The Bill Simmons Podcast - A Suns-Warriors Flip-Flop, A Sneaky-Bad NFL Draft, and Utah Groundhog Day With Rob Mahoney, Danny Kelly, and Jonathan Tjarks
Episode Date: April 20, 2022The Ringer's Bill Simmons is joined by Rob Mahoney to discuss the Pelicans' Game 2 win over the Suns, Devin Booker's 31-point half followed by a third-quarter injury, the Warriors' new outlook with Jo...rdan Poole, Hawks-Heat Game 2, the Grizzlies' win over the Timberwolves, Celtics-Nets predictions, and more (3:02). Then, Bill talks with Danny Kelly about the 2022 NFL draft, why he thinks the QBs will slide, the most abundant positions in the first round, and more (32:54). Finally, Bill talks with Jonathan Tjarks about the Jazz-Mavericks series, Jalen Brunson's 41-point performance in the Mavericks' Game 2 victory, surviving until the return of Luka Doncic, the electric Celtics-Nets Game 1, NBA draft thoughts, and more (48:07). Host: Bill Simmons Guests: Rob Mahoney, Danny Kelly, and Jonathan Tjarks Producer: Kyle Crichton Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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I'm taping this on Tuesday night,
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series.
The Red Sox somehow won again tonight.
I don't really understand it.
They have basically one and a half starting pitchers.
Garrett Whitlock is, is my God. I don't, understand it. They have basically one and a half starting pitchers. Garrett Whitlock is my God.
I don't, my God of 2022.
Every time he pitches, good things seem to happen.
He's the MVP of the team so far.
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And you can go to the end of the podcast.
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It is all coming up.
First, our friends from Pro-Jet. All right, we're taping this part of the podcast.
It is 9.33 Pacific time.
We were going to go after Minnesota-Memphis.
Rob Mahoney and I were planning
when we went to do this. And I remember saying in a text something like, well, we don't need to
worry about Suns-Pelicans. But then the Timberwolves game was a bust. It was like, well, let's give
that Suns-Pelicans, that wacky game. It's a little interesting coming out of the gate.
Devin Booker puts up 31 in the first half and then gets hurt in the third quarter.
And all of a sudden, the young, precocious Pelicans,
who were like, plus at least 500 on Fanbill to win that game.
Some crazy number.
All of a sudden, they win.
The series is tied 1-1.
We said going into the playoffs, at least I said,
I thought Phoenix was the favorite
and the prohibitive favorite in the West
as long as nobody got hurt.
And they didn't even make it.
Four halves, Rob.
We don't know what happened to Devin Booker.
It didn't look great.
He didn't look happy on the sidelines.
No.
So that's one storyline.
We don't want to speculate.
All right, obviously he's hurt a little bit
because he missed a game, two games.
The New Orleans thing is nuts
because they missed a bunch of shots in game one,
but kind of hung around that game too.
This game, they legitimately won.
They dominated the offensive boards.
They were running, running, running the whole time,
putting the Suns in their heels.
Is there some sort of blueprint
they're stumbling on with the Suns here?
Well, do you think you'll always remember the night
when Jackson Hayes turned into Giannis for two minutes?
Because I feel like I will.
Giannis Hayes.
Yeah, it was nuts.
These young guys, Alvarado,
not drafted, Herb Jones, second round
pick, Hayes
who seemed like he was a potential lottery
bust, and all three of those
guys are contributing. And then the Ingram thing is
just nuts. That was the prize
of the Davis trade along with 100
picks. Hoping that Ingram could turn
in a guy and he was a guy. He had an
awesome game. Just as composed, as
balanced as we've pretty much ever seen him
and certainly in a game of this magnitude.
Not something we've had the experience to see him do before.
But you're right about the pace.
That to me was the big difference between game
one and game two. Half court wise,
I know they've been kind of a solid offensive
team since they traded for CJ
in general. I've never fully trusted
it. And then in game one,
you saw some of why. They scored okay,
but they gave up all those points
in the fourth quarter to Chris Paul.
In this one, it was just running at every opportunity.
And let's just say the Suns
did not exactly have championship focus
in their transition defense in this game.
They were just getting lobs over the top of three and four defenders in the middle of the court on a pretty
consistent basis. Yeah, like cherry pick layups and stuff that happens in November. Reggie Miller,
who is kind of growing on me. I don't know if it's like Stockholm syndrome because we've been
with him a long time. He was never one of my favorite announcers, but I think maybe the other
announcers are getting worse. He was on the pace thing immediately.
He's like, I see what they're doing.
They're pushing, they're pushing, they're pushing.
They're trying to beat the Suns before the Suns can get set.
And it worked.
They shot almost 55% in that game.
They 11 offensive rebounds.
And the Ingram thing, you know, you think about that draft where it was him and Jalen
Brown and Ben Simmons.
How many times it's vacillated who was like the biggest think about that draft where it was him and Jalen Brown and Ben Simmons. How many times it's vacillated
who was like the biggest prize from that draft.
I think Jalen probably had
the steering wheel there for a while.
Simmons had it at one point
where it seemed like,
oh, if we do that draft again,
Simmons is probably one.
And now Ingram,
who I'd kind of written off
as being the best guy from that draft.
But what we saw tonight,
going against a team that has
multiple wings to
throw at him, that was the thing that I was impressed by. How about you? And with his own
injury, fighting through a pretty bad ankle turn in the middle of this game to the point where
every time he landed, I was just kind of wincing, waiting and hoping that it wasn't going to turn
again. And it didn't. It held up. And he was taking tough turnaround fadeaways he was going in the lane he did
not let any of that stop him
from being as aggressive as he needed to be in as
dynamic as he needed to be this was the full
you know not quite the point
forward we saw at times during the season
but as a facilitator as a play
maker you know connecting
dots off the ball just a really sharp
game from him yeah I
guess my two big takeaways. One,
I was talking to
somebody about this last week. I can't remember if I mentioned
it on a pod. If Phoenix was allowed to
pick who they played,
would they have picked New Orleans?
My answer was no. I think they would have picked Denver
because I think Denver was the worst of
the eight teams. As great as Jokic
was this season, I just
thought the 2 through 12 guys
were so porous
that if Phoenix really was looking at this,
that is an easier matchup for them.
Then going against this team
that has Ingram
and Valanchunas
and CJ McCollum
and a bunch of role guys
who I kind of like, you know?
And if you're just like,
what's a harder series?
I think it's New Orleans.
So that's been borne out. But do you think if they could have had to choose do you think they pick
new orleans because i don't i think they might just because well i mean the question is would
they have any intel or concern that zion might play under those circumstances you know the wild
card element with new orleans is certainly stronger although with denver you know you
have the jamal murray, Michael Porter aspect of that.
So maybe it's equal on both sides. Yeah, that's true. I didn't think of that.
Yeah, they might have been worried about that piece.
Who knows? But I think you're right to point to this team as
one that was competitive down the stretch of the season
that was better than its seed, that could overachieve
relative to its circumstances. They look like a team that could
make it through the play-in
at the very least.
I still don't think they're really going to put
the fear of God in the Suns
unless something very serious has happened to Devin Booker,
which again, fingers crossed that didn't happen.
But if the Suns are even close to operational,
they're a team that adapts.
They're a team that evolves.
They're a team that works through you.
You would think.
It was surprising to see them lose a game
where they were
in striking distance
with five minutes left.
Very true.
Kept waiting for them
to make the run.
Never happened.
And the irony of Booker
getting hurt,
he was magnificent
in the first half.
It's about as
good of a Kobe impression
as you can see
in a basketball game
from a modern player.
He was doing everything
to the point where
he hits a shot at the end of the second quarter
and you think it's going in.
It was like a 29-footer.
I mean, down to 31 points in 25 minutes.
Very reminiscent of that.
It was at 62 that Kobe hung on Dallas
in three quarters.
You know, just that kind of like explosion
in such a limited time.
But I think that's probably where
the first red flag popped up for the Suns
was Booker was hitting everything.
He was going on this unbelievable run
and they just could not separate. They could not
put any distance between themselves and the Pelicans
during that stretch.
Then you have Golden State a day ago
where we went
from wondering who we're getting in that series
and is Curry going to be healthy
and what's going on with Clay?
Can they write this shit
before round two and then by the end of game two people are getting in fights on twitter about what
the nickname of pool curry thompson should be going on and on about that i like what i like
the lineup of death or death lineup whatever you want to say like 2.0 like something like that
people are trying to get 3G. I heard a PTSD,
which I thought was really weird. I don't know about that one.
I think, here's the thing, we probably don't need a nickname. Maybe we're just good. Maybe the
nickname should be organic, but the Warriors, that whole thing flips where people are taking
that team super seriously now. And then the Suns thing, a little neck,
a little shaving cut on the neck all of a sudden.
But has anything, did you see anything in the last 24 hours to make you shift where you were going with the West Finals?
I think I would still pick Phoenix to make it.
But I'm certainly a little more bullish on Golden State than I was.
I would say I was on, you know, a, I'll believe it when I see it,
a little more skeptical side of the spectrum
when it came to the Warriors in general,
just because of their health.
But this version of Steph,
that's just a plus minus machine
in whatever minutes he gets off the bench, apparently.
The engine of that offense looks completely healthy and functional.
And Jordan Poole is the greatest basketball player I've ever seen play.
So that combination of things seems to be working out pretty well
in terms of Golden State being,
you know, angling for a trip
to the West Finals.
But as you alluded to,
this Denver team is a total mess.
They're getting no help
from any of the supporting cast whatsoever.
Jokic is completely overwhelmed
with Draymond Green's defense.
They've just been completely stifled
and exploited on both sides of the ball.
I'm not sure this is the best litmus test for who the Warriors are under pressure.
It's certainly a great display of who they can be,
but I will believe that that version of the Warriors can show up against
Mikael Bridges and Chris Paul and Devin Booker gumming up the works of what they're trying to do.
I'll believe that when I see it.
Well, on FanDuel, the Suns have dropped to 3-1 to win the finals,
and the Warriors are up to plus 340.
Now, earlier today, the Warriors were 5-1,
and the Suns were, I think, like plus 240.
So the Booker injury has affected that.
I'm with you. Jordan Poole might be the best part of all time.
I thought it was Michael Jordan. I'm starting to switch. You're in the bay. I mean, this guy was in the G League last year. That was
the main reason I voted for him for most improved. He got my number one vote. And my thing is,
if you were in the G League last year and now there's finals MVP odds on you a year later,
I have to consider you for most improved. But was there any sign of this
last year? When did you start to believe this was a real thing with him? Well, I mean, it's come in
stages, right? There were signs that he could be a productive NBA player after some stints against
lesser competition, against being plugged into lineups that were injured and depleted. There
were those signs. And then this is a whole different thing. I mean, he's gone through a
whole journey this season in terms of when should
he play? What lineup should we put
him in? To all of a sudden now,
Draymond Green is saying from the podium,
this guy's going to have to start.
He's too good
to mess around with
this too much. And you put that
firepower on the floor altogether,
it looks incredible.
And the way that those guys are
able to triangulate each other's positions already, and keep in mind, the combination
of Poole and Steph and Klay in particular, and Draymond has played very little altogether.
Yeah.
