The a16z Show - How Andreessen Horowitz Disrupted VC & What’s Coming Next

Episode Date: July 7, 2025

On this episode, taken from The Ben & Marc Show, a16z co-founders Marc Andreessen and Ben Horowitz dive deep into the unfiltered story behind the founding of Andreessen Horowitz—and how they set out... to reinvent venture capital itself. For the first time, Marc and Ben walk through the origins, strategy, and philosophy behind building a world-class venture capital firm designed for the future—not just the next fund. They reveal how they broke industry norms with a bold brand, a full-stack support model, and a long-term commitment to backing exceptional builders—anchored in the radical idea that founders deserved real support, not just checks. Joining them to guide the conversation is Erik Torenberg—Andreessen Horowitz’s newest General Partner—who makes his Ben & Marc Show moderating debut. Erik is a technology entrepreneur, investor, and founder of the media company Turpentine.Together, they explore: - Why traditional VC needed reinvention - How a16z scaled with a platform model, not a partner model - The "barbell strategy" reshaping venture capital today - Why venture remains a human craft, even in the age of AI Timecodes: 00:00 - Intro 01:00 - Why Traditional Venture Capital Was Broken 03:05 - Marc on Discovering VC and Its Legends 05:12 - Surviving the Dot-Com Crash and Angel Investing Collapse 07:05 - Helping Founders Raise Venture / Fix VC Relationships 08:47 - The a16z Strategy: Building a Support Platform 12:07 - First Fund Wins: Skype, Instagram, Slack, Okta 12:50 - Building a 'World-Dominating Monster' 15:00 - The Sushi Boat VC Problem 18:07 - Treating LPs Differently 21:40 - Marc and Ben's Working Relationship 23:30 - Updating a16z’s Media Strategy for the Social Era 27:20 - History of the Decentralized Media Environment30:36 - Decline of Corporate Brands and Going Direct 36:06 - Naming the Firm 40:13 - Building the a16z 'Cinematic Universe' of Talent 42:16 - Creating a Federated Model 51:02 - Deciding to Market the Firm 53:26 - Recruiting General Partners 56:33 - Evolution to Full-Stack Companies 01:03:53 - The Barbell Theory: The Death of Mid-Sized VCs01:11:50 - Why Venture Capital Should Stay Overfunded 01:19:50 - When a16z Knew It Could Be Top Tier 01:25:58 - Venture Capital is an Art, Not a ScienceResources:Marc on X: https://twitter.com/pmarca Marc’s Substack: https://pmarca.substack.com/Ben on X: https://twitter.com/bhorowitz Erik on X: https://x.com/eriktorenberg Erik's Substack: https://eriktorenberg.substack.com/ Stay Updated:Find a16z on YouTube: YouTubeFind a16z on XFind a16z on LinkedInListen to the a16z Show on SpotifyListen to the a16z Show on Apple PodcastsFollow our host: https://twitter.com/eriktorenberg Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

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Starting point is 00:00:00 We met with one firm, Ben. You might remember one of the partners said, venture capital is like being at the sushi boat restaurant. A thousand startups come through and you just meet with them. And then every once in a while, you kind of reach down and you just pluck a startup out of the sushi boat and you invest in it. And I was like, oh my God. The sushi there is typically not great.
Starting point is 00:00:18 What does it take to build a venture firm from scratch? And how should it evolve as the world changes around it? I recently sat down with Mark and Ben for a wide-ranging conversation on the origins of A16Z, the evolution of the venture capital. industry and the structural choices that have shaped the firm from platform to federation and beyond. We talk about everything from how A16Z got started in 2009 to how we think about platform media governance and why venture is more barbell shaped than ever. As it happens, this conversation
Starting point is 00:00:46 took place during my first week, so it was the perfect moment to reflect on where the firm has been and where it's headed. This episode originally aired on The Ben and Mark Show, which you can follow for more candid conversations from inside the firm. Let's get into it. Content here is for informational purposes only, should not be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice, or be used to evaluate any investment or security and is not directed at any investor or potential investors in any A16Z fund. Please note that A16Z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed in this podcast.
Starting point is 00:01:25 For more details, including a link to our investments, please see A16Z.com slash disclosures. Hey, everybody. Welcome to another episode of the Ben and Mark Show. I'm Eric Torrenberg. I'm Andrewson-Hawicz, newest general partner, and this is my first week. Lots of exciting things planned for the future of the firm, but we thought that this would be a great opportunity to talk about a bit of the history, about the conversations that led you guys to start in Treason-Hawrwitz. When did you know that, hey, you guys had to do this? I think it was a conversation on AOL instant messenger, if I recall it correctly.
Starting point is 00:02:01 We had sold Opsware to HP and had been out of it for a little while. We had started doing some like angel investing and that kind of stuff. We had an angel fund called Horowitz-Andresen. That's not even a joke, too. So we were doing that and we were talking about what might each one of us do next. And as I recall it, and Mark might recall differently, he said, you know, venture capital is so underwhelming in that. It's a great product for investors, for LPs, but it's a kind of very mediocre product for entrepreneurs because, you know, you get almost nothing. You get like some money
Starting point is 00:02:43 and then a smart person, but, you know, that smart person, they see you once a quarter. They don't know much about what you're doing. So their value kind of diminishes to zero in about three or four months. And we thought, you know, it's so hard to build a company, somebody ought to be able to do something better than that. And I said to Mark, I was like, we could start a firm and we could call it Ben Mark, you know, which was a pun on benchmark. I don't think I ever got that until just now. Yeah. So that was the beginning of the conversation. And I was surprised because Mark was into the idea. I think he had the idea separately. So it was just one of those things. I'm just like absolutely amazed and flabbergasted, the venture capital even exists. My first 22 years of life, I had no idea. I had never
Starting point is 00:03:29 heard about it growing up. I never heard about it even college at Illinois. And I came to Silicon Valley. And my first business partner, Jim Clark was like, yeah, we start a company, we go raise money from these venture capitalists. And I was like, what's that? And he just like, completely blew my mind that there were these people. They were literally scouting for basically crazy startup entrepreneurs to start these things and they would give you money when you had nothing. And I was like, wow, that's amazing. And so one is just the fact the field exists is amazing. The C and its modern form started in 1960s. And I just look back at the history of these guys, Don Valentine and Tom Perkins and pitch Johnson, Bill Draper, Arthur Rock. These guys for me are like legends because the fact that they could go out and source a Bob Noyes to start Intel or Steve Jobs to start Apple or these things is just amazing.
Starting point is 00:04:10 I had quite good experiences. Ben mentioned the issues with the field, but Ben and I have the chance to work with two VCs at the very top of their game when their firms were on top of the world. And that was John Dorr when he was at Kleiner Perkins in the 90s and was kind of the top VC. And then later Andy Rockleff, who was a founding partner of benchmark when they were kind of on top of the world. you know in general we got a lot of value from those guys and considered them partners and had very good relationships and they helped us build I think good businesses but basically over the years what happened was we kind of learned from those experiences but also what happened over the years was Ben and I become active angel investors and sort of advisors and mentors to a new generation of founders and this is in the 2000 through the 2000 and just so people understand the setting for this after the dot com crash in 2000 there had been an angel in venture boom in the late 90s and then after the dot com crash in 2000 like almost all angel investing went away and a large amount of VC went away and and, you know, it was like a full-on depression for early stage tech. And so about like 2004, the crash sort of unspooled over five years. And by 2004, when Ben and I kind of ramped up our angel investing, I think, I don't know, maybe the whole industry is now like a half dozen angel investors or something.
Starting point is 00:05:08 I mean, it was just pretty. We knew all of them. Angel investors had so much power that there was this scandal, Angelgate, remember, of like angels meeting together and fixing prices. The angel gate, yeah. Well, we all talk to each other. So there was something to that. So then basically, tech started to take off again in the late 2000.
Starting point is 00:05:25 thousands and then TechCrunch at the time, Michael Arrington had built up by TechRunch to be kind of the main online news source for startups and venture investing. And Michael, one of his most remarkable things was he was at some dinner and he somehow cracked the code that there was a back room at the dinner where like all of the actually Ben and I were not there, but like most of the prominent angel investors of that era were basically sitting around this round table and Michael Arrington kind of walks in and he's a journalist and at least he described it as like these massively guilty looks on everybody's faces. Ben and I weren't there so I don't know what happened. But the accusation was that they were colluding, right? They were sort of, you know,
Starting point is 00:05:53 all teaming up to try to see if they could keep valuations low. which is a no-no in business. But a significant thing about that maybe is that that actually meant that there were enough angels to actually fill up a table, right? Because that was like when they were like a dozen of them as opposed to just a half-dozen. Yeah, anyway, so Ben and I just started working with would turn into be dozens of founders. And, you know, we ended up being very involved in because we had raised venture before and run companies.
Starting point is 00:06:12 We ended up helping a lot of startups in that era, raise venture. And so we helped them meet the venture firms and understand how to negotiate the deals. And then the other thing that happened was is we would get called in when they would get sideways with their VCs. It's happened kind of a lot. A lot. So this became, it turns out, this is one of the main things people were calling us on was like, all right, I'm in some big fight with my VC. He wants some money back or this or this or he freaked out of the board meeting and what's going on. And I hear rumors his firm is shutting down and he's
Starting point is 00:06:36 going to fire us all my stock. Or by the way, or the VCs would call us up and they'd be like, this founder is nuts. And could you please talk to him and try to get him to like do the right thing? So we ended up in this sort of, I don't know, arbitrator, coach, judge, arbitrator mode helping patch these things up. And I think Ben, because you and I arranged an investing at that point, a big part of it was, well, hell, like, if we're going to end up doing that anyway, if we just showed up with the checkbook, we could short circuit the process. Yeah, yeah, yeah, right. We wouldn't have to fix all these problems. I mean, yeah, and that was like a little bit of it as well, which is there were just very few people at that point in venture capital world
Starting point is 00:07:08 who had built any kind of company that had gone to any kind of complexity or was worth anything. It was just a different kind of background of people. So the ability to relate to founders, like really relate to founders, was a little bit missing. Okay, so you decided to start in Drison Horowitz in 2009. You come out with a $300 million fund. Talk about what the strategy was going into it or how you were planning to differentiate from the outside in. You know, you guys were very loud.
