The Bill Simmons Podcast - Part 1: 10 Burning NBA Questions With Kevin Clark, Kevin O’Connor, Raheem Palmer, John Jastremski, and Wosny Lambre
Episode Date: June 22, 2022(1:27) Who should the Magic take no. 1? | With Kevin Clark (13:33) Best prospect outside of the top 4 | With Kevin O'Connor (26:21) 2023 NBA betting odds | With Raheem Palmer (41:01) What should the K...nicks do? | With John Jastremski (54:32) Should the Jazz make a trade? | With Wosny Lambre Host: Bill Simmons Guests: Kevin Clark, Kevin O’Connor, Raheem Palmer, John Jastremski, and Wosny Lambre Producer: Kyle Crichton Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Coming up next, we're in the middle of one of my favorite weeks of the year.
The NBA draft is coming.
It is a special two-part edition of the Bill Simmons Podcast on this Tuesday.
11 guests, so many topics.
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New rewatchables.
We pushed it to Wednesday.
It's coming Wednesday night.
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35th anniversary.
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Can't wait to talk about it.
So if you missed the rewatch, let's go check that out.
There's also going to be a new Prestige TV podcast on Wednesday. Me and Sean Fantasy and Joanna
Robinson are going to talk about The Old Man, a show that I absolutely love. So stay tuned for
that. Coming up on this podcast is a special two-parter getting ready for Thursday night,
one of my favorite nights of the year.
Part one, we're going to talk to Kevin Clark, Kevin O'Connor, Raheem Palmer, John Jastrzemski, and Big Waz.
I have 11 burning questions in all spread over two parts.
We're going to tackle the first five next.
First, our friends from Pearl Jam. Kevin Clark from The Ringers here.
Die hard Orlando magic fan.
He was on Kevin O'Connor's podcast recently.
Steve Cerruti talking about what he wanted the magic to do.
There's been some drama.
We're taping this.
It is 1245 Pacific time.
There's been a little drama.
Kevin Clark,
uh,
Palos,
Palos odds are dropping.
Yeah.
I,
this is very strange. I have a question. You follow this more closely than are dropping. Yeah, this is very strange.
I have a question.
You follow this more closely than I do.
Is the betting market predictive?
Have we had late?
Because I feel like when I follow the NFL draft through this and they say, oh, the odds are dropping,
it never really means anything.
I would very seriously doubt this is anything
but a little bit of noise.
It might be a rumor and then people just feeling like there's a ton of value.
But we are going to do...
Until it drops to dead even with Jabari, then we'll know something really funky is going on.
Because there's a lot of people that work for an organization.
It's very easy for word to truck around.
So we're going to assume that it's just a little noise,
just people trying to grab some value. We're going to assume that it's just a little noise, just people
trying to grab some value. We're doing burning questions here today on the pod. Your burning
question is, what should the Orlando Magic do with the first pick in the draft? What do you want
them to do and what should they do? They should do two things. They should reach out and see if
they can get the second pick in the draft and still take Chet Holmgren.
If that is not possible, because it sounds like OKC wants Chet,
so we'll just investigate it.
But if that's not possible,
then I would take Chet Holmgren with the first overall pick.
That is my overwhelming desire.
That's what they should do.
That's what I want them to do.
I think the conversation about this draft
has gotten a little bit out of whack
over the past couple of weeks
where people have said,
OK, well, there's not a generational
prospect. This isn't like a franchise saving
draft. But on the other hand,
in the same breath, people will say, oh, by
the way, Chet has some of the best defensive instincts
I've ever seen. He's 7'4". He has a great handle.
He has a mid-range game you haven't seen yet.
He can shoot the three. Obviously,
195 pounds worries
me. I don't need him to show up
like Bryson DeChambeau
in the first week of the season. We're going to be
fine. Wendell Carter can take
some of the tough matchups
early on in his career, take the pressure
on him a little bit. This is not blood sport.
We don't have to enter him into single combat here.
He can take some time.
The Magic have no expectations for this
year. At this point,
KOC had asked Cerrututi and I over the weekend
if we'd be disappointed if it was Jabari.
And at that point, I had talked myself into Jabari being a decent selection.
At this point, I've watched so much of Chet.
Now, again, you have to watch the YouTube stuff.
They can get you high on anybody.
But when I watch Chet, I see a guy who has so much potential
that I'm getting worried
that we may not pick him.
Do you like my weird body Al
Horford analogy?
I do.
I do like it. I think
it's pretty good. I mean,
as we've talked about, you know, it was
funny because I heard you make the same
comment on Sunday night with Russillo that the Charks
had made in May about how Chet is anytime and Kyle Mann make the same comment on Sunday night with Russillo that the Charks had made in May about how
Chet is anytime
and Kyle Mann made the same point. Anytime
someone is sort
of on the
cutting edge of where the game is
going, there's no comp for them.
And the comp that they made at that
point was someone like
Luka where you kind of have to put
everything in a little bit of a melting pot
and say shades of this, shades of this, and you end up
getting four guys who have nothing in common with each
other. And so, yeah, I mean, the
Al Horford thing fits, but I think that you're
just looking at a little bit of a
different guy, somebody we've never really seen
before. And I know that this is
the kind of thing, we say
it, any guy who's over
6'7", I would go, ah, if he was born in 1970
he'd be a totally different guy, but like
this is it, man. This is what happens if you're
20 years old in 2022
and you're a legit 7 foot is you can
kind of do it all. This is the modern game
summed up into one person, Bill.
The funny thing
with this pick for Orlando is you
have the pedigree of
Rashard Lewis 2.0 and Jabari.
You had Rashard Lewis. He's a much better version of him. And then Chet, just tall,
lanky, weird, can't define him. He's clearly something. There's no comps. It feels like
you've taken that guy six, seven times. And then Paolo really does a lot of the same stuff that
Franz was doing for you as a rookie, right?
He's a tall guy who can create off the ball.
He's a forward.
He can play both positions.
And he's just a really skilled offensive player.
Do you feel like Paolo and Franz could play together?
Does that make sense to you in your head?
Yeah, I think so.
And I think that, you know, it was interesting
through natural best over the weekend, but I do think that they can fit. Franz had to
do so many different things last year. And at one point he was basically just doing it
all. At one point when Markel came back, um, he became, he, he touched the ball a lot less
and had to morph into those ways. I think that he's probably a better player when, when
the offense runs through him a little bit more,
as we saw.
I mean, there were times last year,
I talked about this all the time,
I went to a game at the Barclays Center,
and it was him and four Lakeland Magic players
because of COVID.
Like, that was it last year.
And sometimes it was just him and four bad players.
It wasn't even COVID-related.
It was just him on the floor
with a bunch of crappy players.
So I think they could work together.
You know, Paolo's passing is really good.
And to be honest
with you, dude,
like,
fit
is one of the last things
on my mind right now.
Like, the only way
that the Magic
propel themselves forward
is to get
a franchise-changing superstar.
And I'm willing
to bet
that any of these guys
can work it out.
You know,
I've heard the argument
that Jabari would help
the backcourt because there's not enough
shooting. I really don't
care about that necessarily. I really don't
care about the... I love this current
roster and I love the fact that they do have
guys who, if there was a superstar,
would probably be in the mix to have to
be third, fourth, fifth best players,
no legitimate contender. But I'm
looking for superstar potential in this draft
and I do think Paolo and Franz could play together,
but I don't really want to find out, frankly.
The Magic have, I don't know if you knew this,
but a little bit of a macabre...
Macabre?
Macabre.
Macabre.
Macabre.
Macabre history.
Chris Webber.
I've noticed.
Had him.
Traded him.
Shaq.
Get for Penny Hardaway. Well, I'm just saying. You had Chris Webber I've noticed had him traded him Shaq get for Penny Hardaway
well I'm just saying
you had Chris Webber
you traded it
for Penny Hardaway
three firsts
you had Shaq
but you really only had him
for what was that
four or five years
you had Dwight Howard
which was the right pick
and a great pick
but he ended up
leaving eight years later
what is
who is the one
out of these three guys
that you feel like I don't know if I
can trust him. I've been hurt before.
