The Athletic Hockey Show - NHL Mock Draft: If we were the GM…
Episode Date: May 29, 2026We are less than a month away from the NHL Draft and on today’s episode the guys deep dive into their annual GM mock, where they play general manager for every first round pick, making decisions bas...ed on their own lists and their given team’s needs. Before that, they take a look at Corey’s scouts and execs survey to get a sense of where the league is on the draft’s top 10 picks, and to close things out, they break down this year’s goalie and overager crop.Hosts: Max Bultman, Corey Pronman, and Scott WheelerWith: FloHockey’s Chris PetersExecutive Producer: Chris FlanneryProducer: Chris FlanneryWatch full episodes on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@theathletichockeyshowJoin our Discord Server: https://discord.gg/VTm9VjkFSubscribe to The Athletic: https://theathletic.com/hockeyshow Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.
Transcript
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This is the Athletic Hockey Show Prospect Series.
Hey, everybody, Max Baldwin here, alongside the athletics.
Corey Promin and Scott Wheeler and Flohockey's Chris Peters for another episode of the Athletic Hockey Show Prospect Series.
Packed show today.
We got a couple of mock drafts to get to, and actually a lot to dive into on those.
We're going to talk about the goalies of this draft class.
We're going to talk about the overages of this draft class.
So let's get right into it, Corey.
And I want to start with the scout and exec poll mock draft that you did this week.
because it's a little different take on it, right?
I mean, I know all of your guys's work is to some extent informed by conversations
you're having around the league.
This one, you really turn it over to the scouts and the execs to make the picks,
or project the picks, I should say.
And what was your biggest takeaway from how it went?
Yeah, the idea was inspired, by the way, by our NFL writer, Mike Sando,
pretty much stole the idea from him and applied it on the hockey side.
Good guy to copy.
Yeah, and I thought it went really well.
I was worried that there wouldn't be like enough consensus.
and you just get a bunch of votes for a bunch of different players.
But I found doing the exercise that we did like a table at the bottom there that you could kind of see.
You saw that there was kind of a clear trend among the league evaluators about how they think the draft is going to go.
They all think McKenna's going to Toronto.
They all think Chase Reed's going to San Jose.
Most of them think Caleb Bauter is going to Vancouver.
And then it really starts to get blurry there.
And I think there's obviously a lot to take away from those statements right there.
because we talked about is
at Jose for sure taking Reed
is Toronto for sure taking McKenna
and obviously
we have you know,
Stenberg in that conversation
so there's a couple of main takeaways
from you from this
is that
not everyone in the league
has McKenna at one
not everyone in the league
has Stenberg
at one
not everybody in the league has
McKenna or Stenberg
won two
there's different opinions
on those players
and where they fit relative to Malhotra or someone those defensemen.
But what I found in my conversations, both between this exercise and in the weeks now leading up to the draft,
is I think there's more people in the league who think there's a distinction between McKenna and Stenberg
than people who think it's close.
I don't view it that way.
I think it's close.
I think what Stenberg has done this year has been very, very impressive.
Obviously, having a really good men's worlds.
But I have found there are more people who think Stenberg gets.
closer to three, four, five,
than he's in the conversation to go at one, two, Toronto,
at least in terms of projecting how the draft goes,
whether you agree or disagree is a whole different conversation.
Does that make sense?
Yeah, I mean, and to that point, like you said,
all six have McKenna, you know,
not necessarily ranked one, but projected to go one.
No one had Stenberg in this entire poll higher than four.
Like, and it was four people had them at four.
So I think that's interesting.
And especially in light, Scott,
of what Stenberg is doing,
right now at worlds.
Yeah, I've, I mocked Chase Reed at two and Caleb Malholtra at three.
I know the Canucks absolutely love Caleb Malholtra and we've talked about the merits
of Reed and taking a defenseman for the sharks.
But the more I've watched Evar over the last couple of weeks here, the more convinced I
am that these two wingers are kind of, I know, I know that I've been beating that drum,
but the more and more convinced I am that these two wingers are the two best players in this
class, the two best prospects in this class, a cut above the D for me. I know it's easy to say,
well, this is the last week of the season and you should have known that already. And certainly I have
those two guys have been top two on my list all year. But it mattered for more at Cider. It mattered
for your ice Slavkovsky when they were good at men's worlds. I think this is a very serious data
point, even if it is late in the year, even if it is at the buzzer, I think how good Evar has been
really, really matters in the conversation.
And I wonder how much an impact it's going to have in final meetings, in combine interviews,
in everything that's to come over the next, what, four and a half weeks before the draft.
Because I do think if there's a push to be made for him and if there's an argument to be made that maybe you should take,
if you're the San Jose sharks, maybe you should pass on a defenseman and take Stenberg.
