The Athletic Hockey Show - Chaos at U18 Men’s Worlds

Episode Date: May 1, 2026

With the NHL Draft Lottery set for next Tuesday night, the guys talk about some of the most interesting scenarios that could play out when the ping pong balls are revealed. Before that, they break dow...n a chaotic start to U18 worlds in Slovakia with early exits for Canada, Finland, and the US, and discuss some of the standout prospects at the tournament.Hosts: Max Bultman, Corey Pronman, and Scott WheelerWith: FloHockey’s Chris PetersExecutive Producer: Chris FlanneryProducer: Chris FlanneryWatch full episodes on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@theathletichockeyshowJoin our Discord Server: https://discord.gg/VTm9VjkFSubscribe to The Athletic: https://theathletic.com/hockeyshow Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

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Starting point is 00:00:00 This is the Athletic Hockey Show Prospect Series. Hey, everybody, Max Boltman here alongside the athletic, Scott Wheeler and Corey Promin and Flow Hockies, Chris Peters, for another episode of the Athletic Hockey Show Prospect Series. The World U-18 Championships are more than underway. They're nearing their conclusion, and they have been a week of chaos guys. Scott and Corey are on the ground in Bratislava, and they have witnessed the heavyweights go down. Canada, out, USA, out, both before the semi-semit. Finland out before the semis. Corey, how do you kind of sum up what has happened over the last week in
Starting point is 00:00:55 Bratislava and Trenchin? It's been a very unique world's tournament. We definitely knew that this wasn't the strongest NDP team. I mean, I think they were dead last in the USHL and the Eastern Conference this season. Canada had some intriguing players on their team, but it's also, we knew it wasn't, you know, this incredible team Canada full of high-end talent. You still thought like that Canadian team could at least go to the medal round, never mind contend for a gold medal.
Starting point is 00:01:27 There was never really one team throughout the course of the tournament that really took over and showed consistent dominance. Everyone had like a bad game or in the preliminary round or a so-so game. I mean, US had a tremendous effort against Sweden. They beat them, I think, 91 in the preliminary round, and then they struggled to beat Denmark. And then the Swedish team obviously said that I really, poor loss against the U.S.
Starting point is 00:01:54 Finnish team just got destroyed by Canada in their preliminary round game. And even though Slovakia won their groove, they never did it with this dazzle of high-end skill that made you think they've got a ton of premier NHL prospects. So, you know, was it the most enthralled in tournament to watch it, be perfectly honest, still played NHL talent. Generous. Probably what's been a theme now from the U18s for the last few years is, More interest in the underage talent than there is in the current draft year talent.
Starting point is 00:02:25 This has become more of an underage tournament, to be perfectly honest, the last couple of years. But there was still some players of note. I think the two guys that generated the most interest was Wyatt Cullen. We're recording this on the off day between the quarterfinals and the semifinals, and he's still second in scoring. Actually, I think seven of the top 11 scores right now in the tournament are on eliminated teams. Make of that as you will. But Colin had a really inspiring tournament for the U.S.
Starting point is 00:02:55 And Maltai Gossus in on Sweden has been probably the best defenseman here. And after kind of an up and down year in Sweden, I think he's inserted himself firmly in the lottery range of the draft if he wasn't already there in the eyes of some. He had a very big tournament for Sweden, playing big minutes, all situations, 6'4 mobile defensemen. there's a lot to like there. Ironically enough, the Swedes, who are now the presumptive tournament tournament favorites,
Starting point is 00:03:27 played the single worst game that any of the teams have played at this tournament in their 9-1 loss to USA. Like, they were pathetic. They had no identity. They were soft. They were irresponsible. They were their top players were selfish. And now the Swedes might have a chance here to win a gold medal at this tournament.
Starting point is 00:03:46 So, yeah, it's been, it's been. tough. It's been fun from upsets are fun. Like from an entertainment standpoint, if you're a fan showing up to these games, the upsets, that side of it is fun. Slovakia on home ice in front of some of the best crowds I've ever seen at U18
Starting point is 00:04:03 Worlds playing their way regardless of where they finish now, they'll be playing for a medal. The Latvians going to their first semifinal ever in the history of this tournament. All of these things are fun. And yet from a talent standpoint, and we've I think we had a similar conversation last
Starting point is 00:04:20 year. This is the worst U-18s we remember from a talent standpoint. This is bar none the worst U-18s I've covered from a talent standpoint. And I will say it didn't necessarily have to be here, be this way. J.P. Hurlbert could be here for Team USA. Oscar Hemming could be here for the Finns. And Vigo Bjork could be here for the Swedes. And all three of those decisions were made in some way by that federation and not by those players. And so I actually, I hold the, this, weeds the Finns and the Americans responsible for the lack of talent here. Carl's could have
Starting point is 00:04:55 been there for Canada too. Yeah, I think Carls was a little a little nicked up whereas those other guys were healthy, but... Different situation than those other ones you mentioned. But I just mean like there were players eligible. You mean, Kleplov shows to not come
Starting point is 00:05:12 as well. There's just plenty of players that were left at home with basically just continuing your point. The two best Latvians in the 08 age group aren't here and they're still in in the semi-finals here yeah yeah and i yeah and i you know i'm i'm looking at these gentlemen in their in their broadislava hotel rooms and and feeling very validated in my decision to not go this year and it was my decision so you know it was like it wasn't like somebody said no you can't go to slovakia i was like i don't know if it's worth going um and it was it is the u 18s as a whole is worth going to um
Starting point is 00:05:49 There's a lot of things. There's a lot of reasons that I didn't go this year, but that, you know, it wasn't because of the tournament field. You know, I think there is value in it and seeing all the players under the same roof in the same setting and different things like that. But when you have upsets or blowouts, that was basically two settings of this tournament, I'm not exactly sure what I would have gained from that, that I couldn't gain from here watching on video.