Starting point is 00:07:36 You had this platform approach. Talk about behind the scenes how you thought about differentiating. By the way, like the big VCs at that time seemed just overwhelmingly invincible. They were giant like long-lasting businesses. I mean, the whole industry had been around for 50 years. of these guys had invested in like every good, I mean, if you look at some of the things Sequoia had invested in along the way, it's like quite a spectacular set of companies. And so we're trying to figure out how to challenge the status quo. And one of the ideas we had was we would do like a lot
Starting point is 00:08:12 of angel investments in addition to venture investments, which was unheard of at the time. And we would start out in this complementary way. And then like eventually we'd build enough reputation where we could start doing kind of the A's ourselves was how we pitched it. And we actually took it around. We visited a lot of our VC friends and many of them said it was a really dumbass idea and we should definitely not pursue it. And it's been tried before and it didn't work and so forth. And then the other idea that we had was what I alluded to earlier, which is, gee, like, what if the venture capital firm? And we got a lot of this from our friend Michael Ovitz from CAA. So what if the firm wasn't just a collection of partners?
Starting point is 00:08:58 What if it was more than that? What if rather than paying the partners a lot of money, or in our case we didn't pay ourselves any money? What if we took all that money? Because it was a lot of money. We're like even on a $300 million fund, it was really a lot of money. What if we took that money and we built a platform
Starting point is 00:09:15 and the purpose of that platform was to give an entrepreneur basically the confidence and power of, a big-time CEO like a Bob Eiger or a Jamie Diamond or somebody like that who could literally pick up the phone and call anybody like at any time. Why should I be CEO of this little company even though I've never managed anything myself? All I did was invent the product well because like Bob Eiger, I'd call anybody from the president of the United States to the CEO of FedEx or whatever and I can get them on the phone. And so we're like, what if we built that capability
Starting point is 00:09:50 for our companies. And people said, I think that criticism was, it's been tried, it'll never work, you guys are stupid. That was like the polite version of it. You know,
Starting point is 00:10:02 those two things were really the original idea that we pitched. In fact, if you like at our original deck, that's how we pitched LPs. And the first fund works, right?
Starting point is 00:10:12 I believe you put 50 million into Skype and there's a big markup there in that acquisition. There's Instagram. It's actually 65 million. But 15 of it It was generously given to us by Silver Lake for participating in the deal.
Starting point is 00:10:24 Yeah, but we invested 65 million, yeah. Yeah, so Instagram, tiny spec, which turned into Slack. So the first fund is a winner. Yeah, Octa. Octa. Did you know Fund won what your long-term vision was? Would you say, hey, we're going to start 300, and then we're going to scale and be one of the biggest firms of venture? Where were you thinking was the future at the time?
Starting point is 00:10:44 The thing that Mark and I knew from our experience in starting companies was it is just as hard to start a small boutique thing that means nothing in the world and build it as it is to build the world-dominating monster. Like it's no more amount of work to do the latter. So we were never interested in anything but the ladder. We had zero interest at all in building a little venture capital firm that was like a beta to the big boys. We were never wanting to do that. We always thought, like, this was the start of doing something much bigger and much more important. And, you know, how we got there, we certainly didn't have all mapped out from the beginning.
Starting point is 00:11:30 But the ambition was always there. Yeah. And a lot of this comes from the fact that we had been running companies. And so if you're running a company, like it's a product company and it's in like full competitive battle with other companies and you're going through the wars that companies go through. like you naturally think in terms of strategy, ambition, industry structure, the economics of the business, the competitive position, evolution over time, marketing strategy, unique selling proposition, differentiation. It's all these things that any business operator thinks about. And actually, to their massive credit, a lot of the original VCs who built the firms originally back in the 50, 60, 70s were actually operators, right? So Tom Perkins and Gene Kleiner had been operators, Don Valentine, Pierre Lamont had been operators.
Starting point is 00:12:07 The founders of Greilke had been operators. And so it was very natural for the sort of first generation, I think, in those terms. the time we entered the field, their successors for the most part had not run businesses. They had sort of grown up as professional investors. And they were, you know, inheriting businesses that other people had built. And so there was just this sort of fundamental difference in mindset. And by the way, the formula is working very well for though. They were very happy to, you know, the cliche goes kind of sit on Sandhill Road and the deals. I mean, I've got countless stories in this, but we met with one firm, Ben, you might remember
Starting point is 00:12:33 a very prominent firm. And one of the partners said, it's like, oh, venture capital is like so much fun as a business. He's like, venture capital is like being at the sushi boat restaurant. Right. And so these are like the sushi restaurants where there's like the sort of track. Conveyor belt. But by the way, the sushi there is typically not great. Yeah. That was the first thing that jumped out of me is. Yeah, that's not where the good sushi is. I wasn't sure if we went to the same sushi restaurants. But, you know, you say if you haven't met a sushi boat restaurant, you sit there and like literally these little sushi boats, these little trays go by on the conveyor belt and you just pick up pieces of sushi. And he said, that's just what it's like. And you just sit here on Sandham Road and
Starting point is 00:13:05 a thousand startups come through and you just meet with them. And every once in a while, you eat it with his hand. You kind of reached down and you just pluck a startup. out of the sushi boat and you invest in it. And I was like, oh my God, you know, like, you know, complaisancy, right, like entitlement. Immediately it was just, you know, the hair of the back of my neck went up. And I was like, all right, so, you know, basically a soft target. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:13:25 We were just so oriented, you know, with the startup, all you do is work. And you're focused on the work. And if you aren't doing enough work, you think of other work that you could do that might improve things. So it was such a foreign idea that you would be oriented. around doing no work, like literally sitting at a sushi boat restaurant, having a great life and playing golf or whatever they did. And so that was inspiring that like, okay, we can do it better. And by the way, like building a company was so hard. And so any additional help would be
Starting point is 00:13:57 so appreciated. Yeah, it was how we always thought about it. Yeah. By the way, one more story. So around the same time, we went with another VC. And like I said, we've been running companies. We'd been dealing with investors. And then we'd been running public companies. Ben was the CEO of a public company. And so when you're running a public company, you've got investors, you've got your investor relations team, but like you've got hedge funds invested in your company. And like when you meet with them, you don't even know if they're long or short your stock. Often short. So like half the time, you're giving them like ammunition that they're going to use to try to go out and swear you and drive your stock price down. So it's just like absolute badlam when you're running a company with shareholders.
Starting point is 00:14:29 And so in venture, it's different or at least we thought it was different because your investors and the funds are called limited partners. And these are these institutions like endowments and foundations and sovereigns and so forth that invest. And then they invest on these lockups. They invest on like these 10 or 15 year lockups. So they put the capital in and they really sit patiently and let you do your thing. So we were just like, wow, dealing with an investor who is locked in to be long with your company for 15 years, sounds like the best thing in the world. Like this sounds amazing. These are like super smart people. We're running these endowments, people like David Swenson and others and Anne Martin and all these people. And so we were like, wow, this is going to be great. And then we met with a very famous, prominent longtime VC. He said, boys, he said the part of the job you're going to hate the most is dealing with the LPs. Because he said these people are like not. smart or not, you know, whatever. And he's like, the way that you do it is you treat your LPs like they're mushrooms. You put them in a cardboard box. You put the lid on the cardboard box and you put the box under the bed and you don't take it out for two years. He literally said that, which was like, it was such an insane thing to hear because like we treated hedge funds that
Starting point is 00:15:27 were shorting us better than that. But then, you know, look, when we went out, this was actually the thing that kind of made me know that we had made a good choice by starting the firm, is when we went out to visit the potential LPs, you know, and we're pitching them and so forth, now, look, they had very interesting things to say they knew a lot about the industry and they knew a lot about investing in generally, and Dave Swanson, who Mark mentioned, wrote the definitive book on like how endowments invest and so on. And then when they invested, they were so interested in us, which, you know, it's just a nice thing in life when anybody takes.
Starting point is 00:16:07 any interest in you. And RLP's did 30 or 35 reference calls on both me and Mark. Every single one of them did. And they learned a lot about us. I mean, they really got deep on it. And funny, actually, one of the funny things about the firm is I think we're the only firm in Silicon Valley has this. We have a two-person keyman thing where so normally as long as one person is intact, there's no vote on the fund or whether the fund continues. But in Fund one, both of us, had to be there because they're like, you guys are both flawed, but when you're together, the flaws go away. Like, they had gotten that deep on us. And so it was cool. Say more about that. How do you guys compliment each other? Say more about what they were getting at. So, like,
Starting point is 00:16:52 there was Netscape and LoudCloud. And I think that with Netscape, Mark started that company who's 22 years old, or 21 and 22 years old. And so he's like literally a kid. So he had some things in his reputation. And for one, he was like actually a little kid. Like, you grow up, the shit that I couldn't do when I was 22, I can do now, and so forth. So there was some of that. And then there was some of the same thing on me. Like, you know, Loudcock got into absolutely horrible trouble. We burned through a stupid amount of cash and this and that and the other.
Starting point is 00:17:20 And so there were definitely negative things, but it was interesting because both companies had very good outcomes. And so I think how the legend went was somehow, you know, between us, we could figure it out. Now, I don't know if the criticisms were right. Maybe they were. And I don't know if the solution was correct. But it was just kind of a fun thing that they had got so deep into our backgrounds that they would like insist that that being the LPA. Talk about how you guys have made it work or divided, you know, divided and conquered or just your working style or whatever you can share about that. We're co-founders and we work very, very closely together on the strategy and the direction of the firm.
Starting point is 00:18:02 but like the CEO position is a chain of command position. And, you know, that's me. I'm the CEO of the firm in that sense. You know, Mark doesn't try to override like, you know, these kinds of chain of command decisions. It's not, you know, his thing. And then, you know, like Mark, of course, does things that I can't do.
Starting point is 00:18:25 He's just like a much bigger celebrity. He's, you know, kind of. I always say like he's, like, He's a little bit of a magic trip that people in the firm call him Mark GPT because he knows everything about everything. So like these got very unique things that he does. Mark initially recruited me and then said, hey, Ben, Eric, you guys figure out the details. Yeah, so that's a good example.
