The AI Daily Brief: Artificial Intelligence News and Analysis - The Techno-Optimist Manifesto

Episode Date: October 16, 2023

Marc Andreessen has just published The Techno-Optimist Manifesto. NLW reads the piece and provides context on why it matters for the AI discourse. Read: https://a16z.com/the-techno-optimist-manifesto/... Today's Sponsors: Listen to the chart-topping podcast 'web3 with a16z crypto' wherever you get your podcasts or here: https://link.chtbl.com/xz5kFVEK?sid=AIBreakdown  ABOUT THE AI BREAKDOWN The AI Breakdown helps you understand the most important news and discussions in AI.  Subscribe to The AI Breakdown newsletter: https://theaibreakdown.beehiiv.com/subscribe Subscribe to The AI Breakdown on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheAIBreakdown Join the community: bit.ly/aibreakdown Learn more: http://breakdown.network/

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Today on the AI breakdown, we are reading the just-published techno-optimism manifesto by Mark Andresen and explaining why it represents a ratcheting up of the narrative warfare around artificial intelligence. The AI breakdown is a daily podcast and video about the most important news and discussions in AI. Go to Breakdown.network for more information about our Discord, our YouTube channel, and our newsletter. Welcome back to the AI breakdown. Today we are doing something a little bit different. It is a Monday, and normally that would mean that we have our traditional format, a set of stories that represent the brief, followed by a main episode.
Starting point is 00:00:37 But interestingly, today was a relatively quiet newsday, and in fact, what I had been planning on doing was giving an update on the AI safety conversation. There has recently been a more concerted effort to effectively call out and track which organizations are most involved in the AI safety discussion in Washington, particularly those who are telling the story of existential risk. There was a big Politico article about this the other day, and a set of medium posts that tracks the narrative and linguistic evolution of the AI safety space has also been getting a lot of traction. Now, perhaps that is all part and parcel of the timing of today's post from Mark Andresen on the Andresen Horowitz's blog, which again is called the techno-optimism manifesto. If you've been paying attention to this conversation at all, you'll know that Mark Andreessen has been one of the loudest voices, pushing back against that AI safety concern and trying to articulate a different vision for the world.
Starting point is 00:01:28 Now, let's talk about the spirit in which this is presented. I think that this debate, with X-risk on the one end of the spectrum, and accelerationism on the other, is going to shape a huge amount of how the future actually looks. It's going to find its way into policy, and more broadly, it's going to shape how a lot of people view the development of the AI space in general. I think Andresen dropping an extensive self-named manifesto like this is destined to shape that conversation. And so I think it's valuable for you to have it in its entirety.
Starting point is 00:01:56 It is presented then as yet another piece of evidence, another artifact for you to explore, to help you decide and understand where you personally fall. The only thing that I know for sure is that the more people who can inhale the techno-optimism manifesto, as well as take seriously the most concerned arguments of the AI safety folks and ex-riskers, the better we're going to be at navigating a very complex future. I think you'll also be interested to see how the choice was made to write this specifically. It is very clearly about artificial intelligence. and about the conversation that we're having about artificial intelligence in society.
Starting point is 00:02:30 But it's also clear that Andresen has made an assessment that the fights that artificial intelligence are having are the culmination of a much larger and longer set of fights that go back a much longer way. He is choosing to frame this in very kind of fundamentalist terms in some ways, that the way that we have as a society been recently taught to be skeptical of and even afraid of technology is in his estimation wrong and not just wrong but damaging. The choice of the word manifesto is not an accident, and it is certainly warranted. This is not just a defense of artificial intelligence. It's a defense of a totally different way of looking at the world that isn't just angry at big tech,
Starting point is 00:03:08 and that sees opportunity, not fear when it comes to new technology. Now, in the days and weeks to come, people are going to absolutely pick this apart. There are going to be tweet threads, response essays, podcasts about why it's wrong. And of course, anything that pitches itself as something as grandiose as the techno-optimism manifesto is likely to provoke a lot of disagreement and debate. But I do think it's a reflection of how significant the conversation is. But here now, just after this quick sponsor message, is the techno-optimism manifesto. I will also say before we get into the sponsor message, just for the record, A16Z's crypto show sponsoring the AI breakdown has nothing to do with my choice to read this post.