Starting point is 00:06:14 And so the other thing about that is, and this isn't just to, you know, to gloat about being in the comfort of my own home office. You know, looking at this tournament as a whole and the questions that are going to have to be asked, there are a lot of very complicated questions that have to be asked as we look at this tournament going forward, mainly being we are on a trend line in this tournament, as Corey mentioned with the younger players standing out, where the talent that is either not available or countries are choosing not to make available is one thing. Obviously, there's also the element of Russia not being part of the tournament, which significantly decreases the competitiveness of the tournament.
Starting point is 00:06:51 You know, the fact that we had, you know, Latvia going on a run that they did, even without some of their best players available. And then also, you know, some of these other results, you know, this still was a tournament that included Norway, Germany, Denmark, you know, and at the time, you would usually lump Latvia in there, but here they are in the semifinals. And, you know, that is a significant. significant downturn, and now we're losing Germany again, like they get relegated by Norway. So Switzerland and Germany, two countries that have really been on the rise in terms of like the amount of NHL players they're putting through and players that have been high level, they're not in a great, they're not in a great spot either as they continue to get relegated.
Starting point is 00:07:37 And Switzerland will be coming back up. Germany's going down for a year. They'll probably be back up in a year. But, you know, it's really the tournament as a whole. And I've been covered. this tournament or involved in this tournament since 2008 essentially. This is, it's in a steep decline and this is a problem both for the double IHF and also the NHL, which has taken a much more significant role in this tournament in terms of its placement and other things. So you're starting to wonder if that's going to be worth the investment given the fact that the tournament has been in decline.
Starting point is 00:08:14 We spent a lot of this year to discusses in the new world. order with all the changes in college hockey and major junior. One thing that's going to affect this tournament is the fact that, you know, the tournament was actually pushed back to allow two full rounds of the CHL if we play to make more players eligible for this tournament. But because of the changes to when players could play, now that all the major junior players can play college hockey is these CHL teams are on notice that a lot of their best 17, 18 year rules are going to leave early.
Starting point is 00:08:44 I mean, that's a whole, you know, other issues. issue there that's being litigated constantly in the world of junior hockey. But because of that fact, you're going to see a lot of these premier teams load up on those high-end 17-year-olds. There's like things that need to be worked out in terms of who gets compensated for the play when they get drafted by the NHL, etc. But that is a, that's a complicating factor is I think there's always was an expectation that Canada in particular was used to getting, you know, 90% of their best players
Starting point is 00:09:13 in the age group. Yeah, there'd be a couple of them on the contending teams they wouldn't get. But for the most part, the best young players were high draft picks. They were drafted by rebuilding CHL teams. They were not usually contenders by their second year of junior hockey. So they got almost all of them. That's not really the case right now. And it could be an issue going forward in terms of getting the very best players for other countries in age groups,
Starting point is 00:09:36 whether it be imports or Canadians. You look around the CHL playoffs, too. It's already happening. Like the medicine hat Tigers, Pickford's been unbelievable. And so is Jonas Wu. But the Medicine Hat Tigers are built around Schaefer Gordon-Carrill, Noah Davidson, the Ruck twins, players who are all eligible to play this tournament. And in Schaefer Gordon-C Carroll and Noah Davidson standpoint, because their late-birth years will now never play in this tournament because they will be too old next year. So Daxon Rudolph, Caleb Malholtra, all playing bigger roles than they typically would. Rudolph probably would have played a huge role regardless. But Malholtra certainly, I think, playing a bigger role than you typically. see a player like him play in the CHL playoffs because this is his year and they know that they're losing him
Starting point is 00:10:22 at BU next year and they had to make the most of him this season and build their team differently and all of those things were a part of the equation as as Brantford was sort of chasing a title and I think Corey's point is very well made that way where increasingly the teams that are still, even though
Starting point is 00:10:38 they've adjusted the schedule, the teams that are still around in the playoffs are going to be relying on these kids. Well if that's one like emerging trend Chris like another is for the United States in particular. You talked about your first one being in 2008. That was in the heyday of the U.S. dominance of this tournament from 05 to 17. The U.S. won it nine times in 13 years. And obviously, like the NTDP and the familiarity these players had with each other was a huge reason for that. Well, the NTDP still exists, but all of a sudden the U.S. has won it one time
Starting point is 00:11:11 since 2017. What do you make of it? I mean, they've had some silvers in there. So it's not like they're absent from the gold game. They're no show in all these tournaments. But certainly the last couple years, it, you know, the age groups have not been as strong. And you wonder, especially as we talk about kind of the realignment of pre-college hockey, you have to wonder, like, is the U.S.'s glory run? Like, has it kind of inevitably plateaued and now dropped off? Yeah, it's, it's very interesting that this has coincided with, obviously, we've seen better competitive results at the world juniors over the last few years. I think you have to understand that the countries are getting better.
Starting point is 00:11:52 Sweden is now a regular threat. But there's something deeply troubling or should be deeply troubling about the U.S. losing to Latvia in the quarterfinal and not just losing. Losing, you know, there were a couple empty netters in there, but, you know, losing five to two to Latvia in an elimination game. And that's going to cause a lot of solstice. And I think, you know, you look at there is going to be this new landscape that you're competing with. This is a bad time to not be winning gold medals because now the signal is to others, hey, maybe some of these options might be better for you.
Starting point is 00:12:32 And while, you know, I've worked at the national team program, I think that their ability and their track record is really second to none because of all of, you know, all of the emphasis that is put on development. there isn't as much pressure to win except at this very tournament. This is the one they're supposed to win. This is the one that they build two years towards. And now they're not going to meddle this year, only the second time since I believe 2021, that they did not meddle in this tournament. So that is a big problem for USA hockey.
Starting point is 00:13:06 It's a big problem for the NTDP as they go forward here. Because now you've got to kind of reassessing. I think a little bit of everything in terms of how teams are being built, how the different things are, you know, what players are you losing and why? What players are you missing on and why? You know, there's a lot of different things. You know, goaltending has been a significant issue over the last few years. You've got, you know, the Trey Augustines and like it used to be every year they would have, you know, an elite goaltender in there. And now you're struggling to find who those players are going to be. So, It's a big problem. It's something that they're going to have to address significantly because now those results are going to show up at the NHL draft. They're going to show up at the World Juniors. I mean, next year's World Juniors team. I mean, I think getting to the semi-final would be a miracle at this point.
