The Bill Simmons Podcast - NBA Media Day BS Watch, Towns Trade Redux, Remembering Mutombo, and NFL Quarter-Mark Trends With Rob Mahoney and Anthony Dabbundo
Episode Date: October 2, 2024The Ringer’s Bill Simmons is joined by Rob Mahoney to reflect on the big trade from over the weekend that will send Karl-Anthony Towns to the Knicks and Julius Randle to the Timberwolves (01:40). Wi...th NBA training camps underway, Bill and Rob share their favorite training camp story lines and briefly discuss Dikembe Mutombo's legacy (24:46). Next, Bill is joined by Anthony Dabbundo to break down NFL story lines and trends after a quarter of the season has passed, as well as talk playoff baseball (01:00:07). The Ringer is committed to responsible gaming. Please visit www.rg-help.com to learn more about the resources and helplines available. Host: Bill Simmons Guests: Rob Mahoney and Anthony Dabbundo Producers: Jessie Lopez and Steve Ceruti Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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First, our friends from Pearl Jam.
All right, we're taping this on a Tuesday afternoon.
This is a guy who got ready for training camp by losing at least 25 to 30 pounds.
Oh, no, that was Joel Embiid.
But it is Rob Mahoney.
How are you, Rob?
I'm good.
You know, Joel and I get confused very often.
So I'll forgive the error just this once.
25 to 30 pounds.
What's the exact number for Joel?
Three and a half.
We'll see.
He said he's still working on it.
He doesn't care.
We're going to talk about this when we do training camp storyline. So you covered this on your pod before I covered it on my pod,
but the big towns trade, which is not official yet. And I think when it happened, everybody has their reactions. I certainly had mine. Now we've had a chance for it to sink in for a few days.
Has anything changed in your head since this trade happened? I think I keep coming back to, and maybe this is my personal risk aversion talking,
and we can get into that if you want to, but I find it harder putting myself in the place of
a contending team to think, wouldn't it be cool if we just dramatically reconfigure everything that
we do? And I say that for both sides of this deal. I think the Wolves were in a pretty good
position to contend in the West. I thought the Knicks with Mikael Bridges were
sitting in a pretty favorable position in the East, at least to make another deep run.
And so for both of those teams to look at their situations, and granted there are flaws there,
but say, we want to shake this up dramatically. I just don't know that I would have gotten there
coming into the season. Maybe at the deadline, maybe deeper in once you saw a little bit more of what you've got.
But I don't know that I was ready to make a move this big on either side.
Yeah, the more distance I got from it, it just seems to me it's about flexibility, where
you have a Minnesota team that just could not sustain the financial model of whatever
that team was going to be, right?
And they felt like we actually have it out to get two players
and contend this year
and have some flexibility going forward
and we're not trapped to those next three
towns years where our model
just goes sideways.
I get it. And I
probably am now leaning toward liking the trade
a little bit more for them because there's a world
where Randall comes in and goes, great. From the
Knicks standpoint,
the more I stare at it, it just seems like we need a center.
Let's push all the chips in.
We're getting the best guy in the trade.
And most important, and I wish I had made this point
harder on Saturday, we just don't want to give Randall
that extension.
And we think it's gonna be a problem that we're not
giving him the extension.
I think, I talked about chemistry stuff on Saturday,
and I wish I'd hit the extension part harder because going into a season
where he's going to have to sacrifice and then also not know what he's getting paid.
And then also not know what his role is.
And then also not know if he's going to finish every game.
And there might be situations where he's just on the bench for the last five minutes.
And be in a situation where it's him and the Nova Knicks,
who everybody in the Knicks loves.
I think they just sniffed it out and didn't like where that was headed.
And at least with Towns throughout this year.
So it's a three-year commitment after this.
It's a guy they all knew.
It's a CAA guy.
It's a Kentucky guy.
And they're just making the bet.
But there's no
way they felt 100% on it, I don't think. I don't think either team can feel 100%.
But I want to focus on the Randall part of this. Because you said you can see the vision of
how this could go well for Minnesota if everything works right for Randall.
But everything you just said about his extension also applies to their financial situation.
Either they are in bed
with julius randall for the foreseeable future or he is a very short-term piece of this team
and i think that's where i get caught up on the cat element is the finances were what they were
and it was always going to be more likely that they would trade him at some point or trade some
big financial piece at some point then keep this whole group together that just the writing was
kind of on the wall.
It was just a matter of timing and who.
But if all you're getting back for Cat
is a first and Dante DiVincenzo,
a player we all like,
and maybe or maybe not the future of Julius Randle
at a price point you may or may not actually like,
why are we doing that?
Why are we doing that when we have a ready-made
conference finals worthy team?
Maybe it doesn't get all the way there this year,
but certainly worthy of competing at that level.
It's a great question.
And I think maybe they look at it from their end and say,
if this starts to slide backwards, what are our outs?
And ironically, they were in the same position
that the Knicks are in now.
The glass half empty version of this,
what are our outs?
And for Minnesota,
they would have had no outs at that point, right?
You probably,
there's a Gobert extension
that they probably would have passed on
and maybe they'll pass on it anyway.
There's a,
we have no chance to trade towns now.
This is our one chance to get two guys
plus a little more flexibility,
and maybe that's gone.
I also think they could probably
quietly shop him around a little bit
and have at least a little bit of a sense
for what these guys are worth,
but it speaks to another NBA piece of this,
which are these high-priced,
non-alpha superstars,
not maybe all NBA, but not quite. Bradley Beal, Zach Levine,
but it feels like there's more of those. Because the Ingram thing, I think, was the most fascinating
one to me all summer. Nobody wanted him. And I did Ringer 100, which you did too. You did the votes.
Ingram's somewhere between, you could put him as high as high 40s, you could put him low 60s, but he's one of the best,
probably 60 players in the league.
And he was at 36 million, I think,
or 35 million for one more year.
And everybody was like, pass.
Yeah.
And another extension debacle too.
Another guy who the Pelicans
just aren't looking at that future
and saying, we see how he fits with what we have
and with the direction that we're going. And the problem with Brandon Ingram is I think it's hard for a lot of teams to envision
exactly what that is because of the class of player he is and because of what his strengths
are, which is somebody who is ultimately a lot more comfortable with the ball in his hands,
but has not shown that he can elevate a team into great standing and great postseason success
with that kind of responsibility.
Right. And the Warriors looked at it and said, no thanks.
Yes.
When they desperately wanted to make a move and pursued Laurie Markin all summer.
Towns is more interesting because I think Towns is somebody, first of all, Towns is good. I mean,
I had him in my top 35. I'm sure you did too. He's somewhere in the 25, 35 range. No,
I think I had him like 32. He's somebody you can really talk yourself into
as a shooting stretch five.
Same way the Celtics talked themselves into Porzingis.
But the price for Porzingis was ironically
a little similar to the Towns price.
And Minnesota got more for Towns,
but same thing where it's like,
man, that's all they got for Towns?
But super expensive
guy. He's missed a bunch of games last five years. There's real questions about the self-awareness
with him, which I think are going to be tested to the gills in New York City. It's interesting
to hear all the different takes on that too, because I think everybody likes him,
but I think everybody has the same concerns about him in New York City.
There's two types of people that seem to just fail in New York City. And one of those two types is I am not self-aware at all. And I just say things that then become dissected and ridiculed for two straight days. And maybe I shouldn't have said that. He was always a maybe I shouldn't have said that guy. And now he's going in the worst city to be a maybe I shouldn't have said that guy. And now he's going in the worst city to be in. Maybe I shouldn't have said that guy.
That part of it, I think, is going to be tough. Even just kind of figuring out how he fits and finds his place in things basketball-wise will be interesting for him. Because he is a guy who,
by the nature of his skill set, and this is true of any kind of stretch big,
you have to pick your spots very carefully. And I thought that's where the Porzingis story
panned out so successfully for Boston, is they knew exactly these are the matchups
where you put him at the elbow and he goes to work.
These are the situations where he's just spacing.
This is when he could get away with rolling.
All that was very carefully laid out.
It's a tricky thing to manage.
And I think this is where the Nova-Knicks thing
could potentially be more than a cute story.
The Knicks have a lot that they need to incorporate now
with Cat and Bridges
and a reshuffled bench.
And before we forget,
OG Ananobi has played like 30 games
with the Knicks.
Right.
If some of these guys
already have the baked-in familiarity
of going through a postseason run together,
and even Bridges,
who you're bringing in,
knows how to play with Brunson and Hart,
there's a continuity there of a kind,
even if it's a little bit older
in terms of the history. Maybe that makes all's a little bit older in terms of the history.
Maybe that makes all this a little bit
easier in terms of, okay, Bridges is a
guy you don't necessarily have to worry about
funneling a certain kind of touch to
or a certain kind of opportunity to.
All of our attention coming into camp can be
how do we make Carl Anthony Towns comfortable
in the way that we play? And how do we maximize
what he does? Because there's no question
they need a creator like him.
I just wonder if he can be
the kind of creator
who isn't committing
two and a half offensive fouls a night,
who isn't taking a couple shots
that he shouldn't take
every so often,
like killing the momentum
of a Jalen Brunson run.
What was your take on Towns defensively?
I'm looking up his basketball reference
as we're talking.
What was your take on his
defensive abilities
and deficiencies before Gobert showed up in Minnesota?
Did not seem super tenable as a full-time five to me.
But if he was going to be tenable at any point,
it would probably be with someone like OG Ananobi next to him
and probably be with another wing defender
like Mikael Bridges next to him.
So as far as setting him up for some kind of defensive success,
I think this is as close as you're going to get.
And there's also the possibility when Mitchell Robinson comes back,
you could play Towns at the four in the way that he played next to Gobert.
That there's some momentum there and a style there
that could potentially work.
And his shooting is certainly good enough.
I just don't think if Towns is your five,
you're going to be an elite, elite defensive team.
It's more about...
Even with all the other guys they have.
I think it's a matter of managing it.
It's like you're going to be very solid,
probably the back part of the top 10.
Good defensive team.
They have the rebounding.
They have the versatility.
They have the length.
I think what's most important for them is
they do match up better with the Celtics.
And if that is the most important matchup in the field,
then I think Towns does a lot for you there
in terms of something to leverage
and also a style that I think fits that matchup a little better.
Yeah, I was thinking about,
I was already moving ahead to like April, May.
Of course.
When we start, when the playoffs really shrinks
to just matchups and attacking.
And teams were already attacking Brunson, right?
It's like, how can we wear him down?
