The Bill Simmons Podcast - Bucks on the Brink, Giannis vs. History, Finals Leaps, and NFL Bets With Joe House
Episode Date: July 19, 2021The Ringer’s Bill Simmons is joined by Joe House to discuss the Bucks’ Game 5 Finals win over the Suns, Giannis Antetokounmpo's enthralling basketball journey, what the Suns need in order to pull ...off a Game 6 win, and more (3:15). They then talk a little golf, NFL futures bets, Olympic basketball, and more (1:02:40). Host: Bill Simmons Guest: Joe House Producer: Kyle Crichton Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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We're also brought to you by TheRinger.com as well as The Rewatchables where we are doing
Fight Club. It's going up tomorrow. Me and Chris Ryan did it. The reason we did it is because
our Woodstock 99 documentary is coming on HBO on Friday. It's going to be on HBO on Friday night.
It's also going to be available on HBO Max all day Friday.
It is a sneak preview
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It's six documentaries in all.
This is the first one
we wanted to time it
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This is a great one.
Directed by Garrett Price.
It is about a three day weekend
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it's more of a horror movie
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but
highly recommend it
can't wait for you
to see it
and
since we had it coming
we had to do Fight Club
because
Fight Club also came out
in 1999
it taps into
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and
kind of makes sense
as a combo
so
that was one we had been saving for the right time,
Fight Club and All Timer.
And Chris and I, it's coming on Monday.
Also, Joe House is coming up in a second.
He just did Fairway Rolling with Nathan Hubbard
where they broke down the open.
Colin Maracala winning his second major.
So they went on right after it was done,
posted a great podcast about that.
If you want to hear us,
we're going to talk about golf at the tail end here.
But if you want to hear the full deep dive
with House and with Nathan,
you can check out Fairway, Roland.
Also, we have a new podcast launching this week,
Gene and Roger,
which I think is launching on the Big Picture feed
the first episode this week.
But it's another narrative series from us.
We just finished the Len Bias series, which was awesome. What if the Len Bias story, and it's another narrative series from us. We just finished the Limp Bias series,
which was awesome.
What if the Limp Bias story,
and now moving right to Gene and Roger,
which is another really good one
about Siskel and Ebert,
who had an enormous impact,
not only in the movie industry,
but on pop culture too,
in the 70s, 80s, 90s, even the 2000s.
So Gene and Roger, that's coming this week.
Don't forget about the rewatchables.
Don't forget about the Woodstock documentary on HBO and on HBO Max on Friday.
It's coming.
Finals will be over by then.
You'll have time.
You'll be ready for it.
Coming up, House and I are going to talk about all kinds of basketball stuff, some golf,
maybe even some football futures.
First, our friends from Pearl Jam.
All right, we are taping this.
It is mid-afternoon Pacific time on Sunday.
My buddy Joe House is here.
He just did a fairway rolling earlier about the open.
We'll talk about that later.
I want to talk hoops.
No podcast for me after Saturday night's game five because it was Saturday night.
I had a birthday party to go to.
Watched it at the party.
It was super fun.
Came home, watched it again.
Watched it a third time this morning. House, I am convinced that a Bucks title
and the Giannis leap that we've had the last four weeks is the best possible thing that could
have happened for the NBA. I'm talking big picture, what it means for the league,
the storyline behind it, the guy who stayed,
the guy who could have had everybody tempting him with, you know, come here to Dallas. You
can play with Luca, uh, go to the New York Knicks. You can play there, go to one of the LA teams,
go to one of the big markets. You can be a bigger star. He's not about that. Everyone said he was
never about that stays with his team. They make it better enough that they can compete
for finals. They get some breaks and then they kind of hit rock bottom game five Brooklyn series.
He sucks it up. And he's just like, I'm, I'm not going down. I'm doing everything I can to get
here. Hurts his knee, comes back, has two iconic plays in the finals and did everything we've ever
wanted from this guy. I gotta say,
he's a level higher than I ever thought he was going to be as a player. And just in general,
it's such a heartwarming story, isn't it? Like we have no skin in this game. I'm from,
I'm a Boston fan. You're a DC fan. I don't really care who wins the finals unless I'm betting on it,
but I think this is such a great basketball story. I'm really enamored with it. It's a damn good story, and it fits exactly the overwhelming, overarching narrative of this NBA season, which to me is last man standing.
I would have been fine with a Suns victory in these finals and the coronation of Chris Paul
and everything that goes along with that
and the resuscitation of that franchise
under Monte Williams
and the story of that Suns team
coming together in the bubble last year
and ripping off eight wins
and basically not looking back from that.
That's a bunch of great storylines.
And the Devin Booker, essentially.
Yeah, right.
The emergence of Devin Booker as a super-duper star.
And Aiton.
Aiton kind of winning his number one pick status.
All of that, right?
Validating his number one pick status.
Yes, all of those storylines that go along with the Suns fit.
But this season, across the board has been about uh durability
about uh you know just hanging in there it's been a war of attrition and that's been the theme that
we've been seeing you know really from from the beginning with all of the crazy schedule and you know
we've seen guys LeBron
complained about all
the injuries in the playoffs and
made the point about you know I told
everybody that this was a risk I mean
Chris Paul properly clap back
at that with like you know we all had
an opportunity to express our point
of view on this before the season
started but like you know Jokic won the MVP of the league because he played the most games.
He was excellent.
He was terrific.
He delivered that Denver team to its very highest potential.
But really, he won it because he played.
He played with the games.
It was a reliability, durability award.
And really, that's the theme of this season.
And for Giannis especially to come back from an injury
that to all of our eyes looked like it was going to be
a complete bunch of tears, ligament tears.
And instead, he comes back and he has iconic finals performances and i am very happy to
report the odds flashed up yesterday afternoon oh there was some plus odds for yannis as the mvp
of these finals because you know we're sitting here looking at it to gain two to two it's either
going to be cp3 or yannis and i saw plus odds for Giannis and I jumped right on it.
And, you know, fingers crossed. The rest might be
history. I had Bucks in six before the series, five to
one odds. Didn't touch it. Didn't really bet any
individual game because I just didn't like the individual game
odds. But in the back of my head,
I was like, I think the Bucks can win. They're going to win game three. That's how it goes.
And I think they can win game four. And then by the time we started heading to game five,
so many things in the series were falling in their favor. But to me, the biggest thing was
just like, I think they have the best player. And how many finals have we watched where whoever was either the best player going into it or the best player as the series evolved, that guy's team usually wins.
There's exceptions.
But I think that thing, I was thinking about the journey of Giannis.
We've talked a lot about him the last few weeks, but I really think it's the most important storyline in a while.
You know, he comes in, grows three inches his first year.
He's heading into his second year where there was some exhibition season footage.
And I remember Jalen and I did one of our last previews before that series got canceled
because I got suspended.
And I showed him young Yana stuff.
And I'm like, what's this?
This looks like something.
And he's like, no, no, too early.
But it was at that stage where it was like, oh, this guy might not be a bust, basically. And then over the next two years, he becomes the freak. He wins over everyone on
Twitter. And it really seems like, oh, this guy's going to be a really good player. He's going to
be an all-star. This is great. And then something shifts again. He wins two straight MVPs,
but there still seemed that piece missing.
And think all the dumb arguments we had.
And we have even had some on the show
about the Batman Robin stuff with him.
And it was like, he's better than Robin,
but he's still going to need like his version of Kobe
in the early 2000s
if he's ever going to want to win the title.
And, but my long point leads to this.
The stuff he's done the last couple rounds
where he's kind of been the Batman,
not the Robin. He's added things to his game. Now the Bucks fans are like, no, no, he was,
he did this in February against Orlando. It's like, no, he's, he's solving shit.
He's solving angles. It's not about just put the wall up and Giannis doesn't know what to do. Just
make him shoot threes. Like he's attacking on-degree angles now. The stuff he did, there was that one play in the fourth quarter yesterday
when it's like seven minutes left,
and he had Aiton in front of him on the left side,
and he just kind of went right at him, half-euro stepped him,
went left but did a righty scoop shot and got the foul.
It feels like he's got like 11 or 12 moves now
that he can kind of draw from during these games, right?
Well, he's definitely helped by the fact that they're playing the Suns because they really, the Suns do theirnis and what we've seen out of him in terms of his adapting to what that defense is showing him.
But Aiton as the primary defender just is not.
He can't handle Giannis one on one.
Well, and as a semi careful defender, too, because he doesn't want to get in foul trouble.
So I think like if he had a really good backup
and he gets in anyway,
he put 45 minutes yesterday,
but I think it's always in the back of his mind.
And Giannis has been really smart.
He's just going at him.
He's making him have to defend him.
I don't know if he would have done that a year ago.
I don't know if he would have realized like,
I'm going to back you down,
do this jump hook thing.
Yes, exactly.
I'm going to do this little one-legged floater
over your head. I don't care if you foul me. I'll make one or two. I'm just going to keep going to back you down, do this jump hook thing. I'm going to do this little one-legged floater over your head. I don't care if you foul me, I'll make one or two. I'm just going to keep going to
the line and you guys will all foul out. Like he's, he doesn't look back. It's, I remember
when, uh, when my daughter was playing soccer, like 10 year olds, they start really thinking
about stuff like nine, 10 year olds. If they may like miss a kick or something, you can see it
gets in their head. And her coach was like, just be a goldfish.
Just swim around.
Whatever happened two seconds ago, doesn't matter.
You're a goldfish.
Just swim.
And I feel like Giannis is a goldfish.
So he can miss.
How many free throws did he miss in the last two minutes?
Like five in a row.
He just kept going.
He was four of 11 from the free throw line.
And he missed his last five?
It should have been.
It could have been.
It was game-changing.
It was game-changing.
I mean, it permitted the Suns to come all the way back.
But that's their Achilles heel, right?
And the Suns had multiple opportunities.
Yeah, Milwaukee's Achilles heel is the free throw shooting.
They're a guy short.
Phoenix's Achilles heel is they're too small
and they're two guys short.
Well, now on that point,
Giannis led everybody
in offensive rebounds last night. He had
five offensive rebounds.
