The Bill Simmons Podcast - Best QB Arguments, Million-Dollar Picks and Malik Monk | With Benjamin Solak, Steven Ruiz, and Peter Schrager
Episode Date: December 16, 2022The Ringer's Bill Simmons is joined by Benjamin Solak and Steven Ruiz to discuss Tua Tagovailoa's season, Steven's QB rankings, Joe Burrow, Jalen Hurts, favorite Week-15 matchups, and more (2:36). The...n Bill talks with Peter Schrager of NFL Network and Fox Sports about the large number of free agent QBs next season, some upcoming NFL matchups (including Falcons-Saints, Titans-Chargers, Jaguars-Cowboys), and more (25:56). Next, Bill gives out the Million-Dollar Picks for NFL Week 15 (45:39), before talking with Kings shooting guard Malik Monk about his basketball journey, his time at Kentucky, landing on the Kings after playing in Charlotte and Los Angeles, the wide open Western Conference, and more (1:25:33). Host: Bill Simmons Guests: Malik Monk, Peter Schrager, Benjamin Solak, and Steven Ruiz Producer: Kyle Crichton Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Action-packed pod.
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First, our friends from ProJet. All right, taping this a little after lunchtime Pacific time.
Ben Solak is here, as always, on Thursday.
The Take Lord, Stephen Ruiz, is here as well.
I like the new nickname.
Yeah, it's good.
I just came up with it right now.
You've been doing QB rankings for us every week on The Ringer.
And you're also on The Ringer NFL show, a bunch of things.
I want to talk about QBs to start with.
It's been a topsy-turvy year for a guy named Tua,
who I think if you made the YouTube video of his throws this year
that were almost intercepted.
How many throws would be on that clip?
I'd say at least, I think it's getting close to 20.
You said 20 earlier in the week.
I don't think it's quite there yet because you missed some time.
Like 18?
It's definitely double digits at this point.
Because he threw a couple against the Chargers.
18, Ben?
Yeah, I mean.
Did you go higher?
Let's see.
We had at least like four in the Steelers game.
So if you just assume there's an average of like two per game,
yeah, we're looking at double digits.
There was at least three in the first Pats game.
He's also like, I think he might lead the league
in two defenders colliding into each other
who both thought they were going to get the pick.
Those ones, which that's a specialist skibby.
But on the other hand, he's thrown like 20 of the best deep balls
and 30 yard passes of the
year. So they're playing Buffalo,
bad weather, seven-point
dogs, and
I don't know. Is it more likely
Miami misses the playoffs or makes the
playoffs at this point? Because you could make a case both
ways. What do you think, Steven?
Well, I really think it comes down to how Tua
adjusts. I know a lot of the talk
this week has been like, there's a blueprint out.
There's a book out on this Dolphins offense
and how is Mike McDaniel going to adjust.
But I think this is a situation similar to the one in Los Angeles
with McVay and Goff.
When Goff got, or not Goff,
when McVay's system kind of got found out
by the Patriots in that Super Bowl,
McVay couldn't go to a plan B and it wasn't his fault.
It was because his quarterback just wasn't capable of it.
And Sunday night, there were guys open.
I don't put it on McDaniel.
Tua just wasn't processing.
He wasn't going through his reads.
He was locking onto his first read
and whether he was open or not, he was throwing it.
So I really think it comes down to Tua
and whether he is this quarterback
that he was hyped up to be as this sharp processor,
this accurate guy who could throw it into tight windows.
We're starting to see that,
starting to see pushback against that.
We're starting to see that not to show up on film
over the last two weeks.
And I think it's because defenses
are starting to figure him out
and starting to figure out his pressure points
and like what he doesn't like to see
and the types of coverages he struggles with.
So I really think it's on him.
And if the answer is no, he can adjust,
I would not be surprised if they miss out on the playoffs.
So unlike Solak's Eagles where nobody can figure them out
because it's such a juggernaut, they're just like,
oh, you're going to do this? Watch this.
We'll score 40 points this way.
What do you think?
Have you seen anything in the tape, Solak, with Tua
that you think that teams have stumbled on?
Yeah, so the blueprint aspect
of it is tricky, right? Like Stephen said,
is there a blueprint that McDaniel has to respond
to? Schematically, it's
okay, Tua threw to the intermediate middle of the
field more than any other quarterback in the league.
He had like 50% more
attempts than second place. He had missed a few games.
They just hammered 10 to 20 yards down
the field between the numbers. So the Niners
took that away with Fred Warner.
The Chargers took it away with bodies.
They took it away with scheme.
They took away with the dropping safety and with thinking linebackers and just saying,
we are going, you know, they played their corners with inside leverage.
But like unbelievable, insane.
You don't see this inside leverage daring Mike McDaniel to throw a call,
outbreaking routes and then daring to throw them.
And just the offense was, it was a Django piece in a tower, right?
You pulled out the intermediate middle
and there just wasn't enough structure around
for the offense to stay sustainable.
So, okay, there's your blueprint.
Take away the middle of the field,
run some press coverage,
that'll help disrupt the timing.
There you go.
There are schematic solutions to that.
Like they try to throw, you know,
outbreakers, they're going to try
to run the football more.
Like those exist.
The coaching job for McDaniel
is less about the schematic answers
and more about the individual player that tua is like what he is like what his character is what
his confidence is because there are on the niners film in the chargers film a litany of open
receivers and just available checkdowns one-on-one matchups that should be taken clean pockets that
he he escapes out of time that he doesn't buy. Tua is a snowball quarterback, man. When he starts hitting throws,
he's extremely confident. He'll whistle something in there. When he starts missing,
when this offense doesn't immediately catch fire in quarter one, he just gets really underconfident,
especially if you start hitting them and you start accelerating that internal clock.
I can't think of another quarterback in the league who has such a precipitous drop off once he starts
getting hit and starts struggling like tua does and so for mcdaniel the coaching challenge isn't
so much about the scheme aspect of it as it's about managing the individual this is a guy who's
just been like fraught with like a very traumatic career in terms of the injuries and the ups and
the downs and like all the visibility on him and in miami and bores and everything that's going on with Tua, you have to manage the
individual. You have to find a way to get him confident, keep him confident, even when you
have bumpy games to start. McDaniel said that like at the beginning of the year, he said so much of
his improvement was just like getting him confident. And I feel like he's lost that confidence. You
could see it on film. You could see him not being confident in his reads the way he was. He's not
getting rid of, he's still getting rid of the ball quickly,
but it's not as quickly and as confidently as it was over the first 13 weeks
of the season.
Ruiz, you had him ranked 16th in your latest QB rankings.
You had him behind Derek Carr,
who I think has been pretty lousy this year compared to last year.
You had him behind Cousins.
You had him behind Kyler Murray, who's not even playing anymore.
You had him behind Watson.
That's not Kyler's fault, though.
It's not like you got benched.
Well, you haven't behind Watson, who I haven't been impressed by.
Lawrence, who's been up and down, et cetera, et cetera.
You've been pretty hard on two in these rankings.
The two of fan base, they're a handful.
They're probably the number one craziest affection for a player fan base that we have right now.
When did it get the lowest for you when he was doing the best?
Just the amount of shit you were taking.
The Lions game.
The Lions game.
Because the Lions game, the film was actually pretty good.
It was the best film I had seen all year from him. Before, there were those plays that you referenced where he was throwing into defenders and they were just dropping the interceptions that was not on the Lions film
at all he was throwing with confidence he was throwing downfield so that's the game where I
was like oh man I think after that game I wrote like a little like like a mea culpa yeah a mea
culpa I rewrote his blurb and everything. But now I'm kicking myself, man.
I should have stayed strong.
Stay the course.
I should have believed in myself.
I knew this was coming.
You know what?
Rosello and I had this with Trey Young
where we were kind of in the minority with Trey Young.
We were like, no, this isn't going to work.
You can't win this way.
And then he had that run where he beat the Sixers
and made round three.
And we were like, I guess maybe we were wrong. But now it's back to where we were. And then he had that run where he beat the Sixers and made round three and we're like, I guess
maybe we were wrong. But now it's back
to where we were. And now it's like, oh!
We were there the whole time! It is
funny when players can zag against you.
The one thing that
he does throw a beautiful deep ball.
So if you're comparing
if you're just saying you're looking at some of these quarterbacks
that are the up and down
quarterbacks, Ben. like Sam Darnold
a little bit of a roller
coaster ride
you have bet on the Panthers and you're like
I gotta cross my fingers here in this third 11
but then there will be that one
you're saying exclusively you
I refuse to join you on the Panthers
I'm not either
he'll have that one
he'll bust out in the
third and 11 and he'll run for 26
yards and he looks like a gazelle. And you're like,
Sam Darnold, it's only
23. There's something here.
And then the next play, he throws it at triple
coverage. But it feels like
we have more quarterbacks than ever
who are like glass half full, glass
half empty guys, depending on how you stare at them.
Right? Yeah. I would say that for sure. Yeah. What I think it is who are like glass half full, glass half empty guys, depending on how you stare at them, right?
Yeah, I would say that for sure.
Yeah.
What I think it is is the NFL over the last 10 years has gotten so much better at raising the floor of quarterbacking.
We have figured out ways to scrape together an offense
around a myriad of players.
Just like Jared Goff is the perfect example.
2016, first overall pick, 6'4",
throws a nine ball like you've never seen,
comes out of Jeff Fisher offense,
just can't hack it.
Like the second he's pressured,
he just can't do it,
not comfortable in the pocket.
The book on this guy would have been like,
all right, he'll bounce around as a backup.
He'll get back in at some point,
but like, hey, he just can't beat pressure.
He's not a fast enough processor.
He's not enough accurate quick release.
Hey, he just can't do it.
And Sean McVay comes to town and says, hey, you know, the immobile guys, we can't beat pressure. He's not a fast enough processor. He's not enough accurate, quick release. He just can't do it. And Sean McVay comes to town
and says,
hey, you know,
the immobile guys,
we can roll them out.
We can run a little play action.
And all of a sudden,
Jared Goff, 2017,
going to the Super Bowl,
Jared Goff,
he resurrected Goff's career.
Four years later,
he's trading him away.
And the huge contract
he signed him to
for Matthew Stafford,
he's sending picks to do it.
And then he gets to Detroit
and what happens?
Ben Johnson goes back to that 2017-2018 Rams film
and says, okay, I can do a little bit of that.
I can do a little bit of that.
Oh, we know how to do that too, right?
And we've gotten so much better at raising the floor.
So if you're immobile quarterbacks like Goff,
we can pick them up a little bit.
We have your creators, right?
Your guys who are a little bit out of structure.
Darnold as an example.
Darnold's never had great timing feet in the pocket. He's never had like, you know, perfect
understanding of like, you know, West Coast robot sort of predictability, but he's a creator. And
we've figured out the last 10 years, like, hey, you can throw a creator back there and just kind
of like let him improv a little bit and it'll work. This is more sustainable. Scrambling quarterbacks,
athletes, right? The Jalen Hurts and the Justin Fields of the world who previously would not have
been deployed in the NFL the way they are are are now being used because we see how
much running quarterbacks matter so we've come up with creative ways schematically to raise the
floor of a lot of different prototypes a lot of different styles of quarterbacks that creates a
much bigger middle class of quarterbacks that you can tap into i wrote about this before i wrote
about this before the playoffs like the nfl now like you go back 15 years ago and like chris brown
for grantland wrote about this nfl offenses were all the same every nfl offense was the same the only
thing that was different was their terminology now it's kind of like a college landscape where
you have all these different types of offenses and now you have all these different types of
quarterbacks who are now viable so i it kind of feels like college football 20 years ago where
you had quarterbacks that you could trust if you got into an obvious passing situation.
And then there were quarterbacks like Eric Crouch or something where you couldn't win in obvious passing situations.
You had to run the football.
And I think we're in that spot where you can recognize the strengths of limited quarterbacks like Jared Goff while still realizing that he's not a top guy, even if he's producing like one.
Well, when he has time, he's pretty good. But like how many quarterbacks would we say that
about at this point where you can go, look, if you block for this guy, he'll like cars like that
too. And the Raiders, we can go on down the line. It makes me wonder like if the new zag for front
office would be don't spend money on a quarterback. Put together the greatest offensive line possible.
And then there's 12 guys
who are pretty good if they have time.
And maybe that's a better way
to put together a passing offense
than just spending $250 million on Kyla Murray
and trading three first-round picks
and $250 million for Deshaun Watson.
Right.
The thing used to interrogate that idea
is the difference between
October football and January football.
I love it for October football.
I love it for regular season football.
I'm confident that against
the glut of average NFL defenses I get,
I can dominate that way.
Once I start getting to eight teams left,
four teams left, two teams left,
it goes back to the Rams are down four
to the Cincinnati Bengals with six minutes left
in a game which they'd only scored 16 points.
Who would you rather have, Jared Goff or Matthew Stafford?
Nine months ago, they chose.
They said, I want Matthew Stafford on this drive,
please and thank you.
And Matthew Stafford pushes them down the field
with Cooper Cup.
They scored a game-winning touchdown.
Right.
And so that's where I, every edge I can get
to build around a lesser quarterback,
I want to do. The Eagles, great offensive line, every edge I can get to build around a lesser quarterback. I want to do the Eagles.
Great offensive line.
Unbelievable offensive line developer.
Jeff Stoutland, their offensive line coach was hired by chip.
