The Bill Simmons Podcast - Sleeping on Jokic, Marveling at Phoenix, and Wondering About Porzingis With Bob Voulgaris
Episode Date: February 18, 2022The Ringer’s Bill Simmons is joined by Haralabos Voulgaris to discuss the Mavericks moving on from Kristaps Porzingis, the scary Suns, how NBA team building has changed in the last two decades, the ...Jazz, speculation on the 76ers and Nets after the Harden-Simmons trade, another MVP caliber season from Nikola Jokic, a possibly wild Round 1 of the NBA playoffs, BitCoin, NFTs, and more! Host: Bill Simmons Guest: Haralabos Voulgaris Producer: Kyle Crichton Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
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Coming up on the BS podcast, we're going to be talking about the NHL regular season and
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We're going to talk NBA.
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all-star bets for you coming up on this podcast. Harala Bob Valgaris, aka Bob Valgaris, aka H-Bob, H-K-A, one of my favorite NBA guests.
He is coming up. We'll talk trade deadline, playoff predictions, why Dallas got rid of
Porzingis, Ken Harden saved the Sixers, all kinds of stuff. It's all next. First,
our friends from Progen.
All right.
My friend Bob Valgaris is here.
He came on, I think, before one of the holidays.
And then he just goes.
He's just off.
I don't know where he goes.
He does stuff, travels, has this great life.
Then comes back and immerses himself into the NBA season again.
This is your first trade deadline.
You weren't working for a team in a couple of years, right?
Yeah, correct.
Easier.
Yeah, easier for you probably on betting.
Yeah, I mean, I think the last few deadlines are pretty tame, if I remember correctly,
for us, for the Mavericks.
Yeah, I think they were.
Yeah, and of course,
there was the one three years ago.
That was pretty surprising.
So what was your biggest surprise from the trade deadline, just going backwards? Was it the Halliburton trade? Was it that they pulled off the Harden trade or that somebody didn't make a trade, I think that was a little bit surprising just because I guess they're just trying to run it back. But if you look at their roster,
there's not a whole lot they can do.
I mean, there really isn't.
I mean, unless you can find someone
who wants to take Westbrook or something like that,
there's probably not a deal to be had.
A lot of their contracts are either too small
or really big, so it can be difficult.
I think, yeah, the Sacramento-Indiana trade
I think was pretty surprising.
Although understandable, I guess, from both teams' perspectives.
And then, of course, the Mavericks trade was pretty shocking, I think.
Yeah, let's start with that because you used to work for the Mavericks.
But more importantly, the Porzingis piece of it.
Because to me, it just seemed like they were kind of just getting out of the Porzingis piece of it yet. Because to me, it just seemed like they were kind of
just getting out of the Porzingis business
and taking what they could get
and that maybe they just didn't trust him
physically anymore.
And that if you could turn him
into two smaller contracts,
hope that Bertans made a miraculous comeback
into the shooter he was three years ago.
Then Dinwiddie gives them
at least a backup guard
who could do some stuff.
To them, that was just more palatable
than rolling the dice with Porzingis
for even three more months.
It just seemed like they wanted out.
Yeah, I think there's definitely,
I mean, you kind of nailed it.
It's certainly a lot easier
to trade one smaller contract
and two smaller contracts
than one big contract.
I mean, I don't know.
A lot of people are saying
this Berton's contract is one of the worst contracts in the NBA.. I don't know. A lot of people are saying this Bertrand's contract is one of the worst
contracts in the NBA. I just don't
see it. I don't see how it's a bad contract.
He's only getting $16 million a year.
Last year of his deal, I think, is only partially
guaranteed for $5 million or something.
And then, yeah.
Then there's also... You even mentioned it. If he can get
back to be the shooter he was three years ago, well...
I mean, he really has shot well
every year with the exception of this year. It's not yeah he shot 40 i believe last year so he doesn't have
to get back to the guy he was three years ago he just has to get back to the guy he was before
this year and i think like when you're primarily a three-point shooter as as teams have witnessed i
mean the variance if you're shooting almost all your attempts from three there's going to be
massive variance in like a 30 or 40 game sample so um yeah, I don't know. For me, I think they... As an outsider, I think part of it is they want
to retain Dorian Finney-Smith. They want to retain him and also, I guess, be able to offer
Jalen Brunson a contract in free agency. And so doing that and having the KP contract on the books made that
difficult. And now I guess they figure they can pivot with these two smaller contracts.
They can make a decision in the summer whether they want to keep Dinwiddie or move Dinwiddie or
sign Brunson or not sign Brunson. They'll have a lot more information, a lot more flexibility, I guess.
And I think that's probably a more measured approach
than what they've done in the past,
which is kind of just like impulsively make things happen
and try to quickly cobble together a team
without really being too thoughtful
on what we're looking at three, four years down the road.
Well, it seems like the team they have now is just
space for Luka, right?
The last obstacle to that was
Porzingis and
trying to always have to shoehorn and get his
touches and run the
Porzingis post plays. Now you just don't have
to worry about that anymore. Yeah, it just
frees you up a little bit more. I mean,
look, the part that people don't really
talk about enough,
I think, is that he has been compromised physically
for a number of years now.
And especially last year, he wasn't 100%.
I think that seems obvious.
This year, he seems to be much better,
but then he ran into another injury.
He's constantly had bad injury luck.
And so hopefully that turns for him at some point down the line.
But it just wasn't really like,
if you look at the team that they're,
I don't know the idea that,
that,
that,
that he was going to be the running mate for Luca.
I didn't really ever,
I don't know.
I mean,
it just,
the deal happened,
the rookie,
the all-star break of,
of Luca's rookie season.
You didn't even really know what you had in Luca at that point.
You know,
why are you,
why are you rushing to,
to pair him with another player?
But yeah, they're moving on from it.
I mean, the team is playing well.
They're defending at a very, very high level.
If you watch them play,
they seem to be a lot better
than they have in years past.
And so that's definitely a bonus
for the coaching staff,
which I think a lot of people were mocking
the head coach decision that they made.
And now it seems to be,
the team certainly is playing better.
So there's that. I'm taking the loss on the Porzingis trade, the original one to
Dallas. Cause I was a huge fan of his. I think the part I underestimated was he just never recovered
from that knee injury, which I think, I think as I try to, you know, I'd like to think I'm still
getting smarter about basketball, even as I get older. But I think one of try to, you know, I'd like to think I'm still getting smarter about basketball,
even as I get older. But I think one of the things I would really worry about,
and maybe I wasn't worried about it enough, is just when you have these super tall guys,
when they have that first really bad injury, I think, you know, we've seen it just in general
with Yao and with Ralph Sampson and Arvita Sabonis and these big ass dudes.
Now Embiid is kind of an outlier, right?
Cause Embiid has been able to play 75 to 80% of his games and he seems like
he's in good shape.
Recently he wasn't able to before. I mean, yeah, I mean, there's,
there's the frame on Embiid's a lot thicker. He's a lot, you know,
he's a lot bigger. I mean, that might,
that might have some negatives down the road. I don't know, man.
I think there's so few players that are that tall to draw conclusions from, I mean, that might have some negatives down the road. I don't know, man.
I think there's so few players that are that tall to draw conclusions from.
But there has been a...
It does look like players that are taller don't last as long.
They're not durable.
But yeah, I mean, I don't know.
I didn't have any involvement in the trade itself, but I did.
It was either one of, if not the number one restricted free agent that I wanted to look
at the next year.
And so that was my input on the deal.
I think I sent an email a couple weeks or maybe a month beforehand, just ranking the
restricted free agents that were coming up.
And he was up there near the top.
And then I wake up one day and we've got Fort Zegnas on the roster, which is exciting.
I definitely wasn't disappointed when it happened. I think there's a couple of things you can look at. One,
it's a huge contract. You better be sure that you can fit together.
The other thing is that I didn't understand, and then this will be the last little bit. I think we
can talk about this. But the part that I don't understand is what was the... People haven't
really talked about it. What was the need to sign them to a five-year deal? You had his whole point
of making the trade is to have his restricted free agent rights.
He's got injury concerns. Sign him to a four-year deal. Maybe if he agrees to a team option,
probably not. I don't know. But just the idea that I get that you want to show appreciation
and give them a five-year contract, but that became the most difficult part because that
fifth year fully guaranteed for a player who has injury history is just
I mean kudos to the ownership for wanting
to stand up and
do well by their players but
it didn't seem like it made sense
no one else could offer them five years if we
were just kind of competing against ourselves
in that regard but you know
it's kind of what happened. It's interesting
because Phoenix was in a similar situation
with DeAndre Ayton right last before the season started and they decided to punt on it until the summer.
Sure. And I think I'm not the only one who heard there were whispers of,
I don't think they were trying to trade him before the deadline, but I don't, I don't think they were
slamming the phone down. And in general, in general, it, it, it raised flags for me because yeah. And yeah,
I like the bridges extension more than you, but you basically have three and a half max guys.
If you're going to give eight and an extension, if you include Paul and you include Booker,
and we've just seen that we've never seen that Phoenix owner ever want to spend that kind of
money. So in general, them shoving off that decision to next summer,
them not extending Jalen Smith for a third-year option,
that's like just a no-brainer.
Like, hey,
you never don't renew
the third-year option
unless the guy has
like legitimate issues.
