The Ancients - The Fall of Rome: Origins
Episode Date: May 4, 2025The Roman Empire, once an ancient powerhouse, experienced a dramatic fall from its golden age to eventual collapse. Tristan Hughes and guest Dr. David Gwynn launch our new Ancients mini-series on... The Fall of Rome by exploring how internal pressures, civil wars, economic instability, and the rise of Christianity contributed to the decline of the Western Roman Empire. They compare the structural changes made by emperors Diocletian and Constantine, the impact of class tensions, and the challenges posed by external threats, setting the stage for the empire's fall. Join them as they uncover the complex processes that led to one of history's most dramatic and world-changing collapses.MORE:The Origins of Rome:https://open.spotify.com/episode/26cmn3eQrPb0LQ7Jiu92cPRome's Crisis of the Third Century:https://open.spotify.com/episode/3VgvW43kHAxzSl43hWJiRZPresented by Tristan Hughes. Audio editors are Aidan Lonergan and Joseph Knight, the producer is Joseph Knight. The senior producer is Anne-Marie Luff.All music courtesy of Epidemic SoundsThe Ancients is a History Hit podcast.Sign up to History Hit for hundreds of hours of original documentaries, with a new release every week and ad-free podcasts. Sign up at https://www.historyhit.com/subscribe. You can take part in our listener survey here: https://insights.historyhit.com/history-hit-podcast-always-on
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The Roman Empire, the beating heart of the ancient world,
a dazzling expanse of marble and martial lavala, of togas and trade routes that spanned three continents. It was constructed over the course of a thousand years and rose
from a city that was once an overlooked backwater.
Rome's sweeping imperium came to define the very concept of civilisation. But then the cracks started to emerge.
Rome, once a dominion of glory and gold, in just two centuries would become synonymous with decay
and collapse. And over the next two weeks the question we're asking on the ancients is how.
How was the most illustrious empire the world had yet seen brought to doom and
destitution?
You're listening to the Ancients, I'm Tristan Hughes your host, and this is the story of
the Fall of Rome.
Today in the first of four special episodes, we're starting at the beginning, casting
the net wide to trace the origins of the Western Roman Empire's collapse. From civil wars
that pitted emperor versus emperor, to the contested rise of Christianity, we'll explore
the swirling maelstrom of internal pressures and tensions that pushed Rome to breaking
point.
Next, we'll journey north to the unruly borderlands along the rivers Rhine and Danube to mingle
among the so-called barbarians who flooded across the empire's boundaries and carved
out their own barbarian kingdoms from the husk of this fallen superpower.
Then we'll travel east, past the lands of the Goths and the Huns, to the fertile crescent
of Mesopotamia and the faraway lands of East Africa, tracing the origins of a series of
indiscriminate deadly plagues that ripped through the empire's population.
Willask was disease the main factor that brought Rome to its knees.
And finally, to bring things to a head, we'll
tell the tale of Rome's last emperors, the rump Roman state they supposedly controlled,
and we'll ask what happened next. Did Rome really fall, or did it evolve and continue
by another name? Throughout it all, world-leading historians will bring their unique insights.
Together we'll discover thrilling revelations
and immerse ourselves in the world of ancient Rome
to help us unpack its ultimate fate.
But all of that is yet to come.
First, let's wind back the clock
and imagine Rome before its fall,
back to an empire that heralded the likes of Augustus
and Trajan, Caesars who
dripped with prestige and power, to a dominion that bounded the azure swells of the Mediterranean
and stretched from the damp and drizzly marshes of Caledonia in modern-day Scotland to the
parched deserts and wild battlelands of Parthia in the Middle East.
For those who experienced it,
the majesty of Rome in the first and second centuries
was undisputed.
Its people were the mightiest of men
and commanded the fairest portion of the earth,
so claimed Salvian, a fifth century churchman
looking back wistfully on the empire's greatest days.
on the empire's greatest days.
We can imagine a merchant vessel coming into dock at the great lagoon port of Ostia, some 20 miles from Rome. She is loaded with precious cargo, ceramic urns of aromatic spices
from Arabia, oil and grain from Egypt, silk and pepper from the faraway lands of India and China,
but also enslaved people captured on the battle-worn frontiers of the Empire.
Built to be nimble and weave through the waves, the wooden ship with its red cloth sail is dwarfed
by the great public buildings which line the shore and snake back inland to the capital.
The skyline is crowded by the roofs of basilicas, temples, theatres and markets.
Slavers and traders barter and haggle. The chains of bondage clink and clank.
Gold coins, each stamped with the portrait of the reigning Augustus,
are pulled from purses and change hands. The goods are distributed throughout the boot of Italy and beyond, along
newly cobbled roads that slice through the empire into the lavish pantries of grand townhouses
and country villas. Owned by wealthy aristocrats and senators, these extravagant dwellings
stand as centuries to
the Roman elite's undiminishing largesse.
Rome's ancient senator class spent most of their time mingling amidst the public squares
of the Forum, shaded by the huge Senate House and the temples of Saturn, Casta and Pollux.
They listened to budding orators and seasoned elected officials deliver
speeches flattering the emperor. Beside them and throughout all public forums of the empire
stand magisterial statues of the emperor's likeness, tuned from gleaming marble and colours
too. To the multitudes in the provinces, this was as close as many would get to the real thing,
to the real emperor.
Whilst much of Rome's domain was won by conquest and annihilation, up to the year
225 AD, Rome's emperors oversaw a period of unprecedented peace, the Pax Romana.
Pliny the Elder, the famed Roman author who perished in the eruption
of Mount Vesuvius in 79 AD, wrote,
Living standards have improved by the interchange of goods and by partnership in the joy of
peace and by the general availability of things previously concealed.
But all good things must come to an end. This vision of a Rome triumphant would perish and
fade as all empires are wont to do. For many the collapse came as if a bolt from the blue.
Saint Jerome, a fifth century churchman based in Bethlehem, is said to have lamented, who
would believe that Rome, built up by the conquest of the whole world, had collapsed.
But for those wise enough to recognise the fleeting nature of history, it was a destiny
that could be foretold.
As the great philosopher-emperor Marcus Aurelius once said,
Reflect upon the rapidity with which all exists and is coming to be as swept past us and disappears from sight, for substance is like a river
in perpetual flow, and ever at our side is the immeasurable span of the past and the
yawning gulf of the future.
So, now we're firmly in this world, let's find out more. To help us understand how an
empire of such strength and majesty could fall so far and
so quickly, I'm joined today by Dr David Gwynne from Royal Holloway University. David, he's a
great friend of the podcast, he's previously joined us to talk about the Goths and Rome's
third century crisis, and today we're delving into the origins of this incredible story of mass decline, a story of broken ambition, of destructive
power and fated inevitability. This is the beginning of the end of Rome.
David, it is wonderful to have you back on the podcast today.
Thank you very much. Great to be here.
It feels important first of all to highlight how important it is to take a long-term approach
when discussing this massive topic, which is the fall of the Western Roman Empire.
