The Bill Simmons Podcast - A Knicks Title, "Whaddya Do?" NBA Teams, the QB Pyramid, and a CFB Playoff Primer With Zach Lowe and Todd McShay

Episode Date: December 17, 2025

The Ringer’s Bill Simmons is joined by Zach Lowe to react to the Knicks winning the NBA Cup against the Spurs (3:02). Then, they discuss the "Whaddya do?" NBA teams around the league (27:27). Finall...y, Todd McShay joins to break down Bill’s NFL QB pyramid before discussing the teams that need a QB in the draft and much more (01:04:54). Host: Bill Simmons Guests: Zach Lowe and Todd McShay Producers: Chia Hao Tat and Eduardo Ocampo This episode is brought to you by Alexa+. Our smartest, most proactive AI assistant yet. https://Amazon.com/NewAlexa This episode is sponsored by State Farm®. Don’t settle for just any insurance when there’s State Farm. The Ringer is committed to responsible gaming. Please visit⁠⁠⁠ www.rg-help.com⁠⁠⁠ to learn more about the resources and helplines available. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
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Starting point is 00:00:00 The Bill Simmons podcast brought to you by the Ringer podcast Network. I had new rewatchables that went up on Monday. We did high fidelity 25 years and a couple months after it was released. Four-person podcast that included the hottest take in the history of the rewatchables from Rob Mahoney. I won't spoil it to, but it almost caused Chris Ryan and I to convulse. So you have that. And guess what? There's going to be another rewatchables because we are recording,
Starting point is 00:00:33 I'm recording this on Tuesday night. We are recording another rewatchables tomorrow to pay tribute to Rob Reiner. We've done six Rob Rewatchable movies. And one of the ones we hadn't done was the Sure Thing, which is really not available on streaming, but you can find it if you get a little creative. But we're going to do the short thing. We're going to put that up on Wednesday night as a special bonus edition
Starting point is 00:00:56 because we loved Rob Reiner and every day. and everybody is really sad out here in Los Angeles. So we were doing the short thing. It's an awesome, awesome movie. I actually forgot how much I love this movie. So we're going to be talking about it in detail, and we're talking about Rob's great career and a whole bunch of things. It's just going to be me and Chris Ryan.
Starting point is 00:01:12 So stay tuned for that on Wednesday night. And then on Thursday on HBO, third installment of our music box series, it's Count and Crow's documentary. Have you seen me lately? It's directed by Amy Scott, and it's really, really good. And I would highly recommend, especially if you like 90s music, if you'd like Cana Crows at all. This is a really good one. So that is going to be Thursday night.
Starting point is 00:01:35 And then I'll have another podcast on Thursday as well. So that's the game plan for this week. Coming up, Zach Lowe, right after NBA Cup, the Knicks, beat the Spurs. We talked about that. We talked about what do you do teams. We talked about the Mets, a whole bunch of things. And then Todd McShay joined us as well because we had to talk NFL quarterbacks. We had to talk about the college football playoffs.
Starting point is 00:01:54 we had to talk about Mendoza being the number one guy. This is a really good podcast. I don't know what to tell you. Sometimes we just have really good ones. This is another one. We take a break, Pearl Jam, then Sackla. This episode of the Bill Simmons podcast is presented by State Farm. Having insurance isn't the same as having State Farm.
Starting point is 00:02:14 It's like expecting a linebacker on the football field, but getting a line cook. Sure, they both can handle the pressure when it starts heating up. But only one is stopping a touchdown. You wouldn't settle for just anything for your team, so don't settle for just any insurance when it comes to get and help you need. State Farm is the real deal. Like a good neighbor, State Farm is there. 8.09 Pacific time. Zach Lo, staying up late on the East Coast
Starting point is 00:03:07 because the Knicks have just won their first championship since 1973. Just like that. You're going in just like that. It's a fact. I'm happy for them. Do you see them celebrating? Are you sure it's a fact?
Starting point is 00:03:21 Are you sure they have won a Summer League championship of some kind if we're going to be snark? You got to be properly stark. I didn't look that up. I didn't look that up. Hey, the NBA Cup was great. Thumbs up. Everybody plays hard.
Starting point is 00:03:31 Everybody gave a shit. The Knicks actually celebrated after they won the game. It was real playoff intensity and it did the job. I'm not sure it was the right location. But we had four teams that I thought I really wanted to watch. The matchups were good. It was a nice moment for the Spurs. And then a nice little, hey, look out for us moment for the Knicks.
Starting point is 00:03:50 So what was your biggest takeaway? The Nick's bench, swinging the game. Mitchell Robinson, if he can stay healthy, is just a massive component of everything they do. Kat sat out some of the game with the little shin thing or calf thing. Baleighal Bridges was something happened with him at the end. Clarkson was huge. Kolek has earned a real role, which is going to be interesting when Shammett and McBride come back. And just, I can't say enough about how amazing Ananobe has been, when healthy this season.
Starting point is 00:04:18 Just an awesome game from him. Hart does when he does all the time. This is a really good team. my pick to make the finals coming out of the east at the beginning of the season. They're ahead of schedule, I think, given what some of the sort of lesser stars have done this year. Yeah, is it fair to say we have four West teams, and I'm going to include San Antonio in the title contender race, even though they'd be fourth from the West, but four West teams
Starting point is 00:04:43 and an East team, and then I don't know. I think we have five teams, because I think San Antonio is a real dark horse. I don't think they're going to make the finals. I think OKC is going to, and if they don't, I think it would be Denver, and then I think it would be Houston. But I think San Antonio has earned dark, dark, dark horse status, right? And then the Knicks and the East, I don't, do you trust any other East team? It's hard to trust anybody in the East right now. I mean, the Pistons have earned some level of trust at 21 and 5.
Starting point is 00:05:14 And, you know, somebody will emerge, like either Cleveland gets right or Orlando gets healthy. But, yeah, it's really the Knicks and the Pistons and kind of everybody else right now. And the Spurs thing is interesting because that's been the hot question since they beat the thunder is, are they a contender? And I think people kind of don't know what to do with the term contender. Because I hear a contender and I think would not really surprise me if they won the championship. Michael Pina kind of described them as an under the radar contender with like, what does that mean? Conference finals would not be a surprise. You said dark, dark horse.
Starting point is 00:05:50 I'm not ready to put them in the same circle as the thunder and the nuggets and whoever wins the East by default. But they're right there in the next tier. Maybe with the Rockets, I think I'd put the Rockets a little ahead of them. But if you told me they're in the same universe as the Rockets, I would say, yeah, I mean, they've earned that. Yeah, they're fourth and a four-man West race for who could make the finals. But you got to take them seriously. Seriously, because they have a top six guy in the league, who I assume we'll be playing more minutes. They hit the jackpot with Castle.
Starting point is 00:06:24 They hit the jackpot with Harper. Unbelievable. These guards are unbelievable, man. I had, this was, I was going to do this later, but I'll just throw this to you now, because I was really thinking about this on Saturday night, watching OKC and the Spurs. It rarely happened. Like, we've had contenders. We've had more, and teams that seemed unstoppable, like the 2017 Warriors is a good example.
Starting point is 00:06:45 We're like, oh, no, hold on. But that was a team of guys in the prime, guys that had been in the week for a while. It really happens when you have a young team with guys that, for the most part, except for maybe one guy in the team, aren't even close to who they're going to be yet, but they gave you that whole down feeling. And I actually went through all the seasons going back to the merger, trying to figure out how many times. Nobody goes back to the merger like Bill Simmons.
Starting point is 00:07:12 Nobody loves going on basketball reference, just looking shit up. But I thought the 77 Blazers is a great example, right? Who ended up winning the title. But young team on the rise, Walton, Mo Lucas, all those guys. The 86 Rockets with Samson and Elagelon. I'm just talking about teams that were like, oh, this team's really talented. Wait, they're here. 95 Magic is an obvious one with Shaq and Penny.
Starting point is 00:07:36 That's a good one. Either the 10 or the 11 Thunder, the 10 Thunder weren't quite ready yet. The 11 Thunder were and came really close to me. making the finals with a pretty precocious team of young KD, young Russ, really young Hardin, really young Abaca, where we were kind of like, oh, shit, this could be the decade. That's conference finals against the Mavs they lose. Yeah, 11. And then, you know, the Thunder two years ago, when they lost to Dallas, and that seemed
Starting point is 00:08:07 really early, but we're like, man, you look at their guys, the picks they have coming. and now the spurs, I think, are the next one. So that's only six teams, Zach, in 50 years. There's some other ones, like the 85 Mabs, you could say, maybe 92 Sonics, 09 Bowls, the 17 Celtics. But those are the six. We're like, whoa, we're doing this now. And what's interesting is we have two teams from the last three years.
Starting point is 00:08:31 And I was thinking about that Saturday now. I was like, every other team in the league would trade places with these two teams, I think. It's going to be, right now, it's going to be the default. finding rivalry of the NBA for the next five years. I mean, I don't know how many years. And, you know, it started with, like, the Chet, Wembe always crossing paths in, like, under 19, under 18, and there's a little spice there. And now it's just, you add these young guards, thunder, young wings, like, I mean,
Starting point is 00:08:57 the amount of perimeter youth, energy, defense, tenacity, like Harper and Castle, even when they're not making shots. And today, as good as they looked at moments, they're, you know, where are they? they're uh oh if harper was seven to 14 castle five of 15 like they're standing dudes up on defense they're swiping at the ball they're standing up guys that are bigger than they are they are in for all the fight and all the like all the guts and toughness you need to win in the playoffs like they just walked into the league with it yeah harper had he had an athletic stretch in the fourth quarter like in the like the four minute range four minutes left where he hit a three he basically made brunson do a back court violation yeah He went in the corner and just grabbed this rebound with like the superhuman, how did the fuck did he get there and then brought it back and then tried to go in and make a crazy layup. But he can dial it up athletically, like I added 10 of 10.
Starting point is 00:09:53 And same for Castle, where these are two guys that could actually go toe to toe with all the OKC athleticism. And then you throw in Wembe as a freak. And this is a team that could talk themselves into a series against OKC. I'm not, I don't think they could win that series. They're not going to be afraid. can be athletically afraid. They're not going to be afraid of the speed of the series. And then you watched Houston, Denver last night. It was the same thing. And Houston,
Starting point is 00:10:16 I thought that was, first of all, that might have been the best game of the year. I know we say that like every two weeks, but that really might have been. Other than the reps, other than the refs. Well, the reps weren't great, but that stretch for everybody was sitting threes. The Rockets have an embarrassment or riches at crunch time now where it's like, they don't even run the KD. Reed Shepard pick and roll with Reed set in the screen, which I don't know if anyone could stop because they have so many other options and then Denver is Denver but
Starting point is 00:10:43 I don't know these these are just really really really talented teams it's a great great great great great regular season I think and I really enjoyed it Houston being in this group is interesting because we know that Van Vleet is injured
Starting point is 00:10:59 right Eason's injured Finney Smith hasn't played a second for them but Van Vleet in particular you feel the void of a little extra on ball juice for them at times. Like, they're going offense, defense late last night with Reed Shepard, and then Akogi comes in for Reed Shepard. It's like, what do we actually
Starting point is 00:11:15 need here in this moment? And they still have to know what offense in the league, and they're still amazing. Can I just say a couple of things on the Spurs? Yeah, please. Let's do it. Let's deep dive it. Harper and Castle, I just can't say enough. We saw the three
Starting point is 00:11:33 guards all together at the end of the game. I think it might have been the first time, Fox Castle and Harper were all on the floor together. I think Vassell sat, right? No, Vassell was like small ball four, which is a very interesting. So Barnes sat, okay. Yeah, Barnes sat, which is a very interesting gambit because it's a way to make teams guard Wembe with their centers.
