The a16z Show - Network Effects, Moats, & the Business of web3
Episode Date: June 23, 2023with @skominers @smc90In this deep dive and tour through key business concepts, from theory to practice, we cover the topics of strategy, competitive advantage, network effects, moats, and more -- c...overing both both basic foundations, as well as the tricky nuances in a new world of open source, including web3. In the first half of this discussion, we cover foundational business concepts and questions -- such as the nature of competition, and how it *really* changes in web3; as well as how network effects really work -- and then, in the second half (in case you want to skip ahead), we cover mindsets and general guidance for builders…Our expert guest -- in conversation with editor in chief and host Sonal Chokshi -- is a16z crypto research partner Scott Duke Kominers, who is also a professor at Harvard Business School; a faculty affiliate in Harvard’s Department of Economics; and advises several companies on marketplace development, incentive design, and more; as well as advises, and is directly involved, in several NFT communities. Scott also teaches on these topics -- both at Harvard and also recently at our Crypto Startup School -- so be sure to subscribe to our playlist for those talks on the a16z crypto YouTube channel to get the latest updates as we release more videos from the 2023 cohort. Listen to web3 with a16z: https://web3-with-a16z.simplecast.com/related links // see also:Can web3 bring back competition to digital platforms? by Christian Catalini and Scott Duke KominersWhy build in web3 by Jad Esber and Scott Duke KominersVampire attacks: A theory (and thread) on 'blood sucking' platform competition by John William Hatfield and Scott Duke KominersWhy NFT creators are going cc0 by Flashrekt and Scott Duke KominersDecentralized identity: Your reputation travels with you by Scott Duke Kominers and Jad EsberIncreasing returns and the new world of business (1996) by W. Brian ArthurNetwork effects, origin Stories, and the evolution of tech with W. Brian Arthur, Marc Andreeessen, and Sonal ChokshiThe five competitive forces that shape strategy (2008 reformulation of 1979 paper) by Michael PorterStrategies for two-sided markets (2006) by Tom Eisenmann, Geoffrey Parker, and Marshall Van Alstyne Stay Updated: Find a16z on Twitter: https://twitter.com/a16zFind a16z on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/a16zSubscribe on your favorite podcast app: https://a16z.simplecast.com/Follow our host: https://twitter.com/stephsmithioPlease note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures. Stay Updated:Find a16z on YouTube: YouTubeFind a16z on XFind a16z on LinkedInListen to the a16z Show on SpotifyListen to the a16z Show on Apple PodcastsFollow our host: https://twitter.com/eriktorenberg Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures. Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.
Transcript
Discussion (0)
How strong is the network effect?
How much pull do users sort of exert on each other?
Does the platform sort of achieve over time?
There's a much greater threat in Web3
that like your entire network could just get like moved to a competitor,
could even be like a copy.
There's an opportunity when convert your users into people
who have a true preference for your platform.
They actually want to use your platform over competitors.
The ideal of Web3 is not that you sort of have these platforms
that have locked in a bunch of users and are just extracting value from them.
To the contrary, you have engaged users who are sort of in a real sense,
like part of the platform.
In Web 1, you were the consumer.
In Web 2, you were the product.
And in Web 3, you are the brand.
Hey, A16C podcast listeners.
This is staff.
But today, we actually have a very special treat,
which is longtime showrunner, So Don't Choxi, returns for this episode.
And she is joined by Scott Commoners.
And together, they just...
discuss a subject very near and dear to A16C, network effects.
They discuss so much, including the misconceptions when it comes to network effects,
how to effectively kickstart them and bring in the right types of users early,
and also how competitive forces change with Web 3.
For example, protocols can be immediately forked and users can exit more easily.
So how do you build something that's really sticky?
Scott makes a wonderful point on developing and new lens on this.
loyalty. So make sure to listen in for that. And even though this focuses on Web3, in the AI era,
understanding competitive forces and how to build a real moat is as important as ever.
All right, I hope you enjoy this episode from our sister podcast, Web3 with A16Z. And if you want to
hear more from Sonal and other A16C crypto team members just like Scott, make sure to go subscribe
to Web3 with A16C wherever you get your podcasts. Oh, and I have to tell you this.
We have an amazing episode dropping next week.
Without giving too much away, I got to try a technology that I have been waiting for
for no joke, no exaggeration over a decade.
You know, I've been at 816Z for now over a year, and honestly, this was one of my favorite
experiences yet.
So I hope you'll tune in.
And if you really cannot wait until then, you can head over to our YouTube channel to see
a teaser that we just released.
All right, Sonal, Scott, take it away.
Welcome to Web 3 with A6 and Z, our show about building the next generation of your internet.
I'm your host, Donald Chuxi, and while this show is for anyone working on or interested in blockchains in crypto,
whether entrepreneur or creator or policymaker, today's all new episode is also relevant to all kinds of technology businesses.
Because it's a deep dive on the business strategy behind competitive advantage, network effects, moats, and more.
covering both basic foundations, as well as the tricky nuances in a new world of open source,
including Web 3.
As a reminder, none of the following is investment, business, legal, or tax advice.
Please see A6Cency.com slash disclosures for more important information, including a link to a list of our investments.
Our expert guest today is A6Cryptor Research Partner Scott Komeners,
who is also a professor at Harvard Business School, a faculty affiliate in Harvard's Department
of Economics, and advises several companies on marketplace development incentive to
and more, as well as advises and is directly involved in several NFT communities.
Scott teaches on these topics, both at Harvard and also recently at our crypto startup school,
so be sure to subscribe to our playlist for those talks on YouTube under A6 and Z Crypto to get updates as we release more videos.
In the first half of this discussion, we cover foundational business concepts and questions,
such as the nature of competition and how it really changes in Web3,
as well as how network effects really work.
And then in the second half, in case you want to skip ahead, we cover mindsets and general guidance for builders.
So, Scott, the focus of this episode is all about business strategy for Web3.
Now, that is a meaty topic and that's a lot to cover.
But this episode is really meant to be both for existing business leaders seeking to understand new strategies and where the future is going,
as well as people who are already in Web 3 and trying to figure things out.
to start things off, like what would you give us as a framing mindset for how to think about
business strategy for Web 3? Absolutely. So almost every Web 3 business is an example of a platform.
And I use a very broad general definition of platforms. So a platform isn't just, you know, a two-sided
marketplace where there are sellers on one-sided buyers on the other and the platform is mediating
between them. Rather, platforms are any context in which, you know, a business is engaged in
enabling people to interact with each other, but it's characterized by network effects. The more people
or users on the platform, the more powerful and higher quality of the average interaction is.
And I should emphasize that platforms are not a novel business model to the internet. Credit cards are
platforms. The more people have a credit card, the more firms want to use it, and vice versa, the more
firms will accept a credit card, the more people want to use it. And it vary broadly. Bitcoin is a
platform. It's a network for sending value for one person or entity to another.
An NFT project like the Borde ABIott Club is a platform, right? That's a community, right?
It's a brand as a platform, a way to connect people with a similar aesthetic and shared interests
and enthusiasm with each other. And it has network effect. The more awesome people are in an
NFT community, the more valuable it is to be in that community. So all of these businesses,
virtually all of them are in fact platforms.
And a lot of classical platforms have managed network effects by creating walled gardens.
But Web3 is about doing the opposite.
Web3 platforms operate on blockchains, which are public, and according to technology standards,
which are interoperable.
So if you create content on your platform, it can typically be seen on the blockchain by anyone
and then, you know, transferred or utilized or referenced by other platforms.
Yeah, it is the opposite of a world.
wild garden. It is a public garden. Exactly. It's actually like trying to be as open as possible.
Wow. I don't think that I've ever heard that term in reference there, but we should totally use it.
The opposite of a walled garden is a public garden. Well, it's dangerous, though, because it has illusions
to like the whole history and origin of the tragedy of commons work back in the day in Central Park.
So we can get into some weedy areas if we go too far down the analogy. But it's for the purpose
of just like, you know, what we're trying to say here, which is great. Cool. And then it's not a
wild garden. Yep. I mean, this necessitates a very different thinking about what
what your platform is and how it's going to work, right?
