The Athletic Football Show: A show about the NFL - Building the Beast: 2026 NFL Draft order takeaways and Dane Brugler's All-Rookie team

Episode Date: January 7, 2026

Sure, the NFL playoff field is set. Cool. You know what's really cool, though? The top 18 of the 2026 NFL Draft order being locked in place. At least that's what's really cool as far as Building the B...east is concerned. Dave Helman and Dane Brugler offer up their takeaways from the draft order on this episode of The Athletic Football Show's Building the Beast. Then, Dane and Dave debate the toughest picks on Dane's All-Rookie Team.Rundown (timestamps are approximate)3:00 The 2026 NFL Draft order is set45:12 Don't forget about Trinidad Chambliss57:00 Dane's All-Rookie TeamConnect with The Athletic Football ShowYT: https://www.youtube.com/@TAFootballShowPodcasts: https://podfollow.com/the-athletic-football-show/viewX: https://x.com/TA_FootballShowIG: https://www.instagram.com/tafootballshowTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@tafootballshowDiscord: http://discord.gg/theathleticfootballshowCall us: 847-448-0701Email us: athleticfootballshow@gmail.comHost: Dave HelmanCo-Host: Dane BruglerExecutive Producer: Michael BellerVideo Producer: Katy DuffyAudio Producer: Michael BellerSocial Producer: Scott KrinchFollow Dave on Bluesky: @davehelman.bsky.socialFollow Dave on X: @davehelman_Follow Dane on X: @dpbruglerTheme song: HauntedWritten by Dylan Slocum, Trevor Dietrich, Ruben Duarte, Kyle McAulay, and Meredith VanWoert / Performed by Spanish Love SongsCourtesy of Pure Noise / By arrangement with Bank Robber Music, LLC Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Welcome to another episode of Building the Beast. I am your host, Dave Hellman, and we have got a loaded show for y'all on the first Wednesday after the end of the NFL regular season. The top of the draft order is officially set. We know who's picking one. We know the entire top 10. So it's starting to feel a little more real. Dane Bruegler and myself, we walked through some of the more interesting teams, some of the more interesting scenarios, what might play out and what we might need to watch for at the top of this draft.
Starting point is 00:00:31 cycle. We also took a quick look at the college football semifinals. Ole Miss is playing Miami and Indiana is playing Oregon. Big week of college football on deck. Dane also wrote his 2025 all rookie team with the regular season over. We can look back at some of the more fun, more impressive rookies from this season. Really fun, spirited conversation, a loaded show. Let's get into it. All right, Dane, we do a weekly draft podcast. So it's not as if this snuck up on us. We've been anticipating the real start to draft season for a while, but even still, it kind of feels like the bat signal went off. Like when the beginning of the draft order is finalized, when the Raiders secure the number one overall pick and the first 10 to 15 selections in this
Starting point is 00:01:23 upcoming draft are now set in stone, it really feels like the start of something new. Like when did that signal go off for you? Was it when the Giants beat the Cowboys? Was it later on? Sunday? Like, when did you get that, you know, when did your bat phone ring on Sunday? It was during the Steelers Ravens game when during the NBC telecast, they put up a, because the drafts in Pittsburgh this year, they have a countdown and they showed it and it's like 108 days until the draft. And I, the level of anxiety that I got was through the roof because it's like, oh my gosh, we're almost under 100 days until the draft's going to be here and just feels like there's so much more work to do, even though we've been working on this since June.
Starting point is 00:02:09 So, yeah, that's when it went off for me. And it's good to have the draft order now, like that, at least the first 18 picks, instead of just speculating about what the order is going to be. The next domino is going to be the underclassman. That's a pretty big one, obviously, especially with the quarterbacks, Dante Moore especially. What will he decide to do for next year? And we could be waiting that the,
Starting point is 00:02:34 deadlines the 14th or 15th and then it's actually later for the teams that make the national title game so if Oregon beats indiana we'll be waiting even longer uh to find out what dante more decides to do and so um yeah that's that's the next big domino to fall and then we can get into all-star season um combine and all that but yeah it's upon us i feel like we are a team looking for a coach that has to wait for the super bowl run to be over like we're just waiting to find out if Dante Moore is part of this draft class or not and how that's going to affect things. Real quick before we get into this, we call it building the beast because we're just trying
Starting point is 00:03:14 to identify as many prospects as possible. I don't often ask you about the state of the actual beast. Like how many words are written at this point? Like where do things stand with the actual book? Because I got to imagine that's what gave you anxiety when you saw that countdown is like, holy shit, I got a lot of words to write. I'm looking at my document right now. Right now it's at 204,875 words.
Starting point is 00:03:43 So, you know, we're in a good shape in terms of like I've been doing this a lot of years. So I know that I'm in good shape, yet there's still that a little bit of panic that because there's so much more to do. And it's like, you know, and there's not any big surprises at this point in the process. like we kind of know who is who and it's more about just nailing these guys down. Like we have a good idea that this player is going to be a second or third round pick. This player is going to be a fourth round pick. At this point, it's about getting some of those details, verified measurements,
Starting point is 00:04:17 getting to see these guys up close and personal, getting to talk to. I've talked to probably, I don't know, over half, probably 60, 65 percent of these prospects that are going to be drafted. So the next two months is all about filling in those gaps. me in terms of the beast and getting that done. So yeah, there's still a lot of work to be done. But yeah, I think we're okay with where we're at, but still a lot of work to do. 200,000 words at the like outset of the real part of the draft process. That's why you are the best in the business, my friend.
Starting point is 00:04:51 All right. So this is how we're going to do the show. Obviously, there are still three big college football games to play this season. The semifinals are at the end of this week. and obviously the national championship game. We're going to talk about that a little bit, but for our purposes, we covered a lot of ground in the quarter final preview.
Starting point is 00:05:10 You know, we're not trying to tell anybody who's going to win these games or what's going to happen on Thursday and Friday night. We know who the principal players are and what to look for from an NFL perspective. If you want to go relisten to that or if you're new to the show, you can go check that out if you want to get a better idea
Starting point is 00:05:26 of what's coming on Thursday and Friday. But instead of going, super deep on those matchups. I do just, I want to take this opportunity. We did this during the season and it's funny to think about how different it looked back then because even with a month to play in the season, so much has changed in the draft order. Teams got hot at the end of the year. You could argue teams won some games that maybe they shouldn't have tried so hard to win,
Starting point is 00:05:53 but that is all water under the bridge at this point because the, like I said, the first 18 picks in this draft or final. So we wanted to just take a look at the overview of the top of this draft now that we really know what to expect. Like I said, Las Vegas has the number one pick in this draft. It didn't even matter what they did against the Kansas City Chiefs because the New York Giants beat Dallas on Sunday afternoon. So you would think that this starts with the Raiders and how much they love Fernando
Starting point is 00:06:25 Mendoza. It seems like that's going to be the storyline at the top. Dane, I already, I've already seen the first. Photoshop's. I saw, did you see the video of Raiders fans like singing Fernando by Abba outside of their stadium the other day? Like that's a thing. It's starting to really build momentum here. So that's going to be the predominant talking point at the very top of this draft. And we'll see how the season finishes for Fernando Mendoza. But going down the top of this draft order, I am struck by how this whole thing could hinge on the New York Jets who,
Starting point is 00:07:01 fall into the number two overall pick at 3 and 14 and what what might be in front of them for a variety of reasons in this draft cycle yeah it's interesting with um because you mentioned the the teams that won and how that kind of changed these little things and you know it Kevin Stefanski didn't really care but the draft order he knew he might not have a job the next day so of course he's going to try to win in Cleveland um you know the giants those guys don't care But it is interesting when we look back how those little tweaks could mean the difference between getting player A or player B. And you know, you mentioned the Raiders. Yes, they did win and it didn't matter.
Starting point is 00:07:42 But that win over the Chiefs, instead of having the first pick in every round, it means that instead of having that 33rd pick, the first pick on day two, which we know is pretty valuable, they're picking 36. because if you're tied, if you have the same record with other teams, the order will rotate every single round. And so those little things, you know, we don't... You're a stickler for the details, and I appreciate that about you. It's something that we can look back at and see how much it matters, but it is interesting. And I think, you know, obviously the Raiders, it starts there.
