TFTC: A Bitcoin Podcast - #601: The Bitcoinization of Finance with Pierre Rochard
Episode Date: March 26, 2025Marty sits down with Pierre Rochard to discuss bitcoin rewriting the financial industry. Pierre on Twitter: https://x.com/BitcoinPierrePierre on Nostr: https://primal.net/pierre 0:00 - Intro 0:36- Cas...inos, burrito financing and defi 12:20 - Fold & Coinkite 13:57 - Recapitalizing with better collateral 24:01 - Can bitcoin cure the degens? 32:30 - Unchained 33:31 - Smoothing volatility and lending against bitcoin 42:23 - Inter-operability for the smoothbrains 47:48 - Political engagement 58:27 - Trump's crypto EO & President Kamala 1:05:09 - Leaving crypto behind 1:15:42 - Letting people touch the stove Shoutout to our sponsors: Fold https://tftc.io/fold Coinkite https://coinkite.com Unchained https://unchained.com/tftc/ Join the TFTC Movement: Main YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/c/TFTC21/videos Clips YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUQcW3jxfQfEUS8kqR5pJtQ Website https://tftc.io/ Twitter https://twitter.com/tftc21 Instagram https://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/ Nostr https://primal.net/tftc Follow Marty Bent: Twitter https://twitter.com/martybent Nostr https://primal.net/martybent Newsletter https://tftc.io/martys-bent/ Podcast https://www.tftc.io/tag/podcasts/
Transcript
Discussion (0)
You've had a dynamic where money's become freer than free.
When you talk about a Fed just gone nuts, all the central banks going nuts.
So it's all acting like safe haven.
I believe that in a world where central bankers are tripping over themselves to devalue their currency, Bitcoin wins.
In the world of fiat currencies, Bitcoin is the victor.
i mean that's part of the bull case for bitcoin if you're not paying attention you probably should
be probably should be our casino is the pinnacle of the high velocity trash economy uh they can be
uh i think that if you're able to enjoy them in moderation like anything else right that
can have a role and if you go back and look at like golden ages you've got yeah good good
culture around it uh but if it just turns into like me mod the you know slot machine like pushing
the button robotically that's grim yeah we used to travel a lot to the midwest
for lacrosse in college club lacrosse so we would caravan i would drive the van and every year we'd
end up in st louis in the st louis the greater st louis area and one night we would go to the
casinos and that's exactly what it was was grandmas and grandpas smoking cigarettes just
mindlessly clicking the slot machine very depressing yeah they should be uh raising
their grandkids well unfortunately their their grandkids had to move out of town because the
jobs left you know their kids industrialization yeah that's the uh it's funny we've had like an
hour of prep we talked about saving philadelphia for like an hour lewis roberts came in we won't
we won't um reveal his plan but i think it was an interesting thought experiment of how to
reinvigorate a city that i don't want to call philly down on its dumps but probably needs
a shock of life um a lot of a lot of cities do uh i mean obviously austin's like good and vibrant
uh but uh even here we could use a new mayor yeah and that's
you know i'm at the casino that we talked about the casinos in philly i'm hand up any philadelphians
listen to this i'm in favor of shutting the casinos down and getting them out of town because
i don't think they'd be good for for the city um so it's it's being debated in texas of whether to
bring casinos to texas uh in size or not and uh yeah i've heard conservatives speak on both
sides of the issue well that's the rumor with the big trade the mavericks made earlier this
year with luka donich was that they needed to get his salary off of the off of the the cap table or
not the cap table but off of the roster the roster so that they can make room to buy a new stadium
with the casino at the heart of it yeah i don't know about that yeah the uh yeah and it's i think
it's a really interesting jumping off point for the broader conversation on the bitcoinization
of finance because if you look out there it seems like we're at a crossroads society
particularly in the u.s i was talking about this yesterday like the the headline that hit the tape
last at the end of last week was the partnership between doordash and clarna clarna providing
payday loans to doordash users to get food quickly delivered to their house it's not a good sign
it's not no people had strong reactions to that lots of funny memes came out of that uh
mashups with the big short uh you know burrito collateralized obligations all this
yeah well but it speaks to like this um yeah the the financialization of like everyday life
uh that everything now has a monetary premium everything has to be financed uh can't afford
food yeah and that's i i think
trying to figure out how to i mean bitcoin's already doing it in a way like i've noticed
it's happening at individual level i've noticed in my life incorporating bitcoin as a savings
technology over a decade ago has really benefited my life helped me lower my time preference reinvest
in this business my family reinvest in my family but support my family um but still you have a
large part of the economy that's on this hamster wheel that really needs this hyper financialized
suite of products to just
subsist at this point
and we were discussing
over an hour ago before we hit
record but this idea
of the
juxtaposition of DeFi and this
theme that I think we're both
very interested in moving forward which is
the Bitcoinization of finance
which I think if I were
to lay out the way
I see the distinction is DeFi
is really leaning into
the hyper financialization of the world we're going to put every asset in a token and allow
you to cross collateralize and get access to yield producing products whereas i believe what
parker wrote many years ago bitcoin is the great de-financialization we actually need to just
inject better money into the pre-existing system which is built up with layers and layers of credit
which is getting out of hand yeah i i definitely think that there's that so that's true and and
then when we also think about who's involved uh and to me like defy is a very almost like a closed
community uh that is separatist uh of oh well you know we're just going to uh have our own uh
in the worst form the the ponzi's right that are uh or the rugs and all of this um but then if you
look at, OK, well, what about normal people? Where are they? Are they in DeFi? No, they're
not at all. They're in the regular financial system. And that's where it's like, OK, to
me, like the Bitcoinization of finance is how do you get Bitcoin into someone's portfolio
without them even having to consciously think about it or have to have even particularly
strong conviction on it beyond just, yeah, you know, Bitcoin's fine. It's it's
here to stay, we'll continue growing, but they're not,
oh, how do I set up my cold card with my node?
And there's, I think, like a no man's land that exists between
where we are in the funnel of being hardcore Bitcoiners
and where the normal person is of, they're not anti-Bitcoin,
but they're also not really like clued in onto figuring this out.
Yeah. And we were talking about, so you have this chart and basically mapped the risk appetite of particular types of individuals or subsects of investor types and their allocation or conviction in Bitcoin. And it's a big U.
Yeah. And on the other side of that, you, of who's most risk-seeking, that's where I think
that, yeah, there's the DeFi guys, right? And their mentality is always, how do I outperform
Bitcoin? And so when they're trading meme coins, they have to compare that to the benchmark,
which is just Bitcoin. And at some point, it kind of exhausts itself. So the meme coin craze,
It gets self-dilutive because everyone's launching a meme coin.
We even saw it with Trump, right?
Trump comes out with Trump coin.
And then hours later, Melania coins out, right?
And it's like, and then Trump coin crash.
Yeah, because, you know, if you just step on it enough times, it has diminishing marginal returns.
And beyond even wondering about the long-term economics of it, which are zero, in terms of the short-term extraction,
I've seen so many people who are in the crypto sphere or in the Ethereum camp point out that they're tired of Ethereum going down 50% over the past year versus Bitcoin.