But all of the elements have had their moments. Poole and Steph have had a good synergy. Poole
and Klay have figured it out. And Draymond is obviously just a genius in terms of connecting
the dots, playing four on three and
three on two, all those situations.
They look terrifying
when they're against a team like the Nuggets.
And I hope that that's the level of competition they can
reach on a consistent basis.
It will be a little different when they play Memphis
in round two.
Assuming Memphis is going to be there.
Yeah.
I saw a lot of stuff. I was flying yesterday.
I was watching all the games on JetBlue, which was really fun.
I flew back from Boston and the times were perfect where I got to watch every minute
of all the games.
I had to flip back and forth a couple of points.
But, you know, I was on Twitter because I was bored watching the games.
And a lot of people were doing this whole thing with pool about like, that guy's getting
the bag.
Got to take care of him. I don't mean to throw water on this, but the move for them is to roll it over and do what the Suns did with Aiton, I think. And just play him. He's 3.9 million next year. They're at like 175 million next year, even before you fill in minimums and first round picks
stuff like that
I would not give him the extension
they have a Wiggins final year
which is like I think like $32-33 million
they've got to figure out the Wiseman thing
and I just don't know why they would
all of a sudden commit to all this money
on pool if they don't have to
he's like one of the biggest
assets in the league next year. If I were them, I would be thinking about how do I get rid of
Wiggins, maybe tie Wiseman to it and either bring back an impact guy or a role guy or whatever,
but try to cut some salary because I know I have to pay pool down the road.
They have Clay for like 40 and 43 the next two years. They have Draymond coming up for
an extension that they're going to have to pay up for him too. So my point is, it's going to get
really complicated for them. The way it is now is kind of nice. The pool is still like, you don't
have to worry about him yet. Kaminga is a rookie. But I think it's about to get complicated. Big
picture, ceiling standpoint, you think like Poole even getting better,
Klay with his sea legs under him a year from now, and then Kaminga in the Wiggins spot.
If Kaminga can make a jump from year one to year two, which is usually how it happens in basketball,
now we're really talking about a lineup of death. Yeah. And the money thing is inevitable. I mean,
Jordan Poole is going to get a giant bag.
We can debate over the degrees and the timing and all that stuff.
But so long as we're spending Joe Lacob's money,
this is a team that is capped out beyond recognition that does not have any sense of real flexibility.
So why not at this point?
If he is a guy who is a part of your long-term core
and he's shown every indication he should be that,
maybe you just take care of it.
Maybe you just get that thing done.
Maybe you do.
I mean, this is a team
that gave Klay Thompson
$190 million
like two weeks
after he tore his ACL.
I'm not sure.
I'm not sure they're hesitant
with throwing bags around.
Well, they're also a team
that has talked about,
at least Joe Lacob has talked about,
wanting to contend
in perpetuity forever
to basically extend eras
one into the next and just be great
forever. And this is the way you do that.
You know, James Wiseman is going to be
whatever he is. Jonathan Kuminga is going to be
whoever he ends up being, which I think both
you and I are pretty high on what his potential could be.
Yeah. But Poole's, I mean, he's
far along. He is a playoff level contributor
right now, no questions asked.
And honestly,
more dynamic off the dribble
than pretty much any non-Kevin Durant
teammate Steph has ever had.
Yeah, I feel like Rossello and I
had multiple conversations during this
season about Poole
trying to figure out
what's going on here.
How is this? It doesn't feel
like a hot streak anymore. And then by March, you just kind of accepted it. Like, alright, they struck here? How is this? This doesn't feel like a hot streak anymore.
And then by March, you just kind of accepted it.
Like, all right, they struck a deal with this kid.
It's going to be fun to watch.
There's a weird Klay dynamic, and please don't aggregate me.
Just something I've noticed.
You know, he was on the sidelines for two years.
It's a tough for an ego thing, right?
You're playing, you want the... I thought
when he was talked about being snubbed with the NBA 75, I thought that was not a great sign.
That was very un-Clay-like. The best thing about Clay was the ultimate teammate,
even in games, didn't need a lot of touches, was just so additive in all of these different ways.
And the one thing I've noticed since he's come back is there are these moments where they're either trying to get him
going or he's trying to get himself going. What he hasn't found yet is that kind of clay, I'm here,
I'm here to help, I'm additive. I'm not here to bother anyone, but I'm going to end up with 23.
And it doesn't feel like he's found that balance yet. And I wonder what the pool
thing does to that, where you have this other guy who's even more dynamic than he is and how he
handles that as this playoffs are going on, as he's getting his sea legs, as he's trying to figure
out who he is defensively. Cause I don't think he's where he used to be defensively, at least
so far, it could come back. But what do you see from clay in compared to, you know, as we look at this whole weird
Warriors stew that we're watching?
My read on it would be that
Poole relieves some of that pressure.
You know, that Clay can be a little
bit more on his own time. And there are frustrations
that come with that, as you alluded to. Coming back
from injury, wanting to be
your best possible basketball self.
All that stuff is totally understandable. I mean, Clay,
that is a dude who lives
for these kinds of moments,
to deliver in huge games,
to be there for his team when it matters most.
And he's going to have those opportunities.
But if he's not, great.
You know, if the crowd is gasping on his threes
and they're just not going on a particular night,
like a one for seven, one for eight,
three-point shooting kind of night,
it works a little better
when your team is still up 18 points because
Jordan Poole is going crazy.
I think from that aspect,
things will be a little
bit healthier in the dynamic there. Just in terms
of what's asked and expected of Clay
at this point in his career, post-injury,
still trying to rediscover
who he can be as a two-way player. I'm with you
on the defense. It's not there yet.
I've been more optimistic
about his offense lately.
And he had some great games
at the end of the regular season.
And in this one,
I mean, looked pretty much like Clay.
Popping into his spots.
He wasn't quite moving
as dynamically as he usually would.
But the accuracy is there.
The threat projection is there
in terms of what he does to defense.
The quick release is still there.
He'll have that when he's 70. I just
like Splash Brothers for them. Just add Poole.
Poole just joins the group. Why not?
Still the Splash Brothers. We just got
one more. We saw another
great effort today, Jimmy Butler.
In Atlanta,
it was predictably pretty frisky,
that Atlanta team. I just think they feel like
they're one guy short on the front line.
And Hunter got into foul trouble, which wasn't helping them.
But Butler was on one.
And he doesn't get like that very often.
But when he gets like that, you can feel it pretty soon when it's happening.
And he just had it.
And he had it going.
And that was the best I've seen him offensively.
It's funny.
A month ago, we were wondering, is this team imploding? What's going on? And now everything
seems hunky dory. But what'd you see from that performance in Miami in general?
Well, I don't know if you have this experience with Jimmy Butler, but I feel like more than
any other star player, I'm watching his game and I'm seeing him try to post up Kevin Herter and
it's not really working. I'm like, what's going on with him tonight and I look up and he has like 23 points in the second quarter
yeah uh he's just kind of ground him out he's just you know getting out in transition getting
out on the break I would say in terms of his performance and you know kind of taking a
temperature check on the Hawks Jimmy Butler had a concerning number of dunks in this game
yeah for a guy who that's not really what he he does. He wants to bait you into fouls.
He wants to do his turnaround jumper.
But the dunks to me are representative of bad turnovers,
complete breakdowns in half-court defense,
and just, again, really sloppy transition play,
which is apparently the theme of the day.
And Jimmy was just getting out in those situations
for all kinds of easy scores.
And if you are giving that stuff to the Heat,
they're going to kill you.
It's just the way a series is going to go.
You have to cut off the water
on all the easiest possible points with them.
We talked about it.
I did bring our gambling show today
and we were talking about the Hawks.
There's a world where the Cavs just win that playing game
and we don't see the Hawks again.
There were multiple times in that game where they were
up 12, they were up 14, they couldn't get a call.
They had like a half hour stretch where they
just couldn't get a call. Ever. Everything
went against them. And then Trey got hot
and they didn't double him and all of a sudden they were losing
and the game was over.
Atlanta's a 9 seed.
You know? They played today,
they had Bogdanovich.
28 minutes, he had 29 points.
He was 12 for 18.
And it was the kind of game that when he plays like that
and Trey's okay, which he was,
that should be a win.
It doesn't, but not only was it not a win,
they lost by 10 and they got destroyed.
And as you mentioned, it was a layup line
and it was just too easy.
And it's starting to feel like,
I don't think they're going to get Capella back in time.
They were trying to go small to try to,
you know, I just, I don't see it.
I was trying to figure out what could be the sweep.
I think it's going to be the Miami series.
Because Phoenix is out.
Gold State's another possibility,
but who knows, Denver, Altitude, Game 3.
I probably would put my money on Miami in that one.
And then the Hawks, three-for-one trade coming, right?
Especially if it's a sweep, there will be some sort of overcorrection move, I would think.
They certainly have a roster that's ripe for it.
If the answers aren't here
with the youth and the versatility and the options that you have
you gotta start looking somewhere else but the Capella part of this
hurts and it hurts in a game like this where
I mean this was one of the worst bam out of bio games
I think I've ever seen yeah what happened to him tonight
I mean just total in foul trouble most of the night
and then when he did get opportunities,
struggled to score against smaller guys,
which is kind of the nightmare scenario for Bam.
Obviously, he's incredibly versatile defensively,
can switch, can cover everybody.
But he has to be able to exploit smaller players
when they get mismatched on him.
And he just, I don't know if he was just worried
about picking up charges or what it was.
Looked totally out of his element.
Bad turnovers, wasn't able to work as the hub of
the offense either. Just awful.
And so then you have Miami going super small
and my brain is going, how
does this game look differently if Clint Capella
is out there pulling down
18 rebounds in this game? How does that change
the dynamic of what they have?
Every lob that Trae Young tried to throw to
post-injury John Collins
that went a foot over his head,
is that a clink-a-pella dunk instead?
And how does that change the outlook of this game?
I can't help but wonder that with this.
You know what else I couldn't help but wonder
is why Sacramento let Bogdanovich go for nothing.
It's another thing.
Anytime he goes off in a playoff game,
it just kind of has to be brought up.
The gift that keeps on giving, podcast-wise.
Well, I think Sacramento has really locked down
the most incompetent franchise the last 15 years.
All these other ones have had moments.
Even Minnesota, who we're about to talk about,
they hit a couple picks.
They made the playoffs.
They had a winning record this year.
Charlotte, they at least made the play-in game.
They have LaMelo.
They have somebody to put on a poster like Sacramento.
Jesus.
Memphis, Minnesota.
So I guess the Memphis series is basically going to come down to is Jaron Jackson going to stay on the floor or not?
Because Memphis made their instead of waiting, you know, 20 playoff games like Scott Brooks would have in 2014 before realizing it's not the series for Steven Adams,
maybe not the playoffs for Steven Adams.
Memphis just said, fuck it.
And he got two fouls early and they were like, okay,
so long, Steven Adams.
And they started playing Tillman.
They were going small.
And they seemed to unlock something with that.
But Jackson, his stats didn't add up to,
I thought,
the impact that he had in the game on both ends.
I thought every shot he hit felt like it was momentum shot.
Defensively, he was all over the place.
And Towns was just awful, which we could talk about in a second.
But that was more like the Memphis that I think we were expecting.
Then again, they're supposed to win this game.
Minnesota already got the game they won.
Three games at home and they win the series.
