TFTC: A Bitcoin Podcast - #675: Why Multi-Sig Bitcoin Beats All Other Assets with Peter Dunworth

Episode Date: October 25, 2025

Marty sits down with Peter Dunworth to discuss Australia's unrealized capital gains tax threat, Bitcoin's unique advantages for wealth protection and mobility, generational wealth management under a B...itcoin standard, the flaws in DeFi and tokenization, and why Bitcoin serves as superior collateral for a functioning financial system. Peter Dunworth on Twitter: https://x.com/PeterBTCAdviser Bitcoin Adviser: https://www.thebitcoinadviser.com/ STACK SATS hat: https://tftcmerch.io/ Our newsletter: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/ TFTC Elite (Ad-free & Discord): https://www.tftc.io/#/portal/signup/ Discord: https://discord.gg/VJ2dABShBz Opportunity Cost Extension: https://www.opportunitycost.app/ Shoutout to our sponsors: Bitkey https://bit.ly/TFTCBitkey20 Unchained https://unchained.com/tftc/ Obscura https://obscura.net/ SLNT https://slnt.com/tftc CrowdHealth https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/tftc Join the TFTC Movement: Main YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/c/TFTC21/videos Clips YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUQcW3jxfQfEUS8kqR5pJtQ Website https://tftc.io/ Newsletter [tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/](http://tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/) Twitter https://twitter.com/tftc21 Instagram https://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/ Nostr https://primal.net/tftc Follow Marty Bent: Twitter https://twitter.com/martybent Nostr https://primal.net/martybent Newsletter https://tftc.io/martys-bent/ Podcast https://www.tftc.io/tag/podcasts/

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 you've had a dynamic where money's become freer than free if you talk about a fed just gone nuts all all the central banks going nuts so it's all acting like safe haven i believe that in a world where central bankers are tripping over themselves to devalue their currency bitcoin wins in the world of fiat currencies bitcoin is the victor i mean that's part of the bull case for Bitcoin. If you're not paying attention, you probably should be. Peter Dunworth, this is the second podcast I've recorded this year where I have to open up by apologizing because this show has been around for eight years and I can't believe it's taken me this long to get you on the show. The other guest was Adam Back earlier this summer.
Starting point is 00:00:54 That's some really good company. It's a pleasure to be with you and appreciate all the hard work done over the years i've listened to feels like hundreds of podcasts over the years so thanks for all that you do yeah it's uh it's a labor of love so i like to say i get to sit down and have fun conversations mentally stimulating conversations with people like yourself and i i think maybe to start with i don't want to call it light-hearted but uh explaining your uh your escape from australia and maybe to set the scene there for generational wealth management under a bitcoin standard it's really being hyper aware of the um the sort of tax regime that you live under could potentially live under as governments grow more desperate to to steal from their
Starting point is 00:01:44 citizens sadly it feels that way doesn't it that it doesn't matter where you live it feels like the government's kind of well trying to screw the pooch and get as much as they can or blood from a stone and just the conversation we had previously was our government in Australia in their infinite wisdom thought it was a very good idea to introduce an unrealized capital gains tax on pension balances so the background of this is Australia's got one of the greatest pension systems in the world we've got nearly four trillion dollars sitting in it and this has been on the back of maybe a 30 to 35 year work piece on the government to encourage people to put money into savings and with one policy announcement the current government in Australia
Starting point is 00:02:31 has undone 35 years of begging people to put and pay money into this system and so all of a sudden you've got a situation where 35 years of I guess propaganda to push people into saving for their retirement and moving that liability off the government balance sheet into being self-funded for retirement. One policy of unrealised capital gains tax has basically woken up the entire 25 million people in Australia to realise that this is a captive capital structure that you can't access unless you meet the certain requirements allowed to take that money out of your super or pension at a future point in time. So just a massive own goal for the Australian government. so have they seen massive capital flight after this and i guess to take an even further step
Starting point is 00:03:21 back what how long did they prep the uh the runways to to implement unrealized cap gains tax and what is their justification for it in the first place because it's patently absurd on its face well i'll caveat this by saying in the last week we've said we've seen that the treasurer of of Australia has walked back that there will be no unrealised capital gains tax, but he's replaced that with the highest tax structure out of any of our entities. So he's replaced that with a 40% tax on any earnings in your superannuation and capital gains are considered earnings. So they really sort of tried to grease the skids, so to speak, about two years ago where they were talking about unrealised capital gains tax. And anyone from an accounting background thought that
Starting point is 00:04:05 was completely insane, particularly with no provision for having unrealized losses put in. And the problem with this is that I think the decision makers at the table didn't quite understand how accounting works. And they don't understand, I guess, the machinations involved to having a smoothly running economy. And putting in an unrealized capital gains tax is a form of wealth tax um that completely unwinds capitalism and and this was literally like the the mean where the guy's riding along in the bike sticks the stick in the spokes and then plays this couldn't be a more um more telling interpretation of that name than the australian government talking about unrealized capital gains tax but how it was positioned and and the talk around that has been
Starting point is 00:04:54 to position it as a trial balloon in in the australian pension system with the hope that you can then migrate that to all other entities and into the broader economy. And notwithstanding, in one of our states in Australia, we already have an unrealized capital gains tax called a windfall gain tax, where if the government rezones your property from rural to residential,
Starting point is 00:05:18 they take 66% of the uptick in the value of that property. And is it similar here in the United States where they can force you to get it reassessed and it will magically be worth more and then they'll just tax you on the back end of it? Correct. Yeah. And they send you the bill for it.
Starting point is 00:05:40 And one of our clients actually, I won't mention who it is, but has basically had to deal with the government and said, no, we're not accepting the rezoning because it would come close to bankrupting or totally disrupting the cash flows of the company because that's cash you have to pay up front for a potential future event. so it is like a wealth tax or an unrealized capital gains tax and the government can
Starting point is 00:06:02 can do that by literally just the stroke of a pen and that's that's the highly frustrating thing and in victoria which is the state that that happened um a lot of there was a whole host of local farmers on the outskirts of melbourne and as suburban creep had moved to their back door the government needed to rezone so these typically italian and greek immigrants run that and own a lot of that land um the government comes along and literally rezones it now the property is worth 10 times the value and they've got a basically a bill for 60 that they can never hope to to pay it's a it's dystopian to say the least well what is the justification is the australian government such a fiscal debacle that they feel compelled to go take this is it moving
Starting point is 00:06:55 overtly socialist is this like late stage fiat manifestations that that is a particular that is a state in in australia um victorian which is probably the most left-leaning state um a little quirk in the victorian government they signed up unbeknownst to the federal australian government to the china's belt and road initiative and the federal government had to step in and say, hang on a second, you can't sign the Chinese Belt and Road Initiative to supersede the sovereign of the federal power to do that. So I think there's a left-leaning bias to that state more so than any other state. And this is where I look at, so the American system where there's protection of states' rights is really critically important, whereas we don't
Starting point is 00:07:44 have any structure in Australia that has that depth or protection for individual states. Founding fathers knew what they were doing when they made the Republic of States, the Union of States, the United States of America, if you will. But as it pertains to this particular threat of unrealized cap gains tax in Australia, already exists in one state in Australia, are Bitcoiners advantaged in a sense that they can get their wealth out much easier than other Australians are tied up in real estate or other types of assets? I talk to this till I'm blue in the face. And this is when you have an oppressive government, there's only really one asset that you can own. And Bitcoin really is magical when it comes to this sort of thing that no other asset can compete with and you know the work i guess both of us has done have done around multi-sig
Starting point is 00:08:41 all of a sudden you know you can have your keys in three different jurisdictions so what state or what jurisdiction are you subject to and this is the beautiful thing about bitcoin bitcoin is everywhere and nowhere at the same time and that's the only meaningful asset that you can own that has no jurisdiction or jurisprudence over that actual asset and and This is where working with high net worth families is trying to explain to them that this is the greatest hedge that they can hold because this is the asset that allows their mobility and optionality like no other asset.