Starting point is 00:08:16 I don't think it's as simple as saying that the draft starts at number two because we don't, the Raiders, it's not like, you know, Fernandez. Mendoza is not the Drake May, Caleb Williams, like he's going to go number one, no question about it, type of prospect. Now, is he the clear favorite? Absolutely. Okay, I love that you're starting here, because we talked about this last week. We talked about it last week of whether like it's just Mendoza and you don't need to think that much about it. And we both like Fernando Mendoza, but I think good of you to remind me that maybe you can't write that off right away. It's just, it's hard for me to imagine with where the Raiders have been over the last couple years and the fact that they just did
Starting point is 00:08:58 another one and done coach and now Tom Brady's involved. It feels way too plausible that the very energetic, very, you know, happy, go lucky and like charismatic quarterback prospect in Mendoza who has just done all this stuff for Indiana, it feels too plausible that he's the guy. Just wait until we get the combine and the quotes about him being. too robotic and the dynamics of his personality just aren't going to fit an NFL locker room. Just wait, I'm telling you, it's coming. I promise you those things will come up during the combine or during parts of this draft process.
Starting point is 00:09:37 And look, he's just a very buttoned up kind of straightforward person. And, you know, because of that, I think that there will always be a respect level for him, you know, in an NFL locker room. But it's the type of things that when you are under that number one over. pick type of microscope, these are the things that get talked about. And Mendoza will not be immune from that. So I love, I love it. And look, I've seen, I've seen Mendoza's post game interviews. He comes across, yeah, like robotic. And he seems like he's got a script memorized when he talks to the reporter after the game. And I get it if that maybe puts you off a little bit. But it's still wild to think that we could be criticizing the guy for being too buttoned up and too professional.
Starting point is 00:10:24 Like, you're already too, you're too ready for this for this stage, Fernando. Like that's kind of wild. Let me clarify, we're not saying this. We just, we're anticipating what the noise is going to be. People are going to find a reason to pick a guy apart no matter what for sure. I do, I do think it's interesting though, like, you know, you compare them to instead of comparing them to the first three picks two years ago, Caleb, Drake May, Jaden Daniels. Instead of doing that, because I think that's unfair, I don't think, I don't think anybody would argue that, I mean, maybe some would, but I don't,
Starting point is 00:10:57 I certainly wouldn't that Fernando Mendoza's on that level. But the number one pick last year with Caleb or with, with Cam Ward, two very different styles of quarterback. I wouldn't be surprised if some prefer Mendoza, just his style of play, while some others might prefer Cam Ward. And, you know,
Starting point is 00:11:16 Ward is a little more reckless, but he's a lot more physically talented and just has a little more to him. Where Mendoza, a little more buttoned up as a quarterback with this process and taking care of the football. And so it's just, it comes down to your coach, which we know the Raiders don't have a coach right now. And so that process will be interesting to see how this goes. But obviously, Mendoza clear favorite to go number one overall at this point. but I mean I think you know you mentioned the Jets now at number two it's just it's crazy the kind of you know the all time just worst season they had and it's like where do you go from here you know we I think everyone knows the the no interceptions for that defense and how crazy that is I was blown away they didn't have a single player over 400 receiving yards which is in a 17 game schedule like that's bonkers to me and I get it the quarterback situation is bad Garrett Wilson went down with an injury, so the receivers were terrible. But you're telling me even Breece Hall getting all those screens or a tight end or like,
Starting point is 00:12:21 you couldn't get 400 yards. I mean, that's, to me, the worst team that I've ever seen in my, you know, 30 years watching football, the 99 expansion Browns were as bad as it gets. And they had three players over 400 receiver yards. So it just, it's amazing to me how bad that, of a state that team was in this year. It'll be interesting, though, because this is not. a quarterback or bus type of pick. You know, they have too much draft capital the next two years to settle for someone that they don't love. So if Dante Moore does come out and he's there
Starting point is 00:12:54 or say something crazy happens at one, it's not a foregone conclusion that they go quarterback here. And it'll be really interesting, especially if Dante Moore does come out because he's not a, this isn't a slam dunk quarterback school one too. You know, I like Dante Moore. He's naturally accurate. He's got mobility. But, you know, if you watch that Texas Tech game, he gets gun shy at times, especially when he's under pressure. He's a smaller framed quarterback. So, you know, he's just an inexperienced player too. He's under 20 starts.
Starting point is 00:13:24 So if you, not everyone's going to be smitten with Dante Moore as a no doubt about it, top three type of quarterback. So, you know, I think that's just important to keep in mind. Now, maybe the Jets will see him that way, but it's not a foregone conclusion. So if he's still on the board, Dante Moore, could he go three to Arizona? could we see the Browns make a move? So I think that could get really interesting if Dante Moore does declare. But this is also a draft where there's not that clear non-quarterback, you know, the Miles Garrett, Abosa, those types of guys where the Jets, if they don't go quarterback, it's naturally, oh, well, then, you know, we've got this guy waiting for us that's vastly going to improve our roster. Number two becomes, I think, a real wild card.
Starting point is 00:14:07 even if Dante Moore is not that guy that everybody's sold, it goes number two overall. Like even if it's not that clear cut, the Jets have to be hoping and praying that he declares. Just A, to give them the quarterback to evaluate, because I think it's a very good point by you that Mendoza shouldn't be written in stone, but I will take the easy money and say, I think that's what's going to happen at the end of the day.
Starting point is 00:14:35 Very fair. And so to have the extra quarterback to give you a shot to draft that guy if you want to or to just make that pick valuable. Because odds are somebody will want Dante Moore at number two. Like some team that really needs one, I like the odds that they would be willing to jump up if he's available. And so at the very least, you either have the choice to draft him if you want to or try to sell that pick to the highest bidder. And that's what makes this so fun for the Jets in my opinion. He was born in Cleveland. I'm just saying you never know.
Starting point is 00:15:10 We're going to talk about that. So I want to hit on a handful of the teams that interest me the most at the top of this draft process. And the Browns are obviously one of them. But yeah, I mean, yes, they are one of those teams where it's like, hey, we're at six. If we like this guy this much, is that realistic to think he would be sitting there for us? Or can we do what Jacksonville just did last year and jump up three or four spots and try to get our guy. The Jets have to be hoping Dante Moore declares because it just makes that pick so much more valuable in my opinion. No, you're 100% right because even if the Jets aren't sold, just having
Starting point is 00:15:45 that position of power where Dante Moore in this draft class does change the equation a little bit, because you would think that the Cardinals will be in play there at number three, potentially. There's a lot that's going to play out in free agency in this offseason with the quarterback carousel but there's just not a lot of options you know if you if you need a quarterback um you know malik willis keiler murray um you know it's just there's there's very few options that you can point to and say like yeah that clearly makes us better and it's it's worth what it's going to take money wise draft capital wise to go get him so it's just going to be a weird weird quarterback off season uh for the teams that don't have a quarterback um and the browns are definitely
Starting point is 00:16:33 in that. And, you know, with Kevin's to fancy no longer there, obviously who they hire is going to play a big part in that process. If the draft were tomorrow, I think that there's a better chance that Browns are probably looking at addressing a non-quarterback. You know, you look at the offensive line. You look at receiver. Aside from quarterback, those are clearly the two bleakest positions on the roster. So if you're the Browns and you're picking at six, you're crossing your finger. that no offensive linemen and no receivers go in the top five, which is possible. So, I mean, basically, I think you're crossing your fingers that Jordan Tyson and Spencer
Starting point is 00:17:12 Fano, Arizona State receiver, offensive tackle from Utah, those two guys are still on the board at six or at the very least one of them. So you can address one of those key positions on your roster. That's the other thing I keep thinking about, and it pertains to the Jets as well. And we'll see how this all evolves. We don't even know if Dante Moore is going pro. and we also we we don't know for sure how the league is going to view him maybe maybe he even he even even even even he even even he even he even declares and he's just not a slam dunk to be a top
Starting point is 00:17:41 two or three pick the way that he kind of feels right now because quarterback drives so much this conversation i'm dying to know which players NFL teams will view as like who's that other than quarterback who's that next guy off the board because we've been talking about it all year. It's hard to identify that guy. Like, who would go number one in this draft if it wasn't a quarterback? And the Jets and some of these other teams having to make that decision, I think is so interesting because it's just not an easy name to pick, in my opinion. I mean, it feels like yesterday when people told me for sure that Justin Fields is going to be a top three pick, you know, like that's, it's going to happen. Okay. That didn't happen. And, you know, you go back even further.
