The Bill Simmons Podcast - OKC’s Revenge, NBA Cup Nitpicks, and NFL Season Fun Grades with David Jacoby, Kirk Goldsberry, Kyle Brandt, and Craig Horlbeck

Episode Date: December 11, 2024

The Ringer's Bill Simmons is joined by David Jacoby and Kirk Goldsberry to discuss the first night of the NBA Cup quarterfinals, starting with the Thunder’s dominant win over the Mavs as they debate... whether the Thunder are now the outright team to beat in the West (02:25). With trade season looming, Bill shares why he’s not a fan of the league's new CBA rules that restrict trades, before debating with Jacoby and Kirk whether the NBA Cup is actually working (17:18). They then go through the Bucks overcoming the stingy Magic and why, despite the loss, the Magic’s future is very bright (33:10). Lastly, they discuss what is going on with Joel Embiid, share their favorite rookies and most disappointing teams of the season so far (52:34). Bill is then joined by Kyle Brandt and Craig Horlbeck to discuss Patrick Mahomes vs. Josh Allen, what to make of the Eagles, the Steelers' playoff potential with Russell Wilson, and more from around the NFL (01:11:19). The Ringer is committed to responsible gaming. Please visit www.rg-help.com to learn more about the resources and helplines available. Host: Bill Simmons Guests: David Jacoby, Kirk Goldsberry, Kyle Brandt, and Craig Horlbeck Producer: Kyle Crichton, Steve Ceruti, and Jessie Lopez Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 Coming up NBA Cup, NBA and a lot of NFL next. This episode is brought to you by Mitsubishi. What does the ambition look like to you? These days, it would be easy to mistake it for suits, awards, money, fame, but it's an incomplete picture because actually ambition is on the inside. It's an invisible grind to pursuit and it's yours. No one can take it from you. So that thing you love, maybe it's taking a road trip.
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Starting point is 00:01:08 This is what BHP has committed to Canada. The future is clear. It's happening now at BHP, a future resources company. To discover how, visit bhp.com slash better future. We're also brought to you by the Ringer Podcast Network, where I put up a new rewatchables on Monday night. We did Disclosure, which is now one of the strangest movies of the 1990s. It's now kind of a comedy, as weird as that sounds. Me, Van Lathan, Big Waz, we broke it all down.
Starting point is 00:01:37 And you can watch it as well on the Ringer Movies YouTube channel. Speaking of YouTube channels, we launched our Ringer TV channel that has the Prestige TV podcast, the Watch. We're going to do some fun shorter videos on there and a lot of the archives we have from the TV episodes we've done. So go check that out and subscribe. We're going to be experimenting a lot more with video podcasts on all the Spotify feeds too for Prestige and for the Watch and for my podcast and for
Starting point is 00:02:08 the rewatchable. So stay tuned. If you like listening to podcasts on Spotify, you'll be able to watch the videos as well as we keep going. Heading to the end of 2024 into 2025. Coming up, we waited for these two NBA Cup games to end on Tuesday night because especially OKC Dallas had to see what was going on there, wanted to break it down. So I reserved almost like you could reserve an Uber black car or something. I reserved Dave Jacoby and Kurt Goldsberry to be on call after the NBA cups. So they're going to join me. And then Craig Horlbeck and Kyle Brayton and I, Kyle and I did a rewatchables that we recorded for later this month.
Starting point is 00:02:48 And then I made him stick around yesterday and me and Craig and Kyle just talked about NFL and it went a whole bunch of directions. I had a great time. So this is a three man podcast all the way through with two different three man teams. It's all next. First, our friends from ProJet. All right. We're taping this. It is almost nine o'clock Pacific time. Dave Jacoby stayed up late on the East Coast. Kurt Goldsberry, sloppy seconds for getting you today
Starting point is 00:03:30 because you were doing some alt casting. Hopefully you have enough energy momentum back. Guys, I'm gonna start here. OKC beats Dallas. Jacoby, is OKC like a borderline lock for you in the West or is there somebody else you're afraid of? Because the more I watch them the more I just wonder who beats them in the West. It's the defense. It's just it's I it's it's on a different level than every other team. I don't want to play against this team. You can just see the frustration on the body language of the Mavs.
Starting point is 00:03:59 They can't throw basic passes without being harassed. Like you remember that that lively rebound he got and the cruiser just knocked it out of bounds. Just like, what are you, it's just annoying. They're just swarming wasps. And it's so frustrating because I was rooting for the Masters that wanted to close game. It's just impossible to do anything against them.
Starting point is 00:04:17 It's awful. What do you think Goldsberry? Yeah, they're the clear favorite now. And I know Dallas is going to sit here and say, oh, we didn't have PJ Washington and we beat them last year in this. And fine, they're the clear favorite now. And I know Dallas is gonna sit here and say, oh, we didn't have PJ Washington and we beat them last year in this. And fine, they should be confident. But from what I'm seeing, Bill, their net rating,
Starting point is 00:04:31 their defensive rating, like Jacobi just said, and then the eye test. Oh my God, yeah, Luca threw a lob, I think it was to Lively near the end of the game that he's thrown a hundred times. And all of a sudden there was two Thunder guys and they were playing small and they intercepted it. I think they had 12 steals, 31 points off turnovers, but more importantly, they just frustrate the hell out of everybody.
Starting point is 00:04:53 And I feel like they're so far and away better than anything else I'm seeing in the West through the first quarter of the season that yeah, I'm going to say they're the favorite to come out of the Western conference. Fandual agrees with you, but the odds for the OKC Thunder in the West, I thought they'd be a minus, but they're plus 190 in the West. And they just seem too athletic and too fast for maybe any team except the Celtics.
Starting point is 00:05:21 Because I think at least the Celtics, it's the perimeter guys. Like you watch Dallas and Dallas was on a good run. They'd won 11 and 12. They really felt like they were starting to turn into something. And they just look slow tonight compared to OKC. You put Luca, you put Kyrie, you put Clay Thompson,
Starting point is 00:05:40 Najeeb Arshad who was really good in the first half. Those are good players. Those are guys, this is the top five team in the league. And OKC just seemed faster and younger and more athletic. And Luca, I don't know, what was going on with Luca Jacoby? What was your take? One of the things that analysts always say about Luca is like, you can't speed him up.
Starting point is 00:05:58 You can't speed him up. There's a part of me who's like, hey Luca, can you speed up? Like, you know, it's like, oh, you can't speed him up. He's always at his own pace. He's like, cool, cool, cool. How about you like move a little bit off the ball? Like there's a couple of sessions
Starting point is 00:06:09 he was just like in the corner. Like he's kind of getting that James Harden off ball energy. They're like, oh, someone else has the ball. So I'm just going to stand here with my arms at my sides, like straight up and down. It's like, it was a frustrating Luca day. They were doubling him early, which I think was smart because they doubled him early
Starting point is 00:06:27 and kind of got the ball out of his hands and didn't let him catch a rhythm until the second half for like a brief spurt. You know what though? I still think they're the number two team in the West for me if I had to say who can actually make the finals. I still have Dallas second. I don't think this is a great matchup for them.
Starting point is 00:06:42 And I was trying to think of like the rock, paper, scissors thing with the West. I don't know if you guys saw the OKC Houston game. Maybe it was 10 days ago. Houston, I think, is the team in the West that can go toe to toe on this like crazy young hungry pit bull, just speed athleticism all over the place. I think that's the only way in the West. Nobody's going to overpower them.
Starting point is 00:07:05 There's not going to be like, obviously not the Lakers, but the LeBron AD type situation where it's just, Oh my God, they just got bully balled. They got out rebounded by 10 rebounds. I don't see that happening this year. I almost feel like you have to beat them with what they do. Is there anybody else you see Kirk? Houston, I think, you know, we'll see tomorrow if they can beat Golden State here in this quarterfinal. I don't see anybody else because Minnesota, I think, coming in to the season, Bill, was that other team for me and they have just been off to an awkward start.
Starting point is 00:07:34 So I don't see the Randall piece really fitting in there to put them in that category. And Dallas was the hottest team in the league, period, before tonight. And I think they clearly deserve number two status. They won the conference. They beat this team in the playoffs last year in six games. So I think until further notice, it's OKC, Dallas, then Houston. And then actually, I don't know who I'd put it for. So you'd have Houston third, or just to beat OKC?
Starting point is 00:08:01 Would you just have Houston third in general? I love Houston at three. And I want to see what they do in this tournament. I know some people think it's silly, but I think this is a catapult for them. If they beat Steph and Steve Kerr tomorrow, and they get to Vegas, and they play the Oklahoma City Thunder,
Starting point is 00:08:18 I think it really starts to feel like they're not just a flash in the pan. Like OKC Bill, their defensive indicators scream contender. Yeah, they are not Just like Orlando Orlando. Okay, see in Houston three young pain-in-the-ass defenses that nobody wants to play against And he may has really beat has really built that team up. So I would put them at three I don't know if there's somebody I'm forgetting. The other thing, well, you're forgetting Memphis because, and we have to mention that because Chikobie does a podcast twice a week on the mismatch with somebody who's like,
Starting point is 00:08:55 how the fuck can Kurt Goldsberry not mention Memphis for eight minutes there? What the fuck is he doing? That might be intentional. I might've heard that he fast-forwards the minutes that I speak on this show. Is that true? He does the 15 second fast-forward. Memphis right now is fifth offensive rating, seventh defensive rating. The per 36 stats are crazy for them too. Like Jah, who's really only playing like 28 minutes a game, but he would be 28 and 11 if you played 36 brain and Clark looks great So from a speed standpoint Maybe but I kind of like to see those guys play for 20 games Jacobi
Starting point is 00:09:33 And I'll tell you this they're dining a lot off that Celtics game on Saturday where the Celtics had played five and seven they'd played Milwaukee the night before and this like he. My dad was saying it was like a third round playoff game kind of intensity. And then the next day the Celts have to run it back and they had no legs. They were dead and Memphis kind of steamrolled them. But I don't think they should take too much out of that, Chakobz. I don't think any of these teams would be a favorite in a series against the Thunder. And watching the Thunder tonight, watching them just fly around and watching SGA be like a true go-to weapon on offense, the way that the, some of
Starting point is 00:10:12 the rockets don't have to be honest with you. And then every once in a while they cut to this guy in a velour sweatsuit in the second row with a big beard who was played like, who looked like he leveled up shit, obviously I'm talking about it's like he's coming back like We've they they have like a major weapon. He looks like a UFC fighter Like he's like this UFC middleweight hanging out outside the octagon waiting Waiting to see who's gonna fight in the next UFC card, but it's Chet Holmgren. He's 7 foot 1 Yeah, I think that people sleep on the fact that they're doing all of this without him and a lot of a lot of
Starting point is 00:10:46 Teams are missing players, but he's like, I don't know second third best player probably third best player Yeah, we haven't seen there. I mean what we did get to see tonight, especially was the heart and Stein piece that the whole The kind of set rebounding center rim protection guy that they just haven't had like Like we were talking about some of the matchups with them. One of the things that's interesting with Houston is Houston's first in the league in rebounding, they're almost averaging 50 rebounds a game. But I, you know what? Sometimes I like the counting stats. I know that I know the fancy kids, they love the advanced stats and
Starting point is 00:11:21 Kirk's got his efficiency map. And I, I love all that stuff too, but sometimes I like to know who gets Kirk's got his efficiency map. And I love all that stuff, too. But sometimes I like to know who gets the most rebounds every game. And Houston's getting 50 a game. So to Jacoby's point, Kirk, like, I do feel like they need Chet and Hartenstein in a Houston series. But the flip side with Houston is I still don't really know who their go to guy is. I watch them game to game and it's like, cause they're my favorite
Starting point is 00:11:45 league pass team and it's like, really? We're doing the Fred Van Viet step back. That's our, that's our shot with 50 seconds left. They, I don't think they know, like they'll go to Shangoon sometimes depending on the matchup, but it's kind of like a last shot by committee team, which makes me nervous in the playoffs. Yeah, I think that's valid. And I think that we went too long
Starting point is 00:12:06 not talking about what we saw from SGA tonight. And I think he really is the differentiator in the top of the West because he is legitimately the MVP candidate over there right now. When you look at those three teams we talked about, you throw in Memphis, maybe John Moran, but SGA is on a different plane than what we saw tonight from him on both sides of the court,
Starting point is 00:12:26 nearly scoring 40 points and then just putting up crooked numbers. Made some threes. Five for nine from three. Five for nine from three. And then just sets the tone on defense too. Like he is a truly, truly impressive two-way superstar Bill Simmons. And I think no other team has that. And if it does get to sort of crunch time at the end, you know that the guy who has the ball in his hands
Starting point is 00:12:51 can score in an isolation situation. By the way, he's isolating more than anybody else in the league. And he, Houston doesn't have that. That is fair to say. And I think that is one of the things that separates the Oklahoma City Thunder from everybody else in the West right now
Starting point is 00:13:05 Is that their best player can be that guy at the end of a big game like we saw? Tonight Houston does have Dylan Brooks doing Dylan Brooks stuff. I think SGA would be the best guy in the West if Yokeage wasn't averaging a 56.1 a game points, rebounds, and assists. He's in the 56 club right now. It's like him and Will Chamberlain. She's the two of them, they're hanging out. That's it.
Starting point is 00:13:32 Who do you have in the MVP ladder right now? Just between those two. Just because I think it's a- You know, cause it's having the greatest, the greatest statistical season of our adult lifetime. I agree, but does it matter to you that OKC is emerging as a clear number one and they're sort of dropping down to maybe play in status?
Starting point is 00:13:50 Does that factor into the Professor Simmons model? It's early, right? I mean, Denver hasn't won two straight games for a month. I don't know what's going on with Jamal Murray. Jokic, I promise you, isn't like, oh cool, I scored 104 points isn't like, oh cool. I scored 104 points this weekend. That's not what he's about, but I don't know if he has a choice.
Starting point is 00:14:10 Um, I want to see if it, you know, if it's 47, 48 wins is kind of a cutoff for me. But if you're a sixth seed or a seventh seed, I think it gets tough. If there's some, some real candidates, I think Tatum's a candidate. Um, I SGA is absolutely a candidate. Chakov's, I think that thing that would really clinch it for SGA having an argument, maybe even becoming a favorite as if, okay, see just becomes like a 65 win team, which I think is in play as hard as the West is. It seems like an accident when they lose. I'm always surprised when they lose, right? I
Starting point is 00:14:48 I think 65 might be a little high but I think they're gonna run away with the number one seed in the Western Conference, which is obviously the stronger conference and They're not I try to stay away from the MVP stuff. You know what I mean? Yeah, yeah, but I I try to stay away from the MVP stuff. You know what I mean? On December. In game 24? Yeah. Yeah. But what Yogesh has done has been very impressive. What he did this weekend, as you mentioned, I'm sure he's like, I don't want to do that. I don't want to take 39 shots in a basketball game.
Starting point is 00:15:19 You were like that, Jacobes. When you were taking a lot of shots, you were never happy. I know. I know. You want to do no looks and you wanted to do good entry passes and just play team basketball. That's like Jokic. Exactly. Exactly. What did he do this weekend? Lose to the Wizards?
Starting point is 00:15:34 Is that what caught your eye? Lost to the Wizards. Lost to the Wizards and beat the Hawks. Yeah. He scored 104 points. That's true. It is crazy. It is crazy how little he has around him.