Starting point is 00:09:14 And if you look at and compare that to, say, property, property is basically subject to the jurisdictional laws of which that title pertains. And if you look at stocks, basically you're still subject to whatever the jurisdiction you're in, whether it's the US, UK, Australia, it doesn't matter, you're still subject to law. And this is what is absolutely magical from an estate planning and wealth protection perspective when it comes to Bitcoin, is that that thing can be anywhere and nowhere at the same time. And there are things you can do with this that you just can't do with
Starting point is 00:09:48 any other asset, like having it in three different jurisdictions at the same time. You can, you know, starting to explore the whole time locking and what you can do to time lock it and this is you know the crazy thing about bitcoin that no other asset can achieve is with a time lock it doesn't matter what government mandate legal decree or court order gets handed down even if you have the private keys you're still going to be subject to whatever that timeline mandates and dictates so i education around bitcoin and what what its properties are and what it can do builds out this is going to take a larger and larger portion of i guess everyone's net assets well leaning into two aspects there the multi-jurisdictional
Starting point is 00:10:35 multi-sig and the time locks specifically like starting with the multi-sig aspect if you set it up you have a key located uh and you have three keys located three different jurisdictions do you sort of have to decide which jurisdiction gets supersedes um the other two in that quorum uh and then with time locks if you do time lock your bitcoin let's say for a million blocks or whatever and the government tries to do something during that period where it's locked up are you do you have like legal protection saying yes i own the asset but i can't move it for this long so you're shit out of luck yeah that's that's true that's exactly what happened so typically you've got an owner of the bitcoin and this is where um i spend a lot of time talking
Starting point is 00:11:28 to bitcoiners about how to structure that in the best legal way to protect your bitcoin um that that has a jurisdiction now there are ways and means you can do to protect that like having offshore trusts or offshore companies and then you're subject to you can wrap that in a whole host of other things if you want to but there needs to be a jurisdiction that it that it pertains to but there are legal protections you can take to protect yourself um in that capacity and so this is where because bitcoin is a set of private keys there's no legal entity that has control over And this is what makes Bitcoin both exhilarating and terrifying at the same time, because there is no appeal to authority to recover your Bitcoin in the event that you muck it up. And this is what makes, I think, self-custody in Bitcoin so powerful, but terrifying to a lot of people at the same time.
Starting point is 00:12:23 Yeah, with great power comes great responsibility, to take a quote from Uncle Ben Parker from Spider-Man. It is equally exhilarating and nauseating at some point, knowing like, all right, I've got to exert extreme ownership over the control of this private key material that gives me access to my wealth. and it's scary but it's also incredibly uh what's where i'm looking for exciting in the sense that there's so many new products and services that are need to be built around these primitives to really make it easier for people to to access and when it comes to where bitcoin is from an industry standard it's still very early days yeah i i look at the there's a whole host of things that are taking place that are making bitcoin far more user-friendly but i still feel like we're in the ms-dos phase of bitcoin and how easy it is to function with and i think there will
Starting point is 00:13:29 be a breakthrough that will distribute this to the masses and make it easy to use but as far as user experience goes i still feel like we're in ms-dos typing in words and if we get one wrong then it's a catastrophic failure and nothing happens so i'm waiting for that day yeah no we talk about this a lot at 1031 um through the timing of capital deployment into the industry and i think core to our thesis is that there's an order of operations to bitcoin's ultimate success things need to happen um maybe not in a certain exact order but you need sort of fundamentals to hit particular checkpoints where you can then go on and build more robust infrastructure and what we were discussing before we hit record is something that i think really needs to take hold
Starting point is 00:14:20 and needs the market needs to be saturated with products revolving around this concept which is bitcoin being used as collateral yeah um i think when you think about the phases of bitcoin's monetization. One of the biggest accelerants that I can think of is locking Bitcoin up in longer duration credit instruments to not only take the supply off the market to put more pressure on the price, but to decrease volatility and get people comfortable with this idea of Bitcoin as pristine collateral that is superior to other collateral assets. And not only that, I've heard you speak on this before but really restructure debt in a way and begin to tilt the benefits towards the equity side of of these credit structures and sort of recap a system built
Starting point is 00:15:18 on debt with good collateral and good equity at the end of the day it's it's such a far-out concept but it has the ability to completely redefine our future. And, you know, I've listened to you and Luke Groman talk, Marilyn Hoddle, a host of others. We have a problem that we can't solve with the existing structure that we've used. And this is to probably a friend of ours, Jeff Booth's point. You know, it's very difficult to, you know, I guess,
Starting point is 00:15:49 create a solution from within the problem. And so Bitcoin to me represents the opportunity to completely redefine the problem and then solve it with a way that has the least damage to the existing structures, which sounds ironic because ultimately it will end the structures as we know it, but it's the only peaceful way to get out of it. And this is where using Bitcoin as collateral moving forward very simply has, by the construct of Bitcoin itself, you need to run an over-collateralized system versus an under-collateralized system or a fractional reserve system that we currently hold. And this is where if you break down using Bitcoin as collateral and using that as the key form of collateral moving forward to effectively capitalize and collateralize our system, that has the least downstream consequences for mom and dad and retail or Main Street investors.
Starting point is 00:16:41 and this is what's really, really important that I don't think on a broader function we really understand is that Wall Street has financialised everything that they can. They've financialised the residential property market in the US and broadly globally. That has seen devastating consequences that led up to the 2000-2009 GFC. Basically, people went homeless. It caused absolute economic chaos.