Survives chip being fired.
So I've dug being fired.
Now he's working with, with Nick Sirianni.
This guy's going to solve our line problems for us.
It's trade for AJ Brown, Devante Smith, top 10 pig.
I don't care that he's 170 pounds.
I need receivers.
They have everything you need to elevate a quarterback.
What's the big final question?
What is Hurts going to look like
on a playoff run?
Because last year
when he got to the playoffs,
the Buccaneers punked him.
Right?
So you elevate quarterbacks
as best you can.
But once you get to January,
it's really important
that that guy's not
a Jimmy Garoppolo.
He's got to be more than a Jimmy.
We know a Jimmy is in the playoffs.
We've referenced this quote
like a couple times
over the past couple weeks.
Great quote.
Before the Patriots ran Super Bowl, Mike Girardi of nfl network had a report a pre-game report where he
said in public the patriots defenders are talking about how much they respect jared golf but behind
the scenes they're saying we're going to show him things he's never seen before and he's going to
shit his pants that's the words they used gerardi didn't use those words. But I'm assuming that's the words the Patriots players used before the game.
You never hear a Patriots team talk shit about an opposing player before the game.
They scored three points.
They weren't lying.
That turned out to be the highlight of the Patriots season.
Do you think we'll be talking about Sam Darnold in January, Ruiz,
as comparing October Sam Darnold talking about Sam Darnold in January Ruiz as comparing
October Sam Darnold to January
Sam Darnold as the Panthers are
hosting the Dallas Cowboys
in round one? God I hope not
I don't want this team embarrassing
me in front of the national audience
no I would be
God what a beaten down Panthers fan
I think I'm now the biggest Panthers fan at the ringer
I just want a quarterback that's all I I ask for. Can I get a top
10 pick and a quarterback that I can root for?
I can't talk myself into Sam Darnold.
You don't like Jason Horn? Talk myself into Sam Darnold the
second time. This is his second chance at starting
for the Panthers. I can't do it a second time.
How'd you feel watching Baker? Game-winning
drive for the Rams. Yeah, that hurt. The one that
got away? You think I watched that
game? I didn't watch that game.
The Baker thing hurt because he cost the
Panthers at least two wins.
They're 5-8. They could be
8-5 with even a
half-decent quarterback. DJ Morton, I take
it as something up. Wait, back to the
quarterback rankings.
Ruiz, you had Mahomes 1,
Herbert 2,
Lamar 3,
Burrow four,
and Josh Allen five.
That was your top five.
I have a couple quibbles.
One, the ringers love,
it's not just the ringer,
it's really the football,
the smart football community.
And Herbert is their God.
Right?
Mahomes is everyone's God,
but then Herbert has become the other one.
And I just want to know what Joe Burrow has to do
to earn everyone's respect.
Like was not making the Superbowl enough?
Was it all the times he's come through in big games?
Is he not, is he not cool enough under pressure?
Does he not have awesome throws in the fourth quarter?
Like what else does Joe Burrow have to do?
I know he wasn't good on the Manning cast,
but what else does he not have to do or have to do?
To catch Herbert?
To be number two.
I feel like he should be number two.
I think he has to prove that he has the physical talent
to make the same throws,
the same elite throws that we've seen
these other quarterbacks make.
Joe Burrow tends to get it done in structure,
which is a very good thing,
a very valuable thing to have because you can call any play and you know he's going to get it done in structure, which is a very good thing, a very valuable thing to have
because you can call any play
and you know he's going to execute it well.
But what happens when the defense
knocks him off his spot
and they force him to make an outbreaking throw?
He's one of the, by accuracy,
he's one of the worst quarterbacks in the NFL
at outbreakers over 10 air yards.
And we know his accuracy is very good.
So I would like Bengals fans to fill in the blank why that is.
It's because he doesn't have arm strength.
And that's been a thing going back to his time at Ohio State even
when Urban Meyer was yelling at him,
telling him he doesn't have a Division I arm.
That's the thing.
He's never going to have that talent.
He's never going to have that ceiling that these other guys have.
You can make up for that in different ways, like we've seen Tom Brady do.
But Tom Brady came up in a different era of development.
He got to spend extra time in meeting rooms.
He got, Bill Belichick was teaching him how to read defenses.
I don't think Burrow's going to have that same education that Brady did,
where Brady was capable to overcome those physical limitations
because he was perfect at everything.
And I don't think we can...
I think if Tom Brady gets drafted in 2020,
he doesn't become Tom Brady.
He becomes Kirk Cousins, maybe.
Maybe not Kirk.
Oh, the takes are out.
That's right.
I don't think Tom Brady exists in 2020
if he's drafted.
It was a different era.
When's the last time we saw a pocket passer
get developed like this?
Wow.
I need to have a cigarette or something.
So,
where do you stand on this Burrow-Herbert thing?
I've been Herbert over Burrow
since I think Herbert started to take over
the league. This, however, is the best
Burrow has played. Better than
any stretch he had during the Super Bowl season.
The book on Burrow
last year
was if you give the guy a single
high, he'll rip you to shreds. I mean, Jamar
and T. Higgins are too good. He's got too much
trust, too much accuracy, too much quick
process, and that if he gets a one-on-one matchup
man or zone on the outside, good
night, take your ball home. You cannot
do it against the Bengals. You gave them too high,
they would struggle a little bit throwing the football.
Still good, but they would struggle. And one
of the roots of that struggle
was that Burrow still tried to throw his one-on-one matchups.
He still tried to throw outside against too high.
Tough thing to do.
And the second thing is if he didn't like the look,
he'd hold on to the football.
And he tried to create.
And that's where the lack of elite physical tools came in.
He wasn't the best mover.
He's not the best arm.
He's a good mover with a decent arm,
but he's not the best.
And because of that, he took a lot of sacks.
The offensive line was bad.
Early pressure, but he took a lot of sacks. The offensive line was bad, early pressure, but he took a lot of sacks.
One of the things that Bengals fans hoped and expected entering this season was that an improved offensive line would bring Burrow's sack rate down.
But it didn't.
Early in the season, Burrow's sack rate remained the same.
In fact, it was jumping up relative to the amount of pressure he was receiving.
And that's because sacks, like we like to say sacks are a quarterback stat,
sack percentage, the likelihood of taking a sack,
is generally predicted by how the quarterback chooses to play.
Think Russell Wilson.
If you choose to just hold on to the football and screw around back there,
you're going to get sacked a lot.
You're going to make some throws, make some plays.
You're going to get sacked a lot.
Adam Harstad of, I think Dynasty Football it is,
writes about the three-legged stool of quarterbacking,
which is throwaway percentage or yards
per attempt, interception percentage, and sack
percentage. One of the three is going to be big.
You're going to take a lot of sacks, you're going to
take a lot of interceptions, or you're going to throw the ball away a lot.
Or you're going to have a low depth of target.
Everybody's play style
fits into those buckets. Burrow's
play style was a high sack quarterback.
Over the last month and a half,
Burrow's not taking sacks.
Ball's coming out quicker.
He's checking down.
He's scrambling a lot more than he was.
It is very rare to see a quarterback change his stripes,
to see play style change.
That's one of the things that's been tough with Russ
is he's still playing like he did when he was 24.
He's not 24-year-old legs anymore.
The fact that Burrow has kind of, you know,
had an awakening here and realized, I can't
take this many sacks, and it's just boom.
Gotten them out of his game this
quickly is extremely
impressive, especially if it's sustainable.
Burrow's making up ground on Herbert
because he's taking a huge wart
out of his game. If that's sustainable, that's a huge
deal for Cincinnati. I would also say
everything that Burrow gets credit for being good at,
like reading defenses,
being accurate, all of that.
Justin Herbert's better
at all that stuff. He's more accurate.
He's better at processing. He's quicker
at processing. He doesn't get sacked.
He doesn't throw interceptions.
He still pushes the ball downfield.
Solak just talked about that three-legged stool idea.
I wrote about that last year with Herbert.
I mentioned it. He's the only quarterback that doesn't have like a bad a bad metric in one of those is it bad
a dot but that's he does this year but that's not his fault last year he did not when he had
offensive line and weapons but he's like this is why we talk about him so much and it's not just
us like i went to chargers training camp i interviewed their coaches they talk about him
like we talk about him. Their quarterback
coach, Shane Day, called him the greatest quarterback
ever after his second
year. He says he has a file
of clips that show why Justin Herbert's the best
quarterback ever. Brandon Staley talks about him
like he's a god. And you never
hear NFL coaches talk about their players like that
because they don't want to raise expectations.
But Chargers coaches can't help themselves
and I don't blame them because when you turn on the film,
every play is perfect.
You saw it on Sunday night.
Those were not ideal conditions.
He was getting pressured within a second,
and you wouldn't even notice it.
He was just sliding away from the pressure,
finding his check down, keeping his eyes downfield,
throwing downfield.
He plays quarterback better than I've ever seen a person
play quarterback at this point in his career.
He's not a playmaker.
He's not a playmaker.
That's what separates him from the Josh Allens and the Patrick Mahomes.
He needs to live a little.
He needs to let loose a little.
He has the talent to do that.
He doesn't do it.
He's such a robot to a fault.
But when it's not a bad play,
when it's good to go through your progressions,
no one's better than him at it.
Well, now he's got Mike Williams back.
It's interesting.
Their schedule is favorable the rest of the way.
On FanDuel, they're 20-1 to win the AFC.
The way you were talking about him was like
when I was in high school, John Elway,
the first five, six years of John Elway,
where he was just so good.
And it was almost like basketball,
watching a basketball player
just put their team on their back
and he would just win these playoff games he shouldn't
and just clearly had the most talent.
But I wonder, could Herbert,
if he's as good as the smart football community
has been touting,
could it just be this random year
where he just has a run like a basketball player would?
We got to get Herbert his Mike Shanahan.
Joe Lombardi ain't it.
That's a big part of the issue is that
because Lombardi has a computer quarterback,
like Stephen says,
like Herbert's just so incessantly correct
all of the times, making the right read,
making the right decisions at the right time.
Lombardi does not feel the
stress to improve his offense because
Herbert makes it work. And that's just like,
it's such a trap for
the Chargers if they let the offense continue to play this way.
Let's take a quick
break.
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Movember. So you're doing these rankings every week, Ruiz. What is the most shocking as you're
putting everybody in order, the one that just shocks you the most when you see it on the list?
I can't believe that person is there. Honestly, it's Jalen Hurts, and I've gotten
a lot of crap for this from Eagles
fans this week. I want him to be higher.
I really want him to be higher, but we've set up
the rankings to be based on
these grades, and I just don't know what to
put higher. I don't think he's
an overly accurate quarterback, but I don't think he's an
inaccurate quarterback. I think he's got a good
arm. I don't think he has an elite arm.
I think he's a very creative player.
His decision-making has
improved by leaps and bounds this year.
I think his pocket presence is still a weakness, but
it's getting better.
I've given him all this credit. I just
don't know what else you want
from me. I think he's a good quarterback. He's a top
10 quarterback. If you put the 10th best quarterback
behind the best offensive line and
give him an elite receiving core and a good offensive coordinator, I would expect top of the
league results. So I don't know. I don't want to overreact to him being first and MVP odds.
I don't know. I don't know what else to say. I just think he's the 10th best quarterback. I
don't think he's better than Dak Prescott. I don't think he's better than Dak Prescott. I don't think he's better than Gino Smith.
I don't think he's better than Tom Brady right now.
Even when I watched Tom Brady play,
he looks like a better quarterback on film.
He's just in a bad situation.
And I think if you simulated this season a hundred times,
the top five in like whatever metric you like DVO,
a EPA,
whatever the top five of quarterbacks would look different each and every
time.
So I'm not going to overreact to one season of results.
So lack your rebuttal.
We,
we did like a little rank Jalen hurts exercise and really special this
weekend.
I had him around like seven,
which I think,
right.
We're seven and 10.
It feels like a big difference,
but kind of you,
you have your elite tier of quarterbacks.
You have your homes at one,
and then you have your elites,
you have your homes and you have your boroughs and you have your Lamars.
And then when you start to get into that B tier,
that next group, that's where I think Hurts lands.
And I think that it's difficult to figure out
where guys like Rodgers and Brady are in that.
Steven's grading for this year.
When you look at quarterbacks across the league,
you're kind of thinking,
what are they going to be more so on an arc
for the next couple years?
And Rodgers and Brady makes that a little bit messy.
But the difficulty with Hurts is, it's the same difficulty that general managers have
had and been trying to riddle out for years, that analysts have always been trying to riddle
out, which is the difference between what's difficult and what's valuable, right?
It'd be very nice, it'd be wonderful if the most difficult, the hardest things for a quarterback
to do were also the things that were most valuable on the field.
Then it'd be very easy to figure out who the best ones are and who the best ones aren't.
The reality is that Hurts does a lot of things that are very easy.
Scrambling, breaking the pocket, one read and gone
is extremely easy.
Throwing, you know, isolation routes to A.J. Brown,
jump balls, 50-50s, that's extremely easy.
However, those are also very valuable.
Scrambling is twice as valuable as an attempted pass
by EPA per play across the league-wide averages
this season,
which is an insane thing to say,
but scrambling is
so much more valuable
than attempting a pass,
and Hurts is well-built
to scramble.
The offense allows him to scramble.
Throwing downfield,
well, guess what?
