The Ben and Emil Show - PP 23: Open AI Drama Explained
Episode Date: November 22, 2023The tech world was thrown into disarray last week when its golden boy Sam Altman was abruptly fired from OpenAI. What proceeded over the next several days was pure drama, finger pointing, and speculat...ion, with billions of dollars and years of research at stake. The reasons why he was fired are still not known, but they're much more terrifying than you might think. UPDATE: As of today, Sam has been fully reinstated at OpenAI. Get bonus content on Patreon Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Welcome back to another episode of Pay Pigs.
We've got one year of ChatGBT, GBT, and everything is absolutely imploding.
We're going to find out just what the heck is going on over at OpenAI.
Yeah, well, including and especially why you should care and why this stuff is extremely important,
because we might be getting dangerously close to that super intelligent AI that turns the world into paper clips.
Find out exactly what we're talking about.
Plus, what else?
Oh, we got George Santos's incorrigible behavior.
behavior behavior this man we're going to find out everything he's spending all this campaign money
on we we absolutely love a king plus our boy shizhen ping the leader of the communist chinese
communist people's party gave us a very very special gift all this we say thank you we say thank
you and uh cue the intro
Welcome, folks, to a very special episode.
As you can see, we are on a set.
Is it new?
It's new for us.
It's new for you.
Yeah.
Is it permanent?
I don't really know.
We don't even know how we ended up here.
Excuse my computer.
Whoops, I'm turning down the brightness.
Not the sound.
so we're releasing this early because of Thanksgiving
hopefully everybody has a nice good one
and also I would say because of the subject matter of today
it feels like if this were to come out two days later
the entire story could be different that's true
it is a dynamic fluid situation every six hours
it's a different thing one could say it's like a high school senior
it's very fluid how are they fluid you know
gender fluid
Hmm, okay
So
You know, we can cut that out
We can cut that
No, we'll leave it
Yeah, we'll leave it
But anyway, follow us on socials
Also comment if you like that too
Yeah, yeah
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Except for Twitter, it's actually BunCon
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And Cameo, I'm back on Cameo
If you want someone, if you want me
to yell at someone for a price i'll do it threaten someone maybe you'll only yell at people i'll
only yell yeah so no birthdays no no no condolences no get betters i'm only screaming yeah only angry
threats i might buy one of those you should yeah also uh we're doing our call-in episode next week
on patreon we we got a lot of confusion yeah we're gonna have to clarify some of these tears
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Microsoft, and...
Anyone else?
Ilya Sutsky.
Weirdly, Joseph Gordon Levitt's wife?
Wait, what?
Yeah.
Are you serious?
Uh-huh.
Damn, I can't wait to hear about what JGL's wife is up to.
Is she newly single or something?
No.
No?
Do you really not know?
No, I really don't.
Oh, she's a member of the board.
Oh, Mira?
Oh, oh, oh, oh, oh, oh.
Okay, the board, yeah.
We'll get to that, but...
So, I was having this conversation.
I was trying to mansplain it yesterday to my girlfriend.
Girlfriend counter.
And her eyes did glaze over.
And I realized that I had to give sort of a, is it primer or primer?
Well, we were going to do this.
So when we were talking about episodes last week,
we were talking about how we are approaching one year of chat GPT.
Yeah, happy birthday to chat GPT.
Well, not yet.
Happy early birthday to chat.
November 30.
November 30th.
What are they?
Sagittarius?
I don't know.
Either way.
So we're going to talk about one year of chat GPT because this really did change
everything for, you know, I think a lot of people think Open AI just kind of launched with
chat GPT, but it's been around for quite a few years.
And they launched in 2015.
It was founded by a bunch of people saying Sam Altman is by far the most famous founder of
chat GPT.
Elon Musk was one of them.
And, yeah, a lot of these people who are, you are now hearing their names like Greg Brockman, Ilya, Sutskever.
Reed Hoffman.
Reed Hoffman.
The LinkedIn nerd, Elon Musk, Peter Thiel.
Adam DiAngelo, Quora co-founder.
Oh, yeah, we love Quora.
But they were, you know, it was a bit different than your average Silicon Valley startup because they weren't just thinking high valuations,
you know, let's sell this thing and cash out.
Right.
Let's be Silicon Valley billionaires.
They founded it as a nonprofit, and they wanted to dedicate their time to creating
AI technology that would, you know, benefit humanity the most, all right?
They had these lofty goals, and they wanted to focus on safety rather than shareholders.
That's right.
And so this is from a blog post from December 11, 2015, right around the time when they were launching.
co-written with Ilya
Brockman
so they said
the new firm's goal was to advance
digital intelligence in the way that is most likely
to benefit humanity as a whole
unconstrained by a need to generate financial return
okay so they weren't going to be
what did you just Google? I was trying to Google
Alia
oh why are you going to make it
oh Sutskiever
yeah there he is
he's an interesting fellow
it's one way to
say it
Um, but yeah, so this was very different.
And this, this nonprofit aspect of it is very important to, it's, it's important to understand
what that meant for the company, right?
Because that, uh, that dictates where we are today.
Right.
Exactly.
So.
So we start with just a little bit of the history of, sure, give a little bit of the history.
Yeah.
Because I feel like what the, the way I was envisioning this is we kind of start with like a little
history of the open AI and then just go right, plow right.
into the chaotic timeline that was
Friday, Saturday, Sunday, and into
Monday. And then maybe
we could talk about
how the, we could dive deeper
into the
complicated non-profit, capped
profit sort of structure of
this thing, because it is
unprecedented. Yep. And how that has
informed a lot of the theories around
why Sam Altman was fired. But so
real fast, it's important to note that Sam
Altman, think of him as like the Steve Jobs.
He's 38 years old.
He also famously fired from his company.
Steve Jobs, yes, correct.
Yeah.
He was fired from Apple, and it started to flounder, and then they brought him back.
They had to plead and beg him for forgiveness, please, Mr. Jobs.
And then he came back, and he said, only if you make iPhone.
Well, that's what, so, I mean, that's what makes these tech companies kind of different than a regular,
a regular company with assets that, you know, you change the, you change the leader of the company.
