The Bill Simmons Podcast - Super Bowl LIII Bets and Props With Cousin Sal | The Bill Simmons Podcast (Ep. 477)
Episode Date: February 1, 2019HBO and The Ringer's Bill Simmons is joined by Cousin Sal to finalize their wagers before Super Bowl Sunday. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices...
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So we got that.
And then we have, obviously, the Rewatchables podcast, Proof of Life, the most controversial pick we've ever had.
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That's fine.
That's coming up.
And I think we have
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Yeah, 40-year anniversary.
So that's coming.
And then if you missed
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which we did Thursday
early afternoon,
that's up. That's also on this BS feed. Emergency Trade Podcast, which we did Thursday early afternoon.
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So there you go.
Cousin Sal's coming up.
We're going to do our favorite props, make a pick,
a million-dollar pick for the big game.
But first, our friends from Pearl Jam. All right, hectic day here at the old Ringer headquarters.
It is now late afternoon, Thursday.
We were supposed to put up South Super Bowl props and all that stuff.
We're going to do that anyway,
even though we just did a Porzingis Emergency Trade Podcast.
The Cuz is on the line.
How are you?
I love it.
I have to tell you, this is my favorite podcast of the year.
And then the next one we do
is my least favorite podcast of the year,
where you get to gloat about a Patriots Super Bowl victory.
Don't jinx me. That's not fair.
You're from New York, and you have a lot of Knicks fans, friends.
In the two hours since we taped the Porzingis podcast,
which we all agreed was a catastrophe,
it came out that the Knicks get an unprotected 2021 first-rounder from Dallas
and then a top- protected in 2023, which I guess is okay.
The problem is that Dallas is going to have Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis.
They're going to be good.
So it makes it a slightly less worse deal, but it's still a terrible deal.
What was your take?
Is it worse?
Is it better or worse
than our fantasy football deal?
Todd Gurley for Marshawn Lynch,
Sony Machado.
Oh yeah,
the deal that ripped apart our league.
Right.
That deal was even more defensible,
I think.
This one's weird
because you're just trading,
you're trading your franchise guy
who the Knicks fans really love just to create cap space
to hopefully sign a bunch of guys this summer,
but the Knicks fans are already hip to that point
and it didn't work in 2010.
So it's tough.
You really have to think KD's coming to do this trade.
He basically had to have already you know
picked out his jersey
and his condo
and everything else
already
is the only way
it's justifiable.
He's got it.
Yeah he's got a
weekly spot on
Francesca's show.
He's already got it
filled out.
Yeah I think
how about Dallas though
both basketball
and football
pulling off the deals
of the year.
Both of them.
Oh yeah.
And then this one
I almost think the Mavs did it I think they were in cahoots with Jerry Jones off the deals of the year. Both of them. Oh, yeah. And then this one.
I almost think the Mavs did it.
I think they were in cahoots with Jerry Jones,
who was a little sheepish about saying that they weren't extending Jason Garrett.
So now that story goes away.
That's not a front page story anymore.
Oh, you think he hit them up and said,
can you guys get me off the headlines?
Yeah, maybe something like that.
Did you extend Jason Garrett's contract?
That happened?
What do you mean? No.
Did they announce that today?
Because I missed that.
They announced that they weren't.
Oh, that they weren't?
Yeah, they announced that they weren't.
But, you know, Jerry Jones always feels bad about it.
They really didn't announce it.
It's like rumors.
It was reported.
I think Schefter reported it,
but no one actually came out and said it. But, you't announce like rumors it was reported like Schefter reported it but no one actually
came out and said it
but you know
after that Pro Bowl
performance
what more can be said?
At some point
we're going to have to
get rid of the Pro Bowl.
I think you and Harry
are the last two people
on the earth
who are still gambling on it.
That's it.
It's not funny anymore.
It was good when it was
like 42-37
but now when the games
are like 20-13,
who cares anymore?
So I went on your podcast.
We talked to the trifecta.
We banged out a bunch of great props that you and I negged most of them.
What was our favorite prop from the trifecta?
What was the one that you loved the most?
I like these three.
I like Rams to score first but lose was plus 350.
That was a parlay kid.
Oh, that was a good one.
And then Harry had, will there be a two-point conversion attempt?
Yes.
It was minus 115.
It's already up to minus 145.
And then Brother Bri, like under one and a half yards for the shortest touchdown,
but that's already up to minus 200.
So under one and a half yards, touchdown is already plus 200?
I really like that one.
You don't like that one?
No, I really do, but I don't like the minus 200.
It just happens all the time.
It's not a secret anymore.
Can we parlay that with anything or no?
I think we can find something to parlay with.
And the Pats to convert a fourth down is minus 115.
I like that a lot.
I don't know if it's going to be Brady nosediving up the middle
against Sue and Donald, but I do like that.
I think there's a lot of fourth and short scenarios out there.
I was looking at all the Pats touchdown bets,
and the odds are really low,
and especially that bet we were talking about on your podcast,
which was you bet.
If you think the team's going to win, you bet on the guy to score
on the team that you think is going to win.
And you get better odds.
But like James White is plus 250 for that.
So you bet on James White.
He's going to score and the Patriots are going to win plus 250.
He's only scored seven times all year.
You know?
And like Gronk was, I think, plus 230. Gronk scored seven times all year, you know? And like Gronk was, I think, plus 230.
Gronk scored seven times all year.
He hasn't scored in the playoffs.
Nobody else in the Patriots has scored more than three times this year
in the regular season.
So it's almost, it's too bad we can't short those bets
or maybe take them from dumb people at a Corolla Super Bowl party.
Yeah, just show up in the front.
You'll get them coming in.
I like all the James White props.
I don't know.
Maybe I'm late to the party here,
but James White to make the first reception is plus four 50.
If they get the ball,
you know how they like to settle into that offense in a month,
some flare route or something.
Yeah.
What I said yesterday to have the most receiving yards at anyone,
you're going to have between five and 15 receptions.
That was also like a,
that was a 10 to one odds.
You could do that at over a hundred yards against the Falcons.
The part I don't understand is why he didn't play more in the KC game.
And it really does seem like they go running back by committee.
So I don't know if that hurts our James White stats.
Well, that's, that is the one problem.
It's a big problem because he's so schizophrenic Belichick with this running
game and how he's going to parcel out the carries.
That's why I think I kind of think like Sony Michelle under 80 and a half
yards rushing is pretty good.
I, the more I think about this game, Sony's not a big dude.
He's not, he's one of those guys that he's not trucking.
He's,
you know,
you have the smaller running backs,
but they're not trucking the linebacker and stuff like that.
He pretty much goes down.
Kyle,
wouldn't you agree?
The first guy pretty much will take him down unless he can kind of sneak by
him.
Yeah.
Every once in a while,
he surprises you.
Every once in a while.
That was nice.
But Sue,
the thought of him against Sue
really worries me.
If Sue,
you would think like,
Sue,
from a motivational standpoint,
the knock on him is
the guy's a great talent,
but doesn't always bring it to the table.
