The Athletic Football Show: A show about the NFL - The Patriots' one-season about-face meets the Seahawks' ruthless climb to the top of the league in Super Bowl LX
Episode Date: February 3, 2026The last Patriots-Seahawks Super Bowl matchup was anything but a surprise. The Seahawks were reigning Super Bowl Champions, and the Patriots were coming off an AFC title game appearance. This time, ho...wever, it's one of the more surprising matchups in Super Bowl history. The Patriots won four games last year, and the Seahawks had to completely remake their offense in the offseason. So how did we get to this point? How did we end up with a Patriots-Seahawks matchup in Super Bowl LX? Chad Graff and Michael-Shawn Dugar, The Athletic's Patriots and Seahawks beat writers, respectively, join Robert Mays on this episode of The Athletic Football Show to profile the rise of the two teams and kick off Super Bowl week.Connect with The Athletic Football ShowBuy our merch! http://theathletic.lnk.to/tafsmerchYT: https://www.youtube.com/@TAFootballShowPodcasts: https://podfollow.com/the-athletic-football-show/viewX: https://x.com/TA_FootballShowIG: https://www.instagram.com/tafootballshowTikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@tafootballshowDiscord: http://discord.gg/theathleticfootballshowCall us: 847-448-0701Email us: athleticfootballshow@gmail.comHost: Robert MaysWith: Chad Graff, Michael-Shawn DugarExecutive Producer: Michael BellerVideo Producer: Katy DuffyAudio Producer: Michael BellerSocial Producer: Scott KrinchFollow Robert on Bluesky: @robertmays.bsky.socialFollow Derrik on Bluesky: @qbklass.bsky.socialFollow Robert on X: @robertmaysFollow Derrik on X: @QBKlassTheme song: HauntedWritten by Dylan Slocum, Trevor Dietrich, Ruben Duarte, Kyle McAulay, and Meredith VanWoert / Performed by Spanish Love SongsCourtesy of Pure Noise / By arrangement with Bank Robber Music, LLC Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
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Welcome to the Athletic Football Show.
I'm Robert Mays.
Kicking off our Super Bowl coverage this week.
Every year we do a show with our two beatwriters who covered the team for the athletic.
It's one of my favorite shows that we do every year.
It's a great way to kick off Super Bowl week.
Just kind of looking back at the journey those two teams took to this moment.
That's what we did again this year.
Chad Graff, who covers the Patriots for us, joined us first to chat about just a shocking season
for a 4-13 team from 2024 somehow getting to the doorstep of a championship.
then chat with Michael Sean Duggar, who covers the Seahawks for us,
just about all of the bets that went right for the Seahawks this offseason
and how the Mike McDonald era has turned into everything Seattle could have hoped.
So let's get to those conversations with both of those guys right now.
Joining us now, it is our wonderful Patriots writer here at the Athletic.
Chad Graf, Chad, great to see you, man.
Yeah, thank you for having me.
What a setup this year?
I'm excited.
At what point or at any point during this off season,
did you think that you would be covering the New England Patriots in the Super Bowl?
Oh, offseason, not at all.
I thought you were going to say season.
No, we'll get there.
Even then I was going to say, boy, not so pretty late.
But off season, no, I thought maybe this team had a chance to be a wildcard team,
did not think anything more than that.
I remember when they were spending all this money in free agency,
that's kind of where I want to start, right?
And so this off season specifically, they're extremely aggressive.
The total number of guaranteed money handed out by the Patriots this spring,
$193 million.
which is about $40 million in any other team in the week.
And you look at teams that spend like that in free agency.
And typically there is like a one-year bump that comes with that.
But usually typically you'll stall out in the divisional round.
Because if you're doing that, if you're spending to that extent,
you mostly don't have enough in-house talent on the roster.
It's why you have to spend to that level.
But you look at the contracts that they handed out.
And then when they were doing it, I was like,
a lot of this stuff is not going to age well.
Because it so rarely does for teams that are that aggressive in free agency.
and then each one, if you take them individually,
Milton Williams signs for $26 million a year,
which is second in AAB among all defensive tackles.
Those contracts don't tend to pan out very well.
You sign Carlton Davis, a third contract corner for $54 million.
Stefan Diggs at 31 coming off of a torn ACL.
Every single one of those moves,
and then even if you go further down to the mid-range deals,
to the smaller deals, this is like flipping a flush in free agency
over and over and over again in a way that I cannot remember,
And it feels like that as much as anything has kind of driven them to this point.
Totally.
And that's the perfect analogy.
I've been searching for the right way to explain how this happened.
And I love flipping a flush because every one of those, you go into it and you're like,
ah, 80% chance this looks ugly in a while.
You keep going.
Harold Landry, that was a contract that I remember thinking like, what are they, they're paying that much truck.
I'm still lukewarm on that one.
Okay, fair.
I'm still lukewarm on that one.
Like Roberts Blaine, all these guys should not have worked out in the way that they did.
So I think Vrable deserves a ton of credit.
You know, we'll talk about the culture, I'm sure, and everything that he's done there.
Free agency was also largely his.
Like, the front office does what it does.
But this is the Mike Vrable show right now.
This has been the Mike Vrable show since he was hired.
He chose a lot of these free agents.
And here we are.
It is astoundingly worked.
Like you said, it's on every single level.
So the high-end guys, Diggs, Milton Williams, Carlton Davis, those all hit in a big way.
The number that jumped out to me, I was looking at this up for a video we did on the YouTube channel this week.
Stefan Diggs this year, the only player in the NFL to average more EPA per target than
Stefan Dix was Pooka Nakua.
So his targets were the second most valuable of any receiver in the NFL this year at 31
coming off for Torn ACL.
So those guys at the top, massive successes.
The mid-tier deals, again, every one of them worked at how you'd want them to.
When you sign Morgan Moses to that deal, it's like all we want is passable right tackle play
of the season.
Check.
Spillane has been hugely valuable in just the way they want to play.
defense, Garrett Bradbury, same exact deal with the Morgan Moses contract.
We're going to bring him in so we have a starting caliber center done.
And then you go one step further down.
The deals for like Tonga, Chase on, even like bringing back Jalen Hawkins on a one-year deal.
It's just I can't remember this resounding of a success.
The Bengals in 2021 are kind of like this, but even that was only on defense.
And so the fact that you have kind of star level players, quality starters, and then
even like the million-dollar contracts you signed
ended up becoming really important on your way to get here.
It's like a fascinating collection of moves
that we very rarely see having this sort of impact
this late in this season.
And also fascinating because some of it was like
this is the course we are charting.
Like let's go get Milton Williams and beef up the interior.
And some of it admittedly was like,
I don't know, what are we going to do?
A wide receiver.
Dee Higgins re-sign like, boy, we got no options.
It's draft Kevin Millen.
Think about like,
they tried Chris Godwin.
Think about the sliding door thing.
Chris Godwin where he doesn't play for the first however man.
So even missing out on Chris Godwin and having to settle for Diggs
ends up working out in their favor.
Diggs is the one that like that just fell in their lap.
They had no other choice.
You have to have a wide receiver.
They wanted to be able to draft Will Campbell,
which means you're not drafting Ted McMillan's like,
I don't know.
Diggs is still available.
Let's sign him.
And even those moves have worked out so, so well.
So that's the off season.
And imagine, okay, so at what point during the season do we get to a place
where this is starting to feel a little different?
where it was for me, when they played the
bills in that first Sunday night game and they beat
Buffalo, and it's not just that they
won, it was some of the moments Drake May
had in that game where you think,
okay? Like, this now
goes from being, what is sort of
a feel-good story, oh man, this team
is better than we could have hoped or would have
thought to now, can this team
actually compete in this
division and then the AFC at large, and then
it just completely takes off from there.
