The Bill Simmons Podcast - Boston Does L.A., Honeymoon Harden, a Denver Hiccup, and a Kawhi Deep Dive With Zach Lowe

Episode Date: February 23, 2026

The Ringer’s Bill Simmons is joined by Zach Lowe LIVE on Netflix right after Celtics vs. Lakers to react to the game before recapping the NBA slate from the weekend (01:11). Then, they dive deep and... go over Kawhi Leonard's 14-year career (01:09:13).Host: Bill SimmonsGuest: Zach LoweProducers: Chia Hao Tat, Eduardo Ocampo, and Chris Wohlers Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:57 go cross-country to go see my daughter in college. And if I could bundle all the stuff to one thing, when I know I'm going back anyway, now that is a winning strategy. Book now with Expedia. All right, live on Netflix, it's Bill Simmons podcast. Zach Lowe is here. We're a little bit after Celtics Lakers. We had some technical difficulties, but not difficulties for Zach Lowe. We were worried the snowstorm was going to just inundate you with some sort of blizzard. And I would just be soloing for an hour and a half, but that's not what happened. We're persevering the worst is yet to come. I'm not looking forward to the shoveling that's going to have to happen here on the East Coast.
Starting point is 00:02:09 Another great advertisement for life in Los Angeles, by the way. Don't throw out your back shoveling. We need you. This is this is pod season right now. We're about to hit the best part. March, April, May, June. We need Zach Lowe. All right.
Starting point is 00:02:21 Lots to cover. We're going to start with Celtics Lakers because that just happened. I did not go because I was excited to be live on a Netflix right. after the game. But I was confident. And the body language doctor was watching both teams very carefully. Really a tale of two teams, that game, Zach. You have a Celtic team that is basically built around these three guys,
Starting point is 00:02:44 one of whom is an MVP candidate. The other are two very, very good guards. And then a bunch of dudes who try hard. And that's the Celtics. But they play well together. There's a spirit to them. You can see they're pulling for each other. They're used to each other.
Starting point is 00:02:59 And then you watch this weird Lakers team that when they're bad, it looks really bad. Sometimes you'll catch them some nights where they're on cruise control for three quarters, and then they can flip it on for a quarter and steal a game. But a lot of times it's games like today where it's a bad loss, but it almost feels worse than a loss. But the fact is it's 82 games. It's a loss. Who cares? You move on.
Starting point is 00:03:22 And yet I don't love what I see from them. What is wrong with them if you had to say what's wrong with the Lakers? Well, it's another double-digit loss, right? And it feels like all of their losses are double-digit losses, which is why it feels so much worse than 34 and 22 or whatever they are. Look, we knew, like, the defense was going to be a problem with LeBron, Luca and Reeves all together at the same time. Although I thought Luca, Luca, was like the best guy they had on Peyton Pritchard tonight. He cooked everybody else except for Luca. And then, you know, like, so that was always going to be a problem.
Starting point is 00:03:55 And just balancing offense, defense. Sorry, we need smart for some defense, but he missed a million threes tonight, and they left them open, and they put centers on him when the Lakers took their centers off the floor. So they're like, Kada Vucci, you just guard Marcus Smart, but don't actually guard him. And then just, you know, they're an interesting team to watch game to game, particularly now that Reeves is back in the starting lineup because they have games. Like I've seen all their recent games where the three of them are in sync to a much larger degree than they were today. And then tonight they have, they have games like tonight where it just feels like the three of them. minus three or four set plays that happens after dead balls or timeouts
Starting point is 00:04:31 and then just vanish. The three of them just sort of seem like they exist on their own islands within the offense and they don't really do anything when they don't have the ball. And that's when I think the body language doctor probably perks up like, oh, Luke is just standing in the corner.
Starting point is 00:04:44 LeBron's just standing in the corner. Where's Reeves? Reeves was invisible for three quarters of the game. So it's just like, and then they have this Aiton thing where, you know, his numbers might look good. Today they didn't. And it's just, every game, every other game,
Starting point is 00:04:59 JJ's just like, can I just play none of my centers? Is that okay? Like, we're going to get smoked on the glass and defensively, but it's just a weird, it's not their year. It's not their year.
Starting point is 00:05:09 Yeah, and yet their record is good enough that after Denver lost today, they had a chance to ascend into, we have game seven at home in round one. I don't fully understand it as I'm watching it. Like even Friday night, they beat the Clippers, right? It kind of held on.
Starting point is 00:05:25 It was the same kind of typical. Laker win where you never felt good about it the whole game, but you also kind of felt like they were going to win, but it's not like they were playing great. They can just have these little stretches. But I think what's weird about them, and I don't really fully understand it, because I think you have three guys that are actually okay at making other guys better as an understatement. And yet, I don't feel like they make each other better. And it's a lot of like taking turn stuff, which maybe some of that has to do with they just haven't played enough games together. But it just feels really clumsy.
Starting point is 00:05:59 And it's surprising to me. But as somebody who can't stay in the Lakers, like now we're in March and it still feels rocky and weird and some of the body language stuff is weird. And I think they're realizing in real time, like what were we thinking counting on DeAndre Aiden? Why did we talk ourselves into this? What were we thinking?
Starting point is 00:06:18 Well, he had a couple missed rebounds tonight where they just, I mean, like the Celtics only had nine offensive rebounds tonight, but it felt like more than that because every one of them was so demoralizing, and it was just a Celtic guy trying harder than a Laker guy. And a couple of times it was Kada and Aiton and just Aiden deciding I'm not boxing out, and Kada being like, I'm just going to rampage over you and get the ball. Right. Kada was what they were hoping they were going to get from Aighton, right? Kada's just having a better season. He's been more consistent.
Starting point is 00:06:45 It's not like he's an All-Star or anything, but he's pretty consistently a double-double guy around that, but he tries. And that's what was interesting about as this game went along, and the Celtics can just bring in their dragons off the bench, right? It's like, hey, have you met Hugo Gonzalez? Hugo, Hugo, everybody met Hugo tonight. Everybody. He was all over there, almost through a no-hitter for the last five minutes of the second quarter and then finally fell for a double fake by Reeves.
Starting point is 00:07:10 Jordan Walsh, they can bring in Shireman and Houser, who are both these guys, that teams feel like, oh, let's target this guy. And they're always a little better defensively than I think they're going to realize. But everybody in that team fights. And then the big thing, I just think, so there's an MVP conversation when I have a little bit. And I'm not saying Jaylen's the MVP of the league. But he's just done this all year. I mean, this was his 28, 30 point game, which is, I think he's played 51 games.
Starting point is 00:07:38 So over 50% of his games, he's had 30 points. He hasn't had, sometimes you can goose your scoring average because you had like a 63 point game or a 58 point game. He hasn't had those. I think his highest game was 50. for the most part he's always between 27 and 33 and it's games like today he finished i think it was 32 eight seven he had three steals um but he's been so consistent there's a really interesting first and first all team NBA combo brewing because there's basically it's brewing it's brewing it's bubbling because we have yokej and sGA and luka and jalen and kade and then wemby if he wants to crash the party
Starting point is 00:08:18 but the way Brunson has a chance to come on here down the show. And I don't know how it's going to shake out. But I think right now, would you have Jalen in that top five? Would you have him first team? I would not. I would have him second team. Well, I mean, the first three are SGA, Yokic and Wembe if he qualifies, right? And then I think you mentioned Cade.
Starting point is 00:08:40 I would have Cade over Jalen Brown. The two guys who you didn't mention who I feel like I'm kind of going crazy because they're always, it's probably because their teams, the perception of their teams is slightly compared to how high, how you, like how the pistons have obliterated expectations and the Celtics have obliterated expectations.
Starting point is 00:08:58 Donovan Mitchell and Anthony Edwards, I would have both of them over Jalen Brown. They've had unbelievable seasons. And yeah, I realized the Cads lost the day to the Thunder and they've been kind of meh, but they are 36 and 22, and they're like D-O-A without Donovan Mitchell for the season.
Starting point is 00:09:14 And the wolves, I mean, what a bad 24 hours for, everybody behind San Antonio and the Western Conference, because the wolves are about to kick this game to Philadelphia if they haven't already. But, you know, they're 35 and 22, I think, or 35 and 23, maybe after this game.
Starting point is 00:09:29 Good, solid team. We'll see where they end up. But, like, those guys' numbers are unbelievable, and particularly Ant is a really good two-way player. But Jalen Brown's right in that sort of tier with all of those guys. I'd probably put them a little bit above Brunson, who you also mentioned, because of the two-way stuff.
Starting point is 00:09:44 but it's a really interesting group of guys below the Yokic SGA Wembe trio. And if one or two of those guys falls out because they don't hit 65 games, it's like we're staring at complete chaos, MVP, and all NBA. Yeah, so there's two separate conversations, right, where we're judging people on the season, but then there's also who are the actual best guys in the league. And that's where Wembe, even though he hasn't played enough games yet. he's either the third or fourth best player in the league now,
Starting point is 00:10:15 just game to game when you're actually watching it, right? Wouldn't you have him in that somewhere? If you have SGA and Yokage 1-2, he's at least battling for the conversation of that 3-4-5 area. Yeah, absolutely for sure. I think 5 is the floor. Yeah. I probably would still have Janus 3 when healthy
Starting point is 00:10:33 because he's just been that dominant of a player this season, maybe the best thing. I forgot about Yonis. Yeah, but yeah, but that means like the bucks are, They still exist and Yonis theoretically is going to come back. Probably is going to come back. I don't know. But yeah, Wemby is a monster, man.
Starting point is 00:10:48 There's just no way around it. And I just think he's, you know, a little bit above those other guys. Well, because you have the MVP odds where SGA is still favored. Drop down a minus 150 today on Fandall because he keeps missing games. Joker is around 3 to 1. Cade went from 14 to 1 plus 650. And then Wembe dropped to 25 to 1. And Cade and Wembe are the interesting one.
Starting point is 00:11:11 because Wemby, they might be the one seat in the West for all we know. They're, what are they? 40 and 16 and OKC's 44 and 14. So there's only two back in the last column. It's not inconceivable. They can jump. They're 11 straight.
Starting point is 00:11:27 Yeah, they have the tiebreaker, right. Cade's case is just, we've seen this happen a couple of times in NBA history. The most famous one was Derek Rose in 11, where it's like, I don't, this doesn't 100% pass the MVP sniff test. but I can't think of anyone else to vote. And this is a one seed.
Starting point is 00:11:46 This guy does everything. He does everything down in the stretch. And even though the stats may not totally measure up to some of the other candidates, I'm going to talk myself into this guy because I can't come up with a better candidate. And the only way you would do that is if SGA doesn't get the maximum, if he doesn't get to 65. I think SGA, if he can get the maximum, is going to win the 65. Yeah, there's a reason he's the odds on favorite.
Starting point is 00:12:11 Can I read you a crazy clutch? When we get into these debates and players are super close together like this, that's when I start to look at clutch games. And I realize like all the nerds will be like, but clutch is random. It's just a small sample size. Yeah, the whole season is a small sample size. I'm splitting hairs.
Starting point is 00:12:27 This is just another hair I want to look at. Cade for the season, last five minutes of close games, 49% from the floor that's on 75 shot attempts, only seven turnovers, 18 assists. The pisons are plus 49 in those minutes. Monster clutch season. Only one guy has taken more than those 75 shots, and it's Tyrese Maxie who's been doing everything for Philly all year.
Starting point is 00:12:50 He's 44 of 92. And I kept trying to find Luca. It's like, because, you know, the Lakers, the thing with the Lakers is they win all these close games and they lose in all these blowouts. It's like, Luca must have a really good clutch year. Luca has taken the same amount of shots in the last five minutes of close games as Chris Middleton.