And that
has been the story.
The Suns' inability to secure
a defensive rebound when they need it
and the Suns' turnovers are the
thing. And those, that's just,
you know, those are effort kinds of plays. Now, I'm not suggesting that the Suns haven turnovers are the thing. And that's just, you know, those are effort kinds of plays.
Now, I'm not suggesting that the Suns
haven't been expending max effort,
but, you know, those are the,
that's the nitty gritty stuff
that will determine the championship, I think.
Well, and that's size and length and athleticism,
which the Bucs have.
They threw that lineup out last night with,
it was like Lopez, Giannis, Tucker, Middleton,
and I think Conadon.
They didn't even have a point guard.
Wait, back to the Giannis point.
We were kind of bummed out about this finals,
like deep down, because it didn't have the,
it just felt like an asterisk here.
I hate the word asterisk,
but it felt like a giant footnote
where just all these great players weren't in it. We had of the best 11 players in the league,
10 of them weren't in the finals, right? And then you think the way this worked out was pretty
awesome. We had the Nets didn't get to rig their roster and try to win a title that way. Just the
karma and bad luck just kind of got them.
Same thing for the Lakers who rigged their title because they were able to get Davis to the Lakers
and get everyone else to back off.
That backfired this year.
Lakers fans love you.
Well, I'm just, the Bucs were kind of the homegrown old school title,
which is like, you know, there's multiple ways to win a title,
but I always enjoy the ingenuity, loyalty.
No lottery picks, right?
Right.
No lottery picks.
I think their highest pick.
So that whole part's fun.
The whole thing that Milwaukee hasn't won in 50 years.
I mean, you're getting that either way with Milwaukee or Phoenix.
CP3 now, if Milwaukee ends up winning game six,
which I feel like they're going to win game six.
I just think they're better.
But, you know, we've seen series
where the team was better and blew the game six,
San Antonio against Miami in 2013.
CP3 now losing this finals
becomes a historic rings culture guy.
He might even be culture.
Well, the whole thing when,
when everybody talks about rings,
do they matter?
And they have to list all the players and it's like Barkley Malone,
Elgin Baylor,
and they go through them.
So the,
the best 10 guys who've never won a title Barkley Malone,
Elgin,
Chris Paul,
Nash,
Harden,
Gervin,
Ewing,
Iverson,
Russ,
in some order,
you can order those guys any way you want.
Um,
CP3,
this is the closest,
I think,
in the finals
that any of those guys got
except for Ewing.
Ewing had up 3-2.
Houston,
game six, game seven,
but they just,
they kind of needed
one stop down the stretch
of game six.
They need to make one shot.
They couldn't do it.
And then they lose in game seven.
My thing was like, I thought the right team won because I thought H. And then they lose in game seven. And my thing was like,
I thought the right team won
because I thought Hakeem
was slightly better than Ewing.
And I also thought like,
if your entire season's coming down
to a John Starks three
with Hakeem in his face,
maybe you shouldn't win the title.
But that was the closest
out of those 10 guys.
Now, Elgin kind of won a ring
because he was on that 72 Lakers team, but he retired during the
season, but it's like
barely counts. Out of
all those guys, Ewing
came the closest, but Chris, up
to nothing
in the finals, not getting
it is devastating.
The one thing I hope
we get after
this NBA season is over is,
um,
I know what you're going to say the revelation front from him or,
or through some,
you know,
journalism investigative wise as to his injury,
what,
what happened to him?
Because unless he bought,
you know,
is able to,
uh,
get himself to Germany between now and Tuesday
for an injection of the super steroids.
I'm pretty sure those are illegal.
Well, that's why Kobe went to Germany.
All I know is Kobe went to Germany.
He liked the food there.
He got a treatment.
I mean, maybe Chris would like it as well.
He got some washed blood injected back in his knee. I think it was
legal.
Do you think Chris needs it?
He needs it in four parts of his body.
It does look like it because this is the conversation
that we're having as we're watching the games
and we're all super attuned and you and
Russillo talked about it
after game four.
Yeah, that was like injured
or choke.
When he's not playing well, he's injured after game four. Yeah, that was like injured or choke. And it's like,
when he's not playing well, he's injured.
And when he is playing well, he's fine.
So that means then he choked in game four.
Like we keep, we're going back and forth.
I think we know the answer though.
I don't, there isn't a difference.
He's not choking.
He's not, he didn't play.
He didn't get minutes in game four.
He is hurt.
There's no argument about it.
See, hurt or is he old?
Both.
I would say he's more old than hurt because everybody's hurt.
Giannis is fucking hurt. Giannis can't even do
the Euro steps anymore.
Giannis is 10 years younger than him.
I know, but that's the thing. If you're trying to win the title
with a 37-year-old guy
and you got to go four rounds in a whole
condensed season, this is the shit that happens.
That's right. All true. I have some stats for you.
Chris Paul from round two through the first two finals games.
He was 25 and nine, four rebounds.
He shot 52, 50, 95.
Only 2.1 turnovers, 4.6 free throw attempts.
Remember that?
4.6 free throw attempts. Remember that, 4.6 free throw attempts.
His last three, 17, 9, and 2, 52, 44, 67.
Still not bad for the splits.
3.3 turnovers, 1.0 free throw attempts.
And the body language doctor
has not liked the body language from him.
Well, it's not even the language.
It's the body. The body language doctor doesn't like the body language from him. Well, it's not even the language. It's the body.
The body language.
The body.
Because the body, he can't penetrate and kick.
You shared with us the shot chart from games three and four.
Milwaukee has taken away the corner three from the Suns, but the Suns have been complicit in this attribute
because CP3 cannot penetrate and kick.
He just can't physically do it.
We're wondering whether he can dribble with his left hand.
Yeah, sometimes he can, sometimes he can't.
They're also, they're making Booker,
they're kind of good with Booker getting 40 points.
It's apparent.
Now, I mean, it puts, it's a risky strategy.
Yeah, but it's a little reminiscent.
I think the first guy I remember doing this
was Pop in 05 against Nash
when he was just like,
we're getting rid of everybody else.
Nash, knock yourself out.
Get your 35 to 40.
Nash kind of didn't know what to do.
He had one-on-one.
It was the right matchup every time.
Same thing with Booker. They've closed-on-one. It was the right matchup every time. Same thing with Booker.
They're just, they've closed out on the corners.
It happened again.
We talked about it on this pod after game four
with Jackie and Sierra.
And then same thing, game five.
The Suns shot really well.
That was one of the weird things about this game.
They shot 55%.
They made two out of every three threes, 68%.
They shot 90% for the free throw
and they're playing home and they lost.
Your boy, Zach Cram, we have a nice Cram fact in here.
Teams shooting 60% on at least 20 three-point attempts were 12-0,
winning by an average margin of 24 points.
And the Suns last night shot 62% on 21 three-point attempts and lost the game.
I mean, some record-breaking stuff is going on here.
It's a tough one.
Well, going back to the Giannis and the outcome, and then we'll take a break.
But KD makes that three.
If his foot's a foot back.
It's a damn big toe away.
So we have a ton of what-s that come out of these playoffs.
Yes.
We have Chris Paul now as this just all time,
like I feel bad for that guy.
What a worrier.
I'm actually not going to hold the fact that he's never won a finals against him.
But by the way, he never won a finals against him. But by the way, he never won a finals. You have the old school,
homegrown guy leading his team,
not thinking about leaving.
You have that whole thing.
And on top of it,
KD stepping on the line
put some chest hair on Giannis.
It sure did.
It turned out to be the greatest thing
that ever happened to Giannis.
Because if KD hits that three
and the Nets go to the next round,
they probably win
and maybe the Suns beat the Nets.
Kyrie might be back at that point.
Maybe Harden's okay.
Maybe the Nets win easily.
But we never have these last two rounds
for Giannis.
And then we head to the next season
around Giannis.
What's up with him?
This guy, what is he?
And, you know, Coach Bud gets fired.
So immediately,
Milwaukee in a type of turmoil
just because it all
comes down to KD's big toe.
It's crazy. We're going to take a quick break.
I have some more Giannis stuff for you. I'm going to blow your mind
with some Giannis stuff.
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Big picture.
And the reason we keep talking about Giannis on this podcast is because this is some, you know, I had my book, The Pantheon.
There's 16 guys in it.
Added Curry recently.
It's not a long list.
The stuff Giannis is doing done in this playoffs, in these finals, the game-to-game stuff, the consistency,
the greatness, the stats, all of it.
Coming back from the knee!
With the knee injury on top of it,
but he's averaging 32, 13, and 6 in the finals.
61% shooting.
For the playoffs, he's 29, 13, and 5.
All right, let's talk about the company that's in.
We have Shaq in 00 and 01 with 30 and 15,
right in the neighborhood.
We have Shaq in 02 with a 29 and 13, exactly the same.
Now Shaq, those three straight finals, we're like,
wow, that's one of the greatest three finals runs
we've ever had.
Giannis has matched it for a year.
Kareem in 74 loses the finals, but put up a 32 and 16.
Kareem in 1980, which was his greatest series, in my opinion, 32 and 12.
Hakeem, 94, 29, 11.
Hakeem, 95, 33, and 10.
And then Moses in 83, 26, and 16.
So those are all winning performances with big stats.
And my point is this.
I had in my book and still on my list,
I have Shaq, I have Kareem.
Now he's third or maybe fourth.
I have Moses and Shaq and Hakeem all in the top 15.
And Giannis is in the neighborhood.
In the neighborhood.
He just drove his car into one of the parking spaces
right next to those fucking guys for an entire playoffs. And he's about to win the neighborhood. In the neighborhood. He just drove his car into one of the parking spaces right next to those fucking guys for an entire playoffs.
And he's about to win the title.
And I just didn't expect this.
Did you?
Well, it was plausible at the outset of the playoffs.
Right?
Fair.
Because, and I'm not, again, I ought not to confess this.
Nine to one for Milwaukee to win the title before the playoffs began.
I got on that because it was like, look, there's definitely a path here.