Even talking to some of their executives, that week
game flipped everything from the thinking, from the confidence, from just the whole operation
of the Patriots because they felt like they didn't play their A game. They went to Buffalo. They
struggled in the first half offensively, second half defensively. It was not their best. And they
beat the Buffalo Bills in Buffalo in prime time. And so they came away from that thinking, oh,
you know, this could actually be something. And then you think about those Drake May throws,
the one that I think sticks out to me more than any other throw from this season, and there are
plenty was that one in week five against the bills he's rolling right throws it looks like it's going
to go out of bounds and just perfectly to digs on the sideline like that was the kind of play that
epitomized his season of boy things are a little muddy up front this isn't great gets you out of
a bad situation and instead of getting you out of a bad situation into a neutral situation which hey
that's good quarterbacking he gets you into like a plus plus plus spot that's when it felt different
The Drake May resurgence, or the Drake May ascension is obviously like the biggest story associated with this team
because you can sign all the free agents that you want if Drake May doesn't take the step that he did,
going from a guy who, we've talked about this a lot this off season.
The production he had within that offense, given the supporting cast, it was borderline miraculous.
Like to not have the worst offense in football, considering what was around him,
really spoke to how much promise was there.
But even if you were the biggest Drake May believer in the world, assuming that he would
lead the league in essentially every advanced passing metric and be like a legitimate MVP
candidate.
Were there people in the building that even thought that was possible?
No, I was skeptical for sure.
I thought that offensive line was not going to be good.
I thought the wide receivers weren't going to be good.
And even within the building, they were like going back to the passable play at right tackle.
Like, let's just get passable on the offensive line.
Because passable for them on the offensive line is such a dramatic increase.
It's one of the worst offensive lines I've watched over like the course of an entire NFL season.
It was horrific in 24.
And that's what Drake May was dropped into.
And so I think there was a little bit of sense this offseason with the front office of,
hey, we dropped Drake May into playing this game on All Madden mode as a rookie.
Like we gave him the hardest situation.
And the fact that he didn't immediately sink tells us something is there.
But even within that, I don't think anybody expected him to be a legitimate, viable MVP,
depending on how you look at it, him or Stafford.
Like, he could be the MVP of the week in his second season.
season with what I think you would still call a pretty mundane wide receiver group.
Like Booty's had some nice moments.
I don't know how good any of them are because I don't know how much of it is them and how
much of it is Drake May.
Like there's a chance that Booty's just way better than we think he is.
But again, because of the quarterback play, it kind of clouds the quality of everything around
him because he's been so good.
Mack Hollins played more snaps at wide receiver than anybody else on this team.
I don't think anybody's running away from this.
Like, Mac Hollins is a number one wide receiver.
This is the reason.
And so this is Drake, and a lot of it, I think, comes back to the deep ball.
Like, we knew he would be good at scrambling.
We knew he would get them out of bad situations.
I think what really elevated this was his ability to turn into maybe the best deep ball passer in all of the NFL,
the touch that he had on some of the throws up the scene, but also being able to rip it outside the numbers.
Like, he had everything you would want in a deep ball passer.
To me, it was just how many elements of his game were more refined than I expected them to be by the,
this point in his career. Because even if you were
somebody that was a Drake, it was bullish on Drake May
as a prospect, I think there were still
some questions about decision making,
you know, some of the low light moments.
Like, is he going to try to do too much too often?
Is that going to lead to some turnovers to some sacks?
We'll get to what the playoffs have looked like in a second here.
But for most of the season, a lot of those mistakes
just weren't part of the overall formula.
He was making the right play is so consistently.
I think back to like even like the first Miami game,
like all the times where you see him just check.
checking the ball down in the right moments.
And the fact that his game felt so mature,
and then you combine that with all the physical talent that he has.
And I think that explained a lot of his season.
And I wonder, as somebody who has talked to these guys all the time
and maybe has a better sense of this,
it seems to me from the outside looking in
that the Josh McDaniels part of this really matters.
And for people who don't really understand, like,
the way that the Patriots offense is
compared to a lot of the other offensive systems in the league.
So the Patriots offense and the way they teach,
teach it to quarterbacks is about as far removed as the offensive meta in the league can be.
If you look at the Shanahan system, for example, right, there's no, you don't check things,
you can some plays every once in a while. It's a lot of pure progression stuff where you're just
like, all right, I'm going one, two, three, four, five based on the, not necessarily what the
coverage is, but like how I'm reading this play out. They're trying to make it as easy on the
quarterback as possible. The Patriots do the opposite of that, where they put as much on the
quarterback as you can possibly get.
And I think some guys do well with that, and some guys don't.
For some guys, it can just bog them down.
Jimmy Groplow is the best possible example.
When Jimmy was in San Francisco, he was fantastic in like a pure progression offense
for what they asked him to do.
When he got dropped into the Raiders situation with Josh McDaniels, it was too much for
him, and he folded under the weight, I think, of all that mental strain.
But if you can have a guy that handles it, what it allows you to become as a player
is very special.
And so the fact that it seems like Drake May took to this so quickly and has come out is so much more of a fully formed product because of it.
To me is like one of the most important stories about this entire team.
Totally.
And so to take it all the way back as Josh McDaniels is trying to teach this super complex system and the way to read defenses and the way that you're then going to read your progressions, what he did was he put together a clip of Tom Brady checking it down on all sorts.
All right, this pattern against this defense.
Perfect.
Now clip that.
Now let's do it on this situation and this situation.
And then over and over in August, showing Drake May, the best quarterback of all time with seven Super Bowls did it this way.
I promise you, this can work.
I know your deep ball is awesome.
We are going to get you opportunities for that.
But if this worked for Tom Brady, this can work for you.
And I was admittedly a little bit skeptical.
Even in August, like you're watching training camp.
And there were moments where it looked okay.
But there were a lot of moments where it was just a lot for Drake May.
like the season turned out incredible.
It was not a snap of the fingers and, oh, boy, here we go.
There was the development of all of that.
And I think going back to Brady and starting there and showing that and building the belief that this can work,
played a real meaningful impact in his development to this point.
When you have a CEO type head coach like Mike Brable is so much of it comes down to two specific hires you have to get right.
It's the play caller in the quarterback.
And if you think back to what it was in Tennessee, obviously Derek Henry had an outsized impact on what the
Titans were. But Ryan Tannahill played at a very high level for those couple seasons.
This was literally with Arthur Smith and Ryan Tannahill, the most efficient offense in football
for multiple years. And if you have that part of it, the other elements of what Mike Vrabel is
start to shine through, the culture setting, the game management. When they didn't have the
play caller in the quarterback, the rest of that stuff starts matter less. And so now you come to
New England, you get the quarterback and play caller right again, and we get back to a place where
we get to realize all the other thing Mike Vrable does well. So when you think about just him as a
head coach. Whether this be your interactions with him, whether it be what you've heard staff and
players talk about, what has struck you about Mike Vrable, the head coach, and his role in kind of
how the Patriots have gotten here. What has blown me away, just from having watched Bill Belichick,
from having watched Gerard Mayo last year, even go back to Minnesota and see Zimmer and Kevin
O'Connell, Mike Vrable is so hands-on on the sideline, more than any other coach I've seen.
A lot of them, for good reason, are spending the TV timeouts, like,
drawn on their playbook, trying to figure out where they want to go on their play sheet,
all right, we're going to hit this and that's going to set up this.
And like, you can picture Shanahan doing that and McVeigh doing that a little bit.
And it makes sense for them for what they do.
That is not Mike Vrable.
I've always wanted Mike Vrable to, you know, wear some sort of fitness tracking device just to like watch him on the sideline.
He is sprinting up and down the sidelines like a madman.
He is running over and, all right, he's with the defensive line for this.