Starting point is 00:11:51 And we saw this sort of jockeying to like, who is the center is going to guard. Are they going to guard Hart on one end, Harrison Barnes on the other end? And, you know, I just like those guys, those guards are so good. And Fox is just a perfect sort of veteran stabilizer for them. And the other thing I want to say, Wembenyama should be noted as we're talking about the Knicks winning the cup and blah, blah, Wembe Njama, 25 minutes minus 18, still clearly rusty, still clearly on a minute's restriction. And yet the lobs are just comical, just absolutely castle and Harper already know, just
Starting point is 00:12:25 throw the ball up. The defense is there. Like this wasn't even, I don't even know this is like 60% of Wembe. Like this was not the same guy from the first week of the season. That guy's coming. And this game is different if that guy. guys in it. Yeah, and Harper already, I mean, you don't really watch college basketball, so you're catching Harper over the course of the season, which we'd be like, oh, he does that,
Starting point is 00:12:48 oh, he does that. I don't even know who my favorite rookie in this class is anymore. Tremendous class. Initially it was Flag. I was like, I love Flag. And then the season started, and it became infatuated with Kniepple. And then Derek Queen had a moment for about a week where it's like, what's going on here? They're running the entire offense through him and you have to play five feet off him even though he can't shoot.
Starting point is 00:13:14 And he's just a walking bucket or creation every time he wants to be. I don't know what this is. And then Harper, the last week, where this kid's 19, he's got footwork that's like a very, in the Shay Kobe vicinity, it feels like someday.
Starting point is 00:13:33 On top of it, he's got the size. He's just a really, really good teammate. He's not selfish at all. He's just, he'll slash and he's always feel like he's going to make the right play. He invents some stuff with some of the moves he has, some of these little drop step, double drop step reverse things he does. And then defensively, he's there. He's playable already. So I don't even know out of those four. I mean, have we had four like that that are that unique coming out of the gate in year one? I don't remember that. Well, and Cedric Coward is like, hey, wait, wait. Like, I'm doing some pretty fun stuff in Memphis.
Starting point is 00:14:05 And the other thing about Harper, I know he's only shooting like 26% from three before this game when he went by his standards went bananas from three. He's ahead of schedule working off the ball, like relocating for threes, attacking closeouts from the corner. And Fox is just spraying the ball out to everybody for easy three, for open threes. And like sometimes Fox will go to the corner too and like you cook, you run the offense out. Like they're all ahead of schedule sort of figuring out how to play with each other. I don't even remember what they gave up for Fox other than a pick that ended up not being conveyed and then two other picks
Starting point is 00:14:42 and then some players that I don't even remember who the players were. I think Zach Collins was in it. Yeah, it's a three team straight with the Bulls. No, I remember the three teamer, but I don't like who, did they give up anybody of substance other than those two picks?
Starting point is 00:14:56 No. They did not, no, Collins and Trey Jones has been pretty good for the Bulls. And they have to, I think there's a 2031. Minnesota pick or swap in there that could be potentially valuable. And of course, just like the Spurs got Harrison Barnes from a from a Bulls, Kings depressing for depressing trade, they get like they just jump into these Bulls King or these Bulls King Strait that should be banned by Adam Silver.
Starting point is 00:15:23 That should have been the first question at the Adam Silver press conference tonight. Are you going to ban the Bulls and the Kings from straight? Forget expansion. Forget Seattle, Vegas and all this. And the Spurs are, things just fall into the Spurs laps. from the incompetence of these two other teams who can't stop trading with each other. That would be funny if they just ban teams
Starting point is 00:15:40 from trading with each other, like how you had ban people from going out together. We already had to ban teams from like, you can't trade picks anymore. You've traded too many picks. You're banned for trading picks. It's like, why not? I love that he has no answer for the Rozier trade
Starting point is 00:15:54 was my favorite in the press conference. Like, I didn't see the question. What was the question? The question was basically, are you close to resolution? Mark Stein had this. I tweeted about it. It was, hold on.
Starting point is 00:16:12 Oh, yeah. Adam, this Stein tweeted this. Adam Silver says in Las Vegas, quote, there's no obvious solution here to the trade status of Miami's Terry Rozier and calls it, quote, unprecedented. I mean, there is an obvious solution. He's the commissioner.
Starting point is 00:16:27 He could just make a solution. Either waive the pick or make it so that you can trade the contract, even though the guy's being investigated, but you can't not do anything, but story for another time. Story for another. So, Flag, Harper, Con, Queen, Coward, you love this draft class. Edgecom.
Starting point is 00:16:49 Edgecom. There's a couple other good ones. Let's talk Knicks, because we weren't fair. We didn't talk about the Knicks enough, and that was a big win for them. When they have their five, and let's say we know they're going to have their five for four rounds. plus Robinson, plus Clarkson, Yaviseli at some point, Colic, let's say they have their nine, they don't have any injuries. Is that a team that you think could actually beat whoever comes out of the West?
Starting point is 00:17:17 I would say no. I mean, look, once you get to the finals, obviously you are a break, an injury, an ankle sprain, a wild occurrence, a flakler and foul suspension, something like that away from you're in the game. But I would pick the, you know, top three teams in the West. Denver, Houston, Oklahoma City over the Knicks, for sure. And I think it's not,
Starting point is 00:17:39 I don't think it's their five, I think it's their six. I think Robinson start, come off the bench, whatever, like he's that important to their team where they have these six starters. And I do think they're going to sniff around for one other guy. It's hard for them to do it because of how close they are to the second apron, but I think they're going to sniff around for one other bench guy because Clarkson's been up and down.
Starting point is 00:17:58 Yabaselli didn't even play tonight. Shamit, you know, every time he seems to cement a role. in somebody's rotation, something happens and he doesn't have a role in their rotation anymore. So I think they'll sniff around, but look, everyone's got a puncher's chance in the finals, but they'd be a huge underdog against any of those teams, I think.
Starting point is 00:18:16 I still like Yavaselli. I do too. I don't quite understand what's happening. Might be the wrong team for him. There is a team for him. I'm just not sure who it is. But you agree that you would not take the Knicks over any of those teams?
Starting point is 00:18:30 I think the top three in the West are levitating over everybody. else. And then I think it's probably next tier. Spurs, Knicks, Spurs slightly higher ceiling because of who knows with Wilma Diyama. And who knows with those young guys and who knows what happens with Castle and Harper? And then who knows if they're going to make a trade? We talked about this when I can't remember. I was, you were on my podcast last. I can't remember who was on who's last. But we talked to when I was in New York City about the what would Sam Presti do applying that philosophy to what would you do if you were like, let's say the
Starting point is 00:19:05 spurs in this case, would you go for it? I just wouldn't. I would ride with this team for a year. I wouldn't do anything crazy. There are deals. They could put together contracts for a guy making 50 million a year. They could if they wanted make a run at somebody like Anthony Davis, right? Somebody of that ilk in that range. They could make a run, not that they would get Kawhi Leonard because he wouldn't go back to San Antonio, but one of these vet sets in that range. Yeah, I'm just saying, I don't think they will. I think this is a, hey, this is awesome. We're way ahead of schedule.
Starting point is 00:19:42 Harper is already playing real minutes for us. Castle made this huge leap. We have a deep team. Like, why would we do anything? Let's see how this goes. The reason you wouldn't do that is because you have these expiring contracts and just like you have tradable contracts right now that you might not have. have in a year. And now it'd be the reason to do it now. But I would stand, Pat. What would you do?
Starting point is 00:20:04 Yeah, I think since we did that podcast a month ago, Fox has come back and made you curious as to what this team could look like. They thrived with Wembe out. Wembe watched all that. And you can kind of feel him figuring out, okay, like, these guys can all do a lot of stuff. I could do the most stuff, but how does my stuff fit with their stuff? The two guards have both gone up a level. like the conversation about a blockbuster involving any of those pieces is is over and put aside for the seat they're just not doing it i think i can see something to your point about we've got to do something with these contracts is there a sohan plus olinic or so like sohan being a guy who some team might be intrigued by doesn't as a second draft kind of player you know and three seconds does that get us another guy who can shoot a little bit and come in and play 15 minutes for us in the playoffs they've reached the status of where that kind of trade, that kind of smaller win now trade could really, really help them. I mean, could it be a Harrison Barnes, Kelton Johnson, Kelly Olenick for Davis and Exum, or fill in a max player with another small contract and you throw in some picks and you just make a run for it?
Starting point is 00:21:16 I just wouldn't do it. I use the word upheaval a lot to describe midseason trades that are just so gigantic in how they conceptually trade your team that you have to pause for a second and remember what you're asking. And what you're doing in a trade like that is, A, you're doing like a two for one or a three for one. So your depth gets shallower right off the bat.
Starting point is 00:21:36 And B, you're being like, all right, Wemby and year three with a lot of injuries the last two years, just figure it out with another guy who's a center and has a broken jump shot. Just figure that out in 30 games. Good luck. It's a lot. And then C, because I think this is a position
Starting point is 00:21:53 in Detroit, which we talked about in New York, You also, you have really good chemistry and you have a team that likes each other and you're trading key guys that are a piece of that. Like Harrison Barnes, you could see Olinick like as the old veteran towel waiver guy. Detroit, Harris has to be in any trade. I think Harris is important for them.
Starting point is 00:22:11 I think he's a great teammate. You could see last night in the Celtics game, like he had some really good moments in that game. That was a good win for Detroit, by the way. I know you didn't enjoy it, but that was a tough like fired up home crowd, fired up Celtics, a lot of media cups. coverage, chip on their shoulder, guys that you talked about.
Starting point is 00:22:28 Everyone's got something to prove. That was a nice win for the Pistons. Yeah, my dad went to that game. He was outraged by the officiating, almost, which is part for the course these days. But he was saying the Celtics, the way they're put together now, they can basically match anybody's game unless it's like Houston just pounding the boards on them. They can't really survive something like the Giovante Green thing. he just went nuts for four minutes and that that tilted the game for them like all right
Starting point is 00:23:00 we can kind of go toe to toe with Cade and Duren but if this is going to happen we don't have enough at this point uh but my dad you know Jalen had his classic awesome Jalen game but then missed the two free throws at the end but my dad was like he wasn't even that mad about the miss free throws at the end because he's like you got to go to the game and see like how fucking hard Jaylen Brown is playing. Like he is playing every possession, every minute. Like it's like a game seven and it's unbelievable and he's done it the whole year. I think he's been one of the best 12 guys in the league.
Starting point is 00:23:33 But they just, they're missing that one guy, which is like, that's why the Tatum come back, which I know you talked about a tiny bit yesterday, but the Tatum, just giving the Shireman and half of the Hauser minutes to 25 minutes of Tatum is going to be worth like five points to this team. So that's a, that's an, I know we're going to talk about what do you do team. later, but that's a team where I don't know what they do because they could try to get under that last tax and really reset the rest of the decade, or they could look around in the East and be like, yeah, fuck it. Like, we're not that far away. Fuck it. I think the next month is
Starting point is 00:24:06 going to be telling like how bunched up the East is right now from three to nine. You know, you could go on a three game winning streak and suddenly be ninth and, or three game losing streak and suddenly be ninth. We'll see what things look like. I, you know, I don't think they're going to do anything super aggressive regardless of where they are. It's more like, will they sell to try to cut their tax bill? Yeah, it's the, it's the shaving. And you talked about this on your pod yesterday, but it's something I think we've both been hearing. There's no Yannis trade. There just isn't. The three teams in the West aren't trading for them and San Antonio is not trading for him. Those trades aren't happening. Yeah. You go around the
Starting point is 00:24:45 league, Cleveland can't trade for them. There are $22 million over the second apron. They have no chance of trading for him. There are ways. They're complicated, but they're very complicated, but there are ways. You need a lot of help from a lot of teams and that leaks as you're trying to get the help. Well, and their other problem is, like, of course
Starting point is 00:25:03 they're going to do their best to hold out Mobley in any kind of talks like that. But, like, Garland and Allen's trade value is, you know, as low as it's ever going to be right now and that's not a good place to be dealing from. Yeah, and Allen's at 20 this year, but then it jumps to
Starting point is 00:25:19 30 next year with that extension he signed. So if you're trading for Jared Allen, you're paying him 90 million starting a year from now. But, well, let's, we'll take a break and then let's do some what do you do situation. The Bill Simmons podcast is brought to you by Fandual. This NBA season on Fandual. It's all about the boost. You heard me. Game day's being your chance to boost your bet, make every play pay off all customers,
Starting point is 00:25:46 skiddy 30% SGP and parley prop up boost we have a lot of a lot of Thursday games on the slate including Detroit at Dallas I like the way Dallas is playing they're in all of these games they might even be underdogs in that game Orlando Denver is going to be a really good one just take Denver they just lost golden state Phoenix is another one I think golden state is in real real real trouble so I would look at Phoenix in that one anyway the games never stop with Fandy, you've got more ways to make every win even bigger. So lock in your beds, boost your ads, make every night count with Fandall official sports betting partner of the NBA.