Starting point is 00:15:44 What really jumped out at me about those two games was the Westbrook Jokic connection. It is crazy. It is crazy how, how little he has around him. Uh, what really jumped out at me about those two games was the Westbrook Yocach connection. Like Westbrook was just feeding him. Westbrook was like the best player on the planet is on my team. Let me just get him in a position to score. It was really impressive. I was impressed by Westbrook this weekend. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:16:02 Cause Murray is kind of like Yocuch's basketball wife. And with Westbrook now, he's kind of flirting with the office, with the office assistant who just kind of moved into the office and it's like, whoa, Yocuch, Yocuch just went to get coffee with Westbrook. Does Murray know about this? That's our second game. The SGA thing. I always say this every year, it's just crazy to me after going to some of those games
Starting point is 00:16:29 when he was a rookie that this is the guy he is now. That he's in a game with Luka where he just completely obliterates Luka and Luka's team. They have no answer for him. If I'm Dallas Kirk, who's my guy that's gonna be guarding SGA if I'm seeing them in round two or round three? Who's my stopper for SGA? You know, I think PJ Washington is a huge part of that equation. System size, yeah.
Starting point is 00:16:56 And I don't know if that's the correct answer, but it's not going to be Kyrie and it's not going to be Luke. I think we all know that. And then they have the big and you know, I think PJ would be my answer. But dude, who can guard this guy? Nobody can guard this guy. So Dallas, I think beat them last year on both sides of the ball. And I think that it was really PJ who if you look back at the stats from that series did a lot of both sides. Yeah, he made a lot of threes and yeah. So I think I'm hard, I can't talk myself into what I saw from Dallas beating Oklahoma City, but I have very, very, very big recency bias right now because of what we just watched.
Starting point is 00:17:42 I think if I zoomed back out, seven game series, yeah, if PJ is gonna be 20 and 10, like kinda like he was, I think it was 18 and eight in that series, and shooting threes and playing great defense and they have their bigs, and Luca and Kyrie, obviously at the end of games, they could win four games against that team if they broke their way. Last year they were too small and they almost won
Starting point is 00:18:03 the series anyway, OKC, and it came down to that play in the corner when SGA, the, the foul, when he played perfect defense and they lucked out with that one, but they also didn't have Hardenstein last year and Chet got overpowered in that series and just, or Caruso and Caruso was great tonight. It was great tonight, a different team. And they, yet they almost beat them last year. So I'm feeling great if I'm OKC. The other thing, and who knows,
Starting point is 00:18:30 like Shams wrote this piece today about, you know, could Jimmy Butler get traded? Zach LaVey, I know Jacobi has some thoughts on it. I'm like, OKC to me is the perfect type of team that could make trades because they have all these movable contracts, cheap contracts. They can add stuff together. They're they're not getting crushed by the apron.
Starting point is 00:18:51 They have a million picks they could trade. I am so confused by the trade rules and I've read everything. And as you guys know, I'm the trade Mr. Shane Picasso. Like, I take this seriously. I am just absolutely flummoxed by these rules. And even that thing today I read where it's like, yeah, Jimmy Butler, it's like, I'm not sure anybody can add Jimmy Butler.
Starting point is 00:19:13 From what I understand about these rules, it feels like they made him too hard, Jacoby. And I'm gonna be useless at the trade deadline. I don't like it. Zach LaVine and Jimmy Butler, I don't think will be traded. And I think to bring Jimmy Butler, you have to match the salary. So you're giving up whatever $40 million worth of players to bring in Jimmy Butler who wants a new contract. Yeah. It has a $52 million player option that he might exercise. It just seems like who is Jimmy Butler away from contending. And if you're
Starting point is 00:19:40 the thunder, you're going to add a player later. Chet Holmgren, your third best player in your second big. Like if you were the thunder, why would you ever even think about picking up a phone call from my. Well, you're not doing that. Golden State's the team. I think it would be Golden State. Just I know they're away from contending. Well, I think Shams put in the Texas teams. San Antonio would be super interesting for that,
Starting point is 00:20:06 but I think they would have to resign them, and I don't know if that's on their timetable. But Golden State, I think has real urgency with, you know, I'm not just a body language guy, but I'm also the trade detective. And I did notice this weekend, all of a sudden they're pushing Kaminga. They're putting him in the starting lineup.
Starting point is 00:20:25 Draymond Green's like, you can have my spot. When has Draymond Green ever been this magnanimous? Just, there's a lot of red flags. I was like, huh, what are you guys doing? Are you, almost feels like you're trying to showcase Kaminga for somebody. No, no, take my spot. Draymond Green, the guy who punched Jordan Poole,
Starting point is 00:20:41 now he's Mr. Magnanimous, take my spot. I don't know, it, something that feels like the team because they're on a specific window with Curry, right? If you feel like you can contend for a title with Curry at age 36, he's already wearing down over the first five, six weeks. Butler makes sense for them. Kirk, you're nodding.
Starting point is 00:21:00 Yeah, I think they've been sort of showcasing players all year. I think it helps explain why Steve Kerr has been playing 12 players a night. Right. Oh, look at all these guys. Like you could read into it. And I think they're one player short of being... So you're saying they're like the farmer's market?
Starting point is 00:21:16 Come on, we got pistachios. We got Kyle Anderson. Organic. There's some chicken. Got chicken over here. Free sample. Yeah. It's a full chicken. Some fruit. Yeah, farm-raised got chicken over here. It's a full chicken some fruit farm raised Kyle Anderson over here
Starting point is 00:21:30 But I think Then but Jimmy Butler to Houston intrigues me too because of something you said earlier Bill Which is like who's their guy at the end of the game? We don't have that guy and Jimmy's from Texas. You could see E-May talking himself into Jimmy Butler. I'm not sold on it. The other thing that I would say is the trade machine, Picasso, is coming into hard times. This new CBA. I don't like it. It's pretty much cut the number of teams that could make a trade into half, if not more, because so many teams are limited into what kinds of trades, the financial rules, what they can and can't send out or take back are so punitive or prohibitive that just the
Starting point is 00:22:14 trade market itself has shrunk. And I think that's going to sort of limit the amount of Picasso and you can do. I, I think it's beyond limiting. I think it, I think it's going to like really, really harm it. But so selfishly I'm mad because I love making up fake trades and they're just going to be super unrealistic, but Jacob's there's this flip side to it where I kind of like it where guys who are in situations they might not love it. Like to me, it's like if we're driving, like say Jacobi, you have your three kids in the car, and you're like, we're driving all the way to Washington DC,
Starting point is 00:22:54 and we're not stopping. But your kid's like, dad, can we stop? Can we get something? Can we stop, stop? And they just wear you down and you eventually stop. This, all these apron rules are basically like the kids are trapped in the car for the entire ride now. Like if you're bringing an Ingram,
Starting point is 00:23:09 it's like I'm gonna get off, can we stop? You're like, can't, sorry, can't trade you. Nobody wants you. We're not stopping until we get to Uncle House's house. We gotta get to Uncle House's house. But everyone's trapped in the car and you kind of have to make the best of it. And this is what the NBA used to be like.
Starting point is 00:23:22 You're like, hey, you're stuck on your team. It's also like the Jimmy Butler thing from Shams earlier this morning was like, oh, here are the teams that he wants to go to. It's like, cool. Right. It's kind of like the NFL was like, go find yourself a trade. Go ahead. Find one. Like, just because you want to go to those teams doesn't mean there's a deal between us and those teams and to put that out publicly It's like it almost feels like they don't really understand the implications of the new CBA. It's not happy That's a great point dude, like the whole trade demand Ecosystem the whole the whole this whole science of the trade demand from the players perspective has to get updated too Because you can't just say oh, I want to trade and make me, make sure it's the Phoenix or whatever.
Starting point is 00:24:06 But look at Zach Levine situation. Like he's playing well for Zach Levine. Like he's 22, five and five. I've watched a couple of games where in the fourth quarter, like he's, you know, as, as good as he's ever looked and he could have checked out or been like, well, I'm going to nurse an injury until you guys trade me, but he's not going to get traded. So he might as well make the best of it. It's, it's a little reminds me of what happened in football or in football.
Starting point is 00:24:30 There's like never trades, right? Nobody's like, we traded our left tackle today for somebody's starting outside linebacker. It's just, everybody's kind of stuck on their team until the end of the year. And I, maybe that's what basketball is becoming, which is bad for podcast content, but it may be better for basketball, right? I think so. And I think there's one more layer of it,
Starting point is 00:24:51 which is like the moneyball era of pro basketball is so intense. Like we know so much about how bad, bad contracts are, particularly in this new CBA, that those were the contracts the teams used to be able, hey, take this guy Maybe you can deal with the contract for a year or two and win a title No, like I was trying to think of who the best team with a terrible contract is and there aren't many
Starting point is 00:25:15 And so it's like okay. Do you want this Levine deal or this Beal deal? The answer to that question is smaller than ever not to mention the point We already made the rules to get that player, um, in a trade are more sort of strict than ever. So yeah, I think we're in a brand new era and it is bad for podcast content. It might be Jamal Murray. Like his extension hasn't even kicked in yet. Well, if he's going to look like he's looked, I mean, there's some other ones
Starting point is 00:25:44 like NERC itch, I'm sure there's some other ones like Nerkage. I'm sure Phoenix would be dying to trade him in five seconds. Right. But yeah, if you look at the best three teams, the Celtics, OKC and Cleveland, none of them really have like the, Oh man, I wish we didn't have this contract guy. All the contracts are pretty good. But I also feel like it seems like people knew this era was coming and the smarter teams were very careful.
Starting point is 00:26:07 Even that OKC deal for Hartenstein, they overpaid him for three years based on what his market was. But it's actually a smart deal. That's how they got him and it's not gonna kill them down the road unlike how Juan Soto's gonna kill the Yankees in the last five years of his deal
Starting point is 00:26:23 when he's just destroying them for 60 million a year. The Mets. That meant the Mets. Let's take a break. I have some NBA Cup questions for you. Big picture whether we actually like this or not. That's next. The NBA season is flying and Fandl, America's number one sportsbook, wants to catch all the action right now. Fandel giving everyone three months of NBA League pass I have to do to catch every tip off from buzzer beaters place any $5 bet on the NBA You can trail me on Fridays. I've been pretty hot with these 30 on 30s
Starting point is 00:26:57 We're doing on Fridays with NBA 30 points scores So stay tuned I tweet those out on Fridays next time you get a hunch on who's going to win or how many points a player will score. You can watch your picks come to life live. You can even bet the NBA Cup games on Wednesday. Just visit fan.com slash BS to get three months of NBA league pass courtesy of Fandle. Make every moment more with Fandle official sportsbook partner the NBA. You must be 21 plus and president select states or 18 plus and president President D.C. After a three-month free trial, the full price of the league pass will be automatically charged monthly, cancel any time, no refunds. Terms, restrictions, and embargoes apply. Limit one pass per customer. See terms at sportsbook.fanbill.com. Gambly problem? Call 1-800-GAMBAR or visit rg-help.com.
Starting point is 00:27:43 Get groceries delivered across the DTA from real Canadian Superstore with PCXpress. or visit rg-help.com. NBA Cup does this work. Jacobes, it's year two. Here's my case for maybe it doesn't work. I didn't want the Celtics to make the quarterfinals or semifinals and have to play the two extra games. I wanted the rest for them. So that tells me fundamentally, maybe this doesn't a hundred percent work that I wanted my team not to make it.
Starting point is 00:28:22 Okay. That's a fair point. And I totally understand that thinking. I think the cup works, but I'll address your question. And I'll say this. How upset are the Mavs right now after being on the road for like a month, everyone be sick and they're like, Oh, we don't have to go to Vegas and we get what seven days off in the middle of the year to sort of get healthy.
Starting point is 00:28:43 And, and like, I think the maps are on the plane be like yeah, it kind of sucks. I wish we won but I Don't know like I don't think they're like really bombed tonight. Yeah, it was like hundred thousand we didn't get yeah Yeah, but it's four teams to me. It's four teams like the hawks the Rockets And the Thunder like I think that it's really for up-and-coming teams to get Sort of like one in your done experience So I don't think it's broken but I think there are certain teams like the Celtics coming off a championship Like what we get we get to win the the Emirates Cup like no, I'm gonna take the time off. What do you think Kirk?
Starting point is 00:29:20 I Think it's working, but I think those are valid points In fact, I talked to one Western Conference executive who's like, oh, I'm kind of glad we don't have to go play at Oklahoma City tonight and maybe play Houston and Vegas. And I think I'd much rather have the time off for these lesser opponents. I think the league has something. I also think it's really cool that we had these two games tonight and the whole league was watching them.
Starting point is 00:29:44 And I wish we had more of that, that sort of community feel where it's not just like league pass overload where these games are meaningful in December like let's not forget like this time of year is really hard. I do think and I think we talked about this last time they should use the divisions for the groups and just bring some spice and meaning back to those groupings of teams. I think there's some little stuff. I'm glad we have it. But I think it is fair to say that some teams are kind of not disappointed they're not going
Starting point is 00:30:16 to Vegas this weekend. I know and Bede's disappointed. He wanted to get those two extra games in. I like the NBA Cup, but I think that's the criticism. I was thinking, should there be a couple other things that you win if you win beyond like just the money? Like what if you could get an apron for the rest of the season? I don't know why the players would care about that, but the fans, I think, would be
Starting point is 00:30:40 like the Phoenix Suns all of a sudden, like, wait, we're out of the lock separate apron for three months to're out of the lock separate apron for three months? It's like a get out of jail free card for the apron. What if you guaranteed the six playoff spot? That's what I think they should do. You can't fall lower than six. If you win.
Starting point is 00:30:57 You gotta move it later in the season then. Because like if you're locked into six, like what are we doing? Well, you could think about the season a little differently. It's an advantage, right? You know, you don't have to be in the playing game. You know, you're going no lower than six. You can rest guys a little differently.
Starting point is 00:31:13 Like it's a real advantage for the season. I think would be the appeal. But then if you're a team like Atlanta or even Houston, who's probably going to be a top six team anyway, but I think that would be pretty Orlando who's losing their entire team to torn obliques. Like you kind of want the six seed. I like that. The other one, um, the, uh, that's, that's really it. Does it, the, you could do a draft pick thing, but I don't know why the players on the team would care.
Starting point is 00:31:41 It's like, oh, we've locked down the 15th pick. It would be, no, it would be like an insignificant draft pick thing. It'd be like, you get like an extra second rounder or something like that. Okay, great. With Jacobes, we both have the reality background. You once upon a time were the czar of reality TV.
Starting point is 00:31:56 Is there a reality thing we could steal for this? Like you win and you get to use that power to fuck over another team in some way. Like you could say. Oh, I haven't thought about it in some way that you could say, thought about in that, in that way, you get your cross and it's like the Celtics now lose a game seven at home and you just like stick them with some sort of terrible competitive disadvantage. Like, like a rule changes like TJ would just come out at half time and be like,
Starting point is 00:32:19 all right guys, here, here are the four point shots. Right. Three circles. No corner threes. I think they should use it as a testing ground for like rule changes. Like I think that'd be kind of fun if they were just like no three-point line and then not a four-point line or there's no
Starting point is 00:32:36 corner threes. I think I think that'd be fun. I understand like there are reasons you couldn't do that. But just while we're spitballing I think sort of experimenting about rule changes or court changes you've been considering there are reasons you couldn't do that, but just while we're spitballing, I think sort of experimenting about Rule changes or court changes you've been considering. Yeah in these games because they are different. It could be a playground for that Yeah, like the Elam ending wait one more thing The Elam ending would be great and I know they got rid of it from the All-Star Game Bill But like tonight the end of that of that first game was like 25 minutes, the last two or three minutes, and it bled into the second game.