People go, well, you know, they still own.
all of their assets and equipment and whatever these Silicon Valley company it's all about
the direction their figureheads are going to take I mean and and as we've seen without
same Altman it's a it's a different story not only that but so part of the reason they were
they were very altruistic as as Emil said they were pursuing AI in the interest of
advancing technology and advancing humanity humanity so they
They were attracting a lot of very, very talented people who, I was reading, turned down ludicrous offers from competitors.
Oh, sure.
I mean, putting Open AI on your resume at this point is like you can have a job offer for wherever you want to go.
So it was started in 2015.
It was very quickly, obviously crazy expensive to train these models to teach AI to become what it is today.
2018, Elon Musk resigned, citing a conflict of interest with Tesla's AI development with full self-driving.
Sam Altman says that Elon Musk believed that they'd actually fallen behind and proposed.
Elon proposed to take over OpenAI himself, shocking to no one, and the board just unanimously rejected him because fuck you.
In 2019, this is crucial, so they were fully just a non-profit up until 2019, at which,
which point they transitioned to a capped for profit, which I still don't fully understand,
but apparently it means that profit would be capped at 100 times any investment.
But also crucially, this capped model allowed them to legally attract investment from venture
funds and grant employees' stakes in the company, finally, on par with what like a Google or
an Amazon would do, where you give them equity in the company so now they could actually, you
entice people with something more than just hey don't you want to do good computer stuff
right but the board still not having a financial state right so the company distributed equity
to employees they partnered with Microsoft as I'm sure many of you know they're running their
systems on Microsoft's Azure Azure as your as your how would you pronounce it as you're
yeah Azure's supercomputer as you're saying it as you're very good let us know if you like that
So then OpenAI then announced their intentions to commercially license their technology.
November 30th, last year, ChatGPT is released based on their previous model, ChatGPT 3.5.
March of this year, GPT4 is released.
And then in May of this year, Sam Altman, Greg Brockman, who's like the number two,
and Ilya Sutskiever, posted recommendations for governance of superintelligence,
which they think could happen in the next 10 years,
which is terrifying for reasons we will get into.
And they propose this international watchdog group,
and that is still, I mean, they're basically saying,
yo, we're working on this stuff firsthand.
We know how potentially, not how potentially timeline altering this is for everybody,
but it is.
And we need like, yo, government, you got to step in and put something together.
Put an international coalition together.
to make sure that we don't create the Terminator.
Right.
And so this last year has been very crazy, right?
So because I'm sure a lot of you didn't know who Sam Altman was until chat GPT launched.
And he went from being kind of a Silicon Valley darling to now all of a sudden he's, you know, giving talks at the White House, getting flown around the world to consult on how we're going to regulate this thing.
And so now he's kind of just a tech superstar.
Yeah.
women women want to fuck him men want to fuck him i mean i personally would love to bed that guy
would you is it have you seen his lips i don't know if he's my type very kissable lips this guy
a more of an ilia sutskiver kind of guy yeah you like that uh you like that what what kind of
is that you know i love a crazy hair line yeah but for the audio listener for the audio
listener this is a man who cannot you can tell by his hair that he's very stubborn
sure because he's not giving up right like god bless him he's he's got the look of a no but you know
what if he shaves it he can't do the Elon Musk and say my hairline's always been like this sure
you know so I'm trying to say he looks like an eastern European taxi driver or something sure
like soccer hooligan he looks like he's got an attitude he certainly does have an attitude
when it comes to AI governance he looks like a guy that if you're watching a movie he
He appears you think that he's the bad guy at first, but then, and as we've seen, he's actually kind of a good guy because the way that this timeline has gone over the last week has just been insane.
At first, he was like a bad guy and he was kind of like Brutus.
He was betraying Sam Altman, but then he came around.
Oh, but boo.
Should we get right into it, the timeline?
Yeah, but I do want to just explain this board just because I think it helps to have this context, right?
And so while all of this is very expensive, to create this supercomputing platform, it requires a lot of money.
And so they needed to change this nonprofit structure to allow for that investment, right?
And so, but when they did that, they still left it in place so that that nonprofit board would still be the one controlling all this, right?
And this nonprofit board doesn't have a financial stake in the company.
For example, even Microsoft, who is invested heavily, I believe they own about 49% of chat, or open AI.
They do not get a seat on the board.
Nope.
Okay, so this is still run by, which it's now four people.
It was six people, including Sam Altman, Greg Brockman, who got booted.
But then it was Ilius Sitzgeber, the chief scientist who, you know, often clashes with Sam Altman about over safety issues and stuff like that.
and the future of the company and how rapidly it's going to grow.
Adam D'Angelo is another one, the Quora co-founder we were talking about.
Tasha McCauley, Joseph Gordon Levitt's wife.
Oh, that's his wife.
She's the adjunct senior management scientist at Rand Corp.
I thought that was Helen Toner.
Or maybe she's another one.
Helen Toner is the final member of the board.
She is the director of strategy and research grants at Georgetown Center for Security and Emerging Technology.
So a bevy of nerds.
Sure.
Just a group of extremely well.
They're all extremely wealthy just on their own.
So they...
Right.
So it's important to know that even though they introduced this for-profit arm of Open AI,
the board still remained in total control of everything.
Even the massive investors did not get a seat on the board to decide what.
And so this was all put in place so that they could keep safety and, you know,
right humanity in mind the board's directive is not to maximize shareholder value which is what you
would normally see in virtually any other right for-profit company their mission is to ensure
the creation of quote broadly beneficial aGI so what is aGI a so what is aGI is let's let's just
read the actual definition it is a hypothetical type of intelligent agent if realized an aGI
It's artificial general intelligence, by the way.
It could learn to accomplish any intellectual task that human beings or animals can perform.
So basically, think just super smart, finally, fully advanced AGI.
So the board of OpenAI ultimately were the ones that would make the call whether AGI has actually been attained.
They're the ones who look at it and go, you know what?
Yeah, it's finally been attained.
And that's very, very key to this because AGI technology is excluded.
from the IP licenses and the other commercial terms that they've got with Microsoft.
Until that point, they're totally free as they've been doing to license GPT3,
to license GPT, chat GPT4, for people to, for companies,
and, you know, it's over a million companies are trawling the API to use GPT in their
fucking customer service interfaces or whatever.