I could see that person leaving
us and us being bitter about it later.
Yeah, so part
of the Chet thing to me is that
he fits in with Suggs already.
Suggs did not really blow my socks
off in his rookie year, but I think that he's still
a culture guy. He's still going to be a piece of it.
They've known each other for a long time. They're still friends. Chet was in his interview year, but I think that he's still a culture guy. He's still going to be a piece of it. They've known each other for a long time.
They're still friends. Chet was in his
interview yesterday talking about how he
still seeks guidance from Suggs.
I think that helps building that
community and basically turning over the franchise
to those guys and saying, this is yours. You can't
leave.
You feel like Chet would be loyal?
I think so.
I think so.
Anybody's liable to leave Orlando. Dwight said he was never going to leave. feel like Chet would be loyal. I think so. I think so. Yeah, I mean, I think so.
Anybody's liable to leave Orlando.
Dwight said he was never going to leave and then he left.
The one thing I'll say is that
I don't have the scars that
you think I would have about those things.
I mean, yes, Shaq
left. Yes, Penny left.
Dwight left, certainly. But
while they were there,
they made the finals, both of them, in 95 and 2009. And I think that there are teams like the Kings, like the Hawks, the damn Hornets, who would beg for that when I think about the first overall pick. I think it's always sort of suggested a bit of a franchise renaissance.
The entire franchise changes if we only get Shaq and we don't get Penny.
If we never get Dwight Howard and we end up with Emeka Okafor in that draft, for instance.
So I don't really have a negative feeling about this.
And so, listen, I think in the modern NBA, Giannis is going to stay in Milwaukee for a long, long time.
I think that the way things have changed, and it's funny because at the end of the Dwight era,
one of the executives made the point to him.
I don't know if this ever came out, but basically like, dude, this is a new era.
You don't have to play in LA.
You don't have to play in New York.
You don't have to play in Chicago or Miami. You can make it.
You can make anything.
You can make any market the biggest market in the world when you're there.
And I think that was only starting to shift in 2012 when he left.
And I think it's really happening now where you can make anything the center of the basketball universe.
And you don't necessarily have to go to a major market.
You can make anything a major market because of the internet, because of social media, because of just brand power and all the different things you can do. So in a weird way, I'm less worried.
When Shaq left Orlando, I think he called it something like a little puddle or something
like that. He was just really demeaning about it. The city's grown, but also just like,
no one really talks about NBA markets that way anymore. OKC had that core together for a while,
and then they were able to just hit the hard reset button.
I'm less worried about being
betrayed than maybe I was
about a pick 15 years ago.
I like your angle about Orlando
has actually been way more competent than
it gets credit for. I think that's a good
foothold for you.
It's true.
If I went up to a random Hawks fan or
Hornets fan and was like, alright, our last 30 years for yours,
they're not even thinking about it.
They're absolutely taking it.
Yeah, it's funny how some franchises have identities, right?
Orlando's identity.
Wizards, same way, yeah.
Oh, Wizards is the all-time rock bottom
of last four years of anybody you come up with.
Your identity is like, we had these things
where it really seemed incredibly promising
and it didn't work out
the way we thought,
but there was still
some stuff happening.
Even the
McGrady-Gran Hill.
Yes.
You know,
that worked out probably
about as badly
from a love standpoint
as it could have worked out.
But,
you had McGrady
who for three straight years,
McGrady versus Kobe
was a legitimate argument.
I think actually,
statistically,
McGrady probably wins.
The first
Christmas Day game for LeBron
in his career was at Orlando
because it was going to be McGrady-LeBron.
And I kind of feel like
we've glossed over that.
Obviously, the injuries and the surgeries
and the trade. McGrady was
still a hugely productive player when he got to
Houston, but it changed the narrative a little bit. McGrady was still a hugely productive player when he got to Houston, but it changed the narrative a little bit.
McGrady was one of the best scorers
in modern basketball history.
When he played in Orlando,
he just didn't have the help.
I mean,
Juwan Howard trades,
all of this desperation stuff.
Once we found out that Grant Hill
wasn't going to work.
But no, I think there's an identity.
I had a friend,
I have a friend,
who came over from England
a couple years ago and was my coworker at the WSA. And he was saying like, explain Orlando to work. But no, I think there's an identity. I had a friend, I have a friend who came over from England a couple years ago and was my
coworker at the WSA. And he was saying like, explain
Orlando to me. Explain the magic to me.
I was like, well, we're not
we've had some of the greatest talents
in the history of basketball
in this place. And like, I think
there's a lot of franchises that would kill
for that. I mean, it's almost like a European soccer
team where they had
four or five guys who ended up winning
World Cups or whatever, but they never won a league title
with them. That's an okay destiny.
I got to see Shaq in a pretty
small arena a couple miles from my house.
Penny Hardaway, same thing. Dwight Howard,
Tracy McGrady.
I think that's an okay basketball
fate to have if you have this
constellation of stars and never quite get there.
I think the franchise as a whole doesn't get
nearly enough credit for the highs
that they've reached
it's fair all right Kevin Card
good luck we'll continue
to monitor these Paloas
very strange
I hope you get your guy thanks for coming on
and I'm sure we will talk to you after the draft
see you buddy
this episode is brought to you after the draft. See you, buddy.
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All right, we move on to Kevin O'Connor from The Ringer.
He is continuing to put up new content on our fantastic draft guide. I don't know if people realize this. I tweeted
about this earlier, KSC. We cannot telepathically predict each pick. Nobody has this intelligence
that we have. We're going to go 60 for 60. People don't believe us, but we have AI learning.
It's 58. It's 58 for 58 this year, Bill. That's right. I forgot.
We lost a couple.
Okay.
So your question, we're doing burning questions.
Your question is after the one, two, three,
and it seems like Ivy is destined to go four.
Is there a favorite home run swing?
Is there, think about years past, like Giannis, what pick was he?
15?
Donovan Mitchell, very tail end of the lottery. Could there be a home run swing in here? Could
there be a guy who ends up being the best player in this draft who doesn't go in the top four?
If so, who is it? Can I give you three at different ranges in the first round?
Give us three. Give us a gold medalist, a silver medalist, and a bronze medalist for this question. All right. One
Shaden Sharp, kind of the
mystery player, goes to Kentucky,
doesn't play. Six
five. You watch his
high school video. This dude's a bucket
getter. I mean, Ryan
Rusillo and I have talked about him a little bit. I think
he's a bit of a better playmaker than
he gets credit for. He's asked to score,
but he does show the will
to at least pass. Jay Kyle
Mann did a great video of him as well,
breaking down some of his footage defensively
at lower levels. When
he's playing in a team context
where the goal
is to win games, not EYBL,
the defensive ability is there.
So Shaden Sharp, number one that comes to mind
as a go-to scoring wing.
And then Usman Jang.
Wait, hold on.
Can you stay with Sharp for a second?
What's the draft pick range
for him in your opinion?
Could he go as high as four
and could he drop out of the top nine?
I'd be surprised if he goes four
because it sounds like Ivy will go there
whether it's to Sacramento
or a trade with Sacramento.
I'd say for Sharp, it's probably more like 6 to 12.
That's probably the range for him.
So he could fall out of top 10.
Yeah, I mean, it could happen.
I mean, there's been so many different guys, including a Jang that could move up.
There's a number of different guys that could slide into the top 10.
And others have already.
Matherin has solidified himself as a top 10 guy.
Dyson Daniels has solidified himself as a top 10 guy. Dyson Daniels has solidified
himself as a top 10 as well.
What is the perfect type of team for Sharp?