Yeah.
And it just,
it stinks to me
of cost-saving,
which is why I think,
like I really wonder,
like could this be
the last season
we see with this
fantastic Phoenix team with all those pieces in place? Maybe I'm wrong, but I think, like, I really wonder, like, could this be the last season we see with this fantastic
Phoenix team with all those pieces in place? Maybe I'm wrong, but I think there's at least
a slim chance that next year's team will look different. Yeah, definitely possible. I mean,
I don't know where you got the, just on Bridges. I love the Bridges deal. I don't have any problem
with the Bridges deal. I've always been a Mikkel Bridges guy, even back to when he was in college.
So, yeah. I don't know.
I got it from our text
because we were arguing about it.
No, I don't know.
I definitely didn't say that
they paid too much for him. I just thought
the timing of it wasn't necessarily
ideal.
But there's...
Whether the team will be able to
be the same team next year who knows i mean chris paul is also still getting it up there in age i
think the thing about centers is like a guy like obviously aiden's very valuable to them
is do you want to lock up a lot of money on centers when as you mentioned like the wings are the real
value in the league like if you just need a bunch wings. A lot of teams are going down. There's very few
teams that need, or very few
opponents that require a big
center to combat. Embiid's probably
and Jokic, those are the two guys
that you have to game plan for
as centers. The rest are just kind of like
the difference between a guy making $25-30 million
versus a guy making the mid-level
at the center position. There's not a whole lot of difference.
So it's, do you really want to invest that much money in bigs
unless they're absolutely dominant offensively or defensively?
You and I agree on this.
It seems like, I think that's one of the ways
the league has changed dramatically in the last eight years
where the center, just the salary for the average decent center
has just cratered.
Because the days of the Roy Hibbert Eastern Finals, those days are long gone.
You don't really need more than two centers on your roster.
You can't really play more than one big guy at a time.
The only team that really has been able to pull it off this year has been Cleveland.
So when the Celtics signed Robert Williams to their extension, which I think was like
four years, 48.
And I was like, Jesus, this guy can't stay on the court.
And we're overpaying for that position.
And I was dead wrong.
He made a huge leap this year and he's been a really valuable asset at, I think it's 12
million a year.
It's an absolute bargain.
But then there's many other cases where you're like, oh my God, that guy it's 12 million a year. Like it's an absolute bargain. But then there's many other cases
where you're like, oh my God,
that guy's making 12, that guy's making 15.
It's rough, it's a tough one.
I think there's like a thought that
centers are kind of like the running back of the NBA
where you could just, you don't need to pay a lot
for a running back.
You could just get a run of the mill running back.
I think that's kind of the thinking.
I think also the prevalence of the three-point shooting
and more space. I mean, I think in the past, there was almost just like a rule
that was like kind of unspoken. People just kind of went because it was just kind of consensus.
This is how we do things. Oh, we need to have up center. Like, oh, Kendrick Perkins has to start.
We got to play. We're Oklahoma City. We got to play Kendrick Perkins. They're starting.
Jane Battier, well, we still have to start Kendrick Perkins, right? Isn't there a rule that says that we have to start like the biggest guy on our team got to play Kendrick Perkins. They're starting Shane Battier. Well, we still have to start Kendrick Perkins. Isn't there a rule that says that we have to start
the biggest guy on our team has to play?
I think basketball was always that way.
You had the
big center battles back in the day
like Patrick Ewing, Mutombo,
Olajuwon. There was a lot more skill at the center
position. Now,
it seems like they're much more rarer
to find a center come in and be
super, super skilled. Like Embiid,
when he first came into the league,
was pretty raw, but he was still quite skilled.
Now he's perfected the craft
or on his way to perfecting
the craft of offensive game,
drop steps,
drawing free throws. But guys like
that are very rare. I mean, there's
two in the league probably,
and the rest are all just run
of the mill centers. What's funny is there's really three because I don't think we consider
Giannis the center, but he's the center. Yeah, but he's a ball handling. Yeah. No, I get it. But
he's like, technically he's the center. He's a 2022 center, but nobody thinks of him that way.
But yet if you look at his stats compared to 1999-2000 Shaq,
it's pretty similar all the way across
the board. Yeah, that's the point we're making
where you don't need a center
where you toss the ball into him in the post.
Basically, a center who's not bringing the ball up the court,
who's not initiating offense. And even
Jokic is kind of like... Jokic isn't
even really a center when you look at it that way either.
He's like the point guard. He's like a point forward.
So it's pretty rare to have
a guy who just... Gobert
is really the exception to the
rule of players getting paid that
are just sent. Gobert doesn't
really do a whole lot on offense. Sets screens, rebounds,
and defends, and that's
it. You could argue that his contract
is
probably one of the few ones
that's kind of payable
because of his defensive impact.
I want to go back to Gobert in a second
because I had an additional thing on him.
But we're talking about, so Porzingis,
and I think that extension was like 2018.
It was right at the tail end of when the concept of a center,
I think, was still pretty seductive.
And in his case, like, oh my God, he's basically the greatest stretch five we ever could have
created.
On the one end, he can space the floor.
And on the other end, he can actually be your defensive anchor on paper, right?
But at the same time, the league is changing and Dallas is caught up in this no man's land
where the league hasn't totally changed yet. but you can kind of feel it's changing. So I can't fault the thinking of
the Porzingis thing. Cause I was right there with it from what we saw at the Knicks. What's
interesting though, is I think everyone points to the Hibbert series, including me, like those
two Hibbert series, like, Oh my God. Then the next year, Atlanta played them off the floor and
everything was different. The 2008 Celtics. and I knew you were gambling during this point,
but they would play these big lineups like you were talking about because that's what
we're supposed to do. You play Big Baby and Perk together and you play
Leon Poe and KG and Perk and all three of them would be
out there. The best lineup they always had was when they
went small. They finally, in the the Lakers comeback game in game four, they said, fuck it. And it was like Garnett Pierce and shooters, right? It was Garnett Pierce, Allen, Eddie house, James Posey. And they're like running the Lakers off the floor. And then next game, it's like, nope, got to play Leon Poe again, more big baby. And it was like, the answer was the recipe was right there the whole time and that now i look
back at that 08 Celtics team i'm like that was like could have been one of the better small
ball teams because they had all the pieces for it but i don't think people realize what it was
in the moment i guess is my point yeah i think the other team that people talk about is or is
the magic who just had i mean they had a right oh nine right yeah but it was but it was just
dwight the shooters basically like richard le Lewis was the four, and that was like such
oh my god, we're playing a non-traditional
back-to-the-basket four.
What is going on here?
Turkey Lewis playmaking
and what is this? 6-9
point forward. I think the
2010 finals was the last
old-school finals. I think you could make a
clear demarcation
from that finals
and then everything afterwards for, like,
look at that 11 Dallas team that won.
And look at that Miami team that was basically
boshed at center effectively, right?
It's just the league shifts.
Their opponent was rolling out a Baca in Perkins.
So it wasn't like, I think.
True.
Yeah.
I mean, I think Miami, I don't know if that was the
I believe that was the year
they played
Oklahoma City
but that was
that was 2012
it was Miami Dallas
then the 2012
was Miami OKC
I'm just wondering
was that the year
Bosh got hurt or not
I can't remember if that was the year
Bosh got hurt
I believe so
and that kind of forced them
to go small
and then they kind of realized
like oh how good are we now
that we're small
that was 13 That was when they
took their, they had their winning streak and all
that stuff when they basically
the 13 Heat, I think, are the
first team that really mastered small ball.
At least during the regular season where
they were like, look at this. Nobody can
match up with this. And now...
What about the Phoenix Suns, the run and gun Phoenix
Suns? They might have mastered small ball,
right? I mean, we forgot about them.
Well, they would still,
like, they would shoehorn
the Oliver Miller
20 minutes in
and the stuff like that.
No, no.
You're talking about
the Barnaby team or after?
No, I'm talking about
the seven seconds
or less Amari Stoudemire.
Oh, the six Suns.
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
Bors Diel's center
when Stoudemire went injured.
Remember, Bors Diel
was their center for a while.
Sean Marion was up before.
So that was probably the first one, I think, looking back.
I enjoyed that team.
That team was fun.
I remember, yeah.
Yeah, that was a fun team.
They were...
It's funny because looking back,
they didn't even really shoot that many threes
or play that fast relative to what's happening right now.
Like right now, I think they would be
in the bottom third of the league in pace.
I looked this up.
I think they'd be, at least for threes, they'd be like last.
Yeah.
I think like every team now shoots more threes than the 2007 Suns.
Yeah.
That makes sense.
Yeah.
There's, it's interesting.
I mean, the three-point stuff has just gotten bananas at this point, but it makes sense.
I mean, it's basically like a cheat code.
You know, I don't know if you play video games, but if you've ever played video games, like
they do patches to update like flaws.
Oh, yeah.
So like they would have nerfed
the three-point shot
like a long time ago
if it was a video game.
They'd be like,
oh yeah, this is just too overpowered.
We got to take this out of the game.
It was a video game
because it's just too,
it's just too much of a cheat code.
But it's interesting
to see the teams go that way.
I want to keep talking about this.
We're taking a quick break.
