The AI Daily Brief: Artificial Intelligence News and Analysis - The Age of AI Diplomacy
Episode Date: May 15, 2025AI is becoming a central pillar of geopolitical strategy, as highlighted by a series of landmark AI deals announced during a major US-Saudi investor summit. With participation from leaders like Elon M...usk, Sam Altman, and Jensen Huang, Saudi Arabia is poised to build out significant AI infrastructure. Get Ad Free AI Daily Brief: https://patreon.com/AIDailyBriefBrought to you by:KPMG – Go to https://kpmg.com/ai to learn more about how KPMG can help you drive value with our AI solutions.Blitzy.com - Go to https://blitzy.com/ to build enterprise software in days, not months Vertice Labs - Check out http://verticelabs.io/ - the AI-native digital consulting firm specializing in product development and AI agents for small to medium-sized businesses.The Agent Readiness Audit from Superintelligent - Go to https://besuper.ai/ to request your company's agent readiness score.The AI Daily Brief helps you understand the most important news and discussions in AI. Subscribe to the podcast version of The AI Daily Brief wherever you listen: https://pod.link/1680633614Subscribe to the newsletter: https://aidailybrief.beehiiv.com/Join our Discord: https://bit.ly/aibreakdownInterested in sponsoring the show? nlw@breakdown.network
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Today on the AI Daily Brief, AI Diplomacy is officially U.S. policy, and Google makes a big
AI-related change to search. The AI Daily Brief is a daily podcast and video about the most important
news and discussions in AI. Thanks to today's sponsors, KPMG, blitzie.com and superintelligent.
And to get an ad-free version of the show, go to patreon.com slash AI Daily Brief.
Welcome back to the AI Daily Brief Headlines edition, all the daily AI news you need in around five
minutes. We kick off today with the news from Google, where the company is starting to
test AI mode as a core part of their search experience. Users are reporting a few different
UX variants on the Google homepage. Some are seeing a little AI mode at the end of the search
bar, while others are seeing it replaced the I'm Feeling Lucky button below the bar. So why would
we be covering a UX update? Because frankly, for Google, whose incredibly clean homepage design
is iconic, and which has gone through very few changes in the past two decades, this shows just how
central to their future plans AI really is. Google started testing their AI mode in March on their
Google Labs platform, and it functions in a similar way to perplexity or chat GPT search, basically
being a much more interactive design than AI overviews that were introduced last year. Maybe more
important, though, is what this suggests about how Google sees the competition for AI search.
Google stock plunged last week after Apple executive Eddie Q said that AI search engines would
eventually replace Google. He also suggested that he's starting to do that he's starting to
to see people switch over in the data? Was the market's reaction to all of that a wake-up call for Google,
demonstrating that they need to put their AI features right in front of users, and show the market
that they're not going to sit passively by while search is disrupted? Maybe. This also could have
been just part of a long-standing plan, where the timing is just coincidence. There's also something
symbolic about Google deciding whether to kill the I'm Feeling Lucky button, which presents the
user with a random website. Now, in many ways, I'm Feeling Lucky is an artifact of a different time. It's a
nostalgic feature, harkening back to the early 2000s, when there are only a few million websites
on the internet, and someone might plausibly want to just surf around to find something new and
interesting. Still, I'm Feeling Lucky has held its spot on the Google front page since the
beta release all the way back in 1998. And while ultimately it may not matter all that much
practically, again, there is something symbolic about the idea of replacing this thing which
allowed humans to explore the uncharted bounds of the early internet with AI mode, putting
AI in control of information discovery. It actually says kind of a lot about the change from human-centric
to AI-mediated U.S. Pablo Esparsa writes, are we ready for a future where AI is the go-to, leaving spontaneity
behind? Now, Google also launched a new fund to invest in AI startups. The AI Futures Fund will back
startups ranging from seed to late stage that are interested in building on top of Google's
technology. Founders will be offered varying degrees of additional support, including early access
to AI models, cloud credits, and the ability to work alongside researchers from deep mining Google
Labs. A Google spokesperson said, the AI Futures Fund doesn't follow a batch or cohort model. Instead,
we consider opportunities on a rolling basis. There's no fixed application window or deadline.
