The Ben Mulroney Show - Best of the Week Part 3 - Scott Moe, Ian Lee, John Ivison
Episode Date: June 1, 2025Best of the Week Part 3 - Scott Moe, Ian Lee, John Ivison Guests: Scott Moe, Ian Lee, Dr. Eric Kam, Dr. Nadia Alam, Anthony Koch, John Ivison If you enjoyed the podcast, tell a friend! For more of... the Ben Mulroney Show, subscribe to the podcast! https://globalnews.ca/national/program/the-ben-mulroney-show Follow Ben on Twitter/X at https://x.com/BenMulroney Enjoy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
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Welcome to the Ben Mulroney Show Best of the Week podcast. We had so many great conversations this
week, including Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe joining me ahead of the First Minister's meeting.
Enjoy. Welcome back to the Ben Mulroney Show. And I want to thank you for joining us. You may be
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We post content over the course of the day,
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So just search up Ben Mulroney Show or The Ben Mulroney Show,
and there you will find some of our interviews,
some of our conversations, some of our panels.
So on June 1st and 2nd, this is the time of year
where prime ministers get really busy
with a lot of meetings.
We know that our prime minister obviously has
the G7 summit coming up in Cananaskis, Alberta.
That is in mid-June.
He's got the NATO summit that's coming up as well.
That's a very big deal as well,
because apparently on the table could be a discussion on elevating the commitment by member states in terms of
their spending on military, on their military from 2% of GDP up to 5% of GDP. I don't know
how Canada is going to get to that. We haven't been, we've been mired around 1% for so long.
I have no idea where we're gonna find that money,
but that is a problem for the guy who wanted the job,
Mr. Prime Minister Mark Carney.
But one of his signature promises, and to be fair,
it was a signature promise of Pierre Poliev as well,
was to break down inter-provincial trade barriers.
And by and large, it does seem like there is a willingness
to do that across this country,
more or less. Mark Carney promised that they would all be gone by Canada Day. That's not happening.
There will be legislation tabled by Canada Day. And so that's not the same thing. Am I going to
get super upset over a change like that?
Not really, but the devil's in the details, right?
What does it mean to reduce and eliminate
all of these inter-provincial trade barriers?
Keeping in mind that the sacred cow
of all inter-provincial trade barriers
is supply management of our dairy industry.
trade barriers is supply management of our dairy industry.
It's the Quebec and Ontario are very precious about that.
And if they get to keep that, then aren't other provinces gonna say,
well, if I get to keep that, if they get to keep that,
then we wanna keep a protection for this industry
or that industry.
So this will be a test of Mark Carney's ability
to bring people on side,
to convince them that life is better
in a world with fewer barriers.
And also he said on the campaign trail,
I'm gonna get rid of all inter-provincial trade barriers,
but supply management is here to stay.
I'm not here to debate the merits of supply management.
I've had people come on to talk about how,
why it's a great thing.
I've had people come on to tell me why it's a terrible thing.
But I don't know how your opening salvo can be,
we're going to get rid of all interprovincial trade barriers,
except for that one.
And that one deeply affects Ontario and Quebec.
So what's Saskatchewan going to do?
What's Alberta going to do?
What's BC going to say they need to protect?
If he can eliminate all interprovincial trade barriers, What's Alberta going to do? What's BC going to say they need to protect?
If he can eliminate all inter-provincial trade barriers
with the exception of supply management,
that will be a testament to his ability to negotiate.
It just will.
Like you'll have to give him kudos
for doing what he said and saying what he did.
And so that is going to be on the docket
for this in-person first ministers meeting
on June 1st and 2nd in Saskatchewan.
One of the issues that I know is important and central
to the people of Saskatchewan is the tariffs
on canola products by China.
You will remember that we as a nation placed a 100% tariff
on Chinese EVs.
We don't want them in our country for a number of reasons.
One of them is an issue of national security.
They have too many cameras and too many listening devices.
And we don't know who's got that data.
And we don't know if the Communist Party of China
is able to essentially spy on our country
with these cars.
We have no idea.
And so because of that, we placed a tariff on their cars
and they reciprocated by tariffing canola
coming out of Saskatchewan, which is
a huge export for that province.
And some people believe that what that does is we've prioritized our EV industry over
our farmers and here to discuss that and a few other issues.
We're very happy to be joined by Scott Moe, the Premier of Saskatchewan.
Premier, welcome to the show.
Thanks so much for joining us.
Hey, thank you so much for having me. I appreciate your time.
So I was just bringing our audience up to speed on
so the tariffs on canola, which is a huge industry in Saskatchewan.
Can you give us some more detail as to the impact
that those tariffs are having on that
industry and any communication that you might have had with the federal government on getting
China to lift that tariff?
Yeah, first, we've talked not only with the Chinese ambassador to Canada, the Canadian
ambassador to China, they've talked to the prime minister as well as a number of other
ministers about it. Prime Minister Carney and his cabinet is
engaging
with China.
Our ask is for
the federal government to request to start
negotiations on how we can work
through this trade relationship with
China.
From China's perspective,
it's a counter-tariff on the
steel, aluminum and electric cars.
So that is going to have to be part of that conversation moving forward. So that is going to have to be part of that It's a counter tariff on the tariff on steel, aluminum, and electric cars.
And so that is going to have to be part of that conversation moving forward.
And the impacts on the Western Canadian agriculture industry, and largely from our perspective,
the Saskatchewan canola industry, are pretty severe.
We've worked hard and have attracted investment the last number of years to increase our value added oil production.
And to lose a market like China, which is a large market,
one that we've worked hard to acquire
is incredibly challenging for the pricing of that product.
There's really three products there.