Starting point is 00:18:46 So, you know, Mark had kind of been on this thing that, look, the world has moved and the way we kind of market the firm and think about the media hasn't changed nearly as much as the world has moved. And so we need to bring somebody in. And, you know, I was like, do you have someone in mind? And he had you in mind. And so I was like, okay, good. So I listened to, you know, and I had been on
Starting point is 00:19:14 the show. So I knew who you were and whatnot. But I went back and listened to a lot of the turpentine stuff and so forth. And I was like, yep, that seems like a good idea. And then it was on kind of me as in my kind of CEO job to put the thing together. And Mark,
Starting point is 00:19:30 maybe just give us a couple minutes on how the world had changed from it. We'll do a whole separate episode, deep dive on it, but maybe just preview what was sort of the main change that you identified of like, hey, the world has changed from a media perspective. Yeah, so, you know, a lot of my thinking on this is from, from, you know, the book from our friend Martin Gurry
Starting point is 00:19:48 that he wrote back in 2015 called the, the revolt of the public and the crisis of authority in the new millennium. And so basically it's like the world really did change, like how information flows through the world really did change not just for the arrival of the internet, but specifically with arrival of social media. And so, you know, it just so happens that, like,
Starting point is 00:20:08 all of us who grew up over the last seven or 80 years, like we grew up in an environment of primarily top-known media, you know, in which there's, you know, these sort of major, major kind of forces in, you know, broadcast, you know, TV or cable TV or newspapers and magazines where, you know, editors and publishers and reporters and they sort of write all the stories. And then, you know, it's everybody else's job
Starting point is 00:20:26 to kind of read them and keep up. You know, to the world, it looks, you know, completely different, whereas it's basically everything. is peer-to-peer. And so, you know, hierarchy to network and then centralized institution to, you know, decentralized, decentralized network. And, you know, that's happening throughout the economy and throughout, you know, throughout, you know, there's good and there's bad to it. And there's, you know, tons of, tons of arguments we had about it. But it, but it is happening. And so just, you know, in the new world, it's just you're not, if you're running a business or running a
Starting point is 00:20:52 movement, like you're just not going to do it through the traditional method. You may still participate to some extent, but you're going to primarily tell your own story. And you're going to go direct. I mean, you're going to have your own relationship with your constituents or with your fans or with your customers. And, you know, like in some sense, that sounds like, it all sounds like a truism and a cliche. But like, I think there were a couple of tipping points where it really started to happen. And one was around 2015 because social networking kind of hit mainstream and smartphones hit mainstream around that time, which is when Martin wrote his book. But then I think really, it's only been in the last five years when I think almost everybody, like let's say, let's say basically everybody under the age of 70 and a very large number of people over the age of 70 basically you have. shifted from top-down media as their main source of information to social media as their main
Starting point is 00:21:34 source of information. And so it actually is relatively new to live in this world in which in which the information really does flow differently. And so it's just it's just a fundamental shift. And so I think, you know, as a firm, we spent, you know, we as Ben said, we always had a big focus on marketing and telling a story. We, you know, we did that primarily through the old centralized channels from 2009 to, you know, probably 2017 or something, you know, but really since then it's been, you know, at least it's effective or more effective to kind of do it, do it the new way. And, you know, it's like the old William Gibson thing. It's like the future is already here.
Starting point is 00:22:06 It just isn't evenly distributed yet. Like everything I'm saying, people can like nod at. But like, you know, as you know, Eric, like most companies have still not adjusted to this. Right. Right. Most politicians have still not adjusted to this. Most entertainers have still not adjusted to this. Most sports leagues have still not adjusted to this.
Starting point is 00:22:20 And so it's, I think it's very important that we, that we continue to do it. And then I think it's also important that we set an example for a portfolio companies. Yeah. And a lot of it has to do with kind of like the apparatus, right? Like, so there's the, you know, from a company standpoint, you know what you do. Like, you know, we know how to help entrepreneurs, this and that. And the other, what a, you know, product company knows how to build their product and so forth.
Starting point is 00:22:42 And then it's like, okay. And now you've got to get your message out. How do you do that? And then the apparatus that gets your message out, all the people, all the kind of tools, all the channels are oriented, at least partially in the old world. And so, you know, you, it actually is, and somebody's much longer to adjust than it is for the individual consumer who goes, oh, there's just better stuff over here. Yeah. And Mark, also talk about the shift from corporations to individuals in terms of kind of where brands went and who people want to hear from. Not to say there isn't, of course, a role for the corporation, but talk a little bit about that for the corporate brand.
Starting point is 00:23:21 Yeah. So rewind history a little bit. So it's actually pretty striking. Like this sort of decentralized media environment that we're entering is not new. It's actually very old. And correspondingly, the centralized media environment we grew up in is not the historical norm. And so basically the way that we think about centralized top-down media today is basically an artifact of basically the period of the 1940s through, you know, essentially in 1970s. Like before the 1940s, you didn't have top-d-d-media in the same way.
Starting point is 00:23:47 If you go back to the 1930s or before, you had a much larger number of newspapers. you had a much larger number of radio stations. You had a much larger number of sort of fly-by-night publishing operations, you know, pamphlets and so forth. And then if you go back even further, one of the most interesting things to study on this is just go back to the American Revolution, you know, the time of the colonies in the 1760s through like the 1790s.
Starting point is 00:24:06 And it basically, I've been rereading some of this stuff recently, like basically the media environment of the colonial American era was a lot like today's social media environment. You would have 15, 20, 30 little newspapers per city. They would be in like they would occupy every microcontradian, micro-sliced-knit. You know, talk about echo chambers or whatever. Like they, they each have their own little echo chamber. You know, the founding fathers would write all these columns and essay. They would fight things out by writing essays. And then they would publish the essays
Starting point is 00:24:31 under pseudonyms. And you have these characters like Benjamin Franklin or Alexander Hamilton that would literally have like a dozen or two dozen surnums at a time. They'd actually write, they'd actually get into fights with themselves. They'd actually, they'd have their pseudonyms actually fight with each other. Ben Franklin used to set off arguments against his different pseudonyms to drive, you know, to really like litigate out an issue and to drive newspaper sales. But like really serious stuff also. like the Federalist papers, which were kind of the explanation of the new Constitution in 1789, Hamilton and Madison wrote those under pseudonyms, right? And so this idea of like the internet anonon is
Starting point is 00:25:00 like, that that's an old idea. And the idea of a pseudonym is an old idea. And the idea of like self-publishing is an old idea. And the idea of like basically these pitch, smash mouth battles, you know, with very little centralized control over what people say. Like, you know, if you read about like how, you know, like Hamilton and Jefferson and then also Jefferson and Adams had these just like absolutely, They had their own basically pet newspapers, and they was just, like, absolute level of smash-mouth politics. Like, I would say even more, like, extreme and deranged than even what we have today, which people kind of can't believe, but, like, if you read about the election of 1800,
Starting point is 00:25:33 like, it was maybe, I think it was more extreme than certainly any election in my lifetime in terms of, like, what, you know, it's literally John Adams and Thomas Jefferson, like, just, like, slandering. So, polarization is the norm. Like, really, like, on every conceivable front. Yeah, so, like, polar, you know, sort of as our, as they say, unfettered conversations were the norm, Anonymity was the norm, you know, rumor, you know, scurrilous, you know, accusations were the norm, you know, pitched back, you know, sort of Overton window being wide open was the norm. And so, and just for people want to read about this, the best book on this is called infamous scribblers, which was sort of the name for
Starting point is 00:26:05 journalists in those days. And so, like, you know, this has happened before. And so anyway, so the point is, like, this sort of centralized media thing that we've been living in that we grew up in, or, you know, people my age grew up in, like, it's a historical aberration off the norm. And again, it's a consequence of technology change. It's a consequence of this sort of mass publishing, mass media, mass radio, mass television, mass newspaper kind of thing that only started in 1940s. And then correspondingly, therefore, you know, Eric, to your question, like everything that we think of as corporate branding as an artifact of just a specific point in time
Starting point is 00:26:36 of this sort of in 1940s through call of the 1980s or something, like all of like brand marketing, corporate brands, corporate messaging, corporate crisis management, like all these playbooks that they teach at business school were very specific to a time and place that had a very small number of centralized media outlets with tremendous influence and control. But, and therefore the corporate brand, like, why does the corporate brand exist?
Starting point is 00:26:58 Like, why does a proctor and gamble brand or any of these brands exist? It exists because if you have centralized media, you know, information is going through this very narrow straw, right? There's very little bandwidth to get something on a TV. You're very little bandwidth to get something in the newspaper and therefore to get it to consumers' attention. And so you kind of had to wrap up everything about a company
Starting point is 00:27:15 into like a single word and a single image. and then you would just, through advertising, you would just pound that over and over and over again, trying to get people to remember it. But that's because that's all you could do. If you open everything up and everybody can publish and everybody can debate and everybody can be present and then you have these individual influencers, you know,
Starting point is 00:27:33 with 200 million followers and all this stuff, like all of a sudden you have this completely different method of communicating with an audience that can be much more based on personality, right? So authenticity, transparency, and then personality, right? That there can actually be a human being. And then it just happens, like, because your audience always consists of people, people relate much more to other people than they relate to a corporation, right?
Starting point is 00:27:56 And so as an individual, am I going to feel a stronger emotional affinity to, like, a person who I follow or to some, like, disembodied corporation with an office tower in New York City? And if the communication bandwidth is there where I can interact with both of them, of course, I'm going to have a lot more affinity for the people. And so I think, I'm sort of a radical insight. I think the whole idea of, like, corporate brands is basically just like, Like, it just, it kind of, they're on their way out. Like, it's just, as a concept, it just doesn't make sense in the new media environment.
Starting point is 00:28:24 And then correspondingly, it's like, you know, the terms people use these days, like influence or marketing and so forth. But the, the, you're, perisocial relationship is actually really, really interesting one. You know, sort of one to many personal relationships. You know, I just think so much of how it's going to work in the future is this is based, this is based on, it's based on relationships with individuals. And obviously, you know, like, this is happening, right? Everything I'm describing is what's happening in the entertainment industry and is happening, you know, consumer brands. We've got, you know, Kim Kardashian with these, you know, with these multi-billion-dollar businesses, you know, being direct marketed online. You know, many people doing this, many politicians, you know, are now adapting to this.