When we come across companies that align with the fund's thesis, we may choose to invest.
We're not announcing a specific fund size at this time, and check sizes vary based on the company's
stage and needs. The fund has apparently already backed players like Replit, Vigel, and Synthesia.
Another big social platform TikTok is launching a new AI feature.
This time it is an image-to-video feature that allows users to animate their photos to make short-form content on the platform.
The company writes,
The feature uses intelligent editing tools that give anyone, regardless of editing experience,
the ability to transform static images into captivating short-form videos enhanced with movement, atmospheric, and creative effects.
The Verge reports that video outputs are a few seconds long, and processing takes several minutes,
So we're still in the era where technical limitations could prevent AI video from proliferating widely.
Still, it's definitely clear that social media is pushing hard into AI-generated content.
We've seen Instagram dabble with similar features over the past year,
but nothing really has landed as the first native viral AI content,
with the possible exception of GPT40 flooding X with Ghibli memes earlier this year.
Lastly, today, some interesting reporting about Project Stargate.
According to Bloomberg, the ambitious project is struggling to get off the ground
thanks to funding issues, related at least in part to tariffs and associated market volatility.
Bloomberg sources say that that volatility has caused potential lenders to be much less eager to back
the data center buildout. Now, when Stargate was first unveiled in January,
SoftBank committed to deploy $100 billion immediately and raise around $500 billion over time.
More than three months later, SoftBank appears to not yet have begun detailed talks with lenders.
They opened preliminary talks with dozens of banks and alternative asset managers earlier this year.
However, Bloomberg sources say that lenders have become.
come squeamish at the idea of funding expensive data centers in the midst of both rising economic
volatility and cost reductions in AI services. Bloomberg writes,
Complicating matters is the emergence of a flurry of cheaper AI models such as Chinese
startup deepseeks and questions over how they might affect long-term profitability of projects linked
to open AI. Tariffs are also set to weigh on the project even if funding is secured.
Cost increases for hardware, including server racks, cooling systems, and chips, have caused
data center build costs to rise between 5% and 15% according to TD Cowan analysts.
Now, obviously we are in the midst of a big return rally, so maybe this will change.
And we also have some, like Futurum Group CEO, Daniel Newman, who said that at the
Milken conference last week, he heard 100% the opposite, so who knows.
Ultimately, the point which we are going to extend into the main episode today is that
macro and geopolitics and AI are getting wound together in interesting ways.
And in fact, that is the perfect segue.
So there we will close today's headlines.
Next up, the main episode.
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Welcome back to the AI Daily Brief. We are in the thick of some very consequential geopolitical
moves when it comes to AI. In fact, I think it's fair to say that AI is
at the very center of U.S. diplomacy right now, with an absolute flurry of AI deals happening
in Saudi Arabia this week that could reshape not only AI development in the Middle East,
but AI proliferation around the world in general. Now, it's worth getting a little bit of back story.
For those of you who are regular listeners, you will remember some of this over the past
couple of years of the show. It has been clear for some time that in the geopolitical competition
with China around AI, maybe the most consequential region outside of either the U.S. or China
was the Gulf states and the Middle East. Both geographically, they are right in the center,
but more than that, from a business perspective, these companies have been right in the center
and trying, frankly, to play both sides as well. You might remember that about a year ago,
Microsoft announced a big investment in the UAE-based AI firm G42. This actually led to a
congressional inquiry, with the Select Committee on China writing a statement that said,
on the one hand, this deal could be very positive for America. It benefits our private sector and
promotes closer ties with an important nation in the Middle East. But there is also a risk
Microsoft's partnership could open up a backdoor for advanced U.S. technology to flow to the People's
Republic of China. The Select Committee's statement then goes on to connect the dots back to research
what they had found, that G42 had extensive ties to a number of PRC firms, all of which had
already led to concessions in the deal. Most notably, part of the arrangement was that G42
had to decide once and for all whether they were going to lean towards the U.S. or lean towards
China, and before the Microsoft deal had even come together, they had made a secret pact to basically
completely divest from China. Anyways, this was just one example, but reflective of the type of
conversations that we were having about the Middle East when it came to AI. Now, meanwhile, Saudi Arabia
and the Gulf states in general are in the midst of a multi-decade transition where they are trying
to be less economically reliant on oil alone. Technology has for some time been the big bet,
and AI has become the center of that ambition. And that brings us up to this week.
