The Bill Simmons Podcast - What If the T-Wolves Sweep Denver? Plus, the NBA’s Media Deal and Freshman-Year College Lessons With Ethan Sherwood Strauss and Zoe Simmons.

Episode Date: May 8, 2024

The Ringer's Bill Simmons wonders out loud about a number of scenarios that could happen if the Timberwolves sweep the Nuggets in Round 2 (3:31). Then, Bill is joined by Ethan Sherwood Strauss to disc...uss the new NBA media deal and post–All-Star break NBA officiating (31:05). Finally, Bill talks with his daughter, Zoe Simmons, who just finished her freshman year of college, about some of the things she's learned about life in the past nine months (1:21:06). Host: Bill Simmons Guests: Ethan Sherwood Strauss and Zoe Simmons Producer: Kyle Crichton The Ringer is committed to responsible gaming. Please visit www.rg-help.com to learn more about the resources and helplines available. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

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Starting point is 00:00:00 coming up a bunch of NBA stuff and a surprise guest appearance from one of my favorite people next. This episode is brought to you by my old friend, Miller Lite. I've been a big fan of Miller Lite, man, since college days when I was allowed to have beer. I think nephew Kyle is a fan too. Miller Lite keeps it simple for us. Undebatable quality, great taste. Picture this, it's game day, all the gangs here, you're tailgating outside the stadium. It's a great time for beer. Or how about when you're standing at the grill and the smell of sizzling burgers is in the air? Moments like that. Or when you want a light beer that tastes like beer, that's delicious. You don't want to load up on those heavier beers and then you only have two of them.
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Starting point is 00:02:07 Please visit RG dash help.com to learn more about the resources and helplines available and listen to the end of the episode for additional details. You must be 21 plus and present in select States gambling problem called 100 gambler or visit RG dash help.com. We're also brought to you by the Ringer Podcast Network. We put up a new Rewatchables on Monday night. We did a long cane poly. You can find that on the podcast feed.
Starting point is 00:02:30 You can find that on YouTube. You can find that on the new YouTube channel we're launching. We launched. It's already launched. Ringer Movies. Yeah, that's right. Go to youtube.com slash at Ringer Movies. And all the Rewatchables will be And all the rewatchables will be there.
Starting point is 00:02:47 All the big pictures will be there. We're going to try to tape as many things as we possibly can live to put on that channel. We're going to do some shorts. We're going to do some side stuff, some projects. I think it's going to be a really fun channel. We have a whole plan for it. So follow it if you like movies. You probably like movies if you're listening to this podcast,
Starting point is 00:03:07 but it's all leading to on Monday, May 13th, me and Sean and CR and Van Lathan, we're going to do a live Rewatchables on Ringer Movies. So stay tuned for that. We will reveal what movie it's going to be on the Rewatchables Twitter feed or maybe even on Ringer Movies. So stay tuned for that. We will reveal what movie it's going to be on the Rewatchables Twitter feed or maybe even on Ringer Movies. So stay tuned. Monday, we're doing a banger.
Starting point is 00:03:31 Like a real, we needed four people for this kind of movie. We're also brought to you by FanDuel and FanDuel Sportsbook, where right now, thanks to me, all customers get a 30% profit boost token to use on any wager on any NBA game bet on Wednesday, May 8th, 2024. Click the claim now button on the homepage to claim the PBT,
Starting point is 00:03:57 apply the profit boost token in your bet slip when placing an NBA bet. So there you go. Coming up on this podcast, I wanted to talk about Minnesota and Denver and all of my thoughts about that series, specifically under a prism, a what-if prism. So we're going to do that at the top. Then Ethan Sherwood Strauss, I like his sub stack. We want to talk about the NBA. Is the NBA more or less valuable than we think it is
Starting point is 00:04:24 with all this TV money getting thrown around? We'll talk about the officiating stuff too. And then last but not least, my favorite person, Zoe Simmons, who has been coming on this podcast since she was a little kid, pre-teenager. And now she's back from college and she's going to tell us everything she learned in college
Starting point is 00:04:41 in her freshman year. She also just turned 19 last week. Last teenage year. Just give me an exhaust pipe. Okay. That's going to be the podcast. I'm going to bring in Pearl Jam. By the way,
Starting point is 00:04:57 we had Pearl Jam last week. You can find that interview on our YouTube channel, youtube.com slash at Bill Simmons. And we put up a special nine-minute bonus content of Eddie's little baseball memorabilia thing he has going. Huge diehard baseball collector, Eddie Vedder. And he walks us through it.
Starting point is 00:05:18 We did a YouTube clip. You can find it. So there you go. And now let's bring him in. Pro-Jet. All right. So I'm taping this on a Tuesday. The next Minnesota-Denver game isn't until Friday. Minnesota took a 2-0 lead over Denver, and there was a moment around the second quarter in that game
Starting point is 00:05:56 when it was just clear that this was now Clubber Lang in the first fight against Rocky, where you're just like, oh my God, they can't hold these guys off. We talked about a little on the Sunday pod with Versillo about what if they're just ready now? What like we've seen this over the course NBA history, sometimes teams are just ready and we never expect it, but they're ready to go. And, and then we all look at each other and we can't believe it. And then it happens in this case, it's happening. So my question, if you remember once upon a time, I did a whole chapter about what ifs on my book of basketball. I did the 33 biggest what ifs. I got to do that again,
Starting point is 00:06:33 because there's probably more what ifs now. I have Kevin Durant's above, but at least four of them. What if Minnesota sweeps? What if they sweep Denver? Just as a thought exercise, what are all the ramifications of that? We leave the weekend. I think they play on Sunday and Rossello and I are talking about a Minnesota sweep. What are the outputs of this? Well, here's the biggest one. Anthony Edwards becoming the king of the NBA is officially in play. What does that mean? Well, he's averaging a 32 and a seven and a six and over and over again is just making these crazy supernatural plays. he was playing at this weird pace that we did a little frantic. Like he just kind of couldn't, couldn't grab control of the horse. And the opposite happened for Edwards. Edwards, it looks like everything's slowing down. He's starting to look like Bradley Cooper and Limitless. I was watching Limitless over the weekend. And there's that moment at the end when he's talking to De Niro and De Niro's like, you're
Starting point is 00:07:42 going to fuck with me. I'll come right at you. And Bradley Cooper's like, do you understand what's happening right now? There's going to be a car accident right over there. Watch this. Guy's going to be looking at his phone. Car accident happens. Everything is slowed down for Edwards. Shit's going on. All of a sudden he has this mid nineties turnaround Michael Jordan shot that Jordan took years
Starting point is 00:08:03 and years and years to craft and perfect. I'm not comparing to Michael Jordan shot that Jordan took years and years and years to craft and perfect. I'm not comparing to Michael Jordan. I'm just saying all of a sudden he has this bankable turnaround shot where he can physically push down, get to the spot that he wants, and then just easily shoot over basically anybody they put on him. Aaron Gordon, cool. I'm just going to go buy you. Everything slowed down for this dude. So, all right. What does that mean? What if he goes through KD and Booker in round one? What if he goes through the defending champs and Yoko Jumuri in round two? Next round, Luka or SGA, they're going to be favored in that. And then Tatum and Brown in the last round, I've already watched him go head to head with those guys and he couldn't
Starting point is 00:08:41 be less scared of them. What if they win the title and he runs for all those dudes and wins finals MVP? Like this is on, here's what else is going to happen. Team USA late July. Well, this now turns into a 92 Michael Jordan. Hey, I know you love all these old guys, but I'm also here. We he's in the Netflix series. Netflix is doing that NBA show that's basically modeled after quarterbacks. I think LeBron's in it. Jimmy Butler Tatum's in the Netflix series. Netflix is doing that NBA show that's basically modeled after quarterbacks. I think LeBron's in it, Jimmy Butler, Tatum's in it, Anthony Edwards is in it. From what I've heard, he is very, very, very loving
Starting point is 00:09:16 of all the cameras and all the attention and all the different stuff that comes with that series. They're predicting he might be the star of the series. Not surprising if you watched Hustle with Adam Sandler when he stole every scene he was in in Hustle. comes with that series and uh they're predicting he might be the star of the series not surprising if you watched hustle with adam sandler when he stole every scene he was in in hustle so you have that endorsements sneakers commercials hosting snl all that stuff becomes in play and then um just like the the future of the league. Again, this is a thought exercise. I'm not, I'm not overreacting.
Starting point is 00:09:47 I'm not prisoner of moment. I'm just saying, what if he sweeps Denver and then it keeps going? We went from Jordan dead spot, Kobe and Shaq. They showed up. Great. Hey, Hey guys. Then it eventually became Kobe and LeBron. Little Wade mixed in there for a split second. Turned into LeBron and Curry.
Starting point is 00:10:08 And now we're hitting the tail end of LeBron and Curry, it feels like. And we're all looking around going, well, who's, is it just going to be foreign dudes that are running the league? It's going to be Giannis and Jokic and Luka. What are we going to have? An American guy under 30 take the reins here?
Starting point is 00:10:23 And then Ant comes in and he's like, I am doing a Michael Jordan impersonation for the entire playoffs. How about that? Will that do it for you? I'm the most charismatic, fun guy the league's had in God knows how long. Is that enough for you? So there's that. He even squashed the MJ goat thing already.
Starting point is 00:10:44 He was like, don't compare me to him. He's the greatest player of all time. That's not fair to me or him. Don't compare him to me. He had that quote, which also was a weird way to get on the board with the MJ LeBron Goat conversation, where he's like, Michael Jordan is clearly the best player of all time. I can't wait to see how LeBron reconciles that. The point is that the biggest what-if outcome of a Denver sweep, if they pull this off, is Ant becoming the king of the NBA world is in play. There's more stuff I have for you. Minnesota, they become the title favorites regardless of what the odds say.
Starting point is 00:11:18 Right now in Fando, Boston's even money, plus 100 to win the title. Minnesota's plus 290. OKC's plus 750. Denver's 50-1. The odds are better for Boston because there's more risk against Fando and whoever's taking those bets on Boston. In Minnesota, the odds drop.
Starting point is 00:11:36 But to me, Minnesota becomes the favorite in that series because of the way they're playing, the way they're playing defense, the Porzingis question. If you're giving me Porzingis in the Minnesota series, I'm more interested. Now I think Boston with game seven at home. But right now with me not knowing what's going to happen with Porzingis, Minnesota has to be favored in that series. Here's another thing. Man, this one, I had to break out another stupid
Starting point is 00:12:00 pyramid for you guys. I was thinking about the best defensive teams I've ever seen since the ABA-NBA merger, which is the 76-77 season. Underrated Blazers year there, by the way, if you're talking about the defensive teams. But
Starting point is 00:12:14 the best defensive team I've ever seen and playoffs have to matter. Don't get me like, oh, the 2016 Spurs, the regular season defensive rating. I'm talking like when, oh, the 2016 Spurs, the regular season defensive rating. I'm talking like when the fucking money's on the table,
Starting point is 00:12:29 what defense do you want? And it's down to the 04 Pistons and the 89 Pistons. Those are the two best defensive teams I've ever seen since I've been watching basketball. I wasn't old enough to see Bill Russell. And by the way, if we're doing best defensive teams of all time, it starts with pick nine Bill Russell teams. The 70 Knicks are probably in there somewhere.
Starting point is 00:12:49 And then it's all the modern teams. But Russell and whoever is the best offensive team of all time. I'm going to go with the 04 Pistons because a couple things were going on there. One, the rules were in their favor. And we talked with Ethan Sherwood Strauss later about how the rules changed in 04 and that 2024 is a little similar. Ben Wallace, Rasheed Wallace,
Starting point is 00:13:12 those dudes together and Rasheed Wallace really giving a shit. So you're protecting the rim. You can switch on anyone. They were probably the two best defensive bigs in the league. Duncan's probably 2B to Rasheed, 2A at that point. Tayshaun Prince, shutdown guy on the sides. And then the Billups, Hamilton backcourt, plus the way they played together.
