TFTC: A Bitcoin Podcast - Rabbit Hole Recap #182: CBDCs are treasonous and prices are rising
Episode Date: January 13, 2022This week Marty and Matt: - inflation running rampant Marty Bent, - Argentina rolling 12-month inflation - Turks diving in - Legal defense fund - Strike in Argentina - Bill Miller is bullish ...- Kazakhstan update - electrs v0.9.4 - bluewallet v6.2.16 - mercury wallet v0.5.6 - tdex v1.2.2 - foundation passport v1.0.8 - hexa wallet v2.0.67 - samourai wallet v0.99.98b - fidelity bullishness - Rep Emmer no CBDC - ESG is a plague Shoutout to our sponsors: Cash App Unchained Capital Braiins HodlHodl Bitcoin 2022 - use the code TFTC for 10% off
Transcript
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welcome back to tales from the crypt it's your boy marty bet we're turning into a rap podcast
so we're just going to do beat we're just going to just try to create like unique beats and become
a producer of music we're tired of the bitcoin stuff just kidding matt and i just ripped our
abbott hole recap it is january 13th 2022 almost midway through january already
what's going on in the Bitcoin world
hope you guys enjoyed this rip
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you've had a dynamic where money's become freer than free
when you talk about a fed just gone nuts all all the central banks going nuts so it's all acting
like safe haven i believe that in a world where central bankers are tripping over themselves to
devalue their currency bitcoin wins in the world of fiat currencies bitcoin is the victor i mean
That's part of the bull case for Bitcoin.
If you're not paying attention, you probably should be.
Are we live yet?
I think we're live.
What is up, freaks?
It's your boy Marty Bent here.
How is there no way for us to tell on our side?
I was looking at restream here.
Well, car counted it down.
There is like a lag there.
The black background is fucking fire.
I did too.
The abyss, the abyss above us up here.
What is up, freaks?
We are back again. Rabbit Hole Recap, January 13th, 2022. First month of 2022. It's almost halfway done. We're here again to talk about Bitcoin. I was just telling Matt before we went live that I'm very excited. I think there's going to be a lot of lively discussion this week.
I'm feeling pretty jacked up considering a lot of the things that are going on as it pertains to the mining industry, particularly around the subcommittee that's being called in Congress that is questioning Bitcoin mining's validity considering its energy usage.
um there's a lot going on bitcoin legal defense funds a lot of software updates but first we got
to check in with matt matt you look like you're struggling over there you're gonna be able to
keep up i'm a i'm just a little bit hung over from uh amazing nash bitcoiner meetup last night
uh always love always love kicking it with bitcoiners in person offline with discussions
that are not recorded and broadcast after the fact um and then i told marty i spent like the
last i told marty and car spent the last hour and a half assembling my new desk um so we're getting
there slow and steady hey as long as you're getting there as long as you're making progress
one little bit at a time pun intended let's just jump right into let's jump let's jump right into
it we'll go to clark's dashboard the current price of bitcoin is 42 690 cuck bucks we are
block height 718,520 nice even block height there we had a difficulty adjustment between
right now and the last time recorded last thursday that happened i believe on saturday or sunday it
was an upward adjustment of 0.4 percent blocks were coming in nine minutes and 37 seconds on
average as of right now we are due to have another difficulty target in 1192 blocks which is estimated
according to Clark's dashboard to be January 21st, 2022.
So that would be next Friday.
If we stay at this pace,
it's going to be an upward adjustment of 3.9%.
It's because blocks are coming in at nine minutes
and 37 seconds on average.
Blah, blah, blah, blah, blah.
Whirlpool unspent capacity is, wow, above 4,400.
4,404.87, if I believe last.
week when we met it was 4 380 or wasn't the three thousands last week
or four thousand no it was 4 389 i can't read anything matt matt just admitted he can't read
freaks uh so no i still got my i have like a big screen i have a big monitor in a box sitting right
next to me and i have like the little laptop monitor like out of reach far away so i'm gonna
have to rely on you i can do the reading i can do the reading for for the freaks and for you out
there uh big week i think it's a big week i mean we still have this price consolidation
and like a mini pint's hilarious how it'll go down to 39 and people will be freaking out then
it pumps a little bit to like 42 43 people like oh we're going back up but uh it seems like
bitcoin as being very reflexive to and correlating very tightly with traditional markets we've had
jerome powell and crew the fed out and about um posture there's no way the fed's gonna raise
rates substantially i can't believe people actually believe that well that people don't
believe it that's the thing people do i mean the markets the markets show that people believe it i
mean it's not just bitcoin that dumped like all assets dumped stocks dumped yeah um significantly
right uh so like obviously it's not priced like it's being priced in as if as if rates are going
to go up uh and markets will crash as a result uh but that it just it just does not seem like
that's going to happen leading into midterms we have so much fucking debt on our balance sheet
like i just they're trapped in a fucking hole yeah well that's the whole end game that the
fed has arrived at they just have to play this public posturing game where they oh we're going
to raise we're going to raise we just uh we have to say that to make it seem like we're actively
trying to manage and keep um keep as far away from from the economy as possible but
what is inevitable due to the amount of money that's been printed and the amount of debt that's
been accrued is that they always need to keep rates low keep printing more money yeah for like
We're in it's a new paradigm. We're just going to, you know, the rates will be low and negative until hyper Bitcoinization happens.
You know what else is interesting, Marty? I had a friend text me yesterday and the last time he texted me was a year ago because he texted me through Signal.
the last time he messaged me on signal was a year ago uh super hyped about the bitcoin price passing
33k and i just think that's like crazy it's it's crazy looking back at you know how 33k felt a year
ago and now we're at whatever we're at 43k a year later and people are like the end is nigh bitcoin
is dead that is uh exactly what i wrote about in the bent and when i'm trying i'm looking it up now
i believe yeah it was the 10th so 13 12 like i would love to listen to rabbit hole recap this
a year ago today i wonder we need to start clipping old ones car i'm putting this in the
tftc chat like caps odell was about to come out everyone's so bullish
caps what a difference a year makes um i don't know why this i think caps might have to come
out again soon why do you think that just i just feel the caps beating on the inside of my head
just want they just they want to be let loose
the well we need them i miss i miss caps odell on twitter i mean you're at odell all caps
i think if you're going to stay true to the character that you've built around caps odell
he needs to be let out of the cage every once in a while scroll down a little bit car speaking of
the uh right here you start here so this is the fear and greed index which tries
to measure the the amount of fear or greed within bitcoin markets at any given point in time this
was january of last year january 11 2021 i thought this was great yeah the greed index was at 90 and
at the same price was around forty thousand dollars forty one thousand dollars and earlier
this week go down car but january wasn't even less price wasn't it like 30 like that's what i
thought it was like 33k or whatever a year ago i went and checked uh yeah i mean it went up pretty
quickly but from 33 to 40 but that's the funny part right it's like it was extreme greed it's
extreme fear at ten thousand dollars higher yeah exactly so we have extreme fear now the the fear
index is at 10 whereas last year the greed index was reading 90 um you have fear on one side of
the spectrum and fear on the other side so when we were blowing through that everybody was being
greedy and now that we're hovering around forty thousand dollars everybody's freaking the fuck
out like oh my gosh is bitcoin going to die and like i said in the newsletter on monday this is
what normalization looks like of bitcoin just seeping itself into the culture people and it's
like yeah price anchoring right exactly we get anchored on a price and then you know sellers
get exhausted and then we move forward wow smash odell's in comments let's go um would you
smash odell that's one i haven't seen in a while that account so cheers um do we get like anchored
to the price right and then it gets normalized and we go up but really the answer to marty's
question is yes bitcoin is dead we're going to zero yes everybody get out while you can
hit hit hit the hay let's call it a night it's all over it's a forty thousand dollars
the government's coming after it elizabeth warren's on the war path it's just kroger
kroger put the yeah yeah we'll get into that that ties into the stuff too uh she's too preoccupied
with kroger bitcoin will be fine yes bitcoin will be fine so another thing tying up like
the normalization and the price anchors thing that's actually the price chart with the most
signal is you look at a bitcoin chart and you look at the yearly uh the yearly lows year on year what
you'll find consistently over time the the low per year within a within a calendar year of trading
has consistently gotten higher and higher as you've just said higher high watermarks um and
at these troughs and these bullnop air cycles in Bitcoin.
It just happened really fast.
You always get good engagement on that tweet
when you send that one out.
Yeah, let me look that up real quick.
But I mean, it's hilarious how, like Matt said a year ago,
people were, oh my God, we're going to 33.
We're going to get 200K by conference day.
And now we're re-approaching that from the other side.
not even really 200k by conference day still in play yeah the uh the 200 the 200 week moving
average i believe i saw today is only at like 18 000 so we're still above that metric as well and
if you're looking to measure bitcoin as a good long-term store value i think looking at that
200 week moving average metric is a good way to do it that lines consistently up and to the right
you want to pull up the car you want to pull up the type in meyer multiple
by bitcoin worldwide and pull up that meyer multiple chart
because the meyer multiple uh is is is basically what where bitcoin sits on the 200 day uh moving
average this chart's interesting i looked at it the other days you're going to scroll down to the
actual chart yeah that's pretty interesting chart i'm not really a chart guy but
you're a big trace mayor guy though so it's not really a trace mayor guy either
but i agree that the 200-day moving average is an interesting metric
this is showing how high bitcoin is in comparison to the 200-day moving average
trace is has his line there where he says you know what is it like 2.4 or whatever if you buy
under 2.4 it's it's a good time to buy where that line is but it's interesting look at the
like all the all the peaks the recent peaks they almost always happen around that line
right the the median which is or the average excuse me which is around like 2.4 like matt
said so what we're looking at makes me just like people are trading on that yeah we're looking at
the mayor multiple right now on buy bitcoin worldwide.com it's currently sitting at 0.88
which is very much below average from this point forward we're just going to call this the marty
multiple to uh marty multiple trace has become a disgrace well hey he he did create the mayor
multiple i'm not i would feel dirty taking it from the marty multiple is pegged at 69
right cheers btc pins it's nice nice yes it is i can't i can't find the 200 a week moving average
chart right now i forget it was tweeting about that today but i saw that floating around out
there but it's a good one to look at if you're again like everybody trying to basically define
bitcoin and using short-term price volatility to to thrust definitions on the type of asset that
bitcoin is is a fool's errand if you ask your uncle marty and it's just like not wise again
bitcoin's like a brand new asset i hate comparing it like i said this weeks ago digital gold yes
it's easy to sort of for people to create metaphors and analogies to compare things to but
reality of the nature of bitcoin it's digital nature it's distributed nature uh puts in a whole
other class and these comparisons and analogies are nothing more than interesting mental frameworks
to help people understand they don't equate to full understanding by just being able to repeat
them i would argue that was a weird rant i just went on but stay on one stack sats freaks
uh what else we got going on here in the world i mean we mentioned it in the beginning or with you
bringing up elizabeth warren yelling at kroger for increasing prices or the price gouging
which is again a very dangerous sign we said this a few weeks ago when jen saki
was speaking on behalf of president biden saying that it was greedy industrialist
in the meatpacking sector of the economy,
particularly never leading to price increases.
We've had Elizabeth Warren coming out
and getting in fights with Kroger,
which is a, for those who are unaware,
a shopping market.
A grocery chain.
A grocery chain in the Northeast.
They're not even like the top grocery chain.
Their market share isn't that high.
Someone posted the market share chart
of the different grocery chains.
yeah i think kroger's very native to the northeast i don't think it gets i think they're
like nine percent or something of the grocery market but they were like these grocery giant
but elizabeth's like these grocery giants are like kroger and she called out kroger
specifically do you think she like went to kroger that day and was just like pissed off
the meat was expensive yeah i think kroger is native to where she's from is she connecticut
or new york where is she from not probably she's definitely not new york i think she's boston yeah
she's massachusetts yeah yeah definitely up in massachusetts i have a buddy from mass that uh
a college buddy from mass that uh admitted to voting for her like i don't know like six years
ago or something and literally every single time she said something he's like tried to disown it
since then but every time she said something we just you know posted in the group chat and tag
him you voted for this you voted well now she's coming after bitcoin mining we'll get to that
But with the Kroger comment, she's trying to thrust the problem of inflation on, again, these greedy industrialists like others in D.C., particularly the Biden administration, have tried to do in recent weeks.
