The Bill Simmons Podcast - Mavericks Fans Revolt, ‘SNL 50’ Guesses, Oscars Watch, and Super Bowl Leftovers With Bryan Curtis and Matt Belloni

Episode Date: February 11, 2025

The Ringer's Bill Simmons is joined by Bryan Curtis to discuss lingering Super Bowl LIX thoughts (2:58), as well as the Luka Doncic trade from the POV of a longtime Mavericks fan (22:07). Then Bill talks with Matt Belloni about the highly anticipated 'SNL 50' show (59:00), Oscars predictions, Justin Baldoni vs. Blake Lively, Hollywood's relationship with President Trump the second time around, and much more (01:20:45). Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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as well. You can watch a lot of the videos and clips from this podcast and the Bill Simmons YouTube channel. This is a big episode for us because this is our first video episode of the Bill Simmons podcast on Spotify. Every episode from now on will be a video episode on Spotify. You can put it on your phone.

You can just listen to it. You can pull your phone out. You can watch it. You can go on your smart TV, your PS5, your Roku, your Apple TV, wherever you wanna get it. Watch it on the Spotify app. Whatever you wanna do, knock yourself out. We are a video podcast from now on.

I've had this podcast since 2007. Shopify app, whatever you want to do, knock yourself out. We are a video podcast from now on. I've had this podcast since 2007, so year 18. It's basically now, I guess, a TV show, a very low budget TV show, as you can see with my hastily put together posters behind me. This podcast, really fun episode, Brian Curtis talking Super Bowl, Luca Trade, day 10, still going,

and then Matt Bellany talking SNL 50, the Oscars, Lively versus Baldoni, most famous celebrity right now. A lot of good stuff, it's all next. First, we couldn't lose them on the video podcast, our friends from Pearl Jam. All right. Editor-at-large of The Ringer, Brian Curtis is here. We're recording on a Tuesday morning action-packed a lot of Brian's interests are in play And we're gonna talk about the Mavericks and one of the craziest NBA situations in a long time

But we'll start quickly with the Super Bowl. Hey newsflash the Cowboys didn't win another Super Bowl It's what over over three decades since the last time we did have the Eagles when we had the end of my homes We had a lot of Mahomes. We had a lot of takes. Sal and I were doing stuff on Sunday night about, Mahomes getting kicked off Cote Island! What was the media reaction yesterday? What jumped out to you?

What did you enjoy? Well, I think we had a little bit of a Chiefs take crisis with the Super Bowl before the game. We did. Did you see all the people trying to make the chiefs into villains? Like the pats, like the nineties, Yankees. Yeah. And they're not villains.

They're just not, they're not hated on that scale yet. I don't believe. And people try to, you know, Oh, we're, we're tired of them. We're pissed off at Taylor Swift. The refs are in their pocket and they were just trying to get us there that we all hated the Chiefs and were rooting against them. But I don't actually believe that was the case. I think we might be a little tired of them being good. We might've been kind of annoyed at the way they won games this year, but I don't think they're hated at all. And then my favorite bill was you

got to- Wait, hold on on that though. Who was the best, who was central casting for best villain? Was it just Duke basketball in the nineties? Who was just the easiest to put right in there? Because even the Yankees, like, I hated the Yankees, but I was like, all right, Jeter, I kind of like, he seems like a nice guy. You know, there was, it was more the fan base than the team itself.

Duke basketball seemed like that was the easiest one. Duke was at the top of the scale. The Yankees had the thing where they were outspending everybody and kind of everybody that they were ruining baseball. So I think that was mixed in there. Yeah, yeah, when you're ruining stuff, that's always a good one.

I'm trying to think who else. Like the Pats, because of the Spygate, I felt like that. In the first three Super Bowls, people were like, all right, enough with these guys. But it was a little like the Chiefs thing. But then when SpyGate happened, then they became criminals basically, and that moved it to another level.

And then they had a hateable coach, which is another thing the Chiefs lacked. Like people don't hate Andy Reid. No. They just don't. Bell Belichick was hateable, probably still is hateable in his own way, even as he's tried to rehabilitate his image all year. But I think with the Chiefs, people are just like, yeah, okay.

They had the Taylor Swift thing, a lot of Kelsey, a lot of both Kelsies. A lot of commercials. They were moving a little bit toward the Trump side of stuff, which I think a couple of people ruffled up. But for the most part, I don't know. I my my biggest issue with them was they made it so unfun to talk about the Super Bowl, which we talked about on Saturday night,

where it's just like, if you pick them, you kind of feel it. You just say, oh, Andy raised my home. You had no other reason. If you didn't pick them, you felt like an idiot. So it was, I think, the worst Super Bowl to talk about since I've been doing this. I think so, but I, like you, talked myself into

the Chiefs are gonna win it. Right. It's gonna be a close game. It was the first time I ever got slaughtered on a Super Bowl and didn't feel bad really at all. I was like, what are you gonna do? You can't go get some game. What was the other thing you were gonna say

about the villain thing? Well, I was just saying like by, once the villain thing kind of didn't work out, that you heard this amazing take on ESPN and elsewhere, people said, don't be tired of the Chiefs. Appreciate greatness when it's in front of you. Yeah. And I was like, what a counterintuitive take.

You should appreciate a great football team. Whoa, whoa. Good tech. Go settle down guys. What was it like as a TV viewer for the Brady Mahomes experience? Brady announcing the game where Mahomes' goat resume got knocked backwards by about four years.

So it was a little bit weird, right? First of all, Brady actually got to go to the meetings this week. And apparently I was told there was a scene in one of the meetings where he and Mahomes were just sitting off by themselves talking. And people in the meeting, Fox producer was like, look at that. I mean, that's kind of awesome. These two dudes just talking football.

It was just one of those moments where you're like, whoa, goat plus goat. Well, almost goat talking to each other about football. But then it gets to the game and Mahomes just sucks at the beginning of the game. He was terrible. You nailed this on Sunday night. So Brady, I thought,

never got to talk about Mahomes greatness in an interesting way. And at the same time he kind of made a mistake because he didn't really kill Mahomes. He was talking about how good the Eagles defense was. Well, and that's where Romo or probably Romo, but I think Aikman would have been the best cause Aikman just doesn't give a shit anymore. Aikman I think probably would have been the hardest on him, right? I think so. But you been the hardest on him, right? I think so. But you know what? One thing you could tell with Brady this year, and this is kind of one of the most fascinating subplots of Brady announcer experiment, was

you could tell what quarterbacks he liked and what quarterbacks he didn't, and what quarterbacks he thought didn't measure up. Jaylen Hurts, by the way, was in the second category. Every Jaylen Hurts game, he would say, Jalen Hurts is better when he gets the ball out of his hands quickly. Yep, and he would get mad when he held it too long and got sacked or had to run out, sort of out of bounds, Brady would be exasperated. Which is a nice way of saying he's pretty limited, right?

He can do certain things, but he can't do other things. What happens during the Super Bowl, Jalen Hurts kind of balls out. He plays better than Patrick Mahomes. So you could feel Brady really processing that in real time. And he sort of got, well, he has a great instinct on when to leave the pocket because he was beating all those rushes and blitzes, right? By running. And he kind of got himself there.

He gave Hurts his due. I don't want to say he didn't do that, but that was just funny to hear in real time. Yeah. And it seems like after 48 hours, the, uh, the second level analysis stuff is, whoa, the Eagles actually like go the 2000 Ravens and some of the other great Superbowl teams, let's, where do they go? Where do they rank ahead of them? And then it feels like people are kind of test driving some home stuff. And even people in my life where it's like,

eh, are we sure? Are we sure? Like, just because they pulled out all these close games, like, why don't they have explosive plays anymore? The guy's about to hit 30. Could you say he peaked a couple years ago just as an explosive, awesome quarterback? Like, there's always all these excuses around them. Are we sure?

Which I remember hit Brady in the late two thousands too. We had, there was some, are we sure stuff? So I don't think anyone feels really committed to anything. The biggest thing that shocked me. And I feel like I say this every year and it feels like it's even, it just speeds up by probably an hour every year, but going back, we both loved like sports all straight in the 80s. The Super Bowl would happen.

People would talk about it. It would be on Sports Center for four straight days. And then the Sports Illustrated will come out on Thursday with like the final statement of the game. And then that started to shrink as the internet came and it kept shrinking. It kept shrinking. But even like when I was at ESPN,

Sal and I used to do like Monday afternoon recaps of the Super Bowl. Then that became Monday mornings. Then eventually we're just going immediately as fast as we could after the game. And now it feels like the shelf life to discuss the Super Bowl is... 18 hours? Is it longer than that? Like does anyone... Even us leading the podcast with this today, I want to do it because I love talking about all the all the ancillary stuff with you, but it's like, is it too late? Is it too late to talk about the Super Bowl on a Tuesday morning?

I totally agree. I watched the late sports center on Sunday night after I was, I think right before I listened to you. And at that moment I was kind of like, am I done with the Super Bowl? Is this it? Yeah. Yeah. Like we had a pod to do the next day, but I was like, have I consumed everything I'm going to consume about the Eagles beating the

Chiefs? And the answer is almost yes. I think I had because I mean, here's the other part of that. You just consume so much now. I mean, you had to wait till Thursday with that SI thing to get all the details and you know, what was Vic Fangio like in the locker room afterwards? I mean, she'll wrote that, you wrote that for us right away. So in a way, it was just all kind of there for us, so we don't really need to wait.

And there's no like, nobody's parachuting in on like Monday at 3 p.m. with this amazing angle that nobody's thought of. You kind of know what all the angles are gonna be by 10 p.m. on Sunday night, PT. I think the one exception was remember that year Peter King went and hung out with Tom Brady and Giselle, I don't know what all the angles are gonna be by, you know, 10 p.m. on Sunday night. PT. I think the one exception was remember that year Peter King went and hung out with Tom Brady and Gisele at, was it Montana?

Up in the cabin like a week later. Right. It feels so old school now, but like, yeah, we're with Brady and he's reflecting on the game and giving me like an hour. That was, that, that, even that I don't think he would do anymore. I actually felt like the Halftime show and the Kendrick Drake stuff and how polarized in that show ended up being almost became more

of a theme on Monday, at least on my text threads and the stuff I was reading, it was more interesting to read how people were receiving stuff, the hidden meanings behind some of the stuff Kendrick did on the halftime and Serena being in it. That one had these levels that kept getting revealed that used to be how the Super Bowl operated.

Totally, because what player are we talking about in the Super Bowl? Nothing from the second half. Maybe that Mahomes picked six, which effectively ended the game in retrospect. By the way, you mentioned the Mahomes takes. I wanna go there with you. Because it feels like Mahomes will work himself into a nobody believes in me.

New cycle because just enough doubt, even if it's bullshit, just enough doubt. And also bill Jalen hurts. Think about this. What were people talking about Sunday night, Monday morning, the Eagles defense. This was a win for the Eagles defense. So the Galen hurts both win the super bowl MVP and pull off the unprecedented double play of being a nobody believed in me guy. Has that ever happened before?

Probably, probably Brady somewhere in the first three super bowls where it was all Belichick and all the defense and Brady was kind of the supporting character in a lot of ways. I think would be the only other time I can remember that happening. He was seen as an facilitator. He was so good. He was great.

I mean, they basically put the game in his hands and dared him to beat them. And he did that. With the Mahomes stuff, there's a couple fun wrinkles that could come out. He could go the, you know, the NBA player route. Like if this was LeBron and the Mahomes spot, we'd already be getting the leaks about he needs more help.

They didn't find him anyone this year. When Rashid Rice went out, they could have done this, that, and the other thing. They knew Kelsey was getting old. They've got to do more. He took less money. It would be, they'd have done this, that, and the other thing. They knew Kelsey was getting old. They've got to do more. He took less money. It would be, they'd basically make him a victim. Wait, I thought you were going to say he was secretly injured. When you said LeBron, I thought I had a secret injury.

I didn't let it out. That would be another one too. Yeah. He had, he had like a quad injury. He couldn't push off his right foot. Yeah. They would be, they'd be doing all that stuff, but it, it kind of doesn't seem like Mahomes, not only does he not do that stuff, but he always seems at peace,

win or lose after the game. Right. I, we never see that stuff about, oh, this year, Patrick Mahomes is different. He's just, he's pretty, pretty even keeled, which I think you have to be as a quarterback. The interesting thing to me, which we talked about Sunday night was I really do think Kelsey was going to retire if they won and the Kelsey will he or will he not retire, I think will be fun. But just in general, like it's really hard to keep these windows open. You know, with, uh, with NFL teams, we went through it with the Patriots a few different times.