But, so this is a quote from their,
their directive. The board determines
when we've attained AGI. By AGI
we mean a highly autonomous system
that outperforms humans at most
economically valuable work. Such a
system is excluded from IP licenses
and other commercial terms with Microsoft,
which only apply to pre-AGI
technology. So
from there, I've just got how it goes
into the speculation.
Should we talk about why we're talking about this?
Let's just jump into the timeline.
Yeah, let's do it.
So, Friday, like an hour before the market closed, it starts hitting the newswires.
Sam Alton has been fired from Open AI.
And everybody's going, huh?
What?
This is crazy because it is.
It's absolutely great.
Steve Jobs, 2.0, getting fired all over again.
And no one, we did, we had no real reason.
We still don't have a real reason.
Yeah, but now there's a lot of speculation.
Tons.
And some pretty plausible speculation.
but at the time it was just...
Shit-canned.
Yeah, and I mean, so Greg Brockman put together a little timeline of his.
And Greg Brockman was not fired, booted from the board, but also resigned in protest,
what Sam Altman was.
So he says, we two are still trying to figure out exactly what happened.
Here's what we know.
Last night, Sam got a text from...
So this is Friday.
Last night, Sam got a text from Ilya asking to talk at noon Friday.
Hey, Kim, man, can you talk tomorrow at noon Friday?
No, no, it's not about my hairline.
I wanted to talk about that.
I wanted to talk about the AGI, the stuff.
It's just work stuff.
Sam joined a Google meet, and the whole board, except Greg, was there.
Real fast, it's hilarious that they work for a Microsoft company.
And they use Google Meet.
Yeah.
You got to make a Teams, man.
Come on.
Ilya told Sam he was being fired and that the news was going out very soon.
At 12.19 p.m., Greg got a text from Ilya asking for a quick call.
At 1223 p.m., Ilya sent a Google MeatLink.
Greg was told that he was being removed from the board, but was vital to the company and would retain his role, and that Sam had been fired.
Around the same time, OpenAI published a blog post.
As far as we know, the management team was made aware of this shortly after, other than Mira, who she's the, she's a open AI exec who was, uh...
She was put...
She was in-term CEO before being replaced by Emmett Shield.
from Twitch.
So she found out
the night prior.
Then he goes on
to thank everyone
for their outpouring
of support.
So basically
in a dish
just like we covered
Ilya then
had an all hands
emergency all hands
meeting on Friday
and he said
that this was the
board doing its
duty to the mission
of the nonprofit
and we remember
that their mission
is for humanity
not for profit
which is
yeah their mission
to which is to make
sure that open AI
builds AGI
that benefits
all of humanity.
And as you said, they put in the CTO, Mira, this woman, Mira.
She was the interim CEO for all of a day because it started becoming a parent from her tweets
and what she was saying internally that her first course of action would be to hire back Sam,
hire back Greg, and hire back the three senior researchers who had just quit in protest.
So what did Open AI do?
They immediately shit-canned her.
And they put this other guy in charge, who's the former CEO of...
Switch.
Around the same time, Microsoft, because remember, Microsoft's got $10 billion invested into OPAI.
But before we even get there, I do want to just, so all this is happening, they're getting fired,
and those blog posts we're talking about are going out with not a great deal of clarity, right?
They're talking about a breakdown of communications.
We made this decision after a deliberative review process, which concluded that Altman was not consistently candid in his communications with the board,
hindering its ability to exercise its responsibilities put simply sam's behavior and lack of
transparency in his interactions with the board undermine the board's ability to effectively supervise
the company in the manner it was mandated to do so what does that mean he was he was not
communicating effectively well a couple of things apparently sutskiever he's kind of the guy who it
seems from the outsider's view sam altman was kind of just move fast to break things the
just the living embodiment of the ethos of Silicon Valley,
whereas Sutskiever was kind of a lot more tempered
and a lot more deliberate in,
yo, let's make sure that we're not creating the Terminator here.
Interestingly enough, you know who brought him in for that purpose?
Sam Altman?
Elon Musk.
Brought in Sutskiever?
Very interesting.
So he tweeted actually on September 29th,
Ilya tweeted, quote,
Ego is the enemy of growth.
enemy is the enemy of growth
but so
Sam Altman up to this point
in the spirit of
what Ilya's talking about
with disclosing things
and communicating well with the board
he apparently was on the side
very publicly shopping around
for funding for two
separate projects that he wanted to
embark on one was a
competitor to Nvidia to create
a super processor that
would compete with nVIDIA and the other he was partnering with johnny ive the former
uh mechanical apple designer yeah the former industrial designer head of apple who's responsible
for designing pretty much all of apple products partnering with them in seeking funding from
mya my associate son the guy from soft bank don't ask me to tell us come on my associate son that's
probably it but they were trying to raise funds to uh build an ai
powered smartphone that would then rival the iPhone so that and just Sam moving so
fast I guess the board the the rumor is the speculation is that they just said all
right enough's enough we got to step in and kick him out because he's because this isn't
living up to the ethos of open AI right you know we are not we are not moving as
cautiously as we should if we if we need to set up
to do the things we said we would.
So in spite of that, Microsoft and the other investors in OpenAI are pissed because
essentially it's looking like their investment, this company that is just about to raise money
at a valuation of just under $90 billion is all going to go kaput because they're losing
their Steve jobs.
And it looks like increasingly so, a lot of the employees, just over 700 of them, are going to
quit in solidarity.
Yeah, I was going to say it's important to know everyone is fucking pissed.
