TFTC: A Bitcoin Podcast - #795: Tokenization Unlocks $900 Trillion in Wealth with Jordi Visser
Episode Date: September 24, 2026Jordi Visser joins Marty Bent to break down why AI agents are about to collide with Bitcoin, stablecoins, and tokenization. Visser explains why crypto's guardrails are mispriced at zero, why tokenizat...ion could unlock $900 trillion in trapped assets, and why humans, not compute, are the real bottleneck to AI adoption. The conversation covers Fed policy, corporate debt panic, circular financing, energy constraints, and why Bitcoin remains the ultimate long-term store of value in an agentic economy. Jordi on X: https://x.com/jvisserlabs The Bitcoin Playbook for Commercial Real Estate Owners & Investors: https://www.tftc.io/CRE STACK SATS hat: https://tftcmerch.io/ Our newsletter: https://www.tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/ TFTC Elite (Ad-free & Discord): https://www.tftc.io/#/portal/signup/ Discord: https://discord.gg/yHGkvYxdqT Opportunity Cost Extension: https://www.opportunitycost.app/ Shoutout to our sponsors: Block: - Cash App: For a limited time, new customers can get $21 added to their balance. Just use code TFTC10 when you sign up, and send at least $5 to a friend in the first two weeks. Terms apply. Bitcoin services by Block, Inc. See the Bitcoin disclosures at cash.app/legal/podcast. - Square: Visit http://square.com/go/tftc for up to $200 off eligible Square hardware. - Bitkey: Use code TFTC10 for 10% off the new Bitkey. Aven https://www.aven.com/bitcoin CrowdHealth https://www.joincrowdhealth.com/tftc Simple Mining https://www.simplemining.io/tftc Salt of the Earth: https://drinksote.com/tftc Join the TFTC Movement: Main YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/c/TFTC21/videos Clips YT Channel https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCUQcW3jxfQfEUS8kqR5pJtQ Website https://tftc.io/ Newsletter tftc.io/bitcoin-brief/ Twitter https://twitter.com/tftc21 Instagram https://www.instagram.com/tftc.io/ Nostr https://primal.net/tftc Follow Marty Bent: Twitter https://twitter.com/martybent Nostr https://primal.net/martybent Newsletter https://tftc.io/martys-bent/ Podcast https://www.tftc.io/tag/podcasts/ Disclosure: Bitcoin services are provided by Block, Inc. Bitcoin services are not licensable activity in all U.S. states and territories, and not all services are available in all states. Bitkey is not available in New York. Block, Inc. operates in New York as Block of Delaware and is licensed to engage in virtual currency business activity by the New York State Department of Financial Services. Bitcoin is a non-deposit, non-bank product that is not FDIC insured and involves risk, including monetary loss. For additional information, see the Bitcoin disclosures: https://help.cash.app/btcdisclosures Get up to $200 off Square hardware when you sign up at http://square.com/go/tftc! #squarepartner. Offer expires December 31, 2026 at 11:59 pm PST. Offer for $40 off the cost of one Square Stand, $75 off the cost of one Square Terminal, $100 off the cost of one Square Handheld, or $200 off the cost of one Square Register, excluding applicable taxes. Limited to one discount per product type per seller account. Each code is limited to one redemption per account holder. Valid for new Square customers located in the US only. Offer not valid with guest checkout. Square reserves the right to modify, revoke or cancel the offer at any time. Offer cannot be combined with any other coupon. Void where prohibited, not redeemable for cash, and non-transferable. #squarepartner #blockpartner
Transcript
Discussion (0)
You've had a dynamic where money has become freer than free.
If you talk about a Fed just gone nuts, all the central banks going nuts.
So it's all acting like safe haven.
I believe that in a world where central bankers are tripping over themselves to devalue their currency, Bitcoin wins.
In the world of fiat currencies, Bitcoin is the victor.
I mean, that's part of the bold case for Bitcoin.
If you're not paying attention, you probably should be.
Yeah, no, I know there.
So I'm not sure if you saw this at Trini post this morning,
but it was somebody using Muse.
And they were on a Delta flight that got canceled on the tarmac.
And he immediately went, rebook this flight.
And on top of that, go find how I can get reimbursed for this flight
that just got canceled.
Within minutes, he had a $250 credit.
And the Satrini post was like, number one,
you're insane to think that this is a bubble.
And this is going nowhere.
Maybe there are bubbly parts.
But there is true utility here to say there's no use case.
is completely assinine.
And then number two, like all those pennies that consumers have left on the ground with
like $250 credit, they're about to get picked up by the agents and airlines being a perfect example.
What happens when people start efficiently using their miles and taking advantage of the refunds
that they can get?
This is the beginning of the deflationary pressure on everything that we've talked about.
You know, that we've, as people realize that AI is deflationary, to get deflationary,
for the service side, you need AI agents. Because the agents make decisions based on efficiency.
And the use of it is just, I mean, that description of what Satrini did, you have to think about
all the frustrating times you've had waiting to then rebook something. You get in a line when you get
off the plane and how long the line is and everyone's trying to get on one. And then you're trying
to get a refund and you're trying to rebook things. All of this stuff will be handled. The frustrating
part will be handled by agents. And that's already happening. And it's happening now. So whether
it's meta muse or whether it's instinct AI there's a reason why these things are having an impact
now on the market yeah well like i was telling it took meuse first spin this morning just to check it out
try to book amtrak amtrak's a bot no but point being it feels like the first like i said it to
my wife after playing with it for 10 minutes it's like okay this is i don't have to set up a hermese agent
for you like this is this is the the agent that you can use to coordinate our calendars the boys sports
schedule all that like download it this is play with it today that's the reason why this has now
entered a realm for me of time um any speaking engagement i'm doing now it all gets back to time
you have to think about open claw which is a february thing in terms of like adoption
then you get into urmes then you get into rock bot then you get into well astron claw
can already do this and we're going to make it easier and we're going to embed all this into one.
So if you use Grockbot, it's a completely different situation, using multiple agents to kind
of run around and do tasks for you. So it's more like an autonomous workforce. With Mews and
with instinct AI and a lot of the other private ones, now you're getting into the what we
expected from Syria and what we expected from Alexa. But again, it's the fact that we're talking about
something that is now seven months so what has happened is the
except the compression of time is happening through the model releases and through
the advancements the Navier stokes problem the agents warm fears over you know
hackings these are all indications that were you know as I say repeatedly now
page 71 of situational awareness with Leopold shows where everything starts to speed up so
fast that humans can't comprehend the change and they can't keep up with it
Well, if we can't keep up with it and we're starting to get into the transaction phase,
the SWIF system and everything that was built for humans will not work with the agents.
And they're going to start demanding faster rails.
Yeah.
No, it was this morning.
Again, the problem with Amtrak, you were describing as a monopoly and we'll move, but the airlines have moved.
But imagine when I can load it up with a Bitcoin wallet.
Like you were going into your Buccy of Bitcoiners.
you have the programmable money, then you have the incumbents.
I'm a bitcoiner.
And the beauty about the programmable part is like,
find I want to use Bitcoin as my currency,
the native digital currency.
And I don't want to touch anything else.
I can just give the agent a Bitcoin wallet.
It's like, all right, go figure out how to convert to the preferred currency
of the service provider or the other agent you're buying something from.
And I can see that's where things are going.
Like I was saying, we're at the first stage where the incumbents have to realize this
and begin re-architecting the infrastructure on the digital.
side they have to enable this because once they do, they're going to get a ton, ton more business,
I think. Yeah. And again, I think for people who don't see this, and trust me,
someone who, when I speak about these things, I'll occasionally go see the comments and the posts.
And people don't connect the agenic side to, let's say, the crypto guardrails and then kind of
the impact it will have on business. And it's surprising to me. But again,
because I live in it 24 hours a day,
meaning I'm monitoring how things are moving
and I'm using the tools.
And yeah, oh, Muse is a thing.
Let me go sign up for it.
Okay, Instinct AI.
I talk about it one week.
The amount of people reached out.
And again, when MetaMuse is the number one downloaded app,
okay, and the numbers are big.
You start realizing, oh, my God,
the people who aren't paying attention to this,
there's a million people that have already downloaded it.