There's seed, there's canola oil, and there's canola meal.
And-
Mr. Premier, do you feel like farmers have been sacrificed at the altar
of an EV industry in Canada that is not actually performing very well? To some degree they have.
Yes. And yeah, that is my feeling in a voice that the secondary thing to this is we are being hurt
by the there's a price reduction, I price reduction on canola today.
It is still not at zero of course.
We still do have market access
to markets around the world
because of our global presence
and because of the effort we have made
as a province for the last decade and a half
in ensuring we have those provincial
relationships with countries
outside of Canada
around the world. and have introduced and
worked alongside our exporting agri-food industries to ensure that they have solid and sound relationships
as well.
So the canola does flow to other markets and even sometimes it will flow into China from
those other markets as well.
However, there is a price reduction that is in effect today.
So farmers are being sacrificed at the farm gate
for some of the policies that our federal government has made. And so for all the reason
that we are, you know, a nation of Canada, they need to get to the table and that's our
ask. Get to the table with China and work through this. Mr. Premier, I know that there's going to
be a lot on the table to discuss on June 1st and 2nd at the first minister's conference that
that Mark Carney will be in
attendance at in your home province. I want to talk about his stated goal of eliminating
all interprovincial trade barriers, but the sacred cow that he says he's not going to touch
is supply management of the dairy industry that really benefits Quebec and Ontario.
And I wonder, can he truly find a national consensus if that is off the table?
Well, like, the same would hold true, I think, when you look at building Canadian economies.
You need to realize that it's the sum of its parts. It's 10 provinces and three territories.
The same goes when it comes to interprovincial trade. And so everything has to be on the table. I would say the quickest way to make
great strides in this space is
to take the offer that the Western and
Northern Premiers offered last week
coming out of Yellowknife was to
expand the new west partnership to the
other six provinces and to the three
territories.
The three territories over there were
open to having a look at that.
But we would ask the other six provinces to join as well.
It would be a great stride forward.
It is the gold standard when it comes to free
and fair trade between the four Western
provinces.
To expand it to the rest of Canada would be the
easiest, the quickest and the most open trade
that we have ever experienced in this
nation.
Well, Mr.
Scott Moe, Premier of Saskatchewan. I know that you've got a lot to prepare for because this
summit is coming up in short order. So as the host, I wish you the very best. I hope that Saskatchewan puts its best foot forward and I hope that your concerns are heard and acted upon by
this new Liberal government. Thank you very much for joining us today.
I share all of your hopes and desires. Thank you for having me and wishing
all your listeners a great week. All the best. All right. After the break, we're going to take
a look at the travel industry, the airline industry in this country. Don't go anywhere.
This is the Ben Mulroney show. Welcome back to the Ben Mulroney show. The 26th president of the
United States, Theodore Roosevelt used to famously say, speak softly and carry
a big stick.
It was big stick ideology where Donald Trump has his own big stick energy where he speaks
very loudly and wields a huge stick in the form of tariffs.
He's been able to scare the ever loving bejesus out of the global economy trying to get them
to bend to his will with the threat of tariffing the heck out of the global economy, trying to get them to bend to his
will with the threat of terrifying the heck out of anything that comes into his country.
Well now there is he's got a huge setback because there's a court in New York made up
of three judges that said that's not your power to yield the wield.
That's not yours.
You've been abusing of that power and you've got 10 days to reverse course on most of the tariffs
that you have been applying around the world.
Unfortunately for Canada, the aluminum and steel
are still gonna be tariffed, but 10 days from now,
we could see the lifting of most of the tariffs
that have been hampering our economy
and hampering our ability to do business
across the border for far too long.
So discuss this and the Canada Post situation as well.
We're joined by Ian Lee, associate professor at Carleton University at the Sprott School of
Business. Ian, thanks so much for being here. My pleasure, Ben. Thank you. Yes. So this is,
this has been a tool in his toolkit. He was chomping at the bit to unleash tariffs on the world
prior to coming into office. And now he's got some judges telling him, yeah, that's just not your power to wield.
You're right. And this is, I think it's good news, the checks and balances that exist in the US and Canadian system.
A lot of people are dismissing these checks and balances. They've always been there. Courts,
opposition leaders, media,
protesters and so forth. So there's tons of checks and balances. This is one very powerful check and balance. I don't want to get too ahead
of this because this was a trade court. It's a specialized court and they
ruled that those tariffs imposed under one specific act, some emergency
legislation, are invalid. He didn't justify or invoke that same act for all
of us, but yes a good chunk of them.
But the first thing is the White House has already said they're going to appeal this.
And so, yeah, but Ian, just to be clear for our listeners, he absolutely has the right
to appeal.
But in the interim, the terrorists have to come off within 10 days.
If they apply, and I'm not a lawyer, but my understanding is they can apply to a higher
court for a stay of that order.
So yet to be determined.
I'm not certain he may go to a superior court and say, we want you to postpone that order
to rescind the tariffs until it's been dejudicated by a higher court.
So they might disappear in 10 days or more likely they'll find a workaround.
So this is so central to everything that Donald Trump wants to accomplish.
The, the ability to,
to declare tariffs and levy tariffs and threatened with tariffs.
I don't know where he goes or what he does.
I don't know what this administration does without that power.
I don't think they've thought that that they, they wouldn't have the power.
I agree because it's been at the centerpiece of everything that he has said and done, not only
just in the last 90 days. I mean you go all the way back to 2016 when he was elected the first time.
Yeah. It was the centerpiece then. So he's a one-trick pony. Yeah. You know, he doesn't have
another trick up his sleeve so to speak. And, there's no question that this is going to throw a big
wrench into the machinery and it's really going to slow them down and make them rethink.
