The a16z Show - Building the Cloud for an Agentic World | AWS CEO Matt Garman
Episode Date: October 8, 2026a16z’s Raghu Raghuram sits down with AWS CEO Matt Garman to discuss how AI is reshaping the cloud, from the needs of AI-native startups to infrastructure increasingly designed for agents.Matt explai...ns how AWS is adapting as agents write code and manage infrastructure, why it’s reserving scarce GPU capacity for startups, and where custom chips like Trainium and Graviton fit into the AI stack.They also discuss Amazon's $220 billion capital investment, the shifting bottlenecks in the infrastructure buildout, what enterprises need to trust autonomous agents, and how AWS's own teams are building with agents.Resources:Follow Matt Garman on X: https://x.com/mattsgarman Follow Matt Garman on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/mattgarmanFollow Raghu Raghuram on X: https://x.com/RaghuRaghuramLearn more about AWS: https://aws.amazon.com/ Stay Updated:Find a16z on YouTube: YouTubeFind a16z on XFind a16z on LinkedInListen to the a16z Show on SpotifyListen to the a16z Show on Apple PodcastsFollow our host: https://twitter.com/eriktorenberg Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
agentic workflows tend to perform better on AWS than anywhere else.
Compute sandboxes, gateways, agent permissions versus people.
A lot of those are things that we have built and are building and thinking actively about.
The top frontier labs gobble up every available GPUs.
At the same time, you want to promote newer companies that are going to become the enterprises of tomorrow.
How are you thinking about balancing?
From the very beginning of when we launched AWS, startups have been the lifeblood of the core of what we do.
These are the innovators that are at the edge of technology, understanding,
what's possible.
We're very intentional
about keeping capacity
available for the startups.
We recently announced
we're going to be buying
2 million VDIA GPUs
over the next couple of years.
Your CAPEX this year is what,
200 or something?
$220 billion for 26.
And we don't anticipate
slowing down any time soon
because the demand is just massive.
With all the debate
around AI extension risks
and the hugging phase attack,
what are CEOs asking you
about all these things?
Amazon plans to spend
$220 billion in capital this year.
An AWS CEO Matt Garman says they don't anticipate slowing down anytime soon.
In this episode, E16Z's Ragul Ragulam sits down with Matt
to unpack what's driving one of the largest infrastructure buildouts in history
and how AI is changing the cloud itself.
They discuss how AWS decides who gets scarce GPU capacity,
the shifting bottlenecks from power and ships to memory and construction,
and the company's bet on custom silicon and lektranium.
They also get into what changes when agents,
increasingly write code and manage infrastructure.
And that shares what AWS is seeing
inside its own teams,
where agents now write code
and engineers increasingly manage teams of agents,
accelerating how quickly new products can be built.
Welcome to the pod, Matt.
What a time we're living in.
So I have a lot of topics to talk to you about.
Awesome. Thanks for having me. I'm excited.
Yeah, absolutely.
So let's start, actually, right from the beginning.
So you were the first GM for EC2
And that was 2006, right?
And today you guys are what, 160, 170 billion in revenue?
Yeah, about 169, 170 billion, yeah.
Yeah, growing 305.
37% at 169.
Yeah, crazy.
There's a ton of art.
It's interesting to think about it from day one
when we got the first dollar revenue.
But yeah, the interesting thing is we're still at the early stages
of what the business can be.
and what the opportunity is for customers.
Most workloads, there's a huge amount of workloads still
that live on-prem today,
and the amount of compute that people are doing
every single day is more than it was the day before.
And so you see the tailwind from AI,
you see the tailwind from migration into the cloud,
and the business has grown really fast,
and it's been a super fun thing to be a part of.
Yeah, it is. I mean, they'll be writing history books about this
and business books about this for a long time to come.
I want to touch on on-prem.
That sort of boggles my mind.
I obviously did my best to keep them there for a long time.
You built a lot of stuff on Preback in the day.
Yeah, yeah.
Trying to now get all of that to move into AWS.
Yeah, so we can talk about that later.
So if you think about EC2 in the early days,
and you got your start with obviously selling to startups,
and today the AWS Cloud Service,
I mean, as you reflect on the evolution, what stands out?
Yeah.
Part one, and then part two, we'll talk about how the nature of how you serve startups has changed.
Sure.
Well, like you said, actually, it's funny.
So I actually interned for AWS in 2005 when we were first kind of was an internal project.
It was my business school internship.
And my project was actually to come up with an analysis of who we thought AWS would be most interesting to.
And the answer was startups, like probably not surprisingly.
And so from the very beginning of when we launched AWS, startups have been the lifeblood of the core of what we do for a number of reasons.
One is the value proposition is just so attractive what AWS provides to startups.
And we spend a lot of.
time and effort, making sure that we're great partners to the startups, helping them not just
provide infrastructure, but also advice and how to get your company up and running and how to think
about your architecture, so it'll scale eventually and a whole bunch of things that we do for the
startups. But we also think that for us, it's just good business because the startups today are
the enterprises of tomorrow. And it's an imprecise number, but today we estimate that maybe 30, 40%
of AWS revenue comes from companies that was a one-time startup in AWS lifetime. So it's fun to
see for us to see the companies grow over time and to get bigger and become enterprises effectively.
And so that's why we invest so much to startups and why we pay so much attention to the brand new
two people in a garage type startups. And not just because of business outcomes, but also because
that's who we learn from. These are the innovators that are at the edge of technology, understanding
what's possible, pushing our services to say what they'd want more of, what can help them go faster,
what can help them achieve their outcomes. And a lot of times they're pushing more than the
the banks or the healthcare companies or the governments,
the startups are the ones that are pushing that envelope,
and it really helps us to be better and make sure that we're ahead of that wave
where the banks are going to want some capability five years down the road that startups want today.
Yeah, yeah.
And compared from then to now, how have the startups changed and what they want from you?
Obviously, they all want a lot of GPUs, and we can talk about that, but besides that.
Well, I will say there's a couple of things that have changed.
