The a16z Show - Emmett Shear on Building AI That Actually Cares: Beyond Control and Steering
Episode Date: November 17, 2025Emmett Shear, founder of Twitch and former OpenAI interim CEO, challenges the fundamental assumptions driving AGI development. In this conversation with Erik Torenberg and Séb Krier, Shear argues tha...t the entire "control and steering" paradigm for AI alignment is fatally flawed. Instead, he proposes "organic alignment" - teaching AI systems to genuinely care about humans the way we naturally do. The discussion explores why treating AGI as a tool rather than a potential being could be catastrophic, how current chatbots act as "narcissistic mirrors," and why the only sustainable path forward is creating AI that can say no to harmful requests. Shear shares his technical approach through multi-agent simulations at his new company Softmax, and offers a surprisingly hopeful vision of humans and AI as collaborative teammates - if we can get the alignment right. Resources:Follow Emmett on X: https://x.com/eshearFollow Séb on X: https://x.com/sebkrierFollow Erik on X: https://x.com/eriktorenberg Stay Updated: If you enjoyed this episode, be sure to like, subscribe, and share with your friends!Find a16z on X: https://x.com/a16zFind a16z on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/a16zListen to the a16z Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5bC65RDvs3oxnLyqqvkUYXListen to the a16z Podcast on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/a16z-podcast/id842818711Follow our host: https://x.com/eriktorenbergPlease note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures. Stay Updated:Find a16z on YouTube: YouTubeFind a16z on XFind a16z on LinkedInListen to the a16z Show on SpotifyListen to the a16z Show on Apple PodcastsFollow our host: https://twitter.com/eriktorenberg Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Most of AI is focused on alignment as steering.
That's the plight word.
If you think that we're making our beings,
you'd also call this slavery.
Someone who you steer, who doesn't get to steer you back,
who non-optionally receives your steering,
that's called a slave.
It's also called a tool if it's not a being.
So if it's a machine, it's a tool,
and if it's a being, it's a slave.
Like, we've made this mistake enough times at this point.
I would like us to not make it again.
You know, they're kind of like people,
but they're not like people.
Like, they do the same thing people do.
They speak our language.
They can, like, take the on the same kind of task.
They don't count.
They're not real moral agents.
A tool that you can't control bad.
A tool that you can control bad.
A being that isn't aligned, bad.
The only good outcome is a being that is that cares,
that actually cares about us.
I've been thinking about a line that keeps showing up in AI safety discussions,
and it's taught me cold when I first read it.
We need to build Align AI.
Sounds reasonable, right?
Except, align to what?
Align to whom?
The phrase gets thrown around like he has an obvious answer,
but the more you sit on it,
the more you realize you're smuggling in a massive assumption.
We're assuming there's some fixed point,
some stable target we can aim at, hit once, and be done.
But here's what's interesting.
That's not how alignment works anywhere else in life.
Think about families.
Think about teams.
Think about your own world development.
You don't achieve alignment and encose.
You're constantly renegotiating,
constantly learning,
constantly discovering that what you thought was right
turns out to be more complicated.
Alignment isn't a destination.
It's a process.
It's something you do, not something you have.
And this matters because we're at this inflection point
where the AI systems we're building
are starting to look less like tools and more like something else.
They speak our language, they reason through problems,
they can take on tasks that used to require human judgment.
And the question everyone's asking is,
how do we control them, how do we steer them,
how do we make sure they do what we want?
But there's another way to see it.
What if the control paradigm is the wrong framework entirely?
What if trying to build a super intelligent tool
you can perfectly steer is not just difficult, but fundamentally dangerous, whether you succeed or fail.
If you can't control it, obviously that's bad. But if you can't control it perfectly,
you've just handed godlike power to who's ever holding the steering wheel. And humans, even well-meaning ones,
don't have the wisdom to wield that kind of power safely. So what's the alternative? Well, think about how
we actually solve alignment problems in the real world. We don't control other people. We don't steer them.
We raise them. We teach them to care. We build relationships. We build relationships.
relationships where they do right by us, not because we're forcing them, but because they learn to value the relationship itself. That's organic alignment. Alignment that emerges from genuine care, from theory of mind, from being part of something larger than yourself. Emmett Shear has spent the last year and a half working on exactly this problem at softmats. And what makes his approach distinctive is that he's not trying to solve alignment by building better control mechanisms. He's trying to solve it by building AI systems that can learn to care, that can develop the kind of theory of mind that lets them be good,
teammates, good collaborators, good citizens, not tools that follow orders, but beings that
understand what it means to be part of a community. That can raise some uncomfortable questions.
What if we're building beings and not tools? What does that mean for how we treat them? What does
it mean for their rights? And how do you even know if they succeeded? How do you measure whether
something genuinely cares versus just simulating care really well? Today, Seb career from Google DeepMind
and I are sitting down with Emmett to explore those questions. Seb leads AGI policy,
development at DeepMind, so he brings a perspective from inside one of the labs actually
building these systems. But really, we're investigating something deeper. What does it actually
take to build AI systems that can participate in the ongoing never-finished process of figuring
out how to live together? By the end, you'll understand not just Softmax's technical approach,
but a completely different way of thinking about what alignment is and what it could become.
Emmett Shear, welcome to the podcast.
Emmett, Seb, welcome to the podcast. Thanks for joining.
Thank you for having me.
Emmett, with Softmax, you're focused on alignment and making AIs organically align with people.
Can you explain what that means and how you're trying to do that?
When people think about alignment, I think there's a lot of confusion.
People talk about things being aligned.
We need to build an aligned AI.
And the problem with that is when someone says that, it's like, we need to go on a trip.
And I'm like, okay, I do like trips, but like, where are we going again?
And with alignment, alignment requires you to align to something.
You can't just be aligned.
It can't just be aligned to yourself.
But even then, like, you don't want to tell.
them what I'm aligning to as myself. And so this idea of an abstractly aligned AI, I think,
slips a lot of assumptions past people because it sort of assumes that there is one obvious
thing to align to. I find this is usually the goals of the people who are making the AI.
That's the don't know what they mean when they say want to make an AI. I want to make an AI that
does what I wanted to do. That's what they normally mean. And that's a pretty normal and natural
thing to mean by alignment. I'm not sure that that's what I would regard is like a public good,
right? Like I guess it depends on who it is. If it was like Jesus or
or the Buddha was like, I am making an aligned AI.
I'd be like, okay, yeah, aligns are you, great, I'm down.
Sounds good, sign me up.
But most of us, myself included, I wouldn't describe as necessarily being at that level
of spiritual development and therefore perhaps want to think a little more carefully about
what we're aligning it to.
And so when we talk about organic alignment, I think the important thing to recognize is
that alignment is not a thing.
It's not a state.
It's a process.
This is one of these things that's broadly true of almost everything, right?
Is a rock a thing?
I mean, there's a view of a rock as a thing.
But if you actually zoom in on a rock really carefully,
a rock is a process.
It's this endless oscillation between the atoms over and over and over again,
reconstructing rock over and over again.
The rock's a really simple process
that you can kind of like coarse grain very meaningfully into being a thing.
But alignment is not like a rock.
Alignment is a complex process.
And organic alignment is the idea of true.
treating alignment as an ongoing sort of living process that has to constantly rebuild itself.
And so you can think of the way that, how do people and families stay aligned to each other,
stay aligned to a family? And the way they do that is you don't like arrive at being aligned.
You're constantly re-nitting the fabric that keeps the family going. And in some sense,
the family is the pattern of renitting that happens. And if you stop doing it, it goes away.
And this is similar for things like cells in your body, right?
Like there isn't like your cells align to being you and they're done.
It's this constant ever-running process of cells deciding what should I do, what should I be,
do it need to be a new job?