Starting point is 00:17:08 It nearly brought the world to a grinding halt. Well, it did for many people, but that was because people, Wall Street in particular, were monetizing those mortgage-backed securities and effectively gambling on it. What Bitcoin, I see, allows, the key thing that Bitcoin allows with using business collateral versus properties and stocks and everything else is it allows us to divorce Wall Street consequences, Wall Street speculation from Main Street consequences. and that is a key fundamental difference to what we know today at the moment we have wall street speculating on everything that affects you and i and our day-to-day when they can speculate on a on a much more volatile asset because volatility vitality read into that what you will all of a sudden there's far more movement in bitcoin that allows them to have the speculation that they want without having a downstream consequence on increasing cost of living pressures,
Starting point is 00:18:07 increased cost of housing, housing affordability. All of those things get divorced from the speculation that Wall Street wants to partake in. And so when we use Bitcoin as collateral, we have, for the first time, the ability to divorce Wall Street speculation from Main Street consequences. And this is going to be, once that clicks and we actually start seeing Bitcoin underwrite, all of the collateral and debt obligations that we made. It allows those assets to either maintain the prices that they've got or fall to the level that they would from an economic perspective, economic use case. So there won't be any monetary premium in the properties and the stocks that we
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Starting point is 00:20:05 jacking. Silent, the card holder does the same thing. It's much sleeker, fits in my pocket much easier. I also have the Faraday phone sleeve, which you can put a hardware wallet in. We're actually using it for our keys at the house too. There's been a lot of robberies. They have essential Faraday slings, Faraday backpacks. It's a Bitcoin company. They're running on a Bitcoin standard they have a bitcoin treasury they accept bitcoin via strike so go to slnt.com slash tftc to get 15 off anything or simply just use the code tftc when shopping at slnt.com patented technology special operations approved it has free shipping as well so go check it out i talked about this at maryland hodl but and i've brought it up a lot but i think it's because i truly
Starting point is 00:20:43 believe this and think it's very important to understand like this is why we backed battery Refinance at 1031, talking to Andrew Hones and him describing the problem that exists in broader credit markets, but more specifically in real estate markets, commercial real estate markets, is like you have this incentive as a real estate developer, investor, credit fund, deploying to the space to make sure that the value of the underlying property is keeping up and to the right in terms of value, and that creates a perverse incentive for main street for the little guy because it prices them out you know the real estate and what battery is doing with their dual collateralized bitcoin and real estate
Starting point is 00:21:25 structures is saying all right let's introduce bitcoin to the collateral package and over the course of this 10-year loan if bitcoin continues to do what it has done in the first 17 years of its existence you should see an incredible appreciation of the equity held in this credit structure in the form of Bitcoin. And you may not have to care about the price of real estate going up as much. And so you can sort of begin to level off real estate prices and batteries starting small. But it's a strategy that I would like to see widespread. And so when you think about manufacturing a soft landing, I've become convinced that introducing Bitcoin as pristine collateral into the credit system is one of the only ways to do that. The Fed
Starting point is 00:22:12 and the treasury don't have the tools to to manufacture that soft landing unless they incorporate bitcoin in some way i agree with that and this is the doing what you suggested is the only way to create equity outside the system that is not going to implode if credit is withdrawn from it and so if you look at property prices stock prices the rest of it all of those are built on the fractional reserve banking system and the credit the second you muck up the credit. It literally is a house of cards that's going to fall in on itself. By doing what you propose, that is a way to build equity outside of the property market and the stock market that is going to be independent of those markets and their need for credit. And if you sort of peel
Starting point is 00:22:55 this back, the underpinning thing of this, and this is where I've done a lot of work looking at, say, the Australian property market, and to a lesser extent, the US property market, we're highly reliant on property prices going up because everyone in the country is invested on in higher property prices so it's very hard to take the bet against that but high property prices are really driven by two things credit growth and net immigration or net numbers going up adding to the system and when you take away credit growth because the problem we've got is a debt problem or a collateral problem and this is sort of taking a side note on this everyone talks about the debt problem but if we had the collateral to pay the debt guess what there's no debt problem so I'd
Starting point is 00:23:37 really love a clearer definition of the problem that we're facing because everyone's worried about paying the debt back and it's like if we look at the microeconomics of this rather than the macroeconomics if I borrow a hundred dollars from you and I give you my iPhone as collateral for the loan if I don't pay you the hundred bucks back no problems you've got a phone that you can sell for five hundred dollars tomorrow but we sort of just gloss over that and get straight to a debt problem. And this is where, to your point, when we create equity outside of property and stocks through Bitcoin, all of a sudden, we get to build up an equity profile that is independent of being reliant on that credit growth for property prices to go up. So it's really important.
Starting point is 00:24:21 Yeah. And as we're walking through this and trying to steal man, in my mind, I can hear people saying well we're just moving the risk if wall street wants to play with another volatile asset and they use these bitcoin doesn't that introduce the same systemic risk that existed in 2008 with the housing crisis and stuff like that and just playing through this in my head it's similar hang with me for a second it's similar to like how we describe bitcoin being perfectly suited for demand response because on the mining side of things in ercot if the grid needs 70 megawatts of energy uh at because demand spiking bitcoin miners can shut down that that energy that they would have used can be that electricity can be that they would have used
Starting point is 00:25:09 can be delivered to uh consumers uh on the grid and the bitcoin network works just fine because a distributed system and if part of the network goes down in a part of the world blocks are still going to be produced and similarly moving into the collateral side of things people like well bitcoin's being introduced as collateral into all these different sectors of the credit stack doesn't that create systemic usage but i think it's very similar to the demand response explanation where it's like yes it will be pervasively used as collateral however it'll be collateral in different types of instruments for different types of assets and so you sort of have very distributed risk profile in my mind so like the chances of a systemic collapse and
Starting point is 00:25:56 particularly if it's being used as equity in these structures and you have a longer duration and you don't mark the market you can really isolate the red or diminish the risk pretty significantly does that make sense it makes perfect sense and this is where a lot of people will probably push back on that, oh, well, you're going to have to mark to market because this is a 24-7, 3-6-5 asset. And it's like, really? Like the old joke of, you know, how do you know you've got a good accountant? Ask them what 1 plus 1 is. If they're any good, they'll look around the room and they'll ask you, what do you want it to be? You know, you just need to have some imagination when it comes to this. You look at the 10-year treasuries on the
Starting point is 00:26:33 U.S. banking or U.S. banks balance sheet. They're not mark to market. And that's what led to the whole blow-up a few years ago with Silicon Valley, Silvergate and the rest of it. And so why can't we, through a stroke of a pen and some accounting decree, say that, okay, this is not going to be basically, it's not going to be mark-to-market, it's going to be only crystallised on the day that this expires? And that's a very easy fix.
Starting point is 00:26:56 And to the point about how this gets steel-manned, to me, a lot of conversations I have with, say, some of our older baby boomer clients. Initial pushback gets pushed in where they say, oh, look, Bitcoin's great, but you can't live in a Bitcoin. And that is the feature, not the bug, because precisely for the reason that you can't live in it, and there is no monetary premium on Bitcoin because it's 100% monetary premium, or there's no industrial premium on it. It's all 100% monetary premium. The very fact that you can't live in a Bitcoin is the reason why this should be used as collateral, because at the moment we're obfuscating this whole form of collateral
Starting point is 00:27:39 by using collateral that people live in that require, you know, basically if you look at that Maslow's Knee hierarchy, one of the first things we need is shelter. So surely we should remove shelter, which is a primary human need, from our collateral stack of what we need to secure credit moving forward. To me that just makes perfect sense, but I guess we've got a lot of work to do to educate everyone else to see it the way we see it. we do well and what we're describing now is the effect of bitcoin being introduced as
Starting point is 00:28:10 a form of collateral into these stacks on different predominantly housing but conversely i mean sailors talked about this andrew hoans and i talked about this at a live event before but if you begin to build out a forward-looking duration curve of bitcoin held in different credit instruments with varying durations that that has sort of a a flywheel effect that begins to kick in too and i guess that leads to the question of how how much of an effect do products like this have on the price of bitcoin over the long term like how much bitcoin can be sucked into these instruments uh i think a lot like a lot this this can have and it's funny i had a conversation recently about the the flywheel effect of the preferreds that say was looking to do and
Starting point is 00:29:08 if it's going to take him i think about four years to build this out um i heard through a friend that might take a little bit less but it took him four years to build out that flywheel at the market. And in the space of, what was it, three months, he sold nearly $20 billion worth of stock to basically go buy Bitcoin. The credit markets are much, much bigger. And if you include the derivatives market, which is a form of credit, then it's probably 10 times bigger than what the equities market is. So imagine Saylor builds out for the next, call it four years, the ability to sell $200 billion worth of that preferred in the space of a three-month period. That, I think, creates the escape velocity for a perpetual flywheel for him, where he becomes the marginal
Starting point is 00:29:54 purchaser and he dictates the marginal price of Bitcoin because he is the buyer. He becomes the market. Just like the Saudis are responsible for, I guess, the marginal price of petrol because they produce or don't produce in that whole arrangement, Saylor ends up basically becoming integral to the Bitcoin market in that capacity with strategy and the preferreds. Is that a good thing, though, at the end of the day? If you look at the ethos of Bitcoin and what led to its success at this point in time, you'd say absolutely not.