Any big takeaways from that game for you?
Well, I am glad that order has been restored to the universe because
I'm just getting used to the idea
that the Wolves are good. So the idea that
they would have been 2-0 great, putting
the Grizzlies on the ropes, I wasn't quite ready
for that kind of development.
It's good to see Memphis back
in its element. Playing how they play. It was kind of all the bench. Yeah, it was the development. It's good to see Memphis back in its element.
Playing how they play.
It was kind of all the...
Yeah, it was the bench.
It was the transition game.
The offensive rebounds,
they'll still have to figure out how effective they can be
on the offensive glass,
but they had some big ones.
Jaron Jackson Jr. had
maybe the dunk of the playoffs
so far on a putback.
Incredible stuff from him,
but I do agree that
him just seeing some threes go down
felt big
in terms of how the Grizzlies are covered,
in terms of his confidence
and his teammates' confidence
in those situations.
Jaron Jackson Jr. has to hit shots.
And he may not have to hit them
to win this series,
but if the Grizzlies are going to go
anywhere meaningful,
he has to be able to space the floor.
He has to be reliable from three.
That's not really been the case this season.
Although historically,
we've seen him do it in previous ones.
I mean, this is where I go to with stuff like this.
When he shoots a three,
do you think it's going in?
His form feels very rushed to me.
Every time I see it.
I never think it's going in.
Whereas Nas Reid is like Clay Thompson circa 2016.
It's like, just run that guy off picks set him up from 25 unreal
unreal um on the minnesota thing i just have to say this edwards who didn't have a very good game
but i loved his spirit i'm just edwards is i treat like my kids now i'm just even when he has
a bad game i'm like yeah but you see the third quarter. I loved his competitiveness.
I loved how hard he was trying to bring them back, even though that game was pretty much over.
He was really into it down the stretch.
I just thought that was such a garbage Towns game.
He's just such a disappointing player sometimes.
And I put it this way.
I do not have any Carl Anthony Towns stock.
I have some Alvarado stock.
I've been able to, you know,
been able to put in the market and have some fun with.
But Towns, just the typical shit game from him.
Five fouls, three of them were idiotic.
Super slow, complaining.
Jackson was just kind of out hustling him.
And, you know, between him and Russell, who I guess
could someone tell him the series started?
Between
those two, it was like, oh man, I'm so
stupid thinking this was, you
know, Minnesota potentially winning this.
Both of those guys kind of rolled over
in the game. I was disappointed.
It feels like bad news that
Memphis has kind of pulled the plug on the Adams thing
because Towns can drive right past him on the perimeter.
Memphis seems like they want to guard towns one-on-one as much as they possibly can.
That was not working with Steven Adams, but it was with Kyle Anderson.
It was with Xavier Tillman.
Maybe you just start one of those guys.
Maybe you start Tillman so you can keep Anderson coming off the bench
with that all-bench lineup that works pretty well for them.
21 minutes. We were calling for him on Sunday night.
21 minutes for Tillman.
Both were huge.
And Tillman, he's exactly that combination of strength to a degree where he's just not going to give up a spot.
He's not going to give up a step.
Towns can't just kind of push through him in the way that he can.
You know, bless him, Brandon Clark, who's a little bit wispy in terms of, you know, covering bigger guys, like when they try to drive on him.
That's just the reality of playing with that body type.
But Tillman is tough to score on.
And he's been a guy who's been in and out of the rotation
over the last couple of years for Memphis
for a variety of reasons.
But he's just such a solid defender.
It's cool to see him find a place in a series like this,
kind of as an anti-towns specialist.
I am a fan,
and I was waiting for them to play him,
and they finally threw him in,
and I was excited,
and then good things seemed to happen,
so I felt vindicated.
Listen, this is set up for Towns.
He's at the right age
where he should have a good playoff series experience
if he's good.
Kind of what we saw from Ingram today.
Three home games.
Crowd's going to be nuts.
They seem to be healthy.
This is set up.
And Edwards,
who can still have these moments
where for about three minutes,
you think he's the next Michael Jordan.
You know?
Or the next Jordan Poole, you know?
Or the next Jordan Poole.
Somebody named Jordan.
Before we go, Brooklyn Celtics,
anything you're expecting tomorrow night, game three? Or game two Jordan Poole. Somebody named Jordan. Before we go, Brooklyn Celtics, anything you're expecting
tomorrow night,
game three,
or game two?
Oh, good question.
I don't know.
I honestly have no idea
what to expect from that series.
There's not a lot of, like,
matchup play
that can be done
unless you're just exploiting
Brooklyn's smaller defenders.
I'm not sure what, like,
the evolution of that series
looks like,
but I'm fascinated to find out.
I mean, that was as turbulent as eventful.
The Drummond thing would be the one thing
where I wonder if they punt on him
the same way Memphis punted on Adams today.
Oh, you think all together
just excise him from the rotation?
Yeah, do you play him for four minutes
and then we just don't see him again?
That wouldn't surprise me
because that small lineup
I thought the Celtics had trouble with
no matter who the combination was.
That is when it seemed like Brooklyn would get going.
So you think we'll see more Drummond?
I mean, I wouldn't expect him to be totally gone.
Some of it is as simple as
when you put these small lineups in front of teams
like the Celtics for too long,
they find very easy ways to, say, for example,
get Jalen Brown critical
layups at moments of the game.
It's just terrifying when
you have wings that are that big and physical
that Seth Curry can't do anything with
that guy. Goran Dragic can't do anything with
those guys. And so you're really asking a lot
of Bruce Brown in those situations to play
six inches above his head
to body up some of the
best wing scores that are in the NBA.
Do you think that was the East Finals?
What you watched game one
and what we're going to get more games of?
Does this feel like a whoever wins this series
is going to be there in June kind of thing to you
or is it too early to say that?
I'm still thinking Milwaukee makes it.
Okay.
All right.
I don't...
I want to see how Milwaukee handles this Chicago thing if they get a little distance from a Chicago team that,
you know, I think without Lonzo is pretty beatable.
And then we saw play after Rosen came back.
Unfortunately, that was sad.
But...
It was a much closer game than I would have expected
given that matchup.
Yeah.
How is that game close when DeRozan's like six for 25?
Why are they sweating that out when they have healthy team?
I'm still not a hundred percent sold in their wings,
but I,
from what I saw on Sunday,
I can't get out of my head that it's hard for me to imagine another team of
the East playing at that level.
And yet Giannis,
just putting them over here.
Yeah.
So who knows? All right, Rob Mahoney, you're gonna be on the ringer NBA show level. And yet Giannis, I'm just putting him over here. Yeah. So who knows? All right.
Rob Mahoney, you're going to be on the Ringer NBA show tomorrow
talking about a lot of these
subplots. And then you writing anything this week?
Yeah, I got a thing coming out
this week. So just take a look at
theringer.com for all of our great coverage.
Yeah. Every day we got something.
All right. Good to see you. Thanks, Bill.
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All right. This is a new segment I'm starting on the podcast.
It's called 15 Minutes or Less.
We have so many good ringer people.
I just want to bring them on
and they can just spout knowledge
for 15 minutes.
So we're starting the clock right now.
Danny Kelly is here,
the hardest working man in show business.
He is on multiple ringer pods.
He is the mainstay
of our ringer draft guide.
The draft is Thursday night.
Before I...
I'm going to ask you for five predictions.
We got to get done in 50 minutes or less.
Hutchinson, number one on FanDuel,
minus 185 for first pick.
Are you okay with that?
Yeah.
Yeah, I think I am.
I mean, he, to me, is the safest player in the draft.
I mean, everybody else has just glaring
either red flags or question marks
or whatever. He, to me, is going to be a guy
that you can come in and he'll start for you. He'll be a good
player. I don't know if he'll ever be a superstar,
but he'll be a good player. Sell your season tickets now.
He'll start for you. He'll be a good player.
Oh, boy. The alternative is
picking a guy like Trevon Walker who
is really physically
talented, intriguing, has all the measurables,
but you don't exactly know what he is yet.
You know what I mean?
So he could be just a wide range of outcomes
for most of these other players, I think,
compared to Hutchinson.
Well, he is plus 550 to be the second pick, Walker.
What do you think of that?
Yeah, I think Walker,
it comes down to Thibodeau versus Walker
for the number two spot for the Lions. And the opinions are all over the down to Thibodeau versus Walker for the number two spot for the Lions
and the opinions
are all over the place on Thibodeau
I think and he doesn't maybe fit
exactly what Dan Campbell
is trying to build in Detroit or at least that's
sort of the rumors right now because
Thibodeau has off field interest
he's into cryptocurrency
he has a deal with Nike he has
plans for after football and and
sort of i guess the going rumor is that they want like a guy who just loves football doesn't care
about anything else just wants to play football oh my god you know just a meathead so i don't know
that's my only concern there but i think i think thibodeau should be the pick, but I think it's going to be Walker. Well, on your mock draft board,
you have Hutchinson as your one,
and Thibodeau as your two.
Yes, and this was from a week or two ago.
I got a new one and my final one coming out next week.
So I think I'll probably put Walker there for the last one.
Wow.
Well, in this whole thing,
you have Walker ninth just on your big board of favorite
players what so if he goes two but he's ninth that's usually a bad sign if you look at you're
pretty good at this stuff if you're if you're if i'm taking a top two pick of somebody that you
have ninth that would make me nervous if i was an n team. Right. But I think that's a good encapsulation
of this whole draft.
Walker and another guy, Jermaine
Johnson, another pass rusher from Florida State, both of
these guys have been really pushed up in the
postseason process, the
Combine, the Senior Bowl.
All this stuff where teams start to really
fall in love with the traits
and the size and the speed
and all that.
But with Walker in particular from Georgia,
he has basically the look
of a superstar pass rusher,
but he didn't really do that
at Georgia.
His stats and his pressure numbers
and everything
aren't what you'd expect to be.
I wouldn't expect our first pick
overall to be, certainly.
Not the second pick either.
And more just like,
I think like in that range
where you're taking a chance on a guy,
what he's going to turn into
in terms of his potential,
his athletic potential.
But he hasn't been that guy yet.
They didn't really ask him
to just pin his ears back and rush
the passer at Georgia.
And so he hasn't really done it,
is kind of the thing.
You see the flashes,
but it's still a projection.
So that's why it makes me a little bit nervous.
I do think he will be good,
but it's just more of a risk. So that's why it makes me a little bit nervous. I do think he will be good, but like it's,
you know,
it's just more of a risk.
Kyle, turn the camera.
Here's my take on the 2022 NFL draft.
F minus.
It just sucks.
I know we've been able to get content out of it,
but this is like a one out of 10 draft
from a fun entertainment standpoint.
The quarterbacks stink.
Yeah.
We don't even know
who the number one guy is. There's not like the two or three awesome dudes. We don't have the Lamar
Jackson huge argument that turns into these polarizing camps of what he's going to be.
It's just a big fucking turd sandwich. I'm down on it. I'm not even that excited about it. And I
know we're going to get to number 21. My dad's all excited. I was telling him this weekend,
he wants the Alabama receiver with the torn ACL. I know the Pats are going to number 21. My dad's all excited. I was telling him this weekend he wants the Alabama receiver with the torn ACL.
I know the Pats are going to trade back.
And I just know
I'm going to be watching
the playoffs on Thursday night.