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and conditions apply visit amex.ca slash business platinum coming back we're talking about like team
building what it's like now versus 2000s the spurs it's so funny how they had all the pieces
to have this like incredible dominant small ball team in the entire 2000s, right? With Duncan.
And if Duncan, Manu and Parker by 2004. And at that point, all they had to do was just add
shooters and maybe like a hybrid three, four kind of thad young body type guy, and maybe a backup
center who could play like 10 minutes a game. And that's it. But you weren't thinking about that
back then. Right. But, but on paper, all they had to do
was just keep adding shooters.
I guess they tried with Richard Jefferson.
He just didn't play well there.
But it's fun to look back at some of those teams
and be like, oh, if they had all the information
we have now, what would have been,
you know, their one or two moves?
Because they just wasn't the mentality back then.
Yeah.
Back then it was harder to find shooters too.
I mean, you'd had guys who could shoot,
but couldn't do anything else.
Right.
Or you had guys who could defend
and you could turn them into like a decent,
like maybe a corner three-pointer.
Like Bruce Bowen was a good example of that.
They couldn't shoot free throws,
but could shoot corner threes.
Couldn't shoot above the break threes,
but could shoot corner threes.
And so there's guys like that.
And then there was the guys that were like,
you know, the Matt Carrolls
who were really good shooters,
but couldn't defend at all or anything like that. And then there was the guys that were like, you know, the Matt Carroll's who are really good shooters, but couldn't defend at all or anything like that.
They're literally just shooters.
So yeah.
The team that I really like where the leagues is now,
where the league is now,
because there's so many different kinds of styles and types of teams.
I was worried like two years ago that we were just going to turn into this
league that just everybody was doing the same thing and everybody was going to
shoot 35 threes a game.
And it all kind of depended on how good your guy was one-on-one in the last
minute. But I don't feel that way.
I actually think there's a lot of different styles and teams.
And I think that's why a lot of us have gravitated to watching Memphis and
Cleveland and Phoenix. And there's just weird teams in a good way. I went to Utah Lakers last
night. I took my son and all his friends and it was a pretty boring game for three quarters.
And then the fourth quarter, LeBron, Aaron Donald was sitting courtside on the side LeBron was
shooting on the fourth quarter. And LeBron, because he's one of the best ever, he started
feeding off Aaron Donald
and just destroys the Jazz.
But it was the same predicament
the Jazz have over and over again, right?
Where the team went small,
Gobert's kind of on an island,
Gobert's coming out, challenging LeBron,
and LeBron's just either shooting threes over him,
taking the basket.
And it's like rinse, lather, repeat with the Jazz
where they have these leads
and they can't, once the team does like this,
all right, we'll try this.
And then it actually works.
If you're running the jazz, what would you do?
Because I don't think they have any chance
of winning the title,
but the trade deadline passed.
I just don't like their nucleus.
I think they're slow on the perimeter.
You could feel it last night.
And I just, I don't see it.
Am I missing something? No, I mean, but there's very few. You could feel it last night. And I just, I don't see it. Am I missing something?
No, I mean, but there's very few teams
that have a chance to win the title to begin with.
I don't know.
I do think like people have kind of latched on this idea
that Gobert gets played off the floor in the playoffs.
And if you go back and look at the data,
it's like not actually that accurate.
They have performed better with him on the floor
for the most part.
There's always stretches where it looks
like he's struggling, where he's getting ISO'd up
versus the guard. But overall, their
defense is better with him on the court. Their offense
is better with them largely on the court in the playoffs.
It's just they're playing teams
that are very skilled
and
are tough matchups for them, or they've had
injury problems also.
I don't know. I don't know what I would do if I were them.
I mean, these teams are
at such disadvantages because
nobody's like,
oh yeah, I can't wait to go
get off my rookie deal so I can go sign in Utah.
Right.
And the other side of that is it's really hard
to keep your players too. So they
had to make a decision. Do they want to not sign Gobert?
Are they ever going to get a player as good as Gobert in free agency? Probably not. Are they going to make a decision. Do they want to not sign Gobert? Are they ever going to get a player
as good as Gobert in free agency?
Probably not.
Are they going to be able
to get one in the draft?
Maybe, but they're not
in the tanking situation.
So they're going to have to get
super, super lucky with a later pick.
I don't know.
I wouldn't really,
I mean, the part that I didn't get
is I wasn't a huge fan
of letting go of Ingles.
That to me, I think Ingles
is like a valuable player for them.
Well, but he was out for the year
though.
True.
You mean like for next year?
Yeah. I mean, I guess
my point is I don't
get the idea of
I don't know, what is your goal exactly?
Your goal is to get better this year and not worry about it?
Do they really think they have a chance to compete this year?
I don't know.
I mean, it seems difficult.
They, yeah.
The West is kind of like,
I mean, there's like a couple,
there's two or three teams in the West
that have a legitimate chance, it seems,
and the rest are just kind of like
fighting for a hot streak or get lucky.
I don't know.
It's tricky.
Yeah.
I mean, I guess looking back,
he was injured, so it makes sense.
But they don't get to It's tricky. I guess looking back, he was injured, so it makes sense. But it's the lack of his career.
But they don't get to pocket him for next season.
I guess for what they got, they got Alexander Walker, whatever.
Yeah, I'm not really too familiar with...
I haven't spent a ton of time researching
Mikel Alexander Walker's game.
Some of the ratings are decent.
He seems okay.
A lot of the players in New Orleans, I think, were unfairly,
or not unfairly, but were difficult to kind of judge based on,
if you look at a lot of their individual players' defensive numbers,
for instance, were awful the Van Gundy years.
Yeah.
Because their strategy was just counter to what a lot of teams
were doing in the league.
And so their defensive rating numbers for a lot of these players
took a hit because of their strategy.
So he's a guy that might be difficult
to evaluate with that when you think of that.
Well, that would have been my strategy
if I was ever a GM,
is just target the teams that are a complete mess.
You target that, but you also target the GMs
who are trying to save their job,
who are panicking to make deals
because they have to, you know,
that's where there's a huge disconnect
between a person who's a general manager of a team who's looking to just get another contract,
stay employed. He's not really thinking about the future of the franchise. He's not like a steward
of the franchise. That's where it's really... And there's... I'm not gonna... But there's definitely
been a bunch of instances like that in the last three or four years where guys have just panicked
and made all these deals to blow cap space of their like that in the last three or four years where guys have just panicked and made all these deals
to bloat cap space of their teams,
mortgage the future. Not
necessary to win now, but just to be good
enough so that I can keep my job or make a
big splashy trade to save my job. It's
really interesting. So those would be the guys I would
target and as well as the teams that are trying to shed
salary that aren't really run very well.
I feel like I've been writing
about those GMs and talking about them
on this podcast really for the last two decades. It's the guy who is like in fuck it mode is the
most dangerous person to an NBA franchise. The guy who's like, hey, if this doesn't work,
I'm getting fired anyway. And that leads to trading for CJ McCollum, who's going to make $33 million next year.
I like CJ McCollum,
but you do those trades when it's like,
if this doesn't work,
I'm not going to have a job next year.
I'm talking to David Griffin.
But those are...
It's almost like a Hail Mary trade.
That one...
Hail Mary trade, yeah.
Yeah, that one...
Look, I like Josh...
Not that one specifically, but the idea...
Yeah, you know what I mean.
You make a trade that's just like,
well, let's hope this works, otherwise we're not going to be here. It's funny because you don't know about that one specifically, but the idea that you make a trade that's just like, well, let's hope this works. Otherwise, we're not going to be here. It's funny because you
don't really think about how difficult these jobs are to get and how much they get paid and how
reasonably rational it is to think that way as a normal human being who's thinking about their
own autonomy. Like, yeah, I want to keep this job that pays me between $3 million to $10 million a
year. Why wouldn't I? But from an outsider's perspective, you're not necessarily doing the job you're supposed to do,
which is benefit the team you're employed by. And I'm not saying that Brad Stevens is like this,
but the Celtics, I really like the Derek White trade because I like Derek White. He's in the
right spots. He knows how to play.
He's fun to play with.
I get it.
And he's had an impact on this team right away.
But when we did our whole three-hour trade deadline pod,
we didn't realize there was this caveat where they did this top one protected pick swap in 2028 with San Antonio.
And my dad texted me and he's like,
did you know that my dad hates me and he's like, did you know about, like, my dad hates
pick swaps more than anything, especially because we were on the other side of one with the Joe
John, with the, uh, Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce straight. He says, you know, we give up a pit
and I'm looking it up. I'm like, that can't be true, but they did. And it's six years from now.
And it's like the cynical side of me is I think Brad Stevens has done actually a pretty good job
so far revamping this team. But the cynical side of me is like, his Brad Stevens has done actually a pretty good job so far revamping this team. But the cynical
side of me is like, his kids are going to be grown up
in six years. He's probably going to be coaching
either some awesome NBA team
or the Celtics, or maybe he's coaching
Duke or North Carolina. Like, what does he care
about a pick-swap six years from now?
And I just, I never would have done it. I never
would have included that. Now the argument
would be, well, we never would have gotten Derek White.
I'm like, are we sure?
We sure that the Spurs would have held the fort
on not trading Derek White?
If the pick swap was in there?
The Spurs do not historically make in-season trades.
So maybe that's what they needed to get the deal done.
Who knows?
It's very tough to know.