You typically can't maintain network effects by locking in users
if most of your platform data is stored publicly
and the users have control over their data assets
and can just take them from one platform to another.
And so on one hand, almost every Web3 business
is fundamentally building a platform.
On the other hand, we're in an environment
where maintaining platform dominance has gotten much harder.
And so you have to think very,
carefully about what your strategy for value creation is, and then also how you manage value capture.
How do you actually get value out of your business in the end?
Great. So before we dive into specific nuances of network effects in crypto, and I do want to
go into that for sure. I also want to talk about some other classic models and contrast them
to Web 3. So one great example is a classic. I mean, you know, you're a professor at Harvard
Business School. Like of all people, you should know all about, you know, Michael Porter's Five Forces.
But that is a common another mental model that comes up often in thinking about strategy in any business, actually.
Can you walk us through what that is?
Because what I want to do is set up a lot of the frameworks that are kind of common foundational thinking and how they contrasts in Web 2 and Web 3.
And then we can dive into others more deeply.
Yeah.
So Michael Porter's Five Forces is one of the most influential business frameworks.
A condensed way of thinking about how do you.
you find and maintain a competitive advantage? And competitive advantage is a term that gets thrown
around casually a lot. People say, like, oh, this is my competitive advantage. My business does this.
But first, let's just be really clear about what it means. In Porter's view of the world,
competitive advantage is a distinction of your firm relative to others. And it's measured in terms
of value creation. Competitive advantage isn't like saying, I'm, you know, I'm really good at software
engineering. That's my, it's my competitive advantage. Because the question isn't like, are you good at this
thing? But rather, how does it map into the output? Right. The value creation. The value creation.
Like are, like, does the fact that you are good at software engineering enable your firm to deliver a
superior product or a lower cost product or both? Have you expanded the value that is
created by your business operation. And, you know, it's about performance, right? It's not like just
are you good at this thing, but rather, how does that affect your performance and enable you to
outperform your competitors in some way? Right. And secondarily, it's key that it's relative.
It's all relative to competitors, right? Competitive advantage is not absolute. It depends on
who else is in the market, who is competing with you and what their relative expertise and abilities are.
Which means it could change depending on which categories you're stacking up which competitors against
or if you're a business that has multiple categories or it can change obviously as a market changes,
et cetera. So that makes a lot of sense. And then what are the nuances when it comes to thinking about
a model like Porter's Five Forces and, you know, sources of competitive advantage and where
platforms come in to Web3? Great question. Okay. So from competitive advantage, what are the five forces?
So the five forces shape competition in that industry and affect how easy it is to attain competitive advantage.
So first of all, there's just like general competition among your rivals, right?
So there's sort of the static state of like what are all the businesses building similar products, competing for the same users, sort of how strong is that rivalry?
How intense is it? And what are those firms?
Oh, and I should say, this is usually represented with a circle in the center, which is competition among current rivals.
and then the other four forces are usually oriented around it,
like a compass rose, I guess, northeast, southwest.
You get the idea.
So the circle in the center is the current competitive landscape.
And then on one side of that is new entrance.
So if this is a particularly valuable market,
or if someone invents a new technology that enables them to enter,
they might show up and become a new competitor.
The new entrance is west and east is substitute products.
So not someone who does what you do, but someone who does something that the customers want just sort of as a replacement.
So think about this with the social media wars.
One ongoing threat to the competitive advantage of any social media company is the possibility,
not that somebody new will come and compete with them directly.
It's proven in many contexts to be very hard to compete with the dominant social media platform
with a given function because the network effects are so strong, but new functions evolve.
competing for the usage share of social media.
Yeah. To me, the best example of this is Facebook as a social network versus Instagram.
Yeah.
It's a substitute and they could see people engaging actively there in a very different way.
Exactly.
Another example might be like cable and you could have new entrance in the form of more cable providers.
But then you have a threat of a substitute like on demand.
On demand streaming. Perfect. Beautiful illustrations.
So that's west and east. So then north and south, think about like a supply chain.
So above, there's the bargaining power of your suppliers, and below there's the bargaining power
of your customers.
And so if something happens that gives the customers more bargaining power, could be a change
in law, could be like a change in the demand structure, like maybe the customer's bargaining
power could go down, right?
If they, you know, discover they really, like, absolutely need it.
Something that was previously social becomes a critical work function.
The other forces that shape competition are these relative levels of bargaining power, right?
It's like how well can you bargain relative to your suppliers to whom you're paying
and your customers who are paying you?
Right.
So those are the five forces.
And they're called forces because each of these forces exert pressure onto that industry.
Yes, exactly.
And then how does that apply to Web 3?
So blockchain-based platforms store their data in public, which means that a new platform
can leverage a lot of that data.
By the way, this is an oversimplification, right?
A lot of platforms store some of their data in public and some of it in
private, but a lot of their critical information, right? User identity, reputation, you know,
the stuff that we think of as most valuable is often stored in the public, you know, on the
blockchain, because that's a lot of the advantage that the blockchain's giving Web3, right? It
creates this ledger upon which many different things can build and interact. But that, of course,
means that it becomes easier for an entrant to show up because they can build on the code base
that's available. They can build on all the content networks. And so, you know, that, that
At west point on the compass rose, it's getting more intense, right?
There's more competitive pressure there.
Meanwhile, on East, that was our availability of substitutes.
So suddenly now with decentralized protocols, there's often an immediate substitute available,
which is just a fork of the original protocol.
Yeah, that's true in any open source, right.
Any open source context, exactly.
And then meanwhile, on bargaining power on both the buy and sell side,
one thing that we're seeing is that because users of the platform,
a lot of the critical data and information is stored in their crypto wallet
and under their control, they have more ability to move from place to place.
They can freely pick up all of their data assets
and just move them to another platform simply by connecting their crypto wallet.
And so there's more of a threat that people will leave.
And so in both sides, you know, north and south for bargaining power, you know, the bargaining power of your users is often getting stronger, right?
because they have more direct control.
And then finally, that circle in the center, right?
Because the users can get up and leave,
we're seeing lots of strategies
whereby platforms try and incentivize users to switch.
And so there's been more intense competition for users
because of this relative low switching cost,
like flexibility of moving across platforms.
And so on every one of these dimensions,
there's at least one pressure
that makes the competitive forces stronger.
In Web3, it sounds kind of bleak,
But, but, you know, hang on a second.
Two really important things to keep in mind.
First of all, on the customer and supplier side,
there is something really good going on too,
which is that you have this opportunity to create what my co-author,
actually several co-authors,
Jan Isbrin and I have written about this,
Christian Catalini and I have written about this.
We call community cohesion.
There's an opportunity when convert your users
into people who have a true preference for your platform.
actually want to use your platform over competitors.
And ironically, that comes through the same thing that creates this lack of switching costs,
right?
The giving users a slice of digital ownership, you know, sort of controlling assets that come
from their interaction with the platform and often give them some degree of governance
or advanced user privileges or whatever, that causes people to want to participate
in a given platform.
It's not that we've somehow locked the users in,
but we've actually given them a preference
for staying with the platform.
Through shared ownership,
that's really powerful.
That's the thing that we didn't have a way to do previously,
at least not at the scale that we're talking about in Web 3.
But remember I said there were two saving graces.
One of them is that there is this completely new way
to maintain your network affected,
which is maintaining a network of personally invested users.
And the second thing is, while competition is maybe getting more intense in a lot of dimensions,
those personally invested users also have a strong incentive to create a lot of value.
The ideal of Web3 is not that you sort of have these platforms that have locked in a bunch of
users and are just extracting value from them.
To the contrary, you have engaged users who are sort of in a real sense, like part of the platform,
like often literally, right?
Like they're making governance decisions for the platform.
And that doesn't just make them want to stay with your platform,
but actually make them want to help it succeed.
And so there's this possibility of like growing the pie far, far larger than classical
platform design because now you have this like highly engaged user base,
everyone who wants to the platform to succeed because they succeed along with it.
I love that.
I really do.
But to take a step back and just kind of pulse check where we are and all this,
and this broader context of business strategy for Web3,
what I'm really hearing you say is it's hard.
