The Bill Simmons Podcast - An Epic Spurs-Thunder Series, Cleveland Survives, and the Knicks' Moment Is HERE With Zach Lowe

Episode Date: May 18, 2026

The Ringer’s Bill Simmons and Zach Lowe react to the Cavs eliminating the Pistons in Game 7 before previewing the conference finals matchups and looking at trade suitors for Giannis (0:31). Host:... Bill Simmons Guest: Zach Lowe Producers: Chia Hao Tat, Eduardo Ocampo, and Jonathan Frias Find the right talent with Hiring Pro at https://linkedin.com/simmons The Ringer is committed to responsible gaming. Please visit https://fanduel.com/playwithaplan to learn more about the resources and helplines Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:27 All right, Bill Simmons podcast, lives. on Netflix. Zach Lois here. We thought we'd be starting after the Cavaliers Pistons game. But the Pistons had other ideas, and so did the Cavaliers. I wanted to mention new rewatchables coming on Monday. We did Borat. It was me and Kyle Brand.
Starting point is 00:01:17 It's turned into politically incorrect comedy month on the rewatchable. So we have that. Zach Lowe is going to be Tuesday morning, Thursday morning, as we head into an absolutely awesome round three. I'm very excited. The Knicks might make the finals. Don't jinx it. Don't jinx might buy a hometown.
Starting point is 00:01:37 Spurs and Thunder, we're going to talk about where this matchup ranks for us, but we'll start with Cavs Pistons. So wrote down, great win for Cleveland and Donovan Mitchell fans and supporters. Decent win for James Hardin, truthers. Great win for the Knicks because they now have home court in the Eastern Conference finals. They have one, two, five, and seven. Where do you want to start with those? What truth? What truth do the James Harden Truthers subscribe to?
Starting point is 00:02:08 That he's one of the 40 best players of all time, that he's actually come up big in some playoff games. They just all happen to be in series that his team eventually lost. Bad luck against the Warriors a couple times. Four conference finals. I don't know. What else would they say? I think we should start with Donovan Mitchell and getting over the hump into the conference finals.
Starting point is 00:02:30 I mean, he had, the stats are not overwhelming, but I thought he played awesome, and the seven assists is to me the defining stat of the game for him. I just thought he, like, slowed down, played with a better pace, kept his dribble alive a little bit longer on the pick and roll, like looking actively for the big guys instead of, like, that overhead carry he does, it used to be like a once a game kind of thing, and it became like five times a game as he was searching for his own points
Starting point is 00:02:57 and playing a little frazzled. And I thought he was just under control, got the big guys involved. Game 7, Jared Allen showed up as a result. Evan Mobley played, I think, his fourth really nice game in a row. And just like we get Cleveland Knicks, which is like the road not taken for Donovan Mitchell, the road not taken for the Knicks after acquiring Jailen Brunson and flirting with pairing him with Donovan Mitchell, who allegedly always dreamed of playing for the Knicks. He's from here.
Starting point is 00:03:23 His family is still all in the Northeast. His dad works for the Mets on and on. So we get like that road not taken. J.B. Bickerstaff doesn't get to avenge his firing from Cleveland. And, you know, like, the Cavs paid a high price for Donovan Mitchell. Like, Lowry Marketing, the gap between Mitchell and Lowry Marketing and whatever your player rankings are shrunk dramatically since that trade and the three picks and the two swaps. And I think now you have to look at it as you paid full freight, but here you are in the conference finals with like a Knicks team that I think is going to be the favorite. I will pick them to win the series, but they're not unbeatable.
Starting point is 00:03:59 But Cleveland has a chance in this series to get to the finals. Yeah, I had Mitchell as the top story too. Nine years, 77th playoff game tonight, never made conference finals, which becomes a weird list when you've had a really good career and you've made some all MBAs, but you've never made it pass round two. And I don't know who the most famous player in that list is, but I always think of Dominic Wilkins when I think of lists like that and all the what-ifs with his career. how like if the Lakers had just taken him over James Worthy.
Starting point is 00:04:29 And if he had been able to get by the Celtics once or the Pistons, anybody and had this awesome career, but never even got to be in the final four. It felt like we're heading that way with Mitchell. Friday night, I just was stupefied by Friday night. I thought for sure the Cavs were going to win. I don't know what happened on them.
Starting point is 00:04:45 They looked lethargic. The Pistons, they had so many turnovers in the Friday night game. And then today, we were texting during the near the end of the first half. that Cavs had two turnovers with like four minutes left in the second quarter and honestly that felt like part of the difference because Detroit's Detroit's offense was so iffy.
Starting point is 00:05:04 They really needed that energy stuff and they needed like the two-on-ones and the blocks and going the other way and they just didn't get any of those today. And it's just a lethargic game all the way around. Cade wasn't good. Mitchell was the best guy on the floor.
Starting point is 00:05:19 The point you made about the getting the big guys above, I almost wonder, Did they look at the tapes of the first six games and noticed that every time they drove to the basket, the Pistons Biggs and Thompson were just flying at those guys trying to block the shots. And like they told Mitchell, when you go to the basket, look for Al and look for Mowgli. Because those guys over and over again were rolling and they seemed like they were unimpeded. So it almost felt like a football strategy flip of like they keep doing this, zagged this way.
Starting point is 00:05:49 And Mitchell bought in because the thing with Mitchell, it was a storyline that he was averaging, what, 2.9 assists in the playoffs, that's terrible. He's supposed to be the guy who makes everybody else better and he wasn't, but he did tonight. I think if they lost this game and he had another game like that, the number one takeaway, I mean, all the big takeaways
Starting point is 00:06:08 would have been the big picture, have stuff that we don't have to discuss now, like, what are they going to do? Is this the team of the future? Who do they trade? Kennedy Act and so all that stuff is stable. But the biggest basketball takeaway would have been what happened to Donovan Mitchell's playmaking? Like, I thought this was going to develop and do a real strength of his game. And it kind
Starting point is 00:06:24 had just disappeared in the playoffs. He was not making passes that were there to be made. He was not looking for them. He was just playing. I keep using the word frazzled. He looked a little sped up and just not in his normal state of mine. And tonight, he was really, really under control and really good. A little black holeish before tonight, I felt like.
Starting point is 00:06:44 Just a lot of. Like not that fun to play with would have been my take. And out of sync sometimes with Hardin. I mean, gradually starting in game three, and excluding the just inexplicable egg they laid in game six. Three, four, five, seven, you started to see the calves figure out some ways to, it wasn't pretty, it's not always artful, but to loosen up their half-court offense a little bit. It was sometimes hunting mismatches for Jonathan Mitchell.
Starting point is 00:07:10 It was using Mobley more in the pick and roll, and they started to get like the Mobley to Allen, big-to-big passing going on. It was finally, I thought probably a little overdue starting Struis tonight and playing Merrill more and just having more shooting on the floor. And Merrill, like, probably should have liked the thing with Sam Merrill who came in and completely changed the game. I've been calling for it all serious. I don't know why they weren't playing him more.
Starting point is 00:07:32 Do you think he was, was he hurt? Like, he seemed like such an obvious person to play more. He did miss the game. I thought the struise adjustment was going to come sooner. And in Kenny's defense, the initial starting line up with Wade had like a better plus minus than I had thought of in the playoffs. But it's just the offense was so clunky. I didn't like it.
Starting point is 00:07:49 Wade was not bringing enough defensively to really justify it. I thought they could have reorganized their rotation a bit. But so it happens in the playoffs, man, you shrink your rotation. You got a stretch for answers. This is, you know, the calves for as ugly as it's looked at times, seven games and seven games, and they're here. And they had to negotiate two of the five best defenses in the NBA this year. It's like not always going to look pretty, but they found just enough to squeak those series
Starting point is 00:08:12 out. Yeah, so the big adjustment was starting macho man, Maxi Struz. I saw you. I saw that. Yeah, that was fun. The macho. Yeah. Hopefully that'll keep going in the.
Starting point is 00:08:21 in the next series. But other than that, other than that, it just looked like they took care of the ball and Mitchell played better. Those were really, that was really,
Starting point is 00:08:30 because Friday night was, I was really surprised and stunned, but Detroit did seem like they got the re-durren combo going. And then today it was gone again. And we'll talk about Detroit later and what Duren's worth
Starting point is 00:08:44 and all that stuff. But for ugly loss for Detroit, how bad? Just a reminder that it's a little, as predictable as the NBA is compared to other sports leagues in terms of who generally wins and advances, game to game, it's like, wait, Cleveland won three games in a row and just got obliterated in game six
Starting point is 00:09:03 in the most dispiriting way possible at home. Detroit's riding high, they're going back home. You know, they're like game seven, and they get obliterated at home. It's like it can swing in wild ways, even if it doesn't seem that way sometimes. Yeah, it's turnovers and threes, basically, seem to be when you have two teams that,
Starting point is 00:09:19 I think a notch below the highest level that we have going in the league right now. Who the hell knows? For Detroit, how bad was that loss for you? If I gave you a scale of one to the 2022 Mab Suns game, how bad? That's a 10. That's 10. I'll go six and a half. I mean, I think we saw in the first round that this team was, it's regular season win total,
Starting point is 00:09:47 probably inflated a little bit how good they really were. And all the sort of concerns we had about their viability as like a real finals championship team came to bear in the series against Orlando, which, by the way, I think Orlando probably wins if Franz Wagner doesn't get hurt. And also they blew a horrendous game six of their own at home. I think we win because we did that podcast with the scariest ceiling playoff teams when we had Detroit 11th and their fans and media got mad at us. Well, I mean, and just, I'm going six and a half, maybe seven, because it's a young team, it's a rising team.
Starting point is 00:10:22 In a lot of ways, like, again, this is a team that had it over under, I think, in the high 40s before the season started. And here they are going toe to toe with Donovan Mitchell and James Harden and Evan Mobley and Jared Allen in the second round. It's great season. But Jalen Duren, another invisible game. Tobias Harris, Ofer from the field. He's a free agent. You've really got a tough question, tough discussion. to have with him.
Starting point is 00:10:47 And just the center rotation completely fell apart again. After Jalen Dern looked reinvigorated, we were texting over the weekend. Like the biggest possible positive sign for Detroit going into game seven is maybe Jail and Dern got over whatever mental hurdle or whatever was happening to him. He had a pretty good game. He did not. And there's missing layups and everything around the basket. And then Isaiah Stewart for what felt like the fourth time in the series is just throwing guys, like judo throwing guys at the foul line.
Starting point is 00:11:16 and picking up these crazy fouls. And J.B. Bickerstaff's like, dude, cool, you're the tough guy in the team. Can you play basketball? Because if you're not going to play basketball, we're bringing in Paul Reed. Six minutes for Isaiah Stewart tonight. So I would go higher than six and a half for the Pistons for three reasons. One, you have this impossible to figure out during contracting though. I mean, I don't know.
Starting point is 00:11:38 He just got outplayed by Jared Allen who plays, who makes, you know, 28, 29 million a year, right? So you can't pay Dern more than that, even though I voted for an Omba team. I don't know. We've seen this in football and we've seen it in basketball, where if you overpay somebody who's not a dominant guy, that's the quickest way to screw your team up for three, four years. It's a, aka the Bradley Bill Parallocs, Paradox. Paradox. Paradox. Why can I speak?
Starting point is 00:12:12 Bradley Bill, Paradox. I just couldn't, in good conscience, pay that guy more than 33 to 34 a year. Oh, I think after this series, if you're, if you're Gerald Duren's agent, you might pretend to protest what you just said, like, oh, that might place a phone call to Bill Simmons being like, blah, blah, I got to do the thing where I protest, but secretly you're like, I would take that. Like, that's, like, we, I was talking. So, Jason Daniels 25 a year.