Starting point is 00:13:10 this season. Luca is 7 of 16 on shots in the last five minutes of close games. Chris Middleton is 8 of 16. Peyton Watson checking in at 3 of 16. Jose Alvarado jumping in at 5 out of 16. I mean, that's how few clutch minutes the Lakers have actually played. It's a really remarkable stat. That's crazy. Well, that's one of the reasons I'm a little cooler on Mitchell. So, because I just disagree that he's been more valuable than Jalen because the clutch stats for Mitchell. aren't awesome. I also don't think like, yeah, they had injuries the first, what, 40, 45 games, but they still had him. He still had rebounders and some people to play with. And I didn't understand why none of, none of that was his fault, whereas Jalen was basically playing the whole year
Starting point is 00:13:58 without Tatum and the Celtics had a better record. So I just feel like it's a record thing with that and the Celtics have been better than the Cavs. I feel like I'm taking crazy pills on Donovan Mitchell, like, what am I missing? So he's averaging 29 points in game, same as Jalen Brown. Yeah. 48.6% from the field, Jalen Brown's 48.4 going into tonight. Yeah. 37.6% on threes.
Starting point is 00:14:25 Jalen Brown's 34.5. And I don't mean to put the two of them against each other, but you did, so I am. 58% on twos, 53% for Jalen Brown. Six assists for Donovan Mitchell, five assists for Jalen Brown. We'll call it, you know. I just don't, and Jalen Brown's a better defensive player, but just because of his size, I don't think it's some enormous gap. And I kind of just, I think this season, there are a couple ways to frame this season for the Celtics,
Starting point is 00:14:51 right? Jalen Brown, he, oh, Tatems, been out the whole year. He did so much with nothing. And look, I didn't think the Celtics are going to be nearly this good. So I kind of have to half believe that. But I think what we've learned is there's an infrastructure of both talent and coaching and system here that is better than we thought it was going into the season. And in Cleveland, like, Darius Garland was a total zero, basically.
Starting point is 00:15:11 Like, even when he played, he did not play very well. Mowgli's been injured a lot. Struis has been injured the whole season. Hunter was poop and they traded him. Jared Allen's been up and down. Like, Sam Merrill had a broken hand for a while and was out. I do think it's been, we can have the more with less debate. It's just, but to me, it's just degrees of it.
Starting point is 00:15:29 Donovan Mitchell's been the only constant on that team. And now they're starting to click. But I just think it's a perception thing, right? Like everyone was pessimistic about the Celtics and they're a feel good story. Everybody was way high on the calves and it feels like they're disappointing. And I just look at Donovan Mitchell's numbers and I watch him play. He's so explosive. He can get any shot he wants at any time.
Starting point is 00:15:49 He's shooting well from all over the place. And he never even in, did you see to Tim Bontam's straw poll? There's like, there's like seven guys and then there's a jail in his like six or seven. And then there's just a chasm. And then like one guy or two guys put Donovan Mitchell third place. But what am I, what am I missing? Can I counter now? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:16:11 Jalen has been awesome as a two-way player and as a consistent day-to-day week-to-week force. No one is disputing that. No, but listen, I feel like this gets lost sometimes when we talk about seasons, especially. It's the week-to-week consistency that we throw away. It's like just durability. I always value, I think, more than some of the other people that vote for this award. Like the Celtics started at 0 and 3. They are 36 and 16 since, 37 and 16 since.
Starting point is 00:16:45 And he's always been there. If he's taking a game off, it's one game and he's back. He's guarded some of the best guys in the league and taking the challenge sometimes. Like when they play the Pistons, he guards Cade. You know, like, if this game was, I think they were saving him for the fourth quarter night, but I think they would have put him on Luca when they went against the quippers. guarded Kauai. Like, he's taking that challenge.
Starting point is 00:17:08 And I think when you know what you're getting from a guy night to night on both ends, we're getting probably 30 from this guy and he's going to play real hard defense and he's going to go to the basket. The part that I never really fully thought that he had until this year was a sense of the rhythm of the game. And you could see it today in a couple spots when he would push the pace because the Lakers, that's their weakness, right? Sometimes they don't run back.
Starting point is 00:17:35 They don't want to do this at all. And there was some times when he's just like, I'm getting in the basket. Like we can kind of go for the kill here. I don't know if he was as smart of a player like that offensively. I just didn't fully think he was there until this year. So I just think when I watch everything, there's a mastery of what he's doing game to game
Starting point is 00:17:54 that I think is the biggest reason they're successful. That and the two guards that have always one of them seems to get hot for an hour. I don't really the stats don't back it up but it's like today I was Pritchard right he just kind of got hot for an hour
Starting point is 00:18:08 and the next game it might be Derek White but I just think what Jalen's doing has been really impressive would you have him over Anthony Edwards it's that this is why
Starting point is 00:18:21 I brought this up I think this is really it's gonna be fun it's gonna be a thinker to me Mitchell's not first team but I think Edwards it's Edwards and Jalen
Starting point is 00:18:30 and Wembe probably for one spot is how this is gonna play out unless somebody misses. You're just like, Luca's just all first team. It's going to be interesting, isn't it? Like, it's just someone,
Starting point is 00:18:43 someone awesome is not going to be first team all NBA if everyone's eligible. If Luca misses, like, he has another stretch or he misses four to five games, maybe. But there's, there's a level that he goes to. Even today,
Starting point is 00:18:59 there was like a little two-minute stretch where he's just like, I'm just going to post this guy up, but I'm offended that you're guarding me with him. him. And when he misses, it's surprising. But he can have, I didn't think he was good today and he still ended up with like 27. The foul, the foul bitching stuff is the worst. It's been in a while. It's back to peak. It's back to peak unwatchability. It's every single play now. It's back to where it was it. It's very worst in Dallas when it got so bad that the Mavs had to finally call him out
Starting point is 00:19:28 publicly. Yeah, it's so bad that even LeBron's like, wow, wow. What's this guy? This guy's really bitched for cause, but I don't think it helps them. I mean, big picture from a Lakers standpoint, like, why didn't they get Alvarado? Why didn't they do anything? Why did they think Marcus Smart was somebody, like, did they
Starting point is 00:19:52 have aspirations to actually be good this year? Good use of the word aspirations, by the way. Not with the quippers. I think they had aspirations to be good. I think that's probably, if you caught them in a real moment, that's probably about where their aspirations ended and their aspirations are focused mostly on this summer
Starting point is 00:20:10 when they have three first round picks to trade. But to your point, the Knicks got Alvarado without giving up a first round pick. The Lakers got Luke Kinnard. And I enjoyed on the broadcast today how they're just, the whole NBC crew was aghast that Luke Kinnard percentage-wise, the best or second or third best three-point shooter of all time is only taking like four, four and a half threes per game as a Laker. They had it's unacceptable. I'm like, welcome to the Luke Kinnard experience. It looks awesome on paper, and then he doesn't shoot enough to justify the lack of deal. This is why he's on the Lakers after being on a million other teams. You've had a few awesome on paper.
Starting point is 00:20:46 Don't get too carried away by the signing guys, and I think he would be the point guard on the team. I don't know who else is on that team. Aitin's been on there, but it's almost not fair to put him on. But there's just certain guys who look better on paper. Luke Conard, I got sucked in. I thought when they got him, I was like perfect, perfect trade. but the guy to get was Alvarado who I don't
Starting point is 00:21:06 also know where the Celtics were on that one either that's what they give up Dayland they gave up Terry and two second round picks and got a guy who played crunch time last night in the Rockets game I don't think the Rockets played crunch time in that game I think it was just the Knicks 5-0 in crunch time but yeah so Jose Alvarado was one of the five
Starting point is 00:21:24 and had back-to-back steals a layup that I'm still not sure how he made it over a much larger player in transition it was an incredible shot but yeah And obviously the crowd loves him already. And that's the thing. I mean, if I was a GM, I would have traded for him two months ago if I had any sort of playoff aspirations crossed with a home crowd.
Starting point is 00:21:44 Because that's like just your, like, we saw it. We saw it in the brief moments when the Pelicans have mattered over the last couple years. Like you see what, what that guy is. He's perfect. The thing that was shocking about Nick's Rockets last night was they actually got away with playing him and Brunson together. They do it a lot.
Starting point is 00:22:00 They played the two of them. and sham it together too. But against the Rockets? I was surprised. I was like, whoa, and it worked. It did. It was not a good night for the Rockets.
Starting point is 00:22:12 I don't know if you want to talk that one out, but another bad crunch time performance by the Rockets who had, I think, nine turnovers in the fourth quarter and they ranged from Shen Gung through the ball to nobody. There was a back court violation. The Durant dribbled the ball off his foot. I think at one point it was just every manner of, you know, all right, we got nothing.
Starting point is 00:22:31 Shengoon just ISO from the three-point arc with eight on the shot clock and dribble 14 times and maybe something good will happen and something good never happened. I was on two different text threads this morning with Celtic fans. All of us kind of getting PTSD for the EMA season that the Celtics had when it would go bad and it would just get stagnant and nobody moved and there would be no solutions to a defense kind of figuring out the offense because I've been on this, Legler was on this, podcast like five or six weeks ago. And he was talking about the Rockets.
Starting point is 00:23:05 And he mentioned how frustrated he was by how they used Thompson. And he was like they really only used them like trying to go downhill and beating guys one-on-one or, you know, trying to get to the rim or kicking out. And he was like, I don't understand why they don't post them up. He'd be so devastating around the rim. They never do it. And I think his skill set, especially when he's being defended by smaller people, I think his skill set lends itself to that.
Starting point is 00:23:30 I don't know why they don't do it. You're watching yesterday, he either had Alvarado or Brunson on him. And it was like the perfect example of like, just put him near the block and run the offense through him because the Knicks are going to have to double that immediately. I don't, they just kind of get stagnant and then just throw it to Durant and cross their fingers. Seems to be their offense unless they throw at those Schengun, same thing. I'll tell you what I was thinking as the meltdown happened in the fourth quarter is, look, I understand why Imae Oduca may be a little.
Starting point is 00:24:01 hesitant to trust Reed Shepherd as much as he trusts his core guys who all have the same sort of skill set, big, rangy, defense first players. Yeah. I just think there are games where Reed Shepherd's got to play more. And when your offense is just going off the rails like that, because you're not running anything, I just think you bring
Starting point is 00:24:17 him in for Jabari Smith Jr. Atari Easton and just, all right, we're going to run some Reed Shepherd Shengoon, two-man game, Reed Shepherd, Durant, two-man game, loosen things up. Like, all of a sudden, boom, stuff opens up, and like good things happen. And I understand defensively he's going to get picked on a little bit, but he can Art Jose Alvarado, he's got good hands, he makes plays.
Starting point is 00:24:33 Right. I think they're going to, they're going to have, maybe it was last night, they're just going to have to cross the Rubicon at some point of like, this guy's either a huge part of our team or we're just putting that off for another year because there are games that just scream for, with Van Vleet out, we need more of this guy in the game. And last night, that's as it was happening, that's all I was thinking. It was like, they should just, can you put him back in the game? Well, I wholeheartedly agree and I would even want up you. I think if they don't do it, they're a cross-off team for the playoffs. I don't see it happening with them with the way they're built.
Starting point is 00:25:09 They don't get transition when he's not in there, right? They just slow down. They don't get fast breaks anymore. He opens the court for them. And then on top of it, what you just mentioned, like they can run two-man stuff with them. But it's like the ceiling of the team, he just makes it higher. And if they're not going to get there this year with him, then they're not going to get there
Starting point is 00:25:28 anyway. It's certainly not going to happen with the team they have. I don't really understand it. Because you're just throwing away fast breaks for basically the entire fourth quarter. And that's one of the frustrating. That's not frustrating. That's one of the sort of built in the built in dissonance of the rockets. And every team has been built in dissonance. But like Reed Shepherd and Amman Thompson are born to play fast. Like they are born to fly up and down the court and Reed Shepherd should be shooting a lot to threes. And Amman Thompson is a speed demon. And the rest of the team just doesn't play like that. They're more of a just battering ram of offensive rebounding and slow it down,
Starting point is 00:26:01 ISO basketball. It's just such an interesting push and pull. These older guys, you have these old famous superstars who are just used to, this is how I play guys. Let's play this style. We're going to do that. I think as you get older,
Starting point is 00:26:16 it just gets tougher to move in a different thing. This has not been a great Kevin Durant week. I'm going to say it was in the bottom five, Kevin Durant Weeks, to ranking, power rankings, probably in the maybe worst three. It's not been good. It's not been good.