I think he's making as strong a case right now as he has made to date.
and he has just been so, so, so good.
So yeah, I'm sort of digging my heels in on those two wingers
being the two top prospects in this class.
And I think Stenberg is really, really close with Gavin for me at this point.
The issue I would have with San Jose is I think the popular argument is take Stenberg
and trade something down, take the quote unquote best player,
it depends how you define best player, and then trade a piece.
for a defenseman. That seems to be a common argument I've heard. But we saw that issue with
Toronto over the years is like, well, we just trade Nealander for a defenseman and, you know,
trade monitor for a defenseman. You know, it's easier said than done because nobody wants to
give you a top pair of defenseman for William Ecclent. That's not how that's going to work.
No one's going to want to give you an elite defenseman for Stenberg. It's, you know, you trade Misa for
defensive, now you don't have a center.
Will Smith, I don't know if he's going to get you any elite defensemen.
These are kind of the tensions that are working with here.
And I guess, you know, we've talked about this before, you know, Scott, you think they're
a cut above, you know, I could buy this Denver's the second best player in the draft.
Like, I think it's a very reasonable argument to make.
I would push back on there being like a clear cut above.
Like, I think if we get to Vancouver, I think there's some really passionate arguments,
Like you can't pass on Stenberg here.
You're leaving a ton of value on the table.
I could see the argument that you're leaving some value on the table going from him to Malhotra.
I would push back that you're leaving a lot of value on the table.
Like if Stenberg is a one wing and Malhotra is a 2C, a solid 2C,
those are pretty close in terms of comparable players.
We've mentioned Raymond on the last show.
Like Raymond versus a 2C, you probably prefer Raymond.
but are you like really like that much more excited by it?
I think Stenberg, the challenge with that is that I think Stenberg's a better player at this age than I thought Raymond was.
And so my projection would be beyond the career that Lucas Raymond has had to date.
No, that's fair.
I guess I just, I have no problem with San Jose takes him.
I think that's a very reasonable pick.
It's a very reasonable pick.
I just don't think like it's a fireball offense.
Like I think there's, I don't think he's that much different from Reed or for.
from Smiths or from Kamalhotra.
That's just my, that's just my perspective.
The interesting thing about the world championship element of this whole thing is that,
you know, Stenberg is produced at a rate where literally no one in the last 25 years has gone
lower than second overall.
However, you look at that.
Who's the number one scoring draft eligible player in that span?
Patrick Linae.
His first couple of years were amazing.
But, you know, long term has that really.
panned out all the way that, you know, to his, his projection.
Capocaco is another one, but then you also have Austin Matthews.
You have your ice Lovkovsky.
You have Simone Nimich in that range as well of points.
And all of them went in the top two.
And so this is making the argument for the fans that prefer Stenberg much easier.
I do love posting factual statements on Twitter and watching everyone else project
what they think I'm trying to say by putting that stat out.
it was merely a fact that that that was true that that he is he has seven or eight points in the world world championship this year which is among the top scoring draft eligible players but what does that ultimately mean um and also this world championship i've been watching it pretty bad yeah pretty bad pretty darn bad it's one it's one of the worst i've seen in a while yeah it's an olympic year world championship all the all the all the all the
all the NHL has it made a lot of those top nations
and not get NHL players.
I think what it comes,
and this applies to Stenberg and to Bjork
and to Albert Smiths.
I think,
let's focus on the two suites play in the SHL.
I think you can argue a lot of the teams
they've played in this world championships
are lower quality than some of the teams
they would play regularly with their club team,
quite frankly.
It's not,
it's not trying to insult like these teams.
No, you're probably right.
It's just not a good world champion.
I would also.
I mean, the Olympic argument, we're really talking about, I mean, team Canada is still pretty
darn good.
It's not an Olympic year Canada, but by world standards, I think it's on par with the team
Canada.
USA is way down.
Sweden, their own team is down.
But, you know, Finland's got Barkov going for them, right?
I mean, it's why they're in the first line role, certainly.
Yeah.
But I don't, you know, I don't see any difference between this and what a Uryslavkovsky would
have been up against with maybe the exception of like a team USA.
He also has been way better than the kid who went third overall a year ago.
And we're talking about mocking him at fourth overall in this class.
Now, maybe this class is stronger.
I'm not sure we actually view this class as stronger.
But him and Frondell, like, it's not even, it doesn't even look close to me in terms of the level that they're, that they're playing at.
All right.
So a couple of other things toward the back of this scout mock, Corey.
I thought it was interesting.
Ethan Belch's is above.
both Bjork and Tyne and Lawrence.
And I don't think Bjork actually even got a vote.
And that really surprised me because as much as I get, it's the small center.
He's got kind of the elements that I think every team's looking for when you have a small player.