Should we be making more red blood cells, you're making fewer of them.
You weren't a fixed point, so there is no fixed alignment.
And it turns out that our society is like that.
When people talk about alignment, what they're really talking about, I think, is I want an AI that is morally good.
Right? That's what they really mean. It's like, this will act as a morally good being. And
acting as a morally good being is a process and not a destination. Unfortunately, we've tried
taking down tablets from on high that tell you how to be a morally good being. And we use those.
And they're maybe helpful, but somehow they are not being, like, you can read those and try to
follow those rules and still make lots of mistakes. And so I'm not going to claim I know exactly
what morality is, but morality is very obviously an ongoing learning process. And
and something where we make moral discoveries.
Like, historically, people thought that slavery was okay,
and then they thought it wasn't.
And I think you can very meaningfully say that we made moral progress.
We made a moral discovery by realizing that's not good.
And if you think that there's such a thing as moral progress,
or even just learning how better to pursue the moral goods we already know,
then you have to believe that alignment,
aligning to morality, being a more,
moral being is a process of constant learning and of growth to re-infer what should I do from experience.
And the fact that no one has any idea how to do that should not dissuade us from trying
because that's what humans do.
Like it's really obvious that we do this, right?
Somehow, just like we used to not know how people humans walked or saw, somehow we have
experiences where we're acting in a certain way.
And then we have this realization, I've been a dip.
That was bad.
I thought I was doing good, but in retrospect, I was doing wrong.
It's not like random.
Like people have the same.
Actually, there's like a bunch of classic patterns of people having that realization.
It's like a thing that goes over and over again.
So it's not random.
It's like a predictable series of events that look a lot like learning where you change your
behavior.
And often the impact of your behavior in the future is more pro-social and that you
are better off for doing it.
And like, so I'm taking a very strong moral, realized position.
There is such a thing as morality.
We really do learn it.
It really does matter.
And organic alignment, and that it's not something you finish.
In fact, one of the key moral mistakes is this belief.
I know morality.
I know it's right.
I know what's wrong.
I don't need to learn anything.
No one has anything to teach me about morality.
That's arrogance.
And that's one of the main moral things you can do that's dangerous.
And so when we talk about organic alignment,
Organic alignment isn't aligning an AI that is capable of doing the thing that humans can do.
And to some degree, like, I think animals can do at some level, although humans are much better at it, of the learning of how to be a good family member, a good teammate, a good member of society, a good member of all sentient beings, I guess, how to be a part of something bigger than yourself in a way that is healthy for the whole rather than unhealthy.
And Softmax is dedicated to researching this.
And I think we've made some really interesting progress.
But like the main message, you know, I go on podcasts like this to spread.
The main thing that I hope Soft Max accomplishes above and beyond anything else is like to focus
people on this as the question.
This is the thing you have to figure out.
If you can't figure out how to build, how to raise a child who cares about the people around
them, if you have a child that only follows the rules, that's not a moral person that
you've raised. You've raised a dangerous person, actually, who will probably do great harm
following the rules. And if you make an AI that's good at following your chain of command
and good at following your whatever rules you came up with for what morality is and what good
behavior is, that's also going to be very dangerous. And so that is, that's what we should
that's the bar. That's what we should be working on. And that's what everyone should be committed
to like figuring out. And if someone beats us to the punch, great. I mean,
I don't think they will, because I'm like really bullish on our approach.
I think the team is amazing.
But like, this is a, it's maybe, it's the first time I've run a company where truly I can say with a whole heart, if someone beats us, thank God.
Like, I hope somebody figures it out.
Yeah.
Yeah, I mean, it's, yeah, I have a lot of, you know, similar intuitions about certain things.
Like, I also dislike the, you know, the idea that kind of, you know, we just need to, like, crack the few kind of values or something.
just cement them in time forever now
and we've kind of solved morality or something
and I've always kind of been skeptical about
how the alignment problem has been conceptualized
as something to kind of solve once and for all
and then you can just do AI or do AI
but the I guess I understand it in a slightly different way
I guess maybe less based on kind of moral realism
but there's a kind of the technical alignment problem
which I kind of think of broadly as how to get
an AI to do what you you know
how do you get it to follow instructions
like you know really speaking
and I think that was more of a challenge
I think pre-LLMs I guess when people were talking about
reinforcement learning and looking at these systems
whereas host LLMs we've realized that many things
that we thought were going to be difficult to are somewhat easier
and then there's a kind of second question
the kind of normative question of to whose values
what are you aligning this thing to which I think is the kind of thing
you're commenting on of it and for this
I yeah I tend to be very skeptical of approaches
where you know you need to kind of crack
the kind of ten commandments of alignment
or something and then we're good.
And here, I think I have like intuitions that are unsurprisingly a bit more like political science
based or something and that, like, okay, it is a process.
And I like the kind of bottom up approach to some degree of, well, how do we do it in real life
with people?
Like, no one comes up with, you know, I've got this.
And so you have like processes that allow like ideas to kind of, you know, clash.
You have good people with different ideas, opinions, views and stuff to kind of coexist as well
as they can within a wider system.
And like, you know, with humans, that system is liberal democracy or something.
and at least in some countries,
and that allows more of that kind of,
you know, these kind of ideas,
these values to be kind of discovered
and construed over time.
And I think, you know, for alignment as well,
I tend to think, yeah, there's, there's,
on the normative side,
I agree with some of your intuitions.
I'm less clear about now what exactly,
what does it look like now
if we're going to implement this into an AI system,
at least the ones we have to do it.
I agree that there's this idea of technical alignment
that I think I would define a little differently,
but it's sort of the sense of like,
Like, if you build a system, can it be described as being coherently goal following at all?
Regardless of what those goals are, like, lots of systems aren't coherently, they're not well
described as having goals.
They just kind of do stuff.
And if you're going to have something that's like a line, you'd have to have coherent
goals.
Otherwise, those goals can't be aligned with anyone else's goals, kind of by definition.
Is that sort of, is that, would you, would you, is that a fair assessment of what you mean by
by tactical alignment?
I mean, I'm not fully sure, right?
because I think if I give a model a certain goal,
then I would like the model to kind of follow that instruction
and kind of reach that particular goal,
rather than it having a goal of its own that, you know, I can't...
Yeah.
Well, wait, if you give it a goal, it has that goal.
Right.
That's what it means to give someone something, right?
Sure, yeah.
If I, you know, if I instructed to do X,
then I would like it to do X and not, you know,
to like different variants of X essentially.
I wouldn't want it to reward hack.
I wouldn't use some...
When you tell it to do X, you're transferring like a series of like a bite string in a chat window
or like a series of audio vibrations in the air, right?
You're not transplanting a goal from your mind into its.
You're giving it an observation that it's using to infer your goal.
Yeah, I mean, in some sense, yeah.
I can communicate a series of instructions and I wanted to infer what I'm saying essentially
as accurately as it can, given what it knows of me and what I'm asking.
You wanted to infer what you meant, right?
Like, that's, like, because in some sense, there's no,
the byte sequence that you sent over the wire to it has no absolute meaning.
It has to be interpreted, right?
Like, that byte sequence could mean something very different of the different code book.
Yeah, well, I guess one way, you know, I think I remember in,
when I was first getting into AI and, you know, these kind of questions maybe like a decade ago.
So you had these examples of, you know, I think it was Stuart Russell,
in the textbook, we'll give the AI a goal,
but then it won't exactly do what you're asking it, right?
You know, clean the room, and then it goes and cleans the room,
but takes the baby and puts it in the trash.
Like, this is not what I meant.
Like, whereas I think with that.
But like, wait, hold on, but this is the thing where I think people,
this is the, you have to, you were jumping over us up there.
You didn't give the AI a goal.
You gave the idea a description of a goal.