I mean, the Nets were the prohibitive favorites,
but the Nets had those injury concerns.
That was even before Harden, you know,
Chris goad his way out of the playoffs.
And, you know, we didn't know what we were going to get with Philly and Philly was underwhelming
in that Atlanta.
Or we did.
Or we did know again.
Right.
But we didn't get a three field goals in seven fourth quarters from Ben Simmons.
We kind of knew that deep down.
But this was the thing that that made the Bucks compelling.
Like, could Giannis and there was also legit coach bud questions and i'm not sure
that every coach bud question that's been answered satisfactorily but the combination of yannis and
coach bud together on this journey just enough doubt to to make it you know uh a giant i don't
know but also plausible because y Giannis can elevate and he did
elevate. And we knew that
Middleton and Holiday
were wild cards and
they both matured. They're both on the stage.
Wait, hold that Middleton point because we didn't know
Middleton could be like a legit
second guy on the finals team.
We did not know that.
I didn't know that.
They're the supporting cast. They're the crucial,
uh,
uh,
you know,
role players in this thing.
Um,
and it's been the only one that I feel like he's exactly who I thought he was
throughout this playoffs.
He's going to go four for 20 every once in a while.
He's going to have games where it looks like he needs LASIK surgery.
He's going to have games where he's completely dominant defensively.
And he's a perimeter guy and he's going to have great two way games like last night. That's he's all over the map, but he's going to have games where he's completely dominant defensively. As a perimeter guy.
And he's going to have great two-way games like last night.
He's all over the map, but he's good.
Until last night, he was under 35% shooting in these finals.
And he was volume shooting.
I mean, it wasn't like these were three for 11 performances.
I mean, he's getting it up.
But one of the things that jumped out from the stories of last night,
and you mentioned this on the defensive side,
and this is the thing, if you're thinking about the Bucs and their prospects,
Holiday is a lockdown defender.
When Holiday has been on Booker or CP3,
the expected points per possession for the Suns is
like 22 points per 100
possessions.
When he's not on one of those two guys,
both of those guys, it jumps up
to almost 40 points
per 100.
The proof is in the pudding. We see
it with our own eyes with Holiday,
but the idea of the Bucs
in these playoffs came down to these
very, very factors, right? Like
Giannis next level, Boone Holter
not fucking it up,
and then Holiday and Middleton,
can they do it? And it's cool.
We're here. Final
stats. Some of these are great.
I actually spent an hour going through all this stuff today.
Shaq in 2000
in the finals, 38-17.
Just every game. Wow.
01, 33-16
and 5. Shaq.
02, slumped a little.
36-12.
The daddy. Three straight years.
That's why, listen, that's why
I'll always defend Shaq. He fucking kicked everyone's
ass for three straight years.
Kareem in 1980, 33. Yeah. Hakeem,
Kareem in 1980,
33 and 14.
Moses in 83,
26 and 18.
Hakeem in 95,
33 and 12.
LeBron had two good ones.
He's a non-center,
but in 2016,
30, 11, and 9.
In 2020,
30, 12 and 9.
So back to Giannis.
32, 13, and 6. Again, there Giannis. 32, 13 and 6.
Again,
there was a parking space in this garage that we didn't know Giannis was allowed
on this level of the garage.
And he's kind of backing the car into
the garage. What's he driving?
It's a thing. What kind of car is he driving?
What do you like, Giannis?
It's some awesome Greek
Range Rover.
It's got no roof. It's got all kinds of Range Rover it's got it's got no roof
it's got all kinds of shit
it's like a 200
it's something Italian
I like something Italian
it's like the Himalaya
have you seen the Himalaya car
I think it's like a Himalaya
no I don't know that
I don't know that one
it's like a
the 42 club
as you know
the points, rebounds, assists
if you're 42 and over
and you've played at least 12 games
you're special
it's not a long list
we've talked about it many times
in this pod.
Well,
there's a 47 club.
Oh Jesus.
For guys post merger.
It's LeBron,
MJ,
Hakeem,
Shaq,
Kareem,
and Giannis.
Those are our seven guys.
LeBron's done it four times,
by the way,
Shaq's done it twice.
The other guys have done it once,
but again,
LeBron,
MJ,
Hakeem,
Shaq,
Kareem,
Giannis. Going back to the garage.
Now, here's the other thing going on here. Defensively, he's better than Shaq was.
Hakeem was incredible. I don't think he was better defensively than Hakeem was. I think he's in the vicinity of it, though. I think he was a better defensive and a more impactful defensive player
than Kareem
at any point of the second half of his career.
And then Moses was really an offense rebounder.
Defense wasn't 100% his thing.
You throw in the defense stuff that he's done
and his ability to play
against all these different types of guys, right?
He's been matched up on Paul and Booker on the perimeter.
He's had to guard aid and he's been all over the map.
And on the key play yesterday,
which if I'm a Suns fan,
I'm replaying that.
That's their version of Larry Bird missing the shot in 87 by an inch.
Booker,
really good drive on the defining play of the game.
They're down one.
Drives hard left.
Goes in the lane on Tucker.
Tucker, who I think has sucked in this series,
actually plays really good defense.
Stays in front of him.
Doesn't foul him.
Giannis comes over.
Makes him guess.
Booker's stuck.
And he's about to turn and throw it to Chris for this career-defining three.
That's right.
But Holiday sniffs it out, and he's already grabbing for the ball.
Grabs it.
Turns.
I'm watching this live, and I see Giannis. He's doing that run down the court thing.
And I'm like, oh, my God.
He's going to go for the alley-oop.
Are you fucking kidding me?
And I didn't think Holiday was going to throw it to him.
And he throws it to him.
Paul shoves him, which, by the way, was a flagrant at every point of the season,
except for last night for some reason.
But that's,
they've called that as a flagrant all year.
And Giannis finishes it game time.
But that's,
I think that is one of the great plays of the last 20 years.
Like just for significance,
everything that happened,
the three different guys on the Bucs all making like really great plays.
And then like an athletic play that I feel like how many guys make that play?
Giannis Robinson.
I mean, the the the I honestly am equally impressed by the balls on holiday to throw it up there.
Like credible balls.
That's what I make.
It was an all time two way play.
I mean,
you mentioned if he fucked up the alley.
That's how badly that could go wrong.
A million things can go wrong on that play.
Absolutely right.
I mean,
it has to be perfect.
And,
and it was,
it was bang,
bang split second,
like the sensible thing.
And nobody would have been mad.
Would have been for him to just dribble for a little while.
Right. Run some clock.
He's a good free throw shooter.
Exactly right. Of course.
But nope, we're going to put the hammer down.
We've got a one of one in
Giannis. If I throw it anywhere near the
rim, he's going to get it and
he's going to finish it and by
golly, I mean, it was an all
caps wowee.
Wowee zowie. Well, there's another thing going on here.
If the Bucks blow that game,
it caused me to make my list of what were the worst finals losses of this
century.
Cause it would have been on it.
The worst finals loss of the century and maybe all time was,
was the Ray Allen shot.
Yeah.
That's the worst basketball loss that's ever happened in my opinion.
I don't think there's ever been
A more devastating loss
But I had some other good ones
I just went 21st century
The Horry game
Game 5, 2005
Detroit, San Antonio
Which is known as the Horry game
But the real diehard hoop fans
Remember it as the
I can't fucking believe
Rasheed Wallace left Horry open
When he inbounded the ball And then went right to the And then had a wide open three hard hoop fans remember it as the, I can't fucking believe Rasheed Wallace left Torrey open when he
inbounded the ball and then went right to the,
and then right.
And I had a wide open three,
like what the fuck are you doing?
Ball don't lie.
She said it.
Ball don't lie.
She.
Ball don't lie.
And stay with Robert Horry.
That should have been his two things.
So that was a tough one.
Lakers 08 game four against Celts up 25.
We come back,
make a bunch of threes.
To me, that's the day small
ball was basically created because we
come back with this small ball lineup with KG
and we're shooting threes. That was
the lineup he should have played all year.
Every time we play that lineup,
we score.
They flipped that stat. They showed that
a little bit, that game as
a marker for the comeback that the Bucs had
by coming back from 16,
you know,
where they were flashing
big comebacks in finals
and that was one of them.
Well,
and that's when
threes are such a big part
of these quick comebacks now.
You make four threes
in two minutes.
Bang.
We did a
book of basketball podcast
on this game,
Orlando 2009,
game four.
A Stan Van Gundy catastrophe.
Coaching catastrophe.
With a little Jameer Nelson,
a little Dwight Howard sprinkled in.
But that ends up getting the Lakers.
That was a bad one.
Dallas 2006, game three.
Series seems over.
Huge comeback.
Wade starts getting every call.
Game five was worse
because that was the Bennett Salvatore.
Yes.
I'll never get over how bad that call was.
I don't even like Dallas. I don't even think
I bet on that series. That was one of the
most horrifying moments that led to
Cuban screaming at Stern,
you fixed the game, all that
stuff.
Now we go to 2016
Golden State Cleveland game seven. Golden State's last six minutes are,
I think that's the second worst loss of the last 20. Wow. Because you just need to hit one three
and you win the game. Just hit one shot and you win the title at home. Just one. The Cavs don't
even score the last five minutes other than the Kyrie three. It's stunning
for Golden State
to be in that drought. That's the thing
that's so stark about it.
They're home and the fans are
nervous and it's just a rock fight
and Festus Azile is
in there for some reason and LeBron
hits two threes over him. Then nobody
scores for four minutes. Brutal.
Boston 2010 game seven hits two threes over him, then nobody scores for four minutes. Brutal. Boston
2010 game seven.
Yeah. Where they blew the
18-point lead. They just ran out. They wouldn't have
enough guys. Yeah. And the Lakers
were really good, but we were like a guy short because
Perkins was out. And then
the last one I have is
Cleveland 2018, aka
the J.R. Smith game. It was a game one,
so not as devastating,
but LeBron knew it.
He knew that was it for the series.
They weren't going to beat them five times.
So I have those nine.
And I think if the Bucks blew that game,
I think it's the third worst out of all those.