Starting point is 00:33:09 It's like, what are we doing doing this free throw free throw thing? Like just let somebody win. So say the NBA Cup quarterfinals, semis and finals are all Elam ending, we just hit a certain score and the game's over. Yeah. I'm not gonna say that. Yeah. I mean, every pickup game we've ever played ends with a bucket, dude. And then we watched these free throw contests.
Starting point is 00:33:28 The worst one I saw this year was Celtics Cavs and it was like 30 minutes and it was back and forth, back and forth. And now, because I always say this, the team that's ahead is now fouling a lot of times. So it's just adding to it. Yeah. So I'm a big Elam ending guy, but I like Chakobi's idea. Make it feel special. Do something else. Elamending guy, but I like Chakobi's idea. Make it feel special. Do something else. Elamending is the best I got for that one.
Starting point is 00:33:49 Chakobi, would SGA be fun to play with? Absolutely. Fun to play pickup with? Okay. Absolutely. He leads the league in unassisted baskets. So it's kind of one of those situations where you don't feel needed. I know, but here's the thing. But if you're in a pickup game and you're down six, you want SGA and your team so you stay on the court.
Starting point is 00:34:07 You know what I mean? It's like you always associate guys, you want to play pickup with guys that move the ball and get teammates involved and sort of like put people in spots. No, I want to stay on the court. And yeah, but like, but you have SGA just to stay on the court. Like that's why he's good to play pickup. Yeah, we had, when we played, we had that one guy who was the stay on the court guy where we knew we would, we would basically just have to rebound and play defense and
Starting point is 00:34:28 he was going to score nine of the 11 points. I can't remember what his name was. Jalen Rose. I think it was Jalen Rose. Jalen Rose. His name was Jalen. He was unfair to play, to play it. Let's talk about the other game and whether we believe in Milwaukee Bucks yet.
Starting point is 00:34:44 I thought they played really well against the Celtics on Friday in a game that was about as intense as you get in December. There's no love lost between those two teams. Kurt Goldsberry, there's some Janis Jalen stuff. Uh, there's some Janis Al Horford stuff. I felt like Tatum has a little burn a saddle against them. I don't feel like anybody really likes playing against Dame that much. I always feel like people get annoyed by him.
Starting point is 00:35:11 But that was a really intense game on Friday, but the Celts won. But what struck me was I thought the Bucks hung with them and could have won the game. And now that Green and Prince have been getting them three point shooting, now that Portisis who looked like he was going to be out of the league first month of the season. Now he's back. Now they have Middleton back. Giannis is averaging a 32, 12 and six. I still don't feel like they're at that top echelon and maybe not even in the second
Starting point is 00:35:39 echelon, but they're at least lingering because of Yanis now, right? Is that, would you, I don't think they're lurking, but I would go lingering for them. Is that fair? I think they're 11 and three in their last 14 games after starting two and eight. And what you just said, one of the sort of deep cut takes is like, yeah, AJ green, Gary Trent, Torian Prince, Bobby Portis, They're getting really efficient three point shooting from those dudes. And then Giannis stopped shooting threes.
Starting point is 00:36:10 He stopped shooting threes. Today he shot his first three in six games, I think. He shot another one at the end of the game, but he'd gone five games without shooting a three. He's attacking the rim, and then they're surrounding him with shooting. Tonight they played a smaller lineup. They took Brook rim and then they're surrounding him with shooting. Tonight they played a smaller lineup.
Starting point is 00:36:26 They took Brook out and they put these aforementioned shooters, Chris Middleton's back in the lineups, Damien obviously. Spacing starts at the rim. Giannis pressures the rim better than anybody in the league right now and he can make passes. If they can make those shots, they're very good. The Bucks were always supposed to be this good. The only thing weird was they were two and eight. Do I trust them to be better than the Boston Celtics?
Starting point is 00:36:52 No, but it looks like they've righted the ship and look like they're a viable Eastern Conference contender now. Because Giannis is putting up scoring title numbers and they're getting this three point shooting from the supporting cast and now they're, they're whole. So they have Chris, Damien and Yanis. They were supposed to be good. I am a little worried about the Lopez piece of it.
Starting point is 00:37:15 He looked really old in the Celtic game and I thought he was the biggest reason they lost and it feels like there's a, there's a Yanis, Portis shooters and Dame and whether Middletons and that or not, we'll find out. But that seems to be probably their most successful lineup, which is weird, cause Lopez was so essential what they did. I don't know, Jacobes, I still don't feel like the Yanis, Dame thing is perfect.
Starting point is 00:37:44 And maybe it will never be, but I, I almost feels like Dame, like it's like, Hey, Yanis isn't going to play tonight. Dame, you're going to have to take a lot of shots. Like, I don't feel like he's shedding tears. You know what I mean? I don't feel like they've totally figured it out yet, but they're kind of scotch taping it and duct taping it together now. Body language doctor doesn't love that duo as much as I wanted to when he signed. But we always like, I think people are critical of Dame. It's like he scores 25.7 points a game and gets 7.5 assists a game.
Starting point is 00:38:06 Like he's like 37% from 3 now. Yeah. Like is that so bad? Like is that what are we being critical of really? And, and you know, Derry bird and Tori and Prince is shooting 54% from 3 on like 3.6 attempts or something. Like it's not, it's not fake. Like, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I critical of really and you know, Derry bird and Tori and Prince is shooting 54% from three
Starting point is 00:38:25 on like 3.6 attempts or something. Like it's not, it's not fake. Like they're, they're surrounding two of the biggest offensive weapons in the league with shooting, um, defensively, we can just pass over that. They're not stopping anybody. For like, for Tatum, it's a dream. To Tatum against the Bucks, he's like, this is awesome. Sorry, Kirk, I interrupted you. No, I was just saying when they were great, when they won it all, they were great on defense. This was a defensive juggernaut too with Brook and Inyanis protecting the paint.
Starting point is 00:38:58 And then, you know, Drew and Chris and the role players all seeming like, you know, these younger Thunder of Rockets teams that we're seeing the more like, yeah, they were a great defense. I don't see that happening. And for that reason, I'm out to quote Mark Cuban on their ability to compete with Boston and maybe even Cleveland at the very top of the Eastern Conference.
Starting point is 00:39:20 Are you a believer, Eme said this like three weeks ago about, he's like, if you look at all the teams that have won a title or made the finals, in confidence. Are you a believer? Eme said this like three weeks ago about. He's like, if you look at all the teams that have won a title or made the finals, they're all like top five defense. Yeah, I think he's right. I actually think it's that simple. Yeah. And like even tonight, Suggs had Dame in front of him and he dribbled between his legs like four times, then just like shot a three. There's like Suggs, like that's Dame Lillard. Just put your shoulder down and go past him.
Starting point is 00:39:50 And a key point, I was really disappointed in that particular possession because I think there's a reason that when Dame is guarding somebody that there's no screener. There's a reason. Right. Well, and then when Dame wasn't on him, he was getting the switch. But they were asking a lot from Suggs in that game. In fact, this is a good time to bring in Steve Cerruti for two seconds because we have a very important Orlando Magic question. So at halftime, were you, were you on Expedia or wherever looking for Vegas, Hartford to Vegas tickets? Were you thinking about it? You were, weren't you? I definitely was, and it was like, I saw Gladiator 2 on Friday, and I had really low expectations for it,
Starting point is 00:40:34 and I really enjoyed it. I liked the movie, I don't know if it needed to be made, it was kind of the same as the first one, just with like a new thing. I had really low expectations, and I didn't know what to expect. I didn't know if we'd 90 points because I'm just I don't know where the scoring comes from. And then yeah, like
Starting point is 00:40:48 that first quarter happens and I'm like, I'm in this team's this team, they were going to win the game and like, get the halftime they kind of you know, I think they're down one a halftime anything's on the table. It just sucked because that sucks injury in the third quarter they were I think down one at the time he goes out for a couple minutes. I think he comes back in there down eight and they have to climb back the rest of the game to get there, but without that,
Starting point is 00:41:07 at the end of the day, the guys, when they're fully healthy, I think they're capable of beating anybody. They're capable of beating anybody. I'm not saying they'd be favored against any of these teams, but they are capable of beating anybody. My friend, Sean Grandy, who is the radio guy for the Celtics, who's, I think,
Starting point is 00:41:22 a good basketball kind of thinker with this stuff. Orlando is the team he's afraid of for the Celtics, who's I think a good basketball kind of thinker with this stuff. Orlando is the team he's afraid of for the Celtics when they get everybody back, because he thinks they're defensive upside, and they didn't have Isaac tonight either. He thinks their defensive ceiling is the high, like some people would say it's Tibbs and Knicks,
Starting point is 00:41:41 but I just think it's gonna be too easy to get point. The Knicks are in a weird position where their offense is probably gonna be more dangerous than their defense in the playoffs, but I think Orlando. So the case for them would be the defense giving Frans all those reps without Palo, and now Suggs turning into like Russell Westbrook 2017 light, like just doing everything on the magic. Jacobi, you buying Sugg stock yet?
Starting point is 00:42:10 I bought a lot of Sugg stock pre-season because of defense. I didn't see this Suggs, but it is odd. This is Gonzaga Suggs. It just seems like Palo's playing so well and then Fron steps up and plays so well and then Fron's is out and now Sugg steps up and plays so well and then Fron's out. Now Sugg steps up plays. If Suggs has a legit hurt hand, it's going to be like Mo Wagner scores 30 and 12 and
Starting point is 00:42:30 10. It's like, what is happening? It just seems like someone on that team is going to play like an all star no matter what happens. Anthony Black is next if Suggs goes down. Yeah, I was nervous. You got to get some K tape or whatever. Get his obliques taped up so he can't get, there's some oblique, like, you know, like
Starting point is 00:42:43 a, you know, epidemic breaking out in Orlando. But yeah, when his thumb got hurt, I was like, you gotta be kidding me. Because that's the thing about the NBA Cup, is like, cool, like this is fun and all, but like if we're really gonna lose Suggs for an extended period of time, like pass on the NBA Cup.
Starting point is 00:42:56 Well, the other piece with the Orlando that's been interesting with these guys going out is, I don't know, they took the training wheels off Anthony Black a little bit. Yep. He got, what's the hairdo he's rocking these days? He moved some hair stuff around. Yeah. He's got, there's like a little bun in the back.
Starting point is 00:43:16 Totally different player. Totally different player. I was shocked. He's like a new guy. Like I didn't know who it was. I was like, who's that? I was like, oh, Anthony Black. But there's a lot of stuff to like with him. And I don't really know who it was. Who's that? I was like, oh Anthony Black. But there's a lot of stuff to like with him.
Starting point is 00:43:27 I don't really know what his ceiling is and I'm sure when we get to game four of a playoff series and he's in the corner, teams are gonna be like, go ahead, take that. But the fact that he's not a bust feels like a win. So Rudy. So it was kind of an uncharacteristic game for him. He was weirdly bad defensively tonight.
Starting point is 00:43:44 He got lost a couple of times, but he actually scored way more than you think he was, had assist rebounds and a lot of that was just like, cause they just need an extra ball handler. I would say too, like I'm not nervous, like the panic meter's not going off, but like $22 million a year, like KCP seven points, kind of hoping for more than that in a situation where,
Starting point is 00:44:03 you kind of need a veteran to step up. But honestly, like all these young guys, like even Tristan Silva, like he started tonight, he started a lot of games since Franz and Paolo have been out and he's been fine. And I really like the two big lineup, but Wendell playing the four, kind of, like it's, it can't really work when they're fully healthy. But in this version of the team without Isaac, he's actually really good at getting those spots like kind of top of the key throwing those lob passes like being a facilitator. I think he had the best plus plus minus on the magic tonight. He was awesome. Kirk, what do you see for the magic? Yes, Rudy should be thrilled, man. I was talking to Vince Carter and Jaylin. We were watching this game and we're like, holy crap, like these guys are
Starting point is 00:44:42 going to be a problem. And I'm with Sean Grandy. I don't think anybody wants to play this team in that playoffs. I'm not saying that it beat the Celtics, but they're a pain in the ass to score on. And like Oklahoma city, they're a pain in the ass to pass on and get rebounds on. I love the two big lineup. I love that it's Mo and Goga and Wendell, like they're playing bigger than almost any at De Silva too, when
Starting point is 00:45:05 he's at the three, they're just big. And yeah, the biggest point here is they didn't have three or four of their normal rotation pieces of Gary Harris, Jonathan Isaac, but obviously Gary Harris, Paul Lowe and Franz who, you know, Torn Oblique Club like stand up like, and as a holder of Suggs Coin for years now, you guys should be thrilled. I know you didn't get the result tonight, but it looks like you're built for war for a long time and you're the Orlando Magic.
Starting point is 00:45:35 You guys should be thrilled. And two games you didn't have to play. It's not like the NBA Cup was gonna do anything for you. It's two more games where nobody's getting hurt, right? Oh, Cody's got a timeout. Hold on. This is just too much, like, too much for me. They don't have a player that can hit a three point shot
Starting point is 00:45:55 in 2024. They don't have one. So can we just like address that? They don't have a player that can hit a three point shot. It's tough. They're 30th in a three point shooting 31%. They're 28th in corner threes. Is that so scared to play? I'm so scared to play them in the playoffs.
Starting point is 00:46:14 Like, yeah, the worst shooting team in the league. But Paulo Suggs and Franz are all fine. Why'd you have to do that to Saruti? He's got like, he's got two guys that torn a bleach. I'm sorry. No one wants to see this team in the got like, he's got two guys that have torn a bleach. I'm just like, I'm sorry. No one wants to see this team in the playoffs. He said their defense is hard. But I think those corner threes come from good movement elsewhere.
Starting point is 00:46:34 Corner threes are created when their best offensive players are doing other shit somewhere else on the court. Those guys aren't playing, particularly their best offensive player. And now Franz isn't playing, who's also great at offense. So those are like indicator species. Yes, there are three points shooting personnel. Jacoby does lack. KCP is underwhelming. But some of these are sort of byproducts of the offense
Starting point is 00:46:55 itself just not having its alpha and beta creators. Oh, like I used the alpha and beta. Sarudy, did you know where your oblique was five weeks ago? No idea. I thought it was a leg injury. Uh, that was like part of your hip. Where did you think it was in your body?
Starting point is 00:47:13 I thought it was like an inner quad thing. I don't know. Jacob, did you know where it was? Yeah, because they're called love handles. That's all you have to do is for us, for athletes, they're called obliques. For us, they're called love handles. That's where they are.
Starting point is 00:47:24 They're your love handles. So it's like right under, right above your rib? Your love they're called obliques. For us, they're called love handles. That's where they are. They're your love handles. Right above your ribs? It's your love handles or your obliques. It's a love handle injury that is sweeping through the magic locker room. Love handles. I wonder if they even knew how to diagnose this in like the 80s.
Starting point is 00:47:36 Like, like Bob McAdoo had a torn oblique for an entire year and had no idea. Cause he was like, ah, my side hurts. They're like, Bob, take some aspirin. Slept out. Yeah. But how did two guys, I know everyone's asking this, but it is fucking weird.