Starting point is 00:28:56 And so this is happening. But I just, I still feel like it's, it's underestimated. And if we project forward 10 years, you know, most people are going to think about, most people are going to think about the people they relate to as opposed to the companies they relate to. It's very interesting how you bring that up, Mark, about that, you know, there were no kind of centralized media as and no corporate brands or corporate brands weren't the thing kind of. pre-1940s because as a kid, I always was surprised that I knew more entrepreneurs from like pre-1940 than, so I knew Thomas Edison and Henry Ford and J.P. Morgan, but who are the entrepreneurs after that? And there weren't, they were just corporations, right? Like, you didn't know actually who ran any of those things, you know, even the new companies at the time. It just, you know,
Starting point is 00:29:44 It would leak out slowly and so forth, but it wasn't really a thing. And then now, you know, we're getting all these celebrity CEOs again are kind of that idea is reemerging, which is fascinating. Yeah, that's right. People kind of can't believe it, but like before like 1930, like, number, either you, like literally you would just go to the store. Or it was just like the corner store. And then you would buy like, you know, a pan. And they weren't branded. Like, you know, maybe it was like Joe's store, but it wasn't like it wasn't like a, you.
Starting point is 00:30:14 you know, and so like the consumer brands didn't exist in the modern sense. And then to the extent you knew any, any business it was at scale, it was, you know, businesses, you know, prior to like 1930, they were almost all named after their founders, you know, kind of for that reason, right? It was the four motor company. And so, and then it was actually this, you know, there was this whole school of psychology is actually, I think it was Freud's son-in-law, if I remember correctly, Edward Bernays, who was sort of the father of public relations, you know, was the new field in the 1920s
Starting point is 00:30:39 when radio and newspapers took off and centralized kind of media started to take off. and, you know, they sort of created this whole psychological theory of, of, of, of, of, of, of abstract brands for the, for the reasons that I, I described. But, you know, by the way, which is very linked to the, although the methods also political propaganda, you know, that became, you know, kind of very successful, you know, in those days. But it's just, it, it is amazing to me as it's like, you know, there were hundreds of years before, there were hundreds of years industrialization before that and modern economic activity before that, where those things, you know, essentially didn't exist. And, and, and that's why I'm, I'm so confident in, in sort of pegging all this to
Starting point is 00:31:12 technology shifts, which is the thing that shifted, the thing that shifted how we think about companies happened as a consequence of the shifts in communication technology. And then correspondingly, if the communication technology unwinds, which is what's happening, then you're actually going to go back to the future. And yeah, and then, of course, there's more data place to support that every day. And is this something the U.S. had internalized in 2009? Is that why you called the firm in Jriesen Horowitz when every other firm was going to some big time? No. No, that was a different thing. So what happened then, so when we were raising the money, and it You have to remember, it's 2009, so it was a difficult year to raise venture capital.
Starting point is 00:31:47 In fact, I think there were only two new funds raised that year. There was SARS and KOSLA. So the biggest, the number one objection we got on the fund was, you guys are very successful entrepreneurs. What's going to stop you from going out and quitting doing this and just starting a company? And then we're going to be left holding the bag and nobody's going to be investing or watching our money. And we had no plan to do that. So we got the idea, well, one easy way around that is just name the firm after ourselves.
Starting point is 00:32:19 Then they'll know that we're going to be tied to it forever. And we did that. And then I had the idea that since nobody could spell Andres and Horowitz, we should have this A16C thing. And that was the name of the firm. And of course, immediately all the competitors said that we were egomaniacs and like narcissistically insane because we named the firm after ourselves,
Starting point is 00:32:43 which we just ignored. Like, what couldn't we do? You know, maybe you have a point. Yeah, it's kind of true. Yeah. Well, the irony is that you're still running the firm, you know, 16 years later, still as active as you were beforehand,
Starting point is 00:32:57 whereas a lot of other folks have retired. Yeah, that is also true. Yeah, no, it worked. It did tie us to the firm. Yes. Yeah. And is it as simple as, you know, you guys have had, you know, billions in distributions? You don't obviously need to be doing this anymore.
Starting point is 00:33:15 Is it as simple as, hey, this is your baby. This is where you have the most fun. What's kept you going, you know, far after you guys need to, or going at this pace? You know, look, I think that one, the firm always had a mission. So it was never like the mission of injuries and Horowitz was never like, let's make a lot of money. That wasn't, you know, we actually, both of us had. you know, enough money for a normal person, you know, to be happy in life before we started a firm. So that was never the thing. It was always, you know, could we make it much easier and better?
Starting point is 00:33:48 Like, could we make it both easier to build great companies and then with those, could we make those companies better? And then like what in the world would be that, what possible activity could either us have that would be more important than that? Because, you know, one thing Mark and I both share is that, you know, maybe the single best thing that you can do to improve the world is to build a company that, you know, delivers some product or something that improves the world. Like that is actually, that's the thing. It's actually better than has a better impact than any kind of activism or political activity or anything else is just like literally just making things and make the world better. and then, you know, kind of doing something larger than yourself where you bring a lot of people together to do that. And they all kind of grow and improve their lives through it. So, you know, what could be better than helping people do this single best human endeavor possible?
Starting point is 00:34:47 Like neither us ever thought there was anything we wanted us to do with our time that was better than that. And so there's no reason to stop because we don't have any better ideas. I would say, you know, like this is the best idea. Mark told me he got the, there's a story about the Larry Page, or I think if I understand correctly, Larry Page says, I see no better use of my money than giving it all to Elon Musk to build more tech companies. Yeah, so that it's a little bit of that. Yeah, exactly.
Starting point is 00:35:16 You know, as a philanthropic idea, for sure. One other idea I wanted to bring back to the idea of people as corporations is it's not only the CEOs, right? I see it as building a cinematic universe, right? It's the CEOs, but it's also the surrounding character. It's Chris Dixon. It's Catherine Boyle. It's Martin Casado.
Starting point is 00:35:35 It's Alex Rampel. You guys have done, you know, basically has done a phenomenal job of sort of building stars and sort of collection of people. Yeah. So, and I would say about that, you know, we're not really, you know, we're not a company. We're kind of, we're a firm. And, you know, those people who we were able to recruit in like very, like, hyper-talented people, really it's just like it's a platform for those people, you know, and we're,
Starting point is 00:36:01 two of them, but we're certainly, you know, not, you know, it's not that hierarchical in that sense as, you know, you probably observe since you've been here, like everybody is kind of doing their thing, but in a common context with a common culture and, you know, kind of a a mostly common set of investors and so forth. And so it's much more like a team. It functions more like a team than a normal kind of hierarchy, you know, in that sense. And, you know, it's great because we're able,
Starting point is 00:36:38 like if you look at the top people, you know, if you look at Martin Casado and Chris Dixon and Alex Rampel and David Ullivich and so forth, like that team is better like IQ. capability-wise, than the executive teams of meta or Google or Apple or any of them. And it's just because,
Starting point is 00:36:59 you know, in a way, they're all the boss. And they all act like the boss. And that works. But that's just kind of been like a nice outcome of the platform. Talk about how you guys developed
Starting point is 00:37:12 this idea of a platform because most firms don't have that, didn't have that. Or you guys move to the sort of almost federated model. Talk a little bit about how the evolution of the firm and how you guys figure that out or what that was like. Yeah, so it's pretty interesting.
Starting point is 00:37:27 So one of the things, so that it came in two pieces. So the first thing was when we started the firm, the history of venture capital, like if you had done like a back test on it, what you find is there were never, ever more than 15 companies in a year that would ever make it to $100 million in revenue. Because, you know, the technology, industry, that was like the general size of it. That's the amount of new technology that the world
Starting point is 00:37:56 could absorb, you know, in those days. But, you know, Mark had an idea which he wrote up in I think 2011 called Software's Eating the World. And the idea behind that was, well, every company that was going to be worth anything was going to be a technology company because software was able to just to make anything so much better. And so there were going to be not 15 companies, but 150 or 200 companies. Now, the result of 15 companies meant the optimal venture capital firm
Starting point is 00:38:30 was like six or eight people going after those 15 companies. You know, each one gets two and you've got a monopoly. So there was no need to ever be bigger. And as a result of that, the way they kind of set up their organizations were basically with something, what I'd say is called shared economics, but also shared control.
Starting point is 00:38:52 And that shared control made sense if you're only going to be eight or ten partners or six or ten partners or whatever, because if you're never getting bigger than that, then you don't have to reorganize, you don't have to make difficult management decisions that people are going to disagree with. We knew, or like we thought software was going to eat the world, and we were going to need to be way bigger, way bigger than, you know, six or 10 partners. And so we were going to have to be able to reorganize, decompose the problem, set up the
Starting point is 00:39:24 organization in a way where very smart teams of people could work independently and address the different facets of the industry that needed to be addressed. You can see it with American dynamism and infrastructure and apps and crypto and bio and so forth. And so we never had shared control. We always had centralized control. And this is something we got to. that advice from, you know, Herb Allen was super helpful in, in us understanding why that would be
Starting point is 00:39:53 important. And then, you know, also actually Mark's father-in-law, the late, amazing John Ariaga, was like just very, very clear on, like, if you're going to run something, you know, eventually there's going to be conflict. There are going to be these issues, and you've got to have control. And that's going to be important. You know, it's not important until it is important, and then it's the only thing that matters. And so, you know, with that control, we've been able to kind of reorganize, reimagined the firm, and then go address every single kind of vertical where you need, like the people who know American dynamism, like to know that in depth, everything from like rare earth minerals to rockets to these kinds of things, there's no way
Starting point is 00:40:35 those same six people are going to know everything about crypto. It's not even possible. Like these fields are too deep. And not only the technology, but also the whole entrepreneurial ecosystem. And so you need separate teams to address these separate, very large markets. Whereas before, you just needed a person on that. Like you could have a person on crypto, it would be fine, or a person on AI, it would be fine. No, no, no.