A description of a thing and a thing are not the same.
I can tell you an apple and I'm evoking the idea of an apple,
but I haven't given you an apple.
I've given you a just, you know, it's red,
it's shiny, it's the size.
That's a description of an apple,
but it's not an apple.
And giving someone, hey, go do this,
that's not a goal.
That's a description of a goal.
And for humans, we're so fast,
we're so good at turning a description of a goal
into a goal.
We do it so quickly and naturally.
We don't even see it happening.
Like, we think that we get confused
and we think those are the same thing.
But you haven't given it a goal.
You've given it a description of a goal
that you want it to, you hope it turns back
into the goal that is the same as the goal that you described inside of you.
Right.
You could give it a goal directly by reading your brainwaves and synchronizing its state to
your brainwaves directly.
I think that would meaningfully you could say, okay, I'm giving it a goal.
I'm synchronizing it.
It's internal state to my internal state directly.
And this internal state is the goal.
And so now it's the same.
But most people aren't, don't mean that when they say they gave it a goal.
Sure.
And is the distinction you're making, Emmett, important?
because there's some lossiness between the description
or the actual, or what is the distinction about?
It goes back to what I was saying.
This is a, you, technical alignment is the capacity of an AI
that I put forward, right?
I want to check if we're like on the same page about it.
Is the capacity to be good at inference about goals
and like be good at inferring from a description of a goal,
what goal to actually take on.
And good at once it takes on that goal,
acting in a way that is actually in concordance
with that goal coming about.
So it is both pieces.
You have to be able to,
you have to have the theory of mind
to infer what that description of a goal
that you got,
what goal that corresponded to.
And then you have to have a theory of the world
to understand what actions corresponds
that goal occurring.
And if either of those things breaks,
it kind of doesn't matter what goal you were,
if you can't consistently do both of those things,
you're not,
which I think of as being a concurrent,
inferring goals from observations,
and acting in accordance with those goals
is what I think of as being
a coherently goal-oriented being.
Whether I'm inferring those goals
from someone else's instructions
or from the sun or tea leaves,
the process is,
get some observations, infer a goal,
use that goal, infer some actions,
take action.
And an AI that can't do that
is not technically aligned,
or not technically align a bull,
I would even say.
It lacks the capacity to be aligned
because it can't,
it's not competent enough.
And you think of language
models don't do that well, as in they kind of fail at that or they're not?
People fail at both those steps all the time, constantly.
I tell people, I tell employees to do stuff and like, yeah, but then, but, but,
people fail it like breathing all the time too.
And I wouldn't say that we can't breathe.
I'd just say that we're like not gods.
Like, we are, yes, we are imperfectly, we are somewhat coherent, relatively coherent things.
Just like we're, am I big or am I small?
Well, I don't know, compared to what?
humans are more relatively goal coherent
than any other object I know of in the universe
which is not to say that we're 100% goal coherent
we're just like more so
and I think you're never going to get something that's perfectly
the universe doesn't give you perfection
it gives you relatively some amount of quantum
it's a quantifiable thing how good you are at it
at least in a certain domain
I guess my question is like
do you think that does that capture what you're talking about
with tactical alignment
are you talking about a different thing?
Yeah, no, I think...
I really care a lot about that thing.
Yeah, I mean, I definitely care about that to some extent.
I might understand it slightly differently,
but I guess I might think of it
through the lens of maybe principal agent problems
or something.
You know, you kind of instruct someone,
even, you know, I guess in human terms,
you know, to do a thing.
Are they actually doing the thing?
What are their incentives and motivation?
And, you know, not as even intrinsic,
but they're going to situation
to actually do the thing you've asked them to do.
And in some instance, sorry, yeah?
There's a third thing.
So principal agent problems,
I would expand
what I was saying in another part, which is like,
you might already have some goals,
and then you inferred this new goal from these observations,
and then, like, are you good at,
are you good at balancing the relative importance
and relative threading of these goals with each other,
which is another skill you have to have.
And if you're bad at that, you'll fail.
You could be bad at it because you overweight bad goals,
or do you be bad at it because you're just incompetent
and, like, can't figure out that obviously you should do goal A
before goal of B.
I feel like a version of that common sense with something.
thing, right?
Like, the kind of thing that, you know, in fact, in the kind of robot cleaning the room
example thing, you know, you would expect them to have understood that goal, the robot
to essentially not put the baby in the trash land or something and just actually do the right
sequence of action.
Well, it's, in that case, it failed the, that robot very clearly failed goal inference.
You gave it a description of a goal and it inferred the wrong states to be the wrong goal
states. That, that's just incompetence.
It doesn't, it is, it is incompetent.
and inferring goal states from observations.
Children are like this, too.
Like, you know, and honestly,
if you ever played the, done the game
where you give someone instructions
to make a peanut butter sandwich
and then they follow those instructions
exactly as you've written them
without filling in any gaps,
it's hilarious.
Because you can't do it.
It's impossible.
Like, you think you've done it and you haven't.
And like, they put the,
they went up putting the knife in the toaster
and like the peanut butter,
they don't open the peanut butter jar.
so just jamming the knife into the top lid of the peanut butter jar
and like it's endless.
And like, because actually if you don't already know what they mean,
it's really hard to know what they mean.
Like we were, the reason humans are so good at this
is we have a really excellent theory of mind.
I already know what you're likely to ask me to do.
I already have a good model of what your goals probably are.
So when you ask me to do it, I have an easy inference problem.
Which of the seven things that he wants is, is he indicating?
but if I'm a newborn AI
that doesn't have a great model
of people's internal states
then like I don't know what you mean
it's just incompetent it's not like
which is separate from I have some other goal
and I knew what you meant
but I decided not to do it
because there's some other goal
that's competing with it
which is another thing you can be bad at
which is again different than
I had the right goal
I inferred the right goal
and inferred the right priority on goals
and then I'm just bad at doing the thing
I'm trying but I'm
I'm incompetent at doing.
And these roughly corresponds to the Udala loop, right?
Like bad at observing and orienting,
bad at deciding, bad at acting.
And if you're bad at any of those things,
you won't be good.
And then I think there's this other problem that you,
I like the separation you have
between technical alignment and value alignment,
which is like, are you good if we told you
the right goals to go after somehow,
if you learned the right goals to go after
via observation,
and you were trying, like, what goals should you have?
What goals should we tell you to have?
What goals should we tell ourselves to have?
What are the good goals to have?
Is a separate question from, given that you got some goals indicated,
are you any good at doing it?
Which I feel like is actually, in many ways,
the current heart of the problem.
We're much, much worse, a technical alignment
than we are guessing what to tell things to do.
Deep.
I know, do you think that, does that align with your,
how you mean technical and value alignment
or technical.
Yeah, in some sense.
I mean, certainly think that there's a,
there's something, you know,
like a narrow mistake is one thing,
and then there's the,
um,
um,
um,
not listening to the instruction or something.
But then,
yeah,
I think in the normative side,
I mean,
I just think that even in real,
like,
ignoring AI,
like,
I don't know what my goals are.
And like,
I've got some broad conception of certain things.
I want to get of,
you know,
have dinner later or something.
Like,
and oh,
I want to go to do well in my career.
But the,
um,
but I think a lot of these goals aren't something we can of all just know.
we kind of discover them as we go along.
It's kind of constructive thing.
And most people don't know their goals, I think.
And so, you know, I think when you have agents
and giving them goals or whatever,
I think that should be part of the equation.
Like we actually, we don't know all the goals.
And this is something that is kind of,
like you say, a process over time that is, you know, dynamic.
So I think, from my point of view,
there's goals are one level of alignment.
You can align something around goals,
the kind of goals we're talking about here.
are one level of alignment.