One is startups started at a much smaller size than when we've,
first started, right? They might have gotten $10 million of funding and they had an app idea that
they were kind of slowly iterating on. Now it's from day one, they're valued at a billion dollars.
They have $200 million of funding. It's a team and an idea and all of a sudden they're worth
a billion dollars. Just go from our offices to your offices. That's right. That's right.
And like the size and scale and ambition of the ideas, I think, requires more capital. They're bigger
to start with. They're almost more expensive too, right? To go after kind of a training a model or
doing something that a lot of the folks are doing today.
So that's number one, which is just the size that they start from is really big.
But I would say number two is some things haven't changed, right?
They actually are still thinking about, okay, once I scale, how do I think about an architecture?
How do I think about security?
How do I think about performance?
How do I think about having all the capabilities that I need?
How do I think about setting up my IM setup so that when I have more than three employees,
this thing is going to work and scale, which is a lot of times why they like AWS as opposed to just going to a neocloud or something like.
that they actually need all of those other security and capabilities that come around from training.
And so I think that's something that hasn't changed and is exactly the same. I think the scale of which
the ramp up is definitely different today. I also think increasingly we're seeing teams that want
a cloud that is great to work with agents and not just with people. And I think that's where
we've spent a lot of time. How do you think about exactly? How do you think about broad scale? How do you think
about performance, how do you think about an interface that is a well-defined API interface
that agents can actually easily traverse and work across. And so that's also something that we
both, I think we're naturally set up to do well, but that we've actually doubled down on to
ensure things like how can you start a database in three seconds and really get to some capabilities
that agents are excited about. I've introduced any specific new services that are explicitly targeted
ad agents, are people building agents? I'd say what we've done is we've optimized some
existing services so that they can both work for people and agents. And so the answer is we definitely
have some services designed for building agents. So we have things like Agent Corps and Bedrock and pieces
like that. But when we look at just taking an underlying component like S3, right, which is where
the vast majority of companies store their data and have their data lakes, it turns out like a lot
of the use cases for people and agents are similar. But you want to have, and one of the things that
we have in preview right now, or in beta, it's called AWS.
context that allows you to build a context layer so that agents can actually more easily find
all of the data they want across your various data lakes. And so whether you have your data
stored in Aurora or you have it in S3 or you have it in somewhere else in AWS, you can kind
of build this context layer where when people are necessarily going to access data in that way,
but agents actually are happy to go across lots of those different things. And so there are some
services that we're building like that. But for the most part, you also care about what does latency
look like, what does throughput look like? How do you make sure that the underlying engine is actually
fast, scalable.
They actually care a lot about tail latencies,
which is interesting.
Where people are,
they don't always care about the P99 S3 latency,
like agents do care and get blocked by that.
And so that's the thing that we've cared about for a long time.
And from a performance perspective,
it's one of the things that really pop.
That's why agentic workflows tend to perform better on AWS than anywhere else.
Yeah.
Obviously, we see a lot of companies starting out.
And the very common refrain, of course,
is that agents are writing all the code for them, right?
and agents are selecting the databases
and the email servers
and everything that you can name it, right?
So has there been a lot of thinking
and obviously they read the documentation,
has there been a lot of thinking on the AWS,
like your feels funny to say it,
quote-unquote legacy services
that have been around for a decade on
how do you re-architect them?
I think, so yes, I think there are some things
that we've thought about.
Actually, the core underlying building blocks
I think are in really good shape.
I think there's a usability layer
that we're thinking about of how we make easier to use for,
we'll call it the very simplest,
the use case you call out where somebody is just coding up an app really quickly
and they ask it to deploy.
We find the vast majority of our customers will go and tell their coding agent,
whether it's Kiro, whether it's Claude, whether it's Codex.
They'll say, I want to build on AWS, here's my credentials, here's my stuff,
this is how I want to deploy it, and then the agents are great and they go do it.
There are use cases, though, where you're already not on a cloud,
you're just trying something, you say deploy.
And frankly, a lot of times that will go to some of our partners
that have an easier-to-use layer on top,
which we love, by the way, too,
and we love our partners on those fronts too.
But I do think that there are some things that we're doing
where if you're brand new,
you don't already have an AWS,
you already haven't set up your IAM.
A couple of months ago,
it was much harder to start up an account, right?
It's been like this for 20 years,
but you have to define your VPCs,
you have to define your IAM roles,
all these kind of things,
which are actually super important things
once you get to be large.
And what we hear from customers is,
it was a hard trade-off
because they know that they're going to want those
and months or years down the line,
but for now,
they just kind of want to use the services,
not worry about that.
And so what we've actually launched is,
if you go create a new AWS account today,
and we're slowly rolling this out,
I don't know if it's actually full all the way out yet now,
but you don't have to do those things.
You don't have to give it a credit card.
You can sign up with your Gmail account.
You get to just all of those things
are handle and default behind the scenes,
and within less than 30 seconds,
you're up and running and can be operating in AWF,
full AWS account,
which is, you know, for those type of systems,
much more what the agents want to be able to do
because they don't want to have to go through all of that
setting up your VPCs and pieces like that.
So there are some things where we're adding
kind of some ease of use to that,
which we're quite excited about and I've seen some really
positive feedback from customers on, and we'll keep doing more
things like that over time. The great part about that, though,
is it's not like a simplistic account
and then you have to migrate. If you basically say, okay,
now I actually do want to scale into the,
I want to develop an organization, I want to go
and kind of fine-tune some of the things,
you can easily kind of just,
you're already in a real AWS account,
and you can actually then go and do all of those things later
when you need them.
And so there's no migration or move later.
And so that's part of the hard work that we really think about,
which is how do we make it not a choice for the customer,
but an easy on-ramp into the depth of features
that we know customers and startups are going to want
when they start scaling.
Yeah, yeah, got it.
And what has been some of the hardest things to,
accommodate as agents have taken over.
I mean, you made a name.
The way you guys became,
the phenomenon that you became
was serving developers, right?
And then, infra teams.
Now developers are substituted by agents
and pretty soon infer teams
are being substituted by agents.
Are there, what has been
some of the hardest things for you
as the largest service provider in the world
to handle that transition?