Is it a bad team where he can get
minutes like Jalen Green last year where you're just
getting thrown out there, you're getting your reps,
you're making your mistakes, and then
February, March, beginning of April, all of a
sudden it starts to come together? Or would you rather
see him in a Golden State
situation? Not that it would be Golden State, but a good team that he could be worked in and learn like
the right rest lessons i i think it's exactly that it's more of the good situation where it's
a low pressure you know you don't there's no expectations like new orleans for example
they already have so many so many young players where this is an upside player you can slowly
develop and bring him in or San Antonio somewhere like that
where they already have
Keldon Johnson
and Devin Vassell
and a bunch of guards
where for him
he can come off the bench
and get some easy minutes
rather than,
you know,
like a team that needs
scoring right now.
So I think for him
that's the best fit.
Okay.
Who's your silver medalist?
Ousmane Jang,
French prospect,
6'10 forward,
spent this last year playing in New Zealand. He'smane Jang, French prospect, 6'10 forward, spent this last year
playing in New Zealand.
He's,
I mean,
he played last year,
but he's unproven
just like Sharp has.
He struggled really
until the last,
you know,
two, three weeks of the year.
It was a tough year with him
with like the COVID situation
since arriving in Australia there.
So I think for with him,
6'10,
his best skill right now
is his ball handling ability,
his playmaking.
And anytime you're talking
about somebody with that type of size
that can handle and create shots
for themselves and for others,
there's a baseline for success.
And you factor in the fact
that he did look better
shooting those pull-up jumpers,
hitting spot-up threes
to close the year.
As he continues to develop,
there's a package for a well-rounded,
versatile offensive player
that can be used in so many different roles.
And naturally, with that size,
hard worker, puts in effort on defense.
It's just a matter of developing fundamentals
and developing his awareness on that end.
So he could end up one of the better two-way guys
in the NBA draft if all things work out.
You know I have a bias against tall, super skinny guys. Yeah. So he could end up one of the better two-way guys in the NBA draft if all things work out.
You know I have a bias against tall, super skinny guys.
Yeah.
6'10", 200.
He's not super... Yeah, I mean, I think he has a frame, though.
He should get stronger.
He has the wider frame to put on some weight.
Because I'm trying to think best-case scenarios.
Like, Giannis, I mean, he grew three inches, too.
That was always helpful.
But he was...
We were thinking he was like a Paul George type
coming out of that draft.
Then all of a sudden he was seven feet.
But you have as, in the draft guide,
you have as shades of Brandon Ingram,
Chandler Parsons, and Evan Turner.
Those are three guys that I would not have grouped together.
So Brandon Ingram, I'm guessing the body.
Chandler Parsons, what is it about the Chandler Parsons piece?
Chandler Parsons, I'd say more like overall ability, that type of thing where he's not your star player, but he could be a good scoring presence with size. And I think if you insert healthy prime Chandler Parsons into today's NBA, he'd be a pretty good player.
Yeah, he was a good player.
Evan Turner is like no shot, but can be a pretty good player. He was a good player. Evan Turner is like
no shot, but can do a lot of stuff.
If the shot never develops,
you still have a player with size who can play
make for you.
My favorite part of this
draft is the
8-15 section.
Especially if Matherin
ends up in that range. I think
A.J. Griffin's really interesting.
You know, like that Duke team was so loaded,
it almost becomes hard to figure out who was who,
but he has all the basic skills you would want.
We talked about wings on Sunday on this pod.
I just want wings.
And that guy checks all the boxes.
The Johnny Davis thing,
it just seems like he's going to score.
Yeah, he's a bucket. It just seems like he's going to score. Yeah, he's a bucket.
It just seems like he's going to get baskets.
And, you know, versus like somebody like the Celtics took Neesmith.
It's like, Neesmith, he might be able to score.
Like some people just have it where it's like, I can score.
I'm putting in points.
Sohan, you know, I love him.
And I love Mark Williams.
I think if you have him in that 13 to 15 range
as a big who can play 20, 25 minutes a game,
that's really valuable because at that point,
you're only paying, what, $4 million a year?
Yeah, I love Mark Williams.
I got a little mini article coming out about him on The Ringer,
I think either late Tuesday or early Wednesday,
just about Mark Williams.
Because you're right, Bill.
I mean mean what did
we see this year in the NBA bigs
they're competing for MVP
Robert Williams and Al Horford starting for the
Celtics came on Looney having huge minutes
throughout the postseason for the Warriors
having quality bigs even if they're
non superstars it matters
a lot to get through those matchups like Looney
he defends Jokic in round one
interior player and
round three against luca he's switching onto the perimeter against him like you gotta have
bigs that you can trust and i love mark williams that that dude that dude's so big like what did
he have that's the second longest standing reach in in recorded history behind taco fall right it's
nuts how big he is and he's got some skill too i like him a lot i think i think
mark williams is going to be shooting three someday because when i talked to him i asked him
about he shot like five for nine and two years at duke on jumpers and looked pretty good shooting
them and and he told me that that's something he's been working on a lot because he knows
like that's a necessity to maximize his value in the NBA. I'm a buyer in Mark Williams' stock.
He's definitely a playoff series guy.
Yeah.
I could have seen him in the finals playing, you know,
six-minute stretches in each half for either of the teams.
You know, like the Celtics became afraid to play Tice
as the playoffs went along.
And it's like, I don't know, he's a little closer to the Robert Williams.
At least he can rim protect and be physical.
I'm sure a smart team will be able to pull him out in his space
and try to beat him off the dribble, stuff like that.
I talked to him during the conference finals and I asked him,
is there a big that you've watched in the postseason
that you feel like you could fit into that role someday?
And he mentioned Robert Williams.
Of course.
That exact role.
Yeah.
All right. So who's your bronze medalist?
Let's go with Peyton Watson out of UCLA.
Okay.
He had a really bad year, really bad freshman season,
playing behind a lot of veterans, upperclassmen on that UCLA roster,
came off the bench and not do well.
Shot, you know, he averaged three points per game.
You know, he wasn't playing much.
He was not producing in those minutes.
But the fact is, is you're talking about someone who's six foot seven with super long arms
who busts his ass on defense you know he crashes the boards can switch onto the perimeter can
defend some bigger guys as well and then it's like we talked about with jing he has the ball
handling ability he creates space and he can pass the ball it's just a matter of
can he get stronger to the point that he's finishing well around the rim can he become
efficient enough as an outside shooter that that ball handling is activated and becomes meaningful
in the half court but i think with somebody like him we're seeing so many players with funky style
games that are managing to find a role whether it's a gary payton or
whether it's like a grant williams like siris so he's written about before these kind of you know
weird bodied players that have skill a payton watson kind of fits into that category i think
as someone that's worth a gamble in the late first so he was 12th on the espn top 100 the two guys
that jump out on this list when you go back and look at that from 2021,
because Chet was number one,
Jaden Hardy was two,
Bates was three,
but I think, you know,
Bates stayed in school.
Paolo was four.
Jabari was sixth.
Patrick Baldwin Jr.
was fifth.
And he had a terrible college year.
And I think he's not even in your top 30.
But then your guy, Peyton Watson
was 12th. Yeah. Baldwin 29 on my board now. Oh, okay. Yeah. So those are just ESPN top 100
pedigree stuff where you, you go, Oh, I didn't like the situation that guy was in as a freshman
in college, but the pedigree is still there. Sire Williams, I would say like how good he looked in
Memphis versus how bad his one college season was
probably is making people rethink the,
eh, can we overreact to four bad months in college
when the pedigree was there all through high school?
Yeah, especially for a guy like Watson.
He's playing behind upperclassmen
and not getting a ton of consistent opportunities
to do what he did at the high school level.
I think for teams, he's one of those
players where you can feel that there's a baseline like a foundation for him to have success he can
grow into becoming a versatile defender who makes the right play on offense but if the jump shot
develops if that ends up popping you're talking about someone that's gonna have a long career in
the nba that that's a worthy gamble for some of these teams in the late 20s, early 30s
that already have a lot of young talent
where it's worth taking a swing
or they're already contending.
And it's like, yeah, let's bring a guy in
that could grow into either a key player
or a role player for us.