It's much more competitive.
It's open source.
That's the whole point.
It's a feature and a bug in some ways.
But you have a greater potential for a lot of these other things
and we'll dive deeper into what builders can do.
So now let me dive deep on some of these questions.
I kind of want to push a little harder on this idea of competition.
What you painted feels so bleak to me.
To be clear, I'm hopeful just as you are that this is just a beginning and we're going to see a lot of experiments play out and then see what happens.
But in terms of the value capture piece of it, the value creation I have no doubt about. That is actually the easy half of the equation.
But the value capture part, however, I have to ask, is there really such thing as competition in this world?
Like, I know that sounds like a really basic question, but is it going to be some kind of co-optitian or like some kind of cross-pollination or whatever, you know, insert whatever other kind of buzzy word there?
I just wonder if there really is such thing as, quote, competition.
It's a great question.
Okay, first of all, it's important to note as we talk about value capture,
that value capture is also to some degree about value creation, right?
If there's no way to capture value, then people are actually not going to invest in doing the value-creating activities.
So it's not like we're focusing here just on the part, how do you extract value from the ecosystem?
It's actually more, it's like no one's going to build the ecosystem if they can't extract at least enough value to keep running.
That's actually a really important point because that is actually a fundamental mindset shift from Web 2 and Web 3 for sure.
That doesn't happen in Web 2 as easily because you have no rights to the value you create for the platforms at all.
You're kind of like captured.
What do they say?
There's that line that if it's free, you're the product.
Yes, if it's free, you're the product.
Yeah.
In fact, my co-author, Steve Kaczynski says in Web 1, you were the consumer.
In Web 2, you were the product.
And in Web 3, you are the brand.
That's so nice framing.
On to your point, though.
It's funny because I fell into the Web 2 trap right there.
I almost was like, yeah, we don't have to think about this half of the equation as if it's separate.
But A, your point reminding that just in general business strategy, there's obviously a loop between the two, but the nuance in Web 3 that in fact the users can also be the owners and are incentivized to do so, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera.
So our colleague Tim Sullivan frames it as, you know, Web 2 was very much about, you know, the relationship between platforms and users was predominantly extractive.
Whereas in Web 3, value is much more shared, right?
Platforms and users grow and co-create together and share value together.
And then, again, feeding that into this value creation and capture loop,
it's especially important if you're relying on your users to help build your platform with you,
that both the platform and the users in the end be able to capture value
or else no one actually has the incentive to build.
So given that, how would you answer the question?
So I think there really is competition.
I think there's a lot more cooperation than there might have been in previous iterations of technology platforms.
There's very much a sense in which it's platforms all the way down.
It's a little bit like turtles all the way down.
Every piece of core infrastructure is a platform.
And so, you know, if you think about it like, you know, a wallet like Metamask is, of course, a platform.
And, you know, an NFT trading platform, like, you know, OpenC is a platform.
and Metamask benefits from the existence of these
NFT trading platforms and from all the people who are creating NFTs,
the platforms, the NFT creators benefit from the availability of Metamask,
and users sort of interact with all of these different systems.
And so all of these things are like cross-pollinating and cross-operating platforms
in a way that is much less centralized.
There's always been some degree of cooperation of this form.
Think about like payment processing companies, right?
like the invention of a more efficient web-based payment processor
fostered growth of lots of different types of consumer web platforms
that couldn't have happened without payment processing infrastructure and vice versa.
That's kind of like the relationship I've been describing
with MetaMask and the NFT platforms and so forth.
It reminds me of the early days of the API economy as well.
Yes.
In the thesis was that there would be like all these different companies
that have like a specific core competence
and they would focus on that core competence
and then pull in APIs for everything else.
which kind of supersized your powers.
And to be able to do that,
it was like this interlocking set of like AP guys.
Yeah.
But here, the scope of every one of these innovations
is much broader.
The process of integrating one of these platforms
into yours or embedding features
or something of the sort is as much faster and easier.
It has less friction.
It's like there's sort of an infinitely public API
for most of the core content.
And so in that sense,
there's a lot more composition and collaboration
among different players in an ecosystem.
So going back to that diagram, as I mentioned on the West and East, it's much easier for new entrants to appear, and it's much easier for substitute products to be created in many contexts.
And so, you know, if you build something that works really well, there's a much greater threat in Web3 that like your entire network could just get like moved to a competitor, could even be like a copy.
You know, some new entrant can try to capture all of that.
activity by, you know, directly incentivizing users to switch. This is, this is what's, you know,
referred to colloquially as a vampire attack. And I know it's a funny name, of course, because,
you know, vampire attacks are actually like, like, blood sucking. Exactly. It's like trying to suck
the lifeblood out of your competitor. And of course, that's good from a competition policy
perspective a lot of the time, right? Like, we actually, like, want more competition among
platforms. We'd like users to be less locked in so that competitors can, you know, can show up. But,
But of course, you know, a competition policymaker and say,
we really want to incentivize more vampires in this market, right?
That they'd be like, really?
Like, you're sure you don't mean you want to buy more garlic?
Yeah, totally.
Now, fun little fact that you don't know, Scott,
is I'm actually super into vampire lore and fantasy literature,
which we both have shared an interest in and talked about.
But like...
I admit, I didn't know that specifically,
but if you asked me how much money I was willing to bet on that fact,
it would have been a very large amount.
You know me well.
But basically, it's funny because one of the things that
does come up pretty often in vampire lore is like that nature balances the powers of the vampires.
And that's why, for instance, they come out at night.
And, you know, that's why, like, there's certain things they can't do.
They can't procreate.
Like, there's all these, like, funny rules of vampire lore that cuts across many, many pieces of vampire literature.
That's awesome.
Yeah.
And it's funny because it actually applies here in that if you think about it, like, a company can do a vampire attack.
But that very thing you described earlier, that there can be community cohesion.
as a defense.
Exactly.
Then that is where the nature of Web 3 is providing a check and balance in a way.
But I think it's yet to be seen how that plays out just to be very precise here because I
don't want to overstate it.
And I do want to ask you a little bit more about community cohesion.
But before we do, you have mentioned now network effects a number of times.
Just to give the listeners context, we have covered network effects a lot at A6 and Z crypto and A6
and Z.
And I've worked on all of that content in the past.
And in particular, we used to have like a deck that was just explaining.
learning network effects because there's actually so much confusion and misconceptions around it.
But just super quickly, you define network effects earlier, but to super simply put, it's, you know,
the value of the network becomes more valuable for the participants as more users join.
And the key idea there is valuable for users, right?
I think people often treat network effects as more users and forget the other half of it,
which is adding value for the rest of the users.
Yeah, they forget that it's actually about value creation.
Important footnote on that is that, you know, the value doesn't have to go up for all
users equally, and it doesn't even have to be the case that all the users get a positive
value boost for more users joining the platform. It's the net total value going up.
Interesting. Such a good nuance. So if you think about it, we use credit cards as an example
earlier. And with credit cards, in general, we think of the network effects as being
positive all around, right? So if there are more holders of a given credit card, it's more
valuable for a merchant to take it. If more merchants accept that credit card, as the individual,
it's more valuable to get that credit card instead of some other one. And having more merchants
doesn't really crowd out other merchants. If anything, maybe it helps, right? So mostly the network
effect of a credit card is cross-platform. It goes from holders to merchants and vice versa,
and it's strictly positive. By contrast with newspapers, the more readers the newspaper has, the more
valuable it is to be an advertiser, the more advertisers the newspaper has, the more annoying it might be
as the reader to read the newspaper because you eventually get to this position where every other
page is some gigantic ad, you really want to finish the article that you're reading and instead
you have to flip through three pages of advertisements or something. And so there, you know,
there are actually some negative platform externalities as well. The advertisers exert a negative
externality on users and a negative externality on each other, but it can still be the case that
the overall network grows as we add more users. And so the net value creation goes up, you know,
as we add, you know, users on either side of the platform, readers and advertisers, even if there are
actually some negative effects on the margin for some of them. So the point being that you had to
look at the value of the total and not worry so much only about like creating this super
pedantic definition of value for all users. It's creating value. It's creating value.
for all users in aggregate, not necessarily for each user individually. Although note that if your
platform gets really unpleasant for any given user, they might leave. And by the way, users will leave
if they can overcome the switching costs, then there's a good enough outset option. And so
user's ability to respond to negative network externalities to things that make the network
potentially less pleasant for you as the individual, even though it's net value and aggregate
it might be higher is much harder in Web 2.