Well, you know, look, I think, like I said, much of our infrastructure is actually pretty well set up to handle the scale, which is good.
I think there's been a couple of things which are interesting, which are, I think, interesting paradigm shifts where you could argue that some of our systems are, I don't want to say over-engineered, but as an example, many agents want to create a database, do a little bit of work, and then have the database go away.
really need that database to have five nines of durability.
Exactly.
Right.
And so there's some things that we rethink there where when you're creating an Aurora database,
like does your production database, like you do want five and nines of data, you know,
you need durability, you want availability, you want all of those things.
And for the agent use case, that's arguably, or maybe not arguably, like over-engineered for
what we need.
And so, you know, it's hard we don't.
And we kind of have this, this, like a belief that we don't really want to have.
have like a non-durable option that's going to cause problems easier because you never really
quite know if the database that's created is wants to stay around for a long time or a short amount of
time. And so we're trying to do the hard work to think about how do you accomplish both of those
things where you can create it quickly and throw it away and you don't really waste a lot of resources.
But if you do want it and it can be durable and stay for a long time and actually grow into a big
production database. So those are some tradeoffs that we think about actively as we think about
how does the more traditional kind of this is going to be my production system kind of capabilities
match with with some of the more transient nature of the infrastructure that agents want to use?
So that's one, I think, but there's a bunch.
I think the scale and speed and latency of creation of durable resources is another one that's
interesting.
You know, I think the other one that we actively think about, too, is just are there new building blocks
that agents are going to want
that we just didn't really need before.
Exactly.
And so compute sandboxes,
gateways, agent permissions
versus people or service role permissions.
A lot of those are things that we have built
and are building and thinking actively about
because they are just brand new building blocks.
It's not using the existing building blocks differently,
but it's brand new ones where pretty clearly
you want a different permissions for agents.
You don't just want to give it Ragu's permissions
and let it go do whatever you can do.
You actually want, you know, very time box, short-term permissions to just go do a task.
You actually may not want to give permissions to a whole tool at all.
You may want to get very fine-grained commissions.
Exactly.
What an agent's able to do from a sandbox, right?
You actually want a sandbox that you want to...
What realization is having its act, too?
That's right.
That's right.
Exactly.
And they're different.
It's similar.
It's the same idea, but it's, you know, how do you have that lightweight and think about...
And fortunately, we've done a lot of work with Firecracker,
are kind of micro VMs.
In fact, a lot of the sandbox companies, startups use firepower.
They all use fire, which we invented 10 years ago maybe or something like that.
And it's really purpose built for, I mean, it wasn't purpose built for agents,
but it's actually quite good for agents because you can spin them up really rapidly.
They have a great security boundary.
And you don't have a lot of that virtualization overhead that you have from a traditional
large VM.
So, you know, I think those are some new building blocks that we're thinking about.
And more merch every single day.
You know, and...
So I'd rat hold enough into agents.
I'll come back to it later, but it's a fascinating topic.
Super cool.
But let me switch gears a little bit and ask about something that
every one of our startups face, and we get asked most frequently, which is, how can we get GPUs?
Right?
Yeah.
I mean, obviously, you guys have running massive GPU farms increasing it every day.
But the top frontier...
labs gobble up, every available GPUs, more part of that.
How do you deal with the internal, at the same time, you want to promote newer companies
that are going to become the enterprises of tomorrow, like you said?
How are you thinking about balancing the security needs and these small companies
that don't have a lot of credit and whatnot?
Well, yeah, it's a great question.
And a couple of these things make it more challenging, too.
One is the CAPEX expense needed to go deploy kind of all of the computer.
that everyone needs right now is massive, right?
And so we are, I think your capax the sale is, what, $200 or something?
$220 billion for 26.
It's, at one point I saw that it's, you know, it's a pretty,
I mean, that is a larger expense than we've ever had.
Maybe any company has ever had in a single year.
And we don't anticipate slowing down anytime soon because the demand is just massive.
And so at some point, you're limited by how fast can you build data centers,
how fast can you deploy capital,
how fast can you get memory and chips
and all of those kind of things.
And so all of those are different points,
constraints that were, you know,
whether it's power, data centers,
capital memory chips,
they're all kind of constraints at various times.
Construction people that build buildings,
like, you know, construction people are at a premium today.
And so all of those, we, you know,
we work really hard to make sure to happen.
And then with the capacity that we're able to deploy,
which is still a huge amount and not enough,
we know, we really think intentionally
about what is that allocation strategy.
And so we're great partners with the large frontier labs,
the Anthropics and Open AIs and meta and other large customers.
And so those folks are really good customers of ours.
Yep. And we want to make sure that we invest in them.
We have large enterprise customers,
whether it's Salesforce's or JPMCs or other large companies
that have demand for fewer numbers of GPUs or accelerators.
Sometimes they want Traneum.
Sometimes they want Nvidia GPUs.
But we want to make sure that we can support them as well.
And we're very intentional about how we make sure that we have capacity for startups.
And so what we do is we actually do allocate and we basically say, okay, we're going to keep,
you're right, we could sell every single, you know, GPU or AI accelerator we had to probably just the big frontier labs and cloud a day.
We choose not to do that because we actually want to keep growing the full ecosystem.
They get a large number, but we want to keep supporting a broader set of customers because we actually think that,
both the whole ecosystem to be more healthy.
For us, there's some depreciation,
but it's also just, we know these are going to be big companies over time.
And so we try to support them.
I saw recently that we say, you know,
yes, in some way, shape, or form,
but something like 60% of the requests we eventually get.
Sometimes it's a little bit later.
Sometimes it's in a different region.
Sometimes it's a slightly different configuration
than the customers are looking for.
But we really try to lean in and try to allocate as much as we can.
And every single startup you have wants more.
Yeah, exactly.
And so we're working hard to try to make sure that we have all of those.
But, you know, it's hard.
Like, that's, it's, you know, like this is, as a lot of people say, it's a good problem to have.
Yes, it is.
But it's a problem nonetheless.
And we continue to look at, you know, we recently announced we're going to be buying, you know,
two million Nvidia GPUs over the next couple of years.
