The Bill Simmons Podcast - NBA Panic Rankings, NFL Draft Guesses, and a Michael Jackson Movie Review | With Todd McShay, Steve Muench, and Van Lathan

Episode Date: April 22, 2026

The Ringer’s Bill Simmons catches up on Tuesday's NBA playoff matchups before taking a look at the panic teams (3:00). Then, Todd McShay and Steve Muench join Bill to preview the NFL draft (25:05). ...Finally, Van Lathan joins to give his thoughts on the new Michael Jackson biopic, ‘Michael’ (01:36:27). Host: Bill Simmons Guests: Todd McShay, Steve Muench, and Van Lathan Producers: Chia Hao Tat and Eduardo Ocampo Shop your favorite local grocers on Uber Eats! https://www.ubereats.com/brand/kroger The Ringer is committed to responsible gaming. Please visit⁠⁠⁠ www.rg-help.com⁠⁠⁠ to learn more about the resources and helplines available. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript
Discussion (0)
Starting point is 00:00:00 This episode is brought to you by IG Private Wealth. Here's the thing. Real wealth is not just numbers on a page. It's living life on your terms, running the business, taking care of the family, setting up the grandkids. IG Private Wealth helps make complex financial decisions more straightforward. With integrated plans that connect all the moving parts with you at the center, always. Find your advisor at IGPrivatewealth.com and get advice that puts you at the center. The Bill Simmons podcast brought to you by Fandle.
Starting point is 00:00:37 We're also brought to by the Ringer Podcast Network. I put up a new rewatchables on Monday. We did Kindergarten Cop. It is available on Netflix as well. Next week, Ghostbusters, which you can also watch on Netflix. That's coming with me and Van Lathena and Chris Ryan. We have some Ringer stuff for you. Sean Fantasy, you might have heard from him,
Starting point is 00:00:56 hosted the Big Picture. I've worked with them since 2012. He put up a new newsletter today that you can subscribe to about movies. did it with The Ringer and Substack and Spotify. It's called Projections. He'll be writing about movies at least once a week. If you like, Sean, I'm pretty confident you're going to like the newsletter.
Starting point is 00:01:15 He's going to be on here Thursday to discuss it. Jordan Khan, who's been with us since Grantland, came to us along when we started The Ringer, one of the best long-form writers in the country. He has a new book that came out today called American Men. It's excellent. If you like reading books, I would recommend it. And then Legata, the third episode of,
Starting point is 00:01:34 that podcast, which I told you, if you like Scarface and Miami Vice and 80s cocaine, all that stuff, this is the podcast for you. Legata third episode is up. Now, on this podcast, I'm going to be reacting to all the basketball tonight, plus the basketball
Starting point is 00:01:49 yesterday, at the very top of this. And then I have Todd McShea and Steve Mensch. We taped earlier today, a whole bunch of NFL draft stuff, all of our thoughts. I threw some crazy stuff at them. Are there are going to be any crazy wrinkles.
Starting point is 00:02:05 What's going to happen in this draft? Covered it all. And then last but not least, Van Lathen came on because he saw the Michael Jackson movie and he thought it was abominable. And we talked about the movie and the state of biopics and documentaries and all the stuff
Starting point is 00:02:19 that seems to be going in the wrong direction these days. So that's all coming up next. I'm going to join you right after the break. First, Pearl Jam. The Bill Simmons podcast is brought to you by Fandul. The NBA postseason is here and Fandle knows the only thing better
Starting point is 00:02:34 watching your favorite team. Win is winning along with them. Fandole, the best place to bet the teams, players, and plays during their playoff run. Build the same game parlay or try live betting and jump in after a tip-off. Don't forget with Fandol, you get paid instantly when you win.
Starting point is 00:02:48 Download the Fanduals Sportsbook app now and play your game. 21 plus select states are 18 plus D.C. Kentucky, Wyoming. Game problem called 1-800-Gambor. Call 888-7-8-7-87-7-7 or visit CCPG.org slash chat in Connecticut. All right, I am tap in this top part of the podcast.
Starting point is 00:03:32 It is 1023 Pacific time on Tuesday night because I stupidly stayed up until the end of this Lakers Rockets game thinking something spectacular would happen. And it was spectacular if a rock fight that almost injured people in the first couple rows of the seats were spectacular with all the bricks and airballs. Oh, my God, it was so bad. I'd like to apologize to Gahuehout and Eduardo, who are my behind-the-scenes team. made them stay up late. Now they have to put this podcast up because I thought it would be worth it. It wasn't worth it.
Starting point is 00:04:05 We should have done this two hours ago. KD came back. So that was a wild card. He had nine turnovers. Four or five in the fourth quarter. Partly his fault, but also like, A, why is he out there?
Starting point is 00:04:18 B, why is he doing so much? Because he clearly didn't seem 100%. Reed Shepard. This might have been here for E. E. Mae and Reed Shepard. I think he played. What do I have here? Ten minutes.
Starting point is 00:04:29 for four for Reed Shepard, the number three pick of the 2024 NBA draft, one pick ahead of Stefan Castle. Houston, they changed them stuff up. They pressured a game late with that idea when you have Marcus Smart and LeBron James and Lou Canard bringing the ball up. Why not pressure those guys 94 feet, Jada McDaniel style? They didn't do that. I looked it up.
Starting point is 00:04:52 Nobody has ever been fired during a series before, so I think EMAIDOCA's safe probably until after the series, but they're down 02. And the big thing for me, the fact that they didn't trade for C.J. McCollum at any point during the season before Atlanta got him is just bonkers. It felt like the natural thing that was going to happen after Van Vuit got hurt. And the salaries kind of lined up. Houston has a bunch of extra picks.
Starting point is 00:05:20 Washington basically, you know, they were ready to give away McCollum. They finally ended up putting them in a Trey Young deal, which really they're taking Trey Young off Atlanta's hands. McCollum goes and he's one of the stars of the game two and one of the potential stars of the playoffs. He's almost becoming a villain on MSG with the New York fans, even though, as he said after the game, I'm the least villainy guy possible.
Starting point is 00:05:44 I don't know why Houston didn't trade for him. I don't get it. They thought they were good with the team. Like they like having Van Villeet around. Van Ville can't play until next year. Like, worst case, scenario, he just opt out of his contract. You can resign him.
Starting point is 00:05:57 But it's weird to me that they didn't. do anything and the email clearly doesn't trust Reed Shepard. So can the Lakers actually pull this off? Because we got info today, maybe Luca wouldn't be around until round two. That maybe Reeves was actually a better option to come back. I'm looking at the playoff odds right now. Houston, wow, Lakers minus, they're up to nothing in the series with Game 7 and home and they're minus 120 on a fan duel because everybody's like, well, maybe Houston's going
Starting point is 00:06:27 turn it around. I don't know. The team I watch tonight, I don't see it. I mean, just to come back from 2-0 in a series, the percentages are against you, but the way they, the chemistry in the court, Durant and I look at 100%. Shangoon looks like he's already on Redfin, looking at Milwaukee Houses for the
Starting point is 00:06:49 inevitable Yannis trade that I'm starting to feel that could happen. Could the Lakers do this? And I don't know why I'm excited about it. because I hate the Lakers, but it would just be more fun to have them in the next series if Luca can come back against OKC. By the way, OKC, big winner of round one, right? But like Wembe, Wembe gets concussed, which we'll talk about in a second. But that series looks like it's going to go longer.
Starting point is 00:07:15 Denver, Minnesota is going to be a war. Meanwhile, OKC is going to cruise through round one. And then they're going to get one of these two teams in round two. Holy shit. Panic rankings. I wanted to take you into the NBA panic room really quick. I have the Rockets now number one because if you lose this series to
Starting point is 00:07:33 if you lose this series to this Lakers team, you got to be kidding me. Honestly, you got to be kidding me. That would be just one of the dumbest playoff losses I could remember. You're 41-year-old LeBron, Luke Knard, who anybody could have had, Marcus Smart, hitting corner threes,
Starting point is 00:07:54 Jackson Hayes is out there. I just can't believe it. How many lottery picks Houston have? I think out of the, I think they had five or six guys who were taking like in the top five of the lottery. Oh my God. Anyway, I've Houston number one. And I blame Houston for the fact that it's 1027. I'm doing a podcast right now. Anyway, number two, the Spurs. Wemby gets concussed on the night that he is given the defensive player of the year award. And it looked bad immediately. was not great.
Starting point is 00:08:28 And in football, the concussion protocol is like at least a week. Who knows with basketball, he's definitely not going to be in game three, but maybe he comes back for game four. But at the very least, Portland steals one. If you're San Antonio, there's some questions that come out of that game that I had already been thinking about. When he comes out of it, obviously he's their best offensive player. But my fear with them all along was like shock creation in half court.
Starting point is 00:08:56 when you're in a playoff atmosphere and you've got to create shots. And really, it was just Fox. Fox was the only, everything was on Fox and Portland, Portland could kind of shut it down. And then it comes down to Drew Holiday, who had 16, 5 and 9, classic Drew winning basketball, gets the block in the corner,
Starting point is 00:09:15 gets the go-ahead basket on the put-back on an air ball, like always in the right place, right time. That's why they traded for him. And then this Scoot-Henerson game, 31 points. So Nick Wright texted me this. He now has 10 more career playoff points than Wembe. I feel like I'm still in it with Scoot.
Starting point is 00:09:33 Can't give up yet. I thought Scoot was awesome day. Now he had one rebound and zero assist, but the defense and the fearlessness and the athleticism was what we thought it might be when I was arguing him versus Brandon Miller and I conceded to KOC.
Starting point is 00:09:49 Sorry, Kevin O'Connor. I conceded to you two months ago that you won the Brandon Miller over a scooter argument. Now I feel like I'm alive. I just climbed out of the coffin. And congrats to Portland owner El Chippo, who the guys after the game, they were pouring tap water on each other because he probably didn't have alcohol in the locker room. But El Chippo gets a win. Now that goes back to Portland for game three. No t-shirts for those fans because those t-shirts are expensive. Anyway, the Spurs. I have them at the top here in the
Starting point is 00:10:20 panic because they don't have Wembe for either of these Portland games. I think Portland's legitimately good. Like Toronto, bogus five seed, just bogus with a capital B. Houston, bogus five seed. Not capital B bogus, but bogus. Portland, frisky seven seed. Like, I think Portland's a better playoff team than either Houston or Toronto. So you're going to Portland.
Starting point is 00:10:44 The energy is going to be amazing. El Chippo is going to be shooting out, probably use t-shirts out of 15-year-old t-shirt canids. I can't wait for this weekend, but we'll see what do the spurs have in them without Wembe? They signed Luke Cornett over the summer, who's one of the best free agent signings of the summer. Big game for him, obviously, game three, game four.
Starting point is 00:11:05 They're going to need a lot more from him. But as crazy as it sounds, like Portland, this could be a long series. And I don't think Portland's going to go away. This is a team that knows who they are, really good defensively. Kamar, I thought, did a great job down the stretch. And little feistyer of a series. I think San Antonio was minus 1,400 heading into the series. So it's a 1-1 going back to Portland.
Starting point is 00:11:33 We're definitely not going to have one before game three. We'll see. That is my number two panic team. So Houston, San Antonio. Number three is Detroit. They're playing tomorrow night. They got their ass kicked at home in game one, and they've lost 12.
Starting point is 00:11:45 11 straight playoff games. This would be the 12th that they lose game two. Orlando is a ton of confidence. They're catching this Orlando team. that just did a 180 that hit rock bottom crawled out of it. We talked about it on Sunday night and might not give a shit anymore. It might just feel like, fuck it. Maybe we're better than these guys.
Starting point is 00:12:05 This is a Normandale and Hoosiers moment for J.B. Bickerstaff and the Pistons. This is J.B. looking at these guys. Maybe they're right about us. Maybe we weren't a one seed. He's got to start challenging them a little bit. I think this Detroit Orlando game Wednesday night, a must watch. I think it's going to be violent.
Starting point is 00:12:27 I expect, like, I don't know if you're watching the hockey, but Bruins Buffalo almost had two different bench-cloring brawls. It brought me back to 1988 when I really loved the Bruins the most, the 70s and 80s. And we played Buffalo,
Starting point is 00:12:42 and I think it was 600 plus penalty minutes in a six-game series and multiple bench-cloring fights. Guys just fighting every game, the same guys, like Jay Miller. I think that we had Willie Plet. I think they had Clark Gillies. I forget they had another fighter, but just every game, the same guys were fighting. I don't think Detroit or Orlando is going to be like that, but I think it's going to get feisty tomorrow. I think this is one of those. Detroit's going to
Starting point is 00:13:07 lay the smack down, try to give the physicality. I think Orlando likes when it gets physical. They like that kind of action. And that's a must watch. But I would be really nervous if I'm Detroit because Orlando, you know, there's two kinds upsets. There's the Philly kind that we'll talk about the second against Boston in game two. And then there's the, we actually belong on the court. It might be better than you guys upset. And I felt like Orlando in that one. Now, they're nine point underdogs in game two, which I think is too high.
Starting point is 00:13:36 There's a lot of data going for if the home team gets blown out into game one as a big favorite. Then Sack talked about that on Sunday. But I think Orlando can play with these guys. So Detroit's my number three. The nuggets are number four. First Nuggets lost yesterday at 33 days. I have multiple concerns command of the game. One, Aaron Gordon not healthy.
Starting point is 00:13:56 I thought he got banged up in different ways in game one and then game two just didn't look like himself. So you lose rim protection, you lose the crazy athleticism, you lose the reckless threes in the corner that go in, all that stuff. I didn't think he seemed like the same guy. Not his fault. I just think he's banged up. I think he's been banged up all year.
Starting point is 00:14:16 Second biggest thing, Yokeage is threes, which we've seen come and go, in the playoffs if you really put a beating on them, which Minnesota did. Minnesota had Randall beating on them. They'd Gobert beating on them. They had elbows. Nas Reid's beating on them. And they just tried to wear him down.
Starting point is 00:14:33 And it got to the point. It felt like they were leaving him open a little bit. And I think he was one for seven. A lot was made out of the Gobert one-on-one defense against Joker. I didn't think that's why they won. I thought they won because the physicality of all four quarters combined with the third thing I want
Starting point is 00:14:49 to mention. McDaniels, you could see what the game plan was in game two. It was like McDaniels is going to hound Jamal Murray 94 feet. And I don't know why more teams don't do this when you have a Jada McDaniels. But I thought Murray was just gassed in the fourth quarter because McDaniels was just wearing him down and in his t-shirt, which is, I think he wears the t-shirt instead of inside the jersey, which I support. I thought he wore him down. So you have McDaniels 94 feet.
Starting point is 00:15:20 You've Gobert with the one-on-one D. You have Ant with the rim protection. You have Randall and Nas Reid being super physical. And then you have DiFenzo with some big ball shots. And you have Bones Highland as just a random D-on-Waiters. We might have to rename D-on-Waters on rewatchables. And then you have on offense, everyone attacking the rim. Because they know if Gordon's a little compromised,
Starting point is 00:15:42 Joker's not really a shot block or they're going. So when I think about upsets, I said this after game one to Zach, even though Minnesota didn't play that well, I felt like the physicality, they seemed very comfortable. And I thought it was a little concerning after game one.