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Starting point is 00:27:22 and much more. Learn more at Amazon.com slash new Alexa. All right, Zach, this game is called What Do You Do? Excited. We're running some of these teams. What do we do? Let's start with the Quippers. Every time I think they've hit rock bottom, it gets worse.
Starting point is 00:27:39 I've never been offered quipper tickets more, even from people who know I have quipper tickets than in the last two weeks. It's really, we're back to 2010 Zbo playing with overweight Baron Davis days of just dark, dark, dark, clipper times. And there's no move. On top of everything else, on top of the fact
Starting point is 00:28:00 that there's some whispers that this is the bomber punishment, just be ready for a holiday news drop on that one. Okay. Some whispers. like a Friday, 5.30 day after Christmas type of situation. They have to get something out. As we're getting closer to the All-Star game now that the Quippers are hosting,
Starting point is 00:28:24 they cannot go into the All-Star game without having announced what happened. And I think we're moving closer to finding out what the punishment will be, if there will be a punishment. All right. That's interesting. But I don't know what they do. they don't have their pick they have expensive players
Starting point is 00:28:44 that I don't think anybody wants and I don't know what the trade is like go through the other 29 teams and ask yourself who would want James Hardin for $40 million a year? I can't think of a single team except one and I'm interested to know if you would think
Starting point is 00:28:59 it's the same team as I did well it has to be either a decent team or a desperate team for both. Yeah. So do we rule out Sacramento in this?
Starting point is 00:29:15 Because desperate. No. Because Sacramento is always available to trade. So you almost don't count. The right answer to a lot of these questions is going to be Milwaukee if they're trying to salvage the end of the honest era. Guess who coach James Hart and Philly? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:29:32 That's no way. That's Doc just getting on a plane and coming home if that happens. So Milwaukee is the desperate team, but Milwaukee is also not trading. from James Hardin. I think there's one trade. I'm just going to guess. You go ahead. What about Lamello and Hardin in a deal together?
Starting point is 00:29:55 If you're Charlotte and you like your team and you've struck away with Kniepple and Brandon Miller's back and Bridges is good and you're in the East and you're not going to be one of the three worst teams in the East, there's just no scenario where you're going to be in the bottom three. Your team has too much talent.
Starting point is 00:30:10 what if you just turn lamello and hardin and now you have hardin canipple bridges brandon miller and some big guys and now you might be a playing team then maybe you just do that overriding this lamello roller coaster for a minute more and if you're the clippers lamello changes scenery he's one of the most famous players in the league with people under 30 is i think he has the biggest social media of anyone other than lebron it it changes your your team I just, I thought it was an interesting one. I thought I was an interesting concert. Could I hang a banner?
Starting point is 00:30:44 Could I hang a banner in Inuit dome that says second biggest social media following behind LeBron? Because I need to hang a banner for something. You could do that. That sounds great. The only way that makes sense to me, since the Clippers have no extras to send me, or minimal extras to send me, I have to hate his contract and the entire experience of Lamello Ball so much that just four years of this contract at 40 plus a year, 45,
Starting point is 00:31:09 45, 42 a year, whatever it is, that's a dump. That's not, forget to play in and like all this stuff about we're trying to win a little bit now with James Harden. Like, that's, that's a disguise. The real trade is a salary dump. And I am not, I'm not there with as bad as this year has been shooting wise and health-wise yet again with the ankle problems. I'm not there. I'm not even close to there. Like, I'm not even considering that if I'm Charlotte.
Starting point is 00:31:35 Sorry. Not even considering it. No. And on the flip side, if you're the clippers, you're not putting Zubots in that trade. No. Yeah. So we're not working together then. The clippers have not been able.
Starting point is 00:31:49 The clippers have shoved away people calling. The vultures are circling with Zubots. Oh, I'm aware. The clippers are shoving people away. I don't know if it's shoving. I think it's gentle pushing. Okay. So let me just get this straight.
Starting point is 00:32:04 I'm trying to figure this out from your end because usually you're a pretty rational guy. the mellow ball year six we haven't really seen any indication that he's going to be a serious professional who's in shape affecting a team in all of these winning ways for longer than like two three weeks stretches at a time disagree
Starting point is 00:32:28 he's played 51 7536 22 47 and 16 games this year in Zach Lowe the most rational guy I know is telling me it's not time it I need to see more I think he has the most trade value of the
Starting point is 00:32:49 does anybody really want these guys point guards Trey Young John Morant and La Mollabal Ball and it's not close I was actually talking to a GM about this very thing today another another guy on La Mello Ball still might be good island with me
Starting point is 00:33:05 I see you're on the island I'm just not like look it it I've used the word carnival a lot to describe the mellow ball like it's it's a little bit carnivaless and and he flirts with getting a little bit more serious about time and score and yeah maybe don't do the one-legged three when we're down two with 45 seconds left in the game and there's 20 on the shot clock maybe don't do that we'll have to remind you again in a week I get it you can't teach the height you can't teach division and this year aside I'm ignoring the shooting the shooting this year. It's been an awful. It's been awful, awful, awful. I trust the sample size. I'm just not, like, it's, I'm not as optimistic as I was six months ago or whatever. I don't think it's going great. I just, why am I doing this for 36-year-old James Harden is what he's going to come to Charlotte and do us, just dribble all the time? You just get dribble, dribble, dribble, dribble, con can be like, well, he's going to be motivated to do what exactly in Charlotte, get paid and demand a trade to another team that's better. Why am I doing that?
Starting point is 00:34:05 salary dump I'm not dumping that salary it's not that bad of a salary okay I'm standing so you're calling you're calling Sacramento that sounds like your move
Starting point is 00:34:17 is you're calling Sacramento and trying to talk Vivek and his team of brilliant front office advisors for some sort of lamello or he can get multiple players back do you try to get Sabonis back for Lamelo?
Starting point is 00:34:29 I don't care with apologies to Demonte Sabonis is tremendous if from this I mean We're, like, in Crazy Town now. Like, the Hornets and the Kings talking about a deal with Sabonis and La Mello Ball. We've gone full on into Crazyville. But with all due respect to the Kings players,
Starting point is 00:34:46 the only thing I want to the, I really want out of the Kings in this theoretical crazy town trade is draft picks attached to the Sacramento Kings with no protections on them, a.k.a the most golden of gold chips in the NBA. So you're saying Lamello for contracts and give us some of your picks. Yeah, just trick the Kings into thinking, that they're the ones who are going to bring out all this potential in the Mello Ball, trick them into saying,
Starting point is 00:35:10 do you use all the social media data I've got about how this is going to revolutionize, get the fans who are so just done with this Kings team, get young fans back in the seats, he likes cowbells, just whatever stupid sales pitches I can come up with. So it's like a, yeah, we'll take Shrewder and we'll take Malik Monk,
Starting point is 00:35:31 take one more contract, and we'll take your first rounder, year and how about a swap three years from now and what about like your 2003 first so that's not you it's like seven years from now yeah we think you'll be you'll let that in there the fact you'll have been chased out of town by a mob with pitchforks by then just so you don't care about that pick right yeah right all right i'm glad we talked that out i kind of like the idea of hardin yeah i liked it more than you so you think hardin would just go to charlotte and just packing it i think he'd kind of like living down there.
Starting point is 00:36:04 Great. What does it do for me? What does it do for my whole? What does it do for anybody? I'm just trying to get out of Lamello for the stock drops. I mean, case in point, the John Morant stock dropping and the Trayung stock dropping, right?
Starting point is 00:36:17 There's an inflection point where all of a sudden you don't have the asset in the same way, which brings us to the Grizzlies. Okay. John Morant and the Grizzlies about, so wait, our decision about what are you going to do with the Clippers is just cry, cry and try to get a media job? Is that the answer?
Starting point is 00:36:32 Yeah, you said Zubots is untouchable. I didn't say that. I said there's shoving away. That's all. Is there a team in the league that would trade for Kauai? Like, would Detroit be like, yeah, let's try Kauai? I think you'd have to look at the desperation teams of which the clippers are won and they already have Kauai. Maybe they should trade Kauai to themselves.
Starting point is 00:36:53 It's going to be, it's going to be tough. I don't see a market for Kauai. The only way is if it like went horror. with LeBron, but then even that doesn't make sense because LeBron's going to be on a playoff team. I can't think of a team for him. Grizzlies, John Morant, Brooklyn, doesn't hurt their tanking plan
Starting point is 00:37:17 because he doesn't play anyway. It's like, oh, no, he's going to help us win games. Like, no, don't worry about that. He's going to be in streetclose. And you could try to talk yourselves into, yeah, next year we'll put him on the front of, Barclays go get some Feeney's pizza watch John Morant he's he's gonna he's gonna displace Tyrese Martin from the life to like five times larger than life billboards on the side of
Starting point is 00:37:43 Barclays Center he could be the last guy in the jumbotron thing that they when they show the five guys with the music and no the Brooklyn Nets with the guys like standing next to skyscrapers Cam Thomas doing the turnarounds all right so the nets just drafted three point guards and a couple other points, some things in some ways, whatever Danny Wolf is. Yeah, probably doesn't make sense. I'm still bringing in John Morant, who's shooting like zero percent from three
Starting point is 00:38:12 and a little bit above zero from two. We do in the NFL, we talk about, like during the NFL season in like week 15, there will be a gambling line for a game. And it'll be like Patriots, seven points over, I don't know, Pittsburgh. and be like, whoa, before the season, the look-ahead line was Pittsburgh by four.
Starting point is 00:38:33 That line shipped at 11 points. The same thing with a John Morant trade. We'd be like, wow, Brooklyn could just get John Morant for nothing. If I told you that in August, they would have jumped at that. But now it's December. But yeah, I think you're right, and that's the only team I could think of
Starting point is 00:38:49 because they have the cap space. They could accommodate any kind of deal. They have a couple guys to give back. Other than that, I don't, where's John Moran going? The team that was by far the best, John Morant team in every possible way is Sacramento.
Starting point is 00:39:03 Contracts, need a point guard. I mean, you could have made a case for a few teams when the first disgruntled John Morant news conference thing happened.
Starting point is 00:39:13 You could have made a case for Miami. You could have made a case for a couple other teams, Orlando, whatever. Like, so much has happened. All of it good for those teams, most of it good.
Starting point is 00:39:21 Miami's on a losing streak. And bad for Morant. Like, I just don't, if he doesn't look substantially better than he's looked in this whole season in the next six weeks. Like I don't, I don't think he's straightable right now, to be honest. Like he's just a, he's not playing well. He's a negative for his team.
Starting point is 00:39:42 Yeah, we see this happen in football sometimes where with like tight ends and wide receivers that played with a certain level of physicality and then they get a little older and the physicality fades away a little bit and there's not like a plan B, which is what I see when I watch him because the greatest thing about him was also the thing that made us worried that his career was going to be cut short like his just recklessness going on the rim. It was unbelievable. And now
Starting point is 00:40:06 that he doesn't quite have the same recklessness not really sure what's going on. Not to mention he can't play all the time. He can't make, he's shooting poorly from the rim, from floater range, from three where he's always been a poor shooter. It's just not going well. If I'm the Grizz, I'll tell you what I am doing.