There's a really high barrier to exit.
It's hard to exit.
And that means you're kind of locked in,
which means you have very little bargaining power.
And so that's how we get to this extractive equilibrium.
Web 3 is, as we've been saying,
in a lot of ways, the opposite, right?
Yeah.
You have all of your network sort of embedded with you.
I have lots of NFT communities I'm a part of.
And any platform I connect to, they can see all the communities I'm part of.
And anyone who's part of those communities on the platform can find me immediately.
Right.
Like I was totally stunned when I joined my first web three enabled social media.
It was Farcaster.
And I could search by community.
I could go and find the people who held there's a network of content I'm really into.
These are all people who are a lot like me.
That's why we're all in the same NFT community in the first.
place. And that was sort of wild, right? I had brought this like external network affiliation
directly into a platform and taken all of that connection with me. Totally. Just to pause on what
you're really saying there, because I think this is so profound. In Web 3, you're saying that
it's not just that you can take your data with you, but you can actually take your reputation history,
interactions, like there's so many other things, that kind of embeddedness of that. But just the more
profound idea here. I just wanted to sharpen that nuance.
Yeah.
Is platforms previously were never portable and you're almost saying that the user themselves
are the platform and that is now portable. That's like so fascinating.
Absolutely. And this goes directly to this like community cohesion structure, right?
Like Christian Catalini in an article we published just about 12 months or so,
we talk about the network effect now accruing to the asset rather than to the platform or
the portal. And that's sort of what's going on here.
here, right? It's like, you know, elite skulls NFT or a subduck or a or a board ape or whatever.
The network is embedded in the collective of people who own these assets.
And so there's sort of a new game about trying to be the platforms whose assets are the ones
that people want to attach to their identity and like are the thing that they want to use
across the internet. And so if you think about Web3 social media, design paradigm at a very high
level, Farcaster directly encourages the development of many different clients,
different ways of displaying and remixing and serving the information that lives in the
protocol.
In Web 2, that, like, would be dangerous.
Here, like, that's actually very powerful because it draws more and more activity and
value back to the underlying Farcaster protocol.
It becomes more embedded.
Right.
And it goes back to your way earlier point.
It's increasing the size of the pie for everyone.
I just want to also quickly just mention that in that article, which I'm just going to link to in the show notes.
This was the article that you guys published in Competition Policy International, right, that you're referring
to can Web3 bring back competition and digital platforms.
But you do point out that Web3 could reduce the fundamental cost of verification, the cost of
interoperability and portability, and the cost of composability, which is exactly kind of what you're
talking about there.
Yeah.
But it's funny because then going back to my original.
question, I still haven't really heard. Like, it's definitely good in terms of bringing back
competition to digital platforms as your guys's article posits in terms of making them less concentrated
and consolidated among a central few. But it doesn't answer the question of who and how those
people get the advantage. So I finally understand what you were meant when you asked about, you know,
is this reducing competition or really like, you know, creating competition at all? So I think it's
changing the character of competition.
Say more.
So we've seen over the last year extremely intense competition
among NFT trading platforms on fees and on features.
We've seen intense competition in various, you know,
defy trading contexts, literally like, you know,
people writing algorithms that will, like, move someone's assets
from one liquidity pools on one platform to another one, you know,
automatically.
We've seen aggregators that basically make it easy to like price compare
across all the different places you could place a given trade.
That's what we often think of classically as competition, right?
Like fundamentally, if you think about classical competition policy, a lot of it was about pricing
and or like degradations and quality.
Or they're often asking, will this reduce the quality of the customer experience?
Are they're either going to like pay more because, you know, now prices go up because
there are fewer competing companies?
You know, or is the quality going to go down because there's less incentive for the firm
to innovate because now they don't have to stay ahead of their competitor?
That's right.
That type of competition, we see.
Web 3 is rife with.
But the question is, where do that go?
What it really turns into is the platforms having to work to retain consumers, to, like, create
an environment in which the customer wants to stay on the platform rather than switch over
to a competitor.
And so what I think of as particularly virtuous competition, right, development of features,
development of rewards and loyalty programs, right?
developments of various infrastructure that improves the customer experience.
And often that's going to come through mixing and matching.
It's like aggregating sort of all the best features from all the different platforms.
I got my answer.
Thank you.
Thank you.
I didn't know what the answer was, by the way.
I was just like trying to genuinely understand it.
No, no.
It was a great question.
The way my listeners way.
We actually learn stuff.
Yeah, exactly.
You push on a thing.
And I'm like, oh, I get it.
There's your answer.
One thing we haven't talked about is where does this idea,
of composability, which, you know, Chris Dixon has a great line, how composability is to crypto,
what compounding is to finance. It's this idea that it's like an exponential force and that's
super interesting to me. And you have talked about in your work, Scott, this idea of compounding
innovation as one of the benefits, you know, that can come out of Web 3. And I kind of wanted to dig in
on what is it and why doesn't matter. Just also move us a little bit beyond what can come off as
platitudes in the public discourse to kind of really really.
understand the value behind that, those words, because it can be a little jargony.
Totally. Okay. So first of all, just what is composability? You know, it has a technical
meaning in the context of software, right? And software, you're embedding like existing software
components into other ones, you know, into new ones. And so you can, you know, sort of
use their operations as inputs to whatever your software is supposed to do. But at a business
level, what it means is that you can build on top of other, you know, sort of other things
that have been created.
It's not just about software.
It's not just like about functions that are sitting like in smart contracts in the
blockchain or something.
It's also every other digital asset.
Composition is if you have an NFT and somebody else builds a new game that that NFT manifests
an avatar in.
There's this massive NFT.
ecosystem, I guess is the right word, around some very, very simple NFTs loot, which basically
are just lists of various adventure game items, you know, bag of holding, you know, rod of wrath or
whatever. I don't remember any of the actual like loot items, but it's stuff like that. And people
are building entire games that embed the loot assets. So if you show up with a given one of these
quote-unquote loot bags, you'll have those assets in the game. And now they
do things. And this is a form of composition as well. But okay, so from a business perspective,
like, why do we care that you could even do that? Well, it speeds up innovation. It allows people
to innovate in ways that maybe they couldn't before. Maybe someone is really good at doing one
type of business function and not others. And now there's a whole library they can pull from.
Honestly, we saw this as well with all the Web 2 infrastructure platforms. Once there was a bunch of out-of-the-box,
you know, web platform creators. Now, if you had a really good idea, if you maybe didn't need to
also be a ridiculously good software engineer at the beginning, you could integrate a bunch of
tools together and launch a pilot, you know, a minimum viable product with almost no complex
software engineering. Web3 is just that, but for everything. It's that for the underlying software
that runs the platforms. It's that for all the brands and identity formation that people are doing.
it's that for reputation markers,
it's that for like our personal data.
It's all of that rolled into one big snowball, right?
Like, you know, you can combine all of this stuff however you want.
So we've got this like snowball.
It's rolling down the hill getting super gigantic.
And then at the bottom we have a gigantic snowball
and we can like carve out any little bits of it we want to create our business.
That's funny.
The analogy I was trying to think of was a bit like a primordial suit.
Yeah.
And the reason that came to mind is,
do you remember back in the day?
It was kind of in the early days of Google when how a variant.
who was the chief economist there,
wrote about combinatorial innovation,
and it's so dary of a phrase.
The idea is really fascinating.
You're a mathematician, you know combinatorial math.
Yeah, permutations and combinations grow quickly.
Exactly, or derivatives that you can actually extend.
And when you mentioned loot, actually, it's really funny that you brought that up.
It's obviously one of my favorite examples, too.
But what I found so fascinating about the loot example there
is it doesn't have to be full feature,
which is a big difference in the kind of early days versus now,
because you have literally primordial ingredients that aren't,
fully blaked and fleshed out because there is this sort of innate ability for these ingredients
and these people and communities to sort of form quickly and bottom up and move around them
and put them together in ways without having to have like this full featuredness to it too.