Starting point is 00:30:25 And I don't think that would be lost on sale. Decentralisation, distribution, all of those things led to the success of where we are at this point in time. But the hope is that sale is still a relatively small company in the grand scheme of things. and every you know there's a what is it 100 plus companies that are bigger than in that have the ability to to do that so yeah the other companies are going to get involved in it well it's like companies getting involved in it but then just in the private market right like a private credit too
Starting point is 00:30:57 it getting like my hope is that it just becomes a for lack of a better term strategy that people pick up on and it becomes widely adopted and that you just have this massive dispersion for pockets of capital implementing these collateral structures and you sort of diminish risk, diminish concentration risk that way. And that's my hope is that it will become obvious. And obviously you mentioned it's sailors building a track record, but companies like Battery, Horizon are doing the HELOC,
Starting point is 00:31:39 like the intersection of Bitcoin as collateral and housing. Hopefully there's enough players there and they can develop a track record where it gets to the point where if you're in the credit space and you're not participating in these structures, that you're not doing your job right. And it becomes expected for people to introduce Bitcoin as collateral into these packages. I've got no doubt.
Starting point is 00:32:04 I just think we're very early. I look at the new CEO of Vanguard and the first order of business for him is to create a Bitcoin ETF. I look at that and think everyone will get there. It's just a matter of being educated in the space to realise that, hey, if we're not doing this, we're losing. So these guys are smart running these companies. They'll figure it out.
Starting point is 00:32:27 And this is the beautiful thing about Bitcoin is it's all driven through personal economic incentives. and so they'll get left behind and lose if they don't. Sup freaks, this was brought to you by our good friends at Obscura. If you've been listening to the show long enough, you know we care deeply about privacy,
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Starting point is 00:33:25 What's up, freaks? This is what was brought to you by our good friends at Unchained, and they are holding another live event that you should check out. Markets are choppy. Layoffs are in the headlines and rate cuts aren't fixing the core problem. That core problem is that the fiat retirement system is taking on water. On October 28th, Mark Moss and Unchained's Jeff Vandrew will explain why 401ks were built to serve the system, not you, and how fees and hidden risk create an illusion of wealth. You'll learn why Bitcoin's security and growth curve make it a powerful long-term savings asset and how a Bitcoin IRA can let you roll over an old 401k with tax advantages intact. If you want a retirement plan that prioritizes sovereignty and purchasing power,
Starting point is 00:33:56 this is the event register now at unchained.com slash tftc unchained.com slash tftc and so how do you uh how do you see this playing out long drawn out adoption methodical up and to the right follow the power power uh power trend curve if you will or is there an event horizon that we go over and experience hyper bitcoinization i i think i think those two things are not mutually exclusive I think that hyper-Bitcoinization event happens on a personal level where you as a person decide that you want to have more and more of your assets, time and energy invested in the Bitcoin ecosystem. I know from a personal perspective, that's exactly what I went through. I think that happens on an individual basis. At the same time, you're going to have the power law continue.
Starting point is 00:34:44 But like any good law, all good things need an exception to the rule. And I think we'll have a point in time when there is a break and it breaks to the upside. Is that going to be the fact that we have AI come in and AI realizes that the only form of payment they want to take from anything is Bitcoin? That could be it. But we're in a really, I think, a precipitous moment in time where there is going to be an enormous amount of change that comes into the space, that there are things that we can't predict.
Starting point is 00:35:14 And I love the power law. I really appreciate Giovanni's contribution to the space because it gives us another thing to talk about. and now there's a mathematical law behind it that's wonderful but um i think humans are irrational creatures and trying to i guess put a law against how we're going to behave um it just feels feels like whatever you try and what box you try and put us into just human nature is we'll jump out of the box give you something different well uh i mean to paint the opportunity for listeners particularly those of you out there who may be new to the show new to bitcoin one thing
Starting point is 00:35:53 that you're famous for uh in the industry is is really running the numbers on what amount of bitcoin will define generation generational wealth throughout the time and uh expressing the potential total addressable market and so for the tftc audience one like we would you do us a pleasure like walking through your your sort of view of long-term bitcoin price appreciation and how high could the price of bitcoin go over our lifetime when it comes to i guess how big the market for bitcoin is um i'll walk you through my thesis for it and i'm happy to be told that it's wrong um why my thought process on this is incorrect and please put forward whatever your numbers are. But in thinking about this, Bitcoin is the first money that we've had, which takes on
Starting point is 00:36:51 the three functions of money at the same time. And if I just go through the three functions, the store of value, mean of exchange, and unit of account, if we look at the store of value through time, that was historically, and even up until this day, has typically been considered gold. Although in the last 50 years, that's been obfuscated with real estate and stocks. But over the last 5,000 years, it's fair to say that gold has been the go-to store of value and that's been your measure of wealth. We've got the meat of exchange function of money, which is basically $100 trillion market, which is probably 80% plus of that is taken up with the US dollar. And it's a very important, I guess, market to look after. And then you've got the unit of account,
Starting point is 00:37:37 which is our double entry ledger system. We haven't had an accounting upgrade for the last 600 years roughly, since Da Vinci was a boy. And I look at this and think, if you look at those three use cases of money and what are the, I guess, the apex predators of those each three functions, store of value is gold. The US dollar is the median exchange function, and that's $100 trillion market. And the unit of account market, which I peg at roughly $2 quadrillion, but other people say $1 quadrillion has been done through the US dollar with a US dollar ledger or double entry ledger system. Bitcoin represents a significant upgrade on the store of value with gold. Firstly, because it's digital, it's seizure resistant and it's censorship resistant, meaning you can send
Starting point is 00:38:23 it anywhere and no one can take it from you. To make light of this, but it's true, Bitcoin is the only asset that you can die with. So if we think about who died with a lot of money and when they died, you look at the pharaohs, they literally built pyramids to basically put a pharaoh in it with a whole chunk of gold if we didn't have if they had bitcoin back then we'd never see the pyramids they'd just die with 24 words in their head and they'd take it and never be never be found bitcoin replaces gold as a store of value which is a roughly a 30 trillion dollar market cap all right we're back from our wardrobe change here at tfp peter and i decided middle of the episode you know we're just gonna go change our clothes and grow a beard out