Starting point is 00:47:50 How did two guys get the same injury? It's like a haunted house. We don't understand it. Well, and the, I guess, Fron said he didn't even, he doesn't even know what he did it. He doesn't know at any point in the game. I heard that they were showing him different plays
Starting point is 00:48:00 and he couldn't even know what the play was. So maybe he doesn't even know where his own play is either. He's like, what's her. Really weird. Rank your three, your three teams you're afraid of in the East. Boston obviously won. Who's two Cleveland.
Starting point is 00:48:15 And I guess I'm, I guess I'm buying the Milwaukee, the Milwaukee cool later over the next. Oh, please. Oh, die easy. Nick's band Dave Jacoby is upset. No, maybe are over the next. Oh, please Die easy next fan Dave Jacobi is upset You just kicked our ass the other night and scared the crap out of me because if we had lost that game by 37 We would have been out of the NBA Cup and that would have been one of the most It was on the table. It was very much on the table in the third quarter and against and against tibbs That's the one guy you don't want to be against but I don't know. don't know. I, I'm still, I mean, the cap runs in thing is like incredible offensively right now,
Starting point is 00:48:49 but they're not the same team defensively. And I just, I'm a little, I'm a little worried about the playoff thing with the playoff cat defensively. How's that going to look? What's the Mitchell Robinson minutes? Like, I don't know. I'm just like, I'm with Bill too, the Bridges thing. Listen, we're picking hairs.
Starting point is 00:49:02 They're, they're good. They're a good team, obviously, but I don't know. There's something about this Knicks team I'm not ready to fully go all in on. Kirk, were you seeing 25 and 13 with 46% three-point shooting from Towns this year? Was that in your bingo card? Dude, yeah, he is incredible. I didn't know that Tom Thibodeau was an offensive genius until this year. I think that they're- Just found that out, yeah.
Starting point is 00:49:25 Yeah, I just learned that. 25 and 13, no, I think I would have put him around there. The 45, 46% number from three point is crazy, dude. I thought it was gonna go the other way. I thought it was gonna be like, oh, they gotta figure out how to get the ball more because there haven't been enough. Instead, it's like this him and Brunson as a combo
Starting point is 00:49:44 have been crazy. And then it seems like this him and Brunson as a combo have been crazy. And then it seems like the Knicks fans really like them too. That's the other thing that I think was up in the air. They're gonna get Precious and they're gonna get Mitch Robinson back. And I don't think we've seen what their defense really could be. But I'm with Sarudy.
Starting point is 00:50:01 I definitely go Celtics, Cavs, Knicks. Then I go Bucks. But I do think the Knicks offense deserves respect. They can score against anybody in a variety of ways. It's just like their shooting is great. And then Brunson and Catt. I do love the geometry, to borrow Jaylen's basketball geometry phrase. I love what the Knicks have spacing the court right now. Yeah. I think I'd go slight edge to, uh, the bucks cause of just how crazy Giannis is this year. Yeah.
Starting point is 00:50:30 It just seems like anytime he wants to go downhill and get, he turns. So my daughter went to the game on Friday cause my dad got a COVID shot. And I don't know. First of all, why did he get a COVID shot? Second, injected with COVID. First of all, why did he get a COVID shot? Great question. Second. What? Wait, what? He's like, I don't know. In the year 2024. Did he get injected with COVID? Is that his COVID cycle?
Starting point is 00:50:50 I was like, nobody, dad, it's 2024. What are you doing? So he got a COVID shot and then go figure, him and my stepmom both felt like crap the next day. So my daughter got to go to their boyfriend and she hadn't seen Janis in person. And it was, so she called me after and she was like, dad, is he like the best player of all time?
Starting point is 00:51:11 Like, where does he, what's going on with that? It just seems like every time he wants, he could just bulldoze over everybody and get a layup or a dunk. And I'm like, yeah, kind of who he is. No, it's this fat guy from Serbia actually. Yeah, I was like, yes, it's this fatac guy from Serbia, actually. Yeah, that was the Spac guy. The Spac guy's going to have 104 points this weekend, two games.
Starting point is 00:51:31 But I think we've been watching the Yadavs think for so long, we forget just fundamentally how insane it is that he could just basically get to wherever he wants no matter what the defense is. Middleton is the thing with them. To me, it's a 3A, 3B thing, and I want to know where we are with Middleton is the thing with them. I, I, to me it's a three a three B thing and I want to know where we are with Middleton, um, in March. And then Orlando is kind of lurking as the who knows team Miami.
Starting point is 00:51:54 It's interesting. I, and I don't, I don't think they have any chance to move up into this ladder, but they do seem like they've figured out something over the last two weeks with their team. Like hero carries the offense for three quarters Butler kind of takes over late BAM's having a really weird season like all his field goal stuff and stuff around the rim is terrible It's really like uncharacteristic But I for some reason I could see them Maybe upsetting somebody in one round,
Starting point is 00:52:26 but not more than that. And that's really it. I don't even know who else we would have in the East. Surti, you seem serenely confident. Just focused on March and April. It just sucked. The Franz injury sucks, because it takes away the potential all-star, the potential most improved.
Starting point is 00:52:41 All that stuff is kind of not there anymore. Well, it took away the super max though, which is good for you. I guess that could have been like a salary cap nightmare to have two super max guys. Speaking of contracts, I need to say this to the people who this summer were criticizing the Jalen Suggs deal, well, it was a five years, $150 million for a guy that scores 12 points. Who criticized that?
Starting point is 00:52:59 Yeah, who's that? People? People. Yes. Yes. A lot of our friends border. 4chan? Maybe some Raptors fans were still a little upset about how that draft.
Starting point is 00:53:08 By the way, the 2021 draft is my favorite draft in recent history, it's incredible. Like go down the list of just, every like week, I feel like you change the order of what guys you want. Obviously, Fron Suggs, what have we got? Cade Mobley, Shen Koon, Jalen Green, Barnes. Jalen Johnson was in that draft, yeah. Unbelievable draft.
Starting point is 00:53:24 Pay Suggs, the man's worth the money. He's one of the best winners in the league. He does things that other guys like he is, he is the ultimate winning player and whatever you need him to do. And you saw it tonight. Like he doesn't, he doesn't need to be a 30 point game score, but he was tonight. I think he's a third guy on a championship team and maybe even potentially has the, the ceiling of being a second guy if he was with somebody incredible.
Starting point is 00:53:47 Right? Like being the Jamal Murray, Drew Holiday spot if you get to play next to a Yanis or Jokic. Alright, thanks for stopping in Saruti. Thanks guys. Appreciate you Saruti. Congrats on your heroic effort tonight. Yeah, hopefully we see you in April, May. Before we go, Jacoby, you want to talk about Embiid? I do. What do you got?
Starting point is 00:54:10 What the fuck is going on? What is going on? My questions for you, Bill, are what is the plan? Do his teammates like him? And all I hear about is how little he communicates with the team about his availability, how he's late all the time. Like, Verno knew some guy who said he missed the team buses like the day after the report came out that he was late. It's just all like he's become in the last three years,
Starting point is 00:54:42 he's turned from one of the most likable stars in the league to someone who I, I'd like less and less and less every, every three months. And we're there right now. So here's why I've landed. Goldsberry. I, to me, remember we said that joke about Twitter, like when Twitter was really like a place a lot of people went to that you just wish you could have certain stories and just not even see them? That you could meet the story,
Starting point is 00:55:11 if the story was happening you just wouldn't even know about it. That's how I feel about it. Embiid might play tonight. Embiid's not gonna play tonight. Embiid's gonna rest tonight. Embiid has some swelling again. Embiid's feeling better.
Starting point is 00:55:22 I just, I'm just out. I'm tapping out. I can't do it. The chronic swelling was the most disturbing part of that story I thought this weekend. It's not even like he re-injured or anything. It was like, yeah, it's maintenance because he has chronic swelling.
Starting point is 00:55:37 What does chronic swelling mean? None of it sounds good. Goldspar, you were at San Antonio when this was going on with Kawhi. It was a little different. There was more mystery and Kawhi was younger. He wasn't seven foot three carrying a bunch of weight, but this just has a stranglehold over your franchise after a certain point, right?
Starting point is 00:55:55 Yeah, that's a perfect word. It really is just like a black cloud or a stranglehold. I'd actually compare it to Tim. A lot of people forget that Tim Duncan had a really bad knee his entire career. And the scourge that is known as load management has a lot to do with Tim Duncan's knee and Greg Popovich and the staff really making sure that they could get everything. And then, but that also meant that Tim had to be very serious about his nutrition and his sleep and all this other stuff.
Starting point is 00:56:26 And I think as Joel enters sort of the later stage of his career, if he wants to keep playing at this level, he has to be more serious, more professional, not just about being on time to the bus, but taking care of his body. The reason LeBron is LeBron at this age is because he was really careful about his body and respected that stuff. And unfortunately, this is what it looks like when somebody doesn't do that kind of thing, in my opinion. And I'm not quite sure where this is going.
Starting point is 00:56:57 I do think Philadelphia has reasons to be more optimistic than last time we talked about these guys on the podcast. I still think the East, what we just went through is like, oh, maybe Miami's the five seed. Unfortunately, there needs to be eight playoff teams in the Eastern Conference. And I think Philadelphia will get one of those slots. And so I think they could be pretty patient here. I just agree with what you guys are saying.
Starting point is 00:57:24 This is really troubling. Like the lack of communication, the lack of clarity, the weird Timmy Bon Temps quotes from this week. It's depressing. I don't even know it's injured. It's just inflammation. These are bad signs guys. Yeah this happened to the Celtics in 09 with KG. I don't know if you remember. KG got hurt. They were like 31 and 5. They had some crazy record and it was like KG is coming back. And then it was just, is he coming back? And then it was like team, not sure.
Starting point is 00:57:52 Still feeling pain. Nobody's saying anything. And it just turns into this. That, like you said, a black cloud where you don't know game to game. We tweak what's weird is that. I guess he looked pretty good in that bowl's game. I didn't watch it. I just saw the highlights. I watched the game, it was weird.
Starting point is 00:58:08 He started out terrible. He was like 0 for 7 or something. And everything was short. That Memphis game was the same thing where everything was short. And he has this brace, like his full leg brace on. And then he started to get warmed up. And they're spamming this high pick and roll with him and Maxie. Andie would just give him a pocket pass and he would just shoot from like 16 feet and Boosevich just didn't do anything about it.
Starting point is 00:58:31 And even if Boosevich was on him, he would just jab step and then shoot over him. And he was like, I don't have the numbers for him. He's like eight for 10 from like around the foul line, which is where in my opinion, when he was best with Doc was a coach, he would just like operate from the foul line, but he would do a lot of distributing and like driving, but they really just like, it got to the point where like the third quarter, he was just absolutely wet from the mid range. Like he scored like a ton of points after starting over seven, looking like he might as well just like go back on the bench.
Starting point is 00:59:00 Yeah, it's like when you see, like in a sports movie, there's like the fat old, like in a sports movie, there's like the fat old washed up guy who wanders on the court and just starts hitting like 20 footers. It just seems like a bead. He's so skilled from 18, 19 feet, it doesn't matter. They had him play for a month. All of a sudden he can just hit nine straight 20 footers.
Starting point is 00:59:20 But, you know, not to be a party pooper, but you know, they're in this stretch. They were calling it, Hollinger called it NBA, the NBA bye week basically where everybody has like one or two games over the course of eight days and they're playing Chicago. Then they have all this rest so he can have a game. He's playing Vucic. He's playing the bulls who are bottom five defensive team and he can go out there and get a good run, get his points,
Starting point is 00:59:43 not have to worry about playing the next day. I it's hard to feel optimistic after that, is my point. Like I wanna see what, their schedule starts to get harder, I think at the end of the year, they've got, did they have a road trip? Is he gonna be on the road trip? Is he gonna play? Then there's the part that you mentioned
Starting point is 01:00:00 about the teammates being asked about it. What do you think about Joel? How much do you guys miss Joelle? It's just day after day and, you know, it's not awesome. Especially when you're competing against teams like OKC where it's like everybody's young and hungry and they're all doing the post-game press conferences together and they're hanging out and they're ready to go.
Starting point is 01:00:18 So I don't know how it plays out. I'll tell you this though, the extension. Yeah. That's just so, wow. No, that's a, that's a, that is a very debilitating contract. And we talked about this earlier. It's like, you don't see a lot of good teams with this new cap bill with any bad contracts, let alone a max contract with a guy who's not playing that level.
Starting point is 01:00:43 Kicked in from the extension part yet. A hundred percent. It's like, how do you build a team when you have that much sort of money locked up in a player that may or may not even be able to, to play most nights? Jacobi, who's your favorite rookie? My favorite rookie. Yeah. In terms of like to watch or like I would want on my team
Starting point is 01:01:08 because I mean my favorite rookie is obviously Jared McCain just like as a vibe. Yeah. You know what I mean? Because he's so much fun and just sort of like so himself off the court. But I am also on Risa Shea Island. Like I wish he made threes. He's like 28% from three, but I everything else is there. 20 fluid. I know like that. I like a team of Johnson.
Starting point is 01:01:34 Daniel's Risa Shea. It's like Trey or no Trey. Like that is a core that I really, really like. And I'm much higher in Atlanta than like I should be. And I'll admit that. But I feel the same about Risa Shea. Like I've watched. He had a huge game. I forget who higher in Atlanta than like I should be. And I'll admit that. But I feel the same about Reese's shade. Like I've watched, he had a huge game. I forget who was against his early in the season. He had like 30 points or something. I was like,
Starting point is 01:01:50 this dude looks like a number one pick in the NBA draft. He's good. He knows what he's doing. I had over under bet. I had over bets for them before the season when I was in Denver last week, I doubled down because the over was still too low. Cause I think that's a over 500 team. I think my favorite rookie is Castle. Yes. One. For what he's going to do, I think this year.
Starting point is 01:02:14 I think they're going to have real trouble keeping them out of the lineup. And there's a chance like he's their second best player by the end of the year. I just like him. I like how hard he plays. He seems like the kind of guy OKC would have. Just like a really, really, really gives a shit to a guy. He can't really shoot yet, but, um, I thought he was my favorite guy heading into the draft. I thought he's the guy I would have taken number one if I was Atlanta. Um, and everything I've seen from him, I would not waver on that one. I want to see more Reed Shepherd is the one I think I'm the most interested by
Starting point is 01:02:46 because I don't think Van Vliet's had a good season and the shooting stats back it up, they're not good. And I wonder, I know they have, I forget if it's a player option or a team option next year, but Reed Shepard within two years will probably be running that team. But I almost, that's one of those where you want Van Vliet to have some very minor injury for three days or three games, running that team. But I almost, that's one of those where you want like,
Starting point is 01:03:05 you know, VNB to have some very minor injury for three days or three games just to kind of see Reid Shepard get to drive the car out of the garage a couple times. He's one, it's weird, I like this draft more than I thought Kirk. There's a lot of guys, they're not superstars, but there's a lot of guys where I'm like, I kind of like that guy. Even Klingon on Portland, I like Zach Eady, there's a lot of guys, they're not superstars, but there's a lot of guys where I'm like, I kinda like that guy.
Starting point is 01:03:25 Even Klingon on Portland. I like Zach Eady, there's a bunch of them. I'm gonna come back to you on Eady, because I need to know how the surf has been over at Eady Island, if the seawalls are holding up. But I wanna know, yeah, Steven, Castle is the answer for me, and it's not close, and I'm obviously close to the Spurs.