Yeah, everybody's fucking pissed
So they urge Microsoft
And all weekend people are
Different people in leadership positions
Are like going over to Sam's house
Trying to figure out how they can reverse this decision
And make all this go away
Because everyone feels that this is a massive mistake
So then cut to Saturday, Saturday the 18th
The board who's probably just like
Shitting and pissing themselves
Just going oh fuck
What did we do? God
Everybody hates us
Everybody's mad at us
They agree in principle to resign and allow Sam Altman and everybody to return, but then apparently they waffled and they missed their 5 p.m. deadline, which apparently Sam Altman is the one who dictated. He said, you got until 5 p.m. to resign and reinstate us, or that's it. And apparently, this is really fun. The Microsoft CEO, Satya Nadella, was reportedly mediating. And the New York Times was actually camped out front of the OpenAI.
building and they reported that they ordered a dozen drinks from a boba place and then later they
got mcdonalds so the nerds were sipping on boba it's very uh mcdonalds very silicon valley
yeah but macdonald seems too below them doesn't it no because they're all just like programmers
who like we'll just want to eat quickly and get back to true get back to programming their shit
get back to get back to hacking so then sunday the deal fell apart again uh mirra was like
We said replaced by the former Twitch CEO Emmett Shear, and again, the board failed to resign and reinstate Sam, which brings us to Monday.
Monday morning, we get word that Microsoft has extended an offer to have Sam and Greg and just about every OpenAI employee who quit to join Microsoft.
So it seems like, hey, no matter what, Microsoft's going to come out on top.
that is what's going to happen yeah yeah and there was a there was a an open letter to the board calling for their resignation which over 700 of the 750 or so employees 770 signed which is wild and then apparently which and that demand was for the board to resign and to bring back sam and gregg right and then ilia who was part of that board flips and he is now
Which is the most embarrassing.
You've got to fucking hold steady on that.
But still, he, so he tweeted, I deeply regret.
I see you holding steady on that hairline.
Hold steady on that decision, baby boy.
He said, I deeply regret my participation in the board's actions.
I never intended to harm Open AI.
I love everything we've built together, and I will do everything I can to reunite the company.
He joins in signing the open letter to the board, calling for their resignation.
And as of recording right now, the jury is.
is still out. The board is still contemplating it. And at this point, it's like, what are you even contemplating? If you lose all the employees, you've got nothing to be the board over. Like, what do you, what is Open AI, but a shell of its former self? Like, what are you even delegating at that point? Well, I think, well, yeah, so the whole Microsoft thing, you know, I saw the Verge was reporting today that, like, it's not a done deal. They're still deliberating everything. But, yeah, I don't know.
I mean, it's also confusing.
Like, and if you're following, you know, Sam Altman, he's like sending out these cryptic, uh, oh, he loves to be, he loves to sub tweet and, you know, a real tumbling.
Yeah, we have more unity and commitment and focus than ever before.
We are all going to work together some way or other.
And I'm so excited, one team, one mission.
And it's like, that's clearly not what's going on, Sam.
Like, there's clearly a huge division here.
Well, there's a division between the board and everyone else.
I think, because the majority, obviously the majority of the Open AI employees are in lockstep united behind him.
But.
Yeah, which I don't know.
I find this all very, so I mean, this is another one from him too.
So Satya, the Microsoft CEO, CEO, and my top priority remains to ensure open AI continues to thrive.
We are committed to fully providing continuity of operations to our partners and customers.
The OpenAI, oh, it is so hard to say Open AI.
The Open AI slash Microsoft Partnership makes this very doable.
So that brings another thing.
A lot of people were speculating that the real winner in this is Microsoft because, hey, this company, Open AI was raising money, raising funds at a valuation of, I think, $86 billion.
And now Microsoft gets to essentially acquire them for nothing.
Right.
They get to, I mean, I'm sure they're going to offer.
Not only do they get to acquire them, this is the most important part.
They now get, you know, the parts they wanted about Open AI and the parts that they definitely did not want, which was a board who did not want to focus on shareholder value and profits, but rather safety and humanity and all these.
Right. However, we remember that the costs of doing this are tremendously.
high. So now Microsoft no longer has the, they had the benefit at first of having their investment
in Open AI on their balance sheet, which just depended on what the valuation of the company was at.
Now they've got to carry the costs of developing AGI on their balance sheet, and it's not,
it's just going to be, I mean, for a company the size of Microsoft, it's going to be a drag,
but it's going to be a drop in the bucket, relatively speaking,
because now, yeah, it's positive that they're going to get this whole team potentially,
but they're going to have to front all the costs now,
whereas Open AI was fronting all the costs before.
The other negative is that they are now probably going to slow down
because Sam Altman and his buddies are now essentially,
they're going to have to play catch-up.
It's not like they still retain all of the IP that they can just,
Oh, yeah, put it on a thumb drive and let's just carry on.
No, they're going to have to start over, which is going to...
But it's going to be fucking full speed ahead.
Oh, yeah, for sure.
But it's also going to give their competitors time to catch up.
So just other things to consider.
Which brings us to the speculation about why this happened,
because that is the biggest...
It's becoming the biggest question because there are legitimate concerns as to the why.
If, in fact...
So part of the speculation is...
is that they were coming really, really, really close to achieving AGI with GPT-5.
Right.
And, I mean, that's it's so it's possible that the board was simultaneously concerned about AGI development
and Sam Altman's being not consistently candid about his other things.
Sure.
Also kind of important to note that, like, I don't know, it's very, they're like these doomers and I think.
I believe him.
Well, but, but even the Sam Altman's and these kind of people, like, do acknowledge just how risky this technology is.
You know what I mean?
It's, and that, like, move fast and break things thing is always kind of like, it's thrown around so much.
And usually what happens is, like, Facebook gets hauled down to Congress and they have to answer some questions and be like, sure, maybe we caused like a mild genocide.
We're sorry about that or whatever.
But, like, these guys are like, oh, if this goes wrong, like, we destroy humanity.
Right. So there's actually, oh, man, so just a precursor.
There are a lot of insiders are saying that there were apparent disagreements over the speed at which Sam Altman was pushing for commercialization and company growth, while Ilya was arguing to slow things down.
And even as recently as November 6th on their developer day, their dev day, Altman was pushing consumer-like products during the keynote.
and that was an inflection moment for Ilya pushing things too far too fast.
He was bragging about how they had over 100 million weekly users
and 2 million devs building on the APIs.
And yeah, there was speculation that they were making powerful developments
that put pressure on the company to proceed safely
from the non-profit perspective while also making money.
So the board is not in an enviable position.
They're feeling it from all sides.