Starting point is 00:39:07 a little bit i kid we uh we ran into some technical issues monday afternoon when we were recording uh stemming from the amazon web services blackout that took down a big part of the internet apparently it affected riverside too and so we've recorded probably about 35 minutes of a conversation before things started crapping out but we're here to continue that peter how the how the last 48 hours been for you it's been great it's been fun watching people tear their hair out and realizing what centralized systems uh really are a problem so yeah one win for bitcoin niggas zabo warned us trusted third parties are security rules apparently for podcasting to riverside central third party who would have thought yeah but maybe it was a fortunate
Starting point is 00:40:00 disruption because as we were just discussing before we hit record again i've thought of some things and you've thought of some things that we'd like to touch on as it pertains to bitcoin as collateral maybe i'll throw it over to you to talk about the three c's first and then i'll position my thought of defy the great decentralization of finance versus the Bitcoinization of finance, so we can go from there. Nice. Well, having some form of credit background, when you were assessing credit, you basically looked at the three Cs, character, capacity, and collateral that the potential borrower was putting up and was going to effectively put forward. And the curious thing about Bitcoin, because it is pristine collateral,
Starting point is 00:40:47 it's the best collateral that's ever invented, it has a property that no other collateral has. and this is what makes it superior to any other, is that when you have Bitcoin as collateral, you only need one of the three Cs in your serviceability or assessment of creditworthiness. Do they have the collateral or not? Because the capacity to pay and the character to pay is completely irrelevant when you're holding the digital bearer instrument. You don't have to, as a lender, you don't have to subject yourself to serviceability criteria. You don't have to look at their income. You don't have to look at their credit rating to determine whether or not they're actually going to pay you back because you actually hold the underlying
Starting point is 00:41:24 asset and have full control of it at all times of the day. And this is the very unique thing about Bitcoin is that it's 24-7, 3-6-5 liquid, whereas no other collateral on the planet has that ability. Now, that is both a feature and a bug or a potential stressor, but I look at this and think that this collateral has properties that no other collateral has. And for that reason, having some form of credit background to understand what makes good good quality credit to me bitcoin as collateral completely redefines credit and lending across the board it does and it's you've seen this up close and personal at 1031 particularly with unchained it's astonishing to us how incredible their lending product is and how under appreciated the quality of
Starting point is 00:42:16 of their bitcoin collateralized lending desk is and now what new entrants like strike and older entrants like lead in i think people are beginning to realize this but just sticking on unchained i think the stat now is they've issued over a billion dollars in bitcoin collateralized loans over the last eight years and they've had zero loan loss zero principal loss so anybody that has given Unchained dollars to give out loans to Bitcoiners looking to tap into the value of their Bitcoin without selling it has gotten their principal back with the attached interest rate that Unchained is charging. And so I think that's an incredible example. Over a billion dollars of loans issued, not one dollar of principal has been lost. And I don't think that can be said.
Starting point is 00:43:09 That's been over a significant period of time too. And this is where hats off to Unchained. I love that team and think it's an incredible team, incredible company. And that loan product is to me what I define as industry leading because not only does it give protections for the lenders fronting the money
Starting point is 00:43:25 or the capital providers fronting the money, but from a borrower perspective to me, that is ideal because in their multi-sig setup, you as the borrower get to see and ensure that your Bitcoin is not rehypothecated. and and that is as a borrower i think a really critical critical thing to me that's market leading right there and it to me i agree it's market leading and it should be the standard and we were talking about this on monday this idea of multi-jurisdictional multi-sig for the
Starting point is 00:43:58 sake of preserving your wealth and protecting your wealth securing your wealth and making it resilient as an individual but that is just one application the multi-sig um when you bring it to escrow for collateral that's where things really get exciting this is something that i think is a part of the market that is uh is lacking uh is these escrow services for example believe it or not i've got a family a growing family my wife and i want a forever house we're buying a house and we have we're not selling on the house until uh the end of the first quarter of next year but to get the house we had to put a deposit down and unfortunately for me there is no product that exists out there that would allow me to put bitcoin in a multi-sig wallet uh that i have
Starting point is 00:44:49 no unilateral control over that seller of the house has no unilateral control over but you can imagine if we were able to construct something like an unchained vault where i hold a key the seller holds a key and then Unchain, acting as an impartial third party arbiter, holds a key, I would be able to hold this deposit in Bitcoin. And if I'm willing to take the risk, I think Bitcoin is going to appreciate value between now and when we ultimately settle. It's a good deal for me. I don't have to sell Bitcoin. And then for the seller, we can also make the agreement, OK, if the price of Bitcoin goes down, I can top up the escrow account, the escrow Bitcoin wallet with enough Bitcoin to service the deposit amount necessary.
Starting point is 00:45:32 I think all of these products are going to come to market. You're at the forefront of that. You're effectively living in a hyper-Bitcoinized world. I'd like to think I am too, but it falls on, I guess, us to try and push that boundary of forging those products so more and more people can access them. But the ultimate is to have your cake and eat it too, not to be able to sell you Bitcoin.
Starting point is 00:45:53 Leave that in a construct that is that escrow. And this is where I think, you know, the early days of that multi-seq with Unchain, you know, really forging that has been really critical. And from a broader adoption, sort of a bit of a love fest on Unchain because they do a phenomenal job. They've done a great job for so many years. One of the key features that they've introduced, which I really love, which I think helps every Bitcoiner on earth help their friends and family self-custody is the connections menu. I'm not sure if you've gone through and seen how that works, but to me, this is one of the greatest inventions in multi-sync ever because it totally de-risks self-custody for the novice if they've got a trusted partner or a family member or a friend who can actually guide them through that and you can leverage off their expertise but still get all the benefits of self-custody. Yeah, the Connections product is, I agree. And I think Dhruv, Joe, and the team there are extremely forward-thinking.