That's one thing I think is fine is interesting
is like especially spending time in a front office
and knowing what's happening and then being on the outside and reading what's supposedly happening
is just like how you know how much misinformation grasping at straws you have in the media stuff
that's planted so who knows yeah we will never know what you know what with if the Spurs would
have done it or they wouldn't they only a few people know that. That's probably the people in Spurs' front office.
But Derek Wright is a very, very, very valuable player
in terms of his numbers are very...
His ratings on our system are very good.
He does all the little things.
He's very good defensively.
Hasn't even shot particularly well from three,
but yet is still a positive influence
because he doesn't take a ton of bad shots.
Doesn't really...
He's always in the right place.
Doesn't need to use a ton of possessions.
And then where he really shines is defensively.
His defensive numbers are,
are,
are quite good.
He's one of the better defensive guards by our numbers in the league.
He's a classic.
He's a classic knows how to play basketball guy.
They had to play like the first game.
He just shows up right before the game.
He plays like 30 minutes and he has this one play where he gets thrown the ball on the left.
Tatum gives it up. White
gets it. He drives, which is the right move. He draws like three people over.
Kicks it back out on the right side, but then keeps moving.
Comes back for the three and then gets it back. He made
three really smart plays with movement,
which if you'd watched the Celtics the last couple of years,
it wasn't exactly a movement friendly team and stuff like that.
Start then other guys start moving. And you know,
I do think it's infectious, but pick swaps, man,
to me it's like top three.
How about top three protected for the pick swap? And that's it.
Or I'm hanging up.
But I actually, you know, of course, the Celtics smart gets hurt.
Williams gets hurt right when things are looking awesome.
But I was becoming a believer because the defense was there.
And you look at, it wasn't just the winning streak.
It was since December 31st.
The defense was the best defense in the league.
The defense was awful at the start of the season
because they were switching everything.
The players didn't know what they were doing.
It took a while for them to kind of figure it out.
And then now they've kind of figured it out.
They are the most switch-heavy team defensively in the NBA.
So it makes sense that they want to trade for a guard
who can guard up a few positions
because he's going to be guarding in switches.
So I can see why they made that deal for him.
I think he'll help their defense,
but yeah,
they're,
they're an outlier in terms of how much they switch relative to the rest of
the league.
You can also switch if you have white and smart and Tatum and Brown out there
all at the same time,
you can basically switch on everything in the perimeter.
And the big thing that happened this year was Rob Williams,
who was a disaster.
Anytime he got switched,
right.
He was always two seconds late on whatever three was coming. This year he's been pretty good. So now
I just think they're hard to play if they can get everyone healthy. And I gotta be honest, like
I don't see anyone in the East that I'm terrified of. I would say Milwaukee is, would be if gone to
my head, the pick I would want Miami is kind of the sleeper just because I want to see what they look
like when Lowry is finally healthy and looking good for a month.
Now, he's also old.
We may never see that.
But if we can see a stretch from Lowry that he really looks like Lowry again, I think
they have to be taken seriously.
I don't feel nearly as strongly about Philly and Brooklyn.
And the more I look at the Philly deal,
and especially like losing Curry in that thing too,
who was one of the few people that gave them a little movement
and a little unpredictability.
And now I just feel like, I think they're going to,
as weird as this sounds, going to be pretty predictable offensively.
And I'm not sure that deal is going to work.
That predictability is not necessarily a downside. I mean, if you're
like, I don't think you have to be unpredictable
if you have a guy who can, they're going to
draw so many free throws. That's a part
I think that people are
going to be living at the free throw line. And that has a
bunch of different knock-on effects. It reduces
the, if you're playing a team that doesn't have a lot
of depth, those players are going to be in foul trouble.
They're a tough, tough
team to match up with because you need to play a big to guard and bead. So now you've got to alter your game
panel a little bit. There's very few teams that are comfortable playing a big at all times.
I don't know. It's hard to say. Who knows how they'll actually fit together.
There's this idea that Harden really needs a
rim running or a five-out
type of scheme to be successful
because that's how he's been successful in the past.
But I'm sure
he can adjust his game.
The one thing I think will be interesting is how
much they stagger those two because that
will be fun.
Being able to just have an Embiid
squad and then a Harden squad with space
around him. They don't have a ton of shooting, unfortunately, after they gave up Curry.
But I don't know. I think you have to make that deal. I think both teams benefited from that deal.
I mean, I think where Philadelphia was a little bit disappointed was I think they thought there
was a chance they could keep Simmons and then also get him in, recoup
whatever organizational failures they've had and relationship issues that they had with
him and the team.
I think they thought, well, if we can get this right and then sign Harden in the off
season, somehow they can find a buyer for some contracts.
That's what they wanted to do because I think they thought they were going to get Harden
in the off season anyways.
They have to shed some salary, but I'm sure they would
be able to make it happen. And then now they have to actually give up Simmons or do two separate
deals and get hardened for free. I think they just decided to do it now, get it over and done with.
Yeah. Who knows? It's tricky. They're going to be tough. They're going to be tough. I think
they'll be the biggest variance. The spread between how good
they'll be and how bad they'll be is massive because
it's just super unpredictable.
I think you can make the same case for Brooklyn.
I think both those teams are just going
to be super interesting to watch down the stretch
because nobody
can really accurately say how it's going to
play out. I think people can guess, but it's going to
be really tough to call. I think Brooklyn
is going to be good. I think people can guess, but it's going to be really tough to call. I think Brooklyn, I think Brooklyn is going to be good. I think Brooklyn, uh, adding Simmons
defensively is huge. Um, they can play it, you know, they can play them as a primary.
He doesn't need to take shots. They've got guys who can shoot. They've got Durant who's,
you know, as good as it gets offensively, literally. And so, yeah, it'll be, um,
it'll be interesting to watch.
I mean, I think
they have a chance.
I mean, who knows?
Also, they might,
at some point down
the road, Kyrie
might be able to
play home games.
Again, I know
they've talked,
the mayor's talked
a little bit about
being conflicted there.
If that happens now,
that's a completely
different situation.
The fact that he
can't not to get on
is absurd to me,
that a visiting player
who's unvaccinated
can play in Brooklyn.
It's been done the whole time.
Honestly.
They realize it.
So maybe that'll change.
Maybe it won't.
But yeah, I think it'll be fun.
Both those teams,
to answer your question,
who's the wild...
I mean, in the East,
Miami's pretty old,
but they're going to be tough
in the playoffs.
Milwaukee seems to be the team to beat.
But we'll find out. The East is going to
be lit. That's going to be the playoffs that everyone's
going to want to watch, I think.
It's so funny.
It flipped. I think with Philly and Brooklyn, the more
I've been looking at it,
when you talk about the variance,
the two things for Philly
for me are,
is Embiid, am I getting him 100%
or 95% the rest of the way? Because that's a lot to
ask. He's missed a lot of games over the years and he'll disappear for two weeks and whatever.
He's been pretty healthy this year and he seems like he's in good shape. But then you have the
heart and peace where he's had issues with his legs the last two years. He's getting older. We
know about his lifestyle, which has been reported about in multiple places. And he's had issues with his legs the last two years. He's getting older. We know about his lifestyle, which has been reported about in multiple places.
And he's hitting that age where,
you know, we've seen guys kind of go sideways.
We saw it.
Iverson's the worst case example of this,
but Iverson went from 27 a game
till he was out of the league in two years, you know?
And so I wonder about the durability of those two guys,
which is weird to worry about Harden's durability
when he played like every game for 10 years. But the durability of those two guys, which is weird to worry about Harden's durability when he played like every
game for 10 years,
but the durability of those guys going through four playoff rounds.
Iverson had some off the court stuff that probably impacted him.
I know he did.
I'm aware,
but I'm not sure Harden doesn't.
Well,
I mean,
the Iverson stuff was,
I think a lot different than Harden just likes to go out.
I don't think Harden's like,
yeah, it's not certainly not.
I know what you're saying.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
The Brooklyn piece,
it's just people are now penciling Ben Simmons
into being the Ben Simmons that we saw
before he melted down in the playoffs.
And I would just like to see it.
I'd like to see it for a few weeks.
I would like to see him shoot free throws
in a one-point
game in a minute left on the road.
I would like to see how he handles
booing in different places.
I think people overreact.
I don't think he did himself any favors.
People definitely overreacted
to that playoff
series.
And just assume that that's who he is.
I mean, I don't know like yes he passed
that shot at the last whatever and and could have went up got fouled shot free throws or could try
to make the layup when he passed out of it that was obviously bad detrimental to his team but just
kind of shows you the kind of world we live in where every little move gets micromanaged and
talks about for years like that happened last year's playoffs. People forget that...
I don't know.
I mean, he was a decent...
He hasn't been this his whole career.
He was an okay free throw shooter
earlier on in his career.
It's not like free throw shooting
is this magical thing
that's so difficult to do.
Do I think he'll ever be a three-point shooter?
Probably not.
But he hasn't done himself any favors
by the way he's refused
to acknowledge the weaknesses in his game and improve upon them. he hasn't done himself any favors by the way he's refused to
kind of acknowledge the weaknesses in his game
and improve upon them
but I think people are giving him too
difficult a time here to think that he's just
you know his mental state
is now mind you
he has claimed that he's
part of the reason why he can't play is because of his mental state
so that's fair that people are saying that but I don't think
he's like just a perennial choker.