When you connect with A.J. Brown
35 yards down the field,
it's a lot easier
than Trevor Lawrence
and Geno Smith
throwing a rhythm seam route
that they alerted to
against one high
covered by a linebacker
tight window back shoulder. It's a lot
more easy, but it's
more valuable. It's further downfield. And guess
what? Ball still moved, right? So
Hertz has an easier time
getting the ball down the field
runner pass than almost any other quarterback
in the league. That doesn't mean it's not
valuable. It just means when you're like figuring
out who's good at quarterbacking, it makes
the picture muddy. So the more we learn about like scrambling quarterbacks rpo offenses in the nfl
the more these horizons get pushed the easier it'll be to say like oh because hertz does this
he's more talented he's the eighth most talented sixth most talented fourth most talented but right
now we're still in a transition period we're still figuring that out and it makes it hard to calibrate
what he does relative to some like of the top pocket passers in the league.
That's why it's easy for me to reconcile him being at, at 10.
While if I was given an MVP vote,
I would still have him second on my ballot for MVP.
Cause I do think that he is first Patrick,
the homes,
the best quarterback in the league,
the best player in the NFL,
the most valuable player in the NFL.
You disagree.
Come on.
Well,
I just think if the Eagles
go 16-1, Hurts has to be the MVP.
Yeah, narrative-wise, he's going to win the award.
The 16-1, I think, matters.
Sal and I did this on Sunday's pod
about how rare it is to have
a zero-win season or a one-win season.
It's not a long
list. And the thing with the Eagles is
they're getting better and better as the season goes along. And I think one of the reasons is
I feel like he's gotten a little bit better, you know, and he's certainly better than I ever
thought he was going to be like, you have Brady ahead of him. My quibble with Brady is A, he can't
move at all. Can't move at all. And B, I don't think he wants
to get hit anymore. So you see him over and over again. He's just giving up on plays. He's choosing
the self-preservation piece over like, you know, the insane Mike White performance last week where
Mike White's like, just kill me. You will take the starting job out of my dead hands. I don't
care how many times I get hit. Brady doesn't want to be hit anymore.
And that's why I would value Hurts
because the scrambling, like Solak said,
his ability to create plays,
but then also just, I just
think he's harder to play against. I think Brady's
pretty easy to play against
now because you know he's not going to move and you know
he's not going to want to get hit. You agree
or disagree, Solak?
I have Hurts above Brady. And I think disagree, Solek? I have hurts about Brady.
And I think that ease of playing against him is such a big part of it,
where it's like Stephen's making faces at me
as he usually does during these podcasts.
But it's with Brady, right?
I know where my pressure points are.
I know what was a hit, and I know what not to hit.
And you can say the same thing is true for Jalen Hurts.
It's just Hurts' more creative solution.
There's unpredictability with him,
where you can do the right thing,
and he still beats you.
The construct that we use
to talk about this a lot,
and we used it with Tua,
which I think is where
it's really beneficial,
is it's important to think of
one NFL play as two NFL plays.
There's structure.
There's what we plan at the snap.
Here's the coverage.
Here's the pass concept.
Boom.
And then once that's covered up,
once the structure didn't work
for the offense,
the second play begins.
The second reaction,
the improvisation, the scramble drill.
And over the last 10 years of football,
but certainly the last five or six,
Mahomes and Allen entering the league,
we realized, holy smokes, that second play is important.
There's so much to be gained in that second play.
And right now, Brady doesn't bring you to a second play
to nearly the same degree as Jalen Hurts does.
He doesn't give you that second swing at the plate.
I disagree with that. I think you're just looking at
one way to get to that second play. I think there's multiple
ways for a quarterback to get to that second play. But when you're talking about
going through his progressions in the pocket. Check down and buying time is still within structure.
Check down and buying time is still within structure. That's still the first play. Yeah, I know. But if your first read is
open, your plan A isn't there. He still has a viable plan B, a plan C, a plan D.
He's the only quarterback besides Herbert now that I've seen get through his progressions that quickly and have that type of creative force without being a runner.
At the same time, I have docked his creativity score like 30 points this year because he is not moving.
But I would also say put him behind the best offensive line in the NFL and you'd see the old old tom brady come yeah they have him getting through his progressions you'd get him you'd see
him going through his progressions you'd see him creating these big plays in the passing game when
his first read isn't there so i don't know i think there's there's different ways to skin the cat and
tom brady in his situation he can't do the way he typically goes beyond his first read whereas
jalen hurts is playing on easy
mode. He's playing on rookie mode
while Tom Brady's playing on all Madden. I think
it's impossible to compare the
results because of that.
You have Kyle Allen
as the number 38 and last quarterback
in your rankings. And Zach Wilson
37. So it's Zach Wilson's first
win of the year. He beat Kyle.
What would you say Zach Wilson does better
than Kyle Allen, Steve?
What does he do better than Kyle Allen? He has more arm
talent. That's the only thing that I have to say.
Objectively throw it further.
Mills was 36.
Heineke, 35. Tough beat for
Heineke. He's got a winning record.
He's somehow behind
Baker Mayfield. I don't respect
that archetype of quarterback.
Okay.
The Johnny Knoxville jackass quarterback
who just gets hurt for our entertainment.
That's what he is.
My guy Brock Purdy at 33.
But as I go up here,
you have
Mac Jones at 25
and Desmond Ritter at 26
who we haven't even seen play football yet.
So how do you rank Ritter?
What are you basing that on?
Pre-season film?
Pre-season film, college film, his talent.
I think he's a more talented player.
I think anyone should admit that he's more talented.
He's got a better arm.
He's more athletic.
And then I would say that he's just as good of a processor as him that was
ritter's big thing standing in the pocket going through his reads and making the tough throws
that mac jones hasn't made enough over the first two years of his career we could we could blame
josh mcdaniels we can blame matt patricia and they deserve all the blame in the world but there are
open guys over the middle and it requires a throw and mac jones doesn't throw him he doesn't throw
him he could clamoror for less quick game,
but you got to make the throws, buddy,
or we can't call those plays.
I think it's fair.
I'm not going to defend Mac Jones.
Ritter is getting four and a half points
against the Saints this week.
A Saints team that's not very good,
and Mariota was terrible,
and it's hard not to think that that's a pretty tasty four and a half for our underdog team
because Ritter just might come in and be solid right away, right?
So, like, what do you think?
Do you see him coming in and being decent?
Yeah, I'm on Falcons plus four and a half this week.
And, right, it's basically when you install a rookie quarterback, you expect there to
be like, all right, there's rookie lumps and there's rookie mistakes.
And we want to try to avoid those.
And how are we going to protect this guy?
Let's bring his past attempts down,
right?
Let's give them all play action.
Let's move the pocket.
The Falcons have been doing that since week one.
This is the whole Falcons offense is just protect the quarterback,
hide the quarterback.
Right.
And the issue that got Mariota benched was when Mariota had his past
attempts and he had the opportunity to throw the ball down the field,
he wasn't paying it off.
He wasn't connecting with Kyle Pitts, Drake London, Olamide Zaccheaus. They weren't
ripping off those chunk gains. All Ritter needs to do to notably elevate the Falcons offense
is just connect on two downfield shots. Just put the ball somewhere near Kyle Pitts. Not even like
you're throwing to Darnell Mooney. Throw to very large people, Pitts and London. Put the ball where
they can go get it. Ask them to do that work for you.
And I think that across the Ritter Cincinnati film,
you saw enough evidence that you have some faith in that.
I like the Falcons plus four and a half.
I also like the Falcons to just get a, you know,
off of the bye bump, new quarterback bump.
We freaking hate the Saints bump. We still have a 2% chance to win this division bump.
Like this to me feels like a spot where the Falcons
are going to try to punch the Saints in the mouth.
Are you guys buying the Lions in Jersey
against a banged-up Jets team in cold weather?
I think Solak is, but I'm not buying them.
I've seen this movie before.
I've seen Jared Goff play against a good defense.
I've seen him play in the cold.
I know how this ends.
I'm not going to get fooled again.
I'm not going to be Charlie Brown kicking the football.
I'm not going to.
Well, if Williams isn't 100% or if he doesn't play.
Yeah, that's a big deal
I think
then what does that mean
can we say the Jets
have a good defense anymore
because that's probably
the most important piece
they have
absolutely
Robert Sala knows
Jared Goff
he's been around
they were in the
NFC West together
for a few years
and once the book
was out on Goff
and it was like
hey if you pressure
this guy he breaks
Sala just stopped
respecting him and just had some really good games against him 2018, 2019.
If Quinnen's healthy, then they're going to get their pass rush with four.
They're going to have the ability to rush.
And they still will, even if Quinnen's not healthy.
Bryce Huff, you know, John Franklin Myers, Sheldon Rankin, Solomon Thomas.
They have a nice group there.
But Quinnen is the best rusher that they have on that group, especially in the interior.
If he doesn't play,
they're going to more likely have to
bring blitzes, bring additional bodies
in coverage to try to beat Goff by
pressuring him. Now you're in one-on-one positions
downfield. Now you're kind of flipping
coins. Now you're living in a more volatile
environment. Games to stay away. We can't pick that
game on a Thursday. Because the other
thing is, how hurt is Mike White?
What if Mike White has a few cracked ribs?
Zach Wilson getting
promoted to backup
is to me a little bit
of a preamble for,
like, hey,
Mike White may not
play this game.
At least he's not
Kyle Allen.
Yeah, if,
true, if it was
Kyle Allen, it'd be worse,
but it's Zach Wilson.
And they're doing
a lot of PR
for Zach right now.
He's handled
the locker room great.
He's doing a good job.
He's been preparing well.
And it's like, okay,
you're trying to convince me they don't hate him anymore?
I think they may still hate him.
So it's a game where I wouldn't bet it
until I know what the health situations are
for Mike Langton and Williams.
Where do you guys stand on the trap game of the week?
Bengals minus three and a half at Tampa Bay.
Tampa has covered once in the past like three
months and looks like
they're done and they're dead men walking
and yet some other minus 320 to win the
NFC South.
I'll tell you, I don't hate it.
I don't hate like a Bucs upset
here because I think that their problem
so far has been just they're so slow.
They're on both sides of the ball.
They're slow. Yeah. I think they have
corners that are physical and that will
get in a fight, get in a barroom fight.
And that's what you have to do against this Bengals team, against those
receivers that are so physical. And Joe Burrow
can put the ball anywhere he wants on their
back shoulder. You have to win at the
line of scrimmage. You have to beat them up.
I don't think the Bucs are going to win, but I could see
a path to winning for them.
Other side of the ball, the argument is kind of the same.
Lou Anarumo is the DC for the Bengals.
He's been so good at matchups, so good at schemes.
Nobody's had any difficulty
scheming against the Bucs offense.
It's very obvious what's going to happen.
They won't run the ball.
Same stuff on first down, same stuff on second down, third down.
Brady's not going to move the launch point, right?
So it just comes down to your matchups.
It comes down to Mike Evans against Cam Taylor-Britt, right?
It comes down to Leonard Fournette in the hole against Logan Thomas.
And the Bucs still have talent,
even though they've been generally disappointing this year.
So, I don't hate it.
With that said, Cincinnati's been really, really good over the last month.
So, you're trying to right now window that kind of letdown game.
It's the same thing with the Niners.
They're playing the Seahawks tonight.
I'm looking at that three- a half like divisional game.
They're banged up short week.
They've been unstoppable for five weeks.
When does the other shoe drop?
Right.
Bengals win the first half parlayed with Bengals win the game.
I'm Fando plus 105.
Bengals come out, take the lead, never give it up.
I'm looking at it.
I love the fade first half bucks
because they don't start actually trying to win football games
until they're down multiple scores in the fourth quarter.
That's when they start throwing the football on second down.
Bowles takes a while to wake up after the Star Spangled Banner.
I don't know if it takes probably like about an hour
before he realizes where he is.
The Giants-Washington game, the line is a little high.
Washington's getting treated now. I guess, with Chase Young probably coming back.
They're just a superior team.
I watched that game.
They seem pretty even to me.
Do you think either of these teams could win in round one?
God, no.
No.
Yeah, definitely not.
If you take me back to fully healthy Giants, I could be talked into it, maybe.
Like a possible sneaky something?
Yeah, like Daniel Jones running the football,
Brian Dable runs 16 flea flickers,
you know what I'm saying?
Yeah.
Like, yeah, sure.
Now, where it's just like,
I got to look up the depth chart
to figure out who these cats are?
No, I'm out.
And same for Seattle, right?
Their defense is just so porous at this point. I can't imagine
them doing anything. It's weird because we
I rooted for the seven seed.
I wanted more stuff to gamble on in round
one. I was excited for it. But in the NFC,
I don't think there's any danger
in the AFC. You know,
it's a little more interesting
for the Lions. Yeah.
People are talking about it. Lions in the playoffs.
They're like,
six didn't give you away
over the last month.
Well, I'm aware of that,
but they'd have to beat the Jets.
They'd basically have to run the slate, right?
They'd have to go 10-7.
They have Carolina next week
and Carolina.
Yeah.
Oh, I forgot, right?
Because for most people,
they beat the Jets
and their schedule's easy.
But for you,
you see the Panthers game, right?
Well, I see the juggernaut Panthers
waiting for them. Like, I don't want to play the
Panthers. Keep pounding.
At Green Bay, week 17, you can't sleep
on that either.
None of us totally
trust Goff in this
situation. They could be 6-8 on
Sunday at 4 o'clock.