The fall of the Roman Empire in the West shaped subsequent medieval history. It destroyed
the last great unity of the Mediterranean
world, replaced it in the West with a mosaic that shaped medieval Europe and medieval Christendom.
A change that great simply cannot happen fast. It's long, it is indeed complex. A lot of Roman
elements survived even while the imperial superstructure collapsed and we see those elements all around
us. So we've got to take a long view. Yes, there are great individual episodes. The Gothic
Sack of Rome in 410. The Fall of Romulus Augustulus, the titular last Western Emperor in 476. But
there is no one moment. It's a process.
And how should we define fall then in this case? Because as you've mentioned, some
parts of the Roman Empire, they really do endure.
And this is a topic where definition genuinely matters. Edward Gibbon famously called his
book The Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire. But the Roman Empire as a whole didn't fall
in the 5th century in any case because the Eastern Empire will
survive for another 1,000 years. Is it decline? That is a value judgment depending on whether
you believe that the Old Roman Empire was the greatest civilization or whether you prefer
the energy, dynamism and occasional brutality of the early Germanic kingdoms.
And if we're going to pinpoint a fall, 476 is the classic date.
After that date, there is no Western Roman Emperor, not until Charlemagne will attempt
to reclaim the title.
But a lot of those Roman elements that continue do blur the lines.
All the Gothic kings who emerged in Italy, Southern France, Spain continued Roman elements.
So did the Franks, the great anomaly to a significant extent being Britain, where there
is a much more clear cut-off, partly because the Anglo-Saxons were much less interested.
Is there a sense then, and actually with some of those kind of, we say post-Roman kingdoms
today don't we, but were they maybe not have even considered themselves successors, but
actually just the next in line?
It's always difficult. Every major written source from any of the post-Roman kingdoms
was written by someone of Roman ancestry and distinct Roman Christian bias. Isidore
of Seville in Spain, Cassiodorus in Ostrogothic Italy, Gregory of Tours in
Francia. So our evidence is skewing us towards continuation. There was clearly
also significant change. There's an awareness that these are new rulers, but
there's also a genuine attempt in a lot of
those writers to bring these new peoples into an overall Roman story, to show where they
fit in, to make their rulers a continuation, not emperors. They're usually very clear on
that. It is not a Roman Empire anymore, but it is now a series of kingdoms with Roman elements.
It's these people who hadn't known of a time before Rome as well, so I'm guessing it's almost
like after the death of Alexander the Great, how that memory just endures and is actually
very influential and important to those kingdoms, isn't it?
Exactly. All this background is part of their legitimacy, it's part of their identity. But it is interesting
that many of the most fascinating sources we can read, Isidore of Seville, Gregory of
Tours, they're actually writing a couple of generations after the kingdoms took shape.
So they're emphasising a continuity in a very different world.
Very different world indeed. Well, you mentioned sources there and you also touched on earlier that very important work that was Edward Gibbon's decline and fall of the Roman Empire. Now
when was he writing that? When did he write that? Gibbon began writing his masterpiece in 1776.
Okay so we're almost approaching the 250 year mark. Yes and I spend much of my time when I'm
working on this criticising elements of Gibbon,
but I always do try and begin by saying if someone's arguing with me 250 years from now,
I did my job well.
They've done pretty well, haven't they? He's done pretty well with the evidence he had at the time
and the thoughts at the time.
Exactly. Gibbon was a very good historian as well as a brilliant writer, which is why his account is still well worth reading.
He knew most of the textual sources we know now.
Archaeology is where there have been massive changes since Gibbon's time.
But also, of course, like any other modern historian today, Gibbon has his own biases.
He's got his own vision.
He doesn't like the Eastern Roman Empire.
He doesn't much like Christianity.
And it makes his story very interesting to read. But more than anything else, that title,
Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire, did significantly skew English scholarship because
it's not the fall of the Roman Empire. It's the fall of the Western Roman Empire. And
decline is a judgment. It doesn't make it wrong, but it does mean it needs to be argued, not the fall of the Roman Empire, it's the fall of the Western Roman Empire and decline
is a judgement. Doesn't make it wrong, but it does mean it needs to be argued, not claimed.
Because I was going to ask you next, not even argue, the fact that now in the 21st century
we're sitting down here in 2025, how influential that book remains to people down to the present
day, at least maybe not in scholarly circles, but at least in the popular perception of this idea of a complete collapse of the Roman
Empire. Can we say that Edward Gibbon's book still holds considerable influence for
everyday people wanting to learn more about this and maybe have heard one or two things
in the past about it?
Yes, and they'll hear Gibbon's name, they'll hear his title. They may read his general observations
on the fall of the empire, which is a little sandwich he inserted into the wider book,
even if they'll probably never read the mass of work. It's interesting. It's an English language
bias. I remember meeting a number of Greeks who were very unhappy that people thought Gibbon was
a starting point because Gibbon
didn't really much like later Byzantine Greek culture. So other linguistic, other scholarly
traditions, perhaps not so much. But yes, in the English speaking world, he is still
influential, not because I don't think any modern academic historian would defend the
exact interpretation Gibbon gives, but he raises the questions that matter.
So today we're going to be exploring the origins of the fall of Rome, so largely actually
going to be covering events that occurred more than a hundred years before that canonical
date of 476 AD. The sources that we have for this and the various topics we're going to
explore, what types of sources are we going to be looking at? One of the problems studying this world of the fourth, fifth centuries AD is very few detailed narrative histories actually survived.
Writing narrative history is a Greek creation.
It's a Greek and Latin tradition in the Western world. And yet there is a marked gap where we have no intact historical narrative
that covers the third century and none that covers the first half of the fourth century.
The only great narrative historian to survive from the later fourth century, which is where
events really begin to accelerate, is a man named Ammianus Marcellinus, a Greek from somewhere near Antioch who actually wrote in
Latin. And he is our key source on the arrival of the Goths and the first warnings of the Huns.
But his work which originally covered the entire period from AD 96 to AD 378 is lost until the year 353. So all we've got is the last, probably biggest, block
of his history, but not his summary of the events before. Then we've got a lot
of Christian historians, but the ecclesiastical historians know their job
and their job is primarily to tell the history of the church, not to tell the history of the empire.
And then you've got an incredible array of individual texts, panegyric speeches given for a particular moment, orations that were written for circulation, letter collections.
And then we've got the inscriptions, the artwork, the architecture, the archaeology, which is so
crucial for economic
affairs, for example.
Of the coinage there, yeah.
Exactly.
The coinage, it shows ideology.
We only know about trade and how widespread it was because of the material finds.
Texts don't tell us.
So it's not that we don't have evidence, but it's got some notable gaps and inevitably it's got some clear biases.
You mentioned in passing their panegyric as well and these are big praises of a particular
figure aren't they? So once again in regards to textual evidence, take it with a pinch
of salt I'm guessing because the whole objective of those panegyric is to praise a particular
figure who they're addressing and just laud them with praise too.
Exactly.
They're statements of ideology.
It actually makes them enormously valuable, just not for what happened.
