The Athletic Football Show: A show about the NFL - In The Pocket: Taking an early ride on the 2024 QB Carousel

Episode Date: December 28, 2023

Denver and Washington indicated through moves they made on Wednesday that they will be on the quarterback carousel in 2024. Who might join them? Who might avoid the ride? Robert Mays and Chase Daniel ...dig into that on this episode of The Athletic Football Show's In The Pocket.Follow Robert on Twitter: @robertmaysFollow Chase on Twitter: @ChaseDanielSubscribe to The Athletic Football Show...AppleSpotifyYouTube Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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Starting point is 00:00:03 This is the Athletic Football Show. The Athletic Football Show. I'm Robert Mays. Joining me for this week's edition of In the Pocket. It is a long time NFL quarterback. Chase Daniel. Chase, how you doing, man? Good, good.
Starting point is 00:00:26 Just barely getting settled. It's 4 p.m. Central Time. We are shooting this like two and a half, three hours past, so I appreciate that. We just traveled in from San Diego. We're in Dallas for the Cotton Bowl from Missouver, Ohio State, and got three kids in tow. So it's been quite the day there trying not to make too much noise right in the other room. So you can tell this is my dad's office. Pretty good setup though.
Starting point is 00:00:47 Like a lot of my. It's a really good setup. No, that looks great. Yeah, I think there's like, you know, the Lions one, Bears, there's the Saints. That's the top one. You can't really tell. But that's my high school helmet. There's a, there's a Missou one right there for you, Robert.
Starting point is 00:01:03 You can't really tell. That's a cotton bowl, too. It's great. I got my mini-Missou helmet a little bit over here to the left. So I do have one in this house. not right behind me. I got a charge one too. He's got everything.
Starting point is 00:01:15 There's a at Missouri at the stadium. There's a huge rock M that they put in the end zone. And when you're a senior and you're a football player, you take a rock when you leave. And so when I was there for senior day, my senior year, there was no one else in the stadium. So I took a rock. So I have one with me in my house. Yes. So I have one of the rocks from the rock from the rock at Missouri that I have in my office.
Starting point is 00:01:39 that's amazing. I have a rock. One little thing that I took with me. Yeah. Honestly, I think the rock might be, it might be upstairs in my old childhood room because you sign it and then you like the score on it. We crushed. I don't even know who we play, but we crushed them our senior day.
Starting point is 00:01:58 That's hilarious that you have a rock. That's amazing. I was like, you know what? I'm leaving the stadium. I cover the team my senior year. It's there. I'll remember it. No one's going to see me do this.
Starting point is 00:02:07 So I was like, I'm going to take one. And I don't know if I was. supposed to do, but I don't really care. It's a good momentum to have. So, all right. We are going to use this show to look into the future a little bit because we've had some stuff come out over the last day or so about starting quarterbacks getting pulled for week 17. And those teams, both of them, I think Denver and Washington, their quarterback situations
Starting point is 00:02:30 for next season and beyond are very much in flux. And we really haven't discussed those scenarios. The quarterback carousel would it could look like here over the next six to eight months. So we're going to do that. We're going to step away from the rigors of the NFL schedule here for a moment. And we're going to talk about what some of these quarterback situations might look like for 2024. Let's start with the Denver Broncos and the news that came out today.
Starting point is 00:02:53 The Broncos are benching Russell Wilson and going with Jared Stidham for the final two games of the season. The irony here is that Jared Stidham was in an almost identical situation last year when he was with the Raiders and the Raiders decided to bench Derek Carr because, he had injury guarantees in his contract that would kick in if he could not pass a physical by the start of the new league year. So Russell Wilson has $37 million, I believe, in guarantees that would kick in if he could not pass a physical by the start of next season.
Starting point is 00:03:25 So in order to avoid that situation, the Broncos are yanking him from the lineup entirely and trying to tell you, Sean Payton desperately was today, that this is a football decision. Let's be clear about this. It 100% is not. This is so they can move on from him at the end of the year and potentially save a little bit of money down the road. I mean, what a day. I mean, like, I'm traveling, right? And I got this and you're like, let's do Denver.
Starting point is 00:03:51 I'm like, well, it'll probably be wrestling. I'm like, because I didn't check Twitter or anything. You're like, no, let's do Denver. I'm like, okay. And I saw the news. I'm like, oh, my gosh, I even text. I mean, I didn't get a response back, but I texted Joe Lombardi, the offense coordinator for Denver. And I was like, hey, slow news day over there in Denver.
Starting point is 00:04:07 Honey's like, I got no idea what you're talking about and just like when I'm just trying to win a game. So it is an interesting situation to me because it, yeah, it's not a football decision. Because if you actually dive into the tape, like Russell's played way better than last year and quite honestly playing some of those better football in the past few years. And look, I know they've they've won one last four games and on a little bit of losing streak. But they gave they gave Jared Sidham two year, 10 million. So five million bucks a year for a backup quarterback. like sort of gave the indication, like what they were thinking in case things didn't go a way that he thought it would. And it really hasn't for them.
Starting point is 00:04:47 Like there's an outside chance they get in the playoffs. But this is all about like protecting an investment. And there's just zero chance that Russ will be back with Sean in 2024. Like it's just, there's no way. It really did feel like they were going to use the first possible chance they could to make this move. because they did not want to run the risk of him getting hurt and them having to pay him out that money. This is always an arranged marriage with Russell Wilson and Sean Payton. They were put together in this situation.
Starting point is 00:05:19 Sean Payton's future in Denver was never tied to Russell Wilson's future in Denver. I think that was clear from the moment he took that job and the power that he was given when he took that job. So I don't think this is surprising. Some people might see the timing and the fact that they're still mathematically alive in the playoffs. But I think they wanted this to happen weeks ago, but they couldn't do that. because they still had a chance to get into the postseason. So now the question becomes what happens with Russell Wilson. If he's cut as a post-June first cut, it's $35 million in dead money in 2024 and $50 million in
Starting point is 00:05:52 $20,000 in 2025. There are teams that I think have helped themselves in the team-building process. The bucks this year is a good example. They ate everything they had to with Brady. They took it all on the chin in one year and they were able to turn the page. the Broncos are in such a tough situation with this that I don't even think they can do that. I think the number is almost too big when you look at all the other contracts they've handed out. They would have to start borrowing from some of these deals, McGlinchy, Zach Allen,
Starting point is 00:06:24 a lot faster than they probably want to. So I wouldn't be surprised if they went the post-June first route in order to even field the roster in the way they want to next year. But that you're still looking at $85 million total in dead money over the next. two years. I mean, this is one of the biggest missteps that a team has made in a while at quarterback, the trade, but mostly the contract that they gave him before he even played a single game there. Well, it was an extension. He's not even going to be playing on the extension. Robert, that's what's crazy about it, right? Like, that's what's wild to me. And it is, it is a bit misstep.