Starting point is 00:13:33 And they just ripped through the playoffs. And we still didn't totally believe there are five to one underdogs in the finals, which was ridiculous. And they ended Kobe and Shaq. It was done. They finished them. So I think about the 0-4 Pistons. It's not just how unbelievable it was to watch them. Very similar to basically what we're watching in this Minnesota-Denver and what we watched with some of
Starting point is 00:13:56 the Minnesota-Phoenix stuff, where it just feels like they have eight guys, but there's only five. They can protect everything. They're able to change the flow of a game and the pace and just teams are on their heels. Kobe was so bad in that final series. It was shocking. We couldn't believe it. This was Kobe at the basically peak of his athletic powers. Even by the time he got to 2006, I don't think he was as unbelievable as an athlete as he was in that 0-1 to 0-4 stretch. But that's the best defensive team I've ever seen. The 89 Pistons are second. When I did my book, I think I had them as the fourth best team of all time. And it was partly because they were so malleable with their lineup. But they had Rodman, who's whatever shortlist you want to
Starting point is 00:14:40 make for the best defensive players ever, he's on it. They had Joe Dumars. They had the collective John Sowie. They had all these different, you want to go small ball, we can do that. If you're going to play three guards against us, we can guard that. They just were the Swiss Army Knife defensive team and they're physical
Starting point is 00:14:59 as fuck. And they just want to beat the shit out of you. Impossible to play against. I have them second. And I think the number three spot right now I would have for the 91 Bulls who go back and look at the stats for that. I think the points allowed that season for them in the playoffs was like eight or nine points lower than everybody else. MJ at his athletic peak. Pippen really coming together as one of the most important defensive players in the history of the league. And they throw Pippen on MJ in the series changes. Horace Grant's in there. That team was
Starting point is 00:15:35 just loaded. I would have them in the three spot, but I think the T-Wolves have a chance to take it, which is why I mentioned this. So if I'm doing a pyramid, 0-4 Pistons top, the next spot would be the 89 Pistons and the 91 Bulls. Next spot, the third level would be the 99 Spurs, which I'm always going to be partial to because it was the one time they got Robinson and Duncan together, the Twin Towers where they're just like, you're not getting in the rim on these guys. It's not happening. It's never happening. Collectively, that team was just a nightmare. Then you have the 96 Bulls, which was the older, wiser version of the 91 Bulls. I made a rule that it had to be
Starting point is 00:16:14 at least five years between teams. So you couldn't do the 89 Pistons and the 90 Pistons. It's not fair. They're basically the same team. 96 Bulls, you're adding Rodman, older, wiser, MJ Pippen. And by that time, I wrote about that in my book about how those guys, it was like MJ had just trained his shadow defensively in Pippen. And those guys, the way they moved was unbelievable to watch. So I would put the 24 T-Wolves pretty close to that third tier at this point. The last tier is 08 Celtics, who were an awesome regular season defensive team. And then playoffs, a little more hit or miss, especially when they went smaller lineups.
Starting point is 00:16:54 The 92 Knicks were incredible. They ended up losing in round two to MJ and Seven, but they, man, they just like basically took the Pistons thug ball and they went to a whole other level with it and turned every game into a rugby match. 03 Pacers with Artest and Jermaine O'Neal and just the rules were really good. And then the 05 Spurs, I had to have a Spurs team from that era with Duncan and Bruce Bowen and Manu and all those guys. And I think it would probably be the 05 Spurs. The point is that if the T-Wolves sweep the Nuggets
Starting point is 00:17:26 and they're able to beat Jokic the way they're beating him, the three spots in play for me, it really is. It's between them and the 91 Bulls for the best defensive teams I've ever seen in my life. The size they have, this is another outcome. Jaden McDaniels, who has not only, would you call him one of the best perimeter defensive players in the league, now he's starting to be like,
Starting point is 00:17:51 where does this guy rank for best perimeter players we've seen in the last 10 to 12 years? Just an absolute shutdown. It's like having the ultimate shutdown corner in football or something. And then the size of Gobert and Towns and Nas Reed, who was so crucial against Jokic. And then Edwards, who we talked about earlier, but the defense is one of the things that makes him so special.
Starting point is 00:18:16 This was the thing Kobe always had from basically like 99, 2000, 2001. He was trying to figure out who he was offensively. He was trying to figure out how to play with Shaq. But the defense where it was like, 2000, 2001, is he was trying to figure out who he was offensively. He was trying to figure out how to play with Shaq. But the defense where it was like, man, this guy's going to make some all defensive teams. And especially in the playoffs, he could just lock people down. And Edwards has that too.
Starting point is 00:18:35 The competitiveness, the ability to go both ways. They never seem tired. The difference is Edwards physically is just way stronger than Kobe was. Kobe, you go back and you look at those early Kobe years and he's just thinner and, and, um, just look at 06, 08, 09. He's just kind of filled out and stronger and he can take contact in different ways. The guys in the guy in those early years was just this pretty skinny, amazing athlete who was competitive as shit.
Starting point is 00:19:06 Edwards is already built like he could walk on a football field and run for 1,500 yards. Another outcome, the Gobert trade, much ridiculed on this podcast, goes from being one of the craziest trades ever made. And I still, by the way, feel like it's one of the craziest trades ever made, to an incredible look-ahead moment by Tim Connolly. Because I thought, look, I went on the record. I thought what they gave away was insane. I thought they gave 210 cents on the dollar. But even if you're going to justify it,
Starting point is 00:19:38 it made no sense because Ant wasn't close to being Ant yet. It's like by the time NBA history says he's going to start peaking by the time he's 24, 25, which would be the end of this contract. So you're trading for this guy in a win now mode, but the guy that you need to help you win now isn't ready yet. Well, obviously Tim Connolly saw something and was like, this guy's going to be ready sooner than we thought. And maybe he looked at the history of MJ and Wade and Kobe and all these dudes that age David Thompson, all these guys age 22 to 23 and their ability to potentially just be superstars out of nowhere when you're least expecting it. Did he see that? Did he just want
Starting point is 00:20:17 to have a competitive team right away? I don't know, but putting Gobert and the rest of the sides they have behind Ant and McDaniels turned out to be one of the shrewdest things of the decade. I'll never apologize for my take on the Gobert trade. I think they gave away too much, but it worked. Another outcome, Towns, much maligned. On a scale of Ben Simmons to 10, Towns was probably a three, meaning negative. I give up on this dude as being a winning basketball player. I don't see it. I don't know if he's wired to win games correctly. All the dumb fouls, the stuff. Even you saw it this year when he went for 60 in that meaningless game and his coach benched him. He was a classic, he's never going to get it guy.
Starting point is 00:21:01 And Edwards is so great now that he's sucked him into the greatness. And this version of Towns is unbelievable. The way he's playing defense against Denver. Holy shit. So now he's he went from a how can you win with this dude to wow, you can win with this dude. That's the
Starting point is 00:21:20 thing about basketball. Never give up on talent apparently. A couple more outcomes. The new rules become legendary. Minnesota wins. They changed it. Ethan and I are going to talk about this next segment, but they changed the rules mid-season.
Starting point is 00:21:32 It ends up being absolutely perfect for Minnesota specifically and leads to them, again, in this what-if scenario, sweeping the Nuggets and becoming the favorite to win the title. There's a Phoenix outcome here. sweeping the Nuggets and becoming the favorite to win the title. There's a Phoenix outcome here. If the Nuggets get swept, where maybe we have to go back and reevaluate Phoenix a little bit,
Starting point is 00:21:54 which Phoenix just seemed like, whoa, what do they do? Blow it up. They have no picks. This is a wrap. They won 49 games and they went against one of the all-time hot playoff teams and a team that I'm now talking about historically as a defensive team. And, you know, they didn't have a point guard. They barely had a center.
Starting point is 00:22:14 Like maybe we should give them a little more slack because they made Denver just look as bad as Phoenix. So if I'm a Phoenix fan, I feel slightly better about it. Denver, if they get swept, they take a big historical hit. As you know, I'm a giant Jokic fan. This gets tough to defend because Denver, who I think we were doing the podcast segments last year,
Starting point is 00:22:37 and Doc and I talked about it at the end of the finals, is like, is this team positioned now to go on a run here to win like three titles in four years, three titles in five years? Now if they got swept, they move into, yeah, they won that title, but, and they move into that group. You know what else in that group?
Starting point is 00:22:57 The 22 Warriors. Sorry, you're in it. You lucked out with some of the teams you played. The 21 Bucks. Yeah, you're in there too. The 2020 Lakers, bubble. 2019 Raptors. Yeah, KD and Klay Thompson got hurt in the same series.
Starting point is 00:23:13 Really our last champ that wasn't polarizing in any way was the 2018 Warriors. It's very hard to leave a season, 2012 Heat are like this too, where we leave the season going, yeah, that was the best team, no question. I still, there's a piece of me that feels that the 2009 Lakers,
Starting point is 00:23:31 you could have made a real case for Orlando in that series, but 2008 Celtics, good example. Yeah, that was the best team. I felt that way about Denver last year, but now it's like, eh, maybe. I wonder if that's who they played. I don't personally believe that. I'm just saying it's now in the air. And I wonder if that's who they played. I don't personally believe that. I'm just saying it's now in the air.
Starting point is 00:23:48 And the other thing that's in the air for them is they had this big, we're smarter than everybody, we're going length and young guys and we're going to be so hard to play, but they bet on young guys and they bet on young guys the same way that the Warriors bet on their young guys last year. Eh, we can throw away, toss away some stuff on the bench
Starting point is 00:24:04 where it's time to bet on their young guys. You're And we can throw away, toss away some stuff on the bench where it's time to bet on their young guys. You're betting on young guys. Guess what happens? Sometimes young guys don't show up. Sometimes they're up and down. Sometimes they're unpredictable. And you think about Minnesota, some of the guys they're bringing off the bench,
Starting point is 00:24:17 they're like pretty experienced dudes, right? They have a nice blend of experience and youth that I think in this series, we're going to find out on Friday night, can Denver trust Christian Brown? Can they trust Peyton Watson? Because they're going to need younger legs to fight off this crazy Minnesota buzzsaw. Conversely, if Minnesota wins the title, and again, this is a what if exercise, they sweep Denver, they beat OKC or Dallas, which would mean they beat either Luka
Starting point is 00:24:46 or they beat Shea, who's going to be second MVP. And then they beat, after beating the defending champs and some of the best players in the league, they go and they beat the 64-win Celtics and Jason Tatum. This becomes one of the better
Starting point is 00:25:01 fuck yeah titles we've had in a while. Because I think Dallas in 2011 is an awesome example of this, right? this becomes one of the better fuck yeah titles we've had in a while. Because like, I think like Dallas in 2011 is an awesome example of this, right? Dirk, who much maligned, he's just runs through everybody. He runs through Kobe and he runs through Durant and they gets to the finals
Starting point is 00:25:17 and he runs through, uh, the, the LeBron Wade Bosch team. And he's just like, just taken skeletons in every series. This would be a taken skeleton series from series from Minnesota.
Starting point is 00:25:29 This was not a year where it's like, ah, well, you guys lucked out because this guy got hurt or that guy got hurt. This would be like, they're going through some fucking good teams here. And, uh,
Starting point is 00:25:38 and it would just be really impressive. I mean, it'd be one of the more impressive titles I've seen. Um, which leads me to one more outcome here. There's two different, I mentioned this a little on Sunday with Ursula, but there's two different levels of surprise NBA moments when we get to the playoffs. One is the, wait, we're doing this now? Where it's like the 2012 Thunder. It's like, oh, I guess they're going to make the finals now. The 1977 Portland Trailblazers, same thing. 2015 Golden State, 30-1 to win the title before the year. Cousin Sal and I bet on it.