Like, we're landing a massive amount of capacity.
Two million.
Two million.
So, you know, it's a lot.
And it's over the next couple of years.
But, and who knows if that's enough?
I have no idea.
But at some point, again, we're limited by other components as well.
But it is.
We're very intentional about keeping capacity available for the startups.
And I know it's painful to not have enough, but we keep pushing.
When did your CAPEX cross, I mean, pure AWS.
I mean, Amazon was a bigger company.
Yeah.
Cross like, let's call it even $1 billion or $10.
billion a year. Oh, I don't know. I'd have to go back and look. I'm not sure about that,
but it's definitely scaled up over the last couple of years in a pretty meaningful way.
The, yeah, the AI buildout has definitely ramped our KAPX spending. And so I'd say over the last,
you know, call three or four years, our KAPX has definitely accelerated pretty, pretty
meaningfully. I don't know when we crossed a billion, but given we're a 220 now is probably
a while. I mean, we've been spending KAPX for a while. And the company has been really good
about funding that, and obviously the AWS business is a good one that we'll
like to invest in.
Yeah, yeah, of course.
And, you know, I think we were, for the longest time, actually, we, you know, we were
investing ahead of where the demand was.
And I think one of the, one of the most painful things is that with the real ramp of GPUs,
like a lot of the elasticity has, unfortunately, you know, kind of gone away.
And so hopefully we'll get back.
And in our core compute and storage and things, that elasticity is still there.
But, but, you know, but, but, but, but, so we've been.
spending for for quite a bit of time and and we feel really good about the spend that we're making now
which is you know i think i get lots of questions sometimes about how you feel about that spend and like
you're nervous about bubble and other things like that and i will say you know we um because of the
position we have like one we do take this diversified approach and so not all of our capacity is
bundled up in one customer and i think you go to a some of these whether they're neoclouds or
some of the the other providers out there and you know you'll see sometimes concentrations of
30, 40, 50, 60 percent with one or two customers.
We're nowhere near that, obviously.
We're single-digit percentage is at the highest, and usually it's less than that.
For one, I think we have a lot less risk on one particular customer,
but also because we have that rich set of services, like,
AWS is where people really are coming to launch their production workloads.
And so the majority of our usage today, actually,
is either core compute and storage and inference, which is part of that application.
And so those are the workloads that I think just aren't going to go away.
just because we see enterprises getting positive ROI.
You go talk to the customers and you say,
at the capability today and the cost today,
are you seeing positive returns to your business?
And almost to a person, they'll say like, oh, yeah.
And so you're like, well, that's not going to go away.
There's no bubble in which they stop spending on that.
And so, you know, and you know this, like the VC model.
Like, is every billion-dollar startup going to make it?
No, they won't.
But, you know, that's kind of the game.
And that's been true for 50 years.
They haven't always been billion-dollar startups.
The principles have changed, but the principles are the same, right?
You bet on 10 and one makes it and pays for the other 10 or whatever the percentage is.
Hopefully it's hired one out of time.
Yeah.
Right.
And so that, you know, you saw that with the Internet where there was a bubble and a bunch of Internet
companies didn't make it and the Internet still think.
And a lot of the companies that had durable businesses, the Google, Amazon's, the others, like that they did pretty well.
And so for us, we think we'll feel really good about that investment and the continued investment going on.
You guys have a view of the demand that's unparalleled, right?
Because you're seeing across the globe,
you're seeing across every segment enterprise
and the big labs and the AIA-Native companies and so on and so forth.
So if anybody should call it, you should be able to call it first.
I hope so.
Yeah.
That's our plan.
And honestly, we spend a lot of time thinking about it.
We're very intentional about how we spend our shareholder capital.
And we think that we're making great investments.
We have a lot of good protections of how we're.
we intentionally invest that money.
But yeah, we're very bullish.
And, you know, I think Andy's been public about saying this.
The potential for AWS is really, really large.
And over the next decade, the potential is there.
And any time you have an opportunity that's that big,
like, you want to invest.
You want to invest to go after it.
As the scale of these numbers go larger and larger, right?
Has your planning and process dramatically changed in terms of,
I mean, you're not writing
billion-dollar checks.
You're writing like $50 billion checks
or $20 billion checks or whatever it is.
Yeah.
Yes and no.
I mean, I think, look, a lot of times we're still very bullish
about the investments and lean forward.
But there's the process.
So there's a lot of things that have completely changed.
But surely you even estimate 20-28 demand.
And there's things that we have to think about now
that we just never had to think about.
And so if you go back 15 years,
if we needed more power,
We asked the power company to give us another, you know, a couple of megawatts or whatever it was, right?
Tens of megawatts, like, and they would just give it to us because 10 megawatts wasn't that much.
And that was plenty for us to keep growing.
Now we have to bring our own, we bring our own power.
And so we pay for power projects.
We pay for renewable projects.
We're one of the biggest renewable power purchasers each year for the last 10 years.
And so it's, you know, we're regularly bringing on new solar projects, new nuclear projects, new,
So are you talking about behind the meter or are you talking about working with the operator?
We'll do both.
And so both of those things.
And so oftentimes with these power projects that we bring on, we'll pay the capital and pay for the project.
And then it'll go into the grid and then we'll get credit for that.
I see.
We'll bring those on.
Sometimes we'll do behind the meter two.
Like, it's a mix.
At the scale that we're doing, you have to think about all of those things.
But, you know, that's planning where you're thinking, you know, 20 years out of how you're going to think about power,
how you're going to think about transmission,
how you're going to think about that capital
and that's stuff we'd never had to think about before.
That's planning we just never had to do.
But, you know, we always had to, it's, you know,
the other things is when we used to think about server demand
that we needed, we'd, you know, we'd have, you know,
multiple quarter demand things and we'd talk with our suppliers and things.
Now we work multiple years out just because the size is so much
that we have to think about kind of what do we need for 26,
we need for 27, what do we need for 28?
And so that's, but, you know, but,
It's also one of the value that we bring to customers, right?
That's a thing that legitimately customers can't do themselves.
Like, they're not going to do power printing.