Starting point is 01:03:45 They are very excited about all the stuff he does. I love the description of a thunder like player. He is that kind of dog in him stereotype, but he does the stuff that doesn't show up in the box score. They love this guy. He's adding sort of an edge to their group. I think Jeremy Sohan is kind of like that too, and I think it could help them. to their group. I think Jeremy Sohan is kind of like that too. And I think it could help them. You know, they're destined to build a great defense in San Antonio. And I think he could be part of that. Like Lou Dort, another potentially great defender,
Starting point is 01:04:16 he needed to get a shot. And Louis figured that out. So I feel like Castle could get a little of that. Dalton Connect obviously needs to be mentioned. I know he's older, but I think he's been fantastic given where they got him in the draft. I'm still on Risha Shea Island. I'm not giving up on that anytime soon. But for me, I'll say Reid Shepard, I think is going to be great in this league for a long time.
Starting point is 01:04:44 But I'm going Castle has really won me over in the last few weeks specifically. But tell me Bill, Zach Eaddy, was he everything you dreamed of or are you a little bit let down at this point in the season? Well, I think Memphis is so deep. Yeah. That I thought he would actually be this important, like weird, just kind of, you know, throw a cannonball in the pool just to shake it up kind of thing, but they don't need it. They just have too many good bench guys.
Starting point is 01:05:12 Their bench is crazy. And the fact that Al Dhamma is actually good now. Al Dhamma. Yeah. You can't take minutes away from Al Dhamma. What are you crazy? No, those guys are just- He's also not available. He's just not available right now. We haven't seen him too much. Yeah, true. Yeah, Sar, that's probably the worst possible situation for a guy like that. It's like your team's gonna just be awful
Starting point is 01:05:34 and you're just gonna learn some bad habits, but too early to say what we talked about him. I mean, one other thing with Memphis, another reason that Edie's probably not even gonna play that much is that Brandon Clark has, I was so impressed with him in the Boston game, but just it feels like he's got his explosiveness back. And he's a really unique player,
Starting point is 01:05:52 like that crazy undersized energy guy that always seems to be on good teams. So yeah, I like the draft. We'll see with Dillingham, that was the other one that I was super duper intrigued by, but it feels like they phased them out a little bit because they're trying to get their defense going. Um, so we'll see what happens with that. Who's your most disappointing team, Jacoby Indiana?
Starting point is 01:06:17 Oh, I mean, that's leading the witness. So I'm going to try to go with another team. You're going to zag on me. That's fine. I'm trying to, but I mean, obviously the most disappointing team is the Sixers, but I think there's a reason for that. Just availability. Like I, I, I think the Sixers, you know, I think the Sixers will turn around and end up being a playoff team.
Starting point is 01:06:32 Let's not forget they were in the plan last year and ended up in like a, a really good series against the Knicks, but, um, it has to be the Pacers and Halliburton. And remember this time last year at the, during the in-season tournament it was called at the time. They were they were the bell of the ball and Halliburton was this like rising superstar. They put him in the stupid commercial with Rosario Dawson. He's not even a factor whatsoever. And his like home road stuff is really strange. I don't think I've seen anything like that. home road stuff is really strange.
Starting point is 01:07:03 I don't think I've seen anything like that. But yeah, I would, I would say the Pacers because it's, it's a real, you know, the expectations were at a point that they're just not reaching. It's probably Tommy Alters fault. Who's your most disappointed team, Kirk? Well, this one's for Chris Vernon, uh, the Memphis Grizzlies. I've been very disappointed. What do you, I'm just kidding.
Starting point is 01:07:26 Uh, yeah, that's right. I would say the Minnesota Timberwolves because I thought the Randall trade was good. Dante DiVincenzo too. It hasn't worked. It has not worked. They went from having this very strong identity with great defense and good offense to not really having an identity and looking like a middle of packs team in the Western Conference, when most of us thought they were going up a level, not down a level in this exact season, Bill.
Starting point is 01:07:57 So for me, I think the Pacers have a very strong claim to this conference finalists. But I will say Minnesota, because I really want Anthony Edwards have a very strong claim to this conference finalists. But I will say Minnesota, because I really want Anthony Edwards to be the face of American superstars in the next five, 10 years. I love everything about him.
Starting point is 01:08:14 So I've been particularly disappointed with that team's performance after what they did last year. Those are two great choices. Congratulations to both of you. But the answer is the Phoenix Suns. They don't have KD. Okay. What do you want them to do?
Starting point is 01:08:28 Yep. They don't have KD. Make excuses for Big Shot Bob Sarver. They're 13 and 11. They're like one and nine without KD. Okay. But guess what? They traded all their first round picks.
Starting point is 01:08:41 They traded McHale Bridges. They traded Cam Johnson. They traded Deandre Ayton. They traded all their second round picks. They traded McHale Bridges. They traded Cam Johnson. They traded Deandre Ayton. They traded all their second round picks. They traded everything to have basically a three guy team and one of the three guys has been in the league since 2007 and has a bunch of injuries and has gotten hurt twice. And I don't know why I fell for it, it made me mad.
Starting point is 01:09:02 They were one of my favorite overs. I picked them to win the division. I thought they were gonna be a 50 plus win team. And I forgot the fact that they're built around this guy who's been in the league for 18 years, asking him to be their rim protector, their crunch time scorer, to do 30 a game, nine rebounds a game, make 50% of your shots
Starting point is 01:09:20 and 45% of your threes, do everything. And it's like, oh, guess what? He lasted a month before he got hurt twice. And I'm just mad at myself more than anything. But you have to be disappointing when you trade literally a decade of stuff for the team you have in your 13 and 11. So that's my answer. They made the Beale trade.
Starting point is 01:09:41 Were you like, that's great? Well, like no one liked that trade. Yeah. Especially now with all the apron stuff that happened, that trade looks even a hundred times worse. Like you would much rather have the flexibility now. But when you just consider all the assets they sent out for the team that they have now and it's all hinging on, well, when Durant's healthy, it might not happen.
Starting point is 01:10:04 You know, he's seven foot one and he's had a lot of lower below the hip injuries at this point and they put a huge burden on him and play in big minutes. And I would just be nervous if I was sons. Yeah, I can see it. Counterpoint. You don't want to draw them in the first round of the playoffs because they're, let's, let's imagine the KD plays well, gets back. They're going to climb in the standings.
Starting point is 01:10:27 Right now, I think they're tenth or whatever. They're going to climb in the standings. And then you see them in the first round, and you're like, man, Booker and KD can get on a heater. You know? It feels a little bit like they're basically the Sixers. But, counter, doesn't everybody have two good guys at this point? No. No, the Rockets have zero.
Starting point is 01:10:47 They're one of the best teams in the league. But they can play defense though. Yes. I guess for me Kirk with Phoenix, there's always going to be... Now that Nurkic is pretty much unplayable, they're leaning on Plumlee now as their center and Tias Jones. These are like bench guys. These are guys that would be like 10th or 11th players on the Celtics or the Thunder and these are two of their crunch time guys
Starting point is 01:11:11 Yeah, it goes back to our theme earlier it's like there's not a lot of old and overpaid great teams in the NBA right now and They're their best players older as you pointed out Devin Booker certainly not old He I'm not mad at his contract. The Beale deal, to me, sticks out like a sore thumb on their cap sheet. NERC, like, you have to have pretty much a perfect roster. And I kind of agree with you. Doesn't everybody have at least one superstar that we're talking about winning at all?
Starting point is 01:11:42 Yeah, pretty much. I think that is fair. And to me, the differentiating stuff is now lower down on your depth chart. And that's where this team is just really not great. And I don't think they'll ever be able to play defense well enough to keep up with the top teams in the West. But I keep going back to that Bradley Beal decision
Starting point is 01:12:02 because that was a lot of depth they traded essentially for one other player that might have sort of a repetitive role next to Devin and Kevin. 70 plus million for Bradley Beale and Nurkage and Bow Bow. Is Bow Bow still on the team? Yeah. It smells like new owner decisions. Guys, thanks for staying up with me. It's a pleasure seeing you. Great seeing you in your but weird undisclosed New York City location at one in the morning. I don't know where you are. Be careful walking home, Jacobes.
Starting point is 01:12:34 Kirk, great to see you. We, even though we were sloppy seconds tonight, uh, I had great time talking to you guys. Uh, I will see you soon. I'm sure. Thanks for coming up. Yes, I will see you soon, I'm sure. Thanks for coming up. Visa and OpenTable are dishing up something new.
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Starting point is 01:13:50 really since Super Bowl with the Giants and the Pats that I never really talked about. Craig Horlbeck is here too. Let's talk football. There's no reason for this. We just turned the mics on. Come on. Sal brought up last night on the podcast about whether if you were granted, it's like a generic talk show segment,
Starting point is 01:14:07 but it really got my brain turning about Josh Allen versus Mahomes, Mahomes the resume versus what we're actually watching week to week, game to game, like the shit that he's doing, the shit when they're down 35 to 13 against the Rams and you're just like, not turning this off. I feel like Josh can bring this back. You've been on the Bills thing forever.
Starting point is 01:14:29 So is anything different this year? Or are the toys better for him? Is it just the experience? What is it? What's different? Between the ears, it's like the happiest he's ever been in his life. And I mean like in all different ways.
Starting point is 01:14:42 Is that a Stefan Diggs sub tweet? A little bit. It's funny to think about like, can you even remember the last Bills loss? It's been so long before the Rams game. They lost to the Texans that night and the take was like, wow, Diggs got over on the Bills. And there was this viral moment of Diggs like side eyeing him. And we haven't heard from Diggs since he got hurt and Allen's taken over the world.
Starting point is 01:15:01 But loves his offensive coordinator, never more comfortable, loves the guys in the room. And I don't think this is irrelevant. Like, he's engaged to a movie star and a pop star and his personal life is out of control, like over the hill, over the moon, amazing. And he has a good run game and a good offensive line. Like, what do you want as a quarterback? My line's awesome. My running backs are awesome. I have like a really cool girl that I'm with and like my receivers are cool guys And I know they're not Calvin Johnson, but like they make plays for me. I think he's so happy and so confident I think it's great. Yeah, we joked last week on the fantasy pod that last week was Josh Allen's apex mountain, right?
Starting point is 01:15:34 Engaged a Haley Steinfeld had the night game whole thing literally a week later. Week later. He already beat it Even though he lost to the Rams. I would say his now this is his apex mountain He had the greatest day in fantasy football history, basically. 52 points. And he locked up the MVP. You think it's done? Yeah. I think he did, yeah.
Starting point is 01:15:51 I can't count out Lamar yet for some reason, but I think it's like, Fandil would say it's done. It's like he's like a minus 500 favorite. In a regular year, Lamar, there's Lamar fatigue. He's already got it a couple of times. And I, listen, I was, I want Saquon to win a battle. Just be cool. He would have to have the perfect campaign. Like he'd have to break the Dixon record.
Starting point is 01:16:07 He'd have to have the touchdown, right? Everything. Allen just took it away. I'm not sure it can be Saquon. Oh, really? It's hard. Two years ago, the Eagles made the Super Bowl with Miles Sanders.
Starting point is 01:16:17 Yeah. And so it's like, I just... I'm out. I did this last week. I'm out on the Saquon. I just think, like... I want it to. It would be cool.
Starting point is 01:16:24 But I don't think they can do it. This is the dumbest way to think about it, but I also think it's the best way to think about it. When somebody gets hurt, what happens to the line? Like if Josh Allen got hurt, the Bill's line moves by nine points. If Barkley gets hurt, the Eagles line moves by like two and a half points.
Starting point is 01:16:38 Again, they were like the best team in the league with Miles Sanders too. Yeah, so that's what, I hate that it has to be a quarterback pretty much every year, unless the guy's having the most amazing season ever, or there's no like awesome quarterback. But for the most part, this is the most,
Starting point is 01:16:53 it's like saying like, no, the pilot's not the MVP of this airplane. It's actually the third flight attendant. Got those peanuts. She's killing it. It's like, you know who's the MVP? The fucking pilot, cause we're crashing if the pilot doesn't make out. But I think it's the Allen thing, you know, the MVP, the fucking pilot, because we're crashing. And the pilot doesn't make out.
Starting point is 01:17:06 But I think as the Allen thing, especially as it pertains to Mahal, my concern is that that Rams game 20 years from now, when like you tell your kids, your grandkids about Josh Allen, like that's the Josh Allen experience. He's unbelievably cool superhero action star and the Bills lose. Right. And then the Dopey play with the QB sneak or they waste the time out. What are you doing? Like is he, I just worry that he's like Dominique Wilkins or something like just so awesome, incredible talent. What did it amount to? He's even said it. He's like, he said it. I'm sick of winning t-shirts. He has a whole stack of t-shirts that are like division champ
Starting point is 01:17:41 t-shirts. And he's like, I want to get them out of my closet I don't want these anymore that's what he's known for at this point because if they lose in the playoffs if they lose the playoff this year to the Chiefs what do you think if you're a Bills fan like this Chiefs team sucks we can't even be this one it's right it's a that's why that's why it'll be the Steelers that they lose to it might be I know you're big on the Steelers I am I I am stunned that the Steelers have not gotten more credit this year I don't get it. I don't know what else they have to do.
Starting point is 01:18:06 I'm holding my breath a little bit. They have a really tough- Craig's a Steelers fan, so he's being super careful. This is a tough four game stretch they're heading into. And it's been pretty easy the last four weeks. Now they're Eagles, Chiefs, Bengals, Bengals? No, Eagles, Chiefs, Bengals. It's a tough stretch.
Starting point is 01:18:20 They're playing Christmas night too. Yeah. The Josh thing, the way you laid it out, really makes me think of Peyton Manning first half of the 2000s, where he had reached this point where he was the best regular season quarterback. He was the guy you would take first in fantasy,
Starting point is 01:18:35 all that stuff, but you never felt like he was actually gonna win. And then they end up winning in 06, partly because the Pats choked away a 21 to three halftime lead. In the dome. Marlon Jackson's interception sealed it sealed it and was like, holy shit, they beat Brady. And this is my test for the Chiefs right now. So we're picking away at all of them and they barely win and all their numbers are terrible and the offense looks legitimately bad except
Starting point is 01:18:57 for one drive every game. Let's say they get the one seed, they get the bye. The division, Ron, you're watching on your couch and the Chiefs lose to Pittsburgh or Baltimore or Houston or something like that. Are you surprised? Because I'm shocked. I'll fall off my chair if they lose the Division round, even as bad as they've been. That's my respect for them. I agree completely. It's every week. I'd be shocked if the Chiefs lost. I was like, oh, you know, if the Bills play the Chiefs again in the playoffs, this is what we see every year. The Bills beat Mahomes in the regular season,
Starting point is 01:19:29 Mahomes beats Allen in the playoffs. It's the same thing every single year. The problem for the Chiefs is sometimes you can pass the point of no return with weapons. Cause, and I said this last night in the pod, like this did happen to Brady a couple of times where, like 0-6, he was awesome. And we just had nobody we had Lawrence Maroney and starting running back and Richa Caldwell and Jabar Gaffney and Ben Watson it's like
Starting point is 01:19:52 you just didn't have enough weapons when we needed third downs there was that one guy to get open there was that awesome running back I don't think the Chiefs weapons are that bad but there's been some Brady seasons where he was better than the team and I wonder with Mahomes this year I thought he took a lot of hits on Sunday night. It's so weird. I feel like last year was the year the Chiefs were supposed to lose and then the criticisms would come. What did they go, 11 and 6? And it was like yeah, you know, this is what we were saying. You can't do this again. Not with these weapons. Yeah, the Raiders killed them on Christmas.