I don't think he's a guy who was just going to choke for the rest of his
life.
Right.
I mean,
people get better,
they improve.
Um,
it'll be interesting to see.
He's still very young.
It's a different situation,
different environment.
It can't be fun to have your coach talk about you the way that happened
right immediately after a loss that couldn't have been fun.
And he barely said anything.
He said,
I don't know.
It's hard because you lose these games and then you're forced to go and
talk about how you lost in front of everybody.
I get that. But if someone says, do you think he could win
a championship or do you think he's a player you can build around
or whatever the question was, can you win a championship
with Ben Simmons?
I don't know right now.
It just seems like such a weird...
It was just such a passive...
And maybe he didn't mean to be in that way.
It just seemed like such a passive-aggressive dig
at a player who just had probably the lowest point of his career.
And maybe...
Yeah.
Maybe, I don't know.
Maybe there's more to it.
Maybe he was a jerk all year and there's a reason for it,
but it definitely spun the situation in such a way where it became,
um,
untenable.
So I'm glad both teams were able to move on and,
and,
and kind of,
you know,
get,
you know,
he's,
he's in a different spot now.
He's got to play with completely different vibe,
different team.
It'll be interesting to watch.
I don't know if it was worth sacrificing $20 million
because your coach kind of hurt your feelings.
Well, maybe not.
Maybe he doesn't care about money.
I mean, maybe he thinks he's going to get the money back.
Listen, if I'm 25 years old and I'm still trying to get better,
I don't know how it helps me not to play basketball.
Nobody will ever convince me otherwise that that's a good idea. Yeah. No, I'm definitely agreeing to get better. I don't know how it helps me not to play basketball. Nobody will ever convince me otherwise
that that's a good idea.
Yeah.
No, I'm definitely agreeing with you there.
Also,
also,
it wasn't just that he passed up the dunk.
It was the fact that
he didn't want to get from the free throw line.
He didn't want to shoot.
He didn't want to get fouled.
I watched this happen with Antoine Walker
with the Celtics
where once that gets in your head
and it starts changing how you play, that's a real
thing. That's not a funk. He didn't want
to get fouled. Who else struggled
at the free throw line and wasn't super crazy about
shooting free throws in a playoff series?
Was shooting 50%?
Giannis. People forget. They're counting
a 10.
And then in
the final game, he went like 19 to 25
or something, or 21, some ridiculous number.
So I'm not comparing Ben Simmons' work ethic to Giannis.
Obviously, Giannis is a different breed.
He's going to work. He's going to get better.
He's also probably mentally tougher.
He grew up in a pretty difficult situation.
Probably.
Yeah.
But I don't know.
I just think it's a little bit early to write a guy off who has that
talent and who is in a new situation that by all accounts should be positive i mean it's going to
be kind of a messed up situation until you got kairi this different cat for sure you've got
durant who's a very i mean it's it has a chance to go really bad i'm not gonna lie but it's gonna
be fun to watch that's for sure the red flag me, other than the fact that he just decided not to play basketball for eight
months is I just get nervous when guys don't have that maniac. If you're one of the best 15,
20 players in the league, you're making big money and you don't have that maniacal urge
to just keep getting better. Right. I think that is over and over again. If you just look at
anything about why is somebody great versus why
didn't they get there? It's the work ethic piece. And it's like, you mentioned Giannis. Giannis is
fearless. Like he, he was never afraid of a moment. He didn't care that he wasn't, he would
miss two free throws in a row in a finals game. And then he would make the next two. Like he,
he never seemed like he was scared of the moment and he really did work to keep improving and adding things to his game. And I just didn't see it from Simmons.
I didn't see him really adding anything. And I was one of his bigger fans. Cause I think
I really valued what he did defensively. And I valued his transition stuff. And, um, I thought
he was one of the best 20 players in the league. I thought Houston should have traded for him in
the hardened trade versus what they got from Brooklyn. But after last playoffs, he really has to prove it to me.
It just can't be like, I'm on a new team.
I have a new number.
Yeah, everything you said is very fair.
I mean, look, he isn't diligent.
It doesn't seem like he's added anything or much to his game since he's got things.
Yeah, are you better at shooting threes?
Are you better at shooting free throws?
Do you have a better low post game?
What are you better at than you were
in 2019? His low
post game is pretty good, I think.
He's definitely good in space.
He didn't come into the league an awful
free throw shooter. He just
didn't want to shoot threes and then the free throws were
something later on. I'm not sure what happened. Who knows?
Let's take a break. I want to
talk about Brooklyn Cooper.
Just to put a bow on Brooklyn.
So let's concede,
let's say Simmons is at least as good as he was
in the 2019 playoffs when they lost to Kawhi.
Let's say Kyrie is able to play every playoff game
and that he can somehow stay in the four.
Let's say Durant's legs are okay
and that he can get back to 95% of where he was.
Let's say Curry fits in.
Do you still like this team
to win four straight playoff rounds?
What else needs to happen?
Patty Mills, I guess, would be the fifth.
So Mills, Curry, Kyrie, Durant.
They don't have a lot of defense.
Let's just be clear.
They don't play a particularly
analytically friendly game of basketball. So they're leaving a lot of points. Let's just be clear. They don't play a particularly analytically friendly
game of basketball, so they're leaving a lot
of points on the table there. You could argue,
although they do have guys who are very good at taking the shots
that they're taking, so it might be a smooth.
Marcus Aldridge,
18 feet away from the
basket, banging away long twos. He's been pretty
good at it. Katie
obviously is the best in the world at that shot,
so that's fine.
But they don't take a ton of threes. Maybe Curry changes
that. I don't know, man.
People forget they were
an inch away from getting
to the finals last year, yeah?
Or getting to whatever
in the next round past Milwaukee. I'm sure
they would have handled it.
But we think the East is way better this year.
Whoever they play in round one
is going to be considerably better
than that Celtics team they played last year.
Yeah, probably.
I mean, the East is very tough.
I mean, do I know?
I mean, I think that they're overrated for sure
in terms of, I thought they'd been overrated all year,
even prior to the vaccine mandate stuff
that halved Kyrie's production.
But yeah, I don't see it,
but they also have guys who are...
It'll be interesting to see
because the defense will change a lot with Simmons.
Their full-court transition game will change a lot.
It'll be...
I think the argument that Harden...
I don't think Harden, Irving,
and when all three are available,
Harden, Irving, and Durant
really fit well together anyways.
It was kind of like a your turn, my turn type
thing. And none of them really defend
very well with the exception of Durant, I guess, as a
good defender. So
I think they'll be better with Simmons
than they were with
Harden. I'll say that just because of fit. I don't
think Simmons is a better player. I just think he's a better
fit. They'll defend better.
They'll have one less guy who needs the ball.
If I were a betting man,
I would probably say
the best team in the East
is still Milwaukee.
That would be me.
Until proven otherwise,
I think they are.
And then after that,
it could be
any one of a number of teams.
Chicago's pretty good too,
by the way.
I haven't even talked about
Chicago once.
They're pretty good too.
I wanted to.
Fando has Milwaukee
as the favorites
in the East
at plus 260 and
Brooklyn at plus
300, which I don't understand.
Philly's plus 330.
Miami's plus 550.
I like Miami more than the last two teams I just
mentioned. Celts are 11-1.
Chicago's 15-1, and I think it's because
15-1
seems high to me because right now Chicago's the
one seed. There's only 23 games left in the season.
Odds are they're not going to fall past the three seed
even if they lose some stuff.
But I think they'll get Caruso back.
They might get Pat Williams back.
Levine has some, they're talking about
he's getting his knee checked out, stuff like that.
But there is a world where they get all their guys back.
And plus some of the guys,
like the Ricky Poincard they have, some of the guys they get all their guys back. And plus some of the guys, like the Ricky point guard they have,
some of the guys they've had to play
in the absence of some of these other guys
have actually come through in different ways.
You know, even Kobe White.
So I'm with you.
I'm not ruling them out.
There's four and a half games
separating first in the East from the play-in.
That's pretty crazy.
That's insane.
So if it, so Toronto is 7 at 3rd.
They're 32 and 25.
We're taping this Thursday afternoon in Pacific.
Brooklyn's 8 at 31 and 27.
And they're only two wins ahead of Charlotte.
So it's probably going to be Brooklyn, Charlotte, Atlanta,
and then one of Philly, Boston, Toronto in the play-in.
And there's a really good chance Brooklyn would have to win
both playing games on the road because you
figure they're going to not be
great for at least a couple more weeks until Durant
comes back. They could be a nine
seed, something like that.
I just would not want to have all
my playoff rounds
on the road. I would not want
a situation where it's just
every round, it's like just that game
seven on the road is hanging over you. I think that's
too hard. I think it with
them, it might benefit them though, because they will
have their full roster on the road games versus the
home games unless the mandate changes, right? I mean,
to them, it might be a benefit to be on the road.
Kyrie will be able to play road games. He'll be able to
play home games. So to them, it might be
a benefit. Listen, if the mandate doesn't
change by that point, we're all in trouble because
that would just be because society is insane.
To be clear, it's just the New York mandate.
But yeah, I get it.
But then you go on the other side.
It's Phoenix and Golden State.
They're both basically 2-1 to win the West.
Memphis is 41-19.