If you're up 10
and you're missing free throws
and you leave Paul wide open on that three at the top of the
perimeter for no reason at all. Booker hits that crazy going to his right three. And then you just
can't, you just seem nervous and you fall apart and you lose that fucking awful. Yeah. They were
up 10 in the fourth quarter. I think they were up 14 at one point in the fourth quarter, but they
were up eight with two minutes and 23 seconds left. Right.
They're at 121, 12 with two and a half.
They were up.
They're up 10 with like 320 left.
And we had two misses from Middleton and a holiday miss.
And then they put the freak on the line.
And this is again, like how, what a fine line we're in here extolling the virtues of the
freak.
And yet that game was him standing on the free.
And by the way,
the free throw that he missed after the alley,
you brilliant miss,
which,
which,
you know,
should have been,
this is why the sons are going to lose this series.
They can't,
they couldn't get a defensive rebound when they needed it.
It's just that,
that,
that close between these two teams.
I think the biggest mistake they made
In game 5
Was not playing Cam Johnson over Crowder
I think they
I think they're a little too in love with the safety
Of Crowder the same way the Bucks are a little
Too in love with the safety of PJ Tucker
Sure
But I think for game 6
Cam Johnson's the guy I've asked for
They need more from him in that game.
Because one of the things with him is he rebounds.
And he'll come in.
I feel like he would have gotten that free throw rebound.
I don't even think he was on the court.
Quickly, Booker.
So that last possession,
which I think is one of the all-time great finals plays. It's like you could
Zabruder from that play. Great Tucker D, great Giannis Hope, great Holiday Strip, right? Three
greats in a row. Great Giannis Sprint, and then a double great Ali Oop. And on the flip side of
that, Booker makes that shot, and I think they win. I don't think the Bucks, I think they just would have double teamed Middleton and gotten a bad
shot. And it's like this incredible fork in the road moment for Booker because he was right at
the precipice of, wow, this guy might not just be like a multi-time all-star. Like we have to
recalibrate what we thought the stuff he was doing as a two guard is, you know, less than 10 guys ever, but he gets stripped and now it is where it is. Let me ask you this. Yeah. Do you
think Monte Williams made a mistake by not taking the timeout? I don't. Yeah. I, to me, that's a
trust your team. I watched it a bunch of times today because I was, I was trying to figure out
what he should have done. And I actually think he did the right thing. I think the Bucs
just played it perfect.
They only had one timeout left
and it was at the 32nd mark
and you have to have
that timeout,
you know,
at the end
to advance the ball.
Yeah, for sure.
The most interesting thing
about that play is
Chris kind of runs away from it.
Yeah.
I'm not saying
he was afraid of it.
I'm just saying
Booker had the ball
in the right corner on the Bucs side. They get the rebound. Starts not saying he was afraid of it. I'm just saying Booker had the ball in the
right corner on the
buck side.
They get the rebound.
Start shoving up.
No timeout.
Chris goes all the way
the other side like a
2018 rocket style.
I think he was running
to a spot though.
I saw it.
I know what you're
talking about.
They crisscrossed.
Right.
I want Chris Ball to
have the ball with 20
seconds.
So this is the thing. This is what I mean. If if he's healthy maybe he's not healthy maybe he knew right and and who but the play before
remember with like 50 seconds left on the right side he he got the switch on conantin and then
he dusted conantin on the baseline and let's i just want chris paul to side in the game he's
chris paul he and let's give credit. He really did almost decide the game.
I know.
He engineered that comeback.
It was his smart plays and his finishing and his execution that brought them all the way back to that precipice of one point away.
I mean, Booker also, who was incandescent, but really CP3 driving that train, driving the comeback train. We didn't even get the CP jog toward Booker and Booker like look him off or the semi jog.
And then the comeback, he was just like, Book's got this.
I thought that was really fascinating.
Well, you know, part of the thing, and I don't remember where I saw it, might have been ESPN,
on drives to the lane like that by Book by Booker, the sons were seven of,
of 10 with no turnovers.
So when Booker was penetrating in that way,
that was the only turnover on that kind of a penetration play.
Uh,
and it,
and it makes perfect sense that,
that CP three would be confident that Booker would do it.
And that Booker himself was confident that he could do it.
I have a question for you,
but we're going to take it to a break and I want you to think about it.
Is Devin Booker the best two guard in the league right now?
You mull that over.
We're going to take a break.
All right.
So you can go into next season and you could have any two guard for next
season.
Are you taking James Harden?
Are you taking Booker?
Are you taking somebody else?
Wow.
Just for one season?
The reason I'm bringing this up
is because this would have been
a ridiculous conversation
six weeks ago.
Yeah.
You would have been like,
what the fuck are you talking about?
That's right.
Because the thing with Booker
that's been so impressive,
and I know the buckshot
was today,
but he's really playing hard
on both ends.
I like his defense.
He's really physical.
He cheats.
He gets eight fouls a game.
They call four of them.
But remember that play
when it went out on Middleton,
but then they decided
they reviewed it.
But and you watch the replay.
He's hugging Middleton.
He's a hugger.
He's learned all these tricks from Chris Paul. He's hugging everybody. In game four as well. He's hugging middle. He's a hugger. He's learned all these tricks from Chris Paul.
All those hugs in game four as well.
He's hugging everybody.
He just has the love.
So Kamlo had like the durability of
the fact that he's a younger guy
and then Harden, I don't know what
the fuck shape he's going to be in, but
I would take Harden just because
the ceiling's higher, but it's interesting that
it's a conversation.
So that's right.
It's fun to have the, the,
the conversation I'm still,
um,
going with Harden,
but you know,
the,
the seeing it from Booker on this stage has been a revelation and it's
great to have him,
um,
ascend into super duper stardom,
right?
He was a superstar, but now he's a super duper star.
And a little alpha A too, right?
Yeah, we have to have it.
He has to be the alpha because CP3 is hurt.
And I'm going to stand by that.
CP3 is hurt.
Where do you have Booker against vintage Andrew Toney?
I brought this up with Jackie and Sarah on Thursday.
Because you also revered Andrew Toney way back when.
Of course, of course. But I mean,
it's a different era.
My recency bias, all I can see
is Booker
with all his flexibility,
all of his creativity.
Wait till we really see
Booker as a genuine playmaker.
This is the thing that he's bumping up against.
He's almost
there in terms of
involving the guys he could be the one kicking out to cam johnson in in the corner or he did it in
game two bridges yeah right he did in game two they took but they took away the lanes and they
just want booker to be a scoring guard which is which is 42 nights in a row on the finals is like
nothing to sneeze at fyi and it and it's also never happened before that a player scored 40 consecutive games and lost both games.
The thing with him.
So in the playoffs, he's 28, 6 and 5.
He's only 34% from 3.
In the finals, he's 34 and 4.
He's 32% from 3.
It is weird.
It seems like he's such a better
three-point shooter than
the stats say.
He's not.
The stats tell the truth.
The stats tell the truth.
But if you're talking about
what's this guy going to look like
three years from now,
that'll be the thing.
Yeah, it's right.
Same thing with Luca.
And assists.
Like, I'd like to see him
get a half dozen assists and I'd like to see him get a half dozen assists,
and I'd like to see him get to the line 11 times a game.
Yeah.
Well, he was awesome,
but unfortunately,
he's going to be a tough part of history with that play
if the Bucs win,
because the two plays that everyone's going to show
from this series for the rest of eternity
are the honest block.
Yes.
And the strip alley-oop, which kind of needs a play, right? everyone's going to show from this series for the rest of eternity are the honest block. Yes.
And the,
and the strip alley hoop,
which kind of needs a play,
right?
Well,
I mean,
and,
and it really does.
You want to name?
I don't like you. Yeah.
I,
I,
I'm not smart enough.
Strip and hoop.
That sounds like a place you would,
you would eat at.
I mean,
I'm going to strip and hoops.
There's some chicken wings for half. There's a lot of things that could be happening at strip and hoop that you would eat at. I mean, we're... I'm going to Strip and Hoops. There's some chicken wings for half price.
There's a lot of things that could be happening at Strip and Hoop that I would be into.
I assure you.
Every piece of Strip and Hoops, you're signing up.
Yes, that's right.
All the activities that might be going on in the Strip and Hoop, my hands are raised.
I think Jalen's at Strip and Hoops right now.
Let's go.
Jalen, let's go to Strip and Hoops.
I wish I was there with them. But how about the fact that
for this play,
for these finals,
the iconic plays for the Bucs
are really defensive plays.
And that really is the identity
of the team and the reason why
they have the narrowest
of advantages over the Suns.
So Phoenix was a player short.
And now they're two players short.
They never got the buyout guy during the season.
Yeah.
It's weird.
Blake would have been nice on this team.
I agree.
That would have been a good Suns
and you got Suns doctors, all that.
And then they whiffed on the 2020 draft,
which that poor Jalen Smith can't even play.
They actually need him.
Kaminsky, he's not playing either.
They had to play 45 minutes
last night. That's ridiculous. It was supposed to be Sarge. Can you
believe that? It was supposed to be Sarge?
And that Sarge not being there hurts them.
Well, they also could have traded Sarge,
right? They could have done a Sarge
and Green for...
Jalen Smith, not Green.
So they had
ways to maybe get better, and they didn't.
And they're feeling it now.
Yeah, they're still pretty good.
And they got all the way.
They're still really good.
But the finals comes down to, you know, the fact that Connaughton,
who was incredible the last two games for what he is, you know,
like I thought he was completely fearless.
He had a couple threes yesterday when it was like,
the game was about to become a blowout in the first quarter, quarter and a half.
And he had a couple big threes.
He did.
Middleton hit one.
Yep.
And then the other one was the two shots Middleton hit in the last couple minutes of the game.
That one with Crowder, where Crowder, once again like Crowder's in his landing spot
we've seen them
call that all year
Middleton lands on him
they don't call it
because it's last three minutes
so they can't decide
and look
I don't want more fouls
and more reviews
but I'm just saying
like we
we were playing it
one way all year
but he hit that one
then he hit a crazy
it felt like their
offensive spot
the 120 to 112
that one
and a shot clock
too yeah they were just like it just felt like they were discombobulated 120 to 112, that one. And a shot clock, too.
