The Bill Simmons Podcast - NBA Draft Questions, Harper vs. Fox, and the USMNT’s World Cup Ceiling

Episode Date: June 19, 2026

The Ringer’s Bill Simmons is joined by Tim Legler to preview the NBA draft. Then, Anthony Dabbundo joins the pod to recap the World Cup matches so far, including the USMNT’s impressive 4-1 win aga...inst Paraguay, and discuss many other topics related to the tournament. (0:00) Intro (2:27) NBA draft questions with Tim Legler (01:02:42) Harper vs. Fox (01: 23:57) Favorite Giannis landing spot (01:33:13) World Cup talk with Anthony Dabbundo Host: Bill Simmons Guests: Tim Legler and Anthony Dabbundo Producers: Chia Hao Tat and Eduardo Ocampo Brought to you by PayPal. Learn more at paypal.comThe Ringer is committed to responsible gaming. Please visit https://fanduel.com/playwithaplan to learn more about the resources and helplines Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 This episode is brought to you by Dovemen Plus Care. Fellas, it's time to care for your skin like you care for the game. Dove Men Plus Care is an official sponsor of the FIFA World Cup 2026 and has just dropped their new limited edition deodorant and antiperspirant collection. The deodorant is gentle on your skin, bringing you 72 hour protection with zero aluminum. The antipersprint comes in a gozone dry spray for a smooth glide stick, keeping you fresh from kickoff to the final whistle. visit dove.com slash c a slash E.N slash men dash care to shop now.
Starting point is 00:00:35 The Bill Simmons podcast is presented by PayPal. We are also presented by the Ringer Podcast Network where it is from Hell Month on the rewatchables. We put up hand that rocks the cradle this week. I think we're putting up domestic disturbance, the Good Sun, and Pacific Heights, all before the end of June, because this is from Hell Month.
Starting point is 00:00:59 So you have all that to look forward to. All those movies are on Netflix. By the way, as well, I'm going to be on Netflix on Sunday night with Zach Lowe. We might have a mystery third with us as well. So probably 5 p.m., 6 p.m. E.T. range will be going live for an hour and a half, getting you ready for a big NBA week that's coming. Speaking of, Tim Legler is coming up in one second.
Starting point is 00:01:21 We're going to be talking about the draft, what we learned from the finals, how does that help team building, predictions, all kinds of things. And then I'd love the World Cup. I've watched a ton of it. So I made Anthony Dubundo come on, and we talked about, USA's semifinals chances, final eight chances,
Starting point is 00:01:38 some sort of chances. Things are better. Things are optimistic. A huge game coming on Friday. I hope you're going to be out at a bar or somewhere fun watching it. But so we talked to the Bundo and that is the podcast.
Starting point is 00:01:50 We're going to take a break. Pearl Jam and then Tim Legler. This episode of the Bill Simmons podcast is presented by PayPal. You know a clutch move and you see one. A no look pass, a buzzer beater, big steel. Well, imagine if you're
Starting point is 00:02:03 wallet could pull off moves like that. That, my friends, is PayPal. Right now you can find offers from hundreds of brands like Sony, Allbirds, and Viator, and save offers before you check out. Earn unlimited rewards. Plus, you can add those rewards on top of credit card points. Now that is clutch. Download the PayPal app today. Save those offers. Start scoring rewards. Terms and exclusions apply. See PayPal.com slash rewards terms, credit card points subject to issuers, terms, and conditions. All right, so we're recording. It is Thursday afternoon, late Pacific time.
Starting point is 00:03:07 Tim Legler is here. He did not join us during the finals because he was calling the finals, and we were coming live after every finals game. I want to do some draft NBA stuff, and then at the end of this, I want to talk about what it was like to be there for such a crazy series.
Starting point is 00:03:21 I was so excited today. I read that you're involved with the NBA draft this year for ESPN. I had this whole plan for stuff to talk about. I didn't know we're able to, I didn't know you were prepped for the draft. This is unbelievable. Well, listen, to be full disclosure,
Starting point is 00:03:36 I'm not fully. I still have a few days to get there because this was kind of also a late in the game ad for me to be part of it. I mean, it gets fun. It's exciting. But at the same time, yeah, like there's a lot to acclimate yourself with. And I've been doing nothing, honestly, over the last couple days,
Starting point is 00:03:53 but watching a lot of film on a lot of guys. I saw my new, seen enough of, kind of had a feel, but even those guys, you know, to really get into the weeds, you need to see more film on guys. And then there was a bunch of other dudes when you start getting down, you know, anywhere from 10 through 30, because I'm just doing the first night. So, I'll be involved with the first round. So, like, you got a, you got a lot of catch-up to do. So I'm kind of in the midst of doing that, more or less. I did the draft two years, and I had an incredible amount of fun, just diving a half hour in each guy and then basically making a decision on how I felt.
Starting point is 00:04:26 And I'm, one of the drafts I had, Janus, and I'm like, I don't know, man, he looks, he looks pretty good, but it looked like he was playing against 13-year-olds. You know, you know what? I'm going to tell you something, though. Here's the truth. Like, you know, the new thing, and I don't think this always was
Starting point is 00:04:42 the case, but the new thing is what the draft is, like, the player comps. Yeah. Right? So drop a player name, and it's funny because, and I'm looking, and so in my research and in my film work, and I'm pulling different stuff up and you're seeing different player comps dropped by whatever source. I'm not going to get into those, but whatever the source may be.
Starting point is 00:05:00 And I'm just like, man, I don't like these. I don't like the comps because I feel like, I really feel like you're either, as an animal, you're either going way out on a limb. Yeah. Like, damn, man, that's a big reach because we have, you have no idea ultimately how a guy is going to swim at the next level. And a lot, there's a lot that goes into that, man. like fit early, just heart work ethic, handling pressure, maturity.
Starting point is 00:05:30 And like, you can do all the homework you want. You don't know, man, until those guys put an NBA uniform on. So some of these comps, I'm going, wow, okay, that's a big bite. But then there's other guys, I'd be like, oh, that's not fair enough to the guy. Like, you know what I mean? Like, I don't think the comp is enough. So, and I feel like either way, five years from now, like, you set yourself up to just get absolutely taken apart.
Starting point is 00:05:49 Like, if you, if you put a cop out there of some guy that's like a peridial All-Star and dudes bust. Like, you're going to hear about that in a big way. The other words, I'm not a big fan of the comps. So I'm just, I look at these guys. I have some bad news for you. All right. I was the one, my draft,
Starting point is 00:06:07 that was my big idea for the 2013 draft to do the players' comps. I'm Dr. Oppenheimer of this whole thing. Wait, are you the guy? I was. I was, I was doctor. That was my big idea. I was like, each player will do a comp of whatever. And then the second year I did it,
Starting point is 00:06:21 we blew it out even further. So you're that guy. I am. I started it. Who stares off. Alpenheimer in the movie, like, he stares off and he's seen math theorems and all that stuff. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:06:31 You're seeing former players, like just bouncing around in your head. I thought it would be a good way for the audience to understand what they were doing. But it's, and we do it for the Grant Land draft guide. We do it for the ringer draft guide. It's, it's really hard. Because if you do the wrong comp or you, you don't put enough thought to it, it can go as sideways as possible. Have you changed your opinion then on,
Starting point is 00:06:53 on like even giving the cops. Like, you know where I've gone? Unless it's just blatantly obvious. Yeah, yeah. I rarely do. It's almost like there's pieces of different guys, right? Like when I watch Caleb Wilson and I just, his, you can watch 20 minutes of him on YouTube and think he's going to be one of the best 15 quarters of all time.
Starting point is 00:07:14 Like, just see the way it's edited. You're like, oh my God, this guy's Janus crossed with bam, you know. And the problem with this stuff is you're seeing, like the absolute best of the best. It's the greatest hits of whatever the college season was, which is why you have to go watch like, you have to watch the last five minutes in different games,
Starting point is 00:07:34 like to really do this correctly. You got to see them in different pressors situations. That's a great point. And I also, the other thing is like the guys that you're comparing them to when they get the comp, that's that guy at his very best. And you're going,
Starting point is 00:07:49 okay, with these guys, most of these guys are 19. Right. Like, man, you know, so whatever. if there's some things that are clearly obvious with their physical profile. And maybe in addition to like sort of like stylistically, okay. But like that's the problem I have is you start throwing out guys that are,
Starting point is 00:08:07 you know, every year an All-Star Hall of Famer, all league players from the past. I'm like, man, that's a lot for a dude that's 19 when you just go back and look at the last 15 years of the draft. There's a lot of dudes that were picked in the top 10 and that you can't, that held all kinds of comps of all-star players from the past. Yeah. And a lot of those guys weren't even in the league in three or four years. With all that said, if you watched Darren Peterson's high school tape, he kind of looks like Kobe.
Starting point is 00:08:35 Like those are the cops where you're like, hey, it kind of looks like Kobe. Like that's, I don't know. Is that a player comp or is that just what my eyes are telling me? I, uh, I have gravitated. I've been fascinated by the draft my whole life. And even doing it those couple years was really helpful. But I've landed at the point, I really value what I just watched in the playoffs when I think toward the draft. And that's where I've landed the last couple of years.
Starting point is 00:09:01 And I feel like there's basically like three buckets of players. And I want to figure out like just the pure studs, right? The first four guys in this draft, I think flag was like this. Dylan Harper was like, just like these guys are studs. They're going to make it. They're going to be at very least starters. They have all NBA potential. Like that's a bucket.
Starting point is 00:09:22 And then I think the next group for me is playoff guys. And playoff guys to me means wings that can defend and hit threes and not hurt you offensively, but can switch on defense and just can fit in a series. Biggs who can defend the rim and rebound and maybe even stretch the floor a little. And then guards that can give you offense and not kill you. Basically, those three buckets as playoff guys. And if you look at the draft last year, Murray Boyles, I think, went, what do you go, nine or ten.
Starting point is 00:09:52 Yeah, 10th, I think. Maybe 10th. Coward went ninth. Carter Bryant, who I thought actually could have prayed probably a little more, San Antonio 14th, but we're always taking these guards ahead of these guys.
Starting point is 00:10:03 And sometimes I wonder, like, is this just the undervalue over and over again every year? These guys that we know are going to be playoff guys, and yet they always go three, four, or five picks too late. Yeah, no, I think it's a good point. I also think, like Carter Bryant's a fascinating guy to me, and I went, you go back to, like, last summer,
Starting point is 00:10:20 the first time I saw him, had seen a lot of film, and then I called his first game in Vegas in Summer League. And I was like, this guy was, he was so much more athletic than everybody else out there to me. And he's so ranging and bouncy and like hyper-energized. And I'm like, man, this is the type of dude. If he figures out how to shoot a little bit, this is the type of guy that you look at down the road for five years
Starting point is 00:10:45 as like an elite, elite perimeter defender. and I still think he's got a chance to get there. And the good news for him, his perimeter shooting really came a long way this year. Yeah. Now, you know, and Mitch Johnson clearly shrunk trust a little bit once they got deeper into the postseason. And look, he did play him the one game we called,
Starting point is 00:11:05 you know, against Jalen three straight possessions. And Jalen Brunson just went right into the paint and just bodied him up and footworked him to death and made three straight buckets. And it was demoralizing probably for this young kid. But look, my point is that he's another dude. that we didn't talk much about because we were spending so much time on Harper,
Starting point is 00:11:22 this is another guy they got that's going to be a big part of their future. There's no question in my mind. Yeah, and that's a guy that in a playoff series, he makes sense to me. It's clearly like a four, he could guard different positions. So when I look at like Res Johnson on Michigan,
Starting point is 00:11:36 and he's all over the place, right? Like he's in our draft guy, he's 13. I've seen him in mock drafts. He's like 10 to 14. And yet he's the kind of guy like, okay, so he'll take him at 12. And he'd be like, of course. Of course.
Starting point is 00:11:48 Of course they took him. That's going to be who it is. But let's do, we can talk about some of the neat stuff later. The top four is so much fun. And I'm always a big, take the guy that you think is the best guy. Like, figure it out. You have months and months to study these guys, how they would fit in with your team. Just go out on a limb and take your guy.
Starting point is 00:12:11 This is one of the only times I ever remember looking at a top four like this and thinking, I'd kind of be okay trading down to four. Like, if I was Utah, too, and I couldn't decide it's like, I might be okay moving backwards, two spots and getting even more stuff if somebody was super excited about Peterson. But who's your favorite out of these four? The bouncer is my guy. The banser's the guy. I believe that. I think that'll be the pick.
Starting point is 00:12:34 That should be the pick. I think what we're hoping for, you know, is that he's enthused about the situation. I mean, he's hard to tell. He's very stoic. Yeah. He actually came into the green room in, I think we're in San Antonio. I don't remember what game during the finals. He happened to be there that day.
Starting point is 00:12:50 They brought him in. I think his dad, they came in and we met him and talked to him a little bit. And I was joking. I'm like, hey, man, I'd give you good restaurants in Washington, but it's been 30 years since I played there, 26 years. So I think they probably changed. We kind of had a joke about it. He's very serious guy, man, you know?
Starting point is 00:13:06 And I'm just like, maybe that's just kind of how he's wired because I know a lot of people read into, you know, when the lottery happened and the Wizards got the first pick and he was there and they showed him and he just looks so serious, borderline unhappy. And I just was like, man, let's just give him a little bit of slack here, right? This is overwhelming to him. He has now gone from, you know, in the last two years,
Starting point is 00:13:26 you think about you're trying to find your way as a high school player, hitting the AAU circuit, climbing the charts, and now you're the number one pick, a presumptive number one pick in the draft, you know, going to a team that's had, you know, hasn't won a lot in a long time. It's a lot to process. And maybe people are viewing you a certain way. So I'm not going to read into that.
Starting point is 00:13:43 He's the guy because I think his, what he could do from a skill standpoint, combined with the physicality that he brings and some of those metrics, that combination and versatility in his game, I feel like he's got a greater margin to find his lane. Because I'm not sure exactly what ultimately his ceiling is, but I think he does kind of like everything well. And he's very athletic and he's strong and he's tough and he seems serious about. this. He's a worker. He looks like a guy to me that like you go, okay, we bring him in because we think he's the best guy, not exactly sure how we're going to plug him in, how we're going to use him, what his ultimate strength is primarily early offensively. It doesn't matter because there's a lot to work with. Yeah. I think for me, combination of size, the toughness, athleticism with the skill set, I think this is the right pick. I landed there early February.
Starting point is 00:14:40 I watched these guys for a while and at some point it was like, what are we doing? he's got to be the first pick, especially because you don't know what his body's going to look like five years from now. You know, he already looks like he's 26. And you think about, you know, some of the guy like the Tatum,
Starting point is 00:14:55 Jaylen Brown, guys like that, how they grew into these adult bodies by the time they're 25, 26, 27, like the muscle he's going to put on. You can play their position. By the way,
Starting point is 00:15:05 Washington's taking him. That's how this is playing out. They're going to take him. And I don't. For sure. And he joins a group. I mean, look at their roster in the nome
Starting point is 00:15:13 of like top 10 picks on their roster. They've got a lot of lottery picks there. It fits in with what they have. Developing nicely. He does. And the one thing they don't have, though, they do not have a face of the franchise type of guy. They don't.