People need to remember that traditionally the right to tariff, the ability to tariff,
is the exclusive domain of Congress and it can be taken by the President under certain circumstances,
most notably national emergencies. And, and in this case,
we were told both the fentanyl cover that he claimed was a national emergency, as well as this
idea that a trade deficits unto themselves constitute a national emergency, don't hold water.
Exactly. And this is, I mean, again, I just think this is wonderful news because there
are checks and balances and it's not just, you know, people writing op-eds in the, you know,
in the New York Times. There's protesters across the country. My sister is an American citizen
living in Arizona. She says, it's not getting reported in the national media. She says there's
a lot of protests out there in different cities about his terror. So, and then of course, there's
apparently there's just court actions being launched left, right and center across the U S so one of them's
going to stick sooner or later. One of them is going to stick. And what we could witness, if this,
if this judgment holds and it is, and he is told in no uncertain terms, and after he exhausts every
legal recourse that there is no, you do not have this power,
Mr. President.
What that is going to do to the dynamic between leaders, our prime minister and this president,
I think there is going to be a re-realignment because all of a sudden the force and the
weight of his office is lessened in significant ways.
Exactly. And which is going to ironically drive him back to a trade agreement, I believe,
because a trade agreement is within his purvey.
It'll have to be ratified by Congress for sure.
But he can propose a trade agreement with tariffs in it,
whatever he can get Canada to agree to. I'm not saying I know what that is.
But my point is a trade agreement at least
is going to make it legal.
It's going to codify it.
And so he may, ironically, the man who's been famous
for being so dismissive of trade agreements
may be forced back to a trade agreement
because of the courts not allowing him
to go to the tariff route.
Yeah, we'll have to.
This is a binary.
I honestly didn't see this coming yesterday.
Very glad it did.
And the implications of this decision will be felt at Cananaskis in the next couple of
weeks when the leaders of the G7 unite for that meeting.
But I want to turn our attention to Canada Post.
You know, we went through that work stoppage at the end of last year. There was the threat of one just a few days ago. It did not come to pass. They are in a strike
position, the workers, but they've chosen just to throttle back on overtime. And now Canada Post
has offered what they say is their best and final offer to the employees of Canada Post.
Tell me what you make of the offer. The offer is really it's not about wages. Yes, wages are on
the table. Of course, they are they always are in any
negotiation. But that's not the main show. That's not the that
that's a side show. The main show is are they going to
restructure so they can deliver parcels on the weekends when a
lot of the action of parcel delivery occurs and become
competitive, which they're not now with private couriers and I do have the data I promise you. Okay. So they're trying to
do is trying to do some incremental structural reforms. It won't be the
total solution. They've still got to rely on the government to you know end
the home delivery the 25% of Canadians to do because that's cost a half a
billion more a year. They got to end the five day a week delivery to every
address in Canada because there's not enough mail, mile, volumes.
But if they can, if the government can do that side and they,
Canada post management can get W to agree to reforms on the, on the,
on the parcel side on the weekends,
then they will at least be still in the game. They, in other words,
they're not out of the woods at all
because they're losing money like crazy.
They're still gonna have to get out of the game.
Yeah, $1.3 billion in operating losses last year.
That's a heck of a nut.
Yes, and just so everybody understands,
within the end of this year, they've already said,
Canada Post has said,
we're gonna run out of the last bailout of a billion.
They'll be back to the government to get a new,
the government's not calling it a bailout,
but that's what it is. And they'll be back to pick government to get a new, the government's not calling it a bailout, but that's what it is.
And they'll be back to pick up because they have no reserves left.
They've said so in the report, the Audit Denny report, they said, we burned through all
our cash reserves.
So whatever loss they lose has to be picked up by Canada Post, by the government of Canada
because they're the taxpayer, they're the owner of the post office.
So we the taxpayers are going to be on the hook for funding this company until it gets, if it ever does get back to
profitability.
And I get so many packages delivered to my home from Canada post. Why aren't they? And
we only about a minute left. So if you can let me know in about a minute, why aren't
they in your words, competitive with private industry? Cause I'm like I said, they're always
at my house.
Yeah. It's, it's partly the inflexibility. They have to pay time and a half, sometimes double
time on the weekends. It's partly they are paid more than the private firms. But I think that
can be dealt with. If you have higher productivity, you can pay workers more money. Yeah. But their
problem is, is their code, their current structure is too rigid. Yeah. And in in parcel business,
you got to be much more dynamic and fluid and
willing to change on a dime and the gigs are killing them because they're
flexible they're innovative and Canada Post isn't so what they're trying to do
is do some incremental structural reform through the collective agreement with
the threat I think in the background of the government saying well we're gonna
do something much worse to you if you guys don't get your act together so I
think that's the threat link hanging over their head of both CupW and Canada Post. Get your act
together because you may not like what the government of Canada will do to you if you can't
get your act together. Ian Lee, I really appreciate having you on for these two really important
stories. I think the implications for both are we're going to go far and wide. So your insights were really important, at least for me. So thank you very much, my friend. Thanks very much, man. Thank you.
You are listening to Ben Moran. You show him because of that. I say thank you. I say welcome.
And I say, let's build this show together. Lots of stories with economic angles that are affecting
so many Canadians for so many different reasons. So let's break a lot of them down now with what great friend of the show, somebody who really
doesn't need a reason to give us his opinion, but I'm going to elicit it. In this next segment,
please welcome to the show, Dr. Eric Kam, economics professor at Toronto Metropolitan University.