Yeah.
They were just like,
it just felt like they were discombobulated,
and then he had another one.
So he was, he was great.
But yeah, I think Phoenix,
they're just a guy short.
And that, I mean,
if CP3 wasn't hurt,
then they could gloss over it.
They could cover over it.
But he's hurt.
He's a diminished CP3.
Not having a backup big guy.
I think Coach Bud's actually there. I think he was
awful in game one. Game two, the Sun
set a shitload of threes. You can't do anything about that.
I think he's been really good the last couple games.
I like when he stacks big.
I thought his mistake yesterday was not playing
Portis down the stretch because
it seems like every time they go smaller,
the Tucker plus minus, all that
stuff. You think Teague, there was a bad idea to put Teague in there?
You didn't like that one?
I mean, look.
That was the comeback.
I mean, he ushered in the comeback.
My team sucked, and Teague was our fifth best point guard this year.
So I don't know how he ended up in the finals.
Let's talk Middleton for a second.
So there's like these old school sidekick guys, right? Like Sam Jones was
like the best one. Neither of us were alive for the Sam Jones era, but it was always like the
Celtics were awesome. And then Sam Jones would do some shit. And if you're down one with 10 seconds
left, Sam Jones was the guy they went to. He'd make shots. And he was like, I had him, I think
when I wrote my book, I had him like in the low thirties. Cause it was like this guy over and over
again, just came through on every stage could score even a little more than people thought. So there's been guys over the years. I think Tony was like that. We mentioned James Worthy. McHale became that for Bird. And then as we head into this century, it doesn't happen a lot in the finals, but 2005 member menu had that huge series against the, uh, Pistons when Duncan was little,
he was kind of fading at the end of that season.
Oh,
wait,
Ray Allen,
2010 Gasol,
2011,
the best version of this Jason Terry.
Yeah.
It wasn't even,
it was like barely an all-star,
but just was,
had such huge balls in that series.
2016 Kyrie,
probably the most overqualified guy for this, because Kyrie
was really good, but he was so great in those
last three games. And then Kyle Lowry
2019. And the
question with Middleton was always like, could he be
could he at least be that?
Could he be on that list
with those guys? And he answered it. He is.
Well, and
it was still to me an open
question at 7.45 p.m. Eastern last night
because we hadn't seen he and Holiday on the road shoot with confidence.
And something definitely changed.
And I also will give credit to Coach Bud for this.
In games three and four, the confidence that those guys develop and,
and,
you know,
both of them showed up for the road game.
And this was like,
you know,
it's the first road win in the,
in these finals.
And it's all because of those two guys,
a hundred percent,
because those two guys were up to it.
44 minutes for Middleton,
42 minutes for Holiday.
Both of them shot over 50%.
And, you know, look at the numbers.
29 for Middleton, 27 for Holiday.
Middleton with seven rebounds, five assists, like complete games.
13 assists for Holiday.
Those guys are the difference.
And good defense, too.
Great defense.
Did you like Middleton before these playoffs?
No.
No.
I didn't really either.
He left me lukewarm.
Yeah, I thought he was fine.
He was kind of Tobias Heresy.
But he has an identity now.
He does.
And it's helpful.
And again, I'll give Coach Bud
credit for this.
He's their closer.
He's the one that touches it
because Giannis needs to be a decoy
between the combination of,
you know,
what the defense is doing in terms of the wall plus the free throw shooting.
But,
but Giannis did the cool.
The good thing with Giannis was he can,
he's closing now in these last four minutes,
he's at least trying to figure out ways to,
you know,
put some points up,
which I just felt like before it felt like they were crippled.
Yeah.
At the end of these games,
it's really impressive.
Did you see this list of teams that went down 2-0
and then won the title?
No.
How many people do you think are on it?
How many teams?
Less than eight.
Four.
Okay, that's less than eight.
69 Celtics, 77 Blazers, 2006 Heat, and the 2016 Cavs.
And that one, I still feel like if Draymond doesn't punch LeBron in the balls, that series is over in five.
I will believe that the rest of my life.
How about this stat? Game six home up 3-2
since the ABA-NBA merger in 1976.
How many times do you think that's happened?
What do you mean?
Has it happened?
How many times have we had this specific situation?
A team is home for game six
with a chance to close and win the title?
I think a decent number of times. You know, 15 times? 11. In this specific situation, a team is home for game six with a chance to close and win the title.
I think a decent number of times.
You know, 15 times?
11.
Okay.
What do you think the record of those teams are in the game six? Chance to clinch at home game six up 3-2.
10-1.
You nailed it.
Hey, all right.
Our only outlier was 0-5.
Yeah. San Antonio afterlier was 05. Yeah.
San Antonio after the Horry game.
They go back and they just did a stink bomb.
But Duncan, he was Olympics.
He played like a shitload of games.
Talk about like load management.
Like that dude, he was running on fumes.
And they just sucked in game six and they lost.
But the other times,
oh,
it's Celtics.
Oh,
three Spurs,
2000 Lakers,
97,
96 bulls,
92 bulls,
87 Lakers,
86 Celts,
82 Lakers,
77 Blazers.
They all take care of business,
which makes me think Milwaukee minus five or the Milwaukee money line tomorrow.
They probably both.
I have bucks and six,
so I don't need to do anything,
but it would be very unconventional for them to lose this.
But then on the flip side,
even if Phoenix wins,
they got to play two nights later in Phoenix.
Yeah.
With Chris is like running on the fumes of his fumes right now.
Right.
It does feel like.
And you got seven guys.
So if anything,
that weirdly might favor seven,
there is the 74 Celtics had a chance to close at home.
Famous double OT game.
Kareem hits the sky hook on the corner over Hank Finkel.
Uh,
cause Cowan's fouled out.
Poor Hank Finkel.
My dad swears that I was at this game.
I was four years old.
I have no recollection of it.
Um,
but,
uh,
but then the Celts went to Milwaukee for game seven and beat them.
Okay.
So we could see that.
But I really think Milwaukee's figured it out.
I think they've been better all three games.
I know you could say two of the games came down to one or two plays.
And that's true.
I think they have the best player in the series.
The turnovers and the rebounding is what, to me, with Milwaukee having an advantage
in both of those areas,
that's the deciding factor.
We see, have you noticed,
especially with the young'uns,
because we're old,
everything has to be the greatest play,
game, sequence, block.
The hyperbole is pretty high
and after yesterday it was like one of the
best finals games ever I just want to point out
we've had a lot of good finals games
it's been a lot of good finals moments
the league's been around for 75 years
it just feels like a relief
because there was some concern
with these two teams and the
way the whole playoffs went
that it might be an underwhelming finals.
And it's done better.
It's much better than underwhelming.
Well, we're on a streak now of three straight awesome game fives
because last year was the Jimmy Butler
we're not ready to go home yet game against the Lakers.
2019 was one of the most dramatic, bizarre games
in the history of the finals when Durant blows out his Achilles.
Oh, man.
Second half, it's Clay and Curry,
and they're just like, fuck this, we're not losing.
And Toronto has a chance to win the title,
and they don't.
Yeah.
But that was a really, really memorable game
for 70,000 different reasons.
2018 game one was really good. That Jr. Smith
game, 2017 game three, go on YouTube young ones that time and watch that one where it's basically
Kyrie and LeBron against Katie Curry and clay. And, uh, and Kevin love puts up a one for nine.
It was like our three against your three. And Kevin loves like,
cool.
I'm not going to make shot.
Um,
2016,
four,
four and seven were good.
Four was the one,
the Warriors win.
It seemed like they clinched the,
the,
the,
uh,
finals 2011 game two,
when Dirk comes back from 15 and takes LeBron and Wade and Wade does a
little dance in front of the,
uh, Dallas bench.
And Dallas gets pissed.
And Dallas comes back.
Yeah.
2013 at game six and seven.
Game six was the best game of the century.
And then 2010 game seven.
So it's like...
So just in the last 12 years,
we've had some really good games.
Yeah.
That's good.
It's good for you to call them out
and people can look them up on YouTube.
There's some really good ones. They're all on YouTube. Yeah. Just for you to call them out and people can look them up on YouTube and enjoy it.
They're all on YouTube.
Yeah, just go do a little work.
Not everything has to be the greatest.
The NBA Finals tend to be
pretty effing good.
Yeah.
Yeah, we've enjoyed it
over the years.
We have.
All right, here's my path.
I'll ask you this.
Can Phoenix win game six?
sure, yes
we've seen with this Phoenix team
if they start hitting threes
the biggest question
is how is the hyperbaric
chamber that Chris Paul
is sitting in right now
what are they pumping into there
and I'll stop making the jokes
how's his body recovering?
Right.
They've got they've got ice.
They're doing everything possible.
Electric stimulation, anything they can do.
If he shows any semblance.
And honestly, he was pretty good last night.
Now we saw him.
And you know what, though?
He was he was good in the fourth quarter.
I know, but we can play a good quarter.
I don't play a good game anymore.
Exactly. Rosillo said he was disengaged. I don't know if he can play a good game anymore. Exactly.
Rosillo said he was disengaged.
I'm not so sure that he was disengaged.
I think he was load managing within the game
to be ready for the possibility.
They were still within shouting distance in the fourth quarter,
and he willed them all the way to the precipice.
They were only down by one at that moment.
So absolutely positively, there's no doubt that
Phoenix can win game six. Yes, is my
answer. It's like when you go to strip
and oops tonight. Load management.
You're not going to go hard for
four hours, but there's going to be a couple
great 45 minute stretches in there. I'm not
breaking out the $20 bills
right when I walk in the door.
Here's my roadmap for Phoenix winning game six,
everything you just said about Chris Paul,
the combat,
the Chris Paul semi comeback game.
I don't even think we need to like a full comeback game,
semi comeback game,
more cam Johnson,
more.
I think I, I agree with 30 minutes in this game,
that dude.
And I thought that was a terrible draft pick.