Starting point is 00:15:28 They've got some former number one pick or former lottery picks. And like, Sarby the top of those for me. Like he's grown tremendously. I really like his game. But this guy is different because of the nature of the position. This is a guy that you could put the ball in his hands in the open floor and the half court. He can go get his own against guys. That's a lot harder for a guy as tall as Alexar.
Starting point is 00:15:52 He's never going to have like that type of handle to just go break a guy down. DeBonza can do it. So they don't have this level of franchise guy, even though they've got some really nice young players. Trey Johnson was a guy I loved last year. Guys are walking bucket. Yeah. But they don't have this. This is a different level.
Starting point is 00:16:11 a guy that with that kind of size that can play off the dribble, shoot it, go get his own and break guys down. They don't have that combination. And is that a big spotlight on him for a while? It's the right pick. You know, there's a piece of me wonders if Boozer also was the right pick for them.
Starting point is 00:16:29 And we always talk with the draft that you always hear like floor, ceiling, floor, ceiling, high floor, low floor, high ceiling, lower ceiling. And Boozer seems like he has both a high floor, but also potentially a high ceiling with his IQ. And he's just going to produce, he's been. I like that way when you put it that way, Bill,
Starting point is 00:16:50 because we've seen too many guys in the playoffs, particularly the separation between floor and ceiling. The variance between floor and ceiling is too great. I don't feel like there's variance with him. Yeah, and the thing I didn't like about him, he didn't have that little foul line jumper. I felt like he would be bowling his way to the basket over and over again when he really wanted to get points,
Starting point is 00:17:08 which he could in college. and in the pros, you're not going to do that in the same way. But this is the 19-year-old version of him. You know, when you think like these guys, I think he has the competitiveness and the work ethic. I think A.J. has it. And Caleb Wilson definitely has it. This was a comp, by the way I did like.
Starting point is 00:17:27 Can I tell you the comp I saw that I did kind of like? What was it? With Boozer, it's Kevin Love. I thought that was a pretty good comp. Think about Kevin Love at his best, in Minnesota before he, you know, he went and, you know, sacrificed a lot to go win. But his first years in Minnesota, I think about how productive he was because he's, you know, Boozer's not a guy, is going to blow you away athletically.
Starting point is 00:17:50 Yeah. He's more of a grounded game. But I think he's going to stretch his shooting out to be a really consistent deep NBA shooter. He's already got good shooting range. That's got to improve, obviously. It's a huge thing, those extra three, four feet. Like, you really have to put some time. And I think he can get there.
Starting point is 00:18:04 Any ball that he gets his fingertips on off to defensive glass is his very Kevin Love like. He's smart. He can outlet the ball quickly because he's got a high IQ off the glass. He gets it out of his hands quick to the guard. That's a Kevin Love trade too. So like, I don't love a lot of comps. I thought, yeah, Kevin Love at first I saw it. It's like, let me think about that. And then I started watching more and more film on booze. I'm like, you know what, I don't mind that one. I loved like heavier Kevin Love was one of my favorite rebounders of all time. When he had like the extra 20. You couldn't displace them. If he was down there, no, if he got position, it was game over. Even though he wasn't going to jump over you at all.
Starting point is 00:18:40 He just got his back on you and you was done, man. One of the best offensive rebounders I've ever seen that earlier version of him. Like if I think about like the great, great, great rebounders that I've seen in person. And I'm sure you played with and against some of these guys. But Moses was an all-timer. I wrote about this in my book. Moses had this trick where he would kind of go under the basket almost out of bounds. And then he would just back in backwards.
Starting point is 00:19:05 And then he would just be next to the rim tipping it in. Moses, Barclay was incredible. Kevin Love was another one. Kevin Love also did very similarly to the big play in the game, what Mitchell Robinson did so Mee on that big missed free throw where they walk guys
Starting point is 00:19:22 so deep they can't react to the ball. It gets beyond them. Kevin Love was great at that. I can see Boozer being that type of rebate because they're not going to get those ones where you're going to run from point A to point B, cover 20 feet, because you're tracking it with your
Starting point is 00:19:37 eyes and then you just go jump over two guys and get it. They're not going to get those kind. It's got to be done a little bit more with body positioning and then just IQ and just their sense and instincts for the ball so high. So I just think, I just think Boozer, to your point, floor is pretty high with him. I'd just be hard to imagine him not being a really impactful NBA player, even if he doesn't turn into a franchise guy, which all 40s top four, who knows, maybe they could. he might not, but his floor is so high, he's still going to be a really, really good NBA player. I think he's just going to be excellent. And I said this a week and a half ago.
Starting point is 00:20:15 I think Utah is going to take them. I have no inside info. It's just from watching how Danny Ange treated the draft for the last 25 years, knowing some of the stuff that you need in Utah, like they know his family, obviously, because his dad played there and his dad works for them. to have a guy who could be this good who would also be like, yeah, I'm fired up to be in Utah. I think that matters.
Starting point is 00:20:38 And I'm not afraid of having him. And I love him and Jaron Jackson together. Like to me, that that's a combo that really makes sense. Whether Markin is there long term or not, I don't know. And then Kessler as another shopwalker, he could play with him too. I just, I'm good with like doubling down on size over taking Peterson and hoping last year was just a weird year.
Starting point is 00:21:00 and he's more like the high school of Peterson versus the freshman year of Peterson. I think Peterson is one of the toughest evaluations we've ever had with this. I don't know what to make of the fact that he got worse in college than he was in high school and that he didn't seem as, he doesn't seem as twitchy,
Starting point is 00:21:16 he doesn't seem as fast. I don't understand it. I didn't understand the creatine thing. Like, what do you make of all this? He is, first of all, I just, I'm just going from the pure, because a lot of the stuff, I don't think we have the answers to ourselves,
Starting point is 00:21:29 But when you just evaluate the guy physically and his tools, translating to the next level, he's one of those guys. You know, I watch him, some of the stuff I've watched, I'm like, man, like, that's NBA ready right now. Like, the guy can flat out score. He's got a control about his game that is almost like, even though he's out there with another, you know, two 19-year-olds paired or a couple of 20-year-olds or whatever,
Starting point is 00:21:55 he just looks so much more mature in his movements that it's obvious how easy it's coming to him. Well, you can see it on defense too, where just the way he's able to navigate around screens and stuff. He's the highest possible level. He's got control, man. But, like, I'm watching him. I've read stuff where he views himself
Starting point is 00:22:16 and maybe some people are evaluating him as, like, a point guard. I don't see that. I don't see that. I mean, I think he's, to me, maybe a combo guard that, yeah, you can put him in ball screen. To me, I reserve the phrase, point guard for like a different level of understanding of how you're organizing and and how easily you're facilitating for other people because you're two steps ahead with any action you run
Starting point is 00:22:39 you already know two defenders away what that rotation is going to look like and you're now you know what the next pass is going to be and so you're processing all of that in real time i don't see that when i watch him i see a guy who wants to go score and get his bucket and maybe yeah okay you can run ball screen with him because scorer's in this league growing ball screen. But to use the term point guard, like this is going to be a point guard one day that's going to be the guy that's like doing both, making the game easy for everybody while he's also going out getting 20, 25 a night. I don't know that I see him that way.
Starting point is 00:23:07 So this to me is more like you want a raw scorer and a guy that's super confident. I look at all that size up front already the Utah has. A lot of your points are good about boozer and like the fact the connection to the organization all that. Maybe that matters to him. Maybe it doesn't. And he definitely could play with Jared Jackson Jr. And it's actually something Jared Jackson Jr. needs is a guy next to him that can rebound.
Starting point is 00:23:24 the way Boozer can. Because he's not a big-time rebounder. He likes to block a lot of shots. He spends a lot of time in the perimeter offensively. He's a terrible rebounding numbers right there. Sixth a game. Yeah. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:23:35 But to think, you know, they already have Kessler. They have marketing who plays a lot of three. That's like another 6-10 and up guy to add to the mix to play, unless they had other plans for some of those guys and they want to move them. And, you know, that's kind of almost beyond my scope of what front offices think sometimes. But I look at Peterson. and I think he's just a natural raw score. So you look at the top of the draft,
Starting point is 00:23:58 first team that thinks they need that, that's who should take him. I think he's a two guard. I agree with you. I don't think he's a point guard. Although I do think that line has blurred over the years with the NBA where it's kind of like,
Starting point is 00:24:09 I don't think Shay's a point guard, right? But he is bringing the ball up a lot. But you and I, we grew up with like point cards were actually point guards. Their whole role was like table setter, almost like a host on a studio show or something. Their role is just to make.
Starting point is 00:24:24 make everybody better. But in the guard position, there's shifted now. There are exceptions to it. And you're right, it is blurred more than ever. But there are exceptions to it for guys that are so dominant off ball. I mean,
Starting point is 00:24:37 off of, off of, their ball handling. They're so dominant that they're dictating terms of the defense all the time. And organically, shots are being created for people, even if it's not necessarily in their direct wheelhouse.
Starting point is 00:24:49 I mean, like Steph Curry would be an example. Is he a natural point guard? No, he's a guy that created so much offense to his, movement and shooting and like the depths to which you had to go to guard him, he created offense just organically by being. Like, Shea with his dribble Brunson even as a guy.
Starting point is 00:25:05 Is he a natural come down table set or no, but he's so good at breaking you down. Organically stuff is created around him. So you have to be on a certain level. If you're the lead guard, let's call it that, because some people prefer that terminology, if you're the lead guard in the NBA and you want to be a contending team, you better be so damn good that you, because if it's not your natural thing to find, that you're creating better opportunities to find because you're so talented with the ball.
Starting point is 00:25:31 I don't know if he's going to be there or not. It's way too early to know that. It's the toughest one because there's a, I mean, if you're going to say out of all these guys, who's going to haunt anyone that passes them up, it's probably this guy. Because I think he is the highest ceiling of anyone. Like he, the high school stuff from a year ago,
Starting point is 00:25:51 which I've talked about on previous episodes, is you're just like, oh my God, this guy could be like the next guy, you know? And I don't know what happened to him in Kansas. I really get nervous with red flags before the draft. And I say that knowing I have a 21-year-old and 18-year-old and you watch kids change in real-time every six months, every nine months. And all of a sudden, you'd be like, wow, my daughter's completely different than she was six months ago. This is great.
Starting point is 00:26:18 I can't believe it. It's like she's an adult. So it's so hard. It's very, very true. It's so hard to project this. No, no doubt. And it hits. All of a sudden you're just kind of like, wow, that's nice.
Starting point is 00:26:30 Right. And it's like a friend of mine told me one time, we're talking about this parenting stuff. And he said, what you have to trust, like as a parent is that you made those deposits a long time ago. Right. And so one day, like, wow, it hits. And then you cash in. You're like, hey, it worked. They're a good human being.
Starting point is 00:26:51 Like, you know, sometimes along the way. it's hard being apparent. But I think it's what it is. You just trust it. And then you're right. With some of these players, it's the same thing. This is so difficult, man,
Starting point is 00:27:01 because of the way that top picks are scrutinized, if there's even any indication that you whiffed early, it could be overbearing for the player. Risa Shane. In Atlanta, there's so much at stake. I'm telling you, Marco Fultz is a guy that I was at the,
Starting point is 00:27:23 the Curry camp, the top 30 camp, the year that he was getting ready to go into his freshman year. And I was watching this guy and a Sixers had the first pick. And so all my friends are Sixers fans. And so I was like, man, I was out there in San Francisco. And I was working drills and doing stations and putting these guys to it, coached in the game. They have an All-Star game at the end of the weekend. I coached in the game. Like, Darius Garland was in that game.
Starting point is 00:27:44 And I'm like watching Markle Fultzno. This dude has it. Like he's got the size. He's got crazy bounce. Like way more bounce than he ever really even got to show to this point his NBA career. Like I would watch him after practice, they would have dunk contest. And I'm watching him with these guys. And I'm like, this dude is big.
Starting point is 00:28:03 He's like powerful. He's got a shifty change of pace. He's got a nasty step back, which is required. And he's got bounced too. So I'm like, man, look. And I think going to that market at that time with what the organization had already been through was, I think, overwhelmed him. And they had injuries too that contributed to it. But I'm just saying like these are so important.
Starting point is 00:28:27 They're so scrutinized more than ever before. There's so much at stake for these organizations. And you're trying to determine this off a very limited sample size of work. And you have no idea what this is going to look like at the NBA level. And you just pray that these guys want to put the work into the time. Does the talent is there? And again, trust your deposits when you draft them. Put the deposits in now, five years from now.
Starting point is 00:28:49 We hope this hits. Some guys obviously sooner than that. Some guys never. That's kind of where we're at with these top, you know, six, seven, eight, nine, ten picks. It's tough, man. The only thing I've learned over the years, competitiveness, work ethic. If that's in there, like the top, the top of the top, you're starting out in good shape there.
Starting point is 00:29:08 And then the durability injury stuff is the third piece, right? Fultz didn't have that. Some guys come in and then you hear, like, the first guy in the gym, last one to leave, all that shit. Like, those guys, there's a reason those guys. there's a reason those guys become successful. Like, you did that finals with Brunson, and then Brunson had that great interview after game five
Starting point is 00:29:29 where he were, you know, yet again, all of a sudden he scored a bunch of points in around. He was just like, I'd just go back to all the work I put in the gym over and over. I just pretend them in the gym. Like, honestly, that's what this is about. You can have as much talent as you want, but you still got to work at it.
Starting point is 00:29:44 I look at Peter. But I will say this one last, one last quick point on that. But I do think in addition to the injury with Mark Hill, and whatever it was, it was a unique injury. They couldn't really get it. They couldn't get a handle. It was like a weird shoulder thing. With a shoulder and it changed completely changes mechanics into something that was
Starting point is 00:29:58 unrecognizable. I'm just telling you, like being at a lot of those games and in that building and being close and kind of just observing, I also think there was a component of it was tough for him being the number one pick dealing with the injury. And then when he would go into the game when he was healthy, I think it was like a lot of feeling that. All eyeballs on number one pick, that market. that's tough man and i think it was it got to the point where like they went like hey t j mccano we took
Starting point is 00:30:26 him out of the rotation at one point completely just because we're like we got to see if this guy can go and after a period of time they put t j mcconnell back in there and the crowd went crazy because it was like we need a guy that can come out here and contribute right for whatever reason he wasn't i was so happy for him actually when he went to orlando and he played pretty well when he first got there and i'm like man hopefully he's going to end up having a long career as a productive NBA guard, but the number one pick, that was difficult for him from the beginning, the injury on top of it made it impossible. Ben Simmons was another one like that. Pressure, big situations. He had some sort of weird foul shooting thing. They didn't seem like he liked basketball that much.
