The AI Daily Brief: Artificial Intelligence News and Analysis - OpenAI Gives Up On For-Profit Conversion
Episode Date: May 7, 2025OpenAI has stopped its plan to switch from a nonprofit to a for-profit company after months of debate and legal issues. Instead, it will keep the nonprofit structure controlling its business, but remo...ve limits on profits for investors. In the headlines, Cursor raises $900m while OpenAI comes to terms to buy Windsurf for $3b. Interested in sponsoring the show? nlw@breakdown.network Get Ad Free AI Daily Brief: https://patreon.com/AIDailyBriefBrought to you by:KPMG – Go to https://kpmg.com/ai to learn more about how KPMG can help you drive value with our AI solutions.Blitzy.com - Go to https://blitzy.com/ to build enterprise software in days, not months The Agent Readiness Audit from Superintelligent - Go to https://besuper.ai/ to request your company's agent readiness score.The AI Daily Brief helps you understand the most important news and discussions in AI. Subscribe to the podcast version of The AI Daily Brief wherever you listen: https://pod.link/1680633614Subscribe to the newsletter: https://aidailybrief.beehiiv.com/Join our Discord: https://bit.ly/aibreakdown
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Today on the AI Daily Brief, OpenAI backs off its plans for a for-profit conversion.
And before that of the headlines, the company also appears to have reached an agreement to buy AI coding platform windsurf for around $3 billion.
The AI Daily Brief is a daily podcast and video about the most important news and discussions in AI.
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Welcome back to the AI Daily Brief Headlines edition, all the daily AI news you need in around five minutes.
According to Bloomberg sources, an agreement has been reached for OpenAI to buy Winsurf for about
$3 billion.
Now, this is a story we've been following for a while.
Last month, it was reported that OpenAI was looking to acquire a coding agent platform.
They had apparently tried to buy Cursor a punch of times before settling on Winsurf instead.
While Bloomberg said that the deal is not formally closed, sourcing was clear that an agreement
had been reached.
Winsurf's latest valuation from their last week,
round back in August was $1.25 billion, and they had apparently been in talks with Kleiner Perkins
and General Catalyst to raise a new round of funding at a $3 billion valuation.
Assuming this goes through, it will be OpenAI's largest acquisition to date, and shows of nothing
else the significance of coding as a use case for AI. The company has, of course, been working on
their own coding assistant releasing an open source version last month. However, it's also seemed like
they have their site set on something much bigger, with reporting indicating that they wanted to launch a
fully automated coding agent that can justify a significant price point in the tens of thousands per month
in the future. Now, online, there is lots of speculation around why OpenAI would make this move.
Some think it's about windsurf's rapidly growing 600,000 monthly active users. Daily.dev's CEO, Nimrod
Kramer writes, OpenAI buying WinSurf isn't about IDs and definitely not about AI. It's about owning the
developer. WinSurf figured out something most AI in for companies haven't. Distribution beats anything.
They built a dev-facing product that's actually used across 1,000 companies and millions of engineers.
That makes them valuable not because of their tech, but because of attention.
In 2025, that's the new currency.
This move fits a bigger pattern we're seeing.
Foundational AI companies racing to capture the last mile.
They've realized that whoever owns the developer's workflow owns the future of software.
For devs, this means two things.
One, expect the tools you use to be increasingly shaped by whoever owns the underlying model.
Two, expect fewer choices, not more, especially when products.
consolidate under one provider. That's the bet OpenAI is making. They didn't just acquire a product,
they acquired a distribution channel, a data flywheel, and a wedge into dev teams who've been
leaning towards Claude or Cursor. Now, speaking of that, the other big line of conversation
is people thinking that the battle between Cursor and Winsurf looks a lot different if because of
this acquisition, Winserve users only have access to Open AIs models. Developer Nick Dobos
writes, Cursor versus Winsurf becomes a much different conversation if Winserve can't use
Claude or Gemini. NIRSD writes, I don't get it.
doesn't this kill winserv? Curser's biggest USP is that you can switch to the latest,
greatest model. Now, it's not a guarantee that that's how OpenAI is going to play this,
especially given that we've seen them make moves recently that suggests they're willing to play
ball with where the community is, specifically in supporting MCP.
Still, given that we haven't even gotten a confirmed deal, details will have to wait just a little bit.
Speaking of Cursor, however, any sphere of the company behind Cursor have reportedly raised $900 million
at a $9 billion valuation, led by ThriveCamp.
capital with participation from Andresen Horowitz and Excel. This is a jump from their last round
of funding, which came in January at a $2.5 billion valuation. Now, it certainly seems like capital
requirements have increased. The previous round only raised $105 million, marking a huge jump up this time.
