The Bill Simmons Podcast - Phoenix Rallies, GSW Needs CPR, Trae’s Stock Plummets and the Lakers’ Highway Widens With J. Kyle Mann and Haralabos Voulgaris
Episode Date: April 19, 2023The Ringer's Bill Simmons is joined by J. Kyle Mann to discuss the Suns beating the Clippers to split the series 1-1 (2:01), Trae Young's negative impact on the Hawks, Knicks-Cavaliers Game 2, Draymon...d Green's suspension, whether the Warriors are dead, and more (21:49). Then Bill is joined by Haralabos Voulgaris to discuss the Warriors-Kings series and Lakers-Grizzlies (53:29), Heat-Bucks, Finals picks, and more (1:41:00) Host: Bill Simmons Guests: J. Kyle Mann and Haralabos Voulgaris Producer: Kyle Crichton Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Coming up, we stayed up late for Clip Suns.
Are the Warriors dead?
Should the Hawks trade Trae Young?
It's all next.
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We're also brought to you by the Ringer Podcast Network, where we put up a new episode of the
Rewatchables on Monday night. We did Alien, one of the most influential sci-fi horror movies ever.
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This was a good one.
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So that is coming.
Also coming on this podcast, J Kyle Mann.
He stayed up late with me for Quip Sons.
We talked about all three Tuesday
games and Trey Young's future in Atlanta. Fun conversation. And then my friend Haral Bob
Bulgaris, we taped with him earlier in the day before the news of Draymond's suspension, which
we were guessing might happen, but it happened. He's out for game three. We spent a lot of time talking about
whether the Warriors are dead or not, some historical science from the past. We talked
about the Lakers. Is the path clear now for them to be the best team in the West,
that they can stay healthy? Talk some poker. A lot of good stuff coming up. It's all next.
First, our friends from Pearl Jam.
All right, taping this part of the pod.
It is a little after 930.
Tuesday night, just watch the Suns rally back and beat the Clippers.
The series is tied at 1-1.
Kyle Mann is here.
There's a moment there in that first half
when it got dark.
If you were a Suns fan, if you're a KD fan,
if you're a Chris Paul fan or a Booker fan,
where it was like, oh my God,
are they going to fall down 0-2 to the Clippers?
Are they going to get swept?
For five minutes, my head was going all these different places, but they righted the ship.
What did you think watching the game?
I mean, this game in particular, this matchup of players like i i was going through i just want
to like make some like broad kind of like observations about like the collection of guys
that are in this series like i pulled this just to be sure um you know in the past six seasons
there have been let's see there have been 39 guys that have attempted over a thousand non-paint mid-range attempts and three of the
top 10 most efficient guys are in this game um this is like a just battle of mid-range iso masters
if you're like a youngster out there wanting to learn the mid-range iso game i feel like this is
basically master class should just put this on their website and just use it for that purpose.
But, I mean, early on, I think they had some trouble.
I mean, it seemed like the tone of the game was set
with how aggressively Westbrook was playing.
I mean, just denying everything, denying every catch for KD,
making his life difficult.
Then he picks up those two quick fouls,
and it kind of felt like a little bit of a shift of energy.
And then Kawhi gets going.
I feel like we got kind of a reminder of how special Kawhi is.
But then the energy just kind of shifted back.
It felt like once Phoenix got into a rhythm,
because I just kind of feel like they have more scores and playmakers
than the Clippers do overall, which I don't think is a hot take.
It's crazy that this isn't the most fascinating round one series because Warriors
Kings has taken the cake on that one. Booker plays 45 minutes. Durant plays 44. And they're
playing again on Thursday. I'm just flagging that right away. Because one of the things that
jumped out in game one was, hey, the supporting cast. What's going on there? Phoenix. How many of these guys do we
actually trust? I think Monte Williams looked at the same thing and said, hmm, the supporting cast.
What am I going to do? Oh, I'll just play my two best guys a combined 89 minutes.
Booker was incredible. He was torching Westbrook in the second half. Durant still has that. Don't
you feel the new guy energy is still from Durant a little bit?
He looks like he wandered into the pickup game sometimes,
and he's fitting in because he's smart.
He knows how to play basketball, but it still feels a little new car smellish, right?
So, yeah, I mean, we're talking about a really limited sample size.
I know you've talked a lot about, and I did a whole project about this, about just how impactful can a midseason trade be. But this is kind of uncharted territory. I mean, for a guy that, you know, these players all like each other and know each other. So it's not like they imported some stranger, you know, and they're all smart basketball players. But I think the thing about this that is going to make it flow and have kind of natural synergy once they get into a rhythm
is that these guys can all shoot, dribble, and pass.
I think KD is an underrated passer.
I think he's grown as a pick-and-roll player over the course of his career.
And Booker had some phenomenal – other than just being in fuego hot,
he's passing the ball well.
And that kind of allows Chris Paul to pick his spots,
which I don't think Chris has ever really been
in this situation with this many...
I mean, the Harden thing,
but this is probably the two highest quality players
I feel like that he's played with at the same time,
I'd say, unless I'm just forgetting something.
No, it's the most normal, high-quality guys
that he's played with.
Wherever he's been, it's the most normal, high-quality guys that he's played with. Wherever he's been,
it's people like...
Blake was always
a little awkward
and he was always
bowling a China shoppie.
They had a pretty effective
screen role they used to run.
But for the most part,
I felt it was always
a little clumsy.
DeAndre was the other
best guy on that team.
New Orleans,
he basically had Tyson Chandler
and David West. David West probably was the guy best guy in that team. New Orleans, he basically had Tyson Chandler and David West.
David West probably was the guy that he had the best chemistry with
until he got to Phoenix.
Yeah, he's got an embarrassment of riches,
but there was in that first half, it did kind of seem like,
it was like one of those CP's looks wash games.
And then he rallied.
It was like he had a really good thing of Gatorade at halftime or something.
Yeah.
The,
from a Clipper standpoint,
it's just been so much fun to watch Kawhi with his,
in his A plus game.
Um,
just,
you know,
Raheem was tweeting about,
uh,
the,
this is a case for load management.
This is why they do that.
Cause he looks 100%.
He could not
look more fresh. The Suns were just throwing the kitchen sink at him trying to fuck him up.
I was looking at his playoff career stats since that 2017 season when he almost won the MVP.
This is the 61st playoff game he's played. He's basically been 30 a game in the postseason. Now,
he hasn't been in the postseason in two years,
but for the most part, he's been 39 and 5.
30 points, 9 rebounds, 5 assists, 51% shooting for six years.
And you can feel it in every game.
It just feels like him and Durant, they're just constants.
You know you're going to look at the box score
and they're going to be between 26 and 34, right?
Somewhere in that range.
Yeah, that stretch he had from 2016-17 to 2020-21
where he was playing.
I mean, it's a 60-game sample of playoff games
and he's at 30 points, like you said,
and nearly five assists and shooting almost 40% from three.
Man, the thing that kills me about him is like, when you watch his strength is so immense that like, it's not demonstrative. I mean,
you watch some guys like Giannis fly around the court and Giannis has that lean strength,
but he's kind of knocking into people. Like when Kawhi, you'll watch people like Akogi was up on
him and Kawhi could just move him really subtly like he doesn't
have to push off and throughout this game I was just really amused at how I almost felt like
Landry Shamit was like the the awkward nerdy kid trying to avoid the attention of the bully you
know like on Freaks and Geeks whenever they would try to avoid the bullies I just felt like Shamit
was like doing whatever he could to stay away from Kawhi,
but Kawhi was just hunting him relentlessly.
I thought that was going to be a problem,
but I think the bigger problem for the Clippers,
again, in this, we talked about the mid-range mastery here,
Stan Van Gundy set the record, I think, tonight for saying drop coverage on a broadcast.
I think he said it something like in the neighborhood of 30,000 times.
And that's an issue for them.
I don't really know what they're going to do because Zubach is just not fast enough to check Booker or Durant at the level of screen.
Maybe they go Batum.
Batum's played center.
I looked it up 41% of the time.
I mean, but even he isn't what he used to be in terms of like lateral quickness.
Well, Van Gundy set a lot of records
during this playoff series. I think
he talked about contested shots.
Priscilla
was saying like he over and over again,
the almost contest, got to contest that better.
And then, uh, and the drop
coverage stuff. I think we're spoiled
though, because yesterday's announcing we had
Ian Eagle doing that. Where's King's
game? And it was just
magnificent. It was great.
Brian Curtis did a thing on the PressBox pod
with Shoemaker
this week about how
we're kind of in a golden age for play-by-play guys
with Mike Breen and
Ian Eagle and Kevin
Harlan, which are three of probably those
five or six best play-by-play
guys we've ever had. And they're all doing playoff games at the same time. I hadn't thought of it that way, but it,
it, you do notice it when it's not one of those three guys, right?
Yeah. I mean, I personally, I like, I like Steven Gunny. I enjoyed when he popped over
and was doing college games. I just enjoy his kind of mania. I don't know. I love whenever
you can find those clips of him coaching where he just starts screaming
and he almost looked like he made himself dizzy because he got so amped up in the game.
I don't know.
I'm a big fan of both of them.
Gunny Brothers on the call.
The Russ's comeback.
Russ had 28 today.
He wasn't as effective as he was in the last game.
But the fact that he's relevant at all is pretty.
I wouldn't call it Travolta Pulp Fiction level comeback, but he was somebody that I had
completely written off as being any sort of anything in any playoff series ever again in
my lifetime. Had you written him off completely or did you feel like somebody was going to tap
into him somehow? I mean, I wasn't optimistic going into this.
I love that comparison about like great directors can kind of stunt cast people that other people
couldn't kind of like, I guess Belichick was like a master of that, right?
He's like that guy that you guys think has no value.
He could come over here and be awesome for us.
Like I'm trying to think of the best examples of NBA teams that have done that.
I mean, some of the, it's always like you have to have like incredible infrastructure to like pull that off.
But I guess, I mean, Ty Lue, the bell chick of the NBA, right?
He, it seems like he's gotten through to him in terms of like communicating
effort,
but also Russ has a lot of kind of personal motivation in this series that is
pretty obvious and apparent across the board.
Cause I don't think him and CP3 are boys.
And obviously the Kevin Durant thing goes super deep.
Yeah, that's true.
Yeah, I'm trying to think the best rejuvenation
was probably Bob McAdoo.
He's basically out of the league.
The Lakers kind of just grabbed him
and all of a sudden he had that 82 Lakers team,
which I think is probably the most underrated,
like high, high level championship team.
Like I was when I was doing my book, watching some of the stuff they were doing that year, like they were running full court press shit and all kinds.
They were so athletic. They were just ridiculously more athletic than anyone else who was in the league at that standpoint.
And McAdoo was had been done and they basically brought him back to life.
Westbrook's not quite at that level, but he's certainly way more impactful than I ever imagined.
Another thing happened in this game, the Scott Foster streak. Scott Foster now trends on Twitter
every time he gets assigned to a game. And I don't know if it's my Twitter feeds me stuff
they know I might be interested in, but it's on that right side of the screen. And it just said, Scott Foster's trending. I'm
like, Oh no, what'd he do? Oh, he just got assigned to a game with Chris Paul. Um, and it
was a whole day of, Oh my God, Scott Foster, Chris Paul, sons are screwed. And yet, uh,
the sons actually won. But when I was, I was in the car for the first half and the
announcers were complaining about like, Oh, Scott Foster, we got to watch this. Can you remember another ref in recent history who has a shadow over playoff games that he's pretty notorious. And there are a few guys that have had problems, but I don't really, I can't.
Yeah, you would love TV Teddy if you're not,
if you haven't checked him out.
But no, man, I can't think of another one.
I mean, if they presented you with like Scott Foster on your Twitter trending like 100 days in a row,
how many of those days would you particularly not click it?
I feel like that's just like right acutely
in your wheelhouse.
Yeah, Elon knows.
Yeah, but I guess
Bovetta was like this once upon a time.
That's a good one.
There was some Joey Crawford stuff where it was always
kind of interesting to see where he would go.
But Foster is definitely
the leader of the pack.
So, Booker
cooking today.
Cerruti wanted us to do a Kentucky draft of everybody who is in the playoffs right now. And we're picking the guys right now
from a most impactful standpoint. Who would you want in a playoff series?
You're a Kentucky guy. You're the perfect guy to do this. Is Anthony Davis number one for you?
I think so. I think so. I mean, there's always the risk,
you know, the very obvious risk that he's going to fall down. He's fallen down. He did that even
when he was here all the time to the point where it kind of became comedy. But yeah, there were
times where we thought he was dead, you know, even during the big tournament runs. We're like,
is he okay? Because he would fall and he would just kind of look like whenever those like pop
up tents would fall down and there'd just be a pile of like the rods and you had
to kind of straighten them out. No, but you said it the other day on the pod.
I think that like, I, I think that when he's healthy,
I still think he's the most impactful defensive player in the world.
Like, you know, end to end, like he just,
and you saw some stuff with like Mobley tonight that kind of reminded me of
AD where like, you know,
you'll get in like a transition sequence and you'll see him in a two-on-one and just be like I'm punting
I'm not even gonna try because he's just he's I still think he's that level of of impact player
defensively especially agree he'll probably fall down tomorrow um second pick De'Aaron Fox is that
crazy I mean I had him second team all NBA.
He's torching the Warriors right now.
How is he not the second best Kentucky asset at any playoff guy you'd want?
He's been good, man.
I mean, he's been great.
Good doesn't even cover it.
I mean, he's been at the Warriors cannot stay in front of him.
They can't keep him out of the lane.
Some of that was like they started with Kuminga in the game,
and I was talking with KOC about this. He just kind of played himself out of the game. Some of that was like, you know, they started with Kuminga in the game and I was talking with KOC
about this.
He just kind of played himself
out of the game
because he couldn't guard anybody.
But I don't know
that I would have Fox 2.
I can't quite get there
just because the playoff pedigree
of some of these other guys
is better.
But, you know,
there's no denying
how phenomenal.
And I do think
the Sabonis pairing
has done a lot for Fox.
Like, I think it's like
lessened some of his weaknesses
and enhanced some of his strengths in a good way.
So who's number two for you?
I'd still have Booker, too, I think.
I think we saw the shot-making for him late game.
I believe in it a little more than I do with Fox.