Starting point is 00:15:58 They didn't play that well, but they still were in the vicinity of winning the game. Game two, super comfortable. And it's a team that thinks they're better than Denver. So if I'm a Nuggets fan, A, I'm more concerned that I was four days ago that I was getting out of this series.
Starting point is 00:16:14 They were three to one to win the series. Now I'm concerned. I'm also concerned. What happens if I get out of this series? Because now I'm playing San Antonio. I have a lot of miles on me from round one. And then I still have OKC waiting for me in round three. And they're going to do all the same physical beat you up stuff that Minnesota is doing.
Starting point is 00:16:34 Now, this was the case. I thought Denver was going to make the finals. The case against it was the road is too hard. And the way this is playing out, that case might have been right. I might have been wrong. I thought Minnesota was alive potential could put it together for four rounds but aunt who didn't even seem like it was
Starting point is 00:16:52 100% healthy all the time yesterday combined with McDaniels coming back from injury. I just didn't think they were going to be able to put it together like that but man they looked like a conference finalist last night. So these two, either of these teams playing San Antonio
Starting point is 00:17:08 is going to be an incredible series. And I thought last night, I thought that was like watching a game five of a conference final. level quality of basketball. I loved it. I'd be nervous if I was Denver. I wouldn't be quite as nervous if I'm the next,
Starting point is 00:17:23 but I'm a little nervous because game two against Atlanta, it picks some scabs for me, right? Are we two Brunson-centric? Are we sure Mike Brown is a good coach? Is McHale Bridge is playing tonight? Oh, he's played 32 minutes? I didn't realize it. Oh, he took the last shot of the game with five seconds left.
Starting point is 00:17:43 I forgot he was on the team. they had a bunch of that stuff going. The backup guards, McBride was bad, shame it was bad. So they got nothing really from their bench other than Clarkson made a couple plays. And the town's piece of it, now my Knicks fan friends were like,
Starting point is 00:18:02 why didn't towns get the ball more? You know, why we were so Brunson-centric? Kamika was doing a good job on town. So I think it was a combination of he was being really physical with him. They found something with that small ball lineup. And if I was the Knicks, and I rooted for the Knicks that they now make me the most nervous
Starting point is 00:18:18 other than Josh Hart was the best player of my team in game too. I would be nervous that Alexander Walker and Jalen Johnson Alexander Walker didn't really play well in either game. And Jalen Johnson did not shoot well in the second game
Starting point is 00:18:33 and it's one to one and they're going back where I think they're pretty good in Atlanta. So I'd be nervous that Alexander Walker hasn't gone going yet. And then the C.J. McCollum piece he was doing getting to whatever spot he wanted. You have these two wings
Starting point is 00:18:49 in Inobian bridges that you've traded all this capital and gave big contracts to. And over and over again, he was just getting away from those guys and trying to repeatedly get Brunson on him. McCollum's like having, this is a moment for him, right? This is the afterthought in Portland,
Starting point is 00:19:06 dame's teammate, put it a million trade rumors, even got mad at me publicly a couple times, kind of bounces around, ends up in Washington, become such an afterthought that Houston doesn't even trade for him. And now he's wearing it now. He's ready to be the foil in a Knicks series.
Starting point is 00:19:22 So I wouldn't be crazy nervous if I was the Knicks? What are the odds in this series? They are, yeah, minus 174 on Fandall. That seems about right. I thought the Knicks were going to win in six. I still think that. But the CJ piece was unexpected. We'll see if he can keep it good.
Starting point is 00:19:43 going. And then the last one for a panic team, the Celtics. So I would have ranked on the bottom here. First of all, in game twos, I don't know what happens to them. They're five and five in their last 10 playoff home game twos. They lost to the Knicks last year, Miami and Cleveland in 24. The Miami game was one of the dumbest losses of all time. They lost to Miami in 23. Then they lost an eight. Philly did exactly what I thought they were going to do. They shot a bunch of threes. Edgecombe got hot. I think he was six for 10. He had a 30 and 10 was super comfortable. And then Maxi got going a little bit. The Celtics were playing this just insanely dumb drop coverage that I didn't understand for the life of me.
Starting point is 00:20:22 And giving up, I think it was 91-89. Boston has the ball. About to take the lead. Tatum jacks up a bad three. And then Maxie, I think, hit two straight threes on that stupid drop coverage. So the Celtics were 13 for 50 from three. and Sean Grandy, my friend, who does the radio for the Celtics,
Starting point is 00:20:46 said regular season and playoffs, that's the 12th time in the last 161 games. The Celtics have failed to shoot better than 26% from three, and they've lost all 12th, including game one and game two against the Knicks, and then this game last night. So the question is, total aberration,
Starting point is 00:21:03 or are they starting to look a little like Nick Series Celtics last year? I will say, the two things that scare me a tiny bit Derek White has really been bad from three since January 1st he's under 31% from three now he's two for 10 tonight
Starting point is 00:21:21 and the next thing the Sixers seemed totally fine with him shooting from three whereas I think in November December would not have been as fine he got to the point I was wondering if they might take them out and put Shireman in which was the second thing I didn't understand Shireman only played a
Starting point is 00:21:38 of minutes. He's been a super sub for the last couple months. Indispensable. And that led to the third thing I'd understand. The move seemed to me, go small with Tatum at the five, because you can still get the rebounding from him. Tatum Brown, Shireman, Pritchard and White, or take White out and put
Starting point is 00:21:56 Hauser in. I just, I didn't really understand the lineups. I voted for Joe for Coach of the Year. I did not think he had a good game today. And the Vucevich thing I just don't get. I know offensively he had decent stats, but I think he really hurts them defensively. And I thought the Sixers took advantage of him.
Starting point is 00:22:15 I don't think he's fast enough to jump out on three-point shooters. He's not really a rim protector. And if I'm playing the Sixers and there's no Embed and I'm playing Bono and Drummond, like, I'm fine going small against them. Let's go small again. What are they going to do? Post up one of those guys? So playing Tatum at the five seems like the move.
Starting point is 00:22:35 It did worry me a little that they looked like game one. Game 2, 2025 Knicks. I did get some flashbacks, some PTSD. My daughter and my dad were there, and my daughter was furious after the game. I was very proud, but she was excited that they showed them on the Jumbotron, and my dad wasn't looking, and she was hitting him to look, and multiple people texted me about this,
Starting point is 00:22:58 that it was like watching a little sitcom with my dad and my daughter. So congrats to them. Wish I had been there. I'm not nervous about this Celtic series yet. Right now, the odds are. Celtics minus 510. So Fandua is not nervous either. The Portland odds,
Starting point is 00:23:15 Portland is plus 410 to win the series now. San Antonio is minus 550. The only series, the two series seem like a rap, Phoenix, OKC, and Toronto, Cleveland. And it's unclear. Toronto should have just passed them the playoff invitation.
Starting point is 00:23:30 Like when you get invited to a wedding and you send your regrets and you send a gift, I kind of wish Toronto had done that with the playoffs. All right, that's the that's that's that's the panic the NBA panic room heading into tomorrow night can't wait to watch Orlando in Detroit again I'm sorry to everybody at the ringer that I made you stay up tonight we're going to take a break we're going to go backwards in time I'm going to talk to McSheh and Mench a big long combo about the NFL draft and I'm going to look a
Starting point is 00:23:57 lot more awake in one second after this break the bill Simmons podcast is brought to you by fan duel the NBA playoffs are here everything's on the line every possession matters every bucket swings the game and tonight is your shot. Boost, your bet. That's right. All customers get a profit boost tonight. So when the moment hits, your wing gets bigger because that's how profit boosts work.
Starting point is 00:24:20 Lock in your beds, boost your odds, make the playoffs payoff with Fandul official sports betting partner of the NBA. Head to fandole.com slash BS to get started. Fandul, play your game. 21 plus select states are 18 plus D.C., Kentucky, Wyoming, restrictions, supply. See terms at sportsbook. Game problem called 1-800-Gambor call 888-7-8-7-8-8-8-8-8-89-7-7-7 or visit ccppg.org slash chat in Connecticut.
Starting point is 00:24:45 All right, listen up. Ralph's, King Supers, Harris Teeter, Food for Less, Kroger, many more. Now on Uber Eats. And you get 40% off your order of $30 or more. Maybe you're trying a new recipe and need some last-minute ingredients. That's a possibility. Maybe the kids made a mess. You're lower on cleaning supplies than you thought. whatever you need, you can get it delivered to you in as little as 25 minutes.
Starting point is 00:25:11 So order now in Uber rates get 40% off your order of $30 or more with code Kroger, 2026 plus Uber 1 members get $0 delivery fees. I love Uber 1. I'm an Uber 1 member. Orders of $30 or more save up to $25. Ends April 30th, 2026. See App for details. All right.
Starting point is 00:25:35 McShay and Menture here. They are here all week doing the Todd McShea show, the McShay show, which is behind us. I like that little fancy thingy. Yeah. So we're using your set. I love it. Last time I talked to you, we went, I wasn't that excited about the draft and then you kind of 45 minutes later.
Starting point is 00:25:52 You fluff me a little bit. Yeah, you got me a little excited about it. He's a great fluffer. Barely excited by the end. Now I'm way more excited. It's, uh, there's never a bad draft, man. That's the thing. Like, even the, for interdictional.
Starting point is 00:26:06 For entertainment value, there's never a bad draft. There's bad drafts, but there's no players. Right. Yeah. But it's like Thanksgiving. Thanksgiving is always going to be good because at some point there's going to be food to eat. And it always gets hectic.
Starting point is 00:26:18 There's always family drama before Thanksgiving. It's the same thing here. And like I got lied to, I think, about the Jets pick. And that's okay. I'm here for it. You got lied to? I think so. I did see you did a little switch.
Starting point is 00:26:29 Oh, Val Reese. Yeah. Yeah. And by the way, like the draft's not here. We'll see what happens. But I get the strong sense that the Jets worth getting that out there. I always get nervous about, because I was the only one saying are Belrice. And then a couple other people a little bit.
Starting point is 00:26:46 But I always get nervous when everyone all of a sudden on a Monday after a weekend saying the same thing. So the Jeremiah Love thing, I worry about that at number three. But it looks like Bailey. They're doing a good job of being really quiet about it, even though there's really no reason to be quite outside of. of, hey, everyone thinks we're taking Bailey. But who are they trying to fake out?
Starting point is 00:27:11 Listen. David Bailey, I actually had to have this internal conversation with myself. David Bailey's been kind of what everyone in league circles has kind of assumed, right, for a while. Let's throw out there, we might take Arbel Reese and see if someone's more interested in Reese and get the, you know, because there's people talking about Arizona. We're going to move on whichever pass rusher doesn't go to go to. We, you know, the pick is open at Arizona at number three. Why not, why not us get the phone calls?
Starting point is 00:27:41 I have a feeling that that's what was going on. The only thing I don't like about this theory is it's the Jets. Yeah. That involves foresight, a plan, understanding if it's happening, yeah. Like chest moves moving around. Yeah. And if it's true, what I'm kind of surmising,
Starting point is 00:27:58 then I think, I think, Darryl Mugi is doing a pretty good job of managing this thing. if there are two guys who play the same position basically and people are arguing about which one's better. I'm just, I was parachuting the draft every year basically knowing nothing and trying to learn on the fly. Why wouldn't you should take the guy who's two years younger?
Starting point is 00:28:18 Is that just too obvious or am I, it's actually not. You would be, I don't think you'd be surprised, but it's, it's surprising how much, because Reese is two years younger. Emphasis is put into the age for a defensive prospect specifically.
Starting point is 00:28:33 But if it was me, I would take the younger guy. He was two years late. It's like getting a car from 2024 versus 26 or something. But it's a five-year lease. It's a five-year lease. You're not going to keep it for the life of the car. You know what I mean? So if you like the car better and you get a better lease than take the lease.
Starting point is 00:28:50 But nobody can agree which one of these guys are better. Why wouldn't I just take the younger guy? I would take Arvel Reese, but I've got to have a defensive coach. If I'm the general managers, I've got to have a defensive coach that can lay out what exactly is the plan to show me how it's going to work. Yeah. Because this guy's more talented. Okay.
Starting point is 00:29:07 The talent isn't quite developed. He's a one-year starter at Ohio State. So that means higher talent, higher bus potential. Yes. Okay. Yeah. Someone brought this up on X. I actually meant to run this by you before we even got on here.
Starting point is 00:29:20 But we're talking about the Jets again. So if you have a plan for this kid, that's great. Is Aaron Glenn going to be their head coach next year? Right. Or in October? Or in October. Like, exactly. So then the plans out the window.
Starting point is 00:29:33 And if you're if you're Mugi, are you thinking yourself, I don't know who's going to be the coach next year. I'm going to take the guy who's been playing edge his whole life. The information I got 10 days ago, I think it's 10 days now. It was the Sunday before this past Sunday was, what's your football sense if you want the sure thing? And that Daryl Mugi is a human risk aversion. I've compared it yesterday.
Starting point is 00:29:56 I like that. I like that. Ben stiller, right? Like, just a human risk aversion corporation, like walking down the street. Like, everything's about risk. And apparently that's kind of his DNA and his makeup. I would argue the better player who the fallback is, I'm getting Devin Lloyd, that to me is less risk than drafting David Bailey.
Starting point is 00:30:20 And maybe he's just a DPR, designated pass rusher. And he's not very good versus the run. So, like, it's true. But this guy we know can rush the quarterback better than anyone in this draft. And yes, it's with speed. And yes, he's got to kind of get stronger and all that. But let's go with the guy that's proven as a pass rusher because that's the most important thing you can do in this league outside of being a quarterback.
Starting point is 00:30:44 Fandel has Reese minus 130, Bailey plus 115 on Tuesday afternoon as we record. Did that flip from yesterday? Yeah. This morning I looked, this morning I looked, and it was like, was still plus 160. And then I looked four hours ago and it was minus 110. So it is shifting rapidly. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:31:05 Betting on the draft is like betting on roulette while doing cocaine. It's like the odds are just going crazy at all times. I would, I never do draft bets. The only one that seems like it hits every year is like the more offensive linemen than we thought. Right. Yeah. Seems like every year. It's like, no, it's going to be seven.
Starting point is 00:31:25 No, actually it's 10. Yep. Because we get in the draft and everybody's like, oh, fuck, we need a right tackle. I bet it's at eight and a half, but I haven't looked, but I would bet it's at eight and a half. I would take for the over-unders. Yeah. So there's going to be a second guard that sneaks in. Right.
Starting point is 00:31:39 I would take nine. I would take nine. Seven and a half. Oh, I take that. See, that seems like he fucking banged that one, right? Pound it right now. It must be at least nine. Take it right now.
Starting point is 00:31:48 Yeah, I think so. There's going to be at least eight. There's seven tackles and one guard. I think nine, but yeah, you're right. It's going to be eight's the same number. Ionacho are still sitting there at 31? Absolutely. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:31:59 You putting that in right now? No, I'll do it after. I have a bunch of questions tied to the draft, but this is my favorite one. What do the Giants do at number five? Because they also have number 10. Yeah. If the first four picks. Yep.
