The Bill Simmons Podcast - Denver Ends the Lakers, Chet Vs. Paolo, Atlanta’s Penix Envy, and NFL Draft Family Etiquette With J. Kyle Mann and Van Lathan
Episode Date: April 26, 2024The Ringer's Bill Simmons is joined by J. Kyle Mann to discuss the Lakers' drop to 0-3 against the Nuggets before checking in on every NBA playoff series (1:50). Then Bill and Van Lathan talk about Ro...und 1 of the 2024 NFL draft, including the six first-round QBs, the Falcons shocking the world and Kirk Cousins by drafting Michael Penix Jr. eighth, Round 1 WRs, TE Brock Bowers to the Raiders, the importance of first-round offensive linemen, and more (59:19). Host: Bill Simmons Guests: Van Lathan and J. Kyle Mann Producer: Kyle Crichton The Ringer is committed to responsible gaming. Please visit www.rg-help.com to learn more about the resources and helplines available. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Coming up, basketball, the NFL draft, the Pats have a quarterback next.
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The Patriots have a quarterback.
They picked Drake May, number three.
It felt like it was headed that way all week,
so I did not have to sweat bullets.
That was the guy I wanted.
I started to maybe talk myself into,
could the Giants trade the form up from six to three?
And then the pass would move back, get a bunch of picks,
take J.J. McCarthy's six.
But as it got closer and closer, it was like, you know what?
Just take Drake May.
Don't overthink it.
And we talked about that later in this podcast with Van Lathan,
who I watched the draft with.
Coming up first, J. Kyle Mann.
He's going to come on
and talk a little basketball with me because we had
some good games today and we also had just
an awful Celtics loss last night. So we're
going to talk NBA playoffs first, then the
NFL draft. First,
our friends who I just saw in Seattle.
If you saw
my Instagram photo,
our guys, Pearl Jam!
Alright, we're taping this.
It is 9.45 Pacific time.
J. Kyle Maness here from The Ringer.
Hasn't been here in a while.
Good to see you, by the way.
Yeah, good to see you too.
It's been a minute.
I'm glad we could make it happen.
I know.
Well, you've been doing some good stuff for The Ringer and the Nuggets have been doing some good stuff.
We have not talked about the Nuggets in a while.
They're on this...
It's almost indescribable where if they're down
20, you feel like they can go back. If they're down eight in the fourth quarter, you feel like
they're going to win. If they're up eight in the fourth quarter, you feel like the game's over.
So they take all these different identities, right? If you're comparing them to a football team,
they're the football team that in the fourth quarter down 10 can come back and put
two touchdowns on you. They're also the team that if they're up 10 in the football game,
they could just run the ball and run out the clock and you're never going to get the ball back.
It is unreal. I said to KFC the other night, I thought this is one of the three best teams I've
seen this century. Wow. O-1 Lakers, 17 Warriors in this team. And then special asterisk kudos to the 2013 Heat
during the winning streak.
I think those are the four best teams.
They never were able to really put it together
during a postseason.
But I think those are the four best teams
I've seen this century.
Where do they rank for you?
Thank you for saying asterisk correctly, by the way.
Thank you.
That's one that people mess up a lot.
I appreciate that. I had this written down in my notes. I'm glad that you said this because this
is right in the strike zone of where my brain was too. I noticed this over listening to different
shows and reading different things when people were talking about this team, where over and over
again, you would hear people say they should they'd say uh they should be up more
like whenever that like if a team gets a little bit of a lead on them like tonight they said it
on the broadcast they were like man feels like the Lakers should be up more like even if you hit them
with a big haymaker and like in the beginning of this game it was just that like LA was like just
running it was a little deceptive because they weren't really just executing Denver to death.
I mean, they had some good moments, but they were just running a lot.
I think in the first half, they had 13 transition looks,
and they scored or were fouled on all of them.
They were having a lot of success with that.
But Denver just kind of keeps chugging along, chugging along, chugging along.
And I feel like that's kind of the last level for a team that reaches that.
I remember, I know this is like a team that like reaches that, like I remember like,
I know this is going to make your skin crawl,
but like when I used to watch baseball in the early 2000s,
it was like those Yankee teams were like that,
where like even if you had a good team,
a good game against them,
it was just like, man, but the lead's still not that big.
And I just feel like they have,
they have that inevitability about them
where they're just going to continue to do what they do
and you just kind of can't shake them out of it. They just are going to keep coming.
I have not seen anything to change my opinion that they're going to win the title.
Kevin Wilds, my buddy who was on here last week, he's been doing this gimmick on Twitter,
which I made fun of him about, where he's like, nobody's beating Nuggets in a seven-game series.
It's actually one of the most obvious favorites we've had
of this century where I just don't see a scenario where they lose unless somebody gets injured,
basically. That's it. And I think it would have to be one of the top four guys. But you saw with
the Celtics last night, people thought I was trying to reverse jinx the Celtics or I'm just
doing the glass half empty thing, but I just don't think they have any chance of out-executing
the Denver team.
So you agree with Kevin?
You agree with KOC?
Did you say what KOC said about it?
Well, I've always felt that, well, KOC, yeah, he ramped it up.
He threw some steroids and some HGH on the take,
but I just don't think they will be able to out-execute
this Denver team in a seven-game series.
I don't see it.
I didn't see it the whole year.
And you could see in that Miami game, not to shift this to the Celtics, but in that Miami game,
some of the strategy stuff was just so head scratching. When they fell behind, all of a sudden it's one-on-one basketball. You can just see things slip away, whereas Denver always keeps their structure. They never get phased. They never play at a different speed. They're never frantic. They're always just like, we're the Nuggets. We're going to figure this out. And they have one of the biggest game breakers in the history of the sport. To me, he's on the bird magic level at this point. Yeah. And now it's just about padding the resume
and getting the actual resume to where those guys are.
But I don't see much difference from impact
between him and those two.
I wanted to ask you about,
I want to, well, like his play style specifically,
but like something that really stood out to me in this game,
having watched them sort of like on their playoff arc
over the past few years like going
back to i feel like it kind of started to shift during the bubble i remember i had like prepared
like a whole video where i was like trashing their effort and stuff and that was like when they kept
winning i was like okay well that's like you know 90 hours down the tube where i had worked on that
but denver fans it was to their benefit but like as it started to shift over time i've
just kind of noticed that like the nuggets have taken on nicola's personality in a way where like
he used to be he still has some of that like it's still it's similar to luca where if you just kind
of prick the surface a little bit it'll show up every once in a while but he used to just kind of
wear his heart on his sleeve all the time and would just run super hot and get himself out of
the game. You were like the crying fits you would have at the refs when he just storm off or like
you just don't see that as much from him. And I see like throughout the game with them,
we just keep saying the same kind of things over and over again. Like you can't speed them up.
You can't get them off what they do. I feel like the nuggets have really just kind of become him in a good way.
Whereas in the past,
you know,
if he pulled himself out of the game,
you could kind of feel them fall apart.
Like this physicality stuff like that just doesn't rattle them the way it
used to.
And I feel like that's sort of the evolution that has made them kind of what
we're talking about now,
where they have this crazy talent,
but you can't get them to get off their game anymore just because of that.
It's a good point.
The pace that they play, I think is so unusual.
And it's another thing that comes from him because you don't think of him as this guy
who's like, go, go, go, go, go.
But he is, you know, and when he slows stuff down, it's always for a reason that has to do with the game.
I'm going to slow down this play because I want to set up this specific matchup and I want to get
this. And if we do this, then that will lead to this and we'll get that. But for the most part,
they're always trying to push because he's such a special passer and his ability to just grab the
ball and take off with it. I don't know how many guys in the history of the league have been able to do that well to be able to get a
rebound in traffic and then go and then create the play. Was that, is that a list of less than 10
guys? Is it eight guys? I don't know what the final number is, but it's not a long list.
Yeah.
And then his ability to actually, you know what, I'm going to just to just take this guy myself. Can you guys just move over here?
And I'm just going to do my whirlibirl back it down thing.
Watching him just suck the life out of the Lakers.
I mean, LeBron, the body language for LeBron in the second half was crack.
Because he knew, like, if D'Lo's not going to hit, this team has no chance.
Their really only chance was to do a little like what Miami had last night,
which is, we're just going to make a bunch of threes
and try to hang with you and out-shoot you, basically.
D'Lo didn't have it.
They wasted two pretty good offensive games from Davis and James,
and it just doesn't matter.
Those guys had 59 points combined.
It didn't matter.
Davis was over in the third quarter.
Davis was awesome, I thought, throughout the game.
It's funny.
Sometimes you look at the box score and you'll just be like well look at the draw like if you look at it like
denver took 27 threes and they didn't even hit 20 la shot 22 and they shot 13 you know about 13 and
a half percent like you know you're talking about like yokich like what makes him great like
obviously the passing obviously obviously the, like having those two separate things in and of itself is like great.
But I've always said that like the balance of his,
his understanding of the balance of those two things is what makes him great.
Because like,
if you watch him,
like he could shoot like the,
the Philly game tonight.
Like there was a sequence where he just was like,
I'm shooting a no dribble three,
like eight times in a row.
And he like, like you would never. And, but the thing about Y just was like, I'm shooting a no dribble three eight times in a row. Right.
But the thing about Jokic is you can't lure him
into any kind of self-sabotaging agenda
the way that you can some other players.
I'm trying to think of some of the other stars in the league.
I mean, Tatum is a guy, if he gets on a tough shot streak,
he's like, I'm taking the next one. Guys who are kind of like that,
Jokic will not bail you out with a decision like that. He has no
sort of tilt this way or that, like, I really want to score here.
He's just like, no, I want to play the game. He just
punishes you. He just kind of constricts like a python over and over
throughout the game until you just,
you know,
and that's the result of his decision-making.
He had a sequence where I think it was an offensive rebound where really
just happened to be on the same side as him.
And I was just like,
Oh boy,
this is bad.
You could just see what was coming immediately.
Yeah.
And he posts him for like a second and a half,
maybe double comes
rifle to the opposite side
swish three
it was like
that's the challenge of guarding them
just because he
he could score on anybody
and it doesn't matter
what kind of help you send
he has all the tools to exploit it
and the mind to exploit it
well the irony of the Lakers
like Caldwell Pope
being on the other side there right
that was one of the guys
that gave up in the Westbrook trade and Caldwell Pope it feels like other side there, right? That was one of the guys that gave up in the Westbrook trade.
And Caldwell Pope, it feels like he's gotten better every year for the last five and has just turned into this incredibly valuable 3&D asset
where it doesn't even really matter if he scores,
but he can guard anybody and just fits in.
He knows how to play.
He doesn't care if he gets the ball.
And then Caruso was the other guy they let go after 21
where they just didn't want to pay him
I think I think they offered him three for 21 and Chicago offered him four for 37 and the combo of
those when you watch a game like tonight and you think like you know they want that 2020 team it's
a better version of LeBron I you know he's just four years younger Davis that's about as good as
we've ever seen him until this year but then the supporting guys were just a lot more reliable because of the defense,
some three-point shooting, some savvy rondos on that team. Dwight Howard was another big guy for
them. And I don't feel like the Lakers are necessarily much worse than that team, but it's
the subtle differences where they just can't get stops and they can't survive if Reeves,
I mean, Rui's been terrible for most of the series,
but if two of those three guys suck,
it's just hard for them to win.