Starting point is 00:03:46 I think the fact that I've read things from the Andresen Horowitz blog before, as well as their counterpoints, probably should make that clear. But it's worth saying we do live in a sometimes compromised world. But anyway, let's listen to that sponsor message and then we will read the techno-optimism manifesto. Are you interested in how two top-of-mind trends AI and crypto can work together? If so, I have the perfect podcast recommendation for you. Web3 with A16Crypto, the chart-topping show brought to you by venture firm Andresen Horowitz. Web3 with A16Crypto is your definitive resource for the future of the internet, whether you're already building in these spaces or simply curious about what's
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Starting point is 00:05:07 All right, friends, the techno-optimism manifesto by Mark Andresen begins with a set of quotes. The first is from Walker Percy and reads, You live in a deranged age. More deranged than usual, because despite great scientific and technological advances, man has not the faintest idea of who he is or what he is doing. The second quote is from Mari and Tuppy and reads, Our species is 300,000 years old. For the first 290,000 years, we were foragers,
Starting point is 00:05:33 subsisting in a way that's still observable among the Bushmen of the Kalahari and the sentinelese of the Andaman Islands. Even after Homo sapiens embraced agriculture, progress was painfully slow. A person born in Sumer in 4,000 BC would find the resources, work, and technology available in England at the time of the Norman conquest, or in the Aztec Empire at the time of Columbus quite familiar. Then, beginning in the 18th century, many people's standard of living skyrocketed, what brought about this dramatic improvement and why.
Starting point is 00:05:59 Third and final quote to kick this off comes from Thomas Edison. There's a way to do it better. Find it. The main piece then begins, lies. We are being lied to. We are told that technology takes our jobs, reduces our wages, increases inequality, threatens our health, ruins the environment, degrades our society, corrupts our children, impairs our humanity, threatens our future,
Starting point is 00:06:19 and is ever on the verge of ruining everything. We are told to be angry, bitter, and resentful about technology. We are told to be pessimistic. The myth of Prometheus in various updated forms like Frankenstein, Oppenheimer, and Terminator haunts our nightmares. We are told to denounce our birthright, our intelligence, our control over nature, our ability to build a better world. We are told to be miserable about the future.
Starting point is 00:06:42 Truth. Our civilization was built on technology. Our civilization is built on technology. Technology is the glory of. of human ambition and achievement, the spearhead of progress, and the realization of our potential. For hundreds of years, we've properly glorified this until recently. I am here to bring the good news. We can advance to a far superior way of living and of being. We have the tools, the systems, the ideas. We have the will. It is time, once again, to raise the technology flag. It is time
Starting point is 00:07:09 to be techno-optimists. Technology. Techno-optimists believe that societies like sharks grow or die. We believe growth is progress, leading to vitality, expansion of life, increasing knowledge, higher well-being. We agree with Paul Collier when he says, economic growth is not a cure-all, but a lack of growth is a kill-all. We believe everything good is downstream of growth. We believe not growing is stagnation, which leads to zero-sum thinking, internal fighting, degradation, collapse, and ultimately death. There are only three sources of growth, population growth, natural resource utilization, and technology. Developed societies are depopulating all over the world
Starting point is 00:07:45 across cultures. The total human population may already be shrinking. Natural resource resource utilization has sharp limits, both real and political. And so the only perpetual source of growth is technology. In fact, technology, new knowledge, new tools with the Greeks called Techni, has always been the main source of growth and perhaps the only cause of growth. As technology made both population growth and natural resource utilization possible, we believe technology is a lever on the world, the way to make more with less. Economists measure technological progress as productivity growth. How much more we can produce each year with fewer inputs, fewer raw materials. Productivity growth, powered by technology, is the main driver of economic growth, wage growth,
Starting point is 00:08:24 and the creation of new industries and new jobs. As people in capital are continuously free to do more important valuable things than in the past. Productivity growth causes prices to fall, supply to rise, and demand to expand, improving the material well-being of the entire population. We believe this is the story of the material development of our civilization. This is why we are not still living in mud huts, eking out a meager survival and waiting for nature to kill us. We believe this is why our descendants will live in the stars.