Starting point is 00:26:30 Can I ask you a Celtics question? Yeah. Since we're coming off Celtics Lakers. Yeah. How are you feeling two weeks into the Vooch experience? Today was not good. Today was one of those. They might actually won by 30 if Luca Garza was playing.
Starting point is 00:26:47 But it's going to be rocky. It's going to be up and down. There's some nights when he looks 35. And I don't mean that as a compliment. It's just like the rebounds over. head and he's a step slow and you just lose athleticism and a whole bunch of stuff. Then there's other nights when it looks great. I think it's certainly worth the experiment.
Starting point is 00:27:05 But I don't know. I haven't been wowed. I won't be bouncing my grandkids on my lap telling them about the Vooch trade of 2026. Probably not happening. But as the two part with Tatum, it still makes sense. Are you getting nervous that there seems to be like a Ramon? to Shelburne, I talked to Jason Tatum, and he wants to make clear he's not sure, 100% sure he's coming back.
Starting point is 00:27:32 Or Chris Haynes tweets, are you starting to get nervous that this may not happen? No, because if he doesn't feel good about coming back, I don't want him to come back. Okay, so you're good either. You're good either way. You just want him to do what's good? I want him to feel good about it. I just think they're covering all their bases and trying not to get people's hopes up. The Missoula, I don't know if you've seen the Missoula press conferences, but they've been
Starting point is 00:27:52 riveting. What is he said about it? Well, there was one today where somebody was like, was Jason out there practicing today? And he's like, yes, he was. And, or he was like, was he out there for practice today? He was like, yes. And the follow-up question was,
Starting point is 00:28:07 was he playing with the team? And Missoula just didn't answer and stared at the guy like a fucking maniac and just didn't answer. So they're basically, their strategy is we're not talking about it. And you can ask us, we're not telling you. But I think he's, coming back unless there's some sort of setback.
Starting point is 00:28:30 I don't think they make the Vooch trade otherwise. I don't. Him practicing would seem to suggest that the Vooch trade, no matter how much they try to sort of funnel it through in the media, that this was a trade we were going to make anyway. It's not connected. I don't 100% believe that. And I believe this.
Starting point is 00:28:44 You know, they have the negotiation tactic, like who blinks first or if you're interviewing someone, you ask them a question. And if they don't want to answer it and they're silent, you don't jump in. Just let the silence, just live there. Joe Mazzula is going to wait anyone out. Joe Muzula will win that content.
Starting point is 00:29:00 He will stare at that dude until the PR guys. I guess we're done, guys. Next question. You got that, you definitely got that feeling. Well, I look at the minutes today. Hugo played 14. Walsh played 7.
Starting point is 00:29:14 Pritchard played 37. And you would think 22 of those minutes go to Tatum when he's back. That would be my guess. So basically Gonzalez is out. And Pritchard probably loses 10, and that's how you do it. Or Walsh is out. Gonzalez is cut in half, and that's how you get the minutes.
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Starting point is 00:30:58 Max $100 cash back per month. Detroit first in the east. Celtics second right now. One win more than the Knicks and the Cavs. Nobody else is going to crack that top four. Does it matter? Does home court matter as much as it used to with this stuff? Because I feel like last year,
Starting point is 00:31:17 we hit the point where it felt like anybody could win on any court. And I don't know how that's changed from when in the 80s, all you wanted to do is get game 7 at home. And even maybe in the 90s. But now we've hit a point. I don't even know if it necessarily matters if the Celtics are 2,34, if the Knicks are 3,42. Does it matter?
Starting point is 00:31:36 I think it still matters. It definitely matters less than it used to for, I don't even know, a bunch of different reasons, everything from the three-point shot to travel conditions. All things considered, I'd still like to have it, but I think it probably gets out ranked now by matchups. If there's a matchup that's just bad for you or you want to avoid or whatever it is, if there's a pathway to the conference finals that is easier than the other one that you
Starting point is 00:32:03 is your alternative. I think that trumps, if you sacrifice home court to get that pathway, I think you would probably do that in some cases. And this may be one of them. I mean, these teams are all, they're all sort of unproven in their own ways, right? I don't think any of them is totally scared of any of the other four or the other three. But all things considered, I think Detroit is super happy that they will have game seven of any playoff series at home. Yeah, and that ship has sailed through the Celtics and you fall to four and you get to play Detroit in round two,
Starting point is 00:32:36 a team that you've had some really good games against and matched pretty nicely with. And then you could have the Knicks and Cavs beat the hell out of each other in round two. I wonder if I don't, I don't think they would be tears if that was how it played out. And then I wonder like, who do you think, like, who do the Knicks not want to play the most? Would you say Detroit? I think, well, this is sort of the same thing happened last year with Detroit and New York where Detroit won the regular season series and New York beat them in the playoffs. And we all kind of agreed New York was more talented and should have won that series. But Detroit has just pants them three times this year.
Starting point is 00:33:11 And the Knicks can say, well, Towns was out this game and Annanobie was out that game and Robinson was. out with one of them and one of the games. That's all true. But like all of them have been blowouts. And Detroit just has out tough them, out, out fought them, out played them in every possible way. So I think that would be. And the Knicks have enjoyed playing against Cleveland dating to the playoffs three years ago. So I, they would probably say we don't care.
Starting point is 00:33:38 It's fine. But Detroit has to be in their heads a little bit. Just are we as tough and together is that team? because that was the really impressive thing. Watching Detroit up close at Madison Swear-Rarden last week, like they don't have a lot of shooting. We know that. We know that that's like the weak spot
Starting point is 00:33:55 that everyone expects to be, including me, a little bit more of a hindrance in the playoffs than it is in the regular season. We know they make up for it with like cutting and offensive rebounding. It's smart interior passing. But it's just, it's one thing on TV and it's another thing in person. Like they didn't have Duren or Stewart in that game
Starting point is 00:34:11 against the Knicks from the suspensions. And like even their role players, like Javante Green comes in and just moves the ball. Like they all make the right pass. They all make the extra pass. They all make quick decisions. Karris Lavert is making quick decisions. Duncan Robinson quick decisions.
Starting point is 00:34:26 Dennis Jenkins. No one is holding the ball other than Kade. And there's a certain like that level of cohesion and trust and pace within the half court really does compensate for their sort of lack of shooting compared to the other elite teams. They're really, really pop. They're polished. They're more polished than they have any right to be given that they're still pretty young. and experienced. And I think that will carry over into the playoffs.
Starting point is 00:34:49 I think they got a lot of the playoffs, like jitters out of the way last year against the Knicks. And they're ready. I think they're ready to make the finals. It's a little like OKC when they lost that Dallas series, what was that two years ago. But it was the best thing probably got them ready for next year. The Pistons at least had that one series.
Starting point is 00:35:08 Maybe my Hornets will have the same thing. They're feisty one-eight battle against the Pistons. Well, they won tonight, right? They did. Mello went crazy. So they had really hard win against Washington's G-League team. Yeah. If they had split their previous, they had lost two Cleveland and someone else could.
Starting point is 00:35:27 Two tough late fourth quarter games. Yeah, two really good teams. I wish they had won one of those because just for entertainment purposes, I want them to butt up into the 7-8 bracket. Yeah. And Philly quietly is slipping down from, they're still six, but they're just a game. ahead and actually tied with Orlando in the loss column. And if that were a four-team race for six, that would
Starting point is 00:35:50 be quite a lot of fun. And if Charlotte could butt their way into that, it would be quite a lot of fun. But that's another thing about, you mentioned home court. In the play-in era more than ever, I think the number one seed you'd be able to pick its opponent from who comes out of the play. And I don't want to get stuck with like, oh, Embed is healthy. And suddenly the Sixers are awesome. And we just drew them in the eighth seat. I think you
Starting point is 00:36:10 should get the pick. I would not do that, but I would do five. home games in round one for the one seats. I like that too. Reward, if we're going to have this overlong regular season and we're going to pound our fist about it, we must care about it. You can't low advantage. You can't tank.
Starting point is 00:36:25 We value durability. Well, then really reward it then. Yeah. Like go two, two, three for round one. It's like if you want to go play in and then go against the one seed, you're going to have to really beat them. One more thing on Detroit, Boston, next Cleveland. And we're about to talk to Cleveland.
Starting point is 00:36:40 I think Cleveland has just liked playing Boston for years. I don't know what it is, but it's a matchup they like. There's been some rough Celtics losses over the years. So Cleveland, last 25, 19 and 6, second offensive rating. Honeymoon Hardin stage is always great. We'll see how it's doing in round two.
Starting point is 00:37:02 But the one thing that I've noticed, because they just, you know, they look better partly because they have more good players because, as you said earlier, Garland didn't play all year. but they always have now somebody good, really, really good with the ball for 48 minutes. Mitchell comes out. It's like Hardin, stay out there and run the offense for us.
Starting point is 00:37:23 Hardin's averaging a 24, 10, and 5, and he's shooting 48% from 3. It's pretty good as like, you're, hey, can you run the offense for a few minutes? So there's a pressure that they can put on now for two and a half hours that I think just feels a little different. And then the other thing is the lobs. like Hardin already in what's it been six games
Starting point is 00:37:43 it's like hey Jared Allen remember when he used to get Lobbs hey Evan Mobley lobs it's just it feels like it's opened up and they're the team I think they're the scariest team in the east all due respect to Detroit I agree with everything you said about Detroit but the ceiling for Cleveland is the highest I think I you might be right on the ceiling because of you know we've barely seen Hardin Mitchell, Mowbly, Allen, and the two-way possibilities of that
Starting point is 00:38:14 foursome. And with a bunch of shooters. Like, Struce will be back at some point. Merrill. I mean, I'm not, I'm not, we're 60 games into the season and it's like, they hope to have Struz back for the playoffs. I'm just so wary of like, we think he'll be back for the playoffs. I'm wary of stuff like that now in my old age of like, I've kind of heard that one
Starting point is 00:38:34 before and it's a lot to ask. Right. But yeah, Merrill's there. They got Keon Ellis, Dennis, Trude. Dennis Schroeder is a weird fit in some of their lineups, but you might be right. I think they've got a lot to learn just about how to play together, and this Mobley minutes restriction is kind of like we just don't see him and Alan play much together,
Starting point is 00:38:52 and I want to see a little bit more of them re-familiarizing with that and with Hardin. But look, I mean, they've got all the tools. They were a 60-win team last year that ran into the Pacers, Buzz saw, and had a bunch of injuries. And why shouldn't they be the scariest team? Yeah, now last 25 games around a 60-win pace again. They turned Hunter, who was just terrible. And out for the season. The whole king's out for the season.
Starting point is 00:39:18 And then Garland, who wasn't playing, turned them into Hardin, who plays all the time. And Schrooter, who we've seen in playoff series, and he's been on almost every team in the league at this point, but he's better than somebody who doesn't play at all. The Hardin thing has reached a point, because I'm scared of Cleveland, where I just have to keep reminding myself
Starting point is 00:39:37 that James Hardens on that team and there will be a playoff series where maybe he can do James Hardin things. But honeymoon Hardin's a pretty potent thing. He's had some of his greatest playoff moments and there have been some against your team. That Philly Celtics series from a couple seasons ago which Celtics won and seven was he had two,
Starting point is 00:39:59 game one and four, I think, two of his finest playoff moments. Can I say I'm going to shock you and just be super positive about James Hardin? Yeah. I mean, he's one of the 40, I forget where he is in my pyramid. I think I have him in the 30s, right? So he's one of the best 40 players of all time. He's also somebody that has been in situations where everything had to revolve around him, which was both the strength and the flaws of all those Houston teams where everything ran through them for better or worse. It's really interesting when he can just jump into different basketball situations and he's like a basketball chameleon. And he just becomes, like a different version of himself overnight. He has this very, and we saw it in Brooklyn too, and your greatest theoretical team ever,
Starting point is 00:40:45 where there's this unselfish facilitator. I don't really need the ball, and I'm just fun to play with James Hardin. That's like this alter ego he has. It's almost like, the name should be like Jimmy. It's like, oh, it's Jimmy Hardin. Jimmy Honey, Honeymoon Hardin. That's how he starts on all these.