Starting point is 00:14:02 A miracle is harsh. Well, not a miracle, but like it would be close. It would be a big surprise if they end up meddling at next year's World Juniors, especially with it being in Canada. And so you're starting to see the, you know, the different things that you're like, wow, what is what is going on here? Now, there are going to be differences in, you know, like Chase Reed was kind of a developmental anomaly.
Starting point is 00:14:28 A lot of people didn't realize what he's going to be even got cut from his USHL team played in the North American League. Now we're talking about him as a potential number two pick in this draft, you know, different things that were, you know, those things happen and you don't find those players. But, you know, you start. wondering about, you know, why are the J.P. Hurlberts leaving? Why are guys going to leave? And I think there could be some significant departures even from this U-17 team from this year because of the way things are kind of going. So I think there's a lot of soul-searching that's
Starting point is 00:14:57 going to have to be done in order to, you know, get on top of whatever this is that is causing a significant downturn in their competitiveness at these events. He saw two first round picks from last year, Strat Cullen Potter and Will Horcough leave the program prematurely too. I don't know if there's Yeah, there's a couple coming in the next couple of weeks
Starting point is 00:15:18 here from the U-17s. Yeah. I don't think you could doubt the program and what they can do because, you know, the U.S. just won gold at the Olympics. Right. 60%, 70% of that roster are NTP products.
Starting point is 00:15:32 Obviously there's a lot of value to being an NTP player. But I've always struggled with the NTDP and like I've always, it's something I've always something that's asked when they're players is, what do you think you play for 90% of the season? And I never really get a convincing answer
Starting point is 00:15:47 other than just developing myself and trying to get better and trying to get better and trying to compete but not really competing for anything. I think the U-17 season there's a little bit more to it because there's U-17 challenge right at the start of the year.
Starting point is 00:16:01 And the U-17 team does play in the U-SHL playoffs. They never really have any success there but they actually are competing in it. They are competing in junior hockey, high-level junior hockey, and they can play in the playoffs. The U18 team doesn't really do that. They play friendlies against colleges.
Starting point is 00:16:16 They play USHL games that don't really matter for them because they don't participate in the postseason. They have the international tournaments in November and February, but it's really like a very strange environment where you're basically playing all season towards this two weeks in April. And I can see the appeal. NDP has generated a ton of great NHL players, but so has Major Junior.
Starting point is 00:16:38 Like Major Junior obviously has a very long history of generating great NHL players too. So it's always been one that I struggle with. Like if you can go, if you're going to Major Junior and basically compete all year in games that matter, I definitely can see the appeal from that. If you're a U.S. player, obviously those are two very different choices. And there's a much different vibe from, you know, riding the bus of Major Junior and doing that 68 game grind versus the resources that the NTP provides you
Starting point is 00:17:09 and the unique schedule and opportunities that provide. you as well. The construct of it, the construct of the NTP works against them in some ways, too, like in and of itself. Like, it's easy to say J.P. Hurlberg should have been here. It's harder for them when these kids have been two years together. And they have, like, I have sympathy for them. These kids have been together for two years. They, at the 40 or 55 or for at this, for this year's age group, it was a 47 man camp. At that 47 man camp, they're told that the U18 worlds is the carrot at the end of the stick. And that if you commit to us, we're going to commit to you and we're going to go win a gold medal together.
Starting point is 00:17:46 So telling those kids increasingly, and they might have to make increasingly those decisions to say, like this year it was Brooks Ruggowski and Levi Harper, but some years it might need to be five, six, seven of those kids moving forward who come in at you at the U18 worlds and join the team. And that is, these are still, it's easy to sort of shoot our shots from the perimeter. And I know people online do love to do that. But there's a lot more from a human standpoint to it. And yet they also need gold medals in order to continue to recruit these kids and continue to keep them.
Starting point is 00:18:18 And that part of it is going to get tricky here. Like some of the best, some of the best talents of recent age groups have been Riker Lee and Trevor Connolly and Matthew Nyes and players. And I'm sure there's politics to it. But a lot of it is that some of these kids, some of these depth players, your third pairing defensemen, your fourth line center on these teams have been with you for two years. and it's not as simple as telling them, sorry, this thing that we promised you at the start of this program is no longer available to you as an option ahead of the draft. I think Chris would know better than me.
Starting point is 00:18:51 My understanding is when it comes to those decisions. It has to be kind of black and white that they need to do this. Like the player available has to be legit, and the player they're cutting has to have, like, really fallen off. If it's close, I think the coach is going to be really hard-pressed to cut the guy that he's been working with for two years. Yeah. And they used Raghowski as a fourth line center and Harper as a seventh defenseman in this event, right? Yeah. And that's, and that's typically, that's typically how it goes.
Starting point is 00:19:21 Or there's injuries. Yeah. I mean, and it's, it's tough. And I've been, you know, I've been around, obviously, and I've seen those moments where you have to take guys of the first year I was there. They really had to significantly augment the roster with both outside players and younger players in order to have a competitive team for a gold medal. I think it was upwards of six or seven players that they had to say that to. And really, yeah, you're right. I mean, in a Hurlbert's case, like, you know, it wasn't a shock to me that he wasn't there. And it wasn't, you know, I mean, that was predestined. It was actually, honestly, even though they went to college programs, it was a little surprising to me that they had Cullen Potter and Will Horcough back last year.
Starting point is 00:20:03 I think they really were, if they hadn't gone to college, they wouldn't have been. But I think they were like, well, this is part of our plan is getting guys ready for college. So what does it say if we don't let those guys come back? So, you know, and they did that for Werenski and, and, and, and others. So, you know, like that it's a really interesting dynamic that they have to, to battle with when it comes to this tournament, because as Scott mentioned, you've got that to your commitment. But on top of it, that's the message you're sending to everybody that's coming through next. It's like, hey, you know, if, if you go, we'll just let you come back. And, and that's, That's where I think we're going to see a real, like that's part of the landscape that we're existing in now.
