no you just give everybody 25 000 to buy their first house and prices
it is insane that that's that was like the core of her economic policies like i'm just
going to give you all 25 000 to buy your first house oh yeah immediately raise the home price
45 000 right then and there it's the most it's the dumbest idea my favorite was the
taxing unrealized gains that would like devastate the middle class would be wiped out wiped out
the rich could figure out ways to get around it but the middle class would get like your 401k goes
up or not 401k let's say you just had like a million dollars oh yeah i'm sorry you had a
million dollars in uh in stocks other than your 401k and they went up to 1.2 million uh kamala
would want uh i think it was 25 of your unrealized gains then you'd have to take that if you don't
want to sell them you'd have to take that alone to pay that tax yeah and it's great for bankers
by the way great for bankers a lot of fees a lot of fees yeah and if the rich even if they can't
get out they're gonna still have to pay that tax and they would start a cascading sell-off
Oh, yeah, I know. It would start a panic in the stock markets, for sure.
I mean, that's, are we in a bubble?
Because those two policies alone, unrealized capital gains tax,
and we're just going to give you $25,000 apiece to buy a house.
Like, that's so economically illiterate.
Like, how can people not see it?
And that's like, going back to culture thing, this whole demonization of the rich,
which obviously they're are certainly very bad and uh greedy and rich people have gotten their
wealth uh through nefarious means but most rich people are actually good people who built
businesses and deserve the money that they've made and this this whole demonization that's the
sad part is that the people are dependent on the democratic welfare uh state really believe that
the rich are the enemy when it's not it's like actually that welfare state is what's oppressing
you and preventing you from actually climbing the economic ladder yeah i mean i i think we have a
bubble in idiocy in policies right now i mean i've never seen such economic illiterate policies come
out of anyone's mouths the other one was raise the corporate tax rate to 28 which would make us
one of the highest in the global economy and that what that would do is a corporate taxes are a tax
production so that would cause inflation to go up number one that'd be immediate effect number two
it would cause capital to leave the us and go to cheaper uh domiciles so you know if you had
a project to build a you know if you're a multinational corporation you had a project
to build some uh capacity in the us you'd be like nope and you'd move it somewhere else and so that
that would be less jobs ultimately for the middle class that's a great way to fund the cartels you
just move it all to mexico and benefit down there ah man it's always a pleasure we shouldn't wait
14 months between recordings next time what um absolutely maybe we'll do one post election
we should we should because uh and hopefully god willing um it's not a depressing one
because look i hope i hope he wins and then there's a lot of controversy that's the best
outcome for us the worst outcome is uh uh he wins they steal it and then they try to gaslight us and
there's chaos yeah okay it's not gonna i mean it still blasts me to say but last election it was
mind-boggling that anybody had any sense of probability um particularly with that overnight
vote jump if they did it again and that's i mean to their credit they've done a really good job
last four years beating the january 6 narrative um maybe in preparation for potential uh potential
election steal this time around where it's like oh you guys are in chance six years again are you
look the election was stolen statistically the way the votes came in is absolutely uh improbable
anybody in the quant world now quads aren't generally brave people but if you talk to them
privately especially on wall street they're like yeah that was rigged but they wouldn't say anything
about it because they you know they're not the bravest of souls yeah well luckily you're a brave
soul you're here i'm not afraid that's my nature i don't like i don't like people telling me what
to do that's just a problem that's how i'm wired kindred spirits there i've just gotten me not in
trouble but um any more of that we probably need more back family up up brains don't know
No, I mean, yeah, well, it's that.
And then it's like, obviously, if you go back to like Soviet Russia,
who was it, Stolensky, was literally like, live not by lies.
Like that's how you ended up in that communist hell holes.
People were just repeating the lies and refusing to speak out against them.
Yeah, and there was a time on Wall Street when, you know,
my job as an analyst and a portfolio manager was to get to the truth
and figure out stuff for everybody else.
Now, unfortunately, fundamental investing is only 5% of the daily volume in the stock markets.
It's mostly algos and quants.
So the search for truth and getting ahead of corporate fraud or corporate earnings explosion kind of went away like a dodo bird.
And I applied my skills to the real world, and it seems to be some people seem to find it helpful.
All I'm doing is just doing what I did on Wall Street, just applying it to COVID, the macroeconomic situation,
the fraud is now so big that we're lying about government numbers now yeah and we do uh we do
have a new new last question of the show but i think you already answered it and um they think
deflation is that but uh it is what is a bold prediction or idea you have that most people
in your industry would disagree with oh let me think
Deflation is one of, so right now, the way the system's built, it causes inflation, they raise interest rates, then credit and debt are money.
So when credit starts to contract after you raise interest rates, it causes the money supply to go down and then it creates a deflationary cycle.
So we will have a deflationary cycle.
The question is what do the monetary masters do in response to it?
response to it? Or do they try to paper it over and never let it happen by creating another war
or COVID-like spending? So it's inflate or die. The system is designed for inflationary booms and
deflationary busts. The question is, you know, what's next? And we think deflation is unfortunately
a very bad period of it is coming. And I think that's controversial. Most people think I'm insane.
Yeah. Most people think we're going into melt-up territory, particularly with the Fed's movements.
Anybody out there listening, if you're in the Fed, the Treasury, just let the deflation happen.
Don't start another war. Don't start another COVID.
Just rip the Band-Aid off. Let prices reset.
Rip the Band-Aid off.
Just rip it off. It's been, we're going on 12 or more than that, 16 years now since 08.
It's time to rip it off.
Please don't start more wars.
Well, you know, the great deflation really started after the OO bubble and the velocity
of money has been trending down since then into the 2020 low.
Interestingly enough, the immigration, this 20 million illegal aliens that they're handing
benefits to, the velocity of money started rising again.
So not only do they want new voters, this is also to stave off the demographic issues
in the u.s and reinflate the economy even though it's it's lower wages it will lower wages it it
increases the velocity of money so immigration is not always a especially illegal immigration
is always net a inflationary event so this is there's all when when you look at anything that's
going on you can tie it back to the economy and uh the immigration serves a multitude of purposes
potential mercenary army down the line um uh cheap labor um and re-inflate the economy by handing
them bennings that they spend immediately yeah it's crazy illegal immigrants coming in here's
ten thousand dollars on the debit card go spend it um yeah on anything and that and the velocity
and they're not you know they're they're coming from a land of scarcity so their mindset is
i'm going to spend this while i got it and so that velocity they're not sitting like i'm going to
make this last year they burn through that right away yeah it's almost like we need to fix the
money making sure you can just print money and give it away to legal immigrants the system is
inherently a war monitor it's a war chaos system it's built into the system it's just built into
it it's you know you need you need major events to justify spending to keep the whole thing gone
so why be bitcoin you take that that power of the lever away from them you know
that that that's that's that god bless you
all right we'll uh we'll end it there ed ed it's always a pleasure thank you uh thank you for
coming on sounds like your lawn's gonna be perfect when you get out there uh i'm sorry about that the
the landscape where it comes it's okay the uh i usually record in the summers at my beach house
and uh the show has become famous because there's been multiple times where i've had to ask my
neighbor to stop mowing his lawn so i can finish the recording so i know what it's like yeah you
know hopefully it wasn't too bad for your audience no it wasn't it wasn't bad at all i it was i didn't
actually hear it i saw him in the background at one point um ed thank you keep crushing it and uh
we'll catch up after the election yeah sounds like a plan thanks marty great seeing you again
all right peace and love freaks
