The AI Daily Brief: Artificial Intelligence News and Analysis - OpenAI Raising $6.5B at $150B Valuation with $250M Minimum
Episode Date: September 21, 2024OpenAI's latest funding round is set to raise $6.5 billion, with a valuation reaching $150 billion. Major investors such as Microsoft, Nvidia, and Apple are participating, with Thrive Capital lead...ing the round. The minimum investment requirement has been set at $250 million. This video covers the significance of this raise, the investors involved, and the implications for the AI industry. Learn how OpenAI's new models are influencing its growth and shaping the future of artificial intelligence. Learn how to use AI with the world's biggest library of fun and useful tutorials: https://besuper.ai/ Use code 'youtube' for 50% off your first month. Concerned about being spied on? Tired of censored responses? AI Daily Brief listeners receive a 20% discount on Venice Pro. Visit https://venice.ai/nlw and enter the discount code NLWDAILYBRIEF. The AI Daily Brief helps you understand the most important news and discussions in AI. Subscribe to the podcast version of The AI Daily Brief wherever you listen: https://pod.link/1680633614 Subscribe to the newsletter: https://aidailybrief.beehiiv.com/ Join our Discord: https://bit.ly/aibreakdown
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Today on the AI Daily Brief, more information about OpenAI's monster new round.
Before that in the headlines, Apple's new iPhone is here, but no intelligence is in sight.
The AI Daily Brief is a daily podcast and video about the most important news and discussions in AI.
To join the conversation, follow the Discord link in our show notes.
Welcome back to the AI Daily Brief Headlines edition, all the daily AI news you need in around five minutes.
One of the big, exciting shifts for many in the AI space has been Apple's entrance into the field.
Now, of course, Apple being Apple, they couldn't just say they were doing AI.
They had to have their own name, Apple Intelligence.
But why people are excited about the possibilities here is that it seems like it's effectively AI for Normies, right?
This is an approach to artificial intelligence that is extremely focused on simple, day-to-day, valuable use cases,
that abstracts away a lot of the complication.
And if it works, could bring a lot of people into getting value from this field.
The challenge, of course, was that after announcing Apple Intelligence, Apple said that the iPhone would be launching without Apple Intelligence
actually included, at least not right away. Still yesterday, they began testing their software in beta.
For those who had signed up for pre-release tests and had iPhones from last year, they could begin
testing out the Apple Intelligence features, which are promising a lot. As Yahoo Finance puts it,
once the iOS 18.1 upgrade is installed with Apple Intelligence, the often bumbling series
is supposed to become more conversational, versatile, and colorful, with a glowing light that
will rotate around the iPhone screen as it responds to requests. However, even that is limited.
They continue, while Apple is promising Siri will be able to perform more tasks and be less prone to becoming confused,
it won't be able to interact with other apps installed on the iPhone until another software update comes out at a still unspecified date.
Basically, even the test version of Apple Intelligence that is coming out is still very incremental.
And this has led to a lot of reviews like this one from Axios, promising, but still has a lot to learn.
There's a lot of phrasing like this, only modest improvements, left to be excited for the future, but also impatient for it.
Still, by and large, the main community reaction right now is the fail of not launching this phone
with these features.
SJV on Twitter writes,
it's hilarious to me that after all the hype, the Verge Review doesn't even mention Apple
intelligence in its overview.
Why?
Because as Tech Radar concurs, the AI launch is a joke, anything but seamless or even late
but better.
It is AI absence of intelligence.
Matthew Berman simply put it,
I find it absolutely bonkers that the entire iPhone 16 launch is centered around
Apple Intelligence, but the feature isn't available until,
later this year. So for now, iPhone upgradeers will have to wait, and even when Apple
Intelligence does get pushed, it may not be the complete version. Over in the world of TikTok,
like every other big tech company, TikTok owner ByteDance is trying to start making its own
GPUs to stop having to rely on Nvidia. BightDance is reportedly developing two AI-focused
GPUs that will enter mass production by 2026. TSM will actually manufacture the products.
Broadcom, which has also built AI chips for Google, is expected to design the chips,
and they're expected to be produced on one of TSMC's N4N5 process technologies,
which is similar to the one used by NVIDIA's Blackwell series.
BightDense has reportedly spent over $2 billion on more than $200,000 Nvidia GPUs,
and in addition to the high prices, you have to think that part of the calculus also
might be the fact of continued and continually increasing, it seems, restrictions on American chip exports
to China.