Eric, thanks so much for joining us. Benedict, it is always an honour and good morning from Denver,
Colorado. I can, I can tell I can see the
mountains in the background. I don't look like it looks like a
very comfy, comfy hotel room. I hope I hope you're getting a
good night's sleep. The hospitality is wonderful. And
just for you, I made the bed. Okay, well, let's talk about
that the the Canada Post putting forth its final offers to the
union. And this is with the backdrop of them posting a $1.3 billion operating loss last year.
This is the house is on fire.
And I don't know what to make of this.
What's your take on the health and long term longevity of Canada Post?
I can't believe the stupidity on both sides, Ben.
First of all, on the part of the union,
unless they're completely out to lunch or living under a rock, they know that their jobs,
their livelihood are in jeopardy. And whoever runs Canada Post should really understand that
by now this is a dead, not outdated, a dead business model. So you don't think that you
don't think that there's a future for some version of Canada Post with a
smaller, a smaller footprint, a smaller workforce, paired back
hours paired back delivery dates, you don't you don't think
that there's a future for them somehow.
I think if you were running them, and you had those ideas,
then possibly, but the problem is, I see no flexibility and no
nimbleness or willingness to change. Listen,
there's two things that they're not responsible for. There is a massive decline in letter mail,
and there is huge rising parcel competition. That's not their fault. But their high
operational costs are brutal. The customer experience is terrible. Government constraints
on them, like most government constraints, are bad. And so if you wanted to present me with some model that shows that
it could work with say weekly mail service or restricting mail service to northern communities
that may not have Wi Fi like we do, maybe but as it stands right now, it is a it is
a dead company walking.
All right, let's let's move on to some data that
just came out. You know, we heard a lot the especially Pierre Poliev and the conservatives
for years. They were talking about choices that Canadians had to make. They had to pick be that
to pick between paying their rent or buying gas, feeding their kids or paying their mortgage. And
now Equifax has said that 1.4 million Canadians
missed credit card payments in the first quarter of 2025.
So those choices are affecting people's credit rating
at this point.
People's credit rating and their livelihood.
I mean, we've been saying for years,
people really haven't been listening
that the average savings rate in Canada is zero. Yeah. And so this is a real forecast that the average savings rate is only going down,
not up. And this is really a very bad foreshadow for what's coming next, Ben, because all that
increasing debt levels in this country have done is they are going to positively predict
bankruptcies, personal insolvencies,
people who have to walk away from their homes.
This is really, really bad.
And this is, as we were talking last week,
along with the unemployment rate,
if you look at the debt equity ratio just on houses,
when those two statistics,
when the bottom falls out of those two statistics,
it doesn't matter if you think you're headed
toward a recession, Ben, you're in a recession.
Yeah.
Now this is, this to me should be an alarm bell going off somewhere in Ottawa
to let people like these, these are the bad indicators that proceed something worse.
Well, that's right. And that's why they're called leading variables. Because when we see these go
poor, we know that everything's going poor. And this is just more and more mounting evidence, Ben.
What does it take for the people in Ottawa to realize that a capitalist economy is only
solvent when it grows?
And our economy hasn't grown in years, not months, years.
And yet they keep running like a football game, the same play over and over again, they drop interest
rates that does nothing for housing affordability. That makes the debt crisis worse. That makes
almost every crisis worse unless you're wealthy and you're borrowing money. But wealthy people
don't really have to worry at most times. So they keep coming up with one solution that
makes the problems we have today worse. And I wish people would wake
up and see what's going on. If there's one pet peeve I have about government is when they insist
on calling every aspect of spending an investment and not every, not at not every time you spend
money is an investment. However, CIBC is reporting that Mark Carney's defense spending plan is actually an investment.
If it's done properly, it could have a knock on effect of up to $46 billion to the economy.
What's your take?
Well, you're right.
Consumption is not investment and investment is not consumption.
And as we pointed out, the only growth in our economy has been playing around with the
business cycle to make sure that spending stays at a significant level
Due to interest rates, but that's not your question
The question is is investing in the military going to stimulate an economy and the answer is like all spending
It can yeah in the short run
But it's if it's not followed by some growth then it's just going to do what all spending does and become inflationary
some growth, then it's just going to do what all spending does and become inflationary in the long run.
So, you know, the PM can try to impress you with I'm going to spend here and I'm going
to spend there.
But, you know, the Prime Minister's spending is no different than a household spending.
You can stimulate spending easily, right?
Because the government has a Visa card or a MasterCard that doesn't have a credit limit.
So they can spend and spend and spend.
But is it going to do anything then increase the business cycle? No. And of course, it's going to increase the payments on
the debt at the outer end. So a little bit like they tried to use immigration as a growth strategy
and it failed. If they're going to use military spending as a growth strategy, it's going to fail.
Well, so long as I mean, it depends on what they want to invest in. I mean, if it's if all they're
doing is going to say the UK or France
to buy military equipment, then that's,
that you're outlaying cash.
But if the goal is to invest in building
military procurement ability here in Canada,
well, then there's all sorts of knock-on effects
that can come from that.
Then there's the entire towns that could be built
around something like that.
So I do see a pathway for this to be
sort of a new engine to an entire sector of the economy. But it depends on how they do it and how
they pay for it. Well, you're right. And so what you're talking about in a broad stroke is saying,
shouldn't we start to stimulate the supply side of our economy through efficiencies,
through research and development, through investment spending
through foreign investment spending, and trying to increase levels of competition in our country
to increase output per worker. So you're 1000% right, I agree. But is there a propensity
to do that in Ottawa today? I've seen nothing over the last nine and a half years. And frankly,
I don't expect anything else for the next nine and a half months, then
Donald Trump has not had a very good couple of well, a day between this tariffs being
told he doesn't have the power to levy tariffs. And then he was told that he has a new nickname
or there's a new type of trade called taco trade that stands for Trump always chickens
out. Let's listen.