So it's like, this is going to grow incredible.
rapidly, especially when you realize how much time it can save you.
The money part will come second.
And that's the thing I keep trying to make sure people understand.
The money thing will come second.
But this is where you have to start realizing, okay, how is crypto directly connected to
agents?
And that's where you have to go back.
And that's why the stuff I'm talking about now is it was always made for digital agents,
because they're the only ones that can utilize the speed.
and they're the only ones who truly care about.
Why are we using Visa and MasterCard?
Why are we doing any of this stuff?
Why aren't we just going straight here, here, here,
let me negotiate, let me go through it.
They have the time to do it, and it's going to be agent to agent.
The next thing people have to think about is how important cryptography is in this,
how important your identity is in this.
The ecosystem starts to grow rapidly once the agents start transacting
because then all the things that have ever been written about and talked about
become more important because the ecosystem starts to grow in terms of volume and velocity,
And the size of the ecosystem is going to grow rapidly over the next 12 months.
Yeah.
Digging into agents specifically and how unprepared people are, I don't think if the most like 99.5% of people on the planet don't understand that they hear AI.
They think chat GPT.
I'm like, okay.
What's the usage looking like when they think of usage?
It's like, okay, downloading Muse, talking with Muse, using tokens to do that.
They don't realize that the agent,
agent token usage has gone exponential and far exceeds the human
the LLM token usage.
And that fact alone, I think, highlights the arbitrage that exists in the
fact that most people don't understand that fact is extremely powerful.
It gets to something you've been talking about for many weeks now, which is that we're
climbing this wall where you have a ton of the layman, the public out there thinking
that this is a bubble that's going to pop eventually.
And they think we're going to get to like a massive economic crisis driven by this.
But if you look at the underlying usage, particularly agent to agent, it seems that the
fundamentals are going not only in the right direction, but far exceeding what anybody thought
up to this point.
This is, for anyone listening who falls into the camp of a warrior on AI, which is the majority
of people. Getting an expected value of an investment is about lining up all of the probabilities
outcomes and the upside and downside of all of them. So is there a bubble aspect? Of course. You could
come up with a bunch of reasons. I mean, I mean, they're all tail risks of things, but you're not
going to stop the progress on AI. You can't. We're not going to pause it. Like, that was stupid.
Like, everyone's waiting, just the reaction to the pause and AI from the most sophisticated investors in the world.
And I get emails that day.
Well, this is, we're going to be down big on Monday.
I'm like, there'll be a knee-jerk reaction and it'll be an opportunity to buy.
And here we are, whatever many days later.
We're way through those levels, meaning we're way above where it was before that news came out.
So for everyone listening who's worried, the expected value, if you break into a binomial situation, let's assume, be you.
use what I did in my video, there's a 90% chance. We're headed towards abundance. And there's a 10%
chance that we're going to blow up and AI will never amount to anything. Okay, in one scenario you
have a zero, 10% chance of a zero. And on the other side, you have a 90% chance of something
just shockingly good. The expected value is shockingly good then in terms of the combination of
the two. Now, you can come up with all the different scenarios you want in between. But the reality is,
you're worried about the 10% if you're waiting for that story the debt is too big this and that
i can refute all of it but the only thing you have to make sure that you realize every day that
the process gets bigger consumer agents are different than enterprise agents we haven't even
completed the enterprise adoption yet and we're already moving on to the consumer agent's side
consumer agents are very different than enterprise enterprise is about replacing
digital employee or human employees and it's through coding
It's through APIs and going into, you know, using up the amount of compute to figure things out.
For consumer agents, now you're talking about them working 24-7 to book you a trip, to look into this, to go through all of the permutations.
The amount of websites they have to touch, it's continuous.
So consumer agents on top of enterprise agents means the compute needs just keep growing.
So again, it gets back to the simple thing.
All bubbles are about supply being in front of demand.
For the crypto doubters, we built the guardrails.
It's an empty city.
As I say, it's a ghost city.
We built the infrastructure.
We've been waiting for the users to come.
Well, the users are coming in the form of agents.
And if people want to watch one video for the rest of the month to hear from someone who can take you through what's happening at the company level and how the REOIC is already happening in various forms, not in the way you want it, which is when are we going to see the revenue?
news coming in. Oh, look, Anthropic and Open AI only have X and the hyperscalers only have.
No, John Gray from Blackstone gave a talk yesterday at his event for 30 minutes. It's on YouTube.
And he literally went through the five different ways that his companies, of which he has private,
how they're all been from AI in five different ways to increase their profitability, which is seeing
their margins grow when he's taking you through those scenarios.
I just don't think people have really, really thought hard enough about the fact that there's a higher probability of a good outcome than about outcome.
And on the enterprise side, it'll be interesting to see how that plays out.
I think we had a pretty big signal from the enterprise that was last week or the week before with Latham and Watkins,
deciding to buy NVIDIA GPUs, self-host, and basically ensure that their IP isn't being leaked to Anthropic in OpenAI.
And I don't know exactly how Latham-Walkins is implementing it, but I imagine what they're doing is uploading the knowledge base of that firm over the course of decades.
And so like every case, every outcome, every bit of research they've done that they have stored somewhere in a file system just when you're talking about enterprise adoption.
That's, I think first before you even get into agents, it's like, okay, how do I imbue this institutional knowledge that we've built up over decades into this system so that the AI can basically
use that to go achieve our goals and that alone is a massive undertaking so the
question I have is why to take him so long I've talked about Eli Lilly Eli Lilly
did this a long time ago I think their initial data center private owned
data center with a thousand GPS I think it's a thousand GPUs went up in January
I believe it's called Lily Pod they have Tune Lab which is a way for
them brilliantly to collect other data, combine it with their data on an anonymous basis,
but it helps them learn from their data while giving biotech companies the ability of testing
their data on Eli Lilly's data.
So if you have a science lab that has all of these experiments, the pros and cons that come
and where everything was going, and you're just putting in there and seeing what the output
comes in you have to think about how quickly the Navier stokes thing means that we're getting to so for a law firm to do it
i guess the reason it took so long is because they didn't have the money that elai lily did and they didn't
have the understanding from being a fortune 500 company and this is why i think there's been two levels
so far that have been accelerating one is the fortune 500 companies that have the money are adopting
very quickly because they can just write the check and start going through it but they also have
tons of tech engineers that are high level.
I don't know if a law firm has that.
So they have to probably go through a consultant
that comes in and says what they can do.
And then they decide to do it.
If they have the money, they make the investment,
they see the benefits.
The other side that already is doing outside of Fortune 500 companies
are AI native entrepreneurs.
They're the ones that have the ability of using open source
and not needing to worry about if their data is being used
because it's a tiny little private company
that's not trying to,
It doesn't have things to protect.
It actually needs to grow.
And the only thing they care about is going from zero today to a billion revenue in two years.
And before they could have been competed, they'll probably be monetized and move on to the next thing.
Yeah.
No, I think of how we implemented a TFTC.
Everything we're feeding the models public anyway.
So I don't care if Open AI or Anthropics sees it.
But to your point, it is insane.
Like I was, I was demoing it last night at the open party.
here at Pubkey for this Freedom Tech Week.
And I had my Hermes agents connected to our company brain.
And I was like, hey, use the fountain MCP fountains
where we host our podcast for RSS and has video.
And I was like, hey, John Arlen I from 1031
recorded a video this morning.
We talked about oil markets particularly
and what people aren't seeing like Venezuela imports
are going up.
It looks like ships are making it through the straight at 60%.
Go clip that and then pull out the juiciest
a quote to that and then a one sentence summary of the clip in its entirety posted on my ex within 10
minutes i didn't even look at x it was it was posted but to talk about efficiency that would have
taken probably two hours for somebody on our team to to go find it uh clip it get the tweet get the
subtitles and i mean that utility is very misunderstood right now for most people and this is just a podcast
clipping yeah again and for for you guys the IP is the using it the AI models they just keep
getting better and better the capabilities get better and better and if you're involved in
them every day you know to ask can I do this for people that don't use it often they'll see
something in X or they'll someone will tell them about something and then they'll go in
and they'll look at it then.
