TFTC: A Bitcoin Podcast - Tales from the Crypt #34: Murad Mahmudov
Episode Date: June 27, 2018Join Marty as he sits down with Murad Mahmudov, angel investor and author of two of the most prolific pieces on Bitcoin this year. The two dive deep into this conversation, discussing why dApp platfor...m tokens shouldn't have any value, why Bitcoin's quest to become the reserve currency of the world has the biggest potential from an investment perspective, and some thoughts on anon coins and stable coins. Follow Murad: www.twitter.com/MustStopMurad Follow Marty: www.twitter.com/MartyBent
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what is up freaks welcome back to tales from the crypt it's your boy marty bent
in the new studio here at the dig.com offices in williamsburg
brooklyn we moved over the east river happy to be where i am right now i miss barstool
uh but but on to new things so the second podcast of the day believe it or not we had
safer dina moose in the office earlier this morning for a quick rip to talk about his book
the bitcoin standard we got into uh talking about industrial sludge by the end of that one but
i'm very excited for this podcast tonight not only because of the guests but because we're
drinking again we've got bullet bourbon back in the studio need it it's been a long day that was
an early podcast rip, but we're going to jump into this one. It's going to be a longer conversation
than the one I had with Saif. I want to introduce you all to angel investor in the space and
prolific writer, Murad Mamadouf. Murad, welcome to the podcast.
Thank you, Marty. Glad to be here. Big fan of the show and very humbled to be here, especially
after titans such as safe dean joe newberry matt corallo um really excited and uh excited to have
this conversation you know what we like we like getting everybody on here especially if you have
very interesting thoughts in the space and you my friend i would say you and your writing partner
adam tash tashay however you pronounce his last name uh have written two of the most prolific
pieces on Bitcoin this year to date the four faces of Bitcoin and Bitcoin past
and future just curious what inspired you to to write those pieces we're
always thinking about always thinking about anything we can do to evangelize
this space to accelerate the adoption one of our upcoming blog post is
actually a list of 100 things that anybody can do to accelerate the
adoption of bitcoin around the world 100 things 100 things um and um we really want to see this
movement succeed we really want to um enter an era of sound money um and enter an era of
true sovereign individuals um so writing writing long blogs is the smallest thing anyone can do
and we hope that this is merely the beginning yeah i mean it's been incredible stuff i think uh
the four phases of bitcoin in particular you guys did an incredible job of breaking down sort of the
different schools of thought within bitcoin in particular like obviously there's a whole
shitcoin landscape but even within bitcoin there's factions so basically it broke down into
monetary maximalist austrians uh john nash ideal money um help me out here b cashers cashers and
And the last one was...
Sort of the DeSantis, Mark Wilcox school of thought.
School of thought, the quantum entanglement.
Right.
Bitcoin and its forks are sort of a tree.
Yeah, their vision is almost techno-mystical, as I like to say.
I love those tickets.
They force people to think different.
So between the four faces of Bitcoin, what mask do you like to wear?
I ascribe to the first one, especially when it comes to Bitcoin itself.
Sort of more of the Austrian approach.
I see Bitcoin as, and it's a very rough metaphor, but almost like a stricter, sounder gold.
I like what Safedian, by the way, likes to say about Bitcoin, that it's less like an iPhone and more like gunpowder.
in the sense that you can avoid using the iPhone
and still thrive in the modern age,
but when gunpowder came around,
if you weren't one of the civilizations who adopted it,
then the consequences weren't very good.
I like to say that the digital gold meme
is almost like a very loose, very distant analogy,
and the more appropriate description
is more like digital monetary nuclear weapons.
Just like the nuclear weapons in the middle of the 20th century.
If you're one of the top six, top seven sort of civilizations or nations,
and you don't make sure that you have a possession of at least a handful of nuclear weapons,
then you wouldn't have the kind of power that other nations would.
And I think this is sort of a similar monetary phenomenon.
Yeah, have you ever seen that time-lapse video of countries adopting nukes and testing them on YouTube?
It's pretty crazy to see.
it's um it's pretty fucked up what we did to uh to some islands in the pacific you know just
completely nuking them well islands in the pacific even more so um i myself am from the soviet union
so we i believe still russia has like in terms of raw numbers the biggest number of nukes either
they did or they still do and um they built a bomb i believe that was like 60 000 times bigger
than hiroshima nagasaki bomb and essentially they tested them like above russia like around
the arctic where no one lives um and you can still see on google maps like 100 kilometer holes like
craters yeah holy shit that's crazy yeah it's uh it's gotten to a point nuke wise though where it
seems like yeah the game theory is such that like the only decision uh for the game is not to play
you know well there's a lot of oh there's a lot of uh similarities with like these cryptocurrencies
as well like the whole point of nuclear weapons isn't to use them but like just to have them it's
almost like a mexican standoff type situation exactly where you need to have them um almost
like an entente in a way or like a detente sorry um where a bunch of strong superpowers essentially
arrive to this like equilibrium where they have it and they almost like keep each other in check
yeah exactly um and we're seeing the mad dash for bitcoins maybe it will incite a similar sort of
arms race and i would argue it is uh i bet it's all going on behind the scenes i mean i like to
say that the moment some mid-sized Asian central bank announces that they put one percent of their
portfolio in what will probably be like top three cryptocurrencies is what they'll probably do
just not to gamble I mean that will be the defining moment at the same time though
I believe some of them probably already are doing something like that in small quantities the sort
of isolated nations in particular like venezuela iran north korea there have there have been some
there has been some evidence that they're already sort of doing what's called state mining where
they're just either installing mining farms themselves or expropriating them entirely and
then just seizing control over them because state mining is essentially buying the same thing as
buying anonymously with electricity yeah i saw one crazy stat like because of how cheap oil is
in venezuela in particular like the cost to mine one bitcoin is like 580 yes you have an automatic
10x on your return right now because the price is falling but it's that's insane like the sunk
cost of 580 to mine a bitcoin is is ridiculous and i've actually seen videos of venezuelan state
mining farms that are that are up in like guard standing with ak's around them yeah yeah yeah so
that as well it's uh it's insane and uh but that scares a lot of people that like these
technology is proliferating in these sort of despot despot run uh countries run by despot
despots um what do you what do you have to say that like people are like oh my god it's like
this this we see similar patterns with a lot of technology um things like war
things like the porn industry um all these things that are like considered to be dark
have led civilization towards eventually has has led the world towards greater sort of
technological innovations um even like the earliest use cases for a car was for bank robberies i
believe um and yeah i mean a lot of the earliest technologies are are used for dark purposes
because criminals are always looking for sort of competitive advantages
and are more willing to take risks, obviously, with new sort of gambles.
But I think that this is similar to people stating for years
that Bitcoin is for criminals and things like that.
I mean, that's absolute nonsense.
I mean, if you're a criminal, then just using straight cash is much better.
It's much better.
Why would you use a transparent ledger to conduct criminal activities?
It makes no sense.
Yeah, in fact, HSBC has teller windows specifically shaped for your briefcases filled with cash if you're trying to launder money in your drug cartel or something like that.
I mean, the amount of money that is laundered or otherwise negatively used through cryptocurrencies, even to date, is nothing compared to the amount of money laundering that happens through fiat currencies.
So, I mean, that's that.
It pales in comparison, and you'd be dumb to do illegal activities with Bitcoin specifically
because it's fully traceable to an extent if you have pointers at exchanges or on and off ramps.
But the reason I brought you on today, we've got a list of things we need to debunk,
and we're going to dive into it.
first one blockchain not bitcoin why are we why why can't why isn't blockchain technology like
the the best thing to happen since slice spread like it's supposed to solve all the world's
problems supposed to solve our our supply supply chain management problems our art ownership
problems blood diamonds why bitcoin not blockchain i mean it is my hope my sincere hope that even
people who in 2014-2015 really sort of perpetuated this false mantra. Even people at banks these days,
even the relatively unsophisticated market observers and participants are realizing that
this is completely false. I don't want to say that money is the only thing that blockchains
are good for. I certainly believe that that is their best use case. I believe that over
sort of longer periods of time we will see a bunch of legit non scam use cases
of blockchain technology as time goes on but my thesis and this is somewhat
counter to sort of the fat protocols the shared data layer is another thing we
have to debunk well something something me and Adam called the fat money thesis
And essentially, we believe that the fattest protocol, so to speak, or the biggest value accrual will occur with the blockchain networks that become seen and become used as money.
And of course, we can get into who the best candidates are for that upcoming role.
But just because a lot of people say that, oh, so many people are, but so many people are building on top of Ethereum, man.
There's like, they have like 400,000 developers, don't they?
I don't think that the amount of people building on top of a system is necessarily the determinant
of what will become the biggest, soundest form of money of the future, or what will
become the neo-gold, if I may.
I think that theoretically, of course, there's some overlap, but theoretically, you can have
hundreds of useful dApps on top of Ethereum.
I mean, let's entertain that idea at least, and have quadrillions of dollars moving through the Ethereum system
or moving through any kind of smart contract system, and it still wouldn't accrue value.
I mean, that's theoretically possible due to the by now famous velocity problem, of course.
Exactly.
And what really matters is which crypto asset people will hold for months at a time, for years at a time even.
Those are going to be the crypto assets that will become double-digit trillion dollar networks if we calculate it in 2018 US dollar terms.
The most annoying people are those who say, oh, the killer app for Bitcoin and the killer app for blockchain hasn't been invented yet.
Those are the most annoying people because Bitcoin is the killer use case.
We're trying to replace money.
We're trying to create a better form of money.
The second most annoying thing is people like Bcashers, Ripple lovers, IOTA lovers, Nano lovers.
Hey, we respect Bcashers here. We refer to it as BCH, all right?
Yeah, we got to be politically correct.
Litecoin lovers even, I would say.
They say, oh, but Nano is faster. It's so much faster.
I mean, a lot of people are lately talking about this.
They confuse means of payment with medium of exchange.
Yeah, this was a good tweet storm.
Was it you?
Somebody tweeted a quote from a Telegram group that I wrote.
Yes, that was it.