Starting point is 00:06:55 It's probably the biggest one that I've seen at a quarterback position in so long because you're literally just like, you're, you're handicapping your team for the next year or two. Like, listen, I understood these owners have all the money in the world. You said, got to get into the salary cap you still got to fill the roster you still got to take money away from other people and what are you going to do next year as far as quarterback wise you're going to you're going to have to draft someone who knows what they're going to be picking you're going to have to maybe get into a veteran free agent on a low salary like baker mayfield right like all those things exist and that's what i tweeted today and we were we had a little group chat um with our NFL total access
Starting point is 00:07:30 people on the network and i'm just like i send it to them because all the stuff not only the the monetary value and the financial value that they gave up to get Russ, but all the players, everything like that. And I'm like, this might be the worst trade in NFL history. Like what the Broncos made. The two picks that they used, those first round picks, and that's before you even get to the second round picks, was Devin Wetherpoon and Charles Cross. So an impact corner and a potential 10 year starter at left tackle are the two pieces they got
Starting point is 00:07:59 in the first round. And Gino's playing better than Russ. So you think all those things. They're playing as good as good as Russ was just part of the trade. That's what's crazy. We'll see what happens with the Deshawn Watson move. That may give this a run for its money over the next couple years, but it is one of the biggest swings and misses we've seen at the quarterback position in a long time.
Starting point is 00:08:18 But what we're trying to answer today with these teams is, what are they going to do with quarterback next year? And this is a unique circumstance because some of these teams are going to have the financial flexibility to spend on even a mid-tier veteran free agent. The Broncos and having to pay Russ and then also some of the contracts they handed out last offseason, they don't have a ton of financial flexibility. So it feels like they're going to need to go a pretty cheap route here and maybe should go a pretty cheap route here.
Starting point is 00:08:46 You mentioned the Jared Stedham deal. He's under contract. So I think there's a world where if he plays well enough over these final two games, they liked him enough to give him that sort of contract. Do they just ride with him in 2024 rather than making a lateral move to a James Winston or someone else that would theoretically be affordable given their situation. I'll be fascinated by how that plays out. Yeah, look, I mean, at the end of the day, Robert, right?
Starting point is 00:09:12 Like, they gave Jared Sidham that contract because that coaching staff, and they told me, because they were looking at bringing me in a little bit last off season. And then they wanted like, hey, we got some money to spend, but we want like a younger guy, but also that's proven himself just a little bit. And you look at the last two or three games for the Raiders last year, what Sidham did. like he earned every bit of that contract and him with Sean Peyton this seems these next two games it seems to me like this is almost like a tryout for 2024 for Jared Stidham and they probably the coaching staff probably would have given them more if they would have because like at the end of the day
Starting point is 00:09:48 Russell Wilson's going to be a hallfamer in my opinion he's won Super Bowls like he's going to this had to be a tough talk with him and Sean Payton when he told him this morning in his office like you're benching, like you're, you're, you're benching him. Like at the end of the, you're benching him, right? And you've got to tell the team. It's a national news story. But this is a really good opportunity for Jared Sidham, because there's a real chance. Like, look, who knows with what the chiefs are doing?
Starting point is 00:10:14 Like, they could easily lose their next two. They got Sinci and they got L.A., right? And if the Broncos somehow win the next two and the chiefs lose the next two, which is a possibility, they would win the AFC West. And Jared Sidham would be quarterbacking that, which is wild to think about. That's why they're still in it, like more than mathematically in it. Yeah, they got to have some stuff to happen. But it could happen.
Starting point is 00:10:38 I've seen crazier stuff happen. And then you go into next year and you're saying, hey, a $5 million quarterback, right, Baker with what he was able to do, which I think, you know, they have better weapons down there with Baker in Tampa, but Baker's making $4 million. Like Sidham could easily make $5 million and they could draft a day two guy and a guy that they feel really strongly about and sort of build it over. Or, you know, it just depends. Like, I feel like that's what's so fascinating about when you said,
Starting point is 00:11:04 hey, we're going to look at all these quarterback situations and where's the money and all that. Teams always seem to find the extra money somehow, some way. So like if Sean Payton wanted to make some splash trade at quarterback, he could do it. Like, they could find a way to do it. But I feel like these next two games for Jared Sidham. And I'm glad you brought up James because James is out there. And Sean's had success.
Starting point is 00:11:27 with James, but I don't think James is a long-term answer at all. He's not a long-term answer. It was more who is, who are they familiar with that would be available for cheap next year? Because if you're still paying Russell $35 million against the cap next year, even with that, if you look at their contract, their cap situation, if you cut him and it's $35 million, they're still $18 million over the cap. They've got a couple of guys they can move on from, you know, DJ Jones. They'd save $10 million.
Starting point is 00:11:53 Tim Patrick, they've saved, they'd save $10 million. But this is still a team that gave out a lot of. contracts this offseason. They spent more in free agency than any other team in the leak. So they're not exactly flushed with cap space. And if they want to move some of this money around, they'd be moving money around on a 29-year-old Mike McGlenshey, a 31-year-old Justin Simmons, a 32-year-old Garrett Bowles, a 29-year-old Cortland Sutton, who they didn't seem all that attached to this off-season when he was on the trade market. So I don't know where they'd want to save some of that money. Yes, it'd be possible for them to make a more short-term, let's-win-now decision.
Starting point is 00:12:27 but I'm curious if that's where their heads are at, or they try to find someone in the draft on day two so they can start that rookie quarterback clock at some point. Because in 2025, Russell make up $50 million of the cap. It's easier to swallow that if you're paying a potential second round starter, whether it be Bo Nicks or Michael Pennix or whoever they like, $800,000 against the cap. That's how you can survive this is if you get a cheap option somewhere along the way. So I just don't, I don't know. First, you got to have a cheap option. Totally agree. I don't know and I don't think that Sean and that offensive system, because I've been in it,
Starting point is 00:13:07 it's very, very difficult system to learn. It takes multiple years. I just don't see a rookie coming in. Like, Sean doesn't mess with rookie quarterback. Tell me the last rookie quarterback Sean's had. It's been Breeze. Well, it helps when you had Breeze for 10 years, right? Yeah, 10 years.
Starting point is 00:13:22 But also, like, they even went the veteran route with Jamis. they, you know, they were going to draft patch from Holmes in 2017 and they missed out by one pick. That would have been a crazy situation. I would probably still be in New Orleans if that would have happened. But like that's another thing that a lot of people don't understand is like, and I'm glad that this is brought up because I just don't know if they're going to find and start a, if they draft a quarterback in the first round or draft a court, it's got to be some type of cheap veteran because this offensive scheme and what they expect to do, like they handle all the
Starting point is 00:13:54 run game mic IDs. They handle all the past game Mike. Like it is very intricate every single detail, multiple run past skills, multiple alerts. And there's a reason. Yeah, it helps when you have breeze, but there's a reason why you can't really have a rookie running this offense for the first year. It just would not look the same. And it would be completely different, in my opinion. That's why I think drafting somebody in the second round, third round, wherever they end up doing it and having it be a more developmental quote unquote pick for that guy to start in 2025, that actually makes a lot of sense to me. Because they've done that.
Starting point is 00:14:29 They drafted Garrett Grayson in the third round. They drafted Ian Book in the fourth round. They've gone and taken swings on guys in the middle rounds when Sean was in New Orleans. So it's saying, all right, we're going to have somebody that knows the system, whether it's Stidham, James, whoever, for year one, have somebody that could potentially keep the train on the tracks. And while we're developing someone at the same time, that makes the most sense to me. We'll say if that makes the most sense to them. All right. let's get to our next one here.