You can normally assume someone giving a speech in praise of someone won't blatantly lie,
if only because it would just make the audience laugh.
But these are set piece speeches. They
follow set patterns. They always use many of the same images. And yet they do tell us how individual
emperors, for example, wish to be perceived. So in the case famously of Constantine, we've got a
panegyric from before his Christian commitment, which talks about the old gods like Apollo.
Then we've got a Panagiric written after 312 and suddenly all the old gods have disappeared.
What an amazing contrast to have in the surviving evidence there David and you mentioned constant
time. To start this off we're going to cover briefly that incredibly turbulent period before
the rise of constant time, which is also a topic that we've explored in detail in our previous episode together, which is this third century crisis.
Now we could do a whole series on the third century crisis, but David, very briefly, what is this period and how turbulent was it? How close did Rome come to falling during this 50 years or so in the third century?
If you study classics at school or university, there's a tendency to stop in the year 200.
The reason for that is the third century crisis, which is when the old classic Roman Empire
very nearly did break apart. At the worst moment of the third century crisis, when the
frontiers are crumbling and
emperors are being murdered, the Roman Empire, which traditionally spans from Hadrian's Wall
in Britain to the Sahara Desert out towards the Crimea and the Euphrates River, the Roman Empire
actually broke into three parts. Britain and Gaul had broken away. Syria, the Persian frontier, had broken away.
It really did look like the Roman Empire, which, remember, dominated the Mediterranean
from the 2nd century BC onwards, was actually going to fall apart. What's perhaps the most
remarkable feature of the 3rd century crisis is that it didn't happen. And indeed, one
of the great questions, why didn't the Roman Empire collapse in the Third
Century when in the Fifth Century the West will go under?
But crucially in the Third Century, while there are major pressures on the frontiers,
there aren't huge migrations moving into the Roman Empire.
And over a long hard fought period, particularly between 250 and 275, the Roman
emperors, Gallienus, Aurelian in particular, managed to retake all the lost territories,
stabilize the frontiers.
So the Roman Empire looked like shattering and yet it emerges from the third century
still basically intact.
And some have argued that actually by the end of that crisis when you get to the beginnings
of the fourth century that the Roman Empire, although transformed and different in its
appearance, was actually stronger than it had been before. I mean, how do you buy into that?
Yes, I do. My primary area of research is the world of late antiquity, the world of the later Roman Empire.
And the date we traditionally use is 284, because in 284 AD, the emperor Diocletian
begins the reorganization, drawing on things that had happened in the third century crisis.
Diocletian's reorganization was then actually continued by Constantine.
They are religiously completely different.
Diocletian, the emperor responsible for the last great persecution of Christians, Constantine,
the first Christian emperor.
But actually in terms of military, political, administrative concerns, they form a unity.
And what took shape in that 50 years from Diocletian's accession in 284 to
Constantine's death in 337 restructured the Roman Empire, gave it a new stronger
bureaucracy, a well-organized tax system, the frontiers were once again reinforced,
the army was reorganized. Whether it's stronger than say the high empire of the second century AD,
it's a very difficult judgment to make. It is certainly not obviously weaker.
So is it covering all those big issues you highlighted there? Military restructuring,
economic restructuring. Of course with Constantine you have religious restructuring as well. So how
does first Diocletian and then Constantine, how do they go about making these great, I guess you could say repairs to the Roman Empire,
but going beyond that at the same time? Diocletian's solution was in order to achieve
significant wide-ranging reorganization, he needed help. The Roman Empire is vast and this is a world
without modern communications, without radio, without the internet.
So Diocletian shares power.
First with one co-ruler, then with two others to make what's famously called the Tetrarchy.
The rule of four.
Because it means there's one imperial figure in every major region.
And once that's secure, what Diocletian set out to do was firstly they needed a better administration system.
Above all, because the purpose of administration is tax collection.
You need the tax collection to pay for the army.
And it's always worth remembering one key thing that sets the Roman Empire apart from the later medieval kingdoms.
The Roman Empire of Diocletian had a standing army of around 400,000
men. No one's coming near that figure in a thousand years later because it's got a tax
system to pay for it. But that meant dividing the provinces, so making individual provincial
blocks smaller and easier to control, trying to reorganize the financial system, not always successfully,
and making the tax collection a combination of money and kind.
So collecting taxes in food, for example, because if you're collecting taxes to pay
and supply the army, you can just recruit the supplies and send them to the army and the tax system provincial system diocletian put in place is still there on the Justinian.
Indeed Justinian in the sixth century is the first emperor to significantly consider trying to revise it to that's more than two hundred years after the time of dark nations that once again emphasize is just how long Exactly. It was clearly a solid structure.
Did it work brilliantly?
No.
Tax collection will always have the problem that people don't want to pay taxes.
And it's not that the Roman Empire was ever some massive bureaucratic machine.
By a famous older estimate, the Chinese Empire, same rough period, same rough size, had ten times as many bureaucrats
as the Roman Empire did.
The Roman emperors rely on their local aristocracies to do a lot of the heavy lifting of administration.
So it's not that it isn't a flawed system, it definitely is.
But it did seem to work remarkably well.
And the proof is the Tetrarchs did stabilize the frontiers. They campaigned successfully
in every direction. The Tetrarchy as a division of power is inherently unstable. Four emperors
are going to come into conflict eventually. But they delivered stability at the end of
that period of crisis. And Constantine, who's actually the destroyer of the Tetrarchy, is the beneficiary, in a sense, of that stability.
After Diocletian stands down, the Tetrarchy's instabilities come to the fore.
You end up with a rolling series of civil wars until Constantine, who's originally hailed emperor in York in the year 306, it takes him until 324 to
win the last of the great civil wars and then from 324 to 337 Constantine's sole rules
the entire Empire.
He's reunited the whole thing.
And what he simply does is keep Diocletian's political taxation systems rolling.
The great change, of course, is that now Christianity is receiving imperial patronage
and the church begins playing a role as well.
Constantine's wars with his fellow rulers before he becomes sole emperor.
And I think he does some more external fighting as well.
Although, of course, today, Constantine is largely associated, as you say, with that
conversion to Christianity. But Canobie also said that his policies sow the seeds for a
gradual decline of the Roman Empire over the following decades and ultimately more than
a hundred years later.
This is the great difficulty. Constantine left a well-organized, relatively secure empire.
The only major change he's introducing is Christianity.
Christianity is both a strength and a weakness. It adds great emphasis to charity, to community.
Christian bishops are very important in the later administration. On the other hand,
Christians are divided amongst themselves. So there's an ongoing conflict over how to define Christianity, who should be included.
But overall, the empire that Constantine left in 337 is not about to collapse.
Indeed, my own emphasis would be the Roman Empire of the 4th century was not about to
collapse.
It had definite flaws.
In many ways, it always had had flaws.
But it's not on some path to decline.