If there's ever a game
he's going to bring it to the table,
you have that.
And then you have the Aaron Donald part.
And
we don't have that
LeGarrette Blount guy this year.
You know, and I worry that they might be able to overpower our running backs
a little bit.
And the flip side, the Pats have been able to block so well that maybe they
can figure it out.
But what do you think, Sal?
But 80 and a half yards is 16 carries.
I guess he had something crazy, right, against the Chiefs in the first half.
What was it?
He had 29 carries. 19 carries in the first half. What was it? He had 29 carries.
19 carries in the first half?
Yeah, he had 29 carries in that game.
I don't think they're going to do that again.
29 overall.
Yeah.
You can't tell with him.
It was deceiving because it was 29 carries.
And I don't know.
I felt like he left a lot of yards on the table.
There were a lot of holes in that game.
I would have been interested to see what an awesome running back would have done in that game.
I'm also intrigued by James White.
I'm going to go through some props that
I like, but I'm not
jumping on, but I wanted to mention them and maybe
you could talk me into them.
All right.
There won't be a
defensive or special teams touchdown.
Minus 250.
Yeah, you like that one.
You forgot about the one against Atlanta.
I did.
The pick six for Brady.
That was such a flash.
But I see what you're saying here.
It's minus 250.
I'm staying away only because the line's too high.
But man, I just think it's really hard to get a defensive
or special teams touchdown.
Yeah.
Maybe in the Superbowl things get wacky.
Teams get desperate stuff like that.
But that,
that line just jumped out at me.
I like this.
What do you think?
Before you move on from that,
they're lying now in a walking boot.
McVay.
I don't know if he's being truthful.
He says he's going to be ready.
Right.
That prop kind of,
that,
that prop stands out a little more if he's not able to reach the end zone.
There's no touchbacks,
you know,
and these guys are eager,
these kick returners to run it out of the end zone.
Anyway,
it's a super bowl.
That's good.
I like that.
Seven yards in.
I want to figure something like that.
Do you,
do you think there's a chance like day of the game?
They just scratched their line.
Do they have a backup guy or no?
How did they,
how does that work?
I read something about them
maybe calling Carlos Santos in.
Can you sign a kicker this late? In fantasy football,
we don't allow it to sign anyone
this late. Can they
sign Cody Parkey for the Bears?
Is that possible?
Can the Bears trade Cody Parkey to them?
You do a Today Show after? Where's that South Korean
Chargers kicker? Oh, I love that guy.
Yeah, that would have been nice.
Maybe we should bet against.
What's a Zerline will miss a kick bet?
What are the odds on that?
I'll find that, but I think that's minus 275 or something.
I think I saw that.
That he'll miss a kick?
A field goal or any kick?
Yeah.
Yeah.
Minus 275?
Yeah.
I'll find it, but that's what it was in the beginning of the week. goal or any kick. Yeah. Yeah. Minus 275. Yeah.
I'll find it, but that's what it was in the beginning of the week.
Yeah.
But wouldn't, he's a great kicker though.
Wouldn't the, shouldn't the odds be, you should be.
Oh, that he'll miss it.
That he'll miss it. Okay.
I'm sorry.
Yeah.
I'm going the other way with it.
Yeah.
It's like plus 220 or something.
Yeah.
That's kind of, the guy's in a walking boot.
All right.
So I think this game is going to be close,
and I think you do too.
Will either team score in the last three and a half minutes of the game?
If the game goes to overtime, yes is the winner.
So I get the last three and a half minutes,
and I get any overtime that happens,
and the yes is minus 185,
which I wish it was a little lower.
I like it.
I also like the last score will be a touchdown.
It feels like it has been.
Just the Eagles scoring.
I feel like obviously the Patriots won overtime against the Falcons.
Just feel like someone puts it away with a big play.
And that's what we watch all summer long.
That big play in the fourth quarter.
Well, going through all the Pats games,
I mean,
can we say a team trends when it's
been over the course of 18
years as a Super Bowl thing? I don't even know if that
makes sense, but the Patriots,
they play close Super Bowls
and
usually a team scores in the last
three minutes. I think the only time it didn't happen was the Eagles game,
the third Super Bowl we won.
Right.
But in that game, Philly was driving down.
I don't know.
Even if they're up 21 points, one of the two teams,
and there's three and a half minutes left,
they're still going for the garbage time.
It's kind of hard to believe that.
And there might be overtime. So
I like that one. I'm going to
parlay that with something
else. Yeah, that's a nice parlayable
prop there. Yeah, yeah.
Okay. A couple others.
Will the
game be decided by exactly
six points
plus 900?
So here's what I get with that.
It's reasonable
the game would be decided by six points,
right? 30 to 24,
34
to 28, 27
to 21. But then if I get to
overtime and the first team scores,
I win that one too.
Right? Touchdown, no extra point, I win the game scores, I win that one too. Right?
Touchdown, no extra point.
I win the game.
So I thought that 9-1 I thought was a little tasty.
I like that.
I do like that.
Although I, you know, my best, I like betting.
You say I think it's going to be close.
I kind of don't.
I think it's going to be between 7 and 12.
I bet both teams to win between 7 and 12.
One's plus 475.
One's plus 550.
Those cover nice numbers.
That's 31-20.
Obviously, the 7's a big number.
The 10's a big number.
Patriots lost by 8 last year.
It's hard to imagine because they had the ball.
Yeah, that's crazy.
They had a chance to win late,
but that fell right in that range last year, too.
They don't have an exactly by eight points bet.
No, they don't.
What do you think about total interceptions for both
teams? 1.5. Brady
threw two last week and really should have thrown
a third if Dee Ford wasn't offsides.
You were saying that. You said
if he throws, he looks like he could throw
three or four, but it doesn't
ever seem to drop. What did he have last
week? Two? He had two. One bad one. And then doesn't ever seem to drop. What did he have last week? Two?
He had two.
One bad one. Yeah.
And then Goff on the other end.
Who knows?
Goff got it out of his system
against the Saints early on.
Yeah.
It's almost too lucky a bet now,
the way balls are tipped
and everything, you know?
The thing with Goff,
can we all agree
that he was a little deer
in the headlights in the first quarter
of that Saints game? I mean, it was super loud.
They fell behind. They were always playing
in basically the end zone, but he
certainly looked rattled.
So now you get the Super Bowl. The other
thing is, and this is something Brady
always talks about. It took Brady a while to learn
how to handle this, but
the break of the
halftime show
where you get all hyped up for the game., but the, uh, the break of the halftime show where.
Yeah. It's forever.
Yeah. You get all hyped up for the game. You're like, yeah,
you're headbutting your offensive lineman. The game starts like, Hey,
let's go. And you play for an hour and a half. You have so much adrenaline.
And then you have this 30 minute halftime.
Maroon 5 sucks it out of you.