Starting point is 00:41:03 I'm just here to help out. Just here to help out. I really like that version of James Hardin. It's easily my favorite version. I'm just here to make everyone else better and fit in. It's like really fun to watch. And I just kind of wish he played like that. Because of his size and his vision,
Starting point is 00:41:23 I think he actually has the ability to make life easier for Donovan Mitchell than Darius Garland did. I think Mitchell is going to get easier sort of closeouts and gaps to attack and easier catching true threes than Garland could give him. And Hardin is just a different kind of pitch than the calves have had. Just like a bulkier slowdown physical. He's just like Garland was part of like more part of the system that Kenny Atkinson and Jordan not and all them built of like all this cuts and ball moon in motion and do this because
Starting point is 00:41:53 he was small and more of a shooter. Hardin is just as he would put it. He is the system and he can be a different sort of system for them. Just like a change up when Mitchell is on the bench. I like that. I think this, look, these four teams are all really good, and they also all have, other than Detroit, I think moments where you're like,
Starting point is 00:42:13 can I, can I really trust this team? Like certainly the Knicks have moments like that. I think Detroit playing them over and over again for two weeks would eventually be a detriment for them. Because so much relies on Kate, I think that's going to be their fatal flaw ultimately. I just don't see a second guy I really trust. It's too hard to just have one.
Starting point is 00:42:33 And this has been what's killed hard. over the years. It's what, you know, Lucas had more playoffs success recently than Hardin probably has, but same thing where it's just, you see the same thing over and over and over again. I think teams get used to it in a different way, but we'll see. A team that I
Starting point is 00:42:48 didn't think I had to worry about was Denver. Who is, what do you think their record is in the last 32 games? Well, I know there are three and six in their last nine games, and they were, what, nine and six without Yokic, so I'll go 16 and 16? That's their answer. Hey, look at that.
Starting point is 00:43:06 They're a 500 team for 32 games. Now, there are reasons for that. Yokage missed a bunch of games. Aaron Gordon's out. They were getting this incredible out of nowhere, Peyton Watson season that he got hurt. They don't have Gordon and Watson. They got screwed today by this little-known thing
Starting point is 00:43:22 that the gamblers love when it's three games and four nights and the fourth game is a day game. It's like Cleveland as well. Cleveland as well. It's like death. It's a really bad thing for the team that's playing the three-and-four. their last six losses. They lost to Detroit twice by two and three.
Starting point is 00:43:39 I watched both of those games. They could have won both of them. They didn't. OKC beat them by 10. They lost to Cleveland by two. Could have won that. Lost to the clips by one. I still don't know how they didn't win that.
Starting point is 00:43:50 And today they were handily winning Golden State, beating Golden State. Yokage looked like he was on his way to a 35, 2020. And then all of a sudden, Golden State had that weird thing where just guys started getting hot. Al Horford left his body first. about 20 minutes. Curry was on the bench doing like crazy Curry L's and all of a sudden Gold State was up eight and Denver lost again. Their last win against a good team, January 7th,
Starting point is 00:44:18 Boston, in Boston. And that was without Yolkage. They do not have a lot of good wins here. And I'm still not going to panic because they don't have Aaron Gordon and I'm not going to freak out about this. Where are you? Well, that's where the panic is, is that are they going to get him back Because even with Watson back, and Cam Johnson is now back, and Watson's not, they don't have enough force, I don't think. And that's like there's no right now with Watson and Gordon out, there's almost no limit to how small you can play against the nuggets other than Yokach who obviously need size for. And there's because there's just nobody to punish your smaller guards on the block, on the glass, the way Aaron Gordon would seal for post-ups against smaller guys that like swung. quarters of important playoff series for them. And I think they just need that level of forcefulness that they don't really have another
Starting point is 00:45:13 vehicle for and their starting five are in their core group other than Valanchunus and Yokic. And their defense just hasn't been good all year. Their 22nd in defense today, they were bad defensively against the clippers. They were bad defensively. Like they've just had too many miscommunications. Now, David Adelman after the game, I was reading, you know, Draymond Green was ruled out shortly before the game and the Nuggets tried to be like, well, One of the reasons we acted like Al Horford had never shot a pick and pop three before.
Starting point is 00:45:39 Like we had no idea what to do. Oh my God, this guy's shooting threes and their whole defense collapses. Guys are running into each other, rotating the wrong place, is they were prepared for Draymond Green to start and not Al Horford. But like you shouldn't, a pick and pop three from a 39-year-old center should not send your entire defense into a frenzy of mistakes. And it just happened over and over and over again. It's like, and then they got back cut left and right.
Starting point is 00:46:03 They miss Strother as a, as you know, I own property on Strother Straits. I have for a long time. Still kind of a train wreck defensively staying in scheme. Like it just wasn't their defense has not had the, the polished. Like early in the season, they were playing on a string. They were playing together. They were toggling between zone and man. And they looked every bit like a team that was ready for a championship season.
Starting point is 00:46:26 And somewhere along the way, they've kind of become a little incoherent. And it could just be, I actually put this to you as it even more. experienced NBA watcher than I am. Is this just a wake us up in the playoffs kind of thing? Or it like we've been here so many times? I don't think it is. The other thing is like, I know he got injured and missed a lot of time and got hot after a slow start.
Starting point is 00:46:48 I just don't feel Cam Johnson's presence enough in these games. I just like, he's reaching like your famous Tobias Harris. Like, oh, he was out there status. Like, and Tobias has been out there. Tobias has been doing his thing. So forgive me, Tobias Harris. But these games go by and I'm like, oh, Cam Johnson played.
Starting point is 00:47:05 That's right. He was two of seven in the box score and I forgot that he played. This is going to be the number one thing I said after as my comeback. I don't, Cam Johnson, I saw it in person on Thursday. I sat. I had good seats. I was courtside right next to the Nuggets bench for Thursday's game. And Cam Johnson, like everyone's around.
Starting point is 00:47:24 I was like, oh, there's Cam Johnson. And I'm at the game. And I just forgot he was out there for long stretches. His stats are okay. Like he's shooting 43% from three. Just doesn't feel like it. And yet, when I watch it, I don't feel like Porter, who drove everybody crazy. But you always kind of felt Porter in the game for better and worse.
Starting point is 00:47:44 And Kim Johnson had like two big threes near the end there where he missed both of them. I didn't think either of them were going in. I just thought he was going to be this like plug and play awesome swing three point shooter for them. And he hasn't been. That's one issue. Crunch time stats are pretty rough for them, surprisingly, you have Yokic, they're bottom five defensive rating for 30 games, though.
Starting point is 00:48:08 Bottom five. Like you have teams that are tanking and they're bottom five. So it's a tough one because they have the championship pedigree and they have one of the, they have the best part in the world, I think. Rich Paul thinks it's Anthony Edwards. We can argue about that later. I did see that.
Starting point is 00:48:25 I was waiting for Max to push back and say Yokuch's name and Max did. And I wanted the discussion to go a little first. rather than that. I respected that the best thing about a take like that is you have to at least see the take. So he explained it. He's like, I think the best part in the league should play both sides. Two-way guys. That's what I value.
Starting point is 00:48:48 And you could make the case with Edwards, like conference finals, two straight years. He's getting better. His stats are up there with pretty much everybody in the league. And he plays defense and he's better when it matters. but Yokech is the best part in the league in my opinion. Every time I'm ready to trust the Timberwolves, and I do trust them. They do what they did tonight.
Starting point is 00:49:08 They lost by 27 to the Sixers tonight. No, Gobert. Gobert was suspended. I forgot about that. But yeah, with Denver, so as you said, I'm an experienced watcher, which is a nice way of saying I'm old. Door A is,
Starting point is 00:49:24 God damn it, why did I not realize that when Gordon came back, this team was going to be a championship team? I'm so stupid. Door B is they were telling us all season what they were and we were ignoring the science over and over and over again. And why did we think Gordon was coming back to the playoffs? And I don't really know the answer,
Starting point is 00:49:41 but there are these two doors that are really far away from each other. And the big winner to me is OKC if they can figure out a way to basically avoid Denver completely, right? Which it seems like there's a chance there's a Denver, Minnesota, 36, which seemed inconceivable even, or Denver, Minnesota 4 or 5, there's some sort of matchup where Denver or Minnesota
Starting point is 00:50:06 could take each other out in round one. And I bet O.K.C. is rooting for that, would be my guess. And we need to get some clarity on this A.J. Mitchell thing, by the way. I know he's not perceived as a big part of what Oklahoma City does, and they just got Jared McCain
Starting point is 00:50:20 to kind of be this spark plug score creator. AJ Mitchell is an awesome player and has not played now for a long time. and I don't really get, like, the timetables got a little murky. But, yeah, I mean, they and the spur. It's an injury, right? It's an injury, yeah. And the spurs have won, what, eight games in a row?
Starting point is 00:50:37 And how that was- No, the spurs have won 11 games in a row, haven't they? Are they up to 11? I don't know, those standings on the ESPN say eight. But anyway, and yeah, but how those seatings three to six shake out is going to be really interesting, and that we should at least mention the other big thing that happened in regards to that this weekend was Dylan Brooks broke his hand,
Starting point is 00:50:54 and the sons now have a much harder time. I am sort of trying to punch into that group, which I think they were going to be capable of giving it a real run, and maybe they still are, but that's a huge loss given on top of Booker's loss too. So I went on a big walk yesterday with my wife and my son. He came back and watched the fourth quarter of Phoenix. Who are they playing?
Starting point is 00:51:18 Orlando. Phoenix, Orlando. I ended up doing a tweet about it because it was the weirdest game I've watched all season. it was an all-time rock fight. Jalen Green at one point was four for 24 and was so bad I almost couldn't believe it. It was to the point where it's like they got to take them out.
Starting point is 00:51:39 This is like watching a pitcher who can't throw strikes. He wasn't just missing jump shots. He was like front rimming. They were going right. They were going left. He was just a complete mess. And then in the end of the second OT, driving crazy basket makes it.
Starting point is 00:51:54 and then hits a buzzer-beater falling out of bounds and finishes six for 26. And it was one of those games where Phoenix is just because they know they're not going to book up for a couple weeks. They're just like, we got to let Jaylen Green work this rust off because we have no other chance to create a shot. Orlando's playing crazy defense.
Starting point is 00:52:10 So Phoenix is getting like no good shots. And then we go to the other end. And it was just that Palo ball that is just awful to watch. Everybody's standing around. And Orlando blows another one. And that's the one team. I hate advocating for coaching change,
Starting point is 00:52:27 but that's the one team where it seems like the coach has taken the team as far as he can take them would be my expert analysis. Well, also, no Suggs in that game, but like no Suggs is a semi-regular condition for the Orlando Magic and no Franz. He's a 50 game a year player at this point. Yeah, and Franz is hurt for we don't know how long.
Starting point is 00:52:44 But it does, I mean, we've gone over this a bunch, but it does feel like this is the year from hell for the magic when they had year from heaven expectations and I just think a couple of seismic things could happen. If they don't get out of the play in, that's a disaster. If they do get out of the play in and they just get rolled 4-1 or 4-0 in the first round and it's just not competitive. I think all bets are off.
Starting point is 00:53:09 Well, Verno texted this to us because Verno Memphis has the pick. I had a thought of this, but they have like it's a choice. It's the second best pick between Washington, Orlando and Phoenix, I think. You know what it is? it's complicated enough where I'm like, just tell me after the season
Starting point is 00:53:23 which pick they get. Well, whatever the complications are, you thought it was going to be Phoenix's pick. It might be Orlando's pick, although now Phoenix loses Dylan Brooks and Devin Booker, so who knows?
Starting point is 00:53:38 Yeah, so then you have the West where you have six playoff teams and Phoenix was supposed to be the seventh, but could go in a little free fall here. Golden State, I have no idea what to make of them. And then the Clippers, who I was there for the for the Mathur Renaissance
Starting point is 00:53:53 Mathurinna, Mathurinusans. I'm not sure that's going to catch on, but you do you. You're a big Mathurin fan. I am and there was just a bunch of Clipper fans there who were not familiar with his work, kind of looking at each other going, what's going on right now as he was just taking guys one-on-one?