They're looking at ETHBTC. They're not just looking at ETHUSC. They want to be outperforming Bitcoin.
yeah and it's very hard to do what's the stat something like two percent of traders
have actually ever outperformed the benchmark historically and that is benchmarks that are
not bitcoin so now we have a benchmark what was the five-year category it was a 50 yeah
it's north of 50 so so currently the five-year category is 65 percent um if you look at the
four-year CAGR though, it's 11%. So it just depends on kind of what timeframe you're looking
at. Yeah. You know, wildly different result. It's a different chart. But it does, I think both
charts show something which is interesting as well, is this question of, does Bitcoin have
diminishing marginal returns? As you have more Bitcoin adoption, it gets harder to push the price
like you know from 2011 obviously to 2017 yeah bitcoin can go up you know hundreds even a
thousand percent uh but then have we reached a point where it's it's saturated and i think that's
a like a really uh important economic question i've got my answers to it which i don't think so
i think that that's such a limited amount of data that you can't really draw that conclusion from
there um but the i i look at it from like a top down or you could actually say it's more bottom
up well the global assets right bitcoin's still less than one percent of all the global assets
we think bitcoin's going to demonetize all these global assets then the the cagger is going to
yeah it's going to oscillate it's going to go up and down depending on what's going on
i think what's been going on is the tightened monetary policy after the coded inflation
I think that immediately puts the brakes on Bitcoin CAGR because the end game is Bitcoin versus the dollar.
It's not Bitcoin versus Ethereum or Bitcoin versus gold.
It's Bitcoin versus the dollar.
Are you saying Bitcoin competes with the dollar?
I heard it doesn't.
I heard it's complimentary.
Look, I've seen people present both perspectives in one presentation.
right so uh you know one slide will say uh stable coins are here to stay and then the next slide
will say uh the dollar is going to zero uh so you know i think that it's a matter of time frames
right like i think that you could say like short term the dynamic is that stable coin dollars are
going to replace foreign fiats because the dollar is the least worst stable coin uh but long term
that uh it's inevitable that you know we're not going to have a state of barter between
two different currencies um and then it's a debate of like what does long term mean does that mean
10 years does that mean 30 years when i was first learning about bitcoin i thought it meant one year
i thought i thought hyper bitcoinization would happen in a matter of months uh and then as i
rolled or i'm like okay so it's going to be two years oh okay so it's going to be so now it just
keeps extending yeah it's almost like the concept of lindy but uh this is the negative stuff yeah
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back to the bitcoinization of finance i think there was a period of time there particularly
between 2017 and 2022 where you had the meme of the archetype of the person who was looking at
what was happening in ethereum and solana and other chains and saying they're doing interesting
things in defy like we'd let them go experiment and we'll be inevitably be able to uh implement
that in bitcoin which may be true but is it worthwhile is it advantageous is it something
that we should be striving for and i think over the last two years particularly i might have been
sympathetic towards that idea and like a hand wave like yeah maybe if they can do it maybe we can
implement it on bitcoin but now i think i'm more wholly convinced on this idea of bitcoin is a very
boring asset in a sense and a very boring asset can lead to exciting things in terms of literally
recapitalizing this credit system that's been built up hundreds of trillions of dollars needs
to be recapitalized with better collateral and it's not flashy it's not fun a lot of people
will say why do you want to help out trad five well it's like you mentioned uh most people are
stuck in the traditional financial system and the only way they're going to get off the hamster
wheel as you begin introducing this better collateral and going back to the graph the
u-shaped graph you're telling me what the 1.5 trillion dollars worth of value is is that small
you know very thin sliver uh in the middle of bitcoiners who are happy with the risk return
profile of just spot bitcoin um and and so i i think that like when we look at okay what is
bitcoin's purpose right we always got to go to back to the white paper right uh peer-to-peer
electronic cash uh able to send a transaction uh without a financial institution and i actually um
now now i'm thinking like okay that is very valuable in a low trust society where you don't
have rule of law and the the financial system is broken but it's also i think that like when we
look at Hal Finney's post on Bitcoin banks and all of this. Um, what, what part of our financial
system is low trust? And I think that it's basically just the money printer. It's the
federal reserve. Everything else like is actually pretty functional. Uh, and you know, there's some
caveats, obviously you got Bernie Madoff and the occasional fraud that gets uncovered, but Bernie
made off you know he's in prison uh like so the rule of law kind of did work in the end that um
but uh if you look at what the the fed has done or what they did you know going off the the gold
standard nobody went to prison for that uh and that to me is okay so here's the uh it's like the
one shot thing that bitcoin solves in the context of the united states i get that like in other
countries they might not even have a functioning financial system at all and so bitcoin has
almost like a wider aperture to operate of yeah you definitely you need lightning there because
there's not any way of having a payment system because everybody's a scammer they're like for
real um so i think that uh when we look at the traditional financial system and everybody's got
these uh stocks and bonds and they maybe like the most advanced financial advisor not speaking of my
wife because she's way more advanced than this but you know they're like talking like oh okay you
should have like a two percent allocation to bitcoin um but even there like a lot of these
platforms they don't even have the bitcoin etfs approved listed of a product that a financial
advisor could even put their client into and sadly most financial advisors still think bitcoin's like
tulips and you know beanie babies so they're not even on board with it just from first principles
and they're still at a zero percent so it's for them okay if for example let's take the example
of microstrategy if that gets included in the s&p 500 now by default everybody has bitcoin exposure
in their portfolio whether they want it or not maybe there is some debate about oh are you
imposing bitcoin on people but same thing with the strategic bitcoin reserve right like trump
coming out and saying we the people who you know that's the federal government at the end of the
day that's supposed to be we the people uh are going to hold bitcoin now all the voters have
bitcoin exposure whether they like it or not and that's that's where i think that uh as bitcoiners
i'm actually i'm okay with that i'm okay with um saying hey look like we actually do know better
than a lot of people uh and that in that sense somebody who has a completely erroneous understanding
of bitcoin and is unwilling to advise their clients to have some kind of exposure um it's good
that their client gets exposure through uh layer 21 scaling technology of micro strategy being
included in the s&p 500 yeah and i think micro strategies is the tip of the iceberg like
obviously sailor really going for it attacking it's a signal capital markets a signal but they're
like what is the progression the next iteration of this derivative passive exposure that financial
advisors and their clients um will ultimately have in their portfolios whether they like it or not
i think it bifurcates into uh on one hand you have like let's say apple decided to put bitcoin
on their balance sheet like they wouldn't become a 99 bitcoin treasury company like like micro
strategy is where you know he's really sailors leaning into okay we're going to be focused on
bitcoin as a treasury operations like um almost a quasi bank right it's an investment bank that's
going to be focused on creating new securities um so if if apple put or even tesla right but
tesla has bitcoin on their balance sheet they don't really get valued in the or evaluated in
the same way that strategy does of a bitcoin pure play it's really about okay how do we have kind of
a hybrid uh business that is yes has bitcoin a part of the treasury strategy of it's going to
expand the capital base provides that permanent capital that's going to you know have a offsetting
effect on other business trends for example how many how many more iphones can uh apple actually
sell uh that there's kind of like a growth cap story there of okay do they just buy back stocks
or do they buy bitcoin because in the future there's going to be m&a opportunities and you're
going to need bitcoin to be able to you know acquire another company all of that aspect of it
um and so i think that the hybrid approach is going to continue to grow and then on the other
end the pure bitcoin approach is going to continue to grow as well so we're seeing uh sailor coming
out most recently with strife uh i like the names of these uh strike was uh before that it didn't
like that he was stepping on jack mauler's toes there but i'll let them you know beef it out
uh but uh you know always looking for okay what's a gap in the financial system where if we create
a bitcoin bank security uh that that's actually going to uh you know be able to address a need
among portfolio managers asset managers i also so on the hybrid side uh andrew hans and battery
refinance of saying okay well you know take a traditional real estate investment add bitcoin
to it and then lend against that um i think that makes a ton of sense as well his bit bonds
proposal that i got to hear about in dc same kind of concept at the sovereign level makes a lot of
sense too of saying okay uh because of the mismanagement of the previous administration
we have this interest cost that is blowing out of proportion because like Janet Yellen and the
Bidens what they were doing was in interest rates were very low and instead of refinancing to a
longer term of saying okay well let's go from a five year to a 30 year to take advantage of these
lock in these low interest rates they actually went shorter to even drive down the interest
cost even further which is like great short term but financially irresponsible long term
and then with covid inflation and raising interest rates suddenly they've got to refinance trillions
of dollars on the short end of the curve that the interest cost exceeds the pentagon budget
like overnight and so uh andrew's proposal makes a ton of sense of saying how do we how do we get
But how do we refinance in a way that lowers the interest costs long term?