Starting point is 00:18:28 with Josh Allen or Lamar. Like there's plenty of quarterbacks that showed plenty of talent that it wasn't as simple as they went one, two, three. Or, you know, it's just, it's very rarely is. Like, 2024 was so rare where, you know, three badass quarterbacks come out and they go one, two, three. I mean, the year before when we had Bryce Young and C.J. Stroud, they went one, two. And so, like, it's, it's, we've seen both. Like, every draft has. its own persona.
Starting point is 00:19:00 You know, every draft is different. And so I think the way that this draft is shaped based off of Dante Moore's decision and then based off of some of the dominoes in free agency and some of these other moves, it will be really fascinating to see a play out. This will be one of the more unpredictable top tens that I can remember just because every draft board is going to look very, very different. You know, and both offense and defense, you know, Jeremiah Love, Kenyon Sadiq, like, I think those two guys are two of the top 10 players in this draft.
Starting point is 00:19:36 But, you know, we're talking a running back tight end. Not every team is going to be on board drafting those positions that high. Arvel Reese, who is very much in the conversation, in my opinion, to be the best player in this draft. He's, you know, he's not a tweener, but he is a hybrid where you can play him off the ball. You can play him as an edge rusher. But, you know, what's his best position? That's going to look a little bit different. from team to team scheme to scheme.
Starting point is 00:20:00 So this is a very unpredictable draft because all the varying decisions and opinions of these players from board to board team to team. I also want to highlight the other New York team, the Giants officially picking five. I thought it was noteworthy. Obviously, they bring back general manager Joe Shane, which we weren't sure was going to happen for a lot of this year. He'll be leading this draft process, whether you agree with that or not. and what I thought was interesting at his press conference basically saying that he's coming back was he was talking about how appealing his job is because of the play of Jackson Dart, which I agree with.
Starting point is 00:20:39 I thought the whispers and the chatter about the Giants drafting another quarterback again this year. I never agreed with. I think Jackson Dart has shown you plenty to be worth another year. But I do think it's fun when the general manager says that where he's like, hey, this. this guy is what makes this job appealing. And we'll see who the Giants hire. But I hear that. And I'm thinking like, okay, who are you drafting to make Jackson Darts life easier in
Starting point is 00:21:07 2026? Obviously, when you finish as poorly as the Giants did, they have needs all over the place. I'm sure they'd love to add to their secondary. But I hear that and I'm like, okay, receiver offensive line. Are we doing the Jeremiah love thing? Like, what are we doing to help Jackson DART in 2026? Yeah, and that makes sense that, you know, you do what you can to help your young quarterback. But I wouldn't be surprised if they went defense either because, you know, like, you look at these Ohio State guys and Sunny Stiles, Caleb Downs.
Starting point is 00:21:41 Like, what they would bring to that Giants defense would be, you know, an immediate upgrade and just proven football players. Like those guys, there's no such thing as a sure thing, but those guys feel like they have less risk. Like you just have a good idea of what you're getting with those players. So, and I don't think, you know, this is a organization that looks like they need to make a splash here. They just want to get a proven football player that makes sense for this roster that you can build around. And I think one of these Ohio State guys would make perfect sense for them. But yeah, to your point, I mean, I mentioned how the Browns at six are going to be hoping that a receiver, offensive linemen are still there.
Starting point is 00:22:16 The Giants at five right in front of them could be one of those teams that could snipe a Jordan Tyson or one of these often. of linemen right in front of them. So the giants, I think, are a little wide open with the direction they go here. We already talked about the Browns, but I wanted to follow up with you. You've just, you've been on it from the beginning that they're going to need to be aggressive at the quarterback position. And we can't know that for sure until we know how many quarterbacks we're working with, but where do you stand on that with this current landscape with them playing themselves
Starting point is 00:22:51 all the way up to number six? this draft order. Yeah, you know, it's the reason they traded, they wanted Cam Ward last year. That, they saw it as a one quarterback draft. If the Browns had a chance to get Cam Ward, they would have. Titans weren't playing. They wanted the quarterback totally understand. They traded back and partly because they wanted some draft ammo this year so they could
Starting point is 00:23:14 be aggressive to get that quarterback. This quarterback class did not turn out the way any of us thought. And again, that's not media driven. And a lot of NFL teams were very excited about the potential of this quarterback class. It just didn't come to fruition. So what does that leave? Where does that leave the Browns with, okay, do they take the same approach where, okay, we're not going to get Mendoza. If Moore is here, if they really like Dante Moore, but they're not able to get him because the jets are submitting with him at two.
Starting point is 00:23:45 Do they take a same approach where you take the good football player or try to trade back and then look at next year? You know, obviously, Shadour being on this roster, and Andrew Barry was the driving force drafting Shadour. Andrew Barry is back as the GM in Cleveland. Do they make another aggressive move for a Malik Willis? Just to bring in, because I, Shadur is very up and down, more down than up. Like, it's watching that game against the Bengals, the Bengals are terrible on defense. And aside from that final drive, Shadur just had trouble. of moving the football. And the turnover worthy plays were just really frustrating to watch.
Starting point is 00:24:27 But if, you know, he's, I'm fine with bringing him back on the roster. You have to at least bring in competition. What does that look like? What is the best avenue to do that? Whether that's a Malik Willis or somebody in this draft, that'll be interesting to watch just to see how they attack things. Well, and yeah, we're repeating ourselves. But so much changes every year. It'll all look different when free agency gets rolling. But specifically, so many of these teams that could shape the draft order, I expect to change their quarterback situation before we get to the draft. I mean, I'd be, I guess you can't rule it out with a coaching change now that Jonathan Gannon is out in Arizona. But I'd still be kind of surprised if Kyler Murray is back in Arizona
Starting point is 00:25:11 next year. Obviously, the Browns would probably like to cover themselves at quarterback heading into the draft. The Miami Dolphins at number 11 look like a team that could do something major at quarterback after the way it went down with Tua this year. And they're all the way back at number 18, but throw in the Vikings as well with probably wanting to cover themselves against J.J. McCarthy. So that's that's a lot of quarterback movement. And that doesn't even include the Colts and what might be in front of them. Obviously, they don't have a first round pick because of the sauce trade, but this feels like it could be a very active year of, uh, of musical chairs for starting quarterbacks.
Starting point is 00:25:52 And not a very like, not a very good pool of options to choose. Yeah. I mean, it will be interesting, but not fun. Like, not a lot of great options out there. So yeah, it's, uh, would not, if you're the Patriots, if you're one of these teams, like, I know that the season did not go great. if you're the commanders, but you can feel good that you have your quarterback, you know, like you can have solace in that, that you're, at least you're not one of these teams just
Starting point is 00:26:21 searching in the sand for a capable quarterback play. I'm glad you said that because that is one of the most interesting things about the top of this draft to me is every now and then you'll have misfortune strikes a team and a team with a franchise quarterback, a team that we expected to see in the playoffs will have a bad year. That's not that weird, but we got it three times in the top 10 of this draft. The Washington commanders, the Kansas City Chiefs, the Cincinnati Bengals all entered the season with hopes of winning their division and competing for a Super Bowl. I looked it up before the show.
Starting point is 00:26:58 They were all top 10 in preseason odds to win the Super Bowl before the season started. Obviously the chief. Yeah, exactly. And so three teams who we know have franchise quarterbacks, are picking in the top 10 of this draft. And that is, it's very fun. It's very exciting to see what they prioritize. I mean, for teams that we expect so much of,
Starting point is 00:27:23 the list of needs is long, right? Like, it's crazy that the commanders played in the NFC title game last year. And you go look at it now and you're like, man, they need help at edge rusher. They could use some help at corner. They could probably use a safety. running back room is not as deep as you might want receiver behind Terry McLaurin was never deep there's no shortage of paths they could choose obviously the Bengals have needed everything on defense
Starting point is 00:27:56 forever and Trey Hendrickson is probably out this off season so that's something else to consider and then again the Chiefs I think I think they'll be fine in the long run but I'm sure they would like to tool pieces of their defense. They could use a Travis Kelsey replacement. They need running back help. Their receivers kind of underwhelmed this year. So there's no shortage of ways you could do this for all of these teams. But it is fun to see all of them holding such big picks.