It all depends on the drafts. Some people wrote some good pieces about, you know, they missed on their left tackle pick this year. You know, Rashid Rice, which would have been this awesome wide receiver pick for him, they met and so you can just tilt it a little bit or all of a sudden you're catchable. And I think that was the thing that changed the most coming out of this season was like the chiefs not only feel super catchable now. We don't have to do the thing where we just hand them the game

when we're talking about it. Now it's like football has opened up for analysis. So I'm excited for that from a, from a Superbowl standpoint, the Brady Fox thing at the end, $375 million, whatever it is. They certainly got a lot of ink and publicity and podcast content. He was able to go on some of the Fox shows. Uh, he had a couple of decent moments, like in traditional podcast interview stuff. I don't think from a game thing, I wouldn't even put him in the

top eight game guys I heard. He's got this weird Vegas minority stake and he's allegedly hiring the coach and he's involved in their draft. Like, is there a chance just this, just this is it? This is a one and done? I don't think so. I don't think, I don't think he sees it like that. I mean just this, just this is it. This is a one and done. I don't think so. I don't think, I don't think he sees it like that. I mean, that's from me poking around.

He's, I think he's, he's into this. I mean, first of all, the NFL doesn't care about the Vegas thing, you know, other than the meetings and by the way, let's see where we are in year two with the meetings, because I'm not convinced that my, that wouldn't change in year two. I think there's, there's a potential, there's potential for that to, to be switched up by Goodell and everything after they've gone through that one year of this with him limited.

If you're him, you're getting $37.5 million to work for six months, work hard for six months, but work for six months. The NFL has said, we don't care if you're a minority owner of the Raiders. It doesn't matter. I got to ask him on Super Superbowl week what his role with the Raiders was. And he didn't tell me and he didn't provide any detail about that. So I was like, okay. So he's not going to tell us at least for now about what he's doing with the Raiders doesn't have to come clean about it.

I mean, it seems like a pretty good deal to me. I have been told pretty explicitly. It's too much money. There's no way he walks away, it's too much money. There's no way he walks away. It's too much money. And this is one thing I think people forget with the, like the super duper famous celebrities.

It's expensive to be a super duper famous celebrity. Cause he, everywhere you go, you're paying for like some private jet. You know, in his case, he got divorced. Like it's as much case, he got divorced. As much money as he's made, he still needs way more money to sustain the lifestyle he does, and this is a $37.5 million check every year.

He's not giving it up if he doesn't have to. It's not that hard of a job. It's 22 weeks. You study one game. You fly to the site. You have to keep in touch with the league a little bit, but not really. The stunning thing to me is Belichick.

I, you know, this is not a midlife crisis because he's in his mid seventies, but even he was at Super Bowl, you know, he was at a couple parties. He was walking around his girlfriend. We saw him at the fanatics party on Saturday. It's just surreal. This guy who was wearing this, you know, saggy hoodie on the sidelines, who just could care less what anyone thought. Now he's in the Dunkin' Donuts commercial

with the girlfriend, and this girlfriend's five years older than my daughter. There was a lot of like, what the fuck is going on with this guy's stuff in New Orleans over the weekend? And he was wearing all the rings. And wearing all the rings, which he never, it's the kind of thing he just never used to do.

Just as if to remind the NFL, I won all these rings and you didn't hire me again. Right. I'm really starting to wonder, this is a working theory, I'm not done with it yet, but like, 75 and up are just all bets off. It's just,

like literally are all bets off. We're talking about owners. Because in sports as fans, we have to deal with so many old people. And we all have old people in our family. You could see what happens as they hit their 70s and then their 80s. And the judgment just gets a little nuts. And I just wonder with Belichick, like I just, I can't believe some of this. I really find it hard to believe he's coaching North Carolina too. I get it. I understand why he did it.

He didn't want to deal with owners anymore. He just wants to be a coach, all that stuff. But yet at the same time, he's seems like the celebrity aspect of this has become really appealing to him, which I never in a million years would have guessed. Interesting to watch that because Nick Saban's kind of done the same thing in the college level. And there's another guy who you're like, why would he care about this? But you know what you go on those podcasts, you go on the TV shows, go on the manning cast, everybody butters you up. You know, how many times did Bill Belichick get buttered up by media

people when he was with the Pats last? He didn't want to never dealt with them. And then he had this really strange relationship with his owner and just kind of kept his little, it was just basically in a cave, just, you know, going through film. Yeah. It's like the ESPN car wash, except it's, you know, not interviewing you. It's just telling you how great you are all the time. Really strange. It was the whole thing. I thought that was the weirdest subplot of the weekend.

Then the funny other funny thing that I immediately thought of you. We always call it the Friday news dump. to subplot of the weekend. Um, then the funny other funny thing that I immediately thought of you, we always call it the Friday news dump. What the Sixers did with the Joel Embiid information that they held and held and held and pushed out right after the Eagles won the Superbowl. It was, I don't even, what do we call it? This is a new level of news dump. The Superbowl title. We didn't want to bum out our city.

This was our only chance to put this out. News dump. What is this? We clogged the toilet so much. We, the toilet wasn't fixable. We just had to throw it away. We had to put it on the curb. Why is there yellow tape and a door locked in the guest bathroom?

Ah, don't go in there. Unprecedented. The best news dump, I think, ever. I never, ever remember a team pulling that off better. This crazy and beat article where it's like, yeah, I'm probably never gonna be healthy again. I may need surgery. I shouldn't have played the Olympics.

It turns out all that. It's like, oh my God, if they put that on on a Tuesday, it would have been like a 36 hour story. Instead, it just kind of came and went in 10 seconds. Totally. Even during Super Bowl week, that would have been huge for a day. Right.

It would have distracted us all. What's your favorite news dump ever? I think that might have been mine. That's a really good one. I get it. You're gonna have to give me a minute on that one, but that's a good one. All right, answer that on Press Box on Thursday.

Do your top five news dumps on the Press Box pod. I remember last year when he had all the amazing political stories and American stories. There was this thing on Twitter, it was like, if you have anything, now's the time. Send the press release, just bring it out. No one will notice. I remember when I was working on my HBO show

and we were doing the test shows, and it was like three weeks before the show launched and the guy who hired me to do the show, Michael Lombardo, um, and he was a huge advocate and like three weeks before it was like Friday afternoon, like three 15 in the afternoon and all the sudden the stuff was out that he was out at HBO and it was like, it was the only time I'd ever really experienced the Friday News dump. It was so perfectly calculated to just kind of

sneak into the weekend with it. I was like, oh, this is how you do it. This is it. Because any other day or moment, this would have been the biggest Hollywood story. And they were like, eh, this is happening right here. It still happens. We're gonna take a break and then we'll come back

and we gotta talk about this incredible Mavericks situation. All right, so Kurt, you're from Texas. You're a lifelong Cowboys fan. You're a lifelong Mavericks fan, maybe not as much, but a student of the Mavericks that have been in your life. It's been a rocky road. There's been a lot of ups and downs.

Everything peaked in 2011 with Dirk DeW Nowitzki and probably winning the title, beating Wade and LeBron and Bosz. And it got weird over the course of the decade. They miraculously ended up with Luka Doncic. Cuban sells the team last year. They just seem like if you're picking six franchises you want to be for the next 10 years, they would have been one of the six because they had Luca out of nowhere. They trade them in the most shocking, craziest trade in the history of the NBA. And just when you think, all right, maybe this will settle down. It just hasn't. It just keeps going up a level and up a level and up a level.

What just your big picture watching this from afar. Holy shit. What is your take? I feel like, uh, quoting that notorious Darren Revelle tweet, this is terrible for Dallas, but this is tremendous content. Because you recognize the pain, and I have never seen Dallas people this emotionally gutted. Wait, so even like Cowboys, Super Bowl losses, nothing?

Well, it's okay. So maybe not gutted, but just angry. Like there've been a lot of angry Jerry moments over the last 30 years. I was in middle school when they fired Tom Landry. I was in high school when Jimmy Johnson got axed by Jerry. I remember those were just crazy city-wide moments of like, what the hell just happened?

But I've never seen the anger like I've seen over the last week and change. Just pissed off. I mean, like visiting even with Dallas sports radio guys. And by the way, Monday was one of the last Monday, one of the all time sports radio days in Dallas history and probably American history when they were coming back and doing their shows. Oh, and that morning and through the afternoon. Yeah, you were getting your first time to talk about it. And I was like, you know, even going up to them, wow, what a day, huh?

And they just look like gutted. I mean, you know, because everything changes, you know, this, this guy you loved, this person you were close to the fact that it was done by Nico Harrison and Patrick Dumont will probably get into here in a second and the way it was done. And for what they got, I mean, every piece of it is just absolutely infuriating and gutting. Well, and then this next level would happen at the home game yesterday where people are getting booed and they're removing fans, which removing fans for not, not doing anything that bad.

They're just like being fans. Like they, like I've never seen people get pulled out of the arena for the stuff that they got pulled out of last night. Have you? Yeah. Did you see the one guy, right? So they're doing Mav's karaoke.

Yeah. And they come in real close, like a close up on him. And he says fire Nico. And then the camera goes, whoop. Right. It was almost like he flashed, like he pulled it out. Had a zipper. Absolutely.

And then they just got, they were just dumping fans, which is, that's the worst thing you could do. Like it's, not only did they do this crazy trade, but they don't seem to understand like how angry it's made people and they don't really seem that interested in quelling the anger. It's like they're just taking gasoline and pouring it on the fire.

You get escorted out of the arena for saying fire Nico, for saying fire the GM? Are they gonna escort the sports riders out of press row who wrote the same thing? I mean, why is that not a valid opinion? Well, the other weird thing, and this kind of speaks to the incompetence behind the trade, how did they not anticipate any of this?

Like they're in Dallas. Like Nico Harrison has been involved with the Mavericks longer than the owner. But he's there, he sees how popular Luka is. You go to any Mavericks game, it's Luka jerseys everywhere. I mean, I would say it's a top four fans wearing the jersey of the best player NBA city. It's just everywhere.

And little kids everywhere, 77, just everywhere. There was a couple, when I was going to the finals, there was a couple Dirk's, a couple old school Mav stuff, but for the most part it was just Luca. It's like a fucking Luca army. This was their guy, they've had him since he was 18, they thought they were gonna have him until he was 40. So to not anticipate that part of it is like,

man, I really think this makes us slightly better, but my life is going to suck for the rest of the time I live here. Just that alone. And then you have Polinka on the other end going, yeah, we got to keep this quiet. Nobody can find out because he knows the moment it leaks out, the Mavs fans are going to basically riot. It's it's I've never seen anything like this from a hubris slash lack of awareness Dating back unless you go back to like the 80s when the league was you know Everyone was on cocaine and the league was fucking crazy and the teams were worth 12 million dollars and weird shit happened This is like out of the 80s. Yeah, how about Jason Kidd, no postgame presser last night? Wasn't that great?

Which everyone was saying this has never happened before with any Mavs team. We've never seen a coach just skip the presser. We're taping this, it's 10 o'clock PT. We might find out today Davis is out for like two months. Yeah. I mean, that was also kind of a news dump in Super Bowl too. A wait, AD is actually hurt.

I mean, the whole thing, I mean, you say like he didn't anticipate it, but I feel like he did to some extent because I feel like the secrecy was driven by Palenque, as you say, so there were no other offers, no other suitors, but I think Harrison kept it quiet too, because he didn't want to face the backlash. He knew it would get crushed. So in the way, like you were kind of anticipating of it, maybe not anticipating how big it would get crushed. So in the way, like you were kind of anticipating it, but maybe not anticipating how big it would be. Right.

Well, this has, I mean, the Patrick Dumont piece of this, as it's evolved. I wrote down the funniest outcomes of the Luka trade so far. Here we go. And it's a long list. Everyone made this point, but a trade so bad, people thought Shams got hacked. Let's just start there.

That's never happened before in the history of professional sports, where we assumed the best reporter of a sport got hacked. Polinka dressing like a Fast and Furious villain for the Post-Trade Conference, I loved. Just like decked out, like he was about to do a concert in New Zealand with it. Like he used to be in about to do a concert in New Zealand with it. Like he, like he used to be on a new kids in the block and now he's got a solo career.