And I think he's just a more well-rounded player. I think defensively
too. I think we're seeing him play some
pretty good defense in these playoffs. I think
I'd have him too.
I think that's fair. I think I agree with you,
but I also think we just put another chip
on De'Aaron Fox's shoulder.
His shoulder's full of chips. We just
added another one. Obviously,
Malik Monk is four.
Who do you have?
I'm kidding.
SGA, I guess, would be four,
even though we've barely seen him in the playoffs.
But he's got to be a top four.
We can't have a top Kentucky guy conversation and list four guys and not have him be one of the four.
Yeah, I had Shea three and I had Bam four.
I think Murray Fox is more of a conversation for me if Murray is fully healthy, just because we've seen it's the same thing. I mean, we've seen Murray really do it in multiple rounds on in multiple situations. That's kind of my thing. What else does Fox have to do? He's completely destroyed the Warriors.
I know.
How does he win your love, Kyle, man?
This feels like some 2017 baggage.
Oh, no.
It's more, I've had a hard time.
I don't know.
And I've been open about this.
I've always just had a hard time with Fox.
I mean, I've tried to give him a lot of credit,
and he's answered a lot of the things that I had problems with.
It's one of those things.
I don't know what the cathartic moment's going to have to be for me
to flip the script on him.
I just, I don't know.
I mean, you're not wrong.
I think that the Fox-Murray-Shea conversation,
I would personally pick Shea still,
like in terms of the drawing the fouls and stuff,
and I think he's just a tough cover still.
But I don't know. I don't
know what the answer to that. You've cornered me in a way that I don't have a great answer,
honestly, on the Fox thing. I hope this ends up on a Kentucky message board.
I picked SGA for the season. I had him first team on NBA and I think I had him fifth for MVP.
But the stuff that Fox is doing against the Warriors has my head spinning.
Talk about it with Laurel Bob later in the podcast.
Would you have...
Man, I can't believe how many good Kentucky guys there's been.
How did you guys not win like 10 titles?
Don't do this to me.
Why? Why can't I do this?
Look at this.
I'll just read America the list.
This is just an order of points per game.
SGA, Booker, Anthony Davis, Julius Randall, Darren Fox, Kelton Johnson, Cat, Bam, Maxie, Hero,
Jamal Murray, PJ Washington, Quickly, Monk, my guy Shaden Sharp, Jared Vanderbilt, Trey Lyles.
It just goes on and on. It's a hell. It's probably 19 deep, honestly Vanderbilt, Trey Lyles. It just goes on and on.
It's probably 19 deep, honestly.
I mean, you start getting into the Diallo,
winning Gabriel, tie-tie range,
and that was a grab bag of like,
I don't know what to do with a lot of these.
Willie's not even in the league right now.
Yeah.
Yeah, I mean, it's a legit.
And then you think about Shaden.
I don't know, in a playoff game,
what would Shaden do if he's getting open shots?
He's just like a pretty...
He's a chaos element.
I don't know what he would do
in the playoffs.
He'd be a fast-hitting one, honestly.
Well, you know I have
a ton of Shaden stock.
The case for trading Dame Lillard
is not just what you get back
because that team's not winning a title in the next couple
years of them anyway, but also
now you go full rebuild, then you can really see what you
have is Shaden Sharp. I think
if they do the redraft
from last year, he's higher than seven.
Oh, yeah.
Yeah, yeah. In my
eval of him, I kind of
came to the conclusion. I was like, there is definitely
a world where we could look back at this draft and he's as high as a redraft and he's as high as two. I mean, he's that kind of came to the conclusion. I was like, there is definitely a world where we could look back at this draft
and he's as high, like a redraft, and he's as high as two.
I mean, he's that kind of talent.
I'll be curious to see.
I was telling Kevin, if the Blazers get up in the top three-ish range
and they somehow could get a shot at Scoot, I find that pretty fascinating.
If they wanted to go forward with those two guys,
that is a lot of athleticism in a backcourt, man.
But, yeah, it's super deep.
There are a lot of guys through here.
And how we didn't win the titles during that era,
I probably need to write something about this at some point
because I have a ton of thoughts that I've been thinking about
for the last decade.
But honestly, it's probably roster building and Cal's preferences.
And there's a lot.
And bad luck here and there.
But it's hard to defend with the depth of the talent, man.
It really is.
Well, with those one and done guys,
sometimes you just get them a little bit early, right?
You're getting them in the soap opera TV actor phase
of their career, like before they became movie stars.
You know, like growing pains can't be like,
how did we not win the Emmy with Leo?
It's like Leo was 14.
It's good. For the redraft,
Palo, Jalen Williams has to be second for me.
Santa Clara, shout out to the Sharks.
And then three's kind of up for grabs. There's a lot of candidates for three.
Kessler's probably, I would say, the favorite, but from a talent standpoint,
I was so disappointed Sharp didn't do the slam dunk contest,
even though the slam dunk contest is dumb and All-Star Weekend is stupid.
But I just feel like Sharp would have gone on the map
in a totally different way.
I don't know if the average basketball fan
understands how athletic that dude is.
You have to be like stealth league pass
fucking weirdo nerds like us to see it
he needs a branding moment i think that's kind of like i feel like the dunk contest has lost that
power like maybe just because it's it's different for every guy you know i guess but like the
superstars don't want to take a ding i guess there's just a lot of upside if you're an unknown
you know if you have an incredible dunk contest moment which i think he would have and very likely would have won but yeah i mean i i think it's of course we'll have to see
chet play but a lot you know um yeah i'm with you on jaylen williams at two though i'm a big
obviously oh i forgot about chet yeah because chet wasn't on my list because he didn't play last year
i kept waiting for him to come out of the locker room, like professional wrestling,
where it was like one of the playing games and there was just like glass breaking and music.
It was like, my God, what's that?
Oh my God, that's Chet Holgen's music.
Where'd it come from?
And he just came out and played 25 minutes.
The rubber band man.
It'd be like a Jason Isbell, like a love song.
All right, let's take a break
and we got to talk about this trade-off situation.
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So Trey Young, who in the first two games where the Hawks got lambasted by the Celtics,
the only glimmers of light, of hope, of anything was when Trey Young was not in the game and the offense
revolved around DeJounte Murray.
This is kind of what it's looked like this year for them.
There's been a little push and pull and there's been a your turn, my turn kind of feel to
those two guys.
Trey, as the point guards in the league, get better and deeper and we're just more and
more good guards
to decent guards just everywhere.
And as the Curry generation kind of trickles into the league,
every year it gets worse for him defensively.
And you look at the Celtics team
that just has all of these guards.
We talked about it Sunday.
It's a worst case matchup for him.
And there's been trade rumors about him anyway.
And he's gone through two coaches already,
and the instinct would be like,
oh, well, they'll just trade him.
I think it's a lot harder to find a Trae Young trade
than maybe people realize,
where the asset that you think you have
versus the other 29 teams in the league
and who's set at guard,
who's set with their expensive guys,
that list gets small right
away. I tasked you,
could you find four teams that would make sense for
a trade? Did you get to four?
I got to three with some
help from you guys. I mean, when you start
looking across the landscape
of the league and you're just thinking about
who would potentially make
a move like this
fit kind of is really difficult like when you start looking at like the the different the
different teams like where would he fit basketball wise who would be willing to take him on i think
part of the problem here is just that i think that atlanta dug in a little long you know i'm
kind of a believer i've heard you know i'm going to act like I'm some financial expert or guru,
but I've heard financial people talk about whenever you're trying to build up,
you're trying to save some money in a serious way that it should probably sting a little.
You want to save a little bit where you feel it.
I just feel like when you're trading a player like this that you maybe have questions about,
that you should trade them a little early so that it stings a little bit like you got to catch people off guard a little bit you know
like because if you wait like i feel like they've waited to the point where the market is just rough
for him in a way where it i i don't even know what the fit would be that like for him basketball
wise it's more about just like what team would be either desperate. I don't know what the word would be.
Like what team, I don't want to say dumb, but I mean like basketball-wise,
I just have lost a lot of faith in him.
I mean, the one that you all brought up that I thought was,
Cerruti like recoiled in terror when we brought up Orlando.
He didn't want to hear that at all.
Houston was an interesting one.
Well, Orlando, if it was, they have cap space and let's say they get like the seventh pick
and Atlanta's like, yeah, we'll just take the seventh pick for Trey.
You have to take his salary.
Trey's 40 million next year, 43, 45 and 48.
Cerruti got like, I felt like he was pissed on the text thread.
I didn't even think he was like having fun with it.
He was just like, no fucking way.
Keep that guy away from us.
The Houston thing, I guess, is interesting,
but I don't know how he fits with Jalen Green.
That sounds like the worst basketball team.
Those are two high usage rates guys.
And it just sounds like not that much fun for other guys.
I was thinking San Antonio as a possibility.
Oh, like the stunt casting thing a little bit?
Yeah, here's a talented guy.
Here's a guy who's had success.
He made the Eastern Finals,
even though it was a little fool's gold.
We don't have a max guy necessarily
because we have those Keldon Johnson type guys.
And maybe we could fit them into our infrastructure and teach them how to be a little more of a team first point guard.
Possible.
Washington, that would be a classic Washington move to trade like Beal for Trae Young.
And I don't even know who would have to throw in a pick in there.
And then the only one I could think of was
if Utah said, fuck it, we'll bet on the talent.
We have all these picks.
We don't really necessarily have like a,
you know, I guess they have Clarkson,
you know, that they could throw back in the trade.
Maybe they could take on some side.
I don't know.
But that's it.
I mean, I couldn't really come up with any other names.
Even you say he's from Oklahoma.
Wow, that would make total sense, Oklahoma City.
They would never in a million years.
They have Gideon Shea.
They would never even consider it.
Yeah.
OKC has insane size on the perimeter.
There would be no reason to pivot away from what they have going on.
I was thinking Minnesota. That what they have going on. I was thinking Minnesota.
And that's purely me going on.
They took a big gamble with Gobert.
They saw something in him.
I was like, maybe Cat gets moved at some point.
And you think, but Trey and Anthony Edwards together.
It almost makes me think that it would go the opposite way.
But it brings so many questions about play style, man.
You'd have to assume he'd have to change his style of play.
He brings into all these questions about how you build your roster.
Because if you have a guy, speaking of Charks,
Charks used to have this saying,
when you draft a little guy and he's a big part of what you do,
you're out of the little guy business.
You're in a totally different business,
which is you automatically are in the Philly 2000s situation where you have to build
around your Iverson type player. This is a crazy stat that I pulled up the other day.
When Trey is off the floor for the Hawks, the Hawks pass the ball literally 30 more times per
100 possessions and they turn the ball over half as much so
it's just you were talking about them looking good i mean yeah they look different when he's
not on the floor and i just don't i don't know how you sell that to somebody else
yeah i was thinking like his usage rate which you know has always been in like the 33 to 35 range basically. From the moment he got there and they do the Luca trade and it's like,
this is his team.
We think he could be our Steph Curry,
right?
They're coming out of the gate with that.
The kid's like 20 and it's just trace team,
trace team,
trace team.
There's no bad shot he can take,
right?
If he's within 35 feet,
it's fair. It was like watching parents
with a kid just letting the kid do whatever the fuck the kid wanted. It's like, what time you
want to go to bed tonight? I'll go to bed at one in the morning. Well, you're eight, but that's
fine. That sounds great. Want some chocolate? How about a Coke before you go to bed? That's
kind of how Atlanta treated him. And then it's like, oh, you don't get along with your coach? We'll fire him. We'll bring in another coach.
And he had the ball all the time. And then they had the carrot of they had a little playoff run.
And even people like me and Rosilla, who were very firmly on the, we don't think this guy's
a winning player side. We were like, all right, well, they're winning with this guy. So I guess
we're wrong. But that turned out to be an even worse thing because now you're like tripling down and like,
see, everything we're doing with this guy is the right thing. And now he's five years into the
league and we've seen this. This is stuff that happened in the previous generation all the time
with the Stefan Marbury, Steve Francis, those guys where they'd put up stats,
the results weren't really there, but they're treated like superstars and they weren't.
I don't know if I'm ready to get there with Trey.
I think the thing that alarms me about him
is that he just doesn't shoot the three that well.
And that's like the all-time misnomer with him.
In your head, you're thinking he's this 40%
Stephen Curry type of three-point shooter.
And he's really not.
He makes one out of every three.
And that's kind of who he is.
And he doesn't play defense.
So what am I getting?
Yeah, he's had a tough week, I feel like, on the ringer.
I feel like we've been pretty hard on him.
And whenever we talk about him not being a winning player,
I agree with you.
But I always feel like I have to like clarify, like
double back and clarify that.
Like, I don't think that it's the, he doesn't want to win.
Like he's a competitive son of a bitch.
Like if you watch it, he's a villain.
I love when he's in that mode.
Like when he, when he's like, and he seems to get riled up by it, but it's just like
he has all these, he just has these play style things.
Like he's way more talented
than like Marbury and Steve Francis like he's an incredible passer but you're right like the I
think the Curry thing is following him almost in a similar way to like the KD thing followed Ingram
for a long time you know where we were just like well he's not KD we thought he was KD it's like
well who put that out there who like started that messaging? Should we just judge him on that forever?
Trey is a legitimately great talent.
It makes you wonder if his shot selection changed,
would that percentage change?
Because he settles a lot.
He takes a lot of really tough threes in transition.
But we saw tonight when he comes up against these teams in the East,
like Boston, that are physical and can switch him, put him in a crowd, make him put air under his passes to where, like, the help can come.
Like, he is somebody that has issues.
And it's like, I don't know, maybe he should, like, look at the way Chris Paul played over the course of his career and figure out how to emulate that in a way, you know, because Chris Paul never really ran up against these issues in the same way.
Yeah, but the problem is Chris Paul,
he was a pure point guard who went into games thinking,
how am I going to get all the stuff I need,
but also make everyone else better?
I don't feel like Trae Young is a,
how am I going to make everyone else better?
Oh, John Collins hasn't gotten a shot in a couple of minutes.
I better take care of him.
That's not really what he does.
And even if you go back to that 21 playoffs,
where we averaged 29 a game, 9.5 assists,
shot 42%, 16 playoff games,
three-point percentage, 31,
you know, turnovers, four.