If you're not using it every day and knowing that it's getting better every single day
and you're too worried about hallucinations and stuff like that,
then you're not going to use it.
If you don't use it, you're screwed.
Like that's the plain simple thing.
I think the value add for people is not understanding the things that AI can do out there.
It's the ability of just asking the question.
What can you do today that you couldn't do yesterday?
And the more that you use it for those things, you start going.
I you've watched my my Sunday video for a long time I don't know if you noticed but I was using a
software open BB for a long time and then all of a sudden open BB you know unfortunately start a business
they closed down and I know the founder and it was a sad day I really liked the guy and I was using
the software because at the beginning when I started to do my video which was in 2024 the AI
capabilities could not really deal with it that well and he kept making additions to it so that
i could use it so from my side it was it'll help him and his business by me using it as a product
showing charts in it and things like that but i had to make a switch during the summertime and
this was like on a wednesday and i put this stuff together with inside open bb so i had to make a complete
pivot so now i'm in a bind so i go to open a i ask the
question I asked chat ch pt here's what I've been using here's a sample of the video
here's the way I put it together I need you to redo my process so that I can have a
video done by the recording on Friday that's two days for me to have to complete a
completely new process to do something that takes a while it took me through to
use Google slides it now I never use Google slides in like a big way I'd only
used it let's say five times in my life but it's told me it was the best way to do this for a
variety of reasons that match which in hindsight was completely true my process has now been reduced
by 70% which is amazing because that means i could put the entire thing together do the video
on one in four hours is now my guess and that is the thing that's happened is it's changed it
Claude Co-work, because I had this whole database now of OpenBB slides, I connected to that folder, knowing that it was going, I uploaded everything from OpenBB, and now when I need to find a slide that I've used in the past, I just go into co-work and go, can you find this slide on consumer agents and enterprise agents, which I did literally this morning, and it gives me the image. Like, this kind of stuff you couldn't do six months ago. And so by asking the question when a problem comes up, how do I solve this, as opposed to panicking and then.
then like what am I going to do and try to learn on your own you have to have the instinct to just
know that AI has a solution always so bringing this back to time how much time do people have to
get on this train and then tying it to the wall where you too how fast i mean you said it's
happening faster than we expected but and humans can't understand exponentials what do you think
the next year looks like and what are the opportunity cost if you don't move so let's
Let's break this down by what people care about each day.
So number one, their job.
I'll leave health aside for a second because I don't think that has to do with this unless you want to go use it.
But for your job, I don't think you have any more time.
I think every company now realizes that they have to use AI agents and they can, they can, the law firm can pay for that.
maybe let's assume they had a certain amount of cash in the partnership and the
partner sat around and I don't know what happened but I'm just saying if I was at
the place this is what I do I'd sit around we go how much money do we have to buy
all these GPs and set this up if we make an investment based on the cash that we
have plus what's coming over the next year what is that going to do from a
KAPX perspective and since it's not a public company they don't have
share it's their partnership they have to make the decision so they go this is a
good investment
How are we going to pay for it?
You don't think they're going to pay for it with human beings?
Like literally, the compensation they have, and maybe it's not from firing people, but maybe
it's not hiring people over the next five years because they won't need them.
Maybe it's a combination of both.
You have to understand that with agents comes competition for human employees.
So if you don't want to be one of the people that's let go, if you want to empower yourself
to go build your own business to compete with that firm,
because you don't have the issue they have,
you can actually just use the public thing
and grow your business and be a lawyer.
You have your law degree, just go be a lawyer
and serve me, Jordy.
I always need a lawyer to help me with my business.
Empower yourself to feel that you can be an entrepreneur
and you can compete with them before they get rid of you.
And the way to do that is to use it.
So I think within the next year,
if you haven't done the usage side, the agency side,
the empowerment side, I think you're in trouble.
From the investment side and the financial side, which is the other thing I try to focus on,
you have to understand that if you're worried about AI, you're probably also one of the ones not using it.
There's a high correlation between I'm worried about this being a bubble.
It's going to hurt my investment portfolio, and I'm not using it because I don't believe in it.
That is the denial that people have.
And I think on the investment side, you're losing money every day.
The stock market, not investing in it, I don't know what you're doing with your money.
you think it's a bubble you're reducing it you've got it safe you can make more money
investing in the things that represent what it's going to look like the infrastructure build out
is going to continue we need compute it's the reason why like i focus people on that side
crypto do your homework now on crypto i view this as the beginning of an epic move in crypto
because the guardrails are valued at zero and i hate to say that to everyone but the people supplying
the guardrails are valued at zero. And the reason I know that is because if you take Ethereum
and Bitcoin out of the crypto market cap, you're not left with a lot. It's less than Micron. It's
less like that is the infrastructure side. Now, I do believe that Ethereum fits the ecosystem,
but not in this speculative phase where we need the apps being built on top of Ethereum.
And so all of these layer twos, the sum of them is going to go up in value because the velocity
and the GDP, the velocity and the volume of transactions is going to go
through the roof. So if everything that I just said on the work side, you don't use it,
you're in trouble. On the investment side, if you don't understand or believe in crypto at this
point, so you don't believe in AI or crypto. That's a very dangerous place to be, folks.
And a lot of people are in that position. Yeah. Most are. That's the scary thing. Most are.
Yeah. And it's, so let's walk through how the order of operations of how you see
this agentic economy getting imbued with agency to a,
higher degree with digital money and smart contracts, whatever it may be.
Because that's one thing I've been asking myself.
Because you mentioned crypto and you have a bunch of different tokens and each of
them have a market cap. And will that's the question. Will stable coins went out. I've
fallen the Bitcoin or camp. So I'm a believer that at the end of the day, if you're an
agent or human, you're going to want the most saleable
currency with the biggest market cap with the the best money in the digital economy so i think
that's bitcoin to your point about l2s uh and things like that it's pretty clear out of the
gates stable coins are winning the the agentic commerce stuff in the in the very early days but i
wonder again going back to what i was saying earlier do agents prefer bitcoin um and does the
bitcoin stack have the necessary infrastructure to facilitate everything that
agents are going to want to do particularly on the payment side there's no way so and again
I I'm I'm a I have a very unique position on this this is why I love watching the
fight between the bitcoins and the programmables and I want them to try to bucket
me because I may in the long run a Bitcoin maxi but the path to that point
and what I mean by that is in the end there is
only one thing left that I can say with certainty will not be have their growth disrupted.
So at the end of the day, all tokens going up in value, anything you can buy as an individual
investor is about growth, everything. There are a lot of assumptions that come with growth.
One of them is, I mean, the main one is, how quickly will competition come in to destroy my
growth in a world where AI allows things to be instantly replicated that time goes to
zero so if you agree with me that any innovation has a lifespan that is far shorter
than it used to be so but jev you're you're in a very difficult position because
the innovator's dilemma is okay I want to create something is a great idea let me create
it let me hope that there's not 8,000 other people doing the same idea at the same
time because we all know that there's not a lot of growth. It's all about competition.
And my belief is that with billions of entrepreneurs and trillions of agents all working together
over the course of the next decade, that we will get to creative destruction, Joseph Schumperter
style that is instantaneous. So at the end of the day, things will grow. But who wins in that
case? The entrepreneur wins. If they create something and they have a community and that token goes
from 100 to 1,000, then it's still 1,000 for the rest of it.
time. It's kind of like Ford stock. So if everything hits that point, why did Ford stock
stop growing because of competition eventually? There was a better way to make cars as we found out
from Tesla and other things. So if you go from 10 to 1,000 and it takes one year, but it never
grows again. Who wins? Only the entrepreneur in the community. That's it. And again, that's
all that happened for that period of time. But then it stops growing and then what does everyone go?
well I gotta go find something else to invest in and this just keeps happening and
happening and happening Bitcoin to me is the place when that investment stops
growing and you have to go find the next investment money goes there if you've
invested in something you're worried because it could go down in value too they
might everyone might leave and then all of a sudden it goes down where does your money
go where your money goes to something safer that's what happens in the S&P 500
people invest in companies all people do but if you ask them where most of their
money is it's not 90% is in Tesla unless they work for the company and they don't have a choice
and they're owning this. Most of their value is in moving it into a combination of 60, 40 and all
these different things. Well, that is Bitcoin to me. A store of value is the diversification you
have in your life. It's your real estate. It's your bonds. It's your stocks. It's your private
credits. All these things that the wealth managers put into. A decade from now, Bitcoin will be
the only thing left. So that's the first thing I want to say is I do believe in that. In terms of the
the L2s, I'm focused on two things right now.