That's such a cool point. You're exactly right. Right. You know, imagine if 10 years ago anyone
ever said, you know, I'm going to launch a product which is basically just like the foundational
items for an adventure game, and then like some people are going to build the game around it.
Makes no sense, right?
Yeah. Whereas here you can do that. You can say, look, I've got this cool set of items.
I want to like enable a game or multiple game ecosystems around them. Let me put the items out
into the world and like invite people to build. Totally. And so it's possible to have these like micro
components. Like people can launch products where the product is basically just like some tiny
input that goes into everything else. And by the way, obviously AI will play a big role in
super-charge it when you think of the creative AI that is exactly. Totally.
And even in the early days, right? It was only meant to be like what you're doing.
And then the users came up with games. Like Chris Messina came up with the hashtag.
Other people came up with like, let's do like so-and-so on Thursday. And the community did all that and
they got nothing for it in creating that value. So kind of coming full circle, another difference here.
It's not like these platforms didn't allow it, although to your point, to be more precise,
here we're talking about everything being composable, not just one element.
But two, there was no way for the community to capture and participate in that value.
Yeah, you're totally right.
Yeah, just kind of coming full circle.
And to the extent that value capture for the user, for the community existed,
it often came through these very arcane things that were then delinked from the platform.
Right?
Like, how did people capture value from hashtags?
They came up with other platforms that would have hashtags in them.
There were all these disconnects because you had to go off platform.
You had to drive people to go to your website and do something.
Whereas Web 3 sort of invites everyone to do this stuff actively
and makes it all sort of cleanly interlinked.
Yeah, totally agree.
And now let's switch into...
Let's get tactical.
Yeah, let's get tactical.
Let's get tactical.
Sorry.
Do you guys remember that song from Olivia Newton-John?
Let's get physical.
Let's get tactical.
Technical, sorry.
Oh, my God, that's so good.
My voice doesn't go that hype.
That was really funny to hear you try to do that.
My voice doesn't go that high.
Sorry.
Great.
So now I want to spend the rest of the time just going now into what does anybody do with all this information.
And if we don't have answers, let's share if mindsets, what to do, you know, just all of it.
So in terms of breaking this down, a good place to start for the builders and the audience is like how would you help them understand the key aspects of network effects?
And then how did they sort of think about it depending on what type of thing they're building in Web3?
Cool. So first of all, it's really important, just a high level. I like to think about network
effects in terms of their strength, their valence, and their source. Oh, cool.
So strength is exactly as it sounds like how strong is the network effect? How much pull do
users sort of exert on each other? Does the platform sort of achieve over time?
And note, you know, there's absolute strength and then there's marginal. It's like how much,
when we add a new user, like how much does that affect the network effects in general?
and it might vary by user as well.
So some users might really benefit
from there being a lot of people in the network.
If you're an online job search platform,
people who are looking for jobs
benefit a lot from the fact
that there are a lot of jobs available on the platform.
And people who are not actively looking for jobs
might also benefit some
because think about all those in-bounds
one gets on LinkedIn or whatever,
but they might not benefit as much
from having all those jobs on the platform
because they're mostly happily situated.
And so there might be dispersion among users.
And another key factor in terms of strength is like are the network effects local or global?
There's a different bike share company in like almost every city that has bike share.
It's an exceedingly local network effect.
You want there to be enough users biking around that the bikes are sort of available at all of those pickup and drop-off spots.
But the fact that you're a bike share customer in Boston has very little implication for whether you have any interest,
bike shares in New York or San Francisco or whatever. And it doesn't really matter whether it's the
same company that you use in your home city. Like you can buy like a one week contract or all
a card or something of the sort. It has very, very strong local network effects, but very weak
global network effects. Right. And just before we go on to the next item, can we address the
nuances of strength for Web3 and how you would advise people to think about it? So we've already
sort of like implicitly been talking a lot about the strength of network effects in
web three there's good news right which is that a lot of network effects have suddenly become global
even like a brand or a fandom can have network effects right so if you're a huge fan of taylor
swift and you're wearing a taylor swift t-shirt you walk by some other uh swifty wearing their
taylor swift shirt you could like connect but you don't have a lot of interaction by default with
Taylor Swift fans in other countries, despite the fact that there are, in fact, a lot of Taylor Swift
fans all around the world. With Web3, a lot of those, like, sort of localized network effects
suddenly become global. You can be in part of a brand community interacting with and making friends
with people from everywhere. All of these different NFT communities I'm in are fundamentally global
as brands. If they become really popular in South Korea or something, I gain some value from that,
Because then there's like people creating cool content that supports the product and like more people at the virtual meetup.
And so in a lot of ways, by creating this global network infrastructure layer, like the blockchain is like a big network of networks, a lot of network effects have gotten stronger at the sort of core level, those fundamental assets to which the network effect accrues.
But in the other hand, there's been a lot of network effect dilution, as we talked about with platform contexts that used to be walled gardens.
So there might be a stronger core network effect to the underlying protocol for a Web3 social media platform.
But there might be a much weaker network effect than before for any individual app that serves that protocol.
I need like a bottom line.
So the bottom line is that Web3 has strengthened a lot of classical network effects, but it's also moved where they reside.
The strong network effects are often tied to the digital assets, to the sort of, you know, the net
that scroll across the blockchain, rather than to sort of any individual platform that
operates on top of those assets.
Yes.
This goes back to that point we were talking about, about this profound insight that Web3
often allows these kind of network effects to be portable in that sense or like tied to a
different entity.
Okay.
So the first dimension of network effects, that was strength and that was a super helpful breakdown.
And then you also mentioned valence, which I don't even know what that word means, by the way.
I vaguely remember it from chemistry, I think.
Valence. Valence is a positive, negative. I don't really remember my chemistry classes either,
but it's about direction and sort of positive versus negative orientation relative to strength.
Anyhow, so how it applies here is valence is about direction. In Web 3, we're seeing a lot of new network effects, the new opportunities for positive network effects.
This goes back to the composability point we were talking about earlier.
there's just so many more ways to leverage all the information and architecture to drive new
value to whatever you're building and back to the underlying assets or protocols that you're
building on top of. So to the extent that we've created new forms of network effects,
most of those are new positive network effects. But when you're thinking about this as an entrepreneur,
as a builder, you have to think about your entire ecosystem and where the positive and negative
network effects are. It's not just about how strong your network effects, but it's also, like,
are they going to drive more value for everyone? Are they going to make some people want to
quit your platforms that you actually have to, like, reward them more in order to get them to
stick around? That's the important thing to puzzle over there. The message unveilance is mostly
the same as it was in Web 2 and before. You need to understand which network effects are
positive and or negative for which users. And then the Web 3 opportunity, the special here,
is through composability, there are many new opportunities for aggregating positive network
effects, either yourself or through partners and future developers who build on top of what you've
created. Okay. And then the last one, you mentioned source. Talk to me about what that is
in this context of dimensions of network effects for builders to think about and then application
to Web 3. Okay. Source, you know, in some sense, is the most self-explanatory of the three.
Source is just where the network effects come from. And why do we care about that? So the first
we talked about strength and valence are really about value creation. They tell you how much value
your network will create and how that value will grow as you bring in new users and add new functionality.
Source is about understanding how specifically you foster that network effect and relatedly how
defensible it is. So does your network effect come from liquidity, which could be the presence
of lots of drivers and riders in a ride-hailing platform so they can, you know, you can ensure that
if you're out driving, you will have people to pick up. And if you're looking for a ride,
you'll be able to find a driver.
Or, you know, in an NFT, I'm sorry, I keep using NFT examples
because I'm a total DGEN, but an NFT trading platform,
are you going to be able to find the specific asset that you want when you show up?
So could be about liquidity, could be about data or user know-how,
lots of different sources for network effects.
And those sources define the pathway that often answers the strength and valence question.
How does where the network effect comes from determine how strong it is,
and who benefits the most.
And then segueing back into the competition discussion,
it also tells you how defensible it is.