Well, you do what Saylor's doing.
You have basically an embedded call option on Bitcoin and say, OK, we're going to have a hybrid instrument that is, you know, the principal is still protected by the full faith and credit of the United States.
And then the kicker is that you've got Bitcoin on top of that.
yeah and do you think that's honestly a feasible uh feasible path to solve the debt the debt
situation there's been a lot of people yeah uh in my mentions on twitter saying it's asinine
well i i used to be cynical about politics uh and then i got a taste of winning and i realized like
oh uh actually we can meme it into reality like truth is on our side uh so i i think they we have
to advocate for it uh and and we've you know as trump put it we got to fight uh that's that's what
it's all about if we start uh negotiating our cell against ourselves and you know kind of having a
defeatist attitude of nothing ever changes uh i think that's the bad approach i think the right
approach is we can just do things and if we if we lose the fight that's fine we'll we've got
you know andrew's a brilliant guy he's probably got 10 more ideas that you know we can go fight
for as well great agree and i think whether it's bit bonds or the commercial real estate
structure that that battery has created i think and andrew and i discussed this in new york when
we did that event for unchained going back to your u-shaped curve on the left side you have
the risk averse financial advisor who is afraid of bitcoin's volatility you have the middle of
the curve which is long-term hodlers to understand what they own then the right side which is the
d5 degenerates want to outperform bitcoin the left side of that curve like trying to de-risk
bitcoin particularly its volatility i think products like this are important because what
drives volatility it is the uncertainty of each individual hobbler and whether or not they want
to sell or hold at any given price point in time and creating products that pull bitcoin off the
market similar to what micro strategy is doing but in structured products with durations that
can be public that gives that left side of the curve more certainty like all right we have
a subset of Bitcoin that is in these products for this duration. And so I know that this Bitcoin is
most likely not going to be sold outside of some extreme event where the borrower gets offsides.
Yeah. And I think we also have to have empathy for the people who are afraid of volatility
because they've been raised and conditioned in a world where essentially volatility is,
you know there's the fed put and so it's constantly dampened this volatility uh the most recent
volatile experience was 2008 for them and so for us bitcoiners like we've been through like four
cycles since 2008 you know we're we've got battle scars um and we're not but we're not going to get
new adoption by telling people that like they're you know i can't say the word but you know if
they're afraid of volatility that, you know, that they are cowards.
And like, that's not going to persuade anyone.
Instead, they'll just be like, okay, well, Bitcoin's not for me.
We also have to look at the other side of the equation,
which is the degents.
And I think they have actually been contributing to the volatility, right?
It's not just like going long meme coins.
they also take advantage of all of the leverage that they can take trading bitcoin and so if you
look at march 12th 2020 with that covid liquidation where uh it gapped down uh and like bitmex went
offline you know it's like uh offline they pulled the plug yeah yeah you hit the circuit breakers
the unofficial you know circuit breakers um and it's you know every i think almost every
crypto exchange has leveraged products where um there's a liquidation mechanism that liquidates
you at the worst possible time when it's going down and it has cascading liquidations and so
we always seem to hit these volatility pockets where or liquidity pockets that cause the
volatility and that it's like okay how do we get a product for the degens that does not yeah it's
not self-harm uh that like you know it crosses that chasm uh that's that's where i think that
there's also an opportunity of like okay we got to bridge this gap uh and develop things that are
more responsible and more mature uh that exist in traditional finance uh but that are not like
a hundred X bit max, you know, yeah. Liquidations. What is, what is something like, what is a product
that bridges that chasm look like? Well, so it's, it's about like, it goes back to what you just
said, the duration, right? So, uh, if people who are, who are, uh, wanting Bitcoin exposure on
the de-risk side, um, if they are so risk averse that they will only lend to a degen if they
liquidate if the price drops then essentially you know they're getting paid interest to not
take any risk because the liquidation happens before uh there's any risk to the principal
um and so it's like okay well how about you take on some risk of uh principal risk but you do it
on a time frame that is longer than the bitcoin cycle and so then that way for on the dgen side
It's like lower time preference degen and then lower time preference lending so that you're not in this situation where you're liquidating at the worst possible time, which is bad for everyone, because it's actually it's also bad for the lender because then the lender has to reinvest.
Right. And so is there somebody to reinvest in after everybody's been liquidated?
No. So you're earning zero percent at that point.
um and and so it's like okay if you had a higher utilization rate of your capital then your total
return would actually be greater than if you're just constantly liquidating people and then
stopping them out and then having no utilization and so for my caveman brain explain to me how the
dgen is satisfied with this product like what is the structure of this product look like well so
So it's that they still have leverage. Right. And so if if the lender is still thinking in dollar denominated terms because they want something that's more stable, they're afraid of volatility.