Starting point is 00:40:23 I'm calling the Warriors. I'm trying to get Pat Spencer and I'm uniting the Lacks brothers on one team. I want both the Lax Bros on one team. I'm sorry to my podcast audience that I was so late on this Lax story. I think it's one of the great stories of the decade for the NBA. I can't believe that somebody played lacrosse for four years and then came back to college with their 50-year eligibility and basically walked on to a basketball team. And within a couple years as part of the Warriors rotation, but this is a sports movie.
Starting point is 00:40:55 This makes no sense. And these are two sports that don't really have. a lot in common. Like, I could see if it was like he played lacrosse and now he's in the MLS or he played MLS and now he's playing professional cross. But going from lacrosse to basketball is just like, it kind of broke my brain. And he might be the number one irrational confidence guy in the league this year. And the Warriors version, his brother might be second.
Starting point is 00:41:18 When he gets going, it's Pat Spencer on, I have to remind myself, Pat's on the Warriors, cams on the Grizzlies. When Pat Spencer gets going, the Warriors, the bench is super, super into it. they clearly like him a lot. Yeah, he really carries himself. Yeah, so Jha, Sacramento, which brings me to the next what he do is Sacramento. And here's what I wrote down before we started talking about this.
Starting point is 00:41:40 Kings, you have to roll the dice with Zion, Trey, Lamello, or Jha. I think their season is at that point. Like, you just got a, you're now at the roulette table, and you've already lost a ton of money. And you're like, fuck it. I'll put it on black. And that's it. 22 red
Starting point is 00:41:59 and you're at that stage of the night and I just think if I out of those four guys I would roll the dice on Zion over the over the three guards I don't know where you're used to how do you rank them? I mean he's certainly
Starting point is 00:42:12 the most interesting and his contract is offers me the most flexible because of how it becomes it only becomes guaranteed basically year of or over it's like non guaranteed until it's guaranteed every year
Starting point is 00:42:24 but talk about a guy who never played I mean, when I saw his name of the box score the other day, I was like, oh, okay, I just my brain just sort of assumed I won't see Zion again for a long, long time. And now he's back. He's on the pleasant surprise all-stars when you're in League Pass. He's like, is that Zion? Hey, hey, he's playing.
Starting point is 00:42:44 And the thing about this discussion, less so with the other guys, is what's in this for me as the Pelicans? Yeah, I get off this Zion thing. how he never plays and his conditioning is an off and on issue and just the whole franchise seems to just be held in limbo because of him and i and i get that for the honor of zach levine opting into a forty nine million dollar deal next year or is damar de rosen involved are you reporting that what no i'm just i'm not reporting that i'm just saying if i'm zaplevin i'm yeah i think i think he's opting in uh or you know i mean subonis is a good player i but why am i
Starting point is 00:43:27 I'm doing that for the Kings. I'm trading like the only good thing about my franchise for Zion Williamson. I just, it's a hard one. The guards are more interesting to me because they do actually, you could sell the fan base on, we overpaid Dennis Schroeder to be the only point guard who plays really on our team. And then we had to get Russell Westbrook to be another one. And we don't play the point guard that we drafted a couple years ago. Like, we like, we got, this is something. They really didn't have to sign Russell Westbrook. You know what they didn't have to do is a trade Tyrese Halliborne and alienate Deeran Fox to the point that he also wanted to be traded and then end up with no point guards.
Starting point is 00:44:04 They didn't also have to get rid of Mike Brown to hire Doug Christie. Golden State. Oh, boy. So my dream scenario for them would be them getting some bonus somehow, but there's really no way to do it without them trading Jimmy Butler. So I don't want to, I don't think they want to lose his 12 shots a game. So they'll probably keep him. I don't know what Golden State does.
Starting point is 00:44:27 That almost slipped by me. It's like three shots a quarter. You got to keep him. Did you see the email story today? You know, somebody... The Joe Lekub email story? So what was it exactly? I heard about it.
Starting point is 00:44:42 I forgot to deep dive it because I was busy doing a bunch of stuff. Was it an email to like owners or to a fan? A fan emailed Lacob, a fan Justin Dutari. I hope I'm pronounced your name right. Telling Lacup that he needs a quote, real second option that Jimmy Butler's, quote, tools are being underutilized and blaming the lack of positional size on the roster. I am so frustrated, Dutari ended his email.
Starting point is 00:45:06 Lake of replies, you can't be as frustrated as me. I am working on it. It's complicated. Style of play. Coaches desires regarding players. League trends. Jimmy is not the problem. And then the guy publishes the exchange on Reddit.
Starting point is 00:45:23 Oh, no. See, we can't have nice things. You can't just have an owner responding to a fan, just giving the guy some time, puts it on there. So people dove into the coaches' desires regarding players as a... A Steve Kurt dig? Yeah, yeah, not thinly veiled dig at Steve Curry. Well, I will say...
Starting point is 00:45:43 Oh, yeah, I saw his press conference where he was basically like, oh, yeah, Joe's Bean, Joe, whatever he said. I actually watched the last two Warriors games where Curry was awesome in both games and they lost. And I thought that was alarming. They should never lose games when he's awesome. You think Curry hitting 12-3s, you should get a W? That should be guaranteed.
Starting point is 00:46:04 We definitely win in this game. And the fact that they did it, I think, would make me super nervous if I was paying that money for a Warriors roster, if I was rooting for the team. I don't think they have a lot of outs other than either trading Jimmy or Dremont. Camiga's getting DMPs. The fantasy land of them getting a real asset for him in January 15th is comical. it's same thing for like cam thomas like the nets aren't going to be able to trade camp thomas right now what are he getting for him well he's he's injured too and he's that's what i mean but they were
Starting point is 00:46:35 like we'll sign him and whatever but then he wasn't even playing well before he got injured no i think it's it's comminga and picks you know because the warriors have picks at their but if i'm the worries why am i trading picks for for what purpose i'm going to be one of the three best teams in the west there's no trade that fixes them let's let's give them every asset they have they trade for Janus. Are they one of the best three teams in the West? They're not. I wouldn't do that.
Starting point is 00:46:59 Let's say they could trade Jermon and Butler and all their picks for Janus and Kuzma. Does it do anything for them? I don't think it does. Yeah, it gives you a little bit of a better roadmap for like the immediate post-Stef era. But no, this year, I mean, not only are they not one of the top three teams in the West. They're going to have to go through the play in again, which means they're going to have to struggle to get to eighth of the seventh seed and get hammered by one of these teams at the top of the West. It's just
Starting point is 00:47:23 They're too small. Looks over. It's been over. And it's just riding it out. No. I can't say how Horford has come back to Haunt the Celtics. I don't know what it is with this. It's a string of coincidences mostly.
Starting point is 00:47:45 People leaving Boston and then not being good. Like Porzingis is sick again. Like I just wouldn't. And I know that started in Boston. so it's not quite apples to apples. It's like what I just, I'm not going to trade for anyone from the Celtics for a little while.
Starting point is 00:47:59 I'm so like Marcus Smart is having a little bit of a vibe. It's been a lot. This is interesting. From Isaiah Thomas to now these guys get traded from the Celtics or leave the Celtics, Al Horford didn't get traded,
Starting point is 00:48:11 but it's like, buyer beware. I don't know what's going on. Buy or beware. Drew Holiday, they got to like rescind draft picks and it's like another trade. Robert Williams.
Starting point is 00:48:21 Yeah. It's a lot. It's a lot of guys. It's pretty good. Boston's just such a great place to live. People don't know what to do when they leave. I had Charlotte written down just with the question, how do I turn Lamello into a guard and a big man? Can I turn him into two guys somehow?
Starting point is 00:48:39 Sure. You want Zach Levine and DeMontasabonis? I don't know if I want Zach Levine with DeMontasabonis. But I think that would be their goal. Do you want Jeremy Grant and Robert Williams? for Lamello? I'm just throwing out. I'm literally looking at the standings
Starting point is 00:48:59 and reading you random. Jeremy Grant looked good the other night. He's fine. He's been playing well this year. Yeah, well, anyway, I'd like to see Charlotte improve their team because I like some of their guys. Cleveland, $22 million over the second apron.
Starting point is 00:49:13 You seem to think they have more flexibility to do some movement than I do. I think it's been, people would say other teams are the most disappointed team in the league, like the Clippers. The Quippers thing makes way more sense to me than Cleveland up being basically a 500 team and not looking like they like playing basketball with each other. I think that's more surprising me than the Quippers. A sea change from the feel good,
Starting point is 00:49:35 everyone's sacrifice for the greater good balls flying around, every shot's going in. And some of it is just the shots are not going in, but it doesn't look or feel the same. And maybe it's just as simple as the Garland. Like Garland appears to be a broken player physically right now with no end in sight to it. Yeah, because you figure, even if they're going to decide, we got to, let's officially decide between Mitchell and Garland, it would be crazy to bet on Garland when physically, even though a lot of that hasn't been his fault, but I just, I want to see it for four months. There's no decision.
Starting point is 00:50:11 It's Donovan Mitchell's team. The guy's been a first team level. I know that. I'm just saying, like, if you were like, wow, we can get all of this for Donovan Mitchell and we could still keep mobile and all that. also I don't know where Mitchell would go yeah the Cleveland thing so it was the over under when did the pod
Starting point is 00:50:27 was 56 and a half yeah you guys talked to me into the over I'm so mad at myself I was one of my locks do you remember I went under I went under and you guys were aghast and you were so aghast that you bullied me and it's like
Starting point is 00:50:38 this is why you don't take shit from bullies just stick to your freaking it wasn't you just get we're jealous we were making really good cases I know Boston we talked about and then the last team is Dallas and I'm in the, I don't think Dallas should do anything camp
Starting point is 00:50:52 and I've been in that camp the entire time and I think they're going to be a playing team no matter what happens and maybe even a little bit better than that when Kyrie comes back. Well, because that's a team that there's a real ceiling of Kai Rie can come back and play 25, 30 minutes a game
Starting point is 00:51:04 but I just, I like Davis next to Flag and I wouldn't want to break that up. I think he's had a huge impact on Flag when they played together. It's noticeable. I just wouldn't trade him. What would you do? I think you're right on on this
Starting point is 00:51:18 in part because I just don't think the offers to make it worth my while are going to be there. What I would not do is entertain extension talks with him unless there's a discount that is so staggering that I can't even imagine he would entertain it. But I'm fine rolling into next season with Kyrie plus Davis plus flag plus what's ever left over because they are apron pretty severely coming up.
Starting point is 00:51:38 I just don't think there's going to be anything. Like the optics of trading Luca for Anthony Davis and the flotsam they got and then trading Anthony Davis for like Christopps Porzingis is expiring contract and a heavily protected first round pick. It's just whatever the fake deal you want to make is just so bad that it's, I'm not doing it. I'm not doing either.
Starting point is 00:52:01 But they traded Luca for Anthony Davis and Cooper Flagg and a number of pick. That was the vision. That's what, that's what the division was. Any other team we didn't mention? Yeah, there's a team that I, I mean, it's, it's strange that we didn't mention them in any context. We didn't mention them among the good teams
Starting point is 00:52:21 in the West. We didn't mention them among teams that could make an important trade in part because it's salary-wise difficult for them to make a trade. The Minnesota Timberwolves
Starting point is 00:52:31 are just sort of out there and nobody really talks about them except when they blow a lead in the most hilarious in in inept fashion possible, which they seem to do once every two weeks. And that's just in the DNA.