It's got the structures in place. It can manage its frontiers. They can have an emperor, Julian
the Apostate, the last pagan emperor, who can find an army of 65,000 men, march into
Persia and lose it. And yet the Roman Empire manages to basically
recover. It certainly didn't help. But the very fact Julian could do that, and the Empire
could then restore stability over the next decade, suggests that 360s, 370s, the Roman
Empire is not going to fall, not unless it gets hit and hit very hard.
But in regards to being hit very hard, do you get internal conflict at that time? You mentioned
Julian the Apostate. I must admit for me personally, the emperors that follow Constantine the Great,
I always struggle to remember all of the names of because some of them are quite similar like
Constans and so on. But do some of these emperors, do the biggest challenges they sometimes face be
from other Romans, high-standing Romans, who want a chance at seizing the purple for themselves?
And the Roman Empire has always been vulnerable to civil war and usurpation, not least because
technically it was never a dynastic empire. Succession was always a problem. In Constantine's
case, having fought so hard to reunite the empire what does he do when he dies.
Spits it between three sons very unhelpfully named constantine the second constantius the second and constant.
And it is perhaps helpful that both constantine the second and constant die quite early party in a civil war between the brothers.
Constans is murdered in a usurpation.
Constantius, whose Constans' longest surviving son, is an interesting figure simply because
all our sources hate him.
He actually seems to have been a solid, if not particularly imaginative, emperor.
His problem is Ammianus Marcellinus, our one narrative historian, is a pagan supporter
of Julian, and Julian revolted against Constantius. But Constantius in Christian tradition is remembered
as a heretic, so the Christian sources don't like him either. But overall, Constantius left a
relatively stable empire in 361. Julian was marching to attack Constantius and then Constantius died.
It does genuinely seem to be of natural causes.
So a civil war that would have happened didn't.
After Julian's disaster, what you then get is a very short-lived emperor named Jovian,
but then once again the Empire is divided.
Because everybody has been aware ever since the third century crisis, one man ruling the empire, if there's any kind of problems, can't cope.
Does it feel like Constantine the Great was almost a special case in the fact that he was able to manage it for that period of time, but as you say, maybe because he wasn't hit with a big dose of plague hitting the empire or a Hunnic invasion or something like that. Exactly. Soul rule, so one emperor, is actually very rare from the heart of the third century crisis
onwards.
Constantine manages it for 13 years.
Constantius is the sole emperor after he kills the usurper responsible for the death of his
last brother.
But again, for less than a decade.
Julian only rules for 18 months,
Jovian six months. Then you have two emperors named Valentinian and Valens, their brothers,
and they promptly split the empire again because Julian's disaster with the Persians has caused
problems on the eastern frontier, but there's also problems on the Rhine. The other great frontiers,
then you've got the Danube as well, the other great frontiers, then you've got
the Danube as well, the two great European rivers.
So Valentinian goes westward, leaves Valens to deal with the East.
And the Empire is only actually going to be reunited again once.
And that's in the aftermath of again, a series of civil wars by Theodosius I, Theodosius
the Great, who actually only ruled the entire
united empire for a couple of years.
And when he died in the year 395, he split the empire between his sons, exactly what
Constantine did.
So it can't have surprised anybody at the time.
What we know, hindsight being brilliant, is 395's the last division. The empire will never
reunite again. But there's no way anyone could have known that at the time.
It's funny that we've barely, if at all, mentioned the place, the city, the old capital of Rome in our
chat so far. Does it feel that ever since Diocletian and the Tetrarchy that Rome's
chat so far. Does it feel that ever since Diocletian and the Tetrarchy that Rome's importance has declined in this period? The Roman Empire might be as strong as it ever
has been, but actually when you look at the city of Rome itself, can we say that actually
that city has lost its importance?
To a degree, yes. And actually it's before Diocletian. It happened during the third century crisis. The great Roman frontiers, so the Rhine and Danube rivers, the Persian frontier,
you can't manage those from Rome. It's too far away. So more and more, the soldier
emperors of the third century don't even come to Rome. It is a fascinating feature
of the Tetrarchy of Diocletian. None of the four rulers use Rome.
Actually, they hardly ever even visited.
And yet, Rome remains symbolically,
psychologically important.
It is the old imperial city.
The Tetrarchs built monuments there.
One of Constantine's most famous surviving monuments
is still standing next to the Colosseum,
the Arch of Constantine.
Constantius II, Constantine's longer surviving son, who was mainly based in the east, made a
famous entry into Rome with his army, an Adventus, an imperial procession. Ammianus Marcellinus,
who doesn't like Constantius, nonetheless loves Rome, the city, and gives us a brilliant description of that Adventist.
So Rome still psychologically mattered.
And that, of course, is exactly what we'll see in the sack of Roman 410.
The Gothic sack of Rome didn't cripple Roman power.
It wasn't attacking the heart of government.
But the shockwave that the sack of Roman and 410 sent across the Mediterranean.
You see in Jerome declaring that the end of the world must be coming.
Augustine in Africa is going to write the city of God.
So Rome symbolically does matter, but no, it is not the political, military, government
part of the empire and indeed already wasn't by the time of the Tetra.
Let's explore a topic that I know is one of your pet favourites which is the rise of Christianity, particularly in the fourth century. You've already mentioned figures
like Constantine the Great and Theodosius the Great who have a big impact on, I guess
it's the spread of Christianity, isn't it, within the Roman Empire. But what impact does
this spread have on the whole outlook, on the makeup? We could look at the administrative
and more of the Roman Empire
in this period.
And the rise of Christianity in the fourth century is one of the great transition points
indeed for later Western history. In AD 300, during the Tetrarchy, Christians are a small
minority, perhaps 10% of the Empire's 60 million population. So around 6 million Christians. And they're
about to suffer an attempted failed empire-wide persecution. Exactly. Of Diocletian. Then in 312,
so less than a decade after the Great Persecution began in 303, Constantine, for whatever reason,
because it will always be debated, begins to support Christianity. By the end of the fourth century, Christians are the clear-cut majority of the
Roman population. So they have gone from six million to give or take perhaps 40 million
in the space of two, perhaps three generations.
That's an amazing stat right there. I mean, it's supercharged on steroids.
Exactly. I mean, it should be said, the fact that Christians actually got from nought to six million
in the first 300 years actually makes them the fastest growing religious movement the
ancient world had ever actually seen. Islam is going to change the scale considerably.
But the very fact Christianity even grew before
Constantine is actually remarkable. And Christianity expanded notably in the third century crisis.
Christians promote charity, promote community. Famously, they're repeatedly, it's complained
by their opponents that they'll help people who aren't Christians. Christians will help the sick,
and plague is a recurring problem. They'll look after you.
So Christians as a movement, the Christian movement grows when there's times of conflict.
But what you then get from Constantine onwards is money, legal privileges pouring into the church.
Whether that's good for the Christian religion is something that, for example,
the Reformation is going to take serious issue with. I don't think we'll discuss it here. But what you do see with Constantine, there
had never been huge churches. Constantine built the original Vatican. So the original
Church of St. Peter's out on the Vatican Hill. He built the original St. John's Lateran.