And it's funny that this beef that she's starting with this innocent grocery chain is coinciding with U.S. producer price inflation jumping 9.7% in December.
So that data point came out today as the highest year-on-year increase on record, which is, again, this is producer price inflation.
So prices for people that are putting together raw materials and ingredients to give end products that then get sold.
So the prices are going up for the producer.
They're eventually going to get passed on to the consumer.
So this is a leading indicator of even higher inflation.
The fact that it's happening at the producer level around 10%,
which is pretty fucked up.
We have someone in the comments saying,
I've not verified this at all because my computer is all the way over there
and I can't reach it.
That there's 16, that Kroger owns 16 plus different store,
grocery store brands around the US.
I don't know.
I'm not a grocery store specialist, but I also don't.
don't i uh if you if you think kroger is overcharging go to another store
yeah that's what the that's what the market is supposed to do yeah yeah optionality big on
optionality seems like they're trying to take it away though every day you gotta you gotta fight
for it especially here in the united states i'm too lazy to buy beef directly from rancher now
i'm crying about the price of kroger i uh i actually grilled i had a bunch of people over
i don't really care about kroger a couple days ago and we grilled uh beef from two local butchers
um so go go go go to your local butcher when you need meat or a local rancher if you have a rancher
go shake your rancher's hand highly recommend it the beef's better you get more fulfillment and you
you get to again shake hands and look that the person is actually slaughtering raising
slaughtering and packing the meat that you and your family are enjoying it so you got to get
a reconnection with this part of life that's a part of humanity right now that's why we're living
in this clown world so many individuals out there completely disconnected from reality and hard work
and uncomfortable truths a lot of a lot of people who just like to eat food at the grocery store
don't want to think what's happening down chain marty you still own that cow i do i do it should
be uh up for slaughter at the end of the year are you ever going to take custody of the cow
yeah i'm going to take custody of the meat of it's the cut up parts of the cow after
after it's it's lived a long and happy life and it's been slaughtered to feed me i think it'd be
hilarious if in you know your other studio where you're in your backyard if you just had like the
cow like grazing behind you as you're recording that would be cool i don't know if the wife would
be happy with that due to the smell the upkeep start eating the bamboo you know it's just a lot
to go maybe when we get like a bigger place we'll have a ranch we'll have multiple cattle
yeah i hope to one day i hope to one day have multiple cattle it's not a real citadel if you
don't have cows on it yeah yeah you need to have cows grazing around natural gas in the background
mining bitcoin tarot guns it's it's all going to happen it's going to be a beautiful incredible
cypherpunk future but getting back to inflation which is helping to drive us there because people
are looking for alternatives and the only viable alternatives to escaping the monetary policy that
most of the world is subjected to right now, which is dovish, KMZ monetary policy. Like Bitcoin is
the only thing. So this 9.7% jump in producer price inflation year on year is essentially a
tax that's been levied, almost a 10% tax on producers that they did not opt in for. They
did not vote for. They have no control over. They can't go to Jerome Powell and say, stop doing
this he does not have to listen to them and i tweeted out right before we went live here like
an hour ago you literally don't have any power within this u.s dollar system or a similar fiat
currency system that's being run around the world the only power that you do have is opting into a
better monetary system built on sound money in the digital era the digital age which is bitcoin
So we had 9.7% producer price inflation in the U.S. today,
and it also came out Argentina rolling 12-month inflation
is 50.9% in December.
This is transitory.
It is transitory.
So it's not only happening here in the U.S.,
Argentina, which has been plagued by hyperinflationary crises
multiple times in our lifetimes.
Many times.
It seems to be going through.
strict capital controls too. The one thing is like, yeah, like Bitcoin does provide us an
escape hatch because we can opt out of the fiat system and move to Bitcoin. To a degree,
so do other hard assets, less hard than Bitcoin, stuff like real estate, stocks, gold. I'm like
very happy. I'm obviously very grateful we have Bitcoin to go to instead of those. I'd rather go
to bitcoin but in argentina is a perfect example where they have strict capital controls so they
make it as difficult as possible to get into any of those assets whether that's and in this case
it's actually easier to get into bitcoin in argentina than to get you know a lot of times
than to get into uh foreign equities or real estate stuff like that like the access is
is significantly better yes matt alborg at usefultulips.org he's written a great piece
on argentinian money changers they're black market money changers i forget what they're called
i want to say flavelas but i know that that's like a it's like a
like an area of a city like in rio favelas favelas it's favelas it's not there's no l
yeah yeah but that's not that's not the money changers that's the slums in rio yeah whatever
there's a great article on usefultoolups.org about this particular black market and yeah then
they're saying it's 50.9 inflation if you really want to get the the real inflation rate you
probably want to go to one of those money changers and see what the cost of money is there because
that'll give you a more accurate reading there so it's um and strike just opened up in argentina
too we have that on the list i guess while we have argentina on the mind i mean i would say
i mean in a bitcoin world if you want to really know the value of something it's it the value of
the currency is how much you can get you know actual bitcoin for and and get it you know in
self-custodial way yeah um that that that's the value of money yes is the is basically
its price in bitcoin because that's the closest thing you have to a to a free market
yeah any argentine listeners out there have any stories from the ground on what's going
on with the inflation particularly please reach out i mean how many times can one country go
through i mean this i think there's a third or fourth in the last 30 years like how do you even
how do you even try to create an economy over generations just having that happen to you like
in one generation it's happened three or four times um it does seem like argentina
is a pretty resilient country i mean it's still a very vibrant culture and um
in spite in spite of their shitty money yeah exactly imagine what they would do if they had
adopted good money um soon yeah it's good to see strike so strike was available in the united
states el salvador argentina is their third market um obviously the fact that argentina has constant
hyperinflation issues mixed with that remittances is a massive market there. People sending money
from the United States back to Argentina, from other places back to Argentina,
making an ideal fit for something like Strike. It's interesting with this rollout,
there's no banking relationship. They don't have a bank on that side. And what's happening is you're
either you're either going to so they're using tether for the u.s dollar portion which i believe
is very is similar to how they did in el salvador um and basically the ways to onboard or off board
into the app is um either remittances someone sending you bitcoin from abroad uh or uh they
have all these cash points they have all these these places where you can you pay cash um and
you're able to load that up either as tether or bitcoin to to strike and vice versa so tether
getting more more ingrained in the app there i mean that's the way to route around the bank
account issue yeah i mean look there's there is a lot of obviously tether has third party risk i
mean you have to trust tether um obviously strike has custodial risk if you're holding things on
strike so you have to trust strike so if you're holding tether on strike you have double custodial
risk because you're trusting tether and strike but you know if you have double digit inflation
and you you want you want access to basically a dollar asset um then that could be a risk that
you're willing to take right yes it certainly can be and especially if you're just using it
for for a few minutes you just need it literally for the rails of moving money because
you're not able to be a swift or the traditional rails in argentina you can't even send a 200
visa payment because the capital controls are so uh strict on u.s dollar access yes they're
not allowed to take they're not allowed to take more than 200 out of the bank at once
per week yeah it's fucking crazy like the capital controls are extremely fucking uh strict
So now Argentinians can either use Bitcoin and they can hold their wealth in Bitcoin, right?
I believe Sats are my stable coin.
I know they're not for everyone yet in this adoption phase, but they could.
Or they can hold a U.S. dollar type asset in respect of Tether.
And they can instantly transfer that around the world at low cost using Lightning.
So they have choices.
And depending on their situation, they will make the choice that fits their threat model and life situation the best for them.
What are your thoughts on the potential emergence of synthetic stablecoins on Lightning?
um i mean i'm i'm involved with the bounty program that hrf and strike uh put out which is
a bitcoin to anyone who can come up with something like that that doesn't require a token that is
essentially a a open market protocol where people can go uh long long bitcoin or i've
reversely basically just peg themselves uh to bitcoin um i think that's a very interesting
concept uh it'd be nice because you know you it's all bitcoin based and it can be an open protocol
so the market could get very liquid uh rather than having something like tether where it's
literally just a centrally controlled company that's breaking u.s laws that is holding you
You know, billions of dollars, apparently, that you can't verify that is actually backing the whole system.
It's long been a ticking time bomb.
It's amazing to me that they've lasted this long.
So obviously, you know, in a world without Tether, Tether blows up.
We need an alternative.
And before anyone says, you know, USDC or one of these, you know, super regulated American-based stablecoins is an answer.
uh i mean they are i mean even tether has some blacklisting they do but like the amount of kyc
requirements and stuff that's going to happen on these regulated stable coins is going to make it
completely impractical for anyone who's trying to get around capital controls uh like is the
case in argentina yeah they're gonna have to they're not gonna be able to send us like
stable coins created by us like like circle or or coinbase they're not gonna be able to be using
those because you'll have to you'll have to get the okay from coinbase and circle they probably
don't want to get involved with these these sanctions and that's another thing noting that
like circle they're doing like a big a big advertising push in airports i don't know if
you've realized this recently but newark and austin both ends of my flight uh back to and
from home over the holidays circle was just blaring advertisements in the airport, which
I thought was interesting.
What was it for USDC?
They were doing it for USDC and Bitcoin.
Yeah, I we have someone in the comments, X frog saying, asking, they're sending tether
over lightning.
I thought Argentina strike is using the ERC 20 Ethereum token version of tether.
I'm not absolutely sure if they're using the Ethereum token version.
I think they are.
They're not sending Tether, period.
The users got Tether as a balance for their USD balance.
And similar to how Strike is working in America and El Salvador, when you send that USD balance to someone else, what is happening is the dollars are being sold for Bitcoin instantly and Bitcoin is being sent over the Lightning Network.
And then on the receiver side, if the receiver is a strike user, that Bitcoin is then immediately being sold for U.S. dollars.
And if that is in America, that's like fiat in a bank account.
And if that's in El Salvador or Argentina, my understanding is that it gets converted into Tether.
I don't know what the decision making was for why they chose to use the Ethereum token version of Tether.
There's obviously a liquid version of Tether.
There is a Tron version of Tether.
Tether's on a bunch of different fucking chains.
The original Tether was on Counterparty.
I don't know if people still use that one,
like the Omni token version of Tether.
But my first thought when I'm thinking about that is
maybe it has something to do with those cash points
and just the fact that Ethereum Tether
is probably the most supported Tether
if you want to convert cash into Tether
to fund the Strike app or vice versa.
I thought Tron was more supported.
Tron Tether.
Tron has more volume
because the traders like it
because the fees are lower.
That begs the question too
because ETH gas fees will be high.
I don't think we can confirm
that it is ETH.
It could be liquid.
It's definitely not liquid.
It could be.
No, I mean, look, let's be honest, right? Like the overwhelming majority of people that are
using this are just going to, it's a custodial US dollar balance, right? Like it's when people
use Strike, they're not withdrawing their dollars really. Most of the time they're not, they're just
leaving it as a US dollar balance in the Strike app and using it as a neobank. Does that have
custodial risk? Yeah. Do you also trust Tether? Yeah. But there's no trust in Ethereum in that
situation because at the end of the day it's a centralized database so what chain you use what
chain you use tether on um is both irrelevant to the adoption of that chain and is irrelevant to
the security model of the tether itself very good point they're just rails there's no way to like
self-custody tether like you're always trusting tether the corporation to not blacklist you or
take your money or exit scams.
So there's this idea that you could ever hold cold storage or self-custody
tether is bullshit.
No, the risk freaks, if you're getting into it,
we do know there is utility for stable coins in certain parts of the world
because people do not want to stomach the short-term price volatility and need
a stable savings vehicle. We would say stats are very stable.
However,
people do need to buy things and interact in the daily economy where they
live um but hopefully there's synthetic stable coins on lightning network that will come to
market lewis lou uh was was teasing that today i'm very interested to see how they get brought to
the lightning network specifically is it going to be a contract for difference
discrete log contract that you just have a bunch of those that scale up and get enough liquidity
that they can be parceled
and used as stable coins.