And so they have, you know, let's say 15 percent or 10 percent rate of return in dollar terms.
and the degen expects bitcoin's kager to be 50 then you have that that that uh you know let's
call it a spread that is what accrues to the degen uh and that uh for for the person who's
risk averse it's that their downside was protected because if things didn't work out
and for the duration of the product then the capital of the degen does get wiped out to pay
off the loan uh and so it's like okay how do we go from breaking out of bitcoin's volatile periods
which you know is that time frame of less than one year uh into a longer time frame of four five
six years uh to get out onto the risk curve of okay now we're no longer talking about bitcoin's
day-to-day volatility instead we're talking about is what's bitcoin's long-term growth rate um and
that from a degen perspective you're still you know making a gamble in the sense that you think
that bitcoin is going to outgrow your cost of capital which might be you know between 10 and 20
percent um and so that's i think uh the the more responsible way of instead of going long solana
and saying oh solana is going to outgrow bitcoin or ethereum is going to outgrow bitcoin um or
I'm going to hold a leverage long Bitcoin position that can get liquidated if Bitcoin,
you know, flash crashes. That's where they are getting ahead in terms of what their objective
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volatility actually becomes more suppressed i think so i think so because then you've got
Bitcoin that are going to be sold, not based on where the Bitcoin price is, but just based on the
fact that the term of the product has elapsed. And so at that point, they're paying off the debt
or they're refinancing it. Right. Which is like how every other market works of, you know, if you
look at mortgages, mortgages get refinanced or when you sell your house, somebody else is taking
out a new mortgage to buy the house and you know we we look at that as bitcoiners we're like oh
well is this the financialization of bitcoin and as we're saying like it's kind of the opposite
you're bitcoinizing finance because now from the financial side the collateral is no longer you
know you look at a house okay what's a house it's a long-term consumer good it's depreciating your
your house from a physical perspective is constantly falling apart i've experienced this
firsthand. Entropy exists. Yes. And so you're using up your house and you've got to constantly
do repairs. You've got to constantly maintain it, renovate it, et cetera, and then eventually
knock it down. And so this is the collateral that is backing a very large percentage of the
financial system is something that's falling apart. And on the commercial real estate side,
arguably it's even worse right of uh people don't want to return to the office now you've got all of
these uh over invested you know commercial real estate deals right outside the windows of this
this building yeah empty office space yeah i mean it was the one down the street facebook built and
then backed out of the lease before it was even finished being built so that's the collateral for
these loans yeah uh and so i think that from a traditional financial perspective it's like they
they want to be lending out dollars against good collateral that is long-term going to increase in
value uh not long-term have lots of question marks about okay are people actually going to want to
live here or are they going to want to work here um and so there's there's that part of course
there's the corporate bond market as well uh where hey look like if you're doing you know
leveraged buyouts with drunk bonds or even these like private equity rollups of dentistry practices.
It's like that's your collateral.
And so, you know, as Bitcoiners, I think we've got to like take the win and accept that.
Yeah, Bitcoin actually, by virtue of being the superior asset, it's a superior asset in any context, including from a traditional financial perspective.
And then people are like, well, this is a big question.
Are you perpetuating the traditional financial system?
You know, to Parker Lewis's question, are you actually definancializing if you are Bitcoinizing the financial system?
And I think that it's long term, yes. Short term, no.
And so, you know, there was a cabinet meeting just a couple of days ago and Treasury Secretary Besson said, we're going to re-leverage the banking system.
because after the financial crisis you know they put in place all of these regulations to
kind of try to reduce the risk right and limit yeah but changing reserve requirements what assets
can be held as reserve right yeah uh limit the risk taking on banks uh which i think you know
might make sense uh but uh it also it does stymie economic growth because the economic growth is
you know there's no stopping this train as our friend linaldin says right like it's a debt-based
system that the debt if you start limiting its growth then you're limiting the growth of the
economic system yeah and like bringing this back to bit applying the bit bonds idea i thought the
way andrew framed it was incredible because you um bring these bonds to auction let's say you
his example was you raised 200 uh or you raised 2 trillion you take 10 of that put it in the
bitcoin but because you have that back end bitcoin kicker you're able to lower the interest rate and
this is something that has blown my mind when you look at what unchained is doing and others in the
space um in terms of just simple vanilla bitcoin collateralized debt you put bitcoin up you get
in return over collateralized pretty significantly in most of the products on the market and when
you think about the risk to the lender or the individual providing liquidity to that desk it's
very low because bitcoin is this incredible collateral asset not only from the sense that
it's extremely scarce or perfectly scarce but it runs 24 7 365 can be liquidated at a moment's
notice and it's fungible yeah right like real estate like every building is different you know
they say location location location like bitcoin doesn't have that so utxo set as a utxo yeah and
we need that's another chasm we need to cross um i think to really throw fuel on the fire of
this bitcoinization of finance is getting inappropriate cost of capital for the risk
that lenders are actually taking on with these bitcoin collateralized products because if you
understand bitcoin and obviously it's expensive now because there's information asymmetry most
the market doesn't understand this yet but you have to imagine over time it will become obvious
and imbuing bitcoin into these products with what i would deem to be an appropriate cost of capital
is a way to create economic growth because people can access cheaper credit so i think that there's
the information asymmetry but i also think there was a regulatory problem which was that uh under
under biden and arguably under prior administrations as well there was this um essentially
capital controls on on bitcoin uh where you know especially if we look at operation chokepoint 2.0
the fdic sending out these letters of like oh you can't even enable buying and selling bitcoin
through your bank because they i think had this chartlist ideological view of hey look like
currency money should always be issued by the state and and then they also had this reputational
view of bitcoin's used by criminals you know it's for libertarians all this like they don't like it
and so if they didn't even allow banks to offer to their clients just basic buy sell right like
the most uncontroversial product you could have for bitcoin um i think that if they had enabled
that before you know it then banks would have been lending against bitcoin and if the commercial
banking system is lending against bitcoin that's i think ultimately what really gets interest rates
down because they're the closest to the money printer, right? In terms of the Cantillon effect,
it's like Federal Reserve, commercial banks, wider financial system, and then us plebs on the
other end of that, right? And so I think that now with this new administration, they're going to
enable banks to actually work with Bitcoin directly. And they're going to work with it,
yes, on buy-sell, but also on collateral side, and that's going to push rates down. And they're
going to be able to not just like lend against Bitcoin themselves, but also obviously they're
going to be using platforms like Unchained, you know, lots of different vehicles, being able to
underwrite a mortgage that has Bitcoin as part of the collateral, right? All of this is how we get
Bitcoin to essentially take over the financial system and get the holding period. The median
Bitcoin held is two years. So, you know, I ran the numbers using my own node, like the median
sat is held for two years. And if you look at Bitcoin's history, like that number has been going
up. It's eventually like I think that number is going to continue to go up, especially if we have
products that allow people to actually use Bitcoin, you know, as as as an asset that they can borrow
dollars against, because then I mean, that's how you get a speculative attack, right? Like that's
how you get the ability to say we're going to have hyper bitcoinization because we're going
to create so many dollars through the financial system that are going to be backed by good
collateral that you're able to uh you know get to a point where now we can all live off bitcoin
because the dollar has hyperinflated yeah and so that's how you said is you've somebody framed
the question is the bitcoinization of finance enabling the traditional finance financial system
said yes in the short term no in the long term so that's the long term that's the long term yeah
because it's it's that basic arbitrage right of saying okay the dollar system let's say uh interest
rates are at four percent and then bitcoin let's say interest rates are between 10 and 60 percent
The four-year CAGR is 11% currently, although I think that that's temporary.
I think it'll kick back up five-year at 60%.
So, you know, it's some greater number than the dollar's CAGR.
And as long as there is that gap, then Bitcoin is going to grow more quickly than the dollar.