Starting point is 00:28:28 Well, that's why I said it's going to be a very unpredictable top 10. When you have the teams at the top that could go quarterback might not. And these three teams especially where they can go in a lot of different directions. when you have a Jeremiah Love out there, when you have a Kenyon Sadiq out there, you know, you could absolutely, Chiefs can make the case that Sadiq is the best player available on the board
Starting point is 00:28:49 when they're picking at nine. You know, and, you know, they don't know how to pick at nine. The last time they picked at nine, or in the top nine picks, Patrick Mahomes was in middle school.
Starting point is 00:28:59 So it was, it was Eric Fisher, wasn't it? Yeah, 2010. I believe Patrick Mahomes was in eighth grade that year. So it's, so old.
Starting point is 00:29:08 Very. I think that's the first year, we met, I believe. It's been a long, long road. That's so wild that like 20, 2013 was like when you and I started working together. And so for a lot of reasons, it feels like it was yesterday. But then you're like, yeah, Patrick Mahomes was in eighth grade. And I'm like, holy shit. Yeah. Patrick Mahomes is in his, what, eighth year or whatever it is now. So, yeah, they really could go in a lot of different directions. Because I mean, you hit on those surface level needs. And those will change, obviously in free agency and how, you know, there will always be some surprise cuts.
Starting point is 00:29:44 And I would also just caution people that so many people just look at the draft in the first round and the top 10 and say, oh, what's our biggest need? Oh, patch rush or boom. Okay. That's what's going to be. It's just not that simple. Every year shows us that teams will think outside the box a little bit. They'll bet on traits at a different position.
Starting point is 00:30:04 They'll bet on, you know, they're forecasting to not just next year's roster, but two, three years from now and what's coming down the pike as a going to be a need on this team. So, you know, it's just not that simple. And especially in a draft like this, we could definitely see some, some surprise picks when we get to, to that point in the draft. I'm so glad you said that because I was formulating an early take. Oh, bring it. I think it's easy to look at the chiefs and say they need a Travis Kelsey replacement. Like I think a lot of people are going to circle Kenyon Sadiq. I think a lot of people would circle Jeremiah Love. I think, you know, the chiefs tried that with Clyde Edwards E. Lear.
Starting point is 00:30:42 And Jeremiah Love is obviously a vastly better prospect than Clyde Edwards Elair. Like I said, receiver. I think there's a million things that people would want to mock to the chiefs that all sound very exciting. He would be fun almost anywhere, but Kansas City would be like my A1 Caleb Downs landing spot. Get him in there with spags and the amount of, of hats that he can wear and the amount of stuff that he can do, I think it would be super exciting. I think it would confuse a lot of people who don't pay closer attention. And I would be like, yes, let's get back to the chiefs that won Super Bowls with their defense being so
Starting point is 00:31:24 badass. I think that would be awesome. I was thinking the same thing about the Bengals and what Caleb Downs would bring to that. Like I said, there aren't very many teams, there aren't very many teams where Caleb Downs wouldn't be a good pick. Exactly. Both, I mean, what he brings, like he'll instantly be one of the leaders on the team and he was outstanding against Miami. Like, Ohio State offense struggled. The
Starting point is 00:31:45 defense played pretty well, especially the studs. The stars of the Ohio State defense played really, Sunny Stiles. Sunny Stiles missed his first tackle and the whole entire season and it's, he still had a really good game. Caleb Downs was awesome. And, you know,
Starting point is 00:32:00 nothing happened in that game to hurt those guys. from being the top picks they're going to be. Yeah, again, I mean, Cincinnati could use everything. It's going to be a defensive player though, right? Particularly on the defensive side of the ball. Yeah, for sure. And Sharpie, right? I mean, it's going to be, it's got to be a defensive player.
Starting point is 00:32:17 They need so much help on that side of the ball, especially with, like you said, Trey Henderson likely not being back. And there's always turnover. I mean, Joseph Asai, probably not back. Not that he's a difference maker on that team, but there's always turnover on the roster anyways. And so the Bengals are going to be in a position where they can draft one of these, you know, Kildrück Falk. There's a lot of different ways they could address the defense. But yeah, it will get interesting. And I think like I said, we could see a few surprises where
Starting point is 00:32:47 someone like Mansour Delane, corner out of LSU, who's not super toolsy. He's not going to overwhelm anybody at the combine with, he'll be fine in terms of speed. but he won't be a 4-3 guy. And he'll be fine in terms of size, but he's 5-11, 190, not very long. But he's just a really good football player. Like, I like him a lot more than Judi Barron, who was drafted 20th last year.
Starting point is 00:33:15 And a lot of people thought Jedi Barron was a top 12 pick. And I think Bansword Delane's a better prospect. So, you know, if Delane gets into the top 10, that to me that is not a surprise in this draft class. That's, I've brought it up with you, a million times because corner is such an important position and this doesn't feel like a year with that no doubt about it top 10 type of pick but you look at Delane maybe Avion Terrell at Clemson. We've talked about Jermad McCoy. Jermad McCoy's that that's the one where it's
Starting point is 00:33:48 a lot will hinge on the medicals obviously coming off the ACL and what does he run at the combine assuming he runs. But that 2024 tape is first round top 15 times. type of tape. So there's always risk involved, but at least that we're a year removed from that injury will have the complete medicals and we'll be able to see them move. And so if Germain McCoy still ends up going top seven in this draft, to me, that should not surprise anybody. This is a perfect illustration of my point, though. The likely top two choices are a guy who didn't play in 2025 and a guy who dominated in the SEC but might not have the the measurables and the testing that really get you excited and make you feel confident about that.
Starting point is 00:34:32 But scarcity is a hell of a thing. And so, like, trying to pinpoint where a guy like that would go is very fun. Because you're looking at it and you're like, oh, I feel better about this at 12 or 13. But if you're convinced that the drop off is severe, then, yeah, why would you be surprised to see that guy go six or seven? People need to change your perceptions based. And then they have to do it every draft class. You know, like just in one draft class, Brock Bowers would go top three.
Starting point is 00:35:04 In this draft class, Brock Bowers would be a top five pick. But, you know, two years ago, he was the 13th pick just because of the quarterbacks in that draft and the high-end talent in that draft. So you just, everyone has a change of perception of what a number one overall pick looks like in a guy like Fernando Mendoza who's not on the level of those guys that we talked about before. But if the Raiders believe he'll be a top 15 quarterback in the league, that he had like at some point in the next three years he can get to that level or on that rookie contract then you pull the trigger you go that you that's who you draft at number one
Starting point is 00:35:37 overall and so i think you just based on who the what the draft gives you every year because every draft is different has his own identity you have to just alter your perception a little bit in terms of oh well this in in most drafts this player will go you know 14th or whatever it ends up being. So this draft more than ever got to change your perception and understand, okay, what is he going to be? Instead of comparing a player to past drafts, compare him to what does he bring to our team? What's the impact that he gives us? And is there anybody else that brings a better impact? If not, then screw it. That should be the player. That should be the pick because that's going to make the biggest impact for your team. One more team I wanted to hit on before we move on to
Starting point is 00:36:22 the rest of the show. I think it's worth mentioning again, when we did this however many weeks ago, it looked like the Rams were going to have a top 10 pick. And they do, they still have a pretty good pick by virtue of the trade with Atlanta. Ironically, Atlanta beat them in that fantastic Monday night game that hurt the Rams pick. So now they, they own Atlanta's pick at 13 overall. Atlanta finished the season really strongly to get to eight and nine. So you have the 13th pick and we'll see what their their own pick is. It'll be in the 12th. 20s or maybe even the 30s. But I'm very intrigued by how the math changes there because the Rams quarterback hunting
Starting point is 00:37:00 no longer feels as plausible as it did or maybe they're that crazy. I mean, this is one of the most aggressive front offices in the NFL. They have draft capital for the first time and forever. Maybe they try it anyway. But I'm very interested in how the Rams approach this where you have a quarterback who's in the twilight of his career. We don't know that Matthew Stafford's done. but you'd be crazy not to be thinking about that.