They can't get enough points.
I don't know how they fixed this.
It was your mindset.
LeBron played 42 minutes tonight.
Your mind starts going,
oh, what happens to this guy?
Yeah.
Does he stay on this team?
They just got swept by the Nuggets last year.
It looks like they're going to get swept by them this year.
It would be the 12th straight time
if they lose game four
that they would have lost to Denver.
That's the team they need to get by.
They have no chance.
And Jokic is 27.
Where is he going?
Their whole core is young.
Yeah, and their whole core is young. my career with LA. It's almost done. Then I'll be involved with the Vegas ownership. Is it, I want to go play with my son? Is it, I want to go be on one more really good title team?
And how this has played out makes it more realistic to me that he wouldn't stay.
I'm not also not positive that matters. It's going to be his 22nd year. And I'm not sure,
can you win a title anymore if he's one of your two best players? I don't know. I mean,
I would lean toward maybe not,
especially with the injury potential. My mind keeps going back to Karl Malone in 2004 when it was just, oh man, well, Karl Malone, he never gets hurt. And then all of a sudden,
he got hurt twice and he was out of the league. When you're in your 40s, you start getting hurt.
It's a different animal. But to me, the ass-kicking nature of this series in this game,
and then the way they were able to come back in game two, I know the Laker fans would be like,
no, no, we almost won game two. It's like, yeah, but that's not the point of game two. Game two
is like, you had a 20-point lead and it didn't feel like enough when you were up 20.
And I just don't know if he wants to win a fifth title. I don't know how you run it back
with the Lakers. There's no fix. It's not Trey Young. It's not Zach Levine. There's no fix.
I don't see it. Yeah. It's interesting to think about the types of guys that worked around LeBron
and the types of contained roles that he could still win with, like having
those guys play. If you think about like those Miami teams, you know, with like catch and shoot
guys, he had a lot of success. It just seems like as he's aged. Yeah, but that was 10 years ago,
LeBron though, right? I mean, he was like a Swiss army knife at that point. Yeah, that's my point
that like, as it's gone on, he's, you know, I need more help has gone this way, and he needs guys to assert themselves a little bit more. Whereas, it'd be incredible to have a Kyrie in this situation or somebody who could assume. But these guys that he has are all sort of like distressed asset it's
sort of like you know reeves was an awesome find they got really fortunate there that that worked
out and that was a great draft but you know christy has been ready to play hood shifino not
ready to play um well not and not taking hawkins in that draft not taking whether whether it was
like the ceiling of whoever but not taking a guy who could be ready to play immediately
and taking like a project, I guess, as a trade asset?
That's what I thought.
That's what I thought.
This summer, they drafted three of those guys in a row.
They drafted Christy Huchefino and then Maxwell Lewis,
the Pepperdine guy.
And I was like, this makes no sense.
I was like, these guys aren't going to be ready to go.
And I was like, I wonder if they're going to like bank on,
like,
these are the types of valuable players
we could flip for something else.
That's what I thought they were doing.
And then they didn't flip them.
Maybe the deal didn't come along
or they couldn't make it work.
But I heard Hawkins didn't want to be in LA.
That's what I heard,
that he was glad.
Maybe he was just saying that to Miami people.
But I heard that he wanted to be there.
I find that hard to believe.
His sister goes to UCLA
and like,
really? He's not going to goes to UCLA and like, really?
He's not going to want to play for the Lakers?
Who knows?
Russell had a really good year for them.
And I think if you're just saying like,
oh, 17 million for a free agent guard
for the year he had,
where he basically shot 42, 43% from three
for the last five months of the season,
but deep down lurking was,
was the Russell we were all hoping.
Yeah.
I look,
this is going to be the big topic.
I would be surprised if they won the Saturday game.
Usually,
um,
unless the league really intervened and just was like,
Hey,
anytime Yoko bars on anybody,
just call Falun.
Scott Foster's on a plane right now, I bet you.
Scott Foster and his brother Bob.
Yeah, I mean, this will be one of the stories,
but I guess the bigger question is,
should it even be that big of a story that this is it for LeBron?
It probably is, at least on a Laker run.
I don't,
like if they had Kyrie Irving,
do you think that would have
changed the series?
Because I'm not sure.
I just feel like,
you know,
maybe they,
maybe they win two games,
but I just don't think
anyone's beating Denver.
Yeah,
them beating Denver
is like a whole other
part of the conversation.
But yeah,
I mean like a more
competitive series.
I think so for sure.
I've been a weird Kyrie defender lately.
Yeah, he's been good.
Syrett was giving me
a bunch of shit for drafting him
in like an all-star thing
we did last year.
I was like,
the cloudiness of all his off-court stuff
made us forget.
And the Dallas stuff
has reminded us,
I feel like,
that like,
yeah, this dude's like
one of the best basketball players alive.
I think you would have made a difference,
but you know,
it's all hindsight now.
Would he have made a difference
in actually winning a series different
or just making it more interesting?
Well, maybe not against the Nuggets.
Maybe Denver's a 2-1?
Yeah, maybe not against the Nuggets.
So they draw,
LeBron at this point in his career
draws the worst possible double beat.
One is that he just has this monolith
in front of him.
It's something he never had to deal with his entire East run, right?
He's in the East from 11 to 18.
There was really no team on any level of the team.
He was the one team that really had a chance was the Bulls.
And then Rose hurt his knee.
That was the one team I felt like had a chance maybe to get their talent versus talent.
Celtics got old as the early 2010s and never had it. And then the Golden State piece, he goes to
the Lakers. Durant blows out his Achilles, then ends up leaving Golden State and then Murray gets
hurt. And it just seems like it's going to be the same situation where there's no dominant team. And then all of a sudden last year, there's a dominant team.
And I don't know what the move is for him.
And maybe it doesn't matter.
He's had an unbelievable career.
He got 40,000 points.
He has four titles.
He won some MVPs.
He's going to have a lot of the long-term records.
And maybe he's just going to want to be like,
you know what?
I want to play with my son and that's going to be it.
So he's going to be playing for...
Dallas? Well, I's going to be it. So he's going to be playing for... Dallas?
Well, I was going to say,
what's the Mexico City G League team
or something like he's going to be...
They'll bring Bronny up.
Yeah, I don't know.
When he turned that ball over late in the game,
that one that was sort of like an unforced turnover,
it had a weird energy about it.
And I texted one of my friends but what you were talking about i was like that felt just sort of symbolic
to me i don't know there was something about it and he was like you're reading into this too much
but that's just what we do i guess but i i don't he doesn't strike me as somebody that's gonna
he he's you know i i think he takes a lot of pride and still being so competitive and that's
part of his legacy.
It seems like it would be a really weird left turn for him to just be like,
I'm good.
I feel like LeBron's going to kind of die on the battlefield.
Well, then that means he's got to switch teams.
Yeah, I would say so.
And people will be like, no, they have a couple picks.
They'll be able to get somebody.
It's like there's nobody they're going to be able to get that they're going to have enough assets to actually get, let's say Devin Booker ass out
of Phoenix. Let's say that goes sideways. They're not going to have enough assets for him. Guess
who's going to have to be in the trade? Anthony Davis. So you're going sideways with whatever,
or you're going to have to roll the dice with somebody that's like a distressed asset,
which they've been doing for the last couple of years.
And ironically, all this starts with the Russell Westbrook trade, where they give up some real assets.
They give up a pick.
Then they're stuck with Westbrook.
They have to attach a pick just to get rid of him to get the guys back.
There's a fork in the road there where they could have rolled the dice with Kyrie, but you can't really blame them considering they've taken two firsts where Kyrie's head was at.
It's just the situation is what it is.
Yeah, this is the first time I
felt like I could see the finish line for him.
I don't know. Unless he starts
doing mid-level
exception or just like, I'm just going to join
this team for two million because I want to win
a fifth. I don't know if he'd want to do that. Could you see him being like, I'm just going to join this team for 2 million. Cause I want to win a fifth. I don't know if he'd want to do that. I don't like, could you see him being like, I'm
going to, wouldn't be the Celtics cause he hates Boston. But, uh, so Denver, Minnesota wouldn't be
Dallas would I guess be the team I'm going to join Dallas. I'm now on Dallas for one year,
2 million bucks. Want to play Luca moving to Texas into Texas. It's just weird. I don't see
him doing it. I'm trying to
think of a team that really could use him.
The Cleveland thing I don't think would
work. They would have to move off of a lot
of people. How about Philly?
Him and Allen and Mobley couldn't play together, but they
probably could figure it out. Cleveland
homecoming would be interesting.
Him and Mitchell and Garland could work together.
I think him as a passing kind of fulcrum between those two guys
could work if Mitchell even stayed.
Philly's interesting.
Philly's interesting.
I don't know.
Is Embiid even going to be in Philly, though?
That's a good question.
You hear that even from Philly fans.
They're like, oh, he wants out of here.
So I don't know.
It's hard to say, man.
Maybe LeBron or show LeBron the tape of Orlando
game three just laying the smackdown on
Cleveland. Yeah, I love it. I talked
shit about their offense before the game and then they came out
and just had the game. Is that
weird variance or are they going to go back
to what we saw before? Was that
an outlier? That's what I'm trying to
figure out from that one.
I mean, they were 13 for 37 from three, right?
To me, it was more, I just don't think Cleveland's that good.
So you flip home court, Orlando comes
out, they play really well in the first half. Palo
finally gets going and has a real kick-ass Palo game.
And then Cleveland couldn't make any shots.
They were eight for 34. It's so funny how so many of these playoff games just come down and you just
look at the three-point shots on both sides. How did this team do? How did that team do? Oh,
that's why they won. I hate to reduce it to that, but sometimes that's what it is.
Miami made 23 threes yesterday. Now, why did they make those 23 threes is a real discussion.
But the fact is, if you make 23 threes in an NBA game, you're probably going to win.
And I don't care who's playing who. It's too big of a disparity.
Yeah. Are you feeling pretty sick about the... Well, you had a good night, right? The Patriots
got their guy, but I bet you're pretty conflicted right now, right?
You're feeling... What's the panic
meter for you? Is the nausea, the dread,
is it spiking right now
or are you still like, we're all right with the Celtics?
I'm going to answer that
question right after this break.
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Yeah, so I watched the Celtics game last night on an airplane.
I went to Seattle.
If you saw my Instagram, I went to go hang out with Pearl Jam, which will be running next
week on this podcast.
Watched, was in the
airport going through, checking the phone
and we're like, uh-oh, this game's
close. Oh no.
And then watched.
That has to be tough
for you. You're the most visible self.
Are you getting like, hey, Bill, it's going to...
There's no avoiding spoilers or avoiding... Are you getting like, hey, Bill, there's no avoiding spoilers or
avoiding... Are you getting annoying
commentary in that situation?
Only be... I mean, a couple people
did mention stuff, but
I'm at the point with that Miami Celtics series
where I'm like, we're fine. We're way better than
them. And then I was able to actually
watch the last two and a half quarters. Then when I got
back last night, I went back and
watched the whole game.
I think all the Celtic fans who are realistic about this team have some real concerns about strategy, coaching, and the team's ability to perform under duress.
Right. It's a team that has been killing everybody, They've been up 15, 20, and 75 to 80% of their games.
They also haven't really played a meaningful game in a month,
a month and a half.