One other issue to contend with, as Tom's hardware puts it, the massive catch about ByDance's initiative,
is that the company now relies on Nvidia's CUDA and supporting software stack for AI training and inference.
Once it goes with its AI GPUs, it must develop its software platform and ensure its software stack is fully compatible with its hardware,
meaning this is an even more complicated process.
Over in governance land, an AI advisory body at the United Nations released a report proposing seven recommendations to address AI-related risks.
The report was called governing AI for humanity.
Some of the recommendations include the creation of a body similar to the
intergovernmental panel on climate change to gather up-to-date information on AI.
Another recommendation is a new policy dialogue.
Also recommending that the UN takes steps to empower poorer nations, especially those in the
global South, to benefit and contribute.
Concerns they flag include automating disinformation, generating deepfakes,
replacing workers, and exacerbating societal algorithmic bias.
Now, whether these recommendations will actually go anywhere remains an entirely different
question. Finally, today, an interesting one in the space between AI and energy. Nuclear has come back
on the table in a big way, especially since the start of AI. And now Bloomberg is reporting that the
owner of Three Mile Island, which is a nuclear plant that was the site of a 1979 accident,
is spending $1.6 billion to revive it with an agreement to sell all of the output to Microsoft.
The owner Constellation Energy Corporation expects Three Mile Island to go back into service in
28. Now, it should be noted that the Three Mile Island has two units on site. One was permanently
closed after that 1979 nuclear accident, and the other reactor was shut down in 2019 because
it couldn't compete economically. Constellation is planning to reopen the reactor which shut down in
2019. As the Seattle Times writes, the decision is the latest sign of surging interest in the
nuclear industry as power demand for AI sores. More than a dozen reactors went dark over roughly
the past decade in face of increasing competition from cheaper natural gas and renewable energy,
But growing demand for electricity, from factories, cars, and especially from data centers,
has spurred interest in nuclear plants that can provide carbon-free power around the clock.
That, friends, is going to do it for today's AI Daily Brief Headlines edition.
Next up, the main episode.
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For a while now, we have been following the story of OpenAI's latest round. For some time,
it wasn't exactly clear whether this was just an employee tender offer or a more significant raise,
but that has become clear now. It is definitely a more significant raise. And the dynamics of it
show that whatever concerns people may have had around AI hype getting too far ahead in the summer
and OpenAI starting to surrender its lead to competitors, the latest O-1 model and its other
activities seem to have answered those entirely, as we will see. So first of all, the latest funding
round seems set to value OpenAI at around $150 billion. That's obviously significant increase from
the $80 to $90 billion of the last round. The size of the total round has also increased. We had
previously heard that Thrive Capital was leading the round, but now it appears that the total
financing will be somewhere between $5 and $7 billion, led by Thrive, which is committing a billion.
Microsoft, Nvidia, and Apple are all looking to invest, the total aggregate contribution from which
should be between $2 and $3 billion. One big question is what's the combination of cash and other
resources like computing power that's going into that, and then a couple of other likely investors
named our Tiger Global Management, as well as MGX, which is an Abu Dhabi-based AI firm. In the case of
Tiger, it appears that they're doing this through a special purpose vehicle, which will aggregate
other investors into a single investment, which, as the information puts it, could help investors
make good on their commitments without overweighing their main funds and OpenAI shares.
Now, one of the new details is an apparent quarter billion dollar minimum investment.
For some context on that, according to Pitchbook, $250 million is six times larger than the
median venture fund raised in the U.S. last year. V.C. Matt Turk framed it this way. In a tweet,
he wrote 250 million in venture capital over the years.
1990s, entire assets under management of a firm across funds.
2010's, total size of a Series A fund, 30 plus companies.
2020 to 2021, total size of one round in one late stage company.
2024, size of each participant's investment in one round of one company.
Now, what we get from Bloomberg is that even if you do have a quarter billion dollars to
spend in this, you're not guaranteed to get into the round.
Bloomberg writes that investors were set to find out today whether they
actually get into the deal. One of their sources said that excess demand was in the billions of dollars.