And then he jumps over and he's over here with this.
Like, he is so hands-on in everything that he has done.
Now, he's also let Drake May work with Josh McDaniels.
Like he has said, Josh, you are the head coach of the offense.
You are Drake, Skylight.
He'll go over, but what he says to Drake is not.
All right, here's how we're going to read this.
It is much more like, all right, head up here.
When you're one first down, this is what we're going to do.
The clips of the Mike Dup stuff have been very good from the two of them.
So I've been blown away just at how hands-on Mike Vrable is.
So it's a little bit of that.
But then it's also talking to John Stryker, their game management coordinator,
to figure out what they're going to do.
and they have been so good at finding those little moments,
like you guys have talked about on the show,
with the Jared Stidham interception and slowly trotting guys off the field
and slowly trotting on and speeding up the operation for Stidham,
who then throws the interception.
They've been so good at on the margins winning there.
I think with a lot of coaching archetypes,
like the type of head coach you're seeking out,
my question is always, and I've been open about this.
Like, offense to me feels like it's the safest way to go
because you need a good offense typically to consistently win.
but if you get the coordinator and the quarterback right, you can have different types of coaches
in the same way that Brable has.
But if you are going to be the CEO type coach, what are you doing to make an appreciable
difference?
How are you doing as a value add for the organization as this type of coach?
And with Frable, it's just clear.
Like, you see the things that he's doing.
And so it was after the Chargers game, we said this on the show where Brable's doing all
the right stuff from game management perspective.
Harbaugh is not going for it when he should, just little tiny things.
if you're a CEO type of coach, what is your CEO type head coach doing for you in these moments?
And I would argue that Vrable is doing more from that role than any other coach cut from that type of model is doing across the entire week.
And some of it, you know, is admittedly like the emotional stuff, the stuff that is a little bit easier.
Right.
Totally matters.
Like the way that he's getting his lip bloodied from Milton Williams, like jumping into him.
Like that stuff does matter, I think.
And some of it, you know, for sure can be corny.
like having the team come up and say their 4-hs in front of everybody
and having to open up about their history and their heroes and their heartbreak and stuff
like that.
Like I get that some of that is easy to roll your eyes at.
But everybody there says that stuff matters and the little stuff that he does to embrace
this team and to feed into like, hey, you guys aren't stars.
Nobody thought you were going to be good.
Like I do think that genuinely matters even in an era of analytics.
All right, before we move on, let's take our first quick break.
Speaking of somebody we didn't think was going to be a star
And somebody whose name I don't think people knew
Until maybe the midway point in the season
You talk about Rable's ability to kind of be that
Zoomed out, hands on
I don't worry about either side of the ball type of coach
Zach Kerr's role in all of this
To me is so important
So for people who don't know or have not been aware of this
So Terrell Williams was the defensive coordinator
Coming into the season
He had been the defensive line coach for the Lions last year
Previous to that he had been the defensive line coach
For Raibol when he was in Tennessee
he's diagnosed with a lead prostate cancer, correct, for the season.
He has to step away.
They promote or kind of elevate Zach Kerr into this role where he's the inside linebacker's
coach who's now calling place.
And the quality of the defense, that would be enough to pay attention to what he's done.
But what I find so interesting about the Patriots defense specifically this season,
there have been so many different iterations and phases of what the Patriots defense has been.
And so if you go through it, the first month of the season, they're playing with light boxes
on less than half of their run place,
one of the lowest rates in the league.
And then from like week five to 13,
they start playing with light boxes
at one of the highest rates in the league.
Then after the buy,
they go down to one of the lowest rates in the league again.
Since week 14, the only teams
to play with light boxes at a lower rate
than the Patriots were the bucks and the bucks and the bronze.
That's it.
So they were the third from the bottom
after being up near the top
for like a good chunk of the year.
They started blitzing 40% of the time.
after the buy. It was only like 25% of the time before that. And so you have a defense that has
kind of been like this living, breathing thing that continues to change based on what they think they need.
And so it's not just the fact that Kerr's called place for a defense that's been good.
It's that the target has been moving so often that I actually don't think the staff on that side
of the ball has gotten enough credit for the way that they've been able to kind of change and iterate
over the course of this entire year. And I think it's worth pausing and looking at Zach
his background because I think this would be impressive for anybody, but certainly with somebody from
his background, I think you would probably get this opportunity and just be like, boy, I have so
much on my plate right now. Like, here's how we're going to play. We're just going to do this and we're
going to get as good as we can at it because this is his background. He joins James Madison University
with Everett Withers, comes from Ohio State, and he's on the offensive side of the ball. He starts out
coaching running backs. Then they go to Texas State and he's a co-offensive coordinator. His whole career
has been the offensive side of the ball.
He joins up with Mike Vrable, the connections,
a couple Ohio State guys and John Stryker, who he's close with,
and they throw him, like, as an assistant inside linebackers coach.
We are talking very, very low level.
These are not the guys who are super influencing game plans
or what's happening.
When Vrable gets fired, he doesn't know what he's going to do,
so he's just like a quality control coach for the Giants.
Again, super low level.
This is last year.
Yeah.
Like he has no say in anything, basically, last year.
For the first time ever this season, he was going to lead his own position group in the NFL.
Holy smokes, this is a lot that's going to be on his plate.
Like, are you ready for this, Zach?
That's the question coming in.
And then two weeks in, because of the cancer diagnosis, oh, hey, I know you were going to lead a position group for the first time.
You're calling plays, man.
Good luck.
Here you go.
And is he, like, at the front of meetings and stuff, too?
Yes, he's reading everything.
He's the de facto defensive coordinator.
So it's not just the play calling.
The other thing about this is, and I'm curious how much insight you have to this,
because I don't think Vrable's ever been very open or transparent.
parent about how much of a role he has with the defense. But I look at it, and this is a very
simplistic, kind of rough around the edges way of doing this, but hear me, hear me out. When you look at
what Bowen was doing with the Titans when Rabel was there, I loved watching that defense. And they were,
I think, the ideas and some of the creativity and just how amorphous it was in the back end. I thought
that Bowen and that staff had done a very good job. When you look at what Shane Bowen was with the
Giants, it was not nearly as good as it was when he was with the Titans. And so my like kind of
of outside looking in perspective here is that Vrable has more of a hand in shaping what the
defense and the defensive identity and just the quality has been at these last couple stops
than maybe we appreciate given how we think about him as like a CEO and only coach. Do you think
that's fair? I do think that's fair. And yet I think if you talk to anybody, Vrable certainly
included even off the record, whatever, he is going to downplay that and insist it's not him
and insist you wouldn't believe the job Zach Corr is doing and he has been unbelievable,
which I do think is all true.
but also, you know, if you're giving them true serum,
I do think Mike Vrable still has a little bit more say
than we give him credit for,
especially because he truly has passed off the offense.
Josh McDaniels, you run the show over there.
I'll help you, I'll support you whatever you need,
but you're running the show.
So I do think he's got a little bit more time
to spend with the defense,
even though it is Zach Corp, basically,
defensive coordinator, I do think he's probably helping
and helping spin that wheel defensively,
so we're not just doing the same thing over and over.
And the blitz rate, I think, is the big,
tell. What they've done in the playoffs is they basically looked at in the charges case,
the offensive line, and in the Texans case, the quarterback, and the Broncos case, the quarterback
and said, if we get pressure on you, even if we have to send extra guys, we trust Christian Gonzalez
and what he's doing on the back, and we trust Carlton Davis and our safeties. If we get pressure
on you, game over. You're not going to stand a chance. And so their blitz rate has gone through
the roof. And now I'm curious, does that continue against the Seahawks? Or do the Seahawks look at this
and say, hey, they're going to blitz a ton and all of a sudden, Vrable and Corps totally flip it.
they stop blitzing, that I think is a big question going into this game.