Starting point is 00:08:49 We believe that there is no material problem, whether created by nature or by technology, that cannot be solved with more technology. We had a problem of starvation, so we invented the Green Revolution. We had a problem of darkness, so we invented electric lighting. We had a problem of cold, so we invented indoor heating. We had a problem of heat, so we invented air conditioning. We had a problem of isolation, so we invented the internet. We had a problem of pandemics, so we invented vaccines.
Starting point is 00:09:13 We had a problem of poverty, so we invent technology to create abundance. Give us a real-world problem, and we can invent technology. that will solve it. Markets. We believe free markets are the most effective way to organize a technological economy. Willing buyers meet willing sellers, a price is struck, both sides benefit from the exchange, or it doesn't happen. Profits are the incentive for producing supply that fulfills demand. Prices encode information about supply and demand. Markets cause entrepreneurs to seek out high prices as a signal of opportunity to create new wealth by driving those prices down. We believe the market economy is a discovery machine, a form of intelligence, an exploratory, evolutionary, adaptive,
Starting point is 00:09:49 We believe Hayek's knowledge problem overwhelms any centralized economic system. All actual information is on the edges in the hands of the people closest to the buyer. The center, abstracted away from both the buyer and the seller, knows nothing. Centralized planning is doomed to fail. The system of production and consumption is too complex. Decentralization harnesses complexity for the benefit of everyone. Centralization will starve you to death. We believe in market discipline.
Starting point is 00:10:12 The market naturally disciplines the seller either learns or changes when the buyer fails to show or exits the market. naturally disciplines. The seller either learns and changes when the buyer fails to show, or exits the market. When market discipline is absent, there is no limit to how crazy things can get. The motto of every monopoly and cartel, every centralized institution not subject to market discipline, we don't care because we don't have to. Markets prevent monopolies and cartels. We believe markets lift people out of poverty. In fact, markets are by far the most effective way to lift vast numbers of people out of poverty and always have been. Even in totalitarian regimes,
Starting point is 00:10:46 and incremental lifting of the repressive boot off the throat of the people, and their ability to produce and trade leads to rapidly rising incomes and standards of living. Lift the boot a little more, even better. Take the boot off entirely, who knows how rich everyone can get. We believe markets are an inherently individualistic way to achieve superior collective outcomes. We believe markets do not require people to be perfect or even well-intentioned, which is good because, have you met people? Adam Smith said,
Starting point is 00:11:11 it is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker that we can expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own self-interest. We address ourselves not to their humanity, but to their self-love, and never talk to them of our own necessities, but of their advantages. David Friedman points out that people only do things for other people for three reasons. Love, money, or force. Love doesn't scale, so the economy can only run on money or force. The force experiment has been run and found wanting. Love doesn't scale, so the economy can only run on money or force. The force experiment has been run and found wanting. Let's stick with money.
Starting point is 00:11:42 We believe the ultimate moral defense of markets is that they divert people. who otherwise would raise armies and start religions into peacefully productive pursuits. We believe markets, to quote Nicholas Stern, are how we take care of people we don't know. We believe markets are the way to generate societal wealth for everything else we want to pay for, including basic research, social welfare programs, and national defense. We believe there is no conflict between capitalist profits and a social welfare system that protects the vulnerable. In fact, they are aligned. The production of markets creates the economic wealth that pays for everything else we want as a society. We believe central economic planning
Starting point is 00:12:13 elevates the worst of us and drags everyone down. Markets exploit the best of us to benefit all of us. We believe central planning is a doom loop. Markets are an upward spiral. The economist William Nordhaus has shown that creators of technology are only able to capture about 2% of the economic value created by that technology. The other 98% flows through to society in the form of what economists call social surplus. Technological innovation in a market system is inherently philanthropic by a 50-1 ratio. Who gets more value from a new technology, the single company that makes it, or the millions or billions of people who use it to improve their lives. QED.