I think he has all of those paths available to him.
Well, we have a lot of time to talk about the draft
on Thursday night.
Your favorite player in the draft out of the top three is?
It's Paolo?
You're a Paolo guy.
Yeah.
Yeah.
Yes.
Oh, out of the top three.
Okay.
Yeah.
In the top three, I got Paolo Bancaro, number one.
Bancaro, one.
Smith, two.
Holmgren, three.
How do you actually see the one, two, three going?
Now it is 1.10 p.m. on Tuesday.
The Paolo ads have moved a little.
What do you think it'll go
one two three as of now still smith one holmgren two bancaro three but there could be movement
within the top three that could change that up like houston trying to move up to assure that
they get bancaro and i've heard okc is also in on bancaro but how much of that is just noise
to try to influence a trade knowing Houston's desire
to get Paulo? I never
believe any rumors with OKC because
nothing ever comes out with them.
Even last year, it never
came out that they were going hard after
Mobley until, what, a couple months after
the draft. They do a nice
job of just kind of burying stuff, I think.
Well, it was out there
a lot with Poku.
True. They with Poku. True.
That they wanted Poku.
But that might have been
a Wasserman agency thing
more than anything else.
The connection's there.
All right.
Well, we'll see what happens.
And you can listen to KFC
on the Mismatch feed.
And then on Thursday night,
I know you are
popping on.
We're going to do
a multi-part extravaganza.
Good to see you, KFC.
Thank you, Bill.
When you ride transit, please be safe.
Yeah, be safe.
Because what you do, others will do too.
Others will do it too.
So don't take shortcuts across tracks.
Don't do that.
In fact, just don't walk on tracks at all.
Not at all.
Trains move quietly, so you won't hear them coming.
You won't hear them coming.
See?
Safe riding sets an example.
Yeah, an example for me.
Because safety is learned.
It's learned.
Okay, give it up.
Give what up?
Really?
Really, really.
Ugh.
This message is brought to you by Metrolinks.
Okay, Raheem Palmer is here.
New addition.
Free agent signing on The Ringer.
You can find him on The Ringer Gambling Show.
There's going to be a lot of basketball, football stuff.
Did pretty well on the Ringer Gambling Show in the finals.
Better than I did.
You were telling us under, under, under the last couple rounds.
You were right.
I mean, the last couple games.
You were right.
That's what happens.
Things get tight.
Sphincters get tight.
The game plans get better.
Shots stop going in.
Yeah, I mean, we looked at both teams, they really struggled to score in the half court.
And I think ultimately the difference was Steph Curry is the best player in the world right now.
Did that result surprise you or did you leave Game 6 thinking that was the right result?
I think if they played that series over again, we'd probably get a seven-game series.
I think Game 4 play that series over again, we probably get a seven game series.
I think game four was the deciding game. Like, I mean, the Celtics up 91-86,
score six points for the rest of the game.
And I said to myself,
I think I actually tweeted it out.
I said, this series is over.
That's going to series.
Because I mean, I was actually on the Celtics
and I kind of got lucky
because I planned on betting the Celtics
to win this series.
But you know, my game seven trend, it's held up so long. The Celtics won game one. So with them winning
game one, I couldn't come back on a Celtics at a better number. So that kind of saved me.
So I was just betting game by game, but I just think game four just swung the series so much.
And then you saw the Celtics bench really struggled. I mean, they had basically five
guys. I mean, Grant Williams, Derek White, and Pritchard, they gave them nothing for the
last three, four games of the series. Raheem, I just gotten over this. Why are you bringing
this up to me? Oh, wait, I brought it up. I'm sorry. Yeah, our bench died and Tatum died,
and the red team won. The Warriors got better every game and they just figured the Celtics out. And I'm still mad about it. We're going to talk about 2023 NBA. This is one of our burning questions
because it's not just about the draft this week. We might see some trades. Something might happen.
The odds are out. I was looking at FanDuel. And, you know, I mean, first of all, they've figured
out the future odds. There's no value at all.
Everybody's like 7-1, 9-1.
And it just doesn't make sense, I don't think,
especially in like June, to bet like a team at 7-1 to win the finals.
Do you agree with that or no?
I think there's some value out there.
Okay, tell me.
For me, I'm looking at the Los Angeles Clippers.
I mean, right now, when you look at this Los Angeles Clippers team,
they're going to bring back Kawhi Leonard.
This is a team who, to me, they project to be top five offensively and defensively.
Last year, Paul George only played 31 games, and they were still a top five defense.
And when Paul George came back, the offense was rolling.
And then they also made some trades last year that I felt put them over the top.
I mean, obviously made them deeper.
Yeah.
I mean, you got Robert Covington.
You got Norman Powell.
I mean, this is a wing factory.
And what do you want in today's NBA?
Other than your team, the Boston Celtics, there's nobody with better wins.
So you bring Kawhi Leonard back to that.
And I know it's tough to bank on a guy coming off of an ACL
injury but we've seen Kevin Durant
we've seen Klay Thompson I think
Kawhi will be fine
the one thing I don't like is I hear
that they're thinking about trading for Kyrie Irving
I don't really like that because I think that's going to mess up their depth
but at 7
50 I love the Clippers I think that's the
best bet on the board and I think that
that value is not going to be there forever.
You know, that one jumped out to me too,
but I just felt like the plus 750 wasn't of value.
I thought they were going to be like 12 to 1, 13 to 1
because we haven't seen these guys together
basically since spring of 2021.
But at the same time, the top five,
Golden State's 5 to 1 on FanDuel,
Brooklyn's 7 to 1, Milwaukee's 7-1,
Seltzer's 7-1, and Clippers are plus 750. And then it drops to the Suns, plus 950.
It feels like it's right that the Clips have the second best odds in the West.
Yeah. Yeah.
The one that surprised me, I don't understand the Nets thing at all. I have no idea why they
have the second best odds out of anybody.
I don't get it.
I think there's so many variables with them.
Start with the Kyrie thing.
I have no idea what team he's going to be on.
A bunch of old role guys they signed last year.
Really, none of them panned out.
I have no idea if KD's happy,
where his head's at.
And then Ben Simmons,
you know, you're in Philly.
Do you trust Ben Simmons?
To me, the fact that the Clippers
have worse odds than the Nets
is like absolute insanity I don't get it
to me the Nets
at the same odds as the Bucks are insane
to me like
Benjamin might never play basketball
for the Nets ever and then like
Kyrie and Kevin Durant are best friends
if they don't handle this Kyrie
situation in the way that Kevin Durant wants them to handle it Kevin Durant are best friends. If they don't handle this Kyrie situation in the way that Kevin
Durant wants them to handle it, Kevin Durant
could walk. This could completely
fall apart.
We're going to talk about Kyrie in part two.
I have some theories on this, but just spoiler
alert, I think he'll end up on Brooklyn because
I don't think anybody else
is ultimately going to give up whatever it would take.
It's one of those things. They don't want
to be with each other, but they're going to kind of end up with each other.
I'm going to throw two teams at you
that I thought were intriguing from a value point.
You tell me what you think.
Nuggets, 17-1.
We just talked about, Rob Mahoney and I just talked about them,
about could they be one move away from,
you know, if you package Gordon and Monty Morris' contract,
the picks they have, could they have a fourth
guy they're 17
to 1 that seemed
a little juicy to me considering
they have one of the best four players in the league what do you
think of that one
they stand out to me but
I think the thing that scares me is they just got
a new GM obviously he
left for Minnesota right
and then I'm still I want to see the status of Michael Porter Jr. and Jamal Murray. I mean, obviously, I think when I look at Nikola Jokic, to me, he's one of the best players in the league. And I price him the same way I would any type top guy. Like you have to account for him. I mean, this guy stole one game off the Warriors, almost two. So I just want to wait on that. I think you could probably get a little bit better of a number later on.
I think it's funny.
They're 17-1, the Nets are 7-1.