We shall see.
That seems the most likely.
Like some kind of contract
for difference system.
Yeah.
But look, all this stuff is like,
like it's great.
Like I completely understand
why people,
and we've talked about this
in the past that,
you know,
as fiat starts to die
around the world,
the weaker currencies
are going to die first
and people are going to try
and escape to the,
to the currencies that are,
fiat currencies that are felt to be stronger so in the near term you're going to see a lot of
people trying to escape to the u.s dollar the u.s dollar will fail last because it's a global
reserve currency um or it'll be one of the last to fail like it'll be like the u.s dollar yuan
um the chinese yuan um but ultimately you know this is a a short-term thing right because long
term you know you don't need why would you why would you peg your bitcoin to shitty money exactly
just hold bitcoin this is just a i think this is something we've been clear about throughout the
history of the show we brought up stable coins and it have conceded not even conceded just
recognize that they do have utility for certain parts of the world it's just transitionary bridge
use case as we transition to a bitcoin standard slowly but surely over time it may happen faster
Like you said, weak currencies are going to die first.
We're seeing the Argentine peso, the lira in Turkey, whatever currency Kazakhstan is using.
This is a crazy Wall Street Journal headline.
Turks pile into Bitcoin and Tether to escape plunging lira.
Yeah, this is in the Wall Street Journal.
I wasn't able to read it until you provided us with the archive link.
but I mean it's happening
obviously Erdogan
very
let's get into it
the weak currencies are going to fall first
we're seeing with the lira, we're seeing with Argentine
peso and why are they
failing as miserably
and terribly as they are at this current
moment and similarly
in Argentina and Turkey
you have government
regimes, whatever you want to
call them, in Turkey you have Erdogan
in Argentina
I don't even know who's president there now, but they've, like Matt mentioned earlier.
Isn't it McCree?
Maybe.
The point is they're using very granular top-down control of the money markets,
particularly trying to control them and finding that they have no control
because when you try to exert that much control on these systems,
it drives people to lose confidence in them.
Because why do you need to exert that much control if you had control in the first place?
it's sort of a cascading doom loop if you will like 50 argentina producer price index close to
10 i mean getting close to double digits in certain parts of the u.s economy like it's
how much better than argentina is that so like what i'm trying to get to is
the u.s dollar will be less but still the u.s dollar will be last to fall but like it's
And it's one thing I worry about, especially in the hyper-connected, hyper-communicative world that we live in today.
And monetary inflation, particularly high to hyper-inflationary events, again, are two parts.
You have the mechanical part of it, creating more monetary units that dilute the individual share of the whole pie.
If they're not acquiring a commensurate amount of units with the percentage that the supply is being expanded by, that's one part of it.
which most people just focus on is price inflation
and as compared to the amount of money that's been printed.
But the second part that people don't talk about enough
is the social aspect of it.
Like once people start to lose confidence
and you have this weird feedback loop,
I think, does it happen quicker?
The long-winded winding road I'm taking right now
is just to ask that question,
even though the lira in Turkey,
the peso in Argentina are blowing up
spectacular right now and we believe that people will find solace in the dollar like the dollar
is not doing it's doing better on a relative basis but uh an absolute basis it's not doing
so hot itself uh as well um and so like the dollars are shit coin they're all shit coins
they're all cuck bucks and then yeah it's like how bad could this get like you said like the
fed's never gonna hike rates that's becoming glaringly obvious like well they might hike
rates just not substantially 50 bps yeah i'm just saying like we should we should make that clear
because when they like barely hike it people are gonna be like oh i knew i knew it i told you they
were gonna hike it yeah but it's gonna be they'll hike it and if they do hike it they're gonna have
to do when they run to negative they're gonna have to do an intra meeting like intervention
because the markets are going to shit their pants and then they'll capitulate again maybe that's
when you start having the psychological aspect kick more into gear is if they do hike so that's
the question i think the threat of hiking is a better strategy and you just never do it because
yeah but how many times can you bluff before like people fucking start to figure it out well
Well, so we have the game theory of monetary economics,
which is you either overtly default.
If you're a country printing all these treasuries,
you have two ways out.
You either overtly default, say,
hey, we're not going to be able to pay this back,
which is politically untenable,
or you inflate away the currency.
Obviously, we've chosen to inflate away the currency.
And then within that, let's inflate away the currency.
Then you have another game theory.
What's better?
this bluff and never hike or do we just hike and pull back at which point it becomes more than
glaringly obvious that you can never hike and so then you have the feedback loop there or if
you bluff and bluff and bluff like no we just two more weeks two more weeks two more weeks
can you extend it um even further going forward with that strategy i would argue the bluffing
is probably a wiser of the two strategies.
The emperor has no clothes.
No.
Buy Bitcoin.
That message that car just pulled up from Nicholas
or whatever, I didn't hear about that.
Did you hear about that?
The three largest German banks
want to offer a Bitcoin service?
I mean, I saw the headline,
but who knows how legit it is.
If it's custodial, it's bullshit.
if you can't withdraw it's absolute
bullshit
yeah the Germans don't seem too keen
on freedom these days
it's still I guess it's a
solid boost for public
appeal or public opinion or something
but I didn't hear about that story
yeah I mean
there's like you always have to
dive deep into these stories because
like yesterday Bitcoin magazine tweeted out
like Arkansas is offering
uh individuals particularly in the tech sector that move to arkansas to work remotely from
arkansas they'll appease them with ten thousand dollars bitcoin i was like all right it's like
does this actually happen i wanted to write about it and then i went and found out it's just like
one little county council in northwest arkansas is offering is offering people ten thousand dollars
come move there in bitcoin or not in bitcoin cash or bitcoin and then on top of that they're like
offering bikes that's pretty cool i didn't know about that yeah yeah i went uh in arkansas
northwest arkansas if you want to move to northwest arkansas arkansas uh and you want to
like work remotely in a beautiful area this is how they're pitching it this northwestern arkansas
council uh they have a budget i believe of up to a million dollars to disperse uh ten thousand
dollars worth of bitcoin or cash to individuals in the tech sector so if you're looking for a good
way to stack uh you're looking for some beautiful scenery northwest arkansas we'll have you they'll
give you ten thousand dollars worth of with the bitcoin as well why the bike because apparently
they have it like the most bike trails uh yeah i wonder if they got the bike sponsored
yeah i think it might be like a bike voucher but yeah no it's pretty hard to get a bike nowadays
there's bike shortages everywhere so yeah could be worth it it looked beautiful the the area um
where what northwest arkansas what is that border no idea nebraska i don't know not even gonna try
not even gonna try you did just try but i didn't try that was me taking back my try
um but this is this highlights a map of the united states this highlights the um
I mean the sovereign individual
thesis
and it's weird
with this particular thing
it seems like Bitcoin
is just trying to attract
a certain person
I don't think they actually
really care about
about Bitcoin
so yeah we'll give you Bitcoin
if you're in the tech sector
we think tech people like that
but again
everything works
in Bitcoin's benefit
free press
Matt can't read anything
so I have to read all the lists
what's next legal defense fund this was uh very cool to see this is freaking awesome come through
the bitcoin dev mailing list uh jack dorsey jack at squareup.com um went to the bitcoin dev mailing
list to announce that himself alex morcos and martin white have created the bitcoin legal
defense fund uh which they may intend to use to defend bitcoin contributors in the space who are
being sued um in relation to their work in and around bitcoin mostly from craig right yeah mostly
from craig right so it's basically he's a fraud if you if you um very prominent individuals in
the space alex morcos free freaks who are unaware uh is is one of the gentlemen behind chain code
labs in new york city who've been doing incredible things to educate people uh bitcoin developers
specifically and then on top of that he's been spending millions of dollars and tons of time
out of his own pocket to support bitcoin development for when did chain come out like
five years ago now four years ago quite a while quite a while i mean even before that um respect
i think he was sponsoring the bit devs meet up in new york um himself and suhas but yeah there's
some of the the quiet unsung heroes of bitcoin in the background that are doing incredible things
to make sure developers can do what they do best here as you can see in the second or third
paragraph the first activities will be to take over coordination of the existing defense of the
tulip trading lawsuit against certain developers alleging breach of food fiduciary duty and to
to provide the source of funding for outside
counsel. Which is the CSW lawsuit.
Yeah, so these are all the troll lawsuits where
CSW is suing people for hosting the
Bitcoin white paper.
So it's good to see people stepping up and saying,
hey, we'll front the bill on all this
litigious activities that
you guys are being subjected to.
It's more than just hosting the white paper.
I mean, he's going after devs for
developing Bitcoin.
That as well.
Saying that they're
responsible for
for him not
having his rightful coin
I mean if you had
if you have your rightful coin
Craig
just use your private key man
sign the damn message
move the damn UTXL
if you can't do that
you're a fraud
yeah you're a fraud
put plainly
we talked about
strike getting into
argentina we talked about that for a bit simple lightning.com what is a bolt what is a blip this
is a great so great piece this is um this is kiera bickers and uh vivek's new project
um where they're basically the idea is it's going to be a newsletter that tries to explain
complicated aspects of Lightning
in a more user-friendly, approachable way.
And the target audience is mostly developers and contributors,
but I think it could be helpful for all Bitcoiners,
especially if you're trying to focus on Lightning
and if you have an interest in Lightning.
So definitely go check out, what is it, simplelightning.com?
Yes.
And subscribe.
I'm happy you put this on the list this week
because I didn't even realize what a bolt was
until I had a conversation last week
with somebody working on the Lightning Network.
A bolt is what a BIP is at the Bitcoin Core
or the Bitcoin Consensus layer.
So it's a basis of Lightning technology.
So if you want to add,
you have an idea to add an improvement
to the Lightning Network specifically,
it is called a bolt.
And then it gets numbered.
Bolt 12 has been talked about on this podcast a lot recently.
There's many other bolts as well.
Bolt 9.
obviously there's
many bips
but what I learned
the conversation
I had last Friday
was that there's
a lot of contention
around this
a lot of people
Luke Dasher
mainly thought
the lighting network
stuff should just
be bips as well
did you
did you know about that
sort of discussion
going on
they actually like
go into it a little bit
in this
in this piece
I think they have
a whole section
of bolts versus bips
yeah how's a bolt
different than a BIP.
Bolts and BIPs are forms of development proposals
and Lightning a proposal only becomes a bolt
after two independent implementations have
successfully tested interoperability
in Bitcoin. A BIP is more of an
opt-in proposal standard for implementers
to ensure interoperability.
So this is interesting.
Lightning, you have
many popular
implementations
and
creating interoperable
consensus between them is very important you do have that at the base layer too but bitcoin core
is by far the most dominant implementation of bitcoin obviously you have bitcoin knots
and others as well um but i think the the way that lightning network is very interactive
it creates interoperability being a very high threshold um for all these improvements
I mean, there's massive differences between Bitcoin and Lightning, right?
And like Bitcoin is like a broadcast system that is consensus critical that all participants on the Bitcoin network are able to agree on a certain amount of consensus, on certain consensus rules.
Otherwise, there will be forks in the chain and people will be operating on different chains.