Like in a lot of Web 2, as we've talked about,
the network effect defense came from having aggregated
massive amounts of proprietary data
and user reputation and user content
that it was very difficult, if not impossible,
for users to take with them
to get a similar quality experience elsewhere.
And in Web 3,
we're seeing a lot of those old sources of network
effects have become much less defensible.
Awesome. And the bottom line?
The bottom line on source is you have to understand the source. You have to actually understand
the mechanism of network effect. It's not enough to just say like, oh, we have a network that's
growing in value. So like, you know, you should, you should join and invest in our network.
Like, that's not how it works. You actually have to be able to understand the pathway through
which the network generates that increased value. And you have to understand how to protect
it and whether it's protectable. Again, if your network is totally,
indefensible, then you might have the opportunity to create a lot of value, but not be able to
capture any of it. And so you're not just looking for network effects necessarily, but defensible
and sort of buildable network effects. And question on this one, actually, people often saying
Web3, when you mention moats, that the moats that they have are things like design. And earlier
you mentioned community cohesion. But what's your take on modes, Scott? I feel like people
bandy that about a little too casually and easily for my satisfaction. You know, it's funny. One of my
longest term collaborators on Web 3, Chad Esper. He was one of my former students in my MBA class,
one of the strongest students I've ever taught. He and I have been trying to really clearly
express how we think about MOTS and Web3 and still work in progress. But the core insight,
like with our conversation about the Five Forces earlier, is that most things have gotten much
harder. Previous sources of platform competitive advantage, platform moats, were the core network
effect. Might be you have all the liquidity on your platform, you know, and the competitors don't have
nearly as much, or you have all this proprietary information. It might be economies of scale. You know,
like you're a used car platform and you can offer a really cheap insurance because you have a lot
know-how about the cars. Or network insight, like Amazon with its logistics operation, it can like
move the products to places before the people place orders because it sort of knows what's going to be
ordered when. Or platforms can create defensive.
through standalone value, technical advantages,
things that they do that are just superior.
This is you asked about design,
possibly even through partnerships
and sometimes also through multi-homing costs.
You might have a defensible competitive advantage
simply because it's hard for users
to deal with using multiple platforms at once.
Maybe it's easier to only have to search
on one online restaurant platform or something.
So those were all core sources
of competitive advantage in platforms,
all of which by and large is often going to be sort of an open book on the blockchain.
You know, similarly, technical advantages, so much of the operations of a platform are public,
even a road faster than they used to.
Although I would argue on that one, a counter to that is actually the talent and that the technical advantage
is actually not just the features baked into said protocol, but the ability of that team behind it to really innovate.
And that is going to be, I think, a bit of a mode on that one.
Absolutely. No, no, I totally agree.
It's Charlie right. That's not platform-specific, but it is a very important source of competitive
advantage. Remember, we talked about higher quality or lower cost. Both of those things
are influenced by the quality of your talent. And talent has always been a competitive advantage,
especially in complex and high-tech firms. As Web3 is more complex and often more high-tech
than anything that's come before it in category, the talent mode has widened and deepened.
Yeah, totally. But like, the core platform competitive advantages have mostly weakened.
There's one, though, that it really stands out as having strengthened tremendously, which is embeddedness.
And say more about that. You've mentioned that a few times.
Yeah. So another way that platforms achieve dominance is by being embedded into everything.
If you think about Gmail as the login to so many different web platforms, many people, they don't know their account credentials for those websites.
All they do is connect Gmail and it, like, propagates credentials for them.
That's embeddedness, right? That makes Gmail a necessary service.
Even if you didn't have all of your emails stored in Gmail, the network effect comes from proprietary data and having all of your content stored there in a way that's really difficult to port.
But even if you took all of that away, like if tomorrow, like all of the email became suddenly like flexibly transportable between Gmail and outlook, people would still have so many accounts that were managed through Gmail.
They'd have to keep logging into it.
This is where like wallets have a lot more potential for embeddedness.
Absolutely.
Even in fintech, we'd talk a lot about not only wallet's interface, but Connie Chan and I did.
a piece around
WeChat and the idea of the payments
and Alibaba and everything, AliPay, and this idea.
It was both payments and messaging combined
that became the interface to everything in the world.
And granted, that was a very locked, walled garden
because obviously it's not open to anybody
but the people on those platforms.
And it was in China, so it's even more walled.
But the example that does come to mind
in Web 3 is how identity becomes
the interface for a decentralized identity.
So there's like a lot going across the board
on that abendentous point there.
And indeed.
And exactly as you say, the AliPay example is perfect.
That's a classic Web 2 style platform that maintains a lot of its advantage through embeddedness.
It's just used in so many different services.
Web3 opens that up, and again, it opens it up to everything.
Your crypto wallet can be embedded in many different services, but also so can your NFTs,
so can your digital diploma, like, so can a simple function protocol you wrote.
like something like disperse.cash can become part of many different finance products.
That software embeddedness, which you mentioned open source earlier, like this was also true in open source, right?
It's like how do, you know, how did like individual open source software products become most successful?
It was people built lots of stuff on top of them, so much so that those products became essential.
Totally. Although one quick precision note on that one, as you know, obviously open source history person.
Yeah, you're like a literal expert on this.
A couple of quick notes on that.
It's really interesting when you compare like Linux Foundation
and the kind of model they set up
and then say something like NPN, the Node packet managers
and the Node JS community, etc.
It's also very interesting when you also think about other little components
like what is it like SSH or whatever.
It was like three people maintained it
and it led to some serious vulnerabilities
in like hospital system software
because a lot of people began using open source.
So just a quick contrast nuance
that it is very similar except very different because that lacked the economics of participation.
Yes.
And therefore, no incentive.
You're totally right.
Somehow now you have that same embeddedness opportunity, but with an incentive to build.
And maintain, et cetera.
Yes, sorry.
Yeah, you're right.
Build and maintain.
Spot on.
And then just one quick other one.
You've mentioned community cohesion a bunch of times,
and that's one of the other things that you put forth as one of the stronger benefits
of competitive advantage in Web3.
Now I want to also have you answer the second part of that question,
and you already answer the first part.
Same for community.
So like what are the nuances there?
Like how much of a moat is it really?
Pulse check it for me.
Great question.
So first of all, I should emphasize that to me,
embeddedness was a classic model
of platform competitive advantage,
and it's gotten much stronger in Web3.
This community cohesion thing,
I tend to think is pretty new.
Not that never existed before, but at least in the classic platforms that I've looked at,
I have never seen it, to my recollection, as a central part of the business model.
In some sense, that's, I think, because they lacked the ability to do so,
or they like good tools to do so.
Web3 makes it possible to turn your consumers or your users into people who are personally invested,
in the platform's success and who often interact and interface with each other
towards the goal of the platform success and in the process of using the platform.
NFT communities are a great example of this, but we also see it for far less branded platform
context. Think about everyone who participates in governance on a defy platform or something
to calibrate the protocol and sort of decide how it will run.
And that comes out of this shared ownership. And it comes also out of the opportunity.
for your digital assets to drive new forms of quality and experience.
And so a platform can build a moat around a user base that really wants to attach to it,
that wants to use its product rather than a competitor's or rather than building their own,
and even better wants to contribute to making what they do higher value.
We haven't really seen these things play out at scale yet because it's just too early,
but we've seen really powerful examples of it, at least in play already.
And it reflects a desire to publicly and personally identify with the brand attached to the
NFT.
It's like a sports or a music or whatever fandom.
It's like you see the other people in this group as akin to you when you want to like engage
with them and not just like hang out, but hang out in reference to and like sort of like more
deeply engage with the assets.
Yeah.
I mean, I've been thinking a lot about the nuances while you're sharing all this, like,
how is this different than a fandom?
How is this different than any other community?
It's just a more of a matter of degree than kind.
And I think I've kind of landed on what you, from based on what you just said, Scott,
it almost feels, God, this is really an exaggeration, but like a tribe and even a religion where you have artifacts that you engage in.
And again, I don't want to say that with all the negative connotations.
No, it's funny you say this.
There's this concept of a shared text.
Yes, yes, exactly.
