The Ben Mulroney Show - Iran fallout and the former Canadian Ambassador to Israel
Episode Date: June 23, 2025Guests and Topics: -Iran Fallout - Jon Allen If you enjoyed the podcast, tell a friend! For more of the Ben Mulroney Show, subscribe to the podcast! https://link.chtbl.com/bms Also, on youtube --... https://www.youtube.com/@BenMulroneyShow Follow Ben on Twitter/X at https://x.com/BenMulroney Enjoy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
Transcript
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Welcome to the Ben Mulroney show on this Monday, June 23rd.
I want to welcome everybody to the show.
And I think a lot of us over the weekend were holding our breath wondering if another shoe
was going to drop as it relates to the
expansion of hostilities in the Middle East to now include Iran or the past couple of weeks we have watched I have watched in amazement
with the surgical precision and the
sophistication with which
Israel has weakened the Iranian regime by targeting its nuclear facilities
and it's the leadership of the IRGC
as well as those members involved with its nuclear program.
But one of the biggest sticking points
was obviously what to do with the nuclear facilities
that were buried deep, deep, deep, deep, deep, deep underground,
300 feet underground.
Well, enter the United States with its bunker-busting technology
and really setting back that regime's nuclear ambitions.
I mean, I don't know if it takes it right back to the beginning
or pretty gosh darn close.
But obviously, when the United States decides
it's going to bomb another nation,
people will take positions.
And in the world that we're living in,
anything that the Americans do is bad
and anything that they do it to,
any country that they do it to is the hero of the story
according to a certain type of social justice warrior.
So the battle lines were drawn
and those who found themselves on either side,
very predictable.
Well, there are some surprises.
There's some people on the right in the United States
who are so isolationist
that they're taking issue with this as well.
But one of the questions that I have
that we will be exploring on the Ben Mulroney show
in the next few days and weeks
is in the event of regime change in Iran, what comes next?
And a lot of people who are taking issue
with the weakening of that regime by Israel
and the United States is that it's such an unknown
that we could find ourselves in a situation like Afghanistan
where what replaces it is worse than what we had before.
I challenge that, I dispute that.
I can, I may be wrong.
I'm one man with just one opinion,
but the known threat of what we actually have,
the bird in the hand of the IRGC and the Ayatollahs,
is just about as bad as it can be.
And there is a history of secular government in Iran and the Ayatollahs is just about as bad as it can be.
And there is a history of secular government in Iran
that exists bubbling under the surface.
And there is an argument to be made
that the people of Iran are not represented
by the regime of Iran.
And therefore, if given the chance,
then a more rational, better faith actor
in a new secular government could arise.
And I'd rather take that risk than live in a world
where Iran was this close to getting a nuclear weapon.
The, now, it's not a straight line
from turning the bad guy into a good guy.
And the previous regime in Iran was run by the Shah.
And the Shah had some good days
and he had a lot of bad days.
And you could argue that the reaction to the Shah
was the Iranian Revolution of 1979.
He effed around and we found out.
And so a lot of people are apprehensive
when his son Reza Pahlavi, the exiled son of the last Shah of Iran, starts
popping up on people's social media feeds because some people are, I
think, rightly apprehensive that we could be witnessing a return to essentially a king in Iran.
And I don't know that that's what people want.
However, in my estimation, this man has been saying a lot of the right things.
He said in a speech over the weekend, this is our Berlin Wall moment, which is a powerful
metaphor that we could be on the cusp of the falling of the wall
that the Iranian regime has put up between them and the rest of the world.
He said, the people are united. The foundations of this 46 year old tyranny are shaking.
He says, I do not seek political power, but rather to help our great nation navigate through this
critical hour towards stability, freedom and justice.
That is something I am very happy to hear.
Perhaps he holds a figurehead role.
Perhaps he helps with the transition.
Perhaps he's a spokesperson for whatever comes next.
Perhaps he's that galvanizing force
that the democratic forces can marshal and rally around.
I don't know
But him going on record saying he does not seek political power is I think what people want to be hearing in this moment
but back to the
Political military action rather of the weekend. Here's the US Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth on
War with Iran as President Trump has stated the United States does not seek war.
But let me be clear, we will act swiftly and decisively when our people, our partners,
or our interests are threatened.
Iran should listen to the President of the United States and know that he means it every
word.
I want to give congratulations to our commander in chief. It was an honor to watch him lead last night and throughout and to our
great American warriors on this successful operation. God bless our
troops. God bless America. And we give glory to God for his providence and
continue to ask for his protection. All right, a little bit over the top near the end there,
but I do completely appreciate the fact
that this was a demonstration
of US military sophistication and might.