He just had the ball a ton and it worked and i and i think we probably
overrated it in retrospect because whatever was going on with that weird philly team
you know that they beat the knicks in round one that next team now we look back at that next team
like man that next team yikes yeah that was like julius Julius Randle, Derek Rose on his last legs. And really, there
just wasn't a lot there. And then the Philly series, I still don't know how Philly lost that
series. And then they go against the Bucks and Giannis gets hurt during the series. They lose
in six. But I think there's talent there. I'm with you, which is why somebody will talk themselves
into trading for him and giving up something real for him because they're going to look at the glass half full of it.
But in the East against teams like Boston and Drew Holiday in that conference, there's real
issues for him long-term. And the other thing with Atlanta is they have another guard who it
seems like they play better with. It just seems like that's kind of Murray's team.
Yeah.
Even though it's not his team.
Murray's a two-way player.
I mean, he's a guy that brings a lot.
He has great size.
He's just not as conditional.
I think sometimes you reach a point where it's just like, maybe it's just better for
everybody just to have a reset.
It's probably better.
Now, at that point, you're probably not going to get the quarters on the dollar,
the cents on the dollar that you want in the trade,
but I feel like we're far past that anyway, honestly, with him.
I'm not sure how it's going to end.
That is a big, big salary that they gave him.
Would you rather have Derek White or Trey Young?
If I'm trying to win a playoff series,
it's probably Derek White, honestly.
He's going to blend into what I'm doing.
Yeah, he's going to blend into what I'm doing.
I know people are going to point to the counting stats
and be like, he's so talented.
It's like, yeah, but that's taking the place
of efficient offense.
That's always my problem with the inflated counting stat thing,
with the Russ thing.
From 2016, it was like, yeah, crazy counting stats, but there's all these, the ceiling, I'm going to hit my head on the ceiling at some point. That's how you got to build a team. 20 points in a game, how many guys could put up between 22 and 28 if they were just on a bad
team trying to get stats?
I think the list is a lot longer than people realize.
It's longer than it's ever been.
Yeah, look at the bad
teams like Houston, San Antonio,
a team
like Detroit. Sadiq Bey was like,
it felt like he could have gotten 30
in any Pistons game, but that team was going
nowhere. Jalen Green had games where he'd have like 38,
but that was a 20-win team, whatever they ended up with.
San Antonio would have the same thing,
random dudes on a random night.
So I'm always really dubious of how you're getting the stats.
Celts look great.
I mean, this is the perfect round one series.
This just couldn't have worked out better over playing that crazy Miami team. Instead, they just hit the lottery. They get
the Hawks, a team they know they can beat. I think they beat them seven straight times.
None of these games have been close. They're just overpowering them. It's not worth talking about.
Cavs-Knicks, the most interesting thing about that one was something that I think was easy
to predict and Russell and I talked about on Sunday.
Darius Garland's really good at basketball and they made him irrelevant on Sunday.
Today, they really made a concerted effort to get him involved, get him going.
He had an awesome game.
He dunked.
There was a Darius Garland dunk.
And the Knicks had that air of like, we kind of got the game we needed to get already. he dunked. There was a Darius Garland dunk. Um,
and the Knicks had that air of like,
we kind of got the game we needed to get already.
Get some banged up guys.
We're good.
Moby.
I thought looked way more like Moby in this game.
Um,
what'd you see in that,
in anything else in that Cavs Knicks game jumped out?
Uh,
I think that the crux of it,
you hit like,
I mean, the Knicks obviously were wobbly
and hobbled and you know josh hart they didn't get the same kind of like out-of-body experience
from him in this one like he wasn't as active on the glass i think they kept jalen brunson off the
off the free throw line there were a lot of different things that worked another big thing
too is that you know a court they sat a coral just flat out sat him. I mean, he played two minutes. Deservedly. Yeah. And you combine
that with the fact that Garland is a guy that is, he's such a smart player. The balance for him
between playmaking and scoring, I think he is so, he almost has a Steve Nash quality where you're
like, you remember Nelly used to get mad at Steve Nash and like scream at him to like shoot the ball.
I just feel like Garland is so deferring in some situations
that when he actually is aggressive,
it just unlocks everything for them.
Like you're not going to,
I think like Donovan Mitchell
had like one of the highest
field goal attempt
like accounts of the season
in that past game.
You can't rely on him like that.
And I was,
I went and looked it up.
Like his aggressiveness
shooting the ball
just unlocks everything like you know it's his dribble pull-up threes he's shooting 45.7 percent
on dribble pull-up threes this year that's uh second spectrum but um jesus yeah i mean the more
aggressive he is on ball the more you know it opens up for them and it'll be for and it just
trickles down the line like you know it gets lavert was screening for him. And it just trickles down the line. Levert was screening for him.
It gets everybody
looks.
He had 11 free
throws tonight too, which I liked.
He's a passive
bystander in that Sunday game.
For some reason, it turned into the Mitchell
show and then it turned into a Mitchell Brunson
thing and Garland was
kind of hanging out like Merrill Chalmers in the 2011 Heat.
It did not make sense to me.
They made a concerted effort
to kind of give him the car case today.
Mitchell only took 11 shots.
Now the game was mostly decided,
but to me, that was why I thought
they were going to win the series
because both of those guys,
depending on what's going on,
can control a quarter,
can control half of a quarter.
So they figured out that balance. And then it seems like they stumbled into something with
how to defend Brunson if they needed to, where they're sending a second guy at him and just
kind of giving them different looks other than just having them cook somebody one-on-one.
But here's the thing, it's a pretty young team and they're going to New York for three and four. Crowd's going to be locked in.
And they do have a little bit of an issue with the backup big situation, which dates back to the
getting rid of Kevin Love for no reason. Even today, it's a blowout. Moby plays 39 minutes and
Jared Allen plays 35, right? That game was over two and a half quarters into it.
There's foul trouble possibilities with those. It's a dangerous game by game bet with the Cavs
because Moby gets the two quick ones with four minutes into game three or whatever,
and they don't really have a lot of options. The other thing is they unlock LaVert a little bit
too. He played 40 minutes tonight.
So maybe they're just like, all right. So basically the shot distribution of instead of having Mitchell take 30 shots or 28, Levert gets 16, Garland gets 17 and some free throws
and Mitchell 11. Mitchell's not going to take 11 shots every game, but the balance was better.
Do you like Bickerstaff as a coach? Because my jury
is deliberating right now and they have Chick-fil-A and they just ordered some tuna fish
and they got some sodas and they're not sure. I'm always hesitant to make these calls just
because there's so much that goes on. There's so much. You can kind of look at the strategy.
And I always joke that people attack coaches in a way that
like is hard to like argue with they'll just say something kind of like nebulous and vague and
you're like well i don't know it's like but with like with him they made an adjustment today but
they have a lot of things going on that i think are more like roster building issues rather than
you know like i don't know how many moves he has it's kind of similar it's kind of similar to ty
lou and that like they have some like big guy issues that i don't know that they're going to be able to to shore up maybe
they stagger mobley and allen in some kind of way and like run them separately at the five so that
they don't run into issues another thing too is that like um you know in this game like you know
they didn't get as much efficient offense out of randall they didn't get as much efficient offense
out of out of rj I feel like the Knicks
are going to have a big game. I don't know.
You think this one's going to go six or seven?
You feel like it's going to go the distance?
If you had to pick one series to go
seven in round
one based on everything we've seen so far,
I think this might be the pick.
It's a great matchup.
It's going to have,
it's just going to have some ebbs and some flows.
I think for the East, this would be the pick.
West, Suns, Clippers, maybe.
I still wonder, like,
the KD thing is so hard to figure out with that series,
where he might just be comfortable by game four. Be like, all I figured it out I'm not the new guy anymore yeah give me the
ball I'm gonna have 45 um but uh I would say Knicks Cavs which not surprising because we talked about
that before the playoffs all of us like all right that one smells like it could go six or seven. I think the Grizzlies-Lakers could have gone,
had seven-game potential, but it's just between Ja,
now it looks like he's out at least for game two,
and all the other injuries they had.
I'd find it hard to believe the Lakers aren't going to win that series
unless one of the two guys goes down.
Yeah, and then I was going to say too,
the other big thing that came out tonight, I is that like it certainly seems like the kings if draymond's not going to be
playing it's definitely seems like and there's a whole lot of like legacy draymond stuff that i
think just inevitably is kind of like unearthed by by what happened here especially when they're
trying to extend their window but it just kind of feels like the kings are going to have
the warriors in that like arm wrestling position where the arm is totally
at a 45-degree angle. It's like, how are they going to get out of this?
It's going to take some voodoo from the
basketball gods, I feel like, for them to recover. But I kind of am with you.
The Knicks and the Cavs are just evenly matched. I like that they have
a lot of young guys.
It's still both of these teams are pretty young.
They're trying to get over the hump.
It's just a mano-a-mano thing.
Whereas the Clippers and the Suns,
it's just sort of an evolved version.
It's a lot more veteran-driven kind of a thing.
But it could go seven.
Those two, I think, are the most interesting to me, though, honestly.
Haral Bob's coming up and the esteemed gambler,
the legend.
And we talked a lot about warriors versus Kings,
not knowing that Draymond had been suspended because we taped it earlier
today.
So quickly on the suspension thing,
um,
they mentioned how it was his previous history factored into the suspension,
which I'm pretty sure I've never heard before from the NBA.
I don't want to 100% say I'm positive,
but I'm like 98% sure they've never said that before.
Part of me wonders Adam Silver being there and seeing Draymond really trying
to rile up the crowd and kind of a crazy way, whether that factored in too. But this felt like a fuck you to the Warriors
from my vantage point, from the league. I don't think the Warriors are the most popular franchise,
even though in some ways they're the model franchise, right? They bought the team,
they increased it as an asset, they built around homegrown players. They built a new arena that they financed themselves. They do a lot of that
stuff. But there's definitely an arrogance with them. They blew up the salary structure last year
with how much they spent on that title, which basically led to some of the stuff we've seen And the Draymond thing, you know, 2016, this year,
I just wonder if that had been a different team,
whether that person gets suspended for a game.
Like if that was Jason Tatum,
would they have just said, oh, he's not normally like that.
Maybe it was an accident.
Like it really did seem they brought Draymond's
history into it and that was how they made the decision with that said he definitely stopped them
wouldn't you be annoyed if you were the Warriors though like I I just I don't know I but I guess
that's kind of that that is sort of like a zoomed in and zoomed out like look at his career because
if you think about the way he's officiated, he has this relationship with the officials where he can push it further than other guys can.
And they're just kind of that familiarity just changes things.
And within the organization, people people are like, well, that's just Draymond.
And you just kind of put up with it to a certain extent.
But yeah, man, like including past history is bizarre.
I don't know that I think it's right.
Honestly, like I don't know. I don't know that that that is a good precedent to set. You think I just I don't know that I think it's right. Honestly, I don't know. I don't know
that that is a good precedent to set.
Do you think? I don't know about that.
I don't think it's a good
precedent at all. I do
wonder, the Warriors
behind the scenes have done a lot of bitching
over the years about
Draymond getting suspended for Game 5 in
2016.
And it's justified bitching
because they could have rescinded the flagrant
and gotten to play.
I don't think shit like that should decide a championship
in a lot of ways that decision did.
So I don't think the Warriors have been shy
about that over the years.
So it felt a little like to bring in football
like Goodell when Deflategate happened
where he brought in
the Spygate baggage
with Deflategate
as part of the penalty for it
where they were just like,
fuck this guy.
So I asked Bob
coming up in the next segment,
hopefully not stepping on it too much,
but I was like,
do you think,
is it possible
the Warriors could get swept here?
Because there's a lot of elements and we, in the next segment,
we bring in a lot of the history and some of the teams from the past that just,
that the great teams that just died or the very good teams that just all of a
sudden died. I feel like the Kings could sweep them and we broke it down.
So I'll ask you, what do you think? Is the sweep in play for you now?
Yeah, absolutely it is.
Because for a number of reasons,
the Warriors are leaning very, very heavily on tough shot making right now.
They're not getting the downhill cutting that they normally get.
And the defensive issues, I think, were existent already in this.
We saw what they were like on the road.
I think one of the big takeaways from this is that we've all been excited
for Sacramento, and it's been so long since they've been in the playoffs,
and they're playing this style that you wondered if it was like,
okay, they're getting people back on their heels during the regular season.
People aren't ready for this energy that they have in the playoffs.
But the Warriors kind of went through this a little bit too and they were coming up where we were just like no come on like you don't believe it until it like actually
solidifies and has happened I think that's been one of the big shifts is that like people were
kind of like patting the Kings on the head on the head and being like good job all right we're happy
for you guys you made it in I think the big thing here is that like it's real I like that's the thing and it's like the warriors had their issues i don't know that like the kings are
going to go on to win the title but absolutely they can sweep them now if it's going to be 3-0
you just wonder at what point they are going to get up so much energy for that closeout game
maybe they shit their pants and they don't seal the deal because they're gonna have to do it on
the road but yeah i mean i think it could it could happen i don't know that like i don't seal the deal because they're going to have to do it on the road. But yeah, I mean, I think it could happen.
I don't know that like, I don't know if it will,
but it definitely could happen.
Like, you know.
Well, I hate bringing in Kings history.
This would be awful if they don't win the series now.
You take a two nothing lead. You have game seven at home.
Draymond suspended for game three.
From a matchup standpoint,
the Warriors really only have one guy who can create a shot at this point.
And they've figured out how to stymie that in a lot of ways. Offensively, you have multiple guys
you can go to every game that seem like they can have their way. And it's just like everything is
lined up. And they'd have to lose four out of the next five to blow this series,
one of which won't have Draymond Green.
This would be a fucking disaster loss.
I hate to go there, but holy shit.
You couldn't put this on a platter better than right now.
This is definitely one of those Ricky Bobby,
don't put, I feel like you just putting that in the air.
I feel like all Sacramento is praying and just saying the rosary.
I don't know.
Well, on the flip side, even Curry just winning game three without Draymond.
So it's going to be Looney, Kaminga, super small with Wiggins at the five.
What do they do?
They're not really deep. Jermichael Green's unplayable. like super small with Wiggins at the five. Like, what do they do? They don't, they don't,
they're,
they're not really deep.
Jamichael Green's unplayable.
So,
you know,
and Draymond is the best defender in the team by far other than Wiggins.
It's basically those two.
So you couldn't stop this team anyway.
Yeah.
Even when they go small with Draymond,
they've tried.
I mean,
they've tried there.