Shared artifacts, shared symbols. Exactly. Yeah. And it's like modern meaning making, actually,
if you were to really take it to the next level. Because when you say cohesion, that's like a fabric,
the way people describe social cohesion and things that tie people together. And that's often how
people also think about religion. So it's not some abstract concept like strong ties versus weak ties
versus like interest graphs and like affiliate interests. Like it's actually really kind of core meaning
at the heart of it. Yeah. Exactly.
And it's going to sound absurd, but like, imagine a universe in which people went around the internet self-identifying as platform users.
It's like, I get up in the morning and I am proud to be on Facebook.
Saying that sounds a little bit hilarious.
But, you know, I was a really early Facebook user.
You know, it had launched just before I got to Harvard as an undergraduate.
And so we were proud to be on Facebook.
We almost felt like we were building the product.
We were finding weird errors and glitches and things.
And you would submit like bug reports and like, you know,
they would go and fix the very unusual like bug that you had noticed.
It was a totally different experience of the platform.
Web3 is trying to take that type of experience and make it not just a small platform thing,
but giving people that sense of pride and ownership and contribution in the platforms at every scale.
Okay, so let's shift more now into a little bit even more advice for builders and how
I really think about your strategy design and market design for Web3 and at a high level.
We're not going to cover everything in this podcast, obviously.
But I'm going to take some questions from Tim Sullivan, who's former editorial director at
HBO, and he was executive director of UC Press, and is now on my editorial team here and works
with you as well closely.
So I actually think this is a very interesting question, particularly the second half, which
is the adoption cycle, like consumer demand drives tech advances and investment.
where are we in the Web 3 space with regard to this dynamic
and how does this inform the space in which projects are making strategic decisions?
I want to address the second part of Tim's question,
which I found actually even more interesting,
which is how this informs projects making strategic decisions.
And the variation that I'm most fascinated with here is this question,
which is start niche first and then grow.
Do they try to go mainstream faster?
Or do they do a bunch of niches and aggregate
those, like how to think about that strategically. Do they go in thinking? Like, here's what we should do.
I just wonder if you have a quick answer. Yeah, it's a great extension of a macro question. And you're
actually asking a micro question. So first of all, there's a general piece of advice I often give
in platform design, which is a lot of successful marketplaces and platforms more broadly,
start with a very broad approach, discover a specific vertical or vertical. Or,
version of the product that works very well, narrow to that and optimize it like crazy,
and then expand out again.
Wow.
Okay.
So one part of the answer on platforms is you often are in fact neither sort of going niche or
broad.
You're actually sort of doing both, but in sequence.
And the idea is like, you know, think about like, you know, early testing and minimum
viable products.
You might not know precisely who your customer is or what the most viable use.
case for your product is at the outset. Like, you've launched a crowdfunding platform, and you don't
really know whether it's going to be most effective for crowdfunding for art projects or for, I don't
know, like, there's finance education, or like, you have no idea what it's going to be useful for.
And so you might start by trying all those different types of campaigns, a small number of them
and see which stick. And then you discover that it's working really, really well for crowdfunding,
like large scale, like, you know, theater performances or something like that.
And they're like, okay, well, let's scope to that now and, like, really work on this theater vertical and figure out how we can, like, optimize the product for that.
And then once you have, like, a really strong theater vertical, that's your beachhead.
Now you have, like, regular user base and regular customers.
And you can go to the people who are funding the theater performances and say, well, you don't just do theater, right?
Like, what else would you want to see on the platform?
And maybe they say, oh, yes, no, I don't just like theater.
I also like various design and tech.
And they're like, okay, great, let's do design and tech.
And so you start crying to find some campaigns in design and tech.
And you do user crossover from your theater vertical.
And so you start broad, discover like what fits, narrow, focus on that and then build out.
Let me add one other footnote that's Web3 specific.
The other thing that's like very special about Web3 in this context is that that build out component becomes much easier.
Right? Like, again, because your core users are invested in the platform success,
there's a sense in which, like, you know, initial value can be fostered among a very small,
like, initial community. And then they help it broaden literally. They'll find other people
who, like, you know, want the theater vertical. And they'll be suggesting stuff like,
gosh, my friends who are into theater are also into design and tech. And they might even help
you build that or, like, recruit that sort of additional community. And so,
The value of a core community of users has grown dramatically relative to before because they're not just your evangelists, but they're also the people who help build and sort of broaden your use cases as you go.
It's also kind of ties back to your community cohesion point because they're not building for themselves, they're building for all or their interaction effects, which also strengthens and turn their ties to that community then kind of further feeding it.
Exactly.
Spot on.
That's super fascinating.
Okay.
He has another question, which is, how do you optimize a platform for growth or some other goal
when it doesn't align with your power user's desires and your power users actually have
voting rights, like in direct governance?
And this is a really interesting question because we're not going to talk about decentralization
because that's too big of a topic and it's a through line through all of this.
But obviously, like no individual can make a decision on behalf of a community or a network.
That's part of the whole advantage of Web 3.
But the idea being that at least in the early days or before a platform has progressively decentralized,
there are some early decisions that maybe some of the community early decision makers may make
to help set up that platform as it evolves.
And I guess the real question here is like, how do you think about strategy and growth
when you have this like a very unique case of Web3 basically?
You don't have like a classic manager that Porter was talking to back in the day.
Oh, absolutely.
It's a very real issue, right?
Like when you have partially your fully decentralized governance, or even when you have centralized governance,
a platform's short-term incentives are often not aligned with the long-term incentives.
And that's honestly why a lot of Web 2 has become so extractive.
You know, in the short run, it's always better to, like, extract more today.
But in the long run, that means the users leave your platform at the earliest opportunity they actually manage.
And similarly, you think about like a big community with a treasured,
or something. One thing you could do is you can invest the treasury and like building in the, bringing in the next like 100,000 users. Another thing you could do is throw a big party for everyone in the community this week. It's not actually like incorrect for people to have a preference for being in a party rather than doing some like very complicated abstract thing for a potential future return. So this alignment problem is hard. It's been hard in companies historically and it's hard with with governance in web three platforms as well. Yeah. One advantage of course in web three.
towards this, is that token holders, you know, in effect, share some alignment with the
overarching platform's goals, right? Like, even if all the token is, an arcade token that
could be used in all the different, like, mini-games, the platform is building out,
those tokens are more useful to you if the platform could build a lot of really cool
mini-games. And so there is a sense in which you at least have some incentive to vote in
alignment with the platform's long-term interest. But it's still
very hard. And even just the communication piece is hard, right? It's not always clear that everyone agrees
on what the platform's best long-right interest is. So even if you didn't have the incentive challenge of
like people wanting to extract value today, you might have the issue that people still don't know
what the right direction is. Startups are in a haze of massive uncertainty. Right. And then you add
Web 3. Exactly. Exactly. But then on top of that, as you say, there's this like incentive to vote your own
private optimum rather than what is what is best for everyone. Yeah. We're going to have to see how this
plays out. But the strongest technique we have for this is shared ownership. That strengthens their
incentive to want the platform to succeed, not just in terms of they're creating and contributing to it,
but also trying to guide the platform in what they at least believe is the best direction.
Yeah, totally. So a couple more quick things. So when you're launching a marketplace,
a particular platform, do you go after supply first or go after demand first? That's like a common
question. There's also this common question about like the bootstrapping problem, the chicken egg problem.
what advice would you give to Web3 builders
for how they should think about launching their platform?
So, you know, you hear all the time,
like, you know, the chicken and egg problem of platform launches,
and this, again, not specific to Web 3 at all.
It's just it's a general principle of platform business
that you have to figure out how to get your initial users
and start creating that network effect.
People frequently talk about platform launching
in these sort of like vague, like, you know,
and very doctrinaire, like go after supply first,
go after demand first, right? And I want to emphasize for an individual platform, right,
if someone is advising you on an individual platform that you are launching, going after supply
first or going after demand first, like, this actually might be like the correct instruction.
But there are people who just tell you, like, it's always harder to get supply. You should always
get supply first. Like just, you know, make that work. And if no one's going to supply in your platform,
like, you know, forget it. But, but like fundamentally, like, it's not what economics has taught us.