The only way to close that gap would be for the dollar to increase interest rates, which they can't do because that just would crash the financial system.
they're trying to lower interest rates right like trump's out there saying we're gonna push the 10
year down um or capital controls they tried that i think it did have some effect of slowing bitcoin's
growth down uh but now you know we're in a freedom economy everything's legal now so capital controls
are gone um and i think that you know the third is just accept it and i think that's that's where
at like the strategic bitcoin reserve i think is so important is okay do you really want to get
into a situation where everybody who resisted bitcoin uh or ignored it or didn't understand it
um they don't have anything to show for it because the dollar is worthless and they only had dollar
denominated assets or do you want to set it up such that that you're going to essentially buy
bitcoin on their behalf you know without their you know uh conscious decision to do so and then
you get to a point where the strategic bitcoin reserve let's say it had one satoshi for every
dollar out there and it was like 100 reserve fully backed unlike unlike the dollar ever was
with gold you know with the with the uh federal reserve when when um 6102 came out i was kind of
doing some digging on this the federal reserve was 40 percent backing the dollar with gold
so for every dollar out there there was like 40 of it was in gold at the federal reserve i think
like what what we should want as a policy outcome would be that every dollar out there is 100
backed by one satoshi and that it's fully redeemable fully redeemable um the uh the
real bitcoiners reaction to that is yeah but then you have to like trust them right like and they
went off the gold standard and aren't we just repeating history uh maybe unless we're actually
lobbying and involved in the policy making process and actually influencing decisions
right it's like if you look at why did the gold standard fall apart i think it fell apart due to
a lack of political engagement right like there's no other explanation for it and civilization is
only held together by people with high agency doing things uh if we all just like kick back
and say oh you know we're no better than our incentives and their incentive is to dominate
us so i'm gonna let myself get dominated it's like what you masochist yeah the and you could
do this right like you could hypothetically have a proof of reserves and you could just amend
verify by yourself the what the government is proving they have in reserve versus the amount
of dollars floating in the system yeah and it should be fully opt-in or out right so it's like
if you want to hold dollars that are backed by satoshi so basically you know if you look at one
usd that's one set right because it's just you know as long as the that that that that reserve
is maintained and then if you don't then you should be free to uh you know receive a lightning
payment of sats by saying you know putting your 20 bill into an atm uh and it's it's you know the
interoperability should be complete between the traditional financial system and the fiat system
and bitcoin and that if if we get to that then i think that it's to the benefit of everyone
In particular, it's to the benefit of people who are really vulnerable in the sense that they're they can't wrap their minds around Bitcoin and they're just like stuck in.
And this is something I've thought about, like with hyperinflation of like, why do people keep using like Zim dollars when, you know, it's losing half its value in two hours?
It's because they can't like conceive of a different world.
it's uh it's like a mental fixedness and we can yell at them and tell them hey you should be using
gold or you should be using you know packs of cigarettes uh but that's not what happens in
practice so how do we like gracefully transition the monetary system to everyone's benefit and
upgrade it to bitcoin yeah and this is why it was funny like nick carter and others coming at
andrew's presentation for bit bonds and maybe not his presentation specifically but the whole
concept of a strategic reserve and how to acquire that saying why would the u.s government ever do
that and i think to your point like we need high agency people the problem is uh pretty systemic
and i don't want to call it dire but if we continue down this path it's pretty obvious that
it's not going to end well we have plenty of examples uh throughout history of similar
societies doing similar things and ending up in a terrible situation so i think we need to get
creative i think we need to think creatively and if i'm in the government seat um or the federal
reserve seat the the whole meme of the soft landing was big uh post covid and printed all
that money we're gonna begin to raise rates hopefully bring down inflation and manufacture
the soft landing in the bitcoinization of finance in my mind i have become wholly convinced is the
only way long term that you could ever think to manufacture a soft landing because again you need
to recapitalize all that bad debt with all that inferior collateral with better collateral get
bitcoin into the hands of people unknowingly via these products and you wake up at some point in
the future and it's like okay we've we've sort of fixed the problem to an extent yeah and it gets
I think the biggest mischaracterization of Bitcoin is like, oh, it's for the apocalypse.
It's like prepper technology versus, you know, Saylor highlighting this of like hope.
Bitcoin's hope.
Like if you think about it more positively, then you can think about it as being a solution to the problem rather than just saying, oh, well, the fiat system is going to collapse.
And that, you know, this is essentially just the backup system for the 0.1% of people who had it figured out beforehand.
And so, you know, being actively engaged on it.
So I think the other point on the Bitponds and the strategic Bitcoin reserve is like the deficit, right?
People are like, how can you, you can't accumulate Bitcoin if you have a deficit.
because you should be a net producer
as Preston Pitch puts it.
And I agree with that.
The thing is that this is where I'm going to blend in
some Stephanie Kelton.
Never thought I'd see the day.
Yes.
The government is a net producer
because they print dollars, okay?
So I have no objection to them printing dollars
to buy Bitcoin.
that's the only way we get to sats dollar parity and that you know as as as as that that sounds
like to us of like oh well we don't want you know the the inflation i don't think it would be
particularly inflationary first of all because uh it's essentially you know it's it's not going
into goods and services it's going into a monetary asset which is exactly where you want the money
printing to be going to monetize an asset that is a money uh you know instead of over the past
50 years of monetizing assets that are not money like homes uh like the stock market um or uh like
beanie babies literally right um so that i think is is the correct avenue to go down um that and
obviously you know bit bonds and and the um the debt issuance you know as long as they're monetizing
the debt we're talking about the same thing you know by a kind of just a different pathway yeah
and like with the bit bonds idea like if you can actually issue that bond with a one a 10-year bond
with a one percent coupon right like we're talking about having to roll over and refinance all this
debt at four and a half percent four point three percent whatever it is right now much preferable
to do it at one percent and as you said the interest expense on the debt uh is costing the
united states more than we spend on on defense at the pentagon so that is something if you want to
begin like how amazing would that be as an american citizen having seen this chart pop up
over the last two years uh two years ago was look the interest expense on the debt is approaching
military spending and last year was look at past military spending imagine we could manufacture a
scenario where the interest expense of the debt started to come down and peak back below military
spending how encouraging would that be it would be very encouraging and it also would reduce the
deficit right like that that's that's the other part of it is that you know people kind of miss
that uh what we're on right now is a death spiral right like it is this feedback loop that is very
negative and that the only way to break out of it is with bold action it's not by like getting
budget experts in a room and forming a committee to you know evaluate how to extend the social
security age to 67 like that's you know a complete distraction from what needs to get done yeah
people have been so stuck in this losing mindset i think millennials particularly in
9-11 the wars of the middle east 2008 covid or the european credit crisis whatever you want to
do in there there's a lot of losing for our generation embrace winning embrace engagement
that's what i i'm honestly proud of people in the industry have decided to
go and engage dc because i was guilty of it i was don't even engage the state it's not worth it but
at some point you come to realize that you may not care about political power but it cares about you
and if that is the case you might as well engage because there is no benefit to not engaging i i
think that's right and that um with social media with x now i think that now it's like the best
time to engage with the state because now we have uh an ability to speak directly to the people
that and to have that voice be amplified on a national stage unlike any other time throughout
human history um and so in a way it's like it it's it really is like a golden age of being able
to get good ideas out there, have a thriving marketplace of ideas.