Is he an elite skater?
Maybe not elite, but he's an above average skater.
And he works like a dog on a bone.
Were you surprised that Vigo Bjork didn't get any votes into the top 10 here?
And do you think that should tell us something about what to expect a month from now?
Mildly.
The survey was done over the last two weeks.
So I feel like if I would have done it over the last few days with the men's world championship data in mind,
maybe he would have gotten a little bit more love.
But I do know some of the people I talked to did have him in their personal top 10,
even if they didn't.
That's a distinction in this exercise was projecting how they thought the draft was going to go.
You know, I made some notes in the article about what people actually thought.
And in case of Bjork, there were some people I talked to that had Bjork in their 6 to 10 range,
even if that were not where they were projecting him to go.
I kind of feel like in my discussions of the league,
there's a kind of a solid top eight,
and he's not in that top eight right now.
That would be the two wingers,
Mahautra, and that group of defensemen,
and then things kind of break open.
And I think he's in that conversation with,
but I just felt like,
especially coming up the U-18s
and you have that big defense,
multi-Guff assistant that's getting a lot of love.
You have White Cullen, who's getting a lot of love.
And I think Bjork would kind of be in that group with them right now
if I was doing it,
doing a projection.
But I wasn't, I was a little surprised.
I wasn't shocked, but I feel like if I would have said mock the top 12, he would have
gotten votes there.
Yeah.
The other name that was in there, though, and York was not, Nikita Klephov is in, he got
a vote.
Someone, someone's 10 vote went to Nikita Klepov.
Scott, I know you're really high on this player.
I'll let you start here.
Like, could you see a world where Nikita Klepov is going top, let's say 15?
Top 15, yes.
top 10, I would, that would probably be the first, I would expect that that's the first surprise
of the draft for me if that were to, if it were to go that way, like that would feel kind of like
Ben Kindle felt a year ago. We all liked Ben Kindle. I had Ben Kindle in the teens on my list.
I thought I was higher than most on Kindle. Obviously, the Penguins were even higher on
Kind of Kindal. So I think it would take that kind of belief from a team in Nikita Klov.
Now, in saying that, I know in talking to people around Saginaw, people around the OHL,
NHL, NHL Scouts, there are some people who really like.
Kweppov. There is real respect out there for Klepov, the game he plays, the season he had.
But I think if you're talking about mocking the top 10 of the draft, I would be pretty
surprised. Corey kind of talked about that second tier of forwards after the two wings in Malhotra.
And I just think that he's not quite in that group with Bjork and Lawrence and Colin and
Belchez. Those are kind of the four names that I would expect to go in that sort of 10 to 15
range. And then I think after that, you get into Kleppov being in that next group. Like,
like, could he go in the teens? Absolutely. Could he go in the early 20s? Mid 20s? Also,
yes. 10 would be, would be a little bit of a surprise for me. Led the OHL in scoring this year was
close to being a hundred point player. Corrie, I know you and I, I've side-slapped you about this
player because he's a hard one to know what to make of. When I watched him, my first thought was,
okay, maybe Matt Zuccarello,
but there are also guys of this profile.
He's not super small,
but he's 6-0.
I wouldn't say he's like a dynamic skating type.
He's got a little shiftiness,
but there's a lot of guys like that
who end up as AHL guys too.
I think with Kleppov,
the argument comes down to his compete level.
I think everybody sees the skill,
like you said,
led the OHL in scoring.
Everyone sees that he's highly skilled
and intelligent, creative winger.
I think everyone kind of sees that it's good skating,
it's not premier skating.
So then the argument comes down to his compete level.
The people who think that he competes,
maybe not competes off the puck,
doesn't compete defensively,
but he competes inside the offensive zone.
They think he wins enough.
Puck battles,
gets to the net enough.
They view him as a top 15, top 20 pick this year.
And then kind of where I fall,
where I think it's fine compete.
I don't think it's a major asset.
I have concerns about how he's going to fare at higher levels.
That group of people tend to have him more
like a late one high two type.
All right.
There's a lot of really good stuff in there.
I would definitely encourage everyone to check it out.
There's also kind of a companion piece where it's a survey about specifically the defenseman
and I would definitely encourage everybody to check out goes well with our last week's episode.
We're going to take a quick break right there.
We're going to come back and talk about a very different mock that we did.
And it sounds like Corey and I might have to answer for some crimes.
Stick with us.
All right.
We are back.
And the other mock draft we had dropped this week, guys, just came out on Wednesday.
It was our if I were a GM mock.
So I guess calling it a mock, Scott.
maybe not totally accurate. We are basically, what we're trying to do is simulate the actual draft and
where there's big preference differences that can lead to unexpected results. And we see this happen.