I was wrong,
but I think they need that guy's athleticism and his threes and like just a
little rational confidence on both ends kind of guy over what Crowder's given
them.
They need one more really good Booker game.
He doesn't have score 40,
but he still has to,
you know,
make the majority of his two points.
They need Connaughton to suck.
I mean,
honestly,
they need him to stink.
They need him to stink.
They need him to cool off.
He's made everybody forget about Dante DiVincenzo.
I know.
They need the same kind of misfree throw bullshit with the Bucs.
Yes.
And they need Drew Holiday to have, who is it, Mr. Hyde?
Who is the bad one, Dr. Jekyll or Mr. Hyde? I think, I don't know.
I think the doctor was the bad one.
Whatever the bad one is,
whether it was Jekyll or Hyde,
I can't remember who was the bad one.
They need Holiday to suck again offensively.
He's not going to suck defensively
because he's great.
But I think if you get all those,
the danger is,
and having been fortunate enough
to have been at closeout games in my life,
especially when you have a slightly better team and you have the best player in the series,
the danger is that second quarter when the crowd's like going nuts and the players can
kind of start to smell it a little bit.
And especially if you have the best player, there's an energy thing that happens and we
could feel it. So the last one I went to for the Celts was the 08 game six against the
Lakers and KG in the second quarter,
the bench brought her back,
made a couple of threes and KG was just everywhere.
And that game hit a point where you could feel it slipping away.
And Jackson was calling timeouts and same thing.
Like with that 86 one I went to against the Rockets. Like there, that was the third quarter where that happened, but there are these moments
where the crowd and the other team, there's like this urgency because they know like, man, if we
don't, we don't stave this off, like this is it. And, and you can kind of freeze from that.
And that would be my fear for Phoenix, especially you're playing seven guys, you know,
and like when campaign is out there, they're down eight and the bucks can just like, all of a sudden
the bucks are up 17 and that'll be it. The Phoenix won't be able to come back from that.
I don't know if that's, if I agree with, with, with that. Cause the, I think that energy
dynamic you're describing also always happens to that, to the home team, home team jumping out.
I mean, I, I, I, I hate to, uh, put any kind of bad whammy on the bucks, but I feel like,
you know, first the, the bucks first quarter, whatever it is, money line and whatever they're
favored by for the first quarter. I'm betting both of those, right? Bucks in the first quarter,
but then similar to what we saw last night with the Suns,
that you jump out
to a big lead.
Crowds in a frenzy.
Yes.
And then,
the other team makes
a couple shots
and then all of a sudden
you miss a couple.
Then the energy shifts.
That's exactly right.
Yeah.
Well, we've seen
the flip side of this
where it's like,
I'm going to the finals tonight
and my team's going to win
for the first time in 50 years. I've paid an incredible amount of money for these tickets and this is going to the finals tonight and my team's going to win for the first time in 50 years.
I've paid an incredible amount of money for these tickets
and this is going to be the greatest moment of my life.
And then you're down eight in the third quarter
and it's just panic time.
You're like, what happened?
All those scenarios were at play here.
Do you want to dip into some of your experiences
in the first and second round with the Bullets
over the last 40 years?
Because those are the only two rounds you've experienced. That's not nice, but I will say I'm happy to have Wes
Unseld Jr. manning the helm here. It's a very low consequence situation. So let this guy have
the opportunity, an iconic figure for the franchise. The ceiling is not very high. He's not going to
fail. And he just needs to mind the store for a couple of years while the Almost Bullets reboot
from the Davis-Burton disaster. How did you feel about LeBron picking last night, the weekend of
when his movie came out, to finally go see his alleged close buddy, Chris Paul, play in person.
Most predictable thing ever.
What do you mean?
How did I feel?
He went to a WNBA game last round
over the Clipper Suns like game six.
He was like five minutes away.
Couldn't have cared less.
Oh, my movie's coming out this weekend?
All right.
I think those are all my notes.
Just that the only other one I had
was I made KOC look up on Second Spectrum
all the
Tucker numbers trying to figure out why the fuck he's
playing so much. Booker's 14 for 24
against one-on-ones against
Tucker in the finals. It's just because
he's, you said it much earlier,
he's just a trusted person out there,
right? Coach Bud feels like he can trust him.
Whether it's true or not, he just feels like it.
And knows how
to box out.
It's great box outs.
And, you know, he is always hysterical when a foul is called against him.
So, you know, he softens the refs. Incredible reactions.
Yes.
Can't believe he's ever been called for a foul.
I mean, that counts for something.
Reminds me of my wife's reaction when Jalen ate three twice-baked potatoes on July 4th when she only made 13.
Same kind of P.J. Tucker reaction.
He should have been at the strip-a-noop.
Well, maybe that's where he had it after.
Yeah, that's all I have for these finals.
I think we hit all my topics.
So we'll take a break.
We'll talk a little golf and,
some football features.
All right.
So the golf,
the majors are in the books.
Our guy,
John Rom got one.
More cow put his stake in the ground for best young player in his twenties,
potentially other than maybe John Robb.
Um,
we had no LT gray.
Spieth did a lot of sniffing,
sniffed around,
felt like he was confidence was rebuilt in a lot of ways.
And then yes,
Louie who stays in became part of ring sculpture.
I think he's on that list of Chris Paul and Barkley and Malone,
but just classic Louis.
What other,
what are the other,
before we get into what happened today,
what were the other big storylines from these four majors that you cared
about?
Were those it,
or is there another one?
Well,
we had an unbelievable run of seven majors in the last calendar year
because of,
you know,
the,
the,
the pandemic.
So we had the, the PGA championship in August of 2020 and between August of 2020 and mid
July, 2021, seven majors competed with like incredible.
The, the, the winners are Colin Morikawa, Bryson DeChambeau, Dustin Johnson, Hideki
Matsuyama, Phil effing Mickelson, John Rahm, and Colin Morikawa again.
So think about that circle and that cycle.
Morikawa at the beginning with no fans,
and then on the backside of this at the Open Championship,
that was the only major last year that deferred.
They said, we're not going to compete it
because they couldn't get
themselves confident that
they could host a tournament
over there. They had an insurance
policy. They took advantage of that.
It's been an unbelievable...
I like how you waited to get to that point,
which was really the point they postponed it.
They actually made money postponing it.
They couldn't.
The problem, although I would have enjoyed it with the Open Championship
is the weather.
You have like a six-week window weather-wise, you know, over there.
But anything that you start getting into September and it might snow.
I got to say, this was the least amount of any major I watched over the last few years
was this Open this week.
I just burned out.
It was too many majors in a row.
I was in on the hoops.
It's summertime.
And I'm just like, I'm just going to watch the last round.
I don't really care what else happens.
It's been a while since coffee golf was in our lives.
But this is coffee golf, right?
This is you wake up in the morning.
It's on.
You check the leaderboard.
You have your nice pot of coffee there.
And you have to nice pot of coffee there and you have to like rebuild
that familiarity
the relationship that you've had
your whole life with the British Open
but I was up to it
I enjoyed it, I love waking up
Thursday morning
I was up
6.15 laying in bed
didn't move but I was able to watch
some golf.
It's just when especially the scene of it, right?
It's not like anything you see here in the States.
It's links.
The colors are all different.
The guys are wearing long clothes and stuff in the middle of the summer.
It's hot here in D.C. and the guys are wearing long.
I mean, I love it.
Do we get Ryder Cup this year or no?
Yeah, yeah. So yeah the we have big
time golf on the horizon the olympics is going to be super interesting that's two weeks away
and then the pga tour championship which is you know the fedex cup playoffs and everything it's
fine it's just an opportunity though to see the great players again come together in august which
it'll be good and then the rider cup in in September. So there's still good, a lot of
opportunities to see some great golf and a lot of
intriguing storylines. Not the
least of which is Bryson DeChambeau,
who is going to go be teammates
with Colin
Morikawa and Justin Thomas.
And who am I
forgetting?
Xander Shoffley.
No, it's Shoffley. Brooks?
No, it's Shoffley. It's Xander, Morikawa, DeChambeau.
Go over to the Olympics.
Oh, I got you.
He's representing America,
but he's been on this streak of brand management
because he can't get out of his own way
between his feud with Brooks and then
complaining about his equipment at
this Open Championship, which was the dominant
theme. I love that.
Anytime
it's a long paragraph apology
to somebody's business relationship,
you know something horrible happened.
It was awesome because Cobra
and he have a mutually assured destruction kind of relationship.
Like Cobra doesn't, not a lot of pros play the Cobra equipment.
Bryson is by far their best player.
Ricky plays it and Jason Duffner plays it.
But Bryson, you know, they have indeed gone crazy trying to meet his needs over the years
and his reinvention of his approach to golf over the last year,
really just calendar year.
All the weight he put on and all the swing speed and everything,
the pressure that put on Cobra to try and meet him
where he wanted to be met has been astonishing.
And the representative is like,
bro, you got to slow your roll.
And we're going to tell you right now politely to go fuck yourself.
Because all we've done is try and accommodate you at every turn.
And Bryson, to his credit, snapped too.
His representative wrote a wonderful apology for him.
Aaron Rodgers was like, I loved what you did.
Writing back at somebody that works with you.
Our Olympics odds
on FanDuel.
By the way,
we would never
criticize FanDuel
the way that
Bryson went at Cobra.
No, we would never.
FanDuel is great.
Absolutely.
Anyone,
nobody would ever
say anything bad
about FanDuel.
Jon Rahm is 5-1.
JT is 10-1.
Morikawa is 10-1.
Shoffley is 10-1.
Rory, 10-1. And Bryson is 10-1. Morikawa is 10-1. Shoffley is 10-1. Rory 10-1.
And Bryson is 11-1.
Those are our best odds.
Then it gets into like this.
Matsuyama 12-1.
Hovland 14.
Casey 22.
Shane Lowry 22.
Abe Anser 29.
And then it gets crazier.
My guy Tommy Fleetwood is 33-1
and
Tommy Fleetwood might not
be my guy anymore anyway
who do you like house well I mean those
odds are all brutal odds you know
it is a smaller field
so it is the kind of field where there are maybe
only like 15 guys
that can win I want to sit
down and look at the course a little bit
and just formulate a game plan around who's going to adapt the best
to being over there, who's going to be able to handle the COVID stuff.