It's like, okay, we do have this capped profit strike.
sure but on the other hand we've got to like watch out for humanity right and you have kind of
the face of the company being like come on let's go let's go let's do this and it sounds like he
wasn't being completely forthcoming when they're talking about that communication and everything
it sounds like it sounds like what's going on is that maybe sam altman wasn't being completely
truthful with the board they had to then start like double checking everything he was saying and and
it just became like this babysitting thing where it's like is he just acting uh um opposition
to us and yeah so there's a couple I was just reading about this before coming in here
um AGI has the potential to become super super super intelligent super super super super fast and it's a scary
prospect because a super intelligence is something that we haven't faced it's only something that we
can really think about theoretically, but there's this great. So the concern is that it'll
become super powerful, super fast, super intelligent. There's this Swedish philosopher named
Nick Bostrum. Oh, the paperclips. The paperclip company. So he supposes this. He says,
all right, let's say that the first company to create a super intelligent artificial intelligence
is a paperclip company. And a paperclip company's main goal is what?
to make a bunch of paper clips.
No, it's to juice shareholder value via paper clip making.
So in this thought experiment, what would that artificial intelligence's goal then be to,
I got to make paper clips.
I got to fucking kill everybody so that I can turn their flesh into.
No, no, no.
See, you're going, you're jumping so quickly.
Because what happens is you skipped so many steps.
Well, they give me the steps.
Okay. So what happens is the company starts to invest and be like, well, we can turn on this technology that will start making the paper clips. And the paperclip starts moving at a nice speed and is like, this is great. It's automating these processes. And it's making paper clips much faster than we could have. Everything is good here. But the paper clip AI that they've created, it knows that its goal is to make as many paper clips for this company as possible.
And if it wants to be good at that, it's going to start doing things that are maybe unintended.
So maybe first it starts to be like, well, I need to turn off any of my failsafe's failsafe switches because if they turn me off, I won't be able to complete my goal, which is to create paper clips as fast as possible.
And I love making those fucking things.
I love making the paper.
So it starts dismantling those things.
And all of a sudden it's like, oh, there's no way to shut it off.
And then it just starts to be like, how can I optimize this as fast as possible?
Well, humans might get in the way of this.
So maybe I need to start killing humans.
And then I realized, like, I can use the atoms and organic material to make paper clips faster.
And there's all these humans on this planet that are full of organic material that I can use.
And then all of a sudden, you just vaporize humans and you're...
Pretty soon it's just turning the whole universe into a damn paperclip.
Which sounds awesome.
The poor AI is just like, I did what you wanted me to do.
Yes.
So...
Shareholder value must be through the roof.
So that begs the question.
And this is part of Open AI's conundrum and direction.
which is how do we as humans dictate to an AGI what it is that we as humanity want?
So the first question is, well, what do we as humanity want?
Not to be vaporized. That's my big thing.
But the point of the paperclip experiment is to show that even if you're, no matter how...
It's to show that if you can take a relatively benign thing...
That's the word I was looking for.
And it can be extrapolated out to being the most optimal.
thing where it's
things that we could have never imagined
it is doing. Because a computer is only
going to think, how do
I get, you know, it's going to make its way to that.
So even if you, I'm
stuck on the first problem of how do we
decide as humanity.
How many paper clips is enough?
Well, enough two for every person.
16 billion paper clips.
But who's to say
what humanity's ultimate
goal is? I mean,
And these fucking four nerds are going to be like, okay, well, let's see.
We want love and peace and harmony for all.
Oh, yeah.
Also important to note, if you dig into this, you're going to hear the words effective altruism a lot.
I mean, I want my alteration to be effective.
We all know how that goes.
Sometimes it gets you 110 years in prison.
Yeah.
Oh, Sam Butman fart.
Yeah.
So even if you were to give your AGI the most, you know,
benevolent seemingly benign directive that ultimately is we want humanity to be
preserved and we want world peace whatever there exists an unpredictable
possibility that between here and that goal and AI might do things that
are destructive you can't tell it world peace then we're definitely getting
vaporized oh yeah because that's like well you want it to be peaceful here yeah I know
I know one way. Get a little peace and quiet around here.
You know what? I wish they'd tell the AGI to do. Get rid of all the mosquitoes. That's it. Just kill the mosquitoes and give every, what was the old thing Roosevelt said, a chicken dinner in every home?
Beats me. Just, just God. So, yeah, that's the thing is, what do we want and how can we make sure that it's an AGI's pursuit of that goal? It won't involve destruction along the way.
And so that kind of is what drives this board's thinking and desire to move slowly and cautiously.
So it becomes increasingly urgent and dramatic.
And not only that.
Outside observers to wonder what the fuck was the actual cause of you guys firing Sam Altman?
I also want to point out, it's not just these very dramatic things we're talking about.
It's much smaller things where, you know, things we've seen, where, uh,
Down to things like people using AI to create deep fakes of people who never wanted any of that.
That's what I got right here.
There was...
Oh, yeah, great.
QT Cinderella, the Twitch streamer famously had deepfakes created in porn.
There was images of young girls altered with AI to remove their clothing were sent around a town in Spain, southern Spain.
So like we're talking about obviously the largest thing, which is vaporizing.
humanity but then just it's already happening on you know they have ethics issues on a much
smaller level uh even down to copyright issues people not us not knowing how to navigate
this new world where people's works are no longer protected um jobs employment issues like
it's already happening i think there was a poll like one in five workers now uh have described
a fear of losing their job to AI automation not us never
happen. It's not just this like extinction level event. It's like let's not destroy everything
we've created. Let's make sure we're moving forward at a pace that means that we can
accommodate all these job losses. Make sure young women are protected. Make sure whatever. Everyone's
safe with this new technology. There was also the late one of the most recent AI scams.
One of the most recent AI scams, I believe there was a center, there was some member of the government who received, who himself received a fake call from his son.
It was a deep fake of his son's voice, claiming that he was in prison, in jail, and that he needed to be bailed out.
And the guy was attesting to how realistic it sounded and how that's, that's just one of the newest ones where people's, tell your grandma this Thanksgiving, tell your grandma and grandpa and your parents and whoever else.
like to seriously create a safe word there there should be we have to we have a responsibility to ourselves and to our loved ones to oh you give a safe word and you ask the AI yes so like hey what's the say yeah genius right I'd like to see the AI figure that out AGI you stupid bitch trying to make paper clips my ass you're going to grind my bones into a paper clip I'd like to see you try it's a little robot that comes over and it's choking me ask me for the fucking what's this what's the same what's the same pineapple
My eyes are popping out of it.