Mr. President, Wall Street analysts have coined a new term called the taco trade. They're
saying Trump always chickens out on your tariff threats, and that's why markets
are higher this week. What's your response to that? I kick out. Chicken out. Oh, and then I
chicken out. I've never heard that. You mean because I reduced China from 145 percent that I
set down to 100 and then down to another number and. I think that that was it's deliberately antagonistic of a
man you probably don't want to antagonize, but is there truth
in this nickname?
Yeah, and I have to say, I don't know if he's making America
great again, as I sit here, but he sure is making comedy great
again. Well, okay, so here's what's going on, which is, I
don't care what anybody says, I don't believe that donald j trump is an idiot
And I think he has also pretty smart people around him and he knows that what he did was put on a power play
That he probably figured would gain him some economic and political capital
Well, I don't know if it gained him political capital, but it didn't gain him economic capital because as any textbook will tell you,
the more you increase tariffs, which are just a tax,
it's gonna decrease your economic output.
So he either found out the hard way
or he knew all along that what he was doing
was gonna slow down his economy.
So, you know, this is not the man you wanna pee off Ben,
so I don't like to throw titles at him,
but I think what he's done
is updated his economic expectations, and he has said, I better go back to the playbook because this isn't working.
And even, even my most safe market, my bond market is tanking. So I'd like to think that
he just woke up and said, you know what? Play A didn't work. Let's go to plan B.
All right, my friend, listen, I appreciate it. Have a great time out West. Enjoy the
fresh Colorado air.
We'll talk to you soon.
Everybody here sends their love, Ben.
Stay healthy.
Thank you, my friend.
Welcome back to the Ben Mulroney Show
and thank you so much for joining us.
Healthcare in this country is a cherished right.
It is a cherished institution, so much so
that it's, poll after poll after poll suggests that this government
program is viewed by so many of us as something that defines us
as a country. And so we spend a lot of time particular attention
on the ills that are facing our health care systems across this
country. And one of the hardest things to do these days is to
find a family doctor. And so when I hear that nearly 40%
of the 6300 family doctors who entered the physician workforce
in Ontario have devoted their careers to something other than
office based cradle to grave comprehensive primary care, I was
like, ah, therein lies one of the problems. So talk about that.
And much more a great friend of the show and a great friend of
mine is Dr. Nadia Allam. She's a family
doctor and past president of the Ontario Medical Association doc
welcome to the show.
Thank you so much, Ben.
Okay, so so these numbers are in the Globe and Mail today. What
do they mean to you?
It confirms everything that my colleagues and I have been
saying on the front lines for a very like for years
and I'm talking about years so pre-pandemic we started my colleagues and I started noticing that
more and more family doctors knew grass were choosing to go into these focused practices where
they're they're sub-specializing in something as opposed to doing what I do, which is taking care of people from birth to death. Yeah. Right. So comprehensive care. And we started talking about it, but it's,
this is the first time I've seen data to prove it.
Yeah. Yeah. We've been able, you've been, you've been seeing it with your eyes and anecdotally,
you knew it to be true. And now it's being confirmed by the data. Is it because of the
flexibility and perhaps a higher pay that, you know, the
schedule allows them to be in more control of their, their, their schedules and make more money?
Is that why they would be making this choice? That's part of it. Family doctors have for a
couple of decades now been slowly seeing reductions in their take-home pay. And that's partly because they run small
businesses, which is challenging. We're not trained in running a small business. We're trained in
medicine and the costs of business going up. But part of it is also that we're just not paid as much
as we used to in terms of proportion. A lot of it though, I think has to do with the burden of
paperwork and the burden of
trying to use electronic medical records that are not user friendly.
Yeah.
You and I have talked about this a lot.
There are solutions on the horizon, probably not just on the horizon, but in market right
now that could help reduce that burden, that time on paperwork versus time with patients.
Correct.
Yeah. And that's what I'm hopeful for. We've got artificial intelligence scribes that
some family doctors swear by because they find it really helps them take off one administrative task
off their list, right off their shoulders. Yeah. But doc, wouldn't it, I mean, you got to get these,
you got to get these doctors early. Like once they specialize, that's it. As they say, here's another line I use all the time. The game is up. Yeah. Yeah. So you're right.
You're right. When they come out of training, it's a bit of a culture shock, right? Because
they come into the real world where they may not be part of a family health team. They may not have
nurses. They may have to pay for nurses to be in their office. All of a sudden they realize the cost of leasing, the work that goes into maintaining an office,
the cost of buying medical equipment. Oh my goodness. And then the reality of
your paperwork following you everywhere. I had a family doc who retired and the first thing he
said to me that he noticed was he could sleep three more hours a night because he wasn't up at night thinking about, Oh, did I do this for that patient? Did I do that
for that patient? Of course, because it's evidently been, you end up loving your patients. Like you're
really, yeah, doc, how much of it? Yes, the paperwork is the burden. Uh, and, and, and that
needs to be addressed. There are some tools with AI. How much of that could, how much of it is superfluous on its face? Meaning how much of it is bureaucratic busy work that has been
added just because over the course of years and years and years? Like is there, could
somebody come in there and do some sort of forensic analysis of the paperwork that is
required of a family doctrine and say, you know what, 25% of this doesn't need to happen, but it's there because somebody decided to just add one more form
to the pile and then another person added another form. And next thing you know, it's a whole extra
hour of work a day that just doesn't need to be there. Oh my God. You read my mind. I wish someone
would, I wish someone would come in and some of it. I already
know. I know that some of these disability forms need to be filled out by physicians,
but some of these insurance forms do not need to be filled out by a physician.