And I'll give two companies that are straddling the, the, the, the Tradfai world and the
crypto world, so that everyone can just take these two companies and do the research.
Stripe and Robin Hood, those are the two that matter.
Stripe from a stable coin basis.
They're a transaction-based company.
If you go through their stack of companies that they've invested in, starting with Bridge,
and going through to the end now with open.
router. Pretty straightforward. Like they're set up for the agenic side. They're set up for the stable
coin side. And this was a company that honestly was not a believer in crypto when you really go back.
They didn't have a focus on it until the bridge M&A deal. And I think that closed in February of
2025. I think we heard about it in October of 2024. That's a big admission that stable coins
are going to be a big part of the transition side. And they're a company that's straddling both worlds.
In the premium, they paid for it.
They valued bridge of what, a billion dollars on 10 million of revenue?
Yep.
So you had to imagine internally they had an aha moment.
Okay, we're going to overpay for this.
On both sides.
The bridge, I mean, to have a deal that comes that high, bridge had no revenues.
I think the company had been around for less than two years.
So when you go through the details of it and you're like, they negotiated a great deal because they believed in it.
Stripe believed in it.
You end up with OpenRouter at this point.
Like, why is Stripe getting involved in the open router?
Why were they trying to buy PayPal?
Like, think about all the things.
They're going through the entire stack of how stable coins fit into this.
And that's the agenic side.
So that's one side.
And then the Robin Hood side is tokenization.
And tokenization is huge.
It has huge implications.
There is nothing more important to Bitcoin and to the programmables.
So the Bitcoiners and the programmables need to just understand.
tokenization is the key thing because tokenization unleashes the nine hundred trillion dollars in two ways
i wrote a paper this week you you will not have seen it but this weekend i'll i'll go through it um
it's really call out to economists so for everyone who thinks they know how economics run if i
said to everyone and this is 99.99 percent of people on the planet this is my own unique i've never
seen this written anywhere this is a new thing um how do we stop assets from falling we know the fiat
system is a ponzi scheme we know it's levered we know there's about a hundred and twenty
trillion of physical hard currency in the world that supports 900 trillion in assets that is a
levered ponzi scheme okay meaning if all of a sudden the 900 trillion tries to come and get liquid
so they go to sell in their money to pay off debts whatever it is and we have a version of the great
or a mini version of the great financial crisis or even COVID,
then all the assets fall and what do the central banks have to do?
They have to come in and print money.
And what is money?
Well, that's them too.
Why do they have to do that?
They have to reliquify.
So whenever I hear people in crypto talk about the liquidity cycle,
I'm always saying they're going,
when am I going to get my chance to explain to them that that is a myth?
That is when you're in the speculative phase of crypto.
So for everyone out there, it's like it's a liquidity cycle,
of which almost every bit coiner is and almost every person out there,
person out there we need this we need the ism to go we need all these things to
happen the reality is for me we're about to unleash the 900 trillion in liquid
form that's what tokenization is what happens to M2 the Ponzi scheme then ends
because now you have 900 trillion dollars of assets that can theoretically
buy a coffee so nobody needs to sell during these little mini panics because
they already have cash the reason they were selling their assets is because they
needed cash. Well, now they can post that money or transact that money into whatever debt they
have. The world changes overnight because tokenization increases the M2 in a very different
form. Now is it as liquid as Bitcoin? No. But can you transfer at some price, a house
instantaneously into this? Yeah, pretty close. I know this. It's not going to take a lot of time.
So that's where the tokenization side has a huge impact. So what Vlad and Robin Hood
and others, but Vlad in particular, with the Robin Hood chain, this is all preparation for what's
going to happen with tokenization.
So those are L2s, which again, increased the $900 trillion to come into Bitcoin.
It wasn't going to happen without the programmables.
So for every bitcoiner who thought eventually these incumbents, as Michael Saylor said,
which I agree with, you don't find Bitcoin, Bitcoin finds you.
If you're wealthy, you don't need Bitcoin.
and you don't need to believe in it.
And so that money needs to come over to drive it to a million dollars.
Sorry everyone, but that's what needs to happen.
That's what happened with gold.
Whenever there's a panic, people move into gold to hide their money.
They need to believe their fiat assets are not going to work,
but that group already believes in gold.
You need them to believe in this.
And this whole, we're going to give the money to our kids and they're going to do a thing.
That's going to take too long, especially in the world I believe in where nobody dies.
You don't want that to be the thing.
You actually want the money to move over there because of greed.
And that means that the fiat assets become liquid.
And everyone goes, hey, wait, this private credit fund I have that I can't get out of.
It's now liquid.
It's just at a 20% discount.
Do you know how many people would sign up right now to get their money back in private credit?
How many retail people would want their money back and say, I'm never doing this again.
Give it to me.
That's what's going to happen with tokenization.
Yeah.
You're just running the calculus.
Okay, if I take a 20% haircut and put it in Bitcoin, is Bitcoin going to go up?
Exactly.
Yeah.
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I was for a while, like a real world tech asset tokenization bear, never really made sense to me.
But then you think of stocks and how that's all settled through the DTCC.
And it's like, okay, the guardrails.
of these digital assets make a lot more sense for this.
It makes it way more efficient.
And as we're going through this discussion,
the one question I have, whether it's
the Schumpter's creative destruction happening instantaneously
or the ability to get liquidity for all.
Before you get off of that, I just wanna make sure
that people, since you didn't see how RWA's
would work in this, I just want you to use
the house example. Do you own a house? Yes. Okay. So when you buy a house, that process is painful and it's
long. Once you have it, if your house goes up and doubles in value over the next six months,
and you have tremendous equity, which is where most of the country, people right now are trapped in
their homes, they're trapped. Why are they trapped? Because they don't want to have to reset their
mortgage at higher levels. I don't understand how people don't realize that the speed of buying a
house or selling a house. If you want to sell that house, what better way to sell it than to open
it up to all 8 billion people on the planet to buy it? Like, I don't, that's there. Why wouldn't you
want to sell a house and have it sold in a matter of minutes as opposed to the process that goes on?
If people don't believe a house can sell in a minute, once our digital agents are there and AI agents do
all of the paperwork and everything there and they have all the background check and you're
identified based on your credit and your collateral and it's all liquid it's all on chain
everything goes immediate so that might take another decade whatever the case is but when you're
investing in something and i'll use the stupid comment that jason calcanus made on you know dead cat
bounce and bitcoin and this will net i i literally can't believe that people don't realize that by the time
you invest in something that is obvious the value has gone up
50 times. You can only invest in things when they're not obvious. What I'm talking about right now
to someone who believes in crypto but didn't see the value that tokenization RAs would RWAs would
bring, if one person does it and says, I sold my house in a matter of minutes, far higher price than you
did. I had eight billion bids on it. That will change everyone doing it. So again, it'll speed it up
because money makes people do things cost reduction makes people do things but being
trapped in your house with that owner's equity right now not able to get out everyone
would sign up for RWA's right now and so in that example somebody has to live in
the house but when you say that you're basically just selling an equity portion or
we're getting a heat lock essentially yeah if you want to still be in there you're
able to get cash for it by just right and it goes further than that if you're a small
business that is in a and I have a friend who's in this situation so
So he has a business. He bought in on Long Island. Are you from? No, you're not from Long Island.
From Philly. Yeah.
It's right. Sorry. I know you're in Philly. I know it was a hard night. No, no, no. I'm a
Jets fan. It was a hard night on Sunday. It's been a hard life. But I'm done next one. So I don't
really care. Sixers will get there at some point. This will be the most disappointing year ever.
You have everything coming in. So this will be a very disappointing year. So let's go back
to the equation. My friend owns a beverage business that he bought a long time ago.