week, where Saudi Arabia is hosting a group of AI leaders for a U.S.-S.-Saudi investor summit.
And it is an absolute murderer's row. Elon Musk is there, Blackstone CEO Stephen Schwartzman,
BlackRock, Larry Fink, the CEOs of IBM, Citicorp, Boeing, Google, Amazon,
Sam Altman from Open AI, Jensen Huang from Nvidia, Ray Dalio, Travis Kalanick. The list goes on and on.
Now, additionally, President Trump was present as part of a multi-country Middle Eastern trip.
his keynote speech wasn't particularly AI-related, but I do think it gives a lot of useful context
for the rest of the announcements. He said,
It's crucial for the wider world to know this great transformation has not come from Western
interventionists or flying people in beautiful planes giving you lectures on how to live and how to
govern your own affairs. No, the gleaming marvels of Riyadh and Abu Dhabi were not created
by the so-called nation builders, neocons, or liberal non-profits, like those who spent trillions
and trillions of dollars failing to develop Baghdad in so many other cities. Instead, the birth of a
modern Middle East has been brought by the people of the region themselves, the people that are right
here, the people that have lived here all their lives, developing your own sovereign countries,
pursuing your own unique visions, and charting your own destinies in your own way. You achieved a
modern miracle, the Arabian way. Now, if you're paying attention to American politics at all,
you'll know that there is a heck of a lot going on between the Trump administration and this region
that has nothing to do with AI, and I am very obviously and clearly not getting into that here,
but that is the text and the tenor of Trump's speech. And indeed, the deals that were in
this week, seemed to chart a course for Saudi Arabia to develop localized AI on their own terms
rather than under the close oversight of the U.S. government. This is a sharp pivot from the doctrine
under the Biden administration, where it seemed like AI could be headed towards being treated as a
restricted technology in the same manner as nuclear energy. So with that framing in mind,
let's talk about the rest of these announcements. Yesterday, the Commerce Department officially announced
they would rescind the Biden-era AI diffusion rule. This enhanced form of export controls would have
split the world into three tiers, with the first tier of close allies being the only ones with
unrestricted access to advanced AI chips. The biggest controversy in this rule came around the
second tier countries, who had very strict permitting required to export commercial quantities of chips,
as well as a hard cap on annual supply that was frankly very low. Importantly, this group of
nation included India, Israel, as well as Saudi Arabia. And while I covered that debate in detail in
recent episodes, the argument was basically about the risk of chips being smuggled into China,
against the need to spread U.S. made AI as widely as possible.
I pointed out that even the term diffusion rule was confusing about which of those it was trying to prioritize.
In a statement, the Commerce Department said,
the AI diffusion rule would have undermined U.S. diplomatic relations with dozens of countries
by downgrading them to second-tier status.
The announcement flagged a replacement for the diffusion rule to be introduced in the future,
but had no details to give at this stage.
The other big part of the announcement was stronger guidance on the use of Chinese AI chips.
The department said that using Huawei Ascend chips anywhere in the world violates U.S. export controls,
and there was also new guidance on the use of U.S. chips in the training of Chinese AI models.
The Undersecretary of Commerce for Industry and Security said,
The Trump administration will pursue a bold, inclusive strategy to American AI technology
with trusted foreign countries around the world while keeping the technology out of the hands of our adversaries.
And honestly, this is the clearest call yet.