Starting point is 00:31:02 With the, with the Peterson piece, there's some weird agency stuff too where he has, he's represented by team, which also is George's agency and that people think that's why they don't. don't want him to go to Utah. So Memphis might be where he goes. I think Boozer is going to go to Utah, and I think Peterson will go to Memphis, but who the hell knows? And then we'll let's take a break, and then we'll talk about Caleb Wilson. The Bill Simmons podcast is brought to you by my friends at Fandul.
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Starting point is 00:32:31 All right, so if you were the consultant to the wizards and they're like, hey, Tim, I know you do the ESPN games, we're starting to waft on the BANSA. The owner saw this high school tournament where Peterson scored 48 and looked like he was the greatest player of all time. Is Peterson going to come back to haunt us? What would you do if you were us? You would just say, no, no, ride the chorus, just stay with the banssa, don't overthink it.
Starting point is 00:32:58 100%. You literally took words out of my mouth. That would be what I would say. Don't overthink this. And it happens all the time. Don't ever think this. I don't have really any reservation whatsoever that the banssa is going to be a star in the NBA. How long it takes? I don't know.
Starting point is 00:33:15 Down the road, I mean, look, that's an organization that obviously, you know, I played at a long, long time ago. There hasn't been a lot of stability there for a long time. So like, it's a situation. A bunch of young dudes. Now look, Trey Young is saying, you know, opt out. I don't know what that means for them. Is Anthony Davis
Starting point is 00:33:31 going to be bought into being there if Trey's not? You got all these other young lottery picks. I doubt Anthony Davis is going to want to be part of that. So it's this young group of dudes, all high picks, trying to figure this out together. he becomes the face overnight. So there's certainly some, like there's not pressure,
Starting point is 00:33:48 which is good for some young guys. But it's also like being part of something that's bigger in a winning culture, like that's also good for players when they're young and they're drafted high. They don't have all that responsibility on them. So I don't know exactly what that situation is going to look like. But I have no reservation that he is going to stand out. Barring injury, I think AJ DeBonce is going to be a star in this league. we agree that trey young thing i read as he opted out and he's going to get a longer deal for slightly
Starting point is 00:34:19 less money yeah i read the same thing and we'll see that's my interpretation i saw other things that were like you know he's he's relishing this opportunity kind of almost to like he's got something to prove um and and and he thinks this might be a good situation for him to do that they're going to love him there i can tell you that if he plays and he does the things that trey young can do he's a very entertaining player, a popular player, and he can put up some numbers. And he's going to have a lot of athletes around him playing off of him. So it could be a good situation for him. But to get inside the head of a Trey Young at this stage of his career when Anthony Davis,
Starting point is 00:34:53 good luck. I don't have enough expertise to know. Yeah, I would assume Davis gets traded. Trey Young, if I'm his PR agent, I would be doing the whole, hey, Jalen Brunson, small guard, discounted, change teams, NBA title. Camp. Why can't that be Tray Young? Build the right team around Tray. Could be the Jalen thing. I don't think that will happen. Caleb Wilson, what were your thoughts?
Starting point is 00:35:18 Love them. I love him. I love him, man. I'm excited about Caleb Wilson. And because, look, there's a dynamic. Did I say Williams or Wilson? You said Wilson, I think. I did? Okay. I wanted to make sure I- said Caleb Wilson. Caleb. Yeah. I'm pretty sure you said Caleb Wilson. Great. Love him because there's a lot of things I watch with him and he's got that like eyes pop factor you're like holy hell and so now you look at the way the league is set up and some of the spacing that exists in that league and a guy that's
Starting point is 00:35:51 got this kind of just explosive power yeah sign me up for that because i think anything else that you would want to look at his game and if you want to if you want to tighten up his handle if you want to tighten up his shooting, particularly shooting off the dribble. I do think those are things that can be tightened up. It's not like for that, you either have it now or you don't. That's not the case. Guys add that stuff all the time in their first three, four years of their career. And then there's a whole other ceiling for them, excuse me, as a score. But that's what I'm talking about, that stuff where he explodes off the floor like that. No, that's not something you either have it or you don't. I mean, that is something you either have it or you don't. And he's got it.
Starting point is 00:36:36 You're not adding that later, not that degree of pop. And that's what he's got off the floor. And it blows you away because you're like, you're picturing him in any sort of open floor situation or even offensive rebounding situations. And it gets a step on a guy. Like, that is what big time explosive finishing ability looks like at the NBA level. The other stuff will come. I'm a huge, huge fan of his upside. There's a relentlessness with him that almost guarantees he's going to be a really good NBA player. He just really gives a shit the work ethic, the competitiveness he has. Like he just has it.
Starting point is 00:37:14 To me, he's not like a runner jumper. I do think there's like some hoops like Q stuff in there. Like he seems like he'd be fun to play with. And I think if he was with the right kind of guard, point guard, who could be looking out for him and trying to set him up. You know, he's different because Sean Kemp had a different body. But when young Sean Kemp came into the league and you just saw people he was playing against, it was a lot of this, like people looking up as he's going over them for rebounds and dunks, there's going to be some of that.
Starting point is 00:37:42 And then it'll come down to whether he can add a shot, which I'm not going to bet against anybody who's super competitive to eventually be able to add an 18-footer, right? Kids 19. When he's 22, he's going to have an 18-footer. I'm not worried about it. And I've watched him shoot enough in game situations where you're like, It's not like you're watching it going, oh, man, you know, put a, put a disclaimer at the bottom of the screen. Viewer discretion is advised on his release.
Starting point is 00:38:08 It's not like that. I mean, I've seen guys with, and it looks decent. By the time he gets to the release point, it looks pretty good. There's a lot to work with there. I would be strongly considering taking, I don't know what the jazz are going to do. Again, because of how many bigs they have, I don't know if they just want the best available player and they don't care if it's another big or not. But if it is Peterson, it goes to the jazz because they just, want that another score
Starting point is 00:38:32 to go on the wing, then I would strongly consider taking Wilson a three. So Danny, all bets are off because he famously was going to take to rant that one year if the Celtics got
Starting point is 00:38:47 the first pick over Odin. And I think he was the only one who's going to do that. I'd rarely say this. If I was Utah, I would try to flip with Chicago and pick up extra stuff and just take Wilson. Because he might end up being the best out of these four guys. I don't think there's any way to know. And I don't think you can go wrong with any of them. Maybe Peterson if
Starting point is 00:39:05 last year the red flags kind of started add up. But if you could move back still get Caleb Wilson and then pick up like the 15th from the Bulls and other stuff like I would think about that. I think Wilson's going to be awesome. And we didn't even talk about this. You're the fourth pick in a in a four-player draft basically before the drop-off. A little chip on the old shoulder. Oh You didn't think I was You thought I was fourth out of four Okay, I'm going to show you
Starting point is 00:39:35 And I was like those guys Nothing like a competitive guy who got passed over I hear you There's probably a lot of You know, a lot of drummers that had You know, a great solo career at some point But they never got the credit Right being in that band
Starting point is 00:39:50 Right That could be the case So I think that is something You know That's how this has been framed For a while now That it's these four guys and then there's a drop off.
Starting point is 00:39:59 I do like some other guys after them. Who's your next favorite? They're going. I love Mikel Brown. Oh, my God. That's my, I have, I'm terrible at figuring out guys like him.
Starting point is 00:40:11 Make the case. You don't like them. It's my weakness with draft evaluation because he's a home run hitter. He feels busty to me, but then he also feels like he could be a five top my NBA guy. And I was like,
Starting point is 00:40:25 those guys always scare me. What do you like? I don't know, man. I just like the fact that he's just, he's, he's a polished proven score. Like he could just flat out score. He's got, he's got handle either direction. Some of the notes I wrote down big time thread every time he touches scores at every level, explosive finisher, deep range, and a lot of potential to grow.
Starting point is 00:40:48 He's got good size. He's not like elite in terms of his size, good enough size to get his own shot. And I've seen projections anywhere. anywhere of seven to ten like most of the ones I've seen. So he's going to go in that range. I think somebody's going to get themselves like a big time NBA scorer down the road wherever he ends up going. He's six three and a half of that shoes.
Starting point is 00:41:14 He seems like to be the wild bear. Fortunately, they don't play barefoot. Well, true. So put maybe six, five and a half with shoes on. He seems like his range is basically like five to 12, which is pretty, that's what's so far. about like once you get to that Clippers pick, they don't need a guard, right?
Starting point is 00:41:33 They don't need a point card because they have Garland. They just made this trade for them. And everybody seems to have Wagner and Aikoff there. Aikoff's the guy I was just going to talk about. He's the other guy like is kind of right there in that, in that territory. So like, and you know, he's he's another guy that like you look at both Akef, Aikoff and Brown, both of those guys like really flashy scores.
Starting point is 00:41:54 They can go get their own. And in some ways, kind of similar in that regard. A Cups, I noticed seems to me one of the biggest just consistent jumps up this board basically over the last month or so. It's just, and to where I have,
Starting point is 00:42:09 I've seen a lot of them where he's going to be the fifth pick. Like, he might be the next guy outside that top four. And that is the, that's the clippers with that pick. So I don't know if he's going to go that high. But to me, he was a guy that during the season, you're kind of paying attention. I start to dive in after the season. I start to look more out of
Starting point is 00:42:27 in tournament's over. I feel like to me, he's like solidifying himself on a daily basis. Like, he's going to be somewhere in there. If he's not the first guy, taking it, he's one of those first two or three after the top four. He was my, my crush guy in college. I really became a fat show to them and so did my buddy house. And we watched a lot of him.
Starting point is 00:42:46 And then he had the run in the tournament. He's just every game. He was 26 and 9, 25 and 12, 28 and 8. Oh, yeah. No doubt. He's a great shooter. He's like a pure old school. Big guy gets the rebound and looks for him.
Starting point is 00:43:05 Like he's like a real point guard. Give me the ball. I want the ball all the time. I'm good on fast breaks. I think if you're going to take a guard that high, who is clearly a smaller guard, who's going to probably be not the greatest guy on defense, you better think this guy's a home run.
Starting point is 00:43:22 And I think he's that good. Like I, like, I do think he's a rare. He's a lead guard. one of those guys we're talking about, that's his style game. Some of the notes I just real quick, I wrote down just great change of pace, like really keeps guys off balance, explosive first and second dribbles, which is a big deal in the NBA. Like that first one, a lot of guys had that first step. He's got one and two, that second gear as he gets downhill, finishes with both hands really,
Starting point is 00:43:45 really well. So he can drive either way, gets into your body, and he's got like creative finishing, because he's probably learned to because, again, he's not 6667 coming out. She's in that 6-3 range. so he's had to learn how to be more creative with his finishing. He's a lead guard with outrageous potential. So he would be right there. He might be five.
Starting point is 00:44:05 Like him and Brown, they're going to be right there in that category. And Wogler is the other one that a lot of people have there. And Wogler's a tough one to me because we talk about like we were doing the comps before. I look at Akuf and he just reminds me a lot of Kyrie. I think he's more of a point guard than Kyrie was. But his ability to finish with either hand.
Starting point is 00:44:26 how he uses the stop and start stuff, how he gets somebody on his hip and carries them, uh, sense of the moment. It's all stuff we saw with Kyrie. And same thing. Like, Kyrie was,
Starting point is 00:44:36 he might be maybe a half inch inch bigger than him, but, um, reminds me like, I don't know who Wagler reminds me of. I don't, I don't know what the roadmap is for him. He's so unconventional.
Starting point is 00:44:46 Like, I don't think he had a dunk last year. Um, he doesn't finish at the rim. Everything's like this herky jerky, you know, and that team was built around just what a unique player. was, but he wasn't a top, I don't even think he was top 100 or top 150 heading into college
Starting point is 00:45:01 and had this meteoric rise. But I don't know who reminds me of. One of the things I love about him, because I'm always kind of really honed in on evaluating shooting mechanics and release and how that's going to translate. He's got tremendous extension. There are, believe it or not, a lot of guys make shots in college and they're going to be drafted in his draft. And they don't really extend on their finish. And I think to myself, well, it's fine when you're the best player
Starting point is 00:45:28 in the court and you're creating a little bit more space than you're going to create it to the next level. You're just not going to be as consistent. Because I think if you're not, if you don't have full extension now,
Starting point is 00:45:38 that's going to shorten up even more as the windows shrink to get the shot off. And now it's, you're just never going to be because it's not of front rims. Wagler has tremendous extension. Like he gets full extension and it's quick.
Starting point is 00:45:51 He gets into his shoulder motion quick. And he's got full. extension, elbow lock, wrist lock at the same time. I look for that kind of thing. That's that translates like this is who this guy is. That's not going to say. He doesn't need to work on that. He's already got that. He's coming into the league. He can make shots now. And then now he's climbing because people are looking at him as being more than that. Like he's more than the shot maker. He can do some other things for you as well. He's got, you know, pretty good size as well, better size than the two guys we were just talking about. And came through on a big stage,
Starting point is 00:46:18 which isn't nothing. You know, like I really thought he got in that tournament, him and Cuff both were really great. Part of the problem with this is, so when you're starting with pick five, basically the next four best guys are point guards or smaller guards because Fleming's is the other one from Houston. And as we know with the draft, not everyone needs a point guard. Like, first of all, we have a bunch of awesome point guards in the league already. There's four more. It makes me think one of them's not going to make it. And then Burris, have you studied Burris at all? Yeah, yeah, I have. Yeah. And then Burris is the one who, is the best two guard available.
Starting point is 00:46:57 No question about it. The thing I love about him better than any of these guys, and he had to because he was more offball than the other three guys. And I think we didn't mention Kingston Fleming's. Is that the other guy who were talking about?
Starting point is 00:47:06 You said the next three, you were talking about Aikoff and Brown and Wagler and Fleming's, like those four guys? Those four guys with Burris. Burris is more of, like, what I love about him, you can run pin down action for him.
Starting point is 00:47:20 He is, he comes off down screens and he's getting his hips turn and swiveling into the catch. and it's gone quicker. So that is like another element to use a guy like that. He can create offense off his motion because he's such a threat off downscreens out to deep. He doesn't necessarily need to play with the ball first
Starting point is 00:47:38 to get into his shot. I think some of the other guys we talked about that's just more natural for them for that rhythm. They need the rhythm first. He's a guy that you can put off the ball so maybe his usage isn't as high. Maybe he goes to a situation where he can't have high usage because of who they already have,
Starting point is 00:47:54 but he can still go get shots up because he doesn't need a lot of time to do it and he doesn't need a rhythm dribble or a live dribble to do it first. For me, the best of this group at that kind of stuff, getting his hips turned off a down screen and letting it fly from deep.