And then Lightning is a link-to-link protocol.
it's a you know you're you have channels open with other peers that you are choosing to have
those channels with um so we have all these implementations that are all doing their own
kind of take on lightning and they it's ideal to have them be compatible with each other so that
you have this larger lightning network but at the end of the day i wouldn't say it's necessarily
mission critical right with bitcoin it's uh consensus is is key yeah now it'll be
it'll be interesting to see how this all plays out apparently there's
a lot of conversations about specifications too i think that's frustrating there's frustration
between some of the implementations because specifications aren't being aren't being
published so that some teams can build certain things they want to build and there's there's
this is weird dynamic between the multiple implementations right now l d is the most popular
um you have c lightning ldk ldk now um which i'm assuming on that note yeah cash app we didn't put
that on the list we did it so let's talk about i mean cash apps rolling out lighting network
payments i have access to it have paid i think they're using ldk for that on their side i wouldn't
wouldn't be surprised i mean spiral btc has been working on ldk for years it's within the
the block family of businesses i don't have it in my app yet do they accept lightning deposits
or only withdrawals i think it's only withdrawals no deposits yet uh not to my knowledge let me
check real quick which is interesting because you think deposits would be
no i guess deposits are a bigger issue in terms of compliance yeah with channel balancing and
stuff no not even channel balancing just like they don't necessarily know who the sender is
well when they're sending when you're withdrawing they know all the invoice data they know what
node you're sending to they have a lot of information there
the real question is when they add native lightning support to their
millions of square point of sales that you see everywhere um like i was you know yeah that's
gonna be so easy for them to add that at this point yeah that's what car has up on the screen
the newsletter really explaining or articulating just that as well i mean i think everybody's
waiting for that when the square turn on the ability for merchants to to either accept bitcoin
or take a automatically take a portion of revenues and convert that to bitcoin automatically i think
the capability to implement that is there i mean at the coffee shop that i go to every once in a
when i'm craving nice coffee their pos system within the last three months or maybe i'm just
noticing it within the last three months is flashed a cash app qr code that can easily scan
and pay i've used that so they always they already have the cash app qr code so that means that if
you have bitcoin and cash app you can pay in a custodial way with bitcoin basically uh you know
if that's you selling immediately yeah you'd have to sell them and pay but what i want to see is
like the like proper native lightning support right so like you can take any lightning wallet
if i can chose a qr code you either scan the qr code or if you have an android phone you just tap
the phone and pay with nfc um seems like we're very close to that and that would be
absolute game changer yeah i mean that's obviously merchant adoption has been a meme
in Bitcoin throughout its life.
That was the big meme in 2014.
Roger Ver and all the early Bitcoiners thought
if we just get the merchants accepting Bitcoin,
like that's how we win.
And like, yes, it is a way to win.
But how do you do that historically?
You get somebody to,
the way they were doing it back in 2014
was literally getting people
to download Bitcoin wallets on their phone
and then having like the cashiers
like learning how to create invoices
and do this very drawn out process
where a lot of phones and a lot of buttons
and a lot of time was involved.
Obviously, we've had things like BTC Pay Server
and OpenNode come to market,
which have done a great job of allowing people
to implement Bitcoin payments
into their point-of-sale systems.
We have it on our website.
It works very well.
We love BTC Pay Server,
but I think this, turning it on at Square,
at Square Merchants,
having a merchant be able to just go into the interface
of their Square portal and say,
all right, I want to accept Bitcoin.
You have the optionality of,
all right you just want to accept bitcoin we could do it for you in a custodial fashion here's how
you spin up a wallet not even custodial maybe you can have something you can create a private
public e-payer in the system yourself do that save your they have their hardware wallet project
that's separate right which is this idea of trying to do maybe like a two of three multi-sig
where cash app square owns one key your mobile device has another key locally and then you have
a third key if they fuck around with you you could yeah that's a hardware wallet a very cheap
hardware wallet um yeah but that's even like higher on the tree like this is just like getting
a software wallet and the po system is like low-hanging fruit implement that allow somebody
to upload an xpub i expect like the way i would see the implementation happen is like something
like open node does which is just fully custodial like this will probably be the mvp the first thing
just fully custodial and the merchant will have like a little sliding bar that they decide like
if i receive bitcoin i want to either you know keep 100 of that bitcoin is bitcoin in my wallet
or i want to keep 50 of it or 20 and whatever the remainder is gets automatically converted
into your local currency um that'll probably be the the first implementation right yeah i would
imagine well and like on top of that would be even better i think is even more bullish and
would actually have more of a profound impact is giving the merchants the ability to quickly
convert dollar revenues into bitcoin because that's another problem with the merchant adoption
meme isn't uh necessarily that they're not willing to accept as a most of the time people
aren't willing to spend it and so i mean yeah it'd be dope if you had two slider bars right
like you had a slider bar like if someone pays fiat pick how much of that automatically gets
converted to bitcoin and then if you pay bitcoin convert pick how much of that gets converted into
fiat yeah that i mean the amount of like my parents that's one thing my dad sufficiently
orange pilled coffee shop wants to automatically every month convert 10 to 15 percent of the cash
to to bitcoin right now it's a very manual process set up an outside
exchange account move funds from the business bank account to the exchange to buy the the amount of
bitcoin it's a very drawn out and clunky process imagine if just able to do it automatically at
the point of sale i think you'd see crazy amount of merchants around the country do it like hey
you know what let's put five percent into into bitcoin then you just have that constant
buying pressure all day every day let's do it square product team if you're uh if you're looking
for like some ux feedback let me know i'm here matt you look like you're about to murder somebody
there i'm just uh i don't know like all this stuff has seemed very obvious for a while and
there's just slowly and steadily just like checking all the boxes so yeah um but lightning
support seems like a big deal um yeah it worked worked very easily here we'll try to do i think
the point of sale thing will be a bigger deal and it is coming i mean they're not idiots
car great ux team car let's uh let's pull up a lightning invoice i'll pay from the cash up we'll
see we'll do a live demo um we can't deposit lightning right no i'm just gonna have to pay
an invoice
just go to
tftc.io
slash contribute
we'll launder
some money
to the business
one of the promises
I made to myself
is I'm never
going to KYC again
why'd you say that
Cash App's the last
I've never
to KYC
to Cash App
and the
I don't use it anymore
I like
barely use it
I use it
I use it every
I use my cash card
every day
honestly
you don't have like
just a normal credit card
no
no
we should use cash
let's donate
let's donate
five bucks
I basically just
use cash
on my Amex
you have to change
yeah
alright
live
live cash app
let's see how long
I'm trying to just
not use the credit card
unless I absolutely
have to
alright
it's being initiated
so that's the weird thing
with the cash app flow
like it like
checks the invoice um reports it to all the regulators and then pays it oh i might not
have any signal on my phone here at this the studio recorder we'll try it it's a connection
error um that's why you don't do um demos live on air wait you don't you had reception you had
enough reception to open to open the app right do you not have any bars does it say no i try it
again. It says it's going
through. Keep this up, Karpar. We'll see how long
it takes
to go
through.
Should we just sit here quietly until it goes through?
We could do that.
We could talk about Bill Biller.
Legendary value investor.
Still has not come through.
We're a minute and 15 seconds into the
invoice
being paid.
This is a pretty underwhelming demo.
Yeah, Bill Miller, Bill Miller, man, fucking manages a $2 billion plus fund. He's rumored to be worth somewhere between like $500 million to a little over a billion dollars. He came out swinging in an interview that was apparently recorded early December that 50% of his net worth is in Bitcoin and 50% of his net worth is in Amazon.
pretty crazy yeah i mean that's insane the uh the payment failed on this end so
yeah invoice isn't gonna get paid i mean and he's been in since 2014 he said he said he's been buying
since 200 so yeah he bought a bunch whence is convinced him yeah whence is whence is was the
most most potent orange pill in the early days yeah he wrote from 200 to the 2017 bubble apparently
he sold it all
tying the top
pretty well
no he didn't sell it
I don't think he said
he sold it did he
I thought
I've read
in his story
that he
he did that trade
wrote a massive trade
from like 217
sold
I thought he was just
saying that he just
he didn't buy again
until
30k
until we hit 30k
when it came back down
yeah
I don't think he sold
but maybe
no I mean
this is
just incredible
to see i mean expect more of this it's pretty obvious once you come to understand the
fundamentals of the bitcoin network everything that's going on in the mining industry the
utility enables as a distributed system the the asymmetric bet that exists right now like bitcoin
is better money people need better money they're having an inflation tax waged on them that's
getting to be immaterial costs there's going to be more bill millers we said this last year when
Paul Tudor Jones came out swinging and advocating for Bitcoin pretty aggressively.
Bill Miller's feeling comfortable to do the same.
He's a bit bearish, though.
He was recommending people just put 1% of their portfolios in to not go 50% like him, which is pretty bearish.
I mean, he's bearish because he only has 50% in Bitcoin.
uh the the what he was saying what i got from the interview was he was saying
that wences told him and everyone else in the crowd to put one percent of bitcoin
he did that bitcoin increased substantially he became a way larger part of his portfolio
because he didn't sell then when it fell from like 69 to or 65 down to 30 he bought at 30 again
stopped at 50 percent and now he's basically telling people if you you know if you're a high
net worth individual and you don't have any bitcoin you know dip your toe in at one percent
but uh everyone most people who start at one percent if they stay humble will eventually
you know start to start to near the hundred percent bitcoin portfolio allocation
100 100 if you're not 100 you're bearish
no take your time big investors you know take your time yeah yeah fuck these guys i'd rather
if they took took took longer you know let the let the little guy get in yeah we're gonna keep
pushing off the etf keep pushing off the etf also we don't know if bill miller actually
custody of his own coin i assume he probably uses zappo because that's wentz's company that
got sold to coinbase um zappo was in the news but not your keys not your coins miller why was
zappo in the news this week uh they were in the news because they left new york and they're gonna
stop serving u.s customers and they got rid of their bit license yes they just i thought that
was a pretty pretty boss move he said uh screw you new york we're out that's their own by coinbase
now yeah they are which is interesting so i guess they have some autonomy from coinbase and i
imagine coinbase wouldn't want to yeah i mean i have no idea how that works yeah um we talked
about kazakhstan but it was interesting because bill miller like it wasn't just the typical digital
gold spiel uh he was like he was talking about like censorship resistance he was talking about
he talked about executive order 6102 that you know the government can't easily come in and
seize bitcoin and stuff and he was talking like someone who understands the importance of self
custody so i'm really interested if he was just being a hypocrite about it or just naive and
ignorant and doesn't realize or maybe he holds his own keys you know and uh look at you being
all judgy he could have he could be running a full node connect to sparrow he could have a team of
like 15 you know people who are like handling his whole operation i'm i'm just as as these
financial boomers uh start to understand the value prop of bitcoin we need to make sure or we we
should i think it's it's it's imperative on us to make it clear that those kind of properties
of bitcoin are only uh are only there if you use bitcoin in a self-sovereign way right like you
can't like there's damage being done when someone watches a bill miller interview and then goes and
thinks that if they just like buy bitcoin on coinbase and keep it there that executive order
6102 can't happen like that's like that their bitcoin can't be seized like obviously it fucking
can very easily yeah not your keys not your coins there's there's a spectrum of going full coinbase
full zappo custody to running your own node on tour uh using a hardware wallet you constructed
from uh everyday parts that you can find the computer um completely offline there you can
unchained exists. You can do collaborative custody.
You can set up a multi-sig
with friends and family.
At least have some control
of your keys.
Do not just keep it on Coinbase.
Especially if you're rich. Sailor.
When are you going to start custodying your own Bitcoin?
You got to do that in-house. Bring it in-house.
He might custody his own personal stash.
I wouldn't be surprised that.
Look at you being all judgy over there.
Man.
I was channeling my inner
Adele.
uh talked about kazakhstan last week obviously there's been an uprising there again no comment
on whether or not it's a russia influence uscia influenced chinese influence i have no idea
honestly probably there's probably there's i shouldn't be laughing it's fucked up but there's
probably uh influence from all the agents all the major agencies right now over there yeah there's
definitely fuckery going around i don't know what the fuckery is but we do know that there are food
cash shortages spreading as kazakhstan continues to throttle the internet i i thought this article
was interesting because um you know obviously all well all the bitcoin haters are like oh look what
happens when internet gets cut in a nation like you can't spend bitcoin or you can't mine bitcoin
easily like uh like this is a fault against bitcoin but like you cut internet in a modern
country and you just knock them back into the stone age like you just fuck it every single
aspect of society is dependent on internet nowadays um and it's not that's not a unique
situation with bitcoin no it's a i mean it's if you're the internet goes off if they shut the
internet off the grid off like bitcoin's not going to help you the dollar's not going to help you
But the Bitcoin can still help.
So if you're in a situation where only your country cuts the internet, Bitcoin is independent of that country, right?
So if you find a way to connect to the internet at some point in the future, you're going to have access to that Bitcoin.
Obviously, that value should be independent of your government or whatever.
In this case, there are some ATMs that are still operating.