And to me, they're basically the same team from an
I don't know what the fuck is going to happen standpoint.
Each team has a great player.
And then there's some variables with the two through four.
Honestly, Denver's probably in an easier division or easier conference,
or at least a conference that has more uncertainty. So I just feel like some of this stuff comes down
to who's public. People just think Brooklyn's a super contender and they're just not anymore.
It's not the team from a year and a half ago when it was Harden and Kyrie and KD. It was like,
oh my God, how are we going to stop these guys?
Those days are done.
We don't know what we're getting with Ben.
That's for favorites over
your Celtics. I thought that was the most
batshit insane line that I've ever seen in my life.
I also thought it was crazy.
Here's the other one.
This one might surprise you.
Bulls 65-1.
This is a long shot, but This one might surprise you. Bulls, 65-1. Ooh.
So, this is a long shot,
but what if they traded for Gobert?
What if that Vucevic-Pat Williams rumor
that KOC was talking about,
and they just ended up with Gobert,
and then you start thinking about defensively
what that team would look like?
Now, what if they were able to get Gobert without trading Patrick Williams?
And it was just Vucevic, the pick they have this year, and a bunch of more picks.
But I was thinking about them defensively.
If they had Caruso and Lonzo, even if they were able to keep Patrick Williams,
Zach Levine, DeRozan, and Gobert anchoring everything,
all of a sudden that looks like a real playoff team to me.
So the 65-1, just
the flyer, just in case
they're the Gobert team, I thought was an interesting
idea. That's really interesting.
I mean, I wouldn't mind putting a small bet on that.
I mean, think of Gobert. I mean, that's
scary. Little appetizer,
right? Yeah, I mean, why not?
I'm not saying it's an entree. It's not the veal chop,
but it's a soup order.'s not the veal chop but you know it's
like it's a soup order uh what else did you have for values for uh did you any long shots that you
like um i mean i think obviously you kind of you got to have the books i mean you have the best
player in the world and i mean i think everybody kind of agrees that if middleton didn't get hurt
i'm sorry bill if middleton didn't get hurt i agree with you, Bill. If Middleton didn't get hurt. I agree with you, dude.
I don't see that number getting better than seven and one. So I think you can put some value down on that. But as far as long shots, last year I said, and I said this back in January,
the Dallas Mavericks or the Memphis Grizzlies will go to the Western Conference Finals.
Now, one of those happened.
The other one didn't.
Obviously, John Morant got hurt.
I don't want to really look to the Grizzlies because I do think the West is getting better.
But I think if I'm looking towards a long shot, which I'm not going to play now, it'd probably be the Dallas Mavericks plus 1,900.
I mean, obviously, the trade to Christian Wood, that was huge for them.
I mean, I think that kind of makes them
obviously, they're like the Rockets almost.
Like the James Harden era Rockets.
Now they have some rebounding, they have some size.
I think that's, they really struggle
as they got beat up on the boards against Golden State.
I think they're going to be a top
one to three seed. Like, honestly,
like, if they open up the
lines at some point where you can bet, you know,
seeding,
I would be looking at the Mavericks to be one of the best regular season teams in the league.
And I also think that opens up
the value for Luka to be MVP.
So,
you figure they'll use the mid-level exception
too. They already turned all the guys on the back
of their bench who didn't play into Christian Wood
whose lobs and threes at worst.
He's also an expiring if that
trade doesn't work out. They could just flip him in February. He's making like 14 million. So I
agree on that. One more body at free, like let's say they got, I don't know, Robin Lopez, just
any, just give me any big guy who could at least play 15 minutes and not be a complete disaster.
And then Luca makes a jump up. I know you're monitoring
this too, because we're talking about MVP. Yeah. I'm waiting. Every day I'm waiting for the picture
of Luca with the eight pack and he's giving up sugar and he's working out with this dude. And
oh my God, is that a tricep? What's going on now? I'm waiting. I don't know if this is the year, but Luka in a tank
top looking like a Marvel hero.
And when that happens, I am
banging the MVP. The MVP is 5-1
right now. Still pretty good odds, right? He's going to win
at some point. Yeah, I think
to me, he's the rightful favorite.
I like Luka. And then last
year, he had the Olympics. So he was coming off the Olympics
where he did
more than
people expected him to do. I mean, he took that team really far and now he's back. I mean, so
it's like he has a whole off season to, you know, party and then get into shape. So if he's in shape,
I think he's, he's the favorite to win this award. Five to one is pretty nice odds. I actually
thought that was going to be like plus, plus two 50, three to one range. Embiid is plus 550. Giannis, who just 7-1 always feels,
it just almost feels like that's too high.
Durant's 10-1.
Jokic, 12-1.
Curry, 13-1.
And then it starts getting into like
a couple long shots I like.
Ja, 16-1.
If you're making the case, like Memphis is a top three team. Ja, 16-1. If you're making the case,
Memphis is a top three team.
Ja plays the whole season.
Ja, 30 points a game.
Ja, the most popular young player in the league
by all the social media metrics.
And then the Kawhi comeback, 24-1.
For me, I'm not taking anybody over 30.
I actually did some work on how...
Over 30 years old?
Yeah, like 30 or more.
Like, there's only been,
what, there have been seven,
there were seven guys who won MVP
who were 30 and above.
You know what the last one was?
Karl Malone?
Steve Nash in 2005 and 2006.
Oh, you're right.
And then here's the thing.
If you look at the history of the war since 1985,
there's been six players who won the MVP award in their 30s.
Most, I mean, excuse me, there's been seven since 1985.
Six of them came in the 90s.
Maggie Johnson in 1990, Hakeem Olajuwon in 1994, Michael Jordan, 96, 98, Car Malone, 97, 99.
But when you look at the 90s, that was a time when pace slowed to a crawl.
So 30-year-olds don't win this award. So I'm automatically crossing off LeBron James. I'm
crossing off Kevin Durant. I'm crossing off Curry because they just don't win this award. So I'm automatically crossing off LeBron James. I'm crossing off Kevin Durant.
I'm crossing off Curry
because they just don't win this award.
It's like, it's no country for old men.
That's good.
Well, the other thing with the 90s,
the talent, we had a swoon of talent.
So somebody like Karl Malone,
who was doing the same stuff he was doing five years earlier,
all of a sudden it was more impressive
because everybody around him was playing worse.
That's really interesting, the over 30 thing. I like that.
Alright, so you crossed
off Kawhi, but that doesn't cross off Ja.
Yeah, that definitely doesn't cross off
Ja. And I think the biggest
thing with Memphis is that I
do think they can take a step back.
They had a slow start to the season
and then they got it going defensively
and they just went on a good run.
But I think the West is a little better this year.
Anthony Edwards,
65 to one little too early.
Pretty good.
And hustle.
Probably a little too early,
but I,
I loved him.
I mean,
he was like two pocket juice as far as being a villain.
He was a basic.
I was stunned.
And apparently he filmed that after his rookie year when he was barely even Anthony Edwards yet.
But he had the same confidence he had during the season.
Give us an Embiid prediction before you go.
Just in general, what does his next year look like?
I think it's the same as this year.
I think he's dominant.
Actually, I think if there's a long shot,
I think you kind of want to look to the Sixers
because, and this is not me being biased,
this is more about Daryl Morey.
What does Daryl Morey do? He finds ways to put things together. So whether they trade Tobias Harris or Thibault and get some more guys in there, I think MB is going to be his dominant
self. I don't know if James Hart is going to stop partying, but I think MB is right there in the
MVP conversation. Maybe he even wins it this year.
All right.
There's 16 to 1.
We got to go, Raheem.
Good to see you.
We can hear Raheem on the Ringer Gambling Show.
I'll be popping on there a few times with you over the summer.
And then football, basketball, it's going to be a sprint.
Good to see you.
Good to see you.
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All right, our guy
John Jastrzemski is here.
You can hear him on
the New York New York podcast.
You can hear him on
the Ringer Gambling Show
where him and House
were getting their asses
kicked by Raheem Palmer.