You know, every year there's, there's something that happens and people go, whoa, that wasn't in
anyone's projection, but it's because, you know, the projections don't know each individual
team's list. So our way of simulating that was to have you, Corey, and I alternate, who was the
GM for a given team. And the results were, were very interesting. I mean,
there are some lively comments on this one.
But Chris, the top five picks here, I'll just give you in order.
Toronto takes Chase Reed.
That was a Corey pick.
San Jose takes Carson Carls.
That was me.
Scott took Gavin McKenna for Vancouver.
Corey took Albert Smith for Chicago.
The Rangers land Evar Stenberg at five.
That one was me.
And then at six, Caleb Malhotra to Calgary via Scott.
As I tell you that top of the draft, what stands out to you most?
I know there's a lot to choose from.
Well, yeah, I mean, you know, I think if you've read Corey's board, then you knew that Chase Reed was going to go number one. And so that's, that's, that's fine. I have much, you know, like that's, that makes a lot of sense to me. I think if you're the San Jose Sharks, you're disappointed. But I don't think that you're so disappointed that your next move is to pick Carson Carls and have the 500th left shot defenseman in your system. No offense, Max. This pick was by you. You were.
Mike Greer in this instance, and you said, I don't, you know, if our entire D just is left-handed
for the foreseeable future, that's totally fine with me. And I respect it because I think, you know,
sometimes we can get too wrapped up in handedness. I do think, though, at some point, you might
want to say there are right-handed defensemen in the world, and we may want to try to add one of
those defensemen, but either way, I think that was the surprise, because, you know, if,
if say the top right shot defenseman is off the board,
and we think that would be Chase Reed,
you know,
then I think San Jose would have to recalibrate
and then go into that discussion of,
is it McKenna or Stenberg that fits our team?
And to be honest with you,
if I'm looking between those two players,
the one that I feel fits better is Stenberg.
Yeah, I think I get what you're saying,
because McKenna and Will Smith have a lot of rhyme in their games
as kind of the perimeter playmaker and Stenberg
would add a different flavor.
I considered those things.
And I considered the handed,
too. Look, if Reed was there, I think I would have taken Reed for that reason. But I do think
Carl's has a real argument as not only the right pick for the sharks, but the best D in the class
overall. I think we would all label him probably the hardest to play against defensemen in this
group. Is that fair to say? And then I also would point and say, well, one of the best
offensive D in this group is Daxon Rudolph. We just watched Carson Carl's outproduce him on a per
game basis in the same league. And not only did he outproduced Daxon Rudolph, he outproduced
every Western Hockey League under 18 defensemen for the last 25 years.
Like, I realize that when you watch him, like the skill is not the standout trait, and maybe
the playmaking is not the standout trait.
The shot is probably his best offensive tool.
But the collection of offensive tools still made him an extremely, extremely productive
defenseman while also being six foot two, while also being the toughest to play against, and probably
most physical of this group.
I don't see why that doesn't make him a really strong candidate, if not the best
defenseman in the class. It reminds me a lot of the conversations we had about Jake
Sanderson in 2020. And it was like, okay, well, yeah, he's this good skating kind of transition
defender. But then if you looked dug a little deeper under the numbers, and I remember Corey,
you put this in a story. Like he was not that far off where the Hughes brothers had been
productivity-wise. It just didn't look the same. And I think if you go back to the 2020 class,
the debate at one is Tim Stutzlow or Jake Sanderson. And Jake Sanderson might win that debate.
I mean, depending on the night, I think you can argue Jake Sanderson is the high.
Ottawa Senator's most important players. Stutzl is a center. I get that. There's not a center here
that I'm debating between. So when I look at that, you know, we've talked about Yvars Stenberg as maybe
comparable to Lucas Raymond. You know, Gavin McKenna is probably a notch higher than that
offensively, at least in terms of the pure upside. But I think you're probably taking Sanderson
and a lean over Raymond in a redraft there. And so I go back to it and whether it's Sanderson, you know,
I think he's not quite the skater Sanderson was, but he's more physical. Maybe that's more McAvoy.
maybe that's more favor.
All three of those guys
that have no compunction
taking at number two in a draft.
The people I talked to in the league
that have Carl's as their best defensemen
will point also to the fact
that he outproduced Chase Reed
this season.
I mean,
they didn't have the underage profile,
but he's a lot young.
I think he's one of the younger players.
He's,
I think he's a June or July,
you know, 08,
whereas, you know,
McKenna and Reed,
their late births.
Stenberg.
So, yeah, Stembroke, too,
a late birth.
So there's a distinction there.
So, yeah, I don't know if offense is really his calling card,
but, I mean, the offense he showed this year was extremely impressive.
I remember watching with the WHL showcase game,
and he made way more plays than Rudolph did in that game.
He definitely has, like, power play potential in the NHL.