At this point, Ennisphere is one of the fastest growing software companies in history. The Financial
Times reports the startup grew annual recurring revenue to $200 million in April, with numerous
others suggesting that that number is already up to 300 million. Last time we checked in on well-sourced
figures, ARR was running at a $48 million pace in October. Coding assistants were already one of the
big winners in AI Venture, but this round cements that the numbers are there to back up the hype.
Lastly, today, staying on market and investment themes, Goldman Sachs says to buy the dip on AI stocks.
The deep-seek jitters are gone and fear of infrastructure overbuilding are melting away as
investment bank analysts looked to the dip in big tech as a buying opportunity. A recent research note
stated, it's fair to say there's a lot of pessimism in this theme. We consider this an opportunity
to buy the dip. As for some justification, big tech recently completed their earning cycle with
each company reporting strong growth in their AI-related business lines. Microsoft did confirm that
they're pulling back slightly on data center spending, but clarified that this is more about preparing
for a glut in a few years' time than it is about the current conditions. Everyone else is doubling
down on CAPEX even as tariffs increase the cost of construction. Goldman Sachs analysts wrote,
All AI themes are cheaper than they were at the beginning of this year as well as last year.
Looking at long-term earnings growth, the different baskets look cheaper to previous AI years,
closer to pre-Chatsybtbt levels. Looking at our broad AI basket's performance relative to its
earnings, the group continues to be cheap while earnings proved to be steady. Compare this to the
bank's analysis from around a year ago when they published a report titled,
Gen AI, too much spend, too little benefit?
I spent the whole summer swatting that one down.
Might I be able to actually focus on the technology this summer instead?
We'll have to wait and see, but for now, that is going to do it for today's AI Daily Brief
Headlines edition.
Next up, the main episode.
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Welcome back to the AI Daily Brief.
Today we have the latest in the saga of OpenAI control.
And I think before we dive in, it's worth noting just quickly why I think it's worth paying attention to this stuff,
even though it sometimes takes on a soap opera feel, particularly based on the big egos of the actors involved.
The short of it is, OpenAI is one of a very small handful of companies with an extremely outsized impact
on the shape of the future of artificial intelligence, which by proxy means the shape of the future in general.
Part of the reason, as we'll discuss today, that there is so much wrangling around the legal and operational
structure of OpenAI is that the different approaches have very different implications for rights,
responsibilities, and so much more. I will, of course, continue to try to avoid the melodramatic parts
of the story and just focus on the parts that are relevant to most of us. But in any case,
the TLDR is that OpenAI is walking away from plans to convert to a for-profit company.
The company will still convert their for-profit subsidiary into a public benefit company.
but the nonprofit will continue to oversee and control the operating company as a large shareholder.
Now, before we get into what OpenAI wrote about the announcement this week,
let's go back to where they discussed their intention to shift structure last December.
On December 27, the company published a blog post called Why OpenAI Structure Must Evolve to Advance
Our Mission. That piece began. OpenAI's Board of Directors is evaluating our corporate structure
in order to best support the mission of ensuring AGI benefits all of humanity, with three objectives.
One, choose a nonprofit and for-profit structure that is best for the long-term success of the mission.
Two, make the nonprofit sustainable.
Three, equip each arm to do its part.
From there, they got into the past of the company, citing the original reason for moving beyond a simple nonprofit structure.
They wrote that as they learned more about their mission, quote,
eventually it became clear that the most advanced AI would continuously use more and more compute
and that scaling LLMs was a promising path to AGI rooted in an understanding of humanity.
We would need far more compute and therefore far more capital than we could obtain with donations
in order to pursue our mission. That led in 2019, to them, quote, becoming more than a lab,
we also became a startup. They estimated at the time that they'd have to raise on the order of 10
billion to build AGI. To do that, quote, we created a bespoke structure, a for-profit
controlled by the nonprofit with a capped profit share for investors and employees. We intended to make
significant profits to pay back shareholders and have the remainder flow to the nonprofit. In 2019,
raised $100 million followed by a billion from Microsoft, and they were, of course, off to the
races. That brings us up to the present. They wrote, as we enter 2025, we will have to become more
than a lab in a startup. We have to become an enduring company. And so that led them to these steps.
They wrote, our plan is to transform our existing for-profit into a Delaware public benefit
corporation with ordinary shares of stock and the OpenAI mission as its public benefit interest.