I'm sure we will talk a lot about that in the preview we do on Thursday,
because to me it's like one of the biggest questions about the entire game.
The Seahawks have been blitzed at the second highest rate in the league this year,
but they haven't been a bad blitz team.
The question is, if you do send a lot of heat in that game,
can you get the two or three mistakes from their offense that you probably need to win?
But the problem, though, is that you can flip that thinking to the other side too.
Because I wanted to ask you what their path through the playoffs have looked like.
You played three offenses that essentially like imploded.
Some of that is the quality of your defense,
but the Chargers offense in their offensive line,
it's a bad group.
We've seen how we've seen the floor of that Chargers offense
be very low multiple times throughout the season.
You get that sort of game from them.
You win an ugly game.
Week after, C.J. Stroud like implodes in front of us, right?
Like that probably is not going to happen again.
Then you play a backup quarterback in the AFC championship game.
So as you think about what,
the formula for these wins has looked like.
Do you think that sort of game is possible again,
where Drake May can have another bad game,
but the defense can play well enough
that the Patriots can win an ugly Super Bowl?
I don't really think so.
I think Drake May has to go back to being the Superman
that he was in the regular season for them to pull this off.
Now, I think the defense can play very well,
and we've seen Sam Donald struggle with interior pressure,
which is where the Patriots are so good.
They've been sending more blitzes from their DBs,
Marcus Jones has been a big factor in their Blitz packages.
So I think there are ways that they can rattle Sam Darnold a little bit.
We saw the Vikings spend a small fortune to up their interior offensive line
after seeing what happened to Darnold last year.
That's a whole different subject.
But I think that I like the Patriots defensive tackles in this matchup,
especially with Blitz help against this interior Seahawks O line.
But I don't think that they can win an ugly Super Bowl unless Drake May has three or four of those
awesome moments. All season, he's come through in those moments, maybe less so in the playoffs
when he hasn't had to. Six of the quarters were in pretty crummy weather. So there's a,
there's an out for it and those defenses are all very good. But I think you have to have
Drake May playing close to an A game to have a chance. So where do we land on like what the
offense actually is? Because the entire regular season, you're playing against a slate of pretty
bad teams. And then in the playoffs, you play against three very good defenses. And the
offense has looked much, much different than it did for most of the year.
So, I mean, there's probably no way to answer this, but, like, it really does feel like we don't have a good sense for where the offense actually lands.
Like, are they, I think they finished second in offensive TVA or third?
First and EPA per play.
First and EPA per play.
So are they that?
Or are they closer to the offense we saw during the playoffs?
I really don't know, like, where we should land on that.
And for now, I think I'm leaning more toward the regular season.
Perhaps this is a Homer bias or just being around it.
But half of those playoff quarters were in blizzards, basically.
or just really bad conditions that didn't lend themselves to good offensive football.
And so I think that gets back to Vrable and knowing game management and be like,
oh, this is going to be this kind of game.
Like, sure, we can play that.
We will do that kind of game.
But it is certainly fair to look at this and say, oh, like once you started playing all these good defenses,
Drake May wasn't the Superman that we thought.
And these wide receivers went back to being what they thought.
Like, all of that is totally fair.
And what is their reward for getting through those three defenses?
Probably the best events in the end of that.
I want the last thing I wanted to ask you, you're around this every day, you're around this team every day.
We just went through a lot of like the main players and what got the Patriots here.
Who are the guys we're not thinking enough about?
Like who are some of the quiet contributors to this that have been integral to this team's success,
but maybe somebody that's away from this or isn't a Patriots fan or hasn't been paying attention might not appreciate enough?
Let me start with one thing that'll lead to a bigger picture.
Craig Woodson, their rookie safety from California, has been unbelievable.
in the playoffs. He was good in the
regular season, like, better than you
thought he would be for being a fourth round pick
and he played a ton of games in college.
And that was, you know, you draft a guy
like that because he'll contribute right away.
He'll help us out in special teams.
He has been so, so good in the playoffs,
covering up a lot. And then I think
that lends itself to, in the bigger picture,
the only thing that we haven't talked about this
team that I think is worth noting,
they kind of nailed their rookie class.
Now, Will Campbell has had some issues
in the playoffs. There's bigger picture stuff there.
they have 13 rookies on their 53-man roster.
Every member of their 11-man draft class plus two undrafted guys,
like they've gotten a bunch of contributions.
I don't know what will happen with Will Campbell.
Their second round pick, Trayvion, Henderson has not really played
because they're just trusting Ramandre Stevenson more.
So it's not like every pick was a home run,
but especially these kind of middle-round guys,
including their starting left guard Jared Wilson,
they've done a good job with those.
And I think if you want to find somebody on the Patriots
that doesn't get enough credit,
watch number 31 safety Craig
Woodson.
Listen, your left tackle,
even if he's a top five pick,
doesn't need to be a star right away.
We've seen guys struggle there all the time.
And also, he struggled coming back from injury.
Like, he was better before.
Against Daniel Hunter.
Yeah, Daniel Hunter, Will Anderson and Nick Benito.
Again, it's not going to get any easier on Sunday.
That's the problem.
But the idea that like Will Campbell was a disappointment
because of what's happened over the last three weeks.
We don't have to do that.
And the fact that Trivia Henderson hasn't played
because Stevenson in particular,
my take on this is most likely
they find him more reliable and steady in these moments
whether that be from just the way he's running the ball
but also the past protection stuff from Stevenson
and the playoffs has been phenomenal.
And so the idea that you're going with a safer option
as you're just trying to mitigate mistakes
against bad offenses I think is totally fine.
And so overall I think the point stands
like what they've gotten from this rookie class
and what it looks like moving forward,
that together with what the free agency class looked like
bringing it back to the top, that's how you get a Patriots team that's playing in the Super Bowl
that we never could have expected.
Four and 13 last year, four and 13 the year before that.
I know we spent all this time talking about it, and yet I still don't think the point is made enough.
The Patriots might have been the worst team in the NFL last year.
Like, they beat the bills in that game that nobody was trying.
One of the worst games you could possibly watch, the Patriots got a lead and the bills like,
oh, cool, you guys got this one from here because they didn't want the Patriots to have the number one pick.
just an interesting thing to look back on that.
The Patriots almost had the first pick overall last year because they were that bad.
And now they're four and a half point underdogs against the best team in the NFL.
This is not like a 10 point spread.
This is a game that Patriots absolutely can win.
And I don't think any of us could have pictured being in this spot,
probably mid-season, let alone if you go back a year from now.
Chad Graf sincerely, appreciate the time, sir.
Great to see you.
We'll do it again very soon.
Thanks for having me.
All right, before we move on, we're going to take one more quick break.
Joining us now, it is our Seahawks writer here at The Athletic, our buddy Michael Sean Dugar.
How you doing, man?
I'm doing good.
How you doing, man?
It's good to see you here.
It's exciting.
My first time covering the Super Bowl.
Which is funny.
You started covering the Seahawks just after they were playing in Super Bowls and they
were playing in NSC championship games.
I remember that era very well.
But it's like just before your time.
Yes, my year is the first year that Cam Chancellor broke his neck, Cliff Averillard broke his neck,
Sherm tore his Achilles.
I was the bad luck charm.
The end of the Legion of Boom.
The end of the Legion of Boom was when Michael Sean Dugar showed up.
to cover the Seahawks, yes.
The last time you and I talked in person, we were sitting in the closet out off the meteor room
at the VMA in Renton where the Seahawks practice.
And I went back and listened to it today because I wanted to get the exact details right.
We were talking about the Seahawks offense and just the wide range of outcomes that could
happen from the Seahawks offense.