Starting point is 00:26:16 And then it was like, okay, I guess they're going to beat Memphis. I guess we're doing this now. So Minnesota would go down that lane. But also in this Denver series, and this is what I talked about. We're still on Sunday. I was like, yeah, I think this sweep is possible because we've seen this happen over the course of the NBA history. We saw it happen with the 0-4 Pistons, split with the two games in Lakers, blew them out.
Starting point is 00:26:39 14 Spurs, split the first two with the Heat, blew them out. Last three games weren't close. 91 Bulls, sweep the Pistons. And you could feel it in the second quarter of that game. It wasn't just that they were beating Denver. It was like they were ending Denver, at least for this season. They were taking, they were sucking the soul out of Jokic.
Starting point is 00:26:59 They were ruining Murray to the point that he fucking threw something on the court. It wasn't just they beat them. They were snatching souls from them. And I don't know if Denver comes back from that. But that's another outcome of this. Now, this is a part of the what if sweep thing. But if Jokic can somehow figure this out and pull them back, they're still 15 to 1 to win the title. All the ads are saying that they can't come back from this. If he can somehow figure out this monster of an opponent and pull his team
Starting point is 00:27:31 back, this would be one of the great things I've seen from a basketball player because he's just, especially with Murray, clearly not a hundred percent with the lack of a bench and how hungry and motivated Minnesota is compared to Denver who won the title last year. To flip this series at this point would just be nuts. It's the worst possible opponent for him.
Starting point is 00:27:51 They have a ton of size. They have guards that can just pressure Murray and pressure him and pressure him and use length. It's just a nightmare for them. If he could pull this out, it'd be great. The flip side for him is that if they don't pull it out and they get swept, this is the last outcome of the series from a what-if standpoint.
Starting point is 00:28:10 The Yoka Chaters come out in full force. The people that never believed even when he won three MVPs in four years, even when he won the title in a finals MVP, even when he averaged over the course of four playoff seasons, dating back to 2021, I think he's 30, 13 and eight. He's like unequivocally one of the great offensive players in the history of
Starting point is 00:28:34 the playoffs, no matter how this turns out. And the haters will still come out in full force and be like, see, told you he wasn't that good. And just throw some defense at him. He looked out last year with who he played. He's going to get all that stuff.
Starting point is 00:28:45 What does that do for Jokic? It's going to the lab. It's become like a, I mentioned Rocky three-year-old. It's become now Rocky four things back in the log cabin. Like now he's lifting Paulie and Adrian. Here's why this is stupid.
Starting point is 00:29:01 Just about every great player has sucked in a playoff series or played below their level or just caught the wrong opponent at the wrong time. This is part of NBA history. And it's going to sound like I'm making excuses for him, but I'm not. A good example I mentioned earlier was Kobe in that Piston series in 04. Worst possible team for him to play. Team was splintered. It was a bad Lakers season just in general. 22.1 points a game in the finals. 38% field goal. Not great.
Starting point is 00:29:32 LeBron against Dallas in 2011. Terrible opponent for him. Sean Marion, Tyson Chandler behind him. Dallas had really kind of figured out that Miami offense and LeBron got into his own head. And the pressure was too much for him. The season was too much behind him. Dallas had really kind of figured out that Miami offense and LeBron got into his own head and the pressure was too much for him. The season was too much for him. 18 points a game in the finals, 18, seven and seven from LeBron James in a finals when he's kind of near his apex. It happens. MJ, my guy, the greatest of all time against Orlando in 1995, comes back from baseball.
Starting point is 00:30:07 Guess what? Orlando kind of kicked his ass. I don't care what the stats say. Go watch some of those games on YouTube. Larry Bird, my favorite basketball player of all time against the 88 Pistons. Got his ass kicked. Coming off the Hawks series against Dominique or the duel and he beats Dominique. It's oh my God, Larry's going to this off. And then, you know what he wasn't expecting? It was Dennis Rodman in the next round. And his body was starting to break down. Same thing for Magic Johnson against the Celtics in 84,
Starting point is 00:30:32 where he just sucked. They were calling him Tragic Johnson after the finals. KD against Golden State in 2016, where they're up 3-1. They have a chance to finish it. And he just doesn't play well. Every Will Chamberlain playoffs
Starting point is 00:30:44 against Bill Russell, basically, except for 1967, I can keep going and going and going and going. This happens. This is the wrong time, wrong opponent, wrong season for a Jokic-Minnesota matchup. And what I'm interested for is what they would do going forward
Starting point is 00:31:01 under this what-if scenario of what-if Minnesota sweeps. If they get swept, what does the team look like next year? What are the moves? What was wrong? What do they do? Because Tim Connolly built Minnesota to beat Denver. Now Denver has to rebuild themselves to not only beat Minnesota, but you also have OKC coming. You have Boston in the East. This is an unbelievable turn of events I bet on Minnesota I think I talked about this in the pod at 16-1
Starting point is 00:31:29 with like three weeks to go in the season just because I felt like they had defense they had a good coach and there was a puncher's chance Ant went up a level and then by the time the playoffs started I was picking Phoenix against them in round one so I'm not taking a victory lap because I watched Phoenix just make them look
Starting point is 00:31:51 like they were a year away from being ready, but Ant went up a level and here we are. I think Minnesota is going to sweep Denver. I think the series, I've been through these a few times as a fan and I think this one's done. And basketball is about to change as we know it. So there you go. We're going to take a break. Ethan Sherwood Strauss is next. With Fando, it's never too late to get in on the action in this NBA playoffs. Right now, new customers get $150 in bonus bets with any winning $5 bet. That's $150 to use on same game parlays, live bets, championship futures, exclusive markets, and so much more. There's no better place to bet all the
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Starting point is 00:33:11 Bonus bets are non-metrobial and expire seven days after receipt. Restrictions apply. See terms at sportsbook.fandle.com. This episode is brought to you by Prime Video. You know me, I can't go a day without sports. I really can't. And now Monday nights are all about hockey. That's right. There's a new exclusive home for streaming Monday night NHL
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Starting point is 00:34:25 All right, the king of substack, Ethan Sherwood Strauss is here. What's it like to be the king of Substack? Is there like a crown? What do you get? You get a mug. So that's nice. They send you a mug and I got some swag. I just stopped by the Substack offices and I got a onesie for the baby, a few hoodies. Yeah. I'm practically King. Yeah. I'm like King Todd over here. It's very impressive. That's great. Well, you should check out his sub stack if you haven't read it. He has some always interesting thoughts about sports and especially basketball. Sometimes I disagree with you. I'll text you when I disagree. I'm like, I just disagree with what you wrote there. I asked you, what is a topic that we could talk about? And we settled on, is the NBA more or less valuable than people seem to think it is? Because this has been,
Starting point is 00:35:17 I've heard people going hard both ways. And sometimes there's an agenda when people are going hard, but they're about to do this new deal. I was on Matt Bellany's podcast last week making predictions for it. I think there's going to be three suitors, not two. I think they're probably going to at least double the total number of money they got, which doesn't necessarily mean they got double the amount of money. There's some thoughts on that. No, no, the interest is pretty good for a league that you could kind of pick apart in some ways. You It is, as a share of the television audience, a media and the fact that it's still popular enough, it is, I guess, increasingly valuable. And then it's got this weird value, Bill. I would call it the Ben Thompson theory. Ben Thompson, who's been a fantastic guest on your program, where you would think,
Starting point is 00:36:39 one would think, as these cable companies, as ESPN, as Turner, as they lose more and more subscribers, as they go from 100 million people to 70 million people, that they would pay not as much money for sports rights. But the weird thing about it is it increases this desperation, totally counterintuitive, where they pay even more because they have less of an audience. It is a bizarre business. Well, and then on top of it, here's the part. I don't know what the right answer is, but I've
Starting point is 00:37:12 heard both sides of it, right? Ratings are going down. Less people are interested in basketball based on the viewing audience of basketball, which mirrors a lot of the viewing audience of like network TV, things like that. But when Derek Thompson came on and we talked about some version of this and he was saying, I am a diehard basketball fan who doesn't watch basketball that much, but I love the whole circus of basketball. I love listening to podcasts about it. I like consuming the highlights of it. And I was saying, that's basically my son. My son barely ever watches basketball with me, but knows what's going on, knows who all the players is, has an Anthony Edwards opinion, and is just basically getting this through. So in some ways, the NBA fits in better than it ever
Starting point is 00:37:54 has in whatever weird culture we've created, right? Way better than baseball. Mike Trout went out for maybe the year and people are like, I don't know what Mike Trout looks like. And whereas basketball, it's just constant, constant. When you get to the Olympics, they're going to be some of the most famous people there. But yet the results aren't there from a who's watching standpoint. And yet they would go, but look at our social, look at us on YouTube, look at us on Snapchat, like any other, you know, big picture variable from 2020s. We're doing great. Yeah. I don't know what to believe. It's this weird thing where it's almost like there's this secondary
Starting point is 00:38:31 market of yourself when it comes to a media property where I have all these opinions on some of the NBA player podcasts, but similar to your kids, I've never actually sat down and listened to a full Jeff Teague podcast, but I've seen all these clips on social media and on YouTube. And I guess basketball has more of a secondary market of itself than these other sports. And then there's this other aspect of it that's hard to quantify, which is how much of the personalities involved matter? How much do these companies want to be affiliated with the brand of the NBA, which is a cooler brand as they see it, to maybe even a more popular sport like college
Starting point is 00:39:13 football? The reaction when college football signed its playoff deal was a lot of people going, wow, that's not for as much money as I thought. College football is having a moment. More and more people are watching it. But I don't know if college football is necessarily something that is as alluring as being connected to the NBA if you're Amazon, for instance. And I don't know how you see these things. You're higher up in the business world than I am. Oh, thanks. But the older I get, the more I come to the conclusion that a lot of these deals are driven more by personality than I would have thought and less economic imperative than I would have thought. We have two other big factors coming,
Starting point is 00:39:58 right? The expansion teams are coming the moment this deal gets done, right? And the expansion prices are going to be huge. The values of the franchises have also gone up partly because of the meteorites deal. So they can point to these different things and say, I mean, look at the money we just got from our three new TV partners. Look at the money we're going to get from these expansion teams. How could you not say we're doing well? I'm in the camp of they are doing well. But I also see some of the stuff that you've written about where you're like,
Starting point is 00:40:29 whoa, football said, oh, you like Christmas? Cool. We're taking it. Like that's it. Oh, Martin Luther King weekend that Monday. Oh, you're going to make that your day? Cool. We're going to take that too. And they're just like taking days by force, that matter of the NBA and the NBA even retreated from Thursday, which was the holy day for regular seasons, Thursday, Chuck and Kenny and Ernie and a double header and football blew that out of the water. They retreated to Tuesdays until football's gone. So you see some stuff like that and you're like, well, they're not even remotely in the same vicinity as football. Yeah, it's crazy. I think in 2016, they do those top 100 sports TV events of the year.
Starting point is 00:41:14 And back then, I believe the NBA had 12 in the top 50. And I can't quite recall how many they had in the top 25, but they had a significant amount in the top 25. So that was Curry versus LeBron in the finals, but also Curry versus KD in Westbrook in the Western 100. It's just not even there. They're bounced from the top 50. So it represents how the NFL, on a relative basis, has just taken more territory relative to the other leagues, including, as you mentioned, Christmas, where the NFL goes, it's ours now. And they've almost taken this. Yes, it's ours. It's done. I think Goodell said something like, I don't have to ask permission when he was asked about it. But at the same time, what's so crazy, Bill, is that if we look at the past decade, I believe when this deal was signed, by the time the ink is dry, the NBA TV rights would have gone up by a greater percentage than the NFL TV rights. So as much as Adam Silver might have made this
Starting point is 00:42:27 or that misstep, maybe he's just a much better negotiator with these rights deals than Roger Goodell is. And maybe Roger Goodell is looking at the situation and wondering, hey, what's up with this? We are the NFL. We're getting 10 billion a year. The NBA is going to get six or seven, and we're the NFL. What the hell happened? Yeah. Well, it's timing is what happened. Sometimes you get timing at the perfect points of whenever your contract is up or your deal is up. I think about baseball. Baseball struck with all those RSNs at the perfect time. I forget how many years ago that was. And something that might've happened to baseball anyway, didn't happen because of the RSNs at the perfect time, right? I forget how many years ago that was. And something that
Starting point is 00:43:05 might've happened to baseball anyway, didn't happen because of the RSN money and because of how badly each RSN or whatever was needed baseball and needed 162 games. We'd always hear like baseball literally eats up innings. Well, now that model is going away and baseball is in a completely different spot, especially with people under 25. And we've been talking about this for how many years? Since really the mid 2000s. Yeah. But now it's finally coming home.