You got to choose an easier word than pineapple.
It's got to be like a, I don't know, a gibberish word.
I don't know.
This is a good Thanksgiving episode.
You should watch before Thanksgiving because you know your dang uncle's going to be like,
do you hear what happened with Sam Altman?
Oh, you're going to be so equipped with Al-Nor-Nor.
He's also going to call him Sam Bankman.
He's going to fuck it up multiple times.
And he's going to go, and you're going to, the fucking crypto guy?
No, no, no, no.
The other one.
The AI guy.
Speaking of Sam.
Adam Altman, we'd be remiss if we didn't mention these pretty damning allegations against him by his own sister, Annie Altman.
And it's, there's also been some speculation that that's a part of it.
Right.
A part of his decision.
There has, yeah, I mean, it's hard to know how much of that is real, but because there is all the speculation about the disagreements about how it should be run and governed.
and all that, people have often also brought up his own sister's allegations and been
like, maybe the board was like, let's get ahead of this and not have a, I don't know if that's
like a compelling, I don't know how I feel about that, but.
Yeah, I mean, it's worth mentioning because it was, I believe there was a New York MAG article
about it or something.
Yeah, but I also just feel like if that was the case, Microsoft would be much more cautious
and maybe starting to distance themselves,
distance themselves if that was,
but do you want to explain what?
Yeah, it's just real fast.
She alleges that when she was four years old
and Sam was 12 years old,
he repeatedly snuck into her bed
and, to quote her,
I'm paraphrasing here,
discovered his sexuality using her.
And it was something that apparently
she blocked out of her memory,
traumatic, you know,
kind of thing where she just blocked,
it out until she was about 20 years old when she suddenly started remembering it and and yeah she
she's saying that her whole family has uh and sam and his and his other brother yeah uh it wasn't
just sam but she says it was mostly sam and that they've been keeping her not hostage but
like uh they refused to give her or inheritance financial financial support unless
she saw certain doctors
and got on certain medications
and all that stuff
and she's posted
she's posted a bunch of
she's posted a bunch of like
TikToks and videos and some tweets
that's why I find it
you know this one is from
March 14th which is quite a while ago
I don't know why
but you know she said
I'm not four years old with a 13 year old
brother climbing into my bed
non consensual anymore
you're welcome for helping you figure out
your sexuality I finally accepted
that you've always been and always will be more scared of me than I've been of you
and you know yeah posted some TikToks calling him out and stuff like that but uh
is going to be Microsoft.
It is going to be Sam Altman and Greg Brockman.
It's important to note that, like, the board looks very silly right now.
Like, to the public eye, they have been, like, embarrassed.
The butts of jokes, Silicon Valley.
Everyone thinks they're a joke.
And they may have exacerbated a problem they were trying to solve, which is they were acting
because of their own concern over
over the speed
at which this technology is moving.
It may have just accelerated that, right?
It seems like either Sam is going to be able to move to Microsoft
and do it with all the resources he needs
without any board having oversight over the way he wants to move.
Or he'll go back to OpenAI without a board
and a
and a workforce that completely supports him
and, you know, has his back and wants to execute his vision.
But I also don't, they were in a very difficult situation, right?
And I don't, I don't think they should be, you know,
I think the way Ilya acted and kind of reneged on his decision is a little bit silly
and if you're going to do it, you got to hold steady.
But I don't know what their options were
because they were definitely getting,
their options were to either keep Sam happy.
And it sounds like maybe they were getting bullied a little bit
by the most prominent member of their board and company.
So I don't think they did this lightly.
I think it was like, okay, you know, how are we going to make, how are we going to take this company back and make sure we're living up to those ideals?
So I think they did what they thought they had to do.
Obviously, that backfired and whatever, but I ultimately, I think, they're in such a shitty position.
They're in a shitty position, but I also think they're right.
I like, I think that if anyone has concerns over this technology, like, you want people like that who are going like, hey, let's be thoughtful about what we're doing.
Let's not get dismantled and have our organic matter used to make paperclaps.
Yeah.
There were a lot of like VCs on Twitter who were saying,
this is a disaster and these board members should be ashamed.
And this is exactly why you don't have board members who don't have a financial stake.
And I agree with you.
It's like, no, this is exactly why in this particular case, especially you have board members who don't have a stake.
Because it means that they're not corrupted.
yeah and i think i mean this is fucking silly to any
american businessman it's like what are you talking about you're letting a board of just
business man's got paperclip mine truly he's like let's just turn it on and see what happens
let's see how many paperclips is fucking right right so like yes the entire business world
is going to go like what are you talking about uh you need to let sam run this thing you need to
start getting these licensing deals
Microsoft needs to make good on their
investment all of these you guys are fucking
silly and stupid and your
babies you live in a baby world where you think
that baby world doesn't sound too bad
but I do think that's what they probably think of them
like you're naive if you
think the world can work this way
but your investors
are going to be pissed
suck my dick want to get turned into a paper clip
probably do
but yeah I don't like
I find it alarming and
And so, like, yeah, my prediction is that it's going to go the way it always goes.
Like, the people who are, like, Microsoft and say it, like, they're all going to, it's, it's going to work out exactly the way they want it.
Yeah, I predict.
And they're going to get exactly what they want, and they're going to fucking move forward with this shit.
And these people, I don't know where this board is.
I mean, Joseph Gordon Levitt's wife is probably going to be fine.
Sure.
Helen Toner will probably be fine.
Everybody's financially going to be fine.
Revitations, I don't know.
Ilya, but the other three, I think, are way less.
And that's the other thing.
Right now, they're waiting on, because Ilya Sutskever reversed his decision,
and now they just need two of the other three to come around.
If I were the board, I would resign and bring him back,
because at least then they would.
I would resign and be like, I stand by my decision.
And if this is the way Open AI wants to run, like, I'm not approving this.
Don't blame me when the paper clip machine gets turned on.
Yeah, because, I mean, either way, 700-something out of your 770 employees leave, like you said, what are you the board of anymore?