So what makes something a medium of exchange is that people are willing to exchange it for goods and services.
And if something becomes a desirable store of value and essentially saturates the division in the market for a store of value, if people see other people desiring something as a store of value, they will be willing to accept it as a medium of exchange.
The speed of the network isn't even in the top five most important properties that will, I believe, define the store of value winner.
And so we're not trying to build a better PayPal here.
Trying to create new money.
And frankly, even if we were, I would find that unexciting.
What we're trying is to create better central banking, essentially, and a better form of monetary unit.
Because PayPal is merely like the tray on top of which the food rests.
It's a pipeline.
That's all it is.
Vijay Boyapati has a very good article, The Bullish Case for Bitcoin.
Incredible.
That was a series, and he rolled it up into one article.
It's incredible.
If you haven't read it yet.
That was one of the best articles that is on Crypto Medium.
Real underscore Vijay.
Look him up on Twitter.
Shout out.
Shout out Vijay.
If you ever want to come on the pod.
Yeah.
And like essentially the total adjustable market for the payments industry is nothing compared to the total adjustable market for wealth.
Or for monetary instruments.
And it's the latter that we want.
And it's a much bigger elephant.
So you said the speed of transactions is not even in the top five of the future store of value in your mind.
What would you say are the most pertinent attributes of the store of value?
So there's a lot of debate around this issue right now.
And there's a lot of talk about sort of path dependency and ways to which sort of this grand store of value achievement will be accomplished.
But I believe that much more important than raw speed of transactions is security.
I think security is number one.
And both sort of the security in terms of the quality of code.
Because at the end of the day, it's important to understand that these cryptocurrencies are what I like to describe as hybrid money softwares.
And I believe a lot of thought leaders in this space, quote unquote.
thought leaders
believe that
run away from the
thought leaders
freaks
yeah
if somebody says
that they
like understand
cryptocurrencies
then they don't
understand cryptocurrencies
it's like Albert Einstein
said if someone
tells you that they
understand quantum
mechanics
they don't understand
quantum mechanics
yeah
so
these are
hybrid money
softwares
and a lot of people
pay more attention
to the software
and less attention
to the monetary aspects
and I believe
that we need to
the monetary aspects
because the end
desire and the end
scenario where immense
amount of value accrues to these protocols
is if they become global money.
So I think when we're trying to invest,
when we're trying to analyze, when we're trying to see
which protocols will truly be
huge in the future, then we need to
look, the monetary characteristics
need to take precedence.
And so I believe that security,
both in terms of cost of
mounting attack and like we can talk about hash power proof of work etc but security in terms of
cost of mounting an attack and security in terms of quality of code um general decent levels of
decentralization and censorship resistance is why we are here in the first place and that matters a
lot that's one of the reasons i don't think that something like eos or something like ripple or
stellar will ever become global stores of value because they are remarkably centralized and at
that point i might just use dollars like why would i use why would i use those those things
I think that immutability and general ledger irreversibility is very important.
And for sort of the people who pay particularly careful attention to sort of who consider that blockchains are supposed to be as irreversible as possible.
Some of the protocols that have been known to reverse certain transactions or cancel certain blocks in the past, that doesn't bode well for the credibility of their system.
Is that a subtle knock at Ethereum?
I mean, we all remember what happened in June 2016, in the summer of 2016.
You can all stop trading now.
Okay, guys, you can stop trading now.
Yeah.
I think that sort of the credibility of monetary policy is the most important thing.
A lot of people are saying, oh, we need inflationary systems and they're more sustainable or whatever.
Let's get into that.
Like, what the fuck?
Like, Bitcoin was an overt, basically, it was an overt response to a fiat inflationary system, like, written into the Genesis block.
I mean, I think this is becoming, like, somewhat of a, like, a controversial opinion.
But, like, if it's not fixed supply, then why would anybody invest in these things?
That's the biggest value proposition.
The whole point is digital scarcity.
That's the number one innovation that Satoshi gave us.
The 21 million Bitcoin supply limit is the most important thing in the system.
If you're going to start inflating these systems,
like most smart contract protocols are trying to do,
like Peter Rison wants to do with his Bitcoin unlimited scheme or whatever,
then like the value proposition just isn't there the whole point is to have sound money and sound
money is a disinflationary one and one when there's a fixed cap so like that's that now it
gets a little bit more complicated because once sort of people have raised like Princeton
researchers have raised the problem that oh like the way Bitcoin is right now if the fees are a
bigger proportion of sort of the resources that are incentivizing miners as opposed to the
inflation rate then they might engage in some malicious there might be incentivized to engage
in some malicious activity fee sniping things like that but i believe that these problems are
solvable and we still have 15 20 years to solve them yeah that's what i talked about with matt
corallo um we put it we i think we ended up on like 12 to 15 years like with the block the way
the block rewards are lining up uh it's definitely a problem that needs to be solved like there needs
to be a subsidy for the block reward but it all depends on the price right like so if the price
appreciates the pace it has been like you might only need like a like very very small fees on a
satoshi per bite basis yeah for sure and i mean there's only so much money in the world um but
a a continual rise in price would certainly help the situation at the end of the day uh i believe
the fees would have to
go much higher
I believe also
do you think we need like a 12.5
Bitcoin per block
fee
regime in the future
like right now the block reward is 12.5 Bitcoin
no but it's going to half
in two years
like what is
or what will be
the
acceptable fee
fee reward per block fee reward fee collection per block or whatever well there's going to be a
fee market i mean it's going to be decided by the free market our our hope is that we can
engineer the system in a way that the fees that miners will be receiving from people using
bitcoin as a transactional system will be sufficient to make the system sustainable
and made the security of the system robust yeah and uh let's dive into that the security of the
system we were talking about the feedback loop that is bitcoin mining and the beautiful incentive
system incentive system that satoshi designed so bitcoin is beautiful feedback look loop i would
say the feedback loop started with lazlo with the pizza when when it moved from a collectible to
somewhat of a medium of exchange as soon as somebody put value on it like all right i'm
to value these bitcoins at two two pizzas two papa john's pizzas it started the feedback loop
which is price miners saw that hey somebody's valuing these bitcoins i'm going to expend some
energy to try to get some and liquidate that for some value so you see a price that brings on
miners which brings security to the network which makes the network more secure which in turn makes
the network more desirable for people to store their money which drives the price higher which
brings more miners, which makes it more secure, which drives people to buy it. And it's a feedback
loop. And you were talking about one part of this feedback loop that I was missing. And that's the
hardware. Well, yes. And to add yet another sort of additional positive wrinkle to that feedback
loop is the fact that sort of the efficiency, the many different kinds of efficiencies of ASICs that
are securing these systems have also been improving. So this essentially, the exponential
curve of security, which are sort of securitizing the system, is even steeper in that sense.
What do you mean by steeper? Like the efficiencies caused by the R&D going into making more efficient
ASICs? Precisely. I believe the raw cost of hardware has been improving,
and also the the energy efficiency of of asics has also been improving um per unit of per unit
of security that they add to the system yeah there was a crazy stat i don't know exactly what the
stat is or line or tidbit is that like there's never been a turnaround from r&d to production
of chip manufacturing than there has for like asic chips for for bitcoin mining in particular
Like it is driving people to innovate at a pace that we've never seen before.
For sure.
And that's one of the biggest differences between sort of the Bitcoin standard and the gold standard is the fact that like the more money, the more people that elect to use Bitcoin as their as their store of value, the more security, the more security it will become.
um and i it's it's it's one of the most secure systems in the world in in in terms of the raw
computational power that's securing it which is um which makes it very secure and and uh i like i
think from like a cognitive perspective that's a very interesting point to understand yeah do you
think we ever uh level out hash power do you think we move to dyson spheres and just keep getting as
much energy as possible um i think it will like probably taper out in like a um s curve type
fashion but it will remain very very high yeah yeah and that's uh yeah i think last night at
devs we brought up the the website that shows you how expensive it is to to attack a chain
and it would cost you like half a million dollars an hour to try to attack bitcoin but the price is
probably precipitously higher uh considering who you need to coordinate that blah blah blah
yeah i haven't delved into this issue that deeply but i believe that like are you talking about the
crypto 51.app or something yeah yeah um that though the price is shown there well a they don't
include the hardware they only include the like the the electric component power and also like
it's the cost to attack the system i believe for one hour yes for one hour for one hour yeah
Yeah, for the big cryptocurrencies, and Bitcoin in particular,
I believe you would need to attack it for many, many, many hours
to do any kind of significant damage.
So you're burning a million dollars for two hours if you're trying to do this.
So the true cost would be way more expensive
than the numbers that you're seeing there.
Yeah, exactly.
Yeah, so we're almost a decade in.
are we past the point of of bitcoin being like secure against nation-state attacks the point
of no return yeah exactly um i would like to hope so um the best attacks against bitcoin probably
aren't the computational ones anyway they're probably social media attacks regulatory attacks
financial attacks um let's dive into these different scenarios like social attacks what
we talking about I mean people talk about many different scenarios the
biggest risk against Bitcoin still and is probably regulatory and this applies
to I think all sort of monetary instruments that reside on these
blockchain systems is some critical countries or some critical markets just
outright banning or shutting down exchanges the Fiat on-ramps are
are definitely sort of the biggest bottlenecks.
My hope is that once major institutional investors arrive,
and I think it's really important that they do arrive,
once they arrive,
the Bitcoin lobby is already pretty strong
and the Bitcoin lobby will keep strengthening.
If the Harvard endowment, if State Street,
state street if some cow purse has uh like bitcoin on their balance sheet then and if the government
tries to ban them then they'll be like come on guys like what are you doing like this is our
this is our money you know i love that you brought that up my dad has actually been trying to convince
me to convince the yale endowment fund to uh to invest in bitcoin because they put out like a
yearly pay a yearly report or whatever and they have a section on alternative investments he's
like dude you should reach out to these guys get them invested in bitcoin but yeah like you said
As soon as that happens, it's like there's no turning back.
Yeah, I've been talking to some people about sort of the endowments because they are one of the five or six sort of categories of large institutional investors that are really important.