Second, they wanted to give the nonprofit shares in that PBC, quote, multiplying the resources
that our donors gave many fold. And three and finally, they wanted to separate the two.
Quote, our current structure does not allow the board to directly consider the interest of those
who would finance the mission and does not enable the nonprofit to easily do more than control
the for-profit. The PBC will run and control OpenAI's operation and business, while the nonprofit
will hire a leadership team and staff to pursue charitable initiatives and sectors such as
health care, education, and science. So very clearly the intention for the nonprofit in this future
vision was to do non-profit-y things, not run the for-profit. This really,
raised some ire, most notably, of course, with Elon Musk. In early February, Musk offered to buy OpenAI
for $97.4 billion. In a statement from Musk's lawyer, he said, it's time for OpenAI to return to the
open source safety focused force for good it once was. We will make sure that happens. Now, of course,
Sam Altman and OpenAI bit back. On Twitter slash X, Altman wrote, no thank you, but we will buy Twitter
for $9.74 billion if you want. And Altman also wrote on a Slack message to his team,
our structure ensures that no one individual can take control of open AI.
These are tactics to try and weaken us because we're making great progress.
But although it might have been a stunt, the message from Musk's camp was loud and for some resonant.
Musk lawyer Mark Toberoff said,
If Sam Altman and the present Open AI Board of Directors are intent on becoming a fully for-profit corporation,
it's vital that the charity be fairly compensated for what its leadership is taking away from it.
Control over the most transformative technology of our time.
The war of words and actions continued to ratchet up on Mark.
March 14th, OpenAI published another blog post, starting to explicitly name Elon as an antagonist.
This post was called, The Court Rejects Elon's latest attempt to slow Open AI down.
They wrote, this lawsuit has always been about what's good for Elon and his own for-profit
AI company. The truth is he wanted to merge a for-profit Open AI into Tesla as his own email show.
We turned him down and he left because he couldn't seize control. When he later saw the progress
we'd made without him, Elon began resorting to baseless lawsuits while still trying to copy our
playbook to develop competing models with his own for-profit multi-billion dollar company.
Last week, the court rejected Elon's request for a preliminary injunction, finding that he
hadn't demonstrated likelihood of success of the merits of his claim. In fact, the court
went further dismissing several of his claims from the case entirely. They continue,
as Elon is finding out, facts matter, especially in court. And the most important fact is one
he keeps twisting. The nonprofit isn't going anywhere. Despite what Elon claims, there is no for-profit
conversion in the cards. We welcome the opportunity to make it clear.
in court that we fully intend to, one, keep the nonprofit as a crucial part of our work to
achieve our mission, and two, make sure it's not just supported by a successful business, but
in a stronger position than ever. On May 1, Bloomberg wrote, a judge narrowed claims in Elon Musk's
lawsuit, alleging that OpenAI broke its promise to function as a public charity by making plans
to transform itself into a for-profit business. A. A. U.S. district judge ruled that Musk can pursue
fraud claims in the complaint he filed against OpenA.I. and also declined to dismiss an unjust
enrichment claim against OpenA. and Microsoft.
The judge did, however, throw out claims of false advertising and breach of fiduciary claims.
Effectively, a mixed bag, but kind of for OpenAI, any bag that wasn't just an outright dismissal
of everything was sort of a bad bag. And that brings us up to the news today. In a blog post explaining
OpenAI's change in direction, board chairman Brett Taylor wrote, we made the decision for the
nonprofit to retain control of OpenAI after hearing from civic leaders and engaging in
constructive dialogue with the offices of the Attorney General of Delaware and the Attorney
General of California. We thank both offices and we look forward to continuing these important
conversations to make sure OpenAI can continue to effectively pursue its mission of ensuring
AGI benefits all of humanity. Sam appended an open letter to the staff, which read,
Open A.I is not a normal company and never will be. When we started open AI, we did not have a
detailed sense of how we were going to accomplish our mission. We see AGI as a way to directly
empower everyone as the most capable tool in human history. We're committed to this path of
democratic AI. We want to put incredible tools in the hands of everyone. He then talks about how much
people are using chat GPT and for what, but continues. But people want to use it much more. We currently cannot
supply nearly as much AI as the world wants, and we have to put usage limits on our systems and run them
slowly. It's time for us to evolve our structure. And there are three things we want to accomplish.