I love this one. Everyone's still pretending that Jason Kidd, JJ Reddick, LeBron, Rich Paul, and Anthony Davis didn't know about the trade. This is my favorite. They're still doing it. It's like, this is like playhouse theater. If people think Jason Kidd didn't know about the trade. This is my favorite. They're still doing it. It's like, this is like playhouse theater. If people think Jason kid didn't know about this trade, I got like a bridge to sell you. It's unbelievable that they're still pushing this. AD and we talked about this the day after the, uh, on this pod, the day after the trade, like any wave, this trade kicker and gave up $5.9 million in like 40 minutes to make

the trade work. There's no way he didn't know. It's impossible. He has this huge house out here in LA. He loved being on the Lakers. He had to have known. All these people knew and they're still doing it all these days later. Well, it was so important. We had to just keep it between the owners and Nico and Rob. And that that was all it couldn't get out. Why couldn't it get out? Why? Because you knew the Mavericks fans were going to fucking riot if it got out because it was so fucking stupid.

That's why I couldn't get out. Totally. They tried to square the circle at that Nico press conference, which was also one of the great moments in this whole thing where he said, J-Kid didn't know, but we were aligned on the vision. Right. Well, but then they said he didn't know to the 11th hour. It's like, you mean the 11th hour of a 24 hour day?

Cause there's no fucking way you traded Luca without telling Jason Kade and talking him through it. Like, first of all, that's, that's insane. If you're running a basketball team and you're not going to walk through all the mechanics of here's door A and here's door B. And also like they were complaining about Luca behind the scenes for like two years. And there's no way Jason Kidd wasn't a huge part of this trade. And by the way, Jason Kidd, not exactly the most stand up dude over the years.

Like this is the guy who stabbed Brooklyn in the back so he could get the Milwaukee job. Like he's, he's left the trail of bodies everywhere. Like the nets in 2007, all of a sudden he got out of there. Like, this is not like Mr. Loyal, awesome team employee guys. So I, I've just give me a break on that. Um, and then LeBron, like the way he reacted to the trade after, like if they, if they really blindsided on this, there's no way, no way that he

reacts the way he did, which was like, Oh yeah, well wait and see. I just think everybody knew this was better. This was a better situation for LeBron. It actually gave him a chance to win a title. It was better for AD to go to Dallas. Anyway, that was one of my favorites. Uh, we mentioned Nico saying they kept the trade talks quiet because neither side wanted it to leak.

You mean you didn't want it to leak because the moment it got out, there no way the fan base would let you do it. Patrick DeMont's interview over the weekend when he said Kobe was a culture builder. Even though Kobe's coach in 2005 wrote an entire book about how awful it was to coach Kobe. And then Shaq was the guy who was always in shape. Shaq's work ethic, which was like the most famous thing about Shaq. In my book of basketball, the whole thing I wrote about Shaq was that Shaq could have graduated with a four or zero and instead he graduated

with a three seven and had a great time. Like that was Shaq. Mark Cuban, a week late, doing the whole, I tried to stop it as soon as I found out, but it was too late because he probably was walking around for a week with everybody just crushing them on the trade. And finally he had to like, get some peace out to Mark Stein. Like, Hey, can you, can you put out that? I had nothing to do with this. Like there's really no blood on my hands. Um,

the Mavs trading Luca because he couldn't stay in shape and was always an injury risk. But then they got Anthony Davis, who got hurt in the first game. Like you can't make this up. Somebody whose nickname is street clothes. Right. Oh, this guy, this guy's better. Um, I liked, I don't, who knows that Dave McBenamon story yesterday when it was like LeBron's camp has noticed that Luca got what he wanted right away.

That was an amazing sentence. And LeBron has camp has noticed that Luca got what he wanted right away. That was an amazing sentence. And LeBron has been pushing for this stuff for years. First of all, LeBron's played with, just in the last 14 years, Dwyane Wade, Chris Bosh, Kyrie Irving, Kevin Love, Anthony Davis, and Luca Dacic. He plays on a Lakers team when they traded for AD. They traded two top two lottery picks,

Brandon Ingram and Lonzo Ball. They pushed Julius Randall out, who is another lottery pick. They traded the number four pick that became Deandre Hunter. They put Josh Hart in the trade. They put Mo Wagner in the trade. They traded like two more swaps and picks, including the one that became Dyson Daniels and they have another pick this year. Like they gave away like basically a decade of drafts combined with the two

Westbrook trades. Then they, like, how much can you do for this guy? So I almost don't believe that he couldn't have, there's no way he, he really feels like they're not doing enough for him. Anyway, I, that made me laugh. And then all the math stuff with just, Hey, let's hold our heads high and thank Luca for seven years, and he brought us to the Western Finals and the Finals, and this is great, Maverick. Good luck in LA. No, they did the opposite. They just leaked shit left and right.

He's a fat piece of shit. Maybe he had a drinking problem. His calves could explode. Watch out for his Achilles. There's so many fucking things that are leaking out. It's disgusting. It was. And you know me, I'm a student of the Now They Tell A Story. And just as soon as this trade came down, we were all on the clock, right? You guys even said it on the emergency podcast that night. Yeah, here we go.

We're all on the clock. What is it? Here we go. But it never really came out because there's really not a reason for this, right? There's not a great answer. There's always an answer with these things, with these weird stories. What happened? What are the motives here? And the answer is, There's not a great answer. There's always an answer with these things, with these weird stories.

What happened? What are the motives here? And the answer is, it was Nico Harrison. Like he didn't have a good reason. He just did it. He did the stupid, incredibly stupid thing. Well, and then Dumont, the owner, or the guy who's running stuff.

The more I talk to people, and I keep looking for conspiracy theories or whatever. And it just seems like they just felt like they didn't like that. He wasn't in shape and they thought he was kind of a Dick. And that just seems like the, like, that's why they didn't want to give him 350 million. This is the all time new owner syndrome trade we've ever had. We've had so many great ones over the years where somebody takes over a team and within a couple months they're like, here's my idea. And it's usually a disaster.

This is the worst one ever. Yes. But usually you're paying too much for another star, right? That's the new owner syndrome. That's the nets. That's the sons, right? You're going out like, let's go get an aging star and spend way too much capital. Go get that guy.

This is the opposite. It's the opposite, but the spirit is always the same. It's always somebody moving into the league who's had some either had some success somewhere else or inherited the success he had. And they go in and within a year, they think they're smarter than everybody else. And that's, that's always the North star where they come in and they're like, they're just trying to do a zag. Right? They're not like, I just want to come in. I want to learn this business for three or four years,

trust the people that are in here. I want to be a student of the game. There's a lot of stuff I don't know yet. It's always more like the Ishbia thing where it's like, nope, everybody's doing this. So I'm going to do this. Like Prokhorov was another classic in Brooklyn, right? He's just like, picks what are those spend those. And then a year later he's like, yeah, cut costs. That was stupid. And then, and then he just demolishes the nets for, you know, a decade,

but they all have to do it. Even, even Ballmer who I think was one of the better new owners, but Balmer, he took over and within a couple years they had traded Blake Griffin, Chris Paul was out, and that was probably one of the more successful ones, but they all have to do it. You know what really pisses me off about this is, and this comes from a more personal place,

is that you and I before we worked together Both worked with people in our lives. Yeah, who would make our lives hell and it wasn't That we had like I care about journalism. You care about journalism Intensely, we're just butting heads over the particular vision. We look at them be like you actually don't care that much Yeah, you just like having a job, right. And when you don't have this job anymore, you're gonna go off and do another job. And you're never gonna think about this again. And I'm gonna think about this for the rest of my life,

this moment, because I'm so pissed off. That's Maverick fans to me. Nico Harrison's gonna do a couple more years of GM, and then he's gonna never do this job again. And he won't think about this as, oh, that was a great failure in my life. He's like, oh, that was weird. Couple of weird a couple of weird years in my career and I'm going to go work with my buddy Rob again.

And, you know, it just doesn't matter. And Patrick Dumont will never think about this again. And I just guarantee it. And that is what's just particularly galling about this whole deal to me. Well, well, and also that Patrick Dumott clearly was not a huge basketball fan probably into the last six or seven years. Just based on that one interview he gave. There's wrinkles to this that I think tie in where basketball is kind of moving anyway.

And I've noticed it with my friends' kids, especially kids, maybe my son's age and under, where they root for the player over the team. I think video games have something to do with this. I think all the player movement has stuff to do with this. I also just think basketball's different. Guys jump around now, so it's easier to just grab a player than a team. But it's definitely one of the player empowerment

LeBron generation. This is one of the player empowerment Lebron generation. This is one of the side effects is like, I like Wessel Westbrook. Now he's on the nuggets. So now I'm a nuggets fan. Um, this Luca thing is the most interesting test case for this because I know of a few people who either it's, it's them specifically their kids or people they know who are like, my kid's a Laker fan now, this is it. We've actually given up on the Mavericks.

He's just gonna follow Luca to the Lakers. He's gonna root for the Lakers from now on. I don't remember a bigger version of this in any sport. When Brady went to the Bucs, the Pats fans, we rooted for him, I rooted for him during the Super Bowl, but I was then like, I'm now a Bucs fanucs, the Pats fans, we rooted for him, like I rooted for him during the Super Bowl, but I was then like, I'm now a Bucs fan, like we stayed the Pats fan. This is actually like, it feels like they've lost fans

over this, which I don't remember happening. It's really fascinating, because I'm like you. I have my teams that I've had since childhood and it never changed. I never acquired a second NBA team or a second, like that's bullshit, get out of here with that. This is the one time I wouldn't blame anybody for doing it. I mean, Dirk sitting there,

blessing the whole thing last night with, you know, and Luca doing the Dirk trademark shot. Dirk, by the way, greatest player in Mav's history, who after he won a title, did a diners drive-ins and dives tour. I mean, for him to be staying in shape. Remember that? Yeah. I mean, so I wouldn't blame anybody if you're just a Luka fan.

And now even with all the changes you talk about, with what Demerics did, why not? Why wouldn't you just keep rooting for him no matter where he's playing? The other thing I was thinking about just from a historical standpoint with this trade, which speaks to the fact that they had a, you know, uh, a sports business executive who doesn't seem like he was a true basketball fan, Nico, maybe he is, but it's just like his lack of understanding of

the history of this stuff was really notable and then Dumont, who clearly isn't a basketball fan, but there's been so many great players who hit kind of this weird inflection point that Luca seemed to be in, right? Where he's 25, he wasn't at his all time peak yet. You could talk yourself into, yeah, maybe this is never going to happen. And ironically, the Mavericks had one of those guys in Dirk Nowitzki. When they made the finals with them in 06, the MVP season in 07, and then they lose to

the Warriors in round one. And then around 08, it really seemed to go sideways and he had some issues. He got involved with a woman that became a thing where he had this bad relationship. In 08-09, you really felt like Dirk was gettable and that the ship had sailed on him being an awesome player. And they didn't trade with him. Cuban was like, I'm never trading this guy. Cuban had a chance to trade him in, you know, in 04 for Shaq. That was when Shaq became available. It was like the obvious trade was Dirk for Shaq. He's like, I'm not trading Dirk.

Dirk's our guy. Um, and they just kept them, but there's been other guys over the years when people, when teams have blinked, when they've had, you know, they're like, ah, should we trade them? Especially when you go back to the 70s and 80s. This is the first time in a while a team blinked. You know, even Minnesota with KG, like they never traded them.

The Wizards did it with C-Web, but C-Web like never had any real success. Luca had real success. He made the finals last year, did the Western finals. Like he was actually winning shit. So this is why, I think one of the many reasons I was even going back. I was reading Houston and Hakeem Olajuwon. Cause in 92 and 93, and you can read, there's a ton of stuff about this. Like he almost got traded the Quippers. He was being shopped around. There was a Reggie Lewis possible trade at one point, like, but they never trade them. They kept them. So this this happened before but this is the rare time where the team just blinked and it's so early to blink

It's so early early. I mean 29 year old Luca, you know, maybe you never get back to the finals You got the Western Conference finals one more time Right work the then you trade him for seven first-round picks and some 22 year old. That's the only way it makes sense. Yeah. And he has like two seasons in there where he plays like 45 games and then you're starting to, you know, long-term conditioning, whatever. But this is way too early to even entertain that idea. The other piece of this trade, which I'm happy to go on the record and people can clip this out and shove it in my face for the rest of my life.

From farm. Aggregate this every time we go. Aggregate this right now. I really think this is the greatest thing they ever could have done for him. For Luka. Professionally, career-wise. Oh yeah.

Motivation-wise. This is the all time we did you a favor by doing this trade. I already thought he was gonna win a title someday. To me, he was the natural pick of anyone under 27 for who was going to win. All of the checkpoints that he's hit as a player. But the one thing that was kind of missing was like, guys carrying too much weight.