Starting point is 00:37:24 But are you in position to do anything about it? Or do you just try to load up your offensive line or draft an air to Devante Adams? I don't know. Like it's so much murkier now that this is pick 13 instead of like pick seven. Right. And yeah, Stafford, he's going to be 38 this off season, obviously coming off MVP level year. But, you know, who knows how long he wants to play. So, you know, that will play a part in what they do.
Starting point is 00:37:55 I'm just, I'm looking forward to them drafting Kenyon Sadiq and just running 14 personnel, you know, next season and just changing the rules. You're going to get another Oregon tight in. Just put them on a on a conveyor belt straight to the Rams facility. I'm saying that half kidding or mostly kidding. Mostly kidding until they do it. Yeah. Exactly. But my point being kind of like you said, like the Rams, they.
Starting point is 00:38:20 they kind of think differently. And they, they, in a lot of different ways, have been on the forefront of, hey, we think this could work. Let's lean into it. And so seeing the direction they go at their team will be a lot of fun. And I think that, you know, obviously they're a team that is set up to compete for the Super Bowl. And so there's not a ton of needs, but, you know, could they use an upgraded corner? Could they use, like, there's obviously places they could address. But could they make a splash when you're drafting or this high.
Starting point is 00:38:50 which they don't expect to be drafting this high very, very often. That will be fun to watch. You know, and I've mentioned Sadiq a few times. I think one thing, to me, he's a top 12 level player in this draft, but something that might hurt him is this is a deep tight end class. I think edge rusher, linebacker, tight end, those three positions to me, at least with the underclassmen that have declared up to this point, they look like three of the most or at least the deepest positions.
Starting point is 00:39:20 that this draft has to offer. So that doesn't stop you from drafting a Sadiq, anyone in the top 15, but I think it may be, if you feel good about this tight-end class like I do, you feel good about waiting to the second, third round, fourth round, and getting a plan B and then going a different way in the first round. There are always teams who feel like they're a piece away. And I know that's a logical fallacy. You're never one piece away.
Starting point is 00:39:47 but there are always a handful of teams where the perception of them is that they're a piece away. And we wishcast weapons and, you know, splashy players for those teams. It's very funny to think that the Rams are one of those aggressive teams that's down to do something wild to put themselves over the top. And so having a quarterback who's turning 38, I wonder how they balance that. Whether or not they win the Super Bowl, I wouldn't blame them if that, like, affected their decision. making like how close do you come to winning a championship in the next month and how does it affect just how wild you want to get with it in this draft yeah you feel like you're playing with house money at that point where it's like you know we we we just won a super bowl we we feel like we can
Starting point is 00:40:33 maybe but if they let's say let's say they fall painfully short yeah like what do you do and knowing that you've at best case scenario got like one more year of stafford that's that sounds like a hard place to be. But I think if anybody was going to be stuck in that position, I think I trust less need and Sean McVeigh to figure it out. Yeah, no, fair point. All right. That does it for draft talk.
Starting point is 00:40:58 For now, I mean, we got so much more coming, but we do want to take a little bit of a look at the college semifinals. We'll do that on the other side of the break. All right, Dan, like I said, we went really in depth with the quarters last week. I think I worry about redundancy
Starting point is 00:41:17 if we just run it back. Obviously, it's It's Miami against Ole Miss on Thursday night. It's Indiana versus Oregon on Friday night. By this point, I feel like we have a really good idea of what to expect and who's playing. If you're a team, if you're a fan of a team that needs a quarterback, you should watch the Peach Bowl on Friday night. Fernando Mendoza is playing Dante Moore. I can't think of a better selling point for that.
Starting point is 00:41:42 But I did want to hit on one guy who we've talked about fairly often on this show. And we joked about it last week. It kind of started off as a little bit of a novelty. And there was Trinidad Chambleau just bawling out against Georgia in the college football quarterfinals. He's got a chance to get Ole Miss to the national championship game this week. And I did want to revisit that and get your feelings on what this could all mean. Obviously, we don't know right now.
Starting point is 00:42:14 Trinidad Chambleau has applied for a waiver for another year of eligibility. He recommitted to Old Miss. so he could be right back there in Oxford next fall. But all of a sudden, starting to feel like a much more serious NFL prospect than we were imagining way back in September. Well, and when we first started talking about him in the fall, like I asked scouts, you know, what do you think about him? And they all said good things, but they weren't really considering him as a serious 2026 prospect because he wanted to go back to school. and Ole Miss was very confident that the waiver would go through. So even with the success that he's had here in the playoffs,
Starting point is 00:42:56 it still sounds like that's option A for him. You know, he wants that one more year in college. Now, could that change if Ole Miss wins at all? Potentially, right? But I think the main variable here is that waiver. And even if it's denied, because just without going too far into it, He had two years that he did not play at Ferris State.
Starting point is 00:43:20 One he redshirted the other one. That's the one they're trying to get a medical redshirt for. So, you know, they have to show documentation that, hey, this was the injury. This is what kept me from playing. And so even if that does get denied, we'll probably see a lawsuit. And, you know, there's, I think there's a better chance that Chamblis is playing in college next year than the NFL. But the door isn't completely closed. And so if he is a part of this class,
Starting point is 00:43:45 I don't know, day two certainly feels possible for him. And all it takes is one team. Every year there's a reminder of that. Dylan Gabriel was that guy last year. And Chamberliss, I mean, he's got the resume of a full resume of big time throws against SEC competition. He's got the athletic instincts that you want. I think that will really separate him from some other quarterbacks in this class.
Starting point is 00:44:09 And he takes care of the football. He's one of the best touchdown interception ratios in the country. So I'm very excited to see him against Miami in this playoff game, especially with we know that pass rush for the hurricanes and what it can what it can bring. Are they going to just let it loose? Are they going to try and play a little more contain with a guy like Chamberliss who we know can use his legs, which is different than Julian Sane in Ohio State? So this will be a very good test for the quarterback against that hurricane's defense.
Starting point is 00:44:40 And while what happens in the playoffs, probably will determine ultimately what he does. It's more about the waiver. And it sounds like that decision could be coming pretty quickly. That's, it's so interesting to think about where. And I mean, that's, we've been talking about it all year. That's the new landscape of college football where like I could sit here and say, Trinidad, somebody is going to be willing to make you this 66th overall pick in the NFL draft
Starting point is 00:45:11 and think about the money that comes with that. that mattered six years ago. And right now, I don't know the number off the top of my head, but you hear the reports about what Brendan Sorsby got to go to Texas Tech and what some of these other transfer quarterbacks are getting. I'm sure he will be well compensated to stay in college. Like it's not the risk that it used to be. And so it's still, as somebody who grew up with the old way and this has been what I'm used to, it's still weird to think about. But if you go back to only one, I mean, the amount of. people on Twitter, the responses I get about, oh, Chamberlis, he has to go now, right?
Starting point is 00:45:50 Like, look at his age. You have to change your thinking. Like, that's just not how guys. And this is true regardless of era, but money is not the determining factor for not a lot of these guys. Some of these guys. Where it's what's going to get me the absolute max out my bank account, you know, because you are well compensated, especially quarterbacks, especially SEC quarterbacks. And so you are making good money and you just, you can't get that year back in college.
Starting point is 00:46:19 And that's how a lot of guys think. They're not in a rush to get to the next level, get to the NFL. Some guys are. Not everyone is. And that might be a lot of people think just in terms of money in those terms. And I get it. I'm not saying that's wrong in any way. But that's just not how everyone looks at it, not how everyone feels.
Starting point is 00:46:37 And, you know, when we look back in hindsight, could it end up being the wrong decision? Sure. But that's life. We all make our own decisions and some of us might have regret, some of us, you know, but, you know, that's just something that, uh, especially with this specific player, being at an SEC school when you are the quarterback, it's pretty glamorous, right? Like, I mean, you're the guy. There's, of course there's pressure, but there's still a, uh, it's, it's got to be a lot of fun for this player after being a D2 guy for four years, going to the SEC and all of a sudden kind of being at this. level and having these types of resources and you're not a you in some ways you're you have to be a pro because that's the way college athletics is moving but it's still not the NFL where uh you know
Starting point is 00:47:23 you've got 35 year olds in your locker room relying on you to go make plays it's still a different dynamic and so um i don't think it's any surprise why him or anybody would want to go back and this include dante more in this conversation as well if he goes back to school people will the crying from people about how could you pass up that type of money. If he feels like he's going to be a better quarterback in the long run with one more year in college where he's probably going to be making five plus million dollars next year, I get it. I mean, that's good for him to make that decision.