And I'll have the drafts
on one of the TVs.
And I'm going to be bored
three-fourths of the time.
Wait, is there any way
this draft's going to be exciting?
What would make it exciting?
Something happens
where like Laramie Tunsil
does the bong hit
in a gas mask,
some random thing or something like funny happens with the stage at the,
at the draft,
like they're doing in Vegas and there's water or someone,
someone falls in the water or something wacky like that.
Um,
I think that's the thing is this,
like,
I think you're actually right.
This draft is kind of weird.
It's not blows.
Yeah.
I'm,
I'm,
I'm remiss to say,
I'm,
I'm,
I'm not really ready to say that just because I've been spending so much time doing this. I'm actually kind of, it's fine. It's not... It blows! Yeah. I'm remiss to say... I'm not really ready to say that
just because I've been spending so much time doing this. I'm actually
kind of excited. It's fine. It's not your
fault. Let me put my Rob
Williams board on. It's not your fault.
You guys did nothing wrong. You did a great
job with the content. The only thing that's going to be
funny about this draft is when these quarterbacks
go way higher than they should
because the law is every year...
And all of a sudden, E.J. Manuel
is going 16th, and we're going to have
three of those.
I'm sure one of them will hit, but these
quarterbacks, I would say it could be a
25% accuracy
rate this year with the QBs for starters.
Well, we did the take purge
in the draft
pod today, and my take was
that all the quarterbacks
are going to be good because it just makes no sense.
Like last year...
Oh, so you're zagging?
Zagging against the grain
because every time anyone agrees,
any time NFL draft Twitter
and the draft apparatus agrees on anything,
it's always the opposite that happens.
Like last year, for instance,
Mac Jones was kind of like the butt of everyone's joke.
Like why would they trade up for number three to number three to pick
Mac Jones?
Yeah.
And then it turns out that he's actually maybe the best quarterback in
that class.
Yeah.
I'm going,
I'm going that way with every quarterback in this class is like,
maybe they're all actually going to be kind of good.
Like starters.
Danny,
I think you,
I think you're just drunk on the draft.
That seems to be like the bartender,
I think just cut you off.
My guy Ritter, though, that's the one guy I like.
I'm following... Ritter is the one guy I'm a little bit invested in.
I think he's actually very intriguing.
And he's probably going to be a first-round pick
after kind of going through the processes.
I think a lot of people thought he'd be a second-rounder.
But, I mean, he processes so well.
He's smart.
It's kind of the Mac Jones thing.
He sets guys up at the line of scrimmage and gets the ball out on time. He's smart. It's kind of the Mac Jones thing. He sets guys up at the line of
scrimmage and gets the ball out
on time, things like that.
He doesn't have any, I'd
say, outstanding physical trait.
He is fast. He's an athletic guy, but
he doesn't have a huge arm. He doesn't have
incredible quickness or power or anything
like that. But he plays position
a little bit more
polished than anyone else in this class. And so
I think teams are starting to fall in love
with him, too. There's been a lot of indications in this
throughout this whole process that he's
wowing teams like on the whiteboard and
in the
interview process and all that, which is important
to them. Well, the Jets taking
Thibodeau would be fun. And he's plus 300
on FanDuel to go forth.
The quarterback bets,
you can bet all the quarterbacks
individually now, and then I can't...
I thought they used to have the
over-under for quarterbacks. I feel like we're
going to have four in the first round.
So it's going to be somewhere around there, but I just
feel like there's always the surprise one.
People trading up.
People get panicked.
And the other weird thing about this draft?
Then you got to do your predictions
because we only have eight minutes left.
The last half of the draft is weirdly more exciting
than the first half of the draft.
Oh, 100%.
Like I'm actually, when has there been a draft
where it's like, ah, wait till we get around pick 14
then I'm going to make sure I'm watching.
All right, go.
Five predictions.
Prediction number one.
Okay, so you already contradicted me on this,
but I don't think there's going to be
an early run on quarterbacks.
I think the quarterback class is going to sort of,
or this quarterback draft is going to fall
just sort of naturally.
I think that there's not going to be a lot.
So no trade-ups?
No trade-ups.
I think they'll just sort of fall
to the teams that want them.
I think that's kind of like
what this class is going to end up being.
Then you could have a guy come in,
or a team maybe come in to the second half,
the late first, last couple of picks in the first,
and trade up to grab him and get that 50-year option.
But I kind of think that the top 10 is just going to be chalky
and be a bunch of edge players and offensive tackles,
which is actually one of my other predictions,
which is there's going to be an early run on edges and an early run on tackles.
Oh.
I think that's going to be the two big position groups.
Poof.
Hold it.
Buckle up.
Exciting stuff.
Pull that to your seats.
Yeah.
Am I selling it to you?
Yeah, that's good.
Okay.
All right.
So those two predictions.
I'm going to interrupt before you do your third prediction.
Yes.
The teams that we know will take a quarterback potentially in the top
40 are Carolina,
Pittsburgh.
I feel like New Orleans.
Why else would they do that trade?
I just feel like you do that
trade if at least one of those two
picks is a QB. So I'm going to say
two and a half New Orleans. Is there anyone
else you feel like has to come out of here with a quarterback?
Detroit? Has to come out? here with a quarterback? Detroit?
Has to come out?
Is Detroit on that list for you?
Strangely, not really.
Okay.
I wouldn't say have to come out
of the draft.
And I don't think the Seahawks
are a team that has to come out
of the draft,
nor are the Falcons
because I think both of those teams
still have a ways to go
in terms of rebuilding
the foundation
and trying to compete.
Plus, every team now
that has a need at quarterback
is sort of hedged for the draft.
The Seahawks have Drew Locke. Obviously,
no one wants to see that happen. Congratulations.
I know. But it's one of those things where they can talk
themselves into it.
That's why, ultimately, I don't
really think there's going to be a lot of trading up and down.
I don't think any of these teams are so desperate that they feel the
need to jump around and grab a guy.
And then Baker is just in the
fire extinguisher case like an
axe, just waiting for a break
when you need a quarterback. Alright, prediction
number three.
I think the Panthers are going to trade back
from number six spot. I've gone back and forth on
this a whole bunch of times,
but if you start to put together
the pieces and the puzzle pieces
or whatever, they don't have
another pick until the fourth round.
They have number six and then a fourth
rounder. And so this is not a
team that's one player away from
competing. And
their GM comes from
Seattle mindset where they're
constantly trading back, trading back, trading back,
trading back. Volume drafting is the key
in order to build
that foundation, get a bunch of guys that'll
come in and play roles for you.
I don't think they're going to be happy with the fact they only have
X amount of picks and
one pick in the first three rounds.
So I think they're going to trade back and try and
pick up a couple extra picks and then still
may end up picking a quarterback
in the first round, but I think it'll be after they trade back.
That would be a really fun Fandu
bet. Which team is most Which top 12 team is most likely to trade backwards?
Because you can't say the whole draft
because then the Patriots would be like
minus 700 favorites.
But out of the top 12,
who's likely to go backwards by at least,
what, seven spots?
Yeah.
I think the Panthers.
Official trade back is seven spots.
Yeah, Falcons would be another one.
Listen,
I can't believe
I'm saying this,
but I feel like Baker
for a year
getting him for free
healthy
is a better option
than 20 quarterbacks
we could list.
All right,
prediction number four.
I agree.
All right.
Seven receivers
in round one.
Seven?
Run on receivers.
I think if you look at
just the receiver talent
in this group,
it's one of the better,
I'd say, position groups
in that first round range.
There's a bunch of guys
that could come in immediately
and produce for you.
I think if you look at the,
you know, the market
for receivers
is like exploding.
So teams will see this
as a potential value
to come in and grab receivers
that can play on,
you know,
on a rookie deal,
you're saving like
millions and millions
and millions of dollars
with these guys
potentially coming in.
Yeah, the Tyreek Adams deals
make that great.
It's almost like,
yeah, it's like the cousin
of the rookie QB salary thing,
the rookie wide receiver salary thing.
So I think there could be
something there.
Plus, I just think
if you really stack the board,
a lot of these receivers are some of the best
players in the draft, period. So I could
see teams just being like, look, we're going to take the
best player on our board, and this is this receiver.
So you're thinking a little bit like the
Metcalf, A.J. Brown,
Debo that whole year. Yes.
Feaster Famine plus McCall
Hardman.
Andy Isabella was you that year? Yeah, I don't year. Yes. Feast or famine plus McCall Hardman. Andy Isabella was you that year?
Yeah, I don't remember. Okay. All right.
Last prediction. Last prediction is
there's going to be at least one
super random dude
in round one that I'm going to
have to end up writing up on Thursday night
because he's not in my top 100.
Oh, like
a total monkey wrench wildcard?
Like out of left field guy lands in the first round.
And I'm going to be like, what?
And I'm going to have to go and write him up real quick
to put him in our draft guide.
Because I was going to do 100.
And I'm trying to cover all my bases here
and have everybody I think could go in the first round
in that draft guide.
But I feel like this is the year.
It's finally going to happen.
Some random dude. out of that draft guide. But I feel like this is the year. It's finally going to happen. So you feel like
20 to 120,
like player number 20
to player number 120,
there actually might not be
the same kind of separation
as always.
I think this is
especially the year
where that's the case.
There's just this
massive plateau.
There's not really any
top, top blue chip guys in this class.
Yeah.
There's just like,
like you said,
120 players that could be
no late first rounders
or whatever it is.
There's just such a huge plateau there.
And I had a really hard time
narrowing my top 100 down
because of that reason.
Like there's probably going to be
some random offensive tackle
that sneaks into the first round.
That's not on my list.
Oh my God. I hope it's not to the Patriots. offensive tackle that sneaks into the first round. That's not on my list. Oh my God.
I hope that's not to the Patriots.
It sounds like Belichick's
dream draft.
All right, we have
40 seconds left.
What do you want to Seattle to do?
What's your dream Seattle scenario?
My dream scenario
is either Derek Stingley,
the corner from LSU,
or somehow
Kayvon Thibodeau
falls number nine
and they scoop him up right there.
Wow, you think he could fall
past the Jets?
I don't know.
I think the Jets fans would go nuts if they didn't take him.
I've gone back and forth on it this entire draft period
because there's a lot of smoke around Thibodeau.
The team's not liking Thibodeau as much as, quote-unquote, draft media does.
So I think that there's this chance that he falls a little bit.
So if it wasn't Thibodeau or Stingley,
just one of the tackles.
Boring, I know.
One of the tackles.
The Seahawks don't have any tackles, Bill.
Or you'd have a lot of things.
Need a tackle.
That was it.
15 minutes or less with Dan and Kelly.
You can hear them on the Ringer Draft Show
and then on Thursday Night as well.
And you'll be updating live as the draft's going on.
Oh yeah, we're going to be doing all kinds of stuff.
Have some coffee
because I think it's going to be a boring draft.
Good to see you, Data Kelly.
You too.
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All right. We're taping this part of the podcast. It is 1130 AM. So we're more reacting to last
night's games and look at big picture. Our friend Jonathan Sharks is here from the ringer. First of
all, it's awesome to see you. I know you were at both Dallas games. What was that like to see some
playoff basketball in person?
Oh, thanks for having me on.
It was fun.