Starting point is 00:12:47 We believe in David Ricardo's concept of comparative advantage. As distinct from competitive advantage, comparative advantage holds that even someone who is the best in the world at doing everything will buy most things from other people due to opportunity cost. Comparative advantage in the context of a properly free market guarantees high employment regardless of the level of technology. We believe a market sets wages as a function of the marginal productivity of the worker. Therefore, technology, which raises productivity, drives wages up, not down.
Starting point is 00:13:13 This is perhaps the most counterintuitive idea in all of economics, but it's true, and we have 300 years of history that prove it. We believe in Milton Friedman's observation that human wants and needs are infinite. We believe markets also increase societal well-being by generating work in which people can productively engage. We believe a universal basic income would turn people into zoo animals to be farmed by the state. Man was not meant to be far meant to be useful, to be productive, to be proud. We believe technological change far from reducing the need for human work increases it, by broadening the scope of what humans can productively do.
Starting point is 00:13:44 We believe that since human wants and needs are infinite, economic demand is infinite, and job growth can continue forever. We believe that markets are generative, not exploitative, positive some, not zero-sum. Participants in markets build on one another's work and output. James Carsey describes finite games and infinite games. Finite games have an end when one person wins and another loses. Infinite games never end, as players collaborate to discover what's possible in the game. Markets are the ultimate infinite game.
Starting point is 00:14:08 Combine technology and markets, and you get what. what Nick Land has termed the techno-capital machine, engine of perpetual material creation, growth, and abundance. We believe the techno-capital machine of markets and innovation never ends, but instead spirals continuously upward. Comparative advantage increases specialization and trade. Prices fall, freeing up purchasing power, creating demand. Falling prices benefits everyone who buys goods and services, which is to say everyone. Human wants and needs are endless, and entrepreneurs continuously create new goods and services to satisfy those wants and needs, deploying unlimited numbers of people and machines in the process.
Starting point is 00:14:41 This upward spiral has been running for hundreds of years despite continuous howling from communists and Luddites. Indeed, as of 2019, before the temporary COVID disruption, the result was the largest number of jobs at the highest wages and the highest levels of material living standards in the history of the planet. The techno-capital machine makes natural selection work for us in the realm of ideas. The best and most productive ideas win
Starting point is 00:15:01 and are combined and generate even better ideas. Those ideas materialized in the real world as technology enabled goods and services that never would have emerged, De Novo. Ray Kurzweil defines his laws of accelerating returns. Technological advances tend to feed on themselves, increasing the rate of further advance. We believe in accelerationism, the conscious and deliberate propulsion of technological development, to ensure the fulfillment of the law of accelerating returns. To ensure the techno-capital upward spiral continues forever. We believe the techno-capital machine is not anti-human. In fact, it may be the most pro-human thing
Starting point is 00:15:32 there is. It serves us. The techno-capital machine works for us. All the machines work for us. We believe the cornerstone resources of the techno-capital upward spiral are intelligence and energy, ideas, and the power to make them real. Intelligence. We believe intelligence is the ultimate engine of progress. Intelligence makes everything better. Smart people and smart societies outperform less smart ones on virtually every metric we can measure. Intelligence is the birthright of humanity. We should expand it as fully and broadly as we possibly can. We believe intelligence is in an upward spiral. First, as more smart people around the world are recruited into the techno-capital machine. Second, as people form symbiotic relationships with machines into new