Starting point is 00:47:57 Let's be blunt about it too. Like, and of course, not everybody has the same background or has the same need for the money, but it used to just be a leverage play, though, where like even if you don't need the money, if you get a good report from the NFL and you're going to be whatever, like a top 50 pick, you look at it and you're like, okay, that's not even that, like I'm not even going to go top 10, but how am I supposed to turn down this many million dollars in hand? Like I'm putting myself at risk for no guarantee of future money. And even look, let's not be naive.
Starting point is 00:48:32 Guys were getting paid under the table all the time in college football before this. but six figures and a free Dodge Charger that showed up in your driveways, not the same thing as signing on the dotted line to go back to school and being confident that you're going to make seven figures, which the quarterback of a football factory is going to make. And so it's just not as scary as it used to be to go back to school. It's still bizarre seeing these tweets about USC resigning their quarterback or like just, it's weird, man.
Starting point is 00:49:04 It's, it is a, like I said, I'm still adjusting to it, but you're so right. Like you have to let that model of thinking go where you're just like, oh, well, the lure of the money is too great to ignore because you could lose everything where it's like, no, you can still make a lot of money and make yourself a more desirable prospect. And if Trinidad Chamberliss could go in the second or third round today, then that means he's got a shot to improve his stock even more next year. And even if it works out disastrously, he's still going to be paid handsomely to do it. I mean, shoot, let's just let's keep it in the rivalry. Let's bring up our old guy Garrett Nussmeyer. I mean, he lost big this year, but he was still well compensated to do it.
Starting point is 00:49:48 And at the end of the day, I saw he accepted a senior bowl invite. So he's going to still go have a chance to prove his bona fides and get drafted into the NFL. So the downside, I just don't think is anywhere near as scary as it was. five, six years ago. If teams like you, they usually don't sour on you to the point where it's just disastrous. I mean, Garrett Nussmeyer, yeah, he's not going to be the first round pick like a lot of people thought he could be, but I mean, he could still be a third round pick and teams still really like him.
Starting point is 00:50:18 So, you know, if teams like Chambliss now, I am sure they'll still like him next year. Watching him navigate Mesidor and Rubin Bain will be incredibly fun. And he is well suited to do it. he is I mean I liked him the moment I watched him against I think it was Tulane but like credit yeah I liked him I liked him as like a wouldn't this be cool kind of thing like you know maybe maybe somebody likes him in the sixth or seventh round I did not see it getting to where it is right now all right all right we're going to take another quick break and then we'll be back to look at Dane's all rookie team all right Dane in the last little bit of the show I did want to take a look at the all
Starting point is 00:51:02 rookie team, which you are publishing on theathletic.com this week. I'm not, it's Tuesday. I'm not sure if it's out yet. Thursday, I believe it's up. So we don't need to run through the entire thing. But we checked in about this at like the quarter mark of the season and the halfway point of the season. And it's funny, when you and I talk, we're mainly talking about guys heading into the draft
Starting point is 00:51:25 in 2026. We don't, we don't talk as much about what's been playing out over the course of the NFL season. And so I'm always curious to pick your brain about this. And let's, I'm just going to run through some ones that really interest me. And let's start right off the jump. Jackson Dart as your first team, all rookie quarterback, which halfway through the year, I think we said, like Cam Ward was the guy by default, but Jackson Dart's playing great.
Starting point is 00:51:51 But I'm a little curious about the guy that you left off of here. You talking about our guy in New Orleans? I sure am. I'm talking about Tyler Shuck. Well, part of me wanted to put Tyler Shuck there just because I felt like I was one of the bigger Tyler Shuck defenders throughout the draft process. Like there were people that they just found out his age and they were like, all right, I'm out. I'm not even not even going to. Yeah, his age and the fact that he transferred a bunch and like one one bad throw from the combine.
Starting point is 00:52:23 Like that was some type of disqualifier why he couldn't be a good player. But no, he was, Shuck was my runner up ahead of Cam. award. But look, Jackson Dart, and look, these awards are mostly stat-driven. This isn't like who I would want for the next five years. This is who put up the best stats and the biggest impact over this rookie year. And with Dart, he had 11 starts. And only one of those was with Malik neighbors. So I think that's important context. He accounted for 24 touchdowns this year. that was easily the most among all rookie quarterbacks, seven more than Cam Ward who had 17.
Starting point is 00:53:04 And then you look at all the rate stats, it favors dart. And then what he brought with his legs as a dual threat quarterback. He had more rushing yards this year than Alvin Kamara. The only quarterbacks who had more rushing yards were Josh Allen and Justin Herbert. So the impact that he brought, and that's not to say that Cam Ward didn't show a lot of promise. and Tyler Shuck didn't have a really strong second half.
Starting point is 00:53:30 Like when they benched, who did they bench in New Orleans? Spencer Rattler. Spencer Rattler, yeah. All I heard was, oh, why are they doing this? I was saying, it's about time. Like, you need to see what you have with the second round pick. And credit to Shuck, he was the only quarterback to win over half of his starts. The only rookie quarterback to win over half of his starts this year, which, you know,
Starting point is 00:53:56 he wasn't the only. only reason there was plenty of, you know, it's a very much a team game, but Tyler Shuck was a big part of that using both his legs and with his arm. You know, he was, I think I, he at least played to the level where the Saints can go into next year feeling like they have their quarterback for 2026. Now, is he the long-term answer? Time will tell. But for 20206, the Saints can feel like they have their quarterback. I'm mainly busting your chops because I said on a show with Robert and Derek a couple weeks ago, like even after everything Tyler Shuck has done, if I was starting a franchise with one of these two guys heading into the next season, I would take Jackson DART because the athleticism and the
Starting point is 00:54:39 high level talent, I think it's just too much to ignore. And the stuff you just listed off is very enticing. But just in terms of who played better in 2025, I mean, Tyler Shuck was, he was awesome. And maybe some of this is that I, I hate to say I wrote him off personally. I just wrote off the situation. I didn't think that there was going to be any chance that he would be able to show enough to have this job heading into 2026.
Starting point is 00:55:07 And I was dead wrong. I mean, the guy had two, 300 yard passing games. He was a catalyst in their wins, both of their wins against Carolina. He was a big catalyst in the upset at Tampa Bay that kind of sent Tampa's season spiraling. And he even played well against like really good teams that they played. Like his first start against the Rams was nothing incredible, but he looked
Starting point is 00:55:31 miles better than I would expect of a guy making his first NFL start against the Super Bowl contender. I just thought over the time that he got to play, he played quarterback more consistently well than any other rookie, even if I would rather have Jackson Dart in the long term. That's, I think that's fair because I think Tyler Shuck deserves a lot of credit for the way he played down the stretch and in the way that, I don't know, it felt like the entire team responded to him. I don't know. It just felt different watching the Saints second half of the year compared to the first half.
Starting point is 00:56:05 And so like I said, I don't, I don't know if he is really the long-term answer, but I, you know, the Saints can feel great about going into 2026, feeling they have a promising quarterback that could be the long-term answer. Maybe he is, maybe he is not, but he could be. and the evidence is all over the 2025 tape. I don't think anybody's terribly surprised to hear. Travion Henderson as the all rookie running back runner up, Ashton Genti. Teteroa McMillan and Emeka, Bucca, are your rookie receivers,
Starting point is 00:56:37 despite late challenges by Jaden Higgins and Luther Burton. I think that's totally fair. I'm tempted to put Colston Loveland on my team if this is my team. But I think it's a good shout by you to have, Tyler Warren being one of your tight ends, but also Harold Fanon, who had a remarkable rookie season on a team that was nowhere near as visible as the Bears. I think that's totally fair.
Starting point is 00:57:02 Look at you just embracing your Chicagoness. He's just, he's been awesome, man. He has been awesome. And in that was, there were so many victory laps, you know, in September about how I can't believe the Bears to Loveland over Warren.