And so during my time at Riot, I saw this, for example, with the New York Times.
The New York Times, under the Biden administration, was just an extension of the state.
And so they had their marching orders to make Bitcoin mining look bad, focus on the environmental
impact.
and so they they they notified us that they were going to run an article about the carbon emissions
that are supposedly coming from bitcoin mining uh so you know i go out there with my co2 monitor
do a quick two minute video of hey look there's no carbon emissions uh and a few months later
when the new york times runs their article we replied with that video and we ratioed them
and so by virtue like that would have been impossible 50 years ago because what would
have happened 50 years ago is that they would have run the article in the new york times
everybody would have read it they would have had this like weird misconception that somehow
uh rockdale has hazy air which it doesn't they actually they manipulated the picture
that was photoshopped the picture make it make it look bad uh you know put a chart showing
our carbon emissions which you know it's just extremely uh obviously false uh and then uh two
weeks later you know we would run an op-ed you know replying to the editor and saying oh actually
you know explaining our side of the story like nobody would have read that um and now with social
media it's like you can ratio them and you can get your message out and you can actually get your
message out further than they got theirs uh despite them being you know this giant media organization
Um, and so, you know, that was really instructive to me of like, we live in a completely different
world than, uh, than we thought we did or that I thought I did, you know, only 10 years
ago.
Um, I, I would have thought that that would be impossible to reply to mainstream media
like that.
Um, and then from a political perspective, something else that was also very instructive,
during my time at Riot was when the Department of Energy came after the Bitcoin miners
and said, hey, look, we're going to dox your energy providers.
That way the activists can come and hound them and try to cancel your energy contracts.
Just taking them to federal court and suing the government and then winning.
It's like, okay, so the state is not like this omnipotent leviathan
that we as libertarians have often caricatured it as it can be that for sure but it's not
necessarily that all the time in every context um and so now with with elon musk and doge it's like
we're we're seeing kind of a um and i i think bitcoin has uh uh uh has had an effect in this
of saying oh uh there's a it's it's like if you're going to walk across a wire and the nervousness
you have of doing that if you're wearing a harness versus if you're not like i i feel like bitcoin's
like this harness where it's like oh okay this this will catch me if i just like go out here
and take this risk and like you know actually talk back to the man right and challenge the
authorities um that there's this decentralized system that i can just like bail out and you know
fly to el salvador with my bitcoin uh or uh you know uh the the if you get your bank account
canceled like you'll be okay um the the uh that that i think is is has shifted a mentality i also
think covet played a role in this obviously right like i think code broke a lot of authority figures
and their credibility yeah and you can just do things and i think the
the administration that's in there right now i'm thinking of like the executive order like
in the lead up to that you had the crypto council you had that truth social post that trump sent out
about ripple cardano solana and then he was like oh we care about bitcoin and eth2 i'm still trying
to discern whether or not i think that was just classic trump sort of anchoring an extreme waiting
to hear a reaction and then ultimately settling where he wanted to which was an executive order
that clearly defined and made a distinction between bitcoin and broader crypto and sort of
said bitcoin's what we're gonna we're gonna keep the bitcoin try to accumulate more the crypto
we'll just keep it and not really care about it but i think that's one thing i'm interested to
moving forward when you look at the crypto council obviously a lot of pack money has been raised
packs have been funded by ripple coinbase a16z and they are pretty close to the ear of the trump
administration and are obviously pushing initiatives and potential policy that i don't
think we would agree with but i think gang of the social media the ability to get the message out
there very clearly and put good ideas out there that's why thank you to the bitcoin policy
institute and senator lemus for for throwing the bitcoin for america event because i think that
high signal focused event is very important particularly at this juncture when the trump
administration is is crafting policy around this um that that's what i'm curious like do you think
that's something we have to worry about moving forward is the the influence of
the crypto grifters on this admin well so uh i think that first of all trump's success is a
testament to his ability to build coalitions right so uh you know we're the the america first
mega coalition that included people like rfk and tulsi gabbard like that there's obviously going to
forever be tensions whether it's about foreign policy or about bitcoin and crypto and uh that
you know there's the coalition building there's also like okay we've got to make sure that the
crypto people feel like they are being included uh into kind of the policy making process and
that they're being heard because they did contribute money and they do at the margin
contribute a few votes here and there um the and there's midterms coming up right like that was not
the last election ever uh the democrats if they have any sense at all are going to try to build
bridges instead of you know uh burn cars burning cars yes uh and so i don't know it seems like
they're really not going down that path of building bridges at all um but the so all that to say that
um there's the coalition building where yeah it's important to be diplomatic and politically savvy
and then there's like let's make sure we have good policy uh and threading that needle is
in a good day hard um but when i look at the executive order i thought the the end result
was masterful of saying why not both right we're gonna have a strategic bitcoin reserve and we're
gonna have a crypto stockpile they're going to have different policies right the strategic bitcoin
reserve that is an asset that we want to go out and accumulate and not sell the crypto stockpile
that has to be managed and so some of those you know the part of that management might be
selling some of those now part of it might be selling some of those later uh but you know it's
not uh the accumulation is only going to be done uh by by seizing it from criminals so you know if
brad garlinghouse goes out and commits crimes and you know he gets his xrp seized it could go in the
crypto stockpile uh i don't think that any xrp has actually been seized so it seems like either
uh no criminals use xrp or the criminals that do use xrp are getting away with it
i don't know which what's the better narrative i don't think many people are using it i think i
saw a stat that they had like forty thousand dollars worth of transaction volume in a single
day at some point last week on that blockchain yeah uh although i've also seen stats that kind
of seem like you know they're targeting some vanity metrics of uh you know making sure there's
some circulation to keep the xrp army happy on uh social media uh but uh i definitely think that
they are more engaged on social media than they are engaged on uh actually you know uh using their
their so they correct me all the time it's not a blockchain uh it's not it's a ledger that actually
doesn't have blocks and they've lost a lot of ledgers uh the in the early days um but okay to
get back to your point about uh policy going forward i think that as bitcoiners we got to
continue to be engaged we've got to make sure that our voices are heard that we clearly communicate
what we think is good policy um and then also kind of realize that there's a political process
and that the outcome is not going to be 100 bitcoin it's going to be uh you know so some
kind of uh political outcome that at the end of the day is much better than what we would have had
with president kamala uh where you know today we would be forced to use the ripple cbdc
uh or uh or something worse you know we would all be in her re-education camps where we're
learning about charlatanism how to get drunk before 2 p.m well that was that ever confirmed
i think i think the i don't know i don't know well you know uh yeah i don't know what was
i saw some videos i don't know which ones were fake or not
the first picture of her post losing the election was her and i was happy she was with her family
she was their niece and uh right next to her was a wine glass filled to the top we called it
and nancy poor in my family wow yeah yeah well good for her but uh the in terms of like policy
moving forward what was i gonna say the um oh the like first step you were first ever guest on the
show yeah and back then that was october late september october 2017 eth was full-on ico craze
we're going to flip in bitcoin bitcoin is the myspace of crypto and since then eight years ago
almost hard to believe had cycles but it seems like bitcoin is beginning to disconnect from
broader crypto and i know nobody wants to make proclamations in one way or maybe i don't want
to put words in your mouth like are we seeing a true dislocation between bitcoin and crypto where
it will be obvious in hindsight that there was a point in recent years where the idea of a
flippening or these things actually competing with bitcoin um just left the equation uh yeah i think
that we'll we'll look in hindsight at the uh ethereum phenomenon as kind of being a an abnormality
and that the normal is fragmentation uh and so solana i think proves that where not only is has
saw gained market share versus ethereum and essentially driven ethereum down um but then
within saw massive fragmentation on the meme coins where new new adoption of let's say crypto or of
meme coin trading can't keep up with the new supply of tokens and so uh you know even someone
like brian armstrong was like hey look like we can't list the millions of tokens that are being
issued every week so uh we got to figure out a different uh a solution so i think that there's
like that massive fragmentation from a liquidity perspective on on that side of the ledger and then
on the utility side of the ledger uh there's a realization that um all all of the advertised
use cases can just either like don't need crypto tokens at all and you just need a sql database
and some good cryptography, just like, for example, Nostr.