Starting point is 00:43:34 I forget who always has fun with this on Twitter, but the Sunday morning baseball package, which was on Peacock last year and like baseball is like, we're shopping this. And then it's like Roku's like, we'll take it. And now they have some national game that's earlier than all the other Sunday games. It's like, cool. I'd never watch a game that's not the Red Sox. I'm not even watching the Red Sox right now. So in some cases where you feel like,
Starting point is 00:44:03 man, you got super lucky with the timing of that, which I do feel like is the case with basketball. But on the other hand, I think basketball is much better suited for wherever things are going than baseball is, right? Yeah. And I also think, you know, one of my subscribers wrote into me because I've been talking about this whole distinction between event sports and inventory sports and how the NFL is an event sport. It's a big event. And my contention is when it comes to holding popularity in this culture, there's so much noise,
Starting point is 00:44:33 so many options. You want to be an event sport. You want to be like the UFC. You want to be like the NFL. You want to be like college football. But the guy wrote into me and he said, you know, you're not really giving the inventory it's due here. This is what's enabled the NBA to sell off different pieces of itself. So maybe the lesson is that baseball, that's too much inventory sport. That's too much inventory. You've gone crazy with it. You're getting lost in the shuffle. You're just part of the background of life right now. The NBA has had some of that, and its regular season has waned. But the amount of inventory it has, combined with enough eventiness of its playoffs and its cultural appeal and what you're talking about, where it's popular in the secondary way, it just allows the NBA to sell off pieces of itself. I thought ESPN, based on the reporting, seems like it's gotten a really good deal in this whole negotiation. But then the NBA still has yet more pieces of itself to sell off. And it almost creates this desperation bid between some companies that might be on the come, might be on the make, and a company like Warner Brothers, which is desperate,
Starting point is 00:45:43 might go belly up if it seeds the property. So the right mix, the Goldilocks of event and inventory for the NBA, perhaps. Well, somehow the NBA pulled off basically doubling the amount of money they're getting for these packages from a place like ESPN. But ESPN's getting less in the deal. That's been a lot of the reporting this week where ESPN might just give up Fridays. ESPN's always had Wednesdays, Fridays. They've had a Saturday night game. They've had some Sunday games. And they're just going to get less of that because that has to get spread around. But they're so desperate to still be involved in it.
Starting point is 00:46:16 They're like, all right, fine. And, you know, that's my question with TNT. And Bella and I talked about that a little bit last week. Because I think TNT, I think Warner's going to get bounced from this. I think that's how it's going to play out. I think it's going to be NBC slash Peacock combined with Amazon. We'll basically get what we know as the Warner side and ESPN will give up a little bit to throw into that package. I don't know if Warner wanted to pay double what they were paying to get less stuff. It's like, what if we're going to do that? Are we still getting a conference finals every year? It's
Starting point is 00:46:50 like, no, we're not sure about that anymore. I'm like, well, fuck that. We don't want to do that. But when you have people over a barrel, that's when you can get them to do whatever. I personally think it's an absolute catastrophe for Warner if they don't keep basketball. Because what are they at that point? Yeah, it's like one of those Daryl Morey poison pill contracts from back in the day. Oh yeah, the Omar Asik. Yeah, yeah, yeah. NBC has put them into the Omar Asik kind of situation where you're damned if you do, you're damned if you don't.
Starting point is 00:47:21 They're not a big company relative to these other bidders. And now you're seeing the strangeness of David Zaslav, who runs WBD. They're putting him on the TV during these playoff games, and he's waving, and he's next to Lloyd Bankfein or flying of Goldman Sachs. It's almost like he's trying to say, look, I've got great credit. If we pay for these rights, we're not going to go belly up. Hey, if you want to get recklessly speculative, I wonder if NBC, Comcast put them in this position because there are rumors that Comcast would like to buy Warner Brothers. And maybe this is the thing that puts them towards the brink of bankruptcy. I don't know. They're cutting their legs out. Yeah. I mean, I'm just getting a little bit wild, a little bit of succession-esque plot when I throw
Starting point is 00:48:10 that out there. But that's one of the rumors you hear bandied about. But it is a crazy situation for them at Turner where it looks like they can't afford this, but it looks like they also can't afford not to do it. And you wonder, to get back to this, how much of this is personality-driven? How much of this is that Zaslav of Warner? He said, we don't need the NBA a few years ago. And you wonder if that factored in. I bet he would suck that one back into his mouth and not have it live in the air. Yeah. Yeah. Well, now you see him at the games during this rights negotiation. Like, I love the NBA.
Starting point is 00:48:47 Yeah, it's great. You got, oh, Knicks. You know, the other thing, there's another piece of this that I, there's so many things going on. This is why I want to do a segment. I mean, we have another, we're going to talk about refs in a second,
Starting point is 00:48:59 but what's happening with the league sanctioned networks, which is also a piece of this, because they haven't reported this yet but my guess is nba tv is just going to probably cease to exist at some point or it will just become a highlight thing or to morph into nba.com which is already kind of happening um but you think about i remember when i was at grantland and the w WWE launched their WWE channel and they're like
Starting point is 00:49:27 we're bypassing all these people we're going to own our shit ourselves and it was like the final level of the RSNs it was like whoa they're going to the pay-per-views are going to be on there what?
Starting point is 00:49:36 you're not going to have and then as soon as things shifted where the rights became more valuable than owning your own stuff they were also the first one to shift and be like hey Netflix hey Fox hey Peacock, and they started selling their content.
Starting point is 00:49:50 I think we're watching what's happening with the NFL network where they're just gutting it. They also have the ability, anytime they want to sell a game for it seems like between 75 million and 100 million, anytime they want, which at some point there's a law of diminishing returns with having the NFL network
Starting point is 00:50:07 and the fees you get from that from the cable systems versus, hey, Amazon, do you want five more games or seven more games? And I think that's also happening with NBA and the NBA. Like we've had all these playoff games on NBA TV. Why? Yeah. What's the point of that?
Starting point is 00:50:23 Like they could have sold those games a week ago. If there's some NBA TV game this week, they could have sold it to Amazon just to say, fuck it. Why not? I'm sure they have deals and there's stuff that makes it. But don't you feel like that model is about to be past tense? Definitely. And I think it sounded good to them back in the day. And maybe it had a little spark of life way back in the day when Gary Payton and Chris Weber and Ahmad Rashad on the NBA TV studio set. Glorious days. Oh, it was just wonderful.
Starting point is 00:50:53 It's a bygone era. But yeah, sometimes you don't want to make all of your own stuff. I once saw somebody figure out how to make their own chicken sandwich from scratch. And I mean, farming. And I mean, farming and I mean, raising the chicken and what the total, what the total cost is and everything else. I feel as though these leaves, Tom Brady, who I think is just a, just a guy, but maybe that could be a secondary career for Tom Brady after the roast. But, um, it, I think for them, they realized that this is actually difficult and you need an infrastructure. And you saw that with NBA TV. They brought in Turner to do it for them because it's just not something that's easy to do yourself. And as you're talking about, if you're trying to sell these games, I mean, that's really what it's all about. I don't know if this term is ever going to catch on, but after Peacock had that NFL playoff game
Starting point is 00:51:47 and made some money off of it, I call it the Peacockification of sports where, and it sucks for the consumer. I think we're just going to see. Is it just shortness of cockification? The cockification. Yeah, yeah.
Starting point is 00:51:58 The consumer is certainly getting cockified as they're paying a fee here and a fee there, you know, in order to see a playoff game. But that definitely seems to be in the offing, especially if NBC has rights where, yeah, there's going to be a really big playoff game that you want to watch that's going to be on Peacock and you're going to sign up and either you'll be a committed Peacock customer or
Starting point is 00:52:22 you'll forget about it and you'll just keep on paying the sub fees and that's what they're counting on. Also a fascinating way to find out how intense your audience is both for the product and for teams. Yeah. Nick's Pacers game five only available on Peacock guys. Okay. What do we got? Who's signing up? How many, how many people are from like the tri-state area? How many people are from Indiana? And then they study all that data and they're like, Whoa, that really drove our audience in New York. So then the NFL looks at that and goes, it did. Oh, we'll put a giants game on there. And then you kind of go, but I just feel, especially as everybody, all these big companies, they they're trying to get sleeker and sleeker. You have like a league like the NFL, 32 owners. They just want to, they just want checks for stuff. Right. Yeah. Like when the
Starting point is 00:53:11 NBA expands and it's $9 billion for the two teams and each NBA owner splits $300 million. It's like, here's your check. $300 million. Whoa. Thank you. I appreciate it. Same thing for these games. Peacock's like, there's 90 million for the Tuesday game after Martin Luther King day. Great. How much is that? It's two and a half million. Oh, thank you. And that's what they care about. So I think they're going to dump these channels. Yeah, I think that's what's going to happen. And it's an indication of why Adam Silver apparently was renewing his contract a few months ago. Ultimately, it's about the money. And while I've certainly been critical of some of the things the league has done, I don't like how they've handled the all-star game. I love the new prison ballification of
Starting point is 00:54:00 the NBA, but that's maybe for later on in the conversation. Ultimately, for the owners, it's about the money. It's about the embedded growth principle. And Adam Silver appears to have made it rain. And it seems like he has really put the screws to David Zaslav and he has found the necessary leverage during a rather chaotic moment for the league. So what a decade for the NBA. Yeah. And we were going to get to this point that, I mean, I'm old enough to remember when Nolan Ryan signed for a million dollars a year. There was either Sports Illustrated or Inside Sports had one of those covers and it was million dollar players and are the salaries getting too high? It was like in 1979, 1980, somewhere in that stretch. And we had million dollar players and are the salaries getting too high? It was like in 1979, 1980, somewhere in that stretch.
Starting point is 00:54:47 And we had million dollar players. And it seemed like I was a little kid. It seemed like so much money. You're like, this guy's making a million dollars a year. It seemed like, you know, we had no context with it. Now you think less than 50 years later, 45 years later, once the salary cap kicks in the way it's going to kick in, we're going to have a $100 million NBA player over the next decade, right?
Starting point is 00:55:10 Because there's only 12 to 15 players on a team. So if the salary cap is going to, the amount of money that goes to the players is going up by 7% every year for 8, 9, 10 years, that's going to lead to somebody signing a $750 million five-year deal, something like that. That's where we're heading, which I think is great. Kudos to them, but I'll be really interested to see how the fans respond to that. I mean, it's a good bulwark against the Jonte Porter situation. If all the players are making
Starting point is 00:55:42 at the baseline bottom $30 million a year, then you're not going to have any of that funny business. And I guess the details are negotiating right now. It's about whether Anthony Edwards will be a $100 million player or Nas Reed will be a $100 million player. So there's going to be sticker shock. There's certainly going to be sticker shock. I think as far as the owners and everybody else within that business, they're going to be very happy with the results. Now, what it means for the NBA's future and how popular it's going to be. I mean, that's more stuff for people like ourselves who care about its cultural impact and its cultural imprint. And I think that's more up in the air. Well, here's I mean, I did this at the
Starting point is 00:56:22 top of the pod, but if Ant becomes the guy. you can't even put a price on what that means to the league. Like if he legitimately becomes the guy, they don't have anybody under 30 who totally fits that bill. And we were in that situation in the late 90s, early 2000s, where they were dying for anybody to take over. And then it kind of eventually became some combination of Kobe and Shaq, then Kobe and LeBron. And then they figured it out as the decade went along. If Ant becomes the guy, that makes a lot of this a lot easier. Having a signature guy that everybody knows and cares about, wanting to see if they make the playoffs every year.