Starting point is 00:54:11 I kind of like their team when Garland comes back. We did a bet. Me, House, and Sal, and Hens did Quippers to make the playoffs, Golden State. not to make it. It was like almost two to one. And we did that on Friday because it was like this, yeah, you don't have Zubots. You can patch together some center minutes, but you're going to have Garland back hopefully in two weeks. You have Mathrin kind of doing this weird, hard and imitation. You have Kauai playing as well as anyone in the league. You have a good coaching staff.
Starting point is 00:54:37 You have a team that's been winning and they don't have their pick. So why not? Like it's not a team I'd be crazy about seeing in the 27 matchup. I'll just say that. Well, I mean, they're six, they're on the verge of going from six and 21 to 500 by game 60, which is a very hard thing to do. And they're just subjectively a pretty solid team. And, you know, the drama, I mean, unfortunately, it would be very hard for the get out of the play-in. So the drama is, can they catch the Warriors for eighth and get into the upper half of the play-in bracket? But, yeah, I mean, look, Garland, Garland is, you know, I got to see it.
Starting point is 00:55:18 I see it consistently before I'm like, we just pencil him into the Chris Dunn's starting spot and everything's going to be great. You know what Garland is? An actual point card, which he did not have on the roster. No. And that was really noticeable on Thursday. They're just running offense through Mathrin and Kauai. It would be good. It would be great.
Starting point is 00:55:35 They have some defensive questions to answer that right now they just don't play any weak defenders pretty much. I mean, they just play like Dunn and Derek Jones Jr. who's been awesome, but underrated part of their sort of good play lately is that he's back. But yeah, that he'd be a great addition to their team. He'd make them one guy deeper and they'd be a pretty, pretty dangerous team. You know what surprised me about Thursday night? Denver wanted the game and was really into it. And I don't think Yokinj loves the quippers. I don't know what the genesis of it is.
Starting point is 00:56:04 But every time I've, I try to go every time Yokch plays the clippers, every time he really wants the game and he's really into it. And I don't know, did they lose to them in the bubble? Was that what it was? No, it was the clippers. They beat the one of three one and collapsed in dramatic fashion. Yeah. So I don't know what the Genesis is, but Denver was playing super hard, was really into it and wanted it.
Starting point is 00:56:26 And the Quippers won anyway. So I don't know. It seems like they're five behind Phoenix right now for the seventh spot. But that's a game, that's a matchup where you feel the absence of Aaron Gordon because they just don't have anyone to guard Kauai. He's too big and strong. And you could say Watson put Watson on him when he's healthy. that Watson is a guy who guards guards guards fast guys really well.
Starting point is 00:56:49 He'd give Kauai some issues because he's Peyton Watson, but there are just matchups where if you fall into the wrong place, you really feel Aaron Gordon's absence. So Rahim on the Ringer Gambling show on Friday had this great stat about
Starting point is 00:57:07 have you heard of the 40-20 rule? Is that, is that? Oh, the 40 wins before 20 losses? Right? And every, champion since I forget what year. There's only been four times where somebody didn't hit the 40-20. And one of them was the post-COVID season. But it was like, I've read the 95 rockets. I think
Starting point is 00:57:31 the 04 pistons, maybe the 06 heat. But usually 40-20, you have to get to 40 wins for 20 losses. And that's who wins the title. And it's like over 90 percent, something like that. And this year, there's only three teams that are 40-20 teams, unless the Celtics can somehow. I was going to say, Don't sort of change those scrappy guys in green. Pull on. Yeah, the Celtics would be the fourth. They would have to win in Phoenix Tuesday night, conceivable now. They'd have to upset Denver on Wednesday and then beat Brooklyn at home.
Starting point is 00:58:02 So they could be the fourth. But the three teams are obviously okay seeing Detroit. And then San Antonio, who's been pretty hot. I know you've talked about them on your pod. Is there any sort of part of you that thinks that they could win for? four straight playoff rounds? Because I am of the, I am of the mindset that they're too young
Starting point is 00:58:24 and they have to have the taste your own blood playoffs before we can seriously talk about them winning a title. But they do fit this thing, and there's only three teams that fit it. I would generally agree with you that they are young, Wemby's young and untested in the playoffs, Castle, Harper, on and on.
Starting point is 00:58:47 The rookie wall is also a thing. Harper's played a lot of minutes to see how he holds up. They had to demote Harrison Barnes out of the starting five because he kind of hit the veteran wall and maybe he'll get promoted back into it. He hit the old guy wall. I was trying to be nice, the veteran wall. I don't want to call Harrison Barnes old. And they did nothing at the trade deadline, right? Like we all thought they have this team that's ready to win and they have a bunch of pieces.
Starting point is 00:59:12 Can they just get one more good player? They didn't. All that said, I do think they could win three straight. playoff rounds in the West just because like all of these other teams are sort of you know the wolves are trying to figure themselves out to some degree the rockets we talked about Denver just we just did a whole thing on Denver and they have a thing against the thunder and I don't I wouldn't dismiss it as just small sample size theater I know the last the last couple games that were guys out but those were high stakes high like by regular season standards like
Starting point is 00:59:43 the teams cared about those games and the spurs won them and they won a couple of them handily and they had the thunder a little flustered. And I don't necessarily think that means they would beat the thunder in a playoff series. I would pick Oklahoma City. But I don't think it's inconceivable whether the Spurs could make the finals. They also have one of the five best players
Starting point is 01:00:01 in the NBA, period. And that goes back to the MVP discussion. So if they went on a real run here down the stretch, they get the one seed. Wembe goes up a level as all of this is happening and maybe we have an 86 Rockets type of situation. Four rounds sounds excessive to me
Starting point is 01:00:20 when you think none of those guys really have any of them been in a big playoff game? Well, and it's... Harrison Barnes. Harrison Barnes is the 10th guy in their team. Darren Fox played a game seven against Steph in round one. Luke Cornett is an NBA freaking champion.
Starting point is 01:00:38 Bill Simmons. Kelly Olinick had game seven against Washington. All right. I have a couple quick things you and then we were going to talk about Kauai. Could I just say one more thing about Dispers? Because I don't think it's just the young guys thing you're talking about. I think you almost forget it as you get distant.
Starting point is 01:01:03 When the playoffs fade away and you're in January and February and the regular season and it's been a while since you've felt the playoffs and all that, it's just really physically taxing. It's not just like the pressure and the noise and like the big stage. just like guys are going down like flies it's a slog it's every other day after the first round i mean it's really really hard to win for a playoff series you have and i think i i know you meant that when you said they haven't been tested and felt blood and all that stuff but that's part of it is like feeling what it's like of this is game 17 for us in the playoffs like that hurts
Starting point is 01:01:37 i got a couple of mailback questions actually about are we sure the west is still better than the east okay And a couple of people all made the same point. Like, yeah, OKC is the best team in the league. But if you go top four versus top four, are we sure the West top four is better than the East top four? It just got my brain thinking a little bit. If you had to rank the teams right now,
Starting point is 01:02:07 we'd put OKC first. Who would you put second? You get either conference, the top eight teams. So who's your second best team right now? I'm still going to go Denver. I think I would go to Detroit just because I don't know what I'm getting from Gordon yet. But I think it's, would you go Detroit third? Yeah.
Starting point is 01:02:29 Yes. Okay. So it's Denver, Detroit, two, three. So who's four? Would you put San Antonio there? I put San Antonio there. And then would you put the next three East teams followed by whoever is number four in the West, which would be Minnesota or the Wakers, whoever?
Starting point is 01:02:46 I would probably have Minnesota over at least one. if not two or three of the East teams. Well, we just saw that the West is still better. I have three. I want to do this new little mini segment with you called On the Record. I just want to go on the record. Okay. Just want to put my thing down.
Starting point is 01:03:05 I don't think LeBron goes to Cleveland next year. Does it out of left field? I like that you're just going on the record with it. Okay, so elaborate. I don't see it. And here's why I don't see it, because I think Cleveland's a team that could win the title this year or next year. I think they have a player
Starting point is 01:03:22 that is one of the best six or seven, eight, nine, whatever you want to say guys in the league who's never made the finals. And I think they're close. And I think they're going to resign Hardin. And I think they're close. And I think just being like,
Starting point is 01:03:38 oh, by the way, we're going to add the LeBron farewell tour to this. It just doesn't pass the smell test to me. And I might be wrong, but I wanted to go on the record. I think it's going to be gold state. That would be my bet. If you gave me the bet,
Starting point is 01:03:51 Cleveland will be the favorite. The Knicks will probably be the second favorite. Lakers will probably be in the top three, and then there will be a whole bunch of other teams. Golden State makes the most sense to me because they actually need them. And the narrative of, I'm going to finish my career with Steph Curry,
Starting point is 01:04:06 the other great player of my generation. We won Olympic gold medals together. The team kind of needs me. So it's a farewell tour combined with the team needs me. I'm going to play with Draymond, Steve Kerr, who's coached me, and this is where I'm going to end it. Makes more sense to me than I'm just going to be awkwardly shoehorned into this team
Starting point is 01:04:25 that had a chance to win a title who has a best guy in the league. Candidacy, at least from the guard position, just doesn't add up to me. It's a big bomb to drop into your team. It's just not simple of like, oh, he's coming on the minimum or the mid-level, so it doesn't hurt our cap situation. It's free money. It's like, and he's bringing a 40-person camera crew. It just is, it's an aggressive.
Starting point is 01:04:49 If you think you can win the title. He's not just going to stand in the corner and play 25 minutes. He's going to have the ball a lot and play 35 minutes and have to be engaged on defense. You saw it in the All-Star game. When he's on the court, he's going to be a principal player in the game. That's just how it's going to play out. He's one of the two best players of all time. So I've talked about the Warriors one a bit.
Starting point is 01:05:09 I think you're right to flag it as possible. The Knicks I probably haven't put enough thought into. Obviously, he's talked about Madison Square Garden and what that place means to him. Why would Jalen Brunson sign up for that? Well, I don't know why he, I mean, it's LeBron, I guess, but I just don't know. I'm trying, I haven't gone through the machinations it would take for it to happen if it's not just him coming on the minimum and the apron issues and what do they do with Kat and his Jan is still in play, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera. I think he either stays in L.A. or he goes to Golden State. Those would be my best state.
Starting point is 01:05:42 All right, next one. It's kind of tied to LeBron. it. They don't get LeBron. I don't, I think this is it for Steve Kerr. I have no inside info. This would be the right kind of area for him to be like, you know what, I'm going to take a year. I'll do some media. I'll try to figure out if I want to keep coaching. Call on a quits. Do you want me to say something? You don't have to say anything. I mean, look, he's been coaching without a contract beyond the season the entire year. That's always a red flag. there's always been this notion of,
Starting point is 01:06:18 and he has said it publicly, that I'm tied at the hip to Steph. As long as Steph is here, I will be here, period. And we all know Steph is going to be there next year. This has been a trying couple of years for the Warriors on lots of different levels. I would not,
Starting point is 01:06:36 it would not shock, it would not surprise me if he were not to coach next year. And there's a little, maybe Comingo would have done better if we'd have, Like there's a little finger-pointing stuff that's gone on since he's draft and some of this stuff. That's a real thing. I just wonder if he's like, you know what? I'm good.
Starting point is 01:06:52 I'm going to take a year off. Well, I mean, we saw Bob Myers just basically like. We saw Bob Myers say, I'm going to take your off. Yeah, I don't, I don't, I'm ready for some time off. Yeah. All right. So those are my strongest two I want to get on the record with predictions. I have the right to flip these predictions at a later date.
Starting point is 01:07:12 I'm just putting these down. My third one is I'm not sure Darren Peterson is going to go first anymore, which I would have bet anything on two months ago. But there's just too much weirdness with this Kansas thing, with him coming out of games and the cramping and the competitiveness. And unless he's actually hurt, which is now a new theory, I think teams value competitiveness too much. It's the number one thing we've learned about the NBA in the last 15 years
Starting point is 01:07:38 is, you know what it's a good idea to have? Competitive guys. and I think this has just gotten too weird with the Kansas thing and I think there might be better picks I know you don't care about the draft no I'll tell you this I do care about the draft
Starting point is 01:07:49 I don't watch a lot of college basketball I'll do my YouTubeing as we get closer to the draft by the way my YouTubeing I don't know if you remember this from the Zach Lowe show last year I said the number one guy I fell head over heels with
Starting point is 01:08:00 based on 15 minutes of YouTube was Concaniple I was Concanipal I was also pitching him to you as you're going to love this Concanipal who's your kind of guy moves without the ball solid sets picks.