Quick question for you, Chris.
You mentioned all the left-handed D in Sad Jose.
Can you go through the good ones at a curiosity?
The good ones?
The good ones.
Let's see, we got Sam Dickinson.
I'm going to end the list at that point.
Okay.
I was just curious.
That's a fair point.
And that's honestly, that's a really fair point.
Would you take Dickinson or Carl's?
Like, I would say Carl's would be your number one defenseman at that point over Dickinson.
I probably would say that as well.
And that, and I think, Max, for one, I think you made a very strong argument for that.
And I also agree, like, typically when we're talking about that high in the draft
handness really shouldn't matter that much.
I just thought it was funny that they just have all left shot defensemen in a couple of righties in their in their system.
But yeah, but I mean, I think that really the he is an intriguing player.
And I do think like the way that your guys's board went is not out of the realm of possibility.
Like that's the thing is like I think people are continuing to look at this draft as this black and white argument.
And they're only talking about two players when it really isn't.
And I think, unfortunately, the amount of content we can put out that says this isn't exactly how we think it's going to go, it doesn't seem to matter.
So, I mean, we can keep talking about it until we're blue in the face.
But I think this illustrates that this is not the cut and dry answer that everybody wanted to be.
The other pushback we got defense-wise was when, obviously, when I got Smith's going on Ford to Chicago.
That was a surprise for me.
There's a lot of Chicago fans that want them to take a forward.
And kind of the same question I just asked Chris there.
Who are the good defensemen in Chicago?
I mean, right now, not the young guys you think that might be good one day.
Like right now, you're playing, you're trying to win a game today.
Who are these, like, awesome top four defensemen they have right now?
I mean, Blasic is really good.
And I think Lev Shinov will be good very quickly.
And I think there is a case to be made that between Renzel, Lev Shanaugh,
of Kortinski.
I like Kremier, to be honest.
I like Krebbeye too.
You can't bring a, if you were to add a fourth young guy to that group,
you can't possibly bring them all along together.
And I know Kurchinski's already in a difficult spot there
in terms of his fit in the lineup and his progression,
and it just hasn't gone according to what you would hope for
for a seventh overall pick.
But I think they need that premium running mate for Connor Bader,
Someone who can elevate Connor Bedard instead of Connor Bedard having to elevate everybody else,
they need that more than they need another second pair number two, number three young defensemen that you're hoping to develop into a really good player for you.
Like they're going to get that from one of, even if they don't get it from all three of those guys,
they're going to get one of Lev Shunov or Renzel is going to become a really good player for them.
I don't know that any of the wingers that are playing within their team
are going to become running mates for Connor Bedard.
Unless maybe you think Cancerov is that, maybe.
I think really highly have Cancerov.
But my thought process was if you want to incorporate position and need and depth chart
when it comes to Vlasic, yeah, I can buy that.
He's a good player.
Lev Shunov, he hasn't done it yet, but I think he's a good player.
But I'm not making a fourth overall decision based on Sam Renzhou.
who's not really shown anything as a pro,
and I don't think he's a pretty good prospect.
He's a pretty good prospect.
Kortinski is kind of hanging on for dear life right now
in that organization.
I'm definitely not making a fourth overall decision
based on Louis Krivier's development.
He's a fine player.
He's become way better than you thought,
but I'm not picking a player fourth overall
based on where he fits in the depth chart.
But I think that argument is sound.
They need more high in skill.
The other concern I had with Chicago was,
okay, you bring in Stenberg
and now the forward group is
Badd, Nazar,
Moore, Stenberg,
Kansarov,
and Fondell, who's a little,
you know, a little bigger side. Yeah, like,
it's a lot of
some, like, Stenberg's
like really competitive and he's, he's a little
maybe closer to 6-0, whatever kind of thing.
But it's, like, there is some rhymes there
where you're still looking for,
you don't need to have a ton of beef. I think there's been
some really good forward groups that have won,
even like,
our line is forward group right now doesn't have a ton of beef,
but you've got to have something in there that can do that.
And it wasn't why I've made the decision.
I have Smiths as a better player,
but these were like mild tiebreakers for me as well,
even though I agree that if you had to pick between a defenseman, a forward,
yeah, probably they could use a forward more
if you really looked at the organization as a whole.
But I think, I don't think despite how many assets they've used on defensemen,
I don't think their defense pipeline is so strong that you would forego a guy who I think has a really good chance to become in all situations defensemen in the NHL.
The pick I struggled with the most, just to steer it a little bit here, was at eight for Winnipeg.
And I was between Vigo Bjork and Dax and Rudolph, and I think Winnipeg needs a center and they need a right shot, D.
I went with the center, partly because I think Bjork can get there quicker.
and I think the age of Winnipeg's core, that's going to be valuable in their situation.