Starting point is 00:12:43 Jalen Johnson signed for, I think we off. felt like it was a little low, right? I think five for $5 for $150. So he's somewhere in there, but I wouldn't feel good about going over 30 for him after that series. I don't feel good about paying that for centers in general
Starting point is 00:12:57 because I think the perimeter guys are more important unless it's Yok it's a Wembe. I will say I thought his defense was pretty solid throughout the series. Offensively, he was exposed is kind of not ready for the playoffs at the level that the Pistons need him to be ready, which is a really high level. Second round against
Starting point is 00:13:13 a really good team. It's got it's high level stuff. And, you know, the perimeter game, like every time he takes a mid-range jumper, it's a win for the other team. And I think he'll get better at that. He's only 22. You can't repeat that enough. But, like, I don't know what the market, I mean, the Bulls are the team with cap space that has the obvious hole at the position. But I just don't know that anyone is blowing Jail Endurance market away with any kind of offer sheet. Now, agents, as we saw with Miles Turner are super creative of, like, magicing up sign and trades and crazy deals. But, But, you know, I, the center was.
Starting point is 00:13:48 Lakers, Lakers-ish? I mean, we'll see if they have any cap space. They have this $50 million possible cap space, and it depends on a lot of different things. LeBron, Rui Hachamura, how quickly they send Reeves and all that. But he would be, I mean, at the very, very high end of what the Lakers could go after. Really tough. So that was my first thing.
Starting point is 00:14:08 Two more things for being bummed out of Fund of Pistons. The second is what happened to Isaiah Stewart. where I think he became a liability as the playoffs on the wrong. He was one of my favorite bench guys in the league this season. And I don't know if since the fight, it never felt like he got his impact back the way it was before the fight, where it felt like he was coming in and just swinging in games and adding on to Duren. And I just thought he got worse than the playoffs to the point.
Starting point is 00:14:37 It seemed like he came at it. It seemed like he was yelling at a couple coaches and they cut away from it. But I think he's an obvious trade piece for them. making 15 million year. There's great rim protection things for him. Maybe he needs to play more. But just in general, I thought that was a guy that seemed like he was one of the better contracts in the league
Starting point is 00:14:54 and just was MIA. So that's too. And then the third one is just that they punted on the trade deadline, which we talked about at the time. Their big move is Kevin Herder, who didn't play tonight, who didn't really play out series. And I don't,
Starting point is 00:15:06 add an injury in fairness. But yeah, there was no universe in which Kevin Herder was going to suddenly be playing 22 minutes a game off the bench in this series. Did he even, he didn't play one minute the series, did he? He got in at some point. Yeah, yeah. Well, whatever.
Starting point is 00:15:20 So they kind of punted on that and we talked about it and we said, hey, it's a marathon, not a sprint. They're using the same pressy logic of let's try to build and we'll pounce when we pounce. I don't know. If you have a chance to get into the final four, that means your four wins away from the finals. I certainly think they've had a lot of success against the Knicks and they really needed that second score, which is what we said in February.
Starting point is 00:15:44 you're putting all your bricks and you're putting all your eggs in the Tobias Harris basket and he was 0 for 6 today and they did not have that other score they could trust. Lavert had the one hot game in the series. You know,
Starting point is 00:15:57 they'd have Jenkins would hit a three every once in a while. Robinson, who did not seem healthy to me. I know he made a couple threes, but I felt like he had some back thing. I was watching out. He was walking.
Starting point is 00:16:06 He'd look 100% to me. But they were just missing that second, whoever it was. And I don't know if I was a Pistons fan, I'd be mad about that. Yeah, I mean, you know, I was talking about this with some people at the combine, and you hear this, like, well, I mean, ironically, they got, they get to swap picks with the Timberwolves in the first round of this draft because they took on Mike Conley in the initial salary dump. They were involved in that.
Starting point is 00:16:31 And ironic, I say, because you hear a lot of people say, well, I mean, like, they could have gotten in for Kobe White or I assume new or a guy like that. I mean, they could have. Is that getting them over the hump? Is it worth it? But it definitely would have given them a better shot. in this series because we like we all knew they were light on secondary creators and i think honestly like i think it kade had to have been exhausted by the end of this series because he just has to do everything and the calves i think probably uh switched too easily against kate like they
Starting point is 00:17:04 gave him hard and they gave him donovan mitchell they gave him maryl they gave him whatever matchup he wanted they'd never really trapped him when he got those matchups and a lot of where people were calling for that. And I understand that. And I think they could have done a little bit. I bet what they were thinking was, look, we're just going to make him dribble eight times and take a 14-footer. And yeah, it's going to be over Donovan Mitchell or Sam Merrill. But we're not giving him the easy stuff and the easy passes, but just going to wear his ass out. And like, what he was doing, what is he's, he, no one in the league is carrying a bigger load, I don't think, than Kate Cunningham and the playoffs. Two MVP votes from people today for him. First place. First place MVP votes. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:17:44 So I have a lot of Knicks fans of my life. I know you have even more. And they've been asking me for two weeks, who do I want to play? Do you want to play the Cavs or the Pistons? And my answer, at least for the last week, is you're going to beat either team. It doesn't matter.
Starting point is 00:17:58 But I'd rather play the Pistons. Because the Cavs still have this ceiling thing that they, the potential of what they are is still more dangerous than what the Pistons are to me, which is a team that just has too much trouble scoring. The Thompson piece of it. Thompson who, you know, steals and blocks, some offensive rebounds, three incredible defensive plays a game. Like, clearly somebody who can be one of your best five guys on the floor and be really impactful.
Starting point is 00:18:29 But if you don't have enough scoring, and especially this is a Pistons team. If they fell behind 15, it felt like 50, you know. And I just feel like if I'm the Knicks, I would have much rather played that team because I'm better than anyway. I could just outscore them. Cleveland, who knows, with the two bigs. You mentioned Mobley earlier. The last three of the last four games,
Starting point is 00:18:51 I thought he was really, really, really good. Like, as much as I've enjoyed watching him play, just total package, like defending the rim, some good passing, was aggressive, wasn't afraid to shoot his three. Did you feel like he went up a tiny notch, or am I crazy? No, I mean, look, the scoring numbers are,
Starting point is 00:19:10 I don't think he cracked 20 unless he did tonight. I haven't checked the final box. score in any of those games. I just thought he played really solid all-around basketball. And I think the series started to turn when the Cavs had him more involved in the pick and roll and used him as a passer more and used him as a hub more. And I think that's not going to be sexy statistically, but I thought he made all the right plays.
Starting point is 00:19:31 And it got him just, it got the ball moving a little bit for a team that was like 29 assists tonight. They've been dead last in assist rate in the playoffs for most of the playoffs. it just got the ball moving a little bit more and it invigorated him. Like there was a moment, I think it was in game four where he dunked on Isaiah Stewart,
Starting point is 00:19:49 like dunked on him hard. And I'm like, where is this every other game? Like, why is this a rare thing? Like this level of nastiness and aggression and he played that way the rest of the series. I kind of agree with you. The Pistons swept the Knicks in the regular season.
Starting point is 00:20:03 They blew him out, if not all three times and at least two out of the three. There are guys missing on both sides in most of the games. But their physicality bothered the Knicks. They just beat the crap out of the Knicks. The Knicks were not ready for how physical Detroit played. Obviously, in the playoffs, your state of readiness and your willingness to engage and that kind of stuff is going to be way higher.
Starting point is 00:20:20 The Cavs, like you love the trick-or-treat analogy for players. The Cavs have a little bit of that in them where they, for a quarter, will find this groove where the Hardin-Mitchell thing is more complimentary than it is. They amplify each other a little bit more than they do usually. The Biggs are rolling, Struis or Merrill are making shots. you're like, oh my God, this team is awesome. They're defending the rim. Yeah. And then the next two quarters, it'll just be a little bit sluggish.
Starting point is 00:20:46 And so they do have that kind of like, oh, if that team pops a little bit more than not, then yeah, they have a chance. They've also really, I think Merrill, Sam Merrill has really emerged as a possible like MSG playoff villain. I can see him going in and being unafraid and hitting shots. Schrooter, who was plus 12 today. was it at least two turnovers. Truder was a turnover machine
Starting point is 00:21:14 the last couple games. The last couple games, to the point that he almost seemed like unplayable in game six. Like I was surprised they kept him out there. But, you know, with macho man, Maxie Struz, Hardin, Mowbly, Alan, Mitchell,
Starting point is 00:21:28 and Merrill, I at least know I have six guys. And then Wade's like a six and a half. At least he has some size. It's, they'll be able to land some punches on the Knicks. But if I'm the Knicks, This is, I mean, this is easily, easily their best chance to make the final since 1994, I think.
Starting point is 00:21:45 It's not. They're way better than, they were way better than neither is teams. What do you think the line is for the series? I'm going to Fandall right now. Before I look, I'm going to say NICS minus 300. I was going to say 250 or 230 or something like that. Okay. The answer is minus 240.
Starting point is 00:22:07 Okay. Plus 190 for the Cavs. You win that one. That's why you're Mr. Gambling. And I win. I win me and House had nine different bets going on this game tonight. That's what I do. And I won by Price's Right Rules, which I respect in my house.
Starting point is 00:22:23 Yeah, he did. But my wife does not respect Price's Right Rule. She says that's stupid. It should just be who's ever closest. I respect the institution. That is, the Price is Right. I like Price's Rights Rules as well. Brunson minus 170 for conference MVP.
Starting point is 00:22:37 Mitchell's 3 to 1, Towns plus 950, Harden 20 to 1 OG's 22 to 1 and then Evan Mobley's sitting there 33 to 1 All right Not against it Got to get my app
Starting point is 00:22:50 Get my app up Not against that one Because I In my opinion Mobley will be the That's the cabs guy to watch In a series like this Yeah
Starting point is 00:22:59 If he's awesome That's a that's A differentiator for them I'm gonna dig in A little bit tomorrow Obviously it's a quick turnaround Game 1 is Tuesday in New York
Starting point is 00:23:09 I will hopefully be there. But I'll dig in on the matchups a little bit, but the Knicks, O'GN and Obie practiced and said he's feeling much better and this does not like the hamstring injury from two years ago. That's a huge thing. I just think they're better.
Starting point is 00:23:25 I think they're a better team. They, I think we're two and one or three in one against the Cavs this year. Now, I will say the last time they played, I've said this over and over again. I think the Cavs figured out a little bit something on who should match up with who and how all that should work defensively.
Starting point is 00:23:39 and gave the Knicks a little bit of trouble. And I think they've discovered a little bit of that kind of stuff. But the Knicks are just better. And like, to your point, I'm surrounded by Knicks fans. They are absolutely giddy. And I'm like, you should be giddy. This is by far the best chance. I never thought I would ever have a hometown finals as long as I would be doing this.
Starting point is 00:24:02 So finals where I didn't have to travel for half of it. I just never even deemed it possible. I just never, which of these teams is going to suddenly be competent of to actually win three playoff rounds. This is by far the most likely it's ever been to the point that if the Knicks don't win this next series, I think it's going to be absolutely crushing for their fan base and their whole organization. I don't know how crushing will be because they had the will to live for the rest of their lives crushed out of them by the Halliburton shot and that Pacers come back. So they're already dead inside. I can't believe you.
Starting point is 00:24:37 You have to mention that? Like they're dead inside. They have no emotion left. How about the Paul? How about the Paul Reed shot, by the way? Can we just from game six that hung on there? It was like a golf shot that just hung on on the lip for five seconds. It was like a tiger Woods where he's doing the fist pump after.
Starting point is 00:24:54 We're going to take a break. A couple more storylines for that Cavs' next series in one second. One second. The Bill Simmons podcast is brought to by Fandul. The conference finals finally is here. We are down to. Four teams, pick you know, it'll go down, take your shot with Fandau, get closer to the action. And as you know, I've been telling you for years, Fandle, the best place to bet the teams,
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Starting point is 00:26:33 And it's off of Minnesota falling short in their series about these little windows that teams have. The can't get over the hump teams. The teams that they win a few playoffs series, they might even make a conference finals, they have like a three or four year window and they just can't make the finals, right? And I think the most, my favorite example of this team ever was the Mark Price Cavaliers that with Doherty and Nance and all those. those dudes. I thought those were really, really good teams. It's really unfair that they never made a finals. They had some bad injury luck. They obviously crossed past with Michael Jordan at the worst possible times and the pistons and then Price got hurt. But I just thought that was a really good team.