Starting point is 00:56:59 The other piece we didn't mention, how they included the WNBA in the deal and didn't split it out. And I asked some people involved in this, why are they doing it that way? And the NBA's theory was, if we include the WNBA and you basically have to have all of it, for us, that's 320 days a year of basketball. You're adding the NBA and then all WNBA stuff. I mean, way back in the day, back when I used to make fun of WNBA, we always felt like it was being force fed to us like broccoli and it was two different audiences.
Starting point is 00:57:34 And I don't know if it's two completely different audiences anymore. Oh, it poisoned the relationship, the early relationship between the NBA and ESPN because the executive over there at ESPN, I'm trying to remember if it was Shapiro, he was mad at David Stern. He didn't want Stern to force the WNBA upon him. He said, look, we like women's college basketball, but people are not watching this. And Stern was furious and he was livid. And he tried to go over, he tried to go over, I think Shapiro's head with Iger. And it was just a really toxic relationship on the basis
Starting point is 00:58:13 of that aspect of the WNBA. Now with Caitlin Clark, I mean, there is some legitimate interest there. And it's almost some of the stars they already had that you could feel it changing the last couple of years. And then I think Caitlin's going to be the catalyst that happened with the NBA, where college basketball was bigger, and then the NBA became bigger than college basketball as basketball professionalized. If something is going to happen like that with women's basketball, where it will go from more popular college to finally the WNBA will make that leap and overtake. I don't think so, but that potential is there. I almost wish they broke out the WNBA rights just so I could just see where they're at. Right, and see who is desperate enough to overpay for it. Which is always the case with all of these sports rights come up.
Starting point is 00:59:18 There's always somebody who really, really, really, really needs it. And we're going to post basketball. UFC is going to be the next one. And UFC is just sitting there like, guys, please knock yourself out bidding on this basketball one because whoever doesn't get this is going to need us. Like at that point, Warner is going to need them. I think that's the one I think Netflix is waiting for. And we just saw it with the Brady roast. Netflix wants these live events that are in and out they don't care about the inventory as much
Starting point is 00:59:47 as what you were talking about earlier they want like splash and UFC is splash every four Saturdays huge things they can put on there blow it out, put Netflix stars around the octagon, the whole thing I think it makes way more sense for them
Starting point is 01:00:02 WNBA they haven't figured out the schedule. I think that's the killer for them is that basically the part that would really resonate when basketball is gone that like eight weeks, by the time football comes back, now all of a sudden you're going against football and it just feels like the playoffs get lost in a way that, I don't know how they fix it. It's like a jigsaw puzzle, right? There might not be a way to fix it.
Starting point is 01:00:33 Yeah, I think the issue structurally with the WNBA is that it is a subsidiary of the NBA. And therefore, it's hard to figure out what's unique about yourselves because there's so much pattern off of the parent company. I would have liked to have seen the WNBA try to be dramatically different, try to have a way different schedule, frankly, try to do some of the wackier Adam Silver big ideas, but it just didn't seem to happen that way. Except for the one thing.
Starting point is 01:01:04 The one thing they should have done, and maybe there's still time to do, that they didn't seem to happen that way. It just, I mean, except for the one thing, the one thing they should have done, and maybe there's still time to do that. They didn't do from the outset is just use the same team names. Like why force people to learn about the fever? You know, why not just have the W pacers? I think that makes it so much easier to just resonate and cut across. Like how they in college where it'd be like the lady Gamecocks.
Starting point is 01:01:26 Yeah. I think they're close to figuring this out. But I wonder if the season should start before college basketball or during college basketball. And then they have the hockey model where like college basketball ends and the players just come right into a season.
Starting point is 01:01:46 Or do you stagger it where it's like two halves? There's got to be some way where the season peaks when there's no NBA, no NFL, and that's how they win. They would argue that we're growing anyway and people want multiple options. But I think it's interesting. Women's college basketball took off basically by targeting those days when there was no men's college basketball, right? That Friday final four became this event and they had it forever. But I think once they really honed in on that and then Sundays and they, and it was always, they were never competing against too much. And that was, I think what tipped it. And now that to me, it's like all one thing. Like you get to that final four weekend, it's just four straight days of basketball, but they've also got a competing business and it's somehow
Starting point is 01:02:45 both things and it goes against them and they don't have that advantage that football has. Football is the beautiful model where on Saturdays we've got the college product and on Sundays we've got the pro product and one will help the other and flow into the other. The NBA is in an awkward place with this where they don't care. They're bathing in money currently, but they tried to make G League Ignite work and they tried to replace the college basketball pipeline and they were not able to do that. So yeah, I think there's actually an easier pathway to making women's college basketball work for the WNBA than right now there is for college basketball to work for the NBA. You're right. I just, I wonder, so this ties into another passion point
Starting point is 01:03:31 of mine that I know you and I have both talked to Steve Kerr about, the shorter NBA season. And I wonder if, like, if you're going to basically align the WNBA and the NBA from a selling rights standpoint, it would make sense to me to make the WNBA kind of lead into the NBA season. So you have the playoffs and the finals. Basically, that's like late September to October. And then the basketball start, the NBA starts like late October, early November, something like that with a 72 game schedule instead of an 82 game schedule. The thing I don't get about the 82 game schedule is that literally nobody wants it. Not one person. And when you talk to people about it, they're just like, yeah, it's too much money. That's it. But you're just getting so much fucking money from this new deal. This is the time to go to 72 games.
Starting point is 01:04:25 Yes. It should be seized upon as an opportunity. I don't know if they care enough to do it, but it should. And it is crazy, Bill, this whole thing where ESPN and TNT are both... I mean, ESPN, it almost seems like, look, we will pay you more money, but we want less product. There is something so paradoxical to that. It's almost like we just want the good stuff from you. We care about the conference finals. We want that. We care about the NBA finals. We want that one game a week, but we don't want all of it. We don't want all of the inventory. We want enough to be able to tell people that you've got to pay a sub fee because we've got the NBA. That's what we want. And then we want the tentpole, the big event that people are going to see because it's a huge game, but we don't want all of it. So there is this question of how do you make the regular season really work? I don't think they're going to do it, but are you aware of the Kevin Arnovitz model? And if you are, then how do you feel about it? Tell me what it is. It is a proposal that some within the league like.
Starting point is 01:05:25 It was proposed by Kevin Arnovitz, who is at ESPN.com back in the day, that you've got Kevin. Jesus. I know. I know. You know. I'm explaining to the listener who you should know who Kevin is because he's a fantastic writer.
Starting point is 01:05:39 You might or might not agree with his whole big idea, but it would be a 44-game NBA season, twice a week, regular schedule, something like Tuesday and Thursday. And maybe you've got some sort of big one-game showcase on the weekend. And the whole idea would be to eventize the NBA, where if you're an NBA fan, you know exactly when your team is playing. You know they're playing in the way you do with the NFL. Personally, I feel like the model, though it sounds radical, I think it would make the NBA just huge. It would just make it more popular. I also know why it won't happen, because they're getting a bunch of money anyway, so why take a big risk?
Starting point is 01:06:22 Yeah, but you could have a modified version of that if you cut to 72. They're going to go to two more teams, so it'll be 32 teams. You do four eight-team divisions, right? So you play everyone in the other conference twice. That's 32 games. Then you play everyone in your conference three times. So that's 15 games total. That's 45. So that gets you to 77, right? 77 is at least better than 82. But now if we wanted to do, now we could actually go a little lower than that. Now it's like you play everybody in the other division in your conference two times. That's 16. Now I'm at 48. Then I play everybody in my division three times. That's another 21. Now I'm at 69. And the 69 game
Starting point is 01:07:11 schedule, which would be hilarious. People get a lot of jokes out of that. But somewhere between 69 and 77 feels like the right number. And I just think about the plan, how we kind of engage with the NBA around, I don't know, like three weeks left. We're like, oh shit, Golden State might not make the playoffs. To be able to speed that up a little sooner with more stakes,
Starting point is 01:07:34 and if you have one injury, that could really matter. I just think it would make the league more interesting, but they're not going to listen to us. They might, but they probably won't, but they might in that case, because that's not a huge
Starting point is 01:07:45 sacrifice to get there and there is some proof of concept uh the most watched nba season post jordan and i don't think anybody would have anticipated it it was the lockout season of 2010 2011 i think no 11 12 That season was awesome. 66 games. And it was like, it was actually just hoops every night. It was great. Yeah. And there was no rollout.
Starting point is 01:08:11 You couldn't promote it. They hastily put together their greatest ad, which the I want to be with you forever or whatever it was with the bad CGI that still had an emotional impact merging the players from yesteryear with the players today. But the crazy thing about it is when baseball had its strike, it took a huge dip in popularity, but the NBA
Starting point is 01:08:32 had something equivalent. And because I believe they had fewer games, it just whet the appetite more. So I think at some level, people kind of know how many games you have and calibrate their interest according to it. And so I think if you did cut it by what you're talking about, I do think that you would be more rewarded by more interest in the league. I don't know if any owner wants to take that risk when they've got the money in hand, but I do think that's how it would work out. Well, one other thing about that lockout season, which is relevant to the time right now, LeBron year two Miami. Yeah. Um, Durant, OKC taken off. Kobe still circling around the Lakers. Derrick Rose taking off in Chicago, Carmelo in New York, the old Celtics team. There was just
Starting point is 01:09:23 a lot of fun teams that year and a lot of fun storylines. And then Dirk and Dallas trying to defend the title. And I think where we're heading toward in the mid-2020s, especially now that we are establishing Minnesota as a real new contender, we're establishing OKC. Luka and Kyrie might be able to play together. You know, you got the Celtics. You have whatever the fuck's going on in Phoenix.
Starting point is 01:09:43 And you'll always have the Lakers. And now there's a lot of players at the table um wait before we go we got to talk uh referees really fast oh yeah so this was the biggest rule change we've seen affect the competitiveness of the season um that i can remember in the nba since 2004 or 5 when they headed into that 0-4 or 5 season and got rid of the hand check and all that stuff. You've been fascinated by it. You've written about it a couple of times. Most fascinating thing to you about this?
Starting point is 01:10:13 It's that we don't even know perhaps who's good or who is optimized for this. I think Kerala Bob tweeted that he has to recalibrate everything with the San Quentin rules, as he put it, where I'm looking at what happens to Denver right now. And I'm looking at this team and I can tell something is weird about them. Something is off. Jamal Murray's throwing things at refs. So maybe if we played the season out without the rule change, maybe they would come apart and they
Starting point is 01:10:42 wouldn't have a good title defense. At the same time, I don't know. Maybe they were just well-situated for the old rules and the Timberwolves are well-situated for these new rules and this prism ballification or whatever you want to call it, this whistle swallowing where I just looked it up. The, I think, defensive defensive efficiency there was no team uh well it's just i think the lowest team was at 104.6 for last postseason and there are four teams right now in the postseason with a better defensive efficiency i don't even need to give people stats because everybody sees it everybody sees jamal murray jamal murray getting his leg humped
Starting point is 01:11:22 uh all the way down the court you. Everybody can see that it's a different kind of situation right now. And so that's part of what's interesting to me is just, I don't know who is best situated for this. I've heard from people that, you know, Luca's kind of good with these rule changes. He's just big. You're not going to throw them off. So maybe they're better than we thought they were. And it's something that is completely changed, changed the game. And maybe this is another thing we could credit Adam Silver for. This is bad process, good result. I mean, generally, it's not good to have a secret rule change in the aftermath of your TV meetings at All-Star during a rights negotiation. But I can't disagree with the result. I love the result. I didn't like the cheapening of the sport. I didn't like 145 to 135. I think they're just like there's sort of an ideal length to the season. There's an ideal score. There's a platonic ideal. And there's sort of an ideal length to the season. There's an ideal score. There's a platonic ideal.