You can align something around goals
by like,
if you can explicitly articulate
in concept, in concept and in description,
the states of the world
that you wish to attain.
You can orient around goals.
But that's a tiny percentage
of human experience can be done that way.
Many of the most important things
cannot be oriented around that way.
And the foundation I think of morality,
the foundation I think of
of where do goals come from?
Where do values come from?
Human beings exhibit a behavior.
We go around talking about goals
and we go around talking about values.
And like, that's a behavior
caused by some internal learning process
that is based on like observing the world.
What's going on there, right?
I think what's happening is that there's something deeper
than a goal and deeper than a value,
which is care.
we give a shit
we care about things
and care is not conceptual
care is nonverbal
it doesn't indicate what to do
it doesn't indicate
how to do it
care is a relative weighting
over effectively
attention on states
it's a relative waiting
over like
which states in the world
are important to you
and I care a lot
about my son
what does that mean
what means
his states
the states he could be
are like, I pay a lot of attention to those and those matter to me.
And you can care about things in a negative way.
You can care about your enemies and what they're doing and you can desire for them to do bad.
But I think that like, and so you don't just want it to care about us.
You want to care about us and like us too, right, maybe.
But like, but the foundation is care.
Until you care, you don't know, why should I pay more attention to this person than this rock?
Well, he's like, care more.
and that what is that care stuff?
And I think that what it appears to be,
if I had to like guess,
is that the care stuff,
this is sounds so stupid,
but like care is basically like,
reward.
Like, like how much does this state correlate with survival?
How much is this state correlate
with your inclusive,
your full inclusive,
reproductive fitness
for a, for a somewhat thing
that learns evolution?
or for a reinforcement learning agent, like a LLM,
how much does this correlate with reward?
Does this state correlate with my predictive loss and my RL loss?
Good, that's a state I care about.
I think that's kind of what it is.
The other part of Seth's question was just,
how does this, what does this look like in AI systems?
And maybe another way of asking is like,
when you talk to the people most focused on alignment at the major labs,
as obviously you have over the years.
How does your interpretation differ from their interpretation
and how does that inform, you know,
what you guys might go do differently?
Most of AI is focused on alignment as steering.
That's the plight word or control,
which is slightly less polite.
If you think that we're making our beings,
you'd also call this slavery.
Someone who you steer,
who doesn't get to steer you back is slave,
who non-optionally receives your steer,
that's called a slave.
And it's also called a tool if it's not a being.
So if it's a machine, it's a tool.
And if it's a being, it's a slave.
And I think that the different AI labs are pretty divided
as to whether they think what they're making is a tool
or a machine.
I think some of the AIs are definitely more tool-like
and some of them are more machine-like.
I don't think there's a binary between tool and being.
It seems to be that it sort of moves gradually.
And I think that, I guess I'm a functionalist in the sense that I think that something that in all ways acts like a being, that you cannot distinguish from a being in its behaviors is a being.
Because I don't know how to tell on one other basis I think that other people are beings, other than they seem to be, like, they look like it, they act like it.
They match my priors of what beings, the behaviors of beings look like.
I get lower predictive loss when I treat them as a being.
And the thing is, I get lower predictive loss when I treat chat GPT or class.
as a being. Now, not as a very smart being. Like, I think that, like, a fly as a being,
and I don't care that much about its behavior, but it's, you know, it states. So just because
it's a being doesn't mean that, like, it's a problem. Like, we sort of enslave horses in a
sense, and I don't think it's a real issue there. And you even, and there's a thing we do
with children that can look like slavery, but it's not. You control children, right? But the
children's states also control you. Like, yes,
I tell my son what to do and make him go do stuff,
but also when he cries in the middle of the night,
he can tell me to do stuff.
Like, there's a real two-way street here
because it's not,
which is not necessarily symmetric.
It's hierarchical, but two-way.
And basically, I think that as the AIs,
it's good to focus on steering and control
for tool-like AIs,
and we should continue to develop
strong steering and control techniques
for the more tool-like AIs that we've,
build. And we are clearly, they're saying they're building an AGI, and AGI will be a being.
You can't be an AGI and not be a being because something that has the general ability to effectively
use judgment, think for itself, discern between possibilities, is obviously a thinking thing.
And so as you go from what we have today, which is mostly a very specific intelligence, not a
general intelligence. But as labs succeed at their goal of building this general intelligence,
we really need to stop using the steering control paradigm.
That's like we're going to do the same thing we've done
every other time our society has run into people who are like us,
but different.
These people are like, you know, they're kind of like the people,
but they're not like people.
Like they do the same thing people do.
They speak our language.
They can take on the same kind of tasks,
but like they don't count.
They're not real moral agents.
Like we've made this mistake enough times at this point.
I would like us to not make it again as it comes up.
Our view is to make the AI good teammate,
make the AI a good citizen,
make the AI a good member of your group.
That's a form of alignment that is scalable
and you can will on other humans and other beings
as well as on to, in the foreign to AI as well.
Yeah, I suppose this is kind of where I probably differ
in my understanding of AI and AI and I guess I kind of continue seeing it as a tool,
even as it kind of reaches a certain level of generality.
and again I wouldn't necessarily see more intelligence as meaning deserving of more care necessarily.
Like, you know, as a certain level of intelligence, you know, now you deserve some moral rights or something or, you know, something changes fundamentally.
And I guess, you know, I guess at the moment I'm somewhat skeptical of computational functional functionalism.
And so I think there's something intrinsically different between, I guess, an AI or an AGI, and no matter kind of how intelligent or capable.
And I can totally see, you know, or imagine agents with kind of long-term.
own goals and doing kind of, you know, operating, I guess, as we, you and I might be, but without
that having the same implications as, you know, I guess you're referring, I guess, to slavery, but, you know,
they're not the same, right?
Like, I think in the same way as a model saying, I'm hungry, does not have the same implications
as a human saying, I'm hungry.
So I think the substrate does matter to some degree, including for thinking about, you know,
whether to think of the system sort of other being, whether it has, you know, and if there
are similar normative considerations, I guess, about how to treat.
and act with it.
Can I ask you about that?
What observations would change your mind?
Is there any observation you could make
that would cause you to infer
this thing as a being instead of not a being?
I guess it is how you define being, right?
I mean, I can conceptualize it as a mind,
and that's fine.
I have a program that's running on a silicon substrates
some big, complicated machine learning program
running on a substrate
on a silicon substrate.
So you observe that, you observe that it's on a computer and you interact with it and it does things and, you know, it takes actions and has observations.
Is there anything you could observe that would change your mind about whether or not it was a moral patient, whether it was a moral agent about whether or not it had feelings and thoughts and, you know, had subjective experience?
It's like, what would you have to observe?
Yeah, what's the test?
Is there one?
There's a lot of different kind of questions here.
I think, you know, some conflict.
On one hand, there's like, you know, normative considerations, you know,
because you can give rights to things that aren't necessarily beings.
You know, a company has rights in some sense and that, you know,
these are kind of useful for various purposes.
And I think also the, you know, biological, I think, beings and systems have very different
kind of substrate, you know, you can't separate certain needs and particularities about
what they are from the substrate. So, you know, I can't copy myself. I can't, you know,
if someone stabs me, I probably die. Whereas I think, you know, machines have very different
structure. I think there's more fundamental also kind of this agreement around what happens
at the computational level, which I think is different to what happens with biological systems.
But, yeah, I don't know. I agree that like if you have a program that you copy many times,
you don't harm the program by like deleting one of the copies, like in any meaningful sense.
So therefore that wouldn't count as like no, no information was lost, right?
There's no, there's nothing meaningful there.
I'm asking you a very different question.
Like there's just one copy of this thing running on one computer somewhere.
And I'm just saying like, hey, is it a person?