Starting point is 00:40:58 That's never going to work again. And so our ability to field a whole team against that and restructure things and say, okay, you were doing consumer internet, like that's not going to be relevant in the next 10 years and so forth. These kinds of things are very hard to do if you don't have control. And those two examples, crypto and American dynamism are also interesting because these are examples where you guys helped create the categories where I believe you're the first big venture firm to have dedicated crypto and AD practices. You're also creating a firm and you've created a firm that can be adaptive to new sort of feces, new ideas, new trends and build firms against them. Yeah, and that was something, you know, like I just say that Mark kind of identified early on. you know, one of the things he used to say when we started a farm is venture capital is a young man's game.
Starting point is 00:41:47 That's because venture capitalists, that was like one of the things he got out of the many conversations we had with him. He's like, and what he was really saying is a young person's game is, you know, the technology is always changing. And, you know, to learn and the people who know the new technology best turn out to be often new people. And so to what you see in many venture capital firms is once whatever they exploited runs out. So they did network effects and consumer internet. And they were amazing at that. But then when that stopped being the thing, they didn't get to the next thing. And we were able to get to the next.
Starting point is 00:42:26 So, you know, one, we're always watching for the next thing. But then as soon as we see it, like, and we have such brilliant people, you know, Chris Dixon saw crypto. And we're like, Chris go get it. And, you know, David Ullovich actually saw Catherine Boyle who saw American dynamism. And Catherine's like, like, this is a very important thing. And so we just go do it. And we can do it because we don't have to repurpose our old people. We can build a whole new team.
Starting point is 00:42:52 We can change the organizational structure. In an offline conversation, we were talking about how some firms look the same as they did, you know, 30 years ago from a structure perspective. and the world has changed. And, you know, firms need to change to meet those sort of the evolving, the evolving needs. And this is one example where the sort of stuff has gotten so much more complex. There's been a great complexification. And so to your point, a generalist firm could have been able to cover the entire landscape, but now no, you know, individual can have deep knowledge on all the fields, you know, bio, crypto,
Starting point is 00:43:31 all the fields we cover. And so that's one great example of how the, world has changed and that leads to a need in venture firms to change as well. Are there other examples that come to mind around how the asset class has evolved or should have evolved to meet the needs of the world changing? Well, you know, it's probably changed more since we started the firm than it did in the whole history before them. And there's so many ways. So, you know, one of the things is right, like is Mark said earlier, Angel investing, kind of that that became a, real category and then the public markets have become, I would say, very difficult and
Starting point is 00:44:12 dysfunctional to the extent that, you know, Open AI just did a giant raise in the private markets, which I don't think they could have done in the public markets. So now, like, the fact that you can raise more money in the private markets than the public markets in one shot just speaks to the expansion of the private markets to deal with the fact that the public markets are just not a great environment anymore for you know for companies and so that changes venture capital because we're the private market so our market just you know got much more enormous and then you know as you said like media change like how you go to market like like we actually were the first ones to market a firm and venture capital and you know market wedn markets did like an amazing job of you know creating
Starting point is 00:45:00 a brand for a firm that you know popped up out of nowhere And that had never happened before. But then the way you market, it changed entirely, as we just discussed. So, you know, it's evolving. The world is changing really fast just in general. And now, look, I think AI, just the way we work, the way we operate as a firm, is changing very fast due to AI and, you know, like what we can automate, you know, how big a reach, how many entrepreneurs we can know all these things are very different now.
Starting point is 00:45:28 Let's double click on the brand point because you guys in 2009, you came out and you were alluding into it earlier, but you made a lot of noise, right? You know, some people have different opinions, but everyone had an opinion. And you thought deliberately about, hey, we're going to build a brand in a new way, you guys and market and team. And you kind of crushed it. Talk about what that strategy was and what perception it was. And what was it like as you were building out the brand?
Starting point is 00:45:53 Well, look, you know, as a conversation Mark and I had, and, you know, Mark is kind of like one of the ways we understand each other. So Mark has been said, you know, like, I've been studying the history of venture capital. I've been trying to figure out why they don't do any marketing. And it turns out like the industrialist in venture capitalists, the Rothschilds, you know, J.P. Morgants and so forth, were sometimes like funding both sides of a war.
Starting point is 00:46:22 And so like any kind of publicity, like might get them killed. And that just kind of carried through to modern venture capital. so that the original rationale for not doing it was no longer really valid. And they told themselves other things like we're very humble so we don't market in this kind of nonsense, which is always a rationalization for laziness. So he said, you know, like what do you think should we market it? And, you know, like sometimes when Mark asked a question like that, and I already know what he thinks and I haven't thought about it that much, I just go,
Starting point is 00:46:54 yeah, of course, like let's market it. And that was kind of that conversation. And then, you know, he had the, he had work. with Margaret, you know, prior at Ning, and he thought super highly of her. And so what happened is, you know, he said, well, let's, you know, let's talk to market. Let's see what we can do and so forth. And, you know, we spoke to her. And this was kind of hilarious thing.
Starting point is 00:47:20 And you have to remember that this is the days when, like, magazines were a big deal, which, you know, they're not so much anymore. And so when we launched the firm, she said to us, she said, do you want to be a lot of on the cover of Fortune or Forbes. And we were like Fortune, of course. And that's exactly what happened. So that was the beginning of it. And you guys were able to recruit amazing people early on. Talk about what it was like to get one of the first big partners.
Starting point is 00:47:50 Like you've got some partners like Chris who've been here, you know, over 12 years. What was it like in terms of how you thought about recruiting the early partners and landing them? I would say that's like kind of one of the things we got wrong in our thinking. Well, we got right and we got wrong. So like one of the things we got very right was the first person we hired was Scott Cooper, who we knew like super well and I had worked with for years. And it was just like a brilliant, like really fundamental to building the firm. He's recently joined the presidential administration in the White House.
Starting point is 00:48:25 But he was just kind of invaluable and fantastic. And he didn't want to join when we started a firm because he was worried we wouldn't be able to raise the fund. So we raised the fund and then we hired him. He was employee number one. Then the second idea that we had was to kind of only founders or CEOs were allowed to be general partners. And the reason for that was, you know, a little bit what Mark said earlier, which is we were counter programming what had happened in the industry where you had a lot of people. who were smart but didn't understand founders. So we wanted everybody in the firm to understand founders.
Starting point is 00:49:05 But that profile turned out to be not perfect in many ways. But we hired some really great people. One of the early people is Peter Levine, who still works with us now and so forth. And then, you know, we kind of started. The first thing we relaxed was, okay, maybe the company, you had to found a company or BCO, but it didn't have to be that great a company.
Starting point is 00:49:26 Like if the company did okay, then that was okay. and that kind of gave us permission, which was controversial at the time to hire Chris Dixon. And one of the things Mark and I recognized early was Chris Dixon was a far better investor than either of us. And so that was like a little bit of an indication that maybe we were too rigid in our criteria. And that sort of to open it up quite a bit.
Starting point is 00:49:48 I want to go back to one of the unique insights you had was going back to Mark's software's eating the world piece was that there were going to be more winners and those winners were going to be much bigger. And there's a lot of implications that stem from that. You'll raise bigger funds. You'll have this decentralized team or sort of federated model. You'll be able to invest at higher valuations if these companies are going to get bigger and bigger.
Starting point is 00:50:18 And it feels like that was something that you guys saw relatively early that, you know, other firms or even later stage firms, you know, then sort of got on board with. Yeah, so the big thing on that is, you know, sort of this really important transformation that's happened in tech that sort of went kind of unremarked on as a pattern, although you started to see it kind of in the early 2010s, which is, you know, kind of up until roughly 2010,
Starting point is 00:50:42 like if you make a list of all the big winners in tech over the preceding 60 years, they were basically all a form of a tool company, you know, so technology tool. So, you know, they were built personal computers or microchips or operating systems or databases or routers or whatever. But fundamentally, they were, you know,
Starting point is 00:50:56 building components of a computer system. And then, you know, they would sell, you know, those tools to either consumers or businesses, and then the consumer or business would figure out what to do with the tools. And that had been the pattern. In fact, Ben will recall when you first started the firm, one of my early investing things was no verticals because you just look at that list and you're like, basically, the big winners have all been these big horizontal tech companies building general purpose tools that lots of, you know, that many other, many, many, many downstream industries pick up
Starting point is 00:51:23 and use. But, you know, the big winners. And like historically, if you had a tech startup that was focused on a vertical, it just meant that you were a small tools company. The classic example. So classic example is I am a tech company and I want to be in the boutique hospitality industry. You know, and so therefore I start a software company that makes, you know, booking software for bed and breakfast hotels. And, you know, such things existed, by the way, and they were just like very tiny companies. Fast forward to 2010, you have this like basically, and I think it's really, the internet really started to work. Broadband really kicked in, a bunch of things, bunch of things, you know, kind of really catalyzed.
Starting point is 00:51:55 And what you started to see was actually the vertical, the tech companies went into vertical started to get to be huge. And probably the first two of those, you know, that really, you know, kind of made this clear for me were, you know, Uber and Airbnb, right? Where, you know, Airbnb, okay, like, how about we not only build the booking software for the bed and breakfast, but how about, like,
Starting point is 00:52:11 we run the entire service? Like, how about we run the entire booking engine? How about we run the entire search engine? How about we do all the customers, you know, all the customer service, like the entire end-to-end experience? Or the same thing for, you know, Uber and Lyft, which is, you know, you could have a small boutique software company doing taxi dispatch software for taxi limo operators, or you can build Uber or Lyft and actually build a giant transportation network with, you know, drivers and riders and money flowing through.
Starting point is 00:52:36 And then, you know, more recently, you know, a company like Andrel, right, like, you know, our companies for many years have sold many, many, you know, parts of computers and software into the defense department and into the defense contractors. But, you know, Paul Merlucky came along and said, let's just build a defense contractor. Like, let's build a direct competitor to the big defense primes and actually, you know, build defense systems. You know, Tesla, another one, right? Like, you know, instead of building, you know, embedded, you know, whatever power management software for, you know, for cars, you know, how about just like build the car?