The AFC, though,
I assume
the Chargers will not be a seven seed.
I think they're going to make it.
And maybe they're even a six seed.
The team that if they were healthy,
I wouldn't want to play in round one is the jets.
Cause I think the jets are talented and they're physical and they have
people like Wilson's going to make like five plays in a playoff game.
He just is.
He's going to get open.
They can run the ball a little bit.
I'm just not sure I would see them. I would love to see the Patriots if I'm a two seed. He just is. He's going to get open. They can run the ball a little bit. I'm just not
sure I would see them. I would love to see the Patriots
if I'm a two seed. Yeah.
I said earlier today, I said my
barometer for whether or not I'm interested in
wildcard weekend for the AFC is if the
Patriots are playing or not. If the Patriots
will be the worst game. I'm like, we'll be the
set. We'll be the early Saturday game. Nickelodeon
game. They'll be on. Yeah, it'll be
how fast could we put them on?
Sorry, Kyle.
Don't listen to this part.
Solek, what's your favorite game this week?
The Dolphins-Bills game on Saturday,
which is an island game,
is going to be an extremely interesting
kind of fun.
The snow might make it a weird game,
but I feel we're going to learn a lot
from that matchup.
I'm very excited to watch Jags-Cowboys.
Ooh!
This Jags team
has been bad to me.
It's been a tough team to figure out and then they're
hitting late and whatever. I watched that
Trevor Lawrence film against the
Titans yesterday. Holy smokes.
That's the best game he's played with a bullet.
Even Ruiz liked it.
He's even happy.
It was Herbert S. That's what I'll
say. It was like justin herbert
yeah ruiz is like you know the uh he's long been enamored with with herbert and lawrence is now
coming up as the next like tall white pocket guy here we go um but the uh the cowboys are so banged
up in the secondary right uh calvin joseph second year players taking a lot of snaps to run bland
as a rookie for them is playing in the. And they had that huge fourth quarter against the Colts a couple weeks ago,
which a lot of turnovers generated.
It kind of hid the fact that that game was closer than a lot of people thought
for longer than a lot of people thought.
And then the Texans come to town,
and the Texans get a couple lucky turnovers.
They're doing a two-quarterback thing, but that game was closer
for a lot longer than a lot of people thought.
And Dallas's issues in the secondary, I think,
are starting to be a bit of a weak point for this team.
With the way Lawrence was throwing the football against the Titans,
the way he's been throwing football for the last few weeks
is the Jaguars have gotten a lot better.
This can get shootout-y, Dallas-Jacksonville,
and I think that's a fun one for your AFC and your NFC wildcard picture.
I would pick the same game because I think it's a litmus test for both teams.
The Jaguars, I still think have a chance of catching
the Titans. Yeah. But they
have to be able to beat good teams.
And this is a chance to do that. And then for the Cowboys,
like, their
defense has been the better part,
the better half of this team. And I want to see
what they do against a quarterback that I think
is a top 10 quarterback now. This is a good
chance to see them against the type of
quarterbacks they're going to see later in the playoffs.
And we've seen them
the last couple weeks
beat Davis Mills
and Matt Ryan.
I want to see them
beat a good quarterback.
And I think this is
their first chance in a while.
Well, we might be seeing
the Jags in underdog parlay.
All right, Ruiz, Solak,
good to see you guys.
You can listen to them
on the Ringer NFL show as well.
You can read them on
a great website
called theringer.com
and enjoy the rest of the week.
Thanks.
Well,
when you ride transit,
please be safe.
Yeah.
Be safe because what you do,
others will do too.
Others will do it too.
So don't take shortcuts across tracks.
Don't do that.
In fact,
just don't walk on tracks at all.
Not at all.
Trains move quietly.
So you won't hear them coming so you won't hear them coming.
You won't hear them coming.
See? Safe riding sets an example.
Yeah, an example for me.
Because safety is learned.
It's learned.
Okay, give it up.
Give what up?
Really?
Really, really.
Ugh.
This message is brought to you by Metrolinks.
Alright, our guy Peter Schrager is here.
He's going to be on the sidelines for Miami Buffalo this weekend,
a game we're probably not touching for the suddenly red-hot million-dollar pick.
So let's start with QBs, though.
There's all these free agent QBs.
Tom Brady, Lamar Jackson, Mike White, Danny Dimes, Geno Smith, Taylor Heineke,
Sam Darnold, Jimmy G, Jacoby Brissett, Cooper Rush,
Baker Mayfield, who are just kind of available trying to unbutton a couple buttons on their
blouse and maybe get a bar and see if they can pick up any married guys these last few weeks
of the season. Who is your favorite potential free aging QB story right now? Jimmy Garoppolo. I'm fascinated to
see how this thing goes down. So you said it, there's four weeks left of the season and across
the board, there's guys going into the final years or the final months of their contracts
with their current teams. Garoppolo is the only guy who can't really make a statement.
So I'm fascinated to see, is there a market forimmy g do people want jimmy g is he going to be
a guy who makes the 20 million dollars he was making with san francisco or is he someone that
has to take a discount such as you know one of the deals that like trabisky or mariota had to take
this past off season i'm fascinated to see i think the looming uh you know teams that are like you
know if tampa loses brady they just go right to garoppolo does san francisco want to dance with Like the looming teams that are like, if Tampa loses Brady,
they just go right to Garoppolo.
Does San Francisco want to dance with Garoppolo
on a short-term deal?
See if we could bring this thing back.
Truth of the matter is,
every good performance that Brock Purdy has
or Josh Johnson
or whoever's on the center for San Francisco
hurts Jimmy G's value, I think,
in a lot of ways.
Or people will say,
look, this was a Kyle Shanahan thing
and they were just fine without him and they're paying him 20 million. They're paying this guy
800,000. Look at the discount they got. So Jimmy G is fascinating. But in the short term,
I mean, Bill, Daniel Jones is fighting for his NFL life as a quarterback one. I hate saying that
so dramatically, but this is a guy who was a first round pick, top 10 pick, had it going on.
And during the bye week, there was conversations as to whether or not the Giants were going to give
a massive extension, a somewhat big extension.
Now I wonder if he totally just, you know,
the last four weeks can't get it going.
Giants don't make the playoffs.
They're, you know, an under 500 team.
Are you bringing back Daniel Jones?
They haven't won since October.
No, they won November 13th.
They beat the Texans. but it was one of the
ugliest games you could imagine. And they were trying to give that game away in a lot of ways.
Yeah, I remember that. I was at the game Sunday and maybe they were just saving themselves or
maybe they were already thinking Washington, but the team that took the field and Philly ran all
over, from the second Philly got off the bus, you know, there was no chance
the Giants were winning that game.
Well, the line for that game
is Giants plus four and a half in Washington,
which seems a point and a half too high.
I watched that entire game where they had the tie
and those teams are pretty even.
And now they're basically like begging you
to take the Giants.
But I thought that was a little suspicious.
I'm with you on dimes.
Heineke, you could throw in there too.
You know, Heineke goes 11, five and one. And, you know, it was like a little suspicious. I'm with you on dimes. Heineke, you could throw in there too. You know? What do you make of it?
Heineke goes 11-5-1
and, you know,
it's like a six seed.
You know,
and then we're talking
Sam Darnold, you and I,
because we've put our entire
egg collection into his basket.
Yeah.
It depends who the coach is.
If they bring back Wilks,
that obviously helps.
That means that they went on
some sort of crazy run
and they found a way.
But like,
Sam Darnold, you look at that.
All right, they're winning games, but
they're led by the run game.
It's pretty shaky.
They have their scripted plays for him in the first half,
but once we get in the second half,
he's fast. I mean, worst case
scenario, you could use him a little like
how Atlanta used Mariota,
but he does make me nervous,
especially when you have money on Carolina. It's like third and nine. You're like, all right, but he does make me nervous. Especially when you have money on Carolina,
it's like third and nine.
You're like,
all right,
Sam,
don't hurt us.
So I think the ones like the,
the one that I think is legit good,
who unfortunately might have seven broken ribs right now is Mike White.
Because,
um,
I just,
I so impressed by some of the throws he makes. Tough as shit. And his toughness.
He got the absolute shit kicked out of him last week.
And when he came out of the tunnel,
you're thinking like, no, no, Mike, let this one go, man.
Comes right back.
You got annihilated.
It was like a sports movie hit.
Matt Milano just collapses him.
Yeah, his whole body collapsed.
But he's going to try to play this week.
That's one of the reasons I like the Lions this week.
I really have liked the Jets,
and they've been pretty good to us,
but I just don't see how Mike White's going to be
even like 70%,
and they said Zach Wilson is the number two.
By the way, would you put Zach Wilson,
like we have this whole list,
would you put Zach Wilson in the in the mix for next year somehow?
He has to be, right?
He's on a rookie deal.
They're not going to cut him.
He's not costing him that much.
But they could trade him.
They could just start over and get rid of him for a third round or a fourth round.
That's a whole other bucket.
Are the Raiders going to keep Carr?
They just signed him to a deal this last offseason, and he makes $100 million.
Are the Raiders looking to keep Derek Carr?
And if you're the Giants or the Jets,
and I don't know if Derek Carr works in the New York market.
I don't know if that's a fit.
But if you're Tampa, if you're Carolina,
is Derek Carr a guy you're going to trade a first round
or second round pick for, potentially?
We mentioned Brady.
Wait, can we hold on Derek Carr for a second?
Yeah.
I just think he's been bad this year. He has.
And it doesn't work. He's been bad.
Look, that Thursday night game last week,
and I, you know, everyone... That was bad.
Here's the other thing. It's like, McDaniels didn't
trust him enough to just go out and run an offense.
Everything was so looking at the
sideline, deliberate, and then
that move that he did on that third and one
where Carr just like,
you know, just hurries up to the line
and does it. That's a very New England, Josh McDaniels thing where it's like, all right,
we got the nine yards, just go get the first down. But that didn't make sense in the time
of the game when you're trying to kill clock and to lose to the Rams in that fashion. I just don't
know if McDaniels and Derek Carr is a long-term fit. They don't seem like they trust him. No, they don't. His last seven games,
it's 11 touchdowns,
nine picks, and he's
thrown for basically like
220 yards a game,
something like that. But
I'm just not
a fan of him
if he doesn't...
If there's any sort of duress, it just
seems like he's a different guy, right? Now you
could say that about, how many quarterbacks
could you say, well, if you block for him, he
could be pretty good. I mean, congratulations.
But if you're going to pay somebody
$30 million a year, I
would expect them to be good, like no matter what the
condition of their offensive line is. And I
just don't see it with him. I think he had a nice little
moment last year, but
I don't know. Am I excited? Like I got Derek Carr next year. I think he had a nice little moment last year. But I don't know.
If I'm Tampa, am I excited?
Like I got Derek Carr next year.
I'm not excited about that.
All right.
You look at those scenes, like Washington.
Like Derek Carr in Washington.
Like that's the kind of move that they would make.
Indianapolis.
Derek Carr makes a lot of sense.
Well, for Indianapolis, he'd be better.
Yeah.
Once you're talking about guys like, you know, the Matt Ryan types,
like he's better than that.
But I just, I don't think he's long for that one.
I could see.
So the bigger question to me is the Lamar piece of this.
Because somebody can just come in over the top, right?
With a big offer if they don't put that QB tag on them.
They can put the franchise tag on, which they can.
Yeah.
I don't know if that's a great idea for the Raven put the franchise tag on, which they can. Which, yeah.
I don't know if that's a great idea for the Ravens.
I think it's a good idea for the Ravens.
I don't know if Lamar would be kicking and screaming.
For the Ravens, it's average for one year.
But that's what I mean.
If they do that, he's just going to be like,
great, I'm holding out.
Fuck you.
Very possible.
So could it be a situation where somebody can't,
like the Raiders,
some weird team comes in with some massive offer.
And then the Ravens look at it and go, oh, we can actually get assets for him.
We don't have to pay him all this money.
And we let him move on.
I don't know.
There's a durability question with him that I think we have to consider now.
Yeah.
I think it's going to be an interesting final few weeks in playoffs. If it's this, then it's like, all right, here we go. Another year, didn't finish a season. But I don't know. I think they built their
entire offense, their entire franchise around him, not the style of quarterback. I think they built
it around him. They're so- So why didn't they pay him last August then?
I think they tried to. Lamar wanted to roll this thing out. They tried paying him and Lamar wanted
to roll the dice. And he saw the money that Watson got.
He saw the money that Kyler Murray got.
And he was like,
I'm riding this thing out.
I'm going to play it all the way to the end.
You know what?
It's like the Gobert trade.
It's like how the Gobert trade
screwed up the Kevin Durant market.
Because the Nets were like,
well, we have to get what Gobert got.
Absolutely.
And it was the same thing with Watson.
And then you remember
all the owners were upset
because they said,
whoa, whoa, whoa. And not only are you paying him that all guaranteed, you're paying that guy based on what he's got going on. And that contract was a car crash as it was happening.
And now it's like 17
times worse. And
it just feels like everyone will be gone next
year. It's like a
complete
reset button. It was interesting watching
the game when he got
hurt. I didn't know if that
was good or bad for the Pats because
I was so worried about him
scrambling around. But on the other hand, I think they play better with McCoy, but McCoy turned out
to be a good matchup for the Pats defense. So he won't be back. This is the worst possible timing
for that injury, right? Even if he's coming back, it's like Nick season near end of season.