Starting point is 00:14:54 The Washington football team, I was going to ask for all of these, do we think that they will have a new primary starter in 2024? For Denver, that's an obvious yes. For Washington, now they have moved on from Sam Howell for at least the next couple games. Jacoby Percette is going to be starting for them. So this seems like another pretty obvious answer.
Starting point is 00:15:12 It really does feel like Washington is going to have a new starter in 2024. There's no doubt. And I thought, you know, I say I think, I think all you hear about is this stuff coming out of Washington, like Sam Hal's our guy. He's doing great. Yeah, he is, but he's the most hit quarterback in the NFL. He's going through some growing pains. He still might be the guy.
Starting point is 00:15:33 And he played well enough, like earlier in the year. He sort of fell off the last four or five weeks. And there's obviously a reason they're moving on to see what they have in Brissette, because Brissette could be in the conversation as well for Washington. There's a reason why he's getting paid $8 million, right? Like come in, have that starter ability. He's played really well in spot due to the last two weeks. and it's just more so than, I know it's a quarterback,
Starting point is 00:15:55 and we're talking about the quarter, more so than anything, it's fascinating to me what they're going to do in the front office, what they're going to do with a head coach, are they going to move on from BNemi? Like, I could see a world, this is completely the opposite of what we're talking about. I can see a world where if Washington just cleans house, like I could see a world where BNami is back in KC for the playoffs.
Starting point is 00:16:15 Like all this stuff could happen, man. Like they need, like, and BNemi could very well get a head coaching job interview there as well. So it's just so fascinating. When you've brought up Washington, the first thing I thought was like, well, if the enemy stays, it's probably a different quarterback than depending on who gets the offensive coordinator job, if that makes sense. So there's a lot of different options that that it could be. What it felt like when they were talking up Sam Howell this entire season is, look at how Sam Howell is developing. Shouldn't we get more time to see this through with Sam Howe? It was clearly very self-interested and transparent. And I understand trying to make that argument and
Starting point is 00:16:54 trying to sell that to the new ownership group. But now they're in a position. Let's say Washington had been picking 17th in this year's draft. They're a middle of the road team. You've seen what you saw from Sam Howe and you say, okay, there were maybe enough flashes where we could ride with this for one more year. We'll see what we have because we don't have an avenue to a different quarterback. That's going to be a conversation I think comes up a lot when we discuss these. Well, now they have the third pick in the draft. They're in a spot where they're going to have a new front office. They have new owners and a new coaching staff, and they are perfectly positioned to just pick a new quarterback.
Starting point is 00:17:29 If they're picking third and we're going to do the same thing we've done with every quarterback class that's ever existed, we talked about Caleb Williams and Drake May forever here, but now that Jaden Daniels is clearly that third quarterback in a lot of people's eyes, the same thing that happened with Anthony Richardson last year. It went from, man, is he a first round pick to, man, can you take him in the top 10? Oh yeah, he's definitely going in the top five. And it feels like that exact sort of trajectory is going to happen. So they're going to be in a spot where I think the most reasonable outcome, even if it's not the most likely, depending on their thought process, is them just picking Jane Daniels or whoever the third
Starting point is 00:18:03 quarterback is, stepping into a new regime, a new era with a new quarterback. That is the cleanest way to handle this, in my opinion, if you're Washington, because who knows when the need and the opportunity to draft on this high will align like this again. Yeah. When you put it in the rundown that they have the number three pick it didn't even it didn't even register in my mind because i'm so involved in like what's going i'm like holy crap like they got the number three pick so absolutely you got to draft a guy and who is that third quarterback right like that's the biggest issue not biggest issue but biggest interesting point on like hey is it jane daniels can bow nicks somehow get up there or is it like is shedr ds anders sanders even in the mix in the top five
Starting point is 00:18:46 year because of he might impress during all these workouts that people get infatuated with, the combine, he's going to look the part, all these different situations, definitely. But I mean, the Jaden Daniels one and a veteran free agent and Sam Hal, like you got three good quarterback. And Sam Hal's not just some like run of the mill guy that can't play, right? He's still going to be there. He's still under contract there. But it did seem to me like they were just out there, like saying, hey, Sam How is the answer. Just buy us some more time. But, It just becomes so much more clear that they're just going to completely just clean house top to bottom, start up with a new quarterback, start with a new staff, everything like that. If Sam Howell, who's still under contract, is your veteran answer, and he's the starter in day one.
Starting point is 00:19:31 If you don't want to throw the rookie into the fire right away, I think that that is a totally reasonable way to handle this. But it really does feel like things are setting up for them to make this move. That question about Bo Nicks, Michael Pennix, all those guys, Shadour Sanders, whatever names you want to throw out there, I'm not deep into the draft. world right now. But is there somebody that rises J.J. McCarthy from Michigan that maybe isn't a top 10 pick, but becomes somebody you can get either in the back half of the first round or early in the second round, similar to what happened with Will Levis this draft. Or maybe you didn't think originally he'd be an option for you, but as you get deeper into
Starting point is 00:20:05 the draft, you can just pull the trigger. Denver would be in that situation. If they're picking 15th and they like J.J. McCarthy, for example, that becomes the opportunity to start the clock. and we'll have that conversation about a couple of these teams. Next one here, Arizona. Do you think the Arizona Cardinals will have a new primary starting quarterback in 2024? Yeah. You do?
Starting point is 00:20:35 I do. Yeah. Maybe because I want them to. Because I, look, I just. This is the most interesting one to me. I think this is the case for the most interesting one. When you put them on the list and I'm like, well, they're drafting two. So if they fall in love with Caleb Williams or Drake May, you're going to start the clock over.
Starting point is 00:20:59 And you're going to pick because, listen, this staff inherited Kyler, right? And Kyler's been hurt. Kyle has played well. I do think that the reason I say yes is like, I think Drake May or Caleb Williams would do well there. And I think that there is still a significant trade market for Kyler Murray. and I know you put some of these financials in and I'll let you get into them, but that's the reason why I could see them potentially moving on from Kyler. And I'm not saying they will, but I would love for them because they're going to get a lot of trade compensation
Starting point is 00:21:37 because Kyler can still play, right? But I would love to see Kyler in a different offense with a lot more weapons. Like put them in Lamar Jackson offense. Put them in Josh Allen's office. Put them in like multiple different offenses. I think that's where he would thrive, in my opinion. They have said the whole time. From the time I was there in the spring or this summer to stuff they've said recently,
Starting point is 00:22:01 Drew Petsing, the offensive coordinator from Arizona was on Adam Schepter's podcast, for example. He was saying to Adam, Kyler's handled himself the way you would want a franchise quarterback to handle himself. He's been everything we want him to be since we got here. That has been the company line from the beginning. But I think that has said with the idea being, well, if this works out, great. But if we're in a position to potentially start this thing over, that's also an option. So I think they were probably open to the Kyler Murray path if they didn't pick in the top two, or he was so good that you think, well, we already have a franchise quarterback.