Starting point is 01:08:12 So I mean, I care to some degree. I don't, I don't watch college basketball because I just watch too much NBA. I don't have time. It's a time management thing. But I will tell you this, Nick's Pistons was what day was that, I don't even thought. I think it was Thursday night. Yeah. I think the night before was when Peterson had taken himself out of a game.
Starting point is 01:08:29 I mean, I still haven't even seen the video of it. On the pregame, Knicks Pistons, big game, Eastern Conference clashed. Detroit's been in the news because of the suspensions. the Knicks need to revenge. Every scout front office person coach at the game, number one topic on their mind was, what in the hell is going on with Darren Peterson? I had so many Darren Peterson conversations.
Starting point is 01:08:51 And I remember talking to various people being like, what, what? He just took himself out of the game. Because I hadn't seen it. They're like, yeah, he literally pointed to Bill's self. I was like, I'm out. That's it. And no one knows what to make of it.
Starting point is 01:09:05 I don't like it. I don't understand it. And it gives me, Ben Simmons flashbacks to the OSU thing when he was just like, I'm out and didn't care if they even made the NIT or whatever he did. Now, I hope that he actually has some physical stuff going on that he's afraid to make worse would be my hope. But I don't know, just compared to like, think of some of the great guys we've had even recently. Like, would Anthony Edwards be like, yeah, I'm good. I'm going to take myself out. It just makes me nervous. So I'd want to have a lot more information on it.
Starting point is 01:09:37 I mean, I can tell you this, the scouts in front of these people I know, particularly people who are going to be picking towards the top of the draft, like a lot of their job is trying to figure out what's going on. And if there were a physical thing, at some point, one of them would figure it out and it would start to get around. And everyone is just completely perplexed. It's where the band said just becomes an easier pick because ultimately you just made the key point. You're talking about guys who are going to get fired if they get this pick wrong. And that's when you just gravitates her. You know this guy, he's 6-8, perfect body. He's, worst-case scenario is going to be a better Andrew Wiggins.
Starting point is 01:10:17 This is a safer bet. I'm just going to take this guy. All right, we're going to take a break for the podcast. Keep going on here on Netflix. Kauai Leonard. I can't wait for this. I wanted to do a deep dive. We're going to try to keep this to 30 minutes.
Starting point is 01:10:31 Kauai Leonard, we're going to do deep dives here every once in a while on the Sunday night pods where we pick a player and we just dive in. and Kauai Leonard, I'll start here. I think the weirdest career of anyone in the top 40 for me. And he is top 40. I have him as a level four. I have the five levels that I created in my book, The Pyramid. Level four is the one right below the Pantheon.
Starting point is 01:10:54 And he is right there as one of the best 30 guys of all time for me. I think I have number 29. He averaged 12 points a game for the first four years of his career. He was the finals MVP and a defensive player of the year. before he ever made an All-Star team. He's only played 76 regular season games in 15 years, which averages out to about 50.5 a game or 51 a game or something like that. He's been the finals MVP on two different teams.
Starting point is 01:11:27 And if you only watch the last two months of the season, you would think he was one of the best five players we have. I have no idea if he's going to be in round two of the playoffs ever getting in his career, or much less the finals. We know very little about him. He's been the most enigmatic, quiet, strangest player to figure out that we've had. He quit on the spurs.
Starting point is 01:11:50 I guess quits the wrong word, just refuse to play for them anymore. Didn't get along with an infrastructure that is pretty beloved where guys all love each other. And he was just like, I'm out, I don't trust you guys, have had it. And there's a lot more else to discuss.
Starting point is 01:12:04 But at his best, at his best was right there in the LeBron-Dorant vicinity and is one of the 30 best parts of all time and has two rings. So I'll start there. I mean, he's been so good this year and relatively available enough to qualify for all of these awards we've been talking about. Like, I think he belongs in the first team all NBA conversation for those last few spots.
Starting point is 01:12:30 I don't think he'll play enough to get there. But he's absolutely been that good. it's partly because Yokic has missed, let's say, half of the last 30 games or half the game since the Kauai came back around Thanksgiving. He's either been the best or second best player in the league in that time span, given all the games that other guys have missed. But he's been that good. He's been like an MVP level player right now, which I kind of thought, I'm not sure we're going to see that again for 35 out of 45 games in any season. And he's been that good. His career has been so weird that you didn't even get to the cap.
Starting point is 01:13:04 convention scandal that's currently happening. We have a whole bunch of other shit to go through. He's only been a top three MVP twice in 16 and 17. He was second and third and he was fifth and 20. And it's one of those when you look at the complete resume, it's both not as impressive as I thought I was going to be, but then also more impressive. And in an era where so many of the best players with any kind of longevity are going to crack 20,000 points, which used to be hollowed ground, but is less
Starting point is 01:13:34 so because of the three-point shot. He's still like chilling around 15,900, 700, 70 games played. He might not get to 20,000 points. And it's so weird that I would actually ask you, like, who else is in the conversation for weirdest career in your top 40 or 50 or whatever was? Is there anyone even in the vicinity? See, now I'm going to, now I'm going to have to dive right into the pyramid.
Starting point is 01:13:59 Secret Doc. So I had him 31, my bad. Top of level four. Scotty Pippen 32, Kauai 31, Dwayne Wade 30. Have them all in a row. I think Dwayne Wade is a little more reliable. If you're going weirdo careers,
Starting point is 01:14:14 Rick Barry's up there. Rick Berry's a good one. He had that whole, goes to the ABA, can't play for a year, blew out his knee, lost another year. And Robinson
Starting point is 01:14:25 going all four years in college, then having to serve for two years and then coming into the league was pretty weird. is super weird. I guess, you know, it's injury.
Starting point is 01:14:40 Yeah, it's injury related. And then probably Dr. J just because the first part of that was ABA. I think those would be the weird ones. Walton's a good call because Walton legit had a case of best player alive at his peak. Which Kauai kind of got there in 2019, right?
Starting point is 01:15:01 I think there was a real case for him after the 2019 playoffs, especially when LeBron went to the Lakers, that season wasn't good. And we kind of, we didn't know at that point, but it seemed like, well, LeBron's now going to move into a different phase of his career. We didn't know it was going the way it did. But I think we left 2019 thinking Kauai was the best player in the league. It's the hill that I will die on. I think he should have been the MVP in 2017 when Russell Westbrook won. And you voted for Hardin.
Starting point is 01:15:27 I voted for Kauai. I got laughed at for voting for Kauai publicly. I was one of eight people who voted for him. I thought he was the best player in the league and should have won the MVP. All NBA three times. His three-year peak from 2019 to 21 offensively, he was basically a 26, 7, and 4. For his career, 50% field goal, 39% 3, 86% free throw, 23.5 PR, and then the playoffs, he's better. 21, 8, and 3, almost a 50, 40, 90 guy, 24.2 PR, which is 11th.
Starting point is 01:16:03 His playoff run from 19 to 21 is the best great player case for him, which includes the title. 48 games, 2019, 2020, 2021, 30 points a game, nine rebounds a game, five assists a game, 51% shooting, 88% from the land, 37% from 3%. And a shot that would be the shot if the shot weren't already taken by Michael Jordan. Right. It's as good as any stretch, any three-year stretch, LeBron had, any three-year stretch. LeBron had, any three years stretch to rant had just statistically. And then you have that game seven he played
Starting point is 01:16:37 against Philly in 2019, which I know you love. Nobody on Toronto shows up except for Abaka. The whole team is in a freezer. Van Vleet's 0 for 5. We're like, is this guy ever going to be playable again in the playoffs? Kauai takes
Starting point is 01:16:55 39 shots, makes 16. Everyone else on the team other than Abaka is 8 for 40. And he hits probably the most famous non-final shot ever. Right? Is it more famous than the shot over Craig Yolo? No. Now, Craig Yos, that's kind of the beginning of the Jordan.
Starting point is 01:17:19 Yeah. Well, it's in the running for that one. Well, a couple of things we got to talk about. First of all, his first four years of the career is 12 points a game, and his next four years was 24. How many players doubled their point total in the second four years? His Clippers career, which is 309 games, he's basically 25, six rebounds, four assists, 18 field goals a game. He averaged 9.5 field goal attempts a game, first four years of his career.
Starting point is 01:17:47 We had to talk about the defense. He's a two-time defensive player of the year for a non-center is extraordinary. So we've talked about this a lot. And this dates back to our Grantland days when Kauai had emerged. I remember I wrote one of my last pieces for Grantland was about Kauai as a sharktopus. It was there as a sharktopus movie. We did a graphic with Kauai's face with an octopus. For me, it's him and Kauai as the best perimeter defenders I've ever seen.
Starting point is 01:18:16 Wait, no, him and Pippin? Did you mean him and Pippin? I'm sorry, him and Pippin. It's him and Pippin as levitating above ever and us I've ever seen. I might actually throw MJ in there as number three. I don't know if Amman Thompson can get there. He's certainly, when you think like where his age are and what he's done already, I think it's conceivable.
Starting point is 01:18:39 Is there anybody else as a perimeter defender that you've seen that can match Pippin and Kauai? Gary Payton didn't have enough size. No. There were certain guys he couldn't, like he couldn't have guarded Yokic. Pippin and Kauai could have guarded Yokic or try. No, no, those two guys, I mean, those two stand alone. And I think I would like to go back to watch. more Scottie's one of my
Starting point is 01:19:02 one of my just like I got into fights in verbal fights in college over Scotty Pippin I was the guy that defended Scottie Pippen I love Scotty Pippin as a player so I want to go back and watch a little film just defense only I feel like Kauai was scarier like Pete Kauai was maybe a little
Starting point is 01:19:18 scarier than Scotty just by this much a little stronger maybe like a little physically like just is this guy a tank like I don't know like unimovable he had that that thing that the only other guy I've seen
Starting point is 01:19:32 do it is Pippin and you used to joke about it when he would just decide to take the ball. Yeah. It's like a... Somebody would be driven the ball up and quiet would be like, I'm going to take that. And he would just go get the ball and steal it. And that would be it. You could see him decide, like,
Starting point is 01:19:50 I'm just going to take the ball from you. It's not going to be like a knockaway where then we both go chase it and I get it. I'm just going to reach out my hand, grab the ball from you, and start going the other way. Thank you for participating in this exercise. He got the 2014 finals MVP, I think as the years pass,
Starting point is 01:20:09 it's like, and he shut down LeBron in the 14 finals. He actually didn't shut him down. Like LeBron's stats were pretty similar to what they always were. But he did shut him down in key moments of games where they would be up by 20
Starting point is 01:20:22 and maybe LeBron would get some stats near the end. But it was really the only time I remember, because Indiana would have their reputation of all Paul George gives LeBron everything he can handle. It's like, not like this, not like Kauai, who just seemed completely unafraid of him and went at him.
Starting point is 01:20:38 And this was LeBron at the peak of his powers. And that's the physical thing, too, is like the rare guy who just is a physical specimen could go toe to toe with LeBron. And Duran was the other guy from that era. And there was also Blake Griffin from that era. There are all these things to him to go. So you have that piece.
Starting point is 01:20:56 His 2014 finals, he was 11 for 19 from 10. 31% 18 points a game. So he ends up. That was one of those finals MVP by default. We didn't really know who to vote for. You could make a case, maybe just vote Duncan because he was the spiritual guy of the team. All right, biggest what ifs before we get to the biggest what if. 2017, game one golden state.
Starting point is 01:21:20 Kauai's been awesome. You voted for him for MVP. 26 points in 23 minutes, steps on Zaza's foot and the rest of history. That entire playoffs, Kauai, was insane, the entire playoffs. Insane enough that I think Golden State was the best team of this century. It was conceivable that he could take them on by himself and maybe give them a run. That was the rant year one for people.