How can we just put him in stuff?
And now they're going to be attacking him with Towns' guy.
And Ananobi and Bridges and Josh Hart,
as good as those guys are defensively,
I kind of feel like they're not going to be involved
in a lot of playoff basketball
because it's going to be all about who's Towns guarding,
bring them over, set the screen on Brunson's guy, and let's just go to Town on those two guys and everybody else can kind of stay over there.
And teams tried to do that to Minnesota last year with Towns to pretty solid success.
At the same time, I was impressed by what he did against Jokic.
Now, granted, he had Nas Reed and he had Gobert, but that was about as good as I've seen him do. So when Townsend, Minnesota was shitty, he was basically between 17 and 18 shots
a game. And then the last two years as Ant kind of ascended, he was at 15 a game. And then we get
to the playoffs last year and this year, that's about 14 a game. And I do wonder on the Knicks,
how many shots are there for him?
Is he going to be the second option?
Is it going to be Brunson is the first option
and then just a hodgepodge of other guys?
And are they just going to tell him,
here's what we want, dude.
Punish smaller guys in the post,
hit some threes, play defense, move your feet.
And that's what we want.
And grab 10, 11 rebounds.
That's all we want.
You're here.
We wanted you here.
We traded for you.
You're here for the next three years.
We're not going to trade you.
You're our guy.
But we need your help here, here, and here.
And just do this.
Don't worry about scoring 25 points a game anymore.
Those days are over.
And whether he accepts that or not.
I think we have reason to suspect that he will.
For all of Kat's faults, he has been pretty willing to try new things. And when pushes come
to shove, it has almost always been incumbent on him. He's the one moving to the fore. He is the
one spacing out to begin with. He is the one who has to take on a different kind of role.
I'm not saying he's been universally successful, but look, stars
are creatures of habit. And there are a lot of guys in the league who categorically will not
change their substitution pattern because they're so superstitious that like, I need to come in at
the eight minute mark or else my whole rhythm is off. And I give Kat a lot of credit for the fact
that he's been willing to try lots of stuff for the Wolves and for a winning team. And that's
absolutely what the Knicks are, a team with a proven track record,
with winning habits,
with guys who are likable and high energy
and you want to play well for,
I think he's going to want to try
to be on his best behavior with that stuff.
It's funny how the Hartenstein,
how that became a sliding doors for this season.
Oh, it did.
It made OKC the prohibitive favorite,
at least for the regular season. I don't know about the playoffs, but I think if you're betting who's going to have the best record in the league this season, right? It did. It made OKC the prohibitive favorite, like at least for the regular season.
I don't know about the
playoffs, but I think
if you're betting who's
going to have the best
record in the league
this season, they have
to be the first team
mentioned.
But then it also opens
the door for the Knicks
to now have to go,
shit, what do we do?
And you start looking
into available centers
and they just weren't
there.
So you're occasionally
a cynical guy.
Occasionally.
I try to fight it.
You're on the Prestige TV pod a lot.
You're doing anti-hero shows
and weird shows and dark shows.
A lot of dark shows in the Prestige pod.
Certainly.
The Towns Prestige TV season three,
Towns Goes to New York,
I think would start out great.
And then by episode three,
maybe there's a couple red herrings and uh-ohs.
Maybe there's a district attorney having a heart attack at the end of episode five.
Oh, definitely.
It's definitely a rollercoaster ride is my point. The Carl Anthony Towns in New York City.
Ultimately, I'm rooting for him the same way I would root for him on those shows. Even though
he's on the Knicks, they're competing against the Celtics. But I've always kind of liked him.
And I think one of the recurring themes with his career is people being frustrated by him
because they want to like him. And it's like, oh, dude, why'd you say that? Come on. Why'd you foul
that guy 40 feet from the basket? It's like, come on, dude. Can you stop being you? Can you just
reach your potential? And I don't know if that's his destiny or not as a player.
I actually want the opposite. I want him to be him because I feel like when he steps in it and
says the wrong thing and it's the, why did you say that kind of moment? It's usually because
he's trying to be somebody he's not. And he's speaking with like a bluster and a bravado that
doesn't always seem like it's coming that naturally to him. New York is not the easiest
place to be comfortable in your own skin.
I hope that he can find that peace somehow.
I hope he can find whatever his corner of the city is,
make it his own, stay sequestered in your neighborhood,
get to know your bodega.
I think there's a version of this that can work.
And like you, I really hope to see it.
Yeah, Boston, New York, Philly,
all the East Coast cities are similar in that
authenticity always is going to win in any of those cities, right? They're always going to
root for people who just really give a shit and stay true to themselves. And the guys who always
seem to get in trouble over and over again in any of those cities are the people that
talk out of their ass, pretend they're something they're not, take some sort of false bravado over
the actual accomplishments on the court
and it's weird because Embiid is probably
the only one who hasn't been victim of that
because Philly just loves Embiid
and sometimes he'll say stuff
or do stuff and you're like
I can't believe the Sixers fans are putting up
with this but they just
they like the guy
now you're just trying to agitate
the season hasn't even started
and you're just lighting little fires.
Well, next segment is when we agitate.
Okay.
So Towns has played,
he played 16 playoff games for his entire career
until last year when he also played 16 playoff games,
32 playoff games total for him.
And last year he was in a really sweet spot
with Minnesota where Edwards was the go-to guy.
The defense was kind of the meal ticket.
And basically anything he did was a bonus.
Do you feel like that's the same in New York
or do you think they need more than that?
I think they need a little bit more,
but I also think that the overall team
is set up better for him to do more
and to press a little bit.
The spacing is going to be a little cleaner.
The fact that the rest of the team
is so perimeter oriented,
I think is going to open up
room for him to even just attack the offensive glass,
something that Tom Thibodeau historically loves
his teams doing. And so
there's going to be a chance for him
to exert his impact on the game in a different
way. And frankly, for a cat team,
I think that makes more
sense than what we had with the Wolves, where
Anthony Edwards, based on
the spacing that Minnesota was working with,
had to do a lot of really high-level processing
in order to try to get over the hump.
And he's just not quite, quite there yet.
And maybe he will be next time we see him in the playoffs.
The Knicks are different,
because Jalen Brunson does have to do some of that,
but all the spacing and stuff that we're talking about
allows Josh Hart to bust out for a meaningful game, allows Isaiah allows Josh Hart to bust out for a meaningful game,
allows Isaiah Hartenstein to bust out for a meaningful game.
You put one of the most skilled bigs in the league
in that position in CAD,
I don't see why he can't have a huge impact on that offense.
Yeah, it's weird.
Because I'm putting myself to CAD on
and trying to figure out if I'm more or less scared of them
after this trade.
Yeah.
And I think the answer is more because they really didn't have a center.
The center thing, losing Hartenstein,
never knowing when Mitchell Robinson was going to come back.
The guys that were available that might be available in January, February,
it just seemed like that was going to sink them.
And they were basically going to have to do the small ball, Tibbs,
everybody playing 42 minutes, weird lineups,
and try to sneak their way through.
And now the team makes a little more sense.
But man, if it doesn't work out.
I know the Knicks fans don't want to hear it.
They're like, well, who's making a trade?
You could have said that about Porzingis.
And it's like, yeah, but Porzingis is making 30
and Towns is in the high 50s.
One last thing on Minnesota and then we'll
wrap this part up.
As a league
pass team,
I think they're going to be one of the most
interesting teams in the first six
weeks of the season to see how all the
pieces fit together.
They're going to pass better because
Randall was kind of a sneaky good
passer and he would get assists and create shots for other people.
And Towns was never a create shots for anybody else guy.
Devin Chenzo is way more fun to play with, I think, than any swing they had.
So you have that stuff.
So then Dillingham coming off the bench just as this crazy kind of heat check ball running through him.
I can carry the offense for 15 minutes.
There's just a lot of stuff going on, and I'm really interested to see how it works.
What happens to Gobert coming out of the Olympics where he was basically just shoved to the side and treated like he was Luke Cornett?
Luke Cornett probably played more.
But I think it's going to be a fun team to watch
and I have no idea
you could tell me they're going to be awesome
or you could tell me we'll be doing
what's wrong with the Wolves segments three weeks in
and I'm prepared for any scenario with that right?
I think it's going to be pretty comfortably in between
I don't think they're going to be awesome out of the gate
there's just too much they need to sort through first
but they're too talented to be bad
I don't think they're going to flounder by any means
I actually do think the Randall
thing you mentioned about his playmaking
is going to be really nice for them, especially
in some of the smaller groups or
when he and Dante DiVincenzo, for example,
are out there together. Randall is
much more of a drive
and spray out kind of playmaker.
And I will say this about Cat.
He's not a great passer.
The one thing he did well was set up Rudy.
Kind of like big to big lobs.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
That's never really been Randall's playmaking style.
And so there's going to be a bit of an adjustment there.
But I think the trade-off as far as a team that is positioning a rookie
to basically be their backup point guard right now,
although I guess Anthony Edwards is probably kind of the backup point guard,
but Rob Dillingham is going to be an important part of this team. And if you can ease him in with the training wheels
of having a playmaking four in the mix, that's going to help. I'm just having visions of Ant
trying to go to work and Julius Randall spotting up on the weak side and teams going, yes, we will
trust you to take that shot as many times as you would like to take it. And the Wolves are going
to walk into that.
And when that guy isn't cat shooting 40% from three,
there are nights where that really, really hurts.
And then you have the night where McDaniels doesn't make anything.
You've Gobert out there who can't make anything.
So you have three of the four ant teammates have the ability to shoot. But I do like that they can throw a little more flexibility out with lineups now than you really felt it during the Dallas series.
You know, like once Ant couldn't look like a reasonable facsimile of MJ anymore, all of a sudden that went sideways.
So your final recommendation is thumbs up for the Knicks, thumbs tilting a little down for the T-Wolves?
Yeah.
That's where you landed?
I think that's fair.
Would I have made this move if I were the Knicks? I think given the talent-Wolves? Yeah. That's where you landed? I think that's fair. Would I have made this move
if I were the Knicks?
I think given the talent play,
you probably have to.
But it does make me
at least a little bit nervous.
I think you bet on Carl
and you see if you can make it work.
The Wolves,
I don't think I would have
swung this big right now.
What prestige TV show
do you think the Knicks
are going to be this year?
What would you go with?
The plotline you laid out
sounded very like New York Ozark to me,
which is, I think, a much darker outcome than the Knicks would like.
New York Ozark.
They're looking bright and sunny.