They're relatively conservative, and they move slowly.
Even if there are a handful of PMs at these major university endowments that are already seeing the light.
Shout out to Paul.
Yes.
then even so they need to convince their CIO and even if the CIO is convinced the CIO needs to go
to the board they need to go to the board which is full of 85 year olds who like don't really have
such a good grasp or understanding of these digital tokens I mean I'm 23 years old the
people of my generation and especially even more so people younger than me like those that are
16 17 years old who grew up essentially playing uh minecraft or world of warcraft or whatever
to them the idea of digital gold or digital tokens or digital money is absolutely normal
and it's absolutely fine and it's it's the future i mean it's an inescapable future the question is
not if we're beyond that point now the question is when so could be could be five years could be
25 years but it's coming it's coming and um i believe it will make uh the world a better place
it will make capital accumulation better it will make markets more efficient it will make price
discovery more efficient it will make transactions borderless and frictionless and faster and just
smoother and the financial systems will be more liquid and programmable and there's probably
dozens and dozens more benefits that i'm sure you agree with definitely let's touch on capital
accumulation now that's like one thing i was talking about was safe this morning is like the
average american cannot afford a 400 emergency expense like there is no capital accumulation
going on in the households these days like this i think will force people to delay satisfaction
and start saving for the future like it already has done so to me like i i'm wearing the only
pair of pants i own right now so yeah and looking at some of the graphs in america in particular
The savings rate has gone from like 16% in the 80s to 3% right now.
At the same time, the spending rate has been increasing.
So these lines have been diverging.
Spending going up.
And we're talking about a country with arguably like the best form of fiat right now, which is being printed at a rate of 6.1%.
It's not arguable.
It's definitely the best.
It's the reserve currency of the world.
Right.
And yet the dollar is getting printed at the rate of around 6.1%, 6.2% per year.
I do believe that Saifedean has what many people consider controversial issues with regard to how the currency system and the money system actually has tremendous rippling effects throughout the entire society and civilization at large.
And you know what? The more I study this space and the more I look into general monetary economics, I think that there is something to what he's saying.
Because a form of money that is inflating at a slower rate, or not at all, will incentivize you to think about, what am I going to be doing eight years from now?
Not how I quickly go and buy a fridge today, how I can quickly go and buy some sneakers tomorrow.
Instead, you're seeing, oh, let me start a long-term project.
Let me dedicate myself to a longer craft, to some kind of an artisanal, some kind of a meaningful activity.
instead of just spending it on the useless bullshit essentially that's one thing i've
been preaching is like we need to make like the iroquois nation and think about seven generations
ahead of us and start planning for that and that's how you really get healthy society because
and that's what safe and i touched on this morning is that we are inarguably an unhealthy society
right now heart heart diseases at all-time highs depression suicide opioid addiction at all-time
eyes something is wrong like in and i like you and becoming more and more convinced it has
something to do with with the growth of fiat currencies and just a proliferation of printing
money at will to to sustain an economy built on debt i mean i'm going to link two points here
one of the other things that are important for a gold standard and what essentially drives a lot
of these like shitcoiners nuts is how slow bitcoin is to change and i believe you like to say a lot
that Bitcoin will change us more than we try to change it.
Yes.
And I was actually having lunch with Saifedean yesterday
and discussing this point.
And I think it's a very remarkable point.
I mean, money is a half of every transaction.
And it's such an important thing.
It's something everybody wants.
So to say that fiat is the zenith of the ultimate form of money ever invented
is just ridiculous.
We can engineer a better form of money.
A form of money that's better in a multitude, multitude of ways.
I believe that a currency that is at least slightly more disinflationary will change people's personalities.
And as such, will probably change culture itself.
Because I don't know about you, I'm sure you've experienced the same changes as well.
I can only speak for myself but also with a bunch of other sort of Bitcoin
supporters that I've talked to over the years is that Bitcoin changes your
personality slowly but surely it makes you save more it makes you a little bit
more disciplined a little bit more passionate a little bit more focused a
little bit more like you you're definitely thinking for the long term
And you're thinking, these are scarce units.
These are scarce gold bricks, as I like to call them, in digital form.
Scarce gold bits.
Precisely.
And I think that they improve people's personalities more towards sort of stoic ideals.
And I think that is very, very good.
because instead of like i mean as people like to say it reduces our time preference
so we can dedicate ourselves to longer term projects and this is better because
one undertaking that you will dedicate 10 years for will almost surely produce better results
both for yourself and for the world than a hundred little things that you never finish or a hundred
little things that aren't really important yeah and we were talking about this on the elevator
right up like how modern art has has even been bastardized by this fiat system and and you know
we we don't make buildings we don't make statues we don't make glorious paintings like uh like
michelangelo used to we don't do that anymore there's very few people that do if there are if
they're out there and i haven't met them or seen them or seen their art in in person a lot of sort
of um like keynesian economists monetarist economists like the central bank advisors etc
a lot of academics in the sort of the economics and the social science sphere at large
they believe that they can design a system from top down that is superior to anything that the
market can arrive to itself through an organic emergent and bottom-up approach and i believe
the latter is superior. Money historically has been a creature of the market, not a creature
of the state. If anything, that is the perversion. Because for thousands of years, we use silver,
gold, and other forms of money that people eventually arrive to by natural means.
Money being decreed from above is like the very fact that it needs to be supported by
state decrees and legal tenders and um like debt extinguishing laws and all these things
just is is obviously like an artificial form of support that makes certain institutions and
certain governments much stronger than they otherwise would have been i would say stronger
i would just say like they just hold so much more leverage which i mean much more powerful exactly
there's i think there's a difference between strength and power right right am i am i wrong
saying that definitely by strength i mean there's a lot more power that that are they can exert
it by their hands yeah it's uh it's not equivalent to respect it's uh equivalent more to like
putting up with something exactly yeah exactly and what you're getting in there like talking
about like top-down approach to monetary policy what we're seeing now in crypto and shit coins
in particular is people trying to uh form fit top-down governance structures on how these
these blockchains evolve what are your thoughts on governance and blockchains that's another thing
we have to debunk i think it's an interesting experiment on one hand we have this p2p anarchic
network governance that sort of the bitcoin full nodes have uh and it's it's very distributed it's
very slow almost to the point of dysfunction uh but it's very important to know that it's very
apolitical and i believe that a the future neo money winner has to be as apolitical as possible
i mean other central banks other foreign billionaires other people would only be interested
in adopting something that is entirely apolitical um that is not controlled by a handful of people
that's not um just being decided by like behind closed doors or anything like that that's not a
plutarchy or or an oligarchy so to speak but um i think decred is an interesting experiment and
it's interesting to see how it will play out i'm kind of skeptical on the governance issue a lot
of people have been putting out this quote-unquote governance hypothesis lately that oh if we have
governance we can have any feature um but i mean i guess their value proposition is and i i would
like to discuss sort of the store of value marketing after this but their their their
value proposition is that if they have on-chain governance then they can be a lot more flexible
faster and nimbler than bitcoin um and if it's five times faster than bitcoin in making decisions
or evolving then it will essentially beat bitcoin due to its speed or whatever but a crowd's always
right I don't think so I don't think so and not especially not when it comes to
these very complicated it is very complex both monetary and software
systems at the same time that need the precision and understanding of a nuclear
physicist I mean I'm not advocating for a pure dark technocracy or anything but
But I believe that certain people understand the trade of space
and the most favorable paths for evolution much better than the crowd.
I would tend to agree.
And I wouldn't even fall back on conceding decision-making to the technical experts.
I would just say people can get lost in narratives and make terrible decisions in haste.
that can that can trip you up in the long run so i think this has to be emergent like we were
talking about earlier the intolerant minority should run this because a conservatism and
skepticism over everything is the wisest uh investment decision in this space in the long
term i would argue yeah and the the decreds um some of the members of the decred founding team
Their counter argument is that unlike a corrupt government or unlike a corrupt democratic system, here the incentives of large stakeholders, a.k.a. the decision makers, and sort of the small stakeholders, so the rich and the poor, they are aligned because they want the same thing, higher coin price.
So the incentives are aligned.
I don't know.
I don't know.
I think it's an interesting experiment that we will witness.
I obviously think Bitcoin is much more likely to succeed than Decred is.
but um they had some sick sick sick starter jackets at consensus they look swagged out you
know they look swagged out and uh decred is is one of my top five favorite projects in the space
i like to say that other than the criteria that we've already discussed i think the number one
criteria of any of these systems of any of these currencies of any of these blockchains is the
quality of the team because none of us not even the smartest person in the space and definitely
definitely not me, know what these, as I like to say, hybrid money software forms will look like
10, 15 years in the future. So the talent of the team, the passion of the team, the ideology of
the team, the idealism of the team, and obviously the skills of the team, these are the most
important factors because there's a lot of evolution that we are yet to see. And there's a
lot of agility that is still required. There's a lot of problems and attacks that we'll need to
fight off. I believe that all of these cryptocurrencies in the next decade will see
attacks that are much more serious than the Bcash drama or the SegWit2x drama that we've seen.
It will make the Bcash or the SegWit2x drama pale in comparison to what's coming.