Starting point is 00:27:17 You look back and you're like, oh, that was an era, but they never got over the hump. And I think the Knicks and the Cavs are like that right now, where the Cavs, they've had this Mitchell little mini era here where they were able to get lucky with the Mobley being there and being able to draft him and then the Jared Allen trade you're basically getting him for nothing. And then Garland initially turned him in Harden, but this is their window right now,
Starting point is 00:27:42 I feel like. And then the next same thing where they went all in with the bridges. They were able to dump Randall at the perfect time. We're going to talk about him later. They get towns. That trade turned out really well. And this is the window right now for them. And this is why
Starting point is 00:27:58 when I think about this series, like for one of these teams, whoever loses this, I don't think it'll be a, well, we made the conference finals. I think this is like, this was our fucking chance to make the finals. So there's real stakes here that, not that there isn't always stakes for the conference finals, but I feel like this is like a four-year road to this series. Yeah, I mean, look, if you're right and one of these teams comes out feeling disappointed to the point where they view change as necessary, like certainly the bucks are opening for
Starting point is 00:28:29 just maximum disappointment around the top. whatever teams in the league, including these two teams. And it is, like, I talked about this last week. Like, imagine if Cleveland comes back and wins the series and they did, like, what does that mean for Hardin's future with the team? It seems to solidify it, right? Does it solidify Mitchells? But, like, you're right, if they just get rolled.
Starting point is 00:28:48 If one of these teams, it's different if you go to seven, and it's just like both teams played really, really well. It's a heroic, awesome series. Like, just in there, like, you know, it's a tip-your-cap kind of series. But if it's 4-1 and we get exposed on the glass like Mitchell Robinson four years ago exposed us on the glass or 4-1 and cat has another existential crisis week. Like the cat thing goes back this way where he's fouling and like all of a sudden you just can't recapture whatever it is you had against Philadelphia and at the end of the Atlanta
Starting point is 00:29:15 series. Like you're right. There could be there could be certainly disappointment to the point of like, all right, we got to pivot. I mean, we'll see how it goes, I guess. The problem with some of this stuff, I remember you're talking about this when Dame was leaving Portland about like they made the. the 2019 Western
Starting point is 00:29:33 Finals. That's a win. They were one of the four, you know, teams left. But the whole Dame era in Portland, I don't look at it as like, oh, man, they were rolling. You know, we go back and we look at that Western finals, it was like, I was a little fluky.
Starting point is 00:29:50 The Houston and Golden State was really the Western Finals that year. But that was an error. And I was thinking about the get over the hump teams. The Grit and Grang Grizzlies is a great one. made the finals. I mean, made the conference finals, right?
Starting point is 00:30:05 They put some series together. They had some upsets. It was a distinct era. They could never get over the hump. Lob City Quippers. Oh, boy. Paul George Pacers. Your favorite, the Coach Bud Hawks.
Starting point is 00:30:17 Blazers. The Hardin Rockets is probably the most successful example of just a ton of success, but never actually made the finals. The Celtics, pre-COVID Celtics, basically, 16 to 20, where they made the Eastern Finals, I think four to five times. That whole year in the Eastern Conference Festival, it should just be,
Starting point is 00:30:37 it was just Cleveland and a bunch of whatever. Yeah. So, and Nicks and Cavs now. And then the wolves, and we'll talk about the wolves later because I want to do, what do you do?
Starting point is 00:30:47 But sometimes, like, being one of the final four teams is okay. I think we just overreact to where it's like, we didn't win the title. What do we do? And it's like, I don't know, man, there's 30 teams in this league.
Starting point is 00:30:59 there's a lot of good players. If I'm the calves, I'm like, all right, this was pretty good. We were down 2-0 in the second round. We made it. Maybe let's cool the jets on all the panic stuff. Now, if they had lost tonight, I would have had five trades for you. I totally agree. Making the conference finals is really hard,
Starting point is 00:31:18 and there's only four teams left, and you're one of them, and you've learned something about yourself. You're going to be better off for it the next year when you're in the playoffs. And you know, you were doing the hump thing. I was like, where's the hump? Because a lot of these teams you were mentioning made the conference finals, but not the finals. And I guess that's the hump is the finals. I mean, that's like, and again, like, what are you going to tear down a conference finals team?
Starting point is 00:31:39 Because now you have decisions to make and the salary cap forces you to make decisions and all that kind of stuff. But it's hard to get that far in the playoffs. And, you know, I mean, the West is just a completely different animal. Like Minnesota loses to San Antonio in the second round of the playoffs. I'm supposed to panic about now. There are things to panic about like Julius Randall disappearing is a thing to panic. about Rudy Gobert kind of sneakily disappeared in the last two or three games. Sneakly?
Starting point is 00:32:02 Well, I mean, he's... That was a catastrophe. Okay. I was trying to be nice for Rudy. Because everyone just, he's just the punching bag of the NBA. No, I know he's a punching bag, but... I'm trying to be nice. I'm trying to be nice.
Starting point is 00:32:12 He's being bullied. He's been bullied too long. I'm trying to be nice to him. Putting that aside, if I'm Minnesota, I'm really scared that one of the people I have to go through in my conference, Victor Rambidiyama, just completely annihilated by center. To the point. I don't know what to do with that. To the point.
Starting point is 00:32:27 And Stan was. making it on the broadcast that they were they and i talked about it last week too on my pod they were rejiggering their rotations the wolves were to have rudy in the game only when wemby was not in the game um not good or or a limit yeah so look but it's hard to make the conference finals the calves are pretty young and uh yeah i don't know well there was something else i was going to say and i forgot but it's it's it's hard to make the conference finals with detroit so we talk about they're obviously not panic. They're young during 22, Cades in his mid-20s.
Starting point is 00:33:02 There's a trade for a second score. Let's try to get Cade some help. No question. There's probably a, there's probably a, there's probably a, we don't have enough to get Jaylen Brown conversation, but let's at least kick the tires. There's a, hey,
Starting point is 00:33:19 do we make our version of the Desmond Bain, McHale Bridges trade for Trey Murphy and see if New Orleans is interested in that? But I think it's somebody like that. I think it's, I think they have to find a reliable second score that is not Tobias Harris. I thought Tobias had a good season. And I actually really like the way he played the regular season, but the playoffs speak for itself. The question that you're going to have to face is what's the salary that you're throwing in?
Starting point is 00:33:46 I mean, you can throw in all your picks, I guess, and that's pretty valuable. Throw in all your picks, all your swaps. They got everything. But I got to get up to a number, right? Like if I'm the names you're mentioning, I got I got to get up to even Tray Murphy, a big number. They have Rob and who's 60 in a year, the next two, but he's only two million guaranteed this year. So they can get out of that. They can, I think they could trade Stewart pretty easily. And I think that's somebody that teams would want. But just throw Jalen, you just threw Jalen Brown's name in there.
Starting point is 00:34:14 The Boston Celtics are not trading finals MVP, Jalen Brown for Isaiah Stewart, Duncan Robinson and a bunch of Detroit first round picks. Like that's, you're not getting a guy like that. They're not. And the problem is they're not getting Quay or Trey Murphy for what they have to trade anyway. I think unless I don't I don't unless Thompson is involved well that in some sort of they're not doing some sort of capacity they're not doing that and but that's the other thing they have to figure out do they do they extend Thompson do they give him you know do they jump the gun on the RFA season and
Starting point is 00:34:42 take it out basically I mean look we could get a lot of pretty uncanny I mean we had the four guys who just hung in restricted free agency forever last year because there just there was nothing out there for them we've seen the rockets already play pretty tough with some of their internal free agents and just say, we're not giving you the max. How about this? And if you don't take it, we'll just be happily negotiating against you
Starting point is 00:35:05 in restricted free agency. And I think more teams should do that. I mean, I hate restricted free agency. It sucks for the players, but it's a rule. And I don't think teams have adequately taken advantage of it. And I think it's really,
Starting point is 00:35:16 like, if you can chip $8 to $10 million a year off some of these contracts, again, it sucks for the players, but it's a weapon that you have collectively bargained to have. and I like it also really hurts the flexibility
Starting point is 00:35:30 of being able to fix your roster once you do that extension your your poison pill look we're just these are just the rules I have to live in the unit I can think about other rules but these are the rules that it's just now
Starting point is 00:35:41 and under those rules like I'm not extending a star Thompson now unless he's willing to take a pretty big discount and because if I'm and if I'm a SAR Thompson's agent I'd say like oh no I want the max it's 25% and like then we're not negotiating then we'll go to we'll take it to restrict every agency If Fassar Thompson's agent asked that or said that,
Starting point is 00:36:00 I would cut a 45-minute video of him missing eight-footers and be like, we're not giving you the max, and here's our 45-minute answer on that. Can he make an eight-footer? Can he make an eight-footer? I don't know if that would go over a well. I think that would be perceived as rude. What were the backyard basketball one-on-one games
Starting point is 00:36:20 between the Thompson twins like? Ferocious. I wouldn't want to be a part of those games. Just incredible defense. Is that why they both can't shoot? Because the other one was so great defensively, they never figured out how to make an open shot. Just four hour games and people like,
Starting point is 00:36:33 we got to eat dinner. I know it's two, two to 11, but dinner is ready. It's getting cold. Can we just call it at three? It's like two cheetahs just fighting, unable to gain upper ground on each other.
Starting point is 00:36:45 I'm going to just quickly give you my, I had some Cleveland content in case they lost about what would happen. I was really excited about some of this. I wrote down in all caps, LeBron is looming. I think we can close the door now for the LeBron comes back to Cleveland. Hey, guys, I'm a former champ. I'm here to help. What if they lose?
Starting point is 00:37:06 What if they get swept? I mean, I don't think they would. What if it's 4-1 and it's just, it ends like with a whimper? Really? Just closing it. You're just closing it. What's the golf like in Cleveland? Because I think that's going to be the number one determiner for him.
Starting point is 00:37:18 Probably not great for a large percentage of the year. I think he has stay in California. Yeah. I had some Mitchell trades, though. Okay. Well, let's say, how about this? If Mitchell gets swept, if the calves get swept, I'm just trying to figure out what his value is.
Starting point is 00:37:33 Fourth pick Chicago is, Chicago's not doing that, right? I would think not new GM, new lease on life. Let's get it. Let's get a cornerstone. New guys, young guy. But Brooklyn's six pick, which I think is for sale. They were the first team that came to my mind when you just started. So six pick, triori and a future first, call it in.
Starting point is 00:37:53 Sacramento 7th pick with Levine and I get another Sacramento pick and then Atlanta eighth pick with Dyson Daniels, something there. He'd be very good on Atlanta. I mean, he'd be very good anywhere, but there would have been
Starting point is 00:38:10 a really interesting discussion to be had of Donovan Mitchell of almost 30 eligible to sign just one of these extensions. It's just going to be a just gigantic amount of if it's a max extension going into his mid-30s.
Starting point is 00:38:26 With a playoff record that I think, by the way, has been a little bit underrated as he's come under some scrutiny in this series. I think he's been pretty goddamn good in the playoffs. And there's been a couple of series the last two years for the Cavs where he felt like the only one, he was like the bus driver and just the only one
Starting point is 00:38:44 that was really up for a fight. Orlando Game 7 was a good one too, and he was great tonight. But there still would have been interesting discussion. Like, you know, small guard, 30 plus 30 into 33, 34, 35, on pay him 70 million and he's never made the conference finals. And that discussion is at least forestalled for now. The bigger issue for me with that kind of money is do you make anyone better, which he was not doing during the playoffs, but he did tonight. I did get, got an email earlier today from Alex Taylor.
Starting point is 00:39:11 This was before we knew the result who said being a Cavs fan is a lot like having an elderly relative you're taking care of. I always have to watch and I'm rooting for them. but I kind of can't wait for this shit to be over with. That's a dark email. That is, yeah. I think that's where the Cavs fans are mentally, I guess. I needed a trigger warning for that. That was awful, Alex Taylor.