So we're staying away.
We're going to stay away.
But on fairway rolling, you do it.
And it might be a little bit of a lean towards the Asian players
because it's really like Hideki.
On the one hand,
it'll be the most pressure
he probably will have ever felt.
But on the other hand,
he just won the Masters.
So he's playing with house money.
And he deliberately did not compete
in the Open Championship
because he had gone,
he had COVID a handful of weeks ago.
And he was like,
I'm just not in the right kind of shape
to go over to Britain and try and compete,
all that travel and everything.
So I'm going to look and see who says they've been in Asia
for a few weeks, acclimating to the time change
and all that kind of stuff, and probably bet that way.
Speaking of acclimating, football.
Got Warren Sharpe's book in the mail this week.
Yes.
Our guy Sharpe.
Nice big fat one.
That's right.
463 pages.
Jesus.
The 2021 pre-football preview.
If you love Sharpe, you heard him with House on the Ringer NFL show last season.
And you'll be hearing him on the Ringer Airwaves again this year.
He also does this giant book that has all his tendencies and it's become kind
of one of the Bibles for,
if you care about gambling,
it's like,
you kind of have to read it.
We're going to quickly talk just a couple win total and a playoff bet.
So you mentioned the one that you can't believe is the Titans.
The Titans right now on FanDuel, the over is nine.
It's minus 150.
Make your case for why we should be betting over on this.
By the way, 17 game season, which I'm going to keep saying
every time we talk about football bets over the next two months,
17 game season.
So it's not nine and seven anymore.
It could be 10 and seven.
Yeah, 10 and seven wins that bet could be 10 and seven. Yeah.
10 and seven wins that bet.
Nine and eight pushes that bet.
And I think that division is going to be an absolute train wreck.
Houston and Detroit are going to compete for the worst team in the NFL.
This upcoming season,
Houston hasn't figured out the Watson situation at all.
I mean,
they don't,
we have no idea
what's going to happen with that,
but he's clearly not playing
for them this year,
it doesn't seem like.
It seems very unlikely
that he's playing for them.
And they were bad anyway.
I can't wait to fade
the Colts this season.
I just can't believe
the idea that Carson Wentz
is salvageable
or is any kind of reclamation possible whatsoever.
They do have a lot of blue chippers, though.
That would be my only fear with that.
Well, the one thing with the Colts is...
You and I, you loved them last year.
I did.
I think you're just butthurt.
I think you just lost too much money in the Colts last year.
I want to know who their backup quarterback ultimately is going to be.
That's the decision for me with the Colts.
Wow, you're that down on Wentz.
Oh, what proof is there that he's capable
of being a winning starting quarterback?
When was the last time he was a winning
starting quarterback?
It's been some years.
Rack of my brain.
It's been some years.
So you like Tennessee?
Yeah, because I'm
fading the Colts.
Houston is a
debacle.
And Jacksonville,
like, you know,
first year
Trevor Lawrence
and first year
Urban Meyer.
I love that
situation.
To me, the Urban Meyer
thing is a bigger
piece than Lawrence.
Sure.
Yeah.
We have no idea
of that, dude.
We've seen college
coaches.
Remember when
Spurrier came and coached your team for a couple years? How'd that go? Oh, my God. sure that yeah we have no idea if that dude we've seen college coaches remember when uh spurrier
came and coached your team for a couple years how'd that go god not not that's one of the ones
i've also filed so deeply and far away for my consciousness yeah you've you've buried more bad
sports experiences than any friend i have just these two-year aberration that were like the
andre black three years with Andre Blatt
Just burned in the back of your head
Gone
I have a World Series
And a Stanley Cup
In the last five years
Congrats
I'm not complaining
Can I give you an alternate
Alternate Titans bet?
Let's hear it
Because they have
Alt win totals on FanDuel
Okay
Over 10.5 wins
Plus 170
Yep
I'll do that.
I'll gladly do that.
11 and six.
Fine.
Over eight and a half wins is minus 175.
I don't want to lay all that juice.
It's too much juice.
I'm confident,
but I just don't,
I tie up my money that way.
You're dumb ass team.
Over nine and a half wins is plus 180.
That's an alternative line, right?
Alternate line.
Over eight and a half is plus 100.
So you get even odds.
So nine and eight.
Nine and eight.
Even odds.
Man.
Fitzmagic and Heineke.
That's what I'm betting on.
I thought your team was good last year.
They went toe-to-toe with Tampa for three quarters.
And they've made some really nice additions.
The combination potentially of Curtis Samuel,
like a sleeper kind of fantasy kind of dude.
Keep your eye on this connection between Fitzmagic and Samuel.
There's a couple things about getting vertical.
Scott Turner is dying to get vertical.
I mean, he hasn't had a quarterback here capable of throwing the ball down the field
since he's been here.
Over 8.5, you kind of like a little bit? Yeah, I do. I do like over 8.5. 9 feels fine.
And by the way, I don't think they're going to win the NFC East.
I think Dallas is. Sorry, cuz.
Pats over 9 is my lock of the year. I think Dallas is. Sorry, cuz.
Pats over nine is my lock of the year.
There's no way we're not going 10 and seven.
I still have reservations at the quarterback position.
Now, I have reservations, Bill.
We'll be fine.
I mean, we tried that last year.
They were not fine.
Who else do you have?
What are some of your other favorites?
I like the Eagles under.
Let's see what the number is right now.
What's the number on FanDuel?
I have under six and a half.
Plus 120.
A little low.
Well, so six and 11.
That's tough.
Although I will say this, they are one of one in terms of the scheduling debacle. I think they play four games in 17 days, which is just so grossly unfair in this era where the league is allegedly much more focused on player safety and getting the guys the opportunity to recover.
And that bet for me is a combination
of the Dunderhead coach,
who I absolutely think we're going to love
because we need an Adam Gase replacement.
And I think this moron is just the guy.
I'm going to love his press conferences.
Yes, they're already wonderful.
And then that schedule fuck that they have.
They got schedule fucked.
So that's a little under.
I'll play a little bit on that one.
Don't forget meager talent.
I mean, you know, Hertz,
one of the stats in Warren's book that I saw very quickly is
he had the lowest completion percentage compared to expected completion of any of 38 quarterbacks in the league last year. Small sample size, but still not completing the way you should.
You like the Giants over seven?
I don't know. I think maybe like right at seven. Seven and 10 sounds like a giants, uh, a record to me.
Wait, I have a fun intermission for you. Uh, my son, Ben Simmons,
back from IMG camp. Does he have clothes on? He's now five, eight. Um, Ben, come over here for one
second. Can you just, there's house your buddy house. Wow. He's like, you're not, you're almost
a man, Ben Simmons. What's going on house's like, you're almost a man, Ben Simmons.
I know.
What's going on?
House, can you give, I mean, Ben, can you give House your Space Jam review?
Take your gum out.
Give me your gum.
I swallowed it.
It was all right.
It was all right.
Okay.
It was all right?
It wasn't good.
It wasn't bad.
It was just all right.
What was your favorite part about it?
The ending.
The ending was good? Don't tell me. Don't ruin it. No, I mean, the movie was over. Oh, that it ended? What was your favorite part about it? The ending. The ending was good?
Don't tell me.
Don't ruin it.
No, I mean, the movie was over.
Oh, that it ended?
That was your favorite part?
Yeah.
It was terrible.
The acting was bad.
The plot didn't make any sense.
Was LeBron a good actor or no?
LeBron was okay.
You like LeBron, though.
His generation loves LeBron.
I like LeBron, too.
I don't have any problem with LeBron.
I like him, but sometimes I feel like I have to swim against
the stream. Ben, don't tell me who wins
the game. I know there's a big game.
So what was your final grade? C plus?
Like a B minus B.
Well, for him, that's like a
D plus because he likes everything.
Alright, thanks, Ben. Really electric
appearance from you.
He has some
14-year-old boy things to do.
Yeah, I don't know.
It looks like there's some skateboarding.
He'll probably be breaking something
in about five minutes.
All right, give me more over-unders.
I'm looking at the Rams.
Tell me what the Rams number is right now.
I looked at them as well.
So they are over 10.5 as plus 125.
They'd have to go 11 and 6.
I love that one. I like that.
I'm on that one this year,
and I'm also going to play McVay for Coach of the Year.
Those odds are not out yet, but absolutely, I'm on McVay.
I think that the synergy between him and the significant,
you cannot be overstated, significant improvement at the quarterback position
and how vertical they're capable of getting.
Well, they're also built to be good for this year.
They shared it at 130 draft picks.
The only thing that will...
Built for this season.
They have exactly 22 great players, I think,
and then nothing behind it.
So they really can't take on big
injury, you know, whatever
that stat is.
You can't have a ton of injury games if you like the Rams
over. Whatever that stat is, you mean
injuries? Yes.
Well, you know, it's like missed games due to
injury, that whole thing.
Their alt win totals on
FanDuel, 11.5
is plus 210, so they go 12-5.
That's not
far-fetched.
Over 12.5 is plus 390.
They have to go 13-4.
Nah, I'm not doing that. The reason I'm bringing this up is
every year, in the old
16-game schedule, somebody would always go 13-3
or 14-2, right? Every year, we'd have
the one team. So if you think the Rams can be
the one seed
in the NFC,
I would recommend the plus 390
over 12.5 because somebody's going to go
13-3 and be the one seed. So why not them?
Who are the contenders
in your mind as we sit here today
in the middle of July?
The one seed contenders? Yeah, turning on
our football brains
because it's not Green Bay.
It's not New Orleans.
Is it, I mean, we're not.
It's Tampa.
It's Green Bay if Rodgers comes back.
And it's San Francisco.
Yeah, okay.
So you do have San Francisco.
Well, not only do I have it,
but on FanDuel,
their division odds are better
than the Rams division odds.
Because that San Francisco concept not only do I have it, but on FanDuel, their division odds are better than the Rams division. That's because that,
that,
um,
San Francisco,
uh,
concept really puts a lot of pressure on,
on Jimmy G.