I don't know if you've heard, but kids don't drink beer.
He's not allowed to sell liquor.
It's like a horrible situation.
We were just talking about it.
So let's assume his business is bringing in very little cash, but at the same time, he has
a value of real estate that's worth $5 million.
So his revenues have gone down and he's trying to make payments because he has a belief that
the business is going to grow again and he's going to be able to sell something else because
he has a license that starts in a year, but he doesn't have the money to keep going.
So either has to go out and borrow money and the banks are going to be like, well, you don't
have any revenues coming yet.
Like they're really down.
We can't invest in this business.
Or he could just quickly go in and go, I just need money for the next six months.
So I want to sell off a piece of the business.
Token, you know, I want to sell off a piece of it.
He can come back and buy it in six months until the revenue comes in.
So everything happens in a different form.
And again, when you want to go borrow the money, you have to leave your business.
You have to go out, go to the banks.
You have to go sell them on this.
You have to prepare all these documents.
You have to go to seven different banks.
This is all done via crypto.
So to me, because it's programmable
and because agents can do all the work,
that's where it becomes a line.
Without crypto, agents can't replace that function.
That's the part that becomes important
in this whole thing.
Without agents, the human couldn't use the crypto.
You couldn't coordinate.
Exactly.
So agents change the whole mechanism.
Yeah.
No, I'm thinking of just pure basic.
Bitcoin collateralized loans is the, like the nation example of this.
Like the ability for me to get a strike post-Bitcoin, get cash,
get to my bank account within literally minutes.
Exactly.
Incredibly valuable.
Yeah.
And that's the way to be is everything becomes liquid and you go through.
Some things will be more liquid than other things.
In the case of the real estate, maybe it takes a day to go through this.
But that's better than 60 days.
It's better than having a vig on it to where you got to pay all this stuff.
There's a whole bunch of different ways where you're monetizing something that's already
worked out and then you have the agents construct the strategy for the best what like yeah that's the
leverage and payback period look at your like all right here's the best solution for you considering your
current state the the analogy for everyone to recognize is uber can't work without the smartphone
uber can't work without the app store you can't carry a laptop around and be doing like you needed
to have the phone agents are
the use case for connecting to humans. So the problem is people don't think of agents the same
way they think of apps. That's why this concept of L2s is very similar to the taxi side.
Like there were already taxis, why do we need Uber? And the question is everyone should ask,
why do we need Uber? Well, initially it was cheaper, significantly cheaper. Eventually they merged
together and the cost of Uber went up. Okay, why did the cost go up? What happened? Was it
was it regulation, was it the business, whatever the case was, the agents are the facing side
between the humans and the end transactions that go on.
So whether it's stable coins or whether it's tokenization, they need agents to be able to
do this because humans were never going to be able to get in wallets.
That's the thing I think everyone in crypto underestimated, which I still say publicly is an
issue that can only be solved by agents.
It's not easy to set up all these wallets.
It's not easy to go in there and just create them.
And I guess the side that's good is I'd rather it be difficult because it also means there's
a lot of guardrails that are in there to protect privacy and to make it difficult for
hackings.
And the more hackings that happen, which are happening a lot more, I think you start pricing out
the weaker wallets and the agents know not to go to them.
So then the agents end up at the better ones.
You have to understand, like the agents are the ones that reduce the hackings and reduce the vulnerabilities
by knowing which ones have already done.
And when they start making the decision, you start having less problems too.
Yeah, there was a bit devs developer meeting here, meet up here last night.
That was obviously in Bitcoin.
I think Bitcoin is the ecosystem has been the first target of AI initiated hackings.
And they talk a lot about it?
Yeah.
I mean, it's been, because you had Rob Hamilton from Anchor Watch who basically with a group of other developers
when the cold card wallet had an entropy bug that was being exploited by AI AI
AI tax they said okay if this is happening to cold card which many people thought
myself included was the gold standard of Bitcoin hardware wallets is who else
can this happen so they basically set up a created a harness to go inspect the
code of every Bitcoin project that they could find a GitHub for and found
hundreds of of vulnerabilities within
within days and responsibly disclosed to many of the projects that were patched.
Point being is we're still at the early stage where humans are fallible.
Humans, we're finding out in Bitcoin because Bitcoin is the first easy target because it's
bare asset if you get it.
It's hard to get back.
And we're hardening the Bitcoin ecosystem right now because of that.
And many projects did get hacked over the last six weeks, but many others found critical
vulnerabilities first.
patch them and the system overall has been more robust.
We're in this window where the pain is extremely,
extremely hard, extremely painful.
But I think a year from now, the ecosystem will be more
robust and secure than it ever has been because of this.
And it's funny.
Agents are doing the work of inspecting the codebases,
presenting patches and helping to secure all this.
But going back to
rate of destruction you're gonna have incredible liquidity you can happen to a
market of 8 billion people to sell assets whenever how do you have stability in
this world like what does stability look like when all this is going on is the way
you describe i'm like all right it sounds awesome but it also seems discombobulating um
i think this is the human tendency um if i asked you when's the last time things were stable
You know when they were for everyone?
It was when you were a kid.
And it's because you didn't know any better.
You have more to lose when you get older.
You are getting closer to death.
Psychologically, you're on a journey and you have kids
or you're thinking about having kids.
And as someone who has four, I can just tell you
when my first child was born,
I went from feeling indestructible.
like I I don't care about death.
Like I'm not frightened by dying when I die.
Hopefully I've lived a good life.
I can only control what I can.
And so I try to be in shape.
I try to eat well.
I try to work out.
I try to surround myself with people who bring me joy,
all these different things that I've learned over life.
But when you have that first child,
you're vulnerable because now your job is to protect that child.
And it's an instinct that has clearly been handed down biologically to where,
and I remember feeling it.
Like I drove home from the child.
the hospital and all of a sudden now as someone who never worried about driving I was like
someone gonna hit me I got on a plane I was worried about the plane crashing like these
instincts start to hit you so I think it's normal for people to question how
change is gonna not be disruptive and I don't think humans can possibly be in a world
where they all agree I do believe that when you watch Star Trek and these sci-fi
things the number one take out of the future is that we're still fighting wars and we're still
battling for things. We're just changing on this. I think that's an animal instinct that goes on in
every single place and people do it for reasons that we can't have. So it's never going to be
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Yeah, the pace of the volatility seems be increasing.
And bringing this back to the beginning of the conversation, we were mentioning the slowdown.
That's one thing I forgot to bring up.
But the administration and everything we've talked about really is somewhat dependent on
at least for Americans for the US government to be be on board with this and it seems like the Trump
administration is on board not only with the AI stuff but crypto as well clarity act failed but
the SEC the CFC the OCC are rulemaking anyway they're not waiting for a bill and then on the
slowdown news everybody was worried like oh gosh we're gonna stop this and then trump comes out with the
post like no we're not selling that slowing not actually accelerate lean in stopping a pansy
and I think love them or hate them,
I think at this particular juncture for U.S. history,
it's important that this administration has this purview
and they're enabling this.
How important do you think that is?
I think it's important, but I don't think,
I think the voters voted for this.
I think crypto was a major part of his win.
I don't think it gets brought up enough
as to the impact it had on the election, but it did.
I mean, the numbers are there, the stats are there.
Crypto packs that put money into elections had a huge success.
And so I think by bringing in a Treasury Secretary who quotes Satoshian, who's pro-Bitcoin,
to bring in a Fed chair who's pro-Bitcoin, I think when you go throughout the administration,
he tried to bring on people that were pro-this.
Whatever his rationale behind it is, I didn't get the impression that he had a vision for it.
He just knew that the people wanted it.
He did have a belief in the distribution of wealth as a major issue in the country and bringing back manufacturing.
Now, if you think about what's happening, that is what's happening, meaning we do have a lot of jobs being created in the construction side.
The middle part of the country is benefiting from the data centers and from the gas and from all of it.
the things that go on. I'm a big believer that entrepreneurs are going to have a huge impact.
If I could be long something right now, which doesn't exist, I want to be long the 200 million
entrepreneurs that are happening and coming in the country. I want an index of that. I don't want
the S&P 500. I want this AI native world of entrepreneurs. I don't want the Russell 2000.