The government has put capital controls on their on the cash machines as well. Right. So they have full. They're squeezing they're squeezing their people from every fucking side. And I still think, you know, in that kind of situation, you know, Bitcoin is a massive tool for people. It's just going to be more difficult to use.
um obviously things like guns and ammo are also very useful in those kind of situations
and soap and food independence soap cigarettes alcohol bullets water
apparently soaps uh water is pretty important yeah water is very important
hopefully it doesn't get to that or in kazakhstan it's getting to that point hopefully it doesn't
get to that point in other parts of the world if you're in kazakhstan and you're a freak and
you're struggling through this our hearts are with you it's fucking again i i can't speak to
anything that's going on there on the ground i just honestly don't know um don't want to sound
like an idiot but i hope you guys are staying strong it's fucked man when geopolitics affects
the little guy it's a thing it's all these geopolitical games over money war the war
machine whatever it may be what is at the the center of all this the the money printer the
global money printer that governments and central banks can't stay away from
take that away from them and i think they'll have a harder time doing all this bullshit that they're
doing um before we get to shout outs i just had to say um i want to address something that's been
eating away at me all week last rhr i brought shame to my family and i wanted to clear the air
i'd like to sincerely apologize to ben the carman for shooting him off camera shooing him off camera
last week he's a gem in the bitcoin community does not deserve this kind of treatment from
anyone let alone someone who can never fully comprehend the genius that lies in his coding
ability i mean no ill will and i hope this apology will make that clear to my family
my community and to Ben the car man and seeking to make my amends known to all and forever my wife
and I would like to announce that the next bent bitcoiner our next child will be named Ben
is our hope that this act will bring a peaceful resolution between myself and the council of Ben's
I know I can never undo the damage done in shooing Ben the car man but I'll seek every
opportunity possible to rebuild the bridges I single-handedly burnt down thanks for hearing
me out freaks uh that was something i was forced to read because somebody paid for a shout out
obviously somebody from the council of bends it seems like i do not apologize i do not apologize
i will read the shout out but i don't apologize wasn't there a last sentence there that you didn't
read uh thanks for hearing me out freaks that was the last one oh it didn't say now i'll continue
to the shout outs no i didn't i didn't did you help somebody with us and i might have had a
little bit of advanced notice next shout out hi marty matt don't get me started on how much i
love your content yeah i won't i won't uh i have shit coins from long ago when i was younger and
dumber i'm seeking the best way to convert them to btc in the most non-kyc way my idea is to use
the exchange within the Atomic or Exodus wallet as they both require no info to use. I think they
use Shapeshift or Changely. I'd be glad to pay their extra fees for no KYC Bitcoin. Does this
work? At the very least, it must be better than one of the big exchanges. Also, taxes on these
swaps as well as mining rewards from Compass Mining are significant. How does one balance
the need for privacy while also trying to not take chances with taxes is the idea to break
heuristics while still paying the appropriate taxes i don't mind paying the taxes i just recoil
from the privacy infringements thank you both for your massively important work thank you freak for
listening thank you for the shout out thank you for the kind words and i don't have a year position
getting out of shit coins into bitcoin and with the path of least resistance in terms of
having to provide
personal identifying
information
changely or
shapeshift
I'm pretty sure
it doesn't
shapeshift KYC
didn't they
oh no no
shapeshift removed KYC
because they like
they're using like
they're like a DAO now
or something right
I don't know
yeah
um
when it comes to taxes
pay your taxes
yeah
when it comes to like
mining income
talk to an accountant
yeah talk to
market his income
pay income taxes on that
I think like if
unless you get audited i don't think you have to share your addresses if you're mining um i think
you still have privacy you just have to tell the government hey i made some income and i'm gonna
pay taxes on it i don't even think you have to declare it as like bitcoin the dominated revenue
either i'm not a tax accountant i'm not a lawyer yeah talk to your account yeah don't talk don't
take it don't take advice from uncle marty on this stuff that's what i understand though
pay your taxes freaks
hello Marty and Matt
I hope your 2022
is going well
I really appreciate
the work you both do
to San Diego
Bitcoiners
the San Diego
blood
the San Diego
Bitcoiners
meetup
has a very special
event planned on
Saturday
January 29th
yours truly will be
presenting
buying Bitcoin
privately with BISC
so it could help out
our last shout out guy
your podcast often
emphasizes the importance
of privacy
and the evils of KYC
and a surveillance discount.
Just went over it a little bit.
I hope to use my experience
with the platform
to show how easily it is
to reduce personal
identifying information risk
and starve the centralized
rehypothecating price
manipulating honeypots
that we call exchanges of income
they make off of our data.
Hashtag geton0kyc
RSVP at meetup.com
slash sdbitcoiners
That's meetup.com
slash sdbitcoiners
or DM me.
cheers gents
Corey San Diego
at infarmacist
at I-N-P-H-A-R-M-A-T-I-C-I-S-T
and then he has
his message signature
as always
and you can verify it
it's a
H-T-T-P
colon
backslash
backslash
signatures.corey
with a C
C-O-R-E-Y
dot L-O-L
slash shoutout
dot T-X-T
and you can verify
verify
at keybase.io
slash verify
great thanks for reading that
no you're welcome
shout out to the San Diego Bitcoiners
I fucking love how strong like meetups
are becoming around the world
it's super powerful
yeah
it is
I mean we said first episode of the year
last episode of last year I forget which one it was
one of the most promising
trends of 2021
and that was the
proliferation of bit devs and bitcoin
meetups all over the country all over the world and it only seems to get be getting stronger
um also dispatch this week on tuesday is focused on uh kyc trade-offs i got laser huddle
did you say sunday zelko and stefan lavera coming on on tuesday
wow tuesday i thought you said sunday no dispatch um be here you got a weird time zone because of
stefan you're doing no no all right sweet i think it's i think it's 5 p.m eastern 2200 utc
be there be square freaks be there be square kyc trade-offs um what else do we have on the list
we're done shout outs we've got software updates electris version 0.9.4 has been released
blue wallet version 6.2.16 has been released mercury wallet version 0.5.6 has been released
t-dex version 1.2.2 has been released foundation passport version 1.0.8 has been released
hexa wallet version 2.0.67 has been released and samurai wallet version 0.99.98b has been released
if you're running any of these softwares just be aware that these updates are available to you
you don't have to rush to download any of these as there are no pressing bugs or vulnerabilities
the samurai one is samurai if you update it to 99.98 a uh whirlpool crashes sometimes so you
need to upgrade to 99.98 b nothing crazy no no funds at risk right no yeah just a world
very annoying and i think they like had they released a code like sorry for the crashes or
something i don't think that's the exact code but uh i had a great conversation with christopher
allen and wolf mcnally wolf who i was not previously aware of but the team for blockchain
and I highly recommend you freaks go check that out if anything just to get back to basics on
just like low level Bitcoin stuff and things that we need to be thinking about from a design
perspective as we scale particularly we're talking about interoperability between
lightning network implementations earlier but go deeper than that or more fundamental than that
between Bitcoin wallet software, things like derivation pass and having somebody download
a treasure, being able to communicate with a cold card, with a ledger, with a blue wallet,
whatever it may be. It's not as straightforward at the moment as one would expect. And the team
at Blockchain Commons being led by Christopher Allen is working on bringing some of these
standardization
specs to market so that
we can build
these wallet softwares
in parallel and have users
be able to interact with each other
as time goes on. It's something to think about
now because if you develop a bunch of tech
tech debts and a bunch of
wallet providers go in different
directions, it could be a complete shit show in the future.
Cheers to that.
you have any thoughts on wallet standardization
is that a weird thing like is it
like taboo to standardize
yeah
I have respect
for Christopher so I'm not going
to
I don't know I just I don't know if it needs
I think
sometimes people go a little bit crazy
on wallet standardization
why come on get into it
get into it it's early days right so exactly that's it's it's a permissionless system you
can build on top of it like we should be experimenting with novel different ways of
using bitcoin like maybe it's a little bit too early to be standardizing and maybe we should
not have like a centralized standardization body in bitcoin like that is a little bit
I agree with that.
Dangerous.
But if you get into, the way I look at it,
if you get into the Gordian principles that they talk about,
you just want to make sure that people don't lose funds.
The way I view it, standardize.
If you're going to have a wild software, make sure it's able,
especially if you're going to recover from seed,
to easily find that seed and be prepared for a specific derivation path.
I don't see that as constrictive, is it?
i mean it can be in certain situations but in general like yeah i mean like it's like
there's been a lot of benefits from bit 39 standardization on like seed phrases
um that you can recover if people use similar derivation paths you can recover using that
seed into other wallets and stuff like that um there's obviously benefits there um i think
there's just a part of like what the approach is necessarily um i think you know people should be
open to uh innovating and playing with things like you know i don't know i i don't know if
seeds are the end all be all of bitcoin um really they might be but they might not be what do you
mean by that like what could you say what would you see arising outside of seeds well i mean for
starters you know seed backups don't work for lightning what do you mean by that like you can't
they just they for lightning you need to constantly update your your state yeah which is why most
lightning wallets use some kind of cloud backup system because you have to constantly update it
um because your channel state's constantly changing yeah that makes sense so is everyone
going to be using lightning in the future or is that just a meme we say i don't know
what do you think do you think i don't know are you getting there here no no my no my point is
is just like i feel like it could be a little bit early to you know like i like the idea
have wallet developers uh playing with things and and do try and do novel things you know
i do too i'm not saying people shouldn't be able to do that i'm saying there should be
no so i mean christopher once again a lot of respect for christopher like he decided to do
like a whole twitter thread about how moon was dangerous because it wasn't it was a non-standard
practice right now moon with two u's is like a very novel wallet that is trying to do novel
things and is like thinking outside the box like does moon need to be standardized as well
like that's their prerogative right let them try and figure out novel things that interact
with lightning and on chain i agree with that is there a trade-off though yeah the trade-off
a lack of standardization no but there's a trade-off of like of having like a sufficient
quote-unquote center when i think standardization i think like moon wallet like if i create a seed
somewhere it should be easy for me to recover on moon wallet and then to send to another wall
there's no seeds in moon wallet no okay that's like one of the main complaints how do you back up
um you have a backup file and you have a app generated password for that encrypts that backup
file so you save the app generated password and then you save the backup file either on the cloud
or you can save it you know the hard drive no yeah you can save it locally you can do like the share
thing where it goes to another app like you can save it like signal has it's like little note to
self thing that's like an encrypted basically like little cloud storage thing you can save it there
you can save it wherever you want um it's a pdf you can print it but it's encrypted so you also
need the code and like are funds at risk of loss because that's a non-standard thing sure yeah in
some cases um but uh i just think it's like i i just i we're we're to think that we know you
know everything about bitcoin and like what the best bitcoin ux is um right now it's like i just
it's i don't think that's the case like i think there's going to be a lot of interesting
novel ways of doing bitcoin using bitcoin and i think options are good for users
i do as well i don't think any standardization precludes options
things can be made into standards and i think but christopher specifically i think isn't is
experience particularly with writing specs for tls which is what ssl runs on is very interesting
because that's gotten to a point where there weren't there weren't great standards set early
on and they've gotten to a point where there's like very few developers in the world can actually
maintain that because they they know everything sort of interacts with each other so the way i
took his explanation of that experience bringing it to bitcoin is like all right how do we avoid
that does standardization help that like i said i haven't listened i haven't listened to the
conversation yet um what the hell man i mean look there's a lot of standard bodies and and
in that in that sphere that is just very centralized but like we were like uh who was
the one he did mention um he did mention the mozilla thing what's it web three yeah
mentioned that i was like i don't know like you were like we were going off on them uh like a
couple episodes ago like seven eight ten episodes ago um because they came out as what they came out
as anti-Bitcoin, right? Anti-proof of work. There are real concerns of having centralized
rent-seeking standardization bodies that bully the majority of the industry to do certain things
and then can get easily captured. And Bitcoin is supposed to be this beautiful,
permissionless system. So there is a balance there. And I don't think it's a black and white
thing no no i agree with you 100 like i don't want these large i don't want like a standards body
like a bunch of suits like deciding yeah i'm thinking of something like bitcoin
design guide just applied to like what options you should give users when it comes to like seed
recovery and being able to spend do you think every bitcoin wallet should be backed up with a
seed i don't know that like that's my point like i don't know but like that's
but yeah again i think we're coming to it from different angles like i i i think you're you're
thinking i'm saying this and we need standards so like everybody has to do it this way i'm saying
like if you have wallets that have allowed people to create private public key pairs with backup
seed phrase with a certain derivation path like for those users they should be able to recover
that seed on anyone i mean which means being prepared for all those different derivation
paths the way i understand it at least um yeah i mean i guess i i'm thinking of that specific chris
christopher thread about moon wallet or like you just attack them for being so-called non-standard
yeah with your use yeah it'll be interesting it was one thing i didn't push push back when i got
buried the uh the wc3 or whatever the hell it's called w3c right w3c yeah i uh and like that thing
too like so like that happened right and like so he did that tweet thread and i got tagged by a
bunch of people um because you know i like moon wallet like i'm a fan of moon wallet i use it all
the time two years um so so what did i do like i was like i can put you in touch with dario
snyderman the lead maintainer of moon wallet and i was like maybe have like a productive
conversation or whatever and that just like never really materialized like i created a group chat
between the three of us and just um you know i kind of felt the vibe of it's like my way or the
highway oh really just didn't like that vibe okay well it's good to know i did not know this
information did you see weirdo robert moon wallet question mark spelled with two o's
it's a good troll it's a very good troll um no i'm very interested to see this
conversation evolve the way i came at it um just like thinking about like something like
that happened last year with like trezor when they pushed an update that completely
borked hwi that people have been working on for a while um just creates a headache
i believe multi-sig funds were at risk at some point for certain setups i don't think that was
because of hwi though right those are two separate things i think the same trezor update affected
uh both i mean i would say like there's probably better argument to be made about
hardware signing devices whether those are hardware wallets or whatnot because
there there are massive advantages uh that like you get a cold card and you can use it with like
sparrow specter electrum bitcoin core like it's dope that you can just use it with a bunch of
different blue wallet right like you can use it with a bunch of different software wallets
so there has to be more collaboration there um but i think like you know the next five six
billion people to use bitcoin are going to be using mobile wallets agreed and i think there
is a lot of room for experimentation and you know novel strategies in the mobile wallet space like
if you think we've hit pinnacle mobile wallets right now like you have not used mobile wallets
like we are not anywhere fucking close to it yet no we will get there though i mean most people are
going to be using bitcoin mobile first yeah just like most people do everything mobile first
exactly in this world so prepare no i'm very interested this is uh an interesting conversation
i'm sure will be continued um that being said the tools that they're building
blockchain commons are really cool seed tool actually creating uh the u the qr code standard
and the ur standard that they're creating is is really cool too um it really makes psbts
a bit easier on certain devices so go check out the conversation uh on to more bullish things
Alex Gladstein got his hands on a piece of a deck that Fidelity or a report that Fidelity sent out.