Starting point is 01:20:21 Yes, it was like a super war. Or should they have lost and Allen missed that one third of digs, there was one other play. Like, if you really watch that game closely, it was kind of amazing the Bills didn't win that game. Yeah, I don't think anybody knows what to do now. Now that they come out of this weird 11 and six year where they shouldn't have won the Super Bowl, but they did.
Starting point is 01:20:36 And now they're 12 and one, and they've won 16 straight games that were one score. It's the most improbable run. I mean, can you think of anything like this in the last 20, 30 years in the NFL? No, there, there were some weird Patriot years wondering like how we were doing it week after week, but this is different because they're almost adding this degree of difficulty to the wins and I'm not a lucky person with football.
Starting point is 01:20:59 I never really bought into that because clearly they're good. Clearly like the plays that he was making yesterday, especially in the last drive, that third and 15 was crazy. So cool. Yeah, right? The third and seven, you know he's going to get it. So that's its own skill.
Starting point is 01:21:14 I thought what would concern me if I was them was the charges I thought were really physical with them in the second half. In a way that I don't remember seeing with the Chiefs. Yes. But you always felt like the Chiefs were going to lose. It was because they, you know, they dropped the key third down pass or something. I thought the Chargers were like pushing them back.
Starting point is 01:21:32 Without their best running back. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, the Chargers are built like Michigan. Without their best receiver. No, definitely. I think the Chargers are going to win a playoff game. I like them still.
Starting point is 01:21:40 I'm not jumping ship on the Chargers. Yeah. Without the best receiver, without the best running back, they play great defense. So they'll be a sixth seed, right? They'll be whatever behind Baltimore, Pittsburgh. I'm not jumping ship on the Chargers. Without the best receiver, without the best range, they play great defense. I like them. So they'll be a six seed, right? They'll be whatever behind Baltimore Pittsburgh. So a six seed would put them probably against either Buffalo or Pittsburgh.
Starting point is 01:21:53 Yeah, and I don't like that much. I don't like the Chargers. But the distinction I think with the Chiefs weapons, it's like, I think there's having players that are just kind of average, but then there's having players who are just kind of average the way they're playing, who are made guys.
Starting point is 01:22:07 Like, Jandre Hopkins and Kelsey, even Judy. Those are guys who've been around, who've been in playoff games with one. Those are the guys who are like, oh shit, we turned on the division around. Kelsey had nine catches and two touchdowns. Like, they've done it. It's not average players who just suck
Starting point is 01:22:21 and have never done it. These guys are all a friend of ours. I know what I mean? They can turn it on. That's why they go in. That's why I'm so cautious with the Chiefs, because of the Kelsey keeping him in the garage with the Tarpon thing. Yeah. Like, they're just clearly doing that. Yeah, we didn't see him for two hours in the game yesterday.
Starting point is 01:22:38 And you know, in fantasy, like, people are still paying for him in fantasy. Yeah, he was still the fringe first guy who went off the board in drafts. It was like him and La Porta. But then you watch Bowers, although Tampa was able to take him out a little yesterday, and Bowers is just like, Gronk crossed with Kelsey, crossed with like a sports movie tight end.
Starting point is 01:22:55 Easily number one. He's open all the times, he's just crushing everybody. And Kelsey could probably do that in January in round two, but I don't think they're using that skill now. So I don't know, If I had to rank them, I honestly think Pittsburgh's the safest bet out of the three. Because of the defense. More than Buffalo?
Starting point is 01:23:14 Yeah. Yeah, okay. I think they could beat Buffalo in Buffalo because they can get some explosive plays, but I think Buffalo has a better chance of beating KC. Because the thing with KC that I can't wrap, I feel like if you can get 24 and up on them, points wise, you're probably beating them, right? Buffalo beat them 30-21.
Starting point is 01:23:32 But Pittsburgh's more likely to play the 18 to 16, 19 to 16 type-K and city game, which is better for KC. So I do feel like there's some rock, paper, scissors. Yeah, I think Arthur Smith and Russ are really starting to work well, especially last week without Pickens, which I do think Tom there's some rock, paper, scissors. Yeah. I think Arthur Smith and Russ are really starting to work well, especially last week without Pickens, which I do think Tomlin held Pickens. I think Pickens could have played in that game.
Starting point is 01:23:50 I think they knew they had this gauntlet coming out. They held them against the Browns. 100% agree. They were at home. I think that was a very smart move by Tomlin. They knew they could beat Jameis. There were more open guys in that game than there've been all season for Pittsburgh.
Starting point is 01:24:00 So I do think Arthur Smith and Russ are really starting to gel. I just worry that in January, they're in Buffalo. They need to score 35 to beat the Bills. They're doing too high. They're taking off all the top end stuff for Russ. You really got to rely on like Najee Harris having a good game running the ball and then if it's not Pickens it gets real thin real quick. I'm a little worried. I almost wonder if like they could muck it up with the Chiefs and win a game like 1970. That's where I feel it.
Starting point is 01:24:25 Yeah, but Kyle knows the way to beat the Bills is what the Rams did yesterday. You're just five yard run, four yard run, seven yard run, seven yard pass, three yard run, five yard. You're just chipping away, chipping away, chipping away. Lock a punt. You get this big play. Yeah, big defensive play. And then Jesus Christ, Nakula and Cooper were just doing anything they wanted. They looked bad. I mean, Stafford, Nakula and Pucar is like the highest degree of difficulty
Starting point is 01:24:48 offense in the league. Like it is so hard, but they do it because they're so good. And I'm like, I will worry a little bit. But what did they run for? The running game, I thought, was the most interesting part of that. Because Buffalo, I wouldn't say they're like a giant defense. No, not really.
Starting point is 01:25:03 It feels like you can push it backwards. They thought that, okay, so Matt Milano's back now. Like he was their heart're like a giant defense. No, not really. It feels like you can push them backwards. They thought that, okay, so Matt Milano's back now. Like he was the heart and soul of their defense. He's back there gonna stop it. And Terrell Bernard's amazing in the middle. But like they did this Blake Coram thing that we haven't seen a lot of them this year. And then obviously Kyron.
Starting point is 01:25:17 My, I have a little bit of a spicy take on the Bills Ramstein. I actually think that loss was good for the Bills. And I'll tell you why. Like everybody was just on their nuts across the whole country because they did a lateral play and they won in the snow and they're the best team ever. They go across the country, they get their ass whipped a little bit. Now they play the Lions, which is one of the biggest games of the regular season.
Starting point is 01:25:36 I think they need to have their shit humbled a little bit, just a little bit. They were such a darling for about three or four days and then they weren't that good. And I think that get that loss out of the way now maybe and have a little bit of a wake-up call. I actually was not shocked that they lost that game, because McVeigh is amazing. And when Kup and Nakua are out there for the Rams this year, the Rams are six and two.
Starting point is 01:25:54 Like, they're a very, very good team. And their defense is like super young, super doesn't give a crap. I'll hit Josh Allen late, talk shit to him, don't care. Like, the Rams are, if I had to pick a team that, holy shit, a team that's in the Super Bowl, I'd pick the Rams, as like the holy shit team. Your holy shit team?
Starting point is 01:26:09 My holy shit team is the Rams. Like that is a dark horse, Cinderella, all that. Like they have the quarterback, I think they have the best coach in football, and they have this crazy young defense who doesn't know that they're not supposed to be that good yet. They're my holy shit Super Bowl team.
Starting point is 01:26:22 I think the holy shit team has to be AFC. Okay. Just for me. But I like that pick. But I think... Like the Chargers would be a holy shit AFC. I just think that Detroit-Philly talent pedigree... It's good. ...is going to be really... Especially if you have to go into Detroit, round two, round three, and try to take those guys. Whereas the AFC, I don't really love any team.
Starting point is 01:26:40 And I could... I feel the best about Pittsburgh. I certainly wouldn't feel like awesome about Russell Wilson winning three straight playoff games. You know? Um, yeah. And if this is the year to go against KC. My holy shit playoff team would actually be the Chargers because they can block. And they can chase the passer.
Starting point is 01:26:59 And once we get into January, if you can just do those two things, make a couple plays, not turn the ball over and win a couple ugly games. That's what the Chiefs did last year. You know, I was really impressed by their mystery. I think they're the Chargers in a loss. I thought they, uh, I thought they really handled the Chiefs defensive line. I was surprised. And like Herbert misses wide open touchdown.
Starting point is 01:27:20 Palmer. Yeah. He missed another guy like 35 yards down the field. Their running backs are among the worst in the league without Dobbins. Yeah. Gus Edwards and Vidal, like come on. They're overachieving this year. Like it's impressive already what Harbaugh's done year one.
Starting point is 01:27:33 Yeah. This was supposed to be kind of like, all right, we'll get our line and we build from the inside out, see what we got. We'll see what we have in Lad McConkie. He's already one of the better rookie wide receivers in the league. You know what's funny? We talk about football all the time. And we always look for these angles on
Starting point is 01:27:49 what makes the team special, who's gonna be the sleeper. This was the first year where I was like, all I care about are coaches and QBs. Smart. I did all my over-unders and I was like, if you have a coach or a QB, I'm not even worried that the Chargers don't have receivers. I'm going over, I'm picking them to make the playoffs.
Starting point is 01:28:06 They have Harbaugh and Herbert. Doesn't matter. That should be enough. Yes. Whereas like flip side, I don't know, Vegas, I don't understand their quarterback situation at all. I don't know where we're getting them. I'm out. And I wonder sometimes is football just that simple?
Starting point is 01:28:20 Is it all about the QB and the coach and the rest of it is like periphery? Yeah, in retrospect, looking at Rodgers and Sala, it's like,y? Yeah in retrospect looking at Rogers and Sala it's like I you know I like Robert Sala. Were you big on them? Yeah I think everybody was a little bit. That was my big mistake I had the Jets over Buffalo in the division that was my biggest regret. But Rogers is Walsh like he's you know if you knew he's gonna be the 41 year old Walsh Rogers I wouldn't have picked that. I know my big thing in fantasy this year is like try to eliminate as much randomness as you can. Like only bet on things that you can depend on
Starting point is 01:28:49 that you know are gonna happen. Coach and quarterback. And then I just was completely blind to the Jets. Like a 40 year old quarterback coming off a torn Achilles. I just. My biggest miss. I got so deceived by all the Buffalo dead cap space stuff and transition year. I just, they snuckered me.
Starting point is 01:29:03 I think they snuckered themselves. I don't even know if they expected this. Yeah. I really do think it was, all right, this would be a year and we'll lose in the wild card or whatever, but just Allen's been that good and defense has been that good. Can I give you like a surprise disgruntled team right now? Yeah.
Starting point is 01:29:18 I'm kind of with you, like, I have a couple friends and they're Philly guys, and they're like beside themselves right now. They hate this team. They're like, we're going to lose. We're going to go one and done. They're panicking. But like six days ago, everybody was thinking the trades defense is so banged up.
Starting point is 01:29:34 Philly, the season parted for Philly. That's how I was feeling. The Eagles have won nine in a row. And they're like, no, Hertz doesn't have it. There's not their, their kicker keeps missing. That freaks people out. He can't make one from 50 plus. He hasn't made one all year.
Starting point is 01:29:47 After this game, this last game, the problem is, all right, they barely beat the Panthers. And people have to update their expectations of the Panthers. The Panthers aren't the Panthers from September. They're actually kind of good. They're frisky. Like they almost beat the Chiefs. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:29:59 They're exactly frisky. They did it, they had a 98 yard drive almost to win a game with three minutes left. I mean, Bryce Young won that game. LaGette dropped it. I know. And so Eagles fans are like, we suck. First of all, the Panthers are pretty good. But then right after the game, AJ Brown, after a win, the ninth in a row, they're like,
Starting point is 01:30:16 AJ, what do you think you need to work on? He's like, passing. You got to get better at passing. Jesus, AJ, you won nine in a row. There's some issues with Hertz. And I think there's Eagles fans still don't totally believe in him. Just my friends. I think he's a really good player.
Starting point is 01:30:29 But there's my friends. And I think also. And they don't really believe in Sirianni either right? Definitely not. So coach and quarterback. And also I think AJ Brown is like tired of this Saquon shit. Like we passed the ball the least in the whole team. They're ranked last in the league in past attempts.
Starting point is 01:30:42 They run it. They have an MVP running back. I don't know if he's liking that either. This reminds me of, I was talking to an MVP. There's nine in a row they've won, and they're pissed. Are they waiting for the collapse? Because remember the Eagles were like 10-1 last year, but it was the weirdest Super Bowl hangover
Starting point is 01:30:55 where everybody was miserable, but they were 10-1? No, they're supposed to be good. Their defense is awesome. It's amazing. They retooled immediately. This was a theory I heard about the Nuggets. You made me think of, about like, AJ Brown being pissed. Yeah, like, that was like, why isn't Jamal Murray playing better? It's like, because Jokic does everything.
Starting point is 01:31:11 This person I know was saying how, NBA, it was just a theory. It's like, those guys are tired of just being like, Jokic is towel boys, and everything's Jokic, Jokic, Jokic. It's just, oh, what a miracle it must be to play with Yokey. Oh he gets all the stats. And like Jamal Murray, Michael Porter Jr. Where's mine?
Starting point is 01:31:31 I want you too. Cause they already won a title. So AJ Brown's like enough with the backwards hurdle. We get it. Enough with the sick one shit. Enough with the tush push. I don't know. It's probably easier when the star is the quarterback.
Starting point is 01:31:41 When it's the running back it probably rubs AJ Brown the wrong way. He's like I'm just as good as that guy. I look I can't play quarterback but it's the running back, it probably rubs A.J. Brown the wrong way. He's like, I'm just as good as that guy. I look, I can't play quarterback, but it's the running back? Really? It's true. I mean, counter, is there a wide receiver who's gruntled? We have a lot of disgruntled receivers. Do we have gruntled receivers?
Starting point is 01:31:57 Jefferson always seems pretty gruntled. Even when he wasn't putting up numbers. Yeah, he seemed happy for Addison. Huge contract. Huge. Plays indoors. Like, everybody loves him. I think Jefferson's gruntled. Two freshly cracked eggs any way you like them.
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Starting point is 01:32:49 all of us who do podcasts and content were all just assuming this was your classic Viking season where the stats say they should have been nine and eight and they went 14 to three, but. No, they went every week. But it's not a Sam Darnold conversation. It's nuts. So my background in Sam Darnold is,
Starting point is 01:33:05 okay, was supposed to be the number one overall pick, fell a little bit, Baker rises up and steal it. From that point, every single coach slash guru, all the McVeys and Shanahans and like Jordan Palmer types, they all swear that Sam's the man. Oh, Darnold's incredible, Darnold's got it. And as a fan, you're like, he mostly sucks every time we see him.
Starting point is 01:33:24 It just feels like when someone keeps recommending the show, you gotta watch the show, it's so good, it's so good. And you're like, he mostly sucks every time we see him. It just feels like when someone keeps recommending the show, you gotta watch the show, it's so good, it's so good. And you're like, it's not that good. They're like, watch another episode. I promise, watch another episode. That was Schitt's Creek for me. Yeah, keep watching. I mean, dude, I'm on three seasons in,
Starting point is 01:33:34 I don't like the show. So you get to sit calm, yeah. The show is finally amazing. And all those coaches were like, he's amazing. And yet, they may just cut paper with him this year. Well, I was gonna ask. It says, I don't know. What do they have just cut baseline this year. Well, I was gonna ask. It says, I don't know.