And Iran, even before the decapitation
of so much of his leadership by Israel
and the bombing of its nuclear facilities,
even before that, they weren't playing the same game
as the Americans and they would be,
I mean, they would be demonstrating just how insane
of a regime they actually have if they decide
to try to go toe to toe and reciprocate with the Americans.
That would be a bad move.
Now that being said, the UN secretary general,
who's essentially the CEO of an organization devoted to moral and
political equivalency, where everybody is the same and nobody is better than
anybody else, we're all just different. The Iranian regime isn't
worse than America, isn't better than America, or worse than America, it's just
different, which I reject categorically. And he suggests that the bombing was a
perilous turn. I dispute that I challenge that now
I'm not suggesting I'm a hundred percent right
But I think this guy has lost the plot if you want to hear moral clarity if you want to understand why this
Happened with no BS no spin no political correctness just cutting to the quick here is Marco Rubio
Explaining very clearly why the United States did what
they did.
Let me follow up on a phrase you just word weaponization ambitions.
Are you saying there that the United States did not see intelligence that the Supreme
leader had ordered weaponization?
That's irrelevant.
I think that question being asked on the media, that's an irrelevant question.
That is the key point in U.S. intelligence assessments. You know that.
No, it's not.
Yes, it was. That the political decision had not been made.
I know that better than you know that, and I know that that's not the case.
But I'm asking you whether the order was given.
And the people who say that, it doesn't matter if the order was given.
They have everything they need to build nuclear weapons.
Why would you bury things in a mountain 300 feet under the ground?
Why would you bury six? Why mountain 300 feet under the ground? Why would you bury six?
Why do they have 60% enriched uranium?
You don't need 60% enriched uranium.
The only countries in the world that have uranium at 60% are countries that have nuclear
weapons.
He also went on to say, why do they have a space program?
Is Iran planning to go to the moon?
No, it's because they are building inter continental ballistic missiles so that they can deliver nuclear warheads
anywhere on the planet.
You don't need, sometimes the people
who are the smartest ones in the room
try to talk themselves out of the most direct route
to a conclusion.
And when you see those three pieces,
that is evidence of nefarious intent.
I don't need a document that says, oh, we heard them say we're building a nuclear weapon.
And this is not, by the way,
anyone who suggests that this is the same thing
as what happened before the second Gulf War
when the Americans falsely claimed
that Iraq had weapons of mass destruction,
this is not that.
Like, we need to talk to each other
like we're not idiots.
And anybody who tells me that with that evidence and the rhetoric of that regime and the behavior
of that regime, anybody who tells me that they are not seeking a nuclear weapon, you're
talking to me like I'm an idiot.
And I don't stand for that.
And meanwhile, the protests are out in full force
across North America, because again,
if the Jews are involved, if Israel is involved,
if the imperialist forces of America are involved,
that means those that they are against are noble
and they are righteous and they are just,
and they need the support of the useful idiots
of which there are far too many across the Western world.
Welcome back to the Ben Mulrooney show and welcome back wherever you listen to us.
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Thank you, YouTube.
So earlier, we were sort of giving you the lay of the land,
at least as I see it, in Iran right now,
what the US's reaction was and what the reaction of
could be by Iran moving forward.
Here to discuss this with far more depth of knowledge than I is John Allen, the former
Canadian ambassador to Israel.
He was there from 2006 to 2010.
He's currently a senior fellow at the Monk School and a distinguished fellow of the Canada
International Council.
Mr. Ambassador, thanks for joining us on the Ben Mulroney show.
Thanks for having me, Ben. So I want to read to you our prime minister's statement after the bombing of the nuclear
facilities by the United States.
He said Iran's nuclear program is a grave threat to international security.
And Canada has been consistently clear that Iran can never be allowed to develop a nuclear
weapon while US military action taken last night was designed to alleviate that threat.
The situation in the Middle East remains highly volatile. Stability in the region is a priority.
Canada calls on parties to return immediately to the negotiating table and it continues.
Now, I have been a critic of what I've seen as a trend across the Liberal Party, proceeding Mark
Carney of sort of speaking out of both sides of their mouth and
asking for a diplomatic solution when rational people know that sometimes you got to have the
military solution first. I like this statement, sir. I like the fact that he starts by talking
about the Iran's nuclear program and they can never be allowed to have a nuclear weapon. The
fact that he started with that makes a lot of sense to me. How do you read it? Makes a lot of
sense to me too. First of all it's the facts on the ground so there's no point
in getting into it and he moves from there. I mean there's no question we're
dealing with a bad set of actors in Iran on a variety of fronts.
So everybody wants Iran controlled and they certainly don't want it to have nuclear weapons.
And then of course, he moves on to what's important now to try and bring some regional
stability, which is restraint and de-escalation and hopefully some negotiations that can stop the deaths
in Israel and Iran and keep the United States out of a never-ending war.