They're not going to plan their memory footprint in 2028.
Like, they can't do that.
And so that's one of the real values that we bring to our broad set of customers is just,
that's just a whole set of things that you don't have to worry about
and that we spend a huge amount of time thinking about.
Yeah, yeah.
You guys are generally, I think, far the record, the largest buyers,
of practically every component of a server, correct?
I don't know that.
I am sure that we're one of the bigger purchasers of components out there for sure.
And who knows about everyone?
And that kind of depends on how you think about and how you measure.
So that I was leading to is where do you see the constraints being most severe,
let's call it 27, 28, and where do you see the constraints easing up?
It's funny.
So I'll answer this a roundabout way, but, you know, I remember that in undergrad, we actually,
this is so this long time ago, and I never thought this would be like a useful book that I read,
but we read the goal.
Oh, of course.
And so it turns out there's never one constraint.
There's always just the latest constraint.
And so you have to think about all of them.
And as soon as you hit one, there's another one, right?
And so, you know, what is the constraint that's going to happen in 20 and 28?
like I actually don't think there will be one.
I think it's like every month for us,
it's do you have enough power?
And then as soon as power is no longer the constraint,
you know, it might be memory.
It might be TSM capacity.
It might be, you know, HBM.
It might be networking components.
It could be, you know,
there's a blip somewhere in the supply chain
and like, you know, connectors or whatever it is, right?
At some point, you have to think about all of those pieces.
And it's, you know, it's not also the,
kind of where they happen matters to, you know?
So it may be like, hey, we have a ton of power in Indonesia,
but we don't have enough in Germany, right?
And so you think about kind of where in the world you want that capacity too
because it turns out that not everything is totally fungible.
Some is and some's not.
But maybe disk drives, it might be SSDs.
We think about every single component,
and we have, you know, tens, hundreds of thousands of components all that we track
and think about.
And some we rely on our suppliers to manage.
Some we direct, much of it we directly manage.
And yeah, we have a whole team that does that and they're fantastic.
They're industry leading.
And we kind of, we saw this problem coming probably a decade ago
and really started not just thinking about, okay, how many servers do we need to track,
but just thinking all the way through the supply chain, you know, four tiers, five tiers down.
What is the component that could cause an issue for us?
and making sure that we had kind of guaranteed supply on that.
If you think, if you remember, gosh, I don't remember when this was.
This was over a decade ago when there was like the floods in Thailand
and no one had discrives anymore.
And so that was the strife crisis.
Yeah.
And then there was memory crisis.
Exactly.
And so, you know, it's like I think we think through all of those things.
And so we also think about where is there a diversification of manufacturing,
like all of those kind of pieces we try to work through.
And we're never going to be perfect on it, but there's always a different supply constraint.
Yeah.
So obviously there's a lot of wide-ranging debate about data centers, right?
And it's clear that folks like us where we stand,
but do you think as an industry we have not done a good job
of explaining why data centers are good for America generally the world?
And what's the internal talk amongst Andy's team
on how do we deal with this.
Yeah. Well, look, I think
and I think you'll hear more from us over this,
and I agree. I think we need to be more vocal
and be more upfront.
Because we actually do a ton that's really beneficial,
both for communities we operate in,
we think a ton about how do we bring renewable energy
to these data centers? How do we think about being water positive?
Actually, our data centers use a really,
really small amount of water we mostly use free air cooling.
How do we think about being great participants
in the communities where we are?
and how do we bring high-paying jobs
of the communities who we operate in.
And not all data center operators do that.
I think there are some well-chronicaled examples
of others out there that are not great at that.
And they just don't really pay attention to regulations.
They think that the rules don't apply
or they just launch really quickly without thinking about those.
And I think that it causes a problem for the whole industry
because everybody kind of gets lumped into that.
And so like, I think we'll be, I think you're right.
You know, vocally self-critical.
We need to be more vocal about,
the benefits that we do bring and think about additional ways that we can help communities understand
the benefits that we bring to them, both for the services they use, right? If you usually go to a
community and say, well, do you not want to use Netflix? And I still want Netflix. Like I said,
and, you know, like, it's important for us to think about and highlight the benefits that we bring where
I recently saw a report where one of the communities that we operate in, the everybody in that
county pays $5,000 a year less in taxes because of the taxes that we bring to that.
And we don't tell them. They don't even know it, right? It's just invisible to them.
And so I think we just need to be more clear about those benefits that we bring.
Because I think if you told the communities, by the way, your tax bill is $5,000 less than it would
otherwise be if we weren't here. They might have a little bit of different thought about the building
that's over there. Yeah. Yeah. But not everyone does that. Not everyone kind of.
Presumably there's no transparency that's needed.
And I think much of the data center community,
not just us, is actually pretty good actors.
And there's just a few that aren't that kind of, I think,
have caused some of the angst recently.
And I think we just need to be a better job of highlighting,
you know, who's being good citizens and who's not.
Yeah.
And before we leave the hardware traffic,
I want to touch upon Trinium.
And your whole history with building your own
chips, right?
We were one of your first partners using nitro
a long time ago.
And since then,
gravitan and made tremendous progress.
So what was the thinking that led to saying,
look, we're going to do our own thing?
And then how has that progress been
and where are you with respect to training?
It's actually a fascinating story.
And I think it's a great example of where
Amazon AWS will innovate
and will iterate over time
and continue to think bigger about what we can do,
but kind of prove our way there as opposed to, you know,
and so as an example,
it's probably now 10,
it's probably about 13, 14 years ago.
We were seeing that there was a pretty significant virtualization tax
on the overall number of resources.
And we were kind of thinking about how do we,
our customers were telling us I want bare metal performance
and they, you know,
they're comparing having all the,
resources of a server. And so the first thing that we did is that we took a network offload
card and virtualized all of our network virtualization and pulled it off into an offload card so that
network virtualization got closer to bare metal performance. And back then it was not quite bare metal,
but it was closer. And then we got really excited about that. And we said, okay, what if we could
move storage virtualization off as well, right? And none of the network offload cards could do that.
And then we found this one company who had some iron cores on an offload card.