I think it's going to be good vibes in New York for the most part this year.
I think it's going to be super fun.
Teams that are that talented, yeah, there's a little bit of hand-wringing,
but there's so many new toys to play with in an engaging and exciting way that maybe prestige isn't the right zone. Maybe it's more of like an Abbott Elementary
kind of a situation. Oh, I like it. Well, I wonder, this happened to Porzingis last year
when, and there were a lot of seeds planted the year before in Washington, so it wasn't too
shocking, but he comes in and it's just the best version of him. As you said before, they're using
him in all the right ways. They're not leaning on him too much, but they're leaning on him a lot. Whatever he's
giving them, that's always the best lineup they had. And it was really cool. It was this guy who
used to be the unicorn and then he was injury prone and then kind of found his spot on this
team and became this beloved Celtic. And there's a world where that happens to Towns. I'm definitely not ruling it out.
It's the most fascinating transaction
we had in the offseason,
even though we have a million transactions.
Towns and the Knicks is the best one.
Are you prepared for the outcome
where a playoff series is going to be determined
by KP versus Towns?
And the Eastern Conference universe
is going to ride on that.
It really does. It feels like
that it's going to be round two or round three. It's going to happen. We're going to take a break and we're going to do
favorite preseason training camp
storylines. And there's a crucial difference, which I'll explain
after the break.
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All right, training camp storylines
are different than season storylines.
Season storylines is like,
you know, who's going to win the MVP?
Can the Celtics go back to back?
Training camp storylines
are twinged and fixed and tinged.
Twinged?
Tinged.
Tinged? Tinged. fixed and tinged, twinged, tinged, tinged, tinged. It's tinged.
And twinged in a little bit of fiction, a little bit of theater, a little bit of hyperbole.
Yeah.
A little bit of you're at the farmer's market and people are trying to like,
hey, you got to try these apples or the best apples you're ever going to eat. I saw you get
them off the truck.
Those look like all the other apples. You got to try
these cheese crisps. Do I?
So
off season, I'll just
give you my favorite and then you rip
off all the ones you have. My favorite
is the Clippers trying to
navigate this Kawhi Leonard knee thing.
We got to do it.
Just glass half full.
It's going good.
He's basically, if you read between the lines,
he's saying, my knee's never going to be the same.
But I think I'm going to be able to manage it, guys.
So come to the Intuit Dome.
Because I'll be playing there.
Probably not.
But I'll probably be playing there all year.
And I'll be 40% as good as I used to be.
But it'll be great.
Come on down in the Intuit Dome.
I just could not believe this is like year seven of this.
So that jumped out to be the most.
You agree?
It is also on my list.
I think Clipper's bleak watch in general has to be on here.
Kawhi on Media Day said he does plan to be available for
opening night oh thank you he also said he never plans to miss games so he does often miss games
he i i don't know that i'm like betting hard that he's going to be available or maybe he's there for
opening night for very political financial reasons and then quickly recedes into some scheduled rest after that.
It could be that kind of situation.
I think the problem is it's not just Kawhi.
This is a team that also lost Paul George.
I don't know if you caught this Media Day quote.
James Harden's takeaway from watching Luka in the NBA Finals
was that actually maybe he should dominate the ball more.
That the offense is definitely going to involve a lot of him. Luka basically laid the blueprint
that I believed in in the 2010s
and that could be us. That was James Harden.
How is it that Luka Doncic, whatever
your priors are and your
view of the world, if you watch Luka Doncic
he will in some way confirm it. I don't
know what effect he has on people that
makes him do this, but it really works that way.
Harden,
everyone else is like, this is too much of a burden for Luka.
They probably need a little bit more.
He's wearing down, and Harden's like, I like this.
This is great.
By the way, he played with Kyrie,
and then demanded a trade out of there.
So maybe it's hard to replicate.
Yeah, it's...
You know, the guy I shared season tickets with
we're excited to go to the Intuit Dome
I just
this is I think year six
of
do you want to go tonight
dot dot dot
is Kawhi playing
not sure
let me look
that's over a half decade now
with Kawhi
and I just
at this point,
he was what in the 2011 draft, right? This is year 15. That sounds right.
You're 14 or 15 for him. I can't imagine whose knees were like, yeah, I had a lot of trouble
with my knees. And then in year 15 of my career, it really turned around. My knees became great.
Well, I mean, the bionic technology might be there. I don't know.
Maybe. It's brutal.
So, I actually think they
knew Kawhi's knees were fucked, and that's why they
didn't want to give Paul George all that money. Could be.
I think that's, especially when you
think, like, he goes to the Olympic team,
they kind of gently
send him packing in a couple days,
and it's like, yeah, Kawhi's decided to drop out.
They fucking pushed his ass out.
They were like, we need 12 guys
and you're not
in shape to play and we don't think you're going
to be healthy.
And I just don't think it's going to change.
It's sad, but at the same time, he won
a title and made a ton of money and
had a really interesting career and he's going to be a Hall of Famer.
You look at
somebody like Derrick Rose who had that knee injury
at the worst possible time
in his career
and missed two post-seasons
and was never really the same.
Kawhi is better than that.
But it's still a bummer.
We just never
really got to see it
for an extended stretch
with the Clippers.
It would be half of a season,
three-fourths of a season.
It just never
happened.
Plenty of things have gone wrong for him, but the biggest possible things went right. And so it's hard to really frown on a
career like that. I think where I'm stuck with the Clippers right now is Kawhi is going to be
whatever sort of wildcard health-wise he's going to be. James Harden is going to be, I would suspect,
more or less the player we saw last year, give or take, the usage will go up, as he has alluded to.
The other part of it that worries me is some of the other chatter out of Media Day for them was
Norm Powell was talking about how losing Paul George actually might be an addition by subtraction
situation because look at all these capable guys we have that step into bigger roles.
I don't know that I personally would be puffing out my chest at
Terrence Mann and Derek Jones taking on the mantle of your offense two players I like but I don't
like like that right and there's gonna be a lot of that sort of thing for the Clippers this year
yeah well what do you think their odds are to make the playoffs on FanDuel
Clippers make the playoffs yes Yes. What are those odds?
I don't even think they're going to be a play-in team.
Well, FanDuel says plus 205
for yes, minus 250
for no. Yeah.
Which is brutal.
The Rockets are even odds yes.
Yes.
Rockets are going to be a better team than the Clippers.
Golden State are even odds yes
you go through
all these teams
the consensus is
after
who's the worst team
in the West
Portland
Portland
for sure
they're in play
for that second worst spot
if Kawhi's not
playing healthy
and then on top of it
which this would be
the first of many times
I mentioned this on a podcast
OKC has
a right to swap first-round picks with them in 2025,
which could be an absolute all-time,
even by Clippers standards, dagger,
if that ends up being a top three pick.
All right, what other training camps do you have?
So you talked about OKC being the prohibitive favorite
regular season-wise.
I agree.
I think we're all very high on the thunder.
That said, how sure are we that the Grizzlies
could not steal the top seed in the West?
I like this.
Something about the photos coming out of media day
of seeing Ja and Bane and Jackson and Smart and Zach Eadie,
the confidence of like,
we're going to pose all these guys together.
We trust that it's going to work.
It really stoked my sense of like,
this team is going to kill in the regular season.
And I don't even know if they're going to solve
all their half court issues.
I'm not even saying anything about Jaws,
like a guy who can crack playoff level defenses.
I just think the West this year
could be the kind of conference
where you win 55 games and you get first.
Right.
Just because it's so deep.
And the Grizzlies have done that before.
I think they could do it again right now.
Marcus Smart watching the Celtics win the title.
Chip on his shoulder.
There you go.
John Morant trying to reclaim his best under 30 American superstar title
from Anthony Edwards.
A lot of chips.
Triple J didn't make the Olympic team.
Brandon Clark coming back from injury.
Zach Eadie, nobody believed in me.
I'm actually the best player of this draft.
I like it.
There's a lot of stuff.
There's some interesting jaw quotes.
I don't think jaw quotes.
Oh, there always are.
We talked about self-awareness with Towns earlier. I wouldn't say Ja had just a plethora of self-awareness last year
with some of the interviews and quotes he did,
but this year it did seem like he really just wanted to take back his spot
in the league hierarchy,
and he had been a little humbled by the last two years.
Now, they could be telling him what to say,
but it at least passed
some imaginary first test for me. We'll see how
this goes. If he's on a player podcast
two weeks from now saying
something crazy, we'll see.
Verno, on the mismatch with
Jacoby, shout out to those guys. I had a
fun time listening to that.
First of all, Verno said
Ja was going to be first team all-NBA.
And then paused.
And was like, okay.
And then he unwound it and he said,
I think he's going to be on one of the first two teams
all-NBA. And I was like, whoa, that's aggressive.
And I started thinking about it.
He probably will be. If he's played
75 games and looks like Ja again,
he probably will be one of the four guards.
Yeah. Right?
It's Mitchell, it's Edwards, who else
is in the Curry?
Well, it's also positionless, too.
He could wiggle his way in any number of ways.
My doubt will never be positionless, Rob.
Well, what position does Luka Doncic
play? I'm still unclear on that.
I don't know what position. What is he?
I guess wing?
One thing as far as the all-NBA stuff goes,
and I think as you're thinking about the guard hierarchy specifically,
we just talked about Kat's impact on the Knicks.
I think Jalen Brunson's numbers will come down a little bit.
And his overall driving impact may not be seen in quite the way it was
at the peak during, say, the postseason.
Because he's going to have more help.
He's going to have a lot more going on around him in a way where it's not so definitively Jalen Brunson
carrying this thing. I think that favors guys like Ja, where if he has a monster season,
there's an opportunity here for him to overtake where Steph would end up in this kind of pecking
order if the Warriors underwhelm again. Overtake Brunson, potentially, although I think Jalen Brunson's a better player right now.
But all the narrative stuff
could end up tilting in his direction, weirdly enough,
even though he was the one who kind of blew up
and then got hurt,
like the momentum of this larger Grizzlies run
in the first place.
30-1 for MVP for Ja.
It's pretty intriguing.
We're not allowed to bet on it because we have votes.
Yes.
You have to be a top three seed, which
I think both of us think Memphis could be.
Definitely. You'd have to be the
best player in a really good for six
straight months team, which I think he qualifies
for. I was surprised those odds were
where they were. I think there's a lot of
amnesia for how good he was. The other
one I was looking at him was the points per game title, which he was 48 to one. Who's the favorite for that?