They're just getting pulverized on the glass. Like, I just don. I said this to somebody last night. I was like, I can't believe I'm'm just like, man, I need to, like, snap out of it.
Like, this really – because I've kind of been throughout the year,
I've been a little bit, like, eye roll at, like, the discussion around the Warriors.
We're like, are they done? Are they dead?
And I was like, I have to see their dead body before I'm going to believe it.
You know, like, I just – I thought that – but they're trouble, man.
Like, the Kings have something real here.
And they, I just don't,
I don't know that they have
a defensive adjustment
that's going to work for this
because Kaminga can't stay on the floor.
We're going to talk about it
with Ralph Bob next.
Kyle, man, great to see you as always.
I'm going to make you stay up with us later
as we keep doing these
during the playoffs.
Good to see you.
Good to see you too.
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All right, we're taping this.
It is 11.20 a.m. Pacific time on Tuesday.
I am joined by the man, the myth, the legend,
Haral Bob Valgaris.
Once upon a time, the 2004 finals,
a massive upset.
Kobe, Shaq, Carl Malone,
Gary Payton, the dream team.
They win game one
and they end up getting smoked.
Did they win game one, Bob?
No, they lost.
They lost game one, won game two.
Yeah, won game two in overtime, I believe.
Right.
Yeah.
And then game three on, you start riding Detroit.
You're like, I don't like the smell of this Lakers team.
Detroit is younger, faster, hungrier.
I'm going to ride the Pistons.
And the rest was history.
Yeah, that was one of the better ones for sure.
I think at the start of the series,
the Lakers were like a 7-1 favorite,
if I remember correctly.
It's pretty crazy.
Yeah.
Wow.
It's pretty clear after game two
that the Pistons were just way more athletic,
way more physical.
They got almost every loose ball.
We're getting to the free throw line more.
We're actually shooting threes too,
which the Lakers,
they didn't shoot a ton of threes back then,
neither team,
but Pistons were getting more threes I think than the Lakers if I remember
correctly but I don't exactly remember
they were deeper
their depth
was a big factor the Lakers basically
Malone was hurt
they had three and a half guys their bench fell apart
they're getting old there are all these signs but we ignored
all of them which brings us to Warriors
Kings we're going to go through history with some other
times this happened but Warriors, Warriors down to nothing.
First time in the career, they've been down 0-2. There's some signs that this parallels some other
times this has happened in history, but just fundamentally when you watch this, do the Kings
feel younger, faster, hungrier, all that stuff? Just eye test. Definitely seem faster. I mean, they both are on a similar offense,
but the speed in which the Kings are executing is marked.
There's a huge difference between that.
So I would say definitely faster.
Hungrier, sure, maybe.
I mean, the crowd definitely helps.
The thing people are forgetting is this is a Golden State team
that won 11 games on the road this year,
just three games more than the Pistons
won on the road. So we shouldn't be too
surprised that they're struggling as much as
they are.
They haven't been a good road team all year, but
it does look like the Kings are
right now a little bit more... I mean, the one thing
also as energy group realizes is the Kings aren't
even really shooting well. That's the other
part of it. They're not shooting well and they're still
winning. I think they shot like 24% or something like that from three last game and one. So it's
not like they're getting hot and lucky. If anything, they're just kind of outworking and
out executing and certainly from an athletic standpoint, they look markedly better.
Game one, I chalked it up to Fox. Fox was amazing,
which he's been really good all year, but he was amazing in that game. And Malik Monk was,
you know, he might do that once or twice a series, just transcend it offensively,
which he'll do it from time to time. Game two, Warriors make the adjustments.
They're used to the crowd now. They won't get the same Monk game, and the Warriors are going to win.
Right when Draymond gets thrown out,
it felt like for about three minutes there,
the Warriors really looked like last year's Warriors again.
They had Peyton and Wiggins out at the same time
with Draymond, with Klay, with Curry,
and they were flying around defensively,
and the Kings were matching the speed,
which I was like, this isn't great.
And then Draymond gets knocked out of the game. That flips, that flips the emotion in the crowd.
It felt like Curry was going to go into fuck you mode for a second, but they were just doing so
many things with him. It was hard for him to get on track. I was alarmed for the Warriors that the
Kings were matching their speed, even in the moments leading up to the Draymond game. It was the first time I was like, wait a second, did I have this series wrong? Because the Kings were matching their speed, even in the moments leading up to the Draymond game.
It was the first time I was like,
wait a second, did I have this series wrong?
Because the Warriors were favored and they were probably favored too high.
But I just like, this is the classic,
oh yeah, this would be a nice little,
they'll throw some haymakers,
but ultimately the Kings, good learning experience.
A little like when the Warriors played the Clippers that year,
Mark Jackson's last year.
And the Clippers, they got a lot of good reps.
And so, all right, we'll carry this over next year.
But the Kings, like, I don't know.
I actually think the Kings are going to win this series.
And I actually think that the sweep is possibly in play
because the thing that really scared me.
Well, I mean, I'm not disagreeing that they'll win the series,
but like a sweep, I'm not saying they won't sweep, but that's a pretty huge
prediction, I think.
I don't know.
Look, they gave up
1.4 points per possession
yesterday when Green was out.
They're clearly much better defensively with
Green. The question is, can they score with them?
And they also are faster with Green in there.
So the Green ejection
was big.
The game was still tight at that point.
So it could have gone either way. I think the
main thing that I would be worried about if I were
Golden State is I just don't
think they have
the depth or the
ability. They don't have any way of getting
Curry to get a shot off.
They're not able to create anything.
They're kind of depending on Wiggins to create his own shot a little bit
because nobody else is really creating their shot for Golden State.
They're aggressively guarding Curry,
which is making it very tough for him.
They're doing a good job switching off the ball.
Yeah, I mean, I agree with you.
The Kings look like they're much the
better team, but I don't see it being a sweep or anything. I think there's a more likelier chance
that it goes back 2-2 probably. You just made my case why there could be a sweep. And by the way,
I'm not predicting that. I'm just saying for the first time, it felt like it was a play for me
because what alarmed me about the Warriors, Curry was the only guy who seemed like he could create his own shot.
The fact that
Poole, they got Poole and
Kaminga and
DDV
combined. They played 33 minutes. They were one
for seven.
Poole was awful and I think he's hurt.
To me, he doesn't look healthy.
I don't know what's going on with him, but
if he's not going to be even 70% of pool from last year's playoffs,
Clay, as good as I think Clay has been,
considering where he was a year ago,
he can't create his own shot against this team.
There were multiple times where he had the ball
and he had to kind of create something, couldn't do it.
They're just kind of out of options.
And I do feel like this reminds me of football
where somebody's offensive coordinator or defensive coordinator goes to a new team as the head coach, and then they play
the old team and they know all these tricks of what to do. I've never seen, for the Kings who
are not a good defensive team, right? They're not. During the season, they were fundamentally
below average. But the stuff they were doing against Curry, I thought was really high level.
It was really smart.
They figured out all these different ways
to either make him get rid of the ball
or to make him uncomfortable.
They kind of knew when he was getting the ball.
And I thought it was alarming
because I didn't think the Warriors run would end like this,
but I feel like it's in play now.
Yeah, it's interesting because they both,
both teams,
both teams basically run the exact same offense.
The difference is one team's just running a lot crisper.
They're getting more open.
The way they're defending each other is different.
That's the other thing.
Fox is basically able to get into the paint at will for the most part.
And so they're playing drop coverage versus him as floaters.
It's very efficient.
He's able to get where he needs to get.
The other one thing is if you watch the way they're guarding Sabonis,
they've kind of had to get away from the Sabonis dribble handoff game
just because the Warriors are playing off him so much.
And Sabonis really hasn't gotten anything going super efficiently.
They got a little pick and roll action going with them later.
But Looney's done a good job versus Sabonis,
but they haven't really guarded
anyone else effectively. There's nobody else
who they've taken away. They took away Sabonis
and that was about it and even Sabonis had a decent
second half yesterday.
Well the other thing is
their best defense for the Warriors
Peyton has to be out there right?
Peyton seems like the only guy on the team who can
I'm not even going to say guard Fox
but at least make him work for whatever he's getting. I think Wiggins can guard him.
I think that's the other one who can guard him.
But now you're taking Wiggins off
somebody else. Yeah, they don't really
have anyone else though. I mean, when
Monk and Fox are out there, it's a challenge
for sure. Right. That's what I mean.
Yeah. But when they're starting lineup, it's not
that big of a deal, I don't think.
I mean, Herter's done a decent
job versus Curry.
I just think that
it'll be
very difficult. I mean,
Golden State is an awful road team.
They have been a good
home team.
I'm not sure why they're as bad as they are on the
road. I'm not saying this is the... I'm not
discounting everything, but that's a tough arena to play
in. Kings played great. Their crowd definitely energized them. And it's not like Golden State this is the... I'm not discounting everything, but that's a tough arena to play in. Kings played great. Their
crowd definitely energized them. And it's not like
Golden State was really like... I mean,
wasn't ever really good all year anyways. You shouldn't
have expected that much different, I suppose.
You know what's alarming to
me, though, about the Kings on the road? I mean,
the Warriors on the road, because I've watched this a few
times now, really since
last couple months when they started
to get in, at least we got to avoid the
playing mode. I've watched games on the road where they've played hard and gotten pretty good curry
games and still lost. The infrastructure of what they have, I think, like yesterday is a good
example, right? They get nothing from all the pool guys, Steve Vincenzo, all the kind of wildcard guys.
Basically nothing from any of them.
And it's like, okay,
if we just can keep Curry under 35,
if they're playing Peyton and Draymond Green
in the fourth quarter,
those guys aren't scoring.
So now Clay or Wiggins
has to have basically an awesome game
to keep them into it.
Wiggins, he's been better than I thought,
but still seems a little rusty.
And then Clay, Clay cannot create his own
shot. If it's just like, hey, Clay,
carry us the last four minutes, he's not
going to be able to do it.
I don't know. I'm pretty alarmed
for the Warriors, and I think it's going to come
down to, ironically, Poole.
If Poole can't give them extra
offense, I just don't think they can score enough
points to keep up with the Kings.
They got to get to like 120.
Yeah, I think
they're clearly, obviously,
they look like a much better team than the Warriors.
But again, I'll just go back to the fact that
this is a team that was
33-8
at home, I believe, Golden State was.
Yeah. And so now they're
going back home.
But the pressure's on them. I mean, look,
both of these games are must-win games, for sure.
So it'll be
interesting to see how they respond. They've never been in this type
of a hole before.
But they were down 2-1 in the
finals last year, were they not?
It's not the same, but it's the finals versus
The difference is, last year you had
Poole. Poole placed 22 games last year in the playoffs.
He's 17 points a game, 51% field goal,
39, 3.92 from the line.
This year he's averaging 10.5 points a game
in the two games.
Yeah.
Shooting 29%.
Yeah.
So if you remove him from last year,
there's no way they win the finals last year.
Zero chance. None.
Sure.
Yeah.
They definitely need to get scoring from someone else,
whether it's Poole or whether it's someone else
that maybe wouldn't expect.
But yeah, I agree with you.
Can I throw a first take-y kind of point at you?
I'd love that.
Kyle, you might have to turn the camera on.
So I made this point in mid-March about Curry and through the prism of Aaron Rodgers
and a little bit through LeBron,
where Curry's such a great guy and a great teammate
that if this had been another superstar,
they would have been like,
what the fuck?
I'm 34.
This is my run right now. We've got to go all in
on this year's team. Basically exactly what LeBron did, right? LeBron did a lot of passive
aggressive stuff in the summer, in the beginning of the season, during the season. He just kept
throwing stuff out there like, what are we doing? I'm LeBron James. How are we not making moves? I
don't care about future. Just subtle,
subtle, subtle stuff. And then finally they go and they get Rui, who whatever, but they gave up
really nothing for him. Then they make the big trade. They gave up the one first. They get Russell
back. They get Vanderbilt back. They get Beasley back. Now they have real depth, right? And now
they have this situation where Russell, every once in a while, would be good in a playoff game. Vanderbilt really gives them stability, a little like what Peyton gives the Warriors. Beasley will have one game in the playoffs. Rui already had his game in the playoffs, but they just have depth and they have different things that can happen with their roster now. And it really helped them. Plus, they lucked out with Reeves. The Warriors went the opposite way. They didn't really do anything other than they traded Wiseman to get Peyton back,
who they could have kept.
And other than that, they did this bridge the two errors thing.
And now you're really feeling it, man.
Like you look at DiVincenzo and Poole.
Michael Green was another one of their signings.
That didn't work.
It does feel like they did a little bit of a disservice to Steph.
And he'll never say it, but it's true.
I thought that last year.
I thought that going into last year, just to be clear.
And then they managed to win.
So they're in a tough spot.
I mean, their luxury tax bill is absurd.
They can't really add any players.
Every move they make is additive in terms of the amount of repeater tax
and stuff that they have to pay.
But yeah, I mean, the move clearly...
I think they feel like they
nailed it because they went young and they
still won. But it's not like these young
players are anything special.
That's the other thing. None of these guys... Who are you going to
build around? Are you going to build around Kuminga?
By the way, have you seen Jordan Poole's contract?
It's not a great contract.
Are you comfortable with that guy's contract
as a one-way... At best, a one-way player
who can only play offense at best?
His contract hasn't even started yet, Bob.
I think it kicks in next year
for like $30 million a year.
I don't know if it's tradable.
Yeah, it's an absurd contract
for a guy who
is very skilled offensively,
but a scorer.
He can't really pass very well.
He doesn't,
he's one of the,
he's,
he's,
he's arguably the second worst.
Well,
I'm sure there's some other ones,
but that's maybe a little bit hyperbolic,
hyperbolic,
but he's,
he's,
he's definitely one of the worst defensive guards in the league.
I'll say that he's,
he's up there in the top five for sure.
Well,
let me ask you if you're in the front office,
cause you work for the Mavs and they're in that situation of,
we got to extend them. We got to lock them up before the season starts
under that rookie extension rule. You actually don't? The Celtics didn't do this with Grant
Williams. And I think it was a really smart move. Grant Williams wanted four for 80. The Celtics
were good with four for 50. They couldn't agree. I was like, all right, let's roll it over.
So once you roll that over,
now he becomes a possible trade asset during the season.
They're not trading him.
But also like you kind of never know
how the season's going to go.