Starting point is 00:16:12 cybernetic systems such as companies and networks. Third, as artificial intelligence ramps up to the capabilities of our machines and ourselves. We believe we are poised for an intelligence takeoff that will expand our capabilities to unimagined heights. We believe artificial intelligence is our alchemy, our philosopher stone. We are literally making sand think. We believe artificial intelligence is best thought of as a universal problem solver, and we have a lot of problems to solve. We believe artificial intelligence can save lives if we let it. Medicine, among many other fields, is in the Stone Age compared to what we can achieve with joined human and machine intelligence working on new cures. There are scores of common causes of death that can be fixed with AI,
Starting point is 00:16:50 from car crashes to pandemics to wartime-friendly fire. We believe any deceleration of AI will cost lives. Deaths that were preventable by the AI that was prevented from existing is a form of murder. We believe in augmented intelligence just as much as we believe in artificial intelligence. Intelligent machines augment intelligent humans, driving a geometric expansion of what humans can do. We believe augmented intelligence drives marginal productivity, which drives wage growth, which drives demand, which drives the creation of new supply, with no upper bound. Energy. Energy is life. We take it for granted, but without it, we have darkness, starvation, and pain. With it, we have light, safety, and warmth. We believe energy should be in an upward spiral.
Starting point is 00:17:28 Energy is the foundation engine of our civilization. The more energy we have, the more people we can have, and the better everyone's lives can be. We should raise everyone to the energy consumption level we have, then increase our energy 1000x, then raise everyone else's energy 1,000x as well. The current gap in per capita energy use between the smaller developed world and larger developing world is enormous.
Starting point is 00:17:48 That gap will close, either by massively expanding energy production, making everyone better off, or by massively reducing energy production, making everyone worse off. We believe energy need not expand to the detriment of the natural environment. We have the silver bullet
Starting point is 00:18:01 for virtually unlimited zero emissions energy today, nuclear fission. In 1973, President Richard Nixon called for Project Independence, the construction of 1,000 nuclear power plants by the year 2000 to achieve complete U.S. energy independence. Nixon was right. We didn't build the plants then, but we can now, anytime we decide we want to. Atomic Energy Commissioner Thomas Murray said in 1953, for years the splitting atom, packaged in weapons, has been our main shield against the barbarians. Now, in addition, it is a god-given instrument to do the constructive work of mankind. Murray was right too. We believe a Second, energy silver bullet is coming.
Starting point is 00:18:34 Nuclear fusion. We should build that as well. The same bad ideas that effectively outlawed fission are going to try to outlaw fusion. We should not let them. We believe there is no inherent conflict between the techno-capital machine and the natural environment. Per capita, U.S. carbon emissions are lower now than they were 100 years ago, even without nuclear power.
Starting point is 00:18:51 We believe technology is the solution to environmental degradation and crisis. A technologically advanced society improves the natural environment. A technologically stagnant society ruins it. If you want to see environmental devastation, visit a former communist country. The socialist USSR was far worse for the natural environment than the capitalist US. We believe a technologically stagnant society has limited energy at the cost of environmental ruin. A technologically advanced society has unlimited clean energy for everyone. Abundance.
Starting point is 00:19:17 We believe we should place intelligence and energy in a positive feedback loop and drive them both to infinity. We believe we should use the feedback loop of intelligence and energy to make everything we want and need abundant. We believe the measure of abundance is falling prices. Every time a price falls, the universe of people who buy it get a raise in buying power, which is the same as a rise in income. If a lot of goods and services drop in price, the result is an upward expansion of buying power, real income, and quality of life. We believe that if we make both intelligence and energy, quote, too cheap to meter, the ultimate result will be that all physical goods become as cheap as pencils. Penciles are actually quite technologically complex and difficult to manufacture, and yet nobody gets mad if you borrow a pencil and fail to return it. We should make the same true of all physical goods.