But I want to know, Scott, like, you're picking right behind me.
I'm sure you were kind of trying to size up what was going to happen in front of the Florida Panthers at 9.
What did you make of that decision?
How would you have approached that one?
Well, it certainly feels like the feedback from Jets fans, at least, in every mock we've done,
is that they desperately want a center.
Like, it's almost like Jets fans have no interest in even thinking about the defensemen.
They just want Tynne and Lawrence.
Figo Bjork or whoever of the centers is the flavor of the day there.
I think Rudolph is an interesting one, though.
A, I think there is something to, if you're a Calgary or a Winnipeg,
I think there's something to drafting Canadian kids with the way that free agency goes,
tends to go for them.
So I do think they will consider those, strongly consider those Western Canadian kids.
I'm not sure whether Verhof and certainly Carols won't be there at that point.
But I think the Rudolphs, the Verhoffs, like those guys who play in the WHL who are from out that way, I do think that is at least a small consideration.
But they need the center.
Like they need the center of a top six center once Shifley and Co. age out here.
So, but again, I don't think you make your decision for those, for either of, if you're Calgary or Winnipeg.
I don't think you make your decision based off of positional need and especially for Winnipeg with their pool being much thinner.
and where Calgary's is at.
Like the Jets need everything.
Like Colby Barlow was terrible this year
and doesn't look like he's on the right path.
And you go through the list.
They've got a couple of nice stories.
Kieran Walton's a nice story for them.
Salmonson's a nice story for them.
But go through Lambert and Lucius, obviously,
who's now retired.
Like there's been some misses there
and they need to replenish that pool pretty quickly here.
So the focus should be getting a really good player.
Scott, question for you. On your last draft list you put out, you had Daxon Rudolph at 10,
tiny Lawrence at 11, and you had Ryan Lynn at 9. But in this exercise where we're going off
our preferences, you took Rudolph ahead of Lynn, and then you took Lawrence ahead of Lynn.
Has something changed for you? Was it like, were there tiebreakers there? How did you
break down those decisions? So just to be clear, you took Lawrence at 12 to New Jersey,
Rudolph at 9 to Florida
and then ultimately Lynn at 15 to St. Louis.
I think the Panthers are likely to
to sort of prioritize a D there.
So it came down to Rudolph or Wyn.
I went with Rudolph, Edge to Rudolph,
who is one spot ahead of Wren on my wrist.
My upcoming final list will be
Rudolph 9, Lynn 10, and Lawrence 11.
So I have switched 9 and 10 on my list,
just based off the playoffs that that Rudolph had.
The other one, I just cannot see the New Jersey Devils taking another D.
Another D man.
So that that ruled out win altogether.
Like I didn't even really think about Lynn there.
It's close to him and Lawrence are back to back on my list.
And there's just no way with them trying to already move, potentially move out some of those young D.
No path for Seamus Casey, who's been a very good H.L player.
The devils weren't really a consideration for win.
but I did consider Wynn versus Rudolph with the other pick and sort of leaned Rudolph,
which is where my list is at right now.
Does Lynn have to be a power play guy, though, to have success?
Like, I feel like Seamus Casey has to be a power play guy.
I feel like Lynn can be like an Alex carrier type of guy in the NHL if he doesn't become like a power play guy.
Yeah, he's competitive enough to be that.
But I think ultimately he's going to be a power play guy in the league.
Like that's where my projection is on Lynn at least.
One more guy I want to get to before we take a break here is the guy you picked at 22 for Pittsburgh,
Gleb Pugachev.
Not a guy we've talked about a whole lot, but a guy you have ranked really high on your list.
Like for people who are here in that name for the first time two seconds ago, what should they know about Gleb?
I think he's an almost identical player to Oscar Hemming, except that he's Russian.
And he played in Russia this year, so there's more risks and uncertainties there.
He's going to have a pro contract and have to play a few years out there with that.
with the torpedo
organization.
But he's been a very
promising junior player
over there in Russia.
It's been two good years
in the MHL,
played well in the KHL
and the VHL this year
against men.
6-3 winger who skates well.
One of the most
physical players in the draft
might be the hardest
hitting player in the draft.
You know, you think of
like where Tyler Boucher went
when he went 10th overall.
Like this is more like a 6-3 version
of him without the injury issues.
You know, he's allowed
physical player with good secondary skills.
I think there's a lot there to get excited about.
I think he's got a path to the league to be a guy who plays in the middle of a lineup
and plays in a very endearing way.
And I don't think it's perfectly analogous,
but I think of like when Surin went 20th overall to Nashville a couple of years ago,
he's a centerman, but the same type of traits that got you excited about him,
Surin probably a little bit more offense and he's a center.