The favorite is Luca plus 165, but it's probably around, I don't know, 30, 31 range. I don't know
if Jack can get that high, but that team's going to be pretty good. I'm with you on Memphis. The odds have, the over-under
for them has been shooting up.
It was too low to begin with, and now it feels like
everybody's looking at it the same way.
Minnesota has this weird trade.
The number two seed's available.
What do you have for your next storyline?
Which of
Orlando, Indiana, and Cleveland
can hit another gear?
Right, kind of the comfortable middle of the Eastern Conference playoff picture. I think we can say Celtics, Orlando, Indiana, and Cleveland can hit another gear. Right?
Kind of the comfortable middle of the Eastern Conference playoff picture.
I think we can say Celtics, Knicks, Sixers,
maybe the Bucks with an asterisk are sort of the top of the East right now.
Is the asterisk 37 years old
and coming off multiple arthroscopic surgeries?
I don't know.
I haven't talked to asterisk yet.
We're going to come back.
I think asterisk may be in the room here with us. Okay. But as far as these teams go, it's so tempting
because they're all in that 47-48 win range last season to think, why couldn't the Magic get to 50?
Why couldn't the Cavs jump to 50 wins next season? Is there any team in this group you feel very
confident in taking whatever the
next step is? Well, Sacramento is a good example of this last year where they win 48, but a lot
of things went right for that to happen. And then the league got a little better last year and all
of a sudden they dropped, even though they were kind of the same team now that to make this trade.
I look at Orlando as the upside team out of those because I still feel like they have a
trade to make. I think there's somebody for them to go and get who can give them a little scoring
and take a little bit of a load off of those other two would be where my head's at. You mentioned
the guards thing. I forgot to mention this because I was thinking about Hal Burton. He's another one
like, well, he'd take the throne back. I'm really interested to see what happens with Booker this season, coming off the
Olympic experience and not great year by his standards and whether sometimes those guys play
with all the great guys and you come out of the Olympics and you're just better. And I wonder if
a career year for him could be looming. So anyway, so you had Orlando, Indiana, and Cleveland.
And Cleveland has stability,
which they did not have in the same way last year.
Complete stability.
Orlando got a taste.
Yes.
Yeah.
Indiana has a year with Siakam.
That's the big thing.
And some continuity for the most part.
They didn't do anything crazy.
So which one of those three do you like the most?
I find myself kind of leaning Indy.
And I think it's sort of the combination.
I agree with you that upside swing-wise,
Orlando is the most interesting.
I think it's the combination of it could be
Paolo or Franz,
who really makes a big leap at some point.
Yeah.
God forbid if both of them do,
that would put you in a completely different tier.
Plus, they have a lot of other interesting young players.
There's a lot to like there
and plenty of room to think they could get better.
They also, offensively, could be the kind of team that falls into, it's a very different case than
the Kings because that was an offense-first version of Sacramento. But as teams are getting
more and more used to how the Magic play and the physicality of their defense and the limitations,
I think most importantly on offense, is there a solve there? Is there more a way to run them
aground? I think that's possible. I think Orlando's still going to be really good.
Cleveland is probably the most
stable baseline team, but I just
don't see them getting a lot better, unless you
really think Evan Mobley is ready to take
that step. Otherwise, it's... The coach piece could
change it. That could change it,
but the team is kind of what it is.
Yeah. There's a little lineup flexibility
and
in the defense of their core guys a lot of guys who
can play multiple positions which gives you some ability to toggle things around and make a rotation
that makes like a little bit more cogent sense overall but i think with indy it's the combination
of the full season of siakam which is something we know like i i feel like i have a good grasp
of who pascal siakam is as player, what he can do for that team,
getting a training camp with him coming in,
knowing he's a part of everything we'll do for you.
Healthy Halliburton, who wasn't
healthy really for four months.
Exactly. Healthy Tyrese Halliburton.
And then you have the mix of what you don't know,
which is, can Halliburton
take that next step? What's next
for Andrew Nembhard or Ben Shepard?
Are they going to get anything meaningful out of Jair Nembhard or Ben Shepard? Are they going to get anything meaningful
out of Jairus Walker?
A Ben Shepard reference.
Wow.
That was...
Stuck that in.
What am I here for?
That was...
If not to sneak in Ben Shepard.
Sprinkled some stock
on the Ben Shepard Express.
I'm buying it.
I'm drinking the Kool-Aid,
needless to say.
Well, off of what you said,
I had a training camp storyline of...
This is one of my favorites.
Because you went traditional with that.
Like those three, let's monitor their training camp,
see who's going to come out.
One of my favorite early training camp storylines,
Donovan Mitchell wanted to be in Cleveland all along.
Of course.
Come on, guys.
This is where I always wanted to be.
Then there was this article,
I think, in the Cleveland Point Dealer.
Mitchell thought about other possibilities.
It would have been a disservice
not to at least
consider them. But he said his mind was made up early in 2024, either January or February.
And when given an opportunity to reinforce those words, he inked an extension, blah, blah, blah.
So his mind was made up either in January or February when two things happened. Brooklyn
was an absolute dumpster fire. That was option one one And the Knicks were becoming the most popular team in the city
With Jalen Brunson as a top seven guy
And that option was out
Guess who was looking awesome?
The Cleveland Cavaliers
I love training camp
I'm going to give you another one
Here's another just classic
It's D'Angelo Russell
Pretending he's not going to be shopped vigorously
in two months season.
I missed this.
What did he say?
I just got used to it,
he said about trade rumors.
Hopefully you'll know
what you're going to get from me.
This is definitely a new feel,
new everything going on with destruction
with JJ coming around
and implementing what he's trying to do.
It's changed the rhythm of things around here.
My approach is just to stay steady.
D'Angelo, I hope you're running.
Hopefully you know what you're going to get from me
out of D'Angelo Russell's mouth.
With all due respect, I do not.
I do not.
D'Angelo, maybe don't start looking at hoops hype
around early December when trade rumor season starts
because you're not going to be in the team in March.
I'm sorry.
Seem like a nice guy.
I appreciated Zach Levine's approach to this too
on media day,
which was he kind of had this like big speech about,
you know, if you ever need to hear something about my take,
you're going to hear it from me or my agent.
We're going to be super straightforward with you.
Also, whatever's in the past,
I refuse to comment on it.
We're not going to mention it ever again.
It never happened.
Absolutely not. Do you hear me?
What else do you have for training camp story, Lentz?
This is where the asterisk comes
back. I cannot stop worrying about the
Bucs.
I want to believe I am
a Giannis guy. I think
any team that has him on it is destined
for a very hard floor.
His effort level, his play, his dominance
can absolutely take you so far.
The fact that he said he and Dame
did not have a chance to meet up at all this summer
is both extremely understandable
for a guy who played in the Olympics and also got married.
I get it.
It also does not make me feel any better
about a team that does not seem able to have Chris Middleton to start the season,
that already had a work-in-progress feel
as far as the chemistry of those guys,
and hasn't done anything in the offseason
to change the mix in a big way.
Right.
They got 7th, 8th, and 9th men,
and they kind of tossed away their draft pick
on a 19-year-old.
Yeah, I had as a subset of that
the Chris Middleton.
Yeah, it's still...
But it's going to be fine.
It's all going to be fine.
It's October 1st, guys.
Is he playing? Oh, he's not out there yet?
This doesn't sound fine.
And also, he's old by
NBA swingman standards.
He has been really hurt
every year since the 2021 finals.
And I have real concerns
that he's your shutdown guy against
the Jason Tatums of the world.
As you should be. And this is the cross that I bear
as someone who thinks Chris Middleton is very good.
The idea of him being injured
and out of the lineup, to me, I'm like,
this is a vital part of this team. And I am now
freaked out by the depth chart when he's not
out there. That's not where you want to be with chris at this stage now and another training camp
storyline is dame his head's right last year was the year from hell a lot of personal stuff traded
out of nowhere didn't work out before the year because he was afraid he's gonna get hurt and
um yannis gets hurt in the playoffs Everything that went wrong could go wrong. Coach changed.
Terry Stotts.
But now,
had the summer.
I worked out.
I'm ready.
I'm here.
I'm ready to reclaim my throne.
I don't know if it's true,
but it sounded good.
I had a cousin of this,
speaking of old teams,
and I agree with you on Milwaukee.
And I'm probably more bullish on Milwaukee than most because I just think Giannis is going to be on
just a psychotic
tear this year. He's always awesome. We're going to be like, Giannis
is psychotic.
And I mean that in a positive way for the aggregators.
Positive psychotic.
Psychotically competitive, wanting to win,
being a psycho about winning.
Gleefully psychotic. Gleefully
competitively psychotic.
Jimmy Butler didn't get an extension over the offseason,
but it's fine.
Yep.
That's a good training camp storyline.
It's fine.
Didn't need the extension.
It's fine.
I also have a cousin of this one,
which is Jimmy Butler showed up without a perm,
and actually it worked on me.
I am buying serious Jimmy Butler showing up ready for business.
He's not fucking around on photo day anymore.
Absolutely not fucking around.
And I say this,
yes, I realize I am a rube.
I realize I am playing right into Jimmy's elaborate plot
and probably like a big face coffee marketing scheme
in some way.
Like I know I'm being had.
But also,
Jimmy Butler taking the regular season seriously is a massive fucking deal
if it happens for the Heat. I know they can make the finals as a seventh seed, but you should not
try to do that every year. You should actually try to win games and get into the middle of the
East. And there's a reason I didn't even talk about them in that Orlando, Cleveland, Indiana
mix. I don't entirely know that they deserve it,
but also I feel myself buying back in
to what they're selling.
Well, and they also did the thing where they're like,
we don't know what our roster is going to be in February
and we're not going to kill ourselves figuring it out now.
We'll see how it goes.
Yeah.
Which I thought kind of the Knicks were doing
and then all of a sudden they're training for Towns.
But I think they looked around
and they were probably intrigued
by a bunch of different things.
I'm sure they kicked the tires on Markkanen.
I'm sure they kicked the tires on, at least had
a meeting about Zach Levine. Sure.
Right? I'm sure they
at least had a meeting about
any guy making over $30 billion
who was available, but ultimately
they kept their flexibility. We'll see with Hero.
I think
I don't know
what the trade value, they kind of really needed him know what the trade value
they kind of really needed him to be a trade value guy
and they almost were able to get him in a dame deal
and maybe got a little too aggressive with it
but they kind of need him to be really good this year
either for them or as a trade piece
and that's kind of related to the Jimmy thing too
I think those are really the only guys
as far as upside goes,
that can get Miami over the hump of mediocrity on offense. That's a team that's really struggled
to create shots. Jimmy is a guy who can get to the line consistently, one of the only players
on the team that can do that. He also has the low-hanging fruit of the cuts and the fast breaks
that can juice the numbers a little bit. Hero just has to be flat better than he's been.