He builds the original Holy Sepulcher in Jerusalem. Constantinople, of course, has multiple
churches from the beginning. So just physically, the prominence of Christianity has greatly
increased. But money is pouring into the church. Constantine wrote a famous letter to one bishop,
just saying, here is a large sum of money. If it's not enough, I've told my treasurer to give you what you ask for."
So money is going to the church. Bishops now matter. So a bishop can contact the emperor directly.
Bishops can therefore influence imperial policy. Famously true of Ambrose of Milan,
the great bishop in the late 4th century, who has a love-hate relationship with Theodosius I, two very strong-willed
men, both of whom are devout believers but with different priorities.
So bishops matter.
Is this strengthening or weakening the overall empire?
It's doing both.
You read my next question.
Yes.
There's no question this support for charity in a world that doesn't have much welfare
support matters.
So Christian community matters.
Bishops are very important to Roman government, not least because the Roman Empire is split
into these small provinces and there's a governor in charge of each.
But a governor is not usually in office for more than one, perhaps two years.
A bishop is for life once they're appointed.
So the Bishop of Alexandria, for example, the great city in Egypt, can be a much more
influential figure than the annual governor.
Because a bishop like Athanasius of Alexandria, who's a bishop for 45 years, has a degree
of support structures that the government system can't
necessarily manage.
So it can be a major asset, but only of course if church and empire are working together.
And the problem there is that Christianity in this post-process of enormous growth also
had to re-decide what it was. This is the great age of Christian
definition. All the questions that Christians had been debating before Constantine suddenly
became much more important. What books should be in the New Testament still had to be finally decided.
What do Christians believe is orthodoxy, right belief? What's going to happen to
heretics, wrong believers, now that the Roman Emperor is a Christian and therefore has a
divine injunction to enforce the correct form of Christianity? There's going to be divisions
within the Christian church, but those divisions are going to impact on wider
history.
To answer the question, Christianity in some senses it does strengthen the Roman Empire
with bishops and how long they endure in their posts, but can also weaken it at the same
time, particularly with this almost civil war, this division within the Christian Church
that emerges at this time. When all these questions are being asked, David, let's
move on to the army
because for so many of us when we think of Imperial Rome you might think of the famous movie Gladiator
or images of legionaries in their Lorica segmentata and their small gladius stabbing swords and large
scutum shields and getting this idea that it was the most professional and best army of the ancient
world. How different is the Roman army by the time of the
4th century and can we say it's weakened in any way? It's always very difficult comparing armies
from multiple periods because in some levels, say the sheer strength of its infantry, yes,
the 4th century army is weaker than say its first century AD counterpart.
It's not as uniformly recruited or equipped, although they still have imperial factories.
So the equipment's been altered.
It doesn't have the sheer density of the legions.
On the other hand, during the third century crisis, the Romans did learn a number of military
lessons.
That included firstly, cavalry now matters much a number of military lessons. That included firstly
cavalry now matters much more than it did before, so the third century and then
the fourth century army has a much stronger cavalry arm than the earlier
Empire did. Big block legions, 5,500 men, work fine on the certain conditions but when you're trying to protect a very wide frontier
more smaller groups work more easily. So one feature that seems to emerge with Diocletian
and Constantine is you get an increase in the number of legions which used to be argued to
mean oh look the army's getting much bigger But what the archaeology of the army camp suggests is that the legion's size dropped
from around 5,500 to more like 1,000.
Wow, that's like four fifths of the strength gone.
So in reality, you've still got the strength because the number of legions is dramatically
multiplying.
But you've got smaller blocks because that way you can spread
out across the frontiers. Not least because the earlier empire of the first second century
wasn't so focused on frontier defense. It was more about when do you advance beyond the frontiers?
Whereas in the third century crisis, they were reacting. They had to react.
And that is because of the different types of enemies that you've got. You've got a
reinvigorated Persia in the east with the Sassanians. You've got larger groups of people
beyond the Danube and the Rhine. So is it no longer a case of the Roman Empire being
completely dominant and there's just not enough unity in the people that they face? It's
the fact that it's had to adapt and change in its outlook because the nature of its opponents
has changed.
How far the Romans were actually ever clear-cut dominant is one of those interesting questions.
The Romans lose a remarkable number of major battles in their history.
Famously, the Roman Republic has a remarkable ability to lose battles.
The Pyrrhic War, they lost two, won one.
Fighting Hannibal, lose three, win one.
The pattern's consistent. You lose, but you win the last one and come out still standing.
You keep coming back.
Exactly. The Romans always had that strength. And in many ways, that's their greatest military
advantage. It's not utter brilliance on the battlefield. It's not a clear-cut technological advantage. But
it is consistent technology, reserves, the ability to re-recruit armies, re-train them,
bring them back into the field. The third century crisis, they had to make it up as
they were going along. The Romans had never come under this level of pressure before.
The Persians, for example, used heavily armoured
cavalrymen, cataphracts. They don't move that fast, but they are very heavy cavalry.
They were tanks, aren't they? Exactly. And the Romans don't have an obvious
response to that. So how do you adjust? The Germanic tribes, which largely of course
have the advantage of energy, enthusiasm, but aren't good at having reserves. Julian the Apostate,
as described in detail by Ammianus Marcellinus, wins us basically a set piece battle. Battle
of Strasbourg in the early 350s. It's actually a good demonstration of what the Romans can still do,
which is simply Germans charge, Roman front line holds, then the Romans send in the reserves,
and the Germans haven't thought of that.
And it's basically this is how the Romans have been managing the frontier.
But when you get towards the late 4th century where you get much larger groups moving,
and crucially the addition of the Huns,
who clearly do not fight according to the same pattern that the Romans are used to,
and the Romans do not have an answer to the nomadic horse archers with their much better bow,
their much more fluid tactics.
The Roman army is gonna be at a serious disadvantage.
Because this time of massive Roman armies
in the many tens of thousands marching beyond its borders
and launching an aggressive campaign,
it feels like that time is over.
But you did mention earlier Julian the Apple State and
his invasion into Persia with 60,000 men and it's a complete catastrophe that that is. But is that
almost an outlier for the period when looking at military strategy of the Romans at that time?
The Tetrarchy focused on stabilizing the frontiers. The Sasanian Persian Empire rose in the early
third century and spent the next 50 years hammering the Romans to the east.
Diocletian and his tetrax finally beat the Persians.
The Romans had been trying for 60 years.
Finally they won a battle, stabilized the frontier.
Constantine fights on that Persian frontier.
He's also fighting with the Gothic tribes who are beyond the Danube.
But there's no intention to push significantly beyond the frontiers.
This is basically proactive frontier defense.
After all, the best way to protect a frontier isn't to wait for people to come to you,
is to try and keep some control beyond your limits.
That's what Constantine was doing.
Whereas what Julian is doing, launching a full scale invasion of the Persian Empire,
which is the same scale as the Roman Empire.
Sasanian Persia ends in Afghanistan, Pakistan.
It's a huge empire.