I don't want any of that stuff. I don't want public companies. I actually believe that the growth
is coming. Now, where do I play that? I play that through crypto and I play it through AI.
So those are the ways that I play that situation right now.
So rather than get into whether the administration got lucky, whether they made the, whether the voters did it, I think the reality is that it's happening.
And they've, by speeding up the AI side, by making it more tax efficient for the hyperscalers to take out the debt and be able to depreciate over a longer time period was a huge thing.
It accelerated AI development.
Crypto is directly connected to when we got the AI development.
Leopold wrote in situational awareness, which came out after, no, it came out before Trump was elected.
So it came out during the election period and only a couple months.
I think it came out June of 24.
Trump spoke at the Bitcoin event in, was it Nashville in July?
So it was before that.
If you go back and look at that point, Leopold thought we would hit the point we're at now sometime in 2027.
The fact that we hit it in 2026 to me is a direct correlation with the administration saying that AI is a focus, reducing the timeline on things, and basically giving people the rules that for the next four years, you can run as fast as you want on AI and you have my blessing.
For the crypto crew, it's the same thing.
The Genius Act was critical.
As much as clarity is important, like you said, you can kind of get around that, which they've gotten.
And then once it's going, tokenization and stable coins and everything accelerating, which is going to,
be accelerated by the agents by the time we get to the next election it'll again be a focal point and
no one's going to want it to go backwards if it's reducing the cost of people to live their lives and
I think that's what's going to happen one more thing that fits in with it so when we get back to the
stability side it kind of directly comes back to the polarizing situation of of politics like I said
there's a polarizing situation with inside crypto the bitcoins and the programmables and I wish everyone
could all get along together but for some reason I go on bitcoin podcast and
And well, we don't really say crypto or we don't get involved.
I'm like, I don't understand this whole thing.
I'm new to the party, guys.
I'm looking at this as everyone's going to win.
This fits back into the question of stability.
If I said to you, you're going to have chaos that's been just like the last 50 years.
It won't be World War II and it won't be the Great Depression.
But what you've gone through the last 30 years is going to continue, that chaos that you describe it as.
But here's the benefit that comes with you signing up for that.
you're going to live for another 300 years.
If that's what happens,
isn't that kind of the quid pro quo of like,
you gotta give up something, you're gonna get something.
I think when people look at what the administration
has been able to do, I think you have to put
in the context of if you believe AI is going to solve lots of problems
and be dangerous at the same time and create lots of chaos,
if the end result is living a lot longer,
a healthier life, being able to see your kids grow up,
that's a pretty good you know sign on the dotted line with the devil as to the outcome that's
good you think we're going to love to be 300 i i'm marty you can go back and read writings from me
for a long time um do i believe in the exponential innovation and the solution of people not aging
absolutely it's a math problem um so do i think 300 150 whatever the case is it's hard for people
to imagine but if i would have told you that we'd have smartphones in our hands
25 years ago doing this stuff that are doing if I told you that we'd be solving math
problems that Einstein couldn't solve and then have been around for 150 to 175
years in a matter of 88 hours do I think we're gonna solve the world's greatest
science problems yeah what is the difference between saying we're gonna have people
living on Mars and living to 300 like what's the where does it get too crazy so
yes I do the wild world where are the bottlenecks so obviously compute we think
compute usage it already is going up exponentially we're only on the cusp muse just
dropped I think that's gonna have massive yeah it's gonna lead to a massive growth
and demand for for these tokens is that the biggest bottleneck right now biggest
bottleneck is humans you said it like everyone's worried the politics are making it a
major issue like the data centers can't be happening because they make up
stuff about them and don't actually provide people with the right facts
because the Chinese, the Russians, the Iranians,
and anyone that's at either war or in competition with us
wants our politics to be polarizing
can just put something, you know,
can take the anthropic guy that worked there for six weeks
and get them 170 million views on X,
which is clearly part politics, part geopolitics,
in terms of the ability of making this viral.
Humans are the biggest friction, and physics are number two.
But they go hand in hand.
And so this is going to, in a good way, this will have it go somewhat slower because I think the humans are doing the right thing with the pause and AI.
Not that they're pausing the development, but the pause in releasing them.
And I think one thing everyone should think about, and this is important for fiat assets in general, meaning for stocks.
Alex Karp was on CNBC last week.
And he talked about the fact it's just a matter of time within the next year that Open AI is nationalized.
Now, I've said this publicly too, where not specifically them, but I've said to investors and I've said it in writings that it's like, where is the line between something that's so powerful that it could take down the entire system, which is what these guys wrote about, which they believe.
If you take the internet down, we're all in trouble.
and they were saying that this is possible.
Like, not just possible.
Like, it is possible.
It was happening with some of their things.
Not that it was taking it down,
but it was creating these little places
that you don't know they exist.
So I want people to think about,
like, when you get a virus in your body,
you don't find out until the symptoms start showing up.
Like, it's in there.
Like, you could be sick now.
You don't know.
Eventually, your body starts showing the thing.
That swarm outcome of hugging face,
that was a symptom.
That was a, hey, we got to take some medicine for this.
So the pause is related to it.
So I do think what Alex Karp said is a very real possibility.
And the problem is if the most important public company in the world can be privatized,
again, this is very powerful for entrepreneurs.
It's very powerful for crypto.
It is very negative for public companies, in my opinion, to have that kind of situation.
because then the question is where's the line for anyone they've been investing in intel
they mean once it gets to the point that it's that powerful it's a military weapon i don't know where
they don't get too involved in things so i think that was an important statement yeah yeah the stakes
are so high i'm just thinking because then because the next topic i wanted to bring up is robotics
and i'm just thinking like okay like we're worried about uh stuff happening these these swarms
uh getting getting into the digital world with robotics it's
a whole other thing is that enters the physical and it's yeah and yeah and you talk because i wanted
to bring up robotics in terms of like token consumption and the opportunity that exists there and how
how much is that going to balloon the the usage of of these GPUs and then you i know i'm scatterbrain
but like bringing back open router like what does the market for these tokens even look like uh
at the end of the day is the way that we're going and buying two hundred dollar a month subscriptions
at all these different model providers will we look back at that and like it's completely antiquated
like in the future will we even know what models we're using or they'll just be open router like
companies that that emerge and do all that for you it's very hard um so first on the progression of
compute needs for everything and and now we're talking about the edge so currently we're
doing everything token wise in the cloud on-prem is starting so when you start getting into the
law firms you start getting into into Eli Lilly well they're building their own
compute providers that way think of this is the only analogy I can come up with
is when we went from an agrarian economy to an industrial economy and John
Gray included this kind of visual back in in the presentation I mentioned that's
that's on YouTube and that was in 1870 to 1900 so if you go back to the days of
when like when we were truly agrarian
we built crops you know we we raised crops to feed our community and that's what we
did now there were little jobs there were blacksmiths there were stuff like that
but eventually you get into industrialization and you get urbanization and you speed up
this whole process when I would travel to China and I saw the ghost cities
that was urbanization they were still an agrarian economy that was now trying to get
everyone to go to the city because when you go to the city then you have more economic
growth and people get wealthier and all these things and so I witnessed this whole
thing happened in China I watched them build eight-lane highways
when you're like there's no cars everybody's in a rickshaw they were building for the future and how fast they were going to invest in this so with compute the only analogy i can give is that when you go from the agrarian to the industrial what ended up happening we saw an explosion in people people on the on the planet so you go from we're feeding our community all the food we need is here now we're going to the cities we're exploding the population when i say exploding it we're going from less than a billion people to where we are today
an extra seven billion seven times and we're shrinking farming so if everyone's leaving being a
farmer and now they're going to work in the cities how the hell do we feed everyone those people
need food everybody so what do a i agents and humanoids need they need food and their food is
compute so we're at the very early stages and if you go back to the agrarian example
there's less than a billion agents there's less like we're at the very early stage so whenever
people tell me we're going to be oversupplied and compute i'm like you don't know what you're saying like
this didn't exist.
We have to feed now trillions of agents.
So every day enterprise agents come on, like I said.