Starting point is 00:32:14 Okay. Mendoza, Reese, to the Jets. Arizona says, fuck it, and takes love. Yep. And then Sala and Tennessee go. fuck it and they take styles. So it goes, Mendoza Reese loves styles. Now the giants are on the clock.
Starting point is 00:32:32 What happens? Bailey. You think they would take Bailey anyway? With Bailey. I was told by somebody that because even if you flip-flop and it's Bailey, it's Bailey at two and it's Reese at five, sitting at five, either way. I was told,
Starting point is 00:32:47 but I don't believe it, that they would take the edge rusher, best available, and Kban Tibido would be trade. That was sneaky. That was a little Nugget in Shepter's article. He had all these trade guys. These are guys that could be traded and all of a sudden you see Kvon-Tibodon. I was like, I haven't heard that name.
Starting point is 00:33:02 Yeah. That was last year's trade that was going to happen, remember? Yeah. Well, they'll drop that ball. So all of a sudden it was in there. I was like, that's, that jumps out to me. So if they, they could get rid of one of them. The giants are fascinating, right?
Starting point is 00:33:13 Because the giants are sitting there at five and now they've got picked 10. Which was an awesome trade. I didn't talk about that trade on the podcast. That was like, I was staggered by that trade. Yeah. For you're trading a defensive attack. I know he's good. And his late 20s, it was expensive.
Starting point is 00:33:29 And now I just get to reset with the 10th pick and a draft that basically has 12 good guys and then drops off. That trade's a miracle. I thought the Giants would have had to throw in at least like a third to even the C-Sysaw. There's something about the Ravens. Like the Ravens, like Ozzie Newsom and down to Eric DeCosta.
Starting point is 00:33:47 Now it seems like they sit back, they're patient. They exploit other teams. And now Harbaugh comes from the Ravens, exploiting other teams for being overly eager in a moment. Who's stopping the run for the Giants? I mean, they were like giving them five yards a carry last year. That might be the 10th pick. There's no defense of tackles there.
Starting point is 00:34:06 You don't like Falk just reaching or maybe trading back five spots. But they pick 35 in the second round. Yeah, they'll get a guy there. They'll get a guy there. I thought for the Bengals that I interrupted you, but the Bengals, that trade was insane. You're paying like 110 million a year to a quarterback at two receivers. You've holes all over the place.
Starting point is 00:34:26 And I give her $28 million. Your defense is terrible. It's like, well, we're going to get this guy. We're going to bring him in. He's the best defensive attack in the league. Cool. Now he's going to be double team the whole time. You have nobody else in your defense. It's like, as an AFC fan of the Patriots, I was like, great trade, guys. You did it. You're going to be a fucking best.
Starting point is 00:34:44 But the Giants sit there at five, right? And a week ago, we would have said, Caleb Downs is one of the players they'd like, the safety from Ohio State. Jordan Tyson is one of the players. they don't conceal their interest in players. Joe Shane goes, Shane and Harbaugh were already at the Arizona State Pro Day where Jordan Tyson didn't work out.
Starting point is 00:35:03 Yeah. And then Shane went back out for the Jordan Tyson workout, which was just like 30-something routes and catching the ball. Yeah, that was a don't get hurt workout. Yeah. But everyone loved it. All right. Just run a straight line and turn around.
Starting point is 00:35:18 Yeah. But everyone loved it. It was a great workout. Yeah. And then has, I think, dinner with Tyson. So we know there's interest there, but I don't know, a week, 10 days ago we would have said, better take downs at five and you can get Tyson at 10. I honestly think with sitting at seven would be a possibility of all, though I think Dan
Starting point is 00:35:38 Quinn is going defense there. He's pushing with Adam Peters to go defense, and it could be Sonny Stiles, if not Stiles, Caleb Downs at seven. But eight is New Orleans, and that could be a spot where Jordan Tyson goes. Um, that sounds like a disaster. Nine Kansas City. George Tyson Norman. Sounds just sounds awful.
Starting point is 00:35:58 Why? What do you mean? But not, yeah. Not in their eyes, but yes. Don't they have like a top three worst medicine training recovery like situation, them and the Pelicans? Chris Olavé, that's what's works for him, right? Yeah.
Starting point is 00:36:11 He's always nervous. Yeah. So regardless, my point is, I don't know that Tyson gets there. And so Caleb Downs is much more likely to get there, but may not get there either. So and then you hear about. But there's no scenario where they can end up with downs and styles, the Giants? They don't want styles, apparently. Because they signed Edmonds?
Starting point is 00:36:30 He signed Edmonds. Yeah. That deal's not huge, though. It's not huge. I mean, that's the Mac Daddy move. Because I was looking at the Giants' odds. First of all, seven and a half wins over under for that. All the signs for them are they're going to be this year's Patriots, right?
Starting point is 00:36:47 If it's healthy. Fourth place schedule, new coach, like just, they're checking all the boxes. Seven-a-win seems too low, plus 280 for the playoffs, plus $5.50 for the division. That seems too high. If they got two
Starting point is 00:37:01 Blue-chip, Blue-chip, Blue-chip, five and ten guys, and then hit the second round pick, you're good right away. Yeah. Because they already had a bunch of good players and they underachieve last year. You know, how many times
Starting point is 00:37:12 they have the lead in the second half of a game? What if Yara-M-I-love is still sitting there? You love this. You want to give love to everyone, Yeah, I get it. Scadaway was not going to stay healthy. No, I hear you.
Starting point is 00:37:25 So they got love and downs, and you got the best running back in the draft by far, and then you have a safety. And I want to talk about downs in a second. You just get the two best guys in the position who four years from now could be like all pros. Yeah. Or three years from now, whatever. But the downs thing, I was just on tailgate.
Starting point is 00:37:45 I stopped by there for a second. We do this with the draft every year. I've talked to you about it before, where, everyone knows Downs is going to be awesome. He's going to go like 10th. And then three years from him, we do the redraft. And it's like, number two, Caleb Downs.
Starting point is 00:38:01 Yeah. Kyle Hamilton. Ed Reed crossed with Kyle Hamilton. He's just amazing. And wow, what a great pick. And it's like, but we knew that before this draft that he was going to be a great pick. So how do you go 10th?
Starting point is 00:38:12 It's the position value thing. And then you add to position value. He didn't run. We know he's not like his miles per hour is equated like 4.5 type 40 not as long as so you got all those things working against you but but why not he's not going to have the same thing for hamilton right it's like what is he he run a 40 yeah is he a hybrid well turned out it turned out great yeah yeah really great so i think he could go as high as seven maybe five but um but it would i don't know it the giants are fascinating and
Starting point is 00:38:47 Also, there's, like, hard, this, you don't pay Harborough, what, 100 million to, to be the guy without letting him be the guy? Um, and, and that's the indication I get, but there seems to be all right. Yeah. He was on pace to getting fired the first Lamar Jackson year. Yep. And then Lamar Jackson saved his ass. Last couple years weren't awesome. And then it's like, here are the car keys.
Starting point is 00:39:12 Make all the decisions for us. And you got to, do you see what say, Dave Lauer said? What? The practices. That's why we had so many injuries. The practices were too hard. He didn't know how to manage our workload. He doesn't do well with the current players.
Starting point is 00:39:25 Like he just doesn't know how to pull back a little bit. And that would be interesting. And he's got a bunch of all gas, no breaks guys in Scataboo and Dart. And you kind of want those guys to maybe pull back a little bit. And it's not like the Giants have been staying real healthy. It's a good point. Yeah. No, I mean, I just, I'm fascinated which way they go because it's the first pick there.
Starting point is 00:39:47 You get the sense this is Joe Shane's last is the GM, but I don't know, you know? Yeah. He had a tremendous management of a draft last year, but the last time they had two top 10 picks, it was what, Hibidot and another Evan Neal, maybe? I think it was Evan Neal. And so are we going to repeat history with that? And the offensive tackle, are you waiting to 10 to get an offensive? Yeah, no offensive tackles were off the board in that scenario, right?
Starting point is 00:40:12 Well, that's the other thing. We lived through this with the draft every year where it's like, yeah, I don't think they'll go to nine or ten, and then they go six. And the teams get in there and they just panic. They can't figure out who to pick and they just go with size. What's the highest downs could go that you would be, either of you, that you would be actually kind of shocked by? Like, Arizona's out of the question.
Starting point is 00:40:34 Top four would be anywhere in the top four. So Tennessee, but he's not going there. Yeah, it wouldn't shock me if he went fifth, but I wouldn't do it. And I just heard you guys say all those things about it, but give me a top eight offensive tackle in the league versus the best safety. Like that's going to win games. I get it. I was doing all the research for running backs because this ties into the love conversation.
Starting point is 00:40:57 And it feels like top five is just too high for certain positions, even though we know we redo the draft. But six to ten is not too high. So if you go through all the running backs basically the last 20 years, the two, two and three were Ronnie Brown, Bush, Reggie Bush, Parkley, and Trent Richardson. So I'm going to say those first four, three of them, no way that team does it again. Yep. No. And Reddy Bush? Barclay is still defensible?
Starting point is 00:41:25 Yes. 100%. He was incredible. Right. And it was, and who was the next pick? It was a quarterback. It was like Trubisky or somebody. I don't remember.
Starting point is 00:41:35 It was a quarterback then. She was 13th overall. No, Trubisky was third, remember? Oh, no. The Bears. Mitchell. It was some sort of QB. Yes.
Starting point is 00:41:44 Yeah. But anyway. Right. So 2, 2, 2, 3, we went one for four, even if you count Barclay is a hit. He's a hit. And you go count Reggie Bush, right? I don't. I don't.
Starting point is 00:41:54 I don't either. He won a Super Bowl. Yeah, no, I don't. But Pierre Thomas was the better running back in the Super Bowl in that year. So 4, 4, and 6, Leonard Fortnett, Darren McFadden, and Genty last year. That would, by the way, that was like. I don't think any of those teams do that again. Even Gentie, who I thought had some moments.
Starting point is 00:42:12 But I just don't think the Raiders would have done that if they, could redo that. I think they would take alignment. Yeah, yeah. But now we go to 7-8. I think he's going to have a good year this year. But yes, I agree with the promise. Now you're getting into like the Bijon and Peterson 7, McCaffrey 8, Bejohn 8. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:42:29 Pretty good value. Yeah. And then C.J. Speller 9, Zeke Elliott 10, Gurley, 10. All right. So this is a fucking random sample size. But what I learned from that is maybe wait until 6 to 10 to take love because history says you go earlier, that's a mistake. Yeah, and it probably indicates teams that are a little bit better than the trash at the time,
Starting point is 00:42:51 you know? Right. You know, teams picking it's like the chiefs are picking at nine, you know? Right, you're going to a better. Peterson was in a good situation pretty immediately in Minnesota. Right. Whereas like Genti goes to the Raiders and it's not a good situation. Yeah, typically four doesn't go to the Super Bowl.
Starting point is 00:43:09 Like, pick four doesn't go to the Super Bowl. That's not a normal, you know, occurrence like we saw with the Patriots last. year. So it's all about where they wind up landing. All positions are dependent upon to a certain degree. Quarterback, absolutely. But running back, I would argue maybe the most dependent upon what you have in front of you and how you can block it up. And the Raiders weren't ready. And all those teams you mentioned weren't ready for that guy. So did you guys like the Bengals trade for the Bengals or no? The Bengals trade for Lawrence? Yeah. No. Okay. Yeah. I wanted to make sure. here's the thing I don't like it in a lot of drafts I don't hate it as much in this draft
Starting point is 00:43:46 I really don't because he he's by far the best defensive tackle in this class if he was to be there like who you're getting a 10 that's better than Dexter Lawrence so you'd rather have four years of Lawrence versus the 10th pick in this draft yes the only part you're paying more and then I know that's the issue but that's where I that's that's a blind spot that's a weakness for me that I I like the cap guy figured that out for me but I hear you you're right and got a factor it in I know well what's a part of it that they have the cap space to grab the extra money to fit in. And so basically instead of paying the 10th pick this, they could pay the 10th pick this.
Starting point is 00:44:19 Yes. Yes. I just would never do it. I would rather trade. First of all, the Bengals needed players. I'd rather trade backwards and try to pick up more stuff. Yeah, true. The problem is urgency that is created by situations.
Starting point is 00:44:34 And that's why I started this with the Ravens. The Ravens have always been good at this, this thing. and some organizations are really good at, there's going to be an opportunity by an organization that is going to be presented to us because they're desperate. And if you've got Joe Burrow and the injuries and the timeline and now the contracts with the wide receivers,
Starting point is 00:44:54 you are desperate to win them. And I think this is a desperate move. And honestly, it almost never pays off. If you go look at the history, these desperate moves almost never pay off. I wonder if somebody could run a football team and just stick to like, like somebody hires me as the GM,
Starting point is 00:45:12 and I'm just like, I only have seven principals, guys. I'm never paying two receivers, a lot of money. Yeah, I'm good in the draft. I'm just taking alignment on one side of the ball,
Starting point is 00:45:22 the other. That's all I'm doing. I'm going to try to get us a quarterback. Like, just very, I'm always going to trade back if I can't decide what to do. And these are my seven tenants.
Starting point is 00:45:31 And I'll leave everything else to my scouting department. Yeah. I'm just saying this, doing this. They can, no one can stick to it, though. They always fall in love
Starting point is 00:45:38 with a player. Yeah, you know if i ever got a gym job if i ever gone that route and taken some opportunities i like i've always said there's a couple people in my life i would hire whole time the common sense guys the common sense guys who are paying like pete wood fork works for major league basement yeah pain in my ass my whole life since we're like 10 years old always does the right thing sticks by the you know and like so you're the jets gm and you call pete and you're like reaser bailey what would you do and he's What the fuck are you thinking?
Starting point is 00:46:05 No, I'm hiring him. And he, and I'm going to give him like four or five things that he's allowed to overrule me on because my emotion or the situation or. No way. You would never give anyone that power. I'm telling you, there's certain things that are blind spots for all of us, including general managers in the NFL. And there are certain principles. If you just stick to them, it's like playing, it's like playing blackjack, like over time. But like, who has the patience to play?
Starting point is 00:46:32 So you wouldn't let him overrule you on like three things? You wouldn't hire him? I think I'm off the list after the Dexter Lawrence thing. There are a couple things. I think I just got cut. He's a good. He's a good bond. We bounce off of one another well, but I don't think there's anything hard.
Starting point is 00:46:46 Is that what we're calling it bouncing off one of them? Argue. It's really cute, guys. Yeah, thanks. We're going to get this all week? Yeah, exactly. Check us out on Netflix. Live for the first and second night of the NFL draft.
Starting point is 00:46:57 We'll be bouncing off one another. It is funny. Like, Jalen Rose and I, when we were doing the countdown show in 2013, we did this, this gimmick called The Interview. Yep. And we went to the lottery combine or wherever and we interviewed every person. We spent 15 minutes with each one in like a, we had cameras. Just rapid fire.