They had everything wrapped up.
There was a New Orleans game maybe four weeks ago
when they laid the smackdown on New Orleans.
I was like, oh, that's a good sign.
But Miami just picked all the scabs.
Everything, they threw some weird ideas.
They defended Porzingis in a goofy way
and they completely discombobulated the Celtics.
They slowed us down.
It's a lot of isoball stuff.
And then they just bombed threes,
which is what you should do
if you have an inferior team, right?
I mean, we've been talking about this forever.
If you don't have as good of a team, shoot a bunch of threes.
And Boston was like, you guys aren't good three-point shooters.
Well, they were last night.
But the thing that really bugged me, Kyle,
you know, you got no point guard on the other team.
And Hero did a really nice job as a playmaker yesterday,
but he's not like a typical point guard.
There were, I don't know
whether it was one third of the plays or one fourth of the plays or 40% of the plays, but
you had Caleb Martin bringing the ball up. You had Hawkins bringing the ball up. You had Duncan
Robinson bringing the ball. That guy fucking guy can't dribble. And they're not pressuring anybody.
And it was, I just watched him like at one point they had Duncan Robinson just walking
the ball up and I'm on the plane and I forgot I was on the plane. I'm like, what the fuck?
And then like a bunch of people, then I'm like, oh shit, I'm in public. But like, why are we
letting Duncan Robinson walk the ball up? Like how is Drew Holiday not hounding him full court?
Just, they made it so easy for them. And it's like, yeah, Miami hit a
bunch of shots, but they also ran any play they wanted and got all the shots they wanted. So
when I see that, I'm like, all right, is this, you know, you just, it was your lack of days ago
because you thought you were going to sweep the series or is there something else going on here?
So you tell me, what'd you see? Well well you're talking about them just kind of getting to the shots that they wanted to over and over again i mean like this is a this is a big
scary number uh they ran 43 pick and rolls in that game and they were 1.628 um that that okay if you
just running 43 is crazy so they clearly had a mindset but the 1.6 is like... And like, Porzingis had to have been
at least 40% of those.
They were just trying to get him over and over
and again in a pick and roll.
They spread it around and everybody
had success. Now, maybe you bank on
that was a one-time thing,
an out-of-body zombie experience,
but they spread it around.
It was Hero, it was a little bit of Hawkeyes,
it was a little bit of Martinkins. It was a little bit of Martin,
and it was Robinson had success.
Even Jovich.
Ryan and I were texting about Jovich,
and I'm just like,
I should have been higher on him,
but he's just tough.
Yeah, I mean, pressure him.
Speed him up.
Do whatever you can on that front,
and then depend on your rim protection
to kind of put out any fires. But
my gut says that it's shooting variants
and that they'll regress
because they had some guys just...
But then if I'm Boston, I'm
not banking on that because we got knocked out of
the playoffs last year because
of crazy shooting variants. So you can't bank on that.
I just think if I'm Miami
and I'm looking at
the fact that we have the best
coach in the world in this situation,
I'm feeling pretty good.
Because they're just house money.
I don't know. I don't know what the exact
tweak is for them, but
if they keep shooting the ball like this, you've got to
change something up.
Celts were playing with no pace.
And there's also
Tatum, the offensive stats were good for him. The on-off court stats were really good no pace. And, you know, there's also Tatum, the offensive
stats were good for him. The on-off
court stats were really good for him.
There's still that piece where he's just not
at the same level as,
you know, there's the Luka
Jokic SGA class
of guys. And then Embiid, when
he's healthy and looking like he did tonight,
where just guys that are kind of
unstoppable. And if you're down eight or if you're up six, you just guys that are kind of unstoppable. And if
you're down eight or if you're up six, you just know you can go to them again and again. And he
really wants to be that guy and the Celtics want him to be that guy, but he's not totally that guy.
And Porzingis has been the big superpower for them. And he just, I'm not willing to say Miami
figured out Porzingis. I just think he had a bad game. It didn't bother me that he had a bad game because it happens. What bothered me was the defense and how they defended what Miami
was doing, which was basically they didn't have an answer or a real original thought about it,
which speaks to the coaching and the strategy piece of it. And Spolstra,
it's just a hilarious disadvantage. It just is. So can they overcome it?
I'm sure they will.
Does it make me feel better about them playing Denver in six weeks?
No, it made me feel worse.
And I already felt awful.
That shifted hard in the last 24 hours.
That conversation.
Because I don't know.
Do you feel like that's true?
Or did you come into the playoffs thinking you all couldn't beat Denver?
Because I feel like that changed in the last...
No, I never felt like they could beat Denver.
Because I watched the two games when they lost to Denver.
And I just don't think...
If they did, I'd go nuts.
It would be amazing.
But I just think, first of all, Denver is the best team in seven years
and one of the three or four best teams of the century, as I said.
Second, Denver executes at a level that does not resemble
anyone else in the league right now and that's
been the Celtics biggest end of the game issue
and if you're just talking
about a bunch of close games where they can't
execute at the same level as Denver
why would I think
they could beat Denver in a series?
You know something else that's interesting
if you're comparing Boston and you're
comparing Denver and like crunch time offense is like a big thing obviously for the elite of the elite
like when you watch i was really struck tonight by like porter jr who had a great game murray
murray had moments he was battling through some physicality the whistle has been really
interesting to watch for some of these guys who score the way he does but denver's very mature
about like the silos of what they do
they're like in the beginning of the shot clock if there's an open shot we'll take it we'll we're
aggressive we'll go after it but we're running our stuff we're doing our actions they say they
have shot makers who can go and get theirs at any other time like you know porter jr on another
team would average more points murray on another team would average more points. But they, like, wait until certain situations to be like,
okay, talented shot makers, go find your shot.
And I feel like that is a little bit of a difference
between them and Boston in the past few years,
where Boston has these guys like Tatum, you were saying,
who's not quite to that level yet of, like, the maturity of, like,
when to create rim pressure, when to get your jump shot,
when to, you know, when to get off the ball,
when to stay on the ball. I just feel like that is kind of the thing about denver that makes them so
tough is that like they just kind of have these guys in their back pocket that like after we've
run our stuff our last kind of backup generator for our offense is like hey all-star level tap
like to have michael porter jr just kind of over there on the wall, like, ah, we're in kind of a jam here.
Did you see the pull-up that he shot over Anthony Davis?
Yeah.
My wife was like, I went, oh, my God.
My wife was like, what, was that weird?
I was like, yeah, people don't shoot pull-ups over Anthony Davis like that so casually.
Well, and they also get the six points a game
off Gordon on the baseline,
just people forgetting that he's over there.
Meanwhile, you have Philly
who's down 2-0
and Bede is very bombastic
about we're going to come back.
We should be winning this series.
First half,
thank God for, this was a
thank God for three TV night for me
because I had the draft. I'm dying with the
seeing what the Pats are going to do.
Cleveland's getting their ass kicked by Orlando.
And then Philly,
we have with no sound.
And Embiid
really looks like he's unraveling
a couple of times there in the first,
I don't know, quarter and a half of the game,
including the Mitchell Robinson play,
which was just super weird.
That was like Clemens throwing the bat back of Piazza kind of level bizarre.
I thought he was getting kicked out.
I think normally guys would get kicked out for that.
There was a little superstar tax for that, but that was really weird behavior.
Just in general, he seemed a little unhinged.
And then he just channeled it into one of the more memorable 50 point games I've seen
because he didn't take 20
shots and he's just unstoppable going to the line. He's making threes with people right in his space
and the Knicks to their credit, the game seemed like it was over, especially in the fourth quarter,
like five different times. It was like, oh, that's it. Oh, they're up 12. It's over. Oh,
they're up 15. It's over. And the Knicks just they come back they come back they come back they come back and uh and Philly was just able to fight it off and Bede was
was just awesome I can't remember a legendary like playoff performance like that from a player
who should have probably been ejected I was trying to think of another yeah I can't there's been a
few I couldn't think of another one well Leitner in 92 came to mind he should have been a few i couldn't think of another one well latner in 92 came to
mind he should have been ejected i stand by that but like there was a there was a sequence where
um you know in beat speaking of how you were talking about it came out that he has there
were people talking about he has bell's palsy that's like yeah roge reported it that he had
a mild case of bell's palsy made sense because it didn't seem like his left eye was blinking or
closing correctly yeah i didn't even notice his left eye was blinking or closing correctly
yeah i didn't even notice that that somebody was texting me about that i was like i didn't even
notice that the main thing that struck me was i was like and b just looks he looks like i look if
i've like been if my like wife has been away with like her family for a weekend or something and i
don't shave and i've kind of just been in the house, you know, just eating like leftovers.
Yeah. I just kind of look a little crazed and I've been up too long.
Like he just looked a little like on the edge and I was like, man, what is it?
And then, yeah.
When the Knicks were yelling at him and he was yelling at Hartenstein, he was just kind
of looking around.
He was like, you seem like a maniac.
He looked, yeah.
He had the, uh, he had the Tom Jane and Boogie Nights look on his face.
He was like, I've been away.
Oh, he really did.
Well, then on top of it, it really felt like there was, you know,
because we flipped the game to the big TV a couple of times,
and it felt like there was like one-third Knicks fans there.
That was insane. So the energy of the game was totally weird.
What was that about?
I was asking Chris.
About the secondary market.
I was like, yeah.
I was asking Chris, I was like, how many fights was asking Chris, like, I was like, how many fights like in the stands?
He was like, oh, countless.
Oh, my God.
I can't imagine.
Get those videos.
Yeah.
He had a stretch, though.
I mean, this was like a back and forth game.
For me, the big thing for this was like when I took a step back, because in the first half, I kept thinking like New York looks like the more put together team I was like New York is running their stuff they get to their
spots and I was like but they're not pulling away and I was like yeah I was like why do I feel this
way and I was like this is this game was like the definition of a like four quarters don't equal a
dollar in the NBA where it's like you can have an incredibly well put together team and a team that maybe is a little wobblier
in execution and just have
insane elite shot making
talent and like Embiid and Maxey
at different times
they were bridging the gap like there was a sequence
where it was tied and Embiid was just yeah
it was like a minute and a half it went from tied
to up 10 just because Embiid was like
I'm making three threes in a row so
that was kind of my thing.
And then he just started wearing away on them
from the free throw line.
So Brunson was good,
but the Knicks just didn't have enough talent.
Do you think they missed Randall?
That's what I was saying.
I don't.
I think today was a little fluky.
The Sixers were 15 for 31 from three, right?
48%.
That's one thing.
Campaign, who I don't even think played in game one.
Can't remember if he played at all in game two.
But some people are calling like,
why aren't they playing Campaign over Buddy Hield's dead body?
Buddy Hield played four minutes tonight.
But Campaign hit three threes, 11 points.
And I actually thought he had big points.
Oh, yeah.
At the points of the game when he scored,
it was like, oh, that was fucking points. Oh yeah. At the points of the game when he scored, it was like, Oh,
that was fucking campaign backbreaker. Um, but really it was, you know, when, if Maxine and
beat are going to score 75 points, they're probably combined with shooting almost 50%
for three. You're probably winning that game. It's amazing. The Knicks were hanging around.