Well, now we're gonna have the next phase,
which is consumer agents.
Then behind that, we have FSD.
We have humanoid.
Well, that's the same as the other agents.
No, that brings vision in.
Like, they need to work in the world.
So adding vision into the compute needs for a car
to make decisions on the fly.
for a humanoid to see that grandma needs her medicine
and it needs vision and it needs to understand
and learn as it goes through it.
So you're talking about compute needs
that are far greater than what humans can comprehend.
And these are facts as to what's coming.
The humanoids are not a distant thing,
like they're here today.
The FSD is here today.
So whenever I just kind of think of people,
I'm like, we're only in the first inning
of the compute needs.
So to your point, the humanoids and the robotics
have a huge impact on the compute needs,
which is why the investment side
for the memory names for the semiconductors all that why I have my under name
portfolio it's like guys this isn't over we're just at the next stage and consumer
agents are starting now and that's why meta was up 13% on Monday because we're
like well this is the most outlanded app what do they do consumer agents wow we're
a consumer agent time what does that mean and now they're starting to look am d's up
intel's up oh my god we need more semis so yeah energy do we have enough energy
are we building it fast enough the infrastructure um so on the one side if
you assume static innovation we're in trouble if you assume innovation we have plenty and
let me let me before people go he's wrong go through it no we have plenty of
power inside the United States for all of the compute I just said at least for
the next three years assuming it doesn't go parabolic probably the next five
where's it going to come from magically the grid the grid's old we don't have
enough yes we do we just can't use it efficiently we have double
the amount of capacity because we can't run it at full and if people don't know that
they should go look it up so you have to think of novel solutions and what
AI could bring because that's the thing people underestimate is when you're in
an exponential innovation they extrapolate linearly out it's like no no no along
the way we're gonna solve problems where does Navier Stokes fit in that whole
thing fluid dynamics okay well that has an impact on gas turbines as an impact on
boats on planes also has an impact on batteries you know how important batteries are to the
grid if right today we could have a bunch of batteries we could plug everyone into the grid not have
a problem one of the reasons why bitcoin miners have become more attractive in certain states like
texas because they're like wait a second so you guys can use the grid when no one else is using
the grid but then you can turn it off because when the power goes up it's a bad arbitrage for you
you guys you guys are actually like a a synthetic like group that's good for the the grid yep
they are so that's one of the reasons why bitcoin miners have become more of an interesting part of
this and then again how crypto is connected to AI in various ways here's the other place
when you're in this situation if you take the batteries and you connect to the grid and you
store all that power then you can throttle you can just run it all the time and fill it up
and then if we ever need that point because there's a weather of
or something that drives the demand up
because the temperatures go up to 150 in Texas
and everyone's sitting there and they got their air conditioner
running all the day and you're okay the grid's gonna go down
oh no we'll just use the battery that we have stored for the next year
now to have that just like you had to do with Tesla
when they created the cars and the batteries there was no novel
solution but we went from people doubting an electric car
to where we are today when they first came out I think there was 20 miles of
distance or something like that go back and read the original roadster thing
thing and how far you could go. But the reason it was not a viable solution is because you
couldn't drive it that far. You could drive it around the corner showed off and then you had to come
back and plug in again. And the plugging in took a long period of time because there were no chargers.
Now fast forward, the car gets 400 miles of range. The chargers are everywhere. So I don't
think people are thinking enough about how batteries are a solution to the energy problem.
And now I have full confidence, full confidence that between that, the innovations that have already
happened this year to allow us to build things behind the meter which was not a thing before
colossus all of these innovations are coming my friend yeah that's uh it's funny how the bitcoin
mining industry i've been in it for eight years now and we went through discovering all this
and now watching the world wake up to what we've been beating the the table over for for probably
six years since the uh right before the chinese mining ban particularly
with demand response. It's like, yes, we've been telling you. And behind the meter, even.
That's what, uh, I was in oil fields in North Dakota. I wasn't personally, but I, the company
that, uh, that, I worked for from 2018 to 2021, we did flare gas mining. So we'd bring generators
on a well pad, take the gas scrub it, put it through a generator, mine Bitcoin with it. And
there's a ton and it's been interesting too. This is talking about the convergence of crypto and
AI, Bitcoin, AI, it happens in somebody we were talking about energy, we're talking about agents.
But the people even, open router was founded by the open, the open C team, which was the NFE platform.
And their head of strategy was an ex-marathon guy.
And I'm going to record next with somebody from news research. He came from Foundry.
And like there's this, and I think we've discussed this before, but in my life, the early adopters
of AI have typically been people in the Bitcoin industry that are that are there's there's
something with the psyche of people that have been in this industry and I think the fact that
they're in it is a tell that they're early adopters and that's that's the thing I don't think
many people appreciate is like a lot of the companies that are coming up in AI have people that
came from this industry and to your point about these these convergences are happening at every
layer like even the people layer
And vice versa, too.
I'm guessing you've never heard of Ali Yaya.
No.
Okay.
So Ali Yaya is one of the original partners of A16Z.
He is part of the crypto group.
So he's been at the place a long time.
And I ran into him and I'm going to be, I just did a video for my subscribers titled Crypto, Why Now?
And this was my way of kind of saying to people who are part of my.
AI subscribers, but this is also for crypto people because like I've listened to you for a while,
like as I've kind of consumed knowledge to understand crypto more, I have to go back to the people
that have been creating content for a long time because as I believe and as you know, when you
interview smart people, you consume a lot of that information. There's things I said today that you have
connected for you. There's things you've asked me that have connected for me. Aliya,
went to Stanford. He worked in Google X out of school, and then he worked for Google Brain.
He's an AI and cryptography expert. He decided to go to A16Z because his story is that he was
trying to convince the Google X guys to invest in crypto. It's a great story of someone I'd never heard of,
but I'm using him in my video and I used him in the video for Y now for people to go learn.
because I'm like, you should go listen to this guy talk about it.
So the videos I'm showing are recent interviews with him in May.
They raised another fund at A16Z, which I think is really important for people on the crypto side.
This was in the depths of the bare market.
So this is when Bitcoin had been down for six months or seven months since October 10th.
And they're talking about taking in $2.2 billion for it.
And the whole rationale with Chris Dixon, who you probably,
have heard of so all yaya is the person that nobody seems to I didn't know my new
Chris Dixon for a long time allie yaya is the person I care the most about
because he understands the value of the agentic side he talks about privacy he's the
one that got me so focused on Zcash and I started to understand from a business
fiduciary who's raised money who now understands oh my gosh I think Zcash should
be up massively over the next year if my view of the value of private
my view of the value of trust.
These are all things that I'm realizing
crypto's gonna be valued off of.
It's gonna be off privacy, it's gonna be off trust,
it's gonna be off speed.
These are metrics that don't fit in the Fiat system.
You can't do that with stocks, but there's value for it.
That's why the multiple is going down,
because on the flip side, I don't trust
you're gonna be here in the next five years
because terminal value's gone.
Like I could do this all day.
Your business is too slow, Visa.
You're not gonna be in business.
You better adapt.
Like everything is about those things that I mentioned, privacy, like Zcash, the ability to do things and not actually know who's under the side.
Should it be bigger than Bitcoin?
No.
Should it probably be 10% of the value of it?
Yeah, my guess is it probably should in the long run if I'm right about privacy.
Ali Yaya takes you through his vision of the world and how important agents are to it.
And it's very hard for me to find people that speak that way.
I have to go into the depths of someone who went to Stanford was in Google Brain and all of this.
So I think as you kind of connect all these dots and you start going through the way all this plays out,
the backward side of the power and the electricity side and how it connects back into this,
they're all related to AI and crypto being synergistically the thing that matters the most in the next decade.
Have you looked into e-cash at all?
I have not spent enough time on e-cash.
Looking to e-cash.
I will.
that's what I said, the double-blinded signatures.
I think that, if you're looking for like velocity,
I think e-cash is a much, much better suited than Zcash.
Right. I don't know what does e-cash L2s look like,
but e-cash is gives you that perfect privacy,
but the speed at which you can transact,
particularly for agents.
And I've given my agent an e-cash wallet.
And it's funny just watching it go.