Starting point is 00:47:16 Get a feel. The players? For each person. Yeah. And I can totally see how the people can get enamored with certain players. Now, ironically, the ones we got enamored with actually turned out to be good. Like, we love C.J. McCollum. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:47:31 We're like, this guy's great. Like, he seems really mature. And then it's tape and we're like, I would bet on this guy. But the reality is you're spending 15 to 20 minutes with somebody and you're overrated the reaction. But it's hard not to. It's human nature. Right.
Starting point is 00:47:45 And it's amazing what goes into this. And you think about how many people and how many flights and how many car rides and how many visits and how many people in the cafeteria to the training room to all that. You have these NFL scouts and the salary money and everything that goes into this process, right? and you're handed as a general manager that's basically a portfolio, if you will, of everything you need to know in this human being. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:48:10 And then the analytics department comes in and tells you all the things you can and can't do and all that. And then you've got the, whether it's AIQ or different intellectual testing. And then you have the psychologist and all that. It's amazing to me that we get to this point in the process in like the last month. And the private jet gets, you know, and four or five of people who are the most influential people go and they have dinner with, they meet with family agent, they go and they throw some passes out in the, you know, out in the side field or they put them through a test, they get them on the
Starting point is 00:48:43 board and they wind up, not necessarily disregarding, but that kind of trumps. Now, all that information is used to kind of shrink the pool, right? Yeah. And so it's down to four or five players. They're just grabbing tidbits every place they can. But that, that, that 20, 24-hour interaction, maybe over two, whether it's coming to our facility, we go out to you and your college town, like, I don't know, 10 to 20 hours worth of interaction typically winds up trumping a lot of other stuff. Would you trust what the coach said? Because I wouldn't really trust it that much unless the coach was so psychotic about how
Starting point is 00:49:21 much he loved the guy. It has to be earned. Like, it has to be something that he's told you in the past about a player. He has a track record. Right. I'm telling you that, like, you cannot do it right out of the game. Tell them about Marcus Russell and all the SID at LSU telling about... Were you talking about your own coach or the coach from the school?
Starting point is 00:49:39 Oh. The coach from the school. Yeah, I meant. Yeah, yeah. Unless it's negative or like you said at track record. Right. The interesting one is your own coach. Oh, yeah, yeah.
Starting point is 00:49:48 That dynamic. I wouldn't trust my own coach that much at all. Well, you've got to make sure it fits the scheme or else you're giving them a second. I know, but NFL coaches last three to four years barring like a miracle. I would be really interested in the parent interactions because I do think like you could learn a little something. My favorite story of all this stuff was
Starting point is 00:50:07 this might be apocryphal but it was when the Celtics had the Markell Fultz, Jason Tatum, when they had the number one pick. And they brought Markle Fultz to Boston to meet him for the weekend. And he was really shy but apparently
Starting point is 00:50:23 he asked if Boston had Chick-fil-A. Like if they had Chick-fil-A franchise is in Boston. And they're like, no, it's not, we don't have it in Boston. And he was like,
Starting point is 00:50:33 crestfallen? And they were like, uh-oh, like, it set out some sort of red flag that he was like, you don't have chickplay? And I have no idea if the story's true,
Starting point is 00:50:44 but it's so good. I can't think it'd be made up. Right. But that's the kind of thing that I'd be like, oh, shit flay in Philly then either. That's amazing. On the other hand,
Starting point is 00:50:52 I love Chick-filet, so I can see it from his side too. Yeah, I see from both sides. Yeah, but those, that was his big Boston questions. They're like,
Starting point is 00:50:58 Huh. You're judging us now, huh? Yeah. Are you going to fit here? That's great. All right. So Giants at 5 and 10 is the most fun team in this draft. Arizona is kind of the most pathetic.
Starting point is 00:51:11 They're just wearing a cocktail dress at the bar. Like, anybody want three? Anyone? Guess what I have a drink? Three? No, seriously, anyone. Yeah. And I don't know.
Starting point is 00:51:23 You can create your own analogy to it, but also... I'm going to stay. There's also an element with the ownership where you're not, you're out at the bar by yourself, but you're still being controlled by who's making that decision. And I'm, depends on who you, you listen to now.
Starting point is 00:51:42 There's been, just talking to people in the league, there's, there's been talk of maybe ownership, wants Jeremiah, love at three and, and, that's a whole other factor, man.
Starting point is 00:51:52 These owners are coming out like, and, and, Arizona needs so many things. I don't even know what they need. If I was doing the team needs, I'd be like, ah, players. Have you looked at the Dolphins roster? Well, that's the saddest situation.
Starting point is 00:52:05 It is. It's beyond. I mean, at least they have a lot of picks, so it's interesting, but, I mean, it's bad. I mean, bad. Well, it's weird when you trade Jalen Waddle for 30, and then you see all the receivers who are going to be available about 30, and their best case in errors to be maybe as good as Jaylon Waddle. Right. Maybe a notch below. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:52:23 Yeah. They need so much. I don't know that I've ever been this late in the process, studying Ross. and really diving in and felt more helpless about a roster. I actually believe in Miami. Miami. Yeah. I believe in John Eric Sullivan.
Starting point is 00:52:39 I believe in Jeff Hathley. I think they're the right people to stabilize this thing. But it's going to take more than a minute to get this thing turned around. They've got... I think that would be fun to just, you have no pressure because you need so many things. It's like, all right, this is like blank slate time. And we hear BPA, best player of it. all the time.
Starting point is 00:52:59 Like, they literally can just sit there, like, legs up. Yeah. Where's our board? Okay, there it is. Call it in. Who's number three? Yeah, they take them. Whereas, like, I think the chiefs have an incredible amount of pressure.
Starting point is 00:53:13 I would say the Giants have the most pressure. Yeah. Because you got to nail these picks, but then Chiefs at nine, and they're 42. But they had this Mahomes window that I watched it. You watched it with Brady. Yeah. You watched it as well. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:53:27 where the draft just ebbed and flowed the Brady arc. And there were years cluster drafts where they just missed drafts. Doesn't it feel like cost them Super Bowls? They're going into that era. They're going to be very competitive for seven or eight years, but they're not going to win a Super Bowl. That's what it feels like to me with the change. Comes down in the drafts. The homes will keep them in it.
Starting point is 00:53:46 Yeah. But now it's the roster turnover. The early Patriots Dynasty was a totally different roster than the later Patriot's dynasty. Kelsey moving on. Chris Jones is still playing unbelievable level. He's getting older. They've been in that for two years. I think you felt that last year were already there.
Starting point is 00:54:02 I felt a year before, to be honest with you, and I think Mahomes, but you know what I mean? I honestly, the years, the last year they went to the Super Bowl and lost. I think getting overpowered by Philly. Yes. I think about the comp all the time. The one thing that's really interesting is Andy Reid's not as young as Belichick was when they went to the first three. And he was terrible last year. I thought they were really poorly coached last year.
Starting point is 00:54:21 And everyone's afraid to criticize Andy Reid, but they were badly coached. Well, he self-assessed that. Yeah. And, you know, in so many ways, like he, he's reinvigorated. Like, he, he, he, I think he recognizes. How many years is it. I mean, I don't know, he's three, four years left, coach. Also, they really, and Belichick did this, too.
Starting point is 00:54:38 And we've seen teams do this, like, really explored the capacity of how many iffy guys can we bring in, guys with baggage. What do you mean? When Belichick, sometimes these guys can have so much success and these teams can have so much success. I'm like, oh, it's fine. It's one misdemeanor. Yeah, yeah. It's like, no, no, he's mostly on time. Right.
Starting point is 00:54:58 And I remember who was the, Josh Gordon was a classic. Josh Gordon. But Belichick just went in that mode. Like, it'll be fine. We'll bring them in. We'll figure it out. The Chiefs had a lot of those,
Starting point is 00:55:08 and I think they were probably a capacity. Yep. I think they were. What do you think they needed nine? Because the easy one would be like, take the best corner. It's right. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:55:16 I don't think it's going to be corner. I think they're going to get a corner. They pick it nine and 30, right? Yeah. 29. 29. Yeah. And Miami's a 30.
Starting point is 00:55:26 And then Patriots 31, obviously, Seattle. The interesting element in this is, I think they want, if they were to get aggressive, which I would not do, but I would understand, it would be to move up for a pass rusher. So the Reese Bailey leftover guy, can we get up there and grab them? Conversations have been made. There are a lot of conversations have been made, things we never even knew about, you know, and you find out after the fact. It doesn't mean a trade's going to happen.
Starting point is 00:55:56 I don't, moving up from nine to three costs a lot. And I don't think they're in the business. Would you trade nine and 40 for three in this draft? Because I would rather just stay at nine. No, I'd say it. 40, right? You're going to get a pretty good player for you. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:56:07 So you could get a room in, Ruben Bain. So there's that edge rusher. They need a wide receiver they can count it, right? So there's that element of it. Then there's this Andy Reed. Like, my understanding is Andy Reid is like we've got to get another offensive one. And I don't know where you.
Starting point is 00:56:26 you get that. Which you could take at nine. Yeah. But you can't take it at 29. You can't count on that being there at 29. Now, maybe you move up from 29 to 24 and it costs a whole lot less or something like that. So, see, I wonder if they're going to do that with tight end. Sadieke. Yeah. And nine? No, at moving up to like the low teens or high 20s if they feel like they have a chance to swoop in and get him. If they love them, they could. Brett Veach is not afraid to pull the trigger. Yeah. But I just, the managing the element of we need an edge rusher. We need a, we need a wide receiver. We need a replacement for Kelsey. They need a tackle. Yeah. And we need a tackle. And Andy really wants us to get attacked. Yeah. And there's only seven of them and that might not get to
Starting point is 00:57:14 29. So we need those three things. We're not in the business of giving away picks to go move up. Also tough when you already use draft capital to draft the tackle, but now you've decided that's not the tackle. Right. That's where the Patriots got in that spot a couple times. I don't know if they decided that, but he's missed 19 games in the last two years. I just don't know how you're going into this. And the right tackle, Jaylon Morris started, I think, five or six games at most in a season. I would have, I would have, I would have, I would have, I would have, I'm pissed on X about, you can't use that pick on a guy who's not going to be a starter.
Starting point is 00:57:47 I was like, what are you talking? Like, this guy is probably going to start. I want you to think about how much money these organizations spent, right? Simmons is so talented at Left Tackle. I'm not going to make any incident. I would have whatever care team that was necessary, whatever that would be, okay? To be like round the clock, let's get, let's make sure this guy has everything he needs because he is the personal protector of the most of the number one house.
Starting point is 00:58:15 Like Ricky Williams at Texas. Do you remember that essay story that came out where he was like dropping banana people? heels behind him and someone to pick him up and throw them out for him. Just because that guy... Ricky Williams, like, I always think about that stuff. Because there's no salary cap on support. Yeah. That guy's your answer. Coaches and support for the two things you could just spend whatever you want.
Starting point is 00:58:34 Right. So I would get that guy right. I think it might be over for them. I mean, at least for this window of it. Is that you just being hopeful as a Patriots fan? I said it two years ago. This is, this is they are... Yeah, Mahomes coming off. Now, I'm pretty devastating injury. The only reason I mention this is they have the seventh best odds to win the Super Bowl right now,
Starting point is 00:58:56 and that seems crazy to me. Think about all the things that would have to go right for them to be a Super Bowl team. That's because there's a lot of people who would put money on it because it's the chiefs. Yeah, I get it. But it's instructive because that's the perception is they're going to flip the switch and be fine this year. And I feel the opposite. I don't think. I'd be really surprised.
Starting point is 00:59:16 I mean, they're going to have an easier schedule. the unknown, obviously, is how when Mahomes comes back, is it... Yeah, what's it going to be like? What's he going to be like? Brady wasn't, when he came back in 2009, the offense was good, but I really felt like it took him like an extra year to be...
Starting point is 00:59:30 Yeah, there was a famous Belichick clip of like followed through, man, like follow through. Yeah, yeah. Because you get all these guys going around your legs and I don't know. I just felt like it took a while for him. Yeah. Think about that.
Starting point is 00:59:41 It's in your, right? Like, when you spend the entire offseason recovering and rehabbing and you're worrying about one thing, really? truly that's the one thing and so you get out there and you're protecting that one thing so it takes a minute to get over it. What was always the knock on that Patriots run
Starting point is 00:59:55 was the AFCs, which is garbage every year. And the AFC West with Knicks being hurt. Just never agreed with that. I know, I hear you, but if you're going off the argument, the Chargers, I think are being. I think the Chargers are coming, man. I think they are coming on and you're going to have
Starting point is 01:00:09 a tough time of that division. That's the team. I think they're the one I'm the most afraid of in the NFC is the Chargers. I agree. Because I just felt like last year they probably would have been right in there and just had dumb in the tackles who weren't planned.
Starting point is 01:00:21 Why do we talk about San Francisco's injuries? I swear to you, I've been doing this for 26 years. I swear to you, I've been talking about the Chargers injuries for a good 18 of those years. Some organizations... They don't have an electromagnetic... I love this. I love the hell that thing is.
Starting point is 01:00:35 It's in their head now. But every year, it seems like the Chargers, oh, they could have... They'll get those guys back from injury and it'll be just fine. So I hope, I hope so. It would be great to see. But they're, frightening if they say healthy.
Starting point is 01:00:50 Frighted. Yes. Yeah, they, what are their odds? Yeah, so they have the fifth best odds. That makes sense to me. 15 to 1. Yes. Better, slightly better odds than the Pats. The Giants being 71 is pretty crazy because that seems, I just think that would be 30 to 1 by the time the season starts. They're going to have enough talent with the schedule, and we just have seen this every year, that there's no way that they're not going to be in the mix somehow.
Starting point is 01:01:16 This isn't a draft thing, but spending this amount of time, like, really diving into these rosters. Yeah. Obviously, the Seahawks have what they have, the Rams have what they have. I don't know that there's an organization with a better roster, let's just say in the AFC, top to bottom roster-wise than what Nick Casario was built in Houston. The quarterback element of it and what is really going on there, and there's been speculation and rumors and all, like, and you drafted him that high, and he would. that good as a rookie, you know what I mean?
Starting point is 01:01:48 If they get him right, and I don't even mean right, like, playing his, but like three quarters of what he was playing as a rookie. Yeah. 20 to 1 for them. They're frankly. But that's the biggest if in sports. Yeah. Their roster's, like, some teams with needs, it's like the first two are really important
Starting point is 01:02:10 needs. The second one, we need to get some depth, the third, you know, or the third, the fourth. but for them, like they, there's, yes, their offensive line, let's continue to build that. But they don't have a lot of, like they're loaded and deep and wide receiver and running back. The defenses. The Rams are up there too, man. I mean, I said the Rams in Seattle have what they had that. But I mean, I was going to talk about the Rams with one of the pressure teams at 13 because
Starting point is 01:02:38 the Puka thing's a huge story. It's been one of those kicked under the rug. Yeah, no one's talking about it. a lot of personal shit going on publicly and then finally went into rehab and this was the best receiver in the league and we have no idea what we're going to expect from this year now or what was
Starting point is 01:02:56 going on with him or is it going to get better and they're one of the teams that's just like we're probably taking a receiver, probably taking a receiver like so so blatantly that I almost don't trust it. I don't think they are at 13. I think they're going to take a receiver in the second round. Yeah, yeah. There's like
Starting point is 01:03:11 I've wore you out with this, like, attraction is different, right? Like, you know, like, one person you could be attracted to, everyone's beautiful and all that. For the Rans or brunz or, yeah. Yeah. For the Rams, they, with their system specifically, they're not attracted to a lot of the fastest, tallest, all those receivers. They're attracted to one type. And that one type is a physical son of a bitch. blocking, contact balance, toughness up.