Starting point is 01:33:46 What do they have to do in the playoffs where it becomes a problem for the Minnesota front office thinking, well, now what? I said to Sal. They're in the NFC championship, what happens now? I said to Sal on Sunday's pod, I don't know how they let him go at this point. Like when you have a quarterback that,
Starting point is 01:33:59 your team's built around these two awesome receivers that you have, right? You have a quarterback who's clearly clicking with them in a real way. Who's made big plays over and over again, down the stretch. Why do I have to start JJ McCarthy next year? Why can't I just trade JJ McCarthy? He's that eighth, it was seventh, third, eighth pick. What was he seventh?
Starting point is 01:34:17 Seventh pick. I don't know where he was. Top 10. I know he's coming off a torn ACL. But you loved him. But you think like I'm trading him for a high second and I get to pay Sam Darnold. I think Sal and I went through all the teams that need quarterbacks. There's probably four legitimate plus maybe Seattle if they don't pay Geno, maybe Purdy.
Starting point is 01:34:37 Sure. Six total. Yeah. I just think if I'm Vegas, I'm paying them. They're like the anti-chiefs because no matter how bad the chiefs look, I think to myself, I'm still going to bet on my homes. No, how would I bet the Vikings look? It doesn't matter how good the Vikings look.
Starting point is 01:34:50 I'm like, hey, in the playoffs, I'm going to bet against him. Yeah, we did Million Dollar Picks Thursday and the house was like imploring me to put the Vikings in a parlay. And I was just like, it looks too easy. Something's wrong. I don't make me nervous. Nobody likes cousins. And we ended up doing it
Starting point is 01:35:06 and Falcon scored seven nothing and I'm texting house like, motherfucker, why did I listen to you, you fucking dick. They were good earlier. Listen, same organization, Vikings, a few years back, they're in the NFC title game, their quarterback is Case Keenum. Right. Killing it, making miracles, that's a fun day, he's like, oh my god, Keenum. Yeah. Moved on, went to cousins, it was the right move. Oh my god, Keenum. Yeah. Moved on. Went to Cousins. It was the right move. Yeah, but here's the difference with Darnold. If you're just talking about what, if I have a franchise quarterback, what do I want? Do I want size? Well, he has that escapability. He has that cannon arm. Has that, is he pretty good down the stretcher when you need him to make some plays? He's done that all year Also, he doesn't say shit. It's like a model citizen great reputation. Teammates like him. Yeah, I don't know what he's missing
Starting point is 01:35:50 I watch quarterbacks for 10 to 11 hours every Sunday and most of them are bad and he's actually pretty good The take is very insulting to him. Here's the take Okay, you have Jefferson and Addison and Aaron Jones and Hockinson and KOC is your coach. Of course you're succeeding. Right. It's the Brock Purdy. Hey, put somebody in there. It's the Brock Purdy. And you know how this is gonna go because when he leaves and signs a four-year 160 million Daniel Jones contract somewhere else, he's not gonna be good
Starting point is 01:36:19 because it's the Kevin O'Connell system of making Josh Dobbs good for three weeks and it seems like Kevin O'Connell is like the guru quarterback whisper now. And I just know Donald is going to go sign a deal with like, God forbid, the Giants or something and be terrible. It's going to happen. And we've seen, cousins won 11 and one as the Vikings quarterback. And they won every, and they got to the plate and they lost to Daniel Jones. So that's part of the reason why everyone's like, I don't know, Donald,
Starting point is 01:36:41 it's, I feel like we've seen this shit before. That's why you're saying no matter how much they win, you don't believe in them. Because we could look up and they lose in the wild card round. I'm like, what was all that for? We said this about Baker last year and then they signed him and he's been good this year. That's true. The best thing with Darnold is how young he is. What is he like?
Starting point is 01:36:56 He's very young. 27, right? In fact, yeah. If I were them, I would try to sign him for like 100 for four years, something like that. Try to get him like 25 a year and then try to trade JJ McCarthy. But supposedly he heard his ACL again, so maybe he doesn't even have the same. To me, that feels like the disaster. We had this guy, now we let him go because JJ's ready.
Starting point is 01:37:23 And then what if JJ's not good? And those receivers are like, what the fuck? We know. Donald had 40 touchdowns. Imagine the other way though. They trade their top 10 pick, JJ McCarthy, who goes off and has a great career. And then next year, Sam Donald turns back into a pumpkin. And it's like one of the worst front office moves of all time.
Starting point is 01:37:38 Yeah. To your point though, let's say the Vikings are like, we love Sam, but we have a very bright future for JJ. We want to be in bench. What is the line that the Vikings get to where they're like, well, we're in the Superbowl, we can't get rid of Sam Donald now, so they have to win it. I think if you get, I think you have to get to the Superbowl. Cause already Case Keenan was in the title game with them. They've already been that a few years ago.
Starting point is 01:37:58 I think if he gets to the Superbowl, I guess you're coming back. You know, as a fan, I was in a situation once with a guy by the name of Tom Brady, 2001. But so gets hurt, Brady keeps his job, and we're kind of like, is he gonna be the starter? And we'll be like, oh, we'll see what happens. And all of a sudden he won the Super Bowl. This is the first Tom Brady, Drew Blitz is getting traded.
Starting point is 01:38:17 The first Tom Brady Sam Darnold comp. Yeah, I just, you never know. I like it. The thing is, Detroit's defense mess, and I don't see how it really gets better, right? So at least there's a little bit of a hole there Philly has all the chemistry stuff Green Bay, I'm not sure I trust Jordan love and just in general I wouldn't pencil them in like Minnesota can play with all of these teams those three teams in the north
Starting point is 01:38:40 They're 28 and three outside of the north. They beat everybody. Like those teams are all really good. They might be the three best teams of the week. They're up there. I think they're all top five teams, who knows? They're 28 and three when they're not playing each other. So they kick the shit out of everybody. I think the Lions' defense reputation is down right now because of what we just saw.
Starting point is 01:38:57 I think they'll be better. I think they'll be back. I still think they're gonna win the Super Bowl. I still think it's the Lions. I would at gunpoint pick them as well, but I don't feel great about it. Lions over Pittsburgh, you think, maybe? Or Chiefs? No, I would still, win the Super Bowl. I still think it's the Lions. I would at gunpoint pick them as well, but I don't feel great about it. Lions over Pittsburgh you think, maybe? Or Chief?
Starting point is 01:39:08 No, I would still, life depends on it. I'm still doing Lions KC. But I just think right now, mid December, is it mid December? It is. Well, yeah. I think Pittsburgh is the most complete all around team right now.
Starting point is 01:39:20 I don't know what that's gonna mean. Where are you at with Russ? Isn't this weird for you to be saying that? Every fucking week, Russ makes three 40-yard plays or gets a pass interference. There's a play that moves the ball 35 to 50 yards, three times a game with him, and it happens every single week.
Starting point is 01:39:36 And at some point, that's what they do. Yeah. Where it turns over? The Chiefs get none of those plays. The Chiefs had one 30-yard play to Hopkins, and he dropped it. It seemed like a miracle that they almost completed it. Russ is cocky right now. He's doing this like, you know, he's talking a lot of shit.
Starting point is 01:39:51 He gets down on one knee and points to the side. Has he always done that? Or is that a new move? I never saw it. He does a lot of like running over to the sideline and barking at the OC and shit like that. Have you done the Russ pop culture Comp, like what this is? Because like I was doing it the other day with Peter. I think it's, it's, it's Travolta. And-
Starting point is 01:40:13 The comeback. Seattle was all of the seventies and eighties and he's a superstar. He's the coolest rock star ever. Denver was, look who's talking. It's pathetic. And then like four and two, Mike Tommen put him in and it was just Pulp Fiction.
Starting point is 01:40:24 And like, he's like the coolest guy ever now and can't miss. It's an amazing. I would go Lady Gaga. You go Lady Gaga. What? Yeah. Explain. Really strong start.
Starting point is 01:40:35 Considered a diva pretty early on. Did some good stuff. Faded a little bit. And then A Star is Born was her Pittsburgh. That's the four and two Pittsburgh. But then is it gonna end with Joker 2? That would be a bummer. Oh yeah, Greg, you should have brought the house down.
Starting point is 01:40:49 Next year. But I mean, you root for Russ every week. Yeah. He's surprisingly good. There's just no other way to say it. He's been doing this now for two and a half months. I'm enjoying it one week at a time. He makes plays over and over and over again.
Starting point is 01:41:00 I'm not looking ahead. I'm not looking into the future. I'm just every week I'm having a good time. I always would think that Tomlin wouldn't be here for the Russ theatrics that we used to see. Tomlin's good at that. He seems so affected. I guess he's worked with every problem.
Starting point is 01:41:13 Tomlin likes weird. Yeah. I mean he works with Pickens, who's ready to start a giant fight and then every game. Pickens and Tony O'Brown, the list goes on and on. Pickens is great. The other thing with Pittsburgh, their kicker, is there another kicker you feel better about during any playoff game in bad weather than Boswell?
Starting point is 01:41:28 He's like the new Tucker. He lined up like a 54 yarder yesterday. He's making that. He's been that guy. He's been the best offensive player in the Steelers for the last five years. I think he leads the league in points. Tomlin, Boswell, like I can't find the holes. It's really like who's going to be that second receiver on third and nine.
Starting point is 01:41:43 But Mike Williams had a couple of good plays yesterday. Yeah. And Fryer-Muth is like, they're, they're really good. They're amazing team. It's like the rest thing you see comebacks, like they suck. You never see when someone's a superstar then sucks. And then as a superstar again, the only ones I can think of are Kurt Warner, who went St. Louis with Arizona and then the Giants was like just weird and then Arizona to the Super Bowl again. And then even a slightly less version of that Carson Palmer was with the Bengals. It was with the Raiders and I don't even remember that.
Starting point is 01:42:13 And then he was with Arizona and was also in a title game. But the good shit and then good again is really hard to play. It especially happens with quarterbacks because it feels like the wrong offensive line, the wrong coach, the wrong team, and they can just get the shit kicked out of them for two years and just completely lose their confidence. It's funny, Russ has never been paid the right amount based on what his talent is at the moment.
Starting point is 01:42:36 Like when he was on Seattle when he first got drafted, he kind of like started that new rookie quarterback model thing, he was making like 700 grand a year and leaving them to Super Bowl. Then the Denver thing happens and he's making $43 million a year and he's terrible. And now he's a great again on Pittsburgh making $1 million a year.
Starting point is 01:42:50 I know Denver's still paying him. And then he'll probably, I think the plan is, and I think this was what the Steelers envisioned the whole time, I think they are gonna definitely re-sign Russ. No question. They just don't wanna pay more than 10 to 12, I'm guessing. They have a whole thing. We also might get Pittsburgh Denver in the playoffs. That'd be pretty fun.
Starting point is 01:43:10 You talked about the comeback though with them and how unusual that is. The other thing that's unusual for me, I always feel like quarterbacks hit that point of no return. It just doesn't seem like they want to get hit anymore. Which Rodgers was clearly the last seven, eight weeks. It's like, that guy doesn't want to get hit anymore. Roger, Wilson last year to me, just seemed like he didn't want to get hit anymore. That's why when he's a free agent this summer, I was just like, well, who cares? The guy doesn't, you know, he's made enough money,
Starting point is 01:43:36 he won a Super Bowl, he doesn't want it anymore. But it seems like he's okay with getting hit again. So I don't know whether Tomlin, I just think Tomlin and Reid to me levitate over everybody else. Coaches and quarterbacks. When we do playoff picks to start the season, about four years ago I learned this.
Starting point is 01:43:51 I always pick Pittsburgh no matter what. Picked them this year to make the playoffs. And everyone's like, you're an idiot. They have no quarterback. I'm like, I know, but just always pick Pittsburgh. They get in the playoffs, always. And I pick McVay now too every year, the Rams. Just don't, it's those coaches.
Starting point is 01:44:03 That was another one. That was another guy with the futures. I just did over on the Rams. I get that they only have seven players. Doesn't matter, just pick them. As long as they have the QB and two receivers, they can move the ball. Yeah, we always joke that McVeigh is the chef on Chopped.
Starting point is 01:44:17 And he's making bolognese out of mayonnaise. Yeah, and who's your holy shit team? I have the Chargers, Kyle. I have, who did I say? The Rams. You said the Rams. Holy shit, this team is in the Super Bowl. Can I have the holy shit this team, there's no way this team is gonna make the Super Bowl
Starting point is 01:44:31 and it's the Houston Texans. You hate the Texans, right? No, they're not good. The Texans are definitely gonna play a Saturday playoff game like they always do and it'll be like one o'clock and it'll just be boring. Everyone's gonna pick whoever the other team is. Yes, it's probably gonna be the Chargers.
Starting point is 01:44:44 It's just gonna be like that Browns game last year. Everyone's like black. Yeah, Sloak I think is super overrated. I think Stroud's in his own head, big brothering every quarterback at midfield and it's completely failed on him. Stroud's had a tough second half of the season. He's had a great guy I think.
Starting point is 01:44:56 The Ringer fantasy show hates Stroud big brothering. One of the most, the Caleb moment? The Caleb moment. He's done it multiple times. Yeah. He did it with Drake May too. Yeah, three straight weeks after the Caleb thing and then he finally got off of it.
Starting point is 01:45:09 I missed the Drake May one. Yeah, he's been terrible. He's weighing in with his big picture thoughts on everyone he plays against. And it's like, dude, you're in your second year, settle down. Yeah. I might go with the Chargers as well, probably,
Starting point is 01:45:23 I would say. Just because of their ability to like play cold weather. Herbert's so good. I might go with the Chargers as well, probably, I would say. Just because of their ability to like play cold weather. Herbert's so good. I feel like with Herbert is I'm worried that he's gonna get hurt sometimes. Herbert is almost too good of a player. I kind of, I think he's kind of like the puka-nacua
Starting point is 01:45:35 of quarterbacks where I'm like, you actually play the game with too much honor. You don't take, you don't go out of bounds ever. If there's a throw and Herbert needs to make it and he knows he's going to get drilled, like he will get drilled to make the throw. Nick Bolton put a huge hit on him in that cheesecake. He had that leg in it,
Starting point is 01:45:49 but he had to step in to make the throw. So I don't worry about that. They're eight and five, Baltimore's eight and five, Denver's eight and five for the five, six, seven. So the key for the Chargers would have to be to somehow get that five seed and try to play Houston. But I don't know how realistic that is with their schedule,
Starting point is 01:46:07 but if they can somehow get, what do they have left? That Houston's just dog shit on this one. Tampa, Denver home. Oh, and that was third and 10 in Houston. Tampa, Denver at home for the Chargers, then at Pat's home Vegas. Like they could sweep that. Definitely.
Starting point is 01:46:22 And Baltimore, I think is gonna have a lot of trouble sweeping because they had that weird Christmas situation. Isn't it crazy? We've talked to playoffs this long. We haven't even mentioned the Ravens. Like they're there. Cause we know they're going to be there. I know, but what are they going to do when they get there? Like I don't have them in the Superbowl.
Starting point is 01:46:35 Does anybody that their stock's low now? It's funny that people get mad about the January Lamar thing. It's like, okay, has it, when is it not going to happen? Like it's just until he doesn't do the January Lamar thing. That's the way it is. It's like, okay, when is it not going to happen? It's just until he doesn't do the January Lamar thing, that's the way it is. The Raven fans are very touchy about him. Lamar media is weird.