I think Bam is kind of reaching
who he can be and who he is as a player.
I don't expect anything dramatically different from him.
But they need something dramatically different
from Tyler Hero. So you're not going to write
the Bam is expanding
his offense in an effort to grow the heat,
but it's the same thing every year with Bam?
I was just going to do like a 3,000 word
Heywood Highsmith feature
but if you want to bet that we can talk about it.
Keep us posted.
Joel Embiid, we mentioned him earlier.
He was talking about how he lost weight
and he said, I still got a ways to go.
I still want to lose some more.
We got to do whatever it takes to make sure
that in the postseason I'm healthy.
There's no agenda, no all-star, no all-NBA.
I'm just going to let that sit there for a second.
So Joel is basically saying the postseason is now what matters.
All right.
Better late than never.
He's 30 years old.
But maybe he gets it.
I don't know.
What would you take?
This is where my instinct is to say,
maybe you should have cared about those things previously. Oh, yeah. You think so, doctor?
Look, that's my instinct. I'm trying to grow. I'm trying to be a bigger person. I'm trying to be
positive. And I think what you're supposed to do is encourage positive behaviors when they happen
around you, not point out, oh, you're the guy who shows up late all the time. I'm so glad you're here, Joel Embiid. I'm so glad that you are here in this way, in this fashion. I genuinely hope that whatever body transformation you say you have had, it suits you and works well. And I hope this whole season goes brilliantly. We all would love to see Joel Embiid in an actual competitive high-level playoff series
or just run start to finish.
I think that's something that we're all waiting for.
So for the sake of wanting to believe in the change,
I'm here.
I'm here for you, Joel.
I'm believing.
I'm choosing to buy into this.
I agree.
I was on the record as I cannot take him seriously as the best guy on a team that
wins four straight playoff rounds until he shows up for a season in shape and understands that it's
a nine month run. It seems like we've checked the first box. So congrats to him. We can skip over
the training camp storyline of we want Brandon Ingram here in New Orleans, which I'm sure is going to be said by somebody over at some point. And there's probably,
it's going to be like a hostage video. JJ coaching LeBron and his son, dot, dot, dot.
This won't be weird at all. That's another storyline. No, it's going to be, it's going to
be cool. It's not going to be a circus in any way, shape, or form. What is your competitive history with your son? Do you play sports together against each other?
What is the dynamic between you? He started playing tennis this year. And I was like,
you'll never beat me. I will have to be in a wheelchair or using a walker for you to beat me.
And he's like, I will beat you by the time I'm 18. And he also thinks when he was
10, he thought he could beat me in a fight. So I would say super competitive. In a fight?
Yeah. He said UFC right now, he would tap me out in a minute. Yeah, it's competitive.
Wow. So I don't know how that,
with LeBron and his son, I don't know how that goes with that. But I would assume the son's
just trying to take it to him at all times.
That's what sons do with dads.
It's the best part about being a son.
Yeah.
Is lighting up your dad,
throwing him under the bus,
airing out-
Making fun of him.
Absolutely.
Airing out exactly how lame he is.
I think the key here is that
all of LeBron's eccentricities are out there.
How much is Bronny going to tell us or tell his teammates or tell anyone within their organization about, oh, here's this crazy thing my
dad did? Yeah, he put that on Instagram. I saw it. We all know about it. My son would definitely do
that to me. There's no question. The whole situation is very strange. I think it will be
aided only by the fact that Bronny is not in a position right now to threaten by merit to play NBA minutes.
Will he play anyway? I guess we'll see. I suspect they're going to get out the
let's put them on the floor together, have the moment kind of thing relatively early.
Put them in the G League. Yeah.
So that the questions stop coming. It's going to get more awkward if Bronny is actually a part of this thing
in a real way.
Whether he's shoehorned into that role,
whether he lights it up in the G League
or succeeds so much as a pressure defender
and the Lakers need exactly that,
that's when it gets weird.
I think they're almost helped right now
by the fact that no one is really expecting
that much of Bronny.
He's either two years away or two years away for being two years away.
But I just don't see how he's going to play in a rotation for a team that's
trying to make the playoffs.
That seems inconceivable to me.
He does not appear to be that for a bunch of reasons.
I think honestly,
even though the defense is kind of the strength right now,
I think even that needs a ton of work as it often does for rookie guards coming into the league.
Any more training camp storylines?
Honestly, those are the big ones for me.
Anything else dangling out there?
Celtics.
It's all fine.
Tatum's head's in the right place.
Then there's going to be some story in November
about how he had to fix his shot
and he couldn't remember how to shoot it anymore
and Drew Hanlon fixed it. That'll happen in November. He had a hitch in his shot.
How do you feel about the relative ironing out of the Zapruder footage of Jason Tatum's jumper?
You saw the hitch, right?
Oh, it was there. Yeah.
Yeah. I was on a lot of text threads over the summer from how he shot in rookie year,
sophomore year for the celtics versus
whatever that stop hitch thing he was doing the olympics and i think he got rid of it
sometimes it happens it happens in tennis throwing a baseball uh golf people although all of a sudden
their swing gets fucked up they don't know what happened so i think i think that's what happened
we'll see if uh i honestly jaylen Brown shaving his beard was the biggest conversation piece for
the Celtic fans of my life.
It shook you up. Because he had really
grown it out. And then all of a sudden, he went back
to 2019 Jalen.
So I was surprised by that. What does that say about him,
do you think? Where is he mentally that he's
shaving the beard? You know what that told me? My new
girlfriend doesn't like my beard and it
scratches her face and she asked me to shave it.
That's what it told me. That's the spirit of compromise.
We can support it.
Before we go, you wrote about Mutombo for the ringer.
Yeah.
A really beloved, beloved, beloved on and off the court guy.
And it was the case when he played.
He was certainly like going to games in the 90s and the 2000s.
Somebody that just stood out on the court, which is pretty rare when you have a bunch of super tall guys.
There's something different about how he carried himself.
His style was so unique where he was like this cross of,
I don't know, like Mark Eaton blocking shots in the 80s,
but way better and way more athletic,
but also had a little bit of an offensive game,
and it seemed conceivable in 2001. This was the one guy that might be able to slow down Shaq at his peak, peak, peak.
And then Shaq just was like, no, not even this guy's stopping me.
Didn't have as many playoff moments as I probably would have liked.
Yeah. But some immortal ones, like the Denver one, if you're going to have a moment,
that's the one you want. I think the regret I have with his career
was switching from Denver to Atlanta.
I think it's just more fun if he stays in Denver,
goes to Atlanta, you know, whatever.
It was just weird.
I don't really have fond memories of those Atlanta teams.
But what happened to him with Houston
when Darryl latched onto him
and he's part of that 22 20, 22 game winning streak team.
And he became one of these early advanced metrics guys where people are like,
Hey,
when Mutombo's in all of these good things happen,
even if like he barely shoots anyway,
he lasts two decades and then has just an incredible impact in the league
itself.
And was just beloved.
What,
when you're writing about it,
what were the things that jumped out to you?
I mean, for one, I think the fact that he was a four-time defensive player of the year winner who was left off the NBA 75 team, I don't feel great about. And I think plus
if you zoom out in like, how do we tell the story of basketball history in these modern eras? I
think Dikembe Mutombo is a big part of it. I think the finger wag iconography is such a huge thing.
I think the fact that he was
a part of a lot of, if not highly successful, winning and very memorable teams, that kind of
stuff does matter. And ultimately, I think what you're alluding to with the on-off stuff and what
those kinds of numbers capture with a player like him is he's intimidating as hell. Even when he was
pushing 40, guys were afraid to challenge him because he was such a successful shot blocker,
because he was going to let you know all about it afterwards.
And I think that the contrast of warm and fuzzy,
big laughing Dikembe Mutombo,
who is just one of, I think,
the foremost charitable forces
that the modern NBA has seen
in terms of the work he's done around the world
and in Africa specifically,
contrasted with like, this guy's also like an asshole who's laughing in your face
on the court. Those are the sorts of contrasts that always endear a player to me. And I think
with Mutombo, there's just so much to like. And there's so many stages of his career and his life
you could latch onto and say, like for you, it's not the Hawks. There's someone out there for whom
they see that when they think of Mutombo,
they think of him with that broad picture
of the Hawk across the front of the jersey.
And I love that he can mean so many different things
to so many different people.
Well, there was also three other pieces with him.
The voice, which everyone imitated,
which was just one of the iconic sports voices.
Everyone did it.
Then the subset of that was the Inside the NBA guys.
They just loved him.
Oh, yeah.
Barkley had so much joy.
They would always get so much Mutombo material.
But from an unintentional comedy standpoint, in a good way,
I felt like he was the pioneer of the slam dunk contest reactions.
Oh, yeah.
He was the first one when they would cut to,
and whatever his reaction was, He was the first one when they would cut to and, and whatever his
reaction was, was always the best one. And then I felt like for the next 20 years, it was everybody
doing a Mutombo reaction, but his were completely genuine. He had a million of them and it was,
it really became one of the funniest parts of the slam dunk contest was him going nuts,
him holding his head, him, him with his thing, him turning around and complete
disbelief. And, uh, I don't know. He just, I don't, there's not many guys who had a higher
approval rating than them. There's nobody who was like, fuck my tumbo. Like everybody,
everybody loved that guy. And then after he retired, um, was a really important NBA guy
behind the scenes, I think really beloved and had a huge, huge, huge impact
and did so much charitable stuff. Everybody really liked him. I think it says a lot that
even the guys of his era who he had ostensible rivalries with or was blocking or they were
trying to dunk on him. It was just like a running bit. There's the legendary clip of him bragging to
Jordan that he'd never dunked on him before and Jordan getting him and finger wagging in his
face and there's similar things
as you said with Mutombo and Shaq
with all of these greats of his era
he was like a counterpoint at some
point in their careers at some point and
one of the fun things writing the obit was
figuring out all the players that he had
blocked over the course of his career and when you play
as long as he has it is like you've
blocked Jordan and LeBron up until Chris Paul up until some guys who were drafted even a little later
than that, who are current or will be all time great players. And he's blocked all those guys.