Starting point is 01:12:27 And there's nothing more beautiful to me than a 100 to 101 playoff game. And yeah, they've got to refine it. Maybe you can't have guys clawing each other's eyes out and they've got to figure out something in the middle and a happy medium. But I generally think this has been a great reform for the league and a happy medium. But I generally think this has been a great reform for the league
Starting point is 01:12:47 and a direction I really approve of, even if it was arrived at in a particularly shady way. I remember Rasul and I, because we were doing pods about it pretty early, because we, I mean, within the first nine, 10 days, it was like, this is different.
Starting point is 01:13:05 Okay, who's going to win from this? And I think Minnesota was one within the first nine, 10 days was like, this is different. Okay. What's who's going to win from this? And I think Minnesota was one of the first two teams we talked about. Cause we were like, man, if these are going to be the rules, this is great for Minnesota. I think we said the Knicks. Um, I think maybe we talked about the Lakers just cause they know how to, you know, with LeBron and Davis and the fact that LeBron gets the one guy who still gets calls. But yeah, it turned out to be this fortuitous event for Minnesota. But I have to ask you, what's your hottest take for why they did this? My hottest take? You can be the rational Ethan Tate, but you're known to whip some hot takes around from time to time. What's your hottest take for why they did this in February?
Starting point is 01:13:48 My hottest take would just be the conspiracy take. It would be that one of the TV broadcasters said, look, you got to stop this craziness. We'll give you the $2.6 billion or whatever, but you've got to stop this now and show, you know, show that you're loyal to us and you'll be responsive to us. We want to know that when we say jump, you ask how high. And that's my take. Do I know that that happened? I know that Adam was humiliated by the All-Star game. And I know that there was some sort of event with Larry Bird and Bob Costas where they started cracking on the modern NBA and the lack of defense and they were getting belly laughs in the room. And there was a bit of an embarrassment factor.
Starting point is 01:14:33 And everybody knows that the All-Star Game isn't a real game, but it sort of highlighted how the game had kind of become like an All-Star Game. And so, yeah, the two hot takes are that it was demanded by a broadcaster or the other hot take is that it was all adam going back to his hotel room steaming and going fine fuck it fuck you guys we're changing the rules sick of trey young whipping his head back and getting a call um either one i like. Either conspiracy theory I like and I don't think they're necessarily mutually exclusive. I love the Adam goes back to his hotel
Starting point is 01:15:09 room after the All-Star game just pissed off sending emails to the director of officiating. He's like, alright, execute Operation Prison Ball. And that night the thing was sent. He just had it. Just being pissed. Because he was pissed when he was handing out the trophy,
Starting point is 01:15:26 you know, and I don't think it's a coincidence that everything shifted right after that. But it's one of those, I would say one of the top two or three things he's done since he's been commissioner, you know, the way he pulled out the Clippers Sterling thing is probably still number one for me because that was a real crisis and he did it. But this is up there. Like really realizing something is wrong with the league. We can't wait till after this season to fix it. And we're just fucking fixing it.
Starting point is 01:15:56 Letting the players figure out how to play with the new rules. Oh, rule changes are huge. It's a huge aspect of what a commissioner can do. What was one of the biggest things David Stern did? It was what led to the seven seconds or less revolution where they had to go the other way, where the platonic ideal, it was way too much the other way. And instead of 145 to 135, it was 75 to 72. And they had to figure it out. There was a 66 to 61 in the playoffs that year. That was a final in Pacers Pistons, I think. Oh, was that the Reggie Miller getting a shot blocked by Prince game?
Starting point is 01:16:32 It was one of those. It was in that era. It was in that time. So it's almost like when you're running the Fed where sometimes you got to cut interest rates. Sometimes you got to raise interest rates. And as a commissioner, I think that's a valuable thing that you can do because these sports, man, they're just the rules. And we talk about it like there's just basketball,
Starting point is 01:16:55 with the 96 Bulls beat the Nuggets of today. But the game is the rules. The game is the rules of the game. And if you change the rules, you change the game. And the NBA changed the rules and the game has been changed. And I think to a better end, I think these playoff games are just great theater, even as the Knicks,
Starting point is 01:17:15 as they did back in the 1990s, try to make them as ugly as possible. Yeah, it's like even in the mid 2000s, it wasn't just the hand check rule and it wasn't just they switched the zone defenses. I thought two of the subtle things they did that were super smart were that 16 seconds to cross the ball over half court instead of 14, which doesn't sound like anything, right? It's two seconds, but there's just a pace sometimes. And when I watch it, sometimes I feel like the guys aren't going to get over. Brunson's the master of that. You always feel like Brunson's going to get an eight-second violation. He barely gets it over in time. And then resetting the shot clock on an offensive rebound, I think, was huge. Because these teams who get offensive rebounds,
Starting point is 01:17:54 and especially if you want to play with a slower pace, you just pull it back out and you rip off another 18, 20 seconds, and it sucked. Now you get that rebound, you pull it out, there's 11 seconds left already, and you got to like come up with another shot. I think just those two things alone, plus the hand check, I thought, you know, it's one of those things where you think, why didn't they always do this? Which is how I feel now about reviewing block charge calls. That would be my number one draft pick for get this the fuck out of basketball. Just take it out. We're going to be 50-50
Starting point is 01:18:25 probably long term with the 2,000 block charge calls we review every season. Let's say coin flip. Okay. Get them the fuck out. I don't want to watch another review of them. I would feel similarly. I feel that way about replay review in general
Starting point is 01:18:42 but this goes back to the TV incentives and the money why sometimes what's good for fans isn't good for everybody there's a perverse incentive with the replay review at the end of these games because people get so frustrated there was that crazy end to warriors lakers in the regular season that dragged on and on and on but the perverse the perverse aspect of it is that the end of the game is when the most people are watching. So even if you're drawing it out and boring people, you're going to get a bigger number often when that happens. So that's going to be a hard thing to argue against.
Starting point is 01:19:16 Oh, this is a good one. So your conspiracy is this drags on the higher rating for longer? Yes, it draws out the portion of the game when people are watching the most, which is unfortunate because I think, I'm not sure the juice is worth the squeeze. I think it would be better to have European style games that are just boom, boom, boom at the end. I would want replay review gone in general. I liked it when it was imperfect back in the day, but given that perverse incentive, I'm not sure we're going to really get there. That's another Adam hot take about the rule change, by the way, that he was realizing we were going to get our asses kicked in the Olympics and they had to fix this
Starting point is 01:19:56 now because we're going to get to FIBA. And these guys are just going to be like, wait, what? I just got knocked on my drive and you didn't call it. So he was trying to condition them to do it. Alright, before we go, give me your number one hottest media take right now. Oh my god. Do I have a hot media? Give me something that you just
Starting point is 01:20:16 pulled out of the microwave and you burnt your fingers on it. Anything ESPN related? Well, I said that I thought the ESPN got the best deal I don't know if that's really a hot take I'm trying to wonder I think it's a good take
Starting point is 01:20:34 they finagled it now I just don't know what a hot take is necessarily other than that maybe all the ratings are fake I'll say that much as a ratings watcher it is totally unpredictable in both directions. There are some games where I used to be able to predict it and I would talk about it with Ryan Glasspeak of the New York Post and we would predict it. We can't predict it anymore.
Starting point is 01:20:57 It's all over the map. My theory is as they've changed the rating system where they've added out-of-home viewership, where they used to not count you if you watched in an airport or a hospital, they now have all these new counting systems, which gave everybody a double-digit percentage boost for all of sports almost. I feel like combined with that and how all the different streaming services are now incorporated, it goes both ways where sometimes I go, wow, that's way fewer people than I would have thought. Or wow, that's way more people than
Starting point is 01:21:30 I would have thought. I've called it the great vaganing. This is just one of my many terms that is not going to catch on that I'll try out in the podcast as I try to make fetch happen. But I think that we are entering in general an era where we just don't know how popular anything is. And I'll miss, Bill, I will miss the days of just knowing. Because when we combine sort of how Nielsen is noodling around with new metrics and new scoring systems, with how the streaming companies don't even want to tell us how many people watched, I would love to know all the numbers on the Tom Brady roast. I don't know if we'll ever know it.
Starting point is 01:22:07 We're just entering a period of time where we just won't know how popular things are. You still see what happens with YouTube and podcasts too. Because people can buy YouTube views and people can game the podcast system and the rankings and the charts. There's all these different tricks for that. But yeah, it's the age of disinformation and confusing information. Um, I have no idea. Like when we get to the finals, the only thing I know for sure is they're going to release stuff that countdown had the highest ratings it's ever had. That game four of the NBA finals had the highest rating for
Starting point is 01:22:41 game four in 10 years. Everything will be the highest. And I just don't know if I believe any piece of it. No, it doesn't make a total, it doesn't make a lot of sense because it seems like there's so much competing media out there and there are only so many young people who can sit still and watch a game in its entirety. And more and more people are cord cutting. So it would be hard for these things to get more popular. But ultimately, I'm just not sure how much we'll really know going forward. So welcome to the great vaganing. We'll get some statistics and we'll just have to kind of see for ourselves a bit and see how much people pay for things. The great vaganing sounds like a new Apple TV drama with like, I don't know. It's like Jason Segel. It's his comeback to Apple TV.
Starting point is 01:23:32 I don't know. Peter Gallagher's in it. It's great vaguing. There's set in the Midwest. I think the whole Apatow crew winds up in that one. In the great vaguing? I like it.
Starting point is 01:23:41 Yeah, it's a comeback. Yeah, it's a writer's workshop in the Midwest and all of these people want to get popular again now that books aren't being published as much. We'll figure it out. We'll figure out what The Great Veganing actually is, other than not very catchy. mean, you have to subscribe to it, but that's the world we live in in 2024. Sometimes if it's good, you got to subscribe to it. But I always respect how you went on your own and built an audience. I thought it was pretty cool. Oh, well, thank you. And I apologize for cockifying the audience by charging a sub fee. Thanks, Bill. Good to see you. Thanks. After decades of shaky hands caused by debilitating tremors, Sunnybrook was the only hospital in Canada who could provide Andy with something special. Three neurosurgeons, two scientists, one movement disorders coordinator, 58 answered questions, two focused ultrasound procedures,
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Starting point is 01:25:39 giving you the peace of mind to focus on what truly matters. Find their products through banks, credit unions, and associations, or visit SecurianCanada.ca. Securian Canada, insurance designed for life. All right, I'm here with my daughter, Zoe Simmons. She just came back from college. It's great to have you back, Zoe.
Starting point is 01:25:59 Oh, thanks. I miss you too. Yeah, I miss you. I miss you stealing my clothes. I miss you actually getting me a coffee, which you did. Thanks for thinking of me. You didn't even respond and I still got you a Starbucks and your favorite order too with the special bean brand. I was taping another part of the pod and of course you knew that, but started FaceTiming me anyway and screwed up my pod.
Starting point is 01:26:19 So it was good to have you back. Just wait for half your sock collection to be gone because that will happen within this first week i know i'm gonna actually have to i should put a lock on that thing yeah i now feel like my favorite t-shirts sweatshirts and socks are under attack yeah like in a way like you were gone i felt super safe now i have to worry about the air conditioning making my bathroom your your primary spot well that's what you get you also had i don't think the stench has left that room you also had I have to worry about the air conditioning. Making my bathroom your primary spot. That's what you get. You also had the- I don't think the stench has left that room.
Starting point is 01:26:49 You also had the air conditioning was 60 degrees last night, which was absurd. That wasn't me. I'm not taking the blame for that one. All right. Well, it's great to have you back. All right.