Starting point is 00:20:46 There is going to be some type of attempt to clamp down on this player movement. The NTP has had that agreement for years and years where, you know, you basically, you're committing to two years. If you leave early, there is some sort of penalty for that. So that's something that you have to kind of deal with. So it's a very interesting, a very interesting dynamic, but it's one that they're going to have to navigate. here pretty significantly as the landscape shifts because players are now going to have more choices. All right. Let's take a quick break right there. We're going to come back. We're going to talk about some of the top prospects in this year's draft who helped themselves at this tournament and maybe some
Starting point is 00:21:24 who didn't. All right, we're back. And Corey talked in segment one about a couple of the standouts of this tournament. That's where I want to go here. I want to talk about some of the key NHL draft eligibles. And maybe we can talk about some next year guys too. But the two Corey mentioned, I think we kind of covered Maltigustivson there. But Scott, you had a great story on Wyatt Cullen this week. And he's kind of become a name that maybe we haven't talked enough about in this class yet, but it's going to be very relevant come draft day. Well, people are certainly talking about him now.
Starting point is 00:21:54 And really, they've been talking about him since the CHL USA Prospects challenge, I think, in November. Like, he was a standout there. He actually re-agravated a hip injury that he was dealing with there. But through whatever, he played four and a half periods at that, He was one of the best players on the ice. And it's just a fascinating story because here's this kid who, when he showed up to that 47-man camp, was five-foot, they weighed him in and listed him at five-foot-five and 120 pounds.
Starting point is 00:22:23 And I remember we were all in Sarnia. You guys started in Sarnia last year, and then I came in for the medal round in Sarnia last year. But I remember watching him the medal round. And everybody at that point in the tournament was excited about Luke Scher and Casey Mutron. And I remember watching this little, I think at that point, he's 5, 7, 58, but this little kid sort of zip around the ice and thinking, this kid's unbelievable. And he's shifty and he's dynamic and his head is always up. And he's twisting and turning and making plays.
Starting point is 00:22:50 And if only he were bigger and then he grows. And now he's 6'1. He's 176 pounds. The hip injury and he actually tore the hip flexor right off of the bone was literally a byproduct of growing, like of actual growing pains turning into. At those CHL-GP games, he was at first. five 11s. You're talking about a guy who's grown two inches, three inches maybe during the course of the season, essentially. And this week, and really down the stretch for the team,
Starting point is 00:23:18 like just far in a way, their best most talented player. For a lot of this season, the talk about this team was the best pro prospect is Sammy Nelson, or the best pro prospect might be Carter Meyer. No, the best, I think the best pro prospect at this point looks like Wyatt Cullen. He's days away from being eligible for the 2027 draft. He's still a pretty, wean kid. He's going to fill out. And on the puck in terms of the skating, the head up, the vision, the playmaking, the ability to go one-on-one. He does go, he goes one-on-one too much. Too much. That's the criticism for sure. But the skill level and the playmaking and the
Starting point is 00:23:56 deception, like, there's an electric like pull you out of your seat factor with the player. And I, like, I've got my little bit of a spoiler, but I've got a new wist coming out after you 18s and I've debated him anywhere from sort of 11 to 13 and I think he's nibbling around the top 10 for a lot of teams now and an exciting player to watch and a big boost for we were talking about next year's world junior team like now all of a sudden I think he features prominently on next year's world junior team for a team USA and gives them an injection of skill that they needed and that the conversation around him has just changed really quickly here he looks he looks legit And there's still a lot that has to come
Starting point is 00:24:37 The off puck and all that still has to come But Yeah, he has to be one of the most interesting players In this year's draft because the talent is undeniable Like when you watch him The skill just jumps out at you Like he's so shifty, so creative A good skater, a lot of pace in his game
Starting point is 00:24:54 Then you look at his How did his season go? I mean, he's so dynamic He must have lit it up this year You know, 12 goals, 34 points and 34 games with the program this year across all levels. And he had a good U-18 tournament up until the point they got eliminated by Latvia, which I think is, you know, it kind of, and you watched the game there,
Starting point is 00:25:13 and he had the Pocatan, and he had plenty of chances involved in plenty of chances. That's kind of been the story of his season. The aesthetics look really, really nice. It looks like a top, you know, looks like an all-day lottery pick with his talent. The production didn't come. I think the people who would be in his corner would say, yes, but this is the growing and this is a guy who's a September birth and there's a lot of developments still to come here and that team wasn't very good.
Starting point is 00:25:38 It isn't very good. But, you know, so there's good arguments on both sides and where he should fit. Is he a teens guy? Is he late teens close to to 20? As he closer to 10? I think those are, it's a, he's going to be, I think, one of the more, not divisive because he's a great player, but, you know, there's good arguments on where to fit him on a list right now. How about some of the other players in this class, though?
Starting point is 00:26:02 Because, like, Colin is a nice riser, but there are names that were at this tournament that I think we hoped to hear a lot about. I certainly would hope to come out of this tournament hearing about a Tyne and Lawrence bounce back after things didn't go that great at BU. What was your read on his event, Corey? It started off good enough.
Starting point is 00:26:20 I mean, he was their first flight center. You saw, like, he was involved in scoring chances. His skating stands out at this level. He's very fast, very competitive, a lot of energy. and, you know, in that game they lost to Sweden, probably had one of the nicest plays by a Canadian all-termine when he set up a cross-screen on the back door. With Lawrence, though, I think what we've seen kind of all season,
Starting point is 00:26:44 starting at the Hulinka, going into his, you know, into his season between the USHL and college, is that he kind of struggles to make the high-end plays. Like, he can make the basic plays. When he's going north-south, he's really effective. there is offense in his game. He has a good stick. But like at the Holinka,
Starting point is 00:27:04 at Muskegan, at BU, and here, every coach has him run the flank on the power play. And he just simply can't do it. Like he cannot do it at a high level. That passed across grade might have been one of the first like scene plays. I've seen him make all year on the back door. Like that's just not what his game is.