Starting point is 00:19:58 We believe we should push to drop prices across the economy through the appreciation of technology until as many prices are effectively zero as possible, driving income levels and quality of life into the stratosphere. We believe Andy Warhol was right when he said, What's great about this country is America started the tradition, where the richest consumers buy essentially the same things as the poorest. You can be watching TV and see Coca-Cola, and you can know that the president drinks Coke, Liz Taylor drinks Coke, and just think you can drink Coke too. A Coke is a Coke and no amount of money can get you a better Coke than the one the bum on the corner is drinking. All the cocs are the same and all the
Starting point is 00:20:28 the coax are good. Same for the browser, the smartphone, the chatbot. We believe that technology ultimately drives the world to what Buckminster Fuller called ephemeralization, what economists called dematerialization. Fuller said, technology lets you do more and more with less and less until eventually you can do everything with nothing. We believe technological progress therefore leads to material abundance for everyone. We believe the ultimate payoff from technological abundance can be a massive expansion in what Julian Simon called the ultimate resource, people. We believe, as Simon did that people are the ultimate resource, with more people, come more creativity, more new ideas, and more technological progress. We believe material abundance therefore ultimately means more people,
Starting point is 00:21:06 a lot more people, which in turn leads to more abundance. We believe our planet is dramatically underpopulated compared to the population we could have with abundant intelligence, energy, and material goods. We believe the global population can quite easily expand to 50 billion people or more, and then far beyond that as we ultimately settle other planets. We believe that out of all of these people will come scientists, technologists, artists, and visionaries beyond our wildest dreams. We believe the ultimate mission of technology is to advance life both on Earth and in the stars. However, we are not utopians. We are adherence to what Thomas Sowell calls the constrained vision.
Starting point is 00:21:38 We believe the constrained vision, contra the unconstrained vision of utopia, communism, and expertise, means taking people as they are, testing ideas empirically, and liberating people to make their own choices. We believe in not utopia, but also not apocalypse. We believe changes only happen on the margin, but a lot of change across a very large margin can lead to big outcomes. While not utopian, we believe in what Brad DeLong terms slouching toward utopia, doing the best fallen humanity can do, making things better as we go.
Starting point is 00:22:06 Becoming technological supermen. We believe that advancing technology is one of the most virtuous things that we can do. We believe in deliberately and systematically transforming ourselves into the kind of people who can advance technology. We believe this certainly means technical education, but it also means going hands-on, gaining practical skills, working within and leading teams, aspiring to build something greater than oneself, aspiring to work with others to build something greater as a group. We believe the natural human drive to make things, to gain territory, to explore the unknown, can be channeled
Starting point is 00:22:33 productively into building technology. We believe that while the physical frontier, at least here on Earth, is closed, technological frontier is wide open. We believe in exploring and claiming the technological frontier. We believe in the romance of technology, of industry, the eros of the train, the car, the electric light, the skyscraper, and the microchip, the neural network, the rocket, the split atom. We believe in adventure, undertaking the hero's journey, rebelling against the status quo, mapping uncharted territory, conquering dragons, and bringing home the spoils for our community. To paraphrase a manifesto of a different time and place, beauty only exists in struggle. There is no masterpiece that has not an aggressive character.
Starting point is 00:23:08 Technology must be a violent assault on the forces of the unknown to force them to bow before man. We believe that we are, have been, and will always be the masters of technology, not mastered by technology. Victim mentality is a curse in every domain of life, including in our relationship with technology, both unnecessary and self-defeating. We are not victims, we are conquerors. We believe in nature, but we also believe in overcoming nature. We are not primitives, cowering and fear of the lightning bolt. We are the apex predator. The lightning works for us. We believe in greatness. We admire the great technologists and industrialists who came before us, and we aspire to make them proud of us today. And we believe in humanity, individually and collectively. Technological values. We
Starting point is 00:23:47 We believe in ambition, aggression, persistence, relentlessness, strength. We believe in merit and achievement. We believe in bravery, encourage. We believe in pride, confidence, and self-respect when earned. We believe in free thought, free speech, and free inquiry. We believe in the actual scientific method and enlightenment values of free discourse and challenging the authority of experts. We believe, as Richard Feynman said, science is the belief in the ignorance of experts.