This guy's bigger.
with an wing, but I think there's still a lot there to be excited about with Pugachev when it comes to projecting him out as a pro.
All right. Let's take a quick break right there. You can go read the full If I Were a GM mock draft on the Athletic.
We'll come back and we're going to talk about the goalies and the overagers in this class.
All right, we are back. And before we wrap today, two more things I want to talk about here.
One is the goalie class. And Corey, there was only one who made it into the if I were a GM mock.
Tobias is Treyball. Am I saying that right?
Yes.
Yeah.
So I'm assuming he's the number one.
How many goalies at the top of this class?
Let's say the first two rounds should fans know about going in.
Yeah.
I think he's the tray ball is the likeliest goalie to go first.
I don't think he's a guarantee.
But you look at the body of work.
He was one of the very best goalies in the USHL this season.
Six, four, athletic, structured, intelligent, played a lot of games.
Like, there's a lot of boxes that he checks.
And I think gives teams confidence that he can be.
a quality pro prospect.
There's some other names in that conversation.
I think some people like Philip Rizika a lot.
He wasn't always the starting goalie for Brandon.
He split starts to start the year,
but he had a really good season.
It was one of the better goalies in the Western Hockey League,
especially in the second half,
six foot six,
a little unorthodox type of goalie,
but there's a lot of interest there.
Dmitri Borachev in Russia,
there's a lot of interest there.
He's very talented, very athletic.
The concerns there is the sample
size. I think he only played like 20 games this year. He split starts with three other
goalies on his team in Russia. So he was one of four goalies. So between the Russian
factor, the lack of viewings, there's some risk factors there. But Seamion Frolov had those
issues last year. He still went high second round to Carolina. And then there's just like this
giant bucket of check goalies. So when trade ball is check. But like I've talked to teams and
they'll like there's so many check goleys this year. It's actually kind of like funny. Like I
There could be six, seven, eight check goalies drafted this season.
It'll give their world junior team some difficulty when it comes to building their team out next year.
But I think, you know, Sholovec, who was really, really impressive at the U18 Worlds,
I think has a chance to go second round, maybe third round, huge goalie, six, five, moves reasonably well,
is very structured and intelligent.
And the other goal I think is getting in a lot of interest is Patrick's Plumans,
who played all year in the Latvian Pro League.
It's not usually somewhere we look to to get NHL prospects.
But his U-18s was, you know, he was the best goal at the U-18s.
You know, he was the, I would argue, one of the sole reasons why the U.S. team got eliminated
in that, you know, that really tough quarterfinal result for them with a, I think he had 50 or 51 saves.
in that game.
I mean,
it just looks like a really,
like high-end hockey sense,
you know,
with good size type of goalie.
And like that to me right now is the,
is the top group.
I think it's likely tray ball.
I think you'll see two or three other names go in that second round.
I can't guarantee you who those names are going to be, though.
Samuel Horanix,
one who finished really,
really strong too,
obviously led the Slovaks to their second ever silver medal at U8.
World's and was tremendous at U18 Worlds.
Sholvak, Plumans, and Heretic were all three excellent at U18 Worlds.
But I was texting with some people from Fargo yesterday because he played nine game.
He went seven one and one with Fargo before leaving to play for Slovakia on home ice at U18 Worlds.
And he was like way better than they were even expecting.
And he sort of came over from Slovakia.
He was playing junior hockey in Slovakia, came over, played a little bit in Fargo and then went to, to U18.
with Slovakia and was tremendous in Fargo, tremendous for Slovakia, athletic, reads the play
well, good hands, all of those things. But he's an interesting one, just because the sample size
over here is quite small, and the Slovak junior level is the Slovak junior level, but the U18
Worlds is another sort of sample size for him. And I'll be interested, I don't know whether he's in that
top group, and he's not someone I've asked around with scouts about quite yet, but I'll be interested
to see where he goes because the last 15, 20 games that he played this year were high, high level.
Then the other goalie that I think, he didn't make my list for some reasons I'll get into,
but the goalie that I think has a lot of talent that he was injured in is Igor Ripkin,
who plays over in Russia, you know, very talented six foot, I think he's like six six or six
foot seven goalie and he moves like okay for his size.
He had some significant health issues this season though.
you know it's like not like a broken knee or something like that it's uh so it so i don't know
where he's going to go uh but i think that's going to be one that i'll be intrigued to see what
the end result is for him this summer all right the other thing then scott it would be your
overager list and this is always an interesting one because i feel like we have had some some pretty
good reentry prospects in the last four or five years uh top name on your list this year is
Igor Barabanov.
Ballpark, where do you expect him to go?
And what would be the kind of the best case outcome here?
Barabanov had a huge year.
Like he was, he was a driver at times on a very, albeit on a very, very good line.
Like he played with, with Klepov and Jilkin, who are two legit prospects.