Starting point is 00:27:23 In the NHL, he's a power play guy. He's going to be a bumper or a net front guy. And I think there's, I think he's talented. Obviously, you know, this guy had been really high on all year. But, you know, you would, I always try to say, I don't, you know, I'm not married to any positions, get to adjust.
Starting point is 00:27:38 And I have some severe questions on his hockey sense. I just don't know if he sees it at a high level to be a top six four to the next level. And I think, you know, he has seated the center debate to Caleb Malhotra, who's just been on fire in the OHL right now. He might even be the second center picked, quite frankly. And that might be Vigo Bjork. Yeah. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:27:56 Yeah, I was thinking that same thing, Corey. like it's it's been a it's been a wild year to see just kind of the the tumble and it really it's not all on tinen. I think you look at the way that Caleb Malhotra played over the course of the season and now what he's done in the postseason, it's just, you know, super impressive and in Vigo Bjork doing what he did against men. You know, it's, it's really like, you know, if Oliver Svanto had more points, I think we'd be talking about him ahead of Tynna. Oliver. It's not, yeah, he had a tough. I also haven't played well in three months. There's another guy that had a tough go. Yeah. Yeah. So like, you know, like he, yeah, he had a tough go this last round. But like going into the tournament, you're like, oh, well, that's an option at the top of the center list. But yeah, I mean, I have some of those same concerns that you do, Corey, in terms of the hockey sense, in terms of the, okay, what, you know, I can see what you can do. And I go back to last year at the, you know, the USHL playoffs. And he was a top player. I mean, the puck was around him a lot. He was getting to. the interior. He was doing so many things that, you know, made his team better. And, you know,
Starting point is 00:29:02 was the postseason MVP at a young age. But, you know, the more I've watched, I just, I wonder, you know, and unfortunately, I have this feeling about a lot of players in this class. I keep watching and I was like, if this was another draft year, where does this guy go? And it's always lower than where they're probably going to go this year. And he still is, that's the thing. Like, he still is around the puck a lot. Yes. But it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, it's, things. It's go get it, which he does so well. Like he always goes and gets it. He wins battles. He wins foot races. He's a dog. We all like the work ethic and the motor. But it's go get it. And then it's force it to the middle of the ice. Like he and there's that that's admirable too. Like he doesn't
Starting point is 00:29:42 want to be on the perimeter. He wants to, but it means that there's a lot of tunnel vision and it's skating a lot of pucks into traffic. Yeah. And it's just like trying so hard to make things happen. I think at the expense of sort of the IQ piece that Corey was hinting at and the playmaking piece that Corey was hinting at. Yeah, to Chris's point, like he was so good as an underrated. There's the reason why he was so highly rated on a lot of boards. Not because nobody,
Starting point is 00:30:05 he didn't play well, nobody didn't even watch him last year. He changed magically as a player or something like that. It's, you know, he was that good as a 16-year-old in the USHL. August 16-year-old, too. Yeah, like you look at what, you know, for a guy to dominate in the USHL is below at the WHO-O-HL,
Starting point is 00:30:21 but like just like, you look at any, like USHL major junior for a guy I'd be the best player in the playoff as a draft minus one or mine as a young 16 year old it's like almost unheard of like that never happens like that was such an impressive stretch from him so and then just as time goes on
Starting point is 00:30:37 you get new information it hasn't been a lot of good information you have to adjust I would argue the best center here wasn't it wasn't him and it wasn't um Savanto I would argue was Alexander Command on Sweden.
Starting point is 00:30:53 And despite the fact that his two linemates, Marcus Nordmark and Elton, Hermanson, they're really highly skilled. Hermanson's among the leading scores in the tournament right now. A little bit on an adtricks there, six points against Denmark.
Starting point is 00:31:05 He didn't show up in a lot of the other games. But that's besides the point, I really like command. I think he's for sure going in the first round. Yes. He's a 6-1 centerman who can skate. He has shown some offense. It's not high-in offense.
Starting point is 00:31:18 He's nowhere skilled as those two wingers. but he has a heaviness in his game too. And his offense is a little bit more simple. Like he's not a, he doesn't, he's not the guy. He knows he's not supposed to be the guy who makes the plays. But there's enough to his game where I can see a path where he could become like a third line center in the NHL. How about Ryan Lynn, Scott? I know that's a guy you've been high on.
Starting point is 00:31:39 He's here at this tournament obviously as well or was at this tournament as well. Would you make it his play? I thought Lynn had a positive tournament. I don't know that if you've watched Ryan Lynn for the last two years that he's, He changed your view of who Ryan Lim is with this tournament. I thought he was just okay. Not just okay. I actually thought he played well in the opener,
Starting point is 00:31:59 but he was a little quiet in the opener. Like I wanted to see Ryan come out and just take over this tournament and have that kind of a moment. And he did have those moments over the course of the tournament. In Finland, against Finland, in Canada's group play finale, he was far and away the best player on the ice for either team. Like he was the best player in that game. He took over that game.
Starting point is 00:32:19 he won Canada that game. He played a ton throughout the tournament. I think he had a positive tournament. He was named one of Canada's three players of the tournament. He was the only defenseman that was named one of Canada's three players of the tournament. Him and Keaton Verhoff were basically one of the two of them was on the ice at all times for Canada. He was physical. He delivered a couple of big checks.
Starting point is 00:32:39 I saw the Ryan Lynn that I think we've seen all year. And that's how I felt at this point, and maybe that's just because we watched these kids all year and we know them by this point. but I felt that way about a lot of the top guys. Like I think Corey mentioned Nordmark and Hermanson. Nordmark and Hermanson kind of were what they've been all year. Nordmark was bad body language, selfish, and then made some plays. And Hermanson came and went in games. And Lynn was Lynn.
Starting point is 00:33:06 And like that's kind of just who the, there weren't a lot of move sort of needle movers, if you will. We talked about Gustafson and Colin being really good. But there's not a lot of guys where like, okay, this kid maybe looked. This kid surprised me for better or worse. This kid looked different than he's looked or really took over, really elevated. It just felt like a continuation, I think, for Lynn in particular. I thought he was good. You still have Lynn top 10?