We want to be able to operate and get resources in such a way that we can make ourselves broadly
available to all of humanity, which currently requires hundreds of billions of dollars and may
eventually require trillions of dollars. We want our nonprofit to be the largest and most effective
nonprofit in history, and we want to deliver beneficial AGI. This includes contributing to the shape
of safety and alignment, as AI accelerates our commitment to safety grows stronger. We want to make
sure democratic AI wins over authoritarian AI. He then reiterates that they've decided for the nonprofit
to stay in control. Open AI, he writes, was founded as a nonprofit, is today a nonprofit that
oversees and controls the for-profit, and going forward will remain a nonprofit that oversees and
controls the for-profit. The biggest change then is, one, the plan to make the change, and two,
the structure of the for-profit LLC that sits under the nonprofit. The transition to a public
benefit corporation will go forward. Altman writes, instead of our current complex cap-profit structure,
which made sense when it looked like there might be one dominant AGI effort, but doesn't in a world of
many great AGI companies, we're moving to a normal capital structure where everyone has stock.
This is not a sale, but a change of structure to something similar.
An OpenAI spokesperson confirmed that investors will own regular stock with no capped upside, also
confirming that the goal was to make it easier to raise money in the future.
The Office of the Attorney Generals were a little unclear on where they land with the
news structure.
The press office simply wrote, The California Department of Justice is reviewing the new proposed
plan.
This remains an ongoing matter, and we are in continued conversations with OpenAI.
Now, in terms of interpretation, people are still kind of just wrapping their heads around
this, but the information suggested that this is a hollow victory for Elon Musk,
and that it may lead to Sam Altman winning the war. They wrote,
Musk might have thought that by blocking OpenAI's restructuring, he could hobble its
efforts to raise money and make it easier for his own startup XAI to take the lead in the field.
But today's decision shouldn't hamstring OpenAI's fundraising. An IPO should be easily doable
once OpenAI distributes regular shares in the for-profit business to its investors,
replacing the rights they now have to future profits. All investors surely care about is OpenAI's
market lead, which seems undiminished, at least right now. Importantly, the information
piece pointed out that investors not having control over the company is nothing new in Silicon Valley.
Both Meta and Google have dual-class shares that give the founders the deciding vote in all
important decision-making. That structure obviously doesn't seem to have dissuaded investors with each
of those companies growing into one of the largest in the world. Will this stop Elon Musk?
Probably not. Hours before the announcement, Musk's lawyer said that they plan to go ahead with the
lawsuit despite this statement. Maybe the biggest overhang from this is OpenAI's investors in
the state of recent fundraising. The last two rounds of fundraising were contingent on OpenAI converting
to a for-profit. SoftBank has the right to walk away from $10 billion pledged in April, and investors
led by Microsoft have the right to clawback $6.6.6 billion raised last October if the conversion
doesn't go through. Now, this new structure would remove the profit cap on shares, so perhaps that's
good enough for the group of investors. Axios editor Dan Primac writes, today's OpenAI non-profit
for-profit news may give some investors a chance to ask for their money back, but I'm not
not hearing there's any interest in making such an ask. Still, it does appear that when it comes to
this plan, Microsoft isn't satisfied. In a piece titled Microsoft's key holdout for OpenAI restructuring
plan, they write, the software giant wants to make sure that any changes to OpenAI's structure
adequately protect Microsoft's investment. Microsoft is still actively negotiating details of
OpenAI's proposal. Microsoft has funded OpenAI to the tune of 13.75 billion, but their funding
came in a much lower valuation, meaning any sort of buyout could stretch OpenAI's finances.
The deal was also structured with a revenue share baked in, as a significant sum of the funding
came long before the conversion was contemplated. We don't know exactly how much OpenAI owes Microsoft
at the current moment, but in October, the Wall Street Journal reported on the structure of the deal,
with Bloomberg's Matt Levine expanding on the reporting, adding that the end state of the
revenue sharing agreement was that Microsoft has a claim on 49% of profits up to a certain
limit. He didn't know where that limit was, but said that 10x seemed plausible, making the Microsoft
stake worth up to 137.5 billion. Bloomberg sources claim that only OpenAI insiders, Microsoft,
and a handful of other early investors have a say on approving the deal. Microsoft are reportedly
looking to rewrite the revenue sharing agreement and negotiate their equity stake alongside other
issues. So where is this all land? Ultimately, it seems like OpenAI decided that they were
fighting a losing battle, and or the California Attorney General's office stepped in to tell them they just didn't
have a chance at approval. Functionally, it appears that the most important part of the conversion
is still in place, uncapping profits for new investors, but Microsoft remains a sticking point. The AGI's
approval is not guaranteed, and like we discussed, Elon seems hell-bent on taking them to court.
And so for now, the saga continues. However, for us, that is where we will close today.
Appreciate you listening or watching as always, and until next time, peace.