Like he, you know, if you go back and you watch him rookie year, second year, he's just way skinnier and he's more explosive, right? He had all this weight because it made him harder to deal with. It made him more physical. It added a post-up game. But, you know, now I wonder what between that, some of the stuff we're already reading about LeBron and him kind of Luca and all watching LeBron's workout. I mean, LeBron's like one of the most legendary workout guys ever.

And Luca kind of maybe finally understanding this is maybe what it takes. Usually this happens when somebody is on the U S Olympic team, but Luca's Slovenian. Like he was, he never was in that way. And it was like, and you always have these stories like that. It's 92 had it 2008 had it where they're watching the best player and they're like, holy shit, that guy's getting up at five 30 in the morning to work out. Maybe I should start doing that. So anyway,

I just feel like that's the frustrating thing for me as a Laker hater that this is just clearly the greatest thing. Plus everyone comes to California and loses 20 pounds is the other other thing. So he said that's just actually gonna happen. No, I agree. And sometimes the psychology with players is like deceptively simple. We're talking about Mahomes, what he's gonna think about all year.

Yeah. When every time there's a clip on ESPN, mm, mm, look at that, look at that. Brady fed off that his entire career. So just imagine Luca, read all those stories about being overweight, team didn't believe in me. They thought his Achilles was going to explode. That was my new favorite one in the last week.

Ah, it's Achilles. It's it's ticket time Bob. Oh, okay. Cool. Um, how can you just last thing, can you walk us through how this plays out in Dallas with your, um, lifelong knowledge, appreciation, historical sense of things in Dallas, a trade that was being compared to the JFK assassination for its impact on the city.

How does it play out from an animosity, anger, just what do the next four months look like? So here's what I would say. The Mavericks were created as a franchise in my lifetime. Like they were, they were literally. Right, 1981. Yeah. So, and to watch. Or 1980s, sorry.

To watch them, you had, other than that time they pushed the Lakers to seven games in the Western Conference Finals, until the Dirk era, they were just barely a franchise. Barely a franchise. Barely rated on the Dallas sports consciousness, way behind the Rangers, you know, for second place, by the way. And if I look in the nineties, they were like an actual, they were one of the NBA train wreck franchises. Absolutely.

I mean, it was one of those. I would say one of the three worst. People still said Clippers, but it was actually the Mavericks, except the Mavericks would just lose the draft lottery every year. Remember that they gave that 76 years all time wins record a ride a couple of times. I mean, it was just unbelievably bad. I remember when they traded Jason Kidd too. It totally made sense because it was like, of course they did.

They're fucking stupid. Of course they're going to trade him after two years. Oh my God. Was that Sam Cassell and the Pooh-Pooh Platter? Yeah, whatever. I was like, yeah, we're not sure these three guys can mesh together. So we're going to trade the best one of the three. I was like, you, we're not sure these three guys can mesh together, so we're gonna trade the best one of the three.

I was like, you guys are idiots. Totally. And Cuban and Dirk made the Mavericks into a real franchise. Yeah. And then there was another period of, you know, kind of weirdness there at the end where they kind of went, you know, they were declining with Dirk. And then Luca made them.

Again, like, no matter what you say, Luca's here. There's a thing to talk about, there's a thing to pay attention to, there's a reason to buy a ticket to a Mavericks game and be excited and get into the Mavericks. And now I just wonder where they slide, you know, on the sports consciousness and even talk to those radio hosts. The same thing.

It's like, what's the Mavericks segment we do, you know, like, what do we do? We do an AD segments every week. I don't think so. I wouldn't, you know, if they, they're, you know, let's say they get healthy and they're a playoff team this year. I mean, obviously there'll be some interest people would be in, but I just think it's gonna be hard. You've seen this happen with Boston teams before where you just slide off the map for a while, have been with the Pats.

And in this case, it's not just because you're bad or potentially bad in a couple of years, it's because people are pissed at you. Like they're angry with you. They think you just screwed them over in a way they've never felt before. And I just think there's a lot of potential there for them to just slide into the ocean for a while. Well, I mean, imagine if Kyrie leaves.

So he can opt out. There's some free HD stuff with him potentially. Like this could be a house of cards pretty quickly. And then the Davis piece of it, if he's just not healthy this year. They have a real chance not to make the playoffs because the West is so good. I was looking at the odds.

I bet when I was in Louisiana over the weekend, I bet on Fandall, I bet on Golden State, at like plus 155 to make the playoffs. They're plus 102. Tomorrow they might be plus 170. Like the West is like, depending on who wins two games in a row, there's 11 good teams plus San Antonio, there's eight playoff spots.

So if you have Davis out for a month, combined with Kyrie pull something for a week, now all of a sudden you're just sliding out of it. So, fascinating stuff. Who thought Dallas would be this crazy as a sports city without the Cowboys being involved? I think that might've been the biggest shocker of all of it. Oh my God, and I tell you the words Brian Schottenheimer

have not been uttered once on Dallas Sports Region. That's it. Or Jerry Jones possibly winning an Emmy for land man. There we go. The most emotional TV cameo of the last five years. Who knew? Best thing he's done in 30 years by far. Unbelievable stuff. Oh, I almost forgot to do this. So I was saying to you last night when we were texting that this was the first NBA trade that I felt could be turned into a Ryan Murphy limited series on Netflix. Where, listen, not to compare this trade to the Menendez brothers and Ted Bundy and some

of the other things they've done. But why not? But it feels like, you know, you have characters, you have intrigue, you have the Dumonts coming in as like the rich family screwing stuff up. You have Cuban as the old guy hanging on. You have Luca and his like whoever his entourage is and whatever they could Ryan Murphy that character up and make me be like, No, no, Luca. It's three in the morning. You can't have Popeyes. You have LeBron and Rich Paul and AD and the Lakers side

and Jeannie Buss and Jay Moore. Somebody could, maybe Jay Moore plays himself. Anyway, I asked you to just go nuts with this. Yeah, so opening scene of our limited series. It's gotta be this coffee shop meeting between Nico and Rob Palinka. On January 7th, immortalized by a photo from some random weirdo in Dallas.

And did you hear the guy taking the photo was a Lakers fan? So he recognizes Polinka, but he doesn't recognize Nico. Oh. Which is a great detail. So he snaps a photo. We see Bill, camera, push in. He's texting a friend and he goes, I just found Rob Polinka having coffee with some guy.

Which really sets the tone for the... Opening credits, boom, let's go. Yeah, theme song, hard cut, here we go. Ryan Murphy's, Luca trade. And the only drawback there is, do we want Polinka to walk away from the coffee meeting and pick up the phone and call somebody and be like, you'll never believe this. Right.

You'll never believe what I just heard. We got this going on. Mark Cuban flashback. Yeah. Yelling at the refs, buying the team, selling the team. Oh yeah. Kobe flashback so we can see Palinka and Nico meeting probably at Lakers games, right?

Talking to each other. So we're going back and forth like the last dance a little bit. Okay. Yeah. Well, yeah. This is a limited series, right? We got to have, not everything has flashbacks these days. Right.

I was playing with some casting here too. You gotta help me with this. I mean, I'm just so sorry we lost Penny Marshall because Maryam Adelson, I mean that would have been the ultimate casting. Maybe we can bring her back. CGI now is amazing. Maybe Penny Marshall's not,

maybe it's not dead yet. CGI Penny Marshall. Do we want Josh Gad for Patrick Dumont? I kind of like that a little bit. That's really good. I mean you could also go Chris Pratt putting the weight back on after losing the weight and getting muscular the last 12 years.

Now he's going back trying to win an Emmy. Who do we like for Cuban? Cuban's like, it feels like Jeremy strong and a zag. Nobody expecting Jeremy strong here. It's got the Cuban wing on. He's super personable and you're like, Whoa, Jeremy strong is Cuban. This is crazy.

Why are they doing this? He could be polinka too. That's because what if he's reading the alchemist wife? No, no, Rob Lowe has to be polinka. What are you talking about? Okay. But they have to be quoting, you know, from things and doing, yeah, either one of those guys I could see actually. Who else could be Cuban?

I had J.K. Simmons. Could Ben Affleck be Cuban? I had J.K. Simmons with a wig. And I was like, I was like, he's too old, but he's actually only four years older than Cuban. Just know that's great. I like that. Their faces too old, but he's actually only four years older than Cuban. Just their faces look different, but we can work on that. So JK Simmons, Nico Harrison could be 40 people. That's easy.

Does anybody play Danny Ainge getting wind of this deal, like with 30 minutes to go? No, he plays himself. Okay, Danny, we're gonna cast Danny. Dirk was a tough one for me. Dirk plays himself. Okay, Luca? Actually, you could also do the Danny. Dirk was a tough one for me. Dirk plays himself. Okay, Luca is a tough one. Actually, you could also do the thing with Dirk

where it's like a six-four actor with a bad Dirk wig and it's clearly not Dirk because that's one of the staples of these shows where the guy doesn't actually follow sports. Yeah, somebody has to be completely ridiculous. Yeah, that's probably Dirk. Dirk's like six-two. What do we do with Luca?

Luca's tough. This is where you get into like the Aaron Hernandez show, which I liked. And the guy didn't really look like Aaron Hernandez, but by the end of the show, you kind of felt like he was Aaron Hernandez. So you almost need, you need somebody that's big and a little doughy. And that could be anybody. You may be going with an unknown for that one. Yeah.

Do we need like a De Niro style weight gain where we send them to Italy to eat pasta for like three months so they can be Luka? No, too expensive in the budget. You have to pretend Italy, you have to pretend it's like Palos Verde. I like, this is actually a good series. Yeah, this is pretty good. And it's, I think the Dumont,

the Adelson Dumont family, I think features prominently in this Yeah, just like you really make Dumont like a villain and and just a goofball Who's like trying frantically trying to read up on NBA history? Like he's reading Halberstam breaks to the game. Somebody told me to read this. I don't know who any of these people are Just confused. Can we still get Bill Walton in a trade? Who's playing skin and who are the Mavs radio guys? What are those guys? You're talking about Ben and skin.

Yeah. Ben and skin. Who's playing Ben and skin? Oh my God. Those are great roles. I would have so many ideas for Maverick sports radio. I mean, there'd be so many. This would be unbelievable. Could people play me and Riscilla and Mahoney

doing the reaction pot or are we playing ourselves? Yeah, and Skip plays himself too. Don't forget that because he would have some big takes on this. Skip with like some de-aging like the Irishman. Because we go back into the mid-2000s when he's saying that you can't win a title with Dirk DeWittsky. Then it's like current Skip. Unbelievable. Stephen A actor or Stephen A is himself?

He absolutely wants to play himself. What about Donald Faison as Niko Harrison? Ooh, interesting. See, that'd be good. Yeah, I like that. All right, this is great. Ryan Murphy, get on it, call us. We're ready to do this.

Brian Curtis, you can read him on theringer.com, a great website. You can also listen to him on the Press Box, an awesome podcast. One of our, how many years for the Press Box, Ben? Eight? I think it's eight, yep. I forced you to do it.

And I've never been more thankful. Now you were receptive, I forced fantasy. You were ready. Fantasy was forced. Fantasy took like, he was debating it like it was the Luka Dantzsch trade for weeks before he actually pulled the trigger. He seems to have gotten the hang of it.

Yeah, he's doing all right. Uh, Curtis, thank you. Thanks, Bill. This episode is brought to you by Nissan. If you're planning on an adventurous 2025, you're going to need a car that can keep up with you and conquer anything in your path. The Nissan Armada Pro 4X is that car with a twin turbo V6 engine ready to propel your adventures up to 8,500 pounds of towing capacity to haul all your favorite toys

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Always secure cargo. All right, the one and only Matt Bellany is here. You can read him on Puck. You can listen to The Town, an awesome podcast. Some have credited him with Craig Horlbeck's Rise as a media mogul. I think we can split credit. I'd say the rewatchables. I'd say Craig's moment really was his three minute rant about risky business at the end of a rewatchables. That was the moment. That was the moment he became a star.

That was when he knew someday he could marry into the Adelson family and maybe run the Mavs. We just talked, Brian Curtis and I just talked about the Luca trade and I was saying, you know, I'm not going to be able to do that. I'm not going to be able to do that. I'm not going to be able to do that. I'm not going to be able to do that. I'm not going to be able to do that. I'm not going to be able to do that. I'm not going to be able to do that. I'm not going to be able to do that. I'm not going to be able to do that. That was when he knew someday he could marry into the Adelson family and maybe run the Mavs.

We just talked, Brian Curtis and I just talked about the Luca trade and I was saying how the Ryan Murphy Luca trade mini series on Netflix I would just watch. And we had a whole bunch of casting stuff. Is there anybody just without you knowing what we talked about? Is there anybody that you feel like would have to be in that? Well, did you discuss James Corden? James Corden as Dumont? No, James Corden as Luca.