Starting point is 00:33:32 I do. Ugh. More to come. Save this one. We're going to need this debate over the next two months. But here's an interesting thing, Corey, is it. Scott just mentioned Keaton Verhof. I would have felt like, you know, Verhof was pretty good.
Starting point is 00:33:47 You talked about this kind of becoming a. an underager's tournament. He was one of those underagers a year ago that we started talking about, like, hey, this is a guy to really key in on for the 2026 draft. He plays a full season of college hockey. Pretty good season of college hockey. I think I would have expected him to come to this tournament and be one of the first names we mentioned on this show. We got almost 40 minutes in in a conversation about Ryan Lynn before we mentioned Vera. Let's let's say he had like a terrible tournament or anything.
Starting point is 00:34:11 But shouldn't he have been kind of one of the big names that we've been talking about all show at this point? He wasn't on the power place. So it was a very interesting usage of him where they had Lynn, who I think deserves to win the first power play, read the first power play at the Holinko. And he wasn't even on the second power play. I think he got a shift there towards the end
Starting point is 00:34:30 of their quarterfow game in Sweden. When they were running out of options, it turns out how to score goals. But they didn't, even though he had the most minutes of anybody on this team, they didn't really put him in a position to succeed and score a lot. Wasn't a great tournament.
Starting point is 00:34:44 Wasn't a bad tournament, I don't think. But he definitely didn't, I think, criticisms of his offense and his hockey sense and whether this is like a premier play driver at the next level. I think the difference between him as someone like Lawrence is Lawrence has had some questionable spots on his resume all season. Whereas with Verhof, I think the body of work is a little bit more impressive where you go back to not only his prolific underage year like a Lawrence, but then he's a world junior player.
Starting point is 00:35:12 He had a good year of North Dakota, you know, playing a notable role on a team that, you know, one of the best teams in college hockey. So even if he'd have a great tournament, I still think he had a good enough tournament to where I'm not overly concerned. I don't think he's the first defenseman off the board. I feel like that's kind of firmly Chase Reed right now and there's some minority opinions on some other players.
Starting point is 00:35:35 Maybe Verhoff's there too, but I feel like he's very unlikely to go one, two, three right now. If the draft was today, he's probably, you know, three to six, four to six, four to seven right now if I was doing a mock draft. So I kind of like I said, not stock falling, but stock nudged down, I would say. It would be the best way to disguise Verhoff right now. I'd like to let the record show after Corey threw a shot, another shot at my Ryan
Starting point is 00:36:05 opinion that I was waving the flag on Tyne and Lawrence and Heaton Verhof about a year ago. And here's here's the thing about Verhof. I like Lord's more than Lynn. That's a whole other issue though. Yeah. Here's the thing with, I have questions about Verhof. Yeah. So like, I think the, I asked this to Corey, you know, I was like, hey, like, I, you know, I haven't loved him, but is like, does he look like, does he look like a top three pick?
Starting point is 00:36:38 And the answer has to be no. I mean, and again, this comes back to the debate of in another draft year where would they go and almost exclusively being lower than they are in this draft. You know, I do think that with the Keaton-Nverhoff pick, whoever does make the Keaton-Verhoff pick, you are making it on a, on a projection, not, the body of work is fine. Like, yes, he had a very impressive underage season in the WHOL last year. This year's body of work I didn't like. I thought it was fine at points. I thought that there was a lot. But to me, it's all about the projection and what he can be relative.
Starting point is 00:37:20 And I have, I feel like if you take the player, you are accepting a fair amount of risk in that the hockey sense isn't where it needs to be and may not get there. That's one skill and trait that I think is very difficult to overcome. And I have seen more and more evidence this year that the decision making under pressure is not. strong, that the decisions aren't always strong, and that really the offensive and the understanding of when and how to jump into offensive opportunities is not very good at this point. And it was really exposed at the college level. And I think that that's one of the things that we're seeing is that as these top players come into college, and this was the same thing with Tyne and Lawrence, are they processing the game at a high enough pace in order to
Starting point is 00:38:07 be a top level player? I think he's. I don't. Well, hang on. I think Keaton Verhoff is going to be an NHL player. I think he's going to be a good NHL player. But I think that if you are banking on him to be a top pairing defenseman, you're starting to see signs that that is like you're hoping at that point rather than projecting. I still think there's a lot of similarities with his game in Aaron Eckblads at the same age.
Starting point is 00:38:32 I still think that could be the projection there, which may be a top parent offense or not the sexiest top parent defenseman in the world, not a high impact guy, but a good player. I'm about to list some names. They're not the most inspiring names, but they were really high picks recently. So, you know, I would say he's better at the same age than Eurechuk was. I would say he's better at the same age than Karayakumchuk was. I would say he's better at the same age than David Rinebacher was.
Starting point is 00:38:54 All guys who went big right shot defensemen who went very high in their NHL draft. I would say he's at least analogous to where Simon Evanston was at the same age as a hockey player. Evanston may be a little bit more pure skill. this guy may be a little bit better defender, but I think he's, like he deserves to be in this conversation still, like, you know, firmly. Yeah, I would say.
Starting point is 00:39:14 Yeah, I think, I think Evanson is a way better skater and defender, like way better skater and defender than Verhof. I'll give you the better skater. Yeah, but I think, you know, I'd argue that Verhoff even had a little bit more, you know, offense in his game than Evanston.
Starting point is 00:39:28 As I was in the same as it was at more skill, I think Verhoff better shot, better processing. Evan's processing really scared me in his drafture. But, my main point is not to, you know, go, go through that argument. It's more that I still think that, well, you have a six, four defenseman who can skate, who can make a pass, who can defend, who has a history of offense, even if it's not an elite offense. Like, that's still, to me, like a premier piece.