I wouldn't blame the Randall thing. I thought the Mitchell Robinson injury was
a bigger issue because they were really killing them on the boards in the other two games. This game, the Sixers actually had the rebounding advantage. I still think the Knicks are going to win this series. I'm not worried. The Sixers were supposed to win tonight. They're see game four. OKC New Orleans last night as we head toward the weekend.
I thought OKC was fantastic last night.
Yeah.
I really was like blown away.
Uh, maybe the best check game I can remember.
And I don't even know if Chet was leading the headlines on that one because SGA was
so great.
And, um, you know, Chet 26 and seven, butet 26 and seven. But I always felt like,
how are they going to handle overpowering centers? And Chet just over and over again,
he's in the right spots. He's got the verticality. He's perfect. He's super competitive,
plays with a motor. He spreads the floor. And that was, I thought the best game I've seen that team
play considering the stakes. They really annihilated New Orleans., I thought the best game I've seen that team play considering the stakes.
They really annihilated New Orleans,
and I thought New Orleans was going to either cover or win in that game.
I think going back to New Orleans, I could see New Orleans winning game three,
but I might have underrated OKC a tiny bit.
Where were you on them heading into the playoffs, and has it changed?
I thought, well, if Zion was going to be there,
I thought it was going to be a toss-up, honestly,
because I didn't think they had an answer for him.
Aside from the Valanciunas thing,
if you just get his size moving in space,
they don't have anybody like that.
But, yeah, overall, I kind of thought they'd win in six.
That's kind of where I was.
I thought they'd need a minute to get their legs under them a little bit.
But I thought last night was a really impressive response to that first game
because they kind of came back with their shit way more together,
shot the ball a little better.
But yeah, Chet, Kevin and I were talking about this on the draft show
that everybody's pressuring them to go
get a big guy you got we got to get a big guy we got to do this thing to sort of account for
the things other teams have but it's like okc just has such a speed advantage one through five
they have lineups that they can put out there with like five shooter handle handler passers
i'm kind of like it made me think of like the like the the Seconds or Less Suns where they had this style that was such a get-you-on-your-heels,
odd kind of thing.
And they got this pressure.
They ran into the Spurs a couple times, as we remember.
They just got this pressure to hedge a little bit.
And if you listen to Mike D'Antoni talk now,
he is just filled with immense like, immense regret about that.
He's like, no. The Shaq trade.
So is Steve Kerr.
Yeah.
He's like, we're not big enough.
We got to do something.
He's like, we should have gone on.
But if you watch that game, I was saying, like,
if you can stomach the moments where Valanchunas makes you look like
a junior varsity squad, because he does.
There's the times where he's just-
It's like five times a game, yeah.
Palming it and putting it in effortlessly. But there
are also moments where he where Chet
makes him look like a wax figure on the
perimeter. And that's like I
think you lean into your strength. So I'm kind of just
like Stan Pat unless you have to make
you know, I just I just don't know that I would
be in a hurry to like
undermine your stylistic advantage
if you're OKC. I think they're going to win
the series. I could see I could see New Orleans getting a couple,
but I still think that they're going to win.
Well, and they would get Dallas or the Clippers in the second round
when that series is already zagged.
It goes from what's wrong with Dallas after game one
to could Dallas be the team that beats Denver?
That's the story in round two.
I don't know what to expect from that series.
And I think anyone who bets major money
in any of the Dallas Clippers games
needs to have their head examined
because there's no rhyme or reason.
I just think it's going to yo-yo back and forth.
Do you have any sort of gut feeling
on where that series goes?
Especially where we don't know
what we're getting out of Kawhi?
Yeah, the Kawhi part of it.
I mean, just the bigs for Dallas.
They're just such a big variable for them.
If they're going to get nothing.
Yeah, Gafford's already hurt.
Yeah, and Lively, he does very narrow things well.
And it's like he has a very small script of things that he can do and
if you if you push him off of those he's just not ready yet so you can really see that and
that's that's the thing for me i think it's gonna just rise and fall similar to philly like you know
philly might get a couple more if like they have some more out-of-body experiences from their stars
i think it's gonna rise and fall with luca and kairi, you know, we've seen Luka do that, though.
That's the thing.
We've seen Luka get crazy.
I don't even know.
I feel like Luka could play even better, honestly.
So it could happen.
I don't know.
I don't even,
I don't know how much I trust the Clippers,
though, either.
So it's sort of,
I have no trust in the Clippers.
Yeah.
Well, you never trusted the Clippers.
No, I don't.
I'm never going to trust them.
I also think they played a great first half in game one.
And then the next three halves they played got progressively uglier,
what they were doing offensively.
And Dallas really figured out a way to just do all the things
that I don't like when I watch the Clippers.
It's a lot of one-on-one stuff and just a lot of people standing around.
And it really,
I thought Westbrook actually really helped
with some of his energy and stuff,
but otherwise not a lot to love.
We also, the hardest series I think to figure out
if we're just looking toward the weekend
is Timberwolf Suns.
Because you could tell me,
Sears is going to zag,
Suns will shoot the lights out,
a little like the magic today.
2-1.
Oh, why are we worried about the Suns?
Booker and Durant just combined for 68 points.
There's also a world where they suck
like the Lakers did tonight.
And by the end of game three,
we'll be having the same conversations about them as we just did about LeBron like the Lakers did tonight and by the end of game three we'll be having the same conversations about
them as we just did about LeBron and the Lakers
before it's like oh my god this is done
what are they going to do it's a
little like what KOC and I talked about the other day
do you see road back for them or no
for the Suns yeah
this series
just feels like
it feels like an Anthony Edwards
like I've arrived kind of like mission for him in a way that makes me think that like it feels like an Anthony Edwards like I've arrived kind of like mission for him
in a way that makes me think that like it just has that feeling you know and and these two teams
stylistically are just a really interesting pair because you have the length and the size and the
rim protection against like I don't know they're probably the best dribble pull-up shooting team
in the league I would say or at least the most dependent on it. I just feel like...
Yeah, I still feel like Minnesota
is going to come away and win this one,
but I don't know. Betting against Durant
and Kevin Booker, it's just that
Minnesota has the tools to sort of
throw at those guys if there is any
kind of ultimate answer, but
I'm still going with Minnesota.
Where are you on that?
I'm so mad at myself that I flipped my opinion on this series
because of game 82.
Well, it's interesting.
Phoenix is plus 350 to win this series,
which I thought seemed low.
That's on FanDuel.
Because usually when the first two games
and you have game seven at home,
that becomes a Herculean task to come back
for the other team. You'd win four out of five, but game seven at home, that becomes a Herculean task to come back for the other team. You'd win four
out of five, but game seven is almost definitely going to be on the road. So plus 350 seemed a
little crazy. I didn't like what I saw from Phoenix in game two from a body language,
cohesiveness standpoint. I thought it was a little alarming actually. And then Grayson getting hurt too, which I think has been pretty important for them.
I would lean, if you had to tell me this series is going to go seven or Phoenix is going to get
swept and those are my two options, I would pick Phoenix getting swept. Yeah. What would you pick?
I think that's more likely too. I'm with you. I just think I don't know. It's
an interesting thing to just keep repeating
because the shot
making of your stars. I
don't want to keep reiterating this, but they just
lean on it so heavily
and it so specifically
kind of plays into what Minnesota
can defend well.
And the Ant thing, man.
He looks like he's on a mission.
He looks determined.
Yeah, I agree.
So we're still getting the brain fart Carl Towns moments,
but Ant's...
Might not matter this round.
He's just got that glow about him right now.
We'll know how desperate Phoenix is
because if they play Isaiah Thomas in game three,
that will tell me that Frank Vogel's officially at the...
And maybe that's not even a bad idea.
But if they do that,
then now we're throwing darts against the wall and hoping.
The other darts against the wall series is Indiana-Milwaukee,
which right now Indiana is minus 150.
They have the next two games in Indiana.
And we have no idea when Giannis comes back.
And there's been some real good shit talking.
This is like kind of a sneaky good series
because I forget who called them front runners.
Maybe it was Bobby Portis.
Somebody took a shot at Indiana about,
oh yeah, they're front runners.
They talk a lot when they're up 15 or whatever they said.
But I think without Giannis,
I think Indiana's going to win the series.
So the hardest thing to figure out is, can he come back? Can it be 2-2 when he comes back? Do they bring him back when they're down 3-2 in Indiana? Does he come back at all? If he doesn't come back at all, Indiana is going to win the series. The calf stuff just makes me nervous. Me too. I would wait.
I don't necessarily think.
I mean, even if he comes back and he's healthy and they win this series,
where is it going?
I mean, I don't know.
He's 80%. What do you think their ceiling is even if he comes back and looks all right
and they play one of these other teams?
I don't know if the juice is worth the squeeze, to be honest.
And, yeah, I mean, these teams, Like I just don't, I don't know if it's where I don't know if the juice is worth the squeeze to be honest. And yeah,
I mean these teams,
even,
even when he was healthy,
Indiana was a terrible matchup for them just because you're really seeing
the sort of like stresses of,
of what has made Milwaukee have such a tough season really played out in this
team that plays this really particular specific way of playing as up-tempo as
they can and,
and shooting a lot of threes, getting out and running.
It's just a really, really interesting kind of style juxtaposition
between those two.
Celtics are plus 110 on Fando to win the title.
Ridiculous.
Denver's plus 230.
Now, Fando's job is just to put the odds where they're going to
not have too much risk.
So, obviously, more people have just been on Boston because the road in the East is easier.
Oklahoma City is 12 to 1.
Dallas 17 to 1.
New York 17 to 1.
And Minnesota is 18 to 1.
I mentioned that because Minnesota is probably our best chance in the West to beat Denver.
And they would be playing them in round two.
And if they beat Denver,
that's a real path.
I don't know what they'd be in that series.
They'd probably be like,
the Lakers were plus,
I think,
330.
So Minnesota would probably be like plus 250 against Denver,
maybe plus 270.
But if they beat them,
they'd have to be considered
the favorites or the co-favorites. So those are probably the best odds, but it's interesting that
OKC has crept up to the number three odds. I think a lot of that had to do with how good they looked
in that New Orleans game where it was just like, that was the first time it was like, okay, this is
happening. And we watched this happen in 2012 with a different version of the Oklahoma City team that resembled this one.
Where there's a lot of young guys.
We were like, nah, they're not ready yet.
And then all of a sudden they're in the finals.
Yeah.
It's like, oh, they're here.
It has some of the kind of 13 Warriors kind of vibe to me.
Where it's like maybe, because, you know, Thunder did the same thing.
It's just like the ahead of schedule thing.
And then sometimes you take a step back and you retool and address some of your things that need to change.
But, yeah, I mean, there were some questions, too, that people had about like Shea's offensive game.
You know, you heard people talk about that a lot about like, oh, he likes to get these.
He likes to kind of generate this much free throw offense.
Is he going to get the same whistle in the playoffs?
Is he going to make the same types of shots?
He made some plays in that game that
I was talking to a buddy about this that
he wasn't making a couple years
ago. He was making a couple dribble pull-ups
in pick and roll that were really effortless
and getting to the rim
and just the mid-range, just pull-up
stuff. He's doing
things and getting off the ball in ways that
I think are confirming
that this isn't a
feel-good, we got the one seed.
They are maturing in front of our eyes.
Whether or not they do it this year, but...
Who were the people questioning
Shea's offense when he had
55, 30-point games this year?