Yeah. What does that do for them? Nothing. It hurts. That NFC West quarterback lineup right now
is Baker Mayfield as the fourth quarterback in LA,
Geno Smith as a veteran who's won a few games this year.
Another free agent.
He's also a free agent.
I actually think Geno comes back to Seattle on a shorter deal,
like on a Trubisky-ish deal, but I think they bring him back.
But what if they get the third pick in the draft?
They might.
What if they get the second pick in the draft? I might. What if they get the second pick in the draft?
I think you still bring back Geno,
and then you say, okay,
we don't have to throw this guy under center right away.
But with Kyler, I mean, you saw the unfortunate news.
Their GM stepped away yesterday.
I think this is the nadir of Arizona Cardinals football,
and there's been some really dark years
over the last two decades,
but this is brutal. It's bleak.
Did it pave the way now
for Brady and Cliff to have their reunion
in New England with Cliff as the OC?
When we had that conversation,
obviously people were chiming in on Twitter,
but I get texts from around the league. Someone was like,
you guys didn't mention the Giants as a
possibility. I said, oh, now listen, I was thinking
Jets, and they're like, he would never do that to Kraft.
He would never go in the division.
But like, Giants for one
year. Oh, that's such a fuck you to the
Pats fans though. We hate the Giants.
Two Super Bowl losses. I get it, but that's
like, we didn't even talk about the Giants.
Daniel Jones is a free agent. Does Brady
consider that? And it's like one of these blue blood
franchises. It's New York City.
We're just doing this in December now,
but Brady, I would tell you,
is probably not coming back to Tampa. And New England did make a lot of sense,
but I don't think the Giants is that crazy either.
Brady's another one that if he doesn't have the offensive line, what are we doing?
He just can't move at all anymore and they can't block for him. Tampa is one of the ones,
it's one of the most obvious picks of the year the Bengals they gave us
the hook it's Bengals by three and a half
but I just think Tampa
they're one nine and one against the spread the last
11 games the only one they won
was that game on
foreign soil against Seattle when they
just that was when we realized Seattle's
defense sucked we didn't fully realize
it took a couple weeks later
I think Tampa is one of the six or seven
worst teams in the league. They're still
being treated like it's going to
the on-off switch is going to go on.
I just don't see it. I don't think
it's going to happen. I think it's more realistic
that they could go 6-11
than it is that
they win the division.
I don't see a button
for them. They have Cincinnati at home, at Arizona,
home Carolina, and at Atlanta. And you would say, well, they add Arizona. That's the easy one.
Those are two bad teams. Anything could happen in that game. So I don't know.
It could very easily be three and one though, right? And then Brady's hosting a playoff game
and here we go again. We got to will ourselves to be doing the Brady thing that division's so putrid
and so bad
now we got Ritter
going in for Atlanta
and who knows
what I mean
New Orleans
what are you hearing about Ritter
Ritter was that guy
that everyone in the draft
absolutely loved
like off the field
leader and all that stuff
and they've been waiting
for him to get that opportunity
and off the bye
he's in
but I don't know if
you know at this point
I don't know if he's leading
this team to the playoffs
right now
that was one of the games
I had marked. The Falcons are plus
four and a half against the Saints.
The Saints have lost six of their last eight.
They're four and nine for the year. They have a
terrible coaching situation.
Their quarterback situation is among the
worst. And then
you have Atlanta. They've lost five of their
last seven. Their two wins were
the DJ Moore-Helmick game.
Yep.
And they beat Chicago by three in a game that Justin Fields had the big run
and then threw the pick.
But Atlanta's looking at New Orleans this week, at Baltimore next week,
and then Arizona-Tampa at home.
I don't know.
I don't see it.
What team out of the four NFC South teams,
what team do you think is the most convinced that they can steal the division? Because it's
definitely not Tampa. Tampa can't be like,
this is good. It's got to be Carolina, right?
They've got all the vibes going on. And
last week going and playing Seattle
and getting that win, I know
that building's buzzing right now. They see
a light. They see a way to get there. And they
believe in their head coach and their quarterback.
So Carolina's young, good.
They've been through so much shit this year that they think somehow we ended up on the
other side of this thing.
And they're really good in the division.
They win those games in the division.
So they feel like they can beat Carolina.
They could beat Atlanta.
They can beat Tampa.
They could beat New Orleans.
That's my favorite game of the week.
So they're minus two and a half.
I've watched a bunch of their games,
including the last couple,
and they know who they are now.
Like I,
the ball at this point in mid December,
it's like,
I like when teams know who they are and they fucking know who they are.
They ran 46 times for one 85 and week 13,
10 first downs rushing.
And then last week,
46 for two 23,
14 first downs rushing.
And you have,
they're playing Pittsburgh.
It might be Trubisky or Kenny Pickett coming up with a concussion.
No, it might be Mason Rudolph.
Yeah, yeah.
So you have that.
Watts, they should probably shut down.
There's been some articles in Pittsburgh.
He's got, came off the pick, which wasn't 100%.
Apparently had a secret arthroscopic knee surgery.
And now he's got some secret rib issue.
And watching, that was the only million-dollar pick
we lost last week.
He was non-existent in the game.
They were right there, though, to the end.
They were right there.
But Trubisky killed him.
But last week, they gave up 42 for 215,
rushing to Baltimore.
They gave up 12 first downs.
It was J.K. Dobbins, who looked like he was running on one leg. He had 12 first downs. It was J.K. Dobbins who looked like he was running on one leg.
He doesn't look healthy.
And Gus Edwards
and second and third string
Ravens QB
and they couldn't stop anybody.
All they had to do
was get one stop
and they still could have
stolen the game.
So to me,
this just looks like
why wouldn't Carolina
just completely run the ball over?
The other thing with Carolina,
fourth in defensive DVOA
since week 10.
And you can see it in the game.
They're actually pretty active.
They have a pass rush.
They have a couple good D-backs.
Horn's been really good for them.
Horn's been good.
Defensive coach.
I just don't think they're a 5-8 team.
I think they're being treated spread-wise like they're a 5-8 team,
but I don't think they're a 5-8 team.
Did you put anything down before this season, NFC South Carolina?
I know you were high on it.
I did.
I had them at 9-1.
9-1, that's a good... But I mean, five weeks ago
it was 35-1. Did you double
down? I did not.
Well, it was Baker Mayfield was still there.
The Darnold thing,
I said to Sal on Saturday night,
he had that interview after the game
when they were saying, what's going on? He's like, hey, man,
run the ball. That's what we do. We run
the ball. And I'm like, that's it, Sam.
You just, you don't fucking forget that.
But he'll have the two scrambles.
It's not bad.
He's, you know, he's,
he can throw like three good long ones,
which Mariota can't do.
He'll throw two that the other team can maybe grab.
Maybe not.
They'll drive, basically the two of,
but he'll move around.
He's mobile.
Anyway, what were you going to say about QBs?
I was going to say QBs, the biggest wildcard, and I haven't had a chance to listen to it yet. I know
Ryan interviewed him on his podcast, but the biggest wildcard to me is wherever Sean Payton
ends up if he goes back into coaching because he's going to want a quarterback. I talk to Sean
every Sunday and it's like he watches the game. If anything, I think it's fascinating. This is his
one year sabbatical. We sit at Fox in LA, and you have this thing called the Green Room, which is also known
in Fox as the Avocado Room.
And you watch all the games, and you're sitting there with Howie Long and Michael Strahan
and Michael Vick and Charles Woodson.
And it's like a sports bar, but it's all these guys.
And Sean Payton is so dialed in.
He's got all 12 games on.
He's watching each one.
He's got his comments.
And I think if he comes back, wherever it is, I think he's not coming back to have some project
at quarterback. He's going to want one of the guys. And whether that's one of the free agents
we mentioned or they trade for somebody, I think it's going to be fascinating to see where he goes.
And that could be the biggest wild card quarterback-wise in the free agent market.
What is his deal with the Saints? Could he just go coach another team
or would there be compensation?
I think there would be compensation.
He's still under contract technically with the Saints.
I might be talking out of school a little bit
because I'm not sure all the details,
but I don't think it would be as easy as,
hey, I'm just going to pick another team.
It'd just be like, hey, we've hired Sean Payton.
The Saints are still going to be like, what's happening?
If he was to go back to New Orleans with Jeff Duncan,
who's the lead beat reporter in New Orleans, said last week, and that doesn't come from Sean. I don't know that. If he does go back to New Orleans with Jeff Duncan, who's the lead beat reporter in New Orleans, said last week,
and that doesn't come from Sean, I don't know that.
If he does go back to New Orleans, I think it's as easy as,
hey, I'm back, and he's already under contract.
And last year he didn't get paid, but I think they would work out a deal.
But the problem is they bankrupted that team
to try to win the Super Bowl the last few years.
Their cap situation's awful.
They don't have their first-round pick this year.
If I'm him,
you just have to look at the Chargers.
The Chargers are one of the games I like this week.
They're 7-6.
You could make a case.
They got Tennessee home at Indy,
home Rams at Denver, that they could just
be 11-6. It'd be a five seed.
Absolutely. Everything would be fine, and Brandon
Staley won't be in trouble and all that.
But if they fucking blow this,
that would be the,
if I'm Sean Payton,
I'm just looking around.
I'm like,
Oh,
I could have Herbert and be in LA done.
Sign me up.
And if you're the chargers,
you have an identity.
You have Sean Payton and,
and,
and Herbert.
And that's the thing.
Like you talk about quarterbacks all you want.
We could do flips about Garoppolo or Gino Smith and Tom Brady,
or even Lamar.
Justin Herbert's in a different deal for especially a guy like Peyton who wants to throw the ball.
So I think that would be a really intriguing opportunity for him.
I don't know if Staley's on the rock.
I think if they lose out, obviously that's a hot seat and everything to watch.
But from what I gather, I don't know if that group is looking to blow everybody out at the end of the season.
I feel like they think they're going to make the playoffs, and I'm not sure that spot's going to be available.
It's interesting to look back at their season, because it's 7-6, and it feels disappointing, right?
But then you look at some of the losses.
That KC game week two, they easily could have won.
That was the game Herbert got hurt.
The Amazon debut, yes.
Right.
They get killed by Jacksonville
the next week.
But Herbert probably had
cracked ribs or something going on, right?
They lose to Seattle
at home
in just a weird game where Seattle played
great and whatever.
I'm not going to throw it at them. No, but is the Houston game in there?
Because you remember, Houston, they beat.
But they were up huge on Houston.
And you and I, we had Chargers in this one,
and all of a sudden, Houston comes.
Yeah, now all of a sudden, Houston's like winning, right?
And we're like, how is that happening?
That's what they do.
Each week, it seemed like they had another big injury.
They lost to San Francisco by six and Casey by three.
They lost to Las Vegas in week 13,
but no Mike Williams in that game
and they're still missing dudes.
No, but they were up 10-0.
No, they were.
But last week was the first week.
It felt like they had most of their team.
Yep.
And it looks like Herbert,
looks like Herbert again.
Hey, in the fourth quarter,
he's got that third and three.
He hits Allen.
Third and seven hits Allen.
Second and seven.
And you guys laugh about Collinsworth
and, you know,
Tirico was falling off his chair.
That's a seed!
I was like, these guys,
they love watching Herbert.
You know, and look,
I've done this too many times
over the last few years
where they get a big win
and they play clutch in the fourth quarter
and we're like,
the Chargers made a statement.
They're back.
I know.
And then the following week.
So Titans come in here fresh off,
firing their GM
and three straight losses. Derek Henry, you know, who usually owns the Jaguars, has a big game, but they still lose
by 20 to Jacksonville at home. There is no excuse to lose the Titans. And yet, if we were here
Monday morning or Sunday night when you're with Sal, would you be the slightest bit surprised if
it was 27-24 Titans? No. And I think that's why the line hasn't moved. The Chargers are favored
by three and it's been pretty steady. And if you look's why the line hasn't moved. The Chargers are favored by three
and it's been pretty steady. And if you look at the money on the different sites,
some sites it's like 80% Chargers money. Fandle, it's like 65% Chargers money,
but the line hasn't moved. It's Chargers minus three and it just will not move.
And I think the reason is because I think Tennessee has rightfully earned fear
with people who have gone against them
and all of a sudden Tennessee's winning.
They're like, what the fuck is happening?
Why am I not winning?
How is this Tennessee team doing this again?
I think the difference is,
so last four weeks,
they're 31st and past DVOA.
And the only reason I looked that
up was because watching the games, it just seems
like everybody's throwing them than that. Now, they don't
have the Nico Autry, and he's
questionable to play this week.
But it just seems like everybody
finally realized, let's throw in these guys.
And the reason I'm bringing that up
is that's what the Chargers, I think,
that's who they are right now, especially the Williams and
Allen back. I think it's a bad matchup for Tennessee.
Their last nine weeks, points scored 21, 19, 17, 17, 17, 27, 16, 10, 22.
They're just not explosive enough, right?
So for them to win a game like this,
it's got to be that ugly 19 to 13 type game.
I think the Chargers are too explosive now.
They had 23 last week.
It felt like a bigger game than that, didn't it?
Yeah, and they put the game away,
and then they scored late the Dolphins to cut the lead.
But that one, once they had that long fourth quarter drive,
it was over.
And Allen and Williams being healthy is such a huge asset.