So I think the quality of the team is very important. And we need to look at people who
were involved in distributed systems in crypto anarchy in cryptography in um in trying to
reinvent money some of these people have been trying to do it since the 90s uh or at least
contributing to bits and pieces of the infrastructure because this has this is not a 10-year thing that
we've had so far this has been a 40-year adventure 40-year affair um only sort of the advent of sort
of this distributed systems has this finally been possible because there is no snake there's no head
of a snake that's possible to cut off so easily exactly and that's like you were saying like we
don't we can't even comprehend the attacks that are coming like the market right now can't even
comprehend the attacks that are happening verge got 51 percent attacked and the price went up by
20 percent like we don't even know like the market doesn't even know what's secure and what's not
right now these are the most inefficient markets that i've ever seen in my life right um the
I believe
Verge got 51% attacked
and then it like
pumped by 15% upwards
yes
I mean it just makes no sense
it's almost like
people don't care anymore
like I don't know
I think a lot of these
shit coins have a lot of
passive investors
who are just like
whose like money is parked
in these coins
as part of their
80 coin portfolio
and like
they're just like
either can't keep up
or maybe they just don't care
I mean
I don't know
so many people
could have like
a thousand dollars each
in these coins
multiplied by like 50 000 people and then and then it because the market caps are so inflated as well
especially of the altcoins of the shit coins just because it says that oh it's a 300 million dollar
network doesn't mean that there's 300 of real wealth parked there maybe like 40 million or
something maybe less yeah and even that like it's like i've said this in the past like
it's all fun and games now like people are just trying to pump and dump shit coins make profit
off of trading this stuff like we're really going to see bitcoin hit the scene in earnest when
shit hits the fan on the geopolitical landscape like and it's like all right we don't even have
time to fuck around with these shit coins and speculate like we really need a flight to safety
and right now it's it's either gold or bitcoin and bitcoin's more accessible easier to transport
and that's going to be the better value proposition in the future when geopolitical
situation hits ahead well yeah there's two things that i'll say here if bitcoin unfortunately
hasn't seen like a hardcore deflationary session hit during its lifetime and we're in the middle
of like a 10-year almost a 10-year bull run the equity bull run yeah um there's definitely at
least something some kind of a crisis happening soon and i think that the tinder is dry it's
getting hot out so it will be very interesting how bitcoin fares in that situation i think
unfortunately in the eyes of most serious asset managers this still remains a speculative asset
at one point because when we talk about sound money when we talk about hard money we're not
talking about bitcoin right now but we're talking about the intrinsic qualities of the potential
that it has to become in the future now for most of these asset managers and most of these asset
managers aren't libertarian crypto Austrian cypherpunks they don't care
about these things they understandably they don't care about these ideals their
life is fine they're already making tens of millions of dollars they like the
status quo they want to some uncorrelated return or maybe a success
story that will pan out in the future as a diverse diversification something
you're a good risk return profile something like that but right now
Now, Bitcoin, all cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin perhaps less so than everything else.
Everything else is very speculative.
Bitcoin slightly less so because it has a much greater network effect, linear effect, etc.
But I think that if we had a sharp deflationary recession, Bitcoin would be sold off as of today.
Now, if we have a currency crisis, if we have major countries or a handful of major currencies
countries like credit default or some kind of a treasury default or unable to pay their debt
something like that then that would be very very positive that's that's what i was alluding to
like so if we have like an equities correction people are going to have to sell their bitcoin
to pay if there's a recession or something like that and the u.s dollar remains as the reserve
currency of the world like yes people are going to sell their crypto for fiat to live and that
could be bad for the price of bitcoin but again in the long run like it comes back to currencies
like if there's a currency crisis of a currency meltdown um i'm not going to try to predict it
people have been trying to predict it for decades nobody knows when it will come but i do believe
wholeheartedly that it's unsustainable in the long run the the policies that these central banks are
following i mean i have to be honest dollar is a very strong currency yeah with very powerful
network effect i'm not gonna argue that and the american central banking is much more skilled
than most other countries than than second or third world countries japan did what the
what the fed's been doing for the last 10 years they started doing that in the 90s
yes but japan has different demographic profile that's true completely different economy that's
true um what the policy is very similar the point i'm trying to make is that bitcoin and all other
cryptocurrencies to be honest their quote-unquote enemy or their target market for the next 10 to
15 years isn't the dollar it's the tail end of weak fiat currencies around the world mismanaged
fiat currencies small fiat currencies corrupt fiat currencies that are managed by central bankers
that are unskilled that are straight up stealing or straight up essentially stealing from their
citizenry by inflating the currency whenever they have any kind of problem
as an easy exit out and monetary metals to an extent those are the things that
Bitcoin is attacking in my view and it's not a serious conversation to be having
right now at for it to be displacing the dollar or the euro entirely but we still
have tens of trillions of dollars of other things that we could subsume
before it is before we are faced with much more serious currencies yeah the
upward like and that's why people are investing in Bitcoin now is because like
the upward potential of the price movement if that situation unfolds is
astronomical besides I mean Bitcoin still has a hundred X 200 X to go or or
more according to some the maximum list but your peers saying 10 million a coin
eventually well 10 million a coin makes sense if like dollar hyper inflates I
mean the number doesn't even matter at that point yeah if you want to if you
want to see what like Bitcoin price looks like in a hyper inflationary
economy go to local bitcoins or coin dance coin dot dance and look up the the
Venezuelan the the volume chart in Venezuelan Boulevard is for Bitcoin on
on local bitcoins and that like that barely barely increased any bitcoin buying but
it's hyperbolic in terms of bali bars yeah definitely definitely um i also will say that
i mean if we if bitcoin goes to 1 million in like today's terms that's like a 21 trillion
which which is a lot which is a lot um but it's the size of the us economy or yeah and i believe
like the m4 of the u.s dollar is like 30 trillion or 32 33 trillion or something um so i mean what's
m4 cash and circulation yeah so like so this is like very loose so like i don't remember precisely
but um m4 is like everything yeah circulation m0 is like cash or whatever the circulating one
m1 is like you add some like some bank deposits m3 is like you add some like the shadow banking
or whatever and like m4 is like everything yeah there's m5 as well but like i don't even know
what that is there's some derivative stuff yeah well exactly yeah that's like what's safe and i
were also talking about this this morning too is like the cpi and how it's been bastardized like
people these central bank figures will will just add variables that that make you think like oh
everything's okay everything's okay but really they're just changing the underlying equation
to hide inefficiencies?
Well, the Federal Reserve
hasn't even been reporting
on some of these figures
for like eight or nine years now.
The M2 and M3,
or is it M3?
That hasn't even been public information.
And to be honest with you,
this doesn't apply to America.
This applies to every country.
I don't believe a single data point
that they're putting out.
No.
I don't believe a single one.
I only believe in the markets
over the long term
and human action and human desire.
and whatever they end up choosing
and whatever they end up pricing.
But a lot of this data is distorted.
A lot of the markets are no longer,
I mean, theoretically markets are supposed
to be efficient pricing mechanisms
or price discovery places.
But all this like extreme central bank activity
and their run towards creating a wealth effect
around the world their indiscriminate buying of so many different assets has essentially
stopped markets from being like efficient price mechanisms and now they're just
inflated assets right like and there's good evidence out there that like the bank of japan
in particular is printing money and putting it right into japanese etfs and their stock markets
like yeah i believe the bank of japan has already owns like 70 of the etf market in japan
they're printing money and essentially like nationalizing the economy like slowly turning
into the nationalized economy yeah but if you're a fucking trader like that's an easy trade oh the
bank of japan is going to print money and push it into their etf market like let me buy some
japanese etfs well that's why fixed supply money is so interesting because any kind of price that
we would arrive to by using bitcoin would be pure right exactly do people want that though are we
ready for a world yeah like a lot of people i'm realizing more and more that most people they
don't care about some money they don't care about decentralization they don't care about distributed
systems they don't care about cyberpunk ideals they don't care about this and that and all this
idealistic stuff so let's be honest what really matters and how can we what can we do to make
this market go 10x make this market go 100x make bitcoin become a money of the future money of the
internet um whether you like it or not the most powerful thing you can do is to convince wealthy
and large asset managers and billionaires and high net worth individuals to put even
1%, to put even half a percent of their portfolios into these crypto assets.
I was that junior analyst in 2013 screaming at the fund I worked for, we should be investing
in Bitcoin.
Fiat currencies are going to die.
We should be getting in Bitcoin.
It's happening.
It wasn't ready back then.
It wasn't ready five, six years ago.
but i think uh i think some managers in particular are willing to take it's in their risk appetite
and they're going for it but i got laughed out of a i didn't get i mean i didn't get fired or
anything i quit but people looked at me like with cock eyes like what the hell are you fucking
talking about i mean a lot of a lot of older people think that like this is still some some
weird tokens that people buy weed on the internet with like but it's it it's not that i don't spend
my bitcoin exactly and um i think honestly i think like a lot of these asset managers are very smart
people and like they they can understand the systems they're on the side of the question
they're very conservative uh they're very conservative of course they want a little
bit more regulatory clarity they want more custodial solutions they want more time for
research but once you see a famous billionaire or a handful of famous billionaire announced that
they put one percent of the portfolio in or like a handful of university endowments or a handful of
serving wealth funds maybe even a handful of central banks but those will come later but
once you yeah once some asset managers will go on record saying that they are bullish on this
it's like they say it's slowly and then suddenly and then it will be a tipping point and then it
was just a go parabolic yeah and you know what i think's holding it up right now is just like
the due diligence and compliance that like being on uh a portfolio management team and had like we
were a fund of funds or a 40-act fund of funds so we had to do a shit ton of compliance and
due diligence trips like the amount of red tape that these funds need to get through before they
can invest in these types of assets like people don't understand and that's what like worries me
about some of the crypto hedge funds out there i'm like do you have your like compliance and
due diligence like lined up on the back end because this is like very very important and
you cannot fuck up the due diligence and compliant aspect in particular and that's why i think
institutional money has been hesitant to enter the space up to this point honestly i think like
the value proposition of um a crypto hedge fund and i'm and yeah the value proposition of a crypto
hedge fund is i increasingly don't even see it anymore because like at the end of unless you
are an active trader unless you're a talented algorithmic trader or a talented active manager
talented volatility trader or whatever um at the end of the day like in the next two or three years
some of especially if you're just a buy and hold crypto fund manager you're just going to be holding
the same five six coins and so like why would you invest in that you if you're an asset manager you
can go and buy these same five coins um in the stress of the stress of like all the compliance
and shit that comes on the back end and having to hold other people's money just like exactly i mean
they're some of them are some of them are really really good some of them are run by very very
smart people but we're talking about like the top 10 percent or 10 to percent or top three top four
funds honestly yeah some of them are really good and some of them have extremely smart people
working on uh they're um extremely smart savvy researchers but a lot of the crypto hedge funds
most of the crypto hedge funds are just glorified custodians and you're paying them 2 and 20 per
year to three and 30 and summit to do it yeah three instances yeah it's like um i i somebody
was joking so for you for you freaks out there that don't know what two and twenty and three
and thirty is so whenever you invest in a hedge fund you have fees that you have to pay a two
percent management fee which you have to pay no matter what and then a 20 profit fee so if the
fund makes profit they get 20 of the money that they made for you actually uh irregardless of
their hardcore shilling of decred i really like placeholders model which is more of like a vc
than a hedge fund placeholder is chris bernuski and joel monagra yeah um but um
i i like that they have like 10 year lockups and they can essentially take a lower time preference
view on things they can be they can like uh engage more with the entrepreneurs and the founders that
they're engaging with and i believe like their their fees are lower on their fees and some of
fees are fixed when compared to some of these crypto hedge funds which allows the lps to
compound their wealth faster and yeah i think it's a better approach yeah um this is a topic i i feel
comfortable diving into you we're too young young bucks here do you ever i worry like are we are we
just naive like are we naive or is this like real like uh i'm 27 you're 23 like who are we to to
evangelize this technology like are we just dumb young millennials no i think i think it's coming
and i think it's we can only be wrong on timing uh it can take like a lot longer than we hope it
will but it will come because um like fiat currencies and gold are essentially the best
as they can be already but these forms of money will only keep improving they'll keep being better
they'll keep being faster they'll keep being more programmable they'll keep being more secure
hopefully more private and there will be a lot more things that you can do with them there'll
be a lot more things that you can do on top of them and they'll simply i believe they are a 10x
improvement over existing monetary instruments and this this this gap will keep increasing
because the existing monetary instruments
have saturated their potential.