He was just telling them
under, under, under.
And he was right.
What an addition to the show.
We're not talking Yankees. I don't care. Wow. That's why I thought you were having me on.
Wow. In denial. You hate to see that. It's a basketball podcast today. What are the Knicks going to do? What do you want them to do? Okay. What do I want them to do? I want them to trade
up and get Ivy because they haven't had a legitimate,
bona fide star guard in my entire life.
So the idea of getting somebody who can create
and can make things happen, it excites me.
The problem is, how are the Knicks going to do that?
They're not getting Kyrie Irving.
You want to talk about something that would drive me to drink,
something that would drive me up a wall. The idea of Kyrie Irving coming to the New York Knicks,
no thank you. I don't want any involvement. They could have had him a couple of years ago with
Kevin Durant. That did not happen. And I think ultimately Kyrie's going to end up staying in
Brooklyn. I think Durant wants him back. It seemed like it was all kumbaya from Annette's Irving perspective
about a month and a half ago
despite the sweep, but you're asking
me what I want Thursday night BS?
Ivy. That's what I want.
See the 10th pick. So you're saying
talk Sacramento
into a little flip-a-roo.
What else are you throwing in?
Are you throwing in future picks?
Like what if Sacramento said,
well, yeah, you can trade up for four.
We want 10.
We want next year's first.
Give us a pick swap the year after
and give us quickly
and we're happy to do that for you.
Well, I was thinking they would want Toppin
and I don't want to trade Toppin,
but I would do it
because I think the Knicks
are that desperate for a lead guard.
I think they are that desperate for a lead guard where as much as I like Obi, here's the problem, BS. What are they doing with that Randall contract? Can they actually find a legitimate taker for Randall? He was a dog last year, the feel good year, the all NBA year. You're never getting that again. I would sell him 30 cents on the dollar. But I ask you, Mr. NBA,
who is the team?
Usually it's Sacramento.
It's not Sacramento.
Who is the team that can take Julius Randle
off my team's hands?
I think it's like a Westbrook Lakers situation.
I don't think anyone's taking him back
unless they know what happened to him last year,
unless he can prove in the next season
that he's back to where he was two years ago.
I thought it was one of the most inexplicable subplots of the year,
how somebody that was a beloved teammate and really efficient,
and I think I voted for him second team all-NBA,
turned into the guy we watched last year.
It doesn't make sense.
It was like he was going through something.
I'm with you on the Toppin thing.
I like Toppin.
I would be really, really uncomfortable
about giving him up. But
if you're stuck with Randall, you might have to
because in two years
you're going to pay Obi Toppin like $20 million
a year when he can't play with Randall.
That's the issue.
They need a guard. I don't know
how many times I need to say it.
That's the direction the NBA is going.
You need one of those guys.
Ivy, to me, fits perfectly.
Now, if you tell me right now,
it's this year's first, next year's first,
but I want it top three protected.
If I could do that, done.
And it's Obi Toppin, I would make that trade.
I would do it. So, 10th it's Obi Toppin, I would make that trade. I would do it.
So, 10th pick,
Obi Toppin,
and next year's first
top three protected to move up
to four.
I would do it.
That's what you're saying.
I would do it.
Now, if Sacramento asked for my advice on that,
I think I would tell them to do that.
I agree.
It makes sense for them.
They have 10 zillion point guards.
I mean, they got Davion Mitchell last year,
for goodness sakes.
They still have De'Aaron Fox.
I don't think I'm being unreasonable
with that trade request.
And I like the players from 8 to 12
because I think they would end up
with somebody good there
anyway and it's not a redundant
point guard thing. I really worry about Ivy.
I think that's the worst team for him
to go to. Where a team
that with Fox who just was in
this whole weird thing with Halliburton. The moment
they traded Halliburton, his stats took off.
He really quickly was a bonus
and I would just worry about
bringing Ivy into that. Mitchell's already there.
And so for me, first with the Kings, is Fox our guy or not?
And if he's not, maybe that's plan B to this, right?
Maybe then you think about we're going to take Ivy and then we'll trade Fox to the Knicks.
Well, last year, it's funny you mention that.
Before the Sabonis trade, I was wishing and hoping that
the Knicks could swap Randall for
Fox. I was rooting for that.
Because I've always wanted Fox on the Knicks.
But now with Sabonis there,
I can't see that.
So would you trade Randall
and the 10 for Fox?
Done. You would. I would not
do that. I would. I absolutely
would. To get Randall off the team? Yes. Yes, I would. Yes, I would. I would not do that. I would. I absolutely would. To get Randle off the team, yes.
Yes, I would. Yes, I would.
Because let me ask you this
question. If they don't move up
for Ivy,
what are the Knicks looking at with the 10th
pick? Mark Williams?
A.J. Griffin?
Sohan. I like Sohan.
Oh, man. Oh, man.
Yeah, you're right.
You're going to get me to buy in there?
It's not somebody that will have the fans clamoring for the seasons.
It does feel like the Knicks, you know, last year,
it's just bizarre that they overreacted to that Hawks series like they did.
They lost to the Hawks in five and acted like,
we've got to keep the band together going forward.
Well, I mean, they had as bad an offseason
as any team that I can imagine.
The Randall extension,
which some would say, well, you had to do it.
The Randall extension for no reason.
No, they didn't have to do it at all.
They should have let him play out the year.
Totally, totally agree.
And then you think about this.
Fournier, absolute stiff.
They gave Alec Burks a ton of money.
Rose, who I like, they brought Alec Burks a ton of money. Rose, who I like,
they brought back and gave him a ton of money. And of course, predictably, he ends up getting hurt. Last year went as bad as can be. And you also had the regression factor from the tips team
where they really played out of their freaking mind the first year he was there. And then you
had that regression to the mean in year two. Well, and then letting Bullock go, who's actually a three and D playoff guy.
You spend the money on all these other guys,
but you let the three and D playoff guy go.
Not that he's like an all-star, but he's a piece.
I thought he had some important moments for Dallas.
I didn't understand really anything they did last summer.
I was saying at the time,
I didn't understand giving Randall the extension
when they didn't have to.
I didn't like extending some of the deals. And then it was the whole thing of, no, no, no, the deals aren't as
bad as they seem. They can get out of them. But it's like, well, great. You can't get out of them
now. And I think it's such an advantage to have cap space. Over and over again, we see these teams
panic when they have cap space. We got to do something with cap space. It's like, wait,
well, Tibbs isn't going to want to coach a young team. Well, then get another coach.
Like, why is everybody has to cater toward Tibbs?
What is Tibbs has never coached a team in the finals.
It's not like he's Phil Jackson.
You know, I think I get that.
I think Tibbs is the least of their problems, though.
Their direction to me is the bigger problem.
And that's what I need to figure out before we hit the start of the year.
Are they going all young?
Like, are they rolling out RJ and quickly and topping?
Well, if that's the case, then what is the plan
for this front office?
And BS, I wish I could give you a more detailed
and a more eloquent answer
because I don't have the slightest idea
what their plan is.
I have no clue.
The tips thing's a problem. It is
also swimming against where the league
is going, where those type
of coaches,
the guys who didn't play,
who get the attention for being
what they do, and they have their scheme and the whole
thing. It feels like the league's moving
away from that. If anything, those guys are becoming
lead assistants now. I thought it was interesting. Kenny Atkinson had a chance to have the Charlotte
job, but instead was like, you know what? I'm super happy as Steve Kerr's number one assistant
and I'll be his X's and O's guys and Steve can do all the public stuff. Celtics, same thing with
the Emei Doko and Will Hardy is like his number one guy, right? Will Hardy is in a great spot. He gets to do all the fun coaching stuff without the actual, you know, having to run the team and
he can get all the refs and stuff like that. I just think the Tibbs, Stan Van Gundy era is,
is kind of going by the wayside going forward. I think guys are going to, teams are going to
be hiring ex players. I think they'll be looking at people like Iguodala and people who just played
who have this coach
and put really good
assistants around them.