Starting point is 00:39:32 Jeez, Alex Taylor. And then this one I got before game seven from Britt Pierce about watching James Hardin and push off on every drive and flop all over the four. The best playoff moment this year has to be Dean Wade slipping on Hardin's sweat spot. And Tobias getting the runout dunk, the referee should be embarrassed for on the ship for two decades. That would have been, if the Cavs had lost, that would have been the signature play.
Starting point is 00:39:55 But they won, and now nobody will remember it. There also would have been, like, I'm sure there was an understanding between James Harden and the Cleveland Cavaliers about what would come next when he has this player option for next year. Yeah. And the Clippers, there was clearly an understanding
Starting point is 00:40:09 about would and would not come next with the Clippers. And when there is an understanding of that nature, James Harden intends to change teams and find one where he finds a better understanding. But if they had just flamed out in this series And by the way, he was two of 10 today. It's not like he covered himself in glory in this game. He just didn't turn the ball over a lot.
Starting point is 00:40:26 I liked it. I thought he was good. Two for 10 was deceiving. I do think, and again, I'm sure they've already kind of talked about it. But I, like, can you just, I would have been like, can you just opt into your player option and we can just wash our hands of this because he's getting old. He's getting old in front of my eyes. I don't think that's what happens.
Starting point is 00:40:45 It's, I think the player option is 43. Yeah. No, it's, what's going to happen is he's. He's going to opt out and get a longer deal. But I'm saying if they flame out in the series and he goes down like he's gone down at other game sevens before, if I'm the Cavs, I'm like, I don't know, man. How many more years of this? Like, I know we traded Garland.
Starting point is 00:41:02 Yeah, but don't you want to do? What if it was like 27 and 27? Is he going to take that? I guess. I guess he would. But he was in the, what draft was he in 2009? He's old. He's getting old.
Starting point is 00:41:14 It's just Tim and Curry from that draft now, right? Is that anybody else from that draft? I don't know. You're better at the draft stuff. I am. I think that was. But you do get to, you do get to have him as a trade ship in case you have one of those meetings that doesn't
Starting point is 00:41:26 go well. And then he gets traded to another place. Well, the question is, is this the third straight team? He felt like he was wink, wink, promise something that then did not materialize.
Starting point is 00:41:35 Yeah, I did. I didn't sense, I didn't sense a lot of empathy for Daryl Morey from the James Harden camp when the news of Daryl Morris firing was rippling through the combine in Chicago last week. I want to invite Daryl on my podcast and just pour truth serum into him to tell all kinds of stuff. With the painting of Hardin being in the background, do you think he still has the painting?
Starting point is 00:41:58 Remember the Ramona Shelbur wrote that piece? And it was like, sit in the living room, stands this painting of commission from this artist for this amount of money. And it's James Harden doing this. And then it's a quote from Darrell being like, yes, he's my muse. We'll be forever connected. We hugged on the tarmac all those years ago. Well, when he has his podcast on the ringer, maybe James will be one of the first 10 guests on the Daryl Moore show.
Starting point is 00:42:23 The Daryl and Doc show. The Daryl and Doc show would be amazing. I don't think that one will happen. I don't know if there's a lot of... The mismatch part two? The mismatch 2.0. Yeah, that would be more than a mismatch. I don't see those two getting together for a pod.
Starting point is 00:42:40 All right. Nix, Knicks, Knicks. Let's do it. Are you... Well, you'll do Tuesday, morning, so you'll be able to do a pick on that series. So I won't step on your podcast. Listen to Zach's pod.
Starting point is 00:42:50 I'm going to pick the Knicks. There's no amount of film study or whatever that I'm doing tomorrow that is going to make me pick the Cavs. I'm picking the Nix. It's just a matter of how many games. I would lean right now toward Nixon five. Just because I think Mitchell will have one game when he goes nuts. That's usually what happens with him.
Starting point is 00:43:11 I'll have one game where everything goes right would be my guess. But I don't. I just think the NICS will. It's weird. We have three classes of teams this year, not two, as we get into the final four, because we have this OKC San Antonio all the way up here. I think we have the Knicks here, but Punchers' chance of being able to hang in a series against either of those teams. Absolutely.
Starting point is 00:43:32 And then probably the Cavs here. I think those are the three levels. Yeah, I think that's fair. I think the Knicks could win the championship. I wouldn't bet on it. I wouldn't pick. I'm not going to pick them over either of the Western Conference teams. but if you told me it's a 25% chance
Starting point is 00:43:46 they could win one of those series, that sounds reasonable to me. I think the Knicks winning the championship, oh, this is going to get cut out in no social media video. I'm fine with it. I think the Knicks winning the championship is the biggest thing left in any sport
Starting point is 00:44:01 other than the Bills, Vikings, or Detroit Lions winning a Super Bowl. And I probably left out another team where their fans are going to get mad at me. But when you think about the Knicks not winning since 73, but the generations of fans and the drought of 20 years.
Starting point is 00:44:21 And there's just so many parallels to me with the Red Sox pre-04. Just the emotion that will come out of that, we cannot, I don't think there's another basketball team that would have it. And there's some that it's unrealistic because like the Sacramento Kings,
Starting point is 00:44:38 as long as they have the current owners, will never win the title. So we can't even be like, Oh, in Sacramento, we'll never know because they're not going to win. Phoenix, a little bit, just because of all their tough losses. But other, I just think the Knicks have the most fans. New York's the biggest city we have. Generations of fans going back to the 50s and grandfathers and great-grandfathers.
Starting point is 00:45:00 And I just think it's the biggest thing we have. Well, look, I mean, outside the arena is already a complete shit show after every game. And I mean that mostly affectionately, but also like leave J.R. Smith alone and leave poor Brian win horse alone this year if he comes to town. It's already insane there. And yeah, I mean, they're the Knicks. I mean, they are an absolutely iconic team. They're in New York's team.
Starting point is 00:45:21 And New York is a big gigantic city. I would throw out like the Timberwolves Vikings twofer in Minnesota would be pretty huge. Well, how about this? Minnesota hasn't won a title of any kind since 91. And I don't even think the twins. I don't even think they've been in the finals in any sports since 91. I'm pretty sure that's true. I mean, my North Star slash wild history is a little muddled.
Starting point is 00:45:46 But the thing is, like, I know there's been a bunch of teams that have had droughts or have never won at all. Like, the Maple Leafs fans are listening to me right now. Like, what about us? So just the Knicks are the biggest city in America. Like, they have the most fans. That's the point is, like, they've had 53 years of just getting their teeth kicked in. And they have just a shitload of fans.
Starting point is 00:46:04 So that's why I would make that argument. Can I give you one more? The Mitch are at 40, by the way. I'm aware. And we beat the Yankees today and comfort. from behind the bottom of the 10th win to take the Subway Series yet again. Can I just throw one other team at you? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:46:19 I am curious to know what modern Atlanta would feel like if they got a team that they really felt like this could be a championship team. Like the Bud Hawks, I think everybody knew they're going to run into the Cleveland Buzzsaw at some point. And this was like a very fun team and a very fun story for like the basketball seat, right? Like, oh, they pass the ball and they do all this cool stuff. with Corver. Like, what if they got a, like, a cool-ass dude? Like, like, Jail and, I mean, Tray Young was, but they didn't, like,
Starting point is 00:46:48 Anthony Edwards? Whatever. Don't, don't do that. Like, University of Georgia, Georgia native, Anthony Edwards. But it had, and had a team where you, like, actually believe that it's, that seems like they would go crazy there. That would be a pretty good one. Hey, listen, lots of teams having one, Indiana, get back there after the Halliburton coming so
Starting point is 00:47:08 close and Halliburton going down, like, that would be another one. but I just think the Nix have the, they've so many fans and some, but you and I, I mean, it's a little less fair for you because you're in the vicinity. I'm in the heartlands. I just know so many Nix and it's like all they want. This is it.
Starting point is 00:47:26 All right. I'm going Nix and five. Okay. This is my pick. I don't know what the odds are. Let's talk Spurs O KC. Oh my God. You were asking me what I thought the most
Starting point is 00:47:43 anticipated series has been since you and I have known each other, which was 2011. I tried to hire you. It didn't work out. And then you finally came to Grantland the next year. And you sent me all these series that you thought were in the running for most anticipated playoff series. Trying to get my headspace back into what it was, what it felt like before those series started.
Starting point is 00:48:07 Yeah. Kirk and I talked about this for a scratch on Tuesday. And I said that I felt like this was the. biggest series in eight years, but I didn't really put a ton of thought into it. And then when you and I were talking about it, I think the weirder thing to me is that we haven't had like a mammoth series like this in eight years. And I don't really know all the reasons for that, because I do think we have a lot of talent in the 2020s. I don't know if it's bad luck or I don't really have an answer. But I know that this is, this feels like the single biggest
Starting point is 00:48:41 series we've had at least since the first Cavs Warriors one. But what would you, what would you go? Like, what was the top five that you landed on? So first of all, my theories as to what you just, the void that you just talked about, I have a few theories. Will you let's hear it? No, let's go. Let's dive into it.
Starting point is 00:48:56 I'm curious. I think the pandemic fucked up like two and a half seasons. They just didn't, not that they don't, don't, don't, do, don't, Lakers fans. I'm not saying that. It just didn't, they didn't, the games didn't feel the same. I'll say it. Well, no, don't be. The games are in a fucking bubble with cardboard.
Starting point is 00:49:11 cutouts of fans. That was insane. And then the next season, there was attendance restrictions all over the league. And then I think the parody, like we've had seven champions in seven years, we just haven't had these like two colossuses who are rising next to each other and meeting in the playoffs over and over again, 60 plus win, just like juggernauts. And now we're going to have that. I'll give you my top five.
Starting point is 00:49:32 I made my top five. Before you give me the top five. Yeah. I have a point off your point. Because I'm glad you brought out the COVID. I think that would have been the best and biggest and most anticipated series. But we didn't get it because COVID would have been Lakers Clippers. First Kauai year, second LeBron year.
Starting point is 00:49:49 They were the two best teams in the league. And we were headed that way. And I remember the weekend before all the COVID shit happened. And I think they might even played that weekend. And it just was clearly, I remember doing a podcast that Sunday. And it was like, this is it, man. We're headed. We've never had the L.A.
Starting point is 00:50:06 versus L.A. collision course. This is fucking happening. Kauai was the reigning finals MVP. LeBron had his fastball back. Like Davis was there. We were heading for it. And it didn't happen. Streetlights over spotlights.
Starting point is 00:50:19 The Clippers had the whole ad campaign that was like, we're the anti-Lakers of L.A. It was great. And it just immediately was over for two plus years. We never had the awesome nuggets kind of, oh my God, Nuggets series either. Probably the closest was that first battle with the Timberwolves when the Timberlaves ended up beating him in game seven.
Starting point is 00:50:40 But there wasn't anticipation for that, like with the Spurs. Yeah. Anyway. The Nuggets are in a bunch, like a bunch of my honorable mention top 20 anticipated series. Like I think Thunder Nuggets last year was like, that was a pretty hot series. But again, it wasn't like, it was earlier. No, you need like, it needs to feel like this is the finals right now.
Starting point is 00:50:58 There's big legacy altering stuff. I have two of, hopefully the two best guys in the league, but at least two of the best three or four. Like, you got to check a lot of. boxes with this, which is what this series does. So what do you got? My top five, I did this from LeBron signing in Miami until now. Top five most anticipated series. I sent you a list. I have like 20 finalists. My top five were, I'll go in reverse order. Number five, Oklahoma City, San Antonio, Western Conference Finals, 2012. It was like the old guys versus the young guys. The Spurs had acquired
Starting point is 00:51:32 D-out at the end of that, like a middle of that season and they were on like a 20-game winning streak going into that series or they killed the quippers killed them they i think they had won 20 straight games after going up 2 o in that series and then the thunder were like oh we're just younger and more athletic and we're actually ready and they just wiped the spurs out for in row so that was number five by the way on that 2012 which was a great basketball season and it was right after the lockout so it was all condensed sped up and there was just a lot of basketball happening And the thing that sucked is we lost Eric Rose at the beginning of that playoffs. But we had Chicago, Miami, Boston on one side.