And Fidelity seems to think that there's going to be more nation state adoption of Bitcoin
in the Fidelity report. They said, we also think there's a very high stakes game theory at play
here, whereby if Bitcoin adoption increases, the countries that secure some Bitcoin today
will be better off competitively than their peers. Therefore, even if other countries do
not believe in the investment thesis or adoption of bitcoin they will be forced to acquire some
as a form of insurance in other words a small cost can be paid today as a hedge compared to a
potentially much larger larger cost years in the future we therefore wouldn't be surprised to see
other sovereign nation states acquire bitcoin in 2022 um the long wind way of saying the the epic
goldstein tweet from a few years ago or the only one i fucking love that tweet the only one of my
favorite tweets on bitcoin twitter the the only winning move is to play um
even though i messed up the bitstein tweets i was doing the
the reservoir dogs mexican shootout or bitcoin consensus this is bitcoin consensus oh i like
that one too well i like that movie that movie is a fucking classic i think it might be my favorite
tarantino flick um reservoir dogs it makes me always like just miss that we like missed like
the great period
of American Diners.
Oh.
That movie.
Don't say that.
Yeah.
We were never able
to smoke in diners.
It would be great
to have like a...
Just like unlimited coffee
for like 50 cents
just chilling
smoking cigarettes.
Eating eggs.
Banter with...
The American Diner
is still pretty strong
in like outside of cities
but like
there was a
there was definitely
like peak diner
that happened
before we were born oh yes and like i feel like that movie very very much highlights it the
shout out to jimmy's diner in in williamsburg it shut down during the covid pandemic but that was
that was a good a good diner i used to meet many a bitcoiner at for breakfast
i love i'm a i'm a big diner guy myself you know who i met this week i met kyle from pleb lab
Austin Bitcoin Club
finally
he made the trip to Nashville
yeah great dude
yeah incredible dude
part of the reason I'm hungover
how many people showed up last night
I mean he doesn't drink
so it's not his fault
I was having a great time with him
was that the largest turnout
what at national national everything prices people like are such you know uh
people with such fair weather friends of fans like it was i mean there was like 160 people there
but it's you know price really we even see that with like we saw that with new york bit devs like
even though it's a highly technical conversation like price really does change uh whether or not
people come out um but there was like yeah like i said there was like 160 people there
uh it was a good it was a good crew hell yeah hell yeah rider dies proper rider does
it's always going to be a rider die that's where you learn the most too is in the bear market you
can actually focus on these interesting interesting topics um speaking of interesting topics uh rep
Tom Emmer from the great state of Minnesota
introduced a bill prohibiting the bank
from issuing a central bank digital currency
directly to individuals.
And he has long thread under this tweet
that goes in to something we've been describing
on this podcast for some while,
which is this would be a terrible thing to happen
if the Fed were to issue a CBDC
and take over for commercial banks
and essentially be the only way
that Americans interact with the monetary system
Can you read the thread? Because this is pretty crazy coming from a sitting representative. Especially the privacy parts. Read that part.
As other countries like China develop CBDCs that fundamentally omit the benefits and protections of cash, it is more important than ever to ensure the United States' digital currency policy protects financial privacy, maintains the dollar's dominance, and cultivates innovation.
CBDCs that fail to adhere to these three basic principles could enable an entity like the Federal Reserve to mobilize itself into a retail bank, collect personally identifiable information on users, and track their transactions indefinitely.
Not only does the CBDC model raise single point of failure issues, leaving Americans' financial information vulnerable to attack, but it could be used as a surveillance tool that Americans should never be forced to tolerate from their own government.
Requiring users to open an account at the Fed to access the United States CBDC would put the Fed on an insidious path akin to China's digital authoritarianism.
Any CBDC implemented by the Fed must be open, permissionless, and private.
This means that any digital dollar must be accessible to all,
transact on a blockchain that is transparent to all,
and maintain the privacy elements of cash.
In order to maintain the dollar status as the world's reserve currency in a digital age,
it is important that the United States lead with the posture that prioritizes innovation
and does not aim to compete with the private sector.
simply put we must prioritize blockchain technology with american characteristics
rather than mimic china's digital authoritarianism out of fear representative tom emmer hell of a
rant and i've got a very pleasant surprise for you uh there is a blockchain technology that uh
has american characteristics i love that term american characteristics stays true to the ideals
this country was founded on it's called bitcoin baby it's been around since january 3rd 2000
love it that's pretty crazy isn't that pretty crazy coming from a congressman
yeah it's pretty incredible um tom emmer has been like a good advocate too it's good to see this
coming out of minnesota as well um somebody in the comments that fly over country i don't like
the term fly over country right it's drive-through country yes these are uh these are good people
doing good things in the middle of the country uh and yeah i mean it's heating up like this is
actually incredible like having this on the floor the fed cannot create a cbdc we do not want to
compete with china because that's what the cbdc will lead to if it's done in this fashion you
have complete surveillance you'll have complete control over money and that is not true to the
American characteristics that we would like to uphold and so like drawing that line in the sand
with this bill is massive props to Rep Tom Hammer because this is true we either get the child
Chinese social credit surveillance system exported here or we're we're able to break free and it's
interesting because you have this posturing like we're going to have a U.S dollar digital currency
but it can't be issued by the feds it's got to be free it's got to be open it's got to be
permissionless like what if it does become something like a synthetic uh contract for
difference a cfd on the lightning network like what if that's the the only one we allow if we
pass this bill which i doubt it gets passed do you do you think it has any chance of making
no i mean it has zero chance probably but uh it's still it's still you know an important
precedent i think even if it has no legal bearing i mean it's all written there right yes the
narratives are shifting the conversation is happening that's important i mean you have
like the focus on privacy and the calling out a single point calling out a single point of failure
and the privacy aspect is pretty big it's pretty big but i think i think people don't talk about
financial privacy you know no but he's definitely thinking like taking a cypherpunk adversarial
approach to this digital monetary system talking about like single points of failure like when
was that a a common uh saying single points of failure outside of like military talk
before people started talking about like these distributed systems
yeah i mean i i mean i haven't i definitely haven't heard any congressman talk about anything
close to that no they are trading a lot though see those uh they're killing it
they're crushing it is amazing traders it has nothing to do with inside information whatsoever
uh speaking of countries spying and being despotic i think there's one thing i could probably i don't
know if i the thing is like this whole thing like uh in a post-bitcoin world you can't stop
politicians from trading so the point is moot if the idea is that uh
like i saw some people on my feed like advocating for for politicians not to be allowed to trade
like that they need like a basically like a blind trust or something where they have like a money
manager that is managing their money for them that they don't have any control over um but to me that
like in a post bitcoin world like if we actually have censorship resistance free financial markets
um like all is fair like there's no there's no way you can stop that kind of trading no
I mean, you just have to create better incentives.
Like, how does that trading happen, right?
Like, you're at the back end of the bad incentive network
as insiders.
The front end is insiders in the form of lobbyists
are able to pay for access to the proximity
of the politicians who they can then hand
basically lobbyists' written laws to
to get pushed into law.
The money printer allows that to happen
and bribing allows that to happen.
And the incentives of getting more cheap debt
incentivize that to happen.
And then that's happening.
And then the politician is just piggybacking
onto that bad incentive structure
and saying, hey, I know what's going to happen.
So I'm going to put some chips on Pfizer here.
Yeah.
Does Bitcoin fix this?
Maybe, we'll see.
no that's what i'm saying bitcoin doesn't fix that right no i mean i think bitcoin cements
inside like is is is does insider trading exist in a free market
yeah i mean no it's just a market pricing things yeah like insider trading is a term
that's created by regulators yeah i mean insider trading what is it really it's it's uh it's pricing
in events in the future exactly it's uh the efficient market hypothesis at play if you
believe in the efficient market hypothesis insider tradings
uh necessarily is the most efficient market when people who know the information make a move
immediately um yeah again you fix the incentives the incentives are all that lead to
insider trading i would argue um get back to a world where cash flows and
actually creating valuable useful products uh is more important than than just pumping the
price of your stocks i mean i guess like you have like all these assets that are like basically just
monetized uh significantly because the money's broken so if yeah uh if most people are just
holding their wealth in bitcoin long term because they expect to you know it to appreciate in
purchasing power then all of a sudden you start to see real estate and stocks get demonetized to
a degree and then in that situation we're kind of all just aligned on pumping the price of bitcoin
yes we're all insider trading but i don't know if bitcoin fixes it won't it won't fix shitty
people it doesn't doesn't fit yeah it doesn't fix corrupt politicians but again
you can fix the incentives that enable these politicians to be more corrupt than they
otherwise would had the framework of operation been changed via the inability to access cheap
debt that is enabled by money printing. And from there, again, externalities, ripple effects,
blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. But speaking, we'll see if that comes to fruition in the future.
i do i have an inclination that it certainly helps again but it's not going to solve the
problem what do you think about bitcoin goblins question do monopolies exist in a
he did quotes free market
and they certainly form yeah depends yeah obviously i mean there will be monopolies
in a free market that i think that's fine that is you know that is capitalism that is competition
If someone can break that monopoly, then by offering a better product or being more efficient,
then they will break that monopoly and they'll have a massive incentive to do so.