Was that a topic on a podcast
I didn't hear? You see
things out on the internet.
I think whenever the foul generation,
he's not the same type of player,
but it's the hardened conversation about,
is this going to translate?
Is he going to be able to generate as much offense?
And I don't think he was doing,
I don't think what he did last night
was driven by foul baiting at all
or a good whistle.
It was skill and tough shot making.
What would have been Sharks' favorite plot of this
playoffs? Oh, God.
I was thinking he would have loved
John Isaac versus Mobley because those
two squaring off was fun.
That was a good one.
I think he would have enjoyed just how weird this
OKC team is.
And I think he would have completely talked himself
into Kyrie.
Probably about January.
Kyrie's amazing. I've been underrating him
all along.
A funny thing that
we were talking about, that Kevin and I were talking about
was
the Paolo versus Chet thing. I know
Cerruti's going to come strangling for this, but
you hear a lot of people talk about that
and I haven't moved at all.
Like it's a done deal that Paolo is a better pick?
I don't know where you are on that,
but I haven't moved on that at all.
I still have Chet one in that class.
Oh, wow. It's a great argument.
Yeah. I don't know. Where are you on that?
I mean, and that's not I'm like pushing Paolo off a cliff.
I just prefer Chet.
Like his two-way offerings and spacing and passing
and stuff like that.
I still think Chet's ultimately going to be the better player.
Is Cerruti still on the Zoom?
What's up?
Are you mad?
No, not at all.
I mean, I famously... I wanted Chetet i went on the koc i went everywhere
and i was like i love chet so the fact that both of them are good i feel like is a w for me so i'll
take that but i i keep coming back to i think both teams got the exact guy that they needed
i think orlando we needed a guy who just was like screw screw it, give me the ball. I don't care. And I'm going to be maybe a little inefficient,
but I'm not afraid.
And I am definitely a one.
And OKC didn't need that guy.
If you swap these two guys,
I don't think it works, actually.
I don't know how much SGA works with Paulo.
And I don't know that Orlando...
I mean, Chet would be good.
He'd be great.
But he's not a number one option on a team
that just won a playoff game by 30-something points.
So I think everybody's happy. I team that's you know that just won a playoff game by like 30 something points so I think everybody's happy
I think that's the right answer
I also don't think we have an answer yet
because I want to see how these
guys evolve over the next four years I will
say this
I think what Chet does
translates more
to a team with a higher ceiling
than maybe the Palo version of it. Because I
think Palo is just like, if you have Palo, he's your best player. And if you win the title,
he's going to be the number one guy, a little like Tatum. Whereas Chet, I think he could
kind of be the second, third, or best player potentially on a team, depending on who's on the team. He's such a unique asset.
I just can't believe that he's able to hold the fort against Valanchunas. Even at the trade
deadline, I was going nuts that didn't get a center. But as Kyle said earlier, yeah, he'll
look bad five times in a game where you're like, oh man, that looked awful. But he comes right back.
He just puts his head down. He runs back and he'll make a three. I love how competitive he is. And it ties into
what people saw when he was in AAU five, six years ago when everybody was coming at him and trying to
dunk on him and test them. And he just always came back. So it's a tough one. I guess the question for me is, and maybe Kyle, maybe you can answer this as
a neutral party. What is Palo's ceiling? Because is his ceiling top three MVP candidate? Is it
first team on BA? Is it 30 and 12 a game? Because if it's that high,
then he's probably the ultimate answer to the question.
I don't know if Chet's ever going to be
like a top three player in the league.
I would doubt that.
But Kyle, do you think he has the chance
to be a top four MVP candidate?
Because I would say I'd lean toward yes over no on that.
Yeah, he kind of feels like high all nba ish sort of ceiling to
me like i've said that i thought that his developmental path would kind of be similar
to blake griffins because they have the same kind of tilt in their game whereas like they played in
different eras where if blake had played now he probably would have played more facing the basket
he was so post-up dominant early in his career. But I feel like
they're going to end up similar places where they both can
pass the ball. The shooting is like,
eh, every once in a while it's okay.
But to answer your question, I don't know
about top three in the league. I'm not sure
about that. But I do think that
second-ish flirt with first team
All-NBA, which is hardly an insult
to me.
So basically
Tatum
range. Yeah, I think that's fair.
Yeah, I think that's fair.
I don't know if Tatum gets higher than where he is
right now. Unless there's
one last thing he can
add to his game that he
doesn't have yet. But to me, he's getting closer
to a finished product than maybe I felt
before the season.
Really quickly, the Apollo thing, like he, you saw it today,
like his tough shot making ability and like, yeah,
the efficiency is always going to be, you know, it's going to improve.
I mean, he's in the second year and it's his first playoff series.
So I got, and he's 21. Yeah.
And let his team points at rebounds and assists.
Youngest guy ever do that. So I, that to me,
those things that he does,
like Chet, I don't know that Chet ever does that.
Chet's an incredible secondary piece to me.
But does that matter?
I think it does because, you know,
like he's already a really good playmaker.
I mean, I know like people are going to throw
the turnovers in his face.
I don't know, man.
It was two road games.
He doesn't have a point guard.
Like it's the first playoffs.
So like, cool.
Two big guys. Zero turnovers. So like, I don point guard. It's the first playoffs. Two big guys.
I don't know. The shots he was hitting
tonight, there's not a lot of guys
in the league that can do that.
Yeah, I guess his destiny,
Chet's destiny would be the Anthony
Davis piece on a title team.
Paolo's destiny could
be, can I be the best
player on a finals team? Something like that.
Could I get to that Durant
Tatum territory, which I think at the age
he's at with some of the stuff we've seen already,
it's a great argument. It's amazing that this
isn't even close to being
a finished argument yet. Usually after the second
year, we kind of know who should have been the first pick.
But in this case,
I'm not positive we know yet. Anyway.
Poor Jabari. So old. So old my Jabari
stock. So like him. The yet. Poor Jabari. So old. So old in my Jabari stock. Still like him.
Oh, he's great.
The funny thing is Jabari was also a really good pick.
And maybe this actually worked out perfectly.
I hope we say the same about the football quarterbacks in the draft today.
Serenity.
Where it's like, oh man, looking back.
Yeah, Caleb's the best.
But man, Drake May, really good pick at number three.
Maybe Paddocks will be awesome.
Who knows?
That would actually be the greatest plot twist of all.
He actually would be an awesome guy.
All right, Kyle, great to see you.
Saruti, thanks for popping on.
We're going to take a break, come back,
talk NFL Draft with Van Lathan.
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All right, I'm taping this part of the pod. It is 745 Pacific time. Van Lathan and I just watched
20 plus picks in the NFL draft. We watched two basketball games.
The Falcons took Michael Penix with the eighth pick in the draft.
Yeah.
Every once in a while,
the NFL draft reminds us,
no matter how many mock drafts you do,
no matter how many experts you listen to,
something fucked up is going to happen.
Yeah.
Something.
This was a fucked up thing because they just spent all this money on Kirk
Cousins.
It feels like a team that's pretty close to really competing in the NFC with a
couple moves.
And now they spent the eighth pick on a backup quarterback.
I don't get it.
It's a drama factory.
Like you have a guy in their league veteran, a proven quarterback, not an elite quarterback, but a proven quarterback.
And you think you're tooling up to make a go at it.
And then you bring in youth.
And like, we're all sitting here, we're watching the draft.
And no sooner is that pick made, then you start to hear rumblings that he's actually,
I think the word is stunned.
Stunned. From Michael Penix.
Disappointed, I think was the other word.
And so this is the thing.
You wonder with a pick like this, number one, with a player like Michael Penix, who has
all the talent in the world, had a really strong combine in pro day, if they just fell in love with him so much for
whatever reason that they had to draft him, no matter how it would shake their organization up.
And despite obviously the huge medical concerns that he has.
You love Michael Penix.
Love him.
So make the case that this was actually a great move to do this.
Because by the time he actually starts for them after Cousins is out,
which will be a couple years from now,
Michael Penix will be 34 years old.
Well, he is older.
He's yet another one of these transfer guys.
And look, he's had significant, significant medical issues.
Two torn ACLs, same knee, uh, a shoulder surgery.
All you guys have seen it all.
They ran it down on the draft.
But look, if there was a world where you could say Michael Penix is going to be healthy and
he's not going to have any injury
problems and obviously that's a huge conjecture given his past yo he can just fucking ball he can
throw the ball down the field beautifully he puts the ball in pockets and in windows with amazing
touch and accuracy he's like a Drew Brees type of quarterback while he was at
Washington in college. He just, it's
almost like he's handing the ball off down there.
Anticipatory throws the whole nine, and then
plus all of that,
his knees seem to be holding up, his
legs seem to be holding up, his body seems to be holding up
well enough for him to go 4-5 at the combine,
which I think shocked everybody. But he doesn't
really run as a quarterback
though, so what do I care if he runs 4'6"?
We talked about this.
If you're not actually running.
He's not running, but the fact that he can still move
and the fact that his body is functional and working,
I think that explosion and that type of speed
was surprising to a lot of people
who had heard that he was essentially held together
by thumbtacks and
chewing gum throughout his college season, you know? Well, he tore the same ACL on his right
knee twice. That means the second one was a cadaver ACL, maybe bad cadaver.
Or maybe it's like rookie of the year. Remember when rookie of the year, when he got hurt
and then all of a sudden that made him throw harder than anybody
right there it just got stronger and better stronger it's like they put the rookie of the
year ligament in there now he's like the man but look here's the thing if their plan is to
uh not play him for a while make sure that his body can take the load of an nfl season
give him a look-see for a couple of years, and then turn it over to them,
it's a very smart draft pick.
The reality is that it's one of
the riskier draft picks that I can remember somebody
making right now. Like, with a new QB
coming in and with the team as close to continuing as you
said. And one of the funnier draft picks.
Nobody thought it was going to happen.
I love when there's the...
And I said we were watching with a
couple of people, and they showed him like three, four minutes before the pick.
Uh-huh.
And I immediately got suspicious
because I thought the Falcons were going to trade out of that.
They were such a logical trade candidate
for somebody to come up and get J.J. McCarthy.
And instead they were staying put.
And then they're just showing him in his living room with his family
and you want to talk about the families later.
You have some thoughts.
I have some thoughts.
You have some theories.
Tough night.
But it was like,
I think they're going to take penance.
But I said it the same way you would say
like if you're at a bar
and one of your buddies
was talking all night to somebody, you were like
that lady's 25
years older than him.
I think he's going to go home with her.
I think they're leaving together.
I think she just paid the check.
Right.
And then that was it.
They took her.
You hate the Falcons.
We should mention this.
Yeah, with a seething white hot passion.
So this must have delighted you.
They wasted all their cap on Kirk Cousins. And then they spent the eighth pick on a backup quarterback.
So here's the thing. This is why the draft is sometimes tough for huge college football fans.
Yeah.
It's tough because you get connected to the players and their stories over three or four,
or in the case of Bo Nix, 12 seasons that they've been playing.
Then all of a sudden, they get drafted to your moral
enemy like the Falcons I want to see Michael Penix do well because it's just such a fantastic
story you were even defending his performance in the playoff game which was not good so look
he played against in Michigan what I believe to be a top three, if not the best defense in college football.
And they had him schemed up.
They played him really well.
It was a hard-hitting, very physical defense.