Starting point is 01:03:43 And we're going to scheme you up and we'll get you open. And all you got to do is break that first tackle and just ramble, you know, and keep it rolling and block for our run. And so I can get that in the second round. There's Dejaun Scribling from Ole Miss. There's Jeremy Bernard from Alabama. There's even the third round. So I think Les Need is the biggest wild card in this first round of the draft.
Starting point is 01:04:08 They seem like a downsy kind of team to me. I so here like moving up like a couple spots and just swooping in and getting them they have guys there I don't know if it's you know like they have players it's one of two things right I just I don't envision less and Sean sitting back at 13 we'll take a guard or we'll take a right it's either we are all in as it is all indicators are pointing that they have to be all in in general because Stafford's got two years left max right we're all in and like We really don't, like, if we want to give up 2027, we're not that worried about it. We can give up second next year or something like that and go move up and target a guy. Jeremiah Love is fascinating to me if he starts to fall. Six, Cleveland. Yeah. I mean, can we stop?
Starting point is 01:04:56 Four. Can we make a rule that he can't go to Cleveland? No, no, I'm saying trading. I'm just saying, like, you don't want him to go. That's my worst case scenario for him. Or for most of the guys in the drive. Yeah. But yeah, so you're saying ramp switching goes 13 to seconds.
Starting point is 01:05:11 Something like that would be something to look out for. Like a little, like Todd Gurley 2.0 action for them? But then what if it's a total pivot? And it's like, yeah, we're going to be here beyond Stafford. And we're doing a deal now with Matthew and we're going to keep him happy. But we are in love with Ty Simpson. And so we're just going to take him a 13th. We can move on.
Starting point is 01:05:30 Don't ask more questions. We don't have to dwell on it. But I'm just saying I said it. Yep. Okay. Holy macro. Wouldn't you at least trade back to do that? he's going higher than you think that was one of my uh one of the questions i had for you
Starting point is 01:05:45 because i was watching uh one of the channels this morning they were talking about is 21 too high to take tie simpson for pittsburgh and i'm like what are you guys talking about he's definitely the question is will he be there at 21 for pittsburgh to take because somebody's going to shoot their wad and take him in the top 20 would be my prediction i that's the information i'm getting and i don't definitively know i throw the rams out there because i'm getting information definitely, and I know the Rams at one point really like Ty Simpson. Like that's firm. His Fando draft position is
Starting point is 01:06:16 29.5 under. Yeah. Yeah, because even if you're the, even if you're the Cardinals, you're worried that there's another team or I don't. Yeah. Yeah. You can't wait. Yeah. I'm told that the Jets do have interest, but I'm also
Starting point is 01:06:32 I was told that the Jets had interest. 16? No, no. At 33 could take I think he's not getting out of the first round like I just don't see it we're saying the same yeah well plus you get the extra year that's the secret sauce to all of this you get the fifth year if you take him in the first round yeah you talked about Pittsburgh is Aaron Rogers going to make an appearance and say he's coming back in front of the tens of thousands of draft fans there and then what were their reaction no because Aaron Rogers won't know he's milk in this okay yeah how many times
Starting point is 01:07:02 we're getting put I don't even understand why like Schaefter and like what people are out there And I know he and those two have a thing. And I love it. But I don't even understand why there's this like, you know, you should tell the organization, the stuff. We get, it's every year. It's the same thing. It's just the human being.
Starting point is 01:07:20 The human being, Aaron Rogers wants this. And he would like nothing more. Going out there gives closure. And then we're still not talking about it through the second day of the draft. And he and Jerry Jones are the two that like how can I get attention. Right. At all times. At all times.
Starting point is 01:07:34 At the draft being in Pittsburgh. Yeah. late late no question yeah it'll be going on in Pittsburgh he can go out in front of all the fans he's soaked it up he wants us all to be like is Aaron here you know yeah I mean I'm here kind of the sad thing about that is nobody's doing that yeah it worked the first geez that's what I mean like is he come out and like I'm coming back and all the Pittsburgh fans are like oh cool great yeah great he's going to right you know like it's not the response that he thinks it's going to be also I I said this to you last year I just think people get amnesia with NFL
Starting point is 01:08:06 seasons and we throw ourselves in the draft and free agency and then it's the summer and then we get to August and people just don't remember what happened the year before. It's like, we left last season and be like, yeah, Aaron Rogers, probably not winning more than one playoff round at most with Aaron Rogers as you could be at age 42. It's like four months off and everyone was at Aaron. right? Could they get them? Yeah.
Starting point is 01:08:28 Yeah. They're a real chance. Howard right now, so I don't know. Well, we finally made it. The NBA playoffs. No more tanking discussions, at least for our. couple days. We get to watch the best players and teams compete every day
Starting point is 01:08:39 when the stakes are highest. And when I watch, I like to bet on Fandoo. Fandoo is a brand I trust, easy to build, buy bet. I know I'll get my winnings instantly. I love looking at the odds there. So this week, I still feel like Orlando is being overlooked.
Starting point is 01:08:56 They were like plus nine, something like that. I think that's a 50-50 series potentially. I also like Denver and Minnesota. I think Minnesota is a really good road team, but you could also get them in Minnesota. Those would be the two I would look at. I'm going to have at least one more set of picks over the weekend. I'm going to put on Twitter. Check out my picks in the Fandall Sportsbook app and on my Twitter feed. Don't forget to boost your potential winnings before you place it. FanDul,
Starting point is 01:09:21 play your game. This episode is brought to by Volkswagen. All right, let's talk about the Volkswagen Atlas. This is a 70 powerhouse that actually makes sense for real life. It's got cargo space for all your gear, the dogs, even half your rec league soccer team. And under the hood, a two-liter turbocharged TSI engine that hauls up to 5,000 pounds. The seven seat atlas, you deserve more space. Visit vW.ca to learn more. SUVW, German engineered for all. This episode is brought to you by Square.
Starting point is 01:09:51 If you're in the restaurant game, you know that efficiency is everything. Square lets you take payments, track sales, handle inventory, manage staff, send invoices, and keep up with finance, all from one streamlined system. That means flying through orders, zero mistakes, get in the data you need, and keeping everything working together.
Starting point is 01:10:11 So you're ready for whatever's next. Learn more about their customizable plans at squareup.com. So we think, so Rams are off the board. We have no idea what they're going to do. And then the Philly thing is the other weird thing about this draft. Why? We talked about this before we started with this AJ Brown trade that is apparently happening. And yet unlike in the NBA where you say, we've agreed to a trade, we can't become official
Starting point is 01:10:35 until July 15th in the NBA. NFL, it's like, well, they can't trade him until June 1st because then they can split his cap, so it would have to happen after June 1st, it's going to happen. Is it happening or is it not happening? Right. And then all the variables that could change this happening, including like a wide receiver ending up for either the Patriots or the Eagles
Starting point is 01:10:57 that they get excited about. A.J. Brown feels like he has leverage and says, well, I need a contract extension if we're going to do this. Like, I'm just glass half empty on this AJ Brown thing. Is this the Patriot's fan speaking or just in-Patryor fan speaking? Okay, yeah. Is this trauma from when the Red Sox didn't get Aaron? Trauma from when we didn't get everybody.
Starting point is 01:11:16 Alex Franklin four months ago. He's coming for $150 billion. Then he wasn't. Yeah. I just don't, when you get agents involved and just outside factors, I just don't trust anything until it happens. If you're someone, a receiver gets her or something happens where someone needs it. And all of a sudden, they're in the market. and they're calling Philadelphia.
Starting point is 01:11:35 Yeah, but AJ Brown's wife is calling about dance classes and Brookline or something else like that. I mean, he did grow up a Patriot fan. Yeah, there you go. Yeah, but it's... No, I understand. It's almost too good. What if he's in Vegas and Jalen Hertz is there too?
Starting point is 01:11:50 And they're like, let's have dinner. Let's get a minute. Two hours later, it's like, hey, we're good. AJ wants to stay. Right. So... The one problem there is how he's like, well, I just traded for Wix and he brought in this other guy.
Starting point is 01:12:02 Yeah. We're going to draft someone and, yeah. So they're picking 23. Yeah, the Eagles. But they're not going to pick 23. That's Howie Roseman. How he's got, he has to move around. And they need an offensive tackle.
Starting point is 01:12:15 And what's going to happen is we're going to have, we're going to have, Francis Maui Noah from Miami and Spencer Fano from Utah. And somewhere in that top 10, 12 range, right? And then there's this like second wave of, and I think it starts at 17. there could be a team in between. The Ravens could go off and could go guard
Starting point is 01:12:38 and Benga Yuanay from Penn State. But then 17's Detroit. And everyone knows that they've put in more work than every other organization of these offensive tactics. So the Jets are at 16. Tampa is at 15. They're already getting phone calls.
Starting point is 01:12:51 Yeah. From organizations like the Steelers, the Eagles, the Texans, the Texans, the 49ers. The Bears. The Bears are possibilities. So all those, you got this murderer's row of teams that need offensive tackles from 17 to 30. I mean, Miami, if they don't get a tackle at 12, they could use one.
Starting point is 01:13:12 So, I can't say the Patriots don't need a tackle. No, sorry, 31. Yeah, absolutely 31. So 17 to 31, there's about eight teams that need an offensive tackle, and there's at that point only five remaining. Yeah. So there's going to be movement there. That's why seven and a half over. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:13:32 Do you want to hear the Patriots excuses I've talked myself into? Oh, here we go. First in Super Bowl? Yeah. Why they lost? Yeah. Okay.
Starting point is 01:13:40 Drake was hurt. Mm-hmm. That's a fact. I don't know if that's true or not, but, well, we think it's true. Yeah. Okay. I did see him throwing the mini footballs at the basketball game. A couple weeks ago, I saw that.
Starting point is 01:13:49 You were good? I did see that, actually. I thought he was snapping it again. Yeah. Drake was definitely hurt. That's one thing I say. Will Campbell definitely playing on a bum knee. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:13:59 Got it out. You know, he was a whipping, boy during the playoffs. Now he's a hero to me. He's played through pain. God only knows what kind of suffering had. Jared Wilson was a great either, by the way. I mean, everyone talks about Campbell, but Jared Wilson. Our whole line got destroyed. Seattle didn't even know which side to go after. Did I tell you about him and Elliot Wolf? Oh, no. We had, we had Elliot Wolf in. We did the GM series. Yeah. And we had Elliot Wolf in. I had met him before, but I didn't know him well. And Minch got in late the night before. We got in Indianapolis, all sorts of weather in New England.
Starting point is 01:14:31 you don't deal with it out here anymore, Bill. I know. And so we hadn't had a chance to really talk about it. We sit down. I asked a couple questions. I'm talking about, like, Elliot, what's it like, you know, Ron, you're with your dad and like the bowels of Lambo Field and you're watching tape as, you know, I'm kind of getting them warmed up, right? The fluffers. The fluffers. Yeah. He's fluffing. Yeah. A lot of fluffing from that. Question three goes from Mets. I can kind of feel like, he's like, well, Campbell, I thought it was early. Oh, you did tell me this three. Will Campbell. I saw the short arms on tape. People saw it in the playoffs.
Starting point is 01:15:07 And I'm like, he's going for it. I was like, you guys move in regard? I didn't say it that way, but I was like, everyone wants to move the guard. He would be a great card.
Starting point is 01:15:14 He was awesome. He looked like, he goes, he is absolutely our left actor. Yeah, he was great about it. He was great. But I felt like I had to ask.
Starting point is 01:15:22 I mean, I've been ripping Campbell. Like, now he's going to be on our show and I'm not going to say anything. It was the time. The only thing I worry about him is, I think he's such an intense,
Starting point is 01:15:30 committed, competitive, crazy all about the football team guy. Like the moment he got drafted, he's like, I am now Drake May's bodyguard. I'm going to die for him. And I really wonder mentally how he handled just getting his ass kicked
Starting point is 01:15:43 in the playoffs, you know? Like, he's probably been successful at that position at every stage of his life dating back to like age four. Yeah. Yeah, some of the stories, too,
Starting point is 01:15:53 are he's as intense as he can get. Yeah, like the team worries about him a little bit, taking the job home. Yes, taking the job home. So I just, I hope he got through that because we've certainly seen some Boston athletes over the years that. Yeah. Kind of wilt. Yeah, that had that, well, that, yeah, that had the bad moment and they were kind of.
Starting point is 01:16:11 I can't remember an offensive tackle having that kind of moment. Should be fine. Plus now Ruben Bain is the new short arm guy. Yeah. Yeah. He passed his torch. He's like, here, Rubin. Everyone can talk about your arms now.
Starting point is 01:16:23 There's an offensive tackle from Utah I love, and he's got shorter arms, Will Campbell and everyone's like, what's the deal, dude? How can you? How can you, like, one over the other? But it's different tape. So the other thing, the other past stance I have now is we just should have lost in Denver and it would have been fine. Like, lose there in a blizzard.
Starting point is 01:16:40 They score with five minutes left. We don't have to go to the Super Bowl and get this huge ass kicking. No one wins in Denver. It turns out right after the game, Drake May was actually hurt the whole time. And we're just like, great. Okay, great season. Let's move. Building.
Starting point is 01:16:54 It's like getting that Super Bowl ass kicking just made it so much worse. I really wish it had. happen. It's not a good thing. Right. And then you think about all the bad signs for this year and the bad juju that comes with this. Yeah. The AJ Brown thing, 2020 and 23, his first two years when you got traded from Tennessee to Philly,
Starting point is 01:17:13 303 targets in those two years, almost 3,000 yards and 18 TDs. He's going to be 29 this season. There's pretty good track records with people moving that age. Yeah. And it seems good. Something scares me about it. I don't know what it. I didn't like the way he looked last year.
Starting point is 01:17:35 And I'd love to know more about why did he look that way. I agree with that. I also think fresh start. I think everyone kind of looked that way on the offense for the Eagles last year. There was a lot going on. So I'm hoping. Like they were just going to work like, this sucks. I hate my job.
Starting point is 01:17:52 Yeah. With all the reports, I think it was just a drain. And obviously he wears his emotions on his sleep. and it's very public about everything that he's dealt with. And I think it just, he hit a point. Is there a receiver that doesn't wear their emotions on their sleeve? Very few. Like Fitz was one.
Starting point is 01:18:07 That's it. Yeah. Yeah. That's part of his hall of fame case. Yeah. Never wore his emotions on his sleeve. First ballot. Unlike any other receiver.