Starting point is 01:26:59 You had some topics you want to cover, things you learned from college. The biggest thing you learned was that you could actually be self-sufficient and do stuff like instead of us waking you up because you had this or that i just wouldn't wake up at all you figured out how to sleep through things that you know you think you know i think you had like some early pt appointments and things that i was like wow she's never making that seven o'clock in Cambridge. And you actually did. Yeah. There's a lot of things I had to figure out this year that you don't really think about like niche little things when you're living at home
Starting point is 01:27:33 that you actually have to do yourself when you move out of your home. Like waking up in the mornings, existing, eating, getting my food every day. Making sure my room's clean. You're in a big city, so you had Starbucks and Panera and CBS and all these things around. I have my access. All right. Biggest things you learned. Well, first of all, you learned that
Starting point is 01:27:57 you lied to us because you went to college and you're like, I'm not going to date anybody. I just want to be single. I did say that completely for a man. I don't want to be attached. I just want to have a full college experience and find a bunch of friends and not get attached. And then, of course, you had a boyfriend within five weeks. That wasn't necessarily my fault.
Starting point is 01:28:17 I didn't go into college with zero intention. Whose fault was it? There's two people in love in a relationship. Yeah. My boyfriend, Tommy, he asked me to be his girlfriend for two weeks straight every single day and I kept trying to say no to him
Starting point is 01:28:28 but he wouldn't let me. So I got worn down. I wouldn't put that as a my fault type of situation. Are you going to be one of those people who just always has a boyfriend? I hope not.
Starting point is 01:28:39 I've never tried to be that type of person. It just kind of happens. You're not like a big drama person. Sure. You have a good sense of humor. Yeah yeah you're fun to hang out with and sometimes those people just always end up with people well i never i i don't feel like i've ever like i'm i've been alone a few different times i'm all right with it i think it's just i'm not a multiple people type of person and then i'll
Starting point is 01:29:02 just be hanging out with one person then that will end up in a relationship. You're a single person. You're a single person hanger. Yeah. I'm monogamous. Is that the right word? Yeah. But you like smaller groups of friends, not big, splashy groups of friends. This is one thing I've learned for sure is that I don't feel like I need a huge friend group or support system of people if not every single person in that group is someone that I would trust with my life. I feel like I try to keep my circle small because i want to be able to give my friends or my boyfriend and my family like my everything and i don't want to have to
Starting point is 01:29:35 spread that amongst a bunch of different people that might not you're missing out on those like 12 person girl groups where yeah there's 19 different factions and people hate each other. Sure. But I have like my exterior friends or my going out friends and like the people that I'll do those types of things with, but not the type of person that I necessarily like go out into the park with and have a deep conversation about life with. All right. Things you learned when you got to college. I'm just reading the list you sent me and you can expound. Sure.
Starting point is 01:30:05 Do you feel like these are going to be life lessons for the younger audience as they go to college? Yeah, I think these are crucial. Okay. Well, stuff I didn't see on here is make sure you're on your dad's Starbucks on the app. You know how embarrassing it is
Starting point is 01:30:22 for them to call out Bill every time I order like a pink drink and to go pick it up, I'm Bill. You're how embarrassing it is for them to call out Bill every time I order a pink drink and to go pick it up. I'm Bill. You're Bill in Boston ordering Starbucks. Do you think they think it's short for Billy? I don't know. Like Billy Eilish? I don't know. They might not question it
Starting point is 01:30:37 considering it's a 2024. Should I change my name on the Starbucks app to just be more androgynous? Just something that they won't look at me funny for. All right. First rule. Girls and guys can never, all caps, be friends, parentheses, with small exceptions. That's definitely something I've learned this year, which you guys ragged on me on for high school.
Starting point is 01:31:01 Because I was a dumbass and I'd just become very close friends with certain guys and it would end up poorly every single time where either they'd have a crush on me, mostly that, or I would end up liking them and it would just- That never happened. They always had a crush on you. It'd end up in complete disaster. I thought that was something that would get left behind in high school or that people figured that out in the trial and error years before you go to college. But I came to college and it's totally still happening where there's just so many offenders of the guy and girl friendship, super close, hanging out all the time, Snapchatting each
Starting point is 01:31:41 other, calling each other when they're not together. Everyone thinks they're dating, but they're not. And then all of a sudden, the guy likes the girl or the girl likes the time, Snapchatting each other, calling each other when they're not together. Everyone thinks they're dating, but they're not. And then all of a sudden the guy likes the girl or the girl likes the guy and then it's complete disaster. And it happens every single time, no matter what sort of particular situation you're in, it's always going to end up in disaster. See, this warms my heart because this brings me back to 35, 40 years ago when I was in high school and college and this also happened. I think this is the eternal dilemma of life. Well, this is what When Harry Met Sally is about. It came out in 1989. But people, I mean, my boyfriend was such a sweet guy and a loving heart, but I had to explain this phenomenon to him because I have guy friends, I'd say, but some have
Starting point is 01:32:26 hit on me in the past and I'm not friends with them right now because I have a boyfriend. Right. If I didn't have a boyfriend, I'd probably still be friends with them. But there's just this weird thing where people try to convince themselves that it's totally normal for guys and girls to have these close connections where it's almost like their boyfriend and girlfriend. Guys and girls can never be too close unless there's some sort of barrier in there where they don't like the opposite sex or they're just completely in a friendship that's just
Starting point is 01:32:56 not romantic at all or the guys a eunuch like in game of thrones what does that mean you don't know eunuch is no i haven't watched the Game of Thrones. Game of Thrones, the guys who have their testicles removed. Sure. That's a good situation too. Unic should be great. But it's never going to work out. That's all I'm going to tell you. Don't get yourself in a position where you're ruining your friendships
Starting point is 01:33:16 or your friend groups because you get too close with one of the guys in it. It won't work out. I've seen it time and time again. It's a disaster. Don't do it. We used to have, we used to know girls in college, we used to talk about how they had like,
Starting point is 01:33:31 I wish I could name names, but they would have a bunch of guy friends and we would used to call it like their bench. Yeah. It's the guys that are waiting around. We'd soccer, you have like the eight players on the bench who can come in at any time
Starting point is 01:33:43 and be like, oh, we need like a backup striker to come in. And that person, and they would just have the bench lined up just in case for flirting or like a one night something, but never serious. They're there to be there for you when your boyfriend isn't. That's just what's going to happen. My friend group in college, it's me and my friend and then three other guys and i've remained neutral where it's never been a weird sort of situation between all of us i have a boyfriend and i i show up every now and then but it's just always been a strictly friend sort of thing and it's the first well one of friendships that i've had with guys where it's completely platonic but why are you
Starting point is 01:34:23 surprised by this like I'm not. It's just people don't know this, I don't think, or try to convince themselves otherwise. Or. It's acceptable. Or people do know this because this is what 85% of rom-coms are about. Yeah, but I've watched all of those 85% and I still didn't fully realize the extent to the danger of this situation until I went to college. Well, what did me and mom this situation until I went to college.
Starting point is 01:34:46 Well, what did me and mom tell you? I witnessed it firsthand. What did you tell me? I asked you how many close female friends do I have in my life where I'm like, oh, I'm going out with my friend Kelly tonight. I think mom ripped your eyebrow off. Huh? I think she'd rip your eyebrows off. Yeah, that would suck.
Starting point is 01:35:06 But same thing for mom. But it's just kind of what happens. You have a bunch of opposite sex friends before you get married. And then when you actually get married, you make new sets of friends and usually pairs, couples, whatever. And it's kind of weird. Like the ultimate example, my best friend's wedding. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:35:22 That's a great one. And it's like, my best friend, whatever. And it's like, guess what? She makes a move, tries to ruin the way. That's so brutal. If you're, if your boyfriend or girlfriend has a,
Starting point is 01:35:30 a best friend of the opposite sex or the same sex, just be afraid. Well, this is what all great rom-com art has been about. Your next lesson, don't go into college with a high school relationship. It never works. Another thing, it's funny how all your lessons are things I told you about over and over again. Yeah, but I still questioned you until I got to school. I have an array of friends and some of
Starting point is 01:35:58 them went into college trying to salvage their high school relationship with their high school sweetheart that they graduated with and they were going to get married to and blah, blah, blah. And then a few weeks in, someone gets cheated on or it just completely wreaks havoc and the entire place burns down and it's a total disaster. See, this is another thing that warms my heart. I'm glad this still exists too.
Starting point is 01:36:21 Like the go home for the Columbus Day weekend and the first fight, but let's get back together at the end and then go back for Thanksgiving. Thanksgiving is usually the death sentence. Yeah, it is. You're going out and you see them out somewhere and it all happens over again.
Starting point is 01:36:38 I saw it happen with some of my friends, but it is a total disaster. It's a death sentence and it's probably the worst thing that you can do. Well, you had a boyfriend senior in high school. Yeah, with full intention of trying to do the zip code dating. Don't do that either. But you were aware, because we kept telling you,
Starting point is 01:36:59 like, there's no way that's going to last. Yeah. But you were actually really aware of that, unlike some people are like, no, no, we're going to make it, try to figure it out. I was aware of it, but I was in such denial of it. And I was a total disaster. I don't think I've ever been such a disaster before in my life. An emotional wreck, one could say.
Starting point is 01:37:18 It was awful. The only time you were more of an emotional wreck was during COVID when you watched 17 seasons of Grey's Anatomy and went into emotional funk. You're not going to be happy to find out that I rewatched practically all of it in this past year. Well, now you're binging Sex and the City. So I hope if you morph into the shows you're watching, I really hope that doesn't happen with Sex and the City. Maybe one of the characters. I hope it's not samantha you better hope not hey the construction workers here i think he looked at me she's the best she's the best it warms my heart
Starting point is 01:37:54 i'm gonna say that for the third time that you finally fall in love with sex in the city it's great it's it's truly i just, I adore Carrie so much. What's her name in real life? Sarah Jessica Parker. Sarah Jessica Parker. I absolutely love her. She's, and even though right now she's kind of unlikable because of what's going on in the show,
Starting point is 01:38:15 I'm midway through season three. She is such a lovable lead character, probably one of the greatest show narrators out of any show that I've watched thus far. She's fantastic. And I just love the way that they behave and interact with one another and just the way that they talk
Starting point is 01:38:34 and how poised they are. It's fun to watch. It makes me want to not be more like them, but to be more sophisticated in the way that I speak like they do. Look at you. That show's great. We had been trying to get you to watch
Starting point is 01:38:50 it. Forever. Really since high school and you were like, no, it's an old person show and those girls are gross. I never would say that. I just wasn't ready. I knew I was going to love it. I wasn't ready for a serious show like that yet. It's a classic. So you saw the
Starting point is 01:39:05 Hamptons episode then in season two. That was my favorite one. Why was that your favorite one? I just thought that was a great episode. Yeah. It was pretty funny. She's holding the, holding the hair up when they throw up, which is really well written. Brutal. That show, the first two seasons, some of those episodes were like really well written. Yeah. They're fantastic. I think it's also. How about the farting, farting in bed one? Oh, with Big. Yeah.
Starting point is 01:39:27 Mr. Big. That was a good one. This show does a great, it does a great job at like showing the, the terrors of the first love sort of situation. Yeah. I think that was definitely probably shocking and touching to a lot of people that she ruined her life for someone who she didn't need to ruin
Starting point is 01:39:42 her life for at all. What was cool about it was watching the show when it was happening, like Carrie was the kind of person I always would have wanted to be friends with. Like back to our earlier discussion, would have wanted to be friends with, but probably would have had a crush on secretly too. Totally. But also not would have wanted to seriously date. Just wanted it to be a sort of friendship flirtation.
Starting point is 01:40:03 Yeah, which is like basically the show. Which is everything. Yeah. Yeah. like basically the show. Which is everything. Yeah. Yeah. That's who she always ends up with. The only character I never really totally loved was the, what's her face? The Kristen Davis character. The brunette?