He didn't, well, he diced Texas up.
Bad secondary, but he diced Texas up.
Okay.
And all throughout the year, except for a couple of games
where he just kind of led them to victories and didn't really dominate,
Michael Penix was the offense for Washington.
Obviously he had some great guys on the,
on the outside,
but he was the engine of the whole team.
He played fantastic football.
He played fantastic football.
So like he made me a believer in college.
He's a long time.
Like a lot of guys,
all of these guys are all the fourth,
15,
six years,
25 year old rookies,
the whole nine.
That's,
that's the way of the world now, Bill.
Can you walk us through a couple years here in the city of Atlanta
where you have Kirk Cousins as the incumbent
and Michael Penix as the backup, how that might play out?
So I want to walk you through it,
but I can't do better than a meme that I saw.
Okay, what's that?
There's a little movie called Any Given Sunday.
Mm-hmm.
And this is where Dennis Quaid played Cap,
the old veteran QB who had led the team
to glory in the past.
You know, this was the first rewatchable
we ever did after Heat.
True.
Any Given Sunday, yeah.
Any Given Sunday was the one.
Any Given Sunday, some shocking locker room scenes there some shocking drug use shocking drug use
some shocking all kinds of things so you're gonna say that cousins is cap and pennix is willie
beeman and that and that that i mean we're not there yet because we haven't seen pennix like
uh uh like outperform and, like, take his job.
But that type of locker room animus, especially if Cousins is already there.
Now, look, Kirk Cousins has a decision to make.
He can either try to nuke this kid in an Aaron Rodgers, Jordan Love type of way.
He's too nice of a guy.
Too nice of a guy.
I don't see him doing that. Too nice of a guy. I don't see him doing that.
However, the choice to, I guess,
talk about or discuss or leak to the media
your displeasure at the pick is an interesting one.
If you wanted to go with the flow
and not rock the boat too much,
you would think that you would stay away
from any public criticism of the pick itself.
Not saying that he came out and went on a record,
but obviously if it got out how he felt about it,
he knows that it got out.
But you can't win with any scenario
if you're Kirk Cousins.
Because if you're like,
no, I think it's a great pick,
but I can't wait to work with Michael,
people are like, you're full of shit.
Yeah, I mean-
Who are you kidding?
But to me, it's just,
sometimes you tell the lies that you have to tell.
Hey, I can't wait to show this kid how to be a great pro.
I can't wait to get in there and make sure Michael Penix has, we know that he doesn't mean it, but letting people know now that he's not feeling okay with it makes it a story going into mini camps and going into OTAs and going into training camp in the summer. So the city of Atlanta, you gave me on the one hand
a Dennis Quaid character
and then you gave me
a Jamie Foxx character.
Sure.
Where do you think
the city is going to lean?
Look, let me tell you something.
I wonder how it's going to play out.
Let me tell you something real quick.
Atlanta loves a winner.
Okay.
And I think that's going to be a problem for Kirk Cousins.
Kirk Cousins is a good QB, but he's a 9-7, 9-8 guy.
He is a 10-7 ranger, right?
He is the cream of the crap, the best of the worst.
Now, I'm not hating on him because he's had a
had a great career but i don't think anybody is looking to kirk cousins to take you to the
promised land now if he goes in there and he has problems figuring out a little bit they're going
to be people that want to see the new kid that's the thing and not just because he is culturally
should i say what atlanta is looking, just because he just came off of a fantastic college football career.
The Netflix series really helped Cousins.
I've been saying that for a while.
It made people forget that he's just
basically a slightly over 500 quarterback
who doesn't really do well in the playoffs.
And the Minnesota thing was fine.
Coming off an Achilles to boot,
made me wonder if they think
he's going to be 100% healthy.
And maybe they wanted insurance.
Maybe they were worried about something.
The question is, is Kirk Cousins a quarterback,
I think everybody knows the answer now, that you think you can win with?
Or is he Gardner Minshew plus?
Meaning a quarterback that's a stopgap that comes in.
Or is he Dak Prescott?
Well, I mean, Dak Prescott is different.
A stopgap.
Well, Dak Prescott, they. A stopgap. Well,
Dak Prescott,
they built the whole fucking thing around him.
They think.
They're the same guy.
I've been saying this for years.
You think Prescott and.
Yeah,
they're the same guys.
Same level of success,
same stats.
Yeah,
true.
It's just one guy plays in Dallas and the other guy was on Minnesota and a couple other
teams.
I think the only difference with Dak Prescott is he really put the team in a real bind to
where he fails just enough to ruin your franchise.
Yeah.
Like he, if you commit that type of money
and make that type of commitment to obviously a guy,
I'm not like rewriting or saying anything profound here
to a guy like Dak Prescott, you almost have to win.
And he just hasn't demonstrated that at all.
Kirk Cousins was different.
It's one of the more unique careers ever.
A bunch of different franchise tags.
There wasn't a real commitment to him long term.
Kept betting on himself, making a shitload of money.
Kept betting on himself, making this shit.
But he never asked the team to commit long term.
So there was still some type of flexibility
that other teams didn't have.
Yeah.
So it was odd in that way.
But you never thought that you could put a team around him
that was going to win a championship.
And I don't think anything's changed now, you know?
So to sum up the Falcons offseason,
they decided not to hire Bill Belichick.
Yeah.
They kept their whole inner circle in place
that had done all the other stuff.
They tampered with Kirk Cousins
and are probably going to get penalized
with some sort of something
at some point down the road
when they get more info.
And then after tampering with Kirk Cousins
and paying for him,
even though they don't know
if he's going to be healthy
from the start of the season,
then they spend the eighth pick on Michael Penix.
They drafted his successor.
The only thing I like,
I actually think Raheem Morris,
I actually like that coaching hire.
It would have been way more fun
if they had hired,
like the guy Carolina hired,
like Dave Canales.
Like, oh man, you didn't hire Bell.
But I actually do think Raheem Morris could be a good coach.
But at the same time, they passed on Bill Belichick,
the greatest coach of all time.
Well, I mean, Robert Kraft, right?
Robert Kraft.
Yeah, Robert, definitely.
What is it like for you to watch the most buttoned up,
the most disciplined franchise
in the history of American professional sports,
maybe turn it to the Real Housewives of Massachusetts?
It's been an adjustment.
My dad was at the Celtics game yesterday, game two.
I don't know if you saw it.
Celtics lost.
We didn't put any pressure on.
Oh, I saw that.
Miami had no point guards.
We just decided to let them dribble the ball up.
Oh, Duncan Robinson, you want to just dribble the ball up? Great. We won't do anything.
Bob Kraft was there sitting courtside. And whenever they used to show Bob Kraft during the games,
huge ovation, right? Kept the Patriots in New England, hired Bill Belichick, Super Bowl champ.
Everyone loved Bob Kraft. Things have fallen to the point, they showed him on the Jumbotron
and my dad's like, yeah, they showed Kraft on the Jumbotron last time. I was like,
oh my God, what happened? Did they boo? And he's like, no. And I was like, did they cheer? And
he's like, no. It was just kind of awkward. He was just on the Jumbotron and they stayed on him
and then they moved off. So he's hit that level where it's
like afraid to even have a reaction. Let me tell you something. That's tough. Let me tell you
something. I'm not one to defend Bob craft, but after six fucking Superbowls, if I was, if I was
anything less than a walking deity in Boston, i would sit courtside and show that entire arena
my entire ass i get it it's been a couple of down years six super bowls well i think it was how they
he treated belichick i think yeah well look how i just don't think people appreciate i get it how
he treated belichick fine like belichick was not Methuselah. He wasn't going to coach there forever.
It was only going to go either.
It was going to go one or two ways.
Either Belichick was going to leave on his terms or he was going to leave on the terms of the organization.
Well, you know, it's like cough on and coggling in a cocktail.
Oh, yeah.
Everything ends badly.
Otherwise, it doesn't end.
One of the great quotes of all time
from one of the greatest movies of all time.
He ended badly.
He did.
Not the greatest.
He killed himself in a yacht.
Right.
Tom, real quick,
before we move off that.
One of the great
what the fuck just happened scenes
from Tom Cruise.
Yeah.
Like one of,
in movie history,
if you guys have never seen content,
I don't want to ruin it, one of the great
oh my god scenes.
It's Cruise's greatest performance
in a movie. I've made that point
before. Really? Yeah.
He's carrying a 12-win team to 48
games, 48 wins. I don't know.
Kelly Lynch was there for a couple of wins. That's true.
She didn't help out.
The thing that shocked you tonight.
So we had six quarterbacks go in the top 12,
which I'm pretty sure that's never happened.
And Bo Nix goes to Denver at 12.
And this is after Minnesota trades up a spot with the Jets
to get JJ McCarthy, which we expected.
Drake May goes to the Pats.
We'll talk about that later.
Jaden Daniel goes to Washington.
Caleb Williams goes to Chicago.
He's going to be the hero.
But then Bo Nix, Denver was the last team that kind of needed a QB.
Maybe could have gotten him later.
Take him 12th.
Yeah.
And you started laughing.
Yeah, I did.
Because the Bo Nix thing is very, very funny to me.
So I'd read a lot about the fact that Sean Payton has fallen in love with Bo Nix.
And Bo Nix is the Sean Payton type quarterback. Yeah. Drew Brees and Bo Nix I don't know I mean Bo Nix is a way better athlete
than Drew Brees uh was um no question uh I don't see the the same type of accuracy but look
if you follow Bo Nix's career you saw just just an up and down career at Auburn where he was nearly benched.
And might have actually been benched if I remember.
And we should mention you're one of the world's preeminent SEC experts.
I've watched all of the guys.
I've watched all of the guys.
I've watched all of the games.
I've watched all of the snaps.
And Bo Nix was really embattled there for a long time in his career
at Auburn to a point to where it was almost a record room for Bo Nix
at a point like, oh, my God, what could have been?
Transfers to Oregon.
And Dan Lanning, to his credit, puts things around Bo Nix
to take advantage of his skill set.
But even still, the offense that they ran up there in Oregon,
there's a lot of passing out to
the sideline i mean there's a lot of it's a very college offense in terms of what he was what he
was uh what he was asked to do he just did not see first round draft pick bo nicks in his future
when he's leaving auburn you just did not see that. So he's five, fifth year senior.
Yeah.
Fifth year.
Everybody got a COVID year.
So I'm not sure how many years he was actually in, but yeah, it was fifth year.
Might have been six years.
Had 77% accuracy.
Look.
And Sean Payton, he just wants, Drew Brees is like the ideal for Sean Payton.
Just keep the chains moving.
You had it.
You root for the Saints. I did.
That's what he wants from a QB, which was so
interesting when he kind of, when they
moved toward the Jameis era, which is the opposite
of keep the chains moving.
The Drew situation is different.
Drew never had the biggest arm,
but a lot of that stuff was vertical.
A lot of that stuff was timing.
And I'm not,
I'm rooting for Bo N nicks it's just interesting to
see bo nicks and to a degree jj mccarthy both go on the first round both go at the top of the first
round yeah um uh obviously bo nicks was like he had fantastic numbers and all that but i just did
not think of bo nicks as a first round quarterbacking talent. Well, I sent you, Belichick was doing McAfee's show,
doing the draft stuff, and they showed
his best available board,
which his top
five was Caleb, Jaden Daniels,
Marvin Harrison, Malik
Neighbors, Drake May.