Starting point is 00:52:11 And then we had this Lob City team that came out of nowhere because Chris Paul ended up on the Quippers. You had this proud Spurs team trying to get their thrown back. You had OKC, you know, ascending. And then you had, there was one more, right? OKC quippers. Now, that's it, those three. So we had six teams. Grit and grind Memphis was like floating.
Starting point is 00:52:32 Yeah, kind of lurking. But yeah, that was a, I thought both of those Thunder series because Heat Thunder in the next round was also really great, but I like the non-finals for this. Okay. I'm with you on that one.
Starting point is 00:52:45 Number four, most anticipated series, Warriors Thunder Western Conference Finals, 2016 ends up being the Clay Thompson game six series. So I had that higher. I had that second on my list. Okay. Because it was 73 and 9.
Starting point is 00:53:01 It felt like it was, was Durant's last. Maybe he was getting out of there. Maybe he was going to Washington. Maybe he was going to Boston. The Golden State buzzed and started, but most people didn't know whether to believe it or not. But it just felt like there was something momentous happening ahead of us. I'm not done with that team that year yet on my list.
Starting point is 00:53:22 Great. Number three, out of a bunch of candidates from this two-year era, the 2014 finals, Heat Spurs, too. I think just the happiest I've ever been covering basketball was being at the back-to-back Heat Spurs finals. Just so many awesome players, awesome storylines, the vengeance storyline in the second one, the one of the 2014 one after the Ray Allen shot the year before broke to Spurs hearts. Heat favored for that series too, which people forget. I think that's the air conditioning game is in that series where the air conditioning goes out. I honorable mention, I just think the Spurs Thunder conference finals
Starting point is 00:54:03 from that year is also awesome. That's my number three. By the way, Clippers, Clippers Thunder that year was awesome too, right? Was that 14? Honorable mention, not so awesome for the Clippers, but honorable mention. The Clippers had quite a dramatic playoff run that year with Donald Sterling happening right before.
Starting point is 00:54:19 Number two, the 2016 NBA finals, 73 win warriors, LeBron and the Cavs, just the rematch after the first one had kind of I re-injured, Kevin Love injured, and it ended up being not quite a fair fight as the Warriors won their first title. And number one, just slightly over that 2018 Western Conference Finals, Warriors versus the Rockets team with Chris Paul and James Hardin, and they switched everything and were built to beat the Warriors. It actually had them on the ropes, the Durant Warriors, the Invincible Warriors that had gone 16 and 1 in the playoffs the year before.
Starting point is 00:54:54 I think that was my number one. It's a great list. So I had five of the six bolded. The one you didn't mention that I think has lost to history and was fucking awesome was Warriors Rockets 2019 when Durant was hurt. And it felt like it was, we were headed toward the end of this Warriors run.
Starting point is 00:55:15 That was awesome. Probably weren't getting Durant back. It was Houston's best chance to take them down. And then Curry had that incredible second half. I think it was game six. what do you have like 30 in the second half? I think it's zero. I think you might have had zero in the first half.
Starting point is 00:55:32 And it's also not just one of my favorite curry games. It's one of my favorite Curry and Draymond together games because they just run the same two-man game on the right side of the floor over and over again down the stretch. But they do six different things out of it in six different possessions. And the rockets just don't even know what the hell hit them. And it's one open shot after another. 18 Western Finals is a great one because it kind of did feel. feel like the finals that LeBron had nobody left on the Cavs that season.
Starting point is 00:56:01 That weird Celtic team that didn't even have Kyrie and Hayward almost made the finals came within a couple of mysteries. A couple of, we had the, like a thousand mysteries. But we also had the Chris Paul, could this be it? And then he gets hurt in game four.
Starting point is 00:56:18 That was an awesome series. For this decade, you wrote down Clippers Mavs 21. Buck's Nets, 21, Nuggets, Suns, 23, Sixers, Celtics, 23, Wolves Nuggets, 24, Nuggets Clips, 25, and Thunder Nuggets 25. The only one, I think, could be in the discussion as Bucks Nets. But I can't remember when the injuries started, but it was Janus coming off two straight MVPs. It was your greatest theoretical team of all time, the Nets. It kind of felt like whoever won that series was making the finals.
Starting point is 00:56:53 And as it turned out, it was the correct assumption because the other series was Hawksixirce, which was the end of Ben Simmons's career as we knew it. But Buck's Nets was, I think we were excited for that. And then the injuries just started coming. Yeah, I was trying to remember trying to put myself back into the space of like, I must have been pretty pumped for that series. COVID was back at that point. It was just that 21 was weird. I don't really remember a ton from 21. And by the way, I now remember as a.
Starting point is 00:57:23 I'm going through the whole list of my honorable mentions. The very first one on my honorable mentions list, chronologically, is the 2011 NBA finals Heat Mavs. And we were talking before about how making the conference finals and losing should not be treated as some catastrophic failure where I have to upend my entire team and pivot in a different direction. And what I forgot to say and now remember to say is that Mavericks team is the quintessential example of that.
Starting point is 00:57:50 Yeah, they tweaked here and there, but they failed in the playoffs over, and over and over again with Dirk, often in high profile ways. And they just took the attitude of it's not that bad to be a 50 to 58 win team every year and just be good and good and good and maybe hit great in the right year where we get the right matchups, the right chemistry, whatever. And maybe we'll win a title. And they won the title. And it's one of the most beloved title teams of the last quarter century of the NBA. They are the poster team for you don't always have to like blow it up or trade three people when you're running into a wall in the country.
Starting point is 00:58:23 conference finals or wherever over and over again. So what are the 22 Warriors, the poster boy of? Because they won the title anyway, even though they should have made trades and they didn't because they were doing the two timelines bullshit. Well, I think they're the poster thing of like if you have a top 12 player
Starting point is 00:58:39 of all time, wherever you think Steph is. And he's in his prime. Just like just keep trying to win. And they did. Basketball was really good from 12 to 14. We just had a lot of good teams and a lot of good players. I think the 2010 Celtic Lakers rematch Dorffs all of these.
Starting point is 00:58:59 I think for a variety of reasons, it also feels like it feels like the end of basketball and the start of this new era of basketball, ironically, in this new decade when the three started to come in and the new Durant moved up and Curry and all of these. LeBron went to Miami. It just feels like basketball shifts as a sport. And that Celtic Lakers series,
Starting point is 00:59:21 incredible anticipation, but also feels like the end of a specific generation at the same time. I remember thinking at the time, and I was not, this is 17 years ago, whatever, 16 years ago, not as well versed in like the early, early history of the NBA as you were than I am now. So you can talk about the 69 finals, whatever. Great. I remember thinking at that time, could you make the argument that this game seven is the biggest game in the history of the NBA? Celtics, Lakers, Lakers trying to close the title gap, Kobe, the big three Celtics going for one last ring when it felt like they should have had another one and never did. And just, I don't think that was a crazy.
Starting point is 01:00:01 I mean, I'm sure we could go back and find other candidates for such a lofty designation, but it had to be up there. Yeah, there's a couple of finals that I think levitate above the rest of them. 2016, it's definitely like that. I mean, that's, you could argue that that might be the biggest one. No, I'm just saying at the time in 2010, I was thinking, is this one game? Obviously, yeah, 2016, that was... No, but I'm saying going into certain series and being like, wow, the stakes just feel higher right now. That's why, like, if we get a game seven in the Spurs Thunder series...
Starting point is 01:00:34 Oh, my God. I think we're going to feel that way, right? Because fun of this, I know Wemby's 22, but I don't care, man. He's 7 foot 7. You got to take a year by year when somebody's got that kind of size. And I just, I'm always nervous about injuries with him. And then OKC, you know, you just never know. It's really hard to just put title seasons together.
Starting point is 01:00:57 It's hard to keep everybody happy. They've done a great job of it. Presti famously. And some of the stuff's starting to come out a little about how he approaches player evaluation and stuff, but really thinks about personality, chemistry, wanting to build these guys that are all going to pull for each other. That's why he sees somebody like Jared McCain, he just grabs him. There's like a certain type of person that he values.
Starting point is 01:01:19 And they probably had the best chance of anyone of having a long, long run with a tail without any disease and more stuff happening. Well, you talk about stakes. Like, Shea just won his second MVP in a row today. It was announced. If he, they go, if they break into. Shams somehow scooped everybody, but was it a scoop? Did we, did anyone think Shea was not winning the MVP? Is there one person?
Starting point is 01:01:46 I'm sure. I don't think it was a surprise, but I'm sure the league and its broadcast partners preferred that to be, or the other broadcast partners preferred that to be out a different way. Yeah, that wasn't great. But if they break the no repeat streak in the NBA now and he wins another finals MVP and they're still pretty young, I mean, like the historical stakes for him and for the Thunder team
Starting point is 01:02:09 are now very big. And they will begin to put, if they win another title and they break the no repeat run, they will begin to put themselves into position with another title, whether it's next, like if they win three out of four or four out of seven or something, they will get into some pretty big historical discussions. And like that starts now.
Starting point is 01:02:30 That starts with like this title and this is the first time. I mean, it feels like they've barely participated in the playoffs. It's been so easy for them. And now we're here. Yeah, back-to-back finals MVP, Jordan, Hakeem, Shaq, Kobe, LeBron, and Durant. That's the entire list. And then back to back, regular season MVP's, Russell Will, Kareem, Moses, Bird, Magic, Jordan, Duncan, Nash, LeBron, Yonis, and Yokich.
Starting point is 01:02:57 The Yonis second MVP, got to re-investigate that one at some point. Well, look, no one reinvestigates an MVP race like you. I mean, you got a whole team under you. I think I voted for Janus, but now it's like when they always talk about that LeBron won enough MVPs, that might have been the shaky one that he should have taken. I think he finished second. I got I'd have to look back. Yeah, I don't know. I remember voting for Yannis both times. So anyway, the, the, the people who have done the back-to-back regular season and finals MVP,
Starting point is 01:03:29 it's not a, not a long list. Also, speaking to MVP, Yokic got second place. He officially top two MVP six straight years, him Bird and Russell. That's the whole list. Wow. I'm surprised. I thought it would be a little closer in the, in the voting than it was. Yeah, 83 first
Starting point is 01:03:47 first placeers for Shea 10 for Joker and 5 for Wembe. So you thought Joker would get more votes? Who'd you think was going to get more votes? I thought Yokic would snag like 10 more first place votes or would just be a little bit less of a route
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Starting point is 01:04:27 One less thing on your plate. Actually, a lot less. Visit staples.ca slash preferred. That was easy. I have a segment I didn't tell you about called Spurs. Okay, C.C. Legacy check. Okay. Well, let's check some legacies out.
Starting point is 01:04:44 just mentioned Shea. He's really going for something unique here with the back-to-back and finals MVP and run MVP. Chet? There's seeds of the wimby feud going really since like 2003. It's like something's here that doesn't seem like there's a lot of love between these two guys.
Starting point is 01:05:08 And now they have a chance to really go at it. I think he's solidified himself. as the second best thunder guy. It's probably the second best defender in the league. Second best center. He's their best chance to maybe nullify Wembe a little bit. I don't know if Wembe can be nullified. It might be impossible.
Starting point is 01:05:28 But there's some fun shed stuff here. He's definitely not the second best center in the NBA. I'm sorry, but I'm sorry, but I'm joking. Yeah, third best center. I mean, this goes back to before, you know, we're even in the NBA, the international basketball scene. There's a lot of, there's a lot of Wembe Chet history. And I'm just going to say, like, just let's see how Jalen Williams looks before.