But the main guy
will be somebody
who can connect with the players
who used to be a player.
I think that's where we're going.
But don't you think
the bigger problem
for the New York Knicks
right now
is their front office,
not the head coach?
Because I think the front office
right now is completely clueless.
Well, so the front office,
the one good thing they did
is they reestablished some of the credibility
because I think until Wes and Leon showed up,
the Knicks were just considered
to be a complete shit show, stay away.
So what, now they're a semi shit show?
I think they at least seem
like they have a plan.
I just disagree with the plan.
Does that make sense?
Yeah.
What is the plan?
The idea of getting respectable and then hoping that builds towards something?
I don't know what that is.
I think the plan was...
Well, they've drafted well.
It came out of nowhere.
But they drafted pretty well the last couple of years.
I think the plan was there's nobody we like with the cap space.
We're going to try
to protect the cap spots.
We're going to try to give value where we think
there's value.
And just kind of wait
and just kind of accumulate assets.
The problem is the Randall thing
was where they fucked up. If they didn't do the Randall
thing, the 48 contract's fine.
He makes too much money, but if he was making
10 million, it'd be fine. He's overpaid, which gives him something in common with 50 guys.
The Randall thing was indefensible. I just don't understand why they did it. And I don't think
there's a way to get out of it. And you know, as a Knicks fan, I know as a Celtics fan during the
ML car, Rick Pitino era, like you have these contracts and it's like having a car lease for the worst car ever.
You're like, I can't even get rid of this. What am I going to do?
They've done this so many times, the Knicks. So many times. I mean, before Donnie Walsh came in,
that was their MO. They would take these awful contracts. I remember when Ewing,
and this is 20 years, for goodness sakes, BS, they took on Shandon Anderson and Howard Isley, Travis Knight.
And in many ways, people listening are probably like,
what are you doing?
Why are you referencing something from 20 years ago?
Well, the reason I'm referencing it is because that started this trend
that the Knicks have repeated about three or four times
over the last 20 years.
No, you're right.
It starts in the mid-90s, really, with Chris Childs and some of those guys. No, but at least those teams were contending teams.
They overpaid Allen Houston, but at least Allen Houston provided moments of brilliance
that they haven't seen in 20-plus years, for goodness sake.
So I can live with that.
I really can.
Early 90s and beyond,
there are just very few years you can find the organization in stable footing or making the
right decision. So yeah, they're not a full fledged shit show. They have drafted okay,
like Barrett. Toppin is useful. Quickly is useful. But Borkley said this. I don't know
if you saw this. It was in New York
papers a couple of days ago, and I think it's an excellent quote. The Knicks have a bunch of guys
like they don't have like who outside of Barrett, who are the budding stars on the team? They don't
have them. And that's a problem. James Harden? No, no, no, no, no, no. He's going back to Philly.
You know that. More. I'm trying to think of. I'm trying to think of other stars that might be available.
Yeah.
Well, Mitchell is the guy.
That'd be the guy New York City would be drooling over.
His dad works for the Mets.
He's had all the Rangers playoff games.
He has to be in that trade, though.
Probably.
That's the issue.
And then what exactly does that do you?
I don't know.
You're going sideways at that point.
I'd rather have RJ on a rookie contract and the arrows pointing up for him
and I like him. That would be
my sign. Well, I think there's
something there with the Kings and Knicks in
some way. There's some sort of match.
That would excite me. You want something
that will excite me and I think a whole
lot of Knicks fans, they trade up to
four and get Ivy. I'm going to be fired up
about that because then I got to guard.
Well, listen to JJ on the New York New York pod.
You can hear his response.
We're not talking about the Yankees.
I don't really, I don't take baseball seriously until August.
That's just the way I am.
So I don't even know what your record is.
Last year, I couldn't escape the, it's okay though,
because you've linked me with Jacko now.
So me and Jacko now talk all the time.
And we were texting last night and we were in our glory.
Big balls, Wendy Peralta.
You've been making a lot of trips to Boston.
So I'm not going to see you at Fenway Park in a couple of weeks for Yankees Red Sox.
That's what you're telling me.
You will not see me.
That's unfortunate.
I hope we don't get embarrassed.
JJ, good to see you.
Thanks, BS.
All right, Big Waz is here.
We're doing draft questions, burning questions.
The Utah Jazz seem to hold a lot of cards.
Could Gobert be going somewhere?
Could Donovan Mitchell be going somewhere?
Could they be going the other way
and trying to bring guys in?
You have been studying the Jazz
for about four and a half minutes.
What is your, what's your take? First of of all what would you do if you were the jazz and then second what do you
think they will do i would probably try to get some young guys in get some draft picks for mitchell
um and not completely stink up the joint in the process of doing so because Utah has kind of never been the team that just breaks it down to its
studs and do the full tank-a-thon type of thing. So I just probably, because I could get more from
Mitchell, being that he's got a nice amount of years still left on his deal. He's a wing player,
ball-dominant guy. He's younger than Rudy. You can get the most from him. And I just keep Rudy
around. My team will be competent.
My young guys will learn how to play next to a guy who's obviously a proven, very solid pro, will play great defenses.
And I'll just move on that way.
Get pieces, assets in the process, and move on with my life.
Because Donovan Mitchell is not long for this franchise.
It's just obvious.
So they might as well do this as soon as they can
and get the most that they can for it.
So basically, if they were going to trade Mitchell,
Miami would be, I think, the lead target, right?
Because they could do, Hero could be in it,
Duncan Robinson, one or two more contracts,
and you're good to go.
If you wanted to get a little more ambitious,
maybe Lowry's in that. Conley's coming back the other way if you wanted to make it a bigger trade.
Could you trade Donovan Mitchell for a centerpiece? I asked Mahoney this earlier.
Could you trade Donovan Mitchell for a centerpiece of Tyler Harrow and picks and pick swaps?
Yeah, I think so. I think the picks are going to be more important
to these guys like i'm somebody who likes tyler hero but i don't think he's like you know some
centerpiece of anything that isn't a quality bench unit right right he's the centerpiece of that
i don't know about anything else and so i think he's a good enough asset, if you will, to get back.
But if I was Utah, yeah, I'd definitely be like, I want to maximize my ability to get some draft picks in there and hopefully get the next Donovan Mitchell.
Right. Like they didn't pick this guy. Number two, number three, number one.
Like this guy was in the teens. And so they probably want to try to hit gold that way and
give themselves as many bites of the apple as possible um if they wanted to go another way bill
yeah which is like talk to me i think it's the toronto where it's like yo you guys have a lot
of wing depth we had horrible wing depth um we'll give you Rudy. You sacrifice some of your wing depth to get an actual center in there.
We'll look into getting just a, since people think that Rudy's this easily replaceable guy,
we'll get this replacement level kind of center in here.
We'll fill out the wing depth and keep it pushing from there.
So that's another way to sort of go about this.
That has to be Siakam
if that's the trade though.
For sure.
So you would
you'd be willing to think about that
if you're Utah.
I would trade Gobert for Siakam
in five seconds.
Yeah.
I just would.
I wouldn't even
I wouldn't even blink at that.
I'm not sure if I'm Toronto
I'm not sure I would
I don't think I would do that
if I'm Toronto.
You don't think you would give up Pascal for Rudy?
See, and that's the thing.
I don't think so.
I was looking at it like, look, we kind of have our Pascal replacement in the wings.
Yeah.
Right now.
And Scotty Barnes.
And so he seems like a guy that could be expendable.
Right.
And Scotty is so much in his rookie year i i i could understand why they would do that 100
i was getting excited for them to trade gobert to chicago for vucevic
picks whatever and then miami they get hero and robinson. And it's just like the white guys start accumulating in Utah.
People are like, wait, what's going on here?
Wait, there's a lot of white guys going on here.
And we're in Utah.
I think the other, we talked about the Knicks with JJ,
which I don't think we've run that one yet.