Yeah. The Maroon 5 and Travis Scott come out, and you kind of, you come down,
and Brady said the biggest thing he's learned over the years
is how to channel his energies,
because it's like a five-hour day, basically,
when you include the pregame and everything.
So Goff feels like, I don't know.
Do you trust Goff to be good for five hours?
I was thinking about that.
I said, maybe we're not giving Goff enough credit.
That was, that's the loudest place to play right there. Do you think the Super Bowl was a bigger... I was thinking about that. I said, maybe we're not giving Goff enough credit.
That's the loudest place to play right there.
You're not going to get any worse, more adverse conditions.
And being down 13-0, they had thrown the interception.
Pretty remarkable that he came back from that.
And I know the Saints fell apart a little,
and they couldn't really run the ball.
Yeah.
But that's as big a moment... I don't want to say as big a moment as the Super Bowl,
because the Super Bowl is the grand stage. But I do feel like he can handle a lot
After that
Yeah I agree
I mean if Hecker
If that fake punt doesn't work
I really do think there's a chance they lose 40-0
It's weird because
I feel like the right team won
But I also feel like there's a world in which
That fake punt,
Hecker slips off his hand or the guy doesn't make the cut right.
And the Saints have the ball now on like the Rams 30 and the game's over.
You know?
Yeah.
It's 20 nothing in two minutes and that's it.
And everybody's ripping Todd Gurley after.
Why didn't you do more?
He's the big go.
And we talk about it.
By the way,
they only scored three there.
Yeah.
Fake punt.
Everyone makes like they turn the game around.
You know,
the home team should still be able to hold a double digit lead.
That's a fake punt.
Yeah,
that's very true.
I was thinking of it more in the context of,
if it doesn't work,
if it hadn't worked,
the Saints are at least up 16,
nothing.
And I think that would have been insurmountable.
Yeah.
The key drive was that last drive right before
the half when
they just kind of
got their shit together. I think it's
amazing the Saints won, and I really do
feel like the Rams might have been better at the same time.
We talked about this on your
pod yesterday, the adjusted line for the
Pats, plus three and a half
is minus 215. So you bet
$215 to win $100, basically. The plus three and a half is minus two 15. So you bet $250 to win a hundred.
Basically the minus the plus three and a half is fun because if you think the
Pats are either going to win or lose by a field goal,
um,
you got it.
I,
my thing is the zero line,
69,
68,
69 yard or at the,
at the buzzer doesn't,
doesn't,
uh,
doesn't kill you.
Eat your heart off as much.
If you have plus three and a half. Yeah. Not to give away what I'm doing at the ender doesn't feed your heart off as much if you have plus three and a half.
Not to give away what I'm doing at the end of this
pod, but I just feel like
if you think the Pats are going to win,
the line's less than three,
it's really hard to
guess the Super Bowl winner and not
cover it when the line's less by three.
I'm positive
that's never happened in the history of the Super Bowl.
I don't have this number, but even when the blinds more than three, I mean,
the lesson to be learned in this is betting the Superbowl is if you like the
favorite, bet the line, bet the favorite,
giving the points because more often than not,
way, way more often than not, they, uh, they win and they cover, um,
at the same time. And obviously an underdog would, if they won,
they would cover.
So I want to say whoever you like to cover.
Pat's Panthers.
Pat's didn't cover that.
Right.
32,
29.
I think they were favored by like four,
four and a half,
something like that.
So there's one time.
I think anything,
anytime they were over three,
they were two and two and,
and,
and Owen four against the spread whenever they were favored of, they were two and two. And 0-4 against the spread.
Whenever they were a favorite
of more than three points.
Wait, did the Eagles
score? Because now I'm thinking, I don't know
if the Pats covered the Eagles game either.
Didn't the Eagles score on the eight-minute,
two-minute drive at the end there?
No, I'm telling you. Yeah, because they were a favorite.
I don't think they...
24-21.
Yeah, but I were favorite. I don't think they... 24-21. That was a big game, right?
Yeah.
But I think the Eagles scored with like three minutes left maybe.
But my point is when it's under three, it becomes ridiculous.
Yeah.
We saw it happen in the Seattle-Dallas game.
And that had to happen because the fat kicker got hurt and they had to go for two the whole time. And that's the only reason Dallas won,
but only won by two points. Yeah. All right. A couple more.
Now we're getting to the really good ones. I, I like you. I mean,
you should see me right now. I have papers all spread out. It's like a,
like figuring out a crime.
This is true detective season one right now. I have papers all spread out. It's like figuring out a crime. This is True Detective
season one right now for me.
Yeah, I told this story on your pod yesterday about
the first time we met. We were
at the Super Bowl
of Bucks Raiders working for Jimmy's
show. And we'd only known each other
for, I would say, two plus months.
And we were in Daniel's
office watching the Super Bowl. And that
was the first time I really fully saw your madness.
And it's gotten crazier, right?
I think there were probably like 70 or 80 props back then.
Now it's 300, 400 if you want to shop around.
I know.
You sent me this list that I'm holding in my hand right now.
It's 20 pages of prop bets.
We couldn't have had that many in 2002.
Tom Brady under 26 and a half completions.
The argument for this is...
No.
Well, I'm not saying I'm betting it,
but the argument for it is
the last eight, nine weeks of the season,
he was in the low 20s basically every game.
Got to the playoffs,
threw a bunch of completions against the Chargers.
And I think it was like 34, something like that.
And then the Chiefs game ended up at 30.
But that also includes the overtime.
So if you're thinking like they're going to try to do this power running game again,
it would be hard for Brady to go over 27 unless the running game just isn't working.
I'm staying away because I don't want to have...
I think you're playing with fire.
The guy had almost 1,000 yards combined
in the last two Super Bowls.
Went crazy, like you said, in the last two playoff games.
You can't bet Brady under anything.
Anything.
I mean, 299.5 is a massive, massive number
for passing yards for a Super Bowl.
And you're out of your mind if you toy with the under.
I didn't say I was actually betting it.
It just jumped out at me.
27 completions seems like a lot. For a team that... Because think of all this. toy with the under. I didn't say I was actually betting it. It just jumped out at me.
27 completions seems like a lot.
He's been through all the scenarios. They played like crap, really,
against the Eagles and the
Falcons.
They went way over in both.
Maybe not way over with the Eagles, but way over
with the Falcons. What was the one before that?
Seahawks, he was over.
It's a different Pats team now, though.
This is a team that
is going to try to run the ball and control the
clock and use play action and
chew up 35 seconds. It might be different.
It's just the same Brady, though.
It's just weird. It's just weird.
He's like Tom Cruise. Bad karma.
I was watching Mission Impossible fall
out on the plane back from Sundance, and I was thinking
out, Cruise is like in his late 50s
now, isn't he? Yeah? He made all the right moves
in like 1982,
and is still playing Ethan Hunt
and looks the same.
Hair is the same color. I'm sure they color it.
Physically looks the same.
And it's like he just
defies time. And that's Tom Brady
when you see him on the
going away party for flying to
Atlanta, and he looks like he did 15 years ago.