And I said, I could see them being the 28th best offense in the league.
I could see them being the 12th best offense in the league.
Well, we're here at the Super Bowl.
the Seahawks offense finished between like 10th and 14th
in any statistical category you want to look at.
DVOA they were 10th. Way to DivioA, they were 14th.
EPA per play, they were 14th.
So they were closer to that 12th than they were to 28th,
and that's the reason I think that they're here.
When did you know that the offense was going to be the version of it
they had hoped it was going to be after remaking it
in the way they did this offseason?
Yeah, it came through in waves for me.
So first it was, can Jackson Smith and Jacob be the number one?
And then I went to joint practice in Green Bay and I was like, yes.
Okay, he can't.
So that was the, you knew going into it.
Like, even in training camp, he was going to be able to have this kind of season.
Yeah, going against his own guys, you know, you get caught watching one team a bunch.
That's why, like, when you and other guys parachute in, you got a better national feel for the league.
I'm just watching the same guys every day.
Sure.
Then I went to Green Bay, though, joint practice has been pretty instructive for me the last couple years.
And I was like, oh, no one can cover number 11.
He'll be fine, you know.
And then as the season went on, I think I would say week five against Tampa Bay.
when I bought into everything else.
Yeah.
That was when they couldn't win with their defense.
The defense was getting shredded by Baker Mayfield that day.
And what did Sam do?
Well, he put up like 35 points, throwing to everybody all over the yard.
The offensive line was good.
That's really when I started to believe, oh, wait a minute.
This can be something.
And then I decided it was something in week seven.
When they hosted the Houston Texans on Monday night football, and they hung 27 on those guys.
And they scored, they gave up four turnovers, I believe.
One of them led to a Houston Texas touchdown.
So it wasn't the greatest offensive performance ever.
but we could probably go down the game log
and count on one hand
how many teams scored 27 points on offense
against the Houston, Texas this year.
It's a very good defense.
So I think week seven that went into their by week,
that's when I believed,
and then the rest of the world saw them on Monday night football,
or Sunday night football, I believe,
against the commanders week nine,
and they just blitz them.
That game was over before the parking lot filled up, right,
on Sunday night football.
So that's really that little middle of the road there,
I was like, all right, this offense is for real.
The Tampa Bay game is a good kind of jumping off point.
But even for me, like the first three weeks of the season,
it wasn't even necessarily the results.
It was the plan.
Because when they had the offense they did under Grubb last year,
I think that even going into the season,
there was some hesitance for Mike McDonald about,
okay, when I'm a defensive coach,
to me the hardest thing to play against
is an offense where the run and the pass are tied together,
where everything is cohesive,
where there are no tails, they make it hard on me.
The Seattle offense under Ryan Grub
is the exact opposite of that.
They didn't do any of that.
And so I think on purpose,
they tried to seek out whatever the furthest thing,
thing was away from last year's
offense, and that's what a Kubiak-Shanahan offense
is. And so that to me is like the first
bet that they made on the offense being
different. Then you make the bet to
go get Sam, trade it out for Gino.
You make the bet to trade D.K. McCaff.
All of these small things that
if they had gone the other way,
we're looking at an offense that never finds itself.
Instead, every single one of those
small bets that they made turned
out as good as it possibly
could have. JSN's the best
receiver in the league next to Puka.
Kluen Kubek is so good as a play caller that he's no longer, he's not the offensive coordinator
for the Seahawks anymore.
Like the fact that it wasn't just one of those or two of those or three of those of those
of like the five major bets that they made, every single one of them turned into the best
possible outcome it could for the Seahawks, which there's no way you could predict that.
Like there's no way you could envision this being how it would go on offense, even if you
believed in the play.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Right?
They brought back pretty much all the same guys.
All they do is draft a guy from North Dakota State in the first round,
and then they make the center also a guy from North Dakota State
an undrafted free agent sign E from the year before in Jalen Sundell.
So you're talking about bringing back three of the same five guys.
You plug in two guys from the FCS and roll the ball out there and say go to the Super Bowl.
And they did that.
That was the part I was actually really skeptical about as well.
I liked Grace Abel.
I thought he was very good.
I'm no O-line expert, but just watching him talk to people who are O-line experts.
I was like, all right, that's great.
How much does one left guard elevate an offensive line that I've watched be,
bad for the better part of a decade, and the answer was a lot.
The answer's a lot.
That's part of it, but I also think that, again, structurally, and I did a video on this
like two weeks into the season.
If you looked at it, you could see it immediately, that difference of when you have a system
where you're going to be in the gun and you're dropping back 65% of the time, you're
going to make your individual offensive linemen look like the worst versions of themselves.
You're laying them, you're hanging them out to dry consistently.
When you do the opposite, when you are running the ball as much as any team in the NFL,
when you're using all this play action, when you're using all of this personnel,
that type of system allows those guys to be the best versions of themselves.
And so even swapping out one piece, you are still going to raise the floor of the
offensive line play overall so much by making the system change that they did.
And so the fact that they knew that as part of how they were remaking the individual players
along that line, I just think speaks to the vision that the combination of Mike,
John Schneider, and Clint Kubiak had when they were trying to figure out what they wanted this
offense to be. Yeah, and I think hiring someone who came with a proven system was huge for
problem solving. The other thing about Ryan Grub is like, okay, let's say in a week nine,
Ryan Grubb's offense couldn't figure out how to do something. Run the ball, run dagger,
whatever it is. What is he going to show them? Offent Washington Husky's tape from 2020,
you can't, right? That's just not instructive enough for these NFL guys. But what if your
wide zone stuff's not hitting in week 14 if you're Clint Kubiak. We have decades of data for whatever
we need to show, hey, this is what it's supposed to look like. Here's how this step.
This technique against this front, against this defensive coordinator,
this database of tried and true system.
And Grub didn't have that.
So in week 14, 15 or whatever, they don't have an identity.
They can't just problem-solve in real time, which is what they needed to do.
Whereas now the run game did hit a lull in, like, November.
And then what do you know, in week 16 against the Rams, it starts to click.
Now all the wide zone stuff is hitting.
Now they can get first downs with runs on third and 16, which they did like four times this year.
I think there were like 10 or 15 of them throughout the league, and they had four.
or five of them to share. Yeah, and that's because they were able to problem
solve during the season. That's a lot easier when you have this collection of data to point
to the show guys, to show all the left guards, to show the tight ends, how to take on this block,
to show the receivers, all right, here's the technique to reach this nickel, this safety.
Grub just couldn't do that. To no fault of his own, he was the first time coached the NFL,
but Kubiak doesn't have that problem. Like you said, that's why by the time Monday, February
9th hits, he starts his new job with the Raiders.
I was going to, it's funny that you said this, because I was going to ask you,
And that kind of back after the season
where it was a little bit bumpier.
The Carolina game sticks out to me.
I think the Carolina game is like weirdly indicative of
how I felt about the Seahawks and the Seahawks
and how they played into what the Seahawks were overall.
Because they scored 27 points in that game.
But so much of that is short fields, your defense is dominating.
The offense down to down, there's part of you, it's like,
is this good enough?
Is this going to be good enough when we get to the biggest parts of the season?
So aside from the run game, what do you think were the other things
they had to work through in some of those lulls to move past that version of the offense that was leaving me with the sort of doubt that it did.
With the running game, it wasn't necessarily just wasn't clicking all the time.
They weren't getting explosives, right?
That was the huge issue.
Like, you need explosives.
We use, like, yards per carry as a way to measure run game quality, but also just go look at those logs.
Like, okay, you're averaging four yards per carry, let's say.
How many of those are a 12-yarder?
Yeah.
How many of those are an 18-yarder, right?