Starting point is 00:22:36 Why do we need to go search for something that could become Kyler Murray? And if they were picking three, four, five, and this wasn't a clean decision, I could understand going that route. But now that they have the number two overall pick, if that's how this ends up shaking out, I think it does make sense to just move on. Because even if he's been fine, it's not like he's blown you away. I know the supporting cast isn't great. I know it's a new offense. I know he got in there midseason.
Starting point is 00:23:01 But this just feels like an opportunity to turn the page and start over and put yourself on a more realistic timeline based on the rest of your roster. You're not going to be ready to compete for the next couple of years. And by the time you are, Kyler's going to be making $60 million against the cap. I just think that it makes sense based on. them having the number two overall pick for them to turn the page even if that's not necessarily what they've projected. Well, yeah, and it also gives Kyler a chance to go somewhere and compete. Like, like you said, I agree. Like it just doesn't make sense to me the timeline that they're on.
Starting point is 00:23:35 So you started over maybe in two years you filled a really competitive team and you're a few pieces away from being really competitive. But also like you give Kyler some of his better years if he's fully healthy. Like move on, man. Like go like, and I'm sure. they'll probably do right by him if they end up trading them. But this is a really like, when you put Arizona on there, I was like, why did you put Arizona on there? I'm like, what? And then I was like, I started thinking about it. I'm like, they draft two.
Starting point is 00:24:02 They draft two. And it's just like you, there's real potential like Caleb Williams, Drake May in my opinion right now, just what I've dove into film wise, it's coin flip. So I think both of them are really good. And both of them can really fit your scheme in your office. So that's what I'm excited to see. It's like, honestly, just do right by Kyle. If you trade them, like, don't trade them to some bad team. Like, like, I just, I want to see Kyle.
Starting point is 00:24:27 But this is what becomes interesting. Is it who is he an option for them? These teams that don't seem to have a pathway to a quarterback. The Raiders are a good example. They'll come up as we have this conversation. Are the Raiders in a spot where they say, all right, our team, our defense, we've got some pieces. Our defense has been playing pretty well.
Starting point is 00:24:44 We have Devante Adams. We have Jacoby Myers. We have maybe a little bit of money we want to spend on the offensive line. They're going to have a ton of cap space next year, Las Vegas is. They can easily clear about $75 million in cap space without even blinking. Kyler's cap hits over the next three years are not bad. It's $37 million in 2024. It's $30 million in 2025 and it's $39 million in 202026.
Starting point is 00:25:08 That's good in my opinion. That's fine. That's not that high. And that $37 million in 2024, that's all base salary. So if you just wanted to convert that, push some of it out, you could have some really palatable cap hits over the next couple years with Kyler Murray. And this is just a matter of circumstance. For Arizona, they have an easy path to a new answer and a new plan and a cheaper plan.
Starting point is 00:25:31 But if you don't have that easy path, Kyler Murray is plenty good at quarterback for you to lean on him in this next era of who you want to be, whether it's Minnesota, Vegas, any of these teams. So I think a lot of this stuff lines up where if they can get a mid-first round pick for Kyle or Murray and then pick a quarterback at two, that just seems like it makes more sense for Arizona, where Kyler, I think, makes tons of sense for teams that are in this no man's land where they're not going to be in a position to draft a potential game changing prospect. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:26:02 I mean, I love it. I love the fact that, I mean, this is, this is fun. I've never really done this before where you've like, you were like, we're like, we're going to look at quarterbacks. I'm like, all right. And then like when it is, then my mind just starts racing, like, well, couldn't Kyler get traded to Washington? What about Kyler and Denver? Like, Kyler and Denver with that offense and then that running, which Sean Payton's always been infatuated with running guys, Tastom Hill, for example, but now
Starting point is 00:26:26 Kyler's a better quarterback than Taysam, but also a better run. And I'm like, then my head starts spinning. I'm like, Denver could make a lot of sense. So that's a question of money. Because if they want that, they're going to have to move some money around to make it happen. If they're willing to take some of these hits on the chin and they're willing to take some risk as far as restructuring some of these other contracts that they have, or maybe even restructuring Kyler for the next couple years. If you're comfortable taking Kyla Murray, who I believe is how old, 26, 27? So Kyler is 26 years old right now.
Starting point is 00:26:57 So if you're comfortable saying, we'll move some of this money, we'll get his base salary in 2024 down to a million bucks. So he'll be $7 million against the cap. And then you try to do the same thing in 2025. He has a $20 million roster bonus. So let's say you try to convert that $20 million roster bonus. He's sitting there with a $20 million cap it in 2025. You can live with that.
Starting point is 00:27:22 But that's stuff where you're going to need to move the money around to make it happen. And that's what I'm curious about with Denver. Are they in a spot where they're thinking, we have good enough players elsewhere where we want an option right now that we're willing to have to get creative with the finances for or do they want to go the cheaper route? That's a question only Sean Payton knows. Based on his history, he is showing. own plenty willingness to move the money around in order to compete now. So I don't know where
Starting point is 00:27:48 they're going to end up shaking out. That's also like, because when you when you put all these teams and we're going to get through the rest of them, the first thing that I went to because I was a veteran free agent quarterback that was constantly looking at this situation of where teams fall, who needs people, what team am I going to be on? It's like, so the free agent quarterbacks for 2024, like Kirk Cousins, we'll get to Minnesota next. Ryan Tanhill, Jacobi Brissette's out there. Tyrod Taylor, Sam Darnold, to me is an interesting name. Baker is probably not going anywhere. Gardner Minchu. Jake Browning's been playing well. Joe Flacco, Drew Locke. So, like, yeah, there are a lot of draft worthy guys, but that's where my mind goes.
Starting point is 00:28:33 And it's probably not going to be in Arizona because you have, Kyler, you don't need that. But some of these other teams, like, there's going to be a decent amount of free agent, quarterbacks that have shown they can play, like get a chance, man. And that's what's, that's what's exciting about it. So let's get to the guy at the top of that free agent list. And let's talk about the Vikings. Do you think the Vikings will have a different primary starting quarterback in 2024 than they started week one with this year? No. I don't think so about it. I don't, I don't see them. I don't see them moving on from Kirk, man. Like it, it like, hypothetically, you could say, oh yeah, you know, whatever. It seems to me like Kirk and KOC, Kevin O'C,
Starting point is 00:29:12 Kevin O'Connell have sort of mended, sort of figured out what each other is. And not mended fences because they were never, but it's like they sort of finally figured out. And unfortunately that Kirk got hurt. He's playing good ball. He's just so underrated. Like people love to give him such a bad rap because he's not the flashiest guy. But he just constantly, like look at his numbers. Look at his win.
Starting point is 00:29:34 Like, yeah, I get the prime time debate. I get the playoff game debate. It is freaking hard to find a quarterback in this league. And I just can't tell you right now that there's 15 to 16 better quarterbacks in this league than Kirk Cousins. Especially with the way he was playing earlier this year in that office. Right. Right. And so I just don't, there's just no, it doesn't make sense to me to move on because you're just, you're going to, you're going to, Minnesota, I think, is set up for success. Like of all these teams you place, like they are the team that is probably the best team on this list that we're going to go through. And so that to me is like, why would you change?