Starting point is 00:24:10 And, I would rather have questions that can't be answered than answers that can't be questioned. We believe in local knowledge, the people with actual information-making decision, not in playing God. We believe in embracing variance in increasing interestingness. We believe in risk, in leaps into the unknown. We believe in agency, in individualism. We believe in radical competence. We believe in an absolute rejection of resentment. As Kerry Fisher said, resentment is like drinking poison and waiting for the other person to die. We take responsibility and we overcome. We believe in competition because we believe in evolution. We believe in evolution because we believe in life. We believe in the truth. We believe rich is better than poor,
Starting point is 00:24:45 cheap is better than expensive, and abundant is better than scarce. We believe in making everyone rich, everything cheap, and everything abundant. We believe extrinsic motivations, wealth, fame, and revenge, are fine as far as they go. But we believe intrinsic motivations, the satisfaction of building something new, the camaraderie of being on a team, the achievement of becoming a better version of oneself, are more fulfilling and more lasting. We believe in what the Greeks called unimonia through Arete, flourishing through excellence. We believe technology is universalist. Technology doesn't care about your ethnicity, race, religion, national origin, gender, sexuality, political views, height, weight, hair, or lack thereof. Technology is built by a virtual United Nations of
Starting point is 00:25:21 talent from all over the world. Anyone with a positive attitude and a cheap laptop can contribute. Technology is the ultimate open society. We believe in the Silicon Valley Code of Pay It Forward, trust via aligned incentives, generosity of spirit to help one another learn and grow. We believe America and her allies should be strong and not weak. We believe national strength of liberal democracies flows from economic strength, financial power, cultural strength, soft power, and military strength, hard power. Economic, cultural, and military strength flow from technological strength. A technologically strong America is a force for good in a dangerous world. Technologically strong liberal democracies safeguard liberty and peace. Technologically weak liberal
Starting point is 00:25:58 democracies lose to their autocratic rivals, making everyone worse off. We believe technology makes greatness more possible and more likely. We believe in filling our potential, becoming fully human for ourselves, our communities, and our society. The meaning of life. Techno-optimism is a material philosophy, not a political philosophy. We are not necessarily left-wing, although some of us are. We are not necessarily right-wing, although some of us are. We are materially focused for a reason to open the aperture on how we may choose to live amid material abundance. A common critique of technology is that it removes choice from our lives as machines make decisions for us. This is undoubtedly true, yet more than offset by the freedom to create our lives that flows from the material
Starting point is 00:26:35 abundance created by our use of machines. Material abundance from markets and technology opens the space for religion, for politics, and for choices of how to live, socially and individually. We believe technology is liberatory, liberatory of human potential, liberatory of the human soul, the human spirit, expanding what it can mean to be free, to be fulfilled, to be alive. We believe technology opens the space of what it can mean to be human. The enemy. We have enemies. Our enemies are not bad people, but rather bad ideas. Our present society has been subjected to a mass demoralization campaign for six decades, against technology and against life. Under varying names like existential risk, sustainability, ESG, sustainable development goals,
Starting point is 00:27:16 social responsibility, stakeholder capitalism, precautionary principle, trust and safety, tech ethics, risk management, degrowth, the limits of growth. This demoralization campaign is based on bad ideas of the past, zombie ideas, many derive from communism disastrous then and now that have refused to die. Our enemy is stagnation. Our enemy is anti-merit. Anti-ambition, anti-striving, anti-achievement, anti-greatness. Our enemy is statism, authoritarianism, collectivism, central planning, socialism. Our enemy is bureaucracy, vittocracy, gerontocracy, blind deference to tradition. Our enemy is corruption, regulatory capture, monopolies, cartels.