Starting point is 00:52:43 John Krasinski and I literally have a text joke that we just text each other nobody melts down like the Minnesota Timberwolves after every single meltdown that happens. But they're pretty damn good. And they're aware, I think, that they need another ball handler because this Dillingham-Bones conglomerate is unproven to say the least. And Mike Conley is old and out a lot. I just think for a team that's very good has a top eight player at worst in Anthony Edwards, who, I think,
Starting point is 00:53:17 think he's getting better every year and another guy who's played in an all-star level in Randall and McDaniels has made a leap I think it back-to-back conference finals I think they're flying a little bit under the radar I posited this to Rob Mahoney last week a Rob Dillingham in a protected pick like a heavily protected pick for Alvarado I think that's too much for Jose Alvarado how about Dillingham for Alvarado yeah I'm just I can't If I'm Tim Connolly and I put in all that equity and this guy's a top 10 pick, I can't do it. I got to give him every chance to succeed.
Starting point is 00:53:53 If what I'm getting back, he's a backup backup. What if he was the eighth pick of just a bad draft? He may well have been. I'm still not doing it. There's nothing more dangerous than overrating somebody who is taken high in a draft that turned out to be really awful. I don't think it's that dangerous if, I mean, I like Jose Alvarado.
Starting point is 00:54:13 He's one of my favorite little sneaky guys to watch. I don't think it's that dangerous if all I'm missing out on is Jose Alvarado. Really hard for them to do anything unless it's the Dillingham deal. And you have to put Conley in it who's important to them from a leadership standpoint. And I don't really know the other player. I handed in my ringer 100 today. So did I. I have some announcements.
Starting point is 00:54:35 Okay. Alperins Chengoon. Welcome to the top 15. Let me see where I had him. I'm 14th. I mean, I can tell you for sure, not unreasonable. I had him 15th. I had him 15.
Starting point is 00:54:52 So we're right. We're right in line. What was my next one? Oh, Khan Canipal, welcome to my top 40. I had him 40th. I did not have him 40th. Yeah, I figured no. Although I will say, once you get down, once you get down to 30-ish, the amount of flux
Starting point is 00:55:16 in my rankings surprised me from just a month or two ago. Stefan Castle, welcome to my top 50. 51 for me. Item 49. Kauai Leonard. Oh, boy. Here's a parting gift. You've left the top 50 for me.
Starting point is 00:55:38 I'm not sure when you're going to play and your team loses every week. Adam 54. Okay. probably lower than everybody else. But I had him higher than that because he has played well this season. And again, like, there's a lot of flux, a lot of flux. Derek Queen. Yes, he's in.
Starting point is 00:56:01 Welcome to my top 60. I had him 59. I mean, I can't argue with it. I had him, I had him 72 because I'm being conservative. But I had all, like, all the good rookies are in my top 100 now. Yeah, I had, uh, I had, Harper 89 and I actually think I wish I had him lower than that I had Harper 83 hmm and again in a month he could be 48 like that's how that's how much flux there is did you go yokeage SGA
Starting point is 00:56:30 yannis Luca Wembeyanama or did you have something different okay I did and then Edward six seven who'd you have six stephen curry I had him eight I'd brought slightly ahead of Curry. It's fine. I mean, Brunson, Edwards, Curry, Brunson are 67, 8, Mitchell, 9 in some, in some order. Where'd you have the heart of the Celtics, Jalen Brown? 12. I had him 12 as well. All right. Sounds like we were lined. Oh, last one. Jalen Johnson? 22. Had him 20. And there's a case that he could be, I think 16 is probably his ceiling, but if you wanted to say based on his recent play, that you have him over some of the guys I have in the 16 to 21 range,
Starting point is 00:57:21 which is Booker Town, Siakum, guys like that, I'd be fine with that. He's been jumping out of the TV this year. And we didn't talk about Atlanta, and I'm sure Atlanta's going to do something, especially with the Porzingas contract that is now an expiring. They have a giant trade exception. And they should make a move when there's a spot open in the East Finals right now. I feel like next to the Knicks.
Starting point is 00:57:42 I want to sit and do something. It's the one Yannis team that could happen. It's the one Davis team that could happen. It's the one name of star team that could happen. I think if it's either a big guy, any sort of more reliable guard or slash swing, I don't know if they are ready to get rid of Trey. I don't know we've heard on that, but.
Starting point is 00:58:06 I think for the right price, for sure. They would. Not for sure, but I think they would. I'm glad you brought Janus back up because before you said there's no Janus trade and the top of the West teams are out. And I generally, I mean, I said on my pod yesterday or Monday that I'm starting to wonder if this is going to be a summer thing after all, like we all thought it was going to be before the season when they signed Phanasis and he sort of recommitted publicly for the year. that's my bet summer i i would bet that way too but there's a couple of wild cards number one is uh and number two is uh and number two is and now there's all this noise that is milwaukee going to try to buy to placate yannis one last time or just to try to save the season two contracts
Starting point is 00:58:57 agreed but the other wild card is like he's out for a few more weeks what if they're like one and twelve in their next 13 games and it's just the season is is over over for them Like I the wild card is always that plus he finally comes out and says it's time and then I think anything's possible other than the other than spurs rockets you know whatever right you know the problem is not having their pick makes this so much more complicated again it's why I can't rule out the teams I mean Atlanta's got Milwaukee stuff Portland is not going to trade for you honest but they've got Milwaukee stuff and would work their way I think into some kind of trade like it's why I can't I can't close the door completely. All right. Have you closed the door in the 2026 Mets yet? No. I'm not happy.
Starting point is 00:59:50 Not happy, but, you know, baseball, there's a lot of offseason left to go. I'm a little, I'm a little sad still. You know what I'm tired of? I'm tired of Instagram tributes to guys you couldn't even bother making a contract offer for. How about if you don't make a contract offer to the all-time home run hitter on your franchise? You don't get to do an Instagram tribute to him, thanking him for all the great stuff he did to do. You just have to move on with life and say, good luck with the Orioles. Baseball to break your heart.
Starting point is 01:00:22 It will. You've only seen this once? One time, Boogie Nights. Just came out on 4K Ultra. I paid for this, by the way. This is not a paid advertisement. This is my favorite movie the last 30 years. It's a great one.
Starting point is 01:00:35 It's a great one to be watching on the night that your 10-year-old daughter walks out and has to go to the bathroom in the middle. the movie and it's like, hey, what are mommy and daddy watching right now? Yeah, and you have a violence-free house, too. Though you won't watch any TV shows, movies that cross the line in any way, right? I mean, I will. Everybody has to be gone? Yeah, I mean, for like, you know. I did have an idea for you because, as everybody knows,
Starting point is 01:01:05 you're Team Croatia with the World Cup coming. That's right, baby. and they're playing England, Chris Ryan's team. I think you guys should start feuding now. Like really build it up WrestleMania style. Like let's get some angles,
Starting point is 01:01:19 some bad blood. It always works out great for England in the World Cup. Yeah, let's go. That's what I'm talking about. Throw some darts. Does he want to talk about the 2018 semifinals at all?
Starting point is 01:01:31 Or, you know, I don't know. See, let's go. You should have them on. This is what's going on my life right now, by the way. So I have Croatia's schedule in the World Cup. They have three group games. I have the NBA finals, the NBA draft,
Starting point is 01:01:48 and fifth grade graduation end of elementary school. All and like that day moves around based on how many snow days we get during the year. And I'm trying to triangulate all this and figure out which of Croatia's group games is the right one to go to. And I feel like I need to hire somebody because it's too complicated for me. Like a personal assistant. But I'm going for sure. Like, it's, it's a bucket list thing for us and we're going. It's one way or the other, we're going.
Starting point is 01:02:15 My son graduated eighth grade from a school he was at for 10 years, the Willows. It was a school that we loved and my daughter went there too. So it was really like 13 years at the Willows for us. And his last day, the graduation, I had to go. It was game four of the 2002 Warriors Celtics finals, which ended up becoming the Steph Curry game. So I knew if I stayed in LA, I knew, I know I have these powers. I knew the Celtics were probably going to lose.
Starting point is 01:02:42 I had that on my conscience. And then not only did they lose, but it turned out to be the most important game of Steph Curry's career. And I'm kind of glad I wasn't there as the years pass. Because as you know, he's my favorite non-Seltic. So watching my favorite non-Seltic murder my team, I'd probably think I'd still be in my seat. And it would have made me not like Steph Curry.
Starting point is 01:03:04 So in a way, maybe it was good that I wasn't there. I don't think it would have. I was there. It was amazing. And I think you would have done a hat tip, a mental hat tip, and just gone and had a drink somewhere. It's crazy how much he needed it as the years passed now. Where if that doesn't happen, there's a lot of yeah-butt with his career.
Starting point is 01:03:24 And that just, like, took away the yeah-butt. There's no yeah-butt for him now. It's like Kobe in 2009. Same thing. Like, you can, it's going to be the yeah-but. No more yeah-but. Fuck you. it's a fun and weird championship
Starting point is 01:03:36 and I sure like people would have nitpicked the how many did he win before the Durant Cap Spike thing but he's averaging 30 points a game right now for the four years I know like it's like I'm cool with Steph either way
Starting point is 01:03:50 at this point yeah it'll be interesting to see how many more years he can be this good because there will be moments during these games now where he just looks exhausted like that those two games the recent two when he was exploding
Starting point is 01:04:05 they'll cut him in the fourth quarter and he's just like he's almost like exasperated how hard his job is but he knows he still knows he's great at it. I just don't know how sustainable that is. We'll see. They certainly don't make it easy for him. No. I think see Jimmy Butler
Starting point is 01:04:21 take more shots. What did I say the guy's name? Was Justin Dutari? Is that you? Is that you? That might have been me. Yeah. So let's front some place for Jimmy Butler. Come on guys. Sil Bimmons at Gmail.com email Joe Lacob.
Starting point is 01:04:38 Lacob will never respond to another, he'll never respond or another fan. All right, Zach Lowe, you got a podcast on Thursday. Did you get back in your Twitter account? Not yet. Not yet. We're working on it. Jesus. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:04:49 Good luck with that. Say hi to everybody in Connecticut. See you soon. See you. Thanks. All right, we're taping this part of the podcast Tuesday afternoon. The Man the Myth of Legend is here, Todd McShay. His newsletter is fantastic.
Starting point is 01:05:02 His podcast is great. This is McShay time right now. Playoffs for college plus a draft board. You have a number one guy now. We'll talk about that in a second. I wanted to talk football QBs first in the NFL. I sent you a pyramid. You did.
Starting point is 01:05:17 First of all, I like it. First of all, Josh Allen is just right there now, number one. This is like the least controversial number one argument we've had in a couple years, right? It's Alan drop off next guy. Who's your next guy? first of all i was at the game on on sunday with uh allen versus may and you know a quarter in kind of felt like new england was establishing dominance and and drake had rushed for two touchdowns and and the MVP chance are going and it just felt like not a changing of guard
Starting point is 01:05:52 but it just it almost felt strange you know like i'm watching alan on the sideline and They don't have a lot of answers, and things look easy for doing one. And then the rest of the game happened. My takeaway was both can be great and both are great. But as the game progressed, especially in the conditions, it was freezing. It was, you know, mild snow coming down. You could tell the difference was very clear that Josh Allen is just a more advanced passer at this point. Now, Drake May, if you go back and look at Allen early in his career,
Starting point is 01:06:29 I mean, some of the inexperience, some of the lack of the pinpoint accuracy, you see the same things from Drake May. But it was very clear when the four quarters were over that one guy is a notch above. So when I see your pyramid here, I can't disagree with it. And I would absolutely have Stafford there as well. I always like to ask myself this question. I had Stafford, too, just so people know. I had Allen Stafford May.
Starting point is 01:06:55 That's May is the third guy right now. And I ask myself this question, I'm kind of curious your process too, because we do it, whether it's in tears or a pyramid like you have here, when you think to yourself, all right, I get one opportunity and I'm going to go coach or I get to put together as GM this roster and I get to play one playoff game or a Super Bowl, whatever, everything on the line. Honestly, who am I going to take? Am I taking Stafford for that game or am I taking Drake May? And my answer right now is Stafford. I just lean on the experience. He's been through the wars. He's more pinpoint accurate. May brings mobility to the table that Stafford doesn't,
Starting point is 01:07:33 but I just like my odds with Stafford more than I do, regardless of the supporting cast. Throw that out of the window. So I would agree with you, one, two, three here. The third one of you. Can I stop you on that Stafford point? Yeah. I think that one of his best skills,
Starting point is 01:07:48 and it's certainly gotten better when he's been with McVeigh and he's had better talent. But there's a problem solving piece with him. that I think is the last level for May and he might be two years, May is great. He might be two years away from, like that game Sunday, you can feel it slipping away, right?