Yeah. I remember when I was trying to do my book, I didn't have him in the pyramid
and he came close, but I just didn't have him. And it came down to the all NBA stuff
and the lack of really only being on that one finals
team, which he got traded into halfway
during the season.
With that said, they just had bad
luck that year because they go against the
0-1 Lakers, who were one of the four or five
greatest playoff teams of all time.
I think if they had caught the 0-2 Lakers, they might
have actually been able to steal
a series from them. But 0-1, nobody was
beating that team. And they even got one game off them in overtime.
But it's just that Kobe and Shaq together that year
was just unstoppable.
So that was his one chance and then it didn't happen.
And even then, like the interviews with him after the fact,
seemed like he felt pretty good about how they did.
You know, it's not like he's hanging his head.
It's like you ran into what was kind of an unstoppable juggernaut. You stole a game. You acclimated yourself well.
You can go home and be proud with what you did at the end of the day. I think
Mutombo has always been one of these guys who has had very clear perspective on what
matters. And what matters to him is competing and playing hard and embarrassing these guys.
It's also like you got to live a full, rich life and benefit your community and the people around
you. And he's always been great about that. All right. Check out that piece that
Rob wrote on TheRinger.com. And you can hear Rob on The Ringer NBA show and on the Prestige TV
podcast, Breaking Down Slow Horses with Carl Anthony Towns, season five. We'll see how that
goes. Good to see you, Rob. Thanks, Bill.
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All right, the hardest-working man in show business is here,
Anthony DeBundo.
We're in the DeBundo Equinox right now.
Will you explain what the DeBundo Equinox is?
Yeah, I mean, the three sports I follow most closely
with baseball and soccer and the NFL,
all kind of converging in a two-month period
of September and October
where there's just way too much going on
and way too much time staring at screens.
But I'm enjoying it.
It's a hectic Tuesday afternoon and the baseball playoffs are here.
Right.
We're taping October.
Yeah.
We're taping this during it's two o'clock Pacific time.
So baseball playoffs are happening right now.
We're going to talk about them at the tail end and stare at more toward a
futures conversation.
I wanted to talk football,
quarter mark,
storylines,
trends,
gambling stuff that you're staring at coming off of a pretty goofy week for
although last night.
So last night,
since we sound,
I taped the pod.
We learned that Miami is now a bottom three worst team in the league.
We learned that Detroit's offense is the rumors of its demise were greatly
exaggerated.
Um, their defense didn't look as good as maybe we were thinking of Seattle at 38 first downs,
but I just, I got to throw Miami at you before we do, uh, the trends and stuff.
So people were saying how, see how important too is I thought Miami sucked before he got
injured.
They shouldn't have been in Jacksonville.
They had three points against Buffalo and we're getting waxed in that game before he got injured. They shouldn't have beaten Jacksonville. They had three points against Buffalo
and were getting waxed in that game when he went out.
And I think this would have happened to them
either way this season.
I don't think they're a playoff team.
I don't think they were a good team.
And I think those alt-unders after week two,
when it was like under seven and a half,
was like plus 350 or maybe under six and a half was.
But this is one of the four worst teams in the league.
And I'm really mad I didn't get in on those futures.
What'd you think of Miami last night?
You know, I think we all kind of look back
and had selective memory about what Tyler Huntley was
in Baltimore.
I mean, those Baltimore teams like had elite defenses
and kind of just ran the ball a bunch
and he could kind of do some of the stuff Lamar did.
But it wasn't like they were in shootouts or scoring a lot of points.
And so I was surprised.
I think he's probably better than Thompson.
But I mean, let's be honest.
We're dealing with backups who are not backup level players.
Like Huntley got cut at a training camp for a reason.
So I think when you look at this Miami offense,
it had already started to fall off
before the end of last season.
Yeah.
And teams had started to figure them out a little bit.
And there were some warning signs early.
I think they probably would have been
around 10th or 12th offensively, even with Tua.
But I mean, we're not going from Tua
to just like average backup.
We're going from Tua to unplayable quarterbacks.
Defense is worse. Offensive line
is already in shambles.
And then
so Mike Lombardi calls
Mike McDaniel the disc
jockey because he's like, he says he's just playing
just spinning discs with
no rhyme or reason. He's just having a
house party.
He was so bad last night with
Huntley and just whatever the hell game plan he had
against Tennessee. And you think about it in contrast to LaFleur and Green Bay with Malik
Willis, where it's like, oh fuck, we got Malik Willis. He just showed up for the team three
weeks ago. All right, well, let's try to figure out how we can win with this guy. And they
completely changed our offense. He just did it. I don't know what Miami's offense was yesterday,
but that was really, really awful. And I just don't see a path for them. I don't know what Miami's offense was yesterday, but that was really, really awful.
And I don't... I just don't
see a path for them. I don't see a path for their
one of the seven AFC playoff teams.
Well, I mean, the big question
mark is what is Tua's health situation.
We have no idea. Because then he's
out until at least week eight, right?
Right. And by then, is it even worth...
They're one in six, one in seven, two in six.
Is it even worth bringing him back if they're6, 1-7, 2-6. Is it even worth bringing him back?
If they're out of the race, I would say no.
Then there's the whole question about
whether Tua should even play again.
Obviously, that's not for us to decide, but
the Dolphins are in a weird spot where their season
could well be over by the time they bring back
their quarterback that's had four concussions
in two years. And they're pot committed
to him and Waddle and Tyreek, so it's
not like they can trade anyone
to trade that line.
Like the Raiders
are in a pretty good spot
with the artist
formerly known
as Devante Adams
where it's actually
pretty favorable
for them to trade him.
It's just like
if you look at all
the advanced metrics
from the last five years
you're trading for somebody
who's clearly been worse
year by year.
We'll see what happens.
Okay.
Give us your big
your big trends. You this. You're like a midweek
guy. You love getting in early on some bets. You've had some success in that Monday, Tuesday,
Wednesday range. So what are you noticing as we head toward week five? This is the first week
with the bye weeks. We've got everybody. We have enough sample size for the data.
Give us four things that you care about right now.
Yeah, well, your Super Bowl pick preseason
was Texans-Lions, right?
Yeah, I'm about to close the door on that one, I think.
I wouldn't give up, but I think it's funny
that the more things change,
the more things stay the same for both teams.
I mean, they look exactly the same as last year.
Detroit's offense figured out some red zone stuff last night,
bullied a shorthanded Seattle team.
Good call by you there.
But their defense still looks super flawed.
I mean, every competent quarterback they played last year
kind of moved the ball on them.
And, you know, Geno played out of his mind, right?
But it's kind of the same trend.
And they're playing this aggressive man defense, and
Arnold gets flagged every third play.
They can't really seem to cover anybody.
So are we not just going to have the same
Lions conversation between now and
January?
That's the question to me. And then with Houston,
it's the same thing, where
their offense is just
hope C.J. Stroud can play hero ball and
bail us out on the late downs, because right now the success rate by down,
they're 27th on early downs,
first and second.
And there's been a huge change in how teams are playing them this year.
Last year,
they faced cover to the 27th highest rate in the league this year.
First and Jacksonville last week,
who got torched by Buffalo playing all-man on Monday night,
completely switched their defense
and played all cover two.
And Stroud had success moving the ball,
but you look at the second half
and all of a sudden they're punting
every drive until the last one.
So things are weird with the Houston offense.
That's the red flag for me
is second half rolls around.
It all of a sudden
they couldn't move the ball anymore.
I think until that last drive, which was the last three
minutes of the game, they weren't doing jack shit.
House made this point on Ringer Gambling
Show. How much of that is they thought
they had Mixon as this
huge power running back that
was going to change the complexion of their team and now they
just don't have a guy like that that might be
part of it. Tank Dell, I don't think he played
in the last game. Or if he did, he
certainly didn't do anything, But I think he was hurt.
I feel like that team is
not where they're going to be
six, seven weeks from now.
The Lions, though,
I thought the defense...
Gino shredded them.
And it's either
Detroit State isn't as
good as we thought, or maybe we just
have to admit defeat with Geno,
and he's just one of the best 10 quarterbacks of the week.
How many times can he do this?
And how many times can he make big plays
down from behind in the fourth quarter?
The guy just fucking make plays.
At some point, you got to hand it to him.
No offensive line either.
I mean, all you hear about is how bad the O-line is,
and he's throwing it down the field.
I mean, he's one of the few guys who
still throws down the field, and I think that's
another part of the second trend, which we'll get into,
is nobody throws down the
field anymore. Quarterbacks, everything's
underneath, check down, check down, check down.
It's like NFL games are being played in phone booths.
And Geno is finally being
the guy that's like, he has three
great receivers,
and a good running back.
But this offense is so electric to watch.
It's rare you see a quarterback, Jared Goff, completes 100% of his passes and wasn't the
better quarterback in the game.
Right.
Well, you mentioned that downfield thing.
So I think about this all the time with the Patriots having to sit through their games
because we have a quarterback that can't throw the ball down the field, right?
And the other team realizes that
and they just move people up
and they play all the bubble screens and short routes
and it becomes really hard.
If you're a team that's just,
you know, you don't really know where you are.
Like even Miami last night.
What's wrong with just chucking it downfield to Tyreek?
Like, I don't know, twice a quarter.
Seem to get a pass interference.
I thought the Colts did that really effectively with the Steelers.
There was just a couple times where they took chances.
They took a chance on the first play of the game.
But I actually would think there's so much more upside to whipping the ball downfield
versus like this short dink and dunk stuff.
I don't really understand it.
It feels like everybody's operating out of fear these days.
Everybody's afraid to turn it over
because that's what makes the headlines?
Right.
And the offensive coordinator's afraid of doing something dumb,
but you're just so much more like,
everyone's infatuated with all this motion stuff too.
That's another thing.
And they would just much rather call a play
where the receiver's sprinting and gets like a quick pass
and he gets to run after the catch
versus just like whipping it downfield with them.
I really liked when the Chiefs just said,
fuck it, and threw it to Worthy.
Just chucked it down for him.
It's like, yeah, that's what you should do.
The guy's fast.
What's your next trend?
Well, so that's the thing.
Underdogs are killing it, right?
So underdogs of five and a half or more
are 17, four, and one against the spread.
And they're winning 11 out of 22 of one straight up.
And of course, everybody's survivor pools
are dead. You and Sal with their
favorite teasers, they keep losing. And everybody's
like, what is going on? How is this happening?
Well, 2003
is the last time that pass
yards per game were this low.
And that is combined with also having
the highest completion rate in the history of the
NFL.
So it's exactly what we just talked about.