Starting point is 00:48:09 And he's going to be a really good defender. Now he's a year older than some of these guys, but was a big LA like he won the high school state title here where he was like the lead guard for that team. But I've said this. He's been,
Starting point is 00:48:24 my favorite guy out of the top four, other than A-Cuff, because a lot of the same reasons I liked Castle two years ago. Because he's on that great Arizona team, right? They didn't really need a lot of what he, so he was just like, all right, well, what do you need for me? All right, I'll do this, this, and he just kind of figured out how to fit in, hit a couple big threes when they needed them, played defense, do do all like the nitty-gritty stuff, which is exactly what Castle did at Yukon. And then when Castle, went to San Antonio, like he was able to. And I think Burris has that in him.
Starting point is 00:48:59 He makes the most sense for the quippers. My question is you don't necessarily need to take him at five. Could you trade back? Could you flip spots with the Kings, who everybody thinks they want Acuff? Could you flip spots with them, pick up one extra asset and then take Buries at seven? You'd have to, I mean, listen, as we know,
Starting point is 00:49:18 all these guys were talking about its beauty is in the eye of the beholder, because I haven't personally, a lot of the different mock drafts I've been studying and looking at, haven't seen them really that high. So you'd have to be just one of those things where what you see is like, man,
Starting point is 00:49:33 what he does, these particular specific things, better than some of the guys we've talked about who are like, yeah, man, they got a lot of junk in their game and do a lot of stuff. They're scorers, natural scorers, but we like this specific skill better
Starting point is 00:49:46 to take him that high. Most of the ones, mock drafts I've looked at, have not seen him as high as five. So I don't know where, you know, What do you do if you're the quippers, though? Because you have Kauai who's going to be 35 next year. You've Garland, who's your point guard.
Starting point is 00:49:59 And if you're taking another point guard, you can talk yourself into it and just be like, look, we're going to be a little unconventional. We're going to have these two scoring guards. And, you know, we're not, there's going to be some bad stuff on defense, but that's why we have Tyloo and a coaching staff. I just find it hard to believe they're going to do that,
Starting point is 00:50:17 which is why I feel like they're going to trade back and take Burris would be, there's one other trade. love. I got to throw this at you. This is just in general, something I've been watching. And you didn't do the Western Conference for playoffs this year, right? Did you do the OKC? We did the Eastern Conference. Yeah, you did the East. Yeah, you had the stinky sweep. We had the Knicks just treating people like a woodshipper. Yeah, you had that way. I don't know what happens with Wallace and OKC, where you have these, you have Shea and now you just gave Maxes to Chet and you gave a Max to J-Dub. and you have Wallace who after the season
Starting point is 00:50:53 he was very interesting. He had a little moment in press conference where he was basically like it was interesting when I, he said something about when She was out during that stretch
Starting point is 00:51:03 and Wallace had the ball and you and I talked about this in a pod where it was like, did a couple of games during that time. Yeah, there's a lot more with Wallace here that we didn't really get to see. Then the playoffs happened. He's back to 25 minutes a game.
Starting point is 00:51:15 I mean, he average eight points a game this season, right? It's year three for him. All right, well, what's he worth? because you're talking extension now.
Starting point is 00:51:22 After year three, you can extend a guy. And if I'm him, I'm like, there's more here. I could be the lead guard. I'm one of the best defenders in the league. I'm a $30 million year guy, and I don't think O'C's going to play it. Pay it. So what about Wallace and the 12 for five? Clippers get Wallace.
Starting point is 00:51:40 They move back seven spots. OKC moves up to five. Is that too much? You're outside the top four. I mean, look, I think. Is that too much to give up? For that pick? For OKC, yeah.
Starting point is 00:51:56 How much do you like Wallace? I like Wallace a lot, but they have, to me, in their system and the guys that they have, he's one of the better on ball defenders in the NBA, and he did ramp his game up a little bit when he got more of an opportunity. But they've also got, you know, A.J. Mitchell sitting there. Like, so these, they're- You and I love him too. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:52:17 Right. And he's a guy that's just much more dynamic offensively with what he can do. He hasn't even scratched the surface. of how good he is going to be. So I like him, but expendable, absolutely. And this was the problem all along for OKC. Like, well, not a problem. It's a good problem to have.
Starting point is 00:52:33 They want a title, and they had like this perfect system, and they had a superstar, and then they had a couple, like, two and three were like really good players. And then they had a bunch of role players on interchangeable a lot of nights really deep. You're not going to be able to keep all those guys. You're just not going to be able to,
Starting point is 00:52:46 and you're not going to need to because of who's at the top. You can find guys, I think, they can replicate what those guys do, maybe have a little bit more scoring punch to him. You know, even look at what they went out and found in McCain, like that move to pick him up and what the offensive punchy game where he's playing heavier minutes that some of the guys were talking about
Starting point is 00:53:04 that were staples for this team for two years. And they picked them up midseason coming off an ACL injury because they identify it better than just about any organization. So if they looked at that and said, you know what, we're not, we think that we can move up and get the guy that we desperately need. we can replace a case in Wallace. And then who knows at 12, man,
Starting point is 00:53:25 you can start getting down there, it's a crapshoot anyway. To go get the exact guy that they won, whoever that player may be, no, I don't necessarily think that it is. But again, I don't know. Like,
Starting point is 00:53:34 do they view any of those guys outside the top four as that? Yeah, I don't know. Because it's almost like a math problem. Like at some point, Wallace on a rookie contract is perfect. But now with Wallace,
Starting point is 00:53:46 with a contract looming, as you have to pay him basically as like, not even better than a fourth guy, because he's probably worth like 25 to 30 on the open market with what his ceiling is. They can't pay that. And the whole point of having all of these picks
Starting point is 00:54:02 and taking swings and grabbing McCain and locking down AJ Mitchell to this great contract is that you have to build this like cheap apparatus around your three guys. You can't pay while it's $30 million. So really the time to trade is now. Committed to the top three, something like that, right? You can't.
Starting point is 00:54:21 You can't. I mean, it's, so you got, you have to use him and move up. And maybe even then, if you have five, now maybe it's easier to try to even move up
Starting point is 00:54:28 into that top four. But it was one I was thinking, because if, you know, I have quipper season tickets. I want them to at least be decent next year before aspiration annihilates them.
Starting point is 00:54:39 But if they got Case on Wallace and then the 12th pick, I feel like they'd be better off. And if they don't get into that, you know, get into that situation where they're going to move that pick or whatever,
Starting point is 00:54:49 which I think, there's no question they're going to listen to all that because they're not in the top four. And we think there is a difference there. That seems to be, you know, if they see that Acoph's the guy, like if that were the guy and they just looked at him, like he's better than everything else. And we think, you know, I'm taking the best available player. I don't care that we have Garland and we've got guard play. I don't care because this guy ultimately is going to be a guy that can flat out play at the NBA level and he can play quickly at that level. And maybe they hold it and they take that just to take the best available player.
Starting point is 00:55:19 but you know they're like a veteran team so it's like you know you don't know what they're thinking is like they're not they're not time to develop guys that they draft but that's why they that's why Aikov doesn't make sense to me because you have Kauai who's 35 and you're going to play him and Garland like Garland like I'm not winning the title with that as much as I like Aikov or you have to trade Garland at that point it just opens up these different doors they what he did you did you study the center yet Mara yeah I was just going to ask you about him because we didn't talk about any bigs really like real centers we talked about some bigger guys but like he's different um here's a thing man i watch him it's so hard for me because even like i go back to a guy like edie and they're like a little
Starting point is 00:55:59 bit different and i looked at zach edie and i was like i don't as domin as he was in college like i don't know how he's going to change into the floor at the NBA level like it's a big deal like he's lumbering up the floor now it's a turnover now you got to get back and run and like is he got to be too methodical to do anything offensive he's he answered this question first he leaned up He worked with their player performance team, and even his running stride improved, everything improved. So it's like, no, this is fine. He can keep up with this and actually do a lot of damage offensively. He kind of stays in a limited lane, but he's an effective NBA player.
Starting point is 00:56:35 So now look at Mara, they're different body types. They're a little bit different. Mara's like more agile, certainly. The thing I like about him, I was like watching, like, he's got a really, really good feel for like passing into a handoff game. can find guys from the elbows. He's just really clever with his passing. He's thinking one step ahead. It's another dimension to your team.
Starting point is 00:56:57 He's a really good room protector. The guy's 7-3, so he's going to protect the rim, and he moves well. You know, guys like that, there's going to be limitations there offensively, you know, unless he becomes a really good three-point shooter. And then there's more opportunity for you there. And even like a guy like Klingin is trying to do that in Portland. Like he's taking more threes. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:57:15 Because he knows if I don't, I'll never, ever get anything other than a rim run. lob or offensive rebound. So I better learn how to do it. Can Mara do that? Can he extend out there? He needs to. I'm sure that's probably all he's doing this summer in trying to extend that range. But I just like his feel for the game. His IQ is touching his finesse with his passing. I think that translates to a lot of different systems. You can play him. He's going to help make other guys better. Particularly if he learns how to shoot the basketball, he just has more upside. I love the passing too. I like him in general. And at one point, I was convinced he had to go in the top 10 because he's somebody I could just see in a playoff series. Then I did some more research.
Starting point is 00:57:54 The minutes really scared me with him. So when he went to UCLA, which everybody agrees, didn't go awesome, he played basically 10 minutes a game and 13 minutes a game for them in the first two years. Then he went to Michigan. He played 23.4 minutes a game last year. If I'm taking, if I'm using the eighth pick in the draft, like to me that that means like, oh, I can see he's going to be a big off the bench. Ead played big minutes, had points, rebounds, and was approved, like, you can actually put, now he got hurt in Memphis. But I just think top 10's too high for him, the more I look at it. And maybe OKC can get him at 12, and that's a great pick for them. But this draft is so good. And if I have a chance to get somebody like Burris at eight or nine or Kingston Fleming's,
Starting point is 00:58:44 I can't take a guy who played 23 minutes a game last year. I just can't. No, it's a fair point. And I think just in general, you're just looking at him and you're going, when there's other guys that I think you're just looking at offensive upside, you know, three, four years from now is so much greater, it can be hard to justify that unless you have glaring hole, like a glaring need. Like we're so undersized up front. We don't like the bigs that we have. If it's so glaring and he's available and he's in that 10-ish range somewhere in there.
Starting point is 00:59:14 Okay, C, 12. That's like the perfect one. You can take a flyer on him. Yeah. But like, I don't think Golden State can take him. at 11 because they need athleticism. They need young guys. They need pop.
Starting point is 00:59:26 They need somebody that can kind of tilt their team a little bit. We don't know what they're going to do this summer with, you know, I still think LeBron's going there. Like, who knows? Who knows what they're capable of this summer? But, like, this is a luxury pick. I don't think this is somebody you can take in the top 10 with this many good players. And we didn't really talk about Fleming's.
Starting point is 00:59:46 I can't decide on him, like what the ceiling is for him because he's not. It's not huge. He's like 6-1. He's fast as shit. He's really competitive and he's a good defender. We've also... We've also seen those guys like people really regret taking those guys like 7th, 6, 8th, these 6-1 guys that unless you have a chance to be one of the eight best point guards in the league, it's just not worth the pick. I'd rather have somebody that I know can play big minutes.
Starting point is 01:00:18 Yeah, I think that that's... Look, he's... I've seen him in the top 10, like the bottom, too, closer to 10. I've seen him on a lot of draft boards. Like, he's in that area. Some of the other guys, I think, are clearly more like polished right now, Aikoff and Brown and guys like that, Wagler,
Starting point is 01:00:33 I think are a little bit different category. He's an interesting one because you start getting to that pick. And like, he's the next most talented guy on the board. So I'm curious to see, like, how that ends up. I do like kind of like athletically the way he competes. Like you're going, okay, that translates. Like he's going to be able to hold his own and hang. athletically, it won't be a problem for him.
Starting point is 01:00:53 He's right there. Same category with those other guys. Atlanta at 8, I actually think point card makes perfect sense for me for them. Sacramento desperately needs one at 7. Brooklyn needs anything. And then Dallas at 9 is a fun one because
Starting point is 01:01:08 it seems like Kyrie's going to be back. They have flag. They have a bunch of like expensive, really polished swings, right? They're going to have lively back. They have Gafford. And everybody has Burry's going there to them at 9, which makes a ton of sense to me. But it's when we get to like 10 and 11 that range, I think the draft gets really.
Starting point is 01:01:30 Burry's going there to me would be an ideal fit for him. It fits in need. They need guys that can shoot the ball off of guys they have now that can absolutely collapse the defense and break them down as primaries to have a guy that you can plug in that's going to get clean looks and shoot them. him at a high rate. That makes a lot of sense. Have you done Steinbach work yet? Uh, did you Steinbach?
Starting point is 01:01:58 Big, big rebounder, pick and roll guy, like classic in the right spots. Yeah, I got here's that I wrote down for him. Very strong in the open court dude sort of bounce off him. Runs well, athletic, very, very tough. Um, yeah, he's a guy, he's a guy that just kind of stood out just because of he was just like so physical and so strong the way he plays They open floor with dudes sort of, he's just making space organically as he moves up the floor. Yes, impressed, particularly just his competitive toughness. He seems, I'm not 100% sold on him because I do, I just can't get the Spurs, OKC and Spurs Nix out of my brain. I'm like, where would he have played in those series?
Starting point is 01:02:38 But he feels like a perfect Charlotte pick for 14. Hey, y'all. It's Kelly Clarkson with Wayfair. Ever order furniture online and wonder what if, like, what if it doesn't hold up? That sofa was four days old. You should have ordered from Wayfair. With Wayfair, there's no what if. Just style you love and quality you can trust.
Starting point is 01:02:52 Visit Wayfair.com. Wayfair, every style, every home. All right, we got to play quickly. I sent you a list of all the favorites for the 2027 title. And it's a good time to think about this because we're heading in a trade season, the draft, and free agency right now. So just quickly, Spurs are the favorites right now in Fando, plus 250.
Starting point is 01:03:16 And their big question is the Kelden expiring. and then they have 20 and 35, 40, 42. So they have stuff to move around and do stuff. You were there. You were in the house for these games. They have Fox whose extension hasn't even kicked in yet. You have a bunch of Spurs fans like, let's get this guy the fuck out of there.
Starting point is 01:03:37 It's Dylan Harper time. What do you do? What do you do with Fox? It's tough because his number is going to be big. I'm not, listen, I don't overreact to the extent. Obviously, a lot of people do, particularly Spurs fans right now with the way they're feeling about the series. he had, it's a big moment specifically, but the guy can still play, and he's going to be getting
Starting point is 01:03:57 a big number. He still does add a dimension with his speed. He's a high caliber NBA guard that had a terrible finish to his season. I don't know that that's going to carry over. He wasn't 100% healthy. He'll get healthy over the summer. Nobody was really feeling this way about him most of the season. So it's a terrible way for him to end. He's going to be part of the mix here. But now the question is going to be this. And people that were watching the finals heard me repeatedly, particularly in the last game. How are you going five, six possessions in a row?