It's nuts.
Real quick, I jotted this down because I know you're going to have fun with it,
but I didn't know what to make the line.
Who retires first, Brady or Jimmy Kimmel?
What's the line?
I had Kimmel minus 130.
Does Brady have anyone in his life like Babydoll who has a vested interest
and just continue to have him do the show for years and years?
I guess that trainer.
That's right.
Yeah, Babydoll's not done buying houses.
Jimmy's contract expires a year from now, right?
Yeah.
So conceivably, they could retire in the same month.
That's what I was thinking.
I got to make this kind of
almost Red Dead even.
I think Brady retires
before Kimmel and Here's Why.
ABC has no replacement.
That show makes too much money for ABC
and it's too risky for them
to just roll the franchise
over to somebody else.
If there was some person looming that we both were like,
oh, well, when Jimmy retires, that guy's definitely going to get the show
or that lady, I would feel that way.
Maybe it's Tom Brady.
Maybe it is Tom Brady.
But I feel like...
So you think Brady goes fewer than three years?
Yeah, that would take him to 44.
He'll get another concussion.
I mean, knock on wood, I hope he doesn't.
But at some point, he's going to have some sort of injury,
something that will make his wife scream at him in Brazilian
that he's, you've got to retire.
You're not thinking about your family.
Do that whole thing.
That's how she sounds.
I don't know.
I hope that's worth sticking around for.
Jimmy has Babydoll who's going to be like, you can't retire.
I just bought another country club membership.
It's crazy that they have the same voice, Giselle and Baby.
Baby's going to get the ABC president and be like, baby, look, yeah.
You know,
what's if,
if Jimmy comes back,
we're going to need a lot of money.
We're going to need a lot of money.
That's going to be a really big check.
So I'm thinking of a number.
Mondays and Wednesdays.
And that's it.
Where do we sign?
Repeats 80% of the time.
Yeah.
I say Brady retires first.
Plus, Jimmy can't get injured.
What is he going to get?
Get a concussion
hosting a late night show?
Like Brady can't actually get hurt.
I know, but you would have thought
this would happen to Brady
three, four years ago,
but nothing.
I honestly can't believe it.
I can't believe he's 41 and he's doing what he's doing.
And I don't want to jinx him and knock on wood again.
All right, here's the first bet I'm doing.
I have $5.11 million to play with Sal in my million-dollar thing nest egg.
I mentioned this on your pod yesterday.
I've become even more enamored with it.
Sonny Michel, who has one catch in the last eight weeks,
who every time he's in, you know the Patriots are running the ball
and not throwing a screen pass or a wheel route.
The Super Bowl is when you change your tendencies,
when you operate under the assumption that the other team thinks
this guy's in, well, that means they won't do this,
and then you try to flip it on them.
I think they throw one pass to him.
And what's great is the over 0.5 total receptions
is now plus 110, Sal.
Wow.
So I am going to put $200,000 on Sony plus 110
that he will get
Kyle you writing these down?
That he will have one catch in this game.
Because he's going to go in
and the Rams are going to be like
alright we talked about this at practice
when he's in they don't throw to him
and they're going to throw to him.
How many does he actually have?
How many receptions?
He's had less than 12 all season.
And in the last 8 weeks he's had one and he has season and he's in the last eight weeks, he's had
one and he has not had one in the playoffs and they don't even, it's weird. Cause when, when
they drafted him, it was a whole thing about how he was this three down back potentially and how
you can throw to him. And he was so great at Georgia with the running and the receiving,
but they've just, he lost Brady's confidence a little in the first couple of games. And then
that was it. So perfect time to get it back.
Because they're going to have trouble running the ball in this game
with the Rams D-line.
All right, I like that.
And I'll tell you why I like it.
I like it because I like my bet, which is Brady over 25.5.
And I think now you have to get it at 26.5 completion.
So I think if he has 31, 32, as I'm predicting,
little Sony can get a half a reception.
He can get a half of those.
The Brady completion over has been one of the safest Super Bowl props we've ever had.
Yes.
All right.
It's pretty good.
So that's one.
It's pretty good.
Here's another safe one.
Will Gronk get arrested for public urination in a Waffle House Saturday night, 5 to 2 o'clock?
I kind of like that.
So it has to be Saturday night?
Yeah, well, the night before the Super Bowl,
there's always something weird that happens.
I'm going to take that one.
We're taking a break to talk about
To Kill a Mockingbird.
You might have heard Aaron Sorkin was on this podcast,
Academy Award-winning screenwriter and playwright.
He discussed his long career,
all the great things he did,
including the West Wing,
the newsroom, social network.
Well, he has a new play on Broadway.
It's an adaptation of Harper Lee's Pulitzer Prize winning
To Kill a Mockingbird,
which was recently voted
America's best loved novel of all time.
It has also become one of the most popular
and toughest tickets to get on Broadway.
It set the record as the highest grossing American play in
Broadway history. It doesn't
feature the Knicks, which is a bonus.
It's been selected as a critics pick
by the New York Times and it's been called one of the greatest
plays in history by NPR.
Two-time Emmy Award winner Jeff Daniels
live on stage as
Atticus Finch Variety said
one of the greatest stage successes
of this or any Broadway season
is not played to a single empty seat.
And while it's sold out
for the next several months,
tickets would make a fantastic
Valentine's Day gift
when purchased
for available performances
this summer or fall.
Tickets are available directly
through telecharge.com
or the show's website
to kill a mockingbird, broadway.com.
Check that out.
I'm putting $200,000 on this one too.
Todd Gurley, over 32 and a half yards receiving even odds.
200 to 200.
Yeah, you liked that.
You were talking about that.
Yeah, talked about that yesterday.
Here's the explanation
for people who did not hear it on your pod.
The Patriots have
had a nightmare time
covering running backs coming out of the
backfield on screens, delayed screens,
wheel routes, all that stuff.
And for whatever reason,
two weeks ago, the Chiefs didn't realize
this until the second half. And as soon as they
realized this, it was a disaster for the Patriots.
I'm operating under the premise
that Gurley is going to be healthier
and way more competent than he was two weeks ago.
And if you think about that Saints game,
they actually did try to go to him early
and he was just like a spaz.
Like they threw him two passes.
He screwed both of them up.
This guy was the best runner and receiver
we had in the league.
So.
Right.
32 and a half is nothing.
That's.
Kyle, how many times
do we give up a 20 yard
screen pass or wheel route
to a running back this year?
Like 230?
I'd say it's more
fingers than I have though
at least.
At least once a game.
Yeah.
So he gets one 21 yarder
and now it's like one more screen pass
for 8 and then another flare pass
for 5 and I've got to 33
so I'm putting $200,000
in that why don't you join me on that one Sal
well here's how I see it
you're not going to like this but
he goes the whole game without a reception
except for a minute 58 left in the game
the Rams are up 2
at the 35 yard line,
little swing past the girl.
He breaks a tackle,
gets down to the six and falls down,
but daylight ahead sits on his ass and bounce.