Some of these other forms can be filled out by the patients themselves because they know
a lot of their health history or they could just ask me, I am their health record custodian. The
information belongs to them.
If they want the information, I just email it to them.
Yeah.
Yeah.
In a secure server.
But it's just seeing some of these forms come again and again and again.
It's frustrating.
It's frustrating because nothing's changed with the patient.
Yeah.
But you have to spill it all out again.
All right.
Let's, let's, let's switch topics for a moment because there's a, there's a headline
that I'd love to get your take on. When I read the headline that says almost 70% of Canadians surveyed
want child vaccines to be mandatory. So a couple of things. One, I'd love to know what you think of
that number. It does that impress you or does that worry you? And two, how come they're not mandatory?
All right. So first, I actually thought
the number would be higher.
I really did.
I'm glad it's 70%, I'm glad it's the majority,
but I thought it would be close to 80 to 90%.
And that's partly because of how you hear about kids
not only getting sick from vaccine preventable illnesses,
but dying from those illnesses, which is horrifying because it is entirely preventable illnesses, but dying from those illnesses, which is horrifying because
it is entirely preventable.
Um, I, I understand that parents are trying to make the best decisions possible and there's
so much information, misinformation, disinformation out there that it's no wonder they're confused
about what is the best option for their kids.
I mean, yeah. Cause I can't remember. Uh, I can't remember when my,
I remember when my kids were born and I remember that they got their,
their childhood vaccines, but I don't,
I don't remember being given a choice. Like to walk me through the process.
When a child is born in a hospital,
the doctors come to them or the nurses come to them
and say what?
So when a child is born,
we only keep them about 24 to 48 hours.
So we do the absolute necessity of what we need to do
to make sure they've begun their life in a safe way.
And then we bump them to the family doctor
or the nurse practitioner.
And then at that point, we start taking care of them, making sure they're gaining weight,
meeting all the developmental milestones.
But we also start talking about vaccines, which start at age two months.
What I'm noticing more and more now is there's a certain amount of vaccine hesitancy that you're seeing.
People are saying, I need to take a beat. I need to think about this. I need to research it.
Oh boy, I gotta do my own research.
Those are my favorite people.
Hey doc, we gotta leave it there,
but great talking to you again
and look forward to talking to you again in the future.
Thank you so much, Ben.
Have a great day.
You know, we're living in a time
where I believe there's a crisis in confidence
of those people that we used to trust implicitly, you know, we're living in a time where I believe there's a crisis in confidence of those people
that we used to trust implicitly, you know, and we've witnessed the byproduct of that
in really interesting ways.
I've seen now, you know, the rise of the of the stand up comedian slash expert slash podcaster
has replaced a lot of those voices that we used to trust.
And our next guest sort of breaks that down
and asks, you know, what role do elites,
should elites play in society?
So please welcome to the show, Anthony Kosh,
a good friend of the show and, well, welcome Anthony.
Thanks for having me on, Ben.
Yeah, so you wrote in the National Post, anti elitism is
antithetical to the conservative tradition. What's what's the
takeaway from your column, your opinion piece? Here's basically
the point and you addressed a little bit over the course of
the last decade and a half, even two decades, what we've seen
over the course of multi across multiple societies and what we
can call Western civilization, the failure of elites, okay, across a number of issues, whether it was,
for example, lying about weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, or some of the handling of the COVID
crisis, whether that be on the financial side, the great financial crisis in 2008. The point
is all these people like you said, that Joelo shmo, people like me and you used
to tune into our televisions, radio sets, the newspapers and trust implicitly because
they were the people that had a hand in things.
They were the people who knew what was going on and they could tell me what to expect.
They were wrong about a whole bunch of stuff.
And the problem is as a result of that, as a result of what I think is two pronged, one
legitimate failures and two, I think overconfidence
on behalf of elites.
It's okay to say when you don't have a hundred percent sure bet on something, but oftentimes
people feel like they have to speak as if they do.
So what's happened is you got a backlash going on right now and it's not just against specific
individuals, it's against the entire idea of expertise and elites in general.
Basically what I'm saying is every society ever
in history has had hierarchies, every organization,
every business, every community, hierarchy is necessary.
It's good in most circumstances.
The problem is not with hierarchy or elites in general.
It's more to do with the specificity of the fact
that the ones that we have right now have failed
and we need to replace them.
Well, and I'm glad that you're the one who wrote this because I think I think
conservatives and the conservative movement writ large is unfairly tarred with the brush
of being anti intellectual populist and therefore rejecting of of of that that high degree of
a special specialization and information.
And you're saying that's not the case.
It's not, to be conservative doesn't mean
you reject elites.
It's just a rejection of sort of the ones
that have failed us.
Correct, and also a recognition that we probably live
in a society today with over-credentialization.
So it's
about prioritizing hierarchies of competence. It's not just because you have
a name, a letter next to your name. Sometimes the letter next to your name
is indicative of some competency, but it's not automatic. And that sort of
placeholder that we fit in for a lot of people, or we jump the gun because so-and-
so went to so-and-so's school, that they must be a genius who knows everything
about everything, and then maybe another person who did
and doesn't know anything.
That's not the way we have to approach this thing.
It's about, of course, there's some people who know more
and a lot more in many instances
about specific important topics
than regular people that you find off of the street.
And those people should be given influence
and the ability to influence positions,
public policy or whatever on those specific topics.