So they're only a game and a half behind Golden State.
They're in the three spot.
They're 14-1 to win the West.
And then it drops to that Utah, Dallas, Denver, Minnesota.
It's basically three teams, in my opinion.
Dallas has a semi wild card just because of Luka.
And then Denver has a semi wild card
just because of Jokic and the Murray possibilities.
But I wanted to talk about Jokic because,
and we do this with the narrative stuff, right?
Curry was the MVP.
First of all, we're in this new cycle
where the MVP has to be decided after 10 games.
But it's Curry's the MVP.
And it's like, no, no, actually Embiid's the MVP.
First of all, Embiid and Giannis have the exact same stats.
And Giannis' team is slightly better.
But if you just look at, you just compare,
Giannis is 29-11-6
and beats 29-11-5.
Giannis is 55% shooting.
It beats 49.
Like, you go on through
and it's like they're basically even.
The outlier of this season
that it's just nobody wants to talk about
is Jokic.
Jokic is averaging 26-14-8.
He's shooting 57%.
He's a borderline 57, 40, 80 guy.
And here's who he's playing with.
Aaron Gordon, Will Barton, Monte Morris, Jeff Green, Austin Rivers, Compasso,
Brent Forbes, who just joined the team.
They're 33 and 25.
They're one game behind Philly.
To me, he's clearly the MVP
right now as we head into the All-Star break, but I think
most people have him third.
I think their record isn't quite good enough. I think you
have to be one of the... The exception of
the Westbrook year where he
averaged a triple-double.
You've pretty much got to be a top
three or whatever seed in your conference.
Philly's a five seed, so what?
Philly's a five seed and Denver's a six seed.
You riled off all those Jokic stats. The craziest stat
is that I've seen is
they're scoring 103 points per possession
with him off the floor and
118 with him on the floor.
That's like one of the biggest
differences
I've seen. I mean,
defensively, by the way, it's similar. It's like
115 with him off and 109 with him on. I mean, they are so, by the way, they're similar. It's like 115 with him off and
109 with him on. I mean, they are so much better with him on. His on-off numbers are breaking
models. I mean, it's absurd how good his on-off numbers are. And some of it is the fact that
his backups are awful. But the other part of it is, he's just such a good player. He's such a
tough player to game plan against. He's so unique. But yeah, he could be the MVP.
I think if I'm doing the MVP,
it's one of those...
But Curry, I mean, by the way,
Curry's pretty tough too.
I mean, it's like such a difficult...
It's such a difficult...
Yeah, it's such a difficult year to call it, I think.
I mean, I would say Curry, Embiid,
Giannis, Jokic.
I wouldn't really be upset with any one of those guys, really.
Maybe,
yeah, I wouldn't be upset with any one of those guys
being MVP.
The thing with Jokic,
he played the Celtics on Friday night, and he didn't have an awesome
game. The Celtics actually did a pretty good job of them,
and he still ended up with 27-10
and 9 assists, but he had 9 turnovers.
But he's replicated that the college team in March Madness that's built around the one guy.
And he just does everything.
And you're like, wow, that guy's fucking awesome.
Look at he's playing with like these cute shooters and like these little like frisky rebounders.
But like he's clearly the moment he goes out of the game, you feel like it's going to fall apart.
I can't believe,
first of all,
I've never seen a player like him in my life.
And we talked about this last year and he,
I'm not breaking any new ground.
The Oak is saying,
I can't believe how much he handles the ball this year.
I don't feel like he handled it this much.
Like he's just,
there's possessions where he gets a rebound and he doesn't even give it up
to anybody.
He just dribbles up and it's like,
he's initiated the offense.
Like he's magic Johnson or something.
Lack of Murr,
lack of Murray being around.
I mean,
Murray was never had the two man game usually with,
you know,
it could set in the screen and Murray handling the ball.
So I think no Murray has done that a little bit.
Yeah.
He's,
he's always handled the ball a lot,
but he's certainly handled it a lot more since for sure.
Yeah.
Not like this where it's almost like he's like a point center.
And he would do that from time to time last year,
but this year he just does everything for them.
Now, Embiid was doing a lot close to everything in crunch time too for Philly,
but I think the thing that's jumped out to me,
and I think we look at the same stuff
like the last five minutes,
the shots teams get
at crunch time,
what they're doing.
Like, I just think
that last five minutes
is so different
than the first 43.
Yoko just gets everything.
Be clear,
I don't look at any of those things.
No, no.
No, when you're watching basketball.
Yeah, I only watch
the last five minutes of the game.
Let's be perfectly honest now.
I'm half retired.
So to me,
I'm just flipping around through the last five minutes for sure. Yeah, no, I'm last five minutes of the game. Let's be perfectly honest now. I'm half retired. So to me, I'm just flipping around
through the last five minutes for sure.
Yeah, no, I'm with you.
It's different.
It's completely different.
The shots that he creates either for himself,
like I was thinking about,
I was talking to somebody today, a buddy of mine,
and we were talking about,
like Golden State said,
we're not going to double you.
We're just not.
We'll single and just kill us.
Like,
that's fine.
But it almost reminds me of football with my homes where the teams are like,
we're just dropping eight back.
If you want to rush seven yards of carry,
go for it.
Go ahead.
Take,
take,
you can take the seven yards,
but we're not letting my homes throw deep.
We're just not.
Everybody's going to be back with Yoka.
Just like,
just take your two points.
That's where we've gotten with him.
Because the moment you double him,
everybody just gets a wide open whatever.
And then at the end of the game, and you saw
yesterday with the shot that he created for the game-winning
three, he just gets everybody incredible
shots. Who would be more fun to play
with than him? Other than maybe Chris Paul.
Well, him
or... I mean, Luka's pretty fun to play with, too, in terms
of the types of shots you get, as long as you don't mind him having
the ball 95% of the game.
You're going to get fed.
Yeah, no, Jokic is like definitely pick your poison.
I don't really know what the right way to defend him is.
I think you have to mix it up and give them different looks.
I do think you want to rely on, I think most teams in the playoffs
will basically at some point make their non-shooters.
There's not great shooting guys around him.
Like, Monte Morris hit one the other night.
He's not a bad shooter, but he's not like a knockdown shooter.
Aaron Gordon's not like a knockdown shooter from three.
Compazzo certainly isn't. Rivers certainly isn't.
So I think as the playoffs go,
I think you'll see teams will game plan a little bit
to let the other guys kind of beat you.
But it'll probably vary from game to game.
The other guy who was really tough to beat,
obviously, you talked about it a little bit,
was Chris Paul in crunch time.
Because that's...
I mean, their crunch time record's absurd.
It's absolutely...
I think it's like 21 and three or something.
Did you see that stat?
I saw John Schumann on Twitter had it.
Where it was like...
It was one of the four greatest
crunch time stats so far,
clutch stats,
like in the history of the league,
since they've been measuring it in 1986.
It was like,
I think the 07 Mavs were the only team
that didn't make the finals
out of the other ones,
but it was,
you know, it was on that level.
But they're basically 24-3 in crunch time.
Yeah, yeah.
It's just like insane. It was 24-3 when I looked last, and now it's like 24. Yeah. Yeah. It's just like,
it's 20,
you and I looked last and I was like 24 and three.
I know it's absurd.
And it's the type of thing where you just,
there's no defense against it.
You'd know he's getting to that,
that elbow jumper from two and you're just hoping he misses it. And you're going to get like,
he's going to spam four or five of them over the last three minutes.
And it's just very,
very,
yeah.
And then if you overhelp, he's going to find someone who's rolling. minutes. And it's just very, very...
And then if you overhelp,
he's going to find someone who's rolling.
I mean, he's just very difficult.
Really a master at that, for sure.
They're a frustrating team to play.
So it's Phoenix is number one.
Golden State in 2015-16,
they were 30-4.
Dallas in 06-07 was 32-6.
The league was really weak that year,
so I think that partially explains it. And then Miami07 was 32-6. The league was really weak that year, so I think that partially explains it.
And then Miami 2013, 32-8.
That's, to me, really good company.
And the other thing,
and this is why I don't think Chris has a chance for the MVP.
Booker's been so good for them.
He's basically been 30 a game for,
I don't know, six, seven, eight weeks. But the shots that he's getting for himself
when they really need to at the end of games,
like he's getting like
the highest end possible
two guard shots
and he's making them
and they just have
so many different options.
And then defensively,
they get stops
and Bridges can guard.
I mean, how many guys
other than Giannis
can guard
four positions like Bridges?
You know,
the list in the entire league
is less than 10 or 11.
Giannis can guard all five.
He can guard all five, yeah.
Super rare.
Yeah, so I watched them
and I actually am surprised
they have the same odds
as Golden State.
I think they should be
the prohibitive favorite
at this point
because they're easily
going to get the one seed.
Every playoff series
is going to have to go through them.
And they've shown us nothing
the entire season.
They got better with Biambo
and McGee. They definitely, they're not in
that Kaminsky situation
that they were in last finals. Those guys can
at least, they have six fouls apiece.
They can rim run a little. They can
protect the rim a little. But I just think
they're better. And I think they know, I think it's
another year of playing together. There's familiarity.
And I would be, if they don't
get injured, I would be really surprised if they didn't win the title
because I think they are the best team.
Really? I don't know.