You know, it's like, yeah, you don't need a Nostr token.
You can just use cryptography and WebSockets and databases
like any other web technology before it.
But while still having an ethos of permissionless innovation
and that anybody can run a server, anybody can run a client,
having an open protocol, open source.
So, you know, I think that that's fantastic.
um and then on on kind of the the utility of um like all these other things like deepin
uh decentralized identity like you were just listening to a podcast about deepin yeah yeah
from one of the deepin thought leaders uh it was uh horrifying um let's and what was he saying
well so i mean the the you know you've got to have a different token for every wi-fi hotspot
that you go to uh where it descends into a state of barter right of okay well now you've got to
have a wallet of tremendous complexity where uh you've got 15 different assets that you're trying
to flip between to to be able to access the wi-fi which is already hard enough without any tokens
involved well there's bridges you can just bridge assets atomic swaps yes lots of opportunities
there because then you've got a token for the swap you know yeah um so that i think is leading
to an exhaustion among the crypto vcs of realizing oh okay so there's not going to be a token for
every use case um and especially you know now with the sec saying okay well you know you can
actually come in and register and you can legitimize your your token here with this new sec
see it's really a moment where it's like put up or shut up right like okay you guys have been
complaining about the need for regulatory clarity and that's holding you back is that actually
holding you back or is it the fact that your product doesn't need a token uh and that's a
bigger issue it's a solution looking for a problem no yeah not the web 3.0 meme of last cycle
nostrils a perfect example like that is web 3.0 you just have an open source communications
protocol and if you need to monetize something on that protocol you just add bitcoin to it it's like
not even natively but you're just like making people uh giving people the ability to find your
lightning network address to your ellen address to send you bitcoin if need be um deep and similarly
i think i saw somebody the combination of cashew and lightning creates a payment portal for public
wi-fi like you don't need helium token for that it's combined bitcoin with a land protocol whatever
it is wi-fi protocol yeah um and i think that like their their last resort now is tokenizing
real world assets yes we were talking about this as well i told you i had a phone call with somebody
yeah yesterday i had to explain to them that it doesn't make sense to put gold on the blockchain
a tokenized asset and then well let's let's say even if you did do that and you take you know
ten thousand dollars worth of gold and you tokenize it and you put it on the blockchain
the gold is still worth ten thousand dollars right and so that's where like i think there's
like this disconnect of they think that like magically now the gold is worth like a hundred
thousand dollars and that you've 10x your money right um they you can see you know they're like
oh well you know you tokenized bitcoin and that that did 100x and so obviously if we it's like no
we didn't that's not tokenizing bitcoin isn't what you know uh caused bitcoin's value to increase
uh it's the the value accrual uh understanding i think that's the biggest gap and they they think
it's true for you know apple shares right like okay apple let's say is a two trillion dollar
market cap company if you tokenize their equity it's still a two trillion dollar company yeah and
the again going into like high velocity trash economy the seek for yield degeneracy like i've
been thinking about this too like does creating these new avenues actually create efficiency or
just create the ability for people to trade faster and like introduce that high time preference
sort of day trader and give them the ability to do this more efficiently which could lead to more
volatility and underlying value the asset i mean i look like ron hood you can already do that stuff
right so i think the steel man case for tokenizing apple shares is that there is somebody in a
foreign country that does not have access to a brokerage account and that has 30 dollars and
wants to buy a fraction of an apple share and you know more power to them i think that's that's
great that they are wanting to invest in apple um it does that mean that the liquidity of apple
shares is increased thirty dollars isn't going to do it you know uh if they have 30 million dollars
they already have access to your brokerage account uh a lot of americans think that you know a a
millionaire in africa does not have access to a broker account yes they do uh they absolutely do
it's actually you know pretty bad that you think they don't yeah well now that they're tokenized
you can cross collateralize them these d5 protocols and rip the yield from the combined
dividends or whatever i think uh yeah uh so you know also something that traditional finance does
really efficiently um and i think that there's like there's uh always the uh tension the dichotomy
between efficiency and decentralization this is something when when i was doing a deep dive on
lightning like people would would concern troll about oh you're gonna have these lightning
routers that are very centralized um because that's actually the efficient outcome and that
the only way you have a decentralized lightning network is if it's illegal to run a routing node
because that way you know uh the government would crack down on any centralized actor and so that's
how you keep it decentralized same thing with bitcoin mining right saying like oh uh the i
even hear bitcoiners say like the state should ban large-scale bitcoin mining that way it
decentralizes and to me like confuses the equality of opportunity and the equality of outcome right
being permissionless is just that it's permissionless it shouldn't be that uh it's a
guarantee of equality that oh everybody's going to be able to you know mine at home profitably
so the same thing on the finance side right like this society is dysfunctional if you need
decentralized finance if you actually need it right because you actually can't operate a
efficient centralized financial system no there's a lot of people that are confused by this which is
like it's frustrating at times like a 1031 talking to prospective investors who like the flashy thing
the d-pin the defy whatever the the buzzword of the cycle is and it's frustrating and you try to
rewire people's brains and help them realize that there's actually inefficiencies and there's just
use the sql database and internal ledger it's much more efficient divisional labor exists for a reason
when it comes to things outside of making sure that you have a neutral distributed reserve asset
like a blockchain or a distributed system doesn't make much sense noster maybe it makes sense if
the western governments of the world become so censorious that you can't get your message out
on social media without it getting banned right now that seems okay but that future could arise
in the future and noster is a good fail safe for that but just twitter was down recently i went on
to noster to to be able to get my message out um so in a way it's like if you want more noster
adoption you have to start uh not vandalizing tesla cars but vandalizing x you know it's like
to all the angry libs out there just saying like maybe we could push noster adoption along here
unplug some uh x servers obviously illegal okay you will go to jail i'm not saying you should
commit a crime i'm just saying that in terms of it being a fail safe uh you know that's that
ultimately is like the use case yeah yeah but going back to like it's frustrating that you
have to like rewire these brains which also like from our perspective is an opportunity like i we
at 10 30 when me personally running a business here building a bitcoin treasury in the private
markets like the longer those people are confused the better opportunities i get as an individual
business owner and two businesses tftc and 1031 but i try to always have this back and forth in
my mind of uh how selfish is that versus how how much we actually put a concerted effort towards
making sure that people understand the distinction and the misunderstandings that exist out there
and i've come to the conclusion that you just can't do it most people like the shiny thing
