The AI Daily Brief: Artificial Intelligence News and Analysis - China Drives D.C. to Be More AI Ambitious
Episode Date: December 9, 2023A reading of https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2023/11/30/china-global-ai-plans-00129160 vs https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/02/opinion/ai-sam-altman-openai.html Today's Sponsors: Listen to the c...hart-topping podcast 'web3 with a16z crypto' wherever you get your podcasts or here: https://link.chtbl.com/xz5kFVEK?sid=AIBreakdown ABOUT THE AI BREAKDOWN The AI Breakdown helps you understand the most important news and discussions in AI. Subscribe to The AI Breakdown newsletter: https://theaibreakdown.beehiiv.com/subscribe Subscribe to The AI Breakdown on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheAIBreakdown Join the community: bit.ly/aibreakdown Learn more: http://breakdown.network/
Transcript
Discussion (0)
Today on the AI breakdown, we're reading from a set of competing and very differently-minded
op-eds around how Washington, D.C. is thinking about artificial intelligence.
The AI Breakdown is a daily podcast and video about the most important news and discussions in AI.
Go to Breakdown.network for more information about our YouTube, our Discord, and our newsletter.
Hello, friends. We are once again doing a twin-duling sort of long-reads approach.
I think these are a really interesting ways to get a broad sense of how different people are
talking about this industry and space. And where we're going to start is with yet another of the
pieces that came out in the wake of the OpenAI leadership drama and the one-year anniversary
of Chad Sheapy-T. And this one was again in the paper of record the New York Times. And it came from
Maureen Daud. The piece was called Sam Albin, sugar-coding the apocalypse. I'm not going to read
the whole thing, but I will read some excerpts. Dowd writes,
My favorite Twilight Zone episode is the one where aliens land and in a sign of their peaceful
intentions give world leaders a book. Government cryptographers work to translate the alien language.
They decipher the title to serve man, and that's reassuring, so interplanetary shuttles are set up.
But as the cryptographers proceed, they realize too late that it's a cookbook. That, dear reader,
is the story of OpenAI. It was founded in 2015 as a non-profit to serve man, to keep an eye
on galloping AI technology, and ensure there were guardrails and kill switches, because when AI
hits puberty, it will be like aliens landing. When I interviewed them at their
makeshift San Francisco headquarters back in 2016, the Open AI founders, Sam Altman, Elon Musk,
Ilya Sutskhaver, and Greg Brockman, presented themselves as our Praetorian Guard against the future
threat of runaway evil AI against bad actors and bad bots, and all the Lords of the Cloud,
who had Mary Shelley dreams of creating a new species, humanity be damned. Now from there, Dowd goes on
to point out that while once they said things to her like we are explicitly not trying to enrich
ourselves, that clearly something changed along the way. She points out that Musk is
gone, that Sam Altman is, quote, no longer casting himself as humanity's watchdog, and that while
governments have, as she puts it, nibble the edges of regulation, nobody, even in Silicon Valley,
has any clue how to control it. To doubt, the lesson of the Open AI saga was a very scary one.
She writes, it was terrifying because it showed that we are totally at the mercy of Silicon Valley
boys with their toys, egos crashing, temperaments colliding, ambition and greed soaring.
She then goes on to say nice things about Elon Musk, not necessarily a common
occurrence for the New York Times. She writes, whatever you want to say about Musk's recent unraveling,
he has been passionate in working against rogue AI. The perhaps quixotic quest of aligning AI progress
with the protection of human values has caused Musk many a sleepless night and many a fractured
friendship. Still, as she points out, this has all been one big series of dramas and ego clashes.
She recounts the same tales that we talked about last week, of Larry and Elon's falling out,
as well as the disagreement between him and Altman. Dow then repeats the idea that it must have been
something that's scared, particularly Ilya Sutskhaver, as a reason to fire Altman, even though they
keep saying that that's not what it was. She writes, we still don't know exactly what happened.
Did the board see some progress in the AI algorithm that jolted them enough to fire Altman?
For fear he was pushing products without enough regard for safeguards? Again, remember, we've had
an exit tweet from former board member Helen Toner, who has explicitly clashed with Altman around
these issues, say that it was not these issues that were at cause here. Whatever the case for Dowd,
Sam Altman, who has, as she put it, assumed the role of the upbeat face of AI's future,
should not be the person we're listening to about how to proceed.
She writes,
Unlike Musk who can be awkward and go into demon mode,
Altman is smooth in his dealings with investors, techies and lawmakers,
comfy in t-shirts and jeans.