Yeah. That's not a thing. So we have to use like- I'm gonna have to move over here, but it seems like Corden is born to play the role. I mean, honestly, Ryan Murphy would probably do that because he Ryan Murphy clearly doesn't follow sports as we've seen from some of his other stuff. So he'd be like, yeah, we'll just cheat it and make him look like

he's six foot eight. Well, yeah, that and Corden might have to lose a few pounds, but or gain a few. Luca might have to gain a few, but maybe we we get Luca at one of his post beer drinking sessions. What's your Ryan Murphy mini series that he hasn't done yet that you can't believe he hasn't done yet? I mean, is there a murder he hasn't exploited yet?

Is there a Simpson-Bruckheimer one that like, do you feel like there's an eighties Hollywood one that's sitting there for him? But Don Simpson and Jerry Bruckheimer never really feuded. Don Simpson just sort of went off the rails and they actually they did end up splitting, but I don't know. Who? Ovitz, like the Mike Ovitz when he was the most powerful agent in Hollywood. And then it was not interesting enough.

Yeah. I'm trying. I don't know what's left. It's if he does another Hollywood one, I mean, he could do the Harvey Weinstein story, like Harvey barreling through Hollywood in the nineties and two If he does another Hollywood one, I mean, he could do the Harvey Weinstein story. Like Harvey barreling through Hollywood in the nineties and two thousands, knowing what we know now about his downfall. Maybe he could do that.

The problem is with some, with an idea like that is I don't know if I'd want to spend time. I felt the same way about the Donald Sterling show. Like ultimately I just didn't want to spend six hours with Donald Sterling. Even if the show is good, there's like some limits I have for. I get that. I mean, you could do the, the, the comedic version, although Harvey, you can't do comedy with like this new Lakers show that Jeannie bus made with Mindy Kaling Netflix.

Like they, when I saw that they I saw that Netflix was doing a Genie Bus show, I just like winced, I was like, oh no. But they went full comedy with it. And that worked, I haven't watched it yet, but at least the trailer looks funny, because it's just a total joke, the whole thing. Yeah. SNL 50, one of the many reasons you're here.

So it's Sunday. I got the music invite. I didn't get the other one. It's what? 200 people. It's 300 people in eight age and it is turning out to be the toughest ticket I have ever seen in Hollywood. Like I don't know that there's even any sports equivalent of how exclusive this is.

There are 300 seats. There are, I mean, hundreds of former cast members of the show, guest hosts, musical guests, executives that want in on this, friends of Lorne, Paul McCartney, all of them want in. Musicians, right. There's no, there's no room. They're going to, there's the overflow room is going to be a tough ticket. So you have like, I, like I talked to John Ham about it in the last week and he said he's going, right. So there's a level of like, there's a guest host level where it's like Hanks, John Ham, like that. There's probably like 20, 25 of those. And Ham probably didn't tell you this,

but he's probably only in because he's hot right now. Like he's, you know, after Landman, after Morning Show, after Fargo, like he's a hot actor right now, so he's in. But like there are probably some frequent guest hosts from the 80s and 90s that are not in because they are not cool anymore. And then you have 50 seasons of casts.

Some of them are dead. Some of them are a lot of them are alive from the eighties on. And it's like they're Eddie Murphy. But then like you get into like, is Piscopo one of the 300? I would think he has to be. You'd think so, but remember at the 40th, there was a whole controversy over Victoria Jackson being in an overflow room and she freaked out. So like the cuts are going to be tough. And then you have. controversy over Victoria Jackson being in an overflow room and she freaked out.

So like the cuts are going to be tough. And then you have actually, I heard they're doing it today and tomorrow. And oh, really? And then you have the, uh, the music stuff because there's people like Paul Simon and, um, yeah, the friends of Lauren, but then also bands like if Bono wants to be there, like he was, he had one of the best music performances I've ever had. So he has to get in there. So I don't know how to do it.

Taylor and Travis, they got to be there. I mean, you just go down the list of people that are either super famous and just nobody ever says no to them or they're friends of Lauren or they're important to the show. Like there, I can't even imagine. I do not, uh, I would not wish this on anybody to have to pick that room.

Nobody has a plus one I'm guessing. Oh hell no. No, there's not going to be an extraneous person in that room. So they probably, maybe his wife comes. Well, that's the other thing you need the rich guy circles and you need the network circles. You need NBC people. Ted Sarandos told me he's going. The CEO of Netflix. And he has nothing to do with the show. He's just a fan. But he's powerful enough in Hollywood that he can get in.

Well, they had to invite him because he could have basically destroyed SNL the last six years by doing Friday Night SNL on Netflix. and he loved the show and he didn't. Ted loves comedy so much. There's always the rumor that he will just decide to do a Friday night or a Sunday night version and just steal all the people from SNL. I don't, I think he has too much respect for Lauren to do that, but post Lauren, all bets are off. I am positive that as long as Lauren is there,

he's never doing that cause he loves the show and he loves Lauren. But the moment Lauren leaves, I think Netflix just takes that entire corner. And NBC will walk right into it because once Lauren leaves, they will start cost cutting on the show because it's hugely expensive for what it is. And Lauren has been able to beat them back, but they will start to cut costs and Ted will recognize it and he'll swoop in. So you, you think like just the 300 people in this place, which is basically like having the NBA finals game seven in an arena that has 900 seats, you think they've been playing in this for like six months and they started out with a list of like 2000 names and levels and

they started this after the 45th. I mean the the entire this is the culmination of Lauren's life work. Like they have been planning this Comcast is giving this the whole symphony treatment where every aspect of the company tries to promote this thing. They've been planning they set this whole you know three-day weekend thing with the music and then the documentary premieres and all this stuff around the live show. They've been building this thing up. Like it's bigger than a sporting event for TV.

And they have, they have, Lauren, I guarantee you has been thinking about every single person who will be in that room for more than a year. And we do not think he's retiring after the year. I'm 99% sure he's not. He has said he is not. He has said he's going to do the fade out thing where he slowly brings in people

to help him with certain things, but he is the ultimate decider and push comes to shove, he is in charge. We'll see. How did you feel about the documentaries and all the stuff that they did to lead to this moment? And I have some thoughts on whatever I mean to the culture too. Because I only knew about the cowbell sketch from columns that you wrote 20 years ago. Right.

Which caused me to check it out. I thought they were generally good, better than might be expected for promotional documentaries. Yeah, the one with the The old footage of their auditions. I thought that was super fun. I hadn't seen a lot of that stuff The cowbell one was my favorite just because it was amazing the season 11 one Like there it raised a lot of questions to me that I don't think the documentary answered. They did a whole documentary just on this lost season where everybody kind of got fired at the end.

And, uh, it was, it was a little bit like you felt like one of those docs where they're not telling me the whole story here. Um, that was the most frustrating one to me. Yeah. Lauren, huge flex didn't even appear in any of the documentaries promoting his show. They had to use archive footage of Lauren. Like he didn't sit for his own documentaries. The season 11 one I was so excited for because that's such a crazy stretch of,

of the show where basically he leaves after year five, Ebersol comes in, the show is cratering and then Eddie Murphy saves it. They figure out a way to kind of keep Eddie Murphy even though he's filming all the stuff in the first half of the show, they dole out the sketches to save it in season nine. And then season 10 becomes the all-star season with Billy Crystal, Martin Short, all those guys and it's awesome. Season 10 is one of the best seasons in the history of the show. But then all those guys leave and Lauren comes back and Lauren tries to zag and

hires all these young writers, or young actors, new writing staff, whole thing. And just misses. And I was like, they're doing a docu-, this sounds amazing, but it didn't dive into the Lauren stuff. It didn't really dive into why he came back, like the failure of the new show, which he had tried to do where he owned it. He almost went bankrupt from the show. Right. Or his relationship with Dick Ebersol.

And basically took the job because he needed the money. Yeah. And the Dick Ebersol thing where he was so mad that Dick Ebersol was being considered successful with the show. And that's a really fun dynamic, those two. Oh yeah. I mean, Ebersol is still alive. Apparently he's not doing great, but that's another mystery is will he show up at the fifth? He has to be there. He saved the show. The show's dead. You know what? You would think so, but I don't know how well he's doing these days and I don't know what that,

the state of that relationship with Lauren is. I don't, I don't think they are close. It may be a respect thing that he invites him, but I don't know if he'll be there. The season 11 thing is amazing. I actually didn't know about that and that whole thing where they they ended the season on a cliffhanger of firing all the right. Just kept and he pulls love. It's out. Love it says the only one that's the other funny thing is love. It's was the breakout star of that season which tells you about the season

It's amazing and you can imagine they did that today It's just like yeah so much happened on SNL in the 80s and 90s where if it happened during the social media era It would it would be gigantic and it just kind of came and went at Ten to one in the morning and maybe people talked about it the next day Maybe there was a newspaper article and then it was onto the next. I think, uh, when they did this for SNL 40 and we blew it, it was my last year at Grantland and we blew it out. We had a whole week.

We did the March madness bracket for, uh, for people on the show. We, we had, we did an awesome job. You can go back and read it for people listening. We had like 20 pieces. I wrote a piece right after the SNL 40 show, which was three hours. And I think the headline was like bloated SNL 40 was actually kind of perfect. Cause that's what the show was. But the 40 year Mark was really cool because the show was still really good,

really relevant and still really, really good at breaking stars. And then just come off that awesome cast with Hader and Sandberg and Sudeikis and Will Forte and Armisen and Kristen Wiig. Um, and you look back at that cast and you're like, holy shit. Like we didn't even realize in the moment how loaded these, all of them went on to do all these other things. And the last 10 years, they just haven't had the same success with the cast. And I think that's, that's what's different. I look at these last 10 years and it's like,

there's really no breakout stars that they've developed. Kate McKinnon was probably the last one and she's not somebody who can carry her own thing. She's good as like being part of something. But that's what's changed in the last 10 years, I think. Yeah. And I think that that coincides with the rise of TikTok and online comedy and things that have sort of put SNL in the rear view. Also COVID didn't help a live show like that. That depends on spontaneity. Like those were rough years.

They've also, the cast has gotten too big. And I think Lauren would probably admit that. They just have too many people. He lets them go off and do other things during the season now. Where, like, if you look at someone like Bo and Yang, who they tried to make a star and didn't really work out, like, he was, they had a show two weeks ago, and he was in LA on the Thursday before the show,

announcing the Oscar nominations. And then he gets on a plane, and he goes back to SNL for the show on Saturday night. And then on Sunday, he was at Sundance promoting a movie that he had did. He had that he had done. So like is, is Bowen Yang even part of that cast part of the whole SNL ethos is that you're there all the time. You're pitching, you're writing, you're, you're, you're coming up with bits.

I mean, he was in and out of New York during that week doing his other projects and is sort of like kinda on the show, right? I mean, he was in and out of New York during that week doing his other projects and is sort of like kind of on the show. Right. It's just a different thing now than when you had these tight 10-person casts that had an identity to them. Now it's like sort of a revolving door. Yeah, the only times they really did that over the course of the show,

like Belushi was filming, he was filming 1941, I think in season four and flying back and forth. Eddie Murphy was doing movies when he was there. You made exceptions for like the major stars. It seems like they've made a lot more exceptions in recent years. Will Ferrell did a couple things, but like when Will Ferrell decided to be a movie star, he left SNL. Adam Sandler left SNL. Like it was a thing. Someone like Aidy Bryant, Aidy Bryant had a Hulu show that was greenlit, aired, and was canceled all while she was on SNL.

Right. She had this whole side career going. The thing you said about the cast, one of the you know, one of the great moments of this podcast when I was at ESPN was I got to interview Lauren in his office, which was, you know, an incredible career move for me. Not move, career moment. It was just like, I can't believe I'm doing this.

I had so many questions to ask him. I got to talk to him for an hour and 20. And we talked to him. Did he offer you popcorn? I don't think he offered me popcorn. Maybe he might have. But I talked to him about the cast thing. And I talked to him about my theory

about how the cast was like a basketball team and you had to have the starting five and the four or five people off the bench. But once you have 17 people, it's just too hard to get everyone involved. And he was explaining why he didn't and the reasons actually made sense. Where he was like, some people aren't ready for the first year or the second year.

It really takes until year three that you got to develop people behind them. I think the thing they really fucked up in the last 10 years was using these celebrities for big parts. And I've said this before, not being able to break new stars with parts like Biden, Trump, these things, if you go back to the history of the show, the cast members were always playing the people in the zeitgeist and they shifted away from that and started giving those parts to these other people. They even did it in 24. Like Maya Rudolph as Kamala Harris. Like, why can't that be a cast member?