Starting point is 00:39:52 Like, he's, like, he deserves to go very early in this draft, even if it's not as high as we once envisioned him going six months ago. Right. That's, that's an important distinction, too, is that the difference between not being the number two overall pick and not be in and then being you know six or seven is really not especially this year not a significant difference like there's people people are getting like all ornery by like dachson rudolph right now like if if if if if if if if if if if rhaarhoff was in junior this year he would absolutely have done what dachson rudolph did this year he just like he did the previous year my my
Starting point is 00:40:27 opinion they've they've played on the same team twice over the last 12 months he's been clearly better than him both times so just just my opinion As we talk about kind of the underagers, though, I do, you talked about how I think it was seven of the top 11, Corey, you said of this tournament, were for 2027 picks,
Starting point is 00:40:43 scores? No, no, no, I said seven of the top 11 scores in this tournament as we scan today are between the quarter of the semi-poddle
Starting point is 00:40:50 have been eliminated. However, the leading score of this tournament is Timothy Kazda, who was an underage player playing on Slovakia, and he has generated a lot, you know,
Starting point is 00:40:59 made a lot of happy Slovakia fans here with all the points and the goals he's been scoring, 20 goals score in the USA H.L. this year for the Chicago Steel, a really skilled player. You know, some of the better players between him and Selleck have been, they've been underage players. Like, again, it's been a kind of a common trend we've seen in past years. The Czech team also that advanced semifinal full of really good underage players.
Starting point is 00:41:22 Matthias Mahalik, if you haven't heard this name yet, he is going to be a very, very high an HL draft pick. Not this summer, not next summer. Three summers from now. He is a 2010 birth date. He's a 6-3-6-4 mobile puck moving defenseman. I think in that quarterfile game against Finland, I think he led their team at Ice Time. He is a very exciting prospect. Alexi Joseph. I mean, he's one of the big names we've been following, Scott, and only plays two games at this event. Yeah, they started him as the two-see, and they quickly decided that he wasn't their two-see. They gave him an opportunity in the first game. He played there in the pre-tournament, portion of the schedule for them.
Starting point is 00:42:07 And then game two, he was their 13th forward and game three, we never saw him again. So definitely a disappointing couple of games. I think you have to try not to read too much into it. The concern I had in watching him in both of those games was that Canada clearly wanted their forwards to work and play with the kind of sort of go get it, stick toitiveness that a lot of their guys did. Tyn and Warren, Sack Olson, Beckett Hamilton. Ryder Cali, Adam Valentini.
Starting point is 00:42:38 You go through the lists of the players that they brought to this event, and that's the style that Drew Bannister wanted the team to play. And there was a lot of standing around. There was a lot of puck watching for Alexi Joseph. And if you've watched, there was a talk sort of early on in the 2027 draft process, there were sort of several players in the mix, Joseph being one of them for first overall next year. I think if you've watched Landon DuPont over the last couple,
Starting point is 00:43:05 of months here. And then you watched Alexei Joseph here. You would be wondering what anybody who previously held that thought was thinking. So yeah, a bit of a separation happening with DuPont and a guy like Joseph, but we'll see. Joseph's a great player. He's a 6-4 athletic center who can make plays. This will be a blip ultimately in the grand scheme of his career, but definitely notable at least that he wasn't a part of a team Canada that lost in the quarter finals and that another 2027 in Jackson Jacobson came into the lineup and immediately injected some much needed offense into the group and helped out their power play in a way that Joseph didn't.
Starting point is 00:43:45 All right. So that'll be that'll be for next year's draft, 27. We're going to take a quick break right here. We're going to come back. We're going to talk about the lottery that is next week. And we're going to talk about what's at stake and all the intrigue around it. We're back. All right.
Starting point is 00:44:00 We are back. And gentlemen, we are just a couple days away now from the NHL draft lottery. That'll be on May 5th. We will be going live right after the lottery on the athletic hockey show YouTube channel. So make sure you subscribe and join us there so we can break it all down as it happens. But as we go in, Corey, I want to start with just kind of what's at stake here because it's been such an up and down ride, I feel like, with, you know, who we're talking about at the very top of the class. We talked about some names we once anticipated talking about and maybe won't be. It kind of seems like maybe all roads have indeed led back to Gavin McKenna.
Starting point is 00:44:32 Yeah, I mean, he had just a tremendous second half of the season there. for Penn State being one of the very best players in the Big Ten when the Big Ten scoring title. I wouldn't say it's all but assured he'll be the number one pick, but I think as things stand now, I think he's the heavy favorite to be the number one pick. I feel like when talking to teens, I feel like the conversation between him and Ivers Stenberg,
Starting point is 00:44:57 I feel like the league is definitely leaning much more towards McKenna over Stenberg right now. Again, that is not set in stone. There are definitely still people who prefer Stenberg. But I think there is a notable majority lean towards McKenna. The only, the thing that would give me pause is I still think there is a lot of appetite still for Chase Reed, just because he's a 6-3, mobile, you know, dynamic offensive player. That's a lot of really intriguing traits that I know will be talked about right at the top of the draft. Then the other one of note has been the play of Caleb Malhotra in Bradford lately,
Starting point is 00:45:33 who, as we talk now, I think, is right around two points per game in the OHL playoffs currently. As a 6-2-2-way center, I think he is clearly delineating himself as the best center in the draft right now. And I think whether it's three, two, or even one, I think there will be conversations about him at all points at the top of the draft. Best centers go very early historically. And that's kind of where I think things stand out. I think McKenna betting favorite, but I would write it in pencil, you know, not in pen. And that's one of those things that's going to get easier to handicap a little when we know the order, right? Like you can kind of get a feel for what a team's preferences and directions are a little more when you have the actual order.