One top Silicon Valley scientist described the 38-year-old Altman as weirdly adorable.
Do we want someone with a sunny disposition about AI?
No.
Not when, as Musk warned last Thursday,
the apocalypse could come along at any moment.
So clearly I'm presenting this to you not because there is some super novel insight here
or any particularly different critique.
I'm presenting it as an example of what New York Times columnists are talking about
and the state of fear following particularly this whole Open AI episode.
I do think that this notion that part of what scared people
was the suggestion that were at the mercy of the decisions of Silicon Valley tech companies
and that those decisions are often being made on the basis of ego, ambition, and greed,
is a very, very commonly held perspective, and one that is likely pretty prominent in Washington,
D.C. as well, quickly a brief word from today's sponsor.
As a listener of this show, I suspect you like to stay up to date on all things AI and tech,
which is why you have to check out the chart-topping podcast Web3 with A16Z crypto.
Produced by venture firm Andresen Horowitz, Web3 with A16Z is the perfect companion podcast to the AI breakdown.
Web 3 with A16Z Crypto is your definitive resource for the future of the internet.
Whether you're interested in the convergence of AI and crypto or simply curious about what's next.
If you need a place to start, they recently released an excellent episode with Stanford
Cryptography Professor Dan Bonae and former Google X engineer Aliya in conversation with
host Sonal Choxi about the intersection of AI and crypto.
From fighting deepfakes and proving humanity to large language models like ChatchipT, they cover
it all.
I highly recommend checking it out, especially if you'd like to learn
more about how AI and crypto will impact our everyday lives. Beyond crypto and AI, this show is for
creators seeking more ways to truly own their work, for business leaders trying to prepare for
the future today, and for innovators exploring trending tech topics. Don't miss out. Follow Web3 with
A16Z crypto on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, or your favorite listening app. But let's shift over to our next
op-ed. This one is from the Politico magazine, and it's called Behind China's Plans to Build AI for the
world. The U.S. needs to be more ambitious in building global AI, not just regulating it, or risk
losing out to Beijing. This one was written by two people associated with the Center for a New
American Security, Bill Drexel, an associate fellow, and Hannah Kelly, a research associate.
They write, this fall, the Western world has galvanized around a blitz of AI initiatives,
statements, and multilateral deals. Not least, the Biden administration's executive order and the
UK's Bletchley Declaration, all geared to setting global rules for a fast-moving competitive and possibly
dangerous new technology. China is taking a different path, one that could give it a lead while the
West talks. Rather than competing with the West to write the rules of the road for AI,
Beijing is instead building the road itself, working with allies and client nations to construct
Chinese-built AI ecosystems that could pose global risks if they take root and expand.
The examples they give include more than 140 cities around the world being transformed into
Chinese enhanced safe cities and smart cities, leveraging AI to turbocharged traffic, logistics
and law enforcement, China's existing dominance of AI-powered facial recognition,
country's Luban Workshop Initiative, which they call a global vocational training program
that has educated thousands around the world, raising up a crop of AI-trained workers in
developing economies, and one that has come up a lot on this show. Quote,
Chinese tech companies were foundational in building the United Arab Emirates preeminent
AI company, which in turn claims to have constructed the world's largest AI supercomputer.
The upshot they write may well be an AI future in which the United States in Europe
painstaking agreements on safe, rights-respecting AI are rendered obsolete by a world already
hardwired with Chinese AI systems, winning Beijing favor among non-Western nations and setting
de facto authoritarian standards for the technology's development globally. Now, as they point out,
for China observers, this will sound familiar. They point to the Belt and Road initiative,
which is the big part of the way that China has worked to expand its sphere of economic and political
influence around the world over the last two decades, and say that this is, quote, in fact,
part of Belt and Road, with the potential for being a much cheaper, quicker, and more potent way for
China to build its influence. The flow of data, they write, could ultimately be a far more powerful
political tool than the flow of cars and trains. If China's build-it-first AI strategy works,
it could be disastrous for American interests abroad. And here is the core of their argument.