Starting point is 01:08:05 Buffalo gets the ball to start the second half. Pat's do like a three and out or whatever happened. Buffalo scores again. And, you know, at some point, they only had one first down in the second half and it was on that long Henderson play, I think. Yeah. They just couldn't put together drives.
Starting point is 01:08:21 And there was some point in that game where he had to realize, It's like, it's right now I got to figure this out. And I just think he's a young QB, you know? And the game kind of slipped away, whereas Alan, I think he's been enough of these now where it's like, 20-0-0, we're fine coming back. I've been here before.
Starting point is 01:08:38 I don't care about the weather. We should be able to move the ball and come back. He's the number one guy for that right now where he, did you feel safe when it was 21-0-0? Because I didn't. Not completely for New England. No, not completely. It felt like Buffalo had to figure out how it was going to attack on offense.
Starting point is 01:08:58 What I didn't expect was the poor tackling and the inability to stop the run at certain points in the game from New England. But that's, I guess, a different subject for a different day. And the flags. The flags were not great. Even Vrable complained about the frags today. He pointed out that they had led the league at offensive holdings during the year, Buffalo, but they had none on Sunday.
Starting point is 01:09:20 And it's like, that's just curious. He was doing that thing. I hate, and I was there with young kids, and I don't want anyone to think that any of this is rigged, didn't, you know, like, I'm- No, because Buffalo deserved to win. They did deserve to win, but two things can be true. They deserve to win, but if you are a conspiracy theorist, you're like, yeah, the NFL really doesn't want a playoff run without Mahomes and Allen, you know? Oh, now you're speaking my language.
Starting point is 01:09:48 I love this. This is your prey to my will-house. They're crept into my mind, and I'm always the last guy. I'm the defender. I'm always on that wall. But it felt like that. Anyway, all right. I do want to get to this.
Starting point is 01:10:00 Quarterbacking is not, the NFL is not fair, right? In a lot of ways, like to athletes and how, and what the body can, what it can do to your body and all those sorts. Where it is fair is with quarterbacks. And I say this because early in careers when you have your most mobility, whatever that is, whether it's Lamar Jackson, Drake May,
Starting point is 01:10:19 Josh Allen mobility, or a lesser degree, when you're most mobile, you need that mobility because you don't have the problem solving of Stafford or Joe Burrow or obviously going back to like Manning and Brady and Breeze. So early in the career, you need that mobility. And Drake May gets himself out of a lot of the troubles that he still is working through his young quarterback
Starting point is 01:10:43 with that mobility, but Stafford doesn't need it. You know, that's kind of the beauty. And he'll get to a point where he doesn't need it, Drake May nearly as much. The third rung, though, is where I start to have submissions. All right. I'll read it to the audience. So after Allen Stafford May, I had Love, Prescott, Purdy, then had Burrow, Lamar, Stroud,
Starting point is 01:11:06 Goff. And Lamar is really legacy versus what we've actually seen this year. And then I had Herbert and Knicks, 11 and 12, and I'm happy to move those guys up. Be my conciliaria on this. Herbert's been the hardest one because he has no offensive line. his weapons are fine the production's been okay but they keep winning games
Starting point is 01:11:26 and I just don't know where to put him so help me out I guess my question was as I was reading through this is this like where we are right now in this moment is this a encapsulating the entire season or is this what we think
Starting point is 01:11:40 what we kind of know they like burrow is when healthy and happy and protected burrows up there with Alan you're right in my opinion But how far? But when he sounds depressed and press conferences and puts up a goose egg,
Starting point is 01:11:58 it's hard to put him higher than seven. It's one thing to sound depressed, to play depressed, and to do it against the same opponent two weeks ago that you just carved apart. Right. That one's, that one you can do an entire show on. It's kind of, you know, it's scary to think where he is mentally to put that out on tape on Sunday. Do you think it's justifiable for him to be there mental? though, because between the offensive line
Starting point is 01:12:22 and the fact that they just don't spend money and you're in this conference with all these franchise QBs and you basically... Of course it is. You have the water pistol in a gunfight. I think it was all starting to dawn on him. It did, yeah. I think he had like a realization.
Starting point is 01:12:39 Yeah. And I mean, it did Carson Palmer look at how that finished? Excuse me. I think he was Schaefter had a great statistic about what forced
Starting point is 01:12:51 Andrew Luck to retire and it was whatever number of sacks in X amount of games and it was like 13 fewer games and Ed Burrow had been sack 20 or 30 more times whatever the number was significantly more in 13 fewer games
Starting point is 01:13:07 to get to this point and so you just you wonder about his mental state and where he is but Purdy at 3 in the third run so I had him I had him sixth overall Purdy and I do think he's having kind of an underrated year.
Starting point is 01:13:25 But like Mac Jones's QBR was like 12th, you know, based off of put... I had Mac Jones on this list. He's a few rungs down. No, I know, but I'm set. I think you have to take into account, you know, what's around them to a certain degree. Oh, this is it.
Starting point is 01:13:43 So you're in the anti-Purdy camp. I like this, because Purdy is the most polarizing QB out of all of them. And I feel like I like him, but I feel like this is, this is beyond. Okay, so would you flip? Who would you put if I move purdy out? Who would you move into that? Do you agree with Love and Prescott?
Starting point is 01:14:00 Four and five? I actually do. I do. And I think love is exactly right at four. And I think just this is. You know what's interesting? Because it's a pyramid, I can do whatever I want. I could just have the third rung just be love and Prescott.
Starting point is 01:14:14 I think it should be. And then it moves down to a different level. I honestly don't know. might have Purdy down with, I would pop Herbert up to the fourth rung. Okay. Because I just don't, you can't lose both phenomenal offensive tackles, have that little protection. I honestly wouldn't mind, yeah, I would move Purdy up to the third rung. I mean, I'm sorry, I would move Herbert up to the third
Starting point is 01:14:41 rung, purdy down to the fourth. So you'd have Herbert sixth overall. All right, I'm I'm going to trust you because I'm admittedly like, I don't see Herbert correctly sometimes because I don't think I put, when I evaluate him, I don't think I put into account all the obstacles that the Chargers have thrown on him. And bad luck injuries. I mean, it's not the Chargers fault Slater got hurt and all got hurt, but that offensive line is really bad. I don't know that there's an organization in the NFL that has, I feel like we're going on a decade
Starting point is 01:15:11 now every single year. at some point is it bad luck or are we evaluating the wrong players or we i don't know is there something wrong with our training staff can i offer you one more option yes karma they move from san diego there's good people in san diego there are good people who works on our podcast yeah um who you ripped from my show he's the greatest clip guy in the history clip guys i acquired him in a trade You did. I'm just waiting for what I'm getting back. The San Diego people, though, what did they do? It's like, we...
Starting point is 01:15:52 Nothing. Yeah, we have a shitty arena, so you want us to pay for another one? Like, why do we... The teams are all worth $6, $7, $8 billion a year. Why do we have to pay for this? Anyway, the charges are gone, and I do think there's some karma with it. But I think if we adjust the Purdy and Herbert a little bit... Okay, I'm happy to tweet that.
Starting point is 01:16:11 Borough Lamar, Gough is in the right rung. Yeah. Stroud, it's nice to see backup in that rung. So I started him. I'm in the fantasy playoffs. And I had Baker and Caleb and I weighed both of them and just went all in on C.J. Stroud against Arizona because I thought there were real signs that he, you know, he's got his weapons back.
Starting point is 01:16:31 Woody Marks when he's actually out there. But they have a bunch of like decent running backs. But Stroud's got his mojo back. He does. Like for real. And I think he's a real wild card for the playoffs. and somebody I do not want to see in the seventh seed if the Patriots are the two seed.
Starting point is 01:16:45 They might be the most dangerous team in the playoffs. I know. They're 13 to 1 to win the Super Bowl. Like they're not in that even the second level of Super Bowl odds. And to me, I think it's Buffalo, Houston, and Denver I would have as the three teams I'd be the most afraid of. Why am I still not buying Denver? Well, they answered all the questions last week, though.
Starting point is 01:17:06 Okay. That Greenback game was really impressive. I thought Nixon was great in that game. He was. but I can still think I just in the playoffs I just I don't buy it I don't buy it there's some game management shit with them
Starting point is 01:17:19 that I think I would be concerned about if I was a Broncos fan there's some weird fourth down stuff they do they're like unnecessarily aggressive sometimes yeah but they've had some luck in the end of these games I was just going to say but they keep winning the one score games they keep winning them I mean the defense
Starting point is 01:17:35 you can't argue against and it's great to see Boenix where he is and I'll tell you what it was one of the all-time, as I like to say, like onions moves to draft him where they drafted him, to go all in and to be like, that's my guy. I don't care if the rest of the league has him in the second round. So that fifth year I have now has Purdy, Knicks, Mayfield, Hertz, and Darnold. And the biggest question for me, and I'll throw it to you, because I might be glass half empty on this guy too. Lawrence is the next guy at the next run at 16. And he's had, he's played way
Starting point is 01:18:10 better the last couple weeks. It's undeniable. They've been playing bad teams. I still don't trust it. Some other people do and they're like, finally he's comfortable, he's got a good coach. Do you trust this? No, I trust Caleb more with his coach than I do, Lawrence with his.
Starting point is 01:18:26 Interesting. How come? I think Caleb's buying in. I mean, Lawrence is as well. I think Caleb is more talented. don't know that I trust. Trust is the wrong word with either of them
Starting point is 01:18:44 if we get into a playoff situation. But I don't trust Lauren. I'm never going to trust Lawrence. I don't know that I can either and I had such a high grade on him. These are the two guys that based off of my grades
Starting point is 01:18:57 coming out of college should be up with like Stafford, May, love, you know, in that range. And so one thing with Caleb that he has that I don't think Lawrence has in the same way is Caleb just has
Starting point is 01:19:08 one wild play a quarter where you have him on a sack and he just gets out of it he Houdini's as many plays per game as anyone and there's a little bit more F you to his game yeah you know what I mean like in that moment and it can go awry you know but he's just dialed that in a lot
Starting point is 01:19:27 and he's capable of making a mistake still in a pressure moment you just don't know but I just if you need one I think I mean I definitely want Caleb under center more than Lawrence if I need one, you know? We don't have to do the second half of the pyramid, but I did want to ask you about a couple of QBs.
Starting point is 01:19:47 Okay. I love Shuck on the Saints. Me too. I'm actually... He was my guy last year. Yeah, I know he was. And it seemed a little crazy because of his age, but you went all in on him.
Starting point is 01:19:58 All in. I think he's for real. I think they're done. They don't need a QB. They should ride with him. I think he's legitimately solid. I was going down to Mobile Alabama for the Senior Bowl. It was I think the McShay show
Starting point is 01:20:10 the first time we went on the road, right? Yeah. And I got the list from Jim Nagy, who was the executive director at the time, and I hadn't watched, I'd seen all the quarterbacks and studied them. I hadn't done much on Shuck. So I did a little bit prior to that.
Starting point is 01:20:24 During the week, I really liked them. And then I came back before the combine. And I went in like full on diving in film room, then I got to know, you know, talk to some people, some scouts about his background, what he's been through. And it just clicked for me.
Starting point is 01:20:39 I'm like, why not? He's more emotionally mature and has been through more. He was in Trevor Lawrence's recruiting class. Wow. And part of that, like, Elite 11 and was like supposed to be one of the next guys. You know, he was Herbert's, excuse me, era parent at Oregon. And then he bounced all around and wound up at Louisville with Brom, who kind of both the Broms, who wound up like getting it out of him.