Now Grant Williams is now probably a three for 35 type guy,
not a three for 80 or four for 80 guy.
With Poole, had they not done anything,
maybe you see it, even if he has a great season,
is he really signing for more than what he signed for, which was like 120 for four years?
What's the downside of just rolling it over? I don't get that part.
Yeah. I'm not sure. I think they thought that he was someone they wanted to build around.
But yeah, I'm kind of with you. I think that...
So that's just a miss. That's like an organizational...
You're
giving that money. He's a 100%
guaranteed lock that he's
part of your core.
Or you have to attach assets to try
to get off him. Or he
performs really, really well
another year and then maybe
he's a better player. But I just, I don't know. I find it very
difficult to be that
prototypical type of player who's basically
just a shooter and scorer who doesn't defend
and can't create for others and turns the ball over
at a rate higher than it should
for his usage rate.
And then the Kaminga piece,
well, the Kaminga piece that, like if he was on
the Lakers, they would have traded him. Like he would have been traded
at the deadline and they would have gotten a
bunch of stuff back. They probably would have thrown in pick.
Like if you,
the Lakers version of how they handle the Kaminga asset is he's not on the
team in March. It's like, we love this guy. He's really talented,
but now he's on Utah or Detroit or wherever.
Yeah. Well, you started the, the, the,
the bit where you said like LeBron kind of got passive aggressive,
but that's like his brand though. So it's like, it's like LeBron kind of got passive-aggressive. But that's like his brand, though. So it's like LeBron is just passive.
He's either aggressive-aggressive or he's passive-aggressive.
And it's tough to build a team around him
because you're constantly having to acquiesce
to his demands of players that he wants.
And then when it doesn't go well,
then you got to deal with the comments comments in the media, et cetera.
So I give, I give the Lakers a lot of credit. I mean,
it's really difficult to build a championship team around LeBron James and
Anthony Davis. I mean, they really, wow. And to just start with those two,
it's like, you know, you start with those two guys,
how could you not build like a championship level team?
Like it's pretty much about like, those are like the perfect two guys.
I mean, I get it. Davis isn't healthy all the time,
etc. But when
Davis is healthy and LeBron
is on the court, it's like
you don't have to do much to surround
that team with anything.
Think of the guys you mentioned. Now they're good. Oh, they picked up
Jared Vanderbilt. Oh, they picked up
Malik Beasley and DeAndre Russell.
They drafted Austin
Reeves, who's been... No, they didn't. He was undrafted.
They just grabbed him after the draft. Okay. So yeah, I wasn't sure he was a second rounder yet.
And so they've got pieces now that kind of work,
but it's like, what were you doing all of last year?
Do you realize that the LeBron model is surrounded with shooters and away you go?
What was your thought process there?
Well, you know what they really,
and I don't want to say they lucked out because they picked them,
but just how well Reeves fits with LeBron.
Yeah.
I would argue that just the,
Reeves' offensive game
is kind of the perfect guy to have
as your third person next to LeBron and Davis, right?
Because you don't need like size.
You don't need,
you don't need a rebounder. You just need somebody who
knows how to play basketball. Somebody mentioned, I think it was Shams mentioned that Reeves reminded
him of Gordon Hayward, younger Gordon Hayward. And I was like, that's interesting because I
couldn't put my finger on what Reeves was like. We've talked about him on the pod a bunch of times
about, you see the 6'5 white guy
and you're just like, oh, he must be just a shooter
and that's what he does. He's kind of the opposite.
He's crafty. He gets to the free throw
line. He gets shots in traffic.
He gets garbage points.
He's a good passer. Which is what young Hayward was like
and he's a good passer.
You know what's funny in that game? I think if you were to say
who was... Russell handled
the ball most in pick and roll
in game one of the Lakers,
but Reeves handled the ball
second. Reeves ran
25 picks. They ran 25 picks with Reeves
and they scored at an absurd rate
of 1.4 or something.
And LeBron was backing off at the end.
LeBron was like, this is working.
LeBron as the ball handler. They only ran it
a handful of times,
I think like 10 or 11 times in the game.
So that's kind of interesting.
I don't think he would ever,
because like I said, the model has always been
you surround LeBron with shooters and away you go.
But he's kind of playing off the ball here in this scenario.
The thing that I thought that's kind of interesting
about that series,
we're jumping around a little bit,
is I don't know if Memphis ever,
did they not scout the Lakers?
Did they not realize you can't play drop coverage versus Reeves?
Drop coverage doesn't work versus Reeves.
I don't know what exactly.
Of the 25 picks that he had,
they ran drop coverage on 60% of them.
And it's just like, it doesn't work versus him
because he's just too comfortable coming in,
getting into the middle of the paint, and then
either hitting a shot or making the pass
or putting pressure on the defense. It's like you either
have to switch versus him or
you have to show and put some pressure on him.
You're not going to play drop coverage versus him.
It's just not going to work. I just feel like that
was the lowest of hanging fruit they could have
realized. I don't think they were ready for him to
run 25 pick and rolls in that game. I don't think they were prepared
for that. It'll be interesting to see how they adjust in game two.
It's crazy the Lakers ended up with Caruso and Reeves
in like a five or six year span.
Like just these, you can't say dropped in their lap
because they signed those guys, they brought them in.
But these two guys who were kind of perfect playing with LeBron
and then were way underrated for reasons that had nothing to do with their basketball ability.
Like Caruso, just a strange-looking basketball player, right?
He was a receding hairline.
He's 25, white guy.
He was like, oh, this guy must suck.
And it's like, no, actually,
there's lots of advanced metrics now
that this guy actually doesn't suck.
And he became a really crucial part of that bubble run.
Sure.
Although he didn't shoot the ball as well in the playoffs
as I think people remember.
I think the thing about Caruso that's confusing
is you see a guy that looks like him
and you think he has to be able to shoot three-pointers
and that's not his game.
His game is defense.
He's a lockdown defender.
He's good in the lanes.
He's good on the ball.
Great navigating screens.
So I think that's the part
that kind of like disarms people a little bit.
They think, how could this guy be good
and then they look at
his offensive stats
and they're not great
turns down a lot of shots too
let's take a break
and I want to talk more
about the Warriors
and the Lakers
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All right, coming back.
You and I were texting about abrupt ending teams.
Raheem Palmer was doing a little bit about this on Twitter on Monday night too.
It was the same thing.
It was hard not to think of the parallels of the great team,
especially when it's a defending champ and it's just ending in real time.
And you're like, wait, is this, is this?
I remember I was doing the finals in 2014
when Miami just fell apart against San Antonio.
And after game three with San Antonio, they went up 2-1.
They won in Miami by like 19.
And we were prepping for the show for game four.
And I was like, I remember we were texting about it too.
I was like,
I think this,
I think Miami's like in real trouble.
Everybody just assumed they were going to come back.
I was like, I think this matchup
and they're just slow
and they don't have a bench.
And I think San Antonio kind of unlocked them.
And then those last two games,
they kicked their ass and they went in five.
That team,
that run ends.
LeBron's 29, Wade's 32, Bosh is 29, Ray Allen's 38.
So they're getting a little old except for LeBron and Bosh.
The 2011 Lakers, who got swept by Dallas,
they win two in a row.
They get their ass kicked by Dallas, but it was gradual.
It was a little like the Sacramento series.
Dallas wins by two. Dallas wins by 12. Oh, well, the Lakers are definitely winning game three.
Nope. Dallas wins at home by six. Then they blow them out in game four. All of a sudden,
that runs over. The 08 Pistons, same thing with the Celts. They're 2-2 heading into game five.
And then the Celts kind of blow them out the last two games and that era ends. Billups, Rashid, they were both over 30.
We mentioned the 2004 Lakers.
The other two I found, the 96 Rockets, they win two straight titles.
They go into round two against Seattle, the Kemp Payton Seattle.
And I think Seattle might even be a favorite in this series.
And they swept them.
They just waxed them.
That led to the Rockets trading for Barkley.
Their two oldest players were Hakeem and Drexler, 33-33.
And then the last one was the Pistons, 89-90.
They win.
They go into that Bulls series the year after that was covered,
the last dance.
They get swept.
Their team, Isaiah was 29, Lambert was 33, Rodman's 29,
Dumar's 27.
So they're old, not too old.
Isaiah was getting older.
But it was just over. And over
the course of the series, you think,
are my eyes seeing this?
Or does this series look like it's over, but you don't want to admit it?
And that's why I really
wonder with this King series,
are our eyes telling
us what our brains don't want to believe
yet? Because they just look faster
to me. So you're
still on the Warriors at home or a different
team. You want to see it with them at home
before you're willing to go there.
I don't think that
they rate to win the series.
I'm not going on a limb here. They're down 2-0 versus
a team that's much more
athletic and quicker than them.
But I don't see
it being a sweep or... I don't know. It could end in 5, I suppose. I don't see it being a sweep or
I don't know. It could end in five, I
suppose. I don't know. I would like to see
a lot of these series are like
this. They say that the series doesn't start until
a team loses at home.
So I would just like to see them
play at home.
Like I said, it's hard to expect them to
have a good performance in game one or game two.
They haven't been good all year on the road.
I don't know why that is, but they just haven't.
So, but yeah.
Let me flip it.
These guys are old.
Like, Curry's 34.
It's like to play that style that he plays at 34,
it's not like he needs to be able to move and run
and get open.
And he's not getting open.
Davion Mitchell's done a great job guarding him.
He's been in his shirt.
They've done a good job switching off the ball.
So yeah, I would just like to see
how they perform at home, I suppose.
Maybe Draymond won't get ejected this time
and they'll be able to defend a little bit better.
We'll see.
He just can't help himself.
And it's weird because he's got
so many different media ties now
that I feel like if this was another player,
it would be a way bigger deal with
people just ripping them but you know 2016 that series was over we've talked about this before
but they go in in Cleveland they win game four and that game was awesome that was such a good
basketball game and they beat them and if he doesn't do that with LeBron at the end they win
in game five and that that's done 2019 the stuff that happened with KD at the Cl, they win in game five and that's done. 2019, the stuff that happened with KD at the
Clippers game, the team was really
never the same after that happened.
And then this one, this is now three
instances of
his inability to just control
whatever goes on with how intense
he is during a game.
I don't know if you saw that
somebody had a wide shot of Draymond
when he's just screaming at the Kings crowd
for like a professional wrestler
for like 45 seconds.
And near the end of it,
Kerr's trying to come back
to talk to the team,
but Draymond hasn't sat down yet
because he's turned around
and you could just see Kerr like,
oh my God.
Kerr's been doing this for 10 years.
There was that quote, right? Where I think Kerr was like, I can't take Kurt's been doing this for 10 years. There was that quote
where I think he was like, I can't take
Raymond's shit anymore or whatever.
It got leaked or whatever it was.
I don't know. He's a competitor. I think that
the stomping on the
guy's chest was just absurd.
It looked like he was putting out a cigarette.
You see someone putting out a cigarette on the street.
It was just like,
what is this guy doing? And as absurd
as that was, it wasn't even nearly
as bad as the reaction afterwards
where he's just like,
does he know he's getting ejected here? Why is he acting
like this? I don't know. I thought it was ridiculous, but
whatever. He's a competitor. Like you said,
it's part of the fire
that he has, I guess, to get a player with
his athletic ability to be as...
He's part of the package. Yeah, you're right. He needs that engine to get him going, to get a player with his athletic ability to be as... It's part of the package.
Yeah, you're right.
Look, you need that engine to get them going.
But it's just, it has to be so difficult to be around that as a player.
You're trying to focus and this guy's doing this stuff, I feel like.
But I'm sure they're used to it.
I mean, forget about the practice thing where you punch his teammate in the face.
There's just a lot of stuff you have to deal with that and the podcasting after the
game and all,
it's just like there's a lot you have to deal with in order to put up with
what you get from him,
but you get so much defensively and even like offensively with him running the
offense and bringing the ball up the court and running, you know,
and executing those passes. But it's just, yeah, it's a bit much for me.
He's definitely turned into a pro cons list guy where at the end of the year,
they're definitely getting together and there's a big whiteboard. There's like,
Draymond pros, Draymond cons. It's like cons. Might completely self-destruct in any playoff
game. Might punch his teammates. Will podcast after the games. Steve Kerr is going to go in
the hospital soon if he has to coach him another year. Those are the cons.
He was like, well, they're pulling on my leg.
What do they expect me to do?
And it's just like, I don't know, man.
Anything but that.
There was a couple angles that showed
where is he supposed to put...
I get that he kind of had to step on him
maybe a little bit,
but he didn't have to stomp on him.
That much is clear.
You do not have to...
And then he kind of made it seem like
he fell by jumping forward.
It looked like he was doing a skateboard trick.
It was an unbelievable move by Sabonis.
I'm sure it hurt, but he sold it like he was at the Royal Rumble.
I think it hurt a lot.
I think when you get someone with that size, it was a hard...
He didn't step on him.
He stomped on him.
It was...
Yeah.
That's got to hurt.
I don't know.
We'll see.
I guess they did an x-ray after or something.
Who knows if that was theater
or what that was.
I would say theater.
They want him to get...
We'll probably know by the time...
I'll do a little topper on this pot on Tuesday,
but we'll know if Draymond got suspended or not.
Is that even in the cards?
They might suspend him for this?
I don't know how it's not.
Is a stomp more dangerous than an overhand right?
Yeah.
I mean, if he would have...
Yeah.
I mean, when he got suspended last time,
it wasn't for the kick.
It was for the consecutive technical fouls.
Yeah, or the flagrant fouls, I think it was.
So this would be...
Well, he did punch LeBron
in the balls.
I mean, that...
Right, but he didn't get
suspended for that.
He got suspended for having
too many flagrants, I believe.
Or I believe that's what it was.
But he knew he was at
the flagrant line, though.
Right.
What I'm saying is,
had he not been,
he would have been okay
with punching him in the balls.
That would have been okay.
It wouldn't have been a...
The irony is,
he cost them the title
in some ways, right? Because I think that series
is over if it goes back there. On the other hand,
his game seven was one of the great random
games anyone's had.
Yeah, he was the only guy who was able to perform
offensively in that game. He was the greatest
game of his career and almost
saved their bacon. And it basically comes
down to LeBron
hitting that one three over Azili,
getting the three free throws on him the second time.
And then the Warriors just being unable to do anything.