There you go.
I know.
I'm sorry.
I'm sorry to do that to you,
but guys are operating a different skill set here.
We talked about this on your pod yesterday.
I think if you think Gurley is going to be back in a big way,
there's a lot of value in that.
And most of the value is in the receiving stuff
because C.J. Anderson,
his over-under for receiving yards was like four and a half, you know,
he's like 280 pounds. He's not, they're not going to be flaring him out.
They don't have, I did see a stat with that or some weird thing.
Four to one odds.
The game is delayed when CJ Anderson gets stuck in the Rams tunnel coming out
the second half.
Good to see it happening.
Well, somebody is good.
Some running back is going to catch balls out of their backfield.
And they only have two running backs.
So I think it has to be Gurley.
Here's the other one.
I mentioned this on the podcast.
All right, I'll jump on that with you.
Why not?
I think it'll probably take like four receptions to get there,
but I'll jump on it.
Well, the fear is that he's really hurt.
And it might just be, if you do that bet,
the fear would be that he's really hurt.
But the thing is, if they're just going to try to run the ball,
it's not going to work against the Pats.
They're going to have to throw the ball to the running backs.
All right, here's the third run I'm doing.
Johnny Hecker will not throw a pass.
Minus 600.
It's expensive.
Can I parlay this with something?
I'll look for that
I don't know if you can
But yeah, that's a winner
I can't parlay that with anything?
That's gotta be a winner
I think you can
I'll find a guy
No, no, I'm saying on the podcast
Yeah
Right now
Yeah, sure, I don't know
It's just a podcast
What do you mean
Yeah do it
Or you just want me
To pay the minus 600
I think it's a winner
For sure
I don't
What are the odds
They
First of all
Every time they punt
Belichick for two straight weeks
Telling his guys
Like watch out
For the fake punt
There's no way
They're gonna try a fake punt.
Well, just numbers-wise.
So what's the comeback on that?
400?
The other way?
Plus 400?
Yeah.
I didn't even say.
Yeah, plus 400.
So you're saying every one in five games he's going to do it.
He's not going to do it after he just did it.
He's not going to do it against the Patriots.
They have to have another trick play.
Yeah. Also,
it's, oh, I guess it's
will he attempt
a pass? I wish it was complete a pass, but
will he attempt it? But
I'm just going to say this.
If the Patriots give up
a pass to Johnny Hecker on a fourth
down, I'm going to flip the fuck
out because this just happened.
So I'm betting this. I am putting $600,000
to win $100,000 on this
alright
$600,000
do you think Belichick
and it's amazing it hasn't come out by now
why Malcolm Butler was
benched really
do you think he doesn't take chances like that anymore?
I wonder.
I don't even know what the reason is.
We can only speculate.
Like, does he bench somebody randomly
and then put Patriots fans in a pit of despair
for the entire winter, wondering what happened?
Yeah, yeah, something like that.
Like, who is the guy that just gets randomly sat?
It's probably, my candidate would be Chris Hogan
because I didn't think he was very good in that last game.
Interesting.
All right.
Put the Hogan under props.
Next one.
James White.
This is Kyle's favorite, so I'm doing it for the Neff
because he's been a great employee and a great family member.
My kids love him.
He is one of the best family members you have. He really is. He's in the
top three. Top 10 or 15. Yeah, he's top three.
You know,
both of us love the, if you think
a team's going to win, then bet on somebody
on that team to also score the touchdown
parlayed with the win bet.
It's one of our favorites. So I looked at the
Pats and I was really trying to figure out
who is the most logical guy that scores the TD.
And I was leaning toward Gronk, and then Kyle reminded me
that James White does what he does in Super Bowls.
Plus, they're going to have trouble running the ball,
I think, consistently.
And they're going to have to use little screen passes
and swing passes and stuff.
It's a James White kind of game.
Plus 250, James White scores, and the Patriots win.
I'm going to put 200 on that, Sal.
200K.
All right.
I like that.
White plus a TD.
I love everything James White.
White plus a TD.
200 to win five.
There's another bet that I won't mention because I know it's leading to know it's leading to the Gary Russell bet and I don't want to spoil it,
but I'm going to mention it after you do that.
Okay.
And then that's it.
I'm done.
All right.
Give us a few here.
Yeah.
Give us what you got.
I have a over under 13 and a half million views
for the viral video
Two Girls, One Cooper Cup
which is going to be released Saturday night
no
I don't even know if that's true
he should do that
sponsored by Chevrolet
you have Jon Hamm read the
Mercedes
in the background.
I love that.
All right.
Oh, yeah.
Let's take a break.
Crown Royal is doing something pretty cool
this football season.
They launched a responsible drinking campaign
called the Water Break.
It's all about encouraging people
to hydrate between drinks
for a better experience
while they're at the game,
watching at home or in a bar.
Have a great time.
Enjoy some Crown.
Don't be that person
that ruins it
for everybody. We've all seen
that guy who drank too much watching the game.
Make the right call. Take a water
break. Sal, who made the right call this week?
I hadn't thought about it
a lot, but it just hit me. Roger Goodell
made the right call. He took a lot of crap
for not addressing the worst call, worst took a lot of crap for not addressing the
worst call, worst non-call of all
time. Roby Coleman's
just physical
assault at the end of the game. They didn't call
it. Saints could have clocked it,
kicked a field goal. That would have been that.
And Goodell finally did
step up and address
the Saints and said he
apologized and they made the wrong
call. He went from locker to locker, did not miss a player,
got them all and he did the right thing. So good job, Roger Goodell.
Once again.
Yeah. I thought that was awesome by him.
They say he's not accountable,
but then you hear those stories about just these heartfelt conversations he had
with the Saints and their owners when he flew to New Orleans
and he just went fan by fan, shaking hands.
Right.
Yeah, he's really something.
Collecting beads.
It was like Mardi Gras all over again,
but he's making amends.
I wrote a Goodell must-go mailbag,
and it was actually the week before I got suspended,
or two weeks before I got suspended,
but it was September 2014,
and it was honestly like six scandals ago.
And that was like, when I was like, we've reached the tipping point, this guy has to
go.
We've been like six terrible things have happened since then.
My right call goes to nephew Kyle on Saturday night.
We were at a party for John Hamm's movie. And it was awesome.
There were Liam lollipops. Your friend Daniel
was there. The waitresses
liked us. They kept bringing us drinks,
giving us food, lots of celebrities.
And Nephew
was really having a great time.
Really, really enjoying himself. And then
was enjoying himself a little too much.
And around...
I put a couple of videos on the Instagram
of him dancing.
Thanks for that.
You look around in the background,
it's just a bunch of Hollywood people
just having casual conversations.
He's like screaming the lyrics to Drake.
Kanye West, touch this guy.
So then finally,
it's a free party, nothing there.
Kyle somehow spends $80.
We're still not sure how. He's tipping everybody.
$5 bills.