Starting point is 00:30:13 Like it's not grass isn't always greener on the other side. You're going to set your franchise back if you go with a rookie. If you want to go with another and veteran free agent quarterback or a trade, who's it going to be? They're not better than anyone I just named on that list. So I just, I think they stay put. I also think that Kirk Cousins will be there next year. And I did not think that this summer.
Starting point is 00:30:33 But with the way that he was playing and also with what he might ask for this off season. after coming off the injury. And the lack of opportunities and landing spots with some of these teams that we're talking about, if there were a bunch of teams in a position like the Saints were this offseason, where they thought, they thought, hey, if we get the quarterback right, we're close. We can compete right now. Then I think Kirk Cousins would have a pretty robust market because he is a really good quarterback. He has been playing very good football.
Starting point is 00:31:05 You could talk yourself into that. I don't know how many teams are in that position. I think Atlanta may be able to have that conversation with themselves. I don't think they're going to go that route in terms of how expensive Kirk Cousins would likely be. So in my mind, I think the ideal outcome for Minnesota is keeping Kirk Cousins on a reasonable deal. You throw some void years on it, keep his cap hits down in the $20 to $30 million range, let's say over the next two years, and you draft a guy. I think their ideal model is for them to draft a quarterback that they think is their future starter, but not play him right away, to be able to be competitive in the short term while also planning for the future. So if they're picking in the middle of the first round, that list of guys that we talked about, the McCarthy's, the Pennixes, the Bow Nixes, whatever, do they try to find that guy while also paying Kirk Cousins?
Starting point is 00:31:56 I think that is the formula they'd like to chase. And I think that they are in a position to potentially do that based on how Kirk's season went, based on how Kirk's season went, on the O'Connell relationship you talked about and based on how they like all the stuff to unfold. Yeah, I think it's smart. I think it's, I think that's good. And especially that they, they're probably going to be picking middle round. And there are, there's some good value. But also, like, that's a thing. Like, if you do, if the guy isn't there in the middle of the round, first round that you, that you love, you don't have to pick a guy. Like, I just take like, all these quarterbacks are found in all different rounds. If you have your eye on something in
Starting point is 00:32:29 your guy isn't there that you just felt, you don't have to reach because you do have a Kirk Cousins for the next year or two or three. And you can pick the best available in the first round of your biggest need. You don't have to reach on a quarterback. Kyle Murray is an intriguing destination or is an intriguing option for them just because I do think that the rest of their offense is good enough where if you drop a good quarterback in there, they can do some fun stuff. I think the way that they've spent money and the way that they're going to spend money,
Starting point is 00:32:58 Christian Derisaw is going to need an extension here pretty soon. Justin Jefferson is going to become the highest paid non-quarter. quarterback in the league sooner rather than later. So they're going to pre-spend the rookie quarterback window in a way that a team like Pittsburgh did, for example, where they have Chkney Pickett that they've dropped in because they have so many other expensive veterans that that was the smartest way to build the roster. I don't think you can commit for the next three, four, five years to an expensive quarterback
Starting point is 00:33:26 based on the way that you've built the rest of this thing. Maybe in the short term, in 2024 and 2025, when that Darisaw hit and that Justin Jefferson hit are still relatively low. But I think at some point over the next three, four years, you want to get on the rookie quarterback financial timeline, but you can do that if you have Kirk for a year or two. So again, I think that combination would make the most sense for them specifically. What do you think, what do you think the Kurt? So I agree with what you're saying. What do you think the Kirk Cousins contract looks like? Do you think it's a, that's about, do you think like i could imagine like a two year 80 million fully guaranteed because that's all he seems
Starting point is 00:34:09 to get there but like that to me matthew staffordish level right 40 million a year like if they could get them for that coming off injury and you say hey we got two good years at it this will put you in the top 10 paid quarterbacks or right at 10 whatever whatever the number is it just keeps going up. It's crazy. But like, think about that. The dude just keeps getting paid, rightfully so. And it's going to be, it'll be an all guaranteed because that's just what they, the president that they said. But that's what I'm interested about. Like, what do you think the cousin's contract will look like? So he did one year 35 on his recent extension. So I think that you try to have an honest conversation with him about it. Be like, listen, I know that you've set this marker.
Starting point is 00:34:56 this is the type of player that you are, can we do two years 60, right? And you get it all guaranteed. We throw four void years on there just to make it a little bit more palatable. But they have shown a willingness to structure it in a way to hopefully keep those cap hits, again, palatable. I just think I don't think he says yes to that. I don't think so either. I don't think so either. Because he's going to get, you know, me, people would love to have Kirk Cousins. And he doesn't, he doesn't owe Minnesota anything.
Starting point is 00:35:23 But do you think that's true? He doesn't owe Minnesota. anything and they're him and his agent have shown a willingness to get every dime and I respect them for that every dime but do you think that there is going to be a big enough market for him where he can just give them the finger if if that's what they offer it does it doesn't have to be big market bro there has to be one team that's leverage yeah to one one team's total yeah yeah yeah so minnesota there's i just wonder who that other team is going to be you're you're you are worth what someone's willing to pay so if someone puts a two year 85 80 million dollar contract and
Starting point is 00:35:54 say, hey, you know what, you're a top 10 quarterback. I'm going to pay you like a top 10 quarterback. They don't have to have a huge market. There has to be one other team and his agent has to have leverage. That's the name of the game in contract negotiations. You know that. So all it takes is one, one team of a Washington or even a New England. If someone gets that job that loves Kirk Cousins and a Kirk Cousins fan and runs that
Starting point is 00:36:15 off. And it's like, hell yeah, we can bring him and get three years out of him. Like, he's just, he's not even 40 yet. So, like, that's what's interesting to me. I think he's going to get. in that 80-ish range for two years. Because I do think there's going to be someone else. You know, because it just comes back and you know this.
Starting point is 00:36:33 There will be someone else. There's going to be someone else. And quarterback play in the NFL, it's so freaking hard, dude. And when you have someone that does it as an extremely high level, which make no mistake about it, he does it at an extremely high level, you're going to get paid. Like that's that you put out on the field what your product is. If your product is top 10 in the NFL and with TV,
Starting point is 00:36:54 revenue with everything going, it's going to be over 40 a year. He's, he's, he would laugh in the face of the GM and Kevin O'Connell. They came to him and said, hey, you know what? Two year 60. He'd be like, see you later. Like, no way. I, the reason I, it's the only coming off the Achilles is like the reason that I say that. Because I thought him playing the way that he was earlier in the season, I kept saying,
Starting point is 00:37:19 it's going to start with a car contract. That, that was what his market is going to be. even though he's a few years older, that's what it's going to be. And the car deal was four for $150. It's $37.5 million. So that $40 million that you're talking about, I think that's exactly the ballpark. So it very well may be that. And we'll see if Minnesota is willing to go to that place based on where they are right now.