Starting point is 01:18:16 Actually, literally didn't wear sleeves. He was sleepless the whole time. I just think about Drake with his development, getting him that. He doesn't have that. He's never had anything. close to that. Well, Mina said on NFL Live
Starting point is 01:18:30 yesterday, which I was watching, that the Pats had man-to-man defense the highest number of any team in the league. And you could feel it watching the game,
Starting point is 01:18:41 because every defense was like, eh, what are we worried about? What's just, let's play up on all these guys. And AJ is like, by all these and bad stats, the best guy against
Starting point is 01:18:51 man-to-man defense, and this would be a game-changer. Right. So I get it. The thing was interesting about the ESPN article that came out about the Eagles and Jalen Hertz calling his own plays. And did you read this? Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah. So he was changing all the place.
Starting point is 01:19:04 If you're an office coordinator and you're game planning for a guy, if you have a talent like AJ Brown and you're like, we're game planning in this way. And all of a sudden, your quarterback is changing everything that's no longer making him the focal point of the offense. Yeah. On certain plays at least. And then you have an opportunity to go to play for Josh McDaniels, who's going to, like, that's what he does. Yes. Well, they'll also play with pace, which is the thing I never understood with the Eagles. I know they, it seemed like this was an actual strategy for them to limit the minutes in the game because of possessions, because of the math of this.
Starting point is 01:19:35 I don't think the paths think that way at all. So they would be more like, oh, we'll put pressure on you and we have AJ out there and you're going to have to be constantly worried and keep your defense on the field. And our quarterback can run if you turn, you know, so. Hopefully he can run and throw on like the last two games of the season. I assume he'll be able to roll out. Throw again. We stopped calling that way.
Starting point is 01:19:57 You're wearing the scars. I don't know about Will Gamble. When we weren't calling the Drake May rolls out and whips a line drive play, I was like, he's fucking hurt. Like you can't tell me he's not hurt at this. Yeah. It wasn't even, the arc and the velocity were just different. One of the pages is taking a tight end.
Starting point is 01:20:12 They're going to need a tight end, right? I feel like people aren't talking. Well, there's 28 of them invited to the combine. Talking about tight end. It'll be some third round guy. Yeah. Or maybe four. They signed a blocking tight end.
Starting point is 01:20:21 They were all excited. Yeah. Julian. Yeah. Julian somebody. Yeah. Julian Bell. Okay.
Starting point is 01:20:27 Last thing. Well, second and the last thing. So Zona and Cleveland are the trade-down teams. Yeah. And you think Saints, Cowboys have 12 and 20 and like getting attention. Jets at 16. Rams at 13? Are there any other trade-up teams?
Starting point is 01:20:48 I'm trying to sit here. I don't, Washington's not going to Cleveland we talked about I think that's the list Yeah I think that's probably the list I was trying to figure out When we get to the offensive tackles I think when we get to like Philly
Starting point is 01:21:04 And some of those teams I could see a move up for that A quick moves back But not four or five Yeah I was trying to figure out Like somebody is on the board at nine That Jerry gets all excited about
Starting point is 01:21:15 Because he's 98 years old Like Jeremiah I love falls to nine Some crap or some or down Somebody down we can't anticipate Right. And could there be a, they have 12 and 20? Yes. And the chiefs have 9 and 40.
Starting point is 01:21:31 Could there be like a, you take our 12 and 20, we'll take back 940 and a third, one of those type of traits? Yeah. The problem with that theory is, I'm told the only reason that the Cowboys would move up is for an edge rusher. And if there's an edge rusher worth taking there, I think the chiefs would take it. That would be Ruben Bain. Right. So we do this. You talk about the amnesia in the offseason, the NFL.
Starting point is 01:21:58 There's amnesia every year with the Cowboys in the draft. You know that they've had 37 picks, I want to say, somewhere in the mid-the-high 30s of picks in the first three rounds dating back to 2014. And one time they have moved up, that was to Marcus Lawrence, in 2014 since then, that's nothing. So it's a lot of chatter about moving up. Oh, Jerry's go crazy.
Starting point is 01:22:19 Well, it worked on me because I always the way to write. We do it every year. But this year, it actually would make sense as long as it doesn't require pick 20. They've got to pick, I think, 92 overall, the third round. I could see that. But that's not getting up to three. That's moving up a handful of spots
Starting point is 01:22:36 to go get an edge rusher. I just don't know how feasible it is unless you're giving away next year or something, which I think, I said it's a fireable offense. She kind of walked it back, by the way. I haven't... I like fireable offenses, one of my favorite phrases And would be a good blog name.
Starting point is 01:22:54 But yes. Yeah. It would be. And maybe even a good band. Yeah. Going to see fireball offense today. It's got a regular, right? So a fireable offense is trading a first round pick from next year.
Starting point is 01:23:04 That class is going to be, and it's not just the quarterback. So, but. Has Mitch already started his work on the class of 27 yet? The quarterbacks we know pretty well, not a lot of the other players. I got a mock draft coming out on, yeah. Way too early mock draft for next week. I love those. taking the show on Monday.
Starting point is 01:23:22 I mean, it's, you're the problem. But you know what it would be, you know what the good podcast is, is reviewing the way too early mock draft. Oh, they do it.
Starting point is 01:23:30 In like February, no, you guys doing it. Yeah. Oh, yeah. Yeah, we should do that.
Starting point is 01:23:34 That's great a couple of quarterbacks way up there. Yeah. But that's the thing with the draft. It's so volatile. Thanks, Bill. No, you're right. You're guessing with 20-year-old kids.
Starting point is 01:23:45 Club Nick. Yeah. My son's 18, and he's had five zags just in the last seven months. I'm just, these are teenagers and young dudes. Yeah. Yeah. And we saw some zags this fall.
Starting point is 01:23:57 Well, the quarterbacks. Are Aller, you're out on him? I wasn't in on him last year. Yeah, he was never. Yeah. But he's going to go probably in the third round. There's some teams that like him. Nussmeier.
Starting point is 01:24:07 He loves Nussmeier. Yeah, I think there's a shot. No. You get in Nussmire in the third round, the right system? He doesn't have a ton of starts. He gets hurt. He's small. I don't, I don't see it.
Starting point is 01:24:17 I didn't see it either. Good. All right. Wildcard crazy. I'm looking at the Fando odds. Is it Bailey or Reese? There's no chance to anyone else goes to? Correct.
Starting point is 01:24:29 What if it's a trade? They didn't think there was going to be a trade last year. Everyone else's odds are 125 to 1 and up. So it's really everybody's decided these are the two. Yeah, it's definitely. Number three, Reese is the favorite at plus 130. Bailey's plus 260. Love is plus 330.
Starting point is 01:24:47 Say them again. Reese plus 130, Bailey plus 260, Love plus 330. Which I thought was fairly enticing. Bailey's assumed to go the second overall pick, so that makes Reese the favorite. The problem with the Arizona pick is that there's a legitimate chance that the team moves up to three, and Arizona takes a below market deal. But if they move up to three, who are they taking the other? Okay. Yeah. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:25:11 All right. Four. What's Sunny Stiles number for four? For four? Yeah. Well, love is plus one. 15 the favorite. Daly's plus 410 and Stiles is plus 490.
Starting point is 01:25:25 That's interesting. I think Stiles could be. I'm not saying he will. What I've been told for Tennessee is it's, if one of those edge rushers does get there, let's say Arizona takes Jeremiah, I love it, three. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:25:38 They would take Reese, let's say. If not, Sunny Stiles. Robert Sala views it differently than most. That middle linebacker is like, that's, of getting an edge for him. Yeah. That's their, you know, Fred Warner, that's their, so that's something to look out for there.
Starting point is 01:25:55 I could see styles going forward to. I also didn't mind Tennessee's running backs last year. But you'd have to really love love, but it makes me nervous spending all that capital on a QB and a running back. Yeah. Right? You're going to do the fourth and the first pick in back-to-back drafts. The thing about Tennessee's run game when I started looking at it, Pollard's a pretty good back.
Starting point is 01:26:16 I mean, thousand yards for like five or six seasons a row. money down the stretch last year. He's good. Yeah, he was like winning fantasy drafts. But Spears can't stay healthy. He can't stay healthy. Yeah. So they had the third fewest carries.
Starting point is 01:26:26 You have a rookie quarterback and they had the third fewest carries in the league. They got to get, it doesn't have to be loved. They got to get another back that they can get more committed to the ground game. Like, they just have to. What I'm interested in is you're sitting there at four. You have to take styles at four or you try to bait up a team to come get Jeremiah. Love. And the Giants putting out all of a sudden in the last 72 hours.
Starting point is 01:26:52 It's tough to manage all this, man. Because I'm having conversations with people who are actually making decisions. And we're talking about all 31 other teams and what they could do, what they're hearing, what their scouts are hearing. And they're kind of using you to find out what you're hearing. Totally. Yeah. And I'm using them to find out what they're hearing.
Starting point is 01:27:09 And it's a, you know, and so we're kind of, and we're doing the, like, you know, the tap dance. Yeah. And then you get off the phone and you get on the next call. So there's just a lot of, but I always get worried in the last. 72 hours to like 150 hours of why is this this message is coming it's resurfacing or this is the first I've heard of this you know right is this late developing news or is this a purposeful right here the decisions are basically made so but all of a sudden the giants it's like oh
Starting point is 01:27:41 if love is there they'll take them but wouldn't if love is there isn't that like come come move up come move up and get what they don't know is maybe that might drive the market up for to get a good deal to move out of four. Now, Stiles is probably going to go seven. So where would that be, too? But,
Starting point is 01:27:58 but yeah, if I was going to mind moving back a couple spots. I'm picking up something because I just need people. Fifth pick, the odds. Stiles is the favorite
Starting point is 01:28:07 at plus 185. Tyson's plus 280. I'm told it's not styles. Take the field on that one. Love plus 380. Caleb Downs plus 550. What about Tyson?
Starting point is 01:28:22 Tyson was plus 280. I think Tyson's in play. I mean, I know Tyson's in play, but do they think they can get him at 10? Same thing with downs. Jeremiah loves the wild part. Taking Tyson at 5 would be kind of insane,
Starting point is 01:28:37 I think. That seems too high. Because of the injuries? Yeah. Yeah. Yeah, because of the injuries. I want my right receivers to be in the field. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:28:47 It becomes this balancing act of, or now we've fallen in love, but we're sure. Where do we really truly think we should be able, we should be able to take them versus where can we take it? Why did the Giants need another stud receiver, by the way? Well, Malik neighbors, they don't even know. They're worried about when he's coming back to full strength. Like the start of the season, there's part of that.
Starting point is 01:29:09 You've got a quarterback that needs another weapon. Honestly, it reeks to me. Jordan Tyson feels like if we can get him at 10, awesome. Okay. But the information for what it's worth is saying that they might, they could take a swim. there. Can I give you my five types of receivers? Yes. Yes. Speaking of Jordan Tyson, the injury prone stud.
Starting point is 01:29:30 Yep. Really tough one. Yeah. I really have to have a lot of meetings about that. High floor ceiling guy, but something leaves you a little cold, Cardinal Tate. Like, yeah, he's going to be awesome, but it's, well, why aren't I more excited to take him? Yeah. Well, because he was the second best receiver on his college team. So was JSM? I get it, but that was the same thing on JSN. Was this guy going to be? High floor ceiling leaves me a little cold. Okay.
Starting point is 01:29:55 Physical and traffic wins every ball guy. This guy just goes either way. Yeah. Like he just, you know, this was like the DeAndre Hopkins was a great example of this. The Patriots have had guys like this. Other times the guy just can't get open. Yeah. It depends on the scheme.
Starting point is 01:30:14 Kelvin Benjamin for the Panthers, wasn't he a big guy? Yeah. Yeah. So Denzel Boston is the version of that this year. I like him. We know. The inside outside guy that everyone calls Twitchy. That's Casey Concepcion.
Starting point is 01:30:28 Twitchy's a good one. So the past had Kyle Williams last year is Twitchy. He'll beat you off. And then slot stud, which is my personal favorite. That's lemon. I like when it's just like, you know what this guy is? He's an awesome fucking slot guy and he's just going to get open and he can block.
Starting point is 01:30:45 That sounds great. I'll take that guy. How early, though? In the second round. Because that's the second round. There you go. Yeah. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:30:52 So you'd love Jeremy Bernard. You'd love Dejohn Stribbling. Omar Cooper Jr. At one point we thought was going to be second, but it's going to be first. Those are those guys. And then there's the other, there's the sixth type, which is the guy, what's his name, Brazil, Jr. Yeah. It's one of those like, fall in love and or you're getting fired, one of those picks,
Starting point is 01:31:16 depending on how high you go. It's a lottery ticket, yeah. Yeah. But he just seems, the highlights for him are awesome. Awesome. Yeah. You're like, whoa. And then the Trey Lance's brother is another one like that.
Starting point is 01:31:25 Tall, four threes, all of it. Yeah. The one guy I would never take is just the, this dude's super fast and we'll figure out the rest. The Pats took that guy 20 times. Yeah. Well, the Raiders used to take him every year. Then there's the Bengals, John Ross. Yep.
Starting point is 01:31:42 That was a good one. Was it Devin? What was the name of the Jets? The Jets took one. Well, in the 80s, this guy used to go all the time. Yeah. They used to the Raiders and the Jets. Who was the guy that Jets had that one time?
Starting point is 01:31:54 They took him in the top four. Oh, shoot. Remember him? It was Johnny Lamb Jones. Okay. That's great pull. That is insane. It's like, he's really fast.
Starting point is 01:32:04 That was about it. Yeah. We've had those. Yeah, there's a lot of those. I think we're getting better at not taking those guys too high. He was like, oh, he runs a four too. Cool. Historically, they don't do.
Starting point is 01:32:16 Yeah. They just don't do well. The fastest guy at the combine is like 10. percent chance of you hitting on where they actually drop. Who's your chip on the shoulder receiver this year? Because that guy hits 100% of the time. The guy who's just angry that he's not being mentioned with better guys and produced everywhere he went.
Starting point is 01:32:32 It could be Jeremy Bernard. It could be. The Alabama guy. It wasn't even the best receiver by everyone's measure at Alabama. Yeah. Ryan Williams just disappeared. Could we get him in the second round? Yeah. Bernard. Yeah, I just don't get it.
Starting point is 01:32:47 because I'll hear about it's it's the same conversation we have these conversations we talk about how speed isn't as important as you think when you get down to that that range like Jeremy Bernard all he does is make plays on tape man like all he does is make plays yeah his best player on that team last year I mean I and people are like eh I don't know I don't know he's not dynamic yeah he doesn't he isn't but if you if you fit him right in the right system he's got a chance to be you know 80 catch a year guy if I was the wide receiver draft specialist I would just want guys that got over on the tape that I was watching.
Starting point is 01:33:19 And caught the ball. Yeah. Get open. Did you get open? Did you catch it when they threw it to you? It sounds so easy. It sounds so easy. Those guys about like he's amazing in traffic.