Starting point is 00:53:05 You know, SpaceX, we keep going. But basically, like, in the last 15 years, if you write that, if you do that same list again, you know, many or most of the big winners have been companies that have gone into a vertical. But what they've done is they've gone in and they've tried to basically eat the entire vertical, right? They've provided an end-to-end experience
Starting point is 00:53:19 with everything required to basically you know, service that vertical, often in direct competition with the incumbents in that vertical, right? So Andrew competes head to head with existing defense primes. You know, Uber competes, you know, competed head to head with taxing limo operators, Airbnb famously, competed head to head with hotels. We got extremely angry about that, right? And so, you know, Netflix competed directly with cable channels, right, and movie theaters. And so, so basically it's just like, all right, you're going to have more and more of these companies that are going to use technology to go insert into an end market and then just try to go take that end market. Those,
Starting point is 00:53:51 Those companies, good news, those companies can get to be gigantic, right? Because if you crack the mother load, like Netflix has, for example, entertainment, you know, you can be like Tesla has in cars, you can build a company that's maybe multiples in size, even of that entire industry earlier, you know, the way that existed before. The challenge is that those kinds of companies are much different than historical tech companies. Those are like full service. And so they're like much more complex, right? They have like a lot more moving parts on the operating side.
Starting point is 00:54:17 They require a different kind of discipline of the part of the management team. you know, they're going to be operating. In a lot of cases, they're operating in regulated industries, right, where there's a completely different political dynamic. And by the way, then they're going up against entrenched competitors, right, who certainly have no intention of just turning the business over. And so I think in many ways that's been the defining theme of the last 15 years in the Valley is kind of the evolution from just tools companies to, you know,
Starting point is 00:54:39 what we used to call full stack, like just do the whole thing. It's fascinating. The one knock against Andreessen that I've heard over the years is, hey, it's, you know, they think of their firm as a product, or there's like a machine, as if that's not, you know, a great thing. Like if a startup said, hey, we have no moat, you know, I'm just a smart guy.
Starting point is 00:54:58 You should, you'd say, hey, that doesn't feel super defensible. It doesn't feel like you've really built something of power. And yet sort of when people think about their venture firms, they sort of run them the opposite of ways that they want their startups to run. They really think about structural advantages, adorable advantages, or network effects or all of these things that they want, their startups to have. It's been an interesting sort of contrast there.
Starting point is 00:55:19 There's a kernel of truth in the critique. The kernel of the truth is like, look, at the end of the day, as an entrepreneur, you do, you do, like, your PC, you're the only personal touch. And the reason of that is you're going to have somebody on your board, right? Like, you're going to have somebody on your board. You're going to have somebody you call at 4 a.m.
Starting point is 00:55:32 when, like, you know, the world is caving in. And you're going to have somebody who you, you know, you're dealing with. And that's going to be, you know, and it's going to be dealing with that person in high-tension situations. You're going to want to really rely on them. You're going to want them to really know what they're talking about. you're going to want them to, you know, have throw away in the industry. And so, like, that really, that does really matter.
Starting point is 00:55:49 There is that personal relationship. And so I don't think what would work is just like trying to not provide that and instead just provide, as you said, like I'm just provide a machine. But what I think works incredibly well is to provide that and provide the machine. Well, and the team. So the thing that I would say really distinguishes kind of what we do from what we experiences, like we always had a person. And when we tried to reach through that person to the rest of the team, they were like, not my company. I'm not making that introduction. I'm not doing that.
Starting point is 00:56:23 Whereas, you know, like almost on a daily basis, you know, we'll have a company who'll run into something and they'll go, oh, wow, you know, yeah, like you should talk to Joe Morrissey. He dealt with that sales issue over here. You should talk to Ben. Like, he knows how to like deal with a crisis like this. In fact, we just had this week, you know, where, you know, one of our partners, he's like, well, this seems like a bad crisis, you know, like bringing the guy who like lived through all the crises. And, you know, that's me. And like, I can really help in that because I, I know I understand like what to do, but I understand what it feels like. And, you know, so much of, you know, that kind of thing is, is having a deep understanding. And in the firm, we understand almost every situation you would be in.
Starting point is 00:57:10 and there's somebody who's a great expert who will be there in like a flash, even if that's not the person on your board. And that, that I think is probably the thing I'm most proud of in the organization is people always get their money's worth from that perspective. This is the big industry structural transformation thing that we think has taken place. And this is one where we did predict it. We have been talking about it for a long time,
Starting point is 00:57:34 but I think it's really happened. Like it's really played out over the last 15 years and it's still playing out, which is there's this pattern, there's this pattern in industries as they mature, which is they often start with, which you would call like basically a strategy that's kind of like being in the middle. So classic example using this is like retail,
Starting point is 00:57:51 in a retail shopping where, you know, once upon a time there were these things called department stores. You know, it's just names like Ceres and JCPenney. And then you would go to the department store, and the thing about the department store is it would have a pretty good selection of products at a pretty good price. And, you know, growing up, that's, you know, that's where we would always go shopping.
Starting point is 00:58:05 You know, by the time you hit the 80s and 90s, you know, basically the department stores stopped working. and, you know, for the most part, they've gone under at this point. And what happened was they got replaced by competitors that were not in the middle, but we're on the far end of one side or the other of kind of the spectrum of strategies. That's why we call the outcome of the barbell. And so the department stores are placed by two, two sets of companies. So first of all, high scale, right?
Starting point is 00:58:26 So high scale Amazon, Walmart, right, where what you get is like an incredible selection at absolutely fantastic prices, right? But it's a very, you know, to your point, like it's a very machine experience. It's a very, it's a very machine. I mean, it's a very, you know, it's a high-scale, you go to Walmart, like, you know, the shelves up to the ceiling and the whole thing, like, you know, it's a specific thing. But, like, that, like, wiped out a huge part of the department stores. And then the other thing on the other side was basically specialist boutiques, where for the thing that you care about the most, whether that's, you know, fashion or jewelry or consumer electronics or candles or whatever, right, whatever is the thing that you actually care about the most, you go to the boutique, right? And you say, you know, I was talking about it.
Starting point is 00:59:04 You go to the Gucci store, you know, to buy your scarf. if you go to the Apple store to buy your iPhone. And what the boutique offers is a very narrow selection at a very high price, but what you're getting is a very specialized experience. And in your point, you're often getting the personal touch, right? So you go into a, I don't know, you go into like a, you know, wristwrest's boutique or something. And it's just like, it's like, wow, would you like some champagne?
Starting point is 00:59:23 You know, we're going to the whole thing. Oh, let me get you a comfortable chair. It's like, you know, here's all the espresso. You know, it's just like the whole thing. Oh, you want to stay late. Great. We'll lock the doors. You can stay for another, you know, half hour and browse through everything.
Starting point is 00:59:32 You know, you get this very, you know, kind of personal touch, you know, personal touch kind of experience. And what happened was the department stores just died because they didn't offer either one. They didn't offer, they didn't offer scale and they didn't offer the boutique personal touch experience. And what you find, if you look at the history of business is basically as industries professionalized and mature, many of them go through this. And so what I'm describing also happened in advertising agencies. By the way, this was a big theme of the TV show Mad Men because they were right in the middle of it. You know, remember there's a certain point in the show where they sell, you know, they're running. this kind of mid-sized ad agency, and then they actually sell it to McCann, which was one of the big scale players.
Starting point is 01:00:07 And then they got frustrated there because it was just a big machine. And so then they went and started their own boutique. And so it was kind of kind of during that, during that era. And then it said ad agencies, happened with Hollywood talent agencies. Michael Ovidz catalyzed this when he was in Hollywood in the 70s and 80s. It happened in the financial, it happened in banks. It happened in investment banking, commercial banking. It happened in hedge funds. It happened in private equity. So we just like seen this pattern that this happens over and over again. it hadn't happened in venture capital. And so when we entered the field, basically what we observed was,
Starting point is 01:00:37 you just basically have, they're all department stores. And the venture capital version of the department story is six to eight general partners with a, you know, 300, 400, $400 million fund, you know, doing the sushi boat strategy, right? Like sitting and waiting, you know, not, you know, by the way, you know, no website, right? Because like, oh, you know, God forbid that you like, you know, ever tell your story anybody or make yourself visible.
Starting point is 01:00:58 And then you just, you basically sit on Sandhill Road and you basically wait for the deals to come through. And then, you know, it had run that way for a long time. And so it was kind of this cartel, self-referential thing. And so it just kind of ran that way. And basically our bet when we went for scale and we went to build out the kind of teams that been described and sort of this machine that results from it,
Starting point is 01:01:17 you know, the bet was basically the death of the middle was going to happen, the barbell was going to play out. And so there was going to be an opportunity for a handful of firms to go for high scale. But only a handful, right? Because what you get on the other side of this is you don't get 50 at a lot. high scale. You get, you know, you get a bunch, but like it's not that many. It's a scale
Starting point is 01:01:35 economics kick in. And then what would happen on the other side is the rise of the seed investor and the seed investor. And of course, we had been part of that, right? We had been on that side of the barbell. And this was part of the transformation that had happened in venture, which is the original venture firms were like the original venture firms in the 50, 60, 70s, they were first money in, right? They were the first check, right? A company like Intel or Apple. By the time the 80s and 90s rolled around, they were no longer the first money in. They were off in the second or third check after the angels and the seed investors. And so, you know, we put two and two together and said, aha, what's going to happen is this field is going to bifurcate,
Starting point is 01:02:07 just like every other field. We're going to go for scale. And then we're going to encourage the seed investors. And I've been, you know, we've been very actively trying to invest in seed investors and trying to help them. And we're, you know, I was trying to be very friendly with them. And then basically the question, the structural question is posed is, what's the point of having a department store, right? Of having a, having a sort of mid-sized firm. And the answer is, by the way, there's no point. Like, for the same reason, there's no point to department store. there's no point to the mid-sized firm for the reason that Ben described, which is that, you know, they don't have any,
Starting point is 01:02:33 they're not the first money in. They're not at scale and they don't have any depth. And so at the end of the day, there's really fundamentally no value proposition to the thing if you have access to seed investors on the one side and the scale platforms on the other side. And I would say, you know, 10 or 15 years ago, we would say this and everybody would get mad, you know, because it sounds like we're predicting everybody's going to die. But like sitting here today, you know, this has really played out. And many of many of the mid-sized firms that I grew up with,
Starting point is 01:02:58 are gone. And in some cases, they're gone because they failed. But in a lot of cases, they're actually gone because they succeeded. You know, the partners made a lot of money. And then at some point, just the rationale for being in business started to fade away. And, you know, maybe they had to start working a little bit harder and that wasn't fun. And so they just kind of folded up shop. And then the LPs correspondingly have adapted to this. And so if you talk to the LPs now, increasingly, they are focusing capital either on the scale platforms or they're focusing capital into, you know, this very specific kind of early stage seed angel strategy. And they're interest in funding the department of store equivalent of the VCs, you know, has really faded.