Starting point is 00:27:51 Our enemy as institutions that in their youth were vital and energetic and truth-seeking, but are now compromised and corroded and collapsing, blocking progress and increasingly desperate bids for continued relevance, frantically trying to justify their ongoing funding despite spiraling dysfunction and escalating ineptness. Our enemy is the ivory tower, the know-it-all credentialed expert worldview, indulging in abstract theories, luxury beliefs, social engineering, disconnected from the real world, delusional, unelected, and unaccountable, playing God with everyone else's lives.
Starting point is 00:28:18 With total insulation from the consequences, our enemy is speech control and thought control, the increasing use in plain sight, George Orwell's 1984, as an instruction manual. Our enemy is Thomas Sowell's unconstrained vision, Alexander Koyevi's universal and homogenous state, Thomas Moore's Utopia. Our enemy is the precautionary principle which would have prevented virtually all progress since man first harnessed fire. The precautionary principle was invented
Starting point is 00:28:41 to prevent the large-scale deployment of civilian nuclear power, perhaps the most catastrophic mistake in Western society in my lifetime. The precautionary principle continues to inflict enormous unnecessary suffering on our world today. It is deeply immoral and we must jettison it with extreme prejudice. Our enemy is deceleration, degrowth, depopulation. The nihilistic wish so trendy among our elites for fewer people, less energy, and more suffering and death. Our enemy is Frederick Nietzsche's last man. From Nietzsche, I tell you, one must still have chaos in oneself to give birth to a dancing star. I tell you, you have still chaos in yourselves. Alas, there comes the time when man will no longer give birth to any star. Alas, there comes the time of the most despicable man
Starting point is 00:29:18 who can no longer despise himself. What is love? What is creation? What is longing? What is a star? So asks the last man and blinks. The earth has become small, and on it hops the last man, who makes everything small. His species is irredactable as the flea. The last man lives longest. One still works for work is a pastime, but one is careful lest the pastime should hurt one. When no longer becomes poor or rich, both are too burdensome. No shepherd and one heard. Everyone wants the same. Everyone is the same. He who feels differently goes voluntarily into the madhouse. Formerly all the world was insane, say the subtlest of them, and they blink. They are clever and know all that has happened, so there is no end to their derision. We have discovered happiness,
Starting point is 00:29:55 say the last men, and they blink. Our enemy is that. We aspire to be not that. We will explain to people captured by these zombie ideas that their fears are unwarranted and the future is bright. We believe these captured people are suffering from resentment, a witch's brew of resentment, bitterness, and rage that is causing them to hold mistaken values, values that are damaging to both themselves and the people they care about. We believe we must help them find their way out of their self-imposed labyrinth of pain. We invite everyone to join us in techno-optimism. The water is warm, become our allies in the pursuit of technology, abundance, and life. The future. Where did we come from? Our civilization was built on a spirit of discovery, of exploration, of industrialization. Where are we
Starting point is 00:30:33 going? What world are we building for our children and their children and their children? A world of fear, guilt and resentment, or a world of ambition, abundance and adventure. We believe in the world of David Deutsch. We have a duty to be optimistic because the future is open, not predetermined, and therefore cannot just be accepted. We are all responsible for what it holds. Thus, It is our duty to fight for a better world. We owe the past and the future. It is time to be a techno-optimist. It's time to build.
Starting point is 00:31:01 Who, quite the piece there. As I kind of teased on the upfront, there is a ton to discuss and dig into there. And I think a lot of people are going to be doing that. In fact, people are already starting to do that. This is kicking up the exact conversation that I think that the folks who wrote it wanted to have. And I'm sure it contains themes that we will continue to come back to. Like I said, I should. shared this piece in the spirit of giving you lots of complexity when it comes to these big,
Starting point is 00:31:28 world significant questions. And I think it's a great representation of just how at the center of so many of those questions, artificial intelligence really is. As promised, I will be back with our normal format for tomorrow's show. And so until next time, peace.

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