My bigger issue is basically state-sanctioned monopolies where you don't have a free market
and the state is basically granting monopoly powers to different companies or actors, which
i think is more of the case when you see things that closely resemble monopolies like kroger
in uh in america right now yeah well we i mean we've talked about this in recent weeks like
particularly as a in relation to like meat processing it's not a monopoly in the sense
it's an oligopoly where the the government via strict regulation over how food is handled has
essentially allowed this oligopoly to develop where very few less than five companies control
something like 90 of the meat uh in the country yeah that's all government done yeah similar like
if it was a proper free market there'd be more competition there yes and like we have some guys
in the comments saying like monopolies mean zero competition at the definition like it's just
literally one player um obviously we're talking about the shades of gray in between yes i mean
standard oil is i mean they were essentially a monopoly but they had to get broken up uh
into a bunch of oil and gas companies but there were competitors outside of them as well
again you get into the nitty-gritty of economic theory what what is described in the textbook but
as matt described there's often gray areas in the real world that don't allow that that perfect
theoretical situation to play out in the wild human nature man it's it's one one funny thing
always creating these variables that you can never predict because you can't model the human mind
while we're on corruption amnesty international is out verifying that el salvador
the government of el salvador is using pegasus spyware against journalists which isn't a good
look matt matt car and the name of the pegasus spyware app that they installed was called chiva
well no i'm kidding hey and well don't be surprised if it is um this is not great um
they're spying on journalists they're they're hacking their phones
it's there's two organizations here that verified this yeah the access now in the citizen lab
the other link if you click the joint investigation car um yeah this one is more in depth but um
um yeah i mean i think bitcoiners should be rightfully upset about this uh i think
salvadorans should obviously be um concerned but in places where journalists are attacked
uh that is not usually a good sign uh places where you don't have free press
um historically have resulted in repression by the government yeah i mean we covered the hong kong
protests pretty heavily in late 2019 leading into 2020 people seem to have forgotten about
that particularly after the whole covid thing that conveniently got brushed under the rug but
one of the main strategies they used to eventually subdue the spirit of the hong kongers
was to defeat the press i mean they've
pretty systematically dismantled freedom of the press in hong kong over the last three years
and now china's just got full reign over hong kong um and so it's obviously a tactic used by
authoritarian regimes and so if it's happening in el salvador yes it's great that el salvador
are very vocal and loud advocates of of bitcoin but um matt carr and i were discussing before we
record about this topic particularly like yeah you can't hold anybody who who advocates for
bitcoin on a pedestal or ourselves included um yeah the hero worship from the bitcoin community
is getting a little bit out of hand here um bitcoin will be fine i'll be fine whatever um
just my two sats uh it's uh and i mean unless we didn't even talk we've never talked about it on
the show but like bukele like took all the he took a bunch of money from china for uh their
new soccer stadium i think a new library too um so he's taking chinese money he's holding the
country's keys in america and he's spying on like took kicked out a bunch of judges
packed the court spying on journalists
beware
beware freaks
because I mean
that's
again
I worry about
the mining
because this is a good
transition to the
mining stuff too
like people
just setting up
for narrative failure
in the future
again
who's to say
how
President Bukele's
his tenure
as president ends maybe it's a good note maybe human rights at the end of the day wind up uh
increasing this uh this report for amnesty international seems to prove a data point in
the other direction we won't know until we know but again don't hold these people up on a pedestal
don't create these narratives like look at this president in this country adopting bitcoin it's
great i think it's a data point should be acknowledged and discussed but don't bet the
whole house on on this being like the the picture of of bitcoin certainly part of the story and
everything that's going on but despotic regimes will use bitcoin to their advantage as well we've
seen it in venezuela um very visibly they've confiscated mining equipment plugged it in for
themselves mine for themselves trying to scam people other bitcoin for passports um all that
all that stuff um so bitcoin is money for enemies anybody can use it anybody can leverage in
into it just because somebody does doesn't mean uh you need to worship them hero worship as matt
matt describes it yeah hero worship uh i think it will end up disappointing in the long run and
Similar in the Bitcoin mining industry, hero worshipping like green, quote unquote, renewable energy and saying that Bitcoin is going to incentivize and create cheaper energy generation, which I think is true to a certain extent.
But I think the lengths through which the mining industry, particularly North America, is trying to stretch their necks to say, no, it's 100% renewable is just a bad strategy and only setting up for a narrative failure in the future when that turns out not to be true.
And everybody goes, the Bitcoin mining industry, you told us it was going to be 100% renewable.
It's like, well, it's not.
And so therefore, Bitcoin's a failure.
You guys are liars.
We just don't set ourselves up for failure in that way.
Just own it.
bitcoin uses a lot of energy using energy isn't bad it's a good thing it makes us more energy
efficient and it can help lead to an overproduction of necessary electricity for the grid which could
lead to cheaper electricity but there will be more energy used and there's something that the
world has to come to grips with it's okay bitcoin use a lot a lot of energy it's going to use more
in the process it's going to make us more energy efficient it's going to usher in a sound
monetary system. And, uh, we think that that'll be a very, very much so a net benefit for
the world. Um, but whether it comes to presidents or the energy, uh, the source of the energy
that you're using for your mining, don't set up bad narratives to try to appease people.
And so, yeah, this is again, Bitcoin mining.
this is what i said earlier that we can't say uh the fed will never hike rates
why do you say that because like they're gonna do it a little bit right
and people are like oh your narrative failed yeah exactly exactly um yeah this is i mean
obviously bitcoin mining is going to be thrust into the conversation over the next two weeks
in the u.s particularly elizabeth warren is calling a subcommittee particularly about the
bitcoin mining industry and its energy consumption uh she's painting it to be this this massive
polluter that's leading to the oceans being boiled and we're destroying the world because
the bitcoin mining industry is using so much energy it's and i believe inefficient is and
wasteful is the words and the descriptors that this committee is going to be running with uh
nothing could be further from the truth as you can see from this chart the bitcoin hash rate heat
rate uh over time i thought the title of that chart was bitcoin hash rate house rate
bitcoin hash rate heat rate which is the jewels uh the the jewels per terahash um the amount of
heat needed to create a terror hash um via bitcoin a6 has gone down significantly over time in 2010
It was 13,333.33 joules a terahash in 2020, two years ago, that dropped down to 36.75%.
So the amount of heat necessary to produce a terahash has fallen significantly over time,
which basically what that means is that the actual process of producing hashes that could
potentially allow you to mine a Bitcoin block have gotten significantly more efficient with
the heat that they're using.
So Bitcoin mining has only gotten more efficient over time as it's consumed more energy.
And then again, the energy it is consuming, very strong economic incentives in Bitcoin.
It's going to be cheap energy, which is usually stranded or wasted or does not have access to greater connectivity yet.
And this is a good thing.
People are going to hit the hill and talk with congressmen and try to like points renewable this, renewable that, green this, green that.
and I just say we own it.
Bitcoin uses a lot of energy.
It's going to use more in the process.
Hopefully we can bring more cheap
and abundant energy
to the rest of the world.
Beware though.
Bitcoin is going to be dragged
in front of the hill
in the next two weeks
displaying themselves
to Elizabeth Warren.
Why do you use so much energy?
What would your response be?
You're on the hill.
Elizabeth Warren screaming in your face.
Bitcoin deniers hate the environment
you just stop there
yeah just walk out
you just you like take your Kroger
brand pineapple juice you just like drop
you leave the plastic bag behind
recycle
last point I had for this
rip in the same
in the same vein I just want to pull up
is alex epstein thread on esg we're gonna link to this in the show notes but he does a very
thorough dismantling of the esg narrative and highlights i think we should be leaning into
this like divesting from fossil fuels is immoral and the world needs more energy like energy demand
is only going to be increasing from here like all this divestment from natural gas
nuclear oil specifically is actually a detriment to humanity. It's increasing electricity prices
and it's hurting the poor the most. We've been saying this ad nauseum at this podcast
for quite some time now, but I think Alex Epstein did a very good, much more eloquent job of
explaining the ills of ESG in a Substack post that he wrote that he also turned into a Twitter
thread so we're gonna link to that go check it out these people are using fear spells um and
they're they're making humanity worse off we should start leaning into this instead of trying
to hide behind like renewable energy like that's what we're going to find is bitcoiners like the
whole renewable energy meme it's going to die because it's undeniable that this stuff is
unreliable not scalable and making people worse off reducing the quality of life for for people
who are subjected to regressing to less energy sources like be if be better than the narrative
of the day go to where the puck's going and the puck is going to it is blatantly obvious
that esg and environmental arping is doing more harm than good so let's just beat them there own
it uh and and tell them hey we're going to be hashing thank you for it there's like a middle
ground what do you mean like do you think like no i won't use the term renewable because i i i can
agree with you that there's a you know some logical issues with the term it's more of a
narrative term but you don't think there's use for solar or wind energy i do i do i just think
it's more an individual scale like what they're just more expensive than people make it seem
But it exists as an option for people.
Yes, for individuals.
I do not think wind and solar should even join the conversation
when it comes to creating baseloads of energy for grids.
That's where the ESG, the Build Back Better, the Green New Deal
is trying to transition baseload energy,
which is just the base amount of energy needed
to supply energy and electricity to residential grids
that we're using right now.
like this the grid that is providing the electricity that is powering are set up here
today uh i don't think should be backed by wind and solar because again they're unreliable
intermittent sources i do think like yeah i do think there is a mix that makes that could make
sense in certain areas where yes i'm not saying like no wind and solar allowed but it's like the
conversation where they're trying to force it is wind and solar and hydro are the only base loads
that we're allowed to use and that's just very dangerous well i mean so my thought is like
so i guess solar specifically right because uh solar specifically is interesting to me because
uh usually if we're talking about nuclear are we talking about wind or we're talking about hydro
this is like kind of things that like either a large corporation or a state sanctioned
large corporation or the state itself kind of needs to develop an infrastructure wise right
but is there not like a individual sovereignty aspect of of solar or like diesel generators
or or i guess not gas wells if you live in a place but um but like so so what i was so what
what brings this conversation about is so dread was posting he had an m30s uh what's minor
in jamaica that he had plugged into a dryer socket because it was 220 and he said this single rig
makes more money than the average jamaican makes um on a daily basis and then someone was like
yeah but you're in kingston and you're paying 50 cents a kilowatt hour um which is if you don't
know energy to the freaks that don't know energy prices that's like fucking insanely expensive
compared to america yeah now that jamaican who lives in kingston like they can't set up nuclear
energy they can't use nat gas they can't do hydro or wind or any other kind of power situation
but they could get they could source solar panels and like is it going to be like the best
uh most reliable energy source like no but there's like an individual sovereignty aspect to it right
that they can just buy the solar panels deploy them and they don't have to ask permission from
anybody yeah no i i'm completely fine with that i think that makes sense and people should do that
if they can um if you're desperate like yeah like if you if you desperately need to like if your
infrastructure is failing you there's there is there is there not a sovereignty argument to solar
yeah there definitely is um but again when it comes to like grid we're not talking like sovereign
right now that's let's make sure the lights are out of my house for me like with my off-grid
setup here but like trying like what these people are trying to do esg and
these environmentalist movements trying to get us off natural gas nuclear oil and coal right
like they're and i'm not saying like the the the solar is necessarily environment more
environmentally friendly or something i'm just saying like from from a purely individual
sovereignty point of view there's there's an argument there yeah for solar specifically yeah
i would prefer natural gas well like i would look for land yeah but i mean there's just no
natural gas wells in kingston jamaica no no not kingston jamaica yeah you'd probably be better
off with wind or solar there or maybe even hydro to find a waterfall yeah i mean hydro is harder
to do on a small scale but you can do it on a small scale yeah well oil for the wind and just
Go get that whale fat, put it in a...
Don't kill a whale, freaks.
That was how we got most of our lamp oil
for quite a while.
We were killing whales.
And soap and perfume, whale fat.
If you find some whale fat on the beach,
I think it's still the key ingredient in perfume.
It's much more valuable than gold, apparently.
We don't need more volcanoes.
Yeah, it's the other thing too, like geothermal.