Starting point is 01:04:28 And Dylan Harper is off the ball kind of hanging out when he was by far, to me, the most comfortable player on the Spurs in that game. And just in general looks that way all the time. But think about the stakes in that game. You cannot keep this dude out of the paint with one defender. You just can't do it. His shooting's streaky.
Starting point is 01:04:47 It'll get there, I think, Harper's. But the thing is he can also make plays for people. He's a great defender. Is it time you go, that's our starters. We're not going to start all three of these guys. Is Fox at that number something that's going to be smart to bring him off the bench and be more of like a second unit guy to go get his offense? Rather than continue to start him and bring Dylan Harper in,
Starting point is 01:05:08 even though a lot of nights now you're playing him starters minutes. It doesn't make a lot of sense. So I don't know what exactly the solution is going to be. Clearly, this is Harper and Castle going forward, particularly the sooner than Harper becomes a more reliable shooter. Because Castle got better as the year went on. He was over 40% after the All-Star break. It's still not his wheelhouse.
Starting point is 01:05:27 And he can be very streaky from there. And Harper can too. That's tough. And if you want Fox a little bit more, he's a bit more consistent with his mid-range pull-up, even with his three-point shot most of the time, certainly not there late for him. But I don't know what the answer is.
Starting point is 01:05:39 I just know this is Harper and Castle. Is it next year the year after whenever is it going to be? I don't think Fox is going anywhere at that number coming off of that series, so you better kind of wrap your head around that as a Spurs fan. Could you feel it being that close sitting courtside?
Starting point is 01:05:54 Could you feel Fox starting a waiver confidence-wise? Yeah, I did. I think it was more than just whatever he was going through physically. There's no question. Here's the thing I'll say about DeHart Fox. I don't think I've ever seen him miss
Starting point is 01:06:09 as many makeable looks for him. It's not like this dude was getting draped because he couldn't separate because he was that injured. He was getting to his pull-up. He was getting open three-point books. There's little spins that he likes to take. He was getting to that little quick pull-up when he gets like a ball screen, like at 22 feet instead of 30, and he comes off and he just stops on a dime at 18 feet.
Starting point is 01:06:34 I mean, his release was clean most of the time. And so that told me all I need to know. Like it's definitely in here. He's feeling something. and now stringed together with like bad performances, now you start to overthink it. I got a lot of respect for the guy. He's unbelievably smart.
Starting point is 01:06:52 He's a good teammate. We interviewed him a lot during the series. Guys just got a lot to say that's meaningful as a leader. He had a terrible series, man, and he had some moments that were very difficult for Spurs fans to swallow. I get it. You don't just put this guy out at the curb with the recycling.
Starting point is 01:07:10 Can't. You can't do it. But do you feel like a, I don't know, it's a small piece, medium piece or big piece of this, is you have this fucking prodigy behind you, who deep down you probably know, even though he barely knows what he's doing, is probably better than you a point card.
Starting point is 01:07:27 And you have that piece too, or it's every time this guy comes in, he's swinging the game and swinging the energy of it, getting to where he wants to go, and he's not scared. And, you know, the fact that he played 31 minutes a game in that series
Starting point is 01:07:41 and Fox played 36, that might have been the difference in the series. If you flip, if you flip that, I don't know. After game one, Mitch Johnson admitted, because they didn't remember that was mostly Fox in the fourth quarter, Harper didn't play much in that quarter. Four minutes. And he said basically, and he basically Mitch Johnson owned it.
Starting point is 01:08:00 And he said that there was a mistake, man, looking at it. He's a young coach. He's allowed to make mistakes. I like the fact that he kind of answered it that honestly. Yeah, I'd probably need to look at that. I didn't handle that well. And then it was never going to,
Starting point is 01:08:10 he said, I was just probably not going to happen again going forward. and what he ended up doing was playing a both together a lot in the fourth quarter. But the one, the game five was kind of where I couldn't understand. And I said it, I don't know how many possessions in a row
Starting point is 01:08:25 probably in that broadcast. How is Dylan Harper right now off the ball? Right. As you start your, why is he not the initiator of this? Why is Castle bringing the ball up? There's no, well, even Fox was doing it.
Starting point is 01:08:39 Yeah. Because Castle, because Castle does find him, himself repeatedly, like in foul trouble. I thought he looked absolutely exhausted in that game. He had a terrible shooting night himself, didn't really impact the game offensively at all, which is rare for Castle because I love him.
Starting point is 01:08:54 But it got to the point, is okay, he looks gassed. He doesn't have it tonight. He's expended so much energy guarding Brunson. Maybe we got to go with Fox and Harper. Okay, cool. If you want to do that, go ahead. Harper needs to be the initiator because they hadn't figured out a way to keep this guy out of the lane.
Starting point is 01:09:11 And they just couldn't do it. and whatever it is what it is. Here's the thing. You're going to have these three guards next year, and I don't know exactly what the plan is going to be because, like you said, Fox is a big number and it kicks in. Harper is on a rookie deal, palatable, but it's obvious to everybody what this guy is going to be.
Starting point is 01:09:30 He's going to be one of the major forces at that position in the league. Soon. Like, if not next year, the year after. So how do you handle that from a playing a standpoint and a like a fit standpoint of who's on the court at the same time with Wembe as well. So it's a tough decision. I'm glad I don't have to make it.
Starting point is 01:09:48 Harper is going to be the future, but Fox is a guy that's a big part of the mix, man. You can't just get rid of it. Any guy can still play. Trust me. And Wemby will probably have a little say into this too. I mean, Harper was, I would take him over everybody in this draft.
Starting point is 01:10:07 And I think this draft is better than last year's draft. But to me, he's like, I think he has a chance to be one of the best guards of the last 30 years. Like, I really do. Let me ask you something. I thought the stuff he was doing and how I'm afraid he was was nuts. Yeah. It's a big statement.
Starting point is 01:10:24 And I like him so much. I think I probably would agree with you. But that's what I know now. So let me ask you. So like going back to before last year's draft, did you feel that way about him then? Or are we so over, everybody was so overshadowed by Cooper Flag. It was like, we knew that was an one pick. Or are you saying like kind of like what you know now about Dylan Harper and especially the way he grew late in a year that you go, okay, kind of know now like what this dude's ceiling is and we might actually be underselling him.
Starting point is 01:10:53 That's what I'm saying. Yeah, because last year in the draft, the Rucker's season was so weird. I'd know what to make of that. It's like, all right, this team's going to have two of the top five picks and they couldn't make the tournament. Like what happened? Then you watched the clips and we talked about him a few times when you came on my pod during the year. but I saw it in the preseason. It was like, oh, my God,
Starting point is 01:11:13 what's going on with this guy? And then every time he would just jump out of the TV. And he's got, the thing that surprised me is this, in this particular stage. As much as I already kind of believed, right there in front of my eyes, when I was watching a guy with the stakes that high,
Starting point is 01:11:31 with that much pressure, and if game was so physical, you know, the way it was defended on both teams, like he didn't speed anything up when he when most guys that age get any daylight you're going to rush it yeah he missed the layup in game five it wasn't because of that he just missed a shot he didn't quite extend his arm fully he missed the layup that was a big play late in the game but i'm not i'm not you know that wasn't because of stress or pressure he playing too fast he could play as fast as he wanted as explosive as he wanted and then when it came time to control his body and put english on the ball even with a bunch of traffic at the rim, he was so far beyond his years and his ability to finish under those circumstances. With English and reverse layups
Starting point is 01:12:19 when you think there's no way he can extend and get there and he made it look so routine that I was like, man, it's amazing to me. This guy has arrived at this level this fast in his rookie year. He's like, he's making a statement. This is kind of what it's going to look like for a while. And was getting big rebounds.
Starting point is 01:12:37 And I really liked his defense. I thought I loved how him and Castle, that's what made Brunson's series so crazy. I thought Castle and Harper defended him great. I loved everything they did. And Brunson just kind of solved it as the series went along and figured out how to score on him. Bill, what he did? We haven't even talked to the finals. What Jalen Brunson did in game five against that level of individual defender in front of him?
Starting point is 01:13:02 And by the way, it's not just Castle or Harper Vassell more. than adequate. Champagne can do a nice job on him as well. And I know, by the way, if you get past all that, Wemby's back there. To drop 45 points on them efficiently,
Starting point is 01:13:21 and something that important against that caliber defense in front of you, it's one of the greatest finals performances of all time. And again, he did it very matter of factly and very routine. And it was so smart in the way he,
Starting point is 01:13:37 and the way he kept guys off balance, including Wemby a couple of times at the rim where he'd start stopping, and Wembe would bump him and they couldn't gather to jump to go get it. And Brunson would just extend because he's not jumping very high, and he's six to,
Starting point is 01:13:50 and he's just laying the ball in wherever he wants and shooting mid-rangers. Like, it was nothing. It was amazing, amazing, amazing to watch a guy with that kind of composure as a score against that level of defender when he's not blowing by, you were going over you in any way.
Starting point is 01:14:04 Yeah, I was, you know, a Bucks fan friend of mine, was like, well, you mentioned, you said Brunson had one of the greatest finals performances. Like, why didn't you mention Yannis five years ago? And Yonis had that 50-point game in the closeout, which was a great game. The difference with what Brunson did in game four and game five was the inevitability that you could feel with the scoring. Like, I was texting Nick Franz.
Starting point is 01:14:27 Like, here comes Brunson. This is it. He's going to score. He's going to go on a heater right now. And the Spurs by game five, I feel like they kind of knew it too. And he broke their will in a. different way that's like that, you know, he's obviously not Michael Jordan, but there's very few players over the years that got to that break your will level. And I do feel like he fucked with
Starting point is 01:14:48 the spurs. Like it was just over and over again, you fucked up again. We're only down seven with eight minutes left. I'm going to score the next nine. Like, it's just worth the level he got to. But to do it against that team, I thought, I thought that was one of the most amazing things I've seen in the finals. It's one of the greatest finals performances of all time. I'm not going to, I'm not going to waver from that. And it's because of, again, what was in front of him. And as good as it might have looked to a lot of people on TV, like in terms of the pressure on him with these defenders, trust me, trust me sitting there watching it, to watch guys that big and physical and a game was so physical and they're quicker than him. They're going to beat him to spots and they're taller
Starting point is 01:15:30 than him and they're stronger. And he just did whatever he wanted to do. And it was, It was mind-blowing in the moment to be able to call that and to watch that level of greatness when you look at the physical profile of the player. And it's all just strength and balance and footwork and touch and IQ. And then the final component, which is really what separates him,
Starting point is 01:15:57 what he is processing in the feeling in terms of pressure of the moment. It's not what other people are processing. He doesn't feel it. it actually, in some ways, it actually increases his adrenaline in a good way in those moments. And there's been a lot of guys, obviously, over the course of the history of the league
Starting point is 01:16:13 that also kind of fall into that category. But in this series, it stood out so much from everyone else that he wasn't feeling what everybody else was feeling with this energy in these two buildings. And it was like, the force and physicality of the defenses. And he's just like, no, I'm just going to kind of do my thing. And I know where I'm going to end up at the end of this possession. It'll be in a place that I like.
Starting point is 01:16:33 Not to mention he's carrying six generations of Knicks fans and 53 years of history and just I got a great and like 35 former players like at every game. It was like incredible, man. I got a great email from a listener who was saying that it was almost like watching when they would talk about prefontaine, Steve Prefontein, the runner. He would hang behind, hang behind and then he would make his move. And everybody knew who was going to make his move. and he would just kind of wait.
Starting point is 01:17:03 He'd let everybody run himself out. And like, okay, now I'm going to do it. And then everybody was running against would know that he was doing it. And he would still do it. And that's where the Knicks got with these comebacks. Like they were, I've never seen a team more comfortable down 10, down 12, where you never felt like the game was going to get away from them. Usually when you're down 12 in the third quarter, you're like, fuck,
Starting point is 01:17:26 we give up one more three. Like, this game's a wrap. And the Knicks kind of liked it. And they like this come from behind thing where you can feel the momentum shift. And then, you know, we talked about Fox earlier, but the Spurs not having that settle down guy. It just wasn't, you know, obviously,
Starting point is 01:17:44 Wemby's not there yet. They just didn't have that one guy. Like, I got this, guys, I got this. They didn't have it. That was my point on top of what you just said, which is so true about the comfortability factor for the Knicks. And part of that was because they were observing the uncomfortability factor on the other side
Starting point is 01:17:59 in those moments because they didn't have, have a clear defined identity offensively, either individually or collectively. And part of it is because these guys are growing as players. There are holes in their games. And I think I said a lot about it the other day on our All CityPod. And I believe it, I think the biggest area of growth for Wembe is going to be answered that going into next season. And how do you answer that?
Starting point is 01:18:22 You answer that by dominating from 15 to 20 feet. Yeah. That's the area of the floor that he doesn't really yet know how to fully utilize his shooting ability in length, and it's in a simple jab step, a Dirk Novitsky type of closing ability from that area of floor. It's also hard to double team him
Starting point is 01:18:40 from that area of the floor. He can play one dribble. He's at the rim from the top of the key easily with his length, but he doesn't really go there and catch the ball. He either runs to the rim or he pops back behind the three.
Starting point is 01:18:54 Those are the two things he does. He doesn't really screen short roll and they hit him there. Not to mention, he's such an easy target to hit on that short roll because you can throw it high. He can just catch it up here. Even if there's traffic for the guard,
Starting point is 01:19:06 just throw it up. He'll catch it. And now he's got it one-on-one, give him some room, one strong side shooter, and now let him practice that jab and get guys off him just a little bit. Boom, make four or five of those jumpers a game.
Starting point is 01:19:18 Couple swing through and goes. And I think the game will be easier for him because he didn't know really where to go in those game-defining series, defining championship. He was 30 feet from the basket. it. Running piggeroles in Fox. Yeah. Well, I always thought that Duncan spot, that's where he has to figure out, like 12 feet to the side, pick a side, give your bank shot, you can swoop into the paint,
Starting point is 01:19:42 do the Dr. Jay. Agreed. You're a lob threat from the side. Like, that's what he's got to figure out. He doesn't have a spot. Yeah. And it bothers me that doesn't have a jump hook either. I don't know why he doesn't have a little. Yeah, I mean, when's the last good, reliable jump hook we've seen? I gave up when when I would see seven footers coming to the league with some skill and I'm like, how do you not practice? Like a two dribble to the middle
Starting point is 01:20:08 jump hook over either shoulder. Al Jefferson? Because it's damn here on stop. But while Al Jefferson had a great one. Even his was more almost like a guy. It was like a little push run. It was a push, right? Because his shoulders was square to the rim.