But at the same time, we also have to have, in order to be able to get back to that sort of place,
a recognition that the sort of automatic trust that's been placed in a lot of people over the course of the last two decades,
people rightfully, it's not some sort of distortion, rightfully feel frustrated by the fact that that trust was misplaced in many circumstances,
and they were forced to face circumstances that they themselves were told were not supposed to come to pass. Right. So people are
upset, they're feeling frustrated, there's a bit of a backlash and a lashing out at the system in
general going on. Some of it's fair, some of it's probably torqued a bit. But my point is basically
just to say the problem is not with hierarchy in general, without the fact that we need greater
accountability, right? To whom
much is given much is demanded in return. That's a good thing. It's a good principle to have for
society in many respects in terms of responsibility. We just got to home the message a little bit,
make sure that we're focusing on the right problem. But, but Andy, why are we living in a time
where it does seem because you lay out some pretty compelling examples. And when you hear them,
my God, yet we have been failed by the people that we used to
trust implicitly.
How did that happen?
How did so many people on so many key files at different times in different sectors all
collectively drop the ball?
It's a great question.
If I have a concrete answer for you, I'd probably, you know, be making a lot more money than
I have.
But I think what it really comes down to, it's a couple of things.
I think there's a problem in our society in the sense that there's a tendency towards
elite consensus.
Okay.
So you often saw this was during COVID, this is during economic crises, whatever.
And it's fine.
I understand that sometimes in crises, you want to have a sort of party line in quotation
marks because you want to make sure that if you need people to follow certain rules in
a quick period of time, sometimes that could be. But the point is the silencing of dissenting
voices and not regular random joblo schmo. I'm talking about actual people who are experts
in their own rights, but dissented with, let's say the majoritarian position. But I also
think we have to recognize,
we live in a world that is changing faster than ever before.
There are more variables to account for than ever before.
And in doing so, a lot of people who have expertise
are also failing to recognize their own limitations
in many respects, in terms of predicting certain things,
transpiring, whatever.
And like I said, I also think a lot would go a long way. If for example, during
COVID when new policies were coming out, there would have been a bit more honesty.
Oh yeah.
How certain, about how certain people were about certain things being a silver bullet
or working out or whatever. I actually am one of those people and you see this all the
time in politics. When people are honest.
Yeah. And they recognize their own limitations and say, Hey guys, we don't actually know if this is
100%. There's a lot of uncertainty. The situation is in flux. It's impossible for me to give you
guys 100% certainty on these specific things. I remember being on TV and being that guy who,
who was, you know, I got I, I, I got myself vaccinated.
I wanted my kids to be vaccinated.
I believe that that was the safest path to getting through it.
And I was the guy who went on TV and said, the first, uh, the first shot is the best
shot, whichever one's offered to you, you should take and stop this shopping around
for vaccines, nonsense, go get your shot, go get your shot.
And then, uh, once I said that that, and I got that lesser one, I can't remember
what it was called, but once I did that, then I find out that the government turns around
and says, Oh, and now we're going to, you know, we're going to, because they were the
ones pushing that idea. And then they did an about face saying, well, if you got that
weaker one, then we're going to allow you to pair it with a stronger one. It's like,
well, that's not the line that you told me as a media person.
I was supposed to go out there and share. And now I feel like an idiot.
Exactly. And then in the early days, don't go buy masks. They don't do anything.
We need to leave them for medical professional. And then it was no,
actually masks are great. You need them at all these sort of jobs, right?
We had some rest or some facilities that were remaining open,
but playgrounds were closed and then they were, it was convoluted. It was clear that things didn't make all that much sense.
And if I maintain this and I always will, if there would have just been a little bit
more honesty in the, in the ability of just saying, listen, there's a lot of stuff that's
in flux. We don't have all the answers all the time. We're doing the best that we can
to be better. But I think that need by so many in elite circles to always give definitive concrete answers and say,
this is the truth. And anybody who has any doubts or asks any questions is automatically some neanderthal.
Yeah, yeah, that's right. You know, you weren't trusting the science. You weren't trusting the science.
It's like, well, it's more art than science, at least in the beginning. And you're absolutely right.
And because it was such a moment of global
importance, the fact that we had this absolute certainty that you're supposed to believe
it slavishly to your own detriment, and then to be told, ah, you know, in retrospect, we
didn't completely get it right. I think that's probably the most, the biggest contributing
factor to that cynicism that we have today. But Anthony Kosh, I want to thank you for writing
this. It's a great conversation.
I really appreciate it.
I know we're going to have you back on the show soon.
Thank you so much.
Welcome back to the Ben Mulroney Show.
And there's an old adage that if you want to know the values and the priorities of a
government, just look at their budget.
And I would say just look at their spending.
And fortunately, we have our next guest is here to give us
a peek through the keyhole of what the values
of this new untested, in a lot of ways unknown government
under Mark Carney is all about.
Because as I've said many times,
I don't believe that Mark Carney was properly
and totally vetted during the election campaign
or during the leadership campaign.
And he can be very vague in terms of what his policies are.
We've got these grand notions of building an energy superpower.
But beyond that, I've heard some words.
But until I see some action, I'm not in the jury's out.
The jury's out. So here to to talk about those
those priorities and what this government is all about. We're joined by John Iveson,
political journalist with the National Post.
Thank you so much for being here, John.
Hi, Ben.
So, yeah, so you've broken it down.
There are some real spending concerns
that could be coming down the pike,
and we could get a sense of what this government
truly values based on what they want to spend their money on.
Our money on, I should say.
Right, right. I mean, I think...
So what we're talking about are the main estimates.
Yeah.
They're not the main estimates. They come out every year.
They are essentially what the government wants Parliament
to approve as far as spending goes.
So they give you a sense of what the government is going to spend.
They're not the last word in the what the government is going to spend. They're
not the last word in the picture because that is really the budget. But as folks will know,
the budget is didn't come out in the spring as it normally does. And it's not due to come
out the first carny, but it will come out sometime in late fall.