I mean, I'm not ready to call them the best team.
They're definitely in the conversation.
I mean, I talked about this the other day,
is the idea that there's a best team
and the best team wins is kind of like nonsense to me anyways.
I mean, people don't realize how,
like there's several teams that have a chance
to win a title, and
one of them will win, and it doesn't necessarily mean they were...
Now, maybe they might have been the team that made their shots.
Therefore, they were the best team then, but they're not
necessarily the best team from an evaluation
standpoint. But yeah, they're in the conversation.
But 2017 Golden State
was the best team. They were winning...
If we do the season 10 times, they're winning
nine and a half of the 10 times.
But there's been so many other, like the Lakers,
the year they won in the bubble.
They went nuclear
from KCP was shooting
some ridiculous number.
Rondo.
Yeah, all of these guys
were shooting. They definitely
shot outside of
their career averages or out of their expectations.
And so, yeah, the best team...
I mean, Phoenix
and Golden State are definitely
head and shoulders above the other teams in the West.
But, I don't know.
And also, part of it is also just who you
match up with. Phoenix may match up
better against a specific East opponent,
but worse against another. And it just so
happens that that other one advances because of how they
match up. There's that. There's that part
of it. There's a whole lot of
incidental things that can happen
that can determine who wins. Phoenix
is definitely in the conversation now,
for sure. I guess the question
for me...
I just can't find a prohibitive favorite.
Maybe a favorite, not prohibitive.
All right. I'm going to push back and zag on you.
I guess my question for me is,
is Phoenix better than people realize?
Because I actually think they might be
like a legitimately great team.
You think like they started out,
they started out one and three.
So since then, they're 47 and seven. 47 and seven with how deep the league is this
year. And, and you have some weird COVID stuff too, obviously all over the place. But to me,
47 and seven is like, that's you're on like a 70 win pace at that point. And the fact that over and
over again, anytime they're in a game where it's tight with four minutes left, I feel like they're
going to win. It's the first team in a while where I'm just like that. They always win these. Prove to me
they're not going to win. They win every time. No, I'm with you there. I mean, I definitely
agree that in a close game, people are sleeping on how good they have been. That is 100% sure.
Yeah. They have 10 losses the next best. There are seven games up on the next best team or
something like that. I think the one thing that There are seven games up on the next best team or something like that.
I think the one thing that people are discounting,
though, a little bit is, you know,
Paul's played 58 games.
Bridges played 58 games.
Booker's played 51 of 58 games.
They haven't had a lot of injuries to their key guys.
Right.
And so that's a part of it.
But now you could say that if the same were true
for some of these other teams, maybe they would.
But in terms of the West, I mean, yeah,
they're the best team in the West.
How they match up against, I mean,
that series versus Golden State,
if we're lucky enough to see one,
that'll be a series for the ages.
That'll be great.
They're a very tough team.
I mean, they got two guys who can score
from all areas to the court.
That's very tough to defend against.
Golden State is, I think, going to settle into the two
unless Memphis somehow passes them.
But Golden State's looking at playing the winner of the playing tournament, right?
Because that'll be the seventh seed.
Yeah.
That could be, you know, who knows?
Talk about variance.
That could be this Lakers team
where just LeBron and Davis
are in a good groove
and it doesn't really matter
who the other three guys are.
You know,
Austin Reeves somehow
becomes the shooter they need.
Who knows?
I wouldn't love seeing them
in a playoff series.
I think Golden State would beat them,
but I wouldn't,
especially when I saw LeBron,
if he still wants to be,
it could be really great.
I wouldn't want to see him
in a playoff series.
I don't care who his teammates are.
And if Davis could just stay on the floor for two months,
I don't know.
I'm less worried about the Lakers in a playoff series
if I'm those teams,
and I would be like a healthy Lakers, whatever.
Then I would be like a healthy Clippers.
Well, but that's the next variance team.
It's like, I don't know what Clippers team.
Like, what if Paul George and Kawhi are back?
That seventh seed is scary.
If Paul George and Kawhi are back,, that seven seat is George and choir back.
You can make the argument there that they're the best team in the NBA,
in my opinion.
Right.
I mean,
especially they add Powell and they,
all the pieces they have,
all the,
all the guys.
I mean,
I think,
look at,
we were talking about wing defenders and how valuable they are.
You can go down the list of how many of the Clippers have when healthy.
It's a joke.
Marcus Morris, Paul George, Kawhi, Co Covington. I mean, there's four right there.
I think I'm forgetting one. Batum is another.
Batum, five.
Yeah. And then there's guys like a step below like Terrence Mann, Norm Powell's not really
a great defender, but Norm Powell you can can put in the conversation. They are,
the only thing they're lacking
is they don't have
like a ball handling,
like dominant penetrating
point guard who can
break down the defense.
I guess you could make
the argument that
Jackson's that guy,
but he's not like
getting into the paint at will.
I'm just going to tell you
right now,
you've mortally offended
the Clipper fans.
How's that?
They will tell you
Reggie Jackson is that guy.
He's good, man.
I mean, he is...
I don't think he's not good.
I just...
He's just not like...
He's more from the primary.
He's not breaking down the defense
and getting in layups and stuff.
Those guys are pretty...
Those guards are really where I'm talking about.
Like Morantz, guys that finish at the rim,
guys who can do...
Can operate out of the pick and roll.
But yeah, he's...
He was probably one of the better signings.
Him and Batum were probably some of the better signings
over the last three years that you can think of.
Batum was not playing
well at all in Charlotte. They picked him up.
Batum completely shut down
Jalen
Brunson last year in the playoffs.
Completely shut him down now.
That was something that was devastating
to the Mavs' ability to win games.
You just basically take away your second-best offensive player
because Batum's on him. That's tough
to deal with.
Golden State could be in a situation where they
play the Clippers in round one.
They play
Memphis in round two.
And Phoenix in round three.
That's a fucking gauntlet.
And then you go on the other side.
I don't know what,
let's say Brooklyn's the seven seed.
So let's say,
let's say Miami gets the two seed.
I mean,
the East is so difficult to talk about because it's like Cleveland right now
is 35 and they could vary 35 wins.
They could very easy,
you know,
23 losses.
They could get two losses.
Now they're,
they're,
they've flipped with where Toronto is. So it's like, yeah, if we're to end right easy, you know, 23 losses. They could get two losses. Now they're flipped with where Toronto is.
So it's like, yeah,
if we're to end right now, I mean, I guess it depends
on when KD's coming back, when
Simmons will play. But
yeah, they could be in the plane
or they could be like the three or four seed.
That could happen too. It's just really, really
up in the air, in my opinion.
There's too few
games between those teams.
Let's say Brooklyn's the seventh seed
and you're the two seed
and you could potentially have Brooklyn in round one
and Milwaukee in round two
and you haven't even played in the conference finals yet.
I think these playoffs are going to be amazing.
I really do.
I'm really excited for them
because even if you look,
usually we have one of the two conferences
and there's just two shit first
round matchups.
We were like,
Oh man,
this team really,
or,
Oh,
that team's going to get swept.
I don't,
the West on paper would have those teams,
but not if the Clippers and Lakers can kind of get their shit together.
If they both make it in Minnesota,
I'm not,
I'm not a hundred percent against Minnesota either.
I think they, there's a hundred% against Minnesota either I think they
100% against Minnesota
they're not in the conversation
for winning a playoff series I don't think
no but
I think they are in that kind of
I could see them being the irrational confidence
around one team that
wins game one and people are like oh my god
they're going to win and then they lose but
could at least get a couple of haymakers.
If they were managing to get up to the sixth seed
and play like Memphis,
I could see that being an interesting series.
Or maybe if they played,
yeah, I don't know who else they could,
the Jazz, if they somehow managed to get.
But they're probably not getting up to the sixth seed
or the five,
so they're certainly not getting to the five seed.
But the question is,
will they get out of the play?
And the play is going to be deadly.
You have those three teams
especially.
You've got Brooklyn on one side,
the Lakers and the Clippers on the other side.
If those are your play-in
teams, that's
a boom for the NBA right there.
And then you have Portland as a
10 seed going,
we've been trying to tank for a month.
All we did was salary dump.
How are we going to play?
And we were trying to get like a top five pick.
Yeah, they've been playing surprisingly well of late,
relative to where they were at the start of the season.
That's for sure.
I didn't see it with Simons. That's why it's so tough to give up on some of these guys
where all of a sudden Simons looks like this
legitimate all-star guy.
He was very young when he came into
the NBA. So there's that.
People forget how
difficult it is. It's so rare to have
someone who's under the age of 20
dominate or even be good.
He was awful
at the start of his career. Let's just be clear.
His numbers were, turned the ball over, couldn't
pass, couldn't do that. And now he's turned
into a very good player.
I didn't see it with him either.
I was just like,
this guy's...
But you have to look at
how old he is
and how much experience he has.
I'm not sure what his...
I forget how old he is,
but he was quite young
when he came into the NBA.
Hal Burton versus Sabonis.
Who won that trade quickly?
I think Indiana won that trade pretty clearly. I think Sabonis who won that trade quickly I think Indiana won that trade
pretty clearly I think Sabonis is
like
a good player but for this
epoch of basketball
doesn't really defend well in space
can't shoot a three can't really
space out to the three point line it's
really tough to survive and have to be
a dominant player if you're not like dominant
defensively and you can't space
the three-point line.