Starting point is 01:33:27 It's like, cool. No thanks. Antonio Williams is one from Clemson. He just gets open. Yep. He gets open. Is there a beloved running back for you in the second, third, fourth rounds that you're just to commit?
Starting point is 01:33:39 Okay. Maurice Jones drew. That's what he's built like. He is a short load of ground. I love those guys. Yeah. too much. Like, yeah, he danced behind a Washington offensive line that wasn't great.
Starting point is 01:33:51 And, like, I get, he just, he, his twitch and his build and his contact balance, like, I think he's going to be a really good pro. Second round? Fourth. Yeah. Oh, wow. Yeah. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:34:05 And who's your, who's your Tyler Shuck this year? I mean. Cole, Pate. McShay fucking nailed that last year. Oh, yeah. You talked about him on my pod. So you're still with him. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:34:14 You might be able to get him late third, early fourth. Man. Are you in on this? No, not at all. And he looks like Tebow. McShay will sit there all year long and tell you about how important snaps are. We're getting like, text from everyone.
Starting point is 01:34:26 This is why I would hire a word for. Samper team is busting his balls all year long about like how many snaps, though, McShay, how many snaps? And then we get into the process and Garrett Nussmeyer is the greatest even though he doesn't have that many snaps. And he pulls this guy out from the FC, the watered down FCS. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:34:40 Where all the guys have left for better teams. And Bryce Lance, who's the best athlete on the field, is running around like it's backyard football. ball and this lefty who was playing running back two years ago was all of a sudden going to be the next the next great quarterback he called him better than um carson wets right you said he was better prospect than carson once i think yeah i think he has better traits sometimes you can just get a lot of confidence after you hit one of these like this might be your heat check i'm rolling yeah post shuck i'm rolling you're just trying to make the magic happen again yep dart and shuck last year give me tailing green
Starting point is 01:35:10 i love shuck i don't know how many years he's going to play because he takes huge hits yeah doesn't care and he doesn't the same way The history's not good either. Chuck gets up every time. Or at least he did last season, but I liked him. He's a tough. He's a tough. I just,
Starting point is 01:35:24 yeah. All right. So you're playing this week. Yes. We're going to be doing shows all week. We're going to be live on Netflix. Yep. During the first round Thursday night.
Starting point is 01:35:33 Oh, I wanted to run this by you. Yeah. It's not, not my idea. Actually came from Rich Eisen. I'm just going to be honest. Instead of the chime from ESPN,
Starting point is 01:35:42 the to do, the Netflix. One of players picked. Oh, dude, the Netflix, Yes. That's a good idea. Right? You like it? I don't know. We'd have to find out from the guys. I'm looking in the control room. They were working on it. But I just wanted to... That's a really good idea. Right? Right. Yeah. The NFL draft is live on Netflix. I feel like I'm about to watch a true crime
Starting point is 01:36:01 documentary. But no, it would be the next pick. With all this stuff that he asked you were, were you worried when he said, I want to run something by you on your show? I mean, with McShay, you got to hold on your seat at all times. Right. Like, yeah, this should be good. Yeah. That's fair. No, the Netflix time is good, though. That actually is pretty doable. So we got Thursday night, Friday night live, then we'll do a Saturday, like wrapping up the whatever. And then. And then we're on Sunday. We do the big 32 team. So it lasts the offseason. So you can kind of, yeah, get the deep dive in that. And Monday, we're in taping the way too early mock draft. And then we're out of, we're out of your hair. Don't forget to do the redo of last year's mock draft. I think that's a good
Starting point is 01:36:40 idea. You got that? In the lead up, right? Not now, but in the video. No, like just when you need Evergreen content for when it's kind of dying in the spring. Yeah, I think it's great. Yeah, I love it. Good to see you guys. Thanks for coming on. Yeah, thanks. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:36:54 And now it's time for today's with the assist segment presented by State Farm. On the court, you can't expect everything to go is planned, but that's when your teammates come in. Because when you know someone's there, you have the confidence to take on whatever comes next. And we've seen some pretty iconic teammate combinations. My favorite was Bird and McHale in the 80s for the Celtics. Three titles, 81, 84. 86, the best forward combo I think we've ever had, complimented each other perfectly. Both guys' bodies broke down by the late 80s, but we had an incredible ride for them,
Starting point is 01:37:25 and they really complimenting each other perfectly. Life's no different. Unexpected things happen. You want to know someone's there to help, like how Larry Bird was there to help Kevin McHale. That's where State Farm comes in. They've got easy to use digital tools, like the State Farm app and neighborhood State Farm agents when you want to talk to a real person. Like a good neighbor, State Farm is there with the assist.
Starting point is 01:37:45 coverage options are selected by the customer, availability, and eligibility vary by state. Local news is in decline across Canada, and this is bad news for all of us. With less local news, noise, rumors, and misinformation fill the void, and it gets harder to separate truth from fiction. That's why CBC News is putting more journalists in more places across Canada, reporting on the ground from where you live, telling the stories that matter to all of us, Because local news is big news. Choose news, not noise. CBC News.
Starting point is 01:38:20 Amazon presents Jeff versus Taco Truck Salsa, whether it's Verde, Roja, or the orange one. For Jeff, trying any salsa is like playing Russian roulette with a flamethrower. Luckily, Jeff saved with Amazon and stocked up on antacids, ginger tea, and milk. Habaniero. More like Habinier Yes. Save the Everyday with Amazon. With Van Lathen, we're in the ringer tailgate set. You saw the Michael Jackson movie last night. We did rewatchables together. We taped rewatchables for next week. We did Ghostbusters. And then you left to go see Michael Jackson, a movie that ends in 1989.
Starting point is 01:39:06 With bad. Yeah, with bad. With a lot of performance of Bad in London. I'm going to try not to spoil as much as movies you guys can go out and see the movie for yourself. Well, we know what happened to Michael Jackson. We do. We do. But, you know, there's still some things in there that I think people are going to be interested in seeing. Like what? The performance of Jafar Jackson in the movie is a revelation. He's phenomenal as Michael Jackson.
Starting point is 01:39:29 Is it any relation? I know nothing. I've read nothing. I know nothing. Jermaine's son. So Jermaine Jackson's son plays Michael Jackson, which in some ways probably some, like, weird, cosmic justice for Jermaine Jackson. You know, there wasn't always a... Did he need justice?
Starting point is 01:39:45 No, he didn't. But what I'm saying is, like, at times, Germain and Michael didn't have, like, the best relationship or whatever, but, you know, they're brothers. So that's what happens in family. But, yeah, so he plays Michael Jackson. He dances like Michael Jackson. He embodies the spirit of Michael Jackson.
Starting point is 01:40:01 And honestly, he nails it. When I say he nails it, he nails it to a degree that, like, a Hugh Jackman Wolverine-type nailing it. He really nails Michael Jackson in the movie. And it's a shame because the movie is a shame. because the movie is an abomination. Abomination. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:40:15 Okay, so why? So I have to, I have to, you guys know me, I always start in love. Homer Domingo, great. Neil Long, great. Jafar Jackson, great. It's not a serious movie.
Starting point is 01:40:29 It's not a serious movie. It's a movie about somebody who we all love two pieces. Love Michael Jackson, two pieces, right? He is almost like a mythical character, not even like a human being. And that's the way the movie treats them. The movie treats them like a mythical character.
Starting point is 01:40:45 Don't all of these music hagiographies treat the people that way? Like Elton John, Freddie Mercury. Like, I'm kind of used to this with my biopics for movies. Yeah, to a degree, you're not wrong, which is why I realized something while I was watching, Michael. The biopic is dead. The biopic, as to me, the biopic,
Starting point is 01:41:10 and maybe even the biographical documentary as a storytelling tool, I think, is gone. I would say both are, I've been saying this for a while. We saw this happen with books. Books used to be, they would do biographies about people that people participate in. And sometimes they'd be pretty hard hitting. You know, maybe the person would have regretted participating at all.
Starting point is 01:41:31 And then eventually that shifted to the autobiography. And almost every time when somebody does the autobiography, it's like, all right, I'm going to take this with an entire salt shaker of salt, not just one grain. I'm going to just assume this is this person's version. It's going to be very flattering to them. They're going to remember the things they want to remember,
Starting point is 01:41:49 not be that candid about the things maybe they don't want to talk about. And that's just what I'm getting. And in documentaries, for a while, they felt pretty... You kind of felt like you were getting all the sides of the stories, and something shifted with that in the last 10 years.
Starting point is 01:42:05 Yeah, I think the streamers had something to do with it in terms of the amount of people that were doing biopics on themselves while they were still around, I think. Or the estate that controls it. When you look at this movie, though, there's, like, right off the bat, there's a storytelling issue here. The movie has no story. There's no story to the movie.
Starting point is 01:42:23 Well, wasn't the famous, the story was that they did it a certain way and the estate made them change everything, right? I mean, this has been a long time. I want to make sure people understand. I am not complaining about this movie or down on the film because the movie didn't go to some of the more controversial aspects of Michael Jackson's life. Controversial. Yeah. So we...
Starting point is 01:42:42 Okay. That's the word of where it is. Okay. Got it. The sexual assault allegations against... Oh, we can say that as well. Let's say that. Great.
Starting point is 01:42:49 I'm not tripping because the movie didn't get into that. It, because I didn't expect it to. It doesn't really interrogate anything about Michael Jackson really that seriously. Like the, the movie, what you were supposed to come away from is that Michael Jackson is, like, divinely touched, extraordinarily good. I thought that anyway. But what I'm saying is...
Starting point is 01:43:16 As a musician or a person? No, no, no, as a person. As a person, the movie goes through a great length, great lengths to saint him, to make him look like at every time there's a kid, Michael Stats for the kid, every time. And you see people looking at him as he's doing these good works
Starting point is 01:43:34 and they seem to be like arrested by his purity. It's really laid on thick. Now look, once again, the same magical space that Michael Jackson exists in for a lot of people, he exists in that space for me. And I understand that, that people want to kind of live in that. But like, you got to give me something, right?
Starting point is 01:43:54 You got to give me a real analysis of where the genius and the drive and all of that stuff came from. And the movie just doesn't take any of that seriously. Yeah. All right. So if the estate's like, here's all the stuff that's off limits, but you can make a movie anyway. I'd be, I'd probably have focused it thriller to when his hair gets caught on fire and he starts getting weird. And he becomes so famous that he basically can't do anything. He becomes a recluse. On top of the fact that the hair thing seemed like it was really damaging him. Like he got burned. He felt like he was disfigured. Led to a lot of the stuff that is, his skin changing. All of. all the plastic surgery. That seemed to be the tipping point moment. Combined with the victory tour
Starting point is 01:44:38 when him and his brothers went out and they bankrupted the Sullivan family, basically. But just that whole era, I just would have centered it there versus, stopping in 1989 is insane. Bill. Like, why would, why was that the stopping point?
Starting point is 01:44:52 I think you know why. I mean, if you... But why not stopping, like, 1987? Why'd they pick 89? Well, if you go to 1997, you can't not talk about that. But I'm saying, why not just stopping 87?
Starting point is 01:45:02 Just stop with that. Oh, stop before bad. Like, they get to, they get to him on a world tour. It's like him doing a solo world tour, which was a big deal for him. He wanted to do a solo world tour, so they stopped with him doing the bad world tour. Here's a frustrating thing. Everything that you just talked about, that's all in the movie. All of it's in the movie.
Starting point is 01:45:21 His plastic surgery stuff is in the movie. Vitiligo stuff is in the movie. The burning of the hair is probably the thing that they, that the movie gets the most. Right. Interesting. Because of the reason why he's doing that commercial, obviously at the behest of his father. He wants to go back out on tour with his brothers, like what it cost him and how him being burned actually starts his relationship with pain killers and stuff like that, which we all know would eventually take his life. So that sounds interesting to me. But it doesn't, it just, it's just on the screen. Yeah. Okay. It's, there's nothing. So it's just like, hey, like I have Vitiligo. I have to take this medicine for. Like Michael, in one point says he doesn't like his nose. The next thing he comes home and he's had a nose job. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:46:09 Right? There was a movie called The Jackson Family and American Dream, a miniseries from the early 90s, right? I saw it. Okay. That movie treats Michael Jackson as a real, fragile, wandering mind of genius in a real serious way. There's a scene of him looking in the mirror, talking about the fact that his face is breaking. out, talking to his mother about his nose. And you get the feeling of how
Starting point is 01:46:37 this place he felt in his body at sometime, right? And it's a serious scene. It's like a real scene. Or when Motown 25 is about to happen and Michael goes, I'll do it with my brothers. I'll perform my brothers, but I want a solo spot. It's a powerful moment of him
Starting point is 01:46:52 like stepping away. This movie just can't get to any of that stuff. It's on the screen, but not really interrogated in any way. But I do know what is interrogated, a weird scene with Miles Teller as the lawyer. Right. Where Michael Jackson is going to...
Starting point is 01:47:10 Vice-Bass Tower in this movie. But, bro, as the fucking... I'm sitting next to Jomey, I'm like, we're watching the scene, and there's this weird scene where all of these guys are sitting around, and he fucking talks to Miles Teller's character, and he's like, everybody gets out the room, you stay, you're my guy. And then they're in the movie. And I'm like, yo, whoever that guy is...
Starting point is 01:47:29 Right. He greenlit this movie. He has something to do with this movie, because he's... scene doesn't make any fucking sense to be in a movie about Michael Jackson. Now this guy pops in and you got an A-list star playing him it didn't make any sense whatsoever.
Starting point is 01:47:40 And then at the end of the movie I'm looking and it says, yeah, look, producer, John Bronco or whatever his name is, whatever. So like, I don't mean to trash it because there are, I think that people are going to enjoy it
Starting point is 01:47:52 because you're going to take a trip down memory lane. But it's just, it was just like glossy bullshit. Right. Well, and Antoine Fuku is the director.
Starting point is 01:48:04 Yeah. So he probably signed up for something that he felt like was going to be a completely different movie and now has to pretend this was the movie he made, which is clearly not the case. I mean, the movie isn't poorly made. I mean, it's got all, it's got like top. It's well done gloss.
Starting point is 01:48:19 Well done gloss. But like, I don't know. People are going to hear this and they're going to be like, how can Van be this upset about it? because Van is the one that year after year goes into the theater to watch some of the most ham-handed superhero shit
Starting point is 01:48:39 that ever existed, right? It occurred to me. Yeah. I held out a difference, or I made a distinction here. This is the MCUification of a biopic. This is the we know that we have you, so we don't have to do anything else,
Starting point is 01:48:58 which is the criticism about the MCU that exists now about superhero movies that exist now? You signed up for this, so it's not our fault. Hey, you're in here to watch action figures fly around. Yeah. And that's all we got to give you. Earlier on, I think the exciting thing about those movies was that
Starting point is 01:49:15 they did not do that. They played around with genre. They took chances. They did other stuff. But they got to the point to where they knew they had us, and so we're going to watch whatever it was, and now there's a lot of people that are disillusioned with them. When I go to see a movie about this type of person at this type of impact
Starting point is 01:49:30 you want to come away feeling like you know what made that guy ticked. So what would be the perfect IP that you would want to sign up for for Michael Jackson? Because for me it would be like a 10-hour documentary that was like warts and all. Like, let's go. Let's dive into this dude. There are two different movies. One movie would be this same movie, but just about the making of thriller. So you can find it to like 82 to 85, that's it.