Confessed after that he just
felt like he wanted to fit in. I'm like, let
Daniel and I tip everybody. That's why
the waitress keeps coming over.
Daniel's throwing 20s at busboys.
So then
Kyle
gives somebody $40
to let
Bobby in
one of the
ringer people
and
now they're in the VIP
and then
it's time for Kyle to go
and he knows it
and he makes
the right call
he goes
back to the place
we're staying
so we think
we're never gonna see him again
we're out
we're out
we're out for a couple hours
we have a whole bunch of people
including your friend Rob
Stone and all of his Colgate
friends and my friend Camp. I'm
friends with a lot of those guys. We all go back to
our house. It's now like one o'clock.
Jabelle Hill
is with us with her fiance. We're like,
we have beer at my house. We'll go back.
We're all in the kitchen. We're all drinking.
The door opens
and it's nephew Kyle.
He's holding a giant pizza.
He has just been on the roof in the jacuzzi eating a pizza for an hour and comes down
and doesn't realize there's 15 people there and is delighted and then has a second wind
and hangs out with everybody all night.
You know why?
Because he made the right call, Sal.
He made the right call.
He knew to take himself out of the game, regroup, eat some pizza, get in a jacuzzi, and then come back down and socialize.
My great call goes to Nathan Kyle.
Isn't that great?
Thanks.
So Crown Royal reminds everyone this football season to take a water break and hydrate responsibly, even if you're in a jacuzzi with a pizza.
I didn't know Domino's had lamb lollipops as a topping.
That's pretty good.
That's exciting news.
All right.
What other props do you have?
I have a few more.
How about this?
Pats to score.
The big is high, but the Pats to score a fourth quarter touchdown.
This has happened in six of the last seven and three in a row.
Wow.
I like it.
What are the odds?
Minus two 25.
If we're looking for something to parlay,
it's a last quarter touchdown.
Yeah.
Maybe we could do that.
So could we do a hacker?
We do hacker minus 600 with Pat's last quarter touchdown.
I think I could find a place to get that in.
Yeah.
We'll get,
what do you think that is as a parlay though?
Minus 600 or minus 225?
600 and 225.
Yeah.
This is where Sal is.
That is like 150.
Let me see.
150.
Why does that?
I should know this by heart.
I know.
How would you know that by heart?
Minus 600.
Minus.
Maniac.
25.
146. I'm sorry. I said 150. I feel terrible. Minus 146. How would you know that by heart? Maniac. 25.
146.
I'm sorry.
I said 150.
I feel terrible.
Minus 146.
All right. So I'm going to dump.
I'm dumping my Hecker bet.
I'm doing that bet instead.
And I'll put 292,000 to win 200.
Okay.
No Hecker pass can parlayed with Pat's fourth quarter TD.
Yeah.
There you go.
Here's the thing.
You might want to add this.
Whose age
will be closer to the total?
Belichick or McVay?
Belichick 66,
about McVay 33.
I didn't understand that bet.
You don't understand it? It's too much math. What are you talking about? Why. I didn't understand that, but... You don't understand it?
It's too much math.
What are you talking about? Why?
I don't know.
If I go, then the game ends.
I have to add.
I have to go backwards.
I have to subtract.
You just know you have the old coach,
so you root for points if you're going over.
Yeah, that's true.
I don't know if this is going to be
a lot of points in this game.
One more crossover.
Let me say one more crossover.
Zion points rebounds versus points scored.
He's playing St. John's on Sunday.
Versus points scored in the first half of the Super Bowl.
Wow.
Oh, the points in the first half are plus five and a half.
I think I like the points in the first half. Zion
averages 22 and 9 boards, so he's
right around 31. I think he'll do that against
St. John's, but I could see 14,
14, 17, 14 first half.
Wait a second, though.
Too much math? No, no, no, no, no.
Didn't we both
agree that the second half is going to have more
scoring than the first half?
Yeah. The Pats have one of those defenses
that for two and a half quarters, they
figured out everything you're going to do, and then as the game
goes along, it starts to fall apart.
All right, so you're going Zion.
So if I take Zion, what do I get?
I get plus five and a half?
No, you're laying five and a half
because he averages 31 between
points and rebounds.
Oh, but he's going to be at national TV for that
game. Yeah.
The problem is if they win like
90 to 42 or something and he only plays
like 20 minutes. Yeah, they will.
Yeah, I'm staying away. I like that bet though.
Let me find, let me see
if there's any more.
Tom Brady over on the rushing yards.
What do you think it is? Did you see this already?
It's two and a half, isn't it?
I saw one and a half.
Oh, one and a half.
That still seems like a lot.
And the under is minus 150.
I really hope he doesn't go over on that one.
The average is 2.4 yards per game.
2.2 yards per game, 1.4 carries.
What's the over under for times Tony Romo goes,
you got to love this Jim
they should have a decibel
count for him
there's also odds on if they're going to open the roof
now they're talking they might open the roof
wouldn't that be a disaster
that's going to delay the game
like 40 minutes
by the way the ringers Brian Curtis
wrote about the Romo
the whole Romo
phenomenon today
said he's going to
easily double his
current contract
of 4 million
oh his contract
4 million a year
ok because there's a
prop out there
and I kind of have
I might have a heads up
I don't want to say anything
over under
7 and a half
plays that he calls
just take the under
that's all I'm saying
no reason to show off plays that he calls. Just take the under. That's all I'm saying.
No reason to show off.
You made it to the Super Bowl.
Is it time for Gary Russell?
You ready for it?
All right.
Hold on.
Let me get a brief setup for the newer BS listeners
and the younger listeners out there.
We're actually,
this is the 10th anniversary
of the Gary Russell prop.
Mm-hmm.
Right?
This is it.
Wasn't it Steelers Cardinals?
Yeah.
Wow.
10th anniversary of this year of 30 for 30, my book and the Gary Russell prop.
What a year.
I love it.
So year two of you being on the BS report and we're doing a Super Bowl thing.
And you say you have this huge bet you want to do,
and I'm all excited.
It's your prop bet of the year,
and the bet was Gary Russell won't score a touchdown.
That's right.
And what were the odds?
The odds were pretty not favorable.
It was minus 175 for a guy that no one really had heard of.
Gary Russell was like CJ Anderson.
If CJ Anderson didn't do anything in his last,
this last month,
he kept his job at Walmart.
Yeah.
He was like a backup halfback,
sometimes fullback.
Right.
First quarter of the game,
Gary Russell scores a touchdown and we're at Jimmy's old house.
You guys have all three times,
by the way,
inside the tent.
Right. We're at Jimmy's old house. There's the ball three times, by the way, inside the tent.
We're at Jimmy's old house. There's a hundred people there.
And as soon as it happens,
a bunch of people are looking at you and it became, it was like, wow,
people are listening to the podcast. This is great.
So you went down in flames on that bet.
You didn't even get to enjoy it for like two quarters.
Well, but there's a better story to it at At another Super Bowl party, and this is true,
we got an email the following Monday or Tuesday, whatever.
There was a guy who saw that.