You know, and I think that's what shifted. Alec Baldwin killed SNL. Well, I think the theory of using people like Alec Baldwin, I think was a huge mistake. I know it's like, it's like heroin. It is. It worked really well. People loved it. Lauren got the zeitgeist back for these big stunty moments. We started to get news articles out of who was playing who on SNL and we saw it during 2015, 2016 with the whole Trump White House and Melissa McCarthy coming

in to play Sean Spicer, Matt Damon doing Kavanaugh. Like all that stuff was so alluring to them that they kind of got addicted to it. And it was, it was like a drug. They, you get a high off it, but there's like definite downside. And the downside is the show itself suffers and the people that are on there for four or five years, you don't even know who they are. Right. And I remember right around when it started, Will Ferrell used to do that Janet Reno dance party sketch.

And then Janet Reno came- Probably wouldn't happen today. Would not, I think that sketch is canceled, but Janet Reno came on. Right. If I remember. Yeah, yeah, yeah. And it was right at early 2000s,

they started bringing the people they were parroting on. The show was really, you know, the show would go for it with celebrities. It was really mean-spirited in a way that I used to love and my friends all loved in the 90s. And you look back at some of those David Spade monologues. Like those would never happen today. The entire culture of celebrity has changed

where if you do that stuff now, you have to expect that you will get blowback from those people. And some of the, they court those celebrities so much now If you do that stuff now, you have to expect that you will get blowback from those people. And some of the, they court those celebrities so much now that they can't parody them. Like, who are the two most famous people in American culture right now? I think I've said this either on the town or I forget where before, but Taylor and Travis. SNL should be going after Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce relentlessly.

Having fun with them, but going after them. Totally. I agree. Totally going after them. But no, they don't because they want them to come on the show. How about Blake Lively and Justin Baldoni? How is that not like a talk show where they hate each other and they're next to each other? I know. It's the thing that everybody in the culture is having, but Blake is married to Ryan. Ryan has a lot of friends.

They're in the Taylor Swift universe. But that's what's happened. That's the biggest thing that's happened in the show this century over the last 20 years. And I remember when Tina Fey came on as Palin all those times, and then they brought Palin on, and you talked about it's like a drug. They get addicted to the crowd reaction. And then that became like, we're going to have fun with these celebrities, but we also need the celebrities.

I remember when Andy Samberg did that Mark Wahlberg sketch. Hey, how's your brother? How's your mother? And it was really funny. And Mark Wahlberg got pissed and then bringing them on the next week to kind of give Samberg shit. And it was like, this isn't the show. The show was like kind of mean and ruthless sometimes with celebs. And now it seems like it courts the celebrities in a completely different way,

which I just think is a product of Lauren being an older guy who just, he's a celebrity himself. And that's how he sees it. He's establishment. Yeah. You know, the show was counterculture and then it became the culture. And now it's sort of,

it's ripe for disruption, to be honest. And you could argue that everything online and TikTok and everything has disrupted it, but it is ripe for something. Sitting there. In Living Color sort of did it. Lauren had a huge blind spot with diverse people, with black people in particular on the show.

And then in Living Color comes on, taking Damon Wayans, who was on the show and famously was fired. Uh, they, they disrupted them in the nineties and, and had a thing going. And I think that was the last time that someone directly took on SNL and one and not beat them, but had their own success. There is a version of SNL for today's audience that would work, I think. And it's beyond something that's on Tik TOK. You could say that Tik TOK is SNL for today's audience,

but there's something in a format in an hour, hour and a half format that would work and is just SNL is just sitting there like a, like a Buffalo wandering the Serengeti. I can't believe it hasn't happened yet. No, it's like, if Netflix had done this two years ago on Friday nights, I think SNL would have been in real trouble. They would have gotten the jump on them. The other way to beat SNL that nobody is like, SNL just goes away from

mid-May to, you know, late September. And every four years you have these, you have a, you know, a political election. That's the most fun part to parody. And like Netflix could have just launched a Friday night SNL show last May and just crushed it for four months. And by the time SNL came back, it would have, it would have felt like a dinosaur. Yeah. So like a, you know, summer, summer stock or call it, do it as a stunt in the summer.

And then you don't even have to compete with SNL and all of a sudden you've got the political conventions. You've got all the campaign stuff to yourself. Right. Yeah. Well, this is an incredible run. The fact that it's been on for 50 years in my entire life and I remember all the pieces of it, but... It is amazing.

There's nothing like it. There's nothing like it. Especially like the music, which I was really glad they did that music documentary, even though I thought they missed a couple things that I was just stunned by. But I just, I was always, one of my favorite underrated things about the show was just catching all these acts

at the greatest time of their career, right as they're about to do this. And they would just over and over again, get these people. And then sometimes, you know, it would just go the other way you know this was it that was the highlight and then it was gone I can't wait to see what happens Sunday night I mean it's one of the one of the last must-see 8 p.m. network shows that's not sports or not an award show that we're probably ever gonna have right? Yeah, I know it's amazing Fan duel line who opens the show

Do they go music or sketch would be my first question I think they will they will do a traditional cold open All right, so if they asked me I would have the four or five best people in the history of show on stage together. Oh, I do not think they will do that because. I don't think they would either. Because all that does is beg the question of who is the best ever. And that's a question that Lauren does not want to answer.

But a couple of them are dead though. So that makes it sad to say that it's a little easier. But you take one person from each era. You take Ackroyd, you take Eddie, you take somebody from the Hartman era. Maybe it's Dana Carvey. You have Will Ferrell. You have maybe Kristen Wiig. Maybe. And it's like the five. Maybe Hader. No, but I'm saying you just, you have like five or six to start. I think they're going to go with celebrities though, to start.

It'll be like Tom Hanks, Paul Simon. It'll be like the five timers club. Basically something like that would be my guess. Maybe here's an option. What if they do an original sketch with the surviving originals from the 1975 cast? So Chevy still alive, Jane Kurt alive. Chevy, Dan, Lorraine Newman, Jane Curtin, and Garrett Morris. Garrett Morris is still alive. Yeah, so there's five of them still alive, and I believe they'll all be there.

Pretty risky there. I mean, some of them are like in their late 70s. But that eliminates any political problems, because you don't have to deal with people who think they were the best cast member ever. You don't have to deal with the Eddie Murphy issue. You don't have to deal with any of these other things. You just say, you know what, we're going to go with the, we're going to go with the five originals. And then have something written for them. You know, Al Franken can write it, Donahoe or someone like that.

And then you start the show with the rest of it. I feel like he's gonna take the easy way out and just start with like Paul Simon. Maybe. Like performing with Paul McCartney and like they'll start out with some song with like an awesome band and that kicks it off. And then Chevy Chase, Chevy Chase I think

has to start the show. Like officially be the one who like fall, they do some prafall that they'll tape ahead of time and then it kicks to the credits would be my guess. Yeah, or here's another idea. What about something with Keenan? He's been on the show longer than anyone else. The show for 28 years.

They could do a whole sketch around how long Keenan's been there. We're gonna take a break and then I wanna talk to you about some Hollywood stuff that's going on. All right. I love having Bellinion in mid February because the Oscars is coming. It's usually just a fun time in general for Hollywood.

We have the Oscars in about two and a half weeks. Conan O'Brien's hosting. The movies are weird. Fantasy seems to be the only one who's happy with the movies. I just think fantasy is happy with movies every year. And then we've had some really advanced level nagging of different movies that has really hurt. Are you aware of what's going on here?

Yeah, but while I'm aware, but explain it to the audience. It is sort of remarkable what is happening with the Oscars this year. The number one nominated film, 13 nominations for Amelia Perez, this Netflix movie about a transgender woman drug lord who has an adventure in Mexico. That movie has completely imploded over a Twitter scandal. So the favorite for best picture has basically been taken off the map for most of the nominations.

Zoe Saldana could still win. They could still win best song. But this Twitter scandal involving Carla Sofia Gascon, who is the lead of the movie and just had some reprehensible old tweets that came up has basically taken out the movie and it is a five movie race now for best picture and nobody knows what's gonna win. What do you think's gonna win? What are you hearing? What's well? there's there is the Indicators that we've seen so far that are pointing towards anora Which would be a remarkable winner in its own right because it starts with about 45 minutes of hardcore sex

I don't see it with a bunch of nudity in it. It's this like Cinderella story movie about a Sex worker who dates this like Russian not dates is paid to date this Russian dates drunk or at drunk Russian Borat drunk Russian 22 year old Borat. Yeah But I don't see winning. I don't think with people over 60 that first 45 minutes is gonna work. I would have thought that. It would definitely be the most explicit movie to ever win Best Picture.

By far. By far. There's one X rated movie, Midnight Cowboy, but that is pretty tame. Which shouldn't have been rated X yet. By today's standards. And. Coming home gets pretty into it with the sex stuff.

And people forget, Brokeback Mountain did not actually win. Crash won that year. Yeah, I didn't forget. It's one of the worst. Yeah, Crash was amazing. The PGA, the Producers Guild, went for Enora. And those are a lot of older people, mostly men,

but it's a lot of older people that I wouldn't have thought would have gone for Enora. I thought they'd go with Wicked. I thought they might go for A Complete Unknown, the Bob Dylan movie. The Directors Guild also went with Sean Baker for Enora. So those are the only two real indicators so far of groups that overlap with the Oscar voters.

This next weekend we've got the SAG, no, this weekend we've got the BAFTAs going on in London, which has a lot of overlap. There's a lot of foreign voters, so we'll see where they go. And then the SAG awards after that are the indicators. But I think it's a five movie race between Anura, A Complete Unknown, Wicked, Conclave, and. Come on. And then you know, you gotta. The Brutalist has to be in there. The Brutalist has to be in there. I mean, I think it's a complete unknown, wicked conclave.

And then, you know, you got to... The brutalist has to be in there. The brutalist has to be in there. I mean, brutalist is like, was the favorite a couple of weeks ago, but everybody I talked to, like, it's just polarizing. It's three and a half hours. A lot of people don't finish it when they start watching it on the portal. They say, oh, I've seen it, but they don't actually finish it. The first half is better than the second half, but it's a real like, like Sinista movie.

And those movies are not benefited by the preferential voting system that the Oscar has where you rank your choices. And then when a movie is eliminated, that person's second, third, fourth go get attributed to the other movies. So it's designed to build consensus among the voters. And I think consensus will go, will benefit the more, the broader movies, like the complete unknown or wicked or something that is less polarized. That's fantasy's theory for a complete unknown, which I don't think anyone thinks is a. I do. Like I'm on the record on the town. As the best film?

It could be a shocker. It could be the shocker of Oscars. Probably the biggest shocker in decades. Some people are on the record that it could win, but I don't think anybody thinks it was the best film of 2024. What is the best film? I mean, come on. This is all subjective. I enjoyed it a lot. I thought it was a delightful afternoon with the movies. I don't know. Come on. This is all subjective. Pretty traditional. I enjoyed it a lot. I thought it was a delightful afternoon with the movies. I like the performances.

The performances were great. The music's great. The movie's fine. I mean, you're watching, you're like, holy shit, these are all Bob Dylan songs. These are all, this is great. But I thought it was good. It's not like life-changing. It's just a pleasant time with the movies.

And that, to me, that's enough. I think it's going to win. You think so? It's like 23 to one. Yeah. Cause fantasy was explaining that preferential treatment thing to me last week. And these movies are too polarizing that are in there. And I just think the way the voting works, everyone's going to have complete

unknown in the top five, maybe it's four, maybe it's three, a couple of people have been like, I liked it the most. It's my one. And it's just going to kind of rack up votes, but it feels like I thought Coda, we, we all bet on Coda, which we talked about. Like it just, that just seems to oscarated me that year. Cause the year was so confusing and it was like, well, everybody liked this movie. Complete unknown kind of feels there.

No, I get it. But complete unknown just feels people like Chalamet. I could say see winning anyway. This thing I'm looking at now, it's like 23 to one. Yeah. Well, and keep in mind though, the producers guild uses preferential ballot and that one went to Enora. So it can benefit there. So do you think Chalamet wins as we head toward it? That is the biggest question. It's Chalamet, Adrian Brody with Ray Fines from Conclave as the

dark horse. And I honestly, I do think Chalamet is going to win. I think that what we saw last year with Emma Stone beating Lily Gladstone, Emma Stone from Poor Things beating Lily Gladstone from Killers of the Flower Moon.