That's really what, you know, brings your average up and makes your offense,
that people have to worry about. You mentioned running the merry in the past, the run of the past
together. Well, that marriage only works from the run game is also explosive. And they figured out
how to get that, but also what they needed from this offense was explosives from people who aren't
jacks. Like that's pretty huge in this. And we've seen like A.J. Barner make big plays. We saw
Rashid Shaheed make big plays in the playoffs, whether as a runner or as a receiver. That's been
huge. Cooper Cup has made a couple big, big catches. It's not high volume, but he has multiple
catches of like 20 plus yards over the last few games. And so that was the other thing.
because after a while, teams are like,
you know, what we're not going to do, let Jacks run by us.
You know, that's how defensive coordinators lose their hair, right?
Is watching number 11, the best player who they plan for all week run by their
safeties.
And that slowed down a little bit.
And when they figure out how to get other guys to run by the safeties or whoever,
that's when their offense felt a little bit more complete to get to the point where it is now.
I think that's exactly right.
I mean, you watch what they were against the Rams and the fact that it's all those other guys
chipping in his past catchers, but also, like, what they've gotten from Kenneth Walker in the playoffs.
And I understand why is,
Zach Charbonnet played as much as Zach Charbonnet did over the course of the regular season.
And especially in this game, I'm sure we'll talk about during our preview.
Like, the pass protection you get from Zach Charbonnet is very important in the overall
quality of the offense.
But there's no denying that Kenneth Walker is like an incredibly talented explosive player.
And so the fact that they've had to lean into him more in the playoffs, it's almost
been this like accidental path to more explosiveness that they would never have planned on
because you would have assumed Charbonnet would have been a part of the formula going into
the postseason. Yeah, I think Ken had five scrimmage touchdowns in the regular season. He's
had four in the players. Yeah, as a Kenneth Walker severely invested fantasy player, I'm deeply
aware of how many touchdowns he had in the regular season. Yeah, we have a running bit on
on our Seahawks Band of Man podcast because I had Ken as well. And then I'm watching the games
live and George Halani would get these red zone carries. And I'm like, did I miss something? Is Ken
in the doghouse? He's never fumbled in his career. So I'm like, okay, what's going on? Why is
George Halani or Zach Sharbonate getting all these goal line carries? And no knock to those guys.
those are good backs as well.
Like you said, Zach brings other value.
But, you know, when Ken switched agents, which he did like a couple weeks ago,
I was like, yeah, that makes sense.
I could, as good as this team was, I bet Ken's agent was pissed.
Watching this season going, why is my guy not touching the ball?
And go look at the playoffs.
He's been one of the best players in the playoffs for the Seahawks offense.
And they felt like they just took the Ferrari out of the garage, really, with Ken Walker.
I think that's going to be key on Sunday as well.
And it's nice to he's fresh, though, too, because there wasn't a ton of mileage.
He can be explosive at this point in the season.
So that's huge.
The last thing I'll ask you about the offense specifically.
Obviously, like, the big, larger machinations and the big moves that they made, those are obvious.
Hitting on Sam, Kubiak, all of that.
What are some of the quieter things that you feel like have kind of driven this?
Like, you mentioned AJ Barner.
Like, somebody like that, what are the things that's somebody that isn't watching this offense day to day?
Who are the guys that have shaped this more than we might appreciate?
Yeah, I think one really quiet but subtle aspect of this is something AJ Barner mentioned to me in week two after he caught a touchdown against his Steelers.
He said, Mike, I just got to remember that no route is dead.
He's like, what are you talking about?
It's like, it doesn't matter if the plays like for Jacks.
If I'm option four on here, Sam is going to get to four.
That's going to matter.
The Bobo touchdown, right?
Like, that's a backside throw.
The two-point conversion in overtime against the Rams,
Eric Salberts, the fourth read, right?
That was his first catch of the game, you know?
And so, but that's the thing.
No route is dead.
And that's been pretty key because obviously they're going to draw plays for number
11.
That's just very obvious, right?
But the defense knows that too.
And the other guys, they can't just fall asleep.
You can't just say, hey, I'm the third.
through route on this dagger concept. I'm not going to get the ball. It's going to Jacks.
No, you actually might. So alert, man. I might throw you this goal ball. And that's been huge,
I think, for all those other guys who have been on the backside of these plays, Cooper Cup in the
playoffs, his touchdown in the NFC championship game. He's option three. The play is to the front side.
Sam comes all the way back around. So all that stuff has been huge. And that just mindset,
just like, hey, the plays for Jacks, but I might get the ball. You know, that's really massive
for these guys' psyches as well, because you can get caught up in someone like Jacks who has
this massive target share. I think the highest since Brandon
Marshall in 2012, he has.
And so like the other guy, I'm just running around getting cardio.
No, you're running around and you might get this ball.
And it might be for the game-winning touchdown on Thursday night football as the number
two tight-in.
I think that's been huge as to why this team has gotten so much out of jacks but gotten
all these key plays from everyone else.
I spent a lot of time thinking about and talking about the offense this year just because
the offense is the thing that surprised me, right?
Like, the offense is the thing that snuck up on me and I think snuck up on a lot of people
just in terms of how well this all clicked.
The defense, I always thought the defense.
could be truly great this year.
If you look at what they were in the back half of last season,
there were a lot of indications that this was potentially coming.
At the same time, I think it's caused me to not appreciate the defense for what it is enough
because I don't find it surprising.
But you look at what happened on defense,
even if you thought they were going to be really good on that side of the ball,
there are still some of these small things that came together to make them what they are.
The Emanwari thing, being the skeleton key that it has,
and allowing them to play exactly how they want to play in the way they have,
have, that's one of them. Getting Nwosu back from injury, like that's one thing where if you think
about why the defense is great and the role that, like, Nuosu didn't really play that much last year and
Tank Lawrence have had, there are still kind of these quiet elements that have propped up the
defense and pushed it to an even better place than you could have hoped, even if you thought
they had a chance to be the best defense in the league. Yeah, I remember in 2022 when the Seahawks lost
in the wildcard rounds, the San Francisco 49ers, Pete Carroll on his radio show the next day,
who's asked what's the difference between your team and their team talent-wise and he said well what they have up front is serious at that point they had aziz fred and greenlaw which looking back just seems completely crazy yeah that's how i feel about the seahawks defensive line right now yes and so i bring that up to say now when you ask what is the seahawks defense good at why are they so dominant it's because of what they have up front in a few years now they've remade the spot that was their weak point now chenna was on that team but now look what's around him he's got all pro guy around him pro bowl guys around him and they're just i just really really
savvy, selfless players.
You know, they don't, I think,
uh, Byron Murphy led them in sacks and Leo,
I think with like seven apiece.
They don't have anyone out here's going to get paid
because they rush the passer.
It's because they rush the passer together.
They're very selfless.
Chena loves taking on tight ends.
He hates tight ends.
He's like, if you want to feel like,
you can block me in the C gap,
God bless you, buddy, because we can meet there and duke it out.
But I love that you say that because there was a play and I,
sticks in my mind for some weird reason.
There was a play against the Rams in the second Rams game,
where their Rams just run a duo,
and they're in 13 personnel
and you watch what Chenna does
I think it was Kobe Parkinson
on the right side
and then Leonard Williams
does it to the left guard
where they're just standing those guys up in the hole
and just changing the line of scrimmage
and the physicality collectively
that that group plays with
the one that it's four down in nickel
when it's Chenna
Byron Murphy
Leonard Williams and Lawrence together
when you watch how that group defends the run
there is a reason that the Seahawks
can play nickel all the time with all of these two high looks with all of these light boxes
because they have like four to five monsters in those situations at all times.
And we talked about this on a show we did last week where it's like there have been moments
where like when they signed to Marcus Lawrence, I was like you need another one of these.
Like you really need another one.