Gary Russell scores.
He laughs.
The only other person that laughs is a girl across the room.
They end up getting to talking.
They're a fan of our podcast.
They're talking.
They get together.
They're engaged, and they get married.
Now this is 10 years ago.
Yeah.
I don't know what kind of odds we have to put on them still being together.
I feel like we need to contribute to the divorce slush fund,
but, um,
and now they're divorced.
Please write in if you're still married or if you're not,
or we'd love to hear from you.
And now they're divorced.
And in a bitter custody battle.
Now they're probably,
they have to be still married.
This podcast brings people together.
It's a happy podcast.
Yeah.
All right.
They should email us, though, at themailbagattheringer.com and tell us that they're still together.
I'd love to know.
Yeah, let's hear from them or anybody who knows them.
Yeah.
But you want to go this year?
This year, I have a winner.
Yeah.
It's been a while.
Now, I've had, like, Henry Hynoski.
I try to pick some, like, obscure names here and there.
Who was the tight end for the Patriots?
I don't know.
I don't want to say he was Samoan, but he ended up, like, the third-string tight end, like, four or five years against Seattle.
I don't remember.
All right.
I had him.
He let me down.
I've been let down a lot of times before.
This time, I'm winning.
Yeah.
Because at 4-1 odds, and you can get as high as 12-1 odds if you shop this around.
Patriots fullback James Devlin will score a touchdown.
Wow.
Now, I could have gone over 1.5 yards.
That's boring.
But he has half as many touchdowns as he has rushing yards.
The pride of Brown.
He benches 500.
He squats 670.
And he scores this Sunday in the Super Bowl or the Pro Football Championship.
I don't know what we're allowed to say.
James Devlin.
Between four and 12 to one odds that he will score a touchdown.
So I had this marked.
Because, first of all, I love it.
Good.
On the sheet you sent me, it was
James Devlin scores and the Patriots win
was plus 45 to 1.
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
So why wouldn't you do that as the bet?
Because you think the Rams are going to win the Super Bowl?
I guess that would be safe.
I don't want to, you know.
I just picked it.
I focused on it.
You know, benches 500, squat 670.
It's a winner.
It's a great one.
It's a winner, Simmons.
You know it.
That and two girls, one Cooper Cup.
Two winners.
I am doing a variation of that.
I am betting on variation of that.
I am betting on James Devlin to score a touchdown and the Pats to win a hundred K 45 to one odds.
Wow.
What did you start with?
You have 5.1 million.
What'd you start with?
Yeah.
And I'm,
I'm saving some for,
uh,
I'm saving some for my two big bets at 5.1 million to start with million
dollar picks. Okay. Um, those two bets. I had $5.11 million to start with. Million dollar picks.
Okay.
And those two bets happen on a podcast tomorrow?
No, they're happening right now. I'm going to tell them to you.
Oh, all right.
I'm excited.
I don't have a drum, but I would like to hear it.
I'm going to bet.
Because I might as well blow it out, right, Kyle?
Yeah.
You did great all year.
You owe this to yourself.
I've been good,
except for one of the playoff rounds
I had some trouble.
Pats minus two and a half.
I'm taking that.
I can't believe it's not three.
I really feel like it's going to get to three.
I'm not worried about
the nobody believes in us
potential of this because the Pats have somehow convinced themselves that nobody believes in us potential of this
because the Pats have somehow convinced themselves
that nobody believes in them, even though they're favored.
I do feel like it is insulting that they're not three-and-a-half-point favorites
when we don't know if Gurley's healthy.
And it makes me wonder, if Gurley was healthy, what would this line be?
Something's weird with that.
And I just think, I just like this matchup for the Pats. I think ever since Cup went out,
it's been harder for the Rams to move the ball. Gurley not being a hundred percent,
that whole thing is just kind of strange. They really need like Gurley at a hundred percent.
Whether he's 80, 70 or whatever, like I just don't think they're going to beat the Pats in a Super Bowl
unless he's 100%.
And I also think the Pats, they can run the ball,
eventually wear down the Rams.
I think they'll have trouble early, but as it goes along.
And they just kind of found an identity over these last few weeks
as this old-school power-running game that can control the clock,
has a really smart quarterback.
They can protect.
They can block like fucking crazy.
This is the best.
It's the healthiest they've ever been in the playoffs in this whole Brady era.
It's unbelievable.
Like, does anybody hurt, Kyle?
No, even the inactives for last, the Chiefs game was like, this is amazing.
It's bonkers.
I couldn't believe it.
And Belichick builds these big rosters
and he's so concerned with depth.
And this is really one of the only times
they really have a healthy team.
Even Gronk is healthy.
And I just think,
I think that Chiefs game was the game.
They easily could have lost.
You could make a case
the Chiefs have the best team
and they screwed that game up.
And getting the break with the Chiefs have the best team, and they screwed that game up, and get in the break with the Saints,
and then the juju of all the Saints fans rooting against the Rams.
Pats have some people in our corner this time.
Yeah.
We have Saints fans.
We have the Patriots fans.
And that's it.
But that's more people in our corner than we've had before.
We have the fan base of another team in our corner.
So that's great.
Plus all the people from St. Louis rooting for us.
Right.
So three cities in our corner right now.
And probably half of LA too.
Half of LA.
I just think we talk about this all the time, I just think
the line should be three and a half. I feel like I'm getting
a free point. And if the Rams beat them,
so be it.
There's some smaller things, like Talib
has been so good
shutting down
the Pats in the past, but we don't really have
a receiver for him to cover this time around.
They put him on Gronk before in the Denver playoff game, but if they do that, the Pats are just past, but we don't really have a receiver for him to cover this time around. They put him on Gronk before in the
Denver playoff game, but if they do that, the
Pats are just going to run at him.
I just like some of the matchup stuff.
I also think the Rams,
Danny Kelly broke this down on
Twitter for us. He wrote down
their favorite play with the receivers on the right
and how they run
the same formation with the three wide receivers
over and over again.
Just all these different variations from it.
And in my opinion, Belichick has always done well
if it's one of those teams, offensively or defensively,
where it's like, we're just going to do this one thing
and you're not going to be able to shut it down.
He always figures out how to shut it down.
So unless they're really going to fuck around
and bring out some formations we haven't seen,
if they're just going to do that, I feel like he's going to have an advantage.
And I think this coaching staff's been really good the last couple of weeks.
So I like the matchup.
Here's the disadvantage, if I may jump in.
I like him too.
And I have not had good luck lately.
And I feel like I'm chasing against the Rams,
but I really did think about it in terms of maybe I could take the Rams here
because I think the Rams are better than the Eagles were last year.
I think golf is better than Foles.
Maybe he doesn't have the magic attached.
I think McVay is better than Peterson.
And when they're running the ball,
although the Eagles couldn't have done a better job running the ball last year
in the Super Bowl.
But that said, when was the last time the Patriots played a bad game?
Was it two months ago?
Was it the Titans game?
Yeah, there was a Titans game.