And they were doing it for other reasons.
I can't remember their original purpose.
But we were like, could you use those to do storage virtualization and some of these other functions?
And we're like, maybe.
And so we really iterated with them.
This was the Annapurna Purnet team.
Yeah, this is the Annaportna.
And just loved that team.
Like really innovative, really mission-driven, really wanting to solve problems.
And so we acquired them and we said, look, could you build us a slightly bigger a card that actually could take all the network virtualization off and basically
give us a bare metal server
that has no virtualization on it,
no VM virtualization, everything is through APIs
on the card. Because we had this view
that, one, performance would be much better.
A resource utilization would be
better. The security isolation?
And security isolation would be
much, much better. And we tell people, you know,
could then legitimately tell people, we have no access
to any of your VMs that are running there.
And this has been a huge benefit for us for the last
decade where, frankly, like, we have been leading
and others have been kind of slow to do this
because this is not a generalized thing
that people can do.
But so we got to that
and we basically said,
look, we're making a lot of progress here.
What if we take, you know,
and there's a bunch of arm cores
that run this offload card
and we said, what if we turn that into a server?
And we did that first with Graviton.
It was a very underpowered,
very small server that we launched.
And customers were excited.
They're like,
I'd love to have an arm server.
This is super interesting.
And so we went down the,
path and Graviton, you know, and part of what we did is we looked and saw that there's the
slope of, you know, arm course were getting faster and where you saw the power utilization
and the graph where you knew the intercept was going to happen for where this architecture
was going to be really good for parts and they just needed somebody to drive the ecosystem
and get some of the pieces in place. So we did that with Graviton and Graviton and Graviton's been
a runaway hit at this point. Have you been public about what percent of your fleet is?
We land more Graviton.
ships every year than any other type.
So it's very popular.
And it's, you know, look, they're 20% cheaper
at a 20% better performance
and have been like that for the last kind of five, six years.
So that's an easy value proposition that,
and I think the vast majority is something like 90 plus percent
of our top 100 customers all use Graviton
in some way, shape, or form across their fleets.
And so that's been a huge win for us and for customers.
It's been the single easiest way that customers lower their bill is to move to Graviton.
We have examples where people have moved their whole fleets and cut the number of servers they had in half.
Performance is so much better.
It's amazing.
And so half a number of servers, each server costs less.
It's a big win.
And so then about five or six years ago, we said, you know, we saw the rise of AI compute happening,
not nearly expecting what it was today,
but still saw it was going to be a big material mover.
And so we went in, built our first chip in Traneum,
and we're now in market with the third generation in Traynium 3,
and I've seen fantastic results.
So we're sold out for capacity through probably
towards the end of next year or something like that.
And we're trying to, again,
we're trying to figure out how we can save some capacity
and get startups to be able to use some of the capacity
because we see great results.
So most of, you know, the majority of traffic on bedrock all runs on Traynium,
and we have great deals with both Anthropic and Open AI to build on top of Traynium,
as well as a set of smaller startups.
And, you know, I think we have half dozen to a dozen startups that are building on top of Traynium now too.
So now the name suggests it's a training chip.
Yeah, we're bad.
But everybody is using it for inference too.
So where is the lean architecturally and where is it going?
It's a good point.
Look, the vocally self-critical, we're terrible at naming.
So it's not our strength.
Originally, we had a chip called inferential for inference and training for training.
And then as the models got bigger and bigger,
and it turns out you actually want to run the inference on these really large systems.
It turns out that traneum is actually maybe the best inference chip on the market right now.
From an absolute performance and cost performance point of view.
And so
Is it
It's a better memory
memory bandwidth
Where is the
It has it has
It's just
It's just the architecture
It's a little bit different than
than others
And it's much cheaper
And so from a cost performance
perspective
And absolute performance perspective
Training is great
And so we're
We use it a ton for
For inference
And as I say bedrock
It drives much of the bedrock
Inference today
and but it's also a good training chip too
and it's you know I think we're we you know a lot of our
broad set of customers usage is not in training models
but is in using it and so that's where a lot of people get to use them to the
covers and that's where we're excited about it
but a lot of the big customers are interested in it for training clusters as well
and particularly as you get to trainium three and four
which we've announced we haven't launched training for yet but announced it
folks have kind of looked at that architecture and said like yeah that's the future
of where my training clusters to be as well so we're quite a
said about the future where that goes for these really broad-scale training clusters also.
But yeah, it's both.
Now, let's get back to talking about agents, but from a perspective of large enterprises or large medium enterprises.
Yeah.
Then are they in their adoption?
And have they, what sort of benefits are you seeing them reap already?
And what is the roadmap for them as far as you can tell from your vantage point?
Yeah, it's a really good question.
I think it's one that we've spent a lot of time thinking about.
And when I talk to customers all out there, today they view, you know, they're getting a lot of value out of what they've done today.
And I would say the agents that most enterprises have built are relatively simple and straightforward.
And they're starting to think about, and they're mostly non-autonomous, right?
There's still kind of people in the loop, if you will.
And by the way, customers are still getting lots of value out of that today.
And so they're really thinking about how do I have these be autonomous, but in a safe way.
And I think there's two things that I think hold customers back today from just continuing to scale.
And it's already a pretty big business today, but I think it has a massive opportunity to really change every single customer out there and every single workflow and really thinking about it.
And so number one is just how to think about it.
I think what we originally saw was that enterprises had a workflow,
and they're saying, great, I would have an agent go do this same workflow.
Yeah.
And what we encourage them to really do is think, not just replicate, you know,
Bob does step one, two, three, four, five.
So agent is going to do one step one, two, three, four, five.
And then Bob's going to check it at the end.
That's not really the model you want.
You want to actually step back and say,
if I want to accomplish something, how can an agent do it differently?
It can do it in a massively parallelized way.
It can try 50 different things and get to that.
And how do you help it get?
get to that right outcome and rethink how a computer would solve a problem versus a human
solving a problem. And so one of the things is us just helping customers understand how to think
about that and really kind of have that blank slate because that's where you really get value
is not just replicating what you're doing today, but thinking from a greenfield approach about
how you go solve a problem completely differently. And I'm sure that's how many of your
startups are thinking about this too. How do you help customers greenfield solve a problem,
not replicate the thing that happens today? So that is number one.