Starting point is 00:46:55 Dhruv, I remember him giving a presentation back in 2018 in New York where they were first introducing their ball product. And they've had this long-term vision of similar to how we view the network of node topology, it being critically important that that is sufficiently distributed. the same thing can apply to private keys like we need a network of keys just as much as we need a network of nodes and so products like their connections product that make it easy for me if my grandmother or somebody wanted to buy bitcoin and hold it in self-custody it's like okay grandma you don't have to worry about setting up a key i'll hold a key my brother will hold a key and
Starting point is 00:47:40 unchained will hold the third key and we'll make sure that you're you own actual utxos that aren't being re-hypothecated. That's the power of that. And I think it sort of distributes responsibility to the player to be able to act as that, for want of a term, trusted advisor within their community to help on board. And I look at self-custody Bitcoin as really a journey. There's no solutions, only trade-offs. So you really need to choose your own adventure when it comes to how you want to set that up but the magic is in holding the utxos and that to me is one of the easiest ways to do that because it totally de-risks and it lowers the technological threshold or understanding that a new user has to have similar to your sponsor big key yeah and then when you imagine
Starting point is 00:48:29 like and again we're focusing in on like individual holding use cases but imagine what the world's going to look like when this is applied to everything like if you're selling oil internationally instead of having to work through the petrodollar system it's like okay i want to buy oil from you in a big amount i'm an asian state or a large corporation that needs a big chunk of oil as you go to somebody who's selling it from overseas you say okay i'm going to put bitcoin in this escrow wallet i don't have control you don't have control there's an escrow service that holds it you deliver the oil oil's delivered okay we'll release the bitcoin to you and that's just one example when you talk about credit structures we have sort of a waterfall distribution
Starting point is 00:49:16 of proceeds within the credit structure with the duration of that loan you put it in them escrow multi-sig and you can distribute over time as certain kpis and benchmarks are met like we are just at the very very tip of the iceberg the top snowflake on the iceberg or particle of ice, whatever you want to say, in terms of actually implementing and truly revamping the technical stack of the banking and financial system in the world. This is what I don't think most people realize that the capabilities and what you can do with Bitcoin cannot be done with any other asset. It doesn't matter how you structure the other assets. It doesn't matter whether you put them on blockchain or not. It's not a final settlement layer. It is not the be all and end
Starting point is 00:50:02 it's not the time chain and this from a personal note understanding sort of the machinations and how this is going to split spread and infiltrate all of our systems i look at this as effectively eating it from within people will adopt it in whatever capacity they want i look at say from a personal advice and planning perspective you know the ability to time lock bitcoin if you have problems with certain generations or you don't want to leave your bitcoin to a certain generation or you want to bleed that out in some form of annuity guess what bitcoin's the only asset that you can do it with that is basically supernatural to to the law doesn't matter what the law compels you to do if you've time locked that guess what you know unless you
Starting point is 00:50:45 can break cryptography um it's going to trickle out as you you intend it now there are just so many implications of this and this to me is why bitcoin will be the base layer of collateral moving forward and sort of putting a bow, so to speak, on this system. In a Bitcoin world where Bitcoin collateralizes the world, we need to have an over-collateralized system. But we've been working with an under-collateralized system. And this is where, to me, the total addressable market, and we'll come to that in a minute if you want to, but the total addressable market for Bitcoin is much, much higher than anyone really comprehends. Yeah, I guess let's do it. We got about halfway through it i believe i don't know how far through what we got but we were talking
Starting point is 00:51:29 about it for 10 minutes before the aws outage affected our ability to actually communicate across the oceans here via riverside but we were talking about the total addressable market i was explaining to the audience that you're um i wanted to have you on for many reasons but one of which is that you are relatively famous in our little niche bubble of Bitcoiners for articulating the total addressable market in a way that many others don't and makes me even more bullish than I've ever been in Bitcoin, because I think you really highlight that the nature of the distributed protocol with the native asset really changes the game. You're combining a bunch of different functions and systems and that doesn't have an additive effect it has a compounding effect
Starting point is 00:52:22 correct yeah and this is where i think what we're seeing i like to call bitcoin the first triple point asset and in nature in thermodynamics a really curious thing happened um i didn't know this until basically starting bitcoin but the triple point of water is is a point in time where under certain pressure and under certain temperatures, water is in all three phases at the one point in time at the same place. So you can have, under certain atmospheric pressures and temperatures, you can have water sitting in liquid, gas, and hard state, all in the same beaker. And why do I talk about this esoteric triple point? Well, Bitcoin is the triple point asset in that it exists in all three states at the one time. And if we peel that back, what is
Starting point is 00:53:15 Bitcoin when it comes to the function of money? The three functions of money are store of value, meet of exchange, and unit of account. And in a very high level, and I'll go into the detail, for the very first time in history, we have one single asset that exists in all three of those states as the apex form of that function. And this is the first time in history that it's happened. And so if we break that down, for eons, we've used gold as the store of value, and that's roughly a $30 trillion market. We've used US dollar as the mean exchange, and that's $100 trillion market. And then we've used our double entry ledger system and by default, the US dollar as our unit of account and how we account for things.
Starting point is 00:53:59 And if we go along those use cases, Bitcoin supersedes gold because it's censorship resistant, it's seizure resistant, it's digital, and there's absolute digital scarcity. So by those four definitions, Bitcoin is a much better store of value than gold. So it will supersede a $30 trillion market and become the apex predator of that function of mate. I'll skip over the medium exchange because I personally believe that Bitcoin's a much better a medium exchange because it's censorship resistant and it's seizure resistant. And if you look at, you know, over the last four years,
Starting point is 00:54:32 I bet Russia had their foreign reserves sitting in Bitcoin. They wouldn't have been able to have that confiscated from the SWIFT network. I'll brush over that because I actually think for addressing the total addressable market, the medium exchange market is the least important. And then I look at the unit of account because really a double entry ledger system
Starting point is 00:54:52 is the same system that we've been working with since DaVinci was a boy. And now we've got the first innovation in accounting in nearly 600 years to a triple entry ledger system where anyone operating on the network can see exactly what's happening on that. And the unit of account market is, by my accounts, there's probably a two quadrillion dollar market. Now, some people say it's a one quadrillion dollar market, but in my mind, it's probably more like two quadrillion dollars because we've got about one and a half quadrillion dollars in the derivatives market that needs to be accounted for. And what's interesting about this is that Bitcoin across those three functions of money
Starting point is 00:55:29 is going to replace the store of value in gold, the mean of exchange in the US dollar and the unit of account in the double entry ledger system as the preeminent form of function for those requirements. And a funny thing happens in economics. A lot of people look at this and think, oh, well, Bitcoin should be the total addressable market for Bitcoin would be simply calculated by adding all three of those functions together. But that's not the case because we actually have one asset that is the form function for all three of those functions. And what that means is rather than adding those together, you're going to have store of value compete with mean of exchange competing with unit of account for space on the blockchain. So rather than being
Starting point is 00:56:13 additive, it's actually going to be compounding. So you need to really multiply and compete for that space on the blockchain. So it's not additive. It's actually more of a compounding effect where you need to multiply that. And then when you peel back, I guess, the economics around it, that people value the future money, I guess, a lot more than what they value today's function of money, it allows everyone to store their money through time. And this is where the numbers I come up with just don't make any sense. And this is where I urge anyone to critique the thought process in coming up with, I guess, a value or a total addressable market for Bitcoin rather than attacking the number. Because to discuss that, it does sound retarded. But the logic of it is sound.