Eight weeks ago now?
I don't know what that is now.
They're just in it.
And it just makes sense to take them because they can play like crap like they did against the Falcons down 28-3 in this game.
And they're right there for the last drive.
And all you have to do is have them win by two and a half.
They can play like crap like they did against the Eagles,
and you're going to have them.
You're not going to be out of this game.
That's worst-case scenario.
You're going to be down, and they're going to have the ball on the last drive.
I really like the Patriots here.
I don't even think it's going to be that close.
I think it's going to be 30-14, and then maybe the Rams score.
I think it's like a 30-21 final. God, I hope you're right. I like your team and I'm
sorry because I've had a lot of bad luck. I bet the saints big, big money. And I got my computer
stolen outside the Elton John concert last night. So you probably convinced me to take any other
team than the Patriots. Uh, it'd be a smart move by you. Wait a second. What happened to your
computer? I got stolen.
I went to Elton John.
I parked in one of those
dumb $10 lots outside.
I had my computer
in the backseat
on the floor
and someone smashed
the window and grabbed it.
And my wife and I
got back to the car
and I was like,
oh, this shit still goes on,
I guess.
Yep.
And that's that.
Gone.
You know what was the worst
part of that story?
That you went to
an Elton John concert.
I can tell you Elton John's the only one who didn't steal my computer.
God, his voice was gone 20 years ago.
He's a legend.
His voice is gone?
He has no voice left?
No.
His voice isn't good anymore?
How does he sing his songs?
He's like, he can't hit any of the notes anymore.
No. Stop it. He's right there. What are you talking about? He's like, he can't hit any of the notes anymore. No, stop it.
He's right there.
What are you talking about?
He's in his seventies.
It doesn't matter.
He broke into my car.
That's the point.
What was on your computer?
I hope like stuff wasn't on there. Don't go breaking my windshield.
Damn it.
What a disaster.
Oh, you must have been so mad.
Oh, I was pissed.
I was up till three in the morning changing passwords.
We were at the police station in downtown LA, which isn't pretty.
I was so pissed.
Anyway, I'm on your Patriots.
Yeah, this worries me because you've had a tumultuous 2019.
We don't have to go into all the details.
We lost Super Dave.
Oh, yeah.
There's so much bad stuff.
Some other things.
Yeah, it has been kind of a...
Here's the counter.
This is what makes me feel better.
Corolla is definitely going to bet the Rams, right?
I think so.
Yeah.
So that's good.
I'm convinced I'm going to bet the Rams.
So Corolla will nullify you.
There's a prop out there that minus 260 on it.
When we do the podcast Sunday night, you utter the words, I told you we weren't's good. So Corolla will nullify you. There is a prop out there that minus 260 on it. When we do the podcast Sunday night, you utter the words,
I told you we weren't that good.
Stop it.
That's not fair.
Are we going to hear that?
Hey, look, I picked the Eagles last year, if you remember.
That's true.
I didn't understand the line,
and I really felt like it wasn't a great matchup for the Patriots.
And this time around, I picked the Pats against the Chargers.
I picked them last week.
And I don't think they haven't played the right team that would be the biggest problem for them.
I think the Saints would have been a problem.
Yeah.
Because the whole Kamara thing, I have no idea. What would we have done against Kamara thing I have no idea
what would we have done against Kamara
Kyle's just shaking his head sadly
I like that he can be my fantasy guy
and that's it
he would have destroyed us
oh my god
we have nobody on our team who could cover him
I don't know what we would have done
oh my god that would have been awful
so now we have 280 pound CJ Anderson I don't know what we would have done. What do you mean, Kyle Van Noy? Oh, my God. That would have been awful.
So now we have 280-pound C.J. Anderson and Todd Gurley,
who's going to be at an exercise bike hopefully half the game.
I don't know.
I like it.
So I'm doing $2.5 million on Pat's minus 2.5.
Wow.
2.5 minus 2.5. It's a $2.5 million thing.
I left a little if I get destroyed during the Super Bowl.
That's all. You can make a second half bet.
What is the lock it in guys? What are they like?
Have they announced it?
They're all over the ramps. I think I'm the only one who has the Patriots.
But they read into the line too much.
I think they read way into it instead of just staring at the game.
They're kind of the same way.
Like, wow, this hasn't gotten to three.
Someone's trying to pull the wool over the public's eyes.
Do we really think Tom Brady's going to lose
back-to-back Super Bowls to Nick Foles and Jared Goff?
Yeah.
That doesn't make sense.
It doesn't seem likely.
God, I can't believe you went to an Elton John concert.
What are you talking about?
I should have made that my crown royal great
call of the week. Oh my God.
Elton John's the greatest.
I love Elton John.
He's done touring after this. He's been saying
that for a hundred years. He's 75.
He's going to get a residency now and he's done
touring.
Jesus.
Well, I'm going to play Elton during the podcast if we go
down in flames with the Super Bowl. I'll play
Mona Lisa and Matt Hatters or something.
Do it. Or take me to the
pilot. Take me to the pilot
so I can leave the country and escape these
gambling debts. Hey, if you have
Sal's computer out there, give it back. That's
bullshit. Yeah, come on. He's a
good guy. He's not funny anymore. That's ridiculous. Anything else you got to plug? No, that's there. Give it back. That's bullshit. Yeah, come on. He's a good guy. He's not funny anymore.
That's ridiculous.
Anything else you got to plug?
No, that's it.
Lock it in.
It's our 100th show on Friday, if you happen to be around.
Wow.
And that's 430 to 530 Eastern on FS1.
Exciting.
Sal, always a pleasure.
I will talk to you on Sunday night, win or lose.
Good luck. Let's pull in. One more win. Six wins. You on Sunday night, win or lose. Good luck.
Let's pull in.
One more win.
Six wins.
You can do this.
We got this.
Good job by you.
Good job by you.
All right.
So before we go to recap the bets, 200K on Sonny Michel plus 110 that he will have.
One.
Just one catch.
Another 200K on Todd Gurley over 32 and a half receiving yards.
That was a good one.
Little parlay, 292K to win 200 on no Johnny Hecker pass parlayed with a Pat's fourth quarter TD.
That was exciting.
And then 100K on James Devlin, 45 to 1,
that he will score a touchdown and the Pats will win.
And then we're also doing 200K on James White, plus 250.
He will score a touchdown.
The Pats will win.
And then finally, 2.5 million on the Patriots, minus two and a half.
Hope you enjoy the Super Bowl.
Root for the Pats.
Root for greatness.
That's what you should do.
You should root for greatness. That's what you should do. You should root for greatness.
You might never see this again.
A quarterback and a coach winning six Super Bowls together?
Kyle.
Come on.
Nephew Kyle, my son and I will be watching.
We will do a podcast on Sunday night.
Thanks to ZipRecruiter.
Don't forget to go to ZipRecruiter.com.
Slash BS.
And that's it.
See you on Sunday. On the wayside, I'm a person never lost And I don't have to ever forget