Actually, game two, the crowd was actually into it.
It was funny.
Game one was like the first game on Saturday morning.
And of course, the Dallas crowd is up at halftime, basically.
Everyone's getting their pregame brunch and whatnot.
But the game last night, I was like, okay, this is the juice.
Everyone's into it.
The stands are going crazy. And you're like, this
is what you remember. This is what you miss.
So they did the classic
spread Utah out, try to
use Gobert against the Jazz. They did
the whole game plan perfectly
and it worked. But it also helped that
Jalen Brunson had an out-of-body
experience and everybody was talking about
my God, he's going to get paid. I thought he was
getting paid anyway. I think we both thought he was a very good player. What is different about
when Luka's not out there? Does it change the way you think about, like if he went to a different
team and he had his own team, he had his own car to drive, is there a higher ceiling with this guy
like what we saw last night
or was last night a fluke?
I would say last night.
I would say last night was more about Utah's kind of inability to guard the ball.
I mean, the number that's really wild from game two,
I think Dallas had three turnovers all night without their primary ball handler,
which just tells you there is just no pressure
being put on the ball with Utah.
It's just you walk it up, you get whatever you want.
They don't have a ton of different guys
you can switch on to you.
They don't have one or two good defenders.
I would say with Brunson, the main thing is
it's a little deceptive in that,
okay, this guy's like six foot one
and he's not super fast, but he's a bucket getter.
That's really who he is.
He's a guy, he loves to get to like 15 feet,
use the floaters, put his shoulder into you
and just score.
He's a primary score first player.
I think if he was running his own show,
you would see the numbers I like to look at
with a guy like that is,
okay, yeah, he's scoring a lot.
How many assists are you getting?
How many free throws are you
getting? To me, that shows real
dominance. And he's not a high assist
guy. He's not a high free throw guy. He's a guy
who just gets buckets. I think this is the perfect
spot for him. Though I would say that being a Dallas
guy. Kirk Goldsberry had
a couple tweets today about the
signature short range shot
that Brunson had. And he does that thing where it's
like the leading scorers by every zone. And Brunson has a specific zone where in front of the basket, it's Giannis.
To the right of the basket, it's Mitchell. Right in front of the basket, it's Jokic from like three
to six feet. And then from the other side, it's Brunson. Like that four to seven foot range. Now,
there's some wild cards in this list.
Like there's a zone that Russ is the number one scorer from.
P.J. Tucker from the right corner
is somehow the leading scorer in that.
So some of it's situational,
but I thought Brunson was a name I did not expect.
Then the other thing he had was out of 37 guards
that took at least 200 shots between three and 10 feet,
he said Brunson ranked first in
efficiency this season, 57.5%, nearly 10 points higher than the NBA average for guards. That backs
up the eye test, right? Yeah. Brunson, he's like an old school pitcher. Remember Jamie Moyer?
Yeah. You're thinking, okay, well, he's going to throw a little faster.
He's like, no, I'm actually going to go slower.
Right.
Like I'm going to really, like Brunson's at his best.
He's like, he's not a fast guy, but he plays into his strengths and he'll just go even
slower towards the basket, throw you up with his change up.
And he just needs a little bit of space to get his shot.
It's really, I mean, you can kind of see his dad being an old NBA point guard.
He kind of has that old school YMCA
mid-range game.
And the nice thing, like last night, he hit a couple
threes early. He normally doesn't take a ton
of threes. Normally, he loves to get to that
10-15 foot area.
Well, in game one, the Knicks sent
their brain trust
mysteriously. Worldwide West was there.
There were a couple other people.
West has a long relationship with Brunson,
but it's no secret that the Knicks are circling Brunson.
What's the feeling in Dallas on,
A, are they 100% bringing him back,
or is there going to be a sign-and-trade potential?
Or B, is it just, this is it?
This is the last run?
Is it just up in the air, depending on how this plays?
What do you think is going to happen?
Well, I think the tough part for Dallas
is that he's unrestricted.
So the Mavs are a little more limited
than in a normal setting with a younger player.
Ultimately, Jalen has the cards more than Dallas does.
But they have the sign-in trade cards, though,
if he wanted to make more money from a team
that's a little bit over the cap.
I think it's a couple things for Dallas. Number one, it's very hard for other ball handlers to be comfortable with Luka. So the fact that Jalen is comfortable with Luka
is a huge plus for him. And I think number two for Dallas, you're in the classic spot where
you're already over the cap, and then you have a guy coming into free agency.
If you let him walk, you don't get any cap space.
You just lose him for nothing.
So you're kind of forced to play his hand.
I think for Dallas, no matter what happens,
you're just like, bring this guy back.
Worst case, he's an asset.
Ultimately, it's like, what does this guy want to do?
Does he want to be the number one somewhere else?
And if he does, there's just not much you can really do about it. You just have to hope.
You're kind of forced to deal with the cards you've been given.
Yeah. If he decides he wants to be in the Knicks, at some point, the Knicks can probably figure
that out if they have to shed salary to make it happen or whatever. If I were advising him,
not that I would, but I would stay in Dallas with Luca and do some sort
of contract where it's like a no trade closet type of thing. But if he does get traded, he gets a
bump so he can make even more money if he leaves. Like there's, there's ways to rig that. And I
would, I mean, I personally think, is it a bad idea to play with one of the best scoring perimeter
guys we've had in the last 20 years? Probably not. You know, you could go to whatever, pick a shitty team and you could be the guy there. You could be
Jeremy Grant in Detroit. But ultimately, I think this is a guy who likes winning and being in those
spotlight in playoff games. And I just can't, I'd be surprised if he gave that up for a lottery
team, basically. I mean, the Mavs are projecting confidence. They seem to be confident that he'll come back.
But obviously, at the end of the day, it's his decision.
I think one thing in their favor,
there's been a lot of ex-Knicks coming through Dallas
the last couple of years,
from Hardaway to KP to Frank Nilekina.
So if Brunson wants to know how things go up there...
Bullock.
Bullock, yeah, he's been great in Dallas.
There's a ton of guys who can tell him how things really go in New York if he wants
a different perspective on what the Knicks are going to tell him. So that might play to the
Mavs' favor as well. What was the optimism before Luka went hurt for this team?
Were they thinking possible overachiever,
final sleeper just because Luka is that great? Or
let's wait and see?
Or this team's in flux?
What was the mood?
I think it was definitely in flux,
but they were playing so well in the last few months of the season.
And it just seemed like everyone had found their role.
And after the whole KP experience,
it's hard to underrate everyone having a role
that fits their game, being comfortable,
being bought into a system.
I mean, there was a ton of optimism.
And then you're expecting, okay, the last few years,
Lucas had to have this Clippers, Kawhi Leonard gauntlet
in the first round.
All of a sudden, this bracket's wide open.
There are no Kawhis, no LeBrons, no KD even.
Well, and he gets Utah with no perimeter defenders
that can handle him,
which is great.
That seemed like a break.
Yeah, everything seemed
to be lined up.
And then, you know,
game 82,
like it's just,
what are you going to do, right?
And now it's just like
we're just trying to stay alive.
I think the big thing
for a game two last night,
getting that win,
means worst case,
he can come back game five
with two weeks of full rest.
I think that was what made it.
And then you're not having to bring him back in Utah
facing elimination at the very least.
So I think that was major.
And I'm just excited because I think now
at least you'll see Luka in a game five at home in Dallas.
Worst case scenario.
And the good thing for them, it's a well-coached team.
As you said, everybody knows their role,
even Bertans, whose role is just to basically lose ground every time he's in the game. The team's just going to lose, whatever lead that. But when I look at Utah, it's almost like if they can just be methodical and put Utah in a position to start having those warts popping up, That's where you want to be. Because that Utah team over, I don't trust them at all. I think over and over again, we've seen them,
you know, when they're in these tense situations, they seem to go sideways.
The Mitchell thing to me, I think it's so interesting. You know, like I went to the
game on Sunday and I watched Tatum go toe-to-toe with Durant. He's guarding Durant and Kyrie.
He's, as a two-way guy was just
absolutely elite. It was so impressive. He played 45 minutes doing everything he could to help the
team win. And I'm watching Mitchell last night. They can't stop Brunson. Conley looked like he
was on a bad wheel. And it's like, where's Mitchell? You're supposed to be one of the,
if you are one of the best 15 players in the league, that goes both ends, dude.
That's not just you can score
and make some threes with three minutes left.
Go defend the other team's best player.
And over and over again,
it was Brunson just torching
all of these different guys on the Mavs.
I didn't understand it.
I don't know why Mitchell didn't want the challenge.
That's a great point.
We were talking about it in the press box last night.
At some point, you got to take Conley off Brunson like this guy's yes five like he's just getting killed out here and mitchell
you're the best athlete on the perimeter on the team no one can stay in front of anyone
like this the really the only adjustment for quinn to make is say mitchell like you need to lock in
on defense right now and just start playing ball because there's really not a lot of other moves he can really do and yeah you're right you would presumably you would think
you look at Mitchell you watch how he plays there's no reason logically he can't be a good
defender he's got a very he's not tall but got very long arms he's very powerful elite athlete
I mean like and Jalen Brunson's dropping 40 on you at a certain point, you just got to make the adjustments, say, this is my guy. I'm slowing him down. I'm the best player. He never did it.
And I expect in Utah, he's going to have to. Yeah. I wonder with Mitchell, he's kind of
is who he is now for a couple of years here. And maybe this is just who he is. I don't know. Maybe
he's like, I didn't vote him for all NBA, but he was right on the fringe. He was the seventh guard for me.
I only had six guard spots.
He's right there.
He has games where he looks awesome.
He could have a game in game three where he could have easily have 50
points against Dallas.
We wouldn't be surprised,
but there's that one last piece.
And I think as everybody talks about what's going to happen with this jazz
team,
Quinn Snyder,
is he going to be gone?
What do you do with go bear? How do you shake this up? How much did the Miss Joe Ingalls, did this team make its run? And then you have the people on the other side
going, no, no, no, no. This is a team that can win 47 to 53 games every year. Like, don't take
that for granted. You want to add to that. But I come back to Mitchell. Can you be the best player on a great team? And I'm not sure.
So I wrote about that during the season. Yeah, I remember.
The next step for Utah, for Mitchell, I think ultimately is this. Okay,
you've been here five years. We've helped you grow a lot. But I think if you're Utah,
Utah really can't sell Mitchell on, hey, we're going to bring in another superstar
and we're going to go like one, two
super team. That's just not
Utah's... That's not really what they're going to be able to do.
What they have to sell him is if you stay
here, we can continue to grow
your game, make you a better player.
And I think the obvious next move
for Mitchell is to move him to point guard
full-time. That does
two things. One, if he's at point guard full-time. That does two things. One,
if he's at point guard full-time, okay, automatically your points are going to go up,
your assists are going to go up, your numbers are going to go up. And if your numbers go up,
that moves you up the awards. It moves you up the rankings. This is important to players.
That's the primary. And then secondary, if you move him to point guard, well, now we can put
actual size around you. And that's been the issue in Utah for me the last few years. They've had so many secondary ball handler types, like a Mike trust to run the offense full-time. You just get your numbers. You're part of a system and it's fine. We have guys who run the offense, control tempo, move
the ball, and you just get your numbers. The problem is it's very hard to have those kind of
players and those players also be great defensively. So you're kind of left with this catch-22.