Starting point is 01:20:19 Yeah. Yao Ming had a decent little jump hook. Yao Ming was like, he kind of mastered that. Duncan had one. Not to the extent that you would think guys would. And I think for Wemby,
Starting point is 01:20:30 I think that that's not bad, man. Because you can, you know, look at some of the distances that Karim shot. I'm like, you don't have to be a five-foot shot. He might have a hard time getting guys that deep. So, okay, what if it's an eight, nine, ten-foot shot? And it looks smooth. And you practice it enough. Who's stopping it?
Starting point is 01:20:47 So I agree. Look, and I think this is what really, to me, separated the two teams. The Knicks going into game five, I said, had the most precarious three-one lead in the history of team sports. Because they'd been outscored seven. 20% of the minutes in the series. Everything had gone right in these key moments that had to. So I hear you are, they're up 3-1, but man, it could have easily been 3-1 the other way. We all know that.
Starting point is 01:21:12 The difference in this series was how these two teams managed the last five, six minutes of the game. Burrers were kind of looking around. What are we going to do this time down the floor? Because all their best players have a little bit of a hole in their game. Too young. Not a good enough shooter, maybe if your castle. Whammy, we just talked about doesn't get those spots of the floor that are comfortable for him enough. guess what?
Starting point is 01:21:31 Best learning lesson losing that series. That's the best thing that could happen to them for long-term success here in their foreseeable future because they're going to remember how that felt and they're going to address that exact situation. I 100% agree, and yet they're going to look back. I mean, that's one of the all-time squandered series. No, no doubt.
Starting point is 01:21:53 I haven't forgotten. So many things happen in those five games, so many things happened. I forgot that Wempey missed an 18-footer. just to win game one. That was a pretty open shot. You just go through that. Clean look.
Starting point is 01:22:06 If you're a spurs fan, you're just torturing yourself gone all summer. Even like that shot, I said, you know, like even that. They ran good action. It was him and Fox.
Starting point is 01:22:16 Fox came off. They knew exactly what they wanted to get. High ball screen. They knew you're going to have to give some sort of help or Fox is going to walk into an 18 footer to win the game. So you knew the big was going to shade,
Starting point is 01:22:29 which meant it's going right back to Wemby. 18 footer. The only thing, but the only thing I don't understand is this. And Mitchell Robinson, they got a lot of credit
Starting point is 01:22:36 for his contest. I don't really think it affected him. But why did you, why fall down backwards? Like, you're shooting a shot to win the game.
Starting point is 01:22:46 Right. Stay on your feet and stay with your extension. Because he went up to shoot. Just, just stay with, nothing else stay upright to give the ball
Starting point is 01:22:58 the best chance to get over the front of the rim. your momentum going back to that extent that you can't even stay upright, of course the ball is going to, it's possible to track that to the center of the rim. So that's even that. Again, it's youth, it's young. It's going through it for the first time.
Starting point is 01:23:13 Figure out of way next time in that situation. Stay on your feet and shoot an 18-footer because there's not a person on the planet that's going to really bother you on that contest if you stay upright. Well, he asked us to figure out how to play more than 29 minutes again. Because I think... It's true. that 10 weeks now he knows now and he knows what that 10 weeks feels like from start to finish
Starting point is 01:23:35 and I just thought there were a couple of those fourth quarters where he was just wobbling around he made the obviously the huge mental mistake at the end of game two and it's all part of the process he's going to have to figure out how do I ramp up to 37 38 in the playoffs and that's it was game two you know that that's not you learn learned learned they got learned from it they didn't know exactly what they wanted to do castle looks at him and then goes, oh, oh, you're going to bring it up? Okay, I'm out of here. And no, wait, hits them in the back.
Starting point is 01:24:03 It's just because it was like they weren't completely in sync because they're so young. Collectively so young. Well, now we know. Don't bet on young teams. Now we know, again, this is what we said all year. They're too young. Ben, been there.
Starting point is 01:24:15 It's like, I'll put up. And here's the thing. It's what's scary for like maybe the league is just a fact that, okay, yeah, they lost one series, but like nothing will expedite their learning curve like that. Nothing. No way their season could have. that any of, even losing game seven at Oklahoma City is not coming close to expediting
Starting point is 01:24:32 learning curve with the way they navigated the ends of those games and knowing how tight they were the margin for air was so slim. And the Knicks were making all the plays. They weren't making any of them. Nothing will expedite their growth more than the way that their season ended. Before we go, where do you want Janus to go?
Starting point is 01:24:52 Man, probably Golden State would be like, you know, hey, man. Golden State, are they even in this? I don't know, but they always came up for Yana. Over the last two years and it was like, you'd love to see Curry get something of that level here at the end of his career. That's why I said that. That's more like from just my heart standpoint because I love watching Steph Curry so much.
Starting point is 01:25:19 And I want a potential for like deeper playoff runs for him, not playing stuff where he's gone in a game or two or even if they make it out of that. What are they facing? A buzz saw. So more help for him to give Steph Curry a greater chance to have meaningful series and playoff moments at the end of his career. I like that. My guess is they end up with Anthony Davis, Golden State. I don't know why.
Starting point is 01:25:50 It's just in the back of my head. I've landed on, I don't want the Celtics to trade Jalen Brown for your honest, which I felt that way the whole month. But the more, I just, I can't, I can't get there. I also don't think Miami, I don't like to trade for Milwaukee or Miami, that trade that everybody's been batting around. I actually don't like it for either team. If I'm trading honest, I don't like what I'm getting back. I'm not getting one thing I can point at.
Starting point is 01:26:18 And if I'm Miami, I've traded all this stuff away so I can have Janus and Bam, and I don't know where I'm going with that. Can I even win one playoff round? Not to mention the Janus, like, how many more years. But then that scares me. It's just how many more years can he be elite
Starting point is 01:26:33 when he's already been banged up? Let me ask you a question. What percentage of the people that love the Celtics, right, fans would agree with what you just said about your cool, not getting him because you would probably go with Jaylon Brown.
Starting point is 01:26:46 People like the Js. The only, I would say it's probably like three, four Celtic fans would probably rather just not do anything and run it back with Huffetam. Okay. Here's the problem. And here's the question.
Starting point is 01:26:59 the Celtics don't have to evaluate this. You had Jaylen get a taste of being the guy and now he has to go back to not being the guy and once you have the taste of being the guy
Starting point is 01:27:09 can you go back? I think that would be the fear. And maybe he just wants his own team. He hasn't said anything. The Celtics haven't said anything and I would much rather see those guys
Starting point is 01:27:21 keep playing together. I don't even like that Clay's not on Golden State anymore. Like even that I wish Clay and Draymond and Steph I just managed to, I know why they didn't and I know it got acrimonious, but it's so rare for teams to stay together.
Starting point is 01:27:35 I hear you, man. I hear you. Like, they have it and they're winning and they're fun to watch and like us, you guys like us that are watching this and analyzing it and have to do this every night and watch these teams. Like you're a fan of the group, the style, like whatever. And it's like there's more there.
Starting point is 01:27:50 There's more meat on the bone there. Like, why are we ending this now? I think for me with the Jaylon Brown stuff, I think it's a good point. I mean, and this is kind of how I felt during the year, this for me was probably how I would process it if I were good enough to be Jalen Brown. I went through that would be, yeah, you know what? Bottom line is, man, like I got called, I got, I slid over one seat and that's what it looks like. Right. But there's a hell of a lot. There's a hell of a lot that comes with that seat.
Starting point is 01:28:20 So like now, okay, he goes back and it's, you know, obviously I don't think of guys good, it's more like Tatum's, you know, the guy. Jalen Brown's a great, great player. But at the same time, he's like, okay, listen, I rang the bell, man. I validated what my ceiling is, what I believe it is. But it's okay here to be like 1A next to Jason Tatum, too, because Tatum's going to get ultimately most of that playoff pressure is more on his shoulders than anybody else. And so I do wonder how Jalen Brown feels about all that.
Starting point is 01:28:51 Is it like, he's like, no, no, hell with that. I don't ever want to go back. I want a team of my own. I know what I'm capable. of doing and nothing's ever going to satisfy him again? Or is it, no, I like playing here. I like Boston. I like Jason Tatum. I showed what I could do when given a chance. That's good enough for me. If they were going to trade him, Milwaukee would not be my Jane Lynn trade. I would be looking at New Orleans or Atlanta and trying to, you know, especially New Orleans. That's a trade that makes
Starting point is 01:29:16 sense in my head where you get trade, get Tray Murphy back, Herb Jones, World More Contract. Maybe you get a pick. But, you know, you're recreating basically a different version of what you had with Tatum and Brown, but your contracts are a little better and you get more flexibility. Like, I'd be thinking that way. To me, I don't, do they win the title if they get Janus? I just, I don't know if that's the magic elixir, and I don't know physically where he is, you know?
Starting point is 01:29:43 I would look at it if I were Boston like this, the way that the, you know, look, the Knicks jumped on it and they played incredible basketball at the end of year, and they peaked at the right time. Yep. But you still have to go back and you have to be honest and just look at the Eastern Conference. Like the path was cleared for them with the injury to Tatum.
Starting point is 01:30:01 And, you know, that was like trying to figure that out late in the year. No, how Lurton obviously at Pacers went there a year ago. Detroit doesn't have enough shooting yet. The Pistons, the Cavs are a team that's got, you know, they've got issues in the postseason like handling that pressure. Philly's hurt all the time. So if I'm Boston, I'm just looking at it like, yeah, okay, the Knicks, to me, I've seen a lot of lists out there where they put OKC San Antonio 1-2 again in terms of league.
Starting point is 01:30:26 expectations to win it. Boston three, Knicks four. I mean, to me, the Knicks have every, have the, have the case to be made that they're going to run it back and win the Eastern Conference. I think, I think they can absolutely make that case. But if I'm Boston, I'm not sitting looking at any teams in the East and going as currently constructed without the Yonis trade. Like, we can't hang with those guys. So I think, I think that's why the comfort zone comes from fans. We know what this looks like. And it's pretty damn close. And now we get Tatum for an entire year coming off the injury rather than just a partial year, yeah, we'll take our chances. Of that, of course, you need to improve your roster. They're going to need to improve,
Starting point is 01:31:04 and we'll see what ways they can do that. They have a $27 million trade exception. They have some tradable smaller pieces. Like, they'll be better than they were last year. Last year was, they always called it the quote unquote gap year. But in some ways it was. They got rid of holiday and for Ziggis and assignments. I'm putting the Knicks as the favorite right now to win Eastern Congress. You should. I'm putting the Knicks as. I mean, it's like, but it's amazing. I'm looking at stuff stuff that's written out there. They're not doing that. I'm like, I don't get it, man. The way that they just played, and like that last series was a grinded out, they fell behind, they still found ways away. But prior to that, like, they were playing damn near perfect basketball. And they ended up winning a championship in five games against the team that won 62 with that kind of young talent.
Starting point is 01:31:47 Like, for me, the Knicks should be the team that's placed at the top of the pecking order in Eastern Conference going into the season. Now let's see what these other teams do to address. their needs. Awesome. And close that gap. Brunson's the best part in the conference. He is, it wasn't just, oh,
Starting point is 01:32:03 I had this great postseason. He's done this four years in a row now. He's averaging 29 points a game for four straight playoffs. Like, this is who he is. They have a team built around him. The only thing I would worry about with the Knicks is, you know,
Starting point is 01:32:15 Pat Riley called the disease of Moore. Everybody's super unselfish when you're trying to win a title. You're doing everything. You put your ego aside. But now you won. Doc Rivers, I had Doc Rivers. on the pod the other day, and he called it
Starting point is 01:32:28 trophy tour syndrome. You get your trophy for the day. You go back home. You have your day with all your people. And then you come back to the next year, and you're like, all right, now it's my time. And that's usually what happens with this, with champions.
Starting point is 01:32:43 And now it would be the fear. I'm going to tell you, though, I'm going to tell you, I don't think that's the makeup of this group of guys. And I've got to spend a lot of time around them, covering them, you know, all the way through the playoffs, basically, and certainly the finals. They just look like they're perfectly in sync with where they're slotted, where they're slotted each guy and what they're required to be,
Starting point is 01:33:04 and then perfectly fine with this other incredibly special player that they have settling things. And we'll contribute to that heavily. And in some nights, be one guy more than another, I don't think they're going to have that particular problem with this group. I just don't think that's the makeup of this team. I think you're right.
Starting point is 01:33:24 But I'm not positive. because this is the league we have. They also, they're not going to be able to pay Mitch, I don't think. Dolan basically said he's not going second April. So Mitch is out, they're going to have to look out with the 24th pick at some sort of big man. But small problems. All right, Tim Legler, have fun at the draft. I'm excited for your player comps.
Starting point is 01:33:44 Just rip them off. Like, boom, boom, player comp. Boom, player comp. Good to see you. Always a pleasure. Thanks for spending this season with us. Let's catch up when the smoke clears from the draft and free agency. and see where everything's settled
Starting point is 01:33:57 and all those trades take play, all that stuff. Can't wait. We'll reconnect. All right. Take care, man. You got it. See you, Bill.
Starting point is 01:34:03 All right, so we're recording this. It is Thursday afternoon Pacific Time. There's still some World Cup games happening tonight, but we only care about the one by the time people hear this. Friday, America, who looked awesome, really truly awesome in the first match. And now Australia on Friday. It's a holiday.
Starting point is 01:34:22 It's going to be a great day. Anthony Dubundo came on a couple weeks ago. and he reminded us, I was skeptical. I wasn't that excited about our chances, and you reminded us, hey, we haven't really been healthy in four years. Like, we have our guys. Like, there is a path here. So you're watching that first half.
Starting point is 01:34:40 What are you thinking? I didn't think it would go that well. I don't think even the most optimistic U.S. fan in the world thought that it would go as well as dominant as the first half was. They made it look so easy. This is a country that usually struggles with Trinidad, that usually has had issues beating Panama over the last few years, and they're just washing away a pretty good South American team.
Starting point is 01:35:02 So, I mean, it was the most exciting I've ever been. It was my first ever time going to a World Cup game. First time ever seen the U.S. score a goal in person. Like, amazing, amazing stuff. All the 1V1 stuff, a striker just like creating holy shit goals and then actually finishing the kick. It was unbelievable. And even Raina comes in at the end, right?
Starting point is 01:35:22 the guy from from a few years ago where he became the polarizing like what they became the big argument guy that did the documentary it was barely covered but even he had a moment and he might have to have a moment in this Australia game because of course we can't have good things for that long who's sick is who knows when I see that training by myself um story that makes me nervous but he was so good in that first half we thought they took him out because they didn't one, we get hurt in the second half. That's what I thought too. You assumed Paraguay would be doing the, okay, we're down three nothing.
Starting point is 01:35:58 We're going to start taking your guys out. But it turned out he was maybe a little hurt. So what are you thinking or how worried are you? I'm definitely worried. I mean, there are only one or two players that the U.S. can't truly replace. And he's one of them. And it's funny because I was thinking today, okay, so if he doesn't start, who are the guys that replace him?