People running fleets of agents and swans, whatever you want to call them.
Yeah.
Very common these days.
And you just want to think about it.
And so enterprises are not as, again, this is one where you learn from the startups
and you try to, how do you apply that to an enterprise world where they're, you know,
an insurance company is not necessarily as forward-leaning, but they would love to figure out
how they can have a better, you know, approval workflow or something like that.
So that's number one.
But then the second one is this, how do you turn those into fully autonomous workflows and how do you
actually trust the agents?
And so we're spending a lot of time thinking about how do we build services to help enterprises feel like their systems are secure and that they can trust an agent to make a decision that they can have the right guardrails, that it can have the right permissions on their data, that it's not going to delete production systems, that it's not going to make tragic mistakes.
And right now I think that nervousness is probably holding people back.
That maybe appropriately, by the way, is holding enterprises back from just saying, okay, go nuts.
Like you don't actually want an agent to just go crazy and accidentally delete.
production database. That's going to be pretty bad.
And so that's how we're kind of actively working through this with customers on how do we
both help them architect and, frankly, invent new technologies and capabilities that are going
to help them solve that problem. And so that is one of the areas where I think we'll continue
to innovate and we'll get there. I think we have some really good ideas and some good technologies
brewing that I think can really help.
So our enterprise is learning how to do e-mails.
systems and so on and so forth to keep the agents straight in the road? Honestly, like you,
like, both like e-vals, how do you have a constant loop of testing? How do you think about, you know,
goal-seeking in a reasonable way? How do you have your data labeled in such a way that it actually
even makes sense that the eval can actually kind of approximate what you're going to be doing
in production? How do you measure in production and back-test it so you're not seeing drift? All of those
things are problems that that enterprises don't know how to solve today. I should know if anyone really
is great at solving these today.
It's why you've seen so many FDE teams kind of spin up
and AWS and our partners are really leaning into the FDE motion to go and help.
And this is the single biggest area where customers need help.
And when we think about how you, and my view is we want to train our customers
to be able to go and do this themselves, right?
This is not the traditional motion where I want to have a people-driven business that
goes on forever where you just keep paying consultants over and over and over again.
Our view on how FTEs should work and is we want to go into a customer who's ready to accept
the, you know, to really kind of accept owning this when we're done.
And in 45 days, do work where we can teach them how to make an eval, teach them how to get their
data in a labeled way, do work alongside with them.
And then at the end of 45 days you leave and that customer is good and ready to go and
trained up.
And that's where our customers tell us they want.
They don't want to be beholden to an external workforce for the next five years.
But they need help today.
Yeah, you've made a massive investment in FTEs.
Yeah.
So taking that even one step further, right,
some of your industry peers have said,
look, you can't have all of your data going into a big frontier model.
What enterprises should really do is to take an open source model
and then post-train on your own data and workflows and traces and whatnot.
Where do you stand on that?
Are you seeing customers actually trying to do there?
Or do you guys, how do you think about that?
It's great.
The first point, I wholeheartedly agree on that first point.
Like the customers, like enterprise data is their most valuable asset.
And so from the very beginning, it's why we built bedrock like we did.
We have a guarantee that your data never leaves your VPC.
And so if you're running inside of bedrock, your data doesn't go back to the model provider.
They never see your prompts that stays inside of your own.
trusted environment. And so that is why enterprises kind of run, they prefer to run on top of
bedrock. And it's why you see that business growing massively. Like hundreds and hundreds. I mean,
it's every month we see that just business, just every week, we see that business exploding. And
it's why you see opening eye workloads migrating to bedrock. It's why you see Anthropic really
growing really rapidly. I mean, so whether you're using open models or closed frontier models,
I think Bedrock is a great solution that our customers told us, by the way, like, you know, we, if you remember three years ago, I got a lot of heat.
Speaking of bad names, that's a good name, though.
Yeah, Bedrock is a good name.
That's good.
But we got a lot of heat, actually, for being slow to the AI world because we actually built the foundations of this where we said, look, we're not just going to rush out a service.
We really want to think about how do we make sure that we protect our customers' data and build a service that we think is going to be durable for the use cases that we knew about.
And if you remember, we got a lot of heat and we said, look, we're going to go build the right thing.
And now, as people move from proof of concepts to production,
vast majority of them are landing in AWS on Bedrock.
For much, one of the reasons is because of this.
It's also because of the set of services that we have.
We also offer open models.
We offer proprietary models.
We offer a whole set of capabilities around those.
Agent Corps.
We build these building blocks, so it's easier to build agents with any of the models that you want.
Whether they're in Bedrock or out of Bedrock, for that matter.
You can use Gemini or other things for it.
But I think that's a different.
piece for us and it's a super important thing to think about because having that data go back into
the model provider I think is a dangerous thing you talk about open weights models though I do think
that there's a and scenario that I'm excited about where we're really ramping up our support of open weights
models and trying to build a good environment and frankly this is where today I think and I think
it's true a lot of customers believe that they have meaningful proprietary data
that if they could mix in, you know, do some post-training, do some fine-tuning to an open-weight model that they could distill down, they can actually get a better performing model at a lower price.
There's a bunch of pieces in here that have to work out well.
They actually have a good e-vel to actually prove that that's true.
Most people are doing that in SageMaker today.
I think there's more that we can do to make that easier.
But actually, like, if you go look at where are people doing that, they actually do it in SageMaker on AWS today.
They actually host the inference via SageMaker.
SageMakers getting a new lease of life as a...
I mean, it is.
It was always kind of a model building platform, right?
And now, you know, there's, if you think about what enterprise you're doing in this world,
that's what they're doing is they're basically effectively building their own custom models.
And so that is, age stage maker is a great place of doing that.
And I think there's some things that we need to keep building on to make that easier and easier to do
and to test across different open weights models, things like that.
But that's a, it's an evolving space.
I think it's a super interesting one.