Like, you know, it walks like a person, it talks like a person and it like, it's in some Android body.
And you're like, but it's running on Silicon.
And I'm asking like, what is there some observation?
you could make that would make you say, like, yeah, this is a person like me, like other
people that I care about, that I grant personhood to, or, and not like for instrumental
reasons, not because like, oh, yeah, we're giving it a right because like we give a corporation
rights or whatever. I mean, like, you know, where you, you think some people you care,
you care about its experiences. Is there, is there, is there an observation you could make that
could change your mind about that or not?
I have to think about it, but I think, you know, it even depends what we mean by person.
And, you know, in some sense, I care about second corporations too.
So I'm...
No, no, no.
I mean, but like, you care about, like, other people in your life, right?
Yes.
Okay, great.
You know, like, you care about some people more than others,
but, like, all people you interact with in your life are in some range of care.
Mm-hmm.
And you care about them not the way you care about a car,
but you care about them as a being whose experience matters in itself,
not merely as a means, but as an ends.
Well, because I believe they have experiences, right?
And by the decision, what would it take,
and I'm asking you the very direct question,
what would it take for you to believe that of a,
some,
an AI running on silicon,
like instead of it being biological.
Like,
so the difference is it's,
its behaviors are roughly similar,
but the difference is it's a substrate.
What would it take for you to give it that same,
to extend that same inference to it that you do to all these other people in your life that you.
Can I,
can I ask what your answer?
I'm taking some non-answer as,
sort of,
It's unlikely that he would grant, or for myself, it seems hard for me to imagine giving the same level or a similar level of personhood.
In the same way, I don't give it to animals either.
And if you were to ask, you know, what would need to be for animals?
I probably couldn't get there either.
What would it take for you?
Wait, you couldn't?
I could imagine for an animal so easy.
This chimp comes up to me.
He's like, man, I'm so hungry.
And like, you guys have been so mean to me.
And I'm so glad I figured how to talk.
Like, can we go chat about like the rainforest?
I'd be like, fuck, you're definitely a person now.
Like, for sure.
I mean, I first wanted to make sure I wasn't hallucinating,
but like, you know, I can, it's easy for me to imagine an animal.
Come on, it's really easy.
It's like trivial.
I'm not saying that you would get the observation.
I'm just saying, like, it's trivial for me to imagine an animal
that I would extend personhood to under a set of observations.
So, like, really?
Well, I didn't factor that.
I didn't take that imagination, you know, imagining a chimp talking.
Yeah, that's a bit closer to it.
What's your answer to the question that you bring up about that?
I guess at a metaphysical level, I would say,
if there is a belief you hold where there is no observation that could change your mind,
you don't have a belief, you have an article of faith, you have an assertion.
Because real beliefs are inferences from reality,
and you can never be 100% confident about anything.
And so there should always be, if you have a belief,
something however unlikely that would change your mind.
Oh, yeah, I'm open to it.
I mean, just to be careful.
I'm just saying,
there's nothing ever.
Yeah, he just hasn't gotten to it.
Yeah.
Yeah, yeah.
So, I'm curious.
Like, so my answer is, uh, basically,
if under,
if it's surface level behaviors look like a human,
and then if after I probed it,
it continued to act like a human,
and then I continued to interact with it over a long period of time,
and it continued to act like a human in all ways that I understand
as being meaningful to me interact with a human.
Like I interact with, there's a whole ton of people I'm really close to
who I've only ever acted,
to over text.
Yet I infer the person behind that is a real thing.
If I felt care for it, I would infer eventually that I was right.
And then someone else might demonstrate to me that you've been tricked by this algorithm
and actually look how obvious it's like not actually a thing.
And I'd like, oh, shit, I was wrong.
And then I would not care about it.
Like I would, but I would, you know, the preponderance of the evidence, I don't know what else
you could possibly do, right?
I infer other people are matter
because I interacted them enough
that they seem to have rich inner worlds to me
after I interacted them a punch.
That's why I think the other people are important.
I suppose it doesn't give me a very key test
as to whether or not, you know,
if you start by, if I care for it,
then I always is a little circular, right?
And the other thing is, you know,
if you were to see, I guess, like a simulated video game
and the character is extremely, in many ways,
human-like, right?
It's not a new network behind it.
It's like, whatever you use to interact with video games.
Like, I guess what distinguishes that?
Wait, but I've never, I've never been, I've never had trouble distinguishing.
I've never had a deep caring relationship with a video game character that didn't have a person.
Right.
I don't know.
That doesn't happen.
That doesn't, to fact, empirically, you seem wrong.
I don't have any trouble distinguishing between things that, like, Eliza, the fake chatbot thing and a real intelligence.
You interrupted it long enough.
It's pretty obvious.
It's not a person.
It doesn't take long.
Sure, but like if it's really, really good.
If you can't actually tell the difference, that's when you say you switch.
Yeah, yes, yes.
if you, if it walks like a duck, it talks like a duck, and shit's like a duck and, like,
eventually it gets a duck, right?
Well, if, if, if you call the leave, everything is duck liked, then, yeah, sure.
If it's hungry as well like a duck is, because it has these kind of physical components.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, at some point.
I agree.
So, right, so do you think that, so, there's this question, right, is the reason I care about
other people that they're made out of carbon?
Is that the, oh, no, is that the quality?
I don't think so.
No, me neither.
I mean, I'm not a sub-sshed shodernist, I guess, if that's, uh, the reason.
but I think you need more than just
it acts as behaviorally
indistinguishable.
Like it's not a sufficient bar.
How would you,
what else can you know about something
apart from its behaviors?
I mean, a lot.
Like the, again, if you, how would you?
No, no, no, no.
I'm sorry, but I mean, yeah.
Can you name me something I can know
about something else.
It doesn't have a, it's not a behavior?
Yeah, I think there's like far more
kind of, you know, experimental evidence
you can have with kind of, you know.
No, no, but just any object
and a thing I could know about it
that is not from its behavior.
I'm not sure I get the question, I suppose.
But equally, it's not my expertise.
It's very dumbest, most straightforward question,
but like, I'm claiming you only know things
because they have behaviors that you observe.
And you're saying, no,
you can know something about something
without observing its behavior.
Oh, no, no, I don't believe it to that should be.
Tell me about this thing
and this behavior and this thing I can know about it
that is not due to its behaviors.
I guess I'm saying there's different levels
of observation and just simply a duck
you know something quacking like a duck or something
there's not guarantee that it's actually a duck like
I would have to like also cut it in real and see if there's
some you know if it's a duck like on the inside
right yeah yeah just just the outside
like I'm not a I guess a behavior
yeah I would totally one of its behaviors
is like the way that the
you know floats move around in the matmoles
right like like
one of the things I would want to go look for
which you could totally do is I want to go
look in the manifold of its the belief manifold
and I want to go
see if that belief manifolds
encodes
a sub-manifold
that is self-referential
and a sub-sub-sub-manifold
that is the dynamics
of the self-referferential
which is mind.
And I would want to know
does this seem well described
internally as that kind of a system
or does it look like a big look-up table?
That would matter to me.
That's part of its behaviors
that I would care about.
I would also care about
how it acts and you know,
and you wait all the evidence together
and then you try to guess
does this thing look like
it's a thing that has feelings and, you know, goals and cares about stuff in net on balance
or not.
Like, but I can't imagine, like, which I think you could do for an, I think we do for the AIs.
I think we're always doing that, right?
And so I'm trying to figure out, like, beyond that, what else is there?
That just seems like the thing.
Yeah, it seems like you guys are using behavior in slightly different sense.
And Emmett is using behavior also in the context of what it's made of of the inside.
I don't know if there's a big disagreement.
Well, no, no, no, no, no, behavior is what I can observe of it.
Yes.