Starting point is 01:36:20 And there is no like for like. I mean, in a perfect world, Gio Raina can do a lot of the things, but Gio Raina has barely played soccer for the last three years. And he has had some good moments for the U.S. men's national team like that last minute goal. But expecting him to just walk in and replace what Pulisic has done is just not realistic. Then it's like, well, maybe it's Burrhalter and they play a little more defensive. That's going to be divisive. Maybe it's Aronson and they go for the pressing. He's not very creative.
Starting point is 01:36:49 So all of a sudden, all the excitement, they don't really need Polisik though. For this specific game, they do. But for the tournament, like, this is not their most important game anymore. They need to shift expectations and realize that the later on games are what we really are playing for here. Well, you know, so they're going to probably do park the bus a little bit, right? Do some counters. Well, I'll show you. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:37:14 Try to do the one-nothing final. Try to rope us in. That's what their, their first win was like that. They didn't have the ball a ton. But when they did have the ball, they made stuff happen. So that would be the recipe. You also have Seattle, a great soccer city. Everyone's going to be so fired up.
Starting point is 01:37:31 It's a holiday. There's so many good things about this game. And I don't know. I've just seen soccer games like this where it's like, oh my God, we've had the ball. Oh, no, what's happening? Oh, my God. What did you think of Australia when you watched them in that first game? Yeah.
Starting point is 01:37:46 I mean, it's a classic example of like, does this same? more about Australia or more about Turkey. I mean, they sat very deep in a very compact block and just made Turkey send in prayer after prayer after prayer, cross after cross. Long range, I mean, you know, Turkey has a superstar player
Starting point is 01:38:02 Arta Goulaire who attempted seven shots, all of them from long range. None of them had a chance. They were really frustrating and really effective defensively. And in this system, in this tournament, those kind of teams can be really freaking annoying to play against. But
Starting point is 01:38:18 I do think the U.S., what they showed against Paraguay, shows me that they have new ideas for how to break down this system. But it is so reliant on Pulisic, on his ability to retain the ball in dangerous areas, his ability to keep possession in the penalty area, has always been his best skill. And now it's like, well, without him, who's going to be the man that beats the man?
Starting point is 01:38:37 Is it Dest? Are they going to start Tim Wea? Is it just Balogun kind of like muscling his way through Australians? Because they're a big bunch in the back, too. Yeah, Pulisick was so good in that first half. it almost seemed like we were going to get the rare first half sub for their right back. We got to get this guy out of here. He's getting torch.
Starting point is 01:38:55 And then he wasn't out there in the second half. So the two guys that make me nervous on our team, desk, I just wish there was like slightly more there. I don't know. I felt like there was a lot on the table for him in the game I went to. And then Reams 38. Like Australia has a 20-year-old flyer who had a goal in their first game. And I just, I just can't. I can imagine that's not going to rear its ugly head at some point during the cup,
Starting point is 01:39:21 the fact that we feel like we're like a great defender short, right? Probably, yes. And I think that's the big question that like Paraguay and maybe even Australia aren't going to test is like Tim Ream for all of his, you know, now faults as a defender, is still very good at picking passes out going forward if you just let him stand there on the ball and ping passes all over. And he had seven long completions in the match against Paraguay, which is nuts. Australia will probably do a better job of marking Tim Reem.
Starting point is 01:39:52 They'll probably do a better job of oppressing him a little bit. Better teams will do a better job of that. That's where it's like, okay, can Tim Ream hold up when teams start to press more? That's going to be kind of the stress test that, like, Paraguay just really never gave to the defense. I mean, they scored one goal off a set piece, but there was at no point any stress on this defense. So that's the big question mark. But, you know, I think that's why they're playing a back three. It's the idea that if you put two really athletic dudes and Richards and Freeman who cover a lot of ground and who are super smart guys next to Ream, you kind of cover for him as much as possible.
Starting point is 01:40:27 Right. You know, and so you hide him. And then, you know, Des is a funny guy because I love Sergenio Des. I get why he's easy to be like, he's always in dangerous areas and he often screws it up. But the fact that he's always in dangerous areas means you just cannot forget about him because he will show up in a big moment and create a chance. or dribble past a guy. And he really did dribble past players a lot in that game Friday night. It just the final touch and it was rough.
Starting point is 01:40:54 It was rough. Well, the big question was what we got from Richards. And he was awesome in that game. Amazing. And he passed, basically he passed all the injury concerns that we had heading into the cup right to Pulisick. Yeah. It was because I, did you see that, that stat? Like, what did he complete 83 of 83 passes?
Starting point is 01:41:11 The picture perfect game. Yeah. The soccer defender perfect game. You never see that very often. But he also, he's such a badass. The way he carries himself, it's really funny. He carries himself like he's like a Ravens linebacker or something. And he did have a header on a set piece, too, that came close to scoring.
Starting point is 01:41:28 I mean, he is such a, I mean, like, we talk about, you know, the classic example of, like, what does it look like when the Americans are finally developing bigger and better talent? And, like, having a centerback who starts every week on a good Premier League team, just ho-hum, goes about his business, nothing flashy. Like, those kind of players are what. It's not about having all the superstars in Europe. It's about having more of Chris Richards. We get like three more Chris Richards across the line.
Starting point is 01:41:54 And that's, you know, that's the perfect example. Well, it's almost like when like preparing for the NBA draft right now and doing my whole process and over and over again, you come to the same conclusion like four days before where you're like, you know what's really nice? Like swing men who can defend and hit threes. Yeah. It's just, O.G. and an OB.
Starting point is 01:42:10 Guess what? You can't really go wrong with that. So like, Mores Johnson now, the Michigan guy. And he's like, oh, he might go 15, 14. Like, wherever he goes, somebody's going to be super happy with him because that's just the kind of guy that plays. And it's the same thing with soccer. They're these certain guys.
Starting point is 01:42:24 With that said, Jedi is probably, he's another one that when you, in person, really feels like the atypical American, just like fucking freak athlete. Flying. He's everywhere. And look, I mean, like, I know the running joke is like a lot of these guys were not developed in the U.S. Balagan, Robinson, Tillman. You know, like a lot of these guys were not, quote, unquote, traditional homegrown players
Starting point is 01:42:46 and we could do a whole podcast on that. But like Jedi in the Premier League is consistently one of the most active, aggressive all over the place defenders on that left wing. I remember they played Liverpool like two years ago and he completely shut down like a prime most Sala and I was like, what am I watching?
Starting point is 01:43:04 This is crazy. And then he also had 10 assists that year. I mean, he is a special player and I think he'll be important because inevitably they're going to need more wide production if they don't have pool of stick in the middle. So Robinson and Dest become even more important than they were in the first match. And then the striker might be the most talented striker we've ever had.
Starting point is 01:43:23 And I like Clint Dempsey, I think, was really reliable, good. I loved how tough he was. And he, I thought, was really important just for where U.S. soccer was and where it was trying to go. But this guy's like, this is different. It's different. It's amazing. And, you know, the one thing with him has always been. And I remember, you know, when I first joined the ringer bill,
Starting point is 01:43:40 we did the Copa America. I remember two summers ago when we were a disaster. Yeah. And Balagan only played like half the minutes because he got hurt. And even you texting our group chat, like watch how he's moving. It's so different from how the other guys are moving around the pitch. And that's how you feel when you watch him. And no matter what his finishing has always been, he's always had the shots.
Starting point is 01:44:03 And the analytics nerds and the scouts will always say, if you get the shots, we'll worry about the finishing later. Just get the shots. And his shot numbers have been amazing in France. and now he's carrying that into the U.S. and two goals, I think he had four shots in the first game. So just amazing. Well, like you, all I've been doing is watching World Cup.
Starting point is 01:44:20 I love it. I love gambling on it. I just love that. There was that one game the other night that was on it, like, midnight Pacific time. That was amazing. What was it, Jordan, Austria and Austria and Jordan. Yeah, it's all starting to put together. It was a really good game, though, for how late at night it was.
Starting point is 01:44:37 But, you know, you're just watching all these different guys. and the ones that jump out over and over again are like the left or right back that's just fucking flying up and down constantly and never gets tired or like you know the forward who he's just kind of hanging around then all of a sudden he's got that stop start boom and that's what ballin has like he's kind of lurking looking boom he's he's off but then and then on top of everything else you get to watch what messy did the other night it's like oh yeah that's and that's the other version of the sport where he's just levitating above everybody i mean that was one of the great random sports experiences.
Starting point is 01:45:12 I certainly wasn't expecting that to be like the highlight of the summer, but it was even up there with the finals games. That was unbelievable. You talking about messy? The hat trick, yeah. Yeah. Just, he played all the hits. Watching his son in the goal.
Starting point is 01:45:29 He played my daughter whenever, you know, my daughter was always a striker. And we always had this joke called, it was called Rufus goals because our dog Rufus had died 10 years ago. But if you put food on the counter, and if you left it for two seconds, he would just kind of sneak over and grab it and go. And so we always talk the same with soccer. Like the best strikers, like they're best forwards, best anything.
Starting point is 01:45:55 They're always in the position to just kind of jump on the counter and grab a goal. And that second goal he had was my favorite one of the three because he's just kind of over there. He's reading, oh, this might be a rebound bounce, and he's already moving to where the bounces and nobody's even reacting yet. just putting it in. It's like the easiest goal we had, but he's just a second and a half ahead or wherever else is mentally. And that's despite the fact that he just, it's so funny when they don't have the ball, right? When you watch him and you see him in the corner of the screen
Starting point is 01:46:22 and he's just walking around like it's a Sunday men's league, like he's just trying to get his steps in. And then the minute he gets the ball. But he's calculating everything. He makes two little runs, one little dart, one dribble, one shot. And you're like, oh shit. I mean, Argentina, in the first 28 minutes of that match, did not have. a touch in the penalty area of Algeria. But they were up 1-0 because Messi's like, I don't need to go in the penalty area. I'll score from 25 yards out.
Starting point is 01:46:47 Screw that. Why bother that with that? And on top of it, like the, I mean, the thing that makes the guys truly, truly great, no matter what's where you're talking about is like, it's performance, but also like performance. It's the artistry of it. It's all these people in Kansas City.
Starting point is 01:47:02 It's Mahomes in the luxury suite. And they're all there to see him, right? And that's like almost drives him up to make him greater, whereas like, poor Rinaldo. he's out there and you called it on the pod we did before the cup started
Starting point is 01:47:15 but it's like yeah this is Aaron Rogers Pittsburgh kind of territory potentially and it was worse than that because he he costed in the game I mean he had
Starting point is 01:47:24 I felt like opportunities that normal people would make at this level and he just didn't cash in on any of them it's so funny because a lot of the people that are trying to defend
Starting point is 01:47:34 Rinaldo are saying well it's not just his fault right the performance was bad all around and like their wingers have problems Portugal has issues But it's like what you said.
Starting point is 01:47:42 The best strikers always find ways to get shots, to get spaced, to make those little runs, those little movements where they can get separation and get shots off. That's just always been true. And that wasn't the case for Ronaldo yesterday against Congo. He was never able to separate. He's not running in behind. He's not coming short. He's not linking the play.
Starting point is 01:48:03 It's like hopefully the cross finds his head because they had a lot of the ball. Right. a whole lot with it. But I mean, a couple of days ago when Mbapapé scores twice and Holland scores twice and Messi scores three times all in one day. And then like you said, we get the Austria, Jordan, midnight. I mean, it's one of the greatest days for stars in the history of the World Cup. Right.
Starting point is 01:48:24 And we get four games every day. And then pretty soon it's going to be six games a day for a few days. And you didn't even mention the England game. Kane was incredible in that game, doing these 40-yard fucking dart passes. I got to watch that one with CR. We were enjoying it. And then in the corner kicks for England. I mean, I know that was the guy was on Arsenal.
Starting point is 01:48:43 That was one of their calling cards. But nothing really floats my boat. Like just a great corner kick right in the, right in the box. A routine. They ran a pick and roll. Fucking boom. And the guys are wide open over and over again somehow. And it's the most underrated part of this. But there's no other.
Starting point is 01:48:58 What else is like this? It's almost like maybe special teams in football or Belichick was trying to get like advantage with special teams. And it's this thing that it's like, oh yeah, and you should be good at special teams. And he's like, no, actually, we're going to like flip games with special teams. That was one of the biggest reasons, the 0-1 Patriots one. And these corner kicks, free kicks, you see it over and over again in the World Cup.
Starting point is 01:49:18 Like putting the ball in the box in the right areas and doing the little boxing out the keeper. John Stones literally set up, if you go watch the replay that goal, John Stones is setting what would be called a moving screen. Right. Or the NBA just so he can get cane free a little bit and all he needs is a couple yards, one header, two one. it's so funny because I watched with the Foscast guys, Ben Foster, and they're awesome.
Starting point is 01:49:42 And getting into the psyche of the English fan, I mean, you were with CR, so how was CR feeling before the match? Confident. Really? He's a little worried about the back three. But they have a lot of firepower. They do. They really do.
Starting point is 01:49:55 They have all kinds of ways that they can create goals, and they're really fun to watch. I think if you're an England fan, it's weird to watch this team that can be kind of explosive, but they feel a little bit explosive. Right. So with the Foscast guys, none of them were that confident.
Starting point is 01:50:10 I talked to a random England fan outside of SOFi. He was like, yeah, you know, I think we can make the semis. I'm like, you don't think you can win. He goes, no. Like English fans, I think more than maybe any other fan base and maybe because they've been, you know, so close yet so far.
Starting point is 01:50:23 They just don't have the same level of, of irrational optimism about their team. So a lot of nervous energy. And then Kane misses the penalty. And they're all like, oh, shit, here we go again. I'm like, this is how it's going to go. The rarely seen callback. They nailed the goalkeeper.
Starting point is 01:50:39 It never happens. He was about a half of a toe off the line. Nothing, you can't get away with anything anymore. And then in the second half, they went for it. I mean, England fans have been crying out for this. They have so much talent. They play scared under Gary Southgate. It's all like, defend the lead, defend the lead, defend the lead.
Starting point is 01:50:56 And Tuchel went in the halftime and said, F it. Like, we're going for this. What do we have to lose? And they came out and played an incredible second half. So I think England has vaulted themselves into the favorite. conversation if they weren't already there. And I think them, Spain and France are still a tier above. But maybe USA should be in that second tier.
Starting point is 01:51:13 I don't know. One thing they did, England, that I loved, I loved the hockey line change for the forwards. It's one of my favorites. You can't do it if it's like a Premier League team, probably. But if it's the World Cup and you have a deep roster and a bunch of awesome guys, it's just kind of fun, like, hey, we're going, you guys go all out, last 20 minutes of the game.
Starting point is 01:51:32 and they were able to get one, but that was fun. Who was the best team? What's weird about the World Cup is like Paraguay might actually be good. We just got a goal early on them, right? And their whole strategy is like, you know, they wanted to be zero, zero after 70 minutes and all of a sudden they're on their heel.