The last five minutes of that game is actually what their offense has looked
like a little bit against the Kings.
And that's the,
that's still the part that amazes me is that the Kings even being able to play
good defense.
I will say though,
Mike Brown,
a coach that I think once upon a time, I did being able to play good defense. I will say though, Mike Brown, a coach that I think
once upon a time I did not
think was a good coach,
was not really so good.
I thought he was an awful coach.
I remember us texting about it.
I was just like,
I think he got fired after a short
number of games
in his last stint, but his second stint
in Cleveland wasn't great. Did he have a second
stint in Cleveland? He did, right? He did.
He got brought back. He had a quick Lakers
thing that went bad.
The one thing that people forget is
the game changes, coaches change, they get
better, they learn, they improve.
The type of offense
they're running now is nothing like what he
would run. To his credit, he was
always a good defensive coach.
It was just his teams were very, very vanilla
and unimaginative offensively.
And I think that...
I think you brought up a good point in the sense that
with the way they're guarding Curry
and how aggressively they're guarding Curry,
if they don't have someone else who can be a release valve and create,
whether it's Draymond who can roll and make passes or pool, if it's not pool,
then they're in a lot of trouble. The way they're guarding Curry, they played a little
bit of box-in-one versus Curry last night in the second half of that game.
And it wasn't super effective, but it just shows you how they realize that
they're willing to shut down Curry and live with whatever else happens.
And with the lineup they have out there,
we had Green, Looney, Payton.
I mean, yeah, you'll live with that.
So it's interesting.
If Poole can't play and can't perform offensively,
then yeah, you're right.
They might be in a lot of trouble.
Well, one of the things that I liked about...
I thought Brown coached an awesome game in game two.
When you think Alex Lund plays in the first half,
second half, we don't see him again.
He's done a good job both games, yeah, for sure.
He did.
Mitchell, he just figured out,
oh, today's the Mitchell game
and really unleashed Mitchell.
Mitchell rose to the occasion.
He was great.
I also like that they kept...
They almost treated Curry like a quarterback
where it's like, we're going to blitz you this time.
Now we're going to sink six defensive backwards and go back.
And just every, felt like every couple minutes
they were doing something different.
I thought it was really smart.
I was really impressed.
I thought what was, yeah, I agree with you.
I thought what was super impressive
is when you get these little TNT sound bites
or whatever it was, ABC sound bites where they show,
it was just like telling the team
to keep on pushing the ball, keep on running,
be comfortable shooting, we'll live with the results. Like we talked telling the team to keep on pushing the ball, keep on running, be comfortable shooting.
We'll live with the results.
Like we talked about earlier,
they haven't shot the ball particularly well,
but he's still,
still encouraging his players to take a lot of,
you know,
to,
to live with the results,
take threes.
They understand where,
what good offense is.
Um,
and just the speed at which they're getting the ball.
I mean,
they got a fast break layup off of a,
off of a made free throw the other night,
which is just like,
you don't see that happen very often.
So how does this fall apart for the Kings? What's the recipe for them blowing this,
in your mind? Take the Warriors out of it. Just what has to go wrong for the Kings?
I think if they don't win one of these two games in San Francisco here, I think there's a lot of pressure
on them. Now they go back home, the series is tied 2-2.
So I think
in their mind, I feel like as a young team,
especially a front-running
team, they seem to be a bit of a front-running team in the sense
that it's just easier when
things are going well. Where it goes wrong,
I don't know. I mean,
the Warriors figure out a way to guard
Fox a little bit more effectively.
I'm not sure how they do that. Maybe, you know, maybe they send,
they send two Adams sometimes. I'm not really sure where it goes wrong.
I guess Curry has a career clay,
have like a transcendent offensive game that can happen.
That's certainly one of those guys is certainly due to go off in one of these
two games. That's where it goes wrong, I suppose.
But I'm with you in the sense that I don't see a lot of paths where they're
just going to out-solid
Sacramento. They're not
as good a team.
One through eight, the number
of players that are playing, or nine, they're not
as deep, they're not as good. And I
think that's kind of obvious at this point.
Yeah, one of the things about
this game... So game one,
Sabonis doesn't shoot the ball well at all.
Right. And he was somebody I was considering almost, could he be my number five MVP? Could
Fox be like, he was that good this season and wasn't that good offensively. He's better yesterday.
Yesterday, they still win game one, even though they don't get a great Sabonis game.
Yesterday, they missed a shitload of threes in the first half. That's
not a good sign. And they were never out
of the game. I think the combo
of that where it's like, we haven't even seen
them play an awesome
everybody was great game yet.
And they were able to win
both of those without having all the...
I mean, you're not going to get the Monk game
again, obviously, from game one. I don't know that
that's true. I mean, Monk has been a skilled offensive Monk game again, obviously, from game one. I don't know that that's true.
I mean, Monk has been a skilled offensive player.
I remember...
No, I'm saying the game he played game one.
I mean, that was like...
That's a 10 out of 10.
There's no bigger fan of his than Monk.
Yeah, he may be a 10 out of 10,
but he has been a consistent offensive player all year.
I think where it goes wrong is like,
look, I don't know if you remember last night's game.
They were in the bonus.
Sacramento was in the bonus from like the 10 minute and 30 second mark
of the third quarter. They just got into the bonus.
I think
that doesn't happen. Where does the game
go? I mean, that's pretty tough to play defense
when you're in the penalty for 10 and a half
minutes and foul trouble. Most of the guys
were in foul trouble and he was in foul trouble.
So I think
the home officiating definitely
been a playoff
thing. I don't know.
Golden State had
three guys with five fouls
in that game. They ended the game with three guys with five fouls.
That's pretty rare, I would say.
There's a lot of fouls in general. Herter had five.
Sabonis had five. But Draymond,
Looney, and Wiggins all had five fouls.
And Draymond didn't even play the whole game.
Well, you know, the Kings were
9 for 38 from three.
If you just told me ahead of the game, the Kings
are going to go 9 for 38 from three in game
two in a must-win for the Warriors, I would have been
like, oh, the Warriors got this. How do you think they
would win? It's crazy. Well, they did shoot a lot more free throws
for one, and they got
into the
mid-range or the
long paint shots were quite efficient.
Fox's like floaters,
like a longer floater than a normal shot
is so efficient and you can
get to it anytime that if that shot's going
it's almost impossible to defend him.
It's pretty interesting.
He has so much
confidence now and you can feel it really
from the start of the year.
Everything he's doing in this series is what he did all year.
For sure.
That's why I had him second team on NBA.
But it's different in the playoffs going against this team.
You think like, oh, is he going to be a little nervous?
Nope.
There was just nothing.
He looked exactly like it was like November against Detroit.
And if you look at that roster,
nobody really has playoff experience,
except for Harrison Barnes.
It's pretty impressive
for them to have played
as well as they have
in the first two games.
They've got something
to show there.
You mean chip on
my shoulder,
Harrison Barnes?
Yeah.
I remember what happened
when you kicked me
to the curb in 2016
because KD batted
his eyelashes at you,
Harrison Barnes?
Well, I don't know.
He got a near-max contract
from the Mavericks.
I'm sure he was pretty happy.
I guess Herter also has
some playoff experience
with that run with Atlanta
where he barbecued
Steph's brother.
Yeah, he does.
Let's go to Lakers-Grizzlies.
If the Grizzlies have Adams
and they have Clark...
Different series.
Do you think they win the series
with those two guys or is it just different?
Certainly
have a much, much better
chance. I mean,
the Lakers are a big team. It's something people don't realize
how big this team is. Reeves is big. LeBron's
big. AD's big. These guys are
monsters. Even Rui Hachimura is big. They're just a big
team. And now you're trying to roll out
Jaron Jackson
who's fine, but you can't depend on him to not foul out if he's alone big. And now you're trying to roll out Jaron Jackson, who's fine, but you can't
depend on him to not foul out if he's
alone big. And then Tillman.
And they had some four-man
lineups where they were playing like Kennard,
Bain, Tyce Jones, and Moran. It's like
those guys, none of those guys are big.
And it's a...
So yeah, it's a big difference for sure.
I mean, Brandon Clark was a huge
factor last year
in the playoffs for them on the offensive glass.
And then they went away from Adams and struggled.
And then they went back to him and kind of did well.
Like Adams was...
Early on in the playoffs, Adams was quite effective.
And then they went away from him in the one series
versus Golden State.
And then for whatever reason, they didn't start him.
And I think that, yeah, it's a different series.
I don't know.
It's if AD is playing as well as he's,
I don't know if you saw his defensive numbers.
They were, he was unbelievable.
Yeah.
I've never,
that was probably one of the better defensive games I've seen from a
player in some time.
I mean,
it kind of went under the radar a little bit because just a lot of the
other nonsense that happened in that game.
But yeah, it was, he was switching, defending well on switches.
He was blocking shots.
He was shutting players down.
I think...
I forget what the exact...
I mean, I can look at it,
but the exact numbers of...
He held players like some ridiculously low number.
He was dominant defensively.
Reeves is playable defensively.
I don't know.
They didn't really attack him as much as they could.
They didn't attack Schroeder.
Do they win the series if they have those two bigs?
I don't know. I'm not sure.
But they certainly are drawing pretty slim to win it without them.
That's for sure.
Probably they go small in game two, I'm guessing.
And they just play Triple J with, you know,
Bain and Brooks and Tyus Edney.
Good luck.
Tyus Jones.
Good luck.
Tyus Jones and Morant.
Good luck.
Well, Morant might not even play, by the way.
So that's a big factor.
But good luck keeping Jaron Jackson Jr. on the court
if he's the lone big.
That guy is certainly foul prone.
And if he's not foul prone, it's going to be difficult for him to he's the lone big, that guy is certainly foul prone. And if he's not foul prone,
it's going to be
difficult for him to defend as the lone big.
I mean, the four guys you just
rattled off in addition to him, those
are basically traffic cones on
defense. So it's
going to be super challenging for sure.
So let's
look ahead. Let's just say it goes
this way and we get Lakers-Kings, we get the 2002...
Revenge.
I don't want to say rigged. The most perceived to be rigged series of the 21st century in the NBA, unless you want to really go on a stealth Buck Sixers deep dive from 2001.
Kings Revenge, two totally different styles.
Kings trying to play super fast.
Lakers trying to bully ball and overpower them.
That would be one of the coolest matchups I've had in a long time.
That would be a fun matchup for sure.
That would be a fun matchup. I don't know. I guess a lot of people had the Lakers as the favorites
early on.
I guess it's not that unreasonable. I don't know.
If AV is healthy and playing this well and Reeves continues to play
as well as he's playing and then they're getting decent performances from LeBron
and Schroeder shows up, plays well.
Obviously, Hachimura had
an outlandish game for him.
I don't see that continuing.
But, yeah.
I'd like to second that prediction.
That was a once every two weeks
game from Hachimura.
That might have been a once a career game for Hachimura.
I'm not sure we see something like that from him again.
It's not that.
Joe Haas is still mad.
Joe Haas had to watch him for three years.
He can't believe that that even happened.
Let me throw this at you.
Okay.
I can guarantee you, I can't, but let's say I can guarantee you Davis and LeBron are going
to be healthy for the next eight weeks.
Neither of them will get hurt.
What happens to the Lakers?
Can they make the finals? Neither of them will get hurt. Let's say the Lakers? Can they make the finals?
Neither of them will get hurt.
Let's say both of them stay healthy
for the next six weeks.
Yeah, I think the Nuggets
are still a tough matchup for them.
I think people kind of slept on the Nuggets
a little bit.
Not this guy.
No, you like the Nuggets?
I kept them as my pick.
Yeah.
I actually, I like that they have a chip
on their shoulder now
because people just,
they kind of pushed them over to the side even though they had a home court. Yeah. They were like I like that they have a chip on their shoulder now because people just, they kind of pushed them
over to the side
even though they had a home court.
Yeah.
They were like the 2015 Hawks.
They,
they struggled down the stretch,
but they also,
they also didn't play
Jokic as much down the stretch.
Um,
and then they kind of had
like mixed results.
But,
um,
are they the favorites? I don't know.
I'm not sure. I haven't really thought about that.
I guess I'll have to...
If I said I would
say they would not be the favorites, but
if those guys are healthy, I wouldn't think
so. I mean,
it's one game versus
a team that is missing both
of their two of their
three best frontcourt. is a team that is missing both of their, you know, two of their three star,
you know,
two of their three best frontcourt.
I thought there were a lot of signs with them
post-deadline.
There were some games.
Now,
they were erratic.
They're trying to figure out
different things,
but there was a ceiling with them
that started to scare me as...
The Lakers, yeah.
Yeah,
I just felt like...
I mean, they picked up some really... felt like... Vanderbilt
is an underrated pickup for
them. He's been fantastic defensively.
That's something they never really
had was a guy that you could just throw on someone,
throw another team's best player and just have them...
I watched him guard...
I watched him guard
Shea Gillis-Alexander.
It was on the back.
Oklahoma City had a tough travel schedule at the time.
But he just completely shut this guy down to the point where
Shea didn't even want to touch the ball towards the end of the game.
And he's just in his shirt
and he's that type of defender.
And I think being able to play that
type of defense with AD behind you is
just such a luxury because you can
take chances knowing that even if the guy
gets by you, you still have AD back there.
And then LeBron,
as much as his defensive
game has diminished, he's still a decent
help defender, weak side
defender. He's not a great...
He can put together six minutes too.
He can't put together 48, but
for six minutes, he can play.
I mean,
what this guy's doing at his age is like unreal.
Like everyone,
you know,
you can talk about how he's,
you know,
not as good as he used to be,
et cetera,
et cetera.
And how he's kind of standing around while they're at it.
It's just like,
dude,
the guys who has played at this level at his age,
it's unprecedented.
It's just,
it's just,
it's amazing.
It's really something to watch.
But the one thing that does worry me is I don't know if they change the...
If they do get to the Western Conference Finals,
you start playing games
5, 6, and 7, I believe, on one-day rest
with travel.
So imagine if they played Denver
in that scenario.
Would they match up with Denver? Is that the side of the bracket
they're on? Would that be the...
That would be the West Finals. Yeah, Denver's going to play
the winner of the Suns-Clippers. We haven't even talked about the Suns. But yeah. That would be the West Finals. Yeah, Denver's going to play the winner of the Suns-Clippers.
Yeah, yeah.
So we haven't even talked about the Suns.