But collectively the reason that they're so great is because they have seven guys along
the defensive line that you rotate through and you don't even notice a difference.
And if they didn't have that group constructed and completely,
pose the exact way that it is, this defense wouldn't be what it is.
Yeah, and it's one of the best short-yardage defenses in the league.
You try to run on third and one or fourth-and-one on these guys, just no Bueno.
You got teams trying all types of stuff.
That Max Brosmer pick, you know, that Ernest Jones runs back for a touchdown.
That was on like fourth-in-one.
Why didn't they just run it up the gut?
Well, because that does not work against these guys.
And obviously it went the other way, but that's because of the guys you're mentioning
up front.
Nicky Minwari has been just outstanding in that role.
He can be whatever they need.
He didn't play dime, play Mike, play Will, play Will,
any given snap play on the edge. He can do it.
Ernest Jones has emerged as an
all-pro guy. The guy he's always believed
he could be, you know, Mike McDonnell brought that
out of him. Every game, Drake Thomas
has just one missile play. That's a one play
where he just kills someone.
The Drake Thomas and Okada shit,
that to me is where like, this is ridiculous.
Like the idea that like even
when they've had to cycle, because Drake Thomas wasn't a start
at the beginning of the season, Ocada wasn't a starter.
I mean, the fact that we didn't even
mention the fact that Drake Thomas was a backup
or that Julian Love was hurt for a good
chunk of this year. The only game you realized
they were banged up in the secondary was the Bucks game. That's it.
It was the only game you realized all year.
And so when watching
O Thomas and Ocada play the way that I did,
that to me is that moment where you
just kind of realize there's like pixie dust
associated with the defense where they can just
kind of drop anybody into these roles
and it's so well coached and they have such a
collective mentality that they can
still be the best defense in the league even with
guys that are two, three spots down the depth chart.
Yeah, and I think this is something that if I had
to coach the year vote, this would be if I had to get up
on the put him, explain why I made it for Mike McDonald, it would be because of that. He's a
floor razor, and it's his mentality. You know, I asked him about this earlier in the year.
I said, Mike, because here's Mike McDonald's view when the backup has to come in. Whereas
Ty O'Cada, Drake Thomas, Josh Job, they played Shaquille Griffin in the game this year. His mindset
is, I'm excited to see that guy in the field because if I'm putting him out there, he
earned it. It's not, woe as me, I got to play such and such, and such, whoever. And he said,
that wasn't the case always early in his career. Sometimes he was like, oh, damn, we got to run such and
such out there. And once he shifted his mindset, it changed everything. Like, they don't call it
the practice squad in Seattle. It's called the Ready Squad. Yeah. Because it's the mindset. Like, you need to
be ready because you could help us win today. And I think that's why you've seen Ty Okada come in and
make plays. The interception he had against the commanders on Sunday night football is one of the best
catches you're going to see from anyone on offense or defense. He makes that play because he
knows if I'm out here, they believe I can make that play. And that's huge. Like, all these guys want
is just someone to believe in them. They're like any employee in any office, you know? So I think
Mike McDonald's Secret Sauce has been raising the floor of
guys like that. The same thing he did in Baltimore
when you had Brandon Stevens play the best year he's ever
played. Gino Stone had like seven interceptions
that year in 2023. All these guys
who were just okay before play the
best football of their lives and Mike McDonnell has brought
that to Seattle. I'm so glad you mentioned this because I wanted
to ask you about this specifically. I think Mike
gets penned and rightfully so. He's like
a defensive guru, right? Like he's the
what they hired him to be
from the outside looking in. I want defensive
Sean McVeigh because I have to play against Sean McVeigh
twice a year. They got them. That's exactly
what he's been. He was the best play caller on defense
in the league when he was in Baltimore. He has still been the best play caller in defense in the
league. I want to know more about like the interpersonal stuff because you covered P. Carroll
teams for a long time. You were very aware of what a P. Carroll team and a P. Carroll locker room
feels like. What does a Mike McDonald team and a Mike McDonald locker room feel like?
There are two things that stand out, one on offense and one on defense. The offensive one is
how he coaches Sam. I'm a big movie reference guy. And the one thing that stands out is the movie
inception when they're explaining how it works, the guy says to him, don't think about elephants.
So the guy's like, all right, what are you thinking about?
Well, elephants, right?
Because you know, I just told you to think about elephants.
That applies to Sam Donald with turnovers, right?
The last thing that you could do to hurt Sam Darno to say, hey, Sam, here's the play call.
Hey, protect the ball here.
What's he going to do?
Which defensive coaches do to their quarterbacks all the time.
All the time.
All the time.
They say, hey, you know, spider two wide banana.
Hey, but here, hey, don't throw this.
It's like, okay, well, now Sam's thinking about turning it over, whether he does or not.
he's going to turn it over.
That's just how Sam's kind of been in his career.
That's how he can see ghosts.
And Mike McDonald, he doesn't do that.
You know, when I asked him about the seven route he threw to Cooper Cup
in overtime against the Rams in Week 16, he was like, that play.
It's like, that's why I don't tell him just don't turn it over.
Because then he won't make plays like that.
That's opposite field with Jared Verst in his face.
That's a big boy throw.
So I think Mike McDonald finding the way to communicate to his guy at the most important
position has been huge.
And I've asked Sam about that.
And he's like, yeah, that matters to me.
And Kubiak does the same thing.
I gave you the play call.
Maybe I gave you a tidbit, but it's not, hey, hey, don't turn it over here.
No, just go be you.
So that's the first thing on offense.
The second thing is after they beat the Arizona Cardinals in week 14 of 2024 season,
in Mike McDonald's post-game speech, he said,
you guys did great.
I freaking scoot up the first drive, yada, yada, yada.
I was like, that stood out.
What do you mean?
You guys just won the game.
Why are you admitting that you did something wrong?
I went and talked to the guys.
That's who Mike is, though.
He is a defensive mastermind, but he'll also acknowledge,
hey, that calls sucked.
You didn't make that play, but that call put you in a bad spot.
He had a play like that last year against the Vikings.
He had Trey Brown one-on-one to the boundary against Justin Jefferson.
Justin Jefferson made the play because that's what Justin Jefferson does.
I shouldn't have put Trey Brown in that spot.
And I think that's a part of his secret sauce too is the humility and the accountability.
I have answers, but not all of them.
And guys really appreciate that because while they're 90% of the time,
the player didn't do his job.
Well, Mike acknowledges that other 10%, and that makes guys want to run through a wall for him.
Yeah, again, it's with these guys where they come in
and they're a very specific archetype.
And I think that more teams will seek this out.
I think Jesse Minter is the head coach of the Ravens in part because of why McDonald has done.
And I think that will continue to happen.
But this has happened with the offensive guys where you just think, well, I just want the hot shot play caller.
And it's a layered job that requires a lot of different strengths and a lot of different qualities for guys to be successful at it.
And so that's why I was curious.
Like, as you're watching it every day, what are some of the maybe misunderstood or underrepresented aspects of who he is as a coach that have driven them to this place?
and I think both of those are very good examples.
As we're looking at this game specifically,
this feels to me like the best team in the league.
It's been the best team in the league.
They're four and a half point favorites.
They have the best offense.
They have the best defense in football.
The offense has been so much better
and so much more explosive than we could have hoped.
It's top to bottom when you can bring it with the special team
is the best team in football.
What am I not worried about enough?
Like if you're in that building this week
and you're thinking about how this can go wrong,
what would be keeping you up at night?
It would just be the ability
to execute in the Red Zone
because I'm sure as you've talked about on the show,
the Patriots have been nails on defense
just the entire playoffs. They're just unreal.
They've allowed fewer Red Zone trips than any team in the league,
but they've been one of the worst Red Zone defenses in the league.