While cryptocurrencies, honestly,
this is only the beginning of the journey
and they'll keep getting better.
They'll keep getting bigger.
And this is the new asset class.
I actually don't like to think of it as a new asset class.
I think it's a replacer.
A replacer?
A replacer for many of the monetary instruments.
I've been harping on new asset class for a while.
Why do you say replacer?
Because it's zero sum.
Even though at this small scale,
it doesn't it doesn't look that way but um if these go into trillions then they can only go
into trillions if fiat and monetary instruments go lower there's only so much like money and
monetary instruments and wealth in the world so for bitcoin or for any other coin to go into 40
trillion 50 trillion that would mean that there's less wealth parked into in fiat currencies and
There's less wealth parked in gold, silver, and all these like short term money market funds, bonds, etc.
So it's kind of zero sum.
I mean, people like to say, oh, there's going to be an expansionary effect because but like expansionary effects aside, it's zero sum.
For Bitcoin to go into 50 trillion, this same 50 trillion needs to come from other monetary instruments.
And that's been my investment thesis since 2012 is we're going to see a great, I've been calling it a great rotation into cryptocurrencies from traditional financial assets.
yeah it's essentially going to like suck the value in yeah hopefully and uh but it's always
good to question because like people think we're crazy you know like people think we're absolutely
crazy getting into this stuff but i do truly believe in it and i think a good example is this
like you were talking about like the financialization of traditional assets has just
gotten to such a point where it's just like not viable and on a longer term scale like look at
deutsche bank right now they have the biggest derivative exposure in the world and they're
trending towards zero their stock prices and smaller profits than binance six month old
right so twitchy bank a 230 year old bank was less profitable than binance a six month old
crypto exchange in the first quarter this year i think that um bitcoin and maybe a handful of other
like blockchain based projects will unbundle a lot of wall street eventually
Yeah, what do you mean by on the low?
Some of the rent-seeking that they are engaging in right now,
those profit margins will collapse
because everything will be algorithmic.
Everything will be based on distributed ledgers
and based off of some of these smart contracts, I believe.
They will be useful in some respects.
And I mean, banks won't disappear
because some people will want them for custody.
Some people want them for advisory, mergers and acquisitions.
I mean, these sort of sell-side services will remain.
But I think these algorithmic software-based systems will increasingly pose as very, very fierce competition.
And having a monetary unit underlie these systems will be a feedback loop.
They'll make the system stronger, and the systems will make the monetary unit stronger.
yeah that's why i like to say that like in the short to medium term uh things like ethereum
and all these smart contracts i believe they're good for bitcoin because um like each of these
crypto kitty or auger platforms they'll bring in more new people and hopefully um the big chunk
of this wealth will end with will end up in bitcoin which is a store of value yeah and that's
uh that's one thing i've been hearing more and more lately is that like people will find ethereum
first because it's the easiest to build on and stuff like that because all the dabs gambling
that's prediction that's a car the rule decentralized roulette and they figure out how
decentralized google docs but they'll figure out how like insecure it is and they'll eventually
fall like all right i want to work on the most secure dumbed down protocol right and it makes
sense like and so let's get into that like that platforms and stuff like that like again i do
appreciate them as much as i hate on ethereum and all these i i hate out of love let me let me just
make this clear to you freestyler i hate out of love because i want the best out of everybody
but i do strongly believe that we will have dap platforms in the future they'll just be software
that you can plug bitcoin into as fuel and just execute contracts precisely right well exactly so
i um i i don't hate that platforms i think daps and smart contracts are very cool very useful
they will be a thing
they're just not
going to be the
store of value
right
exactly
there's going to be
software that enables
people to put
Bitcoin in
and as soon as
an event happens
distribute it
one way or the other
especially with their
move to proof of stake
so it's a very
interesting
like another loop
I guess it could be
positive or negative
a proof of stake
system
because it's
secured by the
money itself
and not by
external hash power
a proof of stake
system can only
be secure if it's if the underlying token is very valuable but as i believe the underlying token can
only be highly valuable if it's becomes seen and used as a store of value but for something to be
a store of value it needs to be very secure so like it's kind of like a circular logic maybe
they can like they essentially bootstrapped off of proof of work and now they want to attempt to
do the switcheroo but we will see if price of ethereum collapses it's a very insecure system
because it will be very cheap to attack it yeah um only if it only if the price keeps climbing
will it remain a secure system and this applies to essentially all proof of stake systems they
need to be very valuable to be secure well let's jump into this like the supply of ether is vitalic
very publicly stated i believe in 2016 that the supply should not go over 100 million and we found
out this week that it's at 120 million already well it passed 100 million this morning past 100
million this morning excuse me yes and then he came out and said it shouldn't go above 120 million
so this is like it it's like to let it's uh and what book was it it's the black swan i believe
it was the black swan the black swan where nassim taleb says a project if you set a due date of 50
days and it comes to the 50th day and you don't hit it your project gets extended to 100 days and
if you get to 100 days and you don't hit hit your your project isn't finished it's going to take you
a thousand days to get it and like that's what reminds me of ethereum moving to proof of stake
from proof of work is that they've been saying and saying and saying it's going to happen
where it's getting to a point
where it may never happen
because they just aren't able to do it.
How come they haven't moved?
I believe they can only compete with Bitcoin
if they put a hard cap.
But even so,
their monetary policy isn't as credible
and their blockchain isn't as credible as Bitcoin's.
I can list three dozen things
that it's not as good as Bitcoin.
We got 36 things to list right now.
Get into it.
I'm kidding.
I can list some if you want.
Go for it. List some.
What's your top three or four?
Well, obviously, I think it's a much more secure system.
I think Bitcoin's Lindy effect is very, very powerful.
Bitcoin has the first mover advantage.
It has the highest market capitalization.
It has the highest liquidity.
It has the highest credibility of monetary policy, highest scarcity, highest popularity,
highest brand recognition, highest censorship resistance, highest distribution of ownership,
Highest robustness of code, I would argue.
One of the most, if not the best team in the space working on it.
Highest level of financialization with the futures and the options.
I would say the strongest cult, the most intense cult.
Hey, we're not a cult.
I mean, I say cult and a good thing.
Cults are good for cryptocurrencies because they need very intense bootstrapping to compete.