Starting point is 01:46:51 Tua media is the worst though. The Tua fan base. The Tua people who think he was good yesterday, he was 23 for 37, no picks. It's like, all right, I watched the game. Like he had 10 terrible throws, like stop. I don't trust Tua. Dolph had 10 terrible throws, like stop. I don't trust Tua.
Starting point is 01:47:05 Dolphins fans are frosty for sure. No, when I think of a Tua play in my head, it's Tyree Kill turning around to catch an underthrown D2. No. Who's your fantasy MVP this year, Craig? Fantasy MVP, we all over thought Saquon so much. And Derrick Henry, the two of them. Both of them going in the second round,
Starting point is 01:47:26 everybody was afraid of the veteran on the new team thing. Now it's gonna go the other way. Everyone's gonna overvalue it in next year's draft. This is also one of the most unusual fantasy seasons in history because of what happened with McCaffrey. That was so strange. That was super weird. And Bruce Hall, who just died of natural causes.
Starting point is 01:47:41 Also just in general with fantasy, this is the healthiest running back season outside of McCaffrey, which that happened before the season, kind of. In season injuries for running backs, this has been the healthiest season in forever. And I think there's definitely, you know, it was always get a wide receiver in the first round
Starting point is 01:47:55 for the last five years. Next year, it's gonna swing way back. Everyone's gonna be backing on getting all these running backs in the first round. And it will probably regress back to the mean and like guys will start getting hurt again. I'm in the camp of, and I have three teams, two that did badly and one that's doing well,
Starting point is 01:48:09 but I just want to have a good QB. That's all I care about. I feel like I can patch together everything else, but like anyone who has Lamar, Josh Allen, or Burrow in any of these leagues, you're just like, fuck, that guy's probably gonna win. That's why you play fantasy, because of that Allen game against the Rams.
Starting point is 01:48:24 Yeah, 100%. The key point is getting a guy who can move. I'm so done with pocket passers. I drafted Goff, who's been good. He's been solid. Right, and then Stroud's like this too. Goff and Stroud. It's been so tough because you basically need
Starting point is 01:48:36 280 and three touchdowns out of Goff every single week just for him to get by. Lamar, Josh. I'm gonna have my homes is turned into that too for different reasons. Homes is terrible as a fantasy quarterback. He's probably one of them. You can't start him. He's the biggest bust at quarterback and fantasy. to get by. Lamar, Josh. Kind of, my homes is turning into that too, for different reasons. Homes is terrible as a fantasy quarterback. You can't start him.
Starting point is 01:48:47 He's the biggest busted quarterback in fantasy history. Before we go, New York, cause you're in New York, Giants versus Jets. Which team is more down, which franchise fan base is more down in the dumps right now between those two? I think the Jets fans are a little in shock, whereas the Giants fans are like, I don't know.
Starting point is 01:49:05 When I run into people on the street and they're like, oh, you're on the football show. And I go, yeah. And the thing I always say to them wherever I am, I'm like, oh, who's your team? Cowboys, Texans. The Giants fans always go, yeah, Giants. They're so apologetic.
Starting point is 01:49:19 They did that point where they're apologizing? Oh, no. Our show that we do on NFL Network started in 2016. Every single year, the Jets and Giants have sucked. They've always sucked. The only one that didn't suck was the Giants team when they went on the boat with the Odell thing. Like that's the only glimpse.
Starting point is 01:49:35 What about the Danny Dimes playoff win in Minnesota? I guess that's true. That was a fever dream. Yeah, but that was, they were like nine and eight that year or whatever. But so I think the Giants fans are like, we know we're terrible and we're embarrassed so I think the Giants fans are like, we know we're terrible and we're embarrassed. I think the Jets fans were like, they bought some lottery tickets and before
Starting point is 01:49:50 they won it, they like put a down payment on a mansion and a boat and they're like, I'm going to win this shit and then match one number on their lottery ticket. And I think, so I think they're like, their mental health is in question and they're in shock. It sucks. Yeah, it's tough because the Red Sox fans used to be like this too before we won the World Series where it's this rare combination of fatalism and thinking things aren't going to go wrong, but then before the season, like this crazy optimism. It's like, how are these two things the same?
Starting point is 01:50:17 Where it's like March, spring training in 2000, be like, this is it. Here we go. We're winning this year. Got a great rotation. The Vegas, the odds for the Boston team that could always put them down because they knew all these dumbasses. 2000 like this is it here we go this year got a great rotation the Vegas the the odds for the Boston team that could always put him down because they knew all these dumbasses would come from Massachusetts and bet it the Jets were have those fans too that they actually think it's gonna work out and then
Starting point is 01:50:37 there's people like fantasy who's like this can be a beautiful disaster Sean has the best tweet ever yeah when he keeps retweeting about it was the day the Jets Niners were going to play. I love it. I just want to go on record. I think this will be a complete disaster. Everyone will be fired and Rogers will retire. And he's probably going to be right.
Starting point is 01:50:51 That, like the Jets season. It might have been the last great tweet. It might have. It was a great tweet. We talked about that on our show. We even brought up Fentasy's tweet. But this season for the Jets is not like a D or a D. It is an F. It is as bad as it could go. Short of like a tragedy happened off the field.
Starting point is 01:51:07 Like it is an F. But they basically had what? Seven one score games that they had the ball in the last three minutes, but somehow didn't win any of them. I don't know how they fixed it. Rodgers tried his best. He has that dock coming out in two weeks.
Starting point is 01:51:20 Yeah, Nygma. You can see he was trying, he had his first 300 yard game as a Jet this week. He was on the press tour. He was trying to get viewers now what a 3-11 Jets team We're gonna the funniest thing I watched that whole Jets Miami game because I had Miami in a parlay. Okay, Miami It was terrible. Yeah game like they looked like they didn't want to be there They looked like they were the team that was 3 and 10 Rogers look good and the Jets were like into it They were trying to win they were moving the ball
Starting point is 01:51:43 they their offense was better. And somehow Miami still won the game, and it was basically because the Jets, as usual, just fucked up completely with three minutes left. F. Pretty brutal. Yes. So what would you rate this season
Starting point is 01:51:55 from A plus to F minus? What's the grade for the season so far through 14 weeks? Oh, just as a whole? Yeah, just as a whole. For content, storylines, excitement, everything. I think it's like a V plus because we have just some really good teams. Like I mentioned that thing, the NFC North is fun.
Starting point is 01:52:14 That Bill Ram's game we just watched was amazing. That Lions game against the Packers was 34-31. Like we've got some Rembrandts. We've got some, like when you say, what was the game of the year? We have like eight or nine games of the year. And I like that the quarterbacks aren't hurt like right like that's really what I Care about Alan's out there my home's out there even burrow on a losing team like you get to watch those guys
Starting point is 01:52:34 You don't have to turn on the Thursday nighter and it's Taylor Heinecke versus Mitch Trubisky I mean we did lose Aiden O'Connell. We lost Aiden, but I heard it's not as bad as we thought Okay, maybe I'll be back. A preventative air cast for Aiden O'Connell, yeah. What do you have for a grade? Probably A-. See? I think it's been really fun. I mean, the Lions storyline is amazing.
Starting point is 01:52:51 I feel like everybody in America wants the Lions to win a Super Bowl. Also, they're the rare public team that's actually really fun to watch every week. I genuinely enjoy watching their offense. When Jamar Gibbs is in the game, I'm like, I don't even have him on a fantasy team. Yeah, you feel like you do. Jamar Gibbs is in. game, I'm like, I don't even have him on a fantasy team. Yeah, you feel like you do.
Starting point is 01:53:05 Yeah, Jamar Gibbs is in. You feel like you do. The golf storyline's great. The weird 12 and one Chiefs is fun. Saquon going to the Eagles and then maybe breaking the rushing record is unbelievable. I think it's been a really fun year. I would be at an A-,
Starting point is 01:53:17 but the Drake May thing puts me at a solid A. I'm just out of my mind about how fun this Drake May thing's been. I can't believe he's this good already. I just can't believe it. It is really cool. It's crazy that he's this far along. And I've had terrible quarterbacks, and I've had the greatest quarterback ever.
Starting point is 01:53:36 And you just, I don't know if he's going to be even in the ballpark of somebody like Brady, but he's clearly a franchise guy. Like worst case scenario, I feel like he could at least be like Herbert. All you care about is you got a guy. We have a guy who knows what a lamp we got a guy. Well, I can't believe I did the B plus then without mentioning it. I mean, I think like they are huge.
Starting point is 01:53:53 There's two massive blemishes on the season. The Jets just complete disaster and the Bears. I mean, the Bears are massive disappointment from start to finish. If the Jets are an F, the Bears are a B plus. Well, I thought that new coach, I thought you guys bumped back. Oh no, that was the opposite. You're supposed to get the bump. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:54:09 Like the Saints got the bump with that guy. The clogger bumped you back. That Niner's Bears game was maybe the worst game of the year. I mean, it was an unbelievably terrible pathetic game. I think that was the only pick I lost, and it was over five minutes into the game. You thought the Bears were gonna win? I did, I was like, new coach bump.
Starting point is 01:54:23 Definitely. They figured out Caleb just getting rid of the ball fast. They were way worse than they were under Matt Eberfluss. So think about that, like they looked way worse. Like they should have brought Eberfluss back, they would have had a better performance. Well, it's like Eberfluss leaves, the defense probably gets worse,
Starting point is 01:54:35 and then you promote the guy running the offense, so now you have a different person running the offense. Right. Gets messy quick. You get suckered by that though. Yeah, the locker room was so excited about the new guy and they're gonna be ready to play. They were so bad in that game.
Starting point is 01:54:49 Well, that was like when Antonio Pierce got the job and they were smoking cigars after the first win. And then within nine months, Debante Adams is like, give me the fuck out of here. I'm glad you brought that up. Get up and do the cigars. Because like I have landed on this take and I say it all, never hire an interim coach.
Starting point is 01:55:04 I don't care what happens. The interim coach is, you get out of a miserable marriage. You're just so pissed and there's some, and you, like the next girlfriend you meet, you fucking marry her. You don't take her to Cabo, you marry her. It never works out. Have her fling, do it, fine.
Starting point is 01:55:19 Don't, I mean, you don't marry the rebound. Watch the Saints win a couple more games. And they're like, I don't know, this Darren Rizzi gets them to compete. Don't hire Darren Rizzi, do respect him. The only interim coach who actually should have been hired was Pipos Rich, the Raiders guy. Oh, Tom Cable?
Starting point is 01:55:33 Rich Bersuchia, whatever. Oh, Versace. Special teams coach. Pipos Rich. Bersuchia. He'd come in with like, all right guys, I'll be back in 20. Damn right. Changing out 200, their car,
Starting point is 01:55:44 they were in the playoffs that time. Yeah, I like Pitbulls. And then I was the special teams coach again. But no, don't ever hire the interim coach. You're marrying the fling after the marriage. It's terrible. My dream is Drake May, year two. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:55:56 Vrabel. Brian Dayball, offensive coordinator. Let's go. Who do you, do you want to receive? There's not a head coach opening though, Bill. What are you talking about? Well, there might be if we lose these last four games. The problem is we're going to go to Arizona
Starting point is 01:56:09 and he's probably going to throw for like 360 and beat Arizona and then they'll keep this job. Do you want to tackle or a wide receiver in the draft? Thanks for asking. Because I've obviously studied a lot. My dad is now wading into the draft waters as well. Just finding out about this TMAC character, this wide receiver.
Starting point is 01:56:28 Sure. It doesn't feel like they're going to be a top five team, but there's no top five left tackle, which sets us up for the trade down, which I'd feel great about if we had an owner that wasn't 83 years old, and we had an actual GM and not an interim GM. But it feels like they have to trade back. I'm in the camp of, I would take Hunter
Starting point is 01:56:50 if we had the third pick. Really? If he's there. He just seems like he's gonna be a superstar. But I'm gonna change my mind on this a hundred times, but like, it just seems like sometimes these guys get in the draft and everybody's just like, that guy's special. And he just seems like a, that guy's special guy.
Starting point is 01:57:08 You could have said this about Marvin Harrison last year though, and he hasn't turned to be the best special, but there's no left tackle. This is the one draft where there's like no, even like a Joe Alt. Yeah, probably not one worthy of a top three pick. No. Who's the defensive line guy? There's like an awesome defensive tackle. That's another one. When does it go wrong to have an awesome defensive tackle?
Starting point is 01:57:30 Fine. Craig, have you had some takes on where Shadour is gonna go? I mean he certainly feels like a Raider to me. The father-son Vegas thing feels like a Raider. It's a perfect fit. But what if the Giants get the number one pick? Because the worst fit of all time is the Mara family and the Sanders family. Oh my God. Not at all. But what if they get the number one pick and he's the guy?
Starting point is 01:57:51 Raiders feels perfect. The Giants might get it though. Well, they almost screwed it up yesterday and then the kicker missed. There was a conspiracy theory that Shador was tweeting, thank you Lord, every time the Raiders lost because he wanted to go to the Raiders. It happened for 11 weeks. It was perfect. Even when they were on a buy, he didn't tweet
Starting point is 01:58:10 it that week. But the Raiders, I think, won and then he tweeted it. And so it turns out not true. But there was a while there where I was like, Shador and Deon are angling to get to Vegas. It is the most fun destination for those guys. It seems a disaster every year anyway. So we might as well have the same. And Bowers is sitting right there now. Like he's on our already has those guys. Yeah, it's amazing. Because the team's a disaster every year anyway, so we might as well have the same. And Bowers is sitting right there now, like he's on, already has a stud. And like, let's just have a carnival. Make De'Ann the coach, why not?
Starting point is 01:58:31 Have Shadrubi the quarterback, it'd be great content. I had somebody who knows stuff tell me about the Pats. Like if that job didn't become available, they were like, they said, you know, it's actually like a destination job now, because of Drake May. I was like, they said, you know, it's actually like a destination job now, cause, cause it Drake may. I was like, I need a cigarette. Six to midnight. Just give me a lighter. I just need a cigarette.
Starting point is 01:58:54 I just want to reflect this. But I think with Vegas, the fun part would just be having some sort of personality with that franchise. Well, we had it in Pierce. Like that's the guy we smoke cigars. I won a Superbowl, but he just looks miserable now because they hired the interim coach, you don't do that. Right.
Starting point is 01:59:10 Can't do it. I like your theory. Thank you. Um, all right. I'm going a, a minus B plus Kyle Brandt. Great to see you as always. Craig. Thanks, Craig.
Starting point is 01:59:17 Pleasure. All right. That's it for the podcast. Thanks to Jacoby and Goldsberry. Thanks to Kyle and Craig. Thanks to Kyle Creighton and Steve Cerruti and Jesse Lopez. Thanks to Gahow and Jack.
Starting point is 01:59:32 Thanks to you guys for making it through our second podcast of the week. I'm gonna have another one on Thursday. I'm gonna have an NBA six pack. I'm gonna have million dollar picks. I'm gonna have a guest. Stay tuned. Get ready to buckle up. I'm gonna have a guest. Stay tuned, get ready to buck up,
Starting point is 01:59:45 I'll see you on Thursday. ["I Don't Have A Million Dollar Picks"] on the wayside, on the brunson liver, I'm sayin' I don't have it. Must be 21 plus in President-elect states for Kansas in affiliation with Kansas Star Casino or 18 plus in President DC. Gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit rg-help.com, call 1-887-897777,
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