And John, before you go on, is this normal to have these main estimates come out and ask parliament to vote on spending
without actually seeing a budget?
Well, the budget and the main estimates are kind of related,
but they're not the same thing.
Yeah.
And they're slightly disconnected
and they're very confusing for people
because they have different accounting methods.
But the budget is really the last word in what the government wants to do. very confusing for people because they have different accounting methods and but but the
budget is really the last word and what the government wants to do. The main estimates
are then followed by even more confusingly supplementary estimates which are responses
to to events over the course of the year. So the main estimates are only a partial picture.
But what I think is interesting in this is that the first real concrete evidence of what
the government intends to do, you know, the party platform came out during the election,
but you know, that's not written under oath.
Right.
Yeah.
They don't actually have to do anything that they say they're going to do in the party
platform.
And voters are, you know, justifiably skeptical about platforms.
Yeah.
But this is actual dollars being put next to government plans for each department.
I mean, 130 organizations.
So Mark Carney promised to be a different kind of leader than Justin Trudeau,
and Justin Trudeau was the type of leader that didn't.
I mean, there was no rat hole that he wasn't willing to throw money down.
Right.
And so by saying that he was going to be a different leader,
implicit in that is that he was going to be
a more restrained spender.
Is that what these numbers are saying?
Yeah, well, he said that explicitly.
He said in the campaign that the previous government
spent too much and invested too little,
and that operational spending was rising at 9% per year
over the course of the Trudeau
government. He said we will limit that to 2 per cent. But that's not what these numbers show.
And in fact what the numbers show, the main estimates suggest a 7.75 per cent increase
in the money that the government will spend this year. The total amount is $486.9 billion
across the fiscal year, across all departments.
So that's all spending.
That includes transfers to people in the form of
old age security and guaranteed income supplement,
includes transfers to governments,
such as the Canada Health Transfer and the Social Transfer.
Let me say, if I got this straight. So he, Mark Carney and the liberals got elected on a promise of reducing that the rate of spending to 2%. And but these numbers are
suggesting it's going to be north of 7%. Right now complicated further by the fact that
Carney, if you remember, divided the budget up into operational spending
and capital investment. And he said that the operational spending side would be capped
at 2% and that budget would be balanced within three years. Now, it's now and impossible
to separate the capital spending and the operational spending in the main estimates because it's all
mixed in. But there is no sign of restraint in this document. Almost $500 billion in spending
set feels like a lot of money to me. Right. And talking to people who know this stuff,
we're looking at it inside government. They're kind of surprised that there are no signs of restraint and they suggest that it'd be very, very hard to meet that
balanced budget within three years at the spending levels. I mean, you only have to look at each
department. I kind of did a rough count of the 130 departments. There were something like 60 plus
departments that are seeing major increases in budget over the
course of this year. And there were only about 14 that were seeing budget cuts. The biggest
indicator to me was the fact that if you look at all 130 departments and their spending
plans on consultants, which if you remember is a big,
Yeah, yeah, I forgot about that. Yeah. Was it 20 target for a lot of people? Was it $26
billion? What are
all the bureaucrats for if not to do the job that we're now
outsourcing to consultants?
Right? I mean, you could understand the rise in
consultancy costs. If the size of the bureaucracy was shrinking,
yeah, but the size of the bureaucracy ballooned under the
Trudeau government. And so did the amount of money they're
spending on consultants. So you would have thought that like as a first
indicator what the government would what the Carney government would do would say
right we're going to take a hammer and sickle to the to the number of
consultants being employed. Yeah. So I mean to give the government it's due the
new government is due it would not it has not had time to do a route and branch line by line
spending review.
But at the same time, the government has put in this document under its name as if it endorses
these plans.
It had to break out in estimates.
The government, the parliament has to vote on this stuff to keep the machinery of government
moving.
Right. But it really surprised me that there were no signs
that the bureaucracy or that the new government
had taken on board the message,
which currently was quite explicit at sending
during the campaign.
Is there anything in this document
that you would view as a positive development in the form of a decision that's being
made that is different, that is a departure from the Trudeau years? Well, nothing from a taxpayer
point of view. Yeah. And you can hear terms white or whiter in my case. But from the bureaucracy's
point of view, they're probably delighted. They've apparently been given part blanche to keep spending, which I think makes the
budget in the fall doubly interesting because it surely has to signal that.
I mean, in one of his mandate letter, Carney said that this will be a fundamentally different approach
to government.
But this looks to me to be a business as usual spending plan.
So the budget, when it comes, has to be dramatically different.
We can see already in this document that there's more spending on defense.
It goes up from, I think, 30 billion to 35 billion.
But That doesn't get us to the 2 percent that NATO demands or even the five percent
that apparently is on the table moving forward.
Right.
And currently it was quite explicit this week, as was David McGinty, the new defense minister
in a speech yesterday, that more is coming.
More is coming.
So really quickly, only about a minute left, John,
but what's the procedure that happens now?
Does this have to be tabled and it gets voted on?
Yeah, this is something that goes before parliament
and is approved.
So presumably all the liberals
and at least three or four other MPs
are gonna have to vote for this spending plan going forward
before presumably is disowned at some point later in the year.
Is it picked apart in committee or in the Senate? Is there any sort of check on this?
Well, normally it would go before committees, but we're not at that stage yet. Committees
haven't been formed and it's not quite clear to me how this will. Isn't that convenient?
At some point it needs to get waved through by parliament. Yeah.
Presumably even go before committees are formed.
All right, John. Hey, thank you so much for highlighting this. This is a really important
piece of information as we get to know this new government.
Great. Thanks, Ben.
Thanks for listening to the Ben Mulroney Show podcast. We're live every day nationwide on
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