Starting point is 01:05:50 I mean, it doesn't really matter. They're both awesome. But before we definitively say that Chet has now surpassed him as the second best player in the Thunder, I mean, this was a dude who was like, oh, my God, is he going to steal finals MVP at the last minute here? He's still in the league? Yeah, he's going to play. He's ready. Oh, I forgot what he looked like.
Starting point is 01:06:06 Well, you get ready. He's going to look. You're going to see him again. He was on my legacy list. I wrote Jalen Williams, hyphen. Were you here? I guess he was there. Do you not remember the finals last year?
Starting point is 01:06:24 He was unbelievable. I know. He was awesome. I had him like 12th of my ringer 100. Just like to see him play. Can he play some basketball? Legacy. Sam Presti.
Starting point is 01:06:37 Okay. I think a title, getting by this series and then the next series, I think officially he becomes, one of the great GMs of all time. I think it's just official. You're talking Rback and West and Riley,
Starting point is 01:06:52 Jerry Krause, pick anyone. But to put that whole Durant run together, not have a quite cut there and then do what he did with this decade. He's certainly been the best GM in the league for how many years now? The one that people point to?
Starting point is 01:07:10 Yeah, I mean, 15. I don't know if it's quite that long. It's a very long time. And there's indisputably, he's going to go in the pantheon of the best ever to do it. Yeah. AJ Mitchell, best contract in the league,
Starting point is 01:07:27 bordering on one of the best this century with the way he's playing, making $3 million a year, ridiculous trade bait or keep bait for them. And in my opinion, hold on to your horses, Zach Lowe. Yeah. The single most important thunder player in this series.
Starting point is 01:07:43 Thunderer? Single most important thunderer for this reason. The spurs are going to go small and do that three-guard thing and try to do speed and unleash their pit bulls. And they need Mitchell to be really good. They need him to be as good as he was the last two rounds. They're going to have to play lineups with him and SGA together and a defender and might even have to go a little smaller.
Starting point is 01:08:05 He's just going to have to be good. He's going to have to do what he's done. And we haven't seen him do it at this level. We've seen him do it in the regular season. We've seen him do it against in series where they were much better than the other team. this is a whole other level. So we're going to find out. I love that you brought him up, and I think you did for exactly the right reasons.
Starting point is 01:08:23 I think it's very much worth noting that he missed three out of the five games the teams played this year and you felt his absence in the games he wasn't there. Just the secondary ball. The more ball handling, I mean, the Spurs secret sauce against the Thunder was we have a ton of ball handling and enough that we can, A, get into the pain against your defense and, B, not collapse in a hail of turnovers because we have reliable guards. and that's what you feast on. But the Thunder can play similar lineups
Starting point is 01:08:49 now that A.J. Mitchell has become A.J. Mitchell to this degree. And I think we're going to see, like, I've been waiting for the Thunder Death lineup all year, and we've barely seen it. And it's Shea, A.J. Mitchell, Caruso, J.lyn Williams, Chet Hongren at the end of some games or in crunch time of some games. We've had glimpses of it. One of the glimpses was in one of the Spurs games.
Starting point is 01:09:09 I was rewatching all of it. I think that's an awesome lineup that if we see everyone healthy, we'll see a little bit more of it, hopefully, in this series than we've seen. What's the lineup again? Shea, Mitchell, Jalen Williams, Caruso, Chet. It's like, I want to close, can I close games with that? So I have enough defense with Caruso and Chet, but I have a little more offense than three, say, AJ in the dort spot.
Starting point is 01:09:32 Three super dynamic ball handlers in Mitchell, Shea and J-dub. And just, I just think, it's like, look, there's no dors, so you lose a little heft, right? And there's no, uh, Kason Wallace who's sort of your defensive ace in the hole at all times, but just something to watch for. Because the other thing with the spurs is, this is a fun series for them because they can play the Wembe
Starting point is 01:09:52 with smaller guys lineup. They can play them with three guards and a swing, you know, play them with three and a half guards, whatever they want. And it's not like, okay, so we're like,
Starting point is 01:10:03 okay, we're going big and you're making it, they're just not going to be able to do it. So I do think the guards versus guards thing, which was a huge advantage for a sanity. Antonio. O'KC has the guards. So I have Mitchell. Alex Caruso, role player hall fame is like in reach now for him. Absolutely.
Starting point is 01:10:19 This would be three titles for him. I think they really need him in this series specifically because I want to see. Who do you think guards Harper for them? I mean, I think it's going to all of these are just going to be a combination of tons of different people, depending on who else is in the game for the Spurs. Let's say end of the game, they go Fox Harper. Castle, Bissell, and Wembe. I mean, they rarely play that.
Starting point is 01:10:47 The Spurs rarely put all three of the guards on the floor together. It just hasn't happened very much this year. But sure, we can, we can. They were doing a little more in the playoffs, though. Just a little, but not very much, because Champany plays a ton. Kelden Johnson plays a ton. Yeah. And, yeah, but so, and like, well, this is the, I mean, this is the interesting chess match of the series.
Starting point is 01:11:07 It's right. Like, I think we would, the Thunder are awesome in any confit. configuration. And we have not seen hardly any of Hartenstein and Holmgren together against the Spurs with Wembe on the floor. So those two, the double big, the best double big they have. You've got to play shooters. They've only played 33 minutes against the Spurs in five games. It was really only in three games. And if you go back and watch, a lot of them were against Cornette and Harrison Barnes because Wembe came off the bench in two of the games that they played. And so they start and Wembe comes in. Like when it's Wemby,
Starting point is 01:11:41 is the only big man on the floor for the spurs. And Chet is the only big man on the floor for the Thunder. I just think the chess match that's going to evolve over the course of the series is going to be fascinating. Starting with, do they guard each other? And if so, how often? Because the Thunder have put Chet on Harrison Barnes, Kelvin Johnson, basically not Wembe. And the Spurs have kind of toggled between Wembe.
Starting point is 01:12:04 Sure, you can guard Chet, you can guard anybody. But we like you have, like, guard Caruso and Rove, guard Dort and Rove. I just think that chess match is going to be super interesting. And will dart guard Wemby? Is that something that will happen? Dort guarded Fox a lot.
Starting point is 01:12:20 So their base alignment when it was one big versus one big, if they had one that was used the most frequently, it was like Dort on Fox and Jalen Williams on Wembe Nama to switch that pick and roll and they would have the bigs elsewhere
Starting point is 01:12:33 on the floor. But Dort will guard Wemby some. Caruso guarded Wembe some. They'll throw everybody. They'll put Hartinstein on I'm now and then, like, particularly I think when the starters are against the starters. It's just going to be super interesting to see who guards who. It's going to be, I'd love to know how many people, OKC is going to actually settle on as the series goes along.
Starting point is 01:12:54 Because they were basically playing 10 and sometimes even 11 in the last two rounds. But I think that gets narrowed down. I think they probably end up at 9 would be my guess, right? That's usually what it is. I'll tell you, I can't tell if it was because. OKC was, you know, like AJ Mitchell was out for a bunch of games, three of the games, as I mentioned, but like a guy that saw a lot of the floor against the Spurs in the regular season games,
Starting point is 01:13:22 and he was not played hardly at all in the playoffs, is Kenrich Williams. And I do wonder if he's someone that they look at as, do we try him at the five a little bit, or we like his shooting at the four next to Chet, he guarded Wembe a bit. I wonder if he's a guy that is going to get a shot to play a little bit in the series. Wemby, I have for Legacy, as this would be the single craziest sense since 1977 Bill Walton.
Starting point is 01:13:49 Pretty much. If you're just like, hey, I'm going to actually win four straight series and take the title here at age 22. Harper is definitely moving into that 1981, McHale, 83-worthy, 88-pippin, 2003 Manu and Tony, where this is just a guy
Starting point is 01:14:08 at the beginning of his career who is also a huge chess piece. And it's somebody that I genuinely think he has a chance to be a Hall of Fame, like top 50 guard. There's a... House and I were talking about the other day. Like, I was there when young Jason Kidd
Starting point is 01:14:25 showed up and, you know, some of the best guards of the last 40 years I've seen the beginning of stages. I just think he has it. Like, I would bet anything. I don't think that's a daring bet. He absolutely has it. He's going to be a star.
Starting point is 01:14:37 There's a world in which this was a popular. debate question as meet and everyone at the combine was best player from that draft in five years and ten years. Is it automatically Cooper or is it Harper? Can't say automatic anything. No, I think people would defer to the size that Cooper has, but I think Harper being the best player underdraft is in play. And by the way, all the love Harper's getting is incredible.
Starting point is 01:14:59 Like, he's incredible in the Genobley comparisons. They're lefties. They come off the bench. Gnobli's mentoring him. It's an amazing story. He has totally stepped up in the playoffs. Steph Castle is averaging 26. and five on 49% shooting and 44% on three.
Starting point is 01:15:14 And just being a gigantic pain in the ass to everyone at every position on defense. And he's going to guard SGA a lot. And like, I just can't, I just can't wait for that. What a show that's going to be. I had Castle as the next legacy guy. I wrote down horrific haunting of the 2024 top three draft. Oh, my God. It's just horrific at this point.
Starting point is 01:15:34 The Reed Shepherd stuff. I mean, for teams that have them first. But, but, but. For teams that have massively high stakes, like, are ready to win big right now, the Rockets and the Spurs. The Spurs didn't quite know that they were going to be ready this fast. Like, that's a huge sliding doors moment in like the coming history of the West. Brutal. Cornet and Barnes.
Starting point is 01:15:55 I was going to say, when are we going to get to Cornett's second title? When is that coming up? How about Barnes? Well, but you. Okay. Darren Fox escaped from Sacramento. This guy was playing on the VIII. Vivek Radov,
Starting point is 01:16:10 Kings 18 months ago, and now is in the best series in 10 years? I just watched the jailbreak, the jailblazers documentary on Netflix. Escape from Sacramento sounds like the next Netflix or Amazon basketball mini-doc. Mitch Johnson versus Dagnall, the most boring great coach matchup in NBA history? Sure.
Starting point is 01:16:33 Can anyone name three things about either of these guys? Mitch Johnson went to Stanford and Mark Dagnall. Coach the Tolstor, Massachusetts. Levinson, Massachusetts, I know that. Mitch Johnson, son of John Johnson. Yeah. NBA champ, Seattle, ended up on the Celtics in 1976, and something got screwed up. And I can't remember what happened.
Starting point is 01:16:54 The trade got voided or the signing, something weird. And they actually had to trade him again to Seattle. But during that brief time, looked at my mom and dad's condo, came into the condo because we were selling the condo, moving to another house. And John Johnson, new member of the Celtic, walked through the condo and six-year-old me almost had a heart attack or seven-year-old me, however old that was. What a, what a... That's my most exciting Mitch Johnson story for you.
Starting point is 01:17:20 That's a lot of information about Mitch Johnson's dad. How long could somebody spend with Mitch Johnson and Dagnall together drinking beers before something fun would happen? Two hours? No, I bet not that long. Because the Levenster's going to come out of Dagnod at some point. Everyone gets a couple people, a couple beers in it becomes a four. fun time. One of my college roommates was from Lemmester, Chuck La Pasta. La Pasta? Chuck La Pasta.
Starting point is 01:17:46 Shout out, Chuck. And then last one for me for Legacy Check, Adam Silver. Okay. The Spurs Nick series is sitting right there. This is your biggest rating series since 2016. Wembe versus the Knicks. Pull some strings. Remember when the Spurs were the boring killers of ratings, even when they were like, Yeah, not anymore. Immaculate. Yeah, basketball team. And now they have freaking, like, nobody can take their eyes off this dude.