Quote, to compete with China's efforts, the United States needs a far more expansive vision
of how to empower other nations with the education, tools, and infrastructure needed to jumpstart
their own AI efforts. If the United States is to truly lead the world in AI, it must not only
lead the conversation on its rules, but also lay the foundations for its dissemination to the world,
or risk losing out to Beijing. From there, the piece points out all the different efforts that
have started for different Western policies to claim some role in governing AI. There's the EU AI Act,
the White House Executive Order, the UK's AI Safety Institute and AI Safety Summit, but they say all of that
contrast strongly with China's, quote, proliferation-first approach to international AI norm setting,
focusing on aggressively building Chinese AI tech into developing economies ahead of pushing
specific regulations internationally. They point out that Xi Jinping personally introduced China's
global AI governance initiative last month and did so at the 10-year anniversary Belt and Road
Forum. Quote, that the announcement came from China's highest source of authority at one of the
PRC's most significant international events suggests that China is all in on constructing the AI
ecosystems of the developing world. If China succeeds in building out much of the world's AI systems,
while slow-moving multilateral agreements get hashed out, their standards will be much better
positioned to take hold internationally. The effect could be similar to how China gained
telecommunications influence through competitive deployment of cheap Huawei 5G infrastructure.
They also point out that China is waging a narrative war. China, they write, has repeatedly
characterized its approach as helping the global South, quote, seize the historic opportunity
in the AI revolution and publicly accuse the United States of, quote, forming a
exclusive groups to obstruct other countries from developing AI. Now, it kind of goes without saying,
but the authors do spend time on what they call the risks of a Chinese-built future. They point out that
while China has technically endorsed UNESCO standards on AI that bar mass surveillance, they've built
out the infrastructures for the most advanced surveillance state in the world and are actively
helping others to do so as well. China, they write, sees AI as a future linchpin of its autocratic
governance model and has already leveraged the technology to great effect in the servants of genocide
against its weaker minority. Its export of AI tools abroad goes hand in hand with the export of
its techno-authoritarianism, part of a broader campaign to make the world safe for autocracy.
If left to rely on China's help, countries desperate for a piece of the AI boom may find
their most advanced technologies are hardwired for enhanced autocratic control, and some might even
prefer Chinese AI systems for that reason. So what should the U.S. do? Well, the authors argue,
to counter China's build out, the Biden administration can't just drop its efforts to build
international AI guardrails, but it must integrate them into a broader campaign to empower
the global south with AI while advancing democratic principles for how it is managed.
They point to Dwight Eisenhower's Adams for Peace Speech at the United Nations General Assembly,
and the foundation it laid for the International Atomic Energy Agency as a historical example
that could hold some lessons. The piece concludes,
If the U.S. took the initiative to equip AI have-nots with the scarce resources needed to build
their own AI economies, it would send a clear message that the U.S. intends to empower the world
with AI and not dominate it, contrary to China's claims. It could also help ensure that safety,
responsibility, and democratic values remain central to the world's AI development by offering
access to cloud computing resources, but making that access contingent on rigorous standards
and safeguards. If done well, such a cloud network could even help the United States steer China's own
AI development in more positive directions. The U.S. has unrivaled potential to play a decisive
role in shaping the development of the world's AI ecosystems and needs only the vision to do so.
diplomatic efforts like the AI Safety Summit have their place, but will be far more effective if they're connected to an active campaign to counter China's push to roll out practical AI capabilities for the developing world.
To lead the world in the AI revolution, the United States will have to do more than garner diplomatic consensus around its principles for safety and responsibility.
It must empower countries to build AI tools with those principles baked in.
Now, let's hold the specific focus on the Global South and what to do and how to empower that cohort for just a moment.
I think that there is a broader point that they are trying to make, which is that the countries,
particularly the U.S. in this case, who are trying to regulate and create guardrails around AI,
need to start from a broader standpoint of having a vision for how AI can actually change the world
for the better. Without that vision, there's no meaningful follow-through that can happen
other than enforcement of rules, a necessary but not even close to sufficient condition for a positive
AI future. I would argue that while this piece frames the conversation in terms of the geopolitical
competition with China. The broader need for the U.S. to have an actual vision of its stake and the rest
of the world stake in an AI-powered future is bigger even than that particular geopolitical battle.
This is likely to be one of the most significant technology shifts and consequently economic and
social shifts that we have ever lived through. It is wholly insufficient to come at that only from
the standpoint of very specific and discreet and banal questions of red teaming and voluntary commitments
and all of that stuff. The problem, of course, is that the problem, of course, is that the problem of
that right now we are about as low as we have ever been when it comes to national vision.
But to the extent that we're being optimistic, maybe it is something like this that can help
bring us back on that front.
Anyways, very interesting things to ponder, and that's why this topic was perfect for a long read
on the weekend.
For now, that is going to do it for today's AI breakdown.
Until next time, peace.