you got to find your tribe they're going to touch the stove yeah and they'll come around to it
eventually uh because ultimately you know you can judge a tree by its fruit and so if they're just
uh getting rotten fruit from the crypto tree and seeing that bitcoin keeps growing and growing
and value then it's like okay maybe marty was right maybe you know but i also think i mean look
you're doing a great job with on the education side right like this podcast uh tftc you know
that's i think critical uh and it's not necessarily going to persuade somebody who is
hardcore uh on the crypto uh camp but there's this there's this big middle right the silent
majority that uh they're they're listening and they're taking into account people's arguments
yeah thank you for that well thank you for being the first guest too i think you uh
you set this show off on the right on the right path being the first guest and it's funny i feel
much uh i like to think i feel much more stable much more much less stressed out than somebody
like the bankless guys who were pushing the ethereum meme on people um well now they have
bitcoiners on their podcast i don't know if you saw it yeah yeah they've started to realize that
the writing's on the wall yeah so they had lynn on recently are you going on would you go on
bankless i i would go on yeah yeah if they want to invite me on uh happy happy to do it i think
i have to rage quit bitcoin first and dye my hair uh and uh yeah shave my beard keep the mustache
um so yeah maybe but you know hey uh i've listened to bankless myself you know they've
uh i'm always open-minded trying to you know take in other perspectives um but uh yeah it's a
struggle in eastland yeah a lot of existential crisis going on going on over there we tried to
warn them for many years for many years better part of the decades yeah and you know it's funny
like some of them are just still like that you know the japanese guy on the island who's like
the war's been over for 20 years uh that's you know gonna be them of like flippening next year
it's like no this is not happening yeah yeah they shot themselves in the foot if they were
going to compete they should have never uh i mean that you think the proof of stake is what did
them in i mean did them in earlier than i think ultimately they would have would have lost to
bitcoin too but um and who knows with the emergence of ai the gpus probably would have gotten uh
bought up by perhaps i mean i really think what did them in with solana and that it raised i think
there was a greg maxwell quote or somebody in bitcoin talk forums very early on when there
was a discussion about like oh let's build something better than bitcoin and the response
was like yeah but if you go down that path then somebody else is gonna like build something better
than you build and then you know it's like do we really want to have this constant churn of
technologies that are resetting kind of the monetary network effects um and the essentially
the question was did ethereum accrue enough network effects you know by the time solana came
out, which was like five years ago, which I think it was like five years after Ethereum
came out, that it would be able to resist a challenger.
And I think the answer now is no, that all you needed was somebody with better marketing
savvy than kind of the cat purse, you know, approach Ethereum to get the mindshare.
But also, you know, just being more pragmatic about saying, OK, we really don't care about
decentralization, guys.
It's like, why, you know, whereas the Ethereum people
were kind of still trying to LARP on the decentralization.
Yeah.
You have Vitalik, CatPurse, Wunderkin.
It worked for a while.
Well, yeah.
Then you have, like, the Austin, like, VCBacks,
HOTS, Lonicor, we got a phone.
We got a phone.
Go-to-market strategy, yes.
Lots of hype.
And also, you know, the focus on the developers.
because it's like once you're focused on developers you have to realize that the the the tool chain and
the developer ecosystem that's constantly reinventing itself they're constantly reinventing
the wheel they're coming out with like new programming languages new frameworks all the time
and you've got to be like young and hip to like be to be chasing that shiny object and so if you're
designing a decentralized system that inevitably ossifies not you know obviously bitcoin's like
always king of ossification uh for better for worse uh and uh that you know lots of people
trying to uh create uh straw man arguments of oh you know you don't want to ever change anything
no no what i mean is that uh if you look at ethereum it's become very hard for them to
change because they're you know the the airplanes already took off and they're trying to like change
the motor and all this uh and so same thing with solana like there's going to be a another thing
that's going to come up and challenge solana because it's going to be using the latest
programming language and the latest tooling and all this it's going to attract the developer
attention it's going to attract the new meta right whatever that is uh after meme coins um
assuming that the whole thing hasn't played itself out yeah and this is you're getting at the core of
what many in crypto have completely misunderstood about what bitcoin represents which yes it is
a distributed system it is an open source software project there is tech there is
software development necessary but it's really a monetary revolution at the end of the day and as
you mentioned like greg maxwell saying do we want to sort of move the monetary network effect from
chain to chain in a perpetuity no you want a shelling point around a particular network and
that network effect creates more peer-to-peer nodes
and meet space where people can exchange goods
for the value that is Bitcoin.
And the whole misconception of Bitcoin as a tech phenomena
instead of a monetary phenomena has driven people crazy.
And when it comes to Ethereum in particular,
there's people who have wasted like half their lives
working on this.
Some of the brightest minds got caught up
in the utility narrative.
And recently, Jason Calacanis was making waves on Twitter, X, saying, you know, if you were to start your own coin today, how would you reset things?
My reaction to that is like, that's the core of the problem, the resetting.
You're, you know, you're walking away from all these network effects.
And his problem is that Saylor owns, you know, what is it, like 2% of the supply?
It's like, Jason, you've had years.
You should own 2% of the supply.
what happened man uh it's kind of a bad uh unhealthy envy uh there on his part really is
particularly when you're drawing like straw man like look at what the hump brother what happened
to the hump brothers like well they had 50 of the silver supply and silver is a commodity that can
easily be mined uh yeah supply increased whenever somebody sees that there's a supply crunch
that that is the crux of it is that they're gonna mine more silver okay uh bitcoin they're
going to mind less of it they're going to it's going to get cut in half every four years no
matter what and uh i guess you know for for jason it's like that's that he that has even if he might
know it intellectually it hasn't fully internalized uh for him so hopefully it does and then he can
start investing in bitcoin startups and you know i don't want him to compete with 1031 but
we love the competition grow the pie there's a lot of great companies great founders out there
that need funding and it is again going back to the internal back and forth it is a great shame
that a lot of the incredible companies within the bitcoin industry have been overlooked by
the vcs the broader vc community because bitcoin is not a shiny however i think it's also worked
into uh the benefit of the founders and the companies in the space because they've been
forced to sort of really hone in on running efficient profitable businesses and providing
good services due to that relative lack of capital focused on the industry and
the industry is better off for it everything happens for a reason yeah pierre i'm happy for
you uh you left riot taking some time taking some time uh you know i i always take time with family
but uh you know why why not take more time with family uh and uh you know thinking about uh what
comes next uh there's lots of exciting things going on obviously well i'm excited to see what
is next for you i'll come back on the show well thank you for uh thank you for your support of
the show over the almost eight years now it's been a tremendous pleasure uh i'm a long-time listener
peace love freaks