Yeah, they're tough.
It was enormous.
Now, their defensive backfield is completely riddled
and they were down big
and they had a great scheme
against Miami
where they're going to press Tyreek Hill
and they're going to press Waddle
and they're going to follow those guys.
They only beat them once
and it was on Mike Davis, 43.
He got tripped up
and then they hit Tyreek deep.
But they schemed themselves to that win.
They're hurt on defense
all over the place.
Yeah.
I liked how they played. Tennessee, the ones, They schemed themselves to that win. They're hurt on defense all over the place. Yeah.
I liked how they played.
Tennessee, the ones, and it's probably a stay away, but if Autry gets scratched and Burks, if he doesn't play again,
because they really have missed Burks.
And Burks, you could feel in the Philly game,
he made that huge touchdown.
A whole wind out of their sails.
Yeah, without him, they're not scary.
They don't have a single receiver who's going to do anything downfield.
So their tight end, that backup tight end has become their deep threat.
The rookie, he's good.
Listen, it's fantasy playoffs this week,
and that guy's starting for teams in fantasy.
Wait, last thing on the quarterbacks.
We mentioned everybody.
So we think Seattle's keeping Geno?
I think so.
This is based on Pete's love for Gino Smith
and the fact that he's a great veteran to have either way,
whether he's starting or he's your number two.
They'll keep him.
If Heineke makes the playoffs,
he probably keeps his job.
I think.
I don't know, but I wouldn't be, you know,
it's like you look at Washington.
Do they see him as the future of the franchise?
It's a great story,
but there's still that
bias against guys who just are
not the highly drafted guys and they're certainly
not having all the physical tools,
but they love him.
And we both think Brady's playing next year.
I think Brady's playing.
I would bet a lot of money on it.
I would.
I really think New England's
a possibility. I know people think I'm crazy,
but I know there's been combos.
What kind of feedback did you get on the Manning cast
when you said that on ESPN2?
Was there a lot of text coming through?
Same kind of...
No one saying, that's outrageous.
Nobody who would know anything saying,
that's insane, he would never go back.
I think there's a feeling that it's not insane.
You were good on that.
You were good.
Thank you.
Joe Burrow did you a solid there.
That was a nice opening act.
Following Joe Burrow was great.
That's what you got to do.
Couple more games just from a million dollar pick standpoint.
Underdog Parlay.
Okay.
Falcons plus one 84 over the saints.
I like the one 84 more than the plus four and a half,
because to me it's like,
if Ritter's good or decent,
I do think they could beat the saints.
Yeah.
Um,
I love the Falcons running game.
I like all of the running backs.
Um,
and I think Marietta really hurt them. Like I test, Falcons running game. I like all of their running backs.
I think Mariotta really hurt them.
I test, just watch them week to week. Once
it was third and whatever, they just couldn't
complete third downs with him unless they were running it.
That Thursday night game against Carolina
in my head where he's throwing. It's like, you're a veteran.
You can't be doing that. You can't be fumbling.
Can I tell you the one Ritter story
that I love that I have in mind? Okay. So Senior Bowl, which is like the two worst teams are the
coaching staffs and they go out there and they roll the ball out and you get all these guys.
And I get so much good information coming out of the Senior Bowl because all those seniors are with
these coaching staffs and the coaches are like, we're probably not drafting this guy, but here's
what you should know about him. The Jets coaches told me this one, that they were in the Senior Bowl,
and it's like the end of the game.
No one's watching.
It's over, whatever.
And Desmond Ritter's their quarterback, and he's been great all week.
The Pied Piper of the team, everyone's following him everywhere he goes.
And Desmond Ritter goes up and down the sidelines like he's Michael Strahan
in the Super Bowl against the Patriots.
And he's like, we're winning this game.
We're winning this game.
I'm taking us on this drive.
And the Jets coaches are like, who the hell is this guy?
And what did Desmond Ritter do?
They all got jacked up and took him right down the field.
It sounds like our guy Purdy.
It sounds like Brock Purdy, right?
But does that translate to Sunday against the Saints?
I don't know, but I do know this.
He's waited all season.
He's been with this team all season.
And they spent the entire bye week with him as their guy.
And he's now with the number ones.
I got it.
And then Mariota took off.
He was like a jilted lover.
What happened there?
I think Mariota.
No, I think his wife gave birth.
And everyone's like reporting this as if he ran away.
I think he had a kid.
Oh, is that true?
They get that out there.
It seemed like he just left.
I don't know if that's out there publicly.
That's what I've been told.
So let's give him a little slack.
So underdog parlay, Falcons plus 184.
Are you intrigued?
Yeah, a lot.
And then Colts plus 172 in Minnesota.
Stay away?
Yeah, come on.
I know we're down on Minnesota.
I know.
And Donatello's defense has given up like 400 yards the past four weeks.
It's incredible.
Since week eight, Indy is 29th in DVOA and Minnesota is 26th.
Gosh, did we not set the stage perfectly last week?
We did 20 minutes on why we can't trust the Vikings.
And we got so many tweets, both of us, from Vikings fans being like,
we're going to...
Yeah.
Sometimes.
It's pretty rough. A couple other
underdog possibilities. We have
the Jaguars, who I don't trust
and I don't want to put in the underdog parlay,
but let's talk it out. Plus 172
against Dallas. Wow.
Should we? It's intriguing.
All right, let's set the stage. I do like them
more as an underdog
versus them minus three
and a half against a team they should beat. That's
what I don't want to take the Jags. Totally.
It's like, oh, could you get a little frisky?
The reason to do it, I think, is
there has been some ceiling stuff
with them. They'll look really
good for like an hour and a half, and I don't know
what's going on with Dak. Lawrence looks great.
Dak did not look great until the final drive. Micah Parsons last week had no sacks, no tackles
for a loss, no nothing. He was quiet. It's the first time we've seen him have a play. Some
secondary injuries for Dallas. Secondary injuries. Kirst got hurt in the pregame.
Here's the, this is why I'm not so lack or some of these other guys who are so good with the
numbers. Here's the stuff that I can offer. We're going to be watching France, Argentina. Okay. And that's on Fox.
Then it's bleeding into the early one o'clock window. Do you know where the Fox A crew is this
weekend? You know where they sent Burkhard Olsen and Aaron Andrews to Jacksonville?
Oh, wow. National broadcast game. Okay. So if I'm the Jaguars, I'm like, we're never the team
that's in front of the national broadcast audience. we're never the team that's in front of the national broadcast
audience. We're never the team that gets that window. Going to have a huge audience off of
this messy Mbappe matchup. Let's go out and have some fun. Let's go up and shock the Cowboys.
Cowboys, they're always on big games. They're always ready to go. They always look at it as,
we're the national team. If you're the Jaguars, this is the first time. I think last year,
week one, Saints played the Packers in Jacksonville. It didn't involve the Jaguars. There was a Super Bowl on Fox, which the Eagles and the Patriots didn't
involve the Jaguars. I have no recollection of the Fox number one team ever being sent to
Jacksonville for a Jaguars game. I don't know if that motivates players. I don't know if your
listeners are like, Schrager, just please shut up. No one cares about this stuff. I think
of that as a little motivation. People are watching
us. We have the number one broadcast game
this week. Let's go show out.
Counter.
40,000 Dallas fans there?
All Dallas, maybe. I don't know.
50? I don't know. But don't you
realize at home that someone in Idaho is watching
the Jaguars for the first time? I know.
Jaguars last five.
They beat Vegas in week nine.
Lost to KC by 10. In a game that was
a little closer than that, bye week,
beat Baltimore, got
killed by Detroit, which seems
less terrible than maybe it did in the
moment because Detroit's
been, at least statistically,
a top 17 now for a while.
And then they beat Tennessee pretty handily
last week. I don't know what to make of Dallas.
I mean, Jacksonville. Probably
a stay away. So then
that leaves as another underdog
possibility, the Giants
in Washington.
I don't know, man.
Getting a lot of points, and I don't like that one either.
They're getting a lot of points and I don't like that one either they're getting it's plus 190
or
the game you're doing
okay
you could do the whole thing
where you're like
I can't pick that
I'm doing the game
I've always wanted to be that guy
yeah
I'm doing the game
I can't
used to be Collinsworth and Sims
and inside the NFL
I can't pick this one guys
I just can't gotta be used to be Collinsworth and Sims and inside the NFL. I can't pick this one, guys. I just can't.
It's got to be objective.
Dolphins plus 245.
And everyone is done with the Dolphins now
because they looked bad last week.
And Tua just throws three picks up for grabs.
But I'm not that sold on Buffalo.
No, Buffalo hasn't.
I don't think they've looked good at all.
And I think from not having Von Miller anymore,
what's the deal with Miami's offensive line?
Yeah, so Armstead is literally going out there with scotch tape
and putting it together.
But you could tell he's not himself with this injury.
But it's amazing he's playing.
They've got actually the other tackles playing well.
And then one guard is down.
The other one's like their offensive line is beat up,
and they haven't had Austin Jackson most of the season.
So they're putting it together with a little scotch tape here,
but I don't think Hunt, from what I gather,
is necessarily 100% either.
We could talk interior line play if you want,
but just in general, they avoided the run game entirely last week
when that would have maybe been the strategy.
I just don't know if they trust their offensive line enough.
Well, Miami, right. If they're not going to run the ball last week, they're probably not have maybe been the strategy. I just don't know if they trust their offensive line enough. Well, Miami, right.
If they're not going to run the ball last week,
they're probably not going to run the ball this week,
and that's probably how to beat Buffalo.
Man, it doesn't look like we have an underdog parlay this week.
Unless...
Carolina favored versus Pittsburgh?
No, they're not.
Carolina is favored.
Unless you like Colt McCoy and the Cardinals, plus three in Denver.
Are they underdogs to Denver?
Yeah, they are.
Plus three.
Or the Rams, plus 240 against the Packers?
No.
All right, I'll figure it out after.
What about the fight in Houston Texans?
What do they got?
Well, they're plus 14 against the Chiefs.
They're not winning. What about the fight in Houston Texans? What do they got? Well, they're plus 14 against the chiefs.
They're not winning.
Um,
the other one is that,
that I was thinking for a million dollars,
just the,
uh,
the Eagles are minus nine and minus 400 against the bears.
Yeah.
And it's going to be like 20 degrees. It's going to be cold,
but they're the best team in the league. And the
Bears are either the worst or second worst team in the league. And the Eagles now 16 to ones in
play. Jalen Hurts for MVP is in play. And I just, they're, they're too, they're too good in too many
different ways offensively. I just don't see a world where it's like, oh my God, they're down
17, seven of the Bears. I was at MetLife last week and Fox had me go and do a sit down with Sirianni before the game.
And they come off the bus and it's like, Maialata's six foot eight, 300. And Dominick
and Sue's behind him, Lane Johnson, Kelsey. Now everyone's big in the NFL. I get that.
They just carry themselves like they are the biggest bullies in the land. And they came into MetLife and it was
like they sacked Daniel Jones on the first two out of the three plays. You're like, all right,
this game's over. They're going on the road, of course, but they did this last week on the road.
They've gone on the road a bunch this season and won. I think if they could do what they did to
the Giants and win by 26 points, I have no doubt they could do that to a Bears team that is riddled with injuries.
And I'm not even sure what version of Justin Fields we're getting.
The counter would be Chicago's lost six in a row, but they hung tough with Miami.
They went toe-to-toe with Dallas for at least three quarters and then it fell apart.
They almost beat the Lions, came close against the Falcons,
got killed by the Jets.
No shame in that.
The Jets are good.
And then lost to Green Bay by nine.
But yeah, it feels like,
if you're the Bears,
why are you trying to win this game?
Just grab your top three pick.
Let's go.
Because they could be in the situation where,
you know, they don't need a quarterback.
But they could be in that, like,
when Miami traded the Trey Lance pick situation.
Yeah.
Absolutely.
Or just get a great defensive,
get a great defensive player
in the top five
that you can build around.
That's also great.
You know?
Any insight on that
Miami Buffalo game
that you didn't give us already
about just because you're working it?
Anything you learned?
Yeah.
You know,
it's,
it's,
I'm going to be hopping on the phone
with Mike McDaniel and Tua
after we record this
and it's Thursday afternoon,
but the big story is
the weather and whether this team, I mean, quite truly is tough enough and man enough to go up
there and play in the weather. They're talking 15 degrees. They're talking snow that could be up to
seven feet. 20% chance of snow, right? Well, no, more than that. They're saying-
Like 40? Yeah. It's going to be,
they're talking snow and then there's 20 mile per hour winds and here i am you know pretty boy in brooklyn trying to you know find my my snow stuff but if you're
the dolphins you don't deal with that weather and you're coming up there and mike mcdaniel as you
saw as i'm sure you saw wore the shirt yesterday i want it colder like and he's been answering
questions all about this he's trying to lean into it um i'm not sure this team with a banged up offensive line
and a running game that's been non-existent if these are the elements but here's the thing
even if they somehow make the playoffs or if they win and and they lose in some of the playoffs if
they win and they're in the playoffs whatever it is at some point in january they're gonna have to
do some sort of gauntlet with Buffalo, Kansas City, Cincinnati, Baltimore.
Like, sorry, you're in the AFC in this time period.
You have to go outside and win in the cold to do anything.
So they're built for September, October, but don't tell them that.
They're leaning into it.
They like being called soft.
They like being told they can't do it.