But apparently he was
a little critical of Drake May's footwork, but
Drake May's also 21. I don't think anyone
thinks he's a finished product. Then he had Rome 6,ck bauer seventh he had dallas turner eighth who ended up
going in the mid-teens reason i bring this up he had bo nicks 36 and he had michael pennix 37th
well michael pennix's thing is probably you know once again about the medical but when you look at
bo nicks at 36 if i remember correctly drew, the quarterback that he's being compared to there, went at the top of the second round.
Right.
Right.
And even like after a couple of years with the Chargers was still.
Figuring it out.
Yeah.
And he ended up, you know, he switched teams.
Miami almost got him.
Yeah.
Right.
But that was a shoulder injury situation.
It really wasn't until he got to New Orleans that he became Drew Brees.
He had a couple of, he had a couple of good years.
Yeah, he was.
I certainly never thought he was going to be a Hall of Famer.
No, the numbers got crazy.
But look, one thing about Sean Payton is he likes to get his guys in there.
Once he has a quarterback that he actually believes in,
he believes that he can take that quarterback
and that his system is so superior, his play calling is so superior,
that he can get that guy to the kind of numbers
he needs to get him to. Unless it's Russell Wilson.
He never believed in Russell Wilson.
So they pay all this money
to get rid of Russell Wilson.
And then they have the 12th pick in the
draft. After they've traded other picks for
Russell Wilson, they're going to have this huge
cap hit. And then on top of it,
now you roll the dice with Bo Nix.
Who, we'll see if he's better
than Russell Wilson right so that caught our attention um your guy neighbors yeah goes number
six and there was a lot of was Hamer Harrison Harrison who was a slam dunk as the best receiver
as we headed the whole draft process by the time we we got to this month, people were like, I don't know, Neighbors, Harrison.
He played for your favorite team.
Of course.
And now he's in New York City.
Now he's in New York City.
There's absolutely no way I can be objective about this.
I think that Malik Neighbors has a higher upside
than Marvin Harrison Jr.
You've said this the whole time.
Right, I do.
Here's the thing, though.
Marvin Harrison Jr You've said this the whole time. Right, I do. Here's the thing though. Marvin Harrison Jr.,
just the workload and
what he was able to do for the Ohio
State offense. I've said it on here before.
He earned his position
as the number one receiver
in the draft. Just the explosiveness,
the dynamic
ability after the catch,
the strength.
I mean, Marvin Harrison Jr. is much stronger than
he's a stronger player than Malik
Nabors, but when you have everything
that Malik Nabors has and the ability
to be a dog like he is,
he is, to me, a surefire all-pro
going into some of these years.
He's getting compared to Jamar Chase
and Tyreek Hill. And those are
the two names, which makes me think like, oh, this guy
would be,
I wouldn't have been bummed out if the Pats had traded back to six,
gotten a bunch of picks and ended up with him.
Right.
And just such a stack receiver draft too.
We talk about the quarterback draft is right now.
The stack receiver draft as well.
Well, your guy Thomas just went to the Jags.
We're taping this near the end of the first round.
He went to the Jags at 23,
which is amazing value for them, right?
They lose Ridley and they just get to move him in.
As we continue to try to prove
that Trevor Lawrence is a franchise QB.
They keep spending money on free agent receivers,
making trades,
spending first round picks on them.
And he's like a rich man's Mac Jones.
So here's the deal.
I'm tempted to believe something deep in my soul here.
About neighbors or Trevor Lawrence?
About Brian Thomas Jr.
Okay.
So the Brian Thomas Jr.
Another LSU guy.
Another LSU guy.
The Brian Thomas Jr. Malik neighbor situation, to me, is very reminiscent of the Jamar Chase and Justin Jefferson situation
now Brian Thomas Jr. is not the route runner that uh that Justin Jefferson is however he is
around 6'3 he ran 4'3 at the combine he led the nation in touchdown catches uh last year
there is a chance that that,
in terms of the receivers that have been drafted,
that he is actually the steal of the draft.
Well, you know what he has now.
What?
The fucking giant chip on his shoulder.
Right.
Not only did I go fourth, I went like deep fourth.
It went four, six, nine, 23.
Now, a lot of people that know LSU ball will say that a lot of the opportunities that he got
were because so much attention was being paid to him in the league.
But if you watch BTJ, BTJ is a dog, man.
Dead straightaway speed.
I was hoping the Pats were going to trade up from 35 to get him.
He is a
dog. He could easily, easily,
easily be the best pro.
Like him versus Rome,
you think, if you
were going to say who's better in five years, to you
it's a toss-up. It's a toss-up.
However, I don't want to take anything away from
these guys. No, you love all of these guys.
I'm just saying, it's not inconceivable.
It's not inconceivable at all
that Brian Thomas Jr.
ends up becoming the best
receiver in this draft
from the guys in the first round.
It's not inconceivable at all.
He is that type of talent.
And if you watch it at
LSU a lot of times, if you watch him
in some of these big games,
a lot of times BTJ watch him in some of these big games you know a lot of times BTJ was
holding things down and as his season went on and he picked up steam you started to hear his name
called as much as Malik's you start to see teams game plan for him a little bit more and I think
when he has an opportunity to be wide receiver one he's going to shock a lot of people with how
he's able to produce compared to those other guys.
Malik Nabors in New York City?
I think he's going to be an immediate fan favorite.
Yeah, he's got that right.
I mean, you could even see
from the draft.
Coolest guy in the draft.
You could just tell.
And he went third person on us.
He laid that out early.
He's like, look,
if you don't think
I'm going to call myself
Malik Nabors,
he went full name third person.
He went full name third person person. He went full name,
third person. And I think he did it two or three times in a row. He was like, yeah, these are the
type of people that made him an elite neighbors where Malik neighbors came from who Malik neighbors
is. Right. It was amazing. He was describing a Malik neighbor. He's from New Orleans.
It's from down in that area. Yeah. Yes. Um, let's take a break. More draft stuff to discuss all right we have a louisiana update on neighbors
yeah he's not he's from more like the lafayette area he's a 3-1-a boy i'll find out more in your
seven boys the 337 boy middle of the state you'll talk about it more in your pocket louisiana
podcast that we have that's in the stealth ringer what do you know about the 337 the middle of the
state they're like not a lot Lafayette the
real real my life never took me never invited me so let me tell you something about the 337 real
quick and I love this uh all my feet people in Lafayette New Iberia all these places like this
you think that the actual culture of Louisiana is exemplified by like New Orleans it's really
when you talk about food
and all of that stuff the real
cultural it's really right there in the
Acadiana. It's all the stuff the water boy captured.
Basically. That's what
it really is. It's really right there in the Acadiana.
Hardcore water boy Louisiana.
The 3180 I keep saying that because that's where I would
that's the north of the state. That's
up there the north side.
But I'm talking about the 3-3-7 right there in the middle,
Swampy and Lafayette, all of that stuff. I'm not giving any shine to the other schools across the basin,
but that's really kind of like the joint right up in there.
Are we going to cover this in New Orleans month on the rewatchables?
We should.
What's New Orleans month going to be?
So Heaven's Prisoners.
Heaven's Prisoners, can't wait.
Big Easy? The Big Easy. Of course the fuck with the big easy yeah uh tightrope with quinn eastwood
angel heart angel heart angel hearts that that's the one that might get the feed shut down
lewis cypher lewis cypher and Lisa Bonet. Oh my God.
A couple other things that happened in this draft that I thought was fun.
Well, I mean, we barely talked about my team
getting a quarterback, taking Drake May.
It was just three months of,
I really was through the torture chamber.
I was convinced they were going to fuck this up.
There was so much JJ McCarthy buzz.
And I don't know.
I just like Drake May.
I'm in.
Even watching him in the draft today,
I was like,
I like the way this guy carries himself.
I'm on the record as I think quarterback is 75%
how you deal with people and how you lead people.
And all these guys from a talent standpoint,
I know there's degrees to it and then
there's sometimes there's guys who are just like incredible right you know like mahomes like you
can't compare them to other people but when you're talking about like why guys succeed and fail i do
feel like the personality piece is a big piece of it you're leading these fucking dudes 80 000 people
the pressure of the moment being scouted getting the shit kicked out of you,
having people, you know, you're the pilot of the airplane. And if you can't fly the airplane,
if you're nervous, if you're like Denzel's partner in flight, the other guy, you don't want that guy,
you want Denzel. You want the guy who's like, he's had some cocktails and some cocaine yeah he can still fly the fucking plane upside down he knows he can do it yeah you don't want
to be the other guy the guy who's praying in the in the side seat so this is what i would say yeah
you definitely don't want to be the guy who has a strong religious background in prayer
oh stop okay so um this is what i would say i like like Drake May. I told you before I like Drake May.
I've always liked Drake May.
I think Drake May is a baller.
I think you like Drake May.
I do.
I also think that Bill Simmons has the strength of mind
to convince himself that Drake May is the savior of New England.
No.
You don't.
I am.
You have made yourself fall in love with Drake May.
I'm old enough to know that these quarterbacks,
you just want to get to like 70, 30, the guy might be your guy.
Because you don't.
You never know.
You never know.
Right.
I just don't want it to be 50, 50.
I want to get to like 70, 30, 75, 25.
And with him, the reasons that he's not going to make it
are if they threw him
in too soon,
if they never were able
to fix some of his mechanics.
But like,
from a physicality
and a physical standpoint,
he has it.
He's big enough.
His arm is strong.
He's a fucking gamer
and a half.
I like that he stayed loyal
to North Carolina,
that he didn't leave,
that he didn't go to Alabama
or wherever,
try to win the Heisman.
I like that he's a little brother.
I like that he's young.
I've covered all this stuff.
Hyper competitive.
Yeah.
Where it could go wrong is, you know,
you just throw him.
Like there's some quarterbacks that I still feel like
even now after their careers are over,
like I think Sam Bradford actually should have been
a good quarterback.
But he was for a little while.
He was okay.
Yeah.
But I think there's another world where he goes for a little while. He was okay. Yeah. But I think
there's another world where he goes to a much better situation and it works out amazing. I
think there's a world where Eli Manning could have sucked. Right. Like he just goes to Jacksonville
and gets a shit kicked out of him and he's out of the league in eight years. Situation,
when you get thrown into the fire, who your coaches are, what your weapons are.
Consistency, system, all of those things.
Yeah, and what division you're in.
In his case, cold weather, which is a little tougher,
but he's a physical specimen.
So, I don't know.
Then I look at Daniels.
I think Daniels is in a great situation.
You're a guy.
I think he's in a real good situation.
I think he's in a good situation for a lot of reasons.
I think he'll be embraced in D.C.
I think he's been through a lot.
It's funny. A lot of things that you
say about Bo Nix,
a lot of things
that I said about him, you could make the same
types of observations about
Jaden Daniels. You really could.
You could say that J you know jayden
daniels had an up and down career at arizona state his teammates celebrated at arizona state when he
left yeah that was weird right and then after he leaves um arizona state and he comes to lsu
he's with lsu for that first year and you can see that he's got tools there, but there were tons of questions about his ability
to push the ball down the field.
Jaden would not throw to the middle of the field.
I don't think he did last year that much either, right?
He did more so than he did before.
He likes the sides, and he likes to run.