So if the number does come in at around 6.5 billion, that means there was potentially billions of
dollars more that were left on the table. Bloomberg also did note that there was one notable
participant who won't be investing, which is Sequoia. Bloomberg frames it potentially as a choice
to focus on rival company safe superintelligence, which was of course founded by OpenAI co-founder
Elia Sitskiver who left the company earlier this year. Maybe also this is Sequoia making good
on their concerns that they expressed in the $600 billion challenge blog post from over the summer.
The Financial Times put the logic of all this into very simple terms. Venture groups, they write,
believe OpenAI will eventually be the world's dominant AI company and worth trillions of dollars.
Ultimately, this is really all handicapping the odds that Open AI wins, which really means
Open AI continues to lead in a market that they believe is going to be worth trillions of dollars.
In that light, $150 billion starts to look, if not reasonable, at least a lot less insane.
The Financial Times added that it appears that Andrewson Horowitz is also sitting out of the round.
One of the investors that the Financial Times spoke with said,
that generative AI represented the biggest platform prize since Cloud or the Internet,
worth multiple trillions of dollars of economic value.
Another interesting note from anonymous investors in this conversation has to do with the introduction of Apple as an investor.
FT writes,
more important still could be closer ties to strategic investors,
said one investor in OpenAI.
OpenAI have Microsoft, the biggest enterprise company on the planet,
If I could pick another partner, it would be Apple, the biggest consumer company on the planet.
I'm walking into a gunfight with Google and Facebook, and I have Microsoft and Apple behind me.
It's not such a bad thing from a distribution and branding perspective.
Now, I'm sure we will get more information soon as that round finalizes, but in the meantime,
there was also an interesting conversation between Sam Altman and leaders at T-Mobile at an event
yesterday, where Altman used the recently introduced framework of levels to explain that
0-1 does represent their level 2, and that while the shift to level 2 took time, he thinks that
that means that level three will be coming faster.
We have these five levels of AI we talk about.
The first was chatbots.
The second, which we've just reached now as reasoners.
The third is agents.
The fourth is sort of innovators,
the ability to figure out new scientific information.
And the fifth is full organizations.
So this move from one to two took a while.
But I think the most exciting,
one of the most exciting is about two
is that it enables level three relatively quickly after.
and the agentic experiences that we expect this technology to eventually enable,
I think will be quite impactful.
The information recently explored this in somewhat more detail, writing,
one of the most important applications of Strawberry, which is of course now called O-1,
is to generate high-quality training data for Orion,
OpenAI's next flagship large language model that's in development.
Using Strawberry or O1 could help Orion reduce the number of hallucinations or error
it produces researchers tell me.
That's because AI models learn from their training data so the more correct examples of complex
reasoning they see, the better. Amir from the information also pointed out an Altman Easter egg
around Orion from September 13th. I love being home in the Midwest. The night sky is so beautiful,
excited for the winter constellations to rise soon. They're so great. When you ask Chat Chit,
what constellations he might be referring to. It says he is likely referring to prominent constellations
that are visible during the winter months in the Northern Hemisphere. The first one it listed
is, of course, Orion.
Since we're on the topic, a couple of additional pieces of OpenAI news to round it out,
the miniature version of OpenAI's new reasoning model is, as the week has gone on, getting more and more people excited.
Amira Friday from the information again writes, OpenAI's week of good news keeps getting better.
After releasing an initial version of its O1 reasoning model, O1 preview, new details are emerging about a smaller but faster version of the model, 01 Mini.
Turns out that O1 Mini is even better than O1 Preview and Math, according to developers.
It is generally on par in most other ways.
One reason they write for O1 Mini's relatively mighty performance,
is that OpenAI allows customers to use more tokens compared to O1 Preview.
O1 Mini's smaller size means it processes information more efficiently and more cheaply.
Because of that, OpenAI can let O1 Mini think longer than O1 Preview,
and that can help prove what the company says is the best part of its reasoning models.
More thinking time equals better answers,
otherwise known as log-linear compute scaling.
The efficiency gains OpenAI got from developing a miniature form of a reasoning model
appear to be just as big of an accomplishment as proving out that reasoning concept.
Lastly today, congrats to friend of the show, Leobelski, a former Coursera executive who I met years ago in my first stint with Learn Capital, who has just been recruited and hired by OpenAI to be their first general manager of education and lead their efforts to bring ChatGBTBT into schools and classrooms.
I, for one, am definitely on the optimistic side about how AI can help education, and so I love that there is going to be more focus there.
For now, though, that is going to do it for today's AI Daily Brief. Until next time, peace.