Starting point is 01:21:46 That's the best team I've seen all century. 16 and 1 in the playoffs. Yeah, that team is unstoppable. Yeah, I think he's so good that they could, that could have been a four to warrior series. I don't think he beat some. punches. Let's just posit that they steal game one on the road and then we have two days of like, oh, are the Warriors
Starting point is 01:22:07 in trouble? The Spurs are ready for this? Then the Warriors win game two, probably win game three. But they get another game in there somewhere. Another what if? 2020, the bubble. So we had in a COVID, there's three teams that we think can win the title. The Quippers and the Wakers, then the Bucks,
Starting point is 01:22:25 who hadn't really proven that they'd made the Eastern finals the year before, lost to Toronto. they were probably the team that was going to come out of the east, we thought. And then the bubble happens. And the Lakers get stronger
Starting point is 01:22:37 in the bubble and the clippers completely cave. And they've talked about it since about they just weren't built for the bubble. See of that. 2021, the next year, Kauai is incredible again.
Starting point is 01:22:48 30.7 rebounds, four assists in the first two rounds. Gets hurt at the tail end of round two. Ends up like kind of sneaking Phoenix into the finals. And I don't know if they were the best team. Do you think they were the best team? I actually thought the Phoenix was better than next year.
Starting point is 01:23:06 Yeah, well, that's when all the wheels came off in the playoffs. And then the wheels came off. So you have that. Phoenix was a really good team. But, yeah, I would have liked to have obviously seen the full strength clippers. He gets heard in the Utah series that they end up winning in six. And then at the tail end of that series. And then the Phoenix also got to avoid Anthony Davis.
Starting point is 01:23:27 So I'm just stating facts. I know Eddie Johnson's going to call us water boys tomorrow on Twitter. fight us. And then honestly, the biggest what if other than this aspiration thing was him demanding that Paul George be part of this Quipper's situation in 2018.
Starting point is 01:23:43 And it's a what if that all my Quipper fans talk about all the time. You know, the trade was Paul George for a guy named Shay Gilgesa Alexander, Gallinari, who was still competent at that point, four unprotected first, two swaps,
Starting point is 01:23:59 and then another pick. And we know what happened with those picks. And the question has always been, why don't you just go to the clippers, have all the picks, have the young players, and just take some time to try to figure it out. You just won the title. It's not like you had to win the title right away. Why didn't you have more patience? Why did you demand that to gut everything? So it's you and Paul George. Obviously, he would do it over again if he could. But it's a pretty good what if. Now, we didn't know SGA was going to even be an all-N-B-A player. We knew he was good. We knew he was good.
Starting point is 01:24:31 We knew he was clearly good. Didn't know he was going to be an all-N-A player, much less a two-time MVP. Knew those picks were going to hurt. And I got to say, I defended the move at the time. I think everybody did. I think everybody still would. Yeah, because it's like you can't get Kauai unless you do this. The question is, could you have gotten Kauai anyway?
Starting point is 01:24:51 What else was he doing? He didn't want to go to the Lakers. Like, we know that now. He was playing poker with the, the Lakers, didn't seem like you want to go back to, what were the other options? That's a great question. I think the Raptors thought they had an honest chance at him, even though they knew he never asked to be there.
Starting point is 01:25:09 They knew he wanted to go to Los Angeles. They felt that winning a title, he had a good relationship with Masayu Jiri. Yeah. Maybe they do a one-year deal and then figure it out after that? I think that, yeah, I think they thought they had some kind of chance. But you're right. What were the other? There was no other team that was in it.
Starting point is 01:25:27 at the time. It was those three teams and it went on and on and on. And I don't think he ever wanted to go to the Lakers. The Lakers obviously thought they could have gotten them. And there was, you know, Jerry West was worried the Lakers were going to get him. But I think he wanted to go to the Clippers all along. And should you have called his ball? I don't know. I mean, it's, it's hard to know. But clearly in retrospect, they would have been better off just signing Kauai and not trading for Paul George.
Starting point is 01:25:49 Although Paul George was coming off the best season of his career, having finished third in MVP. And, you know, but he was awesome. Stars want to play with stars, man. I don't know what to tell you. And if you're put in that, if you're backed into that corner, having put so many chips into this Kauai basket where you're following them around during the season,
Starting point is 01:26:05 you're at his games, you're letting them know you're watching and all this stuff. It would have been a tough pill to swallow. Way to hold off making more jokes about following them around and waving carrots. And you really held back. I was impressed. There's been a couple stretches in the history of the league
Starting point is 01:26:22 that are just kind of, just kind of earth-shattering to look back at in retrospect. And I think one of those stretches for the league was that 2019 season followed by the COVID season. Just Kauai sitting there being available, really for anybody, nobody knowing whether they should even trade for them or not, nobody thinking he'd stay more than a year, all these teams kicking the tires on it, ultimately decided not to. And Toronto just saying, fuck it and doing it, right? So you had that. You had Golden State with a suddenly, nobody understood why,
Starting point is 01:26:58 but maybe sort of unhappy Durant. And then you had the Kyrie piece, and then as the scene, and then the fight with Draymond on court argument. And then Kyrie falling apart in Boston. And then it's like, wait, are these guys headed toward maybe playing together? So we had that.
Starting point is 01:27:14 You had the where's Kauai going? You had the Anthony Davis basically saying, I want to play for the Lakers midseason and just blowing up the, Lakers and all the young players because they couldn't get the trade done. So that trade's looming. And everything's leading to that weird summer where we had the Kauai and the Paul George trade.
Starting point is 01:27:31 We had Houston getting a little rocky. And then we had, uh, Houston traded crisp ball for Russ. We had that. And then we have, if we have this new season that starts with all these guys and these new teams. And then COVID happens. It will never be top.
Starting point is 01:27:47 That has to be the weirdest two years we've ever had. It's pretty weird. There's a lot. I mean, the Kyrie thing. by itself was such an earthquake, the Kyrie basically demanding a trade out of Cleveland was. Right. Because that took a long time to resolve itself as well as you lived in no well.
Starting point is 01:28:05 That was, because if I'm remembering my calendar, right, that came kind of after free agency that summer was mostly over and we were into like calm mode. Like, oh, there's no big things left to go. We were having our ringer MBA meetings. And then it was everything was done. And then it was like, Kauai is now a Boston Celtic. really, whoa, we'd be like sprung into action. But yeah, so really strange stretch.
Starting point is 01:28:28 Kauai and that whole trade moves into it. I think the Quippers would do it again, but there is this alternate universe where they would have had Kauai, SGA in a second year, Zubots, Golanari, Lou Williams, Max Cap Space to try to trade for any other guys, Patrick Beverly, Harold, Shammett, all their picks, and then some other picks,
Starting point is 01:28:51 and then some other picks that they've gotten. That's the key because you could live in this world where if you just get Kauai and you don't trade for Paul George, you're good now and good later and set up to be good for 15 years and maybe really good. But to get the good now part,
Starting point is 01:29:07 at some point in the first 18 months, you need another guy. Yeah, right, which with the cap space and everything else, who knows, they might have traded for it. So now, so he's, it's somehow year 15, 766 games and 146 playoffs games. So he hasn't even played a thousand games combined yet. How many more years is he going to play?
Starting point is 01:29:34 Would you trade for him this summer? Would the Clippers consider trading for him? And then we haven't talked about the aspiration piece of this yet and the fact that we have no idea if they're going to get punished. We've heard crazy rumors about what the punishment might be or might not be, including there's a voided contract contingent out there that I enjoy. They're kind of like the Kauai Aspiration Truthers that he's just going to be a free agent this summer.
Starting point is 01:29:58 I don't think that's going to happen. That would surprise me, but what am I supposed to say? It would surprise me. So would the whole aspiration thing. I think we're prepared for all of it. Ride me out for the next four of Kauai years. What happens? What do you foresee?
Starting point is 01:30:18 I foresee the safest bet, and what I would bet on is he never leaves the Clippers, and they are a good, solid team that never breaks through in a big way. But there is also a universe where they do have all this Max Casper set up. They're the Clippers, they're L.A., they have Inuitome. Maybe somebody comes. I don't know who that somebody is. But I bet he stays with the Clippers, and it's just a marriage that lasts for whatever reason. and he rides it out as a very good player on a good team,
Starting point is 01:30:48 and maybe that's it. It's like a true crime series where the couple, one of the couple, had an affair with the gardener, and then they killed the gardener and buried him under the house, and now they're married for life, and they just have to do the secret. I just say you stay with the clippers.
Starting point is 01:31:04 I didn't mention a gardener. That sounds like a good Apple show. Who's the gardener? John Ham and Diane Lane, and they have a secret. They have to stay together that. They're getting involved. I like that.
Starting point is 01:31:15 The state have for the rest of whatever. Yeah, the dirty secret is they're actually like okay positioned as long as they don't get nailed with some sort of giant suspension thing, right? They were able to get younger with Garland and Matherin, who I think they're going to resign. They'll have Kauai. They have some flexibility with expirings. They're finally done with this OKC trade. So, and they're going to have cap space at 27, which is what they seem to care about.
Starting point is 01:31:44 And I think they did well in the Zubatch trade. I think they did probably very well in the Zubatch trade. And we'll see what the lottery does. You know, if they do land a fifth, six, seven pick in this draft, that's a huge deal for them. And I think they did well in that trade. Last thing with Kauai. So you see these guys when they come into the league.
Starting point is 01:32:09 Within a couple years, they're in the vicinity of where they end up, right? And you have some situations. Jaylen Brown, where it's like Jalen Brown, great athlete, there were pieces of it. I never thought he would be as good of an all-around player as he is now and as good of an offensive player. I always thought he'd be a little bit flawed and a little bit. It's just you would, you'd always see the weaknesses with him. And he's got no level higher than that thought. But it's still like if you watch Jalen Brown in 2018, 19, and you watch him now, it's not, you could see that you could see like that led to this, I guess is my point.
Starting point is 01:32:44 You're talking about the Gailen Brown that the Spurs surely asked for in the Kauai Leonard trade. But you see Durant in year two and it's going to still look like what we're watching now with Houston. You even see like as different as LeBron is now physically, there's still a lot of the same stuff of like the head steam down, all that. If you go and watch Kauai in like 2013 and watch the Kauai now, it's like it's like he, it's a different human being.
Starting point is 01:33:12 Like he has this dead eye three point. shot now. His three point shooting was always good. But now he has this like stutter step line drive in your face shot. He's got, um, that little foul line jumper. Like his, his paint game is unbelievable. Like he's really one of the most gifted scores of this century now. And I just, that would have been inconceivable to me going to the 2014 finals games. You've never ever in a million years could have convinced me. This guy will eventually be a Jedi on offense. I never would have bought it. part of it is being drafted to a good team, right? So you're not just giving the keys right away to like,
Starting point is 01:33:51 oh, he averaged 27 points in his second year. Part of it is that they worked hard on his shot and he worked hard on his shot and it went from a potential liability to a massive asset. And part of it is just reps and reps and reps and getting better and better. And it's very, I think, apt that you mentioned Jalen Brown because during the Kauai thing, I wrote about Jalen Brown for ESPN and about how this dilemma of the Celtics face of like, should we, should we trade this guy for Kauai and age ourselves
Starting point is 01:34:18 up, seven, eight years, whatever it was. And I wrote, like, if you looked at a lot of the statistical indicators, and I'm talking to tracking stuff, like number of pick and rolls ran pretty low, number of ISOs ran pretty low, assists out of pick and roll. They were very similar players at that state. When Kauai was at Jalen Brown stage in his career, then they were very similar players. And Jalen Brown has not become as good as Pete Kauai Leonard, but he's developed in sort of a similar, like, the breadth of his game has taken it, is taken them to places where it didn't,
Starting point is 01:34:48 it didn't appear that it could have gone back then. But it was there. There was like, it was lurking in there. My big case for not making that trade, and I did it on pods back then was, um, the profile of him versus Paul George was very similar,
Starting point is 01:35:01 Jalen Brown. And it just felt like, pretty good bet that he could be as good as Paul George, barring an injury, right? and that was going to be his arc as a player. Another guy they could have traded Jamwood Brown for. Right. And the question for me is,
Starting point is 01:35:18 why would I trade this for a year of Kauai Leonard when there's no chance he's going to stay? Made no sense to me. I didn't think they should do it. The other what if we didn't mention how weird that 2011 draft was. What if the Pacers never traded him? Well, you have that, but you also have
Starting point is 01:35:38 Mwaukee takes Jimmer-Freda. 10th. Quay Thompson goes 11th to Golden State. Alec Berks 12th to Utah. The Morris twins go 13th and 14th to Phoenix and Houston. Okay. And I'm actually surprised Darrell passed on Kauai at 14. It felt like he would have fit the model from some of the stuff he was done in at San Diego State.