This is a risk that Constantine would not have taken.
Constantius was a stable frontier manager, never considered a risk like this.
And after the disaster, none of the subsequent emperors could even consider it. There's also sometimes this feeling that with the army and how it is transformed by
this period that there is a decline in training and discipline with the Roman army.
How far would you agree with that?
It's very difficult.
It's often called the barbarization of the late Roman army, that they're recruiting more peoples who are not actually Roman and therefore can't be trained to Roman standards.
Now of course the Roman Empire by the fourth century, everybody in it from Britain to Africa
to Syria is a Roman citizen.
So the Romans have always recruited people who weren't Romans from Italy. But it is true they are drawing more units entirely from beyond the frontiers, from people who are not therefore going to necessarily fight according to Roman patterns.
So why are they fighting for Rome?
The Goths, the Huns, partly fought money because the Romans can of course pay very well. Also it gives you prestige, particularly for the Germanic
tribes serving in the Roman army, holding a high Roman military rank is an important source of
legitimacy of your own authority. So Alaric, before he sacks Rome, it's very clear he repeatedly
demands certain things. He wants money, he wants food for his people, he wants somewhere they can all live,
he wants a military title, magister militum, the commander in chief. And famously the man who's
opposing Alaric when Alaric first attacks Italy is Stilicho, the Roman general. The man's half
vandal because he is the son of a vandal German who served in the Roman army. Stiliko's a Roman. He's completely Roman by upbringing by identity. But he's half vandal because the lines really do blur.
Doesn't mean the Roman army's actually weaker. One of the oddities of tracing the
collapse of Roman power in the West and the survival in the East, the Eastern army never
succeeds in winning a really major victory. So the great disaster of
Adrianople where the Goths initially destroy a Roman army, kill a Roman emperor. It's an Eastern
emperor who died. The Huns will raid the Eastern Empire for several decades and have to be bought
off. Whereas the Western Army, when it can concentrate on a battlefield, still actually does its job.
So Alaric attacks Italy in 401-402 and Stilico forces him back.
Two battles seem to be fought, Verona and Plantia.
Stilico's army is still a very effective military machine.
Likewise, the next goth to attack Italy, Radagaisus, will get exterminated.
And even as late as 451, when the West really
is shattering, it's a Roman army commander, Flavius Aetius, with the core of what's left
of the Western army, who can ally with the Goths now settled in France and the Franks,
and face and beat Attila the Hun. It's not decisive, the battle of the Catalonian fields, but the Huns get driven back.
So it is true that the Western army is weakening, particularly in its organization.
But in the fall of the West, it's not that the army lost on a battlefield.
What actually happened is the resource structure, the supply structure, failed and
so the Western Roman army simply dissolves.
I'd like to go back then to the 4th century and explore another topic now, which is class
tension and economic instability. Now, is there a case at this time, is there more tension
emerging between the aristocracy, the military and the common people. This unholy
triangle in a way.
More than there had been previously, that's difficult to argue. It's there, it's emphatically
always there in Roman society. After all, we are now experiencing in our modern world
a very expanding rich-poor gap. The Roman world has a colossal divide between the senators with
their enormous wealth and the vast majority of the population who are a couple of bad
harvests away from starving to death.
The third century, this is why it's such a period of disruption, not everywhere across
the empire.
Some regions were basically untouched, like Britain, like North Africa.
But if you are a farmer and everything is unstable, then you are extremely vulnerable.
There's no question therefore that Diocletian prioritized stabilizing the economic system,
ensuring a greater degree of social harmony.
It never totally succeeds.
After all, the army want their supplies.
They're going to clash with the local aristocracy who usually are both
the tax collectors and the people trying to avoid paying tax, and then the local populations who of
course we almost never hear about in our sources are trying to get on with their lives. But we don't
see colossal social revolutions. There are some individual major outbreaks of what look like social violence,
famously the Begaldi who are a Gallic revolt who get put down under the Tetrarchy. But
Christianity does actually help here because Christianity does believe in spreading out
wealth, it does believe in charity, much more so than the traditional structures did. So
on that score, you're getting more support.
The monasteries help here because monasteries,
although they're often on the fringes of society,
they're also there to provide assistance.
So you're getting the rise of hospitals.
You're actually getting the emergence
of a number of key features that'll emerge
over the next centuries in the fourth century
because they're coming under Christian patronage,
likewise pilgrimage major centers.
So it's difficult to say there's a major increase in social tensions.
What there always are are major social divisions, because there is a massive rich-poor imbalance.
So what you always have, and in a sense it's the theme that's running through all of these
different problems, is it's not that the Roman Empire is going to collapse, but there are fracture lines within
it that are going to be drastically exposed if the opportunity really does emerge.
And so what we see during the collapse of the West along social lines is most of the
local populations, they're loyal to the emperor if the emperor is protecting them.
But if the emperor is not protecting them, why would they be loyal to the empire?
But even with this great gap, as you say, between rich and poor, I found it very interesting
because my mind immediately goes to things like the Peasants' Revolt or something like
that. Are there not many cases where they're saying, we can't do this, like we're going
to rise up in revolt because we can't do this anymore?
No.
And interestingly, the Roman Empire does have mechanisms for if a community can prove they
are exhausted and cannot pay, we do actually have imperial laws saying, right, for 10 years,
this region is not paying taxes.
There's no question there must have been a series of local incidents that we very rarely
hear about.
Our best glimpse is Egypt.
That's basically just because of the Egyptian papyri that survives in the desert.
But that's where you find complaints, for example, being sent to a local army commander
that the sheep are being sheared in the night.
So someone's breaking into farms and stealing the wool just before the sheep will being sheared in the night. So someone's breaking into farms and stealing the wool
just before the sheep will be sheared.
So they complained to the local army commander
because he's the one who's supposed to be maintaining
law and order.
It's entirely possible it was the army commander
who sent his soldiers to do it.
So there's not gonna be a lot of justice here.
And yet, while there is ongoing, therefore, tension, no, there are no really major social
revolutions because overall the Roman system did work.
It didn't work brilliantly.
But most people, of course, can't see a better solution.
And crucially, thanks to Diocletian and Constantine, across most of
the empire, life is relatively stable.
Are there big attempts then by the Roman administration and these various emperors to address something
which has been a massive issue in the third century crisis, and we've covered it in the
past, which is the devaluing of coinage, of currency. Is this a big issue in the following
century, even
if from the outlook it looks as if the Roman Empire is not falling, it's stronger than
ever?
The coinage is one of our key markers for imperial prosperity. Now, a lot of the empire
didn't actually need to worry much about coinage. After all, a lot of local economic
transactions can continue in kind. You just do it as barter. The key purpose of the coinage is the emperors minted to pay the army.
The army spend it and the tax system brings it back.
Very crudely that's the cycle.
Now in the third century the coinage above all the quality of the gold and silver coinage
collapses.
The silver coinage in particular goes from above 50% silver
to less than 5%.
And then we do have decrees that tell us
that people were refusing to use it.
Because a Roman coin, of course, differs
from a modern 50p piece.