I think this stuff too, like go poke a hole
and not available in kingston jamaica no no well i'm just thinking generally um well that's the
thing about mining right with mining the whole cool part about bitcoin mining is that like it
doesn't have to be where like geography yeah but like when we're talking about like our lives
and we're talking about like trying to be more sovereign and more independent
yeah i feel like i i feel like i feel like marty bent gives solar a little bit
too much shit when there's like there's some massive sovereignty aspects there yes and i
i would agree i can come off that way but again i had to stress that my i had no beef with winter
solar like in and of themselves even though i do think they're marketed very disingenuously
uh i'm against baseload electricity on grids being provided by unreliable energy sources like
wind and solar because these are nuanced conversations like yeah you can have i don't
care if you have a fucking solar panel or wind turbine in your backyard like just don't try to
force a fucking city to use that as their only source of electricity because it's going to lead
to rolling blackouts um yeah we should just have little mini nuke reactors in every house that's
other thing too i think i saw a stat this week like since 1971 funnily enough when there was a
nuclear regulatory body put in place not one new reactor has been approved or something like that
i mean i used to be when i was growing up i was like a big uh like i love popular mechanics and
popular science magazines and stuff and like if you read the ones from like the late 60s early
70s and stuff they like were they were expecting like a reactor in every household
i hope we get back to thinking that way but like that's a perfect example right i mean
first of all that might happen but like flying cars stuff like that like when people try
i think it's it's important that we're all humble i mean just going back to like our earlier
standardization conversation about bitcoin like that we're all humble enough to realize like
we can't really fathom how bitcoin will be used in 10 years um if you ask me in like 2014
you know to envision some of the things in bitcoin today i had no fucking idea if you
asked me like three years ago some of this shit i could have not i couldn't have fathomed
um so and that says someone who's like obsessed with it and paying attention all the time
constantly thinking about that shit still caught off guard so there's a lot of things that we just
can't even um fathom yeah i said fathom like three times so i was looking for a synonym but
yeah we literally can't but we literally can't fathom that like and i hope i want to make this
clear like i'm not calling for like a standard board or anything like that i'm thinking again
what you're describing is like leaving the option for creative human thought and innovation to come
to bitcoin which i completely agree like i don't want to pigeonhole to anything where i'm coming
from is like all right we do know that people have used bitcoin in a certain way up to this point
in terms of creating private public key pairs and with certain derivation paths like just make sure
the man in the coma
is able to wake up one day
and recover
without having a heart attack.
I think there's a balance there.
The poor guy gets out of a coma
and then he has a heart attack?
Hey,
you can come out of a coma.
Like, damn,
I was forced to huddle
for 15 years.
That poor dude,
the price was just,
the purchase,
the price appreciated so much.
The purchasing power
appreciated so much
he had a heart attack.
Yeah.
The man in the coma.
He's always getting the shit out of the stick, man.
You got people trading
protocols around him. His girlfriend's probably
cheating on him.
I feel free, man, in the coma.
Count
Bitcoin's famous.
Cheers to you, Count Bitcoin.
What do we got to riff on here? Anything?
I'm thinking.
Bitcoin 2022. Ticket prices
go up at the end of the week.
January 14th.
I'm going to try and only chill it when
that happens. That's tomorrow.
what is the code the code is tftc yeah you'll get 10 off so if you use code tftc you get 10 off and
we get 10 fig right yes if you use code open source you just get the full 20 off and we don't
get anything so you have a choice you can either support us or support yourself and do not share
the code open source on twitter otherwise they're going to remove it from me and we don't get any
cut from that um i'm pretty excited about the whole bit devs type situation we're doing on
the first day the industry day it's going to be very good very technical we're not going to
understand anything like it should be that's the way to do it um i think we might have some
breaking news here what uh it's not breaking news happen as we're recording uh so breaking
I'll put this in our group chat
car you can pull this up
so it seems like in Jack
in October Jack Dorsey tweeted
squares considering building a Bitcoin mining
system based on custom silicon and open
source for individuals and businesses worldwide
if we do this we'd follow our
hardware wallet model build and open
and in collaboration with the community first
some thoughts and questions
with the tweet that Jack sent out in October
that was quote tweeted a couple hours ago by
thomas templeton who said in october we announced that we're considering building a bitcoin mining
system out in the open and alongside the community and we've decided we're doing it i thought we'd
share some more details on how our initial discussions are going and where we're headed
next we want to make mining more distributed and efficient in every way from buying to set up to
maintenance to mining we're interested because mining goes far beyond creating new bitcoin we
see it as a long-term need for a future that's fully decentralized and permissionless this is
the long thread um why don't you give us the the tldr well i was like i was learning along with
you guys um so it looks like they're isn't this like why we have a producer like car read through
it and tell us what the tldr is here's any performance and open source and our own elegant
system integration ideas i guess it's just the idea phase they want to fine-tune for availability
reliability performance of of machines uh i guess so i want to create the cheapest machines
the last the longest will be reliable breaking bitcoin mining manufacturer wants to make cheap
efficient machines well breaking uh seems like square's mining initiative is moving forward
yeah i guess that's that's more it's more than an idea which we could use we could use more
more competitors in the bitcoin basic landscape specifically i will say two things and i've said
it similarly in the past when we've talked about on both rabbit hole recap and when steve lee came
on and dispatched we discussed it um first of all i would love to see uh more like retail focused
types of rigs right so like the new generation of rigs are basically designed designed for
warehouses they're like industrial appliances um there's a world i think that you can have a very
efficient the same type of efficiency for for the rigs that are just you know lower power uh that
are more retail focused um that are designed you know with good firmware that you can just
put them in your put them in your house um decide how much heat you want coming out how much sound
want coming out stuff like that um and that's kind of to me that's like the step before we
start to see them like every water heater in america has a bitcoin miner in them um
i mean the second thing is i mean their goal is to build it out in the open which is you know very
respectful respectable and uh this idea of like an open source asic manufacturing is very interesting
and intriguing and hopeful and optimistic. It's a great thing to see. But at the same time,
we have literally witnessed the exact opposite from the miners, mining manufacturers that have
dominated the space, which is very proprietary, closed development cycle, try and keep everything
tight-lipped so that you don't really know when the efficiency gains are going to happen. That's
their competitive advantage. So it should be interesting to see a big player like Block,
formerly Square, come in and try and do this in an open way.
And whether or not that'll be successful or not
is, I would say, still up in the air.
Agreed. Agreed. You'd have to.
I mean, it's the whole meme, ASIC commodification.
Is the industry getting to a point where we're close to that,
at which point open source hardware may make more sense
because there's just such a lack of design space
from which to innovate at the Silicon level.
Who knows?
Like we described...
Sorry, I just got a text from my wife.
She's all mad-faced.
I don't know what's going on.
I don't think she's mad at me.
That's what they always say right before they realize
that she actually is mad at you.
I mean, back to the ASIC conversation.
asics are not easy to make they're expensive to make if you make mistakes they're expensive
mistakes 21 co like that is one of my favorite like fucked up in asic run like their heat sinks
just weren't so bad weren't big enough and every literally every chip that they invested a shit
ton of money and burnt up literally the majority of people and companies that have tried to build
asics have failed miserably yes it's been a game of just absolute ruthlessness slaughter
yeah
yeah
butterfly labs
I mean like
even like the
bigger players
can't produce
like great ones
like Canaan
and
Minerva
and then what was
the Blockstream one
oh yeah
whatever happened
to that
Dragon
Dragon Mint
oh
Dragon Mint
but didn't they buy
another ASIC
manufacturer or
something
recently
I don't know
most
most people
in organizations
that have attempted
to create ASICs
have failed miserably
yes
this has been very expensive very expensive mistake oh yeah someone brought up the one
that pomp was shilling and invested in coin mine um that i would say is a little bit different
angle because that was for retail and the idea was you would mine shit coins with it and then
because there was a gpu and then you could auto dump it for bitcoin and it was a little bit
different because they made a very strong profit on each machine they sold uh they just were not
worth it they're just very overpriced um and not profitable yes spondulis
fucking crazy there's so many yeah asic minor asic minor was a company it was tradable on havelock
yeah i mean and there's rumors that there's actually people in this city in austin working
on ASICs, the Houston Bitcoin meetup a couple months ago. Chad from Winstone was teasing
that. So we'll see. I'm highly skeptical. This is the first time anybody's trying to
do it in an open source, out in the open way. I'm very interested to see if that leads to
any innovation, because maybe that's what the market needs, is just literally opening
up the design space in a visible fashion so that people can see, outsiders can maybe see
something oh maybe you should tweak this i mean like the nice thing about block in general formally
square in terms of uh cash app in terms of spiral in terms of tbd in terms of this initiative in
terms of their heart on initiative is they have a shit ton of money uh they're well capitalized
they have very easy access to financial markets they seem to have leadership including dorsey
and the Bitcoin team underneath him, um, that are very ideologically motivated.
And they're in a unique situation where like they can burn a shit ton of cash.
They can burn a shit ton of cash and try their best. And if it fails, uh, you know,
the company will still be massively successful. They'll still be the number one finance app in
the app store. You know, they'll still be the number one point of sale terminal, um, in the
country uh that that kind of situation is a very unique situation um and i'm very grateful that
they're they're using it for for the betterment of this mission which is bitcoin yeah and uh btc
pins funny you ask i wonder if they're sponsoring the pod actually they do they happen to be
honestly honestly if you're a freak and you don't know their response to the pod at this point like
not going to make it
yeah
I mean
like you said
like they could
they have the cash to burn
I think if anything
that's the interesting thing
like if they fail
but the progress
if they do make progress
by doing it
in an open source
fashion
maybe somebody
could pick up the baton
there even
and run with it
to create better ASICs
which would be
a net benefit
for for bitcoin yeah so i mean just looking at the actions of of what's going on a block
whether it be a cash app uh tb decks whatever it may be uh the the bitcoin legal fund now
like it seems like jack dorsey and team are all in on bitcoin which is a great thing to see um
what else we got what else we got i don't know marty have we been going for
two hours and 15 minutes now no two hours 18 minutes oh two hours 18 minutes um i'll keep
saying i think the uh the covid narrative is unraveling everybody's everybody's getting it
that's good the the line down the street from me to get testing is annoying people are definitely
in a mass psychosis
having to sit
in their cars
for hours
to get tested
the OSHA mandates
just got shot down
which is a great thing
I think sanity
may be
returning to the world
but you're talking
to an idiot
who called
top in the clown world
in the summer
so
it seems like
things are turning
yeah well
we still haven't
hit the top
move to a free state
ignore the noise
love your fellow freaks
stay humble
stack stats
Matt is just
Matt is just like
ready to leave
he doesn't want to hang out
two minutes two hours and 15 minutes in two hours and 18 minutes in 18 minutes and you're just sick
of me already man jesus i'm kidding uh i need to eat some food i do have to eat as well freaks
thank you for joining thank you for joining the live chat if you join live if you're listening
at home we really appreciate it if you're listening via podcasting 2.0 compatible app
thank you for for the value for that you're providing us we love it um thank you for the
shout outs uh even even to the person who um tried to make me lie i'm not apologizing for
shooing ben carmen that was fucked up that you shoot ben if he came back in the room i'd shoo
him again i'd shoot him again fuck themselves but that shoe was only only that's something
and neil would do no marty's marty's act on their own their own plane we could shoo
neil shoo ben shoo yeah i mean it was just like ben you're you're just sitting in the
shop for two years he didn't bring the he didn't bring the the cut spot that we needed
um on one of the freaks should come out the shoe oh post on twitter our bar our boy paul
miller already did did he really yeah he's a good friend of ben too and he said i'm gonna start
using this because ben is a very annoying person and nicky he gets to a point where people want to
be polite and like don't want to like tell him you just shoot you just get you watch your mouth
don't talk to ben about don't talk about ben that way what did when did where did paul post it
on his twitter oh i gotta car will pull it up we're gonna pull it up before we leave i was
chilling with paul yesterday too i'm gonna be chilling with paul today yeah see there that's
so fucked up shoegate hey shoe freaks go retweet go retweet shoegate
or ben come in we'll make another one i dare you to i dare you to ben he's over there right now
he's in this building still um we're gonna wrap up though ben's not gonna make it in time to get
shoot away. Love all you freaks. Enjoy your life. Peace and love.
Love you, Marty. Love you, Carl. Love you, freaks.
Love you.