Whereas Halliburton's
not like a superstar
or anything like that, but he's a very, very
efficient player. He's still
young. He's still developing.
I was pretty high on him coming
into the draft.
I think Indiana wins that trade pretty clearly.
Plus, they got healed,
which I thought they could have moved for another...
It's just unclear to me what they're trying to accomplish.
Are they looking to be good next year?
Are they trying to rebuild?
It seems like they're trying to be good next year.
But I don't know what that definition of good means to them.
But yeah, I think they clearly, in my opinion,
clearly won the trade, but we'll see how it plays out.
I love Halbert.
Yeah, that's hard.
I hated the trade for Sacramento and I actually like Sabonis a lot more than you, but I just,
I would not have given up Halbert.
And then when you read the Poirier's Tribune piece where he's like, this broke my heart.
I believed in Sacramento.
I didn't want to leave.
And it's like, you traded the one guy
who didn't want to leave Sacramento?
What are you doing?
There's a potential all-star who likes it in Sacramento?
You traded him?
Well, the writing was on the wall when they drafted him
and then also drafted Davian Mitchell
and paired that with Fox.
Three guys all playing kind of the same position or rule.
They had to get rid of one of them.
But they're trying to get rid of Fox.
They just couldn't pull it up.
Probably.
Yeah, tough on their contract, but yeah.
One more break,
and then we're going to quickly talk about
crypto and Bitcoin and NFTs.
All right.
We'll just make this like a short segment,
but Bitcoin, how are we feeling?
I'm a long view guy. I mean, I think like if you're following what's happening around the
world, it's pretty hard not to be bullish on Bitcoin. We talked a little bit about the
self-sovereignty aspect of it, the uncensorability aspect of it. You have governments around the
world kind of, I mean, what happened in Canada, I know you follow the Canadian trucker convoy thing.
But basically, anyone who donated to that movement is deemed a terrorist at this point in Canada and subject to having their bank account frozen or closed or both.
So I think in that world, Bitcoin is pretty bullish.
I think also you factor in what's going on
in Eastern Ukraine and Russia right now,
where these countries are less and less reliant
on the US dollar, less and less depending
on the US army to be their police of the world.
And so I don't know.
Yeah, nothing has changed
since last time we talked.
It's still bullish.
I think the price has gone down a little bit.
Say it's maybe down 10% or something like that
for taping on a Thursday.
But yeah, I would be looking at Bitcoin closely.
I think it's just like dummy insurance,
in my opinion.
It's just like, you can buy it,
you can have like 3% to 5% of your,
whatever your portfolio in Bitcoin.
And it's just, it's never going to change.
You're never going to have to worry about some
law being changed in your... I mean, we're being banned, I suppose. That would be very bad for the price of Bitcoin. And it's just, it's never going to change. You're never going to have to worry about some law being changed in your, I mean, we're being banned, I suppose that would
be very bad for the price of Bitcoin. But even if they banned it, like countries that have banned
it haven't been able to stop it in some ways, like China banned it, India banned it, the price
hasn't really gone down. It'll kind of find a way to go to a jurisdiction where it's appreciated.
And I think the first country that really
kind of puts it on their balance sheet, I think that'll create a game theory cascade of events
to where it becomes more adopted as a form of digital gold, I guess you'd call it.
So it seems like it's going to go down more. Is there a point where you would like,
this is the time, jump in?
It could go down more.
I mean, I think for me,
if I saw it in the 30s again,
like $31,000, $33,000, $34,000, I would probably be a lot more interested
in buying a big portion.
I think at these prices,
it's kind of like there's a lot of macro things
that play right now in terms of interest rates are going up.
Think about Bitcoin as the risk-on asset.
So when people want to be risk-on, when the macro environment is good,
then Bitcoin will outperform.
It's like a hyper, hyper, hyper growth stock.
So when the macro picture is good, Bitcoin will go up.
It'll go up higher than the macro picture does.
NASDAQ, it'll outperform the NASDAQ.
The NASDAQ goes down, it'll go down lower.
It just outperforms.
It's just hyper volatile in that way.
So yeah, I would just be looking for prices to add. You could do dollar cost averaging if you
want, or you could just not be a believer in it. That's fine too. I mean, it's not for everybody.
But for me, it's a nice way to hedge against global uncertainty. Definitely.
What about NFTs?
I'm not super... I mean, I think NFTs are at the stage where...
Do you remember when the dot-com phase first happened and you had...
Peapod was basically the Instacart before its time.
And so Peapod was a growth.
But they had all of these pets.com, all of these things that happened
back then that were just ahead of its time.
I think there was a food...
There's also a food delivery service that just ahead of its time. I think there was also a food delivery
service that was ahead of its time.
I think NFTs are still very early. What they are now are basically cartoon, emoji, whatever
profile pictures. That's really scratching the surface of what an NFT could be. I think
later on when people realize that they can be used to accrue ownership and value and
royalties like you can own an NFT that allows you to participate in some artist's music
and you'll get a share of every time the music generates revenue,
you get a piece of that, there will be that,
there'll be a real estate aspect of it.
But for now, they're just an art and a way to flex online,
a way to show people that you have an NFT.
I think they're like the gateway drug to crypto.
They're easy to understand.
People can...
Gateway drug.
Yeah, they really are.
Because you try to explain Bitcoin to someone who doesn't...
To a normie who doesn't know anything about crypto.
And you can just see their eyes just start glossing over like,
oh, I don't know.
But you explain like, oh, you can buy this NFT and own it.
And you're the only person who could own this NFT.
And you can prove that you own it.
And it's a cartoon that looks like you. People are like, oh yeah, I love that. I want
that. And it's interesting how that happens. It's converting a lot of people that you would not
expect to be converted. It's interesting. So should I do the original 30 for 30 memo
that I sent that launched 30 for 30? Should I just make that an NFT?
You could, or you could do something really dumb like a doodle, which is like drawing
and that'll take off too.
I mean, it's kind of like the dumbest shit
is what takes off.
So it doesn't have to be super well thought out.
I don't understand it.
I honestly, I don't get it.
This is one, NFTs are one of the first things
that I'm just like, I don't get it.
Well, think about this. Like, so think about, so I believe is one of the NFTs that were one of the first things that I'm just like, I don't get it. Well, think about this.
So think about,
so I believe in like
very specific NFTs.
Like I like the original
2017 era NFTs.
Like CryptoPunks came out in 2017.
They were free to anyone
who wanted them.
You could go and mint one.
You could have one.
And so that to me is like
an art project
that resonates with me.
And they look like they're avatars.
They look like they're people.
So it's almost like the first Topps basketball series in 1957.
Yeah, they weren't like the first NFT,
but they were definitely one of the first NFTs
and most certainly the most culturally relevant popular NFTs.
So this past weekend on Super Bowl Sunday,
someone bought an alien CryptoPunk.
There's only nine aliens in the world. Someone paid $24 million for it. And that thing was given away for
free in 2017 to anyone who wanted, who was able to claim it. Someone claimed it. And I believe
one of the original holders then sold it to the guy who had it and the guy who sold it for $24
million. And it was a real deal. A lot of people are like, oh, it's fake. It's wash trading. I
happen to know it's real
because someone approached me
to help broker introductions
to people who did own aliens.
And so definitely real.
Someone definitely paid $24 million
for a JPEG.
It's pretty insane.
But hey,
that's kind of the world we're living in.
We need NFTs of you
on yacht trips around the world.
Just various pictures of you in different locations. Could that be an NFT series?
Someone has been taking some of my photos from social media and turning them into NFTs and sending them.
Shut up.
No, yeah. Someone's been sending me pictures of my dog like, oh, I just finished this picture. So yeah, I guess it could happen. I don't know. There's definitely, there's probably no market for it,
but aside from me,
but yeah,
it could definitely be a,
an option for sure.
All right.
So you're out,
you're out of the NBA.
I'm out of the NBA.
There might be some ownership potential for you somewhere with something down the road.
Who knows?
Maybe.
Somewhere.
Yeah.
You're in on the Bitcoin.
You're in on the NFTs. What else? What else is getting you going? That's it? All right. That. Yeah. You're in on the Bitcoin. You're in on the NFTs.
What else?
What else is getting you going?
That's it?
That's it.
Playing a lot of tennis,
trying to get my kick serve down.
That's about it, really.
Just living.
All right.
It was good to see you.
Thanks for coming on.
Before the playoffs start,
you got to come back on.
For sure.
100%.
All right.
Thanks.
That's it for the
podcast. Thanks to Bob. Thanks
to Kyle Creighton, as always, for producing.
Thanks to Steve Cerutti and Dylan Berkey. Don't forget,
I'm going to be on the Ringer Gambling Show on
Friday, talking all-star
weekend bets with Joe House
and John Jastrzemski, who I just
introduced on text
recently, and it was probably a mistake because
they are two degenerates who love golf and gambling and not in that order, and I've probably a mistake because they are two degenerates who
love golf and gambling and not in that order. And, uh, and I've probably lost both of them to each
other. So there you go. I will see you over the weekend. Not sure what the plan is for Sunday yet,
but, uh, we'll, we'll have something. So see them on the way so I never say I don't have feelings with them.
On the wayside, on the way so I never say I don't have feelings with them.