I think that the voters, like, Hollywood is so desperate for young stars now. Like, when there is someone that you can rally behind, people will go for it. Like, there's just, you know, Adrian Brody has an Oscar already. Ray Fiennes, like, great actor, but like, is he the future of Hollywood? No. I just feel like Chalamet, he has sort of stumbled into this amazing career,

and he's both box office bankable and a good actor and sort of likeable and like dates Kylie Jenner and is like a celebrity in the old school way. Yeah. I just feel like he's got the package people will want to endorse and it's the way to honor the movie. And it would be the most fun speech. Oh, for sure. For sure.

Very well. Are you kidding me? He'll thank his agent, his wife and be off, you know, Chalamet who knows what he'll do. The shocking thing to me is at least in the odds that I'm saying that Demi Moore is the favorite for the substance over Mikey Madison, who I thought, I just thought Mikey Madison was a lock. That was the best performance I saw all year. Yeah. But this is a career performance thing.

Like, aren't you shocked when I tell you that Demi Moore has never been nominated for an Oscar? Doesn't that shock you? I thought if her about last night, she should have won. Or ghost? Like whoopie wins? You didn't even blink. I was kidding about about last night she should have won or ghost like whoopee You didn't even blink I was kidding about about last night. I do love her in about last night No, I mean about last night is a I mean that is a Be careful. It's a great movie be careful. Honestly, I haven't seen it in probably 20 years

But do you think the Amelia Perez lady would have won without the without all the stuff that happened? Probably not. would have won without all the stuff that happened? Was she the favorite or not? Demi Moore is a classic example of the Academy rallying around someone who is, it's not necessarily their best foot forward, but it's about time and this person should have been nominated in the past. And it's about longevity. Like she stuck it out and she got a movie role that was worthy of her finally. She gave a great speech at the Golden Globes, which I think was very strategic,

talking about how she was not taken seriously and how she had to persevere. The movie itself is about this desire to be young and to be relevant and to stay in the mix. She has the whole narrative around her. And I honestly think a lot of Academy voters won't even watch the movie and will vote for her. I like the movie.

That happens. I understand why they had to play the last half hour the way they did, but it was not a fun last half hour. No, and honestly, not most, I think a lot of people will turn it off. It's an excessive movie to say the least but I it was memorable Yeah, I would never lie. It's not gonna be in the rewatchables. I'll tell you that much That Mike Mikey Madison while is she's amazing I would absolutely vote for her if she doesn't win

It's because she's too new. She's not in Chalamet territory where she's a star and we want to endorse her. Like, she'll have her chance. It'll be the Austin Butler moment where he ended up losing to Brendan Fraser because Brendan Fraser had the narrative around him. He's a stalwart actor who's done good work, finally had a moment in a movie that mattered

and they gave him the Oscar. It'll be the same thing if Mikey Madison loses to Demi Moore. It's tough when that was clearly the best performance of the year, other than maybe Chalamet. Like for me, it was like the two performances that jumped out to me this year from everything I saw were those two. I'll be a little controversial here. I thought Zoe Saldana in Amelia Perez was fantastic. Singing, dancing, playing that character. She's the lead of the movie. They put her in supporting

because they thought Carla Gascon would be the lead and they'd have a chance to get her an Oscar there. But I think Zoe Saldana is amazing in that movie. Daldoni versus Lively. Kendrick versus Drake. 2024 set up 2025. The year of the beef. We can talk about what other beefs we want, but this just about Daldoni Blake Lively thing is the kind of story that would happen in like the eighties and nineties and you'd read like a premiere magazine or spy or Vanity Fair in 1994, some giant feature about it.

And you'd just be like, what the hell is happening? I know. Now this story keeps going and going. Yeah. In real time. Now we're getting daily updates and they're putting, they're setting up websites to attack each other. I mean, it is the difference between the Kendrick and Drake beef and this Bell Doni gate that

I'm calling it. There's a winner in the Kendrick Drake debate. And Kendrick won. I mean, very clearly he won the beef. I don't think there's a winner in Valdoni Blake. Just losers. They're both losers. They are both. I think Ryan Reynolds and Blake Lively misplayed their hand here.

They thought that they were gonna go after this guy and they were just gonna shut him down with this New York Times piece and she was gonna be able to get her reputation back because the stuff that came out during that press tour for It Ends With Us, it didn't hurt the movie. The movie grossed $300 million. That's the whole joke of this.

It was a giant hit. I think it actually helped the movie. Yeah, it helped the movie. They should have just walked away, gone their separate ways and like let it lie. It was the biggest movie she'd had in like eight years. Brought her back. She was super hot after that. She was doing like shark movies in the mid 2010s. She was. But she did take a hit on the branding side because of some of the videos and things that came out. And they looked at that and they're like, this is bullshit. This guy is out there seeding the internet with negativity, they believe. And they went after him to try to get her name back. I don't think that that

worked. I think that the long drawn out process here, keep in mind, Baldoni has a rich guy behind him, an investor in his company, Like a Peter Thiel Gawker? Not a Peter Thiel style guy, but he's got, I forget his name, but he's got an investor in his company that is super wealthy and can afford to litigate against people like Ryan Reynolds and Blake Lively. He's got this lawyer, Brian Friedman, who is a attack dog and his specialty is fighting for people's reputations as well as their legal rights. So he's not going to lie down here and just let them run over him. They

thought that they could go to the New York Times, get the Harvey Weinstein reporter to do this expose, and then he would bow down and probably settle and send, you know, give Blake Lively the rights to do a sequel to this movie and he would go away. He's not going away. And they have just been slinging mud at each other. And I don't think either of them is benefiting. Well, you, I mean, this is your background, even before you got into what you're doing now. Although I was, I was a lawyer.

I used to handle these cases. Yeah. Um, there's real defamation potential here that, um, you know, the whole thing is you have to prove somebody had malicious intent with whatever they're doing and can't be like, Oh, I had this throwaway line on a podcast and then I shouldn't have said that. This is like you malicious intent is the key. And it feels like there's malicious intent in this, which is what's so interesting. There has to be actual malice is the standard or reckless disregard for the

truth. And the other element is it's got to be false. If it's just unflattering, it doesn't matter. It has to be false. And I think in many of these cases, the stuff that was resurfaced by Baldoni's team allegedly was old interviews of Blake Lively speaking in her own voice. So that's not false. It may be unflattering. And there's some other stuff that they say was false, but it's very unclear who would actually win if this case ever does go to trial because the causation here, even if you're hiding,

even if you're hiring shady characters to see the internet with unflattering comments, is that actionable? I was thinking more the New York Times piece of it. Oh, you mean what the New York Times published and whether that's defamation? Like, I think these two are going to- That's a BS case. No, but that- I don't believe that's real.

I don't think, I don't think the New York Times would lose a defamation case for going with a story based on interviews with a subject and a legal proceeding that was actually filed. Okay. Like. Because it seemed like that, like part of his case was they only took one side of this exchange. Sure. They had all access to all of this.

They only decided to print this. And that got into interesting territory, just reading about it. I was like, ah, there's something, I can see the case. But again, the standard is whether the reporting was false. Right. Was it false? You could argue that it was slanted.

You could argue that it may even be misleading if you don't include the full context of something, but does it rise to the level of defamation? And should the New York Times have known and did they purposefully disregard certain facts in order to create a portrait of this guy that was false or, or misleading. I'm not, I mean, we, during the discovery process, we will see what comes out, but from the complaint itself, I'm not convinced that the, that Valdoni has a case against the times.

So you, you think this is basically a nuclear war where both sides just blew each other up and there's no winners, there's no losers. It's not even a zero sum game. My advice to them both is settle now, go away for six months and then come back. Like do some settlement agreement where they agree to never say each other's names again, uh, they will never be in the same room and they can try to salvage their reputations afterward because so about Tony actually, by doing everything he's done, actually was able to get

into an equal playing field again. Because before this felt like he was going to end his career. Depends on who you talk to. I think that his campaign has helped him after the New York Times piece. Keep in mind, when that piece came out, his agency dropped him. He had a bunch of movies set up that went away. That New York Times piece did actually hurt him a lot. So, understandably, he returned fire. The end result now, though, is that they are just

machine gunning each other from 10 feet away and they're they're killing each other. There's a Taylor Swift piece too that's kind of fun. Oh my god. I mean do you believe that she's masterminding the whole thing? I don't. No. I do think that she's probably she probably encouraged it from the beginning. Everything that she has done in her career has been to stand up for herself, go on the offensive, fight back. Especially against if there's a guy who's been mistreating her in the public, she's going to fight back. And she probably said to Blake, fuck this guy, go after him. Well, I don't know if you know this, but Blake Lively has my wife and daughter's support because both of them have landed on,

I don't like that guy's face as the reason to side against Baldoni. So there you go. I did enjoy that the paparazzi happened to see him on vacation with his family and happened to photograph him shirtless in a like beefcake pose. And those photos happened to be circulated about how he was spending time with his family on vacation. So that's it. The machinations going on here. That's the really interesting thing is just the whole underground PR world with these crisis people are fighting for the essentially the share of mindsets of people online. And that to me is a new world in crisis PR that is pretty fascinating. And something you've been writing about and talking about for the last couple years,

some PR people who are just absolute barracudas. And some of them are in this. Oh, I know everybody involved here. The woman who rep'd him, Steph Jones, who also rep Tom Brady, has a... I mean, she is just the worst. The worst. She slimed me. Like, I just... The level of depravity of some of these crisis PR people is... I mean, you think it's low and then they go lower. What was the best crisis PR TV show ever?

A couple of people have taken swings at this. Scandal. I mean, that was a lawyer, but scandal was good. They had remember there was the Courtney Cox one or she was the one I was thinking of. It still feels like an editor of like an Us Weekly type. Right. Yeah. Yeah. And then Kendrick Drake, is that over? Do people care anymore?

Is this going to be it or is there like another level to this? I mean, Drake's got to fight back, right? He's got an album. I know, but it feels like it just keeps going and going. Does Hollywood care? No, it's a music industry thing. But I think that people in the music industry definitely care. Certainly Universal Music Group cares because they have both of them on their label

and they got sued by one of their own artists for defamation. That story is nuts. Where, where do you stand on? The NFL certainly cared. They wouldn't let him say pedophile on the Superbowl. They also stuck up for him though. They let, I mean, I think there were some lawsuits behind the scene that they, they kind of aligned with Kendrick.

Maybe. I mean, it's pretty remarkable that that Superbowl performance aired. Like that is, it was a openly political, you know, a, uh, a diss track. A, I mean, the fact that would have never aired on the Super Bowl 10 years ago. Or about four years ago, maybe even four years ago. I, yeah, I just feel like that the fact that that, and you know, his, it, his fans loved it. And his fans loved it.

I think there were probably a lot of older, white people in America who didn't get it. I could feel them in the Superdome. Yeah, exactly. You could feel the energy. Donald Trump not rocking along to the Kendrick set. No, he was not. But honestly, that's kind of great. I kind of love that that happened on the Super Bowl. Speaking of Trump, Hollywood, they're in the second Trump term.

Very different. Versus the first Trump term. What are the differences you're seeing early on here? I think Hollywood is sort of in this weird place where people just don't know what's going on. The whole vibe shift people talk about, how the culture is changing and all these, you know, DEI is under attack and all the whole diversity movements under attack. Like,

Hollywood people are, I think, a little more cautious to speak out against Trump than they were the first time around where the whole resistance movement and there was, you know, he barely won. And, you know, there was this, this feeling of, of, you know, this, this guy squeaked into the white house and who is he in the chaos now that Trump has been more normalized. Um, I feel like Hollywood is kind of figuring out how to respond. And you've got these big media companies that are like openly paying him off. I mean, that's what my question is there more is there more fear of him this time around with some of the decisions big companies Are making is it feels like they're really totally. I mean this this this is a present that's like purely transactional

it's what are you doing for me and Disney which had this open lawsuit with Trump over the George Stephanopoulos claims on GMA. They just said, you know what, it's not worth dealing with it. We're going to pay him $15 million, settle this. And if I'm Bob Iger, that's kind of an easy decision because the last thing you want with this president is to have a politicized brand. Disney thrives on being a non-political brand and it had been politicized by Trump and others. So just pay him off and he'll leave you alone.

We saw today Disney put out a revise on their DEI initiatives to change their diversity language to more like talent focused to kind of soften what they are doing in the diversity space. I think a lot of Hollywood companies are looking at Disney and what they're doing to see where they are going to go on this. They don't want to get sued by the Justice Department because they are looking to make shows with diverse people of color voices. They want to avoid any problems like that.