right um and like the highest infrastructure support um yeah i mean and i and i like the
conservative and the and in the prudence of the developers i like to say that the carefulness
the almost like the ocd like the thoughtfulness and thoroughness of the developers is why it's
a good store of value yeah like when the bitcoin devs were working on implementing segwit they
tested it so thoroughly that they found a flaw in uh ssl security like online yeah they they do
their work they do their work so good that they they fix other people's work right exactly and
again for you freaks out there that may love these move fast and break thing blockchains like i just
don't think for money in particular and for these protocols in particular it's not the best
mindset to have we're we're already building some 100 billion dollar networks we're trying to
achieve trillion dollar 10 trillion dollar networks this isn't like a dating app this isn't
a food delivery app this is not a social network you fast move fast and break things doesn't work
here you need uh you're it's like you're building a submarine a nuclear submarine it's very it's
like heart surgery it's very important exactly be very careful exactly and
i go back once again it's high time preference people want people want the chocolate now they
want it fast they want it right now with extra sugar well and that's another thing i was talking
about with safe this morning is that people are just born into the system and thrown into it
they're so used to it they have their tendencies and it's hard to change you know people like just
the way the world works i've read research that between 2005 and 2015 are like short-term
attention spans have like collapsed since like from 20 seconds to like six seconds or something
really yeah what was this study like well so because it makes sense to me because of because
of the fast pace of the internet because of um this like sugarification of junk food because of
everything being at the at the like tip of our fingers essentially i like to say this confluence
of uberification tinderification pornification sugarification of culture has like essentially
made us impatient has essentially made us everybody's like ocd and add right now nobody
can concentrate on anything for more than five minutes and we've been in here for an hour and
10 minutes having a beautiful conversation i've been enjoying it indeed and no i agree like can
we change this up like can we revert is it even a reversion that's what i would ask like is it
reversion or is it an evolution to you have to fight the currents and the strongest individuals
have to fight the currents i believe as i've said a sound form of money a sound form of financial
monetary institutions will improve the situation somewhat but at the end of the day i am a hyper
individualist uh everybody uh has to focus on their own goals and has to i believe in trying
to find win-win situations and do and build things that benefit both yourself and others
um and like that's why i think capitalism works better than these like social assistance because
it aligns incentives better uh it rewards you if you provide society with something of value
yeah i mean there's no debate there's no debate no i mean there's no debate it's not like
one's better than the other like it's not like oh maybe one is better it is like one is better
than the other like and that it's just like and it's a mat it's it's basically a simulation of
nature right like you're just figuring out things organically of course i mean capitalism
aligns with i believe it aligns with evolution much more closely than any of the top down like
god syndrome god complex these systems yeah like you talk about like fishing farms and tanks and
monoculture on small farms like what happens to them like you try to you try to basically
confide the production of fish or food to one certain geological area and like try to make
it like repeatable and repeatable instead of letting nature take its course and you get
fucked up fish fucked up food you get arid land it's uh you just gotta let nature take its course
and i think capitalism does that well and i believe bitcoin even takes it to a whole nother
level well that's what i like to say exactly i like to say that bitcoin will essentially make
socialism impossible or very much harder because you cannot you're not i'm not fucking you're not
taking my bitcoin to pay for a socialist government exactly and i mean for something to to have like a
socialist or god forbid communist system you the government needs to have a control of money
control of currency and like marx in his manifesto he wrote that like the number one thing is to take
full nationalized central banking and to have a sole monopoly on the money supply i mean of course
the government's like that it gives them so much power um i believe that the institution of central
banking and fiat currency is the strongest institution in the world i mean it allows so
so much so much power so much power so much waste inefficiency bureaucracy like the bureaucracy
that's what see that's what i think people are getting most pissed off about is a bureaucracy
like people again like going back to this the short attention span things like maybe it is
maybe these central planners have dug their own graves because they've built a system where we're
so like we want results fast fast fast and they're so monolithic that they can't move as fast that
we're asking that people are now starting to look for alternatives and maybe the alternative
is reversion to to a sound system where there is no top-down structure to tell you what to do
precisely and like they think they can design or they think they can design a system where
and it was going to achieve exactly the result that they want but it's such a chaotic
unpredictable multi-variable world and like this is what austrian economists like mises or hayek
have always been writing about like in a very loose metaphor if you give a government one
billion dollars or you give a thousand talented individuals a million dollars each which one do
you think is going to spend it or invest it more productively of course it's going to be one
thousand talented people with a million each because they are essentially they are decentralized
not in the sense of blockchain like they're they have the information in their local community
local structure and they can achieve they can see the inefficiencies and the opportunities and like
the local sort of like this this price inefficiencies much more effectively and they
can create i believe invest and create products much better than a government bureaucracy by the
time one billion dollars is spent like probably half of it is just going to be wasted through
inefficiencies bureaucracy and these government employees which are clearly not as good as private
sector employees exactly and you see this let's uh let's harp on this example with the u.s education
system like public schooling in america in particular you do not go to public school care
growing up but to get funding at public schooling like you have like there's there's standardized
tests called standardized testing and to get funding your students have to get a certain
grade on these tests like in aggregate and basically these teachers instead of trying to
teach their students what they want to learn or what they might need to learn they're they're
teaching for these fucking standardized tests and it's fucking making everyone dumber i would say
in the long run like and just let these local like maybe maybe somebody in iowa or illinois or
kansas might want to learn more about farming because there's more farming land around maybe
you let those students go learn about more about that kids in the cities maybe they want to learn
more about finance accounting shit like that make them go learn about that or let them go learn
about that but instead we have a standardized testing world where everybody's teaching for
the test and it's just like it's a bureaucrat bureaucratic top-down system that makes everybody
dumber in the long run yeah you're essentially just studying for six years just to beat some
number on a piece of paper instead of uh instead of studying something you either enjoy or something
that's actually valuable or something that's actually productive i'm a strong believer in
apprenticeships actually i am too yeah and i believe like when you are doing like an internship
or a couple of internships or just working somewhere for a year you'll learn more than
like five years at a school yeah that's why i was so happy to go to school in chicago because i was
able to take night classes and work during this so i started working full-time i think my junior
year in college and i've learned more in the workforce than i did at school but i did have
to go to school and get the grades and shout out to my sister love you ave she's a ceramicist and
i'm pretty pretty sure i'm close to convincing her to go get an apprenticeship with a potter to
like become really good at her craft she's already incredible at what she does but her time is better
spent learning from an expert than going to spend like 80 grand for an art school i'm i'm pretty sure
you're correct yeah i'm making money you're not going into debt honestly i'm kind of skeptical
on higher education and because like unless you're studying to be a doctor or you're studying
something highly technical like physics or computer engineering or something like that
i don't know man these like a lot of these especially a lot of these people studying
these social sciences you can just study it on your own without spending a quarter million dollars
we learn by ourselves like no one cares about you as much as you can care about yourself
so at the end of the day it's on you and even the best students their best learning comes from
after class on their own just focusing staring into the book staring into the material it's not
the granted from above or anything like that no and um yeah like what's like the pricing for some
of this education is just absurd i mean it is asinine like so if you look at this like inflation
deflation that's interesting thing if you look at the markets where the government isn't really
involved like technology um as you can see computers are getting cheaper uh clothing is
getting phones are getting cheaper clothing is getting cheaper but health care is health
care is in america is a disaster it's a disaster health care we need to implode it and just start
from scratch uh health care education like pharmaceutical all these like medical things
they're they're a total disaster and you see like all these things are going red going high and all
these things going slowly slowly blue and the slow blue like slow deflationary effect is like
at equilibrium outside of government regulations government intervention capitalism and technology
let alone both those things two together they are deflationary phenomena yeah and that's how
it's supposed to be you're supposed to do be doing things cheaper and faster and better and
competition natural competition that's unhindered through all these licenses all these taxes or you
have to get a permit this you have to get 12 permits there you have to get my signature there
it doesn't make any sense and the most fucked up part about it is the things that are getting most
inflated are the things that people need most which is like food health care education right
housing housing too throw housing in there right it's fucked up right doesn't make any sense like
and then then the fed tries to piss on your face and tell you it's raining be like hey cpi has been
at like 1.7 percent consistently for the last seven years so why do you think these like one
bedroom apartments in san francisco cost two three million dollars right it's like san francisco has
the potential to be the next tokyo if they only just like allow people to expand and come like
real estate firms and these builders to compete like it could be the next big thing it could be
shang like shanghai but instead like all these like extra licensing all these laws all these
people saying oh we don't want this we don't want that that's why it just hinders potential
how do we unleash this potential marad that's what i want to know hyper bitcoinization will
purify us all do you think hyper bitcoinization is possible probable uh it will take longer than
what what hyper bitcoinization supporters think per part but something like it will happen yeah
how do you see playing out um as i've said gradually at first and then suddenly and um
so this is the thing like once bitcoin goes into this 10 trillion dollar territory
it will like its volatility will slowly start to subside um one of the problems with bitcoin
right now just like you said like i'm not spending my bitcoin there are disincentives to spend
because there's still 100x plus ahead but once it's at 10 trillion the highest it can ever go
from here let's be realistic is what like 30 40 trillion or whatever i mean at that point
more and more people will start to spend because all you have left is 3x 4x at most which is like
okay to lose out on 100x you don't want to lose out on nobody wants to be the pizza guy right
so um we need to get to that phase and that phase does require bootstrapping that phase
does require speculation um new forms of money don't come about so often and that's why it's
a slow road millennia precisely millennia uh you know what they say it's the greatest wealth
transfer in millennia yeah which probably is again it's gonna be a great rotation like i that was my
first ever investment thesis was like hey i believe there's gonna be a great rotation from
these fiat currencies and traditional finance financial assets to these cryptocurrencies
that's precisely why i say that particularly bitcoin like i used to be like a multi-coiner
like oh my god they're all gonna take over the world but as time goes on you're it's like
undeniable well that's why pio shard started bitcoin advisory and that's why i say that like
convincing asset managers and high net worth individuals to invest to invest some is
one of the one of the highest leverage things you can do yeah because let's be honest like
this libertarian austrian crypto anarchist cypherpunk money is already in the market
and it's already saturated their attention and their wealth is already saturated in the market
right now we need institutions to come for the market to explode there's no other way and
slowly but surely slowly but surely and then suddenly so this is how i like to think about
it like every instance in the next 20 years every instance of a currency crisis every instance of
hyperinflation even higher than expected inflation every instance of government acting too authoritarian
every instance of like bank defaults every instance of bond defaults uh wealth appropriation
some billionaires getting thrown in prison something like all these things
will will create more and more Bitcoin fans will create more and more
cryptocurrency fans because it allows you to hold wealth in an unseizable
manner so I mean I guess this is like one of the many factors but the more bad
things that come from governments around the world and the more bad things that
come from Wall Street or financial systems around the world the more people
will believe algorithms instead of people because algorithm is much harder
to corrupt uh it's apolitical and it's apolitical it's neutral um it's it doesn't have laziness it
doesn't have greed it doesn't have um like all these emotions that humans are prone to and i
mean everybody in like if you look at the graph of young people's trust in their government it's
been like cascading it's literally like a diagonal down yeah so and it will keep going down and like
i can only speak for myself or maybe my generation but we already trust algorithms more than people
and that's fine yes and this is another it's a little bit of a tangent here to this conversation
but this is one thing we touched on the first time we met for drinks a couple months ago um
so you came from soviet russia correct uh yes i am from azerbaijan azerbaijan and so the cio the
chief investment officer of the fund i worked for was also from soviet russia like he was on pace
to be a russian cosmonaut and what really woke my like woke me up and really made me be like holy
shit maybe bitcoin is a thing was one day we were sitting there and we were just having a conversation
talking investment thesis and we got on a tangent about orwellian orwell uh hypothetical orwellian
future and i'll never forget it dimitri looked me in the eye and he was like i grew up in soviet
russia like i i moved to the states in 94 and you'll never believe the sense of freedom i felt
when i was walking through the airports like i cried the first time i walked to an american
airport because i felt so free there was nobody there checking me or looking at me or surveilling
me and i felt so free i can't explain the the feeling of freedom that i felt in that moment
and he looked me dead in the eyes was like since 2001 since after 9-11 america is slowly and slowly
and slowly been reminding me more of what it was like to to live in soviet russia with the tsa
and the government cracking down and the federal reserve policies and that patriot act nsa yeah
and that's what woke me up was like holy shit like what is happening right now like are we
frogs boiling in water and we just don't notice it and that's what drove me even further into
bitcoin was like all right just in case we are like i need this sovereign currency
and it's crazy because people don't think about it in real time so like i don't know if i'm
bringing up anything personal or anything but like what was like can you speak to that at all or
um to be honest like i'm from azerbaijan and it's like pretty free these days so like i can't
complain yeah um but i do see sort of some of like the american government has certainly
been getting like bigger and more influential in people's lives obviously as we've seen uh
like it seems that like when compared to like the mccarthy's days or whatever it's like
not as much but i think they're just getting better at like doing it in the dark you know
yeah yeah yeah and it's like so you have jeff bezos in washington state in california about
to sell contracts to do facial recognition shit like they're like they're doing in china dude
that's dystopian stuff man right dude that's why like look like i'm a mild bitcoin maximalist but
i come on come full on i do i do like some of the privacy coins as well um in the age of like ai
interacting with each other and robots paying each other and like all these like
millions of financial transactions per second around the world um you want privacy man because
otherwise it becomes a dystopian system like i'm not comfortable with joe levin a chain analysis
an elliptic like tracking my every move you know like of course we have we have hopes for
this situation resolving itself on bitcoin and if it does it has to be very big development um but
zcash which i think is is the most promising uh biggest zcash bull i've ever met by the way
yeah which which i believe is is is the most promising privacy coin it's only like it's a
Here, like if you go on ChainFX, it's 2050 diluted market cap.