Starting point is 01:21:07 And the light finally, you know, turned on. And so I just, and his makeup and his love for the game and he's kind of a junkie and he's always around it. And he's had it ripped away. He told me a story we were talking at the Combine. Like, I literally was being carted off the field. I think it was a Texas Tech. And he's like, I'm, my football career is done.
Starting point is 01:21:28 It's gone. I don't know. Like, who am I? What am I? You know, so like, there's something about quarterbacks who come in the league and have been through a lot. And I, and that's what I liked about Chuck. And seeing him, you know, he thought I was with him at the Manning Passing Academy.
Starting point is 01:21:40 And he was saying, you know, I'm going to be the starter and we're, and to see that that wasn't the case and even early struggles his rookie year to get to be put in this spot and to play the way he has is kind of awesome to see. He has two qualities I really like. One in the fourth quarters, he can, he can come back. Like there's a resilience to them. Like if they're down 17 or something or 2417, you, you feel like that he's going to make a run, right? but he's also really tough like he takes big sands on that team it's not like that's like a great blocking team
Starting point is 01:22:12 and even in the game the Carolina game which I watched that entire game I just thought he got fucking walloped a couple times and he just gets up you know and I think there's something there's a charisma to him
Starting point is 01:22:25 and a toughness to him that I think works I just think they have a QB so I was excited for them because it's not like a lot of good things are going on with the Saints I wonder like you mentioned about these guys, these late bloomer guys who have high pedigree, this is something I'm always fascinated with the NBA. The Celtics are in this situation now with Jordan Walsh, who's
Starting point is 01:22:46 only 21, who's been playing a lot for them as a wing guy and is emerging as this really good defender. But if you go back and you look at his class, he was like number 12 in the ESPN top 100 and then played college for like one year on a team that had a bunch of wings. And they kind a bet on the pedigree, which is something they've done over and over again with some guys. Some guys have the pedigree, but it just takes three, four, five years to figure it out. And then other guys
Starting point is 01:23:12 haunt you because you think they're going to figure out and they never do. So, it's a little dance. Yeah, it is. And it's interesting with, we mentioned Lawrence and, and Caleb, right? And they were, can't miss clearly the number one guy. Number one coming out of
Starting point is 01:23:30 high school, number one college. And there's, like I said, with Shuck, there's, there's something to either having it ripped away or enduring some of those struggles in college where you come in hardened a little bit. And it hasn't been all handed. Nothing's handed. But it hasn't been, it hasn't come easy, you know? And so. So who's the guy in college right now that could be that guy? Who's the high pedigree? I took some lumps. Maybe bet on me when my stock's a little lower guy. Because it seems like we have a bunch of them in the draft this year. Yeah, I was going to say, you know, like Drew Aller, I just, I can't bet on. Maybe it's Klubnik, Kade Klubnick from Clemson, although I think he's a career backup, but could wind up, you know, pushing through. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:24:27 But he's been through some stuff. at least Dante Moore has been through, like, he went to UCLA. He was a five-star, elite 11, all those things, was supposed to be the next great one. And things went poorly after five games, got, you know, got benched, took a sabbatical year, as they're calling it now, at Oregon, and just kind of sat back and learned with Will Stein. He comes out this year as a starter, and everything's great. And then he kind of hit a mid-season with receiver injuries and everything, kind of a lull. Well, plus you started blowing him up. I don't think he could handle the McShea pressure.
Starting point is 01:25:02 I know. You put the McShay spotlight on him. He was like blinded. He's like, ah. Topic She believes. I do feel like sometimes when I go all in too early on someone, and I think it's more of a jinx than any pressure I put on a player. It's like buying flowers for a girl after a second date.
Starting point is 01:25:19 It's like, oh, this is going so fast. Yeah, I don't know. I don't know. But to see him finish the season strong, and now all of a sudden Will Stein is offensive coordinator. I was pushing. And I talked to some scouts who talked to Dante Moore's camp, right? His mom, his dad, his agent, the coaches.
Starting point is 01:25:38 Everyone was saying he's going back to school. But now Will Stein leaves. Dante Moore's playing well. We're hearing, you know, Arch obviously he's going back. Lenora Sellers going back. A lot of Sorsby from Cincinnati is kind of looking at his draft stock, but probably going to transfer. I think there's a chance that Moore could wind up reversing
Starting point is 01:25:57 course now and wind up in this draft and this class like for all the touting in the preseason i'm here to be the you know i've admitted it before like they just didn't pan out you got fernando mendoza and then maybe dante more and even tie simpson who i love and think he's going to have a great future at alabama he's not ready and so maybe there's just two first round guys and it's a big dip before potentially we have one of the greatest quarterback classes in the history of the NFL draft in 2027. You put out your like preliminary, preliminary, preliminary big board. You had Mendoza, the clear one, Reese, the linebacker from Ohio State Tube, and then
Starting point is 01:26:37 more three, even though he's 20. I know. I mean, out of everybody you had in your top 10, more was the one my eyes gravitated to because it's such a tough one, right? It's like, clearly hasn't spent enough time in college, clearly has incredible talent, and is one of the situations where if he, at 20 years old, went to the wrong team with the wrong coach and the wrong infrastructure.
Starting point is 01:27:01 I think it's just a disaster. But if he went to a team, like a 10 out of 10 would be the Mahomes Reed situation, right? In 2017, you go, there's a starter. You don't have to play for here. You sit there. I don't know if that's a situation that exists in the top six of this NFL draft.
Starting point is 01:27:18 So I don't know. Like if you were in his concili area, would you tell him to come out? Almost everyone on the high rungs of this, of this Bill's QBP, pyramid, right? Yeah. It's got 36 starts in college or more, almost everyone.
Starting point is 01:27:32 Is that true? Yeah. And the ones who don't are in like the high 20s, right? So the move is for him to stay for a year, bank some starts, bank some experience, and then cast your lot in a tougher draft class. Yeah. And so what if you're the third or fourth or fifth quarterback taken next year? Maybe you wind up going to a better place.
Starting point is 01:27:55 I mean, look at Bo Knicks. you know, he goes to Denver with a great defense and a team that, you know, is not nearly as shredded and dismal as Washington was at the time or Chicago was at the time. I don't know. I just... Well, I mean, think about it.
Starting point is 01:28:13 Like, NBA, I think it matters a lot more. There's a huge money disparity with, like, the top four picks as it drops down in the lottery. There's prestige. In football, like, all that matters is you're trying to get to your second contract. where you can get between $40 and $60 million a year, right? So if I'm, I would much rather go $12 to be a good situation.
Starting point is 01:28:33 If he's the number three pick, let's say. If I've got him at three, he's the number three pick in the draft. He's going to make about $36 million guaranteed over five years, right? Right. So you're looking at seven plus million per year. Versus like $26. Yeah, but he's probably going to make, I don't know, four or five million to go back to Oregon.
Starting point is 01:28:57 That's the difference now that it's a luxury that that players didn't have, quarterbacks did not have before. The only difference is that you're starting the clock a year earlier on that big contract though. Yeah, but when you're 20, you know, and you're looking now, well, I'll be 21 going into 22. I've got, you know, and then I'll be 27, 26, 27 at my, if I wait a year, I'll be 26, 27 for my first contract.
Starting point is 01:29:23 That's, those are the discussions that, that are. being had like I'm yes I'm pushing it back a year but it's not like I'm losing that much money in my final year at Oregon so is it worth this is why agents are awful though because the right agent is going to tell him and his family like look he's got to come out now every year he doesn't come out he's costing himself 50 million dollars and they'll just do they'll Jedi mind trick it so it's like you're leaving so much money on the table four years from now if you don't come out And the business part of it is wild. We're talking about a 20-year-old, right?
Starting point is 01:29:57 Yeah. Who now has control and is in a leverage. He's in a position of leverage when he goes and negotiates with Oregon. Yeah. With his agent, you know, through his agent saying, all right, if I do come back, A, what's the money? B, I need this, this, and this guarantee. So that's, I know I have one great freshman quarterback who will be a, I mean,
Starting point is 01:30:19 a receiver who will be a sophomore. But I need a guarantee of two portal, receivers and I get to help shoot, you know, like, that's something that it's brand new to this sport. I'm not saying it's healthy, but it's, but it's my son's 18. I don't even trust him with a postmate's order at this point. Right. He's going to be hiring multiple staff members and recruits. Yeah, and who's my coordinator. And so it's wild what's going on in college, but it's where we are. Well, let's, can we talk Mendoza? Because you've really, he's won you over. It's like watching a rom-com. We've hit the end of the rom-com when the couple just ends up together. Like,
Starting point is 01:30:56 you're in on Mendoza. This is, that last game, one, one, when you over for good, it seems like. It's a rom-com where I fell in love with him early in the plot, right? Right. But I, but I was wary of how, am I going to, you know, is this, is this my forever? Or, or do I just really enjoy, is there a lot of fun? Your friends are telling you like, no, no, Dante Moore, he's, he's so great. Lenore Sellers is a better athlete. And so, and so I'm early, because remember, back in, back in July, we did, we were breaking out all these quarterbacks. We weren't even going to do a full show on.
Starting point is 01:31:35 We had done Arch. We did Klubnick and Aller and Nussmeyer and Lenore Sellers and all the, and John Mateer. And we get, we're like, should we do Mendoza? Does anyone really care about a Cal transfer to Indiana yet? Or should we just wait? Yeah. And luckily, Dan Comer from our show was like, no, we need to. to do it let's do it so i dove into the tape and i watched and i was like oh this guy's got stuff
Starting point is 01:31:59 and he's mobile and he's got a big arm and he's got a little bit of like this charisma about him and he kind of doesn't care in big moments and he's but he's turning the ball over a lot and he's and he should be turning the ball over even more and he's making a lot so he's got a lot of developing to do but i love where he's going that system but then early in the season it was like rPO stuff It felt like he was kind of a robot working within the system. But then he had the Iowa game, and then he had the Oregon game. And none of it was beautiful, you know, top to bottom. But there were moments in the clutch.
Starting point is 01:32:35 And then the Penn State game. Again, he's with this out without his top receiver. He's got this like third string young receiver Baker who winds up having a monster game. And he makes that throw at the end of the game. Yeah. And so in Ohio State wasn't beautiful. beautiful top to bottom, but this is a deep, this is like Rocky 4. Like there's no, there's no knocking out this, this monster, this giant, you know.
Starting point is 01:32:57 And he found away. And he hung in there and he made that big throw at the end of the game. And it's like, this is just who he is. It may not always be pretty. And so, and I like, he's goofy, man. He's Kurt Cousins meets Kurt Warner, you know, like just the interviews and who, but he knows who he is. and he doesn't stray from that
Starting point is 01:33:20 and he yeah I keep falling more in love with him and we're getting towards the end of the rom-com where I'm like yeah I'm all in on this guy even though I see the flaws like the eyes drop in the pocket and he gets kind of worked up at certain times but that's something that can work out
Starting point is 01:33:36 in maturity from a skill set and from that clutch gene standpoint he's got a lot of the traits that some of the top guys in the league have casual fan bill has one concern. The interviews? I've just never really seen it work
Starting point is 01:33:54 with superstar NFL QBs when the interviews are that goofy. I knew it. We hadn't talked about it. I knew. I know. We haven't talked about it. I've been saving it for you. So that stuff does not fly. I don't know. It's so weird and unconventional
Starting point is 01:34:09 his style that it almost seems like an SNL sketch. And I don't fully understand it. And if he's like this in interviews, is he like this in the huddle? I just need more information. Or he needs an interview coach, but something is very alieny about it. Like he doesn't seem like
Starting point is 01:34:26 a human being. And it's just like, this is just weird. What's he doing? I think he's just kind of a nerd. You know, I just think he's kind of, like. I mean, it worked for Russell Wilson forever, right? Russell Wilson. And Kirk Cousins, man.