Starting point is 00:37:41 It's going to be a fascinating conversation because I absolutely understand them looking around and saying, with the way that he was playing, with how well he knows this offense, with the steps and the progress that he made with some of the intricacies of the offense, and some of the pre-staff stuff, everything. I get landing on that as your best option. I still think even if that happens, it's a short-term thing, and they are going to try to find some sort of cheap answer in the draft, whether it be in the first round this year,
Starting point is 00:38:08 the second round this year, or next year. Next team here, the New England Patriots. Do we think they will have a different primary starter in 2024? They better. They better. They have one now. Yeah. Like, what are we doing?
Starting point is 00:38:22 Yeah. Yeah, when you put, this is probably the team I just don't even care. Like, this sounds so bad. I just like, it's just been so, they've been boring to watch. And I've watched them on my offense this year. And I've just gotten so burned out of Mack Jones and Bailey's Appie. And look, it was, I was very vocal about, how do I, how do I, how do I word this without sounding disrespectful? Look, Bill Belichick, the head coach, he's going to go down as the great.
Starting point is 00:38:53 probably the greatest of all time to ever do it. Now Bill Belichick, the GM, that's a different story. You go into possibly your last year as a New England Patriots head coach and you decide that it's a good idea to go on with Mack Jones and Bailey Zappy as your two starters. Like, what? Did you, do you want to like tank? Do you want to like not win games? Your defense is not good enough. You don't have enough good players on offense. Like these receivers are getting hemmed up, man. They're just playing all man against them. They can't win.
Starting point is 00:39:32 So, yeah, yeah. In a nicest way, yes, they better, they better be a new starter there in 2024. And I think there will be. But now the question is, who's it going to be and how are they going to find that guy? This is the team that over the last however many weeks, they were the ones that could talk themselves into how shitty this season was going because they could say, well, it doesn't matter. At the end of the day, we're going to have one of the top two picks in the draft.
Starting point is 00:39:57 We're going to get one of these two guys, and that puts us in a position where even though this is painful, the pain is ultimately going to be worth it at the end. Well, now they're picking fourth. And if Arizona ultimately does decide to trade Kyler Murray and go in a different direction, then New England is going to be the team that doesn't have a dance partner at the end of this. They're going to be the one that is picking in the top five and doesn't have a pathway to one of these prime time prospects that we're talking about. And they're not in a position with the rest of the roster, especially on offense, in my
Starting point is 00:40:28 opinion, at least, to go get a mid-tier veteran free agent and compete. But that might be the only option that they have. It is their only option. And that's why mainly when I saw New England on the list, I was like, all right, what are the free agent quarterbacks? The people I like there, which I think could make a difference is I would love to see, okay I would love to see Jacoby percent go back there because the dude is earned he he's gotten such not a bad rap but he just really hasn't had a chance to play and like I think he would be a
Starting point is 00:41:00 perfect bridge guy you draft a guy in the second or third round that you like and honestly like all this is so much like okay it it really depends who gets the the head coaching job there because I don't think Bill Belichick and a lot of these new head coaches with these because they are going to need a bridge guy I agree with you 100% on that it's just who that bridge guy is and who fits the offensive scheme of the play caller, right? And so that's the biggest thing. And so like a Jacoby Brissette, a Marcus Marriota type guy who can just sort of just wing it around. And maybe you just like run this type of offense till the rookie's ready to play that you draft or a second round guy.
Starting point is 00:41:40 But eventually I think what happens through the year is whoever they draft, whether it be second or third round, like that guy will probably end up playing and it's just going to be a rebuild retool year. But I like like Jacob Rossette, a Marcus Marriota, even like a James Winston. Like I think James Winston at this point in this career would go up there and be like, hey, like I still got a lot of ball. I think that I can play. Like in you can get me for cheap. I just want a chance to play.
Starting point is 00:42:06 I think that's what part of the career James Mason's at right now. It's also such a big question of who's the front office going to be, who's in charge there, what type of offense are they going to run? There's just so many question marks with where they sit. And listen, maybe Arizona doesn't end up drafting a quarterback. Maybe they roll with Kyle Murray, and New England is one of those teams that says, okay, we're already at four. We might as well trade up to two and have this be the draft where we come away from one of these
Starting point is 00:42:32 guys because you never know if you're going to be drafting that high again. So how that ends up shaking out and what the Cardinals end up doing, they hold a lot of cards having that second overall pick if that's ultimately how it ends up. But the New England situation is fascinating. If they can't be in a position to draft one of these guys, what do they end up doing? And I think one of those stopgap options that you're talking about is probably the best option, no matter who ends up taking over there. And I think Jacoby Percette is probably the best one that's going to emerge.
Starting point is 00:43:00 For that price, right? There's another guy we'll talk about here in a second that I think is between the Jacoby percent $8 million range and the Kirk Cousins $40 million range. I don't know if that's ultimately the direction they want to go. If they're punting on the position, do they just want to go cheap? And that's a question we won't know the answer to until we understand who's taking this thing over and who's making these decisions. Next one here, we don't have to spend a ton of time on this because we spent a lot of time on it a couple weeks ago. Chicago Bears, do you think that they will have a new primary starter in 2024?
Starting point is 00:43:31 I mean, probably, yeah, even though I don't want them to. I think they will. It's just too good of an opportunity to pass up. And I've made my case. And we talked about it, a 45-minute conversation last show. the more I just like look read between the lines the more I hear the more I yeah I mean I do I think they will even though I think I think Justin can still play you know and and maybe it's something where you um I don't know if you necessarily even if they draft a guy at quarterback at one
Starting point is 00:44:03 which I'm leaning toward they probably will I don't think you trade Justin and we've had this conversation like even though it's good I if you're you're one play away from being a desolate franchise once again and just not playing any quarterback at least. At least if the guy were to get hurt or something didn't go your way, you have a backup. I think that they should trade him
Starting point is 00:44:24 if they ended picking a quarterback because I think he will have some value. Do you think they're going to have a new starter? I do. I do. I think that they will use the number one pick if they get it. It seems like they will on a quarterback.
Starting point is 00:44:35 And I think it makes sense. We've talked about this. It makes sense to me. This is similar to the Arizona situation where, okay, if you don't have the number one pick in the draft or one of the top two picks in the draft. And Justin Fields is playing the way that he's playing.
Starting point is 00:44:46 Fine. Roll with him. Let's see what you can do as you keep building this team around him. You got a couple top ten picks. You can pick another receiver potentially. You can pick a left tackle potentially. You create this offense that has a really good supporting cast. What can he do in that?
Starting point is 00:45:02 And if that's the situation that they were in, that's fine with me. But this is a unique opportunity having the number one overall pick and getting to turn the page and drafting a guy who in Caleb Will. or Drake May is considered the type of prospect they are. But now... Then everyone on that list that we've talked about should be in the sweet-staking Justin Field. Exactly. Every single one of these two.
Starting point is 00:45:23 If you're New England and you're left in that middle ground where you think, okay, we don't have a pathway to a top five quarterback, okay, let's roll with Justin Fields. And this is, I think, what people are going to get mixed up over the next six months as we're having this discussion about fields and where he belongs, whether the bear should draft a quarterback. me saying the Bears should move on and draft quarterback at number one doesn't mean Justin Fields isn't a viable starter in the right situation in the NFL. It just means the Bears have a pathway they can take that other teams don't. So if you're a team that's between a rock and a hard place, if you've panned yourself into a corner, whatever metaphor you want to use, he does feel like we're going to use the third one, like a good rip cord for you to be able to pull.