Starting point is 00:57:02 If you actually peel back and want to discuss anything that you disagree with, please let's go through it point by point. But what that ends up coming up with is a multi-billion dollar Bitcoin on the back end of it. And this is where I look at that and a lot of people want to say that that's not possible because the total assets in the world right now are circa one quadrillion dollars. And it's like, well, if we go back to the 1850s, the total assets of the world back then were probably close to, well, less than a billion dollars. So this pie is going to expand significantly and Bitcoin is the way to do that. And what is absolutely clear to me, when people understand Bitcoin, they're going to store most of their wealth in Bitcoin. And they're only going to use
Starting point is 00:57:45 a small slither of that, say less than 1% per annum, to actually spend on anything that they need. And so if you look at a pie chart with Bitcoin at the moment, and it's all white, and there might be a tiny little line down the middle of it that accounts for less than half of the percent of total assets in the world are in Bitcoin. Once we move through to a hyper Bitcoinized world, that entire chart is going to look orange, thin little sliver down the middle for all the other assets that are there. And the reason for that is, is that people want ultimate optionality, which Bitcoin provides. And this is where a lot of people get lost on this and think that's not possible. And it's like, yes, it is possible. And if we look at earlier
Starting point is 00:58:26 to our conversation around having a collateral problem, not a debt problem, to solve the debt problem that we've got. We need to inflate some assets in some way, shape or form. We can't inflate the bond market. It's counterintuitive. We can't really inflate the stock market. We've done a really good job inflating that. It's very difficult to inflate the property market because we already have a cost of housing crisis and affordable living problems. What's an asset that we can basically put an infinite amount of monetary energy into that's going to have very little downstream consequence for the world. And I look at that and think, Bitcoin is the perfect vehicle to do that. And to our point earlier about the feature of Bitcoin that a lot
Starting point is 00:59:09 of boomers miss is, and they say, oh, you can't live in a Bitcoin. For the very reason that you can't live in a Bitcoin is the reason why they're going to inflate this asset to re-collateralize the world. And when that happens, you're going to see basically that little pie chart is going to flip to mostly orange and a thin little white strip down the middle for all the other assets out there so bullish billions of dollars for bitcoin on the back end of this and like and another thing i would add if we're running with this this idea and this thread is that we i think people severely underestimate the increased productivity that exudes once we get on a bitcoin standard too because we have this incredible waste and terrible asset allocation
Starting point is 01:00:01 incentive that exists with fiat where you're just incentivized to throw money at everything and see what sticks and i hope that one out of 10 capital investments makes a return big enough to make up for the nine losers but with bitcoin being extremely scarce bring opportunity costs back to the market the thesis and i think there's pretty good historical sort of evidence that this does happen once you have a hard money standard is that capital is only going to be dedicated towards things that are actually worthwhile and do increase productivity profitability and more importantly most importantly the quality of living for the individuals living on this planet and so like if and when we do transition to a bitcoin standard i think people look at the total
Starting point is 01:00:49 addressable market and where money is stored today and they think okay this is the total addressable market but you also have to add in like well if bitcoin makes us better capital allocators and capital finds ways to the most productive means quicker then we could see an acceleration of economic production that will be stored in Bitcoin as well, just pushing the price even higher as a result. Yeah, I agree. And this is where that hurdle rate you talk of as a capital allocator, it gets very difficult to really assess viable projects because you now have a hurdle rate of 30, 40, 50%, whatever that might be. And if I, I guess, step back from this, I look at what Bitcoin represents is the opportunity for 8 billion people on earth to go
Starting point is 01:01:38 back to 2001 and buy Amazon stock and be Jeff Bezos. My forecast for the next 20 years is that this will outperform what Amazon's done over the last 25 years. And my point to this is that this is going to get very scarce very quickly because people want to have that future optionality. And you look at Jeff Bezos, you look at Elon Musk, they never sell their stock for the very fact that they know what the stock's going to do. It's going to go up forever in their eyes. They borrow on it, sure, but they never sell it.
Starting point is 01:02:09 And this is where, you know, you look at the wealth that they've accrued over the last 25 years. They'd be lucky to spend 0.1% of the wealth that they have on an annual basis. So I look at that, and if you draw an analogy to how they hold their stock and what they do with their stock to what they spend, they've got 99.9 percent of the wealth tied up in their in their stock and they never spend it the same opportunities are going to be afforded to every bitcoin moving forward and this is where
Starting point is 01:02:36 we're going to have a real price squeeze moving forward when eight billion people figure out that's what they can do what do you think the tipping point for this to really take off in earnest is is it external forces governments printing too much money and really forcing the issue of debasement? Or is it more of an information dispersion problem? Just not enough people really understanding into it this to make the educated decision to allocate their wealth to Bitcoin in the first place. I think you raised three really good points. And I'm not sure what it is. I think it hits different people at different times. I think Bitcoin is really a need, not a want. A lot of people want to get rich, but they don't want to take a risk on it.
Starting point is 01:03:23 so they don't do it it's only when they're desperate do they make the jump to actually committing to it and i can tell you a whole host of stories that basically come to that point in time where i've had a whole host of friends have a chat to me about this situation and how bitcoin can solve it and i look at this and think you're understanding this situation bitcoin really does solve a lot of those problems at the same time a lot of people really can't identify the problem that they're living in like a fish swimming in water doesn't know it's water we are slowly getting ground down with this debasement and inflation to the point where people are working second jobs i was just in la having a conversation with an uber driver um he was a he was a bakery
Starting point is 01:04:09 manager and he finishes his shift at three o'clock after starting at three o'clock and then he jumps straight in his car and he's an uber driver for the next six hours just to make ends meet and people are aware of the problem but they just can't really articulate what that problem is a huge thing that's happened in the last i guess week is jp morgan and you know the banks coming out with the debasement trade now now they've identified it and branded it everyone can now start articulating what the problem is so to me i think we're on the verge of that and i guess that the really important thing i think for us as bitcoiners to do is just be good citizens and try and help people onto the lifeboat as quick as we can um because there's a lot of people out
Starting point is 01:04:51 there who are really struggling and i genuinely do see bitcoin as a lifeboat to to improve people's situations yeah and i guess building on the tam thing to the i guess unit bias comes in and really clouds people's judgments they they see bitcoin trading at 108 000 wherever it is today and say it's too expensive for me yeah i miss the boat and really just trying to nail home the point like we are still early like what do you think it would take for that uber driver that you met in la um like how much should he be saving in bitcoin over what period of time to have it make a material difference on his outcome i i love this question because i think the most important thing that anyone can do and we live in um some very polite civilized societies
Starting point is 01:05:41 with great pension schemes i would start with your pension your 401k your ira your superannuation your uk pension system whatever that is and and the reason why i'd start there is because that allows you to put money in that you really can't touch for the next 10 20 30 years or 40 years if you're young and and that allows you to have a risk-free understanding of what that is because when you're, to quote an Aussie term, on the bones of your ass and you don't have a dollar to rub together, it's very difficult to take a risk with the money that you do have. And so the pension money is money that you can't touch that has to be, you know, a whole host of decisions or provisions need to be met in order to access that.