Starting point is 01:34:41 Kirk Couss. Overly excited. Warner. It's, yeah, it's a little, it's like, is this a shtick or is this who you really are? Right. So, I don't know. I felt like it was a shtick. Hmm.
Starting point is 01:34:55 Interesting. And so I never bought that one. And that made some uncomfortable moments in Bristol. And I just never fully bought that one. And he wound up having a better career than maybe I expected, but still. Comfortable in what way? Like in the production meeting? No, just like be there with his agent.
Starting point is 01:35:12 I had a whole list of players. It was, my list was pretty close to undefeated. Anytime someone who I said, who I was lower on, sought me out either personally or through an agent and came after me in Bristol or anywhere else. Almost every single one of them were busts or failed to live. Because they cared. So I kept it on my phone.
Starting point is 01:35:32 I kept this, it's called the list on my phone, in my notes page. And he was one of them. And he wasn't a bus, certainly, but he never. Never really totally made it. Yeah. Listen, the Mendoza thing, from an entertainment value standpoint
Starting point is 01:35:45 is going to be really fun because every time he gives an interview, you're kind of captivated. Yeah, but it's captivated how many car pile up, right? It's just different. It is. He'll figure it up.
Starting point is 01:36:00 But I knew that's why you couldn't go all in on him. Well, his teammates love him. I love that he's come through in especially the Penn State game, but he's taken the stuff I've seen, he's taking some big hits. he just gets up or if it takes him
Starting point is 01:36:14 a couple of plays to get up he's back and I don't know and the team wins so if I'm there's only going to probably be one team in the top six
Starting point is 01:36:24 that desperately needs a QB in the NFL maybe he's the guy I didn't look at the list for who's the team that needs a QB I'm Blanken well the Raiders
Starting point is 01:36:35 the Raiders the Saints now they're out the Giants are out I haven't looked to the list this week Tennessee won't. Cleveland.
Starting point is 01:36:44 Yeah, but here's the thing, though. You've got three teams, Bill, with two picks in the first round that were banking on this quarterback class. Right. Right? You got Cleveland, the Jets, and the Rams. The Rams are now like,
Starting point is 01:36:57 it doesn't matter his age. We get at least one more year out of them. So I bet you the Rams try to move a piece to get another first rounder in 2027 would be my guess if they can. The Jets have multiple in 27 as well. So it's kind of the browns that are sitting there You're most nervous about them
Starting point is 01:37:16 But I think the Jets if they I mean There could be a war I'm saying For that first overall pick to go up and get Mendoza And I think you know whoever winds up with that first round pick Is going to wind up or that number one overall pick Is going to wind up getting a haul for it Yeah so I mean Arizona I guess
Starting point is 01:37:34 Could talk themselves into we desperately need one But they could also talk themselves in another year of Kyler the only one that's like it's bleak you know really bleak I would say is Jets and Vegas and the Browns but even the Browns could like what if Shadur looks better the next three
Starting point is 01:37:53 like they could talk themselves into some sort of Shadur we're paying Watson anyway there's a better draft class coming it would be ownership talking themselves into it and getting rid of the GM and the head coach and bringing in a group that
Starting point is 01:38:07 a head coach that believes in Shador. That's what it would take, from my understanding. Or a head coach that believes in a year from now, let's go all in on this next draft. It's going to be loaded with people. Vegas needs, I mean, the Vegas thing's unbelievable. Carol is going to get, I think he's going to get pushed out after the season. Yeah, he's dead man walking right now. They went all in on Gino Smith, who, you know, he's not going to be the QB next year. How great does Schneider look in Seattle? Well, you have that. You also have, you're in a division with Denver chargers and, and the the rebuilding for a year
Starting point is 01:38:41 Kansas City Chiefs. So Vegas could be this could be the rest of a decade where they're just in fourth place so they got to figure it out. Can we talk about quickly the college football playoffs?
Starting point is 01:38:53 Oklahoma, Alabama is the closest line. That's one and a half. Alabama favored. Texas A&M. Miami and then two higher lines with Ole Miss and Oregon. Is there, out of those four, what's the game you're fired up for? Blue Bloods Friday night. Alabama, Oklahoma.
Starting point is 01:39:09 Oklahoma's offense doesn't, it just, it's not inspiring. John Mateer, before the thumb injury, was tracking to be, I'm not saying he's going to be a first rounder, but like a day two prospect, but he just, he brought this grit and playmaking ability and like the, the mid, the mature moments and, you know, the good and bad. He hasn't been the same. The offensive line can't protect. They don't have any running game.
Starting point is 01:39:32 So, but I think they can beat Alabama. Something's up in Alabama. Ty Simpson was sensational. Best quarterback in the country I thought through like six, seven games. Ryan Williams, the wide receiver is a star. Coming in, it was Jeremiah Smith and Ryan Williams. And we're talking about already top 10 picks after last year.
Starting point is 01:39:55 And Ryan Williams all of a sudden can't catch the ball consistently has disappeared. He had one catch for 22 yards or something like that in the final two regular season games. They had to manufacture a couple throws to them. in the SDC championship game. This is a star. This doesn't happen to Jeremiah Smith, you know. Now there's DeBore and conversations about Michigan.
Starting point is 01:40:17 I think they could get clipped. And I love Ty Simpson. And I actually picked Alabama in the preseason to win the national championship. I'm taking Oklahoma on Friday night. Interesting. Norman. I also think Miami.
Starting point is 01:40:33 I don't trust Marcel Reed. What's that number? What's the spread? Three and a half. for Miami's getting three and a half. Fandals all over it. They always are. I think that game's going to be close.
Starting point is 01:40:43 I actually think Carson Beck with his experience is, I did this thing, right? On the other day. The biggest difference of the playoffs this year and last year, quarterbacks. Last year, like, the best quarterback in the entire college football playoff was Dylan Gabriel. I get the list right here.
Starting point is 01:41:01 That's why I'm looking at. Quinn Ewers, Nico I. Yamaliyava, just as a pup still. Cade Clubnik, Drew Aller, Will Howard, Kevin Jennings, Riley Leonard, Carson Beck, who wasn't even going to be in the playoff, who was going to be Gunner Stockton, and we knew barely anything about Sam Levitt as a pup and Maddox Madsen. Jesus. I know.
Starting point is 01:41:22 This year, it's Mendoza, Moore, right, at the top. Julian Sayan, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck, reinvented, Mattier, who I talked about. about Marcel Reed, Baron Morton, who's done a great job at Texas Tech, kind of flies under the radar. Did I say Julian Sayan as well? Ohio State. Yeah, and Trinidad Champlain.
Starting point is 01:41:47 Yeah, that's pretty good. So that's the biggest difference this year. What about my guy, Bob Chesney, headed to UCLA, getting 21 and a half against Oregon for James Madison, the 12th seat? There's no sports movie potential here, is there? Not a movie. Like, the defense is good.
Starting point is 01:42:06 Run game is really good. Seems like a pretty big step up. Yeah. From the conference. I'm not my guy. I know he's your guy. A lot of rumors and reports about you in that situation. About it helped.
Starting point is 01:42:22 Ohio State is a two to one favorite. Indiana, this is on Fandle. Indiana's plus 320. Georgia's 6 to 1, Oregon and Texas Tech are plus 8.50. So if you had to pick a team, who would you pick to win this whole? the whole thing. With the odds in mind, I would say, I would say Georgia. Georgia's six to one. Yeah. I think you get better money and I think honestly it's a, I don't want to say coin flip, but I could see Georgia winning it just as easily as I could, Ohio State. I could see Ohio State
Starting point is 01:42:57 stumbling out of the gate. You know what? You want to take a long shot? Check out in your fan duel out. I got it. It's to make the the semifinals, yeah, the semifinals. Okay. It was high it. It was like plus, I forget, it was 700 or something like that, um,
Starting point is 01:43:18 from Miami. Just to advance. To get to the final four, yeah. To get to the final four. It would be beating A&M and A&M and then knocking off Ohio State and then Carson Beck goes to play Georgia. Miami's talented in off plus 650 to make the college football playoff semifinals it dropped after i gave it the other day
Starting point is 01:43:40 yeah that's what you do i'm joking it was 700 it was 700 but i'm just you dropped the odds and you got in morris head if you got a couple couple bucks lying around a little scratch throw it at that what's your ideal number for the college playoffs for teams are we is it 12 is it 16 is it eight what would be what would be i could i could live with 12 but the bowl like the bowl like the Bulls are predictably becoming a farce now. Yeah. So I'm all for expanding. Let's just, let's go all.
Starting point is 01:44:12 I am. I think 16. Here's my biggest complaint. Like, first of all, we have all these brilliant people and all this money and all the investments in college football, right? All the TV back. How do we, why does it take an epic failure every year for change to be affected?
Starting point is 01:44:30 Last year, we got these four seeds of conference champions. And we're like, what are we doing? This year we get that fixed. And so it's the top four ranked teams, as it always should have been. Yeah. How did we not read the fine print? Like literally, did we just get too caught up at all? Like, how do we not think to ourselves?
Starting point is 01:44:48 You know what? The ACC or the Big 12, it won't ever be the Big Ten or the SEC. The ACC or the Big 12 could have a down year. And there's no team that represents one of those schools. And now we've got another conference champion and it could be another group of five. Yeah. how did we not get ahead of that? Well, it sounds like 16 is the right number.
Starting point is 01:45:08 16 is the right number. It's 8 or 16. 12 seems like we can't decide either way. And if it's at 12, the group of five should not just automatically get it. They should be ranked in the top. They have to be ranked in the top. They have to have a special Boise State, Cinderella, upsetting Oklahoma, type of year to get a team in.
Starting point is 01:45:29 Because right now we're looking at like Texas with the way Arch was playing. They knocked off the number three. team at the country at the end of the year. How's Texas out and I love Chesney, but J.M. use it. How is, how is Tulane in and Vanderbilt or BYU, one of these
Starting point is 01:45:45 other programs, isn't in? When they lost, now we get a rematch of Ole Miss, 45, Tulane 10 from earlier in the season. Like, no one wants to see that game. So maybe it's D-E-12 and then you have four, wait, how are
Starting point is 01:46:01 these guys not in spots? Yeah. And then you just get, and you just decide at the end of the, all right, these four, we can't, if we're going to do this correctly, Texas has to be in. So there's one. And you just go through. Yeah, in the current system, it's essentially five automatic bids and then seven at large. So you would expand that seven at large, but you would also, I still think the group of five teams should be in the top 16, whatever that number is. They should be ranked in the top of that spot in order to earn being in.
Starting point is 01:46:30 Well, you know what they'll end up doing. they'll go to 14 and emulate the NFL. That'll be the next move. They won't. The one and the two seeds will be the ones that don't have to play in the first round. Everybody else has to play. And then eventually we end up at 16 and then eventually we end up at 24.
Starting point is 01:46:49 I've only heard 16 though. I can see it getting to 24. I mean, at that point, what are we doing? Yeah. I think 16 will be there to. stay for a while. All right. Yeah, we'll see. Good to see, McShay. I enjoy your
Starting point is 01:47:08 newsletter. I enjoy your podcast. I enjoy the fact that you trudged to Gillette Stadium to watch the Patriots. Rubber match is coming. I'm not worried. Campbell's back. The Williams will be back both in January. We're going to see the bills again. I think we're
Starting point is 01:47:23 okay. I think the Williams thing is just just as important, honestly. That run defensive times, I've just, I was stunned. I'd love to see it. I think there's 31st. and rush EPA since he went out. I think that was the stat I saw. And you could just see it on the field. It was, yeah.
Starting point is 01:47:39 But that's, that's what we all want. Like, just the league in general wants to see that. The May Allen rivalry, you know, yeah. All right. Good to see you. Happy holidays. All right, brother. I'll talk to you. You too.
Starting point is 01:47:51 All right, that's it for the podcast. Thanks to Zach and McShay. Thanks to Gahua and Eduardo as well. Don't forget, rewatchable. It's high fidelity already up. Sure thing. coming tomorrow night, the short thing by Rob Reiner,
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