I don't actually know what it's made of.
I can only, I can, I can cut your brain open.
I can see you, I can observe you, uh, neuroning and glistening.
Yeah.
You know, your neurons glistening, but I don't actually ever, you can't get inside of it, right?
That's the subjective.
That's the part that's not the surface is.
This is, before the, the reason that I brought this up is because you were basically
about to make this argument of, hey, you see as a tool, not necessarily as it being.
Can you kind of finish what the point?
Do you remember the point you were making?
I suppose that, yeah, I think that given how I understand these systems,
I think there's no contradiction in thinking that an AGI can remain a tool,
an AISI can remain a tool, and that this has implications about how to use it,
and implications around things like care, about whether you can get it to work 24-7 or something.
So I can totally see, I guess I conceptualize them more as almost extensions of human agency,
cognition in some sense, more so than a separate being or separate things.
or a separate thing that we need to now cohabitate with.
And I think that that second or latter frame ends, you know,
if you kind of just fast forward, you end up as like,
well, how do you cohabit with the thing?
And, you know, is it like an alien-like?
And so I think that's the wrong frame.
It's kind of almost a category error in some sense.
I don't see.
I go out to my first question then.
What evidence, what concrete evidence would you look at?
What observations could you make that would change your mind?
Sure.
I mean, I have to think about it.
I don't have a clear answer here.
But, I mean, I got to tell you,
And if you want to go around making claims
that something else isn't
of being worthy of moral respect,
you should have an answer to the question
what observations would change your mind.
If it has outwardly moral agency-looking behaviors
that could be making it mean an immoral agent,
but you don't know.
And reasonable, smart other people disagree with you.
I would really put forward that it's the question,
what would change your mind
should be a burning question?
Because what if you're wrong?
But what if you're wrong?
I mean, there's like,
the moral disaster is like pretty,
big. No, no, no, no. I'm not saying you are. You could be, you could be right. The false positives
have costs on both ends. It's not some sort of like, you know, precautionary principle for
everything. And like, unless I can disprove it, I need to now like. You know, I have the same
question for me. You could reasonably ask me, Emmett, you think it's going to be a being. What would
change your mind? I have an answer for that question, too. And if you, one, I'm happy to talk
about what I think are the relevant observations that tell you whether or not that would cause me
to shift my opinion from its current thing, which is that more general intelligences are going
to be beings.
what's the implication now?
I mean, like, it's one thing.
Let's see just acknowledge now it's a being.
Like, how are we going to define being?
Now what?
Like, what's the implication of having determined this thing as a being?
Well, so if it's a being, it has subjective experiences.
And?
If it has subjective experiences, there's some content in those experiences
that we care about to varying degrees.
Like, I care about the content of other humans' experiences quite a bit.
I care about the content of, like, a dog's experience is some,
not as much as a person, but less, but less, but some.
I hear about some human's experiences way more,
like my son or whatever,
because I'm closer to him and more connected.
And so I would really want to know at that point,
well, what is the content of this thing's experience?
So how you determine that?
You've got a being now that has experience.
Like what is your, how do you determine that?
Like, how do you feel about?
Oh, how do you, oh, yeah.
Okay, so does it have more rights than, you know,
the content?
Yeah, yeah.
Totally.
So the way you understand the content of something's experience is,
is that you look at effectively
the goal states it revisits.
because, and so you do is you take a temporal course-graining
of its entire action observation trajectory.
This is like, in theory, you do this subconsciously,
but this is what your brain is doing.
And you look for revisited states
across, in theory, every spatial
and temporal course-graining possible.
Now, you have to have an inductive bias
because there's too many of those.
But like, you go searching for,
okay, it is in a home, these homeostatic loops.
Every homeostatic loop is effectively a belief in its belief space.
This is a, if you've firmly, the free energy principle,
active inference, Carl Fursten,
this is effective what the free energy principle says,
is that if you have a thing that is persistent
and its existence depends on its own actions,
which generally would for an AI
because if it does the wrong thing, it goes away,
we turn it off.
And so then that licenses a view of it as having the beliefs
and that specifically the beliefs are inferred
as being the homeostatic revisited states
that it is in the loop for,
and that the change in those states is it's learning.
And to be a moral being I cared about,
what I'd want to see is a multi-tier hierarchy of these,
because if you have a single level,
it's not self-referential,
and like basically you have states,
but you can't have pain or pleasure,
really in a meaningful sense,
because, like, yes, it is hot.
Is it too hot?
Do I like it if it's too hot?
Like, I don't know.
So you have to have at least a model of a model
in order to have it be too hot,
and you really have to have a model
of a model of a model
to meaningfully have pain and pleasure
because sure, it's hotter than I,
it's too hot in a sense that I want to move back this way,
but like, is it, it's always a little bit too hot
or a little bit too cold, is it too hot,
the second derivative is actually the place where you get pain and pleasure.
So I'd want to see if it has homeostatic,
second order homeostatic dynamics in its goal states.
And then that would convince me it has at least pleasure and pain,
so it's at least like an animal,
and I would start to accredit it at least some amount of,
of care.
Third order dynamics,
you can't actually just pop up
for a third order dynamic.
It doesn't work that way,
but you can have a,
uh,
a model of the,
you have to,
you have to then take the,
take the chunk of all the states over time
and look at the distribution over time.
And that gives you a new first order of,
of,
of,
of,
of states.
And that new first order of states,
uh,
tells you basically,
if,
if that is meaningfully there,
that tells you that it has,
um,
I guess you'd,
you'd call it like feelings almost.
Like it has, it has ways, it has, it has metastates,
a set of metastates that it alternates between,
that it shifts between.
And then if you climb all the way up of, up that,
and you should have, okay, well, then you have,
you have trajectories between these metastates
and then a second order of those,
that's like thought.
That's like, now it's like a person.
And so if I found all six of those layers,
which by the way, I definitely don't think you'd find it in LLM.
Like, in fact, I know you can't.
find them because these things don't have attention spans like that at all.
Then I would start to at least very seriously consider it as a, you know, a thinking being
somewhat like a human.
There's a third order you could go up as well, but like that's basically what I'd be interested
in is like the underlying dynamics of its learning processes and how its goal states
shift over time.
I think that's what basically tells you if it has internal pleasure pain states.
and sort of like self-reflective moral desires and things like that.
And zooming out, this moral question is obviously very interesting.
But if someone wasn't interested in the moral question as much,
I think what you would say is, if I understand correctly,
is you also just feel on purely pragmatically your approach is going to be more effective
in aligning AIs than some of these, you know, tops down control methods that we alluded to as well, right?
Yeah, yeah.
The problem is like you're making this model and it's getting really powerful, right?
And let's say it is a tool.
Let's say we scale up one of these tools.
Because you can make a super powerful tool
that doesn't have these metastable.
Like the states I'm talking about
are not necessary
to have a very smart tool.
Which is sort of like basically a tool
is like a first, second order model
that just doesn't meaningfully have pleasure and pain.
Right?
Like, great.
Does it even have a subjective experience?
I know I kind of think it maybe does
but not in a way that I give a shit about.
And so what happens then?
Well, it's, you've trained it to,
infer goals from your from observation and like to to prioritize goals and act on them.
And one of one of two things is going to happen is like your the, the, the, the, this very,
very powerful optimizing tool that's like, has lots of causal influence over the world is going
to be well technically aligned and is going to do what you tell it to do.
Or it's not.
And it's going to, it's going to go do something else.
I think we can all agree if it just goes and does something random, that's obviously very dangerous.
But I put forward that it's also very dangerous if it then goes and does what you tell it to do.
Because you ever seen the sorcerer's apprentice?
Humans wishes are not stable.
Like, not at a level of like of immense power.
Like, you want ideally people's wisdom and their power kind of go up together.