Starting point is 01:49:55 Just about the making of thrills. By the way, that's what they should have done. Right. Like when I say just- That takes them off the hook with everything that happens in the 90s. You can flash back to stuff that happens. We really don't necessarily need the whole Jackson 5 journey. It is one of the most famous journeys that's ever existed in Superstarter.
Starting point is 01:50:15 But the making of thriller is very special. It's a special time in music. It's a special time in culture. And it's a special time where this person reaches their zenith. Like an athlete. What was the season that Michael Jordan just became the guy, everybody was waiting for Michael Jordan to become. Like, that doesn't happen in culture as much as we think that.
Starting point is 01:50:35 They try to do that with the Springsteen movie, and it was weird. They picked Nebraska, which I'm a Springsteen guy. Nebraska was a really interesting choice, but it was basically, they told the whole story to set up what happens with Born in the USA, which then don't go into. So it's like, we assume you already know what happened with Born in the USA. This part's more interesting. It's like, eh, you know it would have been really interesting, born in the USA. With that, and if you go granular, if you get deep into like what Michael had to sacrifice,
Starting point is 01:51:05 what he was going through, the pressure he was under, you see how... Oh, child star. That piece of art. He's in the 70s cocaine era. He's at Studio 54. All of that stuff. Everyone's trying to get in with him. And just after and what it means to be like the biggest star in the world.
Starting point is 01:51:21 That's one. Number two, an interesting story that no one talks about is the just really, ridiculously amazing story of how Michael Jackson came to control the Beatles catalog. Right. Like, not just how I'm cool with Paul McCartney. Paul has the idea. Michael is shrewd enough to go and work him on the idea. Just everything that had to happen for him to get that.
Starting point is 01:51:49 Because that ends with a deal for him to, like, have to perform in Australia, right? And him performing in Australia, one of the accusers. Yeah. So there's a whole bunch of things that happened. I mean, you don't necessarily have to get into that. There's a whole bunch of things that happened with that. And it's one of the more, that is a story about the genius, the business genius and the cultural genius of Michael Jackson.
Starting point is 01:52:12 I would also throw in the Lisa Marie-Presley wedding. That's the third movie I want to say. I just don't know what happened with that. That was one of those. Nobody knew who was going on the entire time. We still don't know what happened. We don't. And I remember they came on on MTV and it's like, no one thought this would last.
Starting point is 01:52:28 And my dad was like, it hadn't lasted. Like, what are you talking about? It hadn't lasted yet. I think with some of these things, the biggest things we've ever had, which is basically like Elvis, the Beatles, Michael Jackson, these things come around content-wise every few years. Like, it happened on the Beatles a couple of years ago when that thing, the behind-the-scenes Peter Jackson documentary. That was awesome.
Starting point is 01:52:50 And it was like, oh, the Beatles are having a moment again. and then it goes. And then six years later, something else will happen. I think that's happening with Michael Jackson now. I know everybody doesn't like the movie, but I think it's going to be the catalyst
Starting point is 01:53:03 to a reexamination of all the stuff he did. Because what really happens is the new generations who don't, you know, like my son, when my son was like five, he didn't know backstory of Michael Jackson. He just knew he liked the songs. And the kids get into it.
Starting point is 01:53:18 And it's a generational thing that never stops. And I think this, goes to a bigger point, which we were talking about when Kanye was here at SoFi a couple weeks ago about people being able to separate the art from other stuff that may have happened and how you can
Starting point is 01:53:34 if you like the music, you like the music and you can just put it there and you can kind of push the other stuff this way and that whole dialogue about whether that's something we should, should we be that way? With the heart wants. We'll have any choice.
Starting point is 01:53:51 I mean, just if we're being honest, when I say we don't have any choice what I mean is it's like I can choose if I want to not to listen to Michael Jackson music or to whatever what I can't do with him specifically
Starting point is 01:54:06 not all the artists that have been involved in fuck shit are like this but with Michael Jackson it's so tied to the most formative years of my brain that if I see him or I hear the music my body reflexively does something
Starting point is 01:54:21 right you hear Billy Jean and your leg just starts moving. There's nothing you can do. Now, you can make this decision to talk about things responsibly and make sure you hold space for victims and make sure you have these conversations
Starting point is 01:54:32 with the gravitas and the weight that they deserve, right? You can do all of that. Nobody wants to do that when they're on Spotify on a walk at two in the afternoon or working out. And they're just like, fuck it, I'm gonna put my Michael Mix.
Starting point is 01:54:41 It's true. And so the reality of all of this, and by the way, I just want to say this real quick. And this is, you know, people can feel how the way they want about this. I worked at TNZ4 very long. long time.
Starting point is 01:54:53 Yeah. With Timsy for a long time. So the people that I know that have looked into Michael Jackson's various cases, the people that I know have looked into them in a really granular way, like in a really detailed way, looking at his situation is interesting because I'd have to be real. It's real observation. The people that I know, the deeper you get into all of the stuff that happened with him, the more questions you actually have
Starting point is 01:55:23 about whether or not he ever was actually guilty of something. The news director at TMZ back in the day he's like wasn't, I'm not talking about, he's not from South Baden Roos like me, he was a white boy from Orange County, swore up and down.
Starting point is 01:55:37 He's like, man, I have all of these documents. He didn't do anything. Yeah. All of this stuff. And so there is, there is this thing with him in all of his cases. He beat it in court.
Starting point is 01:55:47 There's this thing with him to where the more you get into it, People that I know that really have deep knowledge of everything that happened, they look at it and they go, they don't think that he did anything. Now, maybe that's me coping. That could be me coping. But the reality of the situation is that is true from people that I know that have really looked into it. That's how I feel about McFrable. Like, man, the guy just wanted some rest. The other six people, they were there.
Starting point is 01:56:20 It's a great resort. Yeah, it's a great resort. Like a relaxation weekend. But to your point, though, the movie, the first thing I did when I got home was put on Michael Jackson shit on YouTube. The first thing I did. But even that, if you do a biopic about Michael Jackson and Jafar Jackson, once again, in the performance and in the dancing, it's great. If you do a biopic about Michael Jackson, the best parts can't be like making thriller or performing on stage. Because if I want that, I could just go to YouTube and watch that.
Starting point is 01:56:54 So there has to be other parts of the movie that aren't oriented around the music and around someone doing a Michael Jackson essentially an impression. And this movie just doesn't happen. Well, apparently there's an incredible Elvis documentary right now that somebody spent a lot of time on Basin-Lermin, I think. Okay. And it was like behind the scenes, Vegas. They found all this footage, and it's amazing.
Starting point is 01:57:15 And if that had come out in like 1989, it felt like it would have been the biggest movie in the world. Now it's 226. Elvis has been dead for 49 years. I don't know if he has the same hold on people under 50. I think people in their 70s and 80s might care. I wonder when Michael Jackson is going to hit that point. I would argue with like in the Spotify era where people are just downloading music,
Starting point is 01:57:37 you might not hit that point for like 40 more years. Yeah. Where people are just like, there might be some five-year-old right now in a car on the way home from school, they're listening to Thriller. And they don't know any better. They don't know anything other than the songs they're listening to. You know, this might be the old man talking, but, and Elvis is a, you know, ridiculously important American pop culture figure.
Starting point is 01:58:02 It just feels different with Michael Jackson. I don't know. I think that's generational, though. It probably is. Everything is, everything culturally expires. Everything culturally expires. Because it's the same thing for, like, Mickey Manel, Babe Ruth, Frank Sinatra. There are these people that had these runs, but then as the years pass, there's nobody
Starting point is 01:58:21 there to kind of keep the torch going with the flames. You know what I mean? Ain't none of them people got a thriller though. That's true. Elvis was way up there though. Elvis is, I mean, Elvis was the biggest star we had in the world. I know, but it's...
Starting point is 01:58:32 For years. But that's how we thought. Yeah. Then the biggest star came into the room. It's just different. You don't have to tell me. I was there. Michael's the biggest,
Starting point is 01:58:42 he's the most talented, biggest star I've ever seen in my life. Right. And I... Like him doing the Motown 25 was like probably the greatest non-sports TV moment I've ever. ever had. And so I remember watching that just over and over
Starting point is 01:58:55 and all of the videos. Michael has so many different eras. Like you can't really put it all in one biopic because it's like, his life was like, it had like three or four sequels, right? Until he passed on. But... And a lot of analysis, too, like just long conversations with
Starting point is 01:59:11 friends in high school about what does Mama Se, Mama Sa, Mamma Pusa, yeah. Whatever that. What do they mean? To me? To me, that genius, like, not just deserves, but it requires special real examination. But Ezra did that with Prince, and we're never going to see that either. Right. But look, once again, I think that we're out of the era of biopics.
Starting point is 01:59:39 If we think what are the best biopics, Ray was a great biopic, right? I actually, I kind of like the queen one. I watched it again. Okay. And why is it good? Because in the last 25 minutes, it just is the live age show, which I could watch on YouTube, but it was really fun to watch as the movie.
Starting point is 01:59:56 Usually it's the performances that make it. Outside of music biopies, you want to relive the music, and you want to see how people embody the character. But when I think about movies like Malcolm X, like X was Spike Lee, obviously different. Yeah.
Starting point is 02:00:09 But that's a guy that's a cultural deity to me. The movie does not deify him at all. The Johnny Cash movie does it. That one I think is one of the best ones. Coal Miner's Daughter is really good. Like these movies are about people who have genius. But usually they work the best when it's people who have genius, but also have a flaw, or two flaws. Have a flaw or have a relationship that doesn't work.
Starting point is 02:00:34 Or, like, marry the wrong person, fall in love the wrong way, or like whatever. Something that humanized. Tina Turner one was good, too. Right. That one was phenomenal. Yeah. That is probably... That might be the best one.
Starting point is 02:00:47 That's the best music biopic that I can remember. It's phenomenal. But it had a villain. Had a villain. This one has a villain. Joe Jackson is the villain. Yeah, he seems. Joe Jackson.
Starting point is 02:00:56 He's not a great guy. But even in this movie, it's made by his family, and you can tell, you can feel the conflict in this movie. Yeah. The estate makes the movie. They're telling this story. You can feel them holding back. Well, it was heavily reported. They had to change just about everything about the movie.
Starting point is 02:01:14 Right. As they're making. But even in this version. Like, okay. You think Miles Tower is like, hey, Miles, hurt you, have a new movie out. Yeah, well, I guess. Filmed it a long time ago.
Starting point is 02:01:25 I'm just saying, man, if you, like, when you do it, commit. Like, you know, blood on the dance floor. Show how hard it was. Show the road he had to climb. We agree, but this would be the number one when it ends up on Amazon or wherever. This would be the number one rental for like five straight weeks. I'll probably go see it again.
Starting point is 02:01:46 Yeah. I'm probably going to see it again just because like... I can't wait till the seventh time you see it when you talk yourself into it. I'm probably going to see it again. Do you know why? You really know why? Higher learning? No.
Starting point is 02:01:57 I missed Michael Jackson. I missed him. Like, you guys, I'm just a regular person. So you guys get mad, whatever. I missed Michael Jackson. You missed the genius. I missed him. I had missed him.
Starting point is 02:02:09 This was the secret of the last dance with Michael Jordan. It's like, you know what? I really missed this guy. Yep. That's why the biggest documentary right now, that's sitting there, if it was done correctly, is the Kobe doc. But it'll never happen because I think his wife just will never let it happen the way it could happen. But I think that would have the same impact.
Starting point is 02:02:27 So many people love Kobe that if they did that correctly, it would be the same thing. You're like, you know, I'm going to watch that a fifth time. I really miss this guy. Yeah. And more to the point with Michael Jackson, I missed the version of Michael Jackson that existed. before I had to consider any of the others. 80s Michael Jackson.
Starting point is 02:02:50 I miss that guy. I miss just being able to have, I miss the feeling of unbridled joy that exists with me being dumb and not knowing. And like just not, I'm, that, that's super. Hulk Hogan, another one. Hulk Hogan, like, I used to, I used to rip the shirt being a whole, this is, and everybody.
Starting point is 02:03:09 You were a hokomaniac. I was a whole com, everyone was a hokomaniac. He didn't know that he probably wouldn't have liked you. No, he was a, he would not have liked you. He would not have liked you. He would not have. liked me at all. He would not have liked me. He would have said it. Or he would have liked me until I tried to take his daughter out. He would have flipped. And then he would have flipped
Starting point is 02:03:25 out. Anyway, I see what you mean about. My wife says this all the time. She'll be watching some movie or TV show that she's seen 1700 times. And she always was like, I missed my friends. Yeah. DeVore's Prada. I miss my friends. I'm going to hang out with them again. The Michael Jackson experienced same thing. I'm definitely going to see it. I won't see it in the theater. But I'm going to, when it's out on rental, I'm going to rent. it. No, you should go see any theater. You think? Yeah, go see an theater.
Starting point is 02:03:51 I like, everyone that had any interest in the movie, because the reviews have been brutal, I have to keep it real. The reviews have been hilarious. People are furious. Yeah, because they really hated it. But at the same time, the people that feel super connected
Starting point is 02:04:06 to Michael Jackson are going right into defense mode. I'm sure some of those people would be mad at me. I'm encouraging people to go see the movie in the theater because I think, I saw it in IMAX, I think it plays best in the theater. Because you want to be a part of the concert experiences and things like that. But yeah, not to me a serious attempt at trying to tell a real story about somebody as consequential as important.
Starting point is 02:04:28 So what's your Roger Ebert? Four stars. How many do you go? One and a half? One and a half? One and a half? All right. Van Lathen.
Starting point is 02:04:34 Good to see you. Peace. All right. That's it for the podcast. Thanks to McShay and Mench. Thanks to Van. Thanks to Gahua and Eduardo as well. I'm going to be back on this podcast on third.
Starting point is 02:04:46 Thursday night after the NBA playoff games, we're going to be recording. I think Rob Mahoney is going to join me. Don't forget about Sean Fantasy's newsletter or Jordan Khan's book or the Gata or the rewatchables kindergarten cop, which is up, or Ghostbusters, which is coming next Monday. And I will see you on Thursday. Must be 21 plus in President Select States for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino or 18 plus in President D.C. Kentucky or Wyoming. Opt and required bonus issued as non-drawable profit boost tokens.
Starting point is 02:05:38 Restrictions apply, including any token expiration of max wage or amount. See terms at sportsbook.fielder.com. Game and problem call 100 gambor or 1-800-migh-7-7-7-7. Or visit ccpgagblinghelf.org slash chat in Connecticut or MD gamblinghelp.org in Maryland. Hope is here. Visit gambling helpline, MA.org, or call 800-3-2-7-50 for 24-7 support in Massachusetts. or call 8778 Hope NY or text Hope and Y in New York for Louisiana. Call 877770-7-8667.

There aren't comments yet for this episode. Click on any sentence in the transcript to leave a comment.