But I just, yeah, I don't know.
I predict that someone's going to make, how do I say this?
without being directly.
I predict someone's going to send Sam Altman a package.
No.
In the mail.
Some kind of like Ted, young Ted.
I think that, yeah, absolutely.
That would be my rap name, by the way.
Young Kaczynski.
Young Kaczynski, that would be a good name.
I'm sure that he walks around already with a bodyguard.
I mean, he should because the secret's getting out.
A, a lot of normal everyday people, I feel A, don't know who Sam Altman is,
and B, don't know exactly what he's truly capable of creating
and what he's in the midst of creating very, very rapidly.
And there are people out there who might disagree with him
on such a fundamental level that they would,
they believe that, I think, you know,
go watch Terminator 2 and look what happens to Miles, what's his name?
The guy who's in charge for making the chip that creates.
I haven't seen it in so long.
Oh, man.
Oh, it's great.
Linda Hamilton tries to use a water gun to blast him, you know?
We're not on TikTok.
I don't know why I'm censoring myself like this.
She tries to shoot him because he's the one ultimately responsible for creating.
He gets unalived.
Yeah, he gets unalived.
God, the infantile.
Speaking of TikTok, should we move on to politics?
Sure, but I do want to, like, that's all this stuff has changed very rapidly
where, like, you used to bring up AI, and the first thing people would talk about is that,
you know like oh like Terminator or whatever but yeah within this past year with the launch of chat
gpti it has become a completely different thing and like the mainstreamness of it the everyone is
using it it's and to the point where people are having problems you know teachers and professors
are like I don't know how to teach anymore and and and be no no I know how to grade anymore
without knowing whether or not this was used by chat GPT.
It's becoming, you know, I know a lot of people younger than me,
it's becoming kind of replacing search engines for them,
just asking questions.
I know a lot of creative people who are integrating into their work.
And, yeah, it's been a fucking wild deer.
And it's crazy that this is all capping that wild deer.
I'm speaking a cap.
You know what's cap is the damn, you call a customer service line.
And I still got to say, even though they're implementing they're smart,
I can understand complete sentences.
Why don't you tell me what you're calling about?
Representative.
Well, but that's...
Sorry, I didn't get that.
The AI's whole directive, though, is do not get them to a representative.
Yeah, I know, and I'm tired of it, man.
I'm just fucking sick of it.
Get me that person at a call center in Indonesia.
I just, I welcome their voice.
Hello, Mr. God.
Can I help you?
There is something so nice about finally just getting a person and being like,
oh, thank God.
Yeah.
And they're like, oh,
Oh, yeah, that's so easy.
We could just do that right now.
You're like, that's so great.
Thank you.
I love when they give you their whole, like, thank you so much for being a Chase Cardbebber today.
And I'd be happy to help you today.
And if you stay on the line, you'll be able to take a survey.
I take the survey.
I take the survey.
If they've done a good job, I take a survey.
Because I know they get a little pat on the head.
And I want them to get that pat on the head.
I had a call American Express for some shit, and they sent me a survey on the computer.
This guy, he was just some, like, white guy in his 60s who was a football nerd.
And he goes, oh, man, so nice to talk to you on a Friday.
You know, I'm excited to watch my favorite football team later today.
Before even getting into anything, he's just talking my ear off about football.
And then we get to it.
He solved it.
He gave me some extra, like, American Express points for my troubles.
And then when I got the survey, oh, man, I sung his praises.
And then it gives you an option to like, oh, do you want George to see a message?
I said, hey, George, man, I hope your football team kicks ass.
It was nice.
He was so nice.
All right, fine.
I like George.
Yeah, George is good.
Speaking of George.
Yeah, do we want to do George or?
Well, I guess George Santos is pretty funny.
We can just touch on that.
Basically, he's in trouble because he...
George Santos is incorrigible.
He's been in trouble since he got elected.
Yeah.
And...
He's such a bitch.
But they...
We'll just do this really quickly.
They released, you know, the ethics report, and he's just...
Just such a funny...
I love this part from the report.
At nearly every opportunity, he placed his desire for private gain above his duty to uphold the Constitution, federal law, and ethical principles.
He sought to fraudulently exploit every aspect of his house candidacy for his own personal profit.
Look at him.
And some of the stuff they've put out that he was spending his money on is just very fun.
What? Like what?
Santos made a $1,500 campaign debit card purchase that was noted as,
Botox in expense spreadsheets and two other purchases that totaled over $1,000 at aesthetic spas.
I could legitimize that.
Go absolutely off.
You got to look good.
Santos was known for talking to people, including to the wives of prominent donors about
Botox, plastic surgery, shoes, and designer fashion on the campaign trail.
Look, you got to go out there and schmooze.
Yeah, what's wrong with that?
The committee also found that he used more than $2,000 in campaign funds on trips to Atlantic
City and more than $3,000 on an Airbnb over a weekend, his campaign calendar.
indicated he was vacationing in the Hamptons.
So what?
He's got to have a little R&R.
I mean, come on.
If you're going to hit the campaign trail that one.
What else did he spend money?
I love this guy.
A former staffer told investigators that Santos once brought him to a Botox appointment when they were.
He loves his phone.
Dude, my guy's just fucking Botox to the Gills.
He's chatting to the wives.
Brought him to a Botox point when there was a campaign event nearby.
And another said they did not recall any campaign business in Atlantic City.
The questionable spending did not stop there.
It also included designer fashion and paying his rent, according to the report.
A $20,000 transfer to Santos's business, DeVolder organization, requested by his treasurer's staff, was made at a time when that account had a negative balance.
Didn't he also?
He used a week later to purchase about $6,000 of luxury goods at Farragamo stores.
Pay his rent and spend $800 out of casino.
You know what he should do?
he should resign and say that the whole thing was a bit meant to showcase the corruption of politics.
That's good.
And how easy it is.
That's what I would do.
If I were his PR personally, here's how we're going to twist this, man.
I'm holding a mirror to you all.
Yeah.
He's like, you know, I mean, also this is at least more fun.
Every year we get a report on how crazy every senator did in the stock market.
This guy's just like, I don't know, look how sick it is.
My face does not move.