Our money is not worth what it's made of.
A Roman coin is worth its metal content so
debasement taking the precious metal out they're very good at noticing when
that's been done. This is why you bite a coin or you try and bend it. In the third
century the coinage did basically collapse. The result was major
inflation. That's going to particularly disrupt
long-distance exchange and the elite attempts to spend large sums of money.
In local communities what seems to have happened is a reversion to barter
because then you can manage it to a degree. Diocletian and the Tetrarchy set out
to try and fix it. Now there were two options there.
You could stabilize the coinage by giving it proper metal content and you can try and
control inflation.
The problem with trying to control inflation, which is what they did by passing an edict
called the Edict of Maximum Prices, so laying down this is the maximum anyone can legally
charge for a particular good or service
is that totally ignores supply and demand and basically failed almost immediately.
The problem with stabilizing the coins is you need gold and silver for that.
And the problem of course is now that the Roman Empire is no longer conquering anywhere,
Trajan was the last person to bring in a flood of treasure
from outside the empire. Where's the gold and silver going to come from? The result
is the Tetrarchy can't succeed.
It's the thing, isn't it? They give up one of those key territories which the Romans
do lose is Dacia, isn't it? Which is modern day Hungary, Romania area, north of the Danube,
which was famous for its gold mines and now it's lost that income of gold from that area.
Exactly, and all the great Mediterranean gold and silver mines have been largely played
out. So, Philippa Maston used the ones in the northern Aegean. Spain, it's always ironic
because anyone who's been studying late history thinks of Spain as bringing in gold and silver
from the Americas, but actually in the ancient world Spain was a good place to go to
to find those metals. The person who actually solves the problem is Constantine, because
Constantine does have access to gold and silver that the Tetrarchs didn't. That's because there's
no way that the Tetrarchs who were devout pagan emperors would touch pagan temples. Constantine will.
There are gold and silver statues of the ancient gods and goddesses and we don't have them
today because most of them get plundered.
But Constantine uses that source of gold and silver and uses it to create a new gold coin.
Interestingly, you can do a chemical analysis on gold and silver
coins to try and work out where the gold may have been originally mined. A number of Constantine's
coins and the coins of his successors, the gold seems to have come from the northern
Aegean. These are Hellenistic temple treasures. They're the ones that Philip and Alexander,
that's where they got their gold from. So these are Hellenistic statues of gods and goddesses being reused for coinage.
But the result is Constantine stabilizes the gold coinage. The solidus, the solid bit,
is simply the name for the gold coin. It will remain basically at the same rough level of gold and the rough weight unchanged for centuries
to come.
So the gold coinage is actually much one of the fourth century, Rome's recovering from a crisis. It looks like it's stronger than ever. However, having explored various parts of it, you can look a bit beneath the water almost and see that actually there's a bit more fragility there. Do you think that is actually similar with the economy and the coinage? This last question before we move
on to our next section is the fact that although these various emperors do these measures to
try and fix the economy to make it healthier, that still it feels as if the economy is quite
fragile with that great gap between the rich and the poor, with the differences in the coinage now and so on.
It's true actually of the Roman Empire right through its history.
When everything's working as smoothly as they can manage, it's a relatively stable
structure with major inbuilt inequalities.
But it's not designed to cope with shock.
They don't have those reserves in place.
And if the shock comes, the fracture lines can all open up.
The Eastern Empire, of course, in the 5th century, is going to solve a lot of its problems
by minting lots of gold coins and paying them off.
So Atilla the Hun gets 6,000 pounds of gold in one go.
And yet the East could afford to do that.
Whereas in the West, as the economic structures break down, you can't pay the army, you can't
pay off enemies.
So all these different elements, they'll cope as long as things are relatively stable,
as they are by the end of Constantine's reign.
They can just about cope with the disruption caused
by Julian's disaster, although it forced a reallocation of resources to the Persian
frontier that weakened the others. But they are vulnerable if the shock comes.
We'll explore several of those big shocks in the next episode with the likes of the
Vandals, the Goths, the Huns, the Saxons, the Franks and so on, the barbarian invaders. But I would like to focus on one other shock, another external enemy that
you've already highlighted and you mentioned them again right there, which is the threat from the
East, the Sasanian Persians. How big an impact would you argue that the Sasanian Persians have
and that continual, fractious relationship they have with the
Romans and Roman disasters like that of Julian the Apostate. How much of an impact do you
think that threat has with a weakening of the Roman Empire in the fourth century?
The Persian Empire is the greatest single enemy the Romans ever have to face. It's the only other world scale empire.
So the Persian frontier always had to be a primary focus of attention.
The usual estimate is roughly 40% of the Roman army needs to be watching the Persian frontier.
And if you take troops away from it, as for example Justinian will do in the 6th century, the Persians will wait to see if it's a definite movement and then smash
through your defences.
So the Persians are playing a key role of leverage.
In the story of the fall of the Roman Empire, what's arguably the key factor is that after
Julian there's actually around a hundred years of stability
on that frontier. One of the oddities about the whole story of the fall of the Western Empire,
the Roman Empire has three great frontiers, the Rhine, the Danube and Persia. Well the East has
to cover two of them, to the West's one. Technically the east is facing worse enemies than the westers,
but crucially if you can keep the Persian frontier stable then all you have to do is watch the Danube
and the defenses of Constantinople will prevent anyone breaking the Danube and pushing further
east. So perhaps one of the great questions of the survival of the eastern half is how did they manage to keep stability on the Persian frontier?
And the key factor that seems to have been at play is the Persians, of course, it's another big empire.
That means this isn't their only frontier.
Internal troubles as well, civil war factions.
Exactly. The Persians have their own problems. There is a tendency, particularly for historians like me, to mainly just look at the Persians when they're facing
the Romans, not think about the Persians as their own entity. But the Persians have two major
problems. One is a very powerful local aristocracy, which means a weak Shah, a weak ruler, is
vulnerable to immediate usurpation. But the other is that the Persians have a very
long northern frontier, and that's on the Russian steppe. That's where the nomads come
from. It's the White Huns, isn't it? And the Hunnic groups, yeah.
Exactly. So whereas the Romans only get the Huns, the Persians are fighting nomads their
entire history, and every powerful nomad group hits the Persians
before they hit the Romans. So critically in the fifth century when the Roman Empire is having so
much trouble on the Rhine and Danube, the fifth century is the most peaceful period in the entire
history of Roman-Persian relations and it's quite clear it's because the Persians are much more
worried about the Kiddarite
Huns, the Heffalites, sometimes known as the White Huns.
My personal favorite is a peace treaty that was signed in the year 464.
What that peace treaty said was the Persians asked the Eastern Roman Empire to pay for
a Persian fortress manned by Persian soldiers on the
Caspian Sea. So this is a fortress deep inside Persian territory. Why should the Romans pay?
Because, as the Persians said, we're stopping the nomads.
They're doing the Romans a favour then, basically, they say,
we're helping you stop the tide of these people coming.