Starting point is 01:03:31 Anyway, so I view this is like, like, this is one of those things. Like, this is a very natural evolution. This was destined to happen. It'll happen in many other industries in the future. You know, it's a somewhat, you know, it's a process that plays out in response to customer demand, right? Because the customers of venture firms are the entrepreneurs in the one hand and the LPs in the other hand. And if they both want this change to happen, then it's going to happen. And so it's a very natural process. But, you know, it's disconcerting to be on the wrong side of this. And it's an adaptation. process for people to kind of figure out this is happening. But I think now it's pretty clear.
Starting point is 01:04:02 That's well said. And that's that's one example of how the asset class has evolved. Let's get into other ones. I mean, one is that there's been, you know, as your thesis has played true, software has eaten the world, has been more demand on the LP side to get into into the space. Much more money has flooded into the space, which means more venture capital firms, which means more competition. And of course, when supply is constrained, people are sort of competing on the axis of almost, you know, VCs have the power and founders are clamoring to get into, to be on the conveyor belt and they're, you know, pretending not to care by, you know, not having websites. But when there's an explosion of venture firms, now founders are the ones
Starting point is 01:04:41 picking. And VC firms, you know, have to change their tune. You guys were early on to it. But it also changes sort of the, the types of LPs that want to be involved. And then, yeah, talk more about how the asset class has evolved from more capital flooding into the space. or any other changes that emerged from it. Yeah, so look, there's a couple of things. So first of all, we used to have this discussion with our friend Andy Rocklough, you know, who's kind of the master of venture and, you know,
Starting point is 01:05:06 as I said, co-founder benchmark and then actually taught venture later at Stanford. And very analytical on the topic. Yeah, extremely thoughtful. And, you know, because we have this discussion with him of like, wow, you know, money comes in and out of it. You know, money comes whipping in and out of venture. And these dynamics really change of who's,
Starting point is 01:05:20 as they say in Seinfeld, who has hand, you know, in every relationship, somebody has hand, you know, the upper hand. And is it the founders or they, the or the VCs. We said, you know, how should we think about this? And Andy made this very interesting observation. He said, basically, for as long as he had been in the field, I think, you know, going back
Starting point is 01:05:35 in our decades, you know, he said basically venture has always been overfunded as an asset class. There's really never been a time in which venture has been underfunded, maybe a little bit in the extreme crises, like, you know, maybe 2009 as an example, but like generally venture is overfunded. He said his rough, I think he said at the time, his rough back of the envelope math is sort of roughly always overfunded by like a factor of four, you know, I think think you, you know, maybe these days it's like a factor of 40 or 400 or something.
Starting point is 01:06:01 You know, the Sequoia guys are always famous for complaining. Anytime Sequoia's guys give an interview, they always talk about how there's just like way too much money and venture, as they're always trying to talk to L. I was trying to discourage people from doing any venture, yeah. Yeah, they're trying to talk to LPs into stopping the money flow, but because, you know, more competition. But, but, but this question is, okay, why is it always overfunded? And, and, and he said basically it's, it's a consequence of the, you think about
Starting point is 01:06:22 the broader financial landscape. So, you know, what are LPs? LPs are large pools of institutional capital being invested for many reasons, but a lot of it ultimately is retirement funds. Like the ultimate theme is one form or another, their retirement funds. So they're large pools of capital that need to generate a certain level of return over the next 50 or hundred years to be able to pay for, you know, people's retirement. And, you know, in order to do that, they need to hit a certain level of return. And, you know, the nature of the modern economy is, you know, population decline. You have a lot more older people, a lot fewer younger people. And so you have this
Starting point is 01:06:54 sort of fundamental issue, which is like how as a steward of institutional capital, how do you generate the long-term returns that you need in an environment in which actually that's actually not so easy? And so, you know, you invest in stocks and bonds and whatever. And, you know, you often still can't get the math to pencil out. You're not going to hit your return target. And then there's this asset class called venture capital where, you know, sometimes it works and sometimes it doesn't, but when it works, it blows the lights out, right? Like when venture capital works, it's the top performing asset class. And, you know, there are individual venture capital funds that have been, you know, just absolutely spectacular, you know, returns that have driven a lot of the return
Starting point is 01:07:26 for an entire institutional portfolio. And so there's this, you know, and the way I describe it is, you know, venture capital is never the majority of the money in an institutional pool, but it's like the, you know, it's like the cherry on the top of the Sunday. It's the thing that, you know, it's the small position of the thing, but if it works, it might make the entire formula work. And then you just look at like how many pools of capital are there like that out there, right? How many, how many LPs are there out there like that? And the answer is there's a lot. And then basically what happens is all the LPs basically read the Swenson book, which describes how to run, you know, these institutional capital pools,
Starting point is 01:07:59 which is a great book. And they basically say, oh, Dave Swenson says you put, you know, X percent of venture capital. And, you know, but Dave Swenson says the key to it is you only invest in the top venture capital firms. Because venture capital is a feast or famine business and you only want to be in the top 10 percentile firms. And then basically what they do is they go out and they talk to, you know, the firms. And then they find out they basically can't get into most of the firms they want to invest in. And then they sort of develop a theory of how these other firms are actually in the top ten. And you can actually pick that up because if you ask LPs who are their top, who do they think are the top 10% firms?
Starting point is 01:08:29 They often have very different lists. And I, you know, and part of it is a function of maybe they've sniffed something out. And a part of it is just because like they have to allocate the money. And so they kind of convince themselves that there are sort of undiscovered gems out there. And so as a result, they just, they just, they overfund the asset class. And then that, you know, so it's like too many LPs leads, right, too many LPs managing too much money, leads to too many VCs, leads to too many startups getting funded, which leads. the phenomenon that founders experience, which is I start a company,
Starting point is 01:08:56 and not only do I have three venture back competitors, I often have 30, right? And it's like, you know, basically like, what the hell? And so anyway, so Andy's point is like, look, like that's just an artifact of the world. Like, we are the tail on a much larger dog, and the dog is large-scale institutional money flows. Like venture is a rounding error in the global financial system,
Starting point is 01:09:16 but it's one that's just prone to be overfunded for very long periods of time. And what Andy said was, until there's a new approach to investing these large pools of capital. Like basically this, we should basically assume that this process persists over a long period of time. So I think it just is the case. You know,
Starting point is 01:09:31 would it be better if the amount of money was kind of, you know, equalized to what it should be relative to the opportunity set? I mean, you know, for people like us, yes, that would be better. For the world, it would be worse, yeah. I was going to say, yeah. So that's the other thing. It's like if you had less money in the space, would you, would entrepreneurs be able to take as many swings?
Starting point is 01:09:47 No. Right? And, you know, look, you know, should I have the air, arrogance to sit here and say that we're going to invest in all the great companies and that we're not going to say no to people who we ought to be funding and obviously we you know we make that mistake all the time and so like if you're going to have an asset class that is to be overfunded like this probably is the one to overfund right in other words that there's a societal surplus of all of the swings that entrepreneurs get to take that they wouldn't get to take if the sector wasn't overfunded
Starting point is 01:10:10 and some of those work right like and you have founders come out of nowhere and they raise money from no name vCs and like they end up building huge successful companies and so I on a societal basis I I actually think it's like it's like a form of dysfunction that maybe is not optimal financially, but like on a societal basis, I think it's probably not positive. Yeah, I mean, like what could be better in terms of wasting money than taking money from people who have too much and giving it to people who want to change the world and make it a better place? I mean, it seems like a, you know, and are building a company to do so like that. But that seems like a pretty good idea.
Starting point is 01:10:46 You know, the other thing I'd add to that is venture capital is a little bit, unique, you know, from our point of view in that it's the only asset class where the top managers tend to persist for decades. So like if you look at stocks or bonds or anything else, like the pickers, because they're all, you know, kind of picking against the same thing and they all have equal rights to invest in everything, it tends to like there's some amount of randomness or whatever that puts somebody on top and then they're no longer on top the next decade and so forth. But in venture capital, the top firms often remain the top firms for a very, very long time. And the reason is the best entrepreneurs will only take money from the best venture
Starting point is 01:11:28 capital firms. And so, you know, if this was the NFL draft, which I think is today, you know, we'd have the number one draft pick every single year, despite already kind of having the best team. And so that doesn't matter if there's too much money. If you always get to pick first, you still can win very consistently, and that's sort of what happens. So it's a great system from our perspective. Good for the world, good for us. We love it.
Starting point is 01:11:54 Yeah. Some people will say things like, oh, there's too many founders or too many people want to be founders as if it's like already an efficient market and there aren't people out there in the world, whom. Yeah, it's the best thing in the world
Starting point is 01:12:08 for people to try. You know, to do something larger than yourself and try and make the world a better place. and, you know, get people along the ride with you and everybody's got a great purpose and they're all working hard. And like, and maybe there's a great outcome for them in the world.
Starting point is 01:12:24 Like, why wouldn't you want to fund as much of that as you can? Like, it's, I never understood the argument that there's too much venture capital. That's crazy. It can never be too much. When did you guys realize that you were entering the pan-th? Like, when did you realize, hey, this is really working? Like, what was sort of the biggest inflection point
Starting point is 01:12:42 in A-Sign's history of? of when you guys felt you reached that point. So, like, very early on, we realized we could win what we thought were very high quality A rounds from, like, or from top tier VCs. And as soon as we could do that, we were like, oh, we could be top tier. We could definitely be top tier.