So just the opposite of them kind of blowing it off.
They are well aware of what the national narrative is.
And let's see if they can shut everyone up.
I think it's more realistic that
they miss the playoffs than they make the playoffs.
Crazy because after
we're going into Thanksgiving, it was like
Tua was MVP talk.
I don't really love
what I'm seeing. I wonder, what do you think
their odds are? I'm going to go on Fandle. What do you think
their odds are to make the playoffs?
They lost to the Bengals, so they don't have that tiebreaker. They lost to
the Jets right now. They don't have that tiebreaker. And then they lost, obviously,
to the Chargers last week. Not even on Fandle. Fandle's like, we're out.
They don't know. They want to see. They want to see.
Chargers, minus 170, yes. Yeah, I think so. I think so.
Yeah, that seems like pretty safe. But that's the thing is Tennessee could pop that.
We did a thing on Good Morning Football
and just because I know you love the 80s, 90s stuff.
Like I did a whole thing today about what that rivalry meant.
Like Dolphins, Bills, like Marino and Kelly
and all those Brian Cox moments.
It has been dormant for two decades because of the Patriots.
This is the first time since 1993 where they're playing each other this late in the season
and they're in first and second in the division.
NFC South division on FanDuel.
Tampa still minus 320.
Really?
Carolina four to one.
Come on.
Falcons 13 to one.
So let's just talk through this one really fast.
The Desmond Ritter Senior Bowl story got you going.
A little Desmond Ritter action.
But let's say they win this.
They're 6-8 at Baltimore, no Lamar.
Home Arizona and then Tampa last week of the season.
They almost beat them last time.
8-9 is going to win the NFC South, 13-1. I just can't imagine you shifting your allegiance. We've been all Carolina 15 weeks of the season. They almost beat them last time. 8-9 is going to win the NFC South. 13-1? I just can't imagine you shifting your allegiance. We've been all Carolina
15 weeks of the season. No, I know. I'm just
saying over betting
Atlanta and underdog parlay, it's almost
better to just bet them to win the division at 13-1.
Should we do that? Should that be it? It's a better
scenario. I can get behind that.
All right, Schrager.
Your Giants-Washington prediction
was what? I just have no prediction
stay away
I'm
I'm very scared
of that game altogether
I have no idea
what to expect
I think Washington wins
but I have no
I don't know
I'm gonna see
there's a bet on FanDuel
yeah
what is it
Washington Giants
tie first half
okay
Washington wins the game
and it's
16 to 1
that is and I think we're gonna throw in a million picks because I want to root for a tie in the first half.
There has never been a bet that is more up your alley than a tie in the first half.
And us with 30 seconds left in the second quarter, screaming for a team to call a timeout.
So guess who tied in the first half two weeks ago?
Washington and the Giants.
Hey, one thing on that game.
They get back Chase Young.
They get back a couple other guys.
They're off the bye.
I feel like Washington's fresh.
And I don't know.
Giants last week.
Pretty listless.
Plus, Barkley, it looks.
Are we going to find out afterwards that he's got like a torn rotator cuff or something?
That dude's in the final year of his contract.
He isn't missing crap.
He's playing.
Yeah.
All right.
Shregs, good to see you. Good luck this weekend on the sideline.
Give us some sort of shout out. Yeah. Should I do a Carol Burnett? Should I tug my ear for the readers and the listeners? Or should I go with let's go? I mean, we got to think of something
that I can do that Saturday night on NFL Network. You're like, oh, that's what Schrager looks like.
I've been annoyed by his takes all year. No, we're back, baby. We're
eating for Million Dollar Picks. We're back. All right. Good to see you, buddy. Thank you, Bill.
Million Dollar Picks, week 15. We're back, baby. We are back. We won $2.9 million last week. Our
first really, really big week of the season. I'm seeing it.
I'm seeing the field.
I'm like Joe Burrow right now.
I'm just, I'm throwing dimes.
I'm seeing the coverage.
I'm doing the check downs.
I got it.
Down 194,000 for the season.
And we're going to be positive after today.
One of the reasons I feel like Joe Burrow,
I'm seeing the landmines.
I'm seeing that safety shading over the wide receiver. That's the
Chargers-Titans game. Man, the Chargers look tasty. Chargers minus three. Titans kind of reeling.
Why is the line only three? I'm staying away. Same thing for Washington. I liked Washington.
Why are they favored by four and a half? Are too many people on Washington? I'm staying away. I only like three games this week. First one, the Carolina Panthers. They've been
good to us for the last couple of weeks. They can run the hell out of the ball. Last two weeks,
46 for 185 rushing and 46 for 223 rushing. This is what they do. They run the ball. Guess who hasn't stopped the run lately?
The Steelers.
They give up 42 for 215 against the Ravens.
J.K. Dobbins on one leg.
No Lamar Jackson.
What the hell was that?
I think this Steelers season is over.
I don't think T.J. Watt's healthy.
Najee Harris is hurt.
Friar Moose hurt.
We'll see if they play.
Carolina's only laying two and a half at home. They can run
the slate and they can win the NFC
South. They got Pittsburgh this week.
They got the Lions next week
at Tampa, home New Orleans.
I think they win three of those four.
I think they go eight and nine. I think they win the
NFC South. I think they cover this week. We're betting
$1 million on the Panthers
minus two and a half
over Pittsburgh. Second game. I'm in on Desmond Ritter.
I've been in on him since the draft. I think Mariota was killing the Falcons the last few
weeks. Now you have Atlanta in New Orleans. They're getting four and a half. I feel like
this should be a three-point game. What the hell is so good about the Saints? You look at the Saints,
they have lost six of their last eight. One of them was they just killed Las Vegas,
and the other was they beat the Rams by seven. Congratulations. They're still kind of lingering
in the NFC South, but not really. Four and nine. Had one of the worst losses of the year against
Tampa. Atlanta can run the hell out of the ball. That's what they do. But Mary Hoda was so bad
that teams were just loading
up on that and they had no plan B. I like this Desmond Ritter situation. I love the Falcons plus
four and a half. I think this is a three-point game. I think they can go into New Orleans and
win. We're betting $900,000 on that. I'll explain why later. The last game is a parlay. We've been
avoiding parlays. We've been doing straight up picks. That's one of the reasons that we've been doing well. But you have the Bengals in Tampa laying three and a half
and that extra half point scares me. This game looks too obvious. That also scares me.
I just want the Bengals to win. The Bengals are better than Tampa. Tampa is hot garbage.
They're one nine and one against the spread in the last 11 games. Game after game, they fall behind
and they either come back or they get blown out.
I just don't think they're good.
I think Tampa is a bad football team.
I think they're one of the seven worst teams in the league.
And I think Cincinnati is one of the best five or six.
So all I need Cincinnati to do is just win this game in Tampa
because I'm parlaying them with the Philadelphia Eagles,
the best team in the
league, a team that is going to go 16 and one, a team that is going to win Jalen Hurts, the MVP.
They're in Chicago. They're nine point favorites. We're just grabbing the money line, minus 400,
putting that with the Bengals money line, which is around 195, putting that together minus 114.
We're betting $900,000 on that. Bengals and Eagles both have to win. Those are our three
big bets. Then we got two more. Underdog Parlay. Falcons mentioned them before. I wanted to save
a little 50K for the Underdog Parlay. Put them with the Jaguars, plus four and a half. You heard
Ruiz and Solak talk about before how great Trevor Lawrence has been. I know he's a little banged up,
but he's going against Dallas. Dallas has not looked that good the last couple weeks. Falcons-Jags put them together.
That's plus 639.
We're putting 50K on that.
And then last but not least,
one of the dumbest
and yet one of the most fun bets
in the history of million-dollar picks.
There's a parlay you can do on Fando,
which we did last week.
We won with San Francisco
to win the first half against Tampa and with San Francisco to win the first half
against Tampa and then San Francisco to win the game. And that was like around even odds. It was
plus 115. Great. This week, we're going to tackle the Washington Giants game. This is really stupid,
but it happened two weeks ago. We're going to bet on Washington and the Giants to tie
in the first half. They're going to tie.
The score might be 3-3.
It might be 6-6, 10-10.
They're going to tie.
Nobody's going to have to win the first half.
And then Washington is going to win the game.
16-1 odds on FanDuel.
Tie first half.
Washington wins the second half.
What is going to be more fun than rooting for a tie
in this terrible Sunday night game that's going to be 3-3 at halftime and we'll be rooting for it?
16-1 odds, putting 50K on that.
And those are the Million Dollar Picks for week 15.
All right, as promised, Malik Monk in Detroit.
He's on a road trip and the Kings were nice enough to let me grab some time with them.
So here it is.
All right, my guy Malik is here.
We're taping this.
It is a Thursday afternoon.
He just arrived in Detroit.
The Light the Beam Kings
won a big game in Toronto last night.
I was watching.
The road trip would not have been off
to a good start
with the third straight loss.
I was starting to get a little worried,
but you guys stepped up.
Yeah, man, that was a big point in the conversation, man.
We can't lose three in a row, especially on the road trip, man.
We can't lose three in a row going to another tough spot here in Detroit, too, man.
They always play great at home, so we definitely had to get that one last night. Yeah, because you guys were in this spot
where I was starting to take you seriously
as a playoff team, right?
And then like around the country,
people are like,
oh, this isn't like a cute thing.
We're now past 25 games.
The Kings are good.
Like, where are they?
Could they be a top six team?
And so then you go on this road trip,
you kind of have to prove it.
Teams are looking at
you a little differently. They're not thinking it's the same old Sacramento anymore. I'm a Celtic
fan. You guys have been my West Coast team this year, just watching on TV because for whatever
reason, the pieces just fit. And it's just, it's a team that makes sense. Everybody knows their
roles already. I saw you guys in person when you played the Clippers.
When did you know something was happening here?
Because you signed there this summer,
but when did you see all the pieces and were like,
oh shit, we might actually be pretty good?
I seen the pieces when me and Kev signed, actually.
I knew it would be a great match
as soon as me and Kev signed,
having Fox and Sabonis and us two spacing the floor for them.
So, yeah, man, I knew early.
Okay, good.
Because the over-under in Vegas for you guys was like 35 wins.
And we were saying when we were doing our preseason podcast,
we were like, the Kings are going to be good.
That seems like they're going to be at least 500. But I think you've been better than that. You personally. So in high school, you're like a top 10 recruit in the country, right? You go to Kentucky. That's like the school to go to. Good year. Go into the league. Charlotte, that's a weird team.
There's a lot of redundancy in the positions.
It never quite happens there.
You end up on the Lakers. Also a pretty
weird situation. And it feels like
this is the first year you've been on the right
team that kind of gets who you are
and what you do. Is that fair?
Kind of a little bit. The Lakers
let me be me
as much as they can while we had Russ.
Yeah.
Of course.
But yeah, man, Mike just told me to go out there and be myself,
and he never tried to take anything away from me.
So what is its situation with guys like you?
Because you're such a good scorer,
and you have the ability to just heat up at any time.
And you have these moments where it's like, like yesterday in Toronto, where it's like,
all right, Oh, here we go. He's, he's feeling it. This can be like a little three minute stretch.
Why is it so hard for guys like that to find the right teams? Cause I would just think that
would translate to any team. Yeah. Um, you go, you go into a team where it's already orchestrated, where the team is, they got their first five and they got two or three bench guys that's coming off and you're not involved in that.
Right.
Then some of the instances you get hurt, somebody else playing better than you, then you got to work your way back. But yeah, man, it's just situations, man.
And being out there on the court and actually just getting reps will make everybody, well,
just me, it made me more comfortable and it made me the player I am, actually.
I've been like this, but like you said, just I needed the situation and I needed a chance
to just go out there and prove what I could do.
Well, one of the things with you is I like when you have the ball.
You're not a point guard, but you're one of those guys that, you know, Jordan Clarkson's like this.
There's some dudes that they're shooters, but it's actually you can kind of create and run offense for them.
And like on the Lakers last year, even though you were putting up stats, but there was a lot of times where it was like, hey, go stand over there.
And these guys are going to do stuff.
And I don't feel like you're a stand over there guy.
It seems like the key for you to succeed. This is what I think the Kings have done so well. The ball moves. People are moving. People are cutting.
People are getting open. It's not one of those, you guys stand
over here as this one guy dribbles team, which is a really hard place to be.
I think Sabonis is the key to that.
He's such a unique asset, right?
He's so much fun to play with.
So unselfish, man, as a big.
And sometimes he's too unselfish.
And I think that we all feed off of that.
Fox is unselfish, of course.
We all just want the same thing, man.
And that's winning basketball games.
Kev might go off one night.
HB might go off one night. TD might go off one night. HB might go off one night.
TD might go off one night. I might go off.
Domas gonna do it.
Fox gonna do what he do man.
We're just a perfect mix.
It's pretty good and also
Herter. I don't know how they got
Herter.
Atlanta, I don't know. They just
had a lot of guys and they're like yeah alright we'll save
some money. We'll trade Herter.
It's like, Herter's a playoff guy.
Why are you trading him?
That guy could be in a playoff series.
Care my dog, man.
I love care.
Yeah.
Well, what are you going to do about the headband with him, though?
At some point, you got to have a serious talk with him, right?
That's a care question, man.
You got to ask him that.
Maybe one night at like 11 o'clock, you're just like, hey, man,
can we talk about maybe for the playoffs, maybe a different kind of look?