But he was the center for that trio.
And he showed up a lot in the OHL coaches poll, which is usually a sign of sort of the
respect that he had that these players have around the league.
like the OHL coaches viewed Barbanov as one of the most skilled playmaking, talented,
offensive players in their league this year that they saw.
And that's a testament to him.
He's now going to UMass.
He was originally committed to Penn State, but decommitted.
He's committed to UMass.
He's got size.
He's a little rangy.
Oftentimes those Russians come over and they're kind of underdeveloped physically.
And he still has that, although he was over here previously playing in the USHL prior.
But just like a smart, heady center.
He's 6-1. He can make plays. He's got skill. He's got some sense. He's competitive enough. I wouldn't say that he's super physical or it's a defining trade or anything, but he's competitive enough. And I think he's got a real chance to be a very, very good college player for UMass. I know UMass is really, really excited about what he could be for them over two or three years there, whatever it looks like. So I would expect that he goes like maybe not for sure in the second round, but I think he's got a chance to go in the second round. And then third round for sure for a kid like that.
There are some other interesting OAs.
People will know a couple of the names near the top there from the World Juniors.
Thomas Galvis has played at three World Juniors was not just one of the best defensemen in the World Juniors this year,
but one of the best players at the World Juniors this year and had a really successful season at the Czech professional level this year,
running a power play and playing 20 minutes a night and that kind of a thing.
510, 511 skinny defenseman, though.
He skates very, very well, like impressive mobility, but the size has kind of held him back from being drafted.
I'll be interested in his third crack at it, whether he gets drafted.
I would expect that he will now, and if he doesn't, he's going to get a development camp invite and that kind of a thing immediately after.
McKenzie's a little bit bigger, also a great skater going to North Dakota next year as part of their freshman class.
Really, really good WHL defenseman obviously was solid and rose from number seven.
And he was the, I believe he was the number seven D to start for Canada.
And then he ran their second power play briefly and finished the tournament kind of playing in their top four a little bit.
And the skating and competitiveness and athletic profile is really interesting there.
There's a couple of other sort of D that I heard about today after my list dropped.
A lot of love out there for Timothy Runso, who's a Miami University commit, sort of really big, rangy, athletic, strong-bodied, sort of pro-look, firm defenseman,
who's probably going to be a very, very good college defenseman by the time he's an upperclassman.
So lots of names.
I've heard a lot of positive feedback from scouts and QMJHL people over the course of this year for Nico Tournes,
who's sort of a big, another double overager, but became a very, very important.
And in stretches of this season was one of the best forwards for Moncton,
who obviously went to the WHL final and nearly made the Memorial Cup.
So there are some interesting players, and the OAs are always interesting because I don't
think the average fan realizes how many of them actually get picked every year. I crunched the
numbers a few years ago and I haven't updated it, but I crunched the numbers a few years ago,
and it's like 29 or 30 a ways a year get drafted. So you're talking about basically one out
seven rounds on draft day. So you do need to sort of continue to follow these kids even as they
pass through the draft. I think Liam Lefebvre from Shikudomi has a chance to go in the second
round too. I think there's a lot of NHL interest there. And Lefei Van Van Van Hennon and
are both playing at the M-Cup
to sort of close out the year with Everett and Chacutomi here.
So Mattias led, Mattias led Vannon and led Everett in scoring this year.
They might win the M-Cup.
Yeah, interesting players.
LaFave for sure was excellent down the stretch for Chacutomi in their playoff run
and then, you know, now getting in there.
But the other thing, to your point, Scott,
I think that we're going to see a lot more over-agers as, you know,
the landscape has shifted.
Players are moving around.
Nico Tornis was in the North American League last year.
You know, so he goes from the North American League to the QMJ, HL, goes to one of the best teams, immediately makes an impact and, you know, showed great scoring ability.
So I think that that's a really impressive thing for him.
But we're going to continue to see that, you know, especially now with what appears to be a lot of momentum that this five and five rule is going to come into the NCAA.
Players are going to potentially be advancing to college hockey a little bit sooner, still be draft eligible, still be guys that could be selected.
and I think that we're going to see some of those guys create more opportunities for themselves to get picked with that little extra extra bit of runway.
So there's a lot of things kind of up in the air.
But, you know, the overagers are certainly going to probably only increase in draft value as we go forward.
All right.
That's going to do it for us today.
A lot of good stuff.
Make sure you're reading all this stuff on the athletic guys.
Scott, Corey, are pumping out stuff as well as Chris, of course, over at Flow hockey.
But that is going to do it for us.
Thanks for listening to this episode of the Athletic Hockey Show Prospect series.
Remember, you can go find more of Chris at Flow hockey.
on his podcast called up. We'll talk to you soon.