Starting point is 00:57:20 And like, the overreactions to the first month of the season were kind of hilarious. But, you know, it's, again, these stats are mostly stat driven. And Tyler Warren and Harold Fanon finished one and two in rookie tight end catches, receiving yards, receptions of 10 plus yards. And the thing with Fanon that I just, the fact that he did it with those quarterbacks in Cleveland and that offense, I love this stat. So two quarter or two NFL tight ends, not just rookies, two NFL tight ends had more than 15 forced mistackles this year.
Starting point is 00:57:59 Trey McBride at 24 and Fanon had 22. Like what he gave to this offense after the catch and moving the chains, it was really made him a difference maker. So to me, like that's why I gave him the edge, even though, yeah, if I was building a team tomorrow, give me Colson Loveland all day. and we saw his impact down the stretch for Chicago and I'm betting we'll see him make some noise in the playoffs but for this all rookie team taking the whole season into account I'm going to give the edge to Warren and Fanon. Think about all the ways that Harold Fanon is a unicorn
Starting point is 00:58:34 because like you especially at the tight end position which we famously say is like so hard to transition to the NFL. He's still 21 years old. It's like you got to be an incredible athlete. Well, he's not like this incredible. athlete, he falls to the third round of the draft. And I'll just, I'll say it if you're not willing to. Like, if a tight end falls all the way to the third round, I'm not writing him off as a good player, but I'm probably writing him off as like this rookie star, you know, like it's hard to break into
Starting point is 00:59:02 the lineup as a tight end if you're not this overwhelming first round pick, like a Tyler Warren or a Colston Loveland or what have you. Then it's like, okay, well, did you at least play at a football factory where you're going against the best of the best? No, he played at bowling green. Oh, well, is he at least, you know, like Orande Gadsden, is he at least playing in an offense with an amazing quarterback like Justin Herbert who can get him the ball? Ah, not really. These quarterbacks are actually pretty bad. And despite all of that. Conner Blazick was all right. No, I'm talking about it in the NFL, though. Oh, oh, yes, definitely. That just the guy had nothing working in his favor that typically works for a guy that breaks out like this.
Starting point is 00:59:44 And here he is with 700 yards and six touchdowns as a rookie. I think the thing that really helped him was the Brown staff, Stefansky and those guys, Tommy Reese, they really believed in him. I think it was, I think it was Mays actually who on his training camp tour, after he left Cleveland, he texted me and said, man, the way they feel about Fanon, like he could be a dude this year. And that type of belief and confidence. a player and giving him those opportunities,
Starting point is 01:00:13 we saw what it could, what it could mean. It's like when talent meets opportunity, and that's Harold Fanon this year. So with David Njoku, maybe played his last game in Cleveland, Fanon's going to be the top guy in the depth chart. I mean,
Starting point is 01:00:27 he was most of this year anyways because Njoku was hurt. But Fanon, he's going to be the guy who is, we'll see what they do at receiver in the offseason, but he's going to go into next year as one of their key contributors on offense. your offensive tackles. I don't think anybody would be surprised to hear Armand Membue is here. And you did,
Starting point is 01:00:47 you listed Will Campbell as a runner up, which is totally fair. Phenomenal season on his part. But I was really pumped to see you give Kelvin Banks of the New Orleans Saints some love who get very quietly for even with their late season surge, not a good team. They're picking in the top 10 of the draft.
Starting point is 01:01:05 But I thought he was really, really phenomenal without as much. visibility as a guy like Will Campbell got. And I think if Will Campbell played the entire year, because he did have that four-game stretch where he was hurt, he was out, because Will Campbell played at an exceptional level all year. And I mean, who knows that the Patriots win the NFC East without having that left tackle. But Kelvin Banks played, I mean, he was on pace to play like almost every snap for the Saints this year until he was an ankle injury in week 18.
Starting point is 01:01:38 But Banks played at a pretty high level himself. there were some hiccups and pass protection like you would expect from a rookie gave up more more pressures than you want to see but for the most part Kelvin Blinks Kelvin Banks played pretty well Membue to me was a top tackle that I saw this year well that's that's been your guy this whole time 21 years old and to play at that level from the start from the get go just awesome it's funny how not funny but ironic I guess with the Jets the the question for how long was the offensive line. Now it feels like the offensive line is the only promising part of that team, or at least on offense, moving forward, and Memboo's a big part of that. Looking through the rest of this, again, you can check it out on the athletic on Thursday.
Starting point is 01:02:25 It can't help but notice, selfishly. The Cowboys' first two picks of 2025 major list. Tyler Booker as a first team interior offensive line, Donovan Azaraku, as a runner up, but we'll take the silver linings where we can get them. Yeah, and as a rock through, I think was just rock solid all year. He only had two sacks, but, you know, he did a really nice job in the run game.
Starting point is 01:02:50 You know, he had to get 36 pressures. So, you know, he deserves, we talked about. And both Falcons, past rushers, you know, they, a lot was made of, obviously, the trade up that they made to go get James Pierce. Not that I will say was worth it, because I still don't think it was. but Pierce played, I think, what they were hoping that he would be in terms of getting to the quarterback, led all rookies with 10 and a half sacks, the only rookie to have double-edged sacks this year. That's something that at least the Falcons can hang on to as they kind of bring in a new era next year. I'm with you.
Starting point is 01:03:30 I'm not convinced it was worth it. And, you know, the metrics say that Pierce was good, not an overwhelming thing. force or anything like that. But giving up that pick with Pierce sitting on 10 and a half sacks feels a hell of a lot better than giving up that pick and he couldn't get on the field or he just wasn't productive. So I will I will say that. And Jalen Walker was my other runner up at Edrosher because he was impactful as well. He would, um, there's a stat called splash plays that our Austin Mock, you know, keeps really close tabs on that really puts together pressures, negative tackles, third, fourth down stops, just really all the negative plays for a defensive
Starting point is 01:04:14 player. And Jalen Walker had one of the highest splash player rates. And his impact, I think, goes well beyond what just the stat sheet says and the sacks and those numbers. So both Falcons, first round picks, played pretty well as rookies. So it kind of goes without saying, Abdul Carter was one of your rookie of the year, or all rookie edge rushers, which makes perfect sense. We haven't talked about this in a minute.
Starting point is 01:04:40 Does Carter's late season surge change your stance on defensive rookie of the year? Because I kind of, I felt like it was Carson, Swessinger's award to lose for a long time at this point. But we know Carter's got crazy good pressure numbers. He's had good pressure numbers all season. His quick pressure numbers are insane. You add three and a half sacks to that over the last whatever month of the season it was. I can see it if you think he should be rookie of the year. For me, I think it's still Swessinger,
Starting point is 01:05:12 but what do you think? I think Swesinger already has the place on his bookcase picked out for the award. I think you're right. I think you're right. Swesinger, spoiler, but yeah, he's my top linebacker on this all rookie team. I like the stat. So he's the only NFL player this year, not rookie, just NFL player, with over 150 tackles, at least 10 tackles for a loss, and at least two interceptions.
Starting point is 01:05:41 That has it, like, does only happen like two or three times the last 12 years. And like, Roquan Smith did it a couple years ago. Luke Keakley did it. But we're talking about like legit all-pro linebacker play and Sweshanger did it. Banged up, by the way. I mean, he was talking to some scouts about what he was working through this year. And it's just amazing. He played at this level while being that injured.
Starting point is 01:06:04 And eventually he did have to go on IR, didn't play week 18. So he did this all in a 16 game type of season. Swesinger to me, it's, and honestly, I think it's Swesinger. I'd probably go Nick Eminwari. And then Abdul Carter would be my top three. But, you know, all three had really good years. Eminoir is a good shout. And he is on this list as well, which look, just looking over your list,
Starting point is 01:06:29 what a, what a fun year in the back seven for, for the NFL. really coming sweatshanger's amazing jihad campbell tailed off a little bit but still a very promising rookie season and then you look through the secondary nick eminuari jacob parish and upton stout that's just it's disgusting that there's that much competition for like best nickel of best nickel rookie rookie nickel of the year uh because all three of those guys have phenomenal seasons zavier watson malachi starks with yonis sanker and kre and kre kre kre and kre kre kre and kre Greg Woodson as the runners up at safety. Even cornerback, Quincy Riley in New Orleans,
Starting point is 01:07:10 Will Johnson and Arizona, like a lot of good secondary play from this rookie class now that I'm looking at it all laid out in one place. Denzel Burke, I mean, the Cardinals have to feel good about their cornerback depth chart going into next year with the way Burke played, Will Johnson played. Noel Williams for the Chiefs,
Starting point is 01:07:29 the way he played over the last month of the season was outstanding. He was a guy that, I probably had Chiefs fans wondering what the hell took so long if I had to guess. And he did have, you know, he was a role player early on. He had his moments. But seeing him get his chance and then playing at the level that he did was, was awesome. And he was always someone that didn't have the speed. Like he wasn't a big speed guy, but he had the competitive toughness, the awareness, the physicality.