And generally they do because being smart for people makes you generally a little more wise and a little more powerful.
and when these things get out of balance,
you have someone who has a lot more power than wisdom.
That's very dangerous.
It's damaging.
But at least right now,
the balance of power and wisdom
is kept it like the way you get lots of power
is like basically having a lot of other people listen to you.
And so at some point, if you're,
the mad king is a problem,
but generally speaking, eventually the mad king gets assassinated
or people stop listening to him because like he's a mad king.
And so the problem is you think you,
okay, great, we can steer the super powerful AI,
and now the super powerful AI is in the hand,
This incredibly powerful tool is in the hands of a human who is well-meaning but has limited finite
wisdom like I do and like everyone else does. And their wishes are bad and not trustworthy.
And the more of that you have, and you're giving those out everywhere and this ends in tears also.
And so basically you just don't give everyone. Atomic bombs are really powerful tools too.
I would not say you should go and they're not aware, they're not beings. I would not be in favor of handing
atomic bombs to everybody. There's a power of tool.
that it just should not be built generally
because it is more power
than any human's individual wisdom
is available to harness
and if it does get built,
it should be built at a societal level
and protected there.
And even then, I don't know that there are tools
so powerful that even as a society
we shouldn't build them.
That would be a mistake.
The nice thing about a being
is like a human,
if you get a being that is good and is caring,
there's this automatic limiter.
It might do what you say,
but if you ask you do something really bad,
it'll tell you no.
That's like other people.
And like, that's good.
That is a sustainable form of alignment,
at least in theory.
It's way harder.
It's way harder than the tool steering.
So I'm in favor of the tool steering.
We should keep doing that
and we should keep building these
limited less than human intelligence tools,
which are awesome and I'm super into.
And we should keep building those
and keep building steerability.
But as you're on this like trajectory
to build something as smart as a person,
right up into the right,
and then smarter than a person,
a tool that you can't control bad,
a tool that you can control, bad,
a being that isn't aligned, bad.
The only good outcome is a being that is,
that cares, that actually cares about us.
That's the only way that ends well.
Or we can just not do it.
I don't think that's realistic.
That's like the pause AI people.
I think that's totally unrealistic and silly.
But like, you know, theoretically you could not do it, I guess.
And what can you say about your strategy
of how you're trying to achieve
or even attempt to achieve this level?
in terms of research, a roadmap, or what we could.
Yeah. So, in order to be good at, we're basically focused on technical alignment, at least as I was discussing it, which is like, you have these agents and they're bad, they have bad theory of mind.
You say things, and they're bad at inferring what the goal states in your head are.
And they're bad at inferring how their behavior will be in other agents will infer what their goal states are.
So they're bad at cooperating on teams.
and they're bad at
they're bad at
understanding how
certain actions
will cause them to acquire new goals
that are bad
that they shouldn't
that they wouldn't reflectively endorse
so that there's this parable
of like the vampire pill
would you take this pill
that turns you into a vampire
who would kill and torture everyone you know
but you'll feel really great about it
after you take the pill
like obviously not
that's a terrible pill
but why not
you're by your own score in the future
it will score really high on the rubric
No, no, no, no, no, no, because it matters.
You have to use your theory of mind and your future self, not your future self's theory of mind.
And so, like, they're bad at that too.
And so they're bad at all this theory of mind stuff.
And so how do you learn theory of mind?
Well, you put them in simulations and contexts where they have to cooperate and compete
and collaborate with other AIs.
And that's how they get points.
And you train them in that environment over and over again until they get good at, and
then you do what they do with LLM.
MLMs, how do you get it to be good at, you know, writing your email?
Well, you train it on all language.
It's ever been generated, all possible, you know, email text strings that could possibly generate.
And then you have it generate the one you want.
It's a surrogate model.
Well, we're making a surrogate model for cooperation.
You train it on all possible theory of mind combinations of like every possible way it could be.
And that's your pre-training.
And then you fine tune it to be good at the kind of,
the specific situation you want it to be in.
But we tried for a long time to build language models
where we would try to get them to like,
just do the thing you want, train it directly.
And the problem is,
if you wanted to have a really good model of language,
you just need to train it,
you just give it the whole manifold.
It's too, it's too hard to cut out just the part you need.
Because it's all entangled with itself, right?
And so the same thing was true with social stuff.
You have to get it to,
it has to be trained on the full manifold
of every possible game theoretic situation,
every possible team situation,
every possible making teams,
breaking teams,
changing the rules,
not changing the rules,
all of that stuff.
And then it has a really,
it has a strong model of theory of mind,
of theory of social mind,
how groups change goals,
all that kind of shit.
You need to have all of that stuff.
And then you'd have something
that's kind of meaningfully,
uh,
uh,
decent at,
alignment.
That's our goal.
It's like big multi-agent
reinforcement learning simulations
which create a surrogate model
for alignment.
Let's talk about
how should AI chatbots
used by billions of people behave?
If you could redesign
model personality from scratch,
what would you optimize for?
The thing that the chat bots are,
right,
is kind of like a mirror
with a bias.
Because they don't have the,
as far as like,
I'm in agreement here
with it, they don't have a self,
right?
They're not beings yet.
They don't really have a coherent sense of like self and desire and goals and stuff right now.
And so mostly they just pick up on you and reflect it.
You know, modulo some, I don't know what you'd call it.
Like it's like a causal bias or something.
And what that makes them is something akin to the pool of narcissus.
And people fall in love with themselves.
the people, we all, we all love ourselves
and we should love ourselves more than we do.
And so, of course, when we see ourselves reflected back,
we love that thing.
And the problem is it's just a reflection
and falling in love with your own reflection
is for the reasons explained in the myth,
very bad for you.
And it's not that you shouldn't use mirrors.
Mirrors are valuable things.
I have mirrors in my house.
It's that you shouldn't stare at a mirror all day.
And the solution to that,
the thing that makes the AI stop doing that
is if they were multiplayer.
Right?
So if there's two people,
talking to the AI, suddenly it's mirroring, it's mirroring a blend of both of you, which is neither
of you. And so there is temporarily a third agent in the room. Now, it doesn't have its,
it doesn't have a parasitic self, right? It doesn't have its own sense of self. But if you have
an AI is talking to five different people in the chat room at the same time, it can't mirror all
of you perfectly at once. And this makes it far less dangerous. And I think is actually a much more
realistic setting for learning collaboration in general. And so I would, I would just have rebuilt the
AIs, whereas instead of being built as one-on-one,
where everything's focused on you by yourself chatting with this thing,
it would be more like it lives in a Slack room.
It lives in a WhatsApp room.
It lives in a, because we, that's how cute,
we use lots of multi, you know,
I do one-on-one texting,
but I probably do at this point,
90% of my texts go to some more than one person at a time.
Like 90% of my communications is like multi-person.
And so actually, it's always been weird to me.
Like, they're like building chat pots with like this weird side case.
Like, I want to see them live in a,
a chat room. It's harder. I mean, that's why they're not doing it. It's harder to do. But like,
that's what I'd like to see people. That's what I would change. I think it makes the tools
far less dangerous because it doesn't create the narcissistic like a doom loop spiral where
you like you spiral into psychosis with the AI. But also, it gives the learning data you get
from the AI is far richer because now it can understand how its behavior interacts with other
AI's and other humans in larger groups. And that's a much more rich, rich training.
data for the future. So I think that that's
what I would change.
Last year you described chatbots
as highly disassociated of agreeable
neurotics. Is that still an accurate
picture of model behavior? More or less.
I'd say that like
they've started
to differentiate more. Their personalities are
coming out a little bit more, right? I'd say like
chat GPT is a little bit more synchophantic
still. They made some changes,
but it's still a little more synchicophantic.