Starting point is 01:13:08 We thought, you know, in our original, like, kind of world domination plan, we thought, you know, that was going to take 10 years or whatever, but it happened really early on, like right in Fund 1. And by the time we got to Fund 3, it was in full effect. So it just happened much faster. And we're in a whole other world now than we were then. But we knew it was, like as soon as we could be, you know,
Starting point is 01:13:34 in those days, Kleiner or benchmarker Sequoia in a deal, that was a very clear indication that we could be top tier. Yeah, and look, I think it was basically, you know, this is sort of the advice I'd get people not how to compete in venture, but how to compete in other spaces that are potentially right for transformation is really, it's two things we're able to do. I think it's two things. One is just like having been a customer, you just have a perspective on these things. And so there is a real knowledge advantage if you've been a customer or something to really understanding the shortfalls and the opportunities. So that's one lens. But you actually have, you know, you have to do that. Like I think that's a hell of a hard lesson that we had to learn. that way. It was. Filling a company is a lot of knowledge gathering. Yes, 15 years, 15 years of pain of glory. And then, yeah, look, the other thing is, you know, we've been talking about this
Starting point is 01:14:22 the whole discussion, but the other thing is, you know, to take a structural view of the industry, right, which is like, you know, as we talked about before, but like, these industries are not, the structures are not permanent and timeless. Like, you know, just because things work a certain way today doesn't mean that's how they've always worked. In fact, almost certainly that's not the case. Almost certainly the structure of any industry has changed a lot over time at certain stats have changed. And then therefore, the structure of whatever industry is today is not going to be
Starting point is 01:14:45 the same structure it's going to have in 10 or 20 or 30 years. But incumbents, especially incumbents that no longer have their founders, incumbents are highly likely to underestimate the amount of structural change and they're going to have a hard time adapting to it. And so if you adopt a structural approach, you can kind of get a, you know, and get a little bit of a crystal ball, you know, and then combine that with the customer mindset, you can kind of look at a little bit of crystal ball and say, okay, well, I'm going to, you know, it's going to kind of change this way. And then it's the, it's the gap between the way that the incumbents are currently doing it. and the future way that it ought to work.
Starting point is 01:15:13 I mean, that's where you have the insertion opportunity. There's a related quote to this, Mark, in a New Yorker profile on you many years ago, there's this quote that says, Mark Andreessen sometimes wonders if Naval Ravikant is onto something, the founder of Angelus. He's asked Horowitz, what if we're the most evolved dinosaur
Starting point is 01:15:31 and Naval is a bird? So this was in the Benelry call. This is in the heyday of Angelist. That was a good question. Yes. So first of all, it's a question is totally ruined because we now know that the dinosaurs were birds. So that, you know, T-Rex is running around with feathers and a beak, which my, you know, my 12-year-old self is deeply disappointed by, you know, it's a Jurassic Park. You know, the next Jurassic Park reboot is going to be very sad and depressing.
Starting point is 01:15:55 But, you know, the specific point when I, you know, when I said that, whatever, a decade ago, Ben will recall it was when Angelist was kind of, you know, right in the, you know, basically Angelist was aspiring to basically structurally replace venture the way that we were doing it by having it be, you know, essentially a marketplace. an online marketplace approach. And so that, you know, that was one, you know, kind of disruptive opportunity. And, you know, by the way, crowdfunding, you know, there's a bunch of these and, you know, there are cases
Starting point is 01:16:17 where that's worked really well. So that, that's one form of structural change. The other form of structural change, of course, is like, okay, you know, AI, you know, which I wasn't, didn't have in mind a decade ago of applying to venture, but, you know, today you certainly ask that question, which was like, all right, smart guys.
Starting point is 01:16:31 Like, you know, you're sitting around and like doing all this analysis and you have all these smart people and they're doing all this modeling and all this, you know, research and so forth. and like, you know, why, you know, why can't you just plug this into, you know, Klaude or Shagupit or Gemini and have it tell you what to invest in? And so that, you know, I would say that's, that's the new version of the question.
Starting point is 01:16:46 Yeah. There was also crypto a few years ago or, you know, ICOs or COs. Oh, yeah, ICOs. Is that going to be disrupted? I mean, look, had ICOs stayed legal? I mean, ICOs were outlawed, basically, but had ICOs stayed legal, you know, then you have, right, you're off to, you have just a totally different, you know, kind of way things happened.
Starting point is 01:17:01 By the way, it turns out to Ben's point, the main thing that actually happened was the private market grew up. And so, so what actually happened actually happened, actually, I, you know, play to the benefit of ECs just through happenstance, I think, in this particular case, which is at firms like ours raise much larger growth funds and, you know, play an even bigger and important role. But, like, there's absolutely no guarantee in life that the next structural change like that will work on our behalf. And so, you know, Ben will tell you, I'm always a little bit of an obsessive paranoid about, you know, what happens when the next change happens. Yeah, yeah, no, it's interesting.
Starting point is 01:17:27 And, you know, I would just say AI, like, I think it might eventually definitely be kind of better at us than picking. But I would just say the great thing about venture capital is picking is a small part of the game. It's who gets to pick is as important. And, you know, how much of that can be done with AI. And I think so much of what a venture capital firm is, what are its relationships with the world? And, you know, do you get that benefit? Because to build a company, you just end up needing a lot of relationships. and that's what I say like 90% of the activity at the firm is.
Starting point is 01:18:15 And then Eric, you may know, Tyler Cohen has talked about there, you know, there is this long-term pattern that actually goes back literally, you know, 400, 500 years of, I think what he calls project selectors, project pickers. You know, so like, you know, the story's been told many times, but the origin of the concept of carrier carried interest in the venture capital, private equity world is kind of how we get paid. It actually, you know, goes all the way back 400 years ago to the world. whaling industry.
Starting point is 01:18:40 How much whale can you carry? How much whale can you carry? And so what would happen is literally you would have these project pickers. You would have basically angel investors in whaling during expeditions. And a whaling expedition like in Moby Dick, it's like literally a ship and the captain and a crew and they're going to like go on. They're going to try to like go get a whale and bring it back. Right.
Starting point is 01:18:57 And like, you know, it's like, I don't know, in the early days of whaling, it was like two thirds of the time the ship comes back. You know, the other third of the time the ship doesn't come back. Right. So like, you know, high risk, I return. You know, occupation. and then so basically there were these guys who were the money, you know, the capital suppliers,
Starting point is 01:19:11 and they would sit in these coffee houses or pubs, and then the captains would come in and pitch. And they pitched the project. And they'd say, I'm going to buy this ship and I'm going to go to this spot. And this is me and my approach. And here's how I'm going to staff my crew. And then the project pickers, you know, the financiers had to decide whether to back the captain. And then if they did, they give the captain the money to go buy the ship and hire the crew.
Starting point is 01:19:31 And then if the ship, you know, didn't come back, they'd lose all their money. If the ship came back with a whale, the carry. the carried interest was the 20% of the whale that the captain and the crew got to keep. And that was how they got paid. Right. And so, but but but like venture capital. Like literally they're doing venture capital. I mean, you know, Queen Isabella did venture capital when she financed, you know, Christopher Columbus, right?
Starting point is 01:19:51 Exact same thing. You know, actually the Puritan founders of America. By the way, that paid off like massively. It had some negative consequences or side effects, but it was a good investment. It was a very good venture bet. You know, the original colonists, the original Puritan colonists of, you know, of Flemouth Rock, you know, they actually spent 20 years, actually exiled, and the Netherlands, actually essentially raising venture capital, raising money to be able to buy land and come to the
Starting point is 01:20:14 U.S. and create the new colonies. And so, so you, and then, you know, we're also describing the process of, you know, what are called A&R people at record labels who pick new, new music. We're also describing book publishers, you know, who pick new, you know, new novelists. We're also describing movie studio executives who decide what movies get made, right? And so, you know, basically what Tyler says, I think, is basically like any time you have, part of the economy in which you have an entrepreneur going on a high risk, high return endeavor where it is far from clear what's going to work. And there are many more aspirants to do that than there is money to fund them.
Starting point is 01:20:46 And it's this like multifaceted, you know, kind of skill set that's required to do it. And, you know, and then by the way, funding them to Ben's point, you're not just funding them, like you have to then actually work with them to help them actually execute the entire project. Like that's, that's art. Like that's not science. That's art. Like we would, we would like it to be science, but like it's art. And by the way, how do we know that it's a high?
Starting point is 01:21:06 how do we know that it's art and not science? Every great venture capitalists in the last 70 years has missed most of the great companies of his generation. Right. So the great VCs have a success, you know, record of getting, I don't know, two out of ten or something of the great companies of the decade. Right.
Starting point is 01:21:22 And so like if, like, and that was true of all these guys, all the legends, you know, that I mentioned earlier. And so, you know, if it was a science, you could eventually have somebody who just like dials it in and gets eight out of ten. But in the real world, it's not like that. you know, it's just, it's, you're in the fluke business. And so there's, there's this, and there's a, there's an intangibility to it. There's a taste aspect, the human relationship aspect, the psychology.
Starting point is 01:21:44 By the way, a lot of it is psychological analysis, like, who are these people? How do they react under pressure? How do you keep them from falling apart? How do you, you know, how do you keep them going crazy? How do you keep from going crazy yourself? You know, you end up being a psychologist half the time. And so, like, it is possible. I don't want to be definitive, but like, it's possible that that is quite literally timeless.
Starting point is 01:22:03 And when, you know, when the AI is are doing everything, else like that may be one of the last remaining fields that people are still doing. Yeah, ever since I co-founded a firm in 2016, but I'm sure before that too, people were talking about how software was going to disrupt venture completely in whether it was crypto or there's AI or something else. Well, the asset class has changed in a bunch of the ways that we described. It hasn't been sort of fundamentally disrupted in the same way that we think about disruptive innovation or the Clayton Christensen term perhaps as in other industry.
Starting point is 01:22:30 Yeah, not yet. Yeah. But it could, but again, you know, again, like it could. It could. But, you know, we could be doing it a podcast and, you know, next year and be like, oh, oh, hell. Well, this is great to get some of the history of the firm in the future episodes. We'll talk about where we're going among other topics that Ben and Mark show is back. Mark, Ben, thanks so much.
Starting point is 01:22:51 Yes. Okay, thank you. Yep, and welcome, welcome Eric. Yeah, welcome Eric.

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