Starting point is 01:06:29 And typically it's a long way off in the distance. So I look at that and think pension money is the ideal place to start with a Bitcoin investment because that lets people put money in that's not going to hurt their day-to-day cost of living and housing and the rest of it. But once they see it working, then they can start applying that to their day-to-day. So putting aside cash, trying to save 10% of their earnings. And this is the problem that in society today is the number one rule is just don't spend, look, spend less than you earn is the number one rule my father gave me, which is just timeless advice for anyone, regardless of where you are on the economic spectrum. You know, you can have billionaires who are going broke because they're spending more than they earn. But if you manage to save a little bit each day, and this is the power of Bitcoin, is that as long as you have that golden rule where you can save, even if it's a dollar, you get to build momentum. term. And most importantly, you can actually see and identify a way out. And that's the most
Starting point is 01:07:23 critical thing, because if you're saving into a savings account, you can save for 10 or 20 years and you're still not going to have a deposit for a home. But if you save for 10 years in Bitcoin, all of a sudden you've got a deposit, you've got the ability to buy a house probably outright. So I think it's very important sort of being able to determine and see a path forward. Yeah, just get off zero. Start a little bit. And you don't have to buy a whole Bitcoin if you're new out there um and you think oh my gosh i can't pay 108 000 for bitcoin you can buy dollars worth of bitcoin on many on many exchanges if you want to um but bringing this back i wrote about it in the newsletter yesterday you know sort of shifting gears a little bit here um to wrap up this two-part
Starting point is 01:08:07 conversation over the course of two days um this whole idea of the bitcoinization of finance which really ties into what we have been talking about with the intersection of Bitcoin as collateral in traditional markets versus the decentralization of finance or DeFi as it's being pitched by many people in crypto and now more aggressively people in Wall Street. I think what's going to be the trend this cycle, this is what I wrote about yesterday, is that real world assets are what we need. Bringing real world assets like real estate and stocks and bonds to the blockchain is going to unlock incredible innovation and accessibility to financial markets that plebs desperately need. And not only that, you'll be able to use these real world tokenized assets
Starting point is 01:08:58 as collateral and decentralized financial systems that give you access to unique and exotic and competitive financial products. And I think that's just completely wrong. I don't think the average Joe needs access to multifamily real estate in the United States via tokenized real estate. I don't think that's what they need. I think they need better money. That's what I wrote about yesterday. And I think just really driving home because people, I've seen it in the 12 years I've been in Bitcoin, I've seen many different cycles and particularly altcoin cycles and the Themes and memes that came with them and the shiny objects that were positioned in front of the retail public that they jumped on and ultimately regretted because they turned out to be pipe dreams, for lack of a better term. But that's what I feel like is happening right now.
Starting point is 01:09:51 Real world assets and DeFi specifically is like this dream of we're going to go re-architect the financial system. I think that's completely wrong. I think what we've been talking about over the course of an hour-long conversation, over the course of two days, two different recording days, is Bitcoin is collateral and the Bitcoinization of finance. We don't need to re-architect the financial system. Love it or hate it, finance and contract law and financial arrangements have developed and evolved and matured over the course of millennia for specific reasons. And even though there may be a lot of rot in the traditional financial system, it doesn't mean that the bare-bone framework doesn't make sense. We don't need to rebuild from scratch. We just need to re-collateralize with better collateral.
Starting point is 01:10:42 Don't really have a question, but I think this is going to be an important sort of juxtaposition, this Bitcoinization of finance versus deep, shiny object DeFi and real-world asset tokenization. and i don't think enough people are really trying to try draw a line between the two and say no well i think there's a line drawn between the two but i think people really need to hear the the thesis that like defy is complete pipe dream gobbledygook that is just accelerating and extending the the high velocity trash fiat economy whereas we need to actually take our foot off the pedal of the financialization of everything and just get back to simple collateral arrangements i couldn't agree more and this is where i think there have been some businesses that have completely redefined this space that have left the u.s and global banking
Starting point is 01:11:37 system as a whole sort of looking within and i look at tether and the success that they've had and think they don't rehypothecate, they don't offer loan products yet they're arguably the most profitable business I'll never thought one of. And I think the US banking system with all their fractional reserve and Aussie banking system is exactly the same. Getting back to good old-fashioned banking is going to be where it comes to, and I know we're trying to debank the world
Starting point is 01:12:06 and it's a dirty word, but we have a collateral problem that bitcoin can solve and this is where you know advice to anyone is just buy bitcoin sit on it for 10 years and then you know avoid all the shiny objects on that 10-year period and you're waked up and and life will be very distant and it's to your point everyone doesn't matter if it's a day because it's do you find the rest of it everyone is going to come to bitcoin and how that looks i don't know but i know the most important thing is to be holding utxos and and that is going to give you the maximum optionality you can have in time to do whatever it is you want to do avoid the shiny objects that was the the byline of last night's uh last night's newsletter was
Starting point is 01:12:49 tie yourself to the mast avoid the siren calls sound like ulysses it's very difficult yeah anybody who's new here and you're seeing the shiny auto you have a scaramucci you have larry fink you have a bunch of other individuals with perceived high intelligence and innovation you know they're viewed as innovators uh they're to an extent they may be i'll give them that but to another extent they are just cantillionaires who have ridden this wave of the fiat to basement trade over the last 50 years and have positioned themselves well to benefit but they're benefiting from a system that is rotten at the core and we are going to transition to bitcoin i think it's important to recognize that
Starting point is 01:13:41 what's being positioned in defi and you can see what coinbase like coinbase just announced two weeks ago like oh you now have access to millions of tokens that are trading on the base chain or whatever it's like how do you not realize that opportunity cost that exists and your people have to hold their money somewhere and if you give them millions of tokens as an option to hold money how do you not recognize that there's going to be um a lot of money hopping from one token to the other with none of those tokens really holding back long-term value over the long haul peter has left us yet again we're still having problems maybe maybe it was the cia peter maybe it's the same problem as last time so maybe it wasn't aws cia cia does not like
Starting point is 01:14:31 this conversation the pentagon does not like us war gaming on how bitcoin's going to take over the world but i was just explaining it's only a matter of time just explaining like it's it's funny to me how companies like coinbase uh and people on crypto who view the world being hyper tokenized it's like you you have to hold your money somewhere at the end of the day and if you give people tens of millions ultimately it will be billions of tokens if they keep pushing down this this route like where is the money gonna sit like you're just gonna they don't recognize the incredible dilution effect they're unleashing on the market and the if everything can be tokenized nothing's gonna have value in my mind then that's the beauty for bitcoin the more
Starting point is 01:15:17 tokens they release ultimately the more people end up in bitcoin sadly they have to pay a price with paying a lot of a lot into those tokens but they will find bitcoin hopefully sooner rather than later hey well they ultimately do peter before uh the pentagon kicks us off again maybe we should wrap up with some final thoughts and uh anything we didn't touch on that you think you should relay to the audience right now i think you you and matt have the greatest message out there stay humble stack sats and self-casting your bitcoin that's a message that's absolutely golden test you know that's survived the test of time and i think if we reiterate that message that's the most important message to get out there and maybe from from a guest saying it rather than
Starting point is 01:16:08 you it's a different voice so i i really appreciate that message and it's just um i think the most important thing that we can do yeah to some people it's too simple it's not that easy it is that easy you don't have to be a stock picker you just have to stay humble stack stats be productive be a good member of society be a good husband a good father good wife good grandmother whatever it may be and save your money in bitcoin your life will get better it's that simple it's that simple your band money peter i can't believe this is the first time but it won't be the last time we'll do this again at some point uh definitely next year maybe first or second quarter of next year catch up follow as bitcoin adoption proceeds and thank you for all the work that you do thank
Starting point is 01:16:56 you for uh thank you for championing through the riverside issues that we've experienced now twice on monday and today and hopefully next time the pentagon won't be listening in in trying to disrupt our conversation fingers crossed and mighty appreciate all right that's all we got today freaks peace and love thank you for listening to this episode of tftc if you've made it this far i imagine you got some value out of the episode if so please share it far and wide with your friends and family we're looking to get the word out there also wherever you're listening whether that's youtube apple spotify make sure you like and subscribe to the show and if you can leave a rating on the
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