Starting point is 01:40:15 Yeah. I'm not a big fan of her either. That was the only one that, that was the only character that never landed. For some reason right now, I can't remember her name. Because they're all so girl power betting on themselves like individual people and she's the only character that's like really reliant on finding a man and getting married she's the only character that also like but that's why it's always looking at the bright side she's great because she adds that that element to the group just that they never i'm also not i'm not
Starting point is 01:40:41 the hugest fan of miranda i like her, but I just can't handle her sometimes. Samantha and Carrie are really the only two that I absolutely adore. Who hate each other in real life. Really? Yeah. When they did the Sex and the City remake show, Samantha's not in it. Because Sarah Jessica Parker hates her so much? They're feuding.
Starting point is 01:41:02 That's brutal. I think Samantha hates her more than... Oh. Because Sarah Jessica Parker hates her so much. They're feuding. That's brutal. I think Samantha hates her more than, because she always, Sarah Jessica Parker made more money. But yeah, Carrie Bradshaw, one of the great characters. It's great.
Starting point is 01:41:11 Also like, it's hard to explain this now because you've seen so many crazy shows, but back at the time, it was kind of a nutty show, like women acting like that. Yeah, very raunchy too. Yeah, they didn't, that did not exist.
Starting point is 01:41:24 That's what's good about it. And it's definitely a little dated. Some of the episodes, they say things that would not fly these days. But it does a good job at kind of representing that like strong female empowerment thing. Yeah. I like it a lot.
Starting point is 01:41:40 Back to the don't date your boyfriend from high school. Yeah. Did anyone stay together? I know of one couple. Yeah. That's still together. It's really rare. I'm just saying it's long distance is a hard thing.
Starting point is 01:41:55 I'm doing it right now because my boyfriend does not live in the same state as I do. Yeah, because you're dating somebody from fucking Miami. Jesus. Can you say that on here? Yeah, I just did. Are you going to get him murdered? What do you mean? His name and where he lives is already on this podcast. Please don't kill my
Starting point is 01:42:09 boyfriend. He's Miami and he gave me a Miami Heat hat for Christmas. Yeah. Which I didn't appreciate. I know. Well, that's right. Long distance is hard and especially if you're in college and you're a freshman in college, you don't want your life to be restricted by someone who's in a completely different state
Starting point is 01:42:28 feeling that their life is being restricted to. It's just not a good thing. If you're going to get back together at some point, you'll come back to each other at some point. But don't go into college with that person because you'll ruin that shot. I feel like Tommy's going to show up in about a week with a suitcase. Just move in. I'm here, guys.
Starting point is 01:42:44 I know Miami is first round playoff losers, Miami, Florida. Yeah, I know. He's still trying to bank off the fact that Jimmy Butler wasn't playing and everyone got injured and blah, blah, blah, and they won last year. That doesn't fly. All right. Next thing you learned in college, drop bullshit friends once you get to college. It's aggressive.
Starting point is 01:43:03 What is this about? I feel like in high school, when you're still living in the city that you grew up in, you kind of have to keep people around situationally just because you feel like you can't cut that tie yet because you still live in the same state. You might see each other out. It might be an awkward thing. You just don't have the strength to cut people off
Starting point is 01:43:24 when you think you might have to. But since getting to college and meeting some true friends and having a great boyfriend and just feeling like my life is finally stable as in my adult life outside of this city, I've been more keen on getting rid of people who I didn't necessarily felt like added to my life. It's anti-bullshit.
Starting point is 01:43:47 Getting rid of is a strong word, but I think it's important once you're an adult and once you're in college and you're on your path to like actually living a real person life. If you feel like someone is in your life that's taking your time away and not giving back that same sort of friendship that you're giving to them, there's no point. It's just not worth it anymore. There's no situational anything. Just got to cut that person off.
Starting point is 01:44:14 You know what Lena Dunham called that? What? I mean, she used it in a slightly different context, but sunshine stealers. Yeah, there you go. She said when she was on the rise doing girls and stuff, there would be these older people that saw her as this up-and-comer and they would try to glom on and do projects with her
Starting point is 01:44:32 and they'd try to steal her sunshine. I always thought that was a good way to put it. L.A.'s tough because there's a lot of great people here, but there's also a lot of not-so-great people here. I've definitely discovered that since going to school on the East Coast. And weeding those people out that aren't going to add to your life and if anything are going to take, that's super important. Well, that part of that is social media, right?
Starting point is 01:44:56 Yeah. I just think that because of social media, there's a lot of fake friendship types of things that you have to abide by. I mean like when you put the post up and they're like, gorgeous. Five hearts. Yeah. People think that that's friendship these days. And I'm not one to talk.
Starting point is 01:45:14 I love you. I do that with my friends, but that's like the social standard as like a teenage girl. It's like your friends will think you don't like them if you don't do that. If your friends are crazy. Well, then you also have, if you put a picture of them and you don't clear it with the friend and they take it personally. All of the social media rules are amazing. It's ridiculous. And like, I don't fully abide by all of those because I really don't care like whatever anyone puts out on social media. It's not my problem. But I know a lot of people take it personally.
Starting point is 01:45:47 My best friend Paige, she's just like posted the most ridiculous video for my birthday. And I thought it was awesome. I just think there's no point in taking that crap seriously. And friendship does not mean social media. Why'd you have to mention Paige? Now she's going to get a big head.
Starting point is 01:46:01 Good. Because I love her. Next one. What? Is this really a tip? Doing laundry, living on your own, and eating in college is hard. You could have read over the list beforehand if you wanted
Starting point is 01:46:15 to. I told you it was a broad list of things. You know what I used to do? I used to leave when I was going to Holy Cross. I used to drive 35-40 minutes to my dad's house. For Molly to go do your laundry? No, I'd do my laundry there and I knew I got a free dinner from my dad. Yeah, great.
Starting point is 01:46:33 So I would try to time it. I know that's not a big tip. It's just hard. It's hard becoming an adult and doing laundry and eating in a big city. Well, the eating is the hardest thing, right? Because you like one of the more disciplined eaters i've ever seen i'm a pretty i have a i have a tough gut sometimes i'm an athlete i need to i'm careful in the way that i eat and my school's primary food source so they're our dining halls is pretty all right and they'll have like versatile yeah but then you have the late night you're the mexican place there's a mexican place but like everyone's getting cheeseburgers and quesadillas and like grilled cheese and i don't i don't personally that doesn't agree with my body every day at one o'clock in the
Starting point is 01:47:14 morning yeah exactly so that's nephew kyle that's that's a hard thing not being able to cousin kyle in your case yeah cousin kyle but Kyle. The one o'clock pizza. I mean, yeah. The eating piece is a really hard one. You have more intelligence about that stuff in 2024 than we had in 1990. Because he's done so much research on nutrition and things. Our thing was like, I'm hungry. I need to eat. And we had the frozen yogurt bar at our college thing. And we would watch the girls eating frozen yogurt Our thing was like, I'm hungry. I need to eat. And we had like the frozen yogurt bar at our college thing.
Starting point is 01:47:47 And we would watch the girls eating frozen yogurt. We're like, look at them, losers. And then you're the one ordering the frozen yogurt. Yeah, and then we're eating like crap. Yeah, I think colleges have gotten better about like the types of foods that they're serving to the students there. But let me just tell you, Emerson never doesn't have the entire dessert table full.
Starting point is 01:48:08 Like there's, if anything's available in the dining hall, it's always dessert. Your last tip was going home in the summer or on breaks will never not be weird. What does that mean? Like you were saying earlier, I just feel like time doesn't pass here when I'm not home. Like my prom was a year ago, which felt like four months ago.
Starting point is 01:48:28 I graduated high school like nearly a year ago. That felt like it was just yesterday. Like in your hometown, time doesn't really pass because you don't live here. But in college, everything's moving. And it's weird to like deal with having two dually different lives on two completely different sides of the world and having different friends and it's just it's all very strange and it's a great thing to come back it's going to be weird to see ex-boyfriends ex-friends etc it's a weird thing but it's it's all part of growing up but it's just are you excited to be judged by me again
Starting point is 01:49:00 as the summer goes yeah i can't wait doing judgments. What judgments are you going to do to me? I'll give you judgments right back. That's fine. Can you tell, so those are your tips. We went through college. Sounds like everything went fine. Everything went great. Now it's about getting ready for sophomore year.
Starting point is 01:49:19 Yeah. Now you have a better idea of what classes to pick, better expectations for soccer, all that stuff. Before we go, can you tell us your three favorite pieces of podcast slash YouTube content that you're consuming right now? Sure. Canceled podcast hosted by Brooks Goffield and Tana Mojo is probably my favorite podcast right now on Spotify.
Starting point is 01:49:47 What is it? I wouldn't totally know how to explain it. If you know who Tana Mongeau is, she's been a YouTuber and like an internet sensation since YouTube begun. She's kind of a crazy LA party girl with many, many stories with all the celebrities that have been up and rising in these past two decades. But they just kind of talk about pop culture, their lives in LA. And I know that doesn't sound so appealing, but they're fantastic storytellers. They're hilarious. Just two great girls kind of talking about their raunchy lives in LA. Kind of like a podcast-y version of Sex
Starting point is 01:50:25 in the City. Similar vibes. That's what I'd say about it. So that's your number one. What's number two? Another one I'm loving is Remy Cruz and Alicia Marie's podcast on Spotify called Pretty Basic. They've also been on YouTube since the beginning of time, but they were more like lifestyle creators where they were kind of at first appealing to younger audiences, like middle school girls. So I'd been watching them since then and they've evolved their content, but it's kind of like family style, home life, like more put together version of influencers. They're great. They're also great storytellers. Just fantastic. Oh, I don't know what my third one would be oh i love call her daddy yeah let's talk about that cooper she's great also sex in the city kind of played as a gateway for her to be able to
Starting point is 01:51:12 do the podcast that she does i feel like it was a super pivotal tv show that came out that kind of opened the floodgates for content like that yeah but it's not i mean when she was doing it especially when she had her old co-host yeah it was way more about like the sexual stuff and the exploits but now it's it's more of an interview it's shifted over she's talked about it a lot because she'll she'll have guests on but the things that she'll get into with her guests are like very deep like the the gateway where it started was like all this sexual content and talking about her relations with people and et cetera. Now it's kind of switched over to like telling lifestyle stories.
Starting point is 01:51:49 Like she's an advocate for, um, really everything that she can be an advocate for. Yeah. She's just kind of shifted her content. She's an advocate for everything she could be an advocate for. And we know what that means. Like when the entire Roe,
Starting point is 01:52:04 Roe v. Wade thing happened, she did a whole podcast segment on going to Virginia to like an abortion clinic. Like she's done her fair share of like kind of shifting her content over to things that she cares about more. And there's still all the episodes with like the fun, raunchy like material,
Starting point is 01:52:22 but you can really get whatever you want on her podcast, which I appreciate because every episode is super different. As opposed to mine that's mostly basketball and football. I think she's a good interviewer. She's a really good interviewer. All the interviews I've listened to of hers have been great. I just listened to an Emily… Ratajkowski? Yeah yeah she did her interview it
Starting point is 01:52:47 was fantastic madison beer did an interview on there also a great episode like it's it's really interesting to hear things about these these people that you've never really heard about what's been your rom-com of the year i mean you have watched the glenn powell i was about to say seven times i do i do love one. That was kind of an easy great movie for me, but I think I've watched The Notebook and La La Land like a collective 12 times this year. The Notebook? Yeah, I love that one.
Starting point is 01:53:15 That movie's great. I'm going to make Ben watch it tonight with me. It's going to be a tear fest. Do we cover everything? I think so. Great to see you Zoe Simmons. I'm glad to have you back. Good to see you too. Thanks for the check in.
Starting point is 01:53:27 Bye. All right. That's it for the podcast. Thanks to Ethan. Thanks to my daughter. Thanks to Kyle Creighton and Steve Cerruti as well. Don't forget, subscribe to Ringer Movies on YouTube.
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