Starting point is 00:46:04 I think New England's in that conversation. I think that the Raiders are potentially in that conversation. He's going to be a worthwhile answer. I don't think Atlanta is going to be in there. That's the one team that I think it makes sense on a football level. I don't think they'll do it. But the Raiders, New England, some of these other teams, I absolutely think they should be looking at him as a potential solution
Starting point is 00:46:24 if they don't have a better answer or a better place to turn. I'm glad we both agree on that. Atlanta. Do you think the Atlanta Falcons will have a new primary starter in 2024? Yes, I do. Absolutely. And where do you think that they should look for that guy? It's got to be a veteran free agent market, right?
Starting point is 00:46:45 I mean, like, what are they, what are they picking right now? They're picking just outside of the top 10. Yeah, so they're not getting the guy that they love. I mean, you go back to, I mean, the second guy. The draft would happen today, they'd be picking 10th. So you're not, I mean, I don't think there's anyone you fall in love with the draft that high. The second guy on my region. It's the same as the 2023 draft where it,
Starting point is 00:47:06 okay, you can talk, all right, maybe we'll trade up. Well, if the top three quarterbacks go with three of the first four picks, then you don't have an option to do that. My top, and I know you have it in here, but my second free agent quarterback, just that I was list, I was going through listing teams is Ryan Tannahill. Like Tanahill makes some sense, right? It makes all the sense of the world.
Starting point is 00:47:29 He played the best football of his career with Arthur Smith. Yeah. It's just so did Marcus Mariotta. like the few games not the best footballist career but like you know what I'm saying and how did that work out and so like I think Ryan Tannael even at this stage of his career is a better quarterback than Marcus Mario daisy was when the Falcons signed him two years ago yeah I mean that you I think Ryan Tannale makes all the sense of world you know who's an interesting guy though who has really not really gotten the shot and has played I mean got a shot this year because of injury and has played like really
Starting point is 00:48:03 really well is Gardner Minchu like gardener Minchu like gardener for me, he's going to be a lot cheaper than Ryan Tannahill, right? But Tanniel's probably going to want another starting job and would probably end up taking less. And this might be probably he's going to be his only chance at that. But in my opinion, it's between Tannahill and and Gardner, for sure. And I wonder if one of these, this is the difference in circumstances that I think is important to acknowledge here. With Washington and New England, you are likely going to have first year coaching staffs that are overseeing this. So, bringing in a bridge guy that you just want to be a stabilizing force to be somebody that
Starting point is 00:48:41 ultimately is going to cede the gig to the guy you draft one year, two years down the road, that's fine. And that's why I think Gardner-Minschew could make sense as a stop gap in Washington, as a stop gap in New England. Atlanta, you need to win some games right now. You're going to come into next season, potentially with a level of urgency in year four if that staff doesn't get fired where I think you need to win some games. Do you think Arthur Smith and staff even make it? through. I do. I do think that they will get another year. And I think that they're the best outcome for them,
Starting point is 00:49:15 in my opinion, is Ryan Tannahill and again, trying to find someone in the draft. I don't think you'll be able to go get somebody in the top 10 because I don't know, again, if these three quarterbacks go with the first three picks, who are you going to ultimately take? I think that Ryan Tannahill makes the most sense there on a bunch of different levels. They're going to have a lot of financial flexibility. It just, I think that ultimately would make the most sense in my mind. Well, also, again, who is your quarterback in the future going to be? And you think about that and the pathways to that guy. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:49:43 And I like what you had too. I mean, you have J.J. McCarthy as well, like a like a mid round guy. Like that makes a lot of sense. Like Taney Hill at that point, this career is probably going to be like, hey, yeah, I'll play. And yeah, I'll mentor because I'm just trying to get another shot at a job. And I like, I like that pairing. It's a good pairing.
Starting point is 00:50:02 I just go back to like, is it going to, are they going to, are they going to? going to be there. And if they're not there, then who do they go after? Then it's like you get into the whole, okay, well, who's the coach? Who's played with the, it's another veteran. But we'll say that Archer Smith keeps a job. I like Ryan Tannel. Yeah, I, that would be, that's the one I feel best about that. That I think Ryan Tannaa will be in Atlanta if Ryan, if Roger Smith and that staff keep their jobs. Next one here, Las Vegas Raiders. Do you think they will have a new primary starter in 2024? I don't know. I don't know. That was a hard one for me. It's not going to be Jimmy I think purely just breaking down what Aden O'Connell has done this year overall.
Starting point is 00:50:49 I know he only completed one pass past the first quarter. They still ended up beating the Chiefs. I sort of like what he's done. And I don't know if necessarily you're going to just go into it automatically saying, okay, we need to solidify the quarterback position. I don't know because they have the weapons and you give him another year in the offense. And it's like, who's the head coach? I think Antonio Pierce has done a hell of a job.
Starting point is 00:51:13 If they're back, it seems like they would be more likely for him to be the quarterback next season. Exactly. And the way it's rolling, dude, like, I think he's at least submitted, like, his resume to the rest of the league. Like, this could not have gotten any better for him. And it's just like, once again, if it's not Aiden O'Connell, then you look at all these other lists on the team. You look at Justin Fields as a trade partner. or like I think that financial flexibility they could you said you know clear 75 million cap space like you're you're going to have your pick of the litter depending on who your coach is. I'll be fascinated to see how this turns out and how much the Aden O'Connor.
Starting point is 00:51:53 What do you think? Do you think that it's going to? I don't know. I honestly don't know. And I can see them landing on landing in a space where they're saying, okay, we have all this money. We think he's done enough. Let's roll with him the same way Washington. rolled with Sam Howell last year. And that comes with drawbacks, right? We've seen how that can work
Starting point is 00:52:13 out for you. But do they say, we'll spend some money along the offensive line. We already have Adams. We already have Jacoby Myers. We can have a new offensive staff come in, but we can tell them, listen, this is the guy that you're attached to. This is the guy that we're going to be rolling with, and that becomes their best option. I can see them talking themselves into that model. I still think this is a unique case where they can really do anything. They have the resources, they have the financial flexibility. So do they look at this and say, we've already got to Vante Adams, we already have Jacobi Myers, we have a franchise left tackle and Colton Miller, we can trade for Kyler
Starting point is 00:52:47 and still add a piece or two to the offensive line. And with the way that our defense is playing, can we compete as soon as next year to be a wildcar team, to be a playoff team? Because I think that there's credence to that as well. I think there's some validity to thinking that way. This is one where I have no idea what they're going to do and what they should do because there's so much on the table. I just think that,
Starting point is 00:53:10 and I'm guilty of it as well, I just think that people today just, they don't give, I mean, Ato Connell's a rookie, right? And so what he's being able to do as a rookie,
Starting point is 00:53:24 it's been impressive. Like, like, for some reason I'm like, oh, he's second and third year because he, like,
Starting point is 00:53:30 he looks older, like all this, like, he's a really different conversation. Whether a guy that looks like that could be a successful NFL quarterback is another discussion for another day. I know. I just can't.