Essentially, it seems directionally like the administration is trying to set up a new paradigm.
where most countries have easy access to USAI tech as long as they don't touch Chinese AI,
effectively a very explicit call for nations to pick a side.
Now, pretty clearly, Saudi Arabia has picked aside.
Over a trillion dollars in commercial deals were announced yesterday,
with the bulk being a pledge from Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman
to invest 600 billion into the U.S. over the next four years,
alongside a $142 billion defense and security deal.
So what are the several hundred other billion dollars?
Well, those are the AI deals.
essentially Saudi Arabia has announced deals that amount to a full-stack AI buildout
through their newly announced date-owned AI firm called Humane.
InVedia will supply the kingdom with several hundred thousand AI chips over the next five years.
The buildout of new data centers began with an order for 18,000 Blackwell GB300 units.
AMD will also supply chips, with a $10 billion price tag attached to a joint data center project
that, quote, stretches from the kingdom of Saudi Arabia to the United States.
Amazon has committed to spending $5 billion to build an AI zone in the kingdom,
which adds to a previous $5.3 billion commitment to construct a cluster of data centers in the
country, with that deal expanding to delivery of cloud services and the development of an AI
agent marketplace. Everyone out there wanted to get into the agent marketplace game.
Cisco is also in the mix, partnering on networking infrastructure for what's shaping up to be an
ambitious AI buildout, and Google is providing capital with the tech giant investing in a $100 million
AI fund from Saudi venture firm STV. A statement said the fund would be focused on early-stage
startups in the Middle East and North Africa, with a focus on infrastructure and the application
layer. What's more, there seemed to be another big set of deals to be announced when Trump
travels to the UAE later this week. Bloomberg sources state the administration is considering allowing
the UAE to import 500,000 chips annually until 2027. This would be roughly four times as many as would
have been allowed under the diffusion rule, crucially unlocking the ability to build megaclusters
for training. The sources said one-fifth of these chips would be allocated to G-42, with the rest going
to U.S. companies building data centers in the nation. The other big rumor is that OpenAI is set
to announce a data center to be built in the UA as part of the Stargate project. Now, of course,
OpenAI recently announced that they want to partner with national governments to develop AI
infrastructure outside of the U.S., and that announcement came with heavy overtones that the plan
was to ensure that U.S. AI outcompeted Chinese AI for global development. The company wrote,
partnering closely with the U.S. government is the best way to advance Democratic AI. Now, speaking of
G-42, OpenAI has a long-standing relationship with that company, so there's the potential for this
to be a joint project rather than OpenAI owning the infrastructure layer in the UAE.
Opinions on all this are, of course, going to be mixed. As I mentioned before, there are other
political issues going on beyond just these AI deals. But then at the same time, you have a lot
of vocal support for the deals as well. Kevin O'Leary, for example, discussing China, said Trump's
cutting them off at the pass in the fastest-growing region on Earth, the Middle East. Vittorio on Twitter
writes, Trump, Elon, Sam, A, Jensen, and Saudi royalty. This might be one of the most important events
of the decade. Trump signs peace accords and sets up the largest bilateral deal in history. Elon
brings autonomy, solar grids, and orbital access. Sam A brings AGI in Stargate infrastructure.
Jensen brings silicon and compute. Saudis bring capital land and energy. This is how post-sacarcity
begins. Compute for carbon swaps and desert solar powering AGI, fabs instead of oil rigs,
and Starship landing pads on Arabian sand.
Petaflop replaces PetroDolar and Sun replaces oil.
This is the birth of a post-Western post-scarcity post-democratic world order.
Now, obviously, that is an extremely optimistic, if very appealing view of how this could all
play out.
But what is absolutely clear is that AI diplomacy is now a key part of U.S. policy.
It is no longer just something being discussed in the halls of Washington.
It is now being enacted around the world, and it could have some very big implications for
how AI plays out.
from here. For now though, that is going to do it for today's AI Daily Brief. Appreciate you
listening or watching as always. And until next time, peace.