Starting point is 01:36:02 Indiana takes Kauai 15th and then trades him for George Hill. And that was one of the first great pieces you wrote for us at Grant. when you did the whole deep dive of a trade that I think both teams were probably happy about because George Hill, they got to the conference finals twice, and you have to give up something to get something to give up Kauai. But there's an interesting alternate universe where they just have Danny Granger, Paul George, and Kauai Leonard. And they're just like, I just will figure out who brings the ball up.
Starting point is 01:36:30 It's a really fun draft all the way down because, like, Jimmy Butler sneaks in at number 30. It's a drunk draft. Chandler Parsons at number 38 becomes a weirdly important player because of his kind of, contract and the decision the rockets had to make to, like, restrict them or I restrict him. I can't remember exactly. It was a very, it was a very fun draft. Yeah, so the rap on Kauai, he's at San Diego State for two seasons. His second year, he averaged 16 and 11, and he was 25 for 86 from three. And this is the college three, shut 29%. And the rap was, great athlete can't shoot. And then San Antonio was like, we're going to fix him in like a month.
Starting point is 01:37:12 And he's basically been a good three-point shooter, I think other than his rookie year for most of his career. The other question for me is in the pyramid, how high can he go if he could put together a couple more really high-end years? Because that's where, like, Dwayne Wade, his career under pretty abruptly, right? He was, his peak was from his rookie year in Miami, 0405 season. I would say through about 13 with Miami
Starting point is 01:37:40 and then he just moved into a different phase of his career. He was leaking oil in the 2014 finals. Yeah, the 33-game winning streak was probably his last great hurrah. Isaiah Thomas, I have at 29. His career ended early and then Coozy at 28. Like, there is a chance he could move into that Charles Berkeley, Carl Malone, Kevin Garnett, Bob Pettit.
Starting point is 01:38:01 I have from 26, 25, 24, 23 in that range. If he can play like three, four more years, I think that's a good range for him. And maybe that's where he ends up. Can I give you a Kauai stat? Yeah. So I did a little basketball reference diving. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:38:17 And these are cherry-picked numbers to be sure. But I put them a little lower just to make sure I was including. I wasn't just cutting it off right where Kauai hit. All right, here are the guys who in the entire history of the NBA-A-A-A-Payed at least 5,000 minutes in the playoffs. Now that's where I had to cherry-pick a little bit. Kauai is at 5,100. So he's barely over that.
Starting point is 01:38:41 But so a couple other guys. 5,000 minutes is still a lot for the playoffs. 5,000 minutes. Points per game, at least 21. Kauai is at 21 and a half, I think. Player efficiency rating at least 23. Kauai is at 24 and change. 24.2.
Starting point is 01:38:58 So 5,000 minutes, all playoffs. This is all playoffs. Points per game in the playoffs greater than 21. PR in the playoffs greater than 23. Nine guys in the history of the NBA. LeBron James, Michael Jordan, Kareem Abdul-Jabbar, Shaq, Jerry West,
Starting point is 01:39:15 Kevin Durant, Kauai Leonard, Dirk Novitsky, Hakeem Olajuwon. That's the whole list. That's what we're talking about. Like, that's what this guy is. It would have been really fun
Starting point is 01:39:27 if Detroit said, fuck it and traded for him. I don't think I would have. They had the best record in the NBA. I would have said, don't do that. But if they had done that, I would have talked myself into it
Starting point is 01:39:39 in two minutes. It would have been, it would have been, we would have been exhilarated on the trade deadline show. We would, if that had broken at 212, 12, trade deadline day, Detroit to what? You saw it in the All-Star game. There's very few guys that could take over a quarter like that on both ends. And, you know, we're going to look back in the 21st century and especially at the forward position where we had a lot of good ones. And I think LeBron and Durant will levitate above the other ones as forwards. But Kauai is the one.
Starting point is 01:40:15 Dirk had his moment two in 2011 especially. And that's probably, I'm probably leaving somebody out. But those would be the four that I think were the most impactful forwards and winning titles on two different teams. I hope he has one more run because he's really fun to watch in person as the other thing. I still feel like he delivers the goods and there's just nobody like him in the league. I don't even know who to compare him to. I mean, I would love him to have one more real run.
Starting point is 01:40:45 The problem is, I just, I mean, they lost in seven to the nuggets last year in the first round, so we didn't get to see a long run, but we just haven't had a long run for him since the bubble. It's just every playoffs where even when it starts promising, he gets injured. Kauai Leonard. Before we go, that was fun. I enjoyed our deep dive. Yeah, it's a fascinating one. before we go.
Starting point is 01:41:12 Oh, and by the way, the other thing with Kauai is if you went around the league and said, give me your three best off-the-court Kauai stories, how many could you actually get from people? It's, I mean, I don't know, anyone who knows, like nobody knows anything about him even now, 15 years in. Except for him.
Starting point is 01:41:34 I don't think, like, like what it hardened say when right before he got traded, there was some piece where he was like, I think I know him probably better than anyone in the league, and I don't really know. We don't really talk much. Yeah, like, I was, I was Googling him, and it was like, Kauai's married. I was like, Kauai's married? I just, no idea.
Starting point is 01:41:51 Never really seen him in any situation like that. Before we go, Winter Olympics, how much did you consume? Are you just in full basketball? It was on in the background now and then, because my daughter enjoyed it. So, like, around dinner and the evening, we'd have it on. I missed the hockey games. I missed both the gold medal hockey games because I was watching basketball. We saw a fair bit of curling, figure skating,
Starting point is 01:42:13 you know, luge, bobsled. We saw some of that. Now, I can't say, I can't name a bobsled or a looser, or even if I can name a couple of figure skaters, that's it. The hockey was incredible. The women's hockey game was outstanding and so much fun. And then today, the U.S. Canada,
Starting point is 01:42:32 which I did not wake up for until the third period. But the three and three I don't love for the gold medal. I would have gone four on four for ten minutes. then eased into the three-on-three. But as usual with hockey, our goalie stood on his head and stopped everything and was just out of his mind. And hockey is a lot more simple to understand sometimes than like basketball, which we just talked about for two hours.
Starting point is 01:42:57 In hockey, sometimes your goalie can just single-handly win everything for you. And you're like, all right, couldn't score on our goalie. And now we've won. And that's what happened. I will say it all the time. One of the greatest feats I have ever seen in sports. I only saw because one of my best friends in college is from the Czech Republic. In the 1999, in the 1990s in Nagano, we got up in the middle of the night, every night to watch the Czech hockey team because he was so into it.
Starting point is 01:43:26 And they won the gold medal and they won the gold medal because Dominic Hachik just lost his mind for, I mean, he was the best goal in the world. But I mean, in that Olympics, there was a shootout against Canada, I think in the semifinals where he went five for five and it was like Lindrosse cry it was just every like a plus Canadian player took a run at him in a shootout and he saved every single one it was absolutely insane it was one of the best things I've ever seen well the most fun thing for me about this uh it was awesome I love this Olympic hockey run but um we had the kuch brothers who were on the U.S. Olympic hockey team who Brady and uh Keith and is it Keith? Brady and Matthew Keith was the dad And everybody who's ever gone against either of their teams
Starting point is 01:44:12 kind of hates those guys because they're like agitator, frustrating guys, and they've had a lot of success. But on Team America, you have to throw it aside. But now we have the Hughes brothers, who are the younger versions of them. You don't have the same baggage because your team hasn't battled them.
Starting point is 01:44:28 And the Hughes brothers were the two of the heroes because one scored the winning goal at one and then the other scored the winning goal today. But their mom, you know I love mom stuff. with the athletic genes. Because I really think it comes from the mom a lot of the times. The mom was the greatest athlete in the history of UNH. She played, she was a three-sport athlete in college.
Starting point is 01:44:51 She was soccer, hockey, and lacrosse. Michael Malley told me this, because he went there. He was like two years older than I had to go look it up. And then was this famous college hockey player who was like on the first Olympic team. But like just this legendary athlete and then goes and has the Hughes kids. And there's a third Hughes kid who could have been. the team and got hurt, Luke Hughes, who's the defenseman. I legitimately thought you were going to say that their mom is Sarah Hughes,
Starting point is 01:45:18 the Olympic gold medal finger skater from like 20 years ago. No, no, no, that would have been exciting too. In my head, I was like, it feels like she would have had kids real young if they was at Sarah Hughes. And I don't think that, I don't remember her doing that. All right. But better athlete than Jackie McMullen on their UNH great. Exactly.
Starting point is 01:45:35 And then another thing, which a bunch of my Jewish friends were excited about, They said this is one of the great moments in Jewish sports history because the Hughes brothers are the mom is Jewish and they had bar mitzvahs. So they're like, we're claiming this is one of the great moments you've ever had. This is, I'm learning a lot about the Olympics right now. I mean, this mom, three sport athlete in college, it's div one. It's not like it's div three where you can just kind of show up for the season. Have you booked her for the Bill Simmons podcast yet? I'm so fascinated.
Starting point is 01:46:02 I have so many more questions. And then she married a hockey guy. And they have three kids who are. all like, you know, major NHL players. Get her on the pod. Get her on the son's on the pod. Get her on. Guy loses his teeth, scores the winning goal right after. It's like
Starting point is 01:46:18 the famous photo and, you know, the 1980 Olympic team was the true non-Boston sports I led of my life. So it was fun to get a little umbilical cord. And then poor Connor McDavid, who, I know you don't follow hockey, but has had these tragic
Starting point is 01:46:34 come close. He's the best part of the world. He's the oilers. He's been the best part in the world for years. Can't get over the hump with the cup. Now loses in OT, the gold medal game and now has become in this tragic, tragic Charles Parkley type figure. But he's like the Jerry West where no one's holding it against him, right? Nobody's holding against him. Yeah. No, the Jerry West is a really good example. Nobody's blamed him, but at some point he's going to end up throwing a chair through his window like Jerry West in Winning Time. Although I'm not sure that actually happened.
Starting point is 01:47:05 Anyway, that's my Olympic report. I had a great time with the hockey team. Go USA. And then they did the Pat Riley thing today, which we forgot about. They're running out of statues. There are a lot of statues around crypto. But they did at least,
Starting point is 01:47:22 having seen some of our recent statues, at least that one looks exactly like Pat Riley, and it looks nice. We're getting better at that. Social media has bullied the statue people. And to just being better. better at statues. Yeah, I still feel for Dwayne Wade.
Starting point is 01:47:39 It didn't work out. Can you catch up on the JFK Jr. Carolyn Bissid show with your wife so that when we do a pod next week, we can do five minutes on it? I don't know anything about it. I know you're obsessed with it. I know everyone else in my life wants to talk about the Guthrie kidnapping case. I guess I got a lot of stuff I got to catch up on because I don't have a lot to add to these conversations. All right.
Starting point is 01:48:01 Zach Lowe. Next podcast for the Zach Lowe show is Tuesday. Coming off Spurs Pistons. Hopefully you don't get snowed in. Good luck with the snow. Good luck to everybody back east, including my poor dad, who can't believe it's snowing again. And my daughter, who's ready to come back to California. Stay safe on the East Coast there.
Starting point is 01:48:21 Good luck with the blizzard. Thanks to Jack Wilson. Thanks to Chris. Thanks to go out. Thanks to Eduardo as well from our end. And I will see you on this feed on Tuesday. By the way, New Rewatchable is coming tomorrow. We're doing crazy stupid love.
Starting point is 01:48:33 So stay tuned for that. Thanks, Zach. Anytime. Must be 21 plus in president select states for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino or 18 plus in president in D.C., Kentucky, or Wyoming. Gaming problem, call 100 gambor or visit RG-7-Helf.com. Call 88879-7777 or visit ccpg.org slash chat in Connecticut or MD gamblinghelp. org in Maryland.
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