Starting point is 01:18:15 People who know nothing about the NBA are asking about him and watching these games. And by the way, we've barely scratched the surface on just how awesome this series could be. I mean, we were texting, like, I looked it up because I'm like, man, the Spurs, every loss they've had in the playoffs has been like when B got a concussion,
Starting point is 01:18:33 when we didn't play. No, they have three aster's losses. Yeah. When we got ejected. And I looked it up in the last, since February, first. And look, everything says the thunder should win, right? It's experience versus youth. The Spurs haven't taken their lumps, back-to-back champs, number one seed, all of that stuff. And their record's incredible. And it's absolutely terrifying to not pick the Spurs because since February
Starting point is 01:18:55 1st, the Spurs are 37 and three playoffs in regular season when Wemby plays at least 15 minutes in a game. 37 and three in half a season. They just don't lose when he plays a real game. They don't lose any games anymore. Feels like they're just up 20 all the time, but you could say the same about OKC. Yeah. I'm picking the spurs. Okay.
Starting point is 01:19:19 They are, what is their, what are the odds for this right now? Let's see. So they are plus 220 for the series. I'm taking it. I would do spurs in 5, 50 to 1, or spurs in six plus $5.50 for value. These are bets.
Starting point is 01:19:41 Are you just picking them to win the series? No, I'm picking the spurs to win. I'm just saying the value I like are those two. I think asking the spurs to win a game seven with how young their team is in OKC's a little ambitious. I think it has to be in six. I like. Van Gundy mentioned it today.
Starting point is 01:19:58 It's a great point. I thought Van Gundy's been really good the whole playoff. Shout out to him. Two-man booth clearly his destiny for broadcasting. Three man didn't like him. Man, great. Made a great point about the rustiness thing.
Starting point is 01:20:12 We see this every year. We always forget. The team that's been playing and is in the groove and, you know, can just go from one series, they always have an advantage in game one over the team that hasn't played. So I think the Spurs, I really think they actually have to win game one to win the series. As goofy as that sounds. And I think they are going to win game one. And so that one.
Starting point is 01:20:37 on Fandall. Spurs to win game one in the series is plus 450. So I like that bet too. But I think the spurs are going to win, Zach. I just think they've caught lightning in a bottle and this feels like 77 Blazers to me. I'm tired of thinking about the teams from the past and how you got to learn and take your lumps. And I just don't think it matters. They have a seven foot seven guy who's out of control and a bunch of pit bulls. And they absolutely struck oil with this Dylan Harper thing. Like this is to get those three guys and back to back drafts. This is the kind of fluke you need to win a title and your best guys are 22, 21 and 20. And I think it's going to, I think they're going to win. I said it on Christmas. The Spurs can
Starting point is 01:21:17 win the championship. And they absolutely can win the championship. Oh, and I forgot one more thing in my pick. Okay. The Jalen Williams thing is, I know he's going to be back and they feel good about it, but I think it's a weird variable to introduce into the biggest series of the year. And I don't think it's going to be seamless. And I do think OKC is too many guys. I don't know about all the roles with all those guys. And they can, I know they have great chemistry and all that stuff, but I don't even think they know who their best five to seven guys are. Whereas I think San Antonio knows. I think they know exactly who they are, what lineups work and don't work for them. And I just think they're going to win. These are all great reasons to pick dispersed. You don't even need great reasons to pick the spurs.
Starting point is 01:22:04 they won 60 whatever games, 37 and 3 in their last 40 games when Wembe plays more than 15 minutes. I mean, it's an unimpeachable pick. They can absolutely win the title. I'm going to pick the Thunder in seven. I respect it.
Starting point is 01:22:17 The Jalen Williams thing is not a worry to me other than is he going to get re-injured again. I think he probably could have come back earlier had they felt any kind of pressure at all from either the sons of the Lakers and they got to sit them out for a long time. I do I still will like defer a little bit to the experience factor and having been through these moments of like big total stress although the spurs seem completely carefree to the point
Starting point is 01:22:44 that Wembe was like yeah I'll kick a game by elbowing Nas read in the head like I don't really care we'll lose this one we're gonna be fine I just want to elbow Nause read in the head because I'm fucking annoyed at everything yeah and I look they have a look thunder got a lot of guys I they have a ton of continuity so I don't think in reintroducing j-dub is going to be that big of a deal. And they're just going to have to make some decisions. Maybe it's a big versus small decision. Maybe it's like not an Isaiah,
Starting point is 01:23:08 Isaiah Joe series. Maybe it's whatever. They've already done it with Aaron Wiggins too. And whatever 37 and 3 you can make, there's a similar record sitting out there for Oklahoma City and it's last like 40 games with Shea or something like that. It's scary. This is a,
Starting point is 01:23:24 what the Spurs did to them in the regular season was legit. I went back and watched all the film. You can definitely see Shea looking, uncomfortable looking like this is my pet this is my pet jump shot this is a pet move i do every game and i don't have it anywhere but the guy on me is a pretty good defender and like i see that the giant arm there and i know he can jump really far and get to and like you would see him pull out of shots that he makes in his sweep but i think i look these are two awesome teams i think Oklahoma City has home court advantage, their more experience.
Starting point is 01:23:59 And I do think they probably have a little bit of an extra gear that they've been waiting and saving in reserve for a series like this. So I'm going to defer to the champs and pick Thunder and Seven. And my second, as long as we're being full disclosure, my second backup pick would be Thunder and Six. Like this is not a case where I'm picking Thunder and Seven, but I kind of don't, it's wishy-washy and it's 50-50. I'm picking the Thunder to win the series.
Starting point is 01:24:23 So I think I would go Thunder and Seven, Thunder and Six, maybe Spurs and Z. six is the third most likely outcome, but I'm going thunder. We both agree long series. Six games is plus 210 on Fando and plus 220 is seven games. And that's another way to do. You can just bet both. What sweep plus 1,200 or something like that? Oh, my God.
Starting point is 01:24:45 Spurs sweep is 25 to 1. Thunder sweep is plus 550. I just don't see it. That's a little lower than I would have expected. OKC and five is plus. 290. OkC and 6 is plus 470. It's pretty strong, actually. Can I just give Mitch, can I just give Mitch Johnson a little love for this?
Starting point is 01:25:09 Yeah. I mentioned how like the teams have obviously all season gone back and forth with putting their, their centers not on Webby, and Oklahoma City has done that quite a bit. And Castle is now like the guy that they try to do this with. And Castle has just been like, you think this works? Like, this isn't going to work. How about I just shoot 45% of three? And when I'm not doing that, how about I just barrel to the rim with all the space you're giving me?
Starting point is 01:25:35 And I'll score 32 points in an elimination game. But he's been the guy that like clinging guarded Castle and on and on. Midseason, moving Harrison Barnes to the bench in favor of Julian Champany. I mean, it's one of the most important midseason adjustments that coach has made in a long time. It completely changed the spurs. because Harrison Barnes was the safest guy to put your center on. And Mitch Johnson had to go to Harrison Barnes, who was having a nice year and making a ton of corner threes,
Starting point is 01:26:03 but starting to slow down, be like, hey, man, and is a bigger, better defender than Julian Champany, bigger for sure, better in certain situations and say, we're going to start this unproved,
Starting point is 01:26:14 like relatively unproven shooter over you, because we just have to maximize Wembe, and you're too safe of a hiding spot for these other centers. They can roam off you. They don't have to. guard him. And our goal just has to be, we're going to make it as hard as possible for you to finagle the matchups with where your center is on the floor. And like, it's Julian Champany. It's not like some 10 year veteran with a track record. And Harrison Barnes ate it and he took it and you remain
Starting point is 01:26:42 productive. And now he's barely playing because that's what happens in the playoffs. And it worked. And it was like not a gutsy move, but it was like a, it was a big like seismic shift in how the spurs are guarded, I think. It's a good one. Minnesota quick. This is another thing for my San Antonio case. I think Minnesota was really good. And I think San Antonio just kind of broke them as a series went along.
Starting point is 01:27:08 Specifically Randall, who just his brain broke during that series. It's a rough playoff. Edwards wasn't 100%. They used some stuff against Minnesota. You know, obviously they were lying on Conley a little too much. Gobert was eradicated in that series. But I actually thought it was a more impressive six game win because they really should have just swept them.
Starting point is 01:27:34 You know, when it gets kicked out of the one game, I don't know. That game one looking back, like they, if Champagne just hits the three, maybe they win that. But I really like that Minnesota team, which brings me to a what do you do with them? Minnesota
Starting point is 01:27:52 Randall has 36 this year or this upcoming year in 33 the next year Gobert is 36 and 38 they asked up to figure out IAO and DiFincenzo is 12.5 expiring next year. I don't think Edwards or McDaniels goes anywhere.
Starting point is 01:28:08 Do you buy anything that this team got a little screwed up holistically when everybody was getting shot for three minutes there when they thought they had a chance to get Janus? Not really because you didn't hear a lot of that when they were kicking the shit out of the nuggets in the first round
Starting point is 01:28:23 It wasn't a problem then against a team with One of the two or three best players minimum two best players in the world And when you lose then it becomes a problem all of a sudden But against that team was a problem What's a problem is Julius Randall's been in the playoffs Four times in his career And three of them have been complete disasters And one of them last year was
Starting point is 01:28:46 we thought, okay, got over the playoff hump after just, I think he came into last year shooting like 30% for his career in the playoffs and had a great playoffs, and he reverted right back to what he had been in the first two runs of the playoffs. That was, is that because of the trade stuff? I don't really,
Starting point is 01:29:02 I don't really buy that. I think what really submarine them was, Antie Edwards was 100%, Iowa was 100%, Devenzo, Torres Achilles, and they stopped playing Bones Highland. Like, they just kind of ran out of guys. And then Gober had four points combined, in the last two games of the series.
Starting point is 01:29:17 I think it's a good showing for them with all that injury stuff to take two out of the spurs. I think is a perfectly fine showing. It doesn't feel good. So they can they can put together Randall and DeFincenzo's expiring. He's not going to play next year. If he plays, it won't be back until April. And you could take back somebody else's big money problem if you want.
Starting point is 01:29:38 Okay. Like you could be like, all right, we'll take Zach Levine's last year. Why is that? Why? What is that doing for me? I'm just pointing out they could put those contracts together. If they wanted to change something, they can think about something like that. Somebody's big expiring, which would give them more trade flexibility in December, January, February, maybe than what they have.
Starting point is 01:30:07 I don't know what you do about Gobert after that Spurs series. And who knows? It might be a get over the hump thing. like we talked about earlier where they had their run and this is kind of where they are. And now they're clearly just going to be behind San Antonio and OKC for the rest of the decade. And that's where we are. You know what though? Again, like this is a franchise that from the last couple years of Garnett to the one Jimmy Butler year just sucked, sucked continuously and sucked in every possible fashion.
Starting point is 01:30:38 I mean, like a little flirting with like we're all, we're 500 with Ricky Rubio and Kevin Love. We're like a fun team to watch, Nicole Lepecovic, but like they just weren't good. they did nothing in the playoffs. They had the one Butler year they lose in the first round. Bad injury luck with Rubio, bad injury luck without Jefferson. And just like everything goes wrong. And then the Butler thing goes haywire.
Starting point is 01:30:56 And then you're back to not quite to square one, but back to like we've got to figure out what the hell we're doing with this team. And now you've been in two straight conference finals in a conference semifinal where you win two games off Victor Wemidama. Like this is just indisputably an awesome three years for the Minnesota. Like all of their fans should are elated by everything that's happened. With all that said, you can't bring Randall back.
Starting point is 01:31:15 what are you going to do? You have to figure out how to trade him for somebody else. Well, this was always the mystery of like, they're in Anyanus. They're in Anyanus. They're in one of the teams that's like in, in last 72 hours still in contact with Milwaukee. And I never got how that was going to happen because they don't have any, they have very minimal to know first round picks to trade. I never believed it. I never understood how they were getting them.
Starting point is 01:31:41 But I believe. But McDaniels would have had to have been in the trade for them. to have any sort of assets to then give up for Janus, I think. Well, yeah, I don't know. Again, I don't know how, but yes, if there's a person on their team who's getting you multiple good first round picks, that's who it is. And, you know, I just don't know how they're going to do it. But if they were trying then, they'll surely try again.