But yeah, that would be tough, I think, going into altitude and coming back.
And that's not a super long trip, but it's not a short trip either.
And I think that would be something that I would be a little bit more worried about for
the Lakers.
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i avoided the suns because they're playing tonight after we tape this. So God only knows what's going to happen. But just in general,
just your quick take of throwing somebody in like Durant at the point of the
season that they threw him in and then expecting it all to just work perfectly.
What were you expecting?
Well,
I thought,
I thought that the Clippers made a massive tactical mistake by wanting to
play Phoenix in the first round,
especially knowing the Paul George situation.
So I'd have to eat some crow there with game one win.
I think it looked like the Clippers
had the best player in the series in Kawhi.
It looked like, I mean, he was just surgical,
clinical, normal Kawhi.
Kawhi's actually playing better as a Clipper
offensively than he did as a Raptor,
which is interesting. His numbers offensively are much
better.
What did I think? I think that it's tough to win
an NBA playoff game
when you have
three playable players and a
half, which is what
Phoenix has.
They've got Aiton, who's like
a half, I would say.
Sometimes he plays good, sometimes he doesn't.
Chris Paul definitely looks like he's lost a step.
And then the guys they've got surrounding them, they've got no depth
whatsoever.
Clippers are putting Zubach and Plumlee on
Torrey Craig
and living with the results.
We've got Wainwrights coming in there,
Shamit.
They just don't have anybody.
And so it's...
They've got to figure out...
And the Clippers can just cycle through
player after player after player.
They've got so much wing depth.
Even without Paul George,
they've got wing depth.
It wasn't a huge Marcus Morris game,
which I'm sure you loved.
There was a little...
I think he's out of the rotation.
Did you see the Clippers were 50-1
before the playoffs to win the title?
They had by far the longest odds.
They were in the Miami-Atlanta
territory of odds.
That's wild. That's probably
decent value. I wonder what their adjusted
I guess I could check what the adjusted series price is
for that after game one.
Let's move on
because game two already happened.
Heat Bucks just quickly because that's a Wednesday night or two
the Heat, I know you followed this
were 19 games under 500 against the spread
which I think is almost impossible
and then they don't cover the first playing game
then they win the Friday game
and then they look great
Sunday against the Bucs.
And now Giannis is going to play,
but he's banged up.
And just in general,
what do you think of the Bucs supporting cast?
I don't know.
The thing that they don't have
is they don't have anybody
who can really create effectively.
Their best guard is Drew Holiday, who's good,
but he's kind of like a herky-jerky.
He's not
explosive getting to the rim and creating
for other people. He's kind of backing people down.
So I think they struggle a little
bit. I still think
they have a very deep team.
The issue with them is
Middleton's health, obviously, is big.
Obviously, now Giannis' health as well.
But I'm not like...
After watching that one game,
I'm not concerned if I'm Milwaukee versus Miami.
I think it was just...
They lost.
As long as Giannis is healthy, I think they'll be fine.
I mean, Miami has a good scheme to defend versus Giannis,
but it...
We had...
Brook Lopez yesterday was... Or not yesterday, but it, you know, you had Brooke Lopez yesterday was,
or not yesterday,
but in game one was basically a spacing threat.
He was just standing on the perimeter and he was being guarded by like
Max Struess and Gabe Vincent and guys like that.
And it's just like,
there's things Milwaukee can do.
And I think they will actually do them.
Cause I do think they're a sharp team that can counter what happened in game one
so that you probably won't see a result like that.
I don't think Miami's a particularly good team.
Now we also have the hero situation, which is not good for them, obviously.
I think Milwaukee's depth is fine.
I think they are what they are.
It's Giannis bringing the ball up, acting like a point forward,
surrounded by a bunch of guys who are good enough
to hit open shots and do
things. I think their depth
is fine. I think they're a very good team.
I don't know how they'd match up versus the Celtics,
but I think aside from the Celtics,
they're the clear class
of the East. Who is your
gun to the head finals
pick right now? Who do you think the best team is?
I would always famously said, I don't tend to make bets with a gun to my head, but
if I had a degenerate friend of mine who always wanted to gamble and I'd give him like five bets
a night and they'd go four and one, three and two at worst. And then there'd be the late game. He'd
like, gun to your head. Who do you like this game? And I'm just like, bro, let's just relax.
Shout out to E-Dog, famous poker player. He'd be like, gun to your head. Who do you like this game? And I'm just like, bro, let's just relax. Shout out to E-Dog.
Poker player.
He's like, gun to your head. Who do you like this game? I'm just like, bro,
I don't like anything. Let's just relax and watch it.
Who's my champion
pick? Is that what you said? Gun to my head?
Who do you think is the safest
you feel the best about team? Celtics,
probably.
Celtics or
I mean,
the West is just so haphazard and the East is like two teams.
That's it.
There's two teams in the East.
The West is like,
you know,
maybe Denver,
maybe the Lakers,
maybe the Clippers,
maybe Phoenix.
Like there's just like too many.
And,
you know,
I mean,
we talked about Golden State or Sacramento.
There's just like,
or Memphis,
who was the two seed, you know, it's usually a lot. I just, I talked about Golden State or Sacramento. Or Memphis, who was the two seed.
There's really a lot.
I think the East is just a pretty clear whoever wins between Milwaukee and Boston.
And I think Boston matches up very well versus Milwaukee.
So I would say the South.
So Philly is not even discussable for you?
Yeah, I'm not a Philly guy.
I don't see it.
I don't see... I think Emb a Philly guy. I don't see it. I don't see...
I think Embiid's amazing.
I don't particularly like the way they match up versus the Celtics.
I don't particularly like the way they play
in terms of their strategy, who they play.
I think Harden is clearly a basketball genius,
but he's also clearly not in top physical condition.
And it looks like he's struggling.
He's,
he's good.
You can get a step back off,
but he's not really doing much else.
So yeah,
I'm not a Philly guy.
It's a nice matchup for the Celtics.
It is a nice matchup.
I don't want to talk about it too much and,
and jinx this somehow,
but,
um,
the Celtics,
I just feel I've been saying it all year. You could even
see it in the Nets game last night. They just didn't
totally have the people, but when
you can just small ball it and spread
them out and try to
just play with a faster pace, I just don't think
Philly wants to do that ever.
Yeah. I mean,
if Philadelphia
trotting out
the ghost of P.J PJ Tucker versus the Nets.
I love PJ Tucker.
I love that guy.
But I don't know how old he is, but he's definitely up there.
And he was guarding.
There was nobody he had to guard.
It wasn't like he needed him to shut anyone down.
They just had him out there and the Nets were just basically ignoring him.
And they'd live with this slow release corner three,
the odd offensive rebound maybe that he'd get
that'd kind of get there.
He's just like, it's difficult
because if you look at Philadelphia,
they don't have a lockdown defender aside from him.
So when you're going to play,
now you're going to play the Celtics and Tatum and Brown
and then you're going to play, I guess,
like who do they have guarding Giannis?
I guess they're going to put Tucker and Embiid.
But yeah, I don't think the Sixers have...
They made a pickup.
They've got a decent wing defender,
but I just don't see it.
I'm not a Philly guy.
Were you surprised by how the Mavs season played out?
Yeah, how could you not be surprised? Were you surprised by how the Mavs season played out? Yeah.
How could you not be surprised?
They went to the Western Conference Finals and then didn't make playoffs.
I do think the Western Conference Finals thing was a little bit of a mirage.
Fool's gold?
Yeah.
You can use the word fool's gold.
The phrase fool's gold.
But did I think it would go off the rails this bad?
No.
How could you?
I mean, I didn't think I went on the record saying that I don't think that
that trade was something that was going to benefit their season.
It certainly wasn't what they needed.
They didn't need another offensive guy who couldn't guard anybody.
Yeah, it's just very difficult
to have two players. I've
said this a bunch in different
venues, I suppose, but it's very
difficult to have two players who are at
their best with the ball
and then expect them to be good together. You're just not
maximizing their talent. And especially
in the playoffs where both guys are going to play 35
minutes. So now you've got
maximum 10 to 13 minutes
where you could play, you could
stagger them where only one of them is on the court.
Like, okay, great.
Now what do you do the rest of the time? You have one of them
off the ball standing in the court. And neither one of them
really excel without the ball.
Luka, at this point in his career,
is not
suited without the ball.
He's not a great catch and shoot three-point shooter.
He's not someone who sets screens and rolls.
He's just not that guy.
He's not cutting.
He needs the ball and he's great with the ball.
So why would you want to have your second highest paid player be another guy who's good with the ball and needs the ball?
It doesn't make sense to me, but that's just me, personally.
I wouldn't have done it. And then that's... By the way,
that's discounting the fact that the guy's 31,
I believe, or 30, 31.
And is kind of
diminutive in stature. Now you got to sign him to a
three, four-year contract. You left out the
circus that comes with him. Well, I did. I even
got to that. And then there's the other part of it, which
I left that out because
to his credit, he's been, by all accounts,
a model player and a great teammate.
But it's also only been
two months. So let's just
wait and see. I don't know.
He hasn't been a distraction with the Mavericks
at all. That much is clear.
Hasn't not been a distraction. I think, if
anything, he's been additive in terms of the culture
so far.
That's everything I've heard, everything I've seen. But he's Kyrie Irving, and he's been additive in terms of the culture so far. That's everything I've heard,
everything I've seen. But he's Kyrie Irving and he's got a record of being a little eccentric
at best. So I don't know. It's just a very... It's such a risky move. And what they said when
they did it was they didn't see the risk. It's like, I don't see any risk here. To say that to
me was just so absurd. You didn't see the risk. It's like, I don't see any risk here. To say that to me was just so absurd.
You didn't see the risk in signing this guy and trading for this guy and now having to sign him to a long
high-value contract.
It just felt like there were
better low-end options for them
where they didn't have to give away
DFS and or that first-round
pick. They could have went after
Hurdle and
they could have kept... They would have still lost the first-round pick because that's what Toronto gave up for him. They still would went after Hurdle and that would have, and they could have kept, they would
have still lost the first round pick because that's what Toronto gave
up for him. They still would have been in a situation where he
was an unrestricted free agent. They'd have to sign, they'd have his bird
rights, but they could have kept,
like you said, Dorian Fennysmith and
Spencer Dinwiddie. And it's like they didn't
need another
secondary ball handler who was going
to be like, Kyrie is amazing with the ball.
He's an offensive wizard.
He's a spectacular offensive player.
Like I'm not taking that anything away from him.
He's an unreal offensive player,
but in order for him to be an offensive,
real unreal offensive player,
and for you to maximize his,
his value,
he has to have the ball and he has to be willing to have the ball and
create and have the ball for a large amount of the game and score.
And,
you know,
they were,
they looked like a pretty good team when he was the lone guy playing.
They actually played well. It's when the two of them played together
that it was an issue.
With two high-usage players,
it always takes time for them
to mesh. It took the
Miami Heat when they signed
LeBron and Bosh and had Wade,
those three guys. It took them a while to get going.
It just takes time for high-usage
players to mesh. But with high-usage
players, you don't get their max efficiency.
There's always... When you have two
high-usage players, let's say they both have a really, really
high efficiency, you put them together, you don't get the same
additive high efficiency. There's always a
decrease because
you just can't have it.
The guy to have around
Luca would be
a wing defender or a big,
a big who can create,
or a guard who can defend and play off the ball and knock down threes like a
Brogdon or Drew holiday,
or,
or you get like an Anthony Davis would be a perfect.
So that's,
those are the guys.
And I get that those guys weren't available,
but just because they weren't available,
it doesn't mean you just like,
okay,
we need a second star.
It felt like a little panicky,
but I don't know.
Well,
you think like, and I don't know. Well, you think like,
and I don't think they were the only team
that could say this,
but there were some really good
rotation guy trade deadline pieces, right?
Josh Hart,
who the Knicks end up getting.
Yep.
Josh Hart would have helped,
I don't know,
seven teams he would have been really important for,
including the Mavs.
More.
He could help any team
because he doesn't have to start.
But he didn't even cost that much. They got Cam Reddish,
they got Tybal,
and some protected first-round pick.
Vanderbilt was
another one that Utah
just at some point decided
he was expendable for all the other guys
they got. He was sitting there.
Purtle, you mentioned.
Plumlee, whatever, but he didn't cost anything.
And he's somebody that played 20 minutes in game one of a playoff series.
I just felt like there were fringe moves Dallas could have made.
And if they're going to put that 29 first on the table,
maybe at that point you get Vanderbilt and Kelly Olenek
and maybe you can dump a
contract.
I think Utah wanted those picks.
They wanted extra future picks with no attachments to them.
If you're going to do that, I would rather trade for pieces, keep DFS, try to keep Dinwiddie
and just have the totality of 19 guys. I think part of it is the immense pressure
that is being felt
to do something with
Luka to make him
sure that he wants to stay there.
We did this with the Cavs in the late
2000s. This never
works. When you're doing the panic
short-term band-aid moves,
it actually
is worse than
doing nothing.
One thing I will say,
like the price,
I mean,
he's an unrestricted free agent,
so it's not that,
but like the price
to get a player of his caliber
was quite low.
Unfortunately,
they weren't the team
to be willing to be
where it made sense.
Like giving up DFS,
who was their best defender
by a pretty considerable margin for a team that already wasn't very good defensively. Now you're getting rid of your best defender who guards one through five. Expect's somebody who can play in the last five minutes of a game.
I don't know.
I felt like even I look at somebody like Pritchard on the Celtics,
I think Pritchard's like a legitimate asset.
And he just doesn't play for the Celtics
because they have the deepest backcourt in the league.
But that's somebody that can come into a playoff series
and be a possible piece.
The league's the deepest it's ever been
with guys like the Pritchard type guys.
Everybody has
their 10th... Remember in the mid-2000s
how bad some of the
guys were that were in major games?
You're like, how the fuck is this guy playing?
That's the opposite.
As well as the emphasis on shooting and skill,
the league has gone that direction.
The players that have come up are all that direction as well.
They're all...
I don't know.
I don't think Peyton Pritchard
would have done very much
for the Mavericks,
just to be fair.
But...
No, but I'm saying
you get him for nothing.
I would rather...
If I don't know
if I'm going to make the playoffs anyway,
I would rather try to patch together
a couple small moves.
And if I'm going to use my 29 first,
probably not use it
for an unrestricted free agent.