Either you can improve the defense around Mitchell or you can improve the playmaking
and scoring around him.
You're probably not going to improve both.
Because if you were, you were getting Jason Tatum or something, right?
Right.
So therefore, if Mitchell, to me, the next step for Utah, if he's going to stay in Utah,
it's because he can keep growing his game.
They'll say, we've got this great offensive system, great offensive coach.
We can put you in a role to increase your statistics and then find better defenders around you.
I mean, in the game, you're talking about like last night, they had to play Daniel House
in the fourth quarter because they're just getting crushed on the perimeter.
It's good to see him.
Yeah, this is the guy who was on a 10-day contract a month ago.
Yeah.
They're like, he's got to play.
I always kind of like this guy.
Yeah, Mitchell's, his stats are basically the same for the last four years.
I mean, in 2019, he was 24 a game.
This year, he's 26 a game.
Not a lot of difference.
The usage rate is in that low 30s.
And I agree with you.
I think at some point, what is he?
Is he just that kind of fringe all NBA guy who can get hot in a couple playoff games?
Or is this a guy that should be used like Westbrook, 2017 know, 2017, 18 OKC, where he just has the ball all the time and try to leverage that?
I don't really know the answer, but it does feel like this team is at the precipice of something.
To me, it's more likely instead of Dallas winning this series, Utah losing this series. If I seesawed
it, it would be more like we look back at this series like,
wow, I can't believe Utah blew that series over.
Wow, I can't believe Dallas took that series.
Dallas played great yesterday.
And my takeaway was like, wow, I can't believe all the weird shit Utah did.
You know, so I don't know where they go.
From a Dallas standpoint, if they can somehow survive this,
and as you said, get to game five, Luca,
and just claw their way out of that series and get Luca at like 90%.
I like a lot of the stuff they do.
You know,
I don't,
I don't think that's a fun playoff series for anybody with the shooters that
they have in the,
in the fact that they have an identity and the superstar at the end of
games.
I would not want to see them.
Yeah.
Then Jason kid's been really good too. I got to say, he's passed every end of the game. So I would not want to see them. Yeah, and Jason Kidd's been really good too.
I got to say, he's passed every test with flying colors.
You know, people can learn from their mistakes.
Imagine that.
Right.
I mean, two different coaching stints,
but this version of him has been great.
I mean, you think like if he had maybe,
I don't know what he learned from the Lakers
and the LeBron stint, but it was obviously helpful.
But if he had done this in Milwaukee, he'd probably still be coaching them, right?
Yeah.
And then for, you're right, with Dallas, it's like, it's so weird because right now with
the Mavs, it's just about survival.
It's just about get to the tomorrow, cloud wins without Luka.
And then when you get Luka back, you're saying, we've got a player who can be the best player
in each series.
And then not only that, the difference this year, we have the player who can be the best
player in any series, and we play good defense around him, and we have a number two in Brunson.
And if you have all those three things lined up, it's like, let's just take our chances
and see what happens.
But obviously now it's just ultimately just about Luka and how he can get back.
It would be heartbreaking for me if he didn't get back this year,
but you just never know.
Well, one last point on Dallas.
Really weird year from a dysfunction standpoint
where you have this huge lawsuit now with Donnie Nelson
and all kinds of rumors.
And I'm sure the stuff you hear when you're in the Dallas area
and the stuff you hear at games is probably even crazier than just what I would read on Twitter,
stuff like that.
But is that stuff hanging over this team at all?
Or is it just kind of on the side?
Nobody's talking about it.
I'm hanging over the front office,
hanging over ownership.
I think on the team level,
it's just like,
we're just here.
The players don't care.
Yeah.
Nah,
they don't even really notice.
I don't,
for the most part.
Is that a big story in the Dallas area?
Um, it's, I think it's one of those things,
given the history of the organization,
given the climate we're in,
everyone has just got 10-foot gloves.
Everything is being handled so carefully.
I'm sure you saw our old friend was tweeting last night about it.
Yes, I did.
No one wants to talk
about that, obviously. So it's just like, no one wants to say anything. It's like, well, let the
justice system decide all this because it's so touchy and controversial and no one really wants
to go out and allege it all about it. Well, the one thing that jumped out was that they offered
him a pretty big settlement that he turned down, Donnie Nelson. I mean, a settlement that was large.
It was, what was it, like 60, 65 million,
something like that?
And he said, no, that's too low.
So when I saw that, I was like,
Jesus, what's going on with this thing?
Anyway, I'll look forward to the reporting.
All right, we're going to take a break.
We're going to come back.
I want to talk about the rest of the playoffs.
Okay, what else?
We've had one, two, three days of games.
Anything shock you?
Anything jump out from the couch watching?
I mean, Celtics-Nets.
I'm sure you've talked about it to death now,
but that was by far the best game of the first weekend.
It was incredible.
There's so many different elements to it.
There's such a generational thing going on.
I mean, that was awesome.
That is like, okay, the other
series, I want to stay up on them,
but Celtics-Nets is the one where it's like, I
got to actually clear my calendar. I got to make
sure to see this one because that's where all the juice is
right now, it feels like for sure.
Russell and I talked about it right after
the game on Sunday, and I'm not sure I made this point hard enough.
The Tatum-Durant thing that was going on
was so fascinating minute by minute
during that game
because I think Tatum comes into the league
his first year,
goes all the way to the conference finals,
goes toe-to-toe with LeBron,
had that dunk over LeBron in Game 7,
took over for a couple minutes, but for the the most part was a pup in that series. Wasn't remotely ready
for so much that came with it. And then he had these baby steps as he climbs.
I think going to the, playing for the America's team, being with these guys probably helped him
realize I'm on the level of everybody
else I'm going against. And then during the season, same thing. And the guy I saw Sunday
was convinced that he was as good as Kevin Durant. And it wasn't like, I'm feeling it today. He was
like, I'm as good as this guy. And that was how he approached everything. He guarded him. I think
Kevin O'Connor said he guarded him on 37 plays in the game, which is a lot.
And then in some of those other plays, he was jumping off Kyrie.
But the two-way game that he played,
I didn't think it was like an amazing Tatum game.
You know, like it was really good.
But statistically, it was like he could probably do better.
But the game that he played, I was just so impressed.
And, you know, it's the kind of game that was what made Durant special once upon a time.
The ability to score when you needed one,
but the ability to, on both
ends, to grab extra rebounds if the team
needs that, to guard whoever the other team's
best forward is, stuff like
that. And I don't know,
it felt a little, it didn't feel
big brother, little brother to Manny for. It felt
like more peers. What did you think,
Washington? Yeah, I mean, if you go back and look at it, you look at big brother, little brother to Manny for? It felt like more peers. What did you think watching?
Yeah, I mean, if you go back and look at it, you look at KD's
career, and it's something he's talked about
a lot in various pods.
These kind of...
KD can run point, but he's ultimately
a scorer. And these
big-time wing scorers,
apex-mount, alpha-dog guys,
they're all about those matchups.
It's not even always one-on-oneups. They say, yeah, not even,
it's not even always one-on-one,
but it's okay. When we're in a series,
I know I can always score.
Like I have an unlimited amount of offense.
It's like a faucet.
I can turn it on to max volume.
No matter how many points you score,
I can score more than you.
And if I'm scoring more than our team's best score,
my team,
that's my job as a scorer. My team has a chance to win the series. And if I'm scoring more than our team's best scorer, my team, that's my job as a scorer. My team
has a chance to win the series.
And if you go back historically,
KD always wins his matchup.
Even against LeBron when they
lost, KD was still scoring point for point
with LeBron. He was. He was, right?
In 2012. He was even.
And then the one time
last year against Giannis, it was literally
Giannis to go game seven with the full squad over time.
And KD was going point for point for him still.
That's where KD's made his mark.
And that's what's so exciting to me about this.
To me, it's like, it feels,
I've always kind of said at the highest level,
it's almost like tennis for these guys.
It's like Federer, Nadal.
And then there was a point somewhere along the line where it's like, okay, Jokov and then there was a point in like somewhere along the
line where it's like okay Jokovic isn't the younger brother he's just on our level now
and every series is like go time yeah and now we'll see like KD had a bad game you've got to
expect I expect him to come back with the heavy artillery this series he's not going to go down
without swinging and now can Tatum match that Because that's the other thing too, like in the series last year,
I think Tatum had like 40 points like twice
and KD still outscored him in the series
because that consistency night after night,
30, 35, 40 points.
And that's like,
that's basketball at its highest level.
That's what everyone loves to see.
And I just can't wait to see this play out
over a series because,
yeah, I mean,
Tatum for as great as he's been,
this is what puts him in that conversation of top five.
If you beat Kevin Durant in a series,
that is passing the torch.
And he's done it once.
Let's see it over seven games.
I want to see it happen for him.
You know, let's just see it happen before we crown him.
Well, a series near and dear to your heart,
2011 OKC Dallas.
Dirk beats up that whole Dallas,
that whole OKC team, right?
And that OKC was the young guns,
here they come.
They weren't quite ready to win a series like that
and Dallas veteran team,
that kid, that Chandler.
And you could feel like KD felt like
a little bit of the younger brother in that series.
But then as the next couple of years went on, all of a sudden he's KD. Same thing in the 2012 finals,
even though he matched LeBron point for point, LeBron was still older than him, way more
experienced. And OKC a couple of times in that series where they took a couple of haymakers and
they responded like a young team does. But then by 2017, he's like, I'm as good as this guy.
And he parted, you know, I think he had like 35 a game in the 2017 finals.
And he added like passing and defense to his game too over the years.
Yeah. And if Tatum can, if the Celtics can get by Brooklyn,
I think that will be a little bit similar of a moment for Tatum.
I don't think, I think Durant, you know,
I'm on the record. I think he's like one of the 10 best players ever. I don't think Tatum's career
will ever hit the peak Durant's has, but I think for his generation, he has a chance to kind of,
you know, that would be the guy Durant would pass the torch to. Durant's been in the league 15 years,
you know, and if you're looking at what forward is he going to pass the torch to, Tatum's probably the odds on favorite. So I think Tatum sees it and I think
he senses it. I think he sensed it all year. I think Adoka, you saw yesterday when Marcus Smart
got the Defense Player of the Year award and Adoka ran over. And I think this team really,
I think he's had a huge impact on these guys, on the toughness and on the professionalism.
And I think they talked to him about this, that you can be the guy in the league.
Whether that's true or not, they want him to think that.
So that's what I saw on Sunday.
I saw a guy who felt like he belonged on Durant's level.
And then Kyrie's out there.
He has no level.
He's just like, I'm over here.
I'm the best player who's
ever lived. You want to boo me? Bring it on. I'm going to come out of timeouts, tell people to
fuck off. I'm ready to roll. Let's do it. So I'm with you. This series is amazing. We're taping
this before Memphis, Minnesota, but I think that has a chance to be a junior version of this too.
Just a super fun version of it. It's just two exciting young teams with
multiple options. I mean, yeah, it's
very deep, well-balanced. Yeah.
And to go back to what you were saying about Tatum,
yeah, and it's like, who knows historically?
All these historical
conversations from people like us, right?
For someone like Tatum, it's just about who's in front
of you now. How long do you wear the
crown? And who are your peers?