Yeah.
So going backwards, you're on this Kentucky team.
Then now look at all the guys from that team.
I mean, it's like going backwards.
It's one of those rosters.
You look at it like, Jesus.
Yeah.
Oh, my God.
Yeah.
Me, Bam, Fox.
Who else we had?
Briscoe.
He's doing his thing overseas.
I mean, shit, Bam.
Nobody knew Bam was going to turn into.
Did you know that in college?
Did you see this NBA version of him?
Yeah, of course.
We all had to sacrifice something when we went to Kentucky.
Yeah.
I had to sacrifice not having a ball, not bringing a ball up
because my whole career, I mean, my whole high school career,
I was having a ball in my hand, bringing a ball up,
playing a point guard.
And I had to get it up to Fox to run off screens.
And Bam had to give everything else up to, to set screens and,
and just catch the ball and post up,
man.
We all,
we all had a lot of stuff that,
that we had to sacrifice to,
to,
to work,
to make Kentucky work.
And I mean,
it's,
it's working out for us.
So you got two of you guys are back together,
but then I remember you played,
you played Miami at some point this season.
And I was thinking like,
Oh,
this is cool.
These guys, I was like
when the guys who logged in
all the time together, when they were 18,
you see each other, Gavin, you must
be like, you guys must all be still close,
right? Yeah, of course.
We still got our group chat from
college. We talk in
it almost every other day or every day.
Yeah, we still keep close
touch. Well, you still keep close touch.
Well, you could argue the Kings have a better chance to go further in the playoffs this year than Miami does.
Miami's been struggling.
We ain't going to put up with that.
We ain't going to put up with that.
They give Bam some shit.
What do you see going forward with this Kings team?
You're getting these reps.
Everybody takes you seriously now. One of the things I liked, especially I saw in person, going forward with this Kings team, you're getting these reps.
Everybody takes you seriously now.
One of the things I liked,
especially I saw in person,
is everybody kind of knows their roles already,
which I think is pretty rare for a team that has some new pieces.
You guys know who our nine is,
who our 10 is,
who's playing when,
who's going in.
If you're getting hot in the fourth quarter,
they'll keep you out longer,
stuff like that.
So what else needs to happen?
What are the next steps?
Really locking in on the defensive end
because our offense is always going to be there.
Yeah.
We really just got to buy in to everybody's moving
as one on the defensive end.
And when we do that, it's going to be sky's the limit.
I was surprised in person.
This is why I love going. One of the many reasons I love
going to basketball games. Keegan Murray's
fucking tall.
He's like a big ass dude. He looks like
he's like 6'10". Yeah, he's
big now. He's way taller than
I thought too when I first, when I seen him
playing at Iowa.
And he's smooth. And he's like,
yeah, he's just like,
there's an easiness to him.
I liked him.
I thought, I was like,
I liked him in college,
but in person,
I was like, oh, this guy.
Like, you can just see what he is.
He's stretched,
stretched four or three.
He can just kind of go back and forth.
But it just seemed like
he was fun to play with too,
which I think
one of the things I like about the Kings
is everybody seems like
they're fun to play with.
For sure. We got to get Keegan open up a little bit
more, but other than that, he's great.
Was he too quiet? Yeah.
I mean, he's a rookie, though, but
I'm going to make sure he
opens up.
Who's the most
loquacious,
gregarious, crazy guy on the team
personality standpoint?
You're probably talking to him right now.
Yeah, I was going to say, you're probably one of the candidates, right?
Yeah, definitely.
What about Sabonis?
What's he like?
I love Sabonis.
He talks a big game, though.
That's what he does.
He's like a shit talker?
Yeah.
Yeah.
To me, at least.
Kev, too. We all just talk. We all talk a we all just talk we all talk a lot man we all talk
a lot of stuff to each other um i think that's why we get along so well well kev's got some swagger
yeah yeah he always had that i like he definitely a little more than i think people might be
expecting they don't know they don't know kev yeah he's been in. He was in Atlanta now. So yeah, we got a little season from there. Well, you also have I mean, I think you're better than
a heat check guy at this point, but you're you know, you're a classic heat check guy.
But Davis is another heat check guy. Yeah, TD, man. He can he can like do like the 15 point
quarters and all that. He did that last night, man. He kept us in the game. He kept us
in the game last night for sure.
Who's the best team you've played in the
West so far? Who impressed you the
most? The best team?
Or have you
not played the team yet? Probably
Phoenix, man.
Because they're just so
together. We haven't played
Denver yet. I haven't seen what Denver's like yet.
But yeah, Phoenix, they just know each other, man.
And they just move as one.
It's hard to beat them.
It's hard to beat them.
And you played my team, the Celtics.
You hung with like two and a half quarters,
and then we made every shot for like a half hour.
Celtics are legit, man.
Jason is my dog, too.
I've been knowing Jason since I was little.
Yeah, man.
Wait, explain that.
How do you know Jason since you were little?
St. Louis and Arkansas is close.
And we used to see each other a lot playing AAU.
And he used to go to Memphis to work out.
And Memphis is like 30, 40 minutes from my hometown
in Arkansas.
I used to see him a lot when he was little.
Interesting. You saw him
before he grew to become a 6'9
freak? Yeah, man. He
actually always been like that, though.
All the footwork, all the jab steps.
He played like that his whole life.
He haven't changed his game.
Were you laughing when he didn't go first in that draft?
Yes and no.
Because I seen what the teams were trying to do.
Yeah.
Your draft was that 2017 or 18?
17.
Yeah, you were 17, right?
You went 11.
That was a good draft.
Yes, sir. Yes, sir. So that was
the Tatum draft. That was
Lonzo and Fultz and yeah,
there was a lot of stuff going on in that.
Yeah, Donovan. Me, Bam, Fox.
Yeah, all of them. Yeah.
Yeah, Donovan fell to what? Like 13?
Did he go after you? Yeah, he was 14
actually. Bam went 13.
Damn. Yeah.
Larry Marketing. Oh, right. Yeah. Larry Marketing.
Oh, right.
Yeah, that was a deep trap.
So you're a believer in the Celtics then?
Yeah, man.
They're legit.
They're legit.
They're a legit team.
Anybody else surprise you?
No, us.
Not really anybody else, man.
The West is like, it could not be more wide open,
especially like Curry just got hurt last night.
I don't know how bad the shoulder thing is.
Hopefully it's not too bad.
Yeah.
You can never count Golden State out, man,
because they've been doing this a long time, man. Him, Draymond,
Clay, they've been doing this a long time,
so they'll figure it out.
They'll definitely figure it out. Have you ever gotten into
it with Draymond?
No, we talked back and forth. We never really
got into no, like, altercation,
but we'll talk some shit to
each other. Yeah, you're not like,
you're a little bit of a shit talker, but you're not like
a barker. Yeah, I'm not going to just're a little bit of a shit talker, but you're not like a barker. Yeah, I'm not going
to just bark.
I'll talk a little bit
to you, though.
Yeah.
So you guys,
you played the Lakers
early in the season,
but not lately
since they got
their stuff together
a little bit.
How many games?
I think we played them
in like two or three games
in set.
What was your,
what was your best LeBron story
from your year in the lakers i can't tell
you those you can't not even the secret lebron stories and get the secrets out man because
that's gonna get my secrets that he gave me out was he was he cooler or just as cool as you thought
he was going to be to play with way way cooler um because he's so smart.
And he's just going,
he'll tell me something
that'll happen.
And I'm like, yo,
how you know this is about to happen?
Then he'll move,
this person move,
this person move.
Then the ball will come to me
and I get the shot.
And he just said it'll happen
just like that, man.
So he thinks like five, six plays
ahead of everybody else. So that's why it happened just like that man so he thinks like five six plays ahead
of the uh ahead of everybody else so that's why it was so great man um just being around him um
almost every day um and just taking out a lot is from yeah the crazy thing about him is
he's one of like the best physical specimens we've had right in basketball but he's also got the
brain too he's got like that magic bird brain on top of
the physical specimen thing but yeah everybody who plays with him is like there's some sort of
genius element to how he sees basketball that's just different i don't know how he does it but
he definitely sees the game way way different than everybody else what did you see from davis
last year because he's been uh he's been better this year than last year. Last year, it seemed like he had too much muscle.
He definitely
probably was a little heavy last year, but
I can't say that
because he knows his body better than us.
But AD is always great, man.
He's always talking to me.
Just making sure I know the game
on and off the court.
I was with him a lot
and that helped me to become the player I am right now.
He always just gave me small little pointers, man.
Don't do this.
Go about things like this.
Do this.
Do this.
So, yeah, I love ADN, bro.
Who's the best teammate you've had?
Because you've been, what, six years now?
That's a tough question, man.
I have some great teammates.
Okay, everyone loves Kemba.
Kemba, Marvin Williams,
LeBron, of course, AD.
But Kemba, man, yeah,
Kemba probably was the best.
Kemba was the best.
When he came to,
everyone in Boston absolutely loved him. They said like off the court, he was the best. Kimball was the best. When he came to, everyone in Boston absolutely loved him.
They said, like, off the court, he was the all-time best guy.
Great.
He's just great.
Always happy, always smiling.
Nothing negative about him.
So, yeah, I love that about Kenny.
Yeah, I'm hoping he, in Dallas, I'm hoping they use him like the Celtics
have been using Blake Griffin.
Although they've had to play Blake Griffin more.
But these guys that, if you can just get one good game a week out of them,
and then they can rest their bodies.
Right.
He can do it, too, man.
He can do it.
He can do it.
I think that was a great pickup for him.
Who do you think is the best player in the league right now?
The best player?
Yeah.
Oh, my.
When you're going against all these dudes, does
anyone stand out, or would you say there's
four to six guys that are all near each
other? Giannis,
of course. Yeah.
Jason.
Luca.
Steph.
It's a good foursome
yeah
so when you have Giannis
that's one of those
where it's like
today's gonna be hard
every time he on the schedule
it's gonna be like oh yeah he's coming
100%
he coming 100% every play
and he's not gonna stop and his team feeds off that He's coming 100%. He's coming 100% every play.
And he's not going to stop.
And his team feeds off that.
So that's why they're so good because they just feed off his energy.
He's not going to have – his energy never goes down.
My team had to play him in a very long playoff series last year, and I needed like a vacation afterwards from him.
That was a long –
Two weeks of Giannis was – I was like, that was it.
I don't want to see this guy again for a year.
That's stressful.
Yeah.
It's rough.
Tell me about the Kings fans.
Cause it seems like there's something special.
I mean that talk about a star fan base.
They have made the playoffs since 06.
And they still there every day.
Yelling, screaming.
The fans surprised me.
That's one thing
that surprised me
about the city
is how loyal the fans are.
Everywhere I go,
they've been telling me
we've been Kings fans
for this long.
I'm so glad
that you're bringing light
to the team,
things like that, man.
So they all just,
they all bought in
just like we are, man.
So we're just trying
to turn everything around. Because you guys are a legitimately tough home team now there's an energy
to those games i'm gonna come i'm gonna end up coming yeah please come i want to come i want to
come see it in person because i love nothing more than a good nba home crowd and there's an energy
in those games that you can feel in the TV. It gets loud.
It gets real loud in there.
Well, think about how long.
All right, so they have made the playoffs since, I think, 06.
So how old were you in 2006?
Hmm.
Eight?
You're right.
So, you know, and then on top of it,
I'm sure you know the history of they should have made the finals in 2002
and the refs in game six and all that stuff.
So it was just a 20-year anniversary of all that.
The refs have been a story about the Kings, man, for a little bit.
I've been hearing it.
Yeah, I've been hearing it.
When I was with the Lakers, I heard it.
When I was with Charlotte, I heard it, man.
And now I'm here, I'm seeing a little bit of it.
But maybe that's been a story.
Maybe it'll flip.
We're going to turn it around.
All right.
I'm trying to think.
That's it.
That's it.
That's all I had for me.
I was just checking in.
I am super excited that you finally found the right team.
You're one of my favorites.
I'm going to come to a game.
Let's try to figure out how to get more of a personality out of Keegan Murray.
I'll think of some ideas.
I'll be on that a lot.
How about coffee?
Maybe like Starbucks?
Could that get him going?
Like a latte?
I don't think he needs to drink coffee right now.
Candy?
Like M&M's?
Yeah, candy.
We got to take him to some dinners
things like that
yeah alright
he'll come out of his shell
he's a rookie
do you make him
like carry the bags
and all
you doing all
is he doing all
the rookie stuff
yeah he does
some rookie stuff
but I got another
we got Keon
on a trip with us
um
he's another rookie
I make him
um
carry the bags
but Keegan gotta go
every plane ride.
He got to go get Chick-fil-A for everybody.
So, yeah, that's one thing he does.
Oh, that's good.
I mean, that sounds delicious.
All right, listen.
Good luck with the rest of the season.
I'm glad you found the right team.
I'm on the bandwagon.
I love the Light the Beam stuff.
I love the home crowd.
You guys are fun to watch. Congratulations on everything.
Got to come check it out.
All right. Good to see you.
So you too. Appreciate it.
All right. That's it for the podcast. Thanks to Malik. Thanks to Ben and Steven. And thanks to
Shrigs. Thanks to Kyle Creighton for producing as always, I will see you on this feed on Sunday night.
Until then. Yes, we can. On the wayside.
On the first side.
Never on.
Say it.
I don't have to ever forget.