I get why.
I know they were trying
to open up cap space.
Maybe they thought it was
sign and trade stuff,
but I don't know.
It felt panicky to me.
Yeah, certainly wasn't...
Has not paid off yet,
but I think they thought
they had to get another star
with Luka
and they thought he was the guy.
I don't know.
It's such a high risk move.
It's just such... For all the on-court reasons and then you have all the off-court reasons and the
age and the contract and how much... The one thing that working in their favor is they don't...
It doesn't look like there's a lot of teams that are going to be able to pay him or be willing to
pay him. But it'll be interesting how happy he'll be if he doesn't get a big contract.
That's another part of it. Right. Then that can be interesting how happy he'll be if he doesn't get a big contract. That's another part of it.
Then that can be counterproductive.
Do you want an unhappy Kyrie Irving? That doesn't seem
like that's worked out particularly well for any other franchise.
What would you do if you were
the Hawks GM? What would you do with Trae Young?
I don't think you
can be a good team
with Trae Young.
He just can't defend well enough.
His three-point shots even come off.
He is
the worst defensive point guard
in the league by a pretty decent
margin. And I think
everyone knows it at this point.
Everyone's hunting him. It's just such a challenge
for him to play in a playoff series.
People talk about Luka's not good on defense.
As much as you think Luka might not be good on defense, I promise
you he's better than that cat. It's not even close. And Luka can be a good defender when he's in shape, motivated, whatever. This guy, unfortunately, just based on his frame and his stature, is just not able to. So what do I do? I don't know. I'd probably try to trade him for sure. I would try to move off of him and build. I think he's a brilliant offensive player in terms of especially
how good he is with the ball and creating and the pick and roll. All that's great, but you can get
guys like that who aren't making as much money and who bring a little bit of value on the defensive
end. It's just such a challenge playing him in the playoff series when he's being hunted.
And it's tough for him to be good offensively when he's being
hunted all game too. It's just
hard. I don't think you can. There's too much space
nowadays. You can't hide a guy like that.
Who do you think says no to
a Bradley Beal for Trae Young trade?
I would
assume the Wizards. I don't know what
team would want to trade for Trae Young.
It's interesting to think about.
And I don't mean to disparage him
because I think he's a fantastic offensive player,
but I just think it's just very challenging.
So I don't know what...
Who says no?
A team that's trying to sell tickets and sell jerseys?
Yeah, maybe.
And a team maybe that has some defensive anchors
that you can surround him with.
Maybe there's that.
But even then, it's just still...
In the day and age where you can space out your fives,
and now the other team's opposing five
has to play on the perimeter,
and now you can just call up Trae Young
and pick and roll and have him be the screen defender,
and maybe they'll point switch the first time,
and then you can crash versus him.
If that doesn't work, if all else fails,
you can have your guy crash versus him and make him box out. It's just a challenge.
Do you feel like there's a sameness when you look at all the stats for the season and you're
crunching different things? Do you feel like there's a sameness to the styles or is there
more variance than we've usually had? What do you see in big picture for just how basketball is being played?
I think big picture,
there is a little bit more variance
in terms of how teams are playing.
But I think, you know,
you have a team like Golden State and Sacramento,
those two teams play a completely unique style
to the rest of the league.
Denver also, there's Denver plays unique.
Like there's lots of teams in Milwaukee.
There's lots of,
but there's also a lot of similarities
where teams are just playing
five out, four out, spacing,
shooting a lot of threes.
The thing that I'm seeing
that's just kind of absurd with the scoring
is just how difficult it is to play defense
and how that just keeps on getting worse
and worse and worse
to the point where any drive to the basket
with any contact whatsoever
is now a shooting foul.
And I think the game is officiated in such a way
where with all the space,
you have to be able to hand check again.
You have to allow that.
The freedom of movement stuff was cool
when everyone was packed in the paint.
You had four guys in the paint
and nobody else had the three-point line.
That was like...
And you had all these...
Remember the Pistons, Pacers game? games, 60, 70, whatever the scores were.
I get that.
You needed freedom of movement then.
But now it's just too much.
It's just like every game is a drive, wide open three, or a drive and a layup.
And it's kind of boring.
I think the game is kind of boring at this point.
Yeah.
I think like De'Aaron Fox, I'm not sure what you do.
Like these guys,
Russell and I were talking on Sunday night
about Kevin Johnson,
who is the ultimate downhill guy, right?
People are just backpedaling,
trying to defend him.
And Fox has a little of that too.
And I don't really know,
can't be physical with him.
I don't, he's just going to be able
to get to the spots he wants to get to.
Yeah, the pain's wide open.
And if you collapse versus him, he's going to zip it to
someone for a wide open three.
If you don't collapse and you
try to guard a man without being able to
actually hand check,
scoring is just like...
I remember when I first started betting NBA
totals and I would always use 200
as the benchmark for how I would keep track
of the pace because most holes were around 200. You need roughly four benchmark for how I would keep track of the pace. Because most totals were around
200. So you need roughly four points
a minute. You keep track. At the six-minute
mark, you'd be at roughly 25 points. Now,
the total is like 227.5,
231, 233. And it's just
kind of like, this is a different game.
And a lot of it's a three-point shooting, obviously.
But a lot of it's just how
tightly the game
is officiated to the point where as a
defender, you can't really do anything anymore. Last question. Who's the best poker player alive
right now? I was like to ask you one that breaks your brain. Who's the best? Who's the GOAT? Who's the who's the Giannis of poker
right now?
I mean, you said right now,
so it's tough to say.
I don't know.
I would say like
for
there's this guy
Linus Lolliger
who is a cash game
internet guy,
but also plays live tournaments
and is
there's just
there's just such a
there's just so little
differentiation between the best players
in the world because they all study the same ways
using PO Solver and all the different
GTO metrics. There's so little variation
between how... So you have to look at the guys
who play cash games because the tournaments have so much...
There's a bunch. There's like four or five guys that are all
in the same category.
All right. So let me flip it then.
Let's do NBA player poker
comparisons.
Who's...
Yeah, so who's Curry?
Who's Curry? I don't know.
These don't apply. Come on.
Who's LeBron?
LeBron is Phil Ives.
That's the only one that probably goes. Phil Ives
was the GOAT.
He still
might be up there, but times are different you know like it's just
different like phil ivy was the best poker player in the world for a long period of time
and then things changed and these young kids started studying and now you have like guys
like jason coon you have adamo you have i'm just gonna forget a bunch of people but like
linus olger you have all these guys who are just so fucking...
Steven Chidwick for tournaments that are just so dialed in with every little bit of tournament poker.
And cash games are dead.
So unless you're getting into VIP cash games.
So the other thing...
So here's the thing that people don't realize.
The best poker players in the world, the ones who are the most successful by any reasonable metric, which is you can keep track by money, are the ones that you don't really hear about because they secretly
get into these big games. And I'm not talking about Dan Milserum because that guy did it for
a minute and tried to ride a whole career. For a minute, he played in really, really high-stakes
poker games and made some money and then has been talking about it forever. But there's guys who
secretly go under the radar who are just grinding away
in these big cash games playing heads up matches
versus billionaires, winning
lots of money in obscenely
high stakes games. We're talking about
5K, 10K, no limit,
25K, 50K heads up
like blinds. So your opening
raise is like $100,000.
So I don't know. The NBA
one doesn't really... I'll give you the Phil
Ivy, LeBron James ones. The rest of them, I don't really
have any for. Who's Jokic?
Jokic is Stephen Chubb.
I have no idea. I have no idea who Jokic is.
The Jokic for poker... You're talking about a game
that you just sit there
and don't exhibit any physical
ability whatsoever
and fold and play in the most minute, minute, minute details
versus a game that's like ballet with jazz
and athleticism versus poker.
Can we at least agree Phil Helmuth is Draymond Green?
We can agree that Phil Helmuth is Draymond Green.
That's a great one, actually.
That's a great one.
Phil Helmuth is Draymond Green. Phil Helmuth is dream on green. That's a great one, actually. That's a great one. Phil Hummeth is dream on green. Phil Hummeth is like, has there ever been
a basketball player who said they were the best in the world, but none of their peers
thought they were? Was there ever that guy?
Oh, wow.
None of Phil Hummeth's peers think he's the best in the world. They just don't.
There you go. All right. Little poker thing.
You feeling okay about crypto?
You always ask me this
and I'm always feel the same way.
I think last time you asked me,
it's doubled since then.
So I don't know.
It'd be pretty hard for me to feel worse
than I did last time
since now the price has gone up
like roughly double
since the last time we talked.
And how's your soccer team doing?
Football team is a grind right now.
We were not great. We lost to the worst place team
in the league at home and had a near revolt from our fans. Our very, very dedicated fans
are getting very upset. And so we're in second and now we're in fourth or third.
We're like a point out of six and quite quite a few points out of second second through fifth
make the play in
for the
for the promotion spot
first is automatically
given a promotion
I think we're out of
we can't catch first
unfortunately
we've had a
we've had a rough
five game stretch
so it's
we're down
but you know
staying positive
sticking to the process
just trying to get better
it's a learning experience
for me
first time
as an owner of a franchise
lots of
unexpected things that I
didn't really account for
but we'll get there. It's funny how that goes right?
The first time you're in charge of something
that there's 75 things you never
expected. Yeah it's
definitely been fun
and rewarding.
And I,
I think like some of our fans think this is a novelty for me and that's not true.
Um,
we will get better.
And if we don't get promoted this year,
I think we're a massive favorite to get promoted next year,
but just stay and have some faith,
stick with it.
We're working.
So when's the end of the season?
Uh,
towards the end of May-ish.
I think.
We have seven more games or six more games left.
Six more games left.
Six more games left?
Yeah, six more games.
We're rooting for you.
Yeah.
Right now, we're in the mix.
Right now, we're currently in fourth place.
We have 52 points.
First has 59. Second has 57. And third has 53. So have 52 points. First has 59, second has 57,
and third has 53.
You got this.
You're not as embattled of an owner as Mark Cuban, are you?
No, not even close.
And I will say this.
I bought this team.
The team was flirting with bankruptcy.
They finished 13th out of 20
with no chance of ever being promoted last year.
Zero prospect. The team was not good by any objective measure. It was actually flirting with rele chance of ever being promoted last year. Zero prospect. The team
was not good by any objective measure. It was actually flirting with relegation for part of the
year. And the expectations have changed so much to the point where when we were no longer in first
or second, our fans started revolting. Some of our fans. So it's like, let's just be realistic
here. We were 13th last year. We're currently in fourth. We had no chance promotion last year. We're in the promotion mix this year. Have some faith. I get it. We've made
some decisions that some people don't agree with, but that's one of the beauties of owning a
franchise. You get to make the decisions and you get to live and die with the results. And so I'm
willing to live and die with my results and see what happens. You didn't make a trade as bad as the Rudy Gobert trade, did you?
No, there are no trades allowed,
but we did not.
Did you make a move as bad as the Rudy Gobert move?
No, not at all.
I mean, we fired our coach,
which I think a lot of people didn't understand
because when we fired him,
we were in second place at the time.
Yeah.
But I would not take that back. That was not someone but I wouldn't, I would not,
I would not take that back.
That was not someone
I wanted to have
a long-term,
I didn't hire him
to begin with.
It was not someone
that I saw
much agreement
in how we saw the game,
how we wanted
to conduct ourselves.
So,
but some people
are like,
why did you fire him?
It was definitely,
it was definitely
a controversial decision,
but we had our reasons not really going to get into because I just don't
disparage people like that. But, um, but yeah, we'll, we'll, we'll,
I mean,
that's the hardest decision that you have to make is who you hire as your
coach, because he is our manager,
because he's the guy who is basically running things.
And so you just have to make sure you align yourself with the right type of people.
And we hired
another coach. And so far
the results have been mixed.
Some people I think are not a fan of this particular
coach. A small vocal
majority. But
I think right now we're
in a situation where we have six games left. We're behind
him. We are going to build,
continue building and see what happens, I suppose.
It's fun. Wow, this has turned into a press
interview. The H-Bob stands for
heat. The heat is on.
It's different, for sure. It's different.
It'll be interesting when I head back there
soon because it's been
a whirlwind of positivity.
I feel like now,
because we dropped from second to fourth,
I'm still rolling like three points out.
It's not like we're not that far.
It's one game basically.
But losing to the last place team at home
was like these guys,
these fans who are upset deserve to be upset.
That's a game you should just not lose
if you have any aspirations of being promoted.
The team we lost to had won
five games all year
and they came into our fucking stadium and beat us.
They beat us on a penalty kick
that was a call to handball that wasn't
an actual handball, but it doesn't matter. There's no
excuse for losing to that team.
How do we follow this? Is there a website that
has all the streaming? Is there anything?
InSports.tv
InSports.tv has the games. It's like
$30 a year.
How do you follow it? I guess you follow
my Twitter and you follow the
Seedcastly on Twitter. And then you wait until
we get to Segunda, the second division, which is
the games are on.
It's a much bigger deal. So third division
is a grind. We played a game where the sprinklers came
on in the middle of the game. That was kind of like
what third division is about. Some of the fields aren't proper size. It's different. It's a grind. We played a game where the sprinklers came on in the middle of the game. That was kind of what third division's about.
Some of the fields aren't proper size.
It's different.
So getting out of this league is paramount.
We had a two-year goal to get out of the league.
It seemed like we were ahead of track.
We got out this year.
We still have a goal and expectation to get out this year,
but we're a little bit up against it right now.
So we'll see what happens.
All right.
Good luck. Good luck'll see what happens. All right, good luck.
Good luck with the basketball watching.
Good luck with the football, as you call it.
Good to see you, as always.
And I'll think of some better poker player basketball.
Yeah, work on that.
Work on that in the shower.
All right, see you later.
All right, that's it for the podcast.
Thanks to Kyle Mann and Bob Valgaris.
Thanks to Steve Cerruti and Kyle Crane for producing.
Don't forget new rewatchables, Alien.
That is up.
If you want to watch the video of that episode,
it is going to be on youtube.com slash Bill Simmons
at some point on Wednesday.
I will see you on this feed on Thursday.
Go Suns. Wednesday. I will see you on this feed on Thursday. Go.
Go.
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Go. Go. Go. Go. Go. Go. Go. Go. Go. Go. Go. Go. Go. On the wayside On the first side of the road
I don't have to ever forget