How long do you stretch your
prime out? How many guys can you beat? Beyond that, it's like, I mean, who knows, right?
Just wear it as long as you can wear it. And after that, let people like us talk about it.
One of the cool things about it is that they guard each other.
And I always thought that was an underrated rivalry thing because people would always
talk about bird and magic, but they didn't actually guard each other.
In Jordan, I think one of the issues,
if there were any issues with the last dance era,
was it was really Drexler was the only person
who played his position who was a real rival,
and then he just destroyed him in the 92 finals.
I love when the rival is actually the head-to-head rival.
That was what made 2017 so much fun because I felt like the guys when the rival is actually the head-to-head rival and that was what made
2017 so much fun
because they felt like
the teams
I think were a little more even
than people realized
and both of those guys
played great in that series
Durant and LeBron
was really really
as high level
as either of them could go
yeah and kind of
what we were talking about
with Mitchell before
at a certain point
like you've got to take
that responsibility
and that to me
that's what makes basketball so great it's only one of the major sports where it's like, yeah,
you got to guard me. I got to guard you, but you got to guard me. That's the only sport where the
quarterbacks are guarding each other or the pitchers are pitching to each other. That's
what makes basketball different. For as good as you are in this series tonight, you've got to go through me.
A good example of that is Drew Holiday. No one's going to say Drew Holiday is better than Dame or
Chris Paul. But in a series where I get to guard you one-on-one, he's taken both of their lunch a
couple of times. Just because I'm that good at defense, I get you in a series where it's just
me and you and no one else. And the game just totally changes.
And it's awesome to see.
Yeah.
Any surprise potential 180s we could see during this?
I know it's early in the playoffs,
but are there teams that you've just written off?
Because I feel like I've written off Denver.
I've written off New Orleans.
I think I've written off Chicago.
So there's three.
Then Dallas, Utah
is up near the Brooklyn series, obviously.
Memphis. Is there
anybody else?
Those
feel about right. To me,
Utah is another team. We've
been talking about it. Win or lose, you
would write them off for round two? I think
so, especially with Phoenix looming. With Utah, and we're talking about everything we've win or lose, you would write them off for round two? I think so. Especially with Phoenix looming. I mean, with
Utah, I was like, and we're talking about everything
we've seen in this series.
It all happened last year. They had the exact
same problems last year, and their solution
was to sign Rudy Gay.
It never made much sense to me
after what happened the year before.
I guess in terms of writing off, you had
Denver's in a tough hole right now.
It feels like right now,
like the first round,
there's only like three series
that really feel super competitive.
It feels like we're kind of,
it's a really slow build this year.
Yeah.
Rookies.
I voted for Barnes for Rookie of the Year.
And I battled between Barnes and Moby the whole time.
And I just thought Barnes' contribution
on a good team was meaningful.
Cade was pound for pound
the most talented rookie
from an upside standpoint last year.
And that was somebody we debated a lot.
If you redid that draft,
would you still have Cade won?
Well, I had Mobley won last year.
No, but I'm saying if we both did,
but if we redid it now,
would you have Cade or Mobley?
I would still have Mobley.
Okay, I would too.
It's just in terms,
I mean, for Mobley,
Cade for as good as he is,
I just feel Mobley has higher levels to go.
Me too.
I think, look, I just have skill set.
And I just think like,
for me also, I look at too,
is just the way the game is going.
I think seven foot guards are the future.
If I can get a seven foot guard,
I'm just going to take that.
Literally,
and I was sleeping on how good Mobley could be as a guard,
as a rookie.
That's what's really incredible is he's playing guard.
They have Jared Allen at the center.
Mobley's at the perimeter on the three point line.
He's handling the ball,
making all the passes.
It's like,
if I have a seven footer who can do that,
I will take that version.
For me, that's what it comes down to,
these very high levels, right?
I want that kind of player more than any other kind of player.
And like Cade, for as good as he is,
is a six foot six point guard.
I'll take a seven foot wing over a six foot six point guard
every day of the week.
Yeah, I think that's where I've landed as well.
I think the passing is the thing that pushes it over the top
for me with Mobley.
He's just one of those guys that he just brings a ton of stuff to the table and he doesn't take
anything off the table other than the fact that he can't shoot threes yet. But I like that he
is trying them. He's not, oh my God, I shouldn't shoot this. He's like, I'm going to keep shooting
these because three years from now, they're going to start going in. Other than that,
everything he does is additive. Yeah yeah and i think the passing is the
key thing with mobi it probably is a little underrated is like yeah that's what makes
everything else work in terms of playing him as a wing next to jared allen it's the ability to make
passes and cracks find the openings allows you to play without ideal spacing like it's it's that
combination of skills together
is what unlocks everything.
And then also too,
if you're already a good passer,
that to me,
that's the ultimate level of
this guy can see the game.
Like it's a leading indicator.
If you're a good passer,
that means you're a really smart player.
It means you're pretty good at selfish.
It means you have a high basketball IQ.
Everything else can fit around you
if you're a great passer
when you're an elite player.
So we go Mobley one,
Cade two?
No?
Who's your two?
I think after this year,
I would have Barnes over him too.
Wow!
I'm not as big a Cade guy as most people.
Interesting.
Pick that for what it is.
I mean, Barnes to me,
he's six foot nine
he could also run
point more or less
like be a primary
be a playmaker
create his own shot
the number I look at
too a lot
I think is
two point percentage
yeah
to me it's like
always been the
worrisome part with Cade
it's like
he doesn't consistently
create his own shot
I think very efficiently
that's just a hard skill
that's something he
doesn't really have in his game
as far as I've seen.
So yeah, I would go Mobley and Barnes.
I might even put Franz Wagner over.
Me and Kyle debated this back on Upside High
a few weeks ago, and then K exploded.
I'm not trying to say I'm hating on K,
but there's a lot of really big, really fast,
really skilled guys.
This is a very, very good draft, obviously.
Oh my God.
From a basketball card standpoint, you throw in Kaminga, you throw in Jalen Green. It really has a chance to be one
of the iconic classes. I remember there was 2013 Panini made cards that year, but there were no
cards in 2012. So it was the two classes together. So it was the 2011 and 12 drafts. So it was like Davis, Kawhi, Dame, Paul George. And it's
just like this crazy box that you could get. And I feel like that draft's going to be the same.
All right. This year's draft quickly. Jabari Smith on FanDuel is the favorite to be the number
one pick. He is plus 105. Chet's second at around 2-1. And then Paolo is plus 270.
We talked about this on the Ringer Gambling Show today.
And my advice there was,
I think Jabari's going to be the number one pick.
And I think this is our last chance
to have plus odds on Jabari, basically,
because by the time we get to June,
as more and more people study his shooting,
how bad his guards were,
how he just fits in to pick a lottery team.
He fits in with them.
There's no lottery team where it's like,
ah, we can't,
don't know what we're going to do
with this 6'9 shooter
who's just a good athlete.
I don't know if he's going to play for us.
I think by the time we get to the,
around the draft,
he's like minus 200 at least.
Where do you,
what's your top three now?
Do you have Jabari first still?
No, I've been a check guy all year.
I'm still a check guy.
When you all shake it all out. But you don't think he's going
first though? Oh, in terms of how it's
going to shake out in the draft, like the
order. I mean, I've heard a lot
of Jabari buzz recently in terms of
teams really loving his game.
But I got to say,
ultimately, I respect anybody who gambles on a draft order before the draft order is set.
I respect that because that's literally gambling. I mean, obviously, it depends on who goes number
one, which team. I mean, every team is different, right? What do they value? It's hard to say.
I mean... But at the very least, Paolo's not going to go first, I don't think. I think that's the one we can cross off.
It seems like it, but
I think there's an argument for it. I'm very
confused. To me, I'm surprised
at the amount of Jabari buzz there
is. I didn't see him and say,
oh, he's for sure the best player in this draft this year.
I'm a little surprised, honestly.
What worries you about him?
I think, number one, I was talking about
two-point percentage.
And yes, he's had bad guards.
But I went back and looked at the last 10 years.
So guys who played college basketball their last year of college,
who went in the top five,
care to guess where Jabari Smith's two-point percentage is?
I thought it was probably 60, 70 guys.
Like 50 guys who were top five in the last 10 years.
Oh no.
Can you guess where it is?
Is he near the bottom?
Dead last.
Ooh.
By a significant margin.
Uh-oh.
Not the end of the world,
but to me that just tells you
this is not a guy who's getting easy shots for himself.
He's a guy who depends,
you're right, like he had bad guards,
but what does that tell you?
He's like, he needs to be set up.
He's not one who's going to, not only is he not going to get shots for himself,
he's not setting anyone else up for shots either. And that to me is the concern if he's number one.
I would like to have somebody who can create his own shot, create shots for others if he's
my number one overall pick. And that's me. I think Chet and Paolo are ahead of Jabari in those categories Jabari is the best shooter
but it's like
that is a
by necessity
that's a skill
that means you're the number two
for somebody else
right
if you're on the perimeter
spotting up
you're not the primary option
you're spacing the floor
for someone else
to be the primary
whereas I think Chet and Paolo
can handle a bigger load
on offense
and let me make the case
for Chet real quick
yeah I want to hear it if you look at last year's draft okay And Paolo can handle a bigger load on offense. And let me make the case for Chet real quick.
Yeah, I want to hear it.
If you look at last year's draft,
okay, who were the two players who rose the most after the rookie season?
In the draft, it would be Scotty Barnes
and Franz Wagner.
Now, if you go back to that last year in college,
these are both guys who only averaged
like 10, 11, 12 points a game.
They weren't primary options. And I think everyone recognized that they were very skilled. They were
top 10 picks, top five for Scottie. But it was at the end of the day, when a guy's not scoring a lot,
it's kind of hard sometimes to see him. You don't necessarily expect, oh, a guy's going to go to the
NBA and score more than he did in college. But that does happen.
It happened with Scottie, happened with Franz.
And you look at their efficiencies,
they're very efficient in a smaller role in college,
which indicated maybe there's room, untapped room.
And then Chet was incredibly efficient.
I think one of the most efficient seasons ever at Gonzaga.
I think there's more room to grow there on offense than people might realize.
And then everything else he does, he's
seven feet. He's an excellent defender.
He's a really smart player.
He's got the length on everyone.
I think there's room for
Chet to grow that people aren't giving him enough credit for.
Wow.
All right, so Houston gets
first pick. Who would you want? You think they'd
take Chet or Jabari?
If they already passed on Mobley,
that's why I wonder.
Is Chet in a lot of ways like a lesser Mobley?
So if you already passed on Mobley once...
But did you pass on it because you love Jalen Green?
Maybe.
Me personally, I would take Chet number one almost regardless.
I think for Houston, it'd probably be Chet or Jabari, yeah.
If I'm looking at teams
that I just know if Chet goes there, he's
going to fail. Houston, Orlando,
Detroit, OKC, Indiana,
Portland. Orlando's the one that
jumps out at me. And I don't think they
would take him either because they have 100 centers,
but I just don't like the thought of him in
Orlando. I think
Orlando's the team I would bet on the most
with Tech Chat because they're so wingspan oriented, right?
These are the guys from Milwaukee.
They drafted Mo Bamba six basically
because he had long arms a couple of years ago.