Exactly. And this is the great advantage. Two great empires can talk to each other.
And in the fifth century, they were actually aware that there were greater risks at stake.
And so you get this, it's a good, great, one of the greatest examples of high state imperial
relations. But this is why it stayed quiet. If it had gone wrong, the Eastern Empire would have been in horrible trouble and that of course is exactly what happens under Justinian and even more in the early 7th century.
This is a very dangerous frontier. resources are then diverted to the Eastern Empire and so that because of that there was
less focus on the Danube and Rhine rivers and less focus on fortifying those frontiers
when those large groups of people ultimately do cross those rivers. It doesn't sound like
that sounds, holds much weight.
To a degree it does, it's always one of those qualifying arguments. Constantinople,
as it becomes more important, is going to draw
further eastern resources. The peace treaty after Julian's disaster handed over key fortresses to
the Persians that destabilized the entire Roman frontier network. So the emperor Valens, when the
Goths first came to the Danube in 376, there's a reason Valens isn't anywhere near. He's in Antioch. He's looking at
the Persian frontier. That's where he had to be focusing. So there is that significant shift.
But the Rhine and the Danube frontiers for most of the fourth century seem to be broadly stable.
So Julian wins this battle at Strasbourg. That's for destabilizing the Rhine.
Constantine is successful against the Goths.
There's ongoing occasional conflict, but there's also peace treaties with the Goths
in the 360s.
So the Rhine and the Danube aren't heavily fortified, but in a sense, how can they be?
These are huge rivers.
The Roman frontier structures are about as stable as they're likely to be.
The division between East and West, they are still one empire, and they think of themselves as one empire.
So East and West don't usually work against each other, they try and cooperate not always well.
In a sense, I suppose, what's my recurring theme is the weaknesses are emphatically there,
and the way they'll play out in the 5th century
is going to expose the West. But the Roman Empire was not about to collapse in say 370.
Its structures are still intact. Its basic East-West balance, the East is the stronger
of the two halves, but not by such a clear-cut margin that you can see clearly
this is what will happen. It's going to take a lot of shocks and a lot of very bad Roman
mismanagement to cause the eventual Western collapse.
It almost feels like you've answered my question I was going to ask then for me, which was
that would an everyday Roman living through the fourth century have thought this is
an empire that's weakening, this is an empire that's in decline. It seems like the answer at
that stage is no. It is no. Ammianus Marcellinus, who's the historian who tells us of the arrival
of the Goths, that their Gothic victory at Adrianople knows the Huns are coming, isn't a defeatist.
He deliberately didn't end his history with
Adrianople. He actually ended it with the Goths turning away from Constantinople and
a Roman massacre of Gothic mercenaries as a sign that the Empire will continue to fight.
The first person who we are aware of who can really conceive of a world where there might
not be a Roman Empire is Augustine of Hippo writing
the City of God. But Augustine is a unique intellectual capable of this kind of visionary
thought that separated what was going on around him from his vision of the divine plan of history.
No other Christian writers are doing that. They're still seeing the Roman Empire as
expressing Christianity. The East, of course, will carry on doing that for the next thousand years.
They still believe very strongly that, yes, there may be threats on the frontiers, but
there always have been. They'll absorb them if they have to. The Empire will continue.
Which is why so many are so shocked when Rome is ultimately sacked in Fall 10, isn't it?
This is almost like the end of the world, feeling for lots of them because they couldn't have fathomed
it, they couldn't have believed it would be possible.
I mean the last time Rome was sacked before AD 410 was by the Gauls, 800 years previously.
David, with hindsight do you think Rome's fall and decline, do you think it was unavoidable?
Emphatically no. Gibbon famously said that the fall of the Roman Empire was
inevitable and the reason is simple and obvious. We should just be surprised it survived so
long. It was the inevitable consequence of immoderate greatness. Gibbon's so good at
using language. Basically an empire that big will eventually collapse. I don't agree with
Gibbon. The problem is the Romans have recovered from so many shocks before.
It's what makes this series of shocks unique.
It's why whenever you're trying to understand the fall of the West, you've got to think
about the survival of the East.
Because the fact that in the eastern half of the empire with the same core structures
of government organization, and if anything more Christians
and more Christian infighting, managed to survive.
That means it can't simply be an internal explanation for the collapse of the West.
Could it have been averted?
Yes.
There are several moments where the Romans, if they'd just handled it better, there
hadn't been so many stupid civil wars. If they'd actually negotiated
rather than trying to fight with people like Alaric, it could have turned out very differently
indeed. So I do not regard it as an inevitable story. But Brian Ward Perkins in Oxford wrote
a very good book called The Fall of Rome and the End of Civilization. And as Brian said,
the Romans of the late fourth century were certain that their world wouldn't significantly change.
They were wrong. We might want to remember that as well.
Absolutely. I won't say the history repeats itself, but you can definitely see similarities
through history. And it therefore seems unfair to ask if there is one single moment that you personally would pinpoint that laid the foundations or paved the way for
the fall of Rome. Do you think there could be any one moment that you could say well that probably
sealed the empire's fate? It is brutally difficult because you know even as late as 468, they're still fighting. For me, it's not actually the division of the
empire in 395, it's the civil wars of the very early 390s. Because those civil wars firstly badly
weakened the western Roman army in particular, which made them particularly vulnerable. It's
the first time a major civil war is fought when there is an independent Germanic people already inside the frontier, the Goths.
And crucially, it was the massacre of the Goths at that battle that helps trigger Alaric's entire attitude
that the Goths must break free of Roman control.
That concentrated period, which is also of course the period where the anti-pagan laws get passed, it's also a crucial period in the Christianization story, it's not that
they're doomed at that point. But after Agent Opland 378, it can still be managed. After
the disasters of the early 390s, you're moving into a decade that saw renewed migrations,
the failure of the Rhine frontier,
and of course, the sack of Rome. All I'd emphasise is even then, even I would certainly
argue it as late as the 450s, you can see a recovery possible.
Well, I'm glad we finished off with you mentioning the likes of Alaric, the Goths,
the Bastard, the Frigulus, the sack of Rome and so on, because we're going to be covering
all of that in detail with Professor Peter Heather in our next episode. But David, wow, what an episode this has
been. It's so insightful, so interesting and it just goes for me to say as always thank you so much
for taking the time to come back on the podcast. My pleasure.
Well there you go, there was Dr David Gwynn returning to the podcast for the first episode
in a brand new series on the fall of the Roman Empire. Looking at the origins and internal
pressures that set the stage for one of history's most dramatic collapses. I hope you enjoyed
it. For more of David on the Ancients, do go back and listen to his episodes on Rome's
3rd century crisis and on the Goths.
Now if you want to dip into the next chapter of Rome's Fall then make sure to check out the next
episode in the series. We'll be diving into the so-called Barbarian invasions and asking how much
of Rome's fate really lay in the hands of outsiders. Thank you for listening to this episode of The
Ancients. Please follow the show on Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts. It really helps outsiders. when you subscribe at historyhit.com slash subscribe.