Starting point is 00:46:18 So we'll obviously get into all that on May 5th when the lottery happens. But Scott, there's some, there's a lot at stake here for a few teams. There's some big, big markets at the top that are either at the beginning or who knows, what phase when you talk about the New York Rangers and what a rebuild will look like in New York, but the Leafs, same deal, the Vancouver Canucks are up there. Which teams do you think have the most at stake when the ping pong balls kind of tell us their whims? It feels to me like the Canucks still have the most at stake. Like they finished 14 points lower than the next lowest team. I think the chaos scenarios are always a big market winning it. Like if the Rangers or the Leafs win it,
Starting point is 00:46:58 that is going to set Twitter and on fire and all of that. But I think in terms of what teams stand to lose, the Canucks just feel like they're so far away at the moment from anything of any real hope. And I know the market doesn't like their team and the market doesn't even, when I raise my pool rankings, their market doesn't even seem to like their prospects, which is a very rare thing for a market to not like their prospects. And they just don't like outside of Z. Boyam,
Starting point is 00:47:28 had a difficult year. And like there's just, there's very little to look forward to and the ownership is, is the ownership there. And that side of it, I think is like them falling to three would be a terrible, terrible outcome for the Canucks. Even if you think that there are three or four players at the top of this draft,
Starting point is 00:47:48 that would be a tough pill, I think, for that organization to swallow more than, more than any other. And then, yeah, Toronto or the Rangers winning it or even Chicago winning it again, I think that generates the most from an anger from opposing fan basis standpoint. And there's probably a lot of almost apathy if it's if it's a Calgary or a Seattle or a Winnipeg or a Nashville or one of the smaller markets. I think Toronto definitely has the most to lose here. That there's like a 50% chance they could be picking one, two, or five.
Starting point is 00:48:26 and also a 50% chance that they could not have a first round pick at all. To me, it's such enormous stakes. Because, you know, obviously their team was really bad last year. Both, you know, in terms of their results and on analytically, like it looks like a lot of work there to do to get back to a competitive level, you know, next season. But, like, to me, if you pick, you know, we've had this competition all year. Maybe Scott disagrees. But, like, for me, the difference between Gavin McKenna and Stenberg or McKenna and Reed or McKenna and Malhotra.
Starting point is 00:48:56 McKenna and Smiths or Carl's, to me the gap is not that significant. There's a gap, but there's not that significant. And for me, there's almost no gap for some of those guys, but that's not really, like, if you, if the Canucks go from like one to three, I still think they're getting basically the same player. On my opinion, maybe you guys agree, it's great,
Starting point is 00:49:14 but to me, they're basically getting the same level of prospect. If Toronto doesn't have a top five pick or no pick at all, like that's a pretty significant change in results. sixth overall and Frazier Minton for Brandon Carlo is a tough pill to swallow And the administration
Starting point is 00:49:35 that made it happen is no longer there to enjoy it So that is I mean you know who has the most to lose In this thing? I mean I think it's Gavin McKenna I think that he is a player A number one overall pick
Starting point is 00:49:48 That is so dependent On like Going into Vancouver given what's happening right now, I don't think would be a good spot for him. You know, I don't think he is, he could be tabbed as the savior and he's not going to be that, not in that scenario.
Starting point is 00:50:07 And I think that that's a, that's a situation that is going to be very interesting to watch. And, you know, like, if you go into a situation where you're not the guy, whether it's, you know, Chicago or if, you know, if it is Toronto. Like, if it is Toronto, I think you're actually, that's a great spot for him to land because he doesn't have to be the guy. And also maybe it quiet some of the concern about losing other top players. And maybe you're saying, oh, we're not really rebuilding that much. Though I do think that Toronto could definitely stand to benefit from getting one of the top
Starting point is 00:50:42 defensemen in this draft. So there's a lot of things there. But I do think like getting Gavin McKenna in the right scenario, both developmentally and positioning him for success. because, I mean, odds are whoever drafts him is going to sign him and get him into their system right away. And there's also my concern is that is that even the right call for that team, you know, in terms of his readiness to be able to contribute. There's a lot of different things there. I think, you know, whoever gets him is going to sign him, he's going to go.
Starting point is 00:51:14 And I'm sure he'll be okay in year one. But I wouldn't be shocked if it was more similar to the, you know, the Jack Hughes. year one kind of situation, then it would be for somebody else. How about the most to gain? I mean, I'm looking at San Jose. I'm looking at Florida. These are two teams that could really benefit. I mean, certainly Florida, if you plug A and granted, I don't think the right shot D in this
Starting point is 00:51:37 class are going to step into their lineup and be impactful next year. But it's a team that has a hole there. San Jose could really use an impactful right shot. Imagine if San Jose walks out of this with Chase Reed after everything they've come away with here. And it really, that's an organization that's already seems like they got Jetfield behind them. A lottery win here would add more.
Starting point is 00:51:54 Yeah, I think you're right, Max. Like, you know, especially, you know, San Jose, it just feels like they're getting closer to the cusp. And if you add another high impact piece to your fold here, you've got another one of those franchise building blocks. And then, you know, anything to supplement the nuclear weapon that you have that is Macklin Celebrini is going to be, is going to be pretty big. But, like I think you also look at the situations like a Florida where you've got a veteran group where you can, usher in a younger guy a lot more easily than, you know, having like a Chicago where it's like, they've handed the team over to the young guys and it's like, is that, you know, is that going to work? That's going to be interesting.
Starting point is 00:52:34 But you've go into Florida and you're like, well, this was up, this year was a blip. It was an injury riddled year. Now we also have a player. Not only is that player coming in potentially for next season, they're coming in at a, at a low rate of cost in terms of what it means for your salary cap. So the teams that have some of those cap constraints could really stand to benefit from a player like, you know, if it was a McKenna, if it is, you know, Chase Reed. I'm not 100% sold on, you know, really many of the players in this draft being able to jump right in. But if you're a place that can insulate that player like a Florida, that's a pretty good spot to be in.
Starting point is 00:53:13 So, but there aren't many teams that are set up that way. And maybe even like Winnipeg. Maybe Winnipeg could be that team too, where they've got that veteran group that can insulate a player. All right. Well, we got more to find out when the ping pong balls drop as they are. Make sure you join us on May 5th on YouTube for the athletic hockey show. That is going to do it for us today. Thanks for listening to this episode.
Starting point is 00:53:33 You can, of course, catch more of Chris over at Flow hockey and on his podcast called up. We'll talk to you soon.

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