Starting point is 01:51:49 All of a sudden, it's two nothing and like their games blown up. I don't know if they're good or not. So we've only seen, you know, 90 minutes of each of these teams. But who really jumped out to you? France, for the last half hour? put together, they showed a ceiling that I don't think any team has. And they made some tactical changes. The first half was embarrassing.
Starting point is 01:52:10 They were terrible. Michael Lise, who is one of the best players in the world, was just kind of standing out on the wing all alone. Like, hey, hey, guys, I'm over here. And then the coach was like, all right, let's move you centrally in the second half. Let's get you involved because you're our best passer. And then the whole game changed. I mean, he's dribbling past guys.
Starting point is 01:52:27 He makes the pass to Kielian and Boppe for the first goal. He just changes the game. And it's like, well, you know, France, you could. could do this from the first minute. You could play like this all the time, but Deschamp is like, we like to defend, we don't like to press.
Starting point is 01:52:40 Well, the halftime was funny. Tierrairean, at halftime was fucking sullen. It's really interesting. These halftime shows with the, you know, they just gravitate toward just famous guys from different countries.
Starting point is 01:52:52 Oh, it's great. They're so bitter if it's, if the game's not going well, he almost could talk. That he's going to snap a loss. La Lotton might kill Lallis. Yeah, yeah.
Starting point is 01:53:01 At the tournament, I don't, I almost, like, I don't usually like to watch, but now I kind of feel like I have to watch because I never know when Zlatan's just going to start throwing haymakers at Lollus. It's been an interesting tournament for the Fox studio crew. If you watch the body language and I bet on these shows, like Zlatan is like, you know, Lales is here.
Starting point is 01:53:21 Zlatan's like this and it's almost like he's turning his back on him. It's really nuts. It seems like he despises him. Who knows? And then Landon makes the conversation. comment, right, about how he felt France was, was quote, arrogant in the first half, which, you know, I thought there were tactical issues more than their effort. And then Lallus tried to back him up and repeat it. And Zlatan has this incredible moment where he's just like, and by the way,
Starting point is 01:53:48 it's not arrogance. It's confidence. It's confidence. And I'm just like, what is going on? These guys are going to, like, this is uncomfortable, but it's also electric at the same time because Zlatan does not give a shit. He doesn't care at all. Yes, usually the studio shows should feel like people were invited at a dinner to sit at the same table together because you knew the conversation would be good. The Fox studio shows, they feel like it was a dinner where everybody pulled numbers out of a hat. It's like, oh, I'm at table 18.
Starting point is 01:54:18 I'm at table. Slaton's over there. And then there's just like no chemistry at all at the table because they've never, ever hung out. I had the plus one in that France game with the underdog. I forget. Senegal. Yeah, Senegal. And then they got it.
Starting point is 01:54:33 They got the goal. And then Mbapé, he fucking like a minute later killed it. But the World Cup, there was a day where, what was it, four draws in a row? It was like, $100,000 if you bet $100,000 on the parlay. The 2026 redrawables World Cup edition, yes. Unbelievable. Yeah, that was fun. Not all draws are created equal.
Starting point is 01:54:52 I mean, Cape Verde drawing Spain, that was so. I only saw the second half of that game. The guy was levitating over the goal, just blocking shit. He was doing a VSP. He's up to 7.5 million Instagram followers. Yeah, that was great. After he had 50,000 before kickoff, he's 40 years old. And then apparently the department, the Secretary of State,
Starting point is 01:55:13 like they arranged for his mother to get a visa so she can make the trip for the next game, so she gets to see him live. The World Cup is a really cool, really cool thing because these random pop-up stories just come out of nowhere and all of a sudden we're like enthralled by it. Well, the number one thing that happened for people in my life was Scotland taking over Boston in the best possible way. And it was just a week-long love fest.
Starting point is 01:55:38 Everybody loved them. They were just drinking and walking around and having a great time, basically drinking all the beer out of Boston. And it went so well that they announced there's going to be some sort of partnership between Glasgow and Boston. The Boston bear announced today, like we're going to actually try to figure out some sort of thing. It was really amazing because Boston's pretty Irish, you know, but that's pretty Irish. Yeah, I was going to say, I didn't know how the Scots were going to go. But the Scots were like, hey, we love drinking too. And from that moment it was on.
Starting point is 01:56:08 And they really took over the city. So that was really fun. All right. So tournament, we're doing this. It's Thursday. There's two games left today. France is now plus 410 on Fandul as the favorite. Spain's 5 to 1.
Starting point is 01:56:21 England's 6 to 1. Argentina is 8 to 1. Portugal's plus 950. I'll book that bet. myself. Brazil 11 to 1. I didn't think they look great either. Nope.
Starting point is 01:56:31 And then it kind of goes on down. You were, you know, there's a couple of those middle teams like Morocco. I think U.S. is down in that. U.S. is down to 40 to 1. That maybe there's more there than what we saw in the first game. But that top top four feels like the four, right? France, Spain, England, Argentina. Yep.
Starting point is 01:56:54 That would be my four. So if you had to cram one other team into that four, who would it be? Germany. Okay. Germany's way down there. They're 14 to 1. What did you like about Germany? We didn't learn a ton about Germany when they played Curisale, right? Germany traditionally is a flat track bully.
Starting point is 01:57:11 They like to pummel the teams that are a little bit lesser. And they are built to do that. The reason Germany's odds are so low is that if they win their group and France wins their group, they will play each other on the 4th of July in Philly in the round of 16. So we have this clash of two what I think are top five teams, and I would put Brazil and Portugal in the kind of figuring it out phase, potentially playing each other as early as the round of 16. France could then also play semifinals against Spain.
Starting point is 01:57:42 So Germany's path will be very, very difficult. And I'm not really sure if their defense is good enough. Is that a possible what's finished second instead of first situation? It is. It is. That's hard to engineer. Yeah. Because then you don't really know where you're going to end up in the bracket and things get a little bit weirder. And like, you know, France is going to play Norway on the final day. So would they tank it? Like, I can't imagine that.
Starting point is 01:58:06 Like, I don't think they're thinking that far ahead. But it would probably be wise to if you were Germany. Like, we'll avoid France. Thank you very much. But that would be a fascinating matchup. I just don't know if Germany's defense is good enough. It's been their problem for multiple cycles. That's why they haven't made it out of the group stage. the last two World Cups,
Starting point is 01:58:23 but they have an incredible manager, they have an incredible attacking group, they can score on anybody. They're going to be in the mix. Yeah, because U.S. is in this situation where if they finish first, they play the runner-up from B-E-F-I-R-J.
Starting point is 01:58:37 I don't even know what those teams are, but they finish... The third-place team, right, yeah. If they finish second, they play the runner-up of Group G, which is Belgium, Egypt, Iran, and New Zealand. I mean, that sounds great.
Starting point is 01:58:51 Exactly. I mean, I'd rather finish first, obviously, but even finishing second, that sounds like an ideal situation. So if they come in second, though, here's where it gets trickier. Your round of 32 game is probably easier, but then in the round of 16,
Starting point is 01:59:06 it's probably Argentina. Oh, God. So we would prefer to avoid them. If they get first, maybe a little tougher round of 32, because the third place teams, I mean, who knows, it's too early. But the round of 16,
Starting point is 01:59:18 you could potentially play Belgium, who showed a lot of cracks in their first game against Iran, or against Egypt rather. So you're like, well, now we're talking. Like, you get Belgium on home soil, revenge for 2014,
Starting point is 01:59:30 Chris Wondelowski revenge game, the Tim Howard ain't walking through that door game. And you beat them, like, I mean, like if you put betting odds up right now, I don't think they would be huge underdogs at all.
Starting point is 01:59:41 I think they'd be close to a toss-up with Belgium. So if you knew Polisic was 100% healthy right now, and he's obviously not, but if he was, if we were just healthy right now, what's the ceiling for you with how excited you would be to like final four final eight level run for this team just off that one game
Starting point is 01:59:59 it's literally how far can we go until we have to play France, Spain, England or Argentina like that's it it's quite frankly a matter of like okay there are levels to this game and the US is going to need some luck to beat one of those teams and I don't know if I trust the defense and the goalie enough for that kind of a challenge right that's where a power like doesn't really test you.
Starting point is 02:00:21 So we're going to have to find out. But yeah, like if they're in the round of 16 against Belgium and they win, why not? And then maybe there's an upset. And instead of playing Spain in the quarters, you're playing Uruguay or Colombia. Then it's like, well, we'll take our chances there. So I think it really comes down to the draw. It's too early to say. But in Derson performance alone, it would be hard to not say the U.S. isn't playing
Starting point is 02:00:41 in sort of that back end of the top 10 range because the Dutch looked just okay. Belgians looked just okay. Like none of those teams are jumping up. great. Not at all. On Fandle, USA to make last 16, minus 220. Did you bet with us last week?
Starting point is 02:01:00 Well, that was the minus 130, right? Yeah. So that's minus 1, minus 220. I didn't. I didn't want to have any money on U.S. I just wanted to enjoy it. I didn't feel like I need to add, but I might actually go in on
Starting point is 02:01:11 on that, if they finished first in the group, that game. Quarter finals is plus 180 and semis is plus 550. which is... I mean, think about that. That used to be 12 to 1. Betting I was just saying we're roughly 37%
Starting point is 02:01:28 to make the final eight of the World Cup. It's not that far off. So where... Do you know off top of your head where the last 16 in the quarterfinals games would even be? I guess we would know because of the groups yet, but is there a way to have any idea?
Starting point is 02:01:44 Yeah. So if they win the group, their first knockout game will be in Santa Clara. that would be the first game. And then once they won that, they would play in Seattle, July 6th. No, we're going once. They win that, Bill.
Starting point is 02:01:59 I like this. Okay. You're doing the Jalen Brunson. When they win the first round of 32 game, they would go back to Seattle on July 6th for their round of 16 game. If, now we'll go if. If they won that,
Starting point is 02:02:11 they would be in the quarterfinals, July 10th, back at So-5. So July 6th, Seattle. Normally an absolute dead time of the year for sports where all the NBA free agents have signed. Wimbledon is still, we're getting near the end. Yeah, we're almost at the end with Wimbledon. Holiday weekend. We're right at the point where we're wondering where all the really fun tennis players went.
Starting point is 02:02:39 That's around July 6th. Oh, man, I wish we had like two more fun tennis players. Like Serena and Venus Williams? We talked about that the last time you were on. And they're playing doubles. We're going to see Serena at the U.S. Open. I wish that was a fendil bet. If she comes back, I actually would.
Starting point is 02:02:57 My wife would want to go to that. We love, we're a big Serena house. So I, uh, that might be. Get together with Shreger. Well, you know, this was before you were born, but the two great moments of, and I used to love tennis, but McEnroe at the open and Conner's at the open,
Starting point is 02:03:13 were the two runs where I felt like the crowd just kind of grab them and grabbed them by the next. and pulled them through some of the points in the sets. And the Serena thing would be the set. The crowd would be, can you imagine playing against her in the U.S. Open? You would have to be one of the best five players in the world, like locked in. I don't think anyone else would be able to beat her. So I had the luck, the absolute all-time luck box of my friends and I decided one year,
Starting point is 02:03:41 we're going to go in on Friday night tickets on Ash before the draw, before Serena said, we bought those tickets. and it ended up being Serena's last match. Oh, wow. So we got to go to see her play Ila. And that crowd was the coolest tennis crowd I've ever been a part of. Even when she came back and she won the one set and it was like, holy shit, she's going to win again. Then she loses the third set and it's kind of sad.
Starting point is 02:04:06 But like the whole crowd, the euphoria of that night was one of the most special nights I've ever had as a tennis fan. So the fact that we're going to do it again, like four years later? It's the only thing in tennis you're allowed to do from a non-sportsmanship standpoint is if it's a situation like that. If it's the old lion trying to hold on, it's just understood. The crowd just gets to root for them and cheer when you double faulted and all that shit comes into play. Otherwise, no.
Starting point is 02:04:35 Well, the USA thing will be amazing. And then you were in New York today for the parade. Sort of. Yeah. I was technically around. You were in like where everything was starting, right? Just the entire city? I made the mistake of not thinking ahead.
Starting point is 02:04:51 I want to go to New York. I'm going to watch England with the Foscast guys. I have a couple friends I wanted to see when I was in New York. So I got together with them last night. And then this morning, once I got to the office yesterday, people were talking about the parade. I'm like, oh, where's the parade? They're like, oh, it's coming right down this street.
Starting point is 02:05:07 I'm like, you got to be kidding me. Yeah. Like this is going to be an absolute madhouse tomorrow morning. So I managed to get in and out. I saw parts of it. and I was very happy to kind of escape. What was the madhouse on a scale one to ten? Like a nine?
Starting point is 02:05:22 Like I said, it's not my team. So nor were the Eagles, I guess, when they won. But I compared to that in the sense that when the Eagles first won, I was in Syracuse at the time. And I was the only one that had a car of my freshman friends from Philly. So I was like, okay, I'll drive home. We drove home at two in the morning. We get there at 6.30, 7 o'clock.
Starting point is 02:05:39 People are already drinking. Like 9 o'clock, you can tell people are already drunk. And it's just a huge party for something that had been so much time in the waiting. So I'm so happy for all of my Knicks friends. And now I'm back to disliking the Knicks again. I'm glad they had their moment, happy for him, was rooting for him. It's over. It's one of only like maybe 10 excuses to just be hammered at 10 in the morning.
Starting point is 02:06:02 Yes. In New York, it's like the Biggie's tournament and the Knicks. Football tailgates are great. All right. So give us your USA predictions before we go. I am predicting Okay, go. Australia?
Starting point is 02:06:15 For this specific game? No, just give us what, give us your updated predictions. Okay. US is going to make the quarterfinals and lose to Spain. That is my official prediction. They are going to win their first two knockout games,
Starting point is 02:06:28 get to that quarter final, and then, you know, maybe water finds its level. And they were like, okay, yeah, like there's, there's a gap here. Like their midfield gets a little exposed, their defense, trying to watch Jedi against Laminia Mall
Starting point is 02:06:39 would be really fun. but I think Spain gets past them. So that's my official now prediction. However, I think they're going to win the group. And a draw tomorrow is not a bad result. On Friday, if they get a draw against Australia, they keep control, they stay in first place going into the final match, ballistic stays healthy, maybe he gets the night off.
Starting point is 02:06:56 That's fine. That's okay. It's on the end of the world. It will kill some momentum, but in the grand scheme of the tournament, it's fine. I'll take it. We move. All right. Dubundo, good to see you.
Starting point is 02:07:05 Enjoy the game tomorrow. Have a great weekend. Go USA. All right. That's it for the podcast. Thanks to Tim Legler. Thanks to Dubundo. Thanks to Gahua and Eduardo as well.
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