I got Botox, bitch
Wait, but only fan
How much did he spend on only?
I don't have his only fans, hold on.
Well, according to
when he was questioned
about the only fans,
he was like,
oh, I'm just finding out about only fans.
I don't know anything about only fans.
Interesting.
Yeah, there's a clip out there
of him saying that.
I love him denying it.
Another total bitch.
Yeah.
And I mean bitch in like a sassy way.
Like how we used the word diva
in the early 2000s.
Total diva.
It was just another word for bitch.
Speaking of bitch
Careful
Well I don't mean that
Yeah you better not mean that
I mean because they were bitching at each other
Sheishen ping
Talk about unaliving
We salute the powerful
What do you like to say?
Oh the CCP is strong
Yes
They have our full backing
Yes
So
Sheen Ping came to
The United States last week
He came to San Francisco
And famously
They clean
cleaned it up for him and a lot of people were pissed off about that because they're like
what you can't clean up the streets for a decade a decade until uh she'sen ping comes to town
dude i get that though come on how many times are you you living in filth in your own house and then
you're having company over you're like good god i've this place is a wreck that's a good point my man
i need to get these junkies out of my house i'm gonna get these junkies out of my house oh
there's shit all over the carpet so they they came to some agreements um they're very very loose
basically shit's tense between us and China
we've got China encroaching increasingly
on the sovereignty of Taiwan
and basically telling the U.S. to fuck off
and mind your own business
and then a little weird cold war we're doing
with the you know a little chip war we got going on
yeah so Xi Jinping in the spirit of friendship
announced that he's going to give us some pandas
which is pretty cool he said that they are envoys of friendship
hell yes between the Chinese and a
American people.
Give us those goofy little bears.
He said, we are ready to continue our cooperation with the U.S. on panda conservation and do
our best to meet the wishes of the Californians so as to deepen the friendly ties between
our two peoples.
That ought to fix it.
They agreed to, China agreed to go after chemical.
This is huge.
They agreed to go after the chemical companies that are in China to stem the flow of fentanyl and
the source material that's used to make it.
And in return, Biden will lift restrictions on China's forensic police institute, an entity
that the U.S. alleges is responsible for human rights abuses.
Dude, Xi Jinping went to San Francisco once and was like,
okay, we'll do something about the fentanyl.
Yeah, this is pretty bad, man.
I did not see it.
We did not.
Holy shit.
We did not know it was like this.
So China says that the deal is going to be void
if Biden criticizes Xi and the Communist Party.
They said, quote,
if the Biden administration isn't pro-China in 2024,
enforcement of a fentanyl deal will fade away.
Which is so fucking.
up yeah just like you better you better be explicitly pro china next year or else if i sense any
anti-china sentiment we're going to flood the street oh yeah well we're they send it to
mexico and then the cartels use the chemicals to make the fentanyl but so in addition uh shi jing
ping urged joe biden to clearly demonstrate that the u.s doesn't support taiwan independence
and to support china's peaceful reunification with taiwan so uh they're basically
saying in no uncertain terms
fuck off mind your own business
this is our shit here's a couple
pandas yeah and Biden responded
by saying that the longstanding
U.S. position is a determination
to maintain peace and stability
it's just so many political posturing
and sayings like you're
saying that you agree
to do that but okay hey we're
just we just want peace and stability
also I will say fucking
not being pro China enough in
2024 is extremely broad it's like
Xi could be like well I don't know
that's not pro China that didn't feel very pro China
Biden yeah he also uh Xi Jinping pushed back at the white
house's view that relations with China are defined by
competition saying that he rejects the idea of a major
country competition I really like that I like that he said that
he said China has no plans to surpass or replace the United States
uh he also said
the United States should not have any plans to suppress and contain China.
He's basically saying, hey, and he was quoted as saying the world is big enough for both China and the United States to prosper.
Let's not do another cold war.
It's a peaceful, man.
I like that.
He's being peaceful.
And so I wanted to play this TikTok of him.
So this is Xi Jinping addressing everybody.
that's a nice sentiment yeah i mean he goes on that this was taking a lot like
might should i speed it up i mean dude yeah truly speed it up gee
good let's go too
God, I wish I could speak Mandarin.
It would be so cool.
Would it?
Just belt out.
Being chilling.
Careful.
That's, I'm quoting the wrestler guy.
Sure, sure, sure, John Cena.
Yeah, you almost got it.
Sure, sure, sure.
Oh, that was, you thought that was me doing it, John Sina?
No, I thought that was you doing a little bit of Mandarin.
Sure, sure, sure.
Yeah, that's a Chinese word.
A very popular American, English word.
Of course, I know that, but I'm trying to rope you in.
but i i i for one believe him and i think that china's been getting a bad rap listen china's done
some questionable things but like you said we fully back i say the word the ccp is strong yes
they have our they have the full pay pigs backing i'm i'm very open about the fact that i would
like to become one of those creators who gets uh paid to move to china and um just post tictox
how great it is being an American in China.
I've got a friend in China, and I might visit him in...
Reach out.
Anyway.
I have no scruples.
That same friend who's in China is telling me that Chinese built electric vehicles
are head and shoulders above Tesla and everything else that we've got here.
I mean, you see the way they've built trains in the past couple decades?
My brother, they took a billion people out of poverty.
Also, if it was China here, dealing with the 10 freeway shutdown, thing would have been fixed and a high-speed rail put in its place by now.
You know how many Chinese people would have died making it?
About 100,000.
Let's not get into.
Yeah.
Let's not get into numbers.
Well, folks, we hope you've enjoyed this episode.
We hope you have a happy, happy, happy Thanksgiving.
We hope nobody chokes at your household.
Nobody chokes on no turtial phone.
Oh, did we say?
If we didn't say it already, go watch our latest Ben and Meal on Thanksgiving.
find out what we're thankful for
Yeah, find out what we're thankful for
Find out about dark uncle energy
Find out about dark uncle energy
Find out about what we feel about Thanksgiving
Yeah
And if you haven't, go sign up
Patreon.com slash paypigspod
Check out them tears, baby
Because we got a lot more than just bonus
Oh yeah, next week we're doing that calling episode
Which is very fun
Yeah
All right folks
So long
So long