They're going to pass up on the big wingspan length,
seven footer.
I don't think so.
Plus him and him and Jayden Suggs
play high school ball together.
So there's that little connection as well.
I feel like we have to bring in Steve Cerruti
for a quick second.
Diehard Orlando Magic fan.
One of two on the ringer staff somehow.
Cerruti, given all the Orlando baggage
with this team
and some of the big man misfires,
can you walk us through your emotions
just hearing Chark say that
Chet was a good option for the Orlando Magic?
I agree with him.
Whoa! What's going on?
If I had the first pick, I'm to the point
where I would be disappointed if the Magic didn't take
Chet because, again, all the
things that he can do, and you're 100% right,
Chark, he is... If the Magic
could create a guy in a lap that they would draft,
it would be Chet Holmgren. That is who they
take. That is their history. Now, their
draft lottery luck is terrible, so I assume they won't get
the first pick, but I would genuinely be disappointed if they
didn't take Chet number one.
Wow. Maybe
we should be looking at Chet for
the odds. I think Chet was
plus 190,
something like that. Maybe Chet's the guy.
Maybe that's the bet. If Orlando wins
the lottery, I would hammer Chet
real hard that night
before the odds
move too much.
That's what I would do.
And then you don't have
to pay Bomba either.
So there you go.
It's a win-win.
So you let Bomba leave.
I mean, you already won
with the freaking
Vucevic trade.
Jesus.
Oh, yeah.
It's highway robbery.
How about Orlando
finally winning a trade?
When was the last time
that happened?
I guess you definitely won the Dwight Howard trade
because you got a whole bunch of things.
Well, the trade nobody won, but yes.
All right, we're going to take a quick break
and then a little more with Charks.
All right, Charks is still here.
Before we go, let's get an update.
You wrote a beautiful essay about what's going on with you physically
and some of the challenges you've had over the last years for the ringer. You talked about it with Kyle on the Upside High Pod. Where are you at?
How's life looking right now? It's been a very, very surreal experience. I think where I am right
now is I'm reaching the limits of what conventional medicine can do for me medically. So I'm moving into this
very new world of experimental treatments, clinical trials, alternative therapies.
And it's a very surreal thing because there's no safety net anymore. When I got diagnosed,
the traditional medicine, traditional chemotherapy options,
the thought was at the very least, they would buy me some time. These have been proven to work
in similar treatments, et cetera, et cetera. But now it's like we're past that. And now the doctors
are kind of flying blind. I'm flying blind. And I always tell people, you never want to be on the
cutting edge.
When you get diagnosed with cancer, get yourself a very simple diagnosis.
Any oncologist can make.
If you got to get one where you got to fly out to see an expert, that's not where you want to be.
Unfortunately, that's where I am.
And so right now, I'm living day by day and I'm just praying for a miracle, honestly.
So how rare is the cancer that you have?
According to the, I talked to a researcher in my,
and the sarcoma, so I have a sarcoma
and sarcomas are 1% of all cancers.
And then among my sarcomas, I have a very rare one.
The number that was given to me was one in 25 million.
Jesus.
Does your age help at all, the fact that you're a
young guy? Well, that's the weird thing is most people who get these kinds of sarcomas are
actually teenagers. So I'm actually even more of an exception that I was so old when I got it.
And unfortunately, no. The funny thing is kids actually respond better to chemotherapy than
adults. It's one of those weird things because their immune system is recovering faster. So actually it's not. Unfortunately, I'm young for his life, but old
for this kind of cancer, unfortunately. And you've been through like two pretty
major rounds of chemo at this point. What are the cycles for that?
I mean, chemo is like, it's very, there's a lot and each one is different.
So for me, I was on one.
I was on two where I was getting it five days a week,
every other week, every third week.
And I did those for about a year.
And now I'm on some new chemos now.
And the difference is basically is the chemos I'm on now,
they're more about, hey, we're just trying to stop the growth of it and then do experimental therapies that might work. But they're not expecting these chemotherapies to actually
get rid of the cancer. Whereas the first two I tried, there was a chance they could actually
get rid of it. But that's now looking unlikely. So you're trying to buy time until there's a
better version of the medicine you need. Well, unfortunately, that was the goal.
Now we're just rolling with whatever
the better version is now.
So the goal was I buy three or five years.
And then in that time, research has progressed.
And maybe the stuff I'm trying now
is further along.
But unfortunately, there's no more time to buy.
So now I'm just kind of rolling the dice.
I'm going to be enrolling in like a...
For the doctors, I'll buy, I'll be in a phase one
clinical trial. Where clinical trials, there's three phases normally. And I'll be at the very
beginning. So it's like, whatever's out there, we're just going for it and just hoping for the
best. And how are you feeling day to day these days? Are you tired? What are some of the side
effects lately? It's tough.
What seems like the basic rhythm I'm in right now is when I'm not doing chemotherapy, the
cancer is progressing.
So I'm feeling the effects of the cancer.
And then when I'm doing the chemotherapy, the cancer is not progressing, but I'm feeling
the effects of the chemotherapy.
So it's almost like one or the other.
Yeah.
And then over time, your body starts to
wear down. I'm just tired a lot. I've been doing this now for a year plus. And then what I've
realized is in a lot of ways, I have the maturity of my two-year-old son and that when I feel bad
physically, I'm grumpy. I'm not feeling good. I'm crabby. But when I feel okay physically,
I feel better mentally and emotionally as well. But when you're feeling sick all the time, it just wears on you.
And you've been, but you were at least like, you're able to go out, you're able to walk around
sometimes. Like you went to the two basketball games. Does that depend on what kind of energy
you have? It's more like I'm able to do, I can still do stuff like that, but I just have less
energy after. So it's like, okay, now to recover physically. And that's hard too, is you have to accept that you can't do as many things as you
would when you are healthy. I remember me and my wife were talking about my goals. And then I'm
listing my goals for the day. And she's like, that's a lot of stuff to do. You're not healthy.
Right.
So it's hard. You have to adjust your mindset. That's almost the biggest thing.
What kind of feedback do you get for the piece? I know it was pretty overwhelming.
Yeah. I mean, people, I definitely, or definitely an overwhelming response. There's just so many
people who reached out and were just really said a lot of kind words. And it's, I, what I've,
I've found in with this kind of, when you have this kind of situation, you just kind of, you hear
so much and people will say, hey, I really moved by this piece. I've gone through X tragedy in my
life. I've gone, my kids, my parents, my spouse, myself. And you're just like, man, you kind of go
through life with like, you're not even really paying attention a lot of times and how much like
pain and suffering is in the world. You go through something like this and your eyes are opened because you know it's like you want to
feel sorry for yourself when you hear so many stories you're like man actually no i actually
have a kind of good compared to this person like it's just it's crazy when you put a piece out like
that how much is there a line where you're like i I'm not sure I want to share this? Or do you feel
like you're at the stage where it's like, I actually want to share this. I feel like
I might be able to help other people. As you're putting yourself out there like that,
is there anything holding you back? I mean, that's a good question. I think for sure,
it's very hard to be that open about it. And I think for me, what changes how I look at it is my faith and the chance to talk about my faith with it'd be tough. I'd be like, you know what? This is pretty personal.
This is just for me and my family.
Because it is like, it's weird.
It's definitely weird to put yourself out there like that.
And I think without that element of, I probably wouldn't.
But it's like, okay, no, this is a chance to talk about this, how I've gotten through
this experience, what's been important to me.
And then it's like, okay, now all this very personal
things, it's not just like kind of exhibitionism and putting it out there to put it out there.
Like there's a greater purpose behind it. There's a message behind what I'm trying to say.
And I think that is what gives me, that's what allows me to do that, I think.
Well, so what would have happened the last year or so if you didn't have that faith?
I'd probably be like Christian Bale,
the first Batman movie,
like was wandering Asia,
looking for a Buddhist mentor,
drinking all the time.
It's like, I don't know.
Yeah, I mean, especially the podcast you did with Kyle,
it was so intense, like you talking about it. And I don't know, you're right. Like sometimes we can drift through life and we do these, you know, whatever. Like we just talked about basketball for 45 minutes and then that becomes the next day and you just kind of go and you don't take a lot of people are asking about you and just how's he doing is the most common thing.
So that was one of the reasons I wanted to have you on.
Well, I appreciate you saying that.
Yeah.
And kind of what you were saying, I talked about this in a piece I wrote maybe last year.
I love this metaphor and it's like this metaphor about life and kind of how like
life and modern society, it's like you're a car driving on a cliff and you look around and there's
just billboards everywhere. And it's like the billboards are like Netflix, sports, culture,
politics, news. And you think that's everything. All of a sudden you reach the cliff and the
billboards are gone. And you're like, where was I headed? What was I doing?
I'm here now. What's going
on? It's like, you never
know. That's life, really. It's when those
billboards are gone. You have to decide
what you think is meaningful and
important to you.
You always have a place on this pod anytime
you want to shoot the shit about hoops. You just
tell me.
Tell them about the uh
what else do we need to know what do the listeners need to know about like you have a website that
your wife's doing what else oh yeah yeah um yeah my wife she's doing a she owns a caring bridge
where it's just a little more if you're interested in like the kind of nitty-gritty of my illness and
the more like if you really like yeah like she just kind of updates it and talks about it. That's the main thing. Um,
yeah, other than that, I'm just, you know, I'm just living day to day.
I'm just believing in the best and I'm praying.
I'm just praying and hoping for a miracle.
All right. Well,
I look forward to talking about the playoffs with you later in the postseason.
I really appreciate that. And I've, of course I love,
I've really appreciated ringers been awesome. You've been great.
And it's really been meaningful to me
to just be cared for like that from my company.
It really is meaningful.
And I appreciate that a lot.
Well, you've been with us since day one.
I told you we were,
we were talking about you.
I think it was like two,
like near the end of Grantland.
We were kind of,
that was when you first went on our radar.
And as soon as we started the Ringer,
when we were talking about basketball writers,
you were always on every list we have,
you were on it.
So we always knew like at some point
something was going to happen for you.
I'll tell you a funny story, actually.
I think you'd appreciate this.
So right after I got hired at The Ringer,
I met my wife like a week later.
And then we're starting to date.
Yeah.
It's like bam, bam.
We're starting to date.
And then she tells her dad
and she's like, I don't know about this guy. He's like a sports writer bam, we're starting today. And then she tells her dad and she's like,
I don't know about this guy. He's like a sports writer. I don't understand this career
exactly what's happening. And then her father-in-law goes, he works for Bill Simmons.
It'll be fine. Like, don't... Oh, that's high praise.
Yeah. So there you go. It was an important step in my journey in many ways.
All right.
Well, that was good, dear.
Sharks, take care of yourself.
I look forward to talking to you about basketball
later this postseason.
Good to see you.
For sure.
Have a good one, man.
All right, that's it for the podcast.
Thanks to Rob Mahoney.
Thanks to Danny Kelly.
Thanks to our guy, Jonathan Sharks. Thanks to Kyle Creighton for producing. Thanks to Steve Mahoney. Thanks to Danny Kelly. Thanks to our guy, Jonathan Charks.
Thanks to Kyle Creighton for producing.
Thanks to Steve Ceruti.
Thanks to Dylan Berkey.
Back on this feed on Thursday night.
Go Suns. I don't have.