And it feels to me, I mean, this attack was so sophisticated and I believe at least it
looks at first blush as exceptionally effective. I mean, they did what they needed to do
as far as drilling down hundreds of feet
and exploding what the Iranians believed
was an impenetrable nuclear facility.
So in my estimation, they did what they needed to do.
There are forces lining up against this decision
in the United States who say,
we never wanna get involved in another land war.
We don't wanna be, you know, we gotta put America first.
I could argue very clearly that this does put America first
because it sets back one of the worst actors on the planet
from achieving a goal that had, listen, had,
Mr. Ambassador, had Iran achieved nuclear capability
under the watch of Donald Trump
that would be viewed
as a failure by Donald Trump.
Yeah, I mean, I should just say, it's not exactly clear what has happened at Fordo.
We know that Natanz and Isfahan and some other facilities which were above ground have been seriously hurt and
damaged and of course many, many nuclear scientists have been killed and I heard the former Israeli
Minister of Defense talking about how important that is in the short to medium term. I don't think anybody quite knows what the total damage at Fordow is
and whether they got some of the enriched uranium out of there long before. Clearly, there was damage.
You don't drop 14,000-30,000 pound bombs and not cause damage. Yeah.
Um, but so, so no question about it.
Um, it was successful, uh, and they got out of there and, and Donald Trump can try and
convince people that he's not in a war.
Uh, that was an, uh, an air activity, uh, and there's no war and therefore he hasn't
broken his promise to the magrer crowd.
I agree and you know there are there are a lot of reasons on a lot of fronts to criticize Donald
Trump and his administration and he has a lot of personal failings that you could argue make him
unfit for x y or zed but in my opinion Iran is such a bad actor that they, they so clearly and so
almost relish wearing the black hat of the villain globally, that this fits very well
into the, let's say borderline simplistic view that Donald Trump holds of the world
where there are good actors and bad actors. And so in that way, I think he was probably the right leader to have in this moment.
He saw facts on the ground that told him that a bad actor was about to do something, had
the capability of doing something even worse, and he took action.
And he didn't think himself out of the right solution here. Well, yeah, I guess, you know, some of the criticism then relates to the fact that it
is not clear just how close Iran was to a bomb.
There's no question they've been enriching.
There's no question they've been enriching past 60 percent, some say up to 87. It takes a bit more than just having enriched uranium to actually
make a bomb and to want to make a bomb. And there are those that have argued that that wasn't Iran's
intent. Well, may I ask a question? Because Marco Rubio was pretty clear, and maybe you can explain this a little better to us, but in order
to have a nuclear program for civilian use, you need to enrich uranium no higher, I believe five
or six percent. Anything above that is questionable. You got to get it to about 90% to build a bomb.
And if they were at 60 or 80... There no no question no question that nobody is suggesting that Iran needed 60% or 80%
for civilian nuclear use the question is did they want to build a bomb or were
they aware that if they actually constructed a bomb or got very close
that what just happened
would happen?
But I guess, Mr. Ambassador, what I would ask is, if we accept that they are one of
the amongst bad actors, they are some of the baddest.
Is that a question that we need to ask?
If we know that they have ill intent on all sorts of fronts, they don't mind funding terrorism. They don't mind civilian deaths
They don't mind killing their own civilians
How much stock do we have that that they care one iota about anybody who isn't Iranian when they don't care about Iranians themselves?
Absolutely, they're bad actors. There's no question about it, but there's a lot of bad actors in the world
Yeah, Vladimir Putin is a bad actor, and Donald Trump
doesn't seem to have a problem with him.
He went to North Korea in his first term,
and he was going to make a big deal.
And that didn't happen.
And he's not doing much about North Korea.
Yeah, but the argument is that the notion of mutually assured
destruction that has kept the stalemate of nuclear peace
for generations doesn't necessarily
apply to a nation of religious zealots
that prioritize and idolize martyrdom,
the idea of dying for your cause
and you will be a hero in heaven.
If you believe that that is a logical extension
of your foreign policy,
then nuclear war only brings you
that much closer to your ultimate goal of being in paradise
with all the riches that are bestowed upon a martyr.
Yeah, well, I'm sorry, but I don't quite,
I think the preservation of the regime
and the preservation of Iran takes place
over a nuclear martyrdom in that sense.
And I think actually you're going to see the fact that Iran's going to be very reluctant
to even, nevermind set off a nuclear bomb, they're going to be reluctant to attack US
bases in the region because they know what's going to happen if they do.
So you think, you think, you think rash or rational thought is now a guiding principle
for them?
I think preserving the regime in Iran is number one priority, number two priority, and number
three priority.
Well, in that case, it sounds like it was a win, Mr. Ambassador.
Hey, I want to thank you very much for joining us.
I hope you come back soon.
Take care. you