But the Knicks possibility with Mitchell,
we know they value him.
They blew it not taking him a couple years ago.
I think the World Wide West has history with him.
You could argue the Knicks are in a position of overpaying,
are probably the most likely overpayer just to get a star.
They have no roadmap really to be interesting.
Mitchell's the guy they can point to, they can put him on.
RJ would have to be in that trade though. Which again, I don't understand the logic in that,
right? I guess you package RJ. I'm pretty sure Fournier would have to be in there to make some
of the money work. But what is that team? You're going sideways. I'm out on that trade too.
What is that team? Same thing with bringing Kyrie in there. You see the Kyrie report,
where it's like, well, the Lakers, the Knicksicks and the Clippers won't be all right cool if you're the Knicks you could probably move um move enough money and just sign them out right without a
deal but what is the Knicks with Kyrie Irving and OB Toppin I'm like I don't know you know what I
mean I I don't I the Knicks situation it feels like they're in purgatory
or limbo right now if they could tell me they could you know they have a way of bringing in
somebody with cap space then swinging the trade for the kairi for the um donovan mitchell type
then okay then i think we're cooking with gas here uh to just all right we're bringing in kairi
or bringing in donovan Mitchell to basically play
with this group.
Yeah.
Played next to Julius Randall or something.
Like I I'm not understanding the logic there.
What if there was a go bear for eight and sign a trade?
I mean, I think if you're, I think if you're Utah,
that is the best of all worlds. That's their best case scenario, right?
And if you're Phoenix, you're gonna lose
Aiton anyway.
You have this relatively brief
window, at least to contend, although they're probably
gonna think Chris is gonna move into this new
stage of his career, I'm guessing, where he's
like 26, 27 minutes a game.
But if they could turn Aiton into Gobert
and sign a backup point guard for Chris
and just kind of make a run the next two, three years,
that would make sense to me.
I just don't know if they'd spend the money.
Gobert's expensive.
I think the defensive upgrade,
because when we're talking about these guys,
a lot of times we tend to think of them in a vacuum,
but I think you need to think about the context.
Gobert in Phoenix, like his offensive deficiencies are less accentuated by the presence of Chris Paul and Devin Booker.
And I think Chris Paul has been obviously a much better playmaker, table setter, actually might give this guy the ball when he's wide open every now and again, unlike what was happening in Utah.
Man, if I'm Rudy, I would be over the moon to go play with Phoenix
in that situation because, again, his shortcomings on offense
become less of a problem because, one, they're going to be –
that's dominance on defense
right there.
Him and Mikael Bridges and Cam Johnson and, you know, Jay –
like that's dominant defensively, and they can figure out how to pick up
the pieces on offense with the amount of shooting they can surround them with
and the level of playmaking, table setting that's around.
That would be incredible.
And I think Utah again
that like you get a young guy
and it's because it's time to trade you're able
to get him for some years and
he slots right into Rudy's position
yeah that would be a
perfect trade honestly
I got one more I haven't seen this anywhere
and I don't think it'll happen
there's a pretty interesting Memphis match for them
because Memphis is a classic they have more than enough assets for a three for one and I don't think it'll happen. There's a pretty interesting Memphis match for them.
Because Memphis is a classic.
They have more than enough assets for a three for one,
four for one, whatever.
They have extra draft picks,
I think for the next couple of years.
And they have Adams as an expiring.
He's 17.9 next year.
So that gets you halfway
to the Gobert number.
And then you can get creative after that.
They're also, are they,
yeah, they're under the cap too,
so they could absorb some stuff too. But I was thinking the same point you just made about Phoenix's defense. If they could figure out a way to keep their nucleus and put him next to
Jaron Jackson with their wings that they have, that one I thought was intriguing too. And if
you're Utah, you're basically getting out of the Gobert money. You're getting some picks,
an ability to reset.
The thing I keep coming back to is
Ainge has shown a couple times now
in his tenure as a GM
that if he feels like you can't,
I can't win a title with the team I have,
I'm blowing it up.
He is one of the original blow it ups.
Yeah.
That's what he does.
And I guarantee he's looking at this team going,
we can't win a title with these two guys as our best two guys. You know That's what he does. And I guarantee he's looking at this team going, we can't win a title with these two guys
as our best two guys. You know,
it's interesting because while
Ainge might have that imperative, it's felt
like Memphis has been very hesitant
to jump the gun
on any deals. They're kind of just like,
we really believe in this young core.
We think we can do it piece by piece.
But wait a second, though. Do you think
after they watching Golden State win the title, how close they were in that series that would make me rethink that
because we were like holy shit if jaw doesn't get hurt could we have beaten the team that won the
title yeah and but you know the thing about rudy for them is that i think jaron Jackson, so far in his career, has been much better as a four than a five.
Like, look at it.
Like, his foul rate is, like, way higher whenever he has to play the five than when he's playing the four.
So that's been his best position.
However, I think Memphis cannot be unlocked until he masters the center position.
Right? until he masters the center position, right? Like, I just don't think offensively
they're a dangerous enough team with him at the four
and you bring Rudy to that five.
I just don't think they're a potent enough offense
when, you know, you got the one supernova.
We love John Morant.
We think he's a superstar, difference maker,
all of that stuff. I wonder
if the Rudy fit might be
a little bit too clunky with those guys.
So, Waz, you're putting
on the Memphis Grizzlies
bulletin board.
Waz thinks Jaron Jackson needs to be able
to handle the five for the Grizzlies to win.
I think you're right. I mean, look at what we just
watched. It was Draymond
and Looney were the centers on a team
that won the title. There's no reason you shouldn't
be able to bang bodies with those guys.
Yeah. You know, or even
the time, Lord. It's
like, there's no reason why you shouldn't
be able to play center
efficiently against those guys
defensively. And you know, he has
his moments where he's spacing out and actually making
his shots. I'm dubious that he'll ever develop a potent one-on-one scoring efficiently you know
sort of drawing fouls and yeah you know getting great shots or generating help and getting it
out to shooters and guys attacking closeouts i don't know that he'll ever be that type of guy. But I feel like
short of them bringing in
a second, you know,
bona fide star,
I think he has to become that
for them to take that next step.
Hmm.
I wonder how many teams
are going to overreact
to the Golden State thing.
That's going to be one of the lessons
we have this week.
All right, last question
and then we're going.
10-second answer. Does the lessons we have this week. Alright, last question and then we're going. 10 second answer.
Does Utah make a trade this week?
Yes.
I think they do too.
They just can't bring back the group.
It's too toxic.
It's almost, it's not
as bad as, I mean, I think it's way worse.
Actually, I think it's way worse than Phoenix.
Like the A and B situation. In sense that like you've beaten your head over
over over on the you banged your head on the desk over and over again um with this group whereas
phoenix could be like yo bring it back we went to the finals we did this let's be kumbaya there's a
way that you could say that. There's no justification for bringing
this group back again.
I'm sorry we left you
off the
hard to kill rewatchables.
Oh my goodness.
Next time we do Seagal,
you'll be one of the first calls.
Please bring me on.
By the way,
there's a lot of
above the rim rumors
right now at the rewatchables.
There's a lot.
I don't know.
Sham's reported something.
You guys have never done above the rim? We haven't done it yet. Wow. Yeah, a lot. I don't know. Shams reported something. You guys have never done
Above the Room?
We haven't done it yet.
Wow.
Yeah, there's rumors.
There's lots of rumors right now.
I know that's going to be
a knife fight
to get on that show.
Waz, great to see you as always.
Thanks, man.
All right, that's it for part one.
Don't forget part two
coming as well
of the special
two-part extravaganza
heading toward
Thursday night.
Part one was produced
by Kyle Creighton.
Thanks to Dylan Berkey
and Steve Cerruti as well.
Thanks to the Kevins.
Thanks to Raheem.
Thanks to JJ
and thanks to Waz.
See you in part two.
I don't have feelings with them
On the wayside, on the way so I never run
Say I don't have feelings with them