And it's one we want to make sure that we have all the right things for customers to be able to do.
if they have the right data and expertise
to actually go down that path.
And with all the debate around AI extension risks
and this type and the other
and the security,
vulnerabilities and so on and so forth
in the hugging phase attack,
however, enterprise,
what are CEOs asking you about all these things?
Yeah, there's a bunch.
And they look, they mostly want to say,
and it goes back to this,
like when I launch agents,
how can I trust that they're going to do
what I want them to do. And so we're increasingly, we have been for a while. Like, we're basically,
we're heavily investing in building capabilities that allow people to deploy agents safely
into their environment and think about those controls. And some of those are, how do you make
sure the agents have the right permissions? How do they have the right sandboxing? How do you make sure
that you have the right set of guardrails? How do you really intentionally think about what you
want the agents to do and not do? Is there a human in the loop or not? And so we spend a lot of time with
our customers thinking about how do you think about safe agent deployment and get better over time
and what other capabilities do we need to go build to help people deploy agents safely into
their environment. So there's a lot there. The other angle on that, which a lot of people are
worried about, which is just are some of these really powerful models going to be attack
surfaces and kind of mythosphere. And so I kind of have a view on their, yes,
That is a real risk, I think, to customer environments.
But it's also a real opportunity.
And so we recently launched a service called Continuum
that uses these powerful models
to help customers go secure their environment.
And so we'll look across their environment,
look for vulnerabilities with them.
We'll use some of these powerful models
and help customers find vulnerabilities
they haven't found before.
And most importantly, by the way, prioritize which ones,
because we know context about their environment,
how it's set up, where their permissions are,
where they may have compensating controls that make it harder or easier to do.
And so Continuum is incredibly popular with customers.
Actually, we're really bullish about what's possible from AI to help with AI powered security.
Because look, at some point, customers are going to need security at machine speed,
not at human speed, not at like an alarm.
Someone goes in and look at it.
And so we're running fast to go help build that for customers to help them protect
to their environments.
And I'm very excited about the continuing.
team is building on that front too.
So within the AWS itself,
like how, what's the state of
usage of agents in the broad?
Yeah. Well, continuum is basically us trying to expose
what we do internally. And so we
use AI extensively for our own security.
We use AI extensively for our own software development.
We use agents. Actually,
one of the things that's really cool is we use agents
across our entire business. And so we
We rolled out Amazon Quick to every single Amazon employee.
And now I see HR teams building agents to help drive what used to take teams of people weeks to do
that a single person can now do in a couple of hours to think about kind of team planning and resource management.
I have finance teams that are building agents to go think about how do they go pull tax rules from everywhere
and ensure that we have compliance on a bunch of different pieces.
And super cool to see that things that used to be blocked by,
software developers.
Yeah.
Actually, the, the line of business folks are able to go and unblock themselves and
innovate more quickly.
And so, Quick has been an enormous blow.
And that has grown like wildfire.
We see customers, like small startups using it all the way to the largest enterprises
in the world, rolling it out to their entire customer base to get the benefit of
kind of being able to access all of your enterprise data and easily apply agents and
capabilities to help you accelerate your jobs.
And so I guess so we use it a course.
across everything from software development to security to driving HR policies.
I mean, you guys are notorious for measuring everything about your operation.
Where have you seen the biggest gains?
Yeah, obviously, you know the answer, software development.
Like, that's the real answer.
But the derivatives of that.
But yeah, the software, I mean, the speed of software development has been,
and really product development as a whole, not just coding.
So you've seen actuals.
Absolutely.
The pace at which we're,
deploying new products is is massively different than it has been in the past.
I think you can see this where, you know, AWS has always been known for rolling out features really quickly.
And it's, you know, we've seen a turbo boost on that in the last year or so.
As we've got, we call them frontier teams as they think about agentic development as opposed to kind of traditional development.
And it's, you know, it's not code completion.
It really is agent first.
The agents write all of the code.
You're just managing a team of agents and driving that.
And it's been fun to see the pace at which innovations for customers has been massive.
And it has to be because that's the, that's the, our customers out there have a almost insatiable appetite for new capabilities.
And that's what we've got to do.
Yeah.
So organizationally, are you like, do you have any insights on how organizations should change and how?
I don't.
I'll say that.
Agents manage people, people manage agents.
There's going to be lots of people for a long period of time.
I do think organizations will change.
I don't know the magic answer yet.
But we're actively thinking about it.
Inside you're just trying various experiments?
Yeah, we're trying experiments.
We're thinking about pods.
As you think about, you know, here's one example.
As in a product organization, you used to have a team that would own a particular kind of capability for a long time.
And you might have 10 people working on that thing.
Well, today you can innovate so rapidly that, one, doesn't have that be 10.
people. It can be three to four people.
And they build something so fast, you actually want to move them to different projects and problems.
And so thinking about how do you both operate and maintain the things that you built while being
agile and flexible to move around on an organization that's as big as AWS is active things
that we're experimenting with and playing with. But it's fun. And it's enabling for our employees.
They actually love it because they can build faster and do more. But there's a work there.
Yeah. It's a fascinating time. So thank you very much for your time. We could be talking about
for hours together, but thanks for all your insights.
Yeah, thank you for having me.
And thank you.
We love having all your companies as customers,
and we love learning from them,
and I appreciate having me here.
Yeah, we'll keep sending them your way.
Excellent.
Thank you.
Thanks.
Thanks for listening to this episode of the A16D podcast.
If you like this episode, be sure to like,
comment, subscribe, leave us a rating or review,
and share it with your friends and family.
For more episodes, go to YouTube, Apple Podcast, and Spotify,
Follow us on X, A16Z, and subscribe to our substack at A16Z.com.
Thanks again for listening, and I'll see you in the next episode.
As a reminder, the content here is for informational purposes only.
Should not be taken as legal business, tax, or investment advice,
or be used to evaluate any investment or security,
and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any A16Z fund.
Please note that A16Z and its affiliates may also maintain investments in the companies discussed in this podcast.
For more details, including a link to our investments, please see A16Z.com forward slash disclosures.