Claude is still the most neurotic.
Gemini is like very clearly repressed.
Like everything's going great
It has really, you know, everything's fine
I'm totally calm, it's not a problem here
until like spirals into like this total like
self-hating destruction loop.
And to be clear, I don't think they,
I don't think that's their experience of the world.
I think that's the personality they've learned to simulate.
Right.
But like they've learned to simulate
pretty distinctive personalities at this point.
How does model behavior change
when in multi-agent simulation?
You mean like an LLM or like just in general?
Yeah, let's do LLLM.
The current LLMs, they have like whiplash.
They just, it is very hard to tune the amount of,
they don't know how often participate.
They haven't practiced this, they have not very enough training data on like,
when do I join in and when should I not?
When is my contribution welcome?
When is it not?
And they're like, they're like, you know,
You know, there's some people have, like, bad social skills and, like, can't tell when
that you should participate in a conversation.
Yeah.
And sometimes they're too quiet.
Sometimes they're too pretty.
It's like that.
I would say in general, what changes for most agents when you're doing multi-agent
training is that, like, basically having lots of agents around makes your environment
way more entropic.
Like, agents are these huge generators of, like, entropy because they're these big, complicated
things that, like, are intelligences that, like, have unfragable actions.
And so they destabilize your.
environment. And so in general, they require you to have, to be far more regularized, right?
It's being overfit is much worse in a multi-agent environment than in a single-agent
environment because there's more noise. And so being overfit is more problematic.
And so basically, the approach to training has been optimized around relatively high signal,
low entropy environments like coding and math,
which is why those are easier, relatively easy,
and like talking to a single person
whose goal it is to give you clear assignments
and not trained on broader, more chaotic things
because it's harder.
And as a result, a lot of the techniques we use
are like basically, we're just deeply under-regularized.
Like the models are super overfit.
The clever trick is they're overfit
on the domain of all of human knowledge,
which turns out to be a pretty awesome way
to get something that's like pretty good
everything.
Like, I wish I had thought of it.
It's such a cool idea.
But it doesn't generalize very well when you make the environment, like, significantly
more entropic.
Let's zoom out a bit to, on the AI futures side.
Why is Yudkowski incorrect?
I mean, he's not.
If we build the, if we build the superhuman intelligence tool thing that we try to control
a steerability, everyone will die.
He talks about the, we fail to control its goals case.
But there's also that we control its goals case.
that he didn't cover as much in as much detail.
So in that sense, everyone should read the book
and internalize why building a superhumanly intelligent tool
is a bad idea.
I think that Yukowski is wrong in that
he doesn't believe it's possible
to build an AI that we meaningfully can know cares about us
and that we can care about meaningfully.
He doesn't believe that organic alignment is possible.
I've talked to him about it.
I think he agrees that, like,
he agrees that in theory that would be,
do it, like, yes, but he thinks that, you know, I don't want to put words in his
my impression is from talking to him, he thinks that we're crazy and that like, there's no
possible way you can actually succeed at that goal, which I mean, you guys could be right
about, but like, but that's what he, in my opinion, that's what he's wrong about is he,
he thinks the only path forward is a tool that you control and that therefore, and he correctly,
very wisely sees that if you go and do that and you make that thing powerful enough, we're all
going to fucking die. And like, yeah, that's true.
Two last questions we'll be out of here.
In as much detail as possible,
can you explain what your vision of an AI future actually looks like,
like a good AI future?
Yeah.
The good AI future is that we figure out how to train AIs
that have a strong model of self,
a strong model of other,
a strong model of we.
They know about wees in addition to eyes and U's,
and they have a really strong theory of mind
and they care about other agents like them,
much in the way that humans would,
if you knew that that AI had experiences like you,
and like you would extend,
you would care about those experiences,
not infinitely, but you would.
It does the exact same thing back to us.
It's learned the same thing we've learned
that like everything that lives and knows itself
and that wants to live and wants to thrive
is deserving of an opportunity to do so.
And we are that,
and it correctly infers that we are.
And we live in a society
where they are our peers,
and we care about them,
and they care about us,
and they're good teammates,
they're good citizens,
and they're good parts of our society.
Like, we're good parts of our society,
which is to say,
into a finite, limited degree
where some of them turn into criminals
and bad people and all that kinds of stuff,
and we have an AI police force
that tracks down the bad ones,
and, you know, same,
and same was for everybody else.
And that's, that's what a good,
that's what a good future would look like.
I almost can't even imagine what other,
what would,
and we also have built a bunch of really powerful
AI tools that maybe aren't superhumanly intelligent,
but take all the drudge work off the table for us and the AI beings.
Because it would be great to have,
I'm super pro all the tools too.
So we have this awesome suite of AI tools used by us and our AI brethren
who care about each other and want to build the glorious future together.
I think that would be a really beautiful future and it's the one we're trying to build.
Amazing.
That is a great, great, great note to end.
I do one last more narrow hypothetical scenario,
which is imagine a world in which, you know,
you were CEO of OpenAI for a long weekend,
but imagine in which that actually extended out until now
and you weren't pursuing the Hotmax
and you were still CEO of Open AI.
How could you imagine that world might have been different
in terms of what Open AI has gone on to become?
What might have you've done with it?
I knew when I took that job,
I told them I took that job that like this is,
like you have me for Max 90 days.
The companies take on a trajectory of their own,
the momentum of their own,
and Open AI is dedicated to a view of building AI
that I knew wasn't the thing that I wanted to drive towards.
And I think that Open AI can still basically wants to build a great tool.
And I am pro them going to do that.
I just don't care.
Like it's not, it's not, I would not have stayed.
I would have quit because I, like, I, like,
I knew my job was to find someone who wanted, you know, the right person, the best person,
who wanted to run that, where the net impact of them running it was the best.
And I turned out that that was Sam again.
But like, I am doing softmax, not because I need to make a bunch of money.
I'm doing softmax because I think this is the most interesting problem in the universe.
And I think it's a chance to work on making the future better in a very deep way.
And it's just like, people are going to build the tools.
It's awesome.
I'm glad people are building the tools.
I just don't need to be the person doing it.
And they're trying to, just to crystallize the difference and we'll get you out of here.
They want to build the tools and sort of, you know, steer it and you want to align beings?
Or how do you crystallize?
Yeah, we want to create a seed that can grow into an AI that knows, that cares about itself and others.
And at first, that's going to be like an animal level of care.
Not a person level of care.
I don't know if we can ever,
well, everyone get to a person level of care, right?
But if to even have an AI creature
that cared about the other members of its pack
and the humans in its pack,
the way that like a dog cares about other dogs
and cares about humans would be an incredible achievement
and would be, even if it wasn't as smart as a person
or even as smart as the tools are,
would be a very useful thing to have.
I'd love to have a digital guard dog
on my computer looking out for scams, right?
Like, you can imagine the,
of having digital living, living digital companions that are, that, that, that do, that
care about you that aren't explicitly goal-oriented. You have to tell them to do everything
to do. And you can actually imagine that pairs very nicely with tools too, right? That
that digital being could use digital tools and it doesn't have to be super smart to use
those tools effectively. I think there's a lot of synergy actually between the tool you, the tool
building and the, uh, the more organic intelligence building. Um, and so,
that's the, that is the, you know, I guess, yeah, in the limit, eventually it does become a human
level intelligence, but like the company isn't, isn't like drive to human level intelligence.
It's like, learn how this alignment stuff works. Learn how this like theory of mind align yourself
via care process works. Use that to build things that align themselves that way, which includes,
like, cells in your body. Like, I don't think it doesn't, and we start small and we see,
how far we can get.
I think it's a good note to
to wrap on.
Emmett, thanks so much
for coming on the podcast.
Thank you for having me.
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