Starting point is 01:07:58 All of that was off the charts. It just was he fast enough? I don't know. I mean, I think going into next year. he'll be competing for a starting job and to me he belongs in a starting lineup somewhere um but yeah he's part of that mix um yeah you the nickels were crazy this year emin warry jacobbott upton stout upton stout all three of those guys got an opportunity and they ran with it i'm straight up If you listen to our shows with Robert and Derek, you know, like, I'm an Upton Stout fan.
Starting point is 01:08:28 And I'm like, I'm mad that he's only a runner up. But then you look at what Im and Warre and Parrish did. And you're like, yeah, no, that's the correct order. But it just speaks to how well they played. And you can't watch. And also all three of those, you know, the Seahawks, the Bucks, the 49ers. You can't watch those defenses play without feeling the presence of that nickel position and what those guys brought to the field. up and stout, I gave him a lot of credit.
Starting point is 01:08:53 Like, I liked him in the process, but he's five, eight and a half, 180 pounds. So, like, you don't want to be a sizest. You don't want to, like, just write him off. And I didn't. I mean, I thought he was a fourth, fifth round pick. But they, I believe he went to third round. And he was making this San Francisco 49ers look absolutely right. Emin Worry, I was, I'm still shocked that he didn't go in the first round.
Starting point is 01:09:15 I mean, I think the tape, the traits, it all said first round. It all said top 20. and he fell to the, I think he was like the 35th picks, one of the first picks on day two, and it looks like a steal for the Seahawks. I mean, you felt his presence out there
Starting point is 01:09:31 with the way he played every level, whether he's close to line of scrimmage, whether he's in the deep half, you felt what Nick Emondwari brought to the field and my guy, Jacob Parrish, same type of thing. The lesson I learned from Eminari, and it's not that, like, I mean,
Starting point is 01:09:46 he's an incredible athlete, fun player, but like, where you land, matters right and from here on out when i when i see mike macdonald draft a defender with a big time pick i'm just i'm going to be way way more interested because if he's got a vision for you then i'm i'm pretty excited to see what it is i mean byron murphy uh two years ago in the draft bairn murphy's awesome and then see what they did this past year i think you're absolutely right you know what
Starting point is 01:10:17 another lesson I learned just from looking at this. And I think it's prescient given the draft cycle that we're about to head into. But it's easy to act like a draft class is bad or down or, you know, we don't, where's the star power in this draft? What's the top 10 going to look like and all that stupid stuff? And then we get to the end of the 2025 season, which people weren't very excited about last year's draft either. And you look at it on paper and you're like,
Starting point is 01:10:47 holy shit, there were a lot of good rookies playing good football this year. And it'll be the same case with this one. It might not be the top 10 or it might not be the quarterback position, but we're about to draft a bunch of really fun football players into the league. There's no doubt about it. And I think that I mentioned linebacker, edge rush or tight end, those three positions are especially loaded in this class where even if you don't, we're not talking about them in first round.
Starting point is 01:11:13 I mean, the guy's second, third, fourth round of those positions will make impacts next year. Xavier Watts was a 96th pick last April. And, you know, he was second in the league in interceptions with five. So, you know, you think the Falcons feel good about making that pick, which, you know, a surprise he lasted as long as he did, but it ended up working for both sides. And I think that's a really good point because the star power might be lacking in the 2026 class, but there will be plenty of depth at some key positions that will be on the field next year as NFL players and will make an impact. Looking forward to finding out more about who they are and where they're going to go.
Starting point is 01:11:53 We will be doing that all spring. Real quick before we get out of here, though, Dan, you've been doing it to me for the last few weeks. So it's my turn to put you on the spot. We do have two college games to play. What is your national championship matchup? Who's winning these semifinals? I guess I'm going to go Indiana, Ole Miss.
Starting point is 01:12:11 I think Indiana went to Otson and beat Oregon. So, you know, we, it's hard to do it twice, be at the same team twice, but I think they can do it. And then I'll just go with the better quarterback. You know, it's Carson Beck hasn't had to win a game for Miami, you know, in the playoffs. It's, it's been, you know, just making the right decisions at the line and taking care of the football, not turning it over. He has not had to make, there is not one throw in against A&M or against Ohio State that made you sit up and say, oh, that's an NFL throw. Now, maybe he'll be able to, he'll be forced to do that in this game and we'll see how it goes.
Starting point is 01:12:52 But up to this point, he hasn't had to do it. So I'll go with the better quarterback, even though I don't feel great about it. But I do think that Oregon-Indiana game will be, it should be a lot of fun. What about you? What are you going with? I'm starting to get a team of destiny vibe from Indiana. And I, like, we've talked about it all year. Alabama is not that Alabama.
Starting point is 01:13:14 but to just wipe them off the field the way that they did and just bully them around on both sides of the ball, it spoke volumes to me. And you add that, like the ability to boss a game like that with a quarterback like Mendoza, I just think that's a tough combination to beat. So, I mean,
Starting point is 01:13:35 I was kind of thinking the same thing with Miami just because of the way that they're clicking at the right time. I don't completely trust Beck, though. Like, I don't trust Beck as much. as I trust Mendoza. Yeah, but it's the defense that, because there were times this year, like, throw on the SMU tape, throw on the Louisville tape. And you don't even notice Ruben Bain out there, you know, like it was a very up and down
Starting point is 01:13:59 season for him in terms of his overall impact. But he's playing, you know, some of his best ball right now include Mesador in that conversation as well. So if the defense, and I mean, I expressed my love for Keonté Scott last podcast. And, you know, I'll do it again now because that pick six that he had against Ohio State was just unbelievable. I've never been prouder of us than I was when I know. And I know it came against the Buckeyes. But when he picked that off, I was like, man, I'm glad we spent five minutes talking about that guy.
Starting point is 01:14:32 There's no more disruptive nickel near the line of scrimmage in college football than Keontes Scott. So the way that the, I agree with you on Beck, but the way the Miami defense has been playing. and the way the offensive line has been playing, you know, they're giving back time where he's not forcing things. And Ohio State, they couldn't get to him. So if the defense and the offensive line plays like that at that high of a level like they get against Ohio State, Miami's going to be tough to beat. That's kind of where I landed. So I'll take Indiana as, I mean, I think Indiana is going to win the national title based on what we've seen over the last few weeks. but I'll take Indiana and then it's funny we came we applied different logic to the same thing where I'm like okay
Starting point is 01:15:17 Ole Miss has the better quarterback I like everything else about Miami more and that pass rush Miami's offensive line I think they win the trenches and unless Trinidad Chambleus just once again plays the game of his life which he might right but I think I'll take Miami to just win the trenches and be the more overwhelming roster. And I'm taking Indiana, Miami. Part of me just wants to see Lane Kiffin as a living embodiment of the Larry David, Giff, where just like, because if Ole Miss wins at all, he gets what, a million dollars? I mean, as a bonus, but then he'll have to watch his team win without him.
Starting point is 01:16:01 It'd just be a bizarre circumstance that really sums up what college football is right now. I do my best to be objective, and I'm on the record as a Trinidad fan over the course of the entire season, so you can't take that away from me. But I'd be lying if I said, as an alum of LSU, I just don't, I don't need that in my life. I don't need to watch my school's coach watch his team make a run to the national title game. Like, that sounds annoying. It'd be just something we've never seen before, and I don't know, it'd be not. that I'm rooting for it. It'd just be fascinating as hell to watch.
Starting point is 01:16:42 If Ole Miss gets there, it'll be because Trinidad did some awesome stuff. So I'll take solace in that and we'll see what happens. Dane, love chatting with you as always, man. We'll be back next week. Thanks so much. We'll talk to you soon.

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