Starting point is 00:53:41 Every time I look at it, I don't know. But like, I digress and get back to the point is like, I think that what he's done as a rookie, like, it's hard to play in the NFL as a rookie. Like I think he's showing enough to at least be in the conversation to be like, this guy could, could win for us. And you get him cheap, right? And so who knows? Who knows what to happen?
Starting point is 00:54:02 It's just, it's a coin flip. You have a new offensive staff halfway through. your rookie year. So now you're a guy who's calling plays who's never called plays before. You've had to turn the page. I understand them landing on that and just saying he's cheap. We'll build up the rest of the roster. We'll build up the rest of the offense. And this is what we'll go with. I could also see a new offensive coaching staff coming in. And if Champ Kelly ends up becoming their GM full time,
Starting point is 00:54:27 him being like, this is the decision of another general manager and another head coach, we're going to go in a different direction. But that one's going to be fascinating. I don't know if I think he's done enough to get the job. But, You know who was with Champ Kelly, right? In Chicago? Drafted Justin Fields, right? He was there. That's right.
Starting point is 00:54:46 That's right. So that's another one, though. If they were to say, we think that Justin Fields at that price has an upside that is worth chasing, I think Justin Fields landing there is another interesting one to me. Last one here. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Do you think that they will have a new primary starter in 2024? No, bro.
Starting point is 00:55:06 Baker's balled out under $4 million deal. That dude's about to get paid. He deserves it, man. Like very rarely do quarterbacks get, like first round quarterbacks get four chances. After your fourth chance, you're done. And this was his fourth chance. And he is completely balled out. They're going to win the NFC South probably.
Starting point is 00:55:26 Like, it's he's got Mike Evans playing some of his best. Mike Evans leading the league in touchdown passes. They, like, it's just under first year, uh, coordinator Dave Canales, right? And it's just like, what's cool to me is we had a more in-depth conversation a couple days ago on another show that I was doing. And what's crazy to think about too is,
Starting point is 00:55:47 why isn't Dave Canales getting more credit for doing what he did with Baker? Because he did it with Gino. He deserves a ton of credit. He did it, but like I feel like no one's talking about him. You know what I mean? And everyone's talking about Baker. But like,
Starting point is 00:55:59 like Dave Canales is made Baker into what Baker should be. It's an understooder play action quarterback, making throws down the field, got that swagger about him, making plays with his legs when he needs to, getting the ball out quickly, throwing to big time receivers, got that run game going.
Starting point is 00:56:15 Baker's playing the best ball of his career right now, so I think absolutely it was, you know, he bet on himself. He bet on himself, and it was the best bet because he, the dude will get paid. Now, what the contract looks like, I don't know,
Starting point is 00:56:28 and I don't care, but he's going to make some money. That's going to be the fascinating question, is what he ends up getting paid and what that contract ends up being. I don't know the right answer to that. Because if we're talking about Baker getting the Daniel Jones contract based on the season that he's had, I don't know if that's a good decision by Tampa Bay. My original thought when I was thinking about this on the plane ride here was do a four-year deal where two of it's guaranteed and you're between 28 and 35.
Starting point is 00:57:00 Like that's a fair deal to me. like that that to me makes sense you you guarantee him hey i don't even care what the inflated number is on the four-year deal but you guarantee him 70 over the life of the contract like that's a good deal because i don't know i don't know if someone else is going to pay him that like it is you know what i'm like kirk cousins so the why i'm sorry probably like 35 million yeah so that makes so why i said the daniel jones contract is in my in my mind we still live without a middle class quarterback contract but that's not true so we have two contracts that I think are actually very good potential starting places for this.
Starting point is 00:57:37 Do you give him the Jimmy G contract, which is three for 72 million? Oh, yeah. I think that's, and that's what the, that's what the Gno contract is as well. I think it's going to, I think it's going to be more than that. I do. He's played in that. And they're like, yeah, I don't know. That's hard.
Starting point is 00:57:55 I think, I think that is a reasonable place for this to land. Yeah. For both the bucks and for Baker is that Baker walks away from. this with the Jimmy Garoppolo or Gino-Smith contract. Where you are a starter, you are absolutely our day one starter. We're paying you like a starter, but you're being paid like a low-end starter. He's played well this year, but we're talking about 15 games. The guy was almost out of the league.
Starting point is 00:58:20 He went to the Rams in the middle of the season last year. He was one of the worst statistical starters in the NFL while he was playing for the Panthers. So I get wanting to commit to him based on the way that he's played and based on the players you have around him and what you could build with, etc. but I don't want to put too much in the dozen games that we just watch for Baker Mayfield. But I think I'm with you. I don't think they go in a different direction, and I can understand them not going in a different direction. You got a lot of those pieces back, right?
Starting point is 00:58:46 If you bring back Mike Evans, which I think they absolutely can, is a franchise legend. You can bring him back on a relatively palatable deal. You have Chris Godwin there. I think your entire offensive line, essentially, are guys that you drafted or are on contracts that are multi-year deals. So I would be surprised at all. When the NFC South, all you have to do is like get around 500. And that that's what Baker can get you. He can get you a little bit above 500. Because that NFC South, it's just like ridiculous. And I'm with you. And I think that Bowls will probably be back. And that means Canales will
Starting point is 00:59:18 probably be back. And then you can build on what this has looked like. So I think that Baker has probably played his way into a starting job next year. And I did not necessarily anticipate that where we're coming into the season. All right. That's it. That's our quarter. quarterback carousel look for 2024. How do you like being a member of the speculative media? Yeah. It's fun, right? I love to base.
Starting point is 00:59:40 It is fun because, you know, if you're wrong, who cares? You know, it's just like, all right. Yeah, but like the speculative stuff, I try to base like myself so much in fact, like fact based because I'm used to breaking down film and seeing it and being able to tell you exactly what happened. When you told me we were doing the show, I'm like, all right. Like, I hope I have enough to say. but it makes sense when you put all the pieces together,
Starting point is 01:00:03 and it was an interesting conversation for sure. So this is how this works. In my mind, it's, okay, I want to talk about Washington and Sam Howe, because we haven't talked about Washington and Sam Howell at all, and he's getting benched. So now what's Washington going to do? Well, if we're going to have that conversation about Washington, there's a whole bunch of these teams that we can have this conversation about
Starting point is 01:00:21 that aren't playoff teams, so we're not necessarily breaking them down the same way we are with everyone else at this stage of the calendar. And then the rust thing happens. Like, all right, here we go. Perfect. It's all unfolding the exact way we want to because now we are deep in 2024 quarterback speculation. So that is how my fake content machine brain works.
Starting point is 01:00:41 So I appreciate you playing along here for a little bit. Yeah, absolutely. Appreciate it. It was good. All right, guys, that's all we got for now. Please come back and check out our week 17 preview. Me and Nate recording, same time, same place. That will be available for you guys overnight into Friday.
Starting point is 01:00:57 Also, please check out Prospects to Pros. We had another episode this week. We will be back with our week 18, or excuse me, week 17 recap next Monday. So back to your regularly scheduled programming after the holiday. For now, that is all we got. Sincerely appreciate guys listening. We'll talk to you soon. This was the Athletic Football Show.

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