Rather, and this harkens back to a lot of like Tom Eisenman's work, a lot of like classical
economics and strategy research on how to grow two-sided and multi-sided platforms.
The real question to ask is, who do you have to subsidize and who is going to pay you to use
the platform? And it's really about recruiting users who create the most value for everybody else.
To launch your platform, you want to bring in some users who will kickstart a really strong
network effect. Maybe go to your initial developers or your initial liquidity providers and
say, look, we need you for this platform to succeed. We're going to, like, you know, give you
like tons of, you know, discounts or early access or even pay you to develop for us initially.
Yeah.
And then meanwhile, that activity draws in users, right? That kickstarts the network effect.
Now there's a way for users to actually use the platform. And so you might then charge
users. But the key is that these roles don't necessarily stay static over time. Like, once you're
like a thriving ecosystem, maybe you only subsidize certain.
marquee developers, whereas everybody else actually pays to use the platform or pays to have access.
So chicken and egg is not a rigid, like, oh, it's always the suppliers, it's always the developers,
it's always the demand side. It's who creates value for others? Who like grows that network
effect as quickly as possible? And how much value do they put on using the platform, right?
If you have to like convince them to use it, you're subsidizing them. If they have intrinsic demand
for it, then maybe you don't need to.
And quick bottom line on this, like where this is really kind of different or more nuanced in Web3.
Well, the way I think about the big change here in Web 3 is you have many new ways to subsidize.
It used to be that the like form of subsidization was usually giving discounts.
Right.
Or literally paying somebody to show up.
Right. I was thinking of like paying celebrities to show up and that feels very not really
sustainable because they pretty much leave after that.
Exactly. It's super unsustainable.
Here there's this opportunity, at least in principle, where you could subsidize people.
by giving them tokens that sort of like give them more value, you know, that's aligned with
the activity they're conducting. If you give your initial like, you know, developers or liquidity
providers or whomever say, you know, a bunch of tokens, then not only does this, you know,
sort of, you know, drive them to participate right now, but it actually gives them much more
of a reason to stay on the platform and keep participating in the future. And the value of those
tokens goes up if they provide liquidity or develop software or features that attract a lot of
users. And if it's successful, because obviously it could also go down. It could go both directions
to be really clear. But the key point is that there is a mechanism for that alignment now.
Exactly. There's alignment with the activity that they're undertaking and hopeful success of the
platform and value creation. And then another quick tactical question, this is based on your paper
with John William Hatfield. It's a working paper. It's a simple theory of vampire attacks and the
point that you made that not only do vampire attacks facilitate price competition, we obviously know that,
But the most interesting part is that the Web3 platforms face even more competitive pressures
when they have loyalty programs where like a classic traditional platform there would not face that same type.
Great.
So what would like be your one kind of key advice for how builders and Web3 should think about this particular nuance?
Great question.
So we talked about vampire attacks earlier.
And I mentioned that vampire attacks leverage on chain data and often involve a new entrant or an existing platform
directly incentivizing
an incumbent's top users to switch.
If you think about it
with airline points or something,
an airline keeps you locked in
by giving you status on that airline.
You get perks, you get cheaper seats,
you get fancier seats,
and that's a form of lock-in.
But it's actually not quite as locked in
as we might expect
because airlines also have a thing
called status match.
If you have high status on United,
say, and you call up Delta
and say, hi, I'm a platinum user on United,
and I'd like to switch to Delta,
Delta might say, great, and send you a contract, like ask you to provide proof that you're a United Platinum member.
It's very hard to verify.
Most people, it's a lot of work to do this.
Most people don't.
Web 3 makes that type of status immediately verifiable.
If I'm a new competitor, I'm watching a new NFT marketplace, I can just see who all the big NFT traders were because it's all on the blockchain.
And I can tell all of them.
Like, look, come to my platform instead.
I'm going to give you platinum tier status where you get to use all the fancy features.
Full stop. You don't have to, like, fax me a copy of your United ID card or whatever.
Like, I can see it. I know your high status. I want you to be high status on my platform.
And so it's strengthened the vampire attack strategy, like, because now there are much lower
cost to doing it. But ironically, like, loyalty is still to some degree the defense.
It just takes this different form, right? Loyalty is not just about, like, giving people stuff,
right? It's easy to replicate. Loyalty now becomes integrating people into the brand.
It takes on purpose and identity for you.
An NFT trading platform wants their users to like want to use them and to feel attached to the platform.
And it can do that in part through giving them premium features, sure.
But it mostly has to do that by leveraging them as a group together and forming identity around the platform.
That's fantastic, Scott.
That is so interesting.
Thank you.
But I do want to take a step back and say, it sounds to me like what you're also saying is it's kind of still early days
for business strategy for Web 3?
Absolutely.
There's this unbounded
Web 3 value in theory,
but to make it practicable,
we actually have to solve
these strategy questions
to figure out how value capture
is going to work.
Yeah, even though if we have
ideas of how they may play out,
it feels like at some point
we may have to even abandon
a lot of these old frameworks and models
and come up with entirely new
first principles-based ones
because I think it's unprecedented
in human history
that we have ever built
businesses in this manner at this scale ever.
I don't know. I mean, you can check me, check me if I'm wrong.
I mean, even past open source projects, like, they've never monetized in like the way that,
you know, the type of composability and interoperability and all these things we're talking
about, I don't think we've seen that before.
No, I don't think we have.
I think you're right.
I mean, you say early days.
I mean, it's really early days.
Yeah.
Right?
You know, the Michael Porter's thinking was a reflection on, you know, sort of the history
of modern business to date. And even most of the things we know about various eras of the web and
web platforms are still relatively recent and still transforming and morphing all the time, right?
Like a lot of our early understanding of platforms and platform dynamics did not foresee the modern
tech and media giants. And so absolutely, I think we're going to need completely new business
frameworks. It's like how do you even start to define general principles for value creation
and capture in Web3? And how do they relate to what we understood about previous incarnations
of the web and another related product movements like open source software? But this is a super
interesting space. And general call to people who hear this podcast, please think about it. And if you
have cool ideas, please let me know. I did have one last kind of crazy question. You know,
one of the people I've worked with at Xerox Park was Brian Arthur, and he wrote that seminal paper back in, like, 1996 on increasing returns on the new world of business.
He began his paper saying how our understanding of markets and business was like based on stuff from like over centuries ago.
And then the shift occurred where the underlying mechanisms that determine economic behavior shifted from diminishing to increasing returns.
And that was a very seminal moment.
Yeah.
I feel like in economics, especially for actually more precisely, economics applied to technology, behaviors and software in particular.
Absolutely.
That's where things really get kind of jiggered up.
And I feel like we're in a similar moment in Web 3.
And particularly when it comes to this question, because by the way, the other thing, Brian, we've had him on the podcast because I had him talk with me and Mark a few years ago.
And he actually talked about how increasing returns can also stop after time.
And you have to think about the long-term sustainability.
And I was wondering, like, what would the analog be?
for you, if you were to kind of come up with a frame or just even a phrase that you would think
about for capturing whatever the effect is in Web 3.
I mean, this is all very rough, but I don't have a, I don't have what I would call like a
coherent or complete economic theory around this.
Like, as an economic theorist, I'm always wary of like declaring a theory that I can't
at least like visualize the theorem.
But my rough instinct is that what we see in Web 3 is what you might call like expanding
returns that every new thing that's created sort of creates a new like ecosystem of possibilities,
which is a little bit loosely like what's called an expander graph and graph video.
But stay tuned. Maybe we'll do that in a future episode.
Oh my God. I love that. That's a perfect note to end on. Awesome. Well, Scott,
thank you so much for joining this episode. That was so much fun. Thank you. No, it was so much fun for
me too. Thank you for listening to Web 3 with A6 and Z. You can find show notes with links to
resources, books, or papers discussed, transcripts, and more at A6NC Crypto.com.
This episode was produced and edited by Sonal Toxy. That's me. This episode was technically edited
by our audio editor, Seven Morris. Credit also to Moonshot Design for the Art and all thanks to
support from A6NZ Crypto. To follow more of our work and get updates, resources from us,
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