Starting point is 01:32:04 From the pitch to the stands, to communities around the world. The beautiful game is coming to our beautiful country, uniting fans around a shared passion. Now you have the opportunity to hold this chapter of Canadian soccer history in the palm of your hands. Score the FIFA World Cup 2026 one dollar coin today. Look forward in your change. God, I hate bringing this up. Can we talk about Janus's trade value for a second? This is your favorite, one of your favorite topics.
Starting point is 01:32:45 So go ahead. Well, we're going to be talking about it for the next four to five weeks. He was in the news this week because Miles Turner gave him. that interview talking about. That was... I was pretty... I have no problem saying this because he's not going to be on my team next year.
Starting point is 01:33:00 So here's some tea. I'm going to spill. Or it's just like, hey, man, they paid me $25 million a year where I didn't have a lot of other options. I'm just happy as a clam. This is all great for me.
Starting point is 01:33:12 I know. He's stunk this year, though. I can't really find the team for Janus. I thought this was going to be a lot easier. Last year, if we were doing this a year ago, I think we had multiple suitors. And just kind of talking to people and hearing from different people about this, I'm really surprised how lukewarm the market is for him. I don't think people feel like this is a home run.
Starting point is 01:33:37 This will change my franchise. I will now have a chance to win the title. It was telling that San Antonio and OKC wanted no part of them when they had the most assets. it seems to me that the team that would trade for Janus would be a team that needs to take a little bit of a Hail Marrier as a really short window. And that rules out a lot of teams. You know, my dad and I have kind of landed. We hope it's not the Celtics.
Starting point is 01:34:04 That's where I've landed after looking at this from every direction. I don't know. Simmons, colon, awful announcing tomorrow, Simmons, Colin. I don't want Janus in Boston. Get that guy fucking. it out of here. I don't know. I went through all the stuff, what,
Starting point is 01:34:20 two months ago about the year 14 and after big guys and how how kind of creepy the stats were and how few guys even were able to put up 2010s and the injury history hit in the last five years. It just doesn't, something's
Starting point is 01:34:35 just telling me to stay away. And I know some teams will talk themselves into it, but I just don't know what he's worth. I don't, I can't figure it out. So what of your, as you talk to people in the league. What are you hearing? So I mentioned this last week when I got back from the combine that the thing comes out from Shams that the bucks are quote open for business, which you already knew that they're going to be open for business. Jimmy Haslam came out and said,
Starting point is 01:34:59 we're going to be open for business. We wanted to do it before the draft if we're not going to sign him or if he's not going to sign, whatever. And it just like there's a, it's an interesting paradox because there's a general, I mean, everyone was in Chicago. I saw a million people. Yeah. There's a, There's a general assumption that he will get traded because that's just what happens, right? Like when the toothpaste is far out of the tube. Yeah. And yet no one can really identify the team that fits the right package of like we have stuff, a lot of stuff that's going to entice Milwaukee, and we're going to be good enough to justify
Starting point is 01:35:34 it sending out all that stuff when Yonis is here. And I said this. I had met up with a very high-powered agent who knows things and we were just shooting the shit. And I said, so what's your, what's your bet on Yanis? And he said, you know, I'm, I'm just, I'm going no trade. I'm in the contrarian zone. I think I'm going no trade. I think he's going to be on the bucks.
Starting point is 01:35:55 And I was like, really? Why? He's like, I just don't know what the team is. Who's the team? Go through all the teams, find the team. And it was like a fairly convincing argument that I still, but didn't sway me. Like, I think he's going to get traded still. And that's why I said after all that, if I just had to bet, if you made me like pick a team
Starting point is 01:36:13 that is, if I had just. just had to guess if he's traded, whereas he traded, I would put Miami as my number one guest team because they fit the Hail Mary thing you just said, because they have just enough stuff that if they threw it all together, the bucks could sell it as like, hey, we got, we got a lot. And maybe we can reflip this one guy we got and get another thing. But I don't feel great about that package, whatever it is, if I'm Milwaukee. Portland would be the other team, and I don't even know if you'd want to go there. The other stuff, at least he's not a two-way player
Starting point is 01:36:45 so he can travel to all the games. Right, true. I think he's fixing that, though, Dundon. He went on game over with Richard Max and said, he thought it was more like hockey. I saw that. I didn't realize all the players went to the games. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:37:01 Well, he learned. He learned a valuable lesson. Some of that stuff we keep hearing, everybody seems terrified about the injury history and the miles on the body, right, using almost like a running-backer. in football or a car that has a ton of miles on it that's gone cross-country. Just wondering if I get Janus, how many years left am I actually getting?
Starting point is 01:37:22 There's also the stylistic thing. If you already have a best player in your team, how is that person going to fit with Janus, a guy who likes to have the ball, who likes to be at top of the key? How does that fit with somebody like Jason Tatum? Right. And then, you know, I think everybody loves Janus, the guy. I think everybody thinks he's a great guy. But there's some stuff that comes with Janus, right?
Starting point is 01:37:48 He's got multiple agents. He's got the two brothers. He's been the superstar in his own team now for 11, 12 years, probably used accustomed to certain treatments. And it's just, it's risky to bring somebody in like that. We've seen it not work in the NBA where it's like, I'm a big star, I'm walking in. This is now my new team.
Starting point is 01:38:11 and sometimes it doesn't work great. Even when Dame came to Milwaukee, it was Rocky there for a year. It was a similar situation. So I think we're both looking at the same team and the same kind of Hail Mary situation. Would you say you still expect him to be traded, though? I do.
Starting point is 01:38:32 I do too. Because here's what I think has changed. I think it's become acrimonious with him and the GM. I think him not playing at the end. to last year. I don't think it's on good terms. Well, look, I... I mean, the Miles Turner stuff got kind of a chuckle from people, but... That was real shit, man. He was basically saying the dude was never on time, ever, without
Starting point is 01:38:57 saying who it was, but we knew who he was talking about. And, like, I mean, I didn't realize, did he not say who it was? Did he not, did he just say it's the best player or whatever? Yeah, there was some dancing around, but you could tell who he was talking about. I mean, that's, and he certainly wasn't kind to Doc either. That kind of stuff annoys, whoever it is, annoys players. Like, I've heard stories about we had to hold the plane because this guy was late and everyone's grumbling because they have dinner plans when they get to the city or like the guy,
Starting point is 01:39:24 the guy was late for his massage table appointment and it like created this whole backup that ruined everybody's days. And when the guy, if it, if he's talking about it honest, like when the, you just, if you're the best guy on the team and you're the franchise guy, you can't do. That stuff is not acceptable for someone. You have to be the other way. You have to be the guy who sets the standard for the rest of the team. There's one other team that I think we have to mention,
Starting point is 01:39:48 and it ties into another theme that I've been wondering about, if there's going to be punishment against the clippers, should they be moving fast right now and trying to trade their picks in case they're worried that they might have taken away? And if you're going to do that, like, do you just, could you just trade the number five pick for Janus right now? And just we're trying to win a title with Kauai and Yanis and Garland. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:40:15 I think they would have the cab space to do it. They could put a couple expirings there to make it to make it work and basically try to jumpstart if they feel like a punishment's coming because I think the feeling is we're going to have a verdict pretty soon. That would shock me if only because, I mean, I was there when it happened and I saw other people like they just feel like they got a new lease on life with this pick. I mean, just the new, that it completely changed everything about their franchise. And it would just absolutely blow me away.
Starting point is 01:40:46 So who are the other Hail Mary teams then? I guess you could say if Cleveland gets annihilated by the Knicks, maybe they're in that zone. That's what I was saying. Would you trade Mowgli for Yonis straight up at this point with the injury history? Because I don't think I would. I'd be. I don't think that's a smart move. It'd be, I don't know if I would do it honestly.
Starting point is 01:41:05 But if like a couple of years of. Mitchell plus Janice is interesting. Yeah, you're short here two-year. Yeah, that's like a classic two-year window. Yeah. I'd be very nervous to do that. So, yeah, how the playoffs play out is a big part of it, right? We haven't mentioned Houston.
Starting point is 01:41:23 And then you have the other kind of older Hail Mary teams who may not have enough to get it done like the Lakers and the Warriors and teams like that, right? But who else? That's it. That's it. Rockets, I mean, would you trade Schengun and another contract for Janus and throw some picks in? I don't know if I would do that. The only other one I could think of is Brooklyn.
Starting point is 01:41:44 I do not, as we said before, I don't think they're keeping their six pick. And is it like a two-part move where move one is Janus, move two is something else. And you go in on two stars and now you're in the mix and the east. Well, that's the thing with Brooklyn is like they've been floating around the rumor mill like this with Janus for a long time. And the question has always been like, who is Janus going there to play with? And given his age and his injury history, you don't get a year to be like, we'll find another guy. Like that year, you have to have your team ready to compete at the highest possible level. The six pick is super interesting.
Starting point is 01:42:16 Like, I haven't heard a lot of buzz about the nets and the six pick yet, but they're just in the range where everybody's a guard, and they just drafted a million guards. And not all of them are, like your guy Burry is not a point guard, so maybe he would fit there. But it is an interesting place for them to land. He can't. A-Cuff or Wago has to be six.
Starting point is 01:42:34 They just have the most value, and they don't need either of those guys. I also think all the things, All the intel I've gotten is that they don't want to have another rebuilding year. Like they want to be good. They're tired of this. And the Nets are in a weird spot. The Sive family, who I think everybody thinks are great owners and it's like a first-class team, they have this awesome WMBA team situation where they sell out.
Starting point is 01:42:55 People love it. There's real energy in the arena. And then they have this Nets team that's just punted. And they're playing in the same city as a team that's about to make the finals, barring something crazy happening. So I don't see how they don't try to. I had someone make the best possible pitch to me about the Nets at the sixth pick. And he was just, I don't even remember who it was.
Starting point is 01:43:13 There was a front-off guy on another team. He was just, he didn't know anything of concrete. He was just saying, this is what they should do. He was like, I don't even care who they took in the last draft. They should take A-Cuff because he would just be like the ultimate draw. Like the hipsters would be like this kind of is a cool undersized guy who does cool stuff. Like he would just fit what they just give him a buzz, give him some hipster like street cred. like he was just like
Starting point is 01:43:37 fuck all the guys they just picked maybe they'll develop, maybe they won't, they should take A-Cuff no matter what if he's still there. I agree with that. Because he has real Kyrie potential and you have to investigate it. But yeah, so if we're talking,
Starting point is 01:43:50 you know, the draft still five weeks away, but I do feel like we're in range now. It's May 17th. The draft is in five weeks. And I think some trade stuff is starting. For sure. The Celtics are certainly looking at it.
Starting point is 01:44:03 I think the Celtics whatever, I've talked about this, but whatever they decided to do with Jalen, I think would be, I don't think it's a Yonis move. I think it's more of a, can we get two pieces for Jalen, some salary cap relief,
Starting point is 01:44:17 and maybe somebody that makes less money than him two years from now type of thing. But I would say they're way more likely to keep him than trade him. I do think it's more likely that he's on the team next year than not. Yeah, I don't, I don't know anything more than that, so we'll see.
Starting point is 01:44:36 It's a weird situation. It's past midnight, your time, and you have to get up early tomorrow, so we have to go. Anything else? We cover everything? I think we covered everything. What was the best thing you heard in Chicago that you didn't talk about on your podcast? Oh, God. I talked about a lot of it on my podcast.
Starting point is 01:44:52 It seemed like a lot of people were there. It was crowded. It was everyone's always there. It's like Vegas, but in a shorter period of time and in a normal city. And not Vegas, which I do like Vegas. a lot, actually. But I'll have to think about that. I have nothing. All right. So we have, we have, we have, we have the Spurs. You have OKC. And we both have Nix. Yeah. Okay. Thanks to Ghala and Eduardo. Thanks to Zach Lowe as well.
Starting point is 01:45:21 Don't forget new rewatchables for me tomorrow. Borat. Very nice. A really fun one. And then I'll be back on Tuesday night. Zach's going to have a new podcast on Tuesday morning. after game one, Spurs, Thunder, which should be an all-timer. It's great to see you as always. It's going to be a blast. Thanks for having me. Must be 21 plus in President Select States
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