Now we've got this Paramount sale. The studio is for sale. Actually, they have a deal that they're selling to David Ellison and Trump is now, uh, threatening to hold that up based on the 60 minutes interview with Kamala Harris on CBS, which he claims was biased. So there's a whole, there's a whole like dealing with Trump issue now in Hollywood that I think people don't really know how to deal with. Yeah. And what happens, like what happens if he goes to Disney and he's just take him off

the air, I'm just going to cause incredible amounts of trouble the next four years or, or what if he goes to Paramount and says, Colbert's got to go for me to even think about doing this. So all of this would be bad for James Babydoll Dixon, by the way. But, it would be. And that's where I look at everything through the lens of is this good or bad for Babydoll Dixon, by the way. But it would be. That's where I look at everything through the lens of is this good or bad for Babydoll.

What happens if he makes that part of the thing and would somebody stand up to him or would they be like, ah, all right? Something like that, where if the president said, I want you to fire Stephen Colbert, something like that, I think they would probably stand up against. But it's the more new one. Are you sure? I'm not sure. I'm not. I'm not sure. But it's like you think they pay a hundred million a year for the

show. It gets out, but it's like, oh, we were thinking about pushing my, like, they could spin in a certain way. They could. But Trump would probably brag about it. And then who's next? And then it's a purge. Would you be surprised? I would be surprised with that. I think if you're running a media company, you have to think bigger picture than that.

And what's the implications for a move like that? Something like what Sherry Redstone is dealing with right now at Paramount where Trump has this 20 billion dollar lawsuit against CBS News over the Kamala Harris interview. Everybody I have talked to in the legal world said it is a totally bullshit lawsuit. Would never win. But Trump is doubling down.

He's screaming about it on social media. So if you're Sherry Redstone and you can get rid of this by donating $20 million to the Trump presidential library and it doesn't and it takes away a threat to your $8 billion merger with Skydance that you want. I think that's an easy answer. You do that. You pay them $20 million and you make that go away. That, that is the, that's more likely the kinds of stuff that's going to go on.

Do you think, uh, the horrific fires and everything we're going through here in Southern California is going to change at all the way Hollywood thinks about it? Southern California thinks about Hollywood as a business because I always felt like it was shifting that, like so many people are filming stuff outside of LA and California because the tax breaks are so much better in Canada. You go to freaking South Africa, you go to Atlanta, and it always seemed like missed money. And I wonder, are they gonna start thinking outside the box

with stuff like that, and maybe trying to bring people back? I think they already are. I mean, there's this proposal in California to double the tax credits, and that was a Gavin Newsom thing that he put in place after the strikes, because the strike, I mean,

production was already really hurting in the area. Oh yeah. after the strikes because the production was already really hurting in the area. Oh, yeah. And the strikes were awful. And they have this, you know, go up to about seven hundred and something million in tax credits, which would be good, but wouldn't change the calculus for most productions. I mean, they're shooting reality shows outside of California now because the economics are so much better.

That's crazy. The Rob Lowe game show. Yeah. The game show for people who can't read that aired after the Super Bowl. That thing shoots, I believe, in Ireland because it's just cheaper to go there and fly all those people there. And that's what I think the movement now within the industry is to try to use some of the momentum from the fires. I hate to use that word momentum when you're talking about fire aftermath, but

there is this recognition that if you they want the industry to come back in LA there's gonna need to be investment. So I think that there will be a state investment. I don't know about federal. I mean you never know what Trump and them are gonna do, but statewide yes. And then some of these companies, you know, imagine the goodwill if Disney or Universal, one of these said, you know what, not only are we going to make five more movies in LA, but we're going to build a soundstage in Altadena and it's going to employ 300 people and provide jobs that people don't have to go to Bulgaria for the summer to do their jobs in movies. And I think there'd be a lot of goodwill around that.

Ultimately push comes to shove, it's money. And if the economics make sense, they'll do it. But there is momentum now to at least make the economics better. That's what I'm really hoping for. And most people aren't going to care about this, but we both know so many people who you're making content and you're traveling to these crazy places and you're away from your family for four or five months. And it's just like, why are we doing it this way? Why aren't we filming as much stuff? You watch those TV shows, movies from the seventies and eighties and everything's in LA.

And why, like, why can't we get back to that? And this is not a new thing, but it has become more pronounced as the incentive To exit has gotten bigger and some of the you shoot in the UK It's like a 40% rebate on everything on star salaries star salaries are currently excluded in California So you can't get a rebate on paying Tom Cruise 20 million dollars but in the UK for the UK you can get 40% of that back. And you know, like everybody I know is impacted. Lucas, Lucas Shaw, my Monday guy on the town,

his fiance is in Chicago for a bunch of months because they're shooting a show she's producing and they got credits to do it there. I sat next to somebody at one of the Dodger playoff games. He was like, yeah, I'm about to go to South Africa filming this BET show. And I'm like, is it like set in South Africa? It's like, no, no, it's just cheaper to shoot there. I'm like, what?

You're you've had multiple kids is going away. But it's just, they feel like they have to fix that. Meanwhile, the only people that have figured out business in LA is the Dodgers. Oh, who you know, I know we have in L.A. is the Dodgers. Oh, you noticed my hat. I know. We have to end on that. They've ruined baseball. They figured out how to make Japan the second revenue stream. They've owned it. They now own Japan and California.

All baseball is no longer fun. You've ruined it completely. All all revenue streams that are readily available to any major league baseball team should choose to invest in their own team. It's too late now. They it's basically like the Japan Dodgers is a wrap. You just get everybody now. Listen, we'll see.

You know, best laid plans. A lot of by the mid season, we might have five pictures on the. You feel good about this? Like you really feel good about rigging the system like this? You feel as long as you can sleep at night. I get it. I get it that other teams are upset about this, but this is not a, like, they're not cheating. These are the rules.

You can do what you wanna do, and now that football's over, everybody in LA, it's Mookie Betts season for everybody in LA except one guy, you. This is what I would say if I rooted for the team that was ruining a professional sport in real time. I would say, hey, these are the rules. Sorry. I get it.

I get it. But we've won one championship. We won the 2020 championship in, you know, sort of booby prize fashion. It doesn't guarantee anything. And if the Dodgers want to pay that that they are making so much money by investing. Yes, they have a great local TV deal. Yes, they have private equity owners that can structure these deals in a way that defers all this money and they can make that work. But this is not some system that is out of reach for most of these owners.

They are choosing not to invest. And if your owner chooses not to invest, scream at your owner. Now, I'm not actually mad at the Dodgers. The Lakers are the team that makes me mad. And if you're like the Clippers and you've really thought outside the box, you build this awesome arena, it started, there's finally signs of the end with the Lakers, with LeBron hitting 40, and they don't have any draft picks left.

They're just gonna suck. They're not very, especially well run. It's like, here we go. We actually have a chance to maybe take this. It's way more fun to go to a Cooper game. And then in one dumb trade, the Lakers are back. Luca's gonna be the guy now for the next 10 years and none of it matters. And Luca will be the biggest star in LA in basketball.

Do you think so? I do. I do. And there's no way for the Quippers to combat that. So you don't subscribe to this whole theory that the NBA is suffering because Americans don't root for the foreign players like they do for the American players? Well, they're about to because Luca just went to their most important franchise. Well, we're going to see a big test.

This is it. It's not even a test. He's going to be gigantically popular. Do you think Luka can get to LeBron levels of fandom? I don't. It's an interesting question. I think if it's going to happen, this is the team for it to happen. And if, and if the trade can light the fire under him and make him truly great, and he can win like three titles in a row and average 30 a game and be the best guy in the league, like, yeah, that's going to happen. We, we would have said it wasn't going to happen with LeBron. There was a whole LeBron versus Kobe thing in 08, 09, 2010. He goes to Miami the first year.

He sucks in the finals. It seemed like it wasn't gonna happen for him. Like, you just never know. Luca has the calendaries. I will defer to you on all things NBA, but I just have a hard time believing there's gonna be appetite for Luca to star in a Space Jam sequel.

Yeah, but nobody saw the Space Jam sequel. It bumped. Well, but he got a green lit. He got a green lit and people were buying shows from him for a while. Yeah. And then we're not. Steph Curry has a production company and people think he's a media personality. I just don't know that the foreign players have as much cache as the US

born players who people relate to. We talked about this many times in the pod. We have not seen it happen yet. I think if it doesn't happen in this case, with a guy on the Lakers, you know, especially if he becomes really good. I still, like anecdotally, just I'm sure you feel the same. Like all the LA fans are going bonkers.

Like they can't believe. So this will be the test case. And I think this is the best possible guy for them to get. It's funny, we're talking about the appeal of foreign players when who's the biggest star in L.A. right now. Shohei Otani. Right. And like no one seems to give a shit that he doesn't even speak English. I know. But not very much.

And like my kid, you know, has three Otani jerseys, like the freaking bobblehead knight. That's going to be Luca. It was like the Beatles. So let's let's end be Luca. It was like the Beatles. So let's, let's end on this. Any LA celebrity athlete, actor, musician, actress, you name it, walks into a restaurant right now in February, 2025. Who stops the restaurant the hardest? Oh, Taylor Swift. Okay.

So she's clear number one. She's clearly the number one most famous celebrity in the hardest. Oh, Taylor Swift. Okay. So she's clear number one. Clearly the number one most famous celebrity in the world. The most like you're, you're in Mid-Bite and you're just like, Oh my God, it's Taylor Swift. So she's one. So who's two? Two is a tougher question. I mean, I think it's generational.

If it's for you and me, Leo. Right? Right. So you're saying 25 and under, maybe it's Chalamet. Chalamet, maybe. Or Zendaya. I don't think it's Chalamet. Oh, Zendaya is a good one.

Yeah. Or maybe, maybe a music star. Honestly, the music stars are just so much bigger. There's no football star. I don't think Mahomes does it. No, Mahomes is boring. And, uh, maybe someone like Selena Gomez for young people, she's just so immensely popular. And she means nothing to me.

And I don't even really like, I don't really get her as an actress, but for young people, she means a ton. Same with Zendaya. Beyond that, like it's just so generational now. Tom Cruise, probably the biggest movie movie star out there. It's so funny that Taylor has this locked up and like a crazy, crazy, maybe nobody in the 21st century has locked it up like this. Can you think of anyone else? No, no.

I'd say probably most famous person in the world other than like the Pope or Donald Trump. Beyonce? Beyonce second? No, I'm saying as number two. in the world other than like the Beyonce or Donald Trump. Beyonce second? No, I'm saying as number two. Maybe Beyonce is a huge star, but Beyonce doesn't actually sell that many albums anymore. She's, you know, Taylor was the, had the number one album of last year

and the number one tour and is the number one, you know, celebrity on paparazzi radar. So I think she's just in another league. The guy who's figured out the best, the best version of a celebrity is Mookie Betts. He lives in, lives in LA. So there's a kajillion celebrities here. He's not that big. Like he's like five, nine, five, ten.

Looks like a regular dude. He slides in. He just goes to Laker games. He goes to like Kupfer games. He can just go anywhere and you kind of don't even really know it's Mookie Betts. He has it the best. He can bowl a 300. Right. He makes $300 million.

He makes a $300 million contract and he just has a kick-ass house in the valley and lives his life. You know who's up there in a stop the restaurant party standpoint? I talked about the Sun and out of Shaq just because of the size and how recognizable he is. Yeah, the NBA guys obviously have a huge advantage. Brady has it too. Brady's like 6'6". So when he comes in, he's like six inches, nine inches taller than everybody. You just notice him. You can also probably push him over a light breeze. Come on. All right. Matt, I know you're friends.

Can you tell him to eat a sandwich? Please. Not friends with Brady. No, no. No. Yeah, I'm not. You just idolize him. I did once upon a time.

Yeah. I listened to be where if he played for my team, I would idolize him too. Matt Bellamy, you can listen to him on the town. You can read him on the puck and excellent website. Um, and then, uh, what else? Anything? That's uh, what else? I don't know.

That's it. Yeah. Listen to the town. Listen, uh, read my puck newsletter called what I'm hearing. That's it. Someday, someday Craig Hor Korbeck will stop a restaurant Someday it will be gonna happen soon Thanks Bellamy, thank you. All right, that's it for the podcast. Thanks to Brian Curtis and Matt Bellamy

Thanks to Sarudy and Kyle and Gahal as well. Don't forget you can watch this on the Bill Simmons YouTube channel You can also watch this on Spotify. I hope you did because we're going video podcasts from now on on Spotify. Um, and new rewatchables we put up on Monday night, the blues brothers. If you missed it, I will have another podcast for you on Thursday. Enjoy the middle of the week.