It's only 3% of Bitcoins, which I think is undervalued.
It should be at least 10%, 15%.
Yeah.
At least.
Yeah.
And like, as I've mentioned, but I didn't elaborate in the beginning of the show, I
believe in what I call the fat money thesis.
and i used to think and this is like a very big discussion among people in the community right now
is this currency market going to be winner take most or winner take all so when you take most
let's say there's going to be three or four winners which go in like a power law 70 2010
kind of distribution um and or is it going to be winner take all with the winner being like 95
percent and i'm increasingly thinking it's the latter like at the end of the day we'll probably
only have one form of money uh a lot of hedge funders a lot of shit coiners a lot of multi
coiners poly chainers they don't like this narrative because um they don't like this
narrative because if this narrative is true there's not enough money to be made and if if in
six months all asset managers around the world agree that bitcoin is sound money and bitcoin is
the winner then hedge fund makes no sense and like the reason we have us dollar and euro and
jpy and yuan right now is because of borders is because of the different trade regulations
sanctions governments um things like like tariffs uh once again taxes quotas because of all these
artificial things but in the digital borderless realm you don't need five currencies like you
only need one monetary standard and having one unified monetary standard is better for everyone
it's better for all trading partners around the world it's better for all price mechanisms around
the world i can travel to japan i can travel to cambodia and buy my fruit for the same exact type
of money and all these like utility tokens are probably the biggest scam in the history of
mankind let's dive into utility 99.9 of them are absolute shit they will all collapse they will
all bleed to death i hope that this current bear cycle that we will in will have a flight to quality
effect all these ice 99.95 percent of icos have been somewhere between a scam a fundraising exit
vaporware or good intention but useless it's been somewhere between here um i've i i believe like
the work token model like it's like a medallion like a taxi medallion uh augur keep new cypher
they have this which essentially like you it's like a license like you buy a license and then
um you can perform the work like that kind of makes sense but it doesn't matter i was gonna
say augur is maybe like the only one yes exactly yeah like a profit sharing scheme they launch
less than a month from now july 8th or 9th we can only hope yeah but let's see what happens
with the ethereum network let's hope they don't have another crypto kitty moment um but yeah
at the end of the day
it doesn't matter
because what matters
is the reinvention of money
that's the biggest
I like to say
in terms of total
addressable market
in terms of money
to be made
for us as investors
and in terms of potential
for socio-economic change
and socio-economic consequences
all this shit
pales in comparison
to the reinvention of money
and now we can
we can discuss of course
whether it's going to be
Bitcoin
whether it's going to be
Ethereum
whether it's going to be
something else
that's the winner
but there's
I believe there's going to be
one
like
Like, in the short and medium term, there's going to be a lot of shit coin, a soup of shit coinery, as I like to say.
There's going to be a lot of, quote, unquote, experiments.
Man, come on.
Don't be so judgy.
We're all just learning here.
We're all just experimenting, bro.
Bro, let the free market decide.
I get that a lot.
I get that a lot.
Come on.
Don't you like free markets?
But it's like, ah.
Yeah, but anyways.
I like free markets to the extent that people aren't scamming people.
But you know what?
I actually, like, I used to think that, but now I think let them be scammed.
I'm completely on your side.
them burn let them get burned and maybe in the next set maybe their children
won't get burned because they will get told or maybe the neck their younger
brother won't get burned because it will only invest in sound cryptocurrencies
with sound teams who are not scammers yeah at the end of the day I think like
people will come to a list of like five and six cryptocurrencies that are
essentially competing for to be the big star of our winner and that's it yeah I
would I would concur I agree like and like but there's so much noise out there
like people love the vc app culture of hey spray and pray like we're just going to put our money
behind a bunch of different teams it's like cnbc africa or cnbc crypto trader it's like he says
in order to be sufficiently the correlations are 0.82 he says in order to be sufficiently
diversified in crypto markets you need to have between 70 and 80 coins oh fuck yourself and he
He said, yeah, most of these will fail, but some of these altcoins will do 10,000x.
We're at a dawn of a new era.
This is going to be bigger than the internet, and we're going to have a blockchain for every website.
We're going to have a blockchain for every database.
Dude, the herd is coming.
The virus is spreading.
The gangrene is spreading.
Oh, my God.
That's so asinine.
like to think of like the logistical infrastructure you would need for that it's just like
there's scammers everywhere freaks be careful they're coming for your bitcoin
there's no panacea for for tech problems out there like this is this is a monetary phenomena
again it only happens once every few millennia and there's a lot of confusion out there like
a lot of people trying to apply bad heuristics to or good heuristics in some areas but bad
heuristics in this arena uh to bitcoin and it's just completely different it's confusing the fuck
out of people people are confused they don't know what to what to think and i would i would encourage
everybody like i did this morning with safety and please read up on monetary history like you need
to know your history you need to know your history read up on monetary history well you have to you
don't have a choice because uh just like cypherian says hard money isn't a choice like you have to
either choose the best money of the future correctly or you're going to lose money right
it's it's binary it's binary and to be honest with you like um i think bitcoin and hyper
or just like the success of any cryptocurrency will create massive inequality that's just that's
just that's just sad and true sad but true but it's just i'm not trying to be prescriptive i'm
just trying to be predictive and descriptive i agree but i would say that inequality would be
better than the inequality that we have now because the investments that would be made would
be in in longer term like you're not gonna have conspicuous consumption well exactly and
And obsolescence.
Bitcoin was never about destroying inequality.
Bitcoin was about creating money that other people can't inflate.
Yes.
And so even if you don't have any Bitcoin and even if you get paid a little bit of Bitcoin,
at least you can know that nobody can decay your wealth.
Exactly.
And that's what it's all about.
If anything, your wealth will actually slightly grow with the speed of the economy.
Exactly.
And at the end of the day, it all comes down to how personally motivated you are to put yourself in a better place.
And if you're willing to have a long-time preference and save the little bit of Bitcoin that you make in the future, it will appreciate it over time.
As more and more fiat currencies disappoint their holders, more and more people will find themselves buying Bitcoin.
Yeah, it's a natural progression, I would argue.
We're an hour and a half in.
Anything else you want to touch on?
um i mean yeah this is this is pretty much it i think that the space is moving like look i think
that there's going to be a lot of interesting use cases and there's going to be a lot of
really cool projects really cool software coming out new consensus mechanisms new technologies
whatever but at the end of the day i think what there will be like a convergence there will be a
flight to quality these thousand shit coins that we have right now they will
die most of them will die imagine like walking around New York and having to
pay different currency in each different store right that's a nightmare
and I got my shake Shake Shack bucks I want to get a chop though I gotta I gotta
convert them to chop dollars this makes no sense it makes no sense um so I hate
they're all gonna be converted in the back end though you're not even gonna
see it yeah exactly like they say dude it's all gonna be it's all like uh there's going to be
token abstraction it's all gonna be so okay like if there's going to be token abstraction why not
just use bitcoin well if there's going to be token abstraction that means the price of your
shit coins will go down even faster um so i think that so i think in the i actually think in the
short to medium term all these shit coins will be mostly shit coins will be replaced by stable
coins and if hyper bitcoinization ever happens they will be using bitcoin yeah let's talk about
stablecoins that'll be our last topic so a lot of people don't believe in them i think that i think
i'm skeptical i think that will work i know you do um i disclosure i'm an investor in a couple
of stablecoin projects um but this is my issue um now i'm not a b cacher obviously but it says
that peer-to-peer cash on the on the white paper and i believe that um bitcoin as of right now it's
better to view it as digital gold metaphorically speaking yes and it's better for it to saturate
that store of value essentially digital commodity space first before we use as digital like as a
day-to-day currency but it will be another 7 to 15 years before bitcoin is stay big liquid and
stable enough to be used as day-to-day currency yeah and i think until then um stable coins are
necessary because they're like a synthetic dollar or some of them even want to peg to the cpi or
whatever but they're like they want to peg to the cpi yeah please don't let them do that well
they would have their own cpi okay that is not like government mandated but will the cpi be
be static for at least a decade um it's like they almost every stablecoin projects is starting off
the variables within the cpi would that be static for a decade like weighted statically or i can't
speak on their behalf because all these details are tbd yeah for the next five to seven years
all the stable coins want to peg to the dollar because that's just easier um you have to think
of stable coins as synthetic dollars that can get in and out of countries borderlessly so capital
controls collapse i understand and you you you will need them for daps and you will need them
for all these things i agree but like what does an investment get you like they're stable like
they're not supposed to increase or decrease in value that's true uh some of the stablecoin
projects have like it's an equity investment and they like they pay you whenever they expand the
supply or whatever something like that okay you think you have to think of them as private central
banks okay um in a way like all cryptocurrencies are private central banks it's just that bitcoin's
monetary policy is like ruthless this is it's like it doesn't give a shit yeah so it will take
it it needs time the thing is that bitcoin is the soundest money ever invented and i believe it's
currency that's most likely to succeed and it's also my biggest holding uh but it will take time
for it to uh be stable enough to be used as a currency and if for any reason hyper
bitcoinization doesn't occur stable coins could be useful yeah um also um
the um i forgot what i was going to say well i'll come in and do a rebuttal to stable coins which
is like nothing's stable stable coins are only stable until they're not and it's a it's a hot
potato musical chairs type game you you just don't want to be left holding the bag when hits
the fan because stable coins are susceptible to black swan events and as the definition of black
swan event dictates you can't predict them it's hard to say for sure um there's definitely a lot
of risks involved and they're definitely going to be fragile especially early on
it really depends on the design of the stable coin and it depends on the kind of
um reserve or algorithmic or any kind of other kind of backing that is backing it as long as
the reserve is bigger than the stable coins outstanding it will be fine and um if a stable
coin grows to like half a trillion or a trillion dollars of course this is like it's going to take
years but if that ever happens then it will be stable by the property of people using it just
like a lot of fiat currencies are stable yeah so like the bigger it goes the more robust it becomes
of course i do agree with you however that in the early years they are very fragile animals yeah um
so what i wanted to say is i remembered is um all of these currencies and like especially like fixed
supply these ones that have to get bootstrapped from like store value and then to minimum change
or whatever um yes they have the properties of the soundest money ever invented the hardest
currency ever invented but money at the end of the day is a social contract of sorts and it's
an abstraction it's almost like a contractual agreement and you will accept bitcoin if i will
accept bitcoin and i will accept bitcoin if you will accept bitcoin and we'll both accept it if
we see that it's trading at like $200,000 or whatever, right?