And then the playoffs, they've turned up.
They've turned up on third down.
Their third down defense and the playoffs is ridiculous.
Like the Patriots look like an entirely different unit.
And they're on third down what I've been watching
when I grinding some film the other day.
This is not, like, the Patriots are not a team I studied most of the time.
So I turned on the tape thinking I would see like,
I, 2019, J.C. Jackson and Gilly just running man all day.
It was not that.
It was mugged up looks, a bunch of games and stunts up front with Milton and Barrymore.
It was Carlton on this side one day.
And then Christian Gonzalez maybe shadowing a guy here.
It was just all this different stuff.
They were confusing guys.
And when Sam has had those times where he's had mistakes, it's because he got fooled a lot of the time.
He thinks they're in robber.
Nope, that's covered too, buddy.
You just got picked off.
That's happened to him.
And that's what the Patriots have been doing.
Like, C.J. Stroud and Justin Herbert were awful.
in their playoff games.
Part of that is because the Patriots defense was very good.
And while the Seahawks' offense has been great,
I think they've scored 72 points to Seahawks having two playoff games.
They're outstanding.
But this Patriot defense has been very good at mixing it up,
showing you one thing, dropping into another thing,
taking advantage of the aggressiveness of their cornerbacks
and Marcus and Carlton and Christian.
And so while I think the Seahawks should win this game,
their offense is very good,
that's an opportunistic defense back there
before we even get to the guys like up front making it happen
or if Spillane plays in this game, the place he's been able to make this year.
So, well, you're right, this is the best team in football,
but that's a damn good defense over that New England has.
Kubiak, going to the Raiders, he's somebody that, again,
coming into the season, he had those couple really good games with the Saints last year,
and then they kind of, the injuries just completely take over that team.
The season gets kind of lost.
You know, it was a first-time play caller with the Vikings.
Staff gets fired immediately after that happens.
Personality-wise, he's like, it's not the highest-energy guy.
Right? Like that's just not who he is. And so I'm just curious when you combine what he's been as a play caller with the interactions you've had with him, the conversations you guys have had with him. What do you make of him as a head coaching candidate and what do you think the Raiders are getting?
Yeah. So Mike McDonald was asked about Clint Kubiak because you're right. He's about as exciting as, you know, can of paint, right? But Mike McDonald was asked, is he like that just with us?
Yeah. Or is he like that all the time? And Mike McDonald said, no, he's liked that all the time. But that's a good thing about Clint. Is that he's not just Bill Belichick or Greg Popovich with Demi.
and then turns into Stone Cold Steve Austin when he's in the meeting room.
No, he's him all the time, and guys appreciate that.
I had one player last week.
I was like, hey, you think Clint will be a good coach?
He got all mad.
He's like, yeah, he's going to be a great coach.
Like, this sucks.
We're going to lose a guy we think is a great mind.
And it wasn't because he does this raw, raw stuff.
Like you mentioned, I could repeat.
Pete would legitimately run through a whiteboard on Saturday nights before Sunday games.
Clint's not doing none of that.
But this player who also played for Pete, he was like, it's different.
Clint's a silent killer.
I'll run through a wall for him, too.
He just goes about it differently,
and I think that's something that the whole league can learn,
that it's not just, are you Dan Campbell, right?
Like, you can win other ways,
you can motivate guys other ways,
you can be a silent killer.
Mike McDonald sucks at speeches,
but guys will run through a wall for this dude
on offense, defense, and special teams.
I think Clint kind of has some of that same sauce to him,
and he'll also have the benefit of,
this is important, I think, too.
Mike McDonnell knew to hire Leslie Frazier.
Like, hey, I'm a first-time head coach.
Leslie, come coach me on how to be a coach,
basically. I don't know if Clint will do that, but he also has his dad.
Like, Gary is very involved. They talk all the time. Like, wherever, when he goes to Vegas,
I'm sure Gary will be a resource for him. And I think that'll help quite a bit on handling
maybe the other stuff Clint doesn't naturally have, like, that makes him a killer, but his dad
will be right there to help him. I love that you bring up McDonald in that way, because I don't,
I think some people wouldn't really understand that, like, he isn't a natural at some of,
like, the forward-facing stuff. Like, it is something that he's had to kind of come to.
But I also think we're at a point in the league, and I think we're going to see this more and
more. Kyle Van Nuys said this. Think on the McAfee show a couple weeks ago. And he was talking about
this idea that the younger guys really like exes and O's coaches because they can communicate to
them very clearly and transparently. It's like, this is why we're doing this. I'm setting you up
to succeed. And when they see that success, they buy into it very quickly. And so these guys
who are more X's and O's oriented that maybe aren't as natural in the front of the room, they're not
the biggest personalities. If you can communicate to a guy, hey, I'm going to ask you to do this.
you're going to be good at doing this,
we're going to be successful,
and you're going to make more money
at the end of the day because you're doing this,
guys respond to that.
And so I do think that we might be kind of moving toward this world
where these coaches who don't necessarily have the personalities
we would describe to a head coach,
this leader of men type thing,
actually have a decent amount of success
because they can convince guys,
I promise you,
you're going to be a better player because I'm putting you in these positions.
Yeah, and I think sports movies have just over-romanticized
like the value of speeches.
Look at what happened in the AMC championship game, right?
Mike McDonald awkwardly said, we did not care, right?
And his guys loved that.
When they flew here yesterday, they were wearing shirts that said,
we did not care, right?
That was an awful speech.
I didn't rile anybody up.
Didn't rile me up.
But it riled the guys up because the speeches are one thing.
Help me own the C-Gat, right?
Help me get open on this post.
I don't really care whether you, you know,
this win one for the Gipper speeches.
Guys want to be good.
Yes.
Guys want to be good, guys want to be coached.
And I think this staff in Seattle,
again, is not made up of the types of coaches that you're going to see in a sports movie,
but there's a reason that they've been so good,
and there's a reason they feel so dominant in this moment.
Yeah, absolutely.
As much as I love, all the speeches that Denzel gave her, remember the Titans,
and everything that Matthew McConaughey said and we are Marshall,
that is not real life.
A real life is, help me be great at football, coach,
and I'll run through a wall for you.
However you just bring that out of me, it'll work.
Yeah, the fact that you have, like, these kind of weird nerds as the Seahawks coaches,
and they're, arguably the most physically dominant, like, attitude-filled team
in the league. You can have both. And I think too often, we think it has to be one or the other.
Yeah, you don't got to be the meathead coach. I love Dan Campbell, but like the whole, you know,
biting kneecaps thing. You can have that. But Mike McDonald will also get you to bite some
kneecaps on the field. He'll just tell you, hey, right here, they're going to run duo here,
beat the guard, and you can do whatever the hell you want. And then that's how Leo Williams is all
pro. Michael Sean, always great to see you, my friend. If you are not reading all of Michael
Sean stuff and listening to the Seahawks Man and Man Podcast, especially if you're a Seahawks fan,
and it is time to get on that.
Excited to be here all week with you,
and we'll talk again very soon.
Oh, man, always love when you have me on.
Thank you.
All right, that's all we got for today.
Thank you to Chad.
Thank you to Michael Sean Dugar.
We're going to be back with shows
every single day from Radio Row.
A lot of me, Dave, and Derek,
a little bit later in the week.
Derek is going to pay off the Winspool bet,
which I'm very much looking forward to.
We're going to have some player interviews
over the course of this week,
and we're going to roll them out over several weeks.
We're doing some play breakdowns,
plenty of stuff coming to you from radio.
row. Be sure to check out the Athletic Football
Show YouTube channel all week. And
for the first time, we now have
T-A-F-S merch available
to you. The merch store link is
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Got T-shirts, hoodies, plenty of
stuff for you guys to check out. Encourage you
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