That doesn't even make sense. Just everybody's like, let's go dink and dunk,
and that's the future of the league.
But I don't think that's the future.
It shortens the game, right?
So there's longer possessions.
Every possession takes a little longer
because you're having these 10-play, 48-yard drives
that take six minutes that end with a 52-yard field goal.
And then the game gets shortened.
There's fewer possessions.
So the number of drives per game is down.
And so, like I said earlier, it's like playing NFL games in a phone booth.
Nobody gets big plays.
Nobody converts in the red zone anymore.
And every game is just like between the 30s, trading field goal kicks.
Occasionally, you get a touchdown.
But if the scoring environment is going to play like this,
it absolutely favors the dogs to just stay close,
especially when the dog is down six
and they're plus six and a half.
The favorite never puts the game away.
It's always a salt the game away drive.
They get just enough first downs.
And so you're seeing all these underdogs do really well
because every game, it's harder to separate. And so you're seeing all these underdogs do really well because every game is harder to separate.
And until last night with the Lions putting on a red zone clinic,
even Detroit was struggling in the red zone
and struggling to separate from these inferior teams.
Well, and I would say there's one more piece of that.
And I think about this with my man Doug Peterson,
who is just putting on a clinic this season
from a game management standpoint.
But I think he peaked when he had the lead in the Houston game.
It's first down and goal from the four,
and they just do nothing for three plays.
Fourth and four goes for it.
He's up three.
There's only like 16 minutes left
and does this QB draw play that you could have guessed
if you had two seconds to think about it and they get stuff.
But it seems like a lot of dumb game management this year,
more than usual.
This feels like the year that the analytics and go for it
and be aggressive has just parted ways with what makes sense
to actually do during a game.
And the whole point of, I'd rather be up six against Houston.
Cool, what's going on in the fourth quarter up six, they got to score a touchdown to beat us.
I just, I don't understand why everybody is so aggressive with offenses that aren't good.
It's fine to be aggressive if you're the Lions.
Don't be aggressive if you're the Jaguars and you're already incompetent, you know?
Yeah, I think it does come down to the red zone stuff.
Like certain offenses, you're just executing better. And, you know, red zone I think it does come down to the red zone stuff. Certain offenses are just executing better
and red zone stuff tends to
be noisy, but this is a multiple year
issue for Jacksonville in the red zone.
And so they keep donating points.
The thing is, you go up six, then Houston
gets more aggressive anyway. They probably still come
down and win the game, but
yeah, I mean, it's been a big topic of conversation here
in Philly because Sirianni did take the points
and then his defense got torched in that Monday night game week two.
So it's kind of damned if you do, damned if you don't in some senses,
but I just don't know how this changes.
And I know people are joking about banning certain coverages
and all that stuff's ridiculous.
I just don't know what the next iteration is,
and I'm fascinated to find out how the passing game changes going forward.
What if we had a rule you could only have three successful field goals during a game?
I was thinking about this.
That's a fun one.
Like who's like, nope, we need more field goals.
No, we need more.
Like, just like, that's it.
You'd had your three.
We don't get to see your kicker again.
Now, and then it would be strategic about when to use them.
And it's like, well, they got to save their last
field goal for the end of the game.
You can't use it here
so you got to go for it.
I'm concerned about the kicking game.
I mean,
this is September football.
Kicking is a lot easier.
I mean,
if kicking gets harder
in November and December,
then what are we going to do
for points?
I mean,
every game is going to end
in the tens.
You know,
it's a scary proposition
going forward.
And usually,
offenses have the edge
early in the season. Better weather, there's fewer injuries so that, you know, you a scary proposition going forward and usually offenses have the edge early in the season better weather uh there's fewer injuries so that you know you're not down to your backup
offensive players although this year not as much but the defenses tend to gain an advantage as you
go later in the season that doesn't seem like that trends well for how this league is going to look
in november and december now it's trends well for baltimore and that there's certain teams that you
can already tell are going to be good.
January teams.
Now Baltimore is the Lamar thing,
but,
um,
those physical bigger teams versus like,
I don't know.
We'll see with Washington.
Washington feels like a classic.
They're going to look great in September,
October,
but then can you play this way when we get to,
um,
you had some,
see,
I mean,
some of the stats with Washington's offense,
those last two weeks,
like all time crazy.
And I don't know,
do you think it's sustainable?
Where'd you land on it?
Uh,
I have,
I mean,
if you look up the history of cliff Kingsbury coach teams in the NFL,
in the second half of the season,
it is alarming.
Good example.
That's the scary part for me.
That's where I'm like,
you know what?
Let's wait.
Also,
let's wait. Uh, I think this week will be a good test for them. Cleveland's the scary part for me. That's where I'm like, you know what, let's wait. Also, let's wait.
I think this week will be a good test for them.
Cleveland plays a much more aggressive defense.
They're not as good as they were last year.
And everyone's going to be on Washington.
You and me in-house,
we're texting about it.
This is like the classic,
classic everyone on Washington game.
Absolutely.
But their serious success rate,
just converting first down,
first down, first down, first down.
They're number one in the league
by like three or 4% now, which is
pretty wild.
What's your last trend?
Chiefs' second half unders are back
and better than ever.
I think it's the most under-discussed
betting thing. Everybody does
betting content now, right? Trends this, trends that.
Mahomes, when he's an underdog. Mahomes,
when he's a small favorite. Andy Reid
off the bye. You've heard all those trends
The Chiefs last year in the second half, they played 21 games
18 of them went under the second half spread
and a lot of them weren't even close
and it's not necessarily, I mean it's Steve Spagnuolo
every time they need a third down stop
they have a play designed to seemingly get the best result
and I think there's also a little bit of
an aura element where other teams kind of
just shit the bed when they get in those spots.
They're like, oh shit, we got the Chiefs.
Even if we score, like, oh, we got
to get past Mahomes. And
oh, we just ran a third goal end around
and it didn't work.
And now it's fourth and goal and they're bringing the house
and we panic. And so all of these
things happen.
And the first two games of the year, they went over.
But now the last two games, they've allowed three total second half points against the Falcons and the Chargers.
Last season, they allowed five or this season, they're allowing five and a half points per game in the second half.
Last season, it was six and change.
So it's just like, I'm just going to keep betting them every week. And this week,
again,
I think they'll
struggle offensively
to get explosive
without Rice,
without Pacheco
and just have to
grind everybody down.
It's so funny
how the same trends
are the same trends
and we always pretend
they're not going to be
the same trends.
Like,
oh,
we're underdogs this week.
They were like 11 and five.
11 and five.
Something like that,
right?
So underdogs are, you just, if you're at a picks bowl, just pick the underdogs every week. You were like 11 and 5. 11 and 5. Something like that. So underdogs are...
If you're at a picks pool, just pick the underdogs
every week. You're doing great. You're probably
in the top 5 of that picks pool.
But yet we look at the
way and we're like, no, I can't
take that dog. That would be terrible. And then you
talk yourself out of this stuff.
Another one is that Betts-Sal loves
Steelers lose the first half
win the game. I think that's already won twice in four weeks.
Almost hit a third time.
It almost hit a third time.
The snap hit fields in the face mask,
but that'll hit at least three more times during the season.
I actually really like that first half game bet.
That was the only one we hit on Million Dollar Picks this week
with the Lions' first half game,
where you're basically, it's a parlay, but the parlay makes
sense with the other part of the parlay, right? And if you're going into a game, like I went to
that Lions game thinking, I think they're going to run the ball, establish some sort of dominance,
take the lead, and then maybe Geno comes back in the second half. I don't know, but I feel like
that's how the game's going to go. I'd rather bet on that than Lions minus
190 or whatever it was. But are you a believer in those bets or am I a dumbass?
Certain teams are certainly correlated. The Lions are usually good on the script,
right? So early in the game, Johnson's got something cooked up for the first quarter.
The Cowboys are interesting from the opposite perspective where they're so bad playing from
behind because they're so light up front and they're
so built to pass rush that maybe Dallas
is a team where first half outcome
is even more correlated to the full game
than most teams.
Interesting. Looking ahead to
week five,
was there anything that jumped out
to you from an oh no
that the public, the sniff,
the scent of the public
is just all over that one? Because my first
instinct was nobody is taking
Cleveland and I'm sure they're going to cover somehow.
Yeah. We do paper chasers
on Friday in the game.
And I already
told Austin Gale one of the games
I will be taking this week is Cleveland and Washington.
And look, I might look stupid
on Sunday when Deshaun throws another stinker up there,
but the Washington commanders
are the worst defense in the NFL,
and they're laying three and a half.
And the Browns defense isn't what it was,
but it's still a good enough unit,
and they're going to give different looks
than the very, very passive Cardinals
and very, very passive Bengals did.
I think this will be more of a challenge
for Daniels than the last couple weeks have been.
Super excited crowd. Meanwhile, there were some
kind of shocking Deshaun stats from week four that I wasn't
there was one advanced thing I read where he was the number two quarterback
in week four by a bunch of different metrics.
Had Cooper dropped a touchdown on him. There was another one where he had a long touchdown
but it got called back from a pretty dubious hold.
But I just watch him now glass half empty.
And he was probably better in that game, which I watched.
I had it on one of the TVs.
But I'm always assuming he's going to do something stupid at this point.
But he was pretty good in that game.
The biggest concern I have is that the Browns are going to sabotage him.
Other players know he stinks
and they're concerned that they want to get him out
so they're quite quitting on
him. Alligator arms it.
It didn't look as bad last week and now
he gets to face the worst defense, worst secondary in the NFL.
Are you a
bet on a game with two bad teams guy?
Because I am not. It depends.
Like Austin doing that on paper chasers.
I was getting so mad.
I was like, why are you going near this game?
This is like, you might as well go to roulette
and bet on black or red.
Like there's no rhyme or reason to this.
Yeah, Dolphins Patriots.
Like that will not have-
That's the one this week.
Pats minus one and a half Dolphins.
I will not have any money or action on that game.
Stay away.
Just stay away.
There's no upside of that.
Patriots are favored,
which I don't think you expected Patriots
to be laying points too often this year.
Probably is going to be the last time.
We haven't had, I was talking to somebody,
we haven't had a quarterback as bad as Brissette
since Mark Wilson, who was playing probably
10 years before you were born in the late 80s.
He was this former Raiders guy.
We got him in, he started like five, six games,
and he was just horrible.
Brissett seems like a great guy,
but he can't move and he can't
throw the ball deep. He
has to be the easiest guy to game plan against
in the league.
Just keep sending the house.