But these humans move a lot slower than software.
And culture, as you can see,
changes a lot slower than technology.
And it will take time.
The best, even the best case scenario,
and hyper-disadvantaged transition does occur or whatever,
is going to take time for people to come around,
for people to see the value in the uninflatability,
for people to learn about this technology like i advise all my friends like study this for six
months before even buying one like right uh because like this is like they're very new and
it's like a different paradigm almost um so almost it is a different it's a different paradigm yeah
um you almost need to like like fully immerse yourself before kind of understanding everything
and like i've been i've been looking at this for like two or three years and still like i don't
think i've scratched even five percent of the surface oh the more you know the less you know
precisely it's insane like i thought i have like 2014 2015 i thought i was fucking my shit didn't
stink i knew what was gonna happen then you just like like i remember like before bcash forked off
or excuse me bch forked off like people were like hard forking was taboo it's like if you hard fork
the network's gonna go to shit like nothing like it's completely going to collapse like you can
never hard fork and now we've got we've got an index of hard forks that that numbers in the 80s
i believe and we survived and i learned that i did not know what i thought i knew well if i don't
know so i lived in china during the previous bubble 2013 2014 and that's like it was my first
kind of like foray into the bitcoins and stuff um but um i don't know if you remember like before
the whole icr craze we had like a pre-mine craze oh yeah yeah and um like pre-mine used to be taboo
like it used to be if you pre-mine then like that's a shit coin but now pre-mine is like a
weekly occurrence that is what that is how you raise money now it's fucking yeah pre-mining your
shitty toad that's what hedge funds invest in too the pre-mines well yeah you get a discount and
they could dump it at a 20 growth or at a 20 markup immediately as it hits an exchange bro
masternodes tokenomics crypto economics your mechanism design but do we need multiple
algorithms on this uh proof of work chain right yeah and that's like verge dead but like like
people like freaking out about verge now remember myriad coin did you ever like it's a myriad coin
that was their whole fucking uh marketing piece was like hey we had multiple is it like kind of
like digibyte with like five algorithms yeah exactly it's like digibyte yeah they had similar
things happening like 51 i honestly like i can't believe so many of these things are so overvalued
they're ridiculously over that's what i said they should all be zero yeah they should be yeah but
the market is the market's still learning this is this is what i like to say and i think people
are coming around to this hopefully more and more there are in terms of cryptocurrencies or
aspiring cryptocurrencies there is like essentially fewer than six or seven non-scams
i would wholeheartedly agree i would even say less yeah there's probably less you can hear
me slurring my words now i think we finished that bottle of bourbon fifth of bourbon not a whole
bottle but um we're almost we're getting up to two hours here we're at an hour 45 minutes
do you have
a parting note for the freaks out there
like what would you say as somebody
who's written two prolific
papers this year not papers but
publications I truly love
them you and Adam did an incredible job on them
thank you no thank you for writing
them because that's something that's been in my
mind for a while like somebody just needs
to understand like the different factions and then the
history of it like the past and present was just
an equal
equally as prolific
as the four faces well you know there's nothing better again people need to know your history
there's nothing better than starting my mornings with my daily dose of daily bent marty's bent
marty's bent yes um that is that pales in comparison to the quality of your so i've i've
been i've been listening to all crypto podcasts for like almost two years now and um i'm telling
you without uh exaggeration that tales from the crypt is slowly but surely going up the hierarchy
of the best podcasts i think it is top five maybe top three now for sure thank you i appreciate that
i don't i don't think so we're getting there slowly but surely guests like you help us get
to the top you know i mean as i said i'm nothing compared to the titans and compared to the true
developers and uh true true heroes of the space maybe that's the parting note we can end on as
bit devs last night like what did you think of that as a as somebody who's been in the space
for a while like what did you think of that structure of a meetup long-term bullish on
bitcoin made me more bullish than ever um was a great was a great place was great meeting all
the developers that you follow online in real life um they're extremely thorough like i think
bitcoin is one of the most advanced cryptocurrencies like people think that it's like the oldest one
people think that it's the myspace or whatever no uh it is one of the most advanced if not the
most advanced cryptocurrencies in terms of the quality of developers there are so many like
projects and so many little things that they are improving on and optimizing on that people don't
know i think we went over 50 pull requests last night 50 pull requests like 12 different papers
like three different new like sub protocols or it's it's amazing yeah um i'm very bullish on
bitcoin um and i like zcash too so that's what i'll say you like zcash too you're turning me
on zcash a little bit um so people the last thing i will say is this uh i think this
It's highly inflationary, pre-overwinter, pre-sapling, pre-Zikon Zero, pre-first halving, pre-mobile wallets, maybe even pre-Starks in the future, pre-shorter, more compact, faster proofs.
This general bearish period and this general sort of next few months is a good time to invest in some Zcash.
and that and i will publicly say that that's what i'm doing as well uh because
what once this this the once they will move to mandatory privacy which is one of their hopes
and dreams and plans and once they have mobile wallets and once right now it's like 80 88 percent
transparent and 12 percent um z or hidden addresses but they want to move to 90 10 in the
other direction and once that's a reality i think this is going to be a very interesting coin yeah
because people want their privacy people want their privacy and like you're not denying that
billionaires like i think like indian chinese russian billionaires they want like a private
store of value without people i mean like on lightning you will have some like private
transactions or whatever but like i think having private on-chain balances is very cool yeah
no i would agree i would agree and once again i will say that i think this is like kind of a
controversial view but i think zcash is the only contender for bitcoin and i will also say that
bitcoin is most likely to win yeah i would concede that as well i mean zuku was working
with jim mccoy back in the day on um what were they working on mojo nation yeah mojo nation
which was very similar to bitcoin um and on top of that i i've stated publicly in the past like
i think the next big debate in the bitcoin space is fungibility like for sure it's for sure that's
the next segwit battle is fungibility i like in my research i think like it's not gonna come in
the next five years no on chain oh god no god no so like it might take decades like the big hope
is for like layer two fungibility and it might be good enough for most people but like we will see
yeah we'll see because i think like big if if if any of these things go to like six seven trillion
or whatever and then people are using these for business or people using this for big payments
whatever um like the big corporations or the billionaires they like their privacy like it's
really important yeah um i also like privacy and i think it's a human right yeah it is a human right
i would totally agree yeah um like i don't it's like walk like i don't want to walk naked throughout
the street it's the same thing like um because right now if you pay like at least on-chain
transaction if you use bitcoin to pay like an aids doctor then everybody knows you have it you know
yeah or a less dark example if you go to uh starbucks and pay like the starbucks coffee
with an on-chain transaction just hypothetical of course no one's doing that but um they can see
how much money you have where other shops have you been buying what your salary is is deducible
uh what's your daily expenditure what your daily how much you're saving how much you're buying
who your friends are how much your mom and dad have money like it's too much man yeah yeah and
these machine learning algorithms big data crunching all this data mining are only getting
more sophisticated and these systems i mean all the transactions since 2009 we can see what all
the track is yeah and people are pretty terrible at uh maintaining their youtube exoset they'll just
right give up their private like a bunch of people fucked up their privacy so like you can you can go
full site you can go full cypherpunk and have like use open dimes as cash or whatever and have like
reuse addresses and have air gapped like laptops whatever uses like all these things but at the
same time um it would be cooler if that's all abstracted away yeah yeah i would not disagree
with that murad this has been a pleasure it's been an incredible conversation thank you sir
where can we find out more about you where should you can find me on twitter at must stop murad we
must stop him because he's going to change the world must stop m-u-r-a-d m-u-r-a-d and we must
stop him because he's going to bring in a better future that's what the government's saying right
now we're all and you're doing the same with your podcast we're all just doing our part to
accelerating the adoption of cryptocurrencies i'm happy to be on the front lines with you
likewise sir my name is marty bent you can find me at marty bent on twitter
if you like this podcast subscribe rate share subscribe to my newsletter too link in the bio
of my twitter account i love all y'all peace and love freaks