Doesn't it?
Isn't he still the starting quarterback?
He is,
but they came within,
you know,
uh,
one incompletion of winning a Superbowl with them two years ago.
Yeah.
Two years.
So that's your case against the win totals
with the Rams.
It's just their division.
They have the Niners, the Seahawks, and the Cardinals.
And all those teams are 500 or better
unless Kingsbury falls apart.
But yeah, the Niners are plus 185.
I don't know.
The Saints, I guess,
sometimes we write them off
and then all of a sudden they're 5-1 or 6-1. I don't like them this year, I guess, sometimes we write them off and then all of a sudden
they're 5-1 or 6-1.
I don't like them this year.
They're a stay away.
Jameis Winston?
You want to bet on Jameis Winston?
Atlanta seems like a year away.
There's really not a lot of good teams
in the NFC.
That's another reason I think
the win totals thing
because neither of us like the NFC East.
NFC North,
it's the Packers,
and they're going to have that Rogers soap opera the whole year.
I honestly think Minnesota might be,
I might do a tiny bit on Minnesota as a little bit of a NFC North sleeper.
I'm still kind of staring Atlanta down.
Yeah, I'm with you on that one as well.
I think people fell off them because they traded Julio,
and it's like, I'm not sure what Julio was for them at this point.
He's a receiver heading into his mid-30s.
So Arthur Brown,
Arthur, what's his last name?
FedEx Arthur.
Yes, exactly.
Arthur Smith.
They had the most one-score loss games
of any team in the NFL last year.
Yes.
And so you and Schrager
might have already talked about this a little bit.
I've been on them for a while.
I didn't want them to trade Julio,
but now I feel like the Julio thing has,
has screwed up people's perception of them.
Their wind total is,
is yeah,
it's seven and a half.
I'm going to play the,
I'm playing the over,
uh,
for them.
I like the over for them.
I like the over eight and a half is plus one 40.
So it was nine and eight.
Nine, nine, eight. That's like a
good season.
I'm also thinking,
I think there was a lot of smoke and mirrors shit with
Arizona last year.
And if you really, I
lost some bets on them last year where I was like,
wow, this team's actually probably not
that good. And their over is
at 8. So the over is at eight.
So the under is plus 110,
which would be seven and 10.
But you think NFC West is loaded.
So they went like one and five against the other three teams in that division.
And then at that point.
Even two and four,
which is not like implausible.
Two and four is not great either.
And then they're 500 the rest of the way
and they lose.
The thing, I'm just starting my research.
As soon as the finals ends,
we got the draft.
Yeah, we have the book.
It's a 463 page book
which just came out for Christ's sakes.
But we're just talking some early feels,
some early things that we like
that we've seen out there.
I have the first two weeks of August.
For the first time in the history of this podcast,
I'm just taking two weeks off. Wow. We for the first time in the history of this podcast. I'm just taking two weeks off.
Wow.
We're just going to have no podcast in this feed.
I'm not doing stupid gimmick shit.
It's just out.
So I'm going to use part of those two weeks to read Warren Sharpe's book and a whole bunch
of other magazines and really, really be ready.
I want this to be like,
I felt like we had so much momentum on this podcast with the playoffs last year. Schrager is going to be on every Thursday. You guys are picks you and Schrager. We're cleaning up.
We're doing great. He's, he's having a good flying coach season right now, which I hope
people are listening to that podcast. Cause they're terrific. I think he's had eight coaches,
but really good. The Shanahan pod was one of the best pods we've run this year. I love it so much. The funniest
thing, of course, was him talking about, well, we ran the ball, whatever percentage he's claiming
they ran the ball in the Super Bowl. I mean, buddy, that's not the stat that anybody cares
about. You just needed to fall down three times and not you lose yardage and then kick a field goal to win the Super Bowl.
And he didn't totally want to throw
Matt Ryan under the bus.
Well, I mean,
why was he dropping
back to pass? Whose fault is that?
Right, right. It's fine.
Hey, quickly, Miami?
Yeah. Over is nine
and a half.
That seems high.
It's just too... That's a 10 and seven for Tua.
We're asking a lot out of Tua.
Now, that defense is legit.
It's a good team.
Good team, well coached.
Yep, exactly.
But, man, I need to know what I'm getting out of Tua,
and I really need to know what I'm getting out of the backup.
No more Fitzmagic in Miami to bail them out.
Last thing for you, and then we'll go.
The Olympic basketball odds.
We're on this.
We're doing this this year.
We've had success before
with this.
I've already stepped in.
Oh, you didn't even tell me.
You cheated on me.
I did.
Well, because I knew
you would do it
and the odds hadn't changed
and I just...
I did Slovenia at 25 to win. I do it and the odds hadn't changed. And I just...
I did Slovenia at 25 to 1.
I'm on that.
You know I'm on that.
That's just...
Who do we think...
That's just a smart bet.
It's just like,
could Luka beat this weird American team by himself?
That's right.
Yeah, he actually could.
That's it.
Or could this weird USA team get beaten by somebody else
and then Luka has some, you know,
Phoenix Suns-like path where he's in the finals because he got caught some
breaks and played really well.
That's right.
So that's the bet.
I studied Slovenia's team a little bit,
hoping to recognize anybody else's name other than Luke.
I could not,
but they beat a Lithuania team that had Jonas found Schooners and a bonus on
it.
Is there not another pro on Slovenia?
It's like not anybody anyone's heard of.
Okay.
So, US is minus 370 on FanDuel.
Australia is plus 500.
Yeah, I'm betting that.
Spain is 14 to 1.
I'm betting that.
You're betting Spain?
Yeah, sure.
Yes.
They have NBA players.
I'm betting all the teams that have NBA players. France? I'm NBA players. I'm betting all the teams
that have NBA players.
I'm betting Nigeria.
I'm going to bet Nigeria to medal.
Not to win, but to medal.
France is 23-1.
Slovenia 25-1.
Nigeria 29-1.
I was intrigued by the Nigerians
until I remembered Mike Brown
was the coach.
It's a nice story,
but come on, Mike Brown's not winning.
They're not going to win,
but is there a bronze? Maybe there's a nice story, but come on. Mike Brown's not winning the Olympic gold medal.
Is there a bronze? Maybe there's a bronze.
We'll be able to bet that as it gets closer. I'm shocked by the Australia
odds. What? The
5-1?
It's way too high.
If you told me it was plus 160,
I would bet it. Not even kidding.
Plus odds for Australia.
The parallel 0-4,
which we,
when we won on Argentina,
one of our greatest wins.
You joined me on that one,
didn't you?
Yes.
Oh, yes, I did.
And the money mattered back then,
believe me.
Manu,
Luis Scola,
I think was on that team,
but Manu specifically.
Yeah.
And was kind of the superstar of that team.
But they were good.
It was like Manu
and a bunch of role guys.
You need like a,
you need the guy
who can go toe-to-toe.
When we almost lost to Spain
in 2012,
they had both Gasols.
Those guys were like,
we can actually legitimately get,
and they had Juan Carlos Navarro
and Jose Calderon.
Like, that was a good team.
Slovenia,
it's just Luka against the world.
And,
you know,
if it's like
Durant,
Tatum,
Dame,
we have no Bradley Beal now.
JaVale McGee's on this team.
They have six guys I trust.
I guess Middleton and Booker
are going to be on there.
Maybe Booker will
make me feel better about this team.
Because the other way I was thinking was
USA minus 370,
we might never get better odds
than that ever, right?
They're adding Middleton, Booker, and Drew Holiday to this team.
Yep.
I still like the other teams.
Well, they should have a bet like just the field.
Yeah.
It's like USA is minus 370.
Just give me all the other teams.
Well, yeah, we'll have to lay juice for that, which is fine.
You're right, by the way it was
Manu it was Luis Scola
Alberto
Andres Nocioni
yeah oh Nocioni I liked him
Nocioni yeah Delfino
Carlos Delfino they were good
alright so then that hurts the Slovenia bet
because
then the blueprint is you need five
NBA type guys
because that's what Spain had. Spain really could
have won in 08 or in 12. They could have
beaten us. Australia kind
of fits it though.
For the people listening at home
who are probably outraged that House
and I would bet against America
in the Olympics. We don't see red,
white, and blue when we gamble.
We see green.
Our national color is green.
It's basically the no-win scenario of all time.
If America wins, we're great.
We're American.
If they lose, they're like,
I told you they were going to lose.
At least I made money for it.
So we can't lose either way.
All right, House.
We'll hear you on Fairway Rolling.
Yes. And come back on Ringer NFL show near the end of the year.
And you have no first round pick as usual in the NBA draft next week.
Yes.
Yeah, we do.
We have the 15th.
I thought you traded it for Westbrook.
I thought that was 23 because you're not allowed.
So you do have a first round pick.
I think so.
I'm pretty sure that's true.
I like some of the guys in that 13 to 15 range.
Yeah, we need an athletic.
We need to figure out a player to help solve the catastrophe that is Davis Bertans.
So we need another athletic, defending, rim-running kind of player.
We argued about it on this pod
and you defended the Berton signing.
You defended it.
I did not know how bad
he was defensively.
He literally,
there's not one player
in the entire NBA
that I would feel comfortable
saying he can defend.
Who's winning game six?
The Milwaukee Bucks.
Congratulations to Milwaukee Nation.
I think so as well.
Giannis now minus 430 for finals MVP.
I got him at plus 130.
Yeah, there you go.
All right, house.
Great to see you.
Good job by you.
Good times.
Good job by you.
All right, that's it for the podcast.
Back Tuesday night, me and Rosillo.
We are going to be in person
for the first time since pre-pandemic.
We're going to watch game six together
and then we're going to do a podcast about it. So that is coming up. This podcast was produced by the one
and only Kyle Creighton. I will see you on the rewatchables feed on Monday for Fight Club. And
then I will see you on this feed for Tuesday for game six. We'll see if the Bucks can close it.
See you then. I don't have
I don't have
I don't have
I don't have
I don't have