Yeah.
I'm like, hey, go in L.M. Markets and Tray.
I just take, like, just,
with like going L in markets you can sign in using your lightning network address and then
use e-cash trade and send its money in with the cash we send it back convert it back to e-cash and
it's here's my issue um as people kind of think of this i think when so only reason i care about
zcash is because the privacy side what robin hood chain like everything for me started with
x ys blah blah blah blah so i have a change
that goes backwards. The mistake people are going to make is doing homework on these things like it matters.
Whether something goes from one to 100 or one to 200 and something else goes from one to 300 or one to
400 is complete waste of time. In the end, they're both going to peak and they're both going to stop
growing at some point. And once we get to the point where privacy is valued, maybe that prevents
them from getting combined or let's assume there's 10 of them.
I still believe in the end, in this perfect example, the value of privacy relative to Bitcoin
should be 10 to 15% just because that's what goes on in certain parts of the world where people
need the privacy. Most people don't. Most businesses don't, but some businesses like an asset
manager, they can't have their clients out there. Like there's certain components where agent to agent
when they're talking, you don't want them to know who it is. So I just think for all of it,
Um, the, rather than get into who wins, who loses, that to me is a dangerous game,
especially at this part of the cycle.
I think this part of the cycle is like it was for semiconductors in the first quarter.
It didn't matter which one you bought.
They all went up five to ten times.
The pain now is which one do I buy.
And that's the knife fight.
And the knife fight is much harder than the, oh, we didn't even see this coming fight.
And the, we didn't see it coming is where we are in crypto in my mind.
You know what I've realized is, uh, I guess our fourth or fifth conversation about this one.
I think you might be the anti-Ed Zitron.
I think you two are on like polar apps that ends of the spectrum of your view on this whole thing.
And it's funny that he's very popular right now.
Talk about the wall of worry and people fearful of the circular financing and the fact that nothing's here.
Like it's, it blows my mind that somebody like him can get as popular.
I think is people want to confirm their priors.
but I think you're the,
you're the anti-Ed Zitron,
is how I would describe you.
First of all, I think there's a reason why
horror movies are very popular.
I think there's a reason why
it's a lot of things people like worry about.
Worrying has just gotten worse over time.
So, you know, what's that?
Bears get slaughtered, bulls make money?
No, like,
So I'm not, again, I think the fiat system is, is an old system that is not going to produce
the returns that people want.
I think crypto is a hedge to that.
I think AI is a hedge to it, but AI disrupts AI from an investment thing.
Like I don't think these are things that you can invest in based on valuation.
I think this is all about the speed.
It's all about speed.
That's just it.
And investing in speed is very different than friction.
And if you just take those two, like, I'm investing in speed.
I'm investing in friction.
And I said, well, which one is crypto, which one is Fiat?
You know what it is.
Friction is Fiat.
It's the intermediaries slowing things down as much as possible.
I want to invest in speed.
And you know what speed is?
Speed is about everyone benefiting.
So like when you say concentration and circular finance, of course there's circular finance.
That is called concentration.
seven companies control the world, literally.
So of course they're lending to each other.
That is called where we ended up in.
Now, if you had invested in that circular finance back in 2010, it didn't exist because we weren't concentrated.
We got to this point.
So should Nvidia be buying back stock or should they be investing in the companies that they are helping grow this whole thing?
Well, I mean, I think we've discussed this before, but like how much cash did these companies
have on their balance sheet in the 2010's early 2020s?
And to your point, they were all just buying back stock.
They weren't investing in the infrastructure.
So taking a positive view of this.
It's like, hey, they're actually taking that cash, taking risk with it, investing in infrastructure
that we're all going to use.
They were growing too fast and their cash buyback started to become a major part of the market,
let's say, 2014, 2015, because they were growing up.
so fast and we're getting so big.
This is one of the problems.
So when cash on the balance sheets
is far bigger today than it was in 2010.
And this is part of the issue when people talk about the debt.
I'm like, you guys can create any scary stat you want.
It's like picking a hitter.
Batter is seven of the last eight.
He's hot.
But of the last hundred, he's seven of the last hundred.
So he's only hot for sure.
amount of time. He's ice cold for this. You can play with statistics. Look how big the debt market,
whenever they show these charts, I know you've seen them on X, like hyperscaler debt. It was zero
before. Now it's big. So the image we get that's big is these big histogram poles. And before it was
nothing. There's two stories here. One is, how do companies get so big without taking debt
for the prior 10 years? Isn't that part of the story? Because the only
way these things look big is based on the fact that it was so small before they have cash so have you
put in how much cash they're making they were making tons of cash so i don't believe in any of this
stuff in terms of this the cash on the balance sheets of corporates when you add in the liquid because
we now have interest rate so cash was bigger back then or it was smaller but the growth hasn't been
that big but that's because you hold treasuries now because they're actually paying you interest
So when you combine them together and you take the net debt of the market in terms of the corporate debt or the gross debt and then you put in the amount of cash they have, you'd be shocked at how good the balance sheets are in the corporate sector.
That's why spreads are so like non-moving.
Why is CDS going up?
Because of that circular finance concentration risk.
You telling me you shouldn't be buying CDS on this and you don't think other hedge funds who are along the names, the equity names, shouldn't be.
buying CDS on these names because they're the one spending all the money. If for any reason
they can't spend the money, the whole AI trade goes down. So isn't this one way? Let me be long
the receivers and let them be instead of being short the equity because the equities at all time
highs, guys, if you didn't notice. Like I don't know debt problems that have ever been in the
world where the equities at the all time highs. It's the junior part of the stack. So if the debt is
an issue, shouldn't the equity be down first? That's what happened in every, that's what
happened with the banks. That's what happened with the oil stocks. But instead they're at the highest
level ever so for all of the spenders right now rather than short the equity just go
by the cd s in the event that something happens you'll make a lot of money on it you can
lever it up yeah it's always an incredible pleasure speaking with joria i appreciate you uh
taking time anything that we didn't touch on that uh we should make the audience aware of we covered a lot
yeah uh only thing i'll say is um for the last year i've spent all my time
focusing on launching something to help educate people on AI with eventually
crypto being part of it. Starting in, since you watched the stuff that I do in my
video, starting in June, I started telling people, okay, I'm gonna be launching a
crypto side. It's gonna happen in September, October. Now, I could have launched
something in July. Why did I say September October? For those who know me, I work
even in the summertime, even though I'm in Maine. This was solely about me timing.
things based on where I thought the agentic side would kick in. And I believed it would happen
later in the year. So I've been talking about consumer agents as the big trade for next year,
that crypto would be the big trade. Anyone who saw me speak in Fort Lauderdale or LA or any of the
places this year where I got on stage. And I said, the micron of next year is crypto. So when you're
looking for what's a 10 bag or a 13 bag or over the course of a year, it's going to be because
consumer agents start getting into needing the guardrails and will finally they're.
So the only thing I want people to realize, the reason I'm now watching the crypto part of it, which is on the site and for people who've already subscribed.
So they were always getting AI. Now they're getting crypto.
So they're getting two videos a week.
These will not be on YouTube, but they're also getting the research.
And I bring that up because if you're a person that doesn't feel like you understand and you can't get out of the worry,
if you don't understand crypto and if you watch last weeks, I compared it to learning cricket as an American baseball fan.
Like cricket is a very complicated game of which I'm not going to take the time.
But learning a new sport, it takes a lot of time.
You've got to see the nuances.
Crypto is going to be a very difficult learning curve for people.
Far more difficult than buying AMD, Intel, or Micron.
You know that language.
This is a new world.
And unfortunately, a lot of the crypto people are going to scare you.
A lot of the Tradfight people are going to scare you.
Jordy's job is to be here and keep you from being scared.
If you don't want to be scared, check out, Jordan.
As somebody who watches your videos and is a subscriber,
It's been incredible amount of value for me personally.
So thank you for doing it.
And thank you for joining us.
No problem.
Send me your thoughts on the video.
It's getting released Wednesday morning.
So why now in crypto?
I'll have to go manually buy a train ticket and then watch it on the train.
Agents aren't there yet.
Peace of love freaks.
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okay.