Right, but you could see the anticipatory throws
in the middle of the field,
him just letting the ball go a little bit more
than he did the first year.
So no one had Jaden Daniels.
I mean, people were talking about whether or not he would be a first-round pick.
No one had this.
The explosion of what happened had to do with his familiarity with the offense
and really a lot of hard work.
So I'm very proud of him.
But I'm not going to act like he was a surefire.
I mean, he came in as a pretty touted prospect.
But after his first year at LSU, just to be honest with you,
a lot of fan base wanted him to leave
so that they could turn the keys over to Garrett Nussmeyer
and see what was going on there.
Well, you talk about percentages.
He's maybe same 70-30, 75-25,
but all the percentages on the downside would be,
can he stay healthy?
It's what happens when he gets racked up by somebody.
Even today, we were like stunned how skinny he was.
I mean, he looked, I made a joke.
He looked like, it was like Timothy Chalamet
at the Dune II movie premiere.
Like he's just skinny.
He's his.
And the thing is, he is small.
He is slight.
And we've seen him get slammed and knocked around a lot.
But he always got up, right?
Didn't have a ton of injury problems.
He got knocked out of a couple of games.
But for the most part, he was a gamer.
And when you called his number, he was there.
And he played a very aggressive style of football.
Jayden did not like to slide very much.
He liked to run sometimes to the middle of the field
to then break out towards the sidelines.
So he's a tough football player.
We dissected every Caleb Williams shot
that we had during the draft every time they showed him.
Did you see anything that made you like him less or more?
Nah, look, Caleb Williams is like ridiculously ridiculously talented i just watched a lot of the
games and in watching a lot of the games you saw a guy who uh as far as me i saw a lot of hero ball
um i saw it i wish for nothing more than the success of all of these kids, right?
All of these young men go out there and do your thing.
But like I always tell you, tell the story,
like me and Jomie are watching the game, shout out Jomie.
And I'm watching Caleb.
And maybe this is maybe more on Lincoln.
Maybe it has to do with some deficiencies of the SC roster.
I'm just watching Caleb like make simple plays hard to me.
And he's going to the NFL,
and if there's the structure there
to get him to play within that structure,
he could be a very, very successful quarterback.
But I think he's going to have to learn
some things about his game
to be the guy that they want him to be in Chicago.
Honestly,
I would rather have Drake May.
Interesting.
Yeah.
Of the three guys that were at the top of the draft,
of the three guys at the top of the draft,
I think Drake May is going to be the last guy who gets an opportunity,
but I think he's going to be the most successful quarterback
of the three well caleb's in the best situation out of those three probably now he's got dj more
in rome yeah offensive line seems solid enough for a rookie qb compared to what other people
have seen their defense is good i think some people would have thought with a decent qb this
year they might have been a playoff team, because the second half of the year they were better.
And that's it.
And to Justin Fields,
the second half of the year he played better.
Yeah.
Yeah.
So good situation for him.
Other subplots,
JJ McCarthy goes 10th.
Yeah.
To Minnesota.
Yeah.
My wife happened to join us for the three minutes when they were doing JJ
McCarthy stuff. And she was like, he's minutes when they were doing J.J. McCarthy stuff
and she was like he's so
cute
so I think that helps his stock
I was surprised after that that he fell to 10th
but you know
he's got the charisma
he's got something
but you were
he pulled up draft boards
when I asked a question on Twitter, I was being 100% serious.
When I asked the question on Twitter, what is with the, not the resurgence,
what's with the surge of J.J. McCarthy and, like, how he's flying up draft boards,
I really wanted to know, like, what was happening.
When you looked at the team,
it seems as if they were a team that didn't ask their quarterback to do very much.
He made a lot of big plays.
It seemed like they were a team
that didn't ask their quarterback to do very much.
Well, our friend Noah,
who's watched every Michigan game,
was saying this guy came through every time.
And he did.
But for him to be as highly touted
as he was in terms of his place in the first round and where he went i think that has a little bit
more to do with us being in the age of the quarterback yeah that it does to do with like
anything he did when he when he was at michigan because he just wasn't asked to do that much
he wasn't asked to do that much even with what i asked to do that much. Even with what I said about Bo Nix, the numbers that Bo Nix put up,
even if the offense was tailor-made for him to have a high completion percentage
and all that stuff, the numbers were still crazy.
McCarthy's weren't really.
And they had a punishing run game.
And they grinded teams out.
They were like a python the way Michigan was.
But people are looking at it. grinded teams out. They were like a python the way Michigan was. But
people are looking at it. They're looking
at intangibles and they're looking at
what a guy can do and they're thinking that they can build a stable
offense around him. I like his situation too.
Kevin O'Connell. Yeah.
Justin Jefferson. I thought
Addison was really good last year.
And then Minnesota, they got
Dallas Turner too, who everybody was saying
was one of the three best defensive players in the draft.
So they're feeling good.
I thought that was a nice spot for him.
The only other thing that stood out from the first 20 picks
was just the offensive tackles.
And I've been saying this forever.
I just didn't understand why the draft never mirrored
what actually happens
once these guys become older, what we see in free agency. Because you get to free agency when these
guys are four or five, six years in, and what always happens? Nobody can get a left tackle.
Everyone just re-signs the left tackle they have if the guy's good, right? Or even the right tackle,
like Sewell on the Lions just signed a huge deal. If you get a tackle, that guy
stays on your team
forever unless
either he had some injury or
there was some major cap issue
and maybe they jumped.
Whereas Bowers,
I just never was buying that he was going
in the top 10 because we've just seen these
teams getting burned by tight
ends getting taken that high.
And tight end just isn't as important of a position as left tackle. If I get a left tackle,
I'm always going to want a left tackle over a tight end. I don't care if the tight end is,
you basically have to be Gronk or Kelsey to justify it.
Well, I mean, look, you got Kittle, you got Andrews, you got a lot of guys,
a lot of tight ends that are huge, huge, important parts.
They don't make as much money as left tackles.
No, left tackles definitely won.
Left tackles make shitloads of money because if you have a good one, you want to keep the guy on your team.
I know, but we're talking about Brock fucking Bowers, bro.
I know, so you have to explain how good he is to me.
Brock Bowers is a fucking animal, bro.
He is literally, to me, he had some injury problems as well in and out of the lineup and stuff but when you
look at the type of athletic specimen that brock bowers is he could almost be dominant wherever
you put him you were saying you would use him like as a mike all start running back everyone
i'm saying that you could i'm saying that if you if you got to a situation like third and one you
just put him in the back right like if you had to if you had to payton hillis yeah or mike alls not him he could literally be an all pro at that position dynamic
with the ball in his hands strong ridiculously athletic and can catch the ball like like crazy
he's like a different type of those talents don't come don't come around very often yeah well
unfortunately went to the raiders you can make an argument at some points that brock bowers when he's healthy that he might
have been the best player in all the college football wow i'm serious like he's that good
well it does seem like everybody wised up this year to the sense of oh what are the two most
important positions quarterback and left tackle yeah well let's just take those until
we're until the basically the draft drops off then we'll grab the other positions it was
interesting because i remember two years ago when the pats took cole strange and it was like
all right we took a guard. But then when I watch free agency, guards go for like a couple million bucks.
Or it's like, oh, Kansas City, they found this guard.
It's his seventh team, and now he's starting in the Super Bowls.
This is a great story.
It's like, why would we take a guard in the first round?
You know?
Like, why not take positions that are hard to get?
Like receiver, tackle.
That's, I think, one of the reasons running backs have fallen off.
All right, before we go,
you had some thoughts on the draft telecast in the rooms.
I'm just going to clear the floor for you.
It's funny.
The draft is always a talking point in the black Twitter sphere
because if you're following on black Twitter right now, you're seeing a phenomenon in the black Twittersphere because if you're following on black Twitter right now,
you're seeing a phenomenon in the draft.
You're seeing
very prominent black athlete
with white girlfriend.
And every time we see it, we laugh.
There's one particular situation right now.
So it starts this morning.
It starts this evening with Caleb.
Caleb walks out there he's got
his beautiful blonde lady with him and they like one tweet was like caleb already getting ready
for success look right there he already got the white girl he had to have played one slap snap yet
and then there's it's funny because i don't care how i don't give a fuck y'all can't tell me that race
isn't funny sometimes i don't give a fuck you can't tell me that it's not funny to see a whole
family full of black people and sometimes you know they're like west african and stuff like that
so everybody got dashiki on and they're wearing all of this shit. And then in the middle of there, right in the middle, there is a Becky, a Barbara, a Suwan, a motherfucking Jenny right there.
That's fucking funny.
I don't give a fuck.
And the mamas always try to like make a little barrier.
Like, yo, look at it right now.
I can't remember which brother it is, the brother that got drafted.
And his girl is literally trying to reach for him to hug him.
And mom is kind of keeping her off to the level.
But I find the girlfriend angle of the draft.
Yeah.
Always really hilarious because for these girlfriends that are with these guys right now,
it's both probably the best and at the same time,
the most nerve wracking night of their life.
Because they got to hold on now.
Right.
Not only are there guys going into the big leagues,
they going into the big leagues too.
They're not competing.
This is Haney against Garcia.
You're just grabbing around the waist.
Exactly. You're trying to figure out...
Trying to get the ref to help out.
Only a couple of these guys
had it like that.
If you were Caleb Williams,
you could have run the IG streets and made
the whole thing pop. But some of these
linemen and some of these defensive guys,
they didn't have it like that. Ain't nobody know
who they were. So now... Do you think this should have been an alt cast on espn you know there's
all cast the girl studying studying the girl you remember a couple years ago where cd lamb
his girl who are the announcers for the girlfriend cast oh this is easy is big rage on this big rage
dre and michelle like you got big rage dre, Dre and Michelle. You can have a couple of different people in there.
Throw them in there.
Like, the girlfriend cast.
Just the whole thing is just watching the girlfriends.
Watching them try to get next to the guys and stuff.
And the mom-girlfriend reactions.
Mom-girlfriend reactions.
And then sometimes there's a sister who gets a little elbow-y.
Sometimes there's a sister who will, like, look, bitch, you ain't been around.
Right.
You just got here six months ago. Yeah, you ain't been around. Right. You just got here six
months ago. Yeah, you just got here
before the draft. Get out of here.
And now, it's like I'm saying, now these
girls got to compete with everybody. They got to
compete with the pop singers, the
cast of Loving Hip Hop Miami.
They got to compete with everything
on IG, everything on Twitter.
Do you think they root for the guy to
go to like a smaller
city? Yes! Right?
It's like, oh, he got drafted by Jacksonville. Yes!
Love it! What are you
talking about? Green Bay?
That's the number one
like, that's the number
one destination.
LA, New York, Miami,
like these places,
you gotta,
woo,
it's a lot of Thunder Kittens out there, baby.
It's different.
Girlfriend cast.
Girlfriend cast works.
We'll work on this for next year.
Definitely.
Sponsored by Fando Sportsbook.
Fando, good to see you.
No problem, brother.
Thanks.
All right, that's it for the podcast.
Thanks to Van Lathan
and J. Kyle Mann. Thanks to Van Lathan and Jay Kyle,
man.
Thanks to Kyle Creighton and Steve Cerruti for producing as always.
And I will see you on Sunday night with someone.
Enjoy the weekend.
I don't have.
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