Don't worry about him throwing over the
top. He'll never be able to do it.
All he's going to do is throw a check down shit.
That's it. I feel bad for him.
I think he's in a bad spot.
He had good numbers the last couple years
when he came in, in much more
dynamic offenses.
He's got no...
Like you said, he's kind of a statue back there.
Their offensive line was bad to start, and then
they all got injured.
The last two weeks, they have no chance.
I think he got a hard shake last two weeks, it's like, they have no chance. So, I mean, I think
he would have, you know, he got a hard shake out
of it, and it's difficult, but they
need to get somebody more dynamic back there
and maybe, I don't think it'll be this week,
but maybe next week.
It's the most polarizing Boston sports
conversation right now, the Drake May thing.
People are now in two camps,
and if you think he should play,
you're basically supporting like elder abuse and name,
name seven other terrible things.
It's like,
you're,
you're going to ruin his career.
It's turned into that.
And I don't,
I just can't,
it's really going to be hard to watch Jacoby for 10 more weeks.
You know,
it's not going to be hard as the baseball playoffs,
which as they're happening right now,
who's winning the game that,
that right now is that the winning the game right now?
Is that the Astros, bottom of the ninth?
Okay.
They're rallying.
You were telling House and I to just short the Tigers and Royals,
the two fake playoff teams,
and now all of a sudden we've down 1-0.
They're both winning.
Your big future take
is the San Diego Padres plus 550
to win the National League.
Now we're taping this before the games tonight, but what is Diego Padres plus 550 to win the National League. Now we're taping this
before the games tonight, but what is your Padres case? Yeah. So, I mean, me and everybody else,
everybody's on the Padres bandwagon. So it does feel a little public, but I mean,
since the trade deadline, AJ Preller is the general manager of the Padres and he is the
most aggressive general manager in the sport. And because they're so good at scouting,
they just constantly have a good farm system
that people want to buy their prospects.
And so they just keep selling the farm
and then replenishing the farm and then going all in.
He just keeps doubling down.
He's kind of on tilt at the blackjack table.
And this year, I think he's actually put together the best team.
Wow.
It might actually work
because they made the big Soto move two years ago,
but their pitching was pretty bad.
And they got exposed by the Phillies in the playoffs that year.
And then last year, they had a huge payroll,
but there was some locker room stuff going on.
It didn't quite come together.
And this year, they have, since the trade deadline,
the number one bullpen in terms of quality of stuff.
They're top three in ERA.
And they got a really friendly draw here
because of all the chaos on Monday.
The Braves are pitching A.J. Smith
Shauver and Bryce Elder on Tuesday
night. And look, it's baseball. It's one game, three game
series. They could still win. But Smith Shauver
has pitched four innings in the big leagues this year.
His only playoff career outing was
last year in Philly. He gave up three straight homers.
He's
21 years old. and they don't
have a bullpen behind him.
The Braves, who would have been really tough
with Chris Sale and Spencer
Schwellenbach and Max Fried, now it's like
they have nobody left for this first
game. The Padres got an
edge there, and then if they get
to the weekend, which if
the chalk holds, we could get
Mets, or if the teams I'm hoping win, we could get Mets-Phillies, we could get Padres-Dod chalk holds, we could get Mets, or if the
teams I'm hoping win, we could get Mets-Phillies,
we could get Padres-Dodgers, and we could get
Yankees-Orioles this weekend.
That's a pretty awesome round
of series. But Padres-Dodgers,
the Padres won the season series with the Dodgers,
and the Dodgers' starting pitching
has fallen apart. I mean, they
every year have the same problem. Glass now is done
for the year. Of course, Otani's not pitching.
And they were hoping to get Kershaw right,
but that doesn't look like that's happening.
So they have two guys, Yamamoto and Flaherty.
And after that, it could be a couple of rookies
starting at the back end of their rotation.
They just don't have the depth.
Padres got two of their starters back in September
that looked pretty good, Darvish and Musgrove.
So,
well,
they also play the Dodgers all the time.
Like that.
Nobody's less afraid in baseball,
the team that's in your division that you've been playing forever.
I have Dodger fans in my life who are terrified of the Padres.
They're like,
they,
they're like,
we're just,
they're just not afraid of us anymore.
The Red Sox got to this point 20 years ago in 03 and 04 with the Yankees
where the Yankees had this mystique,
but we were just playing them every year for a million games.
And at some point, Rivera stopped being as scary as he was,
probably if you weren't seeing him as much.
Who do you talk baseball with as one of the only 27 and under baseball fans on the planet?
Is there some sort of Reddit board where you guys all exist?
What happens? Well, if it's Phillies baseball, I talk about it on the Ph. Is there some sort of Reddit board where you guys all exist? What happens?
Well, if it's Phillies baseball,
I talk about it on the Philly Special
with Shiel Kapadia.
Shameless plug right there.
Are there other young baseball fans
on the East Coast?
Or is it just you?
What happens?
For sure.
I mean, it's very regional.
You know this.
And so when I talk shit...
But you actually know everything
about all the teams.
Most people at this point baseball's
turned in and you only know what's going on with your team
with some exceptions
yeah I mean at this point it's you know you check
in with people you know like how's your team
doing alright we're doing well I see
you're coming up on the Phillies schedule like the Yankees are
coming to town like what are we thinking of Garrett Cole
you know how's he feeling this week but
you know
there's still a good number of people,
especially those of us who bet on sports
because we're in the minutiae all summer
and doing that. So I talk with those people a lot.
And yeah, there's more
20-something. I'm in a 16-team
Dynasty Fantasy League that has
minor league rosters. And so
those people are
the most hard-o baseball fans you'll ever meet,
more than I am and so
that league kind of keeps me going through the summer i'm in an al keeper league which same
thing i know every i know all the guys in the al i just don't i couldn't tell you one nl thing
that's going on how many tigers could you name oh man i mean we had joe flaherty got traded to
the dodgers we have what's his name henry malloy. We had him, we had their catcher, Jake Rogers. In 192. Yeah. It wasn't very good. I mean,
that was one of the reasons we finished in last place. But yeah, the baseball,
I was talking to somebody about this this week. I really think they should split season it,
would be my recommendation if they brought me in. How would that work?
I would just have two 75 game seasons.
And if you were able to win your division or whatever,
maybe it's two divisions,
not three,
however it works,
but some sort of stakes for the first 75 and then other stakes for the second
75.
And maybe some sort of overall prize where if you were the number one, you didn't win either of those, but you were still for the second 75. And maybe some sort of overall prize
where if you were the number one,
you didn't win either of those,
but you still had the most wins.
You also made it.
But some way that is just better than this,
hey, show up in mid-September
and you haven't missed anything.
I had people in my life who had no idea
Otani was going for a 50-50.
And these are people that
watch their own baseball team.
I know this
makes the baseball people mad, but I do...
I think basketball should think
about a split schedule
and just do
40 games, 40 games, but something
to split it up. I just think that's
where everybody's attention span is.
Football is the only sport that's
figured it out.
The in-season tournament is a great idea.
It is.
And in like three or four years,
it's going to be a big thing.
Like I already have made plans.
I'm not the biggest NBA fan,
but like I have already made plans with friends.
Like we are getting tickets,
Sixers, Knicks, in-season tournament in November.
We are excited for it.
It has just a little more juice
and there's no history right now.
So like nobody cares that the Lakers won it last year
or whatever. But in three to four or five years,
it might actually matter.
Well, the thing that... So getting
Otani in the World Series, I think, would
be the best possible thing that could
happen. Otani versus the Yankees
would then be the best of the best.
Just for bringing in casual people
and people that whatever...
The longer Otani goes, the better it is.
Because this could be their gateway to bring some people back.
But otherwise, this is the shit that happens.
It just feels like, at least I say it,
I've talked about this before with my son's demo.
It just feels like UFC has kind of replaced baseball in some ways.
It's grabbing all the young kids.
And nobody under 50, but if you're
under 25, it's a
pretty good battle.
Yeah.
I mean, certainly trying to get my
friends who are maybe really diehard Eagles fans,
but they'll tune in for the Phillies.
Yeah, like Phillies playoff
games or whatever.
That's about it it's tough
but you know
it's a labor of love
we have to try to convince people
to join our team
and when the team is good
like there's
there's a certain buzz
that the city has
that's very special
no question
alright well
good luck on the Equinox
how long does it last
what is this like
all the way through October
roughly a month
yeah
yeah
college football
thank god you're not into that.
No, I did watch George Alabama,
but that's about all you'll get from me.
Premier League.
So basically Sunday is like a 17-hour day for you?
Yeah.
This Sunday, I've got meeting up with some friends in the morning
to go to a bar to watch Tottenham play.
And then we've got NFL Sunday.
I have tickets to the Phillies game.
That's Sunday night or afternoon.
So it's going to be like 12 straight hours.
Mainline, just straight energy into my veins.
I'm very excited for it.
October's still the best.
I remember doing a mailbag column about this.
God only knows how many years ago
about October versus April.
I think those are my two favorite months.
I still love when the
first round of the basketball playoffs is
and when baseball
is starting and the NFL draft.
That's pretty great too.
Especially if we have
the right baseball teams, it's pretty good.
All right, Dibundo, you can listen to him all week
on Ringer Gambling Show and read his
excellent column on TheRinger.com, but then
Paper Chasers with Austin Gale.
What's Austin's record now?
He's four and eight.
We've both gone, he's gone one and two every week,
and I've gone two and one every week.
So we're becoming a little bit predictable.
We got to mix it up.
Hopefully we keep the winners coming.
I told you I was going to text him and tell him
that we had to pull him off the show
if he didn't go 2-1
or better this week.
It was a prank, but I think he actually
would have lost his mind if I sent him the text.
So I decided not to. I didn't want to have him
have a meltdown. But I know he takes it
very seriously.
So now I'll hear it on the podcast.
4-8.
He's got
to win four straight just to hit 500.
Well, good luck to him.
He's got time.
Long season.
Paper chases.
Good to see you, Dibundo.
Thank you.
All right, that's it for the podcast.
Thanks to Jesse Lopez
and Steve Cerruti today.
Thanks to Dibundo
and thanks to Rob Mahoney.
And I will see you on this feed
on Thursday.
Don't forget,
new rewatchables at Blair Witch Project.
Don't forget YouTube channel,
Ringer Movies or the Bill Simmons channel
for all the YouTube videos
and episodes from this podcast on Thursday. I don't have a few years
left in